Senate Hearing, 107TH Congress - Electricity Rates
Senate Hearing, 107TH Congress - Electricity Rates
Senate Hearing, 107TH Congress - Electricity Rates
10749
ELECTRICITY RATES
HEARING
BEFORE THE
COMMITTEE ON
ENERGY AND NATURAL RESOURCES
UNITED STATES SENATE
ONE HUNDRED SEVENTH CONGRESS
FIRST SESSION
ON
S. 26 S. 287
S. 80 Amdt. to S. 287
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COMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND NATURAL RESOURCES
FRANK H. MURKOWSKI, Alaska, Chairman
PETE V. DOMENICI, New Mexico JEFF BINGAMAN, New Mexico
DON NICKLES, Oklahoma DANIEL K. AKAKA, Hawaii
LARRY E. CRAIG, Idaho BYRON L. DORGAN, North Dakota
BEN NIGHTHORSE CAMPBELL, Colorado BOB GRAHAM, Florida
CRAIG THOMAS, Wyoming RON WYDEN, Oregon
RICHARD C. SHELBY, Alabama TIM JOHNSON, South Dakota
CONRAD BURNS, Montana MARY L. LANDRIEU, Louisiana
JON KYL, Arizona EVAN BAYH, Indiana
CHUCK HAGEL, Nebraska DIANNE FEINSTEIN, California
GORDON SMITH, Oregon CHARLES E. SCHUMER, New York
MARIA CANTWELL, Washington
(II)
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CONTENTS
STATEMENTS
Page
Abraham, Hon. Spencer, Secretary, Department of Energy ................................ 15
Baum, Stephen L., Chairman, President and CEO, Sempra Energy, San
Diego, CA .............................................................................................................. 66
Bingaman, Hon. Jeff, U.S. Senator from New Mexico .......................................... 5
Bryson, John E., Chairman, President and CEO, Edison International,
Rosemead, CA ....................................................................................................... 62
Burns, Hon. Conrad, U.S. Senator from Montana ................................................ 14
Campbell, Hon. Ben Nighthorse, U.S. Senator from Colorado ............................ 6
Cantwell, Hon. Maria, U.S. Senator from Washington ........................................ 13
Craig, Hon. Larry E., U.S. Senator from Idaho .................................................... 7
Feinstein, Hon. Dianne, U.S. Senator from California ......................................... 8
Fetter, Steven M., Managing Director, Global Power Group, Fitch, Inc., New
York, NY ............................................................................................................... 78
Hagel, Hon. Chuck, U.S. Senator from Nebraska ................................................. 12
He bert, Curt L., Jr., Chairman, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission ......... 48
Hecht, William F., Chairman, President and CEO, PPL Corporation, Allen-
town, PA ................................................................................................................ 73
Landrieu, Hon. Mary L., U.S. Senator from Louisiana ........................................ 13
Locke, Hon. Gary, Governor, State of Washington ............................................... 41
Martz, Hon. Judy, Governor, State of Montana .................................................... 45
Murkowski, Hon. Frank H., U.S. Senator from Alaska ....................................... 1
Smith, Hon. Gordon, U.S. Senator from Oregon ................................................... 11
Thomas, Hon. Craig, U.S. Senator from Wyoming ............................................... 15
Worthington, Bruce, Senior Vice President and General Counsel, PG&E Cor-
poration, San Francisco, CA ................................................................................ 70
APPENDIXES
APPENDIX I
Responses to additional questions .......................................................................... 91
APPENDIX II
Additional material submitted for the record ........................................................ 99
(III)
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ELECTRICITY RATES
U.S. SENATE,
COMMITTEE ON ENERGY
NATURAL RESOURCES,AND
Washington, DC.
The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 9:10 a.m., in room
SH216, Hart Senate Office Building, Hon. Frank H. Murkowski,
chairman, presiding.
OPENING STATEMENT OF HON. FRANK H. MURKOWSKI,
U.S. SENATOR FROM ALASKA
The CHAIRMAN. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. The Com-
mittee on Energy and Natural Resources will convene.
Today we have a very interesting panel led by the Honorable
Spence Abraham, one of our own, as Secretary of the U.S. Depart-
ment of Energy. We were chatting in the back room, and it oc-
curred to me that the responsibilities of the Department of Energy
were kind of what we thought the world looked like before Colum-
bus proved it was round: seemingly flat; it has no end. As a con-
sequence, I am not suggesting you are here to end it by any means,
Mr. Secretary, but the dimension is beyond comprehension.
On panel 2, we will have the Honorable Curt He bert, Chairman
of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, which is expected to
solve many of these problems that we are going to hear about
today.
We have panel 3: the Honorable Gary Locke, Governor of the
State of Washington, and the Honorable Judy Martz, Governor of
the State of Montana.
Panel 4: Bruce Worthington, senior vice president and general
counsel of PG&E, San Francisco; John Bryson, chairman, CEO, and
president of Edison International of Rosemead, California; Steve
Baum, chairman, CEO, and president of Sempra Energy, San
Diego, California; William Hecht, chairman, CEO, and president of
PPL Corporation, Allentown, Pennsylvania; and Steve Fetter, man-
aging director of the Global Power Group at Fitch, New York.
Senator Bingaman and I are going to chair this hearing this
morning. About 9:25 I am going to have to go downtown for a few
minutes on another matter that was previously scheduled, but I
will be rejoining the hearing.
We are having fast-breaking news. I understand that there was
a press conference and perhaps some concurrence between two of
our members, and they can tell us about that.
I cannot help but note the Wall Street Journal this morning
makes a rather startling statement that this energy shortage is not
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But on the supply side, California must get over its aversion to
new powerplants and transmission lines. California has not al-
lowed a new major powerplant to be built in almost a decade. Cali-
fornias extremely limited transmission capacity, the so-called Path
15 problem, directly contributes to the shortage problem in Califor-
nia.
On the demand side, California must get over its unwillingness
to pass through wholesale costs. As a result, California utilities
owe banks some $13 billion, which continues to grow daily. Califor-
nias legislature has also authorized the issuance of $10 billion in
bonds to purchase power, and it has already spent $3 billion before
they have even been issued. So, Californias taxpayers are certainly
at risk.
California is driving independently owned utilities to the brink
of bankruptcy. There is a lot of finger-pointing going on, which is
understandable. Everybody wants to duck when the flack is flying.
They are having the State buy power, take over transmission lines,
seize utility assets. I do not think this necessarily resolves the
problem of supply and demand. The demand is there; the supply
is not. It only prolongs the agony. It reminds me of busily rearrang-
ing the deck chairs.
The recent survey, according to I believe the Washington Post
so we can all question the accuracy
[Laughter.]
The CHAIRMAN [continuing]. Allegedly found that two out of
three people in California would rather have the lights go out than
have any price increase. I will leave it up to the witnesses to com-
ment on that. But in any event, if they continue to oppose power-
plants and transmission lines, they might get their wish.
There is no question that California faces serious problems, but
we must work together to find a meaningful solution. We do not
want a band aid patch that just creates different problems that are
going to have to be addressed by different people sitting in this
same chair in a different month or a different year.
Last week FERC took action to rein in wholesale prices in Cali-
fornia by declaring high prices unjust and unreasonable and order-
ing millions of dollars in refunds. It may not solve the problem, but
it is certainly going to get the attention of those that sold power
at extremely high rates.
Likewise, California has taken some tentative steps, I think in
the right direction, by trying to expedite powerplant permit ap-
proval. But the first real test is the start-up of an existing 450
megawatt gas powerplant for this summer, and I understand it is
already encountering several areas of local opposition. If that pow-
erplant is prevented from going on line, I wonder what can save
California.
Again, I would encourage that we be sympathetic to recognize
that we are all somewhat in this together in the sense that we are
intertied, but nevertheless, I think we have to recognize patterns
here that suggest that we are not really addressing adequately the
issue of supply.
One other thing that occurs to me. We were looking at some mat-
ters the other day relative to where is the energy going to come
from. If we look at the moratoriums that exist on the east coast,
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have yet to bring those rates down to a just and reasonable level,
as the law requires.
Both the commission and the Bush administration have offered
various explanations and excuses for why a rate cap or a cost-of-
service rate would not work. They indicate that it would send the
wrong signals to generators and consumers. It would discourage
generators from building more powerplants and more transmission
lines. It would discourage consumers from saving energy. The com-
mission has said that the cost-of-service rates will take too much
time and be too difficult to calculate. The commission and the ad-
ministration embrace an economic theory, the theory that an un-
regulated, competitive market will cause supply to increase, will
cause demand to fall until those two are in balance, and this will
necessarily lead to reasonable prices.
But the Federal Power Act does not, obviously, enact an eco-
nomic theory. It does not provide an exception for administrative
difficulty. It simply says if wholesale rates are unjust and unrea-
sonable, the commission is required to make them just and reason-
able. This has not been done. To the contrary, by its action last Fri-
day, the commission appears to have given its approval to many
millions of dollars of manifestly unjust and unreasonable charges.
Perhaps a cost-of-service rate mandate is not the ideal solution
to the problem and perhaps the bills that have been introduced and
referred to by Senator Murkowski are not perfectly drawn, but they
are a proposed solution. If the administration objects to carrying
out its obligations under the Federal Power Act, then I believe it
must come forward with a credible alternative solution if it is not
anxious to embrace these.
Why do we not go ahead and have short statements from any of
the committee members who want to make them, and then we will
go to our witnesses. I am advised that according to the order that
people arrived here, Senator Campbell is next.
Senator CAMPBELL. Mr. Chairman, I will just introduce a state-
ment for the record. Thank you.
Senator BINGAMAN [presiding]. Very good.
[The prepared statement of Senator Campbell follows:]
PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. BEN NIGHTHORSE CAMPBELL, U.S. SENATOR
FROM COLORADO
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I would like to thank you for holding this hearing and
all of the witnesses here to testify, especially my friend, Secretary Abraham. This
hearing will delve into the ongoing problems in California and some of the bills that
are attempting to fix portions of the problem. This should be an interesting discus-
sion on how we are going to proceed on the electricity crisis in California, especially
since it is affecting the entire West.
As you all know, many Western states are joined together in one enormous power
grid. We are so interdependent that the breakdown of a generator in one part of
the grid will affect power in another part. The entire Western grids electric system
is under severe stress. High prices and insufficient supplies of energy are likely to
burden many Western states for months to come. But, the long-term problem is the
supply of electricity which is smaller than the demand in the region. Also, California
has not built a new power generation facility in years which would help alleviate
the increasing demand for electricity.
The Western power grid is already overworked because of the energy needs cre-
ated by booming economies and population growth, but not just in California. My
home state of Colorado, along with other Western states, has increased demand for
electricity as well.
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Also, with the soaring price of electricity and the environmental concerns sur-
rounding coal-fired generation plants, natural gas will play a key role in supplying
our nation with sufficient power. But, we have certain problems with natural gas
as well. In California, they have been experiencing particularly high natural gas
pricesmore than twice as high as recent national averages.
There are some proposals being offered to help address this power crisis like S.
26, S. 80 and S. 287 which my friends from California have introduced. But, con-
cerns have already been voiced regarding these bills. Regardless of the controversy,
whichever way we decide to go, we have to consider all proposals so that the prob-
lem can be solved, even if that means consideration of an electricity ballot initiative
in California.
I am approaching the California crisis debate very carefully so that the best inter-
ests of my home state are not compromised and hurt. I have some questions for the
witnesses that I would like them to address so that we can further explore this issue
during the time for questions.
Thank you Mr. Chairman.
Senator BINGAMAN. Senator Craig.
STATEMENT OF HON. LARRY E. CRAIG, U.S. SENATOR
FROM IDAHO
Senator CRAIG. Mr. Chairman, thank you very much.
Ladies and gentlemen, witness this marvelous act of bipartisan-
ship that the U.S. Senate is now working in. We think it can work.
It is working and you are seeing it firsthand this morning, Mr.
Chairman.
[Laughter.]
Senator CRAIG. And I appreciate that.
Senator BINGAMAN. I will ask for another 45 minutes I expect.
[Laughter.]
Senator CRAIG. But I do want to thank Chairman Murkowski for
holding these hearings. I think they are tremendously important to
address the current energy crisis that the West is experiencing.
But first, Mr. Chairman, I want to commend Senator Feinstein
for her diligence and I believe honest effort to both define and re-
solve the difficult energy-related problems that are crippling the
economies of California and the West. Senator Feinstein I think
has been tireless in her search for answers.
I will also say she has been bold against considerable political
odds as it relates to rate caps on retail sales to consumers. She has
publicly acknowledged the critical need for California to expedite
permitting of new powerplants that need to be sited in her State.
That goes against some of the political mainstream in her State,
but again, when you are in a crisis, it is time to lead.
As she has candidly stated in recent Investor Daily articles, with-
out expedited permitting for new powerplants and true market
pricing, there is no incentive to conserve. And we are finding in
polls coming out of California today that the average California
consumer does not recognize that they are in an energy crisis.
Mr. Chairman, these are not easy decisions for a California Sen-
ator to make or to acknowledge and the actions she has taken and
legislation introduced and these hearings today are important for
all of us.
Mr. Chairman, I am sure that it is largely because of her willing-
ness to be honest and openly address these issues that these hear-
ings have been scheduled and that we will move forward as we
work on this very difficult problem. I am committed to giving this
legislation attention.
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those on the lowest part of the economic ladder. It would give the
State flexibility in that regard. But it would seek to correct what
in California today is a broken market.
That brokenness really came from a bill passed in 1996 which
deregulated the wholesale end and yet kept regulated the retail
end, which forced California to buy electricity on the day-ahead
market, 95 percent of it, and required the utilities to divest them-
selves of their generating facilities. In hindsight, all of this came
together in a catastrophic scenario so that today California buys
power at what are, if you look at rates 5 years ago, astronomic
prices.
We believe that FERC should act, but we believe that FERC
should act in a way that it can be sure that the market also will
have a chance of responding correctly.
Let me just quickly take a look at electricity prices in California.
In 1998 and 1999, the average energy price for a megawatt of elec-
tricity consistently averaged about $30. The green bar is 1999 and
the purple bar is 1998. The red bar is the year 2000. You clearly
see what happened. The price of electricity jumped to $150 a mega-
watt hour in the summer, and then in December it increased to
over $350 per megawatt hour. The late fall/early winter season is
normally the time of the year when demand is low, and California
has such an ample supply of electricity, that it usually exports its
surplus. This season, however, there were serious shortages of
power.
Chart number 2 compares the hourly prices of electricity for two
July days in 1999 and 2000. The line graph and the number on the
right indicate the available power supply for that day. As you can
see, the demand is the same for these two days. However, the pur-
ple bar represents the hourly prices for the day in 1999, and the
red bar represents the price for 2000. Again, you can look at those
price differences.
The discrepancy in price exists in the early morning and it exists
late at night. So, even though the supply is the same and we know
that there should be ample supply to meet demand late at night,
prices for energy still skyrocketed. The only way to explain the dif-
ferences in price is to conclude that someone is gaming the market
and the market is broken.
Now, I am not going to spend a lot of time on natural gas prices.
The ranking member and I had the privilege of meeting with El
Paso, and I think both of us saw one of the problems and I want
to quickly state what it is. The real cost of transporting natural gas
is less than $1. Based on cost, when natural gas is selling for $5
in San Juan, New Mexico, directly adjacent to the California bor-
der, it should not be selling for anything more than $6 in southern
California.
But as you can clearly see from the second spike on the graph,
at the end of last year when natural gas was averaging $5 to $7
nationally, it was as much as $37 in southern California. That is
additional evidence that the market was not working.
Now, the Federal Power Act gives the exclusive authority to reg-
ulate the interstate transmission of power, and I think the statute
is pretty clear. Let me quote from it. Whenever the Commission,
after a hearing had upon its own motion or own complaint, shall
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Let me just alert Senators here. We have six more Senators who
are here and ready to make statements. I would urge that people
keep the statements short so we can get to our witnesses as quickly
as possible.
Senator Smith.
STATEMENT OF HON. GORDON SMITH, U.S. SENATOR
FROM OREGON
Senator SMITH. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
Mr. Secretary, welcome. Thank you for being here.
I believe in free markets, but truly we have never had a free
market in electricity, not one that is truly free. What we now have
is a broken market and a duty to do something.
When this crisis erupted, many rushed to re-regulate. I have
withheld any impulse to do that, believing that until California
fixed the fundamental flaw in its law, a re-regulation would
amount to little more than putting a band aid on cancer.
Senator Feinstein and I have reached a conceptual agreement.
We are going to advance it as legislation. We believe the adminis-
tration should respond and favorably and help us to do this be-
cause truly what you have now is converging a perfect storm, both
environmentally and economically, for the States in the Western
United States.
I think it is important that everyone understand the fundamen-
tals of the agreement that we are going to pursue.
The legislation should direct the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission, FERC, to impose a just and reasonable wholesale cap
that could be load-differentiated or cost-of-service based rates in
the Western energy market. That market is comprised of the States
in the Western Systems Coordinating Council: Arizona, California,
Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah,
Washington, and Wyoming.
The wholesale price cap or cost-of-service based rate will not
apply to wholesale sales for delivery in a State that imposes a price
limit on the sale of electric energy at retail that precludes a regu-
latory utility from recovering costs under the price cap or on a cost-
of-service based rate or precludes a regulatory utility from paying
its bills.
The ratemaking body of a State can determine, however, would
be allowed to determine how and when the wholesale rates will be
passed on to ratepayers, including the setting of a tiered pricing,
real-time pricing, and baseline rates. With respect to the Bonne-
ville Power Administration, BPA will be encouraged to seek to re-
duce rate spikes to economically distressed communities, while en-
suring costs are recovered by the end of the next contract period
in 2006.
Three, the wholesale rate cap or cost-of-service based rates shall
remain in effect until such time as the market for electric energy
in the western energy market reflects just and reasonable rates, as
determined by the Commission, or until March 1, 2003, whichever
is earlier.
In addition, as to natural gas transmission costs, the legislation
would reimpose FERC tariffs for natural gas transportation into
California and require natural gas sellers to declare separately the
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One day after being sworn into office, President Bush asked me
to call Governor Davis to see how we could help address Califor-
nias power shortages.
Three days after taking office at Governor Davis request, we ex-
tended the emergency electricity and gas orders to give California
time to enact reform legislation aimed at maintaining electricity
supplies.
Last month, President Bush issued an executive order directing
Federal agencies to expedite permits relating to construction of new
powerplants in California. The U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency has issued air permits for three powerplants in the past 3
weeks.
President Bush and I have engaged in extensive discussions with
the Government of Mexico about increasing electricity imports from
Mexico to California.
Last week, at the behest of Governor Davis, we sent a letter to
FERC asking that the agency act on his request for an extension
of the waiver for qualifying facilities from certain fuel require-
ments. Yesterday that waiver was granted.
Also last week, FERC determined that some suppliers had
charged unjust and unreasonable rates and then compelled them to
refund those overcharges to California buyers. And new FERC or-
ders, intended I think to again address these issues, were just an-
nounced yesterday.
Moreover, today we will be responding favorably to Governor
Davis request that we review his plan for ensuring the financial
health of the California utilities.
Mr. Chairman, we are committed to working with California and
the West to develop effective solutions to this crisis and we will
continue to do so. Moreover, the administration, under the leader-
ship of Vice President Cheney, has embarked on a multi-depart-
mental task force project, much as was recommended by members
of this committee to me during my confirmation hearing, to try to
look at our energy challenges on a broad, interdepartmental, na-
tional, long-term and short-term basis. And as results from that
task force effort are completed, we will be taking additional action.
The only action the administration will not take is the implemen-
tation of price caps.
In that each of the legislative proposals before this committee
today basically are premised on the types of price controls I have
just addressed and for the reason which I have just outlined, we
do not support them. There are, however, additional concerns
which we have with each proposal and I will address those con-
cerns as part of the fuller written testimony which we submit
today.
Mr. Chairman, that concludes my testimony. I look forward to
answering any questions you or the other members of the commit-
tee might have and look forward to working with people as we ad-
dress these various energy challenges on a very broad-based ap-
proach in the future. Thank you very much for having me here
today.
[The prepared statement of Secretary Abraham follows:]
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PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. SPENCER ABRAHAM, SECRETARY,
DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee, I welcome the opportunity to tes-
tify before you today on various electricity measures pending before the Committee,
namely S. 26, S. 80, S. 287, and the Smith amendment to S. 287.
All of these legislative proposals address the electricity crisis in California and the
West. Before I get into the Departments specific comments on these bills, it may
be useful to step back and offer our views on how this crisis developed, the real na-
ture of the problem, and an analysis of proposed solutions.
ELECTRICITY CRISIS IN CALIFORNIA AND THE WEST
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price caps. Instead, California utilities have until recently been required to buy huge
quantities on the spot market, driving up wholesale costs for themselves and others
in the West. Hence, the effects have extended beyond Californias borders.
This Administration is certainly concerned about high energy priceswhether in
California or anywhere else in the United States. We agree that energy prices
should be reasonable and support the recent action by the Federal Energy Regu-
latory Commission (FERC) to order refunds to Californians charged unjust and un-
reasonable rates. And this Administration will work closely with California and the
West to develop measures to help the State and the region meet its projected energy
shortage.
The Task Force chaired by Vice President Cheney will soon make a series of rec-
ommendations on meeting Americas energy demands. In the meantime, we will con-
tinue helping expedite Californias efforts to increase generation and reduce de-
mand.
But let me be clear on this, any action we take must either help increase supply
or reduce demand. If a proposal does not increase supply or reduce demand, it is
not a solution. If it decreases supply or increases demand, it will only make the cur-
rent crisis worse.
It is with that framework in mind that the Administration opposes imposition of
price controls such as those proposed in the legislation that is the subject of this
hearing. Price caps will not increase supply or reduce demand. In fact, they will ag-
gravate the supply crisis, since they will discourage investment in new generation
while eliminating incentives to reduce demand.
This is not theory, but the product of experience. Price caps have already been
tried and have already failed. California has long had a price cap that set a ceiling
price for electricity sales into the State. That ceiling price was steadily lowered
throughout last year, from $750 per megawatt-hour to $500 to $250 to finally $150.
Proponents of price caps then made the same arguments that proponents make
today: price caps will control high prices, while guaranteeing adequate electricity
supply.
They were wrong.
Price caps failed in California in part because they only applied to part of the
marketsome power suppliers were subject to the price cap, while others were ex-
empt. The result was market distortions. Price caps gave in-State generators every
incentive to sell power out-of-State and power exports from California rose 85 per-
cent. Price caps reduced Californias electricity supply, since 3,000 megawatts of
power were exported. The lesson was clear: price caps on only part of the market
will distort the market and drive supply out of markets with price controls into un-
regulated markets.
And, what happened to prices? The lower the price cap was set, the higher aver-
age electricity prices rose.
Notwithstanding that failure, we are here today discussing a different kind of
price cap on a broader scale: the entire West. Proponents argue that a price cap that
limits power producers to cost-recovery plus a fixed rate of return, if imposed across
the entire West, will succeed where price caps that set a ceiling price failed. How-
ever, these proposals suffer from the same flaws contained in previous proposals.
First, imposition of cost-based price caps will reduce electricity supplies in the
short-term. Governors Davis, Locke and Kitzhaber, along with a former Chairman
of FERC, have proposed a version of cost-based price caps that would actually not
even guarantee cost recovery, but instead set a cap at variable costs plus ten per-
cent or $25 per megawatt-hour, whichever is less. Since power plants with fixed
costs in excess of $25 per megawatt-hour will presumably not elect to operate at a
loss, the regions electricity supply will be immediately reduced.
