Finman, CH 18
Finman, CH 18
Finman, CH 18
Identify the circumstances in which it makes sense for companies to manage risk.
Describe the various types of derivatives and explain how they can be used to manage risk.
Value options using the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model.
Discuss the various elements of risk management and the different processes that firms use to
manage risks.
Lecture Suggestions
This chapter provides information on derivatives and how they are used in risk management. We begin by
identifying the reasons why risk should be managed. Then, we give a brief background on derivatives.
We present the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model to discuss the various factors that affect a call options
value. We specifically discuss forward and futures contracts, as well as other types of derivatives such as
swaps and structured notes. In addition, we explain how derivatives are used to reduce risk through
hedging, particularly with financial and commodity futures. Finally, we discuss risk management, define
different types of risks, and then provide an approach to risk management that firms can follow.
What we cover, and the way we cover it, can be seen by scanning the slides and Integrated Case
solution for Chapter 18, which appears at the end of this chapter solution. For other suggestions about the
lecture, please see the Lecture Suggestions in Chapter 2, where we describe how we conduct our classes.
DAYS ON CHAPTER: 2 OF 58 DAYS (50-minute periods)
18-1
Risk management may increase the value of a firm because it allows corporations to (1) increase
their use of debt; (2) maintain their optimal capital budget over time; (3) avoid costs associated
with financial distress; (4) utilize their comparative advantages in hedging relative to the hedging
ability of individual investors; (5) reduce both the risks and costs of borrowing by using swaps; (6)
reduce the higher taxes that result from fluctuating earnings; and (7) initiate compensation
systems that reward managers for achieving earnings stability.
18-2
The market value of an option is typically higher than its exercise value due to the speculative
nature of the investment. Options allow investors to gain a high degree of personal leverage
when buying securities. The option allows the investor to limit his or her loss but amplify his or
her return. The exact amount this protection is worth is the premium over the exercise value.
18-3
There are several ways to reduce a firms risk exposure. First, a firm can transfer its risk to an
insurance company, which requires periodic premium payments established by the insurance
company based on its perception of the firms risk exposure. Second, the firm can transfer riskproducing functions to a third party. For example, contracting with a trucking company can in
effect, pass the firms risks from transportation to the trucking company. Third, the firm can
purchase derivatives contracts to reduce input and financial risks. Fourth, the firm can take
specific actions to reduce the probability of occurrence of adverse events. This includes replacing
old electrical wiring or using fire resistant materials in areas with the greatest fire potential. Fifth,
the firm can take actions to reduce the magnitude of the loss associated with adverse events,
such as installing an automatic sprinkler system to suppress potential fires. Finally, the firm can
totally avoid the activity that gives rise to the risk.
18-4
The futures market can be used to guard against interest rate and input price risk through the use
of hedging. If the firm is concerned that interest rates will rise, it would use a short hedge, or sell
financial futures contracts. If interest rates do rise, losses on the issue due to the higher interest
rates would be offset by gains realized from repurchase of the futures at maturity--because of the
increase in interest rates, the value of the futures would be less than at the time of issue. If the
firm is concerned that the price of an input will rise, it would use a long hedge, or buy commodity
futures. At the futures maturity date, the firm will be able to purchase the input at the original
contract price, even if market prices have risen in the interim.
18-5
Swaps allow firms to reduce their financial risk by exchanging their debt for another partys debt,
usually because the parties prefer the others debt contract terms. There are several ways in
which swaps reduce risk. Currency swaps, where firms exchange debt obligations denominated in
different currencies, can eliminate the exchange-rate risk created when currency must first be
converted to another currency before making scheduled debt payments. Interest rate swaps,
where counterparties trade fixed-rate debt for floating-rate debt, can reduce risk for both parties
based on their individual views concerning future interest rates.
18-6
If the elimination of volatile cash flows through risk management techniques does not significantly
change a firms expected future cash flows and WACC, investors will be indifferent to holding a
company with volatile cash flows versus a company with stable cash flows. Note that investors
can reduce volatility themselves: (1) through portfolio diversification, or (2) through their own use
of derivatives.
18-1
Call options market price = $7; Stocks price = $30; Option exercise price = $25.
a. Exercise value = Current stock price Exercise price
= $30 $25
= $5.00.
b. Premium value = Options market price Exercise value
= $7 $5
= $2.00.
18-2
Options exercise price = $15; Exercise value = $22; Premium value = $5; V = ? P 0 = ?
Premium = Market price of option Exercise value
$5 = V $22
V = $27.
Exercise value = P0 Exercise price
$22 = P0 $15
P0 = $37.
18-3
a. The value of an option increases as the stock price increases, but by less than the stock price
increase.
b. An increase in the volatility of the stock price increases the value of an option. The riskier the
underlying security, the more valuable the option.
c. As the risk-free rate increases, the options value increases.
d. The shorter the time to expiration of the option, the lower the value of the option. The
options value depends on the chances for an increase in the price of the underlying stock,
and the longer the options maturity, the higher the stock price may climb.
Therefore, conditions a, b, and c will cause an options market value to increase.
18-4
P = $15; X = $15; t = 0.5; rRF = 0.10; 2 = 0.12; d1 = 0.32660; d2 = 0.08165; N(d1) = 0.62795;
N(d2) = 0.53252; V = ?
Using the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model, you calculate the options value as:
V=
=
=
=
=
18-5
18-6
a. In this situation, the firm would be hurt if interest rates were to rise by December, so it would
use a short hedge, or sell futures contracts. Since futures contracts are for $100,000 in
Treasury bonds, the firm must sell 200 contracts to cover its planned $20,000,000 December
bond issue. Since futures maturing in December are selling for 11220.5/32 of par, the value of
Zinns futures is about $22,528,125. Should interest rates rise by December, Zinn Company
will be able to repurchase the futures contracts at a lower cost, which will help offset their loss
from financing at the higher interest rate. Thus, the firm has hedged against rising interest
rates.
b. The firm would now pay 13% on the bonds. With an 11% coupon rate, the bond issue would
bring in only $17,796,299, so the firm would lose $20,000,000 $17,796,299 = $2,203,701:
N = 20; I/YR = 6.5; PMT = 1100000; FV = 20000000; and solve for PV = $17,796,299.
However, the value of the short futures position began at $22,528,125:
11220.5/32 of $20,000,000 = 1.12640625($20,000,000) = $22,528,125, or roughly N = 30; PMT
= 600000; FV = 20000000; and PV = -22528125; and solve for I/YR/2 = 2.40378211.
I/YR = 2.40378211% 2 = 4.80756421% 4.8%.
(Note that the future contracts are on hypothetical 15-year, 6% semiannual coupon bonds
that are yielding about 4.8%.)
Now, if interest rates increased by 200 basis points, to 6.8%, the value of the futures
contract will drop to $18,510,027.
N = 30; I/YR = 6.8/2 = 3.4; PMT = 600000; FV = 20000000; and solve for PV = $18,510,027.
Since Zinn Company sold the futures contracts for $22,528,125, and will, in effect, buy them
back at $18,510,027, the firm would make a $22,528,125 $18,510,027 = $4,018,098 profit
on the transaction ignoring transaction costs.
Thus, the firm gained $4,018,098 on its futures position, but lost $2,203,701 on its
underlying bond issue. On net, it gained $4,018,098 $2,203,701 = $1,814,397.
c. In a perfect hedge, the gains on futures contracts exactly offset losses due to rising interest
rates. For a perfect hedge to exist, the underlying asset must be identical to the futures
asset. Using the Zinn Company example, a futures contract must have existed on Zinns own
debt (it existed on Treasury bonds) for the company to have an opportunity to create a
perfect hedge. In reality, it is virtually impossible to create a perfect hedge, since in most
cases the underlying asset is not identical to the futures asset.
18-7
a. The current exercise value of the put option is max(0, $55 $60) = $0. Since the market
value of the put option is $3.06, the premium associated with the put is $3.06. The current
exercise value of the call option is max(0, $60 $55) = $5. Since the market value of the call
option is $9.29, the premium associated with the call is $4.29.
b. Remember, that the options will be exercised only if they yield a positive payoff. In this case,
the put option will not be exercised. In addition, the initial investments for the options will be
the market values of the options. The returns under each of the scenarios are summarized
below:
Investment
Own stock
Buy call option
Buy put option
Returns
[($70 $60)/$60]
[($70 $55)/$9.29] 1
[($0)/$3.06] 1
=
16.67%.
=
61.46%.
= -100%.
c. In this case, the call option will not be exercised. The returns under each of the scenarios are
summarized below:
Investment
Own stock
Buy call option
Buy put option
Returns
[($50 $60)/$60]
[($0)/$9.29] 1
[($55 $50)/$3.06] 1
= -16.67%.
= -100%.
=
63.40%.
d. Recall, that the stock price is expected to be either $50 or $70, with equal probability. If
Audrey buys 0.6 shares of stock and sells one call option, her expected payoffs are:
Ending Price
$50
$70
Audreys investment strategy would yield a payoff of $30 $0 = $30, if the ending stock price
is $50. Her strategy has a payoff of $42 $15 = $27, if the ending stock price is $70. The
strategies do not have identical payoffs; therefore, this is not a riskless hedged portfolio.
e. Recall, that the stock price is expected to be either $50 or $70, with equal probability. If
Audrey buys 0.75 shares of stock and sells one call option, her expected payoffs are:
Ending Price
$50
$70
Audreys investment strategy would yield a payoff of $37.50 $0 = $37.50, if the ending stock
price is $50. Her strategy has a payoff of $52.50 $15 = $37.50, if the ending stock price is
$70. Since her payoff is guaranteed to be $37.50, regardless of the ending stock price, this is
a riskless hedged portfolio.
18-8
Range
Ending Price
$45
$70
$25
Strike Price =
$50
=
$50
=
Option Value
$ 0.00
$20.00
$20.00
b.
Range
c. Ending Price
$45
$70
Ending Price
$45
$70
$25
Portfolio Value
$36.00
$36.00
Comprehensive/Spreadsheet Problem
Note to Instructors:
The solution to the reworked part of this problem is provided at the back of the text; however,
the solutions to Parts a and b are not. Instructors can access the Excel file on the textbooks
web site or the Instructors Resource CD.
18-9
a. Assume you have been given the following information on Purcell Industries:
P
t
2
$15
0.5
0.12
X
rRF
$15
10%
First, we will use formulas from the text to solve for d 1 and d2.
(d1)
0.32660
(d2)
0.08165
Using the formula for option value and the normal distribution function, we can find the call option
value.
b.
Exercise
Price
$15.00
$15.00
$15.00
$15.00
$15.00
$15.00
$15.00
$15.00
$15.00
$15.00
$15.00
Current
stock
price
$1.00
$3.00
$6.00
$9.00
$12.00
$15.00
$18.00
$21.00
$24.00
$27.00
$30.00
$1.82
Option Value
Intrinsic B-S formula
Value
Value
Option
$0
$1.82 Premium
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.03
$0.03
$0.00
$0.45
$0.45
$0.00
$1.82
$1.82
$3.00
$4.09
$1.09
$6.00
$6.83
$0.83
$9.00
$9.76
$0.76
$12.00
$12.74
$0.74
$15.00
$15.73
$0.73
$10
Intrinsic Value
Market Value
$5
$0
$0
c.
XCALL =
if P=
$1
$3
$6
$9
$12
$15
$18
$21
$24
$27
$10
$20
$30
Stock Price
$15
Call
-$1.82
-$1.82
-$1.82
-$1.82
-$1.82
-$1.82
$1.18
$4.18
$7.18
$10.18
d.
Integrated Case
18-10
Answer:
Answer:
C.
Answer:
D.
Answer:
Consider Tropical Sweets call option with a $25 strike price. The
following table contains historical values for this option at
different stock prices:
Stock Price
$25
30
35
40
45
50
(1) Create a table that shows the (a) stock price, (b) strike price, (c)
exercise value, (d) option price, and (e) premium of option price
over exercise value.
Answer:
E.
Strike
Price
(b)
$25.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
Exercise Value
of Option
(a) (b) = (c)
$ 0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
Market Price
of Option
(d)
$ 3.00
7.50
12.00
16.50
21.00
25.50
Premium
(d) (c) = (e)
$3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
(2) What happens to the premium of option price over exercise value
as the stock price rises? Why?
Answer:
F.
In 1973, Fischer Black and Myron Scholes developed the BlackScholes Option Pricing Model (OPM).
(1) What assumptions underlie the OPM?
Answer:
[Show S18-12 here.] The assumptions that underlie the OPM are
as follows:
F.
Answer:
d2 = d1 t .
Here,
V = Current value of a call option with time t until expiration.
P = Current price of the underlying stock.
N(di) = Probability that a deviation less than di will occur in a
standard normal distribution. Thus, N(d1) and N(d2)
represent areas under a standard normal distribution
function.
X = Exercise, or strike, price of the option.
e 2.7183.
rRF = Risk-free interest rate.
t = Time until the option expires (the option period).
ln(P/X) = Natural logarithm of P/X.
2 = Variance of the rate of return on the stock.
F.
(3) What is the value of the following call option according to the
OPM?
Stock price = $27.00.
Exercise price = $25.00.
Time to expiration = 6 months.
Risk-free rate = 6.0%.
Stock return variance = 0.11.
Answer:
d1 =
d2 = d1 (0.3317)(0.7071) = d1 0.2345
= 0.5736 0.2345 = 0.3391.
N(d1) = N(0.5736) = 0.5000 + 0.2168 = 0.7168.
N(d2) = N(0.3391) = 0.5000 + 0.1327 = 0.6327.
Therefore,
V = $27(0.7168) $25e-0.03(0.6327)
= $19.3536 $25(0.97045)(0.6327)
= $19.3536 $15.3500 = $4.0036 $4.00.
Thus, under the OPM, the value of the call option is about $4.00.
494 Integrated Case
G.
Answer:
H.
Answer:
2.
3.
4.
5.
I.
Answer:
J.
Answer:
more closely match the firms cash flows: Fixed for floating and
floating for fixed. Swaps can reduce each partys financial risk.
K.
Explain briefly how a firm can use futures and swaps to hedge
risk.
Answer:
L.
Answer: