Chapter .1 Introduction of Balance of Payment
Chapter .1 Introduction of Balance of Payment
Chapter .1 Introduction of Balance of Payment
1 INTRODUCTION OF BALANCE OF
PAYMENT
INTRODUCTION
The balance of payments reports all financial flows of a country
vis--vis the rest of the world. It is a fairly complicated balance
sheet but, in this short text, we shall present it in
quite simplified way for the absolute beginner.
AN AGGREGATE VIEW
In very aggregate terms, let's consider all "money" entering into
a country (for whatever reason and transaction) and all "money"
exiting from it. The difference between the two is the change in
the official currency reserves of the central bank.
In other terms, people from abroad bring their currency to the
central bank, obtaining the local currency in exchange. The local
people buy foreign currency in the central bank. All these
transactions can have intermediaries (as banks) but at the end,
there is a place (the "reserves" of the central bank ) that
accomodate for the differences between inflows and outflows.
Since reserves are usually small in comparison with the flows and their systematic decrease or increase create problems, as we
shall see in a moment - to a large extent,inflows and outflows
tend to be equal.
In fact, if outflows are larger than inflows, the reserves are going
down, until the central bank reacts (e.g. by devaluating the
currency). If outflows are smaller than inflows, reserves pile up.
Since they could be profitably used, there is a pressure to reduce
them (e.g. by stimulating an outflow in terms of outgoing FDI).
In absence of tight currency control and central bank activities,
the exchange rate tends to react with a spontaneous devaluation
in the first case, and with a revaluation in the second one,
helping reducing the unbalance.
THE ITEMS
Now, let's see the reasons that move money out and in. They are
the same in the two direction, since they relate to:
trade of goods;
trade of services;
income transfers(remittances
from
emigrants,
reserves.
The
net
official
financing
EXAMPLE
OF
THE
BALANCE
OF
PAYMENTS
The example below refers to a hypothetical country, data is in $
billion:
Current Account
-25
A trade deficit
+10
A trade surplus
-12
+8
-19
to profits of transnational co
Financial Account
Net balance of foreign direct
investment flows
Net
balance
of
portfolio
investment flows
Net balance of short term banking
flows
Balancing item
+5
+6
-2
+2
gold
and
foreign
curr
foreign
Raw Materials
trading
Tourism industry
Consumer goods
(i)
Durable
goods
(washing machines)
Education
(e.g.
health
services
Research
goods
and
and
development
Cultural arts
BALANCING MECHANISMS
CHAPTER 2 INTRODUCTION OF
DISEQUILIBRIUM IN BALANCE OF PAYMENT
DEFINITION OF 'DISEQUILIBRIUM'
A situation where internal and/or external forces prevent market
equilibrium from being reached or cause the market to fall out
of balance. This can be a short-term by product of a change in
variable factors or a result of long-term structural imbalances
This theory was originally put forth by economist John Maynard
Keynes. Many modern economists have likened using the term
"general disequilibrium" to describe the state of the markets as
we most often find them. Keynes noted that markets will most
often be in some form of disequilibrium - there are so many
variable factors that affect financial markets today that true
equilibrium is more of an idea; it is helpful for creating working
models, but lacks real-world validation.
A fundamental disequilibrium exists when outward payments
have a continuing tendency not to balance inward payments. A
disequilibrium may occur for various reasons. Some may be
grouped under the head of structural change (resulting from
changes in tastes, habits, institutions, technology, etc.).
EQUILIBRIUM
IN
BALANCE
OF
PAYMENTS
In a floating exchange rate, the two components of the Balance
of Payments should balance each other out. If the UK has a
deficit on the current account of 38bn. Then in a floating
exchange rate, the financial account should have a surplus of
38bn. This is because financial outflows must be matched by
financial inflows.Example, if we buy more imported goods than
exported goods then we need financial flows (e.g. hot money,
long term capital investment to finance the purchase of imports)
GLOBAL IMBALANCES
Balance of payments disequilibrium can be causes of global
imbalances e.g. Large flow of capital from China to US.Some
argue this was a factor in credit crunch of 2008. Large flows of
capital from China to US kept yields on securities and bonds
artificially low, creating a bubble in certain risky assets.
The current account can also be seen as an imbalance between
domestic savings and domestic investment. If domestic saving is
lower than domestic investment, then we will see a current
account deficit. The excess domestic investment will be
financed by capital inflows from abroad. See: Current account =
Saving investment
Recommendations and conclusions The study has investigate the
relationship between domestic credit and the BoP, and has
established that domestic credit indeed has a significant negative
relationship with the BoP in the case of Uganda. In light of these
results, it is not surprising that the authorities have placed
ceilings on the domestic credit creation, particularly net credit to
government to prevent macroeconomic instability. We also
2.
3.
4.
the
money
income
of
the
people.
imports.
Thus,
deflationary
policy
restores
to
meet
the
developmental
needs.
2.DEPRECIATION:
Another method of correcting disequilibrium in the balance
of payments is depreciation. Deprecation means a fall in the
rate of exchange of one currency (home currency) in terms
of
another
(foreign
currency).
required
to
buy
unit
of
foreign
currency.
imports
Exchange
and
depreciation
stimulating
exports.
is
automatic:
to
pay
for
the
same
volume
of
imports.
methods
will
not
benefit
any
country.
3.DEVALUATION:
Devaluation refers to the official reduction of the external
values of a currency. The difference between devaluation
and depreciation is that while devaluation means the
lowering of external value of a currency by the government,
depreciation means an automatic fall in the external value of
the currency by the market forces; the former is arbitrary and
the
latter
is
the
result
of
market
mechanism.
reduction
in
the
balance
of
payments
deficit.
increasingly
demanded
from
other
countries.
(iv) The domestic price should not rise and should remain
stable-after-devaluation.
(v) Other countries should not retaliate by resorting to
corresponding devaluation. Such a retaliatory measure will
offset-each-other's-gain.
Devaluation
also
suffers
from
certain
defects:
increases
involves
the
large
burden
time
lag
of
to
foreign
produce
debt.
effects.
by
the
central
bank.
essential
imports
are
permitted.
of
Goods
and
Services
would
have
an
exactly
opposite
effect.
Inflation-Rate:
The inflation rate in an economy vis--vis other economies
affects the international competitiveness of the domestic
goods and hence their demand. Higher the inflation, lower
the competitiveness and lower the demand for domestic
goods. Yet, a lower demand for domestic goods and services
to
Prices
Rs.52,800
of
instead
a
of
falling.
Commodity
exogenous-reasons.
INCOMES-OF-FOREIGNERS:
There is a positive correlation between the incomes of there
sidents of an economy to which the domestic goods are
exported, and exports. Hence, other things remaining the
same, an increase in the standard of living (and hence, an
increase in the incomes of the residents) of such an economy
will result in an increase in the exports of the domestic
economy Once again, this would increase the demand for the
local-currency.
Trade-Barriers:
Higher the trade barriers erected by other economies against
the exports from a country, lower will be the demand for its
exports-a-hence,-for-its-currency.
Imports-of-Goods-and-Services
Imports of goods and services are affected by the same
factors that affect the exports. While some factors have the
same effect on imports as on exports, so of them have an
exactly-opposite-effect.
Value
of
the
Domestic
Currency:
have
of
an
opposite
Domestic
effect.
Income
CONCLUSION:
In this project of BOP Disequilibrium & corrective measure
conclude that BOP is important factor in companys balance
sheet. In the developing country & developed country the BOP
is gives the idea of surplus & deficits in their country in many
sectors. BOP disequilibrium have some corrective measures
.
BIBLOGRAPHY/ WEBILOGRAPHY
www. Google. Com
www.RBI.com