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Continuity Property of Probability

The document defines and proves the continuity property of probability. It states that for an increasing or decreasing sequence of events: 1) An increasing sequence is defined as events where each subsequent event contains the previous ones. A decreasing sequence is where each event is contained within the previous one. 2) A new event is defined as the union or intersection of all events in the sequence, respectively. 3) The proposition proved is that the probability of the new limiting event is equal to the limit of the probabilities of events in the sequence, whether increasing or decreasing.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
206 views1 page

Continuity Property of Probability

The document defines and proves the continuity property of probability. It states that for an increasing or decreasing sequence of events: 1) An increasing sequence is defined as events where each subsequent event contains the previous ones. A decreasing sequence is where each event is contained within the previous one. 2) A new event is defined as the union or intersection of all events in the sequence, respectively. 3) The proposition proved is that the probability of the new limiting event is equal to the limit of the probabilities of events in the sequence, whether increasing or decreasing.

Uploaded by

Thảo Nguyễn
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Continuity Property of Probability

Definition: A sequence of events <En> is said to be an increasing sequence if


E1 E2 E3 . A sequence of events <En> is said to be a decreasing sequence if
E1 E2 E3 . If <En> is an increasing sequence of events, we define a new event, denoted

by lim E n , by lim E n E n . If <En> is a decreasing sequence of events, we define a new


n n
n 1

event, denoted by lim


n
E n , by lim E n
n
E . n
n 1


Proposition: If <En> is either an increasing or decreasing sequence of events, then
lim P E n P lim E n .
n n

Proof: First, suppose that <En> is an increasing sequence of events, and define a new sequence
C
n 1

of events <Fn> by: i) F1 = E1, and ii) Fn E n E i E n E nC1 , for n > 1. Then <Fn> is an
i 1
n n

increasing sequence of mutually exclusive events such that F i E , and i F i E i , for


i 1 i 1 i 1 i 1

all n 1. Thus


n
n
n

P F i P E i P Fi lim P Fi lim P F i lim P E i lim P E n ,
i 1 i 1 i 1
n
i 1
n
i 1 n
i 1 n

proving the result when the sequence is increasing.

Now suppose that <En> is a decreasing sequence of events. Then E nC is an increasing




sequence of events. From the preceding equations, we have P E C
n lim P E nC . But since
n 1 n

C

C


, or equivalently

E C
E , we see that P E n lim P E nC
n n n
n 1 n 1 n 1




1 P E n lim 1 P E n , or P E n lim P E n , so that

n 1 n
n 1 n

P lim E n lim P E n , proving the result when the sequence is decreasing.


n n
#

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