CPEC and Its Challenges

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CPEC: Challenges and Opportunities for

Pakistan

Massarrat Abid
Ayesha Ashfaq

Abstract
China and Pakistan have agreed to build One Belt One
Road project more commonly known as China-Pakistan
Economic Corridor is expected to bring about both peace
and prosperity in South Asia. This corridor will incorporate
2,000 kilometer transport link between Kashgar in northwestern China to Pakistans Gwadar port on the Arabian Sea
near the border with Iran via roads, railways and pipelines.
There are many internal and external challenges for Pakistan
government to implement this multi-dollars project.
However, it is a game changer project which will transform
the fate of Pakistan and will help Pakistan modernize. It will
improve the economy and trade, enhance regional
connectivity, overcome energy crises, develop infrastructure
and establish people to people contacts in both the
countries. This study helps to analyze the challenges and
benefits for Pakistan associated with the implementation of
China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.

Introduction
The 21st century has seen the establishment of regional
and global strategic environment around the world. This

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143

strategic environment encourages geo-economical and geostrategic partnership among countries. Both the state
interests and national security are important parameters of
this partnership. States have defined their interests and have
reshaped their policies because they have realized that it is
not possible for them to defend their interests with their own
capacities. High-level talks and diplomatic consultations are
the hallmark of ever-growing cooperation among states in
multi-faceted fields such as industrial ventures, infrastructure
and development programmes, defense, commerce and
related area of the economy.1
China was regarded as a sleeping giant in earlier decades.
But now, China is playing a core role not only in the Asian
region but in the entire world. Being the largest country in
the world population-wise and fast becoming economically
as big as it is demographically, it has finally succumbed to
the charms of multilateral diplomacy which it had been
known to ignore during the earlier decades. The other
reason behind the changes in the Chinese foreign strategy is
economic stemming from its rising energy demands.2
The Chinese President, Hu Jintao, who took office in
2003, explained his countrys Good Neighbour Policy as
part of a new strategy of peaceful development which China
sought to promote as an interdependent, rather than
competitive, relationship with its neighboring countries and
the world. In cynic with this strategy, China has turned its
nearest regions into a new regional trade hub.
Regional connectivity is one of the most important
aspects of Pakistan foreign policy. Pakistan has also been
trying to cultivate good relations with its neighboring
countries. Maintaining worthy and good relationship with
China has been an integral part of Pakistans foreign policy
objectives, as China is Pakistans strategic partner; it helps
Pakistan in maintaining balance of power in the region.
Pak-China ties have kept growing and have strengthened
ever since 1951 when their friendship began. China has
always been a key component of Pakistans foreign policy so

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much so that in 1970, Pakistan played a key role in arranging


Nixons visit to Beijing.
With the support of China, Pakistan has gained
significant importance not only in the region but the entire
world. In recent years, both China and Pakistan have been
making concerted efforts to revive the historic Silk Road
which is one of the oldest known trade route in the world
and will provide a route for trade from Kashgar (China) to
Gwadar (Pakistan). China-Pakistan Economic Corridor plan
will help Pakistan to become one of the most strategically
important countries in the region. It will also provide an
opportunity to China to build a naval base on Gwadar port
that will increase influence of China in the region and also
counter US influence in the Asia-Pacific region. The CBS
News quoted some Western diplomats on Pakistan-China
partnership. According to them, Chinas increasing
economic engagement with Pakistan should be seen in the
context of Beijings efforts to counter the US efforts to
deepen alliances around the Asia-Pacific region.3

The Concept of One Belt and One Road


The One Belt One Road concept has international
strategic importance. The One Belt One Road initiative
covers countries and regions with a total population of 4.4
billion and a total economic volume of US$ 21 trillion, 63
percent and 29 percent respectively of the Worlds total.4
According to the assessment of the Corridor, the plan is
involved in laying the foundation for regional cooperation,
improving economic growth, offering trade diversifications,
investing in transportation, mining and energy sectors and
creating political flexibility. It is a vision with world-changing
implications, an unfolding plan that would weave much of
Asia, Europe, Africa, Oceania and the Middle East much
more closely together through a patchwork of diplomacy,
new infrastructure and free trade zones.5

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145

The One Belt one Road Project consists of three


routes, southern, central and northern route. The southern
corridor begins from Guangzhou, which is the third largest
city of China in South Central China. This route moves
towards western parts of China and connects Kashgar with
Pakistan at Kunjarab a point from where China wants to
link to Gwadar port in the Arabian Sea. It is the shortest and
the most feasible option for China.6
The second Chinese option is the Central Corridor that
starts from Shanghai and links the country to Tashkent,
Tehran and onwards to Bandar Imam Khomeini Port of
Iran on the Persian Gulf. One of its branches goes up
towards Europe. This is the longer route but could be an
option, if Pakistan does not deliver on the timelines of
completing its road network to become a beneficiary of the
New Silk Road Economic Belt. The third Chinese option is
the Northern Corridor that starts from Beijing, passes
through Russia, and links it to European cities.7

China Pakistan Economic Corridor


Recognizing the fact that regional integration is an
inevitable measure to meet the demands of economically
globalized world, the notion of Silk Road was reformulated
and rephrased by China in 2013 under one road, one belt
initiative i.e., Economic Belt along the Silk Road and the
Maritime Silk Road.8

