Fish or Cut Bait
Fish or Cut Bait
Fish or Cut Bait
Assumption adjustment
New assumption Previous assumption
FY17F FY18F FY17F FY18F
Sales growth 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Gross margin (%) 15.3% 15.8% 15.0% 15.5%
SGA/Total revenue (%) 9.7% 9.7% 9.7% 9.7%
Effective interest rate (%) 3.5% 4.0% 3.5% 4.0%
Effective tax rate (%) 15.0% 18.0% 15.0% 18.0%
Net profit margin (%) 4.2% 4.4% 4.2% 4.4%
Source: Company data, Bloomberg, Krungsri Securities
Source: Company data and Krungsri Securities Source: Company data and Krungsri Securities
Export price of farmed salmon (NOK per kg) Farmed salmon price in Norway dropped sharply in 2011
due to abundant supply at that time
Ambient Seafood 15,920 16,902 14,036 15,621 15,307 14,178 15,198 17,261 14,733 13,852
Frozen & chilled seafood 10,551 11,760 10,852 11,159 13,197 15,099 12,225 13,152 15,138 15,317
Pet care and other business 3,953 4,110 3,718 3,861 4,098 4,057 3,833 4,028 5,257 4,381
Total sales value 30,423 32,772 28,606 30,642 32,602 33,333 31,257 34,441 35,128 33,550
Growth (YoY) 8% 3% 6% 2% 1% 7% 2% 9% 12% 1%
Gross Profit Margin 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Ambient Seafood 18.7% 15.1% 16.6% 19.8% 21.0% 17.1% 18.5% 19.9% 14.9% 14.0%
Frozen & chilled seafood 14.7% 11.9% 7.4% 10.5% 11.4% 12.5% 9.5% 8.3% 9.1% 9.6%
Pet care and other business 21.3% 16.6% 22.1% 23.9% 22.2% 10.2% 22.9% 22.3% 26.1% 29.7%
Gross Margin 17.2% 13.9% 13.8% 16.9% 17.3% 14.2% 15.5% 15.8% 14.1% 14.0%
Peer Comparison
Div
Market PE P/BV EPS Yield ROE Share Price
Cap (x) (x) G% (%) (%) Performance
BB Ticker Name US$ 17F 18F 17F 18F 17F 18F 17F 17F 1M 3M 6M YTD
TU TB THAI UNION GROUP PCL 2,909 15.5 13.8 2.2 2.0 25.0 12.8 3.2 12.9 8.1 5.9 1.9 1.9
002447 CH DALIAN YI QIAO SEA CUCUMB-A 1,297 25.7 21.8 3.0 2.7 (14.2) 22.7 1.6 18.5 1.0 1.8 0.2 (5.0)
1301 JP KYOKUYO CO LTD 304 25.3 21.9 2.2 2.1 25.3 21.9 1.6 18.5 11.5 15.6 16.2 15.4
2802 JP AJINOMOTO CO INC 11,595 27.3 22.5 2.1 2.0 (22.1) 21.5 1.3 8.4 (0.9) (4.2) 3.5 (2.4)
2319 HK CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO 7,915 26.3 19.6 2.8 2.5 (13.3) 34.5 0.7 4.9 4.4 4.4 6.2 4.8
CLR CN CLEARWATER SEAFOODS INC 498 16.4 15.3 N/A N/A (10.8) 7.4 N/A N/A (5.6) (4.8) (25.0) (11.0)
CNPF PM CENTURY PACIFIC FOOD INC 1,231 24.0 21.3 5.0 4.2 25.7 12.9 0.8 22.8 7.0 2.6 3.3 7.8
CPB US CAMPBELL SOUP CO 18,068 19.3 18.4 11.9 10.3 68.8 5.2 2.3 60.0 (5.1) (0.3) 7.2 (1.8)
GIS US GENERAL MILLS INC 35,473 20.0 18.4 7.8 7.8 8.2 8.3 3.2 33.9 (0.6) (3.7) (6.2) (1.0)
HRL US HORMEL FOODS CORP 18,739 21.2 20.4 3.9 3.6 (0.4) 4.1 1.9 18.8 (4.9) 2.3 (2.6) 1.8
MHG NO MARINE HARVEST 7,443 10.1 9.5 28.6 27.2 26.8 5.5 7.8 34.9 (0.9) (6.7) 10.2 (8.4)
NESN VX NESTLE SA-REG 238,391 21.7 20.3 3.5 3.3 27.6 7.1 3.2 16.4 5.7 6.1 (0.2) 4.9
VNM VN VIETNAM DAIRY PRODUCTS JSC 8,480 20.8 19.2 8.0 6.9 9.7 8.4 4.1 43.0 0.8 2.4 (3.6) 5.9
