CPEC and Its Challenges
CPEC and Its Challenges
CPEC and Its Challenges
Pakistan
Massarrat Abid
Ayesha Ashfaq
Abstract
China and Pakistan have agreed to build One Belt One
Road project more commonly known as China-Pakistan
Economic Corridor is expected to bring about both peace
and prosperity in South Asia. This corridor will incorporate
2,000 kilometer transport link between Kashgar in northwestern China to Pakistans Gwadar port on the Arabian Sea
near the border with Iran via roads, railways and pipelines.
There are many internal and external challenges for Pakistan
government to implement this multi-dollars project.
However, it is a game changer project which will transform
the fate of Pakistan and will help Pakistan modernize. It will
improve the economy and trade, enhance regional
connectivity, overcome energy crises, develop infrastructure
and establish people to people contacts in both the
countries. This study helps to analyze the challenges and
benefits for Pakistan associated with the implementation of
China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.
Introduction
The 21st century has seen the establishment of regional
and global strategic environment around the world. This
143
strategic environment encourages geo-economical and geostrategic partnership among countries. Both the state
interests and national security are important parameters of
this partnership. States have defined their interests and have
reshaped their policies because they have realized that it is
not possible for them to defend their interests with their own
capacities. High-level talks and diplomatic consultations are
the hallmark of ever-growing cooperation among states in
multi-faceted fields such as industrial ventures, infrastructure
and development programmes, defense, commerce and
related area of the economy.1
China was regarded as a sleeping giant in earlier decades.
But now, China is playing a core role not only in the Asian
region but in the entire world. Being the largest country in
the world population-wise and fast becoming economically
as big as it is demographically, it has finally succumbed to
the charms of multilateral diplomacy which it had been
known to ignore during the earlier decades. The other
reason behind the changes in the Chinese foreign strategy is
economic stemming from its rising energy demands.2
The Chinese President, Hu Jintao, who took office in
2003, explained his countrys Good Neighbour Policy as
part of a new strategy of peaceful development which China
sought to promote as an interdependent, rather than
competitive, relationship with its neighboring countries and
the world. In cynic with this strategy, China has turned its
nearest regions into a new regional trade hub.
Regional connectivity is one of the most important
aspects of Pakistan foreign policy. Pakistan has also been
trying to cultivate good relations with its neighboring
countries. Maintaining worthy and good relationship with
China has been an integral part of Pakistans foreign policy
objectives, as China is Pakistans strategic partner; it helps
Pakistan in maintaining balance of power in the region.
Pak-China ties have kept growing and have strengthened
ever since 1951 when their friendship began. China has
always been a key component of Pakistans foreign policy so
144
145
146
Historical perspective
The vision for an economic route between China and
Pakistan stretches as far back as the Musharraf era. This idea
147
Infrastructure
The CPEC, the construction period for which is from
2014 to 2030, has integrated links with the Chinese One
Belt, One Road and an extension of Chinas proposed 21st
century Silk Road initiative. Implementation of the projects
under the CPEC has been divided into three phases. The
short-term projects are estimated to be completed by 2017;
148
Gwadar port
Gwadar is actually the tail of the silk belt, which will
connect Kashgar through different communication networks.
Gwadar holds central place in the project of the ChinaPakistan Economic Corridor because without making the
Gwadar Port fully functional, it would be difficult to see the
anticipated corridor as an energy corridor that appears as
one of its main objectives behind the construction of the
CPEC. Located near the Strait of Hormuz, which channels
about one third of the world's oil trade, Gwadar could play a
key role in ensuring China's energy security as it provides a
much shorter route than the current 12,900km route from
the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Malacca to China's
eastern seaboard.12
It has been said that Gwadar will also put China and
Pakistan in a strategically advantageous position along the
Arabian Sea compounding the existing Indian concerns that
stem from China's involvement in nearby ports such as
Hambantota in Sri Lanka, Sittwe in Myanmar and
Chittagong in Bangladesh.13
On the other hand, as India is also energy hungry it
looks forward to developing Irans Chabahar Port. In
October 2014, India decided to develop Chabahar Port,
which many believe is to open up a route to landlocked
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
Security concerns
Security concerns have been the most critical challenge
to the CPEC and both Pakistan and China have been trying
to meet these. An arc of militancy stretches from Xinjiang to
Gwadar consisting of groups like the East Turkestan Islamic
Movement (ETIM), Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP),
Lashkar-e-Jhangvi
(LeJ),
Daesh
(ISIS),Balochistan
Liberation Army (BLA), Balochistan Liberation Front
(BLF) and the militant wings of some political parties. Most
of these groups may not have an enmity with China itself but
rather intend to attacks the Chinese interests like the CPEC
as a means to deal with the Pakistani state.37
Gwadar is the tail of the Silk belt, which will connect at
Kashgar through different communication networks. The
security of the whole corridor and Gwadar is a real concern
for China. After the military operation in different parts of
Pakistan, the terrorist infrastructure still exists inside and
outside of the borders which will continue to pose a threat.38
156
157
While the Chabahar project has not yet been started due
to the ongoing talks on the Iranian nuclear issue, the Gwadar
port has already become functional. However, there is no
need for contention between these two ports. Iran has a
stake in the CPEC through the proposal to link the Iran
Pakistan gas pipeline with China, which has been described
as a common interest between the three countries. 42
Indian involvement in Chabahar is linked to Pakistans
refusal to allow India access of transit to and from
Afghanistan, so India sees Iran as the next-best option. If
Pakistan extends transit facilities to India, and then India
may not be interested in building up Chabahar. In recent
years, India has been particularly active in engaging Central
Asian states for the sake of pursuing energy deals. India can
be easily accommodated via the CPEC itself through eastern
interface in Punjab and Sind and transformed into a
stakeholder in the success of both Gwadar and the CPEC.43
158
Indian Concerns
The dice of connectivity loaded by China has left India
confused and bewildered. India is also concerned about
Chinas huge investment in Pakistan, particularly its recent
decision to fund for China Pakistan Economic Corridor.
China is also helping Pakistan in producing plutonium at the
Chinese built Kyushu reactor and will also sell 8 submarines
worth $5 billion, which will give a quantum jump to Pak
Navys sea capability.
After the completion of CPEC, Pakistan may become a
trade hub in the region after Gwadar Port starts functioning
fully and duty-free economic zones are set up. Many Central
Asian states have also expressed interest in becoming part of
the corridor. This strategic partnership between Pakistan
and China has upset India that openly voiced its opposition
and even premier Narendra Modi pressed the president of
China during his visit to Beijing to drop the plan of
developing the corridor. However, China did not cave in to
the pressure and vowed to push ahead with work on the
project.
India is also not happy with the handing over of Gwadar
Port development and its operations to China. There have
long been reports that Delhi is fuelling insurgency in
Balochistan, which is rich in oil and gas resources, but poor
law and order conditions have halted work on exploration
159
160
161
Infrastructure development
Infrastructure development including the development
of roads, ports and highways is another important segment
of CPEC. This project basically will improve Pakistans
162
Economic Development
China Pakistan Economic Corridor will help build a
robust and stable economy in Pakistan and will create a
significant opportunity for Pakistan to revive its industry and
advance its economic interests. It will also help in
overcoming the psychological barriers to flows of foreign
investment from other sources. Despite its restrictive
economic regime, over 150 private equity funds, foreign and
domestic, are active in India. Only three or four such funds
are dedicated to investing government, with the participation
of the private sector, to encourage foreign direct investment
in Pakistan is indispensable.59Finance Minister Ishaq Dar
said war phobia can also be defeated through economic
163
Removal of poverty
CPEC is a game changer project which will lift millions
of Pakistanis out of poverty and misery. The project
embraces the construction of textile garment, industrial park
projects, construction of dams, the installation of nuclear
reactors and creating networks of road, railway line which
will generate employment and people will also take
ownership of these projects. 61Fully equipped hospitals,
technical and vocational training institutes, water supply and
distribution in undeveloped areas will also improve the
quality of life of people.
164
Recommendations
165
Conclusion
China Pakistan Economic Corridor is the game changer
project which will incorporate a 2,000 kilometer transport
link between Kashgar in northwestern China to the Gwadar
port on the Arabian Sea near the border with Iran. When
this corridor will be completed, oil from the Middle East
could be off loaded at Gwadar, which is located just outside
the mouth of the Gulf, and transported to China through
Balochistan and over the Karakoram Mountain. There are
many challenges for Pakistan in implementing this project.
At the same time, Pakistan will have many benefits from this
corridor.
166
Ibid
18 Ibid
19 Rana, Shahbaz. (2015, April 16).Eastern corridor
route: Pakistan, China to sign infrastructure financing
deals. TheTribune. Islamabad.
20 http://forpakistan.org/fpdata/costs-and-benefits-ofcpec.
21 Ibid
22 www.economist.com/news/asia/21653657-conflictbalochistan-must-be-resolved-trade-corridor-betweenpakistan-and-china-bring
23 http://tribune.com.pk/story/873432/baloch-ireprompts-security-fears-for-china-pakistan-economiccorridor.
24 www.economist.com/news/asia/21653657-conflictbalochistan-must-be-resolved-trade-corridor-betweenpakistan-and-china-bring
25 http://www.ipripak.org/cpec-and-the-baluchistan
factor/#sthash.05TR0DCE.dpuf
26 Ahmad, Waqar. (2015, 14 July). Balochistan, CPECanother view. The Daily Times. Islamabad
27 www.zameer36.com/why-baloch-leader-opposes-cpec/
28 www.economist.com/news/asia/21653657-conflictbalochistan-must-be-resolved-trade-corridor-betweenpakistan-and-china-bring
29 www.tribune.com.pk/story/873432/baloch-ireprompts-security-fears-for-china-pakistan-economiccorridor/
30 www.ipripak.org/cpec-and-the-baluchistanfactor/#sthash.05TR0DCE.dpuf
31 Staff Report.(2015,7 February).Committee criticizes
NHA chief for Changing Economic Corridor route.
The Dawn
167
168
169