Acc 411 (Financial Statement Analysis)
Acc 411 (Financial Statement Analysis)
Acc 411 (Financial Statement Analysis)
20136183
20135089
20126301
20124656
Section 03
Supervised by: Dr. Entessar
Table of Contents
1. Introduction ........................................................................................................................4
Union Pacific Corporations ..........................................................................................................5
Norfolk Southern Corporation .....................................................................................................6
Introduction
The rail transportation industry in the United States plays a vital role in
its economy. They provide rail transportation of passengers and imports
and exports in containers, and for the shipment of natural resources like
coal and oil. The rail industry has come across a lot of turmoil due to
transforming economic demands and due to rise of buses and air
transport. However, it still remains the most reliable mode of transport
as it is better organized, cheap, and can carry heavy and bulky goods
over long distances.
The industry consists of many companies that control railroads across
the United States. They are classified into large railroads or Class 1
railroads, and regional and local line-haul railroads. For our term project,
we will be comparing two Class 1 railroads, Norfolk Southern Railway
and Union Pacific Railroad. We will talk about the industry economics
and determine the strategies implemented by these companies.
Moreover, we will use their financial statements for the years 2010 up to
2014 to conduct various types of analysis (Cash Flow analysis, Common
Size analysis, Liquidity and Solvency ratios etc.)
With the help of analyzing the statements and relevant information about
the industry, the report will communicate the considerable advantages
and drawbacks of the two companies and provide explanations wherever
needed.
Lastly, through the report we will observe the outlook of the companies
and henceforth advocate which of the two companies is the best.
Acquisition
Construction
Track
Stock
Planning
Of Land
Work
Installation
Supply
Supply of rail
facilities &
equipment
Train control
Railroad
Management
Operations
Maintenance
Here, the value chain can be divided into two parts; groundwork and
transportation services. Groundwork involves route planning and
investment decisions, track installation and maintenance. On the other
hand, transportation services include rolling stock supply, train control
management and railroad operations.
Threat of Substitutes:
Low
Trains can transfer bulky
goods over long distances
in a short period of time.
Main substitutes involve
trucks and air courier
services. The threat of
substitutes is relatively
low.
11
12
$
$
$
$
$
$
2013
4,388
6,823
(3,405)
(3,049)
161
2,274
2014
$
$
$
$
$
$
5,180
7,385
(4,249)
(2,982)
(309)
2,514
Cash flows from operating activities were positive and kept increasing
throughout the five years. In 2014, the cash generated from operating
activities were almost double the amount in 2010. Net income on the
other hand, was positive and increasing as well and less than cash flows
from operating activities. Cash flows from financing and investing
activities were continuously negative. These are signs of a mature and
profitable company.
Analysis:
In 2010, the companys net income was higher than that of 2009 which
led to an increase in the cash provided by operating activities. In 2011,
the relatively higher net income and decreased income tax payments
further increased the cash provided by operating activities. The Tax
Relief, Unemployment Insurance Reauthorization and Job Creation act
of 2010 provided for a 100% bonus depreciation in 2011; as a result of
which the company deferred a substantial portion of its income tax
expense in 2011. The same applies for 2012, 2013 and 2014; when the
Federal Tax law provided for 50% bonus depreciation for qualified
investments made during those years. Depreciation increased from 1,487
in 2010 to 1,904 in 2014. The large positive non-working capital
adjustments explain the excess of cash flows from operations over net
income. On the other hand, working capital adjustments were both
positive and negative. This happened mainly due to decreases in
accounts receivable as cash was collected and also due to increasing
cash outflows for materials and supplies.
Net cash used by investing activities kept increasing throughout the five
years except for 2013 when it decreased by 228 million. This is because
railroad companies are highly capital intensive and they continuously
invest in track materials and freight cars. Higher capital investments and
lower proceeds from asset sales led to increase in cash used in investing
13
Union Pacific
Corporation
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Operating cash
flow/Current
maturities of
long-term debt
and notes
payable
Operating cash
flow to total
debt
Operating cash
flow per share
17.2
Times
28.1
times
31.43
times
9.67
times
15.98
times
44%
65%
68%
71%
64%
$5.16
$11.99
$12.92
$14.64
$18.19
Operating cash
flow to cash
dividends
6.81
Times
7.01
times
5.37
times
5.11
times
4.52
times
14
$1,000
$2010
2011
2012
2013
WORKING CAPITAL
ADJUSTMENTS
2014
$(1,000)
$(2,000)
$(3,000)
$
$
$
$
$
$
2013
1,910
3,078
(1,894)
(394)
88
1,080
2014
$
$
$
$
$
$
2,000
2,852
(2,002)
(1,320)
(385)
1,237
The above graph links Norfolk Southerns net income, cash flows from
operating, investing and financing activities as well as the working and
non-working capital.
Cash flows from operating activities were positive but decreasing
whereas cash flows from investing and financing activities were always
negative. However, cash used by financing activities decreased up to
$394 million in 2013 and cash used by investing activities kept
increasing. This company seems to be in its maturity stage as well.
15
Analysis:
Cash provided by operating activities were $2.7 billion in 2010 and
increased to $3.1 in 2011 due to better operating results and lower tax
payments. However, it reduced to $3.1 billion in 2012. This happened
due to increased tax payments caused by decreased bonus depreciation,
in addition to lower operating results. Cash, cash equivalents, and shortterm investment balances totaled $668 million and $301 million on
December 31, 2012 and 2011 respectively. In 2013, cash provided from
operating activities remained more or less the same ($3.1 billion).
However, it decreased to $2.6 billion in 2014 due to the absence of
bonus depreciation which led to increase in current income tax expenses
and the related cash outflow for the payment of income taxes. The Tax
Increase Prevention Act of 2014 provided 50% bonus depreciation and
particular business tax credits. The effect of legislation will be seen as a
reduction in the 2015 cash outflows for income taxes as the year-end
estimated tax payment was due and paid before the 2014 Act was
enacted. Hence cash provided by operating activities are expected to
grow.
Cash used in investing activities increased from $1.5 billion in 2010 to
$1.8 billion in 2011. The increase in 2011 was due to higher property
additions that were partly offset by a decrease in investment purchases.
It increased to $2 billion in 2012 because of a decrease in investment
sales, net of purchases, and increased property additions as compared to
2011. Cash used in investing activities decreased in 2013 but increased
back to $2 billion in 2014 due to increased use of cash for property
additions and COLI (Corporate Owned Life Insurance) investments,
which were offset by higher short-term investment maturities.
16
Norfolk Southern
Corporation
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Operating cash
flow/Current
maturities of
long-term debt
and notes payable
7.58
times
64.54
times
61.3
times
6.92
times
1426
times
Operating cash
flow to total debt
38%
42%
42%
32%
31%
Operating cash
flow per share
$7.40
$9.33
$9.54
$9.86
$0.31
Operating cash
flow to cash
dividends
5.28
times
5.60
times
4.91
times
4.83
times
4.15
times
17
18
4. Profitability Analysis
4.1 Earnings per Share Analysis:
Basic Earnings per Share Analysis:
2014
$5.77
$6.44
Union
Norfolk
2013
$4.74
$6.10
2012
$4.17
$5.42
2011
$3.39
$5.52
2010
$2.79
$4.06
7
6
Dollars
5
4
Union
3
Norfolk
2
1
0
2010
2011
2012
19
2013
2014
2014
$5.75
$6.39
Union
Norfolk
2013
$4.71
$6.04
2012
$4.14
$5.37
2011
$3.36
$5.45
2010
$2.77
$4.00
Dollars
4
Union
Norfolk
0
2010
2011
2012
20
2013
2014
From the above graphs, it is evident that EPS for Union Pacific kept
increasing smoothly. Whereas, EPS for Norfolk Southern experienced a
huge increase in 2011 and a minor decrease in 2012, and continued
growing in 2013 and 2014. Part of this is because of the net income,
which increased and decreased in between the years 2010 and 2012.
Union Pacific had growing net income throughout the five years.
Increasing net income plays a huge role in the advancement of EPS.
Hence both companies had growing EPS in years 2012 to 2014
regardless of the increase in weighted average number of common
shares outstanding. The companies also experienced lowest level of EPS
in 2010.
21
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
$ 3,777
$ 2,103
$ 3,664
$ 4,127
$ 4,400
$ 4,489
$ 22,560
$ 1,428
$ 23,988
16%
9%
15%
17%
18%
19%
94%
6%
100%
$ 3,276
$ 2,077
$ 3,501
$ 3,978
$ 3,822
$ 4,030
$ 20,684
$ 1,279
$ 21,963
15%
9%
16%
18%
17%
18%
94%
6%
100%
$ 3,280
$ 1,807
$ 3,238
$ 3,912
$ 3,494
$ 3,955
$ 19,686
$ 1,240
$ 20,926
16%
9%
15%
19%
17%
19%
94%
6%
100%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,324
1,510
2,815
4,084
3,166
3,609
18,508
1,049
19,557
17%
8%
14%
21%
16%
18%
95%
5%
100%
$ 3,018
$ 1,271
$ 2,425
$ 3,489
$ 2,639
$ 3,227
$ 16,069
$
896
$ 16,965
18%
7%
14%
21%
16%
19%
95%
5%
100%
$ 5,076
$ 3,539
$ 2,558
$ 1,904
$ 1,234
$
924
$ 15,235
$ 8,753
21%
15%
11%
8%
5%
4%
64%
36%
$ 4,807
$ 3,534
$ 2,315
$ 1,777
$ 1,235
$
849
$ 14,517
$ 7,446
22%
16%
11%
8%
6%
4%
66%
34%
$ 4,685
$ 3,608
$ 2,143
$ 1,760
$ 1,197
$ 788
$ 14,181
$ 6,745
22%
17%
10%
8%
6%
4%
68%
32%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
4,681
3,581
2,005
1,617
1,167
782
13,833
5,724
24%
18%
10%
8%
6%
4%
71%
29%
$ 4,314
$ 2,486
$ 1,836
$ 1,487
$ 1,142
$
719
$ 11,984
$ 4,981
25%
15%
11%
9%
7%
4%
71%
29%
$
151
$
(561)
$ (3,163)
0.62%
2%
13%
$
128
$ (526)
$ (2,660)
0.58%
2%
12%
$ 108
$ (535)
$ (2,375)
0.51%
3%
11%
$
112
$ (572)
$ (1,972)
0.57%
3%
10%
$
54
$
(602)
$ (1,653)
0.31%
4%
10%
20%
$ 3,943
19%
$ 3,292
17%
5,180
22%
4,388
2,780
16%
23
2014
1,586
1,611
712
277
493
4,679
1,390
46,272
375
$ 52,716
3,303
462
3,765
11,018
14,680
2,064
$ 31,527
2013
3% $ 1,432
3%
1,414
1%
653
1%
268
1%
223
9%
3,990
3%
1,321
88%
43,749
1%
671
100% $ 49,731
6%
1%
7%
21%
28%
4%
3,086
705
3,791
8,872
14,163
1,680
2012
3% $ 1,063
3%
1,331
1%
660
1%
263
0.4%
297
8%
3,614
3%
1,259
88%
41,997
1%
283
100% $ 47,153
6%
1%
8%
18%
28%
3%
2,923
196
3,119
8,801
13,108
2,248
2011
2010
2% $ 1,217
3%
1,401
1%
614
1%
306
1%
189
8%
3,727
3%
1,175
89%
39,934
1%
260
100% $ 45,096
3% $ 1,086
3%
1,184
1%
534
1%
261
0.4%
367
8%
3,432
3%
1,137
89%
38,253
1%
266
100% $ 43,088
6%
0.4%
7%
19%
28%
5%
7%
0.5%
7%
19%
27%
5%
3,108
209
3,317
8,697
12,368
2,136
2,713
239
2,952
9,003
11,557
1,813
3%
3%
1%
1%
1%
8%
3%
89%
1%
100%
6%
1%
7%
21%
27%
4%
60% $ 28,506
57% $ 27,276
58% $ 26,518
59% $ 25,325
59%
5%
1,387
8%
4,210
52%
25,288
-23%
-8,910
-2%
-750
40% $ 21,225
3%
1,386
8%
4,113
51%
22,271
-18%
-6,707
-2%
-1,186
43% $ 19,877
3%
1,386
9%
4,031
47%
19,508
-14%
-5,293
-3%
-1,054
42% $ 18,578
3%
1,385
9%
3,985
43%
17,154
-12%
-4,027
-2%
-734
41% $ 17,763
3%
9%
40%
-9%
-2%
41%
100% $ 49,731
100% $ 47,153
100% $ 45,096
100% $ 43,088
100%
$ 52,716
Investments and other assets play an insignificant role in total assets and
they remain the same throughout the five year analysis.
Secondly, total current liabilities decreased gradually in 2012 and 2013
but increased by 3% in 2014. This was mainly due to sudden increase in
long-term debts in 2014, which changed from 18% in 2013 to 21% in
2014. A 2% reduction in other long-term liabilities occurred in 2013,
which caused total liabilities level to drop further more from 58% to
57%. Current liabilities increased by 1% in 2013 but then decreased in
2014. Overall, most liabilities had minimal changes, increases or
decreases.
Thirdly, the schedule shows that total common shareholders equity kept
increasing slowly but decreased by 3% in 2014. This decrease occurred
as result of increase in treasury stock by 5% from 2013 to 2014. Also,
percentage of common shares outstanding increased suddenly to 5% in
2014 compared to 3% in the previous years. This happened as a result of
an increase in number of common shares authorized from 800,000,000
in 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013 to 1,400,000,000 in 2014.
25
2014
$
2,382
$ 1,863
$ 1,521
$ 1,498
$ 1,004
$
794
$ 6,680
$ 2,562
$ 11,624
2013
21% $
16%
13%
12%
7%
6%
57%
22%
100%
2,543
$ 1,667
$ 1,405
$ 1,467
$
984
$
795
$ 6,318
$ 2,384
$ 11,245
2012
23% $
15%
12%
13%
9%
7%
56%
21%
100%
2,879
$ 1,467
$ 1,446
$ 1,335
$
897
$
775
$ 5,920
$ 2,241
$ 11,040
2011
26% $
13%
13%
12%
8%
7%
54%
20%
100%
3,458
$ 1,368
$ 1,439
$ 1,241
$
780
$
756
$ 5,584
$ 2,130
$ 11,172
2010
31% $
2,719
29%
12%
13%
11%
7%
7%
50%
19%
100%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
1,302
1,326
1,013
648
712
5,001
1,796
9,516
14%
14%
11%
7%
7%
52%
19%
100%
Operating Expenses
Compensation and benefits
Purchased services and rents
Fuel
Depreciation
Materials and other expenses
Total Operating Expenses
Income from Railway Operations
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
2,897
1,687
1,574
951
940
8,049
3,575
25%
14%
13%
8%
8%
69%
31%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,002
1,629
1,613
916
828
7,988
3,257
27%
14%
14%
8%
7%
71%
29%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
2,960
1,604
1,577
916
859
7,916
3,124
27%
14%
14%
8%
8%
72%
28%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
2,974
1,610
1,589
862
924
7,959
3,213
27%
14%
14%
8%
8%
71%
29%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
2,708
1,477
1,079
819
757
6,840
2,676
28%
15%
11%
7%
8%
72%
28%
Other income
Interest Expense
Income before income taxes
Provisions for Income taxes
Net Income
$
$
$
$
$
104
545
3,134
1,134
2,000
0.9%
5%
27%
10%
17%
$
$
$
$
$
233
525
2,965
1,055
1,910
2%
5%
26%
9%
17%
$
$
$
$
$
129
495
2,758
1,009
1,749
1%
4%
25%
9%
16%
$
$
$
$
$
160
455
2,918
1,002
1,916
1%
4%
26%
9%
15%
$
$
$
$
$
153
462
2,367
871
1,496
2%
5%
25%
9%
16%
27
2014
973
2013
2012
2011
2010
1,055
236
167
347
2,778
2,679
27,694
90
$ 33,241
3% $ 1,443
0%
118
3%
1,024
1%
223
1%
180
1%
87
8%
3,075
8%
2,439
83%
26,645
0.3%
324
100% $ 32,483
4% $
0.4%
3%
1%
1%
0.3%
8%
8%
82%
1%
100% $
653
15
1,109
216
167
82
2,242
2,300
25,736
64
30,342
2% $
276
0.05%
25
4%
1,022
1%
209
1%
143
0.3%
76
7%
1,751
8%
2,234
85%
24,469
0.2%
84
100% $ 28,538
1% $
827
0.1%
283
4%
807
1%
169
1%
145
0.3%
240
6%
2,471
8%
2,193
86%
23,231
0.3%
304
100% $ 28,199
3%
1%
3%
1%
1%
1%
9%
8%
82%
1%
100%
1,233
100
217
228
2
1,780
8,924
1,312
8,817
$ 20,833
4%
1,265
0.3%
100
1%
225
1%
270
0.01%
445
5%
2,305
27%
8,903
4%
1,444
27%
8,542
63% $ 21,194
4%
0.3%
1%
1%
1%
7%
27%
4%
26%
65% $
1,362
200
206
263
50
2,081
8,432
2,237
7,832
20,582
4%
1,092
1%
100
1%
207
1%
252
0.2%
50
7%
1,701
28%
7,390
7%
2,050
26%
7,486
68% $ 18,627
4%
1,181
0.4%
100
1%
199
1%
244
0.2%
358
6%
2,082
26%
6,567
7%
1,793
26%
7,088
65% $ 17,530
4%
0.4%
1%
1%
1%
7%
23%
6%
25%
62%
Stockholders' equity
Common stock $1 per share par value,
1,350,000,000 shares authorized; outstanding
308,240,130 and 308,878,404 shares, respectively,
net of treasury shares (in 2014)
Additional paid-in capital
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
Retained income
Total stockholders' equity
310
2,148
-398
10,348
$ 12,408
1%
310
6%
2,021
-1%
-381
31%
9,339
37% $ 11,289
1%
6%
-1%
29%
35%
315
1,911
-1,109
8,643
$9,760
1%
6%
-4%
28%
32%
1%
358
7%
1,892
-4%
-805
30%
9,224
35% $ 10,669
1%
7%
-3%
33%
38%
$ 33,241
100% $ 32,483
100% $
30,342
332
1,912
-1,026
8,693
$9,911
100% $ 28,538
100% $ 28,199
100%
The first most attractive figure in the assets section is for properties,
plant and equipment. As explained for Union Pacific, Norfolk Southern
has a greater net properties percentage of total assets because railway
companies need to invest in a wide variety of fixed assets and
equipments in order to provide freight transportation services which are
the main source of revenues. The above schedule shows that net
properties increased by 4% in 2012. This explains why cash and cash
equivalents decreased by 2% in the same year. As net properties went
back to 82% in 2013, cash increased to 4%. This indicates that Norfolk
Southern had cash reserves that it used to make significant acquisition.
