Stylam IDBI Capital 200516
Stylam IDBI Capital 200516
Stylam IDBI Capital 200516
COMPANY
COMPANY
Stylam Industries
REPORT
REPORT Decorating path for sustainable growth BUY
Nifty: 7,783; Sensex: 25,340 Summary
Stylam Industries Ltd. (Stylam), manufacturer of high pressure decorative laminates for home and
CMP Rs230 industry use, derives over 70% of revenue from export market from over 60 countries. The company is
Target Price Rs355 doubling its capacity to nearly 12 mn sheets with a greenfield project at an estimated capex of ~Rs600
Potential Upside/Downside +54% mn, which is likely to complete by July 2016. Almost 35% of the new capacity is dedicated to wider
sheet (14ftX6ft), where Stylam would be pioneer in India and has a huge demand in export market
(commands 10%-15% premium over regular sheets). Further, the company is strengthening its
presence in domestic market with direct penetration (gradually phasing out distributors), giving better
margin and higher brand recall. The company opened 25 branches within a couple of years and likely
to expand upto 40 within a year. Further, implementation of GST would change the landscape of
Key Stock Data entire highly unorganized (65%) industry and could act as a key catalyst for significant re-rating. As the
major capex is getting over along with improving working capital & return ratio, FCF is set to improve
Sector Consumer Discretionary from FY18. Its revenue/EBITDA/PAT has grown at a CAGR of 27%/30%/50% during FY12-FY15 and we
expect it to grow at 23%/27%/29% during FY15-FY18. The stock is currently trading at a P/E of
Bloomberg / Reuters SYIL IN/STYL.BO
11.8x/8.4x to FY17E/FY18E earnings. Initiate with a BUY rating (TP Rs355/share on P/E multiple of 13x
Shares o/s (mn) 7.3 FY18E; 54% upside).
Market cap. (Rs mn) 1,678
Market cap. (US$ mn) 25
Investment rationale and outlook
3-m daily average vol. 15,020 Doubling capacity, change in product-mix to drive growth
Stylam, one of the top 3 laminate exporters in India, has a strong presence in both domestic and
international market (contributes 70% in total revenue). The company is doubling its capacity at a
capex of Rs600 mn, likely to complete by July 2016. Total capacity would increase to over 12 mn
sheets post expansion. The company expects utilization to reach 50% for new plant within a period
of six months due to introduction of new product (14ftX6ft wider sheet) which has strong demand
Price Performance in export market and commands a premium of 10%-15% from regular products.
Change in strategy for domestic market yielded healthy result
52-week high/low Rs244/82
The company is strategically moving towards end-users by opening their own depots in domestic
-1m -3m -12m market (eliminating distributors). They have currently opened 25 stores primarily North and Eastern
Absolute (%) 4 25 126 region in the span of just two years. It has resulted in higher margin and better brand recall which
also translated into higher volume in FY16. Overall, contribution from domestic market has gone up
Rel to Sensex (%) 6 18 134
to 30% in 9MFY16 from 20% in FY14. The company expects to increase the number of depots to 40
within a year and expects domestic contribution to go up to 40% by 2020.
Margins to sustain; better earning visibility post capex
The benefit of lower chemical cost, better volume growth (due to capacity expansion) along with
the combination of debt reduction process (gradually) and continues focus on working capital
Shareholding Pattern (%) management (112 days in FY13 to 75 days in FY16 and further 61 days in FY18E) would give strong
boost to the earnings.
Promoters 58.8 Major capex to over H1FY17; benefit to accrue fully in FY18
FIIs 1.8 As major capex is getting over by Q2FY17, the visibility of improvement in return ratios and free
cash flow persist. OCF/FCF should improve to Rs148/128 mn in FY18 from Rs10 mn/(Rs115 mn) in
Non Promoter Corporate 5.9
FY15. ROE/ROCE is expected to improve to 25.4/18.8% in FY18 from 23.9/15.8% in FY15.
Public & Others 33.5
Initiate coverage with BUY recommendation and a TP of Rs355
Its revenue/EBITDA/PAT has grown at a CAGR of 27%/30%/50% during FY12-FY15 and we expect it
to grow at 23%/27%/29% during FY15-FY18E. The stock is currently trading at a P/E of 11.8x/8.4x to
Relative to Sensex FY17E/FY18E earnings. Initiate with a BUY rating with a TP Rs355/share (based on P/E multiple of
300 13x on FY18E), which offers 54% upside from current level.
250
200
Table: Financial snapshot (Rs mn)
150
100
Year Revenue EBITDA EBITDA (%) Adj. PAT EPS (Rs) P/E (x) EV/EBITDA (x) RoE (%) RoCE (%)
50 FY15 2,138 224 10.5 94 12.8 18.0 11.0 23.9 15.8
May-15
May-16
Feb-15
Mar-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-15
Jun-15
Apr-16
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Nov-15
Jul-15
FY16E 2,389 287 12.0 120 16.4 14.1 9.4 24.0 16.7
FY17E 3,010 351 11.7 144 19.6 11.8 8.2 22.9 16.1
SYIL Sensex
FY18E 3,998 455 11.4 201 27.3 8.4 6.0 25.4 18.8
Source: Capitaline
Source: Company; IDBI Capital Research
Company Report Stylam Industries
UK, 16%
Others, 25%
Singapore, 10%
2
Company Report Stylam Industries
3,000 90%
73% 73% 74% 80% 76%
68% 68% 80%
2,500 67%
70%
2,000 60%
Rs mn)
50%
1,500
40%
1,000 30%
20%
500
602 765 1,069 1,551 1,639 1,672 2,106 2,765 10%
0 0%
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Export revenue (Rs mn) % of total gross revenue
Larger width
product
20%
Smaller width
product
80%
3
Company Report Stylam Industries
Contribution from domestic market improved to 30% from 20% within 2 years
The company opened nearly 25 own depots since FY15 primarily in Northern and Western region like Punjab,
Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and also have little presence in Southern
market which includes Chennai and Bangalore. Consequently, domestic market also started marking a
significant contribution which is expected to increase to nearly 30% in FY16 from 20% in FY14. The company is
planning to increase its own presence in at least 40 cities within a year and expects contribution from domestic
business to increase further to nearly 40% by FY18.
Figure: Revenue from domestic market and contribution
1,600 32% 32% 33% 35%
1,400 27% 27% 26% 30%
1,200 24%
25%
1,000 20%
20%
Rs mn)
800
15%
600
400 10%
200 5%
226 288 378 378 516 801 1,009 1,378
0 0%
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Domestic revenue (Rs mn) % of total gross revenue
60
52.4
50
41.9
40 33.9 34.9
(Lakh sheets)
31.5
25.3 27.3
30
20.8 21.0
17.5 17.5
20
11.4 11.4 10.0
9.0 8.4
10
0
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Domestic volume Export volume
4
Company Report Stylam Industries
60
40
20
0
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
5
Company Report Stylam Industries
6
Company Report Stylam Industries
Figure: Wood panel Industry (FY15 Rs 247bn) Figure: Laminates Sector - Market size and trend
Veneers, 2 80 72
Particle 0
board, 20 70 65
58
60 51
MDF, 15 50 42 45
38 40
Rs bn
40
30
20
Laminates, Plywood, 1
10
42 50
0
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17E
FY18E
Source: Company; IDBI Capital Research Source: Company; IDBI Capital Research
Figure: Branch offices for key players Figure: Organised Market share : Player-wise
Rushil Others, 10
Dcor, 7% % Greenlam,
Merino
31%
19
Royal
Century Ply Touch, 7%
35
Stylam, 8%
Stylam
Greenlam
25
Ind
29
Century
Ply, 11% Merino, 26
%
Source: Company; IDBI Capital Research Source: Company; IDBI Capital Research
Marino Laminates (Merino), has a market share of nearly 26% in organized space which has a capacity of
almost 13mn sheets per annum placed in three locations in India (Ghaziabad, Haryana and Tamilnadu). The
company has over 19 branch offices and exporting to over 60 countries. The company has more than 10,000
designs and textures and has strong brand recall in domestic market.
7
Company Report Stylam Industries
Exports, 20%
Residential, 35%
Commercial, 45%
The growth of laminate industry is primarily led by increasing demand from housing sector. As per the study done
by Ministry of Housing and Urban Poverty Alleviation, total housing shortages was estimated at almost 18.8 mn at
the end of March 2012. We believe, with the governments focus on housing for all, with increasing affordability and
implementation of GST would continue to drive sectors growth.
