Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation PDF
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation PDF
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation PDF
MineralResource and
OreReserve Estimation
The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
Second edition, Monograph 30
ISBN 978 1 925100 06 8
COPYRIGHT DISCLAIMER
Published by:
The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy
Ground Floor, 204 Lygon Street, Carlton Victoria 3053, Australia
Contents
Chapter 1 | An Overview and Outline
Overview
P L McCarthy
13
J Vann, P R Stephenson,
S Jackson and G Pilger
19
J Coombes
33
N Hanson
43
'HVLJQ3ULQFLSOHVRI5HODWLRQDO'DWDEDVHVDQG0DQDJHPHQWRI'DWD
Flow for Resource Estimation
M Z Abzalov
47
6DPSOLQJDQG$QDO\VLV3URWRFROVDQG7KHLU5ROHLQ0LQHUDO
([SORUDWLRQDQG1HZ5HVRXUFH'HYHORSPHQW
53
D R Green
61
$5HYLHZRIWKH5HOLDELOLW\DQG9DOLGLW\RI3RUWDEOH;5D\
)OXRUHVFHQFH6SHFWURPHWU\S;5)'DWD
69
+RZ6DPSOLQJ%LDVHV&DQ,QGXFH'HFLVLRQ0DNHUVWR0DNH:URQJ
'HFLVLRQV$Q,QWURGXFWLRQWR4XDOLWDWLYH6DPSOLQJ7KHRU\
P M Gy and
D M Franois-Bongaron
83
3UDFWLFDO&RQVLGHUDWLRQVDQG6KRUWFXWVLQ6DPSOLQJ
D M Franois-Bongaron
87
*HRVWDWLVWLFDO&ULWHULDIRU&KRRVLQJDQ2SWLPDO5DWLREHWZHHQ4XDOLW\
DQG4XDQWLW\RI6DPSOHV0HWKRGDQG&DVH6WXGLHV
M Z Abzalov
91
97
A van As
109
8VHDQG$EXVHRI2ULHQWHG'ULOO&RUH
B K Davis
121
E J Cowan
137
*HRORJLFDO,QWHUSUHWDWLRQIRU5HVRXUFH0RGHOOLQJDQG(VWLPDWLRQ
145
%HVW3UDFWLFHLQ&RDO([SORUDWLRQDQG5HVRXUFH(YDOXDWLRQ
155
The Dos and Donts of Geological and Grade Boundary Models and
:KDW<RX&DQ'R$ERXW,W
175
$&KHFNOLVWIRU*UDGH&RQWURO
189
&DOFXODWHG0LQHUDORJ\DQG,WV$SSOLFDWLRQV
S Halley
199
;5D\3OXQJH3URMHFWLRQ8QGHUVWDQGLQJ6WUXFWXUDO*HRORJ\IURP
Grade Data
E J Cowan
207
3UDFWLFDO,PSOLFLW'\NH0RGHOOLQJIRU5HVRXUFH(VWLPDWLRQ1HZPRQW
%RGGLQJWRQ*ROG:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLD
221
R Gradim, J Donaldson,
J Levett, M Briggs,
M Crawford, M Dusci and
A Trueman
229
:LUHIUDPH)UHH*HRORJLFDO0RGHOOLQJ$Q2[\PRURQRUD9DOXH
3URSRVLWLRQ"
247
263
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH(VWLPDWLRQRIWKH%URFNPDQ,URQ2UH'HSRVLWLQ
the Pilbara Region by Rio Tinto Iron Ore
B Sommerville, C Boyle,
N Brajkovich, J Phillips and
A-A Latscha
277
0XOWLYDULDWH,URQ2UH'HSRVLW5HVRXUFH(VWLPDWLRQ$3UDFWLWLRQHUV
Guide to Selecting Methods
287
7URSLFDQD*ROG0LQH:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLD$&DVH6WXG\RI
1RQ/LQHDU0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH(VWLPDWLRQ
301
F Clark, J T Carswell,
1$6FKRHOGDQG0(ULFNVRQ
311
0LQHUDO6DQGV6RPH$VSHFWVRI(YDOXDWLRQ5HVRXUFH(VWLPDWLRQDQG
5HSRUWLQJ
319
$3UDFWLWLRQHUV*XLGHWRWKH,GHQWLFDWLRQ&ODVVLFDWLRQDQG
Estimation of Inventory Coal and Coal Resources
K B Preston
329
$3UDFWLWLRQHUV*XLGHWR5HFRYHUDEOH5HVRXUFH(VWLPDWLRQ8VLQJ
/RFDOLVHG8QLIRUP&RQGLWLRQLQJ
341
5HVRXUFH(VWLPDWLRQLQ)ROGHG'HSRVLWV$5HYLHZRI3UDFWLFHDQG
Case Studies
351
1$6FKRHOG
363
M F Whitham
373
7KH,QXHQFHRI*HRWHFKQLFDODQG*URXQGZDWHU)DFWRUVRQ2UH
Reserve Estimation
T D Sullivan
385
F Kaesehagen
401
7UDQVLWLRQIURP2SHQ3LWWR8QGHUJURXQG0LQLQJ
I T Ross
409
0LQLQJ'LOXWLRQDQG/RVVHVLQ8QGHUJURXQG0LQLQJ
P L McCarthy
415
7KH$VVHVVPHQWDQG0DQDJHPHQWRI&RDO5HFRYHU\LQ2SHQ3LW0LQHV
A Scott
419
0HWDOOXUJLFDO,QSXWWRWKH'HWHUPLQDWLRQRI2UH5HVHUYHV
P J Lewis
433
D David
443
$VVHVVPHQWRI,URQ2UH5HVHUYHV5LR7LQWRV3LOEDUD([SHULHQFH
451
V E Hugo
457
467
,QIUDVWUXFWXUHIRU0LQLQJ'HYHORSPHQWV
F Blatt
473
7KH,QXHQFHRI5HYHQXHDQG&RVW)DFWRUVRQ2UH5HVHUYH(VWLPDWLRQ
R P Watkins
479
487
&RPPXQLW\&RQVXOWDWLRQ7KH2N7HGL([SHULHQFH
M Werror
493
G Dunstan
503
)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHV6FRSHDQG$FFXUDF\
507
5HHFWLRQVRQ)URQW(QG/RDGLQJLQ0LQH3URMHFW'HYHORSPHQW
J H Shillabeer
519
:KLWWOH2SWLPLVDWLRQ7KH0RQH\0LQLQJ0HWKRGRORJ\DQG,WV
,PSDFWRQ2UH5HVHUYHV
G Whittle
525
0D[LPLVLQJWKH9DOXHRI2SHQ3LW*ROG5HVHUYHV:KHUH$UH:H
*HWWLQJ,W5LJKW"
529
%ORFN&DYLQJ6RIWZDUH3UDFWLFDO$SSOLFDWLRQV
J-A Dudley
535
T Diering
547
*HRWHFKQLFDO0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVWR%H&RQVLGHUHG:KHQ'HWHUPLQLQJ
WKH6WDWXVRI/RQJZDOO5HVHUYHV
R W Seedsman
557
C De-Vitry
573
S Dunham
579
7KH,PSRUWDQFHRI8QGHUVWDQGLQJ8QFHUWDLQW\DQG5LVN$VVRFLDWHG
ZLWK$OO*HRORJLFDO,QSXWVWR2UH5HVHUYHV
M Berry
585
6FHQDULR7KLQNLQJ$3RZHUIXO7RROIRU6WUDWHJLF3ODQQLQJDQG
(YDOXDWLRQRI0LQLQJ3URMHFWVDQG2SHUDWLRQV
593
1RQ7HFKQLFDO5LVNVDQG7KHLU,PSDFWRQWKH0LQLQJ,QGXVWU\
605
([SRVLQJ8QFHUWDLQW\LQ6FKHGXOHVIRU3URDFWLYH6WRFNSLOH3ODQQLQJ
J Coombes, C Standing,
R Lacourt Rodrigues and
C Queiroz
619
5HVHUYHV5HVHUYHVDQGQRWD7RQQHWR0LQH$6WXG\RI5HVHUYHV
5HSRUWHG3ULRUWR0LQH&ORVXUH
M Creech
627
635
2YHUYLHZ0RQLWRULQJDQG([SORLWLQJWKH5HVHUYH
C Morley
647
3UHGLFWLQJWKH8QSUHGLFWDEOH(YDOXDWLQJ+LJK1XJJHW(IIHFW*ROG
'HSRVLWV
S C Dominy
659
679
*UDGH&RQWURO%DVHGRQ(FRQRPLF2UH:DVWH&ODVVLFDWLRQ)XQFWLRQV
DQG6WRFKDVWLF6LPXODWLRQV([DPSOHV&RPSDULVRQVDQG$SSOLFDWLRQV
R Dimitrakopoulos and
M Godoy
685
3ODQQLQJ6WUDWHJLHVWR,QFUHDVH3URMHFW9DOXH
T Elkington
701
,QWHUSUHWLQJ/RQJ7HUP0LQHWR0LOO7UHQGVDW6W,YHV*ROG0LQH
707
5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ3ULQFLSOHVIRUWKH0LQLQJ,QGXVWU\
H M Parker
721
0LQLQJ5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ$Q2YHUYLHZRI'DWD&ROOHFWLRQ3RLQWVDQG
'DWD$QDO\VLV
739
$6WUDWHJ\WR0LQLPLVH2UH*UDGH5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ3UREOHPVEHWZHHQ
the Mine and the Mill
F F Pitard
749
C Morley
755
767
,VVXHVLQ&DSLWDO5DLVLQJVDQG'LVFORVXUH
B Dodd
771
5HYLHZRI-25&&RGHDQG&RPSDULVRQZLWK1DWLRQDO,QVWUXPHQW
43-101
P R Stephenson and
P T Stoker
779
(VWLPDWLQJDQG5HSRUWLQJ3RWHQWLDO0LQHUDOLVDWLRQDW%+3%LOOLWRQ
7KH8QFRQVWUDLQHG9LHZ
M Mullins, P Hodkiewicz,
J McCluskey, C Carey and
J Terry
791
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH&ODVVLFDWLRQ,WV7LPHWR6KRRWWKH6SRWWHG'RJ
P R Stephenson, A Allman,
D P Carville, P T Stoker,
P Mokos, J Tyrrell and
T Burrows
799
5HSRUWLQJDQG&RQYHUWLQJ5HVRXUFHVWR5HVHUYHV+RZ&RQGHQW
$UH:H"
M A Nopp
805
815
5HVRXUFHDQG5HVHUYH9DOXDWLRQ3UDFWLFHVLQ&RXQWULHV)RUPLQJWKH
5XVVLDQ&RPPRQZHDOWKRI,QGHSHQGHQW6WDWHV
825
835
/LDELOLW\,VVXHV$ULVLQJLQ5HODWLRQWR([SORUDWLRQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
DQG2UH5HVHUYH5HSRUWV,QFOXGHGLQ7DNHRYHU'RFXPHQWV
F Gardiner-Hill
839
/LDELOLW\RI&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQIRU-25&5HSRUWV
K Livesley
843
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV%H\RQG-25&&RGH5HTXLUHPHQWV
J Coombes
849
863
907
6XEMHFW,QGH[
909
Geological
Interpretation
and Modelling
Statistical Analysis,
Mineral Resource
Estimation,
Classification and
Reporting
Modifying Factors
(Mining, Metallurgical,
Economic, Marketing,
Legal, Environmental,
Social and Government)
Monitoring the
Resources and
Reserves
Grade Control,
Production and
Reconciliation
P L McCarthy
13
Common Sense and Good Communication Effective Team-Based Estimation and Classification of Mineral
Resources and Ore Reserves
J Vann, P R Stephenson,
S Jackson and G Pilger
19
JORC and the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum Definition Standards Major Changes
and Developments for Competent Persons
J Coombes
33
HOME
Overview
J T Baldwin1, J H Lew2 and M F Whitham3
ABSTRACT
7KLVRYHUYLHZIRFXVHVRQWKHSURJUHVVPDGHLQWKHVFLHQFHVLQFHMineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good PracticeZDVUVWLVVXHGLQ3ULQFLSDOWKHPHVIURPWKHLQQRYDWLYHDQGIXQFWLRQDOSDSHUVLQWKHQLQHFKDSWHUVDUH
VXPPDULVHGDQGWKHUHVXOWLQJOHDUQLQJVDUHRXWOLQHG7KHIXWXUHLVFRQVLGHUHGZLWKFKDQJHPDQDJHPHQWLQPLQG0F&DUWK\
HVWDEOLVKHV LQ &KDSWHU WKDW WKH LQGXVWU\V UHODWLYHO\ SRRU DFKLHYHPHQWV LQ PLQH GHYHORSPHQW VLQFH DUH XQDFFHSWDEOH
0F&DUWK\DWKLVYROXPH$VDUHVXOWJHWWLQJWKHEDVLFVRIWKHIURQWHQGRI2UH5HVHUYHVHVWLPDWLRQULJKWLVHPSKDVLVHG
WKDWLVJHRORJ\VDPSOLQJDQGDVVD\LQJWKHUHVRXUFHGDWDEDVHPRGHOOLQJ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVDQG
ULVNDVVHVVPHQWDUHHPSKDVLVHG$OWKRXJK&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVPXVWGHDOZLWKDQLQFUHDVLQJFRPSOH[LW\DQGDJUHDWHUQXPEHURI
UHOHYDQWHVWLPDWLRQSDUDPHWHUVSUDFWLWLRQHUVPXVWVHULRXVO\LPSURYHWRUDLVHLQGXVWU\SHUIRUPDQFH7RIDFLOLWDWHWKLVDFKHFNOLVW
RIUHOHYDQWJRRGSUDFWLFHVDQGHVVHQWLDODFWLRQVLVSURYLGHGVXSSRUWHGE\WKHPDQGDWRU\DSSOLFDWLRQRIWKH-25&&RGH7KH
VLJQLFDQWUHTXLUHPHQWVRIWKH$XVWUDOLDQ6HFXULWLHV([FKDQJHDQGWKH$XVWUDOLDQ6HFXULWLHVDQG,QYHVWPHQW&RPPLVVLRQDUH
QRWHGIRUUHIHUHQFHZKLOHGHWDLOVRIVHYHUDORYHUVHDVFRGHVDQGVWDQGDUGVDUHGLVFXVVHGIRUSUDFWLWLRQHUVZRUNLQJDEURDG7KH
RSSRUWXQLW\WRSURYLGHWKHUVWVWHSLQGHYHORSLQJORFDOJXLGHOLQHVIRUJRRGHVWLPDWLRQSUDFWLFHKDVEHHQWDNHQVRDVWRIXUWKHU
DVVLVW&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV7KHJXLGHOLQHVWRJHWKHUZLWKWKHDSSOLFDEOHVHFWLRQVRI7DEOHRIWKH-25&&RGHDUHLQFOXGHGLQWKH
UHVSHFWLYHFKDSWHURYHUYLHZV
INTRODUCTION
Learn from yesterday The important thing is not to stop
questioning. (Albert Einstein)
7KLV VSHFLF RYHUYLHZ VXPPDULVHV WKH NH\ SRLQWV
FRQFHUQLQJ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ SURFHVVHV PHWKRGRORJLHV DQG
LQQRYDWLRQV DV SUHVHQWHG LQ WKH UHVSHFWLYH FKDSWHUV ,W
KLJKOLJKWVVHYHUDODULVLQJWKHPHVWKDWSURPRWHJRRGSUDFWLFH
DQGFRQVLGHUVIXWXUHGHYHORSPHQWV
7KHRYHUYLHZLQWKHUVWHGLWLRQRIWKLVYROXPH$SSOH\DUG
KLJKOLJKWHG WKH ULVNV LQKHUHQW LQ PLQH SURMHFW
HYDOXDWLRQ DQG WKH DSSDUHQW VKRUWFRPLQJV RI LQGXVWU\
H[SHULHQFH LQ PLQH GHYHORSPHQW JHRORJ\ HQJLQHHULQJ DQG
UHODWHGQDQFLDODQDO\VHV7KHIUHTXHQF\RISRRUHVWLPDWLRQ
SUDFWLFHV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH GHFLHQF\ RI VSHFLF WUDLQLQJ
ZDVDFNQRZOHGJHG7KHODFNRISRVWJUDGXDWHTXDOLFDWLRQVLQ
WKHSUDFWLFHRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQ
DW $XVWUDOLDQ XQLYHUVLWLHV ZDV HPSKDVLVHG $SSOH\DUG
GHPRQVWUDWHG WKDW VHULRXV HFRQRPLF FRQVHTXHQFHV UHVXOWHG
IURPLQIHULRU5HVRXUFHDQG5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHV+HDOVRQRWHG
WKH -25& &RGH UHTXLUHPHQW IRU D &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ DQG
WKDW WKLV GHVLJQDWLRQ LQ PRVW FDVHV UHIHUUHG WR D WHDP RI
SURIHVVLRQDOVGHDOLQJZLWKJHRORJ\JHRWHFKQLFDOHQJLQHHULQJ
PLQLQJ PHWDOOXUJ\ LQIUDVWUXFWXUH HQYLURQPHQW VRFLDO
OHJDO QDQFH PDUNHWLQJ DQG JRYHUQPHQW LQSXWV WR 2UH
5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ 7R DVVLVW ZLWK RYHUFRPLQJ WKHVH LVVXHV
WKH SULPDU\ REMHFWLYH RI WKH HGLWLRQ ZDV WR SURYLGH D
JXLGHWRJRRGSUDFWLFHIRULQGXVWU\SURIHVVLRQDOV
:LWKWKLVLQPLQGDORQJZLWKYDULRXVLQGXVWU\GHYHORSPHQWV
VLQFH SXEOLFDWLRQ RI WKH UVW HGLWLRQ WKH $XV,00 GHFLGHG
XSRQ UHYLHZ LQ WKDW D VHFRQG HGLWLRQ ZDV MXVWLHG DV
IRUHVHHQ LQ KRZHYHU D GLIIHUHQW DSSURDFK ZDV WDNHQ
IRU WKH FRPSLODWLRQ 7KHUH ZHUH QR VHPLQDUV VLPLODU WR WKH
7RZDUGV VHULHV DUUDQJHG ,QVWHDG VHOHFWHG DXWKRUV
ZHUH FRQWDFWHG E\ WKH $XV,00QRPLQDWHG FKDSWHU HGLWRUV
WR SUHSDUH UHOHYDQW DQG LQQRYDWLYH SDSHUV 7KH $XV,00
DOVR FDOOHG IRU VXEPLVVLRQV IURP LQWHUHVWHG PHPEHUV DQG
QRQPHPEHUV $XWKRUV RI D QXPEHU RI SDSHUV LQ WKH UVW
HGLWLRQ WKDW ZHUH GHHPHG UHOHYDQW IRU WKH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ
ZHUH DVNHG WR VXEPLW XSGDWHV 6HYHUDO SDSHUV SXEOLVKHG
HOVHZKHUH DQG MXGJHG WR DGG YDOXH DUH DOVR LQFOXGHG ,Q
DGGLWLRQSDSHUVZHUHVRXJKWRQFRDODQGLQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOV
WKH ODWHVW 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV DQG WKH GHYHORSLQJ SUDFWLFH RI
JHRPHWDOOXUJ\
$V D UHVXOW WKLV HGLWLRQ FRQWDLQV XSWRGDWH SDSHUV
FRQFHUQLQJ JRRG SUDFWLFH ZLWK VRPH DVSHFWV VXSSRUWHG
E\ FDVH VWXGLHV DQG FORVHO\ IROORZV WKH SUHYLRXV HGLWLRQV
V\VWHPDWLFFKDSWHUOD\RXW
$Q2YHUYLHZDQG2XWOLQH
7KH5HVRXUFH'DWDEDVH
*HRORJLFDO,QWHUSUHWDWLRQDQG*HRORJLFDO0RGHOOLQJ
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH(VWLPDWLRQ
1RQ5HVRXUFH,QSXWVWR(VWLPDWLRQRI2UH5HVHUYHV7KH
0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV
2UH5HVHUYH(VWLPDWLRQ
5LVNLQ5HVRXUFHDQG5HVHUYH(VWLPDWLRQ
0RQLWRULQJDQG([SORLWLQJWKH5HVHUYH
&ODVVLFDWLRQDQG5HSRUWLQJ
7KHIRFXVLVRQDGYDQFHVDQGLPSURYHPHQWVLQHVWLPDWLRQ
PHWKRGRORJ\ FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK WKH -25& &RGH QHZ
WHFKQRORJLHVDQGVRIWZDUHWKHFXUUHQW$XVWUDOLDQ6HFXULWLHV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
Overview
7KH UVW WZR SDSHUV LQ &KDSWHU FRQFHUQ JHWWLQJ WKH
HVWLPDWLRQ SURFHVV DQG RXWFRPHV ULJKW 7KH WKLUG SDSHU
Activity
The Resource
Database
Geological
Interpretation
and Modelling
Statistical Analysis,
Mineral Resource
Estimation,
Reporting
Modifying Factors
(Mining, Metallurgical,
Economic, Marketing,
Legal, Environmental,
Social and Government)
Input
Laboratory
Geology
Geostatistics
Geotechnical
Mining Engineering
Metallurgy
Marketing
Environment
Financial
Legal, Social and
Government
Monitoring the
Resources and
Reserves
Grade Control,
Production and
Reconciliation
$QLQWHUHVWLQJGHYHORSPHQWLVWKH3(5&UHSRUWLQJVWDQGDUG
WKDWLQFOXGHVWKHSULQFLSOHRILPSDUWLDOLW\ZKLFK
UHTXLUHV WKDW WKH DXWKRU RI D 3XEOLF 5HSRUW LV VDWLVHG
DQGDEOHWRVWDWHZLWKRXWDQ\TXDOLFDWLRQVWKDWKLV>RUKHU@
ZRUNKDVQRWEHHQXQGXO\LQXHQFHGE\WKHRUJDQLVDWLRQ
company or a person commissioning a Public Report or a
report that may become a Public Report; that all assumptions
DUHGRFXPHQWHGDQGWKDWDGHTXDWHGLVFORVXUHLVPDGHRIDOO
PDWHULDODVSHFWVLQFOXGLQJDQ\UHOHYDQWGLUHFWRULQGLUHFW
relationship (such as employment or ownership of shares)
between the Competent Person and the owners of the project
RQ ZKLFK KH RU VKH LV UHSRUWLQJ WKDW WKH LQIRUPHG UHDGHU
may require to make a reasonable and balanced judgement
thereof. 3(5&
Resource database
7KH HVVHQWLDO DFTXLVLWLRQ RI RUHERG\ NQRZOHGJH UHTXLUHV
FDUHIXOSODQQLQJDQGLPSOHPHQWLQJRIWKRURXJKH[SORUDWLRQ
DQG HYDOXDWLRQ SURJUDPV 7KH PHWKRGV XVHG WR FROOHFW
UHSUHVHQWDWLYH GDWD RI DSSURSULDWH TXDOLW\ DUH QRZ ZHOO
NQRZQ )DLOLQJ WR IROORZ WKHVH HVWDEOLVKHG JXLGHOLQHV FDQ
OHDG WR LQDFFXUDWH DQGRU ELDVHG VDPSOHV DQG DVVD\V DQG
WKHUHIRUHXQUHOLDEOH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHV
3DSHUV LQ WKLV FKDSWHU GHVFULEH UHOHYDQW SULQFLSOHV DQG
PHWKRGVDQGKRZWRLPSOHPHQWWKHPSUDFWLFDOO\IRUH[DPSOH
WKHLPSRUWDQFHRIRULHQWHGGULOOFRUHIRUFROOHFWLQJJHRORJLFDO
LQIRUPDWLRQ'DYLVWKLVYROXPHDQGJRRGTXDOLW\FRUH
ORJJLQJDQGWHVWLQJWRSURYLGHUHOLDEOHJHRWHFKQLFDOGDWDIRU
RSWLPDOPLQHGHVLJQYDQ$VWKLVYROXPH7KHPDLQ
SULQFLSOHV IRU HIIHFWLYHO\ FRQVWUXFWLQJ DQG DGPLQLVWHULQJ
D UHODWLRQDO GDWDEDVH IRU PLQHUDO H[SORUDWLRQ DQG UHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQDUHGRFXPHQWHGE\$E]DORYWKLVYROXPH
7KHSUREOHPRIVDPSOHGDWDELDVLQUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQLV
H[DPLQHGE\*\DQG)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQWKLVYROXPH
LQ WKHLU LQWURGXFWLRQ WR TXDOLWDWLYH VDPSOLQJ WKHRU\ 7KH
TXDOLWDWLYHDQGWHFKQLFDOVROXWLRQLVIRXQGE\UHVSHFWLQJWKH
EDVLF SULQFLSOHV RI VDPSOLQJ WKHRU\ KRZHYHU WKH WKHRU\V
LPSRUWDQFH WR WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ LV IRXQG WR EH RIWHQ
LJQRUHG ,Q DQRWKHU DUWLFOH )UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ WKLV
YROXPH IXUWKHU SURSRVHV SUDFWLFDO VDPSOLQJ VKRUWFXWV WKDW
UHVXOWLQDFFHSWDEOHVROXWLRQVZKHQSURWRFROVFRQVLVWHQWZLWK
WKHVDPSOLQJWKHRU\VHHPLPSUDFWLFDO
*UHHQWKLVYROXPHLQWURGXFHV&RDO/RJDVDERUHKROH
ORJJLQJVWDQGDUGWRSURYLGHDWRROIRUFRQVLVWHQWDQGKLJKHU
TXDOLW\GDWDFROOHFWLRQ7KHQHFHVVLW\RIVXLWDEOHWUDLQLQJDQG
VXSHUYLVLRQEHIRUHDQGGXULQJXVHLVKLJKOLJKWHG
JHRORJLFDOGDWD
JHRORJLFDODQDO\VLVDQGLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
JHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ
JHRORJLFDOPRGHOYDOLGDWLRQ
RSHUDWLRQVVLQFHWKHUVWHGLWLRQDUHGHDOWZLWKLQWKLVFKDSWHU
,QWKHRYHUYLHZ'H9LWU\WKLVYROXPHGLVFXVVHVZK\
VRPHSURMHFWVIDLODQGKRZLPSURYLQJRUJDQLVDWLRQDOFXOWXUH
FDQ UHGXFH WKH OLNHOLKRRG RI IDLOXUH 5LVNV DUH FDWHJRULVHG
DV WHFKQLFDO QRQWHFKQLFDO RU SHRSOHUHODWHG 0LQLQJ
SURIHVVLRQDOVW\SLFDOO\IRFXVRQWKHWHFKQLFDOULVNVKRZHYHU
ULVNV VXFK DV PHWDO SULFHV FRXQWU\ WKUHDWV VNLOOV WXUQRYHU
RI NH\ SHUVRQQHO DQG IUDXGXOHQW EHKDYLRXU UHTXLUH HTXDO
FRQVLGHUDWLRQ 6HYHUDO DXWKRUV LQ WKLV YROXPH UHIHU WR WKH
RQJRLQJ XQDFFHSWDEOH OHYHO RI IDLOXUH LQ PLQLQJ SURMHFWV RU
WKH RYHUVWDWHPHQW RI UHVRXUFHV DQG UHVHUYHV 0DQ\ RI WKHVH
IDLOXUHV DUH VXSHUFLDOO\ DWWULEXWHG WR WHFKQLFDO LVVXHV EXW
IUHTXHQWO\WKHXQGHUO\LQJFDXVHVDUHQRQWHFKQLFDORUSHRSOH
UHODWHGVXFKDV
SURMHFWWHDPVODFNLQJWKHDSSURSULDWHVNLOOVDQGH[SHULHQFH
WRLGHQWLI\DQGPDQDJHULVN
DIRFXVRQSURMHFWDSSURYDOZKHUHVWXG\PDQDJHUVJHWWLQJ
WKHSURMHFWRYHUHFRQRPLFWKUHVKROGVDUHUHZDUGHGZKLOH
WKRVH FRUUHFWO\ LGHQWLI\LQJ D PDUJLQDO RU XQHFRQRPLF
SURMHFWDUHQRWWKLVFDQEHH[DFHUEDWHGE\QDQFLHUVZKR
DVVHVV SURMHFWV KDYLQJ UHZDUG V\VWHPV ELDVHG WRZDUGV
DSSURYLQJQDQFH
FRVWDQGSURGXFWLRQSUHVVXUHDQDWWLWXGHWKDWZHGRQW
KDYHWLPHDQGLWZLOOFRVWWRRPXFKPRQH\WRGRWKHH[WUD
ZRUN
DVKRUWWHUPIRFXVRUDPLQGVHWWKDWLWLVVRPHRQHHOVHV
SUREOHP
7KHVHLVVXHVFDQEHDPHOLRUDWHGZLWKDKHDOWK\RUJDQLVDWLRQ
DQG WHDP FXOWXUH 7KH ULVN DVVHVVPHQW WHDP VKRXOG LQFOXGH
PHPEHUV ZKR FDQ LGHQWLI\ QRQWHFKQLFDO SURMHFW ULVNV WKDW
HVFDSH WKH IRFXV RI WKH WHFKQLFDO WHDP 'H 9LWU\ WKLV
YROXPH SURSRVHV DQ DVVHVVPHQW PHFKDQLVP FRPSULVLQJ
FRPSDQ\ERDUGVFRPPLVVLRQLQJLQGHSHQGHQWQRQWHFKQLFDO
KHDOWKFKHFNV.QRZLQJZKDWQHHGVWREHGRQHWRDGGUHVVD
ULVNLVLQVXIFLHQWDFWLRQKDVWREHWDNHQWRDFWLYHO\PDQDJH
LW$W\SLFDOVFHQDULRRILQDGHTXDWHULVNPDQDJHPHQWLVZKHQ
LQGHSHQGHQW UHYLHZV PDNH VLPLODU UHFRPPHQGDWLRQV \HDU
DIWHU\HDUWKDWDUHQRWDFWLRQHGXQWLODIWHUWKHLGHQWLHGULVNV
PDWHULDOLVH
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DUH HVWLPDWHV 2UH 5HVHUYHV DUH WKH
HFRQRPLFH[SORLWDEOHSRUWLRQVRIWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHEDVHG
RQDVHWRIDVVXPSWLRQV$QDVVHVVPHQWRIULVNVKRXOGKHHG
WKH ZRUGV HVWLPDWH DQG DVVXPSWLRQ 7KHPHV GHYHORSHG
LQ WKLV FKDSWHU LQFOXGH WKH QHHG IRU D UHJXODU LQGHSHQGHQW
UHYLHZ RI WKH HVWLPDWH DQG WKH DVVXPSWLRQV 7KH -25&
&RGHFODVVLFDWLRQV\VWHPLVWKHSULPDU\PHWKRGRIUHSRUWLQJ
ULVNV LQ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV HVWLPDWHV
:KLOH FODVVLFDWLRQ FDQ EH VRPHZKDW VXEMHFWLYH WKHUH
LV DQ REOLJDWLRQ WR UHSRUW VLJQLFDQW ULVNV 7KLV KDV EHHQ
VWUHQJWKHQHG LQ WKH -25& &RGH ZLWK WKH UHTXLUHPHQW
IRUIXOO7DEOHUHSRUWLQJRQDQLIQRWZK\QRWEDVLVIRUQHZ
HVWLPDWHVDQGRUVXEVWDQWLDOUHYLVLRQV
0RGHOOLQJFRPSOH[VKDSHVZLWKRXWZLUHIUDPLQJVSHHGVXS
WKHPRGHOOLQJSURFHVV&RZDQ6SUDJJDQG(YHULWWWKLV
YROXPH GHVFULEH D WULDO FDVH VWXG\ IURP WKH 6DYDJH 5LYHU
PDJQHWLWH GHSRVLW $ EORFN PRGHO UHSUHVHQWDWLRQ RI JUDGH
GRPDLQV ZDV PRGHOOHG GLUHFWO\ IURP GULOO KROH GDWD 7KLV
WHFKQLTXH UHGXFHG WKH WLPH WDNHQ WR GHQH WKH RUH YROXPH
IURPGD\VXVLQJH[SOLFLWPRGHOOLQJWRMXVWKRXUVXVLQJ
LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ KRZHYHU D NH\ WKHPH LV WKDW DOWKRXJK
WKH VRIWZDUHGULYHQ LPSOLFLW JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ LV IDVWHU
FRPSDUHG WR WKH WUDGLWLRQDO H[SOLFLW PHWKRGV WKH DSSURDFK
GHSHQGV RQ FRQVLVWHQW UHOLDEOH GDWD VHWV )XUWKHUPRUH
PRGHOOLQJ SDUDPHWHUV PXVW EH GULYHQ E\ WKH JHRORJ\ DQG
RXWSXWYDOLGDWHGE\H[SHULHQFHGJHRORJLVWV
LEARNINGS
7KLV HGLWLRQ DGGUHVVHV VLPLODU WRSLFV DQG SURYLGHV
FRPSDUDEOH OHDUQLQJV WR WKH UVW HGLWLRQ $SSOH\DUGV $Q
2YHUYLHZ DQG 2XWOLQH LQ WKH SUHYLRXV YROXPH FRYHUHG
WKH LPSRUWDQFH RI JHRORJ\ WKH UHTXLUHPHQW IRU D TXDOLW\
GDWDEDVH WKH PXOWLGLVFLSOLQDU\ QDWXUH RI 2UH 5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWLRQ PDQDJLQJ SRZHUIXO WRROV VXFK DV JHRVWDWLVWLFV
DQG FRPSXWHUV H[SHULHQFH WUDLQLQJ WHDPZRUN SODQQLQJ
DQG FRPPXQLFDWLRQ PLQLPLVLQJ WKH ULVN UHFRQFLOLQJ WKH
RXWFRPHDQGDWDOOWLPHVEHLQJPLQGIXORIFXVWRPHUVRIWKH
2UH5HVHUYH
,Q WKLV YROXPH WKH UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU UHOLDEOH HVWLPDWLRQV
DUH UHVWDWHG VXFK DV RUHERG\ NQRZOHGJH VNLOO H[SHULHQFH
EHLQJ WHFKQLFDOO\ HTXLSSHG WR KDQGOH FRPSOH[LW\ XVLQJ WKH
WKHRU\ RI VDPSOLQJ FOHDU WKLQNLQJ D IXOO XQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RI WKH SURFHVV TXHVWLRQLQJ DQG FRQWLQXRXVO\ UHQLQJ
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQVWUDLQLQJPHQWRULQJWHDPHIIRUWVXSHUYLVLRQ
LQWHUDQGLQWUDFRPPXQLFDWLRQVTXDOLW\DVVXUDQFHTXDOLW\
FRQWURO4$4&H[SOLFLWGHOLEHUDWLRQRQXQFHUWDLQW\VRFLDO
DQGHQYLURQPHQWDODVSHFWVPDUNHWLQJKDQGOLQJFXVWRPHUV
DXGLWLQJUHFRQFLOLDWLRQDQGOLDELOLW\
$GGLWLRQDOO\UHFHQWWHFKQLTXHVDUHGHVFULEHGWRJHWKHUZLWK
H[DPSOHV RI VXFFHVVIXO RXWFRPHV ,QQRYDWLYH DSSURDFKHV
WKDW DUH HIIHFWLYH LQ RWKHU LQGXVWULHV DUH LQWURGXFHG IRU
H[DPSOH VFHQDULR WKLQNLQJ ZLWK LWV SRWHQWLDO RI FUHDWLQJ
IUHVK RSWLRQV DQG HQJLQHHULQJV IURQWHQG ORDGLQJ DW WKH
LQLWLDO VWDJH RI SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW 7KH LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ
RI /HDSIURJ 0LQLQJ LPSOLFLW ' DQG GRZQSOXQJH
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQVGHPRQVWUDWHVLJQLFDQWZRUNWLPHVDYLQJV
$GYDQFHV LQ SRUWDEOH DQDO\VHUV DUH SURYLGLQJ ZRUWKZKLOH
WRROVIRUUHOLDEOHGDWDFROOHFWLRQ$QLQWHUHVWLQJGHYHORSPHQW
LVQRWHGLQWKHLURQRUHSDSHU'DQFNHUWDQG)RXFKp
WKLV YROXPH ZKLFK UHSRUWV D FDVH VWXG\ ZKHUH /DQHV
FXWRII JUDGHV RSWLPLVDWLRQ DSSURDFK /DQH GRHV
QRW DSSO\ EHFDXVH RI WKH QRQOLQHDU LQXHQFH RI SK\VLFDO
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV DQG LPSXULWLHV RQ YDOXH &RQFHLYDEO\
PLQHUDO VDQGV UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV FRXOG EH LPSURYHG E\
XVLQJ QRQOLQHDU PHWKRGV WR HVWLPDWH WKH H[WUD YDULDEOHV
DVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKDWLQGXVWU\
*HRPHWDOOXUJ\ KDV EHFRPH D QRWHG HPHUJLQJ LQSXW WR
WKH HVWLPDWLRQ SURFHVV VLQFH WKH UVW HGLWLRQ ,W LV GHQHG
7KHEHQHWVDQGLPSRUWDQFHRIFDUU\LQJRXWULVNDQDO\VLV
UHGXFWLRQ DQG PDQDJHPHQW WKURXJKRXW WKH HVWLPDWLRQ
SURFHVVDUHIXUWKHUMXVWLHG7KHLQWHUDFWLRQRIWHFKQLFDODQG
QRQWHFKQLFDO ULVNV LV VLJQLFDQW IRU HVWLPDWLRQ DOWKRXJK
PRUHZRUNLVUHTXLUHGDWWKLVVWDJHWRIXOO\XQGHUVWDQGVXFK
UHODWLRQVKLSV
7KHUH LV D QHHG IRU LQFUHDVHG FRPSUHKHQVLRQ DQG
FRQVLVWHQF\ZLWKLQGXVWU\FRGHVVWDQGDUGVDQGUHJXODWRU\
DXWKRULWLHV 7KH ERDUG RI GLUHFWRUV FRPSOHWH EX\LQ WR WKH
3XEOLF5HSRUWLQJRIDFRPSDQ\V0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH
5HVHUYHVLVDSUHUHTXLVLWH7KHSULQFLSOHRILPSDUWLDOLW\KDV
EHHQLQWURGXFHGLQRQHRYHUVHDVVWDQGDUG7KH&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQV PLQLPXP H[SHULHQFH UHTXLUHPHQWV XQGHU WKH
-25& &RGH IRU VLJQLQJ RII RQ UHOHYDQW 3XEOLF 5HSRUWV DUH
FKDOOHQJHG E\ LQGXVWU\ H[SHUWV $SSO\LQJ WKH 0RQH\
0LQLQJPLQLQJDQGPLQHUDOSURFHVVLQJRSWLPLVDWLRQVWHSV
PD\PRGLI\UHSRUWHG2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHVWKURXJKWLPH
7KHUH LV D ULVN RI DQ\ LQLWLDOO\ UHSRUWHG HVWLPDWHV EHLQJ
UHGXFHGVXEVWDQWLDOO\LIWKHLPSOLFDWLRQVRIDOOWKHSURSRVHG
HQWHUSULVH RSWLPLVDWLRQ VWHSV KDYH QRW EHHQ FRQVLGHUHG
GXULQJWKHQDO)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ PXVW EH DQ LPSOLFLW SDUW RI WKH PLQLQJ
SURFHVV 3DUNHU WKLV YROXPH HPSKDVLVHV WKDW
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ GHWHUPLQHV WKH DELOLW\ RI D PLQH RSHUDWRU WR
SURGXFH WKH WRQQDJH JUDGH DQG FRQWDLQHG PHWDO WKDW ZDV
LQLWLDOO\ HVWLPDWHG LQ WKH 2UH 5HVHUYH 7KXV UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
WDUJHWV VKRXOG EH D NH\ SHUIRUPDQFH GULYHU IRU ZHOOUXQ
PLQHV
'HVSLWH WKHVH LPSURYHPHQWV WKH LQGXVWU\ FRQWLQXHV WR
SHUIRUP SRRUO\ LQ GHOLYHULQJ WKH GHVLUHG SURMHFW RXWFRPHV
DQG DFKLHYLQJ SODQQHG PLQH SURGXFWLRQ :KLOH WKHUH LV
D UDQJH RI UHDVRQV IRU WKHVH IDLOXUHV D OLNHO\ FRQWULEXWLQJ
IDFWRU LV WKDW H[SHULHQFHG SUDFWLWLRQHUV ZHUH QRW SUHVHQW WR
HQVXUHZKHWKHUWKHRXWSXWVPDGHVHQVH$VDJHSUDFWLWLRQHU
REVHUYHG\RXFDQPDNHWKLQJVORRNJRRGRQSDSHUEXWFDQ
\RXDFWXDOO\DFKLHYHWKHP"
7KH-25&&RGHLVLVVXHGWRDVVLVWWKHLQGXVWU\LQLWV3XEOLF
5HSRUWLQJRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHVKRZHYHU
GXULQJWKHSUHSDUDWLRQDQGUHYLHZVRIWKLVVXSSRUWLQJJXLGH
WR JRRG SUDFWLFH WKHUH ZHUH VHYHUDO LQGLFDWLRQV WKDW VRPH
XVHUV ZHUH QRW IXOO\ DZDUH RI WKH &RGHV GHQLWLRQV DQG
PHDQLQJV 3UDFWLWLRQHUV PXVW EH FRJQLVDQW RI LWV FRQWHQW
DQG UHTXLUHPHQWV &RQVHTXHQWO\ FRQVLVWHQF\ ZLWK WKH
-25&&RGHRURWKHULQWHUQDWLRQDOO\UHFRJQLVHGFRGHVZKHQ
UHOHYDQWLVQHFHVVDU\WRSURGXFHVRXQG0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG
2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWHV 7KHUHIRUH DOO FRQWULEXWRUV ZRUNLQJ
RQUHVRXUFHDQGUHVHUYHHVWLPDWHVLHQRWRQO\WKH&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQVKRXOGEHIDPLOLDUZLWKWKH&RGHUHTXLUHPHQWVDLPHG
DWWKHLUUHVSHFWLYHDFWLYLWLHV
Detailed planning
7KH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH DQG 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ SURFHVV
UHTXLUHVGHWDLOHGSODQQLQJDQGRQJRLQJDVVHVVPHQWDWYDULRXV
VWDJHVRIWKHSURMHFWIRU
'DWDPXVWEHDFFXUDWHDQGUHOLDEOHIURPH[SORUDWLRQWKURXJK
WRSURGXFWLRQZLWKUHJXODUEDFNXSVDQGRQJRLQJYDOLGDWLRQ
DQG YHULFDWLRQ WKURXJK D UVWFODVV 4$4& V\VWHP 7KH
ODWWHU VKRXOG LQFOXGH LQGHSHQGHQW SHHU DQG H[SHUW UHYLHZV
0DMRUFRQVLGHUDWLRQVLQFOXGH
9LHZDOOJHRORJLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQLQDYDULHW\RIRULHQWDWLRQV
QRW MXVW WKH SULQFLSDO JHRJUDSKLFPLQH FRRUGLQDWH D[HV
5HODWH ' SDWWHUQV RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ OLWKRORJ\ DQG
DOWHUDWLRQ WR ' JHRPHWULHV XQGHU YDULRXV JHRORJLFDO
FRQGLWLRQV
(QVXUH WKDW GHSRVLWVFDOH LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV DQG PRGHOOLQJ
WZLWKWKHUHJLRQDOFRQWH[W
8QGHUVWDQGWKH
5HODWLRQVKLSEHWZHHQWKHJHRORJ\DQGSURFHVVHVWKDW
JRYHUQ PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ JHRPHWU\ ,I PRUH WKDQ RQH
FUTURE
$SSOH\DUG SURSRVHG VHYHUDO IXWXUH QHHGV DQG
LPSURYHPHQWV VHYHUDO RI ZKLFK KDYH RFFXUUHG 2WKHUV WKDW
DUH \HW WR EH UHDOLVHG DUH SUHVHQWHG EHORZ WRJHWKHU ZLWK
DGGLWLRQVIURPFXUUHQWWKLQNLQJ
10
$VWURQJHUIRFXVRQSODQQLQJWRHQVXUHWKDWGDWDFROOHFWLRQ
SURJUDPV DUH DSSURSULDWH IRU WKH SURMHFW VWDJHV IURP
H[SORUDWLRQ WKURXJK WR QDO IHDVLELOLW\ WR PD[LPLVH
UHFRYHU\RIGDWDIRUHQOLJKWHQHGLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGRSWLRQ
DQDO\VLV
(QJDJLQJ DQ H[SHULHQFHG PXOWLGLVFLSOLQDU\ WHDP
WKURXJKRXW WKH SURMHFW WKDW LV OHG E\ D VHQLRU PDQDJHU
IURP WKH UVW VWDJHV RI H[SORUDWLRQ DQG GDWD FROOHFWLRQ
WR WKH QDO )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ 7KLV LV WR HQVXUH WKDW WKH
SRWHQWLDO RI D UHVRXUFH LWV RSWLRQV IRU GHYHORSPHQW DQG
WKHFRQVWUDLQWVHJHQYLURQPHQWDOVRFLDODUHUHFRJQLVHG
DQGWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQW
2QJRLQJJUHDWHUXVHRIDXWRPDWLRQLQGDWDFROOHFWLRQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
5HJXODWRU\
PRUH UHJXODU XSGDWHV RI WKH -25& &RGH WR LPSURYH
XHQF\ DQG UHGXFH DQ\ UHPDLQLQJ UHGXQGDQF\ DQG
DPELJXLW\
FRQYHUJLQJJOREDOUHSRUWLQJFRGHV
H[WHQGHG H[SHULHQFH UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQV
JUHDWHU LQGHSHQGHQFH DQG HYHULQFUHDVLQJ SHUVRQDO
OLDELOLW\/LYHVOH\WKLVYROXPHRIWKH&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQ
7UDQVIRUPDWLRQRIWKHHVWLPDWRUVUROH
PDQDJLQJUHGXFHGPRGHOOLQJWLPH
GHYHORSLQJ EURDGHU DZDUHQHVV DQG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RI RWKHU WHFKQLFDO DQG QRQWHFKQLFDO PDWWHUV EHIRUH
VLJQLQJRIIRQHVWLPDWHVSDUWLFXODUO\DWWKHH[SORUDWLRQ
DQGUHVRXUFHVOHYHOV
FRQYHUJLQJ IXQFWLRQDOLWLHV RI WKH UHVSHFWLYH UHVRXUFH
DQGUHVHUYH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV
EHWWHU FRRSHUDWLRQ DQG WUXVW EHWZHHQ WKH YDULRXV
HYDOXDWLRQGLVFLSOLQHV
LQFUHDVLQJ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH YDULRXV FXVWRPHU
UHTXLUHPHQWV
LPSURYLQJ FRPPXQLFDWLRQ RI RXWSXW DQG FRQGHQFH
OHYHOV DW VHQLRU PDQDJHPHQW DQG FRPSDQ\ ERDUG
OHYHOVDIIHFWLQJWKHUHSRUWLQJRIUHVRXUFHVDQGUHVHUYHV
7HFKQRORJ\
UHGXFLQJUHVLVWDQFHWRDFFHSWLQJQHZWHFKQRORJLHV
QHZ DOJRULWKPV WKDW UDSLGO\ WHVW RU JHQHUDWH
K\SRWKHVHV DERXW WKH IRUPDWLRQ DQG GLVWULEXWLRQ RI
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
WKHSURJUHVVLQH[WHQVLYHDQGFRVWHIIHFWLYHWHVWLQJRI
SURVSHFWVDQGRUHERGLHVDQGWKHIDVWHUWXUQDURXQGRI
UHVXOWVGHOLYHULQJODUJHGDWDEDVHVWKDWUHTXLUH
D EHWWHU PHDQV RI PDNLQJ VHQVH IURP VXFK
GDWDEDVHV
DSSURSULDWH XQGHUO\LQJ DVVXPSWLRQV DQG
VXSSRUWLQJDOJRULWKPVWRSURYLGHEHWWHUPRGHOV
HQKDQFHG DQG IDVWHU YHULFDWLRQ PHWKRGV DV
PRGHOV DQG XQGHUO\LQJ DOJRULWKPV EHFRPH PRUH
FRPSOH[
GHDOLQJ ZLWK PRUH GDWDGULYHQ PRGHOV LPSOLFLW
PRGHOOLQJVLPXODWLRQFORXGFRPSXWLQJQDWXUDOXVHU
LQWHUIDFH18,'SULQWLQJ
OHDUQLQJIURPRWKHULQGXVWULHVHJDUWLFLDOLQWHOOLJHQFH
XVLQJYLUWXDOUHDOLW\WHFKQRORJLHV
2WKHU
HIIHFW RI LPSURYHG RSHUDWLRQDO H[LELOLW\ WKURXJK
UHPRWHFRQWURORQUHVRXUFHVDQGUHVHUYHV
LPSDFW RQ HVWLPDWHV DQG WLPLQJ RI 2UH 5HVHUYHV
UHSRUWLQJ ZKHQ DSSO\LQJ QHZ RSWLPLVDWLRQ
PHWKRGRORJLHV
LPSURYHG WUDLQLQJ KDQGERRNV DQG LQGXVWU\
JXLGHOLQHVWRDVVLVWSUDFWLWLRQHUV
CONCLUSIONS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRUV WKDQN 6WXDUW 0DVWHUV IRU KLV LQQRYDWLYH
VXJJHVWLRQVIRUIXWXUHFKDQJHPDQDJHPHQWFRQVLGHUDWLRQV
REFERENCES
$E]DORY 0 = 'HVLJQ SULQFLSOHV RI UHODWLRQDO GDWDEDVHV DQG
PDQDJHPHQW RI GDWD RZ IRU UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
$SSOH\DUG*5$QRYHUYLHZDQGRXWOLQHLQMineral Resource
and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
HG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
$SSOH\DUG * 5 DQG 6PLWK & / 1RQUHVRXUFH LQSXWV WR
HVWLPDWLRQ RI 2UH 5HVHUYHV WKH PRGLI\LQJ IDFWRUV LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
$XVWUDOLDQ6HFXULWLHV([FKDQJH$6;/LVWLQJ5XOHV>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOH
IURP KWWSZZZDV[FRPDXOLVWLQJVOLVWLQJFDSLWDOUDLVLQJ
OLVWLQJUHTXLUHPHQWVKWP!>$FFHVVHG'HFHPEHU@
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHFODVVLFDWLRQLVODUJHO\DMXGJHPHQWFDOO
&DUUDV)DFWRUVDUHGHYHORSHGEDVHGRQH[SHULHQFHDQG
XQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHOLPLWDWLRQVDQGFRQVWUDLQWVRIHVWLPDWLRQ
WHFKQLTXHV 2UH 5HVHUYHV HVWLPDWLRQ LV DOVR VXEMHFWLYH
DFFRUGLQJ WR H[SHUWLVH DQG LV RIWHQ EDVHG RQ UHODWLYHO\
VSDUVH GDWD &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV KDYH WKH UHVSRQVLELOLW\
RI WKH ULJKW RXWFRPH ZLWKLQ DFFHSWDEOH HVWLPDWLRQ OLPLWV
7KH\PXVWDOVRFRPPXQLFDWHDQGIXOO\H[SODLQWKHLUFHQWUDO
HVWLPDWH DQG DVVRFLDWHG YDULDQFH 7KHUH VKRXOG QRW EH DQ\
PLVXQGHUVWDQGLQJRQZKDWLVEHLQJUHSRUWHGERWKLQWHUQDOO\
DQGSXEOLFO\
&RPPLWWHHIRU0LQHUDO5HVHUYHV,QWHUQDWLRQDO5HSRUWLQJ&5,56&2
7HPSODWHIRUWKH3XEOLF5HSRUWLQJRI([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWV
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG0LQHUDO5HVHUYHV
&RRPEHV - -25& DQG WKH &DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ
0HWDOOXUJ\DQG3HWUROHXP'HQLWLRQ6WDQGDUGVPDMRUFKDQJHV
DQG GHYHORSPHQWV IRU &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV LQ Mineral Resource
and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&RZDQ(-2YHUYLHZJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGJHRORJLFDO
PRGHOOLQJ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&RZDQ ( - 6SUDJJ . - DQG (YHULWW 0 5 :LUHIUDPHIUHH
JHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJDQR[\PRURQRUDYDOXHSURSRVLWLRQ"LQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&UHHFK05HVHUYHVUHVHUYHVDQGQRWDWRQQHWRPLQHDVWXG\
RI UHVHUYHV UHSRUWHG SULRU WR PLQH FORVXUH LQ Mineral Resource
and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
VHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
11
'DQFNHUW*DQG)RXFKp/$VVHVVPHQWRILURQRUHUHVHUYHV
5LR 7LQWRV 3LOEDUD H[SHULHQFH LQ Mineral Resource and Ore
Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice VHFRQG
HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'DYLG ' *HRPHWDOOXUJLFDO JXLGHOLQHV IRU PLQHUV JHRORJLVWV
DQGSURFHVVHQJLQHHUVGLVFRYHU\WRGHVLJQLQMineral Resource
and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
VHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'DYLV % . 8VH DQG DEXVH RI RULHQWHG GULOO FRUH LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'H9LWU\&2YHUYLHZULVNLQUHVRXUFHDQGUHVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQ
in Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ ' 0 3UDFWLFDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV DQG
VKRUWFXWV LQ VDPSOLQJ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
*ODFNHQ , DQG 7UXHPDQ $ 2YHUYLHZ PLQHUDO UHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
*UHHQ'5*HRORJLFDOGDWDFROOHFWLRQIRUUHOLDEOHFRDOUHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
*\ 3 0 6DPSOLQJ RI 3DUWLFXODWH 0DWHULDOV 7KHRU\ DQG 3UDFWLFH
S(OVHYLHU$PVWHUGDP
*\30DQG)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ'0+RZVDPSOLQJELDVHV
FDQ LQGXFH GHFLVLRQPDNHUV WR PDNH ZURQJ GHFLVLRQV DQ
LQWURGXFWLRQWRTXDOLWDWLYHVDPSOLQJWKHRU\LQMineral Resource
and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
12
.LQJ + ) 0F0DKRQ ' : DQG %XMWRU * - $ JXLGH WR WKH
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ LQ Supplement to
Proceedings of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy
/DQH . ) 7KH (FRQRPLF 'HQLWLRQ RI 2UH &XW2II *UDGHV LQ
Theory and Practice[LLS0LQLQJ-RXUQDO%RRNV/RQGRQ
/LYHVOH\./LDELOLW\RI&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQIRU-25&UHSRUWVLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
WR *RRG 3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0F&DUWK\3/D0DQDJLQJULVNLQIHDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVLQMineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0F&DUWK\ 3 / E 0LQLQJ GLOXWLRQ DQG ORVVHV LQ XQGHUJURXQG
PLQLQJ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
3DQ(XURSHDQ5HVHUYHVDQG5HVRXUFHV&RPPLWWHH7KH3(5&DVEO
3DQ(XURSHDQ 6WDQGDUG IRU 5HSRUWLQJ RI ([SORUDWLRQ
5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 5HVHUYHV 7KH 3(5& 5HSRUWLQJ
6WDQGDUG
3DUNHU+05HFRQFLOLDWLRQSULQFLSOHVIRUWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\
in Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
YDQ$V$&ROOHFWLRQRIJHRWHFKQLFDOGDWDIURPGULOOKROHVLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
9DQQ - 6WHSKHQVRQ 3 5 -DFNVRQ 6 DQG 3LOJHU * &RPPRQ
VHQVHDQGJRRGFRPPXQLFDWLRQHIIHFWLYHWHDPEDVHGHVWLPDWLRQ
DQG FODVVLFDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV LQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
:DOWKR$.ULVWHQVHQ6DQG+DUPDQ&%HVWSUDFWLFHLQFRDO
H[SORUDWLRQDQGUHVRXUFHHYDOXDWLRQLQMineral Resource and Ore
Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice VHFRQG
HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Director, AMC Consultants Ltd, Level 19, 114 William Street, Melbourne Vic 3000. Email: [email protected]
GDWDIRUDQXQVWDWHGQXPEHURISURMHFWVIURPVRXUFHVWKDW
JDYHWKHRXWFRPHVDVVKRZQLQ7DEOHIRUFDSLWDOHVWLPDWHV
%XOORFNVHSDUDWHO\WDEXODWHGGDWDIRUSURMHFWVIURPHLJKW
DXWKRUVZKLFKJDYHDQDYHUDJHFDSLWDOFRVWRYHUUXQRISHU
FHQW1RLPSURYHPHQWLQHVWLPDWLRQDFFXUDF\ZDVDSSDUHQW
RYHU WKH SDVW \HDUV /HYHO RU QDO )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV
JHQHUDOO\ DLP IRU DQ HVWLPDWH DFFXUDF\ RI SHU FHQW
WKRXJKWKHGDWDVXJJHVWVWKDWWKLVLVQRWRIWHQDFKLHYHG7KH
DFFXUDF\RIWKHFRPSRQHQWVRI)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\HVWLPDWHVLV
GLVFXVVHG LQ GHWDLO LQ &KDSWHUV WR RI WKH Cost Estimation
Handbook 7KH $XV,00 ,W LV QRW IHDVLEOH WR TXDQWLI\
WKHDFFXUDF\RI2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHVRWKHUWKDQWRFODVVLI\
WKHPXQGHUWKH-25&&RGH
)HDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVPD\IDLOWRGHOLYHUWKHH[SHFWHGRXWFRPHV
LQWKHIROORZLQJZD\V
7KHUH LV QR JHQHUDO DJUHHPHQW RQ WKH OHYHO RI DFFXUDF\
H[SHFWHG IURP )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV %XOORFN WDEXODWHG
WKHFDSLWDOFRVWRIWKHSURMHFWLVKLJKHUWKDQH[SHFWHG
WKHRSHUDWLQJFRVWLVKLJKHUWKDQH[SHFWHG
TABLE 1
Types of studies (after Bullock, 2011).
Author
Date
Level I
Level II
Level III
Taylor
1976
Preliminary
Intermediate
Feasibility
Hustrulid
Mackenzie
Bullock
Most common usage
1997
Conceptual
Preliminary
Feasibility
Resource calculation
Preliminary
Feasibility
Preliminary
Indicative
Definitive
Level IV
Basic engineering
Scoping
Preliminary
Detailed
Order of magnitude
Pre-Feasibility
Bankable
2006
Scoping
Pre-Feasibility
Definitive
2011
Preliminary Feasibility
Intermediate Feasibility
Final Feasibility
Basic engineering
2000 to 2011
Scoping
Pre-Feasibility
Feasibility
Basic engineering
Basic engineering
13
TABLE 2
Observed accuracy ranges of capital estimates.
Type of study
-50 to +30
-27 to +30
-20 to +27
-12 to +20
DATA ON FAILURES
,QWKHVDVWXG\IRUWKH:RUOG%DQNVKRZHGWKDWLQWKH
UVW \HDU RI RSHUDWLRQ DIWHU FRPPLVVLRQLQJ SHU FHQW RI
PLQHVDQGSHUFHQWRIWUHDWPHQWSODQWVVXUYH\HGDFKLHYHG
DSURGXFWLRQUDWHRIOHVVWKDQSHUFHQWRIGHVLJQFDSDFLW\
0RVWDFKLHYHGWKHLUGHVLJQUDWHE\WKHVHFRQGRUWKLUG\HDU
$ERXW KDOI WKH VPHOWHUV VXUYH\HG KDG DFKLHYHG OHVV WKDQ
SHU FHQW RI GHVLJQ FDSDFLW\ E\ WKH HQG RI WKH WKLUG \HDU
7KH PDMRU FDXVHV RI GHOD\V LQ S\URPHWDOOXUJLFDO RSHUDWLRQV
ZHUHUHIUDFWRU\IDLOXUHVDQGGLIFXOWLHVLQKDQGOLQJKRWJDVHV
&KDUOHV5LYHU$VVRFLDWHVDVUHSRUWHGLQ$JDUZDO et al
,Q WKH V D VWXG\ RI $XVWUDOLDQ JROG PLQHV IRXQG
WKDW SHU FHQW IDLOHG WR GHOLYHU WKH SODQQHG KHDG JUDGH
%XUPHLVWHUZKLOHDVLPLODUUHYLHZRIQHDUO\1RUWK
$PHULFDQ SURMHFWV VKRZHG WKDW RQO\ WHQ SHU FHQW DFKLHYHG
WKHLUFRPPHUFLDODLPVZLWKSHUFHQWIDLOLQJZLWKLQDERXW
RQH\HDU+DUTXDLO
,Q WKH V D VWXG\ RI WKH VWDUWXS SHUIRUPDQFH RI QLQH
$XVWUDOLDQ XQGHUJURXQG EDVH PHWDO PLQHV IRXQG WKDW RQO\
SHU FHQW DFKLHYHG GHVLJQ WKURXJKSXW E\ \HDU WKUHH DQG
SHUFHQWQHYHUDFKLHYHGLWDWDOO:KLOHPRVWPLQHVZHUH
DEOH WR LQLWLDOO\ RSHUDWH IRU DW OHDVW WKUHH PRQWKV DW D UDWH
SHUFHQWKLJKHUWKDQGHVLJQRQDORQJHUWHUPDYHUDJHWKH\
RSHUDWHGDWRQO\SHUFHQWRIWKDWSHDNUDWHRUSHUFHQW
RIGHVLJQ7KUHHRIWKHPLQHVSHUFHQWIDLOHGWRDFKLHYH
WKH HVWLPDWHG 2UH 5HVHUYH JUDGH DQG HYHQ DIWHU YH \HDUV
HDFKZDVRSHUDWLQJDWDERXWSHUFHQWRILWVLQWHQGHGJUDGH
:DUGDQG0F&DUWK\
$Q LQYHVWPHQW EDQN UHYLHZ RI PLQLQJ SURMHFWV FDUULHG
RXW LQ WKH V VKRZHG DQ DYHUDJH FDSLWDO FRVW RYHUUXQ RI
SHUFHQWDWWULEXWHGWRRYHUO\RSWLPLVWLF)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHV
DQG SRRU FRVW HVWLPDWLRQ SDUWLFXODUO\ UHODWHG WR LQWHUHVW
FKDUJHV DQG QDQFLDO LQVXUDQFH OHJDO DQG FRQVXOWLQJ IHHV
$QRQ
$ 86 VWXG\ FRPSDULQJ WKH QDO )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\
SURGXFWLRQ UDWH ZLWK WKH DYHUDJH VXVWDLQHG SURGXFWLRQ UDWH
IURP VWHHSO\GLSSLQJ WDEXODU GHSRVLWV IRXQG WKDW SHU
FHQW RI WKH PLQHV GLG QRW DFKLHYH WKHLU SODQQHG SURGXFWLRQ
UDWH7DWPDQ
14
CAUSES OF FAILURE
7DEOH VKRZV FDXVHV RI FRPPLVVLRQLQJ DQG RSHUDWLRQDO
SUREOHPVDULVLQJIURPLQDGHTXDFLHVLQWKH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
IURPWKHDXWKRUVRZQGDWD
7KHVH H[DPSOHV ZHUH FROOHFWHG LQ WKH V DQG LQ WKH
DXWKRUVH[SHULHQFHWKHLQFLGHQFHRIFRVWHVWLPDWLRQHUURUVKDV
EHHQKLJKHULQUHFHQW\HDUV8QGHUO\LQJPDQ\RIWKHH[DPSOHV
ZDVDSRRUJHQHUDOSHUIRUPDQFHRUODFNRILPSDUWLDOLW\E\WKH
VWXG\WHDPSUREOHPVZLWKWKHZD\WKHVWXG\ZDVRUJDQLVHG
RUIXQGHGDQGXQUHDOLVWLFVWXG\GHDGOLQHV0DQ\RIWKHFDXVHV
FRXOGDOVREHGHVFULEHGDVDIDLOXUHWRDGHTXDWHO\XQGHUVWDQG
TABLE 3
Causes of commissioning and operating problems.
Area of problem
Frequency (%)
17
Geotechnical analysis
32
15
12
Cost estimation
Hydrology
GEOTECHNICAL ANALYSIS
'HVSLWHWKHDYDLODELOLW\RIFRPSXWHUWHFKQLTXHVDQGRVWHQVLEO\
VRXQGHQJLQHHULQJSURFHGXUHVJHRWHFKQLFDODQDO\VLVLVHYHQ
PRUHRIDQDUWWKDQJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ*RRGJHRWHFKQLFDO
ZRUN LV GRQH E\ SUDFWLWLRQHUV ZKRVH H[SHULHQFH KDV EHHQ
JDLQHGE\ZRUNLQJRQPDQ\RSHUDWLQJPLQHVXQGHUDZLGH
UDQJHRIFRQGLWLRQV
$W WKH )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ VWDJH WKHUH LV RIWHQ D SRRU
XQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHVWUHVVUHJLPHDQGRIURFNFRQGLWLRQVDQG
15
E\TXDOLHGDQGH[SHULHQFHGHQJLQHHUVFRQYHUVDQWZLWKWKH
SURFHVVHV LQYROYHG EXW DOVR SDUWLFXODU DWWHQWLRQ LQ WKH GXH
GLOLJHQFHSURFHVV
COST ESTIMATION
7KH QDO )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ LV XVXDOO\ EDVHG RQ WKH PRVW
DWWUDFWLYH WHFKQLFDO DOWHUQDWLYHV IRU WKH SURMHFW IURP WKRVH
HYDOXDWHGWKURXJKHDUOLHUVWXGLHV7KHDLPLVWRLGHQWLI\DQG
TXDQWLI\ WKH WHFKQLFDO FRPPHUFLDO DQG HQYLURQPHQWDO ULVNV
DQGRSSRUWXQLWLHVDQGSUHVHQWWKHUHOHYDQWLQIRUPDWLRQZLWK
EDFNXSPDWHULDOLQDFRQFLVHDQGDFFHVVLEOHZD\7KHVWXG\
ZLOOEHXVHGLQGLIIHUHQWZD\VE\LQYHVWRUVUHJXODWRUVDQGWKH
FRPPXQLW\LQGHFLGLQJZKHWKHUWKHSURMHFWVKRXOGSURFHHG
DQGRQZKDWWHUPV,ILWSURFHHGVWKH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\ZLOO
SURYLGHDEDVLVIRUGHWDLOHGGHVLJQDQGFRQVWUXFWLRQ
7KH )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ XVXDOO\ LQFOXGHV VXIFLHQW GHWDLO
WR DQVZHU WKH TXHVWLRQ LV LW IHDVLEOH" ,W XVXDOO\ GRHV QRW
JR DQ\ IXUWKHU LQWR GHWDLOHG GHVLJQ WKDQ QHFHVVDU\ VR WKDW
W\SLFDOO\ SHU FHQW RI WKH HQJLQHHULQJ UHPDLQV WR EH GRQH
DIWHU WKH )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ LV FRPSOHWH ,W PXVW KRZHYHU
JR LQWR D VXIFLHQW OHYHO RI GHWDLO IRU WKH VFRSH RI ZRUN VR
WKDW WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI WKH SURMHFW LV GHQHG 7KLV LQ WXUQ
LVGHSHQGHQWRQWKHW\SHRISURMHFWLQYROYHG,ILWLVDVLPSOH
RSHQ SLW JROG PLQH ZLWK FRQYHQWLRQDO &,3 SODQW D SHU
FHQWOHYHORIHQJLQHHULQJPD\EHVXIFLHQW,ILWLVDFRPSOH[
RSHUDWLRQ ZLWK PXOWLSOH SURFHVVHV RU QHZ WHFKQRORJ\ WKH
OHYHORIHQJLQHHULQJUHTXLUHGIRUWKH)HDVLELOLW\PLJKWULVHWR
SHUFHQWRUPRUH
$ IDLOXUH WR DSSUHFLDWH WKH SRVWIHDVLELOLW\ HQJLQHHULQJ
UHTXLUHPHQW FDQ OHDG WR VXEVWDQWLDO FRVW RYHUUXQV 7KH ULVN
FDQEHUHGXFHGE\FRPSOHWLQJPRUHRIWKHHQJLQHHULQJSULRU
WR SURMHFW FRPPLWPHQW *RRGH et al UHFRPPHQGHG
WKDW SHU FHQW RI WKH WRWDO SODQW HQJLQHHULQJ HIIRUW VKRXOG
EH FRPSOHWHG EHIRUH VHHNLQJ QDQFH ,Q UHFHQW \HDUV LW KDV
SURYHGYHU\GLIFXOWIRUHYHQWKHEHVWUXQVWXGLHVWRIRUHFDVW
FDSLWDOFRVWVDVWKHVHKDYHEHHQGULYHQXSE\ULVLQJFRVWVRI
PDWHULDOVDQGODERXU
HYDROLOGY
:DWHU LV UDUHO\ WKH RXWULJKW FDXVH RI SURMHFW IDLOXUH EXW FDQ
EH D VLJQLFDQW FDXVH RI WHPSRUDU\ XQGHUSHUIRUPDQFH RU
DGGLWLRQDOFRVWWRPLQLQJSURMHFWV:DWHULQRZVWRDQRSHQ
SLWPLQHFDQFRPSOLFDWHWKHPLQHSURGXFWLRQRSHUDWLRQVDIIHFW
WKHVWDELOLW\RISLWZDOOVLPSDFWXSRQKDXOURDGPDLQWHQDQFH
FRVWVDQGDIIHFWPLQLQJUDWHV,QXQGHUJURXQGPLQHVZDWHU
PD\ VHULRXVO\ DIIHFW GHYHORSPHQW UDWHV FUHDWH PDWHULDOV
KDQGOLQJ SUREOHPV DGG WR GHFOLQH URDG PDLQWHQDQFH
UHTXLUHPHQWV DORQJ ZLWK WKH QHHG WR SURYLGH LQIUDVWUXFWXUH
IRUZDWHUFODULFDWLRQVWRUDJHDQGSXPSLQJIDFLOLWLHV2WKHU
LPSDFWVPD\DULVHWKURXJKXQDYDLODELOLW\RIH[SHFWHGSURFHVV
ZDWHU SHUIRUPDQFH RI UHYHUVHRVPRVLV SODQWV H[FHVVLYH
JURXQGZDWHURUWKHHIIHFWVRIDWURSLFDOHQYLURQPHQW
$ FOHDU XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH K\GURORJ\ RI WKH DUHD LV
LPSRUWDQW IRU WKH GHVLJQ RI ZDVWH GLVSRVDO V\VWHPV DQG
HQYLURQPHQWDOLPSDFWDVVHVVPHQWVSDUWLFXODUO\ZKHUHWKHUH
LV SRWHQWLDO IRU DFLG PLQH GUDLQDJH +\GURORJ\ UHPDLQV DQ
LQH[DFW VFLHQFH DQG WKH ZDWHU FRPSRQHQWV RI D )HDVLELOLW\
6WXG\UHTXLUHFORVHVFUXWLQ\
FRPSDQ\TXDOLFDWLRQV
DSSURDFKDQGPHWKRGRORJ\
SHUVRQQHO
SULFHWR
7KHWRWDOVFRUHKDVQRLPSRUWDQFHRQO\WKHUHODWLYHUDQNLQJ
7KHVHZHLJKWLQJVHPSKDVLVHWKHLPSRUWDQFHRIREWDLQLQJWKH
EHVWWHDPDQGDFNQRZOHGJHWKHUHODWLYHO\ORZLPSRUWDQFHRI
WKHSULFHSDLG7KLVLVEHFDXVHWKHVWXG\WHDPKDVZLWKLQLWV
SRZHU WKH DELOLW\ WR YDU\ WKH YDOXH RI WKH SURMHFW E\ PDQ\
WHQV RI PLOOLRQV RI GROODUV VHWWLQJ WKH SURMHFW XS IRU VXFFHVV
RUIDLOXUH&RPSDUHGWRWKHVHRXWFRPHVWKHFRVWRIWKHVWXG\
WHDP LV ODUJHO\ LUUHOHYDQW $UJXDEO\ LI D PLQLQJ FRPSDQ\
FDQQRW DIIRUG D JRRG VWXG\ WHDP LW VKRXOG QRW EH LQ WKH
EXVLQHVVRIGHYHORSLQJQHZPLQHV
$VWKHSURMHFWSURFHHGVWKURXJK3UH)HDVLELOLW\VWDWXVWKH
SXUSRVHRIVWXGLHVLVXVXDOO\WRH[SORUHPLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJ
RSWLRQV DQG GHYHORS SUHOLPLQDU\ QDQFLDO PRGHOV LQ RUGHU
WR MXVWLI\ IXUWKHU VXEVWDQWLDO H[SORUDWLRQ DQG GHYHORSPHQW
H[SHQGLWXUH+RZHYHULQMXQLRUFRPSDQLHVSDUWLFXODUO\WKH
NH\UHVXOWVRID6FRSLQJRUD3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\PD\UDLVH
H[SHFWDWLRQV WKDW EHFRPH YHU\ GLIFXOW WR PRGHUDWH ODWHU
EHFDXVHRIWKHLPSDFWLQWKHVKDUHPDUNHW&OHDUO\WKLVEXLOG
XS RI FRUSRUDWH PRPHQWXP FDQ OHDG WR XQGXH SUHVVXUH RQ
WKH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\WHDPDQGXOWLPDWHO\WRSRRULQYHVWPHQW
GHFLVLRQV 7KLV SURFHVV FDQ DOVR DULVH LQ ODUJH FRPSDQLHV
ZKHUHPDMRUSURMHFWVDUHLQYROYHG6XFKSURMHFWVFDQGHYHORS
DPRPHQWXPRIWKHLURZQZKHQDQQRXQFHPHQWVE\WKHFKLHI
H[HFXWLYH SURPSW WKH VHQLRU PDQDJHUV WR SUHVV WKH VWXG\
WHDPWRFRPHXSZLWKDIDYRXUDEOHUHVXOW
6RPH SURMHFWV IDLO EHFDXVH RI D ODFN RI FRPPXQLFDWLRQ
EHWZHHQ IRU H[DPSOH WKH VWXG\ WHDP WKH GHWDLOHG GHVLJQ
WHDPDQGWKHSURMHFWRSHUDWLRQVWHDP7KHVFRSHRIZRUNIRU
WKH SURMHFW PXVW EH FOHDUO\ GHQHG DQG DFFHSWHG E\ DOO WKH
SDUWLHVLQYROYHGLQFOXGLQJWKHGHVLJQHUVWKHVWXG\WHDPDQG
WKH RSHUDWRUV DQG WKHUHDIWHU VWULFWO\ DGKHUHG WR &KDQJHV
LQ WKH SURMHFW VFRSH ZLOO LQHYLWDEO\ UHVXOW LQ DGGLWLRQDO FRVW
ZLWKRYHUUXQVWKHPRVWOLNHO\FRQVHTXHQFH7RWKHH[WHQWWKDW
WKH LQWHUHVWHG SDUWLHV DUH LGHQWLDEOH GXULQJ WKH )HDVLELOLW\
6WXG\ FRQVWUXFWRUV DQG RSHUDWRUV PD\ QRW \HW KDYH EHHQ
DSSRLQWHGDQ\GLIIHUHQFHVEHWZHHQWKHPPXVWEHUHVROYHG
'HFLVLRQV PD\ EH WDNHQ LQ WKH )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ WR LQFXU
FRVWV RU WR XQGHUWDNH ZRUNV HDUO\ LQ WKH SURMHFW OLIH VR WKDW
EHQHWVFDQEHUHDOLVHG\HDUVODWHUPD[LPLVLQJYDOXHRYHUWKH
SURMHFWOLIH,WLVFRPPRQIRUGHWDLOHGGHVLJQHUVDQGRSHUDWRUV
WRJDLQFUHGLWIRUUHGXFLQJWKHVHFRVWVE\GHIHUULQJWKLVZRUN
DQGWKHQKDYHWKHSURMHFWHQWHUDFULVLVLQ\HDUWKUHHRUIRXU
RI LWV OLIH ([DPSOHV RI VXFK SUREOHPV LQFOXGH PLQLPLVLQJ
GHYHORSPHQW EHIRUH VWDUWXS RI RSHUDWLRQV GHIHUULQJ WKH
EDFNOO VFKHGXOH LQ DQ XQGHUJURXQG PLQH RU RYHUEXUGHQ
UHPRYDO LQ D VXUIDFH PLQH RU XQGHUVL]LQJ WKH HOHFWULFDO
FDEOHVLQDSODQWWKDWUHTXLUHVPRUHSRZHUDVWKHPLQHJHWV
GHHSHURUWKHRUHJHWVKDUGHU:KHQD)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\KDV
EHHQUHYLVLWHGZLWKWKHDLPRIUHGXFLQJFDSLWDOFRVWVDODUP
EHOOVVKRXOGULQJIRUWKHGXHGLOLJHQFHWHDPLIWKHFRVWVDYLQJV
H[FHHGVD\WHQSHUFHQW7KHVXSSRUWLQJLQIUDVWUXFWXUHPD\
KDYHEHHQFXWEDFNWRWKHSRLQWWKDWWKHRULJLQDOYLVLRQFDQQRW
EHUHDOLVHG
:KHQDSURMHFWDSSHDUVWREHFRPPHUFLDOO\PDUJLQDOWKHUH
FDQEHJUHDWSUHVVXUHRQWKHVWXG\WHDPWRJHWLWRYHUWKHOLQH
7KHWHDPLVUHTXLUHGWRPDNHDODUJHQXPEHURIMXGJHPHQWV
RQ PDWWHUV VXFK DV 5HVRXUFH JUDGH GLOXWLRQ PLQLQJ UDWH
PHWDOOXUJLFDO UHFRYHU\ HWF (DFK RI WKHVH YDULDEOHV FDQ EH
HVWLPDWHGFRQVHUYDWLYHO\RUDJJUHVVLYHO\,IHYHU\YDULDEOHLV
SXVKHGWRWKHOLPLWRUPRGHOOHGRQWKHRSWLPLVWLFVLGHRILWV
GLVWULEXWLRQGLVDSSRLQWPHQWLVVWDWLVWLFDOO\LQHYLWDEOH,WFDQ
EHYHU\GLIFXOWIRUWKHVWXG\WHDPWRGHIHQGWKHLUGHFLVLRQV
RU KROG WKHLU JURXQG DJDLQVW DQ DJJUHVVLYH SURMHFW VSRQVRU
ZKRPD\EULQJLQVSHFLDOLVWVWRVXSSRUWKLVSRVLWLRQRQHDFK
SRLQW2QDQ\SRLQWKHPD\EHULJKWEXWLQWKHDJJUHJDWHKH
FDQQRWEH7KLVSUHVVXUHLVRIWHQDSSOLHGSDUWLFXODUO\WRWKH
DVVXPSWLRQV XVHG IRU WKH UVW \HDU RU VR EHFDXVH RI WKHLU
LQXHQFHRQQHWSUHVHQWYDOXH
$OOFDOFXODWLRQVDQGLQSXWVWRWKHVWXG\FDQEHFKHFNHG
6XIFLHQW VSRW FKHFNV DUH FRQGXFWHG WR HVWDEOLVK
FRQGHQFHLQWKHZRUN
7KH LQWHUIDFHV EHWZHHQ VSHFLDOW\ DUHDV DUH SURSHUO\
FRYHUHG
$VHQLRUH[SHULHQFHGHQJLQHHUPHWDOOXUJLVWRUJHRORJLVW
LV LQYROYHG LQ RYHUYLHZ RI HDFK FRPSRQHQW DQG RI WKH
VWXG\DVDZKROH
7KHUH LV GRFXPHQWDWLRQ RI PHHWLQJV WKRXJKW SURFHVVHV
DQGGHFLVLRQV7KLVFRYHUVWKHVLWXDWLRQLIDWHDPPHPEHU
LVKLWE\WKHSURYHUELDOWUDLQRUVLPSO\FDWFKHVWKHXDWD
FUXFLDOWLPHGXULQJWKHVWXG\
7KH DXGLW SURFHVV VKRXOG EH H[WHUQDO WR WKH VWXG\ WHDP
,GHDOO\DVHQLRUHQJLQHHURUWHDPFDQEHLQYROYHGDWUHJXODU
LQWHUYDOV GXULQJ WKH SURJUHVV RI WKH VWXG\ ERWK RQ DQ
LQIRUPDOEDVLVZLWKWKHLQGLYLGXDOWHDPPHPEHUVDQGDOVRDW
UHYLHZPHHWLQJV([SHULHQFHKDVVKRZQWKDWWKLVSURFHGXUH
RIWHQLGHQWLHVGHFLHQFLHVWKDWZRXOGRWKHUZLVHLPSDFWRQ
WKHYDOXHRIWKHVWXG\
)HDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVIRUPLQLQJSURMHFWVVKRXOGLQFOXGH
DIRUPDOSURFHVVRIULVNDVVHVVPHQW
SHHUUHYLHZE\DVSHFLDOLVWWHDPWKDWKDVQRLQWHUHVWLQWKH
SURMHFWRXWFRPH
DQLQGHSHQGHQWDXGLWRIGDWDJDWKHULQJDQGDQDO\VLVIRU
HDFKVWHSLQWKHVWXG\SURFHVV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
17
CONCLUSION
3URMHFWVPD\IDLOIRUUHDVRQVQRWDGGUHVVHGLQWKLVSDSHU7KHVH
FDXVHV LQFOXGH FRPPHUFLDO ULVNV VXFK DV SURGXFW SULFHV
PDUNHWLQJ IRUHLJQ H[FKDQJH KHGJLQJ QDQFH V\QGLFDWLRQ
DQG IXQGLQJ SROLWLFDO ULVNV LQFOXGLQJ HQYLURQPHQWDO RU
FRPPXQLW\ RSSRVLWLRQ force majeure W\SH ULVNV LQFOXGLQJ
VWULNHV QDWXUDO GLVDVWHUV WHUURULVW DFWLRQ DQG ZDUV DQG WKH
FRQVHTXHQFHV RI SRRU MRLQW YHQWXUH GHDOV RU VLPSO\ SD\LQJ
WRRPXFKIRUDQDVVHWVRWKDWLWFDQQRWVHUYLFHWKHGHEW
7KHKLVWRU\RIPLQHSHUIRUPDQFHUHODWLYHWRWKHH[SHFWDWLRQV
IURP)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHVLVGLVDSSRLQWLQJDQGVKRZVQRVLJQRI
LPSURYLQJRYHUWLPH7KHVRXUFHVRIWHFKQLFDOULVNDUHNQRZQ
DQGFDQEHPDQDJHGGXULQJWKH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\SURFHVV$
NH\WRPDQDJLQJWKLVSURFHVVLVWRDVNLVLWIHDVLEOH"UDWKHU
WKDQ WR GHPDQG PDNH LW IHDVLEOH ,W LV PXFK EHWWHU WR JHW
WKHEDGQHZVDWWKH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\VWDJHWKDQWRJDLQLWE\
H[SHULHQFH
,QDGGLWLRQWRWKHTXHVWLRQRIIHDVLELOLW\ZHPXVWDVNKRZ
OLNHO\ DUH WKH IRUHFDVW RXWFRPHV ,I 0RQWH &DUOR DQDO\VLV
LV DSSOLHG WR WKH SK\VLFDO VFKHGXOHV WKH PXOWLSOLFDWLRQ RI
SUREDELOLWLHV PD\ VKRZ DQ XQDFFHSWDEOH SUREDELOLW\ RI
IDLOXUH HYHQ EHIRUH FRQVLGHULQJ RWKHU ULVNV UHODWHG WR FRVWV
DQGUHYHQXHV
REFERENCES
$PRV 4 DQG %UHDGHQ 3 7KH -25& &RGH D EDQNHUV YLHZ
$,*-RXUQDO$XJXVW
$QRQ1:0$LPSURYHPDQDJHPHQWVNLOOVIRUPRUHSURWDEOH
SURMHFWVEngineering and Mining Journal
18
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Vice President Mineral Resources, AngloGold Ashanti, PO Box 6149, Swanbourne WA 6010. Email: [email protected]
2. Adjunct Professor, WH Bryan Mining and Geology Research Centre, The University of Queensland; Adjunct Professor, Centre for Exploration Targeting, The University of Western Australia;
Adjunct Senior Lecturer, School of Civil Environmental and Mining Engineering, The University of Adelaide.
3. FAusIMM(CP), Director and General Manager, AMC Mining Consultants (Canada) Ltd, Suite 202, 200 Granville Street, Vancouver BC V6C 1S4, Canada. Email: [email protected]
4. FAusIMM, Managing Director, Quantitative Group, PO Box 1304, Fremantle WA 6959. Email: [email protected]
5. Adjunct Professor, WH Bryan Mining and Geology Research Centre, The University of Queensland.
6. MAusIMM(CP), Manager Resource Assessment Research and Development, BHP Billiton, 125 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
&RQVLGHUDEOH HPSKDVLV LV ULJKWO\ SODFHG RQ techniques
HPSOR\HG LQ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH
5HVHUYHV ZLWK PDQ\ SUDFWLWLRQHUV WHQGLQJ WR FRQFHQWUDWH
RQ WKH FRPSDUDWLYH PHULWV RI DOWHUQDWLYH DSSURDFKHV WR WKH
HVWLPDWLRQRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQGWKHFRQYHUVLRQRIWKHVHWR
2UH5HVHUYHV:KLOHWKLVVXEMHFWLVLPSRUWDQWLWLVRQO\SDUWRI
WKHVWRU\EHLQJFRQFHUQHGSULPDULO\ZLWKWKHtoolsHPSOR\HG
LQDUULYLQJDWDQHVWLPDWHRI5HVRXUFHVDQG5HVHUYHV7KHVH
WRROVIDFLOLWDWHJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJEORFNPRGHOOLQJJUDGH
HVWLPDWLRQVLPXODWLRQ DQG PLQH SODQQLQJ DQG VFKHGXOLQJ
DV ZHOO DV PRGHOOLQJ RI PLQHUDO SURFHVVLQJ SHUIRUPDQFH
DQG HQYLURQPHQWDO UHVSRQVHV ZKLFK DUH LPSRUWDQW LQ WKH
5HVHUYHFRQYHUVLRQSURFHVVIRUH[DPSOH:HEHOLHYHWKDWLW
LVRIIXQGDPHQWDOLPSRUWDQFHWRWKLQNFOHDUO\DERXWWKHZD\
LQZKLFKVXFKWRROVDUHDSSOLHG,QSDUWLFXODULWLVFUXFLDOWKDW
WKH\DUHXVHGLQDZD\WKDWLVJURXQGHGLQXQGHUVWDQGLQJWKH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
19
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQLWVHOIDQGWKXVGDWDFKDUJHGDQGFRQQHFWHG
WRWKHURFNV
:KLOH WKLV SDSHU GRHV GLVFXVV PRGHOOLQJ DQG HVWLPDWLRQ
WHFKQLTXHVDQGWKHDSSOLFDWLRQRIWKHVHLWGRHVVRLQWKHFRQWH[W
RIWKHQHHGIRUERWKFRPPRQVHQVHDQGJRRGFRPPXQLFDWLRQ
,Q VR GRLQJ WKHUH LV DOZD\V WKH ULVN RI DSSHDULQJ WR VWDWH
WKH REYLRXV KRZHYHU DV DOOXGHG WR LQ WKH RSHQLQJ TXRWH
LWLVVXUSULVLQJKRZRIWHQWKHREYLRXVLVLJQRUHGDQGWKLVLV
HVSHFLDOO\VRZKHQZHDUHGLVWUDFWHGE\YROXPLQRXVWHFKQLFDO
GHWDLODQGVKRUWGHDGOLQHV
Andre Journel. By data-charged he meant using models that are fundamentally linked
to the data themselves (including geological observations), rather than arbitrary and
disconnected from the deposit thats being estimated.
20
GEOLOGY
*HRORJLVWV SOD\ D FHQWUDO UROH LQ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHVZKLFKDUHWKHXQGHUO\LQJEDVLVRI2UH5HVHUYHV
7KLV UROH FRYHUV FROOHFWLRQ RI GDWD DQG LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RI WKH
GDWDWRJHQHUDWHPRGHOV:HIROORZ9DQQDQG6WHZDUW
DQG GHQH D model DV EHLQJ DQ H[SOLFLW K\SRWKHVLV LQ WKLV
FRQWH[WLWVDJHRORJLFDOPRGHODQGDVVRFLDWHG5HVRXUFHDQG
5HVHUYHPRGHOVXVXDOO\VXPPDULVHGE\'VKDSHVVXUIDFHV
DQGEORFNPRGHOVLQDFRPSXWHUV\VWHP0RGHOVDOVRLQFOXGH
PLQHVFKHGXOHVPLQHUDOSURFHVVLQJPRGHOVHWF
,WLVFULWLFDOWRUHDOLVHWKDWPRGHOVDUHQHYHUWKHWUXWKWKH\
DUH DSSUR[LPDWLRQV DOWKRXJK LQ PDQ\ FDVHV WKH PRGHO
GHOLYHUHG LV WDNHQ DV WKH WUXWK IRU \HDUV %\ GHQLWLRQ D
PRGHO FDQQRW QRW H[DFWO\ UHSUHVHQW WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH
$5HVRXUFHPRGHOLVDVLPSOLFDWLRQRIUHDOLW\GHULYHGIURP
SDUWLDOVRPHWLPHVELDVHGGDWDDQGLQFRPSOHWHEDFNJURXQG
NQRZOHGJH RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ,W FRUUHVSRQGV WR DQ
DPELWLRXV DWWHPSW WR UHSUHVHQW WKH RIWHQ FRPSOH[ VSDWLDO
GLVWULEXWLRQ RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZKLFK LV WKH HQG SURGXFW
RI PXOWLSOH DQG LQWHUFRQQHFWHG HYHQWV LQ VSDFH DQG RYHU
JHRORJLFDO WLPH E\ VLPSOLHG JHRPHWULF DQG QXPHULFDO
PRGHOV1RWHWKDWVFLHQWLFPRGHOVDOVRalwaysKDYHH[SOLFLW
SXUSRVHV DQG LQ VRPH FDVHV PRGHOV DUH ZURQJO\ XVHG IRU
SXUSRVHVRWKHUWKDQWKRVHLQWHQGHGIRULQVWDQFHWKHJHQHWLF
PRGHO LV QRW WKH VDPH DV WKH K\GURORJLFDO PRGHO RU WKH
5HVRXUFHPRGHO
$OWKRXJK RIWHQ LQWRQHG OLNH D PDQWUD LW FDQQRW EH
RYHUVWDWHGWKDWWKHVLQJOHPRVWLPSRUWDQWIDFWRULQ5HVRXUFH
5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ LV WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH JHRORJ\ RI WKH
GHSRVLW,QWKHDEVHQFHRIVXIFLHQWJHRORJLFDOXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
DQ HVWLPDWLRQ H[HUFLVH EHFRPHV D EOLQG PDWKHPDWLFDO
WUHDWPHQW RI VDPSOH UHVXOWV ZLWK VHULRXV ULVN RI ELDV DQG
HUURU )RU GHSRVLWV ZLWK SURJUHVVLYHO\ PRUH FRPSOLFDWHG
JHRORJLFDODUFKLWHFWXUHDWIRUSXUSRVHFRQFHSWXDOPRGHOIRU
WKH JHRORJ\ DVVXPHV LQFUHDVLQJO\ FULWLFDO LPSRUWDQFH $Q\
HVWLPDWHWKDWIDLOVWRWDNHLQWRDFFRXQWWKHNQRZQNH\IHDWXUHV
RI GHSRVLW JHRORJ\ LV QHDUO\ FHUWDLQ WR JLYH D SRWHQWLDOO\
VHULRXVO\PLVOHDGLQJLPSUHVVLRQRIWKHYDOXHRIWKHGHSRVLW
DQG WKXV OHDG WR LQFRUUHFW GHYHORSPHQW VWUDWHJ\ DQG WKH
LPSOLHGQDQFLDOULVNV
Geological complexity
6LQFH JHRORJLFDO XQGHUVWDQGLQJ LV FHQWUDO WR WKH ZKROH
HVWLPDWLRQSURFHVVWKHHDUOLHUWKDWDWIRUSXUSRVHUHVROXWLRQ
RI WKH JHRORJ\ VSHFLFDOO\ PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ JHRPHWU\ FDQ
EH JDLQHG WKH EHWWHU 7KLV LV DGYLVDEOH QRW RQO\ IRU WKH
SXUSRVH RI JRYHUQLQJ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ H[HUFLVH EXW DOVR WR
JXLGH WKH RULHQWDWLRQ VSDFLQJ DQG W\SH RI GULOOLQJ UHTXLUHG
DQG WR PLQLPLVH WKH ULVN RI GULOOLQJ KROHV VXESDUDOOHO WR
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ FRQWUROV ,W LV QRZ FRPPRQ WR LPSOHPHQW
VRPH HDUO\ FORVHVSDFHG GULOOLQJ RIWHQ RVWHQVLEO\ WR DOORZ
EHWWHU GHQLWLRQ RI YDULRJUDPV -RXUQHO DQG +XLMEUHJWV
9DULRJUDPVGHULYHGIURPGDWDIURPVXFKFORVHVSDFHG
GULOOLQJTXDQWLI\VSDWLDOFRUUHODWLRQRIDYDULDEOHDQGSURYLGH
DQ LPSRUWDQW HDUO\ DVVHVVPHQW RI VKRUWVFDOH FRQWLQXLW\ RI
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ KRZHYHU LWV LPSRUWDQW IRU SURIHVVLRQDOV
DQG PDQDJHUV WR XQGHUVWDQG WKDW FORVHVSDFHG GULOOLQJ DOVR
IDFLOLWDWHV HDUO\ DVVHVVPHQW RI WKH JHRPHWULF JHRORJLFDO
FRPSOH[LW\ ,W LV D WUXLVP WKDW FORVHU GULOOLQJ RIWHQ UHYHDOV
PRUH FRPSOH[LW\ 7KH VXGGHQ DQG XQH[SHFWHG GLVFRYHU\
RI JHRORJLFDO FRPSOH[LW\ GXULQJ LQLWLDO RSHUDWLRQV KDV EHHQ
SDUW RI WKH XQGHUSHUIRUPDQFH RU IDLOXUH RI PDQ\ GHSRVLWV
QGLQJRXWDERXWLWDWWKHHDUOLHVWVWDJHSRVVLEOHKDVSURIRXQG
LPSOLFDWLRQVIRUUHDOLVWLF5HVRXUFHHYDOXDWLRQ
Drilling data
,Q VRPH FDVHV IRU H[DPSOH VRPH LURQ RUH DQG ORZJUDGH
JROG GHSRVLWV PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV DUH GULOOHG ZLWK UHYHUVH
FLUFXODWLRQ5&SHUFXVVLRQKROHVDVWKHPDLQPHWKRGZKLFK
Logging
&RUH ORJJLQJ LV QRZ XVXDOO\ FDUULHG RXW YLD FRPSXWHULVHG
FRGHG V\VWHPV 7KLV LV JRRG SUDFWLFH DQG DOZD\V
UHFRPPHQGHG ZKHQ WKH SURMHFW LV DW DQ DGYDQFHG VWDJH RU
RQFHPLQLQJKDVFRPPHQFHGVLQFHLWUHPRYHVWUDQVFULSWLRQ
HUURUV FRQVWUDLQV GHVFULSWLRQV WR D FKHFNOLVW DQG DVVLVWV LQ
PDLQWDLQLQJFRQVLVWHQF\LQORJJLQJDQGIDFLOLWDWHVVXEVHTXHQW
XVH RI WKH GDWD +RZHYHU DW WKH HDUOLHU H[SORUDWLRQ VWDJHV
WKHUH LV D GDQJHU WKDW VWULFW DGKHUHQFH WR FRGHG IRUPV RI
ORJJLQJ FDQ UHVXOW LQ LPSRUWDQW JHRORJLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
DQG PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ FRQWUROV EHLQJ HLWKHU PLVVHG RU JRLQJ
XQUHFRUGHG 2QH SUREOHP LV WKDW DOWKRXJK PDQ\ FRGLQJ
V\VWHPV DOORZ GHVFULSWLYH FRQWHQW WKLV FRQWHQW LV UDUHO\
DFFHVVHG DQG DW HDUO\ VWDJHV VXFK GHVFULSWLYH FRQWHQW PD\
KDYH KLJK YDOXH 0RGHUQ GDWDEDVH V\VWHPV HQDEOH FDSWXUH
DQG UHWULHYDO DQG XWLOLVDWLRQ RI XQVWUXFWXUHG GDWD LH
8. If no close-spaced data is available, assumptions have to be made and clearly stated
somewhere in the report. People often forget to document such assumptions when
simulating from sparse-drilled data.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
21
GHVFULSWLRQV UHSRUWV PDSV HWF EXW WKLV LV UDUHO\ VHHQ LQ
PLQLQJDSSOLFDWLRQV6XFKV\VWHPVDUHPRUHZLGHO\DGRSWHG
LQWKHRLODQGJDVLQGXVWU\EXWPD\JDLQWUDFWLRQLQPLQHUDOV
LQ WKH FRPLQJ \HDUV ,Q WKH PHDQWLPH FRPPRQ VHQVH LV
UHTXLUHG LQ WKH SKDVLQJ LQ RI KLJKO\ FRQVWUDLQHG ORJJLQJ
V\VWHPV ZKHQ WKH IXQGDPHQWDOV RI WKH JHRORJ\ DUH QRW \HW
DSSUHFLDWHGE\WKHORJJLQJWHDP
$W HDUO\ VWDJHV LQ WKH H[SORUDWLRQ RI D PLQHUDO GHSRVLW
ZH VXJJHVW WKDW JHRORJLVWV VKRXOG IRFXV HTXDOO\ LI QRW
SUHIHUHQWLDOO\ RQ GHVFULSWLYH DQG JUDSKLFDO FRUH ORJJLQJ
ZKLFK FDQ EH FRPSXWHULVHG ODWHU LI WKH SURMHFW DGYDQFHV
7KH\ VKRXOG EH HQFRXUDJHG WR UHFRUG WKRXJKWV DQG LGHDV
RQ ZKDW KDV EHHQ OHDUQHG IURP HDFK KROH DQG ORJJLQJ
SURFHGXUHV VKRXOG IDFLOLWDWH VXFK UHFRUGLQJ ,Q IDFW HDUO\
DSSOLFDWLRQ RI PRUH IUHHIRUP GHVFULSWLYH DQG JUDSKLFDO
ORJJLQJ LV DUJXDEO\ WKH HVVHQWLDO SUHOLPLQDU\ SKDVH LQ WKH
VHWWLQJ XS RI DSSURSULDWH FRPSXWHULVHG ORJJLQJ V\VWHPV
(DUO\XVHRIPLQHUDORJ\GDWDFDQPRUHTXDQWLWDWLYHO\GHQH
DOWHUDWLRQW\SHVHWFDQGKDVKLJKYDOXHLQLQLWLDOH[SORUDWLRQ
DQGHDUOLHUGULOORXWSKDVHV([DPSOHVRIXVHRIK\SHUVSHFWUDO
WRROVQRZJDLQLQJLQWUDFWLRQDUHJLYHQE\+DHVW et alD
EDQG7DSSHUW et al7KHHDUO\VWDJHVRIORJJLQJDUH
DQLPSRUWDQWSLOODURIWKHUHFXUVLYHOHDUQLQJORRSWKDWEXLOGV
JHRORJLFDOXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
DATABASE
7KHGDWDEDVHFRPSULVHVWKHUDZREVHUYDWLRQVDQGPHDVXUH
PHQWVXSRQZKLFKWKH5HVRXUFH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHLVEDVHG
,WLVQRWZLWKLQWKHVFRSHRIWKLVSDSHUWRGLVFXVVDOOWKHLWHPV
LQ GHWDLO VHH $E]DORY D IRU PRUH GLVFXVVLRQ EXW LW LV
LPSRUWDQWWRVWUHVVLQUHODWLRQWRWKHFRPPRQVHQVHDSSURDFK
IRUPLQJ RXU WKHPH WKH REYLRXV EXW VRPHWLPHV RYHUORRNHG
UHTXLUHPHQW WR check the data thoroughly 7KLV DSSOLHV DW
DOO VWDJHV IURP VDPSOLQJ DVVD\LQJ VXUYH\LQJ HWF WR QDO
SUHVHQWDWLRQDQGGHOLYHU\RIHVWLPDWHV
6DPSOLQJ DQG DVVD\LQJ DUH RI FULWLFDO LPSRUWDQFH DQG
VKRXOG EH VXEMHFW WR D PDQGDWRU\ DQG ULJRURXV V\VWHP RI
FKHFNVIRUTXDOLW\WKDWLVTXDOLW\DVVXUDQFHTXDOLW\FRQWURO
4$4&WKDWPDQDJHVDFFXUDF\DQGSUHFLVLRQDQGHQVXUHV
IUHHGRPIURPRYHUWHUURU'DWDTXDOLW\LVUHOLDQWRQORFDWLRQDO
DFFXUDF\ WRR DQ H[FHOOHQW XVH IRU FRPSXWHULVHG V\VWHPV LV
WKHLU DSSOLFDWLRQ LQ ' YLVXDOLVDWLRQ ZKLFK XVXDOO\ PDNHV
VSRWWLQJORFDWLRQDOGDWDHUURUVHDVLHUDQGTXLFNHU*HRORJLFDO
REVHUYDWLRQV DUH OHVV IUHTXHQWO\ VXEMHFWHG WR D 4$4&
PLQGVHW DQG VLJQLFDQW YDOXH OLHV LQ LPSOHPHQWLQJ TXDOLW\
FKHFNVRQVXFKGDWD
$QDOQRWHRQWKHGDWDEDVHDVZLWKROGJHRORJLFDOSODQV
WKHUHLVDWHPSWDWLRQWRUHMHFWROGGULOOLQJDQGVDPSOLQJSODQV
DV EHLQJ RXW RI GDWH RU WRR GLIFXOW WR XVH (YHQ LI VXFK
SODQVDUHVXVSHFWRURIXQFHUWDLQTXDOLW\LWLVRIWHQSRVVLEOH
WR PDNH FRQVWUXFWLYH XVH RI WKHP ,I SRVVLEOH FRQVXOWLQJ
SUHYLRXV JHRORJLVWV DQG HQJLQHHUV WR HVWDEOLVK FRQWH[W FDQ
H[WUDFW VLJQLFDQW YDOXH IURP VXFK LQIRUPDWLRQ (YHQ LI
DIWHU H[SHUW DVVHVVPHQW DVVD\V DUH FRQVLGHUHG XQXVDEOH DV
DEVROXWH JXUHV WKH\ PD\ SURYLGH D YDOXDEOH LQVLJKW LQWR
JUDGHWUHQGVRUORFDWLRQRIGRPDLQERXQGDULHVLQDUHDVWKDW
DUHQRZLQDFFHVVLEOH
Sampling
7KH XOWLPDWH UHOLDELOLW\ RI D 5HVRXUFH RU 5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWH GHSHQGV RQ KRZ ZHOO WKH VDPSOHV UHSUHVHQW WKH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DQG IRU WKLV UHDVRQ WKH VL]H RI VDPSOHV DQG
WKHVSDFLQJRIGULOOKROHVDUHLPSRUWDQWFRQWULEXWRUVWRWKH
XOWLPDWH TXDOLW\ RI HVWLPDWHV )UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ
$VDJHQHUDOUXOHODUJHUVDPSOHYROXPHVif representative of
the bulk intervalLQFUHDVHSUHFLVLRQWKLVLVHVSHFLDOO\WKHFDVH
LI WKH DQDO\WH LV DW YHU\ ORZ DQGRU HUUDWLF FRQFHQWUDWLRQV
VXFKDVJROG,QWKHVHFDVHVLIWKHUHTXLUHGGHSWKRIGULOOLQJ
VWUXFWXUDOFRPSOH[LW\JURXQGFRQGLWLRQVDQGJURXQGZDWHU
FRQGLWLRQV SHUPLW LW LV DUJXDEOH WKDW LW LV EHWWHU WR XVH 5&
DV WKH PDLQ GULOOLQJ PHWKRG UDWKHU WKDQ GLDPRQG GULOOLQJ
'' VLQFH W\SLFDO 5& VDPSOHV KDYH PXFK ODUJHU YROXPH
SHUXQLWOHQJWKWKDQKDOYHG''FRUHVDPSOHVRIXVXDOVL]HV
+RZHYHULWLVZHOONQRZQWKDWGHVWUXFWLYHFKLSVDPSOHV
VXFK DV 5& PD\ VXIIHU IURP GRZQKROH FRQWDPLQDWLRQ RU
VPHDULQJSDUWLFXODUO\LIFRQGLWLRQVDUHZHWDQGRUELDVHV
GXHWRSRRUVDPSOHUHFRYHU\HVSHFLDOO\ORVVRIQHV7KHVH
HIIHFWVVKRXOGEHDFWLYHO\DQWLFLSDWHGDQGORRNHGIRULQDQ\
5&GULOOLQJUHVXOWV
$VVXJJHVWHGDERYHZHUHFRPPHQGWKDWVXIFLHQWWZLQQLQJ
RISHUFXVVLRQLQWHUFHSWVZLWK''KROHVLVFDUULHGRXWWRHQVXUH
WKDWUHFRYHU\ORVVDQGRUFRQWDPLQDWLRQLVQRWDVLJQLFDQW
SUREOHP 1RWH WKDW WKH GLIIHUHQW VDPSOH YROXPHV RI FRUH
DQG5&ZLOOEHUHHFWHGLQWKHVWDWLVWLFDOEHKDYLRXURIDVVD\V
IURPWKHVHWZRVXSSRUWV,QSDUWLFXODUODUJHUVXSSRUWVDUH
H[SHFWHGWRKDYHOHVVYDULDEOHJUDGHVORZHUYDULDQFH7KLV
LVWKHVXSSRUWHIIHFWZHOONQRZQWRJHRVWDWLVWLFLDQV-RXUQHO
DQG+XLMEUHJWV,VDDNVDQG6ULYDVWDYD
*\V IRUPXOD )UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ 3LWDUG
ZKLFK JLYHV JXLGDQFH WR VDPSOH YDULDQFH SUHFLVLRQ DV D
IXQFWLRQRIVDPSOHPDVVZDVGHYHORSHGIRUWKHVDPSOLQJRI
SDUWLFXODWH PDWHULDOV ,W LV DSSOLFDEOH WR PDWHULDO RQFH LW KDV
EHHQ FUXVKHG RU SXOYHULVHG RU RWKHUZLVH GLVDJJUHJDWHG DW
ZKLFK SRLQW DQ\ VSDWLDO UHODWLRQVKLS EHWZHHQ PLQHUDOLVHG
SDUWLFOHV KDV EHHQ GHVWUR\HG &DUHIXO VWDWLVWLFDO DQDO\VLV
RI VXIFLHQWO\ GXSOLFDWHG VDPSOLQJ FDQ SURYLGH VLPLODU
LQIRUPDWLRQ WR WKH *\ DSSURDFK VSHFLFDOO\ WKH YDULDQFH
RI HUURU DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK GLIIHUHQW PDVVUHGXFWLRQ VWHSV
,Q VDPSOLQJ RI SDUWLFXODWH PDWHULDOV VLJQLFDQW LQFUHDVHV
LQ VDPSOH PDVV FDQ RIWHQ UHVXOW LQ D VXEVWDQWLDO UHODWLYH
LPSURYHPHQWLQVDPSOHSUHFLVLRQ7KLVIDFWLVVRPHWLPHVXVHG
WRDUJXHIRUZKROHFRUHVDPSOLQJ,QJHQHUDOWKHUHWHQWLRQRI
FRUH LV YHU\ GHVLUDEOH QRW RQO\ IRU JRYHUQDQFH UHDVRQV EXW
DOVRWRHQDEOHIXUWKHUWHVWLQJRIFRUHDVWKHSURMHFWDGYDQFHV
+RZHYHU LI D JRRG DUJXPHQW IRU ZKROH FRUH VDPSOLQJ LV
PDGHHJWKHVDPSOLQJRIZKROHFRUHUHGXFHVWKHULVNRIELDV
LQKLJKQXJJHWVLWXDWLRQVWKHQRZPDQGDWRU\UHTXLUHPHQWV
IRUKLJKTXDOLW\DQGGHWDLOHGGLJLWDOFRUHSKRWRJUDSK\must
EHDGKHUHGWR6XFKSKRWRJUDSK\VKRXOGEHEDFNHGXSDQG
VWRUHGRIIVLWH7KHFRQWLQXHGH[LVWHQFHRISRRUTXDOLW\FRUH
SKRWRJUDSK\SURFHGXUHVRQPDQ\RSHUDWLRQVDQGSURMHFWVLV
VKRFNLQJVREX\DJRRGGLJLWDO6/5WLWZLWKDOHQVDQG
VHWLWXSRQD[HGPRXQWZLWKJRRGOLJKWLQJ7KHLQFUHPHQWDO
FRVWRIJRRGSKRWRJUDSK\LVvanishinglyVPDOO
Bulk density
2QHURFNSURSHUW\WKDWLVVWLOOJLYHQWRROLWWOHDWWHQWLRQLVWKH
EXONGHQVLW\%'/LSWRQDQG+RUWRQ$VPDOOFKDQJH
LQ%'FDQKDYHDGUDVWLFHIIHFWRQWKHHVWLPDWLRQRIWRQQDJHDQG
FRQWDLQHGPHWDODQGWKXVYDOXH(UURUVLQ%'FDQDOVRLPSDFW
HVWLPDWLRQRIZDVWHWRQQDJHVVWULSSLQJUDWLRVIXHOWUXFNLQJ
FRVWVHWF)RUH[DPSOHLIWKHVWULSSLQJUDWLRLVDQGZHDUH
KDXOLQJNWGRIZDVWHHYHQDVPDOOHUURULQ%'WUDQVODWHV
WR D ELJ HUURU LQ DVVXPHG IXHOWUXFNLQJ FRVWV $ QXPEHU RI
LQGXVWU\H[DPSOHVFRXOGEHFLWHGZKHUHLQVXIFLHQW%'GDWD
KDVOHGWRELDVSDUWLFXODUO\LQWKHHDUO\VWDJHVRIQHZRSHQ
FXWRSHUDWLRQVDQGUHVXOWHGLQPDWHULDOHUURUVLQHVWLPDWHVRI
WRQQHVSURGXFHGZLWKFRQVHTXHQWGLVFUHSDQFLHVLQUHDOLVHG
HDUO\FDVKRZ7KHUHVXOWDQWLPSDFWRQSODQWGHVLJQWDLOLQJV
DQGVWRFNSLOHLQIUDVWUXFWXUHFDQDOVREHVLJQLFDQW
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRPHDVXUHWRQQDJHIDFWRUVLQFOXVLYHRIYRLGV
LQ URFN WKDW ZLOO VWLOO EH LQWDFW ZKHQ WKH URFN LV PLQHG DQG
GHOLYHUHGWRWKHWUHDWPHQWSODQW''FRUHLVSUHIHUDEOHWR5&
FKLSVIRUWKLVSXUSRVHVLQFHLWFDQEHVHDOHGWRSUHVHUYHYRLGV
SULRU WR PHDVXUHPHQW RI YROXPH ,Q DGGLWLRQ LI %' YDULHV
DSSUHFLDEO\ IURP VDPSOH WR VDPSOH RU %' LV VLJQLFDQWO\
FRUUHODWHGWRJUDGHVWKLVYDULDEOHPXVWEHVSDWLDOO\HVWLPDWHG
WKDWLVORFDOO\HVWLPDWHGLQWKHEORFNPRGHOLIELDVHGJUDGH
HVWLPDWLRQLVWREHDYRLGHG
RESOURCE ESTIMATION
Cut-off grades
&XWRII JUDGH WKHRU\ LV D VXEMHFW LQ DQG RI LWVHOI DQG LW LV
EH\RQG WKH VFRSH RI WKLV SDSHU WR GLVFXVV LW LQ GHWDLO 7KH
LQWHUHVWHG UHDGHU LV UHIHUUHG WR /DQH DQG +DOO
7KHSRLQWHPSKDVLVHGKHUHLVWKDWFXWRIIJUDGHVIRUUHSRUWLQJ
RI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVmustEHEDVHGRQDQDVVHVVPHQW
RI HFRQRPLF YLDELOLW\ 7KLV FDQ RI FRXUVH EH GLIFXOW
SDUWLFXODUO\ DW WKH HDUO\ VWDJHV RI H[SORUDWLRQ ZKHQ GDWD LV
RIWHQVSDUVH+RZHYHUIURPDSUDFWLFDOSRLQWRIYLHZWKHUHLV
OLWWOHPHULWLQSURGXFLQJDQHVWLPDWHEDVHGRQDFXWRIIJUDGH
ZHOOEHORZDQ\OLNHO\WREHDSSOLHGLQSUDFWLFH,QGHHGVXFK
DQHVWLPDWHZRXOGQRWPHHWWKH-25&&RGHUHTXLUHPHQWWKDW
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV KDYH UHDVRQDEOH SURVSHFWV IRU HYHQWXDO
HFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQ-25&
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRQRWHWKDWWKHGRPDLQLQJRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
ZKLFK LV D IXQGDPHQWDO VWHS LQ HVWLPDWLRQ VRPHWLPHV XVHV
ORZHU JUDGH OLPLWV RU WKUHVKROGV DV SDUW RI WKH SURFHVV
$OWKRXJKVXFKORZHUWKUHVKROGVFDQEHFROORTXLDOO\UHIHUUHG
WR DV FXWRII JUDGHV WKH\ GR QRW QHHG WR EH DQG LQ PDQ\
FDVHVDUJXDEO\VKRXOGQRWEHWKHHTXLYDOHQWWRHFRQRPLFFXW
RIIV,QIDFWVXFKWKUHVKROGOLPLWVDUHIUHTXHQWO\DQGFRUUHFWO\
ORZHU WKDQ WKH HFRQRPLF FXWRII JUDGHV )RU H[DPSOH JURVV
FRQWLQXLW\ RI WKH JUDGH HQYHORSH PD\ EH GHQHG DW VRPH
ORZHUJUDGHEXWZLWKLQWKLVHQYHORSHZHZLOOHVWLPDWHEORFNV
DERYHDQGEHORZWKHHFRQRPLFFXWRII+RZHYHULWLVHTXDOO\
LPSRUWDQWWRUHDOLVHWKDWZKHQVHOHFWLQJGRPDLQERXQGDULHV
EDVHG RQ JUDGHV RU VXEVWDQWLDOO\ LQXHQFHG E\ WKHP ZH
DUHPDNLQJDGHFLVLRQWKDWPRUHRUOHVV[HVWRQQDJHDWWKH
HTXLYDOHQWFXWRIIJUDGH
9. Such requirements exist in other jurisdictions too, but here and throughout, we use JORC
23
Geostatistics
*HRVWDWLVWLFV0DWKHURQKDVEURXJKWDERXWDUHYROXWLRQ
LQWKHHOGRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQ
)RU WKH PRGHUQ PLQLQJ SURIHVVLRQDO LQYROYHG LQ 5HVRXUFH
RU 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ DQ DSSUHFLDWLRQ RI JHRVWDWLVWLFV LV
FRPSXOVRU\2IFRXUVHLWLVHVVHQWLDODVHPSKDVLVHGHDUOLHU
WKDW JHRVWDWLVWLFDO PHWKRGV DUH DSSOLHG WDNLQJ SURSHU
FRJQLVDQFH RI WKH JHRORJ\ DQG WKH DYDLODEOH GDWD ,Q IDFW D
PDLQ DGYDQWDJH RI ZHOODSSOLHG JHRVWDWLVWLFV LV WKDW LW LV LQ
DVHQVHPRUHFRQVWUDLQHGWRWKHGDWDTXDOLW\YLDWKHQXJJHW
HIIHFWRIWKHYDULRJUDPV:HFRPPHQWPRUHRQJHRVWDWLVWLFV
ODWHULQWKLVSDSHU
Parallel estimates
/HQGLQJ RUJDQLVDWLRQV RU H[HFXWLYH PDQDJHPHQW RI UPV
VRPHWLPHV OLNH WR VHH 5HVRXUFHV DQG 5HVHUYHV SUHSDUHG E\
WZR SDUDOOHO PHWKRGV 7KHUH PD\ EH PHULW LQ UXQQLQJ WZR
HVWLPDWHVLQSDUDOOHOHVSHFLDOO\LIRQHRIWKHPHWKRGVLVDPRUH
QRYHODSSURDFKKRZHYHULWVKRXOGEHFOHDUO\XQGHUVWRRGWKDW
SRO\JRQDOHVWLPDWHVRUHTXLYDOHQWVVXFKDVEORFNPRGHOOLQJ
HVWLPDWHV ZLWK YHU\ IHZ LQIRUPLQJ VDPSOHV SHU EORFN
DUH DOPRVW LQYDULDEO\ RYHURSWLPLVWLF IURP DQ HFRQRPLF
YLHZSRLQWEHFDXVHRIFRQGLWLRQDOELDV%\WKLVZHPHDQWKDW
WKH\ HVWLPDWH IHZHU WRQQHV DW D VLJQLFDQWO\ KLJKHU JUDGH
6LQFHWKHVHDSSURDFKHVDUHQRWWRWDOO\H[WLQFWLWLVLPSRUWDQW
WKDWVXFKHVWLPDWHVDUHXQGHUVWRRGWREHLQWULQVLFDOO\LQIHULRU
ELDVHG ZKHQ FRPSDUHG WR DQ\ ZHOODSSOLHG JHRVWDWLVWLFDO
HVWLPDWHWKDWLVFRJQLVDQWRIJHRORJ\,WLVHVVHQWLDOWKDWDQ\
FRPSDULVRQV RI HVWLPDWHV DUH GRQH XVLQJ JUDGHWRQQDJH
FXUYHV DW D UDQJH RI FXWRIIV DV ZHOO DV VSDWLDOO\ DQG QRW
VLPSO\ DV WDEXODWLRQV ,W LV QHFHVVDU\ WKDW WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ
WKXV JUDGHWRQQDJH UHODWLRQVKLSV RI EORFN PRGHOV LQGLFDWH
OHVVVHOHFWLYLW\WKDQVDPSOHKLVWRJUDPVDIWHUDOOZHGRQRW
PLQHWKHGHSRVLWZLWKDGULOOULJ
7KHUHLVDOVRWKHFRUROODU\FDXWLRQRQNULJLQJWKDWNULJHG
HVWLPDWHV LQ ZKLFK FRQGLWLRQDO ELDV LV PLQLPLVHG ZLOO
necessarily EH VPRRWKHU WKDQ UHDOLW\ 7KLV VPRRWKLQJ LV WKH
SULFHZHSD\IRULQFRPSOHWHVDPSOLQJRIWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
DQGHOLPLQDWLQJLWE\JHQHUDWLQJLQWHUSRODWLRQHVWLPDWHVWKDW
PLPLFQHDUHVWQHLJKERXUHVWLPDWHVLVDYHU\ULVN\VWUDWHJ\
Cutting grades
&XWWLQJRIJUDGHVVWULFWO\VSHDNLQJJUDGHFDSSLQJLQYROYHV
UHGXFLQJKLJKYDOXHVWKDWDUHFRQVLGHUHGH[WUHPHWRDORZHU
YDOXHSULRUWRHVWLPDWLRQ3DUULVK5LYRLUDUG et al
7KHUHLVQRVLQJOHWHFKQLTXHWKDWVXLWVDOOVLWXDWLRQVKRZHYHU
LQDGGLWLRQWRKLVWRJUDPVSUREDELOLW\SORWVDQGWKHLPSDFWRQ
VWDWLVWLFVHJSURJUHVVLYHUHGXFWLRQRIYDULDELOLW\DVDIXQFWLRQ
RIWRSFXWYDOXHZHVKRXOGDOVRDVVHVVWKHVSDWLDODVSHFWRI
WKHSUREOHPDUHWKHJUDGHVVSDWLDOO\HUUDWLFRUFRQQHFWHG",W
LVLPSRUWDQWWRDSSUHFLDWHWKDWWKHJRDORIFXWWLQJLQPRGHUQ
JHRVWDWLVWLFDO HVWLPDWLRQ LV WR DYRLG WKH XQGXH LQXHQFH RI
H[WUHPHYDOXHVRQORFDOEORFNHVWLPDWHV
,Q JHQHUDO FXWWLQJ VKRXOG QRW UHPRYH ODUJH DPRXQWV RI
PHWDO DW D JOREDO VFDOH DQG WKHUH LV DOVR QR QHFHVVLW\ WR FXW
HYHU\GLVWULEXWLRQ7KUHVKROGFKRLFHVKRXOGQHYHUPHUHO\EH
DVWDWLVWLFDOH[HUFLVH7KHJHRVWDWLVWLFLDQDQGJHRORJLVWVKRXOG
GLVFXVV DQG DJUHH RQ D WKUHVKROG WKDW LV JHRORJLFDOO\ DQG
VWDWLVWLFDOO\VHQVLEOH,QDQ\FDVHDUHDVRQDEOHDUJXPHQWIRU
WKHWKUHVKROGFKRLFHVKRXOGEHSUHVHQWHGVRPHZKHUHLQWKH
WHFKQLFDO UHSRUW WKH GHFLVLRQ VKRXOG QRW EH DUELWUDU\ $V
DOZD\VDGHFHQWGRVHRIFRPPRQVHQVHLVHVVHQWLDO,IWKHUHLV
24
GRXEWDVWRZKHWKHURUE\KRZPXFKWRFXWJUDGHVDVHQVLEOH
DSSURDFK LV WR SUHSDUH HVWLPDWHV XVLQJ ERWK FXW DQG XQFXW
JUDGHV &RPSDULVRQ RI WKH UHVXOWDQW HVWLPDWHV ZLOO SURYLGH
VRPHLQGLFDWLRQRIWKHULVNFDXVHGE\WKHKLJKHVWJUDGHVDQG
WKHVHQVLWLYLW\RIWKHHVWLPDWHWRJUDGHFXWWLQJDSSURDFKHV
Block size
$VHULRXVGLIFXOW\ZLWKPDQ\HVWLPDWHVLVWKHWHQGHQF\IRU
XQLQIRUPHG SUDFWLWLRQHUV WR HVWLPDWH very VPDOO EORFNV LQ
FRPSDULVRQWRWKHVSDFLQJRIDYDLODEOHGULOOLQJ1RWHWKDWKHUH
ZHUHGLVFXVVLQJestimationEORFNVWKHEORFNZHLQWHUSRODWH
LQWRUDWKHUWKDQVXEFHOOVIRUJHRPHWU\ZKHUHWKHSDUHQWFHOO
JUDGHLVDVVLJQHG
:KLOH LW ZRXOG EH LGHDO WR HVWLPDWH EORFNV DW WKH VFDOH RI
WKHHQYLVDJHGVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJXQLW608GLPHQVLRQVDWWKH
VWDJHRIIHDVLELOLW\WKLVLVUDUHO\SRVVLEOHLQSUDFWLFHEHFDXVH
WKH GULOOLQJ GHQVLW\ FDQQRW VXSSRUW SUHFLVH HVWLPDWLRQ RI
EORFNVWKDWDUHGUDVWLFDOO\VPDOOHUWKDQWKHGULOOVSDFLQJ$V
EORFN VL]H GHFUHDVHV UHODWLYH WR GULOO VSDFLQJ WKH SUHFLVLRQ
RI LQGLYLGXDO EORFN HVWLPDWHV DOVR GHFUHDVHV RIWHQ VKDUSO\
7KH JUDGHWRQQDJH FXUYHV LPSOLFLW IRU VXFK HVWLPDWHV ZLOO
EH GLVWRUWHG DQG FRQGLWLRQDOO\ ELDVHG LQ RWKHU ZRUGV
DSSOLFDWLRQRIDFXWRIIJUDGHJUHDWHUWKDQ]HURZLOOLQHYLWDEO\
UHVXOWLQDQLQFRUUHFWHVWLPDWLRQRIWRQQDJHDQGJUDGHV$V
DFRQVHTXHQFHPLQHSODQQLQJEDVHGRQWKHVHHVWLPDWHVIRU
H[DPSOH SLW RSWLPLVDWLRQV PD\ EH VHULRXVO\ PLVOHDGLQJ
LQ SUHGLFWLQJ HFRQRPLFV 7KLV ZDUQLQJ DERXW VPDOO EORFNV
DSSOLHVWRERWKNULJLQJPHWKRGVDQGQRQJHRVWDWLVWLFDOEORFN
PRGHOOLQJ DSSURDFKHV VXFK DV LQYHUVH GLVWDQFH ZHLJKWLQJ
PHWKRGV 5DYHQVFURIW DQG $UPVWURQJ .ULJH
'H9LWU\ 9DQQ DQG $UYLGVRQ 5HWXUQLQJ WR RXU
FRPPRQVHQVH WKHPH LI UHOLDEOH HVWLPDWLRQ RI YHU\ VPDOO
EORFNV ZHUH SRVVLEOH ZLWK ZLGHVSDFHG GULOOLQJ ZH ZRXOG
QRW QHHG WR GR JUDGH FRQWURO DW ODWHU VWDJHV 1RWH WKDW WKH
SUREOHPZLWKVPDOOEORFNVLVDIXQFWLRQRIGULOOKROHVSDFLQJ
JHQHUDOO\ DV ZH GULOO FORVHU VPDOOHU EORFNV DUH VHQVLEOH
DQG YDULRJUDPV JHQHUDOO\ OHVV FRQWLQXLW\ RI JUDGHV DQG
JHRORJ\ UHTXLUHV FORVHU GULOOLQJ WR VXSSRUW WKH VDPH EORFN
VL]HFRPSDUHGWRDPRUHFRQWLQXRXVVLWXDWLRQ
2YHU WKH SDVW \HDUV UHFRYHUDEOH 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ
KDVEHHQGHYHORSHGWRJHWDURXQGWKLVVPDOOEORFNSUREOHP
WKDW UHOLHV RQ QRQOLQHDU YDULDQWV RI NULJLQJ WKH PDLQ RQHV
LQ FXUUHQW XVH DUH XQLIRUP FRQGLWLRQLQJ 8& DQG YDULHWLHV
RIPXOWLSOHLQGLFDWRUNULJLQJ0,.7KHWHFKQLFDOGHWDLOVRI
QRQOLQHDU NULJLQJ DUH EH\RQG WKH VFRSH RI WKLV SDSHU EXW
VXFK PHWKRGV HVVHQWLDOO\ HVWLPDWH WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ RI VPDOO
EORFNV RU VHOHFWLYH PLQLQJ XQLWV 608V ZLWKLQ ODUJHU
EORFNVSDQHOV8&DQG0,.DUHEHLQJLQFUHDVLQJO\XVHGE\
PDMRUPLQLQJKRXVHVDQGKDYHRYHUDGHFDGHVWUDFNUHFRUG
LQ D QXPEHU RI $IULFDQ $XVWUDOLDQ 1RUWK $PHULFDQ DQG
6RXWK $PHULFDQ PLQHV IRU D YDULHW\ RI FRPPRGLWLHV :KLOH
WKH EHQHWV DUH VRPHWLPHV VLJQLFDQW ZH HQFRXUDJH WKH
UHDGHUWRXQGHUVWDQGVXFKPHWKRGVEHIRUHXVLQJWKHP9DQQ
DQG*XLEDOSURYLGHDQRYHUYLHZRIWKHVXEMHFWZKLOH
5LYRLUDUGDQG&KLOHVDQG'HOQHUSURYLGHPRUH
WHFKQLFDO GHWDLO ,W LV DOVR IHDVLEOH WR HVWLPDWH UHFRYHUDEOH
5HVRXUFHV XVLQJ FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ +XPSKUH\V DQG
9HUO\$NH\SRLQWDERXWUHFRYHUDEOH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHV
LV WKDW WKH\ UHTXLUH LQFUHDVHG VRSKLVWLFDWLRQ E\ PLQLQJ
HQJLQHHUVLQWKHPLQHSODQQLQJVWHSVWKXVHPSKDVLVLQJRXU
JRRGFRPPXQLFDWLRQVWKHPH
,QUHFHQW\HDUVVHYHUDODSSURDFKHVWRORFDOLVHGUHFRYHUDEOH
5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ VXFK DV ORFDOLVHG 8& /8& $E]DORY
Concluding comment
0RVW RSHUDWLQJ PLQHV KDYH ZHOOHVWDEOLVKHG SUDFWLFHV IRU
HVWLPDWLQJ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV ,Q PDQ\
FDVHVWKHPHWKRGWDNHQLQWRWDOLW\LVXQLTXHWRWKHSDUWLFXODU
GHSRVLWV DQG PD\ EH VXSHULRU WR RWKHU PHWKRGV IRU D JLYHQ
GHSRVLW 5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ VKRXOG EH DQ LPSOLFLW SDUW RI WKH
PLQLQJ SURFHVV DQG UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ WDUJHWV VKRXOG EH D NH\
SHUIRUPDQFHLQGLFDWRUIRUZHOOUXQPLQHV3DUNHUDQG
D ,I UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV DUH ZRUNLQJ ZHOO WKHUH VKRXOG EH
QR SUHVVXUH WR FKDQJH IRU WKH VDNH RI FKDQJH 2SHUDWLQJ
PLQHV VKRXOG KRZHYHU WDNH PD[LPXP DGYDQWDJH RI WKH
LQIRUPDWLRQJDLQHGIURPUHFRQFLOLQJ2UH5HVHUYHSUHGLFWLRQ
ZLWK PLQH SURGXFWLRQ E\ XVLQJ LW LQ UHYLHZLQJ UHPDLQLQJ
5HVHUYHVDQGLIQHFHVVDU\LQDGMXVWLQJHVWLPDWLRQWHFKQLTXHV
RU DGRSWLQJ QHZ DSSURDFKHV ,Q SDUWLFXODU GLOXWLRQ DQG
PLQLQJUHFRYHU\DVVXPSWLRQVLHDVVXPSWLRQVRIVHOHFWLYLW\
VKRXOGEHFRQVWDQWO\XQGHUUHYLHZ
JUDGHRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQFDQEHHVWLPDWHGZLWKLQFORVHOLPLWV
DQGWKDWDQ\YDULDWLRQIURPWKHHVWLPDWHZRXOGEHXQOLNHO\WR
VLJQLFDQWO\DIIHFWSRWHQWLDOHFRQRPLFYLDELOLW\-25&
JXLGHOLQHWR&ODXVH/LNHZLVHWKHFDWHJRU\RI,QGLFDWHG
LV RQH IRU ZKLFK &RQGHQFH LQ WKH HVWLPDWH LV VXIFLHQW WR
DOORZ WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV -25&
JXLGHOLQH WR &ODXVH WKDW LV LW FDQ EH FRQYHUWHG WR 2UH
5HVHUYHV %\ GHQLWLRQ ,QIHUUHG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV FDQQRW
EHFRQYHUWHGWR2UH5HVHUYHVDQGWKXVWKHGHFLVLRQWRFODVVLI\
5HVRXUFHV DV ,QGLFDWHG LPSOLHV D GHJUHH RI ORFDO UHOLDELOLW\
WKDWFDQVXSSRUW5HVRXUFHWR5HVHUYHFRQYHUVLRQYLDLQSDUW
DSSOLFDWLRQRIDPLQLQJVFKHGXOH
5HVRXUFH FODVVLFDWLRQ UHTXLUHV WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV
WR FRQVLGHU PDQ\ IDFWRUV DQG VKRXOG QRW EH UHGXFHG WR D
IRUPXODLFDSSURDFK$WHFKQLTXHWKDWLVXVHIXOLQIRFXVLQJWKH
PLQGZKHQPDNLQJFODVVLFDWLRQGHFLVLRQVLVWRWU\WRLPDJLQH
WKHHIIHFWWKDWDGGLWLRQDOVDPSOLQJGDWDXVXDOO\LQOOGULOOLQJ
PLJKWKDYHRQWKHWRQQDJHJUDGHVKDSHDQGORFDWLRQRIWKH
PLQHUDOLVHG ERGLHV 6WHSKHQVRQ LI WKH JHRPHWU\ DW
FXUUHQWGULOOVSDFLQJKDVVLJQLFDQWGHJUHHVRIIUHHGRPWREH
GLIIHUHQWWRWKHFXUUHQWLQWHUSUHWDWLRQWKLVLVDZDUQLQJQRWWR
HOHYDWHWKHFODVVLFDWLRQWRRPXFK*HRVWDWLVWLFDOHVWLPDWLRQ
YDULDQFH VWXGLHV RU FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ H[HUFLVHV FDQ
EH D XVHIXO LQSXW WR VXFK D SURFHVV EHFDXVH WKH LPSDFW RI
DGGLWLRQDOGULOOLQJRQFRQGHQFHLQJUDGHHVWLPDWLRQLVWKHQ
TXDQWLDEOHIRUFDVHVWXGLHVVHH+XPSKUH\VDQG6ULYDVWDYD
DQG &RUQDK 9DQQ DQG 'ULYHU KRZHYHU WKH\
DOVR PXVW EH DVVHVVHG LQ OLJKW RI JHRPHWULF LH JHRORJLFDO
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ
Objectives
$V DQ H[DPSOH LI LW LV DVVHVVHG WKDW FORVHU GULOOLQJ RU
VDPSOLQJ LV YHU\ XQOLNHO\ WR PDWHULDOO\ DIIHFW WKH VKDSH
DQG GLVWULEXWLRQ RI PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV WKHQ DVVXPLQJ
WKDW WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH GDWD RQ ZKLFK WKH HVWLPDWH LV EDVHG
LV DFFHSWDEOH WKH SDUWLFXODU VHFWLRQ RI WKH GHSRVLW XQGHU
TXHVWLRQPD\UHDVRQDEO\EHFODVVLHGDV0HDVXUHG
,WLVDOVRLPSRUWDQWWRDSSUHFLDWHWKDWWKHPDLQUHDVRQIRU
WRQQDJH DQG JUDGH HVWLPDWHV EHLQJ FODVVLHG LV WR SURYLGH
FRPSDQ\ H[HFXWLYHV DQG RWKHUV PDNLQJ PLQLQJ LQYHVWPHQW
GHFLVLRQVZLWKDEDVLVIRUDVVHVVLQJUHODWLYHULVN
25
RWKHU KDQG LW ZRXOG EH PRVW XQXVXDO IRU FODVVLFDWLRQ WR
EH DSSOLHG DW WKH VFDOH RI WKH RYHUDOO GHSRVLW 7KH QRUPDO
VLWXDWLRQOLHVVRPHZKHUHLQEHWZHHQEXWWKLVPDWWHULVRIWHQ
QRWJLYHQHQRXJKDWWHQWLRQLQ5HVRXUFHRU5HVHUYHUHSRUWV
2QHDSSURDFK3DUNHU0XUSK\ et alLVWRDSSO\
FODVVLFDWLRQDWDXQLWYROXPHVFDOHWKDWUHSUHVHQWVH[SHFWHG
PLQH SURGXFWLRQ RYHU D VSHFLHG WLPH SHULRG IRU H[DPSOH
RYHU OLNHO\ TXDUWHUO\ RU DQQXDO SURGXFWLRQ LQFUHPHQWV
,Q VLWXDWLRQV ZKHUH PLQH SURGXFWLRQ SDUDPHWHUV DUH QRW
\HW NQRZQ D MXGJHPHQW FRXOG EH PDGH DV WR ZKDW ZRXOG
FRQVWLWXWH D UHDVRQDEO\ VL]HG SDFNDJH RI 5HVRXUFH EORFNV
7KHVH DSSURDFKHV DUH QRZ ZLGHO\ LQ XVH E\ ODUJHU PLQLQJ
FRPSDQLHVDQGKDYHDORWRIPHULW
XQFHUWDLQW\ DQG DWWHQGDQW ULVNV RI WKH HVWLPDWH DQG IRU WKLV
UHDVRQ WKH QDO UHVXOW VKRXOG DOZD\V EH UHIHUUHG WR DV DQ
estimationDQGQHYHUDVD5HVRXUFHcalculation
7KHXQFHUWDLQQDWXUHRIWKHHVWLPDWHVKRXOGEHUHLQIRUFHG
E\ HQVXULQJ WKDW QDO JXUHV IRU WRQQHV DQG JUDGH DUH
URXQGHG DSSURSULDWHO\ URXQGLQJ VKRXOG QRW RI FRXUVH EH
DSSOLHGGXULQJWKHFRPSXWDWLRQDOSURFHVVEXWDWWKHHQG$V
DQH[DPSOHDWRWDO0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHRU2UH5HVHUYHJXUHRI
WDWJW$XZRXOGEHDULGLFXORXVO\SUHFLVH
VWDWHPHQWWKDWEHDUVQRUHODWLRQWRWKHXQFHUWDLQW\DVVRFLDWHG
ZLWK WKH HVWLPDWH ,W LV DOVR D PLVOHDGLQJ VWDWHPHQW WKDW
FRXOGGHWUDFWIURPWKHPHULWVRIDQ\TXDOLI\LQJUHPDUNVDQG
FRXOGSURPRWHXQUHDOLVWLFH[SHFWDWLRQVLQWKHPLQGRIDQRQ
WHFKQLFDOHQGXVHU
The geologist10
$V KDV DOUHDG\ EHHQ VWDWHG WKH PRVW LPSRUWDQW IXQFWLRQ RI
WKH JHRORJLVW LV WR LQWHUSUHW WKH JHRORJ\ RI WKH GHSRVLW DQG
WR FRPPXQLFDWH WKDW LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ WR DOO WKRVH ZKR KDYH
DQ LQWHUHVW LQ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ SURFHVV ,I WKLV LV QRW GRQH
HIIHFWLYHO\ WKHQ QR DPRXQW RI FRPSXWDWLRQDO ZL]DUGU\ ZLOO
FRPSHQVDWH IRU WKH ODFN RI JHRORJLFDO LQSXW 7KHUH VKRXOG
EHDVWURQJIRFXVRQDOZD\VFRQGXFWLQJDQ\FRPPXQLFDWLRQ
ZLWK WKH HQG XVHUV HVSHFLDOO\ PLQLQJ HQJLQHHUV LQ PLQG
7KRVHDVSHFWVRIWKHJHRORJ\FUXFLDOWRJHRPHWULFDQGJUDGH
FRQWLQXLW\ DVVXPSWLRQV VKRXOG EH KLJKOLJKWHG $WWHPSWV
VKRXOGEHPDGHWRSXWWKHVHLQWRFRQWH[WZLWKOLNHO\PLQLQJ
DSSURDFKHVVSHFLFDOO\WKHOLNHO\VHOHFWLYLW\
(IFLHQWFRPPXQLFDWLRQZLWKLQWKLVJURXSDQGZLWKRWKHU
SURIHVVLRQDOVLQYROYHGGRZQWKHYDOXHFKDLQPXVWKDSSHQ
6SDWLDO 5HVRXUFH EORFN PRGHOV DUH QRZ DOVR EHLQJ XVHG
DV WKH EDVLV RI DVVHVVPHQWV IRU EODVWLQJ PLQLQJ PDWHULDOV
KDQGOLQJPLQHUDOSURFHVVLQJDQGHQYLURQPHQWDODQGFORVXUH
LVVXHV 7KH LPSDFW RI PLQHUDOV RQ WKH OLNHO\ SHUIRUPDQFH
RI WKH ZKROH PLQLQJ YDOXH FKDLQ 9DQQ et al :DOWHUV
LV FUXFLDO LQ QDQFLDO HYDOXDWLRQ DQG WKH LQFUHDVLQJ
IRFXV RQ JHRPHWDOOXUJ\ DWWHVWV WR WKLV ,W LV OLNHO\ WKDW WKH
FRQXHQFH RI WKHVH WUHQGV DORQJ ZLWK LQFUHDVLQJO\ UHOLDEOH
ZD\VRIHVWLPDWLQJPLQHUDORJ\LQURFNVDPSOHVZLOOOHDGWR
PDQ\0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQPRGHOVFRQWDLQLQJHOGV
IRU PLQHUDO JUDGHV DV ZHOO DV PHWDO JUDGHV HJ SHUFHQWDJHV
IRU ERUQLWH FKDOFRS\ULWH DQG FKDOFRFLWH UDWKHU WKDQ FRSSHU
RU SHUFHQWDJHV RI FOD\ S\ULWH RU RWKHU PLQHUDOV KDYLQJ DQ
LPSDFWRQPLQLQJSURFHVVLQJRUHQYLURQPHQWDOVXVWDLQDELOLW\
DVVHVVPHQWV
10. Note: the geologist here usually indicates a team of geologists with different sets of
skills and expertise ranging from structural and economic geology to mining geology,
mineralogy and geometallurgy. The same applies to other subsequent professions
discussed.
The geostatistician
7KH YLHZ VWLOO KHOG E\ VRPH WKDW JHRVWDWLVWLFV FRQVWLWXWHV D
EODFNER[DSSURDFKLVODUJHO\GXHWRDODFNRIXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
ZKLFK LQ WXUQ LV GXH WR SUDFWLWLRQHUV QRW H[SODLQLQJ
WHFKQLTXHVFOHDUO\DQGLQVLPSOHODQJXDJH7KHUHTXLUHPHQW
IRUJRRGLQIRUPDWLRQRZRFFXUVEHIRUHGXULQJDQGDIWHUWKH
HVWLPDWLRQSURFHVV$WWKHHQGRIWKHGD\LIWKHJHRVWDWLVWLFLDQ
LV QRW FDSDEOH RI LPSDUWLQJ D VXEVWDQWLYH XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI
WKHDSSURDFKDGRSWHGE\RWKHUSURIHVVLRQDOVZHVKRXOGEH
FDXWLRXVRIXVLQJWKHDSSURDFK
%HIRUHD0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQH[HUFLVHEHJLQVWKUHH
FULWLFDODFWLYLWLHVPXVWWDNHSODFH
the geologist PXVW H[SODLQ LQ GHWDLO WR WKH JHRVWDWLVWLFLDQ
WKHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGWKHLPSOLFDWLRQVRIWKDW
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
the mining engineerPXVWRXWOLQHLISRVVLEOHWKHSURSRVHG
PLQLQJ PHWKRG DQG UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU PLQH GHVLJQ
HVSHFLDOO\ WKH SUDFWLFDO VHOHFWLYLW\ 608 LQKHUHQW LQ WKH
DSSURDFKRUDSSURDFKHVWREHHYDOXDWHG
the geostatistician PXVW H[SODLQ FOHDUO\ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ
PHWKRG SURSRVHG HQVXULQJ WKDW WKH PHWKRG LV
FRQFHSWXDOO\ XQGHUVWRRG E\ WKH JHRORJLVW DQG PLQLQJ
HQJLQHHU DQG FRQYLQFH WKHP WKDW LW DSSURSULDWHO\ WDNHV
LQWR DFFRXQW DOO WKH UHOHYDQW JHRORJLFDO DQG PLQLQJ
HQJLQHHULQJDVSHFWV
7KLVODVWSRLQWLVPRVWLPSRUWDQWWKHUHPXVWEHDJUHHPHQW
WKDWWKHPHWKRGVHOHFWHGIRUHVWLPDWLRQLVVXLWHGERWKWRWKH
JHRORJ\ DQG WR LQWHQGHG PLQLQJ DSSURDFKHV 7KLV GHFLVLRQ
UHTXLUHVJRRGFRPPXQLFDWLRQE\DOOSDUWLHVRIWKHJHRORJLFDO
PLQLQJDQGJHRVWDWLVWLFDODVSHFWVRIWKHSURMHFW
7KH GHFLVLRQ DERXW VHOHFWLYLW\ LV D NLQG RI D FKLFNHQDQG
HJJ SUREOHP XQWLO D SUHOLPLQDU\ JHRVWDWLVWLFDO DVVHVVPHQW
LV GRQH WKH PLQLQJ HQJLQHHU PD\ QRW EH FOHDU DERXW ZKDW
VHOHFWLYLW\ FRXOG EH LPSOHPHQWHG LQ RUGHU WR PD[LPLVH
SURWDELOLW\ LQ D VXVWDLQDEOH ZD\ LH ZLWK FRQVWUDLQWV RQ
5HVRXUFH XWLOLVDWLRQ SRZHU DQG ZDWHU FRQVXPSWLRQ HWF
$JDLQHIFLHQWFRPPXQLFDWLRQPXVWEHHVWDEOLVKHGEHWZHHQ
WKH WHDP DQG VWDNHKROGHUV LQ JHQHUDO 7KH H[HUFLVH RI
GHWHUPLQLQJ VHOHFWLYLW\ VKRXOG QRW EH VWDWLF EXW D G\QDPLF
DQGLWHUDWLYHSURFHVV
'XULQJ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ D KLJK GHJUHH RI
LQWHUGLVFLSOLQDU\ LQWHUDFWLRQ PXVW WDNH SODFH 9DULRJUDSK\
VKRXOGDOZD\VEHFKHFNHGIRUFRPPRQVHQVHLQWKHFRQWH[W
RI JHRORJLFDO XQGHUVWDQGLQJ E\ WKH SURMHFW JHRORJLVW DQG
DGMXVWHGLIDSSURSULDWH)RUH[DPSOHLIWKHSULQFLSDOGLUHFWLRQV
RI FRQWLQXLW\ DSSUR[LPDWHO\ FRLQFLGH ZLWK DQ DFFXUDWHO\
PHDVXUHGJHRORJLFDORULHQWDWLRQLWPDNHVVHQVHWRVHWWKDWD[LV
WRWKHDFFXUDWHO\NQRZQGLUHFWLRQ.ULJLQJSDUDPHWHUVVXFK
DVPLQLPXPQXPEHUVRIVDPSOHVDQGVHDUFKQHLJKERXUKRRGV
VKRXOG EH TXDQWLWDWLYHO\ WHVWHG WR HQVXUH WKDW WKH GHJUHH
RI FRQGLWLRQDO ELDV LV DFFHSWDEOH JLYHQ WKH SXUSRVH RI WKH
HVWLPDWH9DQQ-DFNVRQDQG%HUWROL5HVXOWVVKRXOGEH
FKHFNHGDWDOOVWDJHVQRWRQO\RQFRPSOHWLRQRIWKHH[HUFLVH
)UHTXHQWUHIHUHQFHVKRXOGEHPDGHWRRULJLQDOGDWDDVZHOODV
WRFURVVVHFWLRQVORQJVHFWLRQVDQGOHYHOSODQV6HQVLEOHXVH
VKRXOGEHPDGHRIFRPSXWHULVHG'YLVXDOLVDWLRQWRROV
,WVKRXOGEHQRWHGWKDWJHRVWDWLVWLFDOLQWHUSRODWLRQVDQGIRU
WKDWPDWWHUQRQJHRVWDWLVWLFDOLQWHUSRODWLRQVDVVXPHWKDWWKH
YDULDEOHV EHLQJ HVWLPDWHG ZLOO EH DGGLWLYH WKDW LV FRUUHFWO\
DYHUDJH OLQHDUO\ ZLWKRXW ELDV 6RPH JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDO
YDULDEOHVVXFKDVWKHUHVSRQVHYDULDEOHVWKDWDUHQRQOLQHDU
RXWSXWVRISURFHVVHVOLNHUHFRYHU\DQGWKURXJKSXWPD\QRW
27
HQDEOHVUHDOLQWHUDFWLRQRQWKHGHQLWLRQRIFULWLFDOGHFLVLRQV
HJFXWRIIJUDGHORFDWLRQRILQOOGULOOLQJHWFIURPDEXVLQHVV
YDOXHSRLQWRIYLHZ)RULQVWDQFHLQOOGULOOLQJZLWKWKHVROH
SXUSRVHRIUHGXFLQJJHRORJLFDOXQFHUWDLQW\PD\GHOLYHUOLWWOH
YDOXHXQOHVVWKHJUDGHDQGWKHORFDWLRQZLWKLQWKHSLWPDNH
DQLPSDFWRQWKHGHVLJQDQGVFKHGXOH)RFXVVKRXOGEHSXW
RQ DUHDV ZKHUH LQOO GULOOLQJ GHOLYHUV UHDO YDOXH IURP WKH
EXVLQHVV SHUVSHFWLYH HJ LQOO GULOOLQJ VKRXOG FRQFHQWUDWH
RQ GHOLQHDWLRQ RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQFRQWUROOLQJ FRQWDFWV
SDUWLFXODUO\LQFULWLFDODUHDVVXFKDVDORQJWKHSLWWRHV
The metallurgist
7KH GHFLVLRQ DV WR ZKHWKHU PDWHULDO LV FODVVLHG DV
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV RU 2UH 5HVHUYHV RU DV QHLWKHU LV E\
GHQLWLRQ GHSHQGHQW RQ PHWDOOXUJLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
0LQHDEOH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ RI DWWUDFWLYH JUDGH PD\ KDYH
EHHQLGHQWLHGEXWLIWKHPHWDOLVSUHVHQWLQVXFKDIRUP
DV WR PDNH HFRQRPLF H[WUDFWLRQ LPSRVVLEOH DW SUHVHQW
LW FDQQRW EH FODVVLHG DV 2UH 5HVHUYHV :KHWKHU VXFK
PDWHULDO VKRXOG EH FODVVLHG DV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV
GHSHQGVRQZKHWKHUHFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQRIWKHPHWDOFDQ
EHUHDVRQDEO\H[SHFWHGDWVRPHWLPHLQWKHIXWXUH
,Q D VLPLODU IDVKLRQ D GLYLVLRQ RI WKH GHSRVLW RQ WKH
EDVLVRIOLNHO\SURFHVVLQJRSWLRQVRUSHUIRUPDQFHZLOOEH
GHSHQGHQWRQPHWDOOXUJLFDOFKDUDFWHULVWLFV,WLVFRPPRQ
IRU H[DPSOH WR VHSDUDWH R[LGLVHG IURP QRQR[LGLVHG
PDWHULDOPRQRPHWDOOLFIURPSRO\PHWDOOLF]RQHVRURQWKH
EDVLV RI VSHFLF YDULDWLRQV LQ RUH RU JDQJXH PLQHUDORJ\
RU WH[WXUHV EHFDXVH GLIIHUHQW WUHDWPHQW SURFHVVHV DQG
UHVSRQVHV ZLOO EH QHFHVVLWDWHG 7KLV LV LQFUHDVLQJO\ WKH
GRPDLQRIJHRPHWDOOXUJ\ZKLFKGLIIHUVIURPWUDGLWLRQDO
DSSURDFKHV WR RUH FKDUDFWHULVDWLRQ LQ DWWHPSWLQJ WR JHW
YHU\ JUDQXODU VSDWLDO PRGHOV LH EORFN PRGHOV RI WKH
DWWULEXWHVWKDWGULYHVXFKGLIIHULQJSODQWSHUIRUPDQFH
7KHGHFLVLRQDVWRZKDWFXWRIIJUDGHVWRDSSO\VKRXOG
RQO\ EH PDGH DIWHU FRQVXOWDWLRQ ZLWK WKH PHWDOOXUJLVW
7KLV EHFRPHV LQFUHDVLQJO\ LPSRUWDQW DW DGYDQFHG
SUHIHDVLELOLW\RUIHDVLELOLW\ZKHUHWKHFXWRIIJUDGHmust
WDNH DFFRXQW RI PHWDOOXUJLFDO UHFRYHU\ DQG LWV HIIHFW RQ
UHYHQXH
,W LV YHU\ LPSRUWDQW WR WKH YDOXH RI WKH QDO UHVXOW WKDW WKH
PHWDOOXUJLVW KDV D FORVH LQYROYHPHQW DW DOO VWDJHV RI WKH
GULOOLQJ DQG VDPSOLQJ SURJUDPV XSRQ ZKLFK WKH HVWLPDWH
LV EDVHG 7KLV HQDEOHV WKH QHFHVVDU\ PLQHUDORJLFDO DQG
PHWDOOXUJLFDOLQYHVWLJDWLRQVWREHFDUULHGRXWLQDWLPHO\DQG
ORJLFDOIDVKLRQ
7KHUH DUH WKUHH RWKHU DUHDV RI WKH HVWLPDWLRQ H[HUFLVH
KRZHYHU ZKHUH WKH PHWDOOXUJLVWV FRQWULEXWLRQ LV HVVHQWLDO
IRUFRUUHFWGHFLVLRQVWREHPDGH
Other professionals
7KHHPSKDVLVQRZSODFHGRQWKHLPSRUWDQFHRIVXVWDLQDELOLW\
DQGOLFHQFHWRRSHUDWHPHDQVWKDWERWKWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWH DQG 5HVRXUFHWR5HVHUYH FRQYHUVLRQ SURFHVVHV EH
LQIRUPHG E\ DVSHFWV RWKHU WKDQ WKH JUDGH DQG WRQQDJH RI
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ )RU H[DPSOH HQYLURQPHQWDO DWWULEXWHV WKDW
FRQWULEXWH WRWKHWR[LFLW\ RIZDVWHDQGWDLOLQJVPDWHULDOVRU
WKHLU SURSHQVLW\ WR HLWKHU HQDEOH RU EXIIHU DFLG JHQHUDWLRQ
DUH RIWHQ FULWLFDO DVSHFWV RI HFRQRPLF HYDOXDWLRQ ,W LV XVXDO
QRZWRFRQVLGHUFORVXUHGHFLVLRQVDWWKHYHU\HDUOLHVWVWDJHV
RI SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ LQ RUGHU WR DOORZ EHWWHU GHFLVLRQ
PDNLQJ DURXQG FRPSOH[ RSWLRQV SUHVHQWHG IRU H[DPSOH ,W
LVWKHUHIRUHLPSRUWDQWWRLQFOXGHIURPWKHHDUOLHVWVWDJHVDOO
WKH UHOHYDQW SURIHVVLRQV ZLWK NQRZOHGJH RI HQYLURQPHQWDO
K\GURJHRORJLFDO JHRWHFKQLFDO JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDO DQG RWKHU
DVSHFWVRIWKHSURMHFWWKDWFRXOGEHWDNHQLQWRFRQVLGHUDWLRQ
LQWKH5HVRXUFHPRGHO
7KH DERYHPHQWLRQHG SURIHVVLRQDOV ZLOO DOVR EH LPSRUWDQW
VRXUFHV RI NQRZOHGJH GXULQJ WKH 5HVRXUFH5HVHUYH
FRQYHUVLRQSURFHVV,QDGGLWLRQWKRVHZLWKH[SHUWLVHLQOHJDO
VRFLDO DQG SROLWLFDO DVSHFWV RI WKH SURMHFW FRQWH[W VKRXOG EH
LQYROYHG
SUMMARY
*LYHQWKHWKHPHRIWKLVSDSHUPRVWRIWKHSRLQWVGLVFXVVHG
DUHSUREDEO\VHOIHYLGHQW7KDWLVWKHQDWXUHRIFRPPRQVHQVH
LWLVDSSDUHQWO\REYLRXVEXWQRWDOZD\VDSSOLHG7KHHIIHFWRI
DODFNRIFOHDUWKLQNLQJDWDQ\VWDJHRIDPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQFDQ
KDYHXQIRUWXQDWHFRQVHTXHQFHVEXWDWWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
RU2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQVWDJHLWFDQVSHOOGLVDVWHU7KHNH\
SRLQWVWREHDULQPLQGDUHWR
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHSDSHULVDVXEVWDQWLDOO\UHZULWWHQXSGDWHGDQGH[SDQGHG
YHUVLRQRIDSDSHUZULWWHQE\WZRRIWKHDXWKRUVLQWKHUVW
HGLWLRQ RI WKLV YROXPH 6WHSKHQVRQ DQG 9DQQ ZKLFK
LWVHOI HYROYHG IURP DQ HDUOLHU SDSHU E\ RQH RI WKH DXWKRUV
6WHSKHQVRQ 0U 0LNH 6WHZDUW DQG 'U +DUU\ 3DUNHU
DUH JUDWHIXOO\ DFNQRZOHGJHG IRU WKHLU UHYLHZ RI WKLV PXFK
UHYLVHGPDQXVFULSWDQGYHU\SHUWLQHQWVXJJHVWLRQVUHHFWHG
LQWKHQDOYHUVLRQ$QDQRQ\PRXV$XV,00SHHUUHYLHZHU
DOVR PDGH VHYHUDO YHU\ XVHIXO VXJJHVWLRQV WKDW KDYH EHHQ
DGRSWHG LQ WKH QDO YHUVLRQ $Q\ UHPDLQLQJ HUURUV DUH RI
FRXUVHWKHUHVSRQVLELOLW\RIWKHDXWKRUV
REFERENCES
$E]DORY 0 /RFDOLVHG XQLIRUP FRQGLWLRQLQJ /8& D QHZ
DSSURDFK WR GLUHFW PRGHOOLQJ RI VPDOO EORFNV Mathematical
Geology
$E]DORY0=D'HVLJQSULQFLSOHVRIUHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVHVDQG
PDQDJHPHQW RI GDWD RZ IRU UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
$E]DORY0=E*HRVWDWLVWLFDOFULWHULDIRUFKRRVLQJDQRSWLPDO
UDWLR EHWZHHQ TXDOLW\ DQG TXDQWLW\ RI VDPSOHV PHWKRG DQG
FDVHVWXGLHVLQMineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
$XV,00 *XLGH WR *RRG 3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
$VLPRY,I RobotUHSULQWHGLWLRQ6SHFWUD3XEOLVKLQJ
&KLOHV - 3 DQG 'HOQHU 3 Geostatistics: Modelling Spatial
UncertaintyS-RKQ:LOH\ 6RQV0HOERXUQH
&RUQDK $ 9DQQ - DQG 'ULYHU , &RPSDULVRQ RI WKUHH
JHRVWDWLVWLFDODSSURDFKHVWRTXDQWLI\WKHLPSDFWRIGULOOVSDFLQJ
RQ5HVRXUFHFRQGHQFHIRUDFRDOVHDPZLWKDFDVHH[DPSOHIURP
0RUDQEDK1RUWK4XHHQVODQG$XVWUDOLDInternational Journal of
Coal Geology
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
29
&RZDUG69DQQ-'XQKDP6DQG6WHZDUW07KHSULPDU\
UHVSRQVHIUDPHZRUNIRUJHRPHWDOOXUJLFDOYDULDEOHVLQProceedings
Seventh International Mining Geology ConferenceSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'H9LWU\ & 9DQQ - DQG $UYLGVRQ + 0XOWLYDULDWH LURQ RUH
GHSRVLW5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQDSUDFWLWLRQHUVJXLGHWRVHOHFWLQJ
PHWKRGV7UDQVDFWLRQVRIWKH,QVWLWXWLRQVRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
Applied Earth Science
'LPLWUDNRSRXORV56WRFKDVWLFRSWLPLVDWLRQIRUVWUDWHJLFPLQH
SODQQLQJ D GHFDGH RI GHYHORSPHQWV Journal of Mining Science
'LPLWUDNRSRXORV50XVWDSKD+DQG*ORDJXHQ(+LJKRUGHU
VWDWLVWLFVRIVSDWLDOUDQGRPHOGVH[SORULQJVSDWLDOFXPXODQWVIRU
PRGHOOLQJ FRPSOH[ QRQ*DXVVLDQ DQG QRQOLQHDU SKHQRPHQD
Mathematical Geology
/LSWRQ,7DQG+RUWRQ-$0HDVXUHPHQWRIEXONGHQVLW\IRU
UHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRGVJXLGHOLQHVDQGTXDOLW\FRQWUROLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
WR *RRG 3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0DWKHURQ * 3ULQFLSOHV RI JHRVWDWLVWLFV Economic Geology
0XUSK\03DUNHU+5RVVL05RVV$DQG$XGHW0$2UH
WKLFNQHVVDQGQLFNHOJUDGH5HVRXUFHFRQGHQFHDWWKH.RQLDPER
QLFNHOODWHULWHDFRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQYR\DJHRIGLVFRYHU\LQ
*HRVWDWLVWLFV%DQIISS6SULQJHU1HWKHUODQGV
2[IRUG (QJOLVK 'LFWLRQDU\ Oxford English Dictionary >RQOLQH@
$YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZRHGFRP! >$FFHVVHG -DQXDU\
@
3DUNHU*&URVV)XQFWLRQDO7HDPV:RUNLQJZLWK$OOLHV(QHPLHV
and Other StrangersS-RKQ:LOH\ 6RQ1HZ<RUN
3DUNHU+3HUVRQDOFRPPXQLFDWLRQ
+DHVW0&XGDK\7/DXNDPS&DQG*UHJRU\6D4XDQWLWDWLYH
PLQHUDORJ\ IURP YLVLEOH WR VKRUWZDYH LQIUDUHG VSHFWURVFRSLF
GDWD , 9DOLGDWLRQ RI PLQHUDO DEXQGDQFH DQG FRPSRVLWLRQ
DOJRULWKPVDWWKH5RFNOHD'RPHFKDQQHOLURQGHSRVLWLQ:HVWHUQ
$XVWUDOLDEconomic Geology
+DHVW0&XGDK\7/DXNDPS&DQG*UHJRU\6E4XDQWLWDWLYH
PLQHUDORJ\ IURP YLVLEOH WR VKRUWZDYH LQIUDUHG VSHFWURVFRSLF
GDWD ,, 7KUHHGLPHQVLRQDO PLQHUDORJLFDO FKDUDFWHULVDWLRQ RI
WKH 5RFNOHD 'RPH FKDQQHO LURQ GHSRVLW LQ :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD
Economic Geology
+DOO%6KRUWWHUPJDLQIRUORQJWHUPSDLQKRZIRFXVLQJRQ
WDFWLFDO LVVXHV FDQ GHVWUR\ ORQJWHUP YDOXH The Journal of The
Southern African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy
+DUGWNH : $OOHQ / 'RXJODV , DQG 7\UHH ' $SSO\LQJ
SUREDELOLW\ FRQVWUDLQHG /,. LQ D ORZJUDGH KLJK QXJJHW
HIIHFW JROG GHSRVLW HOHFWURQLF DEVWUDFW 1LQWK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO
*HRVWDWLVWLFV&RQJUHVV2VOR1RUZD\
+XPSKUH\V 0 DQG 6ULYDVWDYD 3 &KRRVLQJ DQ H[SORUDWLRQ
GULOOKROH VSDFLQJ D FDVH VWXG\ LQ DQ LURQ PLQH LQ Proceedings
*HRVWDWLVWLFV :ROORQJRQJ HGV ( %DD DQG 1 6FKRHOG
YROXPH.OXZHU$FDGHPLF3XEOLVKHUV'RUGUHFKW
+XPSKUH\V 0 DQG 9HUO\ * &RPSDUDWLYH VWXG\ RI WZR
*DXVVLDQ VLPXODWLRQ DOJRULWKPV %RGGLQJWRQ JROG SRUSK\U\
GHSRVLW LQ 3URFHHGLQJV *HRVWDWLVWLFV 2VOR SS
6SULQJHU
+X[OH\ 7 Collected Essays YROXPH UHSULQWHG HGLWLRQ
&DPEULGJH
,VDDNV ( DQG 6ULYDVWDYD 0 An Introduction to Applied
GeostatisticsS2[IRUG8QLYHUVLW\3UHVV
-RXUQHO $ DQG +XLMEUHJWV & Mining Geostatistics S
$FDGHPLF3UHVV/RQGRQ
.DKQHPDQ'6ORYLF3DQG7YHUVN\$HGVJudgement Under
Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases S &DPEULGJH 8QLYHUVLW\
3UHVV
.LQJ+0F0DKLQ'DQG%XWMRU*$JXLGHWRWKHXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RI2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQ0DUFKVXSSOHPHQW
.ULJH ' %ORFN NULJLQJ DQG WKH IDOODF\ RI HQGHDYRXULQJ WR
UHGXFHRUHOLPLQDWHVPRRWKLQJLQ3URFHHGLQJV5HJLRQDO$3&20
0RVFRZ6WDWH8QLYHUVLW\0RVFRZ
/DQH.7KH(FRQRPLF'HQLWLRQRI2UHS0LQLQJ-RXUQDO
%RRNV/RQGRQ
30
3DUNHU+3HUVRQDOFRPPXQLFDWLRQ
3DUNHU + 0 5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ SULQFLSOHV IRU WKH PLQLQJ
LQGXVWU\LQ3URFHHGLQJVWK$3&206\PSRVLXPSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
3DUNHU+D5HFRQFLOLDWLRQSULQFLSOHVIRUWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\LQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
WR *RRG 3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
3DUULVK,*HRORJLVWV*RUGLDQ.QRWWRFXWRUQRWWRFXW"Mining
Engineering
3LWDUG ) 3LHUUH *\V 6DPSOLQJ 7KHRU\ DQG 6DPSOLQJ 3UDFWLFH
S&5&3UHVV%DWRQ5DWRQ
5DYHQVFURIW 3 DQG $UPVWURQJ 0 .ULJLQJ RI VPDOO EORFNV
WKHGDQJHUVUHHPSKDVLVHGLQProceedings APCOM XXII%HUOLQ
6HSWHPEHUSS7HFKQLVFKH8QLYHUVLWlW%HUOLQ
5LYRLUDUG - ,QWURGXFWLRQ WR 'LVMXQFWLYH .ULJLQJ DQG 1RQ/LQHDU
GeostatisticsS&ODUHQGRQ3UHVV2[IRUG
5LYRLUDUG - 'HPDQJH & )UHXORQ ; /pFXUHXLO $ DQG %HOORW 1
$ WRSFXW PRGHO IRU GHSRVLWV ZLWK KHDY\WDLOHG JUDGH
GLVWULEXWLRQMathematical Geosciences
6WHSKHQVRQ 3 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ D
FRPPRQVHQVHDSSURDFKLQProceedings Ore Reserves Symposium
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
6WHSKHQVRQ 3 DQG 9DQQ - &RPPRQ VHQVH DQG JRRG
FRPPXQLFDWLRQLQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQ
in Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice HG$&(GZDUGVSS 7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
7DSSHUW 0 5LYDUG % *LOHV ' 7DSSHUW 5 DQG 0DXJHUP $
$XWRPDWHG GULOO FRUH ORJJLQJ XVLQJ YLVLEOH DQG QHDULQIUDUHG
UHHFWDQFH VSHFWURVFRS\ D FDVH VWXG\ IURP WKH 2O\PSLF 'DP
,2&*GHSRVLW6RXWK$XVWUDOLD(FRQRPLF*HRORJ\
9DQQ-7XUQLQJJHRORJLFDOGDWDLQWRUHOLDEOH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWHV LQ 7KH HVWLPDWLRQ DQG UHSRUWLQJ RI 5HVRXUFHV DQG
-25&WKHUROHRIVWUXFWXUDOJHRORJ\HGV7'DYLVDQG-9DQQ
AIG Bulletin
9DQQ-DQG*XLEDO'%H\RQGRUGLQDU\NULJLQJDQRYHUYLHZ
RI QRQOLQHDU HVWLPDWLRQ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice HG $ &
(GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
9DQQ - -DFNVRQ - &RZDUG 6 DQG 'XQKDP 6 7KH *HRPHW
&XUYH D PRGHO IRU LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI JHRPHWDOOXUJ\ LQ
3URFHHGLQJV )LUVW $XV,00 ,QWHUQDWLRQDO *HRPHWDOOXUJ\ &RQIHUHQFH
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
9DQQ--DFNVRQ6%\H$&RZDUG60RD\HU61LFKRODV*DQG
:ROII56FHQDULRWKLQNLQJDSRZHUIXOWRROIRUVWUDWHJLF
SODQQLQJ DQG HYDOXDWLRQ RI PLQLQJ SURMHFWV DQG RSHUDWLRQV
in Proceedings Project Evaluation Conference SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
9DQQ-DQG6WHZDUW03KLORVRSK\RIVFLHQFHDSUDFWLFDOWRRO
IRU DSSOLHG JHRORJLVWV LQ WKH PLQHUDOV LQGXVWU\ Transactions of
WKH ,QVWLWXWLRQV RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\ $SSOLHG (DUWK 6FLHQFH
%%
:DOWHUV 6 1HZ UHVHDUFK LQLWLDWLYHV LQ JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDO
LQWHJUDWLRQ PRYLQJ WRZDUGV D FRPPRQ RSHUDWLQJ ODQJXDJH
in Proceedings Seventh International Mining Geology Conference
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
31
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Principal, Coombes Capability, PO Box 1708, Subiaco WA 6904. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KH -25& &RGH UHSRUWLQJ V\VWHP LQFOXGLQJ WKH FRGH LWVHOI
DQGWKHV\VWHPVWKDWHQDEOHWKH-25&&RGHWREHHQDFWHGKDV
HYROYHG LQ UHVSRQVH WR PLVDSSOLFDWLRQV RI WKH GHQLWLRQV
DQG FRQVLGHUDWLRQV VHHNLQJ WR FODULI\ DQG XQLI\ KRZ WKH
&RGH DQG WKH JXLGHOLQHV DUH LQWHUSUHWHG ,Q SDUWLFXODU WKH
GHQLWLRQV KDYH EHFRPH PRUH VSHFLF ZKLOH JXLGHOLQHV
KDYH EHHQ LQFOXGHG DQG QHZ GHVFULSWLRQV LQWURGXFHG 7KLV
RQJRLQJ HYROXWLRQ UHTXLUHV PLQLQJ SURIHVVLRQDOV WR UHPDLQ
DEUHDVW RI FKDQJHV WKH UHDVRQV EHKLQG WKH FKDQJHV DQG WKH
XQGHUO\LQJLQWHQWLRQVRIWKH&RGH
7KHSDSHUEHJLQVZLWKDJHQHUDOFRPSDULVRQRIWKHWHFKQLFDO
DQG SXEOLF UHSRUWV UHTXLUHG ZLWKLQ WKH $XVWUDOLDQ DQG
&DQDGLDQUHSRUWLQJHQYLURQPHQWVDQGDVVRFLDWHGSURFHVVHV
7KHSDSHUWKHQIRFXVHVRQWKHOLQNVEHWZHHQWKHWHFKQLFDOZRUN
DQGWKHSXEOLFUHSRUWLQJV\VWHPVWRHPSKDVLVHWKHGLIIHUHQFH
LQ ZKDW LV H[SHFWHG RI &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV RSHUDWLQJ LQ WKH
WZR MXULVGLFWLRQV 1H[W WKH FRPSHWHQF\ UHTXLUHPHQWV RI WKH
WZR MXULVGLFWLRQV DUH H[DPLQHG EHIRUH WKH LPSOLFDWLRQV IRU
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVDUHGLVFXVVHG
7KLVSDSHUH[DPLQHVWKHUHFHQWFKDQJHVLQWKHXSGDWH
RI WKH -25& &RGH DQG DVVRFLDWHG $XVWUDOLDQ 6HFXULWLHV
([FKDQJH$6;/LVWLQJ5XOHVDQGWKH&DQDGLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP &,0 'HQLWLRQ
6WDQGDUGV)RU0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG0LQHUDO5HVHUYHVDQG
VXEVHTXHQW1,XSGDWHV7KHSDSHUDOVRGLVFXVVHV
WKHLPSOLFDWLRQVIRUPLQLQJSURIHVVLRQDOVUHTXLUHGWRUHSRUW
LQWKHDVVRFLDWHGMXULVGLFWLRQV7KHNH\SXUSRVHRIWKLVSDSHU
LVWRKLJKOLJKWWKHH[SHFWDWLRQVIRUWHFKQLFDOH[SHUWVFODLPLQJ
WKHUROHRIHLWKHU&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQZLWKLQWKH-25&&RGH
V\VWHP RU 4XDOLHG 3HUVRQ ZLWKLQ WKH &DQDGLDQ V\VWHP
DQGWRH[SDQGRQWKHDVVRFLDWHGLPSOLFDWLRQVIRUWKHVHPLQLQJ
SURIHVVLRQDOV
33
RIGLUHFWRUV:KLOVWWKH&DQDGLDQUHSRUWLQJV\VWHPDOVRUHOLHV
RQ WKH ERDUGV RI GLUHFWRUV WR SURYLGH 7HFKQLFDO 5HSRUWV
EDVHGRQWKHZRUNRIFRPSHWHQWSURIHVVLRQDOVWKHUHSRUWLQJ
SURFHVVDQGWKHUHYLHZDQGJRYHUQDQFHRIWKDWSURFHVVLVLQ
FRQWUDVW RZQHG DQG PDQDJHG E\ WKH SURYLQFLDO VHFXULWLHV
FRPPLVVLRQV7KH&DQDGLDQSURFHVVFDQEHFRQVLGHUHGPRUH
SUHVFULSWLYH VLQFH LW GRHV QRW UHO\ RQ WKH ERDUG RI GLUHFWRUV
WRDSSO\WKHFRUHSULQFLSOHVRI7UDQVSDUHQF\0DWHULDOLW\DQG
&RPSHWHQFH LQ GHFLGLQJ ZKDW DQG ZKHQ WR UHSRUW PLQHUDO
DVVHWV,QVWHDGWKH&DQDGLDQV\VWHPGLFWDWHVZKHQDQGKRZ
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG0LQHUDO5HVHUYHUHSRUWVDUHSUHVHQWHG
WRWKHSXEOLF)RUH[DPSOHWKH&DQDGLDQV\VWHPKDVVSHFLF
UHTXLUHPHQWVIRUKRZDQGZKDWIRUPDWVXSSRUWLQJWHFKQLFDO
LQIRUPDWLRQLVWREHORGJHGDQGWKDWWKHVHUHSRUWVDUHPDGH
DYDLODEOHWRWKHSXEOLFLQDSXEOLFIRUXPKWWSZZZVHGDU
FRPDVRSHQDFFHVVGRFXPHQWV2QHFRXOGDUJXHWKDWWKH
XSGDWHLQWKH-25&V\VWHPWRLQFOXGHFRPPHQWVDJDLQVWDOO
FULWHULDLQWKH-25&&RGH7DEOHKDVPDGHWKH-25&V\VWHP
PRUHSUHVFULSWLYHKRZHYHUWKLVKDVQRWEHHQDFFRPSDQLHG
E\ D FKDQJH LQ KRZ WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI WKH -25& &RGH LV
UHJXODWHGRUUHYLHZHG,QVWHDGWKHFKDQJHKHUDOGVHQIRUFHG
WUDQVSDUHQF\ IRU PRUH HIIHFWLYH SHHU UHYLHZ VWUHQJWKHQLQJ
WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ IRU SHHUV WR DFWXDOO\ UHYLHZ &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQVDVVHVVPHQWV
7KH -25& &RGH LV D SXEOLF UHSRUWLQJ FRGH GLUHFWHG
DW FRPSDQ\ RIFLDOV ZKR SURYLGH SXEOLF VWDWHPHQWV RI
([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWV0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHVDQG
H[WUDFWLRQ SRWHQWLDO $V D SULQFLSOHVEDVHG FRGH WKH -25&
&RGHFDOOVRQFRPSDQ\GLUHFWRUVWRDFWZLWKLQWKHIUDPHZRUN
RI WKH WKUHH FRUH SULQFLSOHV RI 7UDQVSDUHQF\ 0DWHULDOLW\
DQG &RPSHWHQFH 7KH -25& &RGH SURYLGHV GHQLWLRQV DQG
JXLGHOLQHV IRU UHSRUWLQJ RI ([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV ,Q DGGLWLRQ WKH -25& &RGH
HODERUDWHVRQWKHPHDQLQJDQGLQWHQWRIWKHFRUHSULQFLSOHV
7KH RQXV LV RQ WKH ERDUG RI GLUHFWRUV WR SXEOLFO\ GLVFORVH
([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV
LQ D PDQQHU WKDW LV XQDPELJXRXV LQFOXGHV DOO LQIRUPDWLRQ
QHFHVVDU\ WR PDNH DQ LQIRUPHG LQYHVWPHQW GHFLVLRQ DQG
LV EDVHG RQ WKH ZRUN RI D &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ ZLWK UHOHYDQW
H[SHULHQFHLQWKHDUHD
:KLOVW WKH XQGHUO\LQJ SULQFLSOHV RI 0DWHULDOLW\
7UDQVSDUHQF\DQG&RPSHWHQF\DUHDVVXPHGLQWKH&DQDGLDQ
V\VWHP WKURXJK YDULRXV SUHVHQWDWLRQV SXW IRUZDUG E\
WKH &DQDGLDQ UHJXODWRUV WKH\ DUH QRW IRUPDOO\ GHQHG RU
LQFOXGHGDVFRUHSULQFLSOHVLQWKH&,0VWDQGDUGV,QFRQWUDVW
WKHSULQFLSOHVRI0DWHULDOLW\7UDQVSDUHQF\DQG&RPSHWHQF\
DUH FRUH DQG FHQWUDO WR WKH -25& &RGH DQG JRYHUQ WKH
RSHUDWLRQ DQG DSSOLFDWLRQ RI WKH -25& &RGH -25& &RGH
S
:KLOVW WKH 7HFKQLFDO 5HSRUW PD\ DGGUHVV WKH WHPSODWH
WRSLFV WKHUH LV QR JXDUDQWHH WKDW WKH PHWKRGRORJLHV
HPSOR\HG DUH DSSURSULDWH RU WKDW WKH SKLORVRSKLHV DGRSWHG
DUHWHFKQLFDOO\VXLWDEOH6LPLODUO\UHSRUWLQJDJDLQVWDOOFULWHULD
OLVWHGLQ7DEOHRIWKH-25&&RGHGRHVQRWZDUUDQWWKDW
WKHWHFKQLFDOZRUNLVVXIFLHQW%RWKV\VWHPVUHO\RQUHYLHZ
E\ WHFKQLFDOO\ TXDOLHG SHHUV DQG WKH SXEOLF GLVFORVXUH
HLWKHUWKURXJKFRPSUHKHQVLYH1,7HFKQLFDO5HSRUWVRU
WKURXJK WKH -25& &RGH 7DEOH FULWHULD DIIRUGV SHHUV
WKHRSSRUWXQLW\WRIXOODSURIHVVLRQDOREOLJDWLRQWRXSKROG
WKHVWDQGDUGVRIWKHLUSURIHVVLRQV
34
No technical prescription
:KLOVW WKH -25& &RGH SURYLGHV D VWDQGDUGLVHG VHW RI
GHQLWLRQV IRU UHSRUWLQJ RI ([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV LW GRHV QRW SUHVFULEH KRZ
HVWLPDWHV VKRXOG EH JHQHUDWHG QRU GRHV LW SUHVFULEH KRZ
WKHVH HVWLPDWHV VKRXOG EH FODVVLHG LQ DFFRUGDQFH ZLWK WKH
-25& &RGH GHQLWLRQV ,Q VR GRLQJ WKH -25& &RGH SODFHV
WKHUHVSRQVLELOLW\IRUDGHTXDWHWHFKQLFDOFRQVLGHUDWLRQUPO\
DW WKH IHHW RI WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ +LVWRULFDOO\ WKH RQO\
JXLGDQFH IRU FRQVLGHUDWLRQ SURYLGHG E\ WKH -25& &RGH
ZDVWKHLQFOXVLRQRI7DEOHZKLFKSURYLGHGDFKHFNOLVWRI
FRQVLGHUDWLRQVIRUWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQ
7KH &DQDGLDQ V\VWHP RI UHSRUWLQJ RI ([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV &DQDGDV
HTXLYDOHQWRI2UH5HVHUYHVUHTXLUHVDIXOOSXEOLFGLVFORVXUH
RI WHFKQLFDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV WKURXJK WKH 1, 7HFKQLFDO
5HSRUW 7KLV UHSRUW LQFOXGHV D VWDQGDUG IRUPDW RI KHDGLQJV
DQG FRQVLGHUDWLRQV WKDW WKH 4XDOLHG 3HUVRQ &DQDGDV
HTXLYDOHQWWRWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQLVUHTXLUHGWRDGGUHVV
7KH 1, 7HFKQLFDO 5HSRUW PXVW EH ORGJHG ZLWKLQ
GD\V RI D SXEOLF UHOHDVH RI WKH VWDWHG ([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQGRU 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV 7KLV UHSRUW LV
GHWDLOHG DQG RIWHQ LQYROYHV WKRURXJK H[DPLQDWLRQ E\ OHJDO
H[SHUWV EHIRUH SXEOLF UHOHDVH ,W PXVW EH QRWHG WKDW WKH
&DQDGLDQV\VWHPGRHVQRWSUHVFULEHWKHWHFKQLFDODSSOLFDWLRQ
RIKRZ5HVRXUFHVDQG5HVHUYHVDUHWREHHVWLPDWHG+RZHYHU
UHFHQWDFWLRQVE\WKH%ULWLVK&ROXPELD6HFXULWLHV&RPPLVVLRQ
LQGLFDWH PRYHV E\ WKH &DQDGLDQ 6HFXULWLHV $GPLQLVWUDWRUV
WRZDUGVHYDOXDWLRQRIWHFKQLTXHVXVHG
JORC and the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum Definition Standards|J Coombes
FIG 2 - Documentation and Public Report (issued with the Competent Persons consent) within the JORC Code principles-based reporting.
FIG 3 - Technical Report (triggered by a public news release by the board) within the Canadian reporting framework.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
35
IROORZDVWDQGDUGIRUPDWWKHUHTXLUHGVWDQGDUGFRQWHQWVOLVW
LVUHSURGXFHGLQ)LJXUH
:KLOVW D WHFKQLFDO H[SHUW DFWLQJ DV D &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ
ZLWKLQ WKH -25& &RGH V\VWHP RU D 4XDOLHG 3HUVRQ DFWLQJ
ZLWKLQ WKH &DQDGLDQ UHSRUWLQJ V\VWHP LV H[SHFWHG WR
XQGHUVWDQGDQGDSSO\WKHLUH[SHUWLVHWRWKHIXOOHVWH[WHQWWKH\
VKRXOGDOVRXQGHUVWDQGWKHSRWHQWLDOOHYHORILQWHUSUHWDWLRQD
ERDUGRIGLUHFWRUVPD\DSSO\WRWKHLUZRUNLQWKH-25&&RGH
V\VWHPLQFRQWUDVWWRWKHZLGHUDXGLHQFHDQWLFLSDWHGZLWKLQ
WKH&DQDGLDQV\VWHP
,Q UHVSRQVH WR D SXVK IRU JUHDWHU WUDQVSDUHQF\ ZLWKLQ WKH
-25&&RGHV\VWHP6WHSKHQVRQ DQG6WRNHU WKH
XSGDWH RI WKH -25& &RGH DQG WKH FRUUHVSRQGLQJ XSGDWHG
$6;/LVWLQJ5XOHVQRZUHTXLUHWKHSXEOLFUHSRUWWRLQFOXGHDQ
DSSHQGL[FRQWDLQLQJFRPPHQWIRUDVLJQLFDQWSURMHFW-25&
RU PDWHULDO PLQLQJ SURMHFWV $6; RQ DOO LWHPV RI WKH -25&
&RGH 7DEOH RQ DQ LI QRW ZK\ QRW EDVLV IRU ([SORUDWLRQ
5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV RU 2UH 5HVHUYHV EHLQJ UHSRUWHG
HLWKHU IRU WKH UVW WLPH RU ZKHQ WKHUH LV D PDWHULDO FKDQJH
VLQFH D SUHYLRXV 3XEOLF 5HSRUW 7KLV PHDQV DOO FULWHULD LQ
WKH UHOHYDQW VHFWLRQ RI 7DEOH PXVW EH DGGUHVVHG E\ WKH
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVDQGWKDWWKHVHFRPPHQWVEHLQFOXGHGDV
DQDSSHQGL[WRWKH3XEOLF5HSRUW)LJXUH
7KHUHOHYDQWVHFWLRQVIRU([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWVDUH6HFWLRQ
6DPSOLQJ7HFKQLTXHVDQG'DWDDQG6HFWLRQ5HSRUWLQJRI
([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWV%RWKWKHVHVHFWLRQVDVZHOODV6HFWLRQ
(VWLPDWLRQ DQG 5HSRUWLQJ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DSSO\ IRU
WKH SXEOLF UHOHDVH RI QHZ RU PDWHULDOO\ FKDQJHG 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV$OOVHFWLRQVLQFOXGLQJ6HFWLRQ(VWLPDWLRQDQG
5HSRUWLQJRI2UH5HVHUYHVDSSO\WRWKHSXEOLFUHSRUWLQJRI
QHZRUPDWHULDOO\FKDQJHG2UH5HVHUYHV6HFWLRQ(VWLPDWLRQ
DQG 5HSRUWLQJ RI 'LDPRQGV DQG 2WKHU *HPVWRQHV LV XVHG
ZKHQ UHSRUWLQJ QHZ RU PDWHULDOO\ FKDQJHG HVWLPDWHV RI
GLDPRQGV DQG RWKHU JHPVWRQHV IRU VLJQLFDQW SURMHFWV RU
PDWHULDOPLQLQJSURMHFWV
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV DUH UHTXLUHG WR DGGUHVV HYHU\ LWHP
ZLWKLQWKHFULWHULDRIWKHUHOHYDQWVHFWLRQV,IWKH&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQFRQVLGHUVDQLWHPZLWKLQWKHFULWHULRQWREHLUUHOHYDQW
WKHQ WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ VKRXOG H[SODLQ ZK\ WKH LWHP LV
QRWUHOHYDQWWRWKHXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKH3XEOLF5HSRUWRIWKH
([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOW0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHRU2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWH
-25&
,Q DOO FDVHV WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ VKRXOG FRQVLGHU
WKH UHDGHU DQG SURYLGH LQIRUPDWLYH WUDQVSDUHQW DQG
PDWHULDOO\UHOHYDQWFRPPHQWV7KH$XVWUDOLDQ6HFXULWLHVDQG
,QYHVWPHQWV &RPPLVVLRQV $6,& 5HJXODWRU\ *XLGH
&RQWHQWRI([SHUW5HSRUWVSURYLGHVXVHIXOJXLGHOLQHVIRUWKH
FRPPXQLFDWLRQRIH[SHUWJXLGDQFH$XVWUDOLDQ6HFXULWLHVDQG
,QYHVWPHQWV&RPPLVVLRQ
7KLVUHSUHVHQWVDVLJQLFDQWFKDQJHLQDFWXDOLVLQJWKHSULQFLSOH
RIWUDQVSDUHQF\DQGSURYLGHVDFRQGXLWIRU&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV
WRDUWLFXODWHWKHEDVLVIRUWKHFODVVLFDWLRQVDSSOLHG
FIG 5 - Technical Report and Public Report in accordance with the JORC Code 2012 update and associated Listing Rules.
36
JORC and the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum Definition Standards|J Coombes
VLQFHWKH4XDOLHG3HUVRQVWHFKQLFDOZRUNLVIXOO\GLVFORVHGLQ
DSXEOLFIRUXP+RZHYHUWKHPHUHIDFWRIORGJLQJD7HFKQLFDO
5HSRUW GRHV QRW PHDQ WKDW WKH 7UDQVSDUHQF\ SULQFLSOH
KDV EHHQ IXOOOHG 0DQ\ 7HFKQLFDO 5HSRUWV IDOO GHSORUDEO\
VKRUWLQWKLVDUHD0RUHRYHUDVPHQWLRQHGDERYHWKHLQLWLDO
QHZV UHOHDVH FRQWDLQLQJ WKH WHFKQLFDOVFLHQWLF LQIRUPDWLRQ
PXVW PHHW WKH UHJXODWRUV H[SHFWDWLRQ RI WUDQVSDUHQF\ DQG
PDWHULDOLW\
7KHWHFKQLFDOZRUNUHTXLUHGRIWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQKDV
QRWFKDQJHGLQWKHQHZHGLWLRQRIWKH-25&&RGH:KDW
KDVFKDQJHGLVWKHQHHGIRUWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQWRFRPSLOH
UHVSRQVHV WR HDFK DQG HYHU\ LWHP LQ 7DEOH RI WKH -25&
&RGHRQDQLIQRWZK\QRWEDVLV:KLOVWLQFUHDVLQJWKH
WUDQVSDUHQF\RIWKHZRUNFRPSOHWHGDQGWKHSRWHQWLDOJDSVLQ
WKHWHFKQLFDODQDO\VHVIRULQYHVWRUVWKHUHLVDOVRWKHSRWHQWLDO
WR UDLVH WKH VWDQGDUG RI WHFKQLFDO ZRUN E\ HQVXULQJ WKDW DOO
WHFKQLFDODVSHFWVRIWKHH[SHFWHGZRUNDUHDGGUHVVHG
COMPETENCY
&RUH WR WKH &5,56&2VW\OH UHSRUWLQJ IUDPHZRUN LV WKH
UHOLDQFH RQ WKH H[SHUWLVH RI &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV RU D WHDP
RI H[SHUWV ZKR DUH YRXFKHG IRU E\ D &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ
&XUUHQWO\ WKHUH LV QR V\VWHP RU ULWH RI SDVVDJH WR GHYHORS
WKHUHTXLVLWHFRPSHWHQF\WRSURYLGH([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWVDQG
HVWLPDWHV RI 5HVRXUFHV DQG 5HVHUYHV ,QVWHDG &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQVSUHVHQWWKHPVHOYHVDVVXIFLHQWO\FRPSHWHQW
6LQFHWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQLVUHVSRQVLEOHIRUWKHWHFKQLFDO
TXDOLW\RIWKHLUZRUNLQDOOMXULVGLFWLRQVWKH\DUHUHVSRQVLEOH
IRU HQVXULQJ WKHLU ZRUN UHSUHVHQWV WKH KLJKHVW SRVVLEOH
WHFKQLFDOTXDOLW\DQGIRUFODULI\LQJWKHLUDVVXPSWLRQVDQGWKH
EDVLVIRUWKHLULQWHUSUHWDWLRQV
7KH NH\ GLIIHUHQFHV EHWZHHQ WKH UHVSRQVLELOLWLHV DQG
UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV -25& &RGH
IUDPHZRUN DQG 4XDOLHG 3HUVRQV &DQDGLDQ IUDPHZRUN
DUHVXPPDULVHGLQ7DEOH
7KHPRVWREYLRXVGLIIHUHQFHEHWZHHQWKHUHTXLUHPHQWVLV
WKDW RI H[SHULHQFH :KLOVW ERWK MXULVGLFWLRQV FDOO IRU YH
\HDUV H[SHULHQFH XQGHU WKH &DQDGLDQ IUDPHZRUN WKLV
H[SHULHQFHLVH[SHFWHGWREHZLWKLQWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\
ZKLOVWXQGHUWKH-25&&RGHIUDPHZRUNWKLVH[SHULHQFH
LVH[SHFWHGWREHUHOHYDQWWRWKHWDVNDVZHOODVWKHVW\OH
RIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ)XUWKHUFRPSDULVRQRIWKHVHFULWHULDLV
H[SODLQHGLQ6WHSKHQVRQDQG6WRNHUDQG&RRPEHV
,Q ERWK MXULVGLFWLRQV WKH PLQLQJ SURIHVVLRQDO GHFLGHV
IRU WKHPVHOYHV ZKHWKHU WKH\ DUH VXIFLHQWO\ FRPSHWHQW
5HFHQW UHVHDUFK FKDOOHQJHV WKH VXLWDELOLW\ RI VHOI
DVVHVVPHQW&RRPEHV
7KH&DQDGLDQV\VWHPUHTXLUHVDQLQGHSHQGHQW4XDOLHG
3HUVRQ ZKHQ WKHUH LV D PDWHULDO FKDQJH LQ WKH SXEOLFO\
GHFODUHGHVWLPDWHVDQGLQFHUWDLQRWKHUVLWXDWLRQV7KHUH
LV QR UHTXLUHPHQW IRU LQGHSHQGHQFH LQ WKH -25& &RGH
V\VWHP DOWKRXJK &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV DUH UHTXLUHG
WR GLVFORVH DQ\ DVVRFLDWLRQV ZLWK WKH FRPPLVVLRQLQJ
FRPSDQ\
8OWLPDWHO\ ERWK &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV DQG 4XDOLHG
3HUVRQV VKRXOG XSKROG WKH KLJKHVW TXDOLW\ RI VFLHQWLF
DQDO\VLVDVEHKRYHVWKHLUSURIHVVLRQDQGWKHLUSURIHVVLRQDO
VWDQGLQJ
%H\RQG WKHVH UHTXLUHPHQWV LW LV WKH UHVSRQVLELOLW\ RI D
FRPSDQ\VERDUGRIGLUHFWRUVLQERWKMXULVGLFWLRQVWRHQVXUH
WKHH[SHUWWKH\KLUHLVVXLWDEO\TXDOLHG
TABLE 1
Comparison of responsibilities Competent Persons and Qualified Persons.
Responsibility
Experience
Relevance of experience
Competency assessment
Self-assessed
Self-assessed
Independence
Not required
Technical Report
Public Report
Yes
Yes
Consent
Familiarity
37
LQXHQFHWKDWWKHZRUNRIWKH4XDOLHGRU&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV
FDQKDYHRQWKHSULFHRIVKDUHV0RUHRYHU&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV
DUH UHTXLUHG WR DSSO\ WKHLU VFLHQWLF VNLOOV ZLWK WKH KLJKHVW
VWDQGDUGVDQGLQWHJULW\ZLWKRXWFRPSURPLVLQJWKHYDOXHRI
WKH SURMHFW WR HLWKHU WKH VKDUHKROGHUV RU WR WKH LQYHVWPHQW
FRPPXQLW\
CONCLUSIONS
0LQLQJ SURIHVVLRQDOV SOD\ D SLYRWDO UROH LQ WKH YDOXDWLRQ
RI PLQLQJ SURMHFWV ZKHQ WKH\ HOHFW WKHPVHOYHV DV HLWKHU
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV XQGHU WKH -25& &RGH RU 4XDOLHG
3HUVRQVLQWKH&DQDGLDQUHSRUWLQJHQYLURQPHQW&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQVDQG4XDOLHG3HUVRQVDUHHQFRXUDJHGWRPDLQWDLQD
NHHQLQWHUHVWLQDQGXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHUHSRUWLQJVWDQGDUGV
FRGHVDQGJXLGHOLQHV
:LWKLQ D JOREDO FOLPDWH RI LQFUHDVHG WUDQVDFWLRQDO
FRPPXQLFDWLRQ DQG LQYHVWPHQW WUDQVSDUHQF\ WKH
XSGDWHV WR WKH -25& &RGH DQG WKH DVVRFLDWHG OLVWLQJV
UXOHV UHHFW D PHDVXUHG UHVSRQVH WR HQVXUH LPSURYHG
FRPPXQLFDWLRQ RI ULVN EHWZHHQ &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV DQG
LQYHVWRUV ZKLOVW OLPLWLQJ WKH RQHURXV EXUGHQ RI 7HFKQLFDO
5HSRUWLQJ,QVRGRLQJ-25&KDVGHPRQVWUDWHGDQRQJRLQJ
PDWXUH DQG UHVSRQVLYH FRPPLWPHQW WR SURIHVVLRQDOV
FRUSRUDWHGLUHFWRUVDQGWKHLQYHVWPHQWFRPPXQLW\DOLNH
JORC and the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum Definition Standards|J Coombes
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUZRXOGOLNHWRDFNQRZOHGJH-25&$6;DQG$6,&
IRU WKH ZRUN LQ UHYLVLQJ WKH -25& &RGH ,Q SDUWLFXODU WKH
DXWKRUDFNQRZOHGJHVWKHZRUNRIWKHYROXQWHHUPHPEHUVRI
-25&DQGWKHLUFRPPLWPHQWWRWKHVWDQGDUGRISURIHVVLRQDOLVP
LQWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\3HWHU6WRNHUDQG3DW6WHSKHQVRQDUH
WKDQNHGIRUWKHLULQVLJKWIXODQGZHOFRPHJXLGDQFH
REFERENCES
$XVWUDOLDQ 6HFXULWLHV DQG ,QYHVWPHQWV &RPPLVVLRQ
5HJXODWRU\ *XLGH &RQWHQW RI H[SHUW UHSRUWV >RQOLQH@
$YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZDVLFJRYDXDVLFSGLEQVI
/RRNXS%\)LOH1DPHUJSGIOHUJSGI! >$FFHVVHG
0D\@
&DQDGLDQ 6HFXULWLHV $GPLQLVWUDWRUV D &RPSDQLRQ 3ROLF\
&3WR1DWLRQDO,QVWUXPHQW6WDQGDUGVRIGLVFORVXUHIRU
PLQHUDO SURMHFWV >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZEFVF
EFFDXSORDGHG)LOHVVHFXULWLHVODZSROLF\&3>&3@SGI!
>$FFHVVHG-XO\@
&DQDGLDQ 6HFXULWLHV $GPLQLVWUDWRUV E )RUP )
7HFKQLFDO 5HSRUW >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZEFVF
EFFDXSORDGHG)LOHVVHFXULWLHVODZSROLF\)>)@SGI!
>$FFHVVHG-XO\@
39
Geological
Interpretation
and Modelling
Statistical Analysis,
Mineral Resource
Estimation,
Classification and
Reporting
Modifying Factors
(Mining, Metallurgical,
Economic, Marketing,
Legal, Environmental,
Social and Government)
Monitoring the
Resources and
Reserves
Grade Control,
Production and
Reconciliation
N Hanson
43
Design Principles of Relational Databases and Management of Data Flow for Resource Estimation
M Z Abzalov
47
Sampling and Analysis Protocols and Their Role in Mineral Exploration and New Resource Development
53
D R Green
61
A Review of the Reliability and Validity of Portable X-Ray Fluorescence Spectrometry (pXRF) Data
69
How Sampling Biases Can Induce Decision-Makers to Make Wrong Decisions An Introduction to Qualitative
Sampling Theory
P M Gy and
D M Franois-Bongaron
83
D M Franois-Bongaron
87
Geostatistical Criteria for Choosing an Optimal Ratio between Quality and Quantity of Samples Method and
Case Studies
M Z Abzalov
91
Measurement of Bulk Density for Resource Estimation Methods, Guidelines and Quality Control
97
A van As
109
B K Davis
121
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Geological Consultant, Visionary Earth Science Pty Ltd, PO Box 3329, Wheelers Hill Vic 3150. Email: [email protected]
Ore r
es
Mine
ral r
inter
pret
a
erves
eso u
r ce s
tion
data
BI
A
7KHNH\DVSHFWRIWKLVFKDSWHULVWKDWWKH-25&&RGHV7DEOH
FRPSUHKHQVLYHO\GHQHVWKRVHWKLQJVWKDWPXVWEHFRQVLGHUHG
LQ WKH UHVRXUFH GDWDEDVH 7KH WHUP UHVRXUFH GDWDEDVH KDV
EHHQ XVHG RIWHQ DQG ORRVHO\ PRVWO\ LW LV FRUUHFWO\ DVVXPHG
WR EH WKRVH GHWDLOV RQ ZKLFK D UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWH LV EDVHG
7KHGHQLWLRQVKRXOGQRWEHOLPLWHGWRMXVWFRPSXWHUOHVRI
GULOOKROHGDWDDQGDVVD\VIRUH[DPSOHEXWPXVWLQFRUSRUDWH
GHWDLOVRIDOOWKHGDWDFROOHFWHGDQGLQIRUPDWLRQUHOHYDQWWRLWV
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
43
VDPSOLQJELDVHVFDQLQGXFHGHFLVLRQPDNHUVWRPDNHZURQJ
GHFLVLRQV DQ LQWURGXFWLRQ WR TXDOLWDWLYH VDPSOLQJ WKHRU\
*\DQG)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQWKLVYROXPHLVDJHQHUDO
LQWURGXFWLRQ WR DYRLGLQJ VDPSOLQJ ELDV DQG WKH SUREOHPV LW
FUHDWHVLQUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ,WLVEXLOWRQWKHRUHWLFDOVDPSOH
WKHRU\ DQG WKH TXDOLWDWLYH DSSURDFK WR VDPSOH VHOHFWLRQ
DQG ZKHWKHU LW FDQ EH UHQGHUHG UHOLDEOH 7KLV ZLOO RFFXU
ZKHQHYHU\SDUWLFOHRUIUDJPHQWFRQWDLQLQJVXFKSDUWLFOHVLV
JLYHQ HTXDO SUREDELOLW\ RI EHLQJ VHOHFWHG LQ WKH VXEVDPSOH
$FKLHYLQJ VDPSOH FRUUHFWQHVV LV WKH RQO\ ZD\ WR JXDUDQWHH
VDPSOHDFFXUDF\
7KH SDSHU 3UDFWLFDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV DQG VKRUWFXWV LQ
VDPSOLQJ E\ )UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ WKLV YROXPH
IROORZVXSZLWKVRPHSUDFWLFDOH[DPSOHVWRHQVXUHVDPSOLQJ
FRUUHFWQHVV HYHQ ZKHQ FRQIURQWHG ZLWK FRPSOH[ VDPSOLQJ
SUREOHPVRULQFRUUHFWVDPSOLQJHTXLSPHQW7KHZRUVWFDVH
SROLF\ :&3 WHFKQLTXH LV XVHG WR GHVFULEH D PHWKRG RI
VHOHFWLQJ D VDPSOLQJ DSSURDFK WKDW LV VDIH HYHQ JLYHQ WKH
ZRUVWSRVVLEOHVDPSOLQJUHVXOWV7KHSDSHUJLYHVH[DPSOHVRI
WDUJHWLQJWKHORZHVWJUDGHRILQWHUHVWZKLFKVKRXOGEHORZHU
WKDQDFRQVLGHUHGHFRQRPLFFXWRIIVDPSOLQJPXOWLHOHPHQW
GHSRVLWV URFN W\SHV DQG PLQHUDO VSHFLHV ZLWK GLIIHUHQW
HOHPHQW GLVWULEXWLRQV DQG UHSURGXFLELOLW\ FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
7KHUH DUH DOVR VRPH FDXWLRQV DERXW XQGHUVWDQGLQJ ELDV
EHWZHHQPDQXDOYHUVXVDXWRPDWHGVDPSOHFROOHFWLQJ
*HRVWDWLVWLFDO FULWHULD IRU FKRRVLQJ DQ RSWLPDO UDWLR
EHWZHHQ TXDOLW\ DQG TXDQWLW\ RI VDPSOHV PHWKRG DQG
FDVH VWXGLHV $E]DORY E WKLV YROXPH GLVFXVVHV KRZ
HVWLPDWHXQFHUWDLQW\UHODWHVEDFNWRWKHTXDOLW\DQGTXDQWLW\
RI DQDO\WLFDO GDWD FROOHFWHG ,W SUHVHQWV D QHZ JHRVWDWLVWLFDO
DSSURDFK WR QGLQJ DQ RSWLPDO DQG FRVWHIIHFWLYH UDWLR
EHWZHHQGULOOKROHVSDFLQJDQGVDPSOLQJSURWRFRO7KUHHFDVH
VWXGLHVLOOXVWUDWHWKHHVWLPDWLRQRIVDPSOHSUHFLVLRQHUURUDQG
KRZFRPSDULQJWKLVYDULRJUDPPRGHOFDQKHOSLPSURYHERWK
UHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQDQGJUDGHFRQWURO
CONCLUSION
&ROOHFWLQJ UHFRUGLQJ DQG YDOLGDWLQJ SULPDU\ GDWD DERXW
D UHVRXUFH LV WKH UVW RI PDQ\ VWDJHV LQ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ RI D
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHRU2UH5HVHUYH7KHHPSKDVLVLQWKH-25&
&RGHWRUHSRUWRQDOONH\GDWDDQGWRH[SODLQLIQRWZK\
QRWPXVWJRDORQJZD\WRZDUGVEURDGHQLQJWKLVIRXQGDWLRQ
7KHSDSHUVLQWKLVFKDSWHUKLJKOLJKWNH\DVSHFWVRIWKLVLQLWLDO
VWDJHORRNLQJDWZKDWLVLPSRUWDQWWRPHDVXUHDQGKRZEHVW
WRFROOHFWDQGUHFRUGWKHGDWD8QGHUVWDQGLQJKRZWRHQVXUH
WKDWWKHVHPHDVXUHVDUHDFFXUDWHSUHFLVHDQGDYRLGELDVLVDOVR
YLWDO7DEOHLQWKH-25&&RGHLVDWKRURXJKFKHFNOLVW
RI ZKDW LV UHTXLUHG LQ WKH UHVRXUFH GDWDEDVH 7KH SDSHUV LQ
WKLVFKDSWHUSURYLGHUHOHYDQWFRQWH[WDQGH[DPSOHVRIJRRG
SUDFWLFH WRJHWKHU WKH\ FUHDWH D VROLG IRXQGDWLRQ IRU DQ\
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHRU2UH5HVHUYHVHVWLPDWHVHH)LJXUH7KH
FRPSUHKHQVLYH GRFXPHQWDWLRQ QRZ UHTXLUHG E\ WKH -25&
&RGH WKDWV VR RIWHQ EHHQ SUHYLRXVO\ PLVVLQJ FDQ SURYLGH
WUDQVSDUHQF\LQWKHHVWLPDWLRQSURFHVVDQGFRQGHQFHLQWKH
UHVXOWDQW0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYH
CP
ES
ORE RESERV
S
CE
MI N
UR
ERA
L RESO
INTE
TI O
RP RETA
DAT
REFERENCES
$E]DORY0=D'HVLJQSULQFLSOHVRIUHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVHVDQG
PDQDJHPHQW RI GDWD RZ IRU UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
$E]DORY0=E*HRVWDWLVWLFDOFULWHULDIRUFKRRVLQJDQRSWLPDO
UDWLR EHWZHHQ TXDOLW\ DQG TXDQWLW\ RI VDPSOHV PHWKRG DQG
FDVHVWXGLHVLQMineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP &,0
(VWLPDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV
%HVW3UDFWLFH*XLGHOLQHV>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZHE
FLPRUJ8VHU)LOHV)LOH(VWLPDWLRQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV0LQHUDO
5HVHUYHVSGI! &DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ
0HWDOOXUJ\DQG3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
'DYLV % . 8VH DQG DEXVH RI RULHQWHG GULOO FRUH LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
45
46
*\30DQG)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ'0+RZVDPSOLQJELDVHV
FDQ LQGXFH GHFLVLRQPDNHUV WR PDNH ZURQJ GHFLVLRQV DQ
LQWURGXFWLRQWRTXDOLWDWLYHVDPSOLQJWKHRU\LQMineral Resource
and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
/LSWRQ,7DQG+RUWRQ-$0HDVXUHPHQWRIEXONGHQVLW\IRU
UHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRGVJXLGHOLQHVDQGTXDOLW\FRQWUROLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
5RGHQ 6 DQG 6PLWK 7 6DPSOLQJ DQG DQDO\VLV SURWRFROV DQG
WKHLUUROHLQPLQHUDOH[SORUDWLRQDQGQHZUHVRXUFHGHYHORSPHQW
in Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM
Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
YDQ$V$&ROOHFWLRQRIJHRWHFKQLFDOGDWDIURPGULOOKROHVLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Consultant, MASSA Geoservices, 8 Burnettia Lane, Mount Claremont WA 6010. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
0RGHUQPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQVJHQHUDWHDQGXVHDYDVWDPRXQW
RI VDPSOLQJ DQG GULOOLQJ GDWD WKDW UHTXLUHV VWRUDJH LQ D
UHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVH$UHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVHVKRXOGEHGHVLJQHG
IRUWKHHIIHFWLYHVWRUDJHDQGPDQLSXODWLRQRIODUJHYROXPHV
RIGLJLWDOGDWDFDUU\LQJYDULRXVW\SHVRILQIRUPDWLRQ&RGG
/RQJ /HZLV ,W VKRXOG DOVR SURYLGH DQ
RSWLPLVHGGDWDVWRUDJHVROXWLRQDQGDOORZDFFHVVDQGRXWSXW
RIGDWDLQYDULRXVIRUPDWVUHTXLUHGE\PLQLQJLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
DSSOLFDWLRQV ,W LV ZRUWK QRWLQJ WKDW KRZ GDWD LV VWRUHG
LQ D GDWDEDVH DQG KRZ LW LV SUHVHQWHG WR RWKHU VRIWZDUH
DSSOLFDWLRQV DQG JHRORJLVWV FDQ EH VLJQLFDQWO\ GLIIHUHQW
)RU H[DPSOH PRVW PLQLQJ DSSOLFDWLRQV UHTXLUH GDWD DV
KRUL]RQWDO GDWD URZV VXFK DV RQH ZRXOG FRPPRQO\ QG LQ
([FHOVSUHDGVKHHWVFRPPRQO\UHIHUUHGDVDWOHRUDWWDEOH
7KHVDPHGDWDLQWKHGDWDEDVHDQGWKLVLVHVSHFLDOO\WKHFDVH
IRU DVVD\ GDWD LV OLNHO\ WR EH VWRUHG LQ D YHUWLFDO VWUXFWXUH
WR FDWHU IRU RQH HOHPHQW EHLQJ DQDO\VHG PXOWLSOH WLPHV
XVLQJ GLIIHUHQW DQDO\WLFDO PHWKRGV DQG XQLWV 9HUWLFDO GDWD
RIWHQ FDOOHG QRUPDOLVHG GDWD LV RSWLPLVHG IRU VWRUDJH DQG
UHTXLUHVFRQYHUWLQJWRDDWOHVWUXFWXUHIRUXWLOLVDWLRQ7KH
GHQRUPDOLVHGYHUVLRQRIWKHGDWDLVRIWHQDFKLHYHGE\XVLQJ
GDWDEDVH YLHZV FDOOHG YLUWXDO WDEOHV 'DWD H[WUDFWLRQ DQG
VXEVHWWLQJ LV GRQH ZLWK EXLOWLQ TXHU\ WRROV XVLQJ GLIIHUHQW
VHOHFWLRQ FULWHULD IRU H[DPSOH WKH \HDU RI GULOOLQJ $E]DORY
DQG3LFNHUV$E]DORYRUVDPSOLQJW\SH$E]DORY
$E]DORY et al +RZHYHU WKH HIIHFWLYHQHVV RI D
UHODWLRQDO GDWDEDVH FDQ EH GRZQJUDGHG E\ DQ LPSURSHUO\
GHVLJQHG GDWDEDVH VWUXFWXUH DQG IXUWKHU PDUUHG E\ SRRU
GDWDEDVHDGPLQLVWUDWLRQSUDFWLFHVLQSDUWLFXODUWKHLQHIFLHQW
PRQLWRULQJRIWKHGDWDRZVLQWKHHOGDQGRIFH$FRUUHFWO\
47
FRRUGLQDWHVFDOFXODWHGIRUHDFKVDPSOH7KHHOGVFRQWDLQLQJ
YDOXHVJHQHUDWHGE\WKHGDWDEDVHVRIWZDUHVKRXOGEHFOHDUO\
LGHQWLHG
6SHFLDODWWHQWLRQVKRXOGEHSDLGWRWKHDSSURSULDWHVWRUDJHRI
TXDOLW\DVVXUDQFHTXDOLW\FRQWURO4$4&GDWDLQFOXGLQJ
GXSOLFDWH VDPSOHV UHSHDW DVVD\V VWDQGDUGV DQG EODQNV
/RQJ 6LQFODLU DQG %ODFNZHOO $E]DORY
,WLVFRQVLGHUHGSRRUSUDFWLFHWRVWRUH4$4&GDWDLQ
WKHPDVWHUWDEOHZLWKURXWLQHVDPSOHV$PRUHHIIHFWLYHZD\
LVWRVWRUH4$4&GDWDLQVHSDUDWHWDEOHV)LJXUHOLQNHGWR
WKHLUFRUUHVSRQGLQJDVVD\EDWFKHVE\NH\HOGV
:HOOGHVLJQHGUHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVHVVKRXOGQRWEHOLPLWHGWR
VWRULQJGDWDUHTXLUHGIRUJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJDQG5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQ7KH\VKRXOGDOVRLQFOXGHPHWDGDWDRUGDWDDERXW
GDWD $ VXEVWDQWLDO DPRXQW RI DX[LOLDU\ LQIRUPDWLRQ LH
GDWD DERXW GDWD LV UHFHLYHG IURP GULOOLQJ FRQWUDFWRUV HOG
JHRORJLVWVDQGDQDO\WLFDOODERUDWRULHVDOORIZKLFKQHHGWREH
V\VWHPDWLFDOO\VWRUHGLQWKHUHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVH/RQJ
VXJJHVWHGXVLQJGHGLFDWHGPHWDGDWDWDEOHVDVDSUDFWLFDOZD\
WR VWRUH DX[LOLDU\ LQIRUPDWLRQ 7KLV DSSURDFK SUHYHQWV WKH
SULPDU\GDWDWDEOHVEHFRPLQJRYHUO\ODUJHDQGFXPEHUVRPH
0RVWRIWKHLPSRUWDQWDX[LOLDU\LQIRUPDWLRQLVUHFRUGHGLQWKH
KHDGHUVRIGDWDVKHHWVUHFHLYHGIURPJHRORJLFDODQGGULOOLQJ
SHUVRQQHODQGODERUDWRULHVIRUH[DPSOHDOPRVWDOODX[LOLDU\
LQIRUPDWLRQ UHODWHG WR DQDO\WLFDO WHFKQLTXHV LV UHSRUWHG LQ
WKH DVVD\ FHUWLFDWH KHDGHU RI DVVD\ UHVXOWV UHFHLYHG IURP
WKH ODERUDWRU\ (QWHULQJ WKLV LQIRUPDWLRQ LQWR D VHSDUDWH
WDEOH ZLWKLQ WKH VDPH UHODWLRQDO GDWDEDVH HQDEOHV VWRUDJH
RI DOO NH\ IDFWV UHODWHG WR DQDO\WLFDO ODERUDWRU\ WHFKQLTXH
SHUVRQQHO DQG GDWHV RI DQDO\VHV 7KLV LQIRUPDWLRQ LV OLQNHG
WRWKHFRUUHVSRQGLQJVDPSOHVE\DNH\HOGGHQRWLQJE\WKH
FHUWLFDWHVXQLTXHQXPEHU7KLVNH\HOGVKRXOGEHDGGHG
WRWKHVDPSOHWDEOHDVDQDGGLWLRQDOFROXPQ,QSUDFWLFHWKH
QAQC: Duplicate 2 (Assays)
Assay: Assay:
Samp No No Dup. 3 Assay
Certificate
(1st samp)
Assay: Assay:
Assay:
Samp No No Dup. 2 Assay
Number Metal1 Metal2
Certificate
Assay: Assay:(1st samp)
Samp No No Dup. 1 Assay
Number Metal1 Metal2 ...