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Pakistan is a significant partner for China as it links


China to the Central Asia, Southern Asian region and
Middle East and its major deep-sea port Gwadar offers
direct access to the Indian Ocean and beyond. Both
countries have been working on enhancing their
coordination and strategic communication to safeguard
common interests. China Pakistan Economic Corridor
(CPEC) represents a new model of Pakistan and China
cooperation which will serve against the backdrop of
complex and changing regional and international situations.
China and Pakistan have developed strong bilateral trade
and economic ties and cooperation over the years. China
has gradually emerged as Pakistans major trading partner
both in terms of exports and imports. Bilateral trade and
commercial links between the two countries were established
in January 1963 when both signed the first bilateral longterm trade agreement.9 Both countries signed Free Trade
Agreement (FTA) on November 24, 2006 and implemented
from July 1, 2007. Later on, both signed the FTA on Trade
in Services on February 21, 2009 that became active from
October 10 that year.
CPEC is an under-construction mega-project which will
achieve the political and economic objectives through trade
and development and will also strengthen the economic and
trade cooperation between the two countries. This corridor
will also be helpful in creating regional stability in South
Asia.
After completion of the corridor, it will function as a
primary gateway for trade between China and Africa and the
Middle East. It is expected that this corridor will help cut the
12,000 kilometer route which Middle East oil supplies must
now take to reach the Chinese ports.

Historical perspective
The vision for an economic route between China and
Pakistan stretches as far back as the Musharraf era. This idea

CPEC: Challenges and Opportunities for Pakistan

147

speculated for many years, gained traction in May 2013


when Chinese Premier Li Keqiang emphasized the
construction of the CPEC during his visit to Pakistan. He
signed the landmark CPEC agreement at that time. In the
same year, Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif visited
Beijing and signed eight agreements approximately costing
$18 billion that included building around 200 kilometers
tunnels for the CPEC. Pakistans President Mamnoon
Hussain visited China in February 2014 to discuss the plans
of the corridor. In the same year, Pakistans Prime Minister
Nawaz Sharif again visited China and signed 19 agreements
with China. At that time, the Chinese banks and companies
pledged over US$ 45.6 billion for energy and infrastructureprojects along the corridor. The agreements proved a
deepening strategic linkage between the two countries.
Chinese President Xi Jinping visited Pakistan in April
2015. This was the second visit of a Chinese leader in
Pakistan in 21st century after Hu Jintao's visit to Pakistan in
2006. Xi was to visit Pakistan in 2014 during his South Asia
trip to Maldives, Sri Lanka and India. It was postponed due
to political unrest in Pakistan. During his visit, a total of 51
agreements were signed between China and Pakistan having
worth of $46 billion which also included the development of
China Pakistan Economic Corridor. The $46 billion
investment China intends to commit to Pakistan under the
CPEC is impressive. The amount exceeds all foreign direct
investment Pakistan has received in the past several years,
and is considerably more than all the aid Pakistan has
received from the US since 9/11.10

Infrastructure
The CPEC, the construction period for which is from
2014 to 2030, has integrated links with the Chinese One
Belt, One Road and an extension of Chinas proposed 21st
century Silk Road initiative. Implementation of the projects
under the CPEC has been divided into three phases. The
short-term projects are estimated to be completed by 2017;

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midterm-term by 2025, and the long-term by 2030.11. The


overall construction costs are estimated at $46 billion. It is
the network of highways, railways and pipelines to transport
oil and gas.
The first phase comprises development at Gwadar Port
and the construction of an international airport. It will be
completed in 2017. The Karakoram Highway connecting
the two countries will also be widened, while the rail network
between Peshawar in the north and Karachi in southern
Pakistan will be upgraded. The two countries also have a
plan of fiber-optic communication links.

Gwadar port
Gwadar is actually the tail of the silk belt, which will
connect Kashgar through different communication networks.
Gwadar holds central place in the project of the ChinaPakistan Economic Corridor because without making the
Gwadar Port fully functional, it would be difficult to see the
anticipated corridor as an energy corridor that appears as
one of its main objectives behind the construction of the
CPEC. Located near the Strait of Hormuz, which channels
about one third of the world's oil trade, Gwadar could play a
key role in ensuring China's energy security as it provides a
much shorter route than the current 12,900km route from
the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Malacca to China's
eastern seaboard.12
It has been said that Gwadar will also put China and
Pakistan in a strategically advantageous position along the
Arabian Sea compounding the existing Indian concerns that
stem from China's involvement in nearby ports such as
Hambantota in Sri Lanka, Sittwe in Myanmar and
Chittagong in Bangladesh.13
On the other hand, as India is also energy hungry it
looks forward to developing Irans Chabahar Port. In
October 2014, India decided to develop Chabahar Port,
which many believe is to open up a route to landlocked

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149

Afghanistan, where India has developed close security ties


and economic interests.14
The port has the potential to serve as a secure outlet as
well as a storage and trans-shipment hub for the Middle East
and Central Asia oil and gas suppliers through a well-defined
corridor passing through Pakistan.15
The operational control of the port will enable Chinas
access to the Indian Ocean, which is strategically important
for China as it expands its influence across the region.
Gwadar port will be connected with Chinas western
province of Xingjiang through rail and road links. China
eastern seaboards are 3,500 km away from the city of
Kashgar in western China while the distance from Kashgar
to Gwadar port is only 1500 km. 16

