Clean Energy Handbook For Financial Service Institution
Clean Energy Handbook For Financial Service Institution
Clean Energy Handbook For Financial Service Institution
HANDBOOK
FOR FINANCIAL SERVICE INSTITUTIONS
CLEAN ENERGY
HANDBOOK
FOR FINANCIAL SERVICE INSTITUTIONS
2014
FOREWORD
from the UN Environment Programme (the donor of UN Development Fund), which is one of guidelines
in developing a sustainable report. It is a report to be made by a company in order to accountably
disclose or communicate the economic, environment, and social performance to all stakeholders.
Similar initiative from Indonesia has also been set up under Article 66 paragraph 2 of Act 40 of 2007 on
Limited Liability Company. It regulates company/industry that has gone public to prepare a sustainable
report. Other initiative is a government program established through Presidential Decree No. 61 of
2011 on the National Action Plan for Greenhouse Gas Emission (RAN-GRK). This is encouraged because
Indonesia has committed to reduce carbon emissions by 26% in 2020 (the Kyoto Protocol). Application
of RAN-GRK program is in line with sustainable finance, where the Financial Services Institutions (LJK) is
expected not only to apply the principles of sustainable finance in their agencies internally, but also to
finance or allocate fund in strategic economy sector that is sustainable (environmentally friendly).
Efforts to develop sustainable finance, particularly for clean energy and renewable energy will continue
to be in line with the challenges of Indonesia to achieve carbon emission reduction targets. The need
to improve the use of clean energy and renewable energy is increasingly realized by the increase price
of oils. Statistics show that the share of finance from banks is largely channeled to the manufacturing
sector, trade and others, including the consumption sector. To generate sustainable growth, efforts
should be made to encourage the financing to the projects with high multiplier-effects, such as
agriculture, manufacturing, infrastructure, energy and SMEs. In the long run, strategic distribution to the
industrial sector with the concept of sustainable financing is expected to drive sustainable economic
growth, which in turn will provide a larger market for financial services institutions. It will be created
along with the generated economic growth, which then will have a positive impact on the sustainability
of Financial Services Institutions in particular, and is also expected to reduce the balance of Indonesias
payments deficit.
In an effort to encourage a sustainable financing, considering the lack of competencies in assessing
the strategic economic sectors, some of the current initiatives implemented by the Financial Services
Authority (FSA), in cooperation with the relevant parties, both nationally and internationally, among
other: (i) Improve the ability of LJKs human resources to manage the risks associated with the
environment. (ii) Improve the competitiveness of LJK regarding the ability to fund businesses related to
environmental protection; (iii) Provide space for competition to improve credit / financing portfolio in
priority economic sectors that support environmental protection activities; and (iv) increase awareness
and change of paradigm (mindset) in the national development of a greedy economy towards a green
economy.
FSA as LJK supervisory authority, has made coordination and cooperation with relevant ministries such
as the Ministry of Environment (MoE) as well as with international organizations that have a common
goal to promote sustainable development through sustainable finance. Handbook for Clean Energy is
collaboration between FSA and the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) to
sustainable finance program in Indonesia, in order to help the Financial Services Institutions in assessing
the clean energy projects and renewable energy, such as mini-hydro, biogas, biomass, photovoltaic, and
wind power. FSA strongly supports USAID for the publication of Clean Energy Handbook, because it can
improve the competencies of LJKs human resources in analyzing the feasibility of projects in strategic
sectors that are environmentally friendly. FSA welcomes the involvement of international organizations
to support sustainable finance initiative.
Finally, I hope that all of our efforts in building this nation with sustainable finance are blessed. Thank
you.
TA B L E O F CO N T E N T S
CHAPTER 1
CHAPTER 3
CHAPTER 4
CHAPTER 5
MINI-HYDRO POWER
( 78 )
CHAPTER 6
BIOGAS POWER
( 110 )
CHAPTER 7
BIOMASS POWER
( 152 )
CHAPTER 8
CHAPTER 9
WIND POWER
( 200 )
ACRONYMS
AAM
AD
Anaerobic digestion
ADB
CDM
CER
CHP
COD
COD
CNG
CSTR
DGNREEC
EHS
EIA
EPC
FIT
Feed-in tariff
FS
Feasibility study
GHG
Greenhouse gas
ICED
IDC
IDI
IFC
IIF
IPCC
IPP
IRR
JICA
kW
Kilowatt
kWh
Kilowatt hour
LFG
Landfill gas
LIBOR
MCF
MEMR
MHP
Mini-hydro power
MSW
MW
Megawatt
NI
Nusantara Infrastructure
NPV
O&M
PLN
POM
POME
PPA
PPP
Public-private partnership
RIKEN
ROR
Run of river
RNG
SMI
TSS
UKL/UPL
UNFCC
USAID
US Ex-Im
VS
Volatile solid
INTRODUCTION
CLEAN
ENERGY
TO
many
other
developing
countries,
environmental
impacts.
Clean
energy
1.1
USAID SUPPORTED
ACTIVITIES IN FINANCING
CLEAN ENERGY PROJECTS
The Indonesia Clean Energy Development Program (ICED) is a bilateral technical assistance program funded by
the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The project began in March 2011 and runs
through September 2014. ICED is designed to support the Government of Indonesia in developing sustainable
renewable energy resources and reducing greenhouse gas emissions from conventional fossil fuel sources.
Indonesias dynamic clean energy sector holds the potential to contribute to low emissions economic development,
provide rural communities with access to modern energy, meet the governments target for reduced greenhouse
gas emissions from the energy sector, diversify the countrys energy resource mix, and reduce the national
government subsidy for fossil fuel-generated electricity.
ICEDs technical assistance is implemented primarily through three mechanisms related to financing clean
energy projects. It provides:
1.
Energy policy reform and program support to selected national and local Government of Indonesia
counterparts in order to overcome barriers to the deployment of clean energy technologies.
2.
Institutional capacity building and training for local banks and financial institutions on the conduct of
due diligence evaluations of proposed renewable energy and energy efficiency projects.
3.
Direct technical, legal and financial advisory services to project sponsors, and industrial and
agricultural hosts.
4 million tons of CO2e avoided from the energy and transportation sectors
Completion of at least 20 small to middle-sized renewable energy and energy efficiency projects
Leveraging of at least $120 million of public and private funding for commercial clean energy projects
Provision of clean energy access to 1.2 million people, primarily in rural areas
CLEAN ENERGY
HANDBOOK FOR
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CLEAN ENERGY
HANDBOOK FOR
FINANCIAL SERVICE
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1.2
OVERVIEW OF
CLEAN ENERGY
ICED is helping Indonesia move towards achieving its energy security and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions
reduction goals through an improved policy framework and greater investment opportunities for renewable
energy (primarily biomass, biogas, and small hydro), industrial energy efficiency, and clean transport. The
project undertakes interventions and provides technical assistance on both the supply side (by facilitating private
investments in new clean energy generation) and the demand side (by promoting energy conservation programs
and encouraging new investments in energy efficiency applications).
Figure 1 presents an overview of the energy supply and demand chain.
This figure provides a picture of typical clean energy activities within the overall supply and demand chain for
energy. The supply side comprises renewable energy resource exploitation (such as capturing the water in a river
or converting agricultural waste) and conversion to useful energy, specifically electricity. On the demand side,
the electricity is transmitted and distributed to various consumers for end-use applications such as lighting, air
conditioning (in commercial and residential customers), and operating machinery and processes (in industrial
customers).
CLEAN ENERGY
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FIGURE 1
CLEAN ENERGY
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1.3
FIGURE 2
CLEAN ENERGY
HANDBOOK FOR
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Figure 3 shows that during past 1.5 years, the pipeline of projects assisted by ICED has grown approximately
39%, reflecting the overall growth in the clean energy market as well as the need for financing clean energy
projects.
Through its work with project developers (sponsors), PLN, the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources/
Directorate General for New and Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation, banks and non-bank financial
institutions, ICED has helped to systematically address the development challenges in order to improve the
market conditions for small power projects (see Figure 4).
FIGURE 3
GROWTH OF ICED-ASSISTED
CLEAN ENERGY PROJECTS (PIPELINE), IN MEGAWATTS
CLEAN ENERGY
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CLEAN ENERGY
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FIGURE 4
1.4
FIGURE 5
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1.5
CLEAN ENERGY
PROJECT STAKEHOLDERS
Each project is established as a special-purpose vehicle or project company. The project company signs the
PPA with PLN. Next, the small-scale renewable energy project connects to PLNs grid and sells the electricity it
generates to PLN, which is the sole off-taker. The project sponsor must secure equity for the project, typically
20-35% of the total investment cost, through its own resources (owner equity), investors (shareholders), private
equity company, or a funds investment in a project development company that in turn owns the project. Lenders
typically commercial banks or syariah banks provide the principal loan. Non-bank financial institutions may
also provide a second loan. Debt financing for the project typically represents 65-80% of the total investment
cost.
Renewable energy projects such as biomass power projects may have a fuel supply arrangement with a third
party (e.g., a palm-oil shell/rice husk producer for a biomass power plant). Local governments typically charge a
water use levy for mini-hydropower projects.
The project company may hire an engineering consulting company to prepare the feasibility study, and the
preliminary and detailed engineering designs. Once the project achieves financial closure, the project company
may hire several contractors for construction, covering civil, and mechanical and electrical works (if it wants
to shift construction risks to the contractor, it can hire a single turnkey engineering-procurement-construction
(EPC) contractor).
Depending on the terms of the EPC contract, the project company or the EPC contractor will procure major
equipment such as boilers, turbines, generators, etc. For projects with larger capacity, the project company may
want to enter into a long-term service agreement with equipment suppliers to shift equipment operation and
maintenance risks to the suppliers.
12
CLEAN ENERGY
HANDBOOK FOR
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FIGURE 6
STAKEHOLDERS IN
RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS
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1.6
ABOUT
THIS HANDBOOK
There has been significant donor and development bank funding for clean energy projects in Indonesia, as
well as government funding of community-scale pilot demonstration projects and utility-scale power projects.
Commercial banks and financial institutions are critical to the growth of the small-scale renewable energy
independent power market.
An independent power producer (IPP) is an entity that is not a public utility, but rather owns facilities to generate
electric power for sale to utilities and end users. In Indonesia, the enabling environment for renewable energy
IPPs projects with generating capacities of 10 megawatts (MW) or less was established through the Electricity
Law of 2009 and subsequent implementing regulations. This type of project is the primary focus of the ICED
Project and the Clean Energy Investment Handbook.
Financing is the critical point at which a clean energy project can move forward on implementation. Banks and
financial institutions face several obstacles in making investment decisions on clean energy projects:
Lack of available information on clean energy projects because Indonesias clean energy market is still
in an early stage of development
Limited commercially financed and or successfully implemented clean energy projects that can serve as
references for lenders and investors
The lack of consistent information shared between key stakeholders (project developers, technology
providers, government, PLN and financiers)
Lack of senior bank managers and officers experience in evaluating clean energy project proposals.
Most clean energy proposals are evaluated by PLNs Energy Division, which has a strong background in
oil and gas.
To address financing issues, ICED recognized the importance of improving the understanding of clean energy
projects in order to increase banks and financial institutions willingness to invest in clean energy projects. ICED
then produced the Clean Energy Investment Handbook with the following objectives:
14
Build the essential knowledge and understanding of clean energy power generation technologies and
projects to a level that will allow banks and financial institutions to have confidence in making investment
decisions
Transfer international best practices in assessing project feasibility and associated financing risks for
various clean energy project types
Augment ICED technical assistance and capacity building to banks and financial institutions in developing
clean energy projects.
CLEAN ENERGY
HANDBOOK FOR
FINANCIAL SERVICE
INSTITUTIONS
This first volume of the handbook focuses on the general characteristics of clean energy development, with a
specific focus on three renewable energy technologies mini-hydro, biomass and biogas which are receiving
growing attention and project proposals. Other technologies may be added as a supplement as market conditions
change.
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15
ants
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ENERGY
liz
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2.1
TABLE 1
SUMMARY OF CONTENT
Improve energy accessibility for less wealthy people and those in remote
areas. Thus, priority is given to underdeveloped regions, remote areas and
villages that use local energy sources, particularly renewable sources.
Establish the National Energy Council that later will formulate national
energy policies and determine responses to the energy crisis.
Central and local governments to enhance the provision of new and
renewable energy.
Business entities/individuals that provide energy from new and renewable
resources may obtain facilities and/or incentives from the central or local
government.
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CLEAN ENERGY
HANDBOOK FOR
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SUMMARY OF CONTENT
Electricity development in Indonesia aims to secure sufficient, good quality,
and affordable electricity supply for the peoples welfare toward sustainable
development.
State-owned enterprises have the first priority for the electrification of
unserved areas; if they cannot take up this task, then private/regional
government companies can. If private/regional government companies do
not pursue the electrification of an unserved area, the central government
must assign a state-owned enterprise to serve the area.
Electricity business activities are conducted on the basis of licenses
issued by the central or regional government. The licensing authority also
approves tariffs with the agreement of the relevant legislature. The central
government licenses electricity providers that 1) have a business area that
crosses provinces, 2) is a state-owned enterprise, or 3) sell power to an
entity licensed by the central government.
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SUMMARY OF CONTENT
PLN is granted authority to build power plants using renewable energy, coal
and natural gas through joint cooperation with the private sector.
The Government will guarantee business feasibility according to existing
regulations during the engineering, procurement and construction process.
Facilities, such as the free import tax on equipment, will be provided under
the jurisdiction of the Minister of Finance.
20
CLEAN ENERGY
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These new power plant projects are assigned to PLN and non-PLN
developers.
Steps for implementing new and renewable energy physical activity are:
1) proposal submission by the governor/regent/mayor to the Directorate
General of New and Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation
(DGNREEC), 2) DGNREEC evaluates the proposal, 3) DGNREEC approves or
rejects the proposal, and 4) DGNREEC hands over the project to the local
government upon the commissioning test.
SUMMARY OF CONTENT
Tariffs are adjusted differently for each tariff class. Some classes, including
the smallest household consumers, receive no increase, whereas others are
increased substantially.
PLN is obliged to purchase electricity generated from small-and mediumscale renewable energy (up to 10 MW) or excess power from state-owned
enterprises, local government-owned enterprises, cooperatives, and
community enterprises.
For hydro power plants, the feed-in tariffs are Rp 656/kWh x F (medium
voltage) and Rp 1,004/kWh X F (low voltage); where F = 1 in Java and Bali,
F = 1.2 in Sumatra and Sulawesi, F = 1.3 in Kalimantan and Nusa Tenggara,
and F = 1.5 in Maluku and Papua.
For biomass and biogas power plants, the feed-in tariffs are Rp 975/kWh x F
(medium voltage) and Rp 1,325/kWh X F (low voltage); where F = 1 in Java,
Bali and Sumatra, F = 1.2 in Sulawesi, Kalimantan and Nusa Tenggara, and
F = 1.3 in Maluku and Papua.
For electricity generated from zero-waste technology, the feed-in tariffs are
Rp 1,050/kWh (medium voltage) and Rp 1,398/kWh (low voltage).
For electricity generated from sanitary landfill technology, the feed-in tariffs
are Rp 850/kWh (medium voltage) and Rp 1,198/kWh (low voltage).
In the event of an electricity crisis, PLN may buy the excess power above
the set prices and use its self-estimated price to purchase such excess.
The highest price set for electricity generated from a photovoltaic solar
power plant is US 25 cents/kWh
If the photovoltaics components are at least 40% domestically produced,
then the feed-in tariff may rise to US 30 cents/kWh.
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SUMMARY OF CONTENT
These regulations govern public-private partnerships (PPPs) for specified
infrastructure projects, including power projects.
Projects may be developed on a solicited or unsolicited basis, but in all
cases the selection of a business entity shall be conducted through an open
tender process. A solicited project is one identified and prepared by the
government, whereas an unsolicited project is identified and proposed to
the government by a business entity.
The government contracting agency may be at the regional or national level.
A PPP project may be based on either a government license or a cooperative
agreement.
The government may provide fiscal and/or non-fiscal support to improve
the feasibility of an infrastructure project, including guarantees. Projects
shall be structured to allocate risk to the party best able to manage the risk.
Since the law also stipulates that state-owned limited liability companies are
established to be profitable, the government is obliged to subsidize stateowned enterprises for the public service obligations they are assigned to
ensure their profitability.
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CLEAN ENERGY
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SUMMARY OF CONTENT
The government funds the difference between PLNs revenue and its
allowable cost of production. The allowable cost of production includes the
cost of all generation it purchases.
If the bank has step-in rights as would be expected in under project finance
lending, PLN, as the off taker of power produced, is considered a borrower
even though the bank lends to the project developer (or several different
developers for different projects).
Lenders are exempted from the legal lending limit if the project receives a
guarantee from the government of a multilateral development agency.
Acceleration of depreciation
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SUMMARY OF CONTENT
Environmental protection and management shall be planned through the
following phases: environmental inventorying to obtain data and information
on natural resources, stipulation of eco-regions, and the formulation of
environmental protection and management plans.
The government is responsible for: controlling natural resources, controlling
environmental pollution and damage, making strategic environmental
assessments, providing quality standards of the environment, regulating
legal actions and legal relations between persons and/or other legal
subjects, controlling activities which have social impact, developing a
funding system for efforts to preserve environmental functions, etc.
Every business and/or activity with a substantial impact on the environment
is subject to an environmental impact analysis in order to obtain a license to
conduct such business or activity as discussed in detail in the law.
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ENERGY EFFICIENCY
POLICY/REGULATION NO.
Presidential Instruction No. 13/2011 on
Energy and Water Saving
SUMMARY OF CONTENT
This document instructs government at all levels to conduct energy
(electricity and fossil fuel) efficiency and water saving actions.
It sets targets for government institutions to reduce electricity use by
20% and water use by 10% within six months after the issuance of the
Presidential Instruction.
It also targets a 10% reduction of subsidized fuel by limiting the use of
subsidized fuel in each government institution.
This regulates the responsibility and the role of the central government,
regional government, private sector and communities on energy efficiency,
standardization and labeling, and implementation of energy efficiency.
It mandates the General Plan of Energy Conservation (RIKEN) as the
guideline for stakeholders to implement energy efficiency and conservation
in Indonesia.
It obliges the large energy consumer with a minimum energy consumption
of 6000 TOE/year to implement energy management through the:
1) appointment of an energy manager, 2) development of an energy
conservation program within the company, 3) conduct of regular energy
audits, 4) implementation of energy audit recommendations, and 5)
mandating that the result of the energy management program be reported
to the authorities.
It stipulates the obligation of the producer or importer of energy appliances
to implement energy efficiency labeling.
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2.2
PERMITTING
AND LICENSING
Aside from the regulations that developers must abide by, there are permits that must be obtained to begin
operation. Permits include the Principal Permit (Izin Prinsip), Location Permit (Izin Lokasi), Restricted Forest
Permit (if the project will be in a restricted forest), and the PPA itself. In order to obtain these licenses, developers
must work directly with the local government, except for the Restricted Forest Permit, which must be issued by
the Ministry of Forestry. A PPA is issued by the National PLN through its local counterpart. The main issue in the
permitting process is that both the Principal Permit and the Location Permit are issued by local governments,
most of which do not follow uniform permitting procedures. These differences lead to uncertainty and confusion
for both developers and financing institutions since they cannot accurately predict project outcomes.
FIGURE 7
FINANCING
PROJECT INITIATION
Memorandum of Understanding
COD
UKL/UPL
Change of Laws
Neighborhood Permit
Financial Closure
Location Permit
Principal License
Transfer to PLN
(MOU)
Ketenagalistrikan Umum
Sementara (IUKU-S))
Use of Surface Water Permit
Decree for Electrical Power Price
Insurances
UKL/UPL
Employees
Neighborhood Permit
Land Acquisition
Principal License
Credit Facility
26
PPA
CLEAN ENERGY
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FIGURE 8
CONCERNS WITH
PERMITTING AND LICENSING
REGULATION
TECHNICAL
OTHER
Non-transparent charges
No receipts for many charges
Cost overruns
Lack of access to project finance
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2.3
POWER PURCHASE
AGREEMENTS
Developers of small renewable energy generation in Indonesia, their potential bankers, and their customer PLN,
share a common interest: a workable power purchase agreement (PPA). PLN is required by Ministry of Energy
and Mineral Resources (MEMR) through MEMR Permen 4/2012 to purchase all output from renewable energy
generation plants of or under 10 MW of capacity at prices that are also specified by that regulation and to issue
a generic PPA for the acquisition of output from those renewable generation plants.
Potential developers of such power plants must therefore rely on that contract, and the corresponding prices, in
combination with the specific economic and other characteristics of their proposed installation and the strengths
of their management, to secure financing for plant construction. Potential financiers for renewable power projects
therefore examine that PPA as part of their assessment of whether they can lend to a project.
Five reasons why a PLN Power Purchase Agreement is important:
28
1.
The PPA constitutes the basis for defining the revenue stream for the small-scale renewable energy
project in terms of sales (kWh), price (Rp/kWh), payment stream, and duration (years).
2.
PLN is the sole off-taker (purchaser) of the renewable energy independent power projects output.
Note that it is also possible to have a captive independent power producer (IPP) that is inside the
fence of an agricultural or industrial facility.
3.
Signing the PPA is an important milestone in the development process. The PPA defines the project
implementation schedule (financing, construction, commissioning, commercial operating date
deadlines), operating conditions, and responsibilities.
4.
The PPA will cite all applicable permits and approvals as conditions precedent for the PPA to become
effective.
5.
By signing a PPA, PLN does not assume any responsibilities for the technical or financial feasibility
of the project. Therefore, it is the sponsor and its financiers that assume all risks associated with the
design, construction and operation of the project.
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Small-scale renewable energy IPP projects may take three to five years from the projects initiation to its
commercial operation date (COD), during which the project sponsor would have to identify the project opportunity,
conduct a feasibility study, obtain all relevant permits, enter into a power purchase agreement (PPA) with PLN as
the traditional off-taker, reach financial closure, and implement the construction work.
Under MEMR Regulation No. 14/2012, the project sponsor may enter into a PPA with PLN through a direct
appointment process, using a standard renewable energy PPA for a fixed term (period) and at power purchase
prices set by the regulated feed-in tariff (FIT) under MEMR Regulation No. 4/2012.
While purchase price is fixed, it can be levelized or front loaded as per guidance in the PLN Director Decree. The
PPA process has been standardized, and includes interaction with PLN and the Ministry of Energy and Mineral
Resources (Figures 9 and 10).
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FIGURE 9
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FIGURE 10
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FINANCING SCHEMES
FOR SMALL-SCALE
RENEWABLE
ENERGY PROJECTS
This section describes the ICED Project
Development Teams overall approach for
financing promising renewable energy projects
on a limited recourse/non-recourse project
financing basis. It will suggest a proposed
overall financing strategy with underlying
assumptions and establish the rationale for
a limited recourse or non-recourse project
financing. It also presents a brief discussion
of the applicability of the Clean Development
Mechanism (CDM) process to help make clean
energy projects more financially attractive,
and several suggested transaction structures
for small-scale hydro and biogas projects for
consideration by potential developers of smallscale clean energy projects.
3.1
ECONOMICS AND
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
With respect to overall financing strategy and approach, it is envisioned that many of the larger-scale and well
as bundled projects will be structured and financed on a limited recourse or non-recourse project finance basis,
and be owned by a special-purpose vehicle project company utilizing a fairly conservative 70/30 debt to equity
ratio. However, in the case of biogas projects in the palm oil industry, the ownership vehicle could either be a
separate private IPP project company or a joint venture investment company arrangement between the developer
and palm oil mill owner.
34
The level of debt to equity utilized for most small-scale hydro projects is assumed to be 70/30, which
should be sufficient to assure the maintenance of a debt service cover ratio of at least 1.2 or higher
throughout the loan repayment period for a commercially viable renewable energy project opportunity.
The level of debt to equity for biomass and biogas power projects can range between 70/30 and 80/20,
depending on how they are structured.
All relevant import duties will be waived for approved small-scale hydro, biomass, and biogas power
projects.
These projects will also be eligible for accelerated depreciation, but they will still have to pay a VAT on all
electricity sales to the 150 kV or 20 kV PLN networks.
The approved FITs for projects being developed in North Sumatra, Aceh, and Riau provinces will include
a 1.2 geographic multiplier (expected for biomass, biogas and municipal waste projects).
It is also expected that the CDM under the Kyoto Protocol on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is renewed
in some form and extended with roughly the same framework, terms, and conditions for eligibility so that
these projects could still qualify for certified emission reductions (CERs) to be traded beyond 2013 as
long as they can prove additionality.
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Long-term power purchase agreement (PPA) with PLN at the designated FIT rate for that particular
renewable energy technology for that geographic region
Distribution contracts for the sale of additional co-products for land application and fertilizer in the case
of a biogas project
Forestry access permit and water rights in the case of small-scale hydro projects
Local siting and construction permits from the provincial and municipal governments
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3.2
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JICA at extremely attractive terms and conditions, including a 20-year tenure plus up to a 5-year grace
period and below-market interest rates (between 6.0 and 8.0% for interest-only payments during
construction and 9.5 to 10.5% after the completion of construction).
Vendor Financing
Potential equipment vendors may also be willing to provide vendor financing and/or stretched-out
payment terms for projects of this nature if backed by a strong corporate guarantee.
Mortgages on all company fixed plant facilities, land, and other related assets
Collateral assignment of all retail supply contracts and off-take agreements until such time as senior
debt has been retired
Lock box or escrow agent managed by a reputable international commercial bank as the project
companys trustee
Possible establishment of a prepaid reserve account sufficient to cover at least six months of debt service
Assignment of the prepaid reserve account and any other revenue accounts until such time as senior
debt has been retired
Step-in rights in the event of an uncured default, whereby lenders would have the right to assume
operation of the project company, as well as exercise authority to appoint replacement board members
Inter-creditor arrangement assuring against the disruptive enforcement of different security rights of
the various lenders.
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Syariah Banks
Bank BRI Syariah, Bank Muamalatm and Bank Syariah Mandiri are providing funds for small-scale
hydropower projects to clients that have a proven longstanding banking relationship with them and
have an excellent repayment track record on outstanding debt. These loans typically have an effective
cost of capital of around 13.5% at negotiable tenures.
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INVESTOR CATEGORY
EXPECTED EQUITY
OR TYPE
IRR RANGE
12 16%
Local Investors
1417%
Strategic Investors
1518%
IFC
1720%
Equity Funds
18 20%
Institutional Investors
2024%
Venture Capitalists
2430%
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3.3
APPLICABILITY OF
THE CDM PROCESS TO
INDONESIAN CLEAN ENERGY PROJECTS
The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) is one of the instruments set up by the 1997 Kyoto Protocol to
the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). It allows industrialized nations and
countries with economies in transition, collectively known as Annex I countries, to gain credit for greenhouse gas
(GHG) emission reductions achieved through projects undertaken in developing and emerging market countries.
As defined by Article 12 of the Protocol, the CDM has two purposes: to assist Annex I countries in complying
with their Kyoto commitments, and to help non-Annex I countries achieve sustainable development. Thus,
under the CDM, an Annex I country or private company may engage in projects in non-Annex I countries that
reduce GHG emissions and help non-Annex I countries achieve sustainable development. The Annex I countries
can use certified emissions reductions (CERs) generated through CDM projects to help them meet their Kyoto
commitments.
A key purpose of the CDM process is to help developing countries achieve sustainable development. Sustainable
development is a broad concept that includes environmental sustainability, economic development, and social
equity. In principle, small-scale hydro, biomass power, and biogas power projects are eligible under the CDM since
they clearly contribute towards the twin objectives of the CDM process: sustainable development in developing
countries and the achievement of part of the Kyoto target in developed countries. To be included in CDM projects,
such projects must first overcome several barriers, such as determining a baseline and proving additionality.
Thus, the CDM process can be a potential source of funding for renewable energy projects of less than 10 MW,
but only under certain highly restrictive circumstances. Moreover, it will require that specific methodologies and
approved monitoring activities for determining emission reductions be worked out first. Finally, it should be noted
that the underpinning Kyoto Accord expired at the end of 2012 and no replacement accord is yet in place.
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3.4
SUGGESTED TRANSACTION
STRUCTURE FOR SMALL SCALE
CLEAN ENERGY PROJECTS
3.4.1 // SMALL-SCALE HYDRO PROJECTS
As a basic premise, the ICED Project Development Team feels strongly that a proposed project will never reach
financial close or be constructed unless everyone around the table is perceived to be a winner from the outset.
In this regard, one of the first things that a potential project developer should undertake after the preliminary
feasibility study is to develop a suggested transaction structure illustrating the interactions among the various
parties involved. A suggested transaction structure for a 10 MW hydro project is presented in Figure 11.
Similarly, proposed transaction structures showing the interactions among the various participants during
the project implementation and commercial operation stage of both a single stand-alone biogas project and a
bundled approach are presented in Figures 12 through 14.
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Export Credits
for Imported
Scope
Carbon Emission
Reduction Trading Credits
Escrow
Agent
Lock Box
Interested
Green Capital
or Clean Tech
Fund(s)
Strategic
Partner or
Additional
Local Investors
Equity Pledges
Shareholders
Agreement
Private
Developer
O & M Agreement
(to be determined)
EPC Contractor
(to be determined)
Construction"
Contract
Loan Agreement
Local
Commercial
Bank like BNI or
Bank Mandiri
Debt Commitments
ADB/IFC
Clean Tech
Fund
FIGURE 11
FIGURE 12
TECHNOLOGY
PROVIDERS
FEASIBILITY
STUDY
GAS ENGINE
VENDORS
DIGESTOR
Equipment Sales
Access
Agreement
Equity
INVESTORS &
STRATEGIC PARTNERS
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Debt
LENDERS
Offtake
Agreement
PLN
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Export
Credits
Regional PLN In
Aceh Province
Mill #3
Regional PLN In
North Sumatera
PPA
Mill #4
Mill #2
PPA
PPA
Mill #6
Mill #7
Joint Venture!
Investment Company!
Mill #5
Line of Credits !
Loan Agreement
Local
Commercial
Banks
Mill #1
PPA
Export Credits
for Imported
Scope
PPA
PPA
Regional PLN In
Riau Province
PPA
Mill #8
Escrow
Agent
Trustee
Account
COP Trader
Methane Reduction !
Trading Credits
Green Capital
Fund
Shareholders
Agreement
Project
Developer &
Mill Owners
Mill Owners Contribute Land, Access to the Waste Stream, and Provide Backstop Guarantee
PPA
FIGURE 13
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Export Credits
Mill #3
PPA
Regional PLN In
Aceh Province
PPA
Mill #4
Mill #2
PPA
PPA
Mill #6
Mill #7
Mill #5
Line
of
Credits
Loan
Agreement
Local
Commercial
Banks
Regional PLN In
North Sumatera
PPA
Mill #1
ADB/IFC
Clean Tech
Fund
PPA
PPA
Regional PLN In
Riau Province
PPA
Mill #8
Escrow
Agent
CPO Trader
Green Capital
Fund
Trustee
Account
Shareholders
Agreement
Private
Developer &
Other Local
Investors
Mill Owners get Paid for Use of Land for New Lagoons and Access to the Waste Stream!
Export Credits
for Imported
Scope
FIGURE 14
ICED APPROACH
TO EVALUATING
CLEAN ENERGY
PROJECTS
There are three main aspects of developing clean
energy projects: technical, legal and financial. A
robust clean energy project should address all
three aspects simultaneously, as they are all are
interlinked.
Figure 15 shows the various issues within each aspect; the areas where the circles overlap indicate where these
issues could lead to potential risks during the development and implementation stages. It is necessary to ensure
that all of the risks associated with the key issues have been identified, evaluated and mitigated.
The details of each aspect were discussed in earlier sections (legal in Section 2, technical issues in Sections 3,
4 and 5, and financing in Section 6). Because most project assessments will be conducted by consultants, this
section provides guidelines for prospective lenders and investors in the form of typical checklists for each aspect.
FIGURE 15
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4.1
LEGAL ASPECTS
Renewable energy projects are usually financed either through limited recourse project financing or full recourse
balance sheet financing (Figure 16). A solid understanding of the planned financing structure is fundamental for
a feasibility study to help judge the economic viability of a proposed project.
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FIGURE 16
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NOTE
Shareholders will risk their equities in the project. They may be a long-term
strategic player, contractor, equipment supplier, or pure financial investor.
The bank may require that at least one majority shareholder has significant
renewable energy project development or operational experience. If the
shareholders lack such experience, the project sponsor may be required
to come up with more equity or at least to commit some contingent equity
financing.
The bank may need to review the voting structure (decision making
process) to ensure that the shareholder with the most project experience
has a controlling ownership or at a least controlling interest in the project
company.
Under certain conditions, the bank may also require that the project
company include local ownership.
54
Check the bylaws and other documents related to the legal incorporation of
the Project Company. Check the required permits/licenses/authorizations
required for the project company. Check if there is any pending litigation
to the project company. These all to ensure that the Project Company
has a sound legal standing, minimizing legal risk for successful project
implementation.
Any clauses restricting the transfer of the capital stock or assets and any
existing options or rights to purchase capital stock will affect the financial
arrangement, and the authority and legality of decisions and agreement with
third parties (e.g., banks).
For risk mitigation, the bank may require a mechanism to allow for new
investors to participate in the project company, providing additional equity
contributions to the project. The shareholder agreement should also include
provisions on contingent equity required to cover project cost over-runs and
costs associated with delays.
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NO
NOTE
Previous experience with projects of the same design, technology, and size
will be an advantage for project development. For biomass/biogas projects,
banks should also ensure that a technology applicable in other countries
(with different climates) will also work in Indonesia. Sponsors for small hydro
projects may not necessarily need to have prior experience, but if not, they
should have an experienced engineer on board, quality equipment, and a
good civil contractor.
A bank may require the project sponsor to comply with the banks
requirements on reinvestment and dividend policy, so as not to jeopardize the
debt payment to the bank.
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55
CHECK
NO
NECESSARY INFORMATION
YES - NO
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Shareholder review
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Shareholders agreement
Voting procedures
CV of each manager
NO
NOTE
This is a critical issue in hydro power projects. Banks should ensure that the
project is based on a reliable and accurate hydrological study and estimate.
This is a condition precedent for the effectiveness of the PPA and financing
agreement. Banks will require that this issue be resolved early in the project
development stage. This issue is particularly relevant in hydropower projects
because of the nature of impoundments and rights-of-way for waterways,
penstocks, and transmission lines.
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CHECK
NO
NECESSARY INFORMATION
YES - NO
58
PPA review
Land-lease agreement
review
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PPA in place?
Warranty
Lump sum
Agreement in place?
Supply guarantee
Agreement in place?
