Country Analysis Briefs: South China Sea
Country Analysis Briefs: South China Sea
Country Analysis Briefs: South China Sea
The South China Sea is rich in natural resources such as oil and natural gas, but ownership of the
resources is in dispute. Asia's robust economic growth has boosted demand for energy in the region.
According to EIA estimates, oil consumption in developing Asian countries is expected to rise by 2.7
percent annually from about 14.8 million barrels per day (MMbbl/d) in 2004 to nearly 29.8 MMbbl/d by
2030. China is expected to account for almost half the growth.
The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) has not yet resolved ownership
disputes in the South China Sea. The 1982 convention created a number of guidelines concerning the
status of islands, continental shelves, exclusive economic zones (EEZ), enclosed seas, and territorial
limits. UNCLOS states that countries with overlapping claims must resolve them by good faith
negotiation.
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Claims by Country
Country South China Sea Spratly Islands Paracel Islands Gulfof Thailand
Brunei UNCLOS no formal claim no n/a
Cambodia not applicable (n/a) n/a n/a UNCLOS
China all* all all n/a
Indonesia UNCLOS no no n/a
Malaysia UNCLOS 3 islands no UNCLOS
Philippines significant portions 8 islands no n/a
Taiwan all* all all n/a
Thailand n/a n/a n/a UNCLOS
Vietnam all* all all UNCLOS
*excluding buffer zone along littoral states (calculations for buffer unknown)
Brunei – Brunei’s claim to the South China Sea is limited to its EEZ, which extends to one of the
southern reefs of the Spratly Islands. However, Brunei has not made any formal claims to the reef nor
to any of the Spratlys. Brunei makes no claims towards any of the Paracel Islands.
Cambodia – Cambodia claims portions of the Gulf of Thailand based upon its EEZ and the continental
shelf principle, as well as its history in the Gulf. In 1982, Cambodia signed The Agreement on Historic
Waters with Vietnam, setting the stage for later cooperation between the two countries. In 2006,
Cambodia and Vietnam announced their intention to share the oil resources of the Gulf of Thailand.
Cambodia has no such agreements with either Thailand or Malaysia.
China – China claims almost all of the South China Sea. China claims all of the Spratly Islands (Nansha
Islands in Chinese), and occupies several of the islands with its military. In 1974, China seized the
Paracel Islands from Vietnam and continues to maintain sovereignty over the islands. Additionally,
China claims the Pratas Islands. China’s claims to the South China Sea are based on the EEZ and
continental shelf principle as well as historical records of the Han (110 AD) and Ming (1403-1433 AD)
Dynasties.
Indonesia – Indonesia’s claim to the South China Sea is limited to the boundaries of the EEZ and
continental shelf. Indonesia claims neither the Spratly nor the Paracel Islands.
Malaysia – Malaysia’s claim to the South China Sea is limited to the boundaries of the EEZ and
continental shelf. Malaysia claims three islands of the Spratlys, having built a hotel on one and bringing
soil from the mainland to raise the level of another. Malaysia makes no claim to the Paracel Islands.
Malaysia also claims portions of the Gulf of Thailand, based upon its EEZ and the continental shelf
principle. Malaysia signed a cooperative agreement for exploration and development with Thailand in
1979. In 1992, Malaysia and Vietnam signed a Joint Development Areas agreement. Malaysia has no
such agreement with Cambodia.
Philippines – The Philippines claim a sizeable portion of the South China Sea. The Philippines occupy
eight of the Spratly Islands (Kalayaan in Filipino). The Philippines do not claim the Paracel Islands.
Filipino claims are based upon the EEZ and continental shelf principle, as well as a 1956 Filipino
explorer’s expedition.
Taiwan – Taiwan claims almost all of the South China Sea. Taiwan claims all of the Spratly Islands
(Nansha Islands in Chinese) and has announced its intention to build an airstrip on Taiping. Taiwan
claims all of the Paracel Islands. Additionally, Taiwan occupies the Pratas Islands. Taiwan’s claims are
based on principles similar to those of China.
Thailand – Thailand claims the Gulf of Thailand based upon its EEZ and the continental shelf principle.
Thailand signed a cooperative agreement for exploration and development with Malaysia in 1979. In
1997, Thailand and Vietnam signed an agreement setting the delimitation of their respective sea
boundaries. Thailand has no agreements with Cambodia.