Certificate
(1st samp)
Number Metal1 Metal2
Master Table:
Sample Assays
Hole No Assay
Samp No
Certificate (1st samp)
Number
Hole No X
Y Z
Drilling
Contract
Order
Hole No
Rock
Code
Method
Chracteristics
(e.g. diameter)
Core
Recovery
....
Analytical Parameters
Down Hole Survey
Drilling Parameters
Drilling
Contract
Order
Geological Logs
From
To
Sample Sample
From
To
Assay
Certificate
Number
Method
Chracteristics
(e.g. detection limit)
Standard 1
Samp.
No
Metal 1
Metal 2
Standard 2
Metal 1 Metal 2
FIG 1 - Sketch showing the structure of a relational database and linking of the data using the key fields.
48
Design Principles of Relational Databases and Management of Data Flow for Resource Estimation| M Z Abzalov
FRPELQDWLRQRIWKHGDWHZKHQWKHFHUWLFDWHZDVLVVXHGDQG
WKH ODERUDWRU\ QDPH FDQ EH XVHG DV D FRPSRVLWH NH\ WKDW
LV WZR YDOXHV WRJHWKHU LGHQWLI\ D XQLTXH UHFRUG URZ LQ WKH
GDWDEDVH
$X[LOLDU\ LQIRUPDWLRQ IRU GULOOLQJ SDUDPHWHUV VXFK DV
GULOOLQJ W\SH GDWH RI GULOOLQJ GULOO FRPSDQ\ ULJW\SHGULOO
ELW GLDPHWHU DQG GULOOHU QDPHV DUH JHQHUDOO\ UHSRUWHG LQ
WKHGULOOLQJFRQWUDFWRUGHUVDQGVWRUHGLQDVHSDUDWHWDEOHRI
WKH VDPH UHODWLRQDO GDWDEDVH 'HSHQGLQJ RQ WKH DPRXQW RI
DX[LOLDU\ LQIRUPDWLRQ WKH GDWDEDVH DGPLQLVWUDWRU PD\ HOHFW
WR VWRUH GDWD LQ VHSDUDWH WDEOHV RU VLPSO\ DGG VHYHUDO H[WUD
HOGV WR WKH WDEOH FRQWDLQLQJ FRRUGLQDWHV RI WKH GULOO KROH
FROODUV 7KH VDPH SULQFLSOHV DUH XVHG IRU VWRULQJ VXUYH\LQJ
GDWDDQGGLJLWDOJHRORJLFDOORJV
7KHUHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVHVWUXFWXUHLVH[LEOHDQGDOORZVIRU
WKHVLWXDWLRQZKHUHWKHUHPD\QRWEHDUHODWLRQVKLSEHWZHHQ
DOOUHFRUGVLQDOOWDEOHV)RUH[DPSOHDWDEOHFRQWDLQLQJGULOO
KROH FROODUV FDQ KDYH PRUH KROHV WKDQ DUH SUHVHQW LQ WKH
DVVD\ WDEOH )LJXUH 7KLV GDWDEDVH SULQFLSOH LV UHIHUUHG
WR DV SDUHQWFKLOG GDWD UHODWLRQVKLSV IRU H[DPSOH \RX
FDQQRWHQWHUVDPSOHVIRUDGULOOKROHLIWKDWGULOOKROHGRHVQW
H[LVWLQWKHGDWDEDVHLQWKHUVWSODFH6LPLODUO\DJHRORJLVW
PD\ QRW VDPSOH WKH HQWLUH KROH EHFDXVH LW GLG QRW LQWHUVHFW
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ $V GHPRQVWUDWHG E\ WKH SUHYLRXV H[DPSOHV
WKHUHDUHOHJLWLPDWHUHDVRQVZK\GDWDPD\EHPLVVLQJIURP
WKH GDWDEDVH KRZHYHU PLVVLQJ RU LQFRUUHFW GDWD FRXOG EH
WKH UHVXOW RI GDWD HQWU\ HUURUV DQG SRRU GDWD PDQDJHPHQW
SUDFWLFHV $OWKRXJK LW LV WHFKQLFDOO\ SRVVLEOH IRU UHODWLRQDO
GDWDEDVHV WR KDYH PLVPDWFKLQJ UHFRUGV WKLV SUDFWLFH LV
VXERSWLPDODQGFDQFDXVHFRQVLGHUDEOHFRQIXVLRQZKHQGDWD
LV DQDO\VHG 7KHUHIRUH IURP D SUDFWLFDO SRLQW RI YLHZ LW LV
HVVHQWLDOWKDWWKHVDPHKROHQDPHVDUHUHFRUGHGLQDOOIRXU
PDLQWDEOHVVDPSOHDVVD\VGULOOKROHFROODUVGRZQKROHVXUYH\
DQGJHRORJLFDOORJV)LJXUH,QWKHFDVHZKHUHVRPHGDWDLV
QRWDYDLODEOHDVLQWKHDERYHH[DPSOHZKHUHDGULOOKROHKDV
QRWEHHQVDPSOHGRUORJJHGWKHGULOOKROHFDQEHUHSUHVHQWHG
LQWKHFRUUHVSRQGLQJWDEOHVE\DVLQJOHUHFRUGLQGLFDWLQJWKDW
WKLVGULOOKROHIURPLWVFROODUWRWKHPD[LPXPGHSWKGRHVQRW
KDYHVDPSOHV,WLVDOVRXVHIXOWRDGGDQDGGLWLRQDOFROXPQLQ
WKHWDEOHFRQWDLQLQJWKHGULOOKROHFROODUVUHFRUGLQJFRPPHQWV
UHJDUGLQJDQ\LVVXHVWKDWRFFXUUHGZLWKWKHGULOOKROHVXFK
DVGULOOLQJGLIFXOWLHVRUQRPLQHUDOLVDWLRQHQFRXQWHUHGHWF
8QH[SODLQHGJDSVLQWKHGDWDDQGDODFNRIGRFXPHQWDWLRQIRU
WKHPLVVLQJUHFRUGVFDQGHFUHDVHFRQGHQFHLQWKHGDWDDQG
FDXVHFRQFHUQVDERXWGDWDPDQDJHPHQWSUDFWLFHV7KLVPD\
HYHQUHVXOWLQWKHQHHGIRUDIRUPDOGDWDYHULFDWLRQH[HUFLVH
ZKHQWKHPLQLQJSURMHFWLVUHYLHZHGE\H[WHUQDODXGLWRUV
Special values
DATA ENTRY
Electronic data transfer
$WSUHVHQWHOHFWURQLFGDWDWUDQVIHUIURPGLJLWDOGHYLFHVLVWKH
SUHIHUUHGPHWKRGRIGDWDWUDQVIHUWRWKHGDWDEDVHKRZHYHU
LW LV LPSRUWDQW WR UHPHPEHU WKDW WKLV WHFKQLTXH GRHV QRW
JXDUDQWHHWKDWGDWDKDVEHHQFRSLHGWRWKHGDWDEDVHZLWKRXW
HUURUV([DPSOHVDUHNQRZQWRWKHDXWKRUZKHUHDODERUDWRU\
KDV FKDQJHG WKH UHSRUWLQJ XQLWV RI WKH DVVD\HG PHWDOV
ZLWKRXWQRWLFHIRUH[DPSOHIURPWHQWRWZRSHUFHQWWRWHQWR
WKUHHSHUFHQW(QWHULQJVXFKGDWDZLWKRXWDGMXVWPHQWFDXVHV
LQFRPSDWLEOH UHFRUGV LQ WKH GDWDEDVH ,W LV JRRG SUDFWLFH WR
VXSSOHPHQWHOHFWURQLFDOO\WUDQVIHUUHGGDWDZLWKSULQWHGKDUG
FRSLHVRUFHUWLHG3')OHVRIWKHODERUDWRU\DVVD\VKHHWV
$VVD\VKHHWVFDQFRQWDLQQRQQXPHULFDOYDOXHVVXFKDVWUDFHV
75GHQRWLQJWUDFHVRIDJLYHQHOHPHQW7KHOHVVWKDQVLJQ
KHUH;LQGLFDWHVWKDWWKHFRQWHQWRIWKHDQDO\VHGHOHPHQWLV
EHORZWKHGHWHFWLRQOLPLW;DQGWKHJUHDWHUWKDQVLJQ!;
LVDOVRHQFRXQWHUHG/RVWVDPSOHVDUHVRPHWLPHVGHQRWHGDV
/6 DQG QRW DQDO\VHG VDPSOHV DUH GHQRWHG DV 1$ $OO WKHVH
UHSUHVHQWVSHFLDOYDOXHVWKDWQHHGWREHSURSHUO\PDQDJHGLQ
GDWDEDVHV$FRPPRQSUDFWLFHLVWRXVHXQDPELJXRXVQXPHULF
FRGHV WKDW UHSODFH WKH VSHFLDO YDOXHV LQ WKH FRUUHVSRQGLQJ
DVVD\HOGV/RQJ([DPSOHVRIFRGHVWKDWZHUHXVHG
DWDJROGSURMHFWUHYLHZHGE\WKHDXWKRUDUHVKRZQLQ7DEOH
7KH QXPHULF FRGHV DQG WKH VSHFLDO YDOXHV PDWFKLQJ WKHP
VKRXOGEHFOHDUO\GRFXPHQWHGDQGDOOSHUVRQQHOLQVWUXFWHG
LQWKHLUXVH7KHDXWKRUKDVDXGLWHGDGLDPRQGPLQHZKHUH
5HVHUYHVZHUHLQFRUUHFWO\RYHUHVWLPDWHGEHFDXVHWKHUHZHUH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
49
TABLE 1
Example of numeric codes replacing special values in the
database of the gold project, Australia.
Special value
Numeric code
Explanation
<0.1
-333.1
<0.05
-333.05
TR0.1
-555.1
-9990
NA
-9999
LS
-9991
Lost sample
>1000
-881 000
CONCLUSIONS
,Q FRQFOXVLRQ LW LV LPSRUWDQW WR QRWH WKDW WKH UHODWLRQDO
GDWDEDVHVWUXFWXUHDQGSUDFWLFDOUHFRPPHQGDWLRQVGLVFXVVHG
LQ WKLV SDSHU UHSUHVHQW DQ LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI UHODWLRQDO
GDWDEDVHWKHRU\EDODQFHGZLWKWKHSUDFWLFDOQHHGVRIPLQLQJ
DQG H[SORUDWLRQ JHRORJ\ ,Q RWKHU ZRUGV WKH SURSRVHG
DSSURDFK UHSUHVHQWV D FRPSURPLVH EHWZHHQ VWULFW GDWDEDVH
QRUPDOLVDWLRQSUDFWLFHVDQGSUDFWLFDOLPSOHPHQWDWLRQ,WKDV
EHHQVKRZQWKDWWKHHIIHFWLYHQHVVRIDUHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVHFDQ
EHGRZQJUDGHGE\DQLPSURSHUO\GHVLJQHGGDWDEDVHVWUXFWXUH
DQG IXUWKHU PDUUHG E\ LQHIIHFWLYH GDWDEDVH DGPLQLVWUDWLRQ
SUDFWLFHV LQ SDUWLFXODU LQHIFLHQW PRQLWRULQJ RI WKH GDWD
RZVLQWKHHOGDQGRIFH$VVXPLQJ\RXKDYHLQVWDOOHGWKH
FRUUHFW GDWDEDVH VWUXFWXUH IRU \RXU PLQHUDO FRPPRGLW\ WKH
TXDOLW\RI\RXUUHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVHWKHQEHFRPHVDUHHFWLRQ
RI\RXUGDWDPDQDJHPHQWSUDFWLFHVDQGGDWDRZV
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUWKDQNV*%URDGEHQWDQG&:HOWRQIRUUHYLHZLQJ
WKH HDUOLHU YHUVLRQ RI WKH PDQXVFULSW DQG SURYLGLQJ PDQ\
XVHIXO FRPPHQWV &ULWLFDO UHYLHZ RI WKH PDQXVFULSW E\
YROXQWHHU $XV,00 PHPEHU UHYLHZHU &UDLJ %HQWOH\ LV
JUDWHIXOO\DFNQRZOHGJHG
Design Principles of Relational Databases and Management of Data Flow for Resource Estimation| M Z Abzalov
REFERENCES
$E]DORY 0 = 4XDOLW\ FRQWURO RI DVVD\ GDWD D UHYLHZ RI
SURFHGXUHV IRU PHDVXULQJ DQG PRQLWRULQJ SUHFLVLRQ DQG
DFFXUDF\Exploration and Mining Geology
$E]DORY0=8VHRIWZLQQHGGULOOKROHVLQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQExploration and Mining Geology
$E]DORY 0 = 0HQ]HO % :ODVHQNR 0 DQG 3KLOOLSV -
2SWLPLVDWLRQRIWKHJUDGHFRQWUROSURFHGXUHVDWWKH<DQGLLURQ
RUHPLQH:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLDJHRVWDWLVWLFDODSSURDFKTransactions
RIWKH,QVWLWXWLRQVRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\$SSOLHG(DUWK6FLHQFH
%%
$E]DORY0=DQG3LFNHUV1,QWHJUDWLQJGLIIHUHQWJHQHUDWLRQV
RI DVVD\V XVLQJ PXOWLYDULDWH JHRVWDWLVWLFV D FDVH VWXG\
7UDQVDFWLRQV RI WKH ,QVWLWXWLRQV RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\ $SSOLHG
Earth Science%%
51
HOME
INTRODUCTION
7KHHYDOXDWLRQRIDQHZ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHLVFULWLFDOO\GHSHQGHQW
RQDFFXUDWHDQGUHOLDEOHDVVD\GDWD7KHLQWHJULW\RIWKLVGDWD
LVLQWXUQKLJKO\UHOLDQWRQWKHTXDOLW\RIVDPSOLQJDQGDVVD\
SURFHGXUHV DGRSWHG LQ WKH HDUO\ JHRORJLFDO UHFRQQDLVVDQFH
ZRUN WKURXJK WR WKH GHWDLOHG 5HVRXUFH HYDOXDWLRQ VWDJHV
7KH H[SORUDWLRQ JHRORJLVW ZKR FRPPRQO\ LV UHVSRQVLEOH IRU
VXSHUYLVLQJWKHDVVD\LQJRIJHRORJLFDOVDPSOHVSDUWLFXODUO\LQ
WKH HDUO\ VWDJHV RI H[SORUDWLRQ LV RIWHQ XQGHUUHVRXUFHG DQG
LQH[SHULHQFHG LQ GHDOLQJ ZLWK WKH YDULRXV LVVXHV UHTXLUHG WR
VHWXSDULJRURXVVDPSOLQJDQGDVVD\SURJUDP7UDLQLQJDQG
VXSSRUW VHUYLFHV DUH WKHUHIRUH NH\ IDFWRUV LQ DVVLVWLQJ HOG
EDVHGVWDIIWRHVWDEOLVKWKHQHFHVVDU\SURWRFROV
7KHUH DUH WKUHH HOHPHQWV WKDW WRJHWKHU IRUP WKH SODWIRUP
IURP ZKLFK D VDWLVIDFWRU\ DVVD\ DQG VDPSOLQJ V\VWHP FDQ
EHEXLOWPDLQWDLQLQJWKHLQWHJULW\RIWKHVDPSOHLQWKHHOG
VHOHFWLQJ WKH DSSURSULDWH DVVD\ PHWKRG DQG PRQLWRULQJ WKH
SHUIRUPDQFHRIWKHHQWLUHVDPSOLQJDQGDVVD\LQJSURFHVVRQ
D FRQWLQXRXV EDVLV 7KHVH LVVXHV ZLOO EH GLVFXVVHG LQ GHWDLO
DQGWKHLUUHOHYDQFHWRWKHQHZ5HVRXUFHGHYHORSPHQWSURFHVV
KLJKOLJKWHG $GGLWLRQDO GLVFXVVLRQ RI WKH LVVXHV DVVRFLDWHG
ZLWK VDPSOH SUHSDUDWLRQ DVVD\LQJ DQG TXDOLW\ FRQWURO PD\
EHIRXQGLQ3LWDUG-DPHVDQG5DGIRUG0DQLQL
DQG5RGHQ5RGHQ6KDZDQG/RQJ
FRUHVDPSOHVDUHFRQVLGHUHGXQGHUWKLVKHDGLQJ7KHLQKHUHQW
DVVXPSWLRQWKDWXQGHUOLHVWKHWDNLQJRIDOOWKHVHVDPSOHVDQG
WKH VXEVHTXHQW GDWD WKDW UHWXUQV DIWHU WKHLU DQDO\VLV LV WKDW
WKHVHVDPSOHVDUHHLWKHUGLUHFWO\RULQGLUHFWO\UHSUHVHQWDWLYH
RIWKHDUHDIURPZKLFKWKH\DUHWDNHQ8QIRUWXQDWHO\PDQ\
RIWKHSURFHVVHVDGRSWHGIRUWKHWDNLQJRIWKHVHVDPSOHVDQG
WKHLULQLWLDOSUHSDUDWLRQGHVWUR\VRUPDUVWKLVUHSUHVHQWLYLW\
7KHNH\PHVVDJHLQHOGVDPSOLQJLVWKDWHUURUVLQWURGXFHG
DW WKLV VWDJH RI WKH GDWD JHQHUDWLRQ SURFHVV DUH LQ PRVW
LQVWDQFHV WKH ODUJHVW HUURUV LQWURGXFHG LQWR D SURJUDP DQG
VXFKHUURUVFDQQRWEHUHFWLHGLQWKHVXEVHTXHQWSURFHVVLQJ
RIWKHVDPSOH(UURUVFUHDWHGLQWKHHOGFDQRQO\EHUHFWLHG
LQWKHHOG
7ZRRIWKHPRVWFRPPRQSUREOHPVWKDWGLUHFWO\DIIHFWHOG
VDPSOHLQWHJULW\DUH
1. Loss of sampleLWLVTXLWHFRPPRQWRVHHDPDMRUORVVRI
VDPSOH GHSHQGLQJ RQ WKH VDPSOLQJ PHWKRGRORJ\ EHLQJ
HPSOR\HG /RVVHV FDQ RFFXU EHFDXVH RI GXVW KLJK ZDWHU
RZV LQ GULOOLQJ KHDYLHU PDWHULDO UHPDLQLQJ GRZQKROH
RU ODJJLQJ EHKLQG GDPS PDWHULDO FRDWLQJ VDPSOLQJ
HTXLSPHQWJHRORJLFDOIHDWXUHVLQWKHVDPSOHDUHDFDXVLQJ
SRRUUHWXUQRUVLPSO\EHFDXVHRISRRUKDQGOLQJSUDFWLFHV
LQWKHHOG$OOORVVHVDIIHFWWKHLQWHJULW\RIWKHVDPSOHEXWLW
LVWKRVHORVVHVZKHUHRQHSDUWLFXODUSKDVHLVSUHIHUHQWLDOO\
ORVWWKDWZLOOLPSDFWWRWKHODUJHVWH[WHQWHJFRDUVHQH
KHDY\OLJKWRQWKHSURSHUWLHVRIWKHVDPSOH
7ZRPDLQSULQFLSOHVVKRXOGEHDGRSWHGZKHQFRQIURQWLQJ
VDPSOH ORVVHV PLQLPLVH WKH ORVVHV ZKHUH SRVVLEOH
WKURXJK JRRG GULOOLQJ DQG KDQGOLQJ SUDFWLFHV DQG WKHQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
53
TXDQWLI\RUFKDUDFWHULVHWKHQDWXUHDQGH[WHQWRIWKHORVV
8VLQJWKLVDSSURDFKLQIRUPDWLRQLVWKHQJHQHUDWHGRQWKH
VLJQLFDQFHRIWKHORVVDQGWKHGHFLVLRQWRGRQRWKLQJRU
SRVVLEO\FKDQJHWKHVDPSOLQJPHWKRGFDQWKHQEHPDGH
ZLWKFRQGHQFH(DUO\LGHQWLFDWLRQRIDQ\SUREOHPVDQG
TXDQWLFDWLRQRIWKHH[WHQWRIWKHLVVXHJLYHVWKHJHRORJLVW
FRQGHQFHLQWKHUHOLDELOLW\RIWKHGDWDFROOHFWHG
Poor sample splittingIUHTXHQWO\DODUJHVDPSOHJHQHUDWHG
LQWKHHOGQHHGVWREHVXEVDPSOHGSULRUWRGLVSDWFKWRD
ODERUDWRU\ IRU WHVW ZRUN RU DQDO\VLV 0HWKRGV DYDLODEOH
WRVXEVDPSOHERWKGU\DQGZHWVDPSOHVLQFOXGHEXWDUH
QRWOLPLWHGWRVWDWLFFRQHURWDU\FRQHURWDU\SRUWULIH
VSOLWWHUVSHDULQJDQGJUDEVDPSOLQJ
6HOHFWLQJ WKH PRVW VXLWDEOH PHWKRG IRU REWDLQLQJ D
UHSUHVHQWDWLYH VDPSOH QHHGV WR WDNH LQWR FRQVLGHUDWLRQ
LQXHQFHVRQWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHVDPSOHLQFOXGLQJ
6XEVDPSOH VL]H LV WKH VDPSOH VL]H WRR VPDOO WR EH
UHSUHVHQWDWLYHRIWKHSRSXODWLRQ"
/DUJHVDPSOHVWKLVFDQFDXVHSUREOHPVDWWKHODERUDWRU\
VR VRPH FRPSURPLVH ZLWK WKH VDPSOH SUHSDUDWLRQ
SURWRFRO PXVW EH PDGH EDVHG RQ WKH LPSRUWDQFH RI WKH
VDPSOH
:HW RU GU\ VDPSOHV ULIH VSOLWWLQJ LV D UREXVW PHWKRG
IRU GU\ VDPSOHV EXW FDQ EH WLPH FRQVXPLQJ DQG ODERXU
LQWHQVLYHZKHUHDVWKHFRUUHFWURWDU\FRQHVSOLWWHUPD\EH
VXLWDEOHIRUZHWVDPSOHV
&RVWDUHWKHUHVXOWVDGHTXDWHDQGFRVWHIIHFWLYH"6SHDULQJ
RUWXEHVDPSOLQJLVDIDVWSURFHVVDQGDOWKRXJKLWLVODUJHO\
RSHUDWRU GHSHQGDQW IXQGDPHQWDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV LQ WKH
GHVLJQRIWKHPHWKRGFDQPDNHLWDUREXVWSURFHVV
$SSOLFDWLRQIRUWKHQDOSXUSRVHWKHUHVXOWVVKRXOGKDYH
WKH SUHFLVLRQ DQG DFFXUDF\ WR PHHW WKH UHTXLUHPHQWV RI
WKHQDOUHVXOWHJLGHQWLFDWLRQRISRWHQWLDOH[SORUDWLRQ
WDUJHWYHUVXVGHQLWLRQRID5HVRXUFH7KHSUHFLVLRQRIWKH
VDPSOHVSOLWWLQJFDQEHPHDVXUHGE\DQDO\VLQJWKHDVVD\V
IURP PXOWLSOH HOG GXSOLFDWHV IURP VDPSOH LQWHUYDOV
UHSUHVHQWDWLYH RI WKH PDWHULDO W\SHV EHLQJ VXEVDPSOHG
7KLV DQDO\VLV FDQ EH XVHG DV VXSSRUW WR FKDQJH WKH
VDPSOHVSOLWWLQJPHWKRGLIWKHSUHFLVLRQLVXQVDWLVIDFWRU\
RUYDOLGDWHWKHPHWKRGLIWKHSUHFLVLRQLVVDWLVIDFWRU\
1R PDWWHU ZKDW VDPSOLQJ PHWKRG LV DGRSWHG LW LV RI
SULPHLPSRUWDQFHWRKDYHSURFHGXUHVLQSODFHWKDWPRQLWRU
WKHTXDOLW\RIWKHSURFHVVRQDQRQJRLQJEDVLVKLJKOLJKWLQJ
DQ\SRWHQWLDOSUREOHPVDVWKH\DULVH7KHVLPSOHVWDQGEHVW
DSSURDFK LV WKH XVH RI GXSOLFDWH HOG VDPSOHV 7KHVH DUH
VDPSOHVVSOLWIURPWKHEXONLQH[DFWO\WKHVDPHPDQQHUDVWKH
RULJLQDOVDQGVXEPLWWHGWRWKHODERUDWRU\RQDUHJXODUEDVLV
WRPHDVXUHWKHSUHFLVLRQRIWKHHQWLUHVDPSOLQJDQGDVVD\LQJ
SURFHVV7KHLUXVHZLOOEHGHVFULEHGLQPRUHGHWDLOLQDODWHU
VHFWLRQ
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRUHPHPEHUWKDWWKHPDQ\DVSHFWVRIHOG
VDPSOLQJ DQG WKH SUREOHPV DQG LVVXHV WKDW DUH IUHTXHQWO\
HQFRXQWHUHGXVXDOO\UHTXLUHDFRPSURPLVHEHWZHHQVDPSOLQJ
WKHRU\ DQG SUDFWLFDOLWLHV VXFK DV WLPH FRVW DQG DYDLODEOH
ODERXU ([SHULHQFH KDV VKRZQ WKDW VDIHW\ QHW GLDJUDPV
DQG FDOFXODWLRQV EDVHG RQ VDPSOLQJ WKHRU\ LQ RUGHU WR
HVWLPDWH DSSURSULDWH SDUWLFOH VL]H DQG VDPSOH ZHLJKWV IRU
VDPSOH VSOLWV DUH H[FHOOHQW JXLGHV KRZHYHU IUHTXHQWO\
SUDFWLFDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV QHFHVVLWDWH VRPH PRGLFDWLRQV WR
WKHVH WKHRUHWLFDO UHFRPPHQGDWLRQV &RPPRQO\ WKLV FDQ EH
DFKLHYHG ZLWKRXW DQ\ GHWULPHQWDO HIIHFW RQ WKH LQWHJULW\ RI
WKHUHVXOWVEXWWKHLPSRUWDQFHRIDVXLWDEOHSURJUDPRITXDOLW\
WRPRQLWRUWKHSURFHVVFDQQRWEHRYHUVWDWHG
54
7KHYDVWPDMRULW\RIJHRFKHPLFDODVVD\VUHO\RQVRPHW\SH
RIPXOWLDFLGGLJHVWIROORZHGE\,&3RUDWRPLFDGVRUSWLRQ
$$QLVK7KRXJKHIIHFWLYHLQPRVWLQVWDQFHVWKHPDWUL[
RI WKH VDPSOH FDQ DGYHUVHO\ DIIHFW GLJHVWLRQ OHDGLQJ WR
XQGHUVWDWHG FRQFHQWUDWLRQV ,Q SDUWLFXODU FDUH VKRXOG
EH WDNHQ ZLWK KLJK VLOLFD PDWULFHV VDPSOHV FRQWDLQLQJ
FDUERQDFHRXVPDWHULDODQGVDPSOHVFRQWDLQLQJUHIUDFWRU\
FRPSRQHQWV VXFK DV VSLQHOV RU FKURPLWHV $ YDULHW\ RI
GLJHVWVPD\QHHGWREHWULDOOHGLQRUGHUWRYHULI\DUHOLDEOH
PHWKRG
$ VDPSOH VL]H RI DW OHDVW J VKRXOG EH XVHG IRU D
VWDQGDUGDFLGGLJHVWWRJLYHJRRGGHWHFWLRQOLPLWV0DQ\
ODERUDWRULHVKDYHPHWKRGVWKDWXVHORZHUZHLJKWVRU
J EXW WKHVH ZLOO SRWHQWLDOO\ SURGXFH PXFK SRRUHU
UHVXOWVDQGWKHLUXVHVKRXOGEHUHVWULFWHGWRUHFRQQDLVVDQFH
DVVD\LQJ
$VVD\V DW RU QHDU GHWHFWLRQ OLPLW DOPRVW DOZD\V H[KLELW
SRRUSUHFLVLRQ7KHSURFHGXUHVHOHFWHGVKRXOGSUHIHUDEO\
Sampling and Analysis Protocols and Their Role in Mineral Exploration and New Resource Development| S Roden and T Smith
KDYH D GHWHFWLRQ OLPLW WKDW LV RQHWHQWK WKH OHYHO RI WKH
FRPSRQHQW EHLQJ PHDVXUHG 7KH ZLGHU DYDLODELOLW\ RI
,&306KDVRYHUWKHODVWWHQ\HDUVEHHQDJUHDWERRQWR
H[SORUDWLRQ JHRORJLVWV SXVKLQJ GHWHFWLRQ OLPLWV WR ZHOO
EHORZSSPIRUPRVWHOHPHQWVRIJHRFKHPLFDOLQWHUHVW
;5) LV DQ DQDO\WLFDO PHWKRG FDSDEOH RI SURGXFLQJ YHU\
SUHFLVH DVVD\V RYHU ZLGH FRQFHQWUDWLRQ UDQJHV ,W LV
SDUWLFXODUO\ VXLWDEOH IRU PDQ\ RI WKH UHIUDFWRU\W\SH
VDPSOHVDQGDVVXFKLVQRZWKHVWDQGDUGLQGXVWU\PHWKRG
IRU WKH PLQHUDO VDQGV LURQ RUH EDX[LWH DOXPLQD DQG
XUDQLXPLQGXVWULHV
&ODVVLFDO DVVD\ PHWKRGV HJ WLWUDWLRQ JUDYLPHWULF VWLOO
KDYH WKHLU SODFH LQ WKH UDQJH RI PHWKRGV WKDW PD\ EH
UHTXLUHG GXULQJ WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI D QHZ 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH 7KH\ DUH SDUWLFXODUO\ VXLWDEOH IRU EDVH PHWDO
VDPSOHV ZLWK FRQFHQWUDWLRQV DERYH WHQ ZHLJKW SHU FHQW
UHTXLULQJYHU\SUHFLVHGHWHUPLQDWLRQXVXDOO\EHWWHUWKDQ
SHUFHQW
0RVW JROG DVVD\ PHWKRGV DUH YDULDWLRQV RQ HLWKHU UH
DVVD\RUDTXDUHJLDGLJHVW%RWKPHWKRGVKDYHSRWHQWLDO
GLIFXOWLHV EXW LW LV JHQHUDOO\ DFFHSWHG WKDW UH DVVD\ LV
PRUH UREXVW ZLWK DQ DELOLW\ WR KDQGOH D ZLGHU UDQJH RI
VDPSOHW\SHVPRUHHDVLO\7KHUHLVXVXDOO\DFRVWSUHPLXP
IRU UH DVVD\ RYHU DTXD UHJLD DQG WKH LVVXH RI OHDG
GLVSRVDO PD\ UHVXOW LQ WKLV SULFH GLIIHUHQWLDO ZLGHQLQJ
RYHU FRPLQJ \HDUV RU LQ VRPH DUHDV D EDQ RQ LWV XVH
HQWLUHO\1HXWURQDFWLYDWLRQLVDYHU\UHOLDEOHDOWHUQDWLYH
JROG DVVD\ PHWKRG 7XUQDURXQG WLPH XVXDOO\ SURKLELWV
WKLVDVDURXWLQHJHRORJLFDOPHWKRGEXWLWLVDQH[FHOOHQW
FKHFNPHWKRGZLWKIHZNQRZQLQWHUIHUHQFHVRUSUREOHPV
$ YDULHW\ RI RWKHU PRUH VSHFLDOLVHG DQDO\WLFDO PHWKRGV
H[LVWVDQGPD\EHQHHGHGGHSHQGLQJRQWKHHOHPHQWVLQ
TXHVWLRQ DQG WKHLU OLNHO\ FRQFHQWUDWLRQ LQ WKH VDPSOHV
'LVFXVV WKH UHOHYDQFH RI DOO DQDO\WLFDO PHWKRGV ZLWK WKH
ODERUDWRU\DQGLILQGRXEWVHHNLQGHSHQGHQWDGYLFHIURP
H[SHULHQFHG FKHPLVWV ,QWLPDWHO\ OLQNHG WR WKH DVVD\
SURFHVVLVWKHODERUDWRU\VDPSOHSUHSDUDWLRQPHWKRGVWKDW
DUHXVHGWRSUHSDUHDSXOSIURPZKLFKWKHDVVD\SRUWLRQ
LVWDNHQ0XFKRIWKHJXHVVZRUNDQGYDULDELOLW\KDVEHHQ
UHPRYHGIURPWKLVSURFHVVZLWKWKHZLGHVFDOHDGRSWLRQRI
ODUJHVFDOHSXOYHULVLQJPLOOVLQWRWKH$XVWUDOLDQLQGXVWU\
&RPPHUFLDOODERUDWRULHVHQFRXUDJHFXVWRPHUVWRVXEPLW
VDPSOHV RI OHVV WKDQ NJ DSSUR[LPDWHO\ LQ VL]H DQG
VXEVHTXHQWO\ IXOO\ SXOYHULVH WKHVH VDPSOHV SHU FHQW
SDVVLQJPPSULRUWRUHPRYDORIDQDVVD\SRUWLRQ7KLV
ZKROHRIVDPSOH SXOYHULVDWLRQ LV DQ H[FHOOHQW SUDFWLFH
DQGWKHUHLVOLWWOHMXVWLFDWLRQZK\WKLVDSSURDFKVKRXOG
QRWEHDGRSWHGIRUPRVWVDPSOHV
1RWH WKDW ZKLOH WKLV DSSURDFK WR VDPSOH SUHSDUDWLRQ
PD[LPLVHVWKHFKDQFHVRIDKRPRJHQHRXVSXOSDQGWKHUHIRUH
JRRG DVVD\ SUHFLVLRQ JROG DVVD\LQJ DQG LQ SDUWLFXODU RUHV
FRQWDLQLQJ FRDUVH JROG ZLOO JHQHUDOO\ UHTXLUH DGGLWLRQDO
SUHSDUDWLRQWRDFKLHYHDFFHSWDEOHOHYHOVRISUHFLVLRQ7\SLFDOO\
SURFHVVHV WKDW XWLOLVH PXFK ODUJHU DVVD\ SRUWLRQV DQGRU
ZKLFKPLQLPLVHWKHHIIHFWRIFRDUVHJROGSDUWLFOHVHJVFUHHQ
DVVD\V EXON DTXD UHJLD OHDFK F\DQLGH ERWWOH UROOV JUDYLW\
FRQFHQWUDWLRQHWFZLOOQHHGWREHXVHGDIWHUSXOYHULVDWLRQ
EHTXDQWLHGDQGLPSRUWDQWO\LWSURGXFHVWKHGRFXPHQWDWLRQ
QHFHVVDU\WRVXSSRUWWKHGDWDEDVHYDOLGDWLRQSURFHVV
$ FULWLFDO HOHPHQW XQGHUSLQQLQJ DOO WKH TXDOLW\ FRQWURO
PHDVXUHV LV WKH QHHG WR PDLQWDLQ UHJXODU DQG RSHQ
FRPPXQLFDWLRQ ZLWK WKH ODERUDWRU\ UHVSRQVLEOH IRU WKH
DQDO\VLV RI VDPSOHV 2QH RI WKH PRVW FRPPRQ FRPSODLQWV
KHDUG IURP FRPPHUFLDO ODERUDWRU\ PDQDJHUV LV WKDW WKH\
UDUHO\ KHDU IURP JHRORJLVWV VXEPLWWLQJ VDPSOHV DQG ZKHQ
WKH\GRWKHWRSLFLVIUHTXHQWO\DQDO\VLVFRVWVRUWXUQDURXQG
WLPHV 7KH VXLWDELOLW\ RI DVVD\ PHWKRGV DQG DVVD\ TXDOLW\
VKRXOG EH UHJXODU SRLQWV RI GLVFXVVLRQ EHWZHHQ WKH HOG
JHRORJLVW DQG WKH ODERUDWRU\ PDQDJHU $Q\ SUREOHPV RU
SHUFHLYHGSUREOHPVZLWKDQDO\VHVVKRXOGEHLPPHGLDWHO\IHG
EDFN WR WKH ODERUDWRU\ ,Q FRQMXQFWLRQ ZLWK WKH ODERUDWRULHV
RZQLQWHUQDOTXDOLW\FRQWUROSURFHGXUHVDUDQJHRIH[WHUQDO
PHDVXUHV QHHG WR EH LQLWLDWHG WR HQVXUH TXDOLW\ VWDQGDUGV
DUH PHW DQG PDLQWDLQHG RYHU WKH OLIH RI D QHZ 5HVRXUFH
GHYHORSPHQW7KHUHDUHWZRSULPDU\TXDOLW\FRQWUROPHDVXUHV
WKDWVKRXOGEHIXQGDPHQWDOUHTXLUHPHQWVIRUDOOJHRORJLFDO
EDVHGDVVD\SURJUDPV
Check standards
7KHXVHRIFKHFNVWDQGDUGVSURYLGHVWKHRQO\WUXHPHDVXUHRI
DVVD\DFFXUDF\DQGWKXVFKHFNVWDQGDUGVSOD\DFULWLFDOUROH
LQLGHQWLI\LQJDQ\VKRUWRUORQJWHUPDVVD\ELDVHV6WDQGDUGV
VKRXOGEHDVVD\HGDWUHJXODULQWHUYDOVVD\RQHLQZLWKLQ
EDWFKHVRIXQNQRZQVDPSOHV
6WDQGDUGVKDYHDFHUWLHGPHDQYDOXHDQGDQDVVRFLDWHG
FRQGHQFH LQWHUYDO DQG LW LV WKURXJK WKH PRQLWRULQJ RI WKH
YDOXH RI WKH VWDQGDUG ZKHQ DVVD\HG ZLWK WKH XQNQRZQ
VDPSOHVWKDWWKHDFFXUDF\RIWKHDVVD\SURFHVVLVPRQLWRUHG
6XFK PRQLWRULQJ LV EHVW DFKLHYHG YLD WKH XVH RI FRQWURO
FKDUWVVHH([DPSOH:KLOVWFKHFNVWDQGDUGVDUHDYDLODEOH
FRPPHUFLDOO\ D SUHIHUDEOH DSSURDFK IRU SURMHFWV EH\RQG
WKH H[SORUDWLRQ VWDJH LV WR XVH D VWDQGDUG SUHSDUHG IURP
PDWHULDOVIURPWKHRUHERG\EHLQJHYDOXDWHG,WLVFULWLFDOWKDW
WKH PRQLWRULQJ FKHFN VWDQGDUGV KDYH DQ LGHQWLFDO PDWUL[
WR WKH VDPSOHV EHLQJ DVVD\HG VR WKDW ERWK VWDQGDUGV DQG
VDPSOHVUHDFWLQWKHVDPHFKHPLFDOPDQQHU$VDQH[DPSOH
UHIUDFWRU\JROGVWDQGDUGVFDQQRWEHXVHGZLWKR[LGHVDPSOHV
,WLVDOVRQHFHVVDU\IRUWKHVWDQGDUGVWREHJURXQGWRWKHVDPH
SDUWLFOHVL]HDVWKHVDPSOHVEHFDXVHFKHPLFDOUHDFWLRQLVPRUH
FRPSOHWHZLWKQHUSDUWLFOHV
2UHVHOHFWHGIRUFKHFNVWDQGDUGVVKRXOGKDYHHOHPHQWVRI
LQWHUHVW DW OHYHOV EUDFNHWLQJ WKH H[SHFWHG DVVD\ UDQJH 7KLV
PD\ HQWDLO SUHSDULQJ PRUH WKDQ RQH VWDQGDUG IRU D SURMHFW
6XIFLHQWPDWHULDOVIRUWKHOLIHRIWKHSURMHFWLVVHOHFWHGDQG
SUHSDUHG ZLWK WKH VDPH SURWRFRO DV LV XVHG IRU WKH VDPSOH
SUHSDUDWLRQ LH FUXVKLQJ GU\LQJ DQG PLOOLQJ $IWHU PLOOLQJ
WRWKHGHVLUHGSDUWLFOHVL]HVWDQGDUGVVKRXOGEHVWRUHGDWDQ
HOHYDWHGWHPSHUDWXUHWRHQVXUHWKDWWKH\UHPDLQGU\
4XDOLW\ PRQLWRULQJ LV WKH PRVW FULWLFDO DVSHFW RI WKH HQWLUH
VDPSOLQJDQGDVVD\LQJSURFHVV,WSURYLGHVWKHLQWHJULW\FKHFN
RQWKHUHOLDELOLW\RIWKHGDWDDOORZVDFFXUDF\DQGSUHFLVLRQWR
55
SUHIHUDEO\E\GLIIHUHQWDQDO\WLFDOSURFHGXUHV$VVD\WROHUDQFH
LQWHUYDOV DUH DOORFDWHG DIWHU RXWOLHUV IURP WKH UVW URXQG
RI DVVD\ GDWD DUH UHPRYHG ,W LV LPSRUWDQW WR QRWH WKDW WKH
WROHUDQFHLQWHUYDOVVKRXOGEHUHYLHZHGDIWHURUDVVD\V
IURPWKHODERUDWRU\XQGHUWDNLQJWKHVDPSOHDVVD\V
,QGLYLGXDO DVVD\V IRU HDFK VWDQGDUG DUH SORWWHG RQ D WLPH
VHTXHQWLDO EDVLV RQWR VHSDUDWH FKDUWV 6KRUWWHUP SUREOHPV
DUHLGHQWLHGE\DQ\DVVD\O\LQJRXWVLGHRIWKHWZRVWDQGDUG
GHYLDWLRQOLPLWV([SHULHQFHVKRZVWKDWDODUJHSURSRUWLRQRI
WKHVH SUREOHPV FDQ EH UHFWLHG ZLWKRXW UHDVVD\LQJ DV WKH\
UHODWHWRFDOFXODWLRQRUWUDQVFULSWLRQHUURUV
/RQJHUWHUP SUREOHPV FDQ EH LGHQWLHG LQ D YDULHW\ RI
ZD\V WKH PRVW FRPPRQ RI ZKLFK DUH VLJQLFDQW QXPEHUV
RI SRLQWV WKDW FRQJUHJDWH HLWKHU DERYH RU EHORZ WKH PHDQ
$FKDQJHLQLQVWUXPHQWFDOLEUDWLRQLVDSUREOHPWKDWFDQEH
GHWHFWHGLQWKLVPDQQHU
56
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRHQVXUHWKDWWKHVHGXSOLFDWHVDUHJHQXLQH
HOGGXSOLFDWHVEHLQJDVHFRQGSRUWLRQRIGULOOFKLSVWDNHQ
IURPWKHEXONDQGWKHQSUHSDUHGDQGDVVD\HGLQH[DFWO\
WKHVDPHPDQQHUDVWKHRULJLQDOSRUWLRQ,QWKLVZD\WKH
YDULDELOLW\LQWKHHQWLUHSURFHVVLVPHDVXUHG/DERUDWRULHV
IUHTXHQWO\WDNHDVHFRQGSRUWLRQRIQHO\JURXQGSXOSD
GXSOLFDWHVDPSOHDVVD\IURPZKLFKWKHYDULDELOLW\LQWKH
DVVD\SURFHVVRQO\FDQEHPHDVXUHG
,W LV FRPPRQ SUDFWLFH ZKHQ GULOOLQJ GLDPRQG FRUH WR
VSOLWWKHFRUHDQGUHWDLQKDOIDVDJHRORJLFDOUHFRUG,IWKH
UHPDLQLQJ KDOI LV WRWDOO\ SXOYHULVHG WKH HOG GXSOLFDWH
DQGDVVD\GXSOLFDWHEHFRPHRQHDQGWKHVDPH
,QUHFRQQDLVVDQFHH[SORUDWLRQWKHHOGGXSOLFDWHVVKRXOG
EH WDNHQ IURP WKH PLQHUDOLVHG DUHDV UDWKHU WKDQ WDNLQJ
GXSOLFDWHVDWD[HGUDWHRIVD\RQHLQ,QWKLVZD\WKH
SUHFLVLRQ LQIRUPDWLRQ JHQHUDWHG LV UHOHYDQW WR PDWHULDO
FDUU\LQJJUDGHVRISRWHQWLDOHFRQRPLFLQWHUHVWUDWKHUWKDQ
PDWHULDOPRVWO\DWRUEHORZGHWHFWLRQOLPLWV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
Control samples
$ EXON VDPSOH SRVVLEO\ DV GULOO FKLSV EOHQGHG IURP D
QXPEHU RI LQWHUYDOV RI VLPLODU JUDGH DQG JHRORJLFDO QDWXUH
7KLV PDWHULDO LV WKHQ VXEVDPSOHG DQG VXEPLWWHG WR WKH
ODERUDWRU\RQDUHJXODUEDVLVPXFKOLNHGXSOLFDWHVRUFKHFN
VWDQGDUGV 7KH PDWHULDO HVVHQWLDOO\ EHFRPHV VHOIFHUWLI\LQJ
DV DQ KLVWRULFDO UHFRUG LV EXLOW XS RQ LWV JUDGH )OXFWXDWLRQV
IURPWKLVJUDGHFDQWKHQEHXVHGDVDQLQGLFDWRURISRVVLEOH
ODERUDWRU\DVVD\ SUREOHPV %H DZDUH WKDW DQ\ SUREOHPV
ZLWKLQ WKH ODERUDWRU\ ZLOO DOVR EH UHHFWHG LQ WKH JUDGH RI
WKHFRQWUROVRWKDWORQJWHUPSUREOHPVPD\EHLQVHQVLWLYHWR
GHWHFWLRQ
Blank samples
6LPLODU WR FRQWUROV LQ WKHLU XVH H[FHSW WKDW WKH PDWHULDO KDV
EHHQ HVWDEOLVKHG DV EDUUHQ E\ SUHYLRXV DQDO\VLV 7\SLFDOO\
WKLV ZRXOG EH IURP WKH VDPH SURVSHFW EXW O\LQJ RXWVLGH
WKH PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQH 7KHVH W\SHV RI VDPSOHV FDQ VHUYH
WZR SXUSRVHV WR EURDGO\ UHHFW WKH K\JLHQH ZLWKLQ WKH
ODERUDWRU\SDUWLFXODUO\ZLWKVDPSOHSUHSDUDWLRQHTXLSPHQW
DQGVHFRQGO\WRDFWGHOLEHUDWHO\DVDZDVKDIWHUNQRZQDUHDV
RIKLJKJUDGHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
Replicate assays
7KHVH DUH WZR SRUWLRQV RI WKH VDPH VDPSOH DVVD\HG DW WKH
VDPH WLPH WKDW DUH XQGHUWDNHQ DW D IUHTXHQF\ RI RQH LQ
7KH DVVD\ GDWD IURP WKHVH UHSOLFDWHV LV XVHG WR PRQLWRU WKH
DVVD\HUURUVRWKDWUHPHGLDODFWLRQFDQEHLPSOHPHQWHGLIWKH
HUURULVKLJK
Interlaboratory comparisons
$V D IXUWKHU FKHFN RQ DVVD\ DFFXUDF\ D FHUWDLQ SRUWLRQ RI
VDPSOHVPD\EHURXWLQHO\VXEPLWWHGIRUDVVD\DWDQDOWHUQDWH
ODERUDWRU\SRVVLEO\XVLQJDGLIIHUHQWDQDO\WLFDOPHWKRG7KLV
DSSURDFKFDQDOVREHXVHGRQVSHFLDOEDWFKHVRIVDPSOHVVD\
IURPDQHZ5HVRXUFHRUZKHQXVLQJDODERUDWRU\IRUWKHUVW
WLPH 5HPHPEHU XQOHVV FKHFN VWDQGDUGV DUH XVHG WKHUH LV
QRJXDUDQWHHWKDWHLWKHUODERUDWRU\LVSURGXFLQJDQDFFXUDWH
UHVXOW
:LWK DQ\ RI WKH TXDOLW\ FRQWURO PHDVXUHV PHQWLRQHG
DERYH LW LV FULWLFDO WR FROOHFW WKH GDWD DQG UHYLHZ LW RQ D
UHJXODUEDVLV
4XDOLW\GDWDLVQRWMXVWIRUKLVWRULFDOUHFRUGVLWVKRXOGDOVR
EHXVHGWRPRQLWRUGD\WRGD\ODERUDWRU\SHUIRUPDQFH
Accuracy
$FFXUDF\LVWKHGLIIHUHQFHEHWZHHQDQDVVD\YDOXHREWDLQHG
DQG WKH WUXH DVVD\ YDOXH IRU WKH VDPSOH $ FKHFN VWDQGDUG
WUXH YDOXH LV WKH PHDQ YDOXH GHWHUPLQHG LQ D FHUWLFDWLRQ
Sampling and Analysis Protocols and Their Role in Mineral Exploration and New Resource Development| S Roden and T Smith
SD =
(X - x)
n
LVWKHPHDQ
x
LVDQLQGLYLGXDOUHVXOW
n
LVWKHQXPEHURIUHVXOWV
7KHDFFXUDF\LVWKHQGHWHUPLQHGDVWKHOHYHORIELDVEHWZHHQ
WKHPHDVXUHGYDOXHDQGWKHH[SHFWHGYDOXH(9
ACCURACY =
ZKHUH
;
Precision
EV - X
* 100
EV
)LJXUHLVDQH[DPSOHRIDVHULHVRIFRQWUROVWDQGDUGDVVD\V
SORWWHG VHTXHQWLDOO\ RQ D FRQWURO FKDUW 7KH DVVD\ YDOXHV
FOXVWHU DURXQG WKH PHDQ ZLWKLQ WZR VWDQGDUG GHYLDWLRQV
DQGLOOXVWUDWHJRRGDFFXUDF\DQGSUHFLVLRQ
57
TABLE 1
Field duplicate assays.
)URP WKLV H[DPSOH WKH WRWDO HUURU LV H[FHVVLYH DQG WKH
SULQFLSDO FRQWULEXWRU LV WKH HOG GXSOLFDWH FRPSRQHQW 7KH
HUURUFDQEHUHGXFHGE\LQFUHDVLQJWKHVDPSOHPDVVDQGRU
UHGXFLQJWKHSDUWLFOHVL]HZKHQWKHVDPSOHLQFUHPHQWIRUWKH
HOGGXSOLFDWHLVWDNHQ$QDFFHSWDEOHWRWDOVDPSOLQJVDPSOH
SUHSDUDWLRQDQGDVVD\HUURUZLOOEHGLIIHUHQWIRUHDFKHOHPHQW
DQGVDPSOHW\SH)RUJROGVDPSOHVSDUWLFXODUO\ORZJUDGH
HUURUV RI WKH PDJQLWXGH JLYHQ LQ WKH H[DPSOH ZRXOG EH
DFFHSWDEOH)RUFRDODQGLURQRUHVDPSOHVWRWDOHUURUVLQWKH
RUGHURIYHSHUFHQWVKRXOGEHWDUJHWHG
EXAMPLES
Example 1 reconnaissance exploration for copper
7KLV H[DPSOH FRQFHUQV D UHJLRQDO H[SORUDWLRQ SURJUDP
ZKHUHE\DQDLUFRUHULJZDVEHLQJXVHGWRREWDLQVDPSOHVRI
EDVHPHQWURFNIRUJHRFKHPLFDODQDO\VLVRQDZLGHO\VSDFHG
JULG SDWWHUQ 7KH GDWD JHQHUDWHG IURP WKH SURJUDP ZDV WR
DVVLVW LQ LGHQWLI\LQJ SRVVLEOH WDUJHWV IRU PRUH GHWDLOHG
GULOOLQJ DQG H[SORUDWLRQ 7KH XVH RI HOG GXSOLFDWHV ZDV
UHFRPPHQGHG DIWHU D VLWH YLVLW WR LQVSHFW GULOOLQJ DQG
VDPSOLQJRSHUDWLRQVGXHWRWKHFRQWDLQHGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
58
Cu (ppm)
Cu (ppm)
347
77
51
66
89
83
242
337
76
65
41
48
346
388
105
127
624
625
10
1620
2320
11
521
507
12
88
86
Sampling and Analysis Protocols and Their Role in Mineral Exploration and New Resource Development| S Roden and T Smith
GHHPHGWREHRIVLJQLFDQWLQWHUHVWE\WKHJHRORJLVWDERXW
SSPLQWKLVFDVH,QGLYLGXDODVVD\VZRXOGKDYHSURYLGHG
GDWD WKDW LQ WKLV LQVWDQFH LV PLVOHDGLQJ RU FRQIXVLQJ WR WKH
HOG JHRORJLVW 'XSOLFDWH HOG VDPSOHV KDYH VXEVHTXHQWO\
SURYLGHGWKHJHRORJLVWZLWKFULWLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQRQWKHOHYHO
RIDVVD\YDULDELOLW\DQGKDYHWKHUHIRUHPDGHLWHDVLHUIRUWKH
JHRORJLVWWRPDNHDQLQIRUPHGGHFLVLRQZKHQLQWHUSUHWLQJDOO
WKHDYDLODEOHLQIRUPDWLRQ
SIO2%
,Q WKLV H[DPSOH WKH VWDQGDUG GDWD ZDV DVVHVVHG DIWHU WKH
DVVD\ FDPSDLJQ KDG EHHQ FRPSOHWHG VR WKDW WKH UHDOLVDWLRQ
DQGUHFWLFDWLRQRIWKHSUREOHPVLQWKHODERUDWRU\ZHUHQRW
59
TABLE 2
Assay data from a reverse circulation interval.
Portion no
Assay
(wt % Cu)
Assay duplicate
(wt % Cu)
Mean %
difference of
assay duplicates
1.51
1.22
21.2
1.51
1.29
15.7
1.28
1.31
2.3
1.31
1.24
5.5
1.36
1.44
2.9
1.48
1.37
7.7
1.34
1.33
0.7
1.42
1.35
5.0
1.17
1.61
31.7
10
1.30
1.29
0.7
Average
1.37
SD
0.103
% RSD
9.3
8.1
(YHQ DW DQ HDUO\ VWDJH VRPH TXDOLW\ PHDVXUHV VXFK DV
UHIHUHQFHVWDQGDUGVGXSOLFDWHVDPSOHVDQGVHFRQGODERUDWRU\
DVVD\FKHFNVVKRXOGEHLPSOHPHQWHGVRWKDWDVVD\DQRPDOLHV
DUHGHWHFWHG/DERUDWRULHVVKRXOGEHQRWLHGZKHQUHIHUHQFH
VWDQGDUGGDWDH[KLELWVDQDEQRUPDOWUHQGRUGXSOLFDWHDVVD\V
GLVDJUHHVRWKDWUHPHGLDODFWLRQVFDQEHLPSOHPHQWHG
6LPSOH SURFHVVHV GR H[LVW WKDW ZLOO LPSURYH DQG PRQLWRU
WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH VDPSOLQJ DQG DVVD\LQJ SURFHGXUHV
7KHVH SURFHVVHV DUH HDV\ DQG FRVWHIIHFWLYH WR LPSOHPHQW
SDUWLFXODUO\LIWKHFRVWVDQGDGGHGFRPSOH[LW\RIUHDVVD\DQG
GDWDEDVHYDOLGDWLRQH[HUFLVHVDUHWDNHQLQWRFRQVLGHUDWLRQ
7KH JUHDWHVW EHQHWV KRZHYHU LQ WKH LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI
LPSURYHGTXDOLW\SURFHGXUHVZLOOEHWKHLQFUHDVHGDZDUHQHVV
DQG FRQGHQFH LQ WKH GDWDEDVH 'HFLVLRQV UHJDUGLQJ WKH
SRWHQWLDO GHYHORSPHQW RI WKH 5HVRXUFH WKDW UHO\ KHDYLO\ RQ
WKHLQWHJULW\RIWKHLQIRUPDWLRQZLWKLQWKHGDWDEDVHFDQQRZ
EHPDGHPRUHTXLFNO\DQGZLWKDJUHDWHUGHJUHHRIVXUHW\
REFERENCES
-DPHV&DQG5DGIRUG14XDOLW\FRQWUROKRZGR\RXNQRZLI
\RXUGDWDDUHULJKW"Australian Institute of Geochemists Bulletin
/RQJ 6 ' 3UDFWLFDO TXDOLW\ FRQWURO SURFHGXUHV LQ PLQHUDO
LQYHQWRU\ HVWLPDWLRQ Exploration and Mining Geology -DQXDU\
DQG$SULO
0DQLQL 7 DQG 5RGHQ 6 7KH 6HSRQ SURMHFW VDPSOLQJ DQG
DVVD\LQJ LQ DQ H[SORUDWLRQ SURMHFW LQ Proceedings Good Project
Wrong Assays: Getting Sample Preparation and Assaying Right
SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
DQG$XVWUDOLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI*HRVFLHQWLVWV0HOERXUQH
CONCLUSIONS
3LWDUG))3LHUUH*\V6DPSOLQJ7KHRU\DQG6DPSOLQJ3UDFWLFH
+HWHURJHQHLW\6DPSOLQJ&RUUHFWQHVVDQG6WDWLVWLFDO3URFHVV&RQWURO
S&5&3UHVV%RFD5DWRQ
60
5RGHQ 6 7KH XVH RI PDWUL[PDWFKHG FKHFN VWDQGDUGV WR
PRQLWRU WKH TXDOLW\ RI DVVD\ GDWD LQ Proceedings Good Project
Wrong Assays: Getting Sample Preparation and Assaying Right
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
DQG$XVWUDOLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI*HRVFLHQWLVWV0HOERXUQH
6KDZ : - 9DOLGDWLRQ RI VDPSOLQJ DQG DVVD\LQJ TXDOLW\ IRU
EDQNDEOHIHDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVLQProceedings The Resource Database
7RZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG
0HWDOOXUJ\,OODZDUUD%UDQFK
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Principal Geologist, Green Exploration and Mining Services Pty Ltd, 2 Delmara Close, The Gap Qld 4061. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
0RVWFRDOSURMHFWVDUHH[SORUHGDQGDVVHVVHGRYHUDQXPEHU
RI\HDUV'DWDLVFROOHFWHGE\GLIIHUHQWJHRORJLVWVIRUGLIIHUHQW
SXUSRVHVDQGZLWKYDU\LQJOHYHOVRIFRPSHWHQF\DQGTXDOLW\
%RUHKROH ORJJLQJ LV JHQHUDOO\ GRQH E\ FRQWUDFWRUV ZKR DUH
XVXDOO\UHFHQWJUDGXDWHVZLWKOLWWOHH[SHULHQFHRIPLQLQJDQG
KRZWKHGDWDLVXVHGDQGQRXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHLPSRUWDQFH
RIWKHSDUDPHWHUVFROOHFWHG2IWHQSURMHFWVDUHSDVVHGRQIURP
RQH FRPSDQ\ WR DQRWKHU DQG GDWD LV WUDQVIHUUHG EHWZHHQ
GLIIHUHQW GDWDEDVHV DQG FRPSXWHU VRIWZDUH 'LIIHUHQW GDWD
DQGXQLWVDUHXVHGEXWQRWUHFRUGHG,QIRUPDWLRQLVRIWHQORVW
PLVXVHGRUSRRUO\VWRUHG3UHSDUDWLRQRID5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWH
QHHGVWRFRQVLGHUWKHDFFXUDF\DQGYDOLGLW\RIWKHDYDLODEOH
GDWDDQGXQUHOLDEOHGDWDVKRXOGQRWEHXVHG,INH\FULWHULDRQ
WKHGHSWKWKLFNQHVVFRQWLQXLW\DQGTXDOLW\RIWKHFRDOVHDPV
DQG WKHLU VWUXFWXUDO VHWWLQJ FDQQRW EH FOHDUO\ SUHVHQWHG LWV
LPSRVVLEOHIRUFRQGHQFHLQWKH5HVRXUFHWREHGHPRQVWUDWHG
7KLVSDSHUSUHVHQWVVRPHSULQFLSOHVDQGVWDQGDUGVWRIROORZ
WRHQKDQFHWKHTXDOLW\RIGDWDFROOHFWHGIRUWKHHYDOXDWLRQRI
FRDOGHSRVLWVDQG5HVRXUFHDQG5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQV
IDXOWLQJ
LQWUXVLRQV
ZDWHULQFOXGLQJVXUIDFHDQGJURXQGZDWHU
JDVLQFOXGLQJIXJLWLYHHPLVVLRQVHWF
TXDOLW\YDULDWLRQVDQGLPSXULWLHV
GHSWKRIZHDWKHULQJ
WKLFNQHVVYDULDWLRQV
RYHUEXUGHQ W\SH VWUHQJWK DQG TXDOLW\ VXFK DV DFLG
GUDLQDJHHWF
URRIDQGRRUFRQGLWLRQV
VSRQWDQHRXVFRPEXVWLRQ
VWUHVVDQGSHUPHDELOLW\
7KHUHDUHYDULRXVZD\VLQZKLFKZHFDQLGHQWLI\DQGUHVROYH
WKHVHLVVXHV*RRGPDSSLQJXVHRIVHLVPLFIRUVWUXFWXUHDQG
WKHXVHRIPDJQHWLFVXUYH\VIRULJQHRXVLQWUXVLYHVLVREYLRXV
,QSDUWLFXODUWKHXVHRI'VHLVPLFVXUYH\VIRUDQ\SURSRVHG
XQGHUJURXQGSURMHFWLVKLJKO\UHFRPPHQGHG7KHVHPD\EH
GLIFXOWWRREWDLQLIWKHUHLVVLJQLFDQWEDVDOWFRYHURUWKHUH
DUHLVVXHVZLWKWRSRJUDSK\RUVXUIDFHDFFHVV+RZHYHUZKHQ
WKH\DUHVXFFHVVIXOWKHLQIRUPDWLRQWKDWFDQEHREWDLQHGDQG
WKHOHYHORIFRQGHQFHSURYLGHGDUHZRUWKWKHWLPHFRVWDQG
HIIRUW
7KHVH UHPRWH PHWKRGV GRQW SURYLGH LQIRUPDWLRQ RQ WKH
DFFXUDWH GHSWK WKLFNQHVV DQG TXDOLW\ RI FRDO VHDPV 'ULOO
KROHV DUH VWLOO UHTXLUHG WR SURYLGH WKHVH SDUDPHWHUV DV
ZHOO DV VDPSOHV WR KHOS GHWHUPLQH JDV ZDWHU TXDOLW\ DQG
JHRWHFKQLFDOSDUDPHWHUV6XIFLHQWGULOOLQJQHHGVWREHGRQH
WRFRQGHQWO\DVVHVVWKHVHFKDUDFWHULVWLFVDVZHOODVLGHQWLI\
DQ\ PDMRU IDXOWV DQG VWUXFWXUHV DQG GHWHUPLQH WKH H[WHQW
DQG LQXHQFH RI DQ\ LJQHRXV ERGLHV RZV G\NHV VLOOV RU
EDWKROLWKV$WWLPHVWKHDSSURDFKLVWRFROOHFWDVPXFKGDWD
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
61
DVSRVVLEOHEXWWKLVGRHVQRWDOZD\VHTXDWHWRKDYLQJEHWWHU
GDWD
7KHIROORZLQJOLVWVXPPDULVHVWKHNH\VRXUFHVRIJHRORJLFDO
GDWD WKDW VKRXOG EH FROOHFWHG IRU D UHOLDEOH &RDO 5HVRXUFH
DVVHVVPHQW
KDYH DQ LPSDFW RQ WKH UHOLDELOLW\ RI WKH GDWD DQG KRZ LW LV
XVHG9DULDWLRQVLQWKHUHOLDELOLW\RIGDWDFDQRIWHQEHUHODWHG
WR ZKHQ RU ZKR ZDV UHVSRQVLEOH IRU WKH JHRORJLFDO GDWD
FROOHFWHGRUWRWKHHTXLSPHQWXVHG
(QVXUH WKH PRVW FULWLFDO DQG XVHIXO GDWD LV FROOHFWHG DV
D SULRULW\ :KHQ WLPH RU UHVRXUFHV DUH OLPLWHG DWWHQWLRQ
QHHGVWRIRFXVRQWKHGDWDWKDWKDVWKHJUHDWHVWLPSDFWRQWKH
5HVRXUFHDVVHVVPHQW
,WLVHVVHQWLDOWKDWHYHU\ERUHKROHWKDWFRQWDLQVFRDOVHDPV
LV JHRSK\VLFDOO\ ORJJHG WR HQDEOH WKH UHOLDEOH HVWLPDWLRQ
DQG YHULFDWLRQ RI &RDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG FKDUDFWHULVWLFV $OO
ERUHKROHV VKRXOG KDYH D PLQLPXP RI GHQVLW\ JDPPD DQG
FDOOLSHU ORJV UXQ 'HHSHU ERUHKROHV VKRXOG KDYH YHUWLFDOLW\
ORJV UXQ 7KH XVH RI VRQLF ORJV LV HVVHQWLDO IRU VWUHQJWK
HVWLPDWLRQVDQGVFDQQHUVSURYLGHVXEVWDQWLDOVWUXFWXUDODQG
JHRWHFKQLFDO LQIRUPDWLRQ ,Q DUHDV ZKHUH FRDO LV LQWUXGHG LW
LVYHU\XVHIXOWRKDYHUHVLVWLYLW\ORJVZKLFKDOVRKHOSLQWKH
DVVHVVPHQWRIZHDWKHULQJGHSWKV:KLOHIXOO\RUSDUWO\FRUHG
ERUHKROHV PD\ SURYLGH VLJQLFDQW LQIRUPDWLRQ LW FDQ DQG
VKRXOGEHHQKDQFHGE\FRPSDULVRQZLWKJHRSK\VLFDOORJV
*HRSK\VLFDO ORJV VKRXOG QRW EH WDNHQ DW IDFH YDOXH
*HRSK\VLFDOORJVLQFRDOERUHKROHVDUHUHFRUGHGXQLYHUVDOO\
EXWQRWDOZD\VFRQVLVWHQWO\7KHUHIRUHLWLVFULWLFDOWRHQVXUH
FDOLEUDWLRQ OWHUV RIIVHWV DQG RWKHU DGMXVWPHQWV KDYH EHHQ
DSSOLHG FRUUHFWO\ DQG WKDW VXIFLHQW YDOLG PHWDGDWD KDV
EHHQ SURYLGHG 7KH PHWKRG XVHG WR GHWHUPLQH WKH FROODU
OHYHO VKRXOG EH FKHFNHG DQG WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI DQ\ GHSWK
FRUUHFWLRQVVKRXOGEHFRQUPHG
*RRGSKRWRVRIWKHERUHKROHOLWKRORJ\DQGWKHVLWHQHHGWR
EH WDNHQ DV WKHVH FDQ EH YHU\ XVHIXO IRU ORFDWLQJ LPSRUWDQW
IHDWXUHV WKDW PD\ KDYH EHHQ UHFRUGHG HUURQHRXVO\ RU IRU
FRQUPLQJWKHUHFRUGVPDGH
2ULJLQDOGDWDVKRXOGEHVWRUHGIRUHDV\UHIHUHQFHLQFOXGLQJ
DQ\KDUGFRS\UHFRUGV:KLOHHUURUVPDGHLQGDWDFROOHFWLRQ
FDQEHFRUUHFWHGODWHUZLWKPRUHUHOLDEOHVRXUFHVWKHLQLWLDO
UHFRUG PD\ FRQWDLQ LPSRUWDQW FOXHV DERXW WKH REVHUYDWLRQV
PDGHRQVLWH,WFDQDOVREHDYHU\LPSRUWDQWUHIHUHQFHZKHQ
GDWDLVLQFRUUHFWO\PRGLHG
'DWD VKRXOG QRW EH PRGLHG WR DQ XQMXVWLDEOH OHYHO RI
DFFXUDF\ $WWHQWLRQ VKRXOG EH JLYHQ WR WKH SUHFLVLRQ RI DQ\
PHDVXUHPHQW WDNHQ DQG DQ\ FKDQJHV WR WKDW YDOXH VKRXOG
QRW H[FHHG WKDW SUHFLVLRQ 7KLV RIWHQ KDSSHQV ZLWK GHSWK
DGMXVWPHQWVPDGHWROLWKRORJ\UHFRUGVWRPDWFKJHRSK\VLFDO
ORJV ,I D FRUH GHSWK RU WKLFNQHVV KDV EHHQ ORJJHG WR WZR
GHFLPDOSODFHVLWVKRXOGQWEHDGMXVWHGWRWKUHH7KHSUHFLVLRQ
RI DQDO\WLFDO UHVXOWV VKRXOG QRW EH LQFUHDVHG ZKHQ GDWD LV
DYHUDJHGRUFRPSRVLWHVDUHFDOFXODWHG
$GMXVWPHQWVWRGDWDVKRXOGEHEDVHGRQFOHDUHYLGHQFHDQG
H[SHULHQFH,WLVHDV\WRPDQLSXODWHDQGPRGLI\GLJLWDOGDWD
EXWWKLVGRHVQRWDOZD\VLPSURYHRUFRUUHFWWKHRULJLQDOGDWD
2WKHUHUURUVFDQEHLQWURGXFHGGXULQJPRGLFDWLRQDQGWKH
FDSDELOLWLHVRIWKHPRGLHUKDYHDQLQXHQFHRQWKHYDOXHRI
WKHLQIRUPDWLRQ7KHQDPHDQGGDWHRIWKHPRGLHUDQGWKH
UHDVRQ IRU PDNLQJ FKDQJHV VKRXOG EH UHFRUGHG DQG VWRUHG
ZLWKWKHPRGLHGGDWD
GHSWKDQGWKLFNQHVVRIHDFKVHDPDQGVLJQLFDQWSDUWLQJV
URRIDQGRRUFKDUDFWHULVWLFV
ODWHUDOOLPLWVRIWKHVHDPEDVHRIZHDWKHULQJVWUXFWXUHHWF
VXIFLHQW DQG VXLWDEOH VDPSOHV RI FRDO XQLWV DQG ZDVWH
OLWKRORJLHV
GHSWKPHDVXUHPHQWVIURPJHRSK\VLFDOORJVLVOHVVWKDQWZR
GHFLPDOSODFHV
8QOHVV WKHUH DUH JRRG 4$4& SURFHVVHV LQ SODFH LW LV
SRVVLEOHWKDWORJVZLOOKDYHLQFRPSOHWHRULQFRUUHFWPHWDGDWD
YDULRXV VFDOHV DQG XQLWV LQFRQVLVWHQW SUHVHQWDWLRQ DQG
XQFHUWDLQ DFFXUDF\ ,I DFFXUDWH VHDP GHSWK DQG WKLFNQHVV
LV UHTXLUHG IURP JHRSK\VLFDO ORJV DQG PRUH TXDQWLWDWLYH
LQIRUPDWLRQ LV DOVR WR EH LQWHUSUHWHG VLJQLFDQW DWWHQWLRQ
QHHGV WR EH JLYHQ WR WKH TXDOLW\ RI GDWD FROOHFWHG 7KH
JHRORJLVWPDNLQJGHSWKDGMXVWPHQWVDQGFRUUHFWLRQVVKRXOG
EH H[SHULHQFHG DW ORJJLQJ ERUHKROHV DQG LQWHUSUHWLQJ
JHRSK\VLFDOORJV
*RRG TXDOLW\ FRQWURO QHHGV WR EH DSSOLHG WR JHRSK\VLFDO
ORJVWRHQVXUHUHOLDEOHGDWDLVREWDLQHG7KLVPHDQVPDNLQJ
VXUH WKH WRROV DUH SURSHUO\ FDOLEUDWHG DQG WKDW WKH\ DUH UXQ
UHJXODUO\LQDWHVWERUHKROHWRFKHFNUHSHDWDELOLW\DQGFRQUP
YDOLGGHSWKPHDVXUHPHQWV%HVWSUDFWLFHUHTXLUHVWKDWJRRG
PHWDGDWDLVUHFRUGHGDQGFKHFNVDUHUXQWRHQVXUHWKHFRUUHFW
VFDOHVOWHUVDQGRWKHUPRGLHUVKDYHEHHQFRUUHFWO\DSSOLHG
HJLIVFDQQHUVKDYHEHHQUHFRUGHGUHODWLYHWRPDJQHWLFQRUWK
RUWUXHQRUWK
Scanners
:KLOHWKHXVHRIDEDVLFJHRSK\VLFDOORJLHGHQVLW\JDPPD
FDOOLSHU LV DOPRVW PDQGDWRU\ DQRWKHU YHU\ XVHIXO WRRO LV
WKH VFDQQHU 7KHUH DUH ERWK DFRXVWLF DQG RSWLFDO YHUVLRQV
DYDLODEOH DQG WKH\ SURYLGH VLJQLFDQW VWUXFWXUDO GDWD IURP
RSHQERUHKROHVDWDIUDFWLRQRIWKHFRVWRIDFRUHGERUHKROHDV
ZHOODVDGGLQJFRQVLGHUDEOHFRPSOHPHQWDU\LQIRUPDWLRQWRD
FRUHGERUHKROH7KHUHLVWKHRSWLRQWRXVHDQRSWLFDOVFDQQHULQ
DQRSHQERUHKROHZKHUHZDWHULVFOHDURUDQDFRXVWLFVFDQQHU
LQ PXGG\ ZDWHU )LJXUH VKRZV EHGGLQJ DQG VWUXFWXUDO
IHDWXUHVLQWHUSUHWHGIURPRSWLFDODQGDFRXVWLFVFDQQHUV
,QIRUPDWLRQ FDQ EH JHQHUDWHG RQ WKH GLS GLUHFWLRQ DQG
ZLGWKRIIDXOWVMRLQWVHWVDQGFOHDWVHWVDVZHOODVRQIUDFWXUH
IUHTXHQFLHVUHODWLYHURFNVWUHQJWKVZHDNRUVWURQJKRUL]RQV
DQG WKH VWUHVV GLUHFWLRQ 6FDQQHU ORJV UHTXLUH WLPH DQG
H[SHULHQFH WR LQWHUSUHW EXW SURYLGH YDOXDEOH LQIRUPDWLRQ
RQWKHJHRORJLFDOVWUXFWXUHDQGJHRWHFKQLFDOFRQGLWLRQVRID
GHSRVLW7KH\VKRXOGEHUXQLQERWKDFWLYHDQGEHQLJQSDUWV
RI WKH GHSRVLW WR JHW D FOHDU LQGLFDWLRQ RI WKH QDWXUH DQG
YDULDELOLW\RIIHDWXUHVDFURVVDQDUHD
7KHVH ORJV QHHG WR EH FRQUPHG DQG VXSSOHPHQWHG E\
JRRGJHRORJLFDOORJJLQJHVSHFLDOO\IRUWKHGHQLWLRQRIURRI
DQGRRUFKDUDFWHULVWLFV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
63
FIG 3 - Use of optical and acoustic scanners to interpret structure and bedding.
ZKHUHPLQLQJHTXLSPHQWZLOOVHSDUDWHFRDOIURPVWRQH
ZKDWZLOOEHDSODQHRIZHDNQHVVLQDQXQGHUJURXQGURRI
VWUDWD
KRZHDVLO\WKHFRDOZLOOEHPLQHG
KRZFRQVLVWHQWWKHH[SHFWHGURRIDQGRRUFRQWDFWVDUH
DFURVVWKHGHSRVLW
ZKDW WKH OLNHO\ LPSDFWV DUH RI FRDO ORVV DQG GLOXWLRQ
GXULQJPLQLQJ
EHGHQHGWRUHHFWWKHOHYHORIFRQGHQFHDQGWKHLPSDFWRQ
SRWHQWLDOH[WUDFWLRQRIWKHGHSRVLW2QFHWKLVLVDFKLHYHGWKH
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHFDQEHFRQVWUDLQHGWRWKLVOLPLW
7KLFNQHVVDQGTXDOLW\YDULDWLRQVDFURVVWKHGHSRVLWQHHGWR
EH DVVHVVHG WR HQVXUH VXLWDEOH UDQJHV FDQ EH DSSOLHG WR WKH
5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWH $Q\ WKLFNQHVV RU TXDOLW\ SDUDPHWHU WKDW
SURYLGHV D OLPLWDWLRQ WR WKH HFRQRPLF H[WUDFWLRQ RI D VHDP
QHHGVWREHLGHQWLHGDQGGHQHGE\ERUHKROHLQWHUVHFWLRQV
:KLOH WKH LQLWLDO SURJUDP RI GULOOLQJ RQ D JULG ZKHUH
SRVVLEOHWRGHQHDGHSRVLWLVZRUWKZKLOHWKHGHQLWLRQRI
DQ\ YDULDEOH RU DQRPDORXV IHDWXUHV UHTXLUHV VSHFLF ZHOO
ORFDWHGDQGGHGLFDWHGERUHKROHVWRFRQUPWKHLUH[WHQWDQG
LPSDFW
H[SORUDWLRQRUVFRSLQJIXOOVHDPVDPSOHVPXOWLSXUSRVH
ERUHKROHV
SUHIHDVLELOLW\ SUHIHUUHG RSWLRQV IRU ZRUNLQJ VHFWLRQV
SURFHVVLQJ RSWLRQV SURGXFW RSWLRQV VRPH VSHFLF
ERUHKROHW\SHV
IHDVLELOLW\ GHWDLOHG FRDO SO\ DQG SDUWLQJ VDPSOHV
SUHIHUUHGPLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJRSWLRQFRQUPDWLRQRI
SURGXFW TXDOLW\ IRFXV RQ PLQLQJ DUHD VSHFLF ERUHKROH
W\SHV
7KH IROORZLQJ UHFRPPHQGDWLRQV DUH PDGH WR HQVXUH WKDW
WKHEHVWYDOXHLVREWDLQHGIURPDQ\FRUHVDPSOHVWDNHQ
65
DQ\SDUWLFXODUIHDWXUH&RGHVIRUVSHFLFLWHPVDUHFRQVLVWHQW
DFURVV DOO HOGV ZKHUHYHU SRVVLEOH &RDO/RJ LV LQWHQGHG IRU
WKHFDSWXUHRIREVHUYDWLRQVUDWKHUWKDQLQWHUSUHWDWLRQVVRWKDW
RQO\SULPDU\GDWDLVFROOHFWHG,WDOORZVIRUWKHHDV\WUDQVIHU
RI GDWD EHWZHHQ FRPSDQLHV DQG UHPRYHV WKH QHHG IRU FRDO
JHRORJLVWV WR UHOHDUQ GLIIHUHQW V\VWHPV DQG FRGHV ZKHQ
FKDQJLQJFRPSDQLHV7KLVUHVXOWVLQIHZHUFRGLQJHUURUVDQG
LPSURYHVWKHFRQVLVWHQF\DQGYDOLGLW\RIGDWDFROOHFWHG7KH
&RDO/RJ0DQXDODQGDOOQHFHVVDU\IRUPVDQGGLFWLRQDULHVDUH
DYDLODEOHIRUGRZQORDGIURP7KH$XV,00ZHEVLWH
$VHFRQGVWDJHGHYHORSPHQWRI&RDO/RJLVWREHFRPSOHWHG
LQ ,W ZLOO EH HQKDQFHG ZLWK VWDQGDUG JUDSKLF ORJJLQJ
V\PEROV DQG SKRWRJUDSKV WR FRPSOLPHQW WKH GHVFULSWLRQV
DQG SURYLGH D VWDQGDUG EHVWSUDFWLFH WUDLQLQJ PDQXDO IRU
JHRORJ\DQGJHRWHFKQLFDOORJJLQJ
66
2EWDLQDVPXFKGDWDDVSRVVLEOHNHHSLQJLQPLQGZKDWLV
UHOHYDQW7KDWLVGRQWFROOHFWGDWDLI LWVQHYHUJRLQJWREH
XVHG0HDVXUHHYHU\WKLQJDVDFFXUDWHO\DVSRVVLEOHEXWEH
UHDOLVWLFDERXWWKHSUHFLVLRQRIDQ\PHDVXUHPHQW
5HFRUGFOHDUREVHUYDWLRQVRIWKHPRVWVLJQLFDQWGULOOLQJ
LQIRUPDWLRQ DQG OLWKRORJ\ IURP HYHU\ ERUHKROH $Q\
ERUHKROHGULOOHGVKRXOGKDYHJRRGLQIRUPDWLRQUHFRUGHG
DERXWWKHFRQGLWLRQVLQFOXGLQJZHDWKHUXQGHUZKLFKLW
ZDVGULOOHGLHZK\ZKHQZKHUHZKRHWF
'DWD DERXW WKH OLWKRORJ\ JHRWHFKQLFDO ZDWHU JDV
GULOOLQJ HTXLSPHQW DQG JHRSK\VLFDO ORJV QHHG WR EH
FOHDUO\UHFRUGHGXVLQJDFRQVLVWHQWVHWRIFRGHVZLWKFOHDU
GHQLWLRQV&RDO/RJSURYLGHVWKLV
7KHOHYHODWZKLFKZDWHULVLQWHUVHFWHGLQHDFKDQGHYHU\
ERUHKROHVKRXOGEHUHFRUGHGDQGWKHRZUDWHHVWLPDWHG
7KLV PD\ YDU\ WKURXJKRXW WKH ERUHKROH DQG VKRXOG EH
UHFRJQLVHGDQGUHFRUGHGE\WKHGULOOHUDQGWKHJHRORJLVW
VWUXFWXUHVHLVPLFVXUYH\VWRFRQUPVWUXFWXUDOOLPLWDWLRQV
IRU XQGHUJURXQG SURMHFWV PDJQHWLF VXUYH\V WR LGHQWLI\
LJQHRXV ERGLHV '70 WR DVVLVW VXUYH\ DQG PRGHOOLQJ
(QVXUH WKH JHRJUDSKLFDO GDWD LV UHFRUGHG DQG FRUUHFWO\
HQWHUHG ZKHQ WKH OHV DUH ORDGHG LQWR D JHRJUDSKLF
LQIRUPDWLRQV\VWHP*,6GDWDVHW
'ULOOZHOOORFDWHGERUHKROHVWRVXLWWKHGDWDUHTXLUHGZLWK
DIRFXVRQJHWWLQJWKHGDWDQRWRQGULOOLQJWKHPHWUHVRU
KDYLQJ VHW GLVWDQFHV EHWZHHQ ERUHKROHV 7KLV UHTXLUHV
KDYLQJVXLWDEO\WUDLQHGDQGUHVRXUFHGJHRORJLVWVWRFROOHFW
WKH YDULHW\ RI GDWD 6XIFLHQW WLPH DQG VXSSRUW PXVW EH
JLYHQWRFROOHFWWKHEHVWTXDOLW\GDWDSRVVLEOH
*LYH FOHDU LQVWUXFWLRQV WR WKH GULOOHU ULJ JHRORJLVW
JHRSK\VLFDO ORJJHU DQG DQ\ RWKHU VLWH SHUVRQQHO RQ WKH
H[SHFWHGFRQGLWLRQVDQGUHVXOWVWKHGDWDWREHFROOHFWHG
DQG WKH VWDQGDUGV UHTXLUHG HJ ERUHKROH FRQGLWLRQ FRUH
UHFRYHU\YHUWLFDOLW\FDOLEUDWLRQSUHVHQWDWLRQHWF
7KHSXUSRVHRIWKHERUHKROHVKRXOGEHFOHDUO\H[SODLQHG
WR WKH GULOOHU DQG WKH ERUHKROH VKRXOG EH GULOOHG LQ DQ
DSSURSULDWHPDQQHU)RUH[DPSOHGRZQKROHVFDQQHUVDUH
LQFUHDVLQJO\XVHGWRSURYLGHVWUXFWXUDODQGJHRWHFKQLFDO
LQIRUPDWLRQ EXW WKHUH LV QR SRLQW LQ UXQQLQJ D VFDQQHU
LQDERUHKROHWKDWKDVEHHQGULOOHGWRRIDVWDQGQRWEHHQ
XVKHGSURSHUO\
WKH TXDOLW\ RI GDWD LV DVVXUHG WR YDOLGDWH WKH ERUHKROH
ORJ DV VRRQ DV SRVVLEOH DIWHU FRPSOHWLQJ WKH ERUHKROH
SUHIHUDEO\E\WKHVDPHJHRORJLVW7KDWLVXVHWKHDYDLODEOH
LQIRUPDWLRQ WR FRQUP WKH OLWKRORJ\ ORJ WKH ORFDWLRQ RI
VWUXFWXUHVDQRPDOLHVDQGRWKHUIHDWXUHV
9DOLGDWHDQGDGMXVWWKHORJZKHUHUHTXLUHGHJWRPDWFK
GHSWKV WR JHRSK\VLFDO ORJV RU WR PRGLI\ FRDO W\SH IURP
DQDO\VLV WR JLYH UHDOLVWLF FRQVLVWHQW MXVWLDEOH DQG
YDOLGDWHGERUHKROHGDWD5HFRUGVDPSOHGHWDLOVWRPDWFK
ZLWK OLWKRORJ\ UHFRUGV (QVXUH DOO UHOHYDQW UHFRUGV DUH
DGMXVWHG
6WRUHDOOGDWDLQFOXGLQJRULJLQDOORJDQGUHFRUGVLQD
XVDEOHIRUPDWWKDWLVKDYHDJRRGGDWDEDVHDQGVWRUDJH
V\VWHP$YRLGGHOHWLQJRURYHUZULWLQJWKHHOGORJDVLW
RIWHQUHFRUGVXVHIXOLQIRUPDWLRQWKDWLVQWWUDQVIHUUHGWR
DGDWDEDVH
:KLOH WKHUH DUH QXPHURXV VRIWZDUH SURJUDPV WKDW DVVLVW
LQ WKH FROOHFWLRQ PRGLFDWLRQ DQG VWRUDJH RI JHRORJLFDO
GDWD LW LV VWLOO FULWLFDO WKDW DOO SHUVRQQHO LQYROYHG LQ WKHVH
SURFHVVHVDUHWUDLQHGDQGWKDWWKHGDWDFROOHFWHGLVUHYLHZHG
E\ D VXLWDEO\ H[SHULHQFHG JHRORJLVW 7KH UHOLDEOH HVWLPDWLRQ
RI &RDO 5HVRXUFHV GHSHQGV RQ WKH DYDLODELOLW\ RI WKH EHVW
SRVVLEOHGDWD)ROORZLQJWKHUHFRPPHQGDWLRQVDQGSULQFLSOHV
RXWOLQHGLQWKLVSDSHUZLOOKHOSWRHQVXUHWKDWWKLVLVSRVVLEOH
67
HOME
1. GAusIMM, Research Scientist, CSIRO Earth Science and Resource Engineering, PO Box 1130, Bentley WA 6102. Email: [email protected]
2. Previously: Project Geologist, Barrick (Australia Pacific) Limited, Perth and Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand.
3. Research Team Leader, CSIRO Earth Science and Resource Engineering, PO Box 1130, Bentley WA 6102. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
3RUWDEOH ;UD\ XRUHVFHQFH S;5) XQLWV DUH WKH PLQLDWXUL
VDWLRQ RI ODUJHU ODERUDWRU\EDVHG XQLWV WKDW KDYH IRUPHG
WKH EDVLV RI PXOWLHOHPHQW DQDO\VHV IRU GHFDGHV ,Q VKRUW
S;5) XQLWV HPLW ;UD\V WKDW H[FLWH DWRPV LQ WKH VDPSOH
FIG 1 - X-rays are emitted from the unit, which excite atoms in the sample being analysed; this results in the displacement of inner shell electrons.
Outer shell electrons fall into the space left by the displaced electron and in doing so emit fluorescence that is characteristic of each element.
The intensity of the energy is proportional to the concentration of the element in the sample.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
69
WKDW LV HTXLYDOHQW WR WKH GLIIHUHQFH LQ HQHUJ\ EHWZHHQ WKH
WZR HOHFWURQ VKHOOV 7KH ZDYHOHQJWK RI WKH HQHUJ\ HPLWWHG
LV ODUJHO\ FKDUDFWHULVWLF RI HDFK HOHPHQW DQG WKH LQWHQVLW\
RI WKH HQHUJ\ LV SURSRUWLRQDO WR WKH FRQFHQWUDWLRQ RI WKH
HOHPHQWLQWKHVDPSOH:KLOHWKHSK\VLFVEHKLQGKRZS;5)
DQDO\VHVDUHSHUIRUPHGUHPDLQVWKHVDPHDVODERUDWRU\EDVHG
PHWKRGVWKHHQWLUHSURFHVVIURPVDPSOHSUHSDUDWLRQDQGWKH
FRQGLWLRQV RI WKH DQDO\VLV WR TXDOLW\ DVVXUDQFH DQG TXDOLW\
FRQWURO 4$4& DUH LQ WKH KDQGV RI WKH SHUVRQ RSHUDWLQJ
WKHXQLW
7KHWLWOHRIWKLVSDSHULVDGDSWHGIURPDQDUWLFOHZULWWHQE\
06WHYHQ6KDFNOH\LQWKH6RFLHW\IRU$PHULFDQ$UFKDHRORJ\
6$$$UFKDHRORJLFDO5HFRUG6KDFNOH\DVLWDVNVDQ
LPSRUWDQWTXHVWLRQLVWKHUHUHOLDELOLW\DQGYDOLGLW\LQSRUWDEOH
;UD\ XRUHVFHQFH VSHFWURPHWU\" ,Q WKDW DUWLFOH 6KDFNOH\
UHSRUWHGWKDWDWDFRQIHUHQFHDJURXSRIDUFKDHRORJLVWVZHUH
KDYLQJDKHDWHGGHEDWHRQSUHFLVHO\WKLVSRLQW,QZULWLQJWKLV
SDSHUZHVHHNWRUDLVHWKHSUROHRIVRPHRIWKHLPSRUWDQW
LVVXHV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKLV PHWKRG RI GDWD FROOHFWLRQ DV ZH
EHOLHYHWKDWWKHZD\6KDFNOH\VXPPHGXSWKHVLWXDWLRQ
IRUDUFKDHRORJLVWVDOVRDSSOLHVWRJHRORJLVWV
LWEHFDPHFOHDUWKDWWKHUHZHUHPDQ\S;5)LQVWUXPHQWV
out there being used for any number of applications by a
GLVFLSOLQHQRWQHFHVVDULO\SUHSDUHGIRULWLQWHOOHFWXDOO\DQG
that there is a connection between the very real and serious
LVVXHRISRRUVFLHQWLFWUDLQLQJDQGVSHFLFDOO\KHUHWKH
potential misuse of this emerging technology
3RUWDEOH ;5) WHFKQRORJ\ PDNHV HYHU\RQH DQ DQDO\WLFDO
FKHPLVWHYHQWKRXJKQRWHYHU\RQHLVWUDLQHGDVRQH
REVIEW OF APPLICATIONS
7KH PLQHUDOV LQGXVWU\ KDV HPEUDFHG WKH XVH RI S;5)
WHFKQRORJ\DVDPHWKRGIRUUDSLGGDWDFROOHFWLRQJHRORJLVWV
DW WKH GULOO ULJ LQ WKH SURGXFWLRQ VHWWLQJ RU LQ WKH HOG DUH
QRZ DEOH WR REWDLQ QHDU UHDOWLPH JHRFKHPLFDO DQDO\VHV
3RWHQWLDO DSSOLFDWLRQV RI S;5) WHFKQRORJ\ LQ WKH PLQHUDOV
LQGXVWU\UDQJHIURPJUDGHFRQWUROWROLWKRJHRFKHPLVWU\DQG
JHRPHWDOOXUJ\ WR VRLO VDPSOLQJ 'HVSLWH WKLV ZLGHVSUHDG
DSSOLFDWLRQ WR GDWH WKHUH KDYH RQO\ EHHQ D FRXSOH RI FDVH
VWXGLHVSXEOLVKHGLQWKHOLWHUDWXUH*D]OH\ et al
WKRXJK PDQ\ IXUWKHU VWXGLHV DUH DQWLFLSDWHG LQ WKH QHDU
IXWXUHHJ)LVKHU et al/H9DLOODQW et al0HWKRGV
IRU WKH DQDO\VLV RI JHRORJLFDO VDPSOHV ZHUH UVW SUHVHQWHG
E\ 0RUULV DQG H[SDQGHG XSRQ E\ *D]OH\ DQG
*D]OH\ et al
5HVHDUFKHUVLQHOGVVXFKDVVRLOVFLHQFHDUFKDHRORJ\DQG
ELRORJ\ KDYH DOVR EHJXQ WR XVH S;5) H[WHQVLYHO\ 3RUWDEOH
;5) WHFKQRORJ\ KDV EHHQ XVHG WR GHWHUPLQH WKH H[WHQW RI
HQYLURQPHQWDO SROOXWDQWV VXFK DV $V 3E DQG RWKHU KHDY\
PHWDOVLQVRLOVDPSOHV&ODUN et al.DOQLFN\DQG6LQJKYL
.LOEULGH 3RROH DQG +XWFKLQJV &DUU et al
0DUNH\ et al +UNDPS 5DDE DQG 9|ONHO 5DGX
DQG 'LDPRQG -DQJ 3HLQDGR et al 5HFHQW
DGYDQFHVLQDQDO\WLFDOWHFKQLTXHVDQGLVVXHVDVVRFLDWHGZLWK
WKHDQDO\VLVRIVRLOVDPSOHVE\S;5)WHFKQRORJ\DUHGLVFXVVHG
E\.HQQD et alDQG3DUVRQV et al3RUWDEOH;5)
KDVDOVREHHQXVHGWRVFUHHQDLUPRQLWRULQJOWHUVIRUPHWDOV
HJ %HUQLFN DQG &DPSDJQD $UFKDHRORJLVWV KDYH
XVHGS;5)DVDQRQGHVWUXFWLYHPHWKRGWRDQDO\VHDUWHIDFWV
VXFK DV REVLGLDQ JODVV DQG VWRQH REMHFWV WR GHWHUPLQH WKHLU
FRPSRVLWLRQ DQG SRWHQWLDO SURYHQDQFH &UDLJ et al
3KLOOLSVDQG6SHDNPDQ.DWR.DNDLDQG6KLQGR
70
-LD et al1D]DURII3UXIHUDQG'UDNH7\NRW
6KHSSDUG7ULFKHUHDXDQG0LOLFLFK%LRORJLVWVKDYHXVHG
S;5)WRGHWHUPLQH3DQG6LFRQFHQWUDWLRQVLQELRORJLFDOVDPSOHV
UDSLGO\DQGDFFXUDWHO\ZKHUHGLJHVWLRQEDVHGWHFKQLTXHVDUH
RIWHQKD]DUGRXVDQGWLPHFRQVXPLQJDQGSDUWLFXODUO\LQWKH
FDVH RI 6L FDQ VXIIHU IURP ORZ DFFXUDF\ GXH WR LQFRPSOHWH
GLVVROXWLRQ DQG SRWHQWLDO YRODWLOLVDWLRQ 5HLGLQJHU 5DPVH\
DQG+DUWOH\3RUWDEOH;5)WHFKQRORJ\DOVRKDVLQGXVWULDO
DSSOLFDWLRQV LQFOXGLQJ GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH QDWXUH RI DOOR\V DQG
VFUDS PHWDO DV ZHOO DV TXDOLW\ FRQWURO LQ PDQXIDFWXULQJ DQG
WHVWLQJIRUKHDY\PHWDOVLQSDLQW
'LIIHUHQW HOGV WKDW XWLOLVH S;5) WHFKQRORJ\ KDYH
DSSURDFKHGLWIURPGLIIHUHQWSRLQWVRIYLHZWKH\KDYHWHVWHG
DQGYDOLGDWHGDVSHFWVRIS;5)GDWDFROOHFWLRQGHSHQGHQWRQ
WKH UHVHDUFK TXHVWLRQV RU ELDVHV RI WKDW VFLHQFH $OO RI WKLV
LQIRUPDWLRQ VKRXOG EH GUDZQ RQ WR HQVXUH WKDW DOO XVHUV
FROOHFWWKHPRVWUREXVWDQGUHOLDEOHGDWDVHWSRVVLEOH
A Review of the Reliability and Validity of Portable X-Ray Fluorescence Spectrometry (pXRF) Data| M F Gazley and L A Fisher
INSTRUMENTATION
7KHUH DUH D QXPEHU RI NH\ LVVXHV ZLWK UHJDUGV WR
LQVWUXPHQWDWLRQ XVHG IRU S;5) DQDO\VHV WKDW QHHG WR EH
FRQVLGHUHG )LUVW WKH DJH DQG PRGHO RI WKH XQLW PRGHUQ
XQLWV DUH OLNHO\ WR KDYH ODUJHU GHWHFWRUV DQG KHQFH EHWWHU
GHWHFWLRQ OLPLWV *HQHUDOO\ PRVW KDUGZDUH LQ WKH SDVW KDV
EHHQRSWLPLVHGIRUKHDY\HOHPHQWVXVLQJ7DDQG:DQRGHV
EXWPRUHUHFHQWDGYDQFHVLQDQRGHWHFKQRORJ\KDYHHQDEOHG
WKH XVH RI 5K DQG $J DQRGHV IRU OLJKWHU HOHPHQW DQDO\VLV
WKLV LV SDUWLFXODUO\ LPSRUWDQW IRU WKH DQDO\VLV RI 0J $O
6L 3 DQG 6 &RQVHTXHQWO\ LW PD\ EH SRVVLEOH WR GHWHUPLQH
HOHPHQW FRQFHQWUDWLRQV ZLWK WKH VDPH GHJUHH RI SUHFLVLRQ
DQG EHWWHU FRXQWLQJ VWDWLVWLFV LQ VKRUWHU DQDO\VLV WLPHV WKDQ
ZLWK ROGHU PRGHOV +RZHYHU WKLV ZLOO YDU\ EHWZHHQ XQLWV
DQGWKHSHUIRUPDQFHRIHDFKXQLWQHHGVWREHWHVWHGSULRUWR
DQDQDO\WLFDOFDPSDLJQDSRVVLEOHSURFHVVIRUWKLVLVRXWOLQHG
LQ WKH $QDO\WLFDO 3URWRFROV VHFWLRQ EHORZ. 7KH DQDO\WLFDO
SURWRFROV WKDW DUH VXLWDEOH IRU RQH XQLW VKRXOG QRW EH
SUHVXPHGWREHVXLWDEOHIRUDQRWKHUXQLWQRUHYHQWKHVDPH
XQLWDWDQRWKHUVLWHRUJHRORJLFDOVHWWLQJ
6HFRQGGLIIHUHQWXQLWVDUHRSWLPLVHGIRUGLIIHUHQWSXUSRVHV
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRGLVFXVVZLWKWKHPDQXIDFWXUHUWKHQDWXUHRI
WKHFDOLEUDWLRQWKDWKDVEHHQVHWXSRQDS;5)XQLWDQGWKH
RSWLPLVDWLRQ RI WKH XQLW WR GHWHFW FHUWDLQ HOHPHQWV HJ UDUH
HDUWKHOHPHQWV)XUWKHUPRUHWRDQDO\VHOLJKWHOHPHQWVLH0J
$O6L6RU3DWKLQZLQGRZHJPSUROHQHOPVKRXOGEH
XVHG,IDXQLWLVWREHXVHGRQO\LQXOWUDPDFURFNVLWFRXOGEH
DSSURSULDWHWRFDOLEUDWHLWIRUXOWUDPDFURFNVEXWLWPD\JLYH
HUURQHRXV PHDVXUHPHQWV LI LW LV WKHQ XVHG WR DQDO\VH IHOVLF
URFNV /LNHZLVH D XQLW WKDW LV RSWLPLVHG IRU XVH RQ VLOLFDWH
URFNV ZLOO OLNHO\ SHUIRUP SRRUO\ RQ URFNV WKDW KDYH D KLJK
VXOGHFRQWHQW:KLOHLWLVSRVVLEOHDQGSRWHQWLDOO\GHVLUDEOH
WR FDOLEUDWH D XQLW WR D JLYHQ URFN W\SH RU PDWUL[ LW FRXOG
KRZHYHUEHGHWULPHQWDOWRWKHTXDOLW\RIUHVXOWVLIVRPHRQH
ZKR ZDV QRW DZDUH RI WKLV FDOLEUDWLRQ VWDUWHG XVLQJ LW RU LW
ZDVXVHGWRDQDO\VHURFNVWKDWGLGQRWPDWFKWKLVFDOLEUDWLRQ
$FFRUGLQJO\LWLVSUREDEO\PRUHDSSURSULDWHWRXVHDJHQHULF
FDOLEUDWLRQDQGLQSRVWSURFHVVLQJDSSO\DFRUUHFWLRQWRHDFK
HOHPHQW RI LQWHUHVW ZLWK WKH FRUUHFWLRQ EDVHG RQ DQDO\VLV
RI VWDQGDUGV WKDW DUH PDWUL[PDWFKHG WR WKH VDPSOHV EHLQJ
DQDO\VHG )RU IXUWKHU GLVFXVVLRQ RQ WKH LPSRUWDQFH RI WKLV
VHHWKH&DOLEUDWLRQDQG5HIHUHQFH0DWHULDOVVHFWLRQEHORZ
7KLUG GLIIHUHQW XQLWV FDQ UHSRUW GLIIHUHQW FRQFHQWUDWLRQV
IRUDJLYHQHOHPHQWHYHQLIWKH\PHDVXUHWKHVDPHVDPSOH
GHVSLWH ERWK LQVWUXPHQWV EHLQJ WKH VDPH PRGHO IURP
WKH VDPH PDQXIDFWXUHU 7KLV HIIHFW LV KLJKOLJKWHG E\ GDWD
SXEOLVKHG E\ *RRGDOH et al ZKLFK LV UHSURGXFHG LQ
)LJXUHDQGLVFRQVLVWHQWZLWKWKHDXWKRUVH[SHULHQFH7KLV
JXUH KLJKOLJKWV WKH VWDUN GLIIHUHQFH LQ SUHFLVLRQ EHWZHHQ
WZRPRGHOVIURPWKHVDPHPDQXIDFWXUHUHPSKDVLVLQJWKH
LPSRUWDQFHRIWUHDWLQJGDWDIURPHDFKS;5)XQLWVHSDUDWHO\
)XUWKHUPRUH WKURXJK WLPH LQVWUXPHQWDO GULIW PD\ RFFXU
DQG D FDOLEUDWLRQ RU FRUUHFWLRQ WKDW ZDV FDOFXODWHG DW D
VSHFLFWLPHPD\QRORQJHUEHVXLWDEOHWKHQH[WPRQWK7KLV
LV DQ LQKHUHQW FKDUDFWHULVWLF RI DQDO\WLFDO HTXLSPHQW DQG
FDQ UHDGLO\ EH FRUUHFWHG IRU LI LW LV NQRZQ WR EH RFFXUULQJ
5RXWLQH DQDO\VLV RI WKH VDPH VWDQGDUGV DV SDUW RI D VHW
DQDO\WLFDO SURWRFRO HJ RQH LQ VDPSOHV LV D VWDQGDUG
DOORZVDQDO\WLFDOGULIWWREHWUDFNHG7KHVHUHSHDWDQDO\VHV
FDQEHSORWWHGDJDLQVWWLPHWRGHWHUPLQHZKHWKHUDQ\ORQJ
WHUP GULIW LV RFFXUULQJ ZLWKLQ WKH XQLW 2QFH GULIW H[FHHGV
D SUHGHWHUPLQHG WKUHVKROG HJ YH SHU FHQW RI PHGLDQ
YDOXHWKHXQLWVKRXOGEHVHUYLFHGDQGDQHZWKUHVKROGVHW
RUFDOLEUDWLRQHVWDEOLVKHG$QH[DPSOHRIWKLVW\SHRIORQJ
WHUP GULIW LV VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH 6KRUWWHUP GULIW KDV DOVR
EHHQUHFRJQLVHGLQUHSHDWHGDQDO\VHVRIWKHVDPHVWDQGDUG
H[DPSOHVRIWKHW\SHVRIGULIWWKDWKDYHEHHQLGHQWLHGE\
WKHDXWKRUVDUHLGHQWLHGLQ)LJXUH,QWKHLGHDOVLWXDWLRQ
WKHUH ZLOO EH QR VKRUWWHUP GULIW VXFK DV VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH
DKRZHYHUWKLVLVUDUHO\WKHFDVH'ULIWWKDWFDQEHUHDGLO\
FRUUHFWHGIRUZLOOEHHLWKHUVWHSZLVHGULIW)LJXUHEZKLFK
FDQ EH FRUUHFWHG ZLWK IUHTXHQW DQDO\VLV RI VWDQGDUGV DQG
WZR VHWV RI FRUUHFWLRQ IDFWRUV FDOFXODWHG IRU WKH GDWD VHW
RU JUDGXDO GULIW )LJXUH F ZKLFK LV KDUGHU WR FRUUHFW
FIG 2 - Sr, Rb and Zr concentrations measured in the same trachyandesite sample from Murry Canyon utilising two different portable X-ray
fluorescence units from the same manufacturer; modified after Goodale et al (2012).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
71
FIG 3 - Long-term drift of a single portable X-ray fluorescence unit over 12 months analysing the same standard each time; 5 analyses were collected at the start of
each analysis session. Note low analyses, which will result when the sample is not sitting well against the unit; low and high outlier analyses suggest using a median
rather than an average concentration to calculate a correction factor is likely to yield better results. Dashed lines indicate rapid changes in measured concentration at
the same date on each panel. (A) Ca, (B) Mn and (C) Cu concentrations of metabasalt standard PLU-1 (expected concentrations presented in Fisher et al, 2014).
IRU DV DQ LQWHUSRODWLRQ LV UHTXLUHG EHWZHHQ VWDQGDUGV RU
PXOWLSOH FRUUHFWLRQ IDFWRUV FDOFXODWHG 6XFK GULIW SDWWHUQV
DUHSRWHQWLDOO\WKHUHVXOWRIDQLQFUHDVHLQPDFKLQHLQWHUQDO
WHPSHUDWXUH DQG FRQVHTXHQWO\ DLU SUHVVXUH ZKLFK FRXOG
UHVXOW LQ SHDN SRVLWLRQV PLJUDWLQJ VR VRPH HOHPHQWV
ZRXOG LQFUHDVLQJO\ RYHUUHSRUW DQG RWKHUV XQGHUUHSRUW
0DQXIDFWXUHUV DUH ZRUNLQJ RQ EXLOGLQJ WKHVH FRUUHFWLRQV
LQWR WKH VRIWZDUH DQG KDUGZDUH HJ E\ LQVWDOODWLRQ RI
EDURPHWHUV DQG WKHUPRPHWHUV VR GULIW PD\ EH OHVV OLNHO\
WR RFFXU LQ QHZ PRGHOV $SSDUHQWO\ UDQGRP XFWXDWLRQ
EHWZHHQWZRYDOXHVKDVEHHQREVHUYHGLQDQXPEHURIS;5)
XQLWVDQGSUHVHQWVLWVHOILQDPDQQHUVXFKDV)LJXUHG7KLV
LV YLUWXDOO\ LPSRVVLEOH WR FRUUHFW IRU DQG WR GHWHFW GXULQJ
72
DQ DQDO\VLV UXQ DQG QHHGV WR EH LGHQWLHG GXULQJ URXWLQH
DQDO\VLVRIVWDQGDUGV,IWKLVLVLGHQWLHGLQVWDQGDUGGDWD
LWVKRXOGEHQRWHGZKHQWKHEDWWHU\LVVZLWFKHGLQWKHXQLW
DQGZKHQHYHUWKHXQLWLVUHVWDQGDUGLVHGEXWLIWKLVIDLOVWR
[WKHLVVXHWKHXQLWVKRXOGEHVHQWIRUVHUYLFLQJ
)RXUWKDQDO\WLFDODQGVDPSOHLQWHUIHUHQFHVQHHGWRDOVREH
FRQVLGHUHG :KLOH WKH HQHUJ\ HPLVVLRQ OLQHV RI WKH HPLWWHG
HQHUJ\DUHODUJHO\FKDUDFWHULVWLFRIDJLYHQHOHPHQWWKLVLV
QRWDOZD\VWKHFDVHDQGWKHUHDUHFHUWDLQSDLUVRIHOHPHQWVWKDW
KDYHSHDNVWKDWRYHUODSHDFKRWKHU7KLVFDQEHSUREOHPDWLF
IRUHOHPHQWVVXFKDV:$V3E=QDQG$X%DDQG9)HDQG
&R DQG UDUHHDUWK HOHPHQWV $Q H[DPSOH RI WKH VLPLODULWLHV
EHWZHHQ WZR HOHPHQWDO OLQHV LV VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH IRU $X
A Review of the Reliability and Validity of Portable X-Ray Fluorescence Spectrometry (pXRF) Data| M F Gazley and L A Fisher
FIG 4 - Four type-examples of short-term analytical drift from real portable X-ray fluorescence (pXRF) data. Data collected in a single analysis session with repeated
analyses of the same standard at a constant temperature. These data show the types of analytical drift that can occur in pXRF data and need to be corrected for by
frequent, and appropriate, standards and calculation of correction factors. (A) Ideal data; (B) a step change during analysis, potentially caused by the sample moving
or a step change in the internal calibration of the unit; (C) gradual drift, potentially occurs soon after start-up of the unit before it is warmed up; and (D) random
fluctuation between two values.
DQG:,IWKHGHWHFWRULQWKHS;5)XQLWGRHVQRWKDYHVXIFLHQW
UHVROXWLRQWRGHWHUPLQHWKHGLIIHUHQFHEHWZHHQWKHVHOLQHVRU
WKHVRIWZDUHZLWKLQWKHXQLWLVXQDEOHWRGHFRQYROYHWKHSHDNV
VXFFHVVIXOO\DIDOVHFRQFHQWUDWLRQIRU$XZLOOEHGHWHUPLQHG
ZKHQ:LVSUHVHQW7KLVSURFHVVFDQEHDLGHGE\WKHXVHRI
RWKHU OLQHV WR LGHQWLI\ HOHPHQWV VXFK DV XVLQJ ERWK WKH 01
DQG02OLQHVDVZHOODVWKH/OLQHVWRLGHQWLI\$XLQVWHDGRI
WKH/OLQHNH9RI$XZKLFKFDQEHLQWHUIHUHGZLWKE\
WKH/OLQHRI:NH9VHH)LJXUH:KLOHKLVWRULFDOO\
XVHUVKDYHKDGQRFKRLFHLQZKLFKSHDNVWKHS;5)XQLWXVHV
WRLGHQWLI\HOHPHQWVWKH\QHHGHGWREHDZDUHRIHOHPHQWVWKDW
FDQ SRWHQWLDOO\ FDXVH LQWHUIHUHQFH HIIHFWV VR WKDW WKH\ FRXOG
GHWHUPLQH ZKHQ FRQFHQWUDWLRQV ZHUH UHDO RU PD\ EH WKH
UHVXOWRILQWHUIHUHQFH,WLVQRZSRVVLEOHWRKDYHDQDGYDQFHG
XVHU FRQJXUDWLRQ LQVWDOOHG RQ VRPH XQLWV WKDW HQDEOH WKH
XVHU WR FKDQJH ZKLFK HPLVVLRQ OLQHV DUH XVHG WR LGHQWLI\
ZKLFKHOHPHQWVKRZHYHUWKLVW\SHRIFRQJXUDWLRQVKRXOG
RQO\EHFDUULHGRXWIROORZLQJGLVFXVVLRQZLWKPDQXIDFWXUHUV
UHJDUGLQJWKHVSHFLFSURMHFWUHTXLUHPHQWV
SAMPLE CONSIDERATIONS
Nature of the material to be analysed
)RUDQ\NLQGRIJHRFKHPLFDODQDO\VLVVDPSOHKHWHURJHQHLW\
QHHGVWREHDGGUHVVHG)RUHOHPHQWVVXFKDVJROGZKLFKFDQ
KDYHDKLJKQXJJHWHIIHFWLWZRXOGEHXQZLVHWRDVVXPHWKDW
DFPORQJSLHFHRIFRUHUHSUHVHQWVDPLQWHUYDO7KHVDPH
DSSOLHV WR S;5) GDWD ZKHUH D VLQJOH VSRWDQDO\VLV WKDW LV
DSSUR[LPDWHO\ PP LQ GLDPHWHU WKH VL]H RI WKH DQDO\VLV
ZLQGRZRIDS;5)XQLWFDQQRWEHDVVXPHGWRUHSUHVHQWP
RI GLDPRQG GULOO FRUH 0DQ\ WUDFH HOHPHQWV DUH SUHVHQW LQ
VLQJOHSKDVHPLQHUDOVHJ$VLQDUVHQRS\ULWHWKXVDVDPSOH
WKDWLVWREHDQDO\VHGE\S;5)PD\QHHGWREHKRPRJHQLVHG
WREHUHSUHVHQWDWLYH7KHVDPHLVWUXHRIDFRDUVHJUDLQHGURFN
VDPSOHZLWKRQO\DVPDOOVXUIDFHDUHDDYDLODEOHWRWKHS;5)
XQLWWRDQDO\VHLWLVSRVVLEOHWRHQGXSDQDO\VLQJVLQJOHSKDVHV
)LJXUH )XUWKHUPRUH WKH GHSWK WKDW WKH ;UD\V IURP WKH
XQLW SHQHWUDWH LQWR WKH VDPSOH LV OLPLWHG ZKLOH YDU\LQJ E\
DWRPLF ZHLJKW RI WKH HOHPHQW LW LV W\SLFDOO\ VXEPLOOLPHWUH
0XOWLSOH DQDO\VHV WKDW DUH WKHQ DYHUDJHG ZLWKLQ D GHQHG
LQWHUYDOPD\KHOSWRLPSURYHUHSUHVHQWLYLW\/H9DLOODQW et al
LILWPD\EHDVVXPHGWKDWWKHPDWHULDOEHLQJVDPSOHGLV
FRQVLVWHQWHJWKHPDWHULDODWWKHVXUIDFHRIFRUHLVWKHVDPHDV
WKDWEHQHDWKWKHSHQHWUDWLRQGHSWKRIWKH;UD\V
,I D VDPSOH FRQWDLQV PRLVWXUH WKLV DWWHQXDWHV ;UD\V DQG
UHVXOWV LQ ORZ FRQFHQWUDWLRQV EHLQJ UHFRUGHG )LJXUH LV
UHSURGXFHGIURP3DUVRQV et alDQGVKRZVWKHHIIHFWRI
DQDO\VLQJVDPSOHVWKDWDUHQRWFRPSOHWHO\GU\)RUH[DPSOH
DPRLVWXUHFRQWHQWRIaSHUFHQWZLOOUHVXOWLQDWWHQXDWLRQRI
PHDVXUHG)H0QDQG$VFRQFHQWUDWLRQVWREHSHUFHQW
RIWKHLUWUXHYDOXHV7KLVVXJJHVWVWKDWVRLOVDPSOLQJRU in situ
DQDO\VHVRIVDPSOHVQHHGVWREHFDUULHGRXWZLWKWKHXWPRVW
FDUH RU FRQFHQWUDWLRQV WKDW DUH VLJQLFDQWO\ ORZHU WKDQ WKH
WUXHYDOXHVZLOOEHGHWHUPLQHGE\S;5)DQDO\VLVLQWKHHOG
,QOLJKWRIWKHGDWDSUHVHQWHGLQ3DUVRQV et alFRQVLGHU
WKH HIIHFW RI D VKRZHU RI UDLQ RU VDPSOLQJ LQ WKH YLFLQLW\ RI
D ZDWHUFRXUVH RQ D VRLOVDPSOLQJ FDPSDLJQ ,W PD\ DOVR EH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
73
FIG 5 - Spectra for Au and W showing the similarities between the two and
how the L1 peak (9.67 keV) of W can interfere on the L1 peak (9.71 keV) of Au.
If the detector in the portable X-ray fluorescence unit does not have sufficient
resolution to determine the difference between these peaks, or the software in
the unit is unable to deconvolve them successfully, then a false concentration
for Au may be determined when W is present.
B
FIG 6 - Sampling precision will be reduced in samples with coarse grain size;
for this reason it is recommended that samples are pulverised prior to analysis
as this ensures the representivity of the analysis.
74
3XOYHULVLQJDVDPSOHDOORZVDQRSSRUWXQLW\IRUWKHLVVXHV
RIUHSUHVHQWLYLW\DQGPRLVWXUHFRQWHQWRXWOLQHGDERYHWREH
DGGUHVVHG'XULQJWKLVSURFHVVWKHVDPSOHFDQEHGULHGWR
HQVXUHWKDWZKHQLWLVDQDO\VHGLWLVIUHHRIPRLVWXUHDQGWKH
UHVXOWLQJDQDO\VHVDUHQRWIDOVHO\ORZ3XOYHULVLQJDVDPSOH
DOVRLQFUHDVHVWKHKRPRJHQHLW\RIDVDPSOHLQFUHDVLQJWKH
SUHFLVLRQ RI D VLQJOH DQDO\VLV RI WKH SXOYHULVHG VDPSOH
)LJXUHVKRZVWKHXQFRUUHFWHGUHVXOWVRIDQDO\VLQJDVLQJOH
SLHFH RI QHJUDLQHG GROHULWH JUDLQ VL]H PP FRUH WKDW
LV DSSUR[LPDWHO\ FP ORQJ RQ ERWK WKH FXUYHG DQG DW
VXUIDFHVWLPHVXVLQJDQ,QQRY;2PHJDS;5)XQLW7KH
VDPHVDPSOHZDVWKHQFUXVKHGWRSHUFHQWSDVVLQJPP
DQG DQDO\VHG ZKLOH FRQWDLQHG LQ D SODVWLF EDJ 7KLV VDPH
A Review of the Reliability and Validity of Portable X-Ray Fluorescence Spectrometry (pXRF) Data| M F Gazley and L A Fisher
FIG 8 - Box and whisker plots for K, Zr, Ca and Sr showing variation in concentrations for the same interval of dolerite core with decreasing particle size; solid
curved core, solid flat core, crushed core (97 per cent passing 2.8 mm) and pulverised core (90 per cent passing 70 m). Note how the interquartile range and
outliers decrease significantly when the flat side of the core is used instead of the curved surface and it decreases further when particle size is also reduced.
The central box is the middle 50 per cent of the data, the mean is the circle and the median the line.
PDWHULDOZDVWKHQSXOYHULVHGWRSHUFHQWSDVVLQJP
DQGDJDLQDQDO\VHGLQWKHVDPHSODVWLFEDJ$WWHQXDWLRQE\
WKHSODVWLFEDJZDVIRXQGWREHLQVLJQLFDQWDQGQRHOHPHQWV
ZHUH DGGHG E\ WKH SUHVHQFH RI WKH SODVWLF DV YHULHG E\
DQDO\VLVRIWKHFRUHDQGD6L22EODQNERWKZLWKDQGZLWKRXW
WKHSODVWLFEHWZHHQWKHS;5)XQLWDQGWKHEODQN,WVKRXOG
KRZHYHUEHQRWHGWKDWSXOYHULVDWLRQLQVWHHODQGWXQJVWHQ
FDUELGH PLOOV FDQ LQWURGXFH FRQWDPLQDWLRQ IURP WKH PLOO
PDWHULDO+LFNVRQDQG-XUDV3XOYHULVLQJWKHVDPSOH
DOVRDOORZVIRUDVXLWDEOHSRZGHUHGVWDQGDUGWREHDQDO\VHG
GXULQJ DQ DQDO\VLV VHVVLRQ WR DOORZ FRUUHFWLRQ RI WKH GDWD
VHH&DOLEUDWLRQDQG5HIHUHQFH0DWHULDOWKLVLVLPSRUWDQW
DVLWLVGLIFXOWWRQGDVXLWDEOHVWDQGDUGPDWHULDOIRUVROLG
URFN DQDO\VLV +RZHYHU LI VROLGURFN VWDQGDUGV DUH QRW
DYDLODEOH SXOYHULVHG PDWHULDO PD\ EH XVHG LQVWHDG HJ /H
9DLOODQW et al
WKH DQDO\VLV RI D 6L22 EODQN LQ WKH VDPSOH FRQWDLQHU DQG
FRUUHFWHGIRUE\VXEWUDFWLQJDQ\DGGHGFRQFHQWUDWLRQVIURP
WKHUDZGDWD,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRNQRZWKHHIIHFWRIWKHVDPSOH
FRQWDLQHUDVSDSHUDQGSODVWLFFDQFRQWDLQHOHPHQWVVXFKDV
&D&X=Q$VDQG=U
&DUH PXVW EH WDNHQ WR HQVXUH WKDW WKH WKLFNQHVV RI WKH
VDPSOHLQWKHFRQWDLQHULVVXIFLHQWWRHQVXUHWKDWWKH;UD\V
HPLWWHG E\ WKH S;5) XQLW GR QRW SHQHWUDWH WKURXJK WKH
HQWLUHVDPSOHDVWKLVZLOOUHVXOWLQIDOVHO\ORZFRQFHQWUDWLRQV
)LJXUH DIWHU 3DUVRQV et al TXDQWLHV WKLV HIIHFW
XVLQJLQFUHDVLQJO\VPDOOYROXPHVRIDSXOYHULVHGVDPSOHLQD
0\ODU;5)FXSIRUDQDO\VLV$VVDPSOHWKLFNQHVVGHFUHDVHV
WKHPHDVXUHGFRQFHQWUDWLRQVGHFUHDVHDVZHOO7KHLQWHQVLW\
RIWKLVHIIHFWLVODUJHO\GHSHQGHQWRQWKHDWRPLFZHLJKWRIWKH
HOHPHQWEHLQJPHDVXUHGZLWKKHDYLHUHOHPHQWVOHVVDIIHFWHG
:KLOHLWLVDGYDQWDJHRXVWRSXOYHULVHDVDPSOHEHIRUHDQDO\VLV
SXOYHULVLQJPHDQVWKDWWKHVDPSOHKDVWREHSUHVHQWHGWRWKH
S;5) XQLW LQ D VDPSOH FRQWDLQHU ,W LV SRVVLEOH WR DQDO\VH
SRZGHUGLUHFWO\EXWWKLVZRXOGLQWURGXFHKLJKSRWHQWLDOIRU
FURVVFRQWDPLQDWLRQRIVDPSOHVZLWKSRZGHUIURPSUHYLRXV
VDPSOHV DGKHULQJ WR WKH XQLWV DQDO\VLV ZLQGRZ 3DSHU
DQG SODVWLF EDJV KDYH EHHQ XVHG LQ D QXPEHU RI VWXGLHV
HJ0RUULV*D]OH\ et al)LVKHU et al
DQGFDQEHHIIHFWLYHGHSHQGLQJRQUHTXLUHGGDWDTXDOLW\)RU
RSWLPXPGDWDTXDOLW\SUHVVHGSRZGHULQ0\ODUFXSVLVWKH
SUHIHUUHGZD\WRSUHVHQWVDPSOHVWRDS;5)XQLW)LJXUH
+RZHYHU WKLV LV QRW DOZD\V SUDFWLFDEOH DQG WKH HIIHFW RI
WKHVDPSOHFRQWDLQHULVEHVWFRUUHFWHGIRUE\HQVXULQJWKDW
WKHFDOLEUDWLRQVWDQGDUGLVDOVRLQDVLPLODUFRQWDLQHU$Q\
FRQWDPLQDQWVZLWKLQWKLVPDWHULDOFDQEHPRQLWRUHGWKURXJK
(DFKS;5)XQLWZLOOEHVOLJKWO\GLIIHUHQWVRDVHULHVRIEDVLF
WHVWVDQGFKHFNVVKRXOGEHUXQZKHQVHWWLQJXSDQHZXQLW
WRHVWDEOLVKDSSURSULDWHVHWWLQJVIRUWKHSODQQHGDQDO\WLFDO
ZRUN$QLQLWLDOFKHFNRIWKHLQVWUXPHQWFDOLEUDWLRQVKRXOG
EHUXQE\DQDO\VLQJVWDQGDUGVZLWKDUDQJHRIFRPSRVLWLRQV
WRHQVXUHWKDWWKHUHDUHQRPDMRUGLVFUHSDQFLHVEHWZHHQWKH
H[SHFWHG DQG PHDVXUHG FRQFHQWUDWLRQV IRU HDFK VWDQGDUG
7R PLQLPLVH PDWUL[ HIIHFWV GXULQJ DQDO\VLV WKH VWDQGDUGV
XVHG IRU FDOLEUDWLQJ D S;5) XQLW VKRXOG EH RI FRPSDUDEOH
FRPSRVLWLRQ WR WKH VDPSOHV WR EH DQDO\VHG LH WKH\ VKRXOG
EH PDWUL[PDWFKHG 7KLV PD\ LQFOXGH VWDQGDUGV WKDW DUH
FUHDWHG LQKRXVH DQG VRXUFHG IURP ORFDO PDWHULDO RU WKRVH
WKDW DUH FRPPHUFLDOO\ DYDLODEOH ,Q DQ HQYLURQPHQW ZKHUH
WZR RU PRUH GLVSDUDWH OLWKRORJLFDO JURXSLQJV DUH OLNHO\ WR
EH DQDO\VHG LW PD\ EH DGYLVDEOH WR VHW XS WZR VHSDUDWH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
75
FIG 9 - Effect of the nature of the material between standard and unit; after Fisher et al (2014). Ac = analysis in container and A = analysis with no container,
such that the analysis of the sample with no container plots along the line at 1. Thicker material, such as paper or plastic bags cause greater attenuation and
may also contain elements that cause additions to the analysis. Attenuation is typically greater for lighter elements.
FIG 10 - Thickness of sample (by weight in Mylar cup) after Parsons et al (2012); showing decreasing analysed value with decreasing sample thickness.
FDOLEUDWLRQV WKDW FDQ EH DSSOLHG UHWURDFWLYHO\ DV SDUW RI D
OLWKRJHRFKHPLFDOVFKHPDDQGGDWDPDQDJHPHQWZRUNRZ
7KH LPSRUWDQFH RI PDWUL[ PDWFKLQJ LV GHPRQVWUDWHG E\
FRPSDULQJ FDOLEUDWLRQ IDFWRUV DQG RIIVHWV FDOFXODWHG XVLQJ
D VXLWH RI VWDQGDUGV WKDW UHSUHVHQW D EURDG VXLWH RI URFN
W\SHVDQGFDOLEUDWLRQIDFWRUVDJDLQVWWKRVHFDOFXODWHGXVLQJ
D VHW RI SXOYHULVHG URFN VDPSOHV IURP DQ XOWUDPDFKRVWHG
QLFNHOVXOGHGHSRVLW)LVKHU et alVKRZQLQ)LJXUH
:KHQ WKH GLIIHUHQW FDOLEUDWLRQV DUH SORWWHG DJDLQVW HDFK
RWKHU WKH\ VKRZ WKDW IRU VRPH HOHPHQWV WKH VORSH RI WKH
OLQH LV VLPLODU ZLWK VRPH GLIIHUHQFHV LQ RIIVHW ZKHUHDV IRU
76
A Review of the Reliability and Validity of Portable X-Ray Fluorescence Spectrometry (pXRF) Data| M F Gazley and L A Fisher
Actualconcentration(ppm)
Measuredconcentration(ppm)
Actualconcentration(ppm)
Measuredconcentration(ppm)
FIG 11 - Variations in calculated corrections (linear fit) based on the matrix of standards used; after Fisher et al (2014). Note there can be a significant difference
between the correction factors calculated based on multiple rock types (all rock standards with felsic to ultramafic composition) and ultramafic rocks only.
ANALYTICAL PROTOCOLS
7KHUHTXLUHGUDWHRIVDPSOHWKURXJKSXWVKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHG
ZKHQHVWDEOLVKLQJDQDQDO\WLFDOZRUNRZ7KLVZLOOUHTXLUH
FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI DQ\ VDPSOH SUHSDUDWLRQ UHTXLUHG DV ZHOO
DV WKH QHHG WR EDODQFH WKH VSHHG RI DQDO\VLV ZLWK UHTXLUHG
DFFXUDF\DQGSUHFLVLRQ
7KH DQDO\VLV WLPH WKDW LV XVHG IRU HDFK XQLW LV VSHFLF WR
WKDW XQLW DQG ZLOO YDU\ IURP VLWHWRVLWH GHSHQGLQJ RQ
WKH SXUSRVH RI WKH GDWD %pGDUG DQG %DUQHV 7HVW
ZRUN RQ FRXQWLQJ WLPHV )LVKHU et al )LJXUH KDV
GHPRQVWUDWHGWKDWLPSURYHPHQWVLQDQDO\WLFDOSUHFLVLRQPD\
EHPLQLPDODIWHUFRXQWLQJWLPHVH[FHHGLQJVSHUOWHU$
OWHUDOVRUHIHUUHGWRDVEHDPLVDFRPELQDWLRQRIYROWDJH
DQGDPSHUDJHWKDWDOORZVGLIIHUHQWHOHPHQWVWREHGHWHFWHG
DS;5)XQLWPD\XVHWZRRUWKUHHOWHUVLQDVLQJOHDQDO\VLV
+RZHYHUDFRQVLVWHQWLPSURYHPHQWLQWKHFRXQWLQJVWDWLVWLFV
LV REVHUYHG ZLWK LQFUHDVHG FRXQWLQJ WLPHV 7KHUHIRUH WKH
FRXQWWLPHVVHOHFWHGPXVWWWKHSXUSRVHIRUZKLFKWKHGDWD
LVFROOHFWHG)RULQVWDQFHLI7LFRQFHQWUDWLRQVDUHEHLQJXVHG
WRWUDFNOLWKRJHRFKHPLVWU\ZLWKLQDPDFXQLWHJWRVXJJHVW
RUYHULI\FRUUHODWLRQVRIVXEXQLWVWKHFRXQWLQJWLPHVVKRXOG
EH VXIFLHQW WKDW WKH VWDQGDUG GHYLDWLRQ RI 7L DQDO\VHV
ZLWKLQDXQLWLVDSSURSULDWHO\ORZIRUVWDWLVWLFDOO\VLJQLFDQW
GHWHUPLQDWLRQRIWKHYDULDWLRQLQ7LEHWZHHQWKHXQLWV
2WKHU LVVXHV WKDW VKRXOG EH FRQVLGHUHG LQFOXGH VDPSOLQJ
SUHFLVLRQYHUVXVDQDO\WLFDOSUHFLVLRQ/H9DLOODQW et al
:KHQ PHDVXULQJ D FRDUVHJUDLQHG URFN VDPSOLQJ SUHFLVLRQ
DVGHWHUPLQHGWKURXJKPXOWLSOHDQDO\VHVRIGLIIHUHQWVSRWVRQ
WKHURFNZLOOEHSRRUHUWKDQWKHDQDO\WLFDOSUHFLVLRQDVVRFLDWHG
ZLWKUHSHDWDQDO\VHVRIDVLQJOHVSRWRQWKDWURFN$VQRWHG
DERYH VXFK LVVXHV FDQ EH ODUJHO\ UHVROYHG E\ DQDO\VLQJ
SXOYHULVHGPDWHULDO+RZHYHUKLJKFRXQWWLPHVPD\UHVXOWLQ
DKLJKDQDO\WLFDOSUHFLVLRQWKDWJUHDWO\H[FHHGVWKHVDPSOLQJ
SUHFLVLRQDQGWKLVVKRXOGEHFODULHGLQUHSRUWLQJWKHUHVXOWV
/H9DLOODQW et al2IFRXUVHWKLVVLWXDWLRQLVDOVRWUXHLI
URFNRUFRUHLVQRWDSSURSULDWHO\VXEVDPSOHGEHIRUHDQDO\VLV
LQDODERUDWRU\
%HVWSUDFWLFH SURWRFROV IRU S;5) DQDO\VLV KDYH EHHQ
SURSRVHG*D]OH\*D]OH\ et al3DUVRQV et al
)LVKHU et al DQG IRUP D JRRG EDVLV IRU GHYHORSPHQW
RI SURMHFWVSHFLF JXLGHOLQHV IRU GDWD FROOHFWLRQ DQG
PDQDJHPHQW7KHVHDUHQRWUHSURGXFHGKHUH
77
FIG 12 - Test work should be conducted to determine optimum analysis time balancing sample throughput, analytical precision, analytical accuracy and analytical
error. (A) Changes in analytical accuracy and precision with increased count time for analysis of Mn in NIST2702 (n = 10). (B) Average counting statistics associated
with analyses in (A) show improvement in analytical error with increased count time. (C) Changes in analytical accuracy and precision with increased count time for
analysis of Zn in NIST2702 (n = 10). (D) Average counting statistics associated with analyses in (C) show improvement in analytical error with increased count time
(modified after Fisher et al, 2014).
FIG 13 - An annotated example of Table 1 in Gazley et al (2012) showing elements reported, expected value of the standard, median value, standard deviation,
calculated lower limit of determination (after MacDougall and Crummett, 1980) for 21 repeated analyses of an appropriate concentration standard; and the
interquartile range concentrations from the data set being analysed.
78
A Review of the Reliability and Validity of Portable X-Ray Fluorescence Spectrometry (pXRF) Data| M F Gazley and L A Fisher
PRGHOUHDGLQJWLPHVFDOLEUDWLRQVIDFWRUVDSSOLHGDQGWKHLU
GHULYDWLRQVHWFPXVWEHVXSSOLHGDORQJZLWKWKHDQDO\VHV
6HFRQGDSURSRUWLRQRIWKHVDPSOHVWKDWKDYHEHHQDQDO\VHG
E\S;5)VKRXOGEHVXEMHFWHGWRFRQYHQWLRQDODQDO\VLV$UDWH
RI DSSUR[LPDWHO\ YH SHU FHQW RI WRWDO VDPSOHV RQH LQ
LV JHQHUDOO\ FRQVLGHUHG WR EH LQGXVWU\ VWDQGDUG IRU 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH UHSRUWLQJ DQG LV VXJJHVWHG WR EH DSSURSULDWH HJ
$E]DORY WKHVH FDQ EH SUHVHQWHG LQ WZR ZD\V HLWKHU
DV D WDEOH HJ )LJXUH *D]OH\ et al RU JUDSKLFDOO\
LH UHJUHVVLRQ DQDO\VLV ,I DQ XQDFFHSWDEOH QXPEHU RI WKH
VDPSOHV UHDQDO\VHG E\ FRQYHQWLRQDO WHFKQLTXHV GR QRW IDOO
ZLWKLQDQDFFHSWDEOHWROHUDQFHVD\SHUFHQWWKHHQWLUH
GDWD VHW VKRXOG EH UHSHDWHG E\ FRQYHQWLRQDO WHFKQLTXHV RU
HOVHQRWUHOLHGXSRQ
7KHDXWKRUVZRXOGVXJJHVWWKDWDPRUHFRPSOHWHOLVWVKRXOG
LQFOXGH
,Q RUGHU IRU RWKHUV WR HYDOXDWH WKH YDOLGLW\ RI S;5) GDWD
VHWV LW LV LPSHUDWLYH WKDQ DQ\ GDWDEDVH DOVR VWRUHV PHWD
GDWD LQFOXGLQJ EXW QRW OLPLWHG WR XQLW QXPEHU PRGH RI
RSHUDWLRQ FDOLEUDWLRQ XVHG EODQNV VWDQGDUGV WKH QDPH RI
WKH RSHUDWRU DQG ZKHWKHU DQDO\VHV ZHUH FROOHFWHG RQ FRUH
FKLSVSXOSKDQGVSHFLPHQVHWF%RWKUDZDQGFRUUHFWHGGDWD
VKRXOGEHVWRUHGVRWKDWFDOLEUDWLRQVDQGRWKHU4$4&GDWD
FDQEHLQGHSHQGHQWO\YHULHGDVUREXVWDQGWIRUSXUSRVH
,WLVFULWLFDOWKHS;5)GDWDLVQRWPL[HGXSZLWKFRQYHQWLRQDO
DVVD\LQJGDWDZLWKLQDGDWDEDVHDQGWKDWDKLHUDUFK\RIGDWD
TXDOLW\LVPDLQWDLQHG
XQLWVHWXSDQRGHW\SHZLQGRZPDWHULDOW\SH
KRPRJHQHLW\UHSUHVHQWLYLW\RIWKHVDPSOH
QDWXUH RI WKH VDPSOH ZKHQ SUHVHQWHG WR WKH XQLW HJ
FXUYHGVXUIDFHRIFRUH
QDWXUHRIPDWHULDOFRQWDLQLQJWKHVDPSOH
PRLVWXUHFRQWHQWRIWKHVDPSOH
LQWHUXQLWYDULDWLRQ
VKRUWDQGORQJWHUPGULIW
WKLFNQHVVRIWKHVDPSOH
VHOHFWLRQRIVXLWDEOHFDOLEUDWLRQDQGVWDQGDUGV
DSSURSULDWHFRXQWLQJVWDWLVWLFVDQGDQDO\VLVWLPHV
,WLVUHFRPPHQGHGWKDWZKHUHS;5)GDWDLVWREHSXEOLFO\
UHSRUWHG LW VKRXOG EH VXSSRUWHG E\ GRFXPHQWHG ULJRURXV
VWDQGDUGLVDWLRQ DQG FDOLEUDWLRQ SURFHGXUHV DQG ZLWK
FKHPLFDO DQDO\VHV E\ FRQYHQWLRQDO ODERUDWRU\ WHFKQLTXHV
VXLWHG WR WKH HOHPHQWV RI LQWHUHVW RQ D VXEVHW RI VDPSOHV
HJ YH SHU FHQW 7KH ORZHU OLPLW RI GHWHUPLQDWLRQ RU D
VLPLODU YDOXH VKRXOG EH UHSRUWHG DORQJ ZLWK WKH H[SHFWHG
UDQJH RU LQWHUTXDUWLOH UDQJHV RI WKH HOHPHQWV RI LQWHUHVW
7KLVGDWDFRXOGEHSUHVHQWHGLQDIRUPDWVXFKDVWKDWVKRZQ
LQ )LJXUH WR PDNH WKHP DFFHVVLEOH WR WKH UHDGHU DQG WR
HQVXUHFRQGHQFHLQWKHUHVXOWV1HLWKHURIWKHVHVXJJHVWLRQV
LVSDUWLFXODUO\RQHURXVDQGZLOOUHVXOWLQUREXVWDQGUHOLDEOH
S;5)GDWDEHLQJFROOHFWHGDQGUHSRUWHG
-25& VWDWHV WKDW IRU S;5) GDWD SDUDPHWHUV XVHG
LQGHWHUPLQLQJWKHDQDO\VLVLQFOXGLQJLQVWUXPHQWPDNHDQG
LQVWUXPHQWXQLWPDNHDQGPRGHOV
PRGHRIRSHUDWLRQ
DQDO\VLVWLPH
FDOLEUDWLRQXVHG
QDPHRIWKHVWDQGDUGVXVHGWRGHWHUPLQHWKHFDOLEUDWLRQ
LIQRWIDFWRU\FDOLEUDWLRQ
QDWXUHRIVWDQGDUGUHIHUHQFHPDWHULDO
QDWXUHRIVDPSOHDQDO\VHGHJVROLGURFNRUSXOYHULVHG
QDWXUHRIEODQNPDWHULDOXVHG
VDPSOHSUHSDUDWLRQSURFHGXUHV
PHWKRGWRHQVXUHVDPSOHVZHUHGU\
PDWHULDOXVHGWRFRQWDLQWKHVDPSOH
W\SHRIFRUUHFWLRQXVHG
FRUUHFWLRQIDFWRUIRUHDFKHOHPHQWUHSRUWHG
GXSOLFDWHUHSOLFDWHGDWD
FRQYHQWLRQDODQDO\VLVGDWDIRUVDPSOHV
$Q H[DPSOH RI DQ DSSURSULDWH VXPPDU\ LV SUHVHQWHG LQ
7DEOHIRUWKHGDWDVHWSXEOLVKHGLQ*D]OH\ et alDQG
)LJXUH
TABLE 1
An example of a table to present analysis conditions of portable X-ray
fluorescence data (data are after Gazley et al, 2011).
Instrument
Mode of operation
Soil
90 s
Factory
JB-1
Powder
Nature of blank
Nature of sample
Moisture content
Sample container
Paper bag
Type of correction
Single point
Ti 0.58
Correction factors
Zr 1.00
Cr 0.70
K 1.18
CONCLUSIONS
7KLV SDSHU KDV UHYLHZHG VRPH RI WKH FXUUHQWO\ UHFRJQLVHG
LVVXHV WKDW FDQ KDYH VLJQLFDQW HIIHFWV RQ HOHPHQWDO
FRQFHQWUDWLRQV GHWHUPLQHG E\ S;5) DQG IUDPHG WKHP LQ D
PDQQHUWRPDNHLWHDVLHUIRUWKRVHFROOHFWLQJWKLVW\SHRIGDWD
WR HQVXUH WKDW LW LV UREXVW DQG W IRU SXUSRVH 7KLV LV LQ QR
ZD\LQWHQGHGWREHDQH[KDXVWLYHOLVWQRUVKRXOGWKLVSDSHU
EHUHJDUGHGDVWKHGHQLWLYHJXLGHWRSURGXFLQJS;5)GDWD
WKDW LV RI VXLWDEOH TXDOLW\ IRU SXEOLF UHSRUWLQJ WR VXSSRUW
([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV RU 5HVRXUFH RU 5HVHUYH VWDWHPHQWV WKDW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
79
DUH FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK WKH -25& &RGH %\ UDLVLQJ WKHVH LVVXHV
DQGPDNLQJVRPHVXJJHVWLRQVDERXWSRVVLEOHVROXWLRQVRXU
DLP LV WR HQDEOH WKRVH ZKR DUH FROOHFWLQJ LQWHUSUHWLQJ DQG
UHSRUWLQJ S;5) GDWD WR PDNH LQIRUPHG MXGJHPHQWV DERXW
WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKHLU GDWD DQG ZKHWKHU WKH UHVXOWV DUH W IRU
SXUSRVH $ERYH DOO LW PXVW EH UHPHPEHUHG WKDW UHJDUGOHVV
RI KRZ SUHFLVH DQG DFFXUDWH DQ DQDO\WLFDO PHWKRG LV LI WKH
PDWHULDOSUHVHQWHGWRWKHXQLWLVQRWDUHSUHVHQWDWLYHVDPSOH
RUWKHFRUUHFWLRQVWDQGDUGVRUGDWDSURFHVVLQJSRVWFROOHFWLRQ
DUHLQDSSURSULDWHWKHUHVXOWVPD\QRWEHUHOLDEOHRUYHULDEOH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
)XQGLQJ IRU WKH DXWKRUV UHVHDUFK LQ WKH HOG RI S;5)
WHFKQRORJ\ FRPHV MRLQWO\ IURP %DUULFN $XVWUDOLD 3DFLF
/LPLWHGWKH&6,520LQHUDOV'RZQ8QGHU)ODJVKLSDQGWKH
'HHS([SORUDWLRQ7HFKQRORJLHV&RRSHUDWLYH5HVHDUFK&HQWUH
'(7&5& &DWK\OHH 0F&DXOH\ LV DFNQRZOHGJHG IRU KHU
DVVLVWDQFH IRU FROOHFWLQJ ERWK WKH ORQJ DQG VKRUWWHUP GULIW
GDWD DQG WKH VL]HIUDFWLRQ GDWD $DURQ /DWKDP DQG &KHOVHD
7XWW DUH DOVR WKDQNHG IRU WKH RQJRLQJ DVVLVWDQFH ZLWK DOO
WKLQJVS;5)DW3OXWRQLF*ROG0LQH7KHDXWKRUVDUHJUDWHIXO
IRU GLVFXVVLRQV ZLWK DQG D UHYLHZ IURP %LOO 6KDZ WKDW
JUHDWO\LPSURYHGWKLVPDQXVFULSW:HDOVRWKDQN0DUN%HUU\
DQG6WHYH%DUQHVIRUWKHLUFRPPHQWVDQG$OLVWDLU:KLWHDQG
$DURQ%DHQVFKIRUWKHLUWKRXJKWIXOUHYLHZVRIDQHDUO\GUDIW
RIWKLVPDQXVFULSW
REFERENCES
$E]DORY 0 6DPSOLQJ HUURUV DQG FRQWURO RI DVVD\ GDWD
TXDOLW\LQH[SORUDWLRQDQGPLQLQJJHRORJ\LQApplications and
Experiences of Quality ControlHG2,YDQRYS,QWHFK
%pGDUG/3DQG%DUQHV6-+RZWDUH\RXUGDWD"Geostandards
and Geoanalytical Research
%HUQLFN 0 % DQG &DPSDJQD 3 5 $SSOLFDWLRQ RI HOG
SRUWDEOH ;UD\ XRUHVFHQFH VSHFWURPHWHUV IRU HOGVFUHHQLQJ
DLUPRQLWRULQJOWHUVIRUPHWDOVJournal of Hazardous Materials
&DUU5=KDQJ&0ROHV1DQG+DUGHU0,GHQWLFDWLRQDQG
PDSSLQJRIKHDY\PHWDOSROOXWLRQLQVRLOVRIDVSRUWVJURXQGLQ
*DOZD\ &LW\ ,UHODQG XVLQJ D SRUWDEOH ;5) DQDO\VHU DQG *,6
Environmental Geochemistry and Health
&ODUN 6 0HQUDWK : &KHQ 0 5RGD 6 DQG 6XFFRS 3 8VH
RIDHOGSRUWDEOH;UD\XRUHVFHQFHDQDO\]HUWRGHWHUPLQHWKH
FRQFHQWUDWLRQRIOHDGDQGRWKHUPHWDOVLQVRLOVDPSOHVAnnals of
Agricultural and Environmental Medicine
&UDLJ 1 6SHDNPDQ 5 - 3RSHOND)LOFRII 5 6 *ODVFRFN 0 '
5REHUWVRQ ' - 6KDFNOH\ 0 6 DQG $OGHQGHUIHU 0 6
&RPSDULVRQ RI ;5) DQG 3;5) IRU DQDO\VLV RI DUFKDHRORJLFDO
REVLGLDQ IURP VRXWKHUQ 3HU~ Journal of Archaeological Science
)LVKHU / *D]OH\ 0 ) %DHQVFK $ %DUQHV 6 - &OHYHUOH\ -
DQG 'XFODX[ * 5HVROXWLRQ RI JHRFKHPLFDO DQG
OLWKRVWUDWLJUDSKLF FRPSOH[LW\ D ZRUN RZ IRU DSSOLFDWLRQ
RI SRUWDEOH ;UD\ XRUHVFHQFH WR PLQHUDO H[SORUDWLRQ
*HRFKHPLVWU\([SORUDWLRQ(QYLURQPHQW$QDO\VLV'2,
JHRFKHP
*D]OH\0)0HWDPRUSKLVPJHRFKURQRORJ\DQGVWUDWLJUDSK\
RI DQ DPSKLEROLWHIDFLHV JUHHQVWRQHKRVWHG JROG GHSRVLW
3OXWRQLF *ROG 0LQH 0DU\PLD ,QOLHU :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD 3K'
WKHVLV XQSXEOLVKHG 9LFWRULD 8QLYHUVLW\ RI :HOOLQJWRQ
:HOOLQJWRQ
80
*D]OH\ 0 ) 'XFODX[ * )LVKHU / $ GH %HHU 6 6PLWK 3 7D\ORU
06ZDQVRQ5+RXJK50DQG&OHYHUOH\-,PSURYLQJ
JHRORJLFDO DQG PHWDOOXUJLFDO XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI 3OXWRQLF *ROG
0LQH:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLDXVLQJ'YLVXDOLVDWLRQRISRUWDEOH;UD\
XRUHVFHQFH GDWD Transactions of the Institutions of Mining and
0HWDOOXUJ\$SSOLHG(DUWK6FLHQFH%%
*D]OH\ 0 ) 9U\ - . GX 3OHVVLV ( DQG +DQGOHU 0 5
$SSOLFDWLRQ RI KDQGKHOG ;UD\ XRUHVFHQFH DQDO\VHV WR
0HWDEDVDOW 6WUDWLJUDSK\ 3OXWRQLF *ROG 0LQH :HVWHUQ
$XVWUDOLDJournal of Geochemical Exploration
*RRGDOH1%DLOH\'*-RQHV*73UHVFRWW&6FKRO](6WDJOLDQR
1 DQG /HZLV & S;5) D VWXG\ RI LQWHULQVWUXPHQW
SHUIRUPDQFHJournal of Archaeological Science
+LFNVRQ&-DQG-XUDV6-6DPSOHFRQWDPLQDWLRQE\JULQGLQJ
Canadian Mineralogist
+UNDPS.5DDE7DQG9|ONHO-7ZRDQGWKUHHGLPHQVLRQDO
TXDQWLFDWLRQRIOHDGFRQWDPLQDWLRQLQDOOXYLDOVRLOVRIDKLVWRULF
PLQLQJ DUHD XVLQJ HOG SRUWDEOH ;UD\ XRUHVFHQFH )3;5)
DQDO\VLVGeomorphology
-DQJ0$SSOLFDWLRQRISRUWDEOH;UD\XRUHVFHQFHS;5)IRU
KHDY\PHWDODQDO\VLVRIVRLOVLQFURSHOGVQHDUDEDQGRQHGPLQH
VLWHVEnvironmental Geochemistry and Health
-LD3:HLPLQJ7'RHOPDQ&&KHQ+=KDR6/LQ5DQG7RUUHQFH
*ODVFRFN 0 ' 0RYLQJ VRXUFHV D SUHOLPLQDU\ VWXG\ RI
YROFDQLF JODVV DUWLIDFW GLVWULEXWLRQV LQ QRUWKHDVW &KLQD XVLQJ
3;5)Journal of Archaeological Science
.DOQLFN\ ' - DQG 6LQJKYL 5 )LHOG SRUWDEOH ;5) DQDO\VLV RI
HQYLURQPHQWDOVDPSOHVJournal of Hazardous Materials
.DWR1.DNDL,DQG6KLQGR<&KDQJHLQFKHPLFDOFRPSRVLWLRQ
RIHDUO\,VODPLFJODVVH[FDYDWHGLQ5D\D6LQDL3HQLQVXOD(J\SW
RQVLWH DQDO\VLV XVLQJ D SRUWDEOH ;UD\ XRUHVFHQFH Journal of
Archaeological Science
.HQQD 7 & 1LWVFKH ) 2 +HUURQ 0 0 0DLOORX[ % - 3HWHHW '
6ULWUDLUDW 6 6DQGV ( DQG %DXPJDUWHQ - (YDOXDWLRQ DQG
FDOLEUDWLRQRIHOGSRUWDEOH;UD\XRUHVFHQFHVSHFWURPHWHUIRU
TXDQWLWDWLYHDQDO\VLVRIVLOLFLFODVWLFVRLOVDQGVHGLPHQWVJournal of
Analytical Atomic Spectrometry
.LOEULGH&3RROH-DQG+XWFKLQJV75$FRPSDULVRQRI&X
3E $V &G =Q )H 1L DQG 0Q GHWHUPLQHG E\ DFLG H[WUDFWLRQ
,&32(6 DQG ex situ HOG SRUWDEOH ;UD\ XRUHVFHQFH DQDO\VHV
Environmental Pollution
/H 9DLOODQW 0 %DUQHV 6 - )LVKHU / )LRUHQWLQL 0 / DQG
&DUXVR 6 8VH DQG FDOLEUDWLRQ RI SRUWDEOH ;UD\
XRUHVFHQFH DQDO\VHUV DSSOLFDWLRQV WR OLWKRJHRFKHPLFDO
H[SORUDWLRQ IRU NRPDWLLWHKRVWHG QLFNHOVXOSKLGH GHSRVLWV
*HRFKHPLVWU\ ([SORUDWLRQ (QYLURQPHQW $QDO\VLV '2,
JHRFKHP
0DF'RXJDOO ' DQG &UXPPHWW : % *XLGHOLQHV IRU GDWD
DFTXLVLWLRQ DQG GDWD TXDOLW\ HYDOXDWLRQ LQ HQYLURQPHQWDO
FKHPLVWU\Analytical Chemistry
0DUNH\$0&ODUN&66XFFRS3$DQG5RGD6'HWHUPLQDWLRQ
RI WKH IHDVLELOLW\ RI XVLQJ D SRUWDEOH ;UD\ XRUHVFHQFH ;5)
DQDO\]HULQWKHHOGIRUPHDVXUHPHQWRIOHDGFRQWHQWRIVLHYHG
VRLOJournal of Environmental Health
0RUULV3$)LHOGSRUWDEOH;UD\XRUHVFHQFHDQDO\VLVDQGLWV
DSSOLFDWLRQGeological Survey of Western Australia (GSWA) 5HFRUG
1D]DURII $ - 3UXIHU . 0 DQG 'UDNH % / $VVHVVLQJ WKH
DSSOLFDELOLW\ RI SRUWDEOH ;UD\ XRUHVFHQFH VSHFWURPHWU\ IRU
REVLGLDQ SURYHQDQFH UHVHDUFK LQ WKH 0D\D ORZODQGV Journal of
Archaeological Science
A Review of the Reliability and Validity of Portable X-Ray Fluorescence Spectrometry (pXRF) Data| M F Gazley and L A Fisher
5HLGLQJHU65DPVH\0+DQG+DUWOH\6(5DSLGDQGDFFXUDWH
DQDO\VHV RI VLOLFRQ DQG SKRVSKRURXV LQ SODQWV XVLQJ D SRUWDEOH
;UD\XRUHVFHQFHVSHFWURPHWHUNew Phytologist
6KDFNOH\06,VWKHUHUHOLDELOLW\LQSRUWDEOH;UD\XRUHVFHQFH
S;5)VSHFWURPHWU\6$$$UFKDHRORJLFDO5HFRUG
6KHSSDUG 3 7ULFKHUHDX % DQG 0LOLFLFK & 3DFLF REVLGLDQ
VRXUFLQJE\SRUWDEOH;5)Archaeology in Oceania
7\NRW 5 + 6RXUFLQJ RI 6DUGLQLDQ REVLGLDQ FROOHFWLRQV LQ
WKH 0XVHR 3UHLVWRULFR(WQRJUDFR /XLJL 3LJRULQL XVLQJ
QRQGHVWUXFWLYH SRUWDEOH ;5) 2EVLGLDQ 0RQWH $UFL LQ WKH
0HGLWHUUDQHDQ QHZ FRQWULEXWLRQV RQ WKH GLIIXVLRQ SURGXFWLRQ
V\VWHPV DQG WKHLU KLVWRU\ LQ 3URFHHGLQJV )LIWK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO
Conference HG&/XJOLq185$OHVSS
81
HOME
7KH WUXWK RI WKH PDWWHU LV DV WKHRU\ VKRZV DQG SUDFWLFH
FRQUPV WKDW D JUHDW PDMRULW\ RI VDPSOLQJ RSHUDWLRQV
LQWURGXFH ELDVHV WKDW FDQ EH RI XQVXVSHFWHG RUGHUV RI
PDJQLWXGH /HWV WDNH DQ H[DPSOH ERUURZHG IURP WKH PDLQ
DXWKRUV FRQVXOWLQJ H[SHULHQFH 7KH PDQDJHU RI D JROG
PLQHDFWXDOO\UHFRYHUHGJRIJROGSHUWRQQHRIRUHZKLOH
DFFRUGLQJ WR WKH DVVD\V FDUULHG RXW LQ KLV ODERUDWRU\ KH
VKRXOG KDYH UHFRYHUHG RQO\ JW IRU WKH PLQH RZQHUV LW
GRHVPDNHDGLIIHUHQFH+HZRQGHUHGZK\KHZDVVROXFN\
DQG DVNHG IRU D VDPSOLQJ VSHFLDOLVWV DGYLFH $SSDUHQWO\
WKHGLIIHUHQFHRULJLQDWHGLQWKHKHDYLO\ELDVHGWDNLQJRIWKH
OLTXLG DVVD\ SRUWLRQ WKDW ZDV IHG WR WKH DWRPLF DEVRUSWLRQ
VSHFWURPHWHU$$68QEHNQRZQVWWRWKHDQDO\VWWKLVZDVD
VDPSOLQJRSHUDWLRQWKHF\DQLGHVROXWLRQZDVDVVXPHGWREH
KRPRJHQHRXVDQLPSOLFLWDVVXPSWLRQWKDWOHGWKHDQDO\VWWR
WDNHWKHDVVD\SRUWLRQZLWKRXWDQ\SDUWLFXODUFDUH
8QIRUWXQDWHO\ GXH WR JUDYLW\ VHJUHJDWLRQ RI WKH JROG
EHDULQJLRQVEHLQJPXFKGHQVHUWKDQWKHZDWHUPROHFXOHVWKH
VROXWLRQZDVKLJKO\KHWHURJHQHRXVZLWKDYHUWLFDOJUDGLHQW
LQJROGFRQFHQWUDWLRQIURPWRSWRERWWRP,WPXVWEHSRLQWHG
RXW KHUH WKDW LQ WKH FRXUVH RI KHU VWXGLHV WKH DQDO\VW KDG
QHYHUKHDUGRIKHWHURJHQHLW\RUVDPSOLQJDQGWKHLQVWUXFWLRQ
ERRNOHWRIKHUDQDO\VHUGLGQRWVXJJHVWWKDWDVLPSOHVWLUULQJ
ZRXOG KDYH UHQGHUHG KHU DVVD\ ELDV IUHH ERWK WHDFKHU DQG
PDQXIDFWXUHU ZHUH XQDZDUH RI WKH H[LVWHQFH RI JUDYLW\
VHJUHJDWLRQDQGDWKHRU\RIVDPSOLQJ7KLVREVHUYDWLRQLVVWLOO
YDOLGWRGD\
,QWKHFRXUVHRIWKHLUWURXEOHVKRRWLQJDFWLYLWLHVWKHDXWKRUV
KDYHKDGKXQGUHGVRIRSSRUWXQLWLHVWRGHWHFWVDPSOLQJELDVHV
RIDOONLQGVDQGVL]HV7KLVLVEXWRQHH[DPSOH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
83
How Sampling Biases Can Induce Decision-Makers to Make Wrong Decisions|P M Gy and D M Franois-Bongaron
(YHQ WRGD\ LW LV VWLOO QRW XQFRPPRQ WR VHH LQFRUUHFWO\
GHVLJQHG RU LQVWDOOHG VDPSOHUV LQ PLQHV DQG SODQWV
XQIRUWXQDWHO\ 0RUHRYHU PDQ\ RI WKH DXWRPDWLF VDPSOHUV
DYDLODEOH IRU VWUHDPV LQ SODQWV DUH VWLOO LQFRUUHFW E\ GHVLJQ
RIWHQZLWKIHZRUQRDOWHUQDWLYHVRQWKHPDUNHW5HVHDUFKLQ
EHWWHUW\SHVRIVDPSOHUVKRZHYHULVDFWLYHO\FRQGXFWHGHYHQ
PHHWLQJ ZLWK VXFFHVV DQG LW LV LPSRUWDQW WKDW WKH LQGXVWU\
NHHSVHQFRXUDJLQJLW
CONCLUSIONS
,QWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\EHIRUHVWDUWLQJDQHZSURMHFWGHFLVLRQ
PDNHUV KDYH WR UHO\ RQ GDWD VXFK DV WRQQDJHV DQG DYHUDJH
JUDGHVSURYLGHGE\JHRVWDWLVWLFLDQV,IWKHVHGDWDDQGPRUH
VSHFLFDOO\WKHRUHJUDGHVDUHELDVHGZKLFKLVSUREDEOHLI
VDPSOLQJLVQRWDGHTXDWHO\FRQVLGHUHG WKHJHRVWDWLVWLFLDQV
FRQFOXVLRQV DUH LQHYLWDEO\ ELDVHG DQG WKXV WKH GHFLVLRQV
PDGH RQ WKH EDVLV RI WKHVH DUH OLNHO\ WR EH ZURQJ 7KLV FDQ
LQFXUKXJHORVVHVRIPRQH\DQGRIWHQKDVLQWKHSDVW
6XFK D VLWXDWLRQ MXVWLHV WKH HPSKDVLV WKDW ZHYH SODFHG
RQ WKH RIWHQ LJQRUHG LPSRUWDQFH RI VDPSOLQJ WKHRU\ :H
KDYH MXVW VHHQ WKDW WKH RQO\ JXDUDQWHH RI DFFXUDF\ DQG ELDV
HOLPLQDWLRQ LV WKURXJK VDPSOLQJ FRUUHFWQHVV ZKHUH HYHU\
IUDJPHQW EHORQJLQJ WR D EDWFK RI SDUWLFXODWH VROLGV HYHU\
PROHFXOHDQGHYHU\LRQSUHVHQWLQDOLTXLGEDWFKHJWKHJROG
EHDULQJVROXWLRQREWDLQHGZKHQDVVD\LQJJROGRUHVE\F\DQLGH
OHDFKLQJLVJLYHQDQHYHQSUREDELOLW\RIEHLQJVHOHFWHGWKDW
LVRIEHLQJSUHVHQWLQWKHVDPSOHRULQWKHODWWHUFDVHLQWKH
DOLTXRWZKLFKLVIHGWRWKHDQDO\VHU
8QIRUWXQDWHO\ PRVW WHDFKHUV RI DQDO\WLFDO FKHPLVWU\
JHRORJ\ DQG JHRVWDWLVWLFV LJQRUH WKH YHU\ H[LVWHQFH RI D
VDPSOLQJ WKHRU\ WKDW ZDV GHYHORSHG IRU WKH EHQHW RI WKH
PLQLQJ FRPPXQLW\ ,W KDV QHYHU EHHQ VHULRXVO\ FRQWHVWHG
H[FHSWSHUKDSVE\WKRVHZKRSUHIHUWRUHO\XSRQWKHLURZQ
VRFDOOHGFRPPRQVHQVHDQGSUDFWLFDOH[SHULHQFH
2QHRIWKHVKRUWFRPLQJVRIPRVWWHFKQLFDODXGLWFRPSDQLHV
ZRUOGZLGH LV WKDW WKH\ KDYH RYHUORRNHG WKH VLJQLFDQFH RI
WKLVWKHRU\HYHQWKRXJKLWVKDUGO\QHZEHLQJ\HDUVROG
*\
7KH DXWKRUV FRQFOXGH WKLV VKRUW SDSHU ZLWK WKH ZLVK WKDW
PLQLQJLQGXVWU\GHFLVLRQPDNHUVUHFRJQLVHLWVUHOHYDQFHDQG
LQVLVW RQ LQWURGXFLQJ WKH WHDFKLQJ RI WKH VDPSOLQJ WKHRU\
LQ XQLYHUVLW\ FXUULFXOD :LWK WKH ZHOFRPH GHYHORSPHQW
RI TXDOLW\ FRQWURO DQG TXDOLW\ DVVXUDQFH LQ WKH PLQLQJ DQG
PHWDOOXUJLFDO LQGXVWULHV WKHUH LV URRP LQ RXU PLQHV DQG
ODERUDWRULHV IRU TXDOLHG VDPSOLQJ HQJLQHHUV DQG VDPSOLQJ
WHFKQLFLDQV
REFERENCES
7KH GHYHORSPHQW RI WKH VDPSOLQJ WKHRU\ LQ UHIHUHQFHV
*\30DVVH0LQLPDOHG(FKDQWLOORQ5HTXLVHSRXU5HSUpVHQWHU
XQ /RW GH 0LQHUDL 0LQLPXP PDVV RI VDPSOH UHTXLUHG WR
UHSUHVHQW D PLQHUDO ORW 1RUPH LQWHUQH j OD 6Wp 0LQHUDLV HW
0pWDX[ ,QWHUQDO VWDQGDUG WR FRPSDQ\ 0LQHUDOV DQG 0HWDOV
XQSXEOLVKHG
*\3(UUHXU&RPPLVHGDQVOH3UpOqYHPHQWGXQ(FKDQWLOORQ
VXUXQ/RWGH0LQHUDL(UURUPDGHZKHQVDPSOLQJDPLQHUDOORW
&RQJUqVGHVODYHULHVGHVPLQHVPpWDOOLTXHVIUDQoDLVHV&RQJUHVV
RI)UHQFKODXQGULHVPHWDOPLQHV(FROHGHV0LQHVGH3DULV
5HYXH GH O,QGXVWULH 0LQpUDOH -RXUQDO RI WKH 0LQHUDO ,QGXVWU\ 6W
(WLHQQH
*\3/(FKDQWLOORQQDJHGHV0LQHUDLVHQ9UDF7{PH7KHRULH
*HQHUDOH 7KH 6DPSOLQJ RI %XON 0LQHUDOV 3DUW *HQHUDO
7KHRU\ 5HYXH GH O,QGXVWULH 0LQpUDOH -RXUQDO RI WKH 0LQHUDO
Industry)6W(WLHQQH)UDQFH6SHFLDO,VVXH-DQXDU\
*\ 3 /(FKDQWLOORQQDJH GHV 0LQHUDLV HQ 9UDF 7{PH 7KH
6DPSOLQJRI%XON0LQHUDOV3DUW5HYXHGHO,QGXVWULH0LQpUDOH
(Journal of the Mineral Industry)6W(WLHQQH)UDQFH6SHFLDO,VVXH
6HSWHPEHU
*\ 3 7KpRULH HW 3UDWLTXH GH O(FKDQWLOORQQDJH GHV 0DWLqUHV
0RUFHOpHV 7KHRU\ DQG 3UDFWLFH RI 6DPSOLQJ 0DWHULDOV )UDJPHQWHG
3*3XEOLVKLQJ&DQQHV)UDQFHRXWRISULQW
*\ 3 Sampling of Particulate Materials: Theory and Practice
VHFRQGUHYLVHGHGLWLRQSRXWRISULQW(OVHYLHU$PVWHUGDP
*\3+pWpURJpQpLWp(FKDQWLOORQQDJH+RPRJpQpLVDWLRQ(QVHPEOH
&RKHUHQWGH7KHRULHV+HWHURJHQHLW\6DPSOLQJ+RPRJHQLVDWLRQ6HW
of Coherent Theories)S0DVVRQ3DULV
*\ 3 (FKDQWLOORQQDJH 6DPSOLQJ &KDSWHU 3 GX 7UDLWp
$QDO\VH&KLPLTXHGHV7HFKQLTXHVGHO,QJpQLHXU&KDSWHU3
RI WKH 7UHDW\ &KHPLFDO $QDO\VLV 7HFKQLFDO (QJLQHHU 3DULV
SS
*\3Sampling of Heterogeneous and Dynamic Material Systems:
7KHRULHV RI +HWHURJHQHLW\ 6DPSOLQJ DQG +RPRJHQL]LQJ S
(OVHYLHU$PVWHUGDP
*\ 3 ,QWURGXFWLRQ WR WKH WKHRU\ RI VDPSOLQJ 3DUW ,
+HWHURJHQHLW\ RI D SRSXODWLRQ RI XQFRUUHODWHG XQLWV TrAC
*\3/pFKDQWLOORQQDJHGHV/RWVGH0DWLqUHHQ9XHGHOHXU$QDO\VH
(Sampling of Lots of Material in View of Their Analysis) S
0DVVRQ3DULV
*\3Sampling for Analytical PurposesWUDQVODWHGE\$*5R\OH
S-RKQ:LOH\DQG6RQV/RQGRQ
85
HOME
WKHVROYLQJRIFRPSOH[VDPSOLQJSUREOHPVZLWKWKHEDVLFDSSURDFKRIZRUVWFDVHSROLF\:&3
DVLPSOHVROXWLRQWRVLQJOHVWDJHVDPSOLQJSUREOHPV
LQWKHSODQWVPLQLPLVLQJWKHLPSDFWRIERUGHUHIIHFWVLQLQFRUUHFWVDPSOHUVVRWKDWWKHUHVXOWLQJVDPSOHVDUHDFFHSWDEOHLQ
SUDFWLFHEHFDXVHWKHELDVULVNDWWDFKHGWRWKHPLVFDOFXODWHGDQGFRQWUROOHG
6KRUWFXWVDUHVRPHWLPHVQHHGHGZKHQDSSO\LQJDOOWKHJRRGSULQFLSOHVRIWKHWKHRU\RIVDPSOLQJ726HVSHFLDOO\WR
FODULI\YHU\FRPSOH[VDPSOLQJVLWXDWLRQVDQGSUREOHPV
DOORZSURIHVVLRQDOVWRPDNHWKHEHVWGHFLVLRQVZKHQFRQIURQWHGZLWKOHVVWKDQSHUIHFWVDPSOLQJFRQGLWLRQV
,QGHHG 726 FOHDUO\ GHPRQVWUDWHV WKDW RQO\ FRUUHFW VDPSOLQJ LV ZRUWK FRQVLGHULQJ LH VDPSOLQJ WKDW PHHWV WKH WKHRUHWLFDO
FRQGLWLRQRIFRUUHFWQHVVE\ZKLFKDQ\IUDJPHQWLQWKHVDPSOHORWLQLWLDOO\UXQVWKHVDPHa prioriSUREDELOLW\RIEHLQJXOWLPDWHO\
VHOHFWHGLQWKHVDPSOH%\YLUWXHRIWKLVJROGHQSULQFLSOHDQ\LQFRUUHFWPHWKRGRUSLHFHRIVDPSOLQJHTXLSPHQWPXVWEHGLVFDUGHG
DQGUHSODFHGLPPHGLDWHO\
+RZHYHUWKLVLVQRWDOZD\VSRVVLEOH)LUVWWKHUHLVWKHLVVXHRIEXGJHWVDQGFRUSRUDWHGHFLVLRQVWKHQWKDWRIWKHQHFHVVDU\
GHOD\VEHIRUHLQDGHTXDWHHTXLSPHQWFDQEHFKDQJHGDQGQDOO\WKHPRUHIXQGDPHQWDOSUREOHPRIWKHULJKWHTXLSPHQWEHLQJ
DYDLODEOHRUHYHQH[LVWLQJLQWKHPDUNHWZKLFKLVQRWDOZD\VDJXDUDQWHHDVYHU\OLWWOHH[LVWV\HWLQWHUPVRIFRUUHFWSODQWVDPSOLQJ
HTXLSPHQW:KDWHYHUWKHUHDVRQVDQGWKHLUYDOLGLW\VRPHJXLGHOLQHVDUHQHFHVVDU\IRUVXFKOHVVWKDQSHUIHFWVLWXDWLRQVZKHQQR
DFWLRQLVQRWDQRSWLRQDQGVKRUWFXWVDQGOLFHQVHVQHHGWREHWDNHQKRZHYHUUHOXFWDQWO\
1. FAusIMM, President, AGORATEK International Consultants, Inc, 2/270 West 5th Street, Vancouver BC V7M 1K1, Canada. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published in Proceedings Sampling 2012, pp 171-174 (The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy: Melbourne).
2QH VKRXOG QRW EH VXUSULVHG E\ WKLV LQWHUHVW LQ WKH ZRUVW
UHVXOWV 7KH UDWLRQDOH LV WKDW LQ PRVW FDVHV WKH UHVXOWLQJ
YDULDQFHPRGHOWRRSWLPLVHDHOGVDPSOLQJSURFHGXUHDQG
D VDPSOH SUHSDUDWLRQ SURWRFRO ZLOO KDYH WR EH VDIH IRU DOO
VDPSOHV SURFHVVHG LQFOXGLQJ DOO ZRUVW SRVVLEOH FDVHV ,Q
RWKHUZRUGVWKHDLPLVIRUSUHGLFWLRQVWKDWZLOOVXFFHVVIXOO\
DGGUHVVWKHUHDOPDOOSRVVLEOHVDPSOHW\SHVDQGOHDGWRVDIH
SUDFWLFHVDQGSURWRFROV
7KLV PHWKRG LV FDOOHG WKH ZRUVWFDVH SROLF\ :&3 DQG LW
KDVSURYHQVRIDUWREHDYHU\VWUDLJKWIRUZDUGDQGSRZHUIXO
WRRO:KDWIROORZVDUHDIHZW\SLFDOH[DPSOHVZKHUHUHVRUWLQJ
WRWKH:&3JUHDWO\VLPSOLHVWKHLVVXHVDWVWDNH
87
SHU PLOOLRQ RU SDUWV SHU ELOOLRQ ,I WKLV LV NQRZQ WR EH WKH
RQO\ H[LVWLQJ GHSHQGHQFH RI WKH VDPSOLQJ YDULDQFH RQ
FRQFHQWUDWLRQ WKH PRVW GLIFXOW VDPSOLQJ FRQGLWLRQV DUH
DXWRPDWLFDOO\ PHW DW WKH ORZHVW JUDGH RI LQWHUHVW ZKLFK
WKHUHIRUH GHQHV WKH :&3 ,Q SUDFWLFH WKH ORZHVW JUDGH RI
LQWHUHVWZLOOXVXDOO\EHWDNHQDVVRPHZKDWEHORZWKHFXWRII
JUDGHIRUDPLQHUDORIHFRQRPLFLQWHUHVWRUIRUDFRQWDPLQDQW
EHORZWKHOHYHODWZKLFKLWEHFRPHVHFRQRPLFDOO\XQLPSRUWDQW
7KHQWKHSURWRFRORUQRPRJUDPVVKRXOGEHRSWLPLVHGXVLQJ
WKH VDPSOLQJ SDUDPHWHUV FRUUHVSRQGLQJ WR WKLV ZRUVWFDVH
VFHQDULR
)RULQVWDQFHDXUDQLXPGHSRVLWZDVIRXQGWRZHOOPDWFKD
VDPSOLQJYDULDQFHIRUPXODIRU8JUDGHRIWKHIRUP
5HO9DU WG060/IRUG!FP
5HO9DU WG3060/IRUGFP
LHOLEHUDWHG
ZKHUH
Rock types
7KH VDPH DSSOLHV WR WKH KDQGOLQJ RI URFN W\SHV LQ ZKLFK
WKH HOHPHQWV RI LQWHUHVW KDYH GLIIHUHQW UHSURGXFLELOLW\
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV 7KLV ZLOO RIWHQ EH FRPELQHG ZLWK WKH PXOWL
HOHPHQWVDSSURDFKDQGDZRUVWSRVVLEOHFRPELQDWLRQURFN
W\SHHOHPHQWHWFFDQWKXVEHGHWHUPLQHGSULRUWRSURWRFRO
RSWLPLVDWLRQ
G
LVWKH3FRPPLQXWLRQVL]H
Mineral species
W
LVWKH8FRQFHQWUDWLRQLQSSP
06DQG0/
DUHWKHVDPSOHDQGORWPDVVHVUHVSHFWLYHO\
Multi-element deposits
2QO\ VOLJKWO\ PRUH FRPSOH[ WKH QH[W H[DPSOH LV WKDW RI
VDPSOLQJ LQ D PLQHUDO GHSRVLW LQ ZKLFK PDQ\ HOHPHQWV RI
LQWHUHVW LQFOXGLQJ VHYHUDO FRQWDPLQDQWV QHHG WR EH DVVD\HG
3DLUVRIVDPSOHVFDQEHXVHGWRH[WUDFWPHDVXUHPHQWYDULDQFHV
IRUHDFKRQHRIWKHVHHOHPHQWVXVXDOO\GXHWRVDPSOLQJDQG
VDPSOH SUHSDUDWLRQ DQG WR H[DPLQH ZKLFK HOHPHQWV SRVH
88
Method
,Q WKH SUHVHQFH RI D VLQJOHVWDJH VDPSOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ WKH
H[SHULPHQWDO PHWKRG LV WKH PHWKRG RI FKRLFH 7KHUHV QR
QHHGWRFDOLEUDWHVDPSOLQJIRUPXODVDWDJUHDWFRVWVLQFHWKH
SDUDPHWHUVRIWKHVDPSOLQJDUHZHOONQRZQDQG[HGDQGGR
QRWYDU\
)RU LQVWDQFH WKH SXOS QRPLQDO VL]H LV DQG WKH ZRUVW
FDVH URFNW\SH HOHPHQW LQ D VHW RI HOHPHQWV WR EH MRLQWO\
DVVD\HG KDV DOUHDG\ EHHQ GHWHUPLQHG WKHUHIRUH WKH RQO\
GHFLVLRQ LV ZKDW DVVD\ FKDUJH VKRXOG EH XVHG $QRWKHU
H[DPSOHFRXOGEHWKHFDVHZKHUHWKHSUREOHPLVGHFLGLQJRQ
KRZODUJHDVDPSOHVKRXOGEHWDNHQIURPDEODVWKROHSLOHIRU
JROGVDPSOLQJLQVNDUQV
,Q VXFK FDVHV VDPSOH GXSOLFDWHV PDNH LW SRVVLEOH WR
TXDQWLI\ WKH VDPSOLQJ YDULDQFH DWWDFKHG WR D NQRZQ
VDPSOHPDVVVHH)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ6LQFHDOORWKHU
SDUDPHWHUV DUH WKHQ [HG WKH PDVV QHFHVVDU\ WR UHDFK D
JLYHQ UHSURGXFLELOLW\ OHYHO EHLQJ LQ LQYHUVH SURSRUWLRQ WR
Difficulties
6HYHUDO GLIFXOWLHV KRZHYHU PD\ FRPSOLFDWH WKH LVVXH
LQFOXGLQJEXWQRWOLPLWHGWR
GHDOLQJZLWKWKHRYHUDOOH[SHULPHQWDOVXPRIVXFFHVVLYH
VDPSOLQJYDULDQFHV
GHDOLQJ ZLWK D VSHFLDO FRPSRQHQW LQ VXFK D VXP WKH
DQDO\WLFDO YDULDQFH ZKLFK KDV QRWKLQJ WR GR ZLWK
VDPSOLQJ
LQWKHFDVHRIJROGDFFRXQWLQJIRUWKHFKDQJHRIOLEHUDWLRQ
VL]HZLWKJUDGH
7HFKQLTXHVDQGPRGHOVWKDWDOORZIRUWKHSURSHUKDQGOLQJ
RI WKHVH FRPSOLFDWLRQV DQG WKRVH GHVFULEHG LQ SUHYLRXV
VHFWLRQV KDYH EHHQ UHSRUWHG LQ WKH VDPSOLQJ OLWHUDWXUH DW
ODUJHVRWKH\ZLOOQRWEHGLVFXVVHGKHUHHDFKRQHLVRUFRXOG
EHWKHVXEMHFWRIDIXOOSDSHU)RUGXSOLFDWHVDQGDQDO\WLFDO
HUURUVHH)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQDQGIRUJROGOLEHUDWLRQ
VL]H WUHQG FXUYHV )UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ DQG *\ ,W LV
LPSRUWDQWWKDWWKHVHDUHFRQVLGHUHGLQRUGHUWRDYRLGDQDLYH
RYHUVLPSOLVWLF DQG LQ WKH HQG PLVOHDGLQJ KDQGOLQJ RI WKH
FDOFXODWLRQVUHTXLUHG
PDQXDOVDPSOLQJELDVHVDUHDOZD\VSRVVLEOHLIQRWFHUWDLQ
DQGDUHZLWKYHU\IHZH[FHSWLRQVWUDQVLHQWXQSUHGLFWDEOH
DQGLQFRQVLVWHQWLQWLPH
DXWRPDWHGVDPSOLQJELDVHVZKHQWKH\H[LVWDUHZLWKYHU\
IHZH[FHSWLRQVFRQVLVWHQWUHSURGXFLEOHDQGTXDQWLDEOH
JOREDO ELDV FRUUHFWLRQV DUH RIWHQ DFFHSWDEOH DV D OHVVHU
HYLOEXWRQHVKRXOGUHPHPEHUWKDWZKHQDVHULHVRIGDWD
YDOXHV DUH VXEMHFWHG WR D JOREDO FRUUHFWLRQ WKH RYHUDOO
PHDQ RI WKH YDULDEOH XQGHU VWXG\ LV SURSHUO\ FRUUHFWHG
ZKLOH HYHU\ VLQJOH LQGLYLGXDO YDOXH LV DOPRVW DOZD\V
SRRUO\FRUUHFWHGDWWLPHVTXLWHJURVVO\
$VVXFK
89
&87
W
&87
TXDQWLI\WKHELDVRIWKHDXWRPDWHGVDPSOLQJYHULHGDQG
PRQLWRUHGWREHFRQVLVWHQWDQGDSSO\DELDVFRUUHFWLRQWR
WKHVDPSOLQJUHVXOWV
LQWKHXVXDOFDVHZKHUHLQFRUUHFWQHVVFUHHSVLQGXULQJWKH
RSHQLQJDQGFORVLQJSHULRGVRIWKHVDPSOLQJV\VWHPGLOXWH
WKHELDVRYHUDORQJHUVDPSOLQJGXUDWLRQWRDFDOFXODEOH
YDOXHEHORZWKHPD[LPXPWROHUDEOHELDV07%
:KHQDSSOLFDEOHWKLVVHFRQGRSWLRQFRPSOHPHQWVWKHUVW
RQHEHFDXVHLWPDNHVWKHELDVVPDOOHUDQGWKHUHIRUHWKHJOREDO
FRUUHFWLRQOHVVGDPDJLQJWRLQGLYLGXDOYDOXHV
)LJXUHVKRZVDDSW\SHEHOWVDPSOHUWKDWLOOXVWUDWHVWKLV
FRQFHSW2QVDPSOLQJWLPHWKHEXFNHWLVDGYDQFHGRQWRWKH
EHOW GLVFKDUJH VWUHDP ZKHUH LW VWD\V IRU D ZKLOH UHFHLYLQJ
WKH HQWLUH VWUHDP WKHQ LW LV ZLWKGUDZQ EDFN WR LWV RULJLQDO
SRVLWLRQ
,Q )LJXUH WKH DFWXDO VDPSOH FXW LV WUDFHG EDFN WR WKH
PDWHULDO RQ WKH EHOW ZLWK WKH RSHQLQJ DQG FORVLQJ SHULRGV
UHSUHVHQWHG LQ GLIIHUHQW FRORXUV 7KH LQFRUUHFWQHVV RI WKH
VDPSOHUDSSHDUVFOHDUO\DVWKHXSSHUPDWHULDORQWKHEHOWLV
REYLRXVO\RYHUVDPSOHG
)LQDOO\LQ)LJXUHDFXWWUDFHLVGUDZQWKDWDOORZVXVWR
DQDO\VHWKHELDVSDUDPHWHUV
QRELDV
W
ELDV
W
WKHRSHQLQJWLPHSHULRG>W@LVPHDVXUHG
WKH UHODWLYH ELDV E SHU FHQW LV WKHQ HVWLPDWHG
H[SHULPHQWDOO\ HJ FRPSDULQJ WKH ELDVHG FXW LQ \HOORZ
RQ)LJXUHWRDQHTXLYDOHQWVL]HVWRSSHGEHOWVDPSOHIRU
WKHLQWHUYDO>W@RQDQRSHQWKHQFORVHEDVLV
WKHDPRXQWWKXVFROOHFWHGLQ\HOORZLVDSSUR[LPDWHO\LQ
WKH VDPH SURSRUWLRQ WR W DV WKH WRWDO VDPSOH LV WR 7W
WKLV LV EHVW VHHQ E\ PDNLQJ WKHP HTXLYDOHQW UHFWDQJOHV
RQWKHJXUH
WKHWRWDOGLOXWHGUHODWLYHELDVLVWKHUHIRUH% EW7W
7FDQWKHUHIRUHEHFKRVHQIRU%WREHWROHUDEOHLHEHORZ
WKH07%
2QFHWKHELDVKDVEHHQDVVHVVHGH[SHULPHQWDOO\DWRWDOELDV
FRUUHFWLRQPD\WKHQEHDSSOLHGDVSUHYLRXVO\
CONCLUSIONS
7KH:&3LVWKHWRRORIFKRLFHZKHQVDPSOLQJSUREOHPVIHHO
RYHUO\FRPSOH[&RPPRQVHQVHDQGH[SHULHQFHLVQHFHVVDU\
ZKHQ XVLQJ LW ZKLFK LPSOLHV VSHFLDO WUHDWPHQW RI DVVD\
FKDUJHRSWLPLVDWLRQE\HOHPHQWDWWKHHQGRIWKHSUHSDUDWLRQ
SURWRFROV
:KHQFRQIURQWHGZLWKQRRWKHUFKRLFHEXWWRXVHLQFRUUHFW
VDPSOLQJHTXLSPHQWSUHFDXWLRQVFDQVRPHWLPHVEHWDNHQWR
PLQLPLVHWKHQHJDWLYHLPSDFWEXWWKH\VKRXOGEHXVHGRQO\
DVDODVWUHVRUW7KHSUDFWLFHRIVZLWFKLQJWRPDQXDOVDPSOLQJ
EHFDXVHWKHDXWRPDWHGHTXLSPHQWLVLQFRUUHFWRUIDXOW\LVQRW
HQFRXUDJHG 6KRXOG WKLV EH QHFHVVDU\ SURSHUO\ PRQLWRUHG
DQG TXDQWLHG ELDV WHVWLQJ ZLOO DOORZ IRU D EHWWHU VROXWLRQ
ZKHQXVLQJWKHHTXLSPHQWDWOHDVWWHPSRUDULO\
REFERENCES
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Consultant, MASSA Geoservices, 8 Burnettia Lane, Mount Claremont WA 6010. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
(YDOXDWLRQRIWKHPLQLQJSURMHFWDQGH[SORLWDWLRQRIWKHPLQHV
GHSHQGVRQWKHTXDOLW\DQGTXDQWLW\RIDQDO\WLFDOGDWDWKDWLV
XVXDOO\ REWDLQHG E\ DVVD\LQJ GULOO KROH VDPSOHV GLVWULEXWHG
RQUHJXODUJULGV8QFHUWDLQW\RIWKHHVWLPDWHGJUDGHVGHSHQGV
RQWKHDVVD\VSUHFLVLRQ2LHUHSHDWDELOLW\VSDFLQJRIWKHGULOO
KROHVDQGVSDWLDOFRQWLQXLW\RIWKHVWXGLHGYDULDEOHV
7KHFXUUHQWVWXG\SUHVHQWVDQHZDSSURDFKIRURSWLPLVLQJ
VDPSOLQJ JULGV ,W LV EDVHG RQ TXDQWLWDWLYH HVWLPDWLRQ RI
VSDWLDO FRQWLQXLW\ RI WKH VWXGLHG YDULDEOH DQG FRPSDULQJ
LW ZLWK VDPSOLQJ HUURU 4XDQWLFDWLRQ RI ERWK SDUDPHWHUV
DOORZV GHQLWLRQ RI DQ RSWLPDO DQG FRVWHIIHFWLYH WUDGHRII
EHWZHHQGULOOKROHVSDFLQJDQGVDPSOLQJSURWRFRO$E]DORY
:KHQWKHDSSURDFKLVDSSOLHGWRPLQLQJJUDGHFRQWURO
V\VWHPVWKHUDWLREHWZHHQTXDOLW\DQGTXDQWLW\RIWKHVDPSOHV
FDQEHRSWLPLVHGE\FRQVLGHULQJWKHFRVWVRIORVWUHFRYHUHG
RUH 7KH PHWKRGRORJ\ ZDV SUHVHQWHG DW WKH ,QWHUQDWLRQDO
*HRORJLFDO &RQJUHVV KHOG LQ LQ %ULVEDQH $XVWUDOLD
$E]DORYDDQGLWLVGHVFULEHGLQWKHFXUUHQWSDSHUDQG
GHPRQVWUDWHGXVLQJVHYHUDOFDVHVWXGLHV
METHODOLOGY
*HRVWDWLVWLFDOO\ GHGXFHG XQFHUWDLQW\ HUURU LQ 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV $E]DORY DQG %RZHU
%ODFNZHOO-RXUQHODQG+XLMEUHJWV$QQHOV
LV ODUJHO\ GHSHQGHQW RQ WKH QXJJHW HIIHFW3 RI WKH VWXGLHG
YDULDEOH ZKLFK LV FDXVHG E\ VDPSOLQJ HUURU DQG VSDWLDO
2. Precision is a measure of how close sample values are to one another (Abzalov, 2008).
Variography analysis
6SDWLDOFRQWLQXLW\RIWKHUHJLRQDOLVHGYDULDEOHVLVHVWLPDWHG
E\FDOFXODWLQJWKHDYHUDJHGLIIHUHQFHEHWZHHQWKHGDWDSRLQWV
>=xi=xih@VHSDUDWHGE\WKHYHFWRUhDQGH[SUHVVLQJ
LW DV D IXQFWLRQ RI GLVWDQFH DQG GLUHFWLRQ RI WKH YHFWRU h
'HSHQGLQJ RQ WKH FKRVHQ IXQFWLRQ GLIIHUHQW PHDVXUHV RI
WKH VSDWLDO FRQWLQXLW\ FDQ EH DSSOLHG *RRYDHUWV
7KH YDULRJUDP LV WKH PRVW FRPPRQ JHRVWDWLVWLFDO WRRO
XVHG LQ WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ IRU TXDQWLWDWLYH GHQLWLRQ RI
1991).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
91
FIG 1 - Map of the modelled uranium grades showing impact of the nugget effect on model uncertainty.
VSDWLDO FRQWLQXLW\ RI YDULRXV JHRORJLFDO DWWULEXWHV VXFK DV
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQJUDGHVPHWDODFFXPXODWLRQVDQGWKLFNQHVVHV
RIPLQHUDOLVHG]RQHV,WLVDOVRDEDVLVRINULJLQJWKHPRVW
FRPPRQ JHRVWDWLVWLFDO DOJRULWKP IRU JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ
*RRYDHUWV7KHFRQYHQWLRQDOYDULRJUDPLVFDOFXODWHG
DV KDOI RI WKH VTXDUHG GLIIHUHQFH EHWZHHQ GDWD SRLQWV
VHSDUDWHGE\DYHFWRUh:KHQGDWDLVVWURQJO\VNHZHGDQG
FRQWDLQVRXWOLHUVWKHVSDWLDOFRQWLQXLW\FDQEHHQKDQFHGE\
XVLQJ GLIIHUHQW PRGHOV 7KH SDLUZLVH UHODWLYH YDULRJUDP LV
SDUWLFXODUO\ XVHIXO IRU YDULDEOHV FKDUDFWHULVHG E\ VWURQJO\
VNHZHG VWDWLVWLFDO GLVWULEXWLRQV DQG ZKHQ RXWOLHUV DUH
SUHVHQW *RRYDHUWV ,W LV FDOFXODWHG E\ GLYLGLQJ
QRUPDOLVLQJWKHYDULRJUDPE\WKHDULWKPHWLFPHDQVRIWKH
FRUUHVSRQGLQJSDLUVRIGDWD(TXDWLRQ
2
c PWR (h) =
N
i=1
(1)
ZKHUH
=xi
WKHVWXGLHGUHJLRQDOLVHGYDULDEOH=DWWKHORFDWLRQ
(xi)
CV% = 100%
2
N
/ e ((aa + bb))
N
i=1
(2)
ZKHUH
N
ai
bi
QXPEHURIVDPSOHSDLUV
WKHRULJLQDO
WKHGXSOLFDWHRIWKHithVDPSOHSDLU
6WDQOH\ DQG /DZLH KDYH VKRZQ WKDW (TXDWLRQ
GHQRWHV WKH FRHIFLHQW RI YDULDWLRQ &9 HVWLPDWHG IURP
92
/DWHU LW ZDV VKRZQ $E]DORY WKDW WKLV HTXDWLRQ LV
EDVHGRQWKHVDPHH[SUHVVLRQDVSDLUZLVHUHODWLYHYDULRJUDPV
(TXDWLRQ WKHUHIRUH ZKHQ LW LV XVHG IRU HVWLPDWLQJ WKH
VDPSOHV SUHFLVLRQ WKH DVVD\ GDWD YDULDQFH FDQ EH GLUHFWO\
FRPSDUHGZLWKVSDWLDOYDULDELOLW\RIWKHVWXGLHGYDULDEOH
v
RSV
/ [Z (x ) + Z (x + h)]
N
SDLUHGGDWDLHDVVD\HGVDPSOHVDQGWKHLUGXSOLFDWHV$E]DORY
KDV DQDO\VHG WKLV FULWHULRQ E\ DSSO\LQJ LW WR
GLIIHUHQW FRPPRGLWLHV DQG PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ VW\OHV DQG VKRZQ
WKDW LW SURGXFHV VWDEOH DQG UREXVW HVWLPDWHV RI VDPSOLQJ
SUHFLVLRQ LQGHSHQGHQW RI VWDWLVWLFDO GLVWULEXWLRQV RI WKH
VWXGLHGYDULDEOHVDQGZKHUHRXWOLHUVDUHSUHVHQW
2
N
2
N
6Z (x i) - Z (x i + 0)@2
/ 6Z (x ) + Z (x + 0)@2
i
i
i=1
N
/ e (a + b )
N
i=1
(ai - bi)
i
=
(3)
6DPSOLQJYDULDQFHFDQEHDOVRDSSUR[LPDWHO\GHGXFHGE\
HVWLPDWLQJ IXQGDPHQWDO VDPSOLQJ HUURU )6( JHQHUDWHG DW
HDFK VWDJH RI WKH VDPSOLQJ SURWRFRO )UDQFRLV%RQJDUoRQ
3LWDUG +RZHYHU WKLV DSSURDFK LV OHVV SUDFWLFDO
EHFDXVH )6( GHSHQGV RQO\ RQ FRQVWLWXWLRQDO KHWHURJHQHLW\
RIWKHVDPSOHGPDWHULDODQGGRHVQRWFRYHURWKHUVRXUFHVRI
VDPSOLQJHUURUVIRUH[DPSOHSRVVLEOHGHOLPLWDWLRQHUURUVRU
JURXSLQJDQGVHJUHJDWLRQHUURUV$E]DORY
Geostatistical Criteria for Choosing Optimal Ratio between Quality and Quantity of the Samples Method and Case Studies|M Z Abzalov
FIG 2 - Sketch explaining the principals of the proposed method allowing separating contributions to the
geostatistical nugget effect made by sample precision errors from geological factors.
%\ FRPSDULQJ WKH WZR FRQWULEXWLRQV DQ RSWLPDO DSSURDFK
FDQ EH IRXQG IRU GHFUHDVLQJ WKH RYHUDOO QXJJHW HIIHFW )RU
H[DPSOH ZKHQ VDPSOLQJ HUURU FRQVWLWXWHV PRVW RI WKH
QXJJHW HIIHFW LPSURYLQJ TXDOLW\ RI WKH UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV
DQGUHOLDELOLW\RIWKHUHVXOWVFDQEHDFKLHYHGE\XSGDWLQJWKH
VDPSOLQJSURWRFROV7KLVLVOLNHO\WREHPRUHFRVWHIIHFWLYHWKDQ
DGGLWLRQDOLQOOGULOOLQJZLWKVKRUWHUGLVWDQFHVEHWZHHQKROHV
$OWHUQDWLYHO\ LI WKH FRPSDULVRQ VKRZV WKDW WKH QXJJHW
HIIHFW LV ODUJHO\ FDXVHG E\ JHRORJLFDO IDFWRUV LQYHVWLQJ LQ
XSGDWLQJ VDPSOLQJ SURFHGXUHV ZLOO DGG OLWWOH LI DQ\WKLQJ WR
LPSURYLQJWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVDQGDWWHQWLRQ
VKRXOGEHWRIRFXVRQRSWLPLVLQJWKHGULOOVSDFLQJ
CASE STUDIES
Grade control procedures at the Yandi mine, Australia
*UDGHFRQWUROSURFHVVHVDWWKH<DQGLFKDQQHOLURQRUHRSHQSLW
ORFDWHGLQWKH3LOEDUDUHJLRQRI:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLDDUHEDVHG
RQ VDPSOLQJ EODVWKROHV GULOOHG RQ D P JULG $E]DORY
et al$WWKLVPLQH$O223DQG6L22DUHWKHPDLQ
GHOHWHULRXV FRPSRQHQWV WKDW DUH PDLQO\ DFFRPPRGDWHG LQ
WKHFOD\PLQHUDOV&RQWHQWRIWKHVHFRPSRQHQWVWRJHWKHUZLWK
)HJUDGHLVXVHGIRUVHSDUDWLRQRIWKHPLQHGRUHIURPZDVWH
DQGFODVVLFDWLRQRIWKHRUHW\SHV7KHOHYHORIWKHGHOHWHULRXV
FRPSRQHQWVPDLQO\$O223LVORZHUDQGOHVVYDULDEOHDWWKH
FHQWUHRIWKHFKDQQHOWKDQDWWKHHGJHVWKDWUHHFWGLVWULEXWLRQ
RIFOD\PLQHUDOVRFFXUULQJDWWKH<DQGLGHSRVLWDVLUUHJXODUO\
GLVWULEXWHG FOD\ SRGV RI KLJKO\ YDULDEOH VL]HV DQG VKDSHV
)LJXUH,WZDVQRWHGWKDWWKHSUHVHQFHRIFOD\SRGVDWWKH
<DQGLPLQHLVWKHPDLQIDFWRUFDXVLQJH[FHVVLYHYDULDELOLW\RI
Al223FRQWHQWDWVKRUWGLVWDQFHV$E]DORY et al
FIG 3 - Diagrams explaining the principals of optimisation drill grids and sampling protocols and considering their impact on the project economics: (A) calculating
the amount of misclassified ore and waste using the error quadrant; (B) comparing two sampling protocols and estimating the costs of misclassified ore and waste.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
93
FIG 4 - Map showing distribution of the Al2O3 at the Yandi open pit.
7KHSUHFLVLRQHUURUVIRU$O2236L22DQG)HZHUHHVWLPDWHG
XVLQJ SXEOLVKHG GDWD $E]DORY et al ZKLFK LQFOXGHV
EODVWKROH VDPSOH GXSOLFDWH SDLUV 7KH QXJJHW HIIHFWV
RI $O223 6L22 DQG )H ZHUH GHGXFHG IURP WKH SDLUZLVH
UHODWLYH YDULRJUDP PRGHOV $E]DORY et al 5HVXOWV DUH
VXPPDULVHGLQ7DEOH
&RPSDULVRQ RI WKH 3:5 (0 DQG 569 YDOXHV VKRZV WKDW
VDPSOLQJHUURU2569FRQVWLWXWHVDSSUR[LPDWHO\SHUFHQW
RIWKHQXJJHWHIIHFW3:5 (0RI$O2237DEOH7KLVVXJJHVWV
WKDWWKHJHRORJLFDOIDFWRUVFRQVWLWXWLQJDSSUR[LPDWHO\SHU
FHQW RI WKH QXJJHW HIIHFW RI $O223 DUH WKH PDLQ UHDVRQ RI
GLVFRQWLQXLW\RIWKH$O223YDOXHVRYHUVKRUWGLVWDQFHV6RXUFH
RIWKHQXJJHWHIIHFWRI6L22LVDSSDUHQWO\GLIIHUHQWDQGODUJHO\
FDXVHG E\ VDPSOLQJ HUURUV &XUUHQW VWXG\ VXJJHVWV WKDW
VDPSOLQJHUURUFRQVWLWXWHVDSSUR[LPDWHO\SHUFHQWRIWKH
QXJJHWHIIHFWRI6L227DEOH
2
TABLE 1
Statistical parameters deduced from pairs of the blasthole samples, Yandi iron ore mine.
94
Al2O3
SiO2
Fe
553
553
553
Mean (1) %
1.4
4.4
58.8
Mean (2) %
1.4
4.4
58.7
0.8
1.4
1.2
0.8
1.5
1.3
Correlation
0.88
0.88
0.8
0.0216
0.0077
0.0001
Nugget effect
0.0450
0.0110
0.0003
0.0234
0.0033
0.0002
Geostatistical Criteria for Choosing Optimal Ratio between Quality and Quantity of the Samples Method and Case Studies|M Z Abzalov
TABLE 2
Statistical parameters of the bauxite mineralisation.
R-SiO2
LOI
1869
1869
2107
Mean (1) %
27.1
6.9
18.7
Mean (2) %
27.0
6.9
18.6
16.6
6.4
7.7
16.6
6.4
7.6
Correlation
0.98
0.96
0.99
0.0385
0.0569
0.0217
Nugget effect
0.0600
0.1100
0.0250
0.0215
0.0531
0.0033
Al2O3
RI WKH QXJJHW HIIHFW TXDOLW\ RI WKH UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV FDQ
EH LPSURYHG E\ XSGDWLQJ WKH VDPSOLQJ SURWRFROV ZLWKRXW
FKDQJLQJ WKH GULOOLQJ JULGV WR VKRUWHU GLVWDQFHV EHWZHHQ
KROHV $OWHUQDWLYHO\ LI WKH QXJJHW HIIHFW LV ODUJHO\ FDXVHG
E\ JHRORJLFDO IDFWRUV XSGDWLQJ VDPSOLQJ SURFHGXUHV ZLOO
EH LQVXIFLHQW IRU LPSURYLQJ WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH UHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWHV KHQFH DWWHQWLRQ VKRXOG EH IRFXVHG RQ WLJKWHQLQJ
WKHGULOOJULG
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRU ZRXOG OLNH WR WKDQN KLV FROOHDJXHV DW 5LR 7LQWR
LQSDUWLFXODU-3KLOOLSVDQG-%RZHUIRUSURYLGLQJWKHLUGDWD
IRUWKHFXUUHQWVWXG\7KHDXWKRUKDVEHQHWHGIURPKLJKO\
VWLPXODWLQJ GLVFXVVLRQV ZLWK * %URDGEHQW DQG & :HOWRQ
$WKRURXJK UHYLHZ RI WKH PDQXVFULSW E\ WKH $XV,00
UHYLHZHULVDOVRJUDWHIXOO\DFNQRZOHGJHG
REFERENCES
$E]DORY 0 = 4XDOLW\ FRQWURO RI DVVD\ GDWD D UHYLHZ RI
SURFHGXUHV IRU PHDVXULQJ DQG PRQLWRULQJ SUHFLVLRQ DQG
DFFXUDF\Exploration and Mining Geology
CONCLUSIONS
$E]DORY0=8VHRIWZLQQHGGULOOKROHVLQPLQHUDOUHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQExploration and Mining Geology
$E]DORY0=*HRVWDWLVWLFDODSSURDFKIRUHVWLPDWLRQVDPSOLQJ
SUHFLVLRQ LQ 3URFHHGLQJV )LIWK :RUOG ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 6DPSOLQJ
&RQIHUHQFHHGV0$OIDUR(0DJULDQG)3LWDUGSS
*HFDPLQ6DQWLDJR
TABLE 3
Proportions of the misclassified blocks estimated applying the error quadrants approach to the three models presented in Figure 1.
CV%
a
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
10.1%
18.3%
27.2%
3%
5%
>10%
a. Proportion (per cent) of the misclassified blocks relative to total amount of mined ore blocks.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
95
$E]DORY0=D2SWLPLVDWLRQJUDGHFRQWUROSURFHGXUHVDWWKH
RSHQ SLW PLQHV FRQVLGHULQJ VDPSOHV TXDOLW\ GULOO VSDFLQJ DQG
WKH SURMHFW HFRQRPLFV SDSHU SUHVHQWHG WR WK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO
*HRORJLFDO&RQJUHVV,*&
$E]DORY0=E6DQGVWRQHKRVWHGXUDQLXPGHSRVLWVDPHQDEOH
IRU H[SORLWDWLRQ E\ LQVLWX OHDFKLQJ WHFKQRORJLHV Transactions of
WKH ,QVWLWXWLRQV RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\ $SSOLHG (DUWK 6FLHQFH
%%
$E]DORY 0 = DQG %RZHU - 2SWLPLVDWLRQ RI WKH GULOO JULG DW
WKH :HLSD EDX[LWH GHSRVLW XVLQJ FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ LQ
Proceedings Seventh International Mining Geology Conference
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
$E]DORY0=0HQ]HO%:ODVHQNR0DQG3KLOOLSV-*UDGH
FRQWURODW<DQGLLURQRUHPLQH3LOEDUDUHJLRQ:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLD
FRPSDUDWLYH VWXG\ RI WKH EODVWKROHV DQG UHYHUVH FLUFXODWLRQ
KROHV VDPSOLQJ LQ 3URFHHGLQJV ,URQ 2UH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
$E]DORY 0 = 0HQ]HO % :ODVHQNR 0 DQG 3KLOOLSV -
2SWLPLVDWLRQRIWKHJUDGHFRQWUROSURFHGXUHVDWWKH<DQGLLURQ
RUHPLQH:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLDJHRVWDWLVWLFDODSSURDFKTransactions
RIWKH,QVWLWXWLRQVRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\$SSOLHG(DUWK6FLHQFH
%%
96
$QQHOV(0LQHUDO'HSRVLW(YDOXDWLRQ$3UDFWLFDO$SSURDFKS
&KDSPDQDQG+DOO/RQGRQ
%ODFNZHOO * 5HODWLYH NULJLQJ HUURUV D EDVLV IRU PLQHUDO
UHVRXUFHFODVVLFDWLRQExploration and Mining Geology
)UDQFRLV%RQJDUoRQ'7KHSUDFWLVHRIWKHVDPSOLQJWKHRU\RI
EURNHQRUHCIM Bulletin
*RRYDHUWV3Geostatistics for Natural Resources EvaluationS
2[IRUG8QLYHUVLW\3UHVV1HZ<RUN
,QWHUQDWLRQDO$WRPLF(QHUJ\$JHQF\,$($0DQXDORIDFLG in
situOHDFKXUDQLXPWHFKQRORJ\7(&'2&,QWHUQDWLRQDO
$WRPLF(QHUJ\$JHQF\9LHQQD
-RXUQHO $ * DQG +XLMEUHJWV & - Mining Geostatistics S
$FDGHPLF3UHVV1HZ<RUN
2OHD5$HGGeostatistical Glossary and Multilingual Dictionary
S2[IRUG8QLYHUVLW\3UHVV1HZ<RUN
3LWDUG ) ) 3LHUUH *\V 6DPSOLQJ 7KHRU\ DQG 6DPSOLQJ 3UDFWLVH
VHFRQGHGLWLRQS&5&3UHVV%RFD5DWRQ
6WDQOH\ & 5 DQG /DZLH ' $YHUDJH UHODWLYH HUURU LQ
JHRFKHPLFDOGHWHUPLQDWLRQVFODULFDWLRQFDOFXODWLRQDQGDSOHD
IRUFRQVLVWHQF\Exploration and Mining Geology
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Principal, Golder Associates Pty Ltd, 147 Coronation Drive, Milton Qld 4064. Email: [email protected]
2. FAusIMM(CP), Principal Geologist, Golder Associates Pty Ltd, 147 Coronation Drive, Milton Qld 4064. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published in the first edition of Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice (2001).
INTRODUCTION
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV DUH HVWLPDWHG IURP WKUHH
SDUDPHWHUVJUDGHYROXPHDQGGU\EXONGHQVLW\*UDGHVDUH
XVXDOO\ HVWLPDWHG E\ ZHLJKWDYHUDJLQJ WKH JUDGHV RI GULOO
KROH VDPSOHV &RPPRQO\ PDQ\ WKRXVDQGV RI VDPSOHV ZLOO
EH FROOHFWHG DQG DVVD\HG 'XSOLFDWH VDPSOHV DUH FROOHFWHG
LQ WKH HOG DQG DOWHUQDWLYH GULOOLQJ PHWKRGV PD\ EH XVHG
WR HYDOXDWH WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH VDPSOHV ,QWHUODERUDWRU\ DQG
LQWUDODERUDWRU\FKHFNVDUHFDUULHGRXWWRHQVXUHWKDWDVVD\V
DUHSUHFLVHUHSHDWDEOHDQGDFFXUDWHXQELDVHG9DULRJUDP
VWXGLHVPD\EHFDUULHGRXWWRDVVHVVWKHFRQWLQXLW\RIJUDGHV
DQG GHWHUPLQH DSSURSULDWH ZHLJKWV IRU JUDGH LQWHUSRODWLRQ
E\NULJLQJ
9ROXPHV RI PLQHUDOLVHG PDWHULDOV DUH LQWHUSUHWHG RQ
VHFWLRQVDQGRUSODQVUHQHGLQ'DQGPRGHOOHGDVVROLGV
DQGVXUIDFHVXVLQJDYDULHW\RIPLQLQJVRIWZDUH
)LQDOO\ YROXPH HVWLPDWHV DUH FRQYHUWHG WR WRQQDJH
HVWLPDWHVE\PXOWLSO\LQJE\WKHGU\EXONGHQVLW\$OWKRXJK
WKHGHQVLW\LVDPDMRUSDUDPHWHULQWKHQDOHVWLPDWHRIERWK
RUH WRQQDJH DQG FRQWDLQHG SURGXFW HVWLPDWLRQ RI GHQVLW\
FRPPRQO\UHFHLYHVOHVVDWWHQWLRQWKDQLVSDLGWRJHRFKHPLFDO
GDWDDQGPD\EHEDVHGRQIHZHUGDWDSRLQWVGHULYHGIURPOHVV
FRQWUROOHGPHDVXUHPHQWSUDFWLFHV4$4&SURFHVVHVWKDWDUH
URXWLQHO\DSSOLHGWRVDPSOLQJDQGJHRFKHPLFDODQDO\VLVDUH
OHVVFRPPRQO\DSSOLHGWRWKHFROOHFWLRQRIGHQVLW\GDWD\HW
DUHHTXDOO\LPSRUWDQW
7KLVSDSHUUHYLHZVDUDQJHRIPHWKRGVWKDWPD\EHXVHGWR
PHDVXUH EXON GHQVLW\ LQ PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV UDQJLQJ IURP WKH
PLOOLPHWUHVFDOHWRODUJHEXONVDPSOHV,WLVDUHYLVLRQRIDSDSHU
LQWKHSUHYLRXVHGLWLRQRIWKLVPRQRJUDSK/LSWRQDQG
DQHDUOLHUSDSHUWKDWIRFXVHGVSHFLFDOO\RQPHDVXUHPHQWRI
EXONGHQVLW\IRULURQRUHGHSRVLWV/LSWRQ$FRPSDQLRQ
SDSHU GLVFXVVHG WKH PDQLSXODWLRQ RI EXON GHQVLW\ GDWD DQG
WKH H[WHQVLRQ RI WKH GDWD IURP HVVHQWLDOO\ SRLQW HVWLPDWHV WR
'HVWLPDWHVLQ5HVRXUFHPRGHOV/LSWRQ
'HQVLW\ PD\ EH H[SUHVVHG LQ VHYHUDO ZD\V 7DEOH DQG
FDUH VKRXOG EH WDNHQ WR HQVXUH WKDW WKH FRUUHFW GHQVLW\
PHDVXUHPHQW LV XVHG $VVD\ GDWD DQG RUH JUDGHV DUH
GHWHUPLQHG DQG H[SUHVVHG RQ D GU\ ZHLJKW SHUFHQWDJH
EDVLV XQOHVV RWKHUZLVH VWDWHG 7KHUHIRUH ZKHQ HVWLPDWLQJ
5HVRXUFHV DQG 5HVHUYHV LW LV W\SLFDOO\ WKH GU\ EXON GHQVLW\
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
97
TABLE 1
Description of key terms.
Term
Units
Specific gravity
Density
Definition
t/m
t/m3
Grain density
t/m3
Apparent porosity
Total porosity
Moisture content
PD\ RFFXU DW GLIIHUHQW VFDOHV 3ULPDU\ SRURVLW\ LQ WKH IRUP
RI LQWHUJUDQXODU RU LQWHUFU\VWDOOLQH SRUH VSDFH RU YHVLFOHV
LV XVXDOO\ VPDOO VFDOH ZKHUHDV VHFRQGDU\ SRURVLW\ DULVLQJ
IURPVROXWLRQDQGIUDFWXULQJRIWKHURFNVPD\EHODUJHVFDOH
7KHVHGLIIHUHQFHVLQVFDOHPXVWEHWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQWLQWKH
HVWLPDWLRQ RI ,6%' ,Q WKH LURQ RUH GHSRVLWV RI WKH 3LOEDUD
UHJLRQ RI :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD WKH RUH LV FRPPRQO\ KLJKO\
SRURXVGXHWRWKHOHDFKLQJRIPLQHUDOVIURPWKHEDQGHGLURQ
IRUPDWLRQV3RURVLW\PD\UDQJHIURPIRXUSHUFHQWWRLQH[FHVV
RI SHU FHQW GXH WR WKH SUHVHQFH RI YRLGV RI RU OHVV
0RUULV $W WKH RWKHU HQG RI WKH VFDOH UHPRELOLVDWLRQ
RI LURQ DQG VLOLFD QHDU WKH WHUWLDU\ ZHDWKHULQJ VXUIDFH KDV
UHVXOWHGLQWKHGHYHORSPHQWRIODUJHLUUHJXODUFDYLWLHVZLWKLQ
WKHKDUGFDSKRUL]RQ
In situ PRLVWXUH FRQWHQW DOVR FRQWULEXWHV VLJQLFDQWO\ WR
,6%' *HRSK\VLFDO GHQVLW\ ORJJLQJ EHORZ WKH ZDWHU WDEOH
PHDVXUHV ,6%' UDWKHU WKDQ GU\ EXON GHQVLW\ DQG PXVW EH
VXSSOHPHQWHG ZLWK PHDVXUHPHQWV RU HVWLPDWHV RI PRLVWXUH
FRQWHQWLI5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQLVWREHFDUULHGRXW$QHXWURQ
ORJ PD\ EH UXQ LQ FRQMXQFWLRQ ZLWK WKH JDPPDJDPPD
GHQVLW\WRROWRPHDVXUHPRLVWXUHFRQWHQWDQGSRURVLW\'ULOO
FRUH PD\ FRQWDLQ QDWXUDO PRLVWXUH DQGRU ZDWHU DGGHG
WKURXJK WKH GULOO VWULQJ RU PD\ ORVH in situ PRLVWXUH DV WKH
FRUHGULHVDIWHUUHWULHYDOIURPWKHGULOOKROH,IWKHFRUHGURFN
LVQDWXUDOO\VDWXUDWHGEHIRUHGULOOLQJERWK,6%'DQGGU\EXON
GHQVLW\PD\EHUHDGLO\REWDLQHGLIDSSURSULDWHFRUHKDQGOLQJ
SURFHGXUHVDUHLQSODFH
7KH LQWHUSOD\ EHWZHHQ WKHVH IDFWRUV FDQ EH FRPSOH[ )RU
H[DPSOHWKHLQFUHDVHLQLURQJUDGHZLWKLQDQLURQRUHGHSRVLW
PD\OHDGWRHLWKHUDQLQFUHDVHRUGHFUHDVHLQEXONGHQVLW\,I
WKHLQFUHDVHLQJUDGHLVGXHWROHDFKLQJRIJDQJXHWKHSRURVLW\
ZLOOLQFUHDVHDQGWKHUHPD\EHDQHWGHFUHDVHLQEXONGHQVLW\
&RQYHUVHO\LIWKHLURQJUDGHLQFUHDVHVGXHWRWKHUHSODFHPHQW
RIORZGHQVLW\JDQJXHPLQHUDOVE\LQWURGXFHGLURQWKHEXON
GHQVLW\ PD\ LQFUHDVH 7KLV LOOXVWUDWHV WKH QHHG IRU FDXWLRQ
ZKHQ GHWHUPLQLQJ SUHGLFWLYH UHODWLRQVKLSV EHWZHHQ EXON
GHQVLW\DQGDVVD\GDWD
$IXUWKHUFRQVHTXHQFHRIWKHH[SUHVVLRQRIJUDGHVLQWHUPV
RI GU\ ZHLJKW SHUFHQWDJH LV WKDW WKHRUHWLFDOO\ DYHUDJLQJ RI
JUDGHVRXJKWWREHFDUULHGRXWRQDGU\ZHLJKWEDVLV5DWKHU
WKDQ ZHLJKWLQJ JUDGHV E\ VDPSOH OHQJWK RU VWDQGDUGLVLQJ
VDPSOHVXSSRUWRQDYROXPHWULFEDVLVVDPSOHJUDGHVVKRXOG
EH DYHUDJHG E\ ZHLJKW 7KH JHRVWDWLVWLFDO FRQFHSW RI HTXDO
VDPSOH VXSSRUW LV EDVHG RQ XQLIRUP ZHLJKW DOWKRXJK LQ
SUDFWLFH LW LV PRUH RIWHQ DSSOLHG WR XQLIRUP VDPSOH OHQJWKV
RUYROXPHZLWKDQLPSOLFLWDVVXPSWLRQRIFRQVWDQWGHQVLW\
$VLOOXVWUDWHGE\'DGVRQZKHUHWKHFRQWUDVWEHWZHHQ
WKH GHQVLW\ RI VDPSOHV LV YHU\ ODUJH DV PD\ EH WKH FDVH LQ
VRPHEDVHPHWDOGHSRVLWVDYHUDJLQJE\YROXPHPD\SURGXFH
VLJQLFDQW HUURUV LQ JUDGH HVWLPDWHV 6DPSOH VXSSRUW DQG
RWKHU DVSHFWV RI WKH LQFRUSRUDWLRQ RI EXON GHQVLW\ GDWD LQWR
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVDUHGLVFXVVHGLQ/LSWRQ
$V ZLWK JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ RI GHQVLW\ ZLWKLQ JHRORJLFDO
PRGHOV PXVW EH FRQWUROOHG E\ D WKRURXJK XQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RI WKH JHRORJLFDO FRQWUROV RQ RUH IRUPDWLRQ DQG WKHUH PXVW
EH VXIFLHQW GDWD WR FKDUDFWHULVH YDULDWLRQ ZLWKLQ DOO WKH
VLJQLFDQW PDWHULDO W\SHV LQ WKH PLQHUDO GHSRVLW &ROOHFWLRQ
RI GHQVLW\ PHDVXUHPHQWV VKRXOG EH DQ LQWHJUDO SDUW RI
WKH SURFHVV RI H[SORUDWLRQ DQG GHQLWLRQ RI WKH 5HVRXUFH
7KH QXPEHU RI PHDVXUHPHQWV UHTXLUHG ZLOO GHSHQG RQ WKH
YDULDELOLW\RIGHQVLW\ZLWKLQHDFKPDWHULDOW\SH
td =
ms
V
2
V = r #c d m # l
2h
2
3
^ 2
A = c w + h m cos-1e w - 4h o - w + wh
2
2
8h 2
16
hh
4
^
^w + 4h h
where:
Calliper method
This method is applicable to good quality drill core samples.
It is described in the Australian Standard, Methods of
sampling and testing asphalt determination of bulk density
of compacted asphalt mensuration method (Standards
Australia, 2005c).
The ends of the core sample should ideally be cut with
a saw perpendicular to the long axis of the core to create a
regular cylindrical sample. The diameter of the core (d) is
determined with a pair of callipers, and the measurements
should be taken at several points and the results averaged.
The length of the core (l) is determined with a tape measure.
The mass of the dry solids (ms) is determined by weighing the
core after drying on an accurate and precise balance.
The dry bulk density (d ) is calculated by:
cos-1
99
ms
mw + ^msat - msh
100
ms
mw - (ms + wax - ms)
twax
ms
ms - ms in water
ms
(ms wax - ms wax in water) +
+
ms wax - ms
+
twax
td =
ms
msat - msat in water
ms
^m3 - m1h - ^m2 - m1h -
a plastic bottle with a valve and cone for pouring the sand
a at metal template with a central hole that provides a
pattern for digging a cylindrical hole into the test material
and a rm base for the pouring equipment
Container
5Lapprox
ms + wax - ms
t wax
Funnel
Tap
Cone
160mmor
210mmapprox
Hole150mmor200mm
(withoptionallocationlip,2mmhigh)
101
m11
m12
td = l # r #
d 2
c2m
m3 - m1 - ^n # m2h
where:
w
m1
# tx
m4 + m3 - m2
FIG 2 - Comparison of dry bulk density data showing effect of food wrap on buoyancy.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
103
MOISTURE CONTENT
The moisture content of rocks and soils and their behaviour
during drying can be highly variable. Consequently, when
measuring bulk density it is important to choose a method
appropriate to the condition of the samples and to manage the
moisture content of the samples from the point of collection.
Many fresh rock samples can be quickly and effectively
dried in the sun and, if their porosity is low, the dry bulk
density can be directly measured using the calliper method or
water immersion methods. By contrast, samples containing
sedimentary, supergene or hydrothermal clay minerals can
present a challenge for measurement of density.
Clay-bearing samples may contain moisture that is slow
to release by sun-drying or the samples may shrink or crack
during drying leading to an underestimation of the volume
of the sample. Extreme examples of this are found in the
limonite and transition zones of wet tropic nickel laterites
in Asia. Some of the highly leached limonite and saprolites
derived from ultramac bedrock may have in situ moisture
contents of up to 65 per cent, with wet bulk densities as low
as 1.3 t/m3 and in situ dry bulk densities as low as 0.45 t m3.
In such cases, the process of drying will commonly result
in shrinkage of the samples. Consequently, methods that
measure the bulk density and moisture content of wet or
saturated samples should be chosen, from which the dry bulk
density can be derived.
In order to obtain reliable measures of in situ moisture
content, samples should be sealed in plastic bags as soon
as they are collected in the eld to prevent drying. Sealing
in plastic is also advisable for unsaturated samples if they
are prone to shrinkage or if they are hygroscopic and may
absorb moisture from the atmosphere. The possibility of
the articial addition of water to the samples located above
the water table must also be considered. Drilling uids that
are normally used for core drilling and occasionally used
for percussion drilling may be absorbed by the samples
even before they are delivered to the surface. Even if in situ
estimates of moisture content cannot be obtained, the
moisture content of every sample at the time of the bulk
density measurement must still be known in order to derive
the dry bulk density.
Moisture content is determined in the laboratory by heating
the sample in an oven to around 105 - 110C for several hours.
This releases the free water from the interstitial pore spaces
and the moisture content is calculated from the difference in
104
MC = 100 #
mwet - mdry
mdry
and
td =
tw
1 + MC
100
mwet - mdry
mwet
and
t d = tw # 100 - MC
100
When calculating the dry bulk density from wet bulk
density measurement, the moisture content must be obtained
from the same sample. The use of average moisture content
values from other samples should generally be unnecessary,
and avoided.
50
50
` 8.9 + 2.7 j
100
LARGE-SCALE METHODS
For projects that are already in the production stage, or for
which trial mining or bulk sample extraction is possible, large
= 4.14 t/m
105
106
process design
detailed documentation of sampling and measurement
procedures, as would be expected for geochemical
data
testing of methods prior to implementation of the
system
regular calibration and validation
daily checks on scales and balances using standard
samples of known weight (ie calibration standards)
daily calibration of geophysical tools, the sand used in
the sand replacement method, etc
repeated measurements at the end of the day or round
if a water displacement method is the primary method,
rough measurements of core length and diameter
can be used to check the volume and density of the
samples and provide a reality check on the primary
measurements; this assists with the identication of
spurious data
duplicate measurements
duplicate measurements in the eld by a second
method to validate the result of the primary method (ie
internal check samples); if possible, the second method
should be chosen to test the recognised weaknesses in
the regular method, for example, a method that has
the risk of subsampling bias should be checked with a
method that measures a larger volume of sample
duplicate measurements made by commercial
laboratories (ie external check samples)
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
AUDIT LIST
Auditing of a density measurement program should be
undertaken regularly by both internal and external parties.
The audits should consider:
no calibration of scales
no record of calibration
scales not level nor in a constant temperature environment
no process to ensure representative sampling
inappropriate methods applied for soft, porous or broken
samples
no moisture content data available to correct density to a
dry basis
moisture content measured for different samples to those
used for the density measurement
calculation errors
no alternative data or check method to support the
primary method
lack of description of the samples
no validation of wax density over time and different
batches of wax
use of hairspray that is ineffective in sealing the samples
during immersion
use of food wrap to seal samples that results in bubbles
that bias the results
inadequate calibration or verication of geophysical
methods
no correction for water absorption
no correction or allowance for cavities or porosity
insufcient samples.
DISCUSSION
There is a broad range of methods available for the
measurement of bulk density. Whilst guidelines may be
provided for matching appropriate methods to sample or
material type, a prescriptive approach to method selection is
not possible. The choice of methods for a particular deposit
or project will depend on the physical characteristics of the
ore, the type of samples that are available or may reasonably
be collected, the equipment that is available and the stage
of development of the project. The guiding premise should
be that determination of the bulk density of the deposit is as
important a part of the evaluation program as determination
of the volume or the grade of mineralisation.
CONCLUSION
The importance of dry bulk density in the estimation of
Mineral Resources should not be overlooked. A wide variety
of methods for measuring the density of rocks is available, each
with its own practical limitations. Selection of an appropriate
method depends on the size and physical characteristics
of the available samples. QA/QC principles and methods
commonly used for geochemical analysis should also be
applied to density determination and estimation. Repeat and
duplicate measurements, sample checks and independent
audits are all important tools for improving the reliability of
density estimates, as well as meeting regulatory requirements
and investor expectations.
As with other aspects of Resource and Reserve estimation,
the collection of bulk density data and the extrapolation of
that data across the whole deposit must be controlled by a
sound knowledge of the geology of the deposit.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors would like to thank the many mining industry
professionals who contributed their experience and
knowledge to this paper and the reviewers for their helpful
comments.
REFERENCES
American Society for Testing of Materials, 1979. ASTM D167-73
Determination of the specic gravity of lump coke samples.
American Society for Testing of Materials, 2011. ASTM D6752/
D6752M 11 Standard test method for bulk specic gravity and
density of compacted bituminous mixtures using automatic
vacuum sealing method.
Anon, n/d. Area of a circular segment circular segment area
calculator [online]. Available from: <http://www.had2know.
com/academics/area-circular-segment-formula.html>
[Accessed: 15 April 2013].
Bevan, P A, 1994. The weighting of assays and the importance of both
grade and specic gravity, CIM Bulletin, 86(97):88-90.
Dadson, A S, 1968. Ore estimates and specic gravity, in Ore Reserve
Estimation and Grade Control, special volume 9 (The Canadian
Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum: Montreal).
Lipton, I T, 1997. A review of density determination methods for
iron ore deposit evaluation, in Proceedings Iron-making Resources
and Reserves Estimation, pp 57-66 (The Australasian Institute of
Mining and Metallurgy: Melbourne).
Lipton, I T, 2000. Modelling bulk density the importance of
getting it right, in Proceedings Fourth International Mining Geology
Conference, pp 291-297 (The Australasian Institute of Mining and
Metallurgy: Melbourne).
Lipton, I T, 2001. Measurement of bulk density for resource
estimation, in Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good Practice (ed: A C Edwards), pp 57-66 (The
Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy: Melbourne).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
107
108
HOME
1. Chief Advisor Geotechnical Engineering and Cave Mining, Rio Tinto, 123 Albert Street, Brisbane Qld 4000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KHSULPDU\REMHFWLYHRIPLQLQJH[SORUDWLRQLVWRORFDWHDQG
TXDQWLI\ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV WKDW LI SURYHQ WR EH HFRQRPLF
WRH[WUDFWZLOOEHGHYHORSHGLQWRDPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQ:KDW
LV LPSHUDWLYH IRU VXFFHVVIXO PLQLQJ RI WKH RUHERG\ LV WKH
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ WKDW WKH TXDQWLFDWLRQ RI WKH UHVRXUFHV
H[WHQGVEH\RQGWKHGHQLWLRQRIJUDGHVLWHTXDOO\LPSRUWDQWO\
LQFOXGHV WKH FKDUDFWHULVDWLRQ RI WKH GHSRVLW DQG VXUURXQGV
LQ WHUPV RI VWUXFWXUDO K\GURJHRORJLFDO DQG JHRWHFKQLFDO
SDUDPHWHUV:LWKRXWDJRRGXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHODWWHULWLV
LPSRVVLEOH WR HVWLPDWH DQG UHDOLVH WKH YDOXH RI WKH RUHERG\
H[WUDFWHG VLPSO\ SXW LW LV RQH WKLQJ WR GHQH DQ RUHERG\
in situEXWTXLWHDQRWKHUWRVXFFHVVIXOO\PLQHLW
0LQHUDO GHSRVLWV DUH RIWHQ KRVWHG LQ FRPSOH[ JHRORJLFDO
HQYLURQPHQWV WKDW W\SLFDOO\ PDQLIHVW DV GLIFXOW JURXQG
FRQGLWLRQV IRU PLQLQJ 7KHVH DGYHUVH URFN PDVV FRQGLWLRQV
PXVW EH RYHUFRPH WKURXJK WKH VHOHFWLRQ RI DSSURSULDWH
PLQLQJ PHWKRGV DQG JURXQG VXSSRUW VXLWHG WR WKH URFN
PDVV UHVSRQVH 7KXV H[WHQVLYH RUHERG\ NQRZOHGJH LV FRUH
WR SUHGLFWLQJ WKH URFN PDVV UHVSRQVH IURP PLQLQJ DQG
XOWLPDWHO\WKHNH\WRWKHVXFFHVVRIWKHPLQH
'ULOOLQJ LQ DQG DURXQG WKH PLQHUDO GHSRVLW SURYLGHV WKH
SULPDU\VRXUFHRIRUHERG\NQRZOHGJHWRWKHJHRORJLVWVDQG
JHRWHFKQLFDOHQJLQHHUVSDUWLFXODUO\RQJUHHQHOGVLWHVZKHUH
QR NQRZOHGJH KDV EHHQ JDWKHUHG IURP SUHYLRXV PLQLQJ
RSHUDWLRQV7KHFRVWRIGULOOLQJLVFRQVLGHUDEOHVRHYHU\PHDQV
WRH[WUDFWYDOXDEOHGDWDVKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHGDQGHYHU\HIIRUW
VRXJKWWRHQVXUHWKHTXDOLW\RIWKLVGDWDDVLWZLOOGLFWDWHKRZ
UHOLDEOHWKHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQZLOOEH
PHWKRGLHUHJLRQDOVFDOHPLQHVFDOHVWRSHVFDOHWXQQHOVFDOH
DQGURFNEORFNVFDOH&OHDUO\LWLVQWIHDVLEOHWRGULOODWDGHQVLW\
WKDWDFTXLUHVGDWDGRZQWRWKHVPDOOHUVFDOHVWKURXJKRXWWKH
PLQHKRZHYHUDFDUHIXOO\SODQQHGGULOOLQJSURJUDPFDQJDLQ
GDWDWKDWLVVXIFLHQWIRUWKRURXJKJHRWHFKQLFDODQDO\VHV)RU
LQVWDQFH
RQ UHJLRQDO DQG PLQH VFDOHV LW LV LPSRUWDQW WR GHQH
WKH ORFDWLRQ DQG FRQWLQXLW\ RI PDMRU VWUXFWXUHV PDMRU
OLWKRORJLFDO XQLWV DOWHUDWLRQ ]RQHV DQG K\GURJHRORJLFDO
FRPSDUWPHQWV
RQVWRSHDQGWXQQHOVFDOHVLWLVDOVRLPSRUWDQWWRGHQHWKH
VWUXFWXUDOIDEULFMRLQWVDQGORFDOVWUHVVUHJLPHDVZHOODV
WKHOLWKRORJLFDODQGDOWHUDWLRQ]RQHVWKDWZLOOLQXHQFHWKH
URFNPDVVEHKDYLRXURQWKLVVFDOH
RQ D EORFN VFDOH LW LV LPSRUWDQW WR FROOHFW GDWD WKDW ZLOO
LQXHQFH WKH PHFKDQLFDO UHVSRQVH RI WKH URFN RQ WKLV
VFDOHVXFKDVWKHSUHVHQFHDQGLQWHQVLW\RIPLFURGHIHFWV
7KHDELOLW\WRGHQHWKHURFNPDVVRQDOOVFDOHVRILQWHUHVW
LVREYLRXVO\GHSHQGHQWRQWKHTXDQWLW\RIGDWDDYDLODEOHWKH
OHVVGDWDDYDLODEOHWKHPRUHH[WUDSRODWLRQLVQHFHVVDU\DQGWKH
SRRUHUWKHUHOLDELOLW\RIWKHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDOORIZKLFKOHDGV
WR D JUHDWHU PLQLQJ ULVN ,W LV LPSRUWDQW WKDW WKH JHRORJLVWV
DQG JHRWHFKQLFDO HQJLQHHUV FOHDUO\ FRPPXQLFDWH WKH GDWD
UHOLDELOLW\ WR WKH PLQLQJ HQJLQHHUV VR DV WR LQFRUSRUDWH WKLV
ULVNLQWRWKHPLQHGHVLJQ
$OWKRXJK H[SORUDWLRQ JHRORJLVWV DUH SULPDULO\ FRQFHUQHG
ZLWKWKHLGHQWLFDWLRQDQGGHQLWLRQRIWKHPLQHUDOGHSRVLW
WKH\QHYHUWKHOHVVKDYHWKHRSSRUWXQLW\LQWKHHDUO\H[SORUDWLRQ
SKDVHWRFROOHFWYDOXDEOHPHWDOOXUJLFDODQGJHRWHFKQLFDOGDWD
WKDWGHVFULEHWKHURFNPDVVHVFRPSULVLQJWKHGHSRVLWDQGKRVW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
109
URFNV 7KLV GDWD LV DW WKH YHU\ OHDVW QHFHVVDU\ IRU XVH LQ DQ
RUGHURIPDJQLWXGH2R0OHYHOPLQLQJVWXG\
ERUHKROHVDUHH[WUHPHO\YDOXDEOHDQGWKHLUXVHLVEHFRPLQJ
PRUHSUHYDOHQWLQWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\
Non-core logging
GEOTECHNICAL DOMAINING
7R FODVVLI\ D URFN PDVV XVLQJ DQ\ RI WKH SRSXODU HPSLULFDO
V\VWHPVFXUUHQWO\HPSOR\HGE\PLQHVWKHVLPSOHVWDSSURDFK
LVWRVXEGLYLGHWKHURFNPDVVLQWRDQXPEHURIJHRWHFKQLFDO
GRPDLQV LH ]RQHV KDYLQJ VLPLODU URFN PDVV FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
VXFK DV URFN VWUHQJWK VWUXFWXUDO WUHQGV DQG GLVFRQWLQXLW\
SURSHUWLHVDQGWKXVH[KLELWDVLPLODUURFNPDVVUHVSRQVHWR
PLQLQJ 7\SLFDO GRPDLQLQJ SDUDPHWHUV LQFOXGH OLWKRORJLFDO
FRPSRVLWLRQDOWHUDWLRQW\SHVZHDWKHULQJVWUXFWXUDOW\SHVRU
VWUXFWXUDOIUHTXHQF\URFNVWUHQJWKRUGHIRUPDWLRQSDUDPHWHUV
DQG VWUHVV UHJLPHV in situ DQGRU PLQLQJ LQGXFHG $Q\
FRPELQDWLRQ RI WKHVH SDUDPHWHUV KDV D GLUHFW HIIHFW RQ WKH
URFNPDVVVWUHQJWKDQGVRHDFKGRPDLQVKRXOGEHFODVVLHG
WRGHVFULEHLWVTXDOLW\DQGEHKDYLRXU
$OWKRXJKOLPLWHGLQIRUPDWLRQFDQQHYHUWKHOHVVEHDFTXLUHG
IURPQRQFRUHGULOOLQJPHWKRGVWKHVHLQFOXGHURWDU\DLUEODVW
5$% UHYHUVH FLUFXODWLRQ DLU FRUH DQG SHUFXVVLRQ GULOOLQJ
$OWKRXJKWKHVHGULOOLQJPHWKRGVGRQRWSURYLGHVDPSOHVRI
WKHLQWDFWURFNWKH\FDQSURYLGHXVHIXOLQIRUPDWLRQRQURFN
VWUHQJWKVXFKDVSHQHWUDWLRQGHSWKDQGUDWH
Downhole logging
7KHFROODWLRQRIGRZQKROHWHOHYLHZHUDQGJHRSK\VLFDOORJJLQJ
LVEHFRPLQJFRPPRQSUDFWLFHDQGSURYLQJWREHDQLQYDOXDEOH
VRXUFHRIGDWDWRVXSSOHPHQWDQGLPSURYHWKHJHRWHFKQLFDO
FRUHORJJLQJ,WDOVR\LHOGVRWKHUXVHIXOLQIRUPDWLRQUHODWLQJ
WRWKHURFNPDVVVWUXFWXUDOIDEULFJHRK\GURORJ\DQG in situ
VWUHVV UHJLPH ,Q DGGLWLRQ WR LPSURYLQJ WKH TXDOLW\ DQG
UHOLDELOLW\ RI FRUH ORJJLQJ GDWD WKH VDYLQJV DFKLHYHG LQ
ERWK WLPH DQG FRVWV IDU RXWZHLJK DQ\ FRVWV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK
GRZQKROHORJJLQJ,WVKRXOGEHQRWHGWKDWJLYHQWKHUHODWLYHO\
UHFHQWDSSOLFDWLRQRIGRZQKROHJHRSK\VLFDOORJJLQJLQKDUG
URFN PLQLQJ VLJQLFDQW DGYDQFHV LQ GDWD SURFHVVLQJ DQG
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DUH FXUUHQWO\ XQGHUZD\ ZKLFK ZLOO HQVXUH
PRUH UDSLG DQG UHOLDEOH JHRWHFKQLFDO GDWD FROOHFWLRQ WKDQ LV
SRVVLEOHWKURXJKFRQYHQWLRQDOFRUHORJJLQJ
DATA COLLECTION
Sources and types of data
*HRWHFKQLFDOGDWDLVW\SLFDOO\DFTXLUHGWKURXJKWKHPDSSLQJ
RI H[SRVXUHV WKH ORJJLQJ RI GULOO FRUH RU FXWWLQJV ERUHKROH
ORJJLQJDQGODERUDWRU\URFNWHVWLQJ
Core logging
$V H[SORUDWLRQ GULOOLQJ LV DOZD\V FDUULHG RXW WR GHQH D
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHFRUHORJJLQJLVXQDYRLGDEOHDQGWKHPRVW
FRPPRQPHDQVRIFROOHFWLQJJHRWHFKQLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQDERXW
WKH URFN PDVVHV FRPSULVLQJ WKH RUHERG\ DQG VXUURXQGV
7KLV SDSHU IRFXVHV RQ WKH FROOHFWLRQ RI XVHIXO JHRWHFKQLFDO
GDWD IURP FRUH KRZHYHU RWKHU QRQFRUH PHWKRGV XVLQJ
110
DATA QUALITY
7KHW\SHTXDQWLW\DQGTXDOLW\RIJHRWHFKQLFDOGDWDDFTXLUHG
ZLOOLPSURYHDVDSURMHFWPRYHVIURPWKHH[SORUDWLRQSKDVH
WKURXJKWRWKH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\SKDVH8VXDOO\WKHQDWXUHRI
WKHGDWDZLOODOVREHFRPHPRUHVSHFLDOLVHGDQGDJUHDWHUOHYHO
RI GHWDLO LV UHTXLUHG WR FRQGXFW WKH VRSKLVWLFDWHG DQDO\VHV
GHPDQGHGE\VRPHPLQLQJPHWKRGVOLNHFDYLQJ
*LYHQWKDWFRUHGULOOLQJLVH[SHQVLYHERWKLQFRVWDQGWLPH
HYHU\ HIIRUW PXVW EH PDGH WR PD[LPLVH WKH TXDOLW\ DQG
TXDQWLW\ RI WKH GDWD FROOHFWHG IURP ERWK WKH FRUH DQG HDFK
GULOOKROH7KHTXDOLW\RIWKHGDWDLVFULWLFDOWRWKHUHOLDELOLW\
RIWKHYDULRXVJHRWHFKQLFDODQDO\VHVZKLFKSURGXFHVDPRUH
VXLWDEOH PLQH GHVLJQ DQG XOWLPDWHO\ PLQH SHUIRUPDQFH
KRZHYHU WKH ROG DGDJH WKDW SRRU TXDOLW\ RU LQDFFXUDWH
GDWDLVEHWWHUWKDQQRGDWDDWDOOLVHVSHFLDOO\WUXHIRUPLQH
JHRWHFKQLFDOGDWD
'DWD VKRXOG EH PHDVXUHG DQG UHFRUGHG V\VWHPDWLFDOO\
XVLQJ VWDQGDUGLVHG SURFHGXUHV 6WDQGDUGLVDWLRQ HQVXUHV
JUHDWHU FRQVLVWHQF\ LQ WKH SDUDPHWHUV ORJJHG DQG WKH ZD\
WKH GDWD LV FROOHFWHG 7KXV FRPSDULQJ GDWD IURP GLIIHUHQW
PLQHV DQG H[SHULHQFHV OHDUQW URFN PDVV UHVSRQVH WR
PLQLQJLVWUDQVIHUDEOHDQGIDFLOLWDWHVUHOLDEOHEHQFKPDUNLQJ
VWXGLHV:KHUHSRVVLEOHUHFRJQLVHGLQGXVWU\VWDQGDUGVDQG
FODVVLFDWLRQVVKRXOGDOZD\VEHXVHGVXFKDVWKRVHGHVFULEHG
E\WKH,QWHUQDWLRQDO6RFLHW\IRU5RFN0HFKDQLFVVLWHPRGLHG
V\VWHPVWKDWDUHSRWHQWLDOO\YHU\XVHIXOIRUWKHVSHFLFPLQH
VLWH WHQG WR OHDG WR GDWD LQFRQVLVWHQFLHV DQG FRQIXVLRQ RYHU
WLPHZLWKRWKHULQGXVWU\SHHUV
)RUJHRWHFKQLFDOGDWDDFTXLVLWLRQDGULOOLQJWHFKQLTXHWKDW
SURYLGHVWKHEHVWFRUHUHFRYHU\ZLWKWKHOHDVWFRUHGLVWXUEDQFH
VKRXOG EH DOZD\V VHOHFWHG FDUHIXOO\ 6RIW DQG ZHDN URFN RU
VWURQJO\ IUDFWXUHG LQWHUYDOV DOZD\V H[KLELW WKH SRRUHVW FRUH
UHFRYHU\ DQG \HW IURP D JHRWHFKQLFDO SHUVSHFWLYH WKHVH
LQWHUYDOVDUHWKHPRVWLPSRUWDQWWRFKDUDFWHULVHXSIURQW&RUH
UHFRYHU\ FDQ EH LPSURYHG E\ GULOOLQJ DW D ODUJHU GLDPHWHU
DQGRUXVLQJWULSOHWXEHGULOOLQJDVWKLVUHGXFHVJULQGLQJRI
WKH FRUH LQ VWURQJO\ IUDFWXUHG LQWHUYDOV 6RLO DQG H[WUHPHO\
ZHDWKHUHGURFNVDSUROLWHFDQEHVXFFHVVIXOO\FRUHGXVLQJD
.DOH[ GULOO ELW DQG WULSOH WXEH GULOOLQJ ,Q DGGLWLRQ YLVFRXV
SRO\PHUGULOOLQJPXGVDUHXVHGWROXEULFDWHWKHGULOOELWDQG
VXSSRUWWKHGULOOKROHDQGFRUH
7KHXVHRIDVKRUWPFRUHEDUUHODQGVKRUWGULOOUXQV
VKRXOGEHHPSOR\HGWRKHOSORFDWHDQGLVRODWHDQ\LQWHUYDOV
RIXQDYRLGDEOHFRUHORVV
CORE HANDLING
'ULOOFRUHVKRXOGEHVXEMHFWWRDVOLWWOHGLVWXUEDQFHDVSRVVLEOH
DIWHU LW KDV EHHQ UHPRYHG IURP WKH KROH WKXV VWULFW FRUH
KDQGOLQJ SURFHGXUHV PXVW EH DGKHUHG WR E\ WKH GULOOHUV DV
LWLVHVVHQWLDOWRSUHVHUYHWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHFRUH+DQGOLQJRI
FRUHLVRQHRIWKHOHDVWVXSHUYLVHGDFWLYLWLHVLQWKHDFTXLVLWLRQ
SURFHVV \HW KDV WKH SRWHQWLDO WR QXOOLI\ WKH FDUHIXO HIIRUWV
WULSOHWXEHODUJHGLDPHWHUGULOOLQJPHWLFXORXVORJJLQJHWF
RI D ZHOOSODQQHG DQG LPSOHPHQWHG JHRWHFKQLFDO GULOOLQJ
SURJUDP
$QH[SHULHQFHGGULOOHULVFDSDEOHRIUHPRYLQJWKHFRUHIURP
WKH LQQHU WXEH ZLWK PLQLPDO HIIRUW 7KH SLHFH RI FRUH WKDW
LV ZHGJHG LQ WKH FRUH OLIWHU DW WKH ERWWRP RI WKH LQQHU WXEH
ZKHQWKHFRUHLVEURNHQRIIWKHERWWRPRIWKHKROHVKRXOGEH
UHOHDVHGZLWKRXWH[FHVVLYHIRUFH,IWKHFRUHPXVWEHEURNHQWR
UHOHDVHLWIURPWKHOLIWHUWKLVPD\EHLQGLFDWLYHRIDZRUQFRUH
OLIWHUVKHOOWKDWVKRXOGEHUHSODFHG
$Q\ GLIFXOW\ LQ UHPRYLQJ WKH FRUH LV W\SLFDOO\ FDXVHG
E\ VDQG RU PXG LQ WKH LQQHU WXEH DV D UHVXOW RI LQHIFLHQW
XVKLQJRIWKHKROHSRRUFOHDQLQJRIWKHGULOOLQJHTXLSPHQW
RUDGDPDJHGLQQHUWXEH,WPD\DOVREHGXHWRZHGJLQJRIWKH
FRUHIURPRSHQIUDFWXUHVDWDORZDQJOHWRWKHFRUHD[LV,QWKLV
FDVH WULSOH WXEH GULOOLQJ VKRXOG EH DGRSWHG RU LI QHFHVVDU\
WKH GULOOLQJ SUDFWLFH VKRXOG EH PRGLHG WR HQVXUH WKDW WKH
KROHFDQEHXVKHGEHWWHU
5HPRYHGFRUHVKRXOGEHSODFHGGLUHFWO\LQWRWKHFRUHWUD\V
DQG LGHDOO\ ORJJHG LPPHGLDWHO\ DW WKH GULOO VLWH WR DYRLG
GDPDJH GXULQJ WUDQVSRUWDWLRQ 7KH SODFLQJ RI WKH FRUH LQWR
111
WKH FRUH WUD\V LV WKH UHVSRQVLELOLW\ RI WKH GULOOHU DQG VKRXOG
QRWEHOHIWWRDQLQH[SHULHQFHGDVVLVWDQW7KHFRUHVKRXOGEH
SODFHGLQWKHWUD\VVWDUWLQJIURPWKHWRSOHIWFRUQHUDQGUXQ
VHTXHQWLDOO\WRWKHERWWRPULJKWFRUQHU6XLWDEOHFRUHEORFNV
ZRRGHQ RU SODVWLF SLHFHV ZLWK FOHDU PDUNLQJV RI WKH KROH
GHSWKPXVWEHSODFHGLQWKHWUD\DWWKHHQGRIHDFKGULOOUXQ
LUUHVSHFWLYH RI WKH OHQJWK RI WKH UXQ &RUH EORFNV LQGLFDWLQJ
LQWHUYDOVRIFRUHORVVRURYHUGULOOVKRXOGDOVREHSODFHGLQWKH
WUD\)LJXUH
WKH FRUH F\OLQGHU PXVW EH WUDQVIHUUHG DORQJ WKH HQWLUH FRUH
F\OLQGHU7KLVLVDFKLHYHGE\GUDZLQJDUHIHUHQFHOLQHDORQJ
WKH FRUH WKDW MRLQV WKH LQGLYLGXDO PDUNV )LJXUH 7KH
DFFXUDF\RIWKHUHIHUHQFHOLQHLVFULWLFDOWRWKHTXDOLW\RIWKH
RULHQWDWLRQPHDVXUHPHQWV,IWKHUHIHUHQFHOLQHLVQRWFRUUHFW
DOOPHDVXUHPHQWVPDGHUHODWLYHWRWKHOLQHZLOOEHLQDFFXUDWH
DQGWKHGDWDPLVOHDGLQJ
FIG 3 - Typical core photograph illustrating the colour bar, core blocks and
metre marks.
FIG 4 - Drawing a reference line on the core by joining the marks.
&RUHVKRXOGEHSODFHGQHDWO\LQWKHWUD\VDQGQHYHUZHGJHG
LQWLJKWO\,IDSLHFHRIFRUHPXVWEHEURNHQWRWLQWRWKHWUD\
WKH EUHDN PXVW EH FOHDUO\ LGHQWLHG DV D GULOOHUV EUHDN E\
PDUNLQJWKHFRUHRQHLWKHUVLGHRIWKHEUHDNZLWKDQ;
CORE LOGGING
Core orientation
$IWHU GULOOLQJ WKH RULHQWDWLRQ RI GULOO FRUH LV WKH QH[W VWHS
LQ WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO ORJJLQJ SURFHVV 'XULQJ GULOOLQJ WKH
FRUH WHQGV WR URWDWH ZLWKLQ WKH FRUH EDUUHO KHQFH WKH WUXH
RULHQWDWLRQRIGLVFRQWLQXLWLHVZLWKLQURWDWHGFRUHZLOOUHPDLQ
XQNQRZQ XQOHVV WKH\ FDQ EH FRUUHFWO\ UHRULHQWHG WR WKHLU
RULJLQDOSRVLWLRQZLWKLQWKHERUHKROH7RHQVXUHWKDWWKHWUXH
RULHQWDWLRQ RI DQ\ VWUXFWXUH LQ WKH FRUH FDQ EH GHULYHGLW LV
QHFHVVDU\ WR NQRZ WKH WUXH RULHQWDWLRQ RI WKH FRUH EHIRUH LW
ZDVUHPRYHGIURPWKHJURXQG7RWKLVHQGGULOOKROHVXUYH\
GDWD LV DFTXLUHG WR ORJ WKH RULHQWDWLRQ RI WKH GULOO KROH DV D
IXQFWLRQ RI GULOOLQJ GHSWK DQG DQ RULHQWLQJ GHYLFH LV XVHG
GXULQJGULOOLQJWRLGHQWLI\WKHWRSRUERWWRPHGJHRIWKHFRUH
F\OLQGHUEHIRUHLWLVUHPRYHGIURPWKHJURXQG
7KHFRQVWUXFWLRQRIWKHUHIHUHQFHOLQHLVFRPPRQO\DFKLHYHG
WKURXJKWKHUHFRQVWUXFWLRQRIWKHFRUHEHWZHHQWKHPDUNVLQ
D9UDLO:KHQGUDZLQJWKHUHIHUHQFHOLQHDORQJWKHFRUHLWLV
EHVWWRVWDUWZLWKWKHEHVWTXDOLW\PDUNHDFKVXEVHTXHQWSLHFH
RIFRUHLVWKHQSODFHGLQWKHUDLODQGWWHGWRWKHSUHFHGLQJ
SLHFH IRU WKH FRPSOHWH UXQ XS WR WKH QH[W RULHQWDWLRQ PDUN
$W OHDVW WZR DQG SUHIHUDEO\ WKUHH PDUNV PXVW EH DOLJQHG
ZLWKLQ WHQ GHJUHHV ,W VKRXOG EH QRWHG WKDW WKHVH DOLJQHG
PDUNVDUHDOORZHGWRVWUDGGOHDSRRUTXDOLW\PDUNWKDWPD\
QRW EH DOLJQHG SURYLGHG WKDW WKH FRUH FDQ EH FRQGHQWO\
UHFRQVWUXFWHGWKURXJKWKHSRRUPDUN
Engineering log
7KHHQJLQHHULQJORJDOVRNQRZQDVWKHLQWHUYDOORJRUJHQHUDO
JHRWHFKQLFDO ORJ LV XVHG WR UHFRUG EDVLF PHFKDQLFDO DQG
VWUXFWXUDOGDWDIURPGULOOFRUHLQRUGHUWRSURYLGHDJHQHUDO
JHRWHFKQLFDO GHVFULSWLRQ RI WKH URFN PDVV 7\SLFDOO\ WKLV
ORJJLQJLVFDUULHGRXWRQ[HGLQWHUYDOVLHGULOOUXQRUEORFN
WREORFNZKHUHWKHJHRWHFKQLFDOSDUDPHWHUVDUHPHDVXUHG
RU HVWLPDWHG RYHU D VSHFLHG LQWHUYDO ,W LV UHFRPPHQGHG
WKDWWKHHQWLUHOHQJWKRIWKHKROHEHLQWHUYDOORJJHGZLWKQR
RYHUODSV RU GRXEOHFRXQWLQJ DQG ZLWKRXW PLVVLQJ OHQJWKV
DVDPLQLPXPUHTXLUHPHQW
Logging interval
7KH OHQJWK RI WKH ORJJLQJ LQWHUYDO VKRXOG YDU\ DV GULOOLQJ
LQWHUYDOV FDQQRW EH H[SHFWHG WR FRLQFLGH ZLWK QDWXUDO
ERXQGDULHVRIIUDFWXUHG]RQHVIDXOWVHWFRUZLWKOLWKRORJLFDO
ERXQGDULHV ,I GDWD LV FROOHFWHG DW [HG LQWHUYDOV LH GULOOLQJ
UXQV ZLWKRXW UHJDUG WR WKH RFFXUUHQFH RI OLWKRORJLFDO RU
JHRWHFKQLFDOGRPDLQVLPSRUWDQWSDUDPHWHUVFRXOGEHELDVHG
VPRRWKHGRXW,QDGGLWLRQLIGDWDLVDYHUDJHGDFURVVEURDG
LQWHUYDOVWKHUHVXOWLQJZLGHGLVWULEXWLRQRIYDOXHVRUDYHUDJH
YDOXHVFRXOGOHDGWRHUURQHRXVGHFLVLRQV
,W LV UHFRPPHQGHG WKDW WKH JHRORJLVW RU JHRWHFKQLFDO
HQJLQHHU H[DPLQH WKH FRUH DQG WKHQ LGHQWLI\ DQG PDUN XS
DOO JHRWHFKQLFDO GRPDLQV SULRU WR ORJJLQJ WKH FRUH ,W LV QRW
XQFRPPRQ IRU GRPDLQV WR EH GHQHG E\ OLWKRORJLFDO RU
VWUXFWXUDOERXQGDULHVDQGLQPRVWFDVHVDOOPDMRUVWUXFWXUHV
OLNH IDXOWV DQG VKHDUV DUH RIWHQ LGHQWLHG DV VHSDUDWH
GRPDLQVKRZHYHUWRDYRLGEHLQJVZDPSHGZLWKWKHGHWDLOLW
LVUHFRPPHQGHGWKDWWKHVHVWUXFWXUHVDUHRQO\VHOHFWHGLIWKH\
DUHJUHDWHUWKDQPLQWKLFNQHVV
7KHPD[LPXPOHQJWKRIWKHORJJLQJLQWHUYDOVKRXOGGHSHQG
RQWKHGHWDLOUHTXLUHGIRUWKHJHRWHFKQLFDOVWXG\$QLQWHUYDO
RI P LV FRPPRQO\ XVHG KRZHYHU IRU PDVVLYH GHSRVLWV LW
PD\EHPRUHDSSURSULDWHWRLQFUHDVHWKLVWRVXLWWKHVFDOHDQG
PDWXULW\RIWKHSURMHFW
7KXV WKH ORJJLQJ LQWHUYDO ZLOO W\SLFDOO\ EH D [HG OHQJWK
ZLWKLQGRPDLQVXQOHVVWKHGRPDLQOHQJWKLVOHVVWKDQWKH[HG
OHQJWKHJLQWKHFDVHRIDPDMRUVWUXFWXUHZLWKDWUDQVYHUVH
GLPHQVLRQOHVVWKDQWKHORJJLQJLQWHUYDOOHQJWK
+ROHLGHQWLHU
'HSWKIURP)URP
Depth to (To).
&RUH GLDPHWHU WKH SXUSRVH RI UHFRUGLQJ WKLV LVVRWKDW
PHDVXUHPHQWVPDGHIURPFRUHZLWKRQHGLDPHWHUFDQEH
FRPSDUHGZLWKWKRVHPHDVXUHPHQWVPDGHIURPFRUHZLWK
DQRWKHU GLDPHWHU 6\VWHPDWLF YDULDWLRQ RU ELDV UHODWHG
WR FRUH GLDPHWHU FDQ EH TXDQWLHG DQG LI QHFHVVDU\ D
FRUUHFWLRQFDQEHDSSOLHG
Total core recovery (TCR) WKLV LV D PHDVXUH RI WKH WRWDO
OHQJWK RI FRUH UHFRYHUHG LQFOXGLQJ EURNHQ ]RQHV 7KH
WRWDOFRUHUHFRYHU\7&5LVFDOFXODWHGDVDSHUFHQWDJHRI
WKHWRWDOOHQJWKRIFRUHUHFRYHUHG7/5RYHUWKHOHQJWKRI
FRUHGULOOHG>7&5 7/57R)URP@
6ROLGFRUHUHFRYHU\6/5WKLVPHDVXUHVWKHWRWDOOHQJWK
RIVROLGFRUHUHFRYHUHGH[FOXGLQJSLHFHVVPDOOHUWKDQWKH
FRUHGLDPHWHU7KHVROLGFRUHUHFRYHU\6&5LVFDOFXODWHG
DVDSHUFHQWDJHRIWKHWRWDOOHQJWKRIVROLGFRUHUHFRYHUHG
6/5RYHUWKHOHQJWKRIFRUHGULOOHG>6&5 6/57R
)URP @
Rock quality designation (RQD) WKH URFN TXDOLW\
GHVLJQDWLRQ54'LVDQHPSLULFDOLQGH[WKDWTXDQWLHVWKH
PHFKDQLFDOTXDOLW\RIWKHURFNPHDVXUHGDVWKHOHQJWKRI
VROLGFRUHSLHFHVH[FOXGLQJDUWLFLDOEUHDNVJUHDWHUWKDQ
PPH[SUHVVHGDVDSHUFHQWDJHRIWKHOHQJWKRIFRUH
GULOOHG'HHUH,WVKRXOGEHQRWHGWKDWDWOHDVWWZR
SURFHGXUHVWRFDOFXODWH54'DUHIRXQGLQWKHOLWHUDWXUH
2QHUHTXLUHVWKDWRQO\WKHD[LDOOHQJWKRIWKHFRUHSLHFH
EH JUHDWHU WKDQ PP IRU WKH FRUH WR EH LQFOXGHG LQ
WKH PHDVXUHPHQW ZKLOH WKH RWKHU UHTXLUHV WKDW WKHUH EH
DFRPSOHWHF\OLQGHURIFRUHJUHDWHUWKDQPPIRUWKH
VWLFNWREHLQFOXGHG7KHIXOOF\OLQGHUPHWKRGDVRULJLQDOO\
SURSRVHGE\'HHUHLVUHFRPPHQGHG
2SHQ IUDFWXUH IUHTXHQF\ )) WKLV SDUDPHWHU LV UHFRUGHG
DV WKH QXPEHU RI RSHQ IUDFWXUHV 12) SHU LQWHUYDO 7R
)URPZKHUHDQRSHQIUDFWXUHLVGHQHGDVDIUDFWXUH
WKDW LV EURNHQ ZKHQ WKH FRUH LV UHPRYHG IURP WKH GULOO
KROH )UDFWXUHV WKDW RSHQHG GXULQJ WKH QRUPDO GULOOLQJ
SURFHVV DUH LQFOXGHG LQ WKH FRXQW RI RSHQ IUDFWXUHV $OO
IUDFWXUHV WKDW DUH FDXVHG E\ WKH GULOOHU RU DQ\RQH HOVH
EUHDNLQJWKHFRUHWRWLQWRWKHFRUHWUD\RUGXULQJODWHU
H[DPLQDWLRQDUHH[FOXGHGIURPWKHFRXQWRIRSHQIUDFWXUHV
)) 12)7R)URP
2SHQMRLQWIUHTXHQF\2-)WKLVSDUDPHWHULVUHFRUGHGDV
WKHQXPEHURIRSHQMRLQWV12-SHULQWHUYDOZKHUHRSHQ
MRLQWV DUH QDWXUDOO\ RSHQ GLVFRQWLQXLWLHV WKDW VHSDUDWH
LQWDFW SLHFHV RI FRUH DQG H[KLELW QR WHQVLOH VWUHQJWK
8QOLNHRSHQIUDFWXUHVRSHQMRLQWVGRQRWLQFOXGHIUDFWXUHV
WKDW RSHQHG GXULQJ WKH GULOOLQJ SURFHVV ,W LV RIWHQ
GLIFXOW WR GLVWLQJXLVK EHWZHHQ GLVFRQWLQXLWLHV WKDW DUH
QDWXUDOO\RSHQDQGWKRVHLQGXFHGE\WKHGULOOLQJSURFHVV
W\SLFDO H[DPSOHV RI QDWXUDOO\ RSHQ MRLQWV DUH IROLDWHG RU
VHGLPHQWDU\ URFNV ZLWK ZHOOGHYHORSHG EHGGLQJ SODQHV
>2-) 12-7R)URP@
Joint set number (Jn) WKLVUHIHUVWRWKHQXPEHURIQDWXUDOO\
RSHQ MRLQW VHWV LGHQWLHG LQ WKH FRUH LQWHUYDO 7KH YDOXH
LQ WU\LQJ WR UHFRUG WKLV SDUDPHWHU RYHU D VKRUW [HG
LQWHUYDOLVGHEDWHDEOHJLYHQWKDWDOOZLGHO\VSDFHGVHWVDUH
RYHUORRNHGDQGWKDWMRLQWVHWVDUHVLJQLFDQWO\ELDVHGE\
WKHKROHRULHQWDWLRQ,WLVUHFRPPHQGHGWKDWWKHQXPEHU
RIMRLQWVHWVEHGHWHUPLQHGXVLQJVWHUHRJUDSKLFDQDO\VHV
GXULQJ WKH SRVWORJJLQJ SURFHVVLQJ RI WKH GDWD 'XULQJ
WKLV SURFHVV DOO MRLQW VHWV RSHQ DQG FHPHQWHG FDQ EH
GHWHUPLQHGIRUHDFKGRPDLQDQGWKHQLQSXWLQWRWKHURFN
PDVVFODVVLFDWLRQFDOFXODWLRQV
&HPHQWHG MRLQW IUHTXHQF\ &-) WKLV YDOXH LV WKH WRWDO
QXPEHURIKHDOHGRUFHPHQWHGMRLQWV1&-LQWKHLQWHUYDO
&HPHQWHG MRLQWV DUH GHQHG DV MRLQWV ZLWK PRUH WKDQ
PP LQOO WKDW GR QRW IDOO LQWR WKH RSHQ MRLQW FDWHJRU\
&HPHQWHG MRLQWV FDQ EH UHFRUGHG LQVWHDG RI UHFRUGLQJ
ZHDNO\ KHDOHG RU VWURQJO\ KHDOHG IUDFWXUHV DV ORQJ DV
WKHW\SHRIFHPHQWLQOOPDWHULDOLVDOVRUHFRUGHGVRDVWR
GLVWLQJXLVKLWDVHLWKHUDZHDNRUVWURQJVWUXFWXUH>&-)
1&-7R)URP@
1XPEHU RI FHPHQWHG MRLQW VHWV &-Q WKLV UHIHUV WR WKH
QXPEHU RI FHPHQWHG MRLQW VHWV LGHQWLHG LQ WKH FRUH
LQWHUYDO $V ZLWK WKH RSHQ MRLQW VHWV SDUDPHWHU LW LV
UHFRPPHQGHG WKDW WKH QXPEHU RI FHPHQWHG MRLQW VHWV
EH GHWHUPLQHG XVLQJ VWHUHRJUDSKLF DQDO\VHV GXULQJ WKH
SRVWORJJLQJSURFHVVLQJRIWKHGDWD'XULQJWKLVSURFHVV
DOO FHPHQWHG MRLQW VHWV FDQ EH GHWHUPLQHG IRU HDFK
GRPDLQ DQG WKHQ LQSXW LQWR WKH URFN PDVV FODVVLFDWLRQ
FDOFXODWLRQV
&HPHQWHG MRLQW LQOO WKLV LV VLPSO\ WKH SULPDU\ LQOO
PDWHULDO FRPSULVLQJ WKH FHPHQWHG MRLQWV LI WKH\ DUH
SUHVHQW ,W KDV EHHQ VXJJHVWHG E\ VRPH WKDW MRLQW LQOO
KDUGQHVV 0RKV KDUGQHVV VFDOH VKRXOG DOVR EH ORJJHG
KRZHYHU WKLV FDQ HDVLO\ EH GHULYHG GXULQJ WKH SRVW
ORJJLQJSURFHVV
Number of weakly healed fractures WKLV SDUDPHWHU LV
UHFRUGHG DV WKH QXPEHU RI ZHDNO\ KHDOHG IUDFWXUHV SHU
LQWHUYDOZKHUHZHDNO\KHDOHGIUDFWXUHVDUHWKRVHKHOGE\
DZHDNPLQHUDOVXFKDVFDOFLWHJ\SVXPRU]HROLWHWKDWLV
VLJQLFDQWO\ZHDNHUWKDQWKHKRVWURFN7KHVHIUDFWXUHVDUH
LPSRUWDQW LQ WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO DVVHVVPHQW RI WKH GHSRVLW
DV WKH\ DUH GHQLWH URFN PDVV ZHDNQHVVHV ZKHQ SODFHG
XQGHU VWUHVV :KHUH WKHUH LV D KLJK LQWHQVLW\ RI ZHDNO\
IUDFWXUHV PRUH WKDQ SHU PHWUH LW LV QRW XQFRPPRQ
SUDFWLFH WR HVWLPDWH WKH WRWDO QXPEHU RI IUDFWXUHV LQ WKH
HQWLUH LQWHUYDO ,I WKLV SUDFWLFH LV IROORZHG LW VKRXOG EH
QRWHGLQWKHFRPPHQWVFROXPQ
1XPEHU RI VWURQJO\ KHDOHG IUDFWXUHV WKLV SDUDPHWHU
LV UHFRUGHG DV WKH QXPEHU RI VWURQJO\ KHDOHG IUDFWXUHV
SHU LQWHUYDO ZKHUH VWURQJO\ KHDOHG IUDFWXUHV DUH WKRVH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
113
KHOG E\ D VWURQJ PLQHUDO VXFK DV TXDUW] ZKLFK PD\ EH
VWURQJHUWKDQWKHKRVWURFN7KHVHIUDFWXUHVDUHLPSRUWDQW
LQWKHJHRWHFKQLFDODVVHVVPHQWRIWKHGHSRVLWDVWKH\RIWHQ
VHUYH WR UDLVH WKH URFN PDVV VWUHQJWK HJ TXDUW] YHLQLQJ
DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK SRUSK\U\ GHSRVLWV ,W VKRXOG EH QRWHG
WKDWLQVRPHFDVHVWKHVHFRQGDU\LQOOPDWHULDOPD\KDYH
DVLJQLFDQWZHDNHQLQJHIIHFWRQWKHIUDFWXUHVXUIDFHDQG
PD\ LQXHQFH WKH VWUXFWXUH VWUHQJWK PRUH VR WKDQ WKH
VWURQJ SULPDU\ LQOO ,I WKH LQXHQFH RI WKH VHFRQGDU\
LQOOPDWHULDOLVREVHUYHGWKHQWKLVVKRXOGEHQRWHGLQWKH
FRPPHQWVFROXPQ
1XPEHU RI VPRRWK IUDFWXUHV RSHQ IUDFWXUHV ZLWK D
JODVV\ RU VOLSSHU\ VXUIDFH DUH UHFRUGHG DV VPRRWK
IUDFWXUHV )LJXUH 7KHVH DUH RI SDUWLFXODU LQWHUHVW
EHFDXVHWKH\ZLOOKDYHDYHU\ORZIULFWLRQDOVXUIDFHDQG
FDQVLJQLFDQWO\LPSDFWWKHVWDELOLW\RIH[FDYDWLRQV
0LFURGHIHFW LQWHQVLW\ 0', DOO QRQFRQWLQXRXV PLFUR
GHIHFWVWKDWDUHFDXVHGE\YHLQVRUPLFURIUDFWXUHVZLWK
OHVVWKDQPPRILQOOVKRXOGEHQRWHGLQWKLVFDWHJRU\
)LJXUH0LFURGHIHFWVDUHLPSRUWDQWWRQRWHDVWKH\FDQ
KDYH D VLJQLFDQW HIIHFW RQ WKH URFN PDVV VWUHQJWK \HW
WKH\ DUH FRPPRQO\ RYHUORRNHG LQ WKH ORJJLQJ SURFHVV
7KH PLFURGHIHFW LQWHQVLW\ LV W\SLFDOO\ FDWHJRULVHG DV
IROORZV
QRQH
PLQRUVSDFLQJPRUHWKDQPP
PRGHUDWHVSDFLQJEHWZHHQPP
KHDY\VSDFLQJOHVVWKDQPP
0LFURGHIHFW LQOO WKLV LV WKH SULPDU\ LQOO PDWHULDO
FRPSULVLQJWKHPLFURGHIHFWV
Lithology (rock type) WKH URFN RU PDWHULDO W\SH PD\
EH D ORFDO WHUP RU D VWDQGDUGLVHG OLWKRORJLFDO QDPH ,Q
HLWKHU FDVH WKH\ VKRXOG LGHQWLI\ PDSSDEOH XQLWV ZLWKLQ
WKH GHSRVLW 7KH URFN W\SH PD\ EH XVHG DV D EDVLV IRU
VXEGLYLGLQJWKHURFNPDVVLQWRJHRWHFKQLFDOGRPDLQV
Alteration DV ZLWK OLWKRORJ\ WKH DOWHUDWLRQ W\SH VKRXOG
EH LGHQWLHG DQG UHFRUGHG DV ZHOO DV WKH LQWHQVLW\ RI
DOWHUDWLRQ7KHGHJUHHDQGW\SHRIDOWHUDWLRQPD\EHXVHG
DVDEDVLVIRUVXEGLYLGLQJWKHURFNPDVVLQWRJHRWHFKQLFDO
GRPDLQV
7KHPDMRUJHRORJLFDOVWUXFWXUHVXQKHDOHGRUZHDNO\KHDOHG
IDXOWVIRUPPDMRUSODQHVRU]RQHVRIZHDNQHVVWKURXJKWKH
URFNPDVV7KHVHVWUXFWXUHVKDYHDQRYHUULGLQJFRQWURORQWKH
EHKDYLRXU RI WKH URFN PDVV LQXHQFHG E\ PLQLQJ DQG LW LV
LPSHUDWLYHWKDWWKH\DUHORJJHGLQWKHPDMRUVWUXFWXUHORJVRU
DVSDUWRIWKHLQWHUYDOORJJLQJSURFHVV
-RLQWLQJ QRUPDOO\ RFFXUV LQ VHWV WKDW KDYH UHJXODU
RULHQWDWLRQ WKURXJKRXW D JHRWHFKQLFDO GRPDLQ ,Q RUGHU WR
LGHQWLI\ WKH DYHUDJH RULHQWDWLRQ RI WKHVH YDULRXV MRLQW VHWV
RQO\VHOHFWHGLQWHUYDOVRIGULOOFRUHZLWKDUHOLDEOHRULHQWDWLRQ
QHHGEHORJJHGLQGHWDLO7KHWRWDOOHQJWKRIFRUHWKDWVKRXOG
EH ORJJHG DW D SURVSHFW ZLOO GHSHQG XSRQ WKH QXPEHU RI
JHRWHFKQLFDO GRPDLQV LGHQWLHG 7\SLFDOO\ RQO\ RSHQ DQG
KHDOHGMRLQWVJUHDWHUWKDQPPVKRXOGEHORJJHGZKHUHD
IUDFWXUHFDQQRWEHWUDFHGDURXQGWKHFRUHLWVKRXOGQRWEH
ORJJHG
7KHUH LV D VWURQJ VDPSOLQJ ELDV ZKHQ VWUXFWXUHV DUH
PHDVXUHG IURP GULOO FRUH 6WUXFWXUHV WKDW DUH LQ WKH EOLQG
]RQHRIWKHGULOOKROHWKDWLVVXESDUDOOHOWRWKHD[LVRIWKH
GULOOKROHDUHSRRUO\VDPSOHGFRPSDUHGWRWKRVHDWDKLJK
DQJOH WR WKH FRUH ,Q RUGHU WR LGHQWLI\ DOO WKH MRLQW VHWV DW D
SURVSHFWVHYHUDOKROHVGULOOHGLQGLIIHUHQWRULHQWDWLRQVQHHG
WREHORJJHG6LPLODUO\EHFDXVHRIWKLVVWURQJVDPSOLQJELDV
RQO\GDWDIURPKROHVGULOOHGLQVLPLODUGLUHFWLRQVVKRXOGEH
FRPELQHG 'DWD IURP KROHV GULOOHG LQ GLIIHUHQW GLUHFWLRQV
VKRXOGEHSUHVHQWHGDQGDQDO\VHGVHSDUDWHO\
FIG 8 - Rocscience Incs Dips software convention for measuring the beta angle.
115
116
EHGGLQJ
FOHDYDJH
IROLDWLRQ
Wall alteration (weathering/oxidation) WKH UHGXFWLRQ
LQ VKHDU VWUHQJWK DWWULEXWHG WR MRLQW ZDOO DOWHUDWLRQ
VRPHWLPHV REVHUYHG DV ZHDWKHULQJ RU R[LGDWLRQ LV
ZHOOGRFXPHQWHG DQG UHSUHVHQWV WKH UHODWLYH VWUHQJWK
RI WKH MRLQW ZDOO DJDLQVW WKH VWUHQJWK RI WKH LQWDFW URFN
7KH IROORZLQJ FDWHJRULHV DUH GHVFULEHG LQ /DXEVFKHUV
PLQLQJ URFN PDVV UDWLQJ 0505 V\VWHP /DXEVFKHU
QRDOWHUDWLRQ
ZHDNHUWKDQWKHLQWDFWURFNVWUHQJWK,56
VWURQJHUWKDQ,56
,QOOW\SHDQGTXDOLW\WKHFRPSRVLWLRQRIWKHSULPDU\LQOO
PDWHULDO LQ FHPHQWHG MRLQWV RU YHLQV VKRXOG EH UHFRUGHG
DV ZHOO DV WKHLU TXDOLW\ 7KH 0505 V\VWHP /DXEVFKHU
GHVFULEHVWKHLQOOTXDOLW\DV
QRLQOO
QRQVRIWHQLQJFRDUVH
QRQVRIWHQLQJPHGLXP
QRQVRIWHQLQJQH
VRIWVKHDUHGFRDUVH
VRIWVKHDUHGPHGLXP
VRIWVKHDUHGQH
JRXJHWKLFNQHVVLUUHJXODULWLHV
JRXJHWKLFNQHVV!LUUHJXODULWLHV
,QOOWKLFNQHVVWKHLPSRUWDQFHRILQOOWKLFNQHVVLVZHOO
GRFXPHQWHG DV LW LV NQRZQ WR VLJQLFDQWO\ UHGXFH WKH
VKHDUVWUHQJWKRIVWUXFWXUHVSDUWLFXODUO\ZKHQVWUXFWXUH
VXUIDFHV DUH QRW LQ FRQWDFW DQG WKH LQOO LV ZHDNHU WKDQ
WKHURFNVWUHQJWK,QOORUYHLQWKLFNQHVVLVPHDVXUHGDW
ULJKWDQJOHVWRWKHVWUXFWXUHDQGLVUHFRUGHGWRWKHQHDUHVW
PLOOLPHWUH
Roughness UHIHUV WR WKH VPDOOVFDOH LUUHJXODULWLHV RQ
WKHIUDFWXUHVXUIDFHWKDWFDQRQO\EHPHDVXUHGRQRSHQ
IUDFWXUHV 7KH OHYHO RI GHWDLO GHVFULELQJ WKH VXUIDFH
URXJKQHVVRIDIUDFWXUHYDULHVIRUGLIIHUHQWFODVVLFDWLRQ
V\VWHPV
%LHQLDZVNLV URFN PDVV UDWLQJ 505 V\VWHP
VLPSO\GHVFULEHVGLVFRQWLQXLW\URXJKQHVVDVHLWKHU
VOLFNHQVLGHG
VPRRWK
VOLJKWO\URXJK
URXJK
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
YHU\URXJKRUKDFNO\
%DUWRQV WXQQHOOLQJ TXDOLW\ LQGH[ 4 DQG
/DXEVFKHUVDQG0505V\VWHPERWKGHVFULEH
MRLQWURXJKQHVVDVLQGLFDWHGLQ)LJXUH
Stepped rough
Stepped smooth
Stepped Slickensided
Undulating Rough
Undulating Smooth
Undulating Slickenside
Planar rough
Planar smooth
Planar Slickensided
FIG 10 - Joint roughness as categorised by Bartons tunnelling quality index (Q) and Laubschers mining rock mass rating (MRMR) system.
FIG 11 - Examples of major structures observed in core. (A) Crushed zone, (B) shear zone.
The major structure log is not included in the detailed
structure logging and should be prepared separately by the
geologist.
117
LQOOW\SHDQGTXDOLW\
LQOOW\SHWKHW\SHRIPDWHULDOZLWKLQWKHGHIHFW
JRXJHVRIWFOD\JRXJHLQOORIWKHHQWLUHVHFWLRQ
XVXDOO\YHU\SRRUUHFRYHU\
VKHDUHG FRUH IUDJPHQWV VPDOOHU WKDQ WKH FRUH
GLDPHWHU DQG SRRU UHFRYHU\ VRIW DQG VDQGVL]H
VKHDUHGSDUWLFOHVZDVKDZD\
EURNHQ FRUH IUDJPHQWV VPDOOHU WKDQ WKH FRUH
GLDPHWHU EXW QHDU WR SHU FHQW RI FRUH LV
UHFRYHUHG
MRLQWHG D ]RQH RI KLJKHU MRLQW GHQVLW\ WKDQ WKH
UHVWRIWKHFRUHMRLQWIUHTXHQF\SHUPHWHUDQGMRLQW
FRQGLWLRQVVKRXOGDOVREHQRWHG
%RXQGDULHV WKH URWDWLRQ EHWD DQJOH DQG WKH DOSKD
DQJOH WR WKH FRUH D[LV FDQ EH XVHG IRU GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH
VWUXFWXUHV RULHQWDWLRQ EXW H[SHULHQFH KDV VKRZQ LW FDQ
EH GLIFXOW WR DWWHPSW D FRQQHFWLRQ EHWZHHQ WKH GULOO
KROHV7KLVLVGXHWRWKHODUJHVFDOHFRQWDFWXQGXODWLRQV
7KHUHDUHXVXDOO\QRWHQRXJKGDWDSRLQWVWRXVHVWDWLVWLFDO
PHWKRGVIRUVWUXFWXUDORULHQWDWLRQ
3DUDPHWHUV VXFK DV URXJKQHVV DQG SODQDULW\ PD\
EH PHDVXUHG IRU ERWK WKH XSSHU DQG ORZHU VXUIDFHV
DV GHVFULEHG HDUOLHU LQ WKH RULHQWHG IUDFWXUH ORJJLQJ
SDUDPHWHUVVHFWLRQ
Types of testing
7\SLFDO WHVWLQJ PHWKRGV DUH OLVWHG EHORZ 1RW DOO RI WKHVH
SDUDPHWHUVDUHHVVHQWLDOIRUJHRWHFKQLFDODQDO\VHVSHUWDLQLQJ
WRVRPHPLQLQJPHWKRGVWKRVHUHTXLUHGIRUDOOPHWKRGVDUH
LWDOLFLVHG
FIG 12 - Estimation of rock mass strength using the Hoek and Brown failure criterion derived for jointed rock masses (Hoek and Brown, 1980).
118
LVDFFHSWDEOHDVWKH\LQKHUHQWO\LQXHQFHWKHLQWDFWURFN
VWUHQJWK
<RXQJV PRGXOXV DQG 3RLVVRQV UDWLR <RXQJV PRGXOXV
LV WKH DPRXQW RI D[LDO VWUDLQ LQ FRPSUHVVLRQ SHU XQLW RI
D[LDOVWUHVVDQG3RLVVRQVUDWLRLVWKHUDWLRRIUDGLDOVWUDLQ
GLYLGHGE\WKHD[LDOVWUDLQ7KHVHHODVWLFSDUDPHWHUVFDQ
EHPHDVXUHGGXULQJWKH8&6WHVWLQJRIFRUHVDPSOHVE\
[LQJ VWUDLQ JDXJHV WR WKH WHVW VDPSOH 7KH YDOXHV IRU
<RXQJV PRGXOXV DQG 3RLVVRQV UDWLR DUH UHTXLUHG IRU
YDULRXVQXPHULFDOPRGHOOLQJDSSOLFDWLRQV
Triaxial compressive strength WULD[LDO WHVWV DUH VLPLODU WR
8&6WHVWVWKHGLIIHUHQFHEHLQJWKDWWKHVDPSOHLVSODFHG
XQGHUDFRQQLQJSUHVVXUHGXULQJORDGLQJ7KHHIIHFWRI
WKH FRQQLQJ SUHVVXUH LV WR LQFUHDVH WKH PDJQLWXGH RI
WKHD[LDOORDGUHTXLUHGWRIDLOWKHVDPSOH%\SHUIRUPLQJ
WKH WHVW IRU LQFUHDVLQJ FRQQLQJ VWUHVV WKH UHODWLRQ
EHWZHHQ WKH PD[LPXP DQG PLQLPXP SULQFLSDO VWUHVVHV
LVXVHGWRGHVFULEHWKHSHDNVWUHQJWKRIWKHURFNVDPSOH
,W VKRXOG EH QRWHG WKDW UHFHQW ZRUN E\ .DLVHU DQG &DL
KDV GHPRQVWUDWHG WKDW PXOWLVWDJH WHVWLQJ UHVXOWV
LQHUURQHRXVO\ZHDNHUVWUHQJWKUHVXOWVWKDQVLQJOHVWDJH
WHVWLQJDQGWKXVVKRXOGEHDYRLGHG
7HQVLOHVWUHQJWK%UD]LOLDQWHVWWKHWHQVLOHVWUHQJWKRID
URFNLVXVXDOO\GHWHUPLQHGLQGLUHFWO\XVLQJWKH%UD]LOLDQ
WHVWLQJPHWKRGLQZKLFKDGLVFRIGULOOFRUHLVFRPSUHVVHG
GLDPHWULFDOO\2QO\WZRRUWKUHHFHQWLPHWUHVRIGULOOFRUH
DUH UHTXLUHG IRU WKLV WHVW DQG DQ RIIFXW IURP WKH 8&6
VDPSOHLVXVXDOO\DGHTXDWH
3RLQW ORDG VWUHQJWK WHVW LQ WKH SRLQW ORDG VWUHQJWK WHVW
D VDPSOH RI URFN XVXDOO\ GULOO FRUH LV SODFHG EHWZHHQ
WZR GRPHG FLUFXODU SULVPV DQG ORDGHG XQWLO IDLOXUH
UHIHU WR )LJXUH 7KLV VLPSOH LQH[SHQVLYH WHVW FDQ
EH SHUIRUPHG RQVLWH DQG FDQ EH XVHG WR HVWLPDWH WKH
FRPSUHVVLYH VWUHQJWK RI WKH URFN 7KH SRLQW ORDG WHVW
SURYLGHVDSRLQWORDGWHVWLQGH[YDOXHZKLFKVKRXOGEH
FRUUHODWHGZLWKXQLD[LDOFRPSUHVVLYHVWUHQJWK8&6WHVWV
LQ03DWRSURGXFHDFRUUHODWLRQIDFWRU&)7KLVVKRXOG
EHGHWHUPLQHGDQGDSSOLHGVHSDUDWHO\IRUHDFKFRUHVL]H
DVWKHVWUHQJWKRIDVDPSOHRIFRUHLVREYLRXVO\LQXHQFHG
E\ LWV GLDPHWHU 7KH SRLQW ORDG WHVW LQGH[ YDOXH ,V(50))
PXOWLSOLHG E\ WKH &) ZLOO UHVXOW LQ DQ HVWLPDWHG 8&6 RI
WKHLQWDFWURFNVSHFLPHQ
3RLQW ORDG WHVWLQJ LV DQ H[FHOOHQW PHWKRG IRU TXLFNO\
HVWLPDWLQJWKHXQLD[LDOFRPSUHVVLYHVWUHQJWK8&6RIWKH
URFN KRZHYHU LI PHDQLQJIXO UHVXOWV DUH WR EH REWDLQHG
WKHWHVWPXVWEHFRQGXFWHGDFFRUGLQJWRVSHFLFDWLRQDV
GHWDLOHGLQWKH6XJJHVWHGPHWKRGVIRUGHWHUPLQLQJSRLQW
ORDGVWUHQJWK)UDQNOLQ
Density determinations WKH GHQVLWLHV RI WKH YDULRXV VRLO
DQG URFN PDWHULDOV DW D SURVSHFW DUH UHTXLUHG IRU ERWK
WKHHVWLPDWLRQRIWKHUHVRXUFHDQGPLQLQJVWXGLHV:KHQ
GHQVLW\PHDVXUHPHQWVDUHUHSRUWHGFDUHPXVWEHWDNHQWR
HQVXUHWKDWWKHFRUUHFWGHQVLW\WHUPVDUHXVHGZKLFKDUH
GHQHGDVIROORZV
EXON GHQVLW\ WKH PDVV RI WKH PDWHULDO LQFOXGLQJ
WKH VROLG SDUWLFOHV DQG DQ\ FRQWDLQHG ZDWHU SHU XQLW
YROXPHLQFOXGLQJYRLGV
GU\ GHQVLW\ WKH PDVV RI WKH PDWHULDO DIWHU GU\LQJ
WRDFRQVWDQWPDVVDW&SHUXQLWYROXPHRI
XQGULHGPDWHULDO
PRLVWXUH FRQWHQW WKH TXDQWLW\ RI ZDWHU WKDW FDQ EH
UHPRYHG IURP WKH PDWHULDO E\ GU\LQJ WR D FRQVWDQW
PDVVDW&H[SUHVVHGDVDSHUFHQWDJHRIWKH
GU\PDVV
SDUWLFOH GHQVLW\ WKH PDVV RI WKH VROLG SDUWLFOHV SHU
XQLW YROXPH RI GU\ PDWHULDO H[FOXGLQJ YRLGV DIWHU
GU\LQJWRDFRQVWDQWPDVVDW&
VSHFLF JUDYLW\ 6* WKH UDWLR RI WKH GHQVLW\ RI D
PDWHULDOFRPSDUHGZLWKWKHGHQVLW\RIGLVWLOOHGZDWHU
1RWH WKDW WKH WHUP VSHFLF JUDYLW\ DOWKRXJK KDYLQJ D
SUHFLVHGHQLWLRQKDVEHHQIUHTXHQWO\PLVXVHGWRGHVFULEH
ERWK EXON GHQVLW\ DQG GU\ GHQVLW\ ,W LV UHFRPPHQGHG
WKDWWKLVWHUPEHDYRLGHGZKHQGHVFULELQJWKHGHQVLW\RI
URFNRUVRLOPDWHULDOV
119
FIG 14 - Application of rock mass classification systems in rock mechanics and rock engineering (after Cai et al, 2003).
CONCLUSIONS
7KHUHFRYHU\RIFRUHE\GLDPRQGGULOOLQJLVWKHPRVWYDOXDEOH
PHWKRG RI VXEVXUIDFH LQYHVWLJDWLRQ LQWR WKH URFN PDVV WR
EH PLQHG ,W SURYLGHV XV ZLWK WKH PHDQV RI DFTXLULQJ YLWDO
LQIRUPDWLRQDERXWWKHURFNPDVVIURPZKLFKZHFDQGHYHORS
DQ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ DQG HYDOXDWH LWV UHVSRQVH WR PLQLQJ
$V FRUH GULOOLQJ LV WKH PRVW H[SHQVLYH SKDVH RI PLQHUDO
H[SORUDWLRQ HYHU\ HIIRUW VKRXOG EH PDGH WR HQVXUH WKDW WKH
EHVW TXDOLW\ GDWD LV DFTXLUHG IURP DV PXFK RI WKH FRUH DQG
KROHDVSRVVLEOH
$OWKRXJKGLIIHUHQWPLQLQJPHWKRGVPD\SODFHDGLIIHUHQW
HPSKDVLVRQWKHW\SHVRIGDWDFROOHFWHGW\SLFDOO\DOOPHWKRGV
GHPDQGVXIFLHQWURFNVWUHQJWKDQGVWUXFWXUDOGLVFRQWLQXLW\
W\SHGDWDWRGHYHORSDUHSUHVHQWDWLYHURFNPDVVPRGHO$ZHOO
FKDUDFWHULVHGURFNPDVVIRUPVWKHEDVLVRIDOOVXEVHTXHQWGDWD
DQDO\VHVIURPZKLFKWKHURFNPDVVEHKDYLRXULQUHVSRQVHWR
PLQLQJLVSUHGLFWHGWKXVHQVXULQJWKDWRSWLPDOPLQHGHVLJQV
FDQEHGHYHORSHG
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUZRXOGOLNHWRWKDQN0U-DUHN-DNXEHFIRUWKHXVHRI
VHYHUDORIKLVSKRWRJUDSKVDQGDFNQRZOHGJHWKDWPXFKRIWKH
FRQWHQWDQGH[SHULHQFHJDLQHGLQWKLVHOGKDVEHHQGHULYHG
IURPPDQ\ZLWKLQ5LR7LQWRLQSDUWLFXODUWKHSHUVRQQHODQG
WKHLUORJJLQJSURFHGXUHVDW1RUWKSDUNHV0LQHVLQ1HZ6RXWK
:DOHV$XVWUDOLD
REFERENCES
%DUWRQ 1 /LHQ 5 DQG /XQGH - (QJLQHHULQJ FODVVLFDWLRQ
RI URFN PDVVHV IRU GHVLJQ RI WXQQHO VXSSRUW 5RFN 0HFKDQLFV
120
HOME
1. Principal Structural Geologist, Orefind Pty Ltd, 21 Kirkdale Turn, Kinross WA 6028. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
)URP D JHRORJLFDO SHUVSHFWLYH WKH XVH RI GLDPRQG GULOO
FRUH LV SDUDPRXQW LQ KDUGURFN H[SORUDWLRQ DQG PLQLQJ ,W
SURYLGHV LQYDOXDEOH LQIRUPDWLRQ IRU SURVSHFW HYDOXDWLRQ
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH DQG 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ DQG JHQHUDO
JHRORJLFDOXQGHUVWDQGLQJ:LWKIHZH[FHSWLRQVWKHPLQHUDO
RFFXUUHQFHVGULOOHGKDYHDQDUFKLWHFWXUHGLFWDWHGE\VWUXFWXUH
2ULHQWHGGLDPRQGGULOOFRUHLVWKHUHIRUHFULWLFDOWRSURYLGLQJ
LQIRUPDWLRQ RQ WKH VWUXFWXUDO FRQWUROV WR PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
ZKLFKLQWXUQDGGVFRQGHQFHWRJHRORJLFDODQG5HVRXUFH
5HVHUYHPRGHOV
7KH SURFHVV RI RULHQWHG FRUH FROOHFWLRQ VKRXOG QRW WDNH
YDOXHIURPWKHSURMHFWWKURXJKXQQHFHVVDU\H[SHQVHRUORVV
RI SURGXFWLYLW\ 7R WKLV HQG RULHQWHG GLDPRQG FRUH VKRXOG
IXOOWKHIROORZLQJREMHFWLYHV
WKHUHVKRXOGEHQRLQWHUUXSWLRQRIWKHGULOOLQJF\FOHDQG
SURGXFWLYLW\VKRXOGQRWEHFRPSURPLVHG
WKHRULHQWDWLRQPHWKRGPXVWEHFRVWHIIHFWLYH
GULOOHUVDQGJHRORJLVWVVKRXOGSRVVHVVDIXOOXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RIWKHGHVLUHGREMHFWLYHVDQGPHHWWKHPWKURXJKUHJXODU
DQGDFFXUDWHRULHQWDWLRQV
FRUH RULHQWDWLRQ PHWKRGV PD\ QHHG FKDQJLQJ GXH WR
JURXQGFRQGLWLRQVDQGSRVVLEO\GULOOHUH[SHULHQFH
EDFNXSV\VWHPVKDYHWREHLQSODFHLIDSDUWLFXODUPHWKRG
RURULHQWDWLRQWRROIDLOV
DSHUPDQHQWUHFRUGRIWKHPHWKRGXVHGQHHGVWREHNHSW
LI QRW VDPSOHG RULHQWHG FRUH VKRXOG EH DYDLODEOH IRU
IXWXUH LQWHUURJDWLRQ DQG KDOIFRUH VKRXOG SUHVHUYH WKH
RULHQWDWLRQPDUNDQGOLQH
7KLV SDSHU GRHV QRW SXUSRUW WR EH D KRZ WR GRFXPHQW
WKDW GLFWDWHV WKH FUDGOHWRJUDYH SURFHVV RI GLDPRQG FRUH
RULHQWDWLRQ WKURXJK WR JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ 5DWKHU LW
ORRNVDWSUREOHPVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKRULHQWHGGLDPRQGFRUHWKDW
FDQRFFXUIURPWKHLQLWLDORULHQWDWLRQVWDJHDWWKHULJWKURXJK
WRLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRIVWUXFWXUDOGDWDDWWKHHQGRIWKHSURFHVV
'HWDLOVRISURFHGXUHVIRURULHQWHGFRUHDUHRQO\GLVFXVVHGLQ
GHWDLO VXIFLHQW IRU XQGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH SURFHVV KRZHYHU LI
UHDGHUVUHTXLUHPRUHLQIRUPDWLRQWKH\DUHGLUHFWHGWRZDUGV
RWKHU SXEOLVKHG VRXUFHV RU WR FRQWDFW SHRSOH VNLOOHG LQ WKH
QHFHVVDU\SURFHGXUHV
6HYHUDORULHQWDWLRQPHWKRGVDQGWRROVDUHEULH\GHVFULEHG
+RZHYHULQWKHLQWHUHVWVRIREMHFWLYLW\WKHDXWKRUGRHVQRW
DGYRFDWHDQ\SUHIHUUHGPHWKRG
121
FIG 1 - Examples of various diamond core orienting tools. (A) The downhole spear. (B) The Ezy-MarkTM tool. The orange section has pins that conform to the shape
of the core stub, as seen in (C) below. The orange section can be left in the core tray as a proxy for a core block, thereby preserving the orientation with the core.
(C) Ezy-MarkTM tool with permanent pins and crayon. Note the three aligned balls on the right-hand side of the instrument. (D) The Verti-OriTM tool. (E) Ballmark
soft metal washer (left) with reference mark (hole) and orientation indentation (near finger). The right-hand picture shows the ceramic ball in the track where
it freely rotates until the orientation is made. (F) The ReflexTM tool. (G) The AceTM tool (left) and stopwatch (right). (H) The ORIshotTM tool showing orientation
instruments and handset.
PLQLQJLQGXVWU\WKHOLVWFRQWDLQVWKHPRVWFRPPRQPHWKRGV
HQFRXQWHUHG
,Q UHFHQW \HDUV HOHFWURQLF PHWKRGV VXFK DV WKH 5HH[70
V\VWHP DQG 25,VKRW70 DSSHDU WR EH WDNLQJ LQFUHDVLQJO\
ODUJHU SRUWLRQV RI WKH PDUNHW 7KH LQGXVWU\ DSSHDUV WR EH
SURJUHVVLQJWRZDUGVXVLQJ(]\0DUN70DQGRWKHUHOHFWURQLF
V\VWHPVDVWKHVWDQGDUG7KHXVHRIWKHVSHDUWKRXJKLVVWLOO
WKHPRVWFRPPRQEHFDXVHLPSOHPHQWDWLRQLVWKHVLPSOHVWDQG
122
ZLUHOLQHLQVLGHWKHGULOOURGVDIWHUWKHLQQHUWXEHLVUHPRYHG
)LJXUHD7KHLQXHQFHRIJUDYLW\FDXVHVWKHVSHDUWRWUDYHO
GRZQWKHORZHUHGJHRIWKHKROHDQGSURGXFHDPDUNRUFKLS
RQWKHORZHVWHGJHRIWKHQH[WSLHFHRIURFNWREHFRUHG*RRG
TXDOLW\VSHDURULHQWDWLRQPDUNVZLOORFFXUDVGLVFUHWHPDUNV
QHDUWKHHGJHRIWKHFRUH
$OWKRXJK WKH VSHDU RULHQWDWLRQ GHYLFH LV YHU\ VLPSOH
VHYHUDOSUREOHPVFDQDULVH)LJXUHLQFOXGLQJ
FIG 2 - (A) to (E) show various marks made using a downhole spear that has had either a hardened metal tip or a crayon tip. (A) Smeared crayon mark defining a poor
quality orientation mark, which is too wide to confidently locate the bottom-of-core position. (B) Unusable mark produced by a metal-tipped spear in the centre of
a core interval. (C) Several metal-tipped spear impact marks at various positions across a core break. The impact marks define a line and are a result of dropping the
spear from too far up the hole. (D) Elongated metal-tipped spear impact mark defining an unusable orientation mark in the centre of the core break. (E) Smudged
crayon impact mark. Although the inclination would be to use the point at which the mark intersects the edge of the core, this is not correct and the mark should be
treated as unusable. (F) Example of a poorly designed spear comprising an impact tip of a blunt crayon loosely attached to the spear with gaffer tape.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
123
7KHGULOOELWPD\QRWEHRQWKHERWWRPRIWKHKROH
6PDOOHUFRUHVL]HVHJ%4ZLOOEHPRUHSURQHWRHUURUDQG
SURGXFHPDUNVUHODWLYHO\FORVHUWRWKHFHQWUHRIWKHFRUH
WKDQIRUODUJHUFRUHVL]HV
$EHQWVSHDUWLSZLOOSURGXFHLQDFFXUDWHUHVXOWVWKHUHIRUH
WKHWLSPXVWEHUPO\VFUHZHGLQWRWKHVSHDUWRSUHYHQWLW
IURPEHQGLQJRUEUHDNLQJ
$WKLFNQXWRUVRPHRWKHUKROGHUIRUWKHWXQJVWHQWLSRU
FUD\RQ ZLOO UHVXOW LQ WKH PDUN EHLQJ WRR IDU LQ IURP WKH
HGJH RI WKH FRUH 7R DYRLG WKLV WKH VSHDU VKRXOG EH D
WDSHUHGF\OLQGHUDQGWKHWLSRIWKHVSHDUVKRXOGEHDVKDUS
WDSHUWHUPLQDWLQJLQWKHWXQJVWHQWLSRUWKHZD[SHQFLO
,IWKHVSHDULVORZHUHGWRRVORZO\LWZLOOIDLOWRSURGXFHD
PDUNDQGLILWLVORZHUHGWRRIDVWWKHVSHDUPD\ERXQFH
SURGXFLQJ PXOWLSOH PDUNV RU VWUHDNHG OLQHV 7KH VSHDU
VKRXOGEHORZHUHGVRWKDWLWSURGXFHVDVLQJOHSXQFKRU
FUD\RQPDUN7KHFRUUHFWVSHHGZLOOEHGHSHQGHQWRQWKH
DQJOH RI WKH KROH DQG WKH KDUGQHVV RI WKH URFN DQG FDQ
RQO\EHGHWHUPLQHGE\WULDODQGHUURU
7KHDQJOHRIWKHKROHPD\EHWRRJUHDWRUWRRORZ7KHEHVW
UHVXOWVDUHREWDLQHGLQGULOOKROHVZLWKSOXQJHVEHWZHHQ
DQG7KHGHSWKRIWKHKROHVKRXOGQRWVLJQLFDQWO\
DIIHFWWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHPDUNV
QRQPDJQHWLFEDOOVDUHORFDWHGDWGLIIHUHQWLQWHUYDOVDORQJWKH
WRRO)LJXUHVEDQGFDQGDUHGHVLJQHGWRUROOWRDSRVLWLRQ
DWWKHERWWRPVLGHRIWKHWRROGXHWRJUDYLW\:KHQWKHWRRO
UHDFKHVWKHFRUHVWXEDWWKHERWWRPRIWKHKROHDQXPEHURI
VSULQJORDGHGVWHHOSLQVWDNHDQLPSUHVVLRQRIWKHFRUHVWXE
VKDSH2QHRIWKHSLQVLVVXEVWLWXWHGIRUDZD[SHQFLOZKLFK
PDNHVDQLQGHSHQGHQWPDUNRQWKHFRUH7KHDFWLRQRISXOOLQJ
WKHWRROIURPWKHKROHORFNVWKHVWHHOSLQVLQWKHVKDSHRIWKH
FRUHVWXEDQGORFNVWKHWKUHHEDOOVZKLFKUHFRUGWKHERWWRP
RIWKHKROH
7KH(]\0DUN70WRROFRPHVRXWZLWKWKHFRUHDWWKHHQGRI
HDFKUXQ:KHQWKHUXQRIFRUHLVGULOOHGDQGSXOOHGIURPWKH
JURXQG WKH WHPSODWH SLQV DQG SHQFLO PDUN DUH PDWFKHG WR
WKHFRUHHQG7KHWRROKDVDVKURXGDURXQGLWWKDWLVWDNHQRII
DQGUHSODFHGZLWKDQRULHQWLQJJDXJHZKLFKKDVDZLQGRZ
WKURXJK ZKLFK WKH EDOOV LQ WKHLU ORFNHG SRVLWLRQ FDQ EH
YLHZHG )LJXUH ,I D JRRG TXDOLW\ RULHQWDWLRQ KDV EHHQ
DFKLHYHGDOOWKUHHEDOOVZLOOEHDOLJQHGDQGYLVLEOHWKURXJK
WKHZLQGRZ
Ballmark
7KH %DOOPDUN V\VWHP )LJXUH H XVHV WKH DFWLRQ RI WKH
LQQHU WXEH EDFNHQG GXULQJ FRUH EUHDNLQJ ZKLFK WUDQVIHUV
ORDG WR WKH RXWHU WXEH YLD FRPSUHVVLRQ RI D VSULQJ 7KH
V\VWHP LQGHQWV D SUHYLRXVO\ DOLJQHG VRIW PHWDO GLVFXVLQJD
QRQPDJQHWLF FHUDPLF EDOO ,Q DQJOHG KROHV JUDYLW\ FDXVHV
WKLV IUHHUXQQLQJ PHWDO EDOO WR EH SRVLWLRQHG DW WKH ORZHVW
SRLQW LQ LWV WUDFN ZKLFK LV WKH ERWWRP VLGH RI WKH KROH DQG
FRQVHTXHQWO\ WKH ERWWRP RI WKH FRUH %\ EUHDNLQJ WKH FRUH
DIWHU WKH GULOOVWULQJ KDV VWRSSHG URWDWLQJ DQ LQGHQWDWLRQ LV
FUHDWHGRQWKHVRIWPHWDOGLVF7KLVPDUNLVWKHQWUDQVSRVHG
RQWRWKHFRUHUHVXOWLQJLQUHODWLYHO\DFFXUDWHFRUHRULHQWDWLRQ
2QH JRRG DVSHFW RI WKH %DOOPDUN PHWKRG LV WKDW WKH
RULHQWDWLRQPDUNRQWKHPHWDOGLVNUHOLHVRQSXOOLQJWKHWXEH
GRZQ DJDLQVW WKH GLVN ZKHQ EUHDNLQJ WKH FRUH 7KHUH ZLOO
EH QR PDUN LI FRUH LV IURP EURNHQ JURXQG ZKHUH GULOOLQJ
LQGXFHGEUHDNDJHKDVQRWRFFXUUHG7KLVPHDQVWKDWWKHUHDUH
QRIDOVHPDUNVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKEURNHQFRUH
$ SUREOHP ZLWK FRUH RULHQWDWLRQ XVLQJ WKH %DOOPDUN
PHWKRG LV WKDW WKH DOXPLQLXP ZDVKHU FDQ EH SXQFKHG WRR
VRRQLHEHIRUHWKHEDOOKDVVWRSSHGUHYROYLQJLQWKHKROH,Q
VRPHFDVHVWZRLQGHQWVFDQEHSURGXFHGRQWKHVDPHGLVF
7KLV FDQ EH GXH WR ORZHULQJ WKH URGV WRR TXLFNO\ FDXVLQJ
FRPSUHVVLRQRIWKHVSULQJZKHQWKHURGVKLWWKHERWWRPRIWKH
KROH2QHZD\WRFKHFNZKLFKPDUNLVGXHWRWKHWXEHODQGLQJ
DQGZKLFKLVGXHWRFRUHEUHDNDJHLHWKHRULHQWDWLRQSURFHVV
LV WR MRLQ WKH OLQHV IURP WKH WZR PDUNV EDFN XS WKH KROH
7KH FRUUHFW RQH ZLOO DOLJQ ZLWK WKH SUHYLRXVO\ HVWDEOLVKHG
RULHQWDWLRQPDUN0RUHRIWHQWKDQQRWWKHGHHSHULQGHQWDWLRQ
LVWKHRQHDVVRFLDWHGZLWKEUHDNLQJWKHFRUH
Ezy-Mark
7KH(]\0DUN70V\VWHPLVRQHRIDQXPEHURISURSULHWDU\FRUH
VWXEWHPSODWHWRROV7KHWRROVDUHOHDVHGWRWKHH[SORUDWLRQ
PLQLQJFRPSDQ\SUHFOXGLQJDQ\RQVLWHPDLQWHQDQFHRIWKH
WRROVLIVRPHWKLQJJRHVZURQJ
7KH(]\PDUNWRROWVLQVLGHDVWDQGDUGLQQHUFRUHWXEH
DQGLVORZHUHGGRZQZLWKWKHFRUHWXEH7KUHHIUHHO\URWDWLQJ
124
FIG 3 - Orientation shroud for the Ezy-Mark tool showing viewing window
where a high-confidence orientation mark is indicated by the alignment of the
three balls.
)LQDOO\ WKH PDUNHU JDXJH LV DOLJQHG ZLWK WKH RULHQWDWLRQ
EDOOVDQGWKHFRUHLVPDUNHG7KHQDOLQHLVGUDZQDORQJWKH
FRUHWKDWPDWFKHVWKHDOLJQPHQWRIWKHWKUHHORFNHGEDOOV7KLV
WRROLVYHU\HIIHFWLYHDQGJHQHUDOO\TXLWHDFFXUDWHEHFDXVHLW
KDV WKUHH LQGHSHQGHQW LQGLFDWRUV WKDW FRPELQH WR JLYH WKH
ERWWRPRIWKHKROH,WLVFRPPRQIRUIDLOHGRULHQWDWLRQVWREH
TXLFNO\LGHQWLHG
3UREOHPVWKDWFDQDULVHLQFOXGH
,IWKHWRROLVORZHUHGWRRTXLFNO\WKHLPSDFWDJDLQVWZDWHU
LQWKHKROHFDQFDXVHWKHGHYLFHWRUHSUHPDWXUHO\EHIRUH
FRQWDFWLQJWKHEURNHQIDFHRQZKLFKWKHRULHQWDWLRQPDUN
QHHGV WR EH PDGH +HQFH WKH SUHVHQFH RI D ZDWHU WDEOH
PXVWEHFRQVLGHUHGLQKROHVZKHQXVLQJWKH(]\0DUN70
%HFDXVHWKHSRVLWLRQRIWKHEDOOVLVGLUHFWO\LQXHQFHGE\
JUDYLW\WKHDQJOHRIWKHKROHFDQFDXVHLQGXFHSUREOHPV
LI WKH KROHV DUH VWHHS HJ RI WKH RUGHU RI RU JUHDWHU
7KH WKUHH IUHHO\ URWDWLQJ EDOOV DUH ORFDWHG DW VXFFHVVLYH
LQWHUYDOV DORQJ WKH WRRO ZKLFK PHDQV WKH EDOOV DUH DW
SURJUHVVLYHO\ GLIIHUHQW GHSWKV ZKHQ WKH WRRO LV ORZHUHG
LQWR WKH KROH 7KH EDOOV UROO WR WKH ORZHU VLGH RI WKH WRRO
DQGKHQFHWKHORZHUVLGHRIWKHKROHGXHWRWKHLQXHQFH
RIJUDYLW\DQGWKHVHSRVLWLRQVDUHORFNHGLQZKHQWKH(]\
0DUNWRROUHV
,IWKHFRUHEUHDNVDUHSHUSHQGLFXODUWRWKHFRUHD[LVWKH
SUROHZLOOEHFLUFXODUDQGWKHSLQVZLOOQRWVKRZDPDUNHG
DV\PPHWU\ 7KH QXPEHU RI RULHQWDWLRQ WHFKQLTXHV LV
FRQVHTXHQWO\ UHGXFHG DQG WKH RULHQWDWLRQ RI WKH FRUH LV
WKHQ GHSHQGHQW RQ WKH FUD\RQ PDUN DQG WKH VXFFHVVIXO
DOLJQPHQWRIWKHEDOOV
3RWHQWLDO HUURUV WKDW FDQ DULVH ZKHQ XVLQJ WKH 5HH[ WRRO
LQFOXGH
Verti-OriTM
9HUWL2UL )LJXUH G LV D UHODWLYHO\ QHZ V\VWHP GHVLJQHG
E\ WKH VDPH FRPSDQ\ WKDW SURGXFHV WKH (]\0DUN70
LQVWUXPHQWV&RUHLVRULHQWHGUHODWLYHWRPDJQHWLFQRUWKDQG
XWLOLVHVDK\EULGGLJLWDOPHFKDQLFDORULHQWDWLRQV\VWHP7KH
DXWKRUKDVQRWXVHGWKLVV\VWHP\HWDQGLQLWLDOXVDJHKDVEHHQ
SULPDULO\ IRU JHRWHFKQLFDO SXUSRVHV HJ GULOOLQJ RI YHUWLFDO
KROHVWRDVVHVVIRXQGDWLRQVIRUGDPV
$MLJSURYLGHGZLWKWKH5HH[70WRROLVXVHGWRJXLGHWKH
PDUNLQJ XS SURFHVV DW WKH OLIWHU FDVH HQG RI WKH VDPSOH
$OWKRXJKWKHPDUNVKRXOGEHPDGHRQWKHHQGRIWKHFRUH
LW LV FRPPRQ IRU GULOOHUV WR SXW WKH RULHQWDWLRQ PDUN RQ
WKHRXWVLGHRIWKHFRUHZKLFKFDQWKHQEHUHPRYHGZKHQ
WKHFRUHLVVOLGRXWRIWKHEDUUHO6LJQLFDQWHUURUVFDQEH
LQGXFHGZKHQWKHGULOOHUVDWWHPSWWRGHWHUPLQHZKHUHWKH
RULJLQDOPDUNZDV
8QOLNH WKH GRZQKROH VSHDU DQG (]\0DUN70 WRROV WKH
RULHQWDWLRQ PDUN RQ FRUH XVLQJ WKH 5HH[70 V\VWHP LV
PDGHRQWKHXSKROHIDFHRIFRUHDWWKHFRUHEUHDN7KDW
LVLWLVPDGHRQWKHODVWSLHFHRIFRUHGULOOHGGXULQJWKH
UXQUDWKHUWKDQRQWKHUVWSLHFHRIWKHQH[WUXQ2QFH
DJDLQ LI WKH PHWKRG RI RULHQWDWLRQ LV QRW QRWHG LQ WKH
GDWDEDVH WKH WHQGHQF\ FDQ EH IRU WKH JHRORJLVW WR LS
WKHFRUHDURXQGVXFKWKDWWKHRULHQWDWLRQPDUNLVYLVLEOH
RQ D IDFH WKDW FDQ EH VHHQ ZKHQ YLHZLQJ GRZQKROH
,W LV LPSHUDWLYH WKDW DQ DUURZ PDUNLQJ WKH GRZQKROH
GLUHFWLRQEHSODFHGRQWKHSLHFHRIRULHQWHGFRUHDVVRRQ
DVWKHFRUHLVODLGRXWDWWKHULJ
$ IDLOXUH WR UHSURGXFH FRQWLQXRXV PHDVXUHPHQWV RQ
HDUOLHUYHUVLRQVGXHWRH[WUHPHFROG7KHDXWKRUZRUNHGRQ
SURMHFWVLQQRUWKHUQ&DQDGDZKHUHWKH$FH70LQVWUXPHQWV
VLPSO\FRXOGQRWUHSURGXFHFRQVHFXWLYHPHDVXUHPHQWV
ORIshotTM
7KH 25,VKRW70 V\VWHP )LJXUH K FRPSULVHV DQ HOHFWURQLF
GRZQKROH SUREH DQG D V\QFKURQLVHG KDQGVHW 8VH RI WKH
V\VWHPLVHVVHQWLDOO\WKHVDPHDVIRUWKH$FH70FRUHRULHQWDWLRQ
WRRO ZKLFK ZDV WKH SUHFXUVRU WR WKH 5HH[70 V\VWHP 7KH
SUREHLVWWHGWRWKHEDFNHQGRIWKHFRUHEDUUHODQGORZHUHG
GRZQWKHKROH$WWKHHQGRIWKHFRUHUXQWKHLQVWUXPHQWKDV
WREHVWDELOLVHGZKLFKUHTXLUHVVWRSSLQJWKHURGURWDWLRQDQG
ZDLWLQJIRUDERXWDPLQXWH7KHLQVWUXPHQWLVWKHQUHWXUQHG
WRVXUIDFHDORQJZLWKWKHFRPSOHWHGFRUHUXQ
2QFH WKH RULHQWDWLRQ DVVHPEO\ DQG LQQHU WXEH KDYH EHHQ
UHWXUQHG WR VXUIDFH WKH\ DUH SODFHG RQ D VWDQG W\SLFDOO\
D FRUH UDFN DQG D UHTXHVW WR JHW GDWD LV HQWHUHG LQWR WKH
KDQGVHW7KHKDQGVHWLQGLFDWHVZKLFKZD\WRURWDWHWKHLQQHU
WXEHDQGSUREHVRWKDWWKHLURULHQWDWLRQVPDWFK$PDWFKLQ
RULHQWDWLRQEHWZHHQWKHKDQGVHWDQGSUREHLVLQGLFDWHGZKHQ
WZRYDOXHVWHUPHGWKHUROODQGWKHGRZQKROHUROOPDWFKRQ
WKHKDQGVHWGLVSOD\$PDWFKLVDOVRLQGLFDWHGE\WZRYHUWLFDO
EDUV\PEROVRQWKHKDQGVHWGLVSOD\:KHQWKHPDWFKRFFXUV
WKHFRUHLVLQLWVRULJLQDOSRVLWLRQ
7KH FRUH RULHQWDWLRQ OLQH LV PDUNHG XVLQJ WKH 9EORFN MLJ
SURYLGHG 7KH XQLW LV SXUSRUWHGO\ DFFXUDWH IRU KROHV WKDW
SOXQJH XS WR ZKLFK JLYHV WKH 25,VKRW70 V\VWHP DQ
DGYDQWDJHRYHUVRPHRWKHUWRROVIRUVWHHSKROHV
$ SUREOHP WKDW FDQ DULVH ZLWK WKH 25,VKRW70 LV ZKHQ
H[WUHPHFRQGLWLRQVHVSHFLDOO\DWWKHORZHUHQGRIWKHUDQJH
PD\FDXVHWKHHTXLSPHQWWRJLYHHUURQHRXVPHDVXUHPHQWV
7KH GRZQKROH SUREH KDV DQ RSHUDWLRQDO WHPSHUDWXUH UDQJH
IURP & WR & DQG WKH KDQGVHW KDV D UDQJH IURP &
WR&
125
WKH ERWWRP RI WKH EURNHQ VXUIDFH WKH JHRORJLVW FDQ XVXDOO\
UHVROYHWKLVZKHQFKHFNLQJWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHPDUNVGXULQJ
WKHUHRULHQWDWLRQSURFHVVVHHODWHU
7KH FUD\RQ PDUN DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH (]\0DUN70 PHWKRG
LV XVHG LQ FRQMXQFWLRQ ZLWK WKH DUUD\ RI SLQV WKDW FRQIRUP
WR WKH VXUIDFH RI WKH EURNHQ FRUH FRPELQHG ZLWK WKH ORFNHG
DOLJQPHQW RI WKUHH EDOOV $V VXFK WKHUH VKRXOG EH OLWWOH
FRQIXVLRQ ZLWK ZKHUH WKH ERWWRP RI WKH EURNHQ IDFH LV
ORFDWHG 'LVSRVDEOH (]\0DUN70 FRUH RULHQWDWLRQ EORFNV
)LJXUH FRQWDLQLQJ WKH SLQ SUROH DUH FRPPRQO\ XVHG LQ
OLHX RI FRUH EORFNV DQG WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH FUD\RQ PDUN FDQ
EHDVVHVVHGE\FRPSDULVRQZLWKWKHSLQSUROH+RZHYHULQ
WKHXQOLNHO\VLWXDWLRQZKHUHWKHEORFNVDUHPLVVLQJWKHPDUNV
PD\EHLQFRUUHFWO\LQWHUSUHWHGDVERWWRPRIKROHPDUNVPDGH
E\DVSHDULIWKH(]\0DUN70PHWKRGKDVQRWEHHQUHFRUGHG
LQ WKH GDWDEDVH $OO RI WKHVH LVVXHV FDQ EH FRPSRXQGHG E\
D JHRORJLVW ZKR LV XQIDPLOLDU ZLWK WKH PHWKRG EHLQJ XVHG
ZKLFK LV PRUH FRPPRQ WKDQ SHRSOH ZRXOG WKLQN 7KH
YDULDWLRQLQRULHQWDWLRQORFDWLRQPDNHVLWLPSHUDWLYHWKDWWKH
PHWKRGRIFRUHRULHQWDWLRQLVUHFRUGHGLQWKHGDWDEDVH
$ QDO SRLQW ZRUWK QRWLQJ LV WKDW JRRG PDUNV FDQ EH
LQWHUSUHWHG DV XQUHOLDEOH LI WKHUH LV QR LQGLFDWLRQ RI WKH
PHWKRGRIFRUHRULHQWDWLRQXVHG'ULOOHUVXVLQJWKH5HH[70
WRRO FRPPRQO\ SXW DQ HORQJDWH PDUN RQ WKH HQG RI WKH
FRUH WKDW SURMHFWV WR WKH FRUH PDUJLQ 7KHVH HORQJDWH PDUNV
DVVRFLDWHGZLWKRULHQWDWLRQRIFRUHYLDWKH5HH[WRROFDQ
ORRNOLNHEDGO\VPHDUHGVSHDUPDUNV7KLVLVDQRWKHUUHDVRQ
ZK\ LW LV LPSHUDWLYH WKDW WKH PHWKRG RI FRUH RULHQWDWLRQ EH
UHFRUGHGLQWKHGDWDEDVH
Case study
7KH DXWKRU ZRUNHG RQ D MRE DW D PDMRU JROG GHSRVLW LQ
*KDQD ZKHUH WKH FRUH UHFRYHU\ DQG LQWHJULW\ ZDV JUHDW
8QIRUWXQDWHO\ D VKRUW WLPH LQ WKH FRUH \DUG UHYHDOHG
QXPHURXVSUREOHPVZLWKWKHRULHQWDWLRQSURFHVV7KHGULOOHUV
ZHUH EHLQJ SDLG WR SURGXFH RULHQWHG FRUH EXW ZHUH WDNLQJ
DGYDQWDJHRIWKHODFNRIYLJLODQFH,QVRPHFDVHVWKHUHZHUH
LQWHUYDOVRIXSWRPEHWZHHQRULHQWDWLRQPDUNVEHFDXVHWKH
PD[LPXPDPRXQWRIPHWUHVZHUHEHLQJGULOOHGZLWKRXWWKH
VWRSSDJHVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHRULHQWDWLRQSURFHVV+RZHYHU
WKH ORQJ LQWHURULHQWDWLRQ GLVWDQFHV PHDQW WKDW WKHUH ZDV
QRHDV\ZD\WRFKHFNWKHLQWHJULW\RIWKHPDUNVLQGHWDLO,I
WKUHH PDUNV ZHUH WR OLQH XS P RI FRUH ZRXOG QHHG WR
EH FKHFNHG )XUWKHUPRUH WKH FRPSDQ\ ZDV QRW JHWWLQJ
WKH SURGXFW WKH RULHQWDWLRQ PDUN LW ZDV SD\LQJ IRU 6XFK
VLWXDWLRQVDUHXQDFFHSWDEOHDQGDYRLGDEOHZKHQWKHSURFHVV
LVSURSHUO\PRQLWRUHG
126
Case study
7KH DXWKRU ZDV EDVHG LQ DQ H[SORUDWLRQ FDPS LQ QRUWKHUQ
(ULWUHD ZKHUH DQ H[WHQVLYH GULOOLQJ FDPSDLJQ ZDV EHLQJ
XQGHUWDNHQ7KHJRYHUQPHQWZDVYHU\UHVWULFWLYHLQWHUPVRI
WUDYHO DQG WKH XVH RI D KHOLFRSWHU WR WUDYHO WR DQG IURP WKH
FDSLWDO $VPDUD ZDV OLNHZLVH TXLWH OLPLWHG &RQVHTXHQWO\
VXSSOLHV ZHUH GULYHQ LQ DORQJ D URXWH WKDW WRRN WHQ WR
KRXUV IRU D RQHZD\ WULS 7KH WUDYHO WLPH FRPELQHG ZLWK
WKHSDSHUZRUNDVVRFLDWHGZLWKJHQHUDOWUDYHODVZHOODVWKH
LPSRUW RI JRRGV LQWR WKH FRXQWU\ LPSRVHG UHVWULFWLRQV RQ
KRZ TXLFNO\ HTXLSPHQW FRXOG EH VHQW RXW IRU PDLQWHQDQFH
DQGWKHWLPHWDNHQIRUDUHSODFHPHQWWRDUULYH$QRULHQWDWLRQ
LQVWUXPHQWIDLOLQJLQFDVHVVXFKDVWKLVFRXOGKDYHEHHQFRVWO\
LQ WHUPV RI SURGXFWLYLW\ WLPH DQG PRQH\ LI DQ DOWHUQDWLYH
ZDVQRWDYDLODEOH
%DGRULHQWDWLRQVDUHFRPPRQO\DSURGXFWRIRQHGULOOHURURQH
GULOOFUHZRQO\$VVXFKLWLVLPSRUWDQWWRLGHQWLI\DQ\VXFK
SUREOHPV HDUO\ LQ WKH GULOOLQJ SURJUDP 6SRW LQVSHFWLRQV RI
WKHULJDQGDQDVVHVVPHQWRIWKHRULHQWDWLRQSURFHVVQHHGWREH
PDGHUHJXODUO\KRZHYHUJHRORJLVWVVKRXOGQHYHUDQQRXQFH
WKDWWKH\DUHJRLQJWRYLVLWWKHULJWRLQVSHFWWKHRULHQWDWLRQ
SURFHVVDQGHTXLSPHQW2WKHUZLVHGULOOHUVZKRDUHOHVVWKDQ
VFUXSXORXVDUHJLYHQWLPHWRFRYHUXSWKLQJVWKDWWKH\GRQRW
ZDQWWKHJHRORJLVWWRVHH
Case study
7KHDXWKRUZDVZRUNLQJRQDMREZKHUHDVSHDUZDVXVHGIRU
RULHQWDWLRQV EXW WKH PDUNV ODFNHG FRQVLVWHQF\ :KHQ DVNHG
LIWKHVSHDUZDVEHQWWKHGULOOHUVHPSKDWLFDOO\GHQLHGWKDWLW
ZDV2QKHDULQJWKLVWKHDXWKRUWROGWKHPKHZRXOGJRXSWR
WKHULJWKDWGD\WRFKHFNWKHHTXLSPHQWKRZHYHURQFHWKHUH
HYHU\WKLQJZDVLQRUGHUZLWKQRDSSDUHQWH[SODQDWLRQIRUWKH
EDGRULHQWDWLRQVWKHVSHDUZDVQHWKHURFNZDVFRPSHWHQW
ZLWK IHZ EUHDNV DQG WKH KROH SOXQJHG DW D PRGHUDWH DQJOH
,WZDVRQO\ZKHQZDONLQJDZD\DQGJODQFLQJRYHUWKH
VLGHRIWKHGULOOSDGWKDWVRPHWKLQJFRXOGEHVHHQKLGGHQLQ
WKH EXVKHV 7KH EHQW VSHDU WKDW WKH GULOOHUV KDG EHHQ XVLQJ
KDGKDVWLO\EHHQKLGGHQDQGUHSODFHGZLWKDQHZRQHEHFDXVH
WKH\ZHUHH[SHFWLQJDYLVLW
7RDOORZDELWRIGHWHFWLYHZRUNDQGWRGHWHUXQVFUXSXORXV
EHKDYLRXU WKH GULOOHU UHVSRQVLEOH IRU WKH RULHQWDWLRQ PDUN
RQ WKH FRUH VKRXOG SXW KLV LQLWLDOV RQ WKH EORFN DW WKH VDPH
FRUHEUHDN)LJXUH$OWKRXJKGULOOHUVVKRXOGEHLGHQWLHG
IURPWKHGULOOSORGVWKHLULQLWLDOVRQWKHEORFNPDNHWKHWDVN
HDVLHU DQG KLJKOLJKWV WKH GULOOHUV UHVSRQVLELOLW\ LQ WKH FRUH
RULHQWDWLRQSURFHVV,QRWKHUZRUGVGULOOHUVZLOOWHQGWRXVH
DELWPRUHFDXWLRQLIWKH\NQRZWKDWWKH\FDQEHLGHQWLHG
FIG 4 - The poorly designed spear in Figure 2F has produced the mark shown
here. The orientation mark was originally a yellow spot but the mark has been
overwritten by drillers trying to be helpful through painting around the mark.
Both the state of the spear and the mark should have been identified by the
geologist in charge and rectified.
7KHLGHQWLFDWLRQRIGULOOHUVDQGWKHLUFRUUHVSRQGLQJPDUNV
FDQFLUFXPYHQWDFRXSOHRISRWHQWLDOSUREOHPV,WLVUDUHEXW
VRPHWLPHV WKH PDUNV ZLOO EH IDEULFDWHG ,W PD\ EH WKDW WKH
GULOOHULVSDLGIRUHDFKRULHQWDWLRQLQWKHSURJUDPZKLFKPD\
OHDGWRGULOOHUVSXWWLQJDPDUNZLWKQRLQWHJULW\RQWKHFRUHLI
WKHRULHQWDWLRQSURFHVVWRROKDVQ
WZRUNHG7KLVFDQKDSSHQ
HVSHFLDOO\VRRQQLJKWVKLIWZKHQLWLVKDUGHUWRVHHLIDPDUN
KDVEHHQPDGHRUQRWE\WKHWRRO,IJHRORJLVWVVHHDPDUNOLNH
WKHRQHLQ)LJXUHWKH\VKRXOGEHFDXWLRXVEHFDXVHWKHPDUN
FIG 5 - Examples of driller identification on core blocks at the break where the orientation was taken. RK has produced an unusable mark whereas Henry has
produced a good mark.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
127
8OWLPDWHO\ WKH RQXV LV RQ WKH GULOOHUV DQG JHRORJLVWV WR
PRQLWRUWKHRULHQWDWLRQSURFHVVDQGUHVXOWVLQRUGHUWRHQVXUH
TXDOLW\RULHQWDWLRQPDUNV(VVHQWLDOWRWKLVLVDJRRGUDSSRUW
DQGWZRZD\UHVSHFWEHWZHHQWKHGULOOHUVDQGWKHJHRORJLVWV
Case study
6RPHWLPHVWKHVRSKLVWLFDWHGPHWKRGVVXFKDVWKHHOHFWURQLF
WRROVMXVWGRQWVHHPWRZRUN7KHDXWKRUKDVVHHQRFFDVLRQV
ZKHUH ERWK WKH JHRORJLVWV DQG WKH $FH WRRO SUHFXUVRU WR
WKH 5HH[ WRRO UHSUHVHQWDWLYHV FRXOGQW UHVROYH ZK\ WKH
LQVWUXPHQWZDVJLYLQJYDULDEOHRULHQWDWLRQVDFURVVVKLIWVDQG
XVLQJGLIIHUHQWGULOOHUV7KLVKDVEHHQLQFDVHVLQWKH$UFWLF
ZKHUHWKHSUREOHPFRXOGEHDWWULEXWHGWRWKHHIIHFWVRIFROG
RQ WKH LQVWUXPHQW WKURXJK WR FDVHV ZKHUH JRRG GULOOLQJ
FRQGLWLRQVZHUHSUHVHQWDQGWKHSUREOHPZDVDWWULEXWDEOHWR
WKHWRRO7KHLQVWUXPHQWDWWKHWLPHZDVUDWHGWR&DQG
FRQGLWLRQVLQWKH$UFWLFDUHFRPPRQO\FROGHUWKDQWKLV
FIG 6 - Example of a very discrete orientation mark near the edge of the core. This
mark was allegedly made by a spear but is more likely to have been fabricated.
LVDOLWWOHWRRSHUIHFW1HHGOHVVWRVD\DODUPEHOOVVKRXOGULQJ
LIWKHUHDUHDVHULHVRISHUIHFWPDUNV
$Q\ TXDOLHG JHRORJLVW VKRXOG EH DEOH WR LQWHUURJDWH WKH
GDWD DQG VHH LI LW PDNHV VHQVH )RU H[DPSOH FRQVLGHU JRRG
TXDOLW\ FRUH WKDW KDV D VWUXFWXUH WKDW FRQVLVWHQWO\ LQWHUVHFWV
LW DW WKH VDPH DQJOH RYHU ODUJH LQWHUYDOV VD\ P ,I WKH
PHDVXUHPHQWV IRU RULHQWHG FRUH YDU\ ZLOGO\ DQG VKRZ QR
SDWWHUQ RQ D VWHUHRQHW WKHUH LV REYLRXVO\ VRPHWKLQJ DPLVV
&RQYHUVHO\ LI D VWURQJO\ IROGHG IDEULF VKRZV WKH VDPH
RULHQWDWLRQ IURP DOO PHDVXUHPHQWV WKH JHRORJLVW VKRXOG
LGHQWLI\WKLVHDUO\RQLQWKHSURJUDP
Case study
7KHDXWKRUVSRNHWRDFROOHDJXHUHFHQWO\ZKRKDGH[DPLQHG
WKHVWUXFWXUDOGDWDIRUDFRPSDQ\ZRUNLQJLQ6($VLD:KHQ
WKHRULHQWDWLRQGDWDIDLOHGWRPDNHVHQVHWKHFROOHDJXHGHOYHG
IXUWKHUDQGGLVFRYHUHGWKDWWKHJHRORJLVWUHVSRQVLEOHIRUWKH
GDWDKDGIDEULFDWHGWKHUHDGLQJV
,GHQWLI\LQJ GULOOHUV DOVR VHUYHV WR GHWHUPLQH ZKR LV
FRPSHWHQWHQRXJKWRXVHWKHRULHQWDWLRQPHWKRG,IDGULOOHU
FRQVLVWHQWO\SURGXFHVEDGPDUNVRUQRPDUNVDWDOOFRQVLGHU
PRYLQJWKHPWRDUROHQRWLQYROYLQJRULHQWLQJWKHFRUH
3RWHQWLDOSUREOHPVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKREWDLQLQJDJRRGTXDOLW\
RULHQWDWLRQ PDUN UHSUHVHQW RQO\ D SRUWLRQ RI WKH LVVXHV WKDW
FDQDULVHSULRUWRWDNLQJDVWUXFWXUDOGDWDUHDGLQJ7KLVVHFWLRQ
UHYLHZV VRPH RI WKH UHODWLYHO\ PRUH FRPPRQ SUREOHPV
DOWKRXJKLWLVE\QRPHDQVH[KDXVWLYH
Core reassembly
3ULRUWRPDUNLQJWKHRULHQWDWLRQOLQHWKHFRUHPXVWEHFDUHIXOO\
UHDVVHPEOHG7KLVQHHGVWREHGRQHGLOLJHQWO\DVLWKLJKOLJKWV
IDFWRUVVXFKDVFRUHORVVDQGZKHWKHURUQRWRULHQWDWLRQPDUNV
FDQEHDFFHSWHG
&RUHUHDVVHPEO\PD\UHTXLUHJOXLQJWRJHWKHUFRUHIUDJPHQWV
LQFULWLFDODUHDV(YHU\EUHDNKDVWREHDVVHVVHGIRUFRQWLQXLW\
E\ UPO\ SODFLQJ WKH FRUH IUDJPHQWV EDFN WRJHWKHU &RUH
EUHDNV VKRXOG EH DVVHVVHG LQGLYLGXDOO\ DV VRPH DSSDUHQWO\
JRRG FRQWDFWV FDQ EH WKH UHVXOW RI JULQGLQJ LQGXFHG GXULQJ
GULOOLQJ )DLOXUH WR GLOLJHQWO\ FKHFN HDFK EUHDN FDQ UHVXOW LQ
XQVDWLVIDFWRU\VLWXDWLRQVDVVKRZQLQ)LJXUH7KHUHVXOWRI
IDLOXUHWRDFFXUDWHO\MRLQFRUHEDFNWRJHWKHUZLOOEHPLVDOLJQHG
FRUHDQGDQLPSHUIHFWRULHQWDWLRQOLQH
1RWHWKDWWKHLQGXVWU\FRQYHQWLRQLVWRGUDZWKHRULHQWDWLRQ
OLQHRQWKHERWWRPVXUIDFHRIWKHFRUHVRWKDWLWVLWVDGMDFHQWWR
ERWWRPRIKROHRULHQWDWLRQPDUNV,QUDUHFDVHVWKHJHRORJLVW
PD\ HQFRXQWHU RULHQWDWLRQ OLQHV RQ WRS RI WKH FRUH ,Q VXFK
VLWXDWLRQV WKHUH VKRXOG EH D FOHDU LQGLFDWLRQ WKDW WKH OLQH LV
QRWRQWKHERWWRPVLGHRIWKHFRUH8QIRUWXQDWHO\DPLQRULW\
RIJHRORJLVWVDUHVRPHZKDWUHFNOHVVLQGHQLQJWKHORFDWLRQ
RIWKHOLQHRUHYHQZRUVHPD\VZLWFKIURPDERWWRPRIFRUH
OLQHWRDWRSRIFRUHOLQHGXULQJDVLQJOHGULOOSURJUDP7KLV
FDQUHVXOWLQZKROHGDWDVHWVWKDWDUHXQDEOHWREHXVHG7KH
SUREOHPVFUHDWHGDUHWZRIROG)LUVWO\HUURULQWKHOLQHSRVLWLRQ
LVLQGXFHGGXULQJWKHSURFHVVRIWUDQVIHUULQJIURPWKHERWWRP
FIG 7 - The core either side of the angled break (circled) fits together tightly.
There is a lack of quality control associated with the red orientation line,
however, as it shows misalignment across the break. The core across the breaks
had not been pushed together to check the joins prior to marking. As an aside,
this mistake was noted while the geologist concerned was claiming that there
were no core orientation issues.
of core to the top of core. Secondly, if geologists are not made
aware of the non-industry procedure of swapping the line
from bottom of core to the top, they will place the core in
an orienting frame in a position that is rotated 180 degrees
from its true orientation. Similarly, Kenometer and alphabeta strips typically measure alpha (apparent dip) and beta
(apparent dip-direction) values relative to a bottom-of-core
line, not top-of-core.
The situation of orientation lines on the top of the core
may seem uncommon but the author has seen this on several
occasions.
FIG 8 - Core laid out in a piece of angle iron to the left of the trays from which it
was taken. The oriented marks are then lined up and the edge of the angle iron
used as a guide to draw the orientation line.
Case study
The author experienced an even more incredible situation
when working on the initial holes in a major orogenic gold
deposit in the Eastern Goldelds of Western Australia. After
spending a day or so in the balmy 40+ degree summer
heat in the core yard, the data was not making sense. When
querying the resident exploration manager about the core
orientations, the author was told that the geologist wanted to
view the orientation line when he was looking at the core so
he changed it from bottom-of-core to top-of-core after the rst
seven holes. Clearly, this is an inappropriate practice.
The marking-up process briey described below follows
industry convention and pertains to bottom-of-core
orientation marks and lines.
FIG 9 - Core laid out on a sheet of iron with angular corrugations. The
orientation marks are aligned on the top side of the core (still bottom-of-hole
but the core is rotated around). A piece of iron is then rubbed against the core
and produces a non-temporary line on pieces of adjacent core. This line can
then be checked against the marks for consistency and over-written in ink if
the marks are of good quality.
The procedure for marking orientation lines should
incorporate the following:
129
FIG 10 - Example of core spin that has induced circular marks on the core
either side of the break.
FIG 11 - Example of a portion of core showing evidence for core-spin. The spin
marks were due to the rotation of core from the previously drilled interval. The
piece of core in this figure represented the start of a new core run and did not
undergo rotation.
RULHQWDWLRQPDUNRQWKHORZHUSLHFHRIFRUHZKLFKZLOOEHWKH
UVW SLHFH LQ WKH QH[W UXQ EH FKHFNHG IRU FRQVLVWHQF\ ZLWK
PDUNVIURPIXUWKHUGRZQWKHKROHEHIRUHLWLVDFFHSWHG
,W LV LPSRUWDQW WR FKHFN IRU FRQWLQXLW\ RU RWKHUZLVH RI
JHRORJLFDO PDUNHUV HJ YHLQV DFURVV FRUH EUHDNV ,I WKH
PDUNHU LV GLVSODFHG DFURVV WKH MRLQ WKH RULHQWDWLRQ OLQH
VKRXOG QRW EH FDUULHG DFURVV WKH EUHDN /LNHZLVH LI WKH
PDUNHU LV FRQWLQXRXV DFURVV WKH EUHDN EXW WKH RULHQWDWLRQ
OLQHLVGLVSODFHGWKHUHLVDSUREOHP8QDFFHSWDEOHVLWXDWLRQV
OLNHWKDWLQ)LJXUHVDQGUHVXOWIURPDODFNRIGLOLJHQFH
RQWKHSDUWRIWKHJHRORJLVW
7KHRULHQWDWLRQOLQHPD\EHH[WHQGHGXSWRVHYHUDOPHWUHV
SDVW WKH ODVW RULHQWDWLRQ PDUN SURYLGHG WKH FRUH FDQ EH
FRQGHQWO\UHFRQVWUXFWHG7KHSRLQWVDWZKLFKDQRULHQWDWLRQ
OLQH LV VWRSSHG DQG WKH UHDVRQ IRU WKH WHUPLQDWLRQ VKRXOG
EH UHFRUGHG RQ WKH RULHQWDWLRQ UHFRUG IRUP ,Q H[WUHPH
VLWXDWLRQV ZKHUH RULHQWDWLRQV DUH FULWLFDO D VLQJOH UHIHUHQFH
OLQHPD\EHH[WHQGHGIRUPDQ\WHQVRIPHWUHVLQFRPSHWHQW
ZHOORULHQWHGFRUHDOWKRXJKWKLVLVQRWDGYLVDEOH7KHDXWKRU
KDVDOVRHQFRXQWHUHGWKHRSSRVLQJVLWXDWLRQZKHUHWKHODFN
RIWUDLQLQJRIJHRORJLVWDQGWHFKQLFLDQVUHVXOWHGLQRULHQWDWLRQ
'LIIHUHQW OLQH W\SHV RU FRORXUV VKRXOG EH XVHG WR GHOLQHDWH
EHWZHHQ OLQHV RI KLJK FRQGHQFH DQG WKRVH ZKHUH WKHUH LV
VRPH XQFHUWDLQW\ DV WR WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH OLQH $QRWKHU OLQH
W\SHRUFRORXUVKRXOGEHXVHGWRPDUNDFXWOLQHDORQJZKLFK
WKH FRUH LV VHFWLRQHG IRU VDPSOLQJ ,W PLJKW VHHP REYLRXV
EXW WKH JHRORJLVWV WHFKQLFLDQV DQG SHRSOH FXWWLQJ WKH FRUH
VKRXOGDOOEHIDPLOLDUZLWKWKHGLIIHUHQWOLQHW\SHV,WLVTXLWH
VXUSULVLQJWRKDYHJHRORJLVWVZKRVXSSRVHGO\NQRZDERXWD
GHSRVLWEHXQDEOHWRWHOO\RXZKLFKLVWKHRULHQWDWLRQOLQHDQG
ZKLFKLVWKHFXWOLQHDQGHYHQPRUHVRZKHQWKHZRUNHU
FXWWLQJ WKH FRUH GRHVQW NQRZ ZKLFK OLQH LV ZKLFK DQG KDV
UHPRYHGWKHRULHQWDWLRQOLQH7KHUHLVOLWWOHKRSHRIUHFWLI\LQJ
WKLVDVWKHOLQHKDVHLWKHUEHHQORVWZKHQLWZDVVDZHGRULV
VRPHZKHUHLQDVDPSOHEDJ
:KHQPDUNLQJWKHOLQHVLWLVSUHIHUDEOHWRXVHWKHERWWRP
HGJH RI WKH 9UDLO WR JXLGH WKH SHQ ZKHQ PDUNLQJ WKH
RULHQWDWLRQOLQHUDWKHUWKDQDUXOHUUHJDUGOHVVRIW\SHRUVW\OH
,I WKH FROOHFWLRQ RI RULHQWDWLRQ GDWD LV FULWLFDO WKH JHRORJLVW
PD\GHFLGHWREHVWULFWZLWKWKHGHVLJQDWLRQRIWKHRULHQWDWLRQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
131
OLQHDQGFKRRVHRQO\VROLGOLQHVRIKLJKFRQGHQFHDQGGDVKHG
OLQHVRIORZRUQRFRQGHQFH
$ UHFRUG VKRXOG EH NHSW RQ WKH RULHQWDWLRQ VKHHW WKDW
LQGLFDWHV ZKLFK RULHQWDWLRQ PDUNV ZHUH XVHG JRRG DQG
ZKLFKRQHVGLGQRWOLQHXSDQGZHUHQRWXVHG,QWKLVZD\D
UHFRUGRIWKHRULHQWDWLRQPDUNVLVNHSWIRUIXWXUHUHIHUHQFH
ZLOO ZRUN ZHOO DOWKRXJK FDUH KDV WR EH WDNHQ WKDW WKH\ DUH
PDGHHQWLUHO\RIQRQPDJQHWLFPDWHULDO)DLOXUHWRGRVRFDQ
SURGXFHVRPHLQWHUHVWLQJDQGSRWHQWLDOO\HUURQHRXVUHVXOWV
,Q WKLV UHVSHFW WKH SURIHVVLRQDOO\ SURGXFHG IUDPHV DUH
WURXEOHIUHHLQWHUPVRIPDJQHWLFPDWHULDO)LJXUHVKRZV
WKH LPSDFW RI PDJQHWLF PDWHULDO LQ D ORFDOO\ SURGXFHG FRUH
RULHQWLQJIUDPHDWDSURSHUW\LQ:HVW$IULFD
,QWKHFDVHRIDOSKDDQGEHWDPHDVXUHPHQWVWKHLQWURGXFWLRQ
RI WKH .HQRPHWHU )LJXUH KDV EHHQ H[WUHPHO\ XVHIXO
5HJDUGOHVV RI WKH PHWKRG XVHG IRU WDNLQJ DOSKD DQG EHWD
PHDVXUHPHQWV LW LV UHFRPPHQGHGWKDW D FRUH IUDPHURFNHW
ODXQFKHULVXVHGIRUWKHPHDVXUHPHQWRIVWUXFWXUHVLQRULHQWHG
FRUH DW WKH VWDUW RI HDFK SURMHFW 7KH XVH RI D FRUH RULHQWLQJ
IUDPH SHUPLWV GLUHFW YLVXDOLVDWLRQ RI WKH VWUXFWXUHV LQ WKHLU
RULJLQDORULHQWDWLRQV,QVRPHFDVHVWKLVFDQKHOSDYRLGVRPH
HPEDUUDVVLQJDQGPRUHH[SHQVLYHHUURUV
Case study
7KH DXWKRU ZRUNHG RQ D MRE LQ :HVW $IULFD ZKHUH D
GHSRVLW ZDV SURFHHGLQJ WR WKH UHVRXUFH HYDOXDWLRQ VWDJH
$OO WKH PHDVXUHPHQWV RI WKH VWUXFWXUHV LQFOXGLQJ WKH
SODQDU PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV KDG EHHQ WDNHQ XVLQJ WKH
DOSKDEHWD PHWKRG ,QWHUSUHWHG GULOO VHFWLRQV VKRZHG
EHDXWLIXO VXEYHUWLFDO JROGEHDULQJ ]RQHV :KHQ FKHFNLQJ
WKH RULHQWDWLRQV XVLQJ D FRUH IUDPH LW WXUQHG RXW WKDW WKH
PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV ZHUH DFWXDOO\ VXEKRUL]RQWDO $ ORW RI WKH
SUREOHPFHQWUHGRQJHRORJLVWVEHLQJUHOXFWDQWWROHDYHWKHLU
DLUFRQGLWLRQHGRIFHVWRVSHQGWLPHLQWKHKXPLGFRUH\DUG
,I D FRQVLGHUDEOH DPRXQW RI GDWD LV UHTXLUHG TXLFNO\ WKH
DOSKDEHWDJDPPDPHWKRGFDQEHXVHG,IXVLQJWKLVPHWKRG
WKHDXWKRUZLOOUHLWHUDWHZKDWZDVVDLGDERYHDQGHPSKDVLVH
WKH XVH RI D FRUH RULHQWLQJ IUDPH VR WKDW VWUXFWXUHV FDQ EH
YLVXDOLVHG &RUH RULHQWLQJ IUDPHV DOORZ PHDVXULQJ QRQ
SHQHWUDWLYH OLQHDU IHDWXUHV DQG FKHFNV RQ WKH DOSKDEHWD
JDPPDPHDVXUHPHQWVWDNHQIURPWKHVDPHLQWHUYDOV
FIG 15 - Oriented core showing a red downhole spear orientation mark on the
core break. The core break represents the start of a new core run and progressively
deeper portions of core are located in a direction away from the mark.
Consequently, the orientation line on the outside of the core that points towards
the orientation mark is incorrect because it indicates an uphole direction.
7KH DXWKRU KDV VHHQ H[DPSOHV ZKHUH D ORW RI DOSKD DQG
EHWD GDWD KDV EHHQ FROOHFWHG EXW WKH JHRORJLVW QHYHU XVHG D
FRUH RULHQWLQJ IUDPH WR GRXEOHFKHFN PHDVXUHPHQWV RU WR
YLVXDOO\DVVHVVWKHVWUXFWXUDOUHODWLRQVKLSV,WVDPD]LQJZKHQ
SRSXODWLRQVRIZLGHO\YDU\LQJDOSKDDQGEHWDVWUXFWXUDOGDWD
DUH SUHVHQWHG EXW WKH FRUH LQ WKH WUD\V VKRZV D FRQVLVWHQW
FRUHWRVWUXFWXUHDQJOH
)LJXUHLVIURPDSURMHFWZKHUHDFOLHQWZDVUPLQWKHLU
EHOLHI WKDW WKHLU EHGGLQJ RULHQWDWLRQ GDWD ZDV LPSHFFDEOH
+RZHYHUWKHGDWDGLVWULEXWLRQIRUSROHVWREHGGLQJVKRXOG
KDYH UXQJ VRPH DODUP EHOOV 7KH SORWV DOVR KLJKOLJKW VRPH
RI WKH SLWIDOOV RI OHWWLQJ VRIWZDUH GHDO ZLWK WKH GDWD 7KH
LQGLYLGXDO GDWD LV SORWWHG DQG IRUPV D GLVWULEXWLRQ WKDW
GHQHV D EURDG FLUFOH ZLWK DQ DUHD RI PLQLPDO GDWD LQ WKH
FRUHRIWKHGLVWULEXWLRQ7KLVLVDW\SLFDOGLVWULEXWLRQIRUGDWD
WKDWKDVEHHQURWDWHGDQGLVUHIHUUHGWRDVDVPDOOFLUFOHGDWD
GLVWULEXWLRQ7KHD[LVRIURWDWLRQLVWKHGULOOKROHRULHQWDWLRQ
)URPWKLVSORWDORQHLWLVSRVVLEOHWRSUHGLFWWKDWWKHGULOOKROH
RULHQWDWLRQZDVDSSUR[LPDWHO\
Final pleas
*HRORJLVWVVKRXOGQHYHUZDLWXQWLODGULOOLQJSURJUDPLVRYHU
EHIRUHWKH\VWDUWRULHQWLQJWKHFRUHWDNLQJPHDVXUHPHQWVRU
SHUIRUPLQJ FKHFNV ,W PD\ EH WRR ODWH HVSHFLDOO\ LI DOO WKH
FULWLFDOGDWDLVRIORZFRQGHQFH,WLVHQWLUHO\IHDVLEOHWKDW
WKH FRPSDQ\ PD\ ODFN WKH PRQH\ ORJLVWLFDO VXSSRUW RU
EDFNLQJ RI PDQDJHPHQW WR UHGULOO WKH KROHV DQG UHFROOHFW
FIG 16 - Examples of problems arising from a core frame that contains magnetic material (left). The yellow item is a pen magnet. The upper-right photo shows
the compass several centimetres away from the core frame, whereas the lower one shows the compass resting against the core frame. The two photos show that
the needle orientation in the compass can be out by as much as 30, depending on proximity to the core frame.
FIG 17 - Oriented core inside a KenometerTM. This device allows for easy measurement of alpha and beta angles.
WKHGDWDHYHQLIWKHJHRORJLVWJRHVFDSLQKDQGDQGDGPLWV
WR PDNLQJ DQ HUURU 6XFK VLWXDWLRQV DUH VXUHUH ZD\V WR
GDPDJHDUHSXWDWLRQJXDUDQWHHDSRRUSHUIRUPDQFHUHYLHZ
DQGUHVWULFWWKHJHRORJLVWVFRQWULEXWLRQWRIXWXUHH[SORUDWLRQ
SURJUDPV
CONCLUSIONS
*HRORJLVWV PXVW WDNH RZQHUVKLS RI FRUH RULHQWDWLRQ DQG
GDWD FROOHFWLRQ SHUIRUPLQJ FKHFNV GRZQ WKH OLQH WR HQVXUH
HYHU\WKLQJLVRQWUDFNDQGFRUUHFW*HRORJLVWVQHHGWRJHWRXW
RIWKHLUFOLPDWHFRQWUROOHGRIFHVDQGORRNDWWKHURFNV
1HYHUDVVXPHWKHFRUHLVFRUUHFWO\RULHQWHG3HUIRUPVRPH
FKHFNVHJPHDVXUHDIHDWXUHWKDWKDVDFRQVLVWHQWRULHQWDWLRQ
UHJLRQDOO\DQGFKHFNWKDWLWFRQIRUPV
$FRUHRULHQWLQJIUDPHVKRXOGEHXVHGLQLWLDOO\IRURULHQWHG
FRUH DW WKH VWDUW RI HDFK SURMHFW DQG UHJXODUO\ WKURXJKRXW
WKH ORJJLQJ SURFHVV 7KLV SHUPLWV GLUHFW YLVXDOLVDWLRQ RI WKH
VWUXFWXUHV7KHIUDPHVKRXOGDOZD\VEHRQKDQGIRUFKHFNLQJ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
133
0RGHVWDPRXQWVRIJRRGTXDOLW\GDWDIURPZHOORULHQWHG
GULOO FRUH DUH PXFK EHWWHU WKDQ ODUJH DPRXQWV RI SRRU
TXDOLW\GDWD
$OWKRXJK QRW FRYHUHG LQ WKLV SDSHU LW ZLOO EH REYLRXV
WKDW D JHRORJLFDO KLVWRU\ WKDW FRPELQHV SDUDJHQHWLF DQG
GHIRUPDWLRQ KLVWRULHV LV DQ HVVHQWLDO IUDPHZRUN WR KHOS
FRQVWUDLQ JHRPHWULF UHODWLRQVKLSV JDWKHUHG IURP RULHQWHG
FRUH 7KH JHRORJLFDO KLVWRU\ DOORZV WKH VWUXFWXUHV WR EH
EURNHQLQWRGLIIHUHQWSRSXODWLRQVWKDWFDQEHPHDVXUHGDQG
LQWHUURJDWHGVHSDUDWHO\
)LQDOO\ LI LQ GRXEW DERXW WKH SURFHVV RI JHWWLQJ JRRG
RULHQWHG FRUH DQG DERXW ZKDW VWUXFWXUHV WR PHDVXUH VHHN
KHOS )LQG VRPHRQH LQ WKH RUJDQLVDWLRQ ZLWK H[SHULHQFH LQ
RULHQWHGFRUHRUJHWDQH[WHUQDOVRXUFHVXFKDVDFRQVXOWDQW
1HYHU OHW WKH SURJUDP FDUU\ RQ ZLWKRXW DGGUHVVLQJ WKH
LVVXH
REFERENCES
134
Geological
Interpretation
and Modelling
Statistical Analysis,
Mineral Resource
Estimation,
Classification and
Reporting
Modifying Factors
(Mining, Metallurgical,
Economic, Marketing,
Legal, Environmental,
Social and Government)
Monitoring the
Resources and
Reserves
Grade Control,
Production and
Reconciliation
E J Cowan
137
145
155
The Dos and Donts of Geological and Grade Boundary Models and What You Can Do About It
175
189
S Halley
199
E J Cowan
207
Practical Implicit Dyke Modelling for Resource Estimation Newmont Boddington Gold, Western Australia
221
The Pursuit of Best Practice and Use of Innovative Techniques Case Studies in Geological Interpretation and
Modelling, Gold Fields Growth and International Projects
229
247
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Principal Structural Geologist, Director, Orefind Pty Ltd, PO Box 230, Fremantle WA 6959. Email: [email protected]
2. Adjunct Senior Research Fellow, School of Geosciences, Monash University, Clayton Vic 3800.
INTRODUCTION
7KLV FKDSWHU GHVFULEHV FXUUHQW EHVW SUDFWLFH JHRORJLFDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGPRGHOOLQJPHWKRGVIRU0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQ
,W HPSKDVLVHV JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQG PRGHOOLQJ
JXLGHOLQHVOLVWHGDWWKHHQGRIWKLVSDSHUZKLFKDUHEDVHG
SULPDULO\ RQ WKRVH DGRSWHG E\ WKH &DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJ0HWDOOXUJ\DQG3HWUROHXP&,0DQGWKH-RLQW
2UH5HVHUYHV&RPPLWWHH-25&7DEOH:KLOHVSHFLDO
HPSKDVLV LV SODFHG RQ WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ DQG LPSOLFDWLRQ RI
QHZPHWKRGRORJLHVWKDWKDYHEHHQLQWURGXFHGVLQFHWKHUVW
HGLWLRQRIWKLVYROXPH(GZDUGVWKLVRYHUYLHZEXLOGV
RQWKHRULJLQDO&KDSWHURYHUYLHZE\0DFNHQ]LHDQG:LOVRQ
7KH DXWKRU UHFRPPHQGV UHDGLQJ 0DFNHQ]LH DQG
:LOVRQWRREWDLQDFRPSOHWHRYHUYLHZRIWKLVUDSLGO\
HYROYLQJHOG
7KLV RYHUYLHZ GLVFXVVHV WRSLFV WKDW DUH HVVHQWLDO IRU
JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQG PRGHOOLQJ IRU WKH SXUSRVHV RI
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ7KHVHUHFRPPHQGHGJXLGHOLQHV
DUHJURXSHGXQGHUWKHVHPDMRUKHDGLQJV
JHRORJLFDOGDWDSUHSDUDWLRQ
JHRORJLFDOUHYLHZDQGLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
JHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ
1HZUHFRPPHQGDWLRQVZLOOEHGHYHORSHGDVQHZPHWKRGV
EHFRPHDYDLODEOH
137
OLNHO\EHXQUHFRJQLVDEOHWRJHRORJLVWVLQFRPLQJGHFDGHVWKLV
FHQWUDO SLOODU RI JRRG SUDFWLFH RI SXWWLQJ JHRORJ\ UVW
VKRXOGQRWFKDQJH
,Q WKHLU LQWURGXFWLRQ WR WKH *HRORJLFDO ,QWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQG
*HRORJLFDO 0RGHOOLQJ FKDSWHU RI WKH UVW HGLWLRQ RI WKLV
YROXPH 0DFNHQ]LH DQG :LOVRQ HPSKDVLVHG WKH
LPSRUWDQFHRISXWWLQJJHRORJ\UVW7KH\FRQVLGHUHGWKLVDQ
HVVHQWLDOEHVWSUDFWLFHLQJUHGLHQWIRUJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
DQG PRGHOOLQJ DQG FDXWLRQHG JHRORJLVWV DERXW EHLQJ
SUHVVXUHGLQWRPDNLQJTXLFNGHFLVLRQVDVVXFKSUHVVXUHVPD\
UHVXOWLQVXSHUFLDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQZKLFKPD\XOWLPDWHO\OHDG
WRFRPPHUFLDOPLQLQJGLVDVWHUV
6LQFHGDWDTXDOLW\FRQWUROKDVEHHQYDVWO\LPSURYHG
ZLWK WKH LQFRUSRUDWLRQ RI FRPSXWHULVHG FKHFNV LQWR
UHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVHVWKHXVHRIGLJLWDOGHYLFHVWKDWPLQLPLVH
WUDQVFULSWLRQHUURUVLQHOGGDWDUHFRUGLQJDQGLQWKHPHWKRGV
RI VWRULQJ DQG UHWULHYLQJ JHRVFLHQWLF GDWD &RPELQHG ZLWK
WKH LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI QHZ GDWD DFTXLVLWLRQ WHFKQLTXHV
DQG QHZ JHRORJLFDO DQDO\VLV DQG PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRGV WKHVH
LPSURYHPHQWVKDYHQHJDWHGPDQ\RIWKHFRQFHUQVUHODWHGWR
LQDGHTXDWHGDWDKDQGOLQJWKDWZHUHH[SHULHQFHGGXULQJWKH
HDUO\\HDUVRIFRPSXWHULVDWLRQRIJHRVFLHQWLFGDWD
,Q WKH JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ SURFHVV XVLQJ
FRPSXWHU VRIWZDUH ZDV VWLOO ODERXULQWHQVLYH WKH VWDQGDUG
DFFHSWHG SUDFWLFH IRU PRGHOOLQJ JHRORJ\ ZDV WR LQWHUSUHW
DQG ZLUHIUDPH GULOO KROH GDWD RQH FURVVVHFWLRQ DW D WLPH
7KLV FRPSXWHUDVVLVWHG H[SOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ ZDV D ELJ
LPSURYHPHQW RQ XVLQJ SDSHU VHFWLRQV DQG OLJKW WDEOHV DQG
WLPH VSHQW RQ VHFWLRQDO JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ XVLQJ WKLV
PHWKRG ZDV FRQVLGHUHG WLPH ZHOO VSHQW DQG ZDV JHQHUDOO\
WKRXJKW WR UHVXOW LQ JHRORJLFDOO\ VXSHULRU LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
UHVXOWV 7KH DGYLFH RI 0DFNHQ]LH DQG :LOVRQ ZKLFK
UHFRPPHQGHG D FDUHIXO DQG WLPHFRQVXPLQJ LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
SURFHVV LV LQ SDUW UHHFWHG LQ WKH JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ
PHWKRGVDYDLODEOHWRWKHLQGXVWU\LQ
,QWKHGHFDGHVLQFHWKHLQWURGXFWLRQRIQHZVRIWZDUH
WRROVKDVVKRUWHQHGWKHWLPHWDNHQWRLQWHUSUHWDQGJHQHUDWH
JHRORJLFDO PRGHOV E\ DQ RUGHU RI PDJQLWXGH RU PRUH 7KH
LQWURGXFWLRQRILPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJUHGXFHGWKHWLPHVSHQWRQ
JHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ/DMDXQLH&RXUULRX[DQG0DQXHO
&RZDQ et alDQGIRUWKHUVWWLPHDOORZHGJHRORJLVWVWR
FRQVLGHUVHYHUDOSRVVLEOHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQVWKDWPD\
EHFRQVLVWHQWZLWKWKHGDWD0RGHOOLQJWKDWPD\KDYHWDNHQD
ZHHNRIVFUHHQGLJLWLVLQJDGHFDGHDJRFDQQRZEHDFKLHYHG
LQ VHYHUDO KRXUV DQG ZLWK EHWWHU SUHFLVLRQ ,Q DGGLWLRQ
PRUHGDWDW\SHVHJPXOWLHOHPHQWDVVD\VVSHFWUDOGDWDFDQ
EHLQFRUSRUDWHGLQWRWKHPRGHOOLQJSURFHVVWKDQZDVSRVVLEOH
DGHFDGHDJR7KHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGPRGHOOLQJUDWHLVQRZ
FDWFKLQJXSWRWKHUDSLGUDWHDWZKLFKGDWDVHWVVXFKDVPXOWL
HOHPHQWDODVVD\VDUHEHLQJDFTXLUHGWRGD\,QWKHWHQ\HDUV
VLQFHWKHLQWURGXFWLRQRIWKHUVWLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJVRIWZDUH
LQ *HRPRGHOOHU LQLWLDOO\ UHOHDVHG DV ':(*
/HDSIURJ PDQ\ PDLQVWUHDP PLQLQJ VRIWZDUH YHQGRUV
KDYH LQWURGXFHG LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ VRIWZDUH SURGXFWV HJ
LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ PRGXOHV LQ 0LQH6LJKW DQG 0LFURPLQH
FRQVHTXHQWO\ WKH LPSOLFLW JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRG LV
QRZDFFHSWHGE\PRVWRIWKHPLQLQJDQGH[SORUDWLRQPDUNHW
'HVSLWH WKHVH WHFKQLFDO LPSURYHPHQWV LQ GDWD DFTXLVLWLRQ
PRGHOOLQJVSHHGDQGWKHSUHFLVLRQRIJHRORJLFDOPRGHOVWKH
DGYLFHRI0DFNHQ]LHDQG:LOVRQWRSXWJHRORJ\UVW
LV HYHQ PRUH UHOHYDQW LQ WKDQ LQ 7KLV LV EHFDXVH
VRIWZDUH SURGXFWV KDYH EHFRPH VR HDV\ WR RSHUDWH WKDW
YLUWXDOO\DQ\RQHZLWKFRPSHWHQWFRPSXWHUVNLOOVFDQRSHUDWH
138
WKHP $V D UHVXOW VRPH PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV GR QRW VHH WKDW
JHRORJLFDOWUDLQLQJRUH[SHULHQFHLVUHTXLUHGRUQHFHVVDU\IRU
WKHHIIHFWLYHXVHRIJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJVRIWZDUH7KLVODFN
RI QHHG IRU JHRORJLFDO WUDLQLQJ RU H[SHULHQFH LV SDUWLFXODUO\
UHOHYDQWLQWKHFRQWH[WRIXVHEXWDOVRLQWKHGHVLJQRILPSOLFLW
JHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJVRIWZDUHSURGXFWV7KHLQGXVWU\WUHQG
RI SODFLQJ PRUH HPSKDVLV RQ VRIWZDUH WRROV WKDQ RQ WKH
LPSRUWDQFHRITXDOLW\JHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQZDVLGHQWLHG
E\0DFNHQ]LHDQG:LOVRQGXULQJWKHHDUO\\HDUVRIWKH
FRPSXWHULVDWLRQRIJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ8QIRUWXQDWHO\WKLV
GHSHQGHQFH RQ VRIWZDUH WRROV DQG ZRUNRZV UDWKHU WKDQ
HVWDEOLVKLQJ ZKDW LV JHRORJLFDOO\ DSSURSULDWH RYHUVKDGRZV
WKHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQSURFHVV,IWKLVEOLQGUHOLDQFHRQ
VRIWZDUHFRQWLQXHVVHULRXVGRZQVWUHDPSUREOHPVZLOORFFXU
HJUHFRQFLOLDWLRQSUREOHPVJUDGHFRQWLQXLW\SUREOHPV:LWK
OLWWOHXQGHUVWDQGLQJRULQFRUSRUDWLRQRIJHRORJLFDOSURFHVVHV
DQGWKHDSSURSULDWHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRIUHDOGDWDLQWRVRIWZDUH
GHVLJQDQGXVDJHWKLVSUREOHPRIRYHUUHOLDQFHRQVRIWZDUH
ZLOOXQIRUWXQDWHO\FRQWLQXH
,Q WKLV VHFRQG HGLWLRQ RI Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
Estimation WKH SDSHUV VHOHFWHG IRU WKLV FKDSWHU SODFH
JHRORJ\DVWKHFHQWUDOSLOODURIJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQG
PRGHOOLQJ7KHPDLQWKHPHRIWKLVFKDSWHULVWKHVDPHDVLQ
WKHUVWHGLWLRQSXWWLQJJHRORJ\UVW
Chapter 3 papers
7KHSDSHUVLQWKLVFKDSWHUDUHJURXSHGDVIROORZV
IRUWKHJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJSUDFWLWLRQHU7KHLUSDSHURXWOLQHV
WKHFRPSOHWHSURFHVVIURPGDWDDFTXLVLWLRQGDWDUHYLHZDQG
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQWRJHRORJLFDODQGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQPRGHOOLQJ,Q
WKHWUDGLWLRQRIJRRGVHOIKHOSERRNV%DUQHVDQG*RVVDJHOLVW
WKHEHVWSUDFWLFHPHWKRGVVLGHE\VLGHZLWKWKHXQGHVLUDEOH
KDELWV WKDW FDQ EH HQWUHQFKHG LQ VRPH RSHUDWLRQV :KLOH
WKH DXWKRUV HPEUDFH DQG UHFRPPHQG WKH XVH RI UHFHQW '
LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRGV RYHU WUDGLWLRQDO ' VHFWLRQDO
GLJLWLVDWLRQWKH\FDXWLRQDJDLQVWXVLQJWKLVWLPHVDYLQJWRRO
DV D EOLQG EODFN ER[ PHWKRGRORJ\ WKDW LJQRUHV JHRORJLFDO
FRQVLGHUDWLRQV%DUQHVDQG*RVVDJHHPSKDVLVH
... the importance of developing a clear understanding of the
JHRORJLFDODOWHUDWLRQDQGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQVHTXHQFHSULRUWR
the choice of the modelling and estimation parameters.
7KHLU LQVWUXFWLRQV ZKLFK DUH ODUJHO\ GUDZQ IURP WKHLU
H[SHULHQFHV ZRUNLQJ DV FRQVXOWDQWV LQ WKH LQGXVWU\ DUH D
FRPSUHKHQVLYH OLVW RI JRRG SUDFWLFH ZKLFK LV OLNHO\ WR EH
UHIHUUHG WR E\ JHRORJLVWV LQ WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ IRU PDQ\
\HDUV WR FRPH 7KHLU UHFRPPHQGDWLRQV IHDWXUH LQ WKH EHVW
SUDFWLFHJXLGHOLQHVOLVWHGDWWKHHQGRIWKLVSDSHU
7KH VHFWLRQ RQ EHVW SUDFWLFH SURFHGXUHV FORVHV ZLWK D
EOXHSULQW IRU JUDGH FRQWURO V\VWHPV ZULWWHQ E\ +RRJYOLHW
*ULHYH DQG 6LPV WKLV YROXPH 7KLV SDSHU UHSODFHV
WKH FRQWULEXWLRQ LQ WKH UVW HGWLRQ E\ :DWFKRUQ RQ
WKH EHQHWV RI JRRG JHRORJLFDO SLW PDSSLQJ LQWR WKH JUDGH
FRQWURO SURFHVV :DWFKRUQV FRQFOXVLRQ ZDV WKDW WKH PRVW
HIIHFWLYH ZD\ WR LQFUHDVH SURW IRU D PLQLPDO FRVW ZDV E\
VLPSO\ PDSSLQJ DQG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH JHRORJLFDO FRQWUROV
RIRUHERXQGDULHV7KLVQHZSDSHUE\+RRJYOLHW*ULHYHDQG
6LPVWKLVYROXPHH[SDQGVRQWKLVWRSLFDQGRXWOLQHVD
FRPSOHWHJUDGHFRQWUROV\VWHPWKDWLVDSSOLFDEOHIRUVPDOOWR
PHGLXPVL]HG PHWDOOLIHURXV RSHUDWLRQV 7KH DXWKRUV GHWDLO
WKH YDULRXV DVSHFWV RI JUDGH FRQWURO V\VWHP GHYHORSPHQW
IURP VDPSOLQJ JHRORJLFDO PDSSLQJ DQG PRGHOOLQJ WR RUH
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQWRHQVXUHWKHEHVWSRVVLEOHHFRQRPLFRXWFRPH
IRU WKH PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQ +RRJYOLHW *ULHYH DQG 6LPV
UHLQIRUFHWKHQHHGIRUJRRGJHRORJLFDOXQGHUVWDQGLQJDVWKH
IRXQGDWLRQ IRU D SUDJPDWLF DQG KROLVWLF DSSURDFK WR JUDGH
FRQWURO
139
8VHDFFXUDWHWRSRJUDSK\DQGGULOOFROODUVXUYH\V
8VHDFFXUDWHGRZQKROHVXUYH\V
8VHHUURUGHWHFWLRQURXWLQHVLQGDWDPDQDJHPHQWV\VWHPV
IRUGULOOKROHGDWD
3URYLGHVXUIDFHJHRORJLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQDWVXLWDEOHVFDOHV
OLWKRORJLHV PLQHUDORJLFDO ]RQHV VWUXFWXUDO UHJLPHV
DOWHUDWLRQHWFWRSRJUDSKLFDOGDWDGHQVLW\LQIRUPDWLRQD
FRPSOHWHVHWRIDOODYDLODEOHVDPSOHUHVXOWVDQGVXUYH\HG
ORFDWLRQVRIDOOVDPSOHVLWHVFKLSVGULOOVDPSOHVHWF
8VHDFRPSXWHU'YLHZHUDWWKHRQVHWRIGULOOKROHGDWD
FROOHFWLRQWRGHWHFWVLPSOHHUURUVVXFKDVLQDFFXUDWHFROODU
HOHYDWLRQV
7DNHUHJXODUO\VSDFHGGHQVLW\PHDVXUHPHQWV
$FFXUDWHO\ DQG REMHFWLYHO\ ORJ OLWKRORJLHV DQG DOWHUDWLRQ
W\SHVZKHUHSRVVLEOH$OWHUQDWLYHO\V\VWHPDWLFDOO\FROOHFW
3UHVHQWHOGGDWDLQWKHLUHQWLUHW\LQDQXQPRGLHGIRUP
$VVHVVHOGGDWDDWWKHUHOHYDQWVFDOH
,QWHUSUHW JHRORJLFDO HOG GDWD LQ WKH UHJLRQDO FRQWH[W
,QFOXGH GLUHFW LQSXW IURP LQGLYLGXDOV ZLWK PDSSLQJ RU
FRUHORJJLQJH[SHULHQFHRQWKHGHSRVLW
8QGHUWDNH XQELDVHG VFLHQWLF DQDO\VLV RI WKH GDWD WR
GHYHORS D FRQFHSWXDO JHRORJLFDO PRGHO WKDW IRUPV WKH
XQGHUO\LQJSUHPLVHRQZKLFKWKHJHRORJLFLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
LVGHYHORSHG
3ORW RXW GULOO KROH VXPPDU\ ORJV DQG FOHDUO\ GLVSOD\ DOO
NH\SDUDPHWHUVORJJHGIURPGULOOFRUHV
(LWKHU SORW RXW RU XVH UHIHUHQFH GULOO VHFWLRQV DW WKH
DSSURSULDWHVFDOHWRYLHZWKHGDWDLQIXOO
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
141
142
,I XVHG IRU PRGHOOLQJ HQVXUH ' VHFWLRQV DUH SDUDOOHO WR
WKHD[LDOJHRPHWU\RIWKHGHSRVLWWKHVHSULQFLSDOSODQHV
DUHQRWQHFHVVDULO\SDUDOOHOWRWKHGULOOKROHIHQFHV
$OZD\V WKLQN LQ ' DQG UHODWH WKH ' SDWWHUQV RI
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ OLWKRORJLFDO GLVWULEXWLRQ DQG DOWHUDWLRQ
WR ' JHRPHWULHV H[SHFWHG XQGHU YDULRXV JHRORJLFDO
FRQGLWLRQVDWWKHHQWLUHVFDOHRIWKHPLQHUDOV\VWHPLHQRW
MXVWDWGHSRVLWVFDOHZKLFKPD\EHYHU\UHVWULFWHG
'RQRWPRGHOIDXOWVXQOHVVWKHUHLVHYLGHQFHVXSSRUWLQJ
WKH H[LVWHQFH RI WKHVH IDXOWV &URVVFKHFN ZLWK GULOO KROH
DQGPDSSHGGDWD
&OHDUO\ LGHQWLI\ DVVXPSWLRQV DQG XQFHUWDLQWLHV RI WKH
JHRORJLFDOKLVWRU\HJGXHWRLQFRPSOHWHGDWD
8VHWKH'OLPLWVRIIHDWXUHVVXFKDVOLWKRORJLFDOYDULDWLRQ
DOWHUDWLRQ GLVWULEXWLRQ VWUDLQ SDWWHUQV DQG ZHDWKHULQJ
SDWWHUQVWRGHQHWKHJUDGHHVWLPDWLRQGRPDLQYROXPHV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
&KHFNWKHJHRPHWULHVRIWKHZHDWKHULQJXQLWVWKH\PD\
EH LQXHQFHG E\ WKH SULPDU\ VHGLPHQWDU\ RU VWUXFWXUDO
FRQJXUDWLRQRIWKHKRVWURFNV
&URVVFKHFN WKH LQWHUSUHWHG ZHDWKHULQJ SUROH ZLWK WKH
GHQVLW\GDWD
$OZD\V TXHVWLRQ WKH JHRORJLFDO DVVXPSWLRQV LQYROYHG
LQ WKH FUHDWLRQ RI ' LQWHUSRODWLRQ PRGHOV RI JUDGH DQG
OLWKRORJLFDOERXQGDULHVLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJXVLQJGHIDXOW
VHWWLQJVDQGXVHUHQGHULQJPHWKRGVRIUDZGDWDUVWWR
GHWHUPLQHJHRORJLFDOFRQWURO
,I XVLQJ PRGHOOLQJ VRIWZDUH NQRZ WKH DGYDQWDJHV
OLPLWDWLRQV DQG WKH DVVXPSWLRQV RI PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRGV
WKDWDUHXVHGLQHDFK'RQRWDVVXPHGHIDXOWVHWWLQJVRI
VRIWZDUHZLOO\LHOGJHRORJLFDOO\UHDOLVWLFUHVXOWVPRVWGR
QRW
&OHDUO\ UHFRUG WKH VRIWZDUH YHUVLRQ DQG WKH PRGHOOLQJ
DSSURDFKWDNHQ
OUTLOOK
,Q WKH IXWXUH WKH HOG RI JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQG
PRGHOOLQJ ZLOO VHH D YDVW LQFUHDVH LQ WKH W\SH TXDOLW\ DQG
TXDQWLW\ RI GDWD DYDLODEOH WR WKH JHRORJLVW ,Q GHSRVLWV WKDW
DUHVXLWDEOHLQWHJUDWLRQRI'GDWDVXFKDVKLJKUHVROXWLRQ
VHLVPLF GDWD ZLOO EH LQFRUSRUDWHG LQWR WKH LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
SURFHVV DQG WKH HVWDEOLVKHG WLPHFRQVXPLQJ XVH RI
ZLUHIUDPHVWRVHOHFWGDWDZLOOOLNHO\GLPLQLVKLQLPSRUWDQFH
+RZHYHUWKHFKDOOHQJHRILQFRUSRUDWLQJVHQVLEOHJHRORJLFDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQDVVXPSWLRQVE\JHRORJLVWVZKRKDYHSUDFWLFDO
JHRORJLFDOHOGH[SHULHQFHDQGNQRZOHGJHZLOOUHPDLQ:KLOH
VRIWZDUH WDNHV DZD\ VRPH RI WKH GDWD SURFHVVLQJ WDVNV WKH
SURFHVVRIJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGPRGHOOLQJRIVSDUVH
GDWDZLOOUHPDLQDGLVWLQFWO\KXPDQHQGHDYRXU
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
3DXO +RGNLHZLF] LV WKDQNHG IRU UHYLHZLQJ WKH PDQXVFULSW
DQG6WHSKDQLH2PL]]ROR.ULVW\%XUW-RKQ%DOGZLQDQG%UHWW
'DYLVDUHWKDQNHGIRUWKHLUNLQGVXSSRUW
REFERENCES
%DUQHV-)+DQG*RVVDJH%/7KHGRVDQGGRQWVRIJHRORJLFDO
DQG JUDGH ERXQGDU\ PRGHOV DQG ZKDW \RX FDQ GR DERXW LW LQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
WR *RRG 3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
+DGGRZ'-DQG&RZDQ(-3UDFWLFDOLPSOLFLWG\NHPRGHOOLQJ
IRU UHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ 1HZPRQW %RGGLQJWRQ*ROG:HVWHUQ
$XVWUDOLD LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
$XV,00*XLGHWR*RRG3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
+DOOH\6&DOFXODWHGPLQHUDORJ\DQGLWVDSSOLFDWLRQVLQMineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
+DQVRQ 1 2YHUYLHZ WKH UHVRXUFH GDWDEDVH LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
+RRJYOLHW + *ULHYH $ DQG 6LPV ' $ FKHFNOLVW IRU JUDGH
FRQWURO LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
$XV,00*XLGHWR*RRG3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
/DMDXQLH&&RXUULRX[*DQG0DQXHO/)ROLDWLRQHOGVDQG
' FDUWRJUDSK\ LQ JHRORJ\ SULQFLSOHV RI D PHWKRG EDVHG RQ
SRWHQWLDOLQWHUSRODWLRQMathematical Geology
0DFNHQ]LH ' + DQG :LOVRQ * , *HRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
DQG JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeHG$&(GZDUGV
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
:DOWKR$.ULVWHQVHQ6DQG+DUPDQ&%HVWSUDFWLFHLQFRDO
H[SORUDWLRQDQGUHVRXUFHHYDOXDWLRQLQMineral Resource and Ore
5HVHUYH (VWLPDWLRQ 7KH $XV,00 *XLGH WR *RRG 3UDFWLFH VHFRQG
HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
:DWFKRUQ 5 2SHQ SLW PDSSLQJ DVSHFWV RI JUDGH FRQWURO
DGYDQWDJHV DQG WHFKQLTXHV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeHG$&(GZDUGV
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
143
HOME
INTRODUCTION
,WLVWKHDXWKRUVEHOLHIWKDWWKHUHLVQRVXEVWLWXWHIRUWKRURXJK
JHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGDQDO\VLVRIDOOUHOHYDQWUHVRXUFH
GDWD FROOHFWHG IRU D PLQHUDO GHSRVLW ,W LV WKLV GLVFLSOLQHG
JHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQIRFXVHGRQEXLOGLQJDYDOLGUHVRXUFH
EORFNPRGHOWKDWLVWKHPDLQWRSLFRIWKLVSDSHU$VUHVRXUFH
PRGHOOLQJ VRIWZDUH EHFRPHV IULHQGOLHU DQG PRUH ZLGHO\
XVHGUHVRXUFHEORFNPRGHOVEXLOWE\JHRORJLVWVDWH[SORUDWLRQ
RIFHV DQG PLQH VLWHV DUH EHLQJ PDLQWDLQHG DQG XVHG PRUH
URXWLQHO\UDWKHUWKDQMXVWIRUUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQV
&HUWDLQO\ DV D SURMHFW GHYHORSV IURP H[SORUDWLRQ WKURXJK
IHDVLELOLW\ WR GHYHORSPHQW DQG PLQLQJ LWV UHVRXUFH PRGHO
LV PRGLHG E\ HFRQRPLF DQG PLQLQJ FRQVWUDLQWV WR EHFRPH
WKH EDVLV IRU 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ DQG PLQH SODQQLQJ
+HQFHDWWHQWLRQZLOOEHJLYHQLQWKHSDSHUWRWKHPRGHOOLQJ
RI DWWULEXWHV RWKHU WKDQ JUDGH DV WKHUH DUH DWWULEXWHV RI ERWK
RUH DQG ZDVWH WKDW PD\ DIIHFW PLQLQJ PHWDOOXUJ\ DQG WKH
HQYLURQPHQW
145
Computer-based methods
Grade domains
'HQLQJGRPDLQVRQWKHEDVLVRIJUDGHLVRIWHQDQLWHUDWLYH
SURFHVV DQG XVXDOO\ VWDUWV ZLWK VHOHFWLQJ PLQHUDOLVHG
LQWHUVHFWLRQVLQWHUFHSWVLQHDFKERUHKROH6RPHWLPHVDYHU\
ORZDVVD\YDOXHWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLQGLFDWRUJUDGHLVXVHGWR
GHQHWKHERXQGDU\EHWZHHQPLQHUDOLVHGDQGXQPLQHUDOLVHG
VDPSOHV
,QWHUFHSWVHOHFWLRQDQRWKHUPHDQVRIGHQLQJWKLVERXQGDU\
LQYROYHVFRPSRVLWLQJDVVD\VRYHUDPLQLPXPLQWHUYDOOHQJWK
WRDFKLHYHDPLQLPXPJUDGHYDOXH7KHVHPHWKRGVEHFRPHD
OLWWOHPRUHFRPSOLFDWHGLIWKHGHSRVLWKDVPRUHWKDQRQHPHWDO
RUSURGXFWVXFKDV&X$XRU3E=Q$J
Geological domains
,W LV PRUH XVXDO KRZHYHU WKDW DVVD\V DUH RQO\ SDUW RI WKH
VWRU\ 3DUDPHWHUV LQFOXGLQJ OLWKRORJ\ IRUPDWLRQV YHLQLQJ
IDXOWVDOWHUDWLRQDQGOHQJWKJUDGHLQWHUFHSWVHOHFWLRQPD\DOO
SOD\DSDUWLQGHQLQJJHRORJLFDOGRPDLQERXQGDULHV
Geological Interpretation for Resource Modelling and Estimation| J H Duke and P J Hanna
Wireframing solids
:LUHIUDPLQJ LV WKH PRVW YHUVDWLOH PHWKRG RI GHQLQJ
JHRORJLFDO ERXQGDULHV *HRORJLFDO RXWOLQHV RI DOPRVW DQ\
VKDSHLQWHUSUHWHGRQVHFWLRQVDQGSODQVRULQWKUHHGLPHQVLRQV
FDQEHZLUHIUDPHGWRIRUPVROLGWKUHHGLPHQVLRQDOGRPDLQV
*HRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ PD\ EH WKH UHVXOW RI ZHHNV RU
PRQWKVRIPDSSLQJDQGORJJLQJ+HQFHWKHDFWXDOSURFHVVRI
MRLQLQJWKHVHFWLRQSODQRXWOLQHVWRIRUPDQGYLVXDOLVHWKH'
VROLGJHRPHWU\RIWKHORGHLVXVXDOO\YHU\EHQHFLDOIRUWKH
JHRORJLVW)LJXUH
Triangulating surfaces
7ULDQJXODWLRQ LV D VWUDLJKWOLQH VXUIDFH WWLQJ WHFKQLTXH
XVHGWRIRUPURRIDQGRRUVXUIDFHVRIOD\HURUYHLQW\SH
GRPDLQ VWUXFWXUHV 7KH DGYDQWDJH RI WULDQJXODWLRQ LV WKDW LW
FRQQHFWVGDWDSRLQWVH[DFWO\ZLWKWULDQJXODUSODWHVDIHDWXUH
DSSUHFLDWHG E\ PRVW VXUYH\RUV KRZHYHU PRVW JHRORJLFDO
VXUIDFHV ZLOO QHHG VRPH HQKDQFLQJ E\ WKH JHRORJLVW XVLQJ
GLJLWLVHGLQWHUSUHWDWLRQEH\RQGGDWDSRLQWV
Gridding surfaces
*ULGGLQJLVXVHGWRGHQHJHRORJLFDOERXQGDULHVVXFKDVURRI
DQGRRUVXUIDFHVRIOD\HUHGGHSRVLWVDQGKDQJLQJZDOODQG
IRRWZDOOVXUIDFHVRIYHLQW\SHGHSRVLWV*ULGGLQJFDQEHXVHG
WRFRQQHFWGDWDSRLQWVVXFKDVWKHWRSVDQGEDVHVRIERUHKROH
ORGHLQWHUFHSWVZLWKDEHVWWDOJRULWKPIRUPLQJVXUIDFHV
WKDWRIWHQPDWFKWKHJHRORJLVWVSHUFHSWLRQVPRRWKWUHQGLQJ
DQGH[WHQGLQJVRPHGLVWDQFHEH\RQGWKHGDWD7KLVVXUIDFH
WWLQJWHFKQLTXHKDVWKHDGYDQWDJHVRIVSHHGDFFXUDF\DQG
WKHDELOLW\WRIROORZWUHQGVLQWKHGDWDLQPXFKWKHVDPHZD\
WKDWJHRORJLVWVZRXOGLQWHUSUHW
147
Statistics
7KH UHVRXUFH JHRORJLVW FDQ XVH VWDWLVWLFDO DQDO\VLV WR
FKDUDFWHULVH WKH JUDGH VDPSOH GLVWULEXWLRQ IRU HDFK GRPDLQ
)LJXUH+LVWRJUDPVDQGSUREDELOLW\SORWVDUHQRUPDOO\XVHG
ZLWKVDPSOHVFRPSRVLWHGWRDUHJXODULVHGOHQJWK6RPHWLPHV
VDPSOHVPD\QHHGWREHGHFOXVWHUHGDVVWURQJVSDWLDOFOXVWHULQJ
RIGDWDRIWHQUHVXOWVLQDSRRUHVWLPDWHRIWKHVDPSOHPHDQDQG
YDULDQFH,VDDNVDQG6ULYDVWDYDS
6FDWWHUSORWVRIWKHWZRYDULDEOHVSURYLGHLQIRUPDWLRQDERXW
WKHGHJUHHRIFRUUHODWLRQEHWZHHQWKHP$VWURQJFRUUHODWLRQ
EHWZHHQ WZR YDULDEOHV VXFK DV JUDGH DQG GHQVLW\ VSHFLF
JUDYLW\ 6* RYHU D UDQJH RI YDOXHV VKRXOG EH SURSHUO\
HYDOXDWHG ,I WKH 6* KDV D VWURQJ SRVLWLYH FRUUHODWLRQ ZLWK
WKHJUDGHVXFKDVLQVRPH1LVXOGHRUHVWKHJUDGHFRXOG
EHXQGHUHVWLPDWHGLILWVFRUUHODWLRQZLWK6*LVQRWWDNHQLQWR
FRQVLGHUDWLRQ
Variography
9DULRJUDSK\ LV WKH FDOFXODWLRQ RI H[SHULPHQWDO YDULRJUDPV
DQG VXEVHTXHQW WWLQJ RI DSSURSULDWH YDULRJUDP PRGHOV
*HRORJLFDO LGHDV DERXW JUDGH GLVWULEXWLRQ FDQ RIWHQ EH
FRQUPHGE\YDULRJUDSK\6LQFHLWUHHFWVWKHDFWXDOVSDWLDO
GLVWULEXWLRQ RI JUDGHV )LJXUH LW FDQ EH D SRZHUIXO
H[SORUDWRU\ WRRO IRU JHRORJLVWV 9DULRJUDP PRGHOV IRUP WKH
EDVLVRIJUDGHHVWLPDWLRQXVLQJNULJLQJ
Geological Interpretation for Resource Modelling and Estimation| J H Duke and P J Hanna
WKHERUHKROHVSDFLQJRQZKLFKWKHGRPDLQERXQGDULHVZHUH
LQWHUSUHWHG
6HDPPRGHOVDUHEXLOWZLWKURRIRRUDQGWKLFNQHVVJULGV
DQG DV VXFK FDQ EH FRQVLGHUHG DV EORFN PRGHOV RQH EORFN
WKLFNYDULDEOHWKLFNQHVVIRUHDFKVHDP
FIG 6 - The continuity of grades and other attributes within domains for
different deposits varies from discontinuous to continuous.
FRQWLQXLW\ LQ RQH RU WZR GLUHFWLRQV IRU VRPH DWWULEXWHV HJ
VHDP WKLFNQHVV WKH\ PD\ VKRZ PXFK OHVV FRQWLQXLW\ IRU
RWKHUVHJVXOIXU
7RPRGHOWKHJUDGHGLVWULEXWLRQZLWKLQDGRPDLQLWLVRIWHQ
LPSRUWDQW WKDW EORFNV EH UHJXODULVHG DQG QR VPDOOHU WKDQ D
TXDUWHURIWKHDYHUDJHGDWDVSDFLQJLQHDFKGLUHFWLRQ6RPH
JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ WHFKQLTXHV VXFK DV LQGLFDWRU NULJLQJ
UHTXLUH ODUJHU EORFN VL]HV *UDGH HVWLPDWLRQ LQ IROGHG
GRPDLQV PD\ EH PRUH VXLWHG WR WUDQVIRUPHG EORFNV WKDW
IROORZWKHVKDSHRIWKHIROGHGVWUXFWXUHDQGKHQFHDOORZIRU
FKDQJHVLQDQLVRWURS\ZKHQVHDUFKLQJIRUDVVD\VZLWKLQWKH
GRPDLQ)LJXUH
7KHUH DUH PDQ\ WHFKQLTXHV WKDW WKH JHRORJLVW FDQ XVH WR
FRQWURO WKH JUDGH PRGHOOLQJ SURFHVV VR WKDW LW FRQIRUPV WR
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
149
Domain control
7R DFKLHYH GRPDLQ FRQWURO WKH DVVD\V DQG RWKHU TXDOLW\
YDULDEOHVLQWKHUHVRXUFHGDWDEDVHWKDWOLHLQWKHGRPDLQVDUH
DVVLJQHG WKH VDPH GRPDLQ QXPEHUV DV WKH EORFNV ,W LV WKLV
PDWFKLQJRIEORFNDQGDVVD\GRPDLQQXPEHUVWKDWSURYLGHV
WKHEDVLFJHRORJLFDOFRQWUROGRPDLQFRQWUROGXULQJWKHJUDGH
HVWLPDWLRQSURFHVVHQVXULQJWKDWRQO\WKHYDOXHVLQVLGHWKH
GRPDLQDUHXVHG)LJXUH
Weighting techniques
%ORFNJUDGHVDUHFRPSXWHGXVLQJDORFDODYHUDJLQJDOJRULWKP
VHOHFWLQJVDPSOHYDOXHVZLWKLQDVHDUFKUDGLXVDQGZHLJKWLQJ
WKHP VRPHKRZ :HLJKWLQJ WHFKQLTXHV LQFOXGH LQYHUVH
GLVWDQFHZHLJKWLQJ,VDDNVDQG6ULYDVWDYDSS
DQGNULJLQJ.ULJLQJLVDJHRVWDWLVWLFDOPHWKRGRIDOORFDWLQJ
RSWLPDOZHLJKWVIRUORFDOHVWLPDWLRQEDVHGRQWKHYDULRJUDP
PRGHO VHH ,VDDNV DQG 6ULYDVWDYD SS IRU D
GLVFXVVLRQ RI RUGLQDU\ NULJLQJ 7\SHV RI NULJLQJ LQFOXGH
EORFNSRLQWORJQRUPDODQGLQGLFDWRU
2QHRIWKHLPSRUWDQWFRQFHSWVLQEORFNJUDGHHVWLPDWLRQLV
WKDWRISRVLWLYHDQGQHJDWLYHZHLJKWV:LWKLQYHUVHGLVWDQFH
PHWKRGVZKHUHDOOZHLJKWVDUHSRVLWLYHWKHHVWLPDWHGJUDGH
PXVWIDOOEHWZHHQWKHPD[LPXPDQGPLQLPXPJUDGHRIWKH
VDPSOHV VHOHFWHG .ULJLQJ XVHV ERWK SRVLWLYH DQG QHJDWLYH
ZHLJKWV ZKLFK DOWKRXJK LQWXLWLYHO\ DFFHSWDEOH QHHGV WR
EH XVHG ZLWK FDUH VR WKDW HVWLPDWHV PDNH VHQVH EHZDUH RI
QHJDWLYHJUDGHHVWLPDWHVIRUH[DPSOH
Block considerations
%ORFN PRGHOV IRU JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ PD\ EH VHSDUDWH WR WKH
GRPDLQEORFNPRGHO%ORFNVFDQEHUHJXODULVHGWRSURYLGHIRU
NULJLQJUHTXLUHPHQWVRUWUDQVIRUPHGIRUIROORZLQJVWUXFWXUDO
WUHQGV)LJXUH
Search strategies
6HDUFK VWUDWHJLHV LQFOXGH VXFK SDUDPHWHUV DV VFDQ GLVWDQFH
VDPSOHVHFWRU VHOHFWLRQ FULWHULD DQG DQLVRWURSLF UDWLRV
DQG URWDWLRQ $QLVRWURSLF FRQWURO LV SDUWLFXODUO\ XVHIXO IRU
PRGHOOLQJ GHIRUPHG GHSRVLWV )LJXUH ,W LV SDUWLFXODUO\
LPSRUWDQWWRXVHWKHDSSURSULDWHVHWRIVHDUFKVWUDWHJLHVIRU
HDFKGRPDLQ
7KLV PD\ PHDQ XVLQJ GLIIHUHQW VHDUFK SDUDPHWHUV IRU
GLIIHUHQW JUDGH UDQJHV LQ WKH VDPH GRPDLQ LI WKHUH LV
VLJQLFDQWORFDOYDULDWLRQ
150
Geological Interpretation for Resource Modelling and Estimation| J H Duke and P J Hanna
7KH EDVLF WUDS LV QRW WR FKHFN LW LV VR TXLFN DQG HDV\
WRFUHDWHFRPSXWHUPRGHOV0LVWDNHVDUHHDVLO\PDGHDQG
PRGHOVGRQRWPDWFKWKHGDWD7KHPRGHOVKRXOGDOZD\V
PDNHVHQVH&KHFNLWDJDLQVWWKHGDWDDQGRWKHUHVWLPDWLRQ
PHWKRGV
=HURWKLFNQHVVLQWHUFHSWVDWWKHHGJHRIGHSRVLWVJUDGHV
VKRXOGEHFDUULHGWRWKHHGJHUDWKHUWKDQWKHORZHUYDOXHV
EHLQJLQWHUSRODWHG
1RW FDWHULQJ LQ WKH RQH UHVRXUFH PRGHO IRU DUHDV RI
GHWDLOHG LQIRUPDWLRQ DQG DUHDV RI VSDUVH GDWD ([FHSW
IRU VXEEORFNLQJ PRVW EORFN PRGHOV KDYH D XQLIRUP
EORFNVL]H6HSDUDWHPRGHOVRIGLIIHUHQWUHVROXWLRQFDQEH
JHQHUDWHGLIUHTXLUHG
7RR PXFK VPRRWKLQJ GXH WR LQDSSURSULDWH VHDUFK
VWUDWHJLHV
%ORFNVWRRVPDOORUWRRODUJHIRUWKHGHQVLW\RIGDWD
1RWXVLQJDOOUHOHYDQWGDWDWRDGYDQWDJH
5HVRXUFHPRGHOOLQJZLWKRXWXVLQJWKHGLUHFWLQYROYHPHQW
RIWKHJHRORJLVWZKRNQRZVWKHGDWDDQGXQGHUVWDQGVWKH
JHRORJ\RIWKHGHSRVLW
,QVXIFLHQW RU LQDSSURSULDWH GDWD WR PRGHO WKH WUXH
QDWXUH RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LH ORZ FRQGHQFH ,QIHUUHG
5HVRXUFH
CONCLUSIONS
,Q DQ DJH RI LQFUHDVLQJ FRPSXWHU XVDJH LW LV LPSRUWDQW QRW
WRORVHVLJKWRIWKHJHRORJ\DQGWRH[HUFLVHGLVFLSOLQHGGDWD
DQDO\VLV DQG VRXQG JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ ZKHQ FUHDWLQJ
UHVRXUFH EORFN PRGHOV 7KH FRQFHSWXDO JHRORJLFDO PRGHO RI
WKH GHSRVLW PXVW KRQRXU WKH JHRORJ\ (VVHQWLDO HOHPHQWV RI
JRRGSUDFWLFHLQUHVRXUFHPRGHOOLQJLQFOXGH
151
TABLE 1
Preliminary comparison of resource modelling requirements for three types of mineral deposits.
Criteria
Porphyry Cu/Au
Domaining
Interpretation
focus
Grade estimation
requirements
Grade estimation
requirements
Tonnage factors
Mining factors
Environmental
factors
JXDUGLQJDJDLQVWODFNRIFRQWLQXLW\ZKHUHYLWDOJHRORJLFDO
XQGHUVWDQGLQJDQGNQRZOHGJHRIDGHSRVLWPD\EHORVW
&KHFNLQJ DQG YDOLGDWLQJ WKH PRGHO HDFK WLPH LW LV
PRGLHG 0DLQWDLQLQJ D IXOO VHW RI SODQV DQG VHFWLRQV
VKRZLQJERWKGDWDDQGPRGHO
/HDUQLQJDV\RXJR%HLQJSURDFWLYHLQDFFXPXODWLQJQHZ
JHRORJLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQVXFKDVVXUIDFHDQGIDFHPDSSLQJ
DQGXQGHUVWDQGLQJWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQVRWKDWWKHUHVRXUFH
PRGHOFDQEHSURJUHVVLYHO\XSGDWHGDQGUHQHG
0DLQWDLQLQJ D UHVRXUFH PRGHO RI WKH KLJKHVW DFFXUDF\
WKURXJKRXW WKH YDULRXV SURMHFW VWDJHV IURP H[SORUDWLRQ
WKURXJK WR PLQLQJ VR WKDW GHFLVLRQV EDVHG RQ WKH
UHVRXUFHPRGHODUHYDOLG
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHUHDUHPDQ\SHRSOHWRWKDQNIRUWKHLUNLQGDVVLVWDQFHZLWK
WKHSUHSDUDWLRQRIWKLVSDSHU%RE$SSOH\DUGLVWKDQNHGIRU
KLVUHYLHZDQGKLVVXJJHVWLRQVLQIRFXVLQJRQSRLQWVRIEHVW
SUDFWLFH 3DW 6WHSKHQVRQ LV WKDQNHG IRU KLV UHYLHZ DQG KLV
DGYLFH RQ 5HVRXUFH5HVHUYHV UHSRUWLQJ SUDFWLFHV XVLQJ WKH
-25& &RGH -25& *UDHPH (DVWZRRG RI 1HZFUHVW LV
JUDWHIXOO\DFNQRZOHGJHGIRUKLVYDOXDEOHGLVFXVVLRQVRQWKH
PRGHOOLQJRIWKH&DGLDGHSRVLW5RELQ5DQNLQ3DXO/HHYHUV
152
*DUWK:LOVRQ1LJHO5DGIRUG3HWHU6WRNHU3KLOOLS6FKZHEHO
'DYLG 0F.HQ]LH 5RG :HEVWHU DQG 0RUULV 5RZOH\ DUH
WKDQNHG IRU UHYLHZLQJ WKH SDSHU RYHU LWV YDULRXV VWDJHV RI
FRPSOHWLRQ -RFN *LOOODQ LV WKDQNHG DQG DFNQRZOHGJHG IRU
KLVVXSSRUWDQGHQFRXUDJHPHQWRYHUPDQ\\HDUV:HDUHPRVW
JUDWHIXOWR)LRQD6RXWKZRRGIRUKHULQYDOXDEOHDVVLVWDQFHLQ
ZRUGSURFHVVLQJOD\RXWDQGSUHSDUDWLRQRIGLDJUDPV
REFERENCES
%LVFKRII . DQG 0RUOH\ & *HRORJ\ 5HVRXUFH GHQLWLRQ DQG
5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ DW 0RXQW &KDUORWWH .DOJRRUOLH :HVWHUQ
$XVWUDOLDLQProceedings International Mining Geology Conference
SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
&UDP $ $ DQG 'XNH - + *HRORJLFDO FRQWURO LQ FRPSXWHU
EDVHG UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ 60('*$,* 5HVRXUFH (YDOXDWLRQ
6\PSRVLXP6\GQH\
'XNH-+*HRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJWHFKQLTXHVLQPLQHSODQQLQJ
in 3URFHHGLQJV 3DFLF 5LP &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
*XLEDO ' 9DULRJUDSK\ D WRRO IRU WKH UHVRXUFH JHRORJLVW LQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS 7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
Geological Interpretation for Resource Modelling and Estimation| J H Duke and P J Hanna
+DQQD3-DQG&DPHURQ-/&RPSXWHUGDWDEDVHDQGJHRORJLFDO
PRGHOOLQJRI+XQWHU9DOOH\JHRORJ\LQ3URFHHGLQJVVW1HZFDVWOH
Symposium on Advances in the Study of the Sydney BasinSS
'HSDUWPHQWRI*HRORJ\8QLYHUVLW\RI1HZFDVWOH1HZFDVWOH
,VDDNV ( + DQG 6ULYDVWDYD 5 0 An Introduction to Applied
Geostatistics2[IRUG8QLYHUVLW\3UHVV1HZ<RUN
6WHJPDQ&/+RZGRPDLQHQYHORSHVLPSDFWRQWKHUHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWH FDVH VWXGLHV IURP WKH &REDU *ROG )LHOG 16:
$XVWUDOLD LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
153
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Chief Geologist Energy and Minerals Exploration, Rio Tinto, 123 Albert Street, Brisbane Qld 4000. Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM, Principal Geologist Coal Exploration, Rio Tinto, 1 Research Avenue, Bundoora Vic 3083. Email: [email protected]
3. MAusIMM, Senior Project Geologist Coal Exploration, Rio Tinto, 123 Albert Street, Brisbane Qld 4000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
&RDO LV WKH PRVW ZLGHO\ GLVWULEXWHG DQG HFRQRPLFDOO\
H[WUDFWDEOH PLQHUDO HQHUJ\ UHVRXUFH WKDW PD\ EH VWRUHG
WUDQVSRUWHG DQG XVHG UHODWLYHO\ VDIHO\ DQG VLPSO\
FRQVHTXHQWO\LWXQGHUSLQVWKHSURYLVLRQRIHQHUJ\IRUERWK
GRPHVWLF DQG LQGXVWULDO DSSOLFDWLRQV JOREDOO\ SDUWLFXODUO\
LQ GHYHORSLQJ FRXQWULHV ,W LV KRZHYHU D QLWH UHVRXUFH
)XUWKHUPRUH D GHWDLOHG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI FRDO TXDOLW\
FKDUDFWHULVWLFVLVUHTXLUHGWRKHOSHQVXUHLWLVXVHGHIFLHQWO\
2SWLPLVLQJ FRDO XVH LV HVVHQWLDO WR PD[LPLVLQJ WKH YDOXH RI
WKHUHVRXUFHDQGPLQLPLVLQJDGYHUVHLPSDFWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWK
LWVXWLOLVDWLRQ
&RDO H[SORUDWLRQ DQG UHVRXUFH HYDOXDWLRQ SUHVHQWV
H[SORUDWLRQ DQG PLQLQJ JHRORJLVWV ZLWK D FRPSOH[ VHW RI
FKDOOHQJHVWKDWPXVWEHDGGUHVVHGWKURXJKWKHGHYHORSPHQW
RIVSHFLDOLVWVNLOOV7KLVLVSDUWLFXODUO\WUXHLQWKHDVVHVVPHQW
RIFRDO5HVRXUFHVIRUPHWDOOXUJLFDODSSOLFDWLRQVVXFKDVVWHHO
PDNLQJ ZKHUH D FRPSOH[ FRPELQDWLRQ RI FKHPLFDO DQG
SK\VLFDO SDUDPHWHUV QHHG WR EH DVVHVVHG &RPSUHKHQVLYH
RUHERG\ NQRZOHGJH LV DOVR HVVHQWLDO WR WKH HYDOXDWLRQ RI
FRDO UHVRXUFHV DV D VRXUFH RI HQHUJ\ LQ D ZLGH UDQJH RI
DSSOLFDWLRQV LQFOXGLQJ EDVH ORDG HOHFWULFLW\ JHQHUDWLRQ DV
DVRXUFHRISURFHVVKHDWDQGLQFUHDVLQJO\DVDIHHGVWRFNIRU
OLTXLGIXHOJDVDQGSHWURFKHPLFDOIHHGVWRFNSURGXFWLRQ
7KH FRDO LQGXVWU\ LQ $XVWUDOLD LV IDFLQJ D QXPEHU RI
FKDOOHQJHV
$V LV WKH FDVH ZLWK DOO EXON FRPPRGLWLHV DFFHVV WR
LQIUDVWUXFWXUHIRUWUDQVSRUWLQJFRDOIURPPLQHWRPDUNHW
LV FULWLFDO WR WKH YLDELOLW\ RI PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQV 3URMHFWV
ODFNLQJLQIUDVWUXFWXUHDFFHVVQHHGWREHVXIFLHQWO\UREXVW
WR FDUU\ WKH FRQVLGHUDEOH FDSLWDO FRVWV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK
QHZ LQIUDVWUXFWXUH GHYHORSPHQW LQFUHDVLQJ WKH KXUGOHV
WR EH RYHUFRPH E\ FDQGLGDWHV IRU GHYHORSPHQW 7KLV
QHFHVVLWDWHV D WKRURXJK XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH SRWHQWLDO
VRXUFHV PDJQLWXGH DQG OHYHUDJH RI WHFKQLFDO ULVNV
LQKHUHQWLQDOOQHZSURMHFWVRULQH[LVWLQJPLQHVLQQHHG
RIIXUWKHULQYHVWPHQWWRIXQGRSHUDWLRQDOLPSURYHPHQWV
RUH[SDQVLRQV
1HZSURMHFWVDUHE\QHFHVVLW\EHLQJSXUVXHGLQUHJLRQV
ZLWK PRUH FRPSOH[ JHRORJ\ LQFUHDVHG VRYHUHLJQ ULVN
JUHDWHU FDSLWDO LQYHVWPHQW UHTXLUHPHQWV D KLJKO\
FRPSHWLWLYH PDUNHW IRU VNLOOV RU ODERXU RU IUHTXHQWO\ D
FRPELQDWLRQRIRQHRUPRUHRIWKHVHIDFWRUV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
155
)RUPDQ\\HDUVFRDOPLQLQJERWKLQ$XVWUDOLDDQGRYHUVHDV
KDVEHHQGRPLQDWHGE\SURGXFWLRQIURPODUJHRSHQFXW
PLQHV 7KHVH KDYH SURYLGHG VRPH PHDVXUH RI H[LELOLW\
IRU GHDOLQJ ZLWK XQH[SHFWHG JHRORJLFDO FRQGLWLRQV EXW
UHTXLUH FDUHIXO HQJLQHHULQJ WR PDQDJH JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG
ZDWHU LVVXHV 7KH QH[W JHQHUDWLRQ RI ODUJH FRDO PLQHV
ZLOO ZLWKRXW GRXEW LQFOXGH D JURZLQJ SURSRUWLRQ RI
KLJKSURGXFWLYLW\ XQGHUJURXQG RSHUDWLRQV 7KLV ZLOO
LQFUHDVH GHPDQG IRU JUHDWHU FHUWDLQW\ LQ WKH NH\ DUHD RI
VHDPFRQWLQXLW\FRXSOHGZLWKDKLJKHUOHYHONQRZOHGJH
RIJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUFKDUDFWHULVWLFVDQGWKH
DGGHG GLPHQVLRQ LPSRVHG E\ KDYLQJ WR PDQDJH FRDO
VHDPJDV&6*
&DUERQHPLVVLRQVIURPFRDODUHRIVLJQLFDQWSXEOLFFRQFHUQ
0D[LPLVLQJWKHHIFLHQF\RISURFHVVHVLQZKLFKFRDOLVXVHG
KHOSVWRPLQLPLVHHPLVVLRQVIURPFRDOXWLOLVDWLRQSHUXQLWRI
RXWSXW:KLOHWKHVHHIFLHQFLHVDUHODUJHO\GHOLYHUHGWKURXJK
EHWWHUSURFHVVHQJLQHHULQJRIFRDOLVWREHPRUHHIFLHQWFRDO
QHHGVWRPHHWTXLWHULJLGTXDOLW\VSHFLFDWLRQVZKLFKLQWXUQ
PDUNVWKHQHHGIRUDWKRURXJKXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHFKHPLFDO
DQGSK\VLFDOSURSHUWLHVRIWKHFRDOLWVHOI,WVKRXOGEHRIQR
VXUSULVHWKDWFRPSUHKHQVLYHRUHERG\NQRZOHGJHLVFULWLFDOWR
PD[LPLVLQJWKHYDOXHRIDQ\PLQHUDORUHQHUJ\UHVRXUFHE\
KHOSLQJWRIDFLOLWDWHRSWLPDOH[WUDFWLRQDQGXVH
.QRZOHGJHSURYLGHGE\H[SORUDWLRQDQGPLQLQJJHRORJLVWV
IURPUHVRXUFHHYDOXDWLRQLVFULWLFDOWRUHGXFLQJULVNLQHDFKRI
WKHVHDUHDVE\HQVXULQJ
UHDOLVWLFH[SHFWDWLRQVRIUHVRXUFHUHFRYHU\
PHDVXUHV UHTXLUHG WR HQVXUH FRDO UHVRXUFH GHYHORSPHQW
DQG H[WUDFWLRQ LV XQGHUWDNHQ LQ D VDIH DQG VXVWDLQDEOH
PDQQHU
FRDOTXDOLW\
WKHVSHFLFFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRISURGXFWFRDOWREHSURGXFHG
DUHXVHGWKURXJKRXWWKHOLIHRIDSURMHFW
7KHRUHERG\NQRZOHGJHUHTXLUHPHQWVGXULQJFRDOUHVRXUFH
GHYHORSPHQWDQGSURGXFWLRQDUHQROHVVWKDQWKRVHUHTXLUHG
E\DQ\RWKHUFRPPRGLW\
DEPOSIT CHARACTERISTICS
Controls on coal distribution
0LQHUDO GHSRVLWV LQFOXGLQJ FRDO GHSRVLWV PD\ EH
FRQYHQLHQWO\VXEGLYLGHGLQWRWZREURDGFDWHJRULHV
1. structured depositsFRQWUROVRQPLQHUDOLVDWLRQGLVWULEXWLRQ
DUHHYLGHQWDWWKHVFDOHRIREVHUYDWLRQ
unstructured depositsFRQWUROVRQPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDUHQRW
HYLGHQWDWWKHVFDOHRIREVHUYDWLRQ
7KH FRQFHSW RI GHVFULELQJ GHSRVLWV LQ WKHVH WHUPV
LV LQWHQGHG WR EH JHQHULF DQG DSSOLFDEOH WR PXOWLSOH
FRPPRGLWLHV6WUXFWXUHGGHSRVLWVDUHWKRVHZKHUHDSULPDU\
VWUXFWXUDOIHDWXUHVXFKDVEHGGLQJRUPDSSDEOHYDULDWLRQV
LQOLWKRORJ\RUPDSSDEOHVHFRQGDU\VWUXFWXUHVVXFKDVIDXOWV
IUDFWXUHV DQG IROLDWLRQV H[HUW D FOHDUO\ HYLGHQW FRQWURO RQ
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ GLVWULEXWLRQ 7KLV LQFOXGHV VHGLPHQWDU\
GHSRVLWV ZKHUH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ FRPSULVHV WKH SULPDU\
OLWKRORJ\ VXFK DV FRDO LQFOXGLQJ ORZ UDQN FRDOV VXFK DV
EURZQ FRDO DQG OLJQLWH VWUDWLIRUP EDVH PHWDOV LURQ RUH
SRWDVK HYDSRUDWHV DQG DUJXDEO\ ODWHULWLF PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
LQFOXGLQJEDX[LWH7KHERXQGDULHVEHWZHHQPLQHUDOLVHGDQG
XQPLQHUDOLVHGPDWHULDOVRUEHWZHHQPDWHULDOVZLWKGLVWLQFW
YDULDWLRQV LQ TXDOLW\ JUDGH DQG PLQHUDORJ\ DUH YLVLEO\
GLVWLQFW DQG IUHTXHQWO\ DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK D FOHDU JHRORJLFDO
IHDWXUHWKLVPLJKWEHEHGGLQJDSDUWLFXODUVW\OHRIDOWHUDWLRQ
RU D VHFRQGDU\ VWUXFWXUH VXFK DV D IDXOW IUDFWXUH V\VWHP
RU SHQHWUDWLYH PDSSDEOH IROLDWLRQV WKDW DUH REVHUYDEOH RU
UHDGLO\LQWHUSUHWHGIURPJHRSK\VLFDOORJV
,QWKHFDVHRIFRDOVWUXFWXUHRFFXUVLQWKHIRUPRIEHGGLQJ
VSOLWV DQG SDUWLQJV ZLWKLQ VHDPV DQG DW WKH VPDOOHVW VFDOH
EDQGVRIEULJKWDQGFRDO7KHPDLQUHTXLUHPHQWLVWKDWWKHVH
IHDWXUHVDUHDEOHWREHUHOLDEO\FRUUHODWHGEHWZHHQGULOOKROHV
Best Practice in Coal Exploration and Resource Evaluation|A Waltho, S Kristensen and C Harman
ORVVPXVWEHDFFXUDWHO\PRQLWRUHGDQGGULOOLQJSUDFWLFHVWKDW
PLQLPLVH QH FRDO ORVV EH HPSOR\HG DW DOO WLPHV LQFOXGLQJ
WKH XVH RI QRQURWDWLQJ WULSOH WXEH FRUH EDUUHOV ZLWKRXW
H[FHSWLRQ DQG ODUJHU GLDPHWHU FRUH ZKHUH DSSURSULDWH 7KH
ODWWHULVIUHTXHQWO\XVHGWRPD[LPLVHWKHYROXPHRIPDWHULDO
REWDLQHGIRUFRDODQDO\VLVDQGWHVWLQJSXUSRVHVEXWDOVRKDV
DQ LPSRUWDQW UROH LQ PLQLPLVLQJ FRUH GLVWXUEDQFH DQG QH
FRDOORVVGXULQJVDPSOHFROOHFWLRQ
,QWHUHVWLQJO\ PDQ\ RI WKH WHFKQLTXHV DSSOLHG WR
WKH HYDOXDWLRQ RI RQH IRUP RI VWUXFWXUHG GHSRVLW KDYH
DSSOLFDWLRQV XVXDOO\ ZLWK DSSURSULDWH PRGLFDWLRQV LQ WKH
HYDOXDWLRQ RI RWKHUV D FODVVLF H[DPSOH LV WKH DGDSWLRQ RI
VOLPKROHJHRSK\VLFDOORJJLQJV\VWHPVRULJLQDOO\GHYHORSHG
IRU LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDO GHSRVLW HYDOXDWLRQ WR FRDO UHVRXUFH
DVVHVVPHQW 7KLV FUHDWHV RSSRUWXQLWLHV IRU WKH WUDQVIHU
RI LGHDV WHFKQLTXHV DQG NQRZOHGJH EHWZHHQ RWKHUZLVH
GLVSDUDWHH[SORUDWLRQDQGUHVRXUFHHYDOXDWLRQWHDPV
157
Desktop studies
&RDO H[SORUDWLRQ LV IUHTXHQWO\ EXW SHUKDSV HUURQHRXVO\
SHUFHLYHG WR EH D SUHGRPLQDQWO\ EURZQHOG DFWLYLW\ :KLOH
WKHUHKDYHQRWEHHQPDQ\WUXO\QHZGLVFRYHULHVRIFRDOEHDULQJ
VHTXHQFHV DQG GHSRVLWV JOREDOO\ IRU VHYHUDO GHFDGHV EDVLQV
ZLWK NQRZQ FRDO UHVRXUFHV FRQVLVWHQWO\ GHOLYHU FKDOOHQJHV
WR H[SORUDWLRQ WHDPV WKURXJK UHDOLVLQJ WKH WUXH SRWHQWLDO
DQG YDOXH RI UHVRXUFHV $Q XQLQWHQGHG FRQVHTXHQFH LV WKDW
WKH QHHG IRU ULJRURXV FROOHFWLRQ DQG YDOLGDWLRQ SURFHVVHV LV
WRR IUHTXHQWO\ RYHUORRNHG DQG UHSODFHG E\ FRQYHQWLRQDO
ZLVGRPZKHUHGHSRVLWFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRUHYHQWKHSRWHQWLDO
RIDQHQWLUHFRDOHOGRUEDVLQLVOHIWXQFKDOOHQJHG
7KHGHYHORSPHQWRIDJHRORJLFDOPRGHOEDVHGRQKLVWRULFDO
LQIRUPDWLRQ SURYLGHG E\ JRYHUQPHQW DQG FRPSHWLWRU
FRPSDQ\ PDSSLQJ GULOOLQJ DQG RWKHU JHRSK\VLFDO VXUYH\
ZRUN LV DQ HVVHQWLDO UVW VWHS LQ D V\VWHPDWLF H[SORUDWLRQ
SURFHVV(YHQZKHQGDWDLVVSDUVHDFRQFHSWXDOPRGHOEDVHG
RQ WKH JHRORJLFDO LGHDV WKDW UHVXOWHG LQ D UHJLRQ FRQVLGHUHG
WR EH SURVSHFWLYH DFFRPSDQLHG E\ DQ DVVHVVPHQW RI WKH
GHSRVLWDWWULEXWHVUHTXLUHGWRPDNHDGLVFRYHU\WKHEDVLVRI
D SRWHQWLDOO\ YLDEOH PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQ VKRXOG EH GHYHORSHG
SULRUWRXQGHUWDNLQJDQ\QHZH[SORUDWLRQZRUN7KLVDSSURDFK
SURGXFHV D PRGHO WKDW EHFRPHV D EDVLV IRU PHDVXULQJ WKH
158
Data management
7KH LPSRUWDQFH RI GDWD PDQDJHPHQW FDQQRW EH RYHUVWDWHG
,Q SUHSDULQJ D JHRORJLFDO PRGHO DQG UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWH IRU
DQ\SURMHFWLQDQ\FRPPRGLW\HQVXULQJWKDWGDWDLVFRPSOHWH
DQGIUHHRIIXQGDPHQWDOHUURUVDFFRXQWVIRUDWOHDVWKDOIRIWHQ
PXFKPRUHRIWKHWLPHDQGHIIRUWLQYROYHG
7KHUHDOYDOXHRIDQ\GDWDPDQDJHPHQWV\VWHPLVGHOLYHUHG
WKURXJKKDYLQJDOOSURMHFWGDWDDYDLODEOHLQDFRQVLVWHQWIRUP
WKDWVHDV\WRDFFHVV$OOGDWDPDQDJHPHQWV\VWHPVFDQGHDO
ZLWK QXPHULF DQG WH[W GDWD 6RPH FRPPHUFLDO V\VWHPV DGG
IXQFWLRQDOLW\WRPDQDJHH[WHUQDOGDWDOHVVXFKDVJHRSK\VLFDO
ORJVXVLQJOHVDGKHULQJWRWKH/RJ$6&,,VWDQGDUG/$6
PDQDJHG E\ WKH &DQDGLDQ :HOO /RJJLQJ 6RFLHW\ &DQDGLDQ
:HOO/RJJLQJ6RFLHW\RUSURSULHWDU\OHIRUPDWVPRUH
FRPPRQO\ XVHG WR GHOLYHU 7HOHYLHZHU DQG RWKHU ERUHKROH
LPDJLQJV\VWHPGDWDRUHYHQFRUHSKRWRJUDSKVDQGSUHVHQW
WKLVGDWDLQFRQMXQFWLRQZLWKRWKHUJHRORJLFDOJHRWHFKQLFDO
JHRSK\VLFDODQGDQDO\WLFDOGDWDLQDUHDGLO\LQWHUSUHWHGIRUP
:KHWKHU GDWD PDQDJHPHQW V\VWHPV VKRXOG EH DSSOLHG
DW D SURMHFW RU FRUSRUDWH OHYHO LV D SHUHQQLDO DUJXPHQW
LQ VRPH RUJDQLVDWLRQV :KLOH SURMHFW OHYHO V\VWHPV PD\
SURYLGH LQGLYLGXDO WHDPV ZLWK D JUHDWHU VHQVH RI FRQWURO
DQG UHVSRQVLELOLW\ XOWLPDWHO\ IRVWHULQJ JUHDWHU VWHZDUGVKLS
RIGDWDDGKHULQJWRDFRUSRUDWHV\VWHPUHVXOWVLQSHUVRQQHO
DVVLVWLQJZLWKGLIIHUHQWSURMHFWVPRUHHDVLO\VHFXULQJEHWWHU
SURYLVLRQ RI VXSSRUW UHVRXUFHV 7KLV KHOSV WR HQVXUH WKDW
WKH V\VWHP PHHWV SURMHFW WHDP UHTXLUHPHQWV WKURXJK WKH
UHQLQJ WKH GDWDEDVH VWUXFWXUH LWVHOI PDQDJLQJ QHZ IRUPV
RI GDWD LPSRUWLQJ GDWD IURP QHZ VRXUFHV DQG DFFHVVLQJ
UHOHYDQWUHSRUWLQJDQGSUHVHQWDWLRQIXQFWLRQDOLW\7KHFULWLFDO
UHTXLUHPHQW LV IRU SURMHFW SHUVRQQHO EHLQJ DEOH WR DFFHVV
GDWD PDQDJHPHQW V\VWHPV XVLQJ D UDQJH RI DSSOLFDWLRQV WR
LQWHUSUHWGDWD'DWDDORQHGRHVQRWSURYLGHWKHLQVLJKWQHHGHG
WRGLVFRYHUDQGGHYHORSQHZGHSRVLWVQRURSWLPLVHWKHYDOXH
RI H[LVWLQJ UHVRXUFHV ,W LV WKURXJK H[SHULHQFHG SHUVRQQHO
EHLQJ DEOH WR UHDGLO\ DFFHVV LQWHJUDWH DQG DQDO\VH KLJK
TXDOLW\DQGUHOLDEOHGDWD7KHWHUPVGDWDDQGLQIRUPDWLRQ
DUHIDUIURPV\QRQ\PRXV7KHODWWHULVFUHDWHGWKURXJKYDOXH
DFFUHWLYHDQDO\VLVRIWKHIRUPHU
6RPHLPSRUWDQWFRQYHQWLRQVQHHGWREHHVWDEOLVKHGDWWKH
RXWVHWRIDSURMHFWDQGDGKHUHGWRVWULFWO\
Best Practice in Coal Exploration and Resource Evaluation|A Waltho, S Kristensen and C Harman
GULOOKROHFROODUFRRUGLQDWHVD]LPXWKDQGLQFOLQDWLRQ
WKH GRZQKROH GHSWK D]LPXWK DQG LQFOLQDWLRQ IRU HDFK
VXUYH\REVHUYDWLRQFROOHFWHGGXULQJRUXSRQFRPSOHWLRQ
RIGULOOLQJ
7KH FRRUGLQDWHV DUH FDOFXODWHG XVLQJ RQH RI VHYHUDO
ZLGHO\ DFFHSWHG EXW IXQGDPHQWDOO\ GLIIHUHQW DOJRULWKPV
HPSOR\HGE\GDWDEDVHPDQDJHPHQWV\VWHPVDQGJHRORJLFDO
YLVXDOLVDWLRQVRIWZDUH
6LPLODUO\ OLWKRORJLFDO GHVFULSWLRQV DUH REVHUYDWLRQV
IDFWV ZKHUHDV VWUDWLJUDSKLF QDPHV DVVLJQHG WR OLWKRORJLFDO
GHVFULSWLRQV DUH LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV WKDW PD\ EHFRPH VXEMHFW
WR FKDQJH DV JHRORJLFDO NQRZOHGJH LPSURYHV DQG ERWK
OLWKRORJLFDO GHVFULSWLRQV DQG JHRSK\VLFDO ORJ VLJQDWXUHV
DUH FRQVLGHUHG WR EH LQFUHDVLQJO\ GLDJQRVWLF 7KLV LWVHOI LV D
IXQFWLRQRINQRZOHGJHDQGH[SHULHQFHERWKRIZKLFKLQFUHDVH
GXULQJWKHFRXUVHRIDQ\SURMHFW
2EVHUYDWLRQV DQG LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV QHHG WR EH WUHDWHG
GLIIHUHQWO\2EVHUYDWLRQVVKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHGSULPDU\GDWD
QRWWREHDOWHUHGXQOHVVLWFDQEHGHPRQVWUDWHGFRQFOXVLYHO\
WKDWWKH\DUHVXEMHFWWRHUURUVRULQFRQVLVWHQFLHVWKDWUHQGHU
WKH GDWDV UHOLDELOLW\ VXVSHFW LQ VRPH ZD\ 6WUDWLJUDSKLF
DVVLJQPHQWV KRZHYHU DUH XVXDOO\ EDVHG RQ FRUUHODWLRQV
IURP VXUURXQGLQJ GULOO KROHV RU WKH GHVFULSWLRQ RI D W\SH
VHFWLRQ7KHVHDUHLQYDULDEO\VXEMHFWWRFKDQJHDVJHRORJLFDO
NQRZOHGJHRIDGHSRVLWLQFUHDVHV
3URMHFWGDWDEDVHVPXVWEHPDQDJHGLQDZD\WKDWSHUPLWV
DSSURSULDWHFKDQJHVWREHPDGHDVUHTXLUHG,QWHUSUHWDWLRQV
QHHG WR EH WUHDWHG LQ D IXQGDPHQWDOO\ GLIIHUHQW PDQQHU WR
REVHUYDWLRQV 7KLV LV IDFLOLWDWHG E\ VWRULQJ GLVWLQFW W\SHV RI
GDWDLQVHSDUDWHEXWOLQNHGGDWDEDVHWDEOHVZKLFKPD\KDYH
GLIIHUHQW SHUPLVVLRQV DVVLJQHG WR WKHP WR UHVWULFW ZKLFK
PHPEHUVRIDSURMHFWWHDPDUHDXWKRULVHGWRPDNHFKDQJHV
5HODWLRQDO GDWDEDVH DSSOLFDWLRQV KDYH VLPSOLHG WKLV WDVN
FRQVLGHUDEO\7KHDELOLW\WRUHODWHGDWDLQRQHWDEOHWRGDWDLQ
DQRWKHUFUHDWHVVLJQLFDQWEHQHWVRYHUVLPSO\VWRULQJGDWD
LQDWOHVRUVSUHDGVKHHWV
DRILLING
Cored versus non-cored drilling
&RDOH[SORUDWLRQXVXDOO\LQYROYHVDFRPELQDWLRQRI
QRQFRUHGGULOOLQJXVXDOO\FRPSOHWHGXVLQJSHUFXVVLRQ
RUURWDU\GULOOLQJ
SDUWO\FRUHGGULOOLQJQRQFRUHGGULOOLQJWHFKQLTXHVDUH
XVHGWRGHSWKVRIVHYHUDOPHWUHVDERYHWKHLQWHUSUHWHGWRS
RIWKHFRDOEHDULQJVHTXHQFHRILQWHUHVW
IXOO\FRUHGGULOOLQJFRUHLVFROOHFWHGIURPDVKRUWGLVWDQFH
EHORZVXUIDFHWRWKHHQGRIWKHGULOOKROH
5HYHUVH FLUFXODWLRQ 5& GULOOLQJ LV QRW FRPPRQ SUDFWLFH
LQ FRDO H[SORUDWLRQ 5& GULOOLQJ LV SULPDULO\ LQWHQGHG
WR HQKDQFH WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI QRQFRUHG GULOOLQJ LQ WKH
DVVHVVPHQW RI XQVWUXFWXUHG GHSRVLWV 7KH WHFKQLTXH KHOSV
WRPD[LPLVHVDPSOHTXDOLW\E\PLQLPLVLQJSRWHQWLDOVDPSOH
FRQWDPLQDWLRQ 7KH SUHVHQFH RI VRIW FOD\ULFK URFNV LQ FRDO
EHDULQJ VHTXHQFHV KDV D WHQGHQF\ WR UHGXFH 5& GULOOLQJ
SURGXFWLYLW\ GXH WR VDPSOH FURVVRYHU SRUWV DQG FROOHFWLRQ
F\FORQHVEHFRPLQJEORFNHGDOWKRXJKLWDUJXDEO\SURYLGHVD
EHWWHUTXDOLW\VDPSOHIRUOLWKRORJLFDOORJJLQJWKDQRWKHUIRUPV
RI RSHQKROH GULOOLQJ 3DUWO\ FRUHG GULOOLQJ LQYROYLQJ QRQ
FRUHG GULOOLQJ WR WKH H[SHFWHG WRS RI FRDO IROORZHG E\ IXOO\
FRUHG GULOOLQJ WKURXJK WKH FRDO VHDPV RI LQWHUHVW SURYLGHV
D UHODWLYHO\ ORZFRVW PHDQV RI REWDLQLQJ FRDO VDPSOHV IRU
DQDO\VLV DW WKH H[SHQVH RI FROOHFWLQJ VRPH OLWKRORJLFDO
VWUXFWXUDODQGJHRWHFKQLFDOGDWDIURPWKHRYHUO\LQJVHTXHQFH
&RUHGGULOOLQJSURYLGHVVDPSOHVRIDOOURFNW\SHVSUHVHQWLQ
WKHGHSRVLWDUHDLQFOXGLQJVDPSOHVRIURFNVRYHUO\LQJFRDORU
RFFXUULQJ EHWZHHQ VHDPV RI SRWHQWLDO HFRQRPLF LQWHUHVW IRU
JHRWHFKQLFDOWHVWLQJDQGVDPSOHVRIFRDOIRUDQDO\VLV
Core recovery
&RUH UHFRYHU\ KDV D GLUHFW UHODWLRQVKLS ZLWK WKH TXDOLW\
RI VDPSOLQJ DFKLHYHG E\ GULOOLQJ DQG FRQVHTXHQWO\ LV DQ
LPSRUWDQW SDUDPHWHU WKDW VKRXOG EH GHWHUPLQHG FDUHIXOO\
3RRU UHFRYHU\ FDQ EH D FRQVHTXHQFH RI D QXPEHU RI IDFWRUV
LQFOXGLQJ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
159
Geological logging
0RVW FRPSDQLHV WRGD\ XVH ORJJLQJ V\VWHPV WKDW DUH EDVHG
RQUHFRUGLQJFRGHVIRUOLWKRORJ\WH[WXUHJUDLQVL]HFRORXU
VHGLPHQWDU\ VWUXFWXUHV DQG RWKHU OLWKRORJLFDO IHDWXUHV
REVHUYDEOHLQGULOOFRUH2EVHUYDWLRQVDUHUHFRUGHGRQFRGLQJ
VKHHWVRUHQWHUHGGLUHFWO\WRDUXJJHGLVHGQRWHERRNRUWDEOHW
FRPSXWHUUXQQLQJGDWDFROOHFWLRQVRIWZDUHWKDWFKHFNVHQWULHV
IRUFRQVLVWHQF\ZLWKDGLFWLRQDU\RISUHGHQHGWHUPVIRUHDFK
HOG LQ WKH GHVFULSWLRQ UHFRUG 7KHVH V\VWHPV KDYH FOHDU
EHQHWV LQ DYRLGLQJ HUURUV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH UHFRUGLQJ RI
LQYDOLG FRGHV DQG HQWHULQJ GHSWKV IRU GHVFULSWLRQ LQWHUYDOV
WKDWFUHDWHJDSVRURYHUODSVLQWKHORJ7KHVHDUHYHU\EDVLF
PLVWDNHVWKDWFDQEHGLIFXOWWRUHVROYHZKHQFRUHLVQRORQJHU
DYDLODEOHIRUUHYLHZ
0RVW OLWKRORJLFDO GHVFULSWLRQ V\VWHPV LQ FXUUHQW XVH DUH
GHVLJQHG WR FDSWXUH D FRPSOHWH DQG GHWDLOHG GHVFULSWLRQ RI
GLIIHUHQW URFN W\SHV LQWHUVHFWHG E\ GULOOLQJ LQ FRGHG IRUP
ZKLFKLVXVHGDVDSUR[\IRUVKRUWKDQGIRUP7KHGHVFULSWLRQV
IUHTXHQWO\UHO\RQOHQJWK\DQGFRPSOH[GLFWLRQDULHVRIWHUPV
)DPLOLDULW\ ZLWK WKH FRGLQJ V\VWHP LV UHTXLUHG LI LW LV WR EH
XVHG HIIHFWLYHO\ WR UHFRUG OHW DORQH LQWHUSUHW GDWD &RGHG
GHVFULSWLRQV DUH DEOH WR EH WUDQVODWHG V\VWHPDWLFDOO\ LQWR
SODLQWH[WIRUPE\WKHORJJLQJDQGGDWDPDQDJHPHQWVRIWZDUH
V\VWHP 7KLV KHOSV WR DOOHYLDWH WKH GLIFXOWLHV LQKHUHQW LQ
UHDGLQJDQGXQGHUVWDQGLQJWKHFRGHGGHVFULSWLRQVSURGXFHG
E\ JHRORJLVWV WKHPVHOYHV 5HJUHWWDEO\ PDQ\ FRGHG ORJJLQJ
V\VWHPV GR OLWWOH LQ SUDFWLFH WR HQFRXUDJH OHW DORQH HQVXUH
FRQVLVWHQWDQGV\VWHPDWLFUHFRUGLQJRIREVHUYDWLRQV
7KHZD\LQZKLFKJHRORJLVWVGHVFULEHWKHDFWXDOIHDWXUHVRI
URFNVYDULHVLQUHVSRQVHWRWKHLUWUDLQLQJSUHYLRXVH[SHULHQFH
DQGSHUVRQDOSUHIHUHQFH7KLVFDQEHDVRXUFHRIFRQVLGHUDEOH
LQFRQVLVWHQFLHV LQ WKH JHRORJLFDO GDWDEDVH IRU D SURMHFW
WKDW ZLOO LQFRUSRUDWH ORJV E\ VHYHUDO JHRORJLVWV &DUHIXOO\
GHVLJQHGOLWKRORJLFDOGHVFULSWLRQV\VWHPVGHOLYHUFRQVLVWHQF\
GHVSLWH LQIRUPDWLRQ SURYLGHG E\ GLIIHUHQW JHRORJLVWV 7KHVH
V\VWHPV FRQFHQWUDWH RQ UHFRUGLQJ WKH PRVW LPSRUWDQW URFN
W\SHGHVFULSWLRQSDUDPHWHUVVXFKDV
URFNW\SH
WH[WXUH
JURVV FRPSRVLWLRQ HJ TXDUW]RVH ZHOO FHPHQWHG OLWKLF
ZHOO FHPHQWHG SRRUO\ FHPHQWHG RU LQWUDIRUPDWLRQDO IRU
VDQGVWRQHV
FRORXU
PLQRU FRQVWLWXHQWV HJ PLQRU FREEOHV SHEEOHV VDQG\
ODPLQDHVKDOHFODVWVVLGHULWHQRGXOHV
VHGLPHQWDU\VWUXFWXUHV
ZHDWKHULQJ
7RJHWKHUWKHVHIRUPWKHEDVLVRIDWKRURXJKGHVFULSWLRQRI
VHGLPHQWDU\ DQG DVVRFLDWHG LJQHRXV URFNV HQFRXQWHUHG LQ
FRDOEHDULQJ VHTXHQFHV :DUG &RPLQR DQG :DOWKR
:DUG et al
+LHUDUFKLFDO GLFWLRQDULHV IRU VRPH HOGV VXFK DV JURVV
FRPSRVLWLRQ DQG PLQRU FRQVWLWXHQWV PD\ EH OLQNHG WR WKH
LQLWLDOURFNW\SHHOG7KLVUHGXFHVWKHQXPEHURIYDOLGFRGHV
XVHG LQ DQ\ GHVFULSWLRQ ZLWKRXW FRPSURPLVLQJ WKH OHYHO RI
JHRORJLFDO GHWDLO DYDLODEOH WR WKH JHRORJLVW FRPSLOLQJ WKH
GHVFULSWLRQ:DUG et al
6LPSOLI\LQJWKHFRGHGSRUWLRQRIWKHOLWKRORJLFDOGHVFULSWLRQ
KDVEHHQVKRZQWRHQFRXUDJHJHRORJLVWVWRFRQVLVWHQWO\HQWHU
LQIRUPDWLRQLQHDFKGHVFULSWLRQHOGWKHUHE\LPSURYLQJWKH
TXDOLW\RIOLWKRORJLFDOGHVFULSWLRQV0DOOHWDQG:DUG
Best Practice in Coal Exploration and Resource Evaluation|A Waltho, S Kristensen and C Harman
)ORZ FKDUWV PD\ EH SURYLGHG WR JHRORJLVWV WR KHOS HQVXUH
WKDW GLIIHUHQW URFN W\SHV DUH QDPHG DSSURSULDWHO\ XVLQJ
VWDQGDUGLVHGWHUPLQRORJ\)LJXUH
7KH :HQWZRUWK JUDLQ VL]H VFDOH IRU FODVWLF VHGLPHQWV
:HQWZRUWK SURYLGHV D JXLGH WR FRUUHFWO\ DQG
FRQVLVWHQWO\ GLVWLQJXLVK EHWZHHQ GLIIHUHQW FODVWLF URFNV
)LJXUH5HIHUHQFHFDUGVWRDVVLVWZLWKJUDLQVL]HHVWLPDWLRQ
GXULQJORJJLQJDUHDOVRUHDGLO\DYDLODEOH)LJXUH6WDQGDUG
WHUPLQRORJ\ H[LVWV IRU WKH GHVFULSWLRQ RI EHG WKLFNQHVV
EHGGLQJ LQFOLQDWLRQ 7DEOH DQG ZHDWKHULQJ REVHUYHG LQ
GULOOFRUH7DEOHWKHXVHRIZKLFKDOVRHQKDQFHVFRQVLVWHQF\
DFURVVGHVFULSWLRQVE\GLIIHUHQWJHRORJLVWV
:HDWKHULQJ LV D UHPDUNDEO\ IUHTXHQW RPLVVLRQ IURP
OLWKRORJLFDO ORJV 7KH REMHFWLYH DQG FRQVLVWHQW GHVFULSWLRQ
RI ZHDWKHULQJ LV FULWLFDO WR WKH DVVHVVPHQW RI JHRWHFKQLFDO
FRQGLWLRQV DQG DQDO\WLFDO UHVXOWV IRU VDPSOHV FROOHFWHG
UHODWLYHO\QHDUVXUIDFH7KLVLVSDUWLFXODUO\FULWLFDOLQFRNLQJ
FRDOHYDOXDWLRQZKHUHVHYHUDOFULWLFDOFRDOTXDOLW\SDUDPHWHUV
DUHSDUWLFXODUO\VHQVLWLYHWRVDPSOHR[LGDWLRQ
FIG 1 - Sedimentary rock identification flow chart used to improve the consistency of lithological descriptions in drill logs (Ward et al, 1986).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
161
FIG 2 - Grain size scale for clastic sediments (after Wentworth, 1922).
TABLE 1
Standard terminology for describing bedding thickness and inclination
(New Zealand Geotechnical Society).
Bedding thickness terms
Term
Bed thickness
Thinly laminated
<2 mm
Laminated
2 - 6 mm
Very thin
6 - 20 mm
Thin
20 - 60 mm
Moderately thin
60 - 200 mm
Moderately thick
0.2 - 0.6 m
Thick
0.6 - 2.0 m
Very thick
>2.0 m
Bedding inclination terms
Term
Subhorizontal
0 - 5
Gently inclined
6 - 15
Moderately inclined
16 - 30
Steeply inclined
31 - 60
61 - 80
Subvertical
81 - 90
SURSRUWLRQDOORJJLQJDSSURDFKLVKRZHYHUDSSOLFDEOHWRQRQ
FRUHGGULOOLQJZKHUHLWDFFRXQWVIRUWKHPL[LQJRIFXWWLQJVWKDW
RFFXUVEHWZHHQWKHGULOOELWDQGWKHSRLQWDWZKLFKVDPSOHVDUH
FROOHFWHGIRUGHVFULSWLRQDWVXUIDFH
Best Practice in Coal Exploration and Resource Evaluation|A Waltho, S Kristensen and C Harman
FIG 4 - Planar bedded laminate (30per cent fine sand) from the
Western coalfield of the Sydney Basin (Ward et al, 1986).
IUDFWXUHVSHUPHWUH
TABLE 2
Standard weathering description terminology (New Zealand Geotechnical Society).
Scale of rock mass weathering
Term
Grade
Abbreviation
Description
Unweathered
(fresh rock)
UW
Rock mass shows no loss of strength, discolouration or other effects due to weathering. There may be slight
discolouration on major rock mass defect surfaces or on clasts.
Slightly weathered
II
SW
The rock mass is not significantly weaker than when fresh. Rock may be discoloured along defects, some of which may
have been opened slightly.
Moderately weathered
III
MW
The rock mass is significantly weaker than the fresh rock and part of the rock mass may have been changed to a
soil. Rock material may be discoloured and defect and clast surfaces will have a greater discolouration, which also
penetrates slightly into the rock material. Increase in density of defects due to physical disintegration.
Highly weathered
IV
HW
Most of the original rock mass strength is lost. Material is discoloured and more than half the mass is changed to a
soil by chemical decomposition or disintegration (increase in density of defects/fractures). Decomposition adjacent to
defects and at the surface clasts penetrates deeply into the rock material. Lithorelicts or corestones of unweathered or
slightly weathered rock may be present.
Completely weathered
CW
Original rock strength is lost and the rock mass changed to a soil either by decomposition (with some rock fabric
preserved) or by physical disintegration.
Residual soil
VI
RS
Rock is completely changed to a soil with the original fabric destroyed (pedological soil).
163
FIG 6 - Procedure for measurement and calculation of rock quality designation (after Deere and Deere, 1988).
TABLE 3
Standard terminology and field tests for estimating rock strength from drill core (New Zealand Geotechnical Society).
Rock strength terms
Term
Extremely strong
Unconfined uniaxial
compressive strength qu (MPa)
>250
>10
Very strong
100 - 250
5 - 10
Strong
50 - 100
2-5
Moderately strong
Cannot be scraped or peeled with a pocket knife. Can be fractured with single firm blow of
geological hammer.
20 - 50
1-2
Weak
Can be peeled by a pocket knife with difficulty. Shallow indentations made by firm blow
with point of geological hammer.
5 - 20
Very weak
Crumbles under firm blows with point of geological hammer. Can be peeled by a pocket knife.
1-5
Indented by thumb nail or other lesser strength terms used for soils.
<1
<1
ZLWKLQWKHURFNPDVVLQWHUVHFWHGE\GULOOLQJIURPERWKFRUHG
DQGQRQFRUHGGULOOKROHV7KHVHGDWDDUHFULWLFDOSDUDPHWHUV
XVHGLQRSHQSLWDQGXQGHUJURXQGH[FDYDWLRQGHVLJQ
3RLQW ORDG LQGH[ WHVWV PD\ EH FRQGXFWHG RQ GULOO FRUH LQ
WKHHOGXVLQJVLPSOHHTXLSPHQW7HVWGDWDPD\EHXVHGWR
VXSSOHPHQWODERUDWRU\URFNVWUHQJWKPHDVXUHPHQWVDQGPD\
EH YDOXDEOH LQ KLJKOLJKWLQJ URFN VWUHQJWK YDULDWLRQV ZLWKLQ
GLIIHUHQWOLWKRORJLFDOXQLWVLQFRDOGHSRVLWV
6HYHUDO JHRSK\VLFDO ORJJLQJ FRPSDQLHV DUH GHYHORSLQJ
FURVVKROH VHLVPLF LPDJLQJ V\VWHPV WKDW PD\ EH XVHG WR
DVVHVV FRDO VHDP FRQWLQXLW\ EHWZHHQ D VRXUFH GULOO KROH
ZKHUHDSLH]RHOHFWULFVRXUFHLVXVHGWRJHQHUDWHDQDFFXUDWHO\
FRQWUROOHG DQG UHSURGXFLEOH VHLVPLF SXOVH ZKLFK PD\ EH
UHFRUGHG E\ JHRSKRQHV LQ RQH RU PRUH VXUURXQGLQJ GULOO
KROHV7KLVWHFKQRORJ\EHLQJDGDSWHGIURPRLOHOGV\VWHPV
KDV WKH SRWHQWLDO WR PDS VWUXFWXUHV DIIHFWLQJ WKH FRQWLQXLW\
164
XVLQJD9QRWFKZHLUWRHVWLPDWHJURXQGZDWHURZUDWHV
IURP GULOO KROHV PHDVXUHG ZLWKLQ DQG LQ WKH LPPHGLDWH
RRURIWKHVHDPVRISULQFLSDOHFRQRPLFLQWHUHVW$XV,00
S
VWDQGLQJ ZDWHU OHYHO PHDVXUHPHQW LQ GULOO KROHV XSRQ
FRPSOHWLRQ RI GULOOLQJ ZKLFK PD\ EH GHWHUPLQHG
DFFXUDWHO\ IURP JHRSK\VLFDO ORJV RU PHDVXUHG XVLQJ
VLPSOHHOGHTXLSPHQW
5RXWLQHO\ FROOHFWHG EDVLF JURXQGZDWHU GDWD KHOSV WR
DVVHVVWKHQHHGIRUDQGSODQQLQJRIVSHFLDOLVHGJURXQGZDWHU
LQYHVWLJDWLRQ GULOOLQJ DQG HQKDQFHV WKH DQDO\VLV RI UHVXOWV
IURPWKDWZRUN
Best Practice in Coal Exploration and Resource Evaluation|A Waltho, S Kristensen and C Harman
Core photography
&RUHSKRWRJUDSKVDUHDUJXDEO\ERWKWKHEHVWDQGZRUVWXVHG
UHFRUGVURXWLQHO\FROOHFWHGGXULQJH[SORUDWLRQDQGUHVRXUFH
HYDOXDWLRQ GULOOLQJ 8QOLNH PDQ\ PLQHUDOV SURMHFWV ZKROH
FRUH LV XVXDOO\ VDPSOHG GXULQJ &RDO UHVRXUFH HYDOXDWLRQ
GULOOLQJ DQG VXEPLWWHG IRU DQDO\VLV WR PD[LPLVH WKH
TXDQWLW\RIPDWHULDODYDLODEOHIRUWHVWLQJ&RUHSKRWRJUDSKV
FRQVHTXHQWO\ EHFRPH WKH RQO\ UHFRUG RI ZKDW ZDVDFWXDOO\
REVHUYHGZKHQFRUHZDVUHFRYHUHGDQGJHRORJLFDOO\ORJJHG
3KRWRJUDSKV DUH IUHTXHQWO\ FROOHFWHG RI FRUH DIWHU LW KDV
EHHQSODFHGLQFRUHWUD\VSRVWORJJLQJDQGSULRUWRVDPSOLQJ
DQGLQFUHDVLQJO\LQWKHVSOLWWXEHDWWKHGULOOVLWHVRRQDIWHUWKH
FRUHKDVEHHQUHFRYHUHG)LJXUHVDQG7KHODWWHUDSSURDFK
SURYLGHVDPRUHGHWDLOHGUHFRUGRIWKHFRUHDVSKRWRJUDSKV
DUH WDNHQ RI VKRUWHU LQWHUYDOV P WR P 'LVWXUEDQFH
RI WKH FRUH KDV DOVR EHHQ PLQLPLVHG SULRU WR SKRWRJUDSK\
SURGXFLQJ D PXFK EHWWHU TXDOLW\ JHRORJLFDO UHFRUG &RUH
PD\ EH SKRWRJUDSKHG ZLWK HLWKHU D ZHW RU GU\ VXUIDFH RU
ERWK$FTXLULQJERWKZHWDQGGU\SKRWRJUDSKVKDVEHQHWV
VWHPPLQJ IURP QXPHURXV JHRORJLFDO IHDWXUHV EHLQJ PRUH
HYLGHQWLQHLWKHUZHWRUGU\SKRWRJUDSKV:HWSKRWRJUDSKV
RI FRDO PD\ PDVN FRDO EULJKWQHVV FKDUDFWHULVWLFV ZKLFK LV
PRUHYLVLEOHLQSKRWRJUDSKVRIGU\FRUH
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWKDWFRUHLVSKRWRJUDSKHGLQDPDQQHUWKDW
PLQLPLVHV GLVWRUWLRQ DQG SURYLGHV DQ HYHQO\ LOOXPLQDWHG
LPDJH WKDW LV IUHH RI UHHFWLRQV DUH VKDGRZ DQG FRORXU
GLVWRUWLRQVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKVRPHDUWLFLDOOLJKWVRXUFHV7KH
XVH RI DUWLFLDO OLJKWLQJ DQG DVVRFLDWHG FRORXU GLVWRUWLRQ
VHULRXVO\ DIIHFWHG OP SKRWRJUDSK\ EXW WKLV KDV QRZ EHHQ
DGGUHVVHG WKURXJK WKH DXWRPDWLF ZKLWH EDODQFH FRUUHFWLRQ
FDSDELOLWLHV RI PRVW PRGHUQ GLJLWDO FDPHUDV 8VH RI D
FRQVLVWHQW FDPHUD SRVLWLRQ DV FORVH WR SHUSHQGLFXODU WR
WKH FRUH DV SRVVLEOH LV LPSRUWDQW WR KHOS PLQLPLVH LPDJH
GLVWRUWLRQ
6\VWHPDWLFVRUWLQJDQGOLQJRIFRUHSKRWRJUDSKVWRSURYLGH
HDV\DFFHVVWRSKRWRJUDSKLFUHFRUGVLVMXVWDVQHFHVVDU\DVIRU
DQ\RWKHUIRUPRIGULOOKROHORJ'LJLWDOOHVDUHXVXDOO\EHVW
RUJDQLVHG E\ UHQDPLQJ WKHP WR UHHFW WKH GULOO KROH QDPH
DQG GHSWK LQWHUYDO FRYHUHG E\ HDFK SKRWRJUDSK ZKLFK DUH
WKHQVWRUHGLQIROGHUVRQDKROHQDPHGULOOLQJFDPSDLJQDQG
SURMHFWEDVLV
,QUHFHQW\HDUVVRIWZDUHKDVEHHQGHYHORSHGWKDWFRUUHFWV
LPDJHVIRUGLVWRUWLRQDQGHQDEOHVGLJLWDOSKRWRJUDSKVWREH
VWLWFKHG WRJHWKHU WR SURYLGH DQ DFFXUDWHO\ VFDODEOH LPDJH
RI FRUH WKDW FDQ EH PDQDJHG LQ D GDWDEDVH DQG FRPELQHG
ZLWK RWKHU GDWD HJ OLWKRORJLFDO GHVFULSWLRQV JHRSK\VLFDO
ORJV DQG DQDO\WLFDO UHVXOWV LQ D VWULS ORJ RI WKH KROH 7KLV
IRUP RI SUHVHQWDWLRQ WDNHV VRPH ZRUN WR DVVHPEOH EXW WKH
SURFHVV QHHG QRW EH RQHURXV DQG WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ SURYLGHG
VLJQLFDQWO\ HQKDQFHV WKH UHYLHZ RI JHRORJLFDO DQG FRDO
TXDOLW\ GDWD 7KH EHQHWV RI WKLV DSSURDFK DUH SDUWLFXODUO\
HYLGHQWZKHUHFRUHORVVKDVRFFXUUHGDQGWKHUHFRYHUHGFRUH
QHHGVWREHDFFXUDWHO\SRVLWLRQHGLQWKHGULOOKROHXVLQJERWK
WKHLPDJHVRIWKHFRUHLWVHOIDQGJHRSK\VLFDOORJGDWD
Geophysical logging
FIG 7 - Core photographed in core barrel split after retrieval. Boards above
and below the core are used to display drilling, geological log and sampling
information to provide a detailed, permanent visual reference.
FIG 8 - Core photographed in core barrel split after retrieval. Boards above
and below the core are used to provide drilling, geological log and sampling
information to provide a detailed, permanent visual reference.
165
TABLE 4
Minimum geophysical logging suite for coal exploration boreholes.
Logging
sonde
Application
Natural
gamma
Density
Calliper
Resistivity
Sonic
WREHFKHFNHGDQGDGMXVWHGUHJXODUO\DQGDOOFDOLEUDWLRQGDWD
SURYLGHG LQ WKH KHDGHUV RI HDFK ORJ 7KH VDPSOLQJ VWDWLVWLFV
IRUORJGDWDLQFRDOVHDPVZKHQXVHGLQFRDOTXDOLW\SUHGLFWLRQ
PD\EHLPSURYHGE\UHGXFLQJWKHORJJLQJUDWH,WLVFRPPRQ
SUDFWLFH WKHUHIRUH WR UHORJ VSHFLF FRDOEHDULQJ LQWHUYDOV
ZKHUHGDWDLVWREHXVHGWRGHULYHFRDOTXDOLW\HVWLPDWHV
PD\ FRQWDLQ VWHHO FDVLQJ RU ORVW GULOOLQJ URGV DQG RWKHU
HTXLSPHQW WKDW FRXOG GDPDJH PLQLQJ HTXLSPHQW RU
FUHDWHVSDUNVLIPHWDOFRPHVLQWRFRQWDFWZLWKPDFKLQHU\
DFWDVDFRQGXLWIRUZDWHUDQGJDVLQWRWKHPLQHZRUNLQJV
ZKLFKPD\FUHDWHDVLJQLFDQWVDIHW\KD]DUG
,Q WKH FDVH RI WKH ODWWHU GULOO KROHV WKDW FRXOG EH PLQHG
WKURXJK E\ XQGHUJURXQG ZRUNLQJV DW VRPH IXWXUH SRLQW
VKRXOG EH FHPHQWHG ,Q D QXPEHU RI $XVWUDOLDQ VWDWHV
FHPHQWLQJ RI PLQHUDO DQG FRDO H[SORUDWLRQ GULOO KROHV
WKURXJK QRPLQDWHG DTXLIHUV LV PDQGDWHG E\ HQYLURQPHQWDO
UHJXODWLRQV WR SUHVHUYH WKH LQWHJULW\ RI ORFDO JURXQGZDWHU
V\VWHPV DQG OLPLW FRQWDPLQDWLRQ E\ ZDWHU GHULYHG IURP
RWKHU VRXUFHV LQFOXGLQJ PL[LQJ RI JURXQGZDWHU SUHVHQW LQ
GLIIHUHQWDTXLIHUV
COAL ANALYSIS
Sampling
$Q\ DVVHVVPHQW RI FRDO TXDOLW\ LQYROYHV GHWHUPLQLQJ
SK\VLFDO DQG FRPSRVLWLRQDO DWWULEXWHV RI ERWK WKH RUJDQLF
DQG LQRUJDQLF PDWHULDOV SUHVHQW LQ DQ\ FRDO )XQGDPHQWDO
FRDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV DUH XVXDOO\ GHWHUPLQHG RQ PXOWLSOH SO\
VDPSOHV FROOHFWHG IURP LGHQWLDEOH LQWHUYDOV ZLWKLQ VHDPV
ZKLFK PD\ WKHQ EH XVHG WR JXLGH DVVHPEO\ RI FRPSRVLWH
VDPSOHV RQ ZKLFK PRUH GHWDLOHG WHVWV DUH FRQGXFWHG WR
GHWHUPLQH WKH SRWHQWLDO XWLOLVDWLRQ DQG SHUIRUPDQFH RI FRDO
Best Practice in Coal Exploration and Resource Evaluation|A Waltho, S Kristensen and C Harman
FIG 10 - Determination of dip and dip direction from dipmeter logs (Firth, 2000).
LQGLIIHUHQWDSSOLFDWLRQVRUUHTXLUHODUJHUYROXPHVRIVDPSOH
WKDQDYDLODEOHIURPWKHLQLWLDOSO\VDPSOHV
Chemical preservation
,QWDNLQJFRDOVDPSOHVWKDWDUHWREHDQDO\VHGLQDODERUDWRU\
IRUFKHPLFDODQGSK\VLFDOSURSHUWLHVLWLVLPSRUWDQWWKDWWKH
VDPSOHV DUH SUHVHUYHG LQ D PDQQHU WR PLQLPLVH DV PXFK
DV SRVVLEOH DQ\ H[SRVXUH WR DLU DQG FRQVHTXHQW GU\LQJ DQG
R[LGDWLRQRIWKHVDPSOHVEHWZHHQWKHLUH[WUDFWLRQDQGDUULYDO
DWWKHODERUDWRU\
7KH ORZHU WKH UDQN RI FRDO WKH PRUH VXVFHSWLEOH VDPSOHV
DUH WR R[LGDWLRQ LI DOORZHG WR ORVH PRLVWXUH ,Q KLJKHUUDQN
FRDOV VXFK DV FRNLQJ FRDOV R[LGDWLRQ RYHU UHODWLYHO\ VKRUW
SHULRGV PD\ DIIHFW FHUWDLQ FRNLQJ SURSHUWLHV :KDWHYHU WKH
UDQNRUW\SHRIFRDOVDPSOHVVKRXOGEHVHDOHGLPPHGLDWHO\
DIWHU H[WUDFWLRQ XVLQJ WLJKWO\ WWLQJ SODVWLF WXELQJ VKULQN
ZUDS RU RWKHU KHUPHWLF SDFNDJLQJ /RJJLQJ VXEGLYLVLRQ
SKRWRJUDSK\ HWF QHHG WR EH XQGHUWDNHQ H[SHGLWLRXVO\ WR
IDFLOLWDWH WKLV ,I ZHDWKHU FRQGLWLRQV DUH VXFK WKDW VXUIDFH
PRLVWXUHGULHVTXLFNO\WKHFRUHVKRXOGEHZHWWHGFRQWLQXDOO\
WRSUHYHQWGU\LQJGXULQJWKHVHDFWLYLWLHV
'HJUDGDWLRQ RI WKH VDPSOHV LV REYLRXVO\ OHVV SUREOHPDWLF
XQGHUFRROHUZHDWKHUFRQGLWLRQVEXWLQKRWWHUFOLPDWHVDQG
GHSHQGLQJ RQ ORFDWLRQ DQG WUDQVSRUW DUUDQJHPHQWV LW PD\
EHQHFHVVDU\WRVWRUHVDPSOHVLQWKHHOGIRUDSHULRG,QWKLV
FDVHDIDFLOLW\VXFKDVDUHIULJHUDWHGFRQWDLQHUZRXOGEHLGHDO
EXWLIWKLVLVQRWSRVVLEOHWKHVDPSOHVVKRXOGEHNHSWLQVKDGH
DWDOOWLPHVDQGNHSWFRROEHDQ\PHDQVSRVVLEOHIRUH[DPSOH
E\FRYHULQJWKHPZLWKZHWKHVVLDQEDJV,IZDWHUDYDLODELOLW\
LV QRW DQ LVVXH NHHSLQJ WKH VDPSOHV XQGHU ZDWHU LQ D WDQN
LV DQ RSWLRQ WKDW ZRXOG DOVR HQVXUH DLU LV H[FOXGHG HYHQ LI
SDFNDJLQJLVUXSWXUHG
Physical preservation
.HHSLQJ WKH VDPSOHV DW WKH ODUJHVW SRVVLEOH SDUWLFOH VL]H
QRW RQO\ KHOSV WR PLQLPLVH GU\LQJ DQG R[LGDWLRQ HIIHFWV
E\ PLQLPLVLQJ WKH H[SRVHG VXUIDFH DUHD EXW LI WKH DQDO\VLV
LQFOXGHVSUHWUHDWPHQWVXFKDVGURSVKDWWHUDQGWXPEOHWHVWVLW
LVLPSRUWDQWWRNHHSFRUHVDPSOHVDVLQWDFWDVSRVVLEOH7KLVLV
EHVWGRQHE\WUDQVIHUULQJWKHFRUHGLUHFWO\IURPWKHFRUHEDUUHO
VSOLWWXEHWRULJLGVSOLWSODVWLFWXELQJRIVLPLODUGLDPHWHU
Sizing
0DQ\FRDOTXDOLW\SDUDPHWHUVGLIIHUEHWZHHQPDFHUDOVSUHVHQW
LQ WKH RQH VDPSOH DQG PD\ ZDUUDQW GHWHUPLQDWLRQ RI FRDO
TXDOLW\RQGLIIHUHQWVL]HIUDFWLRQV7KLVLVSDUWLFXODUO\WKHFDVH
ZLWK FRNLQJ FRDOV ZKHUH UHDFWLYH PDFHUDOV IRUPLQJ EULJKW
EDQGVZLWKLQVDPSOHVDUHFKDUDFWHULVWLFDOO\QHO\FOHDWHGDQG
PD\ IUDFWXUH UHDGLO\ DOORZLQJ WKHP WR EH FRQFHQWUDWHG E\
UHODWLYHO\ VLPSOH SURFHVVLQJ WR SURGXFH D FRQFHQWUDWH ZLWK
PRUHGHVLUDEOHSURSHUWLHVWKDQWKRVHSRVVHVVHGE\WKHVDPSOH
DVDZKROH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
167
FIG 12 - Dipmeter data may be presented as tadpole plots or stick plots, which
show the apparent dip of logged feature in a nominated viewing plane (Rider
and Kennedy, 2011).
&RPSHQVDWLQJ IRU FRUH ORVV PXVW EH FRQVLGHUHG ZKHQ
SUHSDULQJ FRPSRVLWH VDPSOHV IRU DQDO\VLV (YHQ LI OLQHDU
PHDVXUHPHQWVRIFRUHOHQJWKVXJJHVWIXOOUHFRYHU\YROXPHWULF
FRUHORVVLVFRPPRQLQFRDOHVSHFLDOO\LQLQWHUYDOVRIEULJKW
DQGLQWHQVHO\FOHDWHGFRDO,IWKHZRUNLQJVHFWLRQVDPSOHVDUH
FRPELQHGLQSURSRUWLRQWRSO\VDPSOHPDVVHVDVUHFRYHUHG
WKH FRPSRVLWH VDPSOH ZLOO QRW EH VWULFWO\ UHSUHVHQWDWLYH
7KHEHVWSUDFWLFHLVWRFRPELQHSO\VDPSOHVLQSURSRUWLRQWR
WKHSURGXFWRIOHQJWKFRUUHFWHGIRUFRUHORVVDQGDSSDUHQW
UHODWLYHGHQVLW\$5'
$5'LVXVXDOO\LQFOXGHGLQWKHVXLWHRIDQDO\VHVXQGHUWDNHQ
RQ FRDO SO\ VDPSOHV EXW LI FRUH ORVV LV VHYHUH WKH YDOXH
REWDLQHG E\ DQDO\VLV PD\ EH LQDFFXUDWH 8VLQJ WKH ZLUHOLQH
JHRSK\VLFDO ORJGHULYHG GHQVLW\ RYHU WKH SO\ LQWHUYDOV LV
UHFRPPHQGHGRYHUWKHODERUDWRU\DQDO\VHGYDOXHVXEMHFWWR
WKHJHRSK\VLFDOGDWDKDYLQJEHHQFROOHFWHGDQGDQDO\VHGLQ
DQDSSURSULDWHPDQQHU
,W LV RI SDUDPRXQW LPSRUWDQFH WR GHULYH WKH EHVW SRVVLEOH
HVWLPDWH RI WKH GHQVLW\ RI FRDO in situ IRU WKH SXUSRVHV RI
5HVRXUFHDQG5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQ)UHTXHQWO\SURFHGXUHVIRU
WKHFRUUHFWGHWHUPLQDWLRQRIFRDO in situGHQVLW\RUDSSDUHQW
UHODWLYH GHQVLW\ $5' DUH SRRUO\ XQGHUVWRRG ,QFRUUHFW
GHWHUPLQDWLRQ RI in situ GHQVLW\ RU $5' DUH SRWHQWLDOO\ WKH
PRVWVLJQLFDQWVRXUFHVRIHUURULQWRQQDJHHVWLPDWLRQ
Composite samples
,Q WKH HDUO\ VWDJHV RI H[SORUDWLRQ DQG HYDOXDWLRQ FRDO SOLHV
DQG SDUWLQJV DUH XVXDOO\ DQDO\VHG VHSDUDWHO\ LQ RUGHU WR
GHWHUPLQH ZKHWKHU WKHUH DUH DQ\ VLJQLFDQW YDULDWLRQV LQ
FRDOW\SHDQGFRPSRVLWHWKDWPD\XOWLPDWHO\GLFWDWHKRZWKH
GHSRVLWLVPLQHGDQGSURFHVVHG7KHEDVLVIRUGLIIHUHQWLDWLQJ
WKHSOLHVLVXVXDOO\DFRPELQDWLRQRIYLVXDOREVHUYDWLRQVDQG
YDULDWLRQVLQWKHGHQVLW\DQGJDPPDORJSUROH3O\VDPSOHV
PD\ WKHQ EH FRPELQHG LQWR SUDFWLFDO ZRUNLQJ VHFWLRQV IRU
DQDO\VLV GHSHQGLQJ RQ WKH OLNHO\ PLQLQJ VFHQDULR 6RPH
SURSHUWLHV RI WKH FRPSRVLWHG VDPSOH PD\ EH GHWHUPLQHG
E\ FDOFXODWLRQ IURP WKH SO\ VDPSOHV EXW VRPH DUH QRW
DULWKPHWLFDOO\DGGLWLYHDQGPXVWEHDQDO\VHG
7KHORZHUWKHUDQNRIFRDOWKHJUHDWHUWKHSRWHQWLDOIRUHUURU
LQWKHHVWLPDWLRQRI$5'EHFDXVHRIKLJKPRLVWXUHFRQWHQW
7KHUHDUHEURZQFRDOVH[WHQVLYHO\PLQHGIRUSRZHUJHQHUDWLRQ
WKDW KDYH PRLVWXUH FRQWHQWV DV KLJK DV SHU FHQW 7KHVH
FRDOVGU\UDSLGO\RQH[SRVXUHDQGXQOHVVWKHDIRUHPHQWLRQHG
SUHFDXWLRQV DUH WDNLQJ GXULQJ VDPSOLQJ WKH DQDO\VLV RI WKH
FRDOFDQOHDGWRRYHUHVWLPDWLRQRIFDORULFYDOXHDQG in situ
GHQVLW\ 7KHVH HUURUV FRQWULEXWH WR JURVV RYHUHVWLPDWLRQ RI
WKHFRQWDLQHGHQHUJ\ in situ
168
&RDOPRLVWXUHFRQWHQWKDVWZRIRUPV
IUHHPRLVWXUHLQSRUHVVVXUHVDQGFUDFNV
PROHFXOHVOLJKWO\ERQGHGWRWKHFRDOPDWWHU
Best Practice in Coal Exploration and Resource Evaluation|A Waltho, S Kristensen and C Harman
7KH ODWWHU PRUH RU OHVV HTXDWHV WR DLUGULHG PRLVWXUH 7KH
IUHHPRLVWXUHLVGHWHUPLQHGE\GU\LQJWKHFRDOWRHTXLOLEULXP
FRQVWDQW PDVV 7KH UHVXOWLQJ ZHLJKW ORVV LV DWWULEXWHG WR
IUHHPRLVWXUHDQGWKHUHPDLQLQJPRLVWXUHLVUHSRUWHGDVDLU
GULHGPRLVWXUH
,QKLJKHUUDQNFRDOWKHDLUGULHGZHLJKWLVUHDVRQDEO\VWDEOH
DWOHDVWIRUWKHWLPHWKDWRWKHUDQDO\VHVDUHXQGHUWDNHQ,Q
ORZHU UDQN FRDO WKH FRDO R[LGLVHV UDSLGO\ DQG FRQWLQXHV WR
ORVH ZHLJKW WKURXJK SURGXFWV RI VORZ FRPEXVWLRQ RQH RI
ZKLFKLVZDWHU7KHFRDOZHLJKWGRHVQRWUHDFKHTXLOLEULXP
EXW LV LQVWHDG GULHG IRU D VWDQGDUG WLPH DW D VWDQGDUG
WHPSHUDWXUH
%HVWSUDFWLFHSUHFOXGHVGHVFULSWLRQRIDFRDODVDFRNLQJFRDO
EHIRUH WKH H[LVWHQFH DQG QDWXUH RI FRNLQJ SURSHUWLHV FDQ EH
GHPRQVWUDWHGXVLQJDSSURSULDWHWHVWUHVXOWV
GULOOKROHFRQGLWLRQ
WRROFDOLEUDWLRQ
ORJJLQJVSHHG
WKHLQWHQVLW\RIWKHUDGLRDFWLYHVRXUFH
7KHERXQGDU\HIIHFWDWWKHFRDOURRIDQGRRULQWHUIDFHV
ZKLFKGHSHQGVRQWKHVRXUFHGHWHFWRUVSDFLQJRIWKHGHQVLW\
WRROPXVWDOVREHWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQW
,UUHJXODULWLHV LQ WKH GULOO KROH GLDPHWHU GXH WR FDYLQJ RI
EURNHQRUVRIWPDWHULDORULQGXFHGE\GULOOLQJSUDFWLFHVFDQ
XS WR D SRLQW EH FRPSHQVDWHG IRU E\ SURFHVVLQJ RI GXDO
VSDFHGGHQVLW\DQGFDOOLSHUORJV+RZHYHULWLVLPSRUWDQWWR
PDNHDVHSDUDWHMXGJHPHQWRQWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHGHQVLW\ORJ
EDVHGRQZKDWHYHUORJVDUHDYDLODEOHWKDWLQGLFDWHGHSDUWXUHV
IURP WKH QRPLQDO KROH GLDPHWHU 7KLV ZLOO LQ PRVW FDVHV EH
VRPHIRUPRIFDOOLSHUORJWKDWLVUXQURXWLQHO\ZLWKGHQVLW\
ORJVEXWPD\EHDXJPHQWHGE\RWKHUZLUHOLQHORJJLQJWRROV
VXFKDVWKHDFRXVWLFWHOHYLHZHU
169
Surface modelling
7RRPDQ\JHRORJLVWVVLPSO\LGHQWLI\SRLQWVLQGULOOKROHVWREH
XVHGLQJHRORJLFDOVXUIDFHJHQHUDWLRQDQGDOORZWKHVRIWZDUH
WRJHQHUDWHXQFRQVWUDLQHGRULQDGHTXDWHO\LQIRUPHGVXUIDFHV
VKDSHG E\ WKH FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI WKH LQWHUSRODWLRQ DOJRULWKP
XVHG 0RVW VRIWZDUH SDFNDJHV SURGXFH VXUIDFHV XVLQJ D
OLPLWHGUDQJHRIDOJRULWKPVLQFOXGLQJ
LQYHUVHGLVWDQFHZHLJKWLQJRIWKHSDUDPHWHUVHOHFWHGIRU
PRGHOOLQJ WR DQ DUELWUDULO\ VHOHFWHG ZHLJKWLQJ SRZHU
XVXDOO\
WULDQJXODWLRQ
VRPHIRUPRISURSULHWDU\DOJRULWKPVSHFLFDOO\GHYHORSHG
E\ VRIWZDUH YHQGRUV WR SURGXFH YLVXDOO\ DSSHDOLQJ
VXUIDFHV ZKLOH LQ PRVW EXW QRW DOO LQVWDQFHV KRQRXULQJ
GDWD
7KHFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHDOJRULWKPVXVHGDQGWKHVXUIDFHV
JHQHUDWHGDUHIUHTXHQWO\QRWIXOO\XQGHUVWRRGE\JHRORJLVWV
,WFDQEHDUJXHGWKDWODFNLQJDGHWDLOHGXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKH
IROORZLQJ UHSUHVHQWV D VLJQLFDQW JDS LQ WKH FRPSHWHQFH RI
WKHJHRORJLVW
UHDOLW\ ZKHUH GULOOLQJ PD\ QRW LQWHUVHFW FRDO LQ WKH GHHSHVW
SDUWVRIDSURMHFWDUHDRUVHDPWKLFNQHVVPD\IUHTXHQWO\EH
OHVVRUJUHDWHUWKDQREVHUYHGLQWHUVHFWLRQV)LJXUH
6LPLODUO\ZKHUHGDWDDUHUHODWLYHO\DYDLODEOHGXHWRFORVH
VSDFHGGULOOLQJRUVDPSOLQJHVWLPDWHVRIWKHSDUDPHWHUEHLQJ
PRGHOOHGZLOOEHJLQWRH[KLELWYDULDELOLW\SUHVHQWLQWKHGDWD
EXW ZKHUH GDWD LV VSDUVHO\ DYDLODEOH HVWLPDWHV WHQG WR EH
VPRRWKHG SURYLGLQJ DQ LPSUHVVLRQ RI JUHDWHU FRQWLQXLW\
WKDQ FDQ EH MXVWLHG ,QYHUVH GLVWDQFH LV DQ LQKHUHQWO\
FRQVHUYDWLYH WHFKQLTXH ZKLFK PD\ EH VHHQ DV GHVLUDEOH LQ
VRPHDSSOLFDWLRQVEXWZKLFKSURGXFHVHVWLPDWHVWKDWFRXOG
EHGHVFULEHGDVDQDFFLGHQWRIGDWDFRQJXUDWLRQUDWKHUWKDQ
D UHSUHVHQWDWLRQ RI GHSRVLW JHRORJ\ 'HWDLOHG NQRZOHGJH
RI KRZ HVWLPDWLRQ DOJRULWKPV WUHDW GDWD LV D SUHUHTXLVLWH WR
XVLQJWKHP
7ULDQJXODWLRQ VWULFWO\ KRQRXUV GDWD EXW UHSUHVHQWV OLQHDU
LQWHUSRODWLRQ RI YDOXHV EHWZHHQ GDWD SRLQWV 7KLV PD\ EH
GHVLUDEOH LI WKH GDWD IXOO\ GHVFULEHV WKH SDUDPHWHU EHLQJ
HVWLPDWHG VXFK DV WRSRJUDSK\ GHULYHG IURP DHULDO VXUYH\
GDWDWKDWSURYLGHVDGHQVHPDWUL[RIGDWDSRLQWVEXWQRWKLQJ
OLNH ZKDW ZRXOG IRU H[DPSOH EH GUDZQ RU FRQWRXUHG E\ D
JHRORJLVWLQWHUSUHWLQJVXEVXUIDFHGDWDPDQXDOO\
7KHXVHRISURSULHWDU\VXUIDFHJHQHUDWLRQPHWKRGVSURYLGHG
E\VRPHVRIWZDUHYHQGRUVFDQSUHVHQWDWHFKQLFDOULVNZKHUH
WKHFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHDOJRULWKPDQGKRZLWXWLOLVHVGDWDLV
QRWFOHDUO\GRFXPHQWHGQRUXQGHUVWRRGE\WKHXVHU&DUHIXO
YDOLGDWLRQ RI PRGHOV UHTXLULQJ VHFWLRQLQJ RI PRGHOOHG
VXUIDFHV IRU FRPSDULVRQ ZLWK GULOOLQJ GDWD DQG LQVSHFWLRQ
RI VXUIDFHV IRU PRGHOOLQJ DUWHIDFWV VKRXOG EH FRQVLGHUHG
PDQGDWRU\UHJDUGOHVVRIWKHPRGHOOLQJDSSURDFKHPSOR\HG
FIG 13 - Limitations inherent in inverse distance interpolation may produce surfaces that do not match what would be constructed intuitively by geologists.
Surfaces interpolated using inverse distance techniques will never contain estimated values greater than the maximum, or less than the minimum value
present in data (within the specified search radius), producing artefacts in modelled surfaces.
170
Best Practice in Coal Exploration and Resource Evaluation|A Waltho, S Kristensen and C Harman
PDNLQJLWDSRWHQWLDOFDQGLGDWHIRUVXFFHVVIXOGHYHORSPHQW
$Q\ZHOOGHYHORSHGWDUJHWFDQEHUHSUHVHQWHGRQSODQVDQG
VHFWLRQVWKDWLOOXVWUDWHWKHXQGHUO\LQJJHRORJLFDOFRQFHSWZLWK
FRQVLGHUDEOHFODULW\7KHVHSODQVDQGVHFWLRQVDUHHVVHQWLDOO\
WKHEDVLVRIDJHRORJLFDOPRGHO7KHJHRORJLFDOULJRXULQYROYHG
LQ GHYHORSLQJ D FRQFHSWXDO YLHZ RI WKH WDUJHW LV PRUH WKDQ
PD\EHUHTXLUHGWRJDLQPDQDJHPHQWDSSURYDOIRUSURSRVHG
H[SORUDWLRQ LQ PDQ\ FDVHV 7KH ZRUN LQYROYHG KRZHYHU
SURYLGHVDEDVLVIRUDFWXDOO\WHVWLQJWKHFRQFHSWIURPWKHUVW
GULOOKROH
7KH H[SORUDWLRQ PRGHO GHYHORSHG E\ WKLV DSSURDFK
EHFRPHVDEDVLVIRUSODQQLQJWKHSURSRVHGGULOOLQJSURJUDP
DQG IDFLOLWDWHV DQ LPPHGLDWH LQIRUPHG DVVHVVPHQW RI WKH
LPSOLFDWLRQV RI GHSDUWXUHV IURP WKH FRQFHSW UDWKHU WKDQ
ZDLWLQJ IRU D SLFWXUH RI WKH WDUJHW WR GHYHORS IROORZLQJ
WKH FRPSOHWLRQ RI VHYHUDO GULOO KROHV ,Q SUDFWLFH DQ\ FRDO
H[SORUDWLRQ ZRUN LV UDUHO\ XQGHUWDNHQ ZLWKRXW VRPH
JXLGDQFHSURYLGHGE\H[LVWLQJGULOOLQJFRPSOHWHGHLWKHUE\
FRPSHWLWRUVJRYHUQPHQWDJHQFLHVRULQFUHDVLQJO\FRDOVHDP
JDVDQGSHWUROHXPH[SORUHUVLQWKHUHJLRQ
,QHVVHQFHWHVWLQJDZHOOGHQHGWDUJHWUDWKHUWKDQVLPSO\
GULOOLQJ WR WHVW D UHODWLYHO\ YDJXH FRQFHSW LV DQ HIIHFWLYH
WHFKQLFDOULVNPDQDJHPHQWWRRO0DQDJLQJWHFKQLFDOULVNVRI
WKLVQDWXUHLVDFRUHUHVSRQVLELOLW\RIH[SORUDWLRQPDQDJHUV
Resource classification
5HVRXUFHV PXVW EH FODVVLHG LQ DQ DSSURSULDWH PDQQHU
WDNLQJDFFRXQWRIWKHGLVWULEXWLRQDQGIUHTXHQF\RISRLQWVRI
REVHUYDWLRQIURPERWKPDSSLQJRIRXWFURSVDQGRWKHUIRUPV
RI H[SRVXUHV VXFK DV WUHQFKHV FRVWHDQV DQG GULOO KROHV DQG
WKH YDULDELOLW\ HYLGHQW LQ ERWK VWUXFWXUDO DQG FRDO TXDOLW\
SDUDPHWHUV XVHG WR DVVHVV WKH HFRQRPLF SRWHQWLDO RI WKH
5HVRXUFH
*XLGHOLQHVWKDWLQIHUDQDVVRFLDWLRQEHWZHHQVSHFLFGULOO
KROH VSDFLQJV DQG FDWHJRULHV XVHG WR FODVVLI\ 5HVRXUFHV IRU
UHSRUWLQJ SXUSRVHV PXVW EH FRQVLGHUHG DV EHLQJ DGYLVRU\
RQO\ 'LVWDQFHV SHUPLWWHG EHWZHHQ SRLQWV RI REVHUYDWLRQ
DUH DOORZDEOH PD[LPXP GLVWDQFHV SHUPLWWHG IRU GLIIHUHQW
FDWHJRULHV RI 5HVRXUFHV DQG SURYLGHG DV JXLGDQFH IRU
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV RU 4XDOLHG 3HUVRQV EXW DUH QRW
UHFRPPHQGHG RU SUHVFULEHG GLVWDQFHV XQGHU &5,56&2
EDVHGUHSRUWLQJV\VWHPV&5,56&2:LGHO\UHIHUHQFHG
H[DPSOHV RI WKHVH JXLGHOLQHV LQFOXGH WKH *HRORJLFDO 6XUYH\
RI &DQDGD 3DSHU %% +XJKHV .ODW]HO0XGU\ DQG
1LNROV DQG WKH $XVWUDOLDQ *XLGHOLQHV IRU (VWLPDWLQJ
DQG 5HSRUWLQJ RI ,QYHQWRU\ &RDO &RDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG &RDO
5HVHUYHV&*&16:40&&5,56&2EDVHGUHSRUWLQJ
V\VWHPV LQFOXGH ERWK WKH -25& &RGH -25& DQG WKH
&DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP
&,0 'HQLWLRQ 6WDQGDUGV IRU 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG
0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV &,0 UHIHUHQFHG E\ WKH &DQDGLDQ
1DWLRQDO ,QVWUXPHQW SXEOLF UHSRUWLQJ VWDQGDUG
2QWDULR6HFXULWLHV&RPPLVVLRQUHVSHFWLYHO\
7KHUH DUH RI FRXUVH 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH UHSRUWLQJ
V\VWHPV ZKHUH WKH XVH RI VSHFLF GULOO KROH DQG VDPSOLQJ
SDWWHUQVLQRUGHUWRFODVVLI\([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWVDQG5HVRXUFHV
LQDUDQJHRIFDWHJRULHVLVPDQGDWHG$QXPEHURIFRXQWULHV
LQFOXGLQJ&KLQD0RQJROLDWKH5XVVLDQ)HGHUDWLRQDQGVRPH
IRUPHU6RYLHW8QLRQ)68FRXQWULHVUHWDLQV\VWHPVRIWKLV
W\SH EXW WKHLU XVH LV EHFRPLQJ LQFUHDVLQJO\ UHVWULFWHG WR
VWDWXWRU\ UHSRUWLQJ ZKHUH WKLV DSSURDFK LV XVHG LQ SDUDOOHO
ZLWK &5,56&2EDVHG DSSURDFKHV E\ UHSRUWLQJ E\ SXEOLF
FRPSDQLHVWRVHFXULWLHVH[FKDQJHV7KHPRVWUHFHQWH[DPSOH
RIDGRSWLQJDSDUDOOHOUHSRUWLQJV\VWHPLVWKDWRI5XVVLDZKHUH
WKH 5XVVLDQ PLQHUDOV LQGXVWU\ VLJQHG D SURWRFRO WR EULQJ
LWV 5HVRXUFH UHSRUWLQJ V\VWHPV LQ OLQH ZLWK WKH &5,56&2
WHPSODWHLQ
8QGHU&5,56&2FRPSOLDQWUHSRUWLQJV\VWHPV&RPSHWHQW
RU 4XDOLHG 3HUVRQV GHQHG E\ WKH UHOHYDQW UHSRUWLQJ
VWDQGDUG DUH UHTXLUHG WR H[HUFLVH JHRORJLFDO MXGJHPHQW
DQG PRVW LPSRUWDQWO\ SURYLGH D PDWHULDO DQG WUDQVSDUHQW
GLVFORVXUHRIWKHEDVLVIRUFRQVLGHULQJPDWHULDOWRFRQVWLWXWH
D5HVRXUFHDQGIRUFODVVLI\LQJSRUWLRQVRIWKDW5HVRXUFHLQD
PDQQHUFRQVLVWHQWZLWKSUHVFULEHGFODVVLFDWLRQFULWHULD
171
Model construction
$ VWURQJ FDVH FDQ EH PDGH IRU D FRQYHQWLRQDO DSSURDFK WR
JHRORJLFDO PRGHO GHYHORSPHQW E\ GUDZLQJ LQWHUSUHWHG
JHRORJ\ RQ FURVVVHFWLRQV RQ SDSHU RU E\ GLJLWLVLQJ WKH
JHRORJLFDO ERXQGDULHV RQ VFUHHQ HLWKHU RI ZKLFK ZLOO EH
XVHGDVUHIHUHQFHVXUIDFHVLQJHRORJLFDOPRGHOGHYHORSPHQW
7KLVVKRXOGEHXQGHUWDNHQRQDSSURSULDWHO\RULHQWHGFURVV
VHFWLRQV SUHIHUDEO\ ERWK SDUDOOHO DQG SHUSHQGLFXODU WR WKH
SUHYDLOLQJ RU UHJLRQDO GLS GLUHFWLRQ 'XULQJ WKH SURFHVV RI
FRQYHUWLQJ WKHVH JHRORJLFDO ERXQGDULHV LQWR REMHFWV XVHG
WR KHOS FRQVWUXFW WKH JHRORJLFDO PRGHO RI WKH GHSRVLW EHLQJ
HYDOXDWHG
GULOOKROHGDWDVKRXOGEHSUHFLVHO\KRQRXUHGE\VQDSSLQJ
WRWKHDSSURSULDWHSRLQWVLQGULOOKROHV
WKH GLJLWLVHG VXUIDFHV VKRXOG KRQRXU VWUXFWXUDO
REVHUYDWLRQV EHGGLQJ GLS DQG VWULNH REVHUYDWLRQV
DFTXLUHG IURP RULHQWHG FRUH RU GRZQKROH ORJJLQJ IURP
GULOOKROHV
Best Practice in Coal Exploration and Resource Evaluation|A Waltho, S Kristensen and C Harman
&KHFNVDSSOLHGE\VRIWZDUHGRQRWDPRXQWWRYDOLGDWLRQLW
UHTXLUHVDPRUHWKRURXJKUHYLHZRIGDWDWKDQHQVXULQJWKDW
DVHWRIVLPSOHUXOHVDVVHVVLQJIXQGDPHQWDOGDWDLQWHJULW\DUH
VDWLVHG
7KHUH ZLOO EH LQVWDQFHV ZKHUH WKH DFWXDO VWUXFWXUHV
SUHVHQWZLWKLQDGHSRVLWDUHWRRFRPSOH[WREHPHDQLQJIXOO\
LQWHUSUHWHGXVLQJDYDLODEOHGULOOLQJPDSSLQJDQGJHRSK\VLFDO
GDWD,QWKHVHVLWXDWLRQVWKHDIIHFWHGDUHDZLWKLQWKHGHSRVLW
QHHGV WR EH FOHDUO\ LGHQWLHG DQG ZKLOH HVWLPDWLRQ RI FRDO
YROXPHV DQG TXDOLW\ ZLWKLQ WKH DIIHFWHG UHJLRQV PD\ EH
SRVVLEOHWKHUHGXFHGFRQGHQFHLQKHUHQWLQWKHVHHVWLPDWHV
PD\ EH HIIHFWLYHO\ FRPPXQLFDWHG WR RWKHU XVHUV RI WKH
JHRORJLFDODQG5HVRXUFHPRGHO
KRZJHRVWDWLVWLFDOPHWKRGVPD\EHDSSOLHGHIIHFWLYHO\LQ
SURGXFLQJ HVWLPDWHV WKDW KRQRXU JHRORJLFDO IHDWXUHV HJ
VHDPURRIRRUHOHYDWLRQDQGVHDPWKLFNQHVVRUDQ\FRDO
TXDOLW\ SDUDPHWHU WR EH FRQVLGHUHG LQ DQ DVVHVVPHQW RI
&RDO5HVRXUFHVHYLGHQWLQGDWD
VSDWLDO FRQWLQXLW\ HYLGHQW LQ ERWK VWUXFWXUDO DQG FRDO
TXDOLW\GDWD
ZKHUH WHFKQLFDO ULVN LQ D GHSRVLW LV SRWHQWLDOO\ PRUH
SURQRXQFHG WKDQ LQ RWKHU DUHDV DQG IXUWKHU ZRUN LV
FRQVHTXHQWO\UHTXLUHG
7KHXVHRIJHRVWDWLVWLFDOPHWKRGVLQFRDOUHVRXUFHHYDOXDWLRQ
KDV VXIIHUHG LQ WKH SDVW IURP D SHUFHSWLRQ WKDW VXIFLHQW
GDWD LV UDUHO\ DYDLODEOH WR FRQVWUXFW UHSUHVHQWDWLYH VHPL
YDULRJUDPV IURP ZKLFK DSSURSULDWH HVWLPDWLRQ SDUDPHWHUV
FDQ EH GHULYHG ,Q PDQ\ FDVHV WKLV PD\ UHHFW D ODFN RI
YDULDELOLW\LQGDWDEHWZHHQSRLQWVRIREVHUYDWLRQRUGULOOLQJ
RQDUHJXODUJULGFUHDWLQJDVKRUWDJHRIFORVHO\VSDFHGGDWD
SRLQWVDNH\SDUWRIWKHVHPLYDULRJUDP7KHVHVKRUWFRPLQJV
DUH HDVLO\ UHVROYHG WKURXJK MXGLFLRXV H[DPLQDWLRQ RI GDWD
*HRVWDWLVWLFDO PHWKRGV DUH ZLGHO\ DSSOLHG LQ WKH SHWUROHXP
LQGXVWU\ZKHUHVSDUVHGDWDLVYHU\PXFKWKHRUGHURIWKHGD\
:KHUHDSSOLHGZLWKVXIFLHQWNQRZOHGJHRIGHSRVLWJHRORJ\
EDVHGRQREVHUYDWLRQVRULQWHUSUHWDWLRQVLQQHZO\GLVFRYHUHG
GHSRVLWV HYHQ UHODWLYHO\ VLPSOH JHRVWDWLVWLFDO PHWKRGV
DUJXDEO\ SURYLGH JHRORJLFDOO\ GHIHQVLEOH UREXVW HVWLPDWHV
RI VHDP VWUXFWXUH URRI RU RRU HOHYDWLRQ DQG WKLFNQHVV RU
FRDOTXDOLW\DWWULEXWHV2WKHUJHRVWDWLVWLFDOPHWKRGVPD\DOVR
EHXVHGWRLOOXVWUDWHWKHSRWHQWLDOIRURWKHULQWHUSUHWDWLRQVRI
GDWDE\SUHVHQWLQJDOWHUQDWLYHEXWHTXDOO\SUREDEOHPRGHOVRI
ERWKVHDPWKLFNQHVVDQGFRDOTXDOLW\HVWLPDWHV
CONCLUSIONS
*HRORJLVWV HQJDJHG LQ FRDO H[SORUDWLRQ DQG UHVRXUFH
HYDOXDWLRQ IDFH FRQVLGHUDEOH FKDOOHQJHV &RQVLGHUDEOH
SURJUHVV KDV EHHQ PDGH LQ D QXPEHU RI DUHDV LQFOXGLQJ
JHRSK\VLFDO ORJJLQJ V\VWHPV DQG WHFKQLTXHV WR DVVHVV
DOWHUQDWLYH LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV RI JHRORJLFDO GDWD :LWK WKHVH
DGYDQFHV KRZHYHU RWKHU WUDGLWLRQDO UHVRXUFH HYDOXDWLRQ
WHFKQLTXHVVKRXOGQRWEHLJQRUHGLQWKDWWKH\PD\SURYLGH
ULJRXULQJHRORJLFDOSUDFWLFHVPLVVLQJIURPDSSURDFKHVEDVHG
RQQHZHUWHFKQRORJLHV*HRORJLFDOPDSSLQJDQGWKHH[HUFLVH
RIMXGJHPHQWDQGH[SHULHQFHLQLQWHUSUHWLQJGULOOLQJUHVXOWV
UHPDLQ LPSRUWDQW EXW DUJXDEO\ XQGHUXWLOLVHG WRROV 0RGHOV
RI GDWD SURGXFHG E\ PLQLQJ VRIWZDUH PXVW EH VXEMHFWHG WR
FORVH VFUXWLQ\ DQG DGMXVWHG LI IRXQG WR KDYH VKRUWFRPLQJV
6LPLODUO\ JHRVWDWLVWLFDO PHWKRGV IRU ERWK VWUXFWXUDO DQG
FRDO TXDOLW\ PRGHOOLQJ KDYH DSSOLFDWLRQV LQ HQVXULQJ WKDW
JHRORJLFDOWUHQGVDQGSDWWHUQVDUHUHSUHVHQWHGLQPRGHOVRQ
ZKLFK IXUWKHU VWXGLHV ZLOO EH EDVHG 7KH LVVXH RI DSSDUHQW
FRQWLQXLW\RIFRDOTXDOLW\JUDGHDQGERWKSULPDU\EHGGLQJ
WKLFNQHVV DQG RULHQWDWLRQ DQG VHFRQGDU\ IDXOWLQJ DQG
IROGLQJVWUXFWXUHLQSRRUO\VDPSOHGSDUWVRIDGHSRVLWDOVR
QHHGVWREHDVVHVVHGFDUHIXOO\
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
173
)URPDTXDOLW\YLHZSRLQWFRDOLVVRPHZKDWXQLTXHLQKDYLQJ
D UDQJH RI FKDUDFWHULVWLFV WKDW QHHG WR EH FDUHIXOO\ DVVHVVHG
LQ RUGHU WR PD[LPLVH WKH UHVRXUFH SRWHQWLDO DQG HQVXUH
LWV HIIHFWLYH DQG VXVWDLQDEOH XWLOLVDWLRQ )HZ FRPPRGLWLHV
GHOLYHU PXOWLSOH SURGXFWV ZLWK GLVWLQFWO\ GLIIHUHQW HQG XVHV
LQWKHPDQQHUWKDWFRDOGRHV(DFKSURGXFWQHHGVWRKDYHLWV
VSHFLFDWWULEXWHVGHWHUPLQHGGXULQJDQDO\VLVRIH[SORUDWLRQ
VDPSOHVVRWKDWWKHVSOLWEHWZHHQSURGXFWVDQGFRQVHTXHQWO\
WKHUHVXOWLQJYDOXHRIWKHFRDOPD\EHRSWLPLVHG
)LUWK'/RJDQDO\VLVIRUPLQLQJDSSOLFDWLRQV5HHYHV:LUHOLQH
6HUYLFHVXQSXEOLVKHG
REFERENCES
174
'HHUH'8DQG'HHUH':7KHURFNTXDOLW\GHVLJQDWLRQ54'
LQGH[ LQ SUDFWLFH LQ 5RFN &ODVVLFDWLRQ 6\VWHPV IRU (QJLQHHULQJ
Purposes$670673HG/.LUNDOGLHSS$PHULFDQ
6RFLHW\IRU7HVWLQJDQG0DWHULDOV3KLODGHOSKLD
)HUP - & DQG :HLVHQXK * $ &RUHG URFNV RI WKH VRXWKHUQ
$SSDODFKLDQFRDOHOGV.HQWXFN\*HRORJLFDO6XUYH\
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Consultant, Apartment 8, Building 7, Strada Unirii, Selimbar, Judetal Sibiu 557260, Romania. Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM, Consultant, Perth, Western Australia. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
0LQHUDOGHSRVLWVDQGWKHOLWKRORJLHVWKDWKRVWWKHPDUHDOZD\V
WKUHHGLPHQVLRQDO ' $V VXFK DQ\ DWWHPSW WR PRGHO WKH
JHRORJ\ DQG PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ PXVW WDNH D ' DSSURDFK 7KLV
SDSHUDWWHPSWVWROLVWVRPHGRVDQGGRQWVWKDWPD\DVVLVWLQ
GHYHORSLQJDULJRURXV'PLQHUDOLVDWLRQDQGJHRORJLFDOPRGHO
$UREXVWDQGZHOOVWUXFWXUHGUHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVHVKRXOGEH
IXQGDPHQWDOWREXLOGLQJDVROLGJHRORJLFDODQGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
PRGHO7KHGDWDEDVHZLOOEHWKHUHFHSWDFOHRIDOOGDWDFROOHFWHG
IRUWKHSURMHFWLQTXHVWLRQ,WLVRXWVLGHWKHVFRSHRIWKLVSDSHU
WR GLVFXVV WKH VWUXFWXUH RI DQ LGHDO GDWDEDVH KRZHYHU LW
VKRXOGEHFRQVWUXFWHGVXFKWKDWGLIIHUHQWW\SHVRILQIRUPDWLRQ
FDQ EH VWRUHG DORQJ ZLWK WKHLU XQLTXH LQWHUYDO OHQJWKV )RU
H[DPSOHDVVD\GDWDFRXOGEHFROOHFWHGDWDURXWLQHRQHPHWUH
LQWHUYDOZKLOHERXQGDULHVRIJHRORJLFDOLQWHUYDOVLQFRUHDUH
UHFRUGHGRQDFHQWLPHWUHVFDOHDQGVXUYH\GDWDLVUHWDLQHGDV
GRZQKROHSRLQWGDWD
7KHUH DUH VHYHUDO JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ SURGXFWV HLWKHU
SDUW RI JHQHUDO PLQLQJ SDFNDJHV RU VWDQGDORQH SURGXFWV
WKDW JUHDWO\ IDFLOLWDWH WKH GHYHORSPHQW DQG YDOLGDWLRQ RI
D JHRORJLFDO DQGRU PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ PRGHO 7KH SULQFLSDO
SKLORVRSK\ EHKLQG WKH QHZ JHQHUDWLRQ RI JHRORJLFDO
PRGHOOLQJ VRIWZDUH LV WKH SUHIHUHQFH RI LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ
175
FIG 1 - Comparison of ungrouped and grouped geological logging data in a typical cross-section. (A) Ungrouped
geological data; (B) grouped geological data (flow-tops light blue, post-flow intrusions pink, flows purple).
176
The Dos and Donts of Geological and Grade Boundary Models and What You Can Do About It| J F H Barnes and B L Gossage
FRKHUHQW GLVSOD\ SOHDVH QRWH WKDW IRU WKH JUHDW PDMRULW\ RI
JXUHVLQWKLVSDSHUWKHVFDOHLVLUUHOHYDQWWKHSKHQRPHQD
FDQEHREVHUYHGDWDOPRVWDQ\VFDOH,Q)LJXUHWKHVHFWLRQV
GLVSOD\ D VHTXHQFH RI YROFDQLFV DQG DQ DWWHPSW KDG EHHQ
PDGHWRVXEGLYLGHWKHLQWHUQDOFRQVWLWXHQWVRIHDFKRZHJ
WKHEDVHFHQWUHRZWRSLQWHUQDOEUHFFLDVHWF
$Q HVVHQWLDO WRRO LQ WKLV SURFHVV LV WR HQVXUH WKDW HYHU\
KROH KDV D VXPPDU\ ORJ 0RVW FRPSUHKHQVLYH JHRORJLFDO
PRGHOOLQJ DQG GDWDEDVH SDFNDJHV KDYH IDFLOLWLHV WR UHDGLO\
SURGXFH FOHDU JUDSKLFDO VXPPDU\ ORJV DV SDUW RI WKH
RYHUDOO YDOLGDWLRQ SURFHVV 3URGXFLQJ DQG SULQWLQJ RXW
WKHVH VXPPDU\ ORJV VKRXOG EH DQ HVVHQWLDO UVW VWHS LQ WKH
PRGHOOLQJ SURFHVV )LJXUH VKRZV DQ H[DPSOH RI D W\SLFDO
VXPPDU\ORJSURGXFHGE\PRVWUHODWLRQDOGDWDEDVHVRIWZDUH
7KH VXPPDU\ ORJ FOHDUO\ GLVSOD\V DOO NH\ SDUDPHWHUV
LQFOXGLQJ VDPSOHG DQG ORJJHG LQWHUYDOV ZKLFK PD\ QRW
EH WKH VDPH DVVD\ GDWD JHRORJLFDO SDUDPHWHUV VXFK DV
OLWKRORJ\ ZHDWKHULQJ DOWHUQDWLRQ SUHVHQFH DQG LQWHQVLW\
RI YHLQLQJ NH\ PLQHUDORJ\ JHRWHFKQLFDO SDUDPHWHUV DQG
DQ\ JHRSK\VLFDO SDUDPHWHUV WKDW KDYH EHHQ UHFRUGHG 7KH
UHODWLRQVKLSVEHWZHHQWKHYDULRXVVHWVRIGDWDFDQEHUHDGLO\
REVHUYHG
REVHUYDWLRQV WR EH LGHQWLHG RQ WKH \ VR WKDW DSSDUHQW
DQRPDOLHV FDQ EH FKHFNHG XQWLO WKH GDWDEDVH LV DW OHDVW
LQWHUQDOO\FRKHUHQW
DATA REVIEW
Reviewing options
5HYLHZLQJ\RXUGDWDLVOLNHO\WREHWKHPRVWLPSRUWDQWDQG
WLPHFRQVXPLQJ SDUW RI WKH JHRORJLFDO DQG PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
PRGHOOLQJSURFHVV)RUDVWDUWWKHUHLVDSODFHIRUERWKKDUGFRS\
DQGGLJLWDODSSURDFKHVLQWKHGDWDUHYLHZ6HWVRIVXLWDEO\
VFDOHGUHIHUHQFHFURVVVHFWLRQSORWVVKRZLQJDOOWKHNH\GDWD
DORQJZLWKVXPPDU\ORJVIRUHDFKKROHDUHMXVWDVLPSRUWDQW
DV LQWHUURJDWLQJ WKH GDWD GLJLWDOO\ LQ WKUHH GLPHQVLRQV ,W LV
VXUSULVLQJZKDWFDQEHUHYHDOHGIURPDFDUHIXODQGUHSHDWHG
UHYLHZRIVHWVRIUHIHUHQFHFURVVVHFWLRQVLIRQO\WRLGHQWLI\
ZKHUHJODULQJGDWDPLVPDWFKHVVWLOORFFXU+RZHYHUDVZHOO
TABLE 1
Dos and donts of organising your data.
Do
Dont
Assume that orientations and structures are going to be normal to the drill section and
oblique to the drill hole direction.
If mineralisation is not irrevocably visual ensure that all drilling has been assayed
throughout its length there is no argument for not collecting a sample for a $20 assay
when it has cost you $250 to get the metre of material into the tray.
Ensure you have an interpreted lithology field and keep the original observations
separate.
Ensure you have logged the relevant data for the different types of weathering profile.
Ensure you have a topographic model that is suitable for the project requirements.
Check that the structural measurements make sense and have been properly collected
(do the orientations match outcrop observations?).
Take as many density (that is bulk density and not specific gravity) measurements as
possible at least one every 3 m in core.
Mix up bulk density with specific gravity (if your rock sequence has any porosity you
need to measure bulk density not specific gravity).
Assess your data at a scale relevant to the resource requirements (dont try to
model 10 cm pegmatite veins if the project is going to be mined on 15 m benches).
Group and collate the data to simplify it before making it complex.
Get caught up in detail before sorting out the broad picture use summary logs from
the get-go.
Be tempted to put a fault between and parallel to two drill hole traces because the
logging does not make sense this just tells you that something is wrong.
177
The Dos and Donts of Geological and Grade Boundary Models and What You Can Do About It| J F H Barnes and B L Gossage
DV SDSHU VHFWLRQV WKHUH LV D FULWLFDO UHTXLUHPHQW WR YLHZ WKH
GDWD LQ WKUHH GLPHQVLRQV SDUWLFXODUO\ ORRNLQJ IRU SOXQJHV
RU PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ RULHQWDWLRQV WKDW DUH QRW QRUPDO WR WKH
FKRVHQGULOOVHFWLRQOLQHV,QIDFWLWLVDOPRVWDFHUWDLQW\WKDW
WKHFKRVHQGULOOVHFWLRQRULHQWDWLRQZLOOQRWEHH[DFWO\QRUPDO
WRWKHGHSRVLWVSULQFLSDOD[HVRIRULHQWDWLRQ
Weathering
)RU PDQ\ GHSRVLWV SDUWLFXODUO\ ZKHUH ZHDWKHULQJ KDV
EHHQ DQ LPSRUWDQW FRPSRQHQW RI WKH JHRORJLFDO KLVWRU\
LW LV HVVHQWLDO WR HVWDEOLVK WKH WKUHH ZHDWKHULQJ SUROHV
WKH JHRORJLVWV SUROH WKH PHWDOOXUJLVWV SUROH DQG WKH
HQJLQHHUV SUROH $V D FUXGH VLPSOLFDWLRQ D JHRORJLVW
PLJKWIRFXVRQWKHGHJUHHRIZHDWKHULQJRIWKHFRPSRQHQW
VLOLFDWH PLQHUDORJ\ WKH PHWDOOXUJLVW ZLOO EH LQWHUHVWHG LQ
WKH UVW DSSHDUDQFH RI VXOGHV LQ WKH SUROH DQG WKH ODVW
DSSHDUDQFH RI DQ\ FKHPLFDO ZHDWKHULQJ DV WKLV FRXOG
FULWLFDOO\ DIIHFW WKH PHWDOOXUJLFDO UHVSRQVH RI WKH RUH DQG
WKHHQJLQHHUZLOOORRNDWWKHSUROHLQWHUPVRILWVPDWHULDOV
KDQGOLQJFKDUDFWHULVWLFV7KHVHGLIIHUHQWVHWVRIERXQGDULHV
PD\ QRW PDWFK RU HYHQ EH SDUDOOHO WR HDFK RWKHU DQG PD\
RU PD\ QRW IRUP D OD\HU FDNH DUUDQJHPHQW &RPPRQO\
GLIIHUHQW SDUWV RI WKH ZHDWKHULQJ SUROH FDQ EH UHSHDWHG
LQ WKUHH GLPHQVLRQV GHSHQGLQJ RQ WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ DQG
ORFDWLRQRIOLWKRORJLHVDQGVWUXFWXUHV
179
TABLE 2
Dos and donts of data review.
Do
Dont
Produce reference drill sections at an appropriate scale you may need several sheets to
display all the relevant data.
Assume that the drill section orientation is normal to the principal orientation of
lithologies, structures and mineralisation. You are very lucky if it does occur. The
reference sections are just that, a method of displaying the same types of data as those
displayed in summary logs.
Assume that simply interpreting drill sections and then joining up the adjacent sections
to form a wireframe is the answer. If a manual method of interpretation is chosen then
this is just the beginning (you will have to recheck and re-wire in a minimum of two
other orthogonal directions).
Try to immediately review the un-grouped data as you will probably suffer from
information overload.
Use colour and indicator assignment techniques to remove visual distractions do this
for each relevant set of data.
Fall victim to directional bias based on interpreting normal to the drill hole direction.
Demonstrate appropriate levels of continuity, particularly with grade data (the chances
are that the mineralisation indicator grade will be significantly lower than the economic
cut-off grade).
Try to interpret mineralisation boundaries at elevated cut-off grades (ie the potentially
economic cut-off grade) unless you can demonstrate continuity in 3D.
Check that the weathering profile looks geologically realistic it may repeat at depth.
For example, dont try to model 10 cm pegmatite veins if the project is going to be
mined on 15 m benches).
Get caught up in detail before sorting out the broad picture use summary logs from
the get-go.
Establish the geological, structural and mineralisation sequence as soon as possible and
continue to test the hypotheses.
Be tempted to put a fault between and parallel to two drill hole traces because the
logging does not make sense this just tells you that something is wrong.
Mineralisation models
Assumptions
7R FRQVWUXFW PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ PRGHOV IRU WKH SXUSRVH RI
JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ D FRPELQDWLRQ RI JHRORJLFDO DQG HFRQRPLF
SDUDPHWHUV DUH UHTXLUHG LQFOXGLQJ WKH OLNHO\ PLQLQJ
H[SORLWDWLRQ PHWKRG :KLOH WKH JHRORJ\ GRHV QRW YDU\ LW
LV LPSRUWDQW WR XQGHUVWDQG WKDW WKH VFDOH DQG QDWXUH RI WKH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQZLOOEHGHSHQGHQWLQPDQ\FDVHVRQDVVXPSWLRQV
UHODWLQJWRWKHSURSRVHGVFDOHDQGPHWKRGRIPLQLQJ
Cut-off grades
$ YHU\ FRPPRQ LVVXH LQ PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ PRGHOOLQJ LV WKH
FKRLFH RI FXWRII JUDGH XVHG WR GHQH WKH PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQH
ERXQGDU\ ,I WKH SUREOHP LV FRPSOH[ ZKHQ D VLQJOH PHWDO
RU PDWHULDO RI LQWHUHVW LV EHLQJ DVVHVVHG WKHQ WKH GHJUHH RI
FRPSOH[LW\ PXOWLSOLHV JHRPHWULFDOO\ ZKHQ SRO\PHWDOOLF
GHSRVLWV DUH EHLQJ PRGHOOHG 7KH FKRLFH RI WKH DSSURSULDWH
FXW RI JUDGH FDQ FRPPRQO\ EH UHGXFHG WR RQH RI WZR NH\
DSSURDFKHV WKH XVH RI D PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LQGLFDWRU FXWRII
JUDGHDVRSSRVHGWRDQHFRQRPLFEUHDNHYHQFXWRIIJUDGH
7KHFRUUHFWPHWKRGRIFXWRIIJUDGHGHQLWLRQIRUWKHGHSRVLW
LQTXHVWLRQGHSHQGVRQDODUJHQXPEHURIYDULDEOHVHDFKRI
ZKLFKQHHGVWREHDVVHVVHGDQGLQFOXGHWKHIROORZLQJ
Compositing
$NH\DVSHFWRIPRGHOOLQJWKHJHRPHWU\RIPLQHUDOLVHG]RQHV
LVGHWHUPLQLQJWKHDSSURSULDWHFRPSRVLWLQJPHWKRGDQGVL]H
,WLVRIWHQFULWLFDOWRDVVHVV\RXUGDWDDWDVFDOHUHOHYDQWWRWKH
180
The Dos and Donts of Geological and Grade Boundary Models and What You Can Do About It| J F H Barnes and B L Gossage
XSSHUPRVWSDUWVRIWKHGLVWULEXWLRQHJIURPJWWR
JW RU WKUHH RUGHUV RI PDJQLWXGH RU LV WKHUH D FOHDU
EUHDN LQ ZKLFK D KLJKJUDGH SRSXODWLRQ FDQ EH GHQHG
VHSDUDWHO\IURPDORZHUJUDGHEDFNJURXQGSRSXODWLRQ"
,Q WKH UVW FDVH WKH XVH RI D ORZJUDGH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
LQGLFDWRUFXWRIIJUDGHLVSUREDEO\WKHEHVWFKRLFHZKLOH
WKH VHFRQG FDVH FRXOG UHTXLUH WKH XVH RI DQ LQFUHDVHG
ORZHU FXWRII JUDGH DQGRU VHSDUDWH GRPDLQLQJ 7KLV LV
DQ H[WUHPHO\ FRPSOH[ TXHVWLRQ WKDW UHTXLUHV GHWDLOHG
DVVHVVPHQWERWKVWDWLVWLFDOO\DQGLQ'DVLWLVDOVRFORVHO\
OLQNHG ZLWK WKH SURSRVHG PHWKRG RI JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ
)LJXUHLOOXVWUDWHVFRQWLQXRXVDQGPL[HGSRSXODWLRQVDV
ORJSUREDELOLW\SORWV
B
B
181
C
G
D
H
FIG 6 - Example of viewing data at different indicator cut-offs (plan views through complete data set): (A) indicator transform grade 0.1;
(B) indicator transform grade 0.2; (C) indicator transform grade 0.5; (D) indicator transform grade 1.0; (E) indicator transform grade 2.0;
(F) indicator transform grade 5.0; (G) indicator transform grade 10.0; (H) indicator transform grade 20.0.
182
The Dos and Donts of Geological and Grade Boundary Models and What You Can Do About It| J F H Barnes and B L Gossage
WKHERXQGDU\WKHXVHRIDKDUGERXQGDU\IRUPLQHUDOLVHG]RQH
GHQLWLRQ LV OLNHO\ WR EH DSSURSULDWH ZKLOH D VWHDG\ FKDQJH
LQ PHDQ JUDGH VXJJHVWV WKDW WKH FKRVHQ PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQH
ERXQGDU\LVQRWWKHFRUUHFWRQHIRUPLQHUDOLVHG]RQHGHQLWLRQ
RUWKDWGDWDPD\QHHGWREHVKDUHGDFURVVWKHGHQHGGRPDLQ
ERXQGDULHV)LJXUHVKRZVH[DPSOHVRIERXQGDU\DQDO\VHV
Boundary analysis
$QRWKHU FULWLFDO FRPSRQHQW RI PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQH ERXQGDU\
GHQLWLRQ LV ERXQGDU\ DQDO\VLV ZKHUHLQ D FKHFN LV PDGH DV
WR ZKHWKHU WKH FKRVHQ FXWRII JUDGH RU ERXQGDU\ GHQLWLRQ
FRPSRQHQWVUHSUHVHQWDKDUGERXQGDU\ZKHUHWKHUHLVDFOHDU
EUHDN LQ JUDGH WHQRU DFURVV WKH ERXQGDU\ RU VRIW ERXQGDU\
ZKHUHWKHUHLVQRVWHSFKDQJHLQJUDGHDFURVVWKHERXQGDU\
%RXQGDU\ DQDO\VLV LV FDUULHG RXW E\ GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH PHDQ
JUDGHDWDVHULHVRIGLVWDQFHLQFUHPHQWVDZD\IURPERWKVLGHV
RIDERXQGDU\,IWKHUHLVDFOHDUVWHSLQPHDQJUDGHVDFURVV
$QRWKHUDVSHFWRIPLQHUDOLVHG]RQHERXQGDU\GHQLWLRQRU
GULIWDQDO\VLVZLWKLQGHQHG]RQHVLVWRFKHFNIRUFKDQJHVLQ
JUDGHZLWKGLUHFWLRQ7KHVHWHVWVZLOOVKRZZKHWKHUWKHGHSRVLW
H[KLELWVFOHDUO\QHVWHGPLQHUDOLVHG]RQHVRIGLIIHUHQWWHQRUV
IRUH[DPSOHDFOHDUKLJKJUDGH]RQHLQVLGHDEURDGHUPRUH
DPRUSKRXV]RQHRIORZHUJUDGHV:KHUHQHVWHGPLQHUDOLVHG
]RQHV FDQ EH FOHDUO\ LGHQWLHG WKH FKRLFH RI HVWLPDWLRQ
PHWKRG IRUPV DQ HVVHQWLDO SDUW RI WKH SURFHVV RI GHQLQJ
PLQHUDOLVHG]RQHV7KHXVHRIERXQGDU\DQDO\VLVDQGRUGULIW
DQDO\VLVZLOOEHDQLPSRUWDQWFRPSRQHQWLQGHFLGLQJWKHEHVW
HVWLPDWLRQ DSSURDFK RI VXFK QHVWHG PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV )RU
H[DPSOH LI WKH ERXQGDULHV EHWZHHQ WKH ]RQHV RI GLIIHUHQW
WHQRU DUH JUDGDWLRQDO XVH RI D QRQOLQHDU RU QRQVWDWLRQDU\
JHRVWDWLVWLFDOPHWKRGPLJKWEHDEHWWHUFKRLFHWKDQDWWHPSWLQJ
WRPRGHOLQWHUQDO]RQHVZLWKKDUGERXQGDULHVDORQJZLWKWKH
XWLOLVDWLRQRIDOHVVFRPSOH[HVWLPDWLRQDOJRULWKPRQLQWHUQDOO\
FRGHGGDWD:KLOHRXWVLGHWKHVFRSHRIWKLVSDSHUDQRQOLQHDU
HVWLPDWLRQDSSURDFKZRXOGUHTXLUHDSSURSULDWHJHRVWDWLVWLFDO
WHVWVWRGHWHUPLQHWKHFKDUDFWHURIWKHGRPDLQPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
DQGDVXLWDEOHQRQOLQHDUHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRG
183
FRGHG DV LQGLFDWRUV FDQ UHPRYH PXFK RI WKH YLVXDO QRLVH
DVVRFLDWHGZLWKGHSRVLWVZKHUHWKHUHLVFRQVLGHUDEOHLQWHUQDO
' YDULDWLRQ LQ JUDGHV $ SDUWLFXODUO\ XVHIXO DSSURDFK LV
WR VWHDGLO\ LQFUHDVH WKH LQGLFDWRU FXWRII DQG DVVHVV WKH
GDWDLQ'XQWLOWKHSRLQWLVUHDFKHGZKHUHWKHPLQHUDOLVHG
YROXPHV EHJLQ WR EUHDN XS ,I WKH FXWRII JUDGH ZKHUH WKH
GHSRVLWFRQWLQXLW\EHJLQVWREUHDNXSDSSUR[LPDWHVWKHOLNHO\
HFRQRPLF FXWRII JUDGH D SUREDELOLVWLF HVWLPDWLRQ PHWKRG
ZLWKLQ D ORZJUDGH ERXQGDU\ LV PRUH OLNHO\ WR EH D EHWWHU
FKRLFHWKDQDKDUGERXQGDU\DSSURDFKVXFKDVZLUHIUDPLQJ
DWWKHHFRQRPLFFXWRII7KLVLVHVSHFLDOO\WUXHZKHQWDUJHWLQJ
RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ ZLWK LWV FRQFRPLWDQW IUHH VHOHFWLRQ DV
RSSRVHGWRXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJZKHUHIUHHVHOHFWLRQLVQRW
SRVVLEOH 9LHZLQJ WKH JUDGH GDWD FRORXUFRGHG DFFRUGLQJ
WR WHQRU JUHDWO\ DVVLVWV LQ GHWHUPLQLQJ ZKHWKHU KLJKJUDGH
FRUHVRFFXUZLWKLQWKHGHSRVLW*HQHUDOO\WKHJHRPHWU\DQG
WRSRORJ\ RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZLOO QHHG WR EH DVVHVVHG E\
ERWK PHWKRGV EHIRUH FKRRVLQJ WKH PRVW DSSURSULDWH ORZHU
FXWRIIJUDGHWRGHQHWKHPLQHUDOLVHGYROXPHDQGWKHJUDGH
HVWLPDWLRQPHWKRG
:KHQ PRGHOOLQJ PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQH ERXQGDULHV SDUWLFX
ODUO\XVLQJLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJXVHRILQGLFDWRUVUDWKHUWKDQ
UDZ JUDGH GDWD FDQ VLJQLFDQWO\ UHGXFH ERXQGDU\ HIIHFWV
GXH WR LQFRPSOHWH GHQLWLRQ RI EDFNJURXQG GDWD GXULQJ
GULOOLQJDQGVDPSOLQJ5HGXFLQJWKHGDWDWRLQGLFDWRUVOLPLWV
WKHJUDGHUDQJHWREHWZHHQDQGDVRSSRVHGWRDW\SLFDO
JUDGHUDQJHRI[WR[nZKHUHQFDQEHDWOHDVWWKUHHRUGHUV
RIPDJQLWXGH
'RHVWKHGHSRVLWKDYHDQDWXUDOFXWRIIRULVLWJUDGDWLRQDO
DSRLQWWKDWLVFORVHO\DVVRFLDWHGZLWKERXQGDU\DQDO\VLV"
'RHV WKH WRSRORJ\ RI WKH PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV FKDQJH
VLJQLFDQWO\LIWKHFXWRIIJUDGHLVYDULHG"
$WZKDWSRLQWLQWKHJUDGHUDQJHRIWKHGHSRVLWGRHVWKH
HQFORVHGYROXPHEHJLQWREUHDNXS"
,VRVXUIDFLQJ RU LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ FDQ PDWHULDOO\ DVVLVW LQ
DVVHVVLQJ WKH EHVW DSSURDFK WR PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQH GHQLWLRQ
GXHWRLWVVSHHGRILPSOHPHQWDWLRQ,PSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJDOORZV
PDQ\ VFHQDULRV DQG DSSURDFKHV WR EH DVVHVVHG EHIRUH WKH
PRVW DSSURSULDWH JUDGHERXQGDU\ PRGHOOLQJ WHFKQLTXH LV
FKRVHQ7KHNH\LVVXHZLWKDPDQXDORUH[SOLFLWDSSURDFKLV
WKDWDGHFLVLRQRQFXWRIIJUDGHRURWKHUIRUPRIERXQGDU\
GHQLWLRQPXVWEHWDNHQSULRUWRPRGHOOLQJWKH'YROXPH
DQG JHRPHWU\ DQG WKH HQWLUH SURFHVV FDQ WDNH ZHHNV RQ D
FRPSOH[GHSRVLW$VDUHVXOWLWLVWKHDXWKRUVH[SHULHQFHWKDW
JHQHUDOO\RQO\RQHDSSURDFKLVWDNHQZKHQH[SOLFLWRUPDQXDO
GHQLWLRQRIZLUHIUDPHVLVDGRSWHGDQGWKLVLVUDUHO\WHVWHG
RQFHWKHGHFLVLRQKDVEHHQWDNHQ
FIG 9 - Example where zone topology changes with cut-off grade: (A) grade
control drilling array; (B) combined implicit modelling grade shells;
(C) 0.5 grade shell; (D) 1.0 grade shell; (E) 2.0 grade shell; (F) 5.0 grade shell.
DOJRULWKPV WR GDWD ZLWK YDOXH UDQJHV RI VHYHUDO RUGHUV RI
PDJQLWXGH 8VH RI LQGLFDWRUV PLWLJDWHV PDQ\ ERXQGDU\
HIIHFWV FDXVHG E\ WKH LPSHUIHFW VSDWLDO GLVWULEXWLRQ RI
VDPSOLQJ GDWD GXH WR WKH UHGXFWLRQ RI WKH GDWD UDQJH IURP
[ WR [n WR WR :KHQ XVLQJ LQGLFDWRUV ZLWK LPSOLFLW
PRGHOOLQJ WKH WKUHVKROG RU FXWRII YDOXH ZLOO OLH EHWZHHQ
DQG LW UHSUHVHQWV WKH SUREDELOLW\ WKDW WKH QRGH LQ WKH
LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ JULG LV DERYH RU EHORZ WKH FXWRII JUDGH
XVHGLQGHQLQJWKHLQGLFDWRU3UDFWLFDOO\IRUWKHLVRVXUIDFH
WKH GHJUHH RI H[WHQVLRQ DZD\ IURP WKH GDWD SRLQWV FDQ EH
FRQWUROOHG IDU EHWWHU ZLWK LQGLFDWRUV WKDQ ZLWK JUDGH GDWD
8VH RI VWUXFWXUDO VXUIDFHV DQGRU G\QDPLF DQLVRWURSLHV WR
JXLGH WKH RULHQWDWLRQ DQG SOXQJH RI WKH VKHOOLQJ HOOLSVRLG
LQ ' FDQ JUHDWO\ LPSURYH WKH OHYHO RI JHRORJLFDO UHDOLVP
ZKHQXVLQJLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJ)LJXUHVKRZVDQH[DPSOH
ZKHUHLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJZLWKLQGLFDWRUVHIIHFWLYHO\UHPRYHV
VKHOOLQJ DUWHIDFWV SURGXFHG ZKHQ UDZ JUDGH GDWD LV XVHG
LQ WKH VDPH LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ DOJRULWKP LQ )LJXUH WKH
JUDGHVKHOOVDUHGLVSOD\HGLQUHGDQGWKHLQGLFDWRUVKHOOVDUH
GLVSOD\HGLQEOXH,WLVHVVHQWLDOWKDWJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
IRUPVWKHSULPDU\FRQWURORQWKHFKRVHQWKUHVKROGYDOXHLQ
LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ ZLWK LQGLFDWRUV LQ RUGHU WR GHWHUPLQH
ZKHWKHUDJHRORJLFDOO\UHDOLVWLFLVRVXUIDFHKDVEHHQFUHDWHG
,PSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ LV GHQLWHO\ not D EODFN ER[ WHFKQLTXH
\HWLWKDVXQIRUWXQDWHO\EHHQWKHPRVWFRPPRQXVDJHWRGDWH
The Dos and Donts of Geological and Grade Boundary Models and What You Can Do About It| J F H Barnes and B L Gossage
FIG 10 - Comparison of indicator probability coding of drill hole samples, grade and indicator implicit modelling shells: (A) implicit grade modelling
artefacts (red) compared with indicator modelling (blue) in a zone with sparse drilling; (B) implicit grade modelling artefacts (red) compared with
indicator modelling (blue) in a zone with more closely-spaced drilling.
ZLWK WKH W\SH RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ EHLQJ PRGHOOHG 6RPH
H[DPSOHVLQFOXGH
VHFWLRQOLQHVWKHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQLVPRVWSUREDEO\LQFRUUHFWRU
DWOHDVWDZHG
6WURQJJHRORJLFDOJUDGHFRQWUROIRUH[DPSOHDGRPLQDQW
YHLQ KRVW YROFDQRJHQLF PDVVLYH VXOGHV DQG WR D OHVVHU
H[WHQW PLQHUDO VDQGV 7LJKWHU ERXQGDULHV FRQVWUDLQHG
ZLWKLQDJHRORJLFDOXQLWDORQJZLWKWKHXVHRIOLQHDUJUDGH
HVWLPDWLRQ PHWKRGV VXFK DV RUGLQDU\ NULJLQJ LQYHUVH
GLVWDQFHSRZHUZHLJKWLQJHWF7KLVDSSURDFKLVFRPPRQO\
FKDUDFWHULVHGDVDFRQVWUDLQHGUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWH
6WUXFWXUDOO\ FRQWUROOHG EXW FRPSOH[ ' JHRPHWU\ ZLWK
JUDGDWLRQDOJUDGHERXQGDULHVIRUH[DPSOHDQDVWRPRVLQJ
VKHDU ]RQH KRVWHG GHSRVLWV PLQHUDOLVHG YROXPHV WKDW
YDU\VLJQLFDQWO\ZLWKFXWRIIJUDGH/RRVHUERXQGDULHV
GHQHG E\ ORZJUDGH RU PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LQGLFDWRU
ERXQGDULHVDORQJZLWKWKHXVHRIQRQOLQHDUJHRVWDWLVWLFDO
PHWKRGV VXFK DV PXOWLSOH LQGLFDWRU NULJLQJ FRQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQXQLIRUPFRQGLWLRQLQJHWF
7DEOH OLVWV VRPH GRV DQG GRQWV UHODWLQJ WR EXLOGLQJ D
JHRORJLFDODQGRUPLQHUDOLVDWLRQPRGHO
185
TABLE 3
Dos and donts of building a geological and/or mineralisation model.
Do
Dont
Interpret the deposit in 2D on a drill section and then simply join the interpretation with
the next section. The chances are that it will look wrong in other orientations this is
particularly true for deposits with multiple, stacked zones.
At all times think about the deposit and the geology in 3D.
Try to remove as much visual distraction as possible at all times use indicators rather
than colour ranges and set the rest of the data to invisible so you can see the real
orientation of any particular set of data.
Think about the structural sequence and orientations this probably plays the crucial
role in the final 3D arrangement of the deposit.
Dont interpret the grade data in isolation from the geology and alteration.
Consider the best way to produce a realistic 3D model it may be the opposite to what
Dont resort to simple polygonal outlines on cross-sections if you have 3D modelling
might appear logical. For example, in wide, complex, multiple anastomosing shear zones tools (ie implicit modelling tools) available.
it is much better to model the undeformed lozenges in 3D than the shear zones. You
will end up with the same 3D model.
Think of the order of the geological sequence and build the model the same way,
eg build the sedimentary/layered model before intersecting it with intrusive bodies.
Check that all relevant weathering profiles have been modelled and check if they have
repeats or inversions.
Cross-check the interpreted weathering profile with your density data look for
anomalies.
Use 3D shape modelling tools to rapidly test assumptions before committing to an
exhaustive manual interpretation often a well constrained isosurface model will be
more accurate in 3D.
Use Boolean modelling tools to intersect the geological units.
If faults are being modelled, once they have been produced as a 3D surface go back
through the drill logs to look for evidence of them. If the faults are missing
all the drilling then they probably do not exist.
Be tempted to use faults every time the current geological/mineralisation model starts
to break down and especially not parallel to and between drill traces.
As geological units are modelled in 3D, use indicator coded assay data to check the 3D
relationship between the units and the grade data are they parallel or cross-cutting?
Assume grade continuity (in a geological model) unless you can demonstrate it in 3D.
Start with a low indicator cut-off grade and then steadily increase the cut-off until the
mineralised envelope starts to break up. That is as far as you could possibly push the
cut-off grade. It will most probably be below the economic cut-off grade.
TABLE 4
Dos and donts of testing the geological model.
Do
Interrogate and slice the model in multiple orientations as a minimum, the three
principal orthogonal directions; for example, parallel to the drill hole section, normal to
the first sectional orientation (long-section) and in plan.
Dont
Assume that if the model looks good on the drill section it will be ok in other directions
go and check.
Ignore wireframe volume errors unless the model is just to be used as a visual aid.
Check that the data is honoured by the geological model, particularly if it has been
developed by manual methods, including the interpretation being snapped to drilling.
Assume that outlines that have been manually digitised will honour data that is located
off-section.
LQ FXWRII JUDGH FDXVH ' FKDQJHV LQ WKH WRSRORJ\ RI WKH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ PRGHO $V ZLWK JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ
WKH UHVXOWDQW LVRVXUIDFHV VKRXOG EH VOLFHG LQ PXOWLSOH
RULHQWDWLRQV LQ RUGHU WR FKHFN ZKHWKHU WKH LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
LV JHRORJLFDOO\ UHDOLVWLF DQG WKDW DUWHIDFWV KDYH QRW EHHQ
GHYHORSHGWKDWDUHQRWLPPHGLDWHO\REYLRXVLQWKHQRUPDO
GLUHFWLRQ IRU DVVHVVPHQW HJ SDUDOOHO WR WKH GULOO VHFWLRQV
,I WKH VW\OH RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ H[KLELWV D VWURQJ SOXQJH
FRPSRQHQW LW LV FULWLFDO WKDW WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ PRGHO
EH FKHFNHG QRUPDO WR WKH SOXQJH LQ RWKHU ZRUGV YLHZHG
GRZQWKHSOXQJHDORQJZLWKWKHJHRORJLFDOPRGHO
186
7KHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQPRGHOPXVWEHDVVHVVHGLQWHUPVRIWKH
'OLWKRORJLFDODQGDOWHUDWLRQPRGHOWRFKHFNWKDWDVVXPSWLRQV
XVHGWRGHQHWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDUHEHLQJPDLQWDLQHGLQWKH
PRGHO
,W LV HTXDOO\ LPSRUWDQW WR WHVW WKH FKDUDFWHU RI WKH JUDGH
GDWD FDSWXUHG ZLWKLQ WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ PRGHO WR HQVXUH
WKDW D UREXVW HVWLPDWLRQ GRPDLQ H[LVWV DQG WKH DSSURSULDWH
HVWLPDWLRQWHFKQLTXHLVDSSOLHG$VSUHYLRXVO\GLVFXVVHGWKLV
ZRXOGLQFOXGHVWDWLVWLFDOUHYLHZH[SORUDWRU\GDWDDQDO\VLV
WUDQVHFWVWRWHVWIRUGULIWERXQGDU\DQDO\VLVDQGJHRVWDWLVWLFDO
LQYHVWLJDWLRQV
The Dos and Donts of Geological and Grade Boundary Models and What You Can Do About It| J F H Barnes and B L Gossage
FIG 11 - Example of a flawed sectional mineralisation interpretation when viewed in another orthogonal direction (plan):
(A) example section view 1; (B) example section view 2; (C) example plan view 1; (D) example plan view 2.
7DEOH VXPPDULVHV VRPH GRV DQG GRQWV ZLWK UHJDUG WR
DVVHVVLQJWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQPRGHO
CONCLUSIONS
7KHUH KDYH EHHQ PDQ\ DGYDQFHV LQ JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ
VRIWZDUHZLWKWKHPDMRULW\RIQHZWRROVDYDLODEOHLQVHYHUDO
JHQHUDOLVHG PLQLQJ SDFNDJHV )RUHPRVW LV WKH XVH DQG
UHQHPHQWRILPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJVRIWZDUH,QWKHSDVWZHHNV
ZRXOGKDYHEHHQUHTXLUHGWRSURGXFHRQH'LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
RIWKHGDWDXVLQJSRO\JRQGLJLWLVLQJSDUDOOHOWRGULOOVHFWLRQV
TABLE 5
Dos and donts of testing the mineralisation model.
Do
Dont
Check the mineralised zone interpretation in multiple orientation displayed with the 3D
geological model.
Assess the mineralisation model purely using grade or indicator data remember that it
is part of a 3D deposit model.
If possible, superimpose several different approaches to see which is most robust from a
geological perspective as well as with the source grade data.
Choose the first approach that appears to fit the data test alternatives.
Check the preferred interpretation in 3D and by slicing with both grade and indicator
data.
Forget that the data is part of a 3D deposit and the drill information may be off-section
from the profile outline being displayed on screen.
Assess the assay data captured within the interpreted zones to ensure the data is
geologically and statistically reasonable and consistent with your assumptions (for
example, a diffuse zone of mineralisation with a gradational change in grade).
Check model against individual variables in a polymetallic deposit if a grade equivalent
has been applied and a single mineralisation constraint has been constructed.
Assume in a polymetallic deposit that all variables of interest are perfectly correlated
and review the constructed mineralisation model against only the calculated grade
equivalent variable.
187
188
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
'U -XQ &RZDQ LV JUDWHIXOO\ DFNQRZOHGJHG IRU KLV UHSHDWHG
DGYLFH DQG UHYLHZ RI YDULRXV GUDIWV 7KH PDQDJHPHQW RI
$YDOD5HVRXUFHV/WGLVWKDQNHGIRUSHUPLVVLRQWRLQFOXGHWKH
VXPPDU\ GULOO ORJ LQ )LJXUH 7KH PDQDJHPHQW RI 'XQDY
5HVRXUFHV/WGLVWKDQNHGIRUSHUPLVVLRQWRXVHWKHJHRORJLFDO
PRGHO GLVSOD\HG LQ )LJXUH 1XPHURXV FROOHDJXHV KDYH
FRQWULEXWHG PDWHULDOO\ WR GLVFXVVLRQV RYHU PDQ\ \HDUV
ZKLFK IRUP WKH EDVLV RI WKH EDFNJURXQG WR WKLV SDSHU 7KH
GDWDVHWVXVHGWRSURGXFHWKHJXUHVIRUWKLVSDSHUKDYHEHHQ
WUDQVIRUPHGLQRUGHUWRGLVJXLVHWKHLURULJLQV
HOME
JUDGHFRQWUROV\VWHPVDUHGHYHORSHGWREHEHVWSUDFWLFHDWWKH
WLPH \HW FDQ EHFRPH GDWHG DQG UHPDLQ XQFKDQJHG GHVSLWH
WHFKQRORJLFDODQGJHRORJLFDOLPSURYHPHQWV
INTRODUCTION
*UDGHFRQWURODKLJKO\UHSHWLWLYHWDVNIRUDPLQLQJJHRORJ\
GHSDUWPHQW KDV D PDMRU LPSDFW RQ WKH SURWDELOLW\ RI DQ
RSHUDWLRQ WKURXJK WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ IRU VLJQLFDQW UHYHQXH
JDLQRUORVVGHSHQGLQJRQWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHZRUNXQGHUWDNHQ
7KH NH\ WR DQ HIFLHQW DQG VXFFHVVIXO JUDGH FRQWURO V\VWHP
LV WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI VRXQG JHRORJLFDO XQGHUVWDQGLQJ 7KH
LQYHVWLJDWLRQ DQG UHFRJQLWLRQ RI WKH UHOHYDQW FRQWUROV RQ
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQGLVWULEXWLRQLVSDUDPRXQWLQWKHGHYHORSPHQW
RIVRXQGJUDGHFRQWUROSUDFWLFH
$VJUDGHFRQWUROLVRQJRLQJWKURXJKWKHOLIHRIDQRSHUDWLRQ
LW LV SURQH WR GHYHORS LQWR D VHW URXWLQH WKDW PD\ QRW EH
UHJXODUO\FKDOOHQJHGZLWKJHRORJLFDOWUDQVLWLRQVLQWKHGHSRVLW
QRW UHDGLO\ UHDOLVHG FUHDWLQJ DGYHUVH LPSDFWV *HQHUDOO\
189
,Q JUDGH FRQWURO LW LV HVVHQWLDO WR REWDLQ D VHQVH RI VFDOH
RQ WKH VLJQLFDQFH RI WKH VKLIWE\VKLIW WDVNV 7R DFKLHYH
WKLV DLP WKH PLQLQJ JHRORJLVWV QHHG WR KDYH GHYHORSHG DQ
XQGHUVWDQGLQJQRWRQO\RIWKHJUDGHTXDOLW\RIWKHSURGXFW
WKH\DUHPLQLQJEXWDOVRWKHGROODUYDOXHRIHDFKWUXFNORDGRI
RUH 7KH FDOFXODWLRQ GRHV QRW QHHG WR EH FRPSOLFDWHG WUXFN
FDSDFLW\ DYHUDJH JUDGH H[SHFWHG UHFRYHU\ FXUUHQW
YDOXH RI SURGXFW ZLOO JHQHUDOO\ GR 3URIHVVLRQDOV DQG
WHFKQLFLDQV LQYROYHG LQ JUDGH FRQWURO QHHG WR XQGHUVWDQG
WKHFRVWVRIWKHPLQLQJDQGWUHDWPHQWRIWKDWWUXFNORDGRIRUH
DVZHOO7RHQVXUH\RXUZRUNLVWUXO\SURWDEOHWKHVHLVVXHV
PXVWQRWEHLJQRUHG
GEOLOGICAL UNDERSTANDING
$ JRRG SODFH WR VWDUW ZLWK D QHZ SURMHFW LV WR WDON WR WKH
JHRORJLVWV ZKR XQGHUWRRN WKH UHVRXUFH GULOORXW DQG WKH
JHRORJLVWV WKDW SURGXFHG WKH UHVRXUFH PRGHO 7KHUH ZLOO EH
LQWHUQDODQGRUFRQVXOWDQWGRFXPHQWDWLRQWRDFFRPSDQ\WKH
GULOOLQJ DQG PRGHOOLQJ SURJUDPV DV SDUW RI WKH )HDVLELOLW\
6WXG\ 7KH SHRSOH LQYROYHG LQ WKLV ZRUN VKRXOG KDYH WKH
EHVWXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHGHSRVLWEDVHGRQWKHFXUUHQWGDWD
5HYLHZ WKH GRFXPHQWDWLRQ DQG DYDLODEOH LQWHUSUHWDWLYH
VHFWLRQVDQGSODQVRUVWULQJVWKHQGLVFXVVWKHJHRORJ\ZLWK
WKHPWRFDSLWDOLVHRQWKHLUNQRZOHGJH2IWHQVRPHRIWKHEHVW
JHRORJLFDOREVHUYDWLRQVDUHQRWZULWWHQLQUHSRUWVEXWOLYHLQ
SHRSOHVPLQGV
,WLVUHFRPPHQGHGWRJRWKURXJKDVHOHFWLRQRIGLDPRQG
FRUHUHYHUVH FLUFXODWLRQ 5& FKLSV DQG FRUH SKRWRV ZLWK
WKH UHVRXUFH JHRORJLVW WR JDLQ DQ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LQ WHUPV RI LWV UHODWLRQVKLS WR DOWHUDWLRQ
URFNW\SH R[LGDWLRQ OHYHO DQG VWUXFWXUH 'HWHUPLQH LI
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ RU LWV LQGLFDWRUV DUH YLVLEOH DQG LI PDWHULDO
RI YDU\LQJ JUDGHV FDQ EH LGHQWLHG RIWHQ WKURXJK D
FRPELQDWLRQ RI WKH DERYH IHDWXUHV ,I WKLV LV WKH FDVH LW
ZLOO EHFRPH DQ LPSRUWDQW WRRO LQ WKH RQJURXQG RUH EORFN
YDOLGDWLRQDQGPLQLQJSURFHVV
$SULPDU\REMHFWLYHRIWKLVZRUNLVWRXQGHUVWDQGKRZWKH
GHSRVLW ZDV LQWHUSUHWHG LQ OLJKW RI WKH NQRZQ FRQWUROV RQ
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQDQGZKDWSDUDPHWHUVZHUHXVHGWRGHWHUPLQH
WKH ZLUHIUDPH GRPDLQV WKDW VXEGLYLGH WKH GHSRVLW LQWR
JUDGHRUSURFHVVLQJTXDOLW\]RQHV'RPDLQVEDVHGVROHO\RQ
JUDGH LUUHVSHFWLYH RI JHRORJLFDO XQGHUVWDQGLQJ ZLOO UHTXLUH
IXUWKHUDQDO\VLVRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQFRQWUROVWRSURGXFHUHOLDEOH
JUDGH FRQWURO SURFHVVHV ,I LQDGHTXDWH KLVWRULFDO GDWD RU
XQGHUVWDQGLQJH[LVWVJUDGHFRQWUROV\VWHPGHVLJQZLOOQHHG
DSUHFXUVRURIJHRORJLFDOUHYLHZIURPUVWSULQFLSOHV
8QGHUVWDQG KRZ WKH UHVRXUFH PRGHO ZDV JHQHUDWHG DQG
FRPSDUHWKLVWRKRZDJUDGHFRQWUROPRGHOLVWREHJHQHUDWHG
7KHUH VKRXOG EH V\QHUJLHV EHWZHHQ WKH WZR XQOHVV D PDMRU
UHYLVLRQ RI WKH JHRORJ\ KDV RFFXUUHG LQ WKH LQWHULP DJDLQ
VXFK D FKDQJH VKRXOG EH EDVHG RQ VRXQG GDWD DQG UREXVW
JHRORJLFDO HYDOXDWLRQ $ VRXQG UHIHUHQFH RQ WKH SUDFWLFDO
DSSURDFK WR GRPDLQLQJ YDULRJUDSK\ DQG HVWLPDWLRQ
PHWKRGRORJLHVFDQEHIRXQGLQ&RRPEHV
7KHPRGHOOLQJDQGHVWLPDWLRQDSSURDFKWDNHQIRUWKHPRVW
UHFHQW HVWLPDWLRQ SULRU WR SURGXFWLRQ LV YHU\ LPSRUWDQW WR
XQGHUVWDQG DV LW EHFRPHV WKH \DUGVWLFN WR ZKLFK JUDGH
FRQWURODQGSURGXFWLRQLVFRPSDUHGIROORZLQJPRGLFDWLRQ
IRUWKH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWH,IWKHDSSURDFKWDNHQLVFRQVLGHUHG
YDOLG DQG DSSOLFDEOH LQ WHUPV RI SUDFWLFDO DSSOLFDWLRQ WKH
JUDGH FRQWURO V\VWHP VKRXOG EH GHVLJQHG WR KDYH VLPLODU
SURFHVVHV DQG WHFKQLTXHV VR DV WR DOLJQ DSSURDFKHV IRU
FRPSDULVRQ
.HHS WKH FRPPXQLFDWLRQ OLQHV RSHQ EHWZHHQ WKH JUDGH
FRQWURODQGUHVRXUFHGHQLWLRQJURXSV$Q\ODUJHYDULDWLRQV
IURPWKHUHVRXUFHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQVKRXOGEHFRPPXQLFDWHGWR
WKHUHVRXUFHGHQLWLRQJHRORJLVWV7DNLQJUHVRXUFHJHRORJLVWV
RQUHJXODUSLWRUXQGHUJURXQGWRXUVWRLQVSHFWIDFHVGULYHV
DQG FURVVFXWV ZLOO HQFRXUDJH WHFKQLFDO GLVFXVVLRQ DQG DQ
H[FKDQJH RI LGHDV 6LPLODUO\ UHYLHZLQJ UHVRXUFH GULOOLQJ
V\VWHPSDUWLFXODUO\ZKHQWUDQVLWLRQDOFKDQJHVLQWKHRUHERG\
RFFXUDQGDUHQRWUHFRJQLVHGE\WKHUHOHYDQWSURIHVVLRQDOV
6RIWZDUHVHOHFWLRQQHHGVWRFRQVLGHUWKHIROORZLQJDVSHFWV
SOFTWARE
*UDGH FRQWURO LV D ORJLVWLFDO H[HUFLVH ZKHUH QRW PDQ\ WDVNV
DUH VWDQGDORQH 'DWD IURP RQH WDVN RIWHQ QHHGV WR EH
LQWHJUDWHGZLWKDQRWKHUHJPDSSLQJZLWKPRGHOOLQJEORFN
RXWZLWKGLVSDWFKGLVSDWFKZLWKUHFRQFLOLDWLRQUHTXLULQJDQ
LQWHJUDWHG DSSURDFK WR VRIWZDUH V\VWHPV DQG GDWD WUDQVIHU
'LJLWDO GDWD FDSWXUH WKDW LV DV FORVH WR WKH SULPDU\ VRXUFH
DV SRVVLEOH LV KLJKO\ UHFRPPHQGHG DQG ZLOO LQFUHDVH GDWD
UHOLDELOLW\)RUH[DPSOHKDQGKHOGHOGORJJLQJV\VWHPVZLWK
OLPLWHG DSSURYHG FRGH OLEUDULHV ZLOO VLJQLFDQWO\ LPSURYH
GDWDTXDOLW\LQ5&FKLSORJJLQJ
,W LV KLJKO\ DGYLVDEOH WR DYRLG VSUHDGVKHHWEDVHG GDWD
V\VWHPV RU UHOLDQFH RQ ODUJH DQG FRPSOH[ VSUHDGVKHHWV IRU
GDWD PDQDJHPHQW DQG DQDO\VLV )RU JHRORJLFDO GDWDEDVHV
LQGXVWU\ VWDQGDUG RIIWKHVKHOI V\VWHPV DUH XVXDOO\ D EHWWHU
FKRLFH6WULFWDGKHUHQFHWRDSSURYHGFRGHOLEUDULHVDQGGDWD
HQWU\SURWRFROVLVUHTXLUHGDQGVSUHDGVKHHWVGRQRWSURYLGH
WKDWLQJHQHUDOXVH&RPSDQ\RUVLWHVSHFLFGDWDEDVHVFDQEH
SUREOHPDWLFDVWKHNQRZOHGJHXVHGWRGHYHORSDQGPDLQWDLQ
WKH GDWDEDVH PD\ EH ORVW ZLWK WKH KLJK WXUQRYHU RI VWDII
GXULQJDQRSHUDWLRQ
*UDGH FRQWURO V\VWHPV FRPSULVH D JHRORJLFDO GDWDEDVH IRU
GULOOLQJ DQG VDPSOLQJ GDWD LGHDOO\ ZLWK D GLUHFW LQWHUIDFH
ZLWK WKH ODERUDWRU\ GDWDEDVH RU ZHEEDVHG GDWD WUDQVIHU
V\VWHPD'JHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGPRGHOOLQJSDFNDJH
WKDWFRPPRQO\DVVLVWVZLWKRUHEORFNGHQLWLRQDQGGLJSODQ
LVVXHDQGDSURGXFWLRQWUDFNLQJDQGUHFRQFLOLDWLRQGDWDEDVH
7KHUHDUHPDQ\DYDLODEOHRSWLRQVLQVRIWZDUHDQGWKHFKRLFH
VKRXOG EH EDVHG RQ GDWD LQWHJULW\ DQG IXQFWLRQDOLW\ ZLWKLQ
WKHDYDLODEOHEXGJHW6\VWHPVQHHGWREHDVVLPSOHLQWHJUDWHG
DQG UREXVW DV SRVVLEOH :KHQ VHOHFWLQJ PLQLQJJHRORJLFDO
VRIWZDUHHQVXUHWKDWLWFRPSOHWHVDVPDQ\RIWKHWDVNVWKDW\RX
UHTXLUHDVSRVVLEOH,IRWKHUGHSDUWPHQWVDUHXVLQJGLIIHUHQW
VRIWZDUHPDNHVXUHWKHUHLVVHDPOHVVH[SRUWLPSRUWRIOHV
SDUWLFXODUO\PRGHOOHVEHWZHHQDOOV\VWHPVRQVLWH:KHQ
RSHUDWLQJ LQ FRXQWULHV ZKHUH (QJOLVK LV D VHFRQG ODQJXDJH
WKH HDVH RI XVH RI D SDUWLFXODU VRIWZDUH PD\ KHOS \RX WR
GHFLGHRQVRIWZDUH7KHUHDUHQXPHURXVDGYDQWDJHVRIXVLQJ
RIIWKHVKHOI ZHEEDVHG SURGXFWLRQ UHSRUWLQJ WUDFNLQJ DQG
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ V\VWHPV RYHU VSUHDGVKHHWV 7KHUH DUH VHYHUDO
WULHGDQGWHVWHG V\VWHPV DYDLODEOH RQ WKH PDUNHW WR VXLW DOO
W\SHVRIRSHUDWLRQVDQGEXGJHWV(QVXUH\RXUHQWLUHV\VWHP
FDQ EH HDVLO\ H[SDQGHG *RRG V\VWHP SODQQLQJ DQG D FOHDU
XQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHGHVLUHGRXWFRPHDUHUHTXLUHGIURPWKH
VWDUWLWVZKHUHH[SHULHQFHUHDOO\KHOSV
&RPSOH[LWLHV DQG GLIFXOWLHV LQ SURFHVV VWHSV ZLOO EH
FLUFXPYHQWHG LQ SUDFWLFH DQG WKH V\VWHP ZLOO GHYROYH
WKURXJK VWDII WXUQRYHU DQG LQWURGXFHG LPSURYHPHQWV WR
JHWDURXQGERWWOHQHFNV7KHUHLVDZLGHO\DSSOLHGVWUDWHJ\RI
XVLQJVRIWZDUHPDFURVWRVWUHDPOLQHJUDGHFRQWUROSURFHVVHV
DQG PDLQWDLQ FRQVLVWHQF\ 7KLV KDV ERWK DGYDQWDJHV DQG
GLVDGYDQWDJHV :KLOH D FRQVLVWHQF\ RI SURFHVV DQG PHWKRG
LVJDLQHGVWDIIJHQHUDOO\KDYHQRLGHDRIZKDWLVKDSSHQLQJ
ZKHQ WKH VRIWZDUH UXQV WKH PDFUR WKH\ OHDUQ WKH SURFHVV
VWHSV EXW QRW WKH UHDVRQV IRU GRLQJ WKHP :LWKRXW DQ
DSSUHFLDWLRQ RI WKH XQGHUO\LQJ SURFHVVHV PDFURV GHVNLOO D
ZRUNIRUFH DQG JHQHUDOO\ UHGXFH ORQJWHUP TXDOLW\ RI WKH
MAPPING
0DSSLQJ LV D FULWLFDO WRRO LQ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH RUHERG\ E\
GHQLQJWKHORFDWLRQRIWKHIHDWXUHVWKDWFRQWUROPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
,W EXLOGV RQ WKH NQRZOHGJH DQG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ REWDLQHG
IURP WKH UHVRXUFH JHRORJLVWV DQG LV D NH\ LQSXW IRU GRPDLQ
FRQVWUXFWLRQLQJUDGHFRQWURO
)DFH PDSSLQJ RI DFWLYH SLW EHQFKHV DV ZHOO DV QDO ZDOOV
LV LPSRUWDQW IRU FDSWXULQJ H[SRVXUH GDWD LQ WKH FRUH RI WKH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ V\VWHP 7KH PDSSLQJ SURFHVV HPSOR\HG
QHHGVWREHSUDFWLFDODQGUDSLGWRDOORZURXWLQHREVHUYDWLRQ
DQGGDWDFDSWXUHDVSDUWRIUHJXODUSLWZRUN8QIRUWXQDWHO\
PDSSLQJLQRSHQFXWPLQLQJLVLQFUHDVLQJO\QRWXQGHUWDNHQ
GXH WR SURGXFWLRQ SUHVVXUH 0DSSLQJ FDQ EH DV VLPSOH DV
KDYLQJPDMRUVWUXFWXUHVRUFRQWDFWVZDONHGRXWZLWKDJOREDO
SRVLWLRQLQJ V\VWHP *36 RU KDQGVNHWFKHG RQ D SODQ ZLWK
GLSV RI PDMRU FRQWDFWV DQQRWDWHG RU DUUDQJLQJ SLFNXS E\
VXUYH\ DIWHU PDUN RXW RI PDMRU FRQWDFWV RQ WKH EHQFK RRU
RU GULYH ZDOOV 9LHZLQJ WKHVH FRQWDFWV LQ FRQMXQFWLRQ ZLWK
PRGHOVZLUHIUDPHVDQGDVVD\UHVXOWVZLOODOZD\VDVVLVWLQWKH
RUHGRPDLQLQJSURFHVVIRUEORFNPRGHOOLQJLUUHVSHFWLYHRIWKH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQVW\OH
)LHOG REVHUYDWLRQ DQG GDWD UHFRUGLQJ LV D VNLOO WKDW QHHGV
WR EH GHYHORSHG LQ \RXQJ JHRORJLVWV LQ WKHLU LQLWLDO \HDUV
RI ZRUN E\ WKHLU VXSHUYLVRUV ,GHQWLI\LQJ WKH FRQWUROV RQ
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQDQGEHLQJDEOHWRUHFRUGWKHPIRUFRPSLODWLRQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
191
SAMPLING
7KHHVWDEOLVKPHQWRIDZHOOGRFXPHQWHGDQGFRPPXQLFDWHG
VDPSOLQJSURWRFROWKDWJRYHUQVSURFHVVHVIURPHOGFROOHFWLRQ
WKURXJKWRODERUDWRU\SUHSDUDWLRQIRUDQDO\VLVLVFULWLFDO
7KH OHDVWVNLOOHG PHPEHUV RI WKH PLQLQJ JHRORJ\
GHSDUWPHQWRIWHQXQGHUWDNHWKHLPSRUWDQWWDVNRIFROOHFWLQJ
JUDGH FRQWURO VDPSOHV DQG WKH JHRORJLVWV VXSHUYLVLQJ WKHP
PD\WKHPVHOYHVKDYHKDGOLWWOHWUDLQLQJRUH[SHULHQFHLQWKH
SURFHVV,WLVLPSRUWDQWWKDWWKHSHRSOHFRQFHUQHGNQRZWKH
EDVLFVRIVDPSOHWKHRU\XQGHUVWDQGWKHHTXLSPHQWWKH\DUH
XVLQJWRFROOHFWWKHVDPSOHDQGDUHDZDUHRIWKHRXWFRPHVLI
FRUUHFWVDPSOLQJSURFHGXUHVDUHQRWIROORZHG
6DPSOLQJ HTXLSPHQW UXOHV RI WKXPE LQFOXGH HQVXULQJ
WKH VDPSOLQJ GHYLFH LV HTXLSUREDEOH LH DOO SDUWLFOHV KDYH
DQ HTXDO FKDQFH RI VHOHFWLRQ NHHS LW FOHDQ DQG FKHFN LW LV
LQ JRRG FRQGLWLRQ DQG ZRUNLQJ SURSHUO\ VXEVDPSOLQJ DV
VPDOOHUWRSVL]HPDWHULDODVSRVVLEOHDQGWDNLQJPRUHIUHTXHQW
VPDOO LQFUHPHQWV LQ EXLOGLQJ WKH VXEVDPSOH ZLOO JLYH D
PRUH UHSUHVHQWDWLYH UHVXOW 7KHUH DUH SDSHUV LQ WKLV YROXPH
)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ*\DQG)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ
RQ WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI VDPSOLQJ WKHRU\ EXW VRXQG SUDFWLFH
VLPSOLFLW\DQGSUDFWLFDOLW\DUHNH\DLPVIRUJUDGHFRQWURO
VKRXOGQRWEHWKHSULPDU\LQXHQFHFRVWVDYLQJVWKDWOHDGWR
SRRURUHVHOHFWLRQGHFLVLRQVDUHIDOVHHFRQRP\
7KH NH\ LVVXH LV WKH UHTXLUHG SUHFLVLRQ DQG DFFXUDF\
RI RUH ERXQGDU\ ORFDWLRQV +RZ PXFK PHWDO LV DW ULVN LI
\RX JHW LW ZURQJ DQG ZLOO WKH H[SHQVH RI D PHWKRG GHOLYHU
UHYHQXH EHQHW WKDW H[FHHGV LWV FRVW" 2IWHQ ZKHQ D SURMHFW
LVSHUIRUPLQJZHOOPDQDJHPHQWKDVQRSUREOHPDSSURYLQJ
5&VDPSOLQJEXWDVVRRQDVDSURMHFWSHUIRUPVSRRUO\RUWKH
PHWDOSULFHGURSVDQGFRVWVQHHGWREHFXWWKHUVWLWHPWREH
VFUDSSHGLV5&GULOOLQJDQGVDPSOLQJ7KHPDLQUHDVRQLVWKH
WDQJLEOHFRVW%HFDXVH%+GULOOLQJLVSHUIRUPHGDQ\ZD\WKH
JUDGHFRQWUROFRVWRIGULOOLQJWKHVDPSOHLVFRQVLGHUHGWREH
QLO7KHFRVWRI5&GULOOLQJZKLFKLVLQDGGLWLRQWR%+GULOOLQJ
FDQUDQJHIURPWR0DIRUDPHGLXPVL]HGSURMHFW&DQ
WKLVFRVWEHMXVWLHGUHJDUGOHVVRISURWDELOLW\"
,Q WHUPV RI MXVWLI\LQJ 5& GULOOLQJ WR VHQLRU PDQDJHPHQW
WKHUH DUH WZR LPSRUWDQW IDFWRUV WR FRQVLGHU 7KH UVW LV WKH
VFDOHRIWKHSURMHFWDQGWKHVHFRQGLVWKHSURMHFWVJHRORJLFDO
JHRPHWU\$VWKHQDQFLDOEHQHWRI5&RYHU%+FDQQHYHU
EHSURYHQEH\RQGDGRXEWGXHWRWKHQRQVDPSOLQJRIZDVWH
DQGKHQFHTXDQWLFDWLRQRIRUHJDLQRUORVVLWLVHVVHQWLDOO\D
ULVNPDQDJHPHQWLVVXH
Scale
,QVWXGLHVFDUULHGRXWDW0W0XURLWZDVGHPRQVWUDWHGWKDW
5&JUDGHFRQWUROZRXOGSURYLGHDSSUR[LPDWHO\WKUHHWRYH
SHU FHQW PHWDOWRPLOO LPSURYHPHQW RYHUDOO FRPSDUHG WR
%+ VDPSOLQJ +RRJYOLHW 7KLV QXPEHU ZDV EDVHG RQ
WZR 5& JUDGH FRQWURO WULDOV ZKHUH 5& GDWD ZDV FRPSDUHG
WR %+ GDWD DQG VHYHUDO GHVNWRS VWXGLHV 7KH LPSURYHPHQW
ZDVODUJHO\EDVHGRQDEHWWHUGHQLWLRQRIRUHERXQGDULHVLQ
WKH VWHHSO\ GLSSLQJ HSLWKHUPDO V\VWHP DV WKH FHQWUH RI WKH
RUHERG\ZDVPLQHGDVRUHDQ\ZD\8VLQJWKUHHSHUFHQWDV
WKHVWDUWLQJSRLQWIRUDQHZSURMHFWWKHDGGLWLRQDOPHWDOYDOXH
UHFRYHUHGPXVW FRYHU DW OHDVW WKH FRVW RI GULOOLQJ KHQFH WKH
SURMHFWVFDOHPXVWEHDGHTXDWHWRSURYLGHVXIFLHQWPDUJLQ
Geometry
%DVHG DJDLQ RQ WKH H[SHULHQFH IURP 0W 0XUR +RRJYOLHW
ZHOOGHQHGRUVWUXFWXUHGRUHERGLHVFDQEHPLQHGZLWK
DGLOXWLRQKDORRIURXJKO\WRPRQERWKWKHKDQJLQJ
ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOO 7KLV GHSHQGV RQ WKH HTXLSPHQW XVHG WR
PLQH WKH RUH DQG EHQFK KHLJKW DQG UHTXLUHV H[SHULHQFHG
RSHUDWRUVDQGRUHVSRWWHUVWRDFKLHYH)RUDULVNDQDO\VLVRQ
DKLJKJUDGHVWUXFWXUHGRUHERG\DPKDORFDQEHXVHGRQ
ERWKKDQJLQJZDOODQGIRRWZDOOIRUDWRWDORIPGLOXWLRQRU
RUHORVVRQHDFKVLGHRIWKHVKRRW,IDQRUHERG\LVPZLGH
WKH SHUFHQWDJH GLOXWLRQ RU RUH ORVV WKH RUH DW ULVN LV RQO\
WZRSHUFHQW,IWKHRUHERG\LVPWKHRUHDWULVNLVSHU
FHQW8VLQJ%+VDPSOLQJWKHPDMRULW\RIRUHPD\EHPLQHG
DV RUH DQG GLOXWLRQ PD\ EH DFFHSWDEOH +RZHYHU ZLWK 5&
GULOOLQJDQGVDPSOLQJLWLVQRWLQFRQFHLYDEOHWRJHWDWHQWR
SHUFHQWWRFPLPSURYHPHQWRQ%+VDPSOLQJRYHU
WKLVPFXPXODWLYHLQWHUYDOEHFDXVHRIPRUHUHOLDEOHDVVD\V
DQG UHSUHVHQWDWLYH VDPSOLQJ GXH WR WKH LQFOLQHG GULOOLQJ
DQJOH DQG WKHUHIRUH EHWWHU GHQLWLRQ RI WKH ERXQGDU\ 7KLV
DGYDQWDJHLVLQFUHDVHGZKHQJURXQGZDWHULVHQFRXQWHUHG
7KH DERYH DVVHVVPHQW DVVXPHV WKDW WKH RUH LV GLVWULEXWHG
XQLIRUPO\ DFURVV WKH VWUXFWXUH ,I KLJKJUDGH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
LV ORFDOLVHG DORQJ WKH PDUJLQV RI D VWUXFWXUH WKH RUH DW ULVN
FRXOGEHFRQVLGHUDEO\KLJKHUWKDQSHUFHQW
,I\RXUSURMHFWKDVPRUHWKDQWHQSHUFHQWRIPHWDODWULVNLQ
ERXQGDU\ PDWHULDO HJ KLJKJUDGH YHLQV 5& JUDGH FRQWURO
PXVWEHFRQVLGHUHG,ILWLVOHVVWKDQYHSHUFHQWHJORZWR
PRGHUDWHJUDGHEXONPLQLQJWKHUHPD\EHQREHQHWDWDOO
2QHRIWKHUHDODGYDQWDJHVRI5&GULOOLQJRYHU%+VDPSOLQJ
LVWKDWLWSURYLGHVWKHRSSRUWXQLW\WRJHWDYHU\DFFXUDWHRUH
ERXQGDU\GHQLWLRQ,IWKHERXQGDU\LVWREHGHQHGE\%+
VDPSOLQJWKHDFFXUDF\GHSHQGVWRDODUJHGHJUHHRQWKH%+
VSDFLQJ$QRWXQXVXDOSDWWHUQLVPPZLWKP
DFURVVVWULNHDQGPDORQJVWULNH/RRNLQJDWLWLQFURVVVHFWLRQ
)LJXUHWKUHHKROHVQHDUWKHERXQGDU\PD\KDYHRQHLQRUH
DORQJLWVHQWLUHOHQJWKDQGRQHLQZDVWHZLWKWKHRQHLQWKH
PLGGOHGULOOLQJWKURXJKWKHERXQGDU\,WLVKRZHYHUHQWLUHO\
XQFHUWDLQ ZKHUH WKDW ERXQGDU\ LV 7KHUHIRUH HIIHFWLYHO\ WKH
DFFXUDF\RIWKHRUHZDVWHERXQGDU\LVZLWKLQPRIHLWKHU
VLGH RI WKH KROH WKDW GULOOV WKURXJK WKH ERXQGDU\ $QJOHG
5&KROHVVDPSOHGDWPLQWHUYDOVZLOOSURYLGHDERXQGDU\
GHQLWLRQ RI ZLWKLQ P 7KLV LV DQ LPSURYHPHQW RQ WKH
ERXQGDU\ SRVLWLRQ E\ SHU FHQW ,I 5& VDPSOHV DUH WDNHQ
DW WKH IXOO EHQFK KHLJKW DV FDQ RIWHQ KDSSHQ WKH ERXQGDU\
GHQLWLRQ KDV WKH VDPH DFFXUDF\ DV VDPSOLQJ %+V 7KH
DGGLWLRQDOVDPSOLQJLQFUHDVHVFRVWSHUWRQQHRIRUHDQGKDV
VLJQLFDQWLPSOLFDWLRQVIRUWKHODERUDWRU\FDSDFLW\
WKHRSHQKROHVDPSOLQJRI%+VLVPXFKPRUHVXVFHSWLEOH
WR FRQWDPLQDWLRQ WKDQ WKH LQQHU WXEH VDPSOLQJ RI 5&
)LJXUH
DJHQHUDOO\KLJKHUFRPSUHVVRUUDWLQJZLWK5&DOORZVIRU
EHWWHU VDPSOH UHWXUQ FRPSDUHG ZLWK %+ GULOOLQJ WKLV LV
HYHQ PRUH SURQRXQFHG ZKHQ GULOOLQJ XQGHUQHDWK WKH
ZDWHUWDEOH
WKHDQJOHGKROHVRI5&GULOOLQJZLOOSUHVHQWDPXFKPRUH
UHSUHVHQWDEOH VDPSOH DFURVV WKH HQWLUH PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQH
WKDQ YHUWLFDO %+V IRU H[DPSOH LQ WKH FDVH RI VKHHWHG
YHLQVRUYHUWLFDOFRQWDFWVD%+PD\KLWRUPLVVLWZKLOVW
5&ZLOOFROOHFWUHSUHVHQWDWLYHVDPSOHVIURPERWKRUHDQG
ZDVWHLQWHUYDOVDOORZLQJIRUWKHEHVWSRVVLEOHRUHZDVWH
ERXQGDU\LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
IDFHVDPSOLQJKDPPHUVDOORZORZOHYHOVRIFRQWDPLQDWLRQ
FIG 1 - Reverse circulation holes provide much better boundary definition than blastholes.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
193
FIG 3 - Cone splitter cross-section and isometric (after Catto and Church, 2003).
EH XQGHUWDNHQ LI VKRZQ WR EH FRPSDWLEOH \HW WKH VKHHU
QXPHULFDODEXQGDQFHRIJUDGHFRQWUROVDPSOLQJWHQGVWRIDU
RXWZHLJKUHVRXUFHVDPSOHVLQDJUDGHFRQWUROHVWLPDWHDQG
KHQFHDUHXVXDOO\NHSWDVDVHSDUDWHGDWDVHWIRUHVWLPDWLRQ
DQG UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ ,Q QXJJHWW\ RUHERGLHV WKH VL]H RI DQ
5& KROH FRPELQHG ZLWK LWV VDPSOH TXDOLW\ LI FROOHFWHG DQG
VXEVDPSOHGZHOOZLOOGHOLYHUDEHWWHUVDPSOHWKDQHLWKHU%+
RUGLDPRQGGULOOLQJ)LHOGGXSOLFDWHVDPSOLQJDQG4$4&
DQDO\VLVLVHVVHQWLDOWRDVVHVVWKHSUHFLVLRQRIWKHVDPSOLQJ
SURJUDP
ASSAY
7KHDQDO\WLFDOWHFKQLTXHFKRVHQVKRXOGEHEDVHGLQWKHUVW
LQVWDQFHRQWKHPLQHUDORJ\RIWKHGHSRVLW&RVWDQGVDPSOH
WXUQDURXQG WLPHV DUH VHFRQGDU\ FRQVLGHUDWLRQV 'HSHQGLQJ
RQWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQVW\OHWKHSURFHVVLQJWHFKQLTXHDQGWKH
SURGXFWGHVWLQDWLRQGHOHWHULRXVHOHPHQWVFRXOGEHLPSRUWDQW
DQG VR SDUWLFXODU HOHPHQWV PD\ QHHG WR EH DQDO\VHG DQG
LQFOXGHGLQWKHPRGHOOLQJDQGHVWLPDWLRQSURFHVV
7KH VDPSOH QXPEHULQJ V\VWHP XVHG VKRXOG EH VLPSOH DQG
UHDGLO\ LGHQWLDEOH HJ VDPSOH W\SH 5& %+ SLW HWF ,W LV
PRUHFRVWHIIHFWLYHDQGOHVVHUURUSURQHWRXVHSUHQXPEHUHG
VDPSOH EDJV UDWKHU WKDQ ZULWLQJ WKHP XS LQKRXVH 7KH
SRWHQWLDOIRUEDUFRGHVVKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHGDQGLVHQFRXUDJHG
DV LW HQDEOHV VHDPOHVV WUDFNLQJ RI VDPSOHV IURP FROOHFWLRQ WR
DQDO\VLVWRLPSRUWLQWRWKHGDWDEDVH7KHWHFKQRORJ\LVLQHYHU\
VXSHUPDUNHWDQGZDUHKRXVHLWVKRXOGEHLQHYHU\PLQH
4$4& PXVW EH DQ LQWHJUDO SDUW RI WKH JUDGH FRQWURO
SURFHVV ZKHUH LW LV UHYLHZHG E\ EDWFK DQG UHSRUWHG RQ
PRQWKO\ 7KH GULOO KROH GDWDEDVH VKRXOG KDYH KDUGZLUHG
FKHFNV IRU SRWHQWLDO HUURUV XVLQJ YDOLGDWLRQ VFULSWV IRU HDFK
GDWDORDG&HUWLHGUHIHUHQFHPDWHULDOV&50VVKRXOGFRQVLVW
RIPDWHULDOVLPLODUWRWKHGHSRVLWDQGEHFKDQJHGHYHU\RQH
WR WZR \HDUV $ ODUJH HQRXJK VSUHDG RI &50 YDOXHV PXVW
EH XVHG VL[ WR HLJKW PLQLPXP ZLWK VRPH DURXQG WKH RUH
FXWRIIDQGYHU\FORVHLQYDOXHVRWKDWWKHDFFHSWDEOHUDQJHV
RYHUODS,QDOOLQVWDQFHVWKHUHFRUGLQJRIWKHSDUWLFXODUEOLQG
&50 LQVHUWHG LQ WKH VDPSOH UXQ PXVW EH DFFXUDWH WKURXJK
FOHDU SURFHGXUHV LQ WKH HOG RU FRUH VKHG WKH DOWHUQDWLYH LV
&50ZKLWHQRLVH
2WKHU 4$4& SURWRFROV WKDW PXVW EH HPSOR\HG LQFOXGH
HOG GXSOLFDWH VDPSOLQJ DW WKH VDPSOH VRXUFH VXEPLVVLRQ
RI EODQNV ZLWK D VLPLODU FUXVKHG DSSHDUDQFH DV D GHSRVLW
OLWKRORJ\ RU DV EODQN &50V DQG EOLQG UHSHDW VXEPLVVLRQ
RI EDWFKHV RI H[LVWLQJ SXOSV WR WKH RULJLQDO DQG XPSLUH
ODERUDWRU\ IRU VL[PRQWKO\ FKHFNV $ YHU\ XVHIXO DQG
SUDFWLFDO PHWKRG WR DVVHVV WKH SUHFLVLRQ RI SDLUHG GDWD
HLWKHUHOGGXSOLFDWHVRUODESXOSUHSHDWVLVYLD7KRPSVRQ
+RZDUWKSORWV&DUVZHOO et alSUHVHQWDFOHDUZRUNHG
H[DPSOHRIWKLVWHFKQLTXH
DIIHFWTXDOLW\DQGWXUQDURXQGVRKDYHUHDOLVWLFH[SHFWDWLRQV
DQGDVVLVWWKHODEZLWKVWURQJFRPPXQLFDWLRQ
MODELLING
0RGHOOLQJLVWKHPDLQRSSRUWXQLW\ZHKDYHLQJUDGHFRQWURO
WRV\QWKHVLVHWKHGDWDIRUDQRSWLPDORXWFRPH7KHFRPSOH[LW\
RI WKH SURFHVV ZH HPSOR\ VKRXOG PDWFK WKH QHHGV RI WKH
RUHERG\DQGWKHUHVXOWVLWSURGXFHVZLOORQO\EHDVJRRGDV
WKHTXDOLW\RIWKHGDWDDQGWKHJHRORJLFDOXQGHUVWDQGLQJWKDW
IHHGVLQWRLW
8QGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH JHRORJ\ SDUWLFXODUO\ WKH FRQWUROV
RQ PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ WKDW LQXHQFH JHRPHWU\ DQG JUDGH
GLVWULEXWLRQKHOSVDVVHVVWKHGHJUHHRIFRQVWUDLQWWKDWVKRXOG
EH DSSOLHG LQ WKH PRGHO 'RPDLQ ERXQGDULHV FDQ EH HLWKHU
KDUGRUVRIWDVLQUHVRXUFHPRGHOOLQJEXWDVGLVFXVVHGDERYH
WKH NH\ LVVXH LQ JUDGH FRQWURO GRPDLQLQJ LV WKH LPSRUWDQFH
RIPHWDODWULVNWKURXJKSRRUERXQGDU\GHQLWLRQDWERWKWKH
PRGHOOLQJDQGPLQLQJVWDJHV,QJHQHUDORUHORVVLVDPXFK
ODUJHURSSRUWXQLW\FRVWWRDQRSHUDWLRQWKDQGLOXWLRQEXWLWLV
ODUJHO\XQVHHQLQZDVWHGXPSV
3RO\JRQDO DQG LQYHUVH GLVWDQFHZHLJKWHG HVWLPDWLRQ
WHFKQLTXHVDUHQRWUHODWHGLQDQ\ZD\WRJHRORJLFDOYDULDELOLW\
IDFWRUVDQGWKHUHIRUHVKRXOGEHDYRLGHGRUXVHGZLWKH[WUHPH
FDXWLRQ ,W LV LPSRUWDQW WKDW ZKDWHYHU HVWLPDWLRQ WHFKQLTXH
LVXVHGWKHJHRORJLVWGRLQJWKHHVWLPDWLRQPXVWXQGHUVWDQG
LW $YRLG XQH[SODLQHG EODFNER[ PHWKRGV IRU ZLWKRXW DQ\
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ KRZ FDQ WKH RXWSXWV EH YDOLGDWHG" *HRORJ\
PXVWSOD\DPDMRUUROHUDWKHUWKDQUHO\LQJVROHO\RQDJUDGH
EDVHGJHRVWDWLVWLFDODSSURDFK
8VHWKHLQIRUPDWLRQJDLQHGIURPREVHUYDWLRQVLQWKHPLQH
WR FRQVWUXFW D PRGHO WKDW KRQRXUV WKH JHRORJ\ 6LPLODUO\
WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI WRSFXWV PXVW EH XQGHUWDNHQ ZLWK D
FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI WKH JHRORJ\ DQG UHOHYDQW VWDWLVWLFV WKH
UHGXFWLRQLQFRHIFLHQWRIYDULDWLRQ&9E\WRSFXWWLQJZHOO
GRPDLQHGGDWDFDQEHDXVHIXOLQGLFDWRU,IWKHGDWDTXDOLW\
LVJRRGIURP4$4&DOORXWOLHUVWHOO\RXVRPHWKLQJXVHIXO
DERXW SRWHQWLDO KHWHURJHQHLW\ LQ WKH PDWHULDO \RX ZLOO EH
PLQLQJ1HYHUXVHWRSFXWWLQJVWUDWHJLHVWRKLGHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
LVVXHVLQYHVWLJDWHWKHLQSXWVQRWWDLORUWKHRXWSXWV
FIG 4 - The mother of all cone splitters. The Progradex system captures all
material and utilises a rotating feed shoot that introduces all the material
recovered onto a cone, which is then dumped through radial bladed gates to
be split below. The whole machine is shown above, while the cone with radial
dump gates and the rotating feed shoot are shown below (courtesy Progradex).
5HJXODU DQG VWUXFWXUHG ODERUDWRU\ DXGLWV E\ PLQLQJ
JHRORJLVWVVKRXOGEHPDQGDWRU\7RLQFUHDVHWKHNQRZOHGJH
DQG VNLOOV RI PRUH MXQLRU JHRORJLVWV VPDOOVFDOH SURMHFW
VWXGLHV LQWR GDWD TXDOLW\ DQG DQDO\VLV VKRXOG EH FRQGXFWHG
DQGWKHQGLQJVUHSRUWHGLQZULWLQJ
0DLQWDLQ D VWURQJ DQG RSHQ UHODWLRQVKLS ZLWK WKH DVVD\
ODERUDWRU\ ZKHWKHU LQKRXVH RU H[WHUQDO DV WKLV ZLOO
HQVXUH DQ\ LVVXHV DUH UHVROYHG TXLFNO\ 6XSSRUW HQTXLU\
ZLWK GDWD DQG FRQVXOW ZLWK WKH ODERUDWRU\ IRU WKHLU VLGH RI
DOO LVVXHV ,W LV XVHIXO WR UHPHPEHU WKH HGLFW RI EHLQJ DEOH
WR KDYH RQO\ WZR RI WKHVH WKUHH WKLQJV DW RQFH TXDOLW\
WXUQDURXQG DQG ORZ FRVW ,W LV JHQHUDOO\ RXU FRPSHWLWLYH
WHQGHULQJSURFHVVHVWKDWGULYHODEVLQWRFRVWUHGXFWLRQVWKDW
195
FRPSURPLVHEHWZHHQHDVHRIPLQLQJDQGH[WUDFWLQJDVPXFK
RIWKHUHVRXUFHDVSRVVLEOHZLWKWKHOHDVWDPRXQWRIRUHORVV
DQG GLOXWLRQ ,W LV HVVHQWLDO WKDW ZKHQ JHRORJLVWV GHQH RUH
EORFNVWKHJUDGHVDUHQRWWKHRQO\FRQVLGHUDWLRQHVSHFLDOO\LI
WKH\EHOLHYHWKDWWKHVDPSOLQJSURFHGXUHLVOHVVWKDQRSWLPDO
8VH DOO WKH DYDLODEOH GDWD LQFOXGLQJ PDSSLQJ GDWD IURP
EHQFKHV DERYH DQG EHVLGH WKH UHVRXUFH GULOOLQJ DQG HOG
FKHFNV
2QFHGHVLJQHGRUHEORFNVVKRXOGJRWKURXJKDSHHUUHYLHZ
DQG VLJQRII SURFHGXUH EHIRUH PDUNXS LQ WKH SLW 7KH QDO
VWDJH LV WR HOGFKHFN WKH PDUNXS RQ WKH JURXQG SULRU
WR EODVWLQJ ZLWK DGMXVWPHQW DV UHTXLUHG ,I DGMXVWHG WKH
UHYLVHG EORFN PDUNXS VKRXOG EH SLFNHG XS E\ VXUYH\ )RU
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ SXUSRVHV WKH RULJLQDO JUDGH RI WKH RUH EORFN
VKRXOGEHXVHGEXWWKHWRQQHVVKRXOGUHHFWWKHQHZYROXPH
BLASTING
7KH PRYHPHQW RI PDWHULDO GXH WR EODVWLQJ DQG WKH HIIHFW
WKLV KDV RQ RUH ORVV DQG GLOXWLRQ LV RIWHQ PLVXQGHUVWRRG RU
QRW IXOO\ DSSUHFLDWHG ZLWKLQ WKH PLQLQJ JHRORJ\ IUDWHUQLW\
0LQLQJ JHRORJLVWV VKRXOG KDYH D EDVLF XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI
JHRORJ\UHODWHGEODVWG\QDPLFVWRUHGXFHWKHHIIHFWVRIEODVW
PRYHPHQW/LWWOHDQG%ODLU
7KH SRWHQWLDO IRU GLVUXSWLRQ RU VKLIWLQJ RI RUH EORFN
ERXQGDULHVE\EODVWLQJQHHGVWREHPDQDJHGDSSURSULDWHO\$V
DUVWVWHSPLQHJHRORJLVWVVKRXOGSOD\DSDUWLQGHWHUPLQLQJRU
DWOHDVWDSSURYLQJRIWKHORFDWLRQRIEODVWERXQGDULHVDQGEODVW
WLHLQGHVLJQV7KLVZLOOHQVXUHEODVWERXQGDULHVDUHGHVLJQHG
DV PXFK DV SRVVLEOH DZD\ IURP H[SHFWHG RUH ]RQH PDUJLQV
DQG WKH EODVW LV GHVLJQHG WR PRYH WKH PDWHULDO DORQJ VWULNH
,Q WKH SLW EODVW PRYHPHQW VKRXOG EH PRQLWRUHG ZLWK VRPH
W\SH RI EODVW PRYHPHQW LQGLFDWRUV DQG RUH EORFNV DGMXVWHG
DFFRUGLQJO\ 7KH YDULDEOH GLVSODFHPHQW RI SXUSRVHIXOO\
SODFHGPDUNHUVVXFKDVFRORXUHGSRO\SLSHLQVHUWHGLQWRQRQ
FKDUJHGKROHVLQWKHSDWWHUQKDVEHHQDORQJVWDQGLQJSUDFWLFH
EXWUHFHQWWHFKQRORJ\DGYDQFHVLQHOHFWURQLFGHWHFWLRQRIEODVW
PRYHPHQWYHFWRUVLVQGLQJYDOXDEOHDSSOLFDWLRQLQDQXPEHU
RIRSHUDWLRQV)LW]JHUDOG et al
RUH LGHQWLFDWLRQ WKH FRVW HIIHFWV RI RUH ORVV DQG GLOXWLRQ
DQGWKHLPSRUWDQFHRIFRUUHFWPLQLQJGLUHFWLRQVRQWKHPXFN
SLOH,WLVDOVRLPSRUWDQWWKDWWKHPLQLQJJHRORJLVWGHYHORS
DQGPDLQWDLQDJRRGZRUNLQJUHODWLRQVKLSZLWKHTXLSPHQW
RSHUDWRUV DQG VXSHUYLVRUV XVXDOO\ WKURXJK VXVWDLQHG
FRPPXQLFDWLRQFRQVXOWDWLRQDQGFRQVLGHUDWLRQ,QWKHHQG
WKHPLQHUVVHHWKHRUHPRUHRIWHQWKDQWKHJHRORJLVWV
,QWHUPVRIUHFRUGLQJPDWHULDOPRYHPHQWVIRUODUJHRSHQFXW
PLQHV *36EDVHG GLVSDWFK V\VWHPV DUH YHU\ FRVWHIIHFWLYH
KRZHYHU IRU VPDOOHU PLQHV VLPSOH V\VWHPV VXFK DV WUXFN
GLVSDWFKFDUGVRUFRORXUHGOLJKWVRQWKHRXWVLGHRIWUXFNVDQG
H[FDYDWRUVPD\EHVXIFLHQW
STOCKPILES
6WRFNSLOHPDQDJHPHQWDOWKRXJKGHSRVLWVSHFLFLVJHQHUDOO\
D JUDGH FRQWURO QLJKWPDUH 5HJDUGOHVV RI WKH GHSRVLW WKH
PDLQDLPRIVWRFNSLOHFRQVWUXFWLRQLVWRHQVXUHWKDWZKHQWKH
VWRFNSLOHLVEHLQJIHGLQWRWKHSURFHVVSODQWWKHYDULDELOLW\LQ
JUDGHDQGPDWHULDOW\SHLVUHGXFHG3URFHVVSODQWVZRUNEHVW
ZKHQWKH\DUHXQGHUVWDEOHFRQGLWLRQV7KHUHIRUHVWRFNSLOHV
VKRXOGEHFRQVWUXFWHGDQGIHGLQVXFKDPDQQHUDVWRUHGXFH
YDULDELOLW\ WKHLU FRQVWUXFWLRQ LV DQ LQWHJUDO VWDJH RI WKH
EOHQGLQJSURFHVV
$SURYHQEOHQGLQJPHWKRGIRU520DQGRWKHUVWRFNSLOHVLV
UHIHUUHGWRDVDSHUSHQGLFXODUGXPSDQGH[WUDFW7KHPHWKRG
ZRUNVDVIROORZV
7KH 520 SDG LV GLYLGHG LQWR WZR KDOYHV WKURXJK DQ
LPDJLQDU\OLQHQRSK\VLFDOVWUXFWXUH
2UH LV GXPSHG RQ RQH KDOI IURP D WLS KHDG RU P
DZD\ IURP WKH FUXVKHU ELQ ZKLOVW RUH LV H[WUDFWHG IURP
WKHRWKHUKDOI
7KHRUHLVGXPSHGLQDGLUHFWLRQWRZDUGVWKHELQEXWWKH
NH\WREOHQGLQJLVWKDWRUHLVH[WUDFWHGSHUSHQGLFXODUWR
WKH GXPSLQJ GLUHFWLRQ DV ZHOO DV KDYLQJ WKH IURQWHQG
ORDGHURSHUDWRUJRLQJXSDQGGRZQWKHIXOOOHQJWKRIWKH
520SDG(DFKQXPEHULQ)LJXUHUHSUHVHQWVDEXFNHW
ORDGIURPWKHORDGHU7KLVPHDQVWKDWRQDVKLIWE\VKLIW
EDVLVDIXOOFURVVVHFWLRQRIWKHRUHIURPWKHVWRFNSLOHLV
SXWLQWRWKHFUXVKHUELQ
7KLV PHWKRG KDV WKH IROORZLQJ DGYDQWDJHV RYHU VWRFNSLOH
QJHUVDQGGLUHFWGXPSLQJ
LW PD[LPLVHV 520 SDG VSDFH DV WKHUH DUH RQO\ WZR
DEXWWLQJQJHUV
LWPD[LPLVHVEOHQGLQJWKURXJKDYHU\VLPSOHPHWKRGDW
QRFRVW
WKHUHDUHQRFRQVWDQWO\FKDQJLQJEOHQGLQJUDWLRV
WKH ODVW GXPSHG UVW H[WUDFWHG DV ZLWK QJHUV LV
UHPRYHG
LPSURYHG VDIHW\ DV WKH IURQWHQG ORDGHU RSHUDWHV RQ D
GLIIHUHQWSDUWRIWKHVWRFNSLOHDZD\IURPZKHUHWUXFNVDUH
GXPSLQJXQOLNHQJHUV
HDFK WLPH D KDOI LV QLVKHG WKDW SDUW RI WKH VWRFNSLOH LV
]HURHGDJUHDWDGYDQWDJHIRUUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
JUDGHV WRQQHV DQG RWKHU YDULDEOHV SHU KDOI FDQ EH
HVWLPDWHGZLWKDUHDVRQDEOHDFFXUDF\
FRQVWUXFWLRQRIWKH520SDGUHTXLUHVOHVVUHVRXUFHV
WUXFNVKDYHFRQWLQXRXVWXUQDURXQG
KDXOGLVWDQFHPD\EHORZHU
'HSHQGLQJXSRQWKHDUHDDYDLODEOHRQWKH520DQGSURFHVV
SODQWWKURXJKSXWVWRFNSLOHVVKRXOGQRWEHFRPHWRRODUJHDQG
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
+XJRVIDPLO\SDUWLFXODUO\KLVZLIH+HOQD0LNH6PLWK.HLWK
:KLWHKRXVH 5RG 'DYLHV DQG RWKHU FROOHDJXHV RI +XJR DUH
VLQFHUHO\WKDQNHGIRUWKHLUDVVLVWDQFHWRSURGXFHDQGUHYLHZ
WKLVSDSHU
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
197
REFERENCES
&DUVZHOO-7<XOLD./HVPDQD'DQG6WHDP\.*UDGHFRQWURO
VDPSOLQJTXDOLW\DVVXUDQFHTXDOLW\FRQWUROLQDKLJKJUDGHJROG
PLQH*RVRZRQJ,QGRQHVLDLQProceedings Seventh International
Mining Geology ConferenceSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&DWWR%DQG&KXUFK32EWDLQLQJDUHSUHVHQWDWLYH5&VDPSOH
WKHFRQHVSOLWWHUYHUVXVWKHWLHUHGULIHVSOLWWHULQProceedings
)LIWK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQLQJ *HRORJ\ &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&RRNH ' DQG )LW]JHUDOG 0 7KH YDOXH RI JHRORJLFDO KXPDQ
FDSLWDO LQ WKH LPSURYHPHQW DQG PD[LPLVDWLRQ RI RUH GHSRVLW
YDOXH WKH .DOJRRUOLH &RQVROLGDWHG *ROG 0LQHV H[SHULHQFH
in Proceedings Eighth International Mining Geology Conference
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
&RRPEHV - The Art and Science of Resource Estimation A
Practical Guide for Geologists and Engineers S &RRPEHV
&DSDELOLW\3HUWK
)LW]JHUDOG 0 <RUN 6 &RRNH ' DQG 7KRUQWRQ ' %ODVW
PRQLWRULQJ DQG EODVW WUDQVODWLRQ FDVH VWXG\ RI D JUDGH
LPSURYHPHQW SURMHFW DW WKH )LPLVWRQ 3LW .DOJRRUOLH :HVWHUQ
$XVWUDOLD LQ Proceedings Eighth International Mining Geology
ConferenceSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
198
HOME
1. Consulting Geochemist, Mineral Mapping Pty Ltd, 24 Webb Street, Rossmoyne WA 6148. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
,WLVFRPPRQO\GLIFXOWWRXVHJHRORJLFDOREVHUYDWLRQVPDGH
IURP GULOO FRUH DQG UHYHUVH FLUFXODWLRQ 5& FKLSV WR FUHDWH
JHRORJLFDOPRGHOVEHFDXVHLQPRVWGHSRVLWVORJJLQJOLWKRORJ\
DQG DOWHUDWLRQ LV QRW HDV\ ,W LV D WDVN FRPPRQO\ DVVLJQHG
WR WKH PRVW LQH[SHULHQFHG JHRORJLVWV DQG EHFDXVH RI VWDII
WXUQRYHUWKHUHOHYDQWREVHUYDWLRQVPD\KDYHEHHQPDGHE\
D ODUJH QXPEHU RI JHRORJLVWV 7KH UHVXOW LV D KLJK GHJUHH RI
VXEMHFWLYLW\DQGLQDFFXUDF\LQWKHGDWDWKDWLVFROOHFWHG,QWKLV
SDSHUWKHXVHRIJHRFKHPLVWU\DQGVSHFWUDOORJJLQJWRFUHDWH
' PRGHOV RI JHRORJ\ DQG PLQHUDORJ\ LV GLVFXVVHG 7KUHH
FDVHVWXGLHVDUHSUHVHQWHG7KHUVWFDVHVWXG\VKRZVKRZD
JHRORJLFDOPRGHORIDQRURJHQLFJROGGHSRVLWZDVFUHDWHGIURP
V\VWHPDWLF ORJJLQJ RI GULOO FXWWLQJV ZLWK D SRUWDEOH LQIUDUHG
VSHFWURPHWHU7KLVVKRZVKRZDYDULRJUDPFRXOGEHFUHDWHG
DQG DSSOLHG WR JUDGH LQWHUSRODWLRQ XVLQJ UHDO JHRORJLFDO
FRQVWUDLQWVUDWKHUWKDQMXVWIURPVSDWLDOGLVWULEXWLRQRIDVVD\
YDOXHV7KHVHFRQGFDVHVWXG\VKRZVWKHFODVVLFDWLRQRIWKH
VLOLFDWH DOWHUDWLRQ PLQHUDORJ\ LQ DQ HSLWKHUPDO JROG GHSRVLW
E\ XVLQJ WKH UDWLRV RI PDMRU HOHPHQWV IURP DQ LQGXFWLYHO\
FRXSOHG SODVPD DWRPLF HPLVVLRQ VSHFWURVFRS\ ,&3$(6
JHRFKHPLFDODVVD\VXLWH$FODVVLFDWLRQRIPLQHUDORJ\LQWKLV
VLWXDWLRQKLJKOLJKWVWKH'GLVWULEXWLRQRIFOD\VSHFLHVWKDWPD\
EHGHOHWHULRXVLQWKHPLQHUDOSURFHVVLQJVLGHRIWKHRSHUDWLRQ
RUSHUKDSVFDXVHJHRWHFKQLFDOLVVXHVGXULQJPLQLQJ7KHWKLUG
FDVHVWXG\VKRZVWKHFODVVLFDWLRQRIVXOGHPLQHUDORJ\LQD
SRUSK\U\FRSSHUGHSRVLWE\XVLQJUDWLRVRI&X)H6$XDQG
$J$TXDQWLWDWLYH'PRGHORIWKHVXOGHVSHFLDWLRQVKRXOG
DVVLVWLQPLQHSODQQLQJDVWKHQDWXUHRIWKHPLOOIHHGZLOOEH
SUHGLFWDEOHWKURXJKWKHOLIHRIWKHPLQH
7KH6DOW&UHHN*ROG'HSRVLWLVORFDWHGDSSUR[LPDWHO\NP
VRXWKHDVW RI .DOJRRUOLH ,QWHJUD 0LQLQJ /LPLWHG
,W ZDV GLVFRYHUHG LQ E\ ,QWHJUD 0LQLQJ /LPLWHG 7KH
SUHPLQLQJ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH ZDV 0W DW JW$X IRU
R]RIFRQWDLQHGJROG7KHGHSRVLWLVKRVWHGLQDPDF
URFNZLWKSHUYDVLYHWH[WXUDOO\GHVWUXFWLYHFKORULWHDOWHUDWLRQ
7KHUH ZHUH QR GLVWLQFWLYH IHDWXUHV ZLWKLQ WKH PDF URFN
SDFNDJH WKDW DOORZHG UHFRJQLWLRQ RI DQ\WKLQJ PRUH WKDQ D
YHU\EURDGVWUDWLJUDSKLFVHTXHQFH$OOWKHHDUO\GULOOLQJZDV
5& ZKLFK PDGH URFN UHFRJQLWLRQ HYHQ PRUH GLIFXOW 7KH
GHSRVLWKDVDYHU\GLVWLQFWVXEKRUL]RQWDOSOXQJHEXWLQWKH
HDUO\VWDJHVRIGULOOLQJWKHJHRORJLFDOFRQWUROVRQWKHSOXQJH
JHRPHWU\ZHUHQRWREYLRXV
)URP YHU\ HDUO\ RQ LQ WKH GULOORXW DOO GULOO KROHV ZHUH
V\VWHPDWLFDOO\ORJJHGZLWKDSRUWDEOHLQIUDUHGVSHFWURPHWHU
7KH LQIUDUHG ORJJLQJ SURWRFRO XVHG DW 6DOW &UHHN ZDV WR
PHDVXUH RQH VSHFWUXP SHU PHWUH RI 5& FKLSV RU GLDPRQG
GULOO FRUH XVLQJ DQ $QDO\WLFDO 6SHFWUDO 'HYLFHV 7HUUD6SHF
LQVWUXPHQW 7KH VSHFWUD ZHUH PHDVXUHG RQ WKH VLOLFDWH
JURXQGPDVVQRWRQYHLQVRUVXOGHVLQRUGHUWRFRQVLVWHQWO\
PDSWKHDOWHUDWLRQPLQHUDORJ\DQGWRPHDVXUHVROLGVROXWLRQ
YDULDWLRQV LQ FKORULWH DQG VHULFLWH 7KH GDWD ZDV LQWHUSUHWHG
XVLQJ WKH &6,52 7KH 6SHFWUDO *HRORJLVW 76* VRIWZDUH
KWWSZZZWKHVSHFWUDOJHRORJLVWFRP
&KORULWHKDVDYHU\GLVWLQFWLYHLQIUDUHGVSHFWUXP)LJXUH
,W KDV WZR FKDUDFWHULVWLF DEVRUSWLRQ IHDWXUHV DW DURXQG
QP DQG QP 3RQWXDO 0HUU\ DQG *DPVRQ
7KHVHFRUUHVSRQGWRDEVRUSWLRQRIOLJKWE\)H2+ERQGVDQG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
199
FIG 1 - Stacked spectra of chlorite, showing the characteristic absorption features at 2250 and 2340 nanometres (nm). Note how the
wavelength at the minimum point for the 2250 nm feature shifts from 2250 nm for the blue spectrum up to 2260 nm for the red spectrum.
0J2+ERQGVLQWKHPLQHUDOVWUXFWXUH7KHH[DFWSRVLWLRQRI
WKHDEVRUSWLRQPLQLPDYDULHVGHSHQGLQJRQWKHVROLGVROXWLRQ
FRPSRVLWLRQ RI WKH FKORULWH 0DJQHVLXPULFK FKORULWHV
JHQHUDOO\ KDYH VKRUWHU ZDYHOHQJWKV DQG LURQULFK FKORULWHV
KDYHORQJHUZDYHOHQJWKV+HUUPDQQ et al
%\ VHOHFWLQJ WKH VXEVHW RI GDWD SRLQWV ZKHUH WKH 76*
VRIWZDUHSLFNHGRQO\FKORULWHDVWKHSK\OORVLOLFDWHSKDVHDQG
WKHQPDSSLQJWKHZDYHOHQJWKRIWKHQPIHDWXUHLQ'
LWZDVUHFRJQLVHGWKDWWKHUHZDVDYHU\GLVWLQFWVWUDWLFDWLRQ
LQWKHFKORULWHFKHPLVWU\)LJXUH$EDWFKRIKDOIFRUH
VDPSOHVZDVDVVD\HGE\DQLQGXFWLYHO\FRXSOHGSODVPDPDVV
VSHFWURPHWU\DWRPLF HPLVVLRQ VSHFWURVFRS\ ,&306$(6
PHWKRG WR FDOLEUDWH WKH VSHFWUDO VLJQDWXUHV DJDLQVW ZKROH
URFN FKHPLVWU\ 7KH FKHPLVWU\ GHPRQVWUDWHG WKDW WKH PDF
KRVWURFNDW6DOW&UHHNZDVDIUDFWLRQDWHGGROHULWHVLOO*LYHQ
WKHQHJUDLQHGWH[WXUDOO\GHVWUXFWLYHQDWXUHRIWKHFKORULWH
DOWHUDWLRQ LW ZDV LPSRVVLEOH WR UHFRJQLVH WKH IUDFWLRQDWLRQ
XQLWVZLWKLQWKHVLOOLQGULOOFRUHOHWDORQH5&FKLSV7KHFKORULWH
FKHPLVWU\ GHWHUPLQHG IURP WKH LQIUDUHG VSHFWUD SURYLGHG D
YHU\ VHQVLWLYH SUR[\ IRU PDSSLQJ WKH IUDFWLRQDWLRQ ZLWKLQ
WKHGROHULWH6XUSULVLQJO\WKHVROLGVROXWLRQYDULDWLRQVLQWKH
FKORULWHFKHPLVWU\DUHFRQWUROOHGE\WKHSUHH[LVWLQJFKHPLVWU\
RIWKHKRVWURFNQRWE\WKHQDWXUHRIWKHK\GURWKHUPDOXLG
2URJHQLFJROGV\VWHPVDUHGULYHQE\ORZVDOLQLW\QHXWUDOS+
XLGV LQ ZKLFK )H DQG 0J KDYH D UHODWLYHO\ ORZ PRELOLW\
,QDFLGLFVDOLQHK\GURWKHUPDOV\VWHPVWKHFKORULWHFKHPLVWU\
ZRXOG KDYH UHHFWHG K\GURWKHUPDO XLG FRQGLWLRQV UDWKHU
WKDQKRVWURFNFKHPLVWU\
)URP WKH ZDYHOHQJWK YDULDWLRQV LQ WKH FKORULWHV XSSHU
DQGORZHUERXQGDULHVRIWKHORQJZDYHOHQJWKGRPDLQZHUH
PRGHOOHGFRUUHVSRQGLQJWRWKHIUDFWLRQDWHGTXDUW]GROHULWH
$Q RIIVHW RQ WKH XSSHU PDUJLQ RI WKH IUDFWLRQDWHG TXDUW]
GROHULWH XQLW ZDV PDSSHG IURP WKH VSHFWUDO VLJQDWXUHV
7KLV FRUUHVSRQGHG WR D VPDOO GLVSODFHPHQW VKHDU ZKLFK
FRQWUROOHGWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQZLWKLQWKHVLOO7KHYDVWPDMRULW\
RIWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLVORFDWHGLQDEULWWOHYHLQDUUD\DGMDFHQW
WR WKH VKHDU ]RQH ZLWKLQ WKH TXDUW] GROHULWH )LJXUH 7KH
JHRORJLFDOPRGHOGHULYHGIURPWKHVSHFWUDOGDWDGHPRQVWUDWHV
DYHU\FRPPRQ.DOJRRUOLHWKHPH7KHSOXQJHRIWKHRUHERG\
LVFRQWUROOHGE\WKHLQWHUVHFWLRQRIDVPDOOGLVSODFHPHQWVKHDU
ZLWKDEULWWOHTXDUW]GROHULWH
FIG 2 - 3D view showing the distribution of chlorite-bearing spectra from the Salt Creek Gold deposit. This view is looking directly down the
plunge of the Salt Creek dolerite sill. The sample points are coloured by the wavelength of the 2250 nm Fe-OH absorption features from the
short-wave infrared (SWIR) spectra, as shown in Figure1.
200
FIG 3 - Cross-section of Salt Creek showing the upper and lower boundaries of the fractionated quartz dolerite unit
and the modelled shear zone. The drill strings are coloured by gold assays; blue <0.2 ppm Au, red >2.0 ppm Au.
,QWKLVPRGHOVSHFWUDZHUHPHDVXUHGZLWKDSRUWDEOH
VSHFWURPHWHU7KHDYHUDJHORJJLQJUDWHZDVPGD\IRU
5& FKLSV DQG PGD\ IRU GLDPRQG FRUH 7KH WRWDO FRVW
RI WKH VSHFWUDO ORJJLQJ LQFOXGLQJ LQVWUXPHQW KLUH RSHUDWRU
ZDJHVDQGLQWHUSUHWDWLRQZDVDURXQGFHQWVP$PRGHO
OLNHWKLVFRXOGQRWKDYHEHHQFUHDWHGIURPYLVXDOFRUHORJJLQJ
EHFDXVH WKH WH[WXUDOO\ GHVWUXFWLYH QDWXUH RI WKH FKORULWH
DOWHUDWLRQREVFXUHGWKHGROHULWHWH[WXUHV7KHVSHFWUDOORJJLQJ
HOLPLQDWHGVXEMHFWLYHELDVRIWKHJHRORJLVWV
7KH FRQVHTXHQFH RI KDYLQJ D UREXVW JHRORJLFDO PRGHO LV
WKDW WKH SOXQJH JHRPHWU\ RIWKHRUHERG\LVSUHGLFWDEOHDQG
VKRXOG EH DORQJ WKH LQWHUVHFWLRQ RI WKH VKHDU ]RQH DQG WKH
TXDUW] GROHULWH 7KLV SURYLGHV DQ LQGHSHQGHQW YDOLGDWLRQ
RI YDULRJUDPV JHQHUDWHG HQWLUHO\ IURP JUDGH GLVWULEXWLRQ
SDWWHUQV
DVVD\LQWHUYDO,QPLQHUDOV\VWHPVVXFKDVd|SOHUWKDWLQYROYH
IHOGVSDUGHVWUXFWLYHDOWHUDWLRQWKHPRVWXVHIXOSORWLVDPRODU
UDWLR RI .$O YHUVXV 1D$O &RQVLGHU D URFN WKDW LV WRWDOO\
VHULFLWLVHG7KHPLQHUDORJ\RIWKHURFNPLJKWEHPXVFRYLWH
TXDUW]FDUERQDWHS\ULWH $OO WKH . DQG $O LQ WKDW URFN LV
FRQWDLQHG ZLWKLQ PXVFRYLWH ZKLFK KDV D FRPSRVLWLRQ RI
.$O36L32102+2WKHUHIRUHWKHUDWLRRI.$OLQWKHVHULFLWLVHG
URFNLV6LPLODUO\DWRWDOO\.6SDU.$O6L328DOWHUHGURFN
KDVD.$OUDWLRRI,QWKHVDPHZD\DOELWLVDWLRQFDQDOVR
EHWUDFNHG$OELWHLV1D$O6L328ZLWK1D$O
)LJXUH VKRZV D .$O YHUVXV 1D$O PRODU UDWLR SORW
FRQVWUXFWHG IURP DVVD\ SRLQWV IURP WKH d|SOHU
GDWDEDVH )RU FODULW\ D SRLQW GHQVLW\ FRQWRXU RYHUOD\ KDV
EHHQ DSSOLHG 7KLV JXUH VKRZV DQ H[WUDRUGLQDU\ H[WHQW RI
1D GHSOHWLRQ 7KH VRGLXPGHSOHWHG URFNV KDYH FRPSOHWH
VSHFWUXPRI.$OUDWLRVIURPWR7KLVVKRZVDFRQWLQXXP
RIDOWHUDWLRQIURPLQWHQVHSK\OOLFDOWHUDWLRQWKURXJKWRLQWHQVH
DUJLOOLF DOWHUDWLRQ 7KH PLQHUDORJ\ UDQJHV IURP PXVFRYLWH
WR LOOLWH WR LQWHUOD\HUHG LOOLWHVPHFWLWH WR VPHFWLWH DQGRU
NDROLQLWH 7KH FOD\ PLQHUDORJ\ FDQQRW EH UHVROYHG IURP WKH
DVVD\V ,QIUDUHG VSHFWUD ZHUH QHHGHG WR GHWHUPLQH WKH FOD\
PLQHUDORJ\7KHK\SRJHQHFOD\VDUHSUHGRPLQDQWO\VPHFWLWH
EXWIHOGVSDUEHDULQJURFNVDUHZHDWKHUHGWRNDROLQLWHZLWKLQ
WKH VXSHUJHQH ]RQH ,W LV LPSRVVLEOH IRU WKH JHRORJLVWV WR
YLVXDOO\ GLVWLQJXLVK LQWHQVH LOOLWH IURP LQWHQVH VPHFWLWH
DOWHUDWLRQRUDQ\JUDGDWLRQLQEHWZHHQWKHWZRHQGPHPEHUV
SDUWLFXODUO\ZKHQPRVWRIWKHGULOOLQJLV5&
7KHPLQHUDORJ\FODVVLFDWLRQVDUHSORWWHGRQDORQJVHFWLRQ
WKURXJKd|SOHULQ)LJXUH7KLVJXUHKLJKOLJKWVWKHUROHRI
WKHOLPHVWRQHLQDFWLQJDVDFDSRQWKHK\GURWKHUPDOV\VWHP
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
201
FIG 4 - Feldspar-sericite K/Al versus Na/Al molar ratio plot for the pler assay data, also showing the projected compositions of some
common alteration minerals. This plot forms the basis for graphically defining the alteration mineralogy signatures for all the assay intervals.
FIG 5 - Alteration mineral classifications from molar ratio plots on a long-section of the pler deposit.
$ ORZJUDGH SRUSK\U\ FRSSHU FHQWUH LV DSSDUHQW IURP WKH
FRSSHU DVVD\V LQ )LJXUH 7KHUH LV DOVR D QDUURZ EDQG RI
FRSSHU HQULFKPHQW DW WKH EDVH RI WKH OLPHVWRQH 7KH DONDOL
HOHPHQWFRQWHQWVGRQRWFKDQJHVLJQLFDQWO\LQWKHSRWDVVLF
DOWHUDWLRQ]RQHEHFDXVHIHOGVSDUVDUHVWDEOHKHUH7KHUHLVD
PLQRUSRWDVVLXPDGGLWLRQZKHUHKRUQEOHQGHLVUHSODFHGE\
ELRWLWH*ROGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLVSULPDULO\UHODWHGWRWKHLQWHQVH
LOOLWHDOWHUDWLRQ)LJXUH
$ PLQHUDORJLFDO PRGHO OLNH WKLV FDQ VHUYH D QXPEHU RI
SXUSRVHVLQUHODWLRQWRWKHHVWLPDWLRQRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG
RWKHUDSSOLFDWLRQV)LUVWLWSURYLGHVVRPHLPSRUWDQWFOXHVLQ
WKHUHVRXUFHPRGHOOLQJWRKHOSGHFLVLRQPDNLQJDERXWJUDGH
FRQWLQXLW\DQGJUDGHFRUUHODWLRQVIURPKROHWRKROH,WLVYHU\
XVHIXOIURPDJHRWHFKQLFDOSHUVSHFWLYHEHFDXVHURFNKDUGQHVV
ZLOO EH FORVHO\ FRUUHODWHG ZLWK WKH EXON PLQHUDORJ\ RI WKH
URFN,WSURYLGHVWKHEDVLVIRUUHFRJQLVLQJSRWHQWLDOSUREOHPV
ZLWK SLW ZDOO VWDELOLW\ EHFDXVH WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ RI FOD\ULFK
GRPDLQVZLWKLQSODQQHGSLWZDOOVLVFOHDUO\KLJKOLJKWHG,WLV
DOVR YHU\ XVHIXO IURP D PHWDOOXUJLFDO SHUVSHFWLYH 6ZHOOLQJ
FOD\VPD\FDXVHSUREOHPVRQWKHOHDFKSDGVRULQPLOOFLUFXLWV
.QRZLQJ WKH ' GLVWULEXWLRQ RI WKH FOD\V DOORZV D WDUJHWHG
202
FDPSDLJQ RI WHVW ZRUN VR WKDW SRWHQWLDO SUREOHPV FDQ EH
HYDOXDWHGEHIRUHWKH\LPSDFWRQWKHRSHUDWLRQ
FIG 6 - pler long-section with copper assays: blue = Cu < 100 ppm, red = Cu > 1500 ppm.
FIG 7 - pler long-section with gold assays: blue = Au <0.1 ppm, red = Au >1.5 ppm. The red shape is a volume that encloses assay intervals
where the alteration has been geochemically classified as strong illite.
:KDW FDQ EH GRQH ZLWK WKLV GDWD LV D FODVVLFDWLRQ RI WKH
VXOGHPLQHUDORJ\IURP&X)H6$X$JUDWLRV
3RUSK\U\ FRSSHU GHSRVLWV DUH IRUPHG IURP YHU\ R[LGLVHG
K\GURWKHUPDO XLGV 6HHGRUI et al ,QLWLDOO\ DOO WKH
VXOIXUWKDWLVH[VROYHGIURPWKHXQGHUO\LQJPDJPDFKDPEHUV
LVLQWKHIRUPRI622$VWKHXLGFRROVEHWZHHQ&DQG
& 622 LV FRQYHUWHG WR +26 YLD D GLVSURSRUWLRQDWLRQ
UHDFWLRQ
622+22 +26+262
7KHRUHXLGLQLWLDOO\FRQWDLQVFRSSHULQH[FHVVRIUHGXFHG
VXOIXU VR ERUQLWH ZLWK D KLJK UDWLR RI &X WR 6 LV JHQHUDOO\
WKH UVW FRSSHU PLQHUDO SUHFLSLWDWHG LQ D SRUSK\U\ GHSRVLW
$V WKH VXSSO\ RI UHGXFHG VXOIXU LQFUHDVHV FKDOFRS\ULWH LV
SUHFLSLWDWHG DQG ZKHQ WKHUH LV DQ RYHUVXSSO\ RI UHGXFHG
VXOIXUS\ULWHLVIRUPHG7KHUHIRUHSRUSK\U\FRSSHUGHSRVLWV
JHQHUDOO\ VKRZ D ]RQDWLRQ SDWWHUQ IURP DQ LQQHU ERUQLWH
]RQHWRFKDOFRS\ULWHWRDQRXWHUDQGKLJKHUS\ULWHULFK]RQH
'LOOHV DQG (LQDXGL 0RGHOOLQJ WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ RI
WKH VXOGH PLQHUDOV LV LPSRUWDQW EHFDXVH WKH PHWDOOXUJLFDO
FKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHRUHZLOOFKDQJHVLJQLFDQWO\IURP]RQH
WR]RQH7KLVKDVWUDGLWLRQDOO\EHHQGRQHIURPYLVXDOORJJLQJ
203
FIG 8 - Ternary plot of Cu:Fe:S from the Haquira East Porphyry Copper Deposit. The grey points are samples with
Cu assays less than 0.1per cent. The colour scheme shows the sulfide mineralogy predicted from this ternary plot.
FIG 9 - Copper versus gold (left) and copper versus silver (right) scatterplots from Haquira East showing red points (defined as the chalcopyrite group) and
purple points (defined as the bornite group) from the ternary plot in Figure 8. Note the bimodal distribution on both plots.
DQGFKDOFRS\ULWH1RWHWKDWERWKWKHVHSORWVVKRZELPRGDO
SRSXODWLRQV 9LUWXDOO\ DOO WKH SRLQWV FODVVLHG DV ERUQLWH
EHDULQJ RFFXU LQ WKH KLJK$X KLJK$J SRSXODWLRQV 7KH
UHDVRQ IRU WKLV ELPRGDO GLVWULEXWLRQ LV WKDW ERUQLWH FRQWDLQV
VLJQLFDQWO\ KLJKHU OHYHOV RI $X DQG $J LQ VROLG VROXWLRQ
WKDQ FKDOFRS\ULWH 7HQ SHU FHQW RI WKH SRLQWV FODVVLHG DV
FKDOFRS\ULWHRYHUODSZLWKWKHERUQLWHSRLQWVRQWKH&XYHUVXV
$XDQG&XYHUVXV$JSORWV:KHQWKHQDWXUHRIWKHYHLQLQJ
DW+DTXLUDLVH[DPLQHGWKHUHDVRQIRUWKLVRYHUODSEHFRPHV
DSSDUHQW7KHUHLVDODWHUJHQHUDWLRQRITXDUW]PRO\EGHQLWH
S\ULWH YHLQV WKDW RYHUSULQWV HDUOLHU ERUQLWH DQG FKDOFRS\ULWH
YHLQLQJ7KHSRLQWVZLWKKLJK$X&XDQG$J&XFODVVLHG
DV FKDOFRS\ULWHEHDULQJ DUH DFWXDOO\ VDPSOHV ZLWK ERUQLWH
YHLQV RYHUSULQWHG ZLWK TXDUW]PRO\EGHQLWHS\ULWH WKXV
VKLIWLQJWKHPWRORZHUFRSSHUVXOIXUUDWLRV
7KXV E\ FRQVLGHULQJ WKH &X)H6$X$J UDWLRV ZLWKLQ WKH
DVVD\VDPSOHVHYHU\LQWHUYDOFDQEHFODVVLHGLQWHUPVRIWKH
OLNHO\VXOGHPLQHUDORJ\ZLWKLQWKHVDPSOHV7KLVSURYLGHV
WKHEDVLVIRUEXLOGLQJUREXVWPLQHUDORJLFDOPRGHOV)LJXUH
VKRZV D ERUQLWH HQYHORSH FUHDWHG IURP WKH PLQHUDORJLFDO
FODVVLFDWLRQ LQ WKLV GDWD VHW DQG )LJXUH VKRZV DQ
HQYHORSHRIERUQLWHSOXVFKDOFRS\ULWH,WZRXOGKDYHWDNHQD
204
PDQ\HDURIGHWDLOHGFRUHORJJLQJWRFROOHFWWKHGDWDWRFUHDWH
WKLVPRGHOEXWLWFDQEHGRQHGLUHFWO\IURPWKHDVVD\WDEOHLQ
PD\EH KDOI DQ KRXU ZLWKRXW WKH VXEMHFWLYLW\ RI WKH ORJJHU
,QWKHH[DPSOHLOOXVWUDWHGKHUHWKLVVKRXOGJUHDWO\LPSURYH
WKHUHOLDELOLW\RIPHWDOOXUJLFDOSUHGLFWLRQVIRUWKHRUHERG\DV
D ZKROH %RUQLWHULFK RUH PDNHV D KLJKHU JUDGH FRQFHQWUDWH
WKDQFKDOFRS\ULWHS\ULWHRUH
CONCLUSIONS
2YHU WKH ODVW \HDUV WKH VWDQGDUG FRPPHUFLDOO\ DYDLODEOH
DVVD\ WHFKQLTXHV KDYH FKDQJHG IURP DWRPLF DEVRUSWLRQ
VSHFWURPHWU\ $$6 WR LQVWUXPHQWDO QHXWURQ DFWLYDWLRQ
DQDO\VLV ,1$$ WR ,&3$(6 WR ,&306 7KH UHDO FRVW SHU
DVVD\KDVEDUHO\FKDQJHGEXWZHFDQQRZKDYHRUPRUH
HOHPHQWVURXWLQHO\DVVD\HGZLWKGHWHFWLRQOLPLWVZD\ORZHU
WKDQDYHUDJHFUXVWDODEXQGDQFHOHYHOV,QDGGLWLRQZHKDYH
DQDUUD\RISRUWDEOHLQVWUXPHQWVWKDWPHDVXUHFKHPLVWU\RU
GLUHFWO\PHDVXUHPLQHUDORJ\DWDUDWHIDVWHQRXJKWRXVHDV
URXWLQH ORJJLQJ LQVWUXPHQWV 7KLV UDSLG DQG FKHDS RIIWKH
VKHOI WHFKQRORJ\ TXDQWLHV FRUH ORJJLQJ LQ D ZD\ WKDW LV
YDVWO\ VXSHULRU WR ZKDW FDQ EH ORJJHG YLVXDOO\ 7KH GDWD LV
LQGHSHQGHQW RI REVHUYHU ELDV 7KH UHVXOWV FDQ EH SUHVHQWHG
FIG 10 - The Haquira East sulfide mineralogy predicted from the ternary plot in Figure 8 and the scatterplots
in Figure 9 were plotted in 3D and a volume was created to enclose the bornite-bearing assay intervals.
FIG 11 - The modelled chalcopyrite shell from Haquira East. Assay intervals within this shell contain bornite (Figure 10) or chalcopyrite with only minor pyrite.
LQ D FDWHJRULVHG IRUPDW IRU H[DPSOH WR GHVFULEH URFNW\SH
VLJQDWXUHV RU DOWHUDWLRQ PLQHUDORJ\ FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RU LQ
QXPHULF IRUPDWV WR GHVFULEH DEXQGDQFHV RU VROLG VROXWLRQ
FRPSRVLWLRQV RI PLQHUDOV RU PHWDO DEXQGDQFHV 7KH GDWD
IRUPDWVDUHLGHDOIRU'PRGHOOLQJ
7KH SRWHQWLDO DSSOLFDWLRQV RI JRRG TXDOLW\ ,&306$(6
GDWDDQGVSHFWUDOORJJLQJDUHOLPLWHGRQO\E\WKHLPDJLQDWLRQ
RI WKH JHRVFLHQWLVWV ,PPRELOH WUDFH HOHPHQWV FDQ EH XVHG
WR JHRFKHPLFDOO\ QJHUSULQW OLWKRORJLFDO XQLWV 7KH PDMRU
HOHPHQWVFDQEHXVHGWRTXDQWLI\WKHDOWHUDWLRQPLQHUDORJ\
0DSSLQJFOD\GLVWULEXWLRQVFDQEHXVHGWRSUHGLFWSRWHQWLDO
205
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
,QWHJUD0LQLQJQRZSDUWRI6LOYHU/DNH5HVRXUFHV/LPLWHG
$ODFHU *ROG &RUSRUDWLRQ DQG )LUVW 4XDQWXP 0LQHUDOV
/LPLWHGDUHWKDQNHGIRUSHUPLVVLRQWRXVHDQGSXEOLVKWKHLU
GDWD
REFERENCES
'LOOHV - + DQG (LQDXGL 0 7 :DOOURFN DOWHUDWLRQ DQG
K\GURWKHUPDORZSDWKVDERXWWKH$QQ0DVRQ3RUSK\U\&RSSHU
'HSRVLW 1HYDGD D NP YHUWLFDO UHFRQVWUXFWLRQ Economic
Geology
206
+HUUPDQQ:%ODNH0'R\OH0+XVWRQ'.DPSUDG-0HUU\1
DQG3RQWXDO66KRUWZDYHOHQJWKLQIUDUHG6:,5VSHFWUDO
DQDO\VLV RI K\GURWKHUPDO DOWHUDWLRQ ]RQHV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK
EDVH PHWDO VXOGH GHSRVLWV DW 5RVHEHU\ DQG :HVWHUQ 7KDUVLV
7DVPDQLDDQG+LJKZD\5HZDUG4XHHQVODQGEconomic Geology
,QWHJUD0LQLQJ/LPLWHG$QQXDOUHSRUW
3RQWXDO 6 0HUU\ 1 DQG *DPVRQ 3 *0(; YROXPH LQ
6SHFWUDO,QWHUSUHWDWLRQ)LHOG0DQXDO$XV6SHF,QWHUQDWLRQDO
6HHGRUII('LOOHV-+3URIIHWW-0(LQDXGL07=XUFKHU/6WDYDVW
:-$-RKQVRQ'$DQG%DUWRQ0'3RUSK\U\GHSRVLWV
FKDUDFWHULVWLFVDQGRULJLQRIK\SRJHQHIHDWXUHVEconomic Geology
WKDQQLYHUVDU\YROXPHSS
<LJLW2*ROGLQ7XUNH\DPLVVLQJOLQNLQ7HWK\DQPHWDOORJHQ\
Ore Geology Reviews
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Principal Structural Geologist, Director, Orefind Pty Ltd, PO Box 230, Fremantle WA 6959. Email: [email protected]
2. Adjunct Senior Research Fellow, School of Geosciences, Monash University, Clayton Vic 3800.
INTRODUCTION
0LQLQJ DQG H[SORUDWLRQ FRPSDQLHV ZRXOG EHQHW LI WKH
VWUXFWXUDOFRQWH[WRIDQ\PLQHUDOGHSRVLWDWWKHVFDOHRIWKH
GHSRVLW FRXOG EH REWDLQHG UDSLGO\ ZLWK OLWWOH HIIRUW 1RW
RQO\ ZRXOG WKLV IDVWWUDFN UHVRXUFH HYDOXDWLRQ DV LW ZRXOG
KLJKOLJKW D JHRPHWULF DQG VWUXFWXUDO IUDPHZRUN WR JXLGH
PRGHOOLQJ DQG JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ EXW LW ZRXOG DOVR EHQHW
QHDUPLQHH[SORUDWLRQ7KLVSDSHUUHLQWURGXFHVDFHQWXU\ROG
PDSSLQJSURMHFWLRQPHWKRGDQGFRPELQHVLWZLWKD\HDU
207
used in the analysis where available; however, analytical data especially assays are
the only geological data available at all exploration and mine sites. These analytical data
sets are much more reliable than subjectively obtained logged data.
208
WHFKQLTXHDOORZVVWUXFWXUDOO\DFFXUDWHJHRORJLFDOERGLHVWREH
FRQVWUXFWHG)LJXUHG
7KHUH DUH D IHZ H[DPSOHV RI GRZQSOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ LQ
VWUXFWXUDO JHRORJLFDO OLWHUDWXUH %DLOH\ DQG 0DF.LQ
&KDUOHVZRUWK /DQJHQEHUJ DQG 5DPVGHQ .LOE\ DQG
&KDUOHVZRUWK(OOLRWW/DQJHQEHUJDQG5DPVGHQ
%\ IDU WKH PRVW FRPPRQ XVH RI WKLV PHWKRG LV WR
GHWHUPLQH WKH WUXH SUROH VKDSHV RI IROGV IURP PDSSHG
JHRPHWULHVHJ6LPRQDQG*UD\5DJDQ&RZDQ
7UHDJXV7UHDJXVDQG'URRS
7KH GHVFULSWLRQ RI GRZQSOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ E\ 0DF.LQ
LQGLFDWHG WKDW WKH PHWKRG ZDV QRW UHVWULFWHG WR WKH
YLVXDOLVDWLRQ RI F\OLQGULFDO IROGV EXW ZDV DOVR XVHG LQ WKH
DQDO\VLVRIIDXOWVVHHDOVR7KUHHW0DF.LQQRWHGWKDW
WKHPHWKRGKDGEHHQXVHGE\(XURSHDQJHRORJLVWVIRUKDOID
FHQWXU\SULRUWRWKHSXEOLFDWLRQRIKLVSDSHUVRWKLVPHWKRG
KDV QRZ EHHQ ZHOO HVWDEOLVKHG IRU PRUH WKDQ D FHQWXU\
+H GHVFULEHG GRZQSOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ DV D YHU\ SRZHUIXO
VWUXFWXUDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ PHWKRG WKDW PD\ VKRUWFXW PDQ\
\HDUVRIJHRORJLFDOPDSSLQJ
The writer was introduced to the method by E B Bailey in
ZKHQ KH ZDV SULYLOHJHG WR ZDWFK %DLOH\ DSSO\ LW LQ
JUDVSLQJOLWHUDOO\DWDJODQFHWKHVWUXFWXUDOVLJQLFDQFHRI
a swirling outcrop pattern in the Pennsylvania Piedmont
that had been missed by two generations of competent
geologists by whom the area had been mapped 0DFNLQ
S
7KHVLJQLFDQFHRIWKLVVWDWHPHQWLVGLIFXOWWRFRPSUHKHQG
GRZQSOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ PD\ KDYH EHHQ XQGHUDSSUHFLDWHG
E\WKHJHRORJLFDOFRPPXQLW\+RZFRXOG0DF.LQFODLPWKDW
GRZQSOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ ZDV SRZHUIXO HQRXJK WR LQVWDQWO\
VROYH JHRORJLFDO SUREOHPV WKDW ZHUH XQVROYHG E\ WZR
JHQHUDWLRQVRIJHRORJLFDOPDSSLQJ"7KLVVHHPVSUHSRVWHURXV
DVWKHGRZQSOXQJHSURMHFWLRQWHFKQLTXHLVDVLPSOHYLHZLQJ
PHWKRGRORJ\ ZKHUHDV JHRORJLFDO PDSSLQJ LQ FRPSDULVRQ
LQYROYHV D ORW RI WLPH DQG FDUHIXOO\ FRQVLGHUHG JHRORJLFDO
DQDO\VLV 7KH IROORZLQJ QRQJHRORJLFDO H[DPSOHV PD\
FRQYLQFHWKRVHZKRDUHVFHSWLFDORI0DF.LQVFODLP
7KH FHQWXU\ROG GRZQSOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ LV LQ IDFW D
PRUH UHFHQW DSSOLFDWLRQ RI SHUVSHFWLYDO DQDPRUSKRVLV
D SUDFWLFH RI XVLQJ REOLTXH YLHZV WR PDNH VHQVH RI
GLVWRUWHG VKDSHV DQG LPDJHV 7KLV WHFKQLTXH ZDV UVW
XVHG E\ HDUO\ 5HQDLVVDQFH DUWLVWV LQ WKH IWHHQWK FHQWXU\
WKH UVW NQRZQ DQDPRUSKLF GUDZLQJV ZHUH E\ /HRQDUGR
GD9LQFL6FKZDUW]7KH$PEDVVDGRUV
D IDPRXV SRUWUDLW SDLQWHG LQ E\ *HUPDQ DUWLVW +DQV
+ROEHLQ WKH <RXQJHU GHSLFWV DQ DQDPRUSKLF
LPDJHRIDVNXOOWKDWFDQRQO\EHGHFLSKHUHGDWDYHU\ORZ
YLHZLQJDQJOHDSSUR[LPDWHO\IURPWKHSDLQWLQJVXUIDFH
)LJXUH 7KH VNXOO LV YLUWXDOO\ XQUHFRJQLVDEOH ZKHQ WKH
SDLQWLQJLVYLHZHGLQWKHQRUPDOIURQWRQYLHZ)LJXUHD
7KH ORZDQJOH YLHZLQJ RI WKLV SDLQWLQJ )LJXUH E DQG
DFFRPSDQ\LQJUHDOLVDWLRQRIWKHYLHZHUZKRUHFRJQLVHVWKDW
WKLVLVDVNXOOLVDQDORJRXVWRYLHZLQJIROGSUROHVWKDWDUH
SOXQJLQJORZDQJOHWRWKHHURVLRQVXUIDFHDQGWKHJHRORJLVW
FRPLQJ WR WKH XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH WUXH JHRPHWU\ RI WKH
IROGV RQO\ LQ WKDW GRZQSOXQJH YLHZ ,QWHUHVWLQJO\ WKLV
VDPHWHFKQLTXHLVXVHGFXUUHQWO\LQWKHGHVLJQRIDGYHUWLVLQJ
ORJRV IRU WHOHYLVLRQ %URZQ DQG 0HULHOG ZKLFK
DUH SDLQWHG RQ VSRUWLQJ HOGV GLVWRUWHG EXW DSSHDU WR VLW
XSULJKW XQGLVWRUWHG ZKHQ YLHZHG GRZQSOXQJH WKURXJK
WHOHYLVLRQFDPHUDV)LJXUHD&RQWLQXLQJLQWKHIRRWVWHSV
RIWKH5HQDLVVDQFHSDLQWHUVPRGHUQDUWLVWVFRQWLQXHWRXVH
X-Ray Plunge Projection Understanding Structural Geology from Grade Data| E J Cowan
FIG 1 - Down-plunge projection of a mapped lithological unit, with the down-plunge direction indicated by the red arrow in each image: (A) map view; (B) downplunge view to 25 to North reveals a fold profile view; (C) oblique view; (D) modelled folded unit using down-plunge projection view as reference line using an
implicit modelling software. Fold profile section is orthogonal to the fold plunge indicated by the red arrow. Map courtesy of Ragan (1985, Figure X14.2).
FIG 2 - (A) Hans Holbein the Youngers painting The Ambassadors (located at the National Gallery, London) depicts an anamorphic image of a skull that can only be
recognised as a skull at a very low viewing angle of 2 from the surface of the painting in the direction of the red arrow; (B) an undistorted view of the skull viewed
along the arrow in (A). Both images are in the public domain (Wikipedia contributors, 2011a, 2012a).
SHUVSHFWLYDO DQDPRUSKRVLV WR FUHDWH VSHFWDFXODU ZRUNV RI
DUWWKDWFDQRQO\EHXQGHUVWRRGIURPDYHU\QDUURZYDQWDJH
SRLQW DQG DUH FKDRWLF DQG LQFRPSUHKHQVLEOH LQ DQ\ RWKHU
YLHZ)LJXUHEWRG
$V LQ WKH FDVH RI WKHVH DQDPRUSKLF LPDJHV DQG ZRUNV RI
DUWGRZQSOXQJHSURMHFWLRQUHYHDOVWKHPRVWVHQVLEOHLPDJH
RQO\ DW D VSHFLF QDUURZO\ GHQHG YLHZ OLQH 7KH SDLQWLQJ
E\ +ROEHLQ )LJXUH DV ZHOO DV PRGHUQ DSSOLFDWLRQ RI
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
209
FIG 3 - Recent application of perspectival anamorphosis in advertising and in the arts. (A) Anamorphic projection is used for a Panasonic advertising logo at a rugby
match so that it appears upright and undistorted from the viewpoint of the television audience. At any other viewing angle, the logo appears distorted (GrassAds,
2013). (B) Felice Varini uses architecture and even entire villages as his canvases for his large-scale paintings (Varini, 2012). Varinis art makes sense from a particular
vantage point, in this case revealing a bullseye ring pattern (left), but the paint marks make little geometrical sense from any other viewpoint (right) (from Slade,
2013). (C) Anamorphic chalk drawing on a road surface by artist Leon Keer viewed from the optimal vantage point (Wikipedia contributors 2011b); to see how this
painting appears from other angles see Keer (2012). (D) A sculpture by Shigeo Fukuda is a jumbled mess in the foreground, but the mirrored reflection provides an
alternative view where it appears as an undistorted piano (Wikipedia contributors, 2012b).
WKH PHWKRG )LJXUH DSWO\ LOOXVWUDWHV KRZ VLJQLFDQW WKH
GRZQSOXQJHSURMHFWLRQPHWKRGFDQEH7KHUHIRUH0DF.LQV
FRQFOXVLRQ VKRXOG EH WDNHQ VHULRXVO\ LQ WKH FRQWH[W RI
HFRQRPLFGHSRVLWV
$QGLIWKHSXUSRVHRIWKHVWXG\RIWKHGLVWULFWLVHFRQRPLF
WKH JUDVS RI WKH SLFWXUH SURYLGHG E\ WKH GRZQVWUXFWXUH
view may mean the difference between success and failure of
the economic venture 0DF.LQS
7KLV LV D FUXFLDO VWDWHPHQW WKDW KDV DV PXFK UHOHYDQFH
WRGD\DVLWKDGLQSDUWLFXODUO\ZKHUHWKHUHLVHYLGHQFH
WR VXJJHVW WKDW SUDFWLFDO DSSOLFDWLRQ RI WKLV FHQWXU\ROG
PHWKRG WR DQDO\VH RUH GHSRVLWV KDV QRW EHHQ URXWLQHO\
DSSOLHG E\ PRGHUQ HFRQRPLF JHRORJLVWV &RLQFLGHQWDOO\
RQHRIWKHUDUHGLVFXVVLRQVRIRUHGHSRVLWVLQWKHFRQWH[WRI
GRZQSOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ ZDV ZULWWHQ E\ 0DF.LQ ,Q
WKH FRQWH[W RI RXWOLQLQJ PRGHUQ JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
4. As at May 2013, a Google image search for down-plunge projection, down plunge
WHFKQLTXHVIRUWKHSXUSRVHVRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ
0DF.HQ]LHDQG:LOVRQDGYLVHGJHRORJLVWVWRQRWRQO\
LQWHUSUHW JHRORJLFDO GDWD LQ WKH WUDGLWLRQDO YHUWLFDO VHFWLRQ
DQG SODQ YLHZV EXW DOVR PDNH XVH RI LQFOLQHG VHFWLRQV WR
LQYHVWLJDWH WUHQGV DQG VWUXFWXUHV DW RSWLPDO RULHQWDWLRQV
S 7KLV LV WKH FORVHVW UHFRPPHQGDWLRQ WR WKDW PDGH
E\ 0DF.LQ ZLWKRXW VSHFLF UHIHUHQFH WR WKH GRZQSOXQJH
SURMHFWLRQPHWKRG
:LWKWKHDGYHQWRIIDVWSHUVRQDOFRPSXWHUVWKHJUDSKLFDO
GLVSOD\ RI WKH GRZQSOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ YLHZ KDV EHFRPH
HIIRUWOHVV +DQVIRUG DQG &ROOLQV GLVFXVV WKLV LQ WKH
FRQWH[WRIDQDPRUSKLFLPDJHV3ORWWLQJRIWKHSURMHFWLRQRQ
SDSHUDVZDVWKHFDVHIRUUHVHDUFKHUVLQWKHVDQGV
LVQRORQJHUUHTXLUHG
:KLOH WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI WKH GRZQSOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ
PHWKRG WR JUDGH GDWD WR DVVLVW WKH VWUXFWXUDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
RI PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV LV HQWLUHO\ QHZ WKH SURMHFWLRQ PXVW EH
UHODWLYH WR VRPH JHRORJLFDO IHDWXUH VHHQ LQ WKH PLQHUDOLVHG
SDWWHUQIRUWKLVPHWKRGWRZRUN7KHGLUHFWLRQLQZKLFKZH
VKRXOG EH YLHZLQJ LV GLVFXVVHG LQ WKH FRQWH[W RI VWUXFWXUDO
V\PPHWU\
X-Ray Plunge Projection Understanding Structural Geology from Grade Data| E J Cowan
STRUCTURAL SYMMETRY
6\VWHPDWLF VWXGLHV RI VWUXFWXUDO IDEULF DQDO\VLV EHJDQ ZLWK
WKH ZRUN RI 6DQGHU DQG ZDV ODWHU H[SRXQGHG E\
UHVHDUFKHUVVXFKDV.QRSIDQG,QJHUVRQ3DWWHUVRQDQG
:HLVVDQG7XUQHUDQG:HLVV7KHVHHDUO\ZRUNV
ZHUH HVWDEOLVKHG RQ DSSO\LQJ V\PPHWU\ SULQFLSOHV XVHG LQ
PLQHUDORJ\ WR GHVFULEH URFN IDEULF UHODWLRQVKLSV )XUWKHU
ZRUNE\VWUXFWXUDOUHVHDUFKHUVHJ)OLQQ5DPVD\
HVWDEOLVKHG WKDW VWUDLQ LV D PHDVXUHDEOH TXDQWLW\ WKDW
FDQEHLQIHUUHGIURPURFNIDEULF7KHVHZRUNHUVDUHDVPDOO
VDPSOHRIWKHODUJHQXPEHURIVWUXFWXUDOJHRORJLVWVIURPWKH
ODVWFHQWXU\ZKRPDGHJUHDWDGYDQFHVLQWKHXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RIURFNIDEULFVWKHLULGHDVKDYHEHFRPHWKHEDVLVRIPRGHUQ
VWUXFWXUDO DQDO\VLV WHFKQLTXHV 0XFK RI WKH UHVHDUFK
ZRUN VLQFH KDV EXLOW RQ WKH NH\ REVHUYDWLRQV DQG FRQFHSWV
HVWDEOLVKHG E\ WKHVH SLRQHHUV RI PRGHUQ VWUXFWXUDO DQDO\VLV
PRUHWKDQ\HDUVDJR
7KHIDEULFRIPLQHUDOGHSRVLWVREVHUYHGLQJUDGHGLVWULEXWLRQ
DQG V\PPHWU\ UHHFWV WKH VWUXFWXUDO VWDWH RI WKH KRVW URFNV
LGHQWLHGE\WKHVHSLRQHHULQJZRUNV<HWWKLVVKRXOGQRWEH
VXUSULVLQJDVVXPLQJWKDWJUDGHGLVWULEXWLRQLVFRQWUROOHGE\
VWUXFWXUHVWKURXJKZKLFKK\GURWKHUPDOXLGVRZDQGWKXV
E\ LPSOLFDWLRQ WKH HVWDEOLVKPHQW RI VWUXFWXUDO SHUPHDELOLW\
GXULQJ GHIRUPDWLRQ SOD\V D NH\ UROH LQ WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ RI
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQLQWKHGHIRUPHGKRVWURFNHJ&R[(WKHULGJH
DQG:DOO+REEV
6RPHUHSUHVHQWDWLYHVWUXFWXUDOV\PPHWU\V\VWHPVREVHUYHG
LQ UHDO GHSRVLWV DUH LOOXVWUDWHG LQ )LJXUH WKH VWUXFWXUDO
SHUPHDELOLW\ FUHDWHG E\ WKHVH IDEULFV LV LQWHUSUHWHG WR EH
WKH PDLQ FRQWURO RI JUDGH GLVWULEXWLRQ LQ WKLV JXUH 7KH
H[DPSOHV VKRZQ GR QRW UHSUHVHQW DQ H[KDXVWLYH OLVW WKHUH
ZRXOGEHOLPLWOHVVYDULDWLRQVEDVHGRQWKHVHEDVLFJHRPHWULHV
FRPELQHG ZLWK QHVWHG DUUDQJHPHQWV RI WKHVH IHDWXUHV DW
YDULRXVVFDOHV7KHUHIRUHLWZRXOGEHSRLQWOHVVWRDWWHPSWWR
GRFXPHQWLQ)LJXUHWKHYDULRXVSHUPXWDWLRQVRIVWUXFWXUDO
JHRPHWULHV WKDW FRXOG H[LVW LQ QDWXUH 7KH REMHFWLYH RI WKLV
SDSHU LV WR GHVFULEH D VLPSOH PHWKRGRORJ\ IRU JUDGH GDWD
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ WKH DELOLW\ WR UHFRJQLVH VWUXFWXUDO IHDWXUHV
XVLQJWKHGRZQSOXQJHSURMHFWLRQPHWKRGZLOOGHSHQGRQWKH
VWUXFWXUDOJHRORJLFDOH[SHULHQFHRIWKHJHRORJLVW
,QVWHDGRIZRUNLQJZLWKGULOOKROHLQWHUYDOGDWDWKHDXWKRU
KDV IRXQG WKDW GHVXUYH\HG PLGSRLQW GDWD H[SUHVVHG DV
[\]JUDGH LV EHVW VXLWHG IRU WKH HIIHFWLYH LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RI
GDWD)LJXUH9LVXDOLVLQJDYROXPHGDWDVHWFDQEHDFKLHYHG
E\ VLPSO\ LQFUHDVLQJ WKH SRLQW VL]H RI WKH DVVD\ SRLQWV VR
WKDW JDSV EHWZHHQ WKH SRLQWV DUH OOHG LQ WKXV SURGXFLQJ
VLPXODWHG'YROXPHGDWD7KLVDOORZVDQDOPRVW'YROXPH
0,3DQDO\VLVRIGULOOKROHGDWDWREHFRQGXFWHGMXVWE\XVLQJ
WKH]LQGH[RUGHULQJFDSDELOLW\LQ2SHQ*UDSKLFV/LEUDU\RU
2SHQ*/67KH]LQ]LQGH[UHIHUVWRWKHFRPSXWHUPRQLWRU
FRRUGLQDWHD[LVRUWKRJRQDOWRWKHFRPSXWHUVFUHHQLQZKLFK
REMHFWV WKDW DUH ORFDWHG IDU IURP WKH YLHZHU DUH PDSSHG
EHKLQG REMHFWV WKDW DUH FORVH WR WKH YLHZHU 7KH GHIDXOW
' UHQGHULQJ RI JUDGH SRLQW GDWD XVLQJ WKH ] LQGH[ ZRXOG
UHQGHUWKHFORVHVWSRLQWVORZYDOXHVRI]LQIURQWRISRLQWV
WKDWDUHIXUWKHUDZD\KLJKYDOXHVRI],QPRVWPLQHUDOLVHG
V\VWHPV WKH KLJK JUDGHV DUH VXUURXQGHG E\ ORZ JUDGHV VR
WKHGHIDXOWLVWRUHQGHUWKHORZHUJUDGHVLQIURQWRIWKHKLJK
JUDGHVWKXVPDVNLQJWKHKLJKJUDGHFRUH+RZHYHULIWKH]
LQGH[ LV RUGHUHG DFFRUGLQJ WR WKH JUDGH YDOXHV UDWKHU WKDQ
WKHGLVWDQFHDZD\IURPWKHREVHUYHUWKHKLJKHVWJUDGHSRLQWV
DUH DOZD\V UHQGHUHG LQ IURQW RI ORZHU JUDGH SRLQWV WKXV
5. This is defined by three vectors that are not mutually orthogonal and of unequal length.
211
FIG 4 - A selection of fabric symmetries of geological structures: (A) bedding fabric representing axial symmetry, but linear axis is absent; (B) pure linear fabric with
axial symmetry; (C) sheath fold with extreme stretch representing orthorhombic symmetry; (D) conjugate fault system with orthorhombic symmetry; (E) upright fold
with orthorhombic symmetry; (F) faulted bedded fabric with monoclinic symmetry; (G) C-S fabric with monoclinic symmetry; (H) overturned folding with monoclinic
symmetry; (I) multi-phase folding with triclinic symmetry. All examples except (A) and (I) display a first-order linear fabric of either elongation or intersection
lineation that can be used for down-plunge projection. In (A) linear fabric is absent and in triclinic fabric (I) there may be local linear axes as indicated by the arrows.
WKH0,3UHQGHUHGJUDGHGDWDVHWRQDFRPSXWHUPRQLWRU7KH
PDMRUDGYDQWDJHRI0,3LVWKDWLWUHTXLUHVYHU\OLWWOHFRPSXWHU
JUDSKLFDOSURFHVVLQJSRZHUWKHUHIRUHLWLVHDV\WRSURJUDP
WKLV GLVSOD\ PHWKRG LQWR DQ\ PLQLQJ VRIWZDUH SURGXFW
FXUUHQWO\DYDLODEOH
&RPELQLQJWKH0,3PHWKRGRIGDWDGLVSOD\ZLWKSK\VLFDO
URWDWLRQ RI WKH GDWD LQWR GRZQSOXQJH YLHZ cf 0DF.LQ
DOORZV WKH JHRORJLVW WR TXLFNO\ GHWHUPLQH WKH OLQHDU
JUDGH DOLJQPHQW LQ VSDUVH DVVD\V VDPSOHG ZLWK GULOO KROHV
7KH LQIRUPDO WHUP LQWURGXFHG LQ WKLV SDSHU WR GHVFULEH WKLV
DQDO\WLFDO PHWKRG LV ;UD\ SOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ 8VLQJ ;UD\
SOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ D JHRORJLVW ZLWK VWUXFWXUDO DQDO\WLFDO
H[SHULHQFH FDQ UDSLGO\ LGHQWLI\ WKH VWUXFWXUDO JHRPHWULHV RI
PLQHUDOGHSRVLWVRIWHQZLWKLQPLQXWHVRIYLHZLQJWKHGDWD
6XFK UDSLG DQG DFFXUDWH JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV DUH QRW
SRVVLEOH ZLWK UHODWLYHO\ PRUH FRPSOH[ DQG H[SHQVLYH '
PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRGV LQFOXGLQJ ERWK H[SOLFLW DQG LPSOLFLW
PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRGV cf &RZDQ et al +RZHYHU ZKHQ
FRPELQHG ZLWK LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ WKH XVH RI ;UD\ SOXQJH
SURMHFWLRQ FDQ UHVXOW LQ YHU\ DFFXUDWH JHRORJLFDO PRGHOV IRU
UHVRXUFHHYDOXDWLRQSXUSRVHV
7. As at May 2013, maximum intensity projection is only available commercially in
X-Ray Plunge Projection Understanding Structural Geology from Grade Data| E J Cowan
FIG 6 - A synthetic grade data set with red representing ore and blue indicating
waste. (A) Low grades surround the high grade so the geometry of the ore
cannot be deciphered easily; (B) maximum intensity projection on an arbitrary
viewing direction yields nothing that is geologically sensible; (C) only the
down-plunge orientation reveals a fold profile; (D) original fold-shaped mesh
object used to create the data; (E) ore boundary is modelled using implicit
modelling software without the need for digitisation.
DQG LV DOVR WKH PRVW FRQWLQXRXV GLUHFWLRQ RI WKH RUH ERG\
7KLVRULHQWDWLRQLVWKH;UD\SOXQJHSURMHFWLRQOLQH
7KLV H[HUFLVH LOOXVWUDWHG LQ )LJXUH KDV EHHQ UHSHDWHG
E\ KXQGUHGV RI JHRORJLVWV ZLWK D ZLGH UDQJH RI H[SHULHQFH
VLQFHGXULQJJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJWUDLQLQJVHVVLRQVE\
WKHDXWKRUDQGHYHU\WLPHWKHGRZQSOXQJHRULHQWDWLRQZDV
UHSOLFDWHGE\DOOJHRORJLVWVWRZLWKLQDFRQHRIDSSUR[LPDWHO\
7KH YLVXDOO\ HVWLPDWHG SULQFLSDO GLUHFWLRQV RI WKH JUDGH
GLVWULEXWLRQDUHWKHQXVHGWRJXLGHLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJZKLFK
FDQEHDFFRPSOLVKHGUDSLGO\DQGDFFXUDWHO\VLPLODUPRGHOV
FDQ EH JHQHUDWHG E\ PDQ\ JHRORJLVWV ZLWKRXW UHVRUWLQJ
WR WLPHFRQVXPLQJ DQG LQDFFXUDWH VHFWLRQDO GLJLWLVDWLRQ
)LJXUH H )RU WKLV H[HUFLVH D W\SLFDO LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ
SURFHVV DVVLVWHG E\ ;UD\ SOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ WDNHV PLQXWHV
)XUWKHUPRUH EHFDXVH WKH D[LV RI WKH IROG LV LGHQWLHG DQG
EHFDXVHWKLVRULHQWDWLRQFDQEHUHSOLFDWHGDFFXUDWHO\E\PDQ\
JHRORJLVWV WKH UHVXOWLQJ PRGHOV RI WKH IROG DUH YLUWXDOO\
LGHQWLFDO WR HDFK RWKHU 7KXV WKH VSHHG RI PRGHOOLQJ DQG
WKH UHSURGXFLELOLW\ RI WKH JHRORJLFDO PRGHO E\ PXOWLSOH
JHRORJLVWVLVLPSURYHG$KDQGGLJLWLVHGPRGHOWKDWKDVEHHQ
PHWLFXORXVO\FRQVWUXFWHGIURPRQHVHFWLRQWRDQRWKHUXVLQJ
WUDGLWLRQDOH[SOLFLWPHWKRGVFDQQRWUHSOLFDWHWKHDFFXUDF\RI
WKHPRGHOLOOXVWUDWHGLQ)LJXUHH
&RQYHUVHO\ WKH EOLQG XVH RI LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRGV
ZLWKRXWVWUXFWXUDOJHRORJLFDOFRQWH[WLVQRWHQFRXUDJHGWKLV
DSSURDFKZLOORQO\\LHOGWKHLQFRUUHFWDQVZHUPRUHTXLFNO\
WKDQWUDGLWLRQDOVHFWLRQDOGLJLWLVDWLRQ6HQVLEOHUHVXOWVFDQQRW
EH H[SHFWHG IURP XVLQJ LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ DV D JHRORJLFDO
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
213
PRGHOOLQJWRROLILPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJLVOHIWWRGHIDXOWLVRWURSLF
SURFHVVLQJ SDUDPHWHUV $ EOLQG EODFNER[ DSSURDFK WR
LVRWURSLF LPSOLFLW GDWD PRGHOOLQJ LV VHYHUHO\ OLPLWHG DV LW
ZLOOQRWQHFHVVDULO\UHYHDOVWUXFWXUDOJHRPHWU\HYHQIURPD
SHUIHFWO\PDQXIDFWXUHGGDWDVHWHJ)LJXUH,QWKLVUHVSHFW
WUDGLWLRQDO PHWKRGV RI VHFWLRQDO GLJLWLVDWLRQ FRQGXFWHG LQ
VHFWLRQV RUWKRJRQDO WR WKH SULQFLSDO D[HV RI WKH REMHFW ZLOO
\LHOGEHWWHUUHVXOWVLIXVHGLQFRQMXQFWLRQZLWK;UD\SOXQJH
SURMHFWLRQ WKDQ D EOLQG LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ DSSURDFK WKDW
LJQRUHVVWUXFWXUDOJHRPHWU\
7KH NH\ WR XVLQJ ;UD\ SOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ RQ UHDO GDWD
LV XQGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH VWUXFWXUDO JHRORJLFDO SDWWHUQV RI WKH
JUDGH GDWD DV UHYHDOHG E\ 0,3 LW LV ZURQJ WR DVVXPH WKDW
LPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJDORQHZLOOKHOSWKHJHRORJLVWXQGHUVWDQG
WKHJHRORJ\DQ\EHWWHU%DUQHVDQG*RVVDJH$VRXQG
DSSURDFKLVIRUWKHJHRORJLVWWRXQGHUVWDQGWKHJHRORJ\XVLQJ
0,3beforeEHJLQQLQJWKHPRGHOOLQJSURFHVV
FIG 7 - Grade control data from a plunging anticlinal fold hinge with an average plunge of 28. All images of grade interval mid-points are shown with maximum
intensity projection rendering: (A) traditional vertical section view reveals some intersecting patterns of grade continuity, but patterns are not clear; (B) the
longitudinal section reveals the plunge of grade continuity indicated by the arrow; (C) viewing down-plunge, parallel to the arrow shown in (B); (D) interpreted
bedding (solid black lines) and fault (dashed grey lines). The grade lineation (seen in B) is the result of intersecting bedding and faults developed in the fold hinge,
but this structural relationship can only be seen in the very narrow view-line parallel to the plunge of the fold (C, D).
214
X-Ray Plunge Projection Understanding Structural Geology from Grade Data| E J Cowan
*UDGHGLVWULEXWLRQRUWKRJRQDOWRWKHJUDGHOLQHDWLRQLVFOHDUO\
SDUWLWLRQHG DQG FRQWUROOHG E\ EHGGLQJ DQLVRWURS\ WKH D[LDO
SODQDU IDXOWLQJ DQG VWUXFWXUDO SHUPHDELOLW\ SURGXFHG E\
RWKHUQRQD[LDOSODQDUIDXOWVWKDWFRQWDLQWKHIROGD[LVVXFK
DV IDXOWV WKDW SURSDJDWH IURP IROG OLPEV DQG FURVVFXW WKH
D[LDOSODQH
$OORIWKHLQWHUVHFWLQJVWUXFWXUDOIDEULFVVKRZQFDQUHVXOWLQ
DFRPSOH[SDWWHUQHVSHFLDOO\ZKHQYLHZHGLQSODQKRZHYHU
ZKHQYLHZHGLQWKHWUXHIROGSUROHSODQHWKHSDWWHUQVPDNH
VHQVH JHRORJLFDOO\ )LJXUH F G 7KH LQWHUVHFWLQJ SODQDU
DQLVRWURSLHV IRUP D VWUXFWXUDO SHUPHDELOLW\ ]RQH WKDW LV
HIIHFWLYHO\ OLQHDU LQ FRQWLQXLW\ )LJXUH E DQG UHHFWV WKH
JUDGHGLVWULEXWLRQLQWKHIROGKLQJH$OWKRXJKWKLVSDWWHUQFDQ
EH XQGHUVWRRG ZLWK UHODWLYH HDVH ZKHQ GHQVH JUDGH FRQWURO
GDWD LV DQDO\VHG E\ ;UD\ SOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ WKH JHRORJLVWV
VWUXFWXUDO JHRORJLFDO VNLOOV DUH HVVHQWLDO WR LQWHUSUHW VSDUVH
H[SORUDWLRQGDWD
Exploration data
(OHYHQ UHDO GHSRVLWV RI YDULRXV FRPPRGLWLHV DUH VKRZQ LQ
)LJXUH $OO VHFWLRQV DUH RUWKRJRQDO WR WKH ORQJHVW D[LV RI
WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ FRQWLQXLW\ LGHQWLHG E\ ;UD\ SOXQJH
SURMHFWLRQ DQG DOO DUH YLHZV RI WKH HQWLUH GHSRVLW :LWK
WKH H[FHSWLRQ RI )LJXUHV H DQG J ZKLFK DUH PL[WXUHV RI
H[SORUDWLRQDQGJUDGHFRQWUROGDWDDOORWKHUGDWDUHSUHVHQW
H[SORUDWLRQGULOOLQJ7KHIROORZLQJVWUXFWXUDOFRQWUROVFDQEH
VHHQLQWKHJUDGHGDWD)LJXUHVDDQGEDUHRUWKRUKRPELF
IDXOWFRQWUROOHG PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZLWK WKH KLJKHVW JUDGHV
RFFXUULQJ DORQJ WKH IDXOW LQWHUVHFWLRQV UHIHU WR )LJXUH G
)LJXUHFLVEHGGLQJFURVVFXWE\QRUPDOIDXOWVZLWKDOLQHDU
JUDGH FRQWLQXLW\ DW WKH EHGGLQJ DQG IDXOW LQWHUVHFWLRQV
)LJXUH I )LJXUHV G WR L DUH RUWKRUKRPELF DV ZHOO DV
PRQRFOLQLF IROG V\VWHPV ZLWK ODUJHO\ IROGD[LV SDUDOOHO
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ )LJXUHV H DQG K )LJXUH M UHSUHVHQWV D
PRQRFOLQLF &6 IDEULF cf %HUWKp &KRXNURXQH DQG -HJRX]R
DWWKHGHSRVLWVFDOHZLWKWKHJUDGHFRQWLQXLW\SDUDOOHO
WRIROLDWLRQ6DQGWKH&6LQWHUVHFWLRQ)LJXUHJ)LJXUHN
FIG 8 - Structural interpretations of the plunge-orthogonal maximum intensity projection grade renderings of a wide range of commodities. Dark grey lines are
faults; white lines are traces of bedding or foliation; dashed black lines are traces of axial planes. Scale bars are all 100m and views are at or near entire deposit scale.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
215
VKRZVVKHDWKIROGVZLWKWKHJUDGHFRQWLQXLW\SDUDOOHOWRWKH
H[WUHPHH[WHQVLRQOLQHDWLRQ)LJXUHF
7KHH[DPSOHVLQ)LJXUHLOOXVWUDWHWKHSRZHURIXVLQJWKH
;UD\ SOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ PHWKRG WR LGHQWLI\ WKH UVWRUGHU
VWUXFWXUDO GHWDLOV 7KH\ DOVR KLJKOLJKW WKDW WKH VWUXFWXUDO
FRQWUROV FDQ EH HVWDEOLVKHG HDUO\ IRU YLUWXDOO\ DQ\ GHSRVLW
XVLQJ JUDGH GDWD DORQH ZLWKRXW WKH QHHG IRU LQWHUSRODWLRQ
RI JUDGH XVLQJ LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ VRIWZDUH RU H[WHQVLYH
VHFWLRQDOGLJLWLVDWLRQ
WKHPXFKVKRUWHUWLPHIUDPHWRSURGXFHWKHPRGHO
WKH FORVH FRUUHVSRQGHQFH ZLWK WKH DLPV RI UHVRXUFH
HYDOXDWLRQ WKDW LV WKH UHVRXUFH JHRORJLVW LV LQWHUHVWHG
SULPDULO\ LQ WKH JHRPHWU\ DQG VKDSH RI WKH JUDGH
HQYHORSHDQGWKHH[SHFWHGLQWHUQDOGLVWULEXWLRQRIJUDGH
DQG FRQWUROV ERWK DVSHFWV FDQ EH DGGUHVVHG ZLWK WKLV
FRPELQHG ;UD\ SOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ DQG HOG DQDO\VLV
DSSURDFK
WKH PXOWLK\SRWKHVLV DSSURDFK WKDW LV WHVWDEOH DV
VWUXFWXUDO SUHGLFWLRQ LV PDGH XVLQJ RQH YDULDEOH JUDGH
GLVWULEXWLRQ DQG SUHGLFWV SDWWHUQV LQ DQRWKHU LQGHSHQ
GHQWVHWRIYDULDEOHVDWDGLIIHUHQWVFDOHVWUXFWXUDOSDWWHUQV
LQWKHHOG
DISCUSSION
Structural geology as the framework for
interpretation
*HRORJLVWV JHQHUDOO\ DFFHSW WKDW WHFWRQLF SURFHVVHV LQ RQH
IRUPRUDQRWKHUDUHUHVSRQVLEOHIRUWKHIRUPDWLRQRIQHDUO\
DOO PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV RQ (DUWK ,I DOPRVW DOO GHSRVLWV DUH
VWUXFWXUDOO\FRQWUROOHGRUPRGLHGLQVRPHZD\LWLVORJLFDO
WRH[SHFWWKDWVWUXFWXUDOIHDWXUHVVKRXOGEHREVHUYDEOHIURP
WKHJUDGHGLVWULEXWLRQSDWWHUQVRIPLQHUDOGHSRVLWV
+RZHYHU KLVWRU\ VKRZV WKDW IXQGDPHQWDO VWUXFWXUDO
JHRORJLFDO FRQFHSWV DQG DQDO\WLFDO WHFKQLTXHV GHYHORSHG
RYHU WKH ODVW FHQWXU\ KDYH QRW SOD\HG D FHQWUDO UROH LQ
WKH XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH JHRPHWU\ DQG IDEULF RI PLQHUDO
GHSRVLWV$OWKRXJKWKHHFRQRPLFJHRORJ\OLWHUDWXUHLVUHSOHWH
ZLWKRUHJHQHVLVPRGHOVWKHUHLVOLWWOHSXEOLVKHGHYLGHQFHWR
VXJJHVW WKDW WKH PDMRULW\ RI WKHVH WKHRUHWLFDO PRGHOV KDYH
FRQVLGHUHG SULPDU\ GHSRVLW JHRPHWU\ DQG VWUXFWXUDO IDEULF
216
X-Ray Plunge Projection Understanding Structural Geology from Grade Data| E J Cowan
1HYHUWKHOHVVPRVWGHSRVLWDQDO\VLVVWXPEOHVDWOHYHODQG
JRHV RII RQ D WDQJHQW VLPSO\ EHFDXVH WKH YLHZ RULHQWDWLRQ
WR FRQGXFW WKH JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ LV LQDSSURSULDWH
7\SLFDOO\ WKLV LV EHFDXVH WKH JHRORJLVW XVHG WUDGLWLRQDO
VHFWLRQDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ PHWKRGRORJ\ ZKLFK LV FXUUHQWO\
WKH PRVW SRSXODU PHWKRG RI JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
KRZHYHU WKH DXWKRU GRHV QRW EHOLHYH WKDW WKLV WHFKQLTXH LV
EHQHFLDODVWKHSOXQJHGLUHFWLRQRIPLQHUDOGHSRVLWVKDVQR
UHODWLRQVKLS WR WKH GULOO KROH IHQFH OLQH RULHQWDWLRQ %DUQHV
DQG *RVVDJH 7KH &DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ
0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXPV &,0 (VWLPDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV %HVW 3UDFWLFH *XLGHOLQHV
&,0 DSSHDUV WR KDYH UHFRJQLVHG WKLV LVVXH DQG WKH
JXLGHOLQHVIRULQWHUSUHWDWLRQVPDGHLQ'VRIWZDUHVWRSVKRUW
RIUHFRPPHQGLQJWKDWJHRORJLVWVFRQGXFW'LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV
LQ WUDGLWLRQDO VHFWLRQV DQG SODQ YLHZV ,QVWHDG &,0V
UHFRPPHQGDWLRQ LV IRU JHRORJLVWV WR validate WKH LQWHUSUHWHG
PRGHOV RQ SODQ DQG RUWKRJRQDO VHFWLRQ WR HYDOXDWH WKH
UHOLDELOLW\RIWKHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ%HFDXVHVHFWLRQDOO\
GLJLWLVHG LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV KDYH SUROLIHUDWHG LQ WKH LQGXVWU\
WKLV UHFRPPHQGDWLRQ LV D EROG PRYH E\ WKH &,0 EXW LW LV
FRQVLVWHQWZLWKWKHQGLQJVRIWKLVSDSHUDQGDQH[DPSOHRI
PRGHUQJHRORJLFDOEHVWSUDFWLFH
$QRWKHUUHFHQWWUHQGWRPRGHOOLQJPLQHUDOGHSRVLWVLVWKDWRI
WU\LQJWRVROYHOHYHORIWKHSX]]OHZLWKRXWUVWTXHVWLRQLQJ
RUVROYLQJWKHSUHYLRXVOHYHOVZKLFKLVHVVHQWLDOIRUHIIHFWLYH
DQG DFFXUDWH JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ 8QIRUWXQDWHO\ WKLV
DSSURDFK LV KRZ ZRUNRZV RI VRPH LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ
VRIWZDUH SDFNDJHV DUH GHVLJQHG WRGD\ 7KLV GDWDFHQWULF
PRGHOOLQJ ZRUNRZ IROORZHG E\ LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ GHSHQGV
HQWLUHO\RQPHDQLQJIXOSDWWHUQVIDOOLQJRXWRIWKHGDWDZKLFK
LQPRVWFDVHVGRHVQRWRFFXUXQOHVVWKHGDWDDUHYHU\GHQVHO\
VDPSOHG&RPSDQLHVZKRUHO\RQVXFKVRIWZDUHZRUNRZV
ZLOOIDLOWRH[WUDFWPD[LPXPEHQHWIURPWKHLUGDWDDQGPD\
DOVREHXQNQRZLQJO\LQWURGXFLQJLQWHUSUHWDWLRQXQFHUWDLQW\
LQWR WKHLU UHVRXUFH HYDOXDWLRQ SURFHVV ,Q FRQWUDVW WR VORZ
VHFWLRQDOGLJLWLVDWLRQPRGHUQLPSOLFLWPHWKRGVRIJHRORJLFDO
PRGHOOLQJ DOORZ DQ\ QXPEHU RI YHU\ SUHFLVH JHRORJLFDO
PRGHOVWREHFRQVWUXFWHGIURPGULOOKROHDQGPDSSHGGDWD
7KLVFDSDELOLW\LVERWKDEOHVVLQJDQGDFXUVHDVDOOPRGHOV
ZLOOSHUIHFWO\KRQRXUWKHGULOOKROHGDWDDQGFDQEHFUHDWHG
YHU\ UDSLGO\ HYHQ E\ D VRIWZDUH XVHU ZKR PD\ QRW KDYH
WKHDSSURSULDWHHGXFDWLRQLQJHRORJ\$Q\QXPEHURIWKHVH
PRGHOVZLOOORRNUHDODVWKH\KRQRXUWKHGDWDEXWLQUHDOLW\
FDQ EH DOO JHRORJLFDOO\ LQDFFXUDWH DQG WKLV LV XQIRUWXQDWHO\
WKH H[SHFWHG FRQVHTXHQFH RI VNLSSLQJ VWUDLJKW WR VROYLQJ
OHYHORIWKHSX]]OH
CONCLUSIONS
9LUWXDOO\ DOO PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV DUH HPSODFHG GXULQJ WKH
IRUPDWLRQ RI VWUXFWXUDO SHUPHDELOLW\ RU KDYH EHHQ DOWHUHG
LQ JHRPHWU\ GXULQJ GHIRUPDWLRQ \HW FXULRXVO\ VWUXFWXUDO
JHRORJ\ UHPDLQV DQ XQGHUDSSUHFLDWHG VXEGLVFLSOLQH LQ
HFRQRPLFJHRORJ\*HQHUDOO\JHRORJLVWVZKRPRGHOJHRORJ\
IRU UHVRXUFH HYDOXDWLRQ SXUSRVHV GR QRW FRQVXOW VWUXFWXUDO
JHRORJLVWVIRUPRGHOOLQJWDVNVRUDGYLFHQRUVWXG\VWUXFWXUDO
JHRORJ\ OLWHUDWXUH <HW WKH DXWKRUV UHVHDUFK DQG SUDFWLFDO
H[SHULHQFHVRPHRIZKLFKLVRXWOLQHGLQWKLVSDSHUVKRZVWKDW
XQGHUVWDQGLQJWKHVWUXFWXUDOJHRORJ\ZLOOSODFHDQ\PLQHUDO
GHSRVLW LQ D JHRORJLFDOO\ ORJLFDO IUDPHZRUN IRU PLQLQJ DQG
QHDUPLQHH[SORUDWLRQVXFFHVV:LWKWKLVPRGHUQLVHGYHUVLRQ
RI GRZQSOXQJH SURMHFWLRQ LW LV QRZ SRVVLEOH WR H[SRVH D
ZHDOWKRILQIRUPDWLRQWKDWFDQLPPHGLDWHO\EHQHWDQ\RSHQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
217
SLWDQGXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQWKDWKDVJUDGHFRQWURO
GDWD VHWV JDWKHULQJ GXVW LQ LWV DUFKLYHV 7KH NQRZOHGJH
JDLQHG IURP VXFK DQ H[HUFLVH FDQ WKHQ EH H[WUDSRODWHG WR
LQWHOOLJHQW LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RI UHODWLYHO\ OHVV GHQVH JUDGH GDWD
IURP H[SORUDWLRQ GULOOLQJ )LUVWRUGHU VWUXFWXUDO JHRORJLFDO
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ VKRXOG IRUP D FRUH RI NQRZOHGJH WR JXLGH
QRW RQO\ JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ EXW IRUP D IUDPHZRUN IRU
YDULRJUDSK\DQGUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ/DLQJ
7KH HPSKDVLV RQ VWUXFWXUDO JHRORJ\ FUHDWHV FKDOOHQJHV
$QHFGRWDOO\WKHDXWKRULVDZDUHWKDWYHU\IHZJHRORJLVWVDUH
YHUVHGLQVWUXFWXUDOJHRORJ\,WLVHVWLPDWHGWKDW per centRI
WKHWLPHRUPRUHGULOOFRUHRULHQWDWLRQDQGWKHTXDOLW\RIGDWD
DUHVXVSHFWHGWRFRQWDLQHUURUVRUPLVWDNHV+ROFRPE
'DYLV DQG WKH DXWKRU EHOLHYHV WKDW WKLV UHHFWV
WKH JHQHUDO VWDWH RI WKH PLQHUDOV LQGXVWU\ QRW FDULQJ DERXW
VWUXFWXUDOJHRORJLFDOLVVXHV%\FRQWUDVWD per centIDLOXUH
UDWHZRXOGQRWEHWROHUDWHGIRUWKHTXDOLW\DVVXUDQFHTXDOLW\
FRQWURO RI DVVD\ GDWD $OWKRXJK WHFKQRORJLHV VXFK DV WKH
GRZQKROHWHOHYLHZHUDUHOLNHO\WRUHSODFHPDQXDOVWUXFWXUDO
FRUH ORJJLQJ LQ VRPH VXLWDEOH RSHUDWLRQV HJ *UDGLP et al
WKH FROOHFWLRQ RI KLJKTXDOLW\ VWUXFWXUDO GDWD ZLOO
VWLOO UHTXLUH LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQG IRUPXODWLRQ RI D VHQVLEOH
JHRORJLFDO XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI DQ\ GHSRVLW :KLOH WUDGLWLRQDO
PHWKRGVKDYHUHOLHGRQWKHLQVLGHRXWPHWKRGRIVWUXFWXUDO
JHRORJLFDOLQYHVWLJDWLRQLWLVSRVVLEOHWRREWDLQWKHVWUXFWXUDO
FRQWH[W DW WKH GHSRVLW VFDOH DQG ZRUN IURP WKH RXWVLGHLQ
UHVXOWLQJLQDPXFKPRUHFRVWHIIHFWLYHDQGDFFXUDWHPHWKRG
RIJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQWKDWFDQEHXVHGIRUERWK0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHHYDOXDWLRQDQGH[SORUDWLRQ
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHLGHDWKDWVWUXFWXUDOJHRORJ\VKRXOGEHDNH\FRPSRQHQWRI
UVWRUGHUVFDOHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRIPLQHUDOGHSRVLWVDQGIRUPD
FRUQHUVWRQHIRUJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJEHJDQZKHQWKHDXWKRU
MRLQHG65.&RQVXOWLQJDVDVWUXFWXUDOJHRORJLFDOFRQVXOWDQWLQ
7KHFRPELQDWLRQRIUDSLG'LQWHUSRODWLRQZLWKVWUXFWXUDO
JHRORJLFDOSUDFWLFHZDVIRUPXODWHGE\WKHDXWKRUDQGWKLVOHG
WRWKHDXWKRUFRQWDFWLQJWKH$SSOLHG5HVHDUFK$VVRFLDWLRQRI
1HZ=HDODQG$5$1=LQ$SULODVDUHVXOWRID*RRJOH
VHDUFK7KHDXWKRUOHGWKHGHVLJQDQGPDUNHWLQJRI/HDSIURJ
VRIWZDUHIURPWRDVJHQHUDOPDQDJHURI=DSDUR/WG
DMRLQWYHQWXUHFRPSDQ\EHWZHHQ65.&RQVXOWLQJ$XVWUDOLD
DQG $5$1= $5$1= SURJUDPPHUV GHYHORSHG /HDSIURJ
XQGHU WKH GLUHFWLRQ RI 'U +XJKDQ - 5RVV WKH WKHQ FKLHI
VRIWZDUH DUFKLWHFW RI /HDSIURJ &DUHIXO FRQVLGHUDWLRQ ZDV
PDGHVRWKDWDVWUXFWXUDOJHRORJLFDOIUDPHZRUNIRUPRGHOOLQJ
DVRXWOLQHGLQWKLVSDSHUZDVLPSOHPHQWHGLQWKHGHVLJQRI
/HDSIURJ DQG +XJKDQ ZDV LQVWUXPHQWDO LQ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ
DQG LQFRUSRUDWLQJ WKH VWUXFWXUDO JHRORJLFDO WHFKQLTXHV
WR /HDSIURJ DQG PDNLQJ WKH WRROV ZRUNDEOH +XJKDQ LV
WKDQNHGIRUEHLQJDJRRGOLVWHQHUDQGIRUUHDFKLQJVLJQLFDQW
GHYHORSPHQWDO PLOHVWRQHV IRU /HDSIURJ VRIWZDUH ZLWK WKH
DXWKRURQHRIZKLFKZDVWKHLQFRUSRUDWLRQRI0,3UHQGHULQJ
LQ/HDSIURJQRZPDUNHWHGDV/HDSIURJ0LQLQJZKLFKWR
WKLV GD\ LV DQ LQGXVWU\ UVW 'U 3HWHU :LOOLDPV WKH IRUPHU
PDQDJLQJ GLUHFWRU RI 65. &RQVXOWLQJ DQG 0U -LP 7XUSLQ
IRUPHUEXVLQHVVPDQDJHURI/HDSIURJDW$5$1=DUHERWK
WKDQNHGIRUWKHLUWLUHOHVVVXSSRUWGXULQJWKHGHYHORSPHQWRI
/HDSIURJIURPWKURXJK,DQ0D\HOGLVWKDQNHG
IRUSURYLGLQJSHUPLVVLRQWRXVHWKHUXJE\XQLRQLPDJHIURP
WKH*UDVV$GVZHEVLWHDQGDFRS\RIWKHUHOHYDQWSDWHQW
7KH FRQFHSWV VXPPDULVHG LQ WKLV SDSHU ZHUH IRUPXODWHG
E\ WKH DXWKRU LQGHSHQGHQWO\ RI $5$1= 7KH XVH RI ;UD\
218
REFERENCES
$UPVWURQJ0Basic Linear GeostatisticsS6SULQJHU9HUODJ
%HUOLQ
%DLOH\ ( % DQG 0DF.LQ - + 5HFXPEHQW IROGLQJ LQ WKH
3HQQV\OYDQLD3LHGPRQWSUHOLPLQDU\VWDWHPHQWAmerican Journal
of Science,
%DUQHV-)+DQG*RVVDJH%/7KHGRVDQGGRQWVRIJHRORJLFDO
DQG JUDGH ERXQGDU\ PRGHOV DQG ZKDW \RX FDQ GR DERXW LW LQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
WR *RRG 3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
%HUWKp ' &KRXNURXQH 3 DQG -HJRX]R 3 2UWKRJQHLVV
P\ORQLWHDQGQRQFRD[LDOGHIRUPDWLRQRIJUDQLWHVWKHH[DPSOH
RIWKH6RXWK$UPHULFDQ6KHDU=RQH-RXUQDORI6WUXFWXUDO*HRORJ\
%URZQ0-:DQG0HULHOG0-'HSLFWLRQRILPDJHVXVLQJ
LQYHUVH SHUVSHFWLYH WUDQVIRUPDWLRQ WR SURYLGH ' HIIHFW
,QWHUQDWLRQDO3DWHQW$SSOLFDWLRQ1XPEHU
&DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP &,0
(VWLPDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV
%HVW3UDFWLFH*XLGHOLQHV>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZHE
FLPRUJ8VHU)LOHV)LOH(VWLPDWLRQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV0LQHUDO
5HVHUYHVSGI! &DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ
0HWDOOXUJ\DQG3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
&KDUOHVZRUWK + $ . /DQJHQEHUJ & : DQG 5DPVGHQ -
'HWHUPLQLQJ D[HV D[LDO SODQHV DQG VHFWLRQV RI PDFURVFRSLF
IROGV XVLQJ FRPSXWHUEDVHG PHWKRGV Canadian Journal of Earth
Sciences
&KLOqV - 3 $XJ & *XLOOHQ $ DQG /HHV 7 0RGHOOLQJ WKH
JHRPHWU\ RI JHRORJLFDO XQLWV DQG LWV XQFHUWDLQW\ LQ ' IURP
VWUXFWXUDOGDWDWKHSRWHQWLDOHOGPHWKRGLQOrebody Modelling
and Strategic Mine Planning Uncertainty and Risk Management
Models SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&RZDQ(-0DJQHWLFIDEULFFRQVWUDLQWVRQWKHLQLWLDOJHRPHWU\
RI WKH 6XGEXU\ ,JQHRXV &RPSOH[ D IROGHG VKHHW RU D EDVLQ
VKDSHGLJQHRXVERG\"7HFWRQRSK\VLFV
&RZDQ(-7KHGHSRVLWPRGHOSDUDGR[LQStructural Geology and
5HVRXUFHV ([WHQGHG DEVWUDFWV YROXPH HG - 9HDUQFRPEH
$XVWUDOLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI*HRVFLHQWLVWV3HUWK)
&RZDQ ( - 7KH P\WK RI VHFWLRQDO JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ SDUW
>RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZRUHQGFRPEORJ
RUHILQGBEORJWKHP\WKRIVHFWLRQDOJHRORJLFDO
PRGHOOLQJSDUW!>$FFHVVHG0D\@
&RZDQ ( - %HDWVRQ 5 . 5RVV + - )ULJKW : 5 0F/HQQDQ 7 -
(YDQV75&DUU-&/DQH5*%ULJKW'9*LOOPDQ$-2VKXVW
3$DQG7LWOH\03UDFWLFDOLPSOLFLWJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ
in Proceedings )LIWK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQLQJ *HRORJ\ &RQIHUHQFH HG
6'RPLQ\SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&RZDQ ( - %HDWVRQ 5 . 5RVV + - )ULJKW : 5 0F/HQQDQ 7 -
DQG 0LWFKHOO 7 - 5DSLG JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ LQ Applied
6WUXFWXUDO*HRORJ\IRU0LQHUDO([SORUDWLRQDQG0LQLQJ,QWHUQDWLRQDO
Symposium Abstract Volume HG 6 9HDUQHFRPEH
$XVWUDOLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI*HRVFLHQWLVWV3HUWK
X-Ray Plunge Projection Understanding Structural Geology from Grade Data| E J Cowan
219
220
:LNLSHGLDFRQWULEXWRUVD)LOH+DQV+ROEHLQWKH<RXQJHU7KH
$PEDVVDGRUV*RRJOH$UW3URMHFWMSJ>RQOLQH@:LNLSHGLD7KH)UHH
Encyclopedia >RQOLQH@$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSHQZLNLSHGLDRUJ
ZLNL)LOH+DQVB+ROEHLQBWKHB<RXQJHUBB7KHB$PEDVVDGRUVBB
*RRJOHB$UWB3URMHFWMSJ!>$FFHVVHG0D\@
:LNLSHGLD FRQWULEXWRUV E )LOH 2SWLVFKH LOOXVLRQ SLDQRMSJ
>RQOLQH@:LNLSHGLD7KH)UHH(QF\FORSHGLD>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOHIURP
KWWSHQZLNLSHGLDRUJZLNL)LOH2SWLVFKHBLOOXVLRQBSLDQR
MSJ!>$FFHVVHG0D\@
:LNLSHGLDFRQWULEXWRUV0D[LPXPLQWHQVLW\SURMHFWLRQ>RQOLQH@
:LNLSHGLDWKH)UHH(QF\FORSHGLD>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOHIURPKWWS
HQZLNLSHGLDRUJZLNL0D[LPXPBLQWHQVLW\BSURMHFWLRQ!
>$FFHVVHG0D\@
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Resource Development Geologist, Department of Resource Development, Newmont Boddington Gold, PO Box 48, Boddington WA 6390. Email: [email protected]
2. FAusIMM, Principal Structural Geologist, Director, Orefind Pty Ltd, PO Box 230, Fremantle WA 6959. Email: [email protected]
3. Adjunct Senior Research Fellow, School of Geosciences, Monash University, Clayton Vic 3800.
INTRODUCTION
7KH $FKDHDQ 6DGGOHEDFN *UHHQVWRQH %HOW LV ORFDWHG LQ WKH
VRXWKZHVW<LOJDUQ&UDWRQ:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLDDQGKRVWVWKH
%RGGLQJWRQ *ROG $X&X GHSRVLW )LJXUH ZLWK FXUUHQW
UHVHUYHVRI 0R]$XDQG 0OEV&X1HZPRQW0LQLQJ
&RUSRUDWLRQ
5H\QROGV0LQLQJGLVFRYHUHGJROGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDWWKHVLWH
LQ GXULQJ D VXUIDFH ODWHULWH VDPSOLQJ SURJUDP )URP
WR:RUVOH\$OXPLQDDQG+HGJHVSURFHVVHGNQRZQ
R[LGH UHVRXUFHVRI 0R]$X ,Q 1HZPRQW0LQLQJ
&RUSRUDWLRQ DFTXLUHG WKH GHSRVLW DQG LQLWLDWHG D EHGURFN
GULOOLQJSURJUDPGULOOLQJPRUHWKDQPRIGLDPRQG
GULOOFRUHWRGDWH5HVHUYHFRQYHUVLRQGULOOLQJZDVFRQGXFWHG
RQPPVSDFLQJ
7KH GHSRVLW LV D ORZJUDGH EXON WRQQDJH RSHUDWLRQ
FKDOOHQJHG E\ D EDUUHQ 3URWHUR]RLF GROHULWH G\NH VZDUP
WKDW FURVVFXWV WKH RUHERG\ YHUWLFDOO\ DQG KRUL]RQWDOO\ DQG
DFFRXQWVIRUSHUFHQWRIWKHWRWDOUHVHUYHSLWVKHOOYROXPH
+LJKGULOOGHQVLW\ZDVTXLFNO\HVWDEOLVKHGDFURVVWKHGHSRVLW
DQG DOLJQHG GROHULWH LQWHUFHSWV UHYHDOHG VWURQJ FRQWLQXLW\
DORQJ VWULNH IRU HDFK G\NH *HRORJLVWV FDQ HDVLO\ LGHQWLI\
WKHVH G\NHV LQ GLDPRQG GULOO FRUHV DQG EODVW KROHV E\ WKHLU
XQDOWHUHG QDWXUH FKDUDFWHULVWLF SHUYDVLYH JUHHQ FRORXU DQG
DEUXSW FRQWDFWV DORQJ ZLWK WKH SUHVHQFH RI FKLOOHG PDUJLQV
7KHGROHULWHGDWDIURPWKHGLDPRQGGULOOFRUHORJVLVVKRZQ
LQ)LJXUH
0RGHOOLQJZDVWHGRPDLQVDFFXUDWHO\LVYLWDOIRUHYDOXDWLQJ
WKHHFRQRPLFVRIDGHSRVLWDQGPDLQWDLQLQJXSWRGDWHZDVWH
GRPDLQVLVDKLJKSULRULW\IRUGULOOKROHGHVLJQDQGUHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQSXUSRVHV0LG\HDUDQGHQGRI\HDUEORFNPRGHO
HVWLPDWLRQV UHO\ RQ WKHVH GRPDLQV WR HOLPLQDWH ZDVWH IURP
DOO JUDGH FDOFXODWLRQV 3UHYLRXVO\ GROHULWH ZDVWH GRPDLQV
ZHUHFRQVWUXFWHGDW1HZPRQW%RGGLQJWRQ*ROG1%*XVLQJ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
221
FIG 1 - Location map showing the position of Newmont Boddington Gold in Western Australia.
FRQYHQWLRQDO H[SOLFLW PHWKRGV RI PRGHOOLQJ DYDLODEOH IURP
0LQH6LJKW VRIWZDUH D JHQHUDOLVHG PLQLQJ SURGXFW *03
7KLVSURFHVVUHTXLUHGVHYHUDOPRQWKVRIVHFWLRQDOGLJLWLVDWLRQ
IROORZHG E\ ZLUHIUDPLQJ WKDW WLHG WKH VHFWLRQDO SRO\OLQHV
$Q\ IXUWKHU UHQHPHQWV KDG WR XVH WKH VDPH PHWKRG
0RGHOOLQJ EDVHG RQ ' LQWHUSRODWLRQ ZDV LQWURGXFHG PRUH
UHFHQWO\&RZDQ et alDQGKDVEHHQVXFFHVVIXOLQ
PRGHOOLQJWKHVHG\NHV
BACKGROUND
FIG 2 - Distribution of all dolerite drill log data collected at the Boddington
gold deposit. The drill hole traces have been removed for clarity. The outlined
areas represent the 2012 reserve pit shells at 150m, relative level (RL) above
sea level (scale in metres).
222
,PSOLFLWJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJLVD'LQWHUSRODWLRQPHWKRGRI
JHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ&RZDQ et alLQFRQWUDVWH[SOLFLW
PHWKRGVRIJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJUHTXLUHH[WHQVLYHVHFWLRQDO
GLJLWLVDWLRQDQGVXEVHTXHQWW\LQJEHWZHHQVHFWLRQDOSRO\OLQHV
,PSOLFLW PHWKRGV RI PRGHOOLQJ ZKHQ XVHG DSSURSULDWHO\
DQGZKHQWKH\LQFRUSRUDWHVWUXFWXUDOJHRORJ\DVDPRGHOOLQJ
IUDPHZRUNFDQVDYHZHHNVRUHYHQPRQWKVRIWLPHWRPRGHO
JHRORJLFDOERGLHVIURPGULOOKROHDQGPDSSHGGDWD
(IIHFWLYHO\ WKHUH DUH WZR ZD\V WR PRGHO JHRORJLFDO
ERGLHVXVLQJLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJVRIWZDUHVXFKDV/HDSIURJ
YROXPH SRLQW DQG WDEXODU JHRPHWU\ PRGHOOLQJ ERWK
Practical Implicit Dyke Modelling for Resource Estimation Newmont Boddington Gold, Western Australia| D J Haddow and E J Cowan
PHWKRGVGHSHQGRQWKHSULPDU\JHRPHWU\RIWKHJHRORJLFDO
ERGLHVEHLQJPRGHOOHG
YDOXHVRIOLWKRORJLFDOFRQWDFWVREWDLQHGIURPORJJHGGULOOKROH
GDWD,WLVDYHU\H[LEOHPHWKRGRIPRGHOOLQJEHFDXVHLWFDQ
PRGHO YHU\ FRPSOH[ JHRORJLFDO JHRPHWULHV ,Q /HDSIURJ
VRIWZDUH YROXPH SRLQW PRGHOOLQJ LQYROYHV FRQYHUWLQJ
OLWKRORJLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQIURPGULOOKROHORJJLQJWRQXPHULFDO
SRLQWV WKXV FUHDWLQJ SRLQWV LQ WKH YROXPH RI LQWHUHVW 7KLV
PHWKRGZDVLQLWLDOO\XVHGWRPRGHOWKHGROHULWHG\NHV
7RFRUUHFWO\FRQYHUWOLWKRORJ\WRQXPHULFDOYDOXHVWKDWFDQ
EH LQWHUSRODWHG WKH JHRORJLFDO FKURQRORJ\ PXVW EH FOHDUO\
HVWDEOLVKHGSULRUWRPRGHOOLQJ7KHGROHULWHG\NHVZDUPFURVV
FXWV WKH 6DGGOHEDFN *UHHQVWRQH %HOW DQG DOO LWV DVVRFLDWHG
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DQG GHIRUPDWLRQ HYHQWV FRQYHQLHQWO\
WKLV DOORZV WKH G\NHV WR EH PRGHOOHG LQGHSHQGHQWO\ IURP
RWKHU ROGHU OLWKRORJLHV 2QFH WKH JHRORJLFDO FKURQRORJ\ LV
HVWDEOLVKHG WKH GROHULWH G\NH FRQWDFW SRLQWV ZLWK ROGHU
URFN XQLWV DUH DVVLJQHG D YDOXH RI WKH LQVLGH RI WKH G\NH
SURSDJDWHG ZLWK SRLQWV DUH DVVLJQHG YDOXHV RI DQG WKH
RXWVLGHZLWKYDOXHVRI&RQWDFWVZLWK\RXQJHUURFNXQLWV
DUH LJQRUHG DV WKH FRQWLQXLWLHV RI WKH G\NHV ZRXOG KDYH
H[LVWHGSULRUWR\RXQJHUXQLWVWKDWODWHUFURVVFXWWKHG\NHV
HJR[LGH]RQH%\LQWHUSRODWLQJWKHVHQXPHULFDOYDOXHVZLWK
DORFDO'IXQFWLRQWRUHHFWORFDOWUHQGVDQG'FRQWRXULQJ
LVRVXUIDFH PHVKLQJ RI WKH ]HUR YDOXH WKH RXWSXW FORVHO\
UHVHPEOHVWKHGROHULWHG\NHV,QDOLWKRORJLFDOPRGHORI
WKH%RGGLQJWRQ3URWHUR]RLFGROHULWHG\NHVDQG$FKDHDQZDOO
URFNVZDVPRGHOOHGXVLQJWKLVWHFKQLTXH)LJXUH
9ROXPH SRLQW PRGHOOLQJ ZRUNV ZHOO IRU WDEXODU G\NHV
LI WKH GULOO KROH VDPSOLQJ GHQVLW\ LV KLJK DQG WKH GULOO KROH
GLVWDQFH LV VLPLODUO\ VSDFHG WR WKH G\NH ZDOO GLVWDQFH $W
1%* WKLV LQWHUSRODWLRQ PHWKRG ZRUNV ZHOO LQ VRPH DUHDV
EXW LQ PDQ\ RWKHUV WKH G\NHV WDSHU DQG DUH QRW ODWHUDOO\
FRQWLQXRXVDVH[SHFWHGWKHFRQVHTXHQFHRIVSDUVHGULOOKROH
VDPSOLQJ)LJXUH*HQHUDWHGLQWKLVPRGHOIDOOVVKRUW
RI1%*VGRPDLQLQJUHTXLUHPHQWVEHFDXVHWKHG\NHVDUHQRW
PRGHOOHGDVFRQWLQXRXVWDEXODUJHRPHWULHVWKXVUHVXOWLQJLQ
RYHUHVWLPDWLRQRIPHWDOFRQWHQW
FIG 3 - 2012 vertical dolerite waste domain model. The outlined areas
represent the 2012 reserve pit shells at 150m, relative level (RL) above sea
level (scale in metres).
223
FIG 5 - Barren Proterozoic dykes (green) that cross-cut mineralised Achaean lithological units (various colours) are modelled using
the volume points method that does not treat the dyke walls as separate surfaces. The upper surface is the base of oxidation.
)RUWXQDWHO\ LI JHRORJLFDO REMHFWV DUH SHUIHFWO\ WDEXODU
DQRWKHU LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRG FDQ EH XVHG 7KH
GROHULWH G\NHV WKDW FURVVFXW WKH 6DGGOHEDFN *UHHQVWRQH
%HOW DQG DOO LWV DVVRFLDWHG PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DQG GHIRUPDWLRQ
HYHQWV DUH WDEXODU LQ JHRPHWU\ ZKLFK DOORZV WKHVH G\NHV
WREHPRGHOOHGLQGHSHQGHQWO\E\WUHDWLQJWKHG\NHZDOOVDV
VHSDUDWH EXW ODWHUDOO\ FRQWLQXRXV VXUIDFHV WKDW DUH SDUDOOHO
DQG GR QRW LQWHUVHFW HDFK RWKHU 7KLV DVVXPHG FRQGLWLRQ
DOORZV WKH KDQJLQJ ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOOV WR EH PRGHOOHG
LQGHSHQGHQWO\ XVLQJ WZR VHSDUDWH LQWHUSRODWLRQ IXQFWLRQV
7R HQVXUH WKDW WKHVH WZR VXUIDFHV GR QRW LQWHUVHFW DQG WKDW
WKHG\NHPRGHOOHGLVODWHUDOO\FRQWLQXRXVDPHGLDQVXUIDFH
LV JHQHUDWHG UVW IURP WKH WZR VHSDUDWH KDQJLQJ ZDOO DQG
IRRWZDOO LQWHUSRODQWV WKHQ WKLV DYHUDJH VXUIDFH LV GLVSODFHG
LQ ERWK GLUHFWLRQV WR UHHFW WKH KDQJLQJ ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOO
SRLQWVWRIRUPWKHQDOG\NHJHRPHWU\7KHVHWZRZDOOVDUH
ODWHU FORVHG WR IRUP WKH VROLG G\NH ZLUHIUDPH UHTXLUHG E\
*03VIRUJUDGHSRLQWVHOHFWLRQWKDWLVUHTXLUHGIRUUHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQ
H
I
J
K
L
M
DQGWKHQLWVQRUPDOYHFWRUV7KHEHVWWSODQHVDUHVKRZQ
DVWUDFHOLQHV
2IIVXUIDFHSRLQWVDUHJHQHUDWHGE\LQVHUWLQJH[WUDSRLQWV
VRPHGLVWDQFHDZD\IURPWKHRULJLQDOSRLQWV7KHSRVLWLYH
DQGQHJDWLYHGLVWDQFHSRLQWVDUHJHQHUDWHGDXWRPDWLFDOO\
DVVKRZQ7KHRULJLQDOSRLQWVDUHDWWULEXWHG]HURYDOXHV
ZKLOVW WKH RIIVXUIDFH SRLQWV DUH JLYHQ GLVWDQFH YDOXHV
DZD\ IURP WKH RULJLQDO SRLQWV LQ D ORFDOO\ RUWKRJRQDO
GLUHFWLRQ7KLVQHZQXPHULFDOGDWDVHWLVLQWHUSRODWHGZLWK
DELKDUPRQLFVSOLQHIXQFWLRQ'XEUXOHHIIHFWLYHO\
NULJLQJZLWKDOLQHDUYDULRJUDPDQGWKHUHVXOWLQJVXUIDFH
LVVKRZQDVWKHEODFNWUDFH
7KHSURFHVVRXWOLQHGLQ(IRUWKHKDQJLQJZDOOVXUIDFHLV
LGHQWLFDOIRUWKHIRRWZDOOVXUIDFH
7KH KDQJLQJ ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOO VXUIDFHV DUH XVHG DV D
JXLGHRQO\DQGLQVWHDGRIXVLQJWKHVHVXUIDFHVWRFRQVWUXFW
'\NH WKHPHGLDQVXUIDFHLVJHQHUDWHGE\UVWDYHUDJLQJ
WKHKDQJLQJZDOODQGIRRWZDOOLQWHUSRODQWV6LQFHKDQJLQJ
ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOO LQWHUSRODQWV DUH FRPSXWHG VHSDUDWHO\
XVLQJ VHSDUDWH GDWD PRGHOOLQJ JHRORJLVWV DUH XQDEOH WR
HQVXUH WKDW WKH UHVXOW ZLOO QRW FURVV RYHU DW VRPH SDUWV
RI WKH G\NH WKHUHE\ SURGXFLQJ D GLVFRQWLQXRXV G\NH
7KH PHGLDQ VXUIDFH LV PRGHOOHG UVW DQG WKHQ WKH QDO
G\NHLVIRUPHGIURPGLVSODFLQJWKLVPHGLDQVXUIDFHWRWKH
KDQJLQJZDOODQGIRRWZDOOSRLQWV7KLVHQVXUHVWKDWWKHUH
DUHQRJDSVDORQJWKHG\NHGXHWRFRQYHUJHQFHEHWZHHQ
WKHKDQJLQJZDOODQGIRRWZDOO
7KHPHGLDQVXUIDFHWKDWZDVLVRVXUIDFHGZLWKLQDORFDOLVHG
ERXQGLQJER[DVGHWHUPLQHGE\WKHGDWDLVWUDQVODWHGWRWKH
KDQJLQJZDOODQGIRRWZDOOSRLQWVLQERWKGLUHFWLRQVDQG
WKHQFORVHG7KLVLVDFKLHYHGE\FRPSXWLQJWZRGLVWDQFH
EDVHGLQWHUSRODQWVIURPWKHPHGLDQVXUIDFHWRWKHKDQJLQJ
ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOO SRLQWV 7KH PHGLDQ WULDQJXODWLRQ LV
GLVSODFHGXVLQJWKHVHGLVWDQFHLQWHUSRODQWV7KHQKDQJLQJ
ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOO SRLQWV DUH LQFRUSRUDWHG LQWR WKH QDO
G\NHREMHFWVRWKDWLWSHUIHFWO\UHHFWVWKHLQWHUFHSWGDWD
EXWDOVRDSSHDUVVPRRWKEHWZHHQWKHLQWHUFHSWV
7KHPRGHOOLQJSURFHVV%WR+LVUHSHDWHGIRU'\NH
:KHQH[WHQVLRQVWRWKHG\NHVDUHVDPSOHGE\QHZGULOO
KROHV WKH PRGHOOLQJ JHRORJLVW VLPSO\ DGGV WKH QHZ
Practical Implicit Dyke Modelling for Resource Estimation Newmont Boddington Gold, Western Australia| D J Haddow and E J Cowan
FIG 6 - Schematic representation of Leapfrog Minings dyke modelling workflow for Newmont Boddington Gold.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
225
Tabular modelling
Importance of the viewer
7KH WDEXODU PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRG UHOLHV RQ YLHZLQJ WKH GDWD
LQ'VHFWLRQDOYLHZVZHUHQRWXVHGWRPRGHOWKHG\NHVDV
GRQHLQWUDGLWLRQDOH[SOLFLWPRGHOOLQJ5RWDWLQJWKH'YLHZ
DOORZHG JHRORJLVWV WR LGHQWLI\ D SDUWLFXODU GROHULWH ERG\
2QFHDWDEXODUERG\ZDVLGHQWLHGWKHJHRORJLVWVHOHFWHGWKH
LQWHUFHSWV WKDW UHSUHVHQWHG WKH G\NH E\ PRXVLQJ RYHU WKH
LQWHUYDOV:KHQVHOHFWLQJWKHVHLQWHUFHSWVLWZDVLPSRUWDQW
WKDWWKHJHRORJLVWZDVRULHQWDWHGDORQJWKHWUDFHRIWKHG\NH
DV LOOXVWUDWHG LQ )LJXUH 7KH KDQJLQJ ZDOO SRLQW YDOXHV
DUHDOVRLOOXVWUDWHGLQ)LJXUHFRQWDFWSRLQWVDUHVKRZQLQ
JUHHQ YDOXHV RI ]HUR SRLQWV LQVLGH WKH WDEXODU PRGHO DUH
VKRZQLQEOXHYDOXHVRIDQGSRLQWVRXWVLGHWKHWDEXODU
PRGHODUHVKRZQLQUHGYDOXHVRI)URPWKLVYLHZSRLQW
Practical Implicit Dyke Modelling for Resource Estimation Newmont Boddington Gold, Western Australia| D J Haddow and E J Cowan
FIG 7 - Intercepts selected along a trend in the dolerite data and the hanging wall point values. Point values: actual hanging wall contact points in green,
positive off-surface points in red and negative off-surface points in blue compare with Figure 6e (scale in metres).
WKH SRLQW YDOXHV REVHUYHG FOHDUO\ GHQH WKH KDQJLQJ ZDOO
PDUJLQRIWKHG\NH
6HOHFWWKHDGGLWLRQDOLQWHUFHSWVDSSOLFDEOHWRWKHG\NHRI
LQWHUHVWDQGVDYHWKHHGLWHGVXEVHW7KHKDQJLQJZDOODQG
IRRWZDOOSRLQWGDWDZLOOEHXSGDWHG
5HUXQ WKH KDQJLQJ ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOO LQWHUSRODQWV %RWK
DUH DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK G\QDPLF ERXQGLQJ ER[HV WKXV ZLOO
XSGDWHWRLQFOXGHWKHGROHULWHGULOOORJLQWHUFHSWVVHOHFWHG
EH\RQGWKHERXQGLQJER[
0HUJH WKH KDQJLQJ ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOO SRLQW GDWD 7KLV
ZLOO FUHDWH D QHZ G\QDPLF ERXQGLQJ ER[ FRQWDLQLQJ DOO
KDQJLQJZDOODQGIRRWZDOOSRLQWGDWD
&RPELQH WKH KDQJLQJ ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOO LQWHUSRODQWV WR
JHQHUDWHWKHPHGLDQLVRVXUIDFH
$ [HG ERXQGLQJ ER[ GHQHV WKH H[WHQW RI WKH PHGLDQ
LVRVXUIDFH 5HGHQH WKH ERXQGLQJ ER[ WR WKH G\QDPLF
ERXQGLQJER[FUHDWHGIURPWKHPHUJHGKDQJLQJZDOODQG
IRRWZDOOSRLQWGDWD
Mineralised domains
([SOLFLW ZLUHIUDPH PRGHOOLQJ XVLQJ 0LQH6LJKW is still the
SUHIHUUHG PHWKRG WR PRGHO WKH PLQHUDOLVHG GRPDLQV DW
1%*5HVRXUFHGHYHORSPHQWJHRORJLVWVVSHQWPDQ\PRQWKV
XSGDWLQJ WKHVH GRPDLQV SULRU WR 7KHVH PLQHUDOLVHG
GRPDLQVDUHQRZZHOOGHQHGE\KLJKGHQVLW\GULOOLQJ
)RUWKLVORZJUDGHGHSRVLWVPDOOFKDQJHVLQHVWLPDWHGJUDGH
FDQKDYHDVLJQLFDQWLPSDFWRQWKHRSHUDWLRQ6ZLWFKLQJWR
/HDSIURJWRPRGHOWKHPLQHUDOLVHGGRPDLQVFRXOGLQWURGXFH
VPDOO GRPDLQ YROXPH LQDFFXUDFLHV WKDW ZRXOG VLJQLFDQWO\
4. Computer specifications: processor: Intel Core2 Quad CPU. Q9550 at 2.83GHz, memory:
4GB RAM, graphics card: NVIDIA Quadro FX570, 2GB dedicated graphics memory, 256MB
DDR2 dedicated video memory, Windows7 Enterprise 32-bit OS.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
227
CONCLUSION
&RQWLQXHGUHQHPHQWRIWKHWDEXODUPRGHOOLQJZRUNRZKDV
UHGXFHGPRGHOOLQJWLPHIURPPRQWKVWRKRXUV7KHUHVRXUFH
GHYHORSPHQW GHSDUWPHQW DW 1%* KDV GHPRQVWUDWHG D
PLQGVHWRIFRQWLQXRXVLPSURYHPHQWWRGHOLYHUWKLVSURGXFW
7KH PHWKRGRORJ\ KDV EHHQ EXLOW RYHU VHYHUDO /HDSIURJ
0LQLQJUHOHDVHVDQGLVQRZDSHUPDQHQW[WXUHLQLWVUHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQSURFHVV
%RWK /HDSIURJ 0LQLQJ DQG 0LQH6LJKW KDYH SURYHQ
DSSOLFDWLRQVG\QDPLFGROHULWHPRGHOOLQJKDVEHHQDFKLHYHG
LQ/HDSIURJDQGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQGRPDLQVKDYHEHHQFUHDWHG
XVLQJ 0LQH6LJKW 0LQLQJ FRPSDQLHV FRQVLGHULQJ XVLQJ WKH
WDEXODUPRGHOOLQJPHWKRGRXWOLQHGQHHGRQO\EHFRQFHUQHG
ZLWK WKH DFFXUDF\ RI WKH ORJJLQJ DQG WKH DVVXPSWLRQ RI
ZKHWKHUWKHG\NHVDUHWUXO\WDEXODU
7KHFROODERUDWLRQVGHPRQVWUDWHGLQZRUNVKRSVDQGWUDLQLQJ
VHVVLRQVDQGE\FRQVXOWDQWVKDYHFRQWULEXWHGWRWKHVXFFHVVRI
WKLVSURMHFWDQGKLJKOLJKWHGWKHQHHGIRUFRPSDQLHVWRORRNDW
PRUHHIFLHQWPHDQVRIPRGHOOLQJ:KLOHH[SOLFLWWHFKQLTXHV
UHPDLQ HIIHFWLYH ZLWKLQ WKH LQGXVWU\ LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ
WHFKQLTXHV VKRXOG EH LQYHVWLJDWHG ZKHUH SRVVLEOH LQ WKH
LQWHUHVWVRILPSURYHGFRVWVWLPHDQGDFFXUDF\
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7DEXODU JHRPHWU\ PRGHOOLQJ RU YHLQ PRGHOOLQJ DV LW LV
FDOOHG LQ /HDSIURJ QRZ PDUNHWHG DV /HDSIURJ 0LQLQJ
E\ $5$1= *HR ZDV GHYHORSHG E\ 5LFKDUG /DQH RI WKH
$SSOLHG 5HVHDUFK $VVRFLDWLRQ RI 1HZ =HDODQG $5$1=
DW WKH UHTXHVW RI -XQ &RZDQ DIWHU FRQVXOWLQJ ZLWK 1%*
JHRORJLFDO VWDII +XJKDQ 5RVV /HDSIURJV FKLHI VRIWZDUH
DUFKLWHFW ZDV UHVSRQVLEOH IRU LQWHJUDWLQJ WKLV PRGHOOLQJ
PHWKRG LQWR /HDSIURJ VRIWZDUH QRZ FDOOHG /HDSIURJ
0LQLQJ +XJKDQ DQG 5LFKDUG DUH WKDQNHG IRU WKHLU
228
REFERENCES
&RZDQ ( - %HDWVRQ 5 . 5RVV + - )ULJKW : 5 0F/HQQDQ 7 -
(YDQV75&DUU-&/DQH5*%ULJKW'9*LOOPDQ$-2VKXVW
3$DQG7LWOH\03UDFWLFDOLPSOLFLWJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ
in 3URFHHGLQJV )LIWK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQLQJ *HRORJ\ &RQIHUHQFH
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&RZDQ ( - %HDWVRQ 5 . 5RVV + - )ULJKW : 5 0F/HQQDQ 7 -
DQG0LWFKHOO7-5DSLGJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJLQ$SSOLHG
6WUXFWXUDO *HRORJ\ IRU 0LQHUDO ([SORUDWLRQ DQG 0LQLQJ
,QWHUQDWLRQDO6\PSRVLXP$EVWUDFW9ROXPHAustralian Institute of
Geoscientists BulletinHG69HDUQHFRPEH
&RZDQ ( - /DQH 5 * DQG 5RVV + - /HDSIURJV LPSOLFLW
GUDZLQJ WRRO D QHZ ZD\ RI GUDZLQJ JHRORJLFDO REMHFWV RI
DQ\ VKDSH UDSLGO\ LQ ' LQ 0LQLQJ *HRORJ\ :RUNVKRS
Australian Institute of Geoscientists Bulletin HGV0-%HUU\DQG0
/4XLJOH\
'XEUXOH 2 *HRVWDWLVWLFV IRU VHLVPLF GDWD LQWHJUDWLRQ LQ
(DUWK PRGHOV Distinguished Instructor Series 6RFLHW\
RI ([SORUDWLRQ *HRSK\VLFLVWV DQG (XURSHDQ $VVRFLDWLRQ RI
*HRVFLHQWLVWVDQG(QJLQHHUV7XOVD
.QLJKW5+2UHERG\VROLGPRGHOOLQJDFFXUDF\DFRPSDULVRQ
RI H[SOLFLW DQG LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ WHFKQLTXHV XVLQJ D SUDFWLFDO
H[DPSOH IURP WKH +RSH %D\ GLVWULFW 1XQDYXW &DQDGD LQ
Proceedings Sixth International Mining Geology ConferenceSS
7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
1HZPRQW 0LQLQJ &RUSRUDWLRQ 3UHVV UHOHDVH 1HZPRQW
LQFUHDVHV JROG UHVHUYHV WR PLOOLRQ RXQFHV DQG UHSRUWV
FRSSHU UHVHUYHV DW ELOOLRQ SRXQGV >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP
KWWSQHZPRQWTZHEFRPOHVGRFBQHZV
5HVHUYHVDQG([SORUDWLRQ5HOHDVHSGI!
>$FFHVVHG
)HEUXDU\@
HOME
WKHFDSWXUHDQGLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRIRULHQWDWHGGRZQKROHGDWDXVLQJWHOHYLHZHUVXUYH\V
WKHPRGHOOLQJRIJHRORJLFDOVXUIDFHVXVLQJLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJ
WKHLQWHJUDWLRQRIJHRORJLFDOHOHPHQWVLQWRDXQLHGSODWIRUPZKLFKFDQEHTXHULHGLQWKUHHGLPHQVLRQV
7KLVZRUNRZZDVLQWHJUDOWRWKHVFRSLQJDQGIHDVLELOLW\PLQLQJVWXGLHVRIWKHGHSRVLW
7KHVHFRQGH[DPSOHLVWKHRSHUDWLQJ'DPDQJ*ROG0LQHLQVRXWKZHVWHUQ*KDQD7KHFDVHVWXG\GHVFULEHV
KRZWUDGLWLRQDOPHWKRGVDQG'YLVXDOLVDWLRQVRIWZDUHDUHXVHGWRFRQVWUXFWDUREXVWJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
KRZWKDWLQWHUSUHWDWLRQLVXVHGWRGULYHDQLQQRYDWLYHXVHRILPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJWREXLOGDJHRORJLFDOPRGHO
KRZJHRVWDWLVWLFVDQGYDULRJUDSK\FDQKHOSWRYDOLGDWHWKHJHRORJLFDOPRGHODQGLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
%RWKFDVHVWXGLHVVHHNWRFRQVROLGDWHWKHLQWHJUDWHGXVHRILQQRYDWLYHWRROVDQGWUDGLWLRQDOPHWKRGVDVEHVWSUDFWLFHLQJHRORJLFDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQGPRGHOOLQJ,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRHPSKDVLVHWKDWVXFKWRROVZLOORQO\DGGYDOXHWRWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\ZKHQ
FRQVWUDLQHGE\UHOHYDQWJHRORJLFDOFRQWUROVDQGXWLOLVHGE\VNLOOHGDQGH[SHULHQFHGSUDFWLWLRQHUV
1. Senior Geologist, Gold Fields, #706, 1155 Robson Street, Vancouver BC V6E1B5, Canada. Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM, Principal Resource Geologist, Gold Fields Australasia Pty Ltd, PO Box 996, West Perth WA 6872. Email: [email protected]
3. MAusIMM(CP), Senior Resource Geologist, Gold Fields Australasia Pty Ltd, PO Box 996, West Perth WA 6872. Email: [email protected]
4. Geology and Mining Manager: Greater Damang Study, Gold Fields Australasia Pty Ltd, PO Box 996, West Perth WA 6872. Email: [email protected]
5. MAusIMM, Senior Geologist, Gold Fields Australasia Pty Ltd, PO Box 996, West Perth WA 6872. Email: [email protected]
6. Vice President, Concept and Studies, Gold Fields Australasia Pty Ltd, PO Box 996, West Perth WA 6872. Email: [email protected]
7. MAusIMM(CP), Chief Resource Geologist, Gold Fields Exploration Inc, Suite 1650, 6400 South Fiddlers Green Circle, Greenwood Village Co 80111-4926, USA. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KH JHRORJLFDO PRGHO KDV D FHQWUDO UROH LQ WKH 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ SURFHVV $ JRRG JHRORJLFDO PRGHO LV
JURXQGHGRQTXDOLW\GDWDDQGVRXQGLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ0RGHUQ
DQDO\WLFDO PHWKRGRORJLHV DOORZ XV WR FDSWXUH VWRUH DQG
SURFHVVPRUHGDWDWKDQHYHUEHIRUHEXWWKLVDELOLW\FRPHVZLWK
WKHFKDOOHQJHRILQWHJUDWLQJQXPHURXVVRXUFHVRILQIRUPDWLRQ
LQWRDFRKHUHQWPHDQLQJIXODQGXVHIXOSODWIRUP*HRORJLFDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ LV D QHFHVVDU\ VWHS WRZDUGV DFKLHYLQJ WKLV
LQWHJUDWLRQDQGLQYROYHVDPL[WXUHRIWKHRUHWLFDONQRZOHGJH
DQG H[SHULHQFHEDVHG H[SHUW MXGJHPHQW 3HUKDSV EHFDXVH
RIWKHLQWDQJLEOHHOHPHQWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKLVMXGJHPHQWD
GHWDLOHGGHVFULSWLRQRIWKHSURFHVVRIJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
LVUDUHO\GRFXPHQWHG0DFNHQ]LHDQG:LOVRQ
7ZRFDVHVWXGLHVDUHSUHVHQWHGWRLOOXVWUDWHWKHSURFHVVRI
JHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGPRGHOOLQJZLWKDIRFXVRQVWDWH
RIWKHDUWWRROV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
229
Geological background
7KH &DQDKXLUH 'HSRVLW LV ORFDWHG LQ D UHJLRQ GRPLQDWHG
E\ &DLQR]RLF YROFDQLF URFNV DW DOWLWXGHV EHWZHHQ DQG
P7KHGHSRVLWLVKRVWHGLQDQLQOLHURIIROGHGDQGIDXOWHG
0HVR]RLF URFNV ZKHUH -XUDVVLF&UHWDFHRXV VHGLPHQWDU\
URFNVRIWKH<XUD*URXSDUHLQWUXGHGE\DGLDWUHPHEUHFFLD
FRPSOH[ DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK 0LRFHQH UK\ROLWLF PDJPDWLVP
'XVFL et alE
7KH <XUD *URXS LQ WKH GHSRVLW DUHD LV FRPSRVHG RI
VDQGVWRQHV DQG VKDOHV RI WKH /DEUD )RUPDWLRQ RYHUODLQ E\
OLPHVWRQHDQGLQWHUEHGGHGFODVWLFKRUL]RQVRIWKH*UDPDGDO
)RUPDWLRQ 4XDUW]VDQGVWRQHV RI WKH +XDOKXDQL )RUPDWLRQ
RFFXUDWWKHWRSRIWKHVHGLPHQWDU\VHTXHQFH7KHGLDWUHPH
EUHFFLDFRPSOH[LQFOXGHVSKUHDWLFEUHFFLDVFRQWDLQLQJFODVWV
RI WKH VHGLPHQWDU\ VHTXHQFH DV ZHOO DV SKUHDWRPDJPDWLF
EUHFFLDVFRQWDLQLQJVHGLPHQWDU\DQGMXYHQLOHYROFDQLFFODVWV
7KHVHGLPHQWDU\URFNVRIWKH<XUD*URXSZHUHIROGHGGXULQJ
WKH$QGHDQRURJHQ\LQWRDQRSHQQRUWKQRUWKHDVWYHUJLQJ
DQWLFOLQDO ]RQH SOXQJLQJ VKDOORZO\ WR ZHVWQRUWKZHVW
7KLV DUFKLWHFWXUH LV FXW E\ D V\VWHP RI VWHHS 0LRFHQH IDXOWV
VWULNLQJ ZHVWQRUWKZHVW QRUWKHDVW QRUWKZHVW DQG QRUWK
VRXWK 7KH PXOWLSOH EUHFFLD W\SHV RI WKH GLDWUHPH FRPSOH[
DUH ODUJHO\ FRQVWUDLQHG E\ WKLV IDXOW QHWZRUN JLYLQJ WKH
GLDWUHPHDQHORQJDWHGDQGUKRPERLGVKDSHDSSUR[LPDWHO\
NPORQJE\PZLGH)LJXUH6LJQLFDQWEUHFFLDWLRQ
LVQRWUHVWULFWHGWRWKHGLDWUHPHEXWDOVRRFFXUVLQWKHDGMDFHQW
VHGLPHQWDU\URFNV
$OWHUDWLRQDQGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDW&DQDKXLUHDUHUHODWHGWRD
PDJPDWLFK\GURWKHUPDO V\VWHP 7KH GRPLQDQW DOWHUDWLRQ LV
VLGHULWLVDWLRQPDLQO\SUHVHQWDVDQH[WHQVLYHUHSODFHPHQWRI
OLPHVWRQHDQGFDOFDUHRXVPDWUL[RIGLDWUHPHEUHFFLDV
7KH KRVW URFNV DQG VWUXFWXUHV DUH WKH PDLQ FRQWUROV RQ
JHRPHWU\ JUDGH DQG VW\OH RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DW &DQDKXLUH
9HUWLFDO ]RQDWLRQ LQ WKH PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV LV VWURQJO\
FRQWUROOHGE\OLWKRORJ\ZKLOHODWHUDOERXQGDULHVDUHGHQHG
E\IDXOWVDQGEUHFFLDWLRQ=RQHVRIKLJKHUJUDGHGRPLQDWHG
E\ K\GURWKHUPDO UHSODFHPHQW RFFXU DW WKH LQWHUVHFWLRQV RI
IDXOWV DQG FRDUVHUJUDLQHG OLPHVWRQH KRUL]RQV +LJKJUDGH
The Pursuit of Best Practice and Use of Innovative Techniques Case Studies in Geological Interpretation and Modelling, Gold Fields |R Gradim et al
FIG 2 - Geological map of the Canahuire Deposit. Note the gently folded sedimentary strata (blue and green colours) and a fault
network that controls the geometry of diatreme breccias (triangle pattern).
VXOGH YHLQV UHSUHVHQWLQJ WKH IHHGHUV RI WKH PLQHUDOLVHG
V\VWHPDUHVWUXFWXUDOO\FRQWUROOHGDQGKDYHEHHQLQWHUFHSWHG
LQWKHVRXWKHUQSRUWLRQRIWKHGHSRVLW
Televiewer
7KH &DQDKXLUH JHRORJLFDO VHWWLQJ GHVFULEHG SDLQWV D SLFWXUH
RIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQFRQWUROOHGE\WKHFRPELQDWLRQRIIDXOWVDQG
WKH IROGHG JHRPHWU\ RI VHGLPHQWDU\ KRVW URFNV 6LJQLFDQW
EUHFFLDWLRQLQDQGDURXQGWKHGLDWUHPHUHVXOWVLQSRRUJURXQG
FRQGLWLRQV LQ PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV 7KH XVH RI WKH WHOHYLHZHU
DURVHIURPWKHQHHGWRFROOHFWGRZQKROHVWUXFWXUDOGDWDIURP
EURNHQ FRUH ZKHUH REWDLQLQJ DQG H[WHQGLQJ DQ RULHQWDWLRQ
OLQH XVLQJ WUDGLWLRQDO PHWKRGV VXFK DV 5HH[ $&7 RU
(]\PDUN ZRXOG EH LQDSSURSULDWH 7KHVH PHWKRGV
UHTXLUH XQHTXLYRFDO SK\VLFDO FRQQHFWLRQ EHWZHHQ GULOO FRUH
IDFHV DFURVV QDWXUDO RU GULOOLQJUHODWHG GLVFRQWLQXLWLHV $W
&DQDKXLUH WKLV UHTXLUHPHQW XVXDOO\ FDQQRW EH VDWLVHG
EHFDXVH RI IUHTXHQW PHWUHVFDOH UXEEOH ]RQHV LQ GULOO FRUH
FDXVHGE\EUHFFLDWLRQ
7KH WHOHYLHZHU WHFKQRORJ\ KDV EHHQ ODUJHO\ GULYHQ E\ WKH
SHWUROHXPLQGXVWU\WKHLQLWLDOFRQFHSWGDWHVIURPWKHV
ZKHQ SKRWRJUDSKLF FDPHUDV ZHUH ULJJHG IRU ERUHKROH XVH
3UHQVN\ 7KH UVW DFRXVWLF WHOHYLHZHU $79 ZDV
LQWURGXFHGLQWKHODWHVDQGWKHUVWVWDQGDORQHRSWLFDO
WHOHYLHZHU 279 LQ WKH ODWH V ,Q WKH PLGV WKH
WHOHYLHZHUWHFKQRORJ\VWDUWHGWREHDSSOLHGLQJURXQGZDWHU
VWXGLHV:LOOLDPVDQG-RKQVRQDQGLQWKHODVWGHFDGH
DSSOLFDWLRQV LQ KDUG URFN PLQLQJ EHFDPH PRUH FRPPRQ
231
SURYLGHGWKH\FDQEHLGHQWLHGLQGULOOFRUH)RUH[DPSOHDW
&DQDKXLUHVXOGHIHHGHUYHLQVZHUHWRRWKLQRUGLGQRWRIIHU
HQRXJKDFRXVWLFFRQWUDVWZLWKVXOGHDOWHUHGKRVWURFNVWREH
LGHQWLHGZLWKWKH$79$OWHUDWLRQFRQWDFWVGHQHGPRVWO\
E\FRORXUDUHDQRWKHUH[DPSOH2QWKHRWKHUKDQGWKH$79
SURYLGHV LQIRUPDWLRQ VXFK DV WZRZD\ WUDYHO WLPH ZKLFK
LQWXUQDOORZVWKHFDOFXODWLRQRIWKHGULOOKROHGLDPHWHUOHVV
WKDQPPUHVROXWLRQDOORZLQJLGHQWLFDWLRQRIEUHDNRXWV
DQG YRLGV $GGLWLRQDOO\ WKH DPSOLWXGH LPDJH RI DQ $79LV
FRPSRVHGRIPDQ\PHDVXUHPHQWVWDNHQIRUDJLYHQGHSWKDW
YDULRXVDQJXODULQFUHPHQWV0HDVXUHPHQWVWDNHQDWGLIIHUHQW
DQJOHV FDQ EH XVHG WR GHULYH DQ LQGH[ RI UHHFWLYLW\ ZKLFK
LQWXUQKDVEHHQFRUUHODWHGWRURFNKDUGQHVV)LJXUH7KLV
DGGLWLRQDOLQIRUPDWLRQSURYLGHGE\WKH$79PHDQVWKDWLWLV
JHQHUDOO\IDYRXUHGLQJHRWHFKQLFDODSSOLFDWLRQV7KH$79FDQ
DOVRRIIHUVXSHULRULPDJHVWRWKHJHRORJLVWSDUWLFXODUO\LQWKH
FDVHRISHQHWUDWLYHIDEULFVLQGDUNURFNV
%HFDXVH RI WKH GLIIHUHQFHV EHWZHHQ RSWLFDO DQG DFRXVWLF
LPDJHV VRPH FRQVLGHU WKHP WR EH FRPSOHPHQWDU\ DQG WKDW
DVDPHLQWHUYDOVKRXOGEHVXUYH\HGE\ERWK$VLGHIURPWKH
DGGLWLRQDOWLPHDQGFRVWFRQVLGHUDWLRQVWKHFRQGLWLRQVRIWKH
GULOOKROHGXULQJWKHVXUYH\DUHDOVRSRWHQWLDOOLPLWLQJIDFWRUV
$V WKH $79 UHTXLUHV ZDWHUOOHG GULOO KROHV LW LV D QDWXUDO
FKRLFH IRU LQWHUYDOV EHORZ WKH ZDWHU WDEOH 7KH 279 FDQ EH
XVHGEHORZZDWHUSURYLGHGLWLVFOHDUHQRXJK$W&DQDKXLUH
WKH SRRU JURXQG FRQGLWLRQV UHTXLUHG VLJQLFDQW XVH RI
GULOOLQJPXGZKLFKLPSDLUVYLVLELOLW\EHORZWKHZDWHUOLQH
7KHXVHRIRFFXODQWVWRSURPSWSUHFLSLWDWLRQRIVXVSHQGHG
SDUWLFOHV%ODNHLVDQRSWLRQWKDWKDVQRWEHHQWULHGDW
&DQDKXLUHDQGPRVWOLNHO\LQYROYHVORJLVWLFDOFKDOOHQJHVDQG
OHQJWKHQVWKHSURFHVV
7KH WHOHYLHZHU DYRLGV PDQ\ SLWIDOOV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK
WUDGLWLRQDOFRUHRULHQWDWLRQPHWKRGVE\WDUJHWLQJ WKH in situ
GULOOKROHZDOOVLQVWHDGRIWU\LQJWRUHFRQVWLWXWHWKHSRVLWLRQ
RI WKH FRUH LWVHOI 3UREOHPV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK PDUNLQJ DQG
H[WHQGLQJ DQ RULHQWDWLRQ OLQH DUH FRPPRQ DQG VHULRXVO\
FRPSURPLVH WKH TXDOLW\ RI VWUXFWXUDO PHDVXUHPHQWV 'DYLV
3HUKDSVWKHVLQJOHELJJHVWDGYDQWDJHRIWKHWHOHYLHZHU
LV WKDW LW SURYLGHV D GLJLWDO UHFRUG RI WKH RULHQWDWLRQ (DFK
WHOHYLHZHU VXUYH\ EHFRPHV D SHUPDQHQW YLUWXDO FRUH WKDW
FDQ EH HDVLO\ GLVWULEXWHG DQG FRPSDUHG ZLWK RWKHU GULOOLQJ
GDWD %ODNH 7KH WHOHYLHZHU GRHV KDYH OLPLWDWLRQV
XVXDOO\ UHODWHG WR WKH GULOO KROH DQG SUREH FRQGLWLRQV $W
&DQDKXLUH WKH PRVW FRPPRQ SUREOHPV ZHUH HQFRXQWHUHG
ZLWKWKH279ZKLFKSURGXFHVSRRULPDJHVLIWKHGULOOKROH
ZDOOLVFRYHUHGZLWKGULOOLQJPXGRUPXGVPHDUVWKHSUREH
SULVPLWVHOI7KH$79LVOHVVVHQVLWLYHWRGULOOKROHFRQGLWLRQV
EXW ERWK WHOHYLHZHU SUREHV QHHG WR EH FHQWUDOLVHG ZKLFK
LV DFKLHYHG E\ ERZ VSULQJV WKDW FDQ EH NQRFNHG RII GXULQJ
WKH VXUYH\ SURFHVV 'HFHQWUDOLVHG VXUYH\V FRPSURPLVH WKH
LPDJH E\ SURGXFLQJ YHUWLFDOO\ VWULSHG EDQGV LQ ERWK WKH
$79 DQG 279 :LOOLDPV DQG -RKQVRQ $GGLWLRQDOO\
FDYHGGULOOKROHVHFWLRQVFDQSUHYHQWWKHSUREHIURPDFFHVVLQJ
LQWHUYDOV RI LQWHUHVW 7HOHYLHZHU RSHUDWRUV QRUPDOO\ UXQ D
GXPP\SUREHWRHVWDEOLVKWKHGULOOKROHOHQJWKDYDLODEOHIRU
VXUYH\LQJ2SHUDWRUVFDQDOVRPRQLWRUWKHLPDJHVSURGXFHG
E\WKHVXUYH\LQUHDOWLPHDQGDUHWKHUHIRUHLQDSRVLWLRQWR
GHWHFW SUREOHPV DV WKH\ RFFXU $V LQ WUDGLWLRQDO RULHQWDWLRQ
PHWKRGV PDQ\ SUREOHPV FDQ EH DYRLGHG E\ DGHTXDWH
FRPPXQLFDWLRQEHWZHHQWRRORSHUDWRUGULOOHUDQGJHRORJLVW
6WUXFWXUDO PHDVXUHPHQWV WDNHQ ZLWK WKH WHOHYLHZHU DW
&DQDKXLUH LQFOXGH EHGGLQJ SODQHV IDXOWV EUHFFLD FRQWDFWV
DQG YHLQV )LJXUH )DXOW PHDVXUHPHQWV FRQUP WKH
RULHQWDWLRQRIIDXOWVPHDVXUHGDWVXUIDFHZLWKSUHGRPLQDQW
ZHVWQRUWKZHVW QRUWKHDVW DQG QRUWKZHVW VWULNLQJ WUHQGV
%UHFFLDFRQWDFWVLQGLFDWHGDPL[RIRULHQWDWLRQVVKRZLQJERWK
IDXOW DQG EHGGLQJ FRQWURO 7KH QXPHURXV PHDVXUHPHQWV RI
EHGGLQJ SODQHV UHSUHVHQWHG WKH JUHDWHVW FRQWULEXWLRQ RI WKH
WHOHYLHZHUWRWKHPRGHOOLQJZRUNRZ
Implicit modelling
7KHDGRSWLRQRILPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJWHFKQLTXHVDW&DQDKXLUH
ZDV PRWLYDWHG E\ WKH UHTXLUHPHQW WR SURGXFH TXLFN
JHRORJLFDO PRGHO XSGDWHV LQ DQ DJJUHVVLYH DQG DFFHOHUDWHG
FIG 3 - Example of an acoustic televiewer (ATV) log showing from left to right: (A) travel time; (B) amplitude image; (C) 3D log, which uses the travel time to create
a representation of the drill hole walls; (D) raw sinusoidal structural pick; (E) structural picks corrected for drill hole deviation; (F) tadpoles of true measurements;
(G) true dip and dip direction for each structural pick and (H) a reflectivity index that is correlated to rock hardness.
232
The Pursuit of Best Practice and Use of Innovative Techniques Case Studies in Geological Interpretation and Modelling, Gold Fields |R Gradim et al
$W&DQDKXLUHWKHLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJZRUNRZFRPPHQFHG
ZLWKFRPELQLQJWHOHYLHZHUGRZQKROHEHGGLQJPHDVXUHPHQWV
DQGQXPHURXVVXUIDFHPDSSLQJEHGGLQJPHDVXUHPHQWV7KH
JHRORJLFDO PDSSLQJ KDG DOUHDG\ HVWDEOLVKHG D JHRORJLFDO
FRQWH[W RI VWUDWLHG IROGHG DQG IDXOWHG VHGLPHQWDU\ XQLWV
FXWE\DGLDWUHPHEUHFFLDFRPSOH[$WWKDWVWDJHWUDGLWLRQDO
VHFWLRQDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ E\ WKH SURMHFW WHDP ZDV EDVHG RQ
OLPLWHGGULOOLQJ$WRROWRLQWHJUDWHWKHJRRGXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
JDLQHG IURP VXUIDFH PDSSLQJ ZLWK WKH VXEVXUIDFH ORJJLQJ
ZDVQHHGHG
%HGGLQJPHDVXUHPHQWVIURPVXUIDFHDQGVXEVXUIDFHZHUH
WUDQVODWHG LQWR D ' HQYLURQPHQW XVLQJ /HDSIURJ 0LQLQJ
VRIWZDUH ,QGLYLGXDO PHDVXUHPHQWV DUH UHSUHVHQWHG E\
RULHQWHG GLVNV ZLWK D SRODULW\ VR RYHUWXUQHG EHGGLQJ FDQ
EH DFFXUDWHO\ GHVFULEHG ,QGLYLGXDO PHDVXUHPHQWV DUH
LQWHUSRODWHGLQWREHGGLQJVXUIDFHVXVLQJDZHDNDQLVRWURS\
WR UHHFW WKH D[LDO SODQDU RULHQWDWLRQ RI RSHQ IROGV $
FKDUDFWHULVWLFRIWKLVLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJPHWKRGWRLQWHUSRODWH
EHGGLQJ WDQJHQW PHDVXUHPHQWV LV WKH DELOLW\ WR FUHDWH
LVRSRWHQWLDO VXUIDFHV UHSUHVHQWLQJ LQWHUSRODWHG EHGGLQJ
VXUIDFHVDWXVHUGHQHGVSDWLDOVHSDUDWLRQDQGUHVROXWLRQV,Q
WKLVFDVHDEHGGLQJVXUIDFHZDVJHQHUDWHGHYHU\PZLWKD
WULDQJXODWLRQUHVROXWLRQRIPWKURXJKRXWWKHYROXPHRIWKH
GHSRVLW7KHVXUIDFHVZHUHFRPSDUHGZLWKRXWFURSH[SRVXUH
DQG ZHUH FRQVLGHUHG D JRRG UHSUHVHQWDWLRQ RI EHGGLQJ
JHRPHWU\)LJXUH
7KHVH EHGGLQJ VXUIDFHV ZHUH FKHFNHG ZLWK VWDQGDUG
VHFWLRQDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQG TXLFNO\ UHYHDOHG D PLVPDWFK
EHWZHHQ WKH JHRPHWU\ LQWHUSRODWHG IURP VXUIDFH SOXV
WHOHYLHZHU PHDVXUHPHQWV DQG WKH JHRPHWU\ RI VHGLPHQWDU\
URFNVLQWHUSUHWHGIURPGULOOLQJ)LJXUH7KLVPLVPDWFKZDV
ODUJHO\ D UHVXOW RI QRW UHFRJQLVLQJ VLJQLFDQW GLVSODFHPHQW
FIG 5 - Bedding measurements taken from outcrop are added to subsurface measurements taken with televiewer, translated to a 3D environment
as disks and interpolated into 3D bedding form surfaces. These are compared back to the geological map and outcrops as validation.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
233
FIG 6 - Section 300 West (looking west) showing evolution of the lithostructural interpretation at Canahuire through time (same colour legend
as Figure 2). Panel(A) shows mismatch between the interpretation of
subsurface bedding geometry and that shown by the bedding form
surfaces interpolated from televiewer and surface data. The mismatch
led to the recognition of a fault, shown in (B). Panel(C) shows a sectional
interpretation generated as a slice of the 3D model, with no drawing
involved (compare with Figure 9a in Dusci, 2011a).
DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH 1RUWK )DXOW 7KH VXUIDFH PDSSLQJ ZDV
UHYLHZHGDQGWKHIDXOWZDVFRQVLVWHQWO\ORJJHGLQGULOOFRUH
$ VKDUS LQGXFHG SRODULVDWLRQ FKDUJHDELOLW\ DQRPDO\ ZDV
IRXQG WR EH DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKLV IDXOW 7KLV LV DQ H[DPSOH
ZKHUH LPSURYLQJ WKH XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI EHGGLQJ JHRPHWU\
DQG VWUDWLJUDSK\ ZDV FUXFLDO WR WKH XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH
IDXOW QHWZRUN SURPSWLQJ DQ LWHUDWLYH UHYLHZ RI DYDLODEOH
234
7KHEUHFFLDGLDWUHPHZDVPRGHOOHGE\DGLIIHUHQWPHWKRG
LQ /HDSIURJ 0LQLQJ FDOOHG UHJLRQ PRGHOOLQJ ,QWHUYDOV RI
LQWHUHVW DUH QRW VHOHFWHGEDVHGRQ PDQXDOSURFHVVHVEXW E\
ORRNLQJ XS GDWDEDVH FRGHV DFFRUGLQJ WR ORJLF RI JHRORJLFDO
FURVVFXWWLQJ UHODWLRQVKLSV RU VSHFLF LQFOXVLRQ FULWHULD
7KLV PHWKRG KDV WKH DGYDQWDJH RI DXWRPDWHG VHOHFWLRQ
DOWKRXJKVRPHDGMXVWPHQWRIWKHPLQLPXPZLGWKRIVHOHFWHG
LQWHUYDOVQHHGVWREHPDGHDFFRUGLQJWRWKHGHVLUHGOHYHORI
DFFXUDF\DQGFRQWLQXLW\7KHFDVHVWXG\RQ'DPDQJVKRZV
DQDSSOLFDWLRQRIWKLVPHWKRGWRWKHPRGHOOLQJRIPLQHUDOLVHG
GRPDLQVZLUHIUDPHFUHDWLRQ
7KH EUHFFLD GLDWUHPH ZDV WKHQ H[WUDFWHG IURP WKH
VHGLPHQWDU\ VWUDWD XVLQJ %RROHDQ RSHUDWLRQV $Q H[DPSOH
RIWKHORJLFGHQLQJWKHOLPHVWRQHSDFNDJHIURPWKHFHQWUDO
1RUWK )DXOW EORFN LV VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH 7KLV DSSURDFK
HQVXUHV WKDW IDXOWV VHGLPHQWDU\ XQLWV DQG EUHFFLD W\SHV
DUH DOO G\QDPLFDOO\ OLQNHG VR WKDW FKDQJHV WR DQ\ RQH RI
WKHVH HOHPHQWV ZLOO EH UHSURGXFHG LQ WKH RWKHUV E\ VLPSO\
UHUXQQLQJ WKH PRGHO 7KLV FRQVLGHUDEO\ VLPSOLHV WKH
SURFHVV RI XSGDWLQJ PRGHOV LPSRUWDQW LQ WKH FRQWH[W RI
The Pursuit of Best Practice and Use of Innovative Techniques Case Studies in Geological Interpretation and Modelling, Gold Fields |R Gradim et al
Quick LW LV DQ RUGHU RI PDJQLWXGH IDVWHU FRPSDUHG WR
WUDGLWLRQDO ZLUHIUDPLQJ PHWKRGV HJ &RZDQ et al
FIG 9 - Boolean logic behind the model of the limestone in the central North Fault
block. Internal clastic horizon and diatreme breccia are extracted (negative) and
limestone bound by faults and upper () and lower () sedimentary contacts.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
235
7RDGGUHVVWKLVFKDOOHQJHDGHSRVLWVFDOHJHRORJLFDOEORFN
PRGHOZDVFUHDWHG7KHFRQFHSWZDVWRFUHDWHDEORFNPRGHO
WKDWVWRUHVDOODYDLODEOHJHRORJLFDOFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHGHSRVLW
DQGLVQRWFUHDWHGIRUWKHVROHSXUSRVHRIJUDGHHVWLPDWLRQ
6XFK D PRGHO KDV WR EH HDVLO\ YLVXDOLVHG VKDUHG PRGLHG
DQGTXHULHG7KHWHUPFRPPRQHDUWKPRGHOKDVEHHQXVHG
LQ WKH OLWHUDWXUH LQ WKH FRQWH[W RI LQWHJUDWHG H[SORUDWLRQ
PRGHOV7KHWHUPLVERUURZHGIURPWKHSHWUROHXPLQGXVWU\
DQGHPSKDVLVHVD'SODWIRUPVWRULQJFURVVGLVFLSOLQDU\GDWD
0F*DXJKH\7KHFRPPRQHDUWKPRGHOVFDSDFLW\WR
EHLQWHUURJDWHGLVYHU\LPSRUWDQWDQGWKLVLVDVKRUWFRPLQJ
RI D VXUIDFHEDVHG JHRORJLFDO PRGHO FUHDWHG ZLWK LPSOLFLW
PRGHOOLQJ7KHUHKDVEHHQDSXVKWRLQFRUSRUDWHWKHRXWFRPHV
RILPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJLQDEORFNEDVHGSODWIRUPZKLFKLQIDFW
GRHV QRW UHTXLUH VXUIDFHV DV DQ LQWHUPHGLDWH VWHS &RZDQ
6SUDJJDQG(YHULWW
7KH FRPPRQ HDUWK PRGHO ZDV FUHDWHG LQ *2&$'
VRIWZDUH EHFDXVH RI LWV VSHFLDOLVHG WRROV DOORZLQJ HDV\ DQG
H[LEOHZD\VWRFRGHVXUIDFHVDQGFRPSOH[SUR[LPLW\TXHULHV
WR EORFNV $OO OLWKRORJLFDO DOWHUDWLRQ EUHFFLD IDEULF DQG
ZHDWKHULQJ VROLGV ZHUH WUDQVIHUUHG WR WKH EORFN PRGHO E\
VHOHFWLQJWKHEORFNVLQVLGHWKHVROLGVDQGDVVLJQLQJQXPHULFDO
FRGHV WR HDFK IHDWXUH 6ROLGV ZHUH DOVR FUHDWHG WR UHSUHVHQW
'EXIIHUVWRWKHPDLQIDXOWV%HGGLQJGLSDQGGLSGLUHFWLRQ
ZHUH LQWHUSRODWHG IURP WKH ' EHGGLQJ VXUIDFHV *UDGH
HOGVLQFOXGLQJQRWRQO\$X$JDQG&XEXWRWKHUHOHPHQWV
LPSRUWDQW WR WKH PHWDOOXUJLFDO SURFHVV VXFK DV 6 %L DQG 6E
ZHUHLPSRUWHGIURP&$(6WXGLR
7KLV LQWHJUDWHG PRGHO KDV EHHQ DSSOLHG WR JHRWHFKQLFDO
DQDO\VLV RI DQ RSHQ SLW VFHQDULR )LJXUH $ JHRKD]DUG
LQGH[ ZDV FUHDWHG E\ DGGLQJ LQGLYLGXDO NQRZOHGJHGULYHQ
KD]DUGLQGH[HVEDVHGRQ
FIG 10 - Various geological elements are integrated in 3D in GOCAD to create a geotechnical hazard index that is draped into
a pit design to assist in mine planning. The information is stored in a block model so that different pit designs can be evaluated.
236
The Pursuit of Best Practice and Use of Innovative Techniques Case Studies in Geological Interpretation and Modelling, Gold Fields |R Gradim et al
ORFDWHGLQWKHVRXWKHUQSRUWLRQRIWKH$VKDQWL%HOWZKLFKDOVR
KRVWVWKH2EXDVL'HSRVLW0R]$XDQGRWKHUPXOWLPLOOLRQ
RXQFHGHSRVLWV)LJXUH
FIG 12 - Geological map of the Damang area (Universal Transverse Mercator grid).
/RFDOO\WKH7DUNZDLDQVWUDWLJUDSKLFVHTXHQFHRIKRVWURFNV
IURPROGHVWWR\RXQJHVWLVWKH
Geological background
7KH 'DPDQJ 'HSRVLW LV GLYLGHG LQWR WKUHH DUHDV +XQL WR
WKHQRUWK'DPDQJLQWKHFHQWUHDQG-XQRWRWKHVRXWK7KHVH
DUHDVDUHGHQHGE\GLIIHUHQFHVLQWKHVW\OHRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
237
The Pursuit of Best Practice and Use of Innovative Techniques Case Studies in Geological Interpretation and Modelling, Gold Fields |R Gradim et al
B
FIG 16 - View of north end of Damang Pit looking east showing the steeply
north-dipping Rogan Fault.
FIG 17 - Photo of north-west corner (top) of Damang Pit illustrating the southwest dipping mineralised domains; host rocks are Banket Sandstone and Mafic
Intrusive. Light shading represents the moderate grade outer alteration; the
darker shading, the higher grade core.
FIG 14 - Geological interpretation cross-sections for (A) Huni (26 920 mN),
(B) Damang (25 550 mN) and (C) Juno (24 760 mN) (AGL Grid). Refer to
Figure 13 for location of these sections.
DWO\LQJTXDUW]YHLQVIRUPLQJJHQWO\VRXWKHDVWGLSSLQJ
PLQHUDOLVHGWUHQGV
DW O\LQJ TXDUW] YHLQV IRUPLQJ JHQWO\ VRXWKGLSSLQJ
PLQHUDOLVHGWUHQGV
*ROGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLVDOVRDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHDOWHUDWLRQ
KDOR DURXQG WKH TXDUW] YHLQV $OWHUDWLRQ KDORV DUH
GRPLQDWHG E\ VLOLFDVHULFLWHS\ULWH JUDGLQJ LQWR D KLJKHU
JUDGHFRUHRIDOELWHELRWLWHDQGFRDUVHUVXOGHV)LJXUH
7KHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQZDVWHFRQWDFWDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHRXWHU
DOWHUDWLRQKDORLVFRQVLGHUHGWREHKDUGJHRORJLFDOO\GLVWLQFW
HLWKHU VLGH DV REVHUYHG LQ RXWFURS 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH
GULOOLQJDQGJUDGHFRQWUROGULOOLQJ&RDUVHJROGLVQRWHGLQ
IUDFWXUHV ZLWKLQ WKH TXDUW] YHLQV EXW FDQ DOVR EH IRXQG LQ
WKHZDOOURFN
3DODHRSODFHU PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LV KRVWHG ZLWKLQ WKUHH %DQNHW
&RQJORPHUDWH UHHIV DQG FDQ EH PRGHOOHG LQ DUHDV GLVWDO WR
K\GURWKHUPDOPLQHUDOLVDWLRQZKHUHWKHLQGLYLGXDOXQLWVFDQ
EH SLFNHG RXW *UDGHV ZLWKLQ WKH FRQJORPHUDWH UHHIV UDQJH
EHWZHHQJW$XWKHLQWHUYHQLQJVDQGVWRQHXQLWVPD\
FRQWDLQXSWRJW$X
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
239
WKHVWURQJHVWPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLQWKHFHQWUDO'DPDQJDUHD
WKHFRUHRIWKHV\VWHP
ZHDNHU PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DW -XQR DV ZH PRYH DZD\ IURP
WKHIDXOWV\VWHPDQG0DF,QWUXVLYHVUHGXFHWKH%DQNHW
IRRWSULQW
ZHDNHVWPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDW+XQLDZD\IURPWKHIDXOWVDQG
FRUHRIWKHV\VWHP
Domaining
'RPDLQLQJ FUHDWHV ]RQHV RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ WKDW H[KLELW
UHDVRQDEOHVWDWLRQDULW\ZKHUHWKHJHRVWDWLVWLFVDUHFRQVLGHUHG
DSSURSULDWH IRU WKH VW\OH RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DQG WKH VHOHFWHG
HVWLPDWLRQ WHFKQLTXH LQ WKLV FDVH RUGLQDU\ NULJLQJ ,I WKH
GRPDLQVGRQRWH[KLELWVWDWLRQDULW\LWLVJRRGSUDFWLFHWRUHYLHZ
DQG UHQH WKH JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ &RRPEHV
VWUHVVHVWKHLPSRUWDQFHRIWKLVVWHSZLWKUHVSHFWWRYDOLGDWLRQ
RI 5HVRXUFH PRGHOV ,I VWDWLRQDULW\ FDQQRW EH HVWDEOLVKHG D
PRUHFRPSOH[HVWLPDWLRQPHWKRGVXFKDVLQGLFDWRUNULJLQJ
*ODFNHQDQG%ODFNQH\PD\EHUHTXLUHG
0LQHUDOLVDWLRQ GRPDLQV DW 'DPDQJ DUH EDVHG RQ WKH
JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ IRU PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ OLWKRORJ\ DQG
IDXOWLQJ7DEOHDQG)LJXUH,QRUGHUWRUHQHWKHGRPDLQV
GHWDLOHG FURVVVHFWLRQDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV ZHUH JHQHUDWHG
XVLQJ WKH JUDGH FRQWURO GDWD P UHYHUVH FLUFXODWLRQ
5& GULOOLQJ 7KH JUDGH FRQWURO GDWD KHOSHG WR KLJKOLJKW
GRPLQDQW WUHQGV DQG PDMRU GLVFRQWLQXLWLHV 'RPDLQV ZHUH
QRWJHQHUDWHGIRUVDSUROLWHRUR[LGLVHGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDVWKHVH
KDYHLQVLJQLFDQWYROXPHVEH\RQGWKHPLQHGRXWDUHDV
Wireframe creation
&RQVWUXFWLRQ RI UREXVW ' PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZLUHIUDPHV LV
FULWLFDO IRU HVWLPDWLQJ YROXPH ORFDWLQJ PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DQG
DFFXUDWHVHOHFWLRQRIVDPSOHGDWD,WLVDOVRLPSRUWDQWWRSXW
WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LQ SHUVSHFWLYH ZLWK JHRORJLFDO IHDWXUHV
WKURXJKWKHFUHDWLRQRIOLWKRORJLFDODQGIDXOWLQJZLUHIUDPHV
FIG 18 - Long-sections of the interpretation of deposit scale mineralisation trends. (A) Intersections of lithology and faults,
(B) horizontal accumulation (grade multiplied by thickness) of the inventory model within the Banket formation.
240
The Pursuit of Best Practice and Use of Innovative Techniques Case Studies in Geological Interpretation and Modelling, Gold Fields |R Gradim et al
TABLE 1
Summary table of the domaining used in the estimation.
Area and lithology
Palaeoplacer
00
3000 HUNI
Hydrothermal primary mineralisation orientations in black, secondary (conjugate sets) vein orientations in blue
20
50
60
80
90
SE gentle dip
veins (20->135)
Leftovers shallow
veins (short strike
extent)
3520
3420
5300
3220
3220
3180 E&W
5000 DAMANG
EW02 fault
EW02 fault
5580 fault
5550
5460
5450
5460
5300
5580
5350
5250
5290
3180 E&W
7000 JUNO
7560
7460
5300
7350
7260
7250
7260
5580
5290
3180 E&W
241
Clipping dataWKHGLVWDQFHDZD\IURPWKHFRQWDFWSRLQWLV
FOLSSHGWRLQPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDQGLQZDVWH%\YDU\LQJ
WKHFOLSSLQJSDUDPHWHUVLWLVSRVVLEOHWRYDU\WKHVWUHQJWK
RI WKH LQWHUSRODWLRQ DFFRUGLQJ WR GRPDLQ FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
HJ LI \RX ZDQW ZDVWH WR KDYH OHVV LQXHQFH FOLS WR
DQGLI\RXZDQWZDVWHWRKDYHPRUHLQXHQFHFOLSWR
'HQLQJLQWHUSRODWLRQSDUDPHWHUV
(OOLSVRLG UDWLRV KHOS GHQH WKH VKDSH RI WKH
LQWHUSRODWLRQ LQ WKLV FDVH WKH PDLQ RULHQWDWLRQV
DV GHQHG E\ JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DUH XVHG
2EVHUYHG WKLFNQHVV GLS DQG VWULNH RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
LQ FRQMXQFWLRQ ZLWK GLUHFWLRQDO YDULRJUDPV DQG GDWD
VSDFLQJDUHXVHIXOWRKHOSGHQHWKHUDWLRV
1XJJHWLVVHWWR]HURWRPRGHOWRFRQWDFWSRLQWV
5DQJH LV WKH SURMHFWLRQ GLVWDQFH IURP WKH ODVW GDWD
SRLQW
7KUHVKROG DJDLQ LV VHW WR ]HUR WR PRGHO WR FRQWDFW
SRLQWV
:LUHIUDPHVFUHDWHGVKRXOGKRQRXUWKHFRQWDFWSRLQWVRULHQ
WDWLRQVDQGUDQJHVDQGWKHVSHFLHGGRPDLQERXQGDULHV$Q
H[DPSOHRIWKHZLUHIUDPHSURGXFHGIRUWKHPDLQPLQHUDOLVHG
GRPDLQGRPDLQLVVKRZQLQ)LJXUH
Geostatistics
'RPDLQLVWKHPDLQPLQHUDOLVHGGRPDLQDW'DPDQJDQG
FRPSULVHVVRXWKZHVWGLSSLQJYHLQDUUD\VKRVWHGLQ%DQNHW
IRUPDWLRQ+LVWRJUDPVORJKLVWRJUDPVORJSUREDELOLW\SORWV
PHDQDQGYDULDQFHSORWVDQGEDVLFVWDWLVWLFVIRUQRQWRSFXW
DQG WRSFXW GDWD DUH VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH ,W DOVR VKRZV WKH
SHUFHQWDJH SRSXODWLRQ FXW DQG WKH SHUFHQWDJH UHGXFWLRQ LQ
PHDQDVDUHVXOWRIWRSFXWWLQJ7KHIROORZLQJIHDWXUHVJLYH
XVFRQGHQFHWKHGRPDLQLVVWDWLRQDU\
KLVWRJUDP LV W\SLFDO IRU WKLV VW\OH RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LH
KLJKO\VNHZHG
ORJ KLVWRJUDP VKRZV D VLQJOH SRSXODWLRQ ZLWK WKH
H[FHSWLRQRIVRPHPLQRUSRSXODWLRQVHYLGHQWDWYHU\ORZ
JUDGHVGXHWRLQFOXVLRQRILQWHUQDOZDVWH
ORJSUREDELOLW\SORWDJUHHVZLWKWKHORJKLVWRJUDPVKRZLQJ
DVLQJOHSRSXODWLRQIURPaJWWRJW
RQO\ D YHU\ PLQRU SHUFHQWDJH FXW RI WKH SRSXODWLRQ LV
UHTXLUHGWREULQJWKHFRHIFLHQWRIYDULDWLRQ&9WRa
The Pursuit of Best Practice and Use of Innovative Techniques Case Studies in Geological Interpretation and Modelling, Gold Fields |R Gradim et al
D &9 RI LV FRQVLGHUHG UHDVRQDEOH LQ WKLV FDVH DV LQ
FRPELQDWLRQ ZLWK WKH PRGHUDWHO\ KLJK QXJJHW HIIHFW
SHUFHQWWKHSRSXODWLRQLQFOXGHVLQWHUQDOZDVWHDQG
VRPHSRRUO\RULHQWHGGULOOLQJZKLFKKDVEHHQVKRZQWR
H[KLELWKLJKJUDGHELDVDQGKLJKHUYDULDQFH
Variography
7KH H[SHULPHQWDO DQG LQWHUSUHWHG YDULRJUDPV IRU GRPDLQ
DUHSUHVHQWHGLQ)LJXUH7KHRULHQWDWLRQDQGUDQJHVRI
WKHSULQFLSDODQGPLQRUGLUHFWLRQVRIWKHYDULRJUDPFRUUHODWH
ZHOOZLWKWKHLQWHUSUHWHGRULHQWDWLRQDQGUDQJHVRIWKHVRXWK
ZHVW GLSSLQJ YHLQ VHWV REVHUYHG LQ RXWFURS DQG 5HVRXUFH
GULOO GDWD 7KH YDULRJUDPV DOVR FRUUHODWH ZHOO ZLWK WKH
PHDVXUHG RULHQWDWLRQV DQG UDQJHV IURP JUDGH FRQWURO GULOO
GDWD7KHQXJJHWSHUFHQWDJHRISHUFHQWLVQRWFRQVLGHUHG
XQFRPPRQIRUWKLVVW\OHRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
0RVWGRPDLQVEHKDYHGLQDVLPLODUIDVKLRQDQGJDYHIXUWKHU
FRQGHQFHWRWKHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
Contact analysis
&RQWDFW DQDO\VLV LV D UHODWLYHO\ QHZ IHDWXUH RI ,VDWLV
VRIWZDUH7KHREMHFWLYHRIFRQWDFWDQDO\VLVLVWRVWDWLVWLFDOO\
FRPSDUH GRPDLQHG VDPSOHV E\ GLVWDQFH DFURVV D FRQWDFW
WR GHWHUPLQH KRZ UHODWHG WKH\ DUH )LJXUH VKRZV WKH
FRQWDFW DQDO\VLV UHVXOWV EHWZHHQ GRPDLQ DQG ZDVWH
7KHVXGGHQFKDQJHDFURVVWKHERXQGDU\FOHDUO\VKRZVWKH
SRSXODWLRQVDUHGLVWLQFWDQGWKHXVHRIDKDUGERXQGDU\LV
DSSURSULDWH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
243
FIG 23 - Experimental and interpreted variograms for domain 5250. Top left is strike, top right is dip,
bottom left is downhole and bottom right is downhole with 2 g/t top-cut to help the interpretation.
FIG 24 - Left: contact analysis between domain 5250 and waste (9999) showing clear statistical separation of the mineralisation-waste contact.
Right: contact analysis between domain 5250 and domain 5350 showing no significant change across the boundary.
244
The Pursuit of Best Practice and Use of Innovative Techniques Case Studies in Geological Interpretation and Modelling, Gold Fields |R Gradim et al
&RZDQ ( - %HDWVRQ 5 . 5RVV + - )ULJKW : 5 0F/HQQDQ 7 -
(YDQV75&DUU-&/DQH5*%ULJKW'9*LOOPDQ$-2VKXVW
3$DQG7LWOH\03UDFWLFDOLPSOLFLWJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ
in )LIWK,QWHUQDWLRQDO0LQLQJ*HRORJ\&RQIHUHQFH3URFHHGLQJVHG6
'RPLQ\ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
CONCLUSIONS
'DYLV % . 8VH DQG DEXVH RI RULHQWHG GULOO FRUH LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
*HRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGPRGHOOLQJDUHYLWDOSURFHVVHVLQ
WKHOLIHRIDPLQHUDOGHSRVLWDQGDUHKHUHLOOXVWUDWHGZLWKFDVH
VWXGLHVRQDQDGYDQFHGH[SORUDWLRQSURMHFWDQGDQRSHUDWLQJ
PLQH
7KH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ LV DW DQ H[FLWLQJ SRLQW ZKHUH QHZ
WHFKQRORJLHV LQ GDWD FDSWXUH DQG JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ DUH
HPHUJLQJZLWKWKHSURPLVHRIbothIDVWDQGDFFXUDWHUHVXOWV
0RGHUQWRROVDQGSURFHVVHVVXFKDVWKHWHOHYLHZHULPSOLFLW
PRGHOOLQJDQGWKHFRPPRQHDUWKPRGHOKDYHEHHQDYDLODEOH
IRU D GHFDGH EXW DUH QRW FXUUHQWO\ LQGXVWU\ VWDQGDUG
HVSHFLDOO\LQDVWUHDPOLQHGZRUNRZ
7KHWZRFDVHVWXGLHVDLPWRFRQVROLGDWHWKHDSSOLFDWLRQRI
VXFKPRGHUQWHFKQLTXHVLQJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJDQG0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHHYDOXDWLRQ7KHWRROVDUHLQWHJUDWHGZLWKWUDGLWLRQDO
PHWKRGV WR HPSKDVLVH WKDW WKH UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU HLWKHU
DSSURDFK DUH WKH VDPH TXDOLW\ GDWD DQG VRXQG JHRORJLFDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ2QO\ZKHQFRQVWUDLQHGE\UHOHYDQWJHRORJLFDO
FRQWUROVDQGXWLOLVHGE\VNLOOHGDQGH[SHULHQFHGSUDFWLWLRQHUV
ZLOOWKH\GHOLYHURQWKHLUSURPLVHWRDGGYDOXHWRWKHPLQLQJ
F\FOH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KDQNV WR *ROG )LHOGV /LPLWHG &RPSDxLD GH 0LQDV
%XHQDYHQWXUDDQG$ERVVR*ROGHOGV/LPLWHGIRUSHUPLVVLRQ
WR SXEOLVK WKLV SDSHU 7KDQNV DOVR WR WKH &KXFDSDFD DQG
'DPDQJJHRORJ\WHDPVIRUWKHLUFRQWULEXWLRQWRWKHJHRORJLFDO
PRGHO
REFERENCES
%ODNH - 5 $SSOLFDWLRQ RI ERUHKROH LPDJHU\ LQ LURQ RUH
H[DPSOHV IURP WKH +DPHUVOH\ *URXS :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD LQ
3URFHHGLQJV,URQ2UH&RQIHUHQFHSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&DVWUR/$0&RWWUHOO%%DUNHU3DQG6LQWLP.$SSOLFDWLRQ
RI *HR+D]PDS WR WKH SLW VORSH GHVLJQ IRU WKH 'HWRXU /DNH
3URMHFW LQ Proceedings International Symposium on Rock Slope
Stability in Open Pit Mining and Civil Engineering Slope Stability
9DQFRXYHUSDSHU
&RRPEHV-9DOLGDWLRQRI5HVRXUFHPRGHOVP\WKVPDWHULDOLW\
DQG PRGHUQ DSSURDFKHV LQ Proceedings Project Evaluation
&RQIHUHQFHSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&RZDQ(-%HDWVRQ5.)ULJKW:50F/HQQDQ7-DQG0LWFKHOO
7-5DSLGJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJDSSOLHGVWUXFWXUDOJHRORJ\
IRU PLQHUDO H[SORUDWLRQ DQG PLQLQJ LQ Proceedings International
Structural ConferenceH[WHQGHGDEVWUDFWSS
245
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Principal Structural Geologist, Director, Orefind Pty Ltd, PO Box 230, Fremantle WA 6959. Email: [email protected]
2. Adjunct Senior Research Fellow, School of Geosciences, Monash University, Clayton Vic 3800.
3. Research Engineer, ARANZ Geo Ltd, PO Box 3894, Christchurch 8140, New Zealand. Email: [email protected]
4. MAusIMM, Geology Manager, Grange Resources Ltd, PO Box 659, Burnie Tas 7320. Email: [email protected]
*
This paper was previously published in Proceedings Eighth International Mining Geology Conference 2011, pp 247-260 (The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy: Melbourne).
INTRODUCTION
0LQHRSHUDWLRQVGHPDQGDFFXUDWH'JHRORJLFDOPRGHOVIRU
HVWLPDWLQJUHVRXUFHV7KHLQGXVWU\ZLGHDFFHSWHGPHWKRGIRU
FRQVWUXFWLQJVXFKPRGHOVLVWRXVHZLUHIUDPHVWRRXWOLQHWKH
RUHZDVWH ERXQGDU\ EXW WKLV PHWKRG LV FRVWO\ LW PD\ WDNH
GD\V RU ZHHNV WR SURGXFH WKH ' ZLUHIUDPHV E\ VHFWLRQDO
GLJLWLVDWLRQWKHVXEVHTXHQWWLPHFRQVXPLQJ'W\LQJSURFHVV
DQGZLUHIUDPHYDOLGDWLRQ7KHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\ZRXOGEHQHW
IURP IDVWHU PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRGV WKDW FLUFXPYHQW WKLV WLPH
FRQVXPLQJSURFHVV$GLVFXVVLRQRIDQDOWHUQDWLYHPRGHOOLQJ
PHWKRGLVWKHVXEMHFWRIWKLVUHVHDUFKSDSHU
,PSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJPHWKRGVGHOLYHUDFFXUDWHPRGHOVUDSLGO\
ZLWKRXW QHHGLQJ WLPHFRQVXPLQJ VHFWLRQDO GLJLWLVDWLRQ
247
GD\VWRMXVWWZRGD\VRUIHZHU5HIUHVKLQJWKHPRGHOZLWK
DGGLWLRQDOGULOOKROHGDWDZRXOGIXUWKHUUHGXFHWKHWLPHWDNHQ
%HIRUH GLVFXVVLQJ PHWKRGV DQG LPSOLFDWLRQV EDFNJURXQG
LV SURYLGHG DV WR ZK\ WKH WUDGLWLRQDOO\ DFFHSWHG PRGHOOLQJ
PHWKRGLVVRGHSHQGHQWRQYDOLGDWHGZLUHIUDPHV
7KHVHOHFWLRQRISRLQWVZLWKLQDQREMHFWDOVRUHTXLUHVDFORVHG
REMHFW ZLWK FRQVLVWHQWO\ IDFLQJ WULDQJXODWLRQV )LJXUH E
7R VHOHFW SRLQWV ZLWKLQ DQ REMHFW WKH FORVHVW WULDQJXODWLRQ LV
GHWHUPLQHGIRUHDFKSRLQWDQGLIWKHSRLQWLVORFDWHGRQWKH
SRVLWLYHVLGHRIWKHFORVHVWWULDQJXODWLRQIDFHWLWLVFRQVLGHUHG
WR EH ZLWKLQ WKH REMHFW ,I WKH WULDQJXODWLRQ IDFHW LV ORFDOO\
UHYHUVHGRUPLVVLQJ)LJXUHFWKHVRIWZDUHSURJUDPFDQQRW
DFFXUDWHO\ VHOHFW WKH SRLQWV ZLWKLQ WKH PRGHOOHG REMHFW )RU
H[DPSOH VHOILQWHUVHFWLQJ WULDQJXODWLRQV ZKHUH WKH SRVLWLYH
IDFH RI WULDQJXODWLRQV IDFH RXWZDUGV ZLOO UHVXOW LQ SRLQWV
EHLQJVHOHFWHGRXWVLGHWKHREMHFW
$OWKRXJKWKHUHDUHVHYHUDOPHWKRGVIRUYROXPHFDOFXODWLRQV
DQG SRLQW VHOHFWLRQV QR PHWKRG FDQ DFKLHYH WKH WDVNV
OLVWHG DERYH ZLWKRXW FORVHG WULDQJXODWLRQ REMHFWV WKDW KDYH
FRQVLVWHQWO\RULHQWDWHGIDFHV,QWKHSRO\OLQHW\LQJSURFHVVLWLV
FRPPRQIRUWKHVROLGWRGHYHORSLQYDOLGWULDQJXODWLRQIDFHWV
WKDWPLJKWLQWHUVHFWHDFKRWKHU%HFDXVHWKHVHLPSHUIHFWLRQV
PXVWEH HOLPLQDWHGEHIRUH DQ DFFXUDWH YROXPHRIWKH REMHFW
FDQ EH FDOFXODWHG WKH W\LQJ SURFHVV DQG WULDQJXODWLRQ
YDOLGDWLRQVWHSVRIWHQKDYHWREHUHSHDWHGE\WKHJHRORJLVWWR
ZRUNDURXQGYDOLGDWLRQSUREOHPV7KLVUHSHWLWLRQFDQDGGD
VLJQLFDQWSRUWLRQRIWLPHWRWKHH[SOLFLWPRGHOOLQJZRUNRZ
Wireframe-Free Geological Modelling An Oxymoron or a Value Proposition?|E J Cowan, K J Spragg and M R Everitt
EHLQJDVXEMHFWLYHPRGHOOLQJPHWKRG$VDUHVXOW&RZDQ et al
LQWURGXFHGLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJDVDVROXWLRQWRSURGXFH
IDVWHUDQGPRUHREMHFWLYHZLUHIUDPHPRGHOVIRUWKHUHVRXUFH
LQGXVWU\DQGWRVHSDUDWHWKHSURFHVVLQJRIWKHPRGHOIURPWKH
JHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
249
'HFHPEHUZKHQ$XVWUDOLDQ%XON0LQHUDOVPHUJHGZLWK
*UDQJH5HVRXUFHV/WG
,Q ZKHQ WKH FDVH VWXG\ ZDV XQGHUWDNHQ WKH
RSHUDWLRQKDGDQH[SHFWHGPLQHOLIHRIDERXW\HDUVEDVHG
RQWKHH[SDQVLRQRI1RUWK3LW2WKHUUHVRXUFHVRQWKHPLQH
OHDVH FRXOG SRWHQWLDOO\ H[WHQG WKLV PLQH OLIH RXW WR DERXW
\HDUV 7KH WRWDO 5HVRXUFH LQFOXGLQJ LQIHUUHG PDWHULDO
DVDW0DUFKZDV0WDWDJUDGHRISHUFHQW
'DYLV 7XEH 5HFRYHU\ '75 ZLWK D 5HVHUYH RI 0W DW
SHUFHQW'75
7KH 6DYDJH 5LYHU PDJQHWLWH GHSRVLWV RFFXU LQ D EHOW RI
JUHHQVFKLVW IDFLHV PHWDPRUSKLFV RI &DPEULDQ DJH NQRZQ
DV WKH $UWKXU 0HWDPRUSKLF &RPSOH[ 7KH PHWDPRUSKLF
FRPSOH[ LV XS WR NP ZLGH DQG UXQV 11( DFURVV QRUWK
ZHVWHUQ7DVPDQLDIRUVRPHNPIURPWKHZHVWFRDVWWRWKH
QRUWKFRDVW)LJXUH,WFRUUHVSRQGVZLWKDWHFWRQLFIHDWXUH
NQRZQ DV WKH $UWKXU /LQHDPHQW DQG IRUPV D ERXQGDU\
]RQH EHWZHHQ UHODWLYHO\ XQPHWDPRUSKRVHG 3URWHUR]RLF
VKHOI GHSRVLWV WR WKH ZHVW DQG UHODWLYHO\ XQPHWDPRUSKRVHG
3URWHUR]RLFWXUELGLWHGHSRVLWVWRWKHHDVW
7KH %RZU\ &UHHN )RUPDWLRQ RI WKH $UWKXU 0HWDPRUSKLFV
FRQWDLQV WKH 6DYDJH 5LYHU PDJQHWLWH GHSRVLWV DV ZHOO DV D
VHPLFRQWLQXRXV OLQH RI VPDOOHU PDJQHWLWH GHSRVLWV WR WKH
VRXWK RI WKH PLQH OHDVH $OWRJHWKHU WKH PDJQHWLWH GHSRVLWV
UHHFWDQLURQIRUPDWLRQZLWKDVWULNHOHQJWKRIDERXWNP
7KHPDJQHWLWHRUHLVERXQGHGRQWKHHDVWHUQVLGHE\DIDXOW
NQRZQDVWKHHDVWHUQFRQWDFWIDXOW(&)7KHVSDWLDOSRVLWLRQ
RI(&)LVGHQHGE\WKHRUHWHUPLQDWLRQDQGWKHSUHVHQFHRI
WKHXQPLQHUDOLVHG$UPVWURQJ&UHHN0DF6FKLVWWRWKHHDVW
D VXEPHPEHU RI WKH %RZU\ &UHHN )RUPDWLRQ 7KH PDJQHWLWH
RUH LV VKDUSO\ WUXQFDWHG E\ WKLV VXEYHUWLFDO IDXOW DQG LV RQO\
SUHVHQWRQWKHZHVWHUQVLGHRI(&))LJXUHVDQG
FIG 3 - Geological setting and location of the Savage River magnetite deposit in north-west Tasmania.
250
Wireframe-Free Geological Modelling An Oxymoron or a Value Proposition?|E J Cowan, K J Spragg and M R Everitt
7KH GDWD XVHG IRU WKLV VWXG\ ZHUH UHVRXUFH GULOOLQJ DQG
JUDGHFRQWUROGDWDIURPWKH1RUWK3LWQRUWKRIP1VHH
)LJXUHWKDWZHUHDYDLODEOHSULRUWR0DUFK7KHUHVXOWVRI
WKHPRGHOOLQJXQGHUWDNHQIRUWKHUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ0RGHO
13DQGWKHLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJUHVXOWVDUHFRPSDUHG
Geological interpretation
%ORFNPRGHOVZHUHEXLOWDQGPDLQWDLQHGIRUHDFKLQGLYLGXDO
SLW3ULRUWRDEORFNPRGHOXSGDWHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQV
ZHUH FRPSLOHG DQG XSGDWHG 7KH SURFHVV FRPPHQFHG ZLWK
WKHDFTXLVLWLRQRISLWPDSSLQJGDWDGULOOKROHGDWDDQGJUDGH
FRQWUROGDWDIROORZHGE\DQLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRQFURVVVHFWLRQ
ZKLFKZDVWKHQUHQHGRQLWFKSODQV
Assay methods
)RUWKH6DYDJH5LYHUPDJQHWLWHGHSRVLWVWKHRUHJUDGHZDV
H[SUHVVHGDVWKHSHUFHQWDJHRIPDWHULDOLQWKHRUHWKDWFRXOG
Sectional interpretation
&URVVVHFWLRQV WKURXJK WKH HQWLUH GHSRVLW DW P VSDFLQJ
ZHUH JHQHUDWHG DQG SORWWHG RQ WR $ SDSHU (DFK VHFWLRQ
FRPSULVHGGULOOKROHVZLWKOLWKRORJ\FRGHV'75JUDGHVWKH
QDWXUDO VXUIDFH WRSRJUDSK\ DQG YDULRXV SLW VXUIDFHV WKDW
FRUUHODWHG ZLWK VXFFHVVLYH PDSSLQJ FDPSDLJQV 7KH ODWHVW
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ IRU 1RUWK 3LW LQFOXGHG SORWV RI JUDGH FRQWURO
VDPSOH GDWD WKDW LOOXVWUDWHG WKH KLVWRULFDO GLVWULEXWLRQ RI
JUDGH DQG DVVLVWHG LQ SURMHFWLQJ ERXQGDULHV EHWZHHQ GULOO
KROHV
(DFK VHFWLRQ ZDV LQWHUSUHWHG IRU PDJQHWLWH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
DQG ZDVWH URFN W\SHV +LVWRJUDP SORWV RI '75 GLVSOD\HG
D ELPRGDO GLVWULEXWLRQ RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZLWK D WKLUG
PRUHVXEWOHSRSXODWLRQLQWKHPHGLXPJUDGHUDQJHV7KHVH
SRSXODWLRQV GHQHG WKH ERXQGDULHV RI WKH OLWKRORJLFDO
VXEGLYLVLRQRIWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLQGULOOORJJLQJDQGPDSSLQJ
251
Flitch interpretation
7KH FRUUHFWHG VHFWLRQ OHV ZHUH VOLFHG KRUL]RQWDOO\ DW P
LQWHUYDOVWKURXJKRXWWKHYHUWLFDOH[WHQWRIWKHPRGHOWRSURGXFH
DVHULHVRIFRGHGFXWEDUOHVWKDWZHUHXVHGWRIRUPWKHEDVLVRI
WKHLWFKLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ)OLWFKSODQVFRPSULVLQJGULOOKROHGDWD
DQGFXWEDUVZHUHSORWWHGIRUHYHU\PLQWHUYDO
(DFKLWFKZDVLQWHUSUHWHGIRUPDJQHWLWHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDQG
VXEGLYLGHGLQWRDEXQGDQWPRGHUDWHDQGVSDUVHPDJQHWLWH
FDWHJRULHV:DVWHURFNVZHUHDVVLJQHGDURFNW\SHFRGHWKDW
LQGLFDWHGWKHLUSRWHQWLDOIRUDFLGJHQHUDWLRQ
,QGLYLGXDO LWFK VKDSHV ZHUH GLJLWLVHG HGLWHG DQG
FRUUHFWHGLQWRPVSDFHGLWFKRUHOHVWRIRUPWKHEDVLVRI
WKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQZLUHIUDPH
Wireframe construction
:LUHIUDPHVZHUHFRQVWUXFWHGIURPWKHPLWFKRXWOLQHVIRU
DEXQGDQWPRGHUDWHDQGVSDUVHPDJQHWLWHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDQG
ZDVWHURFNW\SHV'XHWRWKHFRPSOH[LW\RIWKHUHODWLRQVKLSV
252
Wireframe-Free Geological Modelling An Oxymoron or a Value Proposition?|E J Cowan, K J Spragg and M R Everitt
TABLE 1
Explicit modelling workflow at Savage River magnetite mine. Time estimates
are based on a five-day, eight-hour/day working week for one person working
continuously, although different people may contribute in parallel to different
stages of the modelling.
Task
Days (hours)
2 (16)
Sectional interpretation
10 (80)
Sectional digitising
5 (40)
1 (8)
Flitch interpretation
5 (40)
Flitch digitising
5 (40)
15 (120)
43 days (344 hours)
253
7KH FRQWDFW EHWZHHQ ORZJUDGH SHU FHQW '75 SHU
FHQWDQGPHGLXPWRKLJKJUDGHRUH'75!SHUFHQWZDV
PRGHOOHGE\LQWHUSRODWLQJWKHGLVWDQFHSRLQWVDZD\IURPWKH
PHGLXPWRKLJKJUDGHFRQWDFWLQHDFKGULOOKROHUHVXOWLQJLQ
f/2UH0+2UH 7KHVH SRVLWLRQV UHSUHVHQW D VXEVHW RI RUH
WKHUHIRUHRQO\SRLQWVWKDWDUHLQWKHYROXPHf:DVWH2UH!
ZHUHLQWHUSRODWHG7KHDQLVRWURSLFLQWHUSRODWLRQVHWWLQJZDV
LGHQWLFDO WR WKDW XVHG WR PRGHO f:DVWH2UH7KH PRGHOOLQJ
RI GLVWDQFH SRLQWV WRRN WHQ PLQXWHV WR SUHSDUH DQG
DQRWKHU WHQ PLQXWHV WR LQWHUSRODWH 7KH f/2UH0+2UH
SRVLWLRQ LQ VSDFH GHQHV WKH FRQWDFW EHWZHHQ ORZJUDGH
DQGPHGLXPWRKLJKJUDGHRUHZKLOVWf/*2UH0+2UH
UHSUHVHQWV ORZJUDGH RUH DQG f/2UH02UH ! UHSUHVHQWV
HYHU\WKLQJDERYHORZJUDGHRUH)LJXUHG
Topography
7KHVXUYH\SRLQWVPDQ\RIWKHPIURPDPXFKZLGHUDUHDWKDQ
WKH 1RUWK 3LW RQ WKH QDWXUDO SUHSLW WRSRJUDSK\ ZHUH XVHG
WRJHQHUDWHWKHWRSRJUDSK\IXQFWLRQf7RSR2QFHWKH
SRLQWVZHUHORDGHGWKHFUHDWLRQRIf7RSRZDVDXWRPDWHGWKLV
SURFHVVWRRNMXVWRYHUWKUHHPLQXWHV7KH]HURVXUIDFHGHQHV
WKHWRSRJUDSK\ERXQGDU\ZKLOHSRVLWLYHYDOXHVUHSUHVHQWDLU
DQGQHJDWLYHYDOXHVEHORZJURXQG)LJXUHD
Wireframe-Free Geological Modelling An Oxymoron or a Value Proposition?|E J Cowan, K J Spragg and M R Everitt
FIG 7 - An input point must be passed through the functions in this order of
precedence to determine the category at any point (air, waste, or three of the
ore grade categories). Obtaining a block model repeats this process at grid
points to determine the proportion of each category within a block.
7ZR W\SHV RI EORFN PRGHOV HTXLYROXPHWULF DQG PXOWL
YROXPHWULFZHUHJHQHUDWHGIRUWKLVVWXG\UHSUHVHQWLQJWKRVH
FRPPRQO\XVHGLQWKHUHVRXUFHLQGXVWU\
$Q HTXLYROXPHWULF EORFN PRGHO KDV EORFNV WKDW DUH WKH
VDPH VL]H LQ WKH FDVH RI 6DYDJH 5LYHU GDWD WKLV LV [HG DW
P )RU HDFK EORFN WKH SURSRUWLRQ RI FDWHJRU\
DLU ZDVWH ORZJUDGH RUH PHGLXPJUDGH RUH KLJKJUDGH
RUH LV GHWHUPLQHG DQG DWWULEXWHG WR WKH EORFNV FHQWURLG
SRLQW7KHFDWHJRU\SURSRUWLRQIRUWKHPEORFNV
DUHGHWHUPLQHGE\'LQWHJUDWLRQRIHYDOXDWLRQUHVXOWVIURP
SRLQWVGLVWULEXWHGLQHDFKEORFN)LJXUHD
7KHPRVWWLPHFRQVXPLQJVWHSLVWKHFUHDWLRQRIWKHEORFN
RXWSXWV EXW WKLV ZRUNRZ FDQ EH VKRUWHQHG XVLQJ D PXOWL
FRUH SURFHVVRU 7DEOH 8SGDWLQJ WKH PRGHO ZLWK H[WUD
GULOOKROHLQIRUPDWLRQUHTXLUHVRQO\WKHQHZGULOOKROHVWREH
DSSHQGHGLQWRWKHSURMHFWDQGWKHQUHSURFHVVHG,IWKHUHDUH
QRPDMRUFKDQJHVWRWKHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQHZEORFN
PRGHOFDQEHUHJHQHUDWHGZLWKLQDGD\RIWKHQHZGDWDEHLQJ
LPSRUWHG 7KH GLUHFWWREORFN LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRG
FRPSUHVVHGZKDWWRRNPRUHWKDQGD\VWRFRPSOHWHGRZQ
WRWZRGD\V
TABLE 2
Implicit modelling workflow times for the North Pit Savage River magnetite
mine data set.
Task
Setting up project and import data
60 (1)
3 (0.05)
60 (1)
20 (0.33)
20 (0.33)
20 (0.33)
660 (11)/165(2.75)
Total
A
Minutes (hours)
Notes: the last two tasks generating the block models require no human intervention and
represent computational time only. The computation tasks were performed on a single core
central processing unit (CPU), but an estimate for quad-core CPU is also shown. The savings in
computational time is proportional to the number of CPU cores used for computing the block
models. With a quad-core CPU, the block model computation can be brought down to one
quarter of the time, thus reducing the total time taken from 26 hours to 8.8 hours. ECF eastern
contact fault.
255
EHWZHHQWKHWZRPHWKRGVWKHEORFNFHQWURLGVRIERWKPRGHOV
ZHUHVHOHFWHGZLWKLQDGLVWDQFHRIPDZD\IURPWKHGULOO
KROH VDPSOHV XVHG WR FUHDWH WKH PRGHOV 7KH ZDVWH DQG RUH
FDWHJRU\YROXPHVDUHVXPPDULVHGLQ7DEOH7KHORZZDVWH
YROXPH LQ WKH 13 PRGHO LV OLNHO\ GXH WR PLVVLQJ ODUJH
EORFN FHQWURLGV DW WKH HGJHV RI WKH GLVWDQFHEDVHG VHOHFWLRQ
HQYHORSH 7KH WRWDO YROXPH RI RUH LV VLPLODU EHWZHHQ WKH
H[SOLFLW DQG LPSOLFLW PRGHOV RQO\ WKH LQWHUQDO DOORFDWLRQ RI
ORZJUDGHWRKLJKJUDGHLVGLIIHUHQW
%ORFNVSORWWHGLQVHFWLRQVFRPSDUHGIDYRXUDEO\)LJXUHV
DQG7KHUHDSSHDUVWREHPRUHRUHDOORFDWHGLQWKHH[SOLFLW
PRGHOHVSHFLDOO\DWGHSWK7KLVPD\EHGXHWRWKHDVVXPSWLRQ
WKDWWKHRUHERG\FRQWLQXLW\LVYHUWLFDOZKHQLWLVPRVWOLNHO\
SOXQJLQJWRWKHVRXWKZKLFKZRXOGH[SODLQVRPHWDSHULQJDW
GHSWKLQWKHLPSOLFLWPRGHO
7KH PRGHOV ZHUH DOVR FRPSDUHG LQ D VPDOOHU VHOHFWHG
YROXPHZHOODZD\IURPODUJHSHULSKHUDOEORFNVRIWKH13
PRGHO7DEOH7KHWRWDOYROXPHLVFORVHUDVWKHUHDUHIHZHU
ODUJHUEORFNVLQWKH13PRGHO$JDLQWKHUHVXOWVRIWKH
LPSOLFLWEORFNPRGHOVDUHYHU\VLPLODUWRWKDWSURGXFHGE\
H[SOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ DOWKRXJK PRUH GHWDLO FDQ EH GLVFHUQHG
IURPYLVXDOFRPSDULVRQV)LJXUH7KHDGYDQWDJHRIWKH
GLUHFWWREORFNPHWKRGLVWKDWLWDOORZVWKHVHSDUDWLRQRIWKH
PHGLXPJUDGHRUHIURPWKHKLJKJUDGHRUH7KLVVHSDUDWLRQ
ZDVQHYHUDFKLHYHGZLWKH[SOLFLWPRGHOOLQJGXHWRWKHWLPH
LWZRXOGWDNHWRGLIIHUHQWLDWHWKHVHWZRFDWHJRULHVE\KDQG
GLJLWLVDWLRQ
CONCLUSIONS
7KHUHVHDUFKFRQGXFWHGZLWKWKH6DYDJH5LYHUGDWDVKRZVWKDW
YDOLGDWHG ZLUHIUDPHV DUH QRW QHFHVVDU\ IRU WKH SURGXFWLRQ
RI KLJKTXDOLW\ EORFN PRGHOV IRU UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ 7KH
DGYDQWDJHV RI WKH GLUHFWWREORFN PRGHOOLQJ PHWKRG XVLQJ
LPSOLFLWIXQFWLRQVDUHPDQ\LQFOXGLQJ
TABLE 3
Volumetric comparison of the block models for the entire study area. Volumes are expressed in million cubic metres. The high-grade ore in the
NP307 model is a combination of medium- and high-grade ore.
Category
Waste
113.4 (63.4%)
Low-grade ore
Medium-grade ore
High-grade ore
6
Total volume ( 10 m )
Direct-to-block equivolumetric
Direct-to-block multivolumetric (10 10 5 m,
(10 10 5 m) block model volume (% of total) 5 5 2.5 m) block model volume (% of total)
136.6 (71.0%)
138.2 (71.8%)
12.2 (7.2%)
17.2 (8.9%)
16.2 (8.4%)
21.6 (11.2%)
20.6 (10.7%)
42.8 (25.4%)
16.9 (8.8%)
17.4 (9.0%)
FIG 9 - Vertical section at 9540 mN (same section as Figure 5). NP307 block model from (A) explicit modelling and (B) subblocked model from implicit modelling.
Modelled categories shown are air (blue), waste (grey), low-grade ore (green), medium-grade ore (orange) and high-grade ore (red). In the NP307 model, the
medium- and high-grade ore (red) is not distinguished. The data is trimmed to 60 m anisotropic distance from the drill hole data. Scale bar is 300 m.
256
Wireframe-Free Geological Modelling An Oxymoron or a Value Proposition?|E J Cowan, K J Spragg and M R Everitt
FIG 10 - Plan section at 0 mRL of the North Pit deposit (see Figure 4). NP307 block model from (A) explicit modelling and (B) subblocked model from implicit
modelling. Modelled categories shown are waste (grey), low-grade ore (green), medium-grade ore (orange) and high-grade ore (red). In the NP307 model, the
medium- and high-grade ore (red) is not distinguished. The data is trimmed to 60 m anisotropic distance from the drill hole data. Scale bar is 500 m.
TABLE 4
Volumetric comparison of the block models for a smaller sample volume. The box extents are minimum (6655, 9540, -88) and maximum (6840, 9720, 100).
Volumes are expressed in million cubic metres. The high-grade ore in the NP307 model is a combination of medium- and high-grade ore.
Category
Direct-to-block equivolumetric
(10 10 5 m) block model volume (% of total)
Waste
1.43 (22.5%)
1.60 (24.7%)
1.71 (26.2%)
Low-grade ore
0.38 (5.9%)
0.48 (7.4%)
0.41 (6.3%)
Medium-grade ore
High-grade ore
Total volume ( 106 m3)
1.64 (25.2%)
1.60 (24.5%)
4.56 (71.6%)
2.77 (42.6%)
2.80 (43.0%)
257
FIG 11 - Block models compared in a small volume, with (A) NP307 explicit model output and (B) subblocked implicit model output. Block centroids
are shown. Grade control data is not shown. Volumetric comparison of categories are summarised in Table 4. Scale bar is 300 m.
AUTHORS NOTE
7KH XVH RI D SDUWLFXODU VRIWZDUH SURGXFW ZDV GXH WR WKH
DYDLODELOLW\RIVXLWDEOHVRIWZDUHDWWKHWLPHRIWKLVVWXG\
7KH GLUHFWWREORFN LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ GHVFULEHG
LQ WKLV SDSHU ZDV JHQHUDWHG ZLWK /HDSIURJV )DVW5%)
HQJLQH IRU LQWHUSRODWLRQ KRZHYHU DV RI 6HSWHPEHU
WKHWHFKQLTXHLVQRW\HWLPSOHPHQWHGLQ/HDSIURJVRIWZDUH
SURGXFWV6LQFHWKHSXEOLFDWLRQRIWKLVSDSHULQVHYHUDO
UHVRXUFHLQGXVWU\VRIWZDUHFRPSDQLHVKDYHUHOHDVHGLPSOLFLW
JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ VRIWZDUH SURGXFWV LQ FRPSHWLWLRQ WR
/HDSIURJLQFOXGLQJ0LFURPLQHDQG0LQH6LJKWE\0LQWHF
258
7KHVHDQGIXWXUHLPSOLFLWPRGHOOLQJVRIWZDUHSURGXFWVFRXOG
HTXDOO\SURYLGHDIUDPHZRUNIRUWKHGLUHFWWREORFNWHFKQLTXH
GHVFULEHGLQWKLVSDSHU
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
:H WKDQN *UDQJH 5HVRXUFHV /WG IRU WKHLU SHUPLVVLRQ WR
SXEOLVKWKHVHUHVHDUFKUHVXOWV:HXVHG/HDSIURJVRIWZDUH
E\ $5$1= *HR /WG WR JHQHUDWH WKH LPSOLFLW PRGHO RI WKH
6DYDJH5LYHUGHSRVLW
REFERENCES
$KPHG 6 DQG 0XUWK\ 3 6 1 &RXOG UDGLDO EDVLV IXQFWLRQ
HVWLPDWRU UHSODFH RUGLQDU\ NULJLQJ" LQ Proceedings Geostatistics
:ROORQJRQJ HGV ( < %DD DQG 1 $ 6FKRHOG
.OXZHU$FDGHPLF3XEOLVKHUV
%LOOLQJV6'%HDWVRQ5.DQG1HZVDP*1,QWHUSRODWLRQRI
JHRSK\VLFDOGDWDXVLQJFRQWLQXRXVJOREDOVXUIDFHVGeophysics
%LOOLQJV6'1HZVDP*1DQG%HDWVRQ5.6PRRWKWWLQJRI
JHRSK\VLFDOGDWDXVLQJFRQWLQXRXVJOREDOVXUIDFHVGeophysics
&DUU - & %HDWVRQ 5 . &KHUULH - % 0LWFKHOO 7 - )ULJKW : 5
0F&DOOXP % & DQG (YDQV 7 5 5HFRQVWUXFWLRQ DQG
UHSUHVHQWDWLRQ RI ' REMHFWV ZLWK UDGLDO EDVLV IXQFWLRQV LQ
3URFHHGLQJV6,**5$3+SS
&RZDQ ( - %HDWVRQ 5 . 5RVV + - )ULJKW : 5 0F/HQQDQ 7 -
(YDQV75&DUU-&/DQH5*%ULJKW'9*LOOPDQ$-2VKXVW
3$DQG7LWOH\03UDFWLFDOLPSOLFLWJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ
in 3URFHHGLQJV )LIWK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQLQJ *HRORJ\ &RQIHUHQFH
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
Wireframe-Free Geological Modelling An Oxymoron or a Value Proposition?|E J Cowan, K J Spragg and M R Everitt
.QLJKW5+2UHERG\VROLGPRGHOOLQJDFFXUDF\DFRPSDULVRQ
RI H[SOLFLW DQG LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ WHFKQLTXHV XVLQJ D SUDFWLFDO
H[DPSOH IURP WKH +RSH %D\ GLVWULFW 1XQDYXW &DQDGD LQ
Proceedings Sixth International Mining Geology ConferenceSS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
.QLJKW5+/DQH5*5RVV+-$EUDKDP$3*DQG&RZDQ(
- ,PSOLFLW RUH GHOLQHDWLRQ LQ 3URFHHGLQJV ([SORUDWLRQ
)LIWK'HFHQQLDO&RQIHUHQFHRQ0LQHUDO([SORUDWLRQHG%0LONHUHLW
SS 3URVSHFWRUV DQG 'HYHORSHUV $VVRFLDWLRQ RI
&DQDGD7RURQWR
0DWKHURQ * 6SOLQHV DQG NULJLQJ WKHLU IRUPDO HTXLYDOHQFH
Syracuse University Geology Contribution
259
Geological
Interpretation
and Modelling
Statistical Analysis,
Mineral Resource
Estimation,
Classification and
Reporting
Modifying Factors
(Mining, Metallurgical,
Economic, Marketing,
Legal, Environmental,
Social and Government)
Monitoring the
Resources and
Reserves
Grade Control,
Production and
Reconciliation
263
Mineral Resource Estimation of the Brockman 4 Iron Ore Deposit in the Pilbara Region by Rio Tinto Iron Ore
B Sommerville, C Boyle,
N Brajkovich, J Phillips and
A-ALatscha
277
Multivariate Iron Ore Deposit Resource Estimation A Practitioners Guide to Selecting Methods
287
Tropicana Gold Mine, Western Australia A Case Study of Non-Linear Mineral Resource Estimation
301
Estimation of Underground Mineral Resources at the Sunrise Dam Gold Mine A Case Study in Risk
Management
311
319
A Practitioners Guide to the Identification, Classification and Estimation of Inventory Coal and Coal Resources
K B Preston
329
341
351
N A Schofield
363
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Director and Principal Consultant, Optiro Pty Ltd, Level 4, 50 Colin Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM(CP), Chief Resource Geologist, Gold Fields Exploration Inc, Suite 1650, 6400 South Fiddlers Green Circle, Greenwood Village Co 80111-4926, USA. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ LV D GLVFLSOLQH ZKHUH WKH
SUDFWLWLRQHUVRIWHQFDOOHGUHVRXUFHJHRORJLVWVEXWUHIHUUHGWR
KHUH DV HVWLPDWRUV SURGXFH PRGHOV RI PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV IRU
VSHFLF HQG XVHV VXFK DV H[SORUDWLRQ WDUJHWLQJ FRQFHSWXDO
WKURXJK WR IHDVLELOLW\ PLQLQJ VWXGLHV DQG PLQH SURGXFWLRQ
7KHVHPRGHOVDUHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQVRIWKHTXDQWLW\DQGJUDGHRU
TXDOLW\ RI HFRQRPLF DQG QRQHFRQRPLF DWWULEXWHV UHTXLUHG
IRUWKHPRGHOVHQGXVH7KHPRGHOVDUHEDVHGRQLQFRPSOHWH
GDWD QRUPDOO\ VDPSOH GDWD ZKLFK E\ YROXPH JHQHUDOO\
FRQVWLWXWHDIUDFWLRQRIDSHUFHQWRIWKHHQWLUHGHSRVLW
7KHUVWYHUVLRQRIWKLVSDSHU*ODFNHQDQG6QRZGHQ
LV VWLOO UHOHYDQW 7KH EDVLFV RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ
KDYHQRWFKDQJHG)XQGDPHQWDOWRWKHGLVFLSOLQHRI5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQDUHWKHSURFHVVHVRIXQGHUVWDQGLQJDQGYHULI\LQJ
GDWD TXDOLW\ JRRG JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ DSSURSULDWH
HVWLPDWLRQ PHWKRGV DQG VXLWDEOH FRQGHQFH FODVVLFDWLRQ
:KDWKDVFKDQJHGLQWKHODVWGHFDGHDQGZLOOFRQWLQXHWR
FKDQJH LV WKH FRPSOH[LW\ DQG VSHFLDOLVDWLRQ RI WKH HOG
5HVRXUFHPRGHOVPXVWEHEHWWHUVXLWHGWRWKHLUHQGXVH7KH\
PXVW FRQWDLQ HVWLPDWHV RI DWWULEXWHV RWKHU WKDQ HFRQRPLF
YDULDEOHVHJDWWULEXWHVUHOHYDQWWRJHRWHFKQLFDOHQJLQHHULQJ
PLQHUDOSURFHVVLQJPDUNHWLQJDQGHQYLURQPHQWDODQDO\VLV
7KH\PXVWUHHFWWKHSURSRVHGPLQLQJPHWKRGVDQGWKXVWKH
SUHGLFWHGPLQLQJVHOHFWLYLW\WKURXJKDSSURSULDWHEORFNVL]H
VHOHFWLRQ DQG UHFRYHUDEOH UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ 8QFHUWDLQW\
LQ PRGHOV PXVW EH EHWWHU XQGHUVWRRG HYHQ TXDQWLHG DQG
LQWHJUDWHGLQWRWKHPLQLQJRSWLPLVDWLRQSURFHVV
7KHSURFHVVRIHVWLPDWLRQLVDVPDOOFRPSRQHQWRIWKHRYHUDOO
GLVFLSOLQH 7KH HVWLPDWRU VKRXOG EH DZDUH RI PDQ\ RWKHU
IDFWRUVFRQWULEXWLQJWRWKHTXDOLW\DQGGHVLJQRIWKH5HVRXUFH
PRGHO DQG PXVW XQGHUVWDQG DQG EH DEOH WR FRPPXQLFDWH
FRQGHQFH LQ WKH PRGHO EDVHG RQ DQ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH
TXDOLW\ DQG UHSUHVHQWLYLW\ RI LQSXW GDWD WKH TXDOLW\ RI
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV DQG DVVXPSWLRQV IURP YDULRXV VRXUFHV DQG
WKHLQWHQGHGHQGXVHVRIWKHPRGHO
(VWLPDWRUV PXVW XQGHUVWDQG WKH RULJLQ TXDOLW\ DQG
YHUDFLW\RIDOOLQSXWGDWDVXFKDVVDPSOLQJDQGDQDO\VLVGDWD
IURPGULOOKROHV7KLVUHTXLUHVDQXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIVDPSOLQJ
DQG DQDO\WLFDO PHWKRGV DQG WKHLU VXLWDELOLW\ VDPSOH GDWD
YHULFDWLRQ SUDFWLFHV JHRORJLFDO GDWDEDVH SUDFWLFHV DQG
TXDOLW\FRQWURODQGTXDOLW\DVVXUDQFHSUDFWLFHVDQGDQDO\VLV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
263
XQGHUVWDQGWKHTXDOLW\DQGVXLWDELOLW\RILQSXWV
SURGXFHDPRGHOWKDWLVVXLWDEOHIRULWVLQWHQGHGSXUSRVH
HJ PLQLQJ VHOHFWLYLW\ DWWULEXWHV WR EH PRGHOOHG
FRQGHQFHOHYHORIPLQLQJVWXGLHV
H[SODLQ DQG SRVVLEO\ TXDQWLI\ WKH OHYHO RI XQFHUWDLQW\
HUURU ULVN LQ WKH PRGHO DQG KRZ WKLV ZLOO DIIHFW
GRZQVWUHDPHYDOXDWLRQV
7KHUHDUHDPXOWLWXGHRIDSSURDFKHVWKDWWKHHVWLPDWRUPD\
WDNHIRUWKHHVWLPDWLRQRIJHRORJLFDODWWULEXWHVEXWWKH\DUHDOO
GHSHQGHQWRQDVVXPSWLRQVDQGWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHLQSXWVDQG
WKH\PXVWEHVXLWHGWRWKHWDVNDWKDQGDQGWKHHQGXVHRIWKH
PRGHO7KHDXWKRUVFRQVLGHUWKDWUREXVWGDWDDQGJHRORJLFDO
PRGHOOLQJDUHPRUHFULWLFDOWKDQWKHDFWXDOHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRG
WRWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHQDOHVWLPDWLRQ
7KH GLVFLSOLQH RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ FRYHUV WKH
HQWLUH VHTXHQFH RI SURFHVVHV FRQWULEXWLQJ WR WKH HVWLPDWLRQ
RI5HVRXUFHV7KHSURFHVVHVRWKHUWKDQWKHDFWXDOHVWLPDWLRQ
VWHS FDQQRW EH LJQRUHG QRU WKHLU LPSRUWDQFH GRZQSOD\HG
3URFHGXUHV EHIRUH WKH HVWLPDWLRQ VWHS PD\ LQ IDFW FRQVXPH
PRVW RI WKH WRWDO 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ WLPH IUDPH ,Q PDQ\
ZD\VWKH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQSURFHVVZKLOHRIWHQQXPHULFDOO\
DQG SURFHGXUDOO\ FRPSOH[ LV UHODWLYHO\ VWUDLJKWIRUZDUG LI
WKH SUHOLPLQDULHV KDYH EHHQ H[HFXWHG FRUUHFWO\ 7KXV WKH
GDWDEDVHRIVDPSOLQJGHQVLW\DQGRWKHUTXDOLW\GDWDIRUERWK
HVWLPDWLRQDQGJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQPXVWKDYHLQWHJULW\
DQG UREXVWQHVV &KDSWHU WKH JHRORJLFDO GDWD PXVW EH
VXIFLHQWO\FRPSOHWHIRUWKHGHQLWLRQRIDJHRORJLFDOPRGHO
WKH JHRORJLFDO PRGHO LWVHOI PXVW KDYH LQWHUQDO FRQVLVWHQF\
VKRXOG H[SODLQ WKH REVHUYHG DUUDQJHPHQW RI OLWKRORJLFDO
DQG PLQHUDORJLFDO GRPDLQV DQG VKRXOG UHSUHVHQW WKH
FXUUHQWNQRZOHGJHRIWKHPLQHUDOGHSRVLWZKLFKPD\KDYH
EHHQ LQXHQFHG E\ D JHQHWLF PRGHO 7KH JHRORJLFDO PRGHO
VKRXOGVXSSRUWWKHGLVWULEXWLRQRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQVHHQLQWKH
VDPSOLQJ &KDSWHU ,W LV RQO\ DW WKLV VWDJH IROORZLQJ WKH
VXFFHVVIXOH[HFXWLRQRIWKHVHSURFHVVHVWKDWD5HVRXUFHPRGHO
PD\EHJHQHUDWHG7KH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQSURFHVVLQYROYHV
WKH GHQLWLRQ RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ FRQVWUDLQWV RU JHRORJLFDO
GRPDLQV WKH VWDWLVWLFDO DQG JHRVWDWLVWLFDO DQDO\VLV RI WKH
VDPSOH GDWD DQG WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI VXLWDEOH LQWHUSRODWLRQ
WHFKQLTXHV 7KH QDO VWDJH RI WKH 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ
SURFHVVIROORZLQJWKHYLWDOVWHSRIYDOLGDWLRQLVWRFODVVLI\WKH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQDFFRUGLQJWRWKH-25&&RGH
KDVEHHQXSGDWHGVLJQLFDQWO\IURPWKHSUHYLRXVLQFDUQDWLRQ
-25&:KLOH-25&LVDUHSRUWLQJFRGHDNH\DVSHFWRI
WKH-25&&RGHGRFXPHQWLVWKHH[SDQGHG7DEOH7KLVLVLQ
HIIHFWDEHVWSUDFWLFHFKHFNOLVWWKDWFRQWDLQVYHVHFWLRQV7KH
UHOHYDQWSDUWVIRU0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQDUH6HFWLRQ
6DPSOLQJ WHFKQLTXHV DQG GDWD 6HFWLRQ (VWLPDWLRQ DQG
UHSRUWLQJ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 6HFWLRQ (VWLPDWLRQ
DQGUHSRUWLQJRIGLDPRQGVDQGRWKHUJHPVWRQHV5HSRUWLQJ
RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV XVLQJ WKH -25& &RGH UHTXLUHV WKH
FRPSOHWLRQDQGSXEOLFDWLRQRIWKHUHOHYDQWVHFWLRQVRI7DEOH
DQGDSSO\LQJDQLIQRWZK\QRWWHVWZKHUHHDFKLWHPPXVW
EH FRPSOHWHG DQG LI DQ DQVZHU FDQQRW EH RU KDV QRW EHHQ
SURYLGHGDQH[SODQDWLRQRILWVDEVHQFHPXVWEHIXUQLVKHG7KLV
GRFXPHQWDWLRQ JRHV D ORQJ ZD\ WR IXOOOLQJ WKH PDWHULDOLW\
DOO UHOHYDQW LQIRUPDWLRQ SURYLGHG DQG WUDQVSDUHQF\ FOHDU
DQGXQDPELJXRXVH[SODQDWLRQSURYLVLRQVRIWKH-25&&RGH
$QRWKHUJXLGHOLQHIRUEHVWSUDFWLFHKDVEHHQSURGXFHGE\
WKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV&RPPLWWHHRIWKH&DQDGLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP &,0 7KLV
LV GHVLJQHG WR DVVLVW 4XDOLHG 3HUVRQV DV GHQHG E\ WKH
&DQDGLDQ 6HFXULWLHV $VVRFLDWLRQ LQ UHSRUWLQJ XQGHU WKH
1DWLRQDO,QVWUXPHQW1,OHJLVODWLRQZKLFKDSSOLHVWR
OLVWHGHQWLWLHVRQ&DQDGLDQVHFXULWLHVH[FKDQJHV:KLOHRYHU
WHQ \HDUV ROG WKH SULQFLSOHV LQ WKH &,0 JXLGHOLQHV DUH VWLOO
UHOHYDQW
6SHFLDOLVHGJXLGHOLQHVH[LVWXQGHUWKHDXVSLFHVRIERWKWKH
&,0DQGDVSDUWRIWKH-25&&RGHWKDWUHODWHWRWKHHVWLPDWLRQ
DQG UHSRUWLQJ RI FRDO VHH DOVR 3UHVWRQ WKLV YROXPH
GLDPRQGV DQG RWKHU JHPVWRQHV 7KLV SDSHU LV GHVLJQHG WR
H[SDQG DQG VXSSOHPHQW ERWK WKH -25& &RGH DQG WKH
&,0%HVW3UDFWLFH*XLGHOLQHV
FIG 1 - Two cross-sections through grades in a deposit model showing the smoothing effect of kriging (the triangles represent data points).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
265
'XULQJWKHVWKHSRZHUDQGVRSKLVWLFDWLRQRIWKH*03V
LQFUHDVHG DORQJ ZLWK EUHDNWKURXJKV LQ FRPSXWHU JUDSKLFV
DQGYLVXDOLVDWLRQWHFKQRORJ\,WZDVGXULQJWKLVWLPHWKDWWKH
GLVWLQFWLRQ EHWZHHQ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH PRGHOV UHSUHVHQWLQJ
WKH JHRORJLFDO EDVLV IRU PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DQG 2UH 5HVHUYH
PRGHOV UHHFWLQJ WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI HFRQRPLF PLQLQJ
VKDSHVEHFDPHPRUHSURQRXQFHG
'HVSLWH WKHLU LQLWLDO SRRU UHSXWDWLRQ JHRVWDWLVWLFDO
WHFKQLTXHVZHUHXVHGLQFUHDVLQJO\HVSHFLDOO\WKHQRQOLQHDU
DSSURDFKHVVXFKDVLQGLFDWRUNULJLQJZLWKVXSSRUWFRUUHFWLRQ
-RXUQHO \HW PDQ\ 5HVRXUFHV ZHUH VWLOO HVWLPDWHG
XVLQJQRQJHRVWDWLVWLFDOWHFKQLTXHVVXFKDVLQYHUVHGLVWDQFH
ZHLJKWLQJ +HDY\ PLQHUDO VDQG GHSRVLWV DUH JHQHUDOO\
GULOOHGRQDUHJXODUJULGDQGDVGLVFXVVHGLQ-RQHV*LEVRQ
DQG2%ULHQWKLVYROXPHLQYHUVHGLVWDQFHZHLJKWLQJ
LV RIWHQ WKH SUHIHUUHG HVWLPDWLRQ PHWKRG DSSOLHG WR WKHVH
GHSRVLWV)RUPRVWRWKHUFRPPRGLWLHVLQWKHVHFRQGGHFDGH
RI WKH VW FHQWXU\ KRZHYHU NULJLQJ JHQHUDOO\ RUGLQDU\
NULJLQJ LV DFFHSWHG DV WKH HVWLPDWLRQ DSSURDFK RI FKRLFH
RIWHQZLWKDUHFRYHUDEOH5HVRXUFHSRVWSURFHVVLQJWHFKQLTXH
VXFKDVXQLIRUPFRQGLWLRQLQJ6WRFKDVWLFVLPXODWLRQWKURXJK
DYDULHW\RIWHFKQLTXHVLVUHODWLYHO\FRPPRQ
2QH PDMRU GHYHORSPHQW LQ WKH SDVW GHFDGH LV WKH
SUROLIHUDWLRQRIPHWKRGVWRKDQGOHHVWLPDWLRQZLWKLQIROGHG
DQGH[HGGHSRVLWV7KLVLVSRVVLEOHWKURXJKWKHVLJQLFDQW
LQFUHDVHV LQ JUDSKLFDO SURFHVVLQJ DQG YLVXDOLVDWLRQ DELOLWLHV
DYDLODEOH WR HVWLPDWRUV DW UHODWLYHO\ ORZ FRVW DV ZHOO DV E\
WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI D VXLWH RI UREXVW XQIROGLQJ DOJRULWKPV
*ODFNHQ et al WKLV YROXPH SURYLGH D UHYLHZ RI WKH
UDQJHRIXQIROGLQJDSSURDFKHVDYDLODEOHWRHVWLPDWRUV7KHVH
LQFOXGHERWKWKHUHORFDWLRQRIWKHVDPSOHVEHIRUHHVWLPDWLRQ
DQG WKH WUDQVIRUPDWLRQ RI WKH HVWLPDWLRQ GRPDLQV LQWR
UHFWLOLQHDUVSDFH
FIG 2 - A contact analysis plot of the change in gold grade across a domain
boundary from outside (left) to inside (right) illustrating the rate of change
of grade and the nature of the boundary.
VSHFLF JUDYLW\ LQ DQ R[LGLVHG PLQHUDO GHSRVLW 6LPLODUO\
PHWDOOXUJLFDO RU JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDO GRPDLQV DUH LQFUHDVLQJO\
EHLQJXVHGLQDGGLWLRQWRJHRORJLFDOGRPDLQVWRGHQHDUHDV
RI GLIIHULQJ PHWDO SURFHVV UHFRYHU\ RU RWKHU OLWKRORJLFDO
JHRPHFKDQLFDO FKHPLFDO RU PLQHUDORJLFDO FULWHULD UHODWHG
WR WKH PLQLQJ RI WKH GHSRVLW $V PDQ\ GLIIHUHQW W\SHV RI
GRPDLQDVQHHGHGVKRXOGEHXVHGWRGHQHWKH5HVRXUFHDQG
WR SURYLGH LQIRUPDWLRQ IRU 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ DQG SURFHVV
RSWLPLVDWLRQ
Data analysis
2QFHRQHRUPRUHFRKHUHQWGRPDLQVKDYHEHHQGHQHGWKH
QXPHULFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LQ HDFK RI
WKHVHDUHDVVKRXOGEHGHVFULEHG7KLVZLOOQRWRQO\DVVLVWZLWK
WKHFKRLFHRIDQLQWHUSRODWLRQPHWKRGEXWZLOODOVRKLJKOLJKW
DQ\VSHFLDOGDWDWUHDWPHQWVVXFKDVJUDGHFXWWLQJFDSSLQJRU
KLJKJUDGHUHVWULFWLRQWKDWQHHGWREHDSSOLHG:KHUHWKHUH
DUHVHYHUDOPLQHUDOVRUYDULDEOHVRILQWHUHVWVWDWLVWLFDODQDO\VLV
ZLOO UHYHDO DQ\ SDWWHUQV RU FRUUHODWLRQV EHWZHHQ WKHP WKDW
QHHGWREHFRQVLGHUHG6WDWLVWLFDODQDO\VLVVKRXOGWDNHSODFH
ZLWKLQWKHGRPDLQVGHQHGHLWKHUE\WKHJHRORJLFDOPRGHORU
E\RWKHUDSSURDFKHV
2QHSUHUHTXLVLWHRIGDWDDQDO\VLVLVWKDWWKHVDPSOHVKDYH
WKHVDPHRUVLPLODUYROXPHV7KLVLVFDOOHGWKHVXSSRUWRIWKH
VDPSOH 7KH DFFHSWHG ZD\ RI HQVXULQJ HTXDO VXSSRUW RI DOO
VDPSOHVZLWKLQDGRPDLQLVWRFRPSRVLWHWKHVDPSOHVXVXDOO\
GULOO RU LQWHUYDOUHODWHG GDWD LQWR HTXDO OHQJWKV 7KHUH DUH
YDULRXVDOJRULWKPVIRUFRPSRVLWLQJEXWWKHHVWLPDWRUVKRXOG
DOZD\VFKHFNWKDWWKHUHVXOWVDUHDVH[SHFWHG6RPHLVVXHVWR
FRQVLGHUZKHQFRPSRVLWLQJLQFOXGH
,IVDPSOLQJLVRQ[HGOHQJWKVFRPSRVLWLQJVKRXOGEHRQ
PXOWLSOHV RI WKH RULJLQDO VDPSOLQJ LQWHUYDO WR PLQLPLVH
XQQHFHVVDU\DYHUDJLQJDFURVVVDPSOHERXQGDULHV
=RQDO FRPSRVLWLQJ LH FRPSRVLWLQJ ZLWKLQ GRPDLQV
VKRXOGEHXVHGIRUDKDUGGRPDLQERXQGDU\HQYLURQPHQW
7KLV LV RI OHVV FRQVHTXHQFH ZKHUH WKH ERXQGDULHV DUH
JUDGDWLRQDO
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
267
$VVD\OHQJWKVVKRXOGQRWEHVSOLWLQWRVPDOOHUFRPSRVLWH
OHQJWKV DV WKLV SURFHVV ZLOO FDXVH DQ DUWLFLDOO\ ORZ
YDULDQFHIRUWKHPRGLHGVXSSRUWDVDGMDFHQWFRPSRVLWHV
FRXOGEHLGHQWLFDOLQYDOXH
$FKHFNRQZKHWKHUWKHFRPSRVLWLQJPHWKRGLVGLVFDUGLQJ
VLJQLFDQWQXPEHUVRIVKRUWVDPSOHV
$QRWKHU SUREOHP WKDW QHHGV WR EH DGGUHVVHG EHIRUH GDWD
DQDO\VLV LV SUHIHUHQWLDO FOXVWHULQJ RI GDWD ZKLFK DIIHFWV
VWDWLVWLFDO DQDO\VLV DQG JHRVWDWLVWLFDO PRGHOOLQJ *HRORJLVWV
RIWHQ SUHIHUHQWLDOO\ VDPSOH KLJKHUJUDGH SRUWLRQV RI WKH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ FDXVLQJ FOXVWHULQJ RU LUUHJXODU GLVWULEXWLRQ
RI VDPSOHV 6XEGRPDLQLQJ PLJKW EH QHFHVVDU\ WR FRUUHFW
WKLV$OWHUQDWLYHO\DZLGHUDQJHRIGHFOXVWHULQJDSSURDFKHV
DUHDYDLODEOHWRHQVXUHXQELDVHGUHSUHVHQWDWLRQRIWKHJUDGH
GLVWULEXWLRQ LQ VWDWLVWLFDO DQDO\VLV )DLOXUH WR WDNH KHHG RI
SUHIHUHQWLDO FOXVWHULQJ RI GDWD PD\ OHDG WR ELDVHG UHVXOWV
6RPH HVWLPDWLRQ WHFKQLTXHV VXFK DV LQYHUVH GLVWDQFH
ZHLJKWLQJGRQRWFRPSHQVDWHIRUFOXVWHULQJLQWKHGDWDDQG
WKXVDQH[SOLFLWGDWDGHFOXVWHULQJDSSURDFKVKRXOGEHDSSOLHG
EHIRUHXVLQJWKLVDOJRULWKP
PRGHOOLQJRIVHPLYDULRJUDPVLVDQREYLRXVDQGQHFHVVDU\
VWHS 7KH DQDO\VLV RI WKH FRQWLQXLW\ RI GDWD YDOXHV LQ WKUHH
GLPHQVLRQVLVDOVRDXVHIXOSUHFXUVRUWRDOPRVWDQ\IRUPRI
HVWLPDWLRQDVLWGHQHVDWWKHYHU\OHDVWWKHFODVVLFDOUDQJH
RILQXHQFHRIWKHGDWD.QRZOHGJHRIWKLVFDQDQGVKRXOG
KDYHDEHDULQJRQWKHFKRLFHRIDVXLWDEOHJUDGHLQWHUSRODWLRQ
WHFKQLTXH )RU LQVWDQFH WKH GLUHFWLRQ DQG PDJQLWXGH RI WKH
UDQJHVPD\EHXVHGWRGHQHJUDGHVHDUFKSDUDPHWHUVRUWKH
PD[LPXPVL]HRISRO\JRQVRILQXHQFH
GHSLFWLRQRIDQ\WUHQGVHYLGHQWZLWKLQWKHGRPDLQV
GHSLFWLRQ RI GDWD GLVWULEXWLRQV LQ ERWK KLVWRJUDP DQG
FXPXODWLYHSUREDELOLW\IRUP
DGHFLVLRQZKHWKHUDQHVWLPDWLRQWHFKQLTXHWKDWVSHFLFDOO\
UHOLHVXSRQWKHVW\OHRUVKDSHRIWKHGLVWULEXWLRQRIJUDGHV
ZLWKLQWKHGHSRVLWVKRXOGEHXVHGVRPHPHWKRGVDUHVDLG
WREHGLVWULEXWLRQIUHH
GHQLWLRQ RI DQ\ GDWD VXEVHWV VXFK DV D GLVFUHWH KLJK
JUDGH]RQHZLWKLQHDFKGRPDLQ
FRPSDULVRQ RI GLIIHUHQW VDPSOH W\SHV DQG WKH
GHWHUPLQDWLRQ WKDW WKHUH LV QR ELDV EHWZHHQ GLIIHUHQW
VDPSOHW\SHVRIWHQZLWKYDU\LQJVXSSRUWV
HVWDEOLVKPHQWRIWKHEDVLVIRUDQ\WRSFXWVWREHDSSOLHG
FKRLFHRIWKUHVKROGVIRULQGLFDWRUNULJLQJ
HVWDEOLVKPHQW RI DQ\ UHODWLRQVKLSV EHWZHHQ PXOWLSOH
YDULDEOHV
6WDWLVWLFDO DQDO\VLV PD\ LQGLFDWH WKDW VRPH GRPDLQV KDYH
YHU\ PL[HG SRSXODWLRQV HJ H[FHVVLYHO\ KLJK FRHIFLHQWV
RI YDULDWLRQ RU PXOWLSRSXODWLRQ SUREDELOLW\ SORWV 7KLV
PD\ VLJQDO WKH QHHG IRU PRUH RU GLIIHUHQW GRPDLQV RU LI LW
LV LPSRVVLEOH WR VHSDUDWH RXW WKH SRSXODWLRQV LQGLFDWRU
WHFKQLTXHVPD\EHQHFHVVDU\IRUYDULRJUDSK\DQGNULJLQJ
:KHUH WKHUH LV D SRVLWLYH FRUUHODWLRQ EHWZHHQ WKH EXON
GHQVLW\DQGWKHJUDGHRIWKHPLQHUDOVRILQWHUHVWW\SLFDOO\LQ
PDVVLYHVXOGHGHSRVLWVWKHEXONGHQVLW\VKRXOGEHLQYROYHG
LQWKHDFWXDOHVWLPDWLRQSURFHVVLQRWKHUZRUGVEXONVDPSOH
LQWHUVHFWLRQVXVHGIRUJUDGHHVWLPDWLRQVKRXOGEHZHLJKWHGE\
GHQVLW\DQGOHQJWK$QRWKHURSWLRQWKDWLVRIWHQFRQVLGHUHGLV
WKHGLUHFWLQWHUSRODWLRQRIEXONGHQVLW\DORQJZLWKWKHJUDGH
YDULDEOHV7KLVPHWKRGRIGHQVLW\ZHLJKWLQJLVXVHGDWPDQ\
EDVHPHWDOGHSRVLWVVXFKDVRQWKH.DPEDOGDQLFNHOVXOGH
HOG5HHYHDQG*ODFNHQ
Geostatistical analysis
$V D SUHFXUVRU WR DQ\ RI WKH YDULRXV NULJLQJ RU FRQGLWLRQDO
VWRFKDVWLF VLPXODWLRQ WHFKQLTXHV VSDWLDO JHRVWDWLVWLFDO
DQDO\VLV RI WKH GRPDLQHG GDWD WKDW LV WKH FDOFXODWLRQ DQG
268
$OWKRXJKYDULRJUDSK\VKRXOGQHYHUEHXVHGDVDVXEVWLWXWH
IRU JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ LW FDQ LQGLFDWH ZKHWKHU WKH
JHRORJLFDOPRGHOLVDSSURSULDWH
,QGLFDWRU YDULRJUDSK\ PD\ GHPRQVWUDWH WKDW WKH DPRXQW
DQG GLUHFWLRQ RI DQLVRWURS\ YDULHV ZLWK JUDGH HJ KLJK
JUDGH YHLQV PD\ KDYH D GLIIHUHQW RULHQWDWLRQ WKDQ WKH EXON
RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ 6RPH HVWLPDWRUV XVH YDULRJUDSK\ WR
GHWHUPLQH WKH VHDUFK QHLJKERXUKRRG VL]H DQG VKDSH IRU
LQYHUVHGLVWDQFHLQWHUSRODWLRQ,QYHUVHGLVWDQFHLQWHUSRODWLRQ
LVRIWHQVSHFLFDOO\FKRVHQEHFDXVHWKHSRZHURIWKHLQYHUVH
GLVWDQFH LQWHUSRODWRU FDQ EH PDQLSXODWHG WR HIIHFWLYHO\ GH
VPRRWKWKHHVWLPDWLRQ
*HRVWDWLVWLFDO WHFKQLTXHV IRU GDWD DQDO\VLV DUH SUHVHQWHG
LQ &KLOHV DQG 'HOQHU ,VDDNV DQG 6ULYDVWDYD
9DQQ -DFNVRQ DQG %HUWROL 9DQQ DQG 6DQV
*RRYDHUWVDQG&RRPEHV
+RZ ODUJH VKRXOG WKH EORFNV EH FRPSDUHG WR WKH GDWD
VSDFLQJ"
:KDW VKRXOG WKH UHODWLYH VKDSHV RI WKH EORFNV EH LQ WKH
WKUHHGLPHQVLRQV"
+RZFRPSOH[VKRXOGWKHZLUHIUDPHVEH"
6KRXOG VXEFHOOLQJ EH LQWURGXFHG RU ZLOO WKH H[WUD
UHVROXWLRQSURGXFHWRRPDQ\EORFNV"
:KLOH WKH DGYDQWDJHV RI D EORFN PRGHOOLQJ DSSURDFK DUH
WKDW LW SURYLGHV WKH IUDPHZRUN IRU D JRRG ORFDO HVWLPDWLRQ
LVDPRGHOWKDWOHQGVLWVHOIUHDGLO\WR5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQDQG
DOORZVWKHPRGHOOLQJRIPLQLQJVHOHFWLYLW\QRWDOO5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQ LV FDUULHG RXW WR WKLV GHWDLO 6RPHWLPHV D VLPSOH
FURVVVHFWLRQDO DUHD RI LQXHQFH PRGHO LV DSSURSULDWH RU D
QHDUHVWQHLJKERXUSRO\JRQDODSSURDFK
,W LV DW WKLV SRLQW WKDW DQ XQIROGLQJ XQZULQNOLQJ RU
XQIDXOWLQJ WHFKQLTXH PD\ EH XVHG LI WKH GRPDLQV DUH
SDUWLFXODUO\ IROGHG RU H[XUHG 7KLV LV D PDWKHPDWLFDO RU
JHRPHWULFDOWUDQVIRUPDWLRQRIWKHGDWDXVXDOO\LQWRDVLQJOH
UHFWLOLQHDUSODQHWKDWIDFLOLWDWHVLQWHUSRODWLRQ6RPHWLPHVDV
GLVFXVVHGLQ-RQHV*LEVRQDQG2%ULHQWKLVYROXPH
WKH DFWXDO HOOLSVRLG RI VHDUFK LV PDGH WR IROORZ WKH IROGHG
VWUDWD RU GRPDLQ WR LPSURYH WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH HVWLPDWLRQ
7KHUHDUHDZLGHUDQJHRIRSWLRQVDYDLODEOHLQWKLVDUHDVRPH
FDSDEOH RI KDQGOLQJ FRPSOH[ IROGLQJ DQG IDXOWLQJ VFHQDULRV
*ODFNHQ et alWKLVYROXPH
269
DQGQRWDVDK\SRWKHVLVWKDWFDQEHSURYHQRUGLVSURYHQ,Q
SUDFWLFDOWHUPVWKLVLVWKHDEVHQFHRIDQ\VWURQJGDWDWUHQGV
ZLWKLQHDFKHVWLPDWLRQGRPDLQ
/LQHDU NULJLQJ WHFKQLTXHV DUH WKH VLPSOHVW WR DSSO\ DQG
FHQWUH RQ VLPSOH RU RUGLQDU\ NULJLQJ DQG WKHLU YDULDQWV
7KHVHWHFKQLTXHVDUHJHQHUDOO\EDVHGRQFODVVLFDOSDUDPHWULF
VWDWLVWLFVZKLFKDUHDIIHFWHGE\WKHGLVWULEXWLRQRIWKHJUDGH
SRSXODWLRQ XQGHUO\LQJ WKH GDWD 2UGLQDU\ NULJLQJ LV PRUH
UHVLVWDQW WR GHSDUWXUHV IURP WKH DVVXPSWLRQ RI VWDWLRQDULW\
WKDQ VLPSOH NULJLQJ DQG LV RSWLPDO IRU QRUPDO RU *DXVVLDQ
GLVWULEXWLRQV RI GDWD DOWKRXJK LW LV VWLOO HIIHFWLYH LQ RWKHU
FLUFXPVWDQFHV
1RQOLQHDU WHFKQLTXHV DUH LQFUHDVLQJO\ SRSXODU DQG
DGGUHVV VRPH GHFLHQFLHV RI WKH OLQHDU NULJLQJ WHFKQLTXHV
$OOQRQOLQHDUNULJLQJWHFKQLTXHVDUHEDVHGXSRQQRQOLQHDU
WUDQVIRUPDWLRQV RI WKH VDPSOH GDWD VXFK DV WKH QDWXUDO
ORJDULWKP WKH *DXVVLDQ QRUPDO VFRUHV WUDQVIRUP RU WKH
LQGLFDWRU WUDQVIRUP 7KH PRVW ZLGHO\ XVHG QRQOLQHDU
WHFKQLTXHVLQDUHXQLIRUPFRQGLWLRQLQJXVLQJWKHGLVFUHWH
*DXVVLDQPRGHOHJ'H9LWU\9DQQDQG$UYLGVRQDQG
YDULRXVDYRXUVRILQGLFDWRUNULJLQJ,QWKHH[SHULHQFHRIWKH
DXWKRUVDOPRVWQRRWKHUQRQOLQHDUHVWLPDWLRQWHFKQLTXHVHJ
GLVMXQFWLYH NULJLQJ DUH XVHG QRZDGD\V $ FRPSUHKHQVLYH
UHYLHZ RI PRVW QRQOLQHDU NULJLQJ DSSURDFKHV LV JLYHQ E\
9DQQ DQG *XLEDO 7KH SHUFHLYHG DGYDQWDJH RI QRQ
OLQHDUNULJLQJWHFKQLTXHVLVUVWO\WKDWWKH\DUHDEOHWRFRSH
ZLWKKLJKO\VNHZHGRUPL[HGGLVWULEXWLRQVRIGDWDLQRWKHU
ZRUGVGDWDPRVWFRPPRQO\VHHQLQSUDFWLFHDQGVHFRQGO\
WKDWWKH\DUHDEOHWRGHULYHORFDOGLVWULEXWLRQVRIXQFHUWDLQW\
WKDWOHDGWRDSUDFWLFDOHVWLPDWHRI5HVRXUFHVDERYHDUDQJH
RI FXWRII JUDGHV 6XFK HVWLPDWHV DUH NQRZQ DV UHFRYHUDEOH
5HVRXUFHV DQG ZKLOH UHSUHVHQWLQJ WKH FRUUHFW VXSSRUW IRU
PLQLQJVWLOOQHHGWREHVXEMHFWHGWRWKH2UH5HVHUYHSURFHVV
DQG WKH FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV 5HFRYHUDEOH
5HVRXUFHVDUHGLVFXVVHGLQPRUHGHWDLOEHORZ,QXQLIRUP
FRQGLWLRQLQJLVSUREDEO\WKHPRVWFRPPRQO\DSSOLHGRIDOOWKH
QRQOLQHDU WHFKQLTXHV LI WKH PRVW FRPSOH[ PDWKHPDWLFDOO\
RYHUYLHZV DQG FDVH VWXGLHV RI WKLV DSSURDFK DUH JLYHQ E\
5RQGRQ7UXHPDQDQG*ODFNHQWKLVYROXPH&ODUN et
alWKLVYROXPH'H9LWU\WKLVYROXPHDQG.HQW
et alWKLVYROXPH
7KHRWKHUUHFRYHUDEOH5HVRXUFHDSSURDFKLQXVHLVPXOWLSOH
LQGLFDWRU NULJLQJ 0,. ZLWK FKDQJH RI VXSSRUW WKLV LV
FRQFHSWXDOO\VLPSOHUWKDQXQLIRUPFRQGLWLRQLQJEXWUHTXLUHV
PRUH PRGHOOLQJ DQG SURFHVVLQJ ZRUN DV PXOWLSOH VHWV RI
YDULRJUDPVQHHGWREH,QIHUUHG$QDUJXPHQWIRUWKHXVHRI
0,.KDVEHHQSXWIRUZDUGE\6FKRHOGWKLVYROXPH
DQGDFDVHVWXG\RIWKHSDUWLDOXVHRI0,.WRGHWHUPLQH0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV DW WKH 6XQULVH 'DP XQGHUJURXQG JROG PLQH LQ
:HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD &ODUN et al WKLV YROXPH GLVFXVVHV
WKHDSSOLFDELOLW\RIWKHPHWKRG0,.LVJHQHUDOO\DSSOLFDEOH
LQ FDVHV RI H[WUHPH JUDGH VNHZQHVV VXFK DV LQ VRPH JROG
GHSRVLWVDQGZKHUHWKHDQLVRWURS\RIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQYDULHV
ZLWK JUDGH KRZHYHU LW LV IUHTXHQWO\ KLJKOLJKWHG 9DQQ
DQG*XLEDO'H9LWU\WKLVYROXPHWKDWDFHUWDLQ
DUUDQJHPHQWRIJUDGHVLVDQHFHVVDU\SUHUHTXLVLWHIRUWKHXVH
RI0,.
&RQGLWLRQDO RU VWRFKDVWLF VLPXODWLRQ ZKLFK W\SLFDOO\ XVHV
D YDULHW\ RI NULJLQJ WHFKQLTXHV FRPELQHG ZLWK D 0RQWH
&DUORUDQGRPVDPSOLQJDSSURDFKLVVORZO\JDLQLQJIDYRXU
DV DQ DOWHUQDWLYH WR XQLIRUP FRQGLWLRQLQJ DQG 0,. DV D
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRG&RQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQ
SURGXFHV QXPHURXV HTXDOO\ OLNHO\ SLFWXUHV UHDOLVDWLRQV RI
270
GHFOXVWHULQJRIGDWDYLDRFWDQWRUTXDGUDQWVHOHFWLRQ
UHVWULFWLRQVRQWKHQXPEHURIVDPSOHVVHOHFWHGIURPDQ\
RQHGULOOKROH
PLQLPXP DQG PD[LPXP QXPEHUV RI VDPSOHV IRU
HVWLPDWLRQ
SUHIHUUHGVHDUFKGLUHFWLRQVLHDQLVRWURSLFVHDUFK
VSDWLDOUHVWULFWLRQRIWKHLQXHQFHRIKLJKJUDGHVDPSOHV
,Q FRPPRQ ZLWK WKH VDPSOH VHDUFK SODQ DUH LVVXHV RI
EORFN VL]H IRU LQWHUSRODWLRQ LQWR EORFN PRGHOV 7KH EORFN
VL]H WR EH XVHG VKRXOG LGHDOO\ EHDU VRPH UHODWLRQ WR WKH
PLQLQJHTXLSPHQWSODQQHGRUXVHGRIWHQUHIHUUHGWRDVWKH
VHOHFWLYLW\7KHFRQFHSWRIWKHVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJXQLW608
LVWKHVPDOOHVWSDUFHORIJURXQGRQZKLFKPLQLQJGHFLVLRQV
VXFKDVWKHDOORFDWLRQWRRUHRUZDVWHPD\EHPDGH:KHUH
FIG 3 - Illustration of the volume-variance effect or the change in support from points (left-hand side) through to
whole-of-domain (right-hand side) on the distribution of grade (top graphs) and the variogram (middle graphs).
LWLVLPSRVVLEOHWRHVWLPDWHLQWRDPLQLQJXQLWEORFNVL]HGXH
WRWKHVSDUVLW\RIWKHLQIRUPLQJGDWDWKHEORFNGLPHQVLRQV
FKRVHQ IRU HVWLPDWLRQ VKRXOG DOVR EH FRQVLGHUHG LQ UHODWLRQ
WR WKH H[LVWLQJ VDPSOLQJ JULG EORFNV WKDW DUH WRR VPDOO ZLOO
FDXVHRYHUVPRRWKLQJRIWKHHVWLPDWHGEORFNJUDGHV
2YHUVPRRWKLQJ UHVXOWV LQ FRQGLWLRQDO ELDV ZKHUHE\ KLJK
JUDGH EORFNV DUH XQGHUHVWLPDWHG DQG ORZJUDGH EORFNV DUH
RYHUHVWLPDWHG 6HYHUDO WRROV DUH DYDLODEOH WR GHFLGH RQ D
VXLWDEOH EORFN VL]H WKHVH DUH GLVFXVVHG LQ VRPH GHWDLO LQ
.ULJH 7KH SURFHVV RI GHWHUPLQLQJ D VXLWDEOH VDPSOH
VHDUFKVFKHPHLVRIWHQFDOOHGNULJLQJQHLJKERXUKRRGDQDO\VLV
DQG D XVHUV JXLGH WR LPSOHPHQWLQJ WKLV LV GLVFXVVHG LQ
9DQQ -DFNVRQ DQG %HUWROL 7KLV DSSURDFK WR VHDUFK
QHLJKERXUKRRGDQDO\VLVLVJHDUHGWRPLQLPLVLQJFRQGLWLRQDO
ELDVLQNULJHGHVWLPDWHV$UHFRYHUDEOH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ
DSSURDFKZLOOWKHQEHUHTXLUHGWR\LHOGVXSSRUWVL]HFRUUHFWHG
HVWLPDWHVIRUPLQLQJHQJLQHHUV
7KHUH KDV EHHQ FRQVLGHUDEOH GHEDWH LQ WKH JHRVWDWLVWLFDO
DQG5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQFRPPXQLW\RYHUWKHWZRPXWXDOO\
H[FOXVLYH DLPV RI PLQLPLVLQJ JOREDO FRQGLWLRQDO ELDV DQG
HQVXULQJORFDODFFXUDF\RIEORFNV:KHUHGDWDLVGHQVHLHLQ
DJUDGHFRQWUROHVWLPDWLRQFRQWH[WWKHVHREMHFWLYHVDUHERWK
DFKLHYDEOHEXWDWWKHSUHGHYHORSPHQWDQGIHDVLELOLW\VWDJHV
RIWKHPLQLQJF\FOHLWLVUDUHO\SRVVLEOHWRERWKPLQLPLVHJOREDO
ELDVDQGHQVXUHORFDOJUDGHDFFXUDF\.ULJHGLVFXVVHV
WRROV IRU PHDVXULQJ DQG WKXV PLQLPLVLQJ FRQGLWLRQDO ELDV
LQ HVWLPDWLRQ ZKLOH ,VDDNV GHEDWHV WKH SDUDGR[ RI
WU\LQJ WR DFKLHYH DQ XQELDVHG EXW ORFDOO\ DFFXUDWH HVWLPDWH
,QWKHH[SHULHQFHRIWKHDXWKRUVPRVWHVWLPDWRUVVXFFHHGLQ
GHULYLQJHLWKHUDFRQGLWLRQDOO\XQELDVHGHVWLPDWHRUDORFDOO\
DFFXUDWHRQHDQGIRUPRVWWKHIRFXVLVRQDFKLHYLQJPLQLPDO
FRQGLWLRQDOELDVDWWKHH[SHQVHRIORFDODFFXUDF\
HQFRXQWHUHGGXULQJDFWXDOPLQLQJ1RUPDOO\WKLVZLOOEHWKH
OLNHO\ GLVWULEXWLRQ RI JUDGHV LQ D JUDGH FRQWURO PRGHO EXLOW
XVLQJQDODQGGHWDLOHGJUDGHFRQWUROVDPSOLQJLQIRUPDWLRQ
7KH608LVDQHVWLPDWHRIWKHVPDOOHVWYROXPHDQGGLPHQVLRQ
RIPDWHULDOWKDWFDQEHVHOHFWHGDWWKHPLQLQJVWDJHVHOHFWLRQ
EHLQJWKHSUDFWLFHRIPLQLQJPDWHULDODVHLWKHURUHRUZDVWH
EDVHGRQFULWHULDVXFKDVDFXWRIIJUDGHXVXDOO\ZLWKVRPH
JHRORJLFDOIHDWXUHWKDWGHQHVPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
5HFRYHUDEOH 5HVRXUFH PRGHOV DUH QRUPDOO\ EXLOW DW WKH
H[SORUDWLRQ RU SUHGHYHORSPHQW VWDJH ZKHQ WKH GHWDLOHG
JUDGHFRQWUROLQIRUPDWLRQLVQRWDYDLODEOH7RGHWHUPLQHWKH
OLNHO\GLVWULEXWLRQRI608EORFNJUDGHVLWLVQHFHVVDU\WRUVW
PRGHO WKH KLVWRJUDP DQG WKH YDULRJUDP RI WKH H[SORUDWLRQ
GDWD )URP WKHVH PRGHOV DW VDPSOH VXSSRUW LW LV SRVVLEOH WR
PRGHO D GLVWULEXWLRQ FRUUHFWLRQ IRU WKH ODUJHU 608 EORFN
YROXPH 9DULRXV PHWKRGV RI GRLQJ WKLV DUH DYDLODEOH WR WKH
HVWLPDWRUHDFKZLWKWKHLURZQVSHFLFEHQHWVDQGSLWIDOOV
0RVW UHFRYHUDEOH 5HVRXUFH PHWKRGV SURGXFH D PRGHO
FRQVLVWLQJRIODUJHEORFNVRUSDQHOVZLWKWRQQDJHSURSRUWLRQ
JUDGH DQG PHWDO HOGV IRU HDFK FXWRII JUDGH 7KLV W\SH RI
PRGHOLVQRWYHU\XVHIXOIRUPDQ\W\SHVRIPLQLQJHYDOXDWLRQ
$E]DORYKDVGHYHORSHGDPHWKRGWRORFDOLVHWKHWRQQHV
DQG JUDGH UHSUHVHQWHG LQ WKH UHFRYHUDEOH 5HVRXUFH PRGHO
7KH PHWKRG FDOOHG ORFDOLVHG XQLIRUP FRQGLWLRQLQJ /8&
DGMXVWV 608 JUDGHV LQ D SDQHO VR WKDW WKH\ UHSUHVHQW WKH
GLVWULEXWLRQ HVWLPDWHG E\ XQLIRUP FRQGLWLRQLQJ RU 8& RU
DQ\ RWKHU FRPSDWLEOH UHFRYHUDEOH 5HVRXUFH DSSURDFK 7KH
ORFDOLVHGJUDGHVDUHQRWDFFXUDWHRQDQ608EORFNEDVLVEXW
DWWKHSDQHOVFDOHDUHUHSUHVHQWDWLYHRIWKHSDQHOHVWLPDWHDQG
WKH UHFRYHUDEOH 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWH /8& PRGHOV DUH PRVW
XVHIXO IRU RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ VWXGLHV ZKHUH WKH H[DFW ORFDWLRQ
RIRUHDQGZDVWH608VLVQRWFULWLFDOWRWKHVWXG\RXWFRPH
6LPXODWLRQERWKSRLQWDQGGLUHFWEORFNFDQEHDQLQSXWWR
UHFRYHUDEOH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ7KHVLPXODWLRQUHDOLVDWLRQV
FDQEHXVHGWRGHYHORSDPRGHORIWKHGLVWULEXWLRQRI608V
ZLWKLQDODUJHUSDQHOIRUYDULRXVFXWRIIJUDGHV7KLVSURGXFHV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
271
DQ RXWFRPH VLPLODU WR 8& DQG FDQ DOVR EH ORFDOLVHG XVLQJ
/8& $QRWKHU DGYDQWDJH RI VLPXODWLRQ LV WKDW PXOWLYDULDWH
VLWXDWLRQV ZKHUH WKH VHOHFWLRQ YDULDEOHV DUH FRUUHODWHG DUH
EHWWHU KDQGOHG WKDQ LQ PHWKRGV VXFK DV 8& %LYDULDWH 8&
PHWKRGV DUH DYDLODEOH EXW WKHVH PD\ QRW EH RSWLPDO ZKHUH
WKHUHDUHPXOWLYDULDWHUHODWLRQVKLSV
Plots of sections and plans showing input data and block grade
estimates 7KH JUDGH WUHQGV DQG SDWWHUQV SUHVHQW LQ WKH
VDPSOHGDWDVKRXOGEHVLPLODUWRWKRVHLQWKHPRGHO7KH
JUDGHPDJQLWXGHVZLOOGLIIHUGXHWRWKHYROXPHYDULDQFH
HIIHFW
Histograms of input and output grade distributions within
domains 7KH KLVWRJUDPV PD\ GLIIHU VLJQLFDQWO\ GXH WR
YROXPHYDULDQFHHIIHFWVEXWWKHGHFOXVWHUHGVDPSOHPHDQ
DQG WKH PHDQ RI WKH HVWLPDWHV VKRXOG EH VLPLODU 7KH
YDULDQFHRIWKHEORFNHVWLPDWHVVKRXOGEHVPDOOHUWKDQIRU
WKHVDPSOHV
6ZDWKH VOLFH RU SUROH SORWV FRPSDULQJ JUDGH WUHQGV RI WKH
samples and estimates *UDGH WUHQGV VKRXOG EH VLPLODU LQ
WKH HDVWLQJ QRUWKLQJ DQG HOHYDWLRQ GLUHFWLRQV EXW WKH
YDULDELOLW\RIWKHVDPSOHGDWDVKRXOGEHJUHDWHU)LJXUH
FIG 5 - Example of model validation with a comparison of grade (left plot) and tonnage above cut-off grade (right plot) for a theoretical change-of-support
model (black line), kriged small blocks (green line) and larger panels (red line).
272
2QFHDJDLQWKHLPSRUWDQFHRIFOXVWHULQJRQGDWDVWDWLVWLFV
VKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHGDVWKLVFDQELDVWKHPHDQRIWKHLQSXW
GDWD,WLVDOVRLPSRUWDQWWRQRWHWKDWWKHPHDQJUDGHREWDLQHG
FDQDOVREHELDVHGLIWKHSRSXODWLRQLVVNHZHGLQGLVWULEXWLRQ
LQ WKLV FDVH WKH LQSXW PHDQ JUDGH QHHGV WR EH FRUUHFWHG
DFFRUGLQJO\7KLVLVW\SLFDOO\GRQHE\DSSO\LQJDWRSFXW
7KH EHVW YDOLGDWLRQ WRRO IRU DQ\ 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWH LV
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQZLWKSURGXFWLRQVHH&KDSWHU&RPSDULVRQV
EHWZHHQ WKH JUDGHWRQQDJH FXUYHV IRU WKH 5HVRXUFH PRGHO
DQGWKHJUDGHFRQWUROPRGHOZLWKLQDJLYHQLGHQWLFDOYROXPH
DQG ZLWK WKH SURGXFWLRQ UHFRUGV IRU WKH FRUUHVSRQGLQJ
PLQLQJSHULRGZLOOJLYHDQRSHUDWLRQWKHJUHDWHVWFRQGHQFH
LQWKHPHULWRIWKH5HVRXUFHPRGHO
PDQXDORYHUULGHE\WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQ6QRZGHQ
6WHSKHQVRQ et al
7KHUH LV DQ LQFUHDVLQJ UHDOLVDWLRQ DQG DFNQRZOHGJHPHQW
WKDW WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH FRQGHQFH FODVVLFDWLRQ PXVW
UHHFWWKHVFDOHDQGVHOHFWLYLW\RILQWHQGHGPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQV
$PRGHOFODVVLHGDV,QGLFDWHGIRUODUJHVFDOHQRQVHOHFWLYH
RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ VWXGLHV PD\ RQO\ EH FODVVLHG DV ,QIHUUHG
IRUVPDOOVFDOHVHOHFWLYHXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJVWXGLHV/DUJH
YROXPHV FDQ EH HVWLPDWHG PRUH DFFXUDWHO\ DQG LQ RSHQ SLW
VWXGLHVWKHH[DFWORFDWLRQRIRUHDQGZDVWHLVQRWDVFULWLFDODV
LQPDQ\XQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJVWXGLHV
&RQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ VWXGLHV DUH XVHIXO IRU TXDQWLI\LQJ
JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ HUURU DQG PD\ EH XVHG WR HQKDQFH
FODVVLFDWLRQ RI 5HVRXUFHV $ JXLGHOLQH XVHG LQ LQGXVWU\
LV WKDW ,QGLFDWHG 5HVRXUFHVKDYH DQ HUURU RI SHU FHQW DW
WKHSHUFHQWFRQGHQFHOLPLWVIRUWRQQHVJUDGHDQGPHWDO
IRU DQQXDO SURGXFWLRQ YROXPHV 7KDW LV IRU QLQH RXW RI WHQ
\HDUVWKHHVWLPDWHGSURGXFWLRQZLOOEHZLWKLQSHUFHQWRI
DFWXDO SURGXFWLRQ )RU D 0HDVXUHG FODVVLFDWLRQ WKH VDPH
HUURUOLPLWVDSSO\EXWIRUTXDUWHUO\SURGXFWLRQ7KHVHDUHQRW
UXOHVDQGDUHQRWVWLSXODWHGLQDQ\UHSRUWLQJJXLGHOLQHV$Q\
SDUWLFXODUFRPSDQ\PD\KDYHDJUHDWHURUOHVVHUULVNDSSHWLWH
LHPD\EHOHVVRUPRUHULVNDYHUVHDQGPD\FKRRVHGLIIHUHQW
OLPLWV 7KH OLPLWV IRU D VFRSLQJOHYHO PLQLQJ VWXG\ PLJKW
EH JUHDWHU WKDQ IRU D SURGXFWLRQ HQYLURQPHQW &RQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQFDQDOVREHXVHGWRFRPPXQLFDWHULVNDURXQGWKH
VWDWHG5HVRXUFHQXPEHUVIRUVFKHGXOHSHULRGVDVVKRZQLQ
)LJXUH,WLVORJLFDOWRDVVXPHWKDWVFKHGXOHSHULRGVIXUWKHU
DZD\ LQ WLPH IURP WKH SUHVHQW ZLOO KDYH KLJKHU DVVRFLDWHG
JUDGHHUURUVEXWDV)LJXUHVKRZVIRU4XDUWHUWKLVLVQRW
DOZD\VWKHFDVH
Overview papers
7KHSDSHUVLQWKLVFKDSWHUDQGWKHYROXPHDUHDVQDSVKRWRI
JRRGSUDFWLFHLQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQDWWKHVWDUWRI
WKHVHFRQGGHFDGHRIWKHVWFHQWXU\,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRQRWH
WKDW JRRG SUDFWLFHV YDU\ IRU GLIIHUHQW FRPPRGLWLHV 3UHVWRQ
WKLV YROXPH SURYLGHV DQ H[FHOOHQW RYHUYLHZ RI &RDO
5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ 7KH HYDOXDWLRQ DQG FODVVLFDWLRQ RI
PLQHUDO VDQGV 5HVRXUFHV LV FRPSUHKHQVLYHO\ GHVFULEHG LQ
/HHDQG6WHSKHQVRQDQGLQ-RQHV*LEVRQDQG2%ULHQ
WKLVYROXPH7KHYDULHW\RIPHWKRGVDQGDSSURDFKHV
IRUWKHWUHDWPHQWRIIROGHGDQGH[XUHGPLQHUDOGHSRVLWVIURP
D5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQYLHZSRLQWDUHUHYLHZHGE\*ODFNHQ et
alWKLVYROXPH
2QHDUHDZKHUHVLJQLFDQWEUHDNWKURXJKVLQHVWLPDWLRQDQG
HYDOXDWLRQKDYHEHHQPDGHLQWKHODVWGHFDGHLVWKHWUHDWPHQW
RI PXOWLHOHPHQW RU PXOWLYDULDWH PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV ,Q WKH
$XVWUDOLDQFRQWH[WWKHVHDUHUHSUHVHQWHGVLJQLFDQWO\E\LURQ
RUHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQZLWKWKHQHHGWRHVWLPDWHDUHODWLYHO\ODUJH
VXLWH RI YDULDEOHV HDFK ZLWK YDU\LQJ GHJUHHV RI QRQVSDWLDO
DQGVSDWLDOFRUUHODWLRQZLWKRWKHUV7KHSUDFWLFHDGRSWHGLQ
WKH ODUJH LURQ RUH SURGXFHUV LQ $XVWUDOLD LV VXPPDULVHG LQ
6RPPHUYLOOHDQG%R\OHWKLVYROXPHDQGLQ'H9LWU\
9DQQDQG$UYLGVRQDQG'H9LWU\WKLVYROXPH
7KHFXUUHQWVWDWHRIJRRGSUDFWLFHRIHVWLPDWLQJJROGGHSRVLWV
LVVXPPDULVHGE\&ODUN et alWKLVYROXPHDQG.HQW et
alWKLVYROXPH5RQGRQ7UXHPDQDQG*ODFNHQ
WKLVYROXPHDQG1HXIHOGSURYLGHJRRGVXPPDULHVRI
UHFRYHUDEOH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
273
FIG 6 - Depiction of percentage error in silver grades for quarterly mine schedule periods as generated by conditional simulation.
OUTLOOK
7KHUROHRIWKH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWRULVEHFRPLQJPRUHFRPSOL
FDWHGDVWKHGHPDQGVSODFHGRQPRGHODFFXUDF\VXLWDELOLW\IRU
SXUSRVHDQGDFFRXQWDELOLW\LQFUHDVH2QRQHKDQGWKHKLJKO\
WHFKQLFDOHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRGVIRUFHDGHJUHHRIVSHFLDOLVDWLRQ
\HWWKHUHLVDQLQFUHDVLQJQHHGWRXQGHUVWDQGDQGFRPPXQLFDWH
ZLWKPDQ\RWKHUGLVFLSOLQHVDQGDFFRXQWIRUWKHLULQXHQFHRQ
ZKDW LV PRGHOOHG $ JRRG HVWLPDWLRQ SUDFWLWLRQHU ZLOO KDYH
D GHWDLOHG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI JHRORJ\ PRGHOOLQJ 5HVRXUFH
PRGHOOLQJ DQG HVWLPDWLRQ PHWKRGV DQG JHRVWDWLVWLFV DV ZHOO
DVDKLJKOHYHOXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIPLQLQJPLQHUDOSURFHVVLQJ
JHRWHFKQLFDOLPSDFWVHQYLURQPHQWDOFRQVLGHUDWLRQVDQGRWKHU
DVSHFWVRIPLQHUDOGHSRVLWH[SORLWDWLRQ
$ WKRURXJK XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI UHSRUWLQJ FRGHV VXFK DV
-25&DQGWKH&,0JXLGHOLQHVLVPDQGDWRU\5HSRUWLQJFRGHV
DUH GHVLJQHG IRU FOHDU DQG DFFXUDWH UHSRUWLQJ RI 5HVRXUFHV
KRZHYHU LW LV LPSRUWDQW WR FRQVLGHU WKDW D PRGHO W IRU
UHSRUWLQJ D JOREDO 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH PD\ QRW EH VXLWDEOH
IRU D SDUWLFXODU PLQLQJ VWXG\ ,Q PLQLQJ VWXGLHV WKH ORFDO
YDULDELOLW\ RI DWWULEXWH YDOXHV EHFRPHV PRUH FULWLFDO 7KH
HVWLPDWLRQ SUDFWLWLRQHU PXVW WKHUHIRUH EH FHUWDLQ WKDW WKH
PRGHOV JHQHUDWHG DUH W IRU SXUSRVH DQG EHLQJ UHSRUWHG
XQGHUWKHUHVSHFWLYH&RGHV
7ZR RI WKH FKDOOHQJHV WKDW UHPDLQ LQ PRGHOOLQJ DQG
HVWLPDWLRQDUHWKRVHRIFRUUHFWO\UHSUHVHQWLQJLQWKH5HVRXUFH
PRGHO WKH UHODWLRQVKLSV VHHQ LQ WKH LQSXW VDPSOLQJ DQG
GULOOLQJ GDWD DQG DGHTXDWHO\ PRGHOOLQJ FRPSOH[O\ IROGHG
DQGIDXOWHGGHSRVLWVZLWKRXWRYHUVLPSOLI\LQJVWUXFWXUHVDQG
GHVWUR\LQJJUDGHFRQWLQXLW\
'HYHORSPHQWV LQ FRPSXWLQJ SRZHU KDYH PDGH VXFK
WHFKQLTXHV DV FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ URXWLQHO\ SRVVLEOH
274
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRUV ZLVK WR WKDQN WKH PDQDJHPHQW RI 2SWLUR DQG
*ROG)LHOGVIRUDOORZLQJWKLVSDSHUWREHFRPSOHWHGRQWLPH
&RQWULEXWLRQV DQG UHYLHZV E\ WZR DQRQ\PRXV UHYLHZHUV
6WXDUW0DVWHUV3DXO%ODFNQH\DQG&KULVWLQH6WDQGLQJDUHDOVR
JUDWHIXOO\DFNQRZOHGJHG
REFERENCES
$E]DORY 0 /RFDOLVHG XQLIRUP FRQGLWLRQLQJ /8& D QHZ
DSSURDFK WR GLUHFW PRGHOOLQJ RI VPDOO EORFNV Mathematical
Geology
&DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP &,0
(VWLPDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV
%HVW3UDFWLFH*XLGHOLQHV>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZHE
FLPRUJ8VHU)LOHV)LOH(VWLPDWLRQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV0LQHUDO
5HVHUYHVSGI! &DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ
0HWDOOXUJ\DQG3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
-RXUQHO$*1RQSDUDPHWULFHVWLPDWLRQRIVSDWLDOGLVWULEXWLRQV
Math Geol
-RXUQHO$.\ULDNLGLV3DQG0DR6&RUUHFWLQJWKHVPRRWKLQJ
HIIHFW RI HVWLPDWRUV D VSHFWUDO SRVWSURFHVVRU Mathematical
Geology
&RRPEHV - +DQG\ KLQWV IRU YDULRJUDSK\ LQ 7RZDUGV
National Conference on Ironmaking Resources and Reserves
EstimationSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&RZDQ(-*HRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ
in Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
WR *RRG 3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'DYLG0*HRVWDWLVWLFDO2UH5HVHUYH(VWLPDWLRQS(OVHYLHU
$PVWHUGDP
'H9LWU\&9DQQ-DQG$UYLGVRQ+$JXLGHWRVHOHFWLQJWKH
RSWLPDOPHWKRGRIUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQIRUPXOWLYDULDWHLURQRUH
GHSRVLWV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV ,URQ 2UH &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'H9LWU\ & 9DQQ - DQG $UYLGVRQ + 0XOWLYDULDWH LURQ RUH
GHSRVLWUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQDSUDFWLWLRQHUVJXLGHWRVHOHFWLQJ
PHWKRGV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
$XV,00*XLGHWR*RRG3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'RZG3$6WUXFWXUDOFRQWUROVLQWKHJHRVWDWLVWLFDOVLPXODWLRQ
RIPLQHUDOGHSRVLWVLQ*HRVWDWLVWLFV:ROORQJRQJHGV(<%DD
DQG1$6FKRHOGSS.OXZHU7KH1HWKHUODQGV
*ODFNHQ,&KDQJHRIVXSSRUWDQGXVHRIHFRQRPLFSDUDPHWHUV
LQEORFNVHOHFWLRQLQ*HRVWDWLVWLFV:ROORQJRQJHGV(<%DD
DQG1$6FKRHOGSS.OXZHU7KH1HWKHUODQGV
.HQW0&DWWR%'R\OH0*LEEV'0DWKHVRQ06LQJHU5.HQGDOO
%DQG9DQQ-7URSLFDQD*ROG0LQH:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLDD
FDVHVWXG\RIQRQOLQHDU0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQLQMineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
.KRVURZVKDKL 6 DQG 6KDZ : - &RQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ IRU
UHVRXUFH FKDUDFWHULVDWLRQ DQG JUDGH FRQWURO SULQFLSOHV DQG
SUDFWLFHLQ3URFHHGLQJV:RUOG*ROG&RQIHUHQFHSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
.ULJH ' * /RJQRUPDO 'H :LMVLDQ JHRVWDWLVWLFV IRU RUH
HYDOXDWLRQGeostatistics Monograph 16RXWKHUQ$IULFDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\-RKDQQHVEXUJ
.ULJH'*$SUDFWLFDODQDO\VLVRIWKHHIIHFWVRIVSDWLDOVWUXFWXUH
DQG RI GDWD DYDLODEOH DQG DFFHVVHG RQ FRQGLWLRQDO ELDVHV LQ
RUGLQDU\ NULJLQJ LQ *HRVWDWLVWLFV :ROORQJRQJ HGV ( < %DD
DQG1$6FKRHOGSS.OXZHU7KH1HWKHUODQGV
/HH * DQG 6WHSKHQVRQ 3 2EVHUYDWLRQV RQ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ
DQGUHSRUWLQJRIPLQHUDOVDQGVLQ0XUUD\%DVLQ0LQHUDO6DQGV
&RQIHUHQFHAIG Bulletin$SULO
/HXDQJWKRQJ 2 /\DOO * DQG 'HXWVFK & 9 0XOWLYDULDWH
JHRVWDWLVWLFDOVLPXODWLRQRIDQLFNHOODWHULWHGHSRVLWLQProceedings
$3&20 WK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 6\PSRVLXP RQ WKH $SSOLFDWLRQ RI
Computers and Operations Research in the Mineral IndustrySS
6RFLHW\IRU0LQLQJ0HWDOOXUJ\DQG([SORUDWLRQ/LWWOHWRQ
0DWKHURQ * 7UDLWp GH *pRVWDWVWLTXH $SSOLTXpH (A Treatise on
Applied Geostatistics7HFKQLS3DULV
*ODFNHQ , %ODFNQH\ 3 *UD\ ' DQG )RJGHQ 1 5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQ LQ IROGHG GHSRVLWV D UHYLHZ RI SUDFWLFH DQG FDVH
VWXGLHV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
$XV,00*XLGHWR*RRG3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0DWKHURQ*3ULQFLSOHVRIJHRVWDWLVWLFVEcon Geol
*ODFNHQ,0DQG6QRZGHQ'90LQHUDOUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice HG$&(GZDUGVSS 7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
275
9DQQ-DQG*XLEDO'%H\RQGRUGLQDU\NULJLQJDQRYHUYLHZ
RIQRQOLQHDUHVWLPDWLRQLQProceedings of a One Day Symposium:
Beyond Ordinary Kriging 7KH *HRVWDWLVWLFDO $VVRFLDWLRQ RI
$XVWUDODVLD3HUWK
6RPPHUYLOOH%%R\OH&%UDMNRYLFK13KLOOLSV-DQG/DWVFKD$$
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ RI WKH %URFNPDQ LURQ RUH
GHSRVLW LQ WKH 3LOEDUD UHJLRQ E\ 5LR 7LQWR ,URQ 2UH LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
6WHSKHQVRQ 3 5 $OOPDQ $ &DUYLOOH ' 3 6WRNHU 3 7 0RNRV 3
7\UUHOO - DQG %XUURZV 7 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH FODVVLFDWLRQ
LWV WLPH WR VKRRW WKH VSRWWHG GRJ LQ Proceedings Eighth
International Mining Geology Conference SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
276
9DQQ - DQG 6DQV + *OREDO UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ DQG FKDQJH
RI VXSSRUW DW WKH (QWHUSULVH *ROG 0LQH 3LQH &UHHN 1RUWKHUQ
7HUULWRU\ DSSOLFDWLRQ RI WKH JHRVWDWLVWLFDO GLVFUHWH *DXVVLDQ
PRGHOLQProceedings APCOM XXVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Manager Resource Geology, Rio Tinto, Level 8, 152 - 158 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM, Senior Resource Geologist, Rio Tinto, Level 8, 152 - 158 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
3. Senior Resource Geologist, Rio Tinto, Level 8, 152 - 158 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
4. MAusIMM, Advisor. Email: [email protected]
5. MAusIMM, Superintendent Geology Modelling Projects, Rio Tinto, Level 8, 152 - 158 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
5LR7LQWR,URQ2UH57,2RSHUDWHVRSHQFXWPLQHVLQWKH
3LOEDUD UHJLRQ RI :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD ZLWK D FXUUHQW DQQXDO
FDSDFLW\RI0WDQGWKHUHDUHSODQVWRLQFUHDVHFDSDFLW\WR
0WE\7KH3LOEDUDRSHUDWLRQVPDNHXSDQLQWHJUDWHG
V\VWHP RI LURQ RUH PLQHV WKUHH VKLSSLQJ WHUPLQDOV DQG
D KHDY\ IUHLJKW UDLO QHWZRUN 5LR 7LQWR D 5LR 7LQWR
IXOO\ RZQV +DPHUVOH\ ,URQV HLJKW PLQHV %URFNPDQ
%URFNPDQ0DUDQGRR1DPPXOGL3DUDEXUGRR7RP3ULFH
:HVWHUQ 7XUQHU 6\QFOLQH DQG <DQGLFRRJLQD DQG RSHUDWHV
VHYHQMRLQWYHQWXUHPLQHV+RSH'RZQV5LR7LQWRSHU
FHQW+RSH'RZQV5LR7LQWRSHUFHQW&KDQQDUSHU
FHQW(DVWHUQ5DQJHSHUFHQWDQGWKHWKUHHPLQHVRI5REH
5LYHU,URQ$VVRFLDWHVZKLFKDUH0HVD-0HVD$:DUUDPERR
277
REGIONAL GEOLOGY
7UHQGDOO DQG %ORFNOH\ SURYLGH GRFXPHQWDWLRQ RI WKH
VWUDWLJUDSK\ ZKLFK LV VXPPDULVHG EHORZ 7KH %6 GHSRVLW
LV ZLWKLQ WKH 0RXQW %UXFH 6XSHUJURXS DQG PDGH XS RI
WKUHH JURXSV )RUWHVFXH +DPHUVOH\ DQG :\ORR ROGHVW WR
\RXQJHVW 7KH +DPHUVOH\ *URXS LV DURXQG P WKLFN
FRQVLVWV RI DEXQGDQW EDQGHG LURQ IRUPDWLRQ %,) ZLWK
LQWHUVWUDWLHG DFLG ODYDV GDWHG DW 0D \HDUV ROG DQG
KRVWVWKHEHGGHGLURQRUHGHSRVLWVLQWKH3LOEDUDUHJLRQ,WLV
PDGHXSRIWKHIROORZLQJIRUPDWLRQVROGHVWWR\RXQJHVWZLWK
WKLFNQHVV0DUUD0DPED,URQ)RUPDWLRQP:LWWHQRRP
'RORPLWH P 0RXQW 6\OYLD )RUPDWLRQ P 0RXQW
0F5DH6KDOHP%URFNPDQ,URQ)RUPDWLRQP:HHOL
:ROOL)RUPDWLRQP:RRQJDUUD9ROFDQLFVPDQG
%RROJHHGD,URQ)RUPDWLRQP7KH%6GHSRVLWLVKRVWHG
E\WKH%URFNPDQ,URQ)RUPDWLRQZKLFKLVPDGHXSRIIRXU
PHPEHUV ZLWK WKLFNQHVVHV 'DOHV *RUJH 0HPEHU P
:KDOHEDFN6KDOH0HPEHUP-RIIUH0HPEHUPDQG
<DQGLFRRJLQD6KDOH0HPEHUP$GHWDLOHGVWUDWLJUDSKLF
FROXPQRIWKH+DPHUVOH\*URXSVKRZLQJWKH%URFNPDQ,URQ
)RUPDWLRQDQG0DUUD0DPED,URQ)RUPDWLRQLVSUHVHQWHGLQ
)LJXUH(QULFKPHQWRIWKHKRVWPHPEHU%,)XQLWVLVWKRXJKW
WRKDYHRFFXUUHGWKURXJKWKHVXSHUJHQHSURFHVVDVGHVFULEHG
E\0RUULV
7KH 'DOHV *RUJH 0HPEHU DQG -RIIUH 0HPEHU FRQVLVW RI
DOWHUQDWLQJPDFUREDQGVRIEDQGHGLURQIRUPDWLRQDQGVKDOH
7KH\ DUH LQIRUPDOO\ GLYLGHG E\ 57,2 XVLQJ SRVLWLRQV RI
VKDOHEDQGVLQWRXQLWVNQRZQDVVWUDQGV7KH'DOHV*RUJH
0HPEHU LV VWUDQGHG LQWR WKUHH VXEXQLWV ORZHU WR XSSHU
'*'*DQG'*6LPLODUO\WKH-RIIUH0HPEHULVGLYLGHG
LQWR ORZHU WR XSSHU - - - - - DQG - 7KH XQLWV -
-DQG-DUHPRUHGRPLQDWHGE\VKDOHZKHUHDV--DQG
- DUH GRPLQDWHG E\ EDQGHG LURQ IRUPDWLRQ 7KH PRVW
LURQHQULFKHG SDUW RI WKH 0DUUD 0DPED ,URQ )RUPDWLRQ LV
WKH 0RXQW 1HZPDQ 0HPEHU DQG WKLV PHPEHU LV GLYLGHG
LQWR WKH 1( DQG 1( XQLWV 1( PD\ EH IXUWKHU GLYLGHG
Mineral Resource Estimation of the Brockman 4 Iron Ore Deposit in the Pilbara Region by Rio Tinto Iron Ore|B Sommerville et al
FIG 2 - Stratigraphy of the Hamersley Group showing details of the Joffre, Dales Gorge and Marra Mamba Iron Formations.
LQWR 18 DQG 1/ 7KHVH VWUDQGV IRUP WKH IXQGDPHQWDO
GRPDLQVIRU0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ
LOCAL GEOLOGY
7KH%6GHSRVLWLVORFDWHGRQWKHVRXWKHUQOLPERIWKHODUJH
VFDOH %URFNPDQ 6\QFOLQH )LJXUH %6 PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LV
GRPLQDWHGE\PDUWLWHJRHWKLWHDQGLVRIWKHKLJKSKRVSKRUXV
RUH W\SH 0LQHUDOLVDWLRQ LV KRVWHG E\ WKH 'DOHV *RUJH
:KDOHEDFN 6KDOH DQG WKH -RIIUH 0HPEHUV RI WKH %URFNPDQ
,URQ)RUPDWLRQRYHUDVWULNHOHQJWKRIDSSUR[LPDWHO\NP
ZLWKPLQHUDOLVHGWKLFNQHVVHVRIXSWRP)LJXUH7KH
GHSRVLWLVGLYLGHGLQWRWKUHHPDLQOHQVHV:HVW&HQWUDODQG
(DVW7KHVWUDWLJUDSK\LQWKHGHSRVLWGLSVQRUWKDWDURXQG
$W\SLFDOJHRORJLFDOFURVVVHFWLRQLVVKRZQLQ)LJXUHDQGWKH
ORFDWLRQRIWKLVVHFWLRQLVVKRZQRQ)LJXUH0LQHUDOLVDWLRQLV
K\GUDWHGIURPVXUIDFHWRDGHSWKRIWRP0LQHUDOLVDWLRQ
LV JHQHUDOO\ DW O\LQJ EXW FDQ IROORZ WKH :KDOHEDFN 6KDOH
FRQWDFW GRZQ GLS LQ D VWHHSHU RULHQWDWLRQ WR FRQVLGHUDEOH
GHSWKV7KRXJKPRVWPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLVEHGGHGWKHUHDUHVPDOO
GHSRVLWVRIVHFRQGDU\VXUFLDOGHWULWDOPLQHUDOLVDWLRQSUHVHQW
DERYH WKH EHGGHG PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ 7KHUH DUH QXPHURXV DQG
VWHHS QRUWKZHVWVWULNLQJ QRUPDO IDXOWV DW %6 %HGGLQJ LV
RSHQO\IROGHGDQGVKDUSO\NLQNHGQHDUWKHIDXOWLQJ'ROHULWH
G\NHVDUHFRPPRQVWULNHQRUWKZHVWDQGRIWHQLQWUXGHIDXOWV
DATA ACQUISITION
Drilling
'ULOOLQJLVDWDVSDFLQJRIPPLQWKH:HVWHUQ/HQV
&HQWUDO /HQV DQG RQ WKH ZHVWHUQ VLGH RI WKH (DVWHUQ /HQV
DQGDWPPRQWKHHDVWHUQVLGHRIWKH(DVWHUQ/HQV
'ULOOLQJ GDWD IRU WKH %6 PRGHO FRQVLVWV RI UHYHUVH
FLUFXODWLRQ 5& GULOO KROHV RSHQ KROH SHUFXVVLRQ GULOO
KROHVDQGYH+4VL]HGLDPRQGGULOOKROHV'ULOOLQJKDVWDNHQ
SODFHIURPWRWKHSUHVHQW
Sampling
5& KROHV DUH FXUUHQWO\ VDPSOHG XVLQJ URWDU\ FRQH VSOLWWHUV
WKRXJK LQ WKH SDVW ULIH VSOLWWHUV ZHUH DOVR XVHG LQ GU\
LQWHUYDOV 5HFRYHULHV RI 5& VDPSOHV DUH TXDOLWDWLYHO\
HVWLPDWHG IURP WKH VL]H RI UHMHFW SLOHV DQG VDPSOH ZHLJKWV
'LDPRQGGULOOLQJXVHVZDWHUDQGSRO\PHUPXGWRPD[LPLVH
UHFRYHU\ RI FRUHV 'LDPRQG FRUH UHFRYHU\ GDWD LV UHFRUGHG
DQG WKHUH LV JRRG UHFRYHU\ JUHDWHU WKDQ SHU FHQW IRU
DOO KROHV $Q\ LQWHUYDOV RI FRUH ORVV RU FDYLWLHV JUHDWHU WKDQ
FP DUH UHFRUGHG DQG PDUNHG E\ WKH GULOOHU 5XQ OHQJWKV
YDU\ GHSHQGLQJ RQ PDWHULDO ZLWK VKRUW UXQV HPSOR\HG WR
PD[LPLVHUHFRYHU\RIVRIWRUIULDEOHPDWHULDOLQFOXGLQJVKDOHV
5& KROHV DQG HDUO\ SHUFXVVLRQ KROHV DUH JHRORJLFDOO\
ORJJHG ZLWK SHHU UHYLHZ DQG YDOLGDWLRQ GXULQJ WKH GULOOLQJ
SURJUDPV 0DWHULDO LV VDPSOHG DQG DVVD\HG IRU HDFK P
LQWHUYDO &XUUHQWO\ HDFK P 5& LQWHUYDO LV JHRORJLFDOO\
ORJJHGDQGHQWHUHGLQWRDQRILQHDF4XLUHGDWDEDVHSDFNDJH
RQ HOG 7RXJKERRN ODSWRSV ZLWK ODWHU XSORDG WR WKH PDLQ
DF4XLUH GDWDEDVH %HIRUH ORJJLQJ ZDV UHFRUGHG RQ
SDSHU ORJV 6WDQGDUG FRORXU WH[WXUH KDUGQHVV VKDSH FKLS
SHUFHQWDJH GHVFULSWRUV DQG D FRPPHQWV HOG DUH XVHG IRU
ORJJLQJ,URQRUHPDWHULDOW\SHVDUHORJJHGZLWKSHUFHQWDJHV
XVXDOO\ UHFRUGHG LQ LQFUHPHQWV RI YH SHU FHQW DQG UDUHO\
DW RQH SHU FHQW LQFUHPHQWV IRU WUDFH FRQVWLWXHQWV 0DWHULDO
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
279
FIG 3 - Rio Tinto Iron Ore banded iron formation derived deposits in the Pilbara region of Western Australia.
Mineral Resource Estimation of the Brockman 4 Iron Ore Deposit in the Pilbara Region by Rio Tinto Iron Ore|B Sommerville et al
Assaying
6DPSOHV DUH GLVSDWFKHG WR WKH 8OWUD 7UDFH ODERUDWRU\ LQ
3HUWKDQGDUHVHQWLQEDWFKHVRIWRVDPSOHV6DPSOHV
DUH RYHQ GULHG FUXVKHG DQG WKHQ SXOYHULVHG WR D XQLIRUP
VL]H UDQJH 7KH SXOYHULVHG IUDFWLRQ LV WKHQ IXUWKHU VSOLW DQG
DVVD\HGE\;UD\XRUHVFHQFH;5)DQDO\VLVIRUWKHVWDQGDUG
LURQRUHVXLWHLURQVLOLFDDOXPLQDSKRVSKRUXVPDQJDQHVH
VXOIXUWLWDQLXPR[LGHFDOFLXPR[LGHPDJQHVLXPR[LGHDQG
RWKHUWUDFHHOHPHQWV/RVVRQLJQLWLRQ/2,GHWHUPLQDWLRQ
LVE\WKHUPRJUDYLPHWULFDQDO\VLV7*$XVLQJDPXOWLIXUQDFH
URERWLFFHOORQDVHSDUDWHVSOLWRIWKHSXOYHULVHGIUDFWLRQ7KH
DVVD\LQJ ZRUNRZ DW 8OWUD 7UDFH IRU 57,2 ;5) VDPSOHV LV
VXPPDULVHGDVIROORZV
GU\IRUDPLQLPXPRIKRXUV
ZHLJK
FUXVK
SXOYHULVH
VDPSOHIXVLRQDQG7*$ZHLJKLQJ
ZHLJK VDPSOH LQWR UDGLDQW WKHUPRJUDYLPHWULF DQDO\VLV
57*$FUXFLEOH
ZHLJKX[DQGVDPSOHLQWRFUXFLEOH
URERWLFIXVLRQ
;5)DQDO\VLV
;5)TXDOLW\DVVXUDQFHTXDOLW\FRQWURO4$4&
DENSITY
&RQWLQXRXV GRZQKROH JHRSK\VLFDO ORJJLQJ LV XVHG IRU 5&
DQGGLDPRQGGULOOLQJWRUHFRUGJDPPDJDPPDGHQVLW\DQG
KROHZLGWKIURPFDOOLSHUUHDGLQJV:HWDQGGU\GLDPRQGFRUH
GHQVLW\LVDOVRREWDLQHGXVLQJDYROXPHWULFDSSURDFKZKHUH
WKH ZHLJKW RI FRUH LV GLYLGHG E\ LWV YROXPH 0XFK PRUH
GDWD LV FROOHFWHG IURP FRQWLQXRXV JDPPDJDPPD GHQVLW\
PHDVXUHPHQWVWKDQIRUFRUHVDPSOHVIURPGLDPRQGGULOOLQJ
7KH DYHUDJH GHQVLW\ YDOXHV VSOLW E\ GRPDLQ DQG ZKHWKHU
GDWD LV DERYH RU EHORZ WKH ZDWHU WDEOH DUH FRPSDUHG IRU
WKHJDPPDJDPPDGHQVLW\GDWDDQGWKHGLDPRQGFRUHGDWD
7KLVDOORZVDFRUUHFWLRQIDFWRUWREHGHWHUPLQHGWRDGMXVWWKH
JDPPDJDPPDGHQVLW\WRGU\EXONGHQVLW\7KLVFRUUHFWLRQ
LV UHTXLUHG DV WKH JDPPDJDPPD GHQVLW\ PHDVXUHV ZHW
GHQVLW\ZKHUHDVUHVRXUFHPRGHOVUHTXLUHGU\EXONGHQVLW\
6FDWWHUSORWVDUHPDGHRI5&JDPPDGHQVLW\YHUVXVGU\FRUH
GHQVLW\DQGDOLQHDUUHJUHVVLRQWUHQGOLQHLVWWHGWRWKHGDWD
WRDOORZFRQYHUVLRQRIJDPPDGHQVLW\WRWKHGU\FRUHGHQVLW\
HTXLYDOHQW
281
Variography
([SHULPHQWDO VHPLYDULRJUDPV PHDVXUH WKH DYHUDJH
GLVVLPLODULW\ EHWZHHQ VDPSOH GDWD VHSDUDWHG E\ D YHFWRU
7KH FDOFXODWLRQ RI H[SHULPHQWDO VHPLYDULRJUDPV DVVXPHV
HTXDOVXSSRUWRIVDPSOLQJGDWD*RRYDHUWV1HDUO\DOO
GULOOKROH VDPSOHVDW %6 ZHUH FROOHFWHG DW P OHQJWKVDQG
VR LW LV QRW QHFHVVDU\ WR FRPSRVLWH GDWD WR EHQFK KHLJKW RU
D FRPPRQ OHQJWK WR DFKLHYH HTXDO VXSSRUW IRU GDWD :KHQ
VDPSOHVDUHFRPSRVLWHGWRD[HGOHQJWKWKDWLVJUHDWHUWKDQ
WKH VDPSOH OHQJWK WKHUH ZLOO EH VPDOO LQWHUYDOV UHPDLQLQJ
DWWKHERWWRPRIWKHJHRORJLFDOXQLWRUGULOOKROH7KHVHGULOO
KROH LQWHUYDOV RI OHVV WKDQ WKH FRPSRVLWH OHQJWK DUH WHUPHG
UHVLGXDOV5HVLGXDOVPD\EHGLVUHJDUGHGLIWKH\DUHOHVVWKDQ
D FHUWDLQ OHQJWK VXFK DV KDOI WKH FRPSRVLWH OHQJWK DQG WKLV
FRXOGFDXVHDELDVLQJUDGHVLIWKHUHVLGXDOVGLIIHULQJUDGHWR
WKHUHWDLQHGFRPSRVLWHV%\XVLQJRULJLQDOVDPSOHOHQJWKVLW
LVSRVVLEOHWRDYRLGDQ\ELDVLQJUDGHVWKDWPD\EHJHQHUDWHG
E\GLVUHJDUGLQJUHVLGXDOV6HPLYDULRJUDPVDUHFRQVWUXFWHG
RQWKHEDVLVRIWKHJHRORJLFDOVWUDQGVGHWHUPLQHGZLWKLQWKH
JHRORJLFDOPRGHO([SHULHQFHLQ57,2VKRZVWKDWLIVDPSOHV
DUH PRVWO\ RI WKH VDPH OHQJWK VHPLYDULRJUDPV EDVHG RQ
RULJLQDO VDPSOH OHQJWKV DUH EHWWHU VWUXFWXUHG HVSHFLDOO\ LQ
QDUURZ VWUDQGV WKDQ VHPLYDULRJUDPV EDVHG RQ VDPSOHV
FRPSRVLWHG WR EORFN KHLJKW DQG WKLV LV GXH WR WKH KLJKHU
QXPEHURISDLUVWKDWFDQEHFDOFXODWHGXVLQJVDPSOHV$OHRI
PVDPSOHGDWDLVGHVXUYH\HGDQGH[SRUWHGIURPD9XOFDQ
GULOOKROHGDWDEDVHDQGLPSRUWHGWRWKH,VDWLVJHRVWDWLVWLFDO
SDFNDJH IRU PRGHOOLQJ RI VHPLYDULRJUDPV 6HOHFWLRQV DUH
PDGHIRUHDFKRIWKHPLQHUDOLVHGGRPDLQVWRDVVLJQVDPSOHV
WR WKH FRUUHFW GRPDLQ 0LQHUDOLVHG GRPDLQV DUH HLWKHU NHSW
VHSDUDWHRULIWKHUHDUHVPDOOVDPSOHQXPEHUVDQGWKHJUDGH
GLVWULEXWLRQVDUHVLPLODUWKH\DUHFRPELQHGIRUYDULRJUDSK\
DVIROORZV
282
GHWULWDOV
--DQG-
--DQG-
K\GUDWHGIURP:KDOHEDFN6KDOH'DOHV*RUJHDQG-RIIUH
:KDOHEDFN6KDOH/RZHU
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
:KDOHEDFN6KDOH8SSHU
'*
'*
'*
'DOHV*RUJHK\GUDWHG
)RRWZDOO=RQH
([SHULPHQWDO VHPLYDULRJUDPV DUH FDOFXODWHG DORQJ WKH
UHJXODU GULOOLQJ JULG IRU ODJV RI P DORQJ VWULNH P
DFURVV VWULNH DQG P GRZQKROH 9DULRJUDP PDSV DUH XVHG
WRFKHFNGLUHFWLRQVRIFRQWLQXLW\LQWKHKRUL]RQWDOGLUHFWLRQV
'LUHFW VHPLYDULRJUDPV DUH PRGHOOHG IRU WHQ FKHPLFDO
YDULDEOHV LURQ VLOLFD DOXPLQD SKRVSKRUXV PDQJDQHVH
/2,VXOIXUWLWDQLXPR[LGHFDOFLXPR[LGHDQGPDJQHVLXP
R[LGHDQGGHQVLW\IRUHDFKGRPDLQ&URVVVHPLYDULRJUDPV
DUH QRW UHTXLUHG DV FRNULJLQJ LV QRW XVHG 1XJJHW HIIHFW LV
GHWHUPLQHG E\ H[DPLQLQJ WKH GRZQKROH GLUHFWLRQ RI WKH
VHPLYDULRJUDPV9DULRJUDSK\LVSHUIRUPHGXVLQJUHDOZRUOG
FRRUGLQDWHV UDWKHU WKDQ XQIROGHG FRRUGLQDWHV WKRXJK WKH
HVWLPDWLRQLVSHUIRUPHGLQDQXQIROGHGFRRUGLQDWHV\VWHP
Estimation
%DVHG RQ WKH LQWHUSUHWHG JHRORJ\ VWUDQGV PLQHUDOLVHG
GRPDLQV DUH HVWLPDWHG XVLQJ RUGLQDU\ NULJLQJ XQLYDULDWH
ZKLOHXQPLQHUDOLVHGGRPDLQVDUHHVWLPDWHGXVLQJLQYHUVH
GLVWDQFH WR WKH SRZHU RI RQH (VWLPDWLRQ LV IRU WKH VDPH
WHQ FKHPLFDO YDULDEOHV DQG GHQVLW\ DV IRU YDULRJUDSK\ &R
NULJLQJLVQRWXVHGDVWKHUHLVQRXQGHUVDPSOLQJRIDQ\RIWKH
YDULDEOHVWREHHVWLPDWHGVRLWLVXQOLNHO\WRSURGXFHEHWWHU
UHVXOWV WKDQ RUGLQDU\ NULJLQJ DQG ZRXOG WDNH FRQVLGHUDEO\
PRUHZRUN-RXUQHODQG+XLMEUHJWV7KHIROORZLQJVWHSV
DUHWDNHQWRHQVXUHWKDWWKHLQGHSHQGHQWRUGLQDU\NULJLQJRI
FKHPLFDOYDULDEOHVGRHVQRWFDXVHXQGHVLUDEOHDUWHIDFWV
'LUHFWYDULRJUDPPRGHOVKDYHVLPLODUW\SHVRIVWUXFWXUH
UDWLRVRIQXJJHWWRWRWDOYDULDQFHUDWLRVRIHDFKVWUXFWXUH
WRWRWDOYDULDQFHVDQGUDQJHV
7KH VDPH NULJLQJ QHLJKERXUKRRG VHDUFK LV XVHG IRU DOO
HVWLPDWHVRIFKHPLFDOYDULDEOHVLQWKHVDPHGRPDLQ
&RUUHODWLRQV DQG VFDWWHU SORWV RI VDPSOHV DQG HVWLPDWHG
EORFNV DUH FKHFNHG WR VHH WKDW WKH\ DUH DSSUR[LPDWHO\
VLPLODU
7RWDO DVVD\ VXPV DOO WHQ FKHPLFDO YDULDEOHV ZLWK
DSSURSULDWHDGMXVWPHQWIRUR[LGHVWDWH7RWDODVVD\VKRXOG
EHZLWKLQWRSHUFHQWDQGEORFNVZLWKWRWDODVVD\
RXWVLGHWKLVOLPLWDUHH[DPLQHG
7KHHVWLPDWLRQXWLOLVHVWKHIROORZLQJRSWLRQV
2UGLQDU\NULJLQJLVXVHG
6DPSOHVHOHFWLRQDQGEORFNVHOHFWLRQGXULQJHVWLPDWLRQLV
EDVHGRQWKHJHR]RQHFRGH
+DUGERXQGDULHVDUHXVHGIRUDOOGRPDLQV
6DPSOHV XVHG IRU HVWLPDWLRQ PHHW D PLQLPXP OHQJWK
FULWHULRQ
'HQVLW\LVHVWLPDWHGLQGHSHQGHQWO\RIFKHPLFDOYDULDEOHV
DQGWKXVKDVLWVRZQVHDUFKSDUDPHWHUV
'LVFUHWLVDWLRQXVHGLVPPP
6DPSOH VHOHFWLRQ LV UHVWULFWHG WR D PD[LPXP RI IRXU
VDPSOHVSHUKROH
$Q RFWDQWEDVHG VHDUFK LV XVHG LQ DOO UXQV ZLWK D
PD[LPXPRIVDPSOHVSHURFWDQW
7KH PLQLPXP QXPEHU RI VDPSOHV SHU HVWLPDWH LV
JHQHUDOO\EXWGHFUHDVHVWRIRXULQWKHODVWUXQIRUVRPH
GRPDLQVGXHWRLVRODWHGSRGVRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
Mineral Resource Estimation of the Brockman 4 Iron Ore Deposit in the Pilbara Region by Rio Tinto Iron Ore|B Sommerville et al
7KHPD[LPXPQXPEHURIVDPSOHVSHUHVWLPDWHLV
8QIROGLQJ XVLQJ WKH SURMHFWLRQ RSWLRQ LQ 9XOFDQ LV
HPSOR\HGIRUDOOPLQHUDOLVHGGRPDLQVH[FHSWWKHK\GUDWHG
GRPDLQV DQG WKH GHWULWDOV ZKLFK KDYH PRUH KRUL]RQWDO
RULHQWDWLRQV
3DUHQWFHOOHVWLPDWLRQLVXVHGDQGWKLVDVVLJQVWKHSDUHQW
FHOOJUDGHWRVXEFHOOVZLWKLQWKHVDPHJHR]RQH
'ULOO KROH VDPSOHV WKDW KDYH PDQJDQHVH YDOXHV DERYH
GHQHG OLPLWV DUH QRW XVHG IRU HVWLPDWLRQ RI DQ\ RI WKH
FKHPLFDOYDULDEOHVLQEORFNVZKHQWKHEORFNVDUHEH\RQG
VSHFLHG GLVWDQFHV IURP WKH GULOO KROH VDPSOHV 7KLV
UHVWULFWVWKHGLVWDQFHRILQXHQFHIRUPDQJDQHVHVDPSOHV
DERYHWKHOLPLWVWRUHGXFHVPHDULQJRIKLJKVDPSOHYDOXHV
LQWKHEORFNPRGHO
%ORFNV WKDW DUH QRW HVWLPDWHG IRU FKHPLFDO JUDGHV RU
GHQVLW\KDYHWKHDYHUDJHJHR]RQHJUDGHYDOXHVDVVLJQHG
XVLQJVFULSWV
6PDOO QHJDWLYH YDOXHV SURGXFHG LQ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ DUH
VXEVWLWXWHG ZLWK GHWHFWLRQ OLPLW YDOXHV $ ORZ QXPEHU
RI VPDOO QHJDWLYH YDOXHV DUH HVWLPDWHG IRU PDQJDQHVH
VXOIXU WLWDQLXP R[LGH DQG FDOFLXP R[LGH DQG WKHVH DUH
GXHWRQHJDWLYHNULJLQJZHLJKWV
$NULJLQJQHLJKERXUKRRGDQDO\VLV.1$LVFDUULHGRXWIRU
LURQ DQG GHQVLW\ IRU WKH PLQHUDOLVHG GRPDLQV ZKHUH WKHUH
DUHHQRXJKVDPSOHVWRPDNHVXFKDVWXG\ZRUWKZKLOH.1$
GRPDLQV DUH GHWULWDOV - - -RIIUH K\GUDWHG :KDOHEDFN
6KDOH/RZHU:KDOHEDFN6KDOH8SSHU'*'*'*'DOHV
*RUJH K\GUDWHG DQG )RRWZDOO =RQH 2UGLQDU\ NULJLQJ XVHV
WKUHHUXQVWRLQWHUSRODWHJUDGHVIRUPRVWGRPDLQV7ZRUXQV
DUHXVHGWRHVWLPDWHDOOYDULDEOHVLQGHWULWDOVDQGGHQVLW\LQ
-'*'*DQG'*7ZRUXQVZHUHXVHGLQWKHVHFDVHV
WRDYRLGDKLJKOHYHORIVPHDULQJRIKLJKYDOXHVLQWKHWKLUG
UXQ6HDUFKSDUDPHWHUVDUHXVHGWKDWHQVXUHDVPDQ\EORFNV
DV SRVVLEOH DUH HVWLPDWHG LQ WKH UVW UXQ ZKLOH DWWHPSWLQJ
WR NHHS WKH VORSH RI UHJUHVVLRQ FORVH WR D YDOXH RI RQH DQG
WKH QXPEHU RI QHJDWLYH NULJLQJ ZHLJKWV EHORZ YH SHU
FHQW .ULJLQJ QHLJKERXUKRRG DQDO\VLV JHQHUDOO\ IROORZV WKH
PHWKRGV SURSRVHG E\ 5LYRLUDUG DQG 9DQQ -DFNVRQ
DQG%HUWROL
8QIROGLQJ LV XVHG GXULQJ HVWLPDWLRQ RI PRVW PLQHUDOLVHG
GRPDLQV DW %6 WR DOLJQ WKH VDPSOH VHDUFK ZLWK WKH IROGHG
EHGV7KHSURMHFWLRQPRGHORSWLRQLQ9XOFDQLVXVHGWRXQIROG
VDPSOHVDQGEORFNV7KHSURMHFWLRQPRGHOPHWKRGFDQEHXVHG
DVEHGGLQJLVQRWRYHUWXUQHG/RZHUDQGXSSHUWULDQJXODWLRQ
VXUIDFHV DUH XVHG WR JXLGH WKH XQIROGLQJ SURFHVV 7KH
SURMHFWLRQPRGHOPHWKRGLVDYHUWLFDODWWHQLQJWKDWUHDVVLJQV
WKH=YHUWLFDOFRRUGLQDWHRIVDPSOHVDQGEORFNVVRWKDWWKH
ORZHUWULDQJXODWLRQVXUIDFHKDVDQHOHYDWLRQRILQXQIROGHG
FIG 6 - Typical cross-section of iron in drill holes and estimated block mode. Drill hole spacing is 50 m and the section is seen looking west.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
283
Reconciliation
$OO PRGHOV DW RSHUDWLQJ VLWHV LQFOXGLQJ WKH %6 PRGHO DUH
UHFRQFLOHGDJDLQVWJUDGHFRQWUROGDWDDVSDUWRIWKHYDOLGDWLRQ
SURFHVV
7KH FXUUHQW %6 EORFN PRGHO LV UHFRQFLOHG ZLWK WKH
PLQH JHRORJ\ EORFNRXWV ZKLFK DUH EDVHG RQ EODVWKROH
VDPSOHV 7KH PLQH JHRORJ\ EORFNRXWV RU GLJ SODQV FDQ
EH UHJDUGHG DV WKH QDO PLQLQJ PRGHO %RWK WKH 5HVRXUFH
PRGHO VXEEORFNHG DQGWKH5HVHUYHPRGHOZKLFKPD\EH
UHEORFNHG DUH UHFRQFLOHG DJDLQVW PLQH JHRORJ\ EORFNRXWV
7KHDLPVRIWKHVHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQVDUHWR
VXSSRUWWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYHVWDWHPHQW
EHWWHUXQGHUVWDQGWKHHVWLPDWLRQDQGFRQUPWKHFKRLFHV
RIHVWLPDWLRQSDUDPHWHUV
VXSSRUWVLWHXVHRIWKHPRGHO
XQGHUVWDQG DQG UHFRQFLOH WKH LPSDFW UHEORFNLQJ KDV RQ
WKH2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHV
LGHQWLI\WKHFRUHGULYHUVRIQRQSHUIRUPDQFHLQRUGHUWR
FRUUHFWO\WDUJHWLPSURYHPHQWRSWLRQV
)DFWRUV DUH FDOFXODWHG WR DOORZ FRPSDULVRQ EHWZHHQ
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQDWGLIIHUHQFHVLWHVDQGWLPHSHULRGV)RXHW et al
7KH WZR PDLQ IDFWRUV IRU WKH 5HVRXUFH PRGHO WRQQHV
DUH
5 PLQHJHRORJ\WRQQHV5HVRXUFHPRGHOWRQQHV
5 PLQHJHRORJ\WRQQHV5HVHUYHPRGHOWRQQHV
6LPLODUO\IRUJUDGHWKHWZRPDLQIDFWRUVIRUWKH5HVRXUFH
PRGHOJUDGHDUH
5 PLQHJHRORJ\JUDGH5HVRXUFHPRGHOJUDGH
5 PLQHJHRORJ\JUDGH5HVHUYHPRGHOJUDGH
7KHVH IDFWRUV DUH VLPLODU WR WKH ) IDFWRU RI 3DUNHU
&RQWUROOLPLWVDUHGHQHGIRUWRQQHVDQGJUDGHVIRU5DQG
LQYHVWLJDWLRQV DUH PDGH ZKHQ UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV DUH RXWVLGH
WKH FRQWURO OLPLW SDUWLFXODUO\ LI D FRQVLVWHQW WUHQG KDV EHHQ
SUHVHQWIRUDQXPEHURITXDUWHUV&RQWUROOLPLWVDUHVHWDIWHU
VWDWLVWLFDO DQDO\VLV RI KLVWRULF UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ SHUIRUPDQFH
RYHU TXDUWHUO\ PLQLQJ SHULRGV DQG GHWHUPLQDWLRQ RI ZKDW
GHQHVDVLJQLFDQWUHFRQFLOLDWLRQQRQFRQIRUPDQFH)DFWRUV
DUH FDOFXODWHG IRU YROXPH DQG WRQQHV RI KLJK JUDGH ORZ
JUDGHDQGZDVWHGHQVLW\DQGJUDGHVRILURQVLOLFDDOXPLQD
SKRVSKRUXVDQGLQ0DUUD0DPEDGHSRVLWVPDQJDQHVH
5HFRQFLOLDWLRQVDUHPDGHEHWZHHQWKHQHZEORFNPRGHODQG
PLQHJHRORJ\EORFNRXWVDVWKHUHDUHVHYHUDO\HDUVRIKLVWRULFDO
PLQLQJDW%67KHEORFNPRGHOLVORDGHGWRD0LFURVRIW64/
6HUYHU GDWDEDVH 5HFRQFLOLDWLRQV DUH UXQ XVLQJ DQ LQWHUQDOO\
GHYHORSHG UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ V\VWHP WKDW DFFHVVHV WKH GDWDEDVH
RI EORFN PRGHOV $V EODVWV DUH GHYHORSHG GXULQJ PLQLQJ
WKH EODVW VROLGV DQG PLQH JHRORJ\ EORFNRXWV GLJ EORFNV
DUH DOVR ORDGHG WR WKH GDWDEDVH 7KH PRGHO LV UHFRQFLOHG
ZLWK SURGXFWLRQ DQG GRHV VR EHWWHU WKDQ WKH SUHYLRXV
PRGHO DV LW LV EDVHG RQ DGGLWLRQDO GULOOLQJ LQIRUPDWLRQ DQG
DQ LPSURYHG JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ 6XFK QHZ PRGHOV
FIG 7 - Validation swath plot of iron for the Dales Gorge 1 (DG1) unit showing numbers and grades of samples and blocks by easting.
284
Mineral Resource Estimation of the Brockman 4 Iron Ore Deposit in the Pilbara Region by Rio Tinto Iron Ore|B Sommerville et al
WKHOLVWRIPRGHOVWDNHKROGHUVDQGZKHWKHUWKH\KDYHEHHQ
FRQVXOWHGGXULQJPRGHOOLQJ
SXUSRVHDQGVFRSHRIWKHPRGHO
UDZGDWDTXDOLW\DQGGDWDVHWV
4$4&RIVDPSOLQJDQGDVVD\LQJ
GRZQKROHGDWDLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
JHRORJLFDOPRGHO
YDOLGDWLRQ
GHQVLW\GDWDDQDO\VLV
FRQWLQXLW\DQDO\VLVYLDYDULRJUDSK\
HVWLPDWLRQ SDUDPHWHUV DQG NULJLQJ QHLJKERXUKRRG
DQDO\VLV
HVWLPDWLRQSDUDPHWHUVLQWKH9XOFDQEORFNHVWLPDWLRQOH
UHVRXUFHFODVVLFDWLRQDQGUHVRXUFHVWDWHPHQW
PRGHOVWDQGDUGLVDWLRQDQGUHSRUWLQJ
ORDGLQJ RI PRGHO WR GDWDEDVH IRU UHSRUWLQJ DQG
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
GRFXPHQWDWLRQOHKRXVHNHHSLQJDQGFORVHRII
,Q DGGLWLRQ WR LQWHUQDO SHHU UHYLHZV ZKLFK RFFXU IRU DOO
PRGHOVUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVDUHDOVRVXEMHFWWRH[WHUQDODXGLWV
7KHJURXSDXGLWKDVEHHQHVWDEOLVKHGE\WKH5LR7LQWRERDUG
DVSDUWRIWKHFRUSRUDWHJRYHUQDQFHDVVXUDQFHSURJUDP7KH
JURXS DXGLW SURFHVV HQVXUHV DOO DVSHFWV RI 3XEOLF 5HSRUWLQJ
XQGHUJR DQ LQGHSHQGHQW H[SHUW DXGLW DQG WKLV LQFOXGHV WKH
57,20LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHV
CLASSIFICATION
:KLOH WKH -25& &RGH -25& SURYLGHV WKH PLQLPXP
VWDQGDUG IRU 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV 5LR 7LQWR KDV DGGLWLRQDO
UHTXLUHPHQWV SULRU WR D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH EHLQJ SXEOLVKHG
$W WKH KHDUW RI WKHVH DGGLWLRQDO UHTXLUHPHQWV LV WKH QHHG
WR GHPRQVWUDWH WKDW WKH SURMHFW KDV D SRVLWLYH HFRQRPLF
UHWXUQ XVLQJ ORQJWHUP SULFLQJ IRUHFDVWV 7R GR WKLV LQLWLDO
PLQH GHVLJQV LQFRUSRUDWLQJ JHRWHFKQLFDO NQRZOHGJH DQG
PHWDOOXUJLFDO SHUIRUPDQFH GDWD DUH XVHG WR GHOLYHU D PLQH
VFKHGXOH 7KH VFKHGXOH LV WKHQ XVHG E\ D EXVLQHVV DQDO\VW
DORQJZLWKFXUUHQWRSHUDWLQJFRVWDQGHVWLPDWHGFDSLWDOFRVWV
LQFOXGLQJVXVWDLQLQJFDSLWDOWRGHULYHDQHWSUHVHQWYDOXHIRU
WKHGHSRVLW
7KH FODVVLFDWLRQ SURFHVV IRU 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV ZLWKLQ
57,2XVHVDOOWKHGDWDDQGPRGHOOLQJZRUNXQGHUWDNHQDQG
GHWDLOHGDQDO\VLVRIWKHNH\JHRORJLFDOULVNV,QFODVVLI\LQJWKH
GHSRVLWWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQFRQVLGHUV
MODEL PROGRESSION
$VPXOWLSOHWHDPVDUHLQYROYHGLQWKHHVWLPDWLRQDQGXVHRI
UHVRXUFHPRGHOVDVHULHVRIPRGHOSURJUHVVLRQPHHWLQJVDUH
DUUDQJHG
7KH UVW SURJUHVVLRQ PHHWLQJ RFFXUV EHWZHHQ PHPEHUV
RI WKH UHVRXUFH HYDOXDWLRQ GLYLVLRQ ZKR XQGHUWDNH GULOOLQJ
DQGSUHSDUHWKHJHRORJLFDOPRGHOPHPEHUVRIWKHUHVRXUFH
JHRORJ\GHSDUWPHQWZKRSHUIRUPWKHHVWLPDWHVLWHJHRORJLVWV
PLQLQJHQJLQHHUVDQGWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV'DWDFROOHFWLRQ
GDWDTXDOLW\DQGJHRORJLFDOULVNVDUHGLVFXVVHG
7KHHVWLPDWHGVXEFHOOHGUHVRXUFHPRGHOLVSUHVHQWHGE\WKH
UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ JHRORJLVW DW D PRGHO KDQGRYHU PHHWLQJ
WR PRGHO XVHUV LQFOXGLQJ WKH UHVHUYHV GDWD PDQDJHPHQW
GHSDUWPHQW VLWH JHRORJLVWV PLQLQJ HQJLQHHUV PHWDOOXUJLVWV
DQG VWXG\ PDQDJHUV 7KH IRFXV RI WKH SURJUHVVLRQ LV WKH
RXWFRPHV RI WKH PRGHOOLQJ ZRUN ZKLFK LV LQYDULDEO\
FXVWRPLVHGWRWKHGHSRVLWLQTXHVWLRQ
RESOURCES
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV IRU WKH %6 'HSRVLW DV DW 'HFHPEHU
DUHHVWLPDWHGDW0WDWSHUFHQW)HRI0HDVXUHG
5HVRXUFHV 0W DW SHU FHQW )H RI ,QGLFDWHG5HVRXUFHV
DQG0WDWSHUFHQW)HRI,QIHUUHG5HVRXUFHVIRUDWRWDO
RI0WDWSHUFHQW)H7KH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDUHVWDWHG
DV0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVLQDGGLWLRQWR2UH5HVHUYHVD5LR7LQWR
SROLF\DQGUHSUHVHQWGU\PHWULFWRQQHV7KH2UH5HVHUYHVDUH
HVWLPDWHG WR EH 0W DW SHU FHQW )H 3URYHG 5HVHUYHV
DQG 0W DW SHU FHQW )H RI 3UREDEOH 5HVHUYHV IRU D
WRWDO2UH5HVHUYHRI0WDWSHUFHQW)H2UH5HVHUYHV
DUH GU\ PHWULF WRQQHV RI SURGXFW 7KH VHFWLRQ RI WKH UHSRUW
GHVFULEHVKRZWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDUHHVWLPDWHG
285
CONCLUSIONS
REFERENCES
)RXHW 7 5LVNH 5 0RUOH\ & &RRN $ &RQWL ' DQG &HQWRIDQWL
- 6WDQGDUGLVLQJ WKH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ IDFWRUV UHTXLUHG LQ
JRYHUQDQFHUHSRUWLQJLQProceedings Seventh International Mining
Geology Conference SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHVXSSRUWRI5LR7LQWR,URQ2UHWRSURYLGHWKHUHVRXUFHVWR
SUHSDUHWKLVSDSHUDQGWRDOORZWKHSDSHUWREHSXEOLVKHGLV
JUDWHIXOO\DFNQRZOHGJHG7KHWHFKQLTXHVSUHVHQWHGIRUGDWD
FROOHFWLRQHVWLPDWLRQYDOLGDWLRQDQGUHFRQFLOLDWLRQDUHEDVHG
RQWKHZRUNRIPDQ\5LR7LQWRJHRORJLVWVSDVWDQGSUHVHQW
286
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Principal Consultant, QG Consulting, PO Box 6237, Mitchelton Qld 4053. Email: [email protected]
2. FAusIMM, Vice President Mineral Resources, AngloGold Ashanti, PO Box 6149, Swanbourne WA 6010. Email: [email protected]
3. Adjunct Professor, WH Bryan Mining and Geology Research Centre, The University of Queensland, St Lucia Qld 4072.
4. Adjunct Professor, Centre for Exploration Targeting, The University of Western Australia, Crawley WA 6009.
5. Adjunct Senior Lecturer, School of Civil Environmental and Mining Engineering, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide SA 5000.
6. MAusIMM, National Manager Mining Engineering and Geology, Golder Associates, Level 3, 1 Havelock Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of a this paper was published in Proceedings Iron Ore Conference 2007, pp 67-76 (The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy: Melbourne).
INTRODUCTION
7KHVWUHQJWKVDQGZHDNQHVVHVRIOLQHDUHVWLPDWLRQRUGLQDU\
NULJLQJ QRQOLQHDU HVWLPDWLRQ DQG FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ
DUHGLVFXVVHGLQWKLVSDSHU7KHVHPHWKRGVDUHH[DPLQHGZLWK
UHJDUGWRWKHLUDSSOLFDELOLW\WRGHSRVLWVVXFKDVLURQRUHZKHUH
NH\ YDULDEOHV DUH FRUUHODWHG DQG ZKHUH VXFK FRUUHODWLRQV
PXVW EH KRQRXUHG GXULQJ HVWLPDWLRQ DQG VLPXODWLRQ $OVR
LQWURGXFHGLVDPHWKRGWRGHWHUPLQHZKHQSURJUHVVLQJIURP
OLQHDUWRQRQOLQHDUHVWLPDWLRQRUVLPXODWLRQZLOOPDWHULDOO\
LPSURYH SUHGLFWLRQ RI XOWLPDWH SURGXFWLRQ JUDGHWRQQDJH
UHODWLRQVKLSV
,W LV QRZ JHQHUDOO\ DFFHSWHG SUDFWLFH IRU RUGLQDU\ NULJLQJ
2. WR EH LPSOHPHQWHG DV D PHDQV WR SURGXFH PLQLPXP
FRQGLWLRQDOELDVOLQHDUHVWLPDWHVRIJUDGHV'DYLG.ULJH
0DWKHURQ5DYHQVFURIWDQG$UPVWURQJ
5LYRLUDUG6WLOOPLQLPLVLQJFRQGLWLRQDOELDVKDV
287
VKRUWFRPSDUHGWRGULOOVDPSOHVSDFLQJ7RREWDLQDFFHSWDEOH
JUDGHWRQQDJH FXUYHV LQ WKHVH FLUFXPVWDQFHV LW LV QHFHVVDU\
WR GHULYH WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ RI 608 YDOXHV IURP WKH VDPSOH
GDWD GLVWULEXWLRQ DQG WR GR VR D FKDQJHRIVXSSRUW PRGHO
(PHU\ DQG 7RUUHV LV QHHGHG 7KH NH\ REMHFWLYHV IRU
DQ\FKDQJHRIVXSSRUWPRGHODUH
7KH608DQGVDPSOHVXSSRUWGLVWULEXWLRQVPXVWKDYHWKH
VDPHPHDQ
7KH YDULDQFH RI WKH 608 GLVWULEXWLRQ PXVW EH WKDW
FDOFXODWHGE\.ULJHVUHODWLRQVKLSDOVRFDOOHGWKHYROXPH
YDULDQFHUHODWLRQVKLS.ULJHVUHODWLRQVKLSVWDWHVWKDWWKH
YDULDQFHRIEORFNVLQDGRPDLQLVHTXDOWRWKHYDULDQFHRI
VDPSOHVPLQXVWKHZLWKLQEORFNYDULDQFHZKLFKLVHTXDO
WRWKHDYHUDJHYDOXHRIWKHYDULRJUDPIXQFWLRQZLWKLQWKH
608DQGFDQEHFDOFXODWHGIURPWKHYDULRJUDPPRGHO
&DUWLHUVUHODWLRQVKLSPXVWEHVDWLVHGLH
E>Z(x)|Z(v@ = Z(v)
ZKHUH
x
GHQRWHVDSRLQWDWUDQGRPZLWKLQWKHEORFNv
Multivariate Iron Ore Deposit Resource Estimation A Practitioners Guide to Selecting Methods|C De-Vitry, J Vann and H Arvidson
WKDQZDVDYDLODEOHDWUHVRXUFHGHQLWLRQVWDJHKRZHYHUWKLV
VHOHFWLRQ LV VWLOO PDGH RQ HVWLPDWHV VLQFH WUXH 608 JUDGHV
DUH QRW NQRZQ $OWKRXJK 608 HVWLPDWHV DW JUDGH FRQWURO
VWDJHZLOOEHPRUHSUHFLVHWKDQUHVRXUFHGHQLWLRQHVWLPDWHV
WKH\ZLOOVWLOOEHestimates7KHLQIRUPDWLRQHIIHFWGHVFULEHV
WKHHUURUDQG608PLVFODVVLFDWLRQWKDWUHVXOWVIURPEDVLQJ
PLQLQJVHOHFWLRQRQ608HVWLPDWHVUDWKHUWKDQWUXHYDOXHV
7R WDNH LQIRUPDWLRQ HIIHFW LQWR FRQVLGHUDWLRQ LQ UHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQWKHMRLQWGLVWULEXWLRQRIHVWLPDWHVDQGWUXHJUDGHV
IRU 608V PXVW EH PRGHOOHG )RU IXUWKHU GHWDLOV RQ WKH
LQIRUPDWLRQHIIHFWVHH-RXUQHODQG+XLMEUHJWVDQG5RWK
DQG'HUDLVPH
Free selection
7KH '*0 DVVXPHV IUHH VHOHFWLRQ RI 608V ZLWKLQ D SDQHO
RU LQ RWKHU ZRUGV WKDW DOO 608V DERYH WKH FXWRII FDQ EH
PLQHG UHJDUGOHVV RI WKHLU UHODWLYH ORFDWLRQV ,Q UHDOLW\ WKLV
LVUDUHO\FRPSOHWHO\WUXHIRUH[DPSOHLVRODWHGEORFNVRIRUH
PD\EHGLVSDWFKHGZLWKZDVWHQHYHUWKHOHVVIUHHVHOHFWLRQLV
DUHDVRQDEOHDVVXPSWLRQLQRSHQSLWPLQHVEHFDXVHDOO608V
ZLWKLQ WKH XOWLPDWH SLW VKHOO ZLOO EH PLQHG LUUHVSHFWLYH RI
WKHLUJUDGH
289
DIQHFRUUHFWLRQ
DVVXPSWLRQRIWRWDOGHVNHZLQJLHDVVXPHWKDWWKHEORFNV
DUHQRUPDOO\GLVWULEXWHG
WKH ORJQRUPDO FRUUHFWLRQ /& RU WKH LQGLUHFW ORJQRUPDO
FRUUHFWLRQ,/&RUORJQRUPDOVKRUWFXW
HPSLULFDODSSURDFKHVE\FRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQ
$OOWKHVHJOREDOFKDQJHRIVXSSRUWPRGHOVFDQDOVREHDQG
KDYHEHHQDSSOLHGWRORFDOQRQOLQHDUHVWLPDWLRQWRSURGXFH
ORFDOUHFRYHUDEOHUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWHV7KH\KDYHWKHIROORZLQJ
PDLQFRPPRQDOLWLHV
7KH\OHDYHWKHPHDQXQFKDQJHG
7KH\ DSSO\ D YDULDQFH DGMXVWPHQW f D IDFWRU EHWZHHQ
DQGE\ZKLFKWKHYDULDQFHRIVDPSOHVLVDGMXVWHG7KLV
LVFDOFXODWHGE\WKHUDWLRRIWKHEORFNDQGVDPSOHVWDQGDUG
GHYLDWLRQVREWDLQHGIURP.ULJHVUHODWLRQVKLS
7KH UHVXOWLQJ EORFN GLVWULEXWLRQ PXVW EH OHVV VHOHFWLYH
DJDLQ&DUWLHUVUHODWLRQ
,JQRULQJ FKDQJH RI VXSSRUW DVVXPHV WKDW f LH WKH
YDULDQFHLVXQDIIHFWHGE\VXSSRUWDQGWKLVLVXQWHQDEOHJLYHQ
WKHLQXHQFHRIVXSSRUW
WUDQVIRUPHGWREHVRWKHJUDGHVRIEORFNVDUHDOVRORJQRUPDO
7KLVSHUPDQHQFHDVVXPSWLRQFDQEHVKRZQWREHWKHRUHWLFDOO\
XQYLDEOH VLQFH WKH DYHUDJH RI WZR ORJQRUPDO UDQGRP
YDULDEOHV LV QRW D ORJQRUPDO UDQGRP YDULDEOH KRZHYHU
SHUPDQHQFHLVDUHDVRQDEOHUVWRUGHUDSSUR[LPDWLRQLIWKH
VDPSOHGLVWULEXWLRQLVstrictlyORJQRUPDO&ULWLFDOO\/&GRHV
QRWQHFHVVDULO\SUHVHUYHWKHPHDQDQGWKLVIDXOWFRPSRXQGV
DV WKH VDPSOH GLVWULEXWLRQ GHSDUWV IURP ORJQRUPDOLW\ 1RWH
WKDWDOWKRXJKWKHDVVXPSWLRQVRI/&DUHQRWLQSUDFWLFHPHW
LWLVPRUHUHDOLVWLFWKDQWKHDIQHFRUUHFWLRQLQWKDWLWDOORZV
GHVNHZLQJRIWKHGLVWULEXWLRQ
/&LVXQDFFHSWDEOHLQSUDFWLFHDQGQRWJHQHUDOO\XVHG$V
D UHVXOW WKH PHWKRG ZDV PRGLHG DQG FDOOHG WKH LQGLUHFW
ORJQRUPDOFRUUHFWLRQ
Affine correction
Complete de-skewing
7KLV LV WKH DQWLWKHVLV RI WKH DIQH FRUUHFWLRQ LQ ZKLFK
QRUPDOLW\*DXVVLDQLW\RIWKHEORFNGLVWULEXWLRQLVHQIRUFHG
LH FRPSOHWH GHVNHZLQJ 7KLV DSSURDFK DVVXPHV WKDW WKH
GLVWULEXWLRQ RI EORFNV IROORZV D *DXVVLDQ GLVWULEXWLRQ ZLWK
D YDULDQFH ORZHU WKDQ WKH VDPSOH YDULDQFH DV SUHGLFWHG E\
.ULJHVUHODWLRQVKLS&RPSOHWHGHVNHZLQJLVRQO\FRQFHLYDEOH
LQDQH[WUHPHVLWXDWLRQZKHUHWKHJUDGHVRQVDPSOHVXSSRUWV
DUHIRUSUDFWLFDOSXUSRVHVSXUHQXJJHWRUQRLVHDQGLVQRWLQ
WKHDXWKRUVYLHZDVHQVLEOHPHWKRG
Lognormal correction
7KH ORJQRUPDO FRUUHFWLRQ /& DVVXPHV SHUPDQHQFH RI
ORJQRUPDOLW\'RZG3HUPDQHQFHRIORJQRUPDOLW\
PHDQV WKDW LI WKH JUDGHV RI VDPSOHV DUH ORJQRUPDO RU
290
Multivariate Iron Ore Deposit Resource Estimation A Practitioners Guide to Selecting Methods|C De-Vitry, J Vann and H Arvidson
RI WKH HVWLPDWLRQ DQG WKH JOREDO '*0 WKLV VPDOO GLIIHUHQFH
PD\ QRW EH PHDQLQJIXO LQ VRPH FLUFXPVWDQFHV LW PD\ EH
GXH WR WKH UHODWLYH SUHFLVLRQ RI RXU LQIHUHQFHV (YHQ LI WKLV
YHSHUFHQWLVDUHDOGLIIHUHQFHWKHGDWDTXDOLW\JHRORJLFDO
GRPDLQV GHQVLW\ HWF PD\ KDYH PXFK KLJKHU XQFHUWDLQWLHV
$OWHUQDWLYHO\ LI WKH SURMHFW LV HFRQRPLFDOO\ PDUJLQDO D
YHSHUFHQWGLIIHUHQFHLQPHWDOPD\EHFULWLFDO
)LQDOO\LWVKRXOGEHXQGHUVWRRGWKDWIRUVWXGLHVWKDWUHTXLUH
UHSURGXFWLRQ RI WKH JUDGH YDULDELOLW\ DW 608 VXSSRUW HJ
EHQFKKHLJKWRSWLPLVDWLRQDQGEOHQGLQJRUPXOWLSOHPRGHOV
RI UHDOLW\ HJ ULVN DQDO\VLV LQ SLW RSWLPLVDWLRQ VLPXODWLRQV
DUH PDQGDWRU\ DQG OLQHDU RU QRQOLQHDU NULJHG PRGHOV DUH
XQVXLWDEOH
TABLE 1
BHP Billiton Iron Ore Resource classification reconciliation tolerance guidelines.
Resource class
Measured
Indicated
Inferred
Estimated component
Tonnage
Fe %
1% absolute difference
Tonnage
Fe %
1% absolute difference
1% absolute difference
Tonnage
Fe %
291
THE USE OF DISCRETE GAUSSIAN GLOBAL GRADETONNAGE CURVES AT BHP BILLITON IRON ORE
Resource evaluation procedures
$W WKH FRQFHSW DQG SUHIHDVLELOLW\ OHYHO VLJQLFDQW UHVRXUFH
XQFHUWDLQW\ H[LVWV EHFDXVH UHOLDEOH GULOO KROH GDWD DUH HLWKHU
DEVHQW RU YHU\ EURDGO\ VSDFHG 8QGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH SRVVLEOH
UDQJH RI RXWFRPHV IRU SRRUO\ GULOOHG GHSRVLWV LQFOXGHV
XQGHUVWDQGLQJWKHSRWHQWLDOO\UHFRYHUDEOHUHVRXUFHDVZHOODV
WKHJOREDOWRQQDJHDQGJUDGHUDQJHV
7KH'*0FDQEHXWLOLVHGIRUWZRSXUSRVHV
$V D YDOLGDWLRQ WRRO WR DVVHVV WKH GHJUHH RI VPRRWKLQJ
LQ NULJHG PRGHOV 7KLV LV QRW SURSRVHG DV DQ DEVROXWH
YDOLGDWLRQ EXW UDWKHU D SURFHVV RI FRPSDULVRQ DQG
DVVHVVPHQWRISRWHQWLDOULVNV
'*0 SURYLGHV D UHODWLYHO\ TXLFN DQG FRVWHIIHFWLYH
DOWHUQDWLYHHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRGZKLFKFDQEHFRPSDUHG
WR NULJHG HVWLPDWHV WR XQGHUVWDQG SRWHQWLDO ULVNV LQ
XVLQJWKHNULJHGHVWLPDWH
'*0KDVEHHQXVHGWRFRPSDUDWLYHO\DVVHVVKLVWRULFDO
RUOHJDF\PRGHOVWKDWZHUHW\SLFDOO\GHYHORSHGXVLQJ
VHFWLRQDO SURMHFWLRQ RU LQYHUVH GLVWDQFH ZHLJKWLQJ
LQWHUSRODWLRQPHWKRGV
7RFRPSDUHPRGHOVHOHFWLYLW\WRPLQLQJVHOHFWLYLW\
)RU EHGGHG LURQ RUH GHSRVLWV JOREDO FRQWLQXLW\ RI
JHRORJ\DQGLURQJUDGHLVJHQHUDOO\YHU\KLJKDQGDV
DUHVXOWGULOOVSDFLQJFDQEHZLGHLQFRPSDULVRQWR
WKH608,QVRPHFDVHVGULOOVSDFLQJFDQDSSURDFK
D P ; < SDWWHUQ FRPSDUHG WR DQ 608 RI
P ; < = &RQYHUVHO\ VSDWLDO FRQWLQXLW\
RI FRQWDPLQDQW JUDGHV HJ 6L22 DQG $O223 FDQ EH
YHU\ORZ
6RPHGHSRVLWVKDYHGULOOGDWDWKDWPD\EHP
VSDFHG RU JUHDWHU DQG WKHUHIRUH ODUJH NULJLQJ EORFNV
DUH UHTXLUHG WR UHGXFH FRQGLWLRQDO ELDV 7KLV XVH RI
YHU\ ODUJH NULJLQJ EORFNV KDV WKH GUDZEDFN WKDW LW
GLVWRUWVWKHYLHZRIWKHXOWLPDWHSURGXFWLRQWRQQDJH
JUDGH UHODWLRQVKLSV (YDOXDWLRQ RI WKH UHVRXUFH
SRWHQWLDO EDVHG RQ VXFK FRDUVH NULJHG PRGHOV PD\
UHVXOW LQ PLVJXLGHG FRQFOXVLRQV SDUWLFXODUO\ LQ D
PXOWLSLW EOHQGLQJ VFHQDULR ZKHUH FXWRII JUDGHV LQ
GLIIHUHQW SLWV FRXOG EH FULWLFDO LQ GHQLQJ SURGXFW
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
,QVRPHFDVHVIXUWKHUVWXG\KDVEHHQLQLWLDWHGZKHQ'*0
UHVXOWV KDYH VKRZHG D VLJQLFDQWO\ GLIIHUHQW WRQQDJHJUDGH
UHODWLRQVKLSFRPSDUHGWRWKHNULJHGPRGHO:KLOVWDEVROXWH
FULWHULDKDYHQRWEHHQGHQHGIRUWULJJHULQJWKHXVHRIYDULRXV
QRQOLQHDU HVWLPDWLRQ PHWKRGV WKH DVVHVVPHQW RI '*0
YHUVXVNULJLQJKDVSURPSWHGSLORWVWXGLHVWRXQGHUVWDQGWKH
GLVWULEXWLRQRIRXWFRPHVEDVHGRQGLIIHUHQWPLQLQJVHOHFWLYLW\
VFHQDULRV DV ZHOO DV WDUJHWLQJ RWKHU TXHVWLRQV VXFK DV GULOO
VSDFLQJDQGUHVRXUFHFODVVLFDWLRQ
292
from mining across domain boundaries. Experience in the Pilbara iron ore deposits
indicates that dilution can result in 80 - 95 per cent recovery of tonnes and grade
depending on local geology and mining scenarios.
Multivariate Iron Ore Deposit Resource Estimation A Practitioners Guide to Selecting Methods|C De-Vitry, J Vann and H Arvidson
FIG 1 - Discrete Gaussian model example for domain with high spatial variability of geology and geochemistry.
VFDOH7KLVLVSRVVLEOHEXWWKHORFDWLRQRIRUHDQGZDVWHwithin
SDQHOVUHPDLQVXQNQRZQDQGZLOOUHTXLUHODWHUJUDGHFRQWURO
)RUDGHWDLOHGWHFKQLFDOGHVFULSWLRQRI8&DQGWKHXQGHUO\LQJ
'*0WKHUHDGHULVUHIHUUHGWR*XLEDO5LYRLUDUG
DQG1HXIHOG
Introduction
7KHUVWVWHSIRUD8&HVWLPDWHLVWRSURGXFHOLQHDUXVXDOO\
2.HVWLPDWHVRISDQHOVWKDWKDYHPLQLPLVHGFRQGLWLRQDOELDV
8&WKHQLQYROYHVGHULYLQJWKHORFDOFRQGLWLRQDOGLVWULEXWLRQV
FRQGLWLRQDO WR WKH QHLJKERXULQJ LQIRUPDWLRQ RI 608V
ZLWKLQ WKHVH SDQHOV YLD WKH SUHYLRXVO\ GLVFXVVHG '*0
8QLIRUPFRQGLWLRQLQJFDQEHLPSOHPHQWHGWRDFFRXQWIRUWKH
LQIRUPDWLRQHIIHFW
7KLVVHFWLRQSURYLGHVGHVFULSWLRQVRIHVWLPDWLRQDQGVLPXODWLRQ
PHWKRGRORJLHV WKDW DUH DSSOLFDEOH IRU XVH ZLWK FRUUHODWHG
YDULDEOHVDQGDUHWKXVRISDUWLFXODULQWHUHVWIRUREWDLQLQJQRQ
OLQHDU HVWLPDWHV LQ WKH FDVH RI LURQ RUH 'LVFXVVHG EHORZ DUH
XQLIRUP FRQGLWLRQLQJ 8& DQG YDULRXV LPSOHPHQWDWLRQV RI
FRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQ&60XOWLYDULDWHLPSOHPHQWDWLRQVRI
PXOWLSOHLQGLFDWRUNULJLQJOLNHHVWLPDWRUVDUHSODXVLEOHEXWWR
WKHDXWKRUVNQRZOHGJHWKH\KDYHQRWEHHQSUDFWLFDOO\DSSOLHG
WRUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVLQWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\7KHVHPHWKRGV
DUHQRWGLVFXVVHGIXUWKHULQWKLVSDSHU
7KH PXOWLYDULDWH QRQOLQHDU NULJLQJ HVWLPDWLRQ GLVFXVVHG
IXUWKHU EHORZ LV 8& DUJXDEO\ WKH RQO\ FRPPHUFLDOO\
RSHUDWLYHSUDFWLFDORSWLRQIRUPXOWLYDULDWHQRQOLQHDUNULJLQJ
ZLWK FKDQJH RI VXSSRUW 7KUHH PHWKRGV DUH GLVFXVVHG WKDW
PD\ EH FDQGLGDWHV IRU JHQHUDWLRQ RI QRQOLQHDU UHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWHV YLD D GLUHFW URXWH XVLQJ FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ
)LUVWO\ FRQGLWLRQDO FRVLPXODWLRQ &&6 ZKLFK LQYROYHV
VLPXODWLQJZKLOHWDNLQJLQWRDFFRXQWWKHFRUUHODWLRQEHWZHHQ
YDULDEOHV 7KH UHPDLQLQJ WZR VLPXODWLRQ PHWKRGV LQYROYH
UHPRYLQJWKHFRUUHODWLRQEHWZHHQYDULDEOHVXVLQJPLQPD[
DXWRFRUUHODWLRQ IDFWRUV 0$) RU WKH VWHSZLVH FRQGLWLRQDO
WUDQVIRUP 6&7 EHIRUH SHUIRUPLQJ LQGHSHQGHQW VLPXODWLRQ
RIWKHWUDQVIRUPHGYDULDEOHV
Uniform conditioning
Description of uniform conditioning
7KHDLPRIQRQOLQHDUNULJLQJIRUUHFRYHUDEOHUHVRXUFHVLVWR
HVWLPDWHWRQQHVDQGJUDGHVDVVXPLQJDFHUWDLQ608DWSDQHO
293
Conditional co-simulation
&RQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ DV RXWOLQHG DERYH GHDOV ZLWK D
VLQJOH YDULDEOH ,I LQGHSHQGHQW VLPXODWLRQ RI D PXOWLYDULDWH
GDWD VHW LV SHUIRUPHG HJ FRQWDPLQDQWV LQ DQ LURQ RUH
GHSRVLW WKH UHVXOWLQJ VLPXODWLRQV ZLOO QRW UHSURGXFH DQ\
FRUUHODWLRQV EHWZHHQ YDULDEOHV &RQGLWLRQDO FRVLPXODWLRQ
&&6JHQHUDWHVUHDOLVDWLRQVRIPRUHWKDQRQHYDULDEOHZLWK
WKHDLPRISUHVHUYLQJLQWHUYDULDEOHFRUUHODWLRQV&RQGLWLRQDO
FRVLPXODWLRQ UHTXLUHV FURVVYDULRJUDP PRGHOV IRU DOO SDLUV
RIYDULDEOHVDVZHOODVLQGLYLGXDOYDULRJUDPPRGHOV
(Armstrong and Jabin, 1981) can sometimes be quite restrictive to obtaining models that
are a good fit to the experimental variograms and cross-variograms.
Multivariate Iron Ore Deposit Resource Estimation A Practitioners Guide to Selecting Methods|C De-Vitry, J Vann and H Arvidson
FIG 2 - Examples of problematic bivariate distributions for geostatistical simulation: non-linear relations (left),
mineralogical constraints (centre) and heteroscedasticity (right), from Leuangthong and Deutsch (2003).
GHFUHDVLQJ IRU WKH VHFRQG DQG VXEVHTXHQW YDULDEOHV 7KH
SURFHVVRIVLPXODWLRQXVLQJ6&7LVGLVFXVVHGLQPRUHGHWDLO
LQWKH$SSHQGL[
7KH6&7SURFHVVKDVWKHDGYDQWDJHRIEHLQJUHODWLYHO\VLPSOH
WR LPSOHPHQW DQG XQGHUVWDQG 8QOLNH FRQYHQWLRQDO &&6
WKH 6&7 UHPRYHV DOO FRUUHODWLRQV EHWZHHQ YDULDEOHV EHIRUH
VLPXODWLRQ PDNLQJ WKH WHFKQLTXH EHWWHU DW KDQGOLQJ WKH
SUREOHPDWLF FRUUHODWLRQV WKDW DUH QRW ZHOO VXPPDULVHG E\
OLQHDU FRUUHODWLRQ FRHIFLHQWV )LJXUH 7KH 6&7 DSSURDFK
WKXV PDNHV PRGHOOLQJ RI H[SHULPHQWDO YDULRJUDPV DQG
VLPXODWLRQ IDVWHU WKDQ FRQYHQWLRQDO &&6 EHFDXVH FURVV
YDULRJUDPVDQGFRNULJLQJDUHQRWUHTXLUHG
$OWKRXJK WKH 6&7 UHPRYHV DQ\ FRUUHODWLRQ DW D ODJ RI
]HUR WKHUH LV QR JXDUDQWHH WKDW YDULDEOHV DUH GHFRUUHODWHG
DWODJVJUHDWHUWKDQ]HUR&RQVHTXHQWO\EHIRUHFRPPHQFLQJ
VLPXODWLRQ WKH FURVVYDULRJUDP PRGHOV RI WKH WUDQVIRUPHG
YDULDEOHV VKRXOG EH H[DPLQHG WR FRQUP WKDW WKHUH LV QR
FRUUHODWLRQEHWZHHQYDULDEOHVDWODJVJUHDWHUWKDQ]HUR
$V GLVFXVVHG DERYH WKH UHSURGXFWLRQ RI WKH YDULRJUDP
DQG WKH FRUUHODWLRQV EHWZHHQ YDULDEOHV LV EHVW IRU WKH UVW
RUSULPDU\YDULDEOHDQGWKHUHSURGXFWLRQTXDOLW\GHFUHDVHV
IRU WKH VHFRQG DQG VXEVHTXHQW YDULDEOHV 7KLV OHDGV WR DQ
DGGLWLRQDO GUDZEDFN RI 6&7 WKDW WKHUH LV QR JXDUDQWHH
WKDW PRGHOOHG FURVVYDULRJUDPV ZLOO EH UHSURGXFHG LQ WKH
UHDOLVDWLRQVJHQHUDWHG)LQDOO\WKHWRWDOQXPEHURIVDPSOHVLQ
DGRPDLQSUDFWLFDOO\OLPLWVWKHQXPEHURIYDULDEOHVWKDWFDQEH
WUDQVIRUPHGWRWZRRUWKUHH%HFDXVHRIWKHVWHSZLVHSURFHVV
LQYROYHG WKH QXPEHU RI YDULDEOHV WKDW FDQ EH WUDQVIRUPHG
XVLQJ WKH 6&7 SURFHVV LV SUDFWLFDOO\ OLPLWHG E\ WKH QXPEHU
RI VDPSOHV WKDW PXVW EH VXEMHFWHG WR WKH WUDQVIRUP 7KH
PRUH GDWD ZH KDYH LQ D GRPDLQ WKH PRUH YDULDEOHV FDQ EH
GHDOW ZLWK 0DQ\ LURQ RUH GHSRVLWV KDYH D ODUJH QXPEHU RI
GRPDLQV UHVXOWLQJ LQ PDQ\ GRPDLQV KDYLQJ UHODWLYHO\ IHZ
VDPSOHVOLPLWLQJWKHQXPEHURIYDULDEOHVWRWZRRUWKUHHWKDW
FDQ EH FRQVLGHUHG 6LQFH ZH QHHG WR HVWLPDWH YH WR VL[ RU
PRUHYDULDEOHVLQPRVWSUDFWLFDOVLWXDWLRQVWKLVLVDYHU\UHDO
OLPLWDWLRQRI6&7IRULURQRUH
7KLVZRXOGEHDOLPLWDWLRQIRUPRVWLURQGHSRVLWVEHFDXVH
PDQ\GHSRVLWVKDYHDODUJHQXPEHURIGRPDLQVUHVXOWLQJLQ
PDQ\GRPDLQVKDYLQJUHODWLYHO\IHZVDPSOHV7KLVSUREOHP
LV IXUWKHU FRPSRXQGHG EHFDXVH LURQ RUH GHSRVLWV W\SLFDOO\
KDYHPDQ\FRUUHODWHGYDULDEOHVWKDWPXVWEHVLPXODWHG
8QOLNH&&6WKLVPHWKRGLV\HWWREHZLGHO\XVHGIRUPLQLQJ
DSSOLFDWLRQV DQG PRUH FDVH VWXGLHV DUH UHTXLUHG WR EXLOG
LQGXVWU\FRQGHQFHLQWKHPHWKRG
([FHSWIRUDIDFWRUWUDQVIRUPDWLRQPLQPD[DXWRFRUUHODWLRQ
IDFWRUV 0$) LV LPSOHPHQWHG LQ WKH VDPH ZD\ DV D
W\SLFDO JHRVWDWLVWLFDO *DXVVLDQ VLPXODWLRQ 'HVEDUDWV DQG
'LPLWUDNRSRXORV 7KH 0$) WUDQVIRUP UHPRYHV WKH
FRUUHODWLRQ EHWZHHQ YDULDEOHV XVLQJ DQ DSSURDFK EDVHG RQ
SULQFLSDOFRPSRQHQWVDQDO\VLV3&$DQGZDVGHYHORSHGE\
6ZLW]HUDQG*UHHQ
3&$ LV D PXOWLYDULDWH VWDWLVWLFDO DSSURDFK WKDW DLPV WR
LGHQWLI\ WKH OHDVW QXPEHU RI FRPELQHG YDULDEOHV IDFWRUV
WKDWFDQH[SODLQDGDWDVHW)RUDPRUHFRPSOHWHGLVFXVVLRQRI
IDFWRUDQDO\VLVWKHUHDGHULVUHIHUUHGWR'DYLVRU+DLU
et al
3&$ OLNH 6&7 GHFRUUHODWHV YDULDEOHV WKDW DUH FRORFDWHG
LHRFFXUDWWKHVDPHORFDWLRQ9DULDEOHVDWGLIIHUHQWORFDWLRQV
DUH QRW QHFHVVDULO\ GHFRUUHODWHG )RU H[DPSOH WKH FURVV
YDULRJUDP RI WKH IDFWRUV IRU ]HUR ODJ PD\ VKRZ ]HUR
FRUUHODWLRQEXWVWLOOUHYHDOQRQ]HURFRUUHODWLRQVIRUODJVQRW
HTXDO WR ]HUR ,Q 0$) WKH GHFRUUHODWLRQ QRW RQO\ RFFXUV DW
ODJ]HUREXWDOVRDWDGLVWDQFHLQSXWE\WKHXVHU7KLVGLVWDQFH
VKRXOG EH VPDOO DQG URXJKO\ FRUUHVSRQG WR WKH DYHUDJH
VDPSOHVSDFLQJ'LGLHU
7KHSURFHVVRIVLPXODWLRQXVLQJ0$)LVVXPPDULVHGLQWKH
$SSHQGL[
295
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KLVSDSHULVEDVHGRQDSUHYLRXVSDSHU'H9LWU\9DQQDQG
$UYLGVRQ FRYHULQJ WKH VDPH VXEMHFW PDWWHU EXW KDV
EHHQ VLJQLFDQWO\ UHZULWWHQ DQG XSGDWHG 6FRWW -DFNVRQ LV
WKDQNHGIRUKLVLQSXWLQWRWKHVHFWLRQVRIWKDWSDSHURXWOLQLQJ
DOWHUQDWLYHV WR WKH '*0 DQG WKH VHFWLRQ RQ FRQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQDQGIRUKLVWKRURXJKUHYLHZRIWKHUHYLVHGYHUVLRQ
RIWKHSDSHUDSSHDULQJKHUH7KHRULJLQDOSDSHUEHQHWHGIURP
UHYLHZVE\$QGUHZ%DLOH\%+3%LOOLWRQ$QWKRQ\:HVVRQ
%+3 %LOOLWRQ ,DQ $VKE\ %+3 %LOOLWRQ DQG 0LNH -RE 4*
&RQVXOWLQJ&RPPHQWVRQWKDWSDSHUIURPRQHDQRQ\PRXV
$XV,00 UHYLHZHU ZHUH DOVR KHOSIXO 7KH DXWKRUV ZRXOG
QDOO\ OLNH WR WKDQN %+3 %LOOLWRQ IRU SHUPLVVLRQ WR SXEOLVK
WKLVZRUN
REFERENCES
$E]DORY 0 = /RFDOLVHG XQLIRUP FRQGLWLRQLQJ /8& D QHZ
DSSURDFK IRU GLUHFW PRGHOOLQJ RI VPDOO EORFNV Mathematical
Geology
$UPVWURQJ 0 DQG -DELQ 5 9DULRJUDP PRGHOV PXVW EH
SRVLWLYHGHQLWHMathematical Geology
&DHUV-$GGLQJORFDODFFXUDF\WRGLUHFWVHTXHQWLDOVLPXODWLRQ
Mathematical Geology
&KLOHV - 3 DQG 'HOQHU 3 Geostatistics: Modelling Spatial
UncertaintyS:LOH\,QWHU6FLHQFH1HZ<RUN
'DYLG0*HRVWDWLVWLFDO2UH5HVHUYH(VWLPDWLRQ'HYHORSPHQWVLQ
*HRPDWKHPDWLFV(OVHYLHU$PVWHUGDP
'DYLV-&Statistics and Data Analysis in GeologyVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
S-RKQ:LOH\DQG6RQV1HZ<RUN
'HUDLVPH - 5LYRLUDUG - DQG &DUUDVFR &DVWHOOL 3 &
0XOWLYDULDWH XQLIRUP FRQGLWLRQLQJ DQG EORFN VLPXODWLRQV ZLWK
GLVFUHWH*DXVVLDQPRGHODSSOLFDWLRQWR&KXTXLFDPDWDGHSRVLW
in Proceedings Eighth International Geostatistics Congress (Geostats
HGV-02UWL]DQG;(PHU\SS6SULQJHU9HUODJ
Multivariate Iron Ore Deposit Resource Estimation A Practitioners Guide to Selecting Methods|C De-Vitry, J Vann and H Arvidson
.ULJH'*$SUDFWLFDODQDO\VLVRIWKHHIIHFWVRIVSDWLDOVWUXFWXUH
DQG RI GDWD DYDLODEOH DQG DFFHVVHG RQ FRQGLWLRQDO ELDVHV LQ
RUGLQDU\ NULJLQJ LQ 3URFHHGLQJV )LIWK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO *HRVWDWLVWLFDO
CongressHGV(<%DDDQG1$6FKRHOGSS.OXZHU
$FDGHPLF3XEOLVKHUV
.ULJH ' * %ORFN NULJLQJ DQG WKH IDOODF\ RI HQGHDYRXULQJ
WR UHGXFH RU HOLPLQDWH VPRRWKLQJ .H\QRWH DGGUHVV 6HFRQG
5HJLRQDO$SSOLFDWLRQRI&RPSXWHUVDQG2SHUDWLRQV5HVHDUFKLQ
WKH0LQHUDO,QGXVWU\$3&206\PSRVLXP$XJXVW
.ULJH ' * DQG $VVLEH\%RQVX : /HWWHU WR WKH HGLWRU
FRPPHQW RQ &RUUHFWLQJ WKH VPRRWKLQJ HIIHFW RI HVWLPDWRUV
D VSHFWUDO SRVWSURFHVVRU E\ $ * -RXUQDO 3 & .\ULDNLGLV DQG
60DRMathematical Geology
.ULJH'*$VVLEH\%RQVX:DQG7ROPD\/3RVWSURFHVVLQJ
RI6.HVWLPDWRUVDQGVLPXODWLRQVIRUDVVHVVPHQWRIUHFRYHUDEOH
UHVRXUFHV DQG UHVHUYHV IRU 6RXWK $IULFDQ JROG PLQHV LQ
Proceedings Seventh International Geostatistical CongressHGV2<
/HXDQJWKRQJDQG&9'HXWVFKSS6SULQJHU
/DQWXHMRXO & 2Q WKH LPSRUWDQFH RI FKRRVLQJ D FKDQJH RI
VXSSRUW PRGHO IRU JOREDO UHVHUYHV HVWLPDWLRQ Mathematical
Geology
(PHU\;9DULRJUDPVRIRUGHUZDWRROWRYDOLGDWHDELYDULDWH
GLVWULEXWLRQPRGHOMathematical Geology
(PHU\;DQG7RUUHV)670RGHOVIRUVXSSRUWDQGLQIRUPDWLRQ
HIIHFWVDFRPSDUDWLYHVWXG\Mathematical Geology
/HXDQJWKRQJ23HUVRQDOFRPPXQLFDWLRQ0D\
'RZG3$/RJQRUPDONULJLQJWKHJHQHUDOFDVHMathematical
Geology
297
5RVVL0(DQG3DUNHU+0(VWLPDWLQJUHFRYHUDEOHUHVHUYHV
LV LW KRSHOHVV" LQ Geostatistics for the Next Century HG 5
'LPLWUDNRSRXORVSS.OXZHU$FDGHPLF
5RWK&DQG'HUDLVPH-7KHLQIRUPDWLRQHIIHFWDQGHVWLPDWLQJ
UHFRYHUDEOHUHVHUYHVLQProceedings Sixth International Geostatistics
&RQJUHVV*HRVWDWLVWLFVHGV:-.OHLQJHOGDQG'*.ULJH
SS*HRVWDWLVWLFDO$VVRFLDWLRQRI6RXWKHUQ$IULFD&DSH
7RZQ
6DQJXLQHWWL + 6KULYDVWDYD 3 'HUDLVPH - *XLEDO ' DQG
+XPSKUH\V 0 &RQWURO RI SURGXFW YDULDELOLW\ LQ D ODUJH
RSHQSLWLURQPLQHLQ3URFHHGLQJV)RXUWK/DUJH2SHQ3LW0LQLQJ
ConferenceSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
6KLEOL6$5*HRVWDWLVWLFV)$4IUHTXHQWO\DVNHGTXHVWLRQV
>RQOLQH@ S $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZDLJHRVWDWVRUJ
ELQYLHZ$,B*(267$76:HE+RPH! >$FFHVVHG )HEUXDU\
@
6ZLW]HU3DQG*UHHQ$$0LQPD[DXWRFRUUHODWLRQIDFWRUVIRU
PXOWLYDULDWHVSDWLDOLPDJHU\7HFKQLFDOUHSRUWQR'HSDUWPHQW
RI6WDWLVWLFV6WDQIRUG8QLYHUVLW\
9DQQ-DQG*XLEDO'%H\RQGRUGLQDU\NULJLQJDQRYHUYLHZ
RI QRQOLQHDU HVWLPDWLRQ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice HG$&(GZDUGV
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
9DQQ-*XLEDO'DQG+DUOH\00XOWLSOHLQGLFDWRUNULJLQJLV
LWVXLWHGWRP\GHSRVLW"LQ3URFHHGLQJV)RXUWK,QWHUQDWLRQDO0LQLQJ
Geology ConferenceSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
9DQQ - -DFNVRQ 6 DQG %HUWROL 2 4XDQWLWDWLYH NULJLQJ
QHLJKERXUKRRGDQDO\VLVIRUWKHPLQLQJJHRORJLVWDGHVFULSWLRQ
RI WKH PHWKRG ZLWK ZRUNHG H[DPSOHV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV )LIWK
International Mining Geology Conference HG 6 'RPLQ\ SS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
9DQQ - DQG 6DQV + *OREDO UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ DQG FKDQJH
RI VXSSRUW DW WKH (QWHUSULVH JROG PLQH 3LQH &UHHN 1RUWKHUQ
7HUULWRU\ DSSOLFDWLRQ RI WKH JHRVWDWLVWLFDO GLVFUHWH *DXVVLDQ
PRGHO LQ Proceedings Application of Computers and Operations
Research in Minerals Industries (APCOM) XXV ConferenceSS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
<HDWHV * DQG +RGVRQ ' 5HVRXUFH FODVVLFDWLRQ NHHSLQJ
WKHHQGLQVLJKWLQProceedings Sixth International Mining Geology
ConferenceHG6'RPLQ\SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
APPENDIX
Description of simulation using the stepwise
conditional transform
7KH VWHSV IRU VLPXODWLRQ XVLQJ WKH VWHSZLVH FRQGLWLRQDO
WUDQVIRUP6&7DUH/HXDQJWKRQJ et al
GHFOXVWHUGDWDWRREWDLQUHSUHVHQWDWLYHGLVWULEXWLRQV
GHWHUPLQHWKHRUGHURIYDULDEOHVIRUWUDQVIRUPDWLRQ
DSSO\WKH6&7WRHDFKYDULDEOHLQWKHGHWHUPLQHGRUGHULQ
RUGHUWRUHPRYHWKHFRUUHODWLRQEHWZHHQYDULDEOHV
FDOFXODWH DQG PRGHO H[SHULPHQWDO YDULRJUDPV RI WKH
WUDQVIRUPHGGDWD
298
LQGHSHQGHQWO\VLPXODWHWKHWUDQVIRUPHGYDULDEOHV
EDFNWUDQVIRUP WKH VLPXODWHG YDOXHV E\ SHUIRUPLQJ WKH
6&7LQUHYHUVH
YDOLGDWHWKHVLPXODWLRQUHVXOWV
7KH 6&7 WUDQVIRUP LV GHVFULEHG EHORZ ZLWK DQ H[DPSOH
ZKHUH )H LV WKH SULPDU\ YDULDEOH 6L22 WKH VHFRQGDU\ DQG
Al223 WKH WHUWLDU\ ,URQ LV WUDQVIRUPHG )LJXUHV $D DQG
$EVLPXODWHGDQGEDFNWUDQVIRUPHGLQWKHVDPHZD\DVD
VWDQGDUG&6DVGHVFULEHGDERYH
7KH WUDQVIRUPDWLRQ RI 6L22 LV GHSHQGHQW FRQGLWLRQDO RQ
WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ RI )H 7DNH WKH VFDWWHUSORW EHWZHHQ )H DQG
6L22 UHSUHVHQWHG LQ )LJXUH $F ZKHUH )H LV GLYLGHG LQWR
TXDUWLOHV /HXDQJWKRQJ DQG 'HXWVFK VXJJHVW WKDW
WHQFODVVHVDUHJHQHUDOO\VXIFLHQWKRZHYHULQWKLVFDVHIRU
WKH SXUSRVH RI LOOXVWUDWLRQ TXDUWLOHV KDYH EHHQ FKRVHQ WR
VLPSOLI\WKHJUDSKLFDOUHSUHVHQWDWLRQ7KHVHFRQGDU\YDULDEOH
6L22FDQWKHQEHFODVVLHGDFFRUGLQJWR)HTXDUWLOHV$OOWKH
6L22VDPSOHVZLWKLQ)HTXDUWLOHRQH)LJXUH$F4FDQEH
WUDQVIRUPHGWRD*DXVVLDQGLVWULEXWLRQ)LJXUH$GDQG$H
7KLVVWHSLVUHSHDWHGIRUWKH6L22VDPSOHVZLWKLQ)HTXDUWLOH
WZRDQGVRRQXQWLOWKHUHDUHIRXU*DXVVLDQGLVWULEXWLRQVRI
6L227KHVHIRXUGLVWULEXWLRQVDUHWKHQUHFRPELQHGWRREWDLQ
DVLQJOH*DXVVLDQGLVWULEXWLRQ7KLV*DXVVLDQGLVWULEXWLRQRI
6L22LVXQFRUUHODWHGWRWKH*DXVVLDQGLVWULEXWLRQIRU)H7KH
YDULDEOHVWUDQVIRUPHGLQWKLVPDQQHUFDQWKXVEHVLPXODWHG
LQGHSHQGHQWO\
7R WUDQVIRUP $O223 WKH VDPSOHV IURP )LJXUH $F TXDUWLOH
RQHDUHWDNHQDQGWKHSURFHGXUHGHVFULEHGDERYHLVUHSHDWHG
)LJXUHV$I$JDQG$K7KLVLVDJDLQUHSHDWHGIRUTXDUWLOHV
WZR WKUHH DQG IRXU WKHQ DOO WKH *DXVVLDQ GLVWULEXWLRQV
LQ WKLV FDVH FRPSDUHG WR DERYH IRU 6L22 DUH
UHFRPELQHGLQWRDVLQJOH*DXVVLDQGLVWULEXWLRQ7KHNH\SRLQW
KHUH LV WKDW $O223 KDV IHZHU FRPSDUHG WR 6L22 VDPSOHV LQ
HDFK FODVV ZKHQ *DXVVLDQ WUDQVIRUPV DUH PDGH 7KXV WKH
WRWDO QXPEHU RI VDPSOHV IRU WKH SULPDU\ YDULDEOH OLPLWV WKH
QXPEHU RI YDULDEOHV WKDW FDQ EH WUDQVIRUPHG /HXDQJWKRQJ
UHFRPPHQGVDPLQLPXPRIWHQWRVDPSOHVSHUFODVV
ZKLFKZLOOSHUPLWGLVWULEXWLRQLQIHUHQFHDOEHLWDFRDUVHDQG
LQDFFXUDWHRQH
Multivariate Iron Ore Deposit Resource Estimation A Practitioners Guide to Selecting Methods|C De-Vitry, J Vann and H Arvidson
FIG A1 - An example of the stepwise conditional transform for Fe, SiO2 and Al2O3. Transformation of (A) the raw primary variable to (B) Gaussian; (C) dividing the
primary variable into quartiles; (Q1 C) transforming the SiO2 distribution from (D) raw to (E) Gaussian; (F) dividing the secondary variable into quartiles; and (Q1 F)
transforming the Al2O3 distribution from (G) raw to (H) Gaussian.
299
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Chief Resource Geologist, AngloGold Ashanti Australia, Level 13, 44 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM, Manager Mine Geology Tropicana Gold Mine, AngloGold Ashanti Australia, Level 13, 44 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
3. Chief Geologist, AngloGold Ashanti Australia, Level 13, 44 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
4. MAusIMM, General Manager Tropicana Gold Mine, AngloGold Ashanti Australia, Level 13, 44 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
5. Superintendent: Mine Geology Tropicana Gold Mine, AngloGold Ashanti Australia, Level 13, 44 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
6. MAusIMM, Manager: Exploration and Projects Tropicana Gold Mine, AngloGold Ashanti Australia, Level 13, 44 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
7. Principal Geologist Advanced Projects, Independence Group NL, Suite 4, Level 5, South Shore Centre, 85 South Perth Esplanade, South Perth WA 6151. Email: [email protected]
8. FAusIMM, Vice President Mineral Resources, AngloGold Ashanti, PO Box 6149, Swanbourne WA 6010. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7URSLFDQD LV DQ XQLQFRUSRUDWHG MRLQW YHQWXUH -9 EHWZHHQ
$QJOR*ROG$VKDQWL$XVWUDOLD/LPLWHG SHUFHQWPDQDJHU
DQG,QGHSHQGHQFH*URXS1/ SHUFHQW7KHMRLQWYHQWXUH
HQFRPSDVVHVDWRWDOWHQXUHDUHDRIDSSUR[LPDWHO\NP
ORFDWHGRYHUDGLVWDQFHRIDSSUR[LPDWHO\NPRQWKHVRXWK
HDVWHUQPDUJLQRIWKH<LOJDUQ&UDWRQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
301
EXPLORATION HISTORY
$QJOR*ROG$VKDQWL$XVWUDOLD/LPLWHG$*$$HQWHUHGLQWR
D MRLQW YHQWXUH -9 ZLWK ,QGHSHQGHQFH *URXS 1/ ,*2
LQ 7KH PDLQ H[SORUDWLRQ WDUJHW RI LQWHUHVW ZDV DQ
XQWHVWHG JROGLQVRLO DQRPDO\ HYLGHQW LQ KLVWRULFDO :HVWHUQ
0LQLQJ&RUSRUDWLRQ:0&GDWDUHSRUWHGLQ'HSDUWPHQWRI
,QGXVWU\ DQG 5HVRXUFHV QRZ 'HSDUWPHQW RI 0LQHUDOV DQG
3HWUROHXP RSHQ OH UHSRUWV 5HFRQQDLVVDQFHRI WKH DUHDE\
$QJOR*ROG$VKDQWLJHRVFLHQWLVWVLGHQWLHGSRVVLEOHLURQVWRQH
RXWFURSVWRNPQRUWKRIWKH7URSLFDQDGHSRVLW7KLVOHG
WR WKH LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RI WKH DUHD DV DQ HQFODYH RI $UFKDHDQ
JUHHQVWRQHZLWKLQWKHPRELOH]RQHRIWKH3URWHUR]RLF$OEDQ\
)UD]HUEHOW7KHDUHDZDVFRQVLGHUHGSURVSHFWLYHIRUGHSRVLWV
ZLWK<LOJDUQORGHJROGVW\OHDIQLWLHV6XEVHTXHQWZRUNKDV
VKRZQ WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LV GLVWLQFWO\ GLIIHUHQW WR <LOJDUQ
JROG GHSRVLWV 'R\OH .HQGDOO DQG *LEEV 'R\OH et al
.HQGDOO'R\OHDQG*LEEV%OHQNLQVRSDQG'R\OH
VXEPLWWHG
%URDGVSDFHGUVWSDVVDLUFRUHGULOOLQJNPPLQ
ODWH RYHU WKH SHDN RI WKH :0& VRLO DQRPDO\ UHWXUQHG
VHYHUDOHQFRXUDJLQJUHVXOWVLQFOXGLQJPDWJWJROGDQG
P DW JW 'XH WR EXGJHW FRQVWUDLQWV RQO\ OLPLWHG DLU
FRUHGULOOLQJZDVFDUULHGRXWLQKRZHYHUUHVXOWV
IURP WKLV ZRUN ZHUH FRQVLGHUHG HQFRXUDJLQJ HQRXJK WR
MXVWLI\GULOOLQJYHGLDPRQGKROHVLQODWH7KHEHVWUHVXOW
IURPWKLVGLDPRQGSURJUDPZDVPDWJW)ROORZXS
GLDPRQG GULOOLQJ LQ PLG IRFXVHG RQ WDUJHWLQJ DUHDV RI
VLJQLFDQW DLU FRUH UHVXOWV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK PDJQHWLF ORZV
2I WKH YH KROHV GULOOHG LQ WKLV SURJUDP WKUHH LQWHUVHFWHG
VLJQLFDQW PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZLWK VWDQGRXW UHVXOWV RI P DW
JWDQGPDWJW
7KHVH UHVXOWV LQGLFDWHG WKDW VLJQLFDQW KLJKHUJUDGH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQLVSUHVHQWDW7URSLFDQDDQGOHGWRDUDPSXSLQ
GULOOLQJZLWKDUHYHUVHFLUFXODWLRQ5&ULJVWDUWLQJLQ2FWREHU
%\WKHHQGRIVLJQLFDQWPLQHUDOLVDWLRQKDGEHHQ
LGHQWLHG LQ EURDGVSDFHG 5& DQG GLDPRQG GULOOLQJ RYHU D
VWULNHOHQJWKRINP
$LUFRUHGULOOLQJRQPPFHQWUHVLQWKHUVWTXDUWHU
RI LGHQWLHG WKH +DYDQD ]RQH NP WR WKH VRXWK RI
7URSLFDQD )ROORZXS 5& DQG GLDPRQG GULOOLQJ RQ D P
P VSDFHG SDWWHUQ LGHQWLHG SRWHQWLDOO\ HFRQRPLF
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQRYHUDNPVWULNHOHQJWK)XUWKHUGULOOLQJRI
WKH SURMHFW LGHQWLHG WKH +DYDQD 6RXWK DQG %RVWRQ 6KDNHU
]RQHVWRWKHVRXWKDQGQRUWKUHVSHFWLYHO\7KHVHGLVFRYHULHV
KDYH H[WHQGHG WKH VWULNH OHQJWK RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DW
7URSLFDQD WR DSSUR[LPDWHO\ NP 6XEVHTXHQW LQOO GULOOLQJ
KDVLGHQWLHGVHYHUDOKLJKHUJUDGHVKRRWVDWHDFKRIWKH]RQHV
7KHSURMHFWKDVEHHQVXEMHFWWRDQXPEHURIVWXGLHVOHDGLQJ
XS WR SURMHFW DSSURYDO HDFK EDVHG RQ D SURJUHVVLYHO\
LQFUHDVHG GHQVLW\ DQG H[WHQW RI GULOOLQJ $Q LQLWLDO 6FRSLQJ
6WXG\ ZDV IROORZHG E\ WZR SKDVHV RI 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ DQ
LQLWLDO3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\3)6IROORZHGE\DQ(QKDQFHG
3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\(3)6WRUHQHSURFHVVLQJRSWLRQVDQG
LPSURYHSURMHFWHFRQRPLFVZLWKDQLQFUHDVHGUHVRXUFHEDVH
7KHSURMHFWZDVDSSURYHGIRUFRQVWUXFWLRQLQ1RYHPEHU
DIWHU WKH UHVXOWV RI D %DQNDEOH )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ %)6 ZHUH
UHOHDVHG
REGIONAL GEOLOGY
7KH 7URSLFDQD *ROG 3URMHFW DUHD OLHV HDVW RI D QRUWKHDVW
WUHQGLQJPDJQHWLFIHDWXUHLQWHUSUHWHGWREHWKHPDMRUWHFWRQLF
302
MINERALISATION
7KH7URSLFDQD'HSRVLWKDVDFXUUHQWO\NQRZQVWULNHOHQJWK
RI DSSUR[LPDWHO\ NP DQG GHQHV D QRUWKHDVWWUHQGLQJ
PLQHUDOLVHG FRUULGRU DSSUR[LPDWHO\ NP ZLGH 7KH
GHSRVLW FRPSULVHV IRXU NQRZQ PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV 7KH\
DUHIURPQRUWKWRVRXWK%RVWRQ6KDNHU7URSLFDQD+DYDQD
LQFOXGLQJ +DYDQD 'HHSV DQG +DYDQD 6RXWK )LJXUH
7KH GHSRVLW LV ORFDWHG ZLWKLQ D PRUH VWULNHH[WHQVLYH
PLQHUDOLVHG V\VWHP WKDW H[WHQGV IRU DW OHDVW NP 7KH
PLQHUDOLVHG]RQHVDUHODWHUDOO\H[WHQVLYHVHYHUDONLORPHWUHV
LQVWULNHOHQJWKDQGUDQJHLQWKLFNQHVVIURPDIHZPHWUHVWR
PWUXHWKLFNQHVV
7KH PLQHUDO GHSRVLW LV KRVWHG ZLWKLQ D VHTXHQFH RI
TXDUW]RIHOGVSDWKLF DQG JDUQHWEHDULQJ JQHLVV XQLWV ZLWK
DPSKLEROLWHV JUDQXOLWHV PHWDVHGLPHQWDU\ FKHUWV DQG
SHJPDWLWHV )LJXUH 7KH PLQHUDO DVVHPEODJHV LPSO\
PHWDPRUSKLVP DW DPSKLEROLWH WR ORZHU JUDQXOLWH IDFLHV
WHPSHUDWXUHVDQGSUHVVXUHV7KHSUHVHQFHRIWKLQSHJPDWRLGDO
EDQGV WKDW DUH ERWK IROGHG ZLWK QHUJUDLQHG JQHLVV DQG
LQWUXGH WUDQVSRVHG D[LDO SODQHV RI LVRFOLQDOV IROGV VXJJHVWV
WKHSHJPDWLWHIDFLHVIRUPHGE\SDUWLDOPHOWLQJGXULQJSHDN
PHWDPRUSKLVP FRQFXUUHQW ZLWK WKH UVW GHIRUPDWLRQ HYHQW
UHFRUGHG DW 7URSLFDQD %OHQNLQVRS DQG 'R\OH VXEPLWWHG
7KH PLQHUDO GHSRVLW DQG LPPHGLDWH KRVW URFNV DUH ORFDOO\
FURVVFXW E\ EDUUHQ EDVDOW DQG GROHULWH G\NHV WKDW DUH
LQWHUSUHWHGDVSDUWRIWKHFD0D*QRZDQJHUXS)UDVHU
'\NH6XLWH'R\OH.HQGDOODQG*LEEV
7KHJDUQHWJQHLVVIDFLHVDVVRFLDWLRQGRPLQDWHVWKHLPPHGLDWH
KDQJLQJ ZDOO RI WKH PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV &KHUW DQG IRUPHU
IHUUXJLQRXVFKHUWXQLWVPHWDVHGLPHQWDU\IDFLHVDVVRFLDWLRQ
DUH LQWHUOHDYHG ZLWK WKH JDUQHW JQHLVV ORFDOO\ RFFXU DW WKH
EDVHRIWKHVWUDWLJUDSKLFKRUL]RQDQGFDQEHWUDFHGWKURXJK
PXOWLSOHRUHEORFNVLQUHFHQWRSHQSLWH[SRVXUHV,QWHUYDOVRI
Tropicana Gold Mine, Western Australia A Case Study of Non-Linear Mineral Resource Estimation| M Kent et al
RI WKH IRRWZDOO SDFNDJH LV WDNHQ DV WKH UVW DSSHDUDQFH RI
JDUQHWJQHLVVDPSKLEROLWHRUJUDQXOLWH
7KH PLQHUDOLVHG ORGHV FRPSULVH PXOWLSOH VWDFNHG KLJKHU
JUDGHaJWOHQVHVZLWKLQDORZHUJUDGHaJWHQYHORSH
:LWKLQ WKH PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQH ELRWLWH DQG VHULFLWH ZLWK JROG
EHDULQJ S\ULWH UHSODFHV PHWDPRUSKLF PDF PLQHUDOV DQG
IHOGVSDU +LJKHU JROG JUDGHV DUH DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK GRPDLQV
RI PRVDLF EUHFFLD VROXWLRQ IDEULFV DQG YHLQOHWV GHQHG E\
ELRWLWHS\ULWHVHULFLWH DVVHPEODJHV 9LVLEOH JROG RFFXUUHQFHV
DUH LGHQWLDEOH LQ LQWHUFHSWV RI ! JW LQ P FRPSRVLWH
DVVD\V 9LVLEOH JROG LV ORFDOLVHG RQ VHULFLWH IUDFWXUHV WKDW
RYHUSULQWHDUOLHUELRWLWHS\ULWHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ'R\OH.HQGDOO
DQG *LEEV 'R\OH et al %OHQNLQVRS DQG 'R\OH
VXEPLWWHG 6LQJOH KLJKJUDGH OHQVHV DQG WKHLU PHGLXP
JUDGH KDORV ORFDOO\ FRQYHUJH WR IRUP WKLFNHU FRPSRVLWH
PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV 0LQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV DUH HQFORVHG ZLWKLQ
D VXEFRQFRUGDQW DOWHUDWLRQ HQYHORSH 6WURQJ WR PRGHUDWH
ELRWLWHVHULFLWH!!FDOFLWH DOWHUDWLRQ VSDWLDOO\ DQG WHPSRUDOO\
UHODWHGWRJROGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLVDVFULEHGWRDK\GURWKHUPDO
DOWHUDWLRQ HYHQW WKDW SRVWGDWHV WKH PHWDPRUSKLF WKHUPDO
PD[LPXP 6WUXFWXUDO UHODWLRQVKLSV DQG JHRFKURQRORJLFDO
VWXGLHV VXJJHVW JROG PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LV WHPSRUDOO\ UHODWHG WR
VKHDUSODQHVWKUXVWVWKDWSRVWGDWHWKHPDLQJQHLVVLFIDEULF
DQG DFFRPSDQLHG D SHULRG RI QRUWKHDVW VKRUWHQLQJ GXULQJ
'%OHQNLQVRSDQG'R\OHVXEPLWWHG'R\OH et alVXEPLWWHG
3RWHQWLDOO\HFRQRPLFJROGJUDGHVDW7URSLFDQDDUHFRQVWUDLQHG
ZLWKLQ D VKDOORZGLSSLQJ IDYRXUDEOH KRUL]RQ ZLWK JUDGH
YDULDWLRQ DORQJ VWULNH GRZQ GLS DQG DFURVV WKH ZLGWK RI
FIG 2 - Geological cross-section through the Havana Ore Zone at 141650N (Tropicana local grid), from Doyle et al (2013).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
303
7KHUHDUHWZRPDLQDSSURDFKHVWRQRQOLQHDUJHRVWDWLVWLFDO
HVWLPDWLRQ FXUUHQWO\ XVHG LQ WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ XQLIRUP
FRQGLWLRQLQJ8&DQGPXOWLSOHLQGLFDWRUNULJLQJ0,.7KH
FKRLFHWRXVH8&LVQRWDUELWUDU\9DQQDQG*XLEDODQG
GHSHQGVXSRQZKDWZHFDOOKHUHWKHVSDWLDOgrade architecture
DVGHQHGEHORZDVZHOODVXSRQWKHUHDVRQDEOHQHVVRIWKH
DVVXPSWLRQV XQGHUO\LQJ WKH GLVFUHWH *DXVVLDQ '* FKDQJH
RIVXSSRUW
:LWKLQHDFKSDQHOLWLVSRVVLEOHWRHVWLPDWHWKHSURSRUWLRQ
WKDW H[FHHGV D FXWRII JUDGH DQG WKH PHWDO FRQWHQW RI WKLV
SURSRUWLRQ 7KH TXRWLHQW RI WKH PHWDO FRQWHQW DQG WKH
SURSRUWLRQDERYHFXWRIIJLYHVDQHVWLPDWHRIWKHJUDGHRIWKH
PDWHULDO DERYH FXWRII %\ UHSHDWLQJ WKLV IRU D VHULHV RI FXW
RIIVDJUDGHWRQQDJHFXUYHGHVFULELQJWKHSDQHOLQWHUPVRI
608VFDQEHJHQHUDWHG7RREWDLQWKLVJUDGHWRQQDJHFXUYH
DVVXPLQJDSDUWLFXODU608JHRPHWU\UHTXLUHVDFKDQJHRI
VXSSRUWPRGHOWKDWDFFRXQWVIRUWKHYROXPHYDULDQFHHIIHFW
-RXUQHODQG+XLMEUHJWVLHWKHIDFWWKDWWKHGLVWULEXWLRQ
RI EORFNV ZLOO EH VPRRWKHU ORZHU YDULDQFH DQG JHQHUDOO\
OHVV VNHZHG WKDQ WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ RI VDPSOH RU FRPSRVLWH
JUDGHV
7KHUHDVRQLQJIRUXVLQJQRQOLQHDUHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRGVDUH
GLVFXVVHG LQ WKH SUHYLRXV UHIHUHQFHV DQG LQ PRUH GHWDLO E\
'H9LWU\9DQQDQG$UYLGVRQEXWFDQEHVXPPDULVHG
DVIROORZV
/LQHDUHVWLPDWHVH[HUWQRH[SOLFLWFRQWURORQWKHYDULDQFH
RIWKHUHVXOWDQWHVWLPDWHVDQGE\GHVLJQSURYLGHWKHEHVW
HVWLPDWHRIWKHPHDQJUDGHRYHUDVSHFLFYROXPH:KHQ
GULOO VSDFLQJ LV DSSUHFLDEO\ ZLGHU WKDQ WKH GLPHQVLRQV
RI WKH HQYLVDJHG 608 GLUHFW HVWLPDWLRQ RI 608VL]HG
EORFNV E\ OLQHDU PHWKRGV ZLOO UHVXOW LQ GLVWRUWHG JUDGH
WRQQDJH UHODWLRQVKLSV 7\SLFDOO\ HVWLPDWLRQ RI VPDOO
EORFNV VXSSRUWHG E\ ZLGHVSDFHG GDWD UHVXOWV LQ KLJKO\
VPRRWKHG HVWLPDWHV FOXVWHULQJ DURXQG WKH ORFDO PHDQ
JUDGH$OWKRXJKWKHVHDUFKURXWLQHPD\EHWDLORUHGLQDQ
DWWHPSWWRUHSURGXFHDWDUJHWJUDGHWRQQDJHFXUYHRUEORFN
YDULDQFH,VDDNVUHVWULFWLQJWKHQXPEHURIVDPSOHV
LQWKHHVWLPDWHVFRPPRQO\UHVXOWVLQFRQGLWLRQDOO\ELDVHG
ORFDO EORFN HVWLPDWHV WKDW DUH OLNHO\ WR EH DQ XQUHOLDEOH
EDVLVIRUORFDOPLQHSODQQLQJDQGDVVHVVLQJWKHHFRQRPLF
YDOXHRIWKHSURMHFW0DJUL et al
,I HVWLPDWHG E\ OLQHDU PHWKRGV ODUJHU VL]HG EORFNV LH
PXFK ODUJHU WKDQ WKH HQYLVDJHG 608VFDOH WKDW KDYH
DFFHSWDEOH HVWLPDWLRQ YDULDQFHV LQ RUGHU WR PLQLPLVH
FRQGLWLRQDOELDVZLOOQRWUHHFWWKHVFDOHRIVHOHFWLYLW\WKDW
ZLOOEHDSSOLHGDWPLQLQJVWDJHV
2QFH D GHFLVLRQ ZDV PDGH DW 7URSLFDQD WR XVH QRQOLQHDU
HVWLPDWLRQ WKH TXHVWLRQ RI ZKLFK DYDLODEOH JHRVWDWLVWLFDO
PHWKRGZDVPRVWVXLWDEOHIRUWKHGHSRVLWDURVH
304
Background
8QLIRUPFRQGLWLRQLQJ LVRQHRIDIDPLO\RI*DXVVLDQEDVHG
QRQOLQHDU JHRVWDWLVWLFDO WHFKQLTXHV IRU HVWLPDWLQJ WKH
ORFDO UHFRYHUDEOH UHVRXUFHV 8& HVWLPDWHV WKH SURSRUWLRQV
RI 608V DERYH D VHW RI FXWRIIV ZLWKLQ ODUJHU EORFNV RU
SDQHOV 7KH 8& HVWLPDWH LV JHQHUDOO\ FRQGLWLRQHG VROHO\
WR D OLQHDU HVWLPDWH RI WKH SDQHO JUDGH XVXDOO\ GHULYHG E\
RUGLQDU\NULJLQJ5LYRLUDUGDQGHPSOR\VWKHGLVFUHWH
*DXVVLDQ '* FKDQJH RI VXSSRUW PRGHO WKDW DVVXPHV
GLIIXVLYHJUDGHDUFKLWHFWXUH8&LVDYDULDWLRQRIEL*DXVVLDQ
GLVMXQFWLYH NULJLQJ '. WKDW LV PRUH DSSOLFDEOH ZKHQ WKH
VWULFWVWDWLRQDULW\DVVXPSWLRQVRI'.DUHXQUHDVRQDEOH9DQQ
DQG*XLEDO7KHDVVXPSWLRQVRIVWULFWVWDWLRQDULW\DUH
GLIFXOWWRGHIHQGLQPLQHUDOGHSRVLWHVWLPDWLRQDSSOLFDWLRQV
7KH '* FKDQJH RI VXSSRUW PRGHO UHOLHV RQ VRFDOOHG
JHQHUDOLVHGSHUPDQHQFHRIWKHGLVWULEXWLRQLHWKHSUHPLVHWKDW
ERWKWKHVDPSOHJUDGHVDQGWKHEORFNVFDQEHWUDQVIRUPHGWR
D*DXVVLDQGLVWULEXWLRQDQGWKDWWKHUHVXOWLQJWUDQVIRUPDWLRQV
DUHELYDULDWH*DXVVLDQRUEL*DXVVLDQ+HUPLWHSRO\QRPLDOV
DUHDFRQYHQLHQWGHYLFHWRGHULYHWKHEORFNGLVWULEXWLRQIURP
WKH SRLQW GLVWULEXWLRQ XVLQJ D FKDQJH RI VXSSRUW FRHIFLHQW
HTXDO WR WKH OLQHDU FRUUHODWLRQ EHWZHHQ WKH SRLQW DQG EORFN
JUDGHV5LYRLUDUG9DQQDQG6DQV
*UDGH DUFKLWHFWXUH LV FULWLFDO WR WKH FKRLFH RI ZKHWKHU 8&
LV DSSURSULDWH 5LYRLUDUG &KLOqV DQG 'HOLQHU
*UDGHDUFKLWHFWXUHLVDGHVFULSWLYHWHUPIRUWKHVSDWLDOJUDGH
GLVWULEXWLRQ DQG LQ SDUWLFXODU WKH WUDQVLWLRQ EHWZHHQ JUDGH
WKUHVKROGV DV RQH PRYHV EHWZHHQ DQ\ WZR ORFDWLRQV LQ D
GRPDLQ$GLIIXVLYHRUGLIIXVLRQPRGHORIJUDGHDUFKLWHFWXUH
LPSOLHV WKDW WKHUH LV D JUDGXDO WUDQVLWLRQ EHWZHHQ JUDGHV
IURPORZWRKLJKJUDGHVDQGWKXVWKHUHLVVSDWLDOFRUUHODWLRQ
EHWZHHQGLIIHUHQWJUDGHWKUHVKROGV,QHVVHQFHWKHGLIIXVLRQ
PRGHODVVXPHVWKDWZKHQPRYLQJIURPDKLJKHUJUDGHWRD
ORZHUJUDGHSDUWRIDGRPDLQZHFURVVDSURJUHVVLYHUDQJHRI
GHFOLQLQJJUDGHVLQEHWZHHQ
&RQYHUVHO\WKHPRVDLFPRGHORIJUDGHDUFKLWHFWXUHLPSOLHV
WKDWWKHUHDUHVXGGHQVKDUSFKDQJHVEHWZHHQDUHDVRIGLIIHUHQW
JUDGHDQGWKDWWKHUHLVOLWWOHRUQRFRUUHODWLRQEHWZHHQWKHVH
GLIIHUHQWWKUHVKROGV7KHPRVDLFPRGHOZLOOGLVSOD\LQWULQVLF
FRUUHODWLRQPHDQLQJWKDWDOOLQGLFDWRUYDULRJUDPVVKRXOGEH
SURSRUWLRQDO WR DQ XQGHUO\LQJ YDULRJUDP PRGHO 0HWKRGV
EDVHGRQD*DXVVLDQFKDQJHRIVXSSRUWVXFKDV8&PD\QRW
EH ZHOO DGDSWHG WR WKH PRVDLF VSDWLDO JUDGH DUFKLWHFWXUH ,I
WKHGDWDH[KLELWLQWULQVLFFRUUHODWLRQWKHQDOOYDULRJUDPVDUH
SURSRUWLRQDO DQG WKH PHGLDQ YDULRJUDP ZLOO EH WKH EHVW
VWUXFWXUHG YDULRJUDP %HFDXVH RI WKH LQWULQVLF FRUUHODWLRQ
LQ WKLV LQVWDQFH NULJLQJ HDFK LQGLFDWRU LQGLYLGXDOO\ LV
HTXLYDOHQWWRFRNULJLQJDOOLQGLFDWRUVWRJHWKHU,QVXFKFDVHV
LW KDV EHHQ DUJXHG WKDW 0,. PRUH VWULFWO\ median indicator
krigingLVEHWWHUVXLWHGWRWKLVW\SHRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQWKRXJK
FKDQJH RI VXSSRUW IRU ORFDO UHFRYHUDEOH UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ
Tropicana Gold Mine, Western Australia A Case Study of Non-Linear Mineral Resource Estimation| M Kent et al
UHPDLQVSUREOHPDWLF&KLOqVDQG'HOQHU9DQQ*XLEDO
DQG +DUOH\ )XUWKHUPRUH WKH LQGLFDWRUV ZRXOG QRW
EH H[SHFWHG WR GLVSOD\ WKH DIRUHPHQWLRQHG EHKDYLRXUV LQ
PLQHUDOGHSRVLWVZLWKZKLFKWKHDXWKRUVDUHIDPLOLDU
Tests
7KH DSSURSULDWHQHVV RI WKH '* FKDQJH RI VXSSRUW ZKLFK
XQGHUOLHV8&GHSHQGVXSRQWZRFRQGLWLRQV
$SSOLFDELOLW\ RI WKH GLIIXVLRQ PRGHO WR GHVFULEH WKH
GDWD XQGHU VWXG\ 7KH WHVW KHUH LV WKH UDWLR RI LQGLFDWRU
YDULRJUDPVDWDGMDFHQWWKUHVKROGVIRUDGLIIXVLRQPRGHO
WKH UDWLR ZLOO FKDQJH DV D IXQFWLRQ UDQJH VR DQ\ WZR
LQGLFDWRU YDULRJUDPV DUH not SURSRUWLRQDO WR HDFK RWKHU
0RVDLFW\SH PRGHOV ZLOO W\SLFDOO\ GLVSOD\ SURSRUWLRQDO
YDULRJUDPVZKRVHUDWLRLVFRQVWDQWDVDIXQFWLRQRIUDQJH
%L*DXVVLDQLW\ RI WKH WUDQVIRUPHG VDPSOH JUDGHV 7KHUH
DUHVRPHVLPSOHWHVWVIRUWKLV
7HVW WKDW WKH WUDQVIRUPHG GDWD DUH DFFHSWDEO\
XQLYDULDWH *DXVVLDQ $OWKRXJK WULYLDO WKLV LV FUXFLDO
HVSHFLDOO\LIZHDUHDVLVWKHXVXDOFDVHGHDOLQJZLWK
GHFOXVWHUHG ZHLJKWV LQ WKH *DXVVLDQ WUDQVIRUPDWLRQ
7KH UHTXLUHG FULWHULD LV WKDW WKH WUDQVIRUPHG GDWD
SURGXFHDVWDQGDUGQRUPDOSUREDELOLW\SORW
7HVW IRU ODFN RI FRUUHODWLRQ EHWZHHQ WKH PHDQ DQG
VWDQGDUG GHYLDWLRQ RI *DXVVLDQ WUDQVIRUPHG GDWD
$OWKRXJKIRUWKHUDZRUXQWUDQVIRUPHGGDWDZHPD\
REVHUYH D JHQHUDO FRUUHODWLRQ EHWZHHQ WKH PHDQ DQG
VWDQGDUGGHYLDWLRQRIGDWDUHJXODULVHGDYHUDJHGLQWR
ODUJH FHOOV LH D UHDVRQDEOH QXPEHU RI GDWD SHU FHOO
WKLVLVWKHSURSRUWLRQDOHIIHFWZKLFKVKRXOGEHDEVHQW
IURPWKHWUDQVIRUPHGGDWD
7HVW WKH UDWLR RI WKH VTXDUH URRW RI WKH YDULRJUDP WR
WKH PDGRJUDP LH YDULRJUDP RI RUGHU )RU D EL
*DXVVLDQ GDWD VHW VWDQGDUG QRUPDO WKLV UDWLR KDV D
FRQVWDQWYDOXHHTXDOWRWKHVTXDUHURRWRI)LJXUH
3ORW DQ KVFDWWHU SORW ZKHUH WKH KLVWRJUDP RI DOO
SDLUV >\[ \[h@ VHSDUDWHG E\ D FRQVWDQW YHFWRU h
IRU DOO YDOXHV RI h LV FDOFXODWHG DQG FKHFN WKDW WKH\
GLVSOD\*DXVVLDQGLVWULEXWLRQVHOOLSWLFDOVFDWWHUSORW
)LJXUH
305
FRQGLWLRQDOELDVHVVHQWLDOO\QHJDWLQJWKHQHHGIRUFRPSOLFDWHG
HVWLPDWHVWRDYRLGVPHDULQJRIWKHKLJKHUJUDGHFRUHPDWHULDO
7KH UHVRXUFH PRGHO YHUWLFDO SDQHO GLPHQVLRQ XVHG IRU
WKH3)6DQG(3)6HVWLPDWHVZDVP$SUHOLPLQDU\JUDGH
FRQWURO DQG VHOHFWLYLW\ VWXG\ IRXQG WKDW WKH JUDGH DQG
SURWDELOLW\ RI WKH HVWLPDWH ZDV PD[LPLVHG E\ PLQLPLVLQJ
WKH YHUWLFDO EORFN KHLJKW IRU WKH 608 6LQFH 8& UHOLHV RQ D
KLJKTXDOLW\NULJHGHVWLPDWHRIWKHJUDGHLWZDVFRQVLGHUHG
VHQVLEOH WR NULJH D SDQHO ZLWK UHGXFHG YHUWLFDO GLPHQVLRQV
ZLWKRXW LQWURGXFLQJ FRQGLWLRQDO ELDV 7KLV ZRXOG DFKLHYH
WKHPRVWDFFXUDWHORFDOJUDGHHVWLPDWHWRZKLFKWKHVXSSRUW
FRUUHFWLRQ FDQ WKHQ EH DSSOLHG $ P SDQHO KHLJKW ZDV
FKRVHQ
7HVWVZHUHSHUIRUPHGWRGHWHUPLQHZKHWKHUWRUHWDLQWKH,.
PHWKRGGLVFXVVHGDERYHRUZKHWKHUGLUHFWO\HVWLPDWLQJWKH
PKLJKSDQHOVZDVDFFHSWDEOH,WEHFDPHUHDGLO\DSSDUHQW
WKDW UHPRYLQJ WKH ,. VWHS GLG QRW KDYH VLJQLFDQW LPSDFWV
RQWKHUHVRXUFHEXWLWGLGPDNHVRPHFKDQJHVWRWKHJUDGH
WRQQDJH FXUYH E\ LQFOXGLQJ PRUH WRQQHV DW KLJKHU FXWRII
JUDGH DOEHLW DW D UHGXFHG DYHUDJH JUDGH DERYH FXWRII
+RZHYHUFRPSDUHGWRWKHSRWHQWLDOYDULDELOLW\LQHVWLPDWHV
DULVLQJ IURP WKH VXEMHFWLYH FKRLFH RI SUREDELOLW\ WKUHVKROG
UHTXLUHG LQ WKH ,. DSSURDFK DQG WKH VLPSOLFLW\ RI DQ 2.
SDQHOHVWLPDWHIRUUHSOLFDWLRQDQGDXGLWLQJSXUSRVHVLWZDV
GHFLGHGWRRSWLPLVHWKHVHDUFKIRUGLUHFWO\HVWLPDWLQJWKHP
KLJKSDQHOVDQGWRGLVFRQWLQXHWKH,.PHWKRG
&RPSRVLWHV RI P GRZQKROH OHQJWK ZHUH JHQHUDWHG
EUHDNLQJ RQ GRPDLQ ERXQGDULHV WR KRQRXU WKH JHRORJLFDO
ERXQGDULHV7KUHHPHWUHFRPSRVLWHVZHUHXVHGWRUHHFWWKH
VHOHFWLYLW\ RQ D PLQLQJ LWFK KHLJKW RI P 1R WRSFXWV
ZHUH DSSOLHG WR WKH FRPSRVLWHV ,VRODWHG FRPSRVLWHV ZLWK
HOHYDWHG JUDGHV FRPSDUHG WR WKH VXUURXQGLQJ GDWD RFFXU
LQ WKH KDQJLQJ ZDOO WR WKH PDLQ PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQH EXW DUH
JHQHUDOO\ GLIFXOW WR FRUUHODWH EHWZHHQ DGMDFHQW GULOO KROHV
DQG VHFWLRQV +LJKJUDGH UHVWUDLQLQJ ZDV DSSOLHG WR WKHVH
DUHDVWROLPLWWKHLQXHQFHRIWKHVHFRPSRVLWHVZKHUHWKH\
DUHXQOLNHO\WREHPLQHGDVRUH
%HFDXVH WKH GULOOLQJ RI WKH 7URSLFDQD GHSRVLW LV QRW RQ D
UHJXODUJULGWKHGDWDDUHFOXVWHUHG7KLVELDVHVWKHVWDWLVWLFV
XQOHVV WKH FOXVWHULQJ LV DOORZHG IRU GHFOXVWHULQJ &KLOqV
DQG 'HOQHU ,Q WKLV FDVH GHFOXVWHULQJ ZHLJKWV ZHUH
JHQHUDWHGE\FDOFXODWLQJSUHOLPLQDU\YDULRJUDPVRQWKHGDWD
SHUIRUPLQJEORFN2.DQGVWRULQJWKHNULJLQJ ZHLJKWVWREH
XVHG DV GHFOXVWHULQJ ZHLJKWV 7KHVH ZHLJKWV DUH UHTXLUHG
ODWHUWRJHWXQELDVHG*DXVVLDQWUDQVIRUPDWLRQRIWKHGDWD
9DULRJUDPV ZHUH FDOFXODWHG DQG PRGHOOHG LQ ,VDWLV
VRIWZDUH 6KRUW FRPSRVLWHV FUHDWHG E\ EUHDNLQJ WKH
FRPSRVLWHV RQ WKH GRPDLQ ERXQGDULHV ZHUH H[FOXGHG IURP
WKHSUHOLPLQDU\YDULRJUDPFDOFXODWLRQVDQGWKHYDULRJUDPV
ZHUHUHVWULFWHGWRVHFWLRQVRIWKHUHVRXUFHZKHUHWKHGULOOLQJ
GDWDZDVDSSUR[LPDWHO\PE\PRUEHWWHUWRUHGXFHDQ\
ELDVIURPZLGHUVSDFHGGDWD7ZRQHVWHGVSKHULFDOVWUXFWXUHV
ZHUH WWHG WR HDFK RI WKH YDULRJUDPV ZLWK D QXJJHW HIIHFW
RIDSSUR[LPDWHO\SHUFHQW9DULRJUDPUDQJHVIRUWKHPDLQ
PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV FDQ EH XS WR P LQ WKH GRZQSOXQJH
GLUHFWLRQ)LJXUH
4XDQWLWDWLYH NULJLQJ QHLJKERXUKRRG DQDO\VLV 4.1$
9DQQ -DFNVRQ DQG %HUWROL ZDV SHUIRUPHG DW HDFK
PDMRUXSGDWHWRWKHUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWH4.1$TXDQWLWDWLYHO\
DVVHVVHV WKH VHDUFK QHLJKERXUKRRG DQG NULJLQJ SDUDPHWHUV
LQRUGHUWRUHGXFHWKHHIIHFWVRIFRQGLWLRQDOELDVDQGLPSURYH
WKHTXDOLW\RIWKHNULJHGHVWLPDWH&KRRVLQJDQDSSURSULDWH
306
Tropicana Gold Mine, Western Australia A Case Study of Non-Linear Mineral Resource Estimation| M Kent et al
IURPWKHLQSXWGDWD(DFKFRPSRQHQWLPDJHRUUHDOLVDWLRQLV
FRQGLWLRQDOLQWKHVHQVHWKDWLWDJUHHVZLWKWKHOLPLWHGNQRZQ
VDPSOLQJGDWDIURPWKHGHSRVLW
&6 FDQ DOVR SURYLGH UHFRYHUDEOH UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV LH D
SUHGLFWLRQRIPLQHDEOHWRQQHVDQGJUDGHRQWKHEDVLVRI608
VL]HGYROXPHV)RUHDFK608n UHDOLVDWLRQVDUHDYDLODEOHDQG
WKHVHFDQIRUPDFRQGLWLRQDOGLVWULEXWLRQWKDWLVWKHRUHWLFDOO\
HTXLYDOHQWWRWKH8&HVWLPDWH
7UDGLWLRQDOO\ JHRVWDWLVWLFDO VLPXODWLRQV DUH SHUIRUPHG RQ
D QH SRLQW JULG DQG JURXSV RI SRLQWV DUH WKHQ DYHUDJHG
WR JHQHUDWH EORFN VXSSRUWV HJ 608 VXSSRUW ,Q FRQWUDVW
GLUHFW EORFN VLPXODWLRQ '%6LP 'HUDLVPH et al
XVHV D YDULRJUDP DQG KLVWRJUDP UHJXODULVHG WR WKH 608
VL]H WR GLUHFWO\ JHQHUDWH D QXPEHU RI UHDOLVDWLRQV RI WKH
RUH GLVWULEXWLRQ RQ 608VL]HG VXSSRUW 1RWH WKDW WKH
UHJXODULVDWLRQ RI WKH YDULRJUDP ODUJHO\ QXOOLHV WKH QXJJHW
HIIHFW VHHQ LQ WKH YDULRJUDPV FDOFXODWHG RQ WKH FRPSRVLWHG
GDWD'%6LPLVVLJQLFDQWO\IDVWHUWKDQWKHWUDGLWLRQDOSRLQW
VLPXODWLRQV DQG FUHDWHV in one step D EORFN PRGHO RQ WKH
608VXSSRUWZKLFKUHTXLUHVOHVVPDQLSXODWLRQDQGVPDOOHU
VWRUDJHUHTXLUHPHQWV
7KH VHDUFK SDUDPHWHUV XVHG LQ WKH '%6LP ZHUH NHSW
FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK WKH %)6 8& PRGHO WR HQVXUH FRPSDUDELOLW\
7KH FRPSXWLQJ WLPH IRU WKH ZKROH UHVRXUFH DUHD IRUZKLFK
UHDOLVDWLRQVZHUHJHQHUDWHGZDVVLPLODUWRWKDWIRUWKH8&
PRGHO$VDQLQLWLDOFKHFNWKH'%6LPZDVFRPSDUHGWRWKH
8& 5HVRXUFH PRGHO DW JUDGHWRQQDJH FXUYH OHYHO DQG ZHUH
IRXQGWRFRPSDUHIDYRXUDEO\ZLWKWKHJUDGHVRIWKH'%6LP
RQDYHUDJHVOLJKWO\KLJKHUWKDQWKDWRIWKH8&HVWLPDWH
7KH'%6LPPRGHOZDVYDOLGDWHGE\FRPSDULQJYDULRJUDPV
FDOFXODWHG LQ WKUHH RUWKRJRQDO GLUHFWLRQV RQ HDFK RI WKH
VLPXODWLRQ UHDOLVDWLRQV WR WKH LQSXW PRGHO YDULRJUDP DQG
DOVRFRPSDULQJWKHJUDGHWRQQDJHFXUYHIRUWKHVLPXODWLRQV
WR WKH LQSXW EORFNVXSSRUW FRUUHFWLRQ DQG WKH 8& JUDGH
WRQQDJH FXUYHV 7KH YDULRJUDP UHSURGXFWLRQ ZDV JHQHUDOO\
H[FHOOHQW)LJXUH7KHJUDGHWRQQDJHFXUYHVSORWWKHEORFN
VXSSRUW FRUUHFWLRQ XVHG LQ WKH GLUHFW EORFN VLPXODWLRQ D
UDQJHRIVLPXODWHGYDOXHVWKHEORFNVXSSRUWFRUUHFWLRQXVHG
IRU WKH 8& PRGHO DQG WKH 8& PRGHO LWVHOI )LJXUH 7KH
UHSURGXFWLRQLVJHQHUDOO\JRRG
Mining selectivity
FIG 6 - Example of simulation variogram reproduction of Gaussian model.
7KH EDVH FDVH IRU WKH 3)6 DQG %)6 DVVXPHG PLQLQJ RI
7URSLFDQD RQ WKUHH WR IRXU LWFKHV RYHU D P EHQFK ZLWK
EDFNKRH H[FDYDWRUV $V D VHQVLWLYLW\ WHVW RQ WKH SURMHFW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
307
FIG 8 - Variability in mine schedule from direct block simulation model compared to uniform conditioning model.
HFRQRPLFVLWZDVVXJJHVWHGWRDVVHVVDEXONPLQLQJRSWLRQ
XVLQJODUJHIDFHVKRYHOVRYHUPRUPEHQFKKHLJKWV7KH
FORVHVSDFHGJUDGHFRQWUROGDWDDOORZHGIRUWKHFUHDWLRQRID
GHWDLOHG608VFDOHJUDGHFRQWUROEORFNPRGHOIURPZKLFK
RUHSRO\JRQVFRXOGEHGHVLJQHGEDVHGRQDUDQJHRIPLQLQJ
VHOHFWLRQ VFDOHV WKLV ZD\ WKH UHFRYHUHG YDOXH LQFOXGLQJ
SODQQHGRUHORVVDQGGLOXWLRQIURPHDFKVFHQDULRVHOHFWLYH
PLQLQJRQLWFKHVRUEXONPLQLQJRYHUODUJHUEHQFKHVFRXOG
EHDVVHVVHGDQGFRPSDUHG
7KLVVWXG\VKRZHGWKDWWKHLQFUHDVHGPLQLQJGLOXWLRQIURP
PLQLQJ ODUJHU EHQFKHV DQG WKH UHGXFHG VHOHFWLYLW\ ZKLFK
UHVWULFWV WKH DELOLW\ RI WKH SURMHFW WR SURFHVV KLJKHUJUDGH
PDWHULDO HDUO\ LQ WKH PLQH OLIH QHJDWLYHO\ LPSDFWHG RQ WKH
SURMHFWHFRQRPLFVGHVSLWHWKHUHGXFHGXQLWFRVWV
:LWKRXW WKH FORVHVSDFHG JUDGH FRQWURO GDWD WKH OHYHO RI
GHWDLO LQ ZKLFK WKH VWXG\ ZDV FRPSOHWHG ZRXOG QRW KDYH
EHHQSRVVLEOH
CONCLUSIONS
7KH7URSLFDQDGHSRVLWZDVHVWLPDWHGXVLQJWKHJHRVWDWLVWLFDO
WHFKQLTXHRI8&7KHFKRLFHRI8&ZDVPDGHDIWHUDSSO\LQJ
VHYHUDO UHODWLYHO\ VWUDLJKWIRUZDUG WHVWV WR FRQUP WKH
DFFHSWDELOLW\RIDVVXPSWLRQVDERXWWKHEL*DXVVLDQLW\DQGWKH
GLIIXVLYHJUDGHDUFKLWHFWXUH.ULJLQJVHDUFKSDUDPHWHUVZHUH
UHQHGXVLQJ4.1$
308
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
6RPHRIWKHNH\WHFKQLFDOJHRVWDWLVWLFDOZRUNXQGHUO\LQJWKLV
SDSHU ZDV FRPSOHWHG DV SDUW RI DQ XQSXEOLVKHG 0DVWHUV
WKHVLVXQGHUWKHVXSHUYLVLRQRI3URIHVVRU3HWHU'RZGDW7KH
8QLYHUVLW\ RI $GHODLGH .HQW $QJOR*ROG $VKDQWL
DQG ,QGHSHQGHQFH *URXS 1/ DUH WKDQNHG IRU DOORZLQJ
SXEOLFDWLRQRIWKLVSDSHU'U0LNH+DUOH\RI$QJOR$PHULFDQ
LV WKDQNHG IRU KLV UHYLHZ RI D GUDIW YHUVLRQ RI WKH SDSHU
DQG WKH KHOSIXO FRPPHQWV WKDW HQVXHG $Q DQRQ\PRXV
$XV,00 SHHU UHYLHZHU DOVR PDGH KHOSIXO VXJJHVWLRQV WKDW
LPSURYHGWKHSDSHU$Q\UHPDLQLQJHUURUVDUHRIFRXUVHWKH
UHVSRQVLELOLW\RIWKHDXWKRUV
REFERENCES
$UPVWURQJ 0 DQG &KDPSLJQ\ 1 $ VWXG\ RQ NULJLQJ VPDOO
EORFNV&,0%XOOHWLQ
%OHQNLQVRS7*DQG'R\OH0*VXEPLWWHG6WUXFWXUDOFRQWUROVRQ
JROGPLQHUDOL]DWLRQRQWKHPDUJLQRIWKH<LOJDUQFUDWRQ$OEDQ\
)UDVHURURJHQ7KH7URSLFDQDGHSRVLW:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLDJournal
of Structural Geology
&KLOqV - 3 DQG 'HOQHU 3 Geostatistics: Modeling Spatial
8QFHUWDLQW\ YROXPH RI :LOH\ 6HULHV LQ 3UREDELOLW\ DQG
6WDWLVWLFVS-RKQ:LOH\DQG6RQV
'HUDLVPH-5LYRLUDUG-DQG&DUUDVFR30XOWLYDULDWHXQLIRUP
FRQGLWLRQLQJ DQG EORFN VLPXODWLRQV ZLWK GLVFUHWH *DXVVLDQ
PRGHO DSSOLFDWLRQ WR &KLTXLFDPDWD GHSRVLW LQ Proceedings VII
,QWHUQDWLRQDO *HRVWDWLVWLFV &RQJUHVV *(267$76 SS
*HFDPLQ6DQWLDJR
'HXWVFK - / DQG 'HXWVFK & 9 3ORWWLQJ DQG FKHFNLQJ WKH
ELYDULDWHGLVWULEXWLRQVRIPXOWLSOH*DXVVLDQGDWDComputers and
Geosciences
'H9LWU\&9DQQ-DQG$UYLGVRQ+$JXLGHWRVHOHFWLQJWKH
RSWLPDOPHWKRGRIUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQIRUPXOWLYDULDWHLURQRUH
GHSRVLWVLQ3URFHHGLQJV,URQ2UHSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
Tropicana Gold Mine, Western Australia A Case Study of Non-Linear Mineral Resource Estimation| M Kent et al
'R\OH06DYDJH-%OHQNLQVRS7&UDZIRUG$DQG0F1DXJKWRQ
1 7URSLFDQD XQUDYHOLQJ WKH FRPSOH[LW\ RI D 0R]
JROG GHSRVLW KRVWHG LQ JUDQXOLWH IDFLHV PHWDPRUSKLF URFNV LQ
3URFHHGLQJV:RUOG*ROGSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'R\OH 0 * )OHWFKHU , 5 )RVWHU - *UDQW 0 /DUJH 5 5 0DWKXU
50F1DXJKWRQ1-0HIIUH60XKOLQJ-5DQG5DVPXVVHQ%
VXEPLWWHG*HRFKURQRORJLFDOFRQVWUDLQWVRQWKH7URSLFDQD*ROG
'HSRVLWDQG$OEDQ\)UDVHU2URJHQ:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLDEconomic
Geology
'R\OH0**LEEV'6DYDJH-DQG%OHQNLQVRS7*HRORJ\RI
WKH7URSLFDQD*ROG3URMHFW:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLDLQSmart Science
for Exploration and Mining; Proceedings of the Tenth Biennial SGA
Meeting HG 3 - :LOOLDPV et al SS 6RFLHW\ IRU *HRORJ\
$SSOLHGWR0LQHUDO'HSRVLWV
'R\OH 0 * .HQGDOO % 0 DQG *LEEV ' 'LVFRYHU\ DQG
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI WKH 7URSLFDQD *ROG 'LVWULFW LQ Proceedings
Geoconferences HGV ) 3 %LHUOHLQ DQG & 0 .QR[5RELQVRQ
*HRVFLHQFH$XVWUDOLD5HFRUGSS
(PHU\;9DULRJUDPVRIRUGHUDWRROWRYDOLGDWHDELYDULDWH
GLVWULEXWLRQPRGHOMathematical Geology
,VDDNV ( 7KH NULJLQJ R[\PRURQ D FRQGLWLRQDOO\ XQELDVHG
DQG DFFXUDWH SUHGLFWRU LQ Proceedings Seventh International
Geostatistical CongressHGV2</HXDQJWKRQJDQG&9'HXWVFK
SS6SULQJHU
-RQHV 6 $ 0HVRSURWHUR]RLF $OEDQ\)UDVHU 2URJHQUHODWHG
GHIRUPDWLRQ DORQJ WKH VRXWKHDVWHUQ PDUJLQ RI WKH <LOJDUQ
&UDWRQAustralian Journal of Earth Sciences
-RXUQHO $ *HRVWDWLVWLFV IRU WKH FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ RI
RUHERGLHVEconomic Geology
-RXUQHO $ DQG +XLMEUHJWV & Mining Geostatistics S
$FDGHPLF3UHVV/RQGRQ
.HQGDOO % 'R\OH 0 DQG *LEEV ' 7URSLFDQD WKH GLVFRYHU\
RI D QHZ JROG SURYLQFH LQ :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD LQ Proceedings
NewGenGold ConferenceSS3D\GLUW0HGLD3W\/WG3HUWK
309
HOME
Estimation of Underground
Mineral Resources at the
Sunrise Dam Gold Mine
A Case Study in Risk Management
F Clark1, J T Carswell2, N A Schofield3 and M Erickson4
ABSTRACT
The challenges of Resource estimation and grade control modelling at Sunrise Dam have been a matter of intense interest
for more than ten years to two of the authors of this paper. The scale and visible complexity of the mineralisation exhibited
in this deposit, which so excite the geological imagination, provides an uncommon experience in gold mining and Mineral
Resource estimation. Coarse visible gold and high coefcients of variation in excess of ten are common to the various styles of
mineralisation occurring within the deposit. This complex geology and extreme grade variation have presented signicant risks
to Resource estimation and grade control throughout the life of the open pit and underground mine.
Sunrise Dam has beneted from the developments in Resource estimation methodology during the 1980s and 1990s, which led
to the application of multiple indicator kriging and conditional simulation approaches to Resource estimation and grade control
modelling in mineralisation, characterised by complex geological controls and extreme grade variation. These approaches,
together with dedicated reverse circulation (RC) drilling and sampling for grade control, were applied in Sunrise Dam open pit
from the outset with considerable reward.
The success of these approaches in the open pit did not lead directly to their use in modelling and estimating the Resources
available to underground mining. Initially, the more traditional approach of sectional wireframing based on assumptions of
continuity of the mineralised geological structures were considered more appropriate because of their widespread use in other
Yilgarn gold mines. Later, more closely spaced drilling failed to conrm the continuity of the structures but indicated welldeveloped gold mineralisation between the structures in ground assumed to be barren or low grade.
Conditional simulation with stope optimisation has proved more benecial in the development of underground resource
models in the Cosmo and GQ mineralisation at the mine. This approach takes into account the greater uncertainties and
risks associated with extreme grade variation, broader drill hole spacing and higher cut-off grades that are encountered in
underground mining, particularly in this deposit. A more successful, lower cost, bulk mining approach that helps to mitigate
these risks has been the result.
1. MAusIMM, Mining Geology Manager Sunrise Dam, AngloGold Ashanti Australia Ltd, GPO Box F377, Perth WA 6001. Email: [email protected]
2. FAusIMM, Mining Geology Consultant and Contractor (previously: Mining Geology Manager Sunrise Dam), 15 Elphin Road, Launceston Tas 7250. Email: [email protected]
3. MAusIMM, Manager, FSS International Consultants (Australia) Pty Ltd, PO Box 493, Beecroft NSW 2119. Email: [email protected]
4. MAusIMM, Vice President Technical and Business Improvement, AngloGold Ashanti Australia Ltd, GPO Box F377, Perth WA 6001. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
The Sunrise Dam gold deposit is hosted in a complexly
deformed and altered package of shallowly north-west
dipping rocks within the Archaean Yilgarn Craton in
Western Australia. The mine is located at 2905S, 12225E,
approximately 270 km NNE of Kalgoorlie and 45 km SSE of
the township of Laverton (Figure 1).
Sunrise Dam is the largest gold deposit known in the
Laverton Tectonic Zone and is 100 per cent owned and
operated by AngloGold Ashanti Australia Ltd (AngloGold).
Open pit mining commenced in the northern part of the
deposit in 1995 by the Placer (Granny Smith) joint venture,
which produced 2.6 Moz of gold up until 2001. Open pit
mining of the larger southern part of the deposit commenced
in 1997 and to 31 December 2012, AngloGold Ashanti had
311
WKHWZRRSHUDWLRQVLQWRWKH6XQULVH'DPPLQH$QDJJUHVVLYH
SKDVHRIQHDUPLQHH[SORUDWLRQWRRNSODFHGXULQJ
WKDW UHVXOWHG LQ PDMRU GLVFRYHULHV DOORZLQJ WKH RSHQ SLW WR
H[SDQG VLJQLFDQWO\ WKURXJK D VHULHV RI ODUJH FXWEDFNV
WKH QDO RQH EHLQJ WKH 1RUWK :DOO FXWEDFN ZKLFK ZDV
FRPSOHWHGLQ$XJXVW7KLVUHVRXUFHGHYHORSPHQWZRUN
DOVR LQGLFDWHG WKDW WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ H[WHQGHG ZHOO EHORZ
WKH SURSRVHG SLW ERXQGDU\ RSHQLQJ XS RSSRUWXQLWLHV IRU
XQGHUJURXQGH[SORLWDWLRQ
7KHSURFHVVLQJSODQWZDVH[SDQGHGWR0WDLQEXW
KDV RSHUDWHG DW D UDWH RI DERXW 0WD VLQFH ,Q ODWH
XQGHUJURXQG GHYHORSPHQW FRPPHQFHG /DUJHVFDOH
RSHQSLWPLQLQJRI6XQULVH'DPZDVHIIHFWLYHO\H[KDXVWHGLQ
ODWHDIWHUPLQLQJ0WJUDGLQJJWDQGFRQWDLQLQJ
0R]$X7KHQDOSKDVHRIRSHQSLWPLQLQJWKHUHPRYDO
RIWKHFURZQSLOODUZLOOEHFRPSOHWHGE\PLGZKHQWKH
EDVHRIWKHSLWZLOOUHDFKPEHORZVXUIDFH
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQDQGRSHQSLWRSWLPLVDWLRQDUHEDVHGRQ
VXUIDFH 5& DQG GLDPRQG GULOOLQJ DW KROH VSDFLQJV RI DERXW
P*HRORJLFDOGRPDLQPRGHOOLQJZDVEDVHGRQFURVV
VHFWLRQDO SRO\JRQV XVHG WR FRQVWUXFW ' ZLUHIUDPHV 7KH
VHFWLRQDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ IRFXVHG RQ EURDGVFDOH VWUXFWXUDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQVRIWKHJHRORJLFDOIUDPHZRUN0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQ KDV EHHQ FRQGXFWHG XVLQJ PXOWLSOH LQGLFDWRU
NULJLQJ 0,. LQWR P( P1 P5/ EORFNV 7KH
0,.DSSURDFKWR0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQLVZHOOVXLWHG
WRJROGGHSRVLWVZLWKSRVLWLYHO\VNHZHGKLVWRJUDPVRIJUDGH
7KH PHWKRG HVWLPDWHV WKH JUDGH GLVWULEXWLRQ DW D QXPEHU
RI LQGLFDWRU WKUHVKROGV ZKLFK SURYLGHV EHWWHU PRGHOOLQJ
RI WKH KLJKHU JUDGH PDWHULDO LQ D JROG GHSRVLW ,W KDV EHHQ
XVHG VXFFHVVIXOO\ LQ PDQ\ RSHQ SLW JROG PLQHV WKURXJKRXW
WKHZRUOG6FKRHOG0RRUHDQG&DUVZHOODQGIRUWKH
RSHQSLWHVWLPDWHVDW6XQULVH'DPVLQFHWKHSLWEHJDQLQ
(VWLPDWLQJEORFNJUDGHVXVLQJOLQHDUHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRGVVXFK
DVRUGLQDU\NULJLQJLQGHSRVLWVWKDWH[KLELWH[WUHPHJHRORJLFDO
DQG JUDGH YDULDWLRQ FDQ EH FKDOOHQJLQJ DQG RIWHQ UHVXOWV LQ
PLVOHDGLQJHVWLPDWHV'DUUDJK&ODUNDQG&DWWR7KLV
LV RI SDUWLFXODU UHOHYDQFH DW 6XQULVH 'DP ZKHUH RUHERGLHV
GLVSOD\ VKDUS FKDQJHV LQ JROG JUDGHV RYHU VKRUW GLVWDQFHV
&KDQJHRIVXSSRUWPRGHOOLQJZDVLQLWLDOO\FDUULHGRXWXVLQJ
DYROXPHDGMXVWPHQWEDVHGRQVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJXQLWV608V
RIP(P1P5/WRREWDLQUHFRYHUDEOHSURSRUWLRQV
RIRUHDERYHPDUJLQDODQGUXQRIPLQHFXWRIIJUDGHV
*UDGH FRQWURO GULOOLQJ DW 6XQULVH 'DP KDV DOZD\V EHHQ
FDUULHGRXWXVLQJODUJHGLDPHWHUPPGHGLFDWHGDQJOHG
5&KROHVRQVDPSOLQJSDWWHUQVFXVWRPLVHGWRHDFKRUH]RQH
W\SLFDOO\XSWRDPD[LPXPVSDFLQJRIPDORQJVWULNHDQG
P DFURVV VWULNH ZLWK P GRZQKROH VDPSOLQJ LQWHUYDOV
*UDGHFRQWUROPRGHOOLQJIRURUHGHQLWLRQKDVEHHQFDUULHG
RXWXVLQJFRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQDQGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQPHWKRGV
VLQFHFRPPHQFHPHQWRIPLQLQJ
2YHU WKH OLIH RI WKH RSHQ SLW PLQH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH WR
JUDGH FRQWURO UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV KDYH ODUJHO\ EHHQ SRVLWLYH IRU
ERWK WRQQHV DQG JUDGH 3RVLWLYH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV ZHUH PRVW
SURQRXQFHG ZKHQ KLJKHU JUDGH SRUWLRQV RI WKH 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHZHUHEHLQJH[WUDFWHG
,Q D GHWDLOHG UHYLHZ RI WKH JUDGH FRQWURO PRGHOOLQJ
V\VWHP ZDV XQGHUWDNHQ DQG WKH 03 PRGHOOLQJ VRIWZDUH
ZDVLQWURGXFHG(FRQRPLFSRUWLRQVRIWKHVLPXODWLRQPRGHO
DUHGHQHGXVLQJDPD[LPXPSURWRSWLPLVDWLRQDOJRULWKP
Estimation of Underground Mineral Resources at the Sunrise Dam Gold Mine A Case Study in Risk Management|F Clark et al
GEOLOGY OF RESOURCES
Geological setting
7KHGHSRVLWLVKRVWHGE\DQGHVLWLFWREDVDOWLFYROFDQRFODVWLF
URFNV DQG PDJQHWLWHULFK VKDOHV DQG WXUELGLWHV EDQGHG
Mineralisation styles
)RXU GLIIHUHQW VW\OHV RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZHUH UHFRJQLVHG E\
%DNHU et alEDVHGPDLQO\RQWKHLUVWUXFWXUDOVHWWLQJ
*URXS DUH RUHERGLHV ZLWKLQ JHQWO\ WR PRGHUDWHO\
QRUWKZHVW GLSSLQJ VKHDU ]RQHV DQG LQFOXGH &OHR
6XQULVH 0LGZD\*4 DQG &DUH\ 0LQHUDOLVDWLRQ RFFXUV
GRPLQDQWO\ LQ YHLQV ZLWKLQ D ' SHQHWUDWLYH IDEULF WKDW
FRQVLVWV RI VHULFLWHFKORULWH FOHDYDJH RU VFKLVWRVLW\
7KH YHLQV W\SLFDOO\ FRQWDLQ TXDUW]FDUERQDWH S\ULWH
DUVHQRS\ULWH
*URXS FRPSULVHV RUHERGLHV KRVWHG ZLWKLQ VWHHSO\
GLSSLQJVKHDU]RQHVDQGLQFOXGH:HVWHUQ6KHDU:DWXDQG
$VWUR0LQHUDOLVDWLRQLVGRPLQDQWO\KRVWHGZLWKLQEUHFFLD
]RQHVDQGYHLQVDQGWRDOHVVHUH[WHQWZLWKLQSHQHWUDWLYH
IDEULFV%UHFFLDVFRQVLVWRIDQJXODUFODVWVRIVHULFLWHDOWHUHG
KRVWURFNVXSWRVHYHUDOFHQWLPHWUHVLQVL]HORFDOO\ZLWK
MLJVDZWVLQTXDUW]PDWUL[DQGTXDUW]FDUERQDWHLQOO
FIG 2 - Schematic cross-section showing the broad structural features of the Sunrise Dam Gold Mine mineralisation.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
313
9HLQVDUHFRPPRQO\VWHHSO\GLSSLQJYDU\LQJXSWRP
ZLGHDQGFRQVLVWRIFDUERQDWHS\ULWHDUVHQRS\ULWHTXDUW]
*URXSLQFOXGHVRUHERGLHVKRVWHGZLWKLQVWHHSO\GLSSLQJ
VWRFNZRUNYHLQDQGEUHFFLD]RQHVDQGLQFOXGH&RVPRDQG
WKH'ROO\ORGHV7KHVWRFNZRUNRIYHLQVDQGEUHFFLDVDUHXS
WRPZLGHDQGWKHYHLQVFRPPRQO\FRQWDLQFDUERQDWH
FKORULWHTXDUW]VHULFLWHS\ULWHDUVHQRS\ULWH
*URXS LQFOXGHV PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ KRVWHG E\ WKH 'ROO\
SRUSK\U\ ZKHUH WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ RFFXUV ZLWKLQ VWHHS
QDUURZ FP ZLGH JROGEHDULQJ TXDUW]S\ULWH
DUVHQRS\ULWHYHLQV
Gold distribution
*ROGRFFXUVLQTXDUW]YHLQVDQGLQWKHYHLQDOWHUDWLRQKDORHV
DVQHWRYHU\FRDUVHFPKLJKQHQHVVHOHFWUXPJUDLQV
DQG DV QH LQFOXVLRQV LQ S\ULWH DQG DUVHQRS\ULWH *UDYLW\
UHFRYHU\ LQ WKH SURFHVVLQJ SODQW KDV DYHUDJHG SHU FHQW
RYHU WKH OLIH RI WKH PLQH *ROG DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK VXOGHV FDQ
EHUHIUDFWRU\LQFRPPRQZLWKPDQ\RWKHU<LOJDUQGHSRVLWV
7KH RFFXUUHQFH RI D KLJK SURSRUWLRQ RI FRDUVH JROG KDV
REYLRXVLPSOLFDWLRQVIRUVDPSOLQJDQG5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ
6DPSOHKLVWRJUDPVRIJROGJUDGHDUHIUHTXHQWO\PXOWLPRGDO
W\SLFDOO\H[KLELWLQJVWURQJSRVLWLYHVNHZQHVV&RHIFLHQWVRI
YDULDWLRQ&9DUHFRPPRQO\JUHDWHUWKDQWHQDQGPD[LPXP
JROGJUDGHLQPVDPSOHFRPSRVLWHVFDQH[FHHGJWLQ
VRPHVW\OHVRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ6SDWLDOYDULDELOLW\RIJROGJUDGH
LVYHU\KLJKUHHFWLQJWKHHUUDWLFPHWDOGLVWULEXWLRQFRXSOHG
ZLWK WKH FRPSOH[ VWUXFWXUDO FKDUDFWHU RI WKH RUHERGLHV
&RQWLQXLW\RIKLJKJUDGHJROGYDOXHVLVW\SLFDOO\YHU\ZHDN
EXWYDULHVDPRQJWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQVW\OHV
7KHVH JHRORJLF DQG JUDGH SURSHUWLHV PDNH JHRORJLFDO
DQG JHRVWDWLVWLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQG PRGHOOLQJ H[WUHPHO\
FKDOOHQJLQJ DQG LQFUHDVH WKH XQFHUWDLQWLHV DQG ULVNV
DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ 7KH FKDOOHQJHV DQG
ULVNVDUHHYHQJUHDWHULQWKHXQGHUJURXQGHQYLURQPHQWZKHUH
KLJKHU RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV QHFHVVLWDWH PLQLQJ KLJKJUDGH RUH
1DWXUDOO\ LQ XQGHUJURXQG RSHUDWLRQV LW LV RIWHQ DWWUDFWLYH
WR DWWHPSW WR KLJKJUDGH WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH E\ WDUJHWLQJ
WKH VHFWLRQV RI WKH GULOOLQJ ZLWK EHWWHU JUDGH $W 6XQULVH
'DPWKLVDSSURDFKKDVOHGWRVRPHVLJQLFDQWSUREOHPVDQG
LQFUHDVHGULVNVGXHWRWKHSK\VLFDOFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHJROG
GLVWULEXWLRQRXWOLQHGKHUH
7KHSURMHFWZDVIXUWKHUMXVWLHGRQWKHEDVLVWKDWWKHFDSLWDO
FRVWVFRXOGEHUHFRYHUHGE\PLQLQJRIWKH6XQULVH6KHDUDQG
:HVWHUQ6KHDURUH]RQHVWKDWH[WHQGHGEH\RQGWKHOLPLWVRI
WKHRSHQSLW7KLVZDVDFRQVHUYDWLYHDSSURDFKWKDWDVVXPHG
QRIXUWKHURUHZRXOGEHLGHQWLHGKRZHYHURQHRIWKHPRVW
LPSRUWDQWEHQHWVRIWKHXQGHUJURXQGGHYHORSPHQWZDVWKH
DELOLW\ WR SURYLGH SODWIRUPV HQDEOLQJ PRUH UDSLG DQG FRVW
HIIHFWLYH GLDPRQG GULOOLQJ RI WKH GHHSHU WDUJHWV ZLWKLQ WKH
PLQHUDOLVHGV\VWHP
'ULOOLQJFRXOGDOVREHXQGHUWDNHQLQWKHDUHDVLPPHGLDWHO\
DGMDFHQWWRWKHRSHQSLWWRHYDOXDWHWKH5HVRXUFHVSHULSKHUDO
WRWKHSLWIRUQDORSWLPLVDWLRQ7KHQDOFXWEDFNWKH1RUWK
:DOO FXWEDFN ZKLFK H[WHQGHG WKH OLIH RI WKH RSHQ SLW E\
WKUHH\HDUVZDVMXVWLHGLQSDUWE\XQGHUJURXQG5HVRXUFH
GHYHORSPHQWGULOOLQJ
Estimation of Underground Mineral Resources at the Sunrise Dam Gold Mine A Case Study in Risk Management|F Clark et al
RI WKH RSHQ SLW )LJXUH 7KH IDXOW ]RQH LV PLQHUDOLVHG IRU
RYHU D NLORPHWUH DORQJ VWULNH DQG KDV PRGHUDWH FKDQJHV LQ
VWULNHDQGGLSGLUHFWLRQDORQJLWVOHQJWK7KH&RVPRRUHERG\
RFFXSLHV WKH FHQWUDO SDUW RI WKH VWUXFWXUH ZKHUH WKHUH LV D
QRWLFHDEOH FKDQJH LQ VWULNH %URDGO\ LW VWULNHV 11: DQG
GLSVVWHHSO\WRWKHHDVW7KHVXUURXQGLQJZDOOURFNH[KLELWV
LQWHQVHVHULFLWHFDUERQDWHVXOGHDOWHUDWLRQ1XJXV%LJJDP
DQG %OHQNLQVRS 0XOWLSOH VW\OHV RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
H[LVWZLWKLQWKH]RQHIURPFODVWVXSSRUWHGEUHFFLDVWKURXJK
WR VWRFNZRUNW\SH IUDFWXUH DUUD\V PDNLQJ LW JHRPHWULFDOO\
FRPSOH[ DW WKH YHLQ VFDOH &RPPRQO\ WKH RUHERG\ LV FURVV
FXWE\VKDOORZZHVWHUO\GLSSLQJVKHDUVWKDWDUHPLQHUDOLVHG
8QGHUJURXQG H[SORUDWLRQ GULOOLQJ EHORZ WKH EDVH RI WKH
RSHQ SLW WRRN SODFH EHWZHHQ DQG DQG GHQHG
WKH H[WHQW RI WKH &RVPR RUH ]RQH ,QLWLDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV
ZHUH FRQGXFWHG LQ D VLPLODU IDVKLRQ WR RWKHU DUHDV LQ WKH
XQGHUJURXQGPLQHDWWKHWLPH*HRORJLFDOZLUHIUDPHVZHUH
EXLOW WR FDSWXUH LQGLYLGXDO YHLQV LQ DQ DWWHPSW WR PDS RXW
KLJKJUDGHWDUJHWDUHDVIRUVWRSLQJ7KHZLUHIUDPHVFRQVLVWHG
SUHGRPLQDQWO\ RI PRGHUDWHO\ ZHVWGLSSLQJ VWUXFWXUHV ZLWK
VRPHUHDVRQDEO\FRQWLQXRXVVWHHS]RQHV)LJXUH0DWHULDO
EHWZHHQWKHVWUXFWXUHVZDVDVVXPHGWREHXQHFRQRPLFDQG
QRW PRGHOOHG 0LQH SODQQLQJ ZDV GLIFXOW EHFDXVH RI WKH
FRPSOH[LW\ RI WKH JHRORJLFDO VKDSHV ,QLWLDO PLQH GHVLJQV
SURGXFHG VPDOO PLQLQJ YROXPHV WKDW ZHUH H[SHQVLYH WR
PLQH GXH WR WKH ODUJH DPRXQW RI GHYHORSPHQW UHTXLUHG IRU
H[WUDFWLRQ
7KHXSSHUSDUWRIWKHRUHERG\ZDVH[SRVHGLQWKHRSHQSLW
ZKHUHDSSUR[LPDWHO\0WRIRUHZDVPLQHG*UDGHFRQWURO
RUH EORFNV ZHUH W\SLFDOO\ WR P ZLGH DQG GLVSOD\HG
JRRG FRQWLQXLW\ GRZQ GLS DQG DORQJ VWULNH 2EVHUYDWLRQV
IURP WKH SLW LQGLFDWHG WKDW WKH PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQH FRQWDLQHG
ERWKVWHHSEUHFFLDVFURVVFXWE\WKHPRGHUDWHO\ZHVWGLSSLQJ
PLQHUDOLVHG VKHDU ]RQHV 2UH EORFNV W\SLFDOO\ LGHQWLHG
WKH KDQJLQJ ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOO FRQWDFWV RI WKH ]RQH ZKLFK
LQFOXGHG DOO YHLQ W\SHV DQG UHVXOWHG LQ VLJQLFDQW YROXPHV
RIRUH7KHEURDGJHRPHWU\RIWKHRUHVWULNHVQRUWKHUO\ZLWK
DVWHHSHDVWHUO\GLS*UDGHFRQWUROGULOOLQJLQGLFDWHGWKDWWKH
PDWHULDOEHWZHHQVLJQLFDQWVWHHS]RQHVZDVDOVRPLQHUDOLVHG
,QDIWHUH[WHQVLYHXQGHUJURXQGJUDGHFRQWUROGULOOLQJ
WR D GHQVLW\ RI P LW EHFDPH DSSDUHQW WKDW DUHDV
EHWZHHQ ZLUHIUDPHV WKDW ZHUH SUHGLFWHG WR EH XQHFRQRPLF
IURP WKH JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ ZHUH LQ IDFW RUH 7KH
GHQVLW\RIGULOOLQJLQGLFDWHGWKDWEURDGO\WKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
KDGWKHVDPHJHRPHWU\DVWKDWVHHQLQWKHRSHQSLWGHVSLWH
WKHFRQWUDVWVRIWHQVHHQDWWKHYHLQVFDOH7KHVHREVHUYDWLRQV
VSDUNHGWKHLGHDRIXVLQJDFRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQDSSURDFK
WR PDSSLQJ WKH &RVPR PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZLWK WKH LQWHQWLRQ RI
XWLOLVLQJ EXON PLQLQJ PHWKRGV IRU RUH H[WUDFWLRQ 7KH UVW
VLPXODWLRQ PRGHO ZDV FRPSOHWHG LQ DQG SURGXFHG D
PXFK ODUJHU 5HVRXUFH ZLWK FRQWLJXRXV VWRSLQJ VKDSHV WKDW
ZHUHPRUHDPHQDEOHWREXONH[WUDFWLRQ)LJXUH
0LQLQJ RI &RVPR ZDV EDVHG RQ WKH RSWLPLVHG VWRSHV
RXWOLQHGIURPWKHVLPXODWLRQPRGHO7KHVHVKDSHVSURGXFHG
VLJQLFDQWO\ PRUH WRQQHV WR SHU FHQW WKDQ WKH HDUO\
ZLUHIUDPH HVWLPDWHV 0LQH WR PLOO UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ RI JUDGH
KDVEHHQSRVLWLYHZLWKWKH5HVRXUFHPRGHOJHQHUDOO\XQGHU
FDOOLQJPHWDOFRQWHQWE\aSHUFHQW7KHXVHRIFRQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQ WR PRGHO WKH &RVPR 5HVRXUFH KDV SURYLGHG D
SUDFWLFDO WRRO IRU XQGHUJURXQG PLQH SODQQLQJ ZKLFK KDV
DOORZHG PRUH HIFLHQW DQG FRVWHIIHFWLYH H[WUDFWLRQ RI WKH
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
315
FIG 3 - Schematic cross-section showing the base of the open pit and the extent and style of mineralisation seen in the Cosmo and GQ orebodies.
FIG 4 - Section of Cosmo showing early interpreted wireframe outlines of ore and the final stope based on simulation modelling.
Estimation of Underground Mineral Resources at the Sunrise Dam Gold Mine A Case Study in Risk Management|F Clark et al
WRJHRORJLFDOGRPDLQLQJDQGWKHWUHDWPHQWRIWKHYHU\KLJK
JUDGHVDPSOHVLQWKHGDWDVHWXVHGIRU5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ
5HVRXUFH GHYHORSPHQW GULOOLQJ ZDV FDUULHG RXW IURP
GHGLFDWHG XQGHUJURXQG GHYHORSPHQW ZLWKLQ DQG LQ WKH
KDQJLQJ ZDOO RI WKH 0LGZD\ VKHDU IURP WR 7KH
GULOOLQJZDVSODQQHGWREHDWDVSDFLQJRIPLQVWULNHDQG
GLS EXW EHFDXVH RI OLPLWHG GULOO VLWHV DQG WKH VFDOH RI WKH
0LGZD\ VKHDU PXFK RI WKH GULOOLQJ ZDV ZLGHU VSDFHG DQG
IDQQHG VR WKH VSDFLQJ DQG RULHQWDWLRQ RI WKH GULOOLQJ ZDV
KLJKO\YDULDEOHOHDGLQJWRYHU\FOXVWHUHGVDPSOLQJSDWWHUQV
$OORIWKHGULOOLQJZDV14FRULQJZLWKKDOIFRUHVDPSOLQJ
,QLWLDO 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV ZHUH EDVHG RQ ZLUHIUDPLQJ
RI GULOO LQWHUVHFWLRQV DVVXPLQJ WKDW WKH KRVW YHLQV ZHUH
FRQFRUGDQW ZLWK WKH 0LGZD\ VKHDU ZHUH SODQDU DQG KDG
H[WHQVLYHFRQWLQXLW\RIXSWRP*UDGHHVWLPDWLRQZLWKLQ
HDFKZLUHIUDPHZDVEDVHGRQFRQVWUDLQHG'RUGLQDU\NULJLQJ
RIPHWDODFFXPXODWLRQDQGYHLQWKLFNQHVV7KHUVW5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWHZDVFRPSOHWHGLQDQGWRWDOOHGWJUDGLQJ
JW$X
6WRSH GHYHORSPHQW FRPPHQFHG LQ DQG FRQFXUUHQW
ZLWKWKLVGHYHORSPHQWDPDMRUVWXG\ZDVXQGHUWDNHQWRWHVW
WKHTXDOLW\RIWKHHVWLPDWHVDQGWKHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
RQ ZKLFK WKH 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWH ZDV EDVHG 7KH VWXG\
LQFOXGHG
7KHGLVWULEXWLRQRIWKHKRVWYHLQVZDVIDUPRUHFRPSOH[
WKDQ PRGHOOHG IURP WKH 5HVRXUFH GULOOLQJ DQG WKH
FRQWLQXLW\ RI WKH YHLQV ZDV JHQHUDOO\ OHVV WKDQ WKH GULOO
VSDFLQJ
7KH *4 PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ VKRZV H[WUHPH JUDGH YDULDWLRQ
ZLWKD&9JUHDWHUWKDQ
7KH KDOI 14 FRUH DQG GHYHORSPHQW VDPSOLQJ LV KLJKO\
LPSUHFLVH ZLWK FRUH DQG GHYHORSPHQW VDPSOLQJ
FRPPRQO\VKRZLQJJUHDWHUWKDQSHUFHQWLPSUHFLVLRQ
UHHFWLQJDKLJKQXJJHWGLVWULEXWLRQRIJROG
7KH WKUHH VWRSHV EDVHG RQ ZLUHIUDPH LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV
ZKHQ PLQHG DQG EDWFK SURFHVVHG SURGXFHG D WRWDO RI
WZLWKDPHDQJUDGHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQRISHUFHQW
WKDWLVWKHJUDGHUHSRUWHGE\WKHPLOOZDVSHUFHQWOHVV
WKDQWKHHVWLPDWHGJUDGHRIWKHVWRSHV
7KHWZRGHYHORSPHQWEDWFKHVIURPFURVVFXWVDFURVVWKH
0LGZD\VKHDUKDGDPHDQJUDGHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQRISHU
FHQWWKDWLVWKHJUDGHUHSRUWHGE\WKHPLOOZDVSHUFHQW
PRUHWKDQWKHHVWLPDWHGUHVRXUFHJUDGH
*UDGHPRGHOOLQJZLWKWKHDGGHGVXSSRUWRIGHYHORSPHQW
VDPSOHV JDYH EHWWHU UHVXOWV DQG PRGHOOLQJ ZLWK '
FRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQJDYHVLJQLFDQWO\EHWWHUUHVXOWV
7KHUH ZDV D VDPSOH VXSSRUW GULOO RULHQWDWLRQ VDPSOH
YROXPH DQG LQIRUPDWLRQ HIIHFW VDPSOH GHQVLW\
LVVXH ZKHUHE\ WKH VDPSOLQJ SDWWHUQ DQG GHQVLW\ RI
GULOOLQJ LQDGHTXDWHO\ UHSUHVHQWHG WKH XQGHUO\LQJ JUDGH
GLVWULEXWLRQ DQG VSDWLDO ORFDWLRQ OHDGLQJ WR VLJQLFDQW
LVVXHVZLWK5HVRXUFHPRGHOOLQJDQGRUHGHQLWLRQ
317
XQGHUJURXQGDWWKLVPLQHZHUHLQYDOXDEOHWRWKHGHYHORSPHQW
RIVLPLODUDSSURDFKHVDW6XQULVH'DP6FKRHOG
$W WKH WLPH RI LQLWLDO GHYHORSPHQW RI WKH 6XQULVH 'DP
XQGHUJURXQGPLQHWKHDSSOLFDWLRQRIFRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQ
PHWKRGV WR XQGHUJURXQG 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ ZDV QRW DV
ZHOO HVWDEOLVKHG DV LQ WKH RSHQ SLW HQYLURQPHQW )URP WKLV
SHUVSHFWLYHDGRSWLQJWKHPRUHJHQHUDOO\SUDFWLFHGDSSURDFK
RI JHRORJLFDO ZLUHIUDPLQJ IRU XQGHUJURXQG 5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWLRQPD\EHVHHQDVUDWLRQDODQGFRQVLVWHQWZLWKJRRG
5HVRXUFHPRGHOOLQJSUDFWLFH
$IWHULQLWLDODWWHPSWVDWZLUHIUDPHPRGHOOLQJRI5HVRXUFHV
LQ WKH XQGHUJURXQG PLQH ZHUH XQUHZDUGLQJ FRQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQ PRGHOV ZHUH XVHG WR SURYLGH D EDVLV IRU ODUJHU
VFDOH VWRSH GHYHORSPHQW LQ WKH &RVPR PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ 7KLV
DSSURDFK SURYHG PRUH IUXLWIXO 0RUH UHFHQWO\ LW KDV EHHQ
DSSOLHG WR ORZHU JUDGH DQG PRUH HUUDWLF *4 PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
DQG ZLWK WKH EHQHW RI FORVHU VSDFHG GULOOLQJ KDV UHDOLVHG
PXFKLPSURYHGRXWFRPHV
7KLVUHFRUGRIWKHGHYHORSPHQWRI5HVRXUFHPRGHOOLQJDQG
JUDGH FRQWURO DSSURDFKHV DW 6XQULVH 'DP LV DQ LPSRUWDQW
FRQWULEXWLRQ WR WKH GHEDWH DERXW 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ
LQ PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV JHQHUDOO\ EXW SDUWLFXODUO\ LQ JROG
GHSRVLWV1RWDOOJROGGHSRVLWVKDYHWKHH[WUHPHFRDUVHJROG
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI 6XQULVH 'DP EXW LW LV PRUH D TXHVWLRQ RI
GHJUHH UDWKHU WKDQ KDV RU KDV QRW ,Q WKLV VHQVH WKH OHVVRQV
OHDUQHG IURP 6XQULVH 'DP DUH DSSOLFDEOH WR 5HVRXUFH
PRGHOOLQJDQGJUDGHFRQWUROLQPRVWLIQRWDOOJROGGHSRVLWV
$QG LI LW FDQ EH VXPPDULVHG LQ D VLQJOH VHQWHQFH WKH NH\
OHVVRQLV
,QLWLDWH DQG PDLQWDLQ KLJKTXDOLW\ VDPSOLQJ DQG GRQW
try to be too selective; allow for uncertainty and risk of
PLVFODVVLFDWLRQSDUWLFXODUO\RIRUHWRZDVWHWKURXJKWKH
use of appropriate geostatistical modelling methods.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUVJUDWHIXOO\DFNQRZOHGJHWKHVXSSRUWRI$QJOR*ROG
$VKDQWL LQ WKH SUHSDUDWLRQ RI WKLV SDSHU DQG SHUPLVVLRQ WR
SXEOLVKWKHSDSHU
318
REFERENCES
%DNHU7%HUWHOOL0%OHQNLQVRS7&OHYHUOH\-0F/HQQDQ-1XJXV
0DQG*LOOHQ'37;FRQGLWLRQVRIXLGVLQWKH6XQULVH
'DP *ROG 'HSRVLW :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD DQG LPSOLFDWLRQV IRU WKH
LQWHUSOD\ EHWZHHQ GHIRUPDWLRQ DQG XLGV Economic Geology
'DUUDJK0&ODUN)DQG&DWWR%.LFNLQJWKHEXFNHWDFDVH
VWXG\ RI HYROYLQJ GRPDLQV DQG JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ 6XQULVH
'DP *ROG 0LQH :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD LQ Proceedings Seventh
,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQLQJ *HRORJ\ &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
)URLGHYDX[ 5 3UREDELOLW\ HOG VLPXODWLRQ LQ Geostatistics
7URLD HG $ 6RDUHV .OXZHU $FDGHPLF 3XEOLVKHUV
/RQGRQ
*RPH]+HUQDQGH] - - DQG -RXUQHO $ * -RLQW VHTXHQWLDO
VLPXODWLRQRIPXOWLJDXVVLDQHOGVLQ*HRVWDWLVWLFV7URLDHG$
6RDUHV.OXZHU$FDGHPLF3XEOLVKHUV/RQGRQ
1HZWRQ3*1*LEEV'*URYH$-RQHV&0DQG5\DOO$:
6XQULVH&OHRJROGGHSRVLWLQGeology of Australian and Papua New
*XLQHDQ0LQHUDO'HSRVLWVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
1XJXV 0 - %LJJDP - DQG %OHQNLQVRS 7 &RQWUROV DQG
GLVWULEXWLRQRIJROGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQZLWKLQWKH6XQULVH6KHDU=RQH
LPSOLFDWLRQVIRUUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQDQGPLQLQJLQProceedings
0LQH*HRORJ\&RQIHUHQFHSS$QJOR$PHULFDQSOF
6FKRHOG1$7KHP\WKRIPLQHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQLQProceedings
Mine to Mill Conference SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
6FKRHOG 1 $ &RQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ RI JUDGH LQ D PXOWL
HOHPHQWPDVVLYHVXOGHGHSRVLWLQ*HRVWDWLVWLFV%DQIIHGV
2/HXDQJWKRQJDQG&9'HXWVFK6SULQJHU
6FKRHOG 1 $ 0RRUH - DQG &DUVZHOO - 7 0LQH WR PLOO
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ WKUHH FDVH VWXGLHV LQ Proceedings International
0LQH0DQDJHPHQWSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Principal, GNJ Consulting Pty Ltd, PO Box 2372, Bunbury WA 6231. Email: [email protected]
2. Principal Development Geologist, Iluka Resources Ltd, 140 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
3. MAusIMM, previously: Principal Development Geologist, Iluka Resources Ltd. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
Resource estimation for mineral sands follows standard
estimation principles as applied to commodities throughout
the Mineral Resource sector. The basic principles of
Resource estimation such as assessment of all the data,
sound geological interpretation, appropriate supporting
levels of quality assurance / quality control (QA/QC) data
and robust geological model construction are required to
reect all the inputs as with any other commodity. There
are, however, some characteristics of mineral sands that
require a slightly different approach in the evaluation,
Resource estimation and eventual reporting of the Mineral
Resource estimate.
The primary grade variables that a practitioner would
want to interpolate into a mineral sands block model
would be heavy mineral (HM), valuable HM percentages
(assemblage), mineral qualities (chemistry) and material
sizing characteristics such as the proportions of oversize
(eg >2 mm), slimes (eg <53 m) and sand (>53 m <2 mm) as
well as rock or induration.
Typically, mineral sands deposits fall into three main types
of orebodies; palaeo shorelines/marine placers, dunal/
aeolian deposits and alluvial deposits. There are rare instances
of hard rock ilmenite, zircon and rutile deposits; however,
319
Geology
7KH FRUUHFW LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RI JHRORJ\ DQG PLQHUDORJLFDO
FRQWUROV LV DQ LWHUDWLYH SURFHVV ,QLWLDOO\ D JHRORJLFDO DQG
PLQHUDORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQLVSRVVLEOHIURPHOGORJJLQJRI
SDQQHG VDPSOHV LGHQWLFDWLRQ RI LQGXUDWLRQ KRUL]RQV DQG
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQRUJUDGHKDORVIURPSDQQHG+0HVWLPDWHV
)URP WKLV LQLWLDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ VXSSRUWLQJ ODERUDWRU\
DVVD\V DOORZ IRU UHQHPHQW EDVHG RQ +0 VOLPHV DQG
RYHUVL]H JUDGHV 0LFURVFRSH LQVSHFWLRQ RI WKH +0 VLQNV
JLYHVDQLQGLFDWLRQRIDSSUR[LPDWHDVVHPEODJHFRPSRVLWLRQ
DOWHUDWLRQ RI LOPHQLWH DQG PLQHUDO FRDWLQJV VXFK DV LURQ
VLOLFD DQG FOD\ WKH SUHVHQFH RI URFN DQG DJJUHJDWHV RI
TXDUW] 8QGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH JURVV GLVWULEXWLRQ RI PLQHUDO
DVVHPEODJH JUDGHV DQG TXDOLW\ ZLOO WKHQ GHWHUPLQH WKH
VHOHFWLRQ RI VDPSOHV IRU GHWDLOHG PLQHUDORJLFDO DVVHVVPHQW
DQGPHWDOOXUJLFDOHYDOXDWLRQ
$V IRU DQ\ JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ LW LV LPSRUWDQW WR
HVWDEOLVK WKH WLPLQJ RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ GHSRVLWLRQ DQG
VXEVHTXHQWRYHUSULQWLQJHYHQWV7KHUHFDQEH
Assay data
0LQHUDOVDQGVGRYDU\IURPRWKHUFRPPRGLWLHVZLWKUHVSHFW
WR WKH DVVD\ RI WKH YDOXDEOH FRPSRQHQWV RI PLQHUDOLVHG
RUHERGLHV$VVD\LQJLVSULPDULO\IRFXVHGDURXQGGHWHUPLQLQJ
WKH SHUFHQWDJH RI +0 FRQWDLQHG ZLWKLQ D JLYHQ VDPSOH
PDWHULDO ZLWK D VSHFLF JUDYLW\ JUHDWHU WKDQ JFP
2WKHUUHVXOWVRILQWHUHVWLQFOXGHFOD\QHVRUVOLPHVPDWHULDO
JHQHUDOO\ OHVV WKDQ WR P VDQG JHQHUDOO\ P RU
WRPRUPPDQGRYHUVL]HJHQHUDOO\JUHDWHUWKDQ
PRUPP6L]LQJFULWHULDLVQRWVWDQGDUGLVHGDFURVV
WKH LQGXVWU\ DQG FRPSDQLHV KDYH RIWHQ GHYHORSHG D UDQJH
RI GLIIHUHQW VL]LQJV DV D GLUHFW UHVXOW RI WKH XQLTXH SK\VLFDO
VL]LQJ FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI NH\ GHSRVLWV DQG DV D UHVSRQVH WR
SURFHVVPHWDOOXUJ\UHTXLUHPHQWV-RQHV
7KH IROORZLQJ UHODWLRQVKLSV DUH YHU\ LPSRUWDQW IRU WKH
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWRUWRFRQVLGHUZLWKLQWKHSURSRVHGJHRORJ\
GRPDLQV
320
WKHGLVWULEXWLRQRI+0PLQHUDORJ\RUDVVHPEODJH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
WKH UDWLR RI YDOXDEOH KHDY\ PLQHUDO 9+0 WR WUDVK RU
QRQYDOXDEOH+0
FRUUHODWLRQEHWZHHQ+0DVVD\VDQGWKHHOGHVWLPDWHVRI
URFNRULQGXUDWLRQ
FKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHPDWHULDOVL]LQJDVVD\GDWDRYHUVL]H
VDQGVOLPHV
7KH GLVWULEXWLRQ DQG LQWHUDFWLRQ RI WKHVH FRPSRQHQWV LV
LPSRUWDQW DQG FRUUHFWO\ LQWHUSUHWLQJ WKRVH UHODWLRQVKLSV
DQG WKHQ LQWHUSRODWLQJ WKRVH LQWR D JHRORJLFDO EORFN PRGHO
LV WKH REMHFWLYH RI WKH PLQHUDO VDQGV 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWRU
8QGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH VDPSOH VXSSRUW DQG VSDWLDO GLVWULEXWLRQ
IRU HDFK RI WKHVH YDULDEOHV ZLOO XOWLPDWHO\ LQXHQFH WKH
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQDQGFRQGHQFHLQWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
WKDWLVUHSRUWHG
Mineralogical assessment
,OXND XWLOLVHV PLQHUDORJ\ GDWD VRXUFHG IURP PLQHUDORJLFDO
FRPSRVLWH VDPSOHV WKDW LQFRUSRUDWH PXOWLSOH VDPSOHV IURP
ZLWKLQ D GHQHG PLQHUDORJLFDO GRPDLQ 7KH GRPDLQV DUH
GHWHUPLQHG IURP WKH LQLWLDO JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQG
H[DPLQDWLRQRIKHDY\PLQHUDOIUDFWLRQVXQGHUDPLFURVFRSH
&RPSRVLWH VDPSOHV DUH VRXUFHG IURP HLWKHU WKH +0 VLQNV
RU VDQG IUDFWLRQV SURGXFHG GXULQJ WKH GULOO VDPSOH DVVD\
SURFHVVDQGDUHDQDO\VHGWRFKDUDFWHULVHWKHPLQHUDORJ\DQG
FKHPLVWU\RIWKH+0
&RPSRVLWHPLQHUDORJ\VDPSOHVDUHXVHGZLWKLQ,OXNDIRU
D QXPEHU RI UHDVRQV QRW OHDVW EHLQJ WKH FRVW RI SUHSDULQJ
WKHPLQHUDODVVHPEODJHFRPSRVLWHDQDO\VLV+HDY\PLQHUDO
DVVD\V FDQ FRVW LQ WKH RUGHU RI WR RU FORVHU WR
LI FRPSOHWHG E\ DQ H[WHUQDO ODERUDWRU\ 7KH FRVW RI D
PLQHUDO DVVHPEODJH FRPSRVLWH DQDO\VLV FDQ UDQJH IURP
WKURXJKWRGHSHQGLQJRQZKHWKHUWKHDQDO\VLV
LV SXUHO\ FKHPLFDO DQDO\WLFDO 4(06&$1 RU D PL[WXUH
RI SK\VLFDO DQGRU JUDYLPHWULF VHSDUDWLRQ DQG FKHPLFDO
DQDO\VLV PDJQHWLF DQG HOHFWURVWDWLF VHSDUDWLRQ &OHULFL
70)7KDOOLXP0DORQDWH7KDOOLXP)RUPDWHKHDY\PHGLD
VHSDUDWLRQ FRXSOHG ZLWK ;UD\ XRUHVFHQFH DQDO\VLV
([WHQVLYHVL]LQJDQDO\VLVLVDOVRDQLPSRUWDQWFRPSRQHQWRI
WKHFRPSRVLWHDQDO\VLV
7KH RWKHU GULYHU EHKLQG FRPSRVLWLQJ RI VDPSOHV LV D
PLQLPXPZHLJKWRI+0WKDWLVUHTXLUHGLQRUGHUWRFRQGXFW
WKHDQDO\VLV7KLVLVOHVVRIDQLVVXHZLWK4(06&$1ZKLFK
FDQ EH FRQGXFWHG RQ VPDOO VDPSOHV DQG JHQHUDOO\ PRUH
DQ LVVXH ZLWK PHWKRGRORJLHV WKDW UHTXLUH H[SORLWDWLRQ RI
WKH SK\VLFDO VHSDUDWLRQ SURSHUWLHV RI WKH +0 DQG ODUJHU
TXDQWLWLHVRI+0
,W VKRXOG EH QRWHG WKDW PLQHUDORJLFDO DVVHVVPHQW LV
GLIIHUHQW IURP PHWDOOXUJLFDO HYDOXDWLRQ 0LQHUDORJLFDO
DVVHVVPHQWLQYROYHVGHWHUPLQLQJPLQHUDOVSHFLHVJUDLQVL]H
DQG FKHPLVWU\ RI D VDPSOH ZKLOH WKH ODWWHU LV PRUH IRFXVHG
RQ GHWHUPLQLQJ UHFRYHU\ DQG VHSDUDWLRQ HIFLHQFLHV IRU
VHOHFWHG SURFHVVLQJ WHFKQLTXHV DORQJ ZLWK QDO SURGXFW
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV7DEOHVKRZVWKHFRPPRQPLQHUDOVPDNLQJ
XSDW\SLFDO+0DVVHPEODJHDORQJZLWKWKHLUW\SLFDOSK\VLFDO
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
Mineral Sands Some Aspects of Evaluation, Resource Estimation and Reporting|G Jones, B Gibson and V OBrien
TABLE 1
Common mineral sands, their physical properties and chemistry (source: Iluka Resources).
