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    Simsim

    Uploaded by

    Sid Roy
    The document provides investment recommendations for various asset classes and securities based on changing economic conditions like inflation, interest rates, and growth outlook. It suggests investing in commodities, gold, agriculture and defensive stocks when inflation or rates are high, and investing in capital goods, finance and AAA rated bonds when growth is strong or rates are steady. The recommendations vary based on factors like monetary policy changes, fiscal policy, corporate earnings, and rainfall levels impacting agriculture.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    Simsim

    Uploaded by

    Sid Roy
    48 views3 pages
    The document provides investment recommendations for various asset classes and securities based on changing economic conditions like inflation, interest rates, and growth outlook. It suggests investing in commodities, gold, agriculture and defensive stocks when inflation or rates are high, and investing in capital goods, finance and AAA rated bonds when growth is strong or rates are steady. The recommendations vary based on factors like monetary policy changes, fiscal policy, corporate earnings, and rainfall levels impacting agriculture.

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    The document provides investment recommendations for various asset classes and securities based on changing economic conditions like inflation, interest rates, and growth outlook. It suggests investing in commodities, gold, agriculture and defensive stocks when inflation or rates are high, and investing in capital goods, finance and AAA rated bonds when growth is strong or rates are steady. The recommendations vary based on factors like monetary policy changes, fiscal policy, corporate earnings, and rainfall levels impacting agriculture.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as TXT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as txt, pdf, or txt
    48 views3 pages

    Simsim

    Uploaded by

    Sid Roy
    The document provides investment recommendations for various asset classes and securities based on changing economic conditions like inflation, interest rates, and growth outlook. It suggests investing in commodities, gold, agriculture and defensive stocks when inflation or rates are high, and investing in capital goods, finance and AAA rated bonds when growth is strong or rates are steady. The recommendations vary based on factors like monetary policy changes, fiscal policy, corporate earnings, and rainfall levels impacting agriculture.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as TXT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as txt, pdf, or txt
    of 3

    high repo rate, high inflation = INVEST in commodity10%, agri, gold and silver,

    metals, defensive 3.9% make big investment in money market

    DONT INVEST in gov. security,AAA


    share,BBB and CCC, capital goods negative,finance, it will in
    negative.
    -----------------------------------

    Central Bank to cut reserve ratios


    Market Voices: Worse is yet to come

    invest - gov security, money market (medium returns), AAA (medium),BBB and CCC(low
    but positive return), cap. goods (low), FMCG (medium), gold and silver (constant
    @2.8%),agri (medium)

    DONT INVEST- commodity,finance,metal

    ------------------

    interest rate is steady, market is recovering ( markets had bottomed last year)

    INVEST - CCC,BBB high, AAA(medium) money market and gov secur. medium, commodity
    high, cap goods high, finance high, defensive low to medium, gold @2.8%, high in
    metals, medium in agri.

    -------------

    Central Bank advocates tighter lending


    Market Voices: More is yet to come

    INVEST- money market(high),gov security (medium),AAA(low),BBB (low), CCC(very low),


    Commodity (high), cap goods (medium), finance (high),FMCG (medium), agri (medium),
    metal (high), gold (medium)
    ------------------------------------

    Finance Minister reinforces faith in the economy


    Market Voices: Smart money prefers stocks over bonds. Rainfall has been quite low
    this time.

    invest- money market, agri,metals (high),commodity(v.high),defensive (medium)

    dont invest- gov. security, AAA,BBB,CCC, finance`, cap goods.


    -----------------------------

    Companies paint layoff plans instead of hiring plans


    Market Voices: The stock markets may fall by another 10%

    INVEST-AAA,Gov security, medium returns on money market, invest everything only on


    defensive others will give negative returns , invest only on gold and agri, metal
    will give negative.
    ----------------------------------

    Inflation subsides, Government has introduced Fiscal Expansionary Policies


    Market Voices: Smart money prefers bonds over stocks. Rainfall has been greater
    than expected this time.

    INVEST high in CCC,BBB,AAA,gov security, put everything on capital goods, medium in


    finance, put in gold and silver
    DONT INVEST in money market,commodity,FMCG, metals, agri

    ------------------

    GROWTH IN FOCUS, TO CUT REPORATES


    STOCKS ARE CHEAP AND WILL CHEAPER,RAONFALL HIGH.

    INVEST-money market medium, gov. security high,AAA, very high in BBB and CCC,
    invest everyting in cap goods, put everthing in gold

    DONT INVEST- commodity, agri, metals

    _-------------------

    finance minister advocated greater lending, growth momentum will get strong

    INVEST- CCC,BBB,AAA has hgih returns, commodity medium, cap goods high, finance
    high, defence medium, Metal, agri and gold medium.

    ----------------------

    INFLATION IS RAPIDLY INCREASING, CENTRAL BANK RAISE CRR


    HEDGE FUND HAS REACHED THE HIGHEST LEVEL

    INVEST- money market, commodity, finanance and defense,metal and gold

    -----------------------------
    Growth numbers come sharply lower than expected
    Market Voices: Its a one-off, numbers should be seen as a trend. Risk-Off is the
    time to buy!

    INVEST in AAA,gov security, finance and defensive, gold and agri. rest, not so much
    -----------------------------------------

    Asset bubble talks dominate Jackson Hole


    Market Voices: Growth unlike last time is fuelled by cautious optimism, days of
    blind are far-far away.

    INVEST- money market,everything in commodity and defensive, everything will give


    you loss, distribute in all 3 more in agri
    -------------

    G8 Leaders pledge to kickstart global growth


    Market Voices: Verbal assurances have rarely resulted in economic results!

    INVEST- money market, low in bonds of aa and bbb and ccc, DONT invest in finance go
    for commodity,, gold and metal

    ---------------

    Global PMI numbers report encouraging outlook


    Market Voices: The pain will only get deeper.

    INVEST-money market 2.1,gov sec. 3.4,aaa 4%, lower in bbb and ccc, commodity 2%,cap
    good and finance 1.5, negatve in defensive,agri and metal, negative in gold
    ------------
    re-levaragind cycle under way

    invest-ccc,bbb,aaa,commodit 7,cap good 9, finance 9, everything in metals.


    -------------------------------

    gov. increase tax


    invest- everyting in money market, everything in commodity and fiannce , medium in
    cap and defensive,everything in metal
    ------------------------
    Corporates are cautiously optimistic about the economy
    Market Voices: Commodity stocks look attractive. Rainfall has been quite low this
    time.

    INVEST money market everything, most in commodity, some in defensive,everything in


    metal
    -------------------------------

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