Paper - 2: Strategic Financial Management Questions Index Futures
Paper - 2: Strategic Financial Management Questions Index Futures
QUESTIONS
Index Futures
1.
Mr. Careless was employed with ABC Portfolio Consultants. The work profile of Mr.
Careless involves advising the clients about taking position in Future Market to obtain
hedge in the position they are holding. Mr. ZZZ, their regular client purchased 100,000
shares of X Inc. at a price of $22 and sold 50,000 shares of A plc for $40 each having
beta 2. Mr. Careless advised Mr. ZZZ to take short position in Index Future trading at
$1,000 each contract.
Though Mr. Careless noted the name of A plc along with its beta value during discussion
with Mr. ZZZ but forgot to record the beta value of X Inc.
On next day Mr. ZZZ closed out his position when:
Share price of X Inc. dropped by 2%
Share price of A plc appreciated by 3%
Index Future dropped by 1.5%
Mr. ZZZ, informed Mr. Careless that he has made a loss of $114,500 due to the position
taken. Since record of Mr. Careless was incomplete he approached you to help him to
find the number of contract of Future contract he advised Mr. ZZZ to be short to obtain a
complete hedge and beta value of X Inc.
You are required to find these values.
2.
3.
Sensex futures are traded at a multiple of 50. Consider the following quotations of
Sensex futures in the 10 trading days during February, 2014:
63
Day
High
Low
Closing
4-2-14
3306.4
3290.00
3296.50
5-2-14
3298.00
3262.50
3294.40
6-2-14
3256.20
3227.00
3230.40
7-2-14
3233.00
3201.50
3212.30
10-2-14
3281.50
3256.00
3267.50
11-2-14
3283.50
3260.00
3263.80
12-2-14
3315.00
3286.30
3292.00
14-2-14
3315.00
3257.10
3309.30
17-2-14
3278.00
3249.50
3257.80
18-2-14
3118.00
3091.40
3102.60
Abshishek bought one sensex futures contract on February, 04. The average daily
absolute change in the value of contract is ` 10,000 and standard deviation of these
changes is ` 2,000. The maintenance margin is 75% of initial margin.
You are required to determine the daily balances in the margin account and payment on
margin calls, if any.
Foreign Exchange Risk Management
4.
Sun Ltd. is planning to import equipment from Japan at a cost of 3,400 lakh yen. The
company may avail loans at 18 percent per annum with which it can import the
equipment. The company has also an offer from Osaka branch of an India based bank
extending credit of 180 days at 2 percent per annum against opening of an irrecoverable
letter of credit.
Additional information:
Present exchange rate
An exporter requests his bank to extend the forward contract for US$ 20,000 which is
due for maturity on 31st October, 2014, for a further period of 3 months. He agrees to pay
the required margin money for such extension of the contract.
Contracted Rate US$ 1= ` 62.32
The US Dollar quoted on 31-10-2014:Spot 61.5000/61.5200
3 months Discount -0.93% /0.87%
Margin money from banks point of view for buying and selling rate is 0.45% and 0.20%
respectively.
64
Compute:
6.
(i)
The cost to the importer in respect of the extension of the forward contract, and
(ii)
Columbus Surgicals Inc. is based in US, has recently imported surgical raw materials
from the UK and has been invoiced for 480,000, payable in 3 months. It has also
exported surgical goods to India and France.
The Indian customer has been invoiced for 138,000, payable in 3 months, and the
French customer has been invoiced for 590,000, payable in 4 months.
Current spot and forward rates are as follows:
/ US$
Spot:
0.9830 0.9850
Three months forward: 0.9520 0.9545
US$ /
Spot:
1.8890 1.8920
Four months forward:
1.9510 1.9540
Current money market rates are as follows:
UK:
10.0% 12.0% p.a.
France:
14.0% 16.0% p.a.
USA:
11.5% 13.0% p.a.
