Michigan 2011
Michigan 2011
Casebook 2011
CONSULTING INTERVIEW GUIDE
-0-
Table of Contents
I.
Introduction
3
7
III. Frameworks
12
17
V. Glossary
19
27
2.
37
3.
44
4.
50
5.
57
6.
60
7.
64
8.
70
9.
77
82
90
-1-
Table of Contents
94
102
107
116
121
131
135
146
151
156
-2-
Introduction
-3-
Introduction
Important Information Regarding the Casebook
By accessing this casebook, you agree not to share it with anyone who is not a member of the
Ross Consulting Club. This casebook is a product of the work of Ross Consulting Club members
who wrote the cases and Casebook committee members who compiled and edited these cases.
Access to the Ross Casebook is a privilege of club membership.
Many of the cases provided to the club were provided by consulting firms who did so with the
understanding that the audience for these cases would be limited.
When the opportunity arises, the RCC will coordinate casebook exchanges with other MBA
programs. These exchanges will be facilitated by the RCC Casebook Committee.
Contact Reed Hansen ([email protected]) or Cara Howieson ([email protected]) with
any questions
Copyright 2011 by the Ross Consulting Club. Copyright act of 1976, no part of this publication
may be reproduced or distributed in any for or by any means or stored in a database or retrieval
system , without prior written permission by the publisher.
-4-
Introduction
-5-
Acknowledgements
Case Contributors
In addition to the RCC Casebook team, the publication of this casebook would
not have been possible without the support of the following individuals:
Chandra Arya
Rohit Bakshi
Steuart Botchford
Tyler Cole
Matt Harms
Ameera Hiary
Chris Hicks
Jonathan Hunt-Glassman
Jonathan Huynh
Noy Jacobsberg
Alex Sedler
Adam Schanfield
Cecilia Tian
Rick Wilmot
John Zhang
-6-
Case Structure
The overall structure of the case interview takes the following form:
Understand the
Question
Develop
Framework
(~1-2 minutes)
(~1-2 minutes)
LISTEN
Summarize the
problem statement
to make sure you
understand the
situation and
objectives
Ask 1-2 clarifying
questions around
the topic and/or
metrics to be used
for the analysis
The questions
posed should
necessitate a short
response you don
Analyze
(~20 minutes)
Refer back to the
framework as you
move through each
of the main areas
Use one sheet of
paper per topic
think of the case as
a PowerPoint deck
Tie back each piece
of analysis to the
main
objective/problem
statement
Walk through the
calculations
/analysis
Drive insights
whenever possible!
Form
Recommendation
(~1-2 minutes)
State your
recommendation as
a direct response to
the
problem/objective
it should not come
as a surprise to the
interviewer
Incorporate key
metrics/findings as a
part of your
recommendation
Include risks and
next steps
-7-
Bargaining Power of
Suppliers
Internal
Rivalry
Bargaining Power of
Customers
Threat of Substitutes
-8-
Key Drivers
Internal Rivalry
Economies of scale
Capital requirements
Access to distribution channels
Competitor response
Brand identity
Proprietary product differences
Threat of Substitutes
Switching costs
Relative pricing
Availability of and consumer propensity to substitute products
Bargaining Power of
Suppliers
Supplier concentration
Switching costs
Threat of forward integration
Product differentiation
Bargaining Power of
Customers
Buyer concentration
Buyer volume
Buyer switching costs
Ability to backward integrate
Substitute products
-9-
Considerations
Product
Promotion
Price
Perceived value
Willingness to pay
Retail/Discounts
Economic incentives
Skimming
Strategy relation to market size, product lifecycle, and competition
Place (Distribution)
Channels
Coverage
Inventory levels, turnover, carrying costs
Transportation alternatives, efficiencies, costs
- 10 -
Considerations
Company
Strengths/Weaknesses/Opportunities/Threats
Strategy and vision
Available resources/Capacity
Experience/Learning Curve
Financial
Culture/Organizational structure
Competition
Industry
Size/Number/Market share
Economies of Scale/Scope
Capabilities/Experience
Resources financial, distribution
Customer
Perceptions
Loyalty
Switching costs
Purchase behavior
Segmentation
Market characteristics/trends
To make this a 5Cs analysis, one would also evaluate costs and channels. Data for
these two dimensions is covered elsewhere in the casebook.
- 11 -
General Frameworks
Topic
Key Drivers
Revenue
Volume
Internal Price, Customer Service, Distribution/Inventory/Capacity
External Competition, Substitutes/Complements, Market
Forces/Demand
Price Competition, Elasticity, Differentiation, Segments
Product Mix Attributes (e.g. niche, patent), Quality, % of Revenue, Variety
Alternative Revenue Streams
Number of Stores
Costs
Competition
Rivals (structure)
New Entrants
Substitutes
Reaction
Position
- 12 -
General Frameworks
Topic
Key Drivers
Customers
Market Size
Segments
Needs
Purchase Drivers
Price Elasticity
Retention/Loyalty
Processes
Manufacturing
Marketing
Sales
Distribution
Customer Service
IT
R&D
Forecasting
Company
Core Competencies
Cost of Capital
Brand
Organization / Incentives
Controls
Financial Capability
Management Capability
- 13 -
General Frameworks
Topic
Key Drivers
Macro
Legislation
Unions
Technology
Economy Oil, Interest Rates, Unemployment
International Issues Politics, Regulations, Taxes, Tariffs
Environment
Socio-Cultural
Demographics
Supply Chain
Suppliers
Distributions
Industry
Barriers to Entry/Exit
Lifecycle
Consolidation
Government Policy
Capital Costs
Access to Technology, Distribution, etc.
- 14 -
Formula
Rule of 72
Littles Law
Inventory
Profitability
Breakeven
Margin
Markup
- 15 -
Formula
DuPont Analysis
Working Capital
Income Statement
Sales
COGS
= Gross Profit
SG&A
= EBITDA
Depreciation/Amortization
= Operating Profit
Interest Expense
= EBIT
Tax Expense
= Net Income
- 16 -
Economics Review
Concept
Definition
Adverse Selection
Consumer Surplus
Economic gain achieved when consumers purchase a product for a price less
than their willingness to pay.
Consumer Surplus = Willingness to Pay - Price
Economies of Scale
The average cost per unit for a business entity is reduced by increasing the
scale of production.
Economies of Scope
The average cost for a business entity is reduced by producing two or more
products.
Elasticity
Insurance
Form of risk management used to hedge against the risk of a loss in which
the cost is equal to expected loss.
Law of Diminishing
Returns
At some point in the production process, the addition of one more unit of
output , while holding everything else constant, will eventually lead to a
decrease in per unit returns.
Marginal Cost
- 17 -
Economics Review
Concept
Definition
Monopoly
Moral Hazard
The unobservable actions and risks that humans may take once a contract is signed
since they dont bear consequences. It is a special case of information asymmetry
that affects the cost of transaction.
Oligopoly
Perfect Competition
Price Discrimination
Situation in which identical goods are sold at different prices from the same provider.
Ist degree Different price for different willingness to pay
2nd degree Different price for different quantities
3rd degree Different price for different segments (attributes)
Risk Averse
Individuals who prefer certainty over the uncertain for the same expected value (EV).
Risk Neutral
Risk Seeking
Individuals who prefer risk even if the EV for a certain event and the risk is the same.
- 18 -
Glossary
Term
Definition
Arbitrage
The purchase of securities on one market for immediate resale on another market in
order to profit from a price discrepancy.
Break-Even
Total amount of revenue needed to offset the sum of a firm's costs. Implies that the
firm's profit will be $0.
CAGR
Capacity
The maximum level of output of goods and/or services that a given system can
potentially produce over a set period of time.
Competitive
Advantage
When a firm is able to deliver benefits equal to competitors but at a lower cost OR
able to deliver greater benefits than competitors.
Contribution
Margin
Core
Competencies
Customer
Segmentation
- 19 -
Glossary
Term
Definition
Discount Rate
Three main methods: start from scratch, form joint venture, acquire an
existing player.
Five Cs
Fixed Costs
Four Ps
Gross Margin
A Companys total sales minus its cost of goods sold, divided by the total
sales revenue, expressed as a percentage.
Horizontal Integration
The acquisition of additional business activities at the same level of the value
chain.
International Expansion
- 20 -
Glossary
Term
Definition
Inventory Turnover
A ratio showing how many times a company's inventory is sold and replaced over
a period. Should be compared to industry averages: low turnover implies poor
sales or excess inventory; high ratio implies either strong sales or ineffective
buying.
Learning Curve
Visually shows how new skills or knowledge can be quickly acquired initially, but
subsequent learning becomes much slower. A steeper curve indicates faster,
easier learning and a flatter curve indicates slower, more difficult learning.
Market Share
Payback Period
Market Size
Product Lifecycle
NPV
The difference between present value cash inflows and present value cash
outflows.
Product Mix
Total number of product lines that a company offers to its customers. Often an
important area to explore in profitability cases to identify loss-making products.
- 21 -
Glossary
Term
Definition
Profit
Promotion
Rule of 72
Also known as the rule of 70, AKA rule of 69. Simply put 72, 70 or 69 in the
numerator and the projected annual growth rate in the denominator to give
you the amount of time until the investment doubles.
The average revenue a business creates for every square foot of sales
space. Used in the retail industry as a measure of efficiency.
A statistic used in retail industry to determine what portion of new sales has
come from sales growth and what portion from the opening of new stores.
SWOT Analysis
- 22 -
Glossary
Term
Definition
Synergies
The idea that the value and performance of two companies combined will be
greater than the sum of the separate individual parts. Used mostly in M&A.
Value Chain
Another concept from Michael Porter. His Value chain: Inbound Logistics,
Operations, Outbound logistics, Marketing and Sales.
Variable Costs
Vertical Integration
Weighted Average
- 23 -
- 24 -
World
China
India
Europe
U.S.
Brazil
Japan
Mexico
France
Canada
Australia
New York City
Los Angeles
Chicago
Population
7B
1.4 B
1.2 B
800 M
310 M
200 M
130 M
107 M
65 M
34 M
22 M
8M
4M
3M
Metric
Value
2.5
$47,000
92%
80%
40%
10%
$408 B
$14 B
$275 B
$19 B
13 %
27 %
4%
3.3 %
- 25 -
Decimal Calculations
Decimal Calculations
Many decimal calculations can be made easier by remembering a few numbers. For example, if
you know that 1/8 is .125, it will be easy to calculate 3/8 = 3*.125 = .375. Numbers divided by 7
are also easy to calculate once you memorize the number sequence 142857.
$K * $K = $M
$K * $M = $B
1/2
.5
1/3
.333
1/4
.25
1/5
.2
1/6
.166
1/7
.142857
1/8
.125
1/9
.111
1/7
.142857
2/7
.285714
3/7
.428571
4/7
.571428
5/7
.714285
6/7
.857142
- 26 -
Retail Bank
(McKinsey Quick on your Feet Competition)
Problem statement narrative
Our client is a bank in the US. It has a large retail
footprint and offers a mix of services to endcustomers (checking, debit, credit cards). They also
have loan centers to sell mortgages in the same
markets. The bank currently serves 15 million
customers. Our client has historically been
profitable, but increased regulation and the downturn
in the economy have caused the bank to see a sharp
decline in profitability. The client has engaged us to
help determine next steps for its business and has
asked us to assess ways they can increase profits
within the next 12 months.
Difficulty: Medium
Quant Heavy
Type: Profitability
- 27 -
Retail Bank
(McKinsey Quick on your Feet Competition)
What are some of the ways the bank can increase profits in the next 12 months?
A good answer is structured and contains a comprehensive set of ideas to both reduce costs and boost revenues as
well as clear examples. Interviewee should use a Profitability framework to approach this problem. Answers include
but are not limited to:
Reduce Costs
Fixed Costs
Reduce underperforming branches (close branches, lease branches to other banks)
Reduce workforce (e.g., push greater use of online channels for banking, outsource functions)
Consolidate the branches and the loan centers
Variable
Reduce costs associated with transactions (paper free, decrease error rate)
Increase Revenue
Quantity
Current Customers
Cross-sell different products (home purchase mortgages, refinancing, credit card, debit card, money market,
advisory services)
Change product mix to higher revenue products
Get rid of unprofitable customers
New Customers
Increase Number of customers
Product Mix
Launch new products
Price
Increase bank fees (Debit fees, ATM fees, call center fees)
Raise rates charged
- 28 -
Retail Bank
(McKinsey Quick on your Feet Competition)
Long Term
What happens when the market rebounds?
- 29 -
Retail Bank
(McKinsey Quick on your Feet Competition)
- 30 -
Retail Bank
(McKinsey Quick on your Feet Competition)
Exhibit 1
Our client has 5 distinct groups of customers
Annual $ per customer1
Revenue
Potential
Margin from
banking costs
100
Group 2
100
Group 3
20
15
-5
50
-60
100
Group 5
100
-5
50
-20
75
-15
-15
-15
-15
% of total
clients
Profit
-15
-15
15
Group 4
Cost to serve
30%
-5
20%
-25
20%
-5
15
Group 1
Transaction
costs
10%
45
20%
1 15,000,000 customers
SOURCE: Team Analysis
- 31 -
Retail Bank
(McKinsey Quick on your Feet Competition)
Category
Profit
Percent of clients
Weighted profitability
Group 1
-5
0.3
$ (1.50)
Group 2
-25
0.2
$ (5.00)
Group 3
-5
0.2
$ (1.00)
Group 4
15
0.1
$ 1.50
Group 5
45
0.2
$ 9.00
Total
N/A
$ 3.00
- 32 -
Retail Bank
(McKinsey Quick on your Feet Competition)
Total Profit
$45,000,000.00
Note: If the interviewer decides to calculate each group out individually, push them to look
for shortcuts.
Our client has decided to institute a $.85 fee each month for all checking accounts. We have
advised them that they will lose a number of customers. We expect the following % of
customers to remain (read this chart to interviewee):
Percent of customers
that remain
Segment
Percent
Group 1
60%
Group 2
60%
Group 3
20%
Group 4
60%
Group 5
70%
- 33 -
Retail Bank
(McKinsey Quick on your Feet Competition)
Segment
Group 1
Group 2
Group 3
Group 4
Group 5
Profit
$
(5)
$ (25)
$
(5)
$
15
$
45
% of
Customers
who fit
each
segment
30%
20%
20%
10%
20%
% of
customers
that will
stay with
the firm
60%
40%
20%
60%
50%
# of
remaining
customers
2,700K
1,200K
600K
900K
1,500K
Profit per
group
(w/o fee)
(13,500K)
(30,000K)
(3,000K)
13,500,K
67,500K
Profit
from
fees
(@$10
per yr)
27,000K
12,000K
6,000K
9,000K
15,000K
Total
profit per
segment
13,500K
18,000K
3,000K
22,500K
82,500K
(Continued)
- 34 -
Retail Bank
(McKinsey Quick on your Feet Competition)
Total Profit
103,500K
# of Customers
Average Profit per Customer
6,900K
$
15
- 35 -
Retail Bank
(McKinsey Quick on your Feet Competition)
Intro:
-The bank should institute a bank fee in order to meet the initial goal of increasing profits. This
is the quickest way to earn new streams of revenue, while segmenting out the unprofitable
customers. By instituting a fee you will be able to increase profit by 5x per customer on an
annual basis.
Note: The interviewee should include a detail or two on each group and how they are able to
increase profits (e.g. Group 3 was losing $3M per year we are now earning $3M in profit from them
on an annual basis).
Risks
-Bad PR
-High transaction costs as people try to figure out if they are affected
-Estimates could be off
-Lose customers that could become profitable in the future
Next steps
-Move forward with instating the fee
-Look at exempting certain groups from the fee
- 36 -
Difficulty: Easy
Industry: Manufacturing
- 38 -
Exhibit 1 Volumes have decreased and so have prices ($10 to $9.5). Ask candidate why he/she
thinks the price must have gone down. The most logical answer should be that since this is a
close to commodity product, prices for the entire industry have fallen down and ChairCo had to
respond. Competitors might have become more cost competitive because their operations are
located outside US.
Exhibit 2 - Competition has significant cost savings in material and labor. The most logical
reasons are that they are based in low wage counties such as China, Indonesia and that they are
using an inferior/cheaper metal.
Exhibit 3 ChairCo customers are moving geographically away which explains the drop in
volume despite the drop in price.
- 39 -
Conclusion
Recommendation
Next Steps
- 40 -
$500 M
50M Units
$380 M
40M Units
2010
2011
- 41 -
ChairCo Costs
Cost Structure
ChairCo
Competitor
Materials
4.9
2.5
Labor
1.5
Transportation
0.5
1.5
Tax
IT
0.5
Overhead
1.1
SGA
COGS
$7.5
$7.4
0.6
$1.5
$1.6
2010
2011
- 42 -
Europe
Canada
US
Asia
10.0%
30.0%
50.0%
80.0%
60.0%
40.0%
5.0%
5.0%
2009
5.0%
5.0%
2010
5.0%
5.0%
2011
- 43 -
Difficulty: Hard
Industry: Manufacturing
Molds R Us
PVC Plastic
Moldings
Rubber
Moldings
1 Ruble
1.5 Rubles
None
Need Contractor
Replacement
None
Every 5 years
Molding Options
Wood
Moldings
5 Rubles
Need
DIY
Contractor
Every 10
Every 7 Years Years
Plaster
Moldings
15 Rubles
Need
Contractor
Every 25 Years
- 45 -
Molds R Us
8%
8%
Rubber Moldings
8%
Wood Moldings
8%
Plaster Moldings
7%
7%
18%
0%
16%
1%
16%
15%
13%
11%
2%
5%
9%
12%
25%
26%
26%
26%
26%
25%
49%
48%
47%
47%
46%
45%
2005
2005
Total
Residences 29,689,297
Housing
Starts
456,097
2006
2007
2006
2007
30,145,394
551,545
2008
2009
2008
2010
2009
2010
30,696,939 31,375,374
32,170,804
33,122,149
678,435
951,345
1,245,890
795,430
- 46 -
Molds R Us
Case Progression
Case Progression
Once the candidate lays out a framework and asks the relevant questions you should give
them Exhibits A and B.
After the candidate analyzes the exhibits ask them to calculate their estimate for the
number of meters of plastic moldings being sold in 2011. This can be done by
multiplying the market share of plastics for 2010 by the number of residences in 2011 (2010
residences + 2010 starts) plus the estimated housing starts in 2011. This gives the
expected number of houses using plastics in 2011. Given that plastic moldings are
replaced every 5 years, the candidate should realize that only 1/5 of existing households
will be replacing their moldings in 2011.
8.6M Residences/5 years (replace moldings) = 1.7M existing houses replacing moldings in
2011
So, 1.7M existing homes + .35M starts = 2.05M Houses in 2011 using plastic moldings.
2.05M*4K meters of wall per house = 8.2B meters of plastic moldings being sold in 2011.
- 47 -
Molds R Us
Case Progression
Estimating the growth opportunity
Once the candidate lays a framework and asks the relevant questions provide them Exhibits
A and B
After reviewing the charts and graphs the candidate should notice the stagnant pace of the
market share of plastic moldings.
A good candidate will begin to calculate the overall changes in market size to see if there is
enough growth to make this deal worthwhile.
Either way, have the candidate calculate the overall market growth rate from 2005-2010.
This will begin to clue the candidate into the major issue, that the growth will not be high
enough for the PE firm to move forward with these moldings.
The key here is for candidate to recognize that the market of plastic moldings for
existing homes (about 85% of market) far outweighs housing starts (about 15% of
market - see calculations on previous slide) and thus recognize that overall market
growth will fall well short of required 20%. Actual growth rate < 10%.
Once candidate recognizes low growth rate ask them for their final recommendation to
the PE firm
- 48 -
Molds R Us
Conclusion
Recommendation
The PE firm should not purchase Molds R Us.
Plastic molding market share is stagnant
among all moldings sold.
The overall growth in housing does not
make up for the stagnant growth and they
will not grow revenues by 20% in their first
year.
Next Steps
The PE firm should look at rubber molding
companies to see if there is an opportunity to
purchase an organization because of high
growth of market share in the market.
They should look at the sales and marketing of
Molds R Us to see if there is opportunity to
spurn sales to increase growth by investing in
marketing, distribution, or sales channels.
- 49 -
Difficulty: Easy
Industry: Pharma/Med.Devices
Type: Pricing/Valuation
- 50 -
Solution Overview
Make the candidate brainstorm cost drivers. Once the candidate has listed cost drivers, provide
him with the figures listed on slide 4.
- 51 -
Pop.