Figure: Shortage in housing sector
Household living in
obsolescent houses
12%
Housing living in
cngestion nedds
new house
80%
Rising proportion of working age population and growing urbanization to drive growth
The average mean age in India is 24 years (Source: ASSOCHAM) with ~48% of population below the age of 25
years and ~92% below the age of 60 years in 2010. A young population with increasing urbanization will result
in high consumption demand growth over the next two decades. The % of working age group population
(between age group of 15-64) is expected to increase from ~64.6% in 2010 to ~67.6% by 2030. Over the next
two decades ~230 mn will be added to this group which will thus result in a sustained demand growth for the
new housing thus laminates.
8
Company Report Stylam Industries
1,800 60%
1,600 55%
1,400 50%
1,200 45%
(mn)
1,000 40%
800 35%
600 30%
400 25%
200 20%
0 15%
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Total population (mn) Percentage urban (%)
9
Company Report Stylam Industries
Particulars Revenues EBITDA (%) PAT (Rs mn) ROE (%) P/E (x) EV/EBITDA (x)
Mkt Cap
(Rs mn) FY16E FY17E FY18E FY16E FY17E FY18E FY16E FY17E FY18E FY17E FY18E FY17E FY18E FY17E FY18E
Stylam Ind. 1,693 2389 3010 3998 12.0 11.7 11.4 120.4 144.0 201.2 22.9 25.4 11.8 8.4 8.2 6.0
Century Ply
36,625 3434 4018 4701 15.8 15.7 15.6 447.3 523.3 612.3 31.6 29.0 18.9 16.2 11.99 10.3
(Laminates only)
Greenlam Ind 14,584 10181 11726 13276 13.1 12.4 12.0 400.0 460 520 18.8 24.9 31.7 28.0 13.3 12.2
Figure: Peers Distribution network (FY16E) Figure: Peers A/O Ratio (FY16E)
16,000 6
14,500 5.6
14,000
12,000 5
12,000
4
10,000
8,000 7,000 3
6,000 2.0
2
4,000 1.4
2,000 1
0 0
Stylam Ind Century Ply* Greenlam Ind Stylam Ind Century Ply* Greenlam Ind
10
Company Report Stylam Industries
Figure: Peers W.Capital cycle (FY16E) Figure: Peers D/E & Interest Coverage ratio (FY16E)
80 75 6.0
70 5.2
70 5.0
60
4.0 3.4
50 2.8
41
3.0
40
1.8
30 2.0
1.1
0.9
20 1.0
10 0.0
0 Stylam Ind Century Ply* Greenlam Ind
Stylam Ind Century Ply* Greenlam Ind D/E Interest coverage ratio
11
Company Report Stylam Industries
Financial Matrix
Table: Financial Summary (Rs mn)
Particulars FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Domestic volume (Lakh sheets) 11.4 11.4 8.4 10.0 17.5 21.0 27.3
YoY growth (%) 26.2 0.0 (26.2) 19.7 74.4 20.0 30.0
Domestic revenue 287.5 378.0 377.8 516.1 801.0 1,009.2 1377.6
YoY growth (%) 27.0 31.5 0.0 36.6 55.2 26.0 36.5
Export volume (lakh sheets) 20.8 25.3 31.5 33.9 34.9 41.9 52.4
YoY growth (%) 18.8 21.8 24.3 7.7 3.0 20.0 25.0
Export revenue 765.3 1,068.9 1,550.7 1,639.4 1,671.7 2,106.3 2764.5
YoY growth (%) 27.2 39.7 45.1 5.7 2.0 26.0 31.3
Total net revenue 1,041.7 1,402.1 1,849.4 2,138.2 2,388.8 3,009.9 3997.7
YoY growth (%) 25.3 34.6 31.9 15.6 11.7 26.0 32.8
EBITDA 101.4 124.6 179.7 224.0 286.6 350.7 455.1
EBITDA margin (%) 9.7 8.9 9.7 10.5 12.0 11.7 11.4
YoY growth (%) 127.2 22.8 44.2 24.7 27.9 22.4 29.8
Net profit 28.2 40.7 68.4 94.0 120.4 144.0 201.2
NPM margin (%) 2.7 2.9 3.7 4.4 5.0 4.8 5.0
YoY growth (%) (25.1) 44.5 68.0 37.6 28.0 19.6 39.7
EPS (Rs) 3.8 5.2 9.3 12.8 16.4 19.6 27.3
Source: Company; IDBI Capital Research
12
Company Report Stylam Industries
(Rs mn)
2,500 1,009
2,155 20%
2,000 1,929 801
378 516
1,447 15% 15%
1,500 12% 2,765
828 1,052 378 10%
1,000 288 2,106
226 1,551 1,639 1,672
500 1,069 5%
602 765
0 0%
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Domestic revenue (Rs mn) Export revenue (Rs mn) % growth - total gross revenue
Higher contribution from export and better cost management lifted profits
Contribution from export market increased from 73% in FY12 to 76% in FY15 which is a higher margin market.
Along with this better cost management helped Stylam to achieve EBITDA CAGR of 30% during FY12-FY15 while
EBITDA margin witnessed marginal improvement of 75bps. Also, due to the companys efforts to replace high
cost debt with low cost foreign debt bodes well for its earnings. PAT saw a CAGR of 49.5% during FY12-FY15.
Going forward, we expect the companys EBITDA to report a CAGR of 26.6% during FY15-FY18 with margin
expansion of 90bps owing to benefit from lower chemical prices. This is expected to translate into a PAT CAGR
of 28.8% during the period.
Figure: Raw material break up
Others
13%
Kraft paper
28%
Melamine resins
17%
8.0
15.0 5.4
6.0
10.0
4.0
5.0 2.0
1.3 3.8 5.2 9.3 12.8 16.4 19.6 27.3
0.0 0.0
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Adjusted PAT (Rs mn) EBITDA margin (%)
13
Company Report Stylam Industries
600 1.0
400
0.5
200
305 387 583 659 774 998 1,174 1,059
0 0.0
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY13
FY11
FY12
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
FY18E
FY15
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
14
Company Report Stylam Industries
200
150
100
50
0
Apr-08
Apr-09
May-10
May-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Jun-14
Jul-15
Mar-07
Nov-10
Nov-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Jan-15
Jan-16
Oct-07
Oct-08
Oct-09
1 yr fwd PE 3x 6x 9x 12x
15
Company Report Stylam Industries
Key risks
Delay in GST implementation: GST would be significantly positive for the company and for the entire sector
which would kill the unorganized players in a big way. This would be more positive for smaller players in
organized space as large player anyway enjoys the premium. Any delay in implementation of GST would be a
key risk to the growth of the company.
Change in consumer preference: Currently, wood panel industry is dependent on plywood, laminates, veneer
and MDF. Any change in consumer preference for MDF or veneer over laminates may hurt the companys
growth.
Foreign currency fluctuation: The companys almost 70% of revenue comes from export market where it has
exposure in US dollar and Euro. Any significant foreign exchange fluctuation on either side may impact the
companys revenue positively or negatively.
16
Company Report Stylam Industries
Annexure
Laminate Manufacturing process
Laminates can be broadly classified into two types High Pressure Laminates (HPL) and Low Pressure
Laminates (LPL). When it is manufactured under pressure of 70 to 100 bars and temperature of over 300
degree Fahrenheit, it is called HPL while LPL is developed under lower pressure of below 50 bars and higher
temperature of above 330 degree Fahrenheit. HPL generally have higher durability and it comes at higher price
compared to LPL. Manufacturing process is shown below:
Diagram: Laminate Manufacturing Process
17
Company Report Stylam Industries
Financial summary
Profit & Loss Account (Rs mn) Cash Flow Statement (Rs mn)
Year-end: March FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E Year-end: March FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Net sales 2,138 2,389 3,010 3,998 Pre-tax profit 139 183 218 305
Growth (%) 15.6 11.7 26.0 32.8 Depreciation 42 48 68 87
Operating expenses (1,914) (2,102) (2,659) (3,543) Tax paid (44) (61) (72) (101)
EBITDA 224 287 351 455 Chg in working capital (128) (61) (91) (141)
Growth (%) 24.7 27.9 22.4 29.8 Other operating activities 1 (0) (1) (2)
Depreciation (42) (48) (68) (87) CF from operations (a) 10 109 122 148
Capital expenditure (125) (333) (290) (20)
EBIT 182 238 282 368
Chg in investments - - - -
Interest paid (49) (71) (78) (80)
Other investing activities - - - -
Other income 6 15 14 17
CF from investing (b) (125) (333) (290) (20)
Pre-tax profit 139 183 218 305
Equity raised/(repaid) - - - -
Tax (45) (62) (74) (104)
Debt raised/(repaid) 99 227 175 (100)
Effective tax rate (%) 32.4 34.0 34.0 34.0
Dividend (incl. tax) - - (8) (13)
Net profit 94 120 144 201 Chg in minorities - - - -
Adjusted net profit 94 120 144 201 Other financing activities - - - -
Growth (%) 37.6 28.0 19.6 39.7 CF from financing (c) 99 227 167 (113)
Shares o/s (mn nos) 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 Net chg in cash (a+b+c) (16) 4 (1) 16
Sundry Debtors 336 375 442 548 RoE (%) 23.9 24.0 22.9 25.4
RoCE (%) 15.8 16.7 16.1 18.8
Cash and Bank 19 23 22 37
Turnover & Leverage ratios (x)
Loans and advances 88 98 124 164
Asset turnover 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.7
Total assets 1,495 1,863 2,221 2,385
Leverage factor 3.6 3.4 3.2 2.9
Net margin (%) 4.4 5.0 4.8 5.0
Shareholders' funds 441 561 697 885 Net Debt/Equity 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.2
Share capital 74 74 74 74 Working Capital & Liquidity ratios
Reserves & surplus 367 488 623 812 Inventory days 43 43 40 36
Total Debt 793 1,021 1,196 1,096 Receivable days 57 57 54 50
Secured loans 415 465 465 415 Payable days 25 25 25 25
Unsecured loans 378 556 731 681
Valuations
Other liabilities 16 18 19 22
Curr Liab & prov 244 263 309 382 Year-end: March FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Current liabilities 217 233 271 331 PER (x) 18.0 14.1 11.8 8.4
Provisions 27 30 38 50 Price/Book value (x) 3.8 3.0 2.4 1.9
Total liabilities 1,054 1,301 1,524 1,499 PCE (x) 12.4 10.0 8.0 5.9
Total equity & liabilities 1,495 1,863 2,221 2,385 EV/Net sales (x) 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.7
Book Value (Rs) 60 76 95 120 EV/EBITDA (x) 11.0 9.4 8.2 6.0
Source: Company; IDBI Capital Research
18
Company Report Stylam Industries
Notes
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19
Company Report Stylam Industries
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beneficially owns or controls, including the right to vote for directors, 1% of more of the equity shares of the subject issuer of a research report, the holdings does not include accounts managed
by IDBI Asset Management Company/ IDBI Mutual Fund.
IDBI Capital Market Services Limited established in 1993, is a wholly owned subsidiary of IDBI Bank Limited. IDBI Capital Market Services Limited is one of Indias leading brokerage and distribution
house.
IDBI Capital Market Services Limited is a corporate trading and clearing member of Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSE), and a dealer of the OTC
Exchange of India (OTCEI) and is also a SEBI registered Merchant Banker and Portfolio Manager. Our businesses include stock broking, services rendered in connection with distribution of primary
market issues and financial products like merchant banking, depository services and Portfolio Management.
IDBI Capital Market Services Limited is also a depository participant with National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) and is also a Mutual Fund Advisor registered with Association of Mutual
Funds in India (AMFI)
We hereby declare that our activities were neither suspended nor we have materially defaulted with any stock exchange authority with whom we are registered in last five years. However SEBI,
Exchanges and Depositories have conducted the routine inspection and based on their observations have issued advise letters or levied minor penalty on IDBI Capital for certain operational
deviations. We have not been debarred from doing business by any Stock Exchange / SEBI or any other authorities; nor has our certificate of registration been cancelled by SEBI at any point of
time.
We offer our research services to primarily institutional investors and their employees, directors , fund managers, advisors who are registered with us.
The Research Analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of Subject Company.
We or our associates may have received compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months. We or our associates may have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for
the subject company in the past 12 months. We or our associates may have received compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company
in the past 12 months. We or our associates may have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the
subject company in the past 12 months. We or our associates may have received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research
report.
Research Analyst or his/her relatives may have financial interest in the subject company. IDBI Capital Market Services Limited or its associates may have financial interest in the subject company.
Research Analyst or his/her relatives does not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of
publication of Research Report : IDBI Capital Market Services Limited or its associates may have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company at the end of the
month immediately preceding the date of publication of Research Report. The Subject Company may have been a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research
report.
Price history of the daily closing price of the securities covered in this note is available at nseindia.com and economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/stock-quotes.
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