Regional cost-based price caps will also discourage investment in new generation
at a time when it is most needed. If cost-based price caps are imposed, independent
power producers that are building most of the new power plants will simply decide
to build new generation in another region or country.
Imposition of cost-based price caps will also split the electricity market in the
West into two markets, one subject to price controls and the other exempt. This will
occur because FERC only has jurisdiction over 47 percent of the electricity genera-
tion in the Western Systems Coordinating Council. FERC has no jurisdiction over
wholesale sales by State and municipal utilities, rural electric cooperatives, and
does not have authority to impose cost-based rate on Federal power marketing ad-
ministrations.
A cost-based price cap that applies to only half the region has four fundamental
flaws. First, the California experience with price capswhere part of the market
was subject to the cap and part was exemptwill be repeated. The result will be
the same: distortion of electricity markets, reduction in electricity supply, shifts in
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electricity supply from capped markets to uncapped markets, and, most importantly,
failure to control prices. Power producers would seek to make sales through entities
not subject to price caps and independent power producers would have an incentive
to build projects in the service areas of entities not regulated by FERC and make
exempt sales through those entities.
Second, electricity exports to the U.S. from Canada and Mexico will almost cer-
tainly decrease since these producers could get a higher price selling within their
own countries. In short, we would lose supply just when we are encountering short-
ages.
Third, a split electricity market would create winners and losers. Winners would
be large municipal utilities in the West that have significant surplus generation,
since they would be exempt from price caps. These utilities have been collecting sub-
stantial revenues from sales at market-based levels. Indeed, according to FERC
most of the excess power costs that the California Independent System Operator
claims were collected in January 2001 were collected by entities not regulated by
FERC. These utilities are not subject to refund orders and would be exempt from
price caps. Not surprisingly, some of these utilities are advocates of price caps that
would apply only to others.
The losers, of course, would be buyers that cannot purchase electricity from an
entity subject to the price cap that must resort to the unregulated market where
prices will be extremely high.
Fourth, the creation of two electricity markets recalls the days of natural gas
price controlswith old gas and new gas. Prices in the two markets will diverge
sharply, with prices in the unregulated market rising higher than existing levels.
A buyer that needed more power would obviously look first to the market subject
to price caps. However, if the buyer could not purchase power in the capped market,
he would have to resort to the uncapped market, and pay even higher prices than
current market levels. Since electricity is a fungible commodity, some unscrupulous
parties would take advantage of the split markets and sell capped electricity at mar-
ket-based prices, as occurred under oil price controls.
Some advocates of cost-based price caps have proposed exempting new generation
from the cap, which implicitly concedes that price caps discourage investment in
new generation. A more practical concern, however, is that this scheme would also
fail because of the fungible nature of electricity.
Although FERC lacks authority over the Federal power marketing administra-
tions, the Secretary of Energy has authority to impose a cost-based price cap on the
Federal power marketing administrations. Such a step would be highly risky. A
cost-based price cap would reduce Bonnevilles ability to generate revenue through
seasonal surplus sales outside the region, since Bonneville would be forced to sell
electricity at a rate far below market levels, foregoing revenues that could have been
used to defray Bonneville costs and lower rates charged to preference customers.
At the same time, Bonneville must purchase power at certain times of the year.
There is no reason to assume that Bonneville will be fortunate enough to purchase
power from only those entities subject to the price cap, and Bonneville may well
have no choice but to purchase power at extremely high prices from nonjurisdic-
tional entities. Cost-based price caps would thus put Bonneville in a position where
it also sells low and buys high, and could force Bonneville to raise wholesale rates
charged to regional customers.
The only way to apply price caps to all generation in the West is to amend Fed-
eral law and grant FERC authority to set rates for wholesale power sales by State
and municipal utilities and rural electric cooperatives. However, doing so would be
inconsistent with nearly 70 years of Federal electricity regulation. FERC has never
had authority over these sales, and any such proposal would be opposed by many
in the West, including presumably members of this Committee. I certainly would
not support such a proposal.
These are the reasons for the Administrations opposition to imposition of cost-
based price caps in the West. The Administration is not alone in its opposition to
price caps. Last month, eight of the eleven Western governors sent me a letter ex-
pressing opposition to price caps. In that letter, the eight governors stated caps will
serve as a severe disincentive to those entities considering the construction of new
electric generation, at precisely the time all of usand particularly Californiaare
in need of added plant construction.
By contrast, advocates of price controls have failed to indicate how price caps
would increase supply, decrease demand, or prevent blackouts this year.
In that price controls and power shortages are inversely related, the ultimate
question thus becomes whether our goal is to control prices or lessen the frequency
of blackouts. This Administration believes our responsibility is to help minimize
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electricity shortages and the blackouts and the economic and public health and safe-
ty problems such shortages produce. Therefore, we do not favor price controls.
Regrettably, our well-founded opposition to price caps has been claimed by some
to suggest the Administration either does not care about California and the West,
or is doing nothing to address the problem. This is simply untrue. One day after
being sworn into office, the President directed me to call Governor Davis to discuss
the crisis and ask how we could help address the power shortages. Three days after
taking office, at Governor Davis request, we extended the emergency electricity and
gas orders to give California time to enact reform legislation aimed at maintaining
electricity supplies. Last month, also at the request of Governor Davis, President
Bush issued an executive order directing Federal agencies to expedite permits relat-
ing to construction of new power plants in California. The U.S. Environmental Pro-
tection Agency has issued air permits for three power plants in the past month.
President Bush and I have engaged in discussions with the Government of Mexico
about increasing electricity imports from Mexico. Last week, at the behest of Gov-
ernor Davis, I sent a letter to FERC asking that the agency act on his request for
an extension of the waiver for qualifying facilities from certain fuel requirements.
In response to a request by the State of California, the U.S. Environmental Protec-
tion Agency has provided other assistance, clarifying rules relating to operation of
backup generators. And FERC recently required suppliers who charged unjust and
unreasonable rates to refund those payments to California buyers, as provided by
the Federal Power Act. We will continue to work with California and the West to
develop effective solutions to this crisis.
In short, the only action the Administration has opposed is price caps.
LEGISLATIVE PROPOSALS
I would like to offer some comments on the legislation that are the subject of this
hearing. All of these bills provide for imposition of cost-based rate caps in California
and the West, so the general arguments against price caps detailed above apply to
all four proposals. Following are our views on the major provisions of these bills:
S. 26
This bill, introduced by Senator Feinstein, would amend the Department of En-
ergy Organization Act to compel the Secretary of Energy to impose price caps on
wholesale power sales in the Western Systems Coordinating Council by jurisdic-
tional entities whenever FERC or the Department make certain findings, although
the findings the two agencies can make to trigger price caps are entirely different.
The Western Systems Coordinating Council is a region composed of eleven Western
States (Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Or-
egon, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming), Baja California, and western Canadian
provinces that share an interconnected transmission system.
In effect, the bill directs the Department to take over FERCs ratemaking role,
although the Department has no capacity to discharge FERCs responsibilities. Un-
like FERC, the Department does not have expertise in ratemaking.
The standards used in S. 26 are unclear. The bill compels the Secretary of Energy
to impose price caps whenever he determines rates exceed marginal costs by a sig-
nificant amount or for a significant length of time and continued existence of such
rates threatens public health and safety or the economy of any State or region and
FERC has otherwise failed to act to improve the situation. None of these terms
are defined and none have meaning in Federal electricity law.
The bill would diffuse Federal authority over wholesale power sales, giving both
FERC and the Department authority to set wholesale power rates. It would be a
mistake to bifurcate Federal authority to establish rates under the Federal Power
Act. Under S. 26, both FERC and the Department could set price caps, but under
very different statutory standards. FERC would retain its discretion under the Fed-
eral Power Act to impose price caps if it finds rates are unjust and unreasonable,
a standard that has governed Federal rates for wholesale power sales for nearly 70
years. Under S. 26 the Department would have no discretion, but would be com-
pelled to impose price caps if it finds rates exceed marginal costs, either by a sig-
nificant amount or by a significant length of time. Since rates can be just and
reasonable while exceeding marginal costs the situation could arise where FERC de-
termines rates are just and reasonable and declines to impose price caps, the De-
partment agrees with that determination, but concludes rates exceed marginal cost
by an insignificant amount but for a significant length of time. The Department
would have no choice but to impose price caps, since S. 26 affords the agency no
discretion. Since electricity is traded in both real-time and hour-ahead markets, a
significant length of time could be a very short period.
For these reasons, the Department opposes S. 26.
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S. 80
This legislation, introduced by Senator Boxer, would require FERC to order re-
funds of rates and charges for wholesale power sales or transmission if it finds such
rates or charges are unjust, unreasonable, unduly discriminatory or preferential.
The bill significantly expands FERCs authority to order refunds. Under current
law, the effective refund date is limited to no earlier than 60 days after the filing
of a complaint. S. 80 provides for retroactive refunds extending back two years.
S. 80 also mandates that FERC establish cost-based price caps in the Westand
only the Westif it determines that rates charged for wholesale power sales are un-
just, unreasonable, unduly discriminatory or preferential. The bill does not expressly
grant FERC authority to remove price caps. S. 80 compels FERC to impose treble
penalties on any person who violates these new refund and price cap provisions.
S. 80 would significantly discourage investment in new generation in the West.
The independent power producers that are building most generation in the U.S. are
unlikely to expose themselves to refunds that stretch back as far as two years. In
addition, there is significant uncertainty about the duration of price caps. Since the
refund and price cap provisions only apply to the eleven States in the Western Sys-
tems Coordinating Council, investment in new generation would shift away from
those States and towards the rest of the United States and other countries.
Notably, the refund provisions of the bill are limited to jurisdictional entities.
Nonjurisdictional entities such as State and municipal utilities, rural electric co-
operatives, and Federal power marketing administrations have also sold power at
market-based rates. According to FERC, most of the excess power costs that the
California Independent System Operator claims were collected in January 2001
were collected by nonjurisdictional entities. To the extent those entities sold power
at market-based rates, they received the same rates as jurisdictional entities. How-
ever, they would be exempt from both the refund provisions and price caps. Two
classes of wholesale power sellers who made sales under same rates are treated very
differently under S. 80.
For these reasons, the Department opposes S. 80.
S. 287
This measure, introduced by Senator Feinstein, directs FERC to impose cost-of-
service based rates on wholesale power sales by jurisdictional entities in the west-
ern energy market within 60 days. The term western energy market is defined
to include the States of Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New
Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming.
Under this bill, the Congress would assume FERCs authority under the Federal
Power Act to set just and reasonable rates. The bill makes a legislative finding
that current wholesale power rates are unjust and unreasonable and compels
FERC to implement a ratemaking decision made by Congress. With all due respect,
Congress has no expertise to make ratemaking decisions. If this bill were to be en-
acted, we would find ourselves on a slippery slope. Decisions regarding rates would
be made in a political environment by a political body, not by an independent regu-
latory commission that relies on nearly 70 years of experience, is guided by a stat-
ute whose meaning is well-understood, and whose decisions are subject to judicial
review.
S. 287 will significantly discourage investment in new generation in the West at
a time when it is most needed. The duration of the price caps is uncertain, and may
be more permanent than temporary. The fact that price caps only apply to the West
will likely encourage investment in new generation to shift from the West to other
regions of the U.S. and other countries. Moreover, the fact that price caps would
apply to only 47 percent of the electricity supply in the West guarantees that price
caps will create two electricity markets, distorting the market and driving up prices
in the uncapped market even higher than current levels.
For these reasons, the Department opposes S. 287.
Smith Amendment to S. 287
The Smith amendment waives application of price caps imposed by S. 287 on
wholesale power sales in States that prohibit public utilities fro m either (1) passing
wholesale power costs through to retail consumers or (2) paying for such purchases.
Since California has not permitted State-regulated utilities to pass these costs
through to retail consumers, the amendment waives price caps on wholesale power
sales in California by public utilities. The Smith amendment also prohibits the De-
partment or FERC from ordering electricity and natural gas sales in States that
prohibit public utilities from either passing wholesale power costs through to retail
consumers or paying for such purchases unless there are guarantees the full pur-
chase price will be paid when due.
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The Smith amendment authorizes States in the Western Systems Coordinating
Council to prevent public utilities from selling electricity in States that prohibit pub-
lic utilities from either passing wholesale power costs through to retail consumers
or paying for such purchases if a public utility is not meeting electricity demand
in its service area. In effect, the amendment authorizes Western States to regulate
interstate commerce, a power otherwise reserved to the Congress and the Federal
government by the U.S. Constitution. This authorization is inconsistent with nearly
70 years of Federal electricity law.
The Smith amendment reflects the concerns of the Pacific Northwest about the
impact that the failure of the California electricity regulatory scheme has had on
the region. The impact of this regulatory failure has been felt more in the Pacific
Northwest than in California, as a result of the retail rate caps in California. I ap-
preciate these concerns of Senator Smith and his colleagues from the Pacific North-
west.
The Department opposes the Smith amendment, for the reasons stated above.
I appreciate the opportunity to share the Departments views on the legislation,
and look forward to responding to your questions.
Senator BINGAMAN. Well, thank you very much for being here.
I think we will have 5-minute rounds of questions, each Senator
asking questions for 5 minutes. Let me start.
I take it from your testimony that the bipartisan bill that Sen-
ator Feinstein and Senator Smith talked about in their opening
statements is something that will not get the support of the admin-
istration and is opposed by you in any variation that you can envi-
sion.
Secretary ABRAHAM. Mr. Chairman, what I would say is this. I
have not, obviously, looked at the new legislation. I heard the re-
port that Senator Smith outlined, and so there seemed to be a lot
of components to it. I would not say, without studying it, that every
part of the bill would be something we would oppose.
But to the extent, as I have tried to outline in my remarks, that
we move in the direction of price controls, then we are going to find
ourselves I think in clear opposition to legislation, especially if it
is at a time like this where we are trying to deal with shortages
that present real immediate crises in terms of blackouts, in terms
of resultant economic and other sorts of consequences. That is our
view.
Senator BINGAMAN. Let me ask about the real immediate crises
that you are referring to. This idea that we are going to resolve
this or to some extent resolve it by increasing electricity imports
from Mexico. I do not know. I have not made a real study of it, but
that is not a solution to an immediate problem, is it? Maybe long
term there is some benefit we could gain from increasing imports
from Mexico, but there is no infrastructure to accomplish that at
the current time.
Secretary ABRAHAM. Actually it is interesting, Mr. Chairman.
Right now in the State of California, as I outlined, we are dealing
with an immediate challenge for the summer of trying to address
an approximately 5,000 megawatt differential between projected
peak demand and supply. Every megawatt counts in that kind of
setting, or else we will find ourselves with the sort of rolling black-
out projections coming through that I mentioned in my statement.
Last week at a hemispheric energy ministers conference in Mex-
ico, I followed up earlier discussions which we have had with the
Mexican Government about the possibility, over the next 6 to 9
months, of increasing the possible imports of power generation,
electricity generation, from facilities in Baja. The Mexicans and our
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Clearly, our utilities are hustling now to try to see where they can
bring additional energy on line in the future. But in the immediate,
cooperative actions on the part of both the consumer and the pro-
ducer are going to have to be, in large part, I believe some of the
solution we deal with, Mr. Secretary.
But I would suggest for those of us in the Pacific Northwest
and you have heard from Senator Smith this morningone of our
major players is Bonneville, of course. We will sit with you very
quickly to see where we can offer them optimum flexibility to deal
with the market. They are doing a reasonable job now as it relates
to market pricing and how they handle it and how they respond
and what consumer has flexibility to go off line to allow greater use
of that resource somewhere else. That will affect Oregon, Washing-
ton, Idaho, and part of Montana.
But I do agree with you that to suggest that we just simply fix
the market now by freezing the market or shoving it down does not
a message send to produce and to solve a problem. So, thank you
very much for what I think is an important and direct statement
in that regard.
Also, let me thank you and the President for being bold and cor-
recting or clarifying a point that is so essential as it relates to CO2
and how we deal with that emission. We cannot continue to send
false signals to the market. The market deserves stability of deci-
sion making at the Federal level. They deserve to know where this
Congress and this President will go, as it relates to Federal regula-
tions, so they can adjust and adapt appropriately to it. I think that
statement yesterday was key toward heading us in that direction.
It is important that the country understand that we are truly, as
I think the Senator from Nebraska said, in an energy crisis of sub-
stantial proportion, and if we fail to deal with it responsibly, we
will fail our country and our country will fail.
Thank you very much, Mr. Secretary.
The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Senator Craig.
Now we will hear from and be enlightened by the Senator from
California, whom we are very pleased to have on the committee.
Senator Feinstein.
Senator FEINSTEIN. Thank you very much. Thanks, Mr. Chair-
man.
Mr. Secretary. I was really surprised by the ideologic hardness
of your statement. I must tell you that.
I happen to agree with you that we are going to be about 5,000
megawatts short in California this summer. It is enough power for
5 million homes. It is a lot of shortness.
How do we keep prices down this summer? You addressed supply
and demand issues mostly long term. My question is, what do we
do right now?
California, as you know, is expediting permits, is expediting
peaker plants, is moving as rapidly as it can to build additional
power sources. The 5,000 megawatt shortfall is not going to be the
only shortfall. They are going to be charging $5,000 a megawatt
this summer. What does California do about that if it is not going
to get any help to provide that stability and reliability over that pe-
riod of time?
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going to ask the chairman if he could ask him to study that and
give us a report as quickly as he can on what is happening.
The CHAIRMAN. Yes.
Senator DOMENICI. Now, this is not just a California problem. So
you will know, Mr. Secretary, in Senator Bingamans and my State,
we have 990 workers, the most highly paid workers in one part of
New Mexico, working in a copper mine. They may be laid off within
the next month because their cost of electricity went from 3 to 4
cents to 21 to 22 cents, and they are not sure they can produce cop-
per and pay the workers. There is another one close at hand with
similar proportions. Now, that is on the one hand.
On the other hand, the Senator from California, there are two
major, major powerplants being considered in the State of New
Mexico. One is already completed and New Mexico has given the
go-ahead in a little town of Deming, New Mexico. That is $250 mil-
lion to $300 million. Over on the east side of the State in the city
of Clovis, they are looking at another one and it is bigger.
I get the rumble that the companies that are doing that have
every option to go to California, but they are not going to go to
California because I would suggest to you that there are still regu-
lations and rules that inhibit the investment as it is being made
in other States that have less of that. And that may be Californias
desire. When you talked to me, it was not. You said we want to
build new powerplants in California.
I suggest we ought to find out the reality of it. Is California
today really willing, by its regulatoryand this will not solve your
temporary problem. I know you would immediately say, Senator,
that will not help that. I know that. But I think we ought to find
out. The State of California went 12 years without a powerplant,
and while demand went up, it peaked out. I think we ought to
know as a Nation if they are really ready to let natural gasthat
is the simplest one. It is pure white. Are they really letting them
come in or are they going to expect powerplants to be built around
the country and go in there because they want to keep rules that
are harder than other States have and they are still complying
with the ambient air standards of America?
So, those are my two observations. One, how come the producer
is getting so little and the market is getting so much? Somebody
ought to follow that gas from the panhandle in New Mexico and
Texas or Wyoming and just see what is happening to it. It comes
out at $4, $5 from your field. Where does it get to $60? I think that
would be an interesting thing for us to find out.
I also want to say to FERC you have to be concerned. Where is
the FERC leader sitting? I cannot be here, but you have got to be
concerned. If you have some regulatory power, you have got to say
there is a number of States getting hit by this because eventually
the price of natural gas in California seeps through the system. It
does not get there overnight, so the Northeast is not going to get
hit with it yet. But New Mexico may because it is close, and even-
tually that little piece of gas that has mobility to move around in
the system, which needs it, is going to feel this extraordinary price
that is being paid in California.
Now, I do not have an answer, Mr. Secretary. But I respect your
statement and I truly respect your concern that we do not cut off
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has formally found that the markets are dysfunctional and unable
to produce just and reasonable prices for wholesale energy.
I commend President Bush and the administration for its efforts
to produce a national energy policy, a policy which will focus on
conservation, renewables, tax incentives for renewables, as well as
developing more energy supply.
It is a question of supply and demand, and with a growing popu-
lation, we must have more supply of energy. But we in the West
cannot wait 7 to 10 years until new energy sources are discovered
and tapped and brought to market. Washington States economy
and the economies of the other Western States must be stabilized
and protected now to prevent permanent, irreparable damage, not
in 5, not in 7, not in 10 years.
I believe that we must have short-term, temporary price caps so
that California can get its energy house in order and so that other
States can get more generation on line. I support cost-of-service
based rates, cost-of-service based rates that ensure full reimburse-
ment for both direct and indirect costs of producing power, plus an
adequate rate of return. Setting the caps high enough will enable
producers to recoup their full cost of producing power, whatever it
might be, and a sufficiently high rate of return so that it is also
an incentive to continue to pursue additional generation plants.
We simply need a time out. We need a time out for California
to correct its flawed deregulation scheme, but a time out to allow
other Western States to protect their economies and to get their
citizens back to work. We hope that the Senate and this committee
will act favorably on the legislation that is before it. Thank you
[The prepared statement of Governor Locke follows:]
PREPARED STATEMENT OF HON. GARY LOCKE, GOVERNOR, STATE OF WASHINGTON
Thank you, Chairman Murkowski, and members of the Committee. I am pleased
to be here to speak to you today about the energy situation in the Pacific Northwest
and the challenges that are facing the citizens and businesses in my state as the
result of continued volatility in the wholesale energy markets.
You have heard a great deal about the California energy crisis. But by now you
know that what some still call the California energy crisis is really a region-wide
energy crisis, with high energy costs impacting citizens, farms and businesses,
schools and universities, and state and local governments throughout the western
continental United States.
It impacts irrigators in Arizona, resort hotels in Nevada, industries in Oregon,
and residential ratepayers in Idaho.
Let me give you some idea of what is happening in Washington State, where
wholesale energy prices have gone up from ten to twenty times the prices of a year
ago:
High energy costs have forced several businesses to curtail operations and lay
off hundreds of workers. Georgia Pacific laid off 850 workers in Bellingham just
before the Christmas holiday. Pioneer, a chemical manufacturer in Tacoma, has
curtailed operations by 50 percent and taken steps to lay off 80 employees. Nine
of the ten aluminum plants in the Northwestand thousands of aluminum
workersare now idle. There are many other examples.
High energy costs are hurting our agricultural sector. Many farmers worry that
they wont be able to afford to pay the pumping costs for irrigation. And last
summer, high energy prices forced the states largest cold storage facility, Bel-
lingham Cold Storage, to curtail operations just as peak harvest season was
under way for both berries and ocean fish. Only by invoking emergency powers
was my office able to secure an affordable power supply to the facilitynot only
keeping 1,200 employees at the facility on the job but keeping hundreds of
ocean fishers and family farms from bankruptcy due to lack of cold storage for
their products.
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Public agencies, schools and universities are faced with the possibility of curtail-
ing programs to meet unexpected energy costs that are double or triple the lev-
els of a year ago.
And utility ratepayers are now facing surcharges as high as 75 percent of their
monthly retail power bills. This is not just a problem for residential customers
on a tight budget. For many small and medium-size businessesrestaurants,
coin-operated laundries, and retail shopsthis can be the difference between
profitability and bankruptcy. And the continued high costs of wholesale power
threatens the very solvency of some of our utilities.
This situation is untenable. The Pacific Northwest is losing as much as $1.4 bil-
lion a month due to high wholesale power costsmoney flowing out of our economy
into the pockets of merchant power plant operators.
Clearly, high energy costs affect not just individual companies, but all the compa-
nies with which they do business. Wood products manufacturers worry that they
will no longer have a steady supply of sodium hydroxide. Hospitals worry that they
no longer have a steady supply of bottled oxygen and nitrogen. Farmers worry that
frozen food processors will not be around to purchase their crops.
And it is not just an economic issue. The high cost of wholesale electricity is forc-
ing many businesses and utilities to look at diesel generation as an alternative
source of power. While this may help utilities make it through the winter, it carries
an environmental price tag of hundreds of tons of particulates polluting our air. And
forcing the Bonneville Power Administration to increase generation to make up for
the power being withheld from the market damages our fish runs and undermines
federally-mandated salmon recovery efforts.
WASHINGTON STATES RESPONSE
Unlike other states, Washington declined to deregulate its energy markets. Yet
it has been affected by Californias flawed experiment in deregulation as well as the
federal wholesale deregulation that severed wholesale power generators from utili-
ties traditional obligation to serve. The problems created by these market struc-
tures are now compounded by the record low rainfall and snowpack this year in the
Pacific Northwest, where we are reliant upon hydropower. So while we did not cre-
ate the problems with the market structure, we are nonetheless forced to respond
to them.
In Washington, we are taking several steps at the state level. First, I have called
on the citizens and businesses of my state to reduce energy use by 10 percent.
Thats an ambitious goal, but citizens are responding to my call and we are nearing
that target. I have also directed state agencies and local governments to reduce en-
ergy use by 10 percent. By reducing demand, we are doing what we can to put
downward pressure on price and help utilities from having to purchase power on
the high-priced wholesale spot market.
Second, we are taking steps to increase power generation, both long-term and
short-term. In January, I declared an energy alert under state law to allow utilities
and industries to install and operate temporary generating facilities this winter. We
have also reached agreements with our utilities to allow continual operation of older
peaking plants that are usually limited to a few hundred hours a year. These ac-
tions have brought several hundred megawatts of power on-line to address the im-
mediate need for additional power supplies.
Third, we asked the Washington State Legislature to dedicate funding for low in-
come assistance to augment the federal block grants we currently receive. The de-
mand for assistance this year has far outstripped the federal funding available. The
Legislature recognized this need when it passed its first bill of the 2001 session last
Saturday.
Fourth, we are continuing to site and approve construction of new power plants,
just as we have for the past decade. The state and local authorities have already
approved power plants that will produce more than 3,200 megawatts of power.
Many of these projects are now under construction or ready to break ground. And
the state is in the process of reviewing proposals for plants that can generate an-
other 4,000 megawatts. Clearly, we are taking appropriate steps to increase gener-
ating capacity in our region.
But there is only so much a state government can do. The key to reining in energy
prices is to fix the wholesale market structure. And thats a federal, not a state,
matter. Without federal action to bring high energy costs down to just and reason-
able levels, the prosperity we have worked so hard to achieve during the past dec-
ade could be undermined in a matter of months.
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FEDERAL POLICY MUST ENSURE JUST AND REASONABLE WHOLESALE PRICES
I am pleased that President Bush has appointed Vice President Cheney to chair
an energy task force, and I hope that the task force will work with western gov-
ernors as it develops its strategies. However, based on what I read in the press, I
am concerned that the administrations response to the energy crisis so far is simply
to focus on the exploration and development of new oil and gas supplies in the Arc-
tic and elsewhere.
Such a strategy ignores our immediate problems. It will take several years before
that oil and gas will reach consumers in my state. Because we face potential energy
shortages this summer and fall, and because our utilities and businesses and citi-
zens continue to face volatile energy prices, it is imperative that the administration
and Congress direct their attention to those actions they can take to bring stability
to the wholesale energy market as soon as possible.
I have also been disappointed by the lack of action by the Federal Energy Regu-
latory Commission (FERC), the federal agency charged with overseeing the whole-
sale energy markets. FERC is required by law to ensure that prices for the whole-
sale energy are just and reasonable. On November 1, 2000, and again on Decem-
ber 15, 2000, FERC found that prices for the sale of short-term energy were unjust
and unreasonable. It also found that Californias wholesale short-term energy mar-
kets were severely flawed, and that those flaws provide sellers both the ability and
incentive to exercise undue market power.
Yet, FERCs response has been to rely on market mechanisms to solve the prob-
lem, even while acknowledging that the markets themselves were dysfunctional and
would not by themselves produce just and reasonable prices.
Indeed, last Friday FERC essentially said that any costs at or below $273 per
megawatt hour during a Stage 3 alert would be deemed just and reasonable. In my
opinion, prices in this range are exorbitant and clearly unjustified. They have no
bearing on the costs of energy productioneven with todays high natural gas
pricesand are more than ten times the costs of wholesale power from those of a
year ago.
Moreover, where FERC has imposed modest price caps, they have done so on
wholesale power sales in California only, once again ignoring that the problems of
high energy costs are a problem affecting the entire western United States.
Frankly, I think FERC has been asking the wrong questions. The issue is not
whether we can make energy deregulation work in the long run. The issue is not
whether deregulated markets can be improved. The issue is not whether we should
have patience during a long transition to deregulation.
The issuethe only issue which FERC should now be addressingis how to bring
wholesale energy prices down now. We cant afford to waitnot a month, not six
months, not a year. We need action now.
It is unfortunate that FERC has resisted calls for direct action to bring price sta-
bility to the wholesale energy market. Yet with each passing day, the economy of
my state and all of the western states continue to suffer as the result of high energy
costs. I am hopeful the new members of FERC less trusting of market mechanisms,
and will be more open to taking strong actions to address these adverse economic
impacts.
I applaud this Committee for considering strong measures to bring stability to the
wholesale energy markets in the months to come. I look forward to working with
members of the Committee as it moves forward in its deliberations.
The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much, Governor Locke.
Governor Martz.
STATEMENT OF HON. JUDY MARTZ, GOVERNOR,
STATE OF MONTANA
Governor MARTZ. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and members of the
committee. For the record, my name is Judy Martz and I am the
Governor of the Big Sky State of Montana.
I appreciate the interest of this committee that you have shown
in the struggles of the Western States to deal with this emerging
energy crisis.
I would like to frame my testimony around a simple concept
which is supply. As you know, the Western United States has expe-
rienced substantial growth in population and energy needs in the
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past decade. While we have seen increasing power needs for eco-
nomic development and other consumptive uses, we have seen
nearly zero development in sources to provide additional power.
The primary reason that we have not seen interest in developing
power generation is what we have been living in, the regulated en-
ergy market. There have been no incentives to develop additional
power, and to make matters worse, while we have not developed
additional power generation, there also has been a move to disman-
tle existing power generating facilities.
Montana entered into deregulation in 1997 in an effort to stay
ahead of the curve. Our industrial customers have been deregu-
lated since 1997 and our residential customers will enter into a
free market in 2004.
Unforseen circumstances hit the Western States last summer
with historically low winter snow packs and drought continuing to
present time. This gave us less water to produce electricity through
hydroelectric facilities while maintaining stream flows to comply
with mandates under the Endangered Species Act.
California compounded our problems, both as the largest user of
electricity and as a partially deregulated electricity market. Cali-
fornia capped retail prices and did nothing to address wholesale
generating prices. Adding to the problem, they had not built a gen-
erating plant within the past decade.
With this scenario on place, there was almost no incentive for in-
vestment of additional power nor an investment for California con-
sumers to conserve. The result was a power drain from all North-
western States to meet the demands of the California consumers.
This chain of events has hit Montana hard. Montana industri-
alists that gambled on declining future power prices have been
hurt by the resulting power prices. I could go on over the same lit-
any that Governor Locke has of lost businesses. We have seen sev-
eral closures in Montana, a State whose economic base cannot af-
ford to lose even one single job.
Montana currently has significant or sufficient energy supplies to
meet our own needs. However, because we are tied into the West-
ern grid, any excess energy is pulled to other States. This past
summer, industries that chose to shop for energy found their tradi-
tionally low rates of about $30 per megawatt rise to about $300.
The artificially high prices brought closed for business signs to
several businesses in Montana.
While Montana is facing one of the biggest challenges we have
ever experienced, we are looking at one of the biggest opportunities
we have seen for quite some time.
Montana is a resource rich State. From vast super-compliant coal
fields to miles of timberland in the west, Montana has the natural
resources to quench the thirst for energy across Nation. Montanans
are anxious for the opportunity to contribute to the economic
health of this country through responsible and environmentally
sensible development of these resources.
This Nation has the ability to generate affordable and reliable
energy. But we must be careful that we do not stifle the increasing
interest to development with additional power caps. An overly
heavy-handed Federal Government can stymie efforts to address
the long-term solution for our current energy problem. Capping
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BERT, JR., CHAIRMAN,
STATEMENT OF CURT L. HE
FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION
Mr. HE BERT. Good morning, Mr. Chairman. I will certainly do
that. I have a brief summary here on a couple of pages. I would
ask at the conclusion of that that my summary, as well as my en-
tire statement, be entered into the record, please.
The CHAIRMAN. Without objection.
Mr. HE BERT. Thank you for the opportunity to appear here today
to discuss the topic of Western energy markets and possible legisla-
tive reforms.
Wholesale and retail electricity markets in California and
throughout much of the West are in a state of stress. Wholesale
prices have increased substantially for a variety of reasons. Con-
sumers are implored to conserve as much as possible, and utilities
are facing growing financial difficult. As a result, many now argue
that we need to return to cost-based regulation instead of relying
on market-driven solutions.
First, in my view price caps are not a solution. We need to pro-
mote new supply and load reductions. Market prices are sending
the right signals to both sellers and buyers, at least those not sub-
ject to a rate freeze over which the FERC has no control. Market
prices will increase supply and reduce demand, thus correcting the
current imbalance in the system. A price cap imposed through reg-
ulation or legislation will have exactly the opposite effect.
Second, infrastructure improvements are greatly needed through-
out the West and especially in California. We need to create the ap-
propriate financial incentives to ensure that new generation is
built, that the transmission system is upgraded, and that new gas
pipelines are built as well.
Finally, we need a regional transmission organization, an RTO
for the West. California is not an island. It depends on generation
from outside of the State, as the two Governors to my left have
made clear. The shortages and the prices in California have af-
fected the supply and prices in the rest of the West. A West-wide
RTO will increase market efficiency and trading opportunities for
buyers and sellers throughout the West.
Consistent with these three points, the FERC has been aggres-
sively identifying and implementing market-driven solutions to the
problems: by stabilizing wholesale energy markets, by identifying
additional short-term and long-term measures that will increase
supply and delivery infrastructure, as well as decrease demand, by
promoting the development of a West-wide regional transmission
organization, and by monitoring markets and market conditions.
Let me highlight the commissions most recent actions.
Last Friday, the Commission took further steps to mitigate prices
in California, specifically the prices charged in Californias spot
markets during stage 3 emergencies in January of this year. After
examining prices charged in these periods, the Commission identi-
fied many transactions that warranted further investigation. The
Commission required these sellers to either refund certain amounts
or offset these amounts against amounts owed to them or provide
additional justification for those prices. Specifically, the Commis-
sion required potential refunds or offsets of approximately $69 mil-
lion based on the market clearing price that would have occurred
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if sellers had bid their variable costs into a competitive single price
auction.
The ISO and the California Electricity Oversight Board asked
the Commission to require larger refunds. However, the Commis-
sions order explained the difference between their approach and
the FERCs.
First, they include over $170 million for refunds for non-public
utility sellers, such as the Los Angeles Department of Water and
Power. The Commission has no authority to order any refunds from
those sellers.
Second, they include refunds for sales during all hours of Janu-
ary. The Commission limited its approach to stage 3 emergency
hours when supply and demand imbalance is most severe and sell-
ers know their power is most needed.
Third, they use a pay-as-bid approach instead of the Commis-
sions proxy market clearing price approach and they use bids only
slightly above variable costs.
Finally, they include refunds for December 2000. The Commis-
sion will address the December transactions in a separate order.
The Commissions approach fully protects consumers from exercises
of market power during emergency conditions while still providing
clear price signals encouraging sorely needed new generation and
load reductions.
Also last Friday, the Commissions staff issued a proposal on how
the Commission should monitor and mitigate prices in Californias
wholesale spot power markets. This proposal is based on monitor-
ing and mitigating prices on a before-the-fact basis instead of
through after-the-fact refunds.
After receiving and considering public comment, the Commission
intends to implement appropriate changes to its current market
monitoring and mitigation requirements by May 1st of this year.
Yesterday, the Commission issued an order seeking to increase
energy supplies in California and the West. It is our intention to
squeeze absolutely every megawatt out of the California system
that is possible for this summer.
The Commission implemented certain measures immediately.
For example, the Commission streamlined regulatory procedures
for wholesale electric power sales, expedited certification of natural
gas pipeline projects in California and the West, and urged all li-
censees to review their FERC-licensed hydroelectric projects in
order to assess the potential for increased generating capacity.
The Commission also proposed and sought comment on other
measures such as incentive rates for new transmission facilities
and natural gas pipeline facilities completed by certain dates this
year or next.
Let me close, Mr. Chairman, by emphasizing that the Commis-
sion remains willing to work in a cooperative and constructive
manner with other Federal and State agencies. The Commission
will continue to take steps that, consistent with its authority, can
help to ease the present energy situation without jeopardizing
longer-term supply solutions. As long as we keep moving toward
competitive and regional markets, I am confident that the present
energy problems, while serious, can and will be solved. I am also
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in the last year. California power consumers face near-daily pleas to conserve. Cali-
fornia load-serving utilities are under severe financial stress. Companies supplying
wholesale power into California are unsure how much, or even whether, they will
be paid for their supplies.
While the situation in California is not representative of other parts of the coun-
try that are successfully developing competitive markets, it nevertheless under-
scores the fundamental infrastructure problems facing the country. The demand for
electricity continues to expand while supply fails to keep pace. The development and
licensing of new hydroelectric capacitywhich provides much of the existing power
supply in the Westis nearly exhausted. Very little fossil-fired generation has been
added in many regions of the country over the last few years, and in California no
major plants have been added in the last decade. And the existing electric trans-
mission grid is often fully loaded and, absent necessary expansion, is often incapable
of delivering power to those regions where it is valued the most.
I would like to make three main points with respect to these problems and to
identify the steps the Commission is taking to address these problems.
First, price caps are not a long-term solution. We need to promote new supply and
load reductions. Market prices are sending the right signals to both sellers and buy-
ers (at least those not subject to a rate freeze). Market prices will increase supply
and reduce demand, thus correcting the current imbalance. Lowering prices artifi-
cially will have exactly the opposite effect.
Second, infrastructure improvements are greatly needed throughout the West and
especially in California. We need to create the appropriate financial incentives to
ensure that new generation is built, that the transmission system is upgraded and
that new gas pipelines are built.
Finally, we need a regional transmission organization (RTO) for the West. Califor-
nia is not an island. It depends on generation from outside the State. The shortages
and the prices in California have affected the supply and prices in the rest of the
West. The Western transmission system is an integrated grid, and buyers and sell-
ers need non-discriminatory access to all transmission facilities in the West. A West-
wide RTO will increase market efficiency and trading opportunities for buyers and
sellers throughout the West.
Consistent with these three points, the Commission continues aggressively to
identify and implement solutions to the problems:
First, in recent months, the Commission has issued a number of orders intended
to restore market stability. The Commission has acted to move utilities out of vola-
tile spot markets to enable them to develop a portfolio of risk reducing and credit-
worthy contracts.
Second, my fellow Commissioners and I are working to identify and adopt addi-
tional measures that will increase supply and delivery infrastructure, as well as re-
duce demand for electricity in the Western Interconnection.
Third, the Commission is continuing to work with market participants on develop-
ing, as quickly as possible, a West-wide regional transmission organization. Such an
organization will bring a regional perspective and offer regional solutions to regional
problems.
Fourth, the Commission is monitoring market prices and market conditions with
the goal of ensuring long-term confidence in Western markets. Moreover, the Com-
missions staff has proposed a new plan to monitor and, when appropriate, mitigate
the price of electric energy sold in Californias spot markets on a before-the-fact
basis, instead of addressing prices through after-the-fact refunds. The Commission
intends to act on this proposal by May 1, 2001.
By itself, however, the Commission can contribute only a small part of the solu-
tion to todays energy problems. A more comprehensive and permanent solution re-
quires the involvement of the states and other federal agencies and departments.
I am encouraged by all of the hard work and effort undertaken in recent months
by the State of California and other Western states. The issues are difficult and the
stakes are high. While reasonable minds can differ over the appropriate solutions
to these problems, the Commission is committed to resolving these problems delib-
eratively.
An attachment to my testimony provides an analysis by Commission staff of the
specific provisions of pending bills (S. 26, S. 80, S. 287, and amendment No. 12 to
S. 287) that are the focus of todays hearing.
II. HOW DID WE GET INTO THIS SITUATION?
A. Legislative Design
The State of California has been widely questioned for its restructuring legislation
(A.B. 1890), enacted in 1996. While mistakes were made, California is to be com-
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52
mended for realizing that consumers are better off if supply and pricing decisions
are based on market mechanisms, not bureaucratic fiat. The premise of this legisla-
tion is that consumers will enjoy lower rates and increased service options, without
compromising reliability of service, if electricity providers are motivated to serve by
market forces and competitive opportunities.
There were two major flaws in Californias market design. First, the three utilities
were forced to divest almost half of their own generation, and buy and sell power
exclusively through the spot markets of the California Power Exchange (PX). This
prevented the utilities from hedging their risks by developing a portfolio of short-
term and long-term energy products. Second, the State mandated a retail rate re-
duction and freeze, eliminating any incentives for demand reduction, discouraging
entry by competitors for retail sales and, more recently, threatening the financial
health of the three utilities by delaying or denying their recovery of billions of dol-
lars in costs incurred to provide service to retail customers.
However, Californias situation does not demonstrate the failure of electricity com-
petition. To the contrary, it demonstrates the need to embrace competition fully, in-
stead of tentatively. Other states, such as Pennsylvania, have been successful in im-
plementing electricity competition. California needs to move forward on the competi-
tive path it has chosen, allow new generation and transmission to be sited and built,
and allow its citizens to benefit from the lower rates, higher reliability, and wider
variety of service options that a truly competitive marketplace can provide.
B. Other Factors
Until last year, Californias spot market prices were substantially lower than even
Californias mandated rate freeze level. This allowed the California utilities to pay
down billions of dollars of costs incurred during cost-of-service regulation. However,
several events resulted in higher spot electricity prices beginning last summer.
Those events included one of the hottest summers and driest years in history, as
well as several years of unexpectedly strong load growth. Other factors influencing
prices recently include:
Unusually cold temperatures earlier this winter in the West and Northwest;
California generation was unavailable to supply normal winter exports to the
Northwest;
Very little generation was added in the West, particularly in Washington, Or-
egon and California, during the last decade;
Environmental restrictions limited the full use of power resources in the region;
Scheduled and unscheduled outages, particularly at old and inefficient generat-
ing units, removed large amounts of capacity from service; and
Natural gas prices increased significantly, due to higher commodity prices, in-
creased gas demand, low storage, and constraints on the delivery system.
Taken together, these factors demonstrate that the present problems in electricity
markets are not just California problems. Normal export and import patterns
throughout the West have been disrupted. Reserve margins throughout the West
are shrinking. Already this winter, when the demand for electricity is relatively low,
Stage 3 emergencies in California have become commonplace.
III. THE COMMISSION HAS TAKEN IMPORTANT STEPS TO HELP
These problems require bold and decisive action. Both the federal government and
state governments have critical roles to play in promoting additional energy supply
and deliverability and decreasing demand. Through its authority to set rates for
transmission and wholesale power and to regulate interstate natural gas pipelines
and non-federal hydroelectric facilities in interstate commerce, the Commission can
take a range of measures to promote a better balance of supply and demand, but
its jurisdiction is limited. The Commission can set pricing policies which encourage
entry, but it is state regulators that have siting authority for electric generation and
transmission facilities, as well as authority over local distribution facilities (both for
electricity and natural gas). These authorities can go a long way in improving the
grid for both electricity and natural gas. More importantly, state regulators have the
most significant authorities to encourage demand reduction measures, which can
greatly mitigate the energy problems in California and the West.
A. Promoting Market Stability
In an order issued on December 15, 2000, the Commission adopted a series of re-
medial measures designed to stabilize wholesale electricity markets in California
and to correct wholesale market dysfunctions. The Commission recognized that the
primary flaw in the California market design was the requirement for the three
California utilities to buy and sell solely in spot markets. The Commission con-
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cluded that the foremost remedy was to end this requirement and allow the utilities,
first, to use their own remaining generation resources to meet demands and, second,
to meet much of their remaining needs for power through forward contract pur-
chases. This measure freed up 25,000 MW of generation that the utilities owned or
controlled, which could be used directly to serve their load without having to sell
it into the Power Exchange and buy it back at a much higher spot price. Our action
returned to California the ability to regulate over one-half of its peak load require-
ments.
B. The Commissions Latest Efforts
Last Friday, the Commission took further steps to mitigate prices in California,
specifically the prices charged in Californias spot markets during Stage 3 emer-
gencies in January of this year. After examining prices charged in these periods, the
Commission identified many transactions that warranted further investigation. The
Commission required these sellers to either refund certain amounts (or offset these
amounts against amounts owed to them) or provide additional information justifying
their prices. Specifically, the Commission required refunds or offsets of approxi-
mately $69 million dollars, or all prices charged during Stage 3 hours in excess of
$273 per megawatthour. This analysis seeks to use a proxy price based on the mar-
ket clearing price that would have occurred had the sellers bid their variable costs
into a competitive single price auction.
The ISO and the California Electricity Oversight Board (California parties)
asked the Commission to require larger refunds. However, the Commission ex-
plained the difference between their approach and the Commissions. First, they in-
cluded over $170 million for refunds from non-public utility sellers, such as the Los
Angeles Department of Water and Power. The Commission has no authority to order
any refunds from these sellers. Second, they included refunds for sales during all
hours of January; the Commission limited its approach to Stage 3 Emergency hours,
when the supply/demand imbalance is most severe and sellers know their power is
most needed. Third, they used a pay-as-bid approach instead of the Commissions
proxy market clearing price approach and they used bids only slightly above (10 per-
cent) variable costs. Finally, they included refunds for December 2000; the Commis-
sion will address the December transactions in a separate order. In sum, the Com-
missions approach fully protects consumers from possible exercises of market power
during emergency conditions while still providing clear price signals encouraging
sorely needed new generation and load reductions.
Also last Friday, the Commissions staff issued a proposal on how the Commission
should monitor and mitigate prices in Californias wholesale spot power markets.
This proposal is based on monitoring and mitigating prices on a before-the-fact
basis, instead of through after-the-fact refunds. Comments on the staffs proposal
are due on March 22nd. After receiving and considering public comment, the Com-
mission intends to implement appropriate changes to its current market monitoring
and mitigation requirements by May 1, 2001.
IV. OTHER WAYS IN WHICH THE COMMISSION CAN HELP
Since the supply of electricity in California and the West this summer may be sig-
nificantly less than the demand, we must do more than just hope for mild weather
and rain. We must focus on measures that will promote electricity supply and deliv-
erability and decrease demand. Such measures are critical if we are to meet our goal
of ensuring an adequate supply of power for consumers at reasonable prices.
