2 Luzon Power Supply and Demand Outlook
2 Luzon Power Supply and Demand Outlook
2 Luzon Power Supply and Demand Outlook
AND
2014-2020 POWER OUTLOOK
2015
Aug: 18 MW Northwind P3
Oct: 135 Mw Putting Bato U1
Nov:150 MW South Luzon Coal U1
20 MW SJCI Biomass
14000
13000
12000
2017
2016
11000
10000
9000
8000
7000
Available Capacity
Committed
Peak Demand
Regulating Reserve
Nov 2020
Sep 2020
Jul 2020
May 2020
Mar 2020
Jan 2020
Nov 2019
Sep 2019
Jul 2019
May 2019
Mar 2019
Jan 2019
Nov 2018
Sep 2018
Jul 2018
May 2018
Mar 2018
Jan 2018
Nov 2017
Sep 2017
Jul 2017
May 2017
Mar 2017
Jan 2017
Nov 2016
Sep 2016
Jul 2016
May 2016
Mar 2016
Jan 2016
Nov 2015
Sep 2015
Jul 2015
May 2015
Mar 2015
Jan 2015
Nov 2014
Sep 2014
Jul 2014
May 2014
Mar 2014
Jan 2014
6000
Notes
a. Required Reserve Margin (RM) i.e. 4% regulating reserve and contingency and dispatchable reserve requirement
b. 4.2 % peak demand growth rate resulted from observed 0.6 elasticity ratio of demand for electric power with national
economic growth applied to 7 percent GDP growth rate (GR) target for 2014-2015.
c. 4.8 % peak demand growth rate resulted from observed 0.6 elasticity ratio of demand for electric power with national
economic growth applied to 8 percent GDP growth rate (GR) target for 2016-2020.
d. Assumed 5.49 percent average forced outage of the total available capacity
Summer 2013
12,000
10,000
Malampaya Turnaround
(11 Nov-10 Dec 2013)
PAGBILAO 1 and 2,
GNPower 2 , MASINLOC
1 on boiler tube leak
8,000
6,000
08 May 2013
Luzon Blackout
4,000
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
W6
W7
W8
W9
W10
W11
W12
W13
W14
W15
W16
W17
W18
W19
W20
W21
W22
W23
W24
W25
W26
W27
W28
W29
W30
W31
W32
W33
W34
W35
W36
W37
W38
W39
W40
W41
W42
W43
W44
W45
W46
W47
W48
W49
W50
W51
W52
Jan
Feb
Mar
Available capacity
Apr
May
Peak Demand
Jun
Jul
Regulating Reserve
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
ACTUAL
12000
8000
6000
2014 Projected Peak Demand =
8,654 MW (22 May)
4000
Holy Week
2000
0
W1 W2
W3
W4
January
W5
W6
W7
W8
W9
W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17 W18 W19 W20 W21 W22 W23 W24 W25 W26 W27
February
Available capacity
March
Peak Demand
April
Regulating Reserve
May
June
COAL
COAL
WIND
BIOMASS
WIND
WIND
WIND
BIOMASS
NATGAS
Project Proponent
Mother/ JV Company
Location
Southwest Luzon
2 X 150 MW SLPGC
Power Generation
DMCI Power
Brgy. San Rafael,
Coal-Fired Power Plant
Corporation (Project
Corporation
Calaca, Batangas
Phase I
Company)
135 MW Puting Bato South Luzon Thermal
Trans Asia Oil and
Brgy. Puting Bato
Coal Fired Power Plant
Energy Corp.
Energy Development
West, Calaca,
Phase I
(SLTEC)
Corporation (TAOil)
Batangas
Phase 3:
NorthWind Power
NorthWind Power
Bangui Bay Wind
Development
Development
Bangui, Ilocos Norte
Power Project
Corporation
Corporation
24 MW SJCiPower
Rice Husk-Fired
San Jose City I Power San Jose City I Power Brgy. Tulat, San Jose,
Biomass power Plant
Corporation
Corporation
Nueva Ecija
Project
Phase 1:
EDC Burgos Wind
Energy Development
Nagsurot-Saoit,
Burgos Wind Power
Power Corporation
Corporation (EDC)
Burgos, Ilocos Norte
Project
Phase 1:
Alternergy Wind One
Brgy. Halayhayin,
Pililla Wind Power
Alternergy
Corporation
Pililla, Rizal
Project
Brgy. Caparispisan,
Caparispisan Wind Northern Luzon UPC
UPC Asia Corporation
Pagudpud, Ilocos
Energy Project
Asia Corporation
Norte
Isabela Biomass
20 MW IBEC Biomass
Isabela Biomass Energy
Energy Corporation
Isabela
Power Plant
Corporation (IBEC)
(IBEC)
Pagbilao 600 MW
Brgy. Ibabang Polo,
Energy World
Energy World
Combined Cycle Gas
Grande Island,
Corporation
Corporation
Fired Power Plant
Pagbilao, Quezon
Rated
Project Cost
Capacity
(Php Billion)
(MW)
Commercial
Operation
300
45.4
135
12.9
Oct 2014
18
1.5
Aug 2014
20.00
1.2
Nov 2014
(Subject to FIT)
87
12.8
Feb 2015
67.5
7.7
Jul 2015
81
11.2
Mar 2015
18
1.9
Mar 2015
(Subject to FIT)
600
12.9
Jun 2015 U1
Jun 2016 U2
Jun 2017 U3
BIOMASS
BIOMASS
12 MW Biomass
Power Plant Project
NATGAS
COAL
BIOMASS
BIOMASS
CJ Global Green
CJ Global Green Energy
Energy Philippine
Philippine Corp.