Average (simple) 21.1 18.6 6.7 6.2 12.0 13.3 2.6 24.4
Source: Bloomberg Krungsri Securities
Quarterly earnings
Unit: (Btm) 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Sales 33,333 31,257 34,441 35,128 33,550
Cost of sales 28,603 26,409 29,012 30,190 28,837
Gross profit 4,730 4,848 5,428 4,937 4,713
SG&A 3,465 3,394 3,366 3,066 3,350
Operating profit 1,265 1,454 2,062 1,872 1,363
FX gain/loss 128 264 32 (30) (181)
Other income 99 279 333 137 377
Other expense - - - - 272
Equity income 147 56 35 153 (51)
EBIT 1,639 2,054 2,462 2,131 1,236
Interest expense 452 329 263 361 488
EBT 1,187 1,725 2,199 1,771 748
Income tax 211 352 494 17 (280)
Minority interests 219 142 178 159 126
Net profit 757 1,231 1,527 1,594 902
Extra item (857) 149 81 210 (521)
Normalized profit 1,614 1,082 1,446 1,384 1,423
EPS (THB) 0.15 0.26 0.32 0.33 0.19
Ratio analysis
ADVANC BAFS BCP BIGC BTS CK CPN DRT DTAC DTC EASTW EGCO GRAMMY HANA
HMPRO INTUCH IRPC IVL KBANK KCE KKP KTB LHBANK LPN MCOT MINT MONO NKI
PHOL PPS PS PSL PTT PTTEP PTTGC QTC RATCH ROBINS SAMART SAMTEL SAT SC
SCB SCC SE-ED SIM SNC SPALI THCOM TISCO TKT TMB TOP VGI WACOAL
AAV ACAP AGE AHC AKP AMATA ANAN AOT APCS ARIP ASIMAR ASK ASP BANPU
BAY BBL BDMS BKI BLA BOL BROOK BWG CENTEL CFRESH CHO CIMBT CM CNT
COL CPF CPI CSL DCC DELTA DEMCO ECF EE ERW GBX GC GFPT GLOBAL
GUNKUL HOTPOT HYDRO ICC ICHI INET IRC KSL KTC LANNA LH LOXLEY LRH MACO
MBK MC MEGA MFEC NBC NCH NINE NSI NTV OCC OGC OISHI OTO PAP
PDI PE PG PJW PM PPP PR PRANDA PREB PT PTG Q-CON QH RS
S&J SABINA SAMCO SCG SEAFCO SFP SIAM SINGER SIS SITHAI SMK SMPC SMT SNP
SPI SSF SSI SSSC SST STA STEC SVI SWC SYMC SYNTEC TASCO TBSP TCAP
TF TGCI THAI THANA THANI THIP THRE THREL TICON TIP TIPCO TK TKS TMI
TMILL TMT TNDT TNITY TNL TOG TPC TPCORP TRC TRU TRUE TSC TSTE TSTH
TTA TTCL TTW TU TVD TVO UAC UT UV VNT WAVE WINNER YUASA ZMICO
Disclaimer
The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors Association ("IOD") regarding corporate governance is made pursuant to
the policy of the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission. The survey of the IOD is based on the information of a company listed on
the Stock Exchange of Thailand and the Market for Alternative Investment disclosed to the public and able to be accessed by a general public
investor. The result, therefore, is from the perspective of a third party. It is not an assessment of operation and is not based on inside
information. The survey result is as of the date appearing in the Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. As a result, the
survey result may be changed after that date or when there is any change to the relevant information. Nevertheless, Krungsri Securities Public
Company Limited does not confirm, verify, or certify the accuracy and completeness of such survey result.
Anti-corruption Progress Indicator 2015
Level 5: Extended
BCP CPN GYT PE PM PPP PT PTT PTTGC SAT SCC THANI TOP
Level 4: Certified
ADVANC AMANAH ASP AYUD BAFS BANPU BAY BBL BKI BLA BTS CFRESH CIMBT CNS
CSL DCC DRT DTC EASTW ECL EGCO ERW FSS GCAP HANA HTC IFEC INTUCH
IRPC IVL KBANK KCE KGI KKP KTB LANNA LHBANK MBKET MFC MINT MTI NKI
PPS PSL PTG PTTEP SABINA SCB SINGER SIS SNC SNP SSF SSI SSSC SVI
TCAP THCOM THRE THREL TISCO TMB TMD TNITY TOG TSTH
Level 2: Declared
2S ABICO AF AIRA AKP ALUCON AMARIN AMATA AOT APCO BEAUTY BFIT BH BKD
BLAND BROCK BRR BSBM BTNC CCP CI CSC CSR CSS EFORL EPCO ESTAR FE
FER FNS FVC GEL GLOBAL GUNKUL IEC IFS ILINK INET J JMT JUTHA K
KASET KBS KCAR KKC KSL KTECH L&E LALIN LTX M MALEE MBAX MBK MEGA
MILL MK MPG MTLS NCH NCL NNCL NPP OCC OCEAN PB PCA PDG PRINC
PSTC PYLON QH ROCK ROH RP RPC S&J SGP SIAM SKR SMG SMIT SORKON
SPACK SPPT SR SUSCO TAKUNI TEAM TF TIC TIP TIPCO TMC TMI TPA TPP
TRT TRU TRUE TSC TSI TTW TVD TVO TVT U UKEM UNIQ UWC VIBHA
VNG WIIK WIN XO
Level 1: Committed
AEONTS AFC AJ AMC AQUA ARIP AUCT BAT-3K BIG BJC BOL CBG CCET CCN
CGD CMR CPH CSP CTW DCON DRACO DSGT DTCI E EMC ESSO FOCUS FSMART
GIFT GLAND GRAND GREEN HFT HTECH IHL ITD JSP KDH KTIS KTP LEE LST
MAJOR MATCH MAX M-CHAI MDX MIDA ML MPIC NC NEP NWR OHTL PICO PK
PL PPM PRAKIT PRECHA PRIN RAM RICH RS SANKO SAUCE SAWAD SAWANG SCN SEAFCO
SF SHANG SIRI SMART SMM SOLAR SPG SPVI STA STAR SVH SVOA SWC TAPAC
TC TCCC TCJ TCOAT TH TKS TNH TNPC TPAC TPOLY TRC TRUBB TSE TTA
TTI TTL TTTM TWP TWZ UMS UPA UPOIC UTP UVAN VARO VI VIH VTE
WG
Disclaimer
The disclosure of the Anti-Corruption Progress Indicators of a listed company on the Stock Exchange of Thailand, which is assessed by
Thaipat Institute, is made in order to comply with the policy and sustainable development plan for the listed companies of the Office of the
Securities and Exchange Commission. Thaipat Institute made this assessment based on the information received from the listed company, as
stipulated in the form for the assessment of Anti-corruption which refers to the Annual Registration Statement (Form 56-1), Annual Report
(Form 56-2), or other relevant documents or reports of such listed company . The assessment result is therefore made from the perspective of
Thaipat Institute that is a third party. It is not an assessment of operation and is not based on any inside information. Since this assessment is
only the assessment result as of the date appearing in the assessment result, it may be changed after that date or when there is any change
to the relevant information. Nevertheless, Krungsri Securities Public Company Limited does not confirm, verify, or certify the accuracy and
completeness of the assessment result."
Reference
Level 5: Extended Extension of the anti-corruption policy to business partners in the supply chain, and disclosure of any current
investigations, prosecutions or closed cases
Level 4: Certified Audit engagement by audit committee or auditors approved by the office of SEC, and receiving certification or assurance
by independent external assurance providers (CAC etc.)
Level 3: Established Carrying out preventive measures, risk assessment, communication and training for all employees, including
consistent monitoring and review processes
Level 3A: Established by declaration of intent, Level 3B: Established by Commitment and Policy
Level 2: Declared Public declaration statement to participate in Thailand's private sector Collective Action Coalition Against Corruption
(CAC) or equivalent initiatives
Level 1: Committed Organizations statement or board's resolution to work against corruption and to be in compliance with all relevant laws
Krungsri Securities Public Company Limited
Headquarters
898 Ploenchit Tower, 3rd Floor, Ploenchit Road, Lumpini
Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330
Tel: 0-2659-7000 Fax: 0-2658-5699
Internet Trading: 0-2659-7777
Branches
Emporium Nakhon Pathom
662 Emporium Tower, Fl. 10, Sukhumvit 24 Road 67/1 Ratchadamnoen Road, Tambol Phra Pathom Jaedee,
Klongton, Klongtoey, Bangkok 10110 Amphur Muang, Nakhon Pathom 73000
Tel: 0-2695-4500 Fax: 0-2695-4599 Tel: 0-3427-5500-7 Fax: 0-3421-8989
Central Bangna Suphanburi
589/151 Central City Tower 1 Office, Fl. 27 249/171-172 Moo 5 Tambol Ta Rahad,
Bangna-Trad Road, Bangna, Bangkok 10260 Amphur Muang, Suphanburi, 72000
Tel: 0-2763-2000 Fax: 0-2399-1448 Tel: 0-3550-1234 Fax: 0-3552-2449
Rama II Nakhon Ratchasima
111/917-919 Rama II Road, Smaedum, 168 Chomphon Road, Tambol Nai Muang,
Bangkhuntien, Bangkok 10150 Amphur Muang Nakhon Ratchasima,
Tel: 0-2895-9575 Fax: 0-2895-9557 Nakhon Ratchasima 30000
Tel: 0-4425-1211-4 Fax: 0-4425-1215
Vibhavadi-rangsit
Bank of Ayudhya Public Company Limited Khon Kaen
123 Suntowers (B) Building, Vibhavadirangsit Road, 114 Sri Chan Road, Tambol Nai Muang,
Jompol, Jatujak, Bangkok 10900 Amphur Muang, Khon Kaen 40000
Tel: 0-2273-8388 Fax: 0-2273-8399 Tel: 0-4322-6120 Fax: 0-4322-6180
Chonburi Chiang Mai
64/17 Sukhumvit Road, Tambol Bang Plasoi, 70 Chang Phuak Road, Tambol Sri Phum
Amphur Muang, Chonburi 20000 Amphur Muang, Chiang Mai 50200
Tel: 0-3879-0430 Fax: 0-3879-0425 Tel: 0-5321-9234-6 Fax: 0-5321-9247
Hat Yai Branch Chiang Rai
90-92-94 Nipat U Tit Nueng Road,Tambol Hat Yai, 231-232 Thamalai Road, Tambol Wiang,
Amphur Hat Yai, Songkhla 90110 Amphur Muang, Chiang Rai 57000
Tel: 0-7422-1229 Fax: 0-7422-1411 Tel: 0-5371-6489 Fax: 0-5371-6490
Phitsanulok
275/1 Phichaisongkram Road, Tambol Nai Muang,
Amphur Muang, Phitsanulok 65000
Tel: 0-5530-3360 Fax: 0-5530-2580
Central line:
Analyst Team Sector Coverage 662-659-7000 E-mail
Naphat Chantaraserekul, Head of Research Energy, Petrochemical, Strategy ext. 5000 [email protected]
Kittisorn Pruitipat, CFA, FRM Construction
Property, ICT,Materials
Contractor ext. 5019 [email protected]
Jesada Techahusdin, CFA Banking, Consumer Finance, Insurance ext. 5004 [email protected]
Sunthorn Thongthip Insurance
Food, Insurance Strategy
Transportation, ext. 5009 [email protected]
Worrapong Tuntiwutthipong Electronic, Automotive, Commerce ext. 5016 [email protected]
Karun Intrachai Media
Renewable Energy ext. 5010 [email protected]
Teerapol Udomvej Healthcare, Tourism ext. 5012 [email protected]
Kitti Pitakteerabandit, Assistant Analyst
Artit Jansawang Mid - Small cap, MAI ext. 5005 [email protected]
Nalinee Praman, Assistant Analyst Mid - Small cap, MAI
Fax 662-658-5643
Definition of Ratings
OUTPERFORM - Stocks with an expected capital gain above 10% in the next 12 months for small-caps, above 5% for big-caps
NEUTRAL - Stocks with an expected capital gain between -10% and +10% in the next 12 months for small-caps, -5% to +5% for big-caps
UNDERPERFORM - Stocks with an expected capital gain below 10% in the next 12 months for small-caps, below 5% for big-caps
www.krungsrisecurities.com