You as Treasury Manager are required to show how the company can hedge its foreign
exchange exposure using Forward markets and Money markets hedge and suggest
which the best hedging technique is.
Security Valuation
7.
Suppose Mr. A is offered a 10% Convertible Bond (par value ` 1,000) which either can
be redeemed after 4 years at a premium of 5% or get converted into 25 equity shares
currently trading at ` 33.50 and expected to grow by 5% each year. You are required to
determine the minimum price Mr. A shall be ready to pay for bond if his expected rate of
return is 11%.
8.
The following data is related to 8.5% Fully Convertible (into Equity shares) Debentures
issued by JAC Ltd. at ` 1000.
Market Price of Debenture
Conversion Ratio
Straight Value of Debenture
Market Price of Equity share on the date of Conversion
Expected Dividend Per Share
` 900
30
` 700
` 25
`1
65
A Ltd. has an export sale of ` 50 crore of which 20% is paid by importers in advance of
dispatch and for balance the average collection period is 60 days. However, it has been
observed that these payments have been running late by 18 days. The past experience
indicates that bad debt losses are 0.6% on Sales. The expenditure incurred for efforts in
receivable collection are ` 60,00,000 p.a.
So far A Ltd. had no specific arrangements to deal with export receivables, following two
proposals are under consideration:
(i)
(ii)
Assuming that MIBOR is 6% and A Ltd. can borrow from its bank at MIBOR+2% by using
existing overdraft facility determine the which of the two proposal should be accepted by
A Ltd. (1 Year = 360 days).
Capital Rationing
10. JHK Private Ltd. is considering 3 projects (not mutually exclusive) has no cash reserves,
but could borrow upto ` 60 crore @ of 10% p.a. Though borrowing above this amount is
also possible, but it shall be at a much higher rate of interest.
The initial capital outlay required, the NPV and the duration of each of these project is as
follows:
Initial Capital Outlay (` Crore)
NPV (` Crore)
Duration (Years)
Project X
30.80
5.50
Project Y
38.00
7.20
Project Z
25.60
6.50
Indefinite
66
Other information:
1.
2.
3.
(ii)
M plc
C plc
Combined Entity
4,800,000
3,000,000
9,200,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
12,000,000
12.5%
11.25%
12.00%
Amount
()
Liabilities
Amount
()
13,450,000
11,100,000
24,750,000
5,000,000
54,300,000
67
(ii)
(iii) Floor Value of per share of C plc. Whether it shall play any role in decision for its
acquisition by M plc.
12. Hanky Ltd. and Shanky Ltd. operate in the same field, manufacturing newly born babiess
clothes. Although Shanky Ltd. also has interests in communication equipments, Hanky
Ltd. is planning to take over Shanky Ltd. and the shareholders of Shanky Ltd. do not
regard it as a hostile bid.
The following information is available about the two companies.
Hanky Ltd.
Shanky Ltd.
` 6,50,00,000
` 2,40,00,000
50,00,000
15,00,000
20%
80%
15%
15%
21%
24%
Current earnings
Number of shares
Dividends have just been paid and the retained earnings have already been reinvested in
new projects. Hanky Ltd. plans to adopt a policy of retaining 35% of earnings after the
takeover and expects to achieve a 17% return on new investment.
Saving due to economies of scale are expected to be ` 85,00,000 per annum.
Required return to equity shareholders will fall to 20% due to portfolio effects.
Requirements
(a) Calculate the existing share prices of Hanky Ltd. and Shanky Ltd.
(b) Find the value of Hanky Ltd. after the takeover
(c) Advise Hanky Ltd. on the maximum amount it should pay for Shanky Ltd.
13. A Ltd. (Acquirer companys) equity capital is ` 2,00,00,000. Both A Ltd. and T Ltd.
(Target Company) have arrived at an understanding to maintain debt equity ratio at 0.30 :
1 of the merged company. Pre-merger debt outstanding of A Ltd. stood at ` 20,00,000
and T Ltd at ` 10,00,000 and marketable securities of both companies stood at
` 40,00,000.
You are required to determine whether liquidity of merged company shall remain
comfortable if A Ltd. acquires T Ltd. against cash payment at mutually agreed price of
` 65,00,000.
68
Year 0
Year 1
Year 2
Year - 3
-50,000
-1,500
-2,000
-2,500
-2,00,000
+60,000
+80,000
+1,00,000
It evaluates all investments using nominal cash flows and a nominal discounting rate.
The present exchange rate is African Rand 6 to ` 1.
You are required to calculate the net present value of the proposed investment
considering the following:
(i)
African Rand cash flows are converted into rupees and discounted at a risk
adjusted rate.
(ii)
All cash flows for these projects will be discounted at a rate of 20% to reflect its
high risk.
Year - 2
.694
Year - 1
.833
Year - 3
.579
Portfolio Management
15. Following data is related to Company X, Market Index and Treasury Bonds for the current
year and last 4 years:
Company X
Market Index
Average
Share Price
(P)
Dividend
Per Share
(D)
2010
` 139
` 7.00
1300
3%
7%
2011
` 147
` 8.50
1495
5%
9%
2012
` 163
` 9.00
1520
5.5%
8%
Year
Average
Market
Index
Market
Dividend
Yield
Return on
Treasury
Bonds
2013
2014 (Current Year)
69
` 179
` 9.50
1640
4.75%
8%
` 203.51
` 10.00
1768
5.5%
8%
20
22
22
20
25
18
21
16
18
20
17
19
10
20
11
(i)
(ii)
70
Probability of Failure
0.28
0.25
0.22
0.18
0.18
0.10
In the above table the probability that the project fails in the second year is given that it
has survived throughout year 1. Similarly for year 2 and so forth.
TMC is considering an equity investment in the project. The beta of this type of project is
7. The market return and risk free rate of return are 8% and 6% respectively. You are
required to compute the expected NPV of the venture capital project and advice the
TMC.
20. Write a short note on
(a) Arbitrage Pricing Theory
(b) Conglomerate Merger
(c) Takeover Strategies
(d) Factors affecting investment decision in portfolio management
(e) Role of Investment Banks in Private Placement
SUGGESTED ANSWERS/HINTS
1.
Let the number of contract in Index future be y and Beta of X Inc. be x. Then,
100,000 22 x - 50,000 40 2
=- y*
1,000
* Negative (-) sign indicates the sale (short) position
2,200,000x 4,000,000 = -1,000y
Cash Outlay (Outflow)
2,200,000
2,000,000
71
-1,000y*
200,000 1,000y
* Negative (-) sign indicates the indicates inflow due to sale (short) position
Cash Inflow
2,156,000
2,060,000
-985y
96,000 985y
* Negative (-) sign indicates the indicates outflow due to purchase (long) position
Position on Close Out
Where
S0 = Spot price
n = period
r = risk free rate of interest
y = dividend yield
Accordingly,
Forward Price = 2290 e90/365(0.0416 0.0175)
= 2290 e0.005942
= 2290(1.005960)
= 2303.65
(b) Gain/loss on Long Position after 28 days
72
= Sn S0en(r y)
= 2470.00 2303.65 = 166.35
3.
Initial Margin
= + 3
Where
= Standard Deviation
Accordingly
Initial Margin = ` 10,000 + ` 6,000 = ` 16,000
Maintenance margin = ` 16,000 x 0.75 = ` 12,000
4.
Day
4/2/14
16000
5/2/14
15895
6/2/14
12695
7/2/14
16000
4210
10/2/14
18760
11/2/14
18575
12/2/14
19985
14/2/14
50x(3309.30 - 3292)=865
20850
17/2/14
50x(3257.80 - 3309.30)=-2575
18275
18/2/14
50x(3102.60 - 3257.80)=-7760
16000
5485
(1) WorkingsOption I (To finance the purchases by availing loan at 18% per annum):
Cost of equipment
` in lakhs
1,000.00
90.00
1,090.00
73
` in lakhs
10.00
0.90
10.90
= 1006.13 lakhs
Advise: Option 2 is cheaper by (1090.00 1006.13) lakh or 83.87 lakh. Hence, the
offer may be accepted.
5.
(i)
=`
0.1230
= ` 61.6430 or ` 61.64
US$ 20,000 @ ` 61.64
= ` 12,32,800
= ` 12,46,400
=`
13,600
= ` 61.5000
= ` 0.5720
= ` 60.9280
= ` 0.2742
= ` 60.6538 or ` 60.65
6.
Exposure
Since Columbus has a receipt ( 138,000) and payment of ( 480,000) maturing at the
same time i.e. 3 months, it can match them against each other leaving a net liability of
342,000 to be hedged.
(i)
= US$ 359,244
74
(ii)
= 333,658
= US$ 339,429.
= US$ 350,460.
Amount to be hedged
= 590,000
1.9510 1.9540
(ii)
= US$ 1,151,090
= 560,144
= US$ 1,058,073
deposit amount will increase over 3 months (@3.83% interest) will be [$1058073 X
1.0383]
= US$ 1,098,597
In this case, more will be received in US$ under the forward hedge.
7.
75
R = Conversion Ratio
n = No. of years
Accordingly, CV shall be
= ` 33.50 x 1.054 x 25 = ` 33.50 x 1.2155 x 25 = ` 1017.98
Value of Bond if Conversion is opted = ` 100 x PVAF (11%, 4) + ` 1017.98 PVF (11%,4)
= ` 100 x 3.102 + ` 1017.98 x 0.659
= ` 310.20 + ` 670.85 = ` 981.05
Since above value of Bond is based on the expectation of growth in market price which may
or may not as per expectations. In such circumstances the redemption at premium still shall
be guaranteed and bond may be purchased at its floor value computed as follows:
Value of Bond if Redemption is opted = ` 100 x PVAF (11%, 4) + ` 1050 PVF (11%,4)
= ` 100 x 3.102 + ` 1050 x 0.659
= ` 310.20 + ` 691.95 = ` 1002.15
8.
= ` 30
*
30
1 =
` 900
1 = 28.6%
`700
76
`85- 30 `1
= ` 1.833
30
(h) Premium pay back period
=
9.
`5
= 2.73 years
`1.833
Working Notes:
` 50 crore
` 10 crore
` 40 crore
` 0.24 crore
78
360
` 8.67 crore
Due to non-recourse factoring agreement there will be saving of bad debt. A Ltd. can
choose one option out of these options:
(a) Using Factoring Services (Debt Collection) only.
(b) Using Factoring and Finance Services i.e. above services in combination of cash
advance.
Since, cash advance rate is lower by 0.25% (2.00% - 1.75%), A Ltd. should take
advantage of the same.
Particulars
Amount (`)
(0.80 crore)
0.60 crore
0.24 crore
0.01734 crore
0.05734 crore
77
Particulars
Amount (`)
(0.180 crore)
0.204 crore
0.03251 crore
0.05651 crore
Project X
Project Y
Project Z
5.50
7.20
6.50
6 years
7 years
Indefinite
PVAF@12% (3)
4.111
4.564
8.33
1.34
1.58
0.780
II
III
Ranking
Combinations
Initial Investments
(` Crore)
NPV
(` Crore)
Possible/Not
Possible
Ranking
30.80
5.50
Possible
IV
38.00
7.20
Possible
II
25.60
6.50
Possible
III
XY
30.80+38.00 = 68.80
12.70
Not Possible
YZ
38.00+25.60 = 63.60
13.70
Not Possible
XZ
30.80+25.60= 56.40
12.00
Possible
78
1.
` 7.00 crore
2.
Subsidized Loan
0.372
0.310
(0.093)
0.589
5.335
3.1423
Value of C plc =
0.1125- 0
5,000,000
5,000,000
k -g
e
12,000,000
0.12- 0
= 35,555,556
= 7.11
29,750,000
4,000,000
35,555,556
= 5.95
6,000,000
0.125- 0
= 48,000,000
= 100,000,000
Value of Synergy = Value of Combined Entity Individual Value of M plc and C plc
79
Minimum price per share C plc should accept from M plc is 5.95 (current book
value).
(ii) Maximum price per share M plc shall be willing to offer to C plc shall be computed
as follows:
=
=
52,000,000
5,000,000
= 10.40
(iii) Floor Value of per share of C plc shall be 4 (current market price) and it shall not
play any role in decision for the acquisition of C plc as it is lower than its current
book value.
12. (a) Existing share price of Hanky Ltd.
g=rxb
r = 15%
b = 20%
g = 0.15 x 0.2
= 0.03
Ex dividend market value =
0.21 0.03
= ` 29,75,55,556
`29,75,55,556
= ` 59.51 per share
5000000
2,40,00,000 x 0.2x1.12
= ` 4,48,00,000
0.24 - 0.12
80
` 4,48,00,000
= ` 29.87 per share
1500000
Care must be taken in calculating next years dividend and the subsequent growth
rate. Next years earnings are already determined, because both companies have
already reinvested their retained earnings at the current rate of return. In addition,
they will get cost savings of ` 85,00,000.
The dividend actually paid out at the end of next year will be determined by the new
35% retention and the future growth rate will take into account the increased return
on new investment.
Growth rate for combined firm, g = 0.17 x 0.35 = 0.06
New cost of equity
Next years earnings
= 20%
= ` 6,50,00,000 x 1.03 + ` 2,40,00,000 x 1.12 + ` 85,00,000
= ` 10,23,30,000
Next years dividend
= ` 10,23,30,000 x 0.65
= ` 6,65,14,500
Market value
` 6,65,14,50 0
= ` 47,51,03,571
0.20 - 0.06
Combined value
= ` 47,51,03,571
= ` 29,75,55,556
= ` 17,75,48,015
13.
`
Debt capacity of merged company (2,00,00,000 0.30)
60,00,000
30,00,000
30,00,000
40,00,000
70,00,000
Since the combined liquidity of merged company shall remain comfortable, it shall be
feasible to pay cash for acquiring the T Ltd. against tentative price of ` 65,00,000.
14.
81
(000)
Calculation of NPV
Year
Inflation factor in India
Inflation factor in Africa
Exchange Rate (as per IRP)
Cash Flows in ` 000
Real
Nominal (1)
Cash Flows in African Rand 000
Real
Nominal
In Indian ` 000 (2)
Net Cash Flow in ` 000 (1)+(2)
PVF@20%
PV
0
1.00
1.00
6.00
1
1.10
1.40
7.6364
2
1.21
1.96
9.7190
3
1.331
2.744
12.3696
-50000
-50000
-1500
-1650
-2000
-2420
-2500
-3327.50
-200000
-200000
-33333
-83333
1
-83333
60000
84000
11000
9350
0.833
7789
80000
156800
16133
13713
0.694
9517
100000
274400
22183
18855.50
0.579
10917
(i)
` 203.51(1+g) = `139
Then g = (203.51/139) -1 = 0.10 i.e. 10%
(ii)
Dividend/Share Price
`7.00/`139
`8.50/ `147
`9.00/ `163
`9.50/ `179
`10.00/ `203.51
Dividend Yield
0.050
0.058
0.055
0.053
0.049
0.265
82
(ii)
16. (i)
Period R X R M R R X R R M
M
X
(R
)(
R X RM RM
) (R
RM
20
22
10
50
100
22
20
56
64
25
18
10
60
36
21
16
24
16
18
20
24
64
-5
-20
-4
80
16
17
-6
-18
-36
324
19
-7
-28
49
-7
-22
-6
132
36
10
20
11
-1
-5
357
706
150 120
R X R M
R X = 15 R M = 12
2
(R X R X )(R M R M ) (R M R M )
RM RM
= 706 = 70.60
n
10
Cov X M =
Beta x =
(ii)
83
R X R M R M
= 357
n
10
= 35.70
Cov X M m 35.70
= 0.505
=
70.60
2M
R X = 15 R M = 12
y = + x
15 = + 0.505 12
Alpha () = 15 (0.505 12)
= 8.94%
Characteristic line for security X = + RM
Where,
`
Operating Profit
Add: Cost of unutilized Advertisement Expenditures
20,20,00,000
2,00,00,000
22,20,00,000
V
V
company = equity E + Bdebt D
V0
V0
Note: Since debt is not given it is assumed that company debt capital is virtually
riskless.
84
VE
V0
as debt = 0
` 60 lakhs
` 100 lakhs
= 0.9
(2) Companys cost of equity = Rf + A Risk premium
Where
60,00,000
100,00,000
+8%
40,00,000
100,00,000
60,00,000
1,00,00,000
+ 8%
40,00,000
1,00,00,000
= 17%
In case of expansion of the companys present business, the same rate of return i.e.
13.40% will be used. However, in case of diversification into new business the risk
profile of new business is likely to be different. Therefore, different discount factor
has to be worked out for such business.
19. Impact of Financial Restructuring
(i)
First we shall find out the probability the venture capital project survives to the end
of six years.
Year
85
(1 0.28) = 0.72
Next using CAPM we shall compute the cost of equity to compute the Present Value
of Cash Flows
Ke= Rf + (Rm Rf)
= 6% +7 (8% 6%) = 20%
(iii) Now we shall compute the net present value of the project
The present value of cash inflow after 6 years
(`600 Crore PVIF 20%)
` 201 Crore
` 45 Crore
`156 Crore
(` 45 Crores)
`6.255 Crores
86
In APT, E (Ri) = Rf +
1i1 + 2 i2 + 3 i3 + 4 i4
Where, 1, 2 , 3 , 4 are average risk premium for each of the four factors in the
Take Over Strategies: Other than Tender Offer the acquiring company can also use
the following techniques:
Street Sweep: This refers to the technique where the acquiring company
accumulates larger number of shares in a target before making an open offer.
The advantage is that the target company is left with no choice but to agree to
the proposal of acquirer for takeover.
Bear Hug: When the acquirer threatens the target to make an open offer, the
board of target company agrees to a settlement with the acquirer for change of
control.
Brand Power: This refers to entering into an alliance with powerful brands to
displace the targets brands and as a result, buyout the weakened company.
(i)
87
Selection of investment
(a) What types of securities to buy or invest in? There is a wide variety of
investments opportunities available i.e. debentures, convertible bonds,
preference shares, equity shares, government securities and bonds, income
units, capital units etc.
(b) What should be the proportion of investment in fixed interest/dividend
securities and variable interest/dividend bearing securities?
(c)
(d) Once industries with high growth potential have been identified, the next step
is to select the particular companies, in whose shares or securities
investments are to be made.
(iii) Timing of purchase: At what price the share is acquired for the portfolio
depends entirely on the timing decision. It is obvious if a person wishes to
make any gains, he should buy cheap and sell dear i.e. buy when the shares
are selling at a low price and sell when they are at a high price.
(e) The investment banker's work involved in a private placement is quite similar to sellside M&A representation. The bankers attempt to find a buyer by writing the private
Placement Memorandum (PPM) and then contacting potential strategic or financial
buyers of the client.
Because private placements involve selling equity and debt to a single buyer, the
investor and the seller (the company) typically negotiate the terms of the deal.
Investment bankers function as negotiators for the company, helping to convince
the investor of the value of the firm. Fees involved in private placements work like
those in public offerings. Usually they are a fixed percentage of the size of the
transaction.