An important element in this effort is upgrading energy deliverabilitythrough
enhancements to electrical transmission and natural gas pipeline systems. Without
these upgrades, constraints and bottlenecks increasingly will block energy supplies
from reaching load.
With these concerns in mind, the Commission must remove obstacles to increased
generation and supply in Western markets. Similarly, the Commission must identify
and develop strong incentives to build necessary electric and natural gas infrastruc-
ture. The Commission, by itself, cannot solve all of the energy problems facing Cali-
fornia and the West. But, we may be able to offer valuable short-term contributions
to help ease the current shortages, as well as medium- and long-term contributions
to help avert future recurrences. My fellow Commissioners and I have discussed
such steps and we hope to implement a wide range of such steps in the near future.
V. PRICE CAPS WOULD MAKE THINGS WORSE
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order of December 15, 2000, and, accordingly, is pending before the Commission. For
this reason, I cannot debate the specific merits of price caps for California or the
West. However, I will reiterate briefly the views I have stated publicly on this issue.
As a general matter, I do not believe that price caps promote long-term consumer
welfare. Price caps will not increase energy supply and deliverability or decrease de-
mand. Instead, price caps will deter supply and discourage conservation. At this
critical time, legislators and regulators need to do everything they can to promote
supply and conservation, not discourage them.
My belief is based on experience, not just economic theory. The summer of 1998
demonstrates my point. Then, wholesale electricity prices in the Midwest spiked up
significantly. The Commission resisted pleas for immediate constraining action, such
as price caps. Subsequently, suppliers responded to the market-driven price signals,
and today the Midwest is not experiencing supply deficiencies.
In short, price caps can have long-term harmful effects because they do not pro-
vide appropriate price signals and may exacerbate supply deficiencies. Supply and
demand cannot balance in the long-term if prices are capped.
With respect to the bills that are the subject of todays hearing, I do not believe
Congress should mandate specific ratemaking standards for the Commission to
carry out. The Commission already has sufficient authority to implement price caps
if the Commission determined they were needed.
S. 26 and S. 287 would require cost-of-service based rates, while S. 80 would
require cost-based rates. Either of these cost standards likely would require on-
the-record, trial-type procedures which would be lengthy, costly and contentious.
Litigating such a rate case for one seller requires a significant commitment of re-
sources. Concurrently litigating such cases for scores of sellers in the West would
be overwhelming both for the Commission and the industry. Moreover, neither buy-
ers nor sellers would be sure of the prices until the conclusion of this litigation. This
delay in price certainty would be unfair to customers and discourage new invest-
ments by suppliers.
Many leaders share these views. In a letter to the Secretary of Energy, dated Feb-
ruary 6, 2001, eight Western governors expressed their opposition to regional price
caps. They explained that [t]hese caps will serve as a severe disincentive to those
entities considering the construction of new electric generation, at precisely the time
all of usand particularly Californiaare in need of added plant construction.
In the face of the current challenges, we all must have an open mind to any pro-
posals that may mitigate the energy problems in the West. I remain unconvinced
that price caps will help solve the problems and I do not believe they are in the
long-term interest of consumers.
VI. CONCLUSION
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be very careful through this process because, quite frankly, the one
thing that we must give to this industry is certainty.
Senator BINGAMAN. Which industry is that?
Mr. HE BERT. The energy industry. We have got to give certainty
because it is only fair to give certainty so that the consumers in
the end can get not only the supply they deserve but the supply
at a cost that they deserve to receive it at. If we get this out of
balance and if we start injecting ourselves anytime prices might get
high, we are going to cut off any conservation measures, we are
going to cut off price indications which, quite frankly, would bring
in needed infrastructure to regions like California.
Senator BINGAMAN. Why did you limit your order to January? Do
you intend to address other months?
Mr. HE BERT. We are addressing February by the end of the
week.
Senator BINGAMAN. But you are not going to address anything
prior to January?
Mr. HE BERT. Well, we are. The problem that we are running into
right now, as far as turning it around as quickly as we did Janu-
ary, when we set the December 15 order into motion, when we
issued it, the $150 breakpoint which required the reporting re-
quirements, which this will prove the necessity of that and the ben-
efit of it, did not kick in until January 1. So, we did not automati-
cally get the information that is required to make that type of deci-
sion. We are gathering that now. I have instructed the staff to
move at all deliberate speed and we are going to turn this around
quickly I assure you. So, we are looking at December as well and
we are looking at the other months.
Senator BINGAMAN. The other months being prior to December.
Mr. HE BERT. Forward. The other months are subject to rehearing
at this point and we will rule on that later.
Senator BINGAMAN. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman.
The CHAIRMAN. Senator Bingaman, we have got a vote on. We
have two votes, as I understand it. I believe you have agreed to be
kind enough to come back after the votes. I have an annual com-
mitment that occurs today beginning at noon. So, I would encour-
age the Senators to probably recess and come back and catch both
votes. I was under the impression that there was one vote, but now
there are two.
Senator CRAIG. Mr. Chairman, you have got a time crunch with
these Governors.
The CHAIRMAN. I understand. Let us go ahead and ask a ques-
tion. Perhaps we can conclude with the Governors at least. I do not
know how else to play it.
Senator FEINSTEIN. Mr. Chairman, I think it is extraordinarily
important to hear from the utilities. That is where there is $13 bil-
lion of debt.
The CHAIRMAN. We will ensure that. Let us finish with the Gov-
ernors.
Senator Craig.
Senator CRAIG. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I will be brief. I ap-
preciate our circumstance and the circumstance of the Governors.
Governors, as a neighboring State, do not think I am not sen-
sitive to this problem. Oregon and Washington quite often get men-
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that period of time. That is what we are trying to get FERC to ad-
dress, to not have this happen this summer because I believe it will
happen absent some control. I can relate this directly. I do not be-
grudge anybody making a profit, but the profit is extraordinary.
Mr. HE BERT. Let me say this. I will be glad to give you a formal
answer, as I have done on some other measures that you have re-
quested, on this chart.
Let me just say I do want to make it clear obviously to you and
for the record itself, I have never felt like, nor do I currently feel,
that we should not be very clear in what we are trying to do for
consumers as well. Actually my comment a moment ago said that.
Give certainty to the industry and consumers as well when it
comes to not only getting adequate supply and having it delivered,
but having it delivered at a reasonable price.
Now, we are moving forward with measures right nowI know
you have seen the orders. I have forwarded them to your office
where the staff is recommending market mitigation. It will be ex
ante mitigation, so we will do it immediately as opposed to coming
back and dealing with refunds. It would certainly give the type of
certainty that you are looking for I believe.
I do not think there is any question. I think you and I agree we
had a great conversation in your office. The market has problems
certainly during periods. We have seen some price volatility. We
are going to figure out a way to get through that. I think we are
doing that right now.
I know that you know the commitment of the Commission and
that the Commission is working very hard to respond to these
problems. We have almost issued something on a weekly basis in
trying to respond and correct this. I will give you a further com-
ment on it, but I want you to know we are resolving it.
Senator CANTWELL. I want to thank the panel as well, and I
think I will submit my question in writing, Mr. He bert, about your
decision as it relates to last Friday on power producers, on refunds,
and specifically consideration of Washington State and the North-
west.
Unfortunately, we have to go and vote and I want to make sure
our Governor has a chance to talk to some of the Northwest folks
who are here before adjourning. We will be back and would love
to, if you are still available, either individually respond to some of
these questions. But I do want to thank the Governors for being
here as well.
Notwithstanding the previous comment about the red-eye, I want
to thank Governor Locke. Given that our States earthquake has
caused significant damage to the State capital, your office is not
without a home but is not in the State capital right now and we
have been greatly displaced. So, your time and focus on this issue,
as well as that, is much appreciated. Thank you.
[Recess.]
Senator BINGAMAN [presiding]. Could we find the witnesses and
we will go ahead with this next final panel.
[Pause.]
Senator BINGAMAN. Why do we not go ahead. What we would
like to do, if we could, on this panel is to have everybody summa-
rize their statement, make the points that they believe are most es-
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On January 31, 2001, my colleague, Steve Frank, President and CEO of Southern
California Edison, testified before you on the very serious problems threatening
Southern California Edison, California and the West. A month and a half later, the
same threats remain, becoming more immediate with every passing day. I will not
repeat Mr. Franks testimony, but some review is necessary.
As of the end of January of this year, after nine months of buying wholesale elec-
tricity at unjust and unreasonable prices and reselling at artificially low prices,
Southern California Edison incurred $5.5 billion in undercollections. We financed
the shortfall by borrowing in unprecedented amounts until we exhausted our credit.
To preserve our limited cash reserves we suspended payment for power and some
of our outstanding debts. Our creditors have been extraordinarily patient, largely
because everyone realizes that there are no real winners in a bankruptcy and be-
cause we and the state are taking steps to address this crisis. Southern California
Edison has implemented major cost reduction measures including reduced capital
expenditures and layoffs. And we eliminated common dividend payments for the
first time in our 100-year history. Now, we are essentially out of the power procure-
ment business, although it remains somewhat uncertain whether we will be ex-
pected to pay for power that the state is procuring through the Department of
Water Resources.
Since January, the Department of Water Resources has been the major buyer of
electricity in the state. It is spending $45 million or more per day to keep the lights
on. To date, the state has spent approximately $3 billion in power procurement
costs, quickly going through its reserves. Although the state is attempting to reduce
its reliance on the spot market by entering into long-term contracts with generators,
this has been a difficult task because prices for the near-term remain extraor-
dinarily high throughout the West.
The Governor and the state legislature have also been working to return Southern
California Edison and Pacific Gas & Electric to some semblance of fiscal health. A
key feature of the Governors plan is the purchase of the utilities transmission sys-
tems by the state. I understand that some in Washington have reservations about
this. Certainly, we would have preferred not to do this. We would have preferred
to obtain gradual retail rate increases and meaningful federal action to reform a
broken wholesale electricity market. Our countless efforts to this endin the courts,
at FERC and elsewherehave met with no success. Indeed, many of the people who
have been most critical of the states purchase of our transmission have opposed an
affirmative federal role in addressing this crisis and have told California to solve
this problem itself. I ask them to put themselves in our position. What choice do
we have? What better alternative do you offer?
We continue to negotiate the details with the state. However, nothing we, or the
state, can do will adequately address the broken wholesale market. Make no mis-
take, this broken market continues to guarantee unjust and unreasonable prices
that are a principal impediment to a realistic solution to this crisis.
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) is obligated under the Fed-
eral Power Act to ensure just and reasonable rates. FERC found wholesale rates in
California to be unjust and unreasonable on November 1, 2000. FERC reiterated
this finding in its December 15, 2000 order when it imposed a soft cap of $150.
Since then, and possibly as a result of FERCs order, wholesale prices have climbed
and have stayed at levels more than twice the soft price cap. As illustrated in the
chart attached to my testimony, prices before the FERC finding averaged up to as
much as $152.65/MWh in August 2000. After the FERC finding on November 1,
prices continued to rise to $219.28/MWh in December and reached $260.23 in Janu-
ary 2001 after the FERC order imposed the soft cap.
After months of complaints and literally thousands of pages of pleadings, reports
and evidence establishing that Californias wholesale electricity market is broken,
FERC at long last issued an order on March 9 that might require 13 California
power sellers to refund $69 million for sales in January 2001. Even if FERC actually
orders such refunds, this would be less than one and one-half days worth of state
spending on power. In contrast, the Independent System Operator (ISO) petitioned
FERC for refunds totaling $315 million in January.
FERC ruled that prices up to and including $273 per megawatt hour were accept-
able for January, and apparently that any prices charged at times other than peri-
ods of Stage 3 emergencies are acceptable also. There is good reason to question the
economic assumptions underlying FERCs order. I will note one of those concerns
here.
$273 per MWh is nearly ten times higher than the average wholesale price in
January 2000 of $30 per MWh. A more legitimate definition of just and reasonable
rates would have resulted in refunds for January five times higher. And what about
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preceding months? FERC itself found wholesale prices in California to be unjust and
unreasonable long before any Stage 3 emergencies were ever declared.
Of additional concern is the FERC staff Recommendation on Prospective Market
Monitoring and Mitigation, also issued on March 9 of this year. Under this proposal,
the soft caps will end on May 1, 2001, and a limit on real time market prices equal
to the highest-cost generator will be put in place only during emergency conditions
such as Stage 3 alerts. At other times, no market power mitigation will exist what-
soever for Californias dysfunctional market. If adopted, this proposal would leave
California at a much greater risk of market power exploitation than during 2000.
FERCs too little, too late attempt to address this crisis makes it all the more
important to adopt Senator Feinsteins bill, S. 287. Only temporary cost-plus whole-
sale caps will adequately address the problems in our broken market. Without fed-
eral action compelling it to do so, it is clear that FERC will not act to ensure just
and reasonable wholesale rates in California or the rest of the West.
Those who argue against such intervention should be aware that FERC, itself, has
now imposed a cost cap (at least for January), but one that appears to us to be too
high and too selectively applied to be useful. Moreover, it is established after-the-
fact. This means that those selling into California do not know at the time they sell
what price will be deemed acceptable by FERC. I would suggest that establishing,
for some limited period of time, a system of cost-plus regulation for all WSCC gen-
erators, as Senator Feinsteins bill would do, is far preferable to FERCs after-the-
fact caps. I emphasize here that this is a remedy for the West.
If wholesale prices are not comprehensively, though temporarily, regulated it will
not matter what the state does. The extraordinary transfer of wealth from Califor-
nia and the West to power generators will continue to benefit only a handful of com-
panies at the expense of the economies of the entire region.
Were there mistakes in how California designed and implemented its restructur-
ing? Absolutely. But, as I think is now apparent to this Committee, this is not only
a California problem, and California alone cannot resolve it. Other states in the
West are already feeling the effects of unprecedented growth and a tight supply of
electricity. Many states have raised rates and imposed strict conservation measures.
Others, including California, have acted to expedite siting and construction of new
generation. While these actions will help address the long-term problems in a man-
ner that may ultimately produce a workably competitive wholesale electricity mar-
ket in the West, we will never get there if the short-term crisis is not addressed.
For this reason, we urge prompt passage of S. 287. It provides for temporary im-
position of cost-plus rates similar to those with which FERC has ample experience.
It offers generators a healthy return on their investment, especially when you con-
sider that some generators in the California market have already recovered all of
their initial investment in the plants they bought.
We understand Senator Gordon Smiths concerns in wanting California to raise
retail rates in line with increasing wholesale electricity prices. We, after all, have
borne directly the brunt of Californias failure to do this, and have done everything
we know, from litigation to negotiation, to obtain an increase in the costs we may
recover from retail consumers. We agree that an increase in retail rates is long over-
due, but such action must be complemented by federal action on cost-plus wholesale
rates to bring this market under control. Senator Smiths amendment acknowledges
the need for action at both the state and federal levels, and we appreciate that ac-
knowledgement.
Some argue that cost-plus profit caps will discourage additional generation, but:
1) it should not take exorbitant profits to encourage entry into the California mar-
ket; 2) much generation is being planned elsewhere in the country where electricity
prices are far lower; and finally, 3) if a generators costs are covered and they are
assured of earning a reasonable profit, this will be an attractive proposition.
Some may also argue that this regulation will be too difficult to implement and
too burdensome. Lets all remember that before FERC authorized market-based
rates for this generation, all except the newest of this generation was subject to
cost-of service regulation. It has been done. It can be done again. There is nothing
novel or unduly complicated about this.
Let there be no misunderstanding about the absolute necessity of federal action
here. Average prices per KWh have increased from 5 or 6 cents to as high as $1.80.
If consumers were exposed to all of these price increases, it would be analogous to
paying $20 for a gallon of milk or a gallon of gasoline. If this were any other prod-
uct, continued federal inaction would be intolerable. It should not be different just
because we are talking about electricity. If anything, the case is more compelling
because electricity is not a luxury; it is an essential service. And no one can afford
the luxury of waiting any longer for federal action.
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Finally, let there be no doubt that continued inaction will only serve to further
erode trust in our governmental institutions ability to respond adequately to eco-
nomic crises. Throughout this crisis and our efforts to work our way out of it, we
have heard plenty on the principles of a free market. But a workable free market
in California does not exist. California may have been the first to restructure, ad-
mittedly with disastrous results, but it is also clear that state and federal agencies
have shown themselves incapable of responding efficiently to a very dynamic situa-
tion. The California Public Utilities Commission failed to provide timely authority
for power contracting and failed to affirm our right under federal law to recover our
wholesale procurement costs in retail rates. The FERC has been similarly slow to
act to ensure just and reasonable wholesale rates or to deal adequately with this
crisis. For example, we are still being fined by FERC for not scheduling load in a
day-ahead market that has been non-existent for two months.
Californias mistakes aside, we can understand other states stepping back from
deregulation until they develop more generation and receive stronger signals that
our governmental institutions are up to the task and can be trusted to respond effi-
ciently to avoid results diametrically opposed to the consumer benefits sought by de-
regulation.
Thank you.
Senator BINGAMAN. Thank you very much.
Steve Baum, who is chairman, CEO and president of Sempra.
Glad to have you here.
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Let me begin by commending you, Mr. Chairman, and Senator Feinstein, for
working toward helping to solve the ongoing energy crisis. Sempra Energy recently
testified before this Committee regarding actions that we believe the federal govern-
ment must take to stabilize the chaotic energy marketplace, actions that only the
federal government can take because it pre-empts state action in this wholesale
market. We are pleased that Senator Feinsteins bill, S. 287, seeks to implement
Cost of Service Plus electric energy rates, an action that we have advocated as a
necessary, near term step in solving the energy crisis.
First, I would like to speak to a question I have heard regarding whether the
order issued by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) last Friday,
March 9, addresses the problems in the western market. Let me be very clear about
our assessment of that order. In that order, the FERC drastically limited potential
refunds for sales into the electricity market during January. After numerous FERC
pronouncements on the California electricity crisis, the Commission has crafted a
strange, new, one-price-fits-all cut off point for reviews of transactions that does not
appear to be based upon any of its preceding work. While after many months of in-
action we are heartened by FERCs attention to this crisis, the Commissions action
is far too little and far too late. As noted in the dissent, this order, limiting the
potential for refunds to transactions that occurred during State 3 alert hours and
bids in excess of a $273 proxy market clearing price, is arbitrary, capricious and an
abuse of discretion. This order will do little to discipline the wholesale electricity
market. If anything, this order solidifies my support for S. 287.
S. 287
S. 287 takes a critical step toward instituting a much needed cooling-off period
for Californias chaotic energy market by imposing Cost of Service Plus rates.
Under Cost of Service Plus rates, each existing generator would provide to FERC
the unit cost per kwh to operate its plants. FERC would then include a profit mar-
gin to the price per kwh that is high enough to provide generators with an incentive
to continue producing energy but low enough to meet consumers concerns regarding
energy prices. It is important to note that nothing in this proposal should be viewed
as a disincentive to new construction. I strongly believe that new generation facili-
ties should not be subject to such a cap. To stimulate additional investment in need-
ed generation facilities in the West, new construction should be rewarded by being
permitted to charge market rates.
Other market participants involved in the energy crisis have testified before this
Committee and have argued that the cause of high electric commodity prices is the
high cost of natural gas and the high cost of environmental compliance. They have
pointed out that the costs of operating the different types of generation facilities
vary widely, and that a flat cap would be a disincentive to supply. These arguments
are all addressed by the proposal in S. 287, as the actual costs of operating each
plant would be accounted for in the price that could be charged. By avoiding the
implementation of a one size fits all price cap, Cost of Service Plus rates would
protect both consumers, by providing price stability, and generators, by assuring
that plant costs, including a profit, will be fully covered.
I endorse this concept with the understanding that price caps are clearly not a
long-term solution to the energy crisis. However, when a market is as broken as the
western region is today, failure to protect consumers from runaway prices while the
market is being fixed is simply not an acceptable alternative. When astronomically
high prices were passed directly through to consumers in San Diego over the sum-
mer of 2000, the economic shock was severe. In fact, in California we experienced
a reality that some economists are ignoring in this situation: there is also an issue
of political elasticity; which is that consumers will not long tolerate prices that are
so completely disconnected from actual costs. The magnitude of the crisis requires
an immediate tempering of the market to reach a solution that is fair and reason-
able to both electric producers and consumers. Cost of Service Plus rates offer that
solution.
At the same time, I would be remiss if I did not mention efforts undertaken by
me and others at Sempra Energy to argue strenuously before Governor Davis, the
California Public Utilities Commission, and the Legislature for a demand side re-
sponse to help solve this crisis. I believe that an orderly and predictable relaxation
of the retail price caps will provide appropriate incentives for consumers to reduce
their energy consumption. We expect that a demand response to incrementally in-
creased retail rates will enable California to avoid blackouts during the upcoming
summer months. We would also expect that reduced demand would place downward
pressure on the wholesale price of electricity. Demand can be also reduced if rate
designs are developed to charge more for increased use of electricity and if cus-
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tomers had energy meters that allowed them to see on a real time basis the impact
of higher usage on the price they will pay for electricity.
Because Senator Feinsteins proposal addresses a dysfunctional market, I strongly
agree with the concept in S. 287 that the caps must only be a temporary provision.
Some opponents have argued that there is no such thing as a temporary cap. I dis-
agree. Building into the authorization a sunset provision, whether a date certain or,
as in this bill, a change in condition in the marketplace, fully addresses this argu-
ment.
Another argument used against caps is the pragmatic one: that they simply dont
work. Opponents have pointed to the caps in California to show that caps failed to
control prices. Indeed, caps triggered actions to circumvent them. The major way to
circumvent them was to move into the broader western regional market instead of
the one-state market of California. Again, S. 287 addresses that problem by impos-
ing a cap that is region wide, protecting all of the consumers in the western states.
HIGH GAS PRICES IN CALIFORNIA
As I have already stated, the approach to price caps proposed in this bill address-
es the impact of natural gas costs on the costs of generation. Nonetheless I would
like to take a moment to address that particular question.
First, I do not concede the statement that some witnesses have made before this
Committee that natural gas prices of themselves explain the explosion in electricity
prices in California. That is simply an oversimplification of natural gas supply and
demand, which I will discuss later in my testimony. Rather, while there is limited
cost-of-service justification for the astronomically high price of electric energy that
has been seen over the past nine months in California, the interrelationship be-
tween the price of natural gas and the magnitude of change in electric commodity
prices is terribly out of alignment. For example, in the summer of 2000, the price
of natural gas was $3.50 per mcf, yet the electric commodity price was as high as
$2,000 per MWh. To me, these numbers provide little justification for the skyrocket-
ing electric prices that have been charged in the wholesale market, contrary to what
has been argued.
A good example of this argument can be found in the letter sent to this Commit-
tee by Mr. Keith Bailey, CEO of the Williams Company on February 14, 2001. In
his letter, Mr. Bailey concluded that the cost of electrical generation in California
is high, largely due to the high cost of natural gas. We have reviewed that letter
and rebutted some of its conclusions in a letter that we have sent to the Committee
under separate cover.
In short, I have heard no explanation that adequately or reasonably correlates
high electric prices with the increased cost of natural gas. While it is fair to suggest
that there has been upward pressure on electric rates as a result of increased natu-
ral gas prices (resulting from year round rather than cyclical demand and storage
shortages), I have seen no evidence suggesting that high natural gas prices justify
the skyrocketing electricity prices we have seen recently.
However, we do believe that the recent escalation in natural gas prices at the
California border has made it exceptionally difficult to negotiate with sellers of elec-
tricity for reasonably priced power, has led to extremely adverse impacts on the
California economy, and has rendered largely meaningless FERCs soft cap on
wholesale electric prices. On February 6, 2000, FERC issued Order No. 637 on an
experimental basis. In that order the Commission waived its regulations that had
capped capacity release transaction rates at the interstate pipelines maximum firm
transportation rate. The result of this failed experiment has been a substantial in-
crease in the price of natural gas at the border of Californianot because of an in-
crease in the cost of the commodity, but because of vast increases in the imputed
value of using the pipe.
While well intentioned, eliminating the cap did not achieve the objective of a more
transparent and liquid market, and in fact had the unintended consequence of in-
creasing the price of delivered gas at the California border to levels far beyond what
the market had experienced to that point. For example, at one point last December
the average daily cost of gas delivered to California shot up to $59.42/mmBtu (with
some purchases at the $70.00 level), while the cost of the gas itself was around
$10.00/mmBtu. Thus the imputed value of delivery to the California border, which
under regulation was $0.67/mmBtu, rose to S49.00/mmBtu.
If Congress were to address this problem in conjunction with the electricity Cost
of Service Plus price cap under consideration in S. 287, the combined impact could
help lower the ultimate price of electricity throughout the western region. This is
the case because the cost-of-service cap would make wholesale electricity sales re-
flective of the actual cost-of-service, and reinstatement of the cap on pipeline capac-
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ity transactions would help limit the input costs of generators and eliminate de-
mands for pricing premiums based on stated concerns over the delivered price of
natural gas.
Furthermore, the price of gas in California has compounded the price impact of
electricity for residential consumers and businesses, some of whom are seeing price
spikes for both commodities at the same time. If the Congress were to require FERC
to terminate the ill-fated experiment in waiving the cap on the secondary market,
we would anticipate a substantial reduction in the average price and volatility of
delivered natural gas prices at the California border.
Congress should also require FERC to develop regulations that require interstate
shippers to disclose separately the cost of the gas and the cost of the transportation
of the natural gas when selling bundled gas and transportation services. Such a pro-
vision will clearly identify to natural gas market participants the key components
of pricing of natural gas and, by leading to greater price transparency, would pro-
vide FERC the tools it needs to enforce the cap. By clearly delineating pricing infor-
mation, market participants can make better decisions about their gas purchases,
and regulators will be better equipped to enforce their regulations and understand
the economic drivers in the current natural gas marketplace.
I would reiterate that the provision for a Cost of Service Plus electricity price
cap in S. 287 already addresses any impact of natural gas prices on electric genera-
tion costs, by factoring them into the allowable charges for each facility. But these
prices themselves exhibit problems that must be addressed. As a result, it is imper-
ative that FERC be required to re-impose caps on interstate natural gas transpor-
tation services.
CONCLUSION
Nationally, we are confronted with a need to develop our overall energy infra-
structure. We have, in part, turned to the market to guide this transition. What we
are confronting now are problems that arise as we make the transition, and in par-
ticular, we are confronting the question of how we assure some economic stability
while still allowing the market signals that will guide our investment.
S. 287 offers both near and long-term solutions to alleviating the current energy
crisis. The bill takes into account the need to create a temporary time out to bring
market participants to the table today so that a lasting long-term solution can be
reached. We strongly urge the Committee to quickly pass S. 287, and send the bill
to the Senate floor as soon as possible. Federal legislative action is urgently needed
to fix the wholesale market, and S. 287 takes the necessary steps to achieve this
objective.
There is clear and compelling evidence that the electric wholesale market is not
working in the western region, and that without Cost of Service Plus rates, it will
continue to flounder and spread economic harm. The states in the region are moving
aggressively to address the disastrous impacts of the existing market structure, and
to expand the supply. Senator Feinsteins bill, S. 287, offers a much needed cooling
off period to protect consumers, and our economy, as we resolve this critical situa-
tion.
Thank you again for the opportunity to testify today. I appreciate your interest
in this important issue, and am available to answer questions,
Senator BINGAMAN. Thank you very much.
Next would be Bruce Worthington, who is senior VP and general
counsel with PG&E Corporation.
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ner; and 3) implementing emergency demand reduction efforts. All three of these
measures are the best mechanisms available to address the very top of the demand
peaks that will occurand to help mitigate prices without exacerbating the supply
problem.
In short, we must act immediately to provide market-oriented solutions that at-
tack the supply problem first and encourage fast-track supply projects, such as is
being done now with peaking units. In the interim, a combination of supply and de-
mand initiatives is imperativeeverything from the longer-term bilateral contracts
being implemented now between the state of California and suppliers, as well as de-
mand-reduction incentives comparable to those that were initiated last summer. We
also believe that prices at the retail level in California need to be adjusted further
to better reflect the true cost of electricity so that adequate signals can be sent to
encourage more responsible electricity use.
Even then, given the extent of the expected supply/demand imbalance for this
summer, it is not clear that these tools will fully mitigate the potential economic
impact this summer. This leads us to the pieces of legislation before you today that
address price caps in one way or another.
Historically, PG&E Corporation has not supported price caps; over the long term,
they create market distortions and have unanticipated and perverse consequences.
In a functional market, they mask the peak price signals that spur conservation,
changes in usage patterns, investment in energy efficiency and in new supply.
Often, they make matters worse. That said, in June of last year we recognized that
in circumstances where power markets are not fully competitive, short-term imple-
mentation of price caps might be necessary.
We adopted a corporate policy statement (attached) that addressed those cir-
cumstances, which can be summarized as follows: where markets are clearly broken,
for example, where FERC has determined that prices are not just and reasonable,
short-term offer caps may be warranted.
This was not an easy decision on our part, because in addition to Pacific Gas and
Electric Company, the utility that serves much of northern and central California,
we also own the National Energy Group, which builds, owns and operates power
plants across the country. So, as you might anticipate, there was a fair amount of
discussion and thought in the process that led to our corporate policy.
With that process in mind, Id like to address regional price caps for the West,
for the summer of 2001. Based on what we know today, there is a very good chance
that the West is heading for a meltdown wheredue to short suppliesthe price
of power could increase from todays already historically-high levels to sustained
stratospheric levels for the summer. That would inflict severe hardship on house-
holds and the economies of the Western states to no good end; prices are already
high enough to incent new generation, which is being built as fast as it can be per-
mitted and constructed.
In order to avoid that meltdown, policy makers should create a mechanism, which
would allow either the Secretary of Energy or the FERC to implement temporary
price caps, should our worst fears be realized. It seems only prudent to create the
policy tool and carefully describe the circumstances under which the tool can be
used, including the duration of use. For example, any price cap should have an ex-
plicit start and sunset date, for instance, May 1 and September 30 of this year. And
in order not to inadvertently discourage new, badly needed power plants, the price
cap should apply only to existing generation.
With respect to setting a price cap, it must be simple enough to be easily adminis-
tered, and it should allow suppliers to make a reasonable profit. Most options being
given serious consideration involve benchmark rates that build up from a cost basis.
Frequently discussed are technology-specific caps that would cover suppliers costs
plus a stipulated profit margin. Under this approach, caps would be set at different
levels based on the type of generating resourcenatural gas, coal, hydro, etc. Other
options include fixed price caps at levels high enough to accommodate input price
fluctuations, such as variations in the price of natural gas, or indexed caps equal
to some multiple of current input prices.
I strongly believe in markets; if I didnt, we would not have invested money in
building power plants across the United States to participate in competitive whole-
sale power markets. A meltdown in the Western power market this summer would
be a huge setback to the development of a national wholesale power market, and
markets in general.
Mr. Chairman, I would be pleased to answer any questions.
Senator BINGAMAN. Thank you very much.
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Next is William Hecht, who is the chairman and CEO and presi-
dent of PPL Corporation in Allentown, Pennsylvania. Thank you
for being here.
STATEMENT OF WILLIAM F. HECHT, CHAIRMAN, PRESIDENT
AND CEO, PPL CORPORATION, ALLENTOWN, PA
Mr. HECHT. Thank you, Senator.
PPL Corporation is an energy company that markets electricity
in 42 States and Canada and operates about 10,000 megawatts of
generating capacity in Pennsylvania, Montana, and Maine and de-
livers electricity to about 6 million customers on three continents.
In addition to representing the views of PPL, I am also appear-
ing on behalf of the Electric Power Supply Association, a national
trade association representing competitive suppliers.
While there are many contributing factors to the electricity sup-
ply crisis in the West, the underlying problem is that California
does not have enough electricity supply. The State has an elec-
tricity load of about 48,000 megawatts and in-State generating re-
sources of only about 38,000 megawatts.
The real solution to the problem is not in artificial price controls
but in a focus on the forces of supply and demand which will both
discourage consumption and encourage production. Reflecting ac-
tual current economic value of electricity through retail prices in
some form for at least some users would exert downward pressure
on consumption, immediately helping to reduce the mismatch be-
tween supply and demand. This in itself would help reduce whole-
sale prices.
Even more importantly, prices set by supply and demand will
send the proper price signals to investors, encouraging the con-
struction of new generating facilities.
Price caps would, on the other hand, reduce the incentive to in-
vest in new production and unnecessarily prolong and exacerbate
the existing supply and demand imbalance. This free market lesson
is one that we have learned elsewhere in the U.S. energy industry
as a failed experiment with natural gas price controls would attest.
Allowing the free market to function and to send the right price
signals will result in the significant capital investments that are
needed to build the next generation of American powerplants.
There is ample evidence that such a process is working in places
other than California. Across the country, more than 125,000
megawatts of generating capacity are under construction or in ad-
vanced development in markets where investors believe they can
successfully site plants and receive a fair return on their invest-
ment.
My company is but one example of this process at work. PPL has
explored acquisition and development of power generating facilities
at more than 100 locations in the United States and even overseas.
In each case, we carefully study available supplies in the region,
our estimate of future marketplace prices, the likelihood of success
in constructing a facility, and a host of other factors. This very se-
lective process has resulted in our acquisition of about $1 billion in
generating assets, principally in the State of Montana, and PPL is
developing plants in eastern Pennsylvania, Eastern United States,
and in Western U.S. markets that could result in an investment of
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PREPATRD STATEMENT WILLIAM F. HECHT, CHAIRMAN, PRESIDENT AND CEO,
PPL CORPORATION, ALLENTOWN, PA
I am William F. Hecht, chairman, president and chief executive officer of PPL
Corporation. Thank you for the opportunity to appear before this Committee to
share my views on S. 26, S. 80 and S. 287.
These legislative proposals raise issues that are central to the future of the na-
tions energy supply.
In addition to representing the views of PPL, I am also appearing on behalf of
the Electric Power Supply Association, a national trade association representing
competitive suppliers, including independent power producers, merchant generators
and power marketers.
PPL, with headquarters in Allentown, Pa., is a rapidly growing international en-
ergy company with revenues of nearly $5.7 billion.
We operate four principal subsidiaries:
PPL EnergyPlus markets wholesale electricity in 42 states and Canada and
markets competitively priced retail electricity in several Eastern and Western
states. PPL EnergyPlus also provides energy services in the Mid-Atlantic and
New England regions.
PPL Generation owns and operates U.S. power plants. Its portfolio includes
nearly 10,000 megawatts of generating capacity in Pennsylvania, Maine and
Montana. In the East, our 8,500 megawatts areis primarily coal-fired and nu-
clear generation. In Montana, our 1,150 megawatts are coal-fired and hydro
generation. Our Montana plants were acquired from The Montana Power Com-
pany in late 1999, and since that time have been used primarily to serve Mon-
tana electricity customers under a wholesale agreement that we signed with
Montana Power at the time of the purchase. We have sold a limited amount
of wholesale power into the California market since acquiring the plants.
PPL Electric Utilities delivers electricity to 1.3 million customers in eastern and
central Pennsylvania.
PPL Global owns distribution businesses in the United Kingdom and Latin
America that deliver electricity to 4.4 million customers. The company also de-
velops and acquires generation in key U.S. markets. It now has more than 4,000
megawatts of capacity under active development.
THE SOLUTION FOR THE CALIFORNIA MARKET IS NEW GENERATION
The electric supply situation in California has reached nearly crisis proportions.
California and other Western states now face economic dislocations due to the high
cost of electric power, and California itself also faces a fundamental reliability prob-
lem.
There are many reasons for the current economic and reliability problems. Gas
prices increased. Electricity demand increased rapidly. It was a low-water year for
hydroelectric generation. The West Coast experienced a heat wave.
However, the underlying problem in the Western System Coordinating Council
the interconnected system of which California is a partis that there simply is not
enough generating capacity to meet load requirements. This generating capacity
shortfall is directly traceable to California, which has a load of about 48,000
megawatts and in-state generating resources of only about 38,000 megawatts.
This means that California must import large quantities of electricity to satisfy
its demand. And, much of the in-state generation is old and inefficient. California
has not built a significant generating facility in more than 10 years. Further, trans-
mission limitations sometimes exacerbate the generation shortfall.
The solution to this problem is to permit the forces of supply and demand to set
prices, and to allow those prices to both discourage consumption and encourage pro-
duction.
Reflecting the actual economic value of electricity through higher retail prices
in some form for at least some userswill cut consumption, immediately reducing
the mismatch between supply and demand. This, in itself, would help reduce whole-
sale prices.
Even more importantly, prices set by supply and demand will send the proper
price signals to investors, encouraging the construction of new generating facilities.
And, additional generation is the solution to the root problem.
This additional generation can be installed rapidly, with existing laws and regula-
tions fully protecting environmental quality. Further, modern electric-generation
technologies are cleaner and more efficient than those in use only a few years ago.
Higher efficiencies mean that less fuel is used to produce each kilowatt-hour of elec-
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tricity. And, cleaner technologies mean that even the fuel that is burned produces
fewer emissions.
There are a number of steps that federal and state governments can take to en-
sure that new generating units can be built quickly and efficiently. For instance,
environmental review can be accelerated procedurally, without reducing the partici-
pation of knowledgeable intervenors or compromising the quality of the outcome.
Government also can make sure that the electric transmission system is fully open
and accessible to all market participants, especially new generators.
Even with such enhancements, however, new generation will be developed only
if we allow the forces of supply and demand to operate unencumbered, to freely set
the price of electricity. Price caps would, on the other hand, reduce the incentive
to invest in new production and unnecessarily both prolong and exacerbate the cur-
rent supply and demand mismatch.
This free-market lesson is one we have learned elsewhere in the energy industry.
When the federal government limited the wellhead prices of natural gas, producers
had no incentives to develop wells, resulting in severe supply shortages and restric-
tions of customer hook-ups. As soon as the price caps were lifted, drilling activity
expanded, resulting in ample supplies and lower prices for customers.
DEREGULATION
Under the regulated structure of the past, public utilities operated in franchised
service territories and had mandatory obligations to serve customers. As part of this
obligation, the utilities were required to build capacity to meet load requirements.
This structure, which proved to be inefficient, has been replaced with a deregu-
lated marketplace in which generation is built based on the forces of supply and de-
mand. Power plants are now built in response to price signals with increasing prices
signaling the need for new capacity. Over the long-term, this deregulated market-
place will lead to prices for end-users that are lower than they otherwise would have
been under regulation.
In a deregulated energy marketplace, the mere existence of high prices does not
necessarily mean that a market is dysfunctional. In fact, in any correctly function-
ing market, high prices are simply a proper and normal signal of demand outpacing
available supply.
This is not to suggest that we shouldin any waytolerate market power abuse
or collusion. In cases where there are proven instances of abuse of market power,
the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has adequate powers to correct those
abuses. Certainly, the Justice Department and state agencies also will address any
issues of collusion or anti-competitive behavior.
Allowing the free market to send the right price signals except in the case of ille-
gal activities will encourage the capital investment that we need to build the next
generation of American power plants. There is ample evidence that such a process
is working in places other than California. Across the country, more than 125,000
megawatts of generating capacity are under construction or in advanced develop-
ment.
My company is a good example of this process at work.
PPL has explored acquisition and development of power generation facilities at
more than 100 locations in the United Statesand even some overseas. In each
case, we carefully studied available supplies in the region, our estimate of future
marketplace prices, the likelihood of success in siting and constructing a facility and
a host of other factors.
This very selective process has resulted in our acquisition of about $1 billion in
generating assets, principally in the state of Montana. And, PPL is developing
plants in key Eastern and Western U.S. markets that could result in additional in-
vestment of approximately $2 billion.
As I speak here today, we are developing power plants in Connecticut, on Long
Island, in Pennsylvania, in Washington state and in Arizona. It goes without saying,
of course, that we are developing these plantswhich will add more than 4,000
megawatts of supply in these key regionsbecause we believe they will benefit our
shareowners.
Put another way: If the wholesale markets in these regions were not sending the
appropriate price signals, we could not justify building plants there.
I am absolutely convinced that there is only one way to ensure adequate supplies
of electricity for the people of California and the rest of the country:
We must encourage the building of new power plants.
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PRICE CAPS
These new supplies, however, will be put at risk if we begin to artificially manipu-
late the wholesale markets. Imposition of price caps, or a return to cost-based rates,
actually will lead to decreased suppliesand thus, higher prices.
Price caps interfere with the most important part of any functional marketthe
price signal.
Caps are designed to clip the peaks of price movement in the market, with the
goal of thereby reducing average prices. The California experience itself has shown
that price caps tend to encourage higher average prices, which could actually lead
to an increase in costs to consumers. Caps also can result in a transfer of capacity
to higher value markets. That will surely happen in the West, as resources seek
higher-priced markets elsewhere or even, in certain circumstances, shut down if
they cannot achieve sufficient revenues for operation.
Second, the caps signal developers to go elsewhere. Developers of generation look
for the best returns they can find, on a risk-weighted basis. They are not limited
to California, the Western United States or even the United States as a whole. Put-
ting a cap in place will send a strong signal to developers that the western United
States is coming more and more under price controls and government interference.
Developers will respond to that signal by avoiding those markets. Moreover, the his-
tory of price caps so far in California has been one of change. Price caps in Califor-
nia last year changed regularly between $150 and $750 per MWh. Such uncertainty
and changeability produces additional caution, leading to higher required returns
for project development, eventually resulting in higher prices for consumers. In the
extreme, price caps, along with their variability and lack of predictability, may lead
to generation development being canceled in favor of projects elsewhere.
Third, a cap tends to reduce the volatility of a market, which can lead to reduced
trading and hedging instruments. A critical part of evaluating any market is under-
standing the volatility of that market. Volatility is the tendency of prices to move
up or downhigher volatility means that prices change more often and to a greater
degree. A price fixed by government fiat has essentially zero volatility. By limiting
the upper range of price spikes, prices will change less often and by not as much.
Since energy traders make their money on price changes, a less volatile market will
have fewer traders in it providing liquidity. Reduced liquidity results in less price
discoverythe knowledge about what the price of electricity may be in the future.
Developers need as much knowledge of future prices as possible to make informed
decisions about investments. Traders, generators and consumers also need the for-
ward market to allow for the hedging through long-term contracts that has been
touted as a short-run solution to Californias woes.
There is a fourth harm from caps that also stems from the loss of volatilityde-
velopers will make the wrong decisions. A volatile market is sending out a price sig-
nal for peaking generation. Prices occasionally spike upwards (or downwards); the
appropriate generation response to such spikes is a peaking unit that only runs oc-
casionally. The peaking unit will pick-off the higher prices, thereby reducing them.
Alternatively, if there is lower volatility and higher average prices, the appropriate
business decision is to build baseload plants that are designed to run relatively
cheaply and all the time. This takes advantage of higher average prices and does
not really address price peaks.
Caps tend to distort the market signal in favor of baseload generation. With the
scarcity problem in California, that may not seem like an important problem right
now since any generation would be helpful. However, baseload plants can cost sev-
eral times as much as peaking units and take considerably longer to construct. The
market will either pay to recover those costs or those plants may go bankrupt and
cease operations in the future. Regardless, efficient economic decision-making by de-
velopers requires the correct price signal coming from the market.
For all these reasonshigher average prices, reduced development, reduced for-
ward liquidity and inefficient price signalsprice caps are inappropriate and dan-
gerous for California and the Western United States.
The legislation before you also proposes refund requirements on companies that
own generating facilities, essentially rewriting the rules under which the trans-
actions were made. These interventions in the market not only would hurt the very
companies that currently are part of the potential solution to the supply crisis, they
would discourage those who are considering such development.
Returning to cost-based rates can be a particular problem. Under regulation, ver-
tically integrated public utility companies had mandatory obligations to serve within
their franchised territories. This meant they were required by state regulators to
build whatever capacity was required to meet demand.
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Because of the mandatory obligations to serve, regulated companies had to build
whatever capacity was needed even though rates were capped or cost-based. Today,
however, that archaic system is gone in many parts of the country. In California,
Pennsylvania and many other states, independent generating companies, not regu-
lated public utilities, now build generation. Local electric distribution companies no
longer have an obligation to build generating facilities, and the generation function
has been deregulated.
If rates for generation are capped or returned to old cost-based structures or
if other economic restrictions are placed on these new unregulated generating com-
panies, they simply will not build the facilities needed to serve the public because
they will have no incentive to build and there is no obligation to construct plants.
The capital with which those plants would have been built will go elsewhere.
Ironically, price caps may actually serve to benefit companies such as PPL, which
currently own significant amounts of low-cost, efficient generationour Montana
power plants, for example.
The reason for this benefit to companies like PPL is straightforward. Price caps
would have the effect of prolonging the time before new, efficient generation is con-
structed. Prices that otherwise would have declined with added generation will re-
main at capped levels for a longer timeand for more hoursthan would have been
the case. Existing generation would remain more valuable than otherwise would
have been the case.
CONCLUSION
The real solution to the long-term supply issues in California and the West is in-
escapable: We need to build new power plants. And, those new plants will be built
only if we allow the competitive market to do its job.
If we use the California experience to further improve our commitment to truly
competitive electricity markets, then our nations energy supply future can be a
bright one.
And, I am confident thatafter considering all the factswe will reach the con-
clusion that electricity deregulation not only is sound public policy . . . it is the only
way that we will be able to ensure adequate electricity supplies at fair prices.
Senator BINGAMAN. Thank you very much.
Our final witness is Steve Fetter, who is the managing director
of the Global Power Group with Fitch. Welcome.
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reasonable prices in the electric energy market; S. 80, the California Electricity Con-
sumers Relief Act of 2001; and S. 287, a bill to direct the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission to impose cost-of-service based rates on sales by public utilities of elec-
tric energy at wholesale in the western energy market, and amendment No. 12 to
S. 287. I will speak from the perspective of a member of the financial community
as well as former Chairman of the Michigan Public Service Commission.
In 1995, Fitch formulated an Electric Industry Time Line (see attachment) that
forecast the general evolution of power markets within the United States. I am
happy to say that restructuring activities across the country have to a large degree
tracked Fitchs predictions. However, substantial divestiture of generation assets in
many states, most notably California, left the endpoint of the analysisthat utilities
would be operating under regulated and competitive supply models concurrently
in question.
Fitchs conclusions were based on the belief that when competition was in place
after 2000, utilities would be operating under a bifurcated structure: a lower risk
regulated market and a higher risk competitive market. Within the lower risk regu-
lated market, integrated utilities would generate or purchase power to meet an obli-
gation to serve core residential customers, much as they have under the traditional
system of cost-of-service-based regulation. But in addition to that familiar frame-
work, there would be a competitive market under which utility generation subsidi-
aries, independent power producers, and power marketers could compete to supply
electricity to industrial and large commercial users, and aggregated smaller cus-
tomers (both small commercial and residential). This half of the model, by its very
nature, would be a higher risk undertaking for both seller and purchaser.