Interconnection requirements
4.2
TECHNICAL ASPECTS
The fundamental principle here is that Projects may be of good quality and have an approved feasibility study,
but the decision to finance the projects should be based on the quality of the feasibility study and the contracts,
and the completion of all legal documents, and the project sponsors audit. While a project may proceed in the
financing process, a complete approval should be based on risks defined, mitigated and allocated through the
technical design and contracting process.
NO
NOTE
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59
CHECK
NO
NECESSARY INFORMATION
YES - NO
Land-lease agreement
review
Hydrology
Energy analysis
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NO
NOTE
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61
CHECK
NO
NECESSARY INFORMATION
YES - NO
Is AMDAL/UKL-UPL in place?
Is there any potential risk that may affect project design and
investment and/or operational costs?
Review description of
project facilities
Review public consultation Are the procedures and activities completed (or planned)?
procedures and activities
Review key public concerns and how they are addressed in project
planning/AMDAL documents.
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Review AMDAL/UKL-UPL
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4.3
FINANCIAL ASPECTS
Many measures can be taken to address the financial aspects of clean energy development. These include
measures to lessen environmental and social impacts, and engineering and technology solutions. However,
lenders/investors require that prospective clean energy projects be profitable typically through a positive net
present value (NPV) and that the internal rate of return (IRR) exceeds the return of a less risky investment.
Financing clean energy projects in Indonesia is not advancing as quickly as many stakeholders expected. As
can be seen in Figure 17, as of 31 March 2013 approximately 46% of mini-hydro projects are still looking for
financial closure. In addition to other problems in clean energy development, many banks and investors are
reluctant to invest in such projects. They are less confident about making decisions on clean energy projects due
to a lack understanding on project and a misperception of the high risk involved in clean energy projects.
Evaluating the financial aspects of clean energy projects is actually similar to other infrastructure projects. It is
necessary to understand the building blocks of the financial projection itself, which mainly can be categorized by
revenue stream and cost of investment. Figure 19 shows a summary of the key issues in assessing the financial
aspects of clean energy projects. The financial evaluation contains a summary of the technical and legal aspects
of developing clean energy projects, but despite this, the financial projects cannot be the sole basis of decisions
on the financial projections. The technical and legal aspects of a clean energy project must also be justified.
FIGURE 17
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FIGURE 18
WEST REGIONS
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OPERATION
PROPOSALS
CONSTRUCTION
PPA/FINANCIAL CLOSURE
EAST REGIONS
JAVA-BALI
FIGURE 19
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Savings created by replacing more expensive fuel for the owners purpose
In this section, the discussion is limited to selling the electric power. In this regard what matters are issues that
could affect the sellers capacity to produce the electric power, i.e., the supply sustainability of the source of the
power, and the purchasing capacity of the buyer. Taking a mini-hydro project as an example, the sustainability of
the water catchment area matters as it affects the water debit. Likewise, assessor should determine if there is any
potential that the buyers purchasing capacity is diminishing. In the case of selling the power to PLN, this should
not be as much of a concern as with a private buyer given that PLN is a state-owned company.
The overestimation of the revenue stream is usually ascribed to either overconfidence or lack of knowledge of the
proposer. In this regard, the proposers track record essential, particularly if the proposer is a new player.
2.
3.
4.
Operating expenses
The feasibility study submitted to the financiers is part of the project preparation (as are engineering design and
permitting). While the proposer could do its best to be cautious in assigning the entailed costs in the design for
categories b, c, and d by not marking-down the numbers, there is still a possibility that cost overruns will occur.
As is the case with the revenue stream, overconfidence or lack of knowledge is the usual root of the problem.
But this does not mean that a rational, knowledgeable proposer would never experience a cost overrun. A force
majeur event that is beyond anyones power to anticipate (such as a flood or earthquake) could occur. Thus,
contingencies should be prepared to the extent that any normal concerned business could rationally and sensibly
anticipate them.
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There is a technical misassumption on the condition that serves as the basis for the project design. For
example, the underestimation of the geographical and geological challenges of a mini-hydropower plant
site will cause an underestimation of mobilization and excavation costs, or, in the case of a POME plant,
and incorrect assessment of effluent characteristic will result in the installation of unsuitable machinery
and equipment.
An incorrect false financial assumption produces an incorrect financial projection. For example, there
could be an underestimation of inflation or/and currency exchange rate so that by the time the machinery
and equipment are to be purchased, the price has risen, exceeding expectations.
There is inadequate knowledge of the cost structure so that many cost components are not included,
creating an underestimation of expenses.
In a nutshell, a financial due diligence must investigate thoroughly, looking beyond the numbers and into all
aspects that affect the projects cash flow. Accepting the numbers and assumptions of a financial projection on
face value or conducting due diligence without great care will mean problems later.
NO
NOTE
The bank, as the senior debt provider, needs to ensure that it has
the strongest lenders security in the financing terms.
Both the interest rate and financial fee have to be confirmed with
the funding source. Common project practice is to include IDC
into the investment cost. Also, the ROR has to be realistic.
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NO
7
Taxes
Insurance
Capital expenditures
Disbursement schedule.
NOTE
Check that the financial model assumptions, costs and
revenues are reasonable and realistic (e.g., the price of CER/
carbon credit). Comparisons may be made with other project
investments, best practices, or in accordance with accounting
standards. The bank should solicit input from engineers about
the project output and project cash flow.
10
The bank would want to ensure that the PPA tariff would be
able to cover the project costs and provide a return on equity
to the project sponsor during the term of the PPA.
The PPA tariff should be able to cover the operational and
maintenance costs, which are influenced by inflation.
For biomass projects, feedstock supply risk, including
prices, should also be reflected in the PPA tariff (however,
the current price regime does not provide a basis for tariff
indexation.
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DUE DILIGENCE
NO
CHECK
NECESSARY INFORMATION
ITEM
1
Review the
probability of cost
overruns.
YES - NO
Detailed costs have been accurately estimated
Financing Plan
Check the financing plan: terms for subscription of shares by any other
shareholder, terms of proposed bridge financing (if any), and terms of
proposed senior debt financing.
Review detail
assumptions used
Financial
assumptions
Interest rate & financing fees should conform to the proposed source of
funds.
Review financial
model
Review applicable
PPA tariff
Has there been any price escalation over time, pass through of feedstock
prices, etc.?
Would the PPA tariff be able to cover the project cost and return on equity
to project sponsor during the term of the PPA?
PPA tariff should be able to cover the operation and maintenance costs
that are influenced by inflation
For biomass projects, feedstock supply risk, including prices, should also
be reflected in the PPA tariff
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4.4
addressed how these risks will be managed during implementation of the project
The entire development process up to project implementation is an exercise in risk identification, mitigation and
allocation. The successful developers and projects are those that allocate risks properly to the parties best suited
to take the risk. The lender takes minimal risk and has a capped upside. The owner can have risk mitigated by
proper data collection on the site, proper evaluation and design, while contracting for other risks.
Figure 20 illustrates ICEDs observation on potential issues in developing mini-hydropower projects. Hydropower
is used as an example, small-scale renewable energy power generation markets are populated by hydropower
projects. However, the potential issues identified are similar for other types of technology.
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f p
k qfq rq lf kp
c lo _=^k hp C
=
c kf ^k `f i^ =
h=
e ^k a_ ll
FIGURE 20
72
Extensive and poorly coordinated permitting and licensing requirements leads to problem in
acquiring land for facilities
Land is required for access roads, transmission line corridors, etc. Delays in acquiring land translate to
project delays. High pre-construction/pre-financing costs for project studies (10-15% of total project
costs) absorb significant owners equity. Project costs range from $1.5 to $3 million per installed
megawatt. Equity requirements for a 10 MW hydropower project could be as much as $9 million. PLN
requires that developers demonstrate sufficient equity prior to the negotiation of a PPA, and a PPA is
required to raise equity from outside sources.
Project cost estimates are overly optimistic and can result in additional financing needs during
project development
Inadequate FS and detailed engineering design result in unrealistic cost assumptions. Construction
cost overruns can be up to 50%. High capacity factors can overestimate project revenues. Poorly
designed construction contracts do not contain construction costs. Developers minimize equipment
and civil engineering/construction costs to produce higher IRRs. However, this can result in
operational problems (equipment failures) and lower than expected performance, damage due to
floods, etc.
The power purchase agreement terms do not include take or pay provision and allow undefined
conditions for dispatching
Project revenue estimates assume PLN will purchase all power produced by the small hydro power
project, but PLN is not obligated to buy all output. PLNs need for electricity will vary depending on the
project location and system demand for electricity. Small hydropower projects could be dispatched
when electricity is not needed.
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4.5
CONSULTANT SELECTION
An assessment will result in the right recommendations if the reviewers (consultants) are qualified. Hence,
selecting the right consultants is essential for any good assessment. The following elements are important in
the process of consultant selection:
Typical key activities of independent engineering consultant (including environmental work) are:
Review project specifications and detailed engineering design (including cost estimate)
Supervise and monitor construction work, including factory visit (if necessary)
Review AMDAL/UKL-UPL document and recommend mitigation actions that could be adopted by the
bank into the financial agreement. Projects with high environmental and social risks could affect the
banks reputation.
Study special/specific issue, e.g., issues related to the sustainability of the primary energy source (for
this, technical specialists such as hydrologists and geologists are needed).
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Provide as much information as possible, to inform the consultants via preliminary project information.
This might include, at a minimum
Background information on the nature of the renewable energy project (e.g., project sponsor, site,
capacity, technology)
Indicative work plan (e.g., description of tasks to be performed, expected milestones, and
indicative work schedule)
Deliverables required (e.g., reports and recommendations).
Banks should issue an RFP describing the projects background, consulting assignment (TOR), budget, and
technical and financial criteria used to evaluate and select the winning proposal. The RFP may request the
consultants to submit in their proposals:
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Allow the firm to bring in outside experts if it does not have a required competency in a specific
renewable energy field. Indicate, however, that the consultant will have ultimate responsibility for
the quality of all work, including the tasks outsourced, if applicable.
Methodology
It is very useful to analyze the consultants technical proposal on the basis of:
methodology (showing its understanding of the renewable energy assignment and ways to address
its implementation),
proposed work plan, including level of effort for each individual staff and task, and timetable.
Banks want to minimize cost without sacrificing quality, and this may be achieved through a competitive bidding
of shortlisted pre-qualified consultants. Some considerations in selecting competitive bids include:
Use quality- and cost-based selection methods, which include evaluating proposals against established technical
and financial criteria. The weight between the technical and financial criteria should depend on the value
attributed to the technical competences vis--vis the cost of the service. They will certainly vary depending on the
specificity and complexity of the assignment. For a complex renewable energy project requiring a sophisticated
due diligence, the bank may want to attribute between 70% to 80% to the technical proposal and between 20%
to 30% to the financial proposal. In any case, a minimum technical score will be required, e.g., being given at
least 50 points out of the 70 attributed to the selection criteria.
in the case where the budget for consultants is limited, the selection of the consultant may be based on the
evaluation of technical proposals exclusively. In this case, the bank needs to disclose to all short-listed consultants
the budget amount that will be paid and draft the technical criteria accordingly.
Relative scoring
Consultants are given scores depending on their relative rankings e.g., if three companies bid for
a project, for a specific criteria, the best company would receive 10/10. The others will be rated in
relation to the 10/10 scoring.
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Absolute scoring
Companies are given scores based on an assessment of the absolute quality of the proposal, e.g., the
best company may only score 6/10 in a given category and everyone else will score less.
TABLE 3
EXAMPLE SCORECARD
NO
1
CRITERIA
Experience of the firm
SCORE
20
7
5
8
Methodology
Methodology, work plan, and level of effort
10
10
40
20
10
10
Team leader
Total score
70
One potential problem with the relative scoring system is that the minimum technical score loses its relevance or
else needs to be defined taking into account the evaluation methodology to be used.
It is important to have people on the evaluation committee who are able to assess the technical, financial, legal
and economic areas being considered. Since evaluating the proposals requires a significant amount of time, it is
important to ensure that the appropriate time is allocated for this task.
time, individual fees and estimation of expenses (number of trips, duration, and cost per trip).
The bank may require that the financial proposal be stated in Indonesian rupiah and foreign currency (e.g. US
dollars) in case international experts are used or expenses are incurred in foreign currency.
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The bank may want to define a cap for the consultant financial proposal, indicating the amount available. If the
bank has defined correctly the level of effort required for the consulting assignment, the bank runs no risk of
having very different financial proposals.
Consultants should indicate the individuals daily rate, in case the bank needs to use them outside of the proposed
terms of reference or after the contracted period.
The bank may require that any tax liability the consultant may incur in delivering the required services should be
built into their financial proposal.
Fairness
All consulting firms participating in the selection process should be treated equally, receiving the same
information, and evaluated on the same criteria. All changes and clarifications to the RFP should be
made by circular to all short-listed consultants simultaneously.
Transparency
The bank should make available as much information as possible. A transparent process eliminates
doubt about the quality of the final winning team and the fairness of the process. This is important as
sometimes a consultant spends a great deal of time and costs preparing a proposal only to lose due a
price difference of US $1,000. If the bidder does not trust the process, it may complain about the lack
of transparency. Disclose everything that may create a perception of non-transparency or discomfort.
Conflict of interest
The bank should require the consultant to disclose any conflict of interest and be aware that its
recruitment as a consultant will prevent the firm from participating in the consulting assignment
requested by project sponsors / project company / contractors.
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5
MINI
HYDRO
POWER
Hydropower is one of the oldest methods
of harnessing natures power for mankinds
uses. The power of flowing water has been
used mechanically in mills for many centuries
and electrical power has been generated at
hydroelectric plants since the 19th century.
While the technology for converting potential
and kinetic energy to electricity has advanced, it
is fundamentally the same as the early projects.
The technology is mature and has been applied
worldwide.
With its mountainous terrain and dependable rainfall, Indonesia has abundant hydroelectric potential. In recent
years, policy and business changes have combined to unleash a private, small hydro development sector that has
proposed many projects and implemented some. Developing small hydroelectric projects can be complex, with a
time consuming and difficult process of obtaining rights and permits, and securing a power off-take agreement
with PLN through the PPA process. These complexities are addressed in other portions of this book.
Hydropower comes in many different forms, from small village micro generators of several kilowatts (kW) up
more than 10 to 20,000,000 kW. This section addresses what are considered to be small-scale hydropower/
mini-hydro power (MHP) projects in Indonesia. These projects are less than 10,000 kW but are large enough to
be grid-connected. Many of the principles discussed in this section are also applicable to larger projects of up to
20 or even 50 MW.
The development of MHP projects in Indonesia can be an attractive and sound business proposition, with some
key fundamental advantages:
TABLE 4
HYDROPOWER
CLASSIFICATIONS
INVESTMENT
NO
CATEGORY
OUTPUT
TYPE
GENERATION TYPE
COST
(US$ 000/KW)
80
Micro
< 100 kW
Run-of-river
Base load
1.5 3
Mini
100 kW 1 MW
Run-of-river
Base load
1.5 3
Small
< 10 MW
Run-of-river
1.5 2
Medium
10 100 MW
Run-of-river
1.5 2.5
Medium
100 300 MW
Dam and
reservoir
23
Large
> 300 MW
Dam and
reservoir
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5.1
OVERVIEW OF
MINI-HYDROPOWER PLANTS
The development of small-scale hydropower projects is an exercise in the identification, mitigation and allocation
of risks during project construction and operation. Unlike many other technologies, a well-designed and wellconstructed hydroelectric project has limited operating risk, mainly in hydrologic variability. The mechanical
reliability of hydroelectric equipment is very high compared to many technologies. Relatively little labor is
necessary, maintenance, while critical, is limited, and projects are fairly immune to price inflation.
Hydropower projects turn potential energy into electrical energy. The potential energy is simply from the force
of gravity that makes water flow downhill. Power is generated by containing water at a high elevation, moving
it under control and pressure to a low elevation, and releasing it through generating equipment. No water or
other fuels are consumed. Hydropower is efficient and competitive because the technology is well developed and
because of the mass of water, the energy resource is dense.
To control, harness and convert the potential power of a natural hydropower site, water must be controlled at a
high elevation and controlled for release at a lower elevation. The difference between the two elevations is called
the head. To develop the head, water must be controlled and diverted from the river, conveyed to the lower
elevation, and released back to the river after the energy is converted.
FIGURE 21
ELEMENTS OF A TYPICAL
SMALL HYDRO POWER PROJECT
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FIGURE 22
DIVERSION WEIR
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FIGURE 23
TYPICAL CANAL
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FIGURE 24
PENSTOCK
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FIGURE 25
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FIGURE 26
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FIGURE 27
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5.2
HYDRO POWER
CONVERSION PRINCIPLE
The power produced (in kilowatts) is directly proportional to the flow and head (pressure):
KW = 9.81 x Q x H x E
Q = Water flow: m3/second
H = Water pressure: meters of water height
E = Efficiency of generator/turbine/transformer:
typically 97%/98%/99% respectively
Kilowatts are the power or capacity at any point in time. However, the product sold by small hydropower projects
is energy or kilowatt-hours (kWh). kWh (the energy) is simply the power over a time period. It is important to
remember that the product sold is energy, so the cost of energy is more important than the cost of the capacity
to produce the energy.
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5.3
TECHNOLOGY
AND EQUIPMENT
Having the right equipment is critical. If the equipment does not meet performance expectations or is unreliable,
the entire project investment is devalued. Thus, it is important to make sure the project has an experienced and
high-quality supplier. If poor equipment is installed, it is nearly impossible to re-design the project to change the
equipment. Typically, for small hydro projects, the equipment is 20-35% of the total project costs. Therefore,
savings on project equipment are small relative to the entire project cost.
Supplying hydroelectric equipment is a specialized business. Typically, a turbine manufacturer will package its
equipment with a selected generator, controls, valves, cooling pumps, and other needed equipment. By having
one supplier, there is one guarantee and security that the components will all work well together. Developers
should select their equipment from two to four bids from candidate companies.
There are a number of designs of hydro turbines. The most common are:
Francis turbines
Used in most Indonesian small hydro projects, at heads from 30-200 meters.
Kaplan turbines
High-efficiency with variable control gates and adjustable turbine blades, for lower head applications
where flow is highly variable.
Propeller turbines
Similar to Kaplan turbines, but without adjustable turbine blades and not as flexible.
Pelton turbines
For high head (greater than 200 meters) projects.
Other turbines are hybrids of these types and can be used successfully in specific installations.
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FIGURE 28
COMPONENTS OF A
FRANCIS-TYPE TURBINE
DRAFT TUBE:
RETURNS WATER TO THE
TAILRACE AND RIVER
AFTER FLOW OVER THE
TURBINE RUNNER
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TURBINE:
CASING DISTRIBUTES
THE FLOW OVER GATES
AND THE RUNNER, WHICH
SPINS UNDER FLOW AND
PRESSURE
BEARINGS:
SUPPORT THE MACHINES
AND KEEP PARTS ALIGNED
EXCITER:
PROVIDES ELECTRICAL
FIELD TO GENERATOR
AND CONTROLS
THE VOLTAGE AND
FREQUENCY OF THE
POWER TO ASSURE
COMPATIBILITY WITH
THE GRID
GENERATOR:
HAS TWO PARTS, STATOR
AND ROTOR. ROTOR
SPINS INSIDE STATOR
WITH ELECTRICAL FIELD
AND GENERATES THE
ELCTRICITY
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5.4
INVESTMENTS MINI
HYDROPOWER PROJECTS
A hydroelectric project is somewhat simple to evaluate as a long-term investment. The project is simply selling
energy in kWh at the price set in the power purchase agreement. Projects are constructed to generate an average
amount of energy over a certain number of years, so the average revenue that can be expected is simply the
number of average annual kWh times the tariff.
The development and construction costs for small hydropower projects are substantial. However, these projects
operational costs are lower than for nearly any other energy technology. The plant needs few employees, just
enough to monitor operations, ensure security and perform routine maintenance.
Typically the evaluation of a hydroelectric project is done with a long-term annual model of revenues and
expenses. Since the project uses river flow, the large expense and risk involved with any type of fuel is minimized,
except for hydrologic variation.
The expenses for a small hydropower project include:
Insurance
Taxes
Royalties, if any.
However, it is very important to remember that water variations mean that revenue will also vary. Depending on
the nature of the rivers watershed and rainfall patterns, the project design output can vary from 50% to 150%
of average annual power. That would mean that the project revenue will vary from the estimated average annual
production in kWh virtually every year. The project investment evaluation must include the variability of the
projects production. No one can accurately predict cycles of wet and dry years, but we know they will occur. It is
critical that the investment evaluation include cases of wet and dry cycles and make allowances for the revenue
generated for investment return sensitivity.
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The annual revenues must provide sufficient return to justify the original investment. The investment cost is
driven by the total construction cost and the development costs. Typically, the construction cost includes three
major contracts:
1.
2.
3.
Transmission line.
Engineering costs
Financing costs
Most small hydro projects are operated by the owners employees or an organization that is an affiliate of the
owner. The operations rely on a small number of key employees with detailed knowledge of the plant, rather than
a large organization.
Often, different power generation technologies are compared in terms of their capacity installation costs, as in
IDR/kW or US$/kW. However, since the small hydro projects product is energy, it is more useful to compare the
installation costs to the average annual energy unit. Thus, a quick capture of the project costs spread over the
expected average annual generation would be in IDR/kWh or US$/kWh. Typically, the feed-in tariff to be specified
under the PPA is known before the project is even planned. Thus, it is fairly simple to calculate the present value
of power generation for a period of record (for example, 20 years) and estimate a maximum value of the project
at a tariff of IDR 787.2/kWh. To achieve a return of 15% on the investment, the project must be completed for
about IDR 4,400/kWh. To achieve a return of 20%, the completion cost must be about IDR 3,200.
TABLE 5
INTERNAL RATE
FIT
TARGET INSTALLATION
OF RETURN
(IDR/KWH)
COST (US$/KWH)
20
15%
Rp 4,425
$0.46
20
20%
Rp 3,224
$0.33
30
15%
Rp 4,229
$0.44
30
20%
Rp 3,157
$0.33
PERIOD
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5.5
Hydrology
Topography
Geology
Project layout
Energy analysis
Project budget
Logistics
5.5.1 // HYDROLOGY
Small hydro projects are most secure when a measurement gauge has been on the river for 20 or more years.
This situation is very rare in Indonesia, which has countless small rivers in remote areas. Thus, studies of rainfall,
runoff and correlations to other gauges are necessary. These must take the form of detailed studies that consider
what is available on a daily basis, not on a longer basis, where estimates distort the available flow by averaging
high and low flows. The evaluation of a projects hydrology is possibly the most important element and it should
be done in detail and correctly from the beginning.
The sites hydrology is used to develop a flow duration curve. The curve is simply a ranking of daily flows from
high to low. Estimating the generation from a flow duration curve is fairly simple, using the power equation
provided earlier in this section, over the time line of the curve. Figure 29 shows a sample flow duration curve and
the resultant power for a small hydropower project.
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FIGURE 29
There are several methods of modeling a river for a partial or total run-off, but they are only as good as an
estimate for the analysis. They must be tested and re-tested as much as possible. Figure 30 shows a typical flow
duration curve.
FIGURE 30
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A major element that the project reviewer must consider is whether the measurement method used suits the
proposed project. There happened a case in a recent private mini-hydro project in Indonesia where the hydrology
for project output estimation on a non-storage reservoir was examined on a longer observation period basis:
monthly rainfall. As a result, the flow duration curve is flattened out; it further creates an overestimation of the
flow for electricity generation. It might happen that the study assumed a condition for a weir that was probably
designed for lower flows.
Usually, monthly runoff data are used for the reservoir type, whereas daily runoff data are for the run-of-river
(ROR) type (a mini-hydro plant without a reservoir, which only counts on the river flow for its input). River runoff
changes daily as well as yearly, and flows are higher during the rainy season and lower during the dry season.
ROR projects are dramatically different in design and appearance from conventional hydroelectric projects (which
mostly use the reservoir). Most ROR projects do not require a large impoundment of water. Figure 31 shows the
effect of different observation periods.
FIGURE 31
Figure 30 illustrates what can go wrong when monthly or other longer observation periods (i.e., more than one
day) are used. For example, a study for a project that needs a 150 cubic feet/second (cfs) flow the prerequisite
for the target power production will assume that the project would run at about 80% of full output for the entire
month of 720 hours if it uses annual flow data. However, when the daily flows are used, any flows above 150 cfs
would occur less than 40% of the time. Consequently, the plant would lose its generation capacity because it is
run at far lower output. The actual generation for a month would have been overstated by perhaps 30% by using
the monthly average.
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FIGURE 32
Figure 32 illustrates how a flow measurement fluctuates and how the average value (mean) could differ greatly
from the actual low measurement for each observation time which in this case was done on a five-day period.
Key questions for the hydrology aspects of a project are:
What data were used for the project hydrology, and how were they analyzed?
Are the catchment characteristics (size, shape and slope) properly considered?
What consideration should be taken into account when using a longer observation period instead of a
daily basis for flow modeling?
Does the hydrology reflect the actual conditions under which the plant will have to generate power?
Have the effects of high and low flows been estimated? How will these reflect revenue?
Are there any generating plants with some history in the watershed or nearby?
Has a risk assessment of the validity of the hydrologic record been completed?
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5.5.2 // TOPOGRAPHY
A good idea of the projects topography is essential for the accurate projection of the position of the head,
intake, powerhouse and water conveyance facilities. Typically the project site is selected from generally available
mapping and satellite imagery. By the time the conceptual or bid drawings (civil) are prepared, specific topography
is necessary for the identification of routes of access roads, canals or penstock, foundations of the diversion,
intake facilities, and powerhouse. The required scale of the drawings depends on the facility. A proper site survey
for these facilities is necessary for creating a reliable design (one that does not need continual modification over
the course of preparation process).
Table 6 shows the scale of topography maps needed for early-stage study, the pre-feasibility study, and the
feasibility study (FS). The higher the map resolution, the more accurate the analysis
TABLE 6
STAGE OF DEVELOPMENT
TOPOGRAPHIC MAP
SCALE NEEDED
1:50,000 ~ 1:10,000
Pre-Feasibility Study
1:10,000 ~ 1:5,000
Feasibility Study
1:1,000 ~ 1:200
Topography maps are relatively expensive but absolutely necessary for proper design and contracting. The
design criteria document or another document should define what has been done in preparation for design.
Accurate topography eliminates significant risk. A vague description of the topography work scope may be an
indicator that the maps are only gross estimates from larger maps, without specific ground control or checking.
Key questions for the topography aspect are:
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Has specific mapping been completed for the key project areas?
Has the route proposed for the water conveyance been properly surveyed and profiled?
Have the locations for the intake, powerhouse and intake box (if applicable) been surveyed, including the
river bottom and river section, nearby the facilities?
Does the proposed topography reflect the actual site conditions and provide the optimum layout?
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5.5.3 // GEOLOGY
Project geology is also critical to risk mitigation and allocation. The final design of the project will mitigate
foundation and geotechnical risk. Sufficient information also allows the contractor building the project to plan and
manage the risks of rock excavation, slope stabilization and foundation preparation. Geological and geotechnical
information is expensive and often is not fully gathered until the late stages of project planning. However, it does
allow for proper design acceptance of risk by civil contractors.
The main purposes of good-quality and site-specific geotechnical information are to:
Does the method used and site parameters suit the site conditions?
Does the design criterion for the project facilities have an acceptable level of protection?
Is there a proper analysis or model that changes the design flood flow to the elevation of the intake and
powerhouse?
The project layout must include proper facilities to meet the project production parameters. The first layout is
important to define the project, mitigate risks with the design, and indicate areas that need additional detail
or study to arrive at a complete design. The project layout is necessary for the first cost estimates, based on
quantities of materials and the type of facilities needed.
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The initial project budget is based on the engineers estimates from project studies. As the project proceeds to
completion, the estimates are replaced with budgets for contracts, land acquisition and other project activities.
The process of risk identification and risk allocation is reflected in the project estimates, which become project
budgets with real and fixed costs that are defined in contracts.
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5.6
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5.7
Civil contractor
Equipment supplier(s)
Insurance
Land contracts
Engineer
It is often said that risk should be allocated to the party that is in the best position to accept, manage and mitigate
it. But whether this party could actually mitigate risk at a minimum or at least at a reasonable cost should also
be considered.
The following principles should be taken into account when allocating risks to a given party. Has this party:
The best capacity (expertise and authority) to manage the risk effectively and efficiently (and thus charge
the lowest risk premium)?
The capability and resources to cope with the risk if a risk event occurs?
Been given the chance to charge an appropriate premium for taking it?
There is no single risk allocation matrix for hydropower projects. Risk matrices vary depending on such factors
as the prevailing policy and regulatory environment, electricity market, and also the risk appetite of the relevant
stakeholders in the project.
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As Table 7 shows, risk allocation for small hydro development in Indonesia differs from common international
practices in some important ways. For example, for small hydro projects in Indonesia, the project company
assumes the following risks, which in other countries are sometimes allocated to other parties:
Transmission, since PLN is not obligated to compensate the project company for any sales foregone due
to any transmission or system outage
All of the financial risks, since the feed-in tariff does not accommodate price escalation or adjustment
except for shaping the tariff trajectory to yield the same levelized price.
TABLE 7
GOVERNMENT
INSURER
PLN/OFF-TAKER
IMPACTS
CONTRACTOR
POTENTIAL
EVENT
LENDERS
PROJECT OWNER
ALLOCATION
MITIGATION OPTION
DEVELOPMENT PHASE
1
Major parameters
of the design and
engineering are not
firmed up or not
consistent with other
project contracts,
particularly the PPA
and construction
contract
Contractual
disputes among
project owner,
contractor and
subsequently with
lender, off-taker if
the problem is not
addressed
No access to the
project site
Increased costs to
resolve
Inefficient
investment decision
due to incorrect
financial projection
Thorough reconnaissance
during planning stage.
Lenders need to visit
the site for physical
verification
Building access to the
site must be part of the
contracted work prior to
mobilization
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GOVERNMENT
INSURER
PLN/OFF-TAKER
CONTRACTOR
IMPACTS
LENDERS
POTENTIAL
EVENT
PROJECT OWNER
ALLOCATION
MITIGATION OPTION
Developer cannot
obtain land rights or
there are overlapping
land rights
Project delayed or
does not proceed
Developer cannot
gain water use rights
Developer cannot
gain forestry use
rights
Developer cannot
gain location or
business permits
from competent
government
authority
Local community
resistance to hydro
project
Project cannot
proceed, or
proceeds with a
reduced scope, or
is delayed.
Civil unrest
104
Developer cannot
gain environmental
approval from
competent
government
authority
Developer cannot
or does not provide
sufficient equity for
project development
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Conduct a thorough
environmental impact
assessment
GOVERNMENT
INSURER
PLN/OFF-TAKER
IMPACTS
CONTRACTOR
POTENTIAL
EVENT
LENDERS
PROJECT OWNER
ALLOCATION
MITIGATION OPTION
11
12
Developer unable
to reach financial
closure
Developer cannot
source competent
engineers for
FS or FS is not
complete.
Project cannot
proceed on time,
or is more costly or
underperforming
Developer cannot
source
competent
contractor or
other vendors
Project cannot
proceed, or faces
subsequent cost
and performance
problems
Collect information on
quality engineers
Collect information on
quality contractors
CONSTRUCTION PHASE
13
Project cost
escalation on
construction
activities
14
Project cost
escalation due
to increased costs
of insurance,
financing or
foreign exchange
rate
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GOVERNMENT
INSURER
PLN/OFF-TAKER
CONTRACTOR
IMPACTS
LENDERS
POTENTIAL
EVENT
PROJECT OWNER
ALLOCATION
MITIGATION OPTION
16
Project cost
escalation due
Construction
delays (excluding
force majeure
factor)
17
Construction
delay due to subsurface condition
or geotechnical
conditions
18
Flawed
construction,
installation: failure
of facilities to
meet
performance
specifications
at completion
tests
Facility cannot
achieve full power or
generate guaranteed
capacity output
19
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Project cannot
operate
Transmission and
interconnection is the
responsibility of the project
company. Conduct thorough
checks on transmission
facilities
GOVERNMENT
INSURER
PLN/OFF-TAKER
CONTRACTOR
IMPACTS
LENDERS
POTENTIAL
EVENT
PROJECT OWNER
ALLOCATION
MITIGATION OPTION
Project cannot
operate
21
Unsafe
environmental,
health and safety
(EHS) condition
Work accident
Developer cannot
or does not fund
project
22
Factor in sufficient
transmission and
interconnection costs in the
tariff. This risk should be
minimized by planning and
contracting for the line before
construction begins
OPERATIONS PHASE
23
Forced outage
of facilities,
temporary
capacity reduction
due to equipment
failure or lower
than expected
performance
Project ceases
to operate, or
operates at
reduced output
24
Operational failure
due to failure of
operating staff
Project ceases to
operate, or operates
at reduced output
25
Hydro resource
does not
materialize as
planned, or at
higher cost
Project ceases to
operate, or operates
at reduced output, or
at higher cost
Project needs
additional costs
for repair
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GOVERNMENT
INSURER
PLN/OFF-TAKER
CONTRACTOR
IMPACTS
LENDERS
POTENTIAL
EVENT
PROJECT OWNER
ALLOCATION
MITIGATION OPTION
27
Operating cost
escalation due
to exceeding the
original estimates
Project economics
become adverse
Off-taker fails to
absorb power
from the project
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28
Off-taker fails to
pay
29
Developer hands
over the project to
a third party
30
Unsafe
environmental,
health and safety
(EHS) conditions
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IMPACTS
LENDERS
POTENTIAL
EVENT
PROJECT OWNER
ALLOCATION
MITIGATION OPTION
EXTERNAL RISKS
31
Facilities face
natural force
majeure
Project suspends
operations or stops
operating
32
Political events,
expropriation,
national-ization
Project suspends
operations or
developer is
adversely affected
33
Change in law,
including taxation
34
Price escalation
due to inflation
35
No power demand
Plant operation
interrupts or halts
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BIOGAS
POWER
The treatment of organic waste through
anaerobic digestion systems enables organic
matter to break down into biogas, a source of
energy, while reducing the polluting potential
of the waste. Gases are produced by bacterial
decomposition, volatilization, and chemical
reactions that take place in the waste material.
6.1
OVERVIEW
Anaerobic digestion (AD) is the fermentation of biodegradable substrates (biomass, manure, sewage, municipal
waste, green waste, plant material, and crops) in the absence of oxygen. The specific characteristics of the
substrate, the temperature of the AD process, and the retention time of the substrate within the digester have a
major impact on the amount of biogas produced. The products of anaerobic digestion are biogas (which includes
different compounds) and digestate or sludge. The main value of biogas is its energy content and the value of the
sludge is given by its high nutrient content.
Biogas is a mixture of gases produced during the anaerobic digestion process of organic matter. Its key constituents
are methane (CH4), carbon dioxide (CO2), oxygen (O2), nitrogen (N2), hydrogen sulfide (H2S), water (H20)
and other organic compounds. Concentrations of each vary depending on the type of material being digested.
Figure 32 explains the different stages in organic breakdown leading to the production of biogas. Methane is a
potent greenhouse gas (i.e., heat trapping); it is 21 times more harmful to the ozone layer than carbon dioxide.
So, its capture and destruction is recommended to minimize this impact.
The biogas production process has four stages:
1.
Hydrolysis
Organic substrates containing different proportions of fats, proteins and carbohydrates are hydrolyzed
to short chain polymers and dimers (fatty acids, amino acids and sugars); this is usually the limiting
stage in AD systems.
2.
Acidification
Short chain polymers and dimers are converted into short-chain organic acids or volatile fatty acids
and alcohols by bacteria.
3.
4.
Methane formation
Archae methanogens produce methane.
The amount of biogas that can be generated in a given facility depends on several variables, each of which plays
a critical role in the process. One of the most important variables is the organic material necessary to produce
biogas, specifically organic volatile solids, also known as VS (volatile solids). Chemical oxygen demand (COD)
is another way to measure the concentration of organic matter in the substrate; both should be evaluated when
defining the energy potential for each project. Its content contributes greatly to the biogas volume potential in
a given anaerobic digester facility.
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FIGURE 33
Hydrogen sulfides and siloxanes are considered impurities as they are harmful to the overall biogas operation,
particularly the mechanical equipment. Frequently, the hydrogen sulfide concentrations found in raw biogas
are higher than the accepted limits for most types of equipment. Hydrogen sulfide removal is essential, as this
impurity may corrode the metal parts that come in contact with the biogas, such as internal combustion engines.
Unlike hydrogen sulfide, siloxanes are generally found in significant quantities only in digesters treating municipal
wastewaters or in landfills. The combustion of biogas with siloxanes generates particles very similar to sand
called silicone dioxide; these may cause significant damage in turbines and other motors. The higher siloxane
concentrations in these systems are caused by the presence of certain wastes found in the source material such
as soaps and detergents. This is a contaminant that is regularly present in landfills. Palm oil mill effluent (POME)
and other agricultural-based digesters are not expected to have a significant amount of siloxanes.
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Table 8 shows the typical concentration range of each of the constituents present in biogas. It is important to
note the large range in these figures. Many factors affect the resultant biogas concentrations, including the
organic loading rate, alkalinity, and temperature fluctuations. Even a small variation in the biogas constituent
concentrations can have significant implications for the design, operation and resultant economic analysis or
economic performance of the system. The potentially significant ramifications include impacts to the heating
value or Btu content of the raw biogas and the gas cleanup requirements for the biogas end use(s).
TABLE 8
BIOGAS COMPOSITION
TYPE
LHV (KJ/KG)
MCW(%)
Methane
CH4
50-75
Carbon dioxide
CO2
25-45
Water vapor
H2O
2-7
Oxygen
O2
<2
Nitrogen
N2
<2
Hydrogen sulfide
H2S
<2
Ammonia
NH3
<1
Hydrogen
H2
<1
Using organic waste streams from different sectors in anaerobic digestion systems has several advantages, as
shown in Table 9.
TABLE 9
Energy Perspective
Social Perspective
Environmental
Perspective
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6.2
Agricultural Sector
The agricultural sector includes waste from livestock production facilities such as swine, cattle or
dairy farms, and waste streams for agro industrial operations such as palm oil mills, tapioca starch
processing plants, milk processing facilities, distilleries, slaughterhouses and other food processing
facilities.
Wastewater Sector
This sector includes either municipal wastewaters that can be directly treated in AD systems, or sludge
coming from activated sludge plants to be digested separately from the process.
Even when anaerobic digestion processes successfully reduce the organic load of the substrate used, on most
occasions additional treatment is required to comply with local environmental regulations. Such is the case of
waste water treatment plants that may require complementary sedimentation, clarification or aeration processes
in addition to anaerobic digestion systems.
As shown in Table 10, and taking into account the limited number of biogas projects in operation today, there is
significant potential for methane emission reductions in the palm oil industry in Indonesia. The same can be said
for municipal solid waste (MSW), opportunities are now being explored for using the available energy resources
originating from this sector, at the same time that attempts are being made to increase the quality of waste
treatment, especially in larger cities.
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TABLE 10
PARAMETER
PALM OIL
P (ton/year)
22,500,000
2011 estimation
% in lagoons
80%
COD (kg/m3)
50
(Hayasi, 2007)
W (m3/ton)
2.4
0.25
MCF
0.8
432,000
CO2e (ton/year)
9,072,000
644,776,119
CO2e (ton/year)
1,293,086
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10,365,086
6.3
Feedstock
2.
Off-take agreements
3.
Each of these pillars will be essential for the viability of the project, even before the financials are deeply analyzed.
The project will not succeed if any of these three pillars fail. The technology selection process will take into
account all variables and current conditions of the system that will impact all three pillars.
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6.3.1 // FEEDSTOCK
The feedstock will be the fuel of the biogas plant, so it is crucial to understand its availability and characteristics
to correctly size the entire system and define the output expectations. The most important variables that are
required for a good characterization are:
Quantity
Determination or accurate estimate of the quantity of feedstock available throughout the year; in
this stage seasonality is an important factor to consider. This determination should be made based
on reliable historical information and current operation and assumptions that are in line with future
production plans.
Quality
The characteristics of the feedstock need to be determined as extensively as possible. This will
be crucial for accurately applying the most appropriate design for the proposed system. Different
biological and physic-chemical characteristics and conditions will result in different biogas production
levels. In addition, feedstock quality will have a direct impact on the type of technology and equipment
to be selected.
Table 11 shows examples of some key characterization parameters for POME that are relevant to the development
of a waste to biogas project. The POME characterization parameters vary widely from mill to mill. Concentrations
of COD and VS will have the highest impact on the anaerobic digester design and economic performance of the
project. Palm oil mills seeking to develop biogas projects should establish a characterization program to provide
data on the characteristics of the POME on a monthly basis, and to establish an accurate rate of POME production
from fresh fruit bunches specific for the mill. This is very important due to the production seasonality of this
sector and this type of feedstock.
TABLE 11
LIQUID WASTE
118
NO
PARAMETERS
UNIT
BOD
STANDARD
RANGE
AVERAGE
MINISTRY OF
ENVIRONMENT
mg/l
8200 40000
21280
50
COD
mg/l
15103 - 80000
34740
100
TSS
mg/l
1330 - 50700
31170
150
Ammonia (NH3-N)
mg/l
12 - 126
41
20
mg/l
190 - 14720
3075
15
pH
3.3 4.6
6-9
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Figure 35 shows, also as an example, the composition of municipal solid waste in the United States. The organic
material that would be decomposed represents 28%, in this case, sourced by food scraps and yard trimmings.
In some other locations, this portion can be significantly higher, especially in warmer climates where the
conservation of food items is more challenging. Several of these materials can also be recycled (paper, metals,
glass) being one more source of revenues depending on the local market value for these products.
FIGURE 35
OTHER
GLASS
4%
5%
PAPER PRODUCTS
METAL
28%
9%
RUBBER,
LEATHER,
TEXTILE
8%
WOOD
6%
PLASTIC
12%
FOOD SCRAPS
14%
YARD TRIMMINGS
14%
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FIGURE 36
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Electricity
Produced by internal combustion engines or turbines whose shafts are connected to electric
generators, commonly known as co-generation or combined heat and power (CHP) units, or fuel cells,
where electricity is produced from a chemical reaction between methane and oxygen.
Captive system (feedstock producer = biogas consumer) - this end product can be directly used
within the same facility that is generating the feedstock, creating a captive system and reducing
the electrical energy being supplied for other entities, normally the public utility company. In this
case the revenues are generated in the form of avoided costs.
PPA - alternatively, electricity can be sold directly to the grid or third parties through power
purchase agreements that are, in most cases, enforced by regulations and laws. Most PPAs define
their electricity prices as a function of the market price of electricity or spot prices. In the case of
Indonesia, the PPAs are negotiated with PLN and the electricity price is set by the approved feedIn-tariff for the specific renewable energy source and region.
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Gas-grid injection biogas can be upgraded (impurities removed) to achieve natural gas quality
requirements, which opens the possibility to inject the RNG into the local gas utility pipeline. Once
injected into the pipeline, RNG may easily reach a variety of markets, including the direct use of
gas in homes and businesses, the transportation sector or for electricity generation. In these
cases the gas can be sold directly to the grid through a PPA.
Byproducts
Several byproducts that have a market value can be generated through biogas plants and may also contribute
to the revenue stream. This will depend greatly on type of facility in question, local demand and the technology
selected:
Recycled materials sorting or separating systems are being installed in some regions in order to reduce
the amount of waste being directed to the landfill and increase its operational life at the same time that
value-sorted materials (e.g., plastics, paper, glass, metals) can be recovered.
Carbon dioxide (CO2) CO2 can be recovered through the use of gas separation technologies. The CO2
can be used for carbonated storage (bottled) or used in the production of CO2 for greenhouses.
Compost depending on the process, the separation of high-fiber solids can be composted to produce
compost, an organic fertilizer rich in organic matter and nutrients.
Nutrient-rich sludge once the substrate has been digested, the remainder is called sludge; it has a high
content of nutrients that can be used to displace other expensive sources of chemical fertilizer in the
agricultural sector.
Tipping Fees
Many feedstocks used in anaerobic digester systems are considered waste by others entities/industries. In fact,
the disposal of these wastes represents a cost in many locations/situations. Similar to landfills where this fee
is the main revenue source, biogas plant owners who use anaerobic digestion processes can take advantage of
these local market conditions and charge tipping fees to receive someone elses organic waste and treat it in
the digester.
Many of these wastes are in liquid form, which is not ideal for biogas generation in a landfill. However, this should
be carefully analyzed and should not be considered as a long-term revenue source unless it is clearly identified
as such through sustainable agreements that involve solid and sustainable businesses.
This final major pillar for a viable biogas project addresses operational logistics and access to infrastructure
necessary for the execution of the project.
When evaluating project site locations, several factors should be considered. The following are the most common
siting considerations for biogas projects:
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Location
It is is extremely important to minimize the transportation cost of the feedstock. Normally, for POME
projects, the feedstock is located within the mill property, which is ideal because feedstock can be
moved through piping and pumping systems, with no need for vehicles that would affect a projects
financial bottom line. Flat properties are also desired to minimize costs related to earth moving works
during the construction of the digester.
In landfill projects, the waste is already being hauled to the site. Thus, this factor may play a less
critical role as few, if any, options are available for MSW disposal.
Interconnection
Easy and close access to potential interconnections (the electrical grid and natural gas pipelines)
can make the difference between a viable and non-viable project, especially in non-captive systems.
Distance and capacity (capability to connect and absorb the electricity/gas volume) of the accessible
energy infrastructure are the most important points when analyzing this factor.
Potential conflicts
When projects are being built, different types of conflicts may arise, like those raised by local
communities. The developer should be aware of potential conflicts and should try to minimize eventual
barriers that can delay the activities related to project development, especially construction.
In most cases landfills are located far from residential areas, which usually minimizes opposition from local
residents. A different problem that can arise in landfill projects is how to handle the trash pickers, people
who make their living by recovering selected material that can be valuable in different locations/markets (e.g.,
metal recyclables). In many cities, the number of people involved in these activities can be quite significant, thus
requiring a proper plan.
Permits should also be planned accordingly and with enough time to avoid any schedule disruption.
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6.4
AGRICULTURAL
BIOGAS PROJECTS
One of the most critical evaluations when analyzing anaerobic digestion for an agricultural project occurs
during the technology selection process. The choice of technology will play a decisive role in optimizing biogas
production and project size vs. capital and operation and maintenance (O&M) expenses.
Some of the factors that should be considered during the technology selection process are:
Feedstock characteristics
As mentioned earlier, the technology selection process will be based on the conditions and analyses of the
feedstock, off-take, and siting/interconnection requirements, among other factors. The most important
technology decisions including choosing the anaerobic digestion technology that will more accurately quantify
end products (biogas and/or other byproducts), and defining the design, cost and process of the system that will
produce the biogas.
Other technologies and equipment that will need to be analyzed and evaluated are:
Biogas treatment equipment to remove impurities and moisture in order to increase the efficiency of the
overall system.
Biogas usage equipment to produce the desired type of energy (e.g., genset/combined heat and power
(CHP), boilers, compressors stations).
Feedstock pre-processing equipment (e.g., cooling towers, solids separators, oil removal).
Feedstock post-processing equipment (e.g., solids separators, composting vessels, storage structures).
The medium- and large-scale anaerobic digestion technologies available and appropriate for POME digestion
the focus of this section are summarized in the following sections.
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FIGURE 37
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FIGURE 38
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FIGURE 39
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FIGURE 40
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There are other technologies available on the market but those are not applicable to POME projects.
TABLE 12
TECHNOLOGY COMPARISON
TECHNOLOGY
Covered Anaerobic
Lagoon
ADVANTAGES
DISADVANTAGES
Simple technology
Complete-mix
Digester
Compact
2.
Biogas storage is normally considered when the biogas usage or consumption is not continuous. This means that
there will be some periods when the demand will be higher or lower than the production rate; this production
rate is normally very constant throughout the day and may only vary with the seasonal supply of feedstock in the
digester.
There are different shapes and colors for these storage structures (e.g. sphere, half sphere, tent shaped) but the
main purpose is shared by all and its differences are more related to suppliers or the specific characteristics of
the site. In some cases, expected weather conditions (e.g., wind, heavy rains, temperature) play an important
role in defining these structures.
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FIGURE 41
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TABLE 13
TECHNOLOGY
LIFE
CAPACITY
RATED NET
CYCLE
FACTOR
OUTPUT
DESIGN +
EQUIP. &
(YEARS)
(%)
(KW)
ENGIN.
MATERIALS
CIVIL
INSTALL.
COSTING.
TOTAL
Biogas
500 kW
20
85
425
300-360
1950-2200
350-400
550-700
300-330
3550-3990
Biogas
1 MW
20
85
8v50
200-250
1750-1950
200-250
450-550
250-300
2850-3330
Biogas
2 MW
20
85
1700
130-150
1600-1750
150-175
230-300
170-200
2300-2572
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6.5
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These facilities are called dry anaerobic digesters (DADs) or high-solids anaerobic digesters (HSADs). In addition
to being able to generate biogas that can be transformed into electricity and/or heat, they can add a composting
treatment phase to the waste that is left after the digestion process ends.
There are several ways to handle and treat MSW. Among these, two technologies stand out as the most popular
for waste treatment and biogas generation: landfill gas recovery and dry anaerobic digestion. Parts of the design
can vary based on the technology supplier/designer, but they still share a common approach.
FIGURE 42
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FIGURE 43
LFG production can last up to 20 to 30 years after waste was disposed, but its production rate starts to decrease
almost immediately after disposal ceases. On average, in humid regions, one million tons of MSW produce roughly
12,000 cubic meters per day (m3/day) of LFG.
Leachate is the liquid that a landfill normally generates. Leachate has a high water content that can be compared
to the digestate described in Section 5.4. It normally percolates through the waste and is collected at the bottom
of the landfill cell, where it is moved (often pumped) to a specific treatment plant.
Landfills that produce power from LFG provide environmental and economic benefits to the local community,
energy users and the landfill itself as energy becomes a source of revenue. Landfill owners, energy service
providers, businesses, state agencies, local governments, communities and other stakeholders can work together
to develop successful LFG energy projects that:
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Offset the use of non-renewable resources, such as coal, oil and natural gas
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FIGURE 45
LFG can be used to produce the same types of end products described in Section 5.3, including electricity, heat
(thermal energy) and renewable natural gas (RNG), which has the same composition as natural gas. In some
cases, the evaporators use LFG to reduce the amount of leachate, especially in locations where wastewater
treatment is not available or is too expensive.
In many landfills LFG is simply flared. Although no energy is produced, the methane is destroyed. Flaring can
occur when there is no opportunity to use the LFG or simply because conditions do not provide positive financial
benefits. However, more and more landfills are using this resource as they recognize the value of LFG.
Most of the LFG-to-energy projects generate electricity using internal combustion engines or CHP (combined
heat and power); their sizes vary based on landfill size, which is generally between 1 and 12 MW.
It is important to note that the same types of treatment described in Section 5.3 apply to LFG and its use.
Some landfills and/or waste management authorities have been implementing technologies that can generate
compressed natural gas (CNG), which the waste hauling trucks can use as fuel. This brings significant savings for
the fleet operations, especially in locations where diesel and gasoline have high costs. CNG can be made available
by properly treating the LFG (biogas) generated by the landfill or by simply compressing the natural gas provided
by the local gas utility company.
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FIGURE 46
FIGURE 47
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Particle size
Composition
Age
Presence of oxygen
Moisture content
pH.
Several international entities employ models that anyone interested in developing a project can use. The modeling
outputs will include total LFG generation and LFG composition, and are particularly important to:
Properly defining and size the equipment to be installed for recovering and treating the gas (LFG)
Properly defining the number of wells and their location to maximize LFG capture
Modeling plays a very important role in these projects as generation rates can never be measured. Instead, they
depend on the collection system efficiency, which reflects the systems capacity to extract the gas produced from
the landfills interior. There are hundreds of projects already in operation that new developers can learn from. But
any developer should be aware that these models have limitations and there is always a level of uncertainty with
regards to the collection efficiencies achieved at landfills.
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Easy access to waste with high organic content waste derived from food markets, food processing
facilities, and entertainment centers that have source separation systems in place
High landfill or waste-to-energy facility tipping fees that enable developers to look for other business
opportunities
Local or national regulations to reduce landfill disposal and define recycling target rates.
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FIGURE 48
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FIGURE 49
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TABLE 14
142
ELECTRICITY
LIFE
RATED NET
POTENTIAL OF
CYCLE
OUTPUT
LANDFILL
(YEARS)
(KW)
CAPITAL
ADMINISTRATIVE
COST
COST
OPERATIONAL
COST
GAS EQUIPMENT
(/KWH GENERATED)
LFG
1 MW
20
850
3-3.5
million
30,000-50,000
60,000-80,000
1.8 cents/kWh
LFG
3 MW
20
2,700
5-6
million
40,000-70,000
100,000-130,000
1.8 cents/kWh
LFG
20 MW
20
9,500
13-16
million
60,000-100,000
350,000-400,000
1.6 cents/kWh
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6.6
BIOGAS TREATMENT
TECHNOLOGIES
In almost all cases, the biogas generated from the digestion of organic material requires proper treatment before
use. The treatment method depends on 1) the raw biogas composition, which normally varies with the type of
organic substrates being handled, and 2) the end use for the biogas. This section discusses technologies that are
applicable for agricultural and municipal solid waste biogas projects.
It is important to note that there are multiple alternatives to achieve biogas treatment, including some systems
that are patented by vendors. Each facility has site-specific parameters and conditions for biogas treatment;
therefore, these requirements need to be evaluated on a project-by-project basis.
Usually three treatment technologies are considered in biogas projects:
1.
Moisture removal
Moisture must be removed from the biogas to reduce the formation of sulfuric acid, which will
corrode the engines and other mechanical parts. Removal can be achieved using chillers or drying
compressors. It can be said that every single biogas project requires this type of treatment unless the
gas is not being used for energy generation.
2.
Purification technologies
These technologies include systems to treat and reduce the content of undesired compounds and/or
impurities (e.g., H2S, siloxanes); these compounds are capable of damaging mechanical equipment
and/or significantly lowering the efficiency of the energy generation processes. Siloxanes are found
in facilities that handle MSW, as they are generated from products derived from soap and detergents.
This type of treatment can be expensive and is a part of the system that should be looked at very
carefully when biogas is used to generate energy.
3.
Upgrading technologies
These technologies focus on removing non-methane gases (mainly CO2) to obtain a cleaner and
more concentrated energy source (higher CH4 concentrations). While carbon dioxide has a smaller
effect on mechanical equipment than impurities, it decreases the Btu content of the biogas, thus
reducing generation efficiencies. These technologies are mainly used when the final biogas is
injected in the local utility pipeline or it is used as a vehicle fuel. In these cases, the biogas achieves
the specifications that make it almost indistinguishable from natural gas; at this point the biogas is
commonly called renewable natural gas (RNG).
Figure 50 provides a graphic overview of the options available for using the biogas to be generated by the
anaerobic digestion system/landfill. Figure 51 includes shows photos of equipment covered under some of these
options (H2S and water removal and a genset (combined heat and power) engine.
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FIGURE 50
FIGURE 51
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6.7
Development risks
Negotiating with feedstock suppliers (palm oil mills or POMs, or waste authorities) for fuel supply and
with PLN and other Indonesian agencies for permits and approvals.
Regulatory risks
In the form of licensees and permits, which can affect costs, timing, service levels, and competitive
advantage.
Economic risks
Depending on the projects location, costs for fuel and other factors may rise faster than planned.
Sustainable risks
The likelihood that a mill or landfill will continue to operate for a minimum period of time in order to
generate a return on investment. Normally MSW provides a lower risk, as it is not expected that a
certain area or region will stop generating waste. However, a potential decrease of the volume available
should be analyzed.
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Costs
AD systems and landfills with proper gas collection systems require significant capital costs, and
depending on the technology, significant O&M costs. If the economic and financial analysis is not
detailed enough and the revenue stream from the use of biogas is not secured, the selected system
may not be financially viable in practice.
Waste management
In centralized POME projects projects handling feedstock sourced by different locations
geographically apart there will be risks associated with the transport of either the POME (if a central
AD) or the biogas (if a central power station).
Some of these risks can be mitigated through a detailed upfront development work that will ensure:
The AD design is sound and tailored to the specific POM. In many cases, designs are copied from one
facility to another without careful consideration of process variables such as VS or COD concentrations
and other components present in the feedstock (e.g., POME). Using the same design without assuring
that a particular technology is the most appropriate and with no necessary adaptations may increase
the risk of project failure.
The same occurs for landfill projects; each case should be carefully analyzed to make sure the right
assumptions were made and that the organic content of the MSW is in line with what is expected to be
landfilled/disposed. For the POME, this will be essential to achieve the desired system performance.
Proper O&M procedures are well understood by the project owner. Lack of O&M is one of the major
reasons for projects under-performing.
Rigorous economic and financial analysis with the correct level of contingency at the feasibility stage and
securing a long-term revenue stream are essential in ensuring the proper operation and performance of
the project over its full life.
Table 15 provides a summary of the several risk types with potential mitigation measures that can effectively
reduce each of those risks.
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TABLE 15
TECHNOLOGY
ADVANTAGES
DISADVANTAGES
Feedstock Supply
Technology
Project Developer
Experience, equity
Location
Legal
Construction
Delay
Cost Overrun
Operation and
Maintenance
Off taker
Payment default
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6.8
Biogas projects are mainly developed with one or more of the following objectives:
Adding social and environmental value to the local community by treating waste
Although the last two points are seen as a plus, it is imperative in most cases to develop a project that is financially
viable and has an above-average financial performance so that it can attract investors.
Therefore, it is of extreme importance to collect reliable cost estimates from the beginning from experienced
suppliers/vendors, and be fully aware of the impact that the equipment and technology selections will have on
O&M expenses. This can only be achieved by experienced teams that have been involved in biogas projects before.
The three pillars discussed in this section are not only crucial for a projects technical feasibility but are also the
basis for a viable financial project. The feedstock supply (Pillar 1) will not only guarantee the fuel for the project
but can also be a source of potential revenues or costs, depending on the type of feedstock and the market
demand. In projects that handle POME as their feedstock, the supply is normally provided by the mill at no cost.
In the majority of POME projects, the sale and/or use of products to be generated through the biogas plant
process (Pillar 2) plays the most important role in the projects overall financial feasibility. These products can be
used to sell directly to interested third party entities or simply to replace or offset expensive internal consumption;
in the latter case the financial benefit of the project will be reflected as avoided costs by the owner of the plant.
For agricultural projects, energy is most often the most important driver to generate these revenues (being in the
form of heat, electricity or gas). POME plants require a large amount of energy to operate; in some cases they
are located far from the electrical grid and can potentially offset the use of other fuel sources, such as diesel.
Alternatively, project owners can sell the electricity to the PLN grid through the use of pre-defined feed-in tariffs
and PPAs that can guarantee revenues for up to 20 years.
For projects that involve municipal solid waste as feedstock, the tipping fee is the largest source of revenue. In
some cases energy and fertilizer can play significant roles as well.
Siting and interconnection (Pillar 3) is less related to the revenue portion of the project and more to the costs. It
greatly influences the capital and operational costs that are fundamental to bringing positive financial results to
the project.
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Another factor that can be affected by these variables is the reliability and availability (hours of operation) of the
plant. A good location with easy access and high-quality interconnection will more likely maximize the revenue
generated through the sale of power or any other byproduct.
Each project has its owns characteristics, nuances and logistics, so the importance of each of the factors
mentioned as well as others that may exist should be carefully evaluated to properly assess the risk.
Below is a summary of the process main steps, respective timeframe, and key players:
Main Steps
Initial assessment and pre-feasibility study
Detailed feasibility study and engineering design
Construction and installation
Start-up and troubleshooting
Operations and Maintenance (O&M)
Timeframe
Installation varies significantly, but in most cases, the project will be in operation in less than one year
from the time the engineering tasks begin. A covered lagoon project, the most frequently adopted
technology solution for POME projects, usually takes between six and nine months. A landfill project
can be ready to receive MSW in a few months as can be expanded while the landfill is operating.
Players
Technology provider (if this entity is different from the project developer)
Financing local banks, grants, government funds and subsidies
EPC engineering firm
O&M project owner.
The financial parameters normally used to assess a biogas project are the same as those used in most energy
plants:
Input
Sources of income
Projected income based on product market value
Project lifespan
Capital costs
O&M costs
Output
Return on investment
Internal rate of return
Net present value
Payback period
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Operation and maintenance costs (fixed and variable) are mainly influenced by:
Feedstocks with higher energy contents can also provide higher revenue for a lower feedstock quantity. This,
consequently, will require a smaller facility footprint. However, many of these feedstocks also require additional
equipment to be properly prepared for anaerobic digester (in case of POME), which is another reason for
conducting comprehensive studies and analyses on the technology and system selected.
To summarize, the capital investment mainly depends upon the power plant capacity, technology used, equipment
vendors (some are more expensive than others), cost of contractors (driven by region and local cost of labor),
and the conditions at the site. Site development and civil costs are subject to the location of the project (costs
are generally higher in remote areas). It is strongly recommended that the project be set at 10% or more of the
total project cost.
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BIOMASS
POWER
Biomass power is the use of plant or animal
materials to produce electricity, heat, steam,
and/or cooling. Biomass power is the second
largest source of renewable electricity in the
world (after hydroelectricity), and accounts for
more power generation than wind and solar
combined. Globally, most biomass power is
generated from solid biomass (e.g., wood) with
smaller amounts from biogas, biofuels, and
municipal waste.
7.1
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7.2
FUEL ASSESSMENT
A fuel assessment should be conducted to ensure that there is an adequate fuel supply for the project and that
the fuel pricing and other terms will be acceptable. The fuel type and its combustion characteristics are also
important. Table 16 shows typical biomass fuel characteristics for several types of biomass.
TABLE 16
TYPE
LHV (KJ/KG)
MCW(%)
ACD (%)
7,700-8,000
40-60
1.7-3.8
13,000-16,000
7-9
7-14
Coconut shells
18,000
Coffee husks
16,000
10
0.6
Stalks
16,000
10-20
0.1
Gin trash
14,000
12
13,000-15,000
10-20
5,000
63
Fibers
11,000
40
Shells
15,000
15
Debris
15,000
15
9,000-15,000
13-15
1-20
Rice husks
14,000
19
Straw
12,000
10
4.4
Wood
8,400-17,000
10-60
0.25-1.7
Charcoal
25,000-32,000
1-10
0.5-6
Bagasse
Cocoa husks
Cotton residues
Maize
Cobs
Stalks
Palm oil residues
Fruit stems
Peat
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When burning biomass in a boiler, the chlorine and sulfur in the fuel end up in the combustion gas and erode the
boiler walls and other equipment. This can lead to the failure of boiler tubes and other equipment, and the plant
must be shut down to repair the boiler. The project sponsor needs to ensure that the fuel will not corrode the
boiler and that the boilers design and operation are appropriate for the biomass fuel.
Biomass with high levels of potassium and sodium will have low ash fusion temperatures. When burning fuels
with high levels of potassium and sodium, the ash produced may melt in the furnace, eroding boiler efficiency. Fly
ash may stick to boiler tubes, which will also lower the boilers efficiency and may lead to boiler tube failure. With
furnace temperatures above 1000C, empty fruit bunches, cane trash, and palm shells create more melting ashes
than other biomass fuels. The project sponsor must ensure that boiler operating conditions avoid exceeding ash
fusion temperatures.
Figure 52 shows the sulfur, chlorine, and potassium/sodium contents of several boiler fuels. Figure 53 shows the
ash fusion temperatures of several fuels.
FIGURE 52
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FIGURE 53
Critical Level
15
When the boiler design is improper for a fuel with a low ash fusion temperature or the boiler operates improperly
with any biomass fuel, clinker will form in the boiler or gasifier. With a stoker type of boiler, clinkers will build
up on the grate, causing the plant to shut down for maintenance. Figures 54 and 55 show a clean stoker grate
and a fouled grate.
Two major components of biomass fuel costs are transportation and storage. In fact, the economics of a biomass
power project are directly related to the distance required to transport biomass from the source to the power
plant. The most feasible projects are those that are located at the source of the biomass fuel or integrated into a
mill or other processing facility.
When the project site is at a distance from the biomass source, the project sponsor may consider using a fuel
pre-treatment technology to optimize transportation costs. Transporting biomass fuel with relatively low density
or high moisture content will be very inefficient. Pre-treatment at the source of the biomass (a palm-oil mill or
rice mill, for example) may reduce transportation costs: shredding, pressing, drying, and pelletizing are examples
of common biomass fuel pretreatment.
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FIGURE 54
FIGURE 55
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Bales and pellets make transportation more efficient from palm oil mills and rice millers to the boiler at the power
plant site. Pellets are resistant to shocks, take up a small area, and can be easily combusted in an automated
process, making their use even more efficient. Pellets are made in an extruding die press. The feedstock is usually
pure wood biomass, but empty fruit bunches or rice husks are also possible. Sometimes a small amount natural
binder can be added to facilitate the process. Pelletizing does not solve the problems created by fuels with low
ash fusion temperatures.
Figures 56 and 57 show examples of baling and pelletizing operations.
FIGURE 56
BAILING MACHINE
FIGURE 57
BIOMASS PELLETS
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7.3
TECHNOLOGY AND
SITE SELECTION
The selection of the technology and site for a biomass power project is an important decision. The technology
must be commercially proven, appropriate for the biomass fuel, and also appropriate for the MW capacity of the
proposed project. The project site must have adequate space for the power plant and for storing up to several
months of fuel use in some cases. The site must also have access to water for cooling, and the electricity grid or
electricity end user.
Investors and lenders will want to ensure that the project is using commercially-proven technology. The
technology must be commercial for the fuel to be utilized. A technology that works well with one fuel (such as
palm kernel shells) may not work with another fuel (such as empty fruit bunches). The ash fusion temperature is
a key biomass fuel characteristic that can influence the choice of technology and technology vendor.
There exist an enormous variety of biomass power technology choices. Some are well established and bankable,
like the direct combustion of palm-oil waste. The two most common technologies for biomass power are direct
combustion and gasification.
Direct combustion of biomass is a mature and commercially available technology. It produces heat, which then
produces steam in a boiler and finally drives a turbine-generator. There are several variations of direct combustion
of biomass:
Stoker boilers
This type of boiler is normally used for 5 to 50 MW biomass power projects. It is relatively simple and
accepts more flexible fuel input.
Direct combustion using a stoker boiler is a mature technology with world-wide application. Lenders may thus
focus on the equipment supplier to determine the bankability of the technology. Reliable biomass steam boilers
can be sourced from: Yoshimine and Takuma (Japan), Vyncke (Belgium), Areva (France), Eckrohrkessel (Germany),
and Andalas and Atmindo (Indonesia). The use of locally manufactured boilers (made in Indonesia under license
from Japan/China) may lower the cost while maintaining equipment specifications and factory standards.
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Project sponsors must ensure that the boiler design is suitable for the fuel to be utilized. They should also conduct
an extensive analysis of the biomass fuels composition and energy content, including chemical analyses for
boiler corrosion and fouling, low ash fusion temperature, and clinker formation risk, and adjust the equipment/
plant design and operating conditions accordingly. Reliable small steam turbine suppliers can be sourced from:
Shin Nippon (Japan), ShinKo (Japan) KKK (Germany), Dresser Rand and Elliott Turbo (USA), and Jineng and
Hangzhou (China).
TO FACTORY
FIGURE 58
PALM WASTE
GAS
ASH
ELECTRIC POWER
STEAM
WATER
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Biomass gasification is a relatively new commercial technology. Gasification is the heating of biomass (or other
solid fuels) to high temperatures (>700C) with a controlled amount of oxygen or steam. Gasification produces a
combustible gas consisting primarily of hydrogen, carbon monoxide, and carbon dioxide (syngas).The syngas
can be burned in an engine/generator to produce electricity or in a boiler to produce steam that drives a turbine/
generator. Small-scale gasifiers (< 1 MW) are widely used throughout Asia.
There are several variations of biomass gasification technology:
Up-draft gasifier
The air is injected from the bottom into the reactor to produce combustible gas.
Down-draft gasifier
The air is injected from the top into the reactor to produce combustible gas. More small-scale
installations use this system.
The down-draft gasifier is the most popular for small-scale biomass power plants. This type of gasifier works well
for projects from 100 kW to about 1 MW. The gasifier requires relatively dry fuel (<20% moisture), and fuels with
low ash fusion temperatures should be avoided. Fuel must be prepared to a consistent size. Woody biomass is
typically chipped and fine biomass or agricultural residues are sometimes converted to pellets for fuel.
FIGURE 59
DOWN-DRAFT GASIFIER
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FIGURE 60
An example of a biomass gasification system for the generation of heat and electricity with an engine genset is
shown in Figure 60.
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A gas stream treatment facility may be required to cool and clean tars
Installation is complex and requires substantial investment for low generation capacity
A gasifier is too often thought of as simple device that can generate a combustible gas from any biomass
fuel, but many experts in the field recommend that the gasifier be specifically designed for the type of
fuel to be used.
Gasification equipment components are easier to disassemble and mobilize, hence it might be practical
to use gasification in places where fuel sources may not be sustainable over time
Gasification may provide self-reliance at sites where fuel is not easy to obtain.
A comparison between direct combustion and gasification technology for electricity generation is provided in
Table 17.
TABLE 17
DIRECT COMBUSTION
GASIFICATION
High
Moderate
Technology status
Mature
Early commercial
Typical size
>5 MW
<1 MW
High
Poor to reasonable
Moderate
High
Relatively easy
Difficult
Fuel flexibility
Reliability
Complexity
Operational aspects
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Site selection is critical for a biomass power project, especially related to securing a reliable long-term feedstock/
fuel supply. The project lender will ensure that the project site meets these minimum criteria:
Close to the biomass feedstock supply to reduce transportation costs and logistical risks
Close to the electricity load (PLNs grid) and thus reduce transmission losses and the cost to connect
to the grid
Close or has easy access to raw material (for construction) to reduce transportation cost and logistil
risks
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7.4
INVESTMENT
Biomass power generation projects are established to create economic value, therefore capital investment,
operation and maintenance, and fuel source are critical for success. Some of the main aspects of capital
investment, operation & maintenance, and fuel source are:
Capital investment
technology selected
transmission costs: how far from the distribution grid
Fuel source
biomass fuel energy content
characteristics of the biomass fuel
The capital investment depends upon the power plant capacity, technology to be utilized, the technology and
equipment providers (some are more expensive than others), cost of contractors, and the conditions at the site.
Site development and civil costs will depend on the location of the project (costs in remote areas are usually
greater). Project contingency is usually in the range of 5% to 10% of the total project cost.
Table 18 shows the range of investment cost by type of technology.
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TABLE 18
CYCLE
FACTOR
(YEARS)
(%)
ENGINEERING
MATERIALS
EQUIP. &
CIVIL
ERECTION
CONTINGENCY
RATED
LIFE
TOTAL
Biomass
Gasifier
100 kW
20
80
100
70
2,490
120
70
130
2,800
Biomass Boiler
20 MW
20
80
20,000
40
1,740
100
50
100
2,030
Biomass Boiler
50 MW
20
80
50,000
90
1,290
170
70
80
1,700
TECHNOLOGY
NET
OUTPUT
(KW)
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7.5
Development risks negotiating with owners of biomass for fuel supply and with PLN and other Indonesian
agencies for permits and approvals
Regulatory risks in the form of licenses and permits, which can affect costs, timing, service levels, and
competitive advantage
Economic risks depending on the projects location, costs for fuel and other factors may rise faster than
planned.
168
The feedstock must be secured, either through ownership or contract, for the period of the business plan
or loan term. Typically, this could be 10 years. Multiple sources of biomass in different regions reduce
exposure to any one supplier.
Biomass suppliers must have the financial means to honor their obligations should they fail to deliver
biomass per the biomass supply agreement. Further, the financial instrument should be segregated from
their day-to-day business, perhaps as a bank guarantee or cash in escrow, and/or insurance, to ensure
buyer compensation is automatically triggered and subsequently covered when a contractual failure
occurs.
The biomass quality is properly managed through production to delivery to the biomass plant.
Biomass power plants require a constant supply of biomass so shipping should be arranged on a longterm basis to reduce the effect of spikes in shipping and fuel costs.
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The power plant should have biomass storage to see it through any short-term disruption the amount
of storage will differ from plant to plant, but typically a 10% to 15% reserve is sufficient. A safe and
viable storage area for this amount of biomass should be part of the plan.
Agreed-upon escalators in the contract will protect both the buyer and biomass supplier from sudden
price movements. Considerations could include road fuel, bunker fuel, inflation and electricity prices. If
a reliable commodity or raw material index exists, this could also be considered.
The timely availability of facilities needed to connect the project to the grid remains the responsibility
of PLN.
TABLE 19
IDENTIFIED ISSUES
MITIGATION
Fuel Supply
Technology
Project Developer
Experience, equity
Location
Legal
Construction
Delay
Cost Overrum
Operation &
Maintenance
Off Taker
Payment default
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SOLAR PV
ELECTRICITY
The last ten years have seen an unprecedented
amount of solar project deployment around the
world and a steep rise in the acceptance of solar
energy as a source of residential, commercial,
and grid-tied electricity. More companies than
ever provide solar related services, from panels
and electrical equipment, to racking systems,
carport structures, monitoring, construction
and maintenance. Insurance companies are
more familiar with system performance and
offer products underwriting various risks. This
investment has led to many changes in the
marketplace, all to the benefit of investors and
users of solar PV systems.
8.1
OVERVIEW
The benefits of photovoltaic (PV) systems include:
1.
The entry of many large and small businesses providing quality products ranging from PV panels to
inverters, electrical balance of systems, monitoring and EPC services.
2.
3.
The development of more rigorous international codes, standards, and testing protocols.
4.
5.
A well-developed level of technical understanding about system design and implementation among
service providers.
6.
The growth of reliable modeling systems and an increase in the number of solar data collection
sources.
7.
Solar PV systems enjoy the advantage of being deployable in a wide variety of locations and along a broad
spectrum of system sizes. This is not the case for most other forms of energy which require a minimum investment,
such as for permitting, fuel infrastructure (e.g. pipelines) and civil work, before a project can be considered. Wind
projects require extensive wind studies. Geothermal projects require resource studies and well drilling which can
be very costly. The exception, diesel generation, is widely deployable, but presents the challenge of dependency
on the fully-burdened cost of diesel fuel and O&M to the project as well as the effects of pollution and noise.
The development of Solar PV projects in Indonesia can be an attractive and sound business proposition, with
some key advantages, particularly for an island nation:
Finally, although the growth of project deployment in the major markets such as the US and Europe has been
sustained, it has not equaled the expansion of solar PV product and service providers. This has led to excess
supply, which leads to competitive pricing and better product development as the market matures. It has also led
these highly competitive and competent service and product providers to seek new markets. This in turn makes
Indonesias opening of a solar PV program an opportune event.
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8.2
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FIGURE 62
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Irradiance
the instantaneous intensity of the suns light, measured in Watts / m2. The value changes throughout
the day for a variety of reasons including the angle of the sun and the atmospheric conditions that
would either improve or impede sunlight.
Insolation
the amount of solar energy over a given period of time, measured in Watt/hours or kilowatt-hours per
square meter. Insolation is sometimes represented as kilowatt-hours / m2 day or month, depending
on the reporting needs.
It stands to reason that areas with large amount of clear skies over the course of the year can produce more solar
electricity that cloudy areas. Fortunately models and methods exist to account for these weather variations by
region. Solar resource values are determined through a variety of long-term data collection processes including
satellites and terrestrial-based solar monitoring stations around the world. Through numerical modeling of data
going back decades, forecasters can predict Peak Sun Hours, Insolation and Irradiance with enough confidence
to perform accurate project output and financial models as a basis for project investment. Modeling tools include
open-sources such as NASA-Langley Distributed Archive website or the US-Department of Energy National
Renewable Energy Lab (NREL), or proprietary systems that can be purchased. It is worth noting that solar
investors should become familiar with the quality and relevance of the data being used to predict a solar projects
performance. For example, some countries have fewer data collection stations than others, and a prediction
based on data from a site that is far from the project would most likely be inaccurate if there are local variations
to the weather.
Also keep in mind that, unlike concentrating solar systems, traditional flat-panel solar PV modules respond to
any form of photovoltaic energy. Therefore direct and diffuse sunlight will generate an electrical current. Cloudy
days will produce electricity as will diffuse light reflected off of other surfaces such as fields, buildings and snow
(Snow covered land can sometimes cause panels to produce at voltages and currents above the allowable wire
ratings and must be considered by design engineers). Photovoltaic Energy on a surface is a measure of the
following factors:
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PV modules react to GHI, which includes both DNI and DHI. Concentrating systems only react to DNI. This is why
dry regions closer to the equator (North Africa, Southwest USA) are noted for CSP technologies, whereas wetter
regions (Southeast USA, Southeast Asia) are better suited for PV systems.
FIGURE 63
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FIGURE 64
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FIGURE 65
SOLAR COLLECTOR
ANGLES OF INCLINATION
Similar to the discussion on azimuth angle, module placements in latitudes near the equator tend to have a
low array tilt angle. Module placements in latitudes closer to the poles favor higher tilt angles. Note, however,
that tilt angle also impacts wind loading which may restrict choices for optimizing output at higher or lower
latitudes. For locations near the equator, a minimum tilt angle of 5 to 10 degrees is recommended in order to
promote rainwater runoff and reduce dust and dirt accumulation.
FIGURE 66
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8.3
TECHNOLOGY AND
ELECTRICAL COMPONENTS
The primary components of a solar PV power plant are the solar modules, inverters and transformers for grid
connected systems or those supplying alternating current (AC), electrical wiring and protective devices such as
fuses, breakers and switches, and a monitoring system.
8.3.1 // MODULES
Photovoltaic modules (or panels) form the building blocks of the solar PV system. Modules house the PV cells
and provide the platform for the Photovoltaic Effect to take place.
Photovoltaic modules are rated via their ability to convert sunlight to a given amount of DC electricity. This is
partly a function of the number of PV cells on the module and the conversion efficiency of the cells themselves.
For example, a module type by a given manufacturer with sixty (60) PV Cells may have a rated output of 250
Watts. The same manufacturer may also have a similar module made up of seventy two (72) cells. This module
will be rated at 300 Watts.
Module efficiency varies by technology choice and by manufacturer; however, they fall broadly into the
following categories:
The two primary ratings given to solar modules are Standard Test Conditions (STC) and PV USA Test Conditions
(PTC). There ratings are determined by the module manufacturer after the product undergoes testing in
specified controlled environments. PTC conditions are generally considered to better represent real-world
conditions and therefore are often used when applying for incentives (specifically in some US States), however,
most solar performance models use STC in calculating electrical energy (kWh) output and adjust accordingly.
STC rating is considered for calculating conductor and equipment sizes (for example, when calculating open
circuit voltage).
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It should also be noted that module ratings are given a tolerance (positive and negative) to account for potential
variations in output as a function of the manufacturing and quality-control process of the product. There is a 250
Watt STC module with +/- 3% power tolerance could be labeled between 242.5 Watts and 257.5 Watts.
As the solar irradiance increases on a solar module, it will generate DC electricity up to the nominal rating of
the panel (for example 250 Watts). This does not mean the panel will generate this amount of DC electricity (it
almost certainly will not), but that the limit on the panel under virtually any solar resource situation encountered
will be some value below the STC rating. In other words, the nameplate rating is static; it is simply a function of
the number of panels multiplied by the panel rating. The AC output of the array on the other hand is function of
the system STC rating, the solar resource, orientation of the array and a variety of other factors (more in Section
1.4).
For any system other than a single panel, modules are wired together in series, similar to the way batteries
are connected in series, and therefore the area of PV surface exposed to solar irradiance, via the number of
modules in a project, determines the rated output as a system. Therefore a system comprised of one thousand
(1000) 250-Watt rated panels is rated at 250 kW DC. Depending on the solar irradiance, ambient conditions,
shading, and variety of other factors, this system is considered capable of generating up to approximately,
but no more than, the total STC rating of the system. As stated earlier the PTC rating can also be applied to
calculate the expected output under everyday circumstances; however, there are rare conditions such as in cold
climate and high irradiance where the STC rating can be approached.
PV systems connected to the utilitys electrical grid must convert the DC electricity generated by the solar
modules into AC electricity that matches the voltage and frequency of the connecting grid. The PLN distribution
system is likely to be the interconnection point for projects approved for the solar Feed-In-Tariff and therefore
will connect at 11kV voltage and a frequency of sixty (60) hertz. PV systems in Indonesia therefore will require
inverters and transformers to make his transition, as well as the balance of electrical equipment to complete the
system and provide the necessary system protection.
The primary components that make up the balance of systems between the modules and the interconnection
point are as follows:
Inverters and Transformers
As stated earlier, the DC electricity from the PV modules must be converted to the proper AC voltage to interconnect
with the utility, and the inverters and transformers perform this function. Inverters also provide a data collection
and reporting, allowing project personnel to observe the performance of the array. Inverters optimize the output
of the strings of solar modules supplying electricity to it through Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT). Not all
inverters perform at the same MPPT effectiveness or conversion efficiency. Inverters also have various startup
voltages (the lowest voltage before an inverter starts to operate). Since high temperature reduces module
efficiency and voltage, it is important to choose an appropriate inverter for the ambient conditions so that
unexpected shutdowns dont occur.
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FIGURE 67
TWIN INVERTERS
Inverters vary in size from utility-scale megawatt range that can handle a large array, to micro-inverters that
serve a single module. Many inverters also come with protective functions, for example, they automatically shut
off when detecting that there is no voltage on the grid. This prevents the solar array from exporting electricity to
the grid while the grid is down and utility personnel are performing repairs.
Combiner boxes
Collection systems for bringing together a specific number of module strings. Combiner boxes work like
junction boxes intended to allow addition of strings to a system without increasing the voltage levels on the
wiring beyond safe levels.
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FIGURE 68
SOLAR ARRAY
Wiring in a solar array is a combination of DC wiring and AC wiring, the wire type determined by the voltage
and current of the circuit in the system. It is common for PV module string wiring (DC wires) to be routed on
the underside of panels to a combiner box, before being routed underground an inverter. Higher voltage AC
electricity leaving the inverters and transformers is often routed on overhead poles. Underground wiring can
be directly buried in the ground (direct bury cable) or routed in conduit. In some cases conduit is encased in
concrete (such as under roadways) to protect the wiring. Using overhead versus underground and direct-bury
versus conduit is determined based on code requirements and system costs.
Meter pengukur produksi lisrik dan sirkuit peralatan proteksi biasanya dipasang antara penyulang keluar dari
transformator dan titik interkoneksi (POI) utilitas. Titik ini adalah titik dimana penjualan listrik diukur, dan juga
titik dimana utilitas dapat melepas pembangkit dari jaringan jika diperlukan.
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FIGURE 69
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Monitoring of a solar PV system is essential for measuring generation and monitoring the performance of the
system. Many commercially available systems interface with solar inverters and allow an uplink to the internet
so that performance can be monitored remotely. Monitoring systems can collect data at the inverters, however,
owners of larger arrays are installing data collection systems further upstream of the inverters in order to have a
better view into the performance of a system. For example, data collected from a 1 MW inverter can only isolate
performance down to the 1MW array serving the inverter. This could equate to up to 4000 panels and associated
circuitry. A monitoring system down to the combiner box level or lower allows the owners real-time visibility into
areas that underperform and system faults that would be invisible when only looking at the performance at a
higher level. The choice of these systems depends on the calculation of costs versus performance.
The revenue meter is relied on for the billing measurement. System inverters also calculate system generation,
however, this may not be the method and location agreed between the buyer and seller (revenue meters or
normally place at the POI, which is downstream of the inverter.
FIGURE 70
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8.4
SYSTEM CONFIGURATIONS
AND MOUNTING SYSTEMS
Solar PV systems are available for many types of sites, from small rooftops to large open spaces and canopies
over parking areas. The PV modules are mostly interchangeable across these configurations, whereas the chosen
configuration will dictate the required mounting system.
The most common mounting systems (also called Racking systems) are those designed for Roof, Ground, or
Carport installation. Sub-categories within these mounting systems include fixed systems, single axis trackers,
and double axis trackers.
Roof mounting systems are generally fixed systems and usually are installed on a flat, clear roof area. The
mounting system is configured such that the modules are installed with a particular vertical tilt and aligned
so that they face a specified direction (array azimuth). Roof mounting systems are secured to the roof either
through penetrating fasteners or through weights (ballasted systems) usually made of concrete blocks. Roof
mounting systems on a non-horizontal surface such as a gable or mansard-style roof are directly connected to
the roofing system and follow the roof angle and azimuth.
FIGURE 71
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Ground mount systems are designed to secure an array to a ground-based foundation system such as a drilled or
driven pier, auger screw or a concrete-gravity foundation. They are typically seen on open spaces where there is
little or no shading, appropriate topography (slope that benefits the project) and minimal environmental impacts.
The soil and geotechnical conditions are also important to consider. The choice between these systems is
determined by appropriateness of the subsurface material and the costs. For example, driven or drilled systems
are used where soil can be penetrated to a depth necessary for the foundation. Gravity systems are more common
on landfills (the landfill cap cannot be penetrated) or where subsurface conditions warrant another solution.
Ground mount systems can be designed as fixed tilt, single axis trackers and double axis trackers. Fixed tilt
systems secure the modules at a constant azimuth and angle of incidence. Modules in single axis systems are
typically installed on a horizontal racking system and aligned along a north-south axis, allowing the racking
system, known as the tracker, to rotate rows of panels in a way that follows the East-to-West movement of the
sun during the day. Under the right conditions, a single axis tracking system can deliver up to approximately
30% more energy generation than a fixed-tilt system. However, these systems require specialized racking and
motor-driven components. The higher construction and operation expense must be considered in addition to
the potential for higher output
Double-axis trackers are designed to rotate the panels as the sun moves east to west, and as it rises and
falls in the sky throughout the day. The intent of single axis trackers is to maximize output by maintaining a
perpendicular orientation between the panel and the sun during all daylight hours. Double axis trackers allow
the greatest amount of solar generation for a given system size; however, the complex tracking systems and
add expense of using pedestal mounting systems makes these systems less cost effective in many cases.
The choice of using a fixed tilt, single axis tracker or double axis tracker system requires analysis of the solar
irradiance at a given site, the installation and lifecycle costs of the mounting system, design parameters such
as wind loading, and the appropriateness of the site for the foundation system, among other factors, in order to
determine the best solution.
FIGURE 72
FIGURE 73
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Canopy systems are popular in areas with large parking areas by providing a dual use and revenue stream for
lots. Canopy systems are tall enough to provide clearance for vehicles to park underneath, and provide shade
for users of the parking areas.
Other types of solar mounting systems include Building Integrated Photovoltaics (BIPV), landfill covers and
laminates for rooftop and surface applications. These usually involve a PV system embedded in glass (such as a
BIPV system used in a building curtain wall), a roll-type material that adheres directly to a standing seam metal
roof, or a landfill cover. These applications are used when typical PV modules are not feasible or aesthetically
appropriate, and no racking systems are needed.
All mounting systems must be designed and installed to account for the applicable loading conditions and building
codes for a given site and jurisdiction. Wind loading is often places the most stringent requirements on mounting
system design. Roof mounting systems also have to take into account the allowable live and dead loading on a
given facilitys roof, and it is common to perform a structural analysis of an existing roof before determining the
appropriate system.
FIGURE 74
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8.5
SOLAR RESOURCE
MEASUREMENT AND
SYSTEM GENERATION
Now that the parameters for measuring solar energy hitting an array, and the design parameters of a solar array
have been defined, it is possible to measure the expected output of a given system at a given location. System
electrical output, measured in kWh, is a function of the solar resource (Irradiance and Insolation over time) at
the site, system rating (kW or MW), system losses, and various other factors such as shading, panel tilt angle and
orientation, site topology, racking system (fixed, tracking, etc.), panel surface soiling, and various other factors
in descending order. Measurements must account for local issues such as shade from trees or buildings, or high
ambient temperatures which degrade module and electrical efficiency.
Its also important to remember that the output will vary over the course of the day and course of the year due to
the position of the sun. Weather effects such as cloud shading, atmospheric moisture, and ambient temperature
also have a significant effect on performance. These factors are complex and no model using past data can
perfectly predict what the performance will be under a short time interval (hour/day/week). Monthly and yearly
averages, however, are known to be accurate. An experienced system modeler may use multiple models and
multiple data-sets in order to increase the confidence of the prediction.
FIGURE 75
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FIGURE 76
The report illustrated on the following pages shows the results of an analysis produced by PVsyst solar design
software using meteorological data for Jakarta. This analysis of the solar system production includes calculations
for system losses for converting solar irradiance to AC output at the point of measurement. Every component in
the system causes some electrical losses and a rigorous study of the project can identify these losses and increase
the accuracy of the performance measurement. Solar modules also lose some amount of their production over
time (approximately 1.0% to 0.5% / year) which must be accounted for in the model. This information can be
found in the module manufacturers specifications. Certain design issues that would not be considered in a
model could degrade a systems performance. For example, if the module strings dont consider high ambient
temperatures, it is possible for the system voltage to drop enough during mid-day heat to shut of the inverter. An
experience solar design professional can account for these possibilities.
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FIGURE 77 CONT.
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8.6
SITE SELECTION
Solar projects offer some of the most flexibility when it comes to selecting a site (wherever the sun shines),
however, solar project feasibility is sensitive to many factors and even though a site may receive a significant
amount of sunshine, project feasibility can be compromised by a variety of factors. Some issues pertain to the
physical features of the site, and some pertain to the business feasibility. The list below contains some of the
main items to consider when selecting a site for a solar project:
Land is adequate for the system size. Approximately 2.5 - 3 acres / MWdc is required at locations near
the equator. As the site progresses away from the equator (either north or south), more area is required
to account for inter-row shading.
Avoid wetlands, floodplains, rivers, streams, unstable zones (mudslides), and drainage
8.6.1 // SHADING
Although it seems obvious and easy to avoid, shading can present surprising situations of underperformance of
a solar array. This is exacerbated by the fact that when portions of a panel, or even a couple cells, are shaded,
it can shut down the entire circuit within a module and affect an entire string. A vent pipe on a roof for example
can have a more dramatic effect than realized. Why is this? It is because shaded cells create resistance in the
circuit and generate heat. Since cells and modules are strung in series, the shaded cell will reduce the electrical
flow of the entire circuit. A item such as a roof vent pipe can cross multiple cells and shut down an entire module,
even if only a few cells are shaded.
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Inter-row shading must also be accounted for, where a row of panels themselves shade the panels behind them.
This happens more often in sites in latitudes further from the equator where higher panel tilt angles are preferred.
It is also more likely on an array installed on a surface sloping away from the sun. The figure below shows an
analysis of an array on such a slope. Note that the spacing between the rows on the downward slope is increased
to minimize the effect of inter-row shading.
FIGURE 78
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8.7
TABLE 20
COST ITEM
5 MW SYSTEM
$/WATT
$/MW
$/W
$/5 MW
Developer Costs
$0.15
$150,000
$0.05
$250,000
Engineering
$0.50
$500,000
$0.20
$1,000,000
Permitting
$0.09
$90,000
$0.04
$200,000
$0.10
$100,000
$0.08
$400,000
Panel Procurement
$0.85
$850,000
$0.85
$4,250,000
$0.30
$300,000
$0.30
$1,500,000
$0.30
$300,000
$0.30
$1,500,000
$0.45
$450,000
$0.40
$2,000,000
Commissioning
$0.05
$50,000
$0.030
$150,000
Total System*
$2.79
$2,790,000
$2.250
$11,250,000
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Geotechnical
Risks rocky soil, inadequate soil stability, buried obstructions
Mitigation review prior use, perform desktop and preliminary geotechnical analysis. If
acceptable, have racking contractor perform pull tests and design racking foundations
accordingly.
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Security
Risks Theft or damage due to lack of security
Mitigation Install perimeter fencing. Install CCTV monitoring. Implement real-time remote
monitoring at the lowest level (will detect system anomalies).
Interconnection
Risks Utility-required interconnection, transmission and system upgrades become excessively
costly or impact system performance
Mitigation Engage the utility early and identify potential costs. Apply reasonably conservative
costs to model as data becomes available.
In summary, the material in this report is intended to provide an overview so that investors in solar projects
can make an initial determination of the feasibility of potential solar projects. A basic understanding gives the
reviewer the opportunity to make informed choices and ask for the appropriate technical support where needed.
It also dispels some of the prevailing myths about solar projects such as the belief that output is difficult to
predict, or that the technology is not well proven. Given the growth of the solar companies, the improvement
of products and the cost reductions that have been realized across the industry in the last several years, it is an
opportune time to implement a program for electricity generation based on solar, as well as providing a reliable
opportunity for long-term project investment.
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WIND
POWER
Wind power is widely recognized as one of
the cheapest forms of clean and renewable
energies. In fact in several countries wind
energy has achieved cost parity with fossil-fuel
based sources of electricity generation, for new
electricity generation projects.
9.1
OVERVIEW
The input raw material (feedstock) for wind turbines is wind; therefore there is no pollution or environmental
degradation due to mining and/or transporting of raw materials. The output is clean electricity with absolutely
no pollutantsno CO2, no SOx, no NOxand the wind turbines do not use water. These favorable characteristics
provide significant tangible benefits in terms of improved health and conservation of natural resources.
Wind energy has grown globally by more than 23% annually in the past 10 years, as shown in Figure 79. In US
and most of EU new wind power plants accounted for the largest share of new installed capacity when compared
to other power plants technologies.
FIGURE 79
CUMULATIVE GLOBAL
WIND POWER INSTALLATIONS
Figure 80 illustrates that wind power technology has been adopted widely around the world. China has the most
installed wind power capacity, followed by US and Germany. In mature wind markets, significant penetration of
wind has been achieved at a specific point of time. For example, Denmark routinely reaches penetration levels
of 100% electricity production from wind (interconnected with Germany); Portugal reached penetration of 93%
of wind (interconnected with Spain); In the US, Colorado (Xcel) reached record penetration of 60% on May
24, 2013 and Texas (ERCOT) reached a record penetration of 35% on April 21 2013. All percentages are with
respect to load in the region.
These graphs illustrate that wind power is a mature technology for producing electricity and high levels of
penetration are possible in interconnected systems.
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FIGURE 80
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9.2
FIGURE 81
Lower wind speeds are colored in purple and blue, and higher wind speeds are yellow, orange and brown
Wind resource maps are currently available, based on on-going studies, that can help individuals, communities,
and developers determine whether the wind resource in a particular area is adequate for wind power. Different
studies may reveal a slightly different data, but they will generally conclude relatively similar information for wind
power generation. Figure 82 on the following page shows an example of wind resource map sourced from NOAA,
available at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL1) website that has quite similar data with the above
wind resource map.
1 The
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US Department of Energys primary national laboratory for renewable energy and energy efficiency research and development.
FIGURE 82
Source: http://maps.nrel.gov/swera?visible=swera_wind_nasa_lo_res&opacity=50&extent=95.01,-11.00,141.01,5.91.
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9.3
WIND TURBINE
TECHNOLOGY
The capacity of energy produced will also be determined by the technology of wind turbine selected, in addition
to the wind speed available on the project area. Though, the latter is even more critical. A location with double
average wind speed has 8 times the power for the same area. Or - to capture the same energy, the blades of the
wind turbine in the low wind speed location would have to be almost 3 times as long2.
There are 12 (twelve) components of a wind turbine, as shown at Figure 83.
FIGURE 83
2 http://www.greenrhinoenergy.com/renewable/wind/
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Wind turbines are available in a variety of sizes, and therefore power ratings. The largest machine has blades that
span more than the length of a football field, stands 20 building stories high, and produces enough electricity
to power 1,400 homes. A small home-sized wind machine has rotors between 8 and 25 feet in diameter and
stands upwards of 30 feet and can supply the power needs of an all-electric home or small business. Utility-scale
turbines range in size from 50 to 750 kilowatts. Single small turbines, below 50 kilowatts, are used for homes,
telecommunications dishes, or water pumping3.
Figure 84 below shows the rapidly changing turbine technology from 1995 through 2014 study for improving
the wind power capacity generation.
FIGURE 84
TURBINE TECHNOLOGY
Rapidly changing turbine technology focused on taller turbine towers and larger turbine rotors (longer blades) are
changing the landscape of wind development
3 http://windeis.anl.gov/guide/basics/
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9.4
WIND ENERGY
PROJECT LIFECYCLE
FIGURE 85
FIGURE 86
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TABLE 21
ACTIVITY (DURATION)
DESCRIPTION
PPA, Financing
(3 to 6 mos)
Engineering, Procurement,
Contracting
(3 mos. Turbine delivery: 9 mos)
Construction, Installation,
Commissioning
(1 turbine/mo)
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9.5
WIND RESOURCE
ASSESSMENT PROCESS
FIGURE 87
FIVE STAGES OF
WIND RESOURCE ASSESSMENT
TABLE 22
STAGE
Stage I:
Prospecting
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DESCRIPTION
Preliminary WRA is conducted during the prospecting phase of a wind project. During the prospecting
phase, a wind developer is evaluating various potential areas with the goal of identifying areas for wind
measurement. In this stage, no onsite wind data is available; therefore, publicly available datasets
for wind speed are used. These datasets are coarser and typically yield an AEP with an accuracy of
+/-50%. Two useful sources of online wind data for prospecting are: 3Tier and AWS Truepower. Both
provide wind data based on numerical weather prediction (NWP) meso-scale model with reanalysis
data.
STAGE
DESCRIPTION
Stage II:
Wind Measurement
Theoretically, wind energy production is a cubic function of wind speed, which means that 5%
increase/decrease in wind speed can yield about 15% increase/decrease in energy production.
Therefore, strong emphasis is placed on accurate wind speed measurement. At least one year of
onsite wind measurements are required in the project area. Traditional met-masts and remote wind
measurement are two methods.
Stage III:
Linear Wind Flow
Model Based
Estimation of AEP
Linear wind flow models like WAsP is used for the core spatial extrapolation and AEP computation.
Other software tools that assist with overall Stage III process are WindPRO, Wind Farmer and
OpenWind.
This stage is conducted after at least one year of onsite measurement data is available. It begins
with GIS modeling of elevation, roughness and obstacles of the project area. With the GIS model and
measured data at multiple locations within the project area, spatial extrapolation of wind speed to the
entire project area is performed. During the spatial extrapolation step, wind flow models are used to
estimate wind speed, typically on a 50x50 square meter grid of the entire project area. This generates
a detailed wind resource map (WRM) of the project area, which is used to microsite turbines at the
most resource rich locations, subject to a variety of siting constraints. The next step is to compute
the AEP at each turbine location by extrapolating measured wind speeds to hub height and applying
turbines power production curve. The spatial and vertical extrapolations performed in stage II
are valid for mildly changing terrain, thermal stability (no convection), and roughness around the
measured sites are similar to roughness around the turbine sites.
Stage IV:
CFD Based
Estimation of AEP
Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) modeling is performed if assumptions of stage III model are
not valid. It is required for cases with complex terrain and thermal instability. CFD is modeled on a 3
dimensional grid and processed on high performance computer clusters. Although CFD models add
cost to WRA, it is worth the investment when assumptions related to stage III WRA are not completely
valid. The output of CFD based WRA is a better approximation of a detailed wind resource map (WRM)
compared to stage III WRA. The final step of AEP calculation is the same in both stages III and IV.
Stage V:
Uncertainty and Loss
Estimation
Stakeholders of a wind project are keen to understand the sources and amount of losses and
uncertainty. Although losses and uncertainty are often mentioned together, these are mutually
exclusive concepts.
Losses are estimates of decrease in energy output that is known. As an example consider WRAs
estimate of energy loss due to wake to be 6%. This is the estimated loss. In developed markets and
well-known conditions, losses are in the range of 10 to 12%. For complex projects, losses can in the
vicinity of 15%. Losses are taken out of AEP estimates from Stage III and IV to yield Net AEP.
Uncertainty, on the other hand is a statistical concept that describes the variance associated with an
estimate. As an example consider an estimate of AEP of 20GWh. Several factors may cause the AEP to
be between 18GWh and 22GWh. The uncertainty in the estimate is +/- 2GWh. In developed markets
and well-known conditions, uncertainty measured in terms of standard deviation of AEP as a percent
of average AEP is about 12%, and for newer markets it may be 20 to 25%.
AEP for different exceedance probabilities (P75, P90, P95) are computed by subtracting appropriate
multiples of standard deviation from net AEP.
4 Exceedance
probability of P75 is an estimate of the annual energy production which the wind plant will meet or exceed with a probability
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9.6
Operations and Maintenance cost. Range is USD 0.015 to USD 0.025 per KWh. Higher number is in
countries with no prior WPP installations or few WPP installations.
Debt parameters. Most WPP are financed with 70% debt, therefore interest rates and duration of debt
have significant impact on LCOE.
Equity parameters. Most WPP are financed with 30% equity, therefore the expected rate of return on
equity has impact on LCOE.
Taxes, incentives and allowed depreciation are some of the other factors that impact LCOE.
TABLE 23
LIFE CYCLE
(YEARS)
NET
CAPACITY
FACTOR (%)
TURBINE
BALANCE
OF PLANT
TOTAL
20
155
3,500
2,500
6,0006
50kW to 1MW
20
207
2,500
1,500
4,0008
20
308
1,300
700
2,0009
5 Hub
7 Hub
8 Hub
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9.7
IMPORTANT CONSIDERATIONS
OF WIND POWER PROJECTS
The following items are key success factors for a profitable wind power projects
Policy
Wind projects in new markets require significant policy support. Feed-in tariff (cost-based) is the most
effective mechanism for supporting wind projects. Along with FiT the following are strong enablers:
Standard Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)
Clear and transparent licensing guidelines
Mechanisms for creating demand through Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) or other
mechanisms
Open or easy access to the electricity grid, along with grid code for variable power generation
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EPC Contract
Procurement of certified equipment (turbines, transformer, substation equipment) with long operating
history, coupled with experienced engineering and contracting company are prerequisites to
successful WPP project.
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9.8
TABLE 24
TYPE
DESCRIPTION
MITIGATION
Revenue:
Tariff, currency,
payment, market
Costs:
Currency
Capital Costs
Currency risk
Cost over-run
Logistics cost
Interconnection cost
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TYPE
Recurring Costs
Others
DESCRIPTION
MITIGATION
Longer-term warranty/maintenance contract
with equipment manufacturer or experienced
third party can transfer most of the risk
216
Avail of vendor financing, if available. When turbine manufacturer and/or EPC contractor are equity
partners, then it is in the financial interest of make the WPP highly productive.
Strict Quality Assurance by independent engineers. WPP is a complex plant; independent engineer should
be hired to perform QA on the entire plant including: Foundation, towers, bolts, electrical connections,
blades, drive train, and quality of power produced.
Strong maintenance program. If local capability does not exist, then WPP should opt for performance
warranty with turbine manufacturer or third party, which guarantees a negotiated level of up-time. If
maintenance is done in house, then a) condition monitoring systems must be installed, b) sufficient
funds must be set aside for major expenses due to replacement or major repairs, c) team of trained
technicians must be maintained, and d) sufficient amount of spare should be stored locally.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
This handbook was prepared through a collaborative effort of OJK and ICED
team. The contributors to the handbook are listed below in alphabetical
order.
ASCLEPIAS R. INDRIYANTO
BILL MEADE
CHRISTIAN PICHARD
DANIEL JORDAN
FLORIANO FERREIRA
HANNY J. BERCHMANS
KENDRICK W. WENTZEL
MARK YANCEY
MIGUEL FRANCO
PHIL HOOVER
PRAMOD JAIN
RAYMOND BONA