Vietnam – Vietnam claims a significant portion of the South China Sea based upon its EEZ and the
continental shelf principle. Vietnam claims all of the Spratly Islands (Truong Sa in Vietnamese), and has
occupied twenty of them. Vietnam claims all of the Paracel Islands (Hoang Sa in Vietnamese) despite
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being forcibly ejected by China in 1974. Vietnam also claims the Gulf of Thailand based upon its EEZ
and the continental shelf principle. In 1982, Vietnam signed The Agreement on Historic Waters with
Cambodia, setting the stage for later cooperation between the two countries. In 2006, Vietnam and
Cambodia announced their intention to share the oil resources of the Gulf of Thailand. In 1992, Vietnam
and Malaysia signed a Joint Development Areas agreement. In 1997, Vietnam and Thailand signed an
agreement setting the delimitation of their respective sea boundaries.
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has emerged as an important forum for dialogue
amongst South China Sea claimants. Though ASEAN does not include China and Taiwan, a number of
working groups with China and Taiwan have been held on issues with the potential to foster the
relationships necessary to resolve the more contentious issues in the region. Indonesia hosted the first
dialogue workshop in 1990 and has since taken a leading role in diplomatic initiatives and cooperative
agreements to resolve SCS issues.
In 1996, ASEAN ministers agreed to the need for a regional code of conduct for the SCS that would
permit activities such as scientific research, combating piracy, and thwarting drug trafficking without
invoking the issue of sovereignty. In 1999, a Vietnamese and Filipino draft for a general code of
conduct was put forward at the ASEAN Summit. In November 2002, China and the 10 ASEAN
members signed a Joint Declaration on the Conduct of Parties, pledging to “undertake to resolve their
territorial and jurisdictional disputes by peaceful means” without “resorting to the threat or the use of
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force.”
The ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF; 22 countries involved in the security of the Asia Pacific region,
including all ASEAN members) has held discussions on SCS issues. China, an ARF member, has
argued in the past that the resolution of territorial disputes should be a bilateral issue. Other ARF
members, such as the United States, have argued that all ARF members have an interest in issues
affecting the peace and stability of the region, and that the ARF forum was appropriate for discussing
these issues. Malaysian Foreign Minister Syed Hamid bin Syed Jaafar Albar has stated his belief that
ASEAN territorial issues were matters for ASEAN discussion, not other international forums.
In December 2000, bilateral group meetings between Vietnam and China resolved Gulf of Tonkin
(Beibu Wan in Chinese; Vinh Bac Bo in Vietnamese) boundary issues. Vietnam had wanted to include
the dispute over the Paracel Islands in any “code of conduct”, but the idea was not supported by other
ASEAN members as the Paracels are disputed only amongst Vietnam, China, and Taiwan. In 2007,
joint patrols of the Gulf of Tonkin were conducted by China and Vietnam.
Malaysia and Brunei held talks in 2003 regarding their conflicting EEZ claims, but have yet to reach an
agreement. In 2003, naval vessels from Malaysia and Brunei acted (without the actual use of force) to
prevent exploration vessels from working in the disputed area.
Since 2005, China (via China National Offshore Oil Corporation, CNOOC), the Philippines (via The
Philippine National Oil Company), and Vietnam (via PetroVietnam) have worked together to conduct
seismic surveys in a 55,000 square mile area including the Spratly Islands. The $15 million project cost
has been shared by the three companies and an “unprecedented” level of information sharing has
occurred amongst the national companies. In April of 2007, China National Petroleum Corporation,
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, and CNOOC announced plans to begin drilling exploratory
wells in the waters surrounding the Spratlys in early 2008.
The fact that surrounding areas are rich in oil deposits has led to speculation that the Spratly Islands
could be an untapped oil-bearing province. There is little evidence outside of Chinese claims to support
the view that the region contains substantial oil resources. One of the more moderate Chinese
estimates suggested that potential oil resources (not proved reserves) of the Spratly and Paracel
Islands could be as high as 105 billion bbl. Due to the lack of exploratory drilling, there are no proven oil
reserve estimates for the Spratly or Paracel Islands.
Natural Gas
Natural gas might be the most abundant hydrocarbon resource in the SCS. Most of the hydrocarbon
fields explored in the SCS regions of Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and the
Philippines contain natural gas, not oil. Estimates by the U.S. Geological Survey and others indicate
that about 60 to 70 percent of the region's hydrocarbon resources are natural gas.
As with oil, estimates of the SCS’ natural gas resources vary widely. One Chinese estimate for the
entire SCS estimates natural gas reserves to be 2 quadrillion cubic feet. Another Chinese report
estimates 225 billion barrels of oil equivalent in the Spratly Islands alone. If 70 percent of these
hydrocarbons are gas as some studies suggest, total gas resources (as opposed to proved reserves)
would be almost 900 trillion cubic feet (Tcf). In April 2006, Husky Energy working with the Chinese
National Offshore Oil Corporation announced a find of proven natural gas reserves of nearly 4 to 6 Tcf
near the Spratly Islands.