Geography of China Pakistan Economic Corridor


in Pakistan
This project will run through most of Pakistan starting
from Gwadar in Balochistan and ending in Kashgar in
western China, while passing through parts of Punjab, Sindh,
Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provinces and GilgitBaltistan in northern Pakistan to reach the Khunjrab Pass
and beyond to China.
Pakistan has prepared a plan to construct three corridors
after active consultation with the Chinese authorities; these
are the eastern alignment, the central alignment and the
western alignment.
The eastern alignment of the corridor originates from
Gwadar, travels parallel to the Makran Coastal Highway
eastwards (towards Karachi), and then after passing through
parts of interior Sindh, and southern, central and northern
regions of Punjab, it reaches Islamabad. From Islamabad, it
extends to Haripur, Abbottabad and Mansehra districts of
the relatively peaceful Hazara Division in KP this part of
the corridor will also run through Muzaffarabad, the capital
of Azad Jammu and Kashmirand reaches Khunjrab after

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passing through Diamer and Gilgit areas in northern


Pakistan. The corridor will also run through the Pamir
Plateau and Karakoram mountains. A link from Taxila
through Peshawar and Torkhum will connect the eastern
alignment of the corridor to Jalalabad in Afghanistan.
Regional connectivity with India through the eastern
alignment is designed to be provided through the
Hyderabad-Mirpurkhas-Khokhrapar-Zero Point link and the
Wagha border, Lahore. 17
Western alignment was the original alignment which the
government says has been deferred until the eastern
alignment of the corridor is completed. According to the
western alignment plan, the economic corridor (highway and
railway) starts from Gwadar and runs through some southern
and eastern districts of Balochistan (Khuzdar and Dera
Bugti, respectively), and some districts in South Punjab to
reach D.I. Khan in KP. From D.I. Khan, it further extends
to Islamabad and Abbottabad and from there onwards, the
route is the same as in the eastern alignment. The western
alignment will have an additional regional connectivity link
to Afghanistan through Chaman and will connect with Iran
through Quetta-Kho-e-Taftan link.18

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151

The work on central alignment will be completed later


whereas construction on some parts of Gwadar-Dera Ismail
Khan via Quetta route. The argument that some parts of the
country are being deprived of the corridors benefits may be
true in the short-term but, in the longer term all these cities
will be connected to the corridor. All provincial capitals are
included as nodes, the key corner stones of CPEC on which
it will be constructed. These nodes are at Peshawar,
Islamabad, Lahore, Sukkar, Karachi, Gwadar and Quetta.19

Challenges for Pakistan


Pakistan faces several challenges in the implementation
of the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) project.
These challenges can be identified as external and internal.
The Vice Director General of Policy Research Office at the
International Department of the Central Committee
Communist Party of China, Dr. Luan Jianzhang is of the
view that political unrest, security situation and
administrative issues are some of the greatest challenges in
the way of successful completion of the corridor.
The construction of the corridor has been defined by
many as a strategic moment such that Pakistan has assumed
the position of economic pivot for the whole region. This
paradigm shift in circumstances is a cause of great worry for
the enemies of Pakistan both within and outside. India,
Israel and the US are unhappy. For India, CPEC is a thorn
in its paw. They have put their heads together to work out
new strategies to block the project forward march. RAW has
opened a special office in Delhi and has been allotted $300
million to disrupt CPEC. Already one can notice sudden
upsurge in the acts of terror in the three restive regions and
activation of certain NGOs and think tanks all trying to air
misgivings and create fear psychosis. 20
In Pakistan, some political parties like ANP, Baloch
nationalists, PkMAP raised serious objections to the CPEC
project. Even PTI and JUI (F) showed inclinations to climb

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the bandwagon of anti-CPEC forces. Objections were being


raised despite assurances by the government that this project
will provide equal opportunities to all the provinces.21
There are numerous internal and external challenges for
Pakistan over Pakistan China One Belt One Road Project.
Here some very serious challenges have been described.

CPEC and Balochistan Factor


Balochistan is one of the most important areas of
Pakistan; a surprising location for what officials hope will
become one of the worlds great trade routes, linking the
deepwater port of Gwadar with the city of Kashgar.22 This
province has been dogged for over a decade by a bloody
separatist insurgency. Baloch insurgents, who oppose
Balochistan specially Gwadars development have blown up
numerous gas pipelines and trains and have attacked
Chinese engineers.23They do not want to see Balochistan to
develop as an economic and trade hub unless it becomes
independent. They fear that if Balochistan develops and
Gwadar port becomes a thriving port, then outsiders would
move in. That could weigh the provinces demographic
balance even further against the Balochs.24
Ethno-sectarian is another important cause of insurgency
in Balochistan as if this was not enough for keeping
Balochistan tense, controversy over China Pakistan
Economic Corridor project (CPEC) has added more fuel to
the blaze. Going by the history of the earlier Balochistan
related mega projects, the CPEC is likely to become
increasingly contentious.25 Muhammad Ali Talpur in an
article under the caption A few questions answered wrote:
The China Pakistan Economic Corridor is the center of
interest for China, Pakistan and, naturally the world, as all
perceive it according to the strategic and economic
advantages and disadvantages it holds for them, whatever
importance it may hold for others, it is extremely important

