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Stock Market Prediction and Analysis Using Naïve Bayes

Paper Title Stock Market Prediction and Analysis Using Naïve Bayes Authors Mahajan Shubhrata D., Deshmukh Kaveri V., Thite Pranit R., Samel Bhavana Y., Prof. Chate P.J Abstract The stock market is the most popular investing places for users. Because of its expected high profit. Recently forecasting stock market returns gaining more attention. The prediction of stock markets is regarded as a challenging task. Data analysis is the way of predicting future value. if future stocks prices will increase or decrease. The main objective of this paper is to predict future stock price using prediction concept. In that Parse Records then calculate predicted value and send to user. And automatically perform operations like purchase and sale shares using Automation concept. For that use Naïve Bayes Algorithm. There is Real time Access by Download log forms yahoo finance website and Store in dataset. Keywords Shares, Artificial Neural Network; Naïve Bayes Algorithm;Automation; Prediction; Stock Market Citation/Export MLA Mahajan Shubhrata D., Deshmukh Kaveri V., Thite Pranit R., Samel Bhavana Y., Prof. Chate P.J, “Stock Market Prediction and Analysis Using Naïve Bayes”, November 16 Volume 4 Issue 11 , International Journal on Recent and Innovation Trends in Computing and Communication (IJRITCC), ISSN: 2321-8169, PP: 121- 124 APA Mahajan Shubhrata D., Deshmukh Kaveri V., Thite Pranit R., Samel Bhavana Y., Prof. Chate P.J, November 16 Volume 4 Issue 11, “Stock Market Prediction and Analysis Using Naïve Bayes”, International Journal on Recent and Innovation Trends in Computing and Communication (IJRITCC), ISSN: 2321-8169, PP: 121- 124

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742 views4 pages

Stock Market Prediction and Analysis Using Naïve Bayes

Paper Title Stock Market Prediction and Analysis Using Naïve Bayes Authors Mahajan Shubhrata D., Deshmukh Kaveri V., Thite Pranit R., Samel Bhavana Y., Prof. Chate P.J Abstract The stock market is the most popular investing places for users. Because of its expected high profit. Recently forecasting stock market returns gaining more attention. The prediction of stock markets is regarded as a challenging task. Data analysis is the way of predicting future value. if future stocks prices will increase or decrease. The main objective of this paper is to predict future stock price using prediction concept. In that Parse Records then calculate predicted value and send to user. And automatically perform operations like purchase and sale shares using Automation concept. For that use Naïve Bayes Algorithm. There is Real time Access by Download log forms yahoo finance website and Store in dataset. Keywords Shares, Artificial Neural Network; Naïve Bayes Algorithm;Automation; Prediction; Stock Market Citation/Export MLA Mahajan Shubhrata D., Deshmukh Kaveri V., Thite Pranit R., Samel Bhavana Y., Prof. Chate P.J, “Stock Market Prediction and Analysis Using Naïve Bayes”, November 16 Volume 4 Issue 11 , International Journal on Recent and Innovation Trends in Computing and Communication (IJRITCC), ISSN: 2321-8169, PP: 121- 124 APA Mahajan Shubhrata D., Deshmukh Kaveri V., Thite Pranit R., Samel Bhavana Y., Prof. Chate P.J, November 16 Volume 4 Issue 11, “Stock Market Prediction and Analysis Using Naïve Bayes”, International Journal on Recent and Innovation Trends in Computing and Communication (IJRITCC), ISSN: 2321-8169, PP: 121- 124

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International Journal on Recent and Innovation Trends in Computing and Communication ISSN: 2321-8169

Volume: 4 Issue: 11 121- 124


______________________________________________________________________________________
Stock Market Prediction and Analysis Using Nave Bayes

Mahajan Shubhrata D. Deshmukh Kaveri V. Thite Pranit R. Samel Bhavana Y.


B.E. Computer B.E.Computer B.E Computer B.E.Computer
BVCOEL BVCOEL BVCOEL BVCOEL
Pune,India Pune,India Pune,India Pune, India
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]

Prof. Chate P.J


Computer
BVCOEL
Pune, India
[email protected]

Abstract The stock market is the most popular investing places for users. Because of its expected high profit. Recently forecasting stock
market returns gaining more attention. The prediction of stock markets is regarded as a challenging task. Data analysis is the way of predicting
future value. if future stocks prices will increase or decrease. The main objective of this paper is to predict future stock price using prediction
concept. In that Parse Records then calculate predicted value and send to user. And automatically perform operations like purchase and sale
shares using Automation concept. For that use Nave Bayes Algorithm. There is Real time Access by Download log forms yahoo finance
website and Store in dataset.
Keywords- Shares, Artificial Neural Network; Nave Bayes Algorithm;Automation; Prediction; Stock Market
__________________________________________________*****_________________________________________________