Rate of Sight
Problems
Rate of Adoption
Market Size
0-15
50M
20%
10%
1M
16-30
50M
30%
50%
7.5M
31-40
50M
40%
50%
10M
41-60
50M
50%
50%
12.5M
61-75
50M
60%
40%
12M
75+
50M
75%
20%
7.5M
Total = ~50M
Give candidate bonus points for thoughtful and creative explanations of the assumed rate of sight
problems and assumed rate of adoption within each segment (e.g., adoption among young and old
patients will be lower because parents will be unwilling to test out a new technology on young
children whose eyes are still changing and elderly patients with fewer years to live will realize
fewer years of savings from not having to purchase new corrective lenses).
Give candidate bonus points for recognizing that the market will grow over the course of the 20
year patent. If the candidate raises this point, provide a projected annual growth rate of 3.5%. By
the rule of 70, this means that the market will double before the patent expires, resulting in a true
market estimate of 100M consumers.
- 52 -
One pricing strategy is to use competitive pricing, using corrective lenses as the relevant
competition. Based on personal experience, general knowledge or interviewer-provided
information, the candidate should assume an annual cost of corrective lenses at about $200.
Revenue over the life of the patent can be calculated as shown below:
Market Size * Annual Value of Magic Eye Drops * Patent Life= Total Revenue
~100M * $200 * 20 = $400B
The candidate may suggest factors that alter the price point such as convenience (suggesting a
higher price point) and riskiness (suggesting a lower price point). The interviewer should accept
reasonable alterations.
The solutions assumption of 20 years of revenue assumes that all customers will purchase as
soon as the product comes on the market. The candidate may reasonably adjust the years of
revenue downward to account for some customers waiting several years before purchasing.
Make sure that the candidate understands that we will disregard discount rates for the
purposes of this case. In other words, assume a discount rate of 0%.
- 53 -
Exhibit 1: Costs
Costs
Driver
Cost
Management/Overhead
Operating Costs
Marketing
Production
Distribution
- 54 -
Cost
Math
Total
Management/
Overhead
1/3 * 6B
2B
Marketing
$100M * 20 yrs
2B
Production
2B
Distribution
$100M * 20 yrs
2B
Total = 8B
- 55 -
Conclusion
Recommendation
Dr. Rossman should put the invention up for
sale at ~ $392 B (400B Revenues-8 B in
Costs). Sales could however continue even
after expiry of the patent.
Next Steps
Solicit buyers
Focus on strategic acquirers
Attempt to start a bidding war
Speak at conferences extolling the value
- 56 -
Difficulty: Easy
Industry: Other
Should they approach the dinosaur or run away? (depends on whether it is friendly).
What can they do with the dinosaur? (Monetizing activities, vs. non-monetizing activities such as research,
etc.).
When monetizing dinosaur, they should consider selling vs. building a dinosaur business/franchise.
Questions for the candidate
1.
What are possible ways to monetize or make money in this situation? Sell it, or create business
around it. Student should brainstorm possible ways to create a business like using it for a movie, leasing it
to a zoo or an entertainment show, or creating an ecosystem around the dinosaur like a theme park.
1.
What would you prefer to do, sell the dinosaur or use it for a business? Why? What are the
possible costs and revenues you can generate in each case?
2.
What are the potential risks in this situation? Dinosaur dies, dinosaur attacks/eats spectators,
government seizes dinosaur and claims right to it, environmental concerns, etc.
3.
What are the possible ways to hedge against the possibility of dinosaur death? Insurance, clone the
dinosaur, asking science experts in field for ways to take care of it, create an ecosystem around Dinosaur
like a theme park or having it star a movie.
- 58 -
Conclusion
Recommendation
Next Steps
- 59 -
SaveMart Distribution
Accenture, Round 1
Guidance for interviewer and
information provided upon request
Difficulty: Medium
Industry: Retail
Type: Operations
- 60 -
SaveMart Distribution
Accenture, Round 1
Primary DC
Secondary DC
- 61 -
SaveMart Distribution
Accenture, Round 1
Capacity
- 62 -
SaveMart Distribution
Accenture, Round 1
Sample Recommendations
Next Steps
- 63 -
Diesel Transportation Co
A.T. Kearney, Round 1
Guidance for interviewer and
information provided upon request
Difficulty: Medium
Quant Heavy
Industry: Transportation
Diesel Transportation Co
A.T. Kearney, Round 1
Possible framework
Revenue
Costs
Competition/Industry
Existing Capability
Diesel Transportation Co
A.T. Kearney, Round 1
Costs Page
Breakdown of Current Costs
Provide the following cost data as the right questions are asked but do not give them
away freely.
# of vehicles: 2000
Fuel tank size: 50 gallons
Avg mpg: 10
Cost of fuel per gallon: $3.00
Avg miles travelled per week: 1000
Avg annual maintenance and repair: $500
Insurance: 1K / year
Labor: 20K / year
Breakdown of Future Costs
Of the costs listed below, ask the candidate which would change and why.
# of vehicles: 2000
Fuel tank size: 50 gallons
Avg mpg: 20
Cost of fuel per gallon: $3.00
Avg miles travelled per week: 1000
Avg annual maintenance and repair: $3500
Insurance: 3K / year
Labor: 20K / year
- 66 -
Diesel Transportation Co
A.T. Kearney, Round 1
Total cost of fuel per week = 50 gallons * $3.00 per gallon = $150
Average yearly fuel costs (~50 weeks) * $150 = $7.5K
Annual fuel savings per vehicle: $15K $7.5K = $7.5K
- 67 -
Diesel Transportation Co
A.T. Kearney, Round 1
Fuel: $15K
Annual maintenance: $500
Labor: $20K / year
Insurance: $1K / year
Total: $36.5K
- 68 -
Diesel Transportation Co
A.T. Kearney, Round 1
Conclusion
Recommendation
Risks
Next Steps
Work with suppliers to test
the effectiveness of the
new technology.
Run a pilot test to
determine whether EV
technology works and does
not negatively impact
normal transportation
operations.
Gain input from drivers on
efficacy of EV technology.
Perform research to
determine whether there
are government incentives
for EV adoption.
Perform research to
determine whether EV
adoption grows customer
base/revenue.
- 69 -
Difficulty: Hard
Increase price
2.
3.
4.
Decrease costs
5.
Industry: Healthcare
Type: Profitability
- 70 -
At some point near the start of the case, interviewer should take the lead and ask these questions
after exhibits has been given
1.
2.
Exhibit 2: What is the number of surgeries that Midwest needs to conduct in a year to
breakeven?
3.
Exhibit 3: Why is Company D able to stay profitable despite having fewer patients and
unfavorable patient mix?
- 71 -
1.
On fully cost allocated basis Medicare patients are unprofitable but they are still paying $1K
above the variable cost (marginal cost). This helps cover the fixed costs of the department.
So, it is not recommended to stop conducting surgeries for Medicare patients.
2.
Average revenue per patient is 19K. Average variable cost is 14K. Gross margin per patient is
5K. Fixed costs are 7M, so 1400 surgeries are required for breakeven. Assuming same
proportion as in Exhibit 1 the hospital requires 140 commercial, 420 insurance, and 840
Medicare patients.