CPEC: Challenges and Opportunities for Pakistan

153

for the Baloch whose lives it will destroy in the name of


development.26
Various separatist leaders of the Balochistan province
are opposing the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor
(CPEC). In this respect, Brahamdagh Bugti, the leader of
the outlawed Baloch Republican Party (BRP), criticized the
CPEC and Gwadar port projects and called for an UNsponsored referendum in Balochistan to decide its future.
He alleged the military equipment and funds obtained by
Pakistan from the US and other western countries for
combating terrorists and extremist groups were also being
used against the democratic and political struggle of the
Baloch people.27
There have been occasional kidnappings and killings of
Chinese workers in Balochistan. Baloch separatists attacked
tankers carrying fuel to a Chinese company working on a
mining project. Gwadar port, which was recently put under
the management of a Chinese state-owned company, is a
particular target. Militants do not want to see it
developed.28Siddiq Baloch, editor of the Balochistan Express
newspaper, said the rebels want to scare off investors and
developers who are working with the Pakistani government
such as the Chinese. He further said that there is the
thinking that by doing this, they want to disrupt the working
of the economy, disrupt the administration and challenge the
administration in the area.29
It is high time that concerns of Balochistan are
addressed prudently. For a project as big as the CPEC,
which is potentially a game-changer for the economy of all
the provinces, the nation cannot afford to fall in the trap of
spoilers.30

CPEC and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Factor


Some political parties in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa are also
opposed to China Pakistan Economic Corridor which is a
big challenge for this multibillion dollars project. The reason

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behind this opposition is changes being made in the original


plan of this corridor by the federal government which will
divert economic benefits to Punjab only. The Western route
as the original route would be followed by building a road
from Khunjerab to Gwadar via Mianwali, Dera Ismail Khan,
Dera Ghazi Khan, Khuzdar and Turbat.31However, China is
most interested to work on Eastern route first because of
some security concerns. It is in fact a long term plan and will
cover some parts of interior Sindh, and southern, central
and northern regions of Punjab. The political parties of
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa are against changing the original
Gwadar-Kashgar route and demanded that government
should desist from modifying the project, warning that the
move would divide the nation on the issue.32. The Qaumi
Waten Party parliamentary leader Sikander Sherpao tabled
the resolution in the provincial assembly which was
supported by all parties. According to the resolution, any
change in original plan of the project will be sheer injustice
with the people of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa who have already
been adversely affected due to terrorism.33 They believe that
the original route will connect the under developed areas of
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Fata to the Corridor and will
generate economic activities in the entire region but with
adoption of new the alignment, these areas would remain
ignored.34
The lack of political harmony would be the major
challenge towards the implementation of the China Pakistan
Economic Corridor (CPEC) project in Pakistan. Some subnationalist parties in all the provinces have expressed deep
reservations about the CPEC, claiming there a change in the
routes by the Federal Government would only favor the
eastern provinces of Pakistan and deprive the western
provinces. Since these allegations fail to meet the facts on the
ground, the Pakistani and Chinese governments have tried to
allay the fears, by interacting with the political parties that are
making the allegations.35

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155

The 18th Amendment to Pakistan's Constitution has


delegated numerous powers to the provinces, which has
strengthened the provinces but at times is detrimental to
evolving consensus on vital national issues such as the
CPEC. Both the underdeveloped provinces of Balochistan
and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa have expressed reservations over
the proposed new route of the corridor, which may hamper
the completion of the project. Moreover, security situation in
these provinces is another impediment towards the smooth
construction of the corridor. Additionally, Pakistan's
unstable political system carries the potential to delay the
implementation of the CPEC.36 Failure to address these
irritants will continue to affect Pakistan China Economic
Corridor project. There is a need to bring political harmony
in all the provinces of Pakistan because it is important at
present, when Pakistan is going to join the race for economic
development and regional connectivity.

Security concerns
Security concerns have been the most critical challenge
to the CPEC and both Pakistan and China have been trying
to meet these. An arc of militancy stretches from Xinjiang to
Gwadar consisting of groups like the East Turkestan Islamic
Movement (ETIM), Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP),
Lashkar-e-Jhangvi
(LeJ),
Daesh
(ISIS),Balochistan
Liberation Army (BLA), Balochistan Liberation Front
(BLF) and the militant wings of some political parties. Most
of these groups may not have an enmity with China itself but
rather intend to attacks the Chinese interests like the CPEC
as a means to deal with the Pakistani state.37
Gwadar is the tail of the Silk belt, which will connect at
Kashgar through different communication networks. The
security of the whole corridor and Gwadar is a real concern
for China. After the military operation in different parts of
Pakistan, the terrorist infrastructure still exists inside and
outside of the borders which will continue to pose a threat.38

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The support of American CIA, Israeli Mossad and


