Illustrative Example of Intangible Asset Valuation: Shockwave Corporation
Illustrative Example of Intangible Asset Valuation: Shockwave Corporation
Illustrative Example of Intangible Asset Valuation: Shockwave Corporation
Intangible Asset
Valuation
Shockwave Corporation
This presentation contains general information only and none of Deloitte Touche
Tohmatsu, its member firms, or affiliates (Deloitte), by means of this
presentation or its publication, rendering accounting, business, financial, tax,
legal, investment or other professional advice or service. The opinion expressed
within this presentation are my own and do not necessarily represent positions,
strategies or opinions of Deloitte, nor The Canadian Institute of Chartered
Business Valuators. This is not an official presentation from Deloitte. The
presentation is for general information purposes only and should not be
considered as a substitute for professional advice and counsel.
Overview
1. Valuation process
2. Methodology Recap:
Reflief from Royalty
Excess Earnings
Cost
Greenfield
With or Without
3. Illustrative Example Shockwave Case Study
Tradenames
Content
Workforce
License
Customers
Technology
4. Reasonability
Weighted Average Return on Assets
Valuation Process
Value
Conclusion
Reasonableness Step 7
Diligence Step 5
Identification
Step 4
Scoping Step 3
Valuation
Purpose Step 2
Step 1
2 1
t Revenue
FV = PV(r) x
t=0
4
Royalty (1 tax) Diligence Matters
Key Inputs
3
1 Revenue forecast associated with the Revenues that are not attributable to the intangible
intangible asset being valued (i.e. non-brand product revenues)
Excess Earnings
Description Frequent Applications
Cost
Description Frequent Applications
1
Replacement Cost New
Key Inputs
2 Obsolescence Factors Diligence Matters
1 All hypothetical costs that are needed to recreate Inclusion/exclusion of any overhead costs and the
the asset including materials and labour allocation rate used;
2 Adjustment factors to reduce the replacement Inclusion of opportunity costs;
cost to the functional, economic, and Functional, economic, and technological adjustment
technological condition of the subject asset factor assumptions
Inclusion of taxes or tax shield
With or Without
Description Frequent Applications
1 4
3 Revenue 6 Revenue 7
t
Expenses PV3(r)
t
Expenses
FV = PV1(r) PV2(r) + Tax
t=0 t=0
2 CapEx/WC 5 CapEx/WC Benefit
Key Inputs Diligence Matters
Taxes Taxes
1 Free cash flow forecast for business with asset
2
Identification of incremental income
Enterprise-wide discount rate
Length of recreation period and pattern of ramp-up
3 Expected life of business
Assumption around competition and market share
4 Free cash flow forecast excluding subject asset
Cost of recreation
5 Enterprise-wide discount rate excluding asset
Incremental risk to business cost of capital excluding
6 Expected period to replace asset + costs
asset
7 Tax amortization benefit (asset values, tax
rates, tax amortization rates)
Greenfield
Description Application
Estimates the value of the asset based on the Non primary income generating assets
discounted cashflows of a notional start-up business Licenses and permits;
with no assets but the subject intangible.
Rights (i.e. Water, cutting, mining)
Franchise agreements
1
2 Revenue 4
t
Expenses PV(r)
FV = PV(r) + Tax
t=0
3 CapEx/WC Benefit
Key Inputs Diligence Matters
Taxes
> WACC
> cost of equity
Goodwill
> returns on
other assets
Cost of equity
ENTERPRISE VALUE
Equity
In between rates
Risk
Intangible Assets for tangible
asset backing
and goodwill
Lease rates
Mortgage rates
Fixed assets
Asset-backed
lending rates
Debt
Short-term
Working Capital
borrowing rate
Reward
12 OECD TP WP6: Illustrative Example of Intangible Asset Valuation Deloitte
THE CANADIAN INSTITUTE & Touche LLP
OF CHARTERED and affiliated
BUSINESS entities.
VALUATORS
Illustrative Example
Shockwave Corporation
13
Introduction Methodology Recap Illustrative Example Conclusion
Shockwave Corporation is Canadas largest satellite radio provider. Shockwave commenced operations five
years ago when the Canadian government granted satellite spectrum licenses to four Canadian start-ups
seeking to cultivate a then burgeoning industry for Canada. Since that time, precipitated by the accelerating
wireless data needs of telecommunication industry technology, the government has stated that it will not be
licensing any new spectrum for satellite radio, but may approve the sale or transfer of existing spectrum.
Shockwave generates its revenue from monthly subscriptions to consumers sourced via a direct retail sales
channel (i.e. direct mail, print and television advertisements, billboards, and retail in-store kiosks).
Shockwave does not manufacture the satellite radio receivers used by consumers, but transmits signals that
can be received by a unit once the unit is registered/activated as an Shockwave unit.
After five years of research and development activities, Shockwave developed a proprietary software
technology for the transmission of on-demand radio content. As a result, Shockwave created six new on-
demand premium subscription stations exclusively broadcasting educational programs covering Parenting,
Finance, History, Motivational topics, Biographies, and Cooking. This premium service is only offered to
customers that are on a regular subscription, and are not available separately. The success of this novel
business was immediate, generating incremental revenues of approximately $45 million last year.
Most of Shockwaves regular music and talk radio content is acquired from third-party sources, based on
normal recording industry royalty-based pay scales. However, for the exclusive broadcast on its premium on-
demand channels, Shockwave produced an archive of over 1,000 twenty- to sixty-minute proprietary programs
protected by copyright created via internal publishers and third-party consultants (i.e. doctors, professors, and
professionals).
Two of Shockwaves competitors operate in the B2B space, providing satellite radio content to the airline, and
commercial real estate industries, respectively. These competitors have unbranded product offerings.
14 OECD TP WP6: Illustrative Example of Intangible Asset Valuation THE CANADIAN INSTITUTE OF CHARTERED BUSINESS VALUATORS
Introduction Methodology Recap Illustrative Example Conclusion
15 OECD TP WP6: Illustrative Example of Intangible Asset Valuation THE CANADIAN INSTITUTE OF CHARTERED BUSINESS VALUATORS
Introduction Methodology Recap Illustrative Example Conclusion
Historical Operations Cashflow Statement 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
1 Regular subscription revenues have grown from $100 1 Revenue Regular 102 305 508 813 900
million to $900 over the first 5 years of operations On-Demand 45
2 Cost of sales for regular subscriptions reflect normal 102 305 508 813 945
2
industry music content royalties and equate to 60% of COS Regular 56 168 279 447 495
revenues 3 On-Demand 20 40
56 168 279 467 535
3 Direct costs for On-Demand subscriptions represents a
non-variable cost and ranges between $800/min and Gross Profit 46 137 229 346 410
4 Operating Costs 10 15 40 60 80 85
$2,000/min for content development. Approximately
1,000 programs have been developed to date for a total 5 R&D 3 10 20 15 12
cost of $60 million 10 18 50 80 95 97
6 S&M 15 20 55 65 100 120
4 Operating, sales & marketing, and G&A expenses are
semi-variable in nature, approximately 60% of which is 4 G&A 5 5 10 15 20 24
labour costs (production, human resource, legal, sales, EBITDA (30) 3 22 69 131 169
marketing, finance, and executive), with the balance 3% 7% 14% 16% 18%
representing third-party consulting, marketing, Depreciation 53 74 87 92 96
professional and facilities costs. These costs increase EBIT (30) (50) (52) (18) 38 73
pro-rata with On-Demand revenues Taxes
Depreciation - (53) (74) (87) (92) (96)
5 Shockwave incurred approximately $60 million in R&D
spending to develop the On-Demand technology Capex 200 170 150 120 110 110
platform over a 5 year period Working Capital 8 16 16 24 11
(230) (175) (144) (68) (4) 48
6 General brand marketing costs approximate 2/3rds of
the total sales and marketing spend, which approximates
7 Statement of Financial Position
12% to 13% of revenues Net Working Capital 76 Net Debt 400
7 Financial position includes $76 million of working capital, Broadcasting PP&E 438 Equity 114
$438 million of PP&E, and $400 million of net debt Total Assets 514 Liabilities & Equity 514
16 OECD TP WP6: Illustrative Example of Intangible Asset Valuation THE CANADIAN INSTITUTE OF CHARTERED BUSINESS VALUATORS
Introduction Methodology Recap Illustrative Example Conclusion
Acquisition Forecast Cashflow Statement 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Residual
1
1 Regular subscription revenues are expected to grow Revenue Regular 945 992 1,042 1,094 1,149 1,206
5% annually 2 On-Demand 71 99 104 109 115 121
1,016 1,091 1,146 1,203 1,264 1,327
2 On-Demand subscriptions are expected to increase
3 COS Regular 520 546 573 602 632 663
from 5% of the customer-base in 2010 to 7.5% in 2011,
On-Demand 30 30 30 35 35 35
before leveling at 10% beyond 2012 550 576 603 637 667 698
3 Approximately $30 million of On-Demand content will Gross Profit 466 516 543 567 597 628
be developed annually to replace the 1/3rd that will 4 Operating Costs 100 103 105 108 110 113
become obsolete annually, and grow the business 5 R&D 12 12 13 13 13 14
112 115 118 121 124 127
4 Operating, Sales & Marketing, and G&A expenses are
S&M 137 140 144 148 151 155
expected to grow between 2%-3% annually 4
G&A 25 26 26 27 28 28
5 Due to continual technological changes in transmission EBITDA 192 235 255 272 294 318
and receiving technology, Shockwave re-writes 19% 22% 22% 23% 23% 24%
approximately 20% of the software's algorithm code on Depreciation 98 98 98 99 99 99
an annual basis EBIT 95 137 157 173 195 219
6
6 The Purchaser cannot avail themselves of historical tax Taxes 33 48 55 60 68 77
losses, and expects to pay taxes at a rate of 35% Depreciation (98) (98) (98) (99) (99) (99)
7
Capex 100 100 100 100 100 100
7 Capital expenditures are expected to replace 8 Working Capital 6 6 4 5 5 5
broadcasting equipment depreciating 20% annually 53 81 96 107 121 137
8 Non-cash working capital investments of 8% of 9 Long-term growth 2.5%
revenues Residual Value 1,438
Discount Periods 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 4.5
9 Long-term growth is expected to equal 2% to 3% 10 Discount Factor 12.0% 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6
The internal rate of return of 12% reflects a market-
10 Present Value 50 68 72 72 73 863
based WACC, an after-tax cost of debt between 5%-6% Enterprise Value 1,199
and a cost of equity between 15% to 16% Net Debt 400
Fair Value of Shares 799
17 OECD TP WP6: Illustrative Example of Intangible Asset Valuation THE CANADIAN INSTITUTE OF CHARTERED BUSINESS VALUATORS
Introduction Methodology Recap Illustrative Example Conclusion
Subscribers are renewing at a rate of 80% Approximately 2/3rds of S&M costs are
annually, which is consistent with other marketing related, with 1/3rd attributable to new
Customers marketplace participants customer acquisition and selling costs
Management could recreate the technology Given the annual updates to 20% of the
On-Demand at the same cost, with an accelerated technology, the estimated life of the existing
development timetable of 3 rather than 5 technology approximates 5 years
Technology years
Given the newness of the industry, new Capital providers for radio start-ups expect a
entrants would follow the same pattern of return on investment of approximately 20%
License market share growth once licensed. Operating costs in 2005 related to licensing
activities
Approximately 20% of the content Costs approximate $1000/min for parenting &
On-Demand developed in 2010 is outdated, and 5% of health modules (30 min), $1,500/min for 30 min
the content is inactive/unused finance & motivational modules and 60 min
Content biographies, and $2,500 for 60 min history
modules
Recruiting costs for operations staff New hires are 50% as productive as existing
approximate 10% of salary, 15% for R&D and staff over a 6 month training period for R&D
Workforce S&M staff, and 20% for G&A staff and G&A staff, and a 3 month period for
operations and S&M staff
18 OECD TP WP6: Illustrative Example of Intangible Asset Valuation 2009 Deloitte
THE CANADIAN INSTITUTE OF CHARTERED Touche Tohmatsu
BUSINESS VALUATORS
Introduction Methodology Recap Illustrative Example Conclusion
1
2
Replacement Depreciated
Module # of Cost/Min Cost New Replacement
Type (Mins) Modules ($) ($mill) Outdated Inactive Cost ($mill)
Parenting 30 150 1,000 4.5 15 8 3.8
Health 30 175 1,000 5.3 18 9 4.5
Finance 30 300 1,500 13.5 100 20 8.1
Motivational 30 125 1,500 5.6 13 6 4.8
Biographies 60 100 1,500 9.0 25 5 6.3
History 60 150 2,500 22.5 25 8 17.6
1,000 60.4 195 55 45.1 5
4
2 3
WARA -- With or Without Approach WARA -- Excess Earnings Approach (Indefinite Life) WARA -- Excess Earnings Approach (Finite Life)
Return Contribution Return Contribution Return Contribution
Asset Value (After-tax) to WACC Asset Value (After-tax) to WACC Asset Value (After-tax) to WACC
1 Working Capital 76 2.9% 0.2% Working Capital 76 2.9% 0.2% Working Capital 76 2.9% 0.2%
Fixed Assets 438 6.5% 2.4% Fixed Assets 438 6.5% 2.4% Fixed Assets 438 6.5% 2.4%
2
Brand 198 16.5% 2.7% Brand 198 16.5% 2.7% Brand 198 16.5% 2.7%
3 Technology 161 13.5% 1.8% Technology 123 16.5% 1.7% Technology 68 13.5% 0.8%
Content 38 15.0% 0.5% Content 33 15.0% 0.4% Content 33 15.0% 0.4%
4 Customers 175 15.0% 2.2% Customers 175 15.0% 2.2% Customers 175 15.0% 2.2%
License 32 15.5% 0.4% License 28 15.5% 0.4% License 28 15.5% 0.4%
Workforce 24 13.5% 0.3% Workforce 21 13.5% 0.2% Workforce 21 13.5% 0.2%
Goodwill 80 22.9% 1.5% Goodwill 108 20.3% 1.8% Goodwill 163 20.3% 2.8%
Enterprise Value 1,199 WACC 12.0% Enterprise Value 1,199 WACC 12.0% Enterprise Value 1,199 WACC 12.0%
Goodwill rate of return Build vs. Buy Working Capital 75 2.9% 0.2%
Development risk Existing finite life LT Debt 325 6.0% 1.6%
vs indefinite future Equity 800 15.5% 10.3%
Incremental risk to overall development
business without technology,
1,200 12.0% 12.0%
rights
including residual value
QUESTIONS?