3.
Comp D might have a lower cost structure or are able to negotiate better pricing from payers.
- 72 -
Conclusion
Recommendation
Increase total number of patients.
Change mix of patients to have a higher
proportion of commercial and insurance
customers.
Next Steps
Analyze scope for cost reduction, starting with
competitive benchmarking.
Analyze scope for increase in price, starting
with competitive benchmarking.
Analyze profitability of post care services
provider.
- 73 -
Payer Type
# Surgeries
List Price
Invoiced price
Commercial (Enterprises)
100
$40,000.0
$40,000.0
Insurance
300
$40,000.0
$20,000.0
Medicare (Government )
600
$40,000.0
$15,000.0
- 74 -
Revenue
VC
FC
19M
Physician
5M
Materials
5M
Others
4M
Facilities
3.5M
Others
3.5M
Costs
21M
Profit
(2M)
- 75 -
Surgeries
Commercial
HMO
Medicare
Profitable
Midwest Hospital
1000
10%
30%
60%
No
Comp A
1200
20.0%
20.0%
40.0%
Yes
Comp B
800
30.0%
20.0%
50.0%
Yes
Comp C
900
10.0%
20.0%
70.0%
Yes
Comp D
1000
5.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Yes
- 76 -
Difficulty: Medium
Industry: Telecom
Solution Overview
This is a profitability case. The most direct approach to cracking the case is to compare the
profitability of one old model phone with one new model phone.
If needed, interviewer should encourage the candidate to list drivers of revenue and costs and
consider how installation of the new model is likely to affect each driver. Potential drivers and
effects are listed on slide 2. The interviewer should dismiss effects not listed. The key driver to
identify is the reduction in maintenance costs. If needed, the interviewer should give the
candidate hints until he/she identifies this effect.
After the candidate has listed and considered drivers, the interviewer should encourage the
candidate to develop quantitative estimates of cost effects, providing guidance as needed. As
outlined on slide 2, there will be no revenue changes.
Competition with cell phones and deregulation are red herrings. This is a case about the
management of a stable business with slow or negative growth.
- 78 -
Explanation
No change
No change
Advertising
No change
Cost Drivers
Driver
Explanation
Installation
Significant increase
Maintenance
Significant decrease
Rent
No change
Old Model
Installation
Maintenance
$0
$1000/yr
$1000*10=$10,000
Assumption
$40/visit to unload
quarters
1 visit/2 weeks
50 weeks/yr
New Model
$2200
$250/yr
Assumption
Equipment cost =
$2000
10 hours of labor
@$20/hr
1 visit/8 weeks
$2200+$250*10=$4700
Conclusion
The AA Telephone Company is replacing its
phones in order to save maintenance costs.
Bonus Questions
1.
2.
3.
- 81 -
Difficulty: Hard
Quant Heavy
Industry: Hospitality
Type: Divestiture
- 82 -
Candidate should notice that industry home sales are a good proxy for Timeshare Co.s
revenues, and forecast out five years of profits.
2012 Forecast: 0M
Per the opening information, if spun off, Hotel Co can expect 20% of IPO proceeds. Bankers
expect to IPO 10 Million shares at $220 each, or $2.2 Billion total. 20% of $2.2 Billion is $440M
to be earned by Hotel Co. if they spin off.
Based on those amounts, it does not make financial sense to spin off Timeshare Co.
($440M if spun versus five year projected revenues of $450M if kept in-house.)
Mitigation: $450M revenues are expectations and subject to a lot of risk and variability versus
little to no risk if Hotel Co. just takes the IPO payment.
- 83 -
Question 2: Risk
Questions for the candidate
What is the risk decision making process for whether or not to spin off Timeshare Co.?
Provide Exhibits 2 (Mortgage Default Rates) and 3 (Mortgage Portfolios Contribution to Profits)
Exhibit 2: Candidate should notice that default rates spiked in 2008/2009, and seem to remain
much higher than in the past.
Exhibit 3: Candidate should notice how important mortgages are to overall success of business.
Mortgage revenues always account for around 95% of total revenues.
Main takeaway: Timeshare Co.s revenues are risky given the variability of mortgage default
rates, and it seems as though default rates will never return to pre-2008 levels. A new low
seems to have been established around 4.5%.
Thus, it seems risky to keep Timeshare Co.s business in house. The economic uncertainty with
mortgage portfolios puts too much risk into Hotel Co.s business. Spinning off Timeshare Co.
would get rid of a lot of risk to Hotel Co.
Mitigation: While spinning off the business would be one way to achieve less risk, there are
other options available to reduce risk from Timeshare Co.
Connect timeshare buyers with mortgage companies and collect a finders fee instead of
carrying mortgages in-house
- 84 -
Conclusion
Recommendation
Spinoff Timeshare Co.
Next Steps
Must examine the impact of cross selling.
How many timeshares are sold to hotel
customers? How can we continue to cross
sell after a spin off?
Must consider other ways to reduce risks at
Timeshare Co apart from simply spinning off
the business.
- 85 -
Timeshare
Co. Sales
(Millions)
$250.00
25%
$200.00
20%
$150.00
15%
$100.00
10%
$50.00
5%
$0.00
0%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011*
2012*
2013*
2014*
2015*
-$50.00
-5%
-$100.00
-10%
-$150.00
-15%
-$200.00
-20%
-$250.00
-25%
Profit ($M)
US Home
Sales (%)
1.5%
2008
8.5%
2009
11.0%
2010
9.5%
2011*
8.5%
2012*
6.0%
2013*
4.5%
2014*
4.7%
2015*
4.3%
- 87 -
Year
Portion of Profits
2007
95.0%
2008
94.0%
2009
92.0%
2010
94.0%
2011*
95.0%
2012*
96.0%
2013*
95.0%
2014*
97.0%
2015*
96.0%
- 88 -
Upscale Restaurant
McKinsey Final Round
Problem narrative
Our Client is a upscale restaurant in TianJin,
serving government officials and high-level
business customers. Its monthly revenue is 1.2
Million Yuan. The CEO recently hired McKinsey to
help them increase profits.
Difficulty: Hard
Quant Heavy
Industry: Hospitality
Type: Profitability
- 89 -
Upscale Restaurant
McKinsey Final Round
Weekend
Lunch
Occupancy: 80%
Price per person:
150
Party size per table:
4
Occupancy: 30%
Price per person:
100
Party size per table:
4
Dinner
Occupancy: 100%
Price per person:
300
Party size per table:
6
Occupancy: 50%
Price per person:
200
Party size per table:
6
Week Day
Weekend
Lunch
Occupancy: 20%
Price per person:
100
Party size per table:
4
Occupancy: 30%
Price per person:
100
Party size per table:
4
Dinner
Occupancy: 30%
Price per person:
200
Party size per table:
4
Occupancy: 30%
Price per person:
200
Party size per table:
4
- 90 -
Upscale Restaurant
McKinsey Final Round
Question
Solution
Raising price.
