An Interview With George Dantzig
An Interview With George Dantzig
Mathematical Association of America is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to
The College Mathematics Journal.
http://www.jstor.org
An
Interview
The
by Donald
with
of
Father
J. Albers
B.
George
Linear
Dantzig:
Programming
with Constance
Reid
George Bernard Dantzig is rich in many ways, but as a boy growing up in the
shoes. Today he and his wife Anne live in a lovely
twenties he wore secondhand
home on the edge of the Stanford University
campus. His study walls are covered
several honorary doctoral degrees, the John von Neumann
with awards, including
Theory Prize, and the National Medal of Science.
are especially noteworthy in view of the trouble that he had
His accomplishments
in junior high school. "I was doing very poorly in my first course
with mathematics
in algebra. To be precise, I was flunking."
In 1947 Dantzig invented linear programming
and the simplex method. Dantzig's
environmental
led to an explosion of economic,
and statistical appli?
programming
The iron and steel industry has used his method to evaluate iron ores,
cations.
of coke ovens, and select products.
The Federal
the addition
Energy
explore
Linear
has used his method to explore energy policy alternatives.
Administration
for use to control water and air
has also been used or suggested
programming
to jobs, and racially balancing
refinery scheduling,
assigning personnel
pollution,
schools.
He responds
work is often thought of as applied mathematics.
by
Dantzig's
saying, "I have never been able to tell the difference between the so-called pure and
the nonpure and don't believe that there is any."
in his Stanford office in November
of 1984.
Dantzig was interviewed
What's
this
MP:
Professor
Dantzig:
What's
MP:
Okay,
what should
Dantzig:
Your
name is Don,
MP:
It's George.
Dantzig:
Do you remember
MP:
It's Bernard.
Dantzig:
What
MP:
The well-known
Dantzig,
"Professor
for taking
thanks
this "Professor
Dantzig"
yourself
today.
stuff?
I call you?
right
Do you remember
my middle
does George
Stuff?
Dantzig"
Bernard
my first name?
name?
suggest?
writer named
George
Bernard
Shaw?
MP:
I know your father's books, especially
his wonderful
Language of Science, but nothing much about him personally?except
born in Russia and studied in Paris with Poincare.
The
Number,
that he was
MP:
How
States?
How
did he manage
Dantzig:
My father believed that he could never get a job in a university because
of his heavy Russian accent; but one day at the public library he ran into Frank
at Reed College, who told him he
Griffin, the head of the mathematics
department
was crazy to be working as a lumberjack and road builder. Griffin assured him that
with his academic
credentials
he could get a job in any university.
That was a
turning point in my father's career. He applied to Indiana University and was hired.
He didn't have a formal Ph.D. at the time, but he soon acquired one while a
there.
professor
MP:
after that?
I don't think he ever worried much about his accent. His spoken English
Dantzig:
was otherwise fluent, and he was known for his marvelous English writing style.
MP:
more
about
He obviously
him?
294
295
Flunking
MP:
Junior
High
School
Algebra
in mathematics
was aroused?
Yes. I was in the ninth grade of Powell Junior High School in Washing?
Dantzig:
ton, D.C. My father was teaching nearby at the University of Maryland. I was doing
very poorly in my first course in algebra. To be precise, I was flunking. I remember
walking home one day, furious with myself. How is it, I asked myself, that I, a son
of a mathematician,
do poorly while all the other kids in the class do so much
better? I was very angry with myself. After that I sailed through algebra.
MP:
It sounds
Dantzig:
grade had
recovering
was good
remember
Confidence
came slowly. My interest
been zero. I then began to blossom
from my poor start in algebra, I began
in math and science in high school.
being interested in any other subjects.
MP:
Do you remember
any influential
in school
in science
to get top
I was on
by grade nine.
work up to the seventh
courses. Later on, after
I
marks in mathematics.
the chess team. I can't
teachers?
Berkeley.
MP:
I studied
Lectures
on Projective
Geometry.
The Big Prize?a photo of his classmates in the second grade. Dantzig (center of rear row)
was awarded the photo for winning the long division contest. It was offered for sale but his
family was too poor to buy it. The only way he could get it was to win the contest.