28
Total current assets also fell by 3% in 2011, mainly due to the reduction
in cash and cash equivalents; but continued increasing after that.
Investments remained the same in all five years.
Total current liabilities decreased from 7% to 6% in 2011 but increased
back to 7% in 2012 and 2013. However, they decreased again to 5% in
2014. The decreases in 2011 and 2014 were due to relatively low
percentages of current maturities of long-term debt in those years. The
schedule also shows that long-term debt and deferred income taxes form
the greatest percentages of total liabilities. It is again typical for railway
companies to have higher percentages of long-term debt in order to
obtain immediate capital. Increase in deferred income taxes reflect the
companys inability to pay off the complete amount of taxes, and will
have to pay the unpaid portions in the near future. Total liabilities
increased from 62% in 2010 to 68% in 2012 but decreased back to 62%
in 2014. This happened as a result of increase in other long-term
liabilities in 2011 and 2012 by 1% and due to its decrease in 2013 and
2014 by 3%.
Lastly, the amount of common shares remained the same in all years
mainly because the number of authorized shares was 1,350,000,000 for
all five years, unlike Union Pacific. Accumulated other comprehensive
loss indicate total unrealized losses from investments held by the
company, which decreased significantly in 2013. The total stockholders
equity decreased from 38% in 2010 to 35% in 2011, and further
decreased to 32% in 2012; because of reduced percentages of retained
earnings. As retained earnings increased in 2013 and 2014, total
stockholders equity rose back to 35% in 2013 and 37% in 2014.
Increase in retained earnings can be explained by the increase in net
income in 2013 and 2014.
29
Horizontal Analysis:
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,777
2,103
3,664
4,127
4,400
4,489
22,560
1,428
23,988
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,276
2,077
3,501
3,978
3,822
4,030
20,684
1,279
21,963
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,280
1,807
3,238
3,912
3,494
3,955
19,686
1,240
20,926
$ 3,324 $
$ 1,510 $
$ 2,815 $
$ 4,084 $
$ 3,166 $
$ 3,609 $
$ 18,508 $
$ 1,049 $
$ 19,557 $
3,018
1,271
2,425
3,489
2,639
3,227
16,069
896
16,965
125%
165%
151%
118%
167%
139%
140.4%
159.4%
141.4%
109%
163%
144%
114%
145%
125%
129%
143%
129%
109%
142%
134%
112%
132%
123%
123%
138%
123%
110%
119%
116%
117%
120%
112%
115%
117%
115%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
5,076
3,539
2,558
1,904
1,234
924
15,235
8,753
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
4,807
3,534
2,315
1,777
1,235
849
14,517
7,446
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
4,685
3,608
2,143
1,760
1,197
788
14,181
6,745
$ 4,681 $
$ 3,581 $
$ 2,005 $
$ 1,617 $
$ 1,167 $
$
782 $
$ 13,833 $
$ 5,724 $
4,314
2,486
1,836
1,487
1,142
719
11,984
4,981
117.6%
142.35%
139.3%
128.0%
108%
128.5%
127.1%
176%
111%
142%
126%
120%
108%
118%
121%
149%
109%
145%
117%
118%
105%
110%
118%
135%
109%
144%
109%
109%
102%
109%
115%
115%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
$
$
$
151 $
(561) $
(3,163) $
128 $
(526) $
(2,660) $
108 $
(535) $
(2,375) $
112 $
(572) $
(1,972) $
54
(602)
(1,653)
279.7%
93.2%
191.3%
237%
87%
160%
200%
89%
144%
207%
95%
119%
100%
100%
100%
5,180 $
4,388 $
3,943 $
3,292 $
2,780
186.3%
158%
142%
118%
100%
30
31
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
146%
136%
133%
106%
134%
136%
122%
121%
141%
122%
132%
119%
122%
103%
61%
116%
116%
114%
252%
115%
98%
112%
124%
101%
81%
105%
111%
110%
106%
109%
112%
118%
115%
117%
51%
109%
103%
104%
98%
105%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
122%
193%
128%
122%
127%
114%
114%
295%
128%
99%
123%
93%
108%
82%
106%
98%
113%
124%
115%
87%
112%
97%
107%
118%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
124%
113%
108%
105%
100%
2,775
2,774
1,386
1,386
1,385
4,321
4,210
4,113
4,031
3,985
27,367
23,901
22,271
19,508
17,154
-12,064
-8,910
-6,707
-5,293
-4,027
-1,210
-750
-1,186
-1,054
-734
$ 21,189 $ 21,225 $ 19,877 $ 18,578 $ 17,763
200%
108%
160%
300%
165%
119%
200%
106%
139%
221%
102%
119%
100%
103%
130%
167%
162%
112%
100%
101%
114%
131%
144%
105%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
122%
115%
109%
105%
100%
3,303
462
3,765
11,018
14,680
2,064
3,086
705
3,791
8,872
14,163
1,680
2,923
196
3,119
8,801
13,108
2,248
3,108
209
3,317
8,697
12,368
2,136
2,713
239
2,952
9,003
11,557
1,813
Again, we consider 2010 to be the base year for the balance sheet, and
measure all components accordingly.
Total assets increased slowly but consistently by 27% from 2010 to
2014. This happened mainly due to the continuing growth in long-term
investments and properties, plant and equipment. However, total current
assets decreased by 4% in 2012, but continued growing after that. This
reduction in current assets was due to a decrease in the amount of cash
and cash equivalents in 2012, which later increased by 34% in 2013. In
2012, accounts receivable also decreased by 6%, but went back to
normal with a 7% increase in 2013. Other current assets experienced ups
and downs across the five year analysis, with a 49% decrease in 2011,
30% increase in 2012, 20% decrease in 2013 and finally a 73% increase
in 2014.
32
33
2014
2012
2011
2010
2,543
$2,879
$3,458
$2,719
88%
94%
106%
127%
100%
$ 1,863
$ 1,521
$ 1,498
$ 1,004
$
794
$ 6,680
$ 2,562
$ 11,624
$ 1,667
$ 1,405
$ 1,467
$
984
$
795
$ 6,318
$ 2,384
$ 11,245
$1,467
$1,446
$1,335
$897
$775
$5,920
$2,241
$11,040
$1,368
$1,439
$1,241
$780
$756
$5,584
$2,130
$11,172
$1,302
$1,326
$1,013
$648
$712
$5,001
$1,796
$9,516
143%
115%
148%
155%
112%
134%
143%
122%
128%
106%
145%
152%
112%
126%
133%
118%
113%
109%
132%
138%
109%
118%
125%
116%
105%
109%
123%
120%
106%
112%
119%
117%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Operating Expenses
Compensation and benefits
Purchased services and rents
Fuel
Depreciation
Materials and other expenses
Total Operating Expenses
Income from Railway Operations
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
2,897
1,687
1,574
951
940
8,049
3,575
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,002
1,629
1,613
916
828
7,988
3,257
$2,960
$1,604
$1,577
$916
$859
$7,916
$3,124
$2,974
$1,610
$1,589
$862
$924
$7,959
$3,213
$2,708
$1,477
$1,079
$819
$757
$6,840
$2,676
107%
114%
146%
116%
124%
118%
134%
111%
110%
149%
112%
109%
117%
122%
109%
109%
146%
112%
113%
116%
117%
110%
109%
147%
105%
122%
116%
120%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Other income
Interest Expense
Income before income taxes
Provisions for Income taxes
Net Income
$
$
$
$
$
104
545
3,134
1,134
2,000
$
$
$
$
$
233
525
2,965
1,055
1,910
$129
$495
$2,758
$1,009
$1,749
$160
$455
$2,918
$1,002
$1,916
$153
$462
$2,367
$871
$1,496
68%
118%
132%
130%
134%
152%
114%
125%
121%
128%
84%
107%
117%
116%
117%
105%
98%
123%
115%
128%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2013
2,382 $
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
34
35
2014
1,055
236
167
347
2,778
2,679
27,694
90
$33,241
$1,443
$653
$276
$827
118
15
25
283
1,024
1,109
1,022
807
223
216
209
169
180
167
143
145
87
82
76
240
3,075
2,242
1,751
2,471
2,439
2,300
2,234
2,193
26,645
25,736
24,469
23,231
324
64
84
304
$32,483 $30,342 $28,538 $28,199
118%
0%
131%
140%
115%
145%
112%
122%
119%
30%
118%
174%
42%
127%
132%
124%
36%
124%
111%
115%
107%
115%
79%
5%
137%
128%
115%
34%
91%
105%
111%
21%
108%
33%
9%
127%
124%
99%
32%
71%
102%
105%
28%
101%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
1,233
1,265
1,362
1,092
1,181
100
100
200
100
100
217
225
206
207
199
228
270
263
252
244
2
445
50
50
358
1,780
2,305
2,081
1,701
2,082
8,924
8,903
8,432
7,390
6,567
1,312
1,444
2,237
2,050
1,793
8,817
8,542
7,832
7,486
7,088
$20,833 $21,194 $20,582 $18,627 $17,530
104%
100%
109%
93%
1%
85%
136%
73%
124%
119%
107%
100%
113%
111%
124%
111%
136%
81%
121%
121%
115%
200%
104%
108%
14%
100%
128%
125%
110%
117%
92%
100%
104%
103%
14%
82%
113%
114%
106%
106%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Stockholders' equity
Common stock $1 per share par value,
1,350,000,000 shares authorized; outstanding
308,240,130 and 308,878,402 shares, respectively,
net of treasury shares (in 2014)
Additional paid-in capital
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
Retained income
Total stockholders' equity
310
310
2,148
2,021
-398
-381
10,348
9,339
$12,408 $11,289
87%
114%
49%
112%
116%
87%
107%
47%
101%
106%
88%
101%
138%
94%
91%
93%
101%
127%
94%
93%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
$33,241
118%
115%
108%
101%
100%
$973
2013
$32,483
2012
315
1,911
-1,109
8,643
$9,760
$30,342
2011
2010
332
358
1,912
1,892
-1,026
-805
8,693
9,224
$9,911 $10,669
$28,538
$28,199
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Under current assets, cash and cash equivalents decreased drastically (by
67%) and the highest increase of 95% were recorded in 2013. Also,
short-term investments were highest in 2013 after 2010, accounting for
about 42%; and there were no short-term investments in 2014. Materials
and supplies increased slowly across the 5 years. Net properties
increased by 5% in 2011, by 6% in 2012 and by 4% in 2013 and 2014;
which indicates the company continuously invested in equipments and
other fixed assets vital to the business. Total assets were highest in 2014
because of increased properties, plant and equipment and also due to an
11% increase long-term investments in 2014. Other current assets were
also the highest for 2014.
36
37
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2011%
2012%
2013%
2014%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,777
2,103
3,664
4,127
4,400
4,489
22,560
1,428
23,988
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,276
2,077
3,501
3,978
3,822
4,030
20,684
1,279
21,963
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,280
1,807
3,238
3,912
3,494
3,955
19,686
1,240
20,926
$ 3,324 $
$ 1,510 $
$ 2,815 $
$ 4,084 $
$ 3,166 $
$ 3,609 $
$ 18,508 $
$ 1,049 $
$ 19,557 $
3,018
1,271
2,425
3,489
2,639
3,227
16,069
896
16,965
10%
19%
16%
17%
20%
12%
15%
17%
15%
-1%
20%
15%
-4%
10%
10%
6%
18%
7%
0%
15%
8%
2%
9%
2%
5%
3%
5%
15%
1%
5%
4%
15%
11%
9%
12%
9%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
5,076
3,539
2,558
1,904
1,234
924
15,235
8,753
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
4,807
3,534
2,315
1,777
1,235
849
14,517
7,446
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
4,685
3,608
2,143
1,760
1,197
788
14,181
6,745
$ 4,681 $
$ 3,581 $
$ 2,005 $
$ 1,617 $
$ 1,167 $
$
782 $
$ 13,833 $
$ 5,724 $
4,314
2,486
1,836
1,487
1,142
719
11,984
4,981
9%
44%
9%
9%
2%
9%
15%
15%
0%
1%
7%
9%
3%
1%
3%
18%
3%
-2%
8%
1%
3%
8%
2%
10%
6%
0%
10%
7%
0%
9%
5%
18%
$
$
$
151 $
(561) $
(3,163) $
128 $
(526) $
(2,660) $
108 $
(535) $
(2,375) $
112 $
(572) $
(1,972) $
54
(602)
(1,653)
107%
-5%
19%
-4%
-6%
20%
19%
-2%
12%
18%
7%
19%
5,180 $
4,388 $
3,943 $
3,292 $
2,780
18%
20%
11%
18%
38
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
3,303
462
3,765
11,018
14,680
2,064
3,086
705
3,791
8,872
14,163
1,680
2,923
196
3,119
8,801
13,108
2,248
3,108
209
3,317
8,697
12,368
2,136
2,713
239
2,952
9,003
11,557
1,813
2011%
2012%
2013%
2014%
12%
18%
15%
17%
-49%
9%
3%
4%
-2%
5%
-13%
-5%
7%
-14%
57%
-3%
7%
5%
9%
5%
35%
6%
-1%
2%
-25%
10%
5%
4%
137%
5%
11%
14%
9%
3%
121%
17%
5%
6%
-44%
6%
15%
-13%
12%
-3%
7%
18%
-6%
-6%
-6%
1%
6%
5%
6%
260%
22%
1%
8%
-25%
7%
-34%
-1%
24%
4%
23%
5%
3%
5%
11%
0%
1%
14%
31%
44%
5%
0%
2%
14%
27%
13%
7%
100%
2%
7%
33%
-37%
7%
0%
3%
15%
35%
61%
0%
5%
5%
5%
6%
The total assets for Union Pacific grew smoothly throughout the five
years, there were no extraordinary changes. However, total liabilities
increased by 11% in 2014, as current maturities of long-term debt and
other long-term liabilities increased, that include asserted claims and
lawsuits.
Since there was not much change in the total common shareholders
equity in 2014, total liabilities and equity increased at an almost equal
pace each year.
39
2014
2012
2011
2010
2,543
$2,879
$3,458
$ 1,863
$ 1,521
$ 1,498
$ 1,004
$
794
$ 6,680
$ 2,562
$ 11,624
$ 1,667
$ 1,405
$ 1,467
$
984
$
795
$ 6,318
$ 2,384
$ 11,245
$1,467
$1,446
$1,335
$897
$775
$5,920
$2,241
$11,040
Operating Expenses
Compensation and benefits
Purchased services and rents
Fuel
Depreciation
Materials and other expenses
Total Operating Expenses
Income from Railway Operations
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
2,897
1,687
1,574
951
940
8,049
3,575
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,002
1,629
1,613
916
828
7,988
3,257
Other income
Interest Expense
Income before income taxes
Provisions for Income taxes
Net Income
$
$
$
$
$
104
545
3,134
1,134
2,000
$
$
$
$
$
233
525
2,965
1,055
1,910
2013
2,382 $
2011%
2012%
2013%
2014%
$2,719
27%
-17%
-12%
-6%
$1,368
$1,439
$1,241
$780
$756
$5,584
$2,130
$11,172
$1,302
$1,326
$1,013
$648
$712
$5,001
$1,796
$9,516
5%
9%
23%
20%
6%
12%
19%
17%
7%
0%
8%
15%
3%
6%
5%
-1%
14%
-3%
10%
10%
3%
7%
6%
2%
12%
8%
2%
2%
0%
6%
7%
3%
$2,960
$1,604
$1,577
$916
$859
$7,916
$3,124
$2,974
$1,610
$1,589
$862
$924
$7,959
$3,213
$2,708
$1,477
$1,079
$819
$757
$6,840
$2,676
10%
9%
47%
5%
22%
16%
20%
0%
0%
-1%
6%
-7%
-1%
-3%
1%
2%
2%
0%
-4%
1%
4%
-3%
4%
-2%
4%
14%
1%
10%
$129
$495
$2,758
$1,009
$1,749
$160
$455
$2,918
$1,002
$1,916
$153
$462
$2,367
$871
$1,496
5%
-2%
23%
15%
28%
-19%
9%
-5%
1%
-9%
81%
6%
8%
5%
9%
-55%
4%
6%
7%
5%
40
2014
2011%
2012%
2013%
2014%
$1,443
$653
$276
$827
118
15
25
283
1,024
1,109
1,022
807
223
216
209
169
180
167
143
145
87
82
76
240
3,075
2,242
1,751
2,471
2,439
2,300
2,234
2,193
26,645
25,736
24,469
23,231
324
64
84
304
$32,483 $30,342 $28,538 $28,199
-67%
-91%
27%
24%
-1%
-68%
-29%
2%
5%
-72%
1%
137%
-40%
9%
3%
17%
8%
28%
3%
5%
-24%
6%
121%
687%
-8%
3%
8%
6%
37%
6%
4%
406%
7%
-33%
-100%
3%
6%
-7%
299%
-10%
10%
4%
-72%
2%
1,055
236
167
347
2,778
2,679
27,694
90
$33,241
1,233
1,265
1,362
1,092
1,181
100
100
200
100
100
217
225
206
207
199
228
270
263
252
244
2
445
50
50
358
1,780
2,305
2,081
1,701
2,082
8,924
8,903
8,432
7,390
6,567
1,312
1,444
2,237
2,050
1,793
8,817
8,542
7,832
7,486
7,088
$20,833 $21,194 $20,582 $18,627 $17,530
-8%
0%
4%
3%
-86%
-18%
13%
14%
6%
6%
25%
100%
0%
4%
0%
22%
14%
9%
5%
10%
-7%
-50%
9%
3%
790%
11%
6%
-35%
9%
3%
-3%
0%
-4%
-16%
-100%
-23%
0%
-9%
3%
-2%
Stockholders' equity
Common stock $1 per share par value,
1,350,000,000 shares authorized; outstanding
308,878,402 shares, respectively, net of
treasury shares
Additional paid-in capital
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
Retained income
Total stockholders' equity
310
310
2,148
2,021
-398
-381
10,348
9,339
$12,408 $11,289
-7%
1%
27%
-6%
-7%
-5%
0%
8%
-1%
-2%
-2%
6%
-66%
8%
16%
0%
6%
4%
11%
10%
$33,241
1%
6%
7%
2%
$973
2013
$32,483
2012
315
1,911
-1,109
8,643
$9,760
$30,342
2011
2010
332
358
1,912
1,892
-1,026
-805
8,693
9,224
$9,911 $10,669
$28,538
$28,199
41
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
10.1%
9.1%
8.5%
7.5%
6.5%
Norfolk
6.1%
6.1%
5.9%
6.8%
5.4%
This ratio measures the extent to which a company utilizes its assets to
generate profits and is one of the key elements of profitability analysis.
From the above table, we can see that ROA for Union Pacific kept
increasing constantly year after year, whereas on the other hand; ROA
for Norfolk Southern increased in 2011 but fell back to 5.9% in 2012.
This happened because of decrease in net income and relatively higher
average total assets. Norfolks ROA had a minor increase in 2013 and
remained the same in 2014. Overall, Union Pacific had more return on
total assets as compared to Norfolk, as it has higher net income and
greater amount of average total assets as compared to Norfolk Southern.
Disaggregating Return on Total Assets:
Return on Total Assets = Net Profit margin * Total Asset Turnover
Net Profit Margin:
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
21.59%
19.98%
18.84%
16.83%
16.39%
Norfolk
17.21%
16.99%
15.84%
17.15%
15.72%
42
This ratio measures the profit generated from sales for a company and is
an element of return on assets. Again, profit margin for Union Pacific
keeps increasing steadily but net profit margin for Norfolk decreased by
almost 2% in 2012 due to decrease in net income, which is why the
company has a lower ROA in this year. However, it continued
increasing in 2013 and 2014. Union Pacific generated more profit from
sales as compared to Norfolk Southern in all five years, as its net income
kept increasing throughout the five years.
Union
Norfolk
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
0.47
Times
0.35
Times
0.45
times
0.36
times
0.45
times
0.38
times
0.44
times
0.39
times
0.40
Times
0.34
Times
The asset turnover ratio is the second element of ROA and it measures
how well a company uses its assets to generate sales. Union Pacific
generated $0.40 for every dollar of its assets in 2010 compared to $0.47
in 2014. On the other hand, Norfolk Southerns asset turnover was
highest in 2011 i.e. 0.39 times. It decreased in the following years and
was 0.35 times in 2014, almost the same as that of 2010. Hence, the
company didnt use its assets effectively to generate sales, as compared
to Union Pacific, that has relatively high and increasing asset turnover
every year.
43
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
17.74%
15.95%
15.11%
13.41%
12.07%
Norfolk
11.88%
11.29%
11.53%
12.38%
10.58%
This ratio measures to what extent a company can use its operating
assets to generate profits. Union Pacific has greater returns on
operating assets as compared to Norfolk Southern, because it has
comparatively higher operating income.
Disaggregating Return on Operating Assets:
Return on Operating assets = Operating income margin * Operating
assets turnover
Operating Income Margin:
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
36.49%
33.90%
32.23%
29.27%
29.36%
Norfolk
30.76%
28.96%
28.30%
28.76%
28.12%
Union
Norfolk
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
0.49
times
0.39
times
0.47
times
0.39
times
0.47
times
0.41
times
0.46
times
0.43
times
0.41
Times
0.38
Times
This ratio measures the ability of a company to use its operating assets to
generate sales dollars and is an important aspect of a companys
profitability analysis. Union Pacific has its highest operating asset
turnover in 2014, where it generated $0.49 dollar of sales per dollar of
operating assets, whereas Norfolk Southerns highest operating asset
turnover was in 2011 (0.43 times). This happened due to a drastic
increase in operating revenues due to a growth in Intermodal
transportation. However, revenues fell in 2012, resulting in lower
operating asset turnover in the following year. Even though operating
revenues increased in 2013 and 2013, operating assets turnover was the
same due to relatively higher average operating assets.
45
Return on Investment:
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
18.35%
16.43%
15.54%
13.76%
12.12%
Norfolk
11.32%
11.32%
11.18%
12.14%
10.32%
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
24.42%
21.35%
20.5%
18.11%
16.08%
Norfolk
16.88%
18.15%
17.8%
18.62%
14.23%
grew largely as compared to its net income, which didnt increase much.
Union Pacific had relatively higher income because of which any
decreases in the returns on total equity due to the increasing total
shareholders equity were offset.
Return on Common Equity:
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
15.85%
14.96%
14.96%
13.9%
12.95%
Norfolk
16.34%
16.94%
16.05%
17.11%
13.20%
Union
Norfolk
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
0.53
Times
0.43
Times
0.51
Times
0.43
times
0.51
times
0.44
times
0.50
times
0.47
times
0.45
Times
0.41
Times
47
Also known as the fixed asset turnover ratio, this ratio measures a
companys ability to generate sales dollars from fixed assets. Union
Pacific had the highest fixed assets turnover in 2014 (0.53 times), which
means it grew over the five years. Norfolk Southerns sales to fixed asset
ratio decreased in 2012, due to increase in property, plant and equipment
and other long-term investments and decrease in net income. It
continued decreasing in 2013 and remained the same. Hence, Union
Pacific has better chances of generating profit by the usage of its fixed
assets as compared to Norfolk Southern.
48
5. Risk Analysis
In this section of the report, we will be analyzing liquidity and solvency
for Union Pacific Railroad and Norfolk Southern Railway.
Solvency and liquidity help understand a companys financial state.
However, they both differ in definition. Solvency is a companys ability
to meet its long-term financial obligations whereas liquidity refers to the
companys ability to pay off short-term debts as well as its ability to sell
assets quickly to increase cash.
A good company is both solvent and has appropriate liquidity. We will
analyze liquidity and solvency for Union Pacific Railroad and Norfolk
Southern Railway using a number of ratios.
5.1 Liquidity Analysis:
Current Ratio
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
1.24
1.05
1.16
1.12
1.16
Norfolk
1.56
1.33
1.08
1.03
1.19
The above ratios indicate that both Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern
have enough current assets to pay off their short-term debts. However,
Norfolk Southern has better liquidity as its current ratio in 2014 is higher
than that of Union Pacific, which means it has a larger fraction of
current assets relative to its current liabilities as compared to Union.
Higher current ratio means the company has higher capability of settling
current obligations.
49
Quick Ratio
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
0.85
0.75
0.77
0.79
0.77
Norfolk
1.14
1.07
0.85
0.76
0.78
The quick ratio determines the companys ability to pay its short-term
debts with its assets that are most liquid. The higher the quick ratio, the
more liquid a company is. Both companies seem to have higher quick
ratios which mean they can use more of their liquid assets to finance
short-term obligations.
Accounts Receivable Turnover
Union
Norfolk
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
15.85
times
11.13
Times
16.002
times
10.54
times
15.32
times
10.36
times
14.09
times
12.2
times
18.34
times
12.09
times
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
25 days
24 days
23 days
26 days
26 days
Norfolk
33 days
35 days
35 days
30 days
30 days
Union Pacifics turnover ratio has declined from 18.34 in 2010 to 15.85
in 2014. Even though its not a significant decline, it shows that union
pacific is collecting their receivables slower in 2014 as compared to
2013. Norfolks turnover ratio has declined in a similar pattern.
Union Pacific collects their receivables in a short time compared to
Norfolk. This implies that union pacific has stricter credit policies than
Norfolk. This could lead to a loss in revenue.
Revenues to Cash ratio
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
15.9 times
17.6 times
18.3 times
16.9 times
11.6 times
Norfolk
9.6 times
10.7 times
23.8 times
20.3 times
10.4 times
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
23 days
21 days
20 days
22 days
32 days
Norfolk
38 days
34 days
16 days
18 days
35 days
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
148%
134%
137%
143%
143%
Norfolk
168%
188%
211%
188%
164%
Debt-to-assets ratio
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
59%
57%
59%
59%
54%
Norfolk
63%
65%
68%
65%
62%
The debt to asset ratio indicates to what extent assets are financed by
liabilities, mainly payables and long term debt.
Debt to asset ratios for both the firms has increased slightly over the past
5 years. In 2014, around 59% of the assets of Union Pacific were
financed by debt as compared to 62% of Norfolk. Since both the
companies have their ratios below 100%, they are in a good position at
present, though Norfolk is slightly less solvent than Union Pacific.
Interest Coverage Ratio
Union
Norfolk
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
19.3
times
10.2
times
17.8
times
10.0
times
16.1
times
10.1
times
13.0
times
9.3
times
10.8
times
8.5
times
53
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
63.51%
66.10%
67.77%
70.73%
70.64%
Norfolk
69.24%
71.04%
71.70%
71.24%
71.88%
54
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
23.81%
20.28%
20.96%
21.78%
23.54%
Norfolk
32.22%
33.41%
32.76%
30.20%
28.27%
2013
2012
2011
2010
Union
51.84%
50.20%
49.83%
48.97%
44.35%
Norfolk
41.97%
42.20%
42.90%
45.66%
40.96%
56
58
59
Conclusion
The purpose of our project was to analyze and compare the financial
statements of Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern for five years. We did
so by calculating their rates of return, various solvency and liquidity
ratios, operating cash flow ratios and by highlighting their major
strengths and weaknesses. This analysis is meant to provide for investors
an insight into the financial performance of the two companies. The
following points where taken into consideration while comparing the
analyzed data:
The cash flow analysis for Union Pacific showed that the company
is actively maturing and is in a good position as it was able to
generate increasing amounts of cash from its operations every year
and also managed to pay back a lot of its debts. Norfolk on the
other hand, reported lower net income in 2012 which had a major
impact on most items, including its cash inflows from operating
activities.
When comparing both companies, Union Pacific had higher
operating cash flow per share as compared to Norfolk southern. It
was also better at using its operating cash inflows to make
payments for its total debt as compared to Norfolk. Norfolk had a
very high amount of operating cash flow to current maturities of
long-term debt as it had very low amount of current maturities,
even though cash flows from operating activities decreased in
2014.
Since both companies have complex capital structures, they report
both basic and diluted earnings per share. Norfolk had higher
earnings per share as compared to Union, which shows it is more
profitable. This could lead to potential increases in the stock price
of the company.
60
61
Forecasting
UNION PACIFIC CORPORATIONS
Freight revenues are expected to increase for the next two years which
will result in increase in operating revenues. Decreasing fuel prices
might result in further decrease in fuel expenses while compensation and
benefits for employees increase. Following the trend of increasing net
income during the 5 year period and the above assumptions, Net Income
is expected to be around $6000m for year ending on 31st December 2015
and around $7100m for the year ending on 31st December 2016.
NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORPORATIONS
The company is expecting coal revenues to decline due to decreased
volume. In 2014, coal revenues represented around 21% of the total
operating revenues while it was 23% in 2013. Chemical revenues are
expected to increase due to increased shipments of coal and petroleum
gas. Norfolk is expecting agriculture, consumer products and
government revenues to remain steady while they anticipate a decline in
metal and constructions. Higher intermodal revenues are expected while
revenues from paper, clay and forest products decline.
With regards to operating expenses, compensation and benefits are
expected to increase significantly while changes in other expenses will
not be significant. With these assumptions, the net income is for the year
ending on 31st December 2015 and 31st December 2016 is expected to be
around $2150m and $23100m respectively.
62
Appendix A - Calculations
1. Cash flow analysis:
Current maturities of long-term debt
Operating cash flow/ Current maturities of long term debt and notes payable
COMPANY
2010(millions)
2011(millions)
2012(millions)
2013(millions)
2014(millions)
2714/358=7.58
3227/50=64.54
3065/50=61.3
3078/445=6.92
2852/2=1426
UNION PACIFIC
4105/239=17.2
5873/209=28.1
6161/196=31.43
6823/705=9.67
7385/462=15.98
2010(millions)
2011(millions)
2012(millions)
2013(millions)
2014(millions)
2714/7025=0.38
3227/7540=0.42
3065/8682=0.42
3078/9448=0.32
2852/9026=0.31
UNION PACIFIC
4105/9242=0.44
5873/8906=0.65
6161/8997=0.68
6823/9577=0.71
7385/11480=0.64
2010(millions)
2011(millions)
2012(millions)
2013(millions)
2014(millions)
2714-1/366.5=7.40
3227-1/345.5=9.33
3065-1/320.9=9.54
3078-1/311.9=9.86
2852-2/9026=0.31
UNION PACIFIC
4105/502.9=5.16
5873/489.8=11.99
6161/476.5=12.92
6823/465.8=14.64
7385/901.1=8.19
2010(millions)
2011(millions)
2012(millions)
2013(millions)
2014(millions)
2714/514=5.28
3227/576=5.60
3065/624=4.91
3078/637=4.83
2852/687=4.15
UNION PACIFIC
4105/602=6.81
5873/837=7.01
6161/1146=5.37
6823/1333=5.11
7385/1632=4.52
63
2. Profitability analysis:
Return on assets
Net income before non-recurring items/average total assets
UNION PACIFIC
2010
2011
2012
net income before nonrecurring items2,780
3,292
3,943
average total assets
42636
44092 46124.5
Return on Assets
6.5%
7.5%
8.5%
NORFOLK SOUTHER
SOUTHERN
2010
net income before nonrecurring items1,496
average total assets
27784
Return on Assets
5.4%
2011
1,916
28368.5
6.8%
2012
1,749
29440
5.9%
2013
4,388
48442
9.1%
2014
5,180
51223.5
10.1%
2013
1,910
31412.5
6.1%
2014
2,000
32862
6.1%
2010
16,965
2,780
16.39%
2011
19,557
3,292
16.83%
2012
20,926
3,943
18.84%
2013
21,963
4,388
19.98%
2014
23,988
5,180
21.59%
NORFOLK SOUTHER
SOUTHERN
net sales
net income before nonrecurring items
net profit margin
2010
9,516
1,496
15.72%
2011
11,172
1,916
17.15%
2012
11,040
1,749
15.84%
2013
11,245
1,910
16.99%
2014
11,624
2,000
17.21%
2010
16,965
42636
0.40
2011
19,557
44092
0.44
2012
20,926
46124.5
0.45
2013
21,963
48442
0.45
2014
23,988
51223.5
0.47
NORFOLK SOUTHER
SOUTHERN
net sales
average total assets
Total Asset Turnover
2010
9,516
27784
0.34
2011
11,172
28368.5
0.39
2012
11,040
29440
0.38
2013
11,245
31412.5
0.36
2014
11,624
32862
0.35
64
Return on investment
Net income before non-recurring items and non-controlling interest + [(interest
expense)*(1-tax rate)/average (long-term liabilities + equity)
UNION PACIFIC
Adjusted Net Income
Average Long-Term Liabilities & Equity
Return on Investment
2010
4824.3
25848.5
18.66%
2011
5635.8
26477
21.29%
2012
6665.75
27549
24.20%
2013
7389.9
29219.5
25.29%
2014
8707.65
30819.5
28.25%
NORFOLK SOUTHER
SOUTHERN
Adjusted Net Income
Average Long-Term Liabilities & Equity
Return on Investment
2010
2667.3
25848.5
10.32%
2011
3213.75
26477
12.14%
2012
3079.75
27549
11.18%
2013
3306.25
29219.5
11.32%
2014
3488.25
30819.5
11.32%
2012
6,745
44636
15.11%
2013
7,446
46675
15.95%
2014
8,753
49345
17.74%
NORFOLK SOUTHER
SOUTHERN
Operating Income
average operating asset
Return On Operating Assets
2011
3,213
25961
12.38%
2012
3,124
27099
11.53%
2013
3,257
28849
11.29%
2014
3,575
30096
11.88%
2010
2,676
25295.5
10.58%
2010
4,981
16,965
29.36%
2011
5,724
19,557
29.27%
2012
6,745
20,926
32.23%
2013
7,446
21,963
33.90%
2014
8,753
23,988
36.49%
NORFOLK SOUTHER
SOUTHERN
Operating Income
net sales
OPERATING INCOME MARGIN
2010
2,676
9,516
28.12%
2011
3,213
11,172
28.76%
2012
3,124
11,040
28.30%
2013
3,257
11,245
28.96%
2014
3,575
11,624
30.76%
65
2011
19,557
42673
0.46
2012
20,926
44636
0.47
2013
21,963
46675
0.47
2014
23,988
49345
0.49
NORFOLK SOUTHER
SOUTHERN
net sales
average operating asset
Operating Asset Turnover
2011
11,172
25961
0.43
2012
11,040
27099
0.41
2013
11,245
28849
0.39
2014
11,624
30096
0.39
2010
9,516
25295.5
0.38
NORFOLK SOUTHER
SOUTHERN
net sales
AVERAGE NET FIXED ASSETS
SALES TO FIXED ASSETS
2010
9,516
22937
0.41
2011
19,557
39093.5
0.50
2012
20,926
40965.5
0.51
2013
21,963
42873
0.51
2014
23,988
45010.5
0.53
2011
11,172
23850
0.47
2012
11,040
25102.5
0.44
2013
11,245
26190.5
0.43
2014
11,624
27169.5
0.43
2010
2780
17282
16.09%
Norfolk Southern
net income before non-recurring items
average total equity
RETURN ON TOTAL EQUITY
2010
1496
10511
14.23%
2014
2000
11848.5
16.88%
66
2013
1910
10524.5
18.15%
2012
1749
9835.5
17.78%
2011
1916
10290
18.62%
2014
5180
32674
15.85%
2013
4388
29327.5
14.96%
2012
3943
26347.5
14.97%
2011
3292
23724.5
13.88%
2010
2780
21451.5
12.96%
Norfolk Southern
net income before non-recurring items
average common equity
RETURN ON TOTAL EQUITY
2014
2000
12238
16.34%
2013
1910
11269.5
16.95%
2012
1749
10893
16.06%
2011
1916
11195.5
17.11%
2010
1496
11340
13.19%
3. Risk analysis:
Current ratio
Current assets/current liabilities
Union Pacific
2014
current assets
4679
current liabilities
3765
CURRENT RATIO
1.24
2013
3990
3791
1.05
2012
3614
3119
1.16
2011
3727
3317
1.12
2010
3432
2952
1.16
Norfolk Southern
current assets
current liabilities
CURRENT RATIO
2013
3075
2305
1.33
2012
2242
2081
1.08
2011
1751
1701
1.03
2010
2471
2082
1.19
2014
2778
1780
1.56
Quick ratio
Cash equivalents + marketable securities +net receivables/current liabilities
Union Pacific
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
cash and cash equivalents
1586
1432
1063
1217
1086
net receivables
1611
1414
1331
1401
1184
current liabilities
3765
3791
3119
3317
2952
QUICK RATIO
0.85
0.75
0.77
0.79
0.77
Norfolk Southern
cash and cash equivalents
net receivables
current liabilities
QUICK RATIO
2014
973
1055
1780
1.14
67
2013
1443
1024
2305
1.07
2012
653
1109
2081
0.85
2011
276
1022
1701
0.76
2010
827
807
2082
0.78
2013
21963
1415
15.52
2012
20926
1335
15.67
2011
19557
1410
13.87
2010
16965
1189
14.27
Norfolk Southern
net sales
average gross receivables
Accounts receivable turnover
2013
11245
1069.5
10.51
2012
11040
1069
10.33
2011
11172
919
12.16
2010
9516
791.5
12.02
2014
11624
1044
11.13
2014
23988
1616
14.84
25
2013
21963
1415
15.52
24
2012
20926
1335
15.67
23
2011
19557
1410
13.87
26
2010
16965
1189
14.27
26
Norfolk Southern
net sales
average gross receivables
Accounts receivable turnover
Accounts receivable turnover in days
2014
11624
1044
11.13
33
2013
11245
1069.5
10.51
35
2012
11040
1069
10.33
35
2011
11172
919
12.16
30
2010
9516
791.5
12.02
30
2013
21963
1432
1247.5
17.6
2014
23988
1586
1509
15.9
NORFOLK
2011
2012
11172
11040
276
653
551.5
464.5
20.3
23.8
2013
11245
1443
1048
10.7
2014
11624
973
1208
9.6
Revenue
Cash
Avg Cash
Rev to Cash
2010
9516
827
911.5
10.4
68
Revenue
Cash
Avg Cash
Rev to Cash
in days
2010
16965
1086
1468
11.6
32
Revenue
Cash
Avg Cash
Rev to Cash
in days
2010
9516
827
911.5
10.4
35
UNION PACIFIC
2011
2012
19557
20926
1217
1063
1151.5
1140
17.0
18.4
21
20
NORFOLK
2011
11172
276
551.5
20.3
18
2012
11040
653
464.5
23.8
15
2013
21963
1432
1247.5
17.6
21
2014
23988
1586
1509
15.9
23
2013
11245
1443
1048
10.7
34
2014
11624
973
1208
9.6
38
Debt-to-equity ratio
Total liabilities/total shareholders equity
Union Pacific
total liabilities
total shareholders equity
DEBT-TO-EQUITY RATIO
2014
31527
21189
1.49
2013
28506
21225
1.34
2012
27276
19877
1.37
2011
26518
18578
1.43
2010
25325
17763
1.43
Norfolk Southern
total liabilities
total shareholders equity
DEBT-TO-EQUITY RATIO
2014
20833
12408
1.68
2013
21194
11289
1.88
2012
20582
9760
2.11
2011
18627
9911
1.88
2010
17350
10669
1.63
2014
31527
52716
0.60
2013
28506
49731
0.57
2012
27276
47133
0.58
2011
26518
45096
0.59
2010
25325
43088
0.59
Norfolk Southern
total liabilities
total assets
DEBT-TO-ASSETS RATIO
2014
20833
33241
0.63
2013
21194
32483
0.65
2012
20582
30342
0.68
2011
18627
28538
0.65
2010
17350
28109
0.62
Debt-to-assets ratio
69
Net Income
interest expense
income tax
depreciation expense
minority interest
INTEREST COVERAGE
Net Income
interest expense
income tax
depreciation expense
minority interest
INTEREST COVERAGE
UNION PACIFIC
2010
2011
2012
2780
3292
3943
602
572
535
1653
1972
2375
1487
1617
1760
10.8
2013
4388
526
2660
1777
2014
5180
561
3163
1904
13.0
16.1
17.8
19.3
NORFOLK
2010
2011
1496
1916
426
455
871
1002
819
862
2012
1749
495
1009
1760
2013
1910
525
1055
1777
2014
2000
545
1134
1904
10.1
10.0
10.2
8.5
9.3
operating revenue
operating expenses
operating ratio
2012
20926
14181
67.77%
2013
21963
14517
66.10%
2014
23988
15235
63.51%
Norfolk Southern
2010
2011
2012
9516
11172
11040
6840
7959
7916
71.88% 71.24% 71.70%
2013
11245
7988
71.04%
2014
11624
8049
69.24%
70
Union Pacific
2010
2011
Long term debt
9003
8697
operating assets
38253
39934
long term debt to operating property
23.54% 21.78%
2012
8801
41997
20.96%
2013
8872
43749
20.28%
2014
11018
46272
23.81%
Norfolk Southern
2010
2011
Long term debt
6567
7390
operating assets
23231
24469
long term debt to operating property
28.27% 30.20%
2012
8432
25736
32.76%
2013
8903
26645
33.41%
2014
8924
27694
32.22%
Union Pacific
2010
2011
Operating Revenue
16965
19557
Operating Property
38253
39934
operating revenue to operating assets
44.35% 48.97%
2012
20926
41997
49.83%
2013
21963
43749
50.20%
2014
23988
46272
51.84%
Norfolk Southern
2010
2011
Operating Revenue
9516
11172
Operating Property
23231
24469
operating revenue to operating assets
40.96% 45.66%
2012
11040
25736
42.90%
2013
11245
26645
42.20%
2014
11624
27694
41.97%
71
2014
2013
2012
Sales/ Revenue
2011
2010
($ in millions)
Agricultural
3,777
3,276
3,280
3,324
3,018
Automotive
2,103
2,077
1,807
1,510
1,271
Chemicals
3,664
3,501
3,238
2,815
2,425
Coal
4,127
3,978
3,912
4,084
3,489
Industrial Products
4,400
3,822
3,494
3,166
2,639
Intermodal
4,489
4,030
3,955
3,609
3,227
$22,560
$20,684
$19,686
$18,508
$16,069
1,428
1,279
1,240
1,049
896
$23,988
$21,963
$20,926
$19,557
$16,965
5,076
4,807
4,685
4,681
4,314
Fuel
3,539
3,534
3,608
3,581
2,486
2,558
2,315
2,143
2,005
1,836
Depreciation
1,904
1,777
1,760
1,617
1,487
1,234
1,235
1,197
1,167
1,142
924
849
788
782
719
$15,235
$14,517
$14,181
$13,833
$11,984
151
128
108
112
54
(561)
(526)
(535)
(572)
(602)
(3,163)
(2,660)
(2,375)
(1,972)
(1,653)
$5,180
$4,388
$3,943
$3,292
$2,780
Other
Total Operating Expenses
Non-operating Items
Other Income
Interest Expense
Income Taxes
Net Income
72
2014
1,586
1,611
712
277
493
1,432
1,414
653
268
223
1,063
1,331
660
263
297
1,217
1,401
614
306
189
1,086
1,184
534
261
367
4,679
1,390
46,272
375
$52,716
3,990
1,321
43,749
671
$49,731
3,614
1,259
41,997
283
$47,153
3,727
1,175
39,934
260
$45,096
3,432
1,137
38,253
266
$43,088
3,303
462
3,765
11,018
14,680
2,064
3,086
705
3,791
8,872
14,163
1,680
2,923
196
3,119
8,801
13,108
2,248
3,108
209
3,317
8,697
12,368
2,136
2,713
239
2,952
9,003
11,557
1,813
$31,527
$28,506
$27,276
$26,518
$25,325
2,775
4,321
27,367
(12,064)
(1,210)
$21,189
2,774
4,210
23,901
(8,910)
(750)
$21,225
1,386
4,113
22,271
(6,707)
(1,186)
$19,877
1,386
4,031
19,508
(5,293)
(1,054)
$18,578
1,385
3,985
17,154
(4,027)
(734)
$17,763
$52,716
$49,731
$47,153
$45,096
$43,088
2013
2012
($ in million)
2011
2010
73
2014
2013
2012
Operating Activities
2011
2010
$ in millions
Net Income
5,180
4,388
3,943
3,292
2,780
1,904
1,777
1,760
1,617
1,487
895
723
887
986
672
(285)
(226)
(160)
(298)
(483)
(197)
(83)
70
(217)
(518)
(59)
(46)
(80)
(59)
(270)
74
(108)
178
(17)
217
163
(185)
395
243
7,385
6,823
6,161
5,873
4,105
(4,346)
(3,496)
(3,738)
(3,176)
(2,482)
138
98
80
108
67
(274)
(85)
274
85
(41)
(7)
25
(51)
(73)
(4,249)
(3,405)
(3,633)
(3,119)
(2,488)
(3,225)
(2,218)
(1,474)
(1,418)
(1,249)
2,588
1,443
695
486
894
(1,632)
(1,333)
(1,146)
(837)
(602)
(710)
(640)
(758)
(690)
(1,412)
(272)
(98)
Financing Activities
Common shares repurchases
Debt issued
Dividends paid
Debt repaid
Debt exchange
(289)
(3)
(12)
108
86
(2,982)
(3,049)
(2,682)
(2,623)
(2,381)
154
369
(154)
131
(764)
1,432
1,063
1,217
1,086
1,850
1,586
1,432
1,063
1,217
1,086
438
356
318
284
183
174
133
136
147
125
39
290
154
(554)
(528)
(561)
(572)
(614)
(2,492)
(1,656)
(1,552)
(625)
(936)
74
2014
2013
2012
Sales/Revenue
Coal
2011
2010
($ in million)
2,382
2,543
2,879
3,458
2,719
Chemicals
1,863
1,667
1,467
1,368
1,302
Metals/Construction
1,521
1,405
1,446
1,439
1,326
Agr./Consumer/gov't
1,498
1,467
1,335
1,241
1,013
Automotive
1,004
984
897
780
648
794
795
775
756
712
6,680
6,318
5,920
5,584
5,001
2,562
2,384
2,241
2,130
1,796
11,624
11,245
11,040
11,172
9,516
2,897
3,002
2,960
2,974
2,708
1,687
1,629
1,604
1,610
1,477
Fuel
1,574
1,613
1,577
1,589
1,079
Depreciation
951
916
916
862
819
940
828
859
924
757
8,049
7,988
7,916
7,959
6,840
3,575
3,257
3,124
3,213
2,676
104
233
129
160
153
Interest Expense
(545)
(525)
(495)
(455)
(462)
3,134
2,965
2,758
2,918
2,367
(1,134)
(1,055)
(1,009)
(1,002)
(871)
Net Income
$ 2,000
$ 1,910
$1,749
$1,916
$1,496
General Merchandise:
Paper/clay/forest
Total General Merchandise
Intermodal
Total Operating Revenues
Operating Expenses
Other income
75
2014
2012
$ in millions
2011
2010
1,055
236
167
347
2,778
2,679
27,694
90
$33,241
1,443
118
1,024
223
180
87
3,075
2,439
26,645
324
$32,483
653
15
1,109
216
167
82
2,242
2,300
25,736
64
$30,342
276
25
1,022
209
143
76
1,751
2,234
24,469
84
$28,538
827
283
807
169
145
240
2,471
2,193
23,231
304
$28,199
1,233
100
217
228
2
1,780
8,924
1,312
8,817
$20,833
1,265
100
225
270
445
2,305
8,903
1,444
8,542
$21,194
1,362
200
206
263
50
2,081
8,432
2,237
7,832
$20,582
1,092
100
207
252
50
1,701
7,390
2,050
7,486
$18,627
1,181
100
199
244
358
2,082
6,567
1,793
7,088
$17,530
310
2,148
(398)
10,348
$12,408
310
2,021
(381)
9,339
$11,289
315
1,911
(1,109)
8,643
$9,760
332
1,912
(1,026)
8,693
$9,911
358
1,892
(805)
9,224
$10,669
$33,241
$32,483
$30,342
$28,538
$28,199
Stockholders' equity
Common stock $1 per share par value,
1,350,000,000 shares authorized; outstanding
308,878,402 shares, respectively, net of treasury
shares
973
2013
76
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
$ in millions
Operating Activities
Net Income
2,000
1,910
1,749
1,916
1,496
Depreciation
956
922
922
869
826
294
262
366
527
312
(13)
(104)
(6)
(32)
(42)
Accounts receivable
(31)
85
(64)
(215)
(41)
(13)
(7)
(7)
(40)
(5)
(260)
(5)
(6)
14
(1)
53
82
68
126
Other - net
(134)
10
29
120
43
2,852
3,078
3,065
3,227
2,714
Property additions
(2,118)
(1,971)
(2,241)
(2,160)
(1,470)
114
144
192
84
97
(104)
(130)
(23)
(135)
(504)
106
63
78
439
421
(2,002)
(1,894)
(1,994)
(1,772)
(1,456)
Dividends paid
(687)
(637)
(624)
(576)
(514)
130
131
89
120
89
(318)
(627)
(1,288)
(2,051)
(863)
200
989
1,491
1,101
350
Debt repayments
(645)
(250)
(362)
(600)
(489)
(1,320)
(394)
(694)
(2,006)
(1,427)
(470)
790
377
(551)
(169)
1,443
653
276
827
996
973
1,443
653
276
827
522
492
473
435
453
1,102
735
618
289
602
Investing Activities
Financing Activities
77
References:
Work Distribution
Ayesha
Value chain analysis, Porters five forces, company strategies
Fatema
Profitability Analysis
Shameem Cash Flow Analysis, Forecasting
Naveed
Risk Analysis
78