- 91 -
Upscale Restaurant
McKinsey Final Round
Question
Solution
Now
120
300 x (1 + 33%) = 400
120 x 400 = 48K
48K x 50% = 24K
24K 18K = 6K
- 92 -
Upscale Restaurant
McKinsey Final Round
Question
A second solution is converting half of big room
tables into 5 individual rooms. It will take 2 weeks
for the restaurant to finish the decoration, during
which time the restaurant has to be completely shut
down. The decoration will cost 100K Yuan. What
is the total cost of this project?
Solution
Cost
Capital investment: 100K
Opportunity Cost: ~300K** (2 weeks of profits)
*** Note: The observant candidate will quickly
calculate this from the initial revenue info given at
beginning of case rather than making heavy
calculations involved with calculating it from the
table of data.
Total cost = 400K Yuan
- 93 -
Maries Caf
Guidance for interviewer and
information provided upon request
Difficulty: Medium
Quant Heavy
Industry: Hospitality
- 94 -
Maries Cafe
Product
Price
% Customers who
Purchase
Coffee (8)
Coffee
(12)
Coffee
(16)
$1.00
15%
$1.50
Product
Cost
Cup (8)
$0.30
Cup (12)
$0.40
15%
Cup (16)
$0.50
$2.00
15%
Latte (8)
$3.00
20%
4 oz of
Coffee
$0.10
Latte (12)
$4.00
20%
4 oz of
Latte
$0.50
Latte (16)
$5.00
15%
- 95 -
Maries Cafe
Product
Coffee (8)
Coffee (12)
Coffee (16)
Latte (8)
Latte (12)
Latte (16)
Price
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
% Customer
Purchases
15%
15%
15%
20%
20%
15%
Cost
$0.50
$0.70
$0.90
$1.30
$1.90
$2.50
Profit
$0.50
$0.80
$1.10
$1.70
$2.10
$2.50
Average
Profit
Profit per
Customer
$0.08
$0.12
$0.17
$0.34
$0.42
$0.38
$1.50
Strong candidates will point out that larger sizes yield larger profit margins, and suggest new
profit increasing strategies (like promoting sales of larger sizes, introducing a 20oz size,
eliminating 8oz sizes, etc.).
- 96 -
Maries Cafe
2. What is the average profit that Maries Caf earns per day?
Time
7AM to 10AM
100
10AM to 1PM
80
1PM to 4PM
60
4PM to 7PM
40
7PM to 10PM
15
- 97 -
Maries Cafe
Candidate should realize that the caf is losing money in the evening hours. Candidate should
suggest adding or subtracting baristas based on demand.
3. If you could change the number of baristas during each time period, what would be the daily
profit for Maries Caf?
Solution: By adding a third barista in the morning shifts and reducing one at night, the
new profit would be $787.50 see below.
Optimal
Baristas
Optimal
Served
Optimal
Profit
Time
7AM to 10AM
100
60
180
90
270
10AM to 1PM
80
60
180
80
225
1PM to 4PM
60
60
180
60
180
4PM to 7PM
40
40
90
1 or 2
30 or 40
90
7PM to 10PM
15
15
-22.5
15
22.5
$607.50
$787.50
- 98 -
Maries Cafe
4. Maries Caf does not offer wireless access for its customers. Should the caf add this service?
Positives
More customers
Potentially charge customers for service
Customers may order larger sizes of drinks
Negatives
Costs of wireless setup, outlets
Sufficient room for customers
Customers stay longer, slowing sales during busy periods
Image of caf may change current atmosphere
- 99 -
Maries Cafe
If candidate mentions that competitors sell pastries while Maries Caf does not
5. What factors should Maries Caf consider before purchasing an oven to sell pastries?
Revenues
Doughnut sales, increased synergies with coffee/volume of customers.
Costs
Fixed costs - purchasing/maintaining oven, setting up display case, storage, advertising.
Variable costs - ingredients, hiring/training staff.
Capacity
Room in caf for oven and ingredients.
Baristas available to accommodate for increase in demand.
Brand image Maries is known for its coffee and atmosphere; adding pastries may change image
and drive away loyal customers, especially if they are low quality.
Competition price and quality compared to competitors.
Alternative opportunities purchasing doughnuts from somewhere else.
- 100 -
Maries Cafe
6. A new espresso machine, priced at $2000, can greatly decrease the time it takes to make a latte.
The average time it takes to complete an average customers order decreases from 2 minutes to 90
seconds. How long would it take to pay back the machine?
Daily profit shown below, calculated with the optimal number of baristas.
Machine would be paid back in 14.8 days (922.50 787.50 from Question 3).
4 Baristas in the 7-10AM would also yield similar profits with the advantage of turning away
fewer customers.
Time
Demand per
Hour
Profit
Optimal
Baristas
Optimal
Served
Optimal
Profit
Served
7AM to 10AM
100
80
270
100
315
10AM to 1PM
80
80
270
80
270
1PM to 4PM
60
60
180
60
180
4PM to 7PM
40
40
90
40
135
7PM to 10PM
15
15
-22.5
15
22.5
$787.50
$922.50
- 101 -
Chinatown Bus
Guidance for interviewer and
information provided upon request
Industry: Transportation
Chinatown bus
Suggested Structure
Guide to Structure
A good structure for this case would focus on profitability, but might also touch on issues of
assessing the market, differentiation of the competitors, the clients capabilities, and customer
segmentation. Ideally, the case taker should ask if there are any metrics that the client focuses on
before structuring the case, which would demonstrate that profitability is going to be the focus. You
can allow the interviewee to pursue some other areas of investigation initially but try to guide them
towards the profitability question eventually.
While there could be a number of ways to look at profitability (and you should let the case taker
think through how to approach this), the case takes a simplified approach of looking at one bus
operating on one route and assumes that this would be scalable across additional buses. The
fictional data presented below is for the Boston-New York route. Feel free to make the math a little
harder (e.g. bus makes 900 trips per year) if the interviewee needs to practice.
Once the interviewee has completed the profitability analysis, have them brainstorm responses for
the second question of the case: How could the client effectively compete in this market?
- 103 -
Chinatown bus
Low cost competitors are currently charging an average price of $15/one way
Each bus has capacity of 60 seats and estimated avg. utilization of 67%
Breakdown of Costs*
Fixed Costs: (bus operates 330 days/year
at 3 trips per day)
Bus: $250k (useful life of 10 years) =
$25/trip
Variable Costs:
Labor: 1 driver @ $25/hour for 5 hours =
$125/trip
Tolls: $75/trip
Profits = $260
* Since our focus is on gross margin the interviewee can ignore SG&A costs
- 104 -
Chinatown bus
Good responses to this question should recognize that customers that take the new bus-lines are
very price conscious and thus the client will have to compete on price (i.e. match competitors
prices). However, given that the client should look for how they can differentiate their product from
the new competitors. Potential responses include:
Focus on safety and reliability
- 105 -
Chinatown bus
Conclusion
Recommendation
Next Steps
- 106 -
Difficulty: Medium
- 108 -
Economy: many local libraries depend on funds from local city government and state/federal
grants. The 2008 recession had an impact on the peoples livelihoods because of which the tax
dollars went down constraining grants to local libraries.
Also due to poor economy, libraries were not able to raise funds from private institutions as they
were able to pre-recession period.
- 109 -
Candidate should go back to the original question of how to tap into some of the market
opportunities.
Candidate should pick up that it is a revenue related question and put out his/her approach on
how to increase the revenues.
A good candidate will prioritize the issues related to revenues and would say he/she will take a
look at the LIB_RES product and its revenues and see what caused the decline besides
economic issues and if something can be done about that.
Additional Questions
Directly ask the question What do you think about the LIB_RES product? if candidate does not
point it out.
- 110 -
Candidate should ask about all the aspects of revenues and costs:
Cost to sell and manage each contract: $20,000 including sales overhead and
salaries
Candidate should identify that number of clients may have changed due to economic pressures.
Candidate Hypothesis
Candidate should identify that it is a profitable segment (profit of 25,000 per client) and price
could be the most likely reason for declining revenues.
- 111 -
Answers
Refined Hypothesis
Candidate should pick up on given information and point out that there are some features that
our clients do not want in our product. Maybe there is an opportunity to examine some of the
key feature offerings and unbundle and offer them as a configurable, customizable product for a
lower price.
# of libraries
60% on average
- 113 -
Calculations
Candidates Calculations
Small
Medium
Large
2000 * .6 = 1200
5000 * .6 = 3000
8000 * .6 = 4800
Candidate should mention that to keep up with our revenues and possibly increase them, we
should price each license at a minimum price of current revenue for the product / Total users.
Total users per month: 1200 * 800 + 3000 * 750 + 4800 * 450 = 5,370,000 per month.
Price = $90,000,000 / 5,370,000 => approximately $17 dollars. (If they rounded 5,370,000 to
5,000,000 they would get $18 dollars which can also work)
A good candidate will also look at profits for each segment within LIB_RES and calculate
breakeven licenses for all segments.
Break Even = Costs/Margin per seat = 20,000/16 = 1250 licenses per library, assuming the
variable cost of each license is $0 because it is a software product.
- 114 -
Conclusion
Recommendation
Next Steps
- 115 -
Difficulty: Medium
Industry: Education
Value chain
Ask interviewee to brainstorm the value chain for Ross to assist its students to get
internship offers.
Data for current on-campus recruiting:
#of companies that recruit on-campus = 100
avg. # of positions offered per company = 2
# of interview slots per position = 15
Interview success rate = 10%
(assumption = each student receives only one offer)
Then ask interviewee to brainstorm on possible ways to increase # of total offers made (he
should go over the value chain )
The school is looking into two possible strategies:
Increase the number of companies that recruit on campus
- 117 -
Increase # of companies
To attract more companies, OCD needs to hire additional firm relations managers.
Each manager can handle 5 companies and requires an annual salary of $75K. Additional costs
(travel, marketing expenses, etc.) per manager are estimated at $50K.
Target # of offers = 500 * 0.75 = 375
Current # of offers = 300
(375-300)/300 = 25%
Ross needs to increase the number of firms by 25% * 200 = 50
# of additional OCD firm relations managers = 50/5 = 10
Annual cost = 10 * (75K+50K) = $1.25MM
- 118 -
Value chain
Have interviewee brainstorm on possible ways to increase interview success rate
According to recent a survey the most important factor in interview success rate is the number of
mock interviews.
For every 0.5% increase in success rate Ross will need to hire 15 MBA2 counselors
Each MBA works 40hrs , with an hourly wage of 20$
Recruiting lasts 5 months
Every 2% increase in success rate attracts 5 new companies that recruit on campus.
Adding 2%:
(100+5) * 2 * 15 * 12% = 378 offers
Annual cost = 2%/0.5%* 15 * 40 * 20$ * 5= $240K
Good candidate will make sure we have sufficient MBA2 Capacity
- 119 -
Conclusion
Recommendation
Recommend that Ross hires 60 additional MBA2 OCD counselors. This will increase total # of
offers to 378, (meeting the goal of increasing on campus offers to 75% ).
Possible Risks (mitigation)/ Next steps)
1.
Difficulty recruiting so many MBA2s (can increase hourly wage up to $40 without exceeding
target budget)
2.
Economic downturn may cause companies to reduce the number of positions / slots
3.
4.
With so many MBA2s spending so much time on counseling, their grades may be negatively
impacted, affecting the total Ross brand image (employ grade non disclosure policy)
- 120 -
Quant Heavy
Industry: Media
Market Sizing
Market sizing calculations are in the table below. Tell the candidate to assume that we capture
100% of likely customers. Suggest to round to 1M customers and $150M in revenue if they do
not ask.
- 123 -
Cost information
- SG&A
- Marketing
- 124 -
The candidate should compute roughly the numbers below. They should conclude that given
available information, the DVD rental business is not viable, whereas the online streaming business
is very high margin.
Next, tell the candidate that we have engaged in a market segmentation study, and come to realize
that concentrations of our target population vary considerably by region within the United States.
Show them Exhibit 1 and ask for their immediate takeaways.
- 125 -
Exhibit 1
Distribution Center Service Regions
Note: Assume that likely customers include 0.1% of the general population, and 25% of the overall Indian
population
- 126 -
Regional analysis
If the candidate does not suggest such an analysis on their own, ask them to determine if the
DVD business might be viable on a regional basis, if not a national one. To ease calculations,
you may remind them that 80% of revenues are immediately eaten up by variable costs, leaving
$20/customer in potential profit, and that the cost to serve a region is $4M (the distribution
center).
Given time, they should be able to produce roughly the following calculations.
Note to Interviewer: Revenue here assumes $20 per customer (what is left over after subtracting
$80 in per-customer fixed costs). General population numbers are rounded.
- 127 -
Regional analysis
The candidate should recognize that it is profitable to serve Regions 1 and 6, and very close
to profitable to serve Region 3. Ask them what might change in region 3 that could effect this
in the future.
Growth in demand for Bollywood content among either the Indian or non-Indian
population (either natural or spurred by increased marketing)
- 128 -
Recommendations/Risks
Next Steps
- 129 -
Problem Statement
Quant Heavy
Industry: Retail
Type: Restructuring
- 130 -
What things will the firm need to consider when selling one or more of their business units? (continue to probe until the
interviewee declines for exploration)
Culture/People Impact: Selling off assets can disrupt your employees and impact the image of the company. Retaining
key talent is also very important to maintaining the strength of the company. Employees may worry about what will be
sold next, and be less effective until they know better.
Impact to Revenue: Although these units have been viewed as underperformers, it will be important for the firm to make
sure they explain the impact to earnings to shareholders and think how decreased earnings could affect their borrowing
options in the future.
Potential Buyers: Need to understand who the potential buyers will be and what selling to them will do to the clients
competitive position. Will this change give a competitor strength over the client?
Separation: Considering the separation issues that will occur is important. IT, stores, shared space in malls, distribution
of products and suppliers are all important for performing a smooth transition to a buyer.