Mineral
Valuable
Magnetic susceptibility
Electrical conductivity
Specific gravity
Chemical formula
Ilmenite
Yes
High
High
4.5 - 5.0
Fe.TiO3
Rutile
Yes
Low
High
4.2 - 4.3
TiO2
Zircon
Yes
Low
Low
4.7
ZrSiO4
Leucoxene
Yes
Semi
High
3.5 - 4.1
Fe.TiO3.TiO2
Monazite
No
Semi
Low
4.9 - 5.3
(Ce,La,Th,Nd,Y)PO4
Staurolite
No
Semi
Low
3.6 - 3.8
Fe2Al9Si4O22.(OH)2
Kyanite
No
Low
Low
3.6 - 3.7
Al2SiO5
Garnet
No
Semi
Low
3.4 - 4.2
(Fe,Mn,Ca)3.Al2(SiO4)3
Quartz
No
Low
Low
2.7
SiO2
5HJXODUVDPSOLQJJULGVDQGYHUWLFDOGULOOKROHVDUHSUHIHUUHG
IRU HVWLPDWLRQ DQG WKH\ EULQJ HIFLHQFLHV LQ WKH H[SORUDWLRQ
DQG 5HVRXUFH GHQLWLRQ SURFHVV 0LQHUDO VDQGV GHSRVLWV LQ
JHQHUDO GLVSOD\ ODWHUDO FRQWLQXLW\ DQG D ODUJH DHULDO H[WHQW
PHDQLQJWKDWVXFFHVVLYHGULOOFDPSDLJQVFDQEHSODQQHGWKDW
V\VWHPDWLFDOO\ UHGXFH WKH GULOO VSDFLQJ RQ D VHOHFWHG JULG
7KLVDOORZVIRUWKHSURJUHVVLYHGHYHORSPHQWRIWKH0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHFDWHJRU\ZLWKHDFKVXEVHTXHQWGULOOLQJFDPSDLJQ
'ULOOLQJLVWKHPDLQH[SORUDWLRQDQG5HVRXUFHGHQLWLRQWRRO
XVHG LQ WKH PLQHUDO VDQGV LQGXVWU\ 8VXDOO\ VPDOO :'
PRXQWHG UHYHUVH FLUFXODWLRQ DLU FRUH 5&$& GULOOLQJ ULJV
DUH XVHG $XJHU GULOOLQJ ZDV FRPPRQO\ XVHG SULRU WR WKH
DGYHQW RI 5&$& PLGODWH V DQG PRUH UHFHQWO\ VRQLF
GULOOLQJKDVEHFRPHSRSXODUIRUDGYDQFHGJHRWHFKQLFDODQG
PHWDOOXUJLFDOLQYHVWLJDWLRQVDQG5HVRXUFHGHQLWLRQGULOOLQJ
'ULOOJULGVDUHJHQHUDOO\DOLJQHGLQIHQFHOLQHVSHUSHQGLFXODU
WRWKHVWULNHRIWKHGHSRVLW+ROHVDUHW\SLFDOO\VSDFHGDWWR
PRQWKHGULOOOLQHVZKLFKDUHLQWXUQW\SLFDOO\VSDFHGDW
LQWHUYDOVRIWRP7KLVVSDFLQJZLOOEHGHSHQGHQWRQWKH
FRQWLQXLW\ DQG GLPHQVLRQV RI WKH GHSRVLW DQG PRUSKRORJ\
DQGKRPRJHQHLW\RI+0DQG9+0JUDGHV-RQHV
)RUH[DPSOHQDUURZKLJKJUDGHVWUDQGOLQHVW\SLFDORIWKH
0XUUD\%DVLQZLOOUHTXLUHFORVHUVSDFHGGULOOLQJDFURVVVWULNH
EXWZLGHUVSDFHGGULOOLQJDORQJVWULNH
$VDJHQHUDOLVDWLRQH[SORUDWLRQGULOOLQJZLOOWDNHSODFHRQ
ZLGHVSDFHG GULOOLQJ VXIFLHQW IRU WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI DQ
,QIHUUHG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH 5HVRXUFH GHQLWLRQ GULOOLQJ ZLOO
JHQHUDOO\ EH FDUULHG RXW RQ H[SORUDWLRQ LGHQWLHG WDUJHWV
RU GHSRVLWV WKDW KDYH SDVVHG D KLJKOHYHO WHVW RI potential
HFRQRPLFYLDELOLW\7KLVSKDVHRIGULOOLQJLQRQHRUPXOWLSOH
FDPSDLJQVZLOOWDNHDGHSRVLWLQWRWKH,QGLFDWHGDQGWKHQWKH
0HDVXUHG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH FDWHJRU\ DOO VXSSRUWHG E\ WKH
SURJUHVVLYH GHYHORSPHQW RI WKH PLQHUDORJ\ DQG RWKHU NH\
FULWHULD
9DULRJUDP DQDO\VLV LV RIWHQ XVHG WR DVVLVW LQ GHWHUPLQLQJ
WKHQDWXUHRIWKH+0JUDGHFRQWLQXLW\ZLWKLQDGHSRVLWDQG
WKH VDPSOLQJ JULG GLPHQVLRQV UHTXLUHG IRU WKH UHSRUWLQJ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
321
TABLE 2
Description of logged hardness values (reverse circulation air core drilling).
Hardness
Description
Drilling unimpeded
'ULOOKROHFROODUORFDWLRQVDUHRIWHQDFFXUDWHO\VXUYH\HGRQ
VLWHKRZHYHULIOHVVDFFXUDWH*36ORFDWLRQVDUHXVHGWKHFROODU
HOHYDWLRQ LV GHWHUPLQHG IURP GLJLWDO WHUUDLQ PRGHOV '70
EDVHGRQHLWKHUVKXWWOHWHOHPHWU\DHULDOSKRWRJUDPPHWU\RU
/L'$5OLJKWGHWHFWLRQDQGUDQJLQJVXUYH\V
$VVWDWHGWKHFRUUHFWLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRIJHRORJ\DQGPLQHUDORJ\
GRPDLQVLVDQLWHUDWLYHSURFHVVWKDWUHTXLUHVFRQVLGHUDWLRQRI
DUDQJHRIDYDLODEOHLQIRUPDWLRQLQFOXGLQJ
322
MODEL PARAMETERS
7KH IROORZLQJ VHFWLRQV FRYHULQJ JHRORJLFDO JUDGH PRGHO
IRUPDWVDUHSURYLGHGDVDQLQGLFDWLYHJXLGHRQO\DQGLWIDOOV
XSRQ WKH H[SHULHQFH DQG LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RI WKH PRGHOOHU WR
GHWHUPLQH WKH DSSURSULDWH PRGHO SURWRW\SH GLPHQVLRQV IRU
DQ\JLYHQSURMHFW
Model prototype
$V IRU DQ\ FRPPRGLW\ ZKHQ GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH VL]H RI WKH
PRGHOSURWRW\SHDQXPEHURIIDFWRUVQHHGWREHWDNHQLQWR
DFFRXQW7KHVHLQFOXGH
Mineral Sands Some Aspects of Evaluation, Resource Estimation and Reporting|G Jones, B Gibson and V OBrien
:KDWLVWKHFRPSOH[LW\RIWKHJHRORJLFDOGRPDLQLQJ")RU
ODUJHUDQGPRUHKRPRJHQHRXVGRPDLQVDODUJHUSDUHQW
FHOOVL]HRUOHVVVXEFHOOVSOLWVFRXOGEHXVHG
:KDW LV WKH SURSRVHG PLQLQJ PHWKRG DQG PLQLPXP
PLQLQJ XQLW 008" )RU GUHGJLQJ RSHUDWLRQV PRUH
VLPSOLHG JHRORJLFDO GRPDLQLQJ ODUJHU SDUHQW FHOOV RU
OHVVVXEFHOOVSOLWVPD\EHDSSURSULDWH
Subcelling
6XEFHOO JHQHUDWLRQ LV XVHG WR LPSURYH WKH YROXPHWULF
UHSUHVHQWDWLRQRIJHRORJLFDOGRPDLQV7KLVLVHVSHFLDOO\WUXH
IRU VPDOO DQG UHODWLYHO\ FRPSOH[ JHRORJLFDO GRPDLQV LQ
SDUWLFXODUZKHUHWKHUHLVDQHHGWRDGRSWDUHODWLYHO\FRDUVH
SDUHQW FHOO VL]H ZKHQ XVLQJ D EURDG GULOOVDPSOLQJ JULG
2Q RQH KDQG WKH HVWLPDWRU QHHGV WR PDLQWDLQ D SUDFWLFDO
DSSURDFK WR WKH FRQVWUXFWLRQ RI WKH JHRORJLFDO EORFN PRGHO
E\ PLQLPLVLQJ WKH QXPEHU RI PRGHO FHOOV KRZHYHU LW LV
DOVRLPSRUWDQWWRKRQRXUDVIDUDVSUDFWLFDEOHWKHYROXPHDQG
VSDWLDO LGHQWLW\ DV SUHGLFDWHG E\ WKH ZLUHIUDPHV JHQHUDWHG
IURPWKHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQV
7KH HVWLPDWRU DW DOO WLPHV QHHGV WR PDLQWDLQ D SUDFWLFDO
DSSURDFKNHHSLQJLQPLQGWKHHQGSURGXFWXVHIRUERWKWKH
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHDQGWKHSRWHQWLDORSHUDWLRQDOUHTXLUHPHQWV
RIWKHJHRORJLFDOEORFNPRGHO,WLVVWDQGDUGSUDFWLFHIRU,OXND
WR HQVXUH WKDW VXEFHOOV DUH QRW HVWLPDWHG LQGLYLGXDOO\ ZLWK
JUDGHV HVWLPDWHG IRU WKH SDUHQW FHOO GLPHQVLRQ DVVLJQHG WR
WKHVXEFHOOVZLWKLQWKHSDUHQWFHOOYROXPH
GRADE INTERPOLATION
0LQHUDO VDQGV HVWLPDWLRQ LV PRVW FRPPRQO\ FDUULHG RXW E\
XVLQJLQYHUVHGLVWDQFHZHLJKWLQJ,':RUQHDUHVWQHLJKERXU
LQWHUSRODWLRQ GXH WR WKH UHJXODU JHRPHWU\ RI RUHERGLHV
JRRG JUDGH FRQWLQXLW\ ORZ QXJJHW HIIHFW DQG WKH UHJXODU
JULGRULHQWHG GULOO VSDFLQJ 7KH JHRPHWU\ RI PLQHUDO VDQG
RUHERGLHV DQG WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ RI +0 JUDGH GR WHQG WR EH
DQLVRWURSLFDQGWKLVLVWDNHQLQWRFRQVLGHUDWLRQZKHQVHWWLQJ
XSLQWHUSRODWLRQSDUDPHWHUV9DULRJUDPDQDO\VLVLVRIWHQXVHG
WRGHWHUPLQHWKHUDWLRVRIDQLVRWURS\2FFDVLRQDOO\NULJLQJLV
XVHGIRUHVWLPDWLRQKRZHYHUWKLVLVQRWDVFRPPRQO\XVHGDV
LQYHUVHGLVWDQFHZHLJKWLQJ
:LWKLQ,OXND,':LQWHUSRODWLRQLVXVHGIRUWKHDVVD\HOGV
DQGWKHQHDUHVWQHLJKERXUPHWKRGLVXVHGWRDOORFDWHWKHORJJHG
KDUGQHVV YDOXHV LQGLFHV DQG WKH PLQHUDORJ\ EXON VDPSOH
GDWD DOSKD QXPHULF 7KH VDPSOH LGHQWLFDWLRQ QXPEHUV
IURP WKH PLQHUDORJLFDO EXON VDPSOHV DUH LQWHUSRODWHG LQWR
WKH PRGHO DQG WKH FRUUHVSRQGLQJ DVVHPEODJH DQG TXDOLW\
GDWD LV PHUJHG LQWR WKH PRGHO EDVHG RQ WKHVH YDOXHV $OO
HVWLPDWLRQ LV FRQGXFWHG XVLQJ GRPDLQ FRQWURO HJRQO\
VDPSOHVIURPZLWKLQWKHFRUUHVSRQGLQJGRPDLQDUHXVHGWR
HVWLPDWHDFHOO6RPHSUDFWLWLRQHUVDGYRFDWHWKHHVWLPDWLRQRI
SUREDELOLW\LQGLFDWRUVIRUORJJHGKDUGQHVVYDOXHVWRLPSURYH
WKHXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHYDULDELOLW\SUHVHQW
7KH HVWLPDWLRQ SDUDPHWHUV XVHG IRU WKH GLIIHUHQW VW\OHV
RI PLQHUDO VDQG RUHERGLHV FDQ EH TXLWH GLIIHUHQW DQG WKH
VHOHFWLRQRISDUDPHWHUVVXFKDVWKHVDPSOHVHOHFWLRQFULWHULD
XVH RI FRPSRVLWHG VDPSOHV RU OHQJWKZHLJKWHG HVWLPDWLRQ
DUHDVVHVVHGRQDFDVHE\FDVHEDVLV7KHIROORZLQJFRQVLGHUV
WKH PRVW FRPPRQ PLQHUDO VDQGV RUHERG\ VW\OHV DQG WKH
SDUDPHWHUVXVHGIRUHDFK
FIG 1 - Parent cell centroid to drill hole arrangement shown with typical
search ellipse (of 1.5 times the dominant drill hole spacing).
323
VHDUFKHOOLSVHVHPSOR\HGGRQRWZDUUDQWWKHXVHRIG\QDPLF
VHDUFKHOOLSVHV
Mineral Sands Some Aspects of Evaluation, Resource Estimation and Reporting|G Jones, B Gibson and V OBrien
6RYHUHLJQULVNLWPD\EHVXFKWKDWDFFHVVWRDVLJQLFDQW
PLQHUDO GHSRVLW FDUULHV WRR PXFK ULVN IRU D FRPSDQ\
WR FRQVLGHU VXEVWDQWLDO LQYHVWPHQW 7KLV PD\ DSSO\ LQ
FRXQWULHV WKDW DUH VLJQLFDQWO\ KRVWLOH RU KDYH XQVWDEOH
RU FRUUXSW JRYHUQPHQWV 6RYHUHLJQ ULVN FDQ PDQLIHVW
DV GRPHVWLF ULVN HJLQ $XVWUDOLD QDWLYH WLWOH KDV ORFNHG
RXW 5HVRXUFH GHYHORSPHQW RU WKH JRYHUQPHQW KDV
LPSRVHGPRUDWRULXPVRQPLQLQJLQFHUWDLQDUHDVVXFKDV
4XHHQVODQG
(QYLURQPHQWDOFRQVLGHUDWLRQVRQHVWKDWDUHVRVHQVLWLYH
WKDW DFFHVV WR PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ PD\ EH XQOLNHO\ DQG WKH
SURYLVLRQ RI WKH DSSURYDOV UHTXLUHG IRU H[SORLWDWLRQ RI
WKH 5HVRXUFH PD\ QRW EH UHVROYHG XQWLO WKH RXWFRPH RI
YDULRXVHQYLURQPHQWDOLPSDFWDVVHVVPHQWV
0LQLQJ FRQVLGHUDWLRQV LQFOXGLQJ WKH SRWHQWLDO IRU
HYHQWXDO HFRQRPLF H[WUDFWLRQ )RU H[DPSOH LI WKH FRVW
RI RYHUEXUGHQ UHPRYDO IRU GHHSO\ EXULHG GHSRVLWV LV
FOHDUO\ JUHDWHU WKDQ WKH YDOXH RI WKH +0 SUHVHQW XQGHU
IRUHVHHDEOHFRVWDQGSURGXFWSULFLQJVFHQDULRV
6RPH PDWHULDO IDFWRUV WKDW PD\ SUHFOXGH WKH UHSRUWLQJ RI
SRUWLRQVRIDGHSRVLWLQFOXGH
HQFURDFKPHQWE\XUEDQLVDWLRQWKDWPD\OLPLWZKLFKSDUWV
RID5HVRXUFHDUHDFFHVVLEOHIRUPLQLQJ
DVSHFWVRIWKHJHRORJ\RIWKHGHSRVLWVXFKDVLQGXUDWLRQ
LQRUGLQDWHO\ KLJK FOD\ FRQWHQW RU LQFUHDVHG RYHUEXUGHQ
GHSWK GXH WR IDXOWLQJ UHQGHULQJ SRUWLRQV RI WKH GHSRVLW
XQPLQHDEOH
DVSHFWV RI WKH PHWDOOXUJ\ RI WKH GHSRVLW LQFOXGLQJ WUDVK
+0 RU KLJK XUDQLXP DQG WKRULXP OHYHOV ZKLFK PD\
UHQGHUSRUWLRQVRIWKHGHSRVLWXQPLQHDEOH
HQYLURQPHQWDOIDFWRUVPD\SUHFOXGHDFFHVVWRVHFWLRQVRI
DGHSRVLWVXFKDVZHWODQGVRUQDWLYHYHJHWDWLRQ
DFFHVV GHQLDO E\ WKH ODQGRZQHU LQ VRPH FRXQWULHV
VWDWHVWKHODQGKROGHUKDVRZQHUVKLSRIWKHPLQHUDOULJKWV
RUDSRZHURIYHWRRYHUPLQLQJ
VDPSOHTXDOLW\KRZZDVWKHVDPSOHFROOHFWHGSUHYDLOLQJ
GULOOLQJFRQGLWLRQVGULOOLQJWHFKQLTXHVKROHVL]HVDPSOH
VSOLWWLQJHWF
VDPSOHORFDWLRQDFFXUDF\VXSSRUWLQJVXUYH\LQIRUPDWLRQ
4$4&IRUVDPSOHDVVD\GDWDKRZDSSURSULDWHLWLVDQG
ZKDWLWLQGLFDWHVDERXWDVVD\DFFXUDF\DQGSUHFLVLRQ
UHODWLYH FRQGHQFH LQ WKH FRQWLQXLW\ RI WKH JHRORJ\ DQG
+0JUDGHV
WKH UHVXOWV RI YDULRJUDSK\ DQG ZKDW WKLV LQGLFDWHV
UHJDUGLQJ WKH VXLWDELOLW\ RI WKH VDPSOH VSDFLQJ DQG
GLVWULEXWLRQIRUWKHFODVVLFDWLRQXQGHUFRQVLGHUDWLRQ
VXSSRUWLQJDVVHPEODJHDQGPLQHUDOTXDOLW\GHWHUPLQDWLRQ
WKHPHWKRGZDVXVHGDQGZKHWKHUVXIFLHQWDSSURSULDWHO\
VSDFHGVDPSOHVKDYHEHHQDQDO\VHG
WKHTXDOLW\RIVXSSRUWLQJJHRORJLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQ
1RWH WKDW WKH -25& FRGH UHTXLUHV WKH &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQWRPDNHFRPPHQWRQDQLIQRWZK\QRWEDVLVRQDOO
DVSHFWVRIWKHUHOHYDQWVHFWLRQVRI7DEOHRIWKH-25&&RGH
ZKHQ 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV DUH WR EH SXEOLFO\ UHSRUWHG 7KH
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ PXVW DOVR SURYLGH D FOHDU VWDWHPHQW RQ
IDFWRUVWKDWFRXOGDIIHFWWKHUHODWLYHDFFXUDF\DQGFRQGHQFHRI
WKHHVWLPDWHVXFKDVPHWDOOXUJLFDODVVXPSWLRQVWKHSRWHQWLDO
LPSDFWRILQGXUDWLRQHWFDQGQRWMXVWWKHGHVFULSWLRQRIWKH
DWWULEXWHVRILQWHUHVWWRWKHSXEOLFLQWKHH\HVRIWKHFRPSDQ\
UHSRUWLQJWKH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWH
325
TABLE 3
Tabulated in-ground values as a function of the assemblage and heavy mineral
grade. Deposit A has a low-value ilmenite-dominated deposit while Deposit B
has a high-value zircon-dominated assemblage.
Assemblage
Product
Product ($/t)
Ilmenite 1
120
80.0%
0.0%
Ilmenite 2
200
5.0%
30.0%
Leucoxene
300
2.0%
5.0%
Deposit A
Deposit B
Rutile
700
1.0%
5.0%
Zircon
1500
5.0%
50.0%
Others
7.0%
10.0%
93.0%
90.0%
$194
$860
$209
$956
% Heavy mineral in
ground
Deposit A
Deposit B
0.5%
0.97
4.30
1.0%
1.94
8.60
1.5%
2.91
12.90
2.0%
3.88
17.20
2.5%
4.85
21.50
3.0%
5.82
25.80
3.5%
6.79
30.10
4.0%
7.76
34.40
4.5%
8.73
38.70
5.0%
9.70
43.00
5.5%
10.67
47.30
6.0%
11.64
51.60
6.5%
12.61
55.90
7.0%
13.58
60.20
7.5%
14.55
64.50
8.0%
15.52
68.80
8.5%
16.49
73.10
9.0%
17.46
77.40
9.5%
18.43
81.70
10.0%
19.40
86.00
HTXLYDOHQWIRUDSDUWLFXODUSULFLQJVFHQDULR7KHSUDFWLWLRQHU
FDQ WKHQ UHSRUW D 5HVRXUFH EDVHG RQ WKH W FXWRII WKDW LV
DSSURSULDWH JLYHQ WKH SURMHFWHG SURGXFWLRQ FRVW 7KLV KDV D
GHFLGHG DGYDQWDJH LQ UHSRUWLQJ 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV IRU +0
GHSRVLWVZKHUHWKHDVVHPEODJHLVYDULDEOHZLWKLQDGHSRVLW,W
SUHFOXGHVWKHULVNRILQFOXGLQJORZYDOXHDVVHPEODJHPDWHULDO
LIDORZ+0FXWRIILVXVHGDQGFRQYHUVHO\FRPSHQVDWHVIRU
WKH ULVN RI H[FOXGLQJ KLJKYDOXH DVVHPEODJH PDWHULDO IURP
D 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWH LI D KLJKHU +0 FXWRII JUDGH LV XVHG
:KLOHWKLVDSSURDFKLVQRWZLGHO\XVHGLQWKHPLQHUDOVDQGV
LQGXVWU\ WKH PHWKRGRORJ\ KDV WKH DELOLW\ WR SURYLGH DQ
DSSURSULDWH FXWRII YDOXH DQG UHFRJQLVHV WKDW +0 GHSRVLWV
EHDUVLPLODULW\WRSRO\PHWDOOLFGHSRVLWV
326
$VWUDLJKW+0FXWRIIZLWKUHSRUWLQJRIDOOPDWHULDOZLWKLQ
D5HVRXUFHEORFNPRGHOPHHWLQJ+0FXWRIIFULWHULD
7KLVFDQUHVXOWLQDQRYHUO\EXOOLVK5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWH
DQG PD\ IDLO WR FRQVLGHU WKH OLPLWDWLRQV LPSRVHG E\
RYHUO\LQJ ZDVWH PDWHULDO 0DWHULDO WKDW LV GHHSO\
EXULHGPD\EHXQHFRQRPLFWRPLQHXQGHUUHDVRQDEOH
FRQGLWLRQV DQG SUREDEO\ VKRXOG EH H[FOXGHG IURP
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHV
$FFXPXODWLQJ+0JUDGHVGRZQGULOOKROHVWRDQRPLQDO
EDVHPHQW XVXDOO\ WKH EDVH RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DQG RQO\
UHSRUWLQJ PDWHULDO ZLWKLQ D ERXQGDU\ ZKHUH WKH KROH
DYHUDJH PHHWV WKH DFFHSWHG +0 FXWRII FULWHULD 7KLV
PHWKRG KDV EHHQ XVHG LQ WKH SDVW SDUWLFXODUO\ IRU ODUJH
5HVRXUFHVW\SLFDOO\VXLWHGIRUGUHGJLQJ,WLVDOVRDSSOLHG
LQGHSRVLWVZLWKOLWWOHRUQRRYHUO\LQJEDUUHQPDWHULDO
$QDOWHUQDWLYHPHWKRGFRXOGEHWRXVHDIDFWRUWKDWFRQVLGHUV
WKH DYHUDJH +0 JUDGH IRU DQ LQWHUYDO GLYLGHG E\ WKH UDWLR
RI RYHUEXUGHQ WKLFNQHVV VXEFXWRIIJUDGH PDWHULDO WR
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQYHUWLFDOWKLFNQHVV7KLVPHWKRGFDQEHDSSOLHG
WRGULOOKROHVDVZHOODV5HVRXUFHPRGHOV7KHDGYDQWDJHVRI
WKLVPHWKRGRORJ\DUH
DFXWRIIJUDGHRIIRXUSHUFHQW+0
PRIVXEIRXUSHUFHQWPDWHULDO
PRIJUHDWHUWKDQRUHTXDOWRIRXUSHUFHQWPDWHULDODWDQ
DYHUDJHJUDGHRISHUFHQW+0
WKHLQGLFDWRUIDFWRUZRXOGEH
Mineral Sands Some Aspects of Evaluation, Resource Estimation and Reporting|G Jones, B Gibson and V OBrien
20
=4
10
` 2j
7KH FXWRII YDOXHV IRU +0 DQG WKH LQGLFDWRU YDOXH VWLOO
QHHGWREHFDUHIXOO\FRQVLGHUHGLQFRQMXQFWLRQZLWKIDFWRUV
VXFKDVWKHDVVHPEODJHYDOXHDQGWKHFRVWRIZDVWHUHPRYDO
/RZHU FXWRIIV ZRXOG EH DGRSWHG ZKHUH WKH DVVHPEODJH
YDOXH LV KLJKHU DQG ZKHUH HFRQRPLHV RI VFDOH OHDG WR
UHGXFHGRYHUEXUGHQUHPRYDOFRVWVLQDODUJHVFDOHPLQLQJ
RSHUDWLRQ
7KH VHOHFWLRQ RI D VXLWDEOH LQGLFDWRU FXWRII LV JXLGHG
E\ WKH RSHUDWLRQDO SDUDPHWHUV OLNHO\ WR EH HPSOR\HG IRU
D JLYHQ RUHERG\ DQG WKH H[SHULHQFH RI WKH &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQ FDUU\LQJ RXW WKH 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ %DVHG RQ
LQYHVWLJDWLRQV LQWR QXPHURXV VW\OHV RI RUHERGLHV DQG +0
DVVHPEODJH D UDQJH RI LQGLFDWRU FXWRII YDOXHV EHWZHHQ
DQG DUH JHQHUDOO\ DGHTXDWH WR SURYLGH D JXLGH WR
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQIRUZKLFKWKHUHDUHUHDVRQDEOHSURVSHFWVIRU
HYHQWXDOHFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQ
)RU WKH SUHYLRXVO\ GHVFULEHG GULOO KROH H[DPSOH WKH
LQGLFDWRUIDFWRURIZRXOGVXJJHVWWKDWPDWSHUFHQW
+0 XQGHU P RI VXEFXWRIIJUDGH PDWHULDO FRXOG EH
HFRQRPLFJLYHQDFXWRIIIDFWRURI
)RUDVFHQDULRZKHUHWKHDYHUDJHJUDGHVRIWKHLQWHUYDOZHUH
ORZHU
DFXWRIIJUDGHRIIRXUSHUFHQW+0
PRIVXEIRXUSHUFHQWPDWHULDO
PRIJUHDWHUWKDQRUHTXDOWRIRXUSHUFHQWPDWHULDODWDQ
DYHUDJHJUDGHRIIRXUSHUFHQW+0
WKHLQGLFDWRUIDFWRUZRXOGEH
4
= 0.8
10
` 2j
7KHLQGLFDWRUIDFWRURILVEHORZDQDFFHSWHGFXWRIIIDFWRU
RIWKHUHE\H[FOXGLQJWKHKROHFROXPQRIFHOOVIURPEHLQJ
UHSRUWHGDVSDUWRIWKH5HVRXUFH
7KH-25&&RGHSURYLGHVDQXPEHURIJXLGHOLQHVIRUWKHXVH
RIVLJQLFDQWJXUHVLQUHSRUWLQJ5HVRXUFHVDQG5HVHUYHVIRU
GLIIHUHQWFRPPRGLWLHV0LQHUDOVDQGVIDOOLQWRWKHLQGXVWULDO
PLQHUDOVFDWHJRU\ZKLFKZKLOHFRYHUHGE\WKH-25&&RGH
GRHV QRW KDYH FRPPRQO\ DFFHSWHG JXLGHOLQHV IRU WKH XVH
RI VLJQLFDQW JXUHV LQ UHSRUWLQJ 7KLV VHFWLRQ SURYLGHV
VXJJHVWHG JXLGHOLQHV IRU WKH XVH RI VLJQLFDQW JXUHV LQ
UHSRUWLQJ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV *XLGHOLQHV WR FRYHU PRVW
VLJQLFDQW JXUH FDWHJRULHV IRU UHSRUWLQJ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH
DQG2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHVDUHJLYHQLQ7DEOH
TABLE 4
Summary of rounding and significant figures considered appropriate for the reporting of heavy mineral Resources.
Note: further rounding may be appropriate for Inferred Resources.
Deposit A
Volume
Tonnes
Heavy mineral
tonnes
Heavy mineral
grade
Clay
Oversize
Ilmenite
Rutile
Zircon
Unrounded
5 103 456
10 123 456
1 201 346
10.12
23.2
7.56
56.35
2.25
8.91
Rounded
5 100 000
10 000 000
1 200 000
10.1
23
56
327
Sample quality
6DPSOH TXDOLW\ PD\ EH FRPSURPLVHG ZKHQ GULOOLQJ 5&$&
KROHV LQ XQFRQVROLGDWHG VHGLPHQWV DQG ZKHUH VLJQLFDQW
YROXPHV RI JURXQGZDWHU RU LQGXUDWLRQ DUH LQWHUVHFWHG
7KHVHFRQGLWLRQVPD\OHDGWRFRQWDPLQDWLRQRIVDPSOHVZLWK
PDWHULDOIURPRXWVLGHWKHGULOOVWULQJLQRYHUO\LQJLQWHUYDOV
&RQWDPLQDWHGVDPSOHVPD\EHLGHQWLHGZKHQWKH\FDXVH
XQXVXDO JHRPHWULHV RU JHRPHWU\ YDULDELOLW\ RU ZKHUH WKH
ORJJLQJDQGDVVD\GDWDLQGLFDWHWKDWDSSDUHQWO\PLQHUDOLVHG
VDPSOHV DUH VRXUFHG IURP JHRORJLFDO XQLWV WKDW DUH NQRZQ
WR EH EDUUHQ DQG XQGHUOLH WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ :KHUH
GRZQKROH VDPSOH FRQWDPLQDWLRQ LV LGHQWLHG DW WKH EDVH
RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ WKH DIIHFWHG VDPSOHV DUH H[FOXGHG IURP
XVH LQ HVWLPDWLRQ 'HSRVLWV DIIHFWHG E\ GRZQKROH VDPSOH
FRQWDPLQDWLRQUHTXLUHYDOLGDWLRQVDPSOLQJ6RQLF&RUHWHVW
328
SLWHWFWRFRQUPWKHLQWHUSUHWHGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLQWHUYDODQG
WKH+0FRQWHQW
$V GLVFXVVHG LW LV FULWLFDO WKDW DSSURSULDWH PLQHUDORJLFDO
GRPDLQV DUH LGHQWLHG DQG UHSUHVHQWHG E\ VXIFLHQW
PLQHUDORJLFDO VDPSOHV 7\SLFDO LVVXHV WKDW PD\ EH
HQFRXQWHUHGLQFOXGH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUVZLVKWRWKDQN,OXND5HVRXUFHVIRUDOORZLQJWKH
SXEOLFDWLRQ RI LQIRUPDWLRQ DQG JXUHV WKDW DSSHDU LQ WKLV
SDSHU7KDQNVDOVRJRWRWKRVHZKRUHYLHZHGWKLVSDSHUDQG
SURYLGHGYDOXDEOHVXJJHVWLRQVIHHGEDFNDQGGLUHFWLRQ
REFERENCES
-RQHV * 0LQHUDO VDQGV DQ RYHUYLHZ RI WKH LQGXVWU\ LQ
Proceedings Seventh International Mining Geology Conference
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
5DYHQVFURIW 3 - DQG $UPVWURQJ 0 .ULJLQJ RI EORFN PRGHOV
WKH GDQJHUV UHHPSKDVLVHG LQ Proceedings XXII International
Symposium APCOM SS (QJOLVK *HUPDQ DQG 5XVVLDQ
7HFKQLVFKH8QLYHUVLWlW%HUOLQ5HIHUDWIU$XVVHQEH]LHKXQJHQ
%HUOLQ
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Manager Resource Assessment, Rio Tinto Coal Australia Pty Limited, GPO Box 391, Brisbane Qld 4001. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KHHYDOXDWLRQRIDQ\FRDOGHSRVLWLVDPXOWLVWHSSURFHVVWKDW
LQYROYHV FDPSDLJQV RI GHVNWRS UHVHDUFK HOG H[SORUDWLRQ
DQDO\WLFDOWHVWLQJJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGPRGHOOLQJ,I
WKHGHSRVLWLVDUHDVRQDEOHVL]HDQGKDVHFRQRPLFSRWHQWLDO
WKHTXHVWLRQVKRZPXFKFRDOGRZHKDYH"DQGKRZPXFK
PLJKW SRWHQWLDOO\ EH H[SORLWDEOH" ZLOO EH DVNHG ([SUHVVHG
PRUHIRUPDOO\WKH\DUHZKDWDUHRXUHVWLPDWHVRI,QYHQWRU\
&RDO" DQG ZKDW DUH RXU HVWLPDWHV RI &RDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG
&RDO 5HVHUYHV WKDW FDQ EH SXEOLFO\ UHSRUWHG LQ FRPSOLDQFH
ZLWKWKH-25&&RGH"
7KHVLPSOHYHUVLRQVORRNLQQRFHQWHQRXJKDQGVXJJHVWWKDW
WKHDQVZHUVFDQEHDUULYHGDWUHDGLO\KRZHYHUEHQHDWKWKH
DSSDUHQW VLPSOLFLW\ OLHV D PXOWLWXGH RI VHFRQGDU\ TXHVWLRQV
DQG WKHVH FRPELQHG ZLWK WKH ULJRURXV UHTXLUHPHQWV RI WKH
-25&&RGHFUHDWHZKDWLVXVXDOO\DIDLUO\FRPSOH[DQGWLPH
FRQVXPLQJ SX]]OH WR VROYH 7KLV SDSHU DWWHPSWV WR SURYLGH
329
CODES OF PRACTICE
7KHNH\FRGHVRISUDFWLFHDUH
KEY DEFINITIONS
7KHIROORZLQJGHQLWLRQVDUHSUHVHQWHGHDUO\LQWKLVSDSHUVR
WKDWIXUWKHUGLVFXVVLRQFDQUHIHUHQFHWKHPZLWKRXWFRQIXVLRQ
Inventory CoalDVGHQHGLQWKH&RDO*XLGHOLQHV
,QYHQWRU\ &RDO LV DQ\ RFFXUUHQFH RI FRDO LQ WKH JURXQG
that can be estimated and reported without necessarily
EHLQJ FRQVWUDLQHG E\ HFRQRPLF SRWHQWLDO JHRORJLFDO RU
RWKHUPRGLI\LQJIDFWRUV%\GHQLWLRQLWLQFOXGHVDOO&RDO
5HVRXUFHV 7KH ORFDWLRQ TXDQWLW\ TXDOLW\ JHRORJLFDO
FKDUDFWHULVWLFVDQGFRQWLQXLW\RI,QYHQWRU\&RDODUHNQRZQ
HVWLPDWHG RU LQWHUSUHWHG IURP VSHFLF JHRORJLFDO HYLGHQFH
DQG NQRZOHGJH ,QYHQWRU\ &RDO LV VXEGLYLGHG LQ RUGHU RI
LQFUHDVLQJ JHRORJLFDO FRQGHQFH LQWR ,QIHUUHG ,QGLFDWHG
and Measured categories.
Inventory Coal is a new term that enables a more complete
HVWLPDWHRIFRDOLQJURXQGWREHUHSRUWHGIRU*RYHUQPHQW
or internal company purposes. Inventory Coal is a category
of coal not recognised by the Code (the JORC Code).
Mineral (Coal) ResourceDVGHQHGLQWKH-25&&RGH
$ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH LV D FRQFHQWUDWLRQ RU RFFXUUHQFH RI
PDWHULDORILQWULQVLFHFRQRPLFLQWHUHVWLQRURQWKH(DUWKV
FUXVW LQ VXFK IRUP TXDOLW\ DQG TXDQWLW\ WKDW WKHUH DUH
reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction. The
ORFDWLRQ TXDQWLW\ JUDGH JHRORJLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV DQG
FRQWLQXLW\RID0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDUHNQRZQHVWLPDWHGRU
LQWHUSUHWHGIURPVSHFLFJHRORJLFDOHYLGHQFHDQGNQRZOHGJH
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DUH VXEGLYLGHG LQ RUGHU RI LQFUHDVLQJ
JHRORJLFDOFRQGHQFHLQWR,QIHUUHG,QGLFDWHGDQG0HDVXUHG
categories.
Mineral (Coal) ResourceDVGHQHGLQWKH-25&&RGH
$ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH LV D FRQFHQWUDWLRQ RU RFFXUUHQFH RI
VROLGPDWHULDORIHFRQRPLFLQWHUHVWLQRURQWKH(DUWKVFUXVW
LQVXFKIRUPJUDGHRUTXDOLW\DQGTXDQWLW\WKDWWKHUHDUH
reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction. The
ORFDWLRQTXDQWLW\JUDGHRUTXDOLW\FRQWLQXLW\DQGRWKHU
JHRORJLFDOFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRID0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDUHNQRZQ
HVWLPDWHG RU LQWHUSUHWHG IURP VSHFLF JHRORJLFDO HYLGHQFH
DQGNQRZOHGJHLQFOXGLQJVDPSOLQJ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDUH
VXEGLYLGHG LQ RUGHU RI LQFUHDVLQJ JHRORJLFDO FRQGHQFH
LQWR,QIHUUHG,QGLFDWHGDQG0HDVXUHGFDWHJRULHV
7KH UHODWLRQVKLS EHWZHHQ ,QYHQWRU\ &RDO &RDO 5HVRXUFHV
DQG&RDO5HVHUYHVLVVKRZQLQ)LJXUH
FIG 1 - Relationship between Inventory Coal, Coal Resources and Coal Reserves.
330
A Practitioners Guide to the Identification, Classification and Estimation of Inventory Coal and Coal Resources|K B Preston
2. (A) stratified biogenic combustible sedimentary rock that has been derived mainly from
331
)XUWKHUGLVFXVVLRQRIOLPLWVSDUWLFXODUO\HFRQRPLFOLPLWVLV
WREHIRXQGXQGHU6WHS
TABLE 1
Inventory Coal and Coal Resource limiting factors.
Inventory Coal
Coal Resources
All Coal Resources
Underground resources
Maximum depth
332
A Practitioners Guide to the Identification, Classification and Estimation of Inventory Coal and Coal Resources|K B Preston
([WUDSRODWHGUHIHUVWRWKHGLVWDQFHWKHHVWLPDWHLVH[WHQGHG
past the last line of Points of Observation into areas for
which no data are available.
)RUDQ,QGLFDWHGFRQGHQFHOHYHOWKHQXPEHUGLVWULEXWLRQ
DQG LQWHJULW\ RI 3RLQWV RI 2EVHUYDWLRQ ZKLFK PD\ EH
VXSSRUWHG E\ ,QWHUSUHWLYH 'DWD DUH VXIFLHQW WR DOORZ D
UHDOLVWLF HVWLPDWH RI DYHUDJH FRDO WKLFNQHVV DUHDO H[WHQW
GHSWKUDQJHTXDOLW\DQGLQVLWX quantity. They provide a
OHYHORIFRQGHQFHLQWKHGHSRVLWVXIFLHQWWRJHQHUDWHPLQH
plans and determine the likely washplant yield and quality
of product coal. Indicated Inventory Coal and Indicated
Coal Resources may be estimated using data obtained
from Points of Observation normally less than 1 kilometre
DSDUWEXWWKHGLVWDQFHPD\EHH[WHQGHGLIWKHUHLVVXIFLHQW
WHFKQLFDOMXVWLFDWLRQWRGRVRIRUH[DPSOHLIVXSSRUWHGE\
geostatistical analysis. Trends in coal thickness and quality
should not be extrapolated more than half the distance
between Points of Observation.
)RUD0HDVXUHGFRQGHQFHOHYHOWKHQXPEHUGLVWULEXWLRQ
DQG LQWHJULW\ RI 3RLQWV RI 2EVHUYDWLRQ ZKLFK PD\ EH
VXSSRUWHG E\ ,QWHUSUHWLYH 'DWD DUH VXIFLHQW WR DOORZ
D UHOLDEOH HVWLPDWH RI DYHUDJH FRDO WKLFNQHVV DUHDO H[WHQW
GHSWK UDQJH TXDOLW\ DQG LQ VLWX quantity. They provide
D OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH LQ WKH GHSRVLW VXIFLHQW WR JHQHUDWH
GHWDLOHG PLQH SODQV GHWHUPLQH PLQLQJ DQG EHQHFLDWLRQ
FRVWV ZDVKSODQW \LHOG HVWLPDWHV DQG VSHFLFDWLRQV IRU
a marketable product. Measured Inventory Coal and
Measured Coal Resources may be estimated using data
obtained from Points of Observation normally less than
PHWUHVDSDUWEXWWKHGLVWDQFHPD\EHH[WHQGHGLIWKHUH
LV VXIFLHQW WHFKQLFDO MXVWLFDWLRQ WR GR VR IRU H[DPSOH
if supported by geostatistical analysis. Trends in coal
thickness and quality should not be extrapolated more than
half the distance between Points of Observation. &RDO
*XLGHOLQHVS
,WVFOHDUWKDWQHLWKHU-25&&RGHSURYLGHVVSHFLFJXLGDQFH
DV WR KRZ WKH UHVRXUFH JHRORJLVW DFWXDOO\ GHWHUPLQHV ZKDW
SDUWV RI D &RDO 5HVRXUFH FDQ EH DVVLJQHG WR HDFK RI WKH
FRQGHQFHFDWHJRULHV7KLVLVFRQVLVWHQWZLWKWKH-25&&RGHV
UHPLWDVSUHYLRXVO\QRWHGWRUHJXODWHUHSRUWLQJUDWKHUWKDQ
HVWLPDWLRQ
7KH&RDO*XLGHOLQHVDWWHPSWWRSURYLGHJXLGDQFHDVWRKRZ
DUHDV RI ,QIHUUHG ,QGLFDWHG DQG 0HDVXUHG ,QYHQWRU\ &RDO
DQG &RDO 5HVRXUFHV FDQ EH GHOLQHDWHG 7KH\ LQWURGXFH WKH
FRQFHSWRI3RLQWVRI2EVHUYDWLRQZKLFKDUH
LQWHUVHFWLRQVRIFRDOEHDULQJVWUDWDDWNQRZQORFDWLRQV
ZKLFKSURYLGHLQIRUPDWLRQWRYDU\LQJGHJUHHVRIFRQGHQFH
DERXWWKHFRDOE\REVHUYDWLRQPHDVXUHPHQWDQGRUWHVWLQJ
RI WKH IROORZLQJ VXUIDFH RU XQGHUJURXQG H[SRVXUHV ERUH
FRUHV GRZQKROH JHRSK\VLFDO ORJV DQGRU GULOO FXWWLQJV LQ
QRQFRUHG ERUHKROHV 3RLQWV RI 2EVHUYDWLRQ VKDOO DOORZ
the presence of coal to be unambiguously determined A
Point of Observation for coal quality evaluation is normally
obtained by testing samples obtained from surface or
XQGHUJURXQGH[SRVXUHVRUIURPERUHFRUHVDPSOHVKDYLQJ
DQDFFHSWDEOHOHYHORIUHFRYHU\QRUPDOO\!SHUFHQWOLQHDU
recovery). &RDO*XLGHOLQHVS
7KH &RDO *XLGHOLQHV WKHQ RXWOLQH WKH FRQFHSW RI UHODWLQJ
GLVWDQFHV EHWZHHQ 3RLQWV RI 2EVHUYDWLRQ WR FRQGHQFH
FDWHJRULHVDVIROORZV
)RUDQ,QIHUUHGFRQGHQFHOHYHOWKHQXPEHUDQGGLVWULEXWLRQ
RI 3RLQWV RI 2EVHUYDWLRQ ZKLFK PD\ EH VXSSRUWHG E\
,QWHUSUHWLYH'DWDVKRXOGSURYLGHVXIFLHQWXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
of the geological conditions to infer continuity of seams
between Points of Observation. They should also allow an
estimate of the range of coal thickness as well as coal quality
WR EH PDGH WR D ORZ OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH LH LQVXIFLHQW IRU
mine planning purposes). Inferred Inventory Coal and
Inferred Coal Resources may be estimated using data
333
:KDWSDUDPHWHUVWRHYDOXDWH"7KLVSUREOHPLVQRWXQLTXH
WR JHRVWDWLVWLFDO PHWKRGV KRZHYHU WKH HIIRUW DQG WLPH
LQYROYHG LQ DSSO\LQJ JHRVWDWLVWLFDO PHWKRGV UHODWLYH
WR RWKHU PHWKRGV LV D OLPLWLQJ IDFWRU LQ KRZ PDQ\
SDUDPHWHUVFDQEHHYDOXDWHGDQGWRZKDWGHJUHH
:KDWLVWKHWROHUDQFHWRHUURUWKDWWKHHVWLPDWRULVSUHSDUHG
WRWDNH"7KDWLVWRVD\GRZHH[SHFWWKHHVWLPDWHVWREH
ZLWKLQYHSHUFHQWWHQSHUFHQWSHUFHQWHWFRIWKH
WUXHYDOXH"
:KDW OHYHOV RI FRQGHQFH QXPHULFDOO\ DUH UHTXLUHG
WR EH PHW WR DVVLJQ D EORFN RI FRDO WR RQH RU DQRWKHU RI
WKH FRQGHQFH FDWHJRULHV" 7KDW LV WR VD\ KRZ RIWHQ GR
ZH QHHG WR EH ULJKW RU DUH SUHSDUHG WR EH ZURQJ" 'RHV
0HDVXUHG&RDOUHTXLUHDSHUFHQWFRQGHQFHOHYHORU
LV SHU FHQW RU SHU FHQW DGHTXDWH" 7KLV LV SUREDEO\
WKH NH\ TXHVWLRQ DQG WKHUH LV QR SUHVFULEHG RU LQGXVWU\
VWDQGDUGDQVZHU
,I VL[ SDUDPHWHUV QHHG WR EH HYDOXDWHG WR IXOO\ DVVHVV
FRQGHQFHLQWRQQDJHDQGTXDOLW\ZKLFKRQHFRQWUROVWKH
DVVLJQPHQWRIFRDOWRDFDWHJRU\",VLWWKHSDUDPHWHUWKDW
SURYLGHVWKHPRVWFRQVHUYDWLYHDSSURDFKWKHPRVWOLEHUDO
DSSURDFKRUDQDYHUDJHDSSURDFK"
$WZKDWVFDOHLVWKHHYDOXDWLRQWREHGRQH",QRWKHUZRUGV
DWZKDWVFDOHGR\RXZLVKWRDFKLHYHWKHGHVLUHGOHYHORI
DFFXUDF\DQGFRQGHQFHWRQQHVRUWLPH"
,Q VXPPDU\ LW FDQ EH VDLG WKDW JHRVWDWLVWLFV LV D WRRO
WKDW FDQ DVVLVW LQ WKH FODVVLFDWLRQ RI FRDO LQWR JHRORJLFDO
FRQGHQFH FDWHJRULHV EXW LW VWLOO UHTXLUHV WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI
VLJQLFDQWMXGJHPHQWE\WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQWREHRIDQ\
XVH8QIRUWXQDWHO\WKHUHLVQRWDVLPSOHGLUHFWOLQNEHWZHHQ
JHRVWDWLVWLFDOWHFKQLTXHVDQGFRDOFODVVLFDWLRQ
:KLOVW WKHVH PDWWHUV DUH QRW LQVXUPRXQWDEOH LW UHPDLQV
DIDFWWKDWWKHXVHRIJHRVWDWLVWLFVLQWKHFRDOLQGXVWU\LVQRW
ZLGHVSUHDGDQGRWKHUIDFWRUVOLPLWLWVXVH)RUH[DPSOH
Approach
Unacceptable Practice
Comment
Still in use in some quarters.
Not acceptable industry practice.
Leading Practice
A Practitioners Guide to the Identification, Classification and Estimation of Inventory Coal and Coal Resources|K B Preston
&RQVLGHULQJWKHUVWSDUWRIWKHSURFHVVWKDWFKDUDFWHULVHV
SK\VLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI FRDO VHDPV PRVW 3RLQW RI
2EVHUYDWLRQW\SHVSURYLGHVROLGHYLGHQFHRIVXSSRUW*RRG
VHLVPLFGDWDZLOOLQIDFWSURYLGHEHWWHUVXSSRUWRIFRQWLQXLW\
WKDQLVRODWHGGULOOKROHLQWHUVHFWLRQVEXWOHVVVRRQWKLFNQHVV
8QIRUWXQDWHO\WKHGDWDLVQRWDOZD\VJRRGHQRXJKWRSURYLGH
VROLGVXSSRUW
7KH VHFRQG SDUW RI WKH SURFHVV WKDW ZKLFK FKDUDFWHULVHV
FRDO TXDOLW\ LV PRUH VHOHFWLYH DQG RQO\ WZR 3RLQW RI
2EVHUYDWLRQ W\SHV SURYLGH UHOLDEOH FRQUPDWLRQ )RU WKLV
UHDVRQWKHGHQVLW\RIW\SHVDQGLVQRUPDOO\WKHOLPLWLQJ
IDFWRULQFRDODFKLHYLQJDKLJKVWDWXVFODVVLFDWLRQ
,Q WHUPV RI FRDO TXDOLW\ DQRWKHU NH\ GHFLVLRQ QHHGV WR
EH PDGH DW WKLV VWDJH ZKLFK TXDOLW\ SDUDPHWHUV PXVW EH
FRQVLGHUHGVXFKWKDWWKHUHLVDGHTXDWHSURRIWKDWWKHIDFWRUV
WKDWZLOOXOWLPDWHO\LQXHQFHWRQQHVDQGNH\PDUNHWVHQVLWLYH
TXDOLWLHVDUHNQRZQ"8QOLNHPHWDOOLFRUHVZKHUHJUDGHLVWKH
NH\SDUDPHWHUFRDOTXDOLW\LVDPXOWLIDFHWHGIHDWXUH4XDOLW\
FDQEHDVVHVVHGRQUDZRUXQSURFHVVHGFRDORURQEHQHFLDWHG
FRDO 4XDOLW\ SDUDPHWHUV DUH PDQ\ DQG YDULHG DQG GLIIHU
EHWZHHQPHWDOOXUJLFDODQGWKHUPDOFRDOV
7DEOH LQ WKLV SDSHU LV D UHFRPPHQGHG DSSURDFK WR WKH
VHOHFWLRQRITXDOLWLHVWRFRQVLGHU
7KH VHOHFWLRQ RI TXDOLW\ SDUDPHWHUV LV D EDODQFH EHWZHHQ
VHOHFWLQJ WRR IHZ KHQFH EDVLQJ WKH FODVVLFDWLRQ RQ DQ
RYHUVLPSOLHG YLHZ RI WKH FRDO RU WRR PDQ\ ZKLFK OHDGV
WR WRR PDQ\ YDOLG SDUWLDO 3RLQWV RI 2EVHUYDWLRQ EHLQJ
HOLPLQDWHGDQGRUWKHDQDO\VLVEHFRPLQJRYHUFRPSOLFDWHG
1H[W FRPHV WKH FULWLFDO DQG FRQWURYHUVLDO SURFHVV RI
GHWHUPLQLQJ ZKDW PLJKW EH UHDVRQDEOH GLVWDQFHV EHWZHHQ
3RLQWV RI 2EVHUYDWLRQ WR VWDUW WKH SURFHVV RI GHQLQJ
0HDVXUHG ,QGLFDWHG DQG ,QIHUUHG ]RQHV 7KLV FDQ EH
DSSURDFKHGLQWKHIROORZLQJZD\V
%\MXGJHPHQWRIWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQZKRPD\GUDZ
RQ DOO UHJLRQDO DQG ORFDO NQRZOHGJH RI WKH FRDOHOG
DQG E\ UHIHUHQFH WR RWKHU FRDOHOGV GHFLGH ZKHUH WKLV
SDUWLFXODUGHSRVLWVLWVLQWKHVSHFWUXPRIFRQVLVWHQF\DQG
SUHGLFWDELOLW\ RI NH\ SK\VLFDO DQG TXDOLW\ SDUDPHWHUV
&OHDUO\ WKLV H[HUFLVH FDQ EH FDUULHG RXW ZLWK JUHDWHU
FRQGHQFHLQNQRZQFRDOHOGVZKHUHWKHUHDUHRSHUDWLQJ
PLQHV$QH[DPSOHRIWKLVVRUWRIDVVHVVPHQWLVVKRZQLQ
7DEOH
%\WKHDSSOLFDWLRQRIEDVLFJHRVWDWLVWLFVIRUH[DPSOHE\
EXLOGLQJ YDULRJUDPV DQG XVLQJ YDULRJUDP JHRPHWU\ WR
TABLE 2
Classification of Points of Observation.
Type
Types 3 - 5 may
support quality
Types 8 - 9 supportive
of structure, continuity
and thickness
335
TABLE 3
Recommended coal quality parameters for Points of Observation test.
Coal type
Raw coal
Product raw
or washed
Property
Thermal coal
Metallurgical coal
Comment
Moisture (% ad)
Yes
Yes
Required to convert laboratory RD to in situ RD; also basis for reporting of other
quality values.
Ash (% ad)
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes if washed
Yes if washed
Moisture (% ad)
Yes
Yes
Ash (% ad)
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
CSN
Yes
Site dependent
Site dependent
Abbreviations: ad = air dry; ar = as received; ARD = apparent relative density; RD = relative density; CSN = crucible swelling number.
If air-dried moisture is missing, in situ density cannot be calculated. There is therefore an incentive to fill in missing moisture values with averages for raw coal for the given seam. This approach is considered
reasonable if fill-in values are well in the minority (say <20 per cent). If ash is missing it may be estimated from RD if a good ash (dry) versus RD (dry) relationship can be developed. This approach is
considered reasonable if estimated values are well in the minority (say <20 per cent). If RD is missing it may be estimated from: (1) ARD if a good RD versus ARD relationship can be developed; or (2) from
ash (dry) if a good ash (dry) versus RD (dry) relationship can be developed. This approach is considered reasonable if estimated values are well in the minority (say <20 per cent). If gross calorific value
(GCV) is missing, it may be estimated from ash if a good ash (dry) versus GCV (dry) relationship can be developed. This approach is considered reasonable if estimated values are well in the minority (say
<20percent).
TABLE 4
Example of distance between Points of Observation assessment.
Seam
Physical/structural character
Coal quality
Theta
450/900/2700
800/1600/3500
Iota
380/760/2300
700/1400/3000
Kappa
300/600/1800
450/900/2300
GHFLGHVXLWDEOHGDWDVSDFLQJIRUHDFKFRQGHQFHFDWHJRU\
VXFKDVDVVHVVLQJGLVWDQFHEHWZHHQ3RLQWVRI2EVHUYDWLRQ
DVEHLQJDSHUFHQWDJHRIWKHUDQJH
%\ WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI PRUH VRSKLVWLFDWHG JHRVWDWLVWLFV
VXFKDVWKHGULOOKROHVSDFLQJDQDO\VLVWHFKQLTXH
,WLVLPSRUWDQWDWWKLVVWDJHWRUHFRJQLVHWKHH[LVWHQFHDQG
VLJQLFDQFHRIJHRORJLFDOGRPDLQVLQWKHDUHDXQGHUVWXG\
7DEOHLPSOLHVWKDWWKHGRPDLQVDUHODUJHO\GHQHGE\WKH
VHDPVDQGWKLVLVDZLGHO\DFFHSWHGFRQFHSWLQFRDOJHRORJ\
KRZHYHUWKHHVWLPDWRUPXVWDOVRFRQVLGHUWKHSRVVLELOLW\RI
DUHDOGRPDLQVLQZKLFKVWUXFWXUDORUTXDOLW\IHDWXUHVPD\
VXJJHVWWKHQHHGIRUFORVHO\VSDFHGGDWDSRLQWVRUDOORZWKH
XVHRIPRUHZLGHO\VSDFHGSRLQWVWRDFKLHYHWKHDSSURSULDWH
FODVVLFDWLRQ ,Q WKHVH FDVHV GLVWDQFHV EHWZHHQ 3RLQWV RI
2EVHUYDWLRQ PD\ KDYH WR EH PRGLHG RQ DQ DUHDO EDVLV DV
ZHOO DV RQ D VHDP EDVLV WR FRUUHFWO\ UHHFW WKH JHRORJLFDO
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
2QFH 3RLQWV RI 2EVHUYDWLRQ KDYH EHHQ FODVVLHG E\ W\SH
DQG UHTXLUHG GLVWDQFHV RI PD[LPXP FRQWLQXLW\ EHWZHHQ
WKHPHVWDEOLVKHGWRLGHQWLI\]RQHVRIKLJKUHDVRQDEOHDQG
ORZ OHYHOV RI FRQGHQFH PDSV IRU HDFK VHDP RU HQWLW\
336
FDQWKHQEHGUDZQVHSDUDWHO\IRUVWUXFWXUHDQGIRUTXDOLW\
VKRZLQJ
7KH3RLQWVRI2EVHUYDWLRQERWKGULOOKROHDQGQRQGULOO
KROHQRUPDOO\V\PERORUFRORXUFRGHGE\W\SH
&LUFOHVRIFRORXUDURXQGGHQLQJ3RLQWVRI2EVHUYDWLRQ
ZLWK UDGLL HTXDO WR WKH GLVWDQFH RI PD[LPXP FRQWLQXLW\
KDOIWKHVSDFLQJEHWZHHQSRLQWV
&RORXUZLOOEHDVVLJQHGWRWKHFLUFOHVKDYLQJWKHVPDOOHVW
UDGLXV &RORXU WR FLUFOHV RI LQWHUPHGLDWH UDGLXV DQG
&RORXUWRWKHODUJHVWUDGLXVFLUFOHV,QJUDSKLFDOWHUPV
&RORXUZLOODOZD\VEHGLVSOD\HGDWWKHIURQWIROORZHG
IURQWWREDFNE\&RORXUVDQG
$OO RWKHU UHOHYDQW JHRORJLFDO IHDWXUHV PLQLQJ ]RQHV LI
RSHUDWLQJPLQHVRFFXULQWKHDUHDDQGRWKHUOLPLWOLQHV
7KLV LV D PHFKDQLFDO FRPSXWHUJHQHUDWHG H[HUFLVH WKDW
UHTXLUHVOLWWOHLQSXWIURPWKHHVWLPDWRUDIWHUVHWXS,WGUDZV
RQ WKH 3RLQW RI 2EVHUYDWLRQ WDEOHV SUHYLRXVO\ GHVFULEHG
WRJHWKHUZLWKRWKHUJUDSKLFDOHOHPHQWVQRUPDOO\VWRUHGDQG
H[WUDFWDEOH IURP ZLWKLQ WKH PRGHOOLQJ GDWDEDVH 7KH LQLWLDO
DLP RI WKLV H[HUFLVH LV WR JHW DOO WKH UHOHYDQW LQIRUPDWLRQ
WRJHWKHULQWKHRQHSODFHRQRQHPDSVRWKDWLWFDQUVWEH
A Practitioners Guide to the Identification, Classification and Estimation of Inventory Coal and Coal Resources|K B Preston
5HYLHZVWKHPDSVVKRZLQJDOO3RLQWRI2EVHUYDWLRQDQG
RWKHUJHRORJLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQ
6XSHULPSRVHV RWKHU UHJLRQDO RU ORFDO QRQPDSSDEOH
NQRZOHGJH RQ WKH SLFWXUH DQG FRQVLGHUV WKH YDOXH RI
VXSSRUWLQJ3RLQWVRI2EVHUYDWLRQ
&RQVLGHUVZKDWFDQEHVHHQLQOLJKWRIWKHH[SHULHQFHRI
RWKHUFRDOHOGVDQGJHRORJLFDOVHWWLQJV
0RGLHVWKHRULJLQDODVVHPEODJHRILQIRUPDWLRQWRFUHDWH
JHRORJLFDOO\VHQVLEOHSRO\JRQVZKLFKIRUHLWKHUVWUXFWXUH
RUTXDOLW\FRXOGEHVDLGWRFRQWDLQFRDORIKLJKFRQGHQFH
UHDVRQDEOH FRQGHQFH DQG ORZ FRQGHQFH LQ WHUPV RI
FRQWLQXLW\,WIROORZVWKHYHU\XVHIXOGHVFULSWRUVXVHGLQ
WKH-25&&RGHWKDWZHUHVDGO\QRWFDUULHGWKURXJK
LQWRWKH-25&&RGH7KLVSURFHVVUHPRYHVRXWOLHUV
OOV LQ EHWZHHQ LQOLHUV ZKHUH DSSURSULDWH UHGXFHV
H[FHVVLYHH[WUDSRODWLRQDQGVPRRWKVRIIERXQGDULHV
7KLVZRUNPXVWEHGRQHVHSDUDWHO\IRUHDFKVHDPRUHQWLW\
DQG VHSDUDWHO\ IRU PDSV RI SK\VLFDO JHRORJ\VWUXFWXUH DQG
TXDOLW\
$W WKLV VWDJH RWKHU IDFWRUV WKDW PD\ EH SDUWLDOO\ EXW QRW
ZKROO\ VXLWHG WR HYDOXDWLRQ E\ WKH GHQVLW\ RI 3RLQWV RI
2EVHUYDWLRQ DSSURDFK QHHG WR EH FRQVLGHUHG 7KHVH DUH WKH
JHRWHFKQLFDO IDFWRUV NQRZOHGJH RI JURXQGZDWHU DQG LQ WKH
FDVHRIFRDOVOLNHO\WREHPLQHGXQGHUJURXQGNQRZOHGJHRI
FRDOVHDPJDV1RWHWKDWWKLVGLVFXVVLRQLVQRWDERXWIDFWRUV
DIIHFWLQJWKHSRWHQWLDOIRUH[WUDFWLRQUDWKHULWLVDERXWIDFWRUV
WKDW QHHG WR EH FRQVLGHUHG DV SDUW RI WKH DVVHVVPHQW RI
JHRORJLFDOFRQGHQFH
)DFWRUVWREHFRQVLGHUHGIRUHDFKDUH
JHRWHFKQLFDOIDFWRUVLQWDFWURFNVWUHQJWKIUHTXHQF\DQG
JHRPHWU\ RI GHIHFWV PDWHULDO SHUIRUPDQFH ZKHQ ZHW
DQG KRUL]RQWDO DQG YHUWLFDO VWUHVV FKDUDFWHULVWLFV LQ WKH
XQGHUJURXQGHQYLURQPHQW
JURXQGZDWHU VRXUFHV RI UHFKDUJH SHUPHDELOLW\
SLH]RPHWULFJUDGLHQWZDWHUYROXPHV
2QFH WKH KXPDQ ZRUN LV GRQH WKH SRO\JRQV FDQ EH
GLJLWLVHG DQG DJDLQ WKH FRPSXWHU VRIWZDUH WDNHV RYHU WKH
WDVN7KHQDOVWHSLQWKHFODVVLFDWLRQSURFHVVLVWRLQWHUVHFW
WKHVWUXFWXUDODQGTXDOLW\SRO\JRQVIRUDVHDPRUHQWLW\DQG
FUHDWH LQWHUVHFWLRQ SRO\JRQV ZKHUH WKH QDO FODVVLFDWLRQ
LV WKH OHVVHU RI WKH LQGLYLGXDO VWDWXV RI WKH WZR SRO\JRQV
)RU H[DPSOH ZKHUH D KLJK FRQGHQFH VWUXFWXUDO SRO\JRQ
LQWHUVHFWV D KLJK FRQGHQFH TXDOLW\ SRO\JRQ WKH FRPPRQ
DUHD ZLOO EH 0HDVXUHG KRZHYHU ZKHUH D KLJK FRQGHQFH
VWUXFWXUDOSRO\JRQLQWHUVHFWVDUHDVRQDEOHFRQGHQFHTXDOLW\
SRO\JRQWKHFRPPRQDUHDZLOOEH,QGLFDWHG/LNHZLVHZKHUH
D KLJK FRQGHQFH TXDOLW\ SRO\JRQ LQWHUVHFWV D UHDVRQDEOH
FRQGHQFH VWUXFWXUDO SRO\JRQ WKH FRPPRQ DUHD ZLOO EH
,QGLFDWHG :KLOVW WKLV ZRUN LV QRUPDOO\ GRQH LQ VRIWZDUH
D QDO FKHFN RI WKH RXWFRPH E\ WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ LV
QHFHVVDU\
$W WKLV VWDJH WKH MRE RI FODVVLI\LQJ ,QYHQWRU\ &RDO FDQ EH
FRQVLGHUHGFRPSOHWH
VHDPORJLFDOVXEDUHDFRQGHQFHFDWHJRU\
SHUKDSVDOVRE\GHSWKVWULSUDWLRRUVHDPWKLFNQHVV
$Q DSSURDFK WKDW DOVR SURYLGHV XVHIXO LQIRUPDWLRQ DQG
KHOSVZLWKYDOLGDWLRQDQGHUURUFKHFNLQJLVWRFDUU\
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
337
(DFKRIWKHFRPSRQHQWVRIWKHFRDOTXDQWLW\HVWLPDWHIRU
HDFKDUHDDUHDVHDPWKLFNQHVV in situUHODWLYHGHQVLW\DV
ZHOODVWKHWRQQHV
5HOHYDQW TXDOLWLHV 6LQFH ,QYHQWRU\ &RDO RFFXUV in situ
RQO\ UDZ FRDO TXDOLWLHV VXFK DV DLUGULHG PRLVWXUH DVK
VXOIXUDQGJURVVFDORULFYDOXHDVZHOODV in situUHODWLYH
GHQVLW\DUHUHOHYDQW,WLVDFFHSWDEOHDQGQRUPDOWRPRGHO
DQG HVWLPDWH WKHVH TXDOLW\ YDOXHV DW DLUGULHG PRLVWXUH
except in situUHODWLYHGHQVLW\ZKLFKLVDW in situPRLVWXUH
$W WKH QXPEHUFUXQFKLQJ VWDJH WKH SURFHVV RI HVWLPDWLQJ
DQGWDEXODWLQJTXDQWLWLHVDQGTXDOLWLHVRIFRDOLVDNLQWRFRDO
ERRNNHHSLQJ ,W LV KHUH WKDW WKH JHRORJLVW PXVW EHFRPH
DQ DFFRXQWDQW DQG SD\ DWWHQWLRQ WR WKH QXPEHUV LW PD\
EH FRQFHSWXDOO\ VWUDLJKWIRUZDUG EXW WKH ZRUN LV SURQH WR
HUURULIFDUHLVQRWWDNHQ(YHU\WKLQJPXVWEHDFFRXQWHGIRU
HYHU\WKLQJPXVWEHNHSWLQLWVDSSURSULDWHSLJHRQKROHDQGDOO
TXDQWLWLHVPXVWDGGXSDQGEHFURVVFKHFNHG
,QYHQWRU\ &RDO FDQQRW EH UHSRUWHG LQ 3XEOLF 5HSRUWV DV
WKH\ DUH GHQHG E\ WKH -25& &RGH KRZHYHU WKH
HVWLPDWLRQSURFHVVDQGRXWFRPHVVKRXOGEHGRFXPHQWHGDQG
PDGH NQRZQ LQWHUQDOO\ WR WKH KROGHUV RI WKH WHQHPHQW WKDW
FRQWDLQVWKHFRDOLQTXHVWLRQDQGWRWKHPDQDJHPHQWRIWKH
RSHUDWLQJ FRPSDQ\ &RQGHQWLDO UHSRUWLQJ WR JRYHUQPHQW
DXWKRULWLHVPD\DOVRUHTXLUHWKHUHSRUWLQJRI,QYHQWRU\&RDO
A Practitioners Guide to the Identification, Classification and Estimation of Inventory Coal and Coal Resources|K B Preston
FDSLWDOFRVWV
LQLWLDOGHYHORSPHQWQHZPLQHV
VXVWDLQLQJFDSLWDO
:KDWOHYHORIVWXG\LVUHTXLUHGDQGZKDWWHFKQLTXHVKRXOG
EH XVHG WR HYDOXDWH ZKDW LV RU LV QRW HFRQRPLF" 7KLV LV
SDUWLFXODUO\WUXHRIJUHHQHOGGHSRVLWVZKLFKVWLOOUHTXLUH
LQIUDVWUXFWXUHGHYHORSPHQWDQGFRVWPDUNHWYDOLGDWLRQ
7KH -25& &RGH GHQHV WKUHH OHYHOV RI VWXG\ WKH
ORZHVWOHYHOEHLQJD6FRSLQJ6WXG\)XUWKHUPRUHLWVWDWHV
WKDW
In discussing reasonable prospects for eventual
HFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQLQ&ODXVHWKH&RGHUHTXLUHVDQ
assessment (albeit preliminary) in respect of all matters
OLNHO\ WR LQXHQFH WKH SURVSHFW RI HFRQRPLF H[WUDFWLRQ
including the approximate mining parameters by the
Competent Person. While a Scoping Study may provide
WKHEDVLVIRUWKDWDVVHVVPHQWWKH&RGHGRHVQRWUHTXLUH
a Scoping Study to have been completed to report a
Mineral Resource. -25&&RGHS
,W LV GLIFXOW WR UHFRQFLOH WKH UHTXLUHPHQWV WR GHQH
UHDVRQDEOH SURVSHFWV IRU HYHQWXDO HFRQRPLF H[WUDFWLRQ DQG
WKH QHHG WR SURYLGH GRFXPHQWDU\ MXVWLFDWLRQ ZLWK WKH IDFW
WKDWD6FRSLQJ6WXG\LVQRWUHTXLUHG,WLPSOLHVWKDWD6FRSLQJ
6WXG\ LV WRR KLJK D OHYHO RI VWXG\ DQG WKDW VRPHWKLQJ OHVV
ZRXOGEHVXIFLHQW
1RUPDOO\WKLVZRUNZRXOGRFFXUDVSDUWRIDGHYHORSPHQW
VWXG\RIVRPHVRUWZKHWKHULWLVD6FRSLQJ6WXG\RURQHRI
KLJKHU RU ORZHU VWDWXV 6LQFH WKH -25& &RGH GRHV
QRW SUHVFULEH WKH OHYHO UHTXLUHG LW LV XS WR WKH &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQWRGHFLGHZKDWOHYHOZLOOEHDGHTXDWH
&XUUHQWO\DVSHFWUXPRISUDFWLFHH[LVWVLQWKHLQGXVWU\DV
VKRZQLQ)LJXUH
,W LV KDUG WR HVFDSH WKH IDFW WKDW VRPH OHYHO RI VWXG\
FRPSULVLQJ FRVW HVWLPDWLRQ DQG HFRQRPLF UDQNLQJ DW D
PLQLPXP LV QHHGHG WR FRPH WR DQ\ FRQFOXVLRQV DERXW
ZKHWKHUDFRDOGHSRVLWKDVUHDVRQDEOHSURVSHFWVIRUHYHQWXDO
HFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQ7KLVZLOOUHTXLUHVXSSRUWIURPPLQLQJ
SURFHVVLQJ DQG LQIUDVWUXFWXUH HQJLQHHUV WRJHWKHU ZLWK
PDUNHWLQJDQGQDQFLDODQDO\VWV
,Q VXPPDU\ LW VXIFHV WR VD\ WKDW ZKLOVW WKH JHRORJ\
RI D FRDO GHSRVLW XQGHUSLQV PDQ\ RI WKH IDFWRUV WKDW
ZLOO GHWHUPLQH ZKHWKHU &RDO 5HVRXUFHV H[LVW RU QRW WKH
GHWHUPLQDWLRQRIZKHWKHUWKHUHDUHUHDVRQDEOHSURVSHFWVIRU
HYHQWXDOHFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQLVQRWDWDVNWREHXQGHUWDNHQ
E\ JHRORJLVWV DORQH 7KH WHVW PXVW LQYRNH HOHPHQWV RI
HFRQRPLF DVVHVVPHQW DQG WKHVH LQ WXUQ UHTXLUH LQSXW DQG
H[SHUWLVH IURP HQJLQHHULQJ DQG QDQFLDO GLVFLSOLQHV
Basic Practice
$OOWKHFRDOLVRI,QIHUUHGVWDWXVWKHUHIRUHQR&RDO5HVHUYHV
FDQEHHVWLPDWHG,QWKLVFDVHWKHUHDUHQRIXUWKHURSWLRQV
DQGWKH&RDO5HVRXUFHVFDQEHUHSRUWHGDVLV
6RPHRIWKHFRDOLVRI0HDVXUHGDQGRU,QGLFDWHGVWDWXV
KRZHYHU WKHUH PD\ EH QR DSSHWLWH IRU XQGHUWDNLQJ WKH
UHTXLUHG VWXGLHV WR WXUQ VRPH RU DOO RI WKHP LQWR &RDO
5HVHUYHV,QWKLVFDVHWKHUHDUHQR&RDO5HVHUYHVDQGQR
IXUWKHU RSWLRQV DQG WKH &RDO 5HVRXUFHV FDQ EH UHSRUWHG
DVLV
6RPHRIWKHFRDOLVRI0HDVXUHGDQGRU,QGLFDWHGVWDWXV
DQG WKHUH LV D ZLVK WR XQGHUWDNH WKH UHTXLUHG VWXGLHV
WR WXUQ VRPH RU DOO RI WKHP LQWR &RDO 5HVHUYHV ,I WKHVH
VWXGLHV XOWLPDWHO\ GHPRQVWUDWH WKH H[LVWHQFH RI &RDO
5HVHUYHV&ODXVHRIWKH-25&&RGHDOORZV&RDO
5HVRXUFHVWREHUHSRUWHGLQRQHRIWZRZD\V
,QFOXVLYH RI UHVHUYHV LQ WKLV FDVH &RDO 5HVRXUFHV
LQFOXGH WKH FRQWDLQHG &RDO 5HVHUYHV 7RWDO &RDO
5HVRXUFHVZLOOEHUHSRUWHGDVHVWLPDWHG
$GGLWLRQDO RU H[FOXVLYH RI UHVHUYHV DVVXPLQJ WKDW
DOOWKH&RDO5HVRXUFHVDUHQRWFRQVXPHGE\WKH&RDO
5HVHUYHVUHPDLQLQJ&RDO5HVRXUFHVZLOORFFXURXWVLGH
RUEHORZ&RDO5HVHUYHV
Physical screening - consider seam thickness, depth, strip ratio, washery yield, coal type.
Cash Cost Screening - estimate average annual operating cost of extraction, processing, transport.
Full Cost Screening - as for cash cost screening but making some allowance for mine development
and ongoing capital costs.
Optimisation/margin ranking - as for full cost screening but also invoking price.
Search for lateral and vertical limits by evaluating $ margin.
Leading Practice
Full Economic Screening - undertake DCF analysis against a schedule, using full capital and
operating cost estimates and predictions of future pricing and forex.
339
,QWKHFDVHRIPDNLQJDFKRLFHWRUHSRUW&RDO5HVRXUFHVLQ
DGGLWLRQWR&RDO5HVHUYHVQRWDUHFRPPHQGHGFKRLFHLWLV
QHFHVVDU\WRFDUU\RXWDIXUWKHUVWHSLQYROYLQJHVWLPDWLRQDQG
MXGJHPHQW,WLVHVVHQWLDOWRH[FLVHWKH in situFRDOWRQQHVWKDW
RFFXU LQ WKH &RDO 5HVHUYH SLW VKHOO IURP WKH &RDO 5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWH DQG WKHQ FRQVLGHU ZKHWKHU WKH UHPDLQLQJ &RDO
5HVRXUFHVZLOOVWLOOEH&RDO5HVRXUFHVDIWHUWKH&RDO5HVHUYHV
KDYH EHHQ H[WUDFWHG WKDW LV ZLOO WKH\ VWLOO KDYH UHDVRQDEOH
SURVSHFWVIRUHYHQWXDOHFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQ,IWKHDQVZHULV
\HVDOOWKHFRDOLQTXHVWLRQPD\EHUHSRUWHGDV&RDO5HVRXUFHV
,IWKHDQVZHULVWKDWVRPHRUDOOWKHFRDOZLOOQRORQJHUVDWLVI\
WKHUHDVRQDEOHSURVSHFWVWHVWDSSURSULDWHGHGXFWLRQVPXVW
EHPDGHEHIRUHUHSRUWLQJ
)LQDOO\ ZH KDYH UHDFKHG WKH VWDJH ZKHUH FRPSLOLQJ WKH
UHSRUWLVWKHRQO\WDVNUHPDLQLQJWREHGRQH$VQRWHGHDUOLHU
WKLV SDSHUV VFRSH LV WR SURYLGH JXLGDQFH RQ WKH SURFHVV RI
LGHQWLFDWLRQFODVVLFDWLRQDQGHVWLPDWLRQRI,QYHQWRU\&RDO
DQG&RDO5HVRXUFHV*XLGDQFHIRUUHSRUWLQJRI,QYHQWRU\&RDO
DQG&RDO5HVRXUFHVLVDPSO\SURYLGHGLQWKH&RDO*XLGHOLQHV
340
REFERENCES
$XVWUDOLDQ *XLGHOLQHV IRU (VWLPDWLQJ DQG 5HSRUWLQJ RI ,QYHQWRU\
&RDO &RDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG &RDO 5HVHUYHV WKH &RDO *XLGHOLQHV
HGLWLRQSUHSDUHGE\WKH&RDOHOGV*HRORJ\&RXQFLORI1HZ
6RXWK:DOHVDQGWKH4XHHQVODQG0LQLQJ&RXQFLOS
3UHVWRQ.(VWLPDWLQJWKH in situUHODWLYHGHQVLW\RIFRDOROG
IDYRXULWHV DQG QHZ GHYHORSPHQWV LQ Proceedings Bowen Basin
6\PSRVLXP 7KH )XWXUH IRU &RDO )XHO IRU 7KRXJKW HG - :
%HHVWRQ &'520 *HRORJLFDO 6RFLHW\ RI $XVWUDOLD ,QF &RDO
*HRORJ\*URXS6\GQH\DQG%RZHQ%DVLQ*HRORJLVWV*URXS
3UHVWRQ.%DQG6DQGHUV5+(VWLPDWLQJWKH in situUHODWLYH
GHQVLW\RIFRDOAustralian Coal Geology
6WHSKHQVRQ 3 5 $OOPDQ $ &DUYLOOH ' 3 6WRNHU 3 7 0RNRV 3
7\UUHOO-DQG%XUURZV70LQHUDOUHVRXUFHFODVVLFDWLRQLWV
WLPHWRVKRRWWKHVSRWWHGGRJLQProceedings Sixth International
Mining Geology ConferenceSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
HOME
1. MAusIMM(CP), Principal Geostatistician, Optiro Pty Ltd, Level 4, 50 Colin Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM(CP), Chief Resource Geologist, Gold Fields Exploration, Inc, 6400 South Fiddlers Green Circle, Greenwood Village Co 80111, USA. Email: [email protected]
3. The term recoverable Resources in the context of this paper is not intended as a category of Mineral Resources as defined by the JORC Code. It refers to tonnage-grade estimates at the scale of
INTRODUCTION
'XULQJ WKH HDUO\ VWDJH RI D PLQLQJ SURMHFW GULOO KROHV DUH
RIWHQZLGHO\VSDFHG7KLVLVVXIFLHQWIRUHVWLPDWLQJWRQQHV
DQG JUDGHV XVLQJ ODUJH EORFNV SDQHOV ZKRVH GLPHQVLRQV
UHDVRQDEO\FRQIRUPWRWKHGULOOKROHVSDFLQJ6XFKGULOOKROH
VSDFLQJLVLQVXIFLHQWIRUWKHHVWLPDWLRQRIEORFNVDWWKHVFDOH
RIIXWXUHVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJ
8QLIRUPFRQGLWLRQLQJ8&SURYLGHVWKHUHFRYHU\IXQFWLRQV
RIVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJXQLWV608LQVLGHDSDQHOE\XVLQJWKH
HVWLPDWHG SDQHO JUDGHV 8& GRHV QRW SURYLGH WKH VSDWLDO
ORFDWLRQ RI WKRVH 608V :KDW LV SURYLGHG IRU HDFK ODUJH
SDQHO LV D VHULHV RI JUDGH PHWDO DQG WRQQDJH HVWLPDWHV IRU
SUHGHWHUPLQHGFXWRIIJUDGHV7KLVGDWDFRQJXUDWLRQLVQRW
SUDFWLFDO IRU PDQ\ PLQLQJ VWXGLHV RIWHQ UHTXLULQJ VSHFLDO
SURFHVVLQJ DQG SURYLGLQJ OLPLWHG FDSDFLW\ IRU YLVXDOLVDWLRQ
RIOLNHO\JUDGHGLVWULEXWLRQDWWKH608VFDOH
/RFDOLVHG XQLIRUP FRQGLWLRQLQJ /8& LV D UHFHQW
WHFKQLTXHXVHGWRVSDWLDOO\ORFDWHWKHJUDGHRI608VLQVLGH
SDQHOV /8& XVHV WKH SDQHO UHFRYHU\ IXQFWLRQV JLYHQ E\
8& DQG WKURXJK D UDQNLQJ SURFHGXUH RI GLUHFW 608
HVWLPDWHVGHULYHVDQGDVVLJQV608JUDGHVWKDWUHSURGXFH
WKH 8& UHFRYHU\ IXQFWLRQV $E]DORY /8& SURYLGHV
DZD\RIUHSUHVHQWLQJWKH8&GDWDDV608EORFNVWKDWKDYH
JUDGHWRQQDJH UHODWLRQVKLSV PDWFKLQJ WKH SDQHO 8& GDWD
7KLV W\SH RI GDWD FRQJXUDWLRQ LV PXFK PRUH SUDFWLFDO IRU
PLQLQJ VWXGLHV HJ /HUFK*URVVPDQ RSWLPLVDWLRQV DQG
YLVXDOLVDWLRQ
/8& LV QRW D UHSODFHPHQW IRU JUDGH FRQWURO LQ PLQLQJ
RSHUDWLRQV/8&LVJHQHUDOO\RQO\XVHIXOIRURSHQSLWPLQLQJ
VWXGLHV WKDW DUH UHTXLUHG IRU HYDOXDWLQJ WKH HFRQRPLFV RI
D SURMHFW ,QGLYLGXDO /8& HVWLPDWHV RI 608 JUDGHV DUH
QRW DFFXUDWH 608V PXVW EH HYDOXDWHG DV SDUW RI D ODUJHU
UNIFORM CONDITIONING
8& LV D QRQOLQHDU WHFKQLTXH IRU HVWLPDWLQJ UHFRYHUDEOH
5HVRXUFHVLQVLGHDPLQLQJSDQHOVXVLQJWKHHVWLPDWHGSDQHO
JUDGH5LYRLUDUG7KHWHFKQLTXHLVDVRXQGDSSURDFK
IRUDVVHVVLQJUHFRYHUDEOH5HVRXUFHVEHFDXVHLWLVZHOONQRZQ
WKDW ZKHQ GULOOLQJ GDWD DUH VSDUVH HVWLPDWLRQ LQWR SDQHOV
SURYLGHV PRUH UHOLDEOH UHVXOWV WKDQ GLUHFWO\ HVWLPDWLQJ LQWR
VPDOOEORFNV
.H\ WR 8& LV D UREXVW FRQGLWLRQDOO\ XQELDVHG HVWLPDWH RI
WKH SDQHO JUDGH DQG D VRXQG FKDQJH RI VXSSRUW PRGHOOLQJ
UHODWLQJWKHJUDGHVZ(x)DWSRLQWVXSSRUWZ(v)DW608VXSSRUW
DQGWKHHVWLPDWHGJUDGHVZ*(V)DWSDQHOVXSSRUW
7KH GLVFUHWH *DXVVLDQ FKDQJHRIVXSSRUW PRGHO '*0
LQWURGXFHGE\0DWKHURQLVXVHGLQ8&IRUWKHFKDQJH
RIVXSSRUW7KHPRGHOH[SUHVVHVZ(x)DQGZ(v)DVIXQFWLRQVRI
WZRVWDQGDUG*DXVVLDQYDULDEOHVY(x)DQGYvDV
Z (x) = U ^Y (x) h
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
341
ZKHUH
ZKHUH
v
U v (y) =
+3
-3
ZKHUH
g
GHQRWHVWKHVWDQGDUG*DXVVLDQGHQVLW\5LYRLUDUG
/ z r H (y)
n
ZKHUH
Hn
n
DUHWKH+HUPLWHSRO\QRPLDOV
DUHWKHFRUUHVSRQGLQJ+HUPLWHFRHIFLHQWV
/z
2
n
2n
(1)
,IDVLPLODUDSSURDFKKROGVIRUFKDQJLQJIURP608WRSDQHO
VXSSRUW5LYRLUDUGWKHHVWLPDWHGJUDGHZ*(V)DWSDQHO
VXSSRUWLVH[SUHVVHGDV
*
Z * (V) = UV (YV)
*
YV LVDVWDQGDUG*DXVVLDQYDULDEOHDQGWKHSDQHODQDPRU
SKRVLVIXQFWLRQvLVJLYHQE\
= / z n s n Hn (y)
7KHFRUUHFWLRQIDFWRUsLVFKRVHQVRDVWRUHVSHFWWKHYDULDQFH
RIZ*(V)E\LQYHUWLQJ
Var (Z * (V))
= / z n2 s 2n
(2)
DQG
*
Z i* (V) = U*iV (Y iV
) = / z in s in Hn (Y iV )
*
ZKHUH
UV (y)
1 - r ) g (u) du
U (ry + u
Z1(v)LVFRQGLWLRQDOO\LQGHSHQGHQWRIWKHSDQHOHVWLPDWHV
Z2* (V), f, Z *N (V) JLYHQ Z1* (V)
Zi(v) LVFRQGLWLRQDOO\LQGHSHQGHQWRI Z1* (V) JLYHQ Z i* (V)
IRUDOO i ! 1
(Z1Y=i(v)LVFRQGLWLRQDOO\LQGHSHQGHQWRIDOORWKHUSDQHO
JUDGHVJLYHQ (Z1* (V), Z i* (V)) IRUDOOi
7KHVH DVVXPSWLRQV DOORZ FRPSXWLQJ WKH SDQHOVSHFLF
UHFRYHU\ IXQFWLRQV IRU WKH DVVHVVPHQW RI UHFRYHUDEOH
5HVRXUFHV 'HUDLVPH 5LYRLUDUG DQG &DUUDVFR
+RZHYHULWLVZRUWKQRWLQJWKDW
A Practitioners Guide to Recoverable Resource Estimation Using Localised Uniform Conditioning|O Rondon and A Trueman
7KH/8&DSSURDFKKDVYDOXHLQSURYLGLQJDSUDFWLFDOZD\WR
SUHVHQWUHFRYHUDEOH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVWRIRULQVWDQFHPLQH
SODQQLQJ DQG SLW RSWLPLVDWLRQ 1RQHWKHOHVV LW LV LPSRUWDQW
WR UHFRJQLVH LW KDV OLPLWDWLRQV DQG WKDW WKH LGHQWLFDWLRQ RI
DFWXDO608JUDGHVIRUPLQLQJLVDWDVNIRUJUDGHFRQWURO
$E]DORY KDV SRLQWHG RXW VRPH OLPLWDWLRQV RI WKH
/8& SURFHVV 3DUWLFXODUO\ LPSRUWDQW DUH WKH QXPEHU RI
608VSHUSDQHODQGWKHDELOLW\RIWKHGLUHFW608HVWLPDWHV
WR SURYLGH D UHOLDEOH UDQNLQJ FULWHULRQ ZLWKLQ HDFK SDQHO
7KH IRUPHU LPSDFWV WKH UHVROXWLRQ ZLWK ZKLFK WKH SDQHO
VSHFLF UHFRYHU\ IXQFWLRQV FDQ EH UHSURGXFHG 7KH ELJJHU
WKHQXPEHURI608VSHUSDQHOWKHEHWWHUWKHUHSURGXFWLRQRI
WKHUHFRYHU\IXQFWLRQV7KHODWWHULVYDOLGZLWKLQFRQWLQXRXV
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZLWK UHODWLYH ORZQXJJHW HIIHFW +RZHYHU DV
VKRZQE\+DUOH\DQG$VVLEH\%RQVXLQWKHSUHVHQFH
RIVWURQJVKRUWUDQJHYDULDELOLW\/8&GRHVQRWDSSHDUWREH
FDSDEOHRISURGXFLQJDFFXUDWHHVWLPDWHVXQGHUWKHFRQVWUDLQW
RIUHSURGXFLQJWKHSDQHOVSHFLFWRQQDJHDQGPHWDOFXUYHV
JLYHQE\8&
,W LV ZRUWK QRWLQJ WKDW WKH PHFKDQLVP RI /8& FDQ EH
XVHG ZLWK RWKHU PHWKRGV IRU WKH DVVHVVPHQW RI UHFRYHUDEOH
5HVRXUFHVIRULQVWDQFHPXOWLSOHLQGLFDWRUNULJLQJ+DUGWNH
$OOHQDQG'RXJODV+RZHYHUDULJRURXVIRUPXODWLRQ
WR DFFRXQW IRU WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ HIIHFW ZKHQ ORFDOLVLQJ WKH
608 JUDGHV 'HUDLVPH DQG $VVLEH\%RQVX LV QRW
VWUDLJKWIRUZDUGZKHQXVLQJPXOWLSOHLQGLFDWRUNULJLQJ
Deposit description
7KHGHSRVLWLVDUHPQDQWVWUXFWXUDOEORFNIURPWKH1DUNDXV
LQWUXVLRQRIWKH3RUWLPR&RPSOH[ZLWKLQWKH)HQQRVFDQGLDQ
6KLHOG LQ 1RUWKHUQ )LQODQG 0LQHUDOLVDWLRQ LV VWURQJO\
DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK XOWUDPDF LJQHRXV URFNV 7KH XOWUDPDF
KRUL]RQV DQG LPPHGLDWHO\ XQGHUO\LQJ PDF JDEEUR
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQLVXQGHUVWRRGWREHLQXHQFHGE\V\QPDJPDWLF
DQG SRVWPDJPDWLF K\GURWKHUPDO DQG UHPRELOLVDWLRQ
SURFHVVHV ,Q DGGLWLRQ VHYHUDO SKDVHV RI GHIRUPDWLRQ KDYH
UHVXOWHG LQ OD\HUSDUDOOHO VKHDULQJ DQG VXEYHUWLFDO IDXOWLQJ
ZKLFK WRJHWKHU ZLWK K\GURWKHUPDO DFWLYLW\ KDV IDFLOLWDWHG
UHPRELOLVDWLRQDQGORFDOHQULFKPHQWRIWKHHFRQRPLFPHWDOV
7KH GHSRVLW LV RI PXOWLHOHPHQW QDWXUH FRQVLVWLQJ RI 3*(
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
343
TABLE 1
Declustered correlation between input attributes at point support.
Pd
Pt
Ag
Au
Cu
Ni
Pd
1.00
Pt
0.98
1.00
Ag
0.70
0.70
1.00
Au
0.90
0.90
0.72
1.00
Cu
0.87
0.86
0.81
0.89
1.00
Ni
0.62
0.61
0.64
0.56
0.72
1.00
0.54
0.52
0.61
0.49
0.69
0.91
:KHQGHDOLQJZLWKPRUHWKDQRQHDWWULEXWHWKHPDVWHURU
DQFKRUDWWULEXWHVKRXOGEHXVHGIRUGHULYLQJWKHGHFOXVWHULQJ
ZHLJKWV ,Q WKH SUHVHQW FDVH VWXG\ WKH GULOO KROH GDWD ZHUH
GHFOXVWHUHG XVLQJ 3G JUDGHV DQG D PRYLQJ ZLQGRZ FHOO
GHFOXVWHULQJDSSURDFKZLWKDFHOOVL]HRIP1E\P(E\
P5/
1.00
7KHPLQHUDOLVHGGRPDLQVXEMHFWRIWKLVFDVHVWXG\LVEDVHG
RQ D SDOODGLXP HTXLYDOHQW FXWRII JUDGH WRJHWKHU ZLWK
JHRORJLFDO IDFWRUV 7KH SDOODGLXP HTXLYDOHQW FDOFXODWLRQ
DOORZV IRU SRWHQWLDO FRQWULEXWLRQV IURP FRSSHU QLFNHO
SDOODGLXPSODWLQXPDQGJROG
Declustering
'ULOO KROH GDWD DUH RIWHQ QRW UHJXODUO\ VDPSOHG DQG LW LV
FRPPRQLQSUDFWLFHWRKDYHDUHDVRIKLJKHUGULOOLQJGHQVLW\
FRPSDUHGWRRWKHUV:KHQGULOOKROHGDWDDUHSUHIHUHQWLDOO\
VDPSOHGWKHKLVWRJUDPDQGPRVWGDWDVWDWLVWLFVDUHELDVHG
DQGQRWUHSUHVHQWDWLYHRIWKHXQGHUO\LQJJUDGHSRSXODWLRQ
7KHUHIRUH D GHFOXVWHULQJ VWUDWHJ\ WR DFFRXQW IRU WKH
LQXHQFHRIHDFKVDPSOHVKRXOGEHXVHGEHIRUHDQ\IXUWKHU
PRGHOOLQJ
8VLQJ GHFOXVWHULQJ ZHLJKWV LV SDUWLFXODUO\ LPSRUWDQW
GXULQJ WKH DVVHVVPHQW RI UHFRYHUDEOH 5HVRXUFHV EHFDXVH
WKH GHULYDWLRQ RI WKH +HUPLWH FRHIFLHQWV SRLQW VXSSRUW
HTXLYDOHQW *DXVVLDQ YDOXHV DQG FRUUHFWLRQ IDFWRUV UHO\ RQ
344
Variography
,W LV ZHOO NQRZQ WKDW D YDULRJUDP PRGHO LV D FULWLFDO LQSXW
WR DQ\ JHRVWDWLVWLFDO JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ RU VLPXODWLRQ 7KLV LV
SDUWLFXODUO\LPSRUWDQWGXULQJWKHDVVHVVPHQWRIUHFRYHUDEOH
5HVRXUFHV ZLWK 8& EHFDXVH D VRXQG YDULRJUDP PRGHO
LV UHTXLUHG WR HVWLPDWH WKH SDQHO JUDGHV RQ ZKLFK WKH
UHFRYHUDEOH 5HVRXUFHV ZLOO EH EDVHG )XUWKHUPRUH WKH
YDULRJUDPPRGHODOVRSOD\VDFUXFLDOUROHLQWKHGHULYDWLRQRI
NH\LQSXWSDUDPHWHUVRI8&DQG08&
8& XVHV WKH YDULRJUDP PRGHO DQG WKH UHODWLRQVKLS
Var (Z (v)) = c (+ 3) - c ZKHUH c GHQRWHV WKH ZLWKLQ608
YDULDELOLW\WRFRPSXWHWKH608YDULDQFHVar(Z(vUHTXLUHG
LQ (TXDWLRQ WR GHWHUPLQH WKH YDULDQFH FRUUHFWLRQ IDFWRU r
5LYRLUDUG7KLVKLJKOLJKWVWKHLPSRUWDQFHRIDVHQVLEOH
VWUDWHJ\ ZKHQ VSHFLI\LQJ WKH VLOO RI WKH YDULRJUDP
PRGHOWRHQVXUHWKHFRUUHFWDVVHVVPHQWRIWKH608YDULDELOLW\
DQGWKHYDULDQFHFRUUHFWLRQIDFWRU
,IWKHVLOORIWKHH[SHULPHQWDOYDULRJUDPUHDVRQDEO\FRQIRUPV
WRWKHJOREDOGHFOXVWHUHGYDULDQFHDVRXQGVWUDWHJ\LVWR
VHWWKHVLOOWREHHTXDOWR:KHQWKLVLVQRWWKHFDVHWKHUH
DUHWZRSRVVLEOHZD\VWRSURFHHGLQSUDFWLFH7KHUVWFRQVLVWV
RIVHWWLQJWKHVLOORIWKHYDULRJUDPPRGHOWRUHJDUGOHVVRI
ZKHWKHUWKHH[SHULPHQWDOYDULRJUDPUHDFKHVWKHYDOXHRI
DW ORQJ GLVWDQFHV RU QRW 7KH VHFRQG LV WR W WKH VLOO RI WKH
YDULRJUDPPRGHOWRWKHYDOXHVXJJHVWHGE\WKHH[SHULPHQWDO
YDULRJUDPDWORQJGLVWDQFHV,WLVZRUWKQRWLQJWKDWWKHVHWZR
DSSURDFKHV ZLOO SURGXFH GLIIHUHQW YDOXHV IRU WKH YDULDELOLW\
DW WKH 608 VXSSRUW DQG WKH YDULDQFH FRUUHFWLRQ IDFWRU
7KHUHIRUHLWLVLPSRUWDQWLQSUDFWLFHWRFDUHIXOO\DQDO\VHDQG
XQGHUVWDQGWKHEHKDYLRXURIWKHYDULRJUDPQRWRQO\DWVKRUW
A Practitioners Guide to Recoverable Resource Estimation Using Localised Uniform Conditioning|O Rondon and A Trueman
FIG 2 - Comparison of point support experimental and modelled anamorphosis for Pd grades.
7KLVWLPHLWLVQRWRQO\LPSRUWDQWWRSURSHUO\VSHFLI\WKHVLOO
RIWKHGLUHFWYDULRJUDPVEXWDOVRWKHVLOORIWKHFRUUHVSRQGLQJ
FURVVYDULRJUDPV ,Q SUDFWLFH D VHQVLEOH FKRLFH LV WR VHW WKH
VLOO RI WKH FURVVYDULRJUDPV WR EH HTXDO WR WKH GHFOXVWHUHG
FRYDULDQFHEHWZHHQDWWULEXWHV
TABLE 2
Comparison of the mean and variance of raw declustered Pd (p/m)
and corresponding values obtained after modelling the point support
anamorphosis.
Mean
Variance
1.038
0.4944
Modelled anamorphosis
1.030
0.4943
GLVWDQFHVDVLWLVWUDGLWLRQDOO\GRQHEXWDOVRDWORQJGLVWDQFHV
VRWKDWDQDSSURSULDWHVLOOYDOXHFDQEHVSHFLHG
9DULRJUDPPRGHOOLQJLQ08&UHTXLUHVWKHPRGHOOLQJDQG
WWLQJRIGLUHFWYDULRJUDPVDQGFURVVYDULRJUDPVWRHVWLPDWH
WKH SDQHO JUDGHV (Z1* (V), Z 2* (V), f, Z N* (V)) XVLQJ D IXOO FR
NULJLQJ DSSURDFK WR DFFRXQW IRU WKH UHODWLRQ EHWZHHQ LQSXW
DWWULEXWHV'HUDLVPH5LYRLUDUGDQG&DUUDVFR7KLVFDOOV
IRUDOLQHDUPRGHORIFRUHJLRQDOLVDWLRQ/0&WREHWWHG
7KH/0&PRGHODOORZVPRGHOOLQJLQDFRQVLVWHQWPDQQHU
WKHGLVSHUVLRQYDULDQFHVDQGFRYDULDQFHVEHWZHHQDWWULEXWHV
UHTXLUHG LQ 08& )RU LQVWDQFH XVLQJ (TXDWLRQ WKH
FRYDULDQFHEHWZHHQZi(v)DQGZj(v)LVJLYHQE\
Cov (Zi (v), Z j (v)) = / z in { jn r in r jn t nij
(5)
7KHLQSXWGHFOXVWHUHGYDULDQFHVDQGFRYDULDQFHVSURYHGWR
EHUHOLDEOHUHSUHVHQWDWLYHHVWLPDWHVRIWKHGULOOKROHGDWDDQG
WKHUHIRUHDOOGLUHFWYDULRJUDPDQGFURVVYDULRJUDPVLOOVZHUH
VHWWRWKHGHFOXVWHUHGYDULDQFHVDQGFRYDULDQFHVUHVSHFWLYHO\
)LJXUHVKRZVDQH[DPSOHRIWKH/0&WWHGLQWKHYHUWLFDO
GLUHFWLRQWRDWWULEXWHV3GDQG&X
)LWWLQJ DQ /0& LV QRW DQ HDV\ WDVN SDUWLFXODUO\ IRU D
UHODWLYHO\ ODUJH QXPEHU RI DWWULEXWHV DV LQ WKH SUHVHQW FDVH
VWXG\ :LWKLQ WKH VFRSH RI WKH 08& PRGHO LW LV LPSRUWDQW
WKDW
ZKHUH
ij
3UHFLRXVDQGEDVHPHWDOVZHUHHVWLPDWHGLQWRSDQHOVRIP(
E\P1E\P5/XVLQJFRNULJLQJ7KHHVWLPDWLRQVWUDWHJ\
ZDV GHVLJQHG WR DVVHVV UHDVRQDEOH YDOXHV RI WKH WKHRUHWLFDO
UHJUHVVLRQ VORSH GXULQJ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ 3DQHOV KDYLQJ
UHJUHVVLRQ VORSH YDOXHV JUHDWHU WKDQ ZHUH FRQVLGHUHG
DV FRQGLWLRQDOO\ XQELDVHG 08& ZDV XVHG RQ WKRVH SDQHOV
H[KLELWLQJ UHJUHVVLRQ VORSH YDOXHV OHVV WKDQ 6XLWDEOH
UHVRXUFHFRQGHQFHFODVVLFDWLRQZDVDVVLJQHGWRDFFRXQWIRU
WKHODFNRISUHFLVLRQRQWKHSDQHOHVWLPDWH
ZKHUH
c ij LVWKHZLWKLQ608FURVVYDULDELOLW\ZKLFKLVFRPSXWHG
VLPLODUO\WR c EXWXVLQJWKHFURVVYDULRJUDPPRGHORI
DWWULEXWHVZiDQGZj
345
+RZHYHU ZKHQ WKH 08& UHVXOWV DUH JRLQJ WR EH XVHG WR
ORFDOLVH WKH 608 JUDGHV LW LV ZRUWK XVLQJ PDQ\ FXWRIIV WR
HQVXUH D UHSUHVHQWDWLYH GLVFUHWLVDWLRQ RI WKH SDQHOVSHFLF
WRQQDJH DQG PHWDO FXUYHV JLYHQ E\ 08& 7KLV DYRLGV
SRWHQWLDO DUWHIDFWV WKDW FRXOG DSSHDU ZKHQ XVLQJ /08& ,Q
WKLVFDVHVWXG\3GFXWRIIYDOXHVZHUHXVHGVWDUWLQJIURP
]HURZLWKDQLQFUHPHQWRISP
$Q LPSRUWDQW YDOLGDWLRQ VWHS LQ 08& LV WR DVVHVV WKH
JRRGQHVVRIWKHFRQGLWLRQLQJWRWKHHVWLPDWHGSDQHOJUDGHV
,Q SUDFWLFH WKLV LV DVVHVVHG E\ FURVVSORWWLQJ WKH HVWLPDWHG
JUDGH RI HDFK SDQHO WR WKH FRUUHVSRQGLQJ DYHUDJH JUDGH
JLYHQ E\ 08& :KHQ WKH FRQGLWLRQLQJ LV VDWLVIDFWRU\ WKH
VFDWWHURISRLQWVDUHDOLJQHGDORQJWKHLGHQWLW\OLQH,IQRWWKH
08& PRGHO VKRXOG EH UHYLVHG SD\LQJ SDUWLFXODU DWWHQWLRQ
WRWKH*DXVVLDQDQDPRUSKRVLVPRGHOOLQJ)LJXUH GLVSOD\V
WKH FURVVSORW EHWZHHQ HVWLPDWHG SDQHO DQG 08& DYHUDJH
JUDGHVIRU&XDQG3G7KHUHVXOWVVKRZWKDWWKHFRQGLWLRQLQJ
LV VDWLVIDFWRU\ DQG WKH PHWDO EDODQFH LV SUHVHUYHG 6LPLODU
UHVXOWVZHUHREWDLQHGIRUWKHUHVWRIWKH3*(DQGEDVHPHWDO
DWWULEXWHV
346
A Practitioners Guide to Recoverable Resource Estimation Using Localised Uniform Conditioning|O Rondon and A Trueman
TABLE 3
Correlation between estimated attributes using the localised multivariate
uniform conditioning (LMUC) approach.
Pd
Pt
Ag
Au
Cu
Ni
Pd
1.00
Pt
0.99
1.00
Ag
0.87
0.87
1.00
Au
0.97
0.98
0.87
1.00
Cu
0.96
0.96
0.88
0.96
1.00
Ni
0.79
0.79
0.79
0.76
0.83
1.00
0.70
0.68
0.74
0.66
0.77
0.93
1.00
347
FIG 6 - Example of the reproduction of the multivariate uniform conditioning (MUC) recovery functions using the selective mining unit (SMU)
grades derived from localised multivariate uniform conditioning (LMUC). Cut-offs correspond to the master attribute Pd.
JUDGH ZLOO DOZD\V EH XQGHUHVWLPDWHG )LJXUH &RQWUDU\
WR WKLV WKH /08& HVWLPDWHV H[KLELW PRUH YDULDELOLW\
5HFRYHUDEOHWRQQDJHDQGDYHUDJHJUDGHJXUHVDJUHHZLWK
WKRVH SURYLGHG E\ 08& EDVHG RQ D UREXVW HVWLPDWLRQ DW
SDQHOVXSSRUW
348
CONCLUSIONS
7KH FRQVWUXFWLRQ RI DQ 608VFDOH UHVRXUFH PRGHO WKDW
KRQRXUV XQGHUO\LQJ JUDGH SRSXODWLRQ FKDUDFWHULVWLFV JUDGH
FRQWLQXLW\DQGPXOWLSOHDWWULEXWHFRUUHODWLRQVFRQFXUUHQWO\LV
DGLIFXOWFKDOOHQJH
A Practitioners Guide to Recoverable Resource Estimation Using Localised Uniform Conditioning|O Rondon and A Trueman
FIG 7 - Section showing Pd grades for (top) the direct selective mining unit and (bottom) the localised multivariate uniform conditioning estimates.
7KLVSDSHUSUHVHQWHGDVKRUWVXPPDU\RIWKHWKHRU\RI08&
DQG/8&IRUWKHDVVHVVPHQWRIUHFRYHUDEOH5HVRXUFHVDORQJ
ZLWK D FDVH VWXG\ WR SURYLGH SUDFWLWLRQHUV ZLWK JXLGHOLQHV
RQ WKHLU XVH $OWKRXJK OLPLWHG WR WKH VHOHFWLRQ RI D PDVWHU
DWWULEXWH DQG WKH ODFN RI GLUHFW PRGHOOLQJ RI WKH PXOWLSOH
DWWULEXWHFRUUHODWLRQVWKH08&DQG/08&WHFKQLTXHVKDYH
SURYHQ WR EH YDOXDEOH DSSURDFKHV IRU WKH DVVHVVPHQW RI
UHFRYHUDEOH 5HVRXUFHV EHFDXVH WKH\ DUH OHVV FRPSOH[ DQG
IDVWHUWKDQXVLQJPXOWLYDULDWHJUDGHVLPXODWLRQDQGSURGXFH
608VFDOHUHVRXUFHPRGHOVWKDWDUHUHPDUNDEO\EHWWHUWKDQ
GLUHFW HVWLPDWLRQ RI 608 JUDGHV 1RWZLWKVWDQGLQJ WKLV
REVHUYDWLRQLWLVLPSRUWDQWWRUHFRJQLVHWKDWWKHLGHQWLFDWLRQ
RIDFWXDO608JUDGHVIRUPLQLQJLVDWDVNIRUJUDGHFRQWURO
REFERENCES
$E]DORY 0 /RFDOLVHG XQLIRUP FRQGLWLRQLQJ /8& D QHZ
DSSURDFK WR GLUHFW PRGHOOLQJ RI VPDOO EORFNV Mathematical
*HRORJ\
'HUDLVPH - DQG $VVLEH\%RQVX : /RFDOLVHG XQLIRUP
FRQGLWLRQLQJ LQ WKH PXOWLYDULDWH FDVH DQ DSSOLFDWLRQ WR D
SRUSK\U\ FRSSHU JROG GHSRVLW LQ Proceedings WK APCOM
6\PSRVLXPSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'HUDLVPH-5LYRLUDUG-DQG&DUUDVFR30XOWLYDULDWHXQLIRUP
FRQGLWLRQLQJ DQG EORFN VLPXODWLRQV ZLWK GLVFUHWH *DXVVLDQ
PRGHO DSSOLFDWLRQ WR &KXTXLFDPDWD GHSRVLW LQ Proceedings
*HRVWDWV 9,,, ,QWHUQDWLRQDO *HRVWDWLVWLFV &RQJUHVV SS
8QLYHUVLW\RI&KLOH6DQWLDJR
+DUGWNH:$OOHQ/DQG'RXJODV,/RFDOLVHGLQGLFDWRUNULJLQJ
in Proceedings WK APCOM Symposium SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
+DUOH\ 0 DQG $VVLEH\%RQVX : /RFDOLVHG XQLIRUP
FRQGLWLRQLQJ KRZ JRRG DUH WKH ORFDO HVWLPDWHV" LQ Proceedings
UG $3&20 6\PSRVLXP HG ( - 0DJUL SS
(Gecamin Ltda
0DWKHURQ*)RUHFDVWLQJEORFNJUDGHGLVWULEXWLRQVWKHWUDQVIHU
IXQFWLRQV LQ Proceedings Advanced Geostatistics in the Mining
IndustryHGV0*XDUDVLFR0'DYLGDQG&+XLMEUHJWVSS
5HLGHO'RUGUHFKW
5LYRLUDUG - ,QWURGXFWLRQ WR 'LVMXQFWLYH .ULJLQJ DQG 1RQ/LQHDU
GeostatisticsS&ODUHQGRQ3UHVV2[IRUG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
349
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Director and Principal Consultant, Optiro Pty Ltd, Level 4, 50 Colin Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM, Principal Consultant, Optiro Pty Ltd, Level 4, 50 Colin Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
3. MAusIMM, Group Mine and Resource Geologist, First Quantum Minerals Limited, Level 1, 24 Outram Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
4. MAusIMM, Consultant Geologist, Optiro Pty Ltd, Level 4, 50 Colin Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
1DWXUH LV UDUHO\ RUJDQLVHG LQ VWUDLJKW OLQHV DQG WKH VKDSHV
DQGRULHQWDWLRQVRIPLQHUDOGHSRVLWVDUHQRH[FHSWLRQ$OPRVW
HYHU\PLQHUDOLVHGIHDWXUHLQFOXGHVVRPHGHJUHHRIH[XULQJ
DQGRUIROGLQJIURPJHQWOHDUFXDWHIHDWXUHVWKURXJKEURDG
H[XUHV WR FRPSOH[O\ UHIROGHG VWUDWD ,Q WKH DSSUR[LPDWH
\HDU SHULRG WKDW PLQHUDOLVHG ERGLHV KDYH EHHQ PRGHOOHG
XVLQJ JUDSKLFVLQWHQVLYH ' JHQHUDOLVHG PLQLQJ SDFNDJHV
*03V WKH KDQGOLQJ RI IROGHG DQG H[XUH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
KDV SURYLGHG D FKDOOHQJH IRU HVWLPDWRUV :LWK HDUO\ *03V
WKHUH ZDV VLPSO\ QR ZD\ WR KDQGOH IROGHG PLQHUDOLVHG
GRPDLQV DQG DQ\ PLQRU WR PRGHUDWH IROGLQJ ZDV LJQRUHG
LQ JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ ZLWK YDU\LQJ FRQVHTXHQFHV 2YHU WKH
LQWHUYHQLQJGHFDGHVJUDSKLFVDQGQXPHULFDOSURFHVVRUVKDYH
JURZQ LQ SRZHU DQG GLJLWDO VWRUDJH KDV ERWK LQFUHDVHG LQ
FDSDFLW\ DQG EHFRPH FRQVLGHUDEO\ FKHDSHU $V VXFK LW KDV
EHFRPHHDVLHUWRGHDOZLWKWKHSUREOHPRIIROGLQJLQPLQHUDO
GHSRVLWVDQGDQXPEHURIVROXWLRQVKDYHEHHQGHYLVHGERWK
ZLWKLQWKHIUDPHZRUNVRIWKH*03VDQGWKURXJKVSHFLDOLVHG
SLHFHV RI PLQLQJ VRIWZDUH 7KHVH VROXWLRQV KDYH EHHQ
LPSOHPHQWHG ZLWK YDU\LQJ GHJUHHV RI VXFFHVV 'HVSLWH WKH
UHODWLYH VRSKLVWLFDWLRQ RI VW FHQWXU\ UHVRXUFH HYDOXDWLRQ
VRIWZDUHPDQ\HVWLPDWRUVVWLOOIDFHFKDOOHQJHVLQDGHTXDWHO\
DQG HIFLHQWO\ UHSUHVHQWLQJ PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ WKDW KDV EHHQ
IROGHGH[XUHGRUIDXOWHGDIWHUHPSODFHPHQW
7KLV SDSHU SURYLGHV D FRQFLVH VWDWHPHQW RI WKH SUREOHPV
RI GHDOLQJ ZLWK H[XUHG RUHERGLHV DQG GHWDLOV D QXPEHU RI
VROXWLRQV WKDW KDYH EHHQ GHYLVHG WR RYHUFRPH WKH LVVXH RI
HVWLPDWLQJ DURXQG FRUQHUV DQG FXUYHV 7KHVH VROXWLRQV DUH
DUUDQJHGLQRUGHURILQFUHDVLQJFRPSOH[LW\IURPWKHUHODWLYHO\
VLPSOHWRWKHPRUHLQWULFDWH,QSURYLGLQJDGHVFULSWLRQRIWKH
VROXWLRQVDQXPEHURIFDVHVWXGLHVDUHSUHVHQWHGWRLOOXVWUDWH
WKHFRQFHSWVEHLQJDGGUHVVHG%\LWVYHU\QDWXUHVXFKDOLVW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
351
RISRWHQWLDOVROXWLRQVFDQQHYHUEHH[KDXVWLYHDQGWKHUDQJH
RIWHFKQLTXHVGHVFULEHGLQWKLVSDSHUUHSUHVHQWVVRPHRIWKH
DSSURDFKHV WR ZKLFK WKH DXWKRUV KDYH HLWKHU GHYHORSHG RU
EHHQH[SRVHGWRGXULQJWKHLUFROOHFWLYHHLJKWWRQLQHGHFDGHV
RI PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ H[SHULHQFH ,W LV FHUWDLQO\ D WUXLVP WKDW
YHU\ VRSKLVWLFDWHG VROXWLRQV KDYH EHHQ GHYHORSHG LQ HOGV
RXWVLGH WKH PLQHUDOV LQGXVWU\ LQ UHVHUYRLU PRGHOOLQJ DQG
IRUHFDVWLQJ IRU SHWUROHXP IRU LQVWDQFH QRQHWKHOHVV WKH
GHVFULSWLRQV DQG FRPPHQWDU\ DUH UHVWULFWHG WR DSSOLFDWLRQV
ZLWKLQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYHHYDOXDWLRQ
Resource Estimation in Folded Deposits A Review of Practice and Case Studies| I Glacken et al
FIG 2 - Schematic showing incorrect and correct ways of representing gently folded mineralisation through coordinate transformation.
(A) Original structure and data, (B) estimation using average orientation, (C) estimation using projection.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
353
FIG 3 - Sequential workflow for flattening of gently folded mineralisation through coordinate transformation. (A) Original structure and data,
(B) projected data, (C) projected blocks, (D) result.
Resource Estimation in Folded Deposits A Review of Practice and Case Studies| I Glacken et al
ROTATING ANISOTROPY
$QDSSURDFKWRKDQGOLQJH[XUHGRUJHQWO\IROGHGRUHERGLHV
WKDW KDV EHHQ LQWURGXFHG LQ WKH ODVW YH \HDUV LV WKDW RI
URWDWLQJ DQLVRWURS\ ,Q WKLV PHWKRG WKHUH LV QR FRRUGLQDWH
WUDQVIRUPDWLRQ DWWHQLQJ RU XQIROGLQJ RI WKH RUHERG\
UDWKHU WKH DFWXDO HOOLSVRLG RI VHDUFK LV URWDWHG WR IROORZ WKH
FKDQJLQJGLUHFWLRQRIVWULNHDQGRUGLSRIWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
7KLV DSSURDFK KDV EHHQ LPSOHPHQWHG LQ DW OHDVW WKUHH
VRIWZDUHSDFNDJHV&$(0LQLQJV6WXGLRVRIWZDUHZKHUHLWLV
WHUPHG'\QDPLF$QLVRWURS\0DSWHNV9XOFDQSURGXFWDQG
*HRYDULDQFHV,VDWLVSURJUDP
(VWLPDWLRQ XVLQJ URWDWLQJ DQLVRWURS\ DVVXPHV WKDW
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQSUHGDWHVIROGLQJ7KLVPHDQVWKDWWKHGHQHG
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZLUHIUDPH LV EHOLHYHG WR EH UHSUHVHQWDWLYH
RI WKH RULHQWDWLRQDQLVRWURS\ RI WKH JUDGH FRQWLQXLW\ $V
VXFK WKH GHJUHH WR ZKLFK DQLVRWURS\ LV URWDWHG GXULQJ WKH
HVWLPDWLRQVDPSOHVHOHFWLRQURXWLQHLVIXQGDPHQWDOO\UHODWHG
WR WKH RULHQWDWLRQ RI WKH PLQHUDOLVHG ZLUHIUDPH YROXPH
5RWDWLQJ DQLVRWURS\ UHTXLUHV WKDW WKH HPSW\ EORFN PRGHO
LV SRSXODWHG ZLWK D WUXH GLS DQG GLS GLUHFWLRQ DV SHU WKH
ZLUHIUDPH RULHQWDWLRQV SULRU WR JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ )RU WKLV
SXUSRVHDUHJXODUJULGRIRULHQWDWLRQGDWDSRLQWVLVUHTXLUHG
LQRUGHUWRHVWLPDWHGLSDQGGLSGLUHFWLRQLQWRWKHEORFNVRIWKH
HPSW\EORFNPRGHO(DFKEORFNVGLSDQGGLSGLUHFWLRQYDOXHV
FDQ EH REWDLQHG IURP WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZLUHIUDPH $V SHU
DQ\ UREXVW HVWLPDWLRQ URXWLQH D UHSUHVHQWDWLYH DQG UHJXODU
JULGRIGLSDQGGLSGLUHFWLRQVDPSOHSRLQWVLVEHVW0RUHRYHU
YDOLGDWLRQRIWKHSRLQWGDWDRULHQWDWLRQYDOXHVYLVXDOO\DQG
ZLWKWKHDLGRIXQLYDULDWHVWDWLVWLFVZLOOHQVXUHUHSUHVHQWDWLYH
GDWDIRUHVWLPDWLQJLQWRWKHHPSW\EORFNPRGHO7KHHVWLPDWHG
GLSDQGGLSGLUHFWLRQYDOXHVQHHGWREHYDOLGDWHGDJDLQVWWKH
LQSXWVDPSOHGDWD)LQDOO\GXULQJHVWLPDWLRQRIPHWDOJUDGHV
WKHYDULRJUDPPRGHOVHDUFKHOOLSVHZLOOEHURWDWHGDFFRUGLQJ
WRWKHUHVSHFWLYHEORFNVWUXHGLSDQGGLSGLUHFWLRQ,QVRPH
VRIWZDUHSDFNDJHVLWLVSRVVLEOHWRFKDQJHWKHD[LDOUDWLRVRI
WKHVHDUFKHOOLSVRLG
%ORFN JUDGH HVWLPDWHV WKDW KDYH XVHG URWDWLQJ DQLVRWURS\
KDYH DQ LPSURYHG VHOHFWLRQ RI VDPSOHV 7KH LPSURYHG
VHOHFWLRQ VXJJHVWV D EHWWHU DOLJQPHQW ZLWK PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
FRQWLQXLW\ D PRUH RSWLPDO VHOHFWLRQ RI D UHOHYDQW QXPEHU
RI VDPSOHV UHGXFHG NULJLQJ YDULDQFH DQG LPSURYHG EORFN
HVWLPDWHDFFXUDF\(VWLPDWLQJZLWKURWDWLQJDQLVRWURS\GRHV
QRW KRZHYHU DOORZ IRU LPSURYHG YDULRJUDSK\ QRU GRHV LW
HOLPLQDWHWKHULVNRIVXERSWLPDOVDPSOHVHOHFWLRQDVDUHVXOW
RI VDPSOHV EHLQJ ORFDWHG ZLWKLQ RUHERG\ XQGXODWLRQV WKDW
IDOORXWVLGHWKHH[WHQWVRIWKHVHDUFKHOOLSVH,WLVLPSRUWDQWWR
QRWH WKDW WKH VXFFHVV RI XVLQJ URWDWLQJ DQLVRWURS\ LV ODUJHO\
GHSHQGHQW XSRQ WKH UHODWLYH GLPHQVLRQV RI WKH YDULRJUDP
VHDUFK HOOLSVH DQG WKH RUHERG\ XQGXODWLRQVIROGLQJ ,Q
JHQHUDO VXFFHVVIXO HVWLPDWLRQ XVLQJ URWDWLQJ DQLVRWURS\
UHTXLUHVDJRRGQXPEHURIVDPSOHVDQGDVHDUFKHOOLSVHWKDW
KDV VLPLODU RU VPDOOHU GLPHQVLRQV WKDQ WKH H[WHQWV RU WKH
DPSOLWXGHRIWKHIROGVRUH[XUHV
)LJXUH VKRZV DQ H[DPSOH RI WKH XVH RI D URWDWLQJ
DQLVRWURS\ DSSURDFK DW D FRSSHU PLQH LQ )LQODQG DQG
UHSUHVHQWV D YHUWLFDO FURVVVHFWLRQ ORRNLQJ QRUWK WKURXJK
WKHPDLQPLQHUDOLVDWLRQOHQV7KHEORFNVUHSUHVHQWRUGLQDU\
NULJHGHVWLPDWHVRIFRSSHUJUDGHDQGWKHVFDOHLVJLYHQE\
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
355
FIG 6 - Cross-section looking north demonstrating the use of dynamic
anisotropy at a Finnish copper mine.
WKHFRRUGLQDWHV7KHPDLQOHQVEODFNRXWOLQHLVDFRPSOH[O\
IROGHG VXOGH 7KH HVWLPDWLRQ RI WKH KDQJLQJ ZDOO KDOR
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZDV FDUULHG RXW XVLQJ '\QDPLF $QLVRWURS\
LQ &$( 6WXGLR XVLQJ VWULQJV WR FRQWURO WKH URWDWLRQ RI WKH
VHDUFK HOOLSVRLG 7KH WKLFN UHG OLQH VKRZV WKH SDWK RI WKH
VHDUFKHOOLSVRLGURWDWLRQRQWKLVVHFWLRQ,WLVDSSDUHQWWKDW
HVWLPDWLRQRIWKHFRSSHUPLQHUDOLVDWLRQXVLQJHLWKHUDVLQJOH
FRQYHQWLRQDO HOOLSVRLG RU D VHULHV RI VXEGRPDLQV ZRXOG
KDYHUHVXOWHGLQDQLQIHULRUJUDGHHVWLPDWHWKDWXQGHUVWDWHG
WKH SRWHQWLDO HVWLPDWLRQ TXDOLW\ GXH WR UHGXFHG VDPSOH
QXPEHUV
$QRWKHUH[DPSOHLVSUHVHQWHGLQ)LJXUHZKLFKSRUWUD\V
D SODQ YLHZ VOLFH WKURXJK VXEYHUWLFDOO\ GLSSLQJ FRSSHU
PLQHUDOLVHGVWUDWD%ORFNGLPHQVLRQVDUHLQWKHRUGHURIP1
E\P(DQGDUHFRORXUHGDFFRUGLQJWRFRSSHUJUDGHVZLWK
ZDUPFRORXUVUHSUHVHQWLQJKLJKHUJUDGHV*UDGHFRQWLQXLW\
IRU WKLV RUHERG\ LV VXESDUDOOHO WR WKH VWUDWD DQG VHQVLWLYH WR
WKH UHVSHFWLYH OD\HUV URFN W\SH 5RWDWLQJ DQLVRWURS\ ZDV
JXLGHG E\ WKH RULHQWDWLRQ RI WKHVH JHQWO\ IROGHG FRSSHU
PLQHUDOLVHGOD\HUV*UDGHFRQWLQXLW\ZLWKLQWKHVHOD\HUVDQG
DORQJWKHLUFRQWDFWVZDVVLJQLFDQWO\HQKDQFHGWKURXJKWKH
XVHRI&$(6WXGLRV'\QDPLF$QLVRWURS\PRGXOH)LJXUH
VKRZV KRZ WKH KLJK JUDGHV DUH H[WHQGHG DORQJ WKH VWUDWD
FRQWRXUVDIHDWXUHWKDWFRXOGQRWEHJHQHUDWHGZLWKDVLQJOH
[HGVHDUFKHOOLSVRLG
Local geostatistics
$ PRUH FRPSOH[ LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI URWDWLQJ DQLVRWURS\
LV DYDLODEOH WKURXJK WKH ,VDWLV VRIWZDUH VXLWH ,Q FRQWUDVW WR
WKH &$( 6WXGLR LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI '\QDPLF $QLVRWURS\
WKH *HRYDULDQFHV LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DOORZV WKH ORFDO YDULDWLRQ
RI ERWK WKH VL]H DQG WKH RULHQWDWLRQ RI WKH VHDUFK HOOLSVRLG
356
7KLVLQIRUPDWLRQQHHGVWREHLQWURGXFHGWRWKHEORFNVZLWKLQ
HDFKGRPDLQDVDVHULHVRIVHSDUDWHYDULDEOHVWKDWQHHGWREH
LQWHUSRODWHGIURPVRPHH[WHUQDOGDWD7KHYDULDEOHVLQFOXGH
WKH GLS DQG D]LPXWK RI WKH ORFDOO\ YDU\LQJ VHDUFK HOOLSVRLG
DQG WKH GLPHQVLRQV DQG D[LDO UDWLRV RI WKH VHDUFK YROXPH
,W LV DSSDUHQW WKDW DV ORQJ DV WKH UHTXLUHG VWUXFWXUDO DQG
RULHQWDWLRQ GDWD FDQ EH GHULYHG LPSRUWHG DQG VXFFHVVIXOO\
LQWHUSRODWHG WKH UHVXOW ZLOO EH D YHU\ SRZHUIXO ORFDOO\
URWDWLQJDQGYDULDEOHHVWLPDWLRQV\VWHP
Tetra modelling
$QRWKHUYHUVLRQRIWKHURWDWLQJDQLVRWURS\DSSURDFKKDVEHHQ
LPSOHPHQWHGLQ0DSWHNV9XOFDQVRIWZDUHSURGXFW0DSWHN
DQGLVNQRZQDV7HWUDPRGHOOLQJIURPWKHWHWUDKHGUDO
OLQHVWKDWDUHFRQVWUXFWHGDVSDUWRIWKHURXWLQH7KLVDSSURDFK
LQ FRPPRQ ZLWK WKH &$( DQG *HRYDULDQFHV RSWLRQV
GRHV QRW UHORFDWH HLWKHU WKH VDPSOHV RU WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
ZLUHIUDPHVEXWLQVWHDGGLVWRUWVWKHVHDUFKHOOLSVRLGWRIROORZ
WKHPLGVXUIDFHIRUDVKRRWRUGRPDLQZKLFKLVFRQVWUXFWHG
DXWRPDWLFDOO\IURPWKHWHWUDKHGUD$QH[DPSOHRIWKLVIURP
:ODVHQNRLVVKRZQLQ)LJXUH7KH7HWUDPRGHOOLQJ
DSSURDFK FDQ FRSH ZLWK D UHDVRQDEOH DPRXQW RI IROGLQJ
EXW QRW ZLWK UHHQWUDQW VWUXFWXUHV RU DQ\ IRUP RI IDXOWLQJ
WKDW UHSHDWV WKH RUHERG\ LQ D VLQJOH GULOO KROH 0DSWHN KDV
LQWURGXFHG DQ HQKDQFHPHQW WR WKLV URXWLQH FDOOHG EHQG
PRGHOOLQJZKLFKDOORZVUHHQWUDQWRURYHUWXUQHGVWUXFWXUHV
WREHUHSUHVHQWHG
SIMPLE UNFOLDING
7KHUHDUHDQXPEHURILPSOHPHQWDWLRQVRIVLPSOHXQIROGLQJ
RUXQZULQNOLQJWKDWKDYHEHHQLPSOHPHQWHGDVSURSULHWDU\
DOJRULWKPV DQG PHWKRGV ZLWKLQ FRPPHUFLDO VRIWZDUH
SURGXFWV JHQHUDOO\ *03V 7KLV VHFWLRQ SURYLGHV D QRQ
H[KDXVWLYH UHYLHZ RI VRPH RI WKHVH DSSURDFKHV )RU PRUH
LQIRUPDWLRQ WKH UHDGHU LV UHIHUUHG WR WKH GRFXPHQWDWLRQ
DQG PDUNHWLQJ PDWHULDO LVVXHG E\ WKH UHVSHFWLYH VRIWZDUH
YHQGRUV
Resource Estimation in Folded Deposits A Review of Practice and Case Studies| I Glacken et al
FIG 8 - Cross-section through the BS2 deposit, Brockman, showing a distorted ellipse used in Tetra modelling (from Wlasenko, 2000).
Unwrinkling
*HPFRP 6RIWZDUH ,QWHUQDWLRQDO QRZ D ZKROO\RZQHG
VXEVLGLDU\ RI 'DVVDXOW 6\VWHPqV KDV LPSOHPHQWHG WZR
DOJRULWKPV ZLWKLQ LWV *(06 VRIWZDUH SURGXFW 7KHVH DUH
GHVFULEHG LQ VRPH GHWDLO E\ &DUHZ 7KH VLPSOHU RI
WKH WZR DSSURDFKHV LV FDOOHG XQZULQNOLQJ DQG LV HVVHQWLDOO\
DFRRUGLQDWHWUDQVODWLRQURXWLQHWKDWDXWRPDWLFDOO\JHQHUDWHV
D PHGLDQ VXUIDFH IRU WKH VKRRW GRPDLQ RU RUHERG\ WR EH
DWWHQHG 'ULOO KROH VDPSOHV DQG EORFNV DUH ERWK UHORFDWHG
ZLWKUHVSHFWWRWKHRUHERG\PHGLDQVXUIDFHYDULRJUDSK\DQG
HVWLPDWLRQ WDNHV SODFH LQ WKH DWWHQHG VSDFH DQG WKHQ ERWK
VDPSOHV DQG JUDGH HVWLPDWHV DUH UHORFDWHG EDFN WR WKH UHDO
ZRUOGFRRUGLQDWHV
Seam modelling
7KHUH DUH D QXPEHU RI LPSOHPHQWDWLRQV RI V\VWHPV IRU
PRGHOOLQJ VWUDWLJUDSKLF OD\HUV DQGRU VHDPV 7KHVH DUH
ODUJHO\ WDUJHWHG DW WKH FRDO LQGXVWU\ ZKHUH WKH\ DUH LQ
ZLGHVSUHDG XVH DQG IRFXV RQ WKH UHODWLRQVKLS EHWZHHQ
VWUDWLJUDSKLF OD\HUV DV GHQHG LQ VHULHV RI GULOO KROHV 0RVW
RI WKH VRIWZDUH LPSOHPHQWDWLRQV DOORZ IRU WKH PRGHOOLQJ RI
ELIXUFDWLQJ VHDPV DQG VRPH IDXOWLQJ *HQWOH IROGLQJ ZLWKLQ
WKHVHDPVLVKDQGOHGZHOO7RWKHNQRZOHGJHRIWKHDXWKRUV
WKHUH KDYH EHHQ IHZ LPSOHPHQWDWLRQV RI VHDP PRGHOOLQJ
V\VWHPVIRUSUHFLRXVRUEDVHPHWDOGHSRVLWVDQGDVZLWKWKH
DFFXPXODWLRQ PHWKRG GHVFULEHG DERYH D NH\ DVVXPSWLRQ
FIG 9 - Plan view of complexly folded mineralisation at Rockys Reward, Australia (from Hronsky, 2007).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
357
WRQGVLJQLFDQWDFFHSWDQFHZLWKLQWKHPLQHUDOVLQGXVWU\
SRVVLEO\ GXH WR WKH FRPSOH[LW\ DQG HIIRUW LQYROYHG LQ WKH
PRGHOOLQJ RI FRPSOH[O\ IROGHG DQG IDXOWHG PLQHUDOLVHG
V\VWHPV
FIG 10 - Idealised cross-section through the Nova deposit showing mineralisation units.
358
Resource Estimation in Folded Deposits A Review of Practice and Case Studies| I Glacken et al
FIG 11 - 3D representation looking north-west of the Lower Massive unit at Nova showing the folded nature of the mineralisation
and unfolding strings (10 m apart, shown in orange). A cross-section along 6 479 730 mN (green) is presented in Figure 12.
Selection of domains
(LJKW PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ XQLWV KDYH EHHQ LQWHUSUHWHG DW 1RYD
EDVHGXSRQWKHGRPLQDQWPLQHUDOLVDWLRQVW\OHVKRVWOLWKRORJ\
VWUXFWXUDO RYHUSULQWV DQG JHRFKHPLFDO GDWD 2I SDUWLFXODU
LQWHUHVWLVWKH/RZHU0DVVLYHXQLWZKLFKKRVWVDSSUR[LPDWHO\
SHUFHQWRIWKHWRWDOUHVRXUFHPHWDO(VWLPDWLRQRIWKH/RZHU
0DVVLYHXQLWLVFRPSOLFDWHGE\WKHSUHVHQFHRIDOOWKUHHVW\OHV
RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ HDFK ZLWK GLIIHUHQW JUDGH FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
6XEGRPDLQLQJXVLQJFRQYHQWLRQDOZLUHIUDPHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQV
DW WKH FXUUHQW VDPSOH VSDFLQJ ZDV GLIFXOW DQG WKHUHIRUH D
PXOWLSOHFDWHJRULFDOLQGLFDWRUDSSURDFKZDVXVHGWRVXEGLYLGH
WKH/RZHU0DVVLYHXQLWLQWRWKUHHHVWLPDWLRQGRPDLQV7KHVH
VXEGRPDLQV LQFOXGH D KLJKJUDGH GRPDLQ UHSUHVHQWLQJ
SULPDU\DQGUHPRELOLVHGPDVVLYHPDWHULDODERYHSHUFHQW
QLFNHO D PHGLXPJUDGH GRPDLQ UHSUHVHQWLQJ VHPLPDVVLYH
EUHFFLDPDWHULDOEHWZHHQSHUFHQWDQGSHUFHQWQLFNHO
DQG D ORZJUDGH GRPDLQ UHSUHVHQWLQJ ZHDNO\ PLQHUDOLVHG
EUHFFLDPDWHULDOEHORZSHUFHQWQLFNHO
Details of estimation
'XH WR WKH ERZOVKDSHG QDWXUH RI WKH /RZHU 0DVVLYH XQLW
ERWK VXEGRPDLQLQJ DQG JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ ZHUH SHUIRUPHG
LQ XQIROGHG VSDFH XVLQJ &$( 6WXGLR URXWLQHV 3ULRU
WR XQIROGLQJ D VHULHV RI HDVWZHVW FURVVVHFWLRQDO VWULQJV
UHSUHVHQWLQJ WKH KDQJLQJ ZDOO DQG IRRWZDOO RI WKH /RZHU
0DVVLYHXQLWZHUHFUHDWHGDORQJPLQWHUYDOV)LJXUH
$V SHU WKH JHQHULF GHVFULSWLRQ RI WKH XQIROGLQJ URXWLQH
DERYH D VHULHV RI GLVFUHWH \HW FRQQHFWHG KH[DKHGUDO XQLWV
HDFK ZLWK LWV RZQ ORFDO FRRUGLQDWH V\VWHP ZHUH JHQHUDWHG
ZLWKLQ HDFK RI WKH IROGHG GRPDLQV FRPSULVLQJ WKH /RZHU
0DVVLYH XQLW &RPSRVLWHG GULOO KROH GDWD FRGHG E\
VXEGRPDLQ ZHUH WUDQVIRUPHG LQWR WKH XQIROGHG VSDFH DQG
WKHVSDWLDOFRQWLQXLW\RIDOOHOHPHQWVDQDO\VHG,WZDVIRXQG
WKDW WKH TXDOLW\ RI YDULRJUDSK\ ZDV LPSURYHG JUHDWO\ E\
WKH XQIROGLQJ RI WKH QLFNHO VDPSOH FRPSRVLWHV ZLWKLQ HDFK
GRPDLQ *UDGH HVWLPDWLRQ RI QLFNHO ZDV FRPSOHWHG XVLQJ
RUGLQDU\NULJLQJDQGERWKHVWLPDWHGEORFNVDQGVDPSOHVZHUH
EDFNWUDQVIRUPHG WR UHDOZRUOG FRRUGLQDWHV $ ZHVWHDVW
FURVVVHFWLRQRIWKHXQIROGHGQLFNHOHVWLPDWLRQLVSUHVHQWHGLQ
)LJXUHDQGVKRZVKRZWKHFXUYDWXUHRIWKHVXEGRPDLQV
VRPHRIZKLFKDUHKLJKJUDGHDQGVRPHRIORZHUJUDGHKDV
EHHQSUHVHUYHG7KHTXDOLW\RIWKHHVWLPDWLRQDVUHHFWHGLQ
WKH NULJLQJ HIFLHQF\ ZDV DOVR JUHDWO\ LPSURYHG RYHU WKH
RUWKRJRQDO HVWLPDWLRQ FDVH DOORZLQJ JUHDWHU FRQGHQFH LQ
WKH PRGHO DQG WKXV HQKDQFHG FODVVLFDWLRQ FDWHJRULHV LH
,QGLFDWHG5HVRXUFHVUDWKHUWKDQ,QIHUUHG5HVRXUFHVRYHUWKH
PDMRULW\RIWKH/RZHU0DVVLYHXQLW
359
FIG 12 - West-east cross-sectional view along 6 479 730 mN showing the nickel grade estimation of the Lower Massive unit using unfolding.
PHWKRGVHYHQLIVRPHIROGLQJLVSUHVHQW2QFHDQDQLVRWURSLF
UDWLRRILVH[FHHGHGDQ\IROGLQJSUHVHQWZLWKLQWKHGHSRVLW
LV LQFUHDVLQJO\ OLNHO\ WR UHVXOW LQ XQVDWLVIDFWRU\ HVWLPDWLRQ
UHVXOWVXQOHVVWKHIROGLQJLVDGGUHVVHG2QFHDQDQLVRWURSLF
UDWLRRILVH[FHHGHGHYHQWKHSUHVHQFHRIJHQWOHIROGLQJ
ZLOO UHVXOW LQ DQ XQVDWLVIDFWRU\ HVWLPDWLRQ UHVXOW XQOHVV WKH
IROGLQJLVDGGUHVVHGZLWKRQHRIWKHPHWKRGVGHVFULEHG
)ROGWLJKWQHVVUHIHUVWRWKHDQJOHEHWZHHQWKHOLPEVRIDIROG
RIWHQFDOOHGWKHLQWHUOLPEDQJOH*HQWOHIROGVKDYHLQWHUOLPE
DQJOHV IURP WR 2SHQ IROG LQWHUOLPE DQJOHV UDQJH
IURPWR&ORVHIROGDQJOHVUDQJHIURPWRDQG
WLJKWIROGVIURPWR
$ VLPSOH JXLGH WR GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH PRVW DSSOLFDEOH
XQIROGLQJ PHWKRG LV SURYLGHG DV D RZ FKDUW LQ )LJXUH
7KH VHOHFWLRQ SURFHVV DVVXPHV WKDW DQ HOHYDWHG DQLVRWURSLF
UDWLRKDVEHHQUHFRJQLVHGDQGWKHQXVHVWKHIROGWLJKWQHVVWR
GLVFULPLQDWHEHWZHHQWKHDSSOLFDWLRQRIOHVVRUPRUHFRPSOH[
XQIROGLQJPHWKRGV
Resource Estimation in Folded Deposits A Review of Practice and Case Studies| I Glacken et al
CONCLUSIONS
(IFLHQWO\ DQG HDVLO\ GHDOLQJ ZLWK H[XUHG IROGHG DQG
SRVVLEO\ IDXOWHG PLQHUDOLVHG V\VWHPV KDV EHHQ RQH RI WKH
FKDOOHQJHVIDFLQJ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWRUVRYHUWKHSDVW
\HDUV 7KH FRPSURPLVHV PDGH E\ QRW FRUUHFWO\ KDQGOLQJ
IROGHGDQGFXUYHGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQKDVPHDQWWKDWHVWLPDWLRQ
TXDOLW\ DQG FRUUHFWQHVV LQ VXFK GHSRVLWV KDV EHHQ OHVV
WKDQ RSWLPDO UHVXOWLQJ LQ D ORVV LQ UHVRXUFH FODVVLFDWLRQ
FRQGHQFHDQGSRVVLEO\LQFRUUHFWPRGHOV:LWKWKHDGYHQWRI
FKHDSSRUWDEOHJUDSKLFVLQWHQVLYHFRPSXWHUVDQGVRIWZDUH
ZKLFKKDVODUJHO\EHHQGHYHORSHGLQWKHSDVWWHQWR\HDUV
WUDQVIRUPLQJ XQZULQNOLQJ VLPSOH XQIROGLQJ FRPSOH[
XQIROGLQJDQGHYHQXQIDXOWLQJRIRUHERGLHVLVQRZZLWKLQWKH
JUDVS RI PRVW HVWLPDWRUV 7KH DGYHQW RI VRIWZDUH IHDWXULQJ
URWDWHGRUGLVWRUWHGGDWDVHDUFKHOOLSVRLGVGHYHORSHGLQWKH
SDVW YH WR WHQ \HDUV PHDQV WKDW QR DFWXDO WUDQVIRUPDWLRQ
RU UHORFDWLRQ RI WKH GRPDLQ VKDSHV QHHGV WR WDNH SODFH DQG
WKLV KDV PDGH WKH FRUUHFW WUHDWPHQW RI JHQWO\ IROGHG VWUDWD
PXFKHDVLHUIRUPDQ\7KHVHPHWKRGVDUHOLPLWHGWRIROGVWKDW
DUHQRWRYHUWXUQHGRUUHHQWUDQWDQGV\VWHPVLQZKLFKHDFK
GULOOKROHLQWHUVHFWVWKHKRUL]RQRILQWHUHVWRQO\RQFHZKLFK
GRHV FRYHU PDQ\ V\VWHPV HQFRXQWHUHG LQ QDWXUH :KHUH
PRUHFRPSOH[IROGLQJRUIDXOWLQJH[LVWVWKHVROXWLRQVZKLOH
SUHVHQW DQG SURYHQ DUH PRUH FRPSOH[ DQG XQTXHVWLRQDEO\
KDUGHUWRLPSOHPHQWDQGFKHFN7KLVLVVWLOODKXUGOHIRUVRPH
,W LV SUHGLFWHG WKDW UDSLG JUDSKLFDO VRIWZDUH GHYHORSPHQW
QRW OHDVW E\ LQGXVWU\OHDGLQJ FRPSDQLHV WKDW KDYH ERXJKW
LQWR WKH PLQLQJ VSDFH ZLOO OHDG WR IXUWKHU GHYHORSPHQWV
LQ XVHUIULHQGOLQHVV DQG YDOLGDWLRQ RI WKH PRUH FRPSOH[
XQIROGLQJURXWLQHV7KLVZLOOLQWXUQOHDGWRDJHQHUDWLRQRI
PRGHOVWKDWFRUUHFWO\DQGHIFLHQWO\GHSLFWWKHPRUHLQWULFDWH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQV\VWHPV
REFERENCES
&DUHZ 7 - 8QIROG DQG XQZULQNOH *HPFRP LURQV RXW
WKH SUREOHP >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZ
JHPFRPVRIWZDUHFRPVLWHVGHIDXOWOHVZKLWHSDSHU*(06B
8QIROG8QZULQNOHSGI!>$FFHVVHG@
&DXPRQ * &ROORQ'URXDLOOHW 3 /H &DUOLHU GH 9HVOXG & 9LVHXU
6DQG6DXVVH-6XUIDFHEDVHG'PRGHOOLQJRIJHRORJLFDO
VWUXFWXUHV0DWK*HRVFL
&UDZIRUG $ - ,QWHULP UHSRUW /LWKRJHRFKHPLVWU\ RI WKH
KRVW SDFNDJH RI WKH 1RYD 1L&X 'HSRVLW :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD
8QSXEOLVKHGLQWHUQDOUHSRUWIRU6LULXV5HVRXUFHV3HUWK:HVWHUQ
$XVWUDOLD
*ODFNHQ , 0 6RPPHUYLOOH % / DQG $UQROG & * 5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWLRQDW.DPEDOGD1LFNHO2SHUDWLRQVIURPWRLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
+URQVN\-0,QWURGXFWLRQWRQLFNHOVXOGHH[SORUDWLRQ>RQOLQH@
:HVWHUQ0LQLQJ6HUYLFHV3HUWK$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZZZ
ZHVPLQOOFFRPDVVHWVGRZQORDGVSGIZPVBQLVBSUHVHQWDWLRQ
SGI!>$FFHVVHG@
0DSWHN 7HWUDPRGHOV DW 3OXWRQLF >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP
KWWSZZZPDSWHNFRPSGIYXOFDQFDVHBVWXGLHVYXOFDQB
WHWUDPRGHOOLQJBSOXWRQLFJROGPLQHBFDVHVWXG\SGI! >$FFHVVHG
6HSWHPEHU@
:ODVHQNR0+DPHUVOH\,URQ%URFNPDQ1RGHSRVLW7HWUD
PRGHOLQJ SUHVHQWDWLRQ WR 0DSWHN 9XOFDQ 8VHUV &RQIHUHQFH
3HUWK
361
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Manager, FSS International Consultants (Australia) Pty Ltd, PO Box 493, Beecroft NSW 2119. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KH DPRXQW RI GULOOLQJ DQG VDPSOLQJ DQG WKH DVVRFLDWHG
QDQFLDO LQYHVWPHQW UHTXLUHG LQFUHDVH DV D PLQHUDO SURMHFW
PRYHV IURP D GLVFRYHU\ SURMHFW WR D PLQLQJ SURMHFW /DLUG
3URJUHVVLQJ WKURXJK WKHVH VWDJHV RI GHYHORSPHQW
GHSHQGVRQZKHWKHUWKHSURMHFWLVFRQVLGHUHGWRKDYHDFKLHYHG
FHUWDLQ PLOHVWRQHV PDQ\ RI ZKLFK GHSHQG RQ YDULRXV
SURSHUWLHVRIWKHGULOOKROHVDPSOHV2QHVXFKPLOHVWRQHLVD
IDYRXUDEOHJOREDOUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWH
7KH -25& &RGH SURYLGHV D EDVLV IRU WKH SXEOLF
UHSRUWLQJ RI PLQHUDO H[SORUDWLRQ UHVXOWV DV ZHOO DV 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVZLWKTXDOLFDWLRQV0HDVXUHG,QGLFDWHG
DQG ,QIHUUHG WKDW UHHFW D FRQVLGHUHG DOEHLW VXEMHFWLYH DQG
UHVWULFWHGYLHZRIWKHXQFHUWDLQW\VXUURXQGLQJWKHHVWLPDWHV
3HUKDSVWKHPRVWLPSRUWDQWFRQVLGHUDWLRQIRUWKHFODVVLFDWLRQ
RI UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV LV WKH TXHVWLRQ RI ZKHWKHU WKH GULOO
KROH VSDFLQJ LV VXIFLHQWO\ FORVH WR HQDEOH FRQWLQXLW\ RI WKH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQDQGWKHJUDGHWREHHVWDEOLVKHG$FRQWLQXLQJ
ZHDNQHVVRIWKH&RGHLVWKDWLVGRHVQRWSURYLGHDQ\XVHIXO
H[SODQDWLRQRIZKDWFRQVWLWXWHVFRQWLQXLW\RUDUDQJHRIZD\V
LQZKLFKLWFDQEHPHDVXUHGTXDQWLWDWLYHO\7KLVMXGJHPHQWLV
UHVHUYHGIRU&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVZKRDUHUHTXLUHGWRKDYH
DW OHDVW YH \HDUV H[SHULHQFH LQ WKH VW\OH RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
EHLQJFRQVLGHUHGRUDEURDGHUDQGPRUHJHQHUDOH[SHULHQFH
ZLWKUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ
3URPLVLQJPLQHUDOSURMHFWVWHQGWRJRWKURXJKWKUHHPDMRU
WUDQVLWLRQV LQ WKHLU GHYHORSPHQW IURP D GLVFRYHU\ SURMHFW
WRDPLQH7KHUVWWUDQVLWLRQIURPDGLVFRYHU\SURMHFWWRDQ
H[SORUDWLRQ SURMHFW XVXDOO\ LQYROYHV D VLJQLFDQW LQFUHDVH
LQ WKH GULOOLQJ H[SHQGLWXUH :LWK SURMHFWV WKDW VKRZ YHU\
SURPLVLQJUHVXOWVLQGLVFRYHU\WKLVWUDQVLWLRQPD\EHEDUHO\
UHFRJQLVDEOH ,Q OHVV SURPLVLQJ SURMHFWV ZKHUH JHRORJLFDO
FRQQHFWLRQV EHWZHHQ LVRODWHG LQWHUVHFWLRQV DUH GLIFXOW WR
HVWDEOLVKXSVFDOLQJWKHGULOOLQJFRPPLWPHQWPD\QRWKDSSHQ
IRUWKHIRUHVHHDEOHIXWXUHRIWKHUHOHYDQWPHWDOSULFHV
7KH PDLQ JRDO RI GULOO KROH VDPSOLQJ LQ DQ HVWDEOLVKHG
H[SORUDWLRQ SURMHFW LV WR GHWHUPLQH WKH EURDG OLPLWV RI
VLJQLFDQW PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ 7KLV LV XVXDOO\ DFKLHYHG E\
VWHSSLQJRXWIURPGLVFRYHU\KROHVXQWLOQRIXUWKHUVLJQLFDQW
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LV LQWHUVHFWHG 7KH VL]H DQG GLUHFWLRQ RI WKH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
363
%\WKHWLPHD3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\LVLQVWLJDWHGWKHUHPD\EH
VXIFLHQWGULOOLQJWRHVWDEOLVKDVLJQLFDQWDPRXQWRI,QIHUUHG
UHVRXUFH EDVHG RQ DQ LQWHUSUHWHG LGHD RI FRQWLQXLW\ DPRQJ
DGMDFHQW GULOO KROHV RU GULOO KROH VHFWLRQV $W WKLV SRLQW WKH
QXPEHURIGULOOKROHVPD\EHYHWRWHQWLPHVWKDWDYDLODEOHDW
WKHEHJLQQLQJRIWKHH[SORUDWLRQVWDJH$QLQIRUPHGYLHZRI
WKHSURGXFWLRQJUDGHVWKDWWKHSURMHFWZRXOGJHQHUDWHZRXOG
OHDGWREHWWHULQYHVWPHQWGHFLVLRQVLQWKLVSRLQWRIWKHSURMHFW
HVWLPDWH LV FRPSXWHG WR EH 0W DW SHU FHQW DW WKH
SHUFHQWFXWRIIJUDGHIRUWKHVDPHEORFNVL]H
,QSURGXFWLRQJUDGHFRQWUROVDPSOLQJLVXQGHUWDNHQRQD
PE\PJULGZLWKRUHVHOHFWLRQRQPLWFKHVZLWKD
PLQLPXPPLQLQJZLGWKRIDURXQGP7KHQDO0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHGIURPJUDGHFRQWUROVDPSOLQJLV0W
DWWZR SHUFHQWDWWKH SHUFHQWFXWRIIJUDGH
(YHQ WKRXJK WKH JOREDO KLVWRJUDP RI WKH VDPSOH JUDGHV
LV XQFKDQJHG E\ WKH DGGLWLRQDO VDPSOLQJ WKH KLVWRJUDP RI
RUGLQDU\EORFNNULJLQJHVWLPDWHVLQ6WDJHVDQGZLOOGLIIHU
UHVXOWLQJ LQ GLIIHUHQW HVWLPDWHV RI WRQQDJH DQG JUDGH DERYH
WKH SHUFHQWFXWRII7KLVRFFXUVEHFDXVHWKHPDJQLWXGHRI
WKHDYHUDJHHVWLPDWLRQHUURULQWKHJUDGHRIWKHEORFNVLVOHVV
IRU6WDJHUHVXOWLQJLQHVWLPDWHVWKDWDUHOHVVVPRRWKHG$V
DFRQVHTXHQFHWKH6WDJHHVWLPDWHVDERYHWKHFXWRIIKDYHD
KLJKHUHVWLPDWHGDYHUDJHJUDGHDQGORZHUHVWLPDWHGWRQQHV
$VLPLODUFKDQJHLQHVWLPDWHGJUDGHDQGWRQQHVZLOORFFXU
EHWZHHQWKH6WDJHDQG6WDJHHVWLPDWHVIRUWKHVDPHUHDVRQ
DOWKRXJKWKLVFRPSDULVRQZLOOEHIXUWKHUFRPSOLFDWHGE\WKH
GLIIHUHQFHLQWKHVL]HVRIWKHEORFNVXVHGDWHDFKVWDJH
,Q WRGD\V PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ WKHUH LV RIWHQ DQ H[SHFWDWLRQ
WKDWLQOOGULOOLQJLQDPLQHUDOSURMHFWZLOOOHDGWRDQLQFUHDVH
LQWKHHVWLPDWHGJUDGHDERYHDFXWRIIDQGDJHQHUDOO\PRUH
RSWLPLVWLFYLHZRIWKHSURMHFW7KLVH[SHFWDWLRQLVDQLOOXVLRQ
FDXVHG E\ D PLVXQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI ZKDW LV UHSUHVHQWHG
E\ HVWLPDWHV JHQHUDWHG E\ DSSO\LQJ WKH VDPH HVWLPDWLRQ
DSSURDFK WR GLIIHUHQW GDWD 7KLV LOOXVLRQ PD\ EH IXUWKHU
HQKDQFHG E\ WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI ZLUHIUDPH PRGHOOLQJ WR
FRQVWUDLQWKHEORFNHVWLPDWLRQWRWKRVHYROXPHVLQWHUSUHWHG
WREHPLQHUDOLVHG6FKRHOG et al
$QLPSRUWDQWFRQFOXVLRQDULVLQJIURPWKHXQGHUVWDQGLQJRI
WKLVIDOVHH[SHFWDWLRQLVWKDWLWLVQRWSRVVLEOHWRXQGHUVWDQG
WKH SUREOHP RI DSSURSULDWH RU RSWLPDO GULOO KROH VSDFLQJ LQ
D PLQHUDO GHSRVLW XVLQJ WKLV DSSURDFK WR HVWLPDWH 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV$EHWWHUXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIDSSURSULDWHGULOOKROH
VSDFLQJ FDQ FRPH IURP D GLIIHUHQW DSSURDFK WR HVWLPDWLRQ
WKDWUHFRJQLVHVWKHYDOXHRIPRUHVWDEOHVWDWLVWLFDOSURSHUWLHV
VXFK DV WKH JOREDO KLVWRJUDP RI VDPSOH JUDGHV DFURVV WKH
PRGHOV RI HVWLPDWHG UHVRXUFH JHQHUDWHG IURP GLIIHUHQW GULOO
KROHVSDFLQJV
365
VDPSOH LV QRZ EHLQJ SURYLGHG E\ RWKHU VDPSOHV $V WKH
GULOOKROHVSDFLQJGHFUHDVHVWKHDPRXQWRIWKLVLQIRUPDWLRQ
UHGXQGDQF\ DPRQJ WKH QHDUE\ VDPSOHV LQFUHDVHV 1RW RQO\
DUH WKH DGGLWLRQDO VDPSOHV FRVWLQJ PRUH PRQH\ EXW DQ
LQFUHDVLQJDPRXQWRIWKHLQIRUPDWLRQWKH\DUHSURYLGLQJLQ
WHUPVRIWKHJOREDOUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVLVUHGXQGDQW
RIWKHPHDQLQJRIWKHVHWHUPVKDVEHHQDWWHPSWHGHJJUDGH
DQG WRQQHV ZLWKLQ SHU FHQW RI ZKDW LV SUHGLFWHG RYHU
PRQWKV RI SURGXFWLRQ EXW WKHUH LV QR JHQHUDO SXEOLF
DFFHSWDQFHRIWKHVHDSSURDFKHV
'LIIHUHQW PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV LQYROYLQJ WKH VDPH PLQHUDO RU
HOHPHQW VXFK DV JROG RU FRSSHU PD\ SUHVHQW WKH UHVRXUFH
PRGHOOHUZLWKVLJQLFDQWO\GLIIHUHQWVW\OHVRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
FRQWLQXLW\DQGPLQLQJVWUDWHJLHV%\XQGHUVWDQGLQJWKLVFDQ
VRPHHOHPHQWVRIDJHQHUDOVWUDWHJ\WRGULOOLQJDQGVDPSOLQJ
RI D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH DQG WKH HVWLPDWLRQ RI WKH 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH EH IRUPXODWHG LQ VXFK D ZD\ WKDW WKH LGHD RI DQ
RSWLPDOGULOOLQJVWUDWHJ\EHGLVFXVVHG"
GULOOLQJZLOOJLYHULVHWRKLJKHUJUDGHHVWLPDWHVZKLFKDUHPRUH
DWWUDFWLYHIRUPLQLQJLQYHVWPHQW7KLVH[SHFWDWLRQFDQEHDQ
LOOXVLRQWKDWDULVHVIURPWKHZD\LQZKLFK0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV
DUHHVWLPDWHGZLWK2.DVZHOODVDPLVXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKH
XQFHUWDLQW\VXUURXQGLQJJOREDOUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWHV
%HWWHUJOREDOUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVLQPLQHUDOGHSRVLWVXVLQJ
ZLGHO\ VSDFHG UDQGRP VWUDWLHG GULOOLQJ SDWWHUQV FDQ EH
DFKLHYHG XVLQJ WHFKQLTXHV OLNH 0,. ZLWK EORFN VXSSRUW
DGMXVWPHQW ZKLFK DOORZV D PRUH UHOLDEOH DQG DFFXUDWH
SUHGLFWLRQRIWKHSURGXFWLRQWRQQHVDQGJUDGHIURPEURDGO\
VSDFHGGULOOLQJ
7KHUHVXOWVSUHVHQWHGLQ)LJXUHWKURXJK)LJXUHVXJJHVW
VRPHSRWHQWLDOO\XVHIXOLQVLJKWV
CONCLUSIONS
7KH GLVFRYHU\ H[SORUDWLRQ DQG XOWLPDWH GHYHORSPHQW
VWDJHVRID0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDUHDFFRPSDQLHGE\LQFUHDVLQJ
H[SHQGLWXUH RQ GULOOLQJ DQG VDPSOLQJ 6XFK H[SHQGLWXUH
FRPPLWPHQWV DUH RIWHQ EDVHG RQ WKH H[SHFWDWLRQ WKDW PRUH
367
FIG 2 - Walker Lake deposit: sample data sets at 20 20 m, 10 20 m, 10 10 m and 5 5 m spacing.
WXUQZLOOOHDGWREHWWHUGHFLVLRQVDERXWWKHVFDOHRIPLQLQJ
SURMHFWVDQGPLOOLQJFDSDFLWLHVDVZHOODVWKHDSSURSULDWH
OHYHORIFDSLWDOLQYHVWPHQW
368
FRQWURODQGWKHPLOOFDQEHDFKLHYHG"$QHFGRWDODQGKDUG
HYLGHQFH IURP SURGXFWLRQ LQ EDVH DQG SUHFLRXV PHWDO
PLQHVERWKXQGHUJURXQGDQGRSHQSLWLQGLFDWHVWKDW
WKLVSHULRGPD\YDU\IURPRQHPRQWKWRDVPXFKDVRQH
\HDU DQG ORQJHU WHQGLQJ WR EH ORQJHU LQ SUHFLRXV PHWDO
PLQHV ,W LV SDUWO\ IRU WKLV UHDVRQ WKDW PDQ\ JROG PLQHV
20 m
20 m
10 m
20 m
10 m
10 m
5m
5m
1m
1m
Mean
2.389
2.564
2.542
2.64
2.66
Variance
22.943
24.766
22.323
23.801
23.858
Coefficient
of variation
2.005
1.941
1.859
1.848
1.836
Minimum
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
Q1
0.030
0.040
0.050
0.060
0.070
Median
0.440
0.530
0.550
0.540
0.570
Q3
2.140
2.520
2.820
3.190
3.160
Maximum
27.150
35.460
35.460
75.90
95.000
IRU JUDGH FRQWURO VDPSOLQJ KDV EHHQ RQH RI WKH PRVW
VLJQLFDQWLQQRYDWLRQVLQLPSURYLQJVKRUWWHUPSODQQLQJ
DQG PLQHWRPLOO UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV LQ WKH ODVW \HDUV RI
PLQLQJ
7KHH[DPSOHVLQWKLVSDSHUGUDZQIURPWKH:DONHU/DNHGDWD
VHWDUHLGHDOLVWLFLQWKHVHQVHWKDWWKHVDPSOLQJSDWWHUQVGRQRW
UHHFWWKHSUREOHPVFDXVHGE\DFFHVVWKDWRFFXUVZKHQGULOOLQJ
LQ UXJJHG WHUUDLQ RU WKH XQGHUJURXQG HQYLURQPHQW 7KH\
DOVR GR QRW LQFRUSRUDWH WKH VDPSOH UHFRYHU\ DQG SURFHVVLQJ
SUREOHPVWKDWDUHDQRUPDOSDUWRIVDPSOLQJPLQHUDOGHSRVLWV
DQG JLYH ULVH WR VDPSOLQJ HUURU 6SDWLDO FOXVWHULQJ SRRU
UHFRYHU\ DQG LQDGHTXDWH VDPSOH SURFHVVLQJ DOO GHWUDFW IURP
WKHTXDOLW\RIWKH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVJHQHUDWHGIURPUHDOGULOO
KROH VDPSOHV DQG QR DPRXQW RI GDWD PDVVDJLQJ ZLWK JRRG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
369
REFERENCES
'HXWVFK & 9 DQG -RXUQHO $ * GSLIB Geostatistical Software
/LEUDU\DQG8VHUV*XLGH2[IRUG8QLYHUVLW\3UHVV
'H9LWU\&9DQQ-DQG$UYLGVRQ+$JXLGHWRVHOHFWLQJWKH
RSWLPDOPHWKRGRIUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQIRUPXOWLYDULDWHLURQRUH
GHSRVLWV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV ,URQ 2UH SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
,VDDNV ( + DQG 6ULYDVWDYD 5 0 An Introduction to Applied
Geostatistics2[IRUG8QLYHUVLW\3UHVV
370
Geological
Interpretation
and Modelling
Statistical Analysis,
Mineral Resource
Estimation,
Classification and
Reporting
Modifying Factors
(Mining, Metallurgical,
Economic, Marketing,
Legal, Environmental,
Social and Government)
Monitoring the
Resources and
Reserves
Grade Control,
Production and
Reconciliation
M F Whitham
373
T D Sullivan
385
F Kaesehagen
401
I T Ross
409
P L McCarthy
415
A Scott
419
P J Lewis
433
Geometallurgical Guidelines for Miners, Geologists and Process Engineers Discovery to Design
D David
443
451
V E Hugo
457
Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves of Industrial Minerals Markets and Other Modifying Factors
467
F Blatt
473
R P Watkins
479
487
M Werror
493
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Independent Mining Consultant, Sheerline Investments, 17 Palm Court, Meikleville Hill Qld 4703. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KLV SDSHU EXLOGV RQ WKH SDSHU E\ $SSOH\DUG DQG 6PLWK
SXEOLVKHGLQWKHUVWHGLWLRQ
2UHLVWKHSDUWRID0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHWKDWLVRUFDQEHPLQHG
SURFHVVHGDQGVROGWRJHQHUDWHDSURW,QLWVVLPSOHVWWHUPV
DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH UHTXLUHV DQ HVWLPDWLRQ RI KRZ PXFK RI WKH
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH FDQ EH H[WUDFWHG DQG KRZ PXFK SURW LV
OLNHO\WREHUHDOLVHG7KHHVWLPDWLRQPXVWLQFOXGHDGHWDLOHG
DVVHVVPHQWRIWKHPHWKRGVDQGFRVWVWREHXVHGIRUH[WUDFWLRQ
WKH SURGXFWV PDUNHWV DQG OLNHO\ UHYHQXH DQG WKH LPSDFWV
RQ WKH HQYLURQPHQW DQG FRPPXQLW\ 7KHVH DUH FDOOHG WKH
0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVDQGPXVWEHFRQVLGHUHGDQGDSSOLHGWR
FRQYHUWD0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHWRDQ2UH5HVHUYH-25&&RGH
7KH&RGHLVDSSOLFDEOHWRDOOVROLGPLQHUDOVLQFOXGLQJ
GLDPRQGVRWKHUJHPVWRQHVLQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOVDQGFRDO
7KHREMHFWLYHRIWKLVFKDSWHULVWRIRFXVRQWKHQDWXUHDQG
DSSOLFDWLRQRIWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVDVRXWOLQHGLQ7DEOH
VHFWLRQRIWKH-25&&RGH
PLQLQJ
PHWDOOXUJLFDOSURFHVVLQJ
HQYLURQPHQWDO
LQIUDVWUXFWXUH
HFRQRPLFFRVWVUHYHQXHQDQFLDODQDO\VLV
PDUNHWDVVHVVPHQW
VRFLDOFRPPXQLW\HQJDJHPHQW
OHJDODQGJRYHUQPHQWDO
7KH LPSRUWDQW DVSHFWV RI WKHVH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV DUH
FRYHUHGE\SDSHUVLQWKLVFKDSWHUDQGNH\SRLQWVKDYHEHHQ
H[WUDFWHGDQGVXSSOHPHQWHGWRSURYLGHDVXPPDU\RIJRRG
SUDFWLFHLQWKLVRYHUYLHZ
373
FULWLFDO0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVLQFRPSOH[VLWXDWLRQVIRUH[DPSOH
KLJKSLWVORSHVODUJHVWRSHVL]HFRPSOH[PHWDOOXUJ\6XOOLYDQ
WKLVYROXPHFRYHUVWKLVLVVXHLQPRUHGHWDLO
([DPSOHVWRLOOXVWUDWHDUDQJHRIDSSURDFKHVWRLQYHVWLJDWLRQ
DQG GHVLJQ DUH JLYHQ EHORZ IRU RSHQ SLW GUHGJLQJ
XQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJDQGZDVWHGXPSFRQVWUXFWLRQ
Open pit
MINING FACTORS
0DMRUFRQVLGHUDWLRQVDUHWKHJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHU
FRQGLWLRQV HVWDEOLVKLQJ GHVLJQ SDUDPHWHUV DQG VHOHFWLQJ D
)HDVLEOHPLQLQJPHWKRGV
Geotechnical investigation
7KHW\SHRISURSRVHGPLQHGHYHORSPHQWDQGLQIUDVWUXFWXUH
VKRXOG GHWHUPLQH WKH QDWXUH DQG H[WHQW RI WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO
LQYHVWLJDWLRQ.H\DVSHFWVDUHWKHVFDOHDQGUHTXLUHGVWDELOLW\RI
WKHVWUXFWXUHDQGWKHIROORZLQJQHHGWREHWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQW
374
JHRORJ\LQFOXGLQJOLWKRORJ\ZHDWKHULQJDQGDOWHUDWLRQ
PDMRUVWUXFWXUHV
URFNPDVVVWUHQJWKFKDUDFWHULVWLFV
K\GURJHRORJ\
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
)RURSHQSLWVWKHSULQFLSDOFRQFHUQLVRQWKHVORSHGHVLJQDQG
WKHIRFXVQHHGVWRJRZHOOEH\RQGWKHRUHZDVWHFRQWDFWLQWR
WKHJURXQGZKHUHWKHSLWVORSHVDUHH[SHFWHGWREHIRUPHG
7KH RQH H[FHSWLRQ LV LQ GUDJOLQH PLQHV ZKHUH VSRLO GXPS
VWDELOLW\LVXVXDOO\PRUHLPSRUWDQW
3LWVORSHVXVXDOO\KDYHDODUJHLPSDFWRQPLQLQJHFRQRPLFV
DQG QHHG WR EH GHVLJQHG WR PD[LPLVH YDOXH DQG PDQDJH
ULVN 6ORSH GHVLJQ GHSHQGV RQ WKH DFFXUDWH DVVHVVPHQW
RI JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG K\GURJHRORJLFDO FRQGLWLRQV DQG
LGHQWLFDWLRQ RI WKH NH\ IDLOXUH PHFKDQLVPV FRQWUROOLQJ
VWDELOLW\,WLVDQLWHUDWLYHSURFHVVDQGSLWGHVLJQVVKRXOGEH
SUHVHQWHGLQVHYHUDOIRUPV
GHWHUPLQLVWLFWHUPVIDFWRURIVDIHW\
SUREDELOLVWLFZKHUHSUDFWLFDEOH
OHYHORIULVNUHODWHGWRHFRQRPLFRXWFRPHV
Dredging
0LQLQJ RI XQFRQVROLGDWHG GHSRVLWV RI DOOXYLXP PLQHUDO
VDQGV VDQG RU RWKHU PLQHUDOV UHSUHVHQWV D SDUWLFXODU FDVH
RI RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ W\SLFDOO\ XWLOLVLQJ GUHGJHV DQGRU
H[FDYDWRUV RSHUDWLQJ ZLWKLQ D GUHGJH SRQG *RRG SUDFWLFH
LQWKHJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUDUHDVGLFWDWHVWKDWGXH
FRQVLGHUDWLRQLVJLYHQWRWKHIROORZLQJNH\DUHDV
JOREDOZDWHUEDODQFHRIWKHRSHUDWLRQ
JHRWHFKQLFDO FKDUDFWHU RI WKH WDLOLQJV VOXUU\ RU VOLPHV
JHQHUDWHGE\WKHSURFHVV
RYHUDOOPDWHULDOVEDODQFH
JOREDOVWDELOLW\RIWKHH[FDYDWLRQIDFH
Underground
)RUXQGHUJURXQGPLQHGHVLJQLWLVLPSRUWDQWWRNQRZKRZ
WKHURFNPDVVLVOLNHO\WRUHVSRQGWRGHYHORSPHQWH[FDYDWLRQV
DQG VWRSLQJ RU FDYLQJ DFWLYLWLHV XQGHU WKH SUHYDLOLQJ
JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU FRQGLWLRQV 7KHUHIRUH WKH
IRFXVRIWKHJHRWHFKQLFDOLQYHVWLJDWLRQLVRQWKHQDWXUHRIWKH
RUHZDVWH FRQWDFWV PDMRU VWUXFWXUHV URFN PDVV FRQGLWLRQV
K\GURJHRORJ\ DQG in situ VWUHVVHV 7KH DQDO\VLV QHHGV WR
IRUPXODWH WKH GHVLJQ SDUDPHWHUV LQFOXGLQJ FRQVWUDLQWV RQ
WKHPLQLQJPHWKRGLQWHUPVRIJURXQGVWDELOLW\VXSSRUWDQG
SLOODUVFDYLQJFKDUDFWHULVWLFVGLOXWLRQDQGRUHUHFRYHU\
Waste dumps
:DVWHGXPSVFDQEHVXEVWDQWLDOVWUXFWXUHVDQGWKHLUGHVLJQ
VKRXOG EH EDVHG RQ VRXQG JHRWHFKQLFDO SUDFWLFH WR SURGXFH
FRVWHIIHFWLYHDQGVWDEOHODQGIRUPVLQWKHORQJWHUP$VSHFWV
IRUFRQVLGHUDWLRQLQFOXGH
FRQVWUXFWLRQPHWKRGERWWRPXSRUWRSGRZQ
PDWHULDOSURSHUWLHVRIWKHZDVWHPDWHULDO
KHLJKWRIWKHGXPSVJHRPHWULFVKDSHDQGGUDLQDJH
IRXQGDWLRQFRQGLWLRQVURFNVWUHQJWKDQGGUDLQDJH
WRSRJUDSK\
FOLPDWHZHDWKHULQJDQGHURVLRQ
Groundwater investigation
3UHOLPLQDU\ K\GURJHRORJLFDO LQYHVWLJDWLRQV DUH UHTXLUHG
WR LGHQWLI\ DQG DVVHVV WKH PDMRU DTXLIHUV WKH OLNHO\ ZDWHU
Overview Non-Resource Inputs to Estimation of Ore Reserves The Modifying Factors|M F Whitham
)ORRGVWXGLHVQHHGWREHXQGHUWDNHQXVLQJDYDLODEOHUDLQIDOO
DQGFDWFKPHQWGDWDWRSURYLGHRRGSUHGLFWLRQVDQGGUDLQDJH
SURYLVLRQV IRU WKH PLQH VLWH DQG LQIUDVWUXFWXUH :KHUH
JURXQGZDWHU LV FRQVLGHUHG D ULVN WR SURGXFWLRQ D VSHFLF
LQYHVWLJDWLRQZLOOEHUHTXLUHGWRHVWDEOLVKWKHFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRI
WKHVLWHK\GURJHRORJLFDOGRPDLQVDQGWKHUHVSRQVHWRPLQLQJ
7KH VL]H RI WKH PRGHO EORFNV VKRXOG EH EDVHG RQ WKH
RSWLPLVHG PLQLPXP VHOHFWLYH PLQLQJ XQLW 608 7KH
VHOHFWLRQRIWKH608EORFNRUVHDPVKRXOGEHPDGHIURPDQ
HYDOXDWLRQRIDOWHUQDWLYHVWKDWEDODQFHWKHORZHUFRVWRIODUJHU
608VZLWKORVVRIUHFRYHU\DQGRUKLJKHUGLOXWLRQ)DFWRUV
WR FRQVLGHU LQFOXGH VDPSOLQJ GHQVLW\ JHRORJ\ VWUXFWXUDO
FRPSOH[LW\ JUDGH GLVWULEXWLRQ PLQLQJ PHWKRGHTXLSPHQW
VFDOHRIPLQLQJRXWSXWDQGRSHUDWLQJFRQGLWLRQV
Reporting
*RRGSUDFWLFHIRUJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUSURIHVVLRQDOV
LQUHSRUWLQJRQDQ\PLQHGHYHORSPHQWVWXGLHVLQFOXGH
EHLQJDZDUHRIWKHJDSVDQGXQFHUWDLQWLHVLQKHUHQWLQWKH
SURFHVVRIDGHTXDWHO\GHQLQJWKHJHRORJLFDOVWUXFWXUDO
JHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUPRGHOV
SURYLGLQJ D FOHDU VWDWHPHQW RI WKH ULVNV DQG PLWLJDWLRQ
RSWLRQV
OLVWLQJDQ\VKRUWFRPLQJV
OLVWLQJWKHLPSRUWDQWGHVLJQFRQVWUDLQWV
%DVHGRQ.DHVHKDJHQWKLVYROXPH
7KH EDVLF IDFWRUV WR EH DGGUHVVHG LQ VHOHFWLQJ D VXUIDFH RU
XQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJPHWKRGDUH
6HYHUDOPLQLQJPHWKRGVPD\EHDSSURSULDWHIRUDQRUHERG\
DQGDOORIWKHPVKRXOGLQLWLDOO\EHHYDOXDWHGDWDEURDGOHYHO
WRLGHQWLI\WKHPRVWVXLWDEOHRQHIRUGHWDLOHGLQYHVWLJDWLRQ$
IXOOGHVFULSWLRQRIWKHYDULRXVPLQLQJPHWKRGVFDQEHIRXQG
in the SME Mining Engineering Handbook 'DUOLQJ.
7KHREMHFWLYHRIPLQLQJPHWKRGVHOHFWLRQDQGGHVLJQLVWR
H[WUDFWWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHIFLHQWO\DQGVDIHO\WRJHQHUDWH
DUREXVWSURW7KLVSURFHVVGHWHUPLQHV
Data collection
,Q SUHSDULQJ WKH JHRORJLFDO GDWDEDVH DQG EORFN PRGHO LW
LV LPSRUWDQW WR V\VWHPDWLFDOO\ UHFRUG DOO WKH JHRORJLFDO
JHRWHFKQLFDODQGPHWDOOXUJLFDOGDWDWKDWLVOLNHO\WREHUHOHYDQW
IURPHYHU\GULOOKROH)RUGHHSRUHERGLHVDQGWKRVHDGMDFHQW
WRRSHQSLWVVWUHVVUHJLPHVDOVRQHHGWREHLQYHVWLJDWHG
Mining model
0LQHSODQQLQJDQGGHVLJQZRUNUHTXLUHVD0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
PRGHOWKDWUHHFWVWKHODWHVWLQIRUPDWLRQDQGLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
RI WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH DQG VXUURXQGLQJ ZDVWH ZLWK
DSSURSULDWH YDOLGDWLRQ IURP SK\VLFDO WHVWLQJ LH SURGXFWLRQ
VL]H VKDSH JUDGH DQG GHSWK RI WKH RUHERG\ ZKLFK ODUJHO\
GHWHUPLQHVWKHIHDVLEOHPHWKRGV
VXUIDFH PLQLQJ RSHQ SLW LQFOXGLQJ RSHQ FDVW DQG
TXDUU\LQJGUHGJLQJK\GUDXOLF
XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ FDYLQJ QRQFDYLQJ in situ
UHFRYHU\,65YLDOHDFKLQJ
JHRORJLFDO JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG K\GURJHRORJLFDO FRQGLWLRQV
LQFOXGLQJKHDWDQGJDVUHSUHVHQWFRQVWUDLQWVWRVDIHDQG
HIFLHQWXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJ
preproduction time FDQ UHTXLUH VHYHUDO \HDUV IRU ZDVWH
VWULSSLQJRUXQGHUJURXQGDFFHVV
environmental issues ODUJH ZDVWH GXPSV KDYH D ODUJH
HQYLURQPHQWDOLPSDFWZKLOHXQGHUJURXQGPLQHVXWLOLVLQJ
FDYLQJPHWKRGVFUHDWHVXEVLGHQFHHJEORFNFDYHORQJZDOO
community acceptanceDQRSHQSLWKDVDODUJHUIRRWSULQW
7KH SUHGRPLQDQW PLQLQJ PHWKRGV DUH FRQYHQWLRQDO RSHQ
SLWRSHQFDVWXQGHUJURXQGFDYLQJDQGQRQFDYLQJPHWKRGV
7KH NH\ GHVLJQ FRQVLGHUDWLRQV IRU WKHVH PHWKRGV DUH QRWHG
EHORZ
Open pit
375
TABLE 1
Key features of the main underground mining methods.
Method
)RUDOOPLQLQJPHWKRGVWKHFDSLWDOFRVWLVLPSDFWHGE\WKH
DFFHVVFRVWZKLFKLVGHSHQGHQWRQ
W\SHVKDIWGHFOLQHRUDGLW
GHSWKRIRUHERG\
SURGXFWLRQUDWH
7KHFRPPHQWVUHJDUGLQJFDSLWDOFRVWLQ7DEOHLVIRUFRVWV
DIWHULQLWLDODFFHVVWRWKHRUHERG\KDVEHHQPDGH
376
Sublevel
cave
Disadvantages
Underground
Advantages
Open
stoping
Cut-andfill
Overview Non-Resource Inputs to Estimation of Ore Reserves The Modifying Factors|M F Whitham
Life-of-mine plan
7KHNH\RXWFRPHIURPVHOHFWLQJWKHPLQLQJPHWKRGLVDOLIH
RIPLQHSODQWRDWOHDVWD3UH)HDVLELOLW\OHYHORIGHWDLOZKLFK
SURYLGHVDIRUHFDVWRI
SUHSURGXFWLRQGHYHORSPHQW
DQQXDOGHYHORSPHQWDQGSURGXFWLRQWRQQHVDQGJUDGH
PDMRUHTXLSPHQWDQGIDFLOLWLHV
ODERXUFRQVXPDEOHVDQGPDMRUVHUYLFHFRQWUDFWV
PLQLQJ FRVWV ERWK FDSLWDO DQG RSHUDWLQJ HVWLPDWHG E\
DFWLYLW\DQGEDVHGRQUVWSULQFLSOHVIURPSULPDU\LQSXWV
DQG SURGXFWLYLWLHV JURXQG VXSSRUW GULOO EODVW ORDG
KDXO VXSSRUW VHUYLFHV LQFOXGLQJ JUDGH FRQWURO PLQH
SODQQLQJJHRWHFKQLFDOGHZDWHULQJHWF
WKHLPSDFWRIVHQVLWLYLWLHVRIWKHPDLQSDUDPHWHUVDQGDQ\
KLJKULVNDVSHFWV
Dilution
'LOXWLRQ DGGV HLWKHU PLQHUDOLVHG ZDVWH EHORZ FXWRII
PDWHULDORUEDUUHQPDWHULDOVXFKDVOOWRWKHRUH7KLVUHVXOWV
LQ UHGXFLQJ WKH DYHUDJH JUDGH RI RUH DQGRU WKH DGGLWLRQ
RI GHOHWHULRXV PDWHULDO ZKLFK FDQ LPSDFW SURFHVVLQJ SODQW
SHUIRUPDQFHDQGSURGXFWTXDOLW\HJLURQRUHFRDO
,Q PHWDOOLIHURXV RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ WKH VSOLW EHWZHHQ RUH
DQGZDVWHLVRIWHQDFXWRIIJUDGHWKDWFDQEHYDULHGWRVXLW
HFRQRPLFFRQGLWLRQVDQGSURFHVVSODQW GHPDQG7KHZKROH
SLWVKHOOLVXVXDOO\PLQHGDQGDOOWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQZLWKLQ
WKH SLW LV H[SRVHG DQG FDQ EH VDPSOHG DQG VHOHFWHG IRU RUH
IHHGLIDERYHWKHSUHYDLOLQJFXWRIIJUDGH
7KXVWKHHPSKDVLVLQRSHQSLW0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHPRGHOOLQJ
LV RQ WKH JOREDO DFFXUDF\ RI WRQQHV DQG JUDGH HVWLPDWHV DV
ZHOO DV RQ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ LQWHUQDO YDULDELOLW\ DW D VFDOH WKDW
PLJKW DIIHFW VHOHFWLYLW\ DQG SLW RSWLPLVDWLRQ 7KHUHIRUH D
VWDWLVWLFDODSSURDFKWRDOORZDQFHVIRUGLOXWLRQLQFRQVWUXFWLQJ
WKHEORFNPRGHOLVXVXDOO\DSSURSULDWH
)RU XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ KRZHYHU XVLQJ JHRVWDWLVWLFDO
PRGHOVWKDWDUHDGMXVWHGWRUHSUHVHQWRUHORVVDQGGLOXWLRQDUH
OLNHO\WROHDGWRHVWLPDWLQJHUURUV7KHRQO\VRXQGDSSURDFK
IRUXQGHUJURXQG2UH5HVHUYHVLVXVLQJDQH[SHULHQFHEDVHG
DVVHVVPHQWRIGDWDREWDLQHGIURPGULOOLQJDQGGHYHORSPHQW
WDNLQJLQWRDFFRXQWVLWHGHSHQGHQWNH\YDULDEOHVVXFKDV
PLQLQJPHWKRGDQGVL]HRIHTXLSPHQW
RUH ZLGWK GLS JHRPHWU\ FRQWLQXLW\ DQG UHJXODULW\ RI
ZDOOFRQWDFWV
VWUHQJWKRIWKHRUHZDOOURFNVDQGOO
$VDJHQHUDOJXLGHIRUXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJWKHIROORZLQJ
VXJJHVWLRQV DUH PDGH IRU GLOXWLRQ H[SUHVVHG DV D JUDGH
UHGXFWLRQ
Recovery
0LQLQJ UHFRYHU\ LV WKH SURSRUWLRQ RI WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH
WKDWFDQEHHFRQRPLFDOO\RUSUDFWLFDOO\UHFRYHUHG
,Q PHWDOOLIHURXV RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ WKH UHFRYHU\ RI WKH
WDUJHWHG0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHZLWKLQWKHXOWLPDWHSLWHQYHORSH
LV XVXDOO\ YHU\ KLJK HJ per cent GHSHQGHQW RQ WKH
VHOHFWLYLW\EHLQJDWWHPSWHG
)RU XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ WKH SURSRUWLRQ RI D 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH WKDW FDQ EH UHFRYHUHG IURP WKH WDUJHWHG 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHLVW\SLFDOO\WR per centH[FOXGLQJLQDFFHVVLEOH
RU XQHFRQRPLF EORFNV +LJKHU UHFRYHULHV FDQ EH MXVWLHG
XVLQJ PRUH VHOHFWLYH PLQLQJ PHWKRGV DQG VWDELOLVHG OO LQ
RUH RI D KLJKHU XQLW YDOXH :LWK DOO PHWKRGV VRPH 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHWKDWZRXOGRWKHUZLVHEHFODVVLHGDVSDUWRIWKH2UH
5HVHUYHZLOOEHOHIWLQSLOODUVRUDEDQGRQHGGXHWRSUHPDWXUH
JURXQGIDLOXUH
Coal
$OWKRXJKPDQ\RIWKHSUDFWLFHVGHVFULEHGLQWKLVFKDSWHUDUH
GHULYHG IURP H[SHULHQFH ZLWK PHWDOOLIHURXV RUHERGLHV LQ
PRVW UHVSHFWV WKH UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU VXFFHVVIXOO\ GHYHORSLQJ
DFRDOPLQHVKRXOGQRWEHDORWGLIIHUHQWIURPDPHWDOOLIHURXV
PLQH KRZHYHU WKH WDUJHWV IRU GLOXWLRQ DQG UHFRYHU\ DUH
W\SLFDOO\PXFKWLJKWHUIRUDFRDOPLQHHJYH per centGXHWR
WKHLUKLJKOHYHUDJHRQFRDOHFRQRPLFV
'LOXWLRQPDWHULDOLQDFRDOPLQHLVXVXDOO\EDUUHQDQGRIWHQ
DGYHUVHO\ LPSDFWV WKH SURFHVVLQJ SODQW \LHOG DQG KHQFH
SURGXFWUHFRYHULHVLQDPHWDOOLIHURXVPLQHGLOXWLRQLVRIWHQ
PLQHUDOLVHGDQGWKHUHIRUHFDQPDNHDFRQWULEXWLRQWRUHYHQXH
6FRWW WKLV YROXPH FRYHUV WKH WRSLF RI GLOXWLRQ DQG
UHFRYHU\ LQ RSHQFDVW FRDO PLQHV DQG GHVFULEHV TXDQWLWDWLYH
DSSURDFKHV WR HVWLPDWH DQG PRGHO WKHVH IDFWRUV WKDW DUH
FHQWUDOWRWKHFUHGLELOLW\RI&RDO5HVHUYHV
6HYHUDO RI WKH NH\ SRLQWV FRYHUHG E\ 6FRWW DUH UHOHYDQW WR
RWKHUPLQLQJVLWXDWLRQVIRUH[DPSOHHVWLPDWLQJGLOXWLRQDQG
UHFRYHU\UHTXLUHVDGHWDLOHGNQRZOHGJHRI
WKHJHRPHWULFVKDSHRIWKHFRDOVHDPV
PDWHULDOSURSHUWLHVRIWKHFRDODQGRYHUEXUGHQ
H[FDYDWLRQWHFKQLTXHVDQGHTXLSPHQWXVHGIRUVWULSSLQJ
ZDVWHDQGPLQLQJWKHFRDO
Grade control
,Q RSHUDWLRQV PDQDJLQJ DQG FRQWUROOLQJ GLOXWLRQ DQG
UHFRYHU\ LV SURYLGHG E\ WKH JUDGH FRQWURO V\VWHP DQG
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ VHH &KDSWHU WKLV YROXPH 7KH SURSRVHG
V\VWHPQHHGVWREHXQGHUVWRRGDQGWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQWZKHQ
DVVHVVLQJGLOXWLRQDQGUHFRYHU\LQHVWLPDWLQJ2UH5HVHUYHV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
377
Sample selection
5HSUHVHQWDWLYH FRPSRVLWH VDPSOHV IRU HDFK RUH W\SH VKRXOG
EH PDGH XS RI PLQHDEOH GULOO LQWHUFHSWV FROOHFWHG IURP DOO
WKUHHGLPHQVLRQVDFURVVWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH(DFKPLQHDEOH
LQWHUFHSWVKRXOG
IDOOZLWKLQWKHSUHOLPLQDU\SLWRUPLQLQJDUHD
FRQWDLQ DSSURSULDWH DPRXQWV RI H[WHUQDO DQG LQWHUQDO
PLQLQJ GLOXWLRQ DV GLFWDWHG E\ WKH SURSRVHG PLQLQJ
PHWKRG
EH HTXDO WR RU JUHDWHU WKDQ WKH PLQLPXP SUDFWLFDO
PLQHDEOHZLGWK
EHHTXDOWRRUJUHDWHUWKDQWKHSUHOLPLQDU\FXWRIIJUDGH
DIWHUWKHLQFOXVLRQRIDQDOORZDQFHIRUGLOXWLRQ
(DFK FRPSRVLWH VKRXOG EH PDGH XS RI PLQHDEOH GULOO
LQWHUFHSWV WKDW UHSUHVHQW RQO\ RQH RUH W\SH &RPSRVLWH
VDPSOHVFRQWDLQLQJPL[WXUHVRIRUHW\SHVZLOOSURGXFHUHVXOWV
WKDWDUHGLIFXOWLIQRWLPSRVVLEOHWRLQWHUSUHWDQGDSSO\7KH
HIIHFW RI EOHQGLQJ GLIIHUHQW RUH W\SHV WR VLPXODWH SRVVLEOH
PLQLQJ VHTXHQFHV FDQ EH GHWHUPLQHG ODWHU E\ FRPELQLQJ
NQRZQSRUWLRQVRILQGLYLGXDOFRPSRVLWHVDPSOHV
6DPSOHVGHULYHGIURPFRUHZLOOEHUHTXLUHGIRUDOOGHQLWLYH
WHVW ZRUN RQ ZKLFK 2UH 5HVHUYHV DUH EDVHG 7KH SURWRFRO
IRU SURFHVVLQJ WKH GULOO FRUH VKRXOG EH GLVFXVVHG ZLWK WKH
JHRORJLVWV DQG DJUHHG WR DV HDUO\ DV SRVVLEOH WR HQVXUH WKDW
WKHUHZLOOEHVXIFLHQWPDWHULDODYDLODEOHRIDSSURSULDWHWRS
VL]H IRU DOO WKH PHWDOOXUJLFDO DQG VXSSOHPHQWDU\ WHVW ZRUN
UHTXLUHG
$OOVDPSOHVUHTXLUHGIRUPHWDOOXUJLFDOWHVWZRUNVKRXOGEH
FDUHIXOO\VWRUHGLQDPDQQHUWKDWSUHVHUYHVWKHLULGHQWLW\DQG
LQWHJULW\
$ UHSUHVHQWDWLYH KHDG VDPSOH VKRXOG EH WDNHQ IURP HDFK
FRPSRVLWHVDPSOHIRUDQDO\VLVWKDWVKRXOGLQFOXGH
DOOWKHDVVD\VSHUIRUPHGRQWKHGULOOFRUH
RWKHU HOHPHQWV RI LQWHUHVW QRW LQFOXGHG LQ WKH GULOO FRUH
DVVD\V
DPXOWLHOHPHQWVFDQ
DVSHFLFJUDYLW\GHWHUPLQDWLRQ
,W LV DGYLVDEOH WR KDYH WKH DVVD\V RI WKH PDLQ HOHPHQWV RI
LQWHUHVWFKHFNHGDWUHIHUHHODERUDWRULHVWRHQVXUHWKDWWKRVHRI
WKHRUHWHVWLQJODERUDWRU\DUHUHOLDEOH
Mineralogy
$ SRUWLRQ RI HDFK FRPSRVLWH VKRXOG EH VXEMHFWHG WR
PLQHUDORJLFDO H[DPLQDWLRQ ZLWK VSHFLF PHWDOOXUJLFDO
REMHFWLYHVWRLGHQWLI\DOOWKHPLQHUDOVSUHVHQWWKHHVWLPDWHG
SURSRUWLRQV RI HDFK PRGHV RI RFFXUUHQFH UDQJH RI JUDLQ
VL]HVGHJUHHRIORFNLQJDQGIURPWKLVWKHH[SHFWHGJULQGVL]H
DW ZKLFK DGHTXDWH OLEHUDWLRQ ZRXOG EH H[SHFWHG WR RFFXU
:KHUH QHFHVVDU\ WKH GHSRUWPHQW RI YDOXDEOH RU SHQDOW\
HOHPHQWV ZLWKLQ WKH YDULRXV PLQHUDOV HJ JROG LQ S\ULWH RU
XRULQHLQVLOLFDWHVVKRXOGEHGHWHUPLQHG
Test work
2QO\PLQHUDOLVDWLRQWKDWKDVEHHQPHWDOOXUJLFDOO\WHVWHGDQG
VKRZQ WR UHVSRQG VDWLVIDFWRULO\ LQ HFRQRPLF WHUPV WR WKH
VHOHFWHG SURFHVVLQJ PHWKRGV VKRXOG EH LQFOXGHG LQ 2UH
5HVHUYHV
378
KDQGOLQJFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHRUH
FRPPLQXWLRQWHVWZRUNLQFOXGLQJGHWHUPLQDWLRQRI8&6
YDOXHVDEUDVLRQLQGLFHVURGDQGEDOOPLOOLQGLFHV
WHVW ZRUN DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK DXWRJHQRXV DQG VHPL
DXWRJHQRXVJULQGLQJQHJULQGLQJDQGXOWUDQHJULQGLQJ
FRQFHQWUDWLRQRZVKHHWGHYHORSPHQWWHVWVHJRWDWLRQ
PDJQHWLFVHSDUDWLRQDQGJUDYLW\VHSDUDWLRQ
OHDFKLQJ RZ VKHHW GHYHORSPHQW WHVWV HJ DFLG DONDOLQH
RUF\DQLGHEDVHG
VHWWOLQJDQGWKLFNHQLQJWHVWVIRUWKLFNHQHUGHVLJQDQGWKH
GHWHUPLQDWLRQRIRFFXOHQWW\SHDQGFRQVXPSWLRQ
OWUDWLRQWHVWVRQLQWHUPHGLDWHRUQDOSURGXFWV
SXOSYLVFRVLW\WHVWV
FDUERQ DGVRUSWLRQ R[\JHQ XSWDNH DQG F\DQLGH
GHWR[LFDWLRQWHVWVIRUJROGRUHV
Overview Non-Resource Inputs to Estimation of Ore Reserves The Modifying Factors|M F Whitham
SURGXFWWUDQVSRUW
SURGXFWTXDOLW\
Pilot plant
8WLOLVDWLRQRIDSLORWSODQWVKRXOGQRWEHQHFHVVDU\IRUGHVLJQ
SXUSRVHV ZKHUH ZHOOHVWDEOLVKHG VFDOHXS PHWKRGV IURP
EHQFKWHVWLQJDUHDYDLODEOHKRZHYHUWKHUHDUHWZRVLWXDWLRQV
ZKHUHSLORWSODQWWHVWLQJLVHVVHQWLDO
ZKHQDSURFHVVLVSURSRVHGWKDWKDVQRWEHHQSUHYLRXVO\
XVHGRQDFRPPHUFLDOVFDOHRQWKHRUHW\SHLQTXHVWLRQRU
KDVKDGYHU\OLPLWHGXVH
ZKHUH LW LV QHFHVVDU\ WR SURGXFH DQ DGHTXDWH TXDQWLW\
RIVDPSOHIRUDFWLYLWLHVVXFKDVWHVWLQJDXQLWSURFHVVHJ
FRQFHQWUDWHWKLFNHQLQJRUOWUDWLRQRUSURYLGLQJVDPSOHV
LQDGHTXDWHTXDQWLW\WRFXVWRPHUV
Estimation of variability
%DVHGRQ'DYLGWKLVYROXPH
.H\TXHVWLRQVWREHDGGUHVVHGDUH
ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS
%DVHGRQ5LGG(DJOHQDQG8QJHUWKLVYROXPH
(QYLURQPHQWDO LVVXHV GLUHFWO\ DQG LQGLUHFWO\ LPSDFW RQ
2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWHV 7KH\ FDQ LQXHQFH WKH DFFHVVLELOLW\
RU DYDLODELOLW\ RI WKH GHSRVLW WKH PLQLQJ DQG SURFHVVLQJ
379
Closure
(IIHFWLYH PLQH FORVXUH UHTXLUHV OLIHRISURMHFW FORVXUH
SODQQLQJ RU GHVLJQLQJ IRU FORVXUH ,W FRPPHQFHV GXULQJ
FRQFHSWXDO PLQH SODQQLQJ FRQWLQXHV WR EH UHQHG WKURXJK
)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHVDQGLQWRWKHRSHUDWLRQDOSKDVH
7\SLFDOO\ FORVXUH FRVWV QHHG WR FRQVLGHU DOO DFWLYLWLHV DQG
IHDWXUHVRIWKHVLWH.H\HOHPHQWVRIJRRGSUDFWLFHIRUOLIHRI
PLQHFORVXUHSODQQLQJDUH
WKHPLQHKDVEHHQGHVLJQHGIRUFORVXUH
SRWHQWLDO FORVXUH OLDELOLWLHV DUH IDFWRUHG LQWR SURMHFW
FRVWV DW DOO VWDJHV RI SODQQLQJ GHVLJQ RSHUDWLRQ DQG
GHFRPPLVVLRQLQJ
SURJUHVVLYHUHKDELOLWDWLRQLVXQGHUWDNHQDWHYHU\VWDJHRI
PLQHGHYHORSPHQWWRPLQLPLVHWKHGLVWXUEDQFHIRRWSULQW
DQGPD[LPLVHWKHH[WHQWUHKDELOLWDWLRQLVFRPSOHWH
VWDNHKROGHU HQJDJHPHQW WR JDLQ DJUHHPHQW RQ ODQG XVH
FRQWLQXLW\DQGSRVWFORVXUHODQGXVHV
ORQJWHUPFRPPLWPHQWWRUHVHDUFK
SUHYHQWLRQRIFRQWDPLQDWLRQ
EHQFKPDUNLQJ
INFRASTRUCTURE FACTORS
VLWHFRQGLWLRQVZLWKDSDUWLFXODUHPSKDVLVRQSRWHQWLDOO\
XWLOLVLQJH[LVWLQJLQIUDVWUXFWXUHDQGDQ\FRQVWUDLQWVFDXVHG
E\WRSRJUDSK\JHRORJ\DQGJHRWHFKQLFDOFRQGLWLRQV
WUDQVSRUWDWLRQ RSWLRQV DQG URXWHV IRU PDWHULDOV VXSSO\
DQG SURGXFW GHOLYHU\ HJ URDG UDLO SLSHOLQHV SRUW
DLUVWULSHWF
SRZHU UHTXLUHG DQG VXSSO\ RSWLRQV VRXUFH URXWHV
VXSSOLHUV
ZDWHU UHTXLUHG DQG VXSSO\ RSWLRQV LQFOXGLQJ ZDWHU
VRXUFHVDQGULJKWVWRH[SORUHDQGGHYHORS
VLWH IDFLOLWLHV RIFHV ZRUNVKRSV HPHUJHQF\ VHUYLFHV
PHGLFDOHWF
ODERXU QXPEHUV DQG W\SHV VNLOOV OLNHO\ VRXUFHV DQG
DFFRPPRGDWLRQRSWLRQVFDPSWRZQVKLS\LQ\RXW
etc)
FRPPXQLFDWLRQV\VWHPRSWLRQVDQGVXSSOLHUV
SUHOLPLQDU\OD\RXWVDQGFRVWV
7KLVVKRXOGUHVXOWLQLGHQWLI\LQJWKHPRVWVXLWDEOHDQGFRVW
HIIHFWLYHLQIUDVWUXFWXUHDQGORJLVWLFVIDFLOLWLHVWRVXSSRUWWKH
SUHIHUUHGPLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJFDVH
Cost factors
&RVWV QHHG WR EH HVWLPDWHG IURP UVW SULQFLSOHV EDVHG RQ
WKH SK\VLFDO TXDQWLWLHV IRUHFDVW HFRQRPLF FRQGLWLRQV DQG
UHIHUHQFHWRVLPLODURSHUDWLQJVLWHV
Capital cost
7KHIROORZLQJLVDW\SLFDOFDSLWDOFRVWEUHDNGRZQIRUDQHZ
SURMHFW
%DVHGRQ%ODWWWKLVYROXPH
,QIUDVWUXFWXUH FRYHUV DOO WKH IDFLOLWLHV RXWVLGH WKH PLQH DQG
SURFHVV SODQW WR VXSSRUW SURGXFWLRQ *HRJUDSKLF ORFDWLRQ
WHUUDLQDQGFOLPDWHDUHPDMRUGHWHUPLQDQWVRILQIUDVWUXFWXUH
UHTXLUHPHQWV ORJLVWLFV FRPSOH[LW\ DQG FRQVWUXFWLRQ FRVWV
$GGLWLRQDOO\ LQ GHYHORSLQJ FRXQWULHV FRPSDQLHV DUH RIWHQ
H[SHFWHG WR SURYLGH SXEOLF LQIUDVWUXFWXUH IRU WKH ORFDO
FRPPXQLW\ZLWKDQGZLWKRXW*RYHUQPHQWIXQGLQJVXSSRUW
HJ 2N 7HGL 7KHVH IDFWRUV FDQ FUHDWH KLJK LQIUDVWUXFWXUH
FRVWVWRWKHH[WHQWWKDWLWFDQLQXHQFHLQYHVWPHQWGHFLVLRQV
IRUQHZSURMHFWV
380
Overview Non-Resource Inputs to Estimation of Ore Reserves The Modifying Factors|M F Whitham
contingencies W\SLFDOFRQWLQJHQF\DOORZDQFHZRXOGEH
WR per centIRU3UH)HDVLELOLW\DQGWHQWR per centIRU
)HDVLELOLW\
2QFHWKHRSHUDWLRQKDVEHHQHVWDEOLVKHGDQGFRPPLVVLRQHG
DGGLWLRQDO FDSLWDO H[SHQGLWXUH LV QRUPDOO\ UHTXLUHG DQG
JURXSHG DV GHIHUUHG VXVWDLQLQJ DQG UHSODFHPHQW FDSLWDO
FORVXUHDQGUHKDELOLWDWLRQFRVWV
Financial analysis
Operating cost
2SHUDWLQJ FRVWV QHHG WR EH FDOFXODWHG IRU HDFK \HDU RI WKH
RSHUDWLRQ DQG VKRXOG EH EDVHG RQ D FDOFXODWHG DQQXDO
SURGXFWLRQRIZDVWHRUHDQGSURGXFWWRQQHV
)URPWKLVVFKHGXOHRSHUDWLQJKRXUVSRZHUFRQVXPSWLRQV
ODERXUUHTXLUHPHQWVDQGFRQVXPDEOHQHHGVFDQEHGHWHUPLQHG
IRURSHUDWLRQVPDLQWHQDQFHDQGVXSSRUWDFWLYLWLHV
2SHUDWLQJFRVWVW\SLFDOO\LQFOXGHDOORSHUDWLQJDQGVXSSRUW
DFWLYLWLHV SOXV UR\DOWLHV FRPPXQLW\ FRPSHQVDWLRQ FDUERQ
WD[SURJUHVVLYHUHKDELOLWDWLRQDQGFRQWLQJHQF\
Revenue factors
$ NH\ SRLQW WR QRWH LV WKDW D SURMHFWV UHYHQXH PXVW EH
VLJQLFDQWO\KLJKHUWKDQWKHRSHUDWLQJFRVWVW\SLFDOO\RQD
UDWLRRUEHWWHULQRUGHUWRSURYLGHDVXIFLHQWVXUSOXVWR
SD\ IRU WD[HV UR\DOWLHV DQG WKH LQLWLDO GHYHORSPHQW FDSLWDO
7KH NH\ HOHPHQWV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK FDOFXODWLQJ WKH UHYHQXH
LQSXWVLQFOXGHWKHIROORZLQJ
YROXPHRIWKHSURGXFWSURGXFHGSHU\HDUDQGVROG
TXDOLW\ RI WKH SURGXFW SK\VLFDO FKHPLFDO DQG
PHWDOOXUJLFDO HJ FRSSHU FRQFHQWUDWH JUDGH LURQ RUH
SKRVSKRUXVJUDGH
VHOOLQJSULFHRIWKHSURGXFW
GHGXFWLRQV IURP WKH VHOOLQJ SULFH DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK
GHOHWHULRXVHOHPHQWV
UR\DOWLHVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHSURGXFWVDOHRUH[WUDFWLRQ
SURFHVVLQJFKDUJHVGHGXFWHGHJFRSSHUVPHOWHUUHQLQJ
FKDUJHV
$GGLWLRQDOIDFWRUVWRFRQVLGHUZKHQFDOFXODWLQJWKHUHYHQXH
LQSXWV
JUDGH DQG UHFRYHU\ RI PHWDO WR SURGXFW DUH WKH NH\
RUHERG\DWWULEXWHV
SURGXFWSXULW\DQGWKHSUHVHQFHRIGHOHWHULRXVHOHPHQWV
FDQVLJQLFDQWO\LPSDFWRQWKHSULFHSDLGIRUWKHSURGXFW
XQGHUVWDQGLQJWKHSURGXFWPDUNHWVXSSO\DQGGHPDQG
LVIXQGDPHQWDO
FRPPRGLW\SULFHIRUHFDVWVSULFHVWHQGWRIROORZF\FOHV
WKDW DUH OLQNHG WR JOREDO HFRQRPLF DFWLYLW\ KHQFH WKH
WLPLQJ RI SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW ZLOO EH GLUHFWO\ DIIHFWHG
E\WKHHFRQRPLFF\FOHSULFHVDUHGLIFXOWWRIRUHFDVWDQG
VHQVLWLYLW\DQDO\VLVVKRXOGEHFDUULHGRXWIRUWKHH[SHFWHG
UDQJHV
Other factors
$WKLUGJURXSRIIDFWRUVH[LVWWKDWVWUDGGOHERWKUHYHQXHDQG
FRVWV
FRUSRUDWHWD[
LQDWLRQ RI UHYHQXH DQG FRVWV PRGHOOLQJ RI FRVWV DQG
UHYHQXHDUHW\SLFDOO\KHOGFRQVWDQWRYHUWLPHDQGVDLGWR
EHFRQVWDQWLQUHDOWHUPV
IRUHLJQH[FKDQJHUDWHVKDYHDQLPSDFWRQERWKUHYHQXH
DQGFRVWV
MARKET ASSESSMENT
$ SURGXFWV PDUNHWDELOLW\ LV VLJQLFDQW ZKHQ DVVHVVLQJ WKH
YDOXHRIRUHDQGWKHUHIRUHWKHTXDQWLFDWLRQRI2UH5HVHUYHV
,QVRPHFRPPRGLWLHVVXFKDVJROGPDUNHWLQJLVDYHU\VPDOO
FRPSRQHQW EXW LQ RWKHUV VXFK DV LURQ RUH DQG LQGXVWULDO
PLQHUDOV ZKDW FRXOG EH SURGXFHG LV GLUHFWO\ GHSHQGHQW
RQ ZKDW FDQ EH VROG DQG WKLV LV FRQWLQJHQW RQ FXVWRPHU
UHTXLUHPHQWVDQGGHPDQG
SURGXFWVSHFLFDWLRQVWKHVHDUHGHWHUPLQHGIURPWHVWZRUN
DQGVKRXOGEHUHSUHVHQWDWLYHRIWKHH[SHFWHGSURGXFWLRQ
RYHUPLQHOLIH
market acceptance FRQVLVWLQJ RI D VXUYH\ RI GHPDQG
WKHQDSUHOLPLQDU\DSSURDFKWRFXVWRPHUVVXSSRUWHGE\
OHWWHUV RI LQWHUHVW EDVHG RQ FXVWRPHU VSHFLFDWLRQV DQG
DFFHSWDQFHUHTXLUHPHQWV
options for matching the Mineral Resource to the market
competitor analysis
price expectationsEDVHGRQPDUNHWVXUYH\V
costsIUHLJKWWUHDWPHQWUHQLQJDQGPDUNHWLQJ
deleterious minor elements WKH LPSDFW RQ SURGXFW YDOXH
DQGPLWLJDWLRQRSWLRQV
E\SURGXFWVWKHSRWHQWLDOFRQWULEXWLRQWRSURWEDVHGRQ
SULFHVFRVWVDQGPDUNHWV
7KUHHSDSHUVLQWKLVFKDSWHUFRYHUPDUNHWDVVHVVPHQWDQG
PDWFKLQJ WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH WR WKH PDUNHW FXVWRPHUV
.H\SRLQWVIURPWKHVHSDSHUVDUHVXPPDULVHGEHORZ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
381
Iron ore
%DVHGRQ'DQFNHUWDQG)RXFKpWKLVYROXPH
7KH 2UH 5HVHUYH FRQYHUVLRQ SURFHVV LV IXQGDPHQWDOO\
YDOXHGULYHQDQGGHVLJQHGWRFRQYHUWWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
DVVHWVLQWRVKDUHKROGHUYDOXH7RDFKLHYHWKLVWKHIROORZLQJ
TXHVWLRQVPXVWEHDGGUHVVHG
:KDWLVWKHEHVW0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHGHYHORSPHQWVWUDWHJ\"
+RZDUHWKHRSWLRQVFRQVWUDLQHGE\SURGXFWVWUDWHJ\"
:KDWDUHWKHPLQHSODQUHTXLUHPHQWVIRUHDFKWLPHIUDPH
DQGFXVWRPHU"
7KH YDOXHLQXVH RI DQ LURQ RUH SURGXFW DW D VWHHO PLOO
GHSHQGVRQDUDQJHRIIDFWRUVVL]HRIWKHVWHHOPLOOW\SHVRI
VWHHO SURGXFWV YROXPH DQG TXDOLW\ RI DOWHUQDWLYH LURQ RUHV
DYDLODEOHWRWKDWPLOO5LR7LQWRFXUUHQWO\SURGXFHVYHLURQ
RUHSURGXFWVIRUVDOHDVDUHVXOWRIPDWFKLQJPDUNHWGHPDQG
ZLWKWKHFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
(QVXULQJ WKDW WKH ULJKW SURGXFW LV EHLQJ PDWFKHG WR LWV
EHVW DSSOLFDWLRQ FRXOG EH WKH GLIIHUHQFH EHWZHHQ GHFOLQLQJ
VXVWDLQLQJRULQFUHDVLQJVDOHVDQGWKHFRQVHTXHQWLDOLPSDFWV
RQ5HVRXUFHWR5HVHUYHFRQYHUVLRQ
9DOXH LV UHDOLVHG E\ PDQLSXODWLQJ FXWRII JUDGHV WRJHWKHU
ZLWK EOHQGLQJ GLIIHUHQW RUH W\SHV WKURXJK GLIIHUHQW SURFHVV
URXWHV WR PHHW DSSURSULDWH SURGXFW VSHFLFDWLRQV ZKLOVW
PLQLPLVLQJRSHUDWLQJDQGFDSLWDOFRVWV
Mineral sands
%DVHGRQ+XJRWKLVYROXPH
0LQHUDO VDQGV GHSRVLWV DUH SRO\PLQHUDOLF DQG RIWHQ
FRPSOLFDWHG LQ WHUPV RI PLQHUDO DVVHPEODJH DQG PLQHUDO
TXDOLW\7KHPLQHUDOVLOPHQLWHUXWLOHDQG]LUFRQRUXSJUDGHG
SURGXFWV DUH VROG LQWR VSHFLF HQG PDUNHWV WKDW RIWHQ KDYH
SDUWLFXODUTXDOLW\UHTXLUHPHQWV
)RU WKH PRVW SDUW LW LV SRVVLEOH IRU ,OXND 5HVRXUFHV WR
EDODQFH FXUUHQW SURGXFWLRQ DQG IRUHFDVW SURGXFWLRQ ZLWK
PDUNHW GHPDQG IRU LQGLYLGXDO PLQHUDO SURGXFWV WKURXJK D
FRPELQDWLRQRI
PLQLQJGHSRVLWVZLWKGLYHUVHPLQHUDODVVHPEODJHV
VWRFNSLOLQJPLQHUDOSURGXFWVZKHQUHTXLUHG
DGMXVWLQJ RXWSXW IURP GLIIHUHQW PLQHV E\ YDU\LQJ SODQW
WKURXJKSXWV
LGOLQJRIDVVHWVLQH[WUHPHFDVHV
)RU ORQJHUWHUP SODQQLQJ ,OXND 5HVRXUFHV FDUHIXOO\
DVVHVVHVWKHVXSSO\GHPDQGIRUHFDVWVIRULQGLYLGXDOPLQHUDO
SURGXFWV GXULQJ WKH YDULRXV SKDVHV RI SURMHFW IHDVLELOLW\
6XSSO\GHFLWVRUVXUSOXVHVIRUHDFKPLQHUDODUHQRWHGDQG
FRQVLGHUHG ZLWKLQ HDFK RI WKHVH VWXGLHV ,Q VRPH FDVHV WKH
RUGHU RI PLQH GHYHORSPHQW LV GHSHQGHQW RQ WKH IRUHFDVW
PDUNHWGHPDQGIRUWKHPLQHUDOVLQWKHGHSRVLWV
$IXQGDPHQWDOSUHPLVHLVWRNQRZWKHPDUNHWDQGSURGXFW
VSHFLFDWLRQV 7KH GLYHUVLW\ RI PDUNHWV DYDLODEOH WR PDQ\
LQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOVLVDQDWWUDFWLRQEXWPDUNHWSHQHWUDWLRQLV
LPSRUWDQW6XEVWLWXWLRQLVRIWHQDFULWLFDOIDFWRULQDWWDLQDEOH
PDUNHWYROXPHDQGSULFLQJ
)RUPRVWSUDFWLWLRQHUVXQIDPLOLDUZLWKLQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOV
WKHKDUGHVWSDUWRIWKH3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\LVWKHDVVHVVPHQW
RIWKHPDUNHW$Q\2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHRUYDOXDWLRQPXVWEH
VXSSRUWHGE\DWKRURXJKNQRZOHGJHRIWKHSURGXFWDQGWKH
FRQVXPHUVPDQXIDFWXULQJSURFHVV
Industrial minerals
%DVHGRQ%RUGHUDQG%XWWWKLVYROXPH
0DQ\ URFNV RU PLQHUDOV PD\ XQGHU WKH ULJKW FLUFXPVWDQFHV
EHUHFRYHUHGDQGVROGDWDSURW
7KHHYDOXDWLRQRIDQLQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOGHSRVLWPXVWGLUHFW
IXOO DQG FRQFHQWUDWHG DWWHQWLRQ WR SK\VLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
DQGPDUNHWSRWHQWLDO3URFHVVLQJWUDQVSRUWDQGORJLVWLFVDUH
W\SLFDOO\LPSRUWDQW0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVIRULQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOV
KRZHYHUWKHPDUNHWLVWKHGRPLQDQW0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRU
382
Overview Non-Resource Inputs to Estimation of Ore Reserves The Modifying Factors|M F Whitham
HQVXUHWKDWDOOWKHDIIHFWHGFRPPXQLWLHVDUHNHSWLQIRUPHG
RIGLVFXVVLRQVDQGWKHRXWFRPHRIFRQVXOWDWLRQV
Sustainable development
$FFHVV WR ODQG LV EHFRPLQJ LQFUHDVLQJO\ GLIFXOW 7KHUH
LV D VWURQJ HPSKDVLV RQ VXVWDLQDEOH GHYHORSPHQW WKH
H[SORUDWLRQ GHYHORSPHQW DQG RSHUDWLRQ RI PLQHV LQ D
PDQQHU WKDW UHVSHFWV DQG UHVSRQGV WR WKH VRFLDO HFRQRPLF
DQGHQYLURQPHQWDOQHHGVRISUHVHQWDQGIXWXUHJHQHUDWLRQV
$SSOH\DUGDQG6PLWK
,Q WKLV UHJDUG LW LV LPSRUWDQW WR PDLQWDLQ RQJRLQJ
FRPPXQLFDWLRQZLWKWKHFRPPXQLWLHVDQGNHHSWKHPXSGDWHG
RQ PLQH RSHUDWLRQV DQG WKH FRQGLWLRQ RI WKH HQYLURQPHQW
,W LV DOVR LPSRUWDQW WR SURYLGH WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ WR GLVFXVV
DQGUHVROYHLVVXHVDVZHOODVDPHFKDQLVPWRUHYLHZIRUPDO
DJUHHPHQWV:HUURUWKLVYROXPH
CONCLUSIONS
7KHFRQVLGHUDWLRQDQGDSSOLFDWLRQRIWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV
LVIXQGDPHQWDOLQWKHSURFHVVRIFRQYHUWLQJD5HVRXUFHWRD
5HVHUYH :KLOH DOO 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV PXVW EH FRQVLGHUHG
RIWHQ VRPH RI WKHP ZLOO KDYH PRUH UHOHYDQFH WKDQ RWKHUV
,WLVWKHUHIRUHLPSRUWDQWWRPDNHDQHDUO\DVVHVVPHQWRIWKH
0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVWKDWDUHOLNHO\WRKDYHDPDMRULPSDFWVR
WKDWWKH\UHFHLYHDQDGHTXDWHIRFXV
,Q DGGLWLRQ VHYHUDO 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV ZLOO LQWHUDFW ZLWK
RQHDQRWKHUVRLWLVLPSRUWDQWWRHQVXUHWKDWVXFKLQWHUDFWLRQV
DUHLGHQWLHGDQGWKHUHVSHFWLYHVWXG\WHDPVPDGHDZDUHRI
WKHPDWDQHDUO\VWDJH
7KHUHTXLUHGOHYHORILQYHVWLJDWLQJWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVLV
GHSHQGHQWRQORFDOVLWHFRQGLWLRQVDQGWHFKQLFDOFRPSOH[LW\
7RVDWLVI\WKHWHFKQLFDOO\DFKLHYDEOHDQGHFRQRPLFDOO\YLDEOH
FULWHULRQVWLSXODWHGE\WKH-25&&RGHLWLVVRPHWLPHV
QHFHVVDU\ WR SURYLGH DGGLWLRQDO LQYHVWLJDWLRQ EH\RQG 3UH
)HDVLELOLW\IRUDVVHVVLQJFULWLFDO0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVLQFRPSOH[
VLWXDWLRQV
8QGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH SURMHFW VHQVLWLYLW\ WR WKH PDMRU LQSXW
IDFWRUVLVFULWLFDOIRUHYDOXDWLQJWKHSUREDELOLW\RIVXFFHVVIXO
GHYHORSPHQW
REFERENCES
$SSOH\DUG * 5 DQG 6PLWK & / 1RQ5HVRXUFH LQSXWV WR
HVWLPDWLRQ RI 2UH 5HVHUYHV WKH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
%ODWW ) ,QIUDVWUXFWXUH IRU PLQLQJ GHYHORSPHQWV LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
%RUGHU6DQG%XWW%0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHVRI
LQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOVPDUNHWVDQGRWKHU0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'DQFNHUW*DQG)RXFKp/$VVHVVPHQWRILURQRUHUHVHUYHV
5LR7LQWRV3LOEDUDH[SHULHQFHLQMineral Resource and Ore Reserve
Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
'DUOLQJ3HGSME Mining Engineering HandbookWKLUGHGLWLRQ
3DUWVWRSS
'DYLG ' *HRPHWDOOXUJLFDO JXLGHOLQHV IRU PLQHUV JHRORJLVWV
DQGSURFHVVHQJLQHHUVGLVFRYHU\WRGHVLJQLQMineral Resource
and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
VHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
*XM 3 0LQHUDO SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ QDQFLDO PRGHOOLQJ DQG
GLVFRXQWHG FDVK RZ DQDO\VLV LQ Mineral Economics VHFRQG
HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
+XJR9(&DVHVWXG\PDUNHWLQJRILQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOV,OXND
5HVRXUFHV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
.DHVHKDJHQ ) 6HOHFWLQJ D PLQLQJ PHWKRG IRU PHWDOOLIHURXV
RUHERGLHV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
/HZLV 3 - 0HWDOOXUJLFDO LQSXW WR WKH GHWHUPLQDWLRQ RI 2UH
5HVHUYHV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0F&DUWK\ 3 / 0LQLQJ GLOXWLRQ DQG ORVVHV LQ XQGHUJURXQG
PLQLQJ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
5LGG 0 (DJOHQ 3 DQG 8QJHU & (QYLURQPHQWDO FRQVWUDLQWV
RQ5HVRXUFHWR5HVHUYHFRQYHUVLRQLQMineral Resource and Ore
Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice VHFRQG
HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
5RVV,77UDQVLWLRQIURPRSHQSLWWRXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
6FRWW$7KHDVVHVVPHQWDQGPDQDJHPHQWRIFRDOUHFRYHU\LQ
RSHQSLWPLQHVLQMineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
383
6XOOLYDQ7'7KHLQXHQFHRIJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHU
IDFWRUV RQ 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore
Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice VHFRQG
HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
:DWNLQV 5 7KH LQXHQFH RI UHYHQXH DQG FRVW IDFWRUV RQ
2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
:HUURU0&RPPXQLW\FRQVXOWDWLRQWKH2N7HGLH[SHULHQFH
in Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
384
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Principal, Pells Sullivan Meynink, G3 56 Delhi Road, North Ryde NSW 2113. Email: [email protected]
2. Adjunct Professor, University of New South Wales
INTRODUCTION
7KLV SDSHU IRUPV SDUW RI D FKDSWHU GHDOLQJ ZLWK 0RGLI\LQJ
)DFWRUV ZKLFK DUH WKH QRQUHVRXUFH LQSXWV WR HVWLPDWLRQ RI
2UH 5HVHUYHV DQG IRFXVHV RQ KRZ DQ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH LV
SRWHQWLDOO\LPSDFWHGE\JHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUIDFWRUV
LQWKHFRQYHUVLRQWRDQ2UH5HVHUYHDQGOLIHRIPLQH/20
SODQ 7KH JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU DVSHFWV RI PLQH
GHYHORSPHQWDUHWZR0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV7KLVSDSHULVDLPHG
DW DOO WKRVH LQYROYHG LQ WKH SURFHVV LQFOXGLQJ HVWLPDWLRQ
SUDFWLWLRQHUVPDQDJHPHQWWKHQDQFLDOVHUYLFHVVHFWRUDQG
WHFKQLFDODGYLVHUV7KHDLPLVWRDVVLVWDOOVWDNHKROGHUVE\
385
RSHQSLW
XQGHUJURXQG
ZDVWHGXPSVDQGVSRLOSLOHV
GUHGJHPLQLQJ
in situ UHFRYHU\YLDOHDFKLQJ
WDLOLQJVVWRUDJH
FRIIHU GDPV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WHPSRUDU\ RU SHUPDQHQW
H[FOXVLRQRIODUJHVXUIDFHZDWHUERGLHV
PDMRUULYHURUVWUHDPGLYHUVLRQV
ZDWHUVWRUDJHV
6LJQLFDQW WHFKQLFDO SUREOHPV ZLWK DGYHUVH FRVW LPSDFWV
KDYHRFFXUUHGZLWKDOOWKHVHIDFHWV7KHH[SHULHQFHGDWDEDVH
VKRZV VXFK SUREOHPV DUH IUHTXHQW ,Q RUGHU WR KLJKOLJKW
WKH ULVN HOHPHQWV WKLV SDSHU LQFOXGHV WKH JHQHUDO HPSLULFDO
HYLGHQFH FRQFHUQLQJ KRZ IUHTXHQWO\ JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG
JURXQGZDWHUUHODWHGSUREOHPVKDYHEHHQH[SHULHQFHGZLWKLQ
WKH$XVWUDODVLDQUHJLRQIRUERWKPLQHVDQGLQIUDVWUXFWXUH
(DFK RI WKH PLQH DQG LQIUDVWUXFWXUH LWHPV OLVWHG DERYH LV
DOUHDG\ WKH VXEMHFW RI PDQ\ ERRNV DQG FRQIHUHQFHV QRW WR
PHQWLRQ KXQGUHGV RI WHFKQLFDO DUWLFOHV KRZHYHU EHFDXVH
WKLV LV D UHODWLYHO\ OLPLWHG GRFXPHQW LW LV QRW WKH LQWHQW RI
WKLVSDSHUQRULVLWWHFKQLFDOO\SRVVLEOHWRUHSHDWZKDWLV
FRYHUHG DOUHDG\ LQ WKH UHTXLVLWH GHWDLO RI WKHVH UHIHUHQFHV
+HQFH WKH UHDGHU ZLOO EH GLUHFWHG ZKHUH DSSURSULDWH WR
VHOHFWHGUHIHUHQFHV7KHIRFXVRIWKLVSDSHULVWRWU\DQGDVVLVW
DOOWKRVHLQYROYHGZLWKWKH2UH5HVHUYHVHYDOXDWLRQSURFHVV
WR EH PRUH DZDUH RI WKH DFFXUDFLHV XQFHUWDLQWLHV DQG ULVNV
*HQHUDO JXLGDQFH RQ JRRG SUDFWLFH LV SURYLGHG LQ WHUPV RI
DSSURDFKHV WKDW KDYH SURYHQ VXFFHVVIXO EXW GHWDLO VXFK DV
VWDELOLW\ PHWKRGV DQG WKHLU DSSOLFDELOLW\ RU EODVW GHVLJQ IRU
QDOZDOOVHWFLVEH\RQGWKHVFRSHRIWKLVSDSHU
BACKGROUND
7KLV SDSHU PD\ DOVR IRUP D VWDQGDORQH UHIHUHQFH LQ VRPH
FLUFXPVWDQFHV DQG LQ RUGHU WR SURYLGH WKH FRQWH[W IRU
VXEVHTXHQWGLVFXVVLRQVLWLVQHFHVVDU\WRUVWO\VXPPDULVHWKH
RYHUDOO 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ SURFHVV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV
DUH in situ HVWLPDWHV RI WRQQHV DQG JUDGH RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
ZKLFKFDQEHVKRZQE\SUHOLPLQDU\WHFKQLFDODQGHFRQRPLF
DQDO\VLV WR EH OLNHO\ WR EH PLQHDEOH WUHDWDEOH DQG VDOHDEOH
2UH 5HVHUYHV DUH GHULYHG IURP 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV E\ WKH
DSSOLFDWLRQRI0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV-25&&RGHZKLFK
LQFOXGHVWKHUHVXOWVRIJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUVWXGLHV
,Q WKH SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW VWDJHV WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG
JURXQGZDWHUVWXGLHVDUHSDUWRIWKHWHFKQLFDODQGHFRQRPLF
VWXGLHVUHIHUUHGWRDV3UH)HDVLELOLW\DQG)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHV
ZKLFK FRQYHUW WKH JHRORJLFDO HVWLPDWHV WR 5HVHUYHV ,Q WKH
SURGXFWLRQ VWDJHV 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ LV RIWHQ FDUULHG
RXWDQQXDOO\DQGXSGDWHVWRJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHU
0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV FDQ IRUP SDUW RI WKDW SURFHVV 7KH
FRQYHUVLRQ IURP 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH WR 2UH 5HVHUYH LV
386
WKH2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQSURFHVV
ZKDWLWLVWU\LQJWRDFKLHYH
WKH DFFXUDFLHV H[SHFWHG IURP WKH SHUVSHFWLYH RI WKH
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQ
WKH DFFXUDFLHV WKDW H[SHULHQFH SURYHV WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO
DQGJURXQGZDWHUPRGHOOLQJFDQDFKLHYHLQSUDFWLFH
WKHULVNV
7KHUHDUHDQXPEHURIVXEVWDQWLDOGLIIHUHQFHVEHWZHHQWKH
SURFHVV RI GHQLWLRQ RI PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV DQG WKH GHQLWLRQ
RI WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV
$W WKHLU FRUH ERWK UHO\ RQ HVVHQWLDOO\ WKH VDPH JHRORJLFDO
PRGHO VR WKHUH PXVW EH FRQVLGHUDEOH RYHUODS KRZHYHU
WKH PLQHUDO GHSRVLW LV ZKHUH DOO WKH H[SORUDWLRQ LV IRFXVHG
DQG LQ DOO FDVHV WKHUH LV VXEVWDQWLDO UHODWLYHO\ FORVHVSDFHG
GDWD %\ FRPSDULVRQ WKH LQYHVWLJDWLRQV IRU WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO
DQG JURXQGZDWHU IDFWRUV RIWHQ WDNH SODFH UHPRWH IURP WKH
RUH ZLWK WKH H[FHSWLRQ EHLQJ XQGHUJURXQG PLQHV DQG WKH
SHUFHQWDJH VDPSOLQJ RI WKH VRLOURFN PDVV LV SUREDEO\ OHVV
WKDQIRUDQ\RWKHUIDFHWRIPLQHGHVLJQ
It has always seemed to me that uncertainty is the very
essence of geotechnical engineering. Our materials are
QDWXUDO LQ RULJLQ RIWHQ LUUHJXODU LQ IRUP DQG KLJKO\
variable in their properties. They are usually obscured from
sight and can be investigated only to a small extent at great
expense.0F0DKRQ
7KHVHDVSHFWVFRQWULEXWHWRIUHTXHQWSUREOHPVUHODWHGWRWKH
JHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUIDFWRUV
7KLVVLWXDWLRQDOVRFUHDWHVWHQVLRQLQWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
WR2UH5HVHUYHFRQYHUVLRQSURFHVV([SHULHQFHGJHRWHFKQLFDO
DQG JURXQGZDWHU SUDFWLWLRQHUV KDYH UHFRJQLVHG IRU VRPH
WLPH WKH QHHG WR EHWWHU GHQH GDWD UHOLDELOLW\ DQG WKH
JHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUUHSRUWLQJV\VWHPVIRUPLQLQJ
RSHUDWLRQV7KLVVLWXDWLRQLVVWLOOQRWUHVROYHG7KHWHQVLRQDQG
XQFHUWDLQW\LVH[DFHUEDWHGLQSDUWE\WKHZRUGLQJRIWKH-25&
&RGH ZKLFK IRU 2UH 5HVHUYH UHSRUWLQJ WR D 3URYHG
OHYHOXVHVSKUDVHVVXFKDVGHPRQVWUDWHGWREHYLDEOHKLJK
GHJUHHRIFRQGHQFHLQWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVXQFHUWDLQWLHV
LQ WKH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV DUH UHPRYHG DQG WKH KLJKHVW
GHJUHH RI JHRORJLFDO WHFKQLFDO DQG HFRQRPLF FRQGHQFH LQ
WKH HVWLPDWH 7KHVH GHVFULSWLRQV RI WKH UHTXLUHPHQWV XVH
DEVROXWH ZRUGLQJ DQG VXSHUODWLYH WHUPV DQG WKH RYHUDOO
LPSUHVVLRQLVRIDKLJKGHJUHHRIDFFXUDF\,WLVXQGHUVWRRG
WKDWWKHVHWHUPVUHODWHLQODUJHSDUWWRWKH2UH5HVHUYHVEXW
IURP WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO RU JURXQGZDWHU SHUVSHFWLYH WKH\ DUH
PLVOHDGLQJSDUWLFXODUO\ZKHQRQHLVDZDUHRIWKHDFFXUDFLHV
WKDWFDQEHDFKLHYHGLQSUDFWLFH
The Influence of Geotechnical and Groundwater Factors on Ore Reserve Estimation|T D Sullivan
PDMRULQFUHDVHVLQRSHUDWLQJFRVWVGXHWRVWDELOLW\UHODWHG
LVVXHVLQERWKRSHQSLWVDQGXQGHUJURXQGRSHUDWLRQV
SUREOHPVZLWKGLOXWLRQDQGUHFRYHU\RIWKHUHVRXUFH
PDMRUHFRQRPLFORVVHVGXHWRXQH[SHFWHGPDMRUIDLOXUHV
RILPSRUWDQWLQIUDVWUXFWXUHRUPLQHV
SUHPDWXUHFORVXUHRIWKHRSHUDWLRQ
([SHULHQFHKDVVKRZQWKDWHYHQYHU\VHQLRUSURIHVVLRQDOV
FDQ KDYH FRQVLGHUDEOH GLIFXOW\ FRQFHSWXDOLVLQJ ORZ
OLNHOLKRRG DQG KLJK FRQVHTXHQFH HYHQWV ,Q WKH PRVW
VXEMHFWLYHULVNDVVHVVPHQWV\VWHPVXVHGLQPLQHVWKHVHHYHQWV
ZRXOG FODVVLI\ DV D PDMRU RU H[WUHPH ULVN WR WKH RSHUDWLRQ
)DPLOLDULW\ H[DFHUEDWHV WKLV GLIFXOW\ DQG RIWHQ ZKHQ
SRWHQWLDO VWDELOLW\ LVVXHV DUH KLJKOLJKWHG E\ D WKLUG SDUW\
WKHUH LV D VHQVH RI GLVEHOLHI WKDW VXFK D WKLQJ FRXOG KDSSHQ
DWWKLVSDUWLFXODUPLQH7KHULVNLVWKHQFRXFKHGLQGHJUHHVRI
FRQVHUYDWLVPZLWKWKHEULQJHURIWKHQHZVWKHPHVVHQJHU
SDLQWHGDVXQGXO\FRQVHUYDWLYH,QPDQ\LQVWDQFHVRSHUDWRUV
DQGRUPLQHGHVLJQHUVFDQEHFRPHFRQGLWLRQHGWRULVNDQG
IDLO WR UHFRJQLVH WKH LPSRUWDQW WHOOWDOH VLJQV RI SUREOHPV
DPRQJVWDOOWKHEDFNJURXQGQRLVH
7DEOH SUHVHQWV D W\SLFDO SUREDELOLW\ FKDUWLQJ VFKHPH
7KLVVFKHPHDQGVLPLODURQHVDUHXVHGWRJXLGHLQGLYLGXDOV
LQWHUPVRIRUGHURIPDJQLWXGHSUREDELOLWLHVRIRFFXUUHQFHRI
D SDUWLFXODU FRQGLWLRQ RU HYHQW 7KLV SDUWLFXODU VFKHPH ZDV
GHYHORSHG IRU GDPV %DUQLHFK et al EXW LW SURYLGHV
XVHIXO JXLGDQFH HYHQ ZKHQ RQO\ JHQHUDO NQRZOHGJH LV
DYDLODEOHDERXWWKHIUHTXHQF\RIHYHQWV$JRRGLOOXVWUDWLRQLV
IRUWKHFDVHZKHUHRFFXUUHQFHVRIWKHFRQGLWLRQRUHYHQWDUH
REVHUYHGLQWKHGDWDEDVH7KHRUGHURIPDJQLWXGHSUREDELOLW\
RI WKH HYHQW RFFXUULQJ WKH FKDQFH RU OLNHOLKRRG LV WHQ SHU
FHQWRQHLQWHQZKLFKPDQ\ZRXOGQGVXUSULVLQJO\KLJK
TABLE 1
Probability mapping scheme (Barniech et al, 1996).
