Consumer Price Index - Nov 16

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CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

November 2016
INFLATION FALLS

YEAR-TO-YEAR ANALYSIS
The Transport & Foreign Travel sector was the largest
contributor to the year-over-year change. This sector
decreased 2.1 per cent year-over-year, led by an 11.2
per cent drop in the average cost in air fares.

Consumers paid 1.7 per cent more in November


2016 than they did a year ago for the basket of
goods and services included in the Consumer Price
Index (CPI). The level of inflation decreased 0.4
percentage points from the 2.1 per cent measured in
October 2016.

In contrast, the Education, Recreation, Entertainment


& Reading sector rose 4.0 per cent year-over-year.

Between October 2016 and November 2016, the


average cost of goods and services in the CPI
decreased 0.5 per cent. The all-items index dropped
to 102.2 in November. This means that the basket of
goods and services that cost $100.00 in April 2015
now costs $102.20.
ALL ITEMS INDEX
(April 2015 = 100)

103.0
102.0
101.0
100.0
99.0
Nov
15

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

The compilation of

Department of
Statistics wishes to
acknowledge the
cooperation of the
business community
in supplying the
required price data.

Aug

Sep Oct 16 Nov


16

Monthly

processing of several
quotations. The

Jul

SUMMARY STATISTICS

the CPI involves the


thousand price

Jun

Inflation
Rate
1.7%
Quarterly

Period

Index

Annual
per cent
Change

2015
Nov
Dec

100.5
100.5

+1.4
+1.8

2016
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov

100.3
100.2
100.1
101.1
100.9
101.5
102.2
101.7
102.7
102.7
102.2

+1.7
+1.3
+1.0
+1.1
+1.1
+0.8
+1.6
+1.3
+2.0
+2.1
+1.7

Index

Annual
per cent
Change

2014
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4

97.5
98.5
99.1
99.3

+1.8
+2.0
+2.1
+2.2

2015
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4

98.9
100.2
100.6
100.5

+1.5
+1.7
+1.5
+1.2

2016
Q1
Q2
Q3

100.2
101.2
102.2

+1.3
+1.0
+1.6

Period

BERMUDA CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

MONTH-TO-MONTH ANALYSIS
(7.6 per cent) and fresh and frozen hamburger (2.9
per cent).

Rent

The Rent sector was unchanged for the third


consecutive month.

Education, Recreation, Entertainment & Reading

The Education, Recreation, Entertainment &


Reading sector decreased 0.2 per cent in November
following a 0.1 per cent increase in October. The
cost of premium fuel declined 3.3 per cent.

Clothing & Footwear

The Clothing & Footwear sector increased 0.1 per


cent in November, as the average cost of dry
cleaning increased 1.4 per cent.

Fuel & Power

Tobacco & Liquor

The Fuel & Power sector declined for the second


consecutive month, falling 2.3 per cent in
November. The fuel adjustment rate decreased 6.9
per cent month-over-month.

The Tobacco & Liquor sector was static in


November.
Health & Personal Care

Transport & Foreign Travel

The Health & Personal Care sector was unchanged


in November, following a 0.1 per cent increase in
October.

The Transport & Foreign Travel sector decreased


2.8 per cent in November. Average costs of airfares
and overseas accommodations fell by 6.3 per cent
and 1.7 per cent, respectively.

Household Goods, Services & Supplies

The Household Goods, Services & Supplies sector


was static in November. Average costs of minor
household appliances increased by 0.1 per cent but
were offset by a decrease of 0.1 per cent in average
costs of cleaning materials.

110
105
100

Food

CPI GASOLINE INDEX


(April 2015 = 100)

95

The Food sector fell 0.1 per cent in November


following an increase of 0.1 per cent in October.
Key contributors to the decrease were frozen meals

90
Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov
15
16

COMPUTING PRICE INCREASES


The Department of Statistics receives calls daily requesting the rate of inflation over specific periods of time. The
following calculations are provided to guide users as to how to compute rates of price increases. The monthly index
numbers can be obtained from our website www.gov.bm.
A) Month-to-Month Price Change
The price change between November
and October, 2015 is calculated as
Follows:
Nov 15 index - Oct 15 index

100
Oct 15 index

100.5 100.6
100
100.6

0.1%

B) Year-to-Year Price Change

C) Particular Period Price Change

The price change between December


2015 and December, 2014 is calculated
as follows:
Dec 15 index - Dec 14 index

100
Dec 14 index

The price change between April 2014


and January, 2016 is calculated as
follows:
Jan 16 index - Apr 14 index

100
Apr 14 index

100.5 98.7
100
98.7

1.8%

100.3 98.3
100
98.3

2. 0%

BERMUDA CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

APRIL 2015 = 100

2013
WEIGHT

All Items

Food

Rent

Clothing
&
Footwear

1000

115

267

25

Tobacco
&
Liquor

Fuel
&
Power

Household
Goods,
Services &
Supplies

Transport
& Foreign
Travel

Education,
Recreation,
Entertain.
& Reading

Health &
Personal
Care

31

39

116

130

147

130

+2.0
+1.0
+0.5
+0.8
+2.1

+0.6
+1.6
+1.4
+1.7
-1.3

+2.6
+2.7
+2.5
+1.9
+0.9

+7.5
+6.6
+8.3
+6.7
+7.8

ANNUAL AVERAGE ( per cent)


2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

+2.7
+2.4
+1.8
+2.0
+1.5

+2.3
+3.5
+3.0
+3.1
+2.7

+1.1
+0.2
-0.3
+0.8
+0.6

+5.7
+4.3
+0.1
+2.0
+1.3

+3.1
+2.5
+4.4
+2.4
+1.2

+11.3
+11.3
+9.3
-1.9
-2.4
-8.9

MONTHLY ( per cent)