Which business unit of the two initially decided upon should Unlimited Brands consider selling to strengthen its cash reserves
and deliver the most value to shareholders? What price should they target for each unit?
[Note to interviewer: Provide data sheet to the candidate]
Based on the data provided
Candidate should walk through the tables and determine:
Revenue and profits have been decreasing at Fast Fashion while increasing at Devine Design.
A good answer is when the candidate simply takes the average PE from each deal table they will determine that the implied
potential price for Fast Fashion is $1.2B (16 PE x $75M NI), and $2.1B (14 PE x $150M).
A better answer will see that the PEs used to value similar firms to Fast Fashion most recently have been higher, at 20 and
would yield $1.5B. Similarly, the PE has been declining for Devine Design to 10, and would result in $1.35B.
The other table will show that the Fast Fashion customer segment is growing fast, while Devine Designs is actually declining,
but the revenue is actually projected to grow faster for Devine Design than Fast Fashion. The number of competitors does not
drive much of the analysis. (these facts should supplement their choice)
The candidate should decide which business unit they would select and defend their choice:
Fast Fashion: Higher price based on most recent multiples, fast growing segment with increase spend could yield upside to a
buyer and thus result in a higher price.
Devine Design: Lower price based on recent PEs but if using average higher price. Revenue and profits have been
increasing and revenue is projected to grow faster even with a slight reduction in spend.
2.
- 131 -
Fast Fashion
Revenue ($M)
Net Income ($M)
2009
625
125
2010
550
96
Devine Design
2011
500
75
Revenue ($M)
Net Income ($M)
Oct 2009
Apr 2010
Dec 2011
Nov 2010
Mar 2011
Jun 2009
12
16
20
16
20
12
0.6
0.7
1.4
1.9
2.5
3.1
2009
600
90
2010
625
109
2011
675
135
Devine Designs
Comparable
Deals
Deal Date
PE Multiple
Deal Size ($B)
Fast A
Fast B
Fast C
Fast D
Fast E
Fast F
Dec 2011
Oct 2009
Mar 2011
Apr 2010
Jun 2009
Nov 2010
10
18
10
14
18
14
0.4
0.6
1.1
2.2
3.0
4.0
Industry Overview
- 132 -
their business?
Several examples below:
Improved Pricing
Could examine their current pricing structure and ensure price realization is maximized
Promotion strategy; when to promote, who to target, what to promote, etc
New Market Opportunities
They may be able to target new customer segments or sell new classes of products to existing
customers
Acquisitions
Could use the proceeds from the sales of an underperforming unit to buy a smaller player in a
different space to enhance the companies portfolio of brands
- 133 -
Conclusion
Client should sell Fast Fashion for $XB or Devine Design for $XB (Note to interviewer: rationale should come from their
defense earlier, either answer is reasonable, key is to make them choose and stick to it)
Risks:
Selling to a competitor and providing them opportunity to succeed at our expense
Not calculating the right value
Losing talent to attrition and fear of being sold
Next Steps:
Identify potential buyers
Establish Day 1 and Day 2 plans for separation after client sale
Work with client to sell additional work highlighted earlier
- 134 -
Difficulty: Hard
Quant Heavy
Industry: Automotive
Sportster
110,000
Sportster
Purchase
Price
Styling
Performance
Quality
Safety
Features
Green
Rating
110,000
10
10
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Candidate should come up with the below structure for the industry attractiveness.
Using Porters 5 forces its clear that the industry is attractive for incumbents.
Buyers power
High
Suppliers power
Competition
Substitutes
Barriers to Enter
- 137 -
The client has yet to make a profit. The Sportsters sold 2000 units across 30 countries in the
world.
Client has funding from government, private equity firms and recently they went public and
raised money.
Depending on the target segments needs the production cost for 100K vehicles is given below
(all costs inclusive in USD)
Premium Sedan
43,000
Sedan
38,000
Coupe
33,000
- 138 -
Calculations
Price per Unit and Profitability per Unit (provide this to Interviewee):
- 139 -
Calculations (Continued)
Potential market size and profitability calculations (this also requires information from the exhibits):
- 140 -
Candidate Hypothesis
Candidate should identify that per unit profitability is high for vehicle in premium sedan segment
(7000). So this might be the profitable segment to go after. Also, because electric technology is
still new, customers in premium sedan segment might be willing to pay a premium for the ecofriendly factor. Whereas customers in other segments may not put much emphasis on this
aspect as they are more price sensitive.
- 141 -
Conclusion
Recommendation
After doing the analysis, client should enter
premium sedan segment for the following
reasons:
Risks
Getting the product right to suit the customer
needs is necessary as the client is already
under financial pressure.
Client may not be able to service all the
vehicles in the premium sedan segment as the
segment is large. Relationships need to be
established with service providers.
As the client is still new in the market,
establishing brand value is necessary,
especially in the premium segment where
brands like BMW, Mercedes, Lexus compete.
- 142 -
- 143 -
- 144 -
Segment
Worth
Competitor Share
Sports Segment
1 billion
80%
8,000
1.2 billion
75%
18,000
Sedan Segment
1.8 billion
82%
36,900
Coupe/Other
1 billion
95%
32,000
- 145 -
Difficulty: Medium
Quant Heavy
Industry: Retail
Competitors
Revenues
Costs
- 147 -
What margin do you asses for incremental grocery sales? (Only if the individual asks about
revenue synergies)
- 148 -
Suggested Solution
Solution Guide
Current population estimate:
$240 = 12 months * $20; $20 = $5 margin (drug sales) + $15 incremental margin (food
sales)
Only need ~ 30% of the households who have prescriptions and currently shop at your
store to break even in two year
- 149 -
Conclusion
Recommendation
Invest / Expand to include a pharmacy
because there is an extremely high likelihood
that you will break even in less than two
years.
Value of a pharmacy customer is very high
because of margin on pills and increased
sales in the store.
Only need 30% of your current customers
who have prescriptions to switch to your
store to make it profitable.
Next Steps
Some suggestions:
Make design plans for the pharmacy
Get a bank loan
Interview pharmacists
Market the new service to customers
- 150 -
Lonestar Oil
Guidance for interviewer and
information provided upon request
Difficulty: Medium
Lonestar Oil
Market
- 152 -
Lonestar Oil
Solution
- 153 -
Lonestar Oil
- 154 -
Lonestar Oil
Demand although demand exceeds supply now, there may not be enough demand to support
four stations. Therefore, buying a station is considerably safer in this instance.
Timing it would take longer to build a new station, thus favoring buying.
Competition another company could buy the existing station, thus favoring buying now.
Buying would also deter new entrants as there isnt necessarily enough demand to support four
stations.
Expansion could add more pumps to the existing station to support demand.
Marketing could sell more variety of products at the minimart. Adding a minimart could also
drive traffic towards Lonestars station and away from competitors, although this would only be
useful if Lonestar can expand.
Next steps closer analysis of demand to confirm that buying is a better idea than building a
new station.
- 155 -
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