Description of the condition or event
Chance of
Order of
magnitude occurrence
probability
assigned
1
1
-1
10
10-2
1 in 100
10-3
1 in 1000
10-4
1 in 10 000
1 in 10
387
TABLE 2
Approximate estimates of the likelihood of major problems with mines and mine infrastructure (based on the authors observations).
Mine or infrastructure element Description
Chance of occurrence
Open pit
25 to 50
1 in 4 to 1 in 2
Underground
10 to 25
1 in 10 to 1 in 4
Waste dump
10 to 20
1 in 10 to 1 in 5
Spoil dump
5 to 10
1 in 10 to 1 in 20
Tailings dam
1 to 10
1 in 100 to 1 in 10
River diversion
1 to 5
1 in 100 to 1 in 20
Water storage
1 in 100
Coffer dam
0.1
1 in 1000
OHVVWKDQYHSHUFHQWGLIIHUHQFHLVJHQHUDOO\QRWPDWHULDO
EHWZHHQYHDQGWHQSHUFHQWGLIIHUHQFHLVPDWHULDO
PRUHWKDQWHQSHUFHQWGLIIHUHQFHLVGHQLWHO\PDWHULDO
,Q WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU FRQWH[W RI PLQH
GHYHORSPHQW WKHVH GLIIHUHQFHV HTXDWH WR YHU\ WLJKW GHVLJQ
WROHUDQFHV
Mineral Resource
,Q RUGHU WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU
UHTXLUHPHQWVRIWKHFRQYHUVLRQRIWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHWR2UH
5HVHUYHSURFHVVLWLVLPSRUWDQWWRXQGHUVWDQGZKDWFRQVWLWXWHV
D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH ZKLFK LV HVVHQWLDOO\ D FRQFHQWUDWLRQ RI
PLQHUDOVIRUZKLFKWKHUHDUHUHDVRQDEOHSURVSHFWVRIHYHQWXDO
HFRQRPLF H[WUDFWLRQ 7KH EDVLV IRU UHDVRQDEOH SURVSHFWV LV
DOZD\V D PDWHULDO TXHVWLRQ +HQFH IURP D JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG
JURXQGZDWHUYLHZSRLQWWKLVZRXOGPHDQWHFKQLFDOIHDVLELOLW\
ZLWKLQMXVWLDEOHHFRQRPLFFRQVWUDLQWV
,Q WHUPV RI WKH JHRORJLFDO HYLGHQFH DQG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ
XQGHUSLQQLQJ WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH ZKLFK LV LQ HVVHQFH
WKH JHRORJLFDO PRGHO WKLV VKRXOG LQFOXGH LQYHVWLJDWLRQ DQG
VDPSOLQJ FRPPHQVXUDWH ZLWK WKH SK\VLFDO DQG JHRORJLFDO
FRPSOH[LW\ RI WKH VLWH 7KLV ZRXOG DOVR DSSO\ WR DQ\
JHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUVWXGLHV
7KH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDUHFODVVLHGLQWHUPVRILQFUHDVLQJ
JHRORJLFDONQRZOHGJHDQGFRQGHQFH6HWRXWEHORZDUHWKH
SULQFLSDO FODXVHV LQWHUSUHWHG IDLUO\ OLWHUDOO\ IURP WKH FRGH
WKDW KDYH D EHDULQJ RQ WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU
VWXGLHV7KHHPSKDVLVEHORZLVRQWKUHHHVVHQWLDOHOHPHQWVDOO
RIZKLFKH[SHULHQFHKDVVKRZQDUHDVVRFLDWHGZLWKDFKLHYLQJ
UHOLDEOH JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU XQGHUVWDQGLQJ DQG
PRGHOV7KHVHHOHPHQWVFRPSULVH
WKHGHQVLW\RILQYHVWLJDWLRQVUHTXLUHGWRDFKLHYHYDULRXV
OHYHOVRIFRQGHQFHLQWKHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQV
NQRZOHGJHRIWKHUHOLDELOLW\RIWKHGDWD
The Influence of Geotechnical and Groundwater Factors on Ore Reserve Estimation|T D Sullivan
DQXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHJHRORJLFDOFRPSOH[LW\RIWKHDUHD
DVLWUHODWHVWRERWKWKHVHIDFWRUV
7KHUHTXLUHPHQWVDWHDFKOHYHORI5HVRXUFHGHQLWLRQDQG
E\LQIHUHQFHDOVRDSSOLFDEOHWRJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHU
VWXGLHVDUHWKDW
Ore Reserve
$Q 2UH 5HVHUYH LV WKH HFRQRPLFDOO\ PLQHDEOH SDUW RI WKH
5HVRXUFH 7KLV PLQHDEOH SDUW LV GHQHG E\ VWXGLHV DW 3UH
)HDVLELOLW\ RU )HDVLELOLW\ OHYHO RU DW WKH RSHUDWLQJ VWDJH
ZKLFK LQFOXGHV DSSOLFDWLRQ RI WKH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV ,W LV
WKH H[SHFWDWLRQ RI WKH -25& &RGH WKDW WR DFKLHYH
WKH UHTXLUHG OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH LQ WKH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV
DSSURSULDWH 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ RU )HDVLELOLW\ OHYHO VWXGLHV ZLOO
KDYH EHHQ FDUULHG RXW LQFOXGLQJ GHWHUPLQDWLRQ RI D PLQH
SODQ DQG SURGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOH ZKLFK DUH ERWK WHFKQLFDOO\
DFKLHYDEOHDQGHFRQRPLFDOO\YLDEOH
7KH WUDQVLWLRQ IURP D 0HDVXUHG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH WR D
3UREDEOH2UH5HVHUYHWRD3URYHQ2UH5HVHUYHLVDFFRPSDQLHG
E\ LQFUHDVLQJ FRQGHQFH OHYHOV LQ WKH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV
$3URYHG2UH5HVHUYHLPSOLHVDKLJKGHJUHHRIFRQGHQFHLQ
WKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVVXFKWKDW
WKHUHLVDKLJKGHJUHHRIFRQGHQFHLQJHRORJLFDOFRQWLQXLW\
WKHJHRORJLFDOPRGHODQGWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV
WKHUHDUHQRVXEVWDQWLDOXQUHVROYHGWHFKQLFDOLVVXHV
DQ\XQFHUWDLQWLHVLQWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVDUHXQGHUVWRRG
WRJHWKHU ZLWK WKH LPSDFW RI WKHVH XQFHUWDLQWLHV RQ
FRQGHQFH
WKHLPSDFWRIWKHVHXQFHUWDLQWLHVZLOOQRWKDYHDPDWHULDO
HIIHFWRQWKHRXWFRPHV
WKHUH LV WKH KLJKHVW GHJUHH RI JHRORJLFDO WHFKQLFDO DQG
HFRQRPLF FRQGHQFH LQ WKH HVWLPDWH DW WKH OHYHO RI
SURGXFWLRQ LQFUHPHQWV XVHG WR VXSSRUW PLQH SODQQLQJ
DQGSURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOHV
*RRG SUDFWLFH PHDQV D VRXQG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKHVH
PDWHULDO EHQFKPDUNV DQG FRQGHQFH OHYHOV ZKLFK LV ZKDW
LQYHVWRUV RU WKHLU DGYLVHUV PLJKW UHDVRQDEO\ H[SHFW WR VHH
LQFOXGHGLQWHFKQLFDOUHSRUWVLIDSSURSULDWH
$ 3UREDEOH 2UH 5HVHUYH KDV D ORZHU OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH
WKDQ D 3URYHG 2UH 5HVHUYH EXW LV RI VXIFLHQW TXDOLW\ WR
VHUYH DV WKH EDVLV IRU D GHFLVLRQ RQ WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI WKH
GHSRVLW7KHVW\OHRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQRURWKHUIDFWRUVLQFOXGLQJ
JHRORJLFDOFRPSOH[LW\FRXOGPHDQWKDW3URYHG2UH5HVHUYHV
DUHQRWDFKLHYDEOHLQVRPHGHSRVLWV
Technical studies
)RUWKHGHFODUDWLRQRIDQ2UH5HVHUYHWKH-25&&RGH
UHIHUV WR WZR OHYHOV RI WHFKQLFDO VWXG\ 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ DQG
)HDVLELOLW\
7KHH[SHULHQFHLQWKHJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUDUHDV
PHDQVWKDWLWLVXQOLNHO\WKDWDQ\VWXG\UHODWHGWR0RGLI\LQJ
)DFWRUVLQWKHJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUDUHDVDWDOHYHO
OHVVWKDQIXOO)HDVLELOLW\ZRXOGDFKLHYHWKHPDWHULDORXWFRPHV
H[SHFWHG E\ WKH -25& &RGH IRU WKH GHFODUDWLRQ RI
3URYHQ 2UH 5HVHUYHV 7KLV LQFOXGHV DOO WKH IDFHWV RI D PLQH
GHYHORSPHQWFRYHUHGLQWKLVSDSHU
6LPLODUO\JRRGSUDFWLFHZRXOGDOVRGLFWDWHWKDWDWWKHOHYHO
RI3UREDEOH2UH5HVHUYHWKHPDWHULDOLW\JXLGHOLQHVZRXOGEH
XQOLNHO\WREHPHWZLWKRXWVWXGLHVWR3UH)HDVLELOLW\OHYHO
389
5HDG DQG 6WDFH\ QRWH WKDW WKHUH LV QR VWDQGDUG
GHQLWLRQRIJHRWHFKQLFDO&RPSHWHQFHIRUXVHLQ2UH5HVHUYH
VLWXDWLRQV EXW SURYLGH WKH IROORZLQJ EDVLF FULWHULD IRU D
JHRWHFKQLFDOO\FRPSHWHQWSHUVRQ
ZLOOEHDEOHWRGHPRQVWUDWHVLJQLFDQWDQGUHFHQWUHOHYDQW
experience
DUHIDPLOLDUZLWKWKHH[SHFWHGRUGHURIDFFXUDF\UHTXLUHG
ZKHQSUHSDULQJUHSRUWVDQGGHVLJQV
DUHDZDUHRIDQGUHSRUWRQWKHULVNVWKDWFRXOGLPSDFWRQ
SUHGLFWHGRXWFRPHV
NQRZ WKH SRWHQWLDO LPSDFW RQ HFRQRPLFV LI DQ\ RI WKRVH
ULVNVDUHPDQLIHVWHG
6XFKUHOHYDQWH[SHULHQFHPD\QHHGWRLQFOXGHVLPLODU
JHRORJLFDOHQYLURQPHQWV
JHRPRUSKRORJLFDOVHWWLQJV
FOLPDWLFFRQGLWLRQV
GHZDWHULQJDQGRUGHSUHVVXULVDWLRQV\VWHPV
H[SHULHQFHDWWKHPLQHVFDOHXQGHUFRQVLGHUDWLRQ
PLQHVH[SHULHQFHZLWKERWKWKHGHVLJQDQGRSHUDWLRQRU
WKHLQIUDVWUXFWXUHXQGHUFRQVLGHUDWLRQ
*LYHQWKHFRPSOH[LW\RIDOOWKHLVVXHVLWLVGRXEWIXOZKHWKHU
YH \HDUV H[SHULHQFH ZRXOG EH VXIFLHQW D EHWWHU JXLGH
ZRXOGEHWKHUHFRPPHQGHGWHQ\HDUV7KRVHUHVSRQVLEOHIRU
WKHJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUVWXGLHVVKRXOGHQVXUHWKDW
WKH\IXOO\XQGHUVWDQGDOOWKHZRUNFDUULHGRXWLQDQ\VWXG\
LQFOXGLQJYLVLWVWRVLWHDQGSHUVRQDOYHULFDWLRQRIWKHGDWD
DQGQRWVLPSO\UHO\RQWKHZRUGRIRWKHUV7KH5HSRUW&RGH
The Influence of Geotechnical and Groundwater Factors on Ore Reserve Estimation|T D Sullivan
FIG 1 - Approximate relationship between the JORC Code and project study levels (after Read and Stacey, 2009).
FIG 2 - Project study flow chart (after Read and Stacey, 2009).
SUDFWLWLRQHUV DUH XQDZDUH RI WKH GHWDLO DQG KRZ WKHLU
SDUWLFXODU VWXGLHV W ZLWKLQ WKH EURDGHU IUDPHZRUN RI WKH
-25& &RGH 7KLV LV ZKDW JHQHUDOO\ KDSSHQV ZLWK
JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU VWXGLHV WKH UHVXOWV RI ZKLFK
DUHXVXDOO\DFKLHYHGDVSDUWRIWKHPLQLQJVWXGLHV)LJXUH
DQG WKHQ SDVVHG RQWR DQRWKHU SDUW\ WR SUHSDUH WKH 2UH
5HVHUYH HVWLPDWH 7KHUH LV RIWHQ OLWWOH RU QR RSSRUWXQLW\ IRU
DQ\IHHGEDFNHYDOXDWLRQRIWKHVHVWXGLHVXQOHVVWKHHFRQRPLF
HYDOXDWLRQVKDYHQRWEHHQDVSRVLWLYHDVUVWKRSHGLQZKLFK
FDVHWKHUHLVRIWHQSUHVVXUHIRULPSURYHGGHVLJQSDUDPHWHUV
)LJXUH
391
TABLE 3
Approximate levels of accuracy required for project mining studies (after Ballard, 1983; Coleman and Westcott, 1983; White, 2001).
Type of study
Secondary or equivalent terms
Project level
Scoping
Conceptual
Exploration review
Order of magnitude
30 to 50
10 to 15
Pre-Feasibility
20 to 25
5 to 10
Feasibility
15
3 to 5a
5 to 10
1 to 3
Main descriptor
Preliminary
Detailed design
Approximate equivalent
order of accuracy required
in slope angles ()
WKHUH LV D ODUJH JDS EHWZHHQ WKH DFFXUDFLHV UHTXLUHG E\ WKH
FRGHV IRU WKH KLJKHVW FODVVLFDWLRQ OHYHO RI 5HVRXUFHV DQG
5HVHUYHVDQGWKHXQFHUWDLQWLHVLQWKHJHRWHFKQLFDOGDWD7KHUH
DOVR QHHGV WR EH D EHWWHU ZD\ RI UHSRUWLQJ WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO
GHVLJQV WKDW XQGHUSLQ D PLQH DW HDFK OHYHO RI 2UH 5HVHUYH
FODVVLFDWLRQ
6WHIIHQ DGGUHVVHG ULVNEDVHG SODQQLQJ IRU PLQHV ZKLFK
IRFXVHG RQ RSHQ SLWV EXW WKH FRQFHSWV FRXOG EH HTXDOO\
DSSOLFDEOH WR XQGHUJURXQG DQG ZDV RQH RI WKH UVW WR OLQN
JHRWHFKQLFDO FRQGHQFH LQ GHVLJQ ZLWK FDWHJRULHV RI 2UH
5HVHUYHV,QUHJDUGVWRVORSHDQJOHVIRUGHVLJQKHPDNHVWKH
IROORZLQJREVHUYDWLRQ
$VLQWKHFDVHRIRUHUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQWKHGHWHUPLQDWLRQ
of slope angles is dependent on the understanding of
JHRORJLFDODQGJHRWHFKQLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQDQGWKHFRQGHQFH
of design is equally based on the degree of certainty which
applies to the data available. 6WHIIHQ
%HFDXVH RI WKH WLPLQJ RI SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW VWXGLHV DQG
WKH ORFDWLRQ RI WKH SLW ZDOOV RIWHQ UHPRWH IURP WKH RUH
JHRWHFKQLFDO GDWD IRU GHVLJQ LV RIWHQ DYDLODEOH ODWHU DW D
PXFKORZHUVDPSOLQJGHQVLW\DVLWLVRIWHQUHPRWHIURPWKH
JHQHUDO H[SORUDWLRQ GDWD ,Q DGGLWLRQ WKHUH FDQ EH D GHJUHH
RI UHOXFWDQFH WR XQGHUWDNH H[WHQVLYH JHRWHFKQLFDO DQGRU
JURXQGZDWHU GULOOLQJ ZKHQ LW GRHV QRW DGG WR WKH 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV UHVXOWLQJ LQ SRRU VDPSOLQJ DQG GDWD JDSV ,W LV
SDUWLFXODUO\ GLIFXOW DQG H[SHQVLYH WR OO WKHVH JDSV DQG
KHQFH LW LV FRPPRQ IRU WKH VORSHV WR KDYH PXFK OHVV GDWD
DQGH[SHUWVH[SUHVVLQJDORZHUOHYHORIFRQGHQFHLQWKHP
WKDQWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHV
$QG\HW
D FRQVLVWHQW DVVHVVPHQW RI FRQGHQFH ZRXOG UHTXLUH
WKDW WKH FRQGHQFH RI WKH VORSH GHVLJQ VKRXOG PDWFK WKDW
of the (ore) resource It is therefore proposed that for the
RSHQSLWGHVLJQVWKHFRQGHQFHIRUVORSHGHVLJQVVKRXOGEH
categorised using the same fundamental approach as that
DGRSWHGIRUUHVRXUFHUHVHUYHGHQLWLRQV6WHIIHQ
6WHIIHQ VXJJHVWV WKUHH FDWHJRULHV RI VORSH GHVLJQV
SRVVLEOH3UREDEOHDQG3URYHQZLWKWKHKLJKHVWFDWHJRU\
3URYHQ OLQNHG WR GDWD UHOLDELOLW\ DQG D GHVLJQ FRQGHQFH
RI SHU FHQW 7KH FODVVLFDWLRQ IRU DOO FDWHJRULHV LV EDVHG
RQ GDWD GDWD UHOLDELOLW\ DQG GHJUHHV RI FRQGHQFH LQ
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV 'HJUHHV RI FRQGHQFH DUH QRW SURYLGHG
IRU WKH RWKHU FDWHJRULHV DQG GHQLWLRQV DUH UHOLDQW RQ D
UHDVRQDEOH DVVXPSWLRQ DERXW FRQWLQXLW\ RU D UHDVRQDEOH
LQIHUHQFHDERXWFRQGLWLRQV
392
TABLE 4
Level of geotechnical data and analysis required for different project
stages and mining methods (after Haile, 2004).
Project
stage
Conceptual
Pre-Feasibility
Underground
Wide
Narrow
Bulk mining
method
Selective
mining
method
N/A
Implied
Implied
Implied
N/A, implied
Qualified
Qualified
Implied
Feasibility
Implied/
qualified
Justified
Justified
Qualified/
justified
Operations
Justified
Verified
Verified
Verified
The Influence of Geotechnical and Groundwater Factors on Ore Reserve Estimation|T D Sullivan
UHOLDELOLW\IRUDSURMHFWVWDJHVKRXOGUHHFWWKHGHPDQGVRIWKH
W\SHRIPLQHGHYHORSPHQWDQGPLQLQJPHWKRG$ZLGHRSHQ
SLWLVGHVFULEHGDVVKDOORZUHODWLYHWRWKHSLWRRUDUHDDQGD
QDUURZRSHQSLWLVGHHSUHODWLYHWRWKHSLWRRUDUHD$ZLGH
VKDOORZRSHQSLWDQGVHOHFWLYHXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJUHTXLUH
ORZHUOHYHOVRIJHRWHFKQLFDOFHUWDLQW\FRPSDUHGWRDQDUURZ
EXWGHHSRSHQSLWDQGEXONPLQLQJPHWKRG
5HDGDQG6WDFH\KDYHFRPSLOHGWDUJHWOHYHOVRIWKH
JHRWHFKQLFDO HIIRUW UHTXLUHG DW SDUWLFXODU SURMHFW VWDJHV DQG
FRPSDUHG WKLV ZLWK VXJJHVWHG WDUJHW OHYHOV RI FRQGHQFH
VKRZQLQ7DEOH7KHNH\WHFKQLFDODUHDVRIVWXG\UHTXLUHG
IRUHDFKVWDJHDUHLQFOXGHG$OWKRXJKFRPSLOHGIRURSHQSLW
PLQH GHVLJQ VLPLODU GDWD DQG FRQFHSWV FRXOG EH XVHG IRU
XQGHUJURXQGPLQHV7DEOHLQFOXGHVJHQHUDOGHVFULSWLRQVIRU
WKHOHYHORIFRQGHQFHDWHDFKSURMHFWVWDJHUDQJLQJIURPORZ
DW3UH)HDVLELOLW\WRUHDVRQDEOHDW)HDVLELOLW\WRKLJKDWGHVLJQ
DQG FRQVWUXFWLRQ 7KH WDUJHW OHYHOV RI FRQGHQFH LQ 7DEOH
DUH VWLOO TXLWH ORZ DQG ZLOO SUREDEO\ FRPH DV D VXUSULVH WR
PDQ\HVWLPDWLRQSUDFWLWLRQHUVDQGPDQDJHUV
7DEOHGHDOVZLWKGDWDWKHPRGHOVGHULYHGIURPWKDWGDWD
GDWDXQFHUWDLQW\DQGGHJUHHVRIFRQGHQFH7KHPLQHGHVLJQ
LWVHOIZKLFKLVQRWFRYHUHGLQWKHWDEOHLVVWLOODVLJQLFDQW
VWHSLQWUDQVIHUULQJWKHVHFRQGHQFHVLQWRFRQGHQFHLQWKH
UHVXOWDQWPLQHGHVLJQ,WLVGLIFXOWWRVHHKRZDUHDVRQDEOH
OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH LQ WKH GDWD DW )HDVLELOLW\ VWDJH ZLWK
GHJUHHV RI FRQGHQFH UDQJLQJ IURP WR SHU FHQW IRU
HDFK RI WKH YH PDLQ WHFKQLFDO DUHDV *HRORJ\ 6WUXFWXUH
+\GURJHRORJ\ 5RFN PDVV DQG *HRWHFKQLFDO FDQ UHVXOW
LQRWKHUWKDQDIDLUO\ORZFRQGHQFHLQWKHUHVXOWDQWVORSH
GHVLJQV7KHUHDSSHDUVWREHDVLJQLFDQWJDSEHWZHHQWKHVH
VXJJHVWHG WDUJHW OHYHOV DQG WKH GHVFULSWLRQV LQ WKH -25&
&RGH ,W ZRXOG VHHP WKDW PLQH GHVLJQV IRUPXODWHG
ZLWKWKLVOHYHORIFRQGHQFHDW)HDVLELOLW\OHYHOFRXOGUHVXOW
LQDYHU\FRQVHUYDWLYHGHVLJQRURQHZLWKDKLJKFKDQFHRI
IDLOXUH
$W WKLV WLPH WKH VXJJHVWHG WDUJHW OHYHOV RI FRQGHQFH
VKRXOG EH WUHDWHG ZLWK FDXWLRQ KRZHYHU JRRG SUDFWLFH
UHTXLUHV WKDW JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU SURIHVVLRQDOV
PDNH WKHPVHOYHV DZDUH RI DQG UHSRUW RQ WKH FRQGHQFH
OHYHOLQHDFKRIWKHNH\WHFKQLFDODUHDVRILPSRUWDQFHIRUWKH
SDUWLFXODUPLQHGHYHORSPHQW
TABLE 5
Suggested target levels of data confidence by project stage (after Read and Stacey, 2009).
Project stage
Project level status
Geotechnical level status
Qualitative ranking
Conceptual
Pre-Feasibility
Feasibility
Operations
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Level 4
Level 5
Low
Low
Reasonable
High
Increasingly high
80 - 90%
>90%
50 - 70%
65 - 85%
Structural
>20%
40 - 50%
45 - 70%
60 - 75%
>75%
Hydrogeological
>20%
30 - 50%
40 - 65%
60 - 75%
>75%
Rock mass
>30%
40 - 65%
60 - 75%
70 - 80%
>80%
Geotechnical
>30%
40 - 60%
50 - 75%
65 - 85%
>80%
393
GDWDVSDFLQJDQGGLVWULEXWLRQ
VDPSOLQJWHFKQLTXHV
GULOOLQJWHFKQLTXHV
ORJJLQJ
ODERUDWRU\WHVWLQJ
RULHQWDWLRQ
JHRORJLFDOVWUXFWXUHLQXHQFHV
,W LV LPSRVVLEOH WR EH SUHVFULSWLYH DERXW WKH GHWDLO RI GDWD
VDPSOLQJ DQG WHVWLQJ EHFDXVH QHDUO\ HYHU\ VLWXDWLRQ DQG
PLQHLVGLIIHUHQW,WLVZRUWKQRWLQJWKRXJKWKDWD'HSDUWPHQW
RI 3ULPDU\ ,QGXVWULHV :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD JXLGHOLQH
VXJJHVWV WKH IROORZLQJ SHUFHQWDJH RI DOO FRUHG KROHV WR EH
JHRWHFKQLFDOO\ORJJHG
3UH)HDVLELOLW\WRSHUFHQW
)HDVLELOLW\WRSHUFHQW
*HRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU SURIHVVLRQDOV VKRXOG DOVR
DGGUHVVHDFKRIWKHUHOHYDQWFRPSRQHQWVRI7DEOH6HFWLRQ
RI WKH -25& &RGH 7KH\ ZRXOG WKHQ EH H[SHFWHG WR
GHPRQVWUDWHWKDWWKHUHLVVXIFLHQWLQIRUPDWLRQWRDGGUHVVDOO
NH\LWHPVLQWKHJXLGHOLQHV
:KHUHLVWKHSURMHFWORFDWHGLHZKDWDUHWKHJHRJUDSKLF
JHRPRUSKRORJLFDOWHUUDLQDQGFOLPDWLFVHWWLQJV"
:KDWLVWKHJHRORJ\RIWKHVLWHLQFOXGLQJWKHDJHRIWKH
URFNV WKH JHRORJLFDO DQG VWUXFWXUDO VHWWLQJV UHODWLYH WR
SODWHPDUJLQVDQGJOREDOSODWHWHFWRQLFV"
:KDWLVWKHVHLVPLFLW\"
:KDWLVWKHFXUUHQWVWDWXVRIWKHSURMHFW"
7KHQIRUWKHPLQHGHYHORSPHQW
394
:KDWLVWKHW\SHRILQIUDVWUXFWXUHEHLQJFRQVLGHUHG"
:KDWDUHWKHLUNH\JHRPHWULFFRQVWUDLQWV"
:KDW LV WKH VFDOH RI WKH LQIUDVWUXFWXUH DOO WKH NH\
GLPHQVLRQVLQFOXGLQJKHLJKWOHQJWKDQGSODQDUHD"
:KDWDUHWKHNH\JHRWHFKQLFDOJURXQGDQGVXUIDFHZDWHU
WUHDWPHQWFRQVWUDLQWVRUGHVLJQLVVXHVQRUPDOO\DVVRFLDWHG
ZLWKWKHVHVWUXFWXUHV"
*RRG SUDFWLFH GLFWDWHV WKHVH TXHVWLRQV DUH UHYLVLWHG
D QXPEHU RI WLPHV WKURXJKRXW HDFK F\FOH RI WKH SURMHFW
GHYHORSPHQW)LJXUH
Groundwater
7KH UVW TXHVWLRQ WKDW VKRXOG EH DQVZHUHG LV ZKHWKHU WKH
JURXQGZDWHULVVXHLVDJURXQGZDWHUSUHVVXUHSUREOHPRUDQ
LQRZSUREOHP,ILWLVDQLQRZSUREOHPWKHRSWLRQVDUHWR
HLWKHUUHPRYHRUH[FOXGHWKHZDWHU,QPRVWPLQLQJVLWXDWLRQV
DSDUWIURPZKHUHWKHUHDUHSRWHQWLDODGYHUVHHQYLURQPHQWDO
LVVXHVH[WHUQDOWRWKHPLQLQJOHDVHLWLVQHDUO\DOZD\VFKHDSHU
WR UHPRYH WKH JURXQGZDWHU LQRZ DIWHU LW KDV HQWHUHG WKH
PLQH
&ROHPDQ DQG :HVWFRWW TXRWH WKH DSSUR[LPDWH
EUHDNGRZQ RI FRVWV IRU D WUXFN DQG VKRYHO RSHUDWLRQ LQ
$XVWUDOLD DV EHLQJ FDSLWDO SHU FHQW DQG RSHUDWLQJ SHU
FHQW7KLVPHDQVWKDWIRUDYHU\ODUJHPLQHGHZDWHULQJSURMHFW
ZKLFKPLJKWEHWHQSHUFHQWRIWKHPLQLQJFRVWHYHQDWR
SHU FHQW HUURU LQ FRVWV DW )HDVLELOLW\ 6WDJH ZLOO KDYH D
VPDOOLPSDFWRQSURMHFWFRVW7KHUHDOLPSDFWKRZHYHUZLOO
EH LQ RSHUDWLRQV ZLWK LQFUHDVHG RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV EHFDXVH
LQDGHTXDWH GHZDWHULQJ ZLOO UHVXOW LQ VLJQLFDQW GHOD\V DQG
UHGXFHGSURGXFWLYLW\
'HWHUPLQLQJ ZKHWKHU WKHUH DUH JURXQGZDWHU SUHVVXUH RU
RZSUREOHPVHDUO\LQDSURMHFWLVYHU\LPSRUWDQWEHFDXVH
IRU VORSH VWDELOLW\ LQ SDUWLFXODU WKLV LV RQH RI WKH IHZ
HOHPHQWVWKDWFDQPRGLHG
LWLVQHDUO\DOZD\VFKHDSHUWRLPSOHPHQWSURSHUFRQWURO
PHDVXUHVWKDQWRFRSHZLWKWKHFRQVHTXHQFHV
LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ OHDG WLPHV WKDW DUH UHTXLUHG WR DFKLHYH
VLJQLFDQWRXWFRPHVFDQEHYHU\ORQJ
,Q WKH GHVLJQ DQG RSHUDWLRQ RI RSHQ SLWV WKHUH DUH WZR
SULQFLSDODUHDVZKHUHJURXQGZDWHUQHHGVWREHFRQVLGHUHG
WKH TXDQWLWLHV DQG ORFDWLRQ ZLWKLQ WKH RSHUDWLRQ RI DQ\
JURXQGZDWHULQRZVZKLFKZLOOGHWHUPLQHWKHQHHGIRU
LQWHUYHQWLRQSULRUWRRUGXULQJRSHUDWLRQV
WKH LQXHQFH RI JURXQGZDWHU SUHVVXUHV RQ SLW ZDOO
VWDELOLW\SLWRRUVWDELOLW\DQGLQSLWZDVWHGXPSRUVSRLO
SLOHVWDELOLW\
,Q XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ JURXQGZDWHU LQRZ LVVXHV DUH
PRVWOLNHO\WRRFFXUGXULQJLQLWLDODFFHVVHLWKHUZLWKVKDIWVRU
GHFOLQHV*URXQGZDWHULQRZVGXULQJRSHUDWLRQVDUHXVXDOO\
KDQGOHG E\ WKH PLQH SXPSLQJ V\VWHP KRZHYHU WKHUH DUH
H[FHSWLRQVDQGFDUHLVUHTXLUHGZKHUHYHUVLJQLFDQWDTXLIHUV
RUKLJKSHUPHDELOLW\XQLWVDUHFORVHWRRSHUDWLRQV
The Influence of Geotechnical and Groundwater Factors on Ore Reserve Estimation|T D Sullivan
Mine designs
DQG KRZ WKH\ UHODWH WR VHOHFWLRQ RI WKH PLQLQJ PHWKRG
JHQHUDOVWDELOLW\GLOXWLRQDQGRUHUHFRYHU\
Introduction
6XFFHVVIXOPLQHGHVLJQUHOLHVRQIRXUEDVLFFRPSRQHQWVRIWKH
RYHUDOOJHRWHFKQLFDOPRGHO
JHRORJLFDO PRGHO JHQHUDOO\ LQFOXGLQJ OLWKRORJ\
ZHDWKHULQJDQGDOWHUDWLRQ
VWUXFWXUDOJHRORJ\PRGHO
URFNPDVVPRGHOLQFOXGLQJPDWHULDOSURSHUWLHV
K\GURJHRORJLFDOPRGHO
(DFKRIWKHVHLVDPRGHOLQLWVHOIEXWDOOVKRXOGIRUPSDUW
RIWKHEDVLFJHRORJLFDOPRGHOIRUWKHSURMHFW([SHULHQFHKDV
VKRZQWKDWZKHQSUREOHPVGHYHORSLWLVPRUHRIWHQWKDQQRW
UHODWHGWRHUURUVLQWKHPRGHOWKDWLVJDSVDQGXQFHUWDLQWLHV
RU WKDW WKH ZKROH RU SDUW RI WKH PRGHO KDV QRW EHHQ
GHYHORSHG WR WKH OHYHO RI DFFXUDF\ UHTXLUHG E\ WKDW SURMHFW
VWDJH 6XOOLYDQ VHWV RXW WKH DSSURDFK IRU GHYHORSLQJ
VRXQGJHRORJLFDOPRGHOV
7KH 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ SUDFWLWLRQHUV DUH SULPDULO\
IRFXVHG RQ WKH PLQHUDO GHSRVLW ,Q PDQ\ FDVHV WKLV PRGHO
RI WKH PLQHUDO GHSRVLW EHFRPHV WKH PLQH JHRORJLFDO PRGHO
KRZHYHUWKHUHDUHXVXDOO\VLJQLFDQWJDSVDURXQGWKHHGJHV
DZD\ IURP WKH PLQHUDO GHSRVLW LWVHOI ,Q PRVW LQVWDQFHV WKH
JHRWHFKQLFDOPRGHOUHTXLUHVDPXFKEURDGHUYLHZWREHWDNHQ
RI WKH RYHUDOO JHRORJ\ ,Q XQGHUJURXQG PLQH GHYHORSPHQW
WKLVLVXVXDOO\OHVVRIDSUREOHPEHFDXVHWKHPRGHOLVPRVWO\
DERXW WKH QHDUHOG WKH ]RQH LPPHGLDWHO\ VXUURXQGLQJ
WKH PLQHUDO GHSRVLW LWVHOI H[FOXGLQJ PLQH DFFHVV ,Q WKLV
]RQHWKHUHLVXVXDOO\VXIFLHQWH[SORUDWLRQGULOOLQJWRHQVXUH
WKHUH DUH OLPLWHG JDSV KRZHYHU LQ RSHQ SLWV SDUWLFXODUO\
ODUJHRSHQSLWVWKHUHDUHRIWHQVLJQLFDQWJDSVLQWKHGULOO
FRYHUDJHZKLFKPD\SHUVLVWHYHQWKURXJKWRRSHUDWLRQV
)RU RSHQ SLWV WKH SULQFLSDO FRQFHUQ RI WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO
DQGJURXQGZDWHU0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVLVRQWKHVORSHGHVLJQ
7KH RQH H[FHSWLRQ LV LQ GUDJOLQH PLQHV ZKHUH VSRLO GXPS
VWDELOLW\ LV XVXDOO\ PRUH LPSRUWDQW ,Q XQGHUJURXQG PLQH
GHVLJQ WKH SULQFLSDO IRFXV LV RQ WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO FRQGLWLRQV
DFOHDUVWDWHPHQWRIWKHULVNV
QRWLQJDQ\VKRUWFRPLQJV
OLVWLQJLPSRUWDQWGHVLJQFRQVWUDLQWV
Open pits
7KH EDVLF SULQFLSOHV RI RSHQ SLW GHVLJQ KDYH UHPDLQHG
UHODWLYHO\ XQFKDQJHG IRU VHYHUDO GHFDGHV )LJXUH 7KH
GHWDLOUHTXLUHGLQDQ\SDUWRIWKHGHVLJQSURFHVVLVVHWRXWLQ
5HDG DQG 6WDFH\ DQG :K\OOLH DQG 0DK *RRG
SUDFWLFHUHTXLUHVWKHVSHFLDOLVWWRGHPRQVWUDWHWKDWWKHVORSH
GHVLJQV KDYH EHHQ IRUPXODWHG IROORZLQJ WKHVH RU VLPLODU
GHVLJQSURFHVVHVVXFKWKDW
WKHUHVXOWLQJGHVLJQVDUHWHFKQLFDOO\VRXQG
WKHGHVLJQVFDQEHDFKLHYHGLQSUDFWLFHZLWKWKHHTXLSPHQW
DYDLODEOHRUSODQQHG
([SHULHQFHVKRZVWKDWHDFKW\SHRIPLQHVUHTXLUHVGLIIHUHQW
DSSURDFKHV WR DVVHVVLQJ WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU
0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV 7KHVH GLIIHUHQFHV DQG KHQFH WKH ULVNV
UHTXLUH GLVWLQFW DSSURDFKHV IRU H[DPSOH WKH LQYHVWLJDWLRQ
DQGGHVLJQIRUDVLQJOHRSHQSLWGLIIHUVIXQGDPHQWDOO\IURP
DQRSHQSLWZLWKPXOWLSOHFXWEDFNV,QDVLPLODUFRQWH[WWKH
JHRWHFKQLFDOGULOOLQJIRUVD\DQRSHQFXWVWULSPLQHPD\EH
NLORPHWUHVDSDUWDQGGULYHQE\WKHJHRORJLFDOPRGHO0DWKHZV
DQG5RVHQJUHQZKHUHDVWKHGULOOLQJUHTXLUHPHQWIRUD
VWULNHDGYDQFHPLQHZRXOGEHGHWHUPLQHGE\WKHJHRPHWU\
RI WKH RUH RU FRDO 7KH H[WHQW DQG W\SH RI JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG
JURXQGZDWHU LQYHVWLJDWLRQ XQGHUWDNHQ ZRXOG EH FRJQLVDQW
RIWKHVHSULQFLSDOGLIIHUHQFHVDQGWKHLULPSDFWVRQULVN
7DEOHVHWVRXWVRPHVLPSOHRSHQSLWJHRPHWU\IDFWRUVWKDW
FRXOG DOVR LQXHQFH WKH OHYHO RI LQYHVWLJDWLRQ DQG GHVLJQ
UHTXLUHG ,W FODVVLHV DQ\ SODQQHG RSHQ SLW LQ WHUPV RI WKH
ULVNVHWWLQJIRUH[DPSOHDVKDOORZZLGHRSHQSLWWKDWVOHVV
395
TABLE 6
Pit geometry factors influencing investigations, design and risk.
General risk
setting
Depth
(m)
Mine life
(9 years)
Mine
shape
Mine access
High
>250
>10
Narrow
Medium to high
150 to 250
6 to 10
Medium
50 to 150
2 to 5
Single ramp
<50
<2
Low
Wide
Multiple access
WKDQPGHHSEXWKDVPXOWLSOHDFFHVVDQGVKRUWGHVLJQOLIH
LVYHU\ORZULVNFRPSDUHGWRDPRGHUDWHO\GHHSQDUURZRSHQ
SLW RI P ZLWK VLQJOH DFFHVV DQG D PRGHUDWH GHVLJQ OLIH
ZKLFKZRXOGEHKLJKULVN
,QWKHUVWH[DPSOHWKHRFFXUUHQFHRIDVORSHIDLOXUHRUWKH
QHHGWRUHGXFHWKHVORSHDQJOHZLOOQRWEHVLJQLFDQWRQWKH
RYHUDOOLPSDFWRQSURMHFWHFRQRPLFVKRZHYHULQWKHVHFRQG
FDVHDVORSHIDLOXUHRUWKHQHHGWRUHGXFHWKHVORSHDQJOHZLOO
DIIHFWDQXPEHURIPLQHRSHUDWLRQDUHDVDQGKDYHDVLJQLFDQW
HFRQRPLFLPSDFW
%HLQJ DZDUH RI WKHVH IDFWRUV DW DOO SURMHFW VWDJHV KHOSV WR
DFKLHYHJRRGRXWFRPHV
6ORSHGHVLJQVIRURSHQSLWPLQHVUHSUHVHQWPDMRUWHFKQLFDO
FKDOOHQJHVDWHYHU\VWDJHRIWKHSURMHFWSDUWLFXODUO\IRUODUJH
RSHQSLWV,QYHVWRUVDQGRSHUDWRUVH[SHFWWKHSLWZDOOVWREH
VWDEOH IRU WKH OLIH RI WKH RSHUDWLRQ RU WKDW DQ\ LQVWDELOLW\ LV
PDQDJHDEOH IXUWKHUPRUH VWDELOLW\ PXVW EH PDLQWDLQHG WR
HQVXUH QR ULVN WR WKH 5HVHUYHV ,Q PHGLXP WR ODUJHVFDOH
RSHQSLWVHYHQVORSHDQJOHFKDQJHVRIRQO\DIHZGHJUHHVFDQ
KDYHPDMRUHFRQRPLFLPSDFWVIRUH[DPSOHDVWHHSHQLQJRI
DRYHUDOOZDOODQJOHIRUDPGHHSRSHQSLWUHVXOWVLQ
DUHGXFWLRQLQVWULSSLQJRI0P3IRUDPZDOOOHQJWK
5HDGDQG6WDFH\
7KHPDLQDLPLQRSHQSLWGHVLJQLVWRDFKLHYHWKHPD[LPXP
VORSH DQJOH FRPPHQVXUDWH ZLWK DQ DFFHSWDEOH OHYHO RI
VWDELOLW\ KRZHYHU WKH SURSRVHG VORSH GHVLJQV QHHG WR EH
SUHVHQWHG LQ D ZD\ WR DOORZ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ SUDFWLWLRQHUV
DQGPDQDJHUVZKRDUHXVXDOO\QRWWHFKQLFDOH[SHUWVLQWKLV
HOG WR IXOO\ XQGHUVWDQG WKH ULVNV +HQFH LW LV EHFRPLQJ
LQFUHDVLQJO\LPSRUWDQWWKDWDQ\VXFKGHVLJQV
Underground mines
,W LV EH\RQG WKH VFRSH RI WKLV GRFXPHQW WR FRYHU DOO WKH
UHOHYDQWVWDELOLW\DQGGHVLJQDVSHFWVRIXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJ
PHWKRGV 7KH URFN PHFKDQLFV SULQFLSOHV IRU WKH HOHPHQWV
RI XQGHUJURXQG PLQH GHVLJQ DUH VHW RXW LQ +RHN DQG
%URZQ DQG %UDG\ DQG %URZQ &ODVVLFDWLRQ
RI XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ PHWKRGV KDV UHPDLQHG UHODWLYHO\
XQFKDQJHG IRU GHFDGHV 0DWKHZV .DHVHKDJHQ
0DWKHZV DQG 5RVHQJUHQ FRYHU WKH LQWHJUDWLRQ
RI PLQH SODQQLQJ DQG JHRWHFKQLFDO LQYHVWLJDWLRQ ,W LV JRRG
SUDFWLFH WR IROORZ WKHVH SULQFLSOHV DQG FRQFHSWV LQ DQ\
XQGHUJURXQGPLQHGHVLJQ
,Q XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ WKH IXQGDPHQWDO GHFLVLRQ LV WKH
PLQLQJPHWKRG$OWKRXJKWKHVHOHFWLRQRIWKHPHWKRGLVEDVHG
LQODUJHSDUWRQRUHJHRPHWU\DQGJUDGHJHRWHFKQLFDOIDFWRUV
DUHYHU\LPSRUWDQW+HQFHLWLVHVVHQWLDOWKDWFRPSUHKHQVLYH
JHRWHFKQLFDO ORJJLQJ DQG GDWD FROOHFWLRQ DFFRPSDQLHV WKH
H[SORUDWLRQ SURJUDP 2QFH WKH OLNHO\ PLQLQJ PHWKRG LV
NQRZQ WKH UHODWLRQVKLS EHWZHHQ PHWKRG JHRPHWU\ DQG
JHRWHFKQLFDOFRQGLWLRQVDOOLQXHQFHWKHVFRSHDQGH[WHQWRI
WKHJHRWHFKQLFDOLQYHVWLJDWLRQVWHVWLQJDQGDQDO\VLVUHTXLUHG
FIG 4 - Typical pit slope configuration for risk-based analysis (after Contreras and Steffen, 2012).
396
The Influence of Geotechnical and Groundwater Factors on Ore Reserve Estimation|T D Sullivan
)RUPLQHGHVLJQDOOXQGHUJURXQGPLQHVPD\EHFODVVLHG
DV HLWKHU FDYLQJ RU QRQFDYLQJ V\VWHPV 0DWKHZV
.DHVHKDJHQ )RU WKH FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI WKH
JHRWHFKQLFDO 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV FODVVLFDWLRQ LQWR EXON RU
VHOHFWLYH PLQLQJ PHWKRGV LV SUHIHUUHG +DLOH 7KH
GLVWULEXWLRQRIGDWDW\SHRIGDWDDQGTXDQWLW\RILQIRUPDWLRQ
UHTXLUHGIRUXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJLVGHSHQGHQWRQWKHPLQLQJ
PHWKRGDQGKDVDQLPSRUWDQWUHODWLRQVKLSZLWKWKHOHYHORI
JHRWHFKQLFDO LQYHVWLJDWLRQ %URDGO\ XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ
PHWKRGV PD\ EH FODVVLHG LQWR VHOHFWLYH RU EXON PHWKRGV
ZKHUH VHOHFWLYH PHWKRGV LQFOXGH FXW DQG OO VKULQNDJH
DQG URRP DQG SLOODU %XON PHWKRGV LQFOXGH ORQJKROH RSHQ
VWRSLQJVXEOHYHORSHQVWRSLQJVXEOHYHOFDYLQJEORFNFDYLQJ
DQGORQJZDOOPLQLQJ
,QXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJRUHERG\JHRPHWU\PLQLQJPHWKRG
JHRWHFKQLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV JHRWHFKQLFDO XQFHUWDLQW\ RU
UHOLDELOLW\DQGHFRQRPLFYLDELOLW\DUHDOOUHODWHG$KLJKGHJUHH
RIJHRORJLFDORUJHRWHFKQLFDOFRPSOH[LW\DQGDVXSHUUHOLDEOH
PLQLQJPHWKRGGHPDQGVPXFKPRUHH[WHQVLYHLQYHVWLJDWLRQ
DQGGHSHQGDEOHGDWDWKDQDVLPSOHH[LEOHPLQLQJV\VWHP
7KHJHQHUDOFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJUHOHYDQWWRWKH
JHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUIDFWRUVDUH
H[LELOLW\DQGPRUHUREXVWV\VWHPV
DGDSWDELOLW\WRFKDQJHVLQJHRWHFKQLFDOFRQGLWLRQV
DELOLW\ WR XWLOLVH VPDOOHU VL]H DFFHVV RSHQLQJV ZKLFK DUH
PRUHDPHQDEOHWRORFDOVXSSRUW
DFFRPPRGDWLQJWRVWRSLQJVWUDWHJ\FKDQJHV
OLPLWHGSRWHQWLDOIRUODUJHDGYHUVHHFRQRPLFLPSDFWV
7KHFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIEXONPLQLQJUHODWLYHJHRWHFKQLFDODQG
JURXQGZDWHUIDFWRUVDUH
ORQJGHYHORSPHQWOHDGWLPHVDQGVLJQLFDQWFRVW
PLQLQJ OD\RXW DQG VWRSLQJ VHTXHQFLQJ SODQQHG ZHOO LQ
DGYDQFH
WKHQHHGIRUKLJKUHOLDELOLW\
DKLJKGHJUHHRIFRQGHQFHLQWKHJHRWHFKQLFDOPRGHO
ORZH[LELOLW\DQGOLPLWHGDGDSWDELOLW\
SRWHQWLDO IRU VLJQLFDQW HFRQRPLF SHQDOWLHV LI WKH
SUHGLFWLRQVDUHLQFRUUHFW
0LQLQJ GLOXWLRQ DQG UHFRYHU\ WZR RI WKH PDLQ SUREOHPV
ZLWK XQGHUJURXQG PLQHV DUH KHDYLO\ GHSHQGHQW RQ WKH
JHRWHFKQLFDOFRQGLWLRQV7KLVUHTXLUHVDGHWDLOHGIRFXVRQWKH
QDWXUHRIWKHRUHZDVWHFRQWDFWVDQGWKHURFNPDVVFRQGLWLRQV
KRZHYHUGLOXWLRQYDULHVDFFRUGLQJWRWKHPLQLQJPHWKRGV
*RRG SUDFWLFH GLFWDWHV WKDW D PDMRULW\ RI WKH FRUH LV
JHRWHFKQLFDOO\ ORJJHG DQG D FRPSUHKHQVLYH JHRWHFKQLFDO
GDWDEDVH LV GHYHORSHG 7KLV VKRXOG FRPPHQFH HDUO\ LQ WKH
H[SORUDWLRQVWDJHVEHFDXVHWKHVWDELOLW\RIWKHZDOOURFNVDQG
WKHRUHERG\DUHLQWHJUDOWRWKHVHOHFWLRQRIWKHPLQLQJPHWKRG
2QHRIWKHVDOLHQWIDFWRUVLQVHOHFWLQJWKHPLQLQJPHWKRGDQG
XQGHUJURXQGPLQHGHVLJQLVWKHURFNPDVVPRGHO*HRORJLFDO
VWUXFWXUHLVLPSRUWDQWEXWSUREDEO\EHFDXVHLWUHODWHVWRDQG
IRUPVSDUWRIWKHURFNPDVVPRGHO
$VIRUWKHRSHQSLWVLWXDWLRQLWLVJRRGSUDFWLFHWRHQJDJH
KLJKOHYHOH[SHUWLVHHDUO\LQWKHSURMHFWOLIHVRWKDWWKHORJJLQJ
IRFXVHVRQWKHHVVHQWLDOHOHPHQWV,WLVDOVREHVWWRHQVXUHWKDW
WKH ORJJLQJ DQG WHVWLQJ DUH UHYLHZHG DV WKH OLNHO\ PLQLQJ
PHWKRGVEHFRPHDSSDUHQW
$QRWKHUNH\HOHPHQWIRUSODQQLQJLVWKH in situURFNVWUHVV
FRQGLWLRQV ,I WKH SODQQHG PLQLQJ LV GHHS RU DGMDFHQW WR DQ
RSHQ SLW RU WKH LQWDFW URFN VWUHQJWKV DUH ORZ FRPSDUHG WR
WKH VWUHVV OHYHOV WKHQ HDUO\ GHOLQHDWLRQ RI WKH in situ stress
FRQGLWLRQV LV FULWLFDO DV LW FRXOG LPSDFW DGYHUVHO\ RQ WKH
PLQLQJPHWKRGDQGHVWLPDWHGUHFRYHU\DQGGLOXWLRQ
7KHORFDWLRQRIWKHPLQHLQWHUPVRIWRSRJUDSK\UDLQIDOO
DQGVHLVPLFLW\6WHHSKLJKUDLQIDOODUHDVZLWKORZVWUHQJWK
IRXQGDWLRQPDWHULDOVFDQSUHVHQWVLJQLFDQWFKDOOHQJHV
,I WKH DYDLODEOH VWRUDJH DUHDV KDYH ORZVWUHQJWK
IRXQGDWLRQV WKLV PD\ DOVR EH D ODUJH FRQVWUDLQW RQ
RSHUDWLRQV
,I WKH RSHUDWLRQ LV ODUJH DQGRU DYDLODEOH VWRUDJH DUHDV
DUH OLPLWHG ZDVWH GLVSRVDO FRXOG EHFRPH DQ LVVXH
SDUWLFXODUO\LIGXPSVQHHGWREHSODFHGQHDUSLWZDOOV
([FHSW IRU WKH VLWXDWLRQV QRWHG DERYH H[SLW GLVSRVDO LV
XVXDOO\QRWDVLJQLFDQWPRGLI\LQJIDFWRUIURPDJHRWHFKQLFDO
SHUVSHFWLYH
:DVWH GXPSV DUH PRUH YLWDO IRU LQSLW GXPSLQJ DQG
DUH FULWLFDO IRU GUDJOLQH RSHUDWLRQV LQ VWULS PLQHV ,Q WKHVH
LQVWDQFHVDVVRRQDVWKHRRUGLSRQZKLFKWKHVSRLOSLOHLV
FRQVWUXFWHGH[FHHGVDIHZGHJUHHVFDUHIXOVWXG\DQGGHVLJQ
LVUHTXLUHG7KHRWKHUDUHDZKHUHZDVWHGXPSVDUHQHFHVVDU\
LV IRU EXFNHWZKHHO H[FDYDWRU PLQHV XVLQJ VWDFNHUV 7KHVH
XVXDOO\ PLQH ORZVWUHQJWK PDWHULDO RIWHQ ZLWK VXEVWDQWLDO
in situ ZDWHU FRQWHQWV DQG RYHUODQG FRQYH\LQJ WUDQVSRUW
7KHVH FRQGLWLRQV PDNH VXFK GXPSV SURQH WR UDSLG IDLOXUH
VRPHWLPHV LPSDFWLQJ RQ VWDFNHUV WKHPVHOYHV ,QSLW WUXFN
DQGVKRYHO PLQHV DQG WHUUDFH PLQHV KDYH JUHDWHU H[LELOLW\
DQG ORZHU VHQVLWLYLW\ WR DGYHUVH GXPSLQJ FRQGLWLRQV
*HQHUDOO\ RRU GLSV OHVV WKDQ DERXW GR QRW SRVH
VLJQLFDQWSUREOHPV
7KHUH DUH IRXU NH\ HOHPHQWV WKDW VKRXOG EH WKH IRFXV RI
JHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUVWXGLHVIRUZDVWHGXPSV
WKHGXUDELOLW\RIWKHZDVWHPDWHULDOVGRWKH\EUHDNGRZQ
RUGHWHULRUDWHLQKDQGOLQJRURQH[SRVXUHLQWKHGXPS"
WKHLQWDFWVWUHQJWKDQGQDWXUHRIWKHZDVWHPDWHULDOVGR
WKH\FRPSULVHVWURQJEORFN\URFNIUDJPHQWVRUVRLOOLNH
PDWHULDOV"
WKHGLSDQGVWUHQJWKRIWKHIRXQGDWLRQV
JURXQGDQGVXUIDFHZDWHUFRQGLWLRQV
Dredge mining
0LQLQJ RI XQFRQVROLGDWHG GHSRVLWV RI DOOXYLXP PLQHUDO
VDQGVVDQGRURWKHUPLQHUDOVUHSUHVHQWVDSDUWLFXODUFDVHRI
RSHQFXWPLQLQJ,IWKHPLQLQJWDNHVSODFHLQWKHGU\ODUJHO\
DERYHWKHJURXQGZDWHUWDEOHLWLVVLPSO\RSHQFXWPLQLQJDQG
DOOWKHXVXDOJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUIDFWRUVGHVFULEHG
DERYH DSSO\ KRZHYHU LQYDULDEO\ IRU HFRQRPLF DQGRU
HQYLURQPHQWDO UHDVRQV H[WUDFWLRQ RI WKHVH GHSRVLWV QHDUO\
DOZD\V HQWDLOV PLQLQJ XVLQJ GUHGJHV DQGRU H[FDYDWRUV
RSHUDWLQJZLWKLQDGUHGJHSRQG
7KHUH DUH WZR NH\ DVSHFWV RI WKLV PLQLQJ LOOXVWUDWHG LQ
)LJXUH WKHUVWLVUHODWHGWRZDWHUDQGWKHVHFRQGWRWKH
QDWXUH RI WKH PLQLQJ SURFHVV LWVHOI :DWHU LV WKH WHFKQLFDO
IDFWRU DQG KDV SRWHQWLDO LPSDFWV RQ PRVW HOHPHQWV RI WKH
JHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHUFRQGLWLRQV,QDGGLWLRQWRWKLV
WKHUHDUHLVVXHVUHODWHGWRWKHQDWXUHRIWKHH[FDYDWLRQSURFHVV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
397
YROXPHV RI ZDWHU JHQHUDWHG E\ WKH SURFHVV LV DQ HVVHQWLDO
FRPSRQHQW DQG H[FHSW LQ H[FHSWLRQDO FLUFXPVWDQFHV IXOO\
OLQHGVXUIDFHSRQGVIRUVWRUDJHDQGGLVSRVDORIUHVLGXHVZLOO
EHUHTXLUHG
7KHSULQFLSDOWHFKQLFDOLVVXHVLQFOXGH
,QMHFWLRQZHOOGHVLJQVSDFLQJDQGGHVLJQOLIH
([WUDFWLRQZHOOGHVLJQVSDFLQJDQGGHVLJQOLIH
7KHGHWDLORIWKHZHOOGHVLJQLVXVXDOO\VXEVWDQWLDOERWK
IRU LQMHFWLRQ DQG H[WUDFWLRQ ZHOOV 7KLV GHWDLO QHHGV WR
IRFXVRQWKHGHVLJQOLIHDQGWKHUHPHGLDWLRQVFKHGXOHVWR
SUHYHQWFRQWUROVFDOLQJDQGORVVRIHIFLHQF\RYHUWLPH
7KH HIIHFWLYH ZHOO RSHUDWLQJ OLIH KDV SRWHQWLDO LPSDFW
RQ WKH YLDELOLW\ RI WKH ZKROH V\VWHP 6LJQLFDQW ZHOO
HIFLHQF\ ORVVHV DQGRU FKHPLFDO SUHFLSLWDWH LVVXHV
ZLWKLQWKHDTXLIHULWVHOIFDQOHDGWRSURJUHVVLYHORVVRIWKH
DYDLODEOH LQMHFWLRQ KHDG UHVXOWLQJ LQ LQHIFLHQW V\VWHPV
RYHUWLPHDQGUHGXFHGUHFRYHU\
$OODVSHFWVRIKDQGOLQJDQGGLVSRVLQJRIODUJHYROXPHVRI
FKHPLFDOO\DGYHUVHZDWHU
/LPLWLQJ DQ\ ORFDO DQG UHJLRQDO DGYHUVH JURXQGZDWHU
DVSHFWV
%HFDXVHWKHHFRQRPLFVRIWKHZKROHSURFHVVUHO\VRKHDYLO\
RQJURXQGZDWHUDOOVWXGLHVXQGHUWDNHQQHHGWREHDWDOHYHO
ZHOO LQ DGYDQFH RI FRQYHQWLRQDO JURXQGZDWHU VWXGLHV IRU
RWKHUPLQLQJVLWXDWLRQV7KHVHJURXQGZDWHUVWXGLHVQRWRQO\
UHTXLUH GHWDLOHG in situ LQYHVWLJDWLRQ WHVWLQJ DQG FRPSXWHU
PRGHOOLQJ EXW ORQJWHUP WULDOV IRU DFFXUDWH SUHGLFWLRQV RI
RXWFRPHV
DGYLFHVKRXOGEHVRXJKWIURPH[SHULHQFHGSURIHVVLRQDOV
DQGWKDWH[SHUWLVHDQGH[SHULHQFHVKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUDEO\
LQ H[FHVV RI WKH JXLGHOLQHV SUHVHQWHG SUHYLRXVO\ LQ WKH
VHFWLRQRQ&RPSHWHQF\DQGH[SHUWLVH
SODQQLQJVKRXOGFRPPHQFHDWFRQFHSWXDOSURMHFWVWDJHV
The Influence of Geotechnical and Groundwater Factors on Ore Reserve Estimation|T D Sullivan
INDEPENDENT REVIEW
5HYLHZLVDQHVVHQWLDOIRUPDOFRPSRQHQWRIJRRGSUDFWLFHLQ
JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU HQJLQHHULQJ SDUWLFXODUO\ IRU
PLQLQJSURMHFWV$OWKRXJKDQ\UHYLHZPXVWEHLQGHSHQGHQW
RI WKH DFWXDO VWXGLHV EHLQJ XQGHUWDNHQ H[SHULHQFH VKRZV
WKH RYHUDOO SURMHFW RXWFRPHV DUH LPSURYHG LI WKH UHYLHZ
SURFHVVFRPPHQFHVHDUO\DQGSURJUHVVHVWKURXJKRXWSURMHFW
GHYHORSPHQW
CONCLUSIONS
$OO PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV DUH GLIIHUHQW DQG VLPLODUO\ WKHLU
JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU FKDUDFWHULVWLFV GLIIHU ,Q
PRVW FDVHV WKHVH FKDUDFWHULVWLFV KDYH D VLJQLFDQW LPSDFW
RQ QRW RQO\ RQ KRZ WKH\ DUH PLQHG EXW DOVR WKH GHVLJQ RI
NH\ LWHPV RI PLQH LQIUDVWUXFWXUH 7KHVH FKDUDFWHULVWLFV QHHG
WR EH XQGHUVWRRG HDUO\ LQ WKH SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW DV JRRG
RXWFRPHVFDQQRWEHUHOLDEO\DFKLHYHGZLWKRXWFORVHRQJRLQJ
LQSXW IURP JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG JURXQGZDWHU SURIHVVLRQDOV
WKURXJKRXWWKHSURFHVV
,W LV WKH DXWKRUV H[SHULHQFH WKDW WKHUH LV D IDLUO\ SRRU
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ ZLWKLQ WKH ZLGHU JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG
JURXQGZDWHU FRPPXQLWLHV RI WKH -25& &RGH DQG ZKDW
LV H[SHFWHG E\ WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH DQG 2UH 5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWLRQSURFHVV7KLVLVDOVRWKHFDVHUHJDUGLQJDFFXUDFLHV
LQ WKH GHVLJQ SDUDPHWHUV H[SHFWHG E\ VWDNHKROGHUV LQ WKH
PLQHGHYHORSPHQWSURFHVVQRWWRPHQWLRQKRZVWDNHKROGHUV
SHUFHLYHWKHWUXHQDWXUHRIWKHJHRWHFKQLFDODQGJURXQGZDWHU
VWXGLHV IRU PLQH GHYHORSPHQW DQG WKHLU LQKHUHQW JDSV DQG
XQFHUWDLQWLHV
1RWZLWKVWDQGLQJ WKLV WKH HPSLULFDO HYLGHQFH VKRZV WKDW
WKHUH DUH IUHTXHQW SUREOHPV ZLWK PRVW HOHPHQWV RI PLQH
GHVLJQDQGPLQHLQIUDVWUXFWXUH7KHVHSUREOHPVKDYHUHVXOWHG
LQ FRVWV DQG GHOD\V WR WKH SURMHFW DV ZHOO DV H[FHHGLQJ WKH
JHQHUDO0DWHULDOLW\JXLGHOLQHVLQWKH-25&&RGH7KLVQHHGV
WR EH XQGHUVWRRG LQ RUGHU WR IXOO\ DSSUHFLDWH WKH ULVNV DQG
HQVXUH WKDW WKH ULJKW DSSURDFKHV DUH XVHG ZKHQ GHWDLOLQJ
UHVXOWV LQ UHSRUWV 6LPLODUO\ GHVLJQV QHHG WR EH TXDOLHG LQ
GHJUHHVRIFRQGHQFHDVUHTXLUHG
([SHULHQFH VKRZV WKDW JRRG SUDFWLFH UHTXLUHV D VRXQG
XQGHUVWDQGLQJRI
399
REFERENCES
$1&2/' *XLGHOLQHV RQ GDP LQVWUXPHQWDWLRQ DQG
PRQLWRULQJ FRQVHTXHQFH FDWHJRULHV IRU GDPV ULVN DVVHVVPHQW
GDPVDIHW\PDQDJHPHQWHQYLURQPHQWDOPDQDJHPHQWRIGDPV
VHOHFWLRQ RI DFFHSWDEOH RRG FDSDFLW\ IRU GDPV DQG GHVLJQ RI
GDPVIRUHDUWKTXDNH $XVWUDOLDQ 1DWLRQDO &RPPLWWHH RQ /DUJH
'DPV
$1&2/' *XLGHOLQHV RQ WDLOLQJV GDPV SODQQLQJ GHVLJQ
FRQVWUXFWLRQ RSHUDWLRQ DQG FORVXUH $XVWUDOLDQ 1DWLRQDO
&RPPLWWHHRQ/DUJH'DPV0D\
%DOODUG-$)HDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVLQWKHGHYHORSPHQWRIPLQLQJ
SURMHFWV LQ Proceedings Project Development Symposium SS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
%DUQHLFK - 0DMRUV ' 0RULZDNL < .XONDUQL 5 DQG 'DYLGVRQ 5
7KHUHOLDELOLW\DQDO\VLVRIDPDMRUGDPSURMHFWLQProceedings
RI8QFHUWDLQW\8QFHUWDLQW\LQWKH*HRORJLF(QYLURQPHQWIURP
Theory to Practice YRO HGV & ' 6KDFNHOIRUG 3 3 1HOVRQ DQG
0-65RWKSS$PHULFDQ6RFLHW\RI&LYLO(QJLQHHUV
1HZ<RUN
%UDG\%+*DQG%URZQ(7Rock Mechanics for Underground
Mining*HRUJH$OOHQDQG8QZLQ/RQGRQ
&ROHPDQ - 5 DQG :HVWFRWW 3 & 0LQH SODQQLQJ IRU FRDO
GHYHORSPHQW Proceedings Project Development Symposium
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
&RQWUHUDV /) DQG 6WHIIHQ 2 . + $Q HFRQRPLF ULVN
EDVHG PHWKRGRORJ\ IRU SLW VORSH GHVLJQ Australian Centre for
Geomechanics Newsletter'HFHPEHU
'HSDUWPHQW RI 3ULPDU\ ,QGXVWULHV :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD
*HRWHFKQLFDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQ LQ XQGHUJURXQG PLQHV *XLGHOLQH
'RFXPHQWQR=0(4-'HFHPEHU
+DLOH$$UHSRUWLQJIUDPHZRUNIRUJHRWHFKQLFDOFODVVLFDWLRQ
RIPLQLQJSURMHFWVAusIMM Bulletin6HSW2FW
+DUWIRUG ' 1 ' 7KLV GDP ULVN EXVLQHVV WKH FKDOOHQJH
RI LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ PDQDJLQJ WKH ULVNV RI ULVN DVVHVVPHQW
ANCOLD Bulletin
+RHN(DQG%URZQ(7Underground Excavations in Rock (The
,QVWLWXWLRQRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\/RQGRQ
,&2/'DQG%XOOHWLQVDQGSUHVHQWLQJVWDWH
RI WKH DUW SUDFWLFHV RQ PRVW DVSHFWV RI ODUJH GDPV DQG WDLOLQJV
GDPV,QWHUQDWLRQDO&RPPLVVLRQRQ/DUJH'DPV
400
,&2/',PSURYLQJGDPVDIHW\FULWLFDODVSHFWVRIPDQDJHPHQW
GHVLJQ RSHUDWLRQ DQG FORVXUH GUDIW EXOOHWLQ ,QWHUQDWLRQDO
&RPPLVVLRQRQ/DUJH'DPV
,3$,QF,3$EXVLQHVVUHSRUWVXQSXEOLVKHGSULYDWHUHSRUW
.DHVHKDJHQ)(6HOHFWLQJDPLQLQJPHWKRGIRUPHWDOOLIHURXV
RUHERGLHV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
.DHVHKDJHQ ) 6HOHFWLQJ D PLQLQJ PHWKRG IRU PHWDOOLIHURXV
RUHERGLHV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
$XV,00*XLGHWR*RRG3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS (The
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0DWKHZV . ( 'HVLJQ RI XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ OD\RXWV LQ
Underground SpaceYROSS3HUJDPRQ3UHVV
0DWKHZV . ( DQG 5RVHQJUHQ . - 7KH LQWHJUDWHG SODQQLQJ
RI JHRWHFKQLFDO LQYHVWLJDWLRQV IRU QHZ PLQLQJ SURMHFWV LQ
Proceedings Second Project Development SymposiumSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0F0DKRQ % . ( + 'DYLV 0HPRULDO /HFWXUH JHRWHFKQLFDO
GHVLJQLQWKHIDFHRIXQFHUWDLQW\Australian Geomechanics Journal
5HDG-DQG6WDFH\3Guidelines for Open Pit Slope Design&6,52
3XEOLVKLQJDQG&5&3UHVV%DONHPD
5HSRUWLQJ&RGH7KH&RGHIRU5HSRUWLQJRI0LQHUDO([SORUDWLRQ
5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV 3UHSDUHG
E\ 7KH ,QVWLWXWLRQ RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\ ZRUNLQJ JURXS
RQ UHVRXUFHV DQG UHVHUYHV LQ FRQMXQFWLRQ ZLWK WKH (XURSHDQ
)HGHUDWLRQ RI *HRORJLVWV DQG 7KH ,QVWLWXWH RI *HRORJLVWV RI
,UHODQG
6WHIIHQ 2 . + Planning of Open Pit Mines on a Risk Basis
7KH 6RXWKHUQ $IULFDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0DUVKDOOWRZQ
6WRNHU 3 ,PSOHPHQWLQJ WKH QHZ -25& &RGH HGLWLRQ
AusIMM Bulletin$SULO
6XOOLYDQ7'3LWVORSHGHVLJQDQGULVNDYLHZRIWKHFXUUHQW
VWDWHRIWKHDUWLQProceedings Symposium on Stability of Rock Slopes
in Open Pit and Civil Engineering Situations 7KH6RXWKHUQ$IULFDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0DUVKDOOWRZQ
6XOOLYDQ 7 ' 7KH JHRORJLFDO PRGHO LQ Proceedings 11th
International Association for Engineering Geology and the Environment
(IAEG) International CongressSS&5&3UHVV%DONHQD
6XOOLYDQ7'DQG6DUXQLF:5LJRURXVV\VWHPIRUVORSHGHVLJQ
LQRSHQSLWPLQLQJ,QWHUQDOPHPRUDQGXP:0&5HVRXUFHV/WG
0W.HLWK2SHUDWLRQ-XQH
9$/0,1 &RPPLWWHH &RGH IRU WKH 7HFKQLFDO $VVHVVPHQW
DQG 9DOXDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO DQG 3HWUROHXP $VVHWV DQG 6HFXULWLHV
IRU ,QGHSHQGHQW ([SHUW 5HSRUWV 7KH 9$/0,1 &RGH
HGLWLRQ >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZYDOPLQRUJ
YDOPLQBSGI!
:HDWKHUVWRQH 1 ,QWHUQDWLRQDO VWDQGDUGV IRU UHSRUWLQJ RI
PLQHUDOUHVRXUFHVDQGUHVHUYHVVWDWXVRXWORRNDQGLPSRUWDQW
LVVXHV:RUOG0LQLQJ&RQJUHVVDQG([SRSS
:KLWH0()HDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVVFRSHDQGDFFXUDF\LQMineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
:K\OOLH ' & DQG 0DK & : 5RFN 6ORSH (QJLQHHULQJ IRXUWK
HGLWLRQ6SRQ3UHVV/RQGRQDQG1HZ<RUN
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Principal, Frank Kaesehagen & Associates, 18/72 Macquarie Street, St Lucia Qld 4067. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published in the first edition of Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice (2001).
INTRODUCTION
7KHJHRORJLFDOEORFNPRGHOSURYLGHVWKHUDZGDWDIRUWKHVWDUW
RIWKH2UH5HVHUYHFDOFXODWLRQV7KHWHFKQLFDOWHDPWRSUHSDUH
WKLV 5HVHUYHPXVW LQFOXGHJHRORJLVWV PLQLQJHQJLQHHUVDQG
PHWDOOXUJLFDO LQSXW 7KH NH\ LVVXHV WR EH FRQVLGHUHG DUH
PLQLQJ PHWKRG PHWDOOXUJLFDO SHUIRUPDQFH PHWDO SULFHV
SURGXFWLRQUDWHVDQGFRVWV
0LQLQJ PHWKRG VHOHFWLRQ GHWHUPLQHV ZKDW SDUW RI WKH
5HVRXUFH FDQ EH HFRQRPLFDOO\ PLQHG DQG DOORZV RUH IHHG
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV SURGXFWLRQ UDWHV SODQW GHVLJQ SURGXFWV
DQGRSHUDWLQJDQGFDSLWDOFRVWVWREHHVWLPDWHG0HWDOOXUJLFDO
SHUIRUPDQFHLQFOXGLQJPHWDOUHFRYHULHVDQGSURGXFWTXDOLW\
GHSHQGVRQWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHRUHIHHGWRWKHWUHDWPHQWSODQW,W
LVLPSRUWDQWWKDWWKHPLQLQJPHWKRGDQGH[WUDFWLRQVHTXHQFH
WDNHVWKLVLQWRDFFRXQW
7KHPLQLQJDQGJHRWHFKQLFDOHQJLQHHUVPXVWPDNHXVHRI
WKLV GDWD LQ WKH SODQQLQJ SURFHVV ,Q RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ WKLV
LQIRUPDWLRQLVXVHGIRUVHOHFWLQJERWKZRUNLQJDQGQDOSLW
VORSHVWKDWLPSDFWRQZDVWHWRRUHUDWLRVHFRQRPLFGHSWKDQG
PLQHOLIH,QXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJLWSOD\VDQLPSRUWDQWUROH
LQPHWKRGVHOHFWLRQDQGGHVLJQSDUDPHWHUV&ROOHFWLRQRIWKLV
GDWDLVFRVWO\DQGWLPHFRQVXPLQJEXWLVHVVHQWLDOIRUJRRG
SODQQLQJ
7KLVSDSHUZLOORXWOLQHWKHNH\LVVXHVWKHSODQQLQJHQJLQHHUV
DQG JHRORJLVWV VKRXOG FRQVLGHU ZKHQ VHOHFWLQJ WKH PLQLQJ
PHWKRG2SHQSLWDQGXQGHUJURXQGPHWKRGVZLWKWKHLUPDQ\
YDULDWLRQVDUHGLVFXVVHG7KHIRFXVVKRXOGDOZD\VEHRQWKH
HQG SURGXFW D PLQH WKDW DFKLHYHV WKH KLJKHVW VWDQGDUGV LQ
$QH[FHOOHQWH[DPSOHRIWKHEHQHFLDOUHVXOWVDFKLHYHGIURP
WKH PHWLFXORXV FROOHFWLRQ DQG UHFRUGLQJ RI VXFK GDWD LV WKH
XQGHUJURXQGJROGPLQHDW3RUJHUDLQWKH:HVWHUQ+LJKODQGV
RI 3DSXD 1HZ *XLQHD GHYHORSHG LQ WKH HDUO\ V
.DHVHKDJHQDQG1RUWKFRWH7KLVH[WUHPHO\KLJKJUDGH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
401
7KH 0F$UWKXU 5LYHU ]LQF GHSRVLW LV DQ H[DPSOH RI KRZ
PHWDOOXUJ\KDVLPSDFWHGRQWKHPLQLQJSODQIRUDSURMHFW7KH
5HVRXUFHGLVFRYHUHGLQWKHVZDVHVWLPDWHGWREH0W
DW D JUDGH RI SHU FHQW ]LQF SHU FHQW OHDG DQG JW
VLOYHU7KLVZDVDKLJKJUDGH5HVRXUFHWKDWRXWFURSSHGZLWK
WKHWRWDO5HVRXUFHZLWKLQPRIWKHVXUIDFHDQGFRXOGEH
PLQHG E\ RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ ZLWK D VWULS UDWLR RI %DVHG
RQ WKLV GDWD GHYHORSPHQW RI WKH SURMHFW ZRXOG KDYH EHHQ
H[SHFWHGWRIROORZVKRUWO\DIWHUGLVFRYHU\
+RZHYHU WKH YHU\ QH JUDLQ VL]H RI WKH PLQHUDO SDUWLFOHV
UHVXOWHGLQSRRUOLEHUDWLRQZLWKWKHDYDLODEOHJULQGLQJSODQW
UHVXOWLQJLQYHU\ORZPHWDOOXUJLFDOUHFRYHULHVSHUFHQWIRU
OHDGDQGSHUFHQWIRU]LQFLQWKHLUUHVSHFWLYHFRQFHQWUDWHV
7KLV GHSRVLW UHPDLQHG XQGHYHORSHG IRU VRPH \HDUV
,W ZDV QRW XQWLO D QH JULQGLQJ SODQW ZDV GHYHORSHG DQG DQ
XQGHUJURXQGURRPDQGSLOODUPLQLQJSODQZKLFKIRFXVHGRQ
WKHKLJK]LQFJUDGHORZLURQVXOGHVHFWLRQRIWKH5HVRXUFH
ZDV HVWDEOLVKHG WKDW WKH PHWDOOXUJLFDO SHUIRUPDQFH DQG
FRQVHTXHQWO\WKHSURMHFWHFRQRPLFVLPSURYHGVXIFLHQWO\WR
DOORZWKHSURMHFWWRSURFHHG7KHSURMHFWV2UH5HVHUYHDWWKH
WLPH RI WKH GHYHORSPHQW GHFLVLRQ ZDV 0W DW D JUDGH RI
SHUFHQW]LQFSHUFHQWOHDGDQGJWVLOYHUDVPDOO
SHUFHQWDJHRIWKHRULJLQDO0W5HVRXUFH
VL]HDQGGHSWKRIWKHRUHERG\
GLS DQG VKDSH RI WKH RUHERG\ HJ SODQ DQG YHUWLFDO
GLPHQVLRQV
JHRWHFKQLFDOFRQGLWLRQV
JUDGHGLVWULEXWLRQ
FRVWVERWKFDSLWDODQGRSHUDWLQJ
ORFDOODERXUVNLOOV
SUHSURGXFWLRQWLPH
HQYLURQPHQWDOLVVXHV
VDIHW\
FRPPXQLW\DFFHSWDQFH
*HQHUDOO\RSHQSLWPLQLQJ LVWKHSUHIHUUHGPHWKRGIRUDOO
VL]H RUHERGLHV ,Q PRVW FDVHV LW DFKLHYHV SOXV SHU FHQW
H[WUDFWLRQ RI WKH 2UH 5HVHUYH ZLWK PLQLPXP GLOXWLRQ DQG
ORZRSHUDWLQJDQGFDSLWDOFRVWV,WDOVRSURYLGHVDVDIHUDQG
KLJKHU TXDOLW\ ZRUNLQJ HQYLURQPHQW DV ZHOO DV UHTXLULQJ
D OHVV VNLOOHG ZRUNIRUFH DQG LQ PRVW FDVHV KDV D VKRUWHU
SUHSURGXFWLRQ WLPH )DFWRUV OHDGLQJ WR WKH VHOHFWLRQ RI
XQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJDUHKLJKVWULSUDWLRVZLWKWKHDVVRFLDWHG
KLJK PLQLQJ FRVWV JUDGH GLVWULEXWLRQ PHWDOOXUJLFDO DQG
HQYLURQPHQWDODQGFRPPXQLW\LVVXHV
RUHUDWLRVIURPLQFUHDVHGGHSWKRIROGHURSHUDWLRQVDQGQHZ
GLVFRYHULHV
7KHUHLVQRZDWUHQGWRVHOHFWLQJORZFRVWEXONXQGHUJURXQG
PLQLQJPHWKRGVVXFKDVEORFNFDYLQJIRUERWKQHZGHSRVLWV
DQGWKRVHEHQHDWKH[LVWLQJRSHQSLWRSHUDWLRQV7KLVZLOOEH
GLVFXVVHGODWHULQWKHSDSHULQPRUHGHWDLO
7KHFDSLWDOFRVWRIXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJLVJHQHUDOO\JUHDWHU
WKDQ IRU DQ HTXLYDOHQW WRQQDJH RSHQ SLW PLQH 7KH WLPH WR
GHYHORS D PHGLXPVL]H XQGHUJURXQG RSHUDWLRQ HTXDO WR RU
JUHDWHUWKDQ0WDFDQUDQJHIURPWZRWRVL[\HDUVGHSHQGLQJ
RQWKHGHSWKEHORZWKHVXUIDFHDQGPLQLQJPHWKRG2SHQSLW
PLQHVIRUQHDUVXUIDFHGHSRVLWVFDQEHLQSURGXFWLRQZLWKLQ
RQH\HDU
7KHUH DUH H[DPSOHV ZKHUH XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ KDV
FRPPHQFHGSULRUWRRSHQSLWWLQJHYHQWKRXJKWKH5HVRXUFH
ZDV QHDUVXUIDFH RU RXWFURSSHG 7KH 3RUJHUD SURMHFW LV D
JRRG H[DPSOH .DHVHKDJHQ DQG 1RUWKFRWH *UDGH
GLVWULEXWLRQ PHWDOOXUJLFDO SHUIRUPDQFH FDSLWDO FRVW DQG D
VKRUWSUHSURGXFWLRQWLPHZHUHWKHGULYHUVEHKLQGWKHGHFLVLRQ
WRJRXQGHUJURXQGZLWKWKHLQLWLDOGHYHORSPHQW7KHRSHQSLW
PLQLQJ5HVHUYHZDV0WDWJWJROGFRPSDUHGZLWKWKH
XQGHUJURXQG2UH5HVHUYHRI0WDWJWJROG7RIXUWKHU
HPSKDVLVHWKHKHDGJUDGHGLIIHUHQFHWKHXQGHUJURXQGPLQH
FRXOG EH SODQQHG DQG VFKHGXOHG WR SURGXFH DW D JUDGH RI
JWJROGIRUWKHUVWWZRSURGXFWLRQ\HDUVUHVXOWLQJLQDQ
DQQXDOJROGSURGXFWLRQRI0R]
$QH[DPLQDWLRQRIWKHFXUUHQWZRUOGPLQLQJVFHQHVKRZV
WKDW WKH PDMRULW\ RI ODUJH EDVH PHWDO PLQHV DUH RSHQ SLW
RSHUDWLRQV ZLWK PRUH WKDQ SHU FHQW RI WKH ZRUOGV EDVH
PHWDOV SURGXFHG E\ VXUIDFH PLQLQJ 7KH WHQ ODUJHVW FRSSHU
PLQHVOLVWHGLQ7DEOHLQFOXGHQLQHRSHQSLWPLQHVDQGRQH
XQGHUJURXQGPLQH
'XULQJWKHODVWHLJKW\HDUVPLQHSURGXFWLYLW\KDVGURSSHG
DV WKH LQFUHDVH LQ PHWDO SULFHV KDV FKDQJHG PDQDJHPHQWV
IRFXV IURP FRVWV WR SURGXFWLRQ UHVXOWLQJ LQ PDQ\ FDVHV RI
RYHUHTXLSSLQJ DQG XQGHUXWLOLVDWLRQ RI HTXLSPHQW 7KH
HFRQRPLFV RI RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ KDV DOVR EHHQ LPSDFWHG E\
LQFUHDVHG ODERXU DQG HQHUJ\ FRVWV KLJKHU RYHUEXUGHQ WR
7KHRSHQSLW5HVHUYHZDVDKLJKO\UHIUDFWRU\RUHDQGJDYH
ORZ PHWDOOXUJLFDO UHFRYHULHV RI OHVV WKDQ SHU FHQW XVLQJ
FRQYHQWLRQDOFDUERQLQSXOSWHFKQRORJ\2QWKHRWKHUKDQG
WKHXQGHUJURXQGRUHZDVOHVVUHIUDFWRU\DQGUHFRYHULHVRIDW
OHDVWSHUFHQWFRXOGEHREWDLQHGXVLQJWKLVWHFKQRORJ\
TABLE 1
Worlds ten largest copper mines.
Mine
Country
Copper production
t/a 000s
Mine type
Escondida
Chile
1100
Open pit
Grasberg
Indonesia
400 200
Open pit
Underground
Chile
443
Open pit
Collahuasi
Chile
340
Open pit
El Teniente
Chile
404
Underground
Los Pelambres
Chile
384
Open pit
Radomiro Tomic
Chile
375
Open pit
Cerro Verde
Peru
303
Open pit
Antamina
Peru
470
Open pit
Bingham Canyon
USA
160
Open pit
Chuquicamata
3UHVVXUHR[LGDWLRQZDVWREHXVHGDVWKHQDOPHWDOOXUJLFDO
WUHDWPHQW SURFHVV EXW DV LW ZDV D KLJKSRZHU FRQVXPHU LW
UHTXLUHG WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI D JDV HOG SRZHU VWDWLRQ DQG
NPSRZHUOLQHQHHGLQJDQHVWLPDWHGFRQVWUXFWLRQWLPHRI
PRQWKV
$PH[SORUDWLRQDGLWZLWKDFURVVVHFWLRQRIPE\
PKDGEHHQGHYHORSHGIRUWKHXQGHUJURXQGH[SORUDWLRQ
GULOOLQJSURJUDPDQGZDVVXLWDEO\ORFDWHGWRDFWDVWKHPDMRU
DFFHVV IRU D KLJKO\ PHFKDQLVHG XQGHUJURXQG PLQH ,W ZDV
HVWLPDWHGWKDWDQXQGHUJURXQGRSHUDWLRQDVRXWOLQHGDERYH
SOXV D WG FDUERQLQSXOS &,3 SODQW DQG GLHVHOUHG
SRZHU VWDWLRQ FRXOG EH EURXJKW LQWR SURGXFWLRQ ZLWKLQ
PRQWKV 7KH HDUO\ XQGHUJURXQG PLQH FRQFHSW ZDV
DFFHSWHGE\WKHRZQHUVDQGFRQVWUXFWHGZLWKLQEXGJHWDQG
RQVFKHGXOHLWRSHUDWHGZLWKRXWVWDQGLQJUHVXOWVDVVKRZQLQ
WKHSURGXFWLRQJXUHVLQ7DEOH,WVKRXOGEHQRWHGWKDWWKH
OHDFKHGFRQFHQWUDWHZDVVWRUHGLQDP3FDSDFLW\GDP
IRUWUHDWPHQWDIWHUFRPPLVVLRQLQJRIWKHR[LGDWLRQSODQW
TABLE 2
Porgera underground production statistics.
Year
1990 - 1991
Tonne
Grade g/t Au
Tonne
Grade g/t Au
615 000
62.1
412 000
76.2
1991 - 1992
754 000
60.6
550 000
62.5
1992 - 1993
1352 000
26.2
854 000
31.1
1993 - 1994
1517 000
18.0
1278 000
16.7
1994 - 1995
1586 000
16.2
1278 000
15.4
403
SLWRSWLPLVDWLRQ
SURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOLQJ
HTXLSPHQWVHOHFWLRQ
ZDVWHVWRUDJH
Pit optimisation
,QRSHQSLWPLQHSODQQLQJFRPSXWHUKDUGZDUHDQGVRIWZDUH
GHYHORSPHQWVJLYHWKHSODQQLQJHQJLQHHUWKHRSSRUWXQLW\WR
H[DPLQHPRUHRSWLRQVLQWKHSODQQLQJSURFHVV7KHRSWLPLVHG
XOWLPDWH RSHQ SLW IRU DQ\ JLYHQ VHW RI YDULDEOHV VXFK DV
RSHUDWLQJFRVWVSLWZDOOVORSHDQJOHVPHWDOOXUJLFDOUHFRYHULHV
DQG PHWDO SULFHV FDQ EH TXLFNO\ GHVLJQHG DQG WKH HIIHFW RI
YDU\LQJWKHVHSDUDPHWHUVHVWDEOLVKHG+RZHYHUDVLQGLFDWHG
HDUOLHU LW LV LPSRUWDQW WKDW DQ DSSURSULDWH OHYHO RI GHWDLO LV
REWDLQHGIURPDFRPSUHKHQVLYHDVVHVVPHQWRIWKHJHRORJLFDO
JHRWHFKQLFDO PLQLQJ HQJLQHHULQJ DQG PHWDOOXUJLFDO DVSHFWV
RI WKH SLW GHVLJQ VR DV WR LQSXW UREXVW SDUDPHWHUV LQWR WKH
RSWLPLVDWLRQSURFHVV
7KH XOWLPDWH RSHQ SLW LQFOXGHV DOO RUH EORFNV WKDW KDYH
VXIFLHQWYDOXHWRFRYHUDOOFRVWVLQFOXGLQJPLQLQJSURFHVVLQJ
DQGPDUNHWLQJDVZHOODVWKHFRVWWRPLQHWKHZDVWHEORFNV
UHTXLUHG WR H[SRVH DOO WKH RUH EORFNV 7KH HYDOXDWLRQ
GHWHUPLQHVWKHSLWWKDWFDQEHPLQHGWRDFKLHYHWKHPD[LPXP
YDOXHIRUWKHFRVWVDQGSULFHDVVXPSWLRQV
7KHGDWDXVHGWRSXWDYDOXHRQDEORFNZLOOFKDQJHZLWK
WLPHVRFRQVHTXHQWO\WKHXOWLPDWHSLWFDQRQO\EHYLHZHGDV
WKHSODQQLQJHQJLQHHUVEHVWSODQDWDSDUWLFXODUSRLQWLQWLPH
404
,WPXVWEHFRQWLQXDOO\UHYLHZHGGXULQJWKHOLIHRIWKHPLQHDV
SULFHVDQGFRVWVFKDQJHDQGRUHH[WHQVLRQVDUHGLVFRYHUHG
7KHUHDUHDQXPEHURIVXLWDEOHVRIWZDUHSDFNDJHVDYDLODEOH
IRU SLW RSWLPLVDWLRQ 7KH\ XVH VXFK WHFKQLTXHV DV /HUFKV
*URVVPDQQDOJRULWKPWKHRU\DQGWKHRDWLQJFRQHSULQFLSOH
LQYDULRXVIRUPDWV
Production scheduling
7KH RSWLPLVHG RSHQ SLW LV WKH EDVLV IRU WKH QH[W SDUW RI WKH
SODQQLQJ SURFHVV WR SURGXFH WKH SURGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOH WR
PD[LPLVH WKH QHW SUHVHQW YDOXH RI WKH SURMHFW 7KLV LV WKH
SODQQLQJVWHSZKHQFXWRIIDQGKHDGJUDGHVDUHFRQVLGHUHG
7KHUHDUHYDULRXVFXWRIIJUDGHVGHSHQGHQWRQWKHQDQFLDO
REMHFWLYHV
7KHPRVWFRPPRQFXWRIIJUDGHXVHGLQRSHQSLWPLQLQJ
LV GHQHG DV WKH JUDGH RI RUH WKDW SURGXFHV VXIFLHQW
UHYHQXH WR FRYHU WKH FRVWV RSHUDWLQJ DQG VXVWDLQLQJ
FDSLWDOIRUPLQLQJSURFHVVLQJRYHUKHDGVDQGPDUNHWLQJ
7KLV LV FDOOHG WKH EUHDNHYHQ PLQLQJ FXWRII JUDGH DQG
GRHVQRWLQFOXGHWKHFRVWRIZDVWHPLQLQJ,WFDQEHXVHG
WRGHQHORZJUDGHRUH
$VHFRQGFXWRIINQRZQDVDPLOOLQJFXWRIILVWKHJUDGH
WKDW ZLOO FRYHU DOO FRVWV RWKHU WKDQ PLQLQJ 7KLV FDQ EH
DSSOLHGZKHUHWKHUHLVDQHHGWRERRVWRUHIHHGWRQQDJH
IURPORZJUDGHPDWHULDOWKDWKDVWREHPLQHGDQGZRXOG
EH UHMHFWHG DV ZDVWH LI QRW SURFHVVHG ,Q WKLV FDVH [HG
FRVWVFDQEHH[FOXGHGIURPWKHFXWRIIJUDGHFDOFXODWLRQ
DVWKHDOWHUQDWLYHLVLGOHSODQWFDSDFLW\
$NH\REMHFWLYHLQPDQ\PLQLQJRSHUDWLRQVLVWRPD[LPLVH
QHW SUHVHQW YDOXH 139 7KLV PD\ EH DFKLHYHG E\ WKH
DSSOLFDWLRQ RI D YDULDEOH FXW RI JUDGH VWUDWHJ\ WKURXJKRXW
PLQHOLIHWKDWLVUHVSRQVLYHWRPLQHPLOOPDUNHWFDSDFLWLHV
JUDGH YDULDWLRQ LQ WKH RUHERG\ FDSLWDO DQG RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV
DQGPHWDOSULFHV
,QSUHSDULQJWKHPLQHSURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOHDWWKHVWDUWRID
QHZPLQHLWLVLPSRUWDQWWRPD[LPLVHPDUJLQVWRSD\EDFN
FDSLWDO DV TXLFNO\ DV SRVVLEOH 7KLV UHTXLUHV D FXWRII JUDGH
WKDW DFKLHYHV WKHVH QDQFLDO JRDOV WR EH FDOFXODWHG DQG LW LV
QRWXQXVXDOWRQGPLQHVRSHUDWLQJDWHOHYDWHGFXWRIIJUDGHV
GXULQJWKLVHDUO\SD\EDFNSHULRG7KLVSHULRGVKRXOGEHOHVV
WKDQYH\HDUVLIDQDGHTXDWHUHWXUQRQWKHLQYHVWHGFDSLWDO
LVWREHREWDLQHG'XULQJWKLVWLPHIUDPHORZJUDGHPDWHULDO
LV RIWHQ VWRFNSLOHG IRU IXWXUH WUHDWPHQW ZKHQ ORZHU FXWRII
JUDGHVPD\DSSO\WRDFKLHYHWKHQDQFLDOJRDOV
$QRWKHU LPSRUWDQW IDFWRU WKDW PXVW EH FRQVLGHUHG GXULQJ
WKHVHSURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOLQJH[HUFLVHVLVWKHFRVWRISURGXFLQJ
PHWDO0LQHVDUHSULFHWDNHUVQRWSULFHVHWWHUV7KHSODQQLQJ
WHDP PXVW DLP WR SURGXFH PHWDO DW D ORZHU FRVW WKDQ WKHLU
FRPSHWLWRUV7KHREMHFWLYHVKRXOGEHWRDFKLHYHDFRVWWKDWLV
LQWKHORZHVWKDOIRUSUHIHUDEO\LQWKHORZHVWTXDUWLOHRIWKH
FRVWFXUYH7KLVPD\UHTXLUHDGRSWLQJDKLJKHUFXWRIIJUDGH
WKDQWKHPLQLQJEUHDNHYHQJUDGH
&DUHPXVWEHWDNHQLQWKHXVHRISURMHFWQHWSUHVHQWYDOXH
RSWLPLVDWLRQVWXGLHVEDVHGRQLQDWHGPHWDOSULFHSUHGLFWLRQV
7KLV PD\ OHDG WR DQ XQHFRQRPLF SURMHFW ZLWK D KLJK LQLWLDO
LQYHVWPHQWRIFDSLWDOWKDWLVXQDEOHWREHVXSSRUWHGE\SURWV
LIPHWDOSULFHVGHFOLQH7KHLPSRUWDQFHRISRVLWLRQRQWKHFRVW
FXUYHFDQQRWEHRYHUHPSKDVLVHG
7KH KLVWRU\ RI WKH $OXPEUHUD SURMHFW D PDMRU FRSSHU
JROG SURMHFW LQ QRUWKZHVWHUQ $UJHQWLQD GHYHORSHG LQ WKH
ODWH V DW D FRVW RI 86 % GHPRQVWUDWHV WKHVH SRLQWV
YHU\ZHOO$QHOHYDWHGFXWRIIJUDGHRISHUFHQWFRSSHU
ZDV XVHG WR SODQ WKH UVW IRXU \HDUV SURGXFWLRQ UHVXOWLQJ
LQ KHDG JUDGHV IRU ERWK FRSSHU DQG JROG WR EH VFKHGXOHG
DWSHUFHQWDERYHWKHDYHUDJHRIWKH5HVHUYHJUDGHWKLV
UHVXOWHG LQ D SURGXFWLRQ FRVW RI FRSSHU DIWHU E\SURGXFW
FUHGLWV LQ WKH ORZHVW TXDUWLOH RI WKH FRVW FXUYH 0RUH WKDQ
0W RI ORZJUDGH RUH ZDV VWRFNSLOHG IRU IXWXUH PLOOLQJ
GXULQJWKLVSHULRG
7KH SODQ ZDV WR DFKLHYH D IDVW SD\EDFN RI FDSLWDO DW WKH
SUHGLFWHGPHWDOSULFHVRIFRSSHUFOEDQGJROG86
R]KRZHYHUVRRQDIWHUVWDUWXSWKHFRSSHUDQGJROGSULFHV
ERWK GURSSHG E\ WR SHU FHQW DQG FRQWLQXHG DW WKHVH
OHYHOV IRU WKH UVW VL[ \HDUV RI RSHUDWLRQ 7KLV SUHYHQWHG D
TXLFN UHWXUQ RQ FDSLWDO EXW WKH SRVLWLRQ RQ WKH FRVW FXUYH
DOORZHGWKHPLQHWRFRQWLQXHRSHUDWLQJZLWKDFDVKVXUSOXV
XQWLO SULFHV UHFRYHUHG LQ 7KH HVFDODWLRQ LQ SULFHV
DOORZHGFDSLWDOWREHSDLGRIIDQGJDYHVLJQLFDQWSURWVWR
WKHRZQHUV7KHPLQHLVVWLOORSHUDWLQJ\HDUVODWHUZLWKDQ
DQQXDOFDVKVXUSOXVRI0D
Equipment selection
7KHVHOHFWLRQRIPLQHHTXLSPHQWLPSDFWVRQRSHUDWLQJFRVWV
DQGRUHVHOHFWLRQFDSDELOLW\7KHUDQJHDQGW\SHRIHTXLSPHQW
DYDLODEOHLVFRQVLGHUDEOHDQGGRHVQRWPDNHWKHSODQQHUVMRE
HDV\7KHVDQGWKHHDUO\VZLOOEHUHPHPEHUHGDVWKH
GHFDGHRIKLJKSURGXFWLYLW\DQGORZFRVWVIRURSHQSLWPLQHV
DVRSHUDWRUVVWUXJJOHGWRNHHSWKHLUPLQHVSURWDEOHGXULQJD
SHULRGRIVXVWDLQHGORZPHWDOSULFHV
7KLVZDVKHOSHGE\WKHGHYHORSPHQWRIDQHZJHQHUDWLRQ
RI VXUIDFH HDUWKPRYLQJ HTXLSPHQW LQFOXGLQJ WKH WR
W FDSDFLW\ KDXO WUXFNV P3 HOHFWULF IDFH VKRYHOV DQG
NZWUDFNGR]HUV7KHLQWURGXFWLRQRIQHZZRUNSUDFWLFHV
LQFOXGLQJ KRXU GD\V ZLWK KRWVHDW FKDQJHV FRXSOHG
ZLWK GD\VSHU\HDU RSHUDWLRQV DOVR OHG WR D VLJQLFDQW
GHFUHDVH LQ PLQLQJ FRVWV 7KHVH FKDQJHV DOORZHG PDQ\ RI
WKH H[LVWLQJ PLQHV WR UHPDLQ HFRQRPLF DQG FRQWULEXWHG WR
WKHGHYHORSPHQWRIDQXPEHURIQHZODUJHRSHQSLWFRSSHU
PLQHVVXFKDV(VFRQGLGD&ROODKXDVL$QWDPLQD$OXPEUHUD
DQG%DWX+LMDX
,Q VHOHFWLQJ HTXLSPHQW IRU WKH $OXPEUHUD SURMHFW WKH
SKLORVRSK\WKDWELJLVEHDXWLIXOZDVXVHG7KHRUHERG\KDG
XQLIRUP JUDGHV RYHU ODUJH SODQ DUHDV DQG KHLJKW DOORZLQJ
ZLGH DQG KLJK ZRUNLQJ EHQFKHV WR EH XVHG WR DFKLHYH ORZ
PLQLQJFRVWVZLWKRXWVDFULFLQJJUDGHWKURXJKGLOXWLRQ7KH
EHQFKKHLJKWVHOHFWHGZDVPWZRPHWUHVLQH[FHVVRIWKH
QRUP IRU WKH LQGXVWU\ 7KH RUH JUDGH FRQWLQXLW\ WKH P3
HOHFWULF IDFH VKRYHOV DQG WKH ODUJH HOHFWULF GULOOV FDSDEOH RI
VLQJOHSDVVGULOOLQJWRGHSWKVXSWRPPDGHWKLVIHDVLEOH
7KHFRVWVDYLQJLQLQFUHDVLQJWKHEHQFKKHLJKWZDVHVWLPDWHG
WREHHTXDOWRDYHSHUFHQWUHGXFWLRQZKLFKZDVDFKLHYHGE\
ORZHUGULOOLQJDQGEODVWLQJFRVWVUHGXFHGEHQFKSUHSDUDWLRQ
DQGPDLQWHQDQFHFRVWVDVZHOODVKLJKHUVKRYHOSURGXFWLYLW\
7KHUHKDYHEHHQPRGHVWLQFUHDVHVLQHTXLSPHQWVL]HRYHU
WKH ODVW GHFDGH ZLWK WKH ODUJHVW KDXO WUXFNV QRZ KDYLQJ
SD\ORDGV RI W DQG VKRYHOV ZLWK EXFNHW ORDGV RI W
$ QXPEHU RI SLWV QRZ PRYH LQ H[FHVV RI 0WG 7KHUH
KDYHEHHQGHYHORSPHQWVLQWKHHOGRIDXWRPDWLRQRIRSHQ
SLW KDXODJH DQG WULDOV LQ 5LR 7LQWRV :HVW $QJHODV PLQH LQ
:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLDRYHUWKHODVWWKUHH\HDUVKDYHJLYHQYHU\
SRVLWLYH UHVXOWV 3ODQV DUH QRZ ZHOO DGYDQFHG WR HTXLS D
QXPEHURIWKHLUPLQHVZLWKDXWRQRPRXVWUXFNV7KHLPSDFW
RQFRVWVLV\HWWREHGHPRQVWUDWHGEXWVKRXOGEHVLJQLFDQW
ZLWKGHFUHDVHGODERXURQWKHPLQHVLWH
)RURUHERGLHVWKDWUHTXLUHVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJVXFKDVYHLQ
W\SH JROG GHSRVLWV HTXLSPHQW UHTXLUHPHQWV DUH HQWLUHO\
GLIIHUHQW ,Q VXFK FDVHV LW LV JUDGH WKDW WDNHV SUHIHUHQFH
RYHUFRVWV%HQFKKHLJKWVDUHUHGXFHGDQGVPDOOHUORDGLQJ
HTXLSPHQW DQG KDXO WUXFNV DUH UHTXLUHG 7KH $XVWUDOLDQ
JROG PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ KDV EHHQ D OHDGHU LQ GHYHORSLQJ
WHFKQLTXHVLQVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJYHWRWHQPHWUHEHQFKHVDUH
GULOOHGDQGEODVWHGDVRQHHQWLW\DQGH[FDYDWHGE\K\GUDXOLF
H[FDYDWRUVLQDEDFNKRHFRQJXUDWLRQLQWZRRUWKUHHVOLFHV
RULWFKHV3DGGRFNEODVWLQJLVXVHGVRWKDWDPLQLPXPRI
PRYHPHQW LQ WKH PDWHULDO LV REWDLQHG 2UH DQG ZDVWH DUH
PDUNHGE\WKHJHRORJLVWXVLQJFRORXUHGSODVWLFWDSHVSDLQW
DQG FRORXUHG ULEERQ WR GLIIHUHQWLDWH EHWZHHQ WKH YDULRXV
PDWHULDOV 7KH 1RODQV JROG RSHUDWLRQ DW 5DYHQVZRRG LQ
1RUWK 4XHHQVODQG ZDV D JRRG H[DPSOH RI WKH VXFFHVVIXO
XVHRIWKHVHWHFKQLTXHV,QWKLVRSHUDWLRQDWGLSSLQJJROG
YHLQVZHUHPLQHGE\RSHQSLWPHWKRGV)LYHPHWUHEHQFKHV
ZHUH UHG DQG WKH PDWHULDO ZDV H[FDYDWHG LQ WZR P
LWFKHVZLWKPLQLPXPGLOXWLRQ
Waste storage
:LWKWKHVL]HDQGWKHUDWHRIPLQLQJRIRSHQSLWVLQFUHDVLQJWR
WKHVFDOHVLQGLFDWHGHDUOLHULQWKHSDSHUWKHVWRUDJHRIZDVWH
LVEHFRPLQJDPDMRURSHUDWLRQDODQGHQYLURQPHQWDOSUREOHP
IRUWKHLQGXVWU\2QWKHRSHUDWLRQDOVLGHWKHNH\LVVXHLVWKH
SK\VLFDO VSDFH UHTXLUHG WR VWRUH ZDVWH VDIHO\ 3UR[LPLW\ WR
WKHULPRIWKHRSHQSLWLVDOVRLPSRUWDQWDVKDXODJHFRVWVDUH
DWOHDVWSHUFHQWRIWKHWRWDOPLQLQJFRVW7KHSUREOHPRI
ZDVWH GXPS FRQVWUXFWLRQ LQ FRXQWULHV VXFK DV 3DSXD 1HZ
*XLQHDZKHUHVWHHSVORSHVKLJKUDLQIDOOVHLVPLFHYHQWVDQG
ZHDNEDVHPDWHULDOVXFKDVWKLFNFROOXYLXPDQGZHDNEODFN
VKDOHVPDNHWKHFRQVWUXFWLRQRIGXPSVYHU\H[SHQVLYHDQG
LQVRPHFDVHVLPSUDFWLFDO
6RPH PLQHV ZLWK VXFK SUREOHPV GLVSRVH RI WKHLU ZDVWH
LQWR ORFDO ULYHUV ZKLOH RWKHUV XVH D FRPSURPLVH V\VWHP RI
GHSRVLWLQJFROOXYLXPDQGZHDNEODFNVKDOHVLQWKHORFDOULYHU
V\VWHPV DQG VWRULQJ FRPSHWHQW URFN LQ HQJLQHHUHG GXPSV
'XPS FRQVWUXFWLRQ DQG HQYLURQPHQWDO FRVWV DV ZHOO DV
FRPSHQVDWLRQFRVWVWRORFDOODQGRZQHUVFRXOGEHFRQVLGHUDEOH
DQG PXVW EH LQFOXGHG LQ WKH SURMHFW FRVWV 3RWHQWLDO DFLG
SURGXFLQJ ZDVWH FDQ EH QHXWUDOLVHG RU UHQGHUHG LQDFWLYH
LQ VSHFLDO GXPSV 'XPS GHVLJQ FDQ WDNH LQWR DFFRXQW WKH
QDOODQGIRUPUHTXLUHGDQGDFKLHYHLWDWDORZHUFRVWZKHQ
SODFLQJUDWKHUWKDQUHVKDSLQJDIWHUWKHPLQHLVFORVHG
405
Orebody grade
*UDGH LV NLQJ VKRXOG EH WKH SODQQLQJ HQJLQHHUV PRWWR
*UDGHLVE\IDUWKHPRVWLPSRUWDQWYDULDEOHLQPLQHSODQQLQJ
7RJHWKHUZLWKPHWDOSULFHDQGPHWDOOXUJLFDOUHFRYHULHVJUDGH
GHWHUPLQHV WKH YDOXH RI D WRQQH RI RUH DQG LPSDFWV JUHDWO\
RQWKHGHYHORSPHQWSODQDQGPLQLQJPHWKRGVHOHFWLRQ,WLV
LPSRUWDQWWRIRFXVRQWKHQHWYDOXHSHUWRQQHDWWKHPLQHJDWH
DQGQRWRQWKHYDOXHLQWKHJURXQG7RHVWLPDWHWKHH[WUDFWLRQ
JUDGHIURPDQRUHERG\DFXWRIIJUDGHDQDO\VLVLVUHTXLUHG
7KHFXWRIIJUDGHIRUXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJPXVWDFKLHYHDQHW
VPHOWHU UHWXUQ DW WKH VHOHFWHG PHWDO SULFH WR FRYHU WKH WRWDO
RQVLWHRSHUDWLQJFRVWV7KLVLVWKHPLQLPXPRUHJUDGHWKDW
VKRXOGEHPLQHG
+RZHYHU RWKHU IDFWRUV FDQ LPSDFW RQ WKLV GHFLVLRQ
DV FDSLWDO SD\EDFN DQG SRVLWLRQ RQ WKH FRVW FXUYH FRXOG
QHFHVVLWDWHDQLQFUHDVHLQJUDGH7KHLPSRUWDQWRXWFRPHIURP
WKLV HYDOXDWLRQ LV WKH UHVXOWLQJ KHDG JUDGH $V QRWHG LQ WKH
GLVFXVVLRQVRQRSHQSLWSODQQLQJLWLVFULWLFDOWKDWWKHKHDG
JUDGHLVVXFKWKDWFDSLWDOSD\EDFNLVDFKLHYHGZLWKLQWKHYH
\HDULQLWLDOSURGXFWLRQSKDVH7KLVFDQEHDFKLHYHGE\HLWKHU
LQFUHDVLQJWKHFXWRIIJUDGHRUE\IRFXVLQJRQWKHKLJKHUJUDGH
DUHDVZLWKLQWKHVHOHFWHGFXWRIIJUDGHRUHOLPLWV&RVWFXUYH
SRVLWLRQ LV RQFH DJDLQ YHU\ LPSRUWDQW LQ WKHVH FDOFXODWLRQV
ZLWK WKH ERWWRP TXDUWLOH D WDUJHW DQG WKH ERWWRP KDOI WKH
PLQLPXP0LQHVWKDWFDQQRWDFKLHYHDSRVLWLRQRQWKHORZHU
KDOIRIWKHFRVWFXUYHZLOOIDLOLQPRVWFDVHVWRJLYHDQDGHTXDWH
UHWXUQRQFDSLWDODQGZLOOIDFHQDQFLQJSUREOHPV
7KHUDQJHRIQHWVPHOWHUUHWXUQSHUWRQQHRIRUHLVZLGHDQG
FDQ YDU\ IURP 86 WR DERYH 86 2UHERGLHV FDQ EH
FODVVLHGEURDGO\LQWRWKHIROORZLQJYDOXHUDQJHV
ORZJUDGH86
PHGLXPJUDGH86
KLJKJUDGH86DQGDERYH
Geotechnical
7KHJHRWHFKQLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQVXFKDVWKHVWUXFWXUDOLQWHJULW\
RIWKHZDOOURFNVDQGWKHRUHERG\LVHVVHQWLDOGDWDIRUVHOHFWLQJ
D VXLWDEOH PLQLQJ PHWKRG 7KH FROOHFWLRQ DQG HYDOXDWLRQ RI
WKHJHRORJLFDODQGJHRWHFKQLFDOGDWDGXULQJWKHH[SORUDWLRQ
VWDJHLVYHU\LPSRUWDQWVRWKDWHYDOXDWLRQFDQEHXQGHUWDNHQ
SURJUHVVLYHO\DVWKHSURMHFWDGYDQFHV7KLVGDWDLVQHFHVVDU\
WR VHOHFW WKH GHVLJQ SDUDPHWHUV IRU VWRSLQJ PLQLQJ RI WKH
RUHERG\
In situ VWUHVVURFNPHDVXUHPHQWVFRPELQHGZLWKFRPSXWHU
PRGHOOLQJ WHFKQLTXHV DUH WRROV QRZ DYDLODEOH WR SODQQLQJ
HQJLQHHUV7KHVHDOORZWKHPWRPRGHOH[WUDFWLRQVHTXHQFHVRI
WKHRUHERG\DQGSODQWKHPLQLQJVHTXHQFHVRDVWRPLQLPLVH
WKH VWUHVV EXLOGXS ZKLFK FRXOG FDXVH VWRSH ZDOO IDLOXUHV
KRZHYHU WKH UHVXOWV PXVW EH WUHDWHG ZLWK VRPH FDXWLRQ
EHFDXVH WKH IXOO JHRWHFKQLFDO SLFWXUH LV QRW REWDLQHG XQWLO
PLQLQJLVFRPSOHWH0DWKHZVDQG5RVHQJUHQ
Orebody geometry
7KH NH\ HOHPHQWV DUH GLS VL]H DQG VKDSH 2UHERGLHV ZLWK
GLSVDERYHGHJUHHVDUHFODVVLHGDVVWHHSO\GLSSLQJDQG
WKH\ XVXDOO\ KDYH VLJQLFDQW YHUWLFDO H[WHQW DQG HPSOR\
D PLQLQJ PHWKRG WKDW PDNHV PD[LPXP XVH RI JUDYLW\ WR
H[WUDFWWKHRUH2UHERGLHVZLWKGLSVOHVVWKDQGHJUHHVDUH
406
FODVVLHG DV VKDOORZ GLSSLQJ DQG ZLOO XVH PHWKRGV VXFK DV
URRPDQGSLOODU2UHERG\VL]HDQGVKDSHZLOODOVRLPSDFWRQ
WKHPHWKRGVHOHFWLRQEXWZLOOEHFRXSOHGZLWKRWKHUYDULDEOHV
VXFKDVJUDGHDQGJHRWHFKQLFDOGDWD
Caving methods
/RZJUDGHRUHERGLHVDUHXVXDOO\PLQHGE\DFDYLQJPHWKRG
7KHPRVWSRSXODUFDYLQJPHWKRGVDUHVXEOHYHOFDYLQJEORFN
FDYLQJDQGSDQHOFDYLQJZKHUHEORFNFDYLQJRIDQRUHERG\
ZLWKDODUJHSODQDUHDLVGLYLGHGLQWRSDQHOVWKDWDUHPLQHGLQ
VHTXHQFHWRUHGXFHWKHSUHSURGXFWLRQWLPHDQGFRVW
6XEOHYHO FDYLQJ EHFDPH YHU\ IDVKLRQDEOH LQ WKH V
ZLWK WKH LQWURGXFWLRQ RI PRELOH GLHVHO HTXLSPHQW LQWR WKH
XQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJVFHQH7KLVHTXLSPHQWDOORZHGGHFOLQHV
WR EH GHYHORSHG IRU DFFHVVLQJ WKH FORVHO\ YHUWLFDOO\ VSDFHG
GULOOLQJDQGSURGXFWLRQOHYHOVUHTXLUHGIRUWKLVPLQLQJV\VWHP
7KHPHWKRGZRUNLQJIURPWKHWRSGRZQZDVSHUFHLYHGDV
RQH WKDW UHTXLUHG D PLQLPXP RI SUHSURGXFWLRQ WLPH DQG
FDSLWDOFRVW,QDGGLWLRQDVQRVWRSHOOLQJLVUHTXLUHGDORZHU
RSHUDWLQJFRVWZDVSRVVLEOH&RQVHTXHQWO\LWZDVXVHGLQD
QXPEHURIQHZPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQVLQWKDWHUDSDUWLFXODUO\LQ
ZLGHRUHERGLHVZLWKSRRUKDQJLQJZDOOFRQGLWLRQV
+RZHYHU WKH RSHUDWLQJ SUREOHPV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH
PHWKRG VXFK DV KLJK GLOXWLRQ ORZ WRQQHV SHU PHWUH RI
GHYHORSPHQW DQG KLJK JURXQG VWUHVVHV SDUWLFXODUO\ EHIRUH
WKH FDYH EURNH WKURXJK WR WKH VXUIDFH VDZ WKH PHWKRG ORVH
IDYRXU7KHEHVWH[DPSOHRIDYHU\VXFFHVVIXOVXEOHYHOFDYLQJ
RSHUDWLRQ LV WKH .LUXQD LURQ RUH PLQH LQ 6ZHGHQ ZKLFK
SURGXFHV0WD7KLVPLQHKDVEHHQXVLQJWKHPHWKRGIRU
QHDUO\\HDUV
$UHFHQWVXFFHVVVWRU\RIVXEOHYHOFDYLQJKDVEHHQ1HZFUHVWV
5LGJHZD\PLQHLQWKH&DGLDGLVWULFWRI1HZ6RXWK:DOHV7KLV
PLQHFRPPHQFHGSURGXFWLRQLQDWDSURGXFWLRQUDWHRI
0WDLQFUHDVLQJWR0WEHIRUHFRPSOHWLRQLQ$EORFN
FDYHRSHUDWLRQKDGEHHQHVWDEOLVKHGPEHORZWKHVXEOHYHO
FDYHRSHUDWLRQWRUHGXFHFRVWVVRDVWRFRPSHQVDWHIRUORZHU
JUDGHVDVZHOODVWRJDLQH[SHULHQFHZLWKWKLVPHWKRGIRUXVH
LQWKHGHHSHUORZHUJUDGHGHSRVLWVGLVFRYHUHGQHDUE\
7KH EORFNFDYLQJ PHWKRG KDV EHHQ LQ XVH ZHOO EHIRUH WKH
LQWURGXFWLRQ RI GLHVHO HTXLSPHQW LQWR WKH XQGHUJURXQG
PLQLQJ VFHQH $OWKRXJK FKDQJHV LQ OD\RXW KDYH EHHQ PDGH
WRRSWLPLVHWKHXVHRIWKLVHTXLSPHQWIRURUHH[WUDFWLRQLWLV
EDVLFDOO\ WKH VDPH PHWKRG DV ZDV XVHG LQ WKH HDUO\ SDUW RI
WKHWKFHQWXU\7KLVPHWKRGKDVWKHORZHVWRSHUDWLQJFRVW
E\DIDFWRURIWZRLQWKHUDQJHRIWRDQGLVXVHGPDLQO\
IRUH[WUDFWLQJORZJUDGHSRUSK\U\FRSSHURUHERGLHV7KH(O
7HQLHQWHPLQHLQ&KLOHSURGXFLQJWGLVWKHODUJHVW
EORFNFDYH RSHUDWLRQ LQ WKH ZRUOG DQG KDV EHHQ RSHUDWLQJ
IRU RYHU \HDUV $ QHZ H[WUDFWLRQ OHYHO LV FXUUHQWO\ EHLQJ
GHYHORSHGDWDFRVWRI%ZKLFKZLOOH[WHQGWKHPLQHOLIH
WR
$VQRWHGHDUOLHUWKHFRVWLQFUHDVHVRIRSHQSLWPLQLQJKDYH
UHVXOWHGLQDSXVKWRZDUGVORZFRVWEXONXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJ
PHWKRGVVXFKDVSDQHODQGEORFNFDYLQJ&XUUHQWODUJHRSHQ
SLW RSHUDWLRQV WKDW DUH SODQQLQJ D FKDQJH WR FDYLQJ LQFOXGH
*UDVEHUJ &KXTXLFDPDWD DQG %LQJKDP &DQ\RQ 0DMRU QHZ
PLQHV XQGHU FRQVWUXFWLRQ RU QHDU FRQVWUXFWLRQ XVLQJ WKHVH
PHWKRGVLQFOXGH&DGLD(DVW2\X7ROJRL5HVROXWLRQDQG/D
*UDQMD
7HFKQLFDO HQKDQFHPHQWV LQ PLQH GHVLJQ LQFOXGLQJ
H[WUDFWLRQ OHYHO OD\RXW DQG ORFDWLRQ RI WKH XQGHUFXW OHYHO
SUHFRQGLWLRQLQJRIRUHERG\WRLPSURYHHDUO\IUDJPHQWDWLRQ
Non-caving methods
0HGLXPJUDGH GHSRVLWV DUH PLQHG E\ QRQFDYLQJ PHWKRGV
VXFK DV URRP DQG SLOODU RU RSHQ VWRSLQJ ZLWKRXW VWDELOLVHG
OO
5RRP DQG SLOODU PLQLQJ LV D ORZFRVW PHWKRG IRU DW
GLSSLQJEHGGHGRUHERGLHVH[WHQGLQJRYHUDODUJHSODQDUHD
$OOGHYHORSPHQWLVLQRUHQROOLVUHTXLUHGDQGDKLJKGHJUHH
RI PHFKDQLVDWLRQ LV SRVVLEOH 7KH PHWKRG ZRUNV H[WUHPHO\
ZHOOLQVKDOORZKRUL]RQWDORUHERGLHVZLWKDWKLFNQHVVJUHDWHU
WKDQIRXUPHWUHV7KH0LVVRXULOHDGPLQHVKDYHVXFFHVVIXOO\
XVHG WKLV PHWKRG IRU SOXV \HDUV 0LQLQJ RI KLJKJUDGH
SLOODUV DIWHU WKH LQWURGXFWLRQ RI VWDELOLVHG OO KDV EHHQ
LQWURGXFHGLQODWHU\HDUVDV5HVHUYHVGLPLQLVK
$VWKHGLSLQFUHDVHVDQGWKHRUHERG\WKLFNQHVVGHFUHDVHV
PLQLQJEHFRPHVPRUHGLIFXOWDQGWKHDSSDUHQWGLSPHWKRG
LV XVHG WR DFKLHYH SUDFWLFDO ZRUNLQJ JUDGLHQWV 'LOXWLRQ
EHFRPHVDSUREOHPLQWKHVHFLUFXPVWDQFHV$VWKHGHSWKDQG
RUHERG\WKLFNQHVVLQFUHDVHVODUJHUSLOODUVRIRUHPXVWEHOHIW
DQGUHFRYHU\FDQGHFUHDVHWREHORZSHUFHQW
2SHQVWRSLQJZLWKXQVWDELOLVHGRUQROOLVXVHGIRUZLGH
VWHHSO\ GLSSLQJ RUHERGLHV 7KLV LV D ORZFRVW PHWKRG 7KH
PDLQGLVDGYDQWDJHVDUHOOGLOXWLRQZKHQOOLVUHTXLUHGDQG
ORZRUHUHFRYHU\ZKHQOOLVQRWXVHGDVVDFULFLDORUHSLOODUV
PXVWEH OHIW 0LQLQJ FRVWVIRU WKHVHPHWKRGVLVFXUUHQWO\LQ
WKHUDQJHRIWRW
)RU KLJKJUDGH RUHERGLHV WKH SODQQLQJ HQJLQHHU PXVW
IRFXVRQPHWKRGVWKDWZLOOPLQLPLVHGLOXWLRQDQGPD[LPLVH
WKH UHFRYHU\ RI WKH RUHERG\ 2IWHQ D KLJKHUFRVW PLQLQJ
PHWKRG FDQ EH DFFHSWHG LI GLOXWLRQ FDQ EH UHGXFHG DQG
RUHERG\ UHFRYHU\ LQFUHDVHG )RU H[DPSOH LI WKH PLQLQJ RI
DIRXUSHUFHQWFRSSHUHTXLYDOHQWRUHERG\LVEHLQJSODQQHG
D WHQ SHU FHQW UHGXFWLRQ LQ PLQH GLOXWLRQ LV HTXDO WR DQ
LQFUHDVHRIRUHYDOXHDWWKHPLQHJDWHRI86WDVVXPLQJ
DFRSSHUSULFHRIOE7KHUHDUHRWKHUQDQFLDOEHQHWV
IURP DGRSWLQJ D ORZHU GLOXWLRQ PHWKRG VXFK DV OHVV FDSLWDO
UHTXLUHGIRURUHKDQGOLQJLQWKHPLQHDQGORZHUPLOOFDSDFLW\
IRU WKH HTXLYDOHQW PHWDO SURGXFWLRQ 7KH KLJKHU RUHERG\
UHFRYHU\DOVRLQFUHDVHVWKHPLQHOLIHRZLQJEHQHFLDOO\WR
WKHQDQFLDOUHWXUQRIWKHPLQLQJSURMHFW
7KH PRGHUQ PLQLQJ PHWKRGV HPSOR\LQJ WKH XVH RI
VWDELOLVHGOOVKDYHUHYROXWLRQLVHGXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJRYHU
WKHODVW\HDUV7KHUHDUHQRZDYDULHW\RIOOW\SHVDYDLODEOH
ZLWK WKH PRVW SRSXODU EHLQJ FHPHQWHG K\GUDXOLF DQG
FHPHQWHGURFNDQGSDVWHOOV7KHZHOOSODQQHGXVHRIWKHVH
PDWHULDOVDOORZVPLQLQJHQJLQHHUVWRSODQRQDFKLHYLQJFORVH
WRSHUFHQWH[WUDFWLRQRIRUHERGLHVRIDOOVL]HVDQGGHSWKV
ZLWKRXWH[SHULHQFLQJSUREOHPVZLWKJURXQGVWDELOLW\,QWKLV
VLWXDWLRQWKHPHWKRGVXVHGDUHRSHQVWRSLQJEHQFKLQJDQG
FXWDQGOOVWRSLQJ
0LQLQJRIWKHDQGRUHERGLHVDW0RXQW,VDDUH
H[FHOOHQWH[DPSOHVRIWKHVXFFHVVIXODSSOLFDWLRQRIVWDELOLVHG
OOWRODUJHVFDOHRSHQVWRSLQJ7KHVHZHUHWKUHHRIWKHJUHDW
RUHERGLHVRIWKHZRUOGPLQHGGXULQJWKHODVW\HDUVZLWKD
FRPELQHG2UH5HVHUYHRISOXV0WZLWKDJUDGHRISHU
FHQWFRSSHU7KH\KDYHEHHQPLQHGFRQWLQXRXVO\GXULQJWKLV
SHULRG DW DQ DQQXDO SURGXFWLRQ UDWH RI 0W XVLQJ RSHQ
VWRSHVZLWKVWDELOLVHGOOV\VWHPV$FHPHQWHGWDLOLQJVURFN
OOV\VWHPZDVXVHGIRUWKHRUHERG\ZKLOHDSDVWHOO
V\VWHPKDVEHHQXVHGLQWKHGHHSHUDQGRUHERGLHV
$ KLJK RUHERG\ UHFRYHU\ RI SOXV SHU FHQW ZLWK GLOXWLRQ
OHVVWKDQWHQSHUFHQWKDVEHHQDFKLHYHG
7KH 2O\PSLF 'DP FRSSHU PLQH LV DQRWKHU H[DPSOH RI
D ODUJH RSHQ VWRSLQJ RSHUDWLRQ XVLQJ VWDELOLVHG OOV 7KLV
PLQHVWDUWHGSURGXFWLRQLQZLWKDQDQQXDOSURGXFWLRQ
RI 0WD ,W KDV KDG D QXPEHU RI H[SDQVLRQV DQG QRZ
SURGXFHV 0WD RI RUH 2WKHU ZRUOGFODVV RUHERGLHV WKDW
KDYH VXFFHVVIXOO\ XVHG VWDELOLVHG OOV WR PD[LPLVH RUHERG\
UHFRYHU\DUHWKH.LGG&UHHNDQG:LOOLDPVPLQHVLQ2QWDULR
&DQDGDDQGDVQRWHGHDUOLHUWKH3RUJHUDPLQHLQ3DSXD1HZ
*XLQHD
7KH VL]H RI VWRSHV FDQ YDU\ FRQVLGHUDEO\ GHSHQGLQJ RQ
RUHERG\ JHRPHWU\ JHRWHFKQLFDO FRQGLWLRQV DQG SURGXFWLRQ
UHTXLUHPHQWV0DWKHZV6WRSHVL]HVKDYHYDULHGIURP
PPPWRDVVPDOODVPPP,WLV
FULWLFDOWRVHOHFWWKHFRUUHFWVWRSHVL]HIRUWKHFRQGLWLRQVVRDV
WRHOLPLQDWHZDOODQGEDFNIDLOXUHVZKLFKZRXOGLPSDFWRQ
SURGXFWLRQDVZHOODVFRVWV
7KH PLQLQJ PHWKRG VHOHFWLRQ IRU VWHHSO\ GLSSLQJ QDUURZ
RUHERGLHVDURXQGWRPZLGHLVGHSHQGHQWRQWKHTXDOLW\
RI WKH KDQJLQJ ZDOOV DQG IRRWZDOOV )RU VWURQJ URFNV ZLWK
PLQLPXP VWUXFWXUHV WKH EHQFKLQJ PHWKRG LV XVHG ZLWK
EHQFKKHLJKWVRIWRP8SKROHEHQFKLQJZRUNLQJIURP
WKHERWWRPXSLVWKHSUHIHUUHGPHWKRG7KHGHYHORSPHQWRI
QDUURZGLHVHOORDGHUVKDVDOORZHGFRQYHQWLRQDOPHFKDQLVHG
FXWDQGOOWREHXVHGLQZHDNHUJURXQGFRQGLWLRQV
OREBODY PRODUCTIVITY
2UHERG\ SURGXFWLYLW\ FDQ EH GHQHG DV WKH DQQXDO PHWDO
SURGXFWLRQ WKDW LW FDQ VXSSRUW 7KLV DVSHFW LQ PDQ\ PLQH
HYDOXDWLRQV GRHV QRW UHFHLYH WKH DWWHQWLRQ LW GHVHUYHV DV LW
FDQ KDYH D VLJQLFDQW LPSDFW RQ WKH SURMHFW YDOXH ,Q PRVW
FDVHVWKHUHLVWRRPXFKIRFXVRQH[WHQGLQJPLQHOLIHUDWKHU
WKDQDFKLHYLQJDKLJKHUSURGXFWLRQRYHUDVKRUWHUWLPHIUDPH
,Q RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ LQFUHDVHG PHWDO SURGXFWLRQ FDQ EH
DFKLHYHG LQ WZR ZD\V E\ UDLVLQJ WKH FXWRII JUDGH RU E\
LQFUHDVLQJ WKH RUH SURGXFWLRQ 6WRFNSLOLQJ RI ORZHUJUDGH
PDWHULDOIRUODWHUWUHDWPHQWJLYHVWKHRSHQSLWRSHUDWRUVPRUH
H[LELOLW\LQRSWLPLVLQJPHWDOSURGXFWLRQ7KLVFRQFHSWZDV
XVHG YHU\ VXFFHVVIXOO\ DW WKH 7LFN +LOO JROG PLQH LQ 1RUWK
ZHVW4XHHQVODQGZKHUHGXULQJRSHQSLWPLQLQJRUHEHORZ
D JUDGH RI JW JROG ZDV VWRFNSLOHG $ KHDG JUDGH DERYH
JWJROGZDVPDLQWDLQHGGXULQJWKLVSHULRGDQGDOORZHGD
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
407
JROGSURGXFWLRQRIR]WREHDFKLHYHGLQWKHUVW\HDU
RIRSHUDWLRQ
,Q WKH $OXPEUHUD SURMHFW VLJQLFDQW YDOXH ZDV DGGHG E\
LQFUHDVLQJ PHWDO SURGXFWLRQ E\ SHU FHQW GXULQJ WKH UVW
IRXU\HDUVE\HOHYDWLQJWKHFXWRIIJUDGHDQGVWRFNSLOLQJORZ
JUDGHRUH7KHWUHDWPHQWSODQWZDVH[SDQGHGLQODWHU\HDUVDV
ORZHUJUDGHPDWHULDOZDVPLQHG
:KLOH FXWRII JUDGHV FDQ EH LQFUHDVHG LQ XQGHUJURXQG
PLQLQJ WKLV XVXDOO\ UHVXOWV LQ WKH ORVV RI WKH ORZHUJUDGH
PDWHULDO 0D[LPLVLQJ DQQXDO PHWDO SURGXFWLRQ VKRXOG EH
DFKLHYHG E\ ZRUNLQJ WKH RUHERG\ KDUGHU ZKLFK PHDQV
VSHHGLQJXSWKHPLQLQJF\FOH)RURSHQVWRSLQJRSHUDWLRQV
WKLVLVDFKLHYHGE\VHOHFWLQJDVWRSHVL]HDSSURSULDWHIRUWKH
RUHERG\%LJLVEHDXWLIXOQRORQJHUDSSOLHVDVODUJHVWRSHVFDQ
UHVWULFW RUHERG\ SURGXFWLRQ DV WKH ODUJH WRQQDJH FRQWDLQHG
LQ WKH VXUURXQGLQJ SLOODUV LV VWHULOLVHG ZKLOH WKH VWRSH LV LQ
SURGXFWLRQDQGEHLQJOOHG
7KH3RUJHUDXQGHUJURXQGPLQHLVDJRRGH[DPSOHRIZKDW
LVSRVVLEOHDVDSURGXFWLRQUDWHRI0WZDVDFKLHYHGIURP
D 0W 2UH 5HVHUYH 6HOHFWLQJ D PRGHVW VWRSH VL]H DQG
PLQLPLVLQJVWRSHF\FOHWLPHZDVWKHNH\WRWKLVDFKLHYHPHQW
7KLVKDGDVLJQLFDQWLPSDFWRQWKHSURMHFWVHFRQRPLFVDVLW
DOORZHGDKLJKJROGSURGXFWLRQUDWHWREHPDLQWDLQHGIURPWKH
XQGHUJURXQG PLQH DV JROG JUDGHV GHFUHDVHG EHORZ JW
7KLVGHIHUUHGWKHRSHQSLWDQGODUJHUSODQWH[SDQVLRQV
2Q D VPDOOHU VFDOH D VLPLODU UHVXOW ZDV REWDLQHG IURP
WKH 7LFN +LOO XQGHUJURXQG PLQH ,Q WKLV FDVH XQGHUJURXQG
VWRSLQJ VWDUWHG ZLWKLQ YH PRQWKV RI FRPPHQFLQJ GHFOLQH
GHYHORSPHQW DQG SURYLGHG D KLJKJUDGH IHHG WR WKH PLOO
DIWHUWKHRSHQSLWZDVFRPSOHWHGVRPHWHQPRQWKVDIWHUVWDUW
XS7KHSURMHFWZDVDEOHWRSURGXFHJROGDWDUDWHLQH[FHVV
RI R]D IRU WKH UVW WKUHH \HDUV RI WKH SURMHFWV OLIH
IURP D PRGHVW 5HVRXUFH FRQWDLQLQJ D WRWDO RI R] RI
JROG7KLVZDVZHOOLQH[FHVVRIWKHRULJLQDOSODQQHGWR
R]D7KHNH\VWRDFKLHYLQJWKLVZHUHEOLQGGULOOLQJ
WKH YHQWLODWLRQ VKDIW WR D GHSWK RI P DQG FRPPHQFLQJ
VWRSLQJLQWKHKLJKHVWJUDGHVHFWLRQRIWKHRUHERG\7KHVKDIW
DVZHOODVSURYLGLQJYHQWLODWLRQZDVXVHGIRUVHUYLFHVVXFKDV
SRZHUDQGZDWHUDQGDOVRSURYLGHGDVHFRQGHJUHVVIURPWKH
PLQHUHIHU)LJXUH
)RU FDYLQJ RSHUDWLRQV RUHERG\ SURGXFWLYLW\ FDQ EH
LQFUHDVHGE\
408
DGRSWLQJSDQHOFDYLQJIRUODUJHRUHERGLHVZKLFKUHGXFHV
VWDUWXSWLPHDQGFRVW
LPSURYLQJLQLWLDOIUDJPHQWDWLRQE\SUHFRQGLWLRQLQJRIRUH
E\K\GURIUDFNLQJRUFRQQHGEODVWLQJ
DXWRPDWLRQRIRUHKDQGOLQJ
FORVH PRQLWRULQJ RI FRQWURO WR PD[LPLVH H[WUDFWLRQ DQG
PLQLPLVHGLOXWLRQ
CONCLUSIONS
0LQLQJ PHWKRG VHOHFWLRQ LV D NH\ HOHPHQW LQ PRYLQJ D
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHWRDQ2UH5HVHUYHDQGPXVWEHJLYHQWKH
QHFHVVDU\DWWHQWLRQVRWKDWWKHGHFLVLRQPDGHLVWKHRQHWKDW
PD[LPLVHVWKH5HVRXUFHYDOXH:KLOHJUDGHDQGWRQQHVDUHRI
SULPHLPSRUWDQFHJHRWHFKQLFDOFRQGLWLRQVDQGPHWDOOXUJLFDO
SHUIRUPDQFHDUHNH\LQSXWVLQPLQLQJPHWKRGVHOHFWLRQ
2SHQ SLW PLQLQJ LV ZLWKRXW GRXEW WKH SUHIHUUHG PLQLQJ
PHWKRG KRZHYHU HVFDODWLQJ FRVWV IURP KLJKHU RYHUEXUGHQ
WRRUHUDWLRVGXHWRLQFUHDVLQJGHSWKIRUERWKROGPLQHVDQG
QHZ GLVFRYHULHV LV QRZ IRUFLQJ PLQH SODQQHUV WR VHULRXVO\
FRQVLGHU ODUJHVFDOH EXON XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ PHWKRGV
VXFK DV EORFN FDYLQJ +RZHYHU WKHUH DUH PDQ\ FKDOOHQJHV
ZLWKWKLVPHWKRGDVHDFKRUHERG\SUHVHQWVDGLIIHUHQWVHWRI
PLQLQJFRQGLWLRQV
)RUGHHSKLJKJUDGHGHSRVLWVXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJXVLQJ
VWDELOLVHGOOZLOOFRQWLQXHWREHWKHSUHIHUUHGPHWKRGDVLW
DOORZVWKHSODQQLQJWHDPWRFRQGHQWO\SODQWRH[WUDFWSOXV
SHU FHQW RI WKH RUHERG\ ZLWK PLQLPXP GLOXWLRQ 7KLV
HQDEOHVDKLJKSHUFHQWDJHRIWKH5HVRXUFHWREHFRQYHUWHGWR
DQ2UH5HVHUYH
REFERENCES
.DHVHKDJHQ ) ( DQG 1RUWKFRWH * * 3ODQQLQJ WKH 3RUJHUD
8QGHUJURXQG0LQHLQProceedings Innovative Mine Design for the
VW&HQWXU\SS4XHHQV8QLYHUVLW\.LQJVWRQ
0DWKHZV . ( 'HVLJQ RI XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ OD\RXWV LQ
Underground SpaceYROSS3HUJDPRQ3UHVV
0DWKHZV . ( DQG 5RVHQJUHQ . - 7KH LQWHJUDWHG SODQQLQJ
RI JHRWHFKQLFDO LQYHVWLJDWLRQV IRU QHZ PLQLQJ SURMHFWV LQ
Proceedings Second Project Development SymposiumSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Chief Adviser Cave Engineering, Rio Tinto, Level 21, 123 Albert Street, Brisbane Qld 4000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
:KHQ D VXUIDFH RU QHDU VXUIDFH GHSRVLW LV GLVFRYHUHG WKH
FRPPRQDSSURDFKLVWRHYDOXDWHWKHRSHQSLWPLQLQJRSWLRQV
XVXDOO\ XVLQJ PLQH SODQQLQJ RSWLPLVDWLRQ VRIWZDUH VXFK
DV :KLWWOH RU /HUFKV*URVVPDQ DQDO\VLV VHH SDSHUV RQ SLW
RSWLPLVDWLRQ LQ &KDSWHU 0RVW LQYHVWPHQW GHFLVLRQV DUH
PDGH RQ WKH EDVLV RI D PD[LPXP QHW SUHVHQW YDOXH 139
IRUWKHVWDUWHUSLW$VHULHVRISXVKEDFNVRUSKDVHVDUHWKHQ
SODQQHGWRH[WHQGWKHSLWOLIHEHIRUHVHULRXVFRQVLGHUDWLRQLV
JLYHQ WR WKH SRWHQWLDO RI DQ\ XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ RSWLRQV
7KLV VHTXHQFH RI GHFLVLRQV LV XQGHUVWDQGDEOH VLQFH FDSLWDO
FRVWVDUHQRUPDOO\LQFUHPHQWDOIRUDSXVKEDFNZKHUHDVPRVW
XQGHUJURXQGRSWLRQVZLOOUHTXLUHVLJQLFDQWXSIURQWFDSLWDO
LQYHVWPHQW:KHQWKHLQFUHPHQWDO139VDUHFRPSDUHGIRUD
SXVKEDFNDJDLQVWDQXQGHUJURXQGRSWLRQWKHKLJKHUFDSLWDO
DQG ORQJ OHDG WLPH WHQGV WR GLVDGYDQWDJH WKH XQGHUJURXQG
RSWLRQ
7KLVDSSURDFKLVORJLFDOVLQFHWKHRSWLPLVDWLRQVFDQEHUH
HYDOXDWHG LI HFRQRPLF FRQGLWLRQV FKDQJH DQG WKH SXVKEDFN
SKDVHVUHGHVLJQHGLIQHFHVVDU\WKXVSURYLGLQJH[LELOLW\7KH
LQLWLDO FDSLWDO IRU WKH XQGHUJURXQG RSWLRQ WHQGV WR EH IDLUO\
[HGDVWKHEXONRIWKHFRVWVDUHIRULQLWLDODFFHVVLUUHVSHFWLYH
RIWKHGHWDLODURXQGWKHGHVLJQ,WLVJHQHUDOO\WUXHWRVD\WKDW
RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ FRVWV SHU WRQQH DUH VLJQLFDQWO\ FKHDSHU
WKDQWKHXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJFRVWSHUWRQQH,WLVRQO\ZKHQ
WKHYROXPHRIWKHZDVWHVWULSUHTXLUHGLQDSXVKEDFNEHFRPHV
VRODUJHWKDWWKHFRVWRIWKHZDVWHVWULSIDLOVWREHFDUULHGE\WKH
UHYHQXHVSURGXFHGIURPWKHRUHH[WUDFWHGWKDWXQGHUJURXQG
RSWLRQVDUHVRXJKW
7KHRSWLPXPSRLQWWRWUDQVLWLRQIURPDQRSHQSLWPLQHWR
DQXQGHUJURXQGRSHUDWLRQLVDPXFKGHEDWHGWRSLF7KHUHDUH
PDQ\IDFWRUVWKDWLQXHQFHWKHGHFLVLRQDQGWKHGHEDWHZLOO
FRQWLQXHDVERWKHFRQRPLFVPLQHUDOSULFHVDQGLQSXWFRVWV
DQGWHFKQRORJ\ZLOOFKDQJHGXULQJWKHOLIHRIWKHPLQHVRWKH
RSWLPXPWUDQVLWLRQSRLQWFKDQJHV
7KHHFRQRPLFGULYHUVWKDWSXVKDQRSHUDWLRQWRPRYHIURP
DQ RSHQ SLW WR DQ XQGHUJURXQG RSHUDWLRQ FDQ EH EURXJKW
DERXWE\HLWKHURIWKHIROORZLQJ
DUHDOLVDWLRQWKDWDSODQQHGSXVKEDFNLVQRORQJHUYLDEOH
LQLWLDWLRQSRLQWERWKHOHYDWLRQDQGSRVLWLRQUHODWLYHWRWKH
SLWIRUXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJ
LQIUDVWUXFWXUHDFFHVVIURPLQVLGHWKHSLWRUVKDIWGHFOLQH
DFFHVVUHPRWHIURPSLW
OHQJWKRIWLPHQHHGHGWRJHWWRWKHPLQLQJVWDUWSRVLWLRQ
JLYHQ WKH WZR SRLQWV DERYH DQG HVWDEOLVK YHQWLODWLRQ
FLUFXLWV JURXQG KDQGOLQJ IDFLOLWLHV DQG SXPSLQJ
LQVWDOODWLRQV
OLNHO\ LPSDFW WKDW WKH XQGHUJURXQG PLQH ZLOO KDYH RQ
RSHQSLWVWDELOLW\LQFOXGLQJ
SLWDFFHVVUHVWULFWLRQV
ZDOOVWDELOLW\DQGSRWHQWLDOIRUGLOXWLRQ
WLPHQHHGHGWRUDPSXSWRSODQQHGSURGXFWLRQUDWHIURP
XQGHUJURXQG
,WLVDGYLVDEOHWRFRQVLGHUGHVLJQDQGHYDOXDWHXQGHUJURXQG
PLQLQJVFHQDULRVZHOOLQDGYDQFHRIZKHQLWLVWKRXJKWWKDW
WKH\ZLOOEHUHTXLUHGHYHQLIQRWDOOWKHLQIRUPDWLRQLVUHDGLO\
DYDLODEOH6XFKDQDSSURDFKZLOODWOHDVWKLJKOLJKWDUHDVIRU
IXUWKHUGHQLWLRQ
409
Stoping
Pre-feasibility
$VDJHQHUDOUXOHVWRSLQJRSWLRQVRSHQVWRSLQJRUFXWDQG
OOWHQGWRKDYHKLJKHURSHUDWLQJFRVWVEXWORZHULQLWLDOFDSLWDO
H[SHQGLWXUHDQGGHYHORSPHQWWLPHWRUVWRUHFRPSDUHGWR
FDYLQJ RSHUDWLRQV 6WRSLQJ RIWHQ DIIRUGV WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ RI
PLQLQJWRSGRZQ3URGXFWLRQUDWHVWHQGWREHUHODWLYHO\ORZ
EXW VWRSLQJ JLYHV WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ WR EH PRUH VHOHFWLYH DQG
SRWHQWLDOO\ LQFUHDVH WKH JUDGH RI UXQRIPLQH RUH FRPSDUHG
WRERWKRSHQSLWDQGFDYLQJPHWKRGV,IDOOPHWKRGLVXVHG
WKLVPD\DOVRJLYHWKHRSSRUWXQLW\WRGXPSZDVWHURFNIURP
GHFOLQH DQG DFFHVV GHYHORSPHQW LQWR WKH VWRSH YRLGV WKXV
UHGXFLQJ WKH UHTXLUHPHQW WR KDXO WR VXUIDFH DQG GXPS WKH
ZDVWHWKHUH
'DWDLVQHHGHGWRSURJUHVVWKHVWXGLHVWRDVXIFLHQWOHYHORI
GHWDLOWRLGHQWLI\WKH,QGLFDWHG5HVRXUFH2QHRIWKHRXWFRPHV
RIWKH3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\3)6LVWKHGHQLWLRQRIWKHNH\
SDUDPHWHUV 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV WKDW UHTXLUH PRUH GHWDLO LQ
RUGHU WR LQFUHDVH FRQGHQFH LQ WKH DVVXPSWLRQV DURXQG
IXWXUH XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ WR WDNH WKH VWXG\ WR IHDVLELOLW\
$W WKH 3)6 VWDJH ZRUN SHUIRUPHG VKRXOG JLYH VXIFLHQW
FODULW\RQ0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVWRHQDEOHWKHDSSURSULDWHOHYHO
RI FRQGHQFH WR GHYHORS D UHOLDEOH EXVLQHVV FDVH EDVHG RQ
D VHOHFWHG PLQLQJ PHWKRG DQG SURGXFWLRQ UDWH 7KLV DOORZV
GHWDLOHG 5HVHUYHV WR EH HVWDEOLVKHG EDVHG RQ WKH 0HDVXUHG
DQG ,QGLFDWHG 5HVRXUFH 5HVRXUFHV LQFOXGLQJ ,QIHUUHG
PDWHULDOFDQEHFRQVLGHUHGDVDZRUNLQJPLQLQJLQYHQWRU\2
WDNHQIRUZDUGWRWKH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
Caving
&DYLQJ PHWKRGV VXEOHYHO EORFN RU SDQHO FDYLQJ WHQG WR
KDYHORZHUXQLWFRVWVWKDQVWRSLQJPHWKRGVDQGORQJHUOHDG
WLPHVWRUVWRUHDOWKRXJKWKH\FDQJHQHUDOO\VXSSRUWKLJKHU
SURGXFWLRQ UDWHV 7KH ORZHU XQLW FRVWV WHQG WR FRPH IURP
XVLQJJUDYLW\WRDVVLVWLQFROOHFWLQJRUHLQGUDZSRLQWV%ORFN
DQGSDQHOFDYLQJDOVRXVHWKHLQKHUHQWVWUHVVHVWRKHOSIUDFWXUH
WKHRUHDVZHOOUHGXFLQJEODVWLQJEUHDNLQJFRVWV+RZHYHU
ORQJHU OHDG WLPHV DQG VLJQLFDQW FDSLWDO H[SHQGLWXUH LV
UHTXLUHG WR HVWDEOLVK D FDYLQJ PLQH &DYLQJ PHWKRGV DUH
RQO\DSSOLFDEOHLQODUJHURUHERGLHVLQSODQRUDUHDWKDWDOVR
KDYH D VLJQLFDQW YHUWLFDO FRPSRQHQW %ORFN FDYLQJ ZRXOG
W\SLFDOO\ UHTXLUH DURXQG D P ZLGWK P OHQJWK
P KHLJKW EORFN RI PLQHDEOH RUH GHSHQGLQJ RQ URFN
VWUHQJWK DQG DSSOLFDEOH VWUHVV UHJLPHV DOWKRXJK VRPH
QDUURZHUERGLHVVXFKDVVPDOONLPEHUOLWHSLSHVKDYHEHHQ
PLQHGXVLQJWKHPHWKRG
6XEOHYHOFDYLQJFDQEHXVHGRQQDUURZHUSHUKDSVDVOLWWOH
DVRUPZLGHRUH]RQHVDVWKHPHWKRGLQYROYHVGULOOLQJ
DQGEODVWLQJWRIUHHXSWKHRUHDVRSSRVHGWREHLQJUHOLDQWRQ
QDWXUDOFDYLQJWRWDNHSODFH
BASIC DATA
0F&DUWK\GHVFULEHVWKHUHTXLUHPHQWIRUDSSURSULDWHO\
VL]HGRUHERG\PRGHOEORFNVL]HVZKHQORRNLQJDWFRQYHUWLQJ
IURPDQRSHQSLWPHWKRGWRDQXQGHUJURXQGRQH$QLQLWLDO
RUGHU RI PDJQLWXGH 2R0 VWXG\ PD\ QRW UHTXLUH EORFN
UHVL]LQJLIQRWDOUHDG\GRQHDVSLWVL]HGPRGHOEORFNVPD\
EHDGHTXDWHWRHVWDEOLVKLIWKHUHLVDQ\PHULWDWSURJUHVVLQJWR
DQXQGHUJURXQGSKDVHRIPLQLQJKRZHYHUWRJREH\RQGWKLV
LQLWLDO H[HUFLVH DSSURSULDWH GHQLWLRQ QHHGV WR EH DYDLODEOH
WRVXLWWKHVHOHFWHGPLQLQJPHWKRG$JDLQWKHXQGHUJURXQG
PLQLQJ PHWKRG ZLOO GHWHUPLQH ZKDW PRGHO EORFN VL]HV DUH
DSSURSULDWH
Order of magnitude
$V LQGLFDWHG DERYH WKH 2R0 VWXG\ GRHV QRW QHHG WR EH
RYHUO\GHWDLOHGQRUGRHVLWUHTXLUHSUHFLVLRQLQPDQ\DVSHFWV
RIWKHVWXG\,WLVJHQHUDOO\DFFHSWDEOHWRXVHSUHGRPLQDQWO\
H[LVWLQJ GDWD DQG DVVXPSWLRQV DQG TXLWH QRUPDO WR XVH
H[LVWLQJSHUIRUPDQFHGDWDIRULWHPVVXFKDVPLOOSHUIRUPDQFH
WKURXJKSXW DQG UHFRYHU\ ([LVWLQJ FRVW GDWD FDQ RIWHQ EH
H[WUDSRODWHGRUIDFWRULVHGDVDSSURSULDWH%URDGDVVXPSWLRQV
ZLOOVWLOOQHHGWREHPDGHUHJDUGLQJRSHQSLWDQGXQGHUJURXQG
LQWHUDFWLRQ VXUIDFH VXEVLGHQFH DQG JURXQG VWUHVV UHJLPHV
410
Feasibility
7KH )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ LV WKH XOWLPDWH EDVLV RI D GHFLVLRQ WR
SURFHHGWRGHWDLOHGHQJLQHHULQJDQGGHVLJQ,WDOVRLPSURYHV
WKH FRQGHQFH LQ WKH 5HVHUYH $V VXFK LW LV QHFHVVDU\ WR
KDYH D UREXVW UHVRXUFH PRGHO SUHGRPLQDQWO\ FRPSULVLQJ
0HDVXUHG DQG ,QGLFDWHG PDWHULDO FRQVLVWLQJ RI VXLWDEO\
VL]HG EORFNV WR PDWFK WKH HQYLVDJHG XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ
PHWKRG:KLOVWD0HDVXUHG5HVRXUFHFDQEHFRQYHUWHGWRD
3URYHG5HVHUYHWKHFRQGHQFHLQWKHPLQLQJPHWKRGDQGWKH
2. As part of an internal study but not for Public Reporting.
DVVRFLDWHG0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVDQGDVVXPSWLRQVPD\LQGLFDWH
WKDWD3UREDEOH5HVHUYHLVDSSURSULDWHDWWKLVVWDJH
DUHLVVXHVWKDWDIIHFWUHFRYHU\WKDWZLOOQRWUHPDLQWKHVDPH
DQGVRIXUWKHUDQDO\VLVQHHGVWREHXQGHUWDNHQ
$ FULWLFDO DUHD LQ WKH )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ LV WR FRQVLGHU WKH
LVVXHVDURXQGWKHLQWHUDFWLRQEHWZHHQWKHXQGHUJURXQGPLQH
DQGWKHSLW7KLVLVIXQGDPHQWDODVLWZLOOXOWLPDWHO\GHWHUPLQH
WKHWRQQDJHDQGJUDGHWKDWFDQEHSK\VLFDOO\H[WUDFWHG7KH
VWDELOLW\RURWKHUZLVHRIWKHFURZQSLOODUDQGWKHLPSDFWRI
LQGXFHG XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ VWUHVVHV RQ WKH VWDELOLW\ RI
WKHSLWZDOOVDQGWKHXQGHUJURXQGH[FDYDWLRQVSOD\WKHPRVW
VLJQLFDQW UROHV LQ GHWHUPLQLQJ ZKDW WRQQDJH ZLOO DFWXDOO\
UHSRUWWRWKHVWRSHRUFDYHGUDZSRLQWV
MODIFYING FACTORS
:KHUHDPLQHLVWUDQVLWLRQLQJIURPRSHQSLWWRXQGHUJURXQG
PLQLQJ WKH PRVW OLNHO\ FDXVH RI FKDQJHV WR WKH 0RGLI\LQJ
)DFWRUVLVSURGXFWLRQUDWHDQGWKHDVVRFLDWHGLPSDFWRQXQLW
FRVWRIPHWDOSURGXFWLRQ9HU\IHZRUHERGLHVFDQEHPLQHG
IURPXQGHUJURXQGDWWKHVDPHUDWHWKDWWKH\DUHIURPDQRSHQ
SLWRSHUDWLRQ3DODERUDRULJLQDOO\PLQHGDWNWGIURPDQ
RSHQSLW&DOGHU7RZQVHQGDQG5XVVHOODOWKRXJKWKLV
LQFUHDVHG WR RYHU NWG GXULQJ WKH \HDUV RI RSHUDWLRQ
7KHXQGHUJURXQGEORFNFDYHPLQHKDVDFDSDFLW\RIMXVWRYHU
NWG
Scale of operation
7KHHFRQRPLFIDFWRUVWKDWFKDQJHGXHWRVFDOHDUHUHODWLYHO\
REYLRXV VLQFH WKHUH DUH IHZHU WRQQHV WR FDUU\ WKH [HG DQG
RYHUKHDG FRVWV 2WKHU IDFWRUV WKDW QHHG WR EH FRQVLGHUHG LQ
WKH OLJKW RI UHGXFHG RXWSXW DUH PDUNHWLQJ DUUDQJHPHQWV
VXSSO\DJUHHPHQWVDQGVHUYLFHFRQWUDFWV7KHUHPD\EHOHYLHV
DQGIHHVWKDWFKDQJHDWFHUWDLQWKUHVKROGOHYHOVWKDWPD\RU
PD\ QRW EH WULJJHUHG E\ D FKDQJH LQ VFDOH 7KH SRWHQWLDO
LPSDFWRQDOOFRVWVQHHGVWREHXQGHUVWRRGDQGWKHVHDSSOLHG
WRWKHQDQFLDOPRGHOVWRHQVXUHWKDWWKH5HVRXUFHVWLOOKDVD
UHDVRQDEOHSURVSHFWRIEHLQJPLQHG
7KH VFDOH RI RSHUDWLRQ DOVR KDV WKH SRWHQWLDO WR DIIHFW
SURFHVVLQJDQGWKLVLVGLVFXVVHGEHORZ
Processing
,WLVORJLFDOWRH[SHFWWKDWLQWKHVDPHRUHERG\VRPH0RGLI\LQJ
)DFWRUV DSSOLHG WR WKH 5HVRXUFH VXFK DV PLOO UHFRYHU\
SURFHVVLQJ SHUIRUPDQFH FDQ EH DVVXPHG WR EH WKH VDPH
XQOHVV WKHUH LV DQ REYLRXV FKDQJH LQ JHRORJ\PLQHUDORJ\
VD\IURPR[LGHWRVXOGHDVGHSWKLQFUHDVHV+RZHYHUWKHUH
Infrastructure
,QIUDVWUXFWXUH LWHPV VXFK DV SRZHU UHWLFXODWLRQ QHHG WR EH
FRQVLGHUHG 'HPDQG IRU EDVLF VHUYLFHV VXFK DV SRZHU DQG
ZDWHUDUHOLNHO\WRFKDQJHZLWKDGLIIHUHQWGHPDQGSUROHIRU
XQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJ
Power
7RWDO SRZHU ORDGV ZLOO EH IXQGDPHQWDOO\ GLIIHUHQW DQG
LQFUHDVH VLJQLFDQWO\ ZLWK D PRYH WR XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ
ZLWKGHPDQGH[SHFWHGIURP
YHQWLODWLRQIDQVEXONFRROLQJSODQWVHWF
KRLVWV RU FRQYH\RUV WKHVH V\VWHPV KDYH GLIIHUHQW SHDN
SRZHUGHPDQGVIRUWKHVDPHZRUNGRQHWRQQDJHUDLVHG
WKURXJKYHUWLFDOGLVWDQFHVLQFHRQHLVDEDWFKSURFHVVWKH
RWKHUFRQWLQXRXV
FUXVKLQJ
SXPSLQJ
XQGHUJURXQG HTXLSPHQW VXFK DV DLU FRPSUHVVRUV RU
DGGLWLRQDOYHQWLODWLRQWRGLOXWHGLHVHOHPLVVLRQV
411
TRANSITION ISSUES
Interaction with open pit
7KHSRWHQWLDOLQWHUDFWLRQEHWZHHQWKHXQGHUJURXQGPLQHDQG
WKH RSHQ SLW LV SUREDEO\ WKH PRVW LPSRUWDQW FRQVLGHUDWLRQ
ZKHQ ORRNLQJ DW LVVXHV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WUDQVLWLRQ :KHUH D
VWRSLQJPHWKRGLVXVHGWKHVL]HRIWKHFURZQSLOODULVDNH\
FRQVLGHUDWLRQ7KLVVKRXOGEHRIVXIFLHQWVL]HDQGLQWHJULW\
WR EH DQ HIIHFWLYH VHSDUDWRU EHWZHHQ WKH SLW DQG WKH WRS RI
WKH XQGHUJURXQG VWRSH ,Q VRPH PLQLQJ HQYLURQPHQWV WKLV
PD\ EH OHJLVODWHG JHQHUDOO\ D FRQVHUYDWLYH DQG UHVWULFWLYH
DSSURDFK 0RGHOOLQJ LV JHQHUDOO\ FRQVLGHUHG QHFHVVDU\ WR
HVWDEOLVKVXLWDEOHIDFWRUVRIVDIHW\WRHQVXUHWKHFURZQSLOODU
LQWHJULW\
7KHLQXHQFHRIWKHRSHQSLWPD\JHQHUDWHDGYHUVHJURXQG
VWUHVVHV DURXQG WKH XQGHUJURXQG H[FDYDWLRQV 7KLV DVSHFW
UHTXLUHV VSHFLF HYDOXDWLRQ DV LW FDQ EH D IDWDO DZ LQ WKH
GHVLJQRIDVWRSLQJV\VWHP
EXAMPLE
Palabora
&DOGHU7RZQVHQGDQG5XVVHOORXWOLQHGWKHGHVLJQDQG
DVVXPSWLRQVIRUWKH3DODERUDEORFNFDYHZKLFKZDVSURMHFWHG
WRSURGXFHNWGVHH)LJXUH,QLWZDVDQWLFLSDWHG
WR WDNH VHYHQ \HDUV IURP VWDUWLQJ WKH XQGHUJURXQG PLQH WR
GHYHORSLQJ LW DQG UHDFKLQJ IXOO FDSDFLW\ )XOO XQGHUJURXQG
PLQLQJSURGXFWLRQFDSDFLW\ZDVRQO\DFKLHYHGLQVRPH
QLQH \HDUV DIWHU VWDUWLQJ WR VLQN WKH VKDIWV 7KH SDSHU JLYHV
EDFNJURXQG LQ UHODWLRQ WR RSHQ SLW SURGXFWLRQ KLVWRU\ DQG
RUH JUDGHV H[SHFWHG IURP XQGHUJURXQG DQG HVWLPDWHG 2UH
5HVHUYHVDQG5HVRXUFHV
:KHUHDFDYLQJPHWKRGLVHPSOR\HGWKHPRVWVLJQLFDQW
DVVXPSWLRQV WHQG WR EH DURXQG WKH WLPH WDNHQ IRU WKH
XQGHUJURXQG FDYH WR LPSDFW WKH SLW DQG WKHQ WKH UHVXOWDQW
GLOXWLRQ WKDW FDQ RFFXU RQFH WKH SLW KDV EHHQ GHVWDELOLVHG
DQG FROODSVHV LQWR WKH FDYLQJ DUHD 7KH VHTXHQFH RI FDYH
EUHDNWKURXJKLQWRWKHSLWRRURUZDOOLVDOVRFULWLFDODVWKLV
ZLOO DOORZ ZDVWHGLOXWLQJ PDWHULDO WR HQWHU WKH FDYH )ORUHV
UDLVHVWKHVHLVVXHVDORQJZLWKRWKHUVVXFKDVSODQQHG
PLQLQJFROXPQKHLJKWVVHLVPLFLW\DQGVXEVLGHQFH
0F&DUWK\ VXJJHVWV UDQJHV RI SRWHQWLDO GLOXWLRQ IRU
XQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJPHWKRGVEXWWKHVHQHHGWREHUHYLHZHG
LIFRQVLGHULQJWKHSRWHQWLDORIDQRSHQSLWLQWHUDFWLRQ2UHORVV
FRXOGEHKLJKHULQFDVHVZKHUHWKHXQGHUJURXQGPLQHEUHDNV
WKURXJKLQWRWKHSLWRRUZLWKDVPDOOHUKROLQJWKDQSUHGLFWHG
DQGGLOXWLRQFRXOGEHJUHDWHULISLWZDOOZDVWHVOXPSVLQWRWKH
KROLQJSUHPDWXUHO\VHH3DODERUDH[DPSOHEHORZ
'LOXWLRQ LV DQ LVVXH WKDW DIIHFWV WKH HFRQRPLFV RI WKH
XQGHUJURXQG RSHUDWLRQ EXW D VLJQLFDQW LQRZ RI GHEULV
IURP LQLWLDO KROLQJ LQWR D SLW PD\ WKHQ VXSSRUW RU EXWWUHVV
WKHFDYHEDFNZKLFKFRXOGLPSHGHSURSDJDWLRQ6KRXOGWKLV
RFFXULWFDQSUHVHQWVLJQLFDQWLVVXHVDQGUHVXOWLQSDUWVRI
WKHRUHERG\QRWPRELOLVLQJUHVXOWLQJLQDORVVRI5HVHUYH
Introduction of dilution
7KH IDLOXUH KDV LQWURGXFHG DURXQG 0W RI ZDVWH LQWR
WKH ERWWRP RI WKH SLW DQG WKH WRS RI WKH FDYH 6HYHULQ DQG
(EHUKDUGW ,W LV REYLRXV WKDW WKLV SRVHV WKH WKUHDW RI
DGGLWLRQDOXQSODQQHGGLOXWLRQRIWKHRUHZLWKLQWKHFDYHDV
LWLVGUDZQGRZQWRWKHH[WUDFWLRQOHYHO$VWKHRUHFROXPQV
DW3DODERUDDUHWDOODYHUDJHRIRYHUPWKHQDOLPSDFW
DQGHYHQLILWHYHQWXDOO\IDLOVLWZLOOQRWEHGUDZQRXWRIWKH
FDYHDVLWZLOOEHDERYHDVLJQLFDQWTXDQWLW\RIZDVWHIURP
WKHZDOOIDLOXUH
7KHIDLOHGPDWHULDOWKDWHQWHUHGWKHWRSRIWKHFDYHKDVDOVR
HIIHFWLYHO\EXWWUHVVHGRUVXSSRUWHGPDWHULDOWRZDUGVWKHWRS
RIWKHFDYHWKDWKDGQRWFDYHGDWWKHWLPHRIWKHIDLOXUH
Reserve adjustment
,Q3DODERUDWRRNWKHGHFLVLRQWRPDNHDQDGMXVWPHQWWR
WKH2UH5HVHUYHWRWDNHLQWRDFFRXQWWKHLPSDFWRIWKHIDLOXUH
'XULQJWKHXQGHUJURXQGPLQHSURGXFHGDSSUR[LPDWHO\
0WDIWHUUHDFKLQJWKHQDPHSODWHFDSDFLW\RINWGGXULQJ
WKH\HDU
TABLE 1
Palabora Ore Reserves (source: Rio Tinto Annual Report, 2005).
Year
Million tonnes
Grade (% Cu)
2004
201
0.68
2005
142
0.56
Sterilisation
,Q WKH RULJLQDO 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ SURFHVV LW ZDV DVVXPHG
WKDW PDWHULDO YHUWLFDOO\ DERYH WKH IRRWSULQW LQFOXGLQJ
PDWHULDOLQWKHZDOOVDERYHWKHSLWRRUZRXOGIDLOLQWRWKH
FDYH 7KLV PDWHULDO ZDV QRW KLJK JUDGH EXW GLG FDUU\ YDOXH
DQGVRIRUPHGSDUWRIWKH5HVHUYH2QFHWKHSLWZDOOIDLOHGLW
ZDVDSSDUHQWWKDWWKLVPDWHULDOZDVVWHULOLVHGVHH)LJXUH
,GHQWLI\LQJDQGXQGHUVWDQGLQJWKHNH\WHFKQLFDOLVVXHVLVWKH
EDVLV IRU VXFFHVVIXOO\ GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH RSWLPXP WUDQVLWLRQ
SRLQW IURP RSHQ SLW WR XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ 7KHUH LV QRW D
VWDQGDUGIRUPXODRUOLVW&RQVLGHUWKUHHODUJHRSHQSLWFRSSHU
PLQHVDOORYHUPGHHSDVVXPHWKH\KDYHVLPLODUJUDGHV
DQGRUHFRQWLQXLW\7KHNH\LVVXHVZLOOEHGLIIHUHQWLIRQHLV
DW DOWLWXGH LQ WKH $WDFDPD 'HVHUW WKH VHFRQG LQ ,QGRQHVLD
ZKHUH YHU\ KLJK DQQXDO UDLQIDOO RFFXUV DQG WKH WKLUG LQ WKH
8QLWHG 6WDWHV 86$ FORVH WR D PDMRU FLW\ ZLWK HVWDEOLVKHG
SXEOLFLQIUDVWUXFWXUH
'HWHUPLQLQJWKHVWUHVVHIIHFWVRIWKHSLWRQWKHXQGHUJURXQG
HQYLURQPHQWDQGWKHLPSDFWRIXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJRQWKH
VWDELOLW\RIWKHRYHUO\LQJSLWLVIXQGDPHQWDO7KHHQJLQHHULQJ
DVVXPSWLRQV WKDW VXUURXQG WKLV LVVXH SOD\ D PDMRU UROH LQ
HVWDEOLVKLQJ WKH UHOHYDQW 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV WKDW LPSDFW RQ
5HVHUYHV 8OWLPDWHO\ WKH PRVW VLJQLFDQW IURP D 5HVHUYH
5HVRXUFH SHUVSHFWLYH LV WKH HVWLPDWLRQ RI VWDELOLW\ DQG FDYH
SURSDJDWLRQ DQG WKH FRQVHTXHQWLDO LPSDFW RQ GLOXWLRQ DQG
RUHORVV
7KHQDWXUHDQGWLPLQJRIDQ\XQGHUJURXQGLQWHUDFWLRQZLWK
WKH RSHQ SLW UHTXLUHV HQJLQHHULQJ MXGJHPHQW 7KH LVVXH LV
FRPSOH[DQGZKLOVWWKHUHDUHWRROVWRPRGHOWKDWLQWHUDFWLRQ
WKHRXWSXWVRIWKHPRGHODUHRQO\DVJRRGDVWKHORJLFDQGLQSXW
XVHG :LWKRXW FDOLEUDWLRQ WKH\ DUH OLNHO\ WR EH PLVOHDGLQJ
0RGHOOLQJ RI SRVVLEOH IDLOXUH VFHQDULRV ZLOO JLYH VXSSRUW WR
WKHMXGJHPHQWH[HUFLVHGE\WKHHQJLQHHULQJH[SHUWVRQZKRP
WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQUHOLHVIRUWKHLUVSHFLDOLVWLQSXWWRWKH
5HVHUYHSURFHVV
FUTURE TRENDS
FIG 4 - Sterilised Ore Reserves (image courtesy of Rio Tinto).
7KHUHDUHPDQ\DGYDQFHVEHLQJPDGHLQWHFKQRORJ\WKDWZLOO
KDYHDQLPSDFWRQWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\ERWKLQWKHRSHQSLW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
413
DQGLQWKHXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJDUHQDV7HFKQRORJ\ZLOOKDYH
WKHFDSDFLW\WRFKDQJHWKHHFRQRPLFVDVWKHEHQHWVRIWKRVH
DGYDQFHV EHFRPH DSSDUHQW $V DQ H[DPSOH FRQYH\RU EHOW
WHFKQRORJ\ DQG DOWHUQDWLYH WUXFNLQJ V\VWHPV KDYH FKDQJHG
WKHWUDGLWLRQDOFXWRYHUSRLQWIURPGHFOLQHVWRVKDIWV
7KH VFDOH RI SODQQHG XQGHUJURXQG FDYLQJ RSHUDWLRQV ZLOO
SOD\ D VLJQLFDQW UROH LQ LQGXVWU\ WUHQGV $V %UDQQRQ et al
QRWHV WKH IXWXUH *UDVEHUJ EORFN FDYH LV SODQQHG WR
SURGXFH DW NWG IURP XQGHUJURXQG ZKLFK HTXDWHV WR
DOPRVW0WD7KLVUHHFWVDVWHSFKDQJHDV.DHVHKDJHQ
VXJJHVWHGWKDW0WDLVDODUJHXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJ
RSHUDWLRQ
$VDXWRPDWHGV\VWHPVZLWKLPSURYHGFRPPXQLFDWLRQVDQG
GDWD PDQDJHPHQW PDNH LW SRVVLEOH WR GHVLJQ ODUJHU PLQHV
UHTXLULQJ IHZHU SHRSOH PDQ\ RI WKH ZRUOGV ODUJH RSHQ SLW
FRSSHU RSHUDWLRQV DUH GHVLJQLQJ XQGHUJURXQG EORFN FDYHV
ZLWK SURMHFWHG PLQLQJ UDWHV RI RYHU 0WD WR UHSODFH WKH
DJHLQJ SLWV 7KHVH HQRUPRXV XQGHUWDNLQJV ZLOO WDNH WHQ WR
\HDUVWRGHYHORSDQGEULQJLQWRSURGXFWLRQDWVLJQLFDQW
FDSLWDOFRVW
7KH DYDLODELOLW\ RI LPSURYHG PRGHOOLQJ V\VWHPV ZKLFK
KDYHEHHQFDOLEUDWHGDJDLQVWH[LVWLQJODUJHSLWVVKRXOGDOVR
HQKDQFH WKH DELOLW\ WR SUHGLFW WKH LPSDFW RI WKH LQWHUDFWLRQ
PHFKDQLVPVLQWKHIXWXUH
CONCLUSIONS
7KHUH LV QR VLPSOH IRUPXOD IRU GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH RSWLPXP
WUDQVLWLRQ SRLQW EHWZHHQ RSHQ SLW DQG XQGHUJURXQG
RSHUDWLRQV *HQHUDOO\ VSHDNLQJ RSHQ SLW HFRQRPLFV ZLOO
GHWHUPLQHWKHQDOSLWVKDSHDQGGHSWKDQGDQ\XQGHUJURXQG
RSWLRQZLOOSOD\DVHFRQGDU\UROH
,W LV YLWDO WR XQGHUVWDQG ZKDW SRWHQWLDO LPSDFW WKH
XQGHUJURXQGPLQHPD\KDYHRQSLWVWDELOLW\DQGYLFHYHUVD
IURPDVDIHW\GLOXWLRQDQGRUHUHFRYHU\SHUVSHFWLYH
6XIFLHQW WLPH VKRXOG DOZD\V EH DOORZHG IRU WKH
HVWDEOLVKPHQW RI DQ XQGHUJURXQG RSHUDWLRQ ZKLFK PHDQV
GHYHORSPHQW RI WKH XQGHUJURXQG LQIUDVWUXFWXUH ZLOO
FRPPHQFHZHOOEHIRUHWKHSLWQLVKHVRSHUDWLRQ
414
REFERENCES
%HFN'DQG3W]QHU0,QWHUDFWLRQEHWZHHQGHHSEORFNFDYHV
DQG H[LVWLQJ RYHUO\LQJ FDYHV RU ODUJH RSHQ SLWV LQ Proceedings
)LIWK,QWHUQDWLRQDO&RQIHUHQFHDQG([KLELWLRQRQ0DVV0LQLQJHGV
+6FKXQQHVVRQDQG(1RUGOXQJSS/XOHD8QLYHUVLW\
RI7HFKQRORJ\/XOHD
%UDQQRQ & $ &DVWHQ 7 3 +HZLWW 6 & DQG .XUQDLZDQ &
'HVLJQ DQG GHYHORSPHQW XSGDWH RI WKH *UDVEHUJ EORFN FDYH
PLQHLQ3URFHHGLQJV)LIWK,QWHUQDWLRQDO&RQIHUHQFHDQG([KLELWLRQRQ
Mass MiningHGV+6FKXQQHVVRQDQG(1RUGOXQJSS
/XOHD8QLYHUVLW\RI7HFKQRORJ\/XOHD
%UDQQRQ & $ :\QQ ( - 9HUJDUD/DUD 3 5 DQG $QGUL\DQWR 5
0 'HVLJQ XSGDWH RI WKH *UDVEHUJ EORFN FDYH PLQH LQ
Proceedings Sixth International Conference and Exhibition on Mass
0LQLQJ 0DVV0LQ 6XGEXU\ >&' 520@ 7KH &DQDGLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ0HWDOOXUJ\DQG3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
&DOGHU . 7RZQVHQG 3 DQG 5XVVHOO ) 7KH 3DODERUD
8QGHUJURXQG 0LQH 3URMHFW LQ 3URFHHGLQJV 0DVV0LQ HGV
( %URZQ DQG * &KLWRPER SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
)ORUHV**HRWHFKQLFDOFKDOOHQJHVRIWUDQVLWLRQIURPRSHQSLW
WR XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ DW &KLTXLFDPDWD 0LQH LQ Proceedings
0DVVPLQ SS ,QVWLWXWR GH ,QJHQLHURV GH &KLOH
6DQWLDJR
.DHVHKDJHQ)(6HOHFWLQJDPLQLQJPHWKRGIRUPHWDOOLIHURXV
RUHERGLHV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good Practice HG $ & (GZDUGV SS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
0F&DUWK\ 3 / 0LQLQJ GLOXWLRQ DQG ORVVHV LQ XQGHUJURXQG
PLQLQJ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0RVV$'LDFKHQNR6DQG7RZQVHQG3,QWHUDFWLRQEHWZHHQ
WKHEORFNFDYHDQGWKHSLWVORSHVDW3DODERUDPLQHLQProceedings
International Symposium on Stability of Rock Slopes in Open Pit
Mining and Civil EngineeringSS7KH6RXWKHUQ$IULFDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\-RKDQQHVEXUJ
6HYHULQ-0DQG(EHUKDUGW(,QXHQFHRIVWUHVVSDWKGXULQJWKH
WUDQVLWLRQIURPRSHQSLWWREORFNFDYHPLQHD3DODERUDH[DPSOH
in Proceedings Sixth International Conference and Exhibition on Mass
0LQLQJ 0DVV0LQ 6XGEXU\ >&' 520@ 7KH &DQDGLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ0HWDOOXUJ\DQG3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Chairman, AMC Consultants Pty Ltd, Level 19, 114 William Street, Melbourne Vic 3000. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published in the first edition of Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice (2001).
INTRODUCTION
7KHUHLVDOZD\VDGLIIHUHQFHVRPHWLPHVDODUJHGLIIHUHQFH
EHWZHHQWKHWRQQHVDQGJUDGHFRQWDLQHGLQDUHVRXUFHPRGHO
DQG UHSRUWHG DV D UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWH DQG WKH DFWXDO WRQQHV
DQGJUDGHHYHQWXDOO\GHOLYHUHGWRWKHSURFHVVLQJSODQW7KH
GLIIHUHQFHDULVHVEHFDXVHRI
JHRORJLFDOXQFHUWDLQW\LQWKDWDUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWHLVRQO\
DQHVWLPDWHDQGFRXOGKDYHDZLGHUDQJHRIHUURU
SODQQHGDFWLRQVWROHDYHEHKLQGVRPHPLQHUDORULQFOXGH
DORZJUDGHPDWHULDOLQRUGHUWRPDNHWKHPLQLQJSURFHVV
PRUHHIFLHQW
OLPLWDWLRQV RI WKH JUDGH FRQWURO RUH VHOHFWLRQ SURFHVV
GXULQJPLQLQJ
XQSODQQHG LQHIFLHQFLHV DQG WHFKQLFDO XQFHUWDLQWLHV
DERXWWKHPLQLQJSURFHVV
7KH UVW SRLQW JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ DQG XQFHUWDLQW\ LV
WKH VXEMHFW RI PXFK RI WKH PDWHULDO LQ WKLV YROXPH DQG LV
QRWDGGUHVVHGIXUWKHULQWKLVFKDSWHU7KHUHPDLQLQJSRLQWV
DUH DGGUHVVHG ZKHQ FRQYHUWLQJ D UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWH WR DQ
2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWH D SURFHVV WKDW UHTXLUHV FRQVLGHUDEOH
MXGJHPHQW,WLVOLNHO\WKDWWKHUHZLOOEHGLIIHUHQFHVEHWZHHQ
WKH WRQQHV DQG JUDGH HVWLPDWHG LQ WKH 2UH 5HVHUYH DQG WKH
DFWXDO WRQQHV DQG JUDGH GHOLYHUHG WR WKH SURFHVVLQJ SODQW
ERWK JOREDOO\ DQG ORFDOO\ DQG WKLV ZLOO SURGXFH GLIIHUHQFHV
EHWZHHQSODQQHGDQGDFWXDOSURGXFWLRQRQDOOWLPHVFDOHV
&RQYHUVLRQRID0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHWRDQ2UH5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWHLVDWHDPHIIRUWLQYROYLQJDWPLQLPXPDJHRORJLVW
PHWDOOXUJLVWDQGPLQLQJHQJLQHHU7KHIDFWRUVWREHFRQVLGHUHG
DEFINITIONS
'LOXWLRQFDQEHGHQHGLQVHYHUDOZD\V7RWKHPHWDOOXUJLVW
UHFHLYLQJ WKH RUH IRU WUHDWPHQW LW LV WKH SHUFHQWDJH RI WKH
GHOLYHUHGPDWHULDOWKDWLVZDVWH
'LOXWLRQ PDVVRIZDVWHGHOLYHUHG
PDVVRIRUHPDVVRIZDVWH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
415
7KHPLQLQJHQJLQHHURIWHQH[SUHVVHVGLOXWLRQDVDSHUFHQ
WDJHPDVVLQFUHDVH
'LOXWLRQ PDVVRIZDVWHGHOLYHUHG
PDVVRIRUH
(TXDWLRQVDQGLJQRUHWKHIDFWWKDWZDVWHPLJKWFRQWDLQ
VRPH YDOXDEOH PDWHULDO VR WKDW WKH HFRQRPLF LPSDFW RI
GLOXWLRQ LV OHVV VHYHUH ,Q VRPH VLWXDWLRQV GLOXWLRQ PD\ EH
FDOFXODWHGRQDYROXPHUDWKHUWKDQDPDVVEDVLV'LOXWLRQFDQ
DOVREHH[SUHVVHGDVDJUDGHUHGXFWLRQ
'LOXWLRQ UHVRXUFHJUDGHGLOXWHGJUDGH
UHVRXUFHJUDGH
$OO RI WKH DERYH PHDVXUHV RI GLOXWLRQ DUH DFFHSWDEOH VR
ORQJ DV WKH\ DUH GHQHG EHIRUH XVH $Q H[DPSOH RI WKH
PLVXQGHUVWDQGLQJVWKDWPD\RWKHUZLVHDULVHLVJLYHQE\WKH
IROORZLQJH[DPSOH&RQVLGHUWRIRUHRIWHQSHUFHQWJUDGH
GLOXWHG ZLWK W RI PDWHULDO RI IRXU SHU FHQW JUDGH WRJLYH
WDWSHUFHQWJUDGH
(TXDWLRQJLYHV
SHUFHQWGLOXWLRQ
(TXDWLRQJLYHV
SHUFHQWGLOXWLRQ
(TXDWLRQJLYHV
SHUFHQWGLOXWLRQ
/LNH GLOXWLRQ PLQLQJ UHFRYHU\ FDQ DOVR EH H[SUHVVHG LQ D
YDULHW\RIZD\VDVIROORZV
VKHOO LV PLQHG $OO WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LQ WKH SLW LV H[SRVHG
UHJDUGOHVV RI WKH JUDGH 7KLV PHWKRG RI PLQLQJ LV PRUH
H[LEOHWKDQXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJLQWKDWLWDOORZVORZJUDGH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ WKDW PD\ KDYH SUHYLRXVO\ EHHQ GHWHUPLQHG
WREHZDVWHWREHLQFOXGHGLQWKHRUHVWUHDPDQGYLFHYHUVD
3URYLGHGWKHSLWLVORFDWHGWRDFFHVVWKHPLQHUDOLVHG]RQHDQ\
YDOXDEOHPDWHULDOFDQEHLGHQWLHGE\JUDGHFRQWUROVDPSOLQJ
WKHQPDUNHGRXWIRUPLQLQJ7KXVWKHHPSKDVLVLQRSHQSLW
UHVRXUFHPRGHOOLQJLVRQWKHJOREDODFFXUDