Editorial - The Promise of January 8th in Perspective
Editorial - The Promise of January 8th in Perspective
Editorial - The Promise of January 8th in Perspective
fter just one and half years in office, the Yahapalana government is in a crisis of sorts. It
is not a crisis about the governments stability.
Actually, the joint opposition led by former
President Mahinda Rajapaksa is in disarray and there is
no immediate threat to the government from within or
outside parliament. The crisis is marked by the increasing
and continuing alienation of the Sirisena-Wickremasinghe
administration from its political support bases. The fact that
the leaders of the government dont seem to care is pushing it
into a crisis of legitimacy as well.
Meanwhile, the bond issue controversy of the Central
Bank emerged as a source of great vulnerability for the
government. It ate into the core of the Yahapalana governments politico-moral claims. It also laid bare deep divisions
that seem to exist between the two main centers of power
within the so-called National Unity government: The Prime
Minister, who represents the parliamentary power centre of
the government, tried to keep the Central Bank Governor for
another term in office on the grounds that no wrong doing
had occurred in the bond issue. In contrast, the President,
the head of the executive centre of power, wanted Arjuna
Mahendran out.
At one level, the simmering crisis within the Sirisena-Wickremasinghe government is not entirely surprising. Its
crisis is largely made up of the vast chasm that exists between
the reformist expectations it generated during the two election campaigns, and the actual delivery of those promises by
the government during its first half year in office. Failure of
reformist governments to fulfill the reformist promises made
during an election campaign is not a new thing. It happened
to the reformist Poeples Alliance (PA) government in Sri
Lanka in 1994. It was repeated during 2002-2003 when the
United National Party (UNP) came to power with a reformist agenda.
The problem this time around has two dimensions. The
country can hardly afford a third-time failure which is more
dangerous politically than in the two previous occasions. Second, the key players of the government have abandoned their
adherence to the very principles of good governance which
they themselves advocated and popularized just one-and-half
years ago.
The Yahapalana regimes governance failure is starkly
visible in four areas: (a) eradicating political and bureaucratic
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corruption, (b) managing the economy, (c) the peace-building and reconciliation project, and (d) constitutional reform.
In all these areas, the performance record shows that the
government has been ineffective, inexperienced, inept and
incompetent.
Corruption
The promise to eradicate corruption contained two basic
commitments. The first was to make the new government
exemplary in good governance by inaugurating a culture of
politics and governance free of corruption. That entailed that
ministers and officials of the new government were not only
corruption-free, but also appeared to be so. The second was
the launching of investigations, leading to prosecution, into
corruption allegations against the politicians and officials of
the previous government.
On both these commitments, the governments performance record has been unsatisfactory. In particular, it does
not satisfy those who campaigned for a regime change
precisely on account of corruption-free governance. The
slowness and delays in investigations and prosecution of
the allegedly corrupt politicians and officials of the previous
regime are probably due to institutional and procedural
reasons as well. A Yahapalana regime has to work within
the limits of the Rule of Law and democratic procedures.
It cannot arbitrarily arrest, torture, lock up and hurl before
courts its political opponents merely because there are stories
and suspicions of corruption and abuse of power. Yahapalanaya requires procedural fidelity in corruption investigations,
particularly when deposed political opponents are the targets
of suspicion and allegations.
This has posed a huge dilemma for the government from
the very beginning. Sri Lankas law enforcement agencies
the police, Attorney Generals department and courts
suffered a severe institutional collapse during the past
United Peoples Freedom Alliance (UPFA) administration.
Large-scale white-collar corruption, the so-called financial
crimes, involving professional politicians, senior government
officials and big businessmen are complex affairs. These are
not crimes committed by amateurs. Rather they are organized crimes, sometimes interspersed with cross-border and
global transactions. Successful investigation and prosecution
of such crimes would be time-consuming even by European
standards.
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However, these delays have posed a problem for the government because of the public perception that the two power
centers of the government have entered into separate deals
with politicians of the Rajapaksa-camp to serve their own
political agendas. This deal-making is very much a part of
the Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP) propaganda that, for
understandable reasons, is targeting the governments moral
claims to Yahapalanaya. The governments failure to counter
this propaganda comes from two sources. First, the governments opening of doors to corrupt elements of the Rajapaksa regime under the banner of national unity government
has given the impression to the public that the post-election
Yahapalana regime is a coalition of the corrupt. The second
is the growing public perception that the ministers of the
Yahapalana regime have also resumed the usual business of
corruption, while at the same time calling the Rajapaksa
kettle black. Social media has been quite effective in creating
this particular public perception.
In brief, what is apparent now is that the Yahapalana
government has already lost the propaganda war for Yahapalanaya. Its moral claims to clean, corruption free, and
transparent governance suffer from a fairly serious deficit of
credibility.
Managing the Economy
It has been an open secret that the Yahapalana government
inherited a debt-ridden economy in serious crisis from the
UPFA. Repairing it requires a herculean effort. The Yahapalana crowd, particularly those in the PMs camp, are obviously
aware of it. However, all the steps they have taken to correct
the economy have not worked as yet. Worse still, Sri Lankas
economic crisis is becoming unmanageable, particularly in a
tricky global environment.
Here too, the Yahapalana governments failure is two-fold.
The first is the lack of a well thought out vision and programme to re-build the economy with short, medium and
long-term strategies marked by policy clarity and consistency.
Although the Prime Minister and Dr. Harsha de Silva had
initially talked about a social market economy, the governments actual economic policy became disastrously contradictory between its interim budget in early 2015 and the annual
budget in November. The lack of policy consistency, as
demonstrated in the haphazard reversal of several key budget
proposals, led to serious erosion of public confidence in the
new governments economic recovery strategy, if it had one
at all.
The second failure was part of the general malaise of the
Yahapalana government its inability to tell the people the
actual nature and the severity of the economic crisis well
in advance. When the government leaders began to tell the
people that the economy was in a really bad shape, it was a
little too late. Although in actual fact Sri Lankas present economic crisis has been in the making for nearly a decade, the
progressive decline of the productive capacity of the countrys
export economy is a legacy of the war economy that saw the
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