Californias restructuring plan encouraged utility divestiture of generation and
substantial government involvement in the operation of the transmission grid
(through an independent system operator, or ISO) and the power market (through
a power exchange, or PX). For those who believe that the catastrophic events in
California in late December and early January came without warning, I invite at-
tention to Procuring Power in California: A Potential Stranded Cost, a September
2000 Fitch report by Lori Woodland, detailing the pressures soon to be faced by
Californias three investor-owned electric utilities, Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E),
Southern California Edison (SCE), and San Diego Gas & Electric (SDG&E). A copy
is attached.
Californias restructuring model called for a high proportion of customer demand
being met by spot market supply from day-ahead or hourly transactions. This ex-
posed the states three investor-owned utilities, which were operating under retail
price caps, to extreme financial risks due to wholesale market volatility. By con-
trast, in more rational market structures for electricity and other energy commod-
ities, approximately 85-90% of demand is normally provided through long-term con-
tracts, with at most only 15% subject to spot market fluctuations. The extreme vola-
tility of price at the wholesale level has given rise to urgent calls for a fix in the
form of lower and lower price caps.
So will price caps provide the solution?
I am willing to go so far as to admit that federal enactment of a uniform price
cap at a high levelsuch as $1000 per mwhmight serve a useful purpose. It could
operate as a circuit breaker to cap wholesale prices during the brief periods when
extremely volatile circumstances result in a market that cannot be contained by any
manner of competitive forces. It also probably would not interfere with any strategic
decision making by industry participants since builders of new generation or trans-
mission would not employ prices at that level (or higher) in their financing models.
However, to go lower than such a safety valve-type level would undoubtedly slow
the nations movement toward an efficient competitive wholesale market. We have
already seen that imposition of a low price cap, such $250 per mwh or even $150
per mwh, can have the negative effect of encouraging suppliers to seek alternative
market outlets or even to slow production. Continued tinkering with market rules,
especially if at the macro federal level, is sure to create uncertainty among energy
investors and delay implementation of their business plans, especially in light of re-
cent ambiguous economic signs.
A further concern for market participants is that major investments have been
made in California and other states based on the particular competitive frameworks
mandated by state legislatures. Price levels for generation asset auctions were driv-
en by the new market orientation; a retrenchment by state policymakers back to a
form of cost-of-service regulation could be challenged as an unconstitutional taking
of private property without fair compensation. Below-market price caps would con-
tribute to this situation and could conceivably result in the government being or-
dered to pay the difference between the market value of assets in a competitive en-
vironment versus in a newly-tariffed regime.
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Interestingly, the ongoing negotiations about sale of the California transmission
grid to the state hearkens back to a controversial point of view then-California Pub-
lic Utilities Commission (CPUC) President Greg Conlon espoused during the early
stages of implementation of electricity industry competition. Speaking to the Na-
tional Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners Electricity Committee in
July 1997, Conlon explained that an ISO was not the first choice of the CPUC for
controlling the market power of utilities owning transmission lines. Rather, Conlon
said, the statewide ISO was a compromise; the best model he believed for dealing
with market power concerns and ensuring nondiscriminatory market access for new
entrants was divestiture of transmission to third parties. That action was never
taken because of political concerns and timeliness issues. (See attached Fitch report,
Divestiture Gets A Boost, August 18, 1997.)
Now it appears California will revisit the question of divestiture of transmission
through its negotiations to sustain the financial viability of its states utilities. How-
ever, early signs are that a purchase of the transmission systems from PG&E, SCE,
and SDG&E may be followed by the leasing of the assets back to the utilities to
operate. Instead, the state might want to consider seizing this new opportunity to
create an independent owner or, at least, operator of the states transmission grid.
Such a step would allow the state to remove itself from amidst the electricity supply
morass and reduce its activities to the more appropriate role of facilitating private
sector investment in enhancing the states energy infrastructure. This of course
could include increased generation investment by the three California investor-
owned utilities without fear of creating competitive conflict. Breaking the tie be-
tween generation and transmission would allow the states utilities and third-party
players to compete on a level playing field with minimal state interference.
I continue to believe that the bifurcated utility structure described above creates
the proper balance between retail choice and customer protection. In the final analy-
sis, policymakers who thought retail choice could only be a win-win proposition need
to reassess their stance. There are customers who believe themselves savvy enough
to participate in energy markets in an attempt to improve their financial situation
while bearing the risk that they will not. They should be given that option. At the
same time, there is another group of consumers the vast majority of residential
users who never wanted things to change. For them, the provision of a cost-of-serv-
ice regulated alternative is a necessity.
Senator BINGAMAN. Thank you very much. Thanks to all of you
for your very good testimony.
Let me ask Mr. Hecht. I am concerned. I guess I am still con-
fused. In order to incentivize companies like yourself, your own
company and others, to generate power for sale in the California
market, why is it essential that you allow prices to go as high as
they have gone? I can understand how you would want to have a
good return on your investment, but why do you need prices in the
ranges that they have been? Why should we be concerned about
protecting the ability of people to charge prices in those ranges, on
the theory that they are going to lose interest in producing power,
if we do not protect those rights?
Mr. HECHT. There are several good examples that I will give you.
First of all, fuel cost alone in a few cases has exceeded $500 a
megawatt-hour. In a few cases, delivered price of natural gas has
been in the range of $50 a million Btus. And a good round number
for some gas turbine generators is 10,000 Btus per megawatt-hour.
Simple arithmetic: $500 a megawatt-hour.
Some other examples. There are some things that can be done
in the near term to increase supply even for this summer. For ex-
ample, it is true that installing conventional generation can take
24 months and longer. But installing some forms of distributed
generation can be done much more quickly but at much higher
cost. Sending the right price signal to the end user will give that
end user the economic incentive to install, even for this summer,
some distributed generation, which can be done in that time frame.
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So, there are some important reasons why prices should be allowed
to follow the market.
The prices are high. The market has been called dysfunctional.
I do not think that there is evidence that the market is dysfunc-
tional. Those high prices are telling you something, telling you that
there is a dramatic mismatch, not a mild mismatch, between sup-
ply and demand. And we ignore that signal at some peril.
Senator BINGAMAN. We have this chart that Senator Feinstein
has got up there. Could you put that one up? The way I read that
is the two lines that run across there show the power generation
in 2000 and the power generation in 1999.
Mr. HECHT. Yes.
Senator BINGAMAN. And the gap between those is modest.
Mr. HECHT. Yes.
Senator BINGAMAN. And you are saying that the mismatch is so
enormous that that explains the prices that are reflected on the
chart. The truth is the mismatch is pretty minimal compared to the
price changes that have been observed.
Mr. HECHT. Yes. I saw that chart this morning, and I am anxious
to speak to it because that chart just plots price against time. If
you were to plot price against demand, at periods of low demand,
periods when there is a surplus of generation, the curve would be
relatively flat, plotting price against demand. At periods of high de-
mand, periods when demand and supply are almost matched, when
demand is on the verge of exceeding supply, as it has in California
during the stage 3 alerts, the price/demand curve gets very steep.
So, modest increases in demand or even small reductions in supply
can produce dramatic changes in price. If you were to look behind
the numbers on that simplistic chart, I think you would see that.
What that chart does not reflect is the example I gave earlier of
$50 a million Btu gas resulting in a fuel price alone of $500 a
megawatt-hour for a 10,000 Btu per kilowatt hour plant.
It also does not reflect reductions in capacity which occurred in
California. Some small power generators actually shut down be-
cause they were not paid. Some hydro facilities were less available
because it was a low hydro year. There was also a reduction in ca-
pacity resulting from other forces as well.
Senator BINGAMAN. You are saying that that much was not gen-
erated. Basically you are saying that that red line there that shows
how much was generated in the year 2000 is wrong.
Mr. HECHT. No. The generation matches load on an hour-to-hour,
minute-to-minute basis, but the generation that was called for ap-
proached the absolute capability of the system. In fact, that is the
definition of the stage 3 alerts that have happened in California
that we have all read about. And during those periods, it is per-
fectly expected for prices to get high.
I can give you some other examples as well. This is not unique.
Those prices are in the several hundred dollars a megawatt-hour
range. As early as 1998 in the Ohio region, the so-called east-cen-
tral area reliability region, during a period of a number of nuclear
plants being forced out of service, prices hit $3,500 a megawatt-
hour and higher. So, that is not unprecedented.
In PJM in the Eastern part of the country, prices have hit $1,000
a megawatt-hour during short periods.
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APPENDIXES
APPENDIX I
Responses to Additional Questions
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nia acquires the transmission facilities of the public utilities in California, but
chooses not to apply or follow the same non-discriminatory transmission rules as
public utility transmission owners regulated by the Commission. Similar concerns
could be implicated if California chooses not to include those transmission facilities
as part of a west-wide RTO. While there are various means the Commission could
use to attempt to address these interstate concerns, it is not possible to comment
in detail without knowing more about Californias proposal to acquire and own
transmission lines.
RESPONSES TO QUESTIONS FROM SENATOR CANTWELL
Question 1. With Washington State as the backdropwith surcharges and rate in-
creases now approaching triple digitswhat new supply do you expect to see trig-
gered between now and summer by the kind of price increases weve seen? Are we
really dealing with a market signal here or are we burdening consumers with price
signals that cannot work?
Answer. The Commission is doing everything within its powers to promote new
supply and conservation and thereby bring back down, as quickly as possible, the
price increases to which you refer. As for this summer, higher than normal prices
experienced in the West during the summers of 1999 and 2000 will permit and en-
courage more generation, and thereby enhance reserve margins, whereas low prices
may leave some generation idle. Furthermore, higher prices may provide the finan-
cial wherewithal needed to adequately maintain these older plants and thereby pre-
serve the reliability of electrical grid operations. I would also note that an appro-
priate price signal may prompt additional supply over the long term and help to en-
sure adequate generation in the summer of 2002 and beyond. Finally, as you know,
approximately 50 percent of the generation in the West is not jurisdictional to the
Commission.
More importantly, on the demand side, an appropriate price signal will encourage
conservation, both in terms of consumers using less electricity, and consumers mak-
ing investments in more efficient electricity-consuming appliances. Although I am
not aware of estimates of the conservation potential in Washington State, I do know
that estimates of the conservation potential in California are significant. Conserva-
tion has the effect of lowering prices for all consumers by balancing supply and de-
mand at a lower level of demand.
Question 2. Washington state has price increases far larger than those that have
shown up in California. Demand reduction is running about 6% overall. However,
the major reason is that industry shuts down and lays off workers. Is that kind of
price signal desirable? Would you not agree that the reason for this responseshut
downs and layoffsis that price signals are not meant to be effective in short-term,
crisis situations? Can we expect market signals to work when theres an incomplete
or ineffective market?
Answer. We recognize the importance of an effective, well-functioning bulk power
market which can send appropriate price signals to consumers to reduce demand
and to generators to increase supply. It is regrettable that high prices have caused
industrial shut-downs, worker layoffs, and other economic dislocations. But it is to
be expected that some industrial firms, being the most price sensitive sector of the
economy, will respond first. Some industrial firms have benefitted from purchasing
a significant amount of their energy needs at low spot market prices for several
years, and are only now feeling the effects of high spot market prices.
However, I understand your concerns about high Western power prices and the
implications for Western electricity consumers. While there are no easy answers to
these problems, it is my belief that market-based solutions offer the most efficient
way to move beyond the severe energy shortages confronting California and the
West.
In fact, appropriate prices, even high ones, can and do elicit some very potent
short-term effects that work to lessen the impact of supply shortfalls. The fact that
industrial electricity consumers shut down in some cases due to high electricity
prices allows the electricity they would have consumed to be used by others, includ-
ing hospitals, schools, and public safety consumers such as police and fire safety.
In that event, all purchasers of electricity should pay lower prices, and actual short-
ages (blackouts) ought to be reduced in scope and duration.
In the future, industrial firms may begin to choose differently than they have in
the past when purchasing their energy services. In light of the experience of the last
year, industrial firms may choose among the number of strategies available to ad-
dress the risk of volatile spot market prices including the choice of maintaining a
more diversified supply portfolio so that they purchase more energy in long-term
markets where prices are likely to be more stable.
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Question 3. Your press release on March 14 encompasses a lot of FERC activity
in an effort to respond to criticism that you have not adequately addressed the
Western electricity crisis. I commend the effort, but question the scope. Why does
your proposal not address prices? How much energy will this proposal add to the
grid and on what timeline? When fully implemented, how many megawatts are you
expecting to produce with these supply initiatives? What effect on rates would you
estimate from this increased supply?
Answer. The Commissions March 14 order was issued to increase energy supplies
and reduce energy demand in California and the West. The Commission imple-
mented certain measures immediately, including: (1) streamlining regulatory proce-
dures for various types of wholesale electric sales (including sales of backup or on-
site generation and sales of demand reductions); (2) expediting the certification of
natural gas pipeline projects into California and the West; and (3) urging licensees
of hydroelectric projects to assess the potential to increase the generating capacity
of FERC-licensed projects. The order was issued after taking a broad look at the
Commissions regulatory responsibilities and addressing measures the Commission
can implement immediately. The Commission also proposed, and sought comment
on, other longer-term measures (such as incentive rates for transmission or pipeline
construction completed by specified dates).
The March 14 order does not directly address prices because pricing issues are
being addressed in other dockets and orders, in particular the Commissions Decem-
ber 15 order, which created a $150 breakpoint and directed Commission staff to pro-
pose market mitigation to be put in effect as of May 1, 2001. On March 9, and 16,
the Commission issued orders requiring California power sellers to make refunds or
offsets of approximately $124 million for January and February 2001 transactions
or provide further justification of their prices. In addition, the Commission held a
conference in Boise, Idaho on April 10 addressing price volatility throughout the
West.
Where the Commission can act to enhance the energy infrastructure in the West
it has done so. On April 6, 2001, the Commission issued a certificate of public con-
venience and necessity authorizing the construction of 135,000 Mcf per day of new
natural gas pipeline capacity to California by the Kern River Transmission Com-
pany. This authorization issued within three weeks of Kern Rivers application to
the Commission.
In my judgment, the most effective way to lower Western energy prices in all time
periods, and to keep them low, is to increase Western energy supplies. By way of
example, I offer the summer of 1998, when wholesale electricity prices in the Mid-
west increased significantly. The Commission resisted pleas for price caps or other
constraints. Subsequently, suppliers responded to the market-driven price signals
and today the Midwest is not experiencing supply deficiencies. In the West today,
we have market prices and barely adequate supplies. If we reduce prices below mar-
ket levels, supplies will go elsewhere, risking greater reliability problems.
The Commissions March 14 order was intended to increase energy supplies in the
West. Although it is not clear how much additional energy will be available this
summer or the effect it will have on rates, we believe that the Commissions order
will permit many existing sources of energy to operate more efficiently. For example,
of the 326 hydroelectric projects licensed by the Commission within the WSCC, 200
have provisions that limit operational flexibility. These 200 projects represent a
total capacity of 21,000 megawatts. Greater flexibility in the dispatch of this capac-
ity, consistent with protecting environmental resources, could provide additional en-
ergy to enhance the reliability of the system.
Commission staff held two conferences, on April 9 and 10 in Portland and Sac-
ramento, to discuss with agencies, licensees, and others, ways of expediting propos-
als to increase power generation at existing licensed hydroelectric power projects.
The conferences were attended by representatives of the hydropower industry as
well as resource agencies and nongovernmental organizations. In general, industry
representatives set forth proposals for increasing electrical generation that ranged
from modifying minimum flows and reservoir elevations to installing additional gen-
erating units and enhancing the efficiency of existing facilities. The resource agen-
cies and nongovernmental organizations expressed a willingness to expedite process-
ing of such proposals. Commission staff urged all of the industry representatives to
comprehensively review their projects, in partnership with the resource agencies
and other interests, to find ways of increasing power generation while preserving
environmental resources.
I find another example of a positive response to the Commissions March 14 order
in a press release issued by Avista Utilities just last Friday, on April 13. In that
announcement, Avista states that it has filed with the Washington and Idaho public
utility commissions to implement an all-customer electric energy buy-back program.
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Specifically, Avista would offer a credit of five cents per kilowatt-hour for each cus-
tomer which reduces electric use by more than five percent. This is precisely the
type of demand reduction program the Commission has encouraged, and represents
the type of cooperative relationship between federal and state agencies that is nec-
essary to make it through this difficult summer.
Question 4. A possible variation on cost-based rates could be to exempt new gen-
eration from the cost-based requirement. Would you support this approach?
Answer. While I have strong reservations about returning to cost-based regula-
tion, I agree that it is very important that market forces be allowed to work in ways
that encourage investment in new generation. I have an open mind to pricing ap-
proaches that ensure this result.
However, it is difficult to design and police a tiered system in which pricing poli-
cies are different for existing and new generators. Existing generators will have an
incentive to sell power through intermediaries whose power sales are either not sub-
ject to the Commissions jurisdiction, or are outside of the scope of any cost-based
regulatory rule. (Past experience with vintage rate setting schemes in the pricing
of natural gas suggests that it may be impossible to craft rules which are not sub-
ject to circumvention and arbitrage, or lead to other unintended undesirable con-
sequences.) Accounting for the components of the sale to ultimate consumers may
require significant transaction tracking and auditing activity.
Some may also be concerned with the disturbing precedent of a boom-bust regu-
latory cycle: deregulation, followed by re-regulation. Following deregulation, some
utilities sold off their generation assets, either voluntarily or pursuant to state di-
rective. The companies acquiring these assets did so based on the knowledge and
belief that their future sales would be made at market prices, and set acquisition
prices (often at levels far in excess of book value) based on those beliefs. Subsequent
re-regulation of these assets, could create further regulatory uncertainty in the fu-
ture as for-profit companies consider whether to invest in the electric power indus-
try in general, or in Western electricity markets in particular, unless such re-regula-
tion were known to be of limited duration during extraordinary circumstances. Ulti-
mately, I believe that market certainty is one of the most important goals we can
seek to achieve for electricity producers and consumers alike.
Question 5. In your March 14 press release, about the order regarding ways to
increase the supply of electricity in the West, you say that: many hydro projects
have the potential to more fully use their available water resources to increase gen-
eration. This may be done through additional capacity units, generator and/or tur-
bine upgrading and other operational improvements. The Commission asks that all
licensees immediately examine their projects and propose and efficiency modifica-
tions that may contribute to increased power supplies.
(a) How fast is FERC prepared to act on efficiency modifications proposed by
hydro licensees? Can you commit to a specific number of days? My concern is that
summer is fast approaching, and we need to get the most out of our hydro system
to keep the lights on in the West. If FERC does not act promptly on these proposals,
it will be too late to do us any good.
(b) Your press release also mentions the need to expedite the Endangered Species
Act consultation process. Specifically, how do you plan to do that? Will you work
with the resource agencies (e.g., the Fish and Wildlife Service) to assure that endan-
gered species are protected during this process?
Answer. In its March 14, 2001 order, the Commission ordered the removal of ob-
stacles to increased electric generation and natural gas supply in the Western
United States. The Commission will act on any efficiency modifications as promptly
as possible. Where there is broad support for an amendment and the environment,
including endangered species, is adequately protected, we would expect to act on a
proposal in a matter of days. As I noted in my response to Question 3, Commission
staff has held two conferences in the WSSC region. As stated above, the conferences
revealed a commitment of the industry and other participants to identify proposals
that would provide for additional power generation that are consistent with environ-
mental protection.
Question 6. On March 9, you issued an order regarding potential refunds for Cali-
fornia electric power sales. Why was that order restricted to California when it is
clear that much of the Northwest is paying as much or more for electricity on the
current distorted market? Why does the justness and reasonableness evaluation
only apply to transactions that took place during Stage 3 conditions? One could
make the case that higher prices are more nearly warranted when a Stage 3 emer-
gency is declared because they are just trying to keep the lights on. The price
gouging that is of most concern is at Stage 1 and Stage 2. The limited time period
and limited conditions under your refund order are inconsistent with FERCs au-
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thority to look at just and reasonable rates. How can consumers be protected if you
dont use your delegated authority?
Answer. The Commissions March 9, 2001 order put 13 California power sellers
on notice that they must either make refunds for certain power sales or provide fur-
ther justification of their prices. This order followed the Commissions December 15,
2000 order adopting specific remedies to address dysfunctions in Californias whole-
sale bulk power markets and to ensure just and reasonable wholesale power rates
by public utility sellers in California.
The December 15 order found that Californias flawed market rules caused rates
that were unjust and unreasonable during certain periods. The order addresses spe-
cific market flaws in California wholesale electricity markets and made public util-
ity sellers that bid above $150/MWh subject to weekly reporting requirements to en-
sure just and reasonable rates. The sales of all public utility sellers into the ISO
and PX markets were also made subject to potential refund. Under the conditions
in the December 15 order, the Commission must issue written notification to a pub-
lic utility seller within 60 days of each weekly reporting filing that the sellers trans-
actions are still under review or refund liability for those transactions will automati-
cally cease.
In the March 9 order, the Commission established a proxy price screen applied
to transactions that are above $150/MWh breakpoint and that take place during
Stage 3 emergencies. The Commission reasoned that the potential for market power
abuse is most likely to occur during periods of severe supply deficiency. The Com-
mission limited its approach to Stage 3 emergency hours, when the supply/demand
imbalance is the most severe and sellers know their power is most needed.
The Commission has considerable discretion in establishing just and reasonable
rates under the Federal Power Act. In setting rates, the Commission may take into
account non-cost factors, including the need to encourage new supply. See Permian
Basin Area Rate Cases, 390 U.S. 747 (1968). In the refund order at issue, the Com-
missions focus only on the highest stage of emergency serves to target the Commis-
sions intervention where it is needed most. Stage 3 emergencies (when reserve mar-
gins dip below 1.5%) are the periods when supply and demand are on the verge of
imbalance. As the March 9th order reasoned, at Stage 3, the least efficient simple-
cycle combustion turbine unit (CT) would be the marginal source of power, and
therefore represented a reasonable point for developing a proxy price screen. The
Commissions order did not want to mask scarcity costs because doing so will blunt
the price signals needed to induce supply entry. And because current technology is
much more efficient than marginal CT units, the proxy price leaves room for price
signals to stimulate market entry. I would note, however, that these issues are sub-
ject to rehearing.
Others have suggested, as you do, that the Commission should extend its ap-
proach in California to other parts of the Western markets. While I have an open
mind on this issue, there are certain fundamental differences between Californias
centralized market design and the bilateral contract regime that exists elsewhere
in the West. As a result, our approach in California does not adapt readily to other
parts of the West.
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Three days after taking office, at Governor Davis request, we extended the
emergency electricity and gas orders to give California time to develop legisla-
tion aimed at maintaining electricity supplies.
In February, also at the request of Governor Davis, President Bush issued an
executive order directing Federal agencies to expedite permits relating to con-
struction of new power plants in California. The U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency has issued air permits for three power plants in the past month.
President Bush and I have engaged in discussions with the Government of Mex-
ico about increasing electricity imports from Mexico. DOE is also working expe-
ditiously to approve two cross-border electricity expansions between California
and Mexico that should be approved later this year.
In early March, at the behest of Governor Davis, I sent a letter to the Federal
Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) asking that the agency act on his re-
quest for an extension of the waiver for qualifying facilities from certain fuel
requirements.