Production
Field ownership is an important point to be clarified prior to production in any area of the world (please
refer to South China Sea Territorial Issues for an overview, or click here for a map detailing fields and
boundary disputes). Despite the contested nature of the SCS, production is being undertaken by the
following countries:
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Indonesia: claims the natural gas-rich fields offshore of the Natuna Islands. As of 2008, the fields are
estimated to have close to 46 Tcf of recoverable reserves. Indonesia’s claim was undisputed until
China released an official map with unclear maritime boundaries indicating that Chinese-claimed waters
in the South China Sea may extend into the waters around the Natuna Islands. Indonesia responded in
1996 by holding large military exercises in the Natuna Islands region. Since then, Indonesia has begun
major natural gas production in the Natuna area without China voicing any objection. Indonesia has
been exporting Natuna gas to Singapore’s Jurong island via a 400-mile undersea pipeline since 2001.
Philippines: The Filipino Malampaya and Camago fields are in waters claimed by China. Both fields are
estimated to contain a combined amount of 2.3 to 4.4 Tcf of natural gas reserves. The Philippines has
proceeded with development of the fields and linked the gas output to three power plants via a 312-mile
pipeline. There have been no objections from China regarding this development. The Malampaya field
has an estimated 150 million bbl of oil; as of January 2008, plans were underway to begin international
bidding rounds for development of the field.
Malaysia: Many Malaysian natural gas fields located offshore Sarawak are also claimed by China, but
to date, China has not specifically objected to their development. Discoveries of oil in 2002 and 2004
(by Murphy Oil and Shell Malaysia, respectively) off the coast of Sabah have contributed to the dispute
between Malaysia and Brunei over offshore rights. Brunei had asserted a 200-mile exclusive economic
zone (EEZ) off its coastline in 2000. Negotiations between the two governments to resolve the issue
are ongoing.
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China,
2000 In May, Philippine troops opened fire on Chinese fishermen, killing one and arresting 7.
Philippines
China, During first three months, the Filipino navy boarded 14 Chinese flagged boats, confiscated
2001
Philippines their catches, and ejected vessels out of contested portions of the Spratlys.
China, In March, the Philippines sent a gunboat to Scarborough Shoal to, "to ward off any attempt
2001
Philippines by China to erect structures on the rock".
Philippines, In August, Vietnamese troops fired warning shots at Filipino military reconnaissance
2002
Vietnam planes circling over the Spratlys.
* The South China Sea is defined by the International Hydrographic Organization as the body of water stretching in a
Southwest to Northeast direction, whose southern border is 3 degrees South latitude between South Sumatra and
Kalimantan (Karimata Straits), and whose northern border is the Strait of Taiwan from the northern tip of Taiwan to the Fujian
coast of China.
Table 2
Map 1
Competing Claims in the South China Sea Region
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Links
EIA Links: Country Analysis Briefs
Brunei
China
East Asia and South Asia
East China Sea
Indonesia
Malaysia
Philippines
Taiwan
Thailand
Vietnam
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U.S. Government
Air University Library: Spratly Dispute
CIA World Factbook - Paracel Islands
CIA World Factbook - Spratly Islands
National Defense University, Institute for National Strategic Studies - The South China Sea
Sandia National Laboratory - Keeping an Eye on the Islands: Remote Monitoring in the South China Sea
U.S. Pacific Command - Asia-Pacific Economic Update 2007
U.S. Embassy, Jakarta, Indonesia - Petroleum Report
General Information
Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) - China Versus South China Sea Security
Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) - Security Implications of Conflict in the South China Sea
Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) - Mischief Reef: A Double Betrayal
Global Security.org - Calculating China's Advances in the South China Sea: Identifying the Triggers of "Expansionism
International Chamber of Commerce - Weekly Piracy Report
South China Morning Post
South China Sea - Virtual Library
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)
United Nations - Convention on the Law of the Sea
United States Institute of Peace – Mitigating the South China Sea Disputes Through Cooperative Monitoring (audio at bottom)
United States Institute of Peace - The South China Sea Dispute: Prospects for Preventive Diplomacy
Sources
Association of Southeast Asian Nations
Bangkok Post
CedigazCenter for Naval Analyses
CIA World Factbook 2005
Contemporary Southeast Asia
Global Insight
International Chamber of Commerce
International Energy Agency
Kivimäki, Timo; Odgaard, Liselotte; and Tønnesson, Stein. “What Could be Done?” in War or Peace in the South China Sea ?.
København: NIAS Press, 2002.
Opinion Asia
Sinocast China Daily
South China Morning Post
Stratfor
U.S. Energy Information Administration
United Nations
Vietnam News
Xinhua News
Contact Info
[email protected]
(202)586-8800
[email protected]
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