I. INTRODUCTION
In Current System users daily checkout the shares details so it
is very time consuming process. Hence, in order to overcome
this process we are going to develop an application to make it
easier. We are covering processes like Daily checkout
websites & see the information about the shares. Stock Market
which handle the information about the share market.in this
system also maintain the details about the Company and
users.
In this system admin do the registration of the company.
Whenever required admin update the information about
company like shares. Admin see the list of company and send
messages to all users. User perform two operations like
purchase and sale the shares of company. In this system two
concepts like automation and prediction are used for improve Figure 1. Block Diagram of Stock Market System
the performance of the system. By using automation user set
fix price of share then shares are automatically sale or Figure 1 shows the block diagram of stock market system.
purchase. And prediction concept is used with Dummy and Following are the explanation of modules for stock market
real time prediction. by using dummy prediction we predict system.
the future price of share .and by using real time prediction we 1) Admin: Admin do the registration of company and
predict the current share price. users. Admin update the information about the
II. SYSTEM MODEL company whenever required. Admin see the list of
company and users. Also admin send the message to
In stock market system there are admin do the registration of
all users.
companies. User do the registration and then login to the
2) Company Registration: In Company registration
system. And see the profile and company details. And perform
some operations likes sales and purchase the shares. in this form contain registration phase for new Company.
system also perform automation and prediction to predict the Admin fill all the information about company like
shares future price and automatically perform the operations company name, shares, price etc. for sale and
like sale and purchase the shares. purchase share.
3) User Registration: In user registration form contain
registration phase for new User. Admin fill all the
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International Journal on Recent and Innovation Trends in Computing and Communication ISSN: 2321-8169
Volume: 4 Issue: 11 121- 124
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information about user like user name, address, Real-time Prediction: in real time prediction stakeholder
DOB etc. in that admin provide username and select company name and select date to view current shares
password to user. price of selected company.
4) Prediction: The possible market prediction goal can
IV. AUTOMATION CONCEPT
be the future stock price or the volatility of the
prices or market trend. In the prediction there are In automation stakeholder perform two operations like
two types like Dummy and Real time prediction. In purchase shares and sale the shares. In this system these
dummy prediction we define some rules and predict operations are perform automatically. When stakeholder Set
the future price of shares. In the real time prediction one fix price to sale the shares, after that system match price of
use internet and see current price of shares. shares& automatically perform sale operation. like that
5) Automation: in automation user perform two purchase operation is also performed. In that Set one fix price
operations like purchase and sale the shares. In that to purchase the shares, after that system match price of
shares& automatically perform purchase operation.
perform operations automatically. Set one price to
system after match it automatically purchase or sale V. NAVE BAYES ALGORITHM
the shares.
Nave Bayes algorithm is a classification technique
III. PREDICTION CONCEPT which generates Bayesian Networks for a given dataset based
on Bayes theorem. It assumes that the given dataset contains a
The possible market prediction goal can be the future stock
particular feature in a class which is unrelated to any other
price or the volatility of the prices or market trend. In the
feature. For example, an object is considered to be A because
prediction there are two types like Dummy and Real time
of some features. These features presence may depend on each
prediction used in stock market System. In Dummy prediction
other or on other features but all of the features presence
we define some rules and predict the future price of shares by
independently contribute to the probability that this object is
calculating average price. In the Real time prediction
A. and that is the reason it is known as Nave. Advantages
compulsory use internet and see current price of shares of
of Nave Bayes algorithm are it is easy to build and useful for
companies.
very large datasets and even known to outperform highly
sophisticated classification techniques. Following were the
important steps to be performed in this algorithm.
1. The given dataset is to be converted into a frequency
table. 2. Calculate probabilities of the events and
using the probabilities create Likelihood table.
2. Using the Naive Bayesian equation, calculate the
posterior probability for all classes.
3. The class with the highest posterior probability is the
outcome of prediction.
VI. BENEFITS OF SYSTEM
The benefits of stock market could include:
1. Making it easier for you and other investors -
including venture capitalists - to realize their
investment.
2. Increasing your public profile, and providing
reassurance to your customers and suppliers
3. Creating a market for the company's shares
4. Automatically sale or purchase shares using
Figure2.Block diagram of stock market prediction
automation concept.
Figure 2 shows the prediction of the stock market. In stock 5. Predict future price of share by using Dummy
market system here stakeholder share the personal details with prediction concept.
Admin after that admin do registration of stakeholder and 6. Predict current shares price by using Real-time
company. After that stakeholder login the system and perform prediction concept.
the prediction operation. 7. Reduce stakeholders time.
Prediction system: in this system there are two types of 8. The system to be developed will help to find share
predictions are used. Dummy Prediction and Real time market value as per stakeholders need.
prediction. 9. System maintains the details about the stakeholder
and companies and also easily views all details of
Dummy Prediction: in Dummy prediction stakeholder select company and stakeholder.
date and company name and take decision depend on profit or
loss. When there are profit then stakeholder sale shares. And if
loss then stakeholder purchase shares. After that send alert to
stakeholder and predict the future price (threshold).