Corp.
Green Innovations for
Green Innovations for
Tomorrow
Tomorrow Corporation
Corporation
Prime Meridian
PowerGen
100 MW San Gabriel Corporation (Project
First Gen Power
Avion Project
Company)
Corporation
First Gen
Corporation
135 MW Puting Bato South Luzon Thermal Trans Asia Oil and
Coal Fired Power
Energy Corp.
Energy Development
Plant Phase II
(SLTEC)
Corporation (TAOil)
3.5 MW Bicol Biomass
Bicol Biomass
Bicol Biomass Energy
Energy Corporation Energy Corporation
Corporation
12 MW MultiCagayan Biomass
Cagayan Biomass
Feedstock Biomass
Energy Corporation
Energy Corporation
Power Plant Project
Location
Rated
Project Cost
Capacity
(Php Billion)
(MW)
Target
Commissioning
Camarines Sur
18
Jun 2015
Nueva Ecija
10.80
Jul 2015
Barangay Bolbok,
Batangas
100
10.0
Sep 2015
135
9.6
Nov 2015
Camarines Sur
3.15
Dec 2015
Cagayan
10.80
Dec 2015
Dec 2015
HYDRO
Inabasan
San Teodoro,
Oriental Mindoro
10.0
COAL
Anda Power
Corporation's 82 MW
Circulating Fluidized
Bed Coal Fired Power
Plant
Anda Power
Corporation
Anda Power
Corporation
Brgy. Bundagul,
Mabalacat,
Pampanga
82
8.6
Mar 2016
HYDRO
Catuiran
HYDRO
Linao-Cawayan
(Upper Cascade)
Mother/ JV Company
Location
Rated
Project Cost
Capacity
(Php Billion)
(MW)
Naujan, Oriental
Mindoro
8.0
Baco, Oriental
Mindoro
2.1
1,724.65
Target
Commissioning
Mar 2016
0.3
Mar 2016
Mother/ JV Company
300.00
2 X 20 MW FDC Camarines
CFB Coal Power Plant
Camarines Sur
40.00
Mar 2016
600.00
300.00
Unit I - 2016
Unit II - 2016
Location
Rated Capacity
Target
(MW)
Commissioning
2 X 300 MW Masinloc
Expansion
Zambales
600.00
Mauban, Quezon
500.00
Jul 2017
300.00
420.00
Jan 2018
Mariveles, Bataan
1,200.00
2018
300.00
2019/2020
TOTAL COAL
4,560.00
Project Proponent
Mother/ JV Company
Meralco PowerGen
Corporation and Chubu
Electric Power
Location
Rated Capacity
Target
(MW)
Commissioning
Calamba, Laguna
150.00
TBA
150.00
450.00
Dec 2015
AG&P
Limay,
Bataan
(PNOC-AFC Industrial
Estate)
2,400.00
415.00
Sept 2017
Atimonan, Quezon
1,750.00
2018-2019
TOTAL NATGAS
Energy Development
Energy Development
Corporation (EDC)
Corporation (EDC)
Energy Development
Energy Development
Corporation (EDC)
Corporation (EDC)
Energy Development
Energy Development
Corporation (EDC)
Corporation (EDC)
TOTAL GEOTHERMAL
5,015.00
Guinlajon, Sorsogon
40.00
Dec 2018
40.00
Jun 2019
Manito, Albay
40.00
Dec 2019
120.00
Project Proponent
Mother/ JV Company
Location
Rated Capacity
(MW)
Target
Commissioning
Hydrocore, Inc.
Hydrocore, Inc.
Lagawe, Ifugao
4.50
May 2015
3.00
Oct 2015
Libacao, Albay
15.00
Jul 2016
Tinoc, Ifugao
11.00
Dec 2016
Tinoc, Ifugao
5.00
Jun 2017
Peablanca, Cagayan
6.00
Jul 2017
Tinoc, Ifugao
4.10
Apr 2018
Tinoc, Ifugao
5.00
Apr 2018
Constellation Energy
Exelon Corporation
Corporation
Sunwest Water & Electric Co., Sunwest Water & Electric Co., Inc.
Inc. (SUWECO)
(SUWECO)
Philnew Hydro Power
Philnew Hydro Power Corporation
Corporation
Philnew Hydro Power
Philnew Hydro Power Corporation
Corporation
Sunwest Water & Electric Co., Sunwest Water & Electric Co., Inc.
Inc.
(SUWECO)
Quadriver Energy Corp.
Quadriver Energy Corp.
Philnew Hydro Power
Philnew Hydro Power Corporation
Corporation
TOTAL HYDRO
Mirae Asia Energy Corporation
53.60
Currimao, Ilocos Norte
TOTAL WIND
10 MW Serin CorporationRice
Husk-Fired Power Plant
Serin Corporation
20.00
Aug 2014
30.00
Feb 2016
50.00
63.00
Sep 2014
45.00
Aug 2015
72.00
Apr 2017
48.00
Jan 2017
228.00
Tarlac
8.60
TOTAL BIOMASS
8.60
TOTAL
10,185.20
TBA
10