Indian RAW has continuously been assisting the militant
groups and Sub-Nationalists in all the provinces to conduct
subversive acts-and using terrorist elements in the whole
country to threaten the Pak-Chinese plans of developing the
CPEC. In the past few years, they kidnapped and killed
many Chinese nationals in Pakistan despite Pakistans efforts
to provide best possible security. The army has announced
the creation of 10,000 man special force for protecting the
development projects. The new force, named the Special
Security Division, will comprise nine army battalion and six
wings of paramilitary forces, the Rangers and the Frontier
Corps.39
There are major concerns about the Kunar and Nuristan
provinces of Afghanistan, where multiple terrorist groups
including Al Qaeda, the self-styled Islamic State, the
Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan, the Movement of Islamic
Uzbekistan and the Turkmenistan Islamic Party, etc are
concentrated. These groups can pose a direct threat to the
CPEC in Pakistans northern region. A better understanding
between Islamabad and Kabul is imperative to achieve
border security.40

CPEC and Economic Factor


As an economic enterprise, for the CPEC, the greatest
challenge comes from competitors. The most significant is
the Iranian port of Chabahar. India intends to invest
significantly ($85 million) in the development of Chabahar,
which lies a few miles away from Gwadar and is part of its
efforts for access to landlocked Afghanistan and Central Asia
while bypassing rival Pakistan. Chabahar will effectively be a
way station for energy imports coming from the Gulf region
and destined for Afghanistan and Central Asia. It will also be
a gateway to the Middle East, and possibly Europe, for
exports originating from Afghanistan and Central Asia.41

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157

While the Chabahar project has not yet been started due
to the ongoing talks on the Iranian nuclear issue, the Gwadar
port has already become functional. However, there is no
need for contention between these two ports. Iran has a
stake in the CPEC through the proposal to link the Iran
Pakistan gas pipeline with China, which has been described
as a common interest between the three countries. 42
Indian involvement in Chabahar is linked to Pakistans
refusal to allow India access of transit to and from
Afghanistan, so India sees Iran as the next-best option. If
Pakistan extends transit facilities to India, and then India
may not be interested in building up Chabahar. In recent
years, India has been particularly active in engaging Central
Asian states for the sake of pursuing energy deals. India can
be easily accommodated via the CPEC itself through eastern
interface in Punjab and Sind and transformed into a
stakeholder in the success of both Gwadar and the CPEC.43

CPEC and Tax and Power Tariff Issues


China has raised serious concerns over the issue of tax,
power tariff and electricity price with Pakistan along with the
implementation process of the China Pakistan Economic
Corridor (CPEC) energy projects in Pakistan. According to
sources, China has expressed serious reservations over the
hurdles and delaying tactics purportedly being employed by
the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR).According to the
agreement, under the CPEC, the imported equipment
would be exempt from sales tax and withholding tax.
However, the approval procedure from FBR is proving timeconsuming, which is negatively impacting on project
construction timelines in Pakistan.44
The Chinese authorities have pointed out that the
decrease in tariff for renewable energy will negatively impact
on the cost-effectiveness of project implementation, dampen
investment enthusiasm and affect projects implementation
based on China-Pakistan Inter-governmental Agreement.

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The Pakistan side replied that renewable energy tariff will


not remain the same in the future and the tariff decreasing
range is closely related to the cost of the project at the time
of application for tariff. The cost of renewable energy is
declining in the international market; besides National
Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) determines
tariff which is independent of the Pakistan government.
NEPRA reviews the tariff on all fuels after a certain time
frame considering the international benchmarks and cost of
power for common consumers.45

Indian Concerns
The dice of connectivity loaded by China has left India
confused and bewildered. India is also concerned about
Chinas huge investment in Pakistan, particularly its recent
decision to fund for China Pakistan Economic Corridor.
China is also helping Pakistan in producing plutonium at the
Chinese built Kyushu reactor and will also sell 8 submarines
worth $5 billion, which will give a quantum jump to Pak
Navys sea capability.
After the completion of CPEC, Pakistan may become a
trade hub in the region after Gwadar Port starts functioning
fully and duty-free economic zones are set up. Many Central
Asian states have also expressed interest in becoming part of
the corridor. This strategic partnership between Pakistan
and China has upset India that openly voiced its opposition
and even premier Narendra Modi pressed the president of
China during his visit to Beijing to drop the plan of
developing the corridor. However, China did not cave in to
the pressure and vowed to push ahead with work on the
project.
India is also not happy with the handing over of Gwadar
Port development and its operations to China. There have
long been reports that Delhi is fuelling insurgency in
Balochistan, which is rich in oil and gas resources, but poor
law and order conditions have halted work on exploration

CPEC: Challenges and Opportunities for Pakistan

159

activities there. Experts believe the India-UAE nexus will try


to fail the Gwadar Port development project and create
hurdles in the way of exploration activities in Balochistan.46
With Chinese clout growing and Russia flexing muscles
to regain control over Central Asia, India is struggling to
make some headway and spread its sphere of influence in
the region. Delhi has bet on Iran and Afghanistan to reach
the Central Asian states via land route as Pakistan and China
have control over many land links that provide access to the
resource-rich region. India hopes it will be able to reach
Central Asia through the Iranian port of Chabahar and build
a north-south corridor that will run to Afghanistan and
eventually stretch to Central Asia.47

