NIFTY - REPORT - 16 November Equity Research Lab

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NIFTY OUTLOOK
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REPORT
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16 November 2016
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Prepared by: Meenakshi Pal
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16th November 2016

NIFTY FUTURE

NIFTY FUTURE :
PIVOT :8183

R1:8243
S1:8079

R2:8347
S2:8020

R3:8407
S3:7916

NIFTY DAILY CHART


CHART INTERPRETATION
Technically, A strong break below 8100 will increase the downside pressure and drag it to 7900/7750. Traders can
go short on a break below 8100.On the other hand, a decisive break above 8280 will ease the downside pressure
and take the index futures higher to 8450 and 8550 thereafter. Indian Stock Market is still in negative zone but
market would see a bounce at lower levels near support. Nifty is laying near its major support level of 8100. 8100
is a make or break level on closing basis. If Nifty closes below those levels then a breakdown would be seen in the
market and we can even see levels of 7900-7700-7700 in days to come. If Nifty holds 8100 for next couple of
days then we would see a sharp positive rally.
MACD and Price ROC are both negative and continue in sell mode. RSI (40) suggests bearish momentum.

INDEX OUTLOOK
NIFTY FUTURE: Indian Market succumbed to more selling on Tuesday as the demonetization effect and

weak earnings drove the Sensex lower by 565 points and the Nifty below 8100 intraday. Strengthening
of bond yields and US dollar on US president-elect Donald Trump policy also weighed on market
sentiment. Equity benchmarks closed below their 200-daily moving average. Sensex tanked 514.19
points or 1.92 percent to 26304.63, the lowest closing level since May 25, taking the total loss for two
consecutive days to 1200 points. Nifty was down 187.85 points or 2.26 % to close at 8108.45 after
hitting an intraday low of 8093.20. demonetization will be negative for equities in short term, adding
that the move is a positive for bond and currency markets. Besides, demonetization will help increase
deposit growth of banks significantly.
WWW.EQUITYRESEARCHLAB.COM

STRATEGY: Sell Nifty Future below 8100 for the target of 8050 -8000 with the stop loss of 8180.

16th November 2016

SECTORAL INDICES

INDEX (Spot)
SENSEX
NIFTY
NIFTYBANK
NIFTYIT

Key Indices Levels to watch out for the day


RESISTANCE 2
RESISTANCE 1
LTP
SUPPORT 1
26880
26600
26304.63
26050
8300
8200
8108.45
8025
19750
19500
19289.75
19000
9780
9600
9487.00
9350

SUPPORT 2
25880
7975
18800
9200

CORPORATE NEWS

HPCL reported a sharp 66.6% QoQ fall in Net Profit in Q2FY17 at Rs. 701.3 Cr. The company reported a 7.1%
fall in Net Income from Operations at Rs. 47,822.5 Cr in Q2 as against Rs. 51,661 Cr in the previous quarter.
EBITDA fell 65.2% sequentially to Rs. 1,261 Cr and margins contracted by 442 bps to 2.6% in Q2.

Tata Motors reported a significant drop in Net Profits to Rs. 848 Cr in Q2, as against Rs. 1,740 Cr in the
corresponding quarter last year. Total Consolidated Revenues rose 6.7% to Rs. 67,999.7 Cr as against Rs.
62,647.2 Cr previously. Hedging losses worth Rs. 3,510 Cr affected the bottom line severely. JLR revenues for
Q2 rose 23.2% to 5.95 billion pounds, and PAT improved at 244 million pounds. The companys domestic unit
reported a fall in Net Revenues to Rs. 11,406 Cr and a net loss of Rs. 289 Cr.

GAIL (India) reported a 180% rise in Net Profit to Rs. 924.7 Cr for Q2 against Rs.330.4 Cr in the corresponding
quarter last year. However, total Income from operations decreased 15.3% YoY to Rs.12,058.2 Cr during the
quarter against Rs.14,240.4 Cr previously. Total expenditure decreased to Rs.10,879.8 Cr in Q2 FY17 from over
Rs.13,731.3 Cr in Q2FY16.

WWW.EQUITYRESEARCHLAB.COM

16th November 2016

ERL RESEARCH TEAM


Member Name

Designation

E-mail ID

Mr. Tuhinanshu Jain


Mr. Yogesh Subnani
Miss. Meenakshi Pal

Research Head
Sr. Research Analyst
Sr. Research Analyst

[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]

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