Intraday: Trading With The
Intraday: Trading With The
TRADING Strategies
TICK
Protective stop
108.70
Short-term
double top
108.60
Protective stop
Go short
Go short
108.50
108.40
108.30
108.20
108.10
600.00
400.00
TICK
Overbought
Overbought
200.00
.00
-200.00
-400.00
9:42 9:55 10:08 10:21 10:34 10:47 11:00 11:13 11:26 11:39 11:52 12:05 12:18 12:31
114.50
114.30
114.10
113.90
113.70
979.00
Go long
TICK
Protective stop
600.00
200.00
-200.00
-600.00
10:10 10:45 11:20 11:55 12:30 13:05 13:40 14:15 14:50 15:25
11/23
10:25
Key terms
Breadth: The internal strength
or weakness of the market that
is, the strength or weakness not
immediately reflected in price.
Breadth is typically derived from
some calculation of the number of
advancing stocks vs. the number of
declining stocks, the volume of
these stocks, or some combination
of the two. In addition to the TICK,
breadth is reflected in such
indicators as the advance-decline
line and the TRIN (Arms Index).
Fibonacci retracement:
Percentages based on ratios of
numbers from the Fibonacci
sequence (see Technical Tool
Insight, p. xx) that some traders use
to determine likely retracement
levels and profit targets. The most
commonly used Fibonacci
retracement percentages (rounded
off) are 38, 50 and 62 percent.
FIGURE 3 PULLBACK 1
A move by the TICK below zero coincides with a 50-percent retracement
of the earlier upmove. The TICK then moves back above zero, and a long
trade is triggered when price breaks above the upper channel line.
S&P 500 Index Trust (SPY), one-minute
108.60
108.40
108.20
108.00
107.80
Go long on move
above channel line
107.60
38%
50%
62%
107.40
TICK
700.00
500.00
300.00
100.00
-100.00
9:58 10:11 10:24 10:37 10:50 11:03 11:16 11:29 11:42 11:55 12:08 12:21
trend.
At the beginning of Figure 3 (left),
SPY was in an uptrend and the TICK
reached an overbought level of +600,
which indicates a strong, uptrending
market. In such a situation, the goal is to
buy on a pullback.
Countertrend channel lines are drawn
as price turns down a little after 10 a.m.,
forming the pullback. As the TICK
dropped below zero twice between approximately 10:11 and 10:30 (and below
100 the second time), price tagged the
50 percent Fibonacci retracement line.
The combination of the TICK oversold
signal and the 50 percent retracement
made the odds good for an up move.
This next development to look for is a
move above the upper channel line,
which would indicate the pullback has
ended and price could continue in its
previous direction. When the upper
channel line is penetrated, go long with
a stop below the low of the entry bar.
Take profits at the previous high.
TICK basics
FIGURE 4 PULLBACK 2
In this pullback, price retraces to the 38 percent line. The previous high
provides a price target for the trade.
114.00
113.50
Go long
113.00
Profit target
112.50
112.00
38%
50%
62%
111.50
111.00
900
TICK
600
300
0
Oversold
12:20 12:50 13:20 13:50 14:20 14:50 15:20 15:50 11/13 10:05 10:35 11:05 11:35
115.40
115.20
62%
50%
38%
115.00
114.80
114.60
114.40
114.20
Go short
114.00
113.80
600.00
TICK
400.00
Overbought
200.00
.00
-200.00
9:33
9:40
9:47
9:54 10:01 10:08 10:15 10:22 10:29 10:36 10:43 10:50 10:57