Week 2 Practice Quiz For Bayesian Statistics - Coursera
Week 2 Practice Quiz For Bayesian Statistics - Coursera
Week2PracticeQuiz|Coursera
1
point
1.
Which of the following statements is true?
The posterior is a mixture between the prior and likelihood.
The prior is a mixture between the posterior and likelihood.
The likelihood is a mixture between the prior and posterior.
1
point
2.
Which of the following distributions would be a good choice of prior to use if
you wanted to determine if a coin is fair when you have a strong belief that the
coin is fair? (Assume a model where we call heads a success and tails a failure).
Beta(10, 90)
Beta (1, 1)
Beta(50, 50)
Beta(9, 1)
Beta (10, 10)
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point
3.
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Week2PracticeQuiz|Coursera
If Amy is trying to make inferences about the average number of customers that
visit Macys between noon and 1 p.m., which of the following distributions
represents a conjugate prior?
Poisson
Gamma
Normal
Beta
1
point
4.
Suppose that you sample 24 M&Ms from a bag and nd that 3 of them are
yellow. Assuming that you place a uniform Beta(1,1) prior on the proportion of
yellow M&Ms p, what is the posterior probability that p < 0.2 ?
0.60
0.69
0.77
0.92
1
point
5.
Suppose you are given a coin and told that the coin is either biased towards
heads (p = 0.6) or biased towards tails (p = 0.4). Since you have no prior
knowledge about the bias of the coin, you place a prior probability of 0.5 on the
outcome that the coin is biased towards heads. You ip the coin twice and it
comes up tails both times. What is the posterior probability that your next two
ips will be heads?
0.2
0.212
0.222
0.25
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