296
Ten
Thousand
Problems
Geometry
Thousands?
I would say over ten thousand. After he gave me one and I came back
Dantzig:
with a solution, he would say, "Well, I'll give you another one." It seemed as if he
had an infinite storehouse of them. At first he would check my solutions, but after a
while he would accept them as correct and just give me another, and another, and
another problem. The mental exercise required to solve them was the great gift from
the time
my father. Solving thousands of problems during my high school days?at
when my brain was growing?did
more than anything else to develop my analytical
power.
MP:
Just working
those problems?
Dantzig:
have done
MP:
Problems
would
Never! It was I who asked for the problems. I believe he gave them to me
Dantzig:
just to get rid of me. It was almost as if he were saying, "Here's another problem.
Now go away and don't bother me." He was always busy with whatever he was busy
of
care of his students, writing, doing research, and so on. Eventually,
with?taking
course, he did run out of problems and had to go to the Library of Congress to dig
ones.
up additional
MP:
So you literally
Dantzig:
Eventually,
exhausted
yes. It seems
his supply
of problems?
that he didn't
have an infinite
supply
after all.
297
Secondhand
MP:
You mentioned
were growing up.
to me earlier
Shoes
that there wasn't
much
money
when
you
Mathematics?I
Didn't
high school
Seek
it Out"
Dantzig:
Yes.
MP:
Maryland
of Maryland.
So
I certainly had no
Yes, of course. It wasn't a time for high aspirations.
Dantzig:
dreams of going off to a fancy school which would require my family to support me
away from home.
MP:
applied
in any of the
not. I don't recall a single application
No, absolutely
Dantzig:
What math there was in physics and
courses I took at Maryland.
mathematics
chemistry was pretty primitive. I did, however, encounter an interesting application
in a freshman chemistry course given by a Professor White. I wrote
of mathematics
a little applied mathematics
paper on how to efficiently extract iodine from a water
as an extractor. He looked at it and said that it
solution using carbon tetrachloride
the carbon-tet,
but that he was sure
idea to subdivide
was a very interesting
someone must have already published the idea. Two years later, when I was a junior,
on the
and showed me a paper just published
he came around, very shamefaced,
in the way of an
same idea. That was the only thing I ever did at Maryland
I wasn't opposed to doing applied mathematics?it
just never sought
application.
me out, and I didn't seek it out.
MP:
After getting your bachelor's at Maryland in 1936, you went to Michigan
for graduate study. Did you take any statistics at Michigan?
and R. L.
Dantzig:
Mainly I studied under G. Y. Rainich, T. H. Hildebrandt,
Wilder. I did take a statistics course with H. C. Carver. In the summer of 1936 I
married Anne Shimmer, and she came to Ann Arbor with me. We earned money
298
MP:
D.C?
Yes. By luck?that
was 1937, still the Depression?I
Dantzig:
got a job as a
clerk with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The job I took, although at a
statistical
lower civil service grade, was the one that had recently been vacated by Milton
Friedman. I was assigned to a project called "Urban Study of Consumer Purchases"
and asked to review a paper on double sampling by the famous statistician
Jerzy
who was then at University
Neyman,
College in London. It was my first encounter
with statistical theory based on a logical rationale. I was very excited by the paper.
it was the least representative
of Neyman's
contributions.
I am
Later I discovered
I would have become even
sure that if I had seen anything more representative,
more excited.
MP:
of Labor Statistics?
to Berkeley?
In retrospect
I don't think I moved around too much. While at the
Dantzig:
Bureau, I wrote to Neyman, who was by then at Berkeley, and told him that I would
like to finish my Ph.D. under him. At Berkeley in 1939, statistics was still part of the
so the focus was on pure mathematics
and not on
mathematics
department,
that I was ever
statistics.
The total number of courses in theoretical
statistics
exposed to was two given by Neyman.
MP:
like as a person?
had a dominating
that he was able to assert long
Dantzig:
Neyman
personality
after he had been officially retired. In his seventies and eighties, he continued to run
the statistical laboratory at Berkeley. No one dared to contradict him. He was top
that he was a tyrant. He
dog in every sense. I don't want to give the impression
wasn't. He was very likeable?everyone
respected him as the leading mathematical
in the world, quite correctly, I think.
statistician
300
How
to Get
a Ph.D.?Do
Your
Homework!
MP:
How did it happen that you did your Ph.D.
you took so few courses in statistics?
on a statistical
topic
when
to Neyman
for taking
so long to do them.
Homework
and
Religion
MP:
Is it true, as I have heard, that the story of your "homework
has been used by ministers in sermons?
problems"
How
World
MP:
War
II and
Air
Force
Planning
at Berkeley?
Not quite. I had completed my course work, and my thesis was settled in
Dantzig:
June 1941. But I had not defended
my thesis or my minor thesis on dimension
theory. This was six months before Pearl Harbor. Many of us wanted to contribute
to World War II, which we believed the U.S. was about to enter. I went back to
and had an interview
with Charles Bates
during summer vacation
Washington
who had been selected by Secretary Lovett to set up Air Force
"Tex" Thornton,
The Air Force at that time did not have a good system for
Statistical
Control.
reporting the status of their aircraft. They didn't even know their total number of
planes, which at the time was less than 100. The interview took place on the corner
of 20th Street and Constitution
Avenue. He wanted me to join him right away. My
wife, Anne, who was with me at the interview, is very good at spotting talent. She
told me Thornton was a man who was going places and I should take the job. She
was right. As you know, after the war Tex founded Litton Industries.
MP:
subject,
So it was your work with the Air Force that got you into this now famous
linear programming?
Not exactly right away. I stopped my graduate studies and joined the Air
Dantzig:
Force as a civilian. I was put in charge of the Combat Analysis Branch of Statistical
Control. I set up a reporting system for combat units on the number of sorties flown,
aircraft lost and damaged, bombs dropped, and targets attacked. I became quite
methods
at programming
the only
ma?
expert
planning
using
"computing
chines" we had then?people
desk calculators.
using hand-operated
in the Pentagon
included
Brandon
Barringer
(a well-known
My colleagues
banker), Robert McNamara
(of World Bank fame), Edward Learned
Philadelphia
at New York
(of the Harvard Business School), and Warren Hirsch (the probabilist
who
was
my deputy.
University),
The
Challenge
That
Led
to
Linear
Programming
at
Wassily Leontief. I had learned about it during the war in telephone conversations
were much too busy during the day to talk.
night with Duane Evans?we
In my Linear Programming and Extensions you will notice that I pay great tribute
the Inter-industry
It was Leontief who around 1932 first formulated
to Leontief.
Model of the American Economy, organized the collection of data during the Great
and finally tried to convince policy makers to use the output from the
Depression,
and
All of these things are necessary
steps for successful
applications,
analysis.
Leontief took them all. That is why in my book he is a hero.
Leontief s model had a matrix structure which was simple enough in concept with
sufficient detail that it could be useful for practical planning. I soon saw that it had
model and what was needed was a
Leontiefs
was a steady-state
to be generalized.
time. In his model there was a
over
one
could
that
change
highly dynamic model,
and the items pro?
the
between
one-to-one
production
processes
correspondence
What was needed was a model with many alternative
duced by the processes.
the application
had to be large scale?with
activities.
hundreds, perhaps
Moreover,
In other words,
of activities and items. Finally, it had to be computable.
thousands
there had to be a practical way to compute what
once the model was formulated,
with their
to engage in so as to be compatible
of these activities
quantities
would be
characteristics
and given resources. The model I formulated
input-output
described
dynamic linear program with a staircase matrix
today as a time-staged
structure. Initially there was no objective function, in other words no explicit goal.
Such goals did not exist in any practical sense because planners simply had no way
them.
to implement
An
Earth
Filled
with
Computers
a planning
A simple example illustrates the fundamental
difficulty of formulating
of assign?
Consider
the
an
such
problem
approach.
activity-analysis
program using
ing 70 men to 70 jobs. An "activity" consists of assigning the /th man to the y'th
are (a) that there are 70 men, each of whom must be assigned,
job. The restrictions
and (b) that all of the jobs, also 70, must be filled. The level of an activity is either 1,
meaning it will be used, or 0, meaning it will not. Thus there are 2 X 70, or 140,
zero-one
with 4900 corresponding
and 70 X 70, or 4900, activities
restrictions
or ways
there are also 70 factorial permutations,
decision variables.
Unfortunately
The problem is to compare these 70 factorial ways and to
to make the assignments.
select the one which is optimal, or "best" by some criterion.
Now in this example 70 factorial is a very big number. To get some idea of how
computer available at the time of the
big, suppose we had had an IBM main-frame
been
then and now?have
Would
it?between
million
fifteen
years ago.
Big Bang
No! But suppose that an even more
all the possible solutions?
able to examine
one billion
had been available, one that could have examined
computer
powerful
assignments
per second. The answer would still be no. Even if the Earth were filled
with nanosecond-speed
computers, all working in parallel, the answer would still be
no. If, however, there were ten Earths, all filled with nanosecond-speed
computers,
in parallel from the time of the Big Bang until the sun grows cold,
all programmed
then perhaps the answer would be yes. The remarkable
thing is that the simplex
method with the aid of a modern computer can solve this problem in a split second.
This example illustrates why, up to 1947 and for the most part up to this day, a
great gulf exists between man's aspirations and his actions. Man may wish to state
but there are so many ways to
his wants in terms of an objective to be extremized;
303
problem.
The
MP:
you're
Young
Father
called
of Linear
the Father
Programming
of Linear
Programming.
Is that a title
MP:
Your second
the theory and solution
be just as interesting
to
Curiously
enough, until
304
Show me where.
with
paragraph isn't bad either: "This book is concerned
of linear inequality systems. On the surface, this field should
as its special case, linear equation systems.
mathematicians
1947 linear inequality
theory generated only a handful of
papers, while linear equations and the related subjects of linear algebra and
theory had developed a vast literature. Perhaps this disproportionate
approximation
interest in linear equation theory was motivated more than mathematicians
care to
admit by its use as an important tool in theories concerned with the understanding
of the physical universe."
isolated
How
against
applications?
MP:
One scenario I've heard a few times of late goes like this. Given the
innate nature of mathematicians
and given that there are all kinds of mathematics
outside mathematics
value is
stuff, where the applicational
departments?important
often very apparent to students?we
departments
may see mathematics
eventually
take on a role similar to that of philosophy
departments.
Dantzig:
Possibly. However there will always be a few core courses that need to be
taught: algebra, matrix theory, calculus, analysis, and some topology, so there will
for mathematics
to do even if they continue to be
always be something
departments
indifferent
to the developing
new areas of mathematics.
MP:
operations
are biased
against
the people
who do
Discovering
MP:
programming
the
Linear
your
Programming
Model
when
first proposed
feelings
you
the linear
307
Dantzig receiving the National Medal of Science from President Ford in 1975.
MP:
Do you think that economists
the significance
of linear programing?
would
have spotted
How
of the simplex
algorithm
come about?
MP:
representation?
Neumann
to Dantzig:
"Get
to the
Point."
with the
That fall, while my group at the Bureau of Standards was experimenting
von
I
with
and
to
consult
the
Neumann
decided
"great" Johnny
simplex algorithm,
He was considered
see what he could suggest in the way of solution techniques.
by
in the world. On October 3, 1947, I visited
many to be the leading mathematician
him for the first time at the Institute for Advanced Study. I began by explaining the
model in terms of activities and items and so
formulation
of the linear programming
it to him as I would describe it to an ordinary mortal. He
forth. I described
in a way which I believe was uncharacteristic
of him. "Get to the point,"
responded
I said to myself, "Okay, if this man wants a quickie, then that's what
he snapped.
he'll get." In less than a minute I slapped the geometric and the algebraic versions of
He stood up and said, "Oh, that."
my problem on the blackboard.
For the next hour and a half he proceeded
to give me a lecture on the
mathematical
theory of linear programs. At one point, seeing me sitting there with
and my mouth open (after all, I had searched the literature and
my eyes popping
found absolutely
nothing), he said, "I don't want you to think that I am pulling all
a magician.
I have just
this out of my sleeve on the spur of the moment?like
a book with Oscar Morgenstern
on the theory of games. What I
recently completed
that the two problems are equivalent. The theory that I am
am doing is conjecturing
outlining for your problem is an analogue to the one we have developed for games."
That was the way I learned for the first time about Farkas's lemma and the
duality theorem.
On another visit to Princeton in June 1948 I met Albert Tucker. Soon Tucker and
his students,
Harold Kuhn and David Gale, began their historic work on game
and duality theory. Twelve years later AI Tucker,
theory, nonlinear programming,
of my book
and
who had been reading the manuscript
Linear Programming
asked me, "Why do you ascribe duality to von Neumann and not to my
Extensions,
group?" I replied, "Because he was the first to show it to me." "That is strange," he
309
has done."
said, "for we have found nothing in writing about what von Neumann
"True," I said, "but let me send you the paper I wrote as a result of my first
I sent him the report I wrote for my Air Force
with von Neumann."
meeting
dated 5 January 1948, which contains
branch, "A Theorem on Linear Inequalities,"
far
I
formal
as
the
first
of
(as
know)
duality. Later Tucker asked me, "Why
proof
it was not my result?it
didn't you publish it?" I replied, "Because
was von
All I did was to write up, for internal circulation,
Neumann's.
my own proof of
had outlined to me. It was my way of educating the people in
what von Neumann
in
office
the
as the originator of
Pentagon." Today everyone cites von Neumann
my
of the
the duality theorem and credits Tucker, Kuhn, and Gale as the publishers
first rigorous proof.
MP:
in contact
Von Neumann
with.
apparently
on anyone
he came
Yes, people would come to him because of his great insight. In the initial
Dantzig:
atomic physics,
of a new field like linear programming,
stages of the development
his
advice
invaluable.
After
these
or
fields were
whatever,
computers,
proved
in greater depth, however, it became increasingly more difficult for him to
developed
make the same spectacular contributions.
I guess everyone has a finite capacity, and
Johnny was no exception.
"The
Simplex
Algorithm
Worked?I
Could
Stop
Looking"
MP:
better
So while you were off seeing von Neumann and trying to come up with a
with the simplex
algorithm,
your group at the Air Force was experimenting
had
weren't
about its useful?
that
them?
You
very
optimistic
algorithm
you
given
ness?
That's right. As I said, I thought the method might be efficient but not
Dantzig:
to look for a better algorithm. About a year later, in June
practical so I continued
me
to look elsewhere when the simplex
asked
1948, my group
why I continued
was
out
so
well
on
the
test
problems.
working
algorithm
MP:
So it was completely
unexpected?
has been
reported
to have
310
extremely
high, hence not a practical result. We will just have to wait and see if
in practice to the
interior algorithms,
such as Karmakar's,
will prove competitive
simplex method for general linear programs. I would not be surprised if it turns out
to be an efficient way to solve problems with special structure such as multistage
problems.
Any
"Apparently
Form
Can
of Government
be
Made
to Work..."
I notice that John D. Williams is one of the people whom you include in
MP:
How did he figure in your
of your book on linear programming.
the dedication
career?
In 1952 I left the Air Force to work for RAND. John was my boss. After
Dantzig:
I had worked for several months without receiving any direction, I went to see him.
to do?" He didn't say a word, not
I said, "John, what is it that I'm supposed
desk. Five minutes passed, and I
across
his
me
from
at
sat
one?he
looking
just
began to get uneasy. Still not a word. Ten minutes passed. Finally he said, "George,
I understood
what he meant and got
you know better than to ask that question."
out of his office fast. John's policy was to let his researchers do their thing. For
example, he tolerated me for nine years while I wrote my book. Of course, I also
wrote a lot of papers during the same period.
was
at RAND
Division
chart for the Mathematics
Williams's
organization
and
was
remarkable
The
research
to
horizontal.
output
anyone.
Nobody
reported
is
a
worldwide
RAND
the
however,
My
impression,
reputation.
Corporation
gave
came. Ray
never knew from whence the reputation
that its top administration
Olaf
Fulkerson,
Lloyd Shapley, Richard Bellman, Ted Harris, Selmer Johnson,
mad
like
all
were
name
but
a
to
few,
papers
producing
Helmer, George Dantzig,
and doing so without any direction whatsoever.
During that time, network flow
theory was developed by Fulkerson, game theory by Shapley, dynamic programming
by Dantzig. It was a complete contrast to the
by Bellman, and linear programming
was
Air
in
Force. In the Pentagon
the
with
worked
had
I
everything
group
Even
fashion.
in
the
from
came
down
Orders
so,
military
top
vertically.
organized
effective. I find it amusing that there
and remarkably
we were highly motivated
the
could be these two very different ways to organize research?one
anarchistic,
form
of
and yet both highly efficient. Apparently
other dictatorial,
government
any
can be made to work if the people are motivated enough.
MP:
What
caused
world?
Dantzig:
My leaving had to do with the way we teamed up to do our research. In
I was part of a team with Ray Fulkerson and Selmer Johnson. For a
the beginning
time we did great things together. Then after a while, although we remained good
at that time had about
friends, each of us got busy doing his own thing. RAND
for
which
is
a
Mathematics
in
the
Division,
doing just mathematical
big group
thirty
research. There were no new people being hired to work with us as disciples.
up against
the experience
My stimulus
MP:
senior
minds
and expertise
comes
of the
from students
311
xx + 4jc2<1400
2xx + 3jc2<2000
jc1+12jc2<3600
<1800
2Xl
(1)
The model (1) is called a linear program. The Figure below shows the feasible region (shaded area)
of points (x,x2) that satisfy the inequalities in (1). It is straightforward to show that a linear
objective function assumes its maximum value at a corner of the feasible region (assuming the
feasible region is bounded).
2xx= 1800
>-.vi
300
500
400
600
Feasible
regionof linearprogram
Labor
Upholstery
The Simplex Algorithm developed by George Dantzig starts at the origin (0,0), which is a
corner of the feasible region, and moves along boundary edges from corner to corner increasing
the objective function until a maximizing corner is reached.
to convert tne
The algorithm first introduces nonnegative slack variables x3,x4,x5,x6
constraint inequalities to equations:
Maximize z = 40^ +200x2 subject to xx > 0, x2 > 0, x3 > 0, x4 > 0, x5 > 0, x6 > 0, and
Wood:
Labor:
Braces:
Upholstery:
312
jci+ 4x2+x3
+x4
2*!+ 3x2
Xi+12jc2 +
+*5
2xx
+x6
=1400
=2000
=360?
= 1800
(2)
A vector x = (xl,x2,x3,x4,x5,x6)
satisfying (2) is called feasible. It can be shown that a
corner of the feasible region of (1) corresponds to a feasible vector x in which two of the six
variables are zero. For example, the corner where the wood and braces constraints intersect
corresponds to x3 = x5 = 0. We can recast (2) into matrix or tabular form:
Maximize z = 40;^ + 200x2 subject to x,-> 0 (1 < /' < 6) and
x2
4
..3
?12}
b
-200
-40
x3
1
0
0
0
x4
0
1
0
0
*5
0
0
1
0
X6
0
0
0
1
1400
2000
3600
1800
(20
In linear algebra terminology, the columns for the slack variables are a basis for the column
space; variables associated with the basis columns are called basic. Setting non-basic variables xx
and x2 equal to 0 in (2) gives us a feasible corner (the origin in (1)) because setting xl = x2 = 0 in
(2) makes the basic variables equal to the right-side values which are all positive.
The Simplex Algorithm repeatedly performs a change of basis to move to new a feasible corner
(at which the non-basic variables are set equal to zero). The variable that enters the basis (and
becomes positive) is the variable with the largest positive coefficient in the objective function. In
(2), x2 would enter the basis. Keeping xx = 0, we increase x2 (which increases the objective
function) until a basic variable is forced to zero. Since x5 = 0 when x2 = 300 in the braces
equation, the variable x5 leaves the basis. We can rewrite (2) in terms of the new basis by
performing a Gauss-Jordan pivot on the coefficient 12 of x2 in (2'). The new system is:
Maximize z = (y)xx - (y) jc5+ 60000 subject to xt > 0 (1 < i < 6) and
12
2
*2
0
0
1
0
*3
1
0
0
0
x4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
200
1100
300
1800
1
(3)
60,000
Setting xx = x5 = 0 yields a new feasible corner of (1), the corner where the braces constraint and
the line xY= 0 intersect. From (3), we see that the objective function z = (y)xx -(y)*5 +60,000
is 60,000 at this corner.
The Simplex Algorithm continues with xx entering the basis (the coefficient of xx in the
objective function is positive). Since the smallest ratio of rightmost column entry divided by xx
entry occurs for row 1, we perform a Gauss-Jordan pivot on |. Hence, jc3 leaves the basis. This
yields:
Maximize z = - 35x3 - 5jc5+ 67,000 subject to jc,-> 0 (1 < i < 6) and
*2
0
0
1
0
*3
1
0
0
0
0
35
x4
0
1
0
0
0
*5
_ 1
2
5
300
575
275
1200
0
0
0
1
0
(4)
67,000
Since all coefficients in the current objective function z = ? 35jc3? 5xs +67,000 are negative,
the corner point where x3 = x5 = 0 (the intersection of the wood and braces constraints in (1)) is
the optimal corner. Therefore, the maximal value of the objective function is 67,000.
Alan Tucker, SUNY at Stony Brook
313
and
Politicians
Linear
Programming
Let's
turn
I keep hoping it will. I have been involved since 1975 in the development
Dantzig:
which stands for Planning
of a macroeconomic
energy model called PILOT,
Level Over Time. It contains a lot of detail bearing on energy, such as
Investment
devices in house?
energy conservation,
energy supply, industrial use, energy-saving
holds, and so on. Recently we expanded the detail in the economy part of the model
in order to estimate the impact of innovation,
and foreign competi?
modernization,
tion. It is a long-term model useful for analyzing trends forty years into the future, a
tool that provides a tremendous insight into complex dynamic issues which face the
nation.
In spite of the fact that the PILOT model is the real McCoy?a
powerful tool for
makers do not line up to use PILOT or, for that
making policy decisions?decision
matter, any other model. Decision
society is a haphazard,
making in a complex
and undisciplined
unstructured,
process that doesn't lend itself to effective use of
models. Policy makers, instead, look for quick answers to very complex questions?as
maker is in a
a result the decisions
they make are bad. Even when a decision
to
use
the
numbers
models
as
for action,
produced
by
planning
guidelines
position
he is reluctant to do so because the policies produced by models are never the whole
answer. A model may help one to decide the best place to put a new airport, but
farmers or some other group, who
then something
unexpected
always happens?like
have not been considered
or even thought of when the model was formulated,
coming forth with objections.
Politicians
know the unexpected
so they tend to ignore the
always happens
models and engage in an ad hoc, haphazard decision process instead.
MP:
refinery
Why then
scheduling?
have
linear
programming
models
been
so
successful
Dantzig:
determine
MP:
for
to
applications?
No. Not at all. Many enterprises such as a nation are so complex that no
Dantzig:
one is really in charge. It is here that our models have the greatest potential
for
and making a real contribution
to the national well
coming to grips with complexity
being. But this potential is frustrated by the lack of structure and discipline in the
decision-making
process itself.
bottleneck
to the effective
The approach I favor for addressing this fundamental
structure for
of models for national planning is to develop a disciplined
application
that will make use of
dialogue between all the special interest groups involved?one
a coordinating
group whose job is to facilitate the bargaining process by supplying
of proposed compromises
and
data from models on the feasibility and optimality
trade-offs.
MP:
314
Thank
George.
That's