2014
Nov
Dec

-0.9
-0.5

Nil
-0.7

Nil
Nil

2015
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

Nil
+0.2
+0.2
+1.0
-0.2
+0.8
-0.1
-0.2
+0.3
-0.1
-0.1
Nil

1.3
+0.2
+0.3
Nil
+0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.3
-0.1
+0.2
-0.5
-0.2

2016
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov

-0.2
-0.1
-0.1
+0.9
-0.1
+0.5
+0.8
-0.5
+1.0
Nil
-0.5

Nov16

Nov '16
Nov '15

Nil
Nil

+0.1
-0.1

Nil
-9.0

+0.1
Nil

-7.2
Nil

Nil
-0.1

Nil
-0.1

+0.1
Nil
+0.1
+0.2
+0.1
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil
+0.1
Nil
+0.1

+0.2
Nil
Nil
+0.5
Nil
Nil
+0.7
Nil
Nil
Nil
Nil
Nil

+0.3
+0.1
+0.1
+0.4
Nil
Nil
Nil
+0.1
+0.2
Nil
Nil
+0.3

-2.5
Nil
+1.3
Nil
-2.6
Nil
+4.0
Nil
Nil
-1.3
-1.3
-2.0

+0.4
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil
Nil
+2.1
Nil
+0.3
Nil
Nil
Nil

-1.7
+1.9
+0.7
+0.4
-1.0
+5.9
-3.6
-1.6
+0.9
-1.2
+0.1
+0.4

Nil
-0.6
-0.1
+0.1
Nil
+0.3
-0.1
-0.2
+0.9
+0.2
Nil
+0.1

+0.1
Nil
Nil
+6.5
Nil
Nil
Nil
+0.1
-0.1
+0.5
Nil
Nil

+1.2
+0.6
-0.1
+0.3
-0.3
+0.2
+0.3
+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
-0.1

-0.1
+0.1
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil
+1.0
+0.1
Nil
Nil
Nil

+0.1
Nil
Nil
-0.5
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil
Nil
+0.3
+0.1

+0.4
+1.1
Nil
+2.0
+1.5
+0.8
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil
Nil

-3.7
Nil
-0.8
-2.6
-5.0
+10.4
+4.3
Nil
+6.0
-0.9
-2.3

+0.1
Nil
+0.1
Nil
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil
+0.1
+0.1
Nil

-1.6
-1.4
-0.7
+0.8
-0.3
+1.0
+2.5
-4.3
+4.5
Nil
-2.8

Nil
-0.3
+0.2
+2.7
+0.5
Nil
-0.2
Nil
+1.1
+0.1
-0.2

Nil
+0.1
Nil
+3.2
Nil
-0.1
Nil
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil

102.2

102.7

101.6

100.8

106.6

101.1

102.9

97.1

105.1

103.8

+1.7

+2.2

+1.3

+0.1

+6.3

+2.4

+0.5

-2.1

+4.0

+3.3

BERMUDA CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

WHAT IS THE CONSUMER PRICE


INDEX?
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a statistical tool
used for measuring changes in the general level of
prices of consumer goods and services purchased by
private households.
The index measures price movements of a given
quality and quantity of goods and services. The mix
of these consumer goods and services comprising the
index, are figuratively thought of as a shopping
basket. In constructing this shopping basket, the
selected goods and services are organized first by
commodity type. They are then divided into subcomponents and assigned to a major expenditure
group. The Bermuda CPI is structured into nine
expenditure groups or sectors:
Food
Rent
Clothing & Footwear
Tobacco & Liquor
Fuel & Power
Transport & Foreign Travel
Household Goods, Services & Supplies
Education, Recreation, Entertainment &
Reading
Health & Personal Care

WEIGHTED AVERAGE
A mathematical formula that takes into account the
relative importance of an items price change
compared to the overall change in the sector or CPI.
Inflation

Inflation is the process of rising prices, resulting in


diminishing purchasing power of a given sum of
money.
Cost of Living Index

Many individuals refer to the CPI as a cost-of-living


index. The CPI is an index of pure price change only.
A cost-of-living index reflects the changes in buying
or consumption patterns that consumers would
ordinarily make to adjust to any change in the price
of a good or service.

A COMPARISON OF RATES OF INFLATION (%)

Selected Countries & Bermuda

Bermuda
1
United States
2
Canada
3
United Kingdom

CONCEPTS AND DEFINITIONS

2012

2013

2014

2.4
1.7
1.5
3.2

1.8
1.5
0.9
3.0

2.0
0.8
2.0
2.4

Sources:
1. US Bureau of Labour Statistics
2. Statistics Canada
3. UK Office of National Statistics

Base Period

The time period which is used as a reference point for


measuring the price change of goods and services.
The base period for the Bermuda CPI is April 2015.

Published by the Government of Bermuda


January 2017

Price Index Number

A single figure that shows how a set of prices has


changed over a specified period of time. An index
number on its own means nothing. It must be
compared with an index number from another period
to have meaning. For example, a comparison of the
index number 97.2 for January 2014 with 100.4 for
January 2016, reveals that prices have increased by
3.3 percent.

The Cabinet Office


Department of Statistics
Cedar Park Centre,
48 Cedar Avenue, Hamilton HM 11
P.O. Box HM 3015
Hamilton HM MX, Bermuda

Laspeyres Equation

The CPI is computed using this statistical equation.


This formula calculates the total amount of money a
household needs today to purchase the same basket
of goods and services that it bought in the base
period, April 2015.

Tel: (441) 297-7761, Fax: (441) 295-8390


Website: www.gov.bm

2015 Nov 16
1.5
0.7
1.1
1.1

+1.7
+1.7
+1.2
+2.2

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