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Forecasting: Modul 1

This spreadsheet was created by POM, QM or POM-QM for Windows to perform exponential smoothing forecasting. It contains demand data for 10 periods from October to September. For each period it shows the actual demand, forecasted demand using exponential smoothing, and error metrics like absolute error, squared error and percentage error. Overall statistics like bias, mean absolute deviation, mean squared error and mean absolute percentage error are also calculated to evaluate forecast accuracy.

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Balmuș Renato
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33 views2 pages

Forecasting: Modul 1

This spreadsheet was created by POM, QM or POM-QM for Windows to perform exponential smoothing forecasting. It contains demand data for 10 periods from October to September. For each period it shows the actual demand, forecasted demand using exponential smoothing, and error metrics like absolute error, squared error and percentage error. Overall statistics like bias, mean absolute deviation, mean squared error and mean absolute percentage error are also calculated to evaluate forecast accuracy.

Uploaded by

Balmuș Renato
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Modul 1

Forecasting Exponential smoothing


This
This spreadsheet
spreadsheet was
was created
created by
by either
either POM,
POM, QM
QM or
or POM-QM
POM-QM for Forecasting
for Windows,
Windows, V4.
V4.

2000
Alpha 0.2 1500
1000 Dem
Data Error Analysis
Value Fore
Period Demand Forecast Error 500
Absolute Squared
October 1696 1696 0
November 1796 1696 100 100 10000
December 1496 1716 -220 220 48400
Time
January 1596 1672 -76 76 5776
February 1396 1656.8 -260.8 260.8 68016.64
March 1646 1604.64 41.36 41.36 1710.65
April 1746 1612.912 133.088 133.088 17712.42
May 1446 1639.53 -193.5296 193.5296 37453.71
June 1496 1600.824 -104.8237 104.8237 10988
July 1396 1579.859 -183.8589 183.8589 33804.11
August 1606 1543.087 62.91285 62.91285 3958.026
September 1546 1555.67 -9.669723 9.669723 93.50355
Total -711.3211 1386.043 237913.1
Average -64.66555 126.0039 21628.46
Bias MAD MSE
SE 162.5878
Next period 1553.7358
orecasting
4.
4.

Demand
Forecast
|% Error|

0.055679
Time 0.147059
0.047619
0.186819
0.025128
0.076225
0.133838
0.070069
0.131704
0.039174
0.006255
0.919568
0.083597
MAPE

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