In response to a request from the State of California, the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency has provided other assistance, clarifying rules relating to op-
eration of backup generators.
While the imbalance between supply and demand is the reason for high energy
costs and power shortages, the Bush Administration was the first to take action
on overcharges. FERC took unprecedented action and ordered the first-ever re-
funds to address overcharges by generators on market-based rates after we took
office and after a Republican took over as Chairman.
On March 14, FERC issued a series of orders designed to expedite energy sup-
plies to California, including streamlining regulatory procedures for wholesale
power sales, expediting natural gas pipelines, and urging hydropower licensees
to assess the potential for increased hydropower generation.
As follow up to a meeting with Governor Davis, I issued a letter indicating that
the Administration did not oppose the States proposed purchase of the Califor-
nia utility transmission systems, conditioned on the adherence to open access
requirements.
Just two weeks ago, I met with a group of California energy suppliers to im-
press upon them that the next several months should not be viewed as busi-
ness as usual, and to ask for their help to avoid foreseeable disruptions in sup-
ply.
Last week, I met with a group of electricity experts to discuss the California
electricity crisis and to explore actions that could be taken by the Federal Gov-
ernment and State to increase supply or reduce demand.
As you can see, the Administration has taken constructive action from its first day
to help California deal with its electricity crisis. Governor Davis has expressed his
appreciation to both the President and me for this help.
Regrettably, our well-founded opposition to price caps has been claimed by some
to suggest the Administration either does not care about California and the West
or is doing nothing to address the problem. Certainly, the actions described in this
letter show this is simply untrue.
The only thing we have opposed has been the imposition of price controls because
they would not prevent blackouts and would drive away the new supply California
and the West so badly need. The Administration is not alone in its opposition to
price caps. In February, eight of the eleven Western Governors sent me a letter ex-
pressing their opposition to price caps. Those eight governors reiterated their oppo-
sition in an April 6 letter to FERC Chairman Curt He bert, calling them penny wise
and pound foolish.
By contrast, advocates of price controls have failed to indicate how price caps
would increase supply, decrease demand or prevent blackouts this year.
I appreciate the opportunity to brief you on the numerous actions the Administra-
tion has taken since our first day to support California. Please be assured that we
will continue to look for constructive ways to remove obstacles to new electricity
supply in California and the West.
Sincerely,
SPENCER ABRAHAM.
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FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION,
Washington, DC, April 3, 2001.
Hon. FRANK MURKOWSKI,
Chairman, Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, U.S. Senate, Washington,
DC.
DEAR MR. CHAIRMAN: At your Committees March 15, 2001 hearing on Western
Energy Problems, Senator Pete Domenici asked that the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission report on the reasons for the significant differential between wellhead
prices for natural gas produced in New Mexico and the delivered price of gas at the
California border. Specifically, Senator Domenici questioned why producers in New
Mexico were receiving $5 for natural gas while natural gas was being sold for $60
at the California border.
I have attached a Staff paper discussing the operation of natural gas markets. I
hope these answers are helpful to you. If I can be of any further assistance in this,
or any other matter, please do not hesitate to contact me.
Sincerely,
CURT L. HE BERT, JR.,
Chairman.
[Enclosure]
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The Commissions jurisdiction over bundled sales transactions is limited. The
Commission retains jurisdiction to regulate sales for resale by interstate pipelines,
intrastate pipelines, LDCs and their affiliates, except when they produce the gas
that they sell. The Commission also does not have jurisdiction over bundled sales
transactions that are direct sales. In addition, the Commission cannot regulate the
price of gas imported from countries with free trade agreements, including Canada
and Mexico. Based on information contained in the California Energy Commissions
November 2000 report entitled California Gas Analysis and Issues, the Commission
estimates that between 12 and 17 percent, but no more than 35 percent, of gas sales
into California would be subject to the Commissions jurisdiction. The percentage of
gas subject to the Commissions jurisdiction could change daily depending on a num-
ber of factors including the seller of the gas, the buyer of the gas, the source of the
gas and how the transaction is structured. Any reregulation of the price of natural
gas could bifurcate that natural gas market into jurisdictional and nonjurisdictional
elements. This bifurcation could send inaccurate price signals to gas consumers and
could cause distortions in the natural gas markets, similar to those that occurred
in the 1970s, when interstate natural gas sales were subject to federal regulation
and price controls.
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APPENDIX II
Additional Material Submitted for the Record
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STATE CAPITOL,
Boise, ID, March 14, 2001.
Hon. CURT HE BERT, JR., Chairman,
Hon. WILLIAM MASSEY, Commissioner,
Hon. LINDA BREATHITT, Commissioner,
Washington, DC.
DEAR CHAIRMAN AND COMMISSIONERS: You are aware of the energy challenges
confronting my state of Idaho and other Western states this year due to historically
low water levels. We face a critical imbalance between the demand for energy and
the supply of energy.
Some have offered temporary solutions for a long-term problem. Of those solu-
tions, price caps have been discussed as a possible remedy. You may recall that on
February 6 of this year, eight western governors, including myself, asked Secretary
Abraham not to impose price caps on electricity and natural gas. Just as I opposed
price caps then, I oppose price caps now.
Although price caps are intuitively appealing in our current situation they may
ultimately undermine our efforts to offset the energy situation that we are experi-
encing. One of the major drawbacks to price caps is that it discourages investment
in new generation facilities. That is something that we cannot afford to do. Instead,
bringing new facilities on-line is a long-term solution to this problem. Another issue
surrounding price caps is that they jeopardize current short-term and long-term en-
ergy contracts that are already in place. This would exacerbate the problem for the
entire region.
We have seen the devastating effects price caps have had on California. We do
not want that to spread into the other western states that are proactively seeking
real solutions to this real situation.
In a September 11, 2000 speech before the Senate Energy and Natural Resources
Committee, then Commissioner He bert stated the following:
In a report dated September 6, 2000, the Market Surveillance Committee of
the California ISO concludes that price caps have little ability to constrain
prices . . . If the FERC is serious about increasing generation supply, it should
act immediately to withdraw all price caps in generation markets. They distort
price signals and inhibit entry into competitive markets.
Furthermore, it was concluded in a September 24, 1998 report from the FERC
staff to the Commissioners on Midwest electricity price spikes the following:
. . . The team believes that price caps, whether they are applied generally
of intended for specific, emergency situations, create a situation in which prices
are not allowed to perform their rationing function. In addition, they can distort
market signals and prevent the efficient allocation of resources resulting in
shortages.
As I have already stated, we must have long-term solutions to this situation. Price
caps only offer a false sense of security and do nothing to remedy the problem. Com-
mon sense approaches such as reducing demand and increasing supply and siting
new generation facilities is the only sure way of solving the problem. These are the
discussions that we should be engaged in that will offer real solutions, and I am
hopeful that the Commission understands that.
I appreciate this opportunity to share my concerns with you about price caps. The
economy of our region depends upon successfully managing this energy challenge
that we are facing. With your help, we can do that.
Sincerely,
DIRK KEMPTHORNE,
Governor.
STATE CAPITOL,
Sacramento, CA, March 15, 2001.
Hon. FRANK MURKOWSKI,
Chairman, Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, U.S. Senate, Washing-
ton, DC.
Hon. JEFF BINGAMAN,
Ranking Member, Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, U.S. Senate,
Washington, DC.
DEAR CHAIRMAN MURKOWSKI AND RANKING MEMBER BINGAMAN: Thank you for
convening todays hearing to discuss legislation introduced in the U.S. Senate to ad-
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dress the problem of high prices and shortages of electricity in the West. This is
an issue that affects the citizens in all of our states to varying degrees.
I want to commend Senators Feinstein and Boxer for their leadership in advanc-
ing these proposals. Their legislation makes a clear and compelling case for greater
levels of intervention by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) in re-
sponding appropriately to Californias electricity situation. I appreciate the Commit-
tees willingness to hear testimony on these measures, and I urge the Committee
to seek ways to advance the underlying goals of the legislation.
Since my January 30, 2001 letter to you we have made significant progress in our
comprehensive strategy to tackle the myriad issues before us. We are maintaining
our aggressive efforts to increase new generation, decrease demand, reduce our reli-
ance on the spot market through long-term contracting, stabilize the financial via-
bility of our utilities, and plan for electricity and natural gas transmission improve-
ments, Attached for your information is a more detailed discussion of recent devel-
opments in California.*
I want to assure you that my Administration continues to pursue this course of
action with spirit and determination. We are doing everything humanly possible to
meet this challenge. However, the federal government has an obligation and respon-
sibility to take corrective and decisive action on one issue that falls squarely on the
shoulders of Washingtonexcessively high wholesale energy prices.
In the near term, these wholesale priceswhich have been found by the Inde-
pendent System Operator (ISO) to greatly exceed the actual cost of production
need to be brought down to reasonable levels. The excessive charges levied by gen-
erators have brought Californias two largest utilitiesPacific Gas & Electric and
Southern California Edisonto the edge of bankruptcy. Last week the FERC itself
found that 13 generating companies may have to refund $69 million for overcharg-
ing on power sales in January alone.
Earlier this week, Governor Locke of Washington, Governor Kitzhaber of Oregon
and I formally requested that the FERC take steps on an interim basis to restrain
the unreasonably high wholesale costs in our region. We specifically suggested that
the FERC give serious consideration to a plan proposed by Commissioner William
Massey. The essence of the plan centers around a temporary cost-based price cap
on spot market sales in the western interconnection. The price cap could be cal-
culated on a generator-by-generator basis at each generators variable operating
costs plus a reasonable rate of return in the range of $25/MWh.
As a purely temporary measure that enables generators to recover all of their op-
erating costs and receive a return, this proposal would not discourage the develop-
ment of new generation. In addition, federal power marketing agencies that are not
controlled by the FERC, such as the Bonneville Power Administration, would agree
to adhere to such a plan if adopted by the FERC.
S. 287, S. 26, and S. 80 before you today are all reasonable approaches in pursuit
of just and reasonable wholesale electricity prices. I urge the Committee to carefully
review the situation we face in the West with respect to current wholesale prices.
Any objective review will adequately justify congressional action to implement a cost
plus pricing strategy.
Mr. Chairman, it is clear that this market has become dysfunctional. Nothing less
than the nations economy and the economies of all of our states are at stake. Fed-
eral action to enact a temporary cost-based price cap is necessary and warranted
in order to protect consumers and businesses in the West from the vagaries of this
dysfunctional market. If the FERC refuses to exercise its full authority under the
law to restore price stability, I believe it is appropriate for the Congress to do it
for them.
Thank you again for holding todays hearing and for the opportunity to share my
thoughts with you.
Sincerely,
GRAY DAVIS,
Governor.
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clude state public power agencies, and serve many of the nations largest cities, but
the majority of our members are located in small and medium-sized communities
in 49 states, all but Hawaii. In fact, 75 percent of our members are located in cities
with populations of 10,000 people or less. APPA members serve about 14 percent
of all kilowatt-hour sales to ultimate consumers throughout the United States.
We share many of the energy policy objectives held by President Bush and mem-
bers of the Committee. Chief among these are developing a balanced national en-
ergy policy that emphasizes fuel diversity, appropriately integrating energy and en-
vironmental issues, and resolving problems in the wholesale markets for electricity.
Congress and the Administration must focus on creating a more competitive market
for wholesale sales of electricity in order to protect consumers from wildly fluctuat-
ing prices and ensure reliability. Recent developments across the country, but espe-
cially on the West Coast, reinforce the fact that wholesale electricity markets (and
wholesale energy markets in general) are interstate in nature and disturbances in
the market cut across all industry segments. The Committees hearing is timely be-
cause solutions to the problems in the Western electricity market and heading off
similar problems in other regions require quick and coordinated action at federal,
state, and local levels. Moreover, these policies should recognize the problems that
ensued when federal and state policymakers ignored the cautions raised about mar-
ket structure and instead put blind faith in the ideology of open markets and made
inaccurate assumptions about competitive market forces.
In this statement APPA outlines some of the root causes ofand possible solu-
tions tothe Western energy crisis, and emphasizes that the California problem
is not exclusive to that state alone.
THERE ARE THREE ISSUES TO ADDRESS: SCARCITY, STRUCTURE, AND SKEPTICISM
The problems encountered in the Western electric market, and new problems be-
ginning to be seen in other regions, have three distinct characteristics: scarcity of
supply, generation capacity and transmission; imperfect, or dysfunctional, market
structure at the wholesale level; and consumer skepticism that market participants
are capitalizing on scarcity and imperfect markets. Each of these problems must be
addressed as Congress, the White House, and the Federal Energy Regulatory Com-
mission (FERC) develop and implement a cohesive set of policies applicable to all
regions of the nation.
SCARCITY
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Transmission is an interstate commerce matter within the jurisdiction of Con-
gress. Regionally integrated planning and expansion of the grid is essential to
create and maintain a structure that can sustain regional reliability and whole-
sale competition. Federal eminent domain authority to ensure reliability and
competitive wholesale markets must be provided for construction of new trans-
mission facilities, either to properly structured, independent RTOs, Regional
Transmission Organizations, or in their absence to transmission builders pursu-
ant to a FERC issued certificate of public convenience and necessity.
The lack of effective RTOs that can ensure truly neutral management of the na-
tions transmission facilities is the single biggest obstacle to a properly function-
ing interstate electricity market. Private utilities that control vast amounts of
the nations transmission systems have a long history of denying access to their
systems, or providing access at highly discriminatory rates and unfair terms. It
is vitally important that federal policies encourage the development of inde-
pendent, properly configured RTOs.
Wholesale sales at market rates into improperly structured and dysfunctional
markets will not produce just and reasonable rates for consumers. Congress
must clearly define the fundamental characteristics of workable competitive
wholesale markets, and FERC should permit wholesale sales at market rates
in regional markets that are consistent with these characteristics and require
sales at cost-based rates in those that are not. Senator Feinsteins bill, S. 287,
directs the FERC to do just that.
Repeal of the Public Utility Holding Company Act (PUHCA) prior to the cre-
ation of a new market structure that can sustain effective competition would
only make a bad situation worse and should not occur. Indeed, numerous par-
allels can be drawn between the market conditions that existed in 1935 which
led to the enactment of PUHCA, and the market conditions that exist today.
These parallels highlight its continued importance. For example, the number of
registered holding companies has expanded from 14 to 30 in the last eight
years. In addition, todays 150 registered and unregistered holding companies
have a combined total of 240 utility subsidiaries and 4,200 non-utility subsidi-
aries. And, the ongoing rapid consolidation of the marketplace has seen 54
mergers completed or announced during the past two years alonein addition
to 24 mergers of U.S. utilities with foreign companies over the same period of
time. This consolidation limits the number of potential competitors, and re-
quires additional oversight to prevent market power abuses that put consumers
at risk.
CONSUMER SKEPTICISM
With postings of enormous profits, billions of dollars changing hands, and cries
of market manipulation, it is easy to understand the level of skepticism held by
California officials and consumers. APPA believes we all have a responsibility to re-
build consumer confidence as soon as possible, and we urge Congress to adhere to
several principles when developing federal policy:
A national reliability organization with the authority to establish and enforce
reliability standards, assure adequate generating capacity reserves in each rel-
evant wholesale market, and oversee and coordinate maintenance outages, must
be created.
Complete and timely market information on capacity, transactions and prices
must be available to regulatory agencies, public officials and all market partici-
pants.
The FERC must be directed to monitor the wholesale market, and given the re-
sources necessary to do so. It must also be delegated the authority to provide
remedies and impose penalties as appropriate.
CALIFORNIA IS NEITHER AN ABERRATION NOR EXCLUSIVELY A STATE PROBLEM
The failure of electric utility industry restructuring in California has had and con-
tinues to have broad and far-reaching adverse effects throughout the Western States
Coordinating Council region. Electric utilities and their consumers in Western
states are experiencing unprecedented volatility of electricity prices. Utilities, both
public and private, are near the financial edge and some are threatened by bank-
ruptcy. The collapse of these utilities would challenge the financial stability of major
banks, energy producers and marketers, as well as businesses and industries that
provide products and services (and credit for such products and services) to the elec-
tric utility industry throughout the region.
As Federal Reserve Board Chairman Greenspan has noted, the magnitude of the
current electricity problem is sufficient to disrupt the economy of the entire country.
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104
If left unchecked, the problems will become more severe. If addressed, this near
brush with disaster should provide a sobering message that such problems cannot
be allowed to arise in other regions.
There are two critical lessons that must be understood from Californias crisis.
First, electricity is the oxygen of our economy. While lip-service has been paid to
this fact in the past, the reality of this proposition is now being driven home with
frightening force. The electric utility industry is simply too important to the well-
being of the entire nation to permit hasty experiments and unquestioning and un-
tested reliance on the ability of deregulated retail markets without viable whole-
sale electric markets to provide reliable and adequate supplies (and sufficient re-
serves) of electric energy and capacity to all consumers at reasonable rates.
Second, and equally important, wholesale electric markets are interstate in na-
ture. What is happening today is not simply a California problemconsumers in
Arizona, Utah, Idaho, Montana, Oregon and Washington are directly affected, and
there will be ripple effects throughout the economy. Regardless of its origin or cause,
this is a national problem and the solution requires federal action.
The failure of Californias electricity plan has made clear the important role that
wholesale markets have in determining the effectiveness of the retail competition
plans enacted by the states. For several years, APPA and other organizations have
emphasized that state objectives for retail competition will only succeed if supported
by a workable wholesale marketplace. While many factors have contributed to the
rolling blackouts and high prices in Californias electricity market, it is apparent
that improvements in the structure of the interstate electricity marketplace would
go a long way toward helping to avoid such problems in the future.
Congress must finish the job it started with the Energy Policy Act in 1992, the
first major step in creating competitive wholesale markets. It must take further
steps to strengthen the electricity market. This can be accomplished, as outlined
above, by ensuring consumer protection and by eliminating the problems caused by
market abuses.
With regard to the specific issue of todays hearing, we support Senator Fein-
steins legislation, S. 287, calling on the FERC to impose cost-based rates in the
Western energy market on an interim basis. While we support this legislation, we
believe FERC must enforce the statutory standard of just and reasonable rates in
all wholesale markets that fail to provide just and reasonable rates through com-
petition and market forces.
Senator Feinsteins bill, S. 26, is a viable option. S. 26 would amend the Depart-
ment of Energy Authorization Act, to authorize the Secretary of Energy to impose
interim limitations, or price caps, on the cost of electric energy. However, because
it allows for individual states to opt out and because price caps inevitably allow the
price to rise to that cap, we believe S. 287 is a better alternative.
Attached you will find APPAs recently adopted policy resolution calling on FERC
to enforce the Federal Power Act by taking action to prevent wholesale sales of elec-
tricity at costs that exceed just and reasonable rates. As you know, FERC has al-
ready acknowledged that rates in the Western market have not met the just and
reasonable standardyet it has failed to fulfill its obligation under the Act to rem-
edy this situation.
CONCLUSION
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Simply put, the Feinstein-Hunter-Eshoo bill would allow the Secretary of Energy
to set temporary cost-of-service based rates or regional price caps for wholesale elec-
tricity in the West. This authority parallels what the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission (FERC) already has; however, we need this legislation because FERC
has failed to adequately protect consumers in California and the West.
FERCs decision last Friday to order generators selling into California to refund
$69 million for overcharges stemming from transactions made this January was a
positive first step. Although many believe that this figure is on the low side, FERC
has sent an important message to power generatorsthat they cant continue to
gouge consumers without repercussions. While the Commissions order moves
ahead, we must anticipate the future. We need prompt and prudent federal action
to preempt current and future overcharges as we head into summer.
Much has been written about the failure of electricity deregulation in California
and the states failure to invest in new generation. As Californians, we accept our
share of the blame for the energy crisis, and we are doing everything within our
power to correct the problem. California now ranks second in the nation in energy
conservation, with per capita energy use at 37 percent below the national average.
Business and residential consumers have taken steps to reduce their energy con-
sumption even moreeight percent in February alone. [Governor Davis has an-
nounced incentives for consumers who cut their energy use by 20 percent during
this summer.] Its estimated that this initiative could save 2,200 megawatts per day.
The Governor and the California Energy Commission are also working to expedite
the review of new power plants and expect to have more than 2,300 megawatts of
new capacity on-line by the end of the year.
The effects of the energy crisis reach beyond Californias borders. So do the
causes. While California failed to increase production during the 1990s, so did its
neighbors to the north. According to the Northwest Power Planning Council, de-
mand in the northwest increased 24% in the last decade while generation has only
grown 4%.
Whatever the causes, the reality is that the western electricity market is dysfunc-
tional due to a growing imbalance between electricity supply and demand. With re-
gional demand expected to increase this summer, political leaders outside California
are recognizing that their constituents will also experience acute electricity short-
falls. Oregon Governor Kitzhaber and Washington Governor Locke have been calling
for federal intervention since January. Most recently, these governors joined Gov-
ernor Davis in a March 12, 2001, letter to FERC requesting that the Commission
impose cost-service-based rates for the region.
Mr. Chairman, the scarcity of supply today is allowing generators to exert tremen-
dous influence over wholesale electricity rates in the region. By withholding even
marginal amounts of power, generators have successfully driven prices to unprece-
dented levels.
Despite the accusations that greedy California consumers are gobbling up every
megawatt they can, the facts tell a different story. The demand this winter has not
been great in comparison to previous winters or peak summertime periods. A March
11, 2001 San Francisco Chronicle review of California Energy Commission data
demonstrated that December 2000 demand was actually lower than December 1999
demand. The real difference was in the supply.
FERC has reported that in December between 6,000 and 11,000 megawatts of
power were not available, guaranteeing that supply barely met demand. Meanwhile,
generators were able to charge investor-owned utilities an average price of more
than $400 per megawatt, compared to approximately $30 per megawatt one year
earlier. With rates this high, generators have no financial incentive to build new ca-
pacity. Instead, they have a strong incentive to cut supplies and charge higher rates.
Critics of federal intervention, including FERC Chair Curt He bert, have said that
consumers should absorb the cost of these outrageous wholesale rates. Only then,
they argue, will consumers receive the proper market signals, adjust their con-
sumption, and prompt generators to build more capacity. Unfortunately, the Wests
up-side-down electricity market has said to generators, lower production leads to
higher profits. Higher consumer rates will not change that reality.
This is why we need temporary federal intervention. Theres a substantial dif-
ference of opinion within FERC itself. Commissioner William L. Massey wrote to me
on February 21, 2001, telling me of his support for aggressive federal intervention
in the western energy market, and Im enclosing, for the record, a copy of Commis-
sioner Masseys letter. Separately, the Seattle Times reported on March 3, 2001 that
Commissioner Massey said, A federal hands-off approach, in my judgment, is abso-
lutely unlawful. It is an abdication of our responsibility under the [Federal Power]
act.
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Im a believer in free-markets. Period. The western wholesale electricity market
is not free. Consumers and utilities have no choice about where they buy their
power because there is not enough supply to foster competition among generators.
Chairman He berts views notwithstanding, regulators and market observers agree
that consumers need protection until there is sufficient generation capacity for a
truly competitive marketplace.
Mr. Chairman, Senator Bingaman, and Senator Feinstein, thank you for holding
this essential hearing. I look forward to working with you to address the western
energy crisis, and I believe that Senator Feinsteins bill is a good place to start.
Ive chosen to contribute to this dialogue because todays topic is of critical impor-
tance to the members of my association. For most independent producers in Califor-
nia, electricity accounts for up to 60% of the cost of doing business. California oil
is costly to produce because it requires steam injection driven by natural gas to get
it out of the ground. California producers also use a lot of electricity to pump the
oil out of the ground. Environmental rules prevent them from using crude oil to
make electricity so they use natural gas. High natural gas prices and unreliable
supplies of electricity have resulted in making California crude costly to produce
and are threatening to severely curtail the amount of oil we produce on an annual
basis.
CIPA has placed an extraordinary priority on assuring that it has access to a reli-
able and economic supply of electricity and on ensuring the states private utilities
are kept viable and solvent. 1ndependent oil and natural gas producers are some
of the largest electricity consumers in the state, and are economically vulnerable to
unreliable, high-priced electricity supplies.
Disruption in electricity supplies can result in reduced production of indigenous
oil, natural gas and energy supplies produced by CIPA members. Almost all of the
oil and natural gas produced in California is consumed in California.
What happened to Californias electrical system that has resulted in the problems
we see today? As someone representing large consumers of electricity, I would offer
the following insights.
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The problem, in essence, comes down to exceptionally stringent environmental
siting guidelines and a low return on investment that kept new power plants from
being built in California during the past twelve years. Over the past ten years, few
people anticipated the strong demand for electricity brought about by a surging
economy and technology infrastructure. California policymakers thought that other
neighboring western states would sell us their excess power if we couldnt keep up
with our own demand. They didnt anticipate the growth of our neighboring states
economies and the fact that they might want to keep that power for their own use.
In 1996, when the California Legislature passed legislation deregulating Califor-
nias electrical market, it did so only partially. Not all of the market was deregu-
lated, just the generation portion. Investor owned utilities like PG&E were required
to sell their generation so they wouldnt be seen as competing with independent
power producers or holding back the new electricity market. In addition, the law im-
posed a mandatory rate freeze that had been in effect during the past couple of
years. The rate freeze was intended to allow the utilities to recover, from businesses
and consumers like you and me, all the past costs of purchasing infrastructure and
facilities. This also shielded ratepayers from the true cost of providing electricity.
This arrangement worked great as long as wholesale power costs were lower than
the rates utilities were allowed to collect from customers. But, when wholesale
power costs rose, the utilities tried to get the rate freeze removed by the California
Public Utilities Commission and be allowed to pass along the true cost of wholesale
power to their customers. To date, the Governor, Legislature, and the CPUC have
all said no thereby forcing the utilities to continue assuming the price differential
of how much they purchase power for and how much they can recover.
To compound the problem, the new regulatory structure set up by AB 1890the
legislation that created the deregulated marketput a price cap on what independ-
ent power producers could charge for their power and restricted the ability of these
same producers and the utilities to enter into long term contracts.
Finally, all of these factors converged at the same time natural gas prices began
reaching historically high levels. Higher than expected demand throughout the west,
reduced supplies, and disruptions on major pipelines serving California all served
to drive prices up, thereby further exacerbating the generators cost of producing
electricity.
All of these trends have manifested themselves into the current crisis facing the
committee today.
Having identified the problem as we see it, where do we go from here? Californias
independent producers believe we can be part of the solution if allowed the proper
opportunities. As companies based and operating in California, we believe we are
uniquely situated to mitigate the strains that are being placed on the supply side
of the energy equation. Given the proper combination of regulatory relief and incen-
tives, we believe we can increase our levels of both oil and natural gas production
beyond their current levels.
ADDING IN STATE NATURAL GAS SUPPLY
According to the California Division of Oil and Gas, California continues to have
some of the largest proved reserves of oil and natural gas anywhere in the United
States. Proved reserves of over 21 trillion cubic feet (tcf) have been identified along
the West Coast of the United States while over 3 tcf of proved onshore reserves have
been identified to date. With the advent of new, increasingly accurate technology,
new reserves of oil and gas are being found throughout the state in areas previously
thought to be barren.
Despite the presence of such substantial reserves, and the states rapidly growing
demand for increased supplies of natural gas, in-state production in California today
accounts for only 1015% of the states total annual natural gas needs. In the past,
California production has accounted for as much 25% of the states total needs.
Although much of this trend can be contributed to some of the same factors I ref-
erenced earlierstringent environmental laws, high drilling costs, historically low
gas prices throughout the 1990s and labor shortagesmany experts believe a large
part of decline can be tied directly to the policies of the states major gas utilities.
Existing law provides the utilities with almost exclusive authority in setting the
terms and conditions under which pipeline connections for new natural gas wells
are accommodated. Historically, many producers have felt that the utilities have
used this authority to stifle California production and limit competition in favor of
taking larger supplies of gas from out of state sources such as Canada, the Rocky
Mountains, and the Southwest.
For the past ten years, independent producers throughout the state report experi-
encing delays of six months to a year before receiving utility approval to install a
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new pipeline interconnect for newly completed wells. Overly burdensome and expen-
sive terms of conditions imposed by the utilities as a condition of new interconnec-
tions are now thought to be the rule rather than the exception. In many cases, pro-
ducers have elected to simply abandon new exploratory projects rather than try to
meet the demands being imposed by the utilities.
One of the largest impediments to increasing gas production in California are the
utilitys own management policies relative to its existing pipeline infrastructure.
Representatives from PG&E recently announced that the company would no longer
be adding any new metering systems along its pipeline system in Northern Califor-
nia. If enacted, the new PG&E policy would require all new wells to be connected
through an existing metering site along the pipelinerequiring in some cases miles
and miles of new pipelines to be constructed in order to connect a remote explor-
atory well. Given such terms and conditions, most exploratory projects would be-
come automatically unfeasible. In an related move, PG&E has also recently em-
barked on an ambitious plan of retiring large sections of its pipeline gathering and
delivery systemsfurther limiting the potential points of interconnection for new
gas wells. Many of the sections being targeted by the utility continue to remain in
operational condition. The hardest by these new policies would be the Northern Sac-
ramento Basinone of the most proliferate dry gas fields in the United States and
the source of over one-third of all the natural gas produced in California.
Significant evidence suggests that much of Californias long-term gas needs could
be addressed be expanding production, and reforming the regulatory relationship be-
tween the independent producers and the utilities. Suggested reforms that could
help accomplish this goal include:
Establishing mandatory timeframes under which a utility must respond to a
producers request for a pipeline interconnection.
Encouraging new exploration activity by requiring the utility to install new me-
tering sites, rather than requiring producers to construct miles of new pipeline
for every exploratory well.
Allowing producers to expedite the installation of new interconnects by author-
ing them shoulder costs such as pipeline construction and labor costs if the util-
itys workforce is already overburdened.
Facilitating the development of new pipeline gathering infrastructure that en-
ables more gas to get to market.
Requiring the utilitys to sell off its existing gathering systems to interested pro-
ducers and co-ops, and provide the producers the authority to maintain and
service the gathering systems.
By making some of these minor changes, and facilitating the ability of California
producers to get their gas to market, we believe we can begin to help mitigate at
least one element of the problems driving our states current crisis.
IN-STATE GENERATION OPTIONS
On a related note, CIPA believes that Federal policymakers must act to eliminate
federal policies that discourage co-generation, self-generation and distributed gen-
eration. Many California oil and gas producers are uniquely situated to generate
their own electricity. Some have excess supply which could be sold to other consum-
ers if reasonable utility connection, siting and standby policies were in place. We
encourage you to examine the ways in which FERC, the DOE and other agencies
of the federal government could encourage and incentivize utilities, and the regu-
latory community in California, to act to approve new facilities.
In closing, independent oil and gas producers are price takers and have no ability
to set the price of crude at the wellhead where we produce it. Independent oil and
natural gas producers are like energy farmers. We take our commodity out of the
ground and sell it for the market price set by OPEC and other producing countries,
usually to an independent refiner or integrated oil company who then refines it into
products like gasoline. As such, our members are extremely vulnerable and can be
dramatically impacted by any combination of events that force their costs to rise
suddenly. We appreciate the committees attention to this extremely serious matter
and stand ready to work with you in finding the proper solutions.
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tion of the vital service of electric power, for the interest of the general public. The
limitationswhich we address below, are not as important as the fact that these
two bills, and very few others (one is that of Rep. Peter DeFazio, D-Oregon), favor
serving the general welfare, and go against the Administrations crazed continuance
of deregulation, which is equivalent to throwing gasoline on a burning house.
Moreover, the additional danger at present, is the political fact that, without such
measures, the process of worsening energy emergenciesfor the Northwestern
states, and New York, as well as California, can be taken by the Administration as
the pretext for rule-by-decree, on exactly same principle as in Hitlers 1933 take-
over. We do not exaggerate. This prospect was the inherent danger in the confirma-
tion of John Ashcroft for Attorney-General, who ideologically opposes Federal gov-
ernment measures to protect and advance the General Welfare. Without reregula-
tion, however, the crisis will worsen to the point of creating a national emergency.
In opposition to the mantra of free markets, there are moves now in all states,
to delay, roll-back or reconsider energy deregulation, to prevent economic destruc-
tion, and the threat of chaos or dictatorship. In particular, the emergency policy pro-
posals made by economist Lyndon LaRouchecontributing editor to EIR News Serv-
ice, are under review at town meetings, lobbying days, and policy sessions in dozens
of states.
In brief, LaRouches proposals call for re-regulation of energy, and Ch. 11 Bank-
ruptcy for the California utilities, and others in the same position. These are tradi-
tional precedents from the FDR era.
LaRouche, who forewarned decades ago, of the consequences of deregulation, and
allowing a casino economy of speculation and concentrated ownership, has re-
leased on Feb. 6 a policy document on the California Energy Crisis, As Seen and
Heard on the Salton Sea, 400,000 copies of which are circulating in the form of a
mass pamphlet, through the LaRouche-in-2004 Democratic Presidential campaign.
Excerpts of this document were provided to the Committee in EIR testimony to the
Jan. 31 hearing on the California crisis.
We remind you of what it means to continue to back deregulation. In data tables
below, we provide the statistics of the 30% to 200% profit rates for Y2000, made
by Bush Administration-aligned Enron and the new energy merchant and specula-
tion companies, off California and other power crises; these companies also made
mega-donations to elected officials. However, beyond simple corruption, the point
shown is that any expectation that the financial and economic system which is
based on this level of hyperinflation, and cartel control, can continue, is insane.
Either you start to think, as implied in the Feinstein/Boxer bills, that something
can and must be done to set controls on the markets, or you are on the side of chaos
and destruction. First, we provide the Committee the economic assessment given by
Lyndon LaRouche at an international policy conference Presidents Day weekend in
Reston, Virginia; and then some documentation of the nature of crisis, and why
there is no other policy direction than what LaRouche proposes, like it or not.
LaROUCHES ASSESSMENT: HYPERINFLATION
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sidy for imports, as we were doing before; therefore, we cant do that. Therefore, our
suppliers, who have used us as a market, are now being shut down.
For example, Mexico can expect, 20, 30, 40% of its exports into the United States
to be wiped out, very soon. One of the biggest. Canada is already suffering, as youve
seen from some reports recently from there. This is a global process.
REQUIRED: REREGULATION AND CH. 11 BANKRUPTCY
LaRouche then turned to, who would oppose solving the energy crisis, asking,
But, what does that mean? Thats in the interest of the nation. How can any pa-
triot oppose that? George Bush has to be opposed to it. If you look at the combina-
tion of financial interests, which is represented by the people that gave the money
to make Bush President: These guys would be wiped out, by an honest deal. Be-
cause they make their money by looting; they bid up the price. The reason that the
prices go up, is purely that these fellows are looting the United States, as well as
other countries. Therefore, the interest, the reaction, the response of these people,
is against the interest of the people of the United States; against the national secu-
rity interests.
The following two tables,* reproduced here from the March 2 issue of EIR, En-
ergy Crisis Update, Feb. 22 give data analyzed on the energy cartel mega-profits,
and mega-donations to political campaigns.
NOT A SUPPLY AND DEMAND PROBLEM
The tables above, listing the companies making hyper-profits off hyperinflationary
energy prices, also raise the point that the problem in run-away energy prices is
emphatically not a supply-and-demand issue. While the energy infrastructure and
resource base of the United States has been degraded (from aging transmission
lines, to the lack of new nuclear plants) over the last 30 years, todays energy price
spikes are clearly speculation and gouging.
The graphs below, for three power commoditiesoil, natural gas and electricity
(California), all show that while supplies (and correspondingly, use) remain almost
level, prices soared over Y2000. During this same time, demand did not jump. The
price take-off came directly from deregulated energy markets and speculation.
Two more points should be brought out in this respect. Natural gas, because it
is federally deregulated, is soaring in price (from speculation and gouging) all across
the continent, with terrible economic dislocation and financial chaos. Where natural
gas is part of the electricity generation, a double whammy is hitting the locale. Sec-
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ondly, price rises for petroleum, do not correspond with non-existent swings in sup-
ply or demand for oil. Prices soar from speculation and gouging.
In the best estimates of financial analysts, every barrel of oil entering world ex-
ports, is traded up to 15 times over on the London and New York commodities fu-
tures exchanges. This is called, paper oil. Natural gas is traded on the New York
Stock Exchange 8 or 10 times more than the volume that exists. Electricity futures
are traded many times over the actual unit volume and production costs.
GO THE WHOLE WAY
These few facts demonstrate that only policy that will go the whole way with
energy price re-regulation, and Ch. 11 bankruptcy protection of the public interest,
is appropriate to the nature of the crisis we now face. Half-way measures, or partial
bail-outs are doomed, along with the economy, if we dont take an across-the-board
reregulation approach.
Thus, from this point of view, the principle of public interest embodied in the
Feinstein/Boxer bills is in the right direction, but too limited, given the reality of
the depression.
S. 26To impose interim limitations on the cost of electric energy to protect con-
sumers from unjust and unreasonable prices in the electric market; and
S. 80To require the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to order refunds
of unjust, unreasonable, unduly discriminatory or preferential rates and charges for
electricity, to establish cost-based rates for electricity sold at wholesale in the West-
ern Systems Coordinating Council . . .
S. 287To impose cost-of-service based rates [meaning, to cover cost of produc-
tion, and a reasonable return on invested capital] on sales by public utilities of elec-
tric energy at wholesale in the western market.
[The states covered by the bills are defined as the Western Energy Market
Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah,
Washington, and Wyoming.]
It is in the best interests of the nation, that these draft bills be expanded to cover
all power modes, be nationwide, re-instate regulation, and facilitate Ch. 11 Bank-
ruptcy actions where needed.
1 NCPA is a nonprofit California joint powers agency established in 1968 to generate, trans-
mit, and distribute electric power to and on behalf of its fourteen members: cities of Alameda,
Biggs, Gridley, Healdsburg, Lodi, Lompoc, Palo Alto, Redding, Roseville. Santa Clara, Ukiah,
the Port of Oakland, the Truckee Donner Public Utility District, and the Turlock Irrigation Dis-
trict and seven associate members: cities of Davis, Santa Barbara, ABAG Power, Bay Area
Rapid Transit District. Lassen Municipal Utility District, Placer County Water Agency, and the
Plumas-Sierra Rural Electric Cooperative serving nearly 700,000 c1cctric consumers in central
and northern California.
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nia today. Consequently, NCPA supports efforts to re-impose cost-based rates as a
temporary measure until such time as competitive market conditions exist.
CAUSES OF THE CURRENT CRISIS
While there is no value in finger pointing, it is clear that many factors contributed
to the current crisisa crisis that spills beyond Californias borders and infects the
regional power market. At its core, the California and associated Western power
market lacks the conditions necessary for a competitive market: multiple sellers,
ease of entry, free flow of commerce and price transparency. In California:
There is a shortage of installed and operable generation in California. This
shortage has allowed market participants to withhold generation, strategically
bid and game the system to maximize profits.
There is a shortage of transmission capacity within the State. Alleviating cur-
rent transmission constraints between northern and southern California would
have avoided the recent rolling blackouts. However, no party has both the re-
sponsibility and authority to relieve such constraints.
There is a shortage of transmission capacity to import generation products from
outside California.
The absence of a seamless, independent regional transmission system impedes
commerce and narrows the relevant market.
From its inception, the Cal-ISO and PX lacked proper rules, procedures and
mechanisms to promote competition, monitor market conditions and take correc-
tive action.
Market forces can only serve to check prices when competitive market conditions
exist. In the absence of such conditions, sellers are able to dictate prices without
suffering competitive responses that reduce sales and revenue. Although the Federal
Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) should only approve market based rates
when competitive market conditions exist, FERC approved the California restructur-
ing plan and the use of market based rates.
CALIFORNIA MUNICIPAL UTILITIES HARMED BY DYSFUNCTIONAL MARKET
The general perception is that Californias municipal utilities have been insulated
from the volatile market. While it is true that Californias municipal utilities re-
tained the generation assets needed to serve load, our consumers have been far from
insulated from the dysfunctional market. NCPA and its members:
Voluntarily participated in the Cal-ISO load curtailment programs and have
been subject to rolling blackoutseven though we had sufficient resources to
meet our load.
Have drawn down the reservoirs at our hydro projects to help meet the elec-
tricity demands of the state, putting at risk our ability to generate power at
these projects during the critical peak Summer months.
Operated gas-fired combustion turbines at the sole direction of the Cal-ISO,
using 20 percent of available air emissions in the first 20 days of January (at
a time when the plants would usually not operate)again reducing our ability
to operate the plants during the Summer.
Purchased power on the market at rates above what would exist in a truly com-
petitive market.
Sold power to the Cal-ISO, for service to the states investor-owned utilities, for
which weve since been told we will not be paid.
As consumer-owned utilities, the effects of these developments will be felt directly
and exclusively by our consumers. We have no stockholders to share in the pain.
PRICE CAPS AND COST-BASED RATES
NCPA recognizes the shortcomings of hard price caps. The level may be arbitrar-
ily set too high or too low, either unnecessarily enriching low-cost producers or pre-
venting marginal generators from economically operating. While a $250 price cap
seemed more than adequate one year ago, natural gas prices and emission credits
not to mention opportunity costscombine, at times, to make the cost of operating
one of NCPAs gas-fired combustion turbines more than $800 per megawatt. It is
clearly difficult to divine a single number to impose as a cost cap throughout the
west.
It is equally clear that failure to impose regulatory cost disciplinein the absence
of effective market disciplinewill cause excessive and unacceptable burdens on res-
idential consumers, businesses and the California, regional and national economies.
Just as the stock markets employ circuit breakers to halt trading when the market
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rises or falls too precipitously, so too must we call a time out in the western whole-
sale electricity market.
Ultimately, additional infrastructureboth generation and transmissionis need-
ed to restore supply-demand equilibrium and enable markets to function competi-
tively. NCPA strongly supports such investments and is aggressively pursuing gen-
eration and transmission additions. However, the most critical transmission addi-
tion will take at least two years to complete and generation projects will take even
longer. Consumers in California and neighboring states cannot wait that long.
To protect consumers during this intervening period, NCPA supports a temporary
re-imposition of cost-based rates and supports the intent of the legislation pending
before the Committee. We commend Senators Feinstein and Boxer for recognizing
the need to act and for pursuing the temporary re-imposition of cost-based rates.
NCPA understands that there are differing opinions on the need for and design
of any regulation of the regional power market. While we are willing to work with
the Committee, the Administration and other market participants on the design of
the effort, we believe expeditious action is imperative.
Issues that the Committee might consider include:
cost plus rates in which higher than normal profits would be temporarily al-
lowed to ensure operation of existing generation;
exempting generation additions from cost-based rates as a means of encourag-
ing new plant construction;
the types of transactions subject to the cost-based rate requirement (e.g., all
transactions or only short-term transactions); and
the trigger for when the cost-based rate requirement would be lifted.
At a minimum, Congress should ensure that the current soft cap imposed by
FERC is properly enforced. As intended, power sales at prices above the FERC-im-
posed soft cap would be allowed but reviewed to ensure that they were cost-justi-
fied. It is unclear whether FERC is adequately collecting and reviewing the cost
data needed to determine whether above-cap bids are in fact cost-justified. Congress
must ensure that this minimal protection is, in fact, operating.
LONG-TERM MARKET REFORMS NEEDED
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effective market monitor, with clear authority and direction to detect and cor-
rect market manipulation or abuse, is needed.
Congress and FERC have exclusive authority over inter-state commerce in the
sale of electricity. The interstate market is not currently working and will not sus-
tain effective competition. It is critical that the structure and mechanisms necessary
for a competitive market be established.
NCPA is a participant in the Electricity Stakeholdersa diverse coalition sup-
porting wholesale market reformsand urges the Committee to adopt legislation
consistent with the Stakeholder principles.
CONCLUSION
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feel its effects. This situation has reached a crisis level and calls for the involvement
of the federal government.
Many theories exist to explain the specific reasons that wholesale prices have in-
creased so dramatically. Generally however, the consensus seems to be that the
problem is a result of a combination of factors, including: scarcity in terms of gen-
eration capacity due to aging facilities; transmission delivery systems with inad-
equate capacity and the existence of bottlenecks; imperfect market structure at the
wholesale level and, in the case of California, the retail level, and; market abuses
by energy providers who have taken advantage of narrow supply margins to price
gouge consumers. Certainly one could argue about the relative weight and impact
of each of those factors and there are, no doubt, other factors here left unmentioned.
What is important however, is that the price increases have resulted in consumers
being forced to pay unjust and unreasonable amounts for electricity. Those who are
low income or on fixed incomes, the elderly, and non-profit organizations and small
businesses with narrow operating margins have been particularly hard hit. If noth-
ing is done, the situation will grow far worse this summer.
The legislation being considered today is crucial precisely because it can provide
some measure of relief to those consumers. By granting to regulators the authority
to implement rate caps on the wholesale price of electricity, the dramatic fluctua-
tions we have seen recently in wholesale electricity prices can be mitigated. That
leveling off of wholesale prices that is the desired result of the legislation will, in
turn, lead to some relief for the retail consumers. Opponents of rate caps may argue
that such caps could serve as a disincentive to the construction of new generation.
However, I believe the proposed legislation addresses that argument by expressly
allowing the rate caps to include a reasonable rate of return that would continue
to provide an incentive for the construction of new generation capacity. Only unjust
and unreasonable rates would be affected by this legislation. In fact, many compa-
nies that saw fit to add generation in the past made healthy profits for decades at
prices far below current levels.
The rate caps proposed in this legislation are being advocated precisely because
electric wholesale prices in the West have become unreasonable and unjust and it
is clear that consumer price gouging is occurring. In fact, the Federal Energy Regu-
latory Commission has previously concluded, in an order issued on November 1,
2000, that prices in California and the western energy market were unjust and un-
reasonable. In the short term, the only means available to protect consumers from
price gouging is to implement rate caps. Ultimately, additional generation and
transmission capacity will have to be developed to bring stability to the wholesale
market, but todays prices are not necessary to justify such construction.
Another issue I would like to briefly address is reliability. It is critical that in ad-
dressing the pricing problems of the wholesale electricity market, Congress not in-
advertently impair electric reliability. Congress should ensure that any measures it
implements for the purpose of solving the electric wholesale problems not create
conditions which would result in a reduction in the availability of power in the
West. The laws of physics do not necessarily recognize state boundaries. Imposition
of a cap in one part of the Western grid but not in others could have severe unin-
tended operational consequences.
Colorado Springs Utilities supports the concept of temporary electric wholesale
rate caps as a means to protect consumers from market abuses and bring prices
under control. I urge the Committee to act quickly in moving legislation to address
the current wholesale crisis.
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