CPEC Benefits for Pakistan


Pakistan has been playing a significant role in South
Asia. After the completion of China Pakistan Economic
Corridor; economic, commercial as well as geostrategic
environment will improve in Pakistan. It will help Pakistan
in dealing with the problems of poverty, unemployment and
inequities of undeveloped provinces. During his meeting
with President Xi Jinping, President Mamnoon Hussain said
the China Pakistan economic Corridor would prove to be a
game-changer in the whole region by generating massive
trade and economic activity and opening new vistas of
progress and prosperity for the people of the two countries
and about three billion people of the region.48
CPEC from all counts will prove a game changer and will
make China a real stakeholder in Pakistans stability and
security. It is a win-win situation for both. It will greatly
expand the scope for the sustainable and stable development
of Chinas economic development. Investments by China
will boost Pakistans $274 billion GDP by over 15
%.Corresponding progress and prosperity in Pakistan and
Chinas patronage will help Pakistan in getting rid of the
decade old labels of epicenter of terrorism, most

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dangerous country and a failing state. Pakistan enjoys a


more favorable fiscal situation compared to India by
reducing its budget deficit to 4.7% of GDP in 2014 (as
against Indias 7%) and Pakistan is both competitive and
cheaper as an emerging market. Chinas economic and
military assistance will help Pakistan a great deal in
narrowing its ever widening gap in economic-military-nuclear
fields with India and in bettering its defense potential. 49
Ambassador of China to Pakistan Sun Weidong while
talking about the corridor said that the setting up of energy,
transport, infrastructure and industrial projects under China
Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) would benefit all the
provinces of Pakistan. He said that the CPEC was not
limited to just a road but it will connect the country with a
number of motorways and infrastructure projects. He
explained that infrastructure projects included Gwadar port,
the second phase of the upgrading project of Karakoram
Highway, motorway project between Karachi and Lahore,
Thakot-Havelian motorway, Gwadar port expressway,
Gwadar international airport and Karachi Sukkur motorway,
adding further that the project will increase collaboration in
areas of energy, finance, commerce, banking, industry and
education.50
Here are some benefits which Pakistan will take after the
completion of CPEC.

Overcoming Energy crises


Energy is described as life line of the economy of any
country. It is most vibrant instrument of socioeconomic
development of a country. Due to population growth and
industrial demand, there have been severe energy crises in
Pakistan. The major reason behind Pakistans poor power
generation is the political instability and the exponentially
increasing demand for power and lack of efficiency. No
significant solution to the problem has yet been found and it
continues to torment the citizens as power supply is one of

CPEC: Challenges and Opportunities for Pakistan

161

the basic necessities in this era of modern technology. Power


blackouts and load shedding (deliberate blackouts) are
common in every area around Pakistan especially the major
cities. Wapda and KESC have failed to tackle the problem
that exposes the failure of the system of the state.51
CPEC is the ideal project which will help rid country of
the energy crises. Energy availability in country will revive
existing industries, such as textile to full production and add
an estimated 2 percent to Pakistans GDP growth.52
Chief Minister Punjab, Shahbaz Sharif said that China is
extending great economic cooperation to Pakistan and that
the government is making serious effort for resolving the
energy crisis and a number of projects with Chinese
cooperation would start producing electricity.53
Planning Development and Reforms Minister Ahsan
Iqbal said CPEC framework will cover four major areas and
energy zone is one of them. In the energy sector, project
totaling 10,400 megawatts had been included in the early
harvest (first priority) programme, which could be
completed by 2018. In all, Chinese firms will put up $35 to
$37bn in the foreign direct investment for independent
power production (IPP)under an investment policy that was
available to all investors.54
These projects would be based on wind, solar, coal and
hydropower generation of 16,400 MW as well as the
transmission system and would be located in all the
provinces and Azad Kashmir. He further said China would
be setting up 10 projects of 6,600MW in the Thar Desert
that would transform this remote and underdeveloped
region into Pakistans energy capital and open up economic
opportunities for the people.55

Infrastructure development
Infrastructure development including the development
of roads, ports and highways is another important segment
of CPEC. This project basically will improve Pakistans

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Pakistan Vision Vol. 16 No. 2

infrastructure connection with all sub regions in Asia, and


between Europe Asia and Africa step by step and will
remove all investment and trade barriers for the creation of a
sound business environment within the region and in all
related countries.56 After the complementation of this
Project, Pakistan will become modernize and then by
spreading out markets for manufactured good. The areas
adjacent to the corridor would become attractive locations
for manufacturing, agricultural and services industries, Small
and medium enterprises would be special beneficiaries.
Employment and economic growth expand significantly.57 It
will also attract whole world for economic and trade
assistances. under which the Karakoram Highway had been
identified for the first phase and Khunjerab-HavelianIslamabad section of the road was expected to be completed
in three years, moreover, CPEC route would be utilized for
the creation of economic and industrial free zones, for which
a fresh economic zone working group would be created
soon after the upcoming visit to link all the four provinces,
AJK, Fata and Gilgit-Baltistan to expand benefits of the
initiative across the country.58

Economic Development
China Pakistan Economic Corridor will help build a
robust and stable economy in Pakistan and will create a
significant opportunity for Pakistan to revive its industry and
advance its economic interests. It will also help in
overcoming the psychological barriers to flows of foreign
investment from other sources. Despite its restrictive
economic regime, over 150 private equity funds, foreign and
domestic, are active in India. Only three or four such funds
are dedicated to investing government, with the participation
of the private sector, to encourage foreign direct investment
in Pakistan is indispensable.59Finance Minister Ishaq Dar
said war phobia can also be defeated through economic

CPEC: Challenges and Opportunities for Pakistan

163

development. Peace and prosperity can be achieved with


economic advancement.60
This project will go beyond regional ambits to bring
about enormous changes not only to the national economies
of the benefiting states but also to the economics of the
people at the grassroots level.

Balanced environment in South Asia


CPEC is the crown jewel in the new Pakistan economic
paradigm because Pakistan has the opportunity to act
independently of the western influence especially the US
influence as it has proved of late, an irritant factor. CPEC
Project will also bring an opportunity to Pakistan for
normalization of ties with India, Iran and Afghanistan which
will keep balance, strengthen prospects of peace and
improve socio-economic status of the people of the region.

Removal of poverty
CPEC is a game changer project which will lift millions
of Pakistanis out of poverty and misery. The project
embraces the construction of textile garment, industrial park
projects, construction of dams, the installation of nuclear
reactors and creating networks of road, railway line which
will generate employment and people will also take
ownership of these projects. 61Fully equipped hospitals,
technical and vocational training institutes, water supply and
distribution in undeveloped areas will also improve the
quality of life of people.

Peace and prosperity in Provinces


CPEC is not only the name of road, port and railway
system but a multi-dollars mega project which will bring
peace and prosperity in all the provinces of Pakistan. The
chairman of the Gwadar port, Dostain Khan Jamaldini said
that the CPEC would not only benefit Balochistan but also
prove beneficial for the countrys three other provinces.

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Pakistan Vision Vol. 16 No. 2

Economist Dr Shahid Hassan said CPEC would bring more


prosperity in the whole country and would reduce
unemployment in the country. Functioning of Gwadar port
will bring an economic revolution and business activities will
get a much needed boost.62

Recommendations

All political parties should express full support


for the implementation of China Pakistan
Economic Corridor.

All political parties should be united and resolve


their political issues and act for their mutual
benefits.

The government and all the provinces should


work jointly for the commercial, economic and
cultural development as well as peaceful
environment in the country.

The government should share all details of


CPEC project with all the political parties of all
the provinces.

The government should discuss the benefits and


challenges of this multi- dollar project with all the
provinces.

The Pakistani government should provide full


support and assistance to foreign workers of
different CPEC projects.

The government should provide security to the


foreign workers on different projects of CPEC.

The government should not delay work on


CPEC because it can provide space to the
terrorists and militants to create hurdles in the
smooth construction of this project.

CPEC: Challenges and Opportunities for Pakistan

165

Conclusion
China Pakistan Economic Corridor is the game changer
project which will incorporate a 2,000 kilometer transport
link between Kashgar in northwestern China to the Gwadar
port on the Arabian Sea near the border with Iran. When
this corridor will be completed, oil from the Middle East
could be off loaded at Gwadar, which is located just outside
the mouth of the Gulf, and transported to China through
Balochistan and over the Karakoram Mountain. There are
many challenges for Pakistan in implementing this project.
At the same time, Pakistan will have many benefits from this
corridor.

Notes and References


1

Noor, Sanam., Shah, Syed. Muhammad. Ali., Khan,


Shahnawaz. M., & Ali, Syeda. Fizzah.(2008).
Pakistan's Foreign Policy: Quarterly Survey: April
June 2008.Pakistan Horizon, Vol. 61, No. 3, pp. 1-9:
Pakistan Institute of International Affairs.

Belokrenitsky, Vyacheslav. Ya. (2007). SouthWestern Extension of Greater China. Pakistan


Horizon, Vol. 60, No. 3, Global Security, pp. 83-98:
Pakistan Institute of International Affairs.

Iqbal, Anwar. (2015, April 21).Chinese investments


dwarf American package: US media. The Dawn.
Islamabad.

Liping, Xia. (2015). The Development of the One


Belt and One Road and its Impact on China-US
Relations. Chinese Peoples Association for Peace
and Disarmament. Beijing, China.

Catanza, Joseph. Qi, Ren. Jia, Chen. & Shan, Bu.


(2015, July 3). Silk Road Initiative connects countries
on path of prosperity. The Telegraph.

Ran, Shahbaz & Mufti, Fareeha. (2015, May 17).


China-Pakistan Economical Corridors: Lines of

166

Pakistan Vision Vol. 16 No. 2

Development-not lines of divide. The Tribune.


Islamabad.
7

Ibid

Mahar, Asiya. (2015, April 24) Why Chians One


Belt, One Road Initiative matter for Asia. Azernews.
www.azernews.az/analysis/80980.html.

Ministry of Finance. 2014. Pakistan Economic Survey


2013-2014.
www.finance.gov.pk/survey/chapters_14/08_Trade_a
nd_Payments.PDF

10 Ali, Syed. Muhammad. (2015, June 19). The Far


Reaches of the Corridor. The Tribune. Islamabad.
11 Jawad, Rana. (2013, July 5). Chinese firms ready to
invest billions of dollars in Pakistan. The News.
Karachi.
12 Chowdhury, D. Roy. (2013). Pakistan happy to aid in
China's quest for land route to the west; India, not so
much. South China Morning Post, November 19th.
<http://www.scmp.com/business/commodities/
article/1359761/pakistan-happy-aid-chinas-quest-landroute-west-india-not-so>
13 Ibid
14 India approve plan to develop Irans Chabahar Port.
October 19th 2014. www.dawn.com/news/1117218/
terrorists-in-army-uniform-storm-police-station-indinner
15 Syed, Razi. (2013, May 2013). China takes over
operational control of Gwadar port. Daily Times.
Islamabad.
16 Ibid
17 Sial, Safdar. (2014).The China-Pakistan Economic
Corridor: An Assessment of Potential Threats and
Constraints. Conflict and Peace Studies, Vol.6, No.2,
p. 24.

CPEC: Challenges and Opportunities for Pakistan

18 Ibid
19 Rana, Shahbaz. (2015, April 16).Eastern corridor
route: Pakistan, China to sign infrastructure financing
deals. TheTribune. Islamabad.
20 http://forpakistan.org/fpdata/costs-and-benefits-ofcpec.
21 Ibid
22 www.economist.com/news/asia/21653657-conflictbalochistan-must-be-resolved-trade-corridor-betweenpakistan-and-china-bring
23 http://tribune.com.pk/story/873432/baloch-ireprompts-security-fears-for-china-pakistan-economiccorridor.
24 www.economist.com/news/asia/21653657-conflictbalochistan-must-be-resolved-trade-corridor-betweenpakistan-and-china-bring
25 http://www.ipripak.org/cpec-and-the-baluchistan
factor/#sthash.05TR0DCE.dpuf
26 Ahmad, Waqar. (2015, 14 July). Balochistan, CPECanother view. The Daily Times. Islamabad
27 www.zameer36.com/why-baloch-leader-opposes-cpec/
28 www.economist.com/news/asia/21653657-conflictbalochistan-must-be-resolved-trade-corridor-betweenpakistan-and-china-bring
29 www.tribune.com.pk/story/873432/baloch-ireprompts-security-fears-for-china-pakistan-economiccorridor/
30 www.ipripak.org/cpec-and-the-baluchistanfactor/#sthash.05TR0DCE.dpuf
31 Staff Report.(2015,7 February).Committee criticizes
NHA chief for Changing Economic Corridor route.
The Dawn

167

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Pakistan Vision Vol. 16 No. 2

32 kasi, Amanullah.(2015, 11 February). PTI Protest


again China Trade route changes. The Dawn
33 Bureau report. (2015,7 February).KP Assembly
opposes changed in economic corridor route. The
Dawn.
34 Staff Report. (2015, 7 February).Committee criticizes
NHA chief for Changing Economic Corridor
route.The Dawn.
35 Falak, Jawad. CPEC: Internal Significance and
Challenges
www.stratagem.pk/strategic-pulse/cpecinteranl-significance-and-challenges
36 www.earning.sohu.com/20150818/n419141644.shtml
37 Falak, Jawad. CPEC: Internal Significance and
Challengeswww.stratagem.pk/strategic-pulse/cpecinteranl-significance-and-challenges
38 Rana, Muhammad. Amir. (2015, 17 May). Economic
Corridor Challenges. The Dawn
39 Ibid
40 Ibid
41 Falak, Jawad. CPEC: Internal Significance and
Challenges
www.stratagem.pk/strategic-pulse/cpecinteranl-significance-and-challenges
42 Ibid
43 Ibid
44 www.brecorder.com/taxation/181:pakistan/ 1251063:
energy-projects-under-cpec:-china-concerned-at-taxpower- tariff -security-issues
45 www.brecorder.com/taxation/181:pakistan/ 1251063:
energy-projects-under-cpec:-china-concerned-at-taxpower-tariff-security-issues
46 Bhutta, Zafar. (2015,August 31) India bid to halt
Pakistan projects fails. The Express Tribune

CPEC: Challenges and Opportunities for Pakistan

47 Bhutta, Zafar. ( 2015, October 5) Ties with Central


Asia: Poised to gain wider influence. The Express
Tribune
48 Syed, Baqir. Sajjid. (2013, May 24).China praises Pak
Strategy against terror. Dawn. Islamabad
49 www.forpakistan.org/fpdata/costs-and-benefits-of-cpec
50 Jabri, Parvez. (2015).CPEC projects to benefit all
provinces of Pakistan: Chinese envoy. Associated
Press of Pakistan. www.brecorder.com/top-news/108pakistan-top-news/240096-cpec-projects-to-benefit-allprovinces-of-pakistan-chinese-envoy.pdf
51 www.voice.pk/business/energy-crisis-in-pakistan
52 Akram, Munir. (2015,26 April) The cup and the lip.
The Dawn
53 Staff report. (2015,19 April). Chines investment to
help eliminate energy crises: Shahbaz. The Dawn
54 kiani, Khaleeq,( 2015,20 April).Chines president due
today on Historic visit. The Dawn
55 Ibid
56 Husain, Moazzam (26-4-2015, 26 April). A Chinese
template. The Dawn
57 kiani, Khaleeq. (2015, 20 April). Chines president
due today on Historic visit. The Dawn
58 Ibid
59 Ibid
60 Kiani, khaleeq. (2015, 3 June). 3bn people to benefit
from CPEC: Dar. The Dawn.
61 Hali, S. M., WHO.(2015,17 March).Benefits from
Cpec. Daily Times
62 Staff report. (2015, 31 July). CPEC to benefit entire
region, say analysts. The Dawn

169

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