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International Journal on Recent and Innovation Trends in Computing and Communication ISSN: 2321-8169
Volume: 4 Issue: 11 121- 124
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VII. RELATED WORK algorithm is used. Hence the system willbe able to give highest
probability predictions for particular shares.
K. Senthamarai Kannan, P. Sailapathi Sekar, M.Mohamed
Sathik and P. Arumugam, Financial Stock Market Forecast Dr.Debesh Bhowmik, STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY:
using Data Mining Techniques AN EVALUATION
Data mining is well founded on the theory that the The paper evaluated the stock market volatility. High
historic data holds the predicting the future direction. This indices of stock market in every aspect of measurement
technology is designed to help investors discover hidden implied less variability of volatility. Political turmoil or
patterns from the historic data that have probable predictive instability has negative impact on stock market. The stock
capability.The prediction of stock markets is regarded as a market volatility has the growth rate of a nation i.e. high
challenging task of financial time series prediction. Data volatility reduces growth rate. There is causality between
analysis is one way whitch is use for predicting the stock price them. Since stock market volatility brings the forth economic
if future stocks prices will increase or decrease. Five methods crisis and which has ultimately spill over on growth inversely
of analyzing stocks were combined to predict if the days to other countries as well. The international trade and stock
closing price would increase or decrease. This paper discussed market volatility is negatively related. that volatility reduces
various techniques which are able to predict with future the volume of trade and increases current account and capital
closing stock price will increase or decrease better than level also account deficits.
of significance.
Vishal Parikh, Parth Shah, Stock Prediction and Automated
QASEM A. AL-RADAIDEH, ADEL ABU ASSAF, EMAN Trading System
ALNAGI, Predicting Stock prices using data mining
Stock market is a very challenging and difficult task of
Technique.
financial data prediction. Prediction about stock market with
Forecasting stock return is an important that has attracted high accuracy movement yield profit for investors of the
researchers attention for many years. It involves an stocks. complexity of stock market financial data,
assumption that fundamental information publicly available in development of efficient models for prediction is very
the past has some predictive relationships to the future stock difficult, and it must be accurate. This develop for prediction
Returns. The decision taken will be based on decision tree of the stock market and to decide whether to purchase or sale
classifier which is one of the data mining techniques. To build the stock using data mining and machine learning techniques.
the System, the CRISP-DM methodology is used. The classification techniques used in these models are naive
bayes algorithm and random forest classification. Technical
Ruchi Desai,Snehal Gandhi, Stock Market Prediction
indicators are mostly calculated from the stock prices based on
Using Data Mining time-line data. and it is used as inputs of the proposed
prediction models. Based on the data set, these models are
Data mining is the historic data holds the essential memory
capable to generate purchase or sale signal for stock market as
for predicting the future values. This technology is designed to
a output. The main goal of this paper is to generate decision as
help investors.that have probable predictive capability in their
per users requirements.
investment decisions in the market. The prediction of stock
markets is regarded as a challenging task of financial time SayaliMetkar , Akash Bhagyawant , VrushaliBagul, Stock
series prediction. Data analysis is important for predicting Market Prediction and Automation of Sale Purchase Event
when future stocks prices will increase or decrease. Also, it using History Analysis.
investigated various global events and their issues predicting
This paper provides support on the predictive power of online
on stock markets. Text mining approach is also used for
area traffic with the regard to stock prices. Using the largest
measuring the effect of real timenews on stock. It uses
dataset to date, straddling 8 years and almost the complete set
different techniques to predict ups and downs in the stock
of stocks, we guide a classifier using a set of features witch are
market.In this paper, the changes of stocktrend by analyzing
entirely extracted from web traffic data of financial online
the influence of non-quantifiable information.
communities. The classifier is shown to break the predictive
G.S.Navale, NishantDudhwala, KunalJadhav, Prediction of power of a baseline classifier based on cost time-series, and to
Stock Market using Data Mining and Artificial Intelligence have related performances as the classifier built considering
price and traffic features collectively. The predictive
In the stock market Predicting anything is very hard where performances are achieved when the information about stock
the relationship between inputs and outputs are non-linear in capitalization is joined with long-terms, and midterm web
nature. The prediction of stock market values is one of a
traffic levels. In the subsequent part of the paper we show how
challenging task of financial time series. Mostly the online
there exists a group of users whose traffic patterns constantly
applications are use for buying andselling the shares in high
do better. The result set interesting future works in the
amounts these days. The next step of this web application will
explanation of novel market indicators for market scrutiny.
be not just registering, buying and selling the shares but it will
also be predicting the future shares values in the market. We VIII. CONCLUSION
are proposing the system which will studythe database of
The studies reveal a high potential of Nave Bayes Algorithm
shares and will give predictions according to it. For prediction
in predicting the return on investment in the share market.
particularly ARMA(autoregressive-moving-average)
Already, we know the evaluation of the return on investment

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_______________________________________________________________________________________
International Journal on Recent and Innovation Trends in Computing and Communication ISSN: 2321-8169
Volume: 4 Issue: 11 121- 124
______________________________________________________________________________________
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gratitude to respected guide Prof Chate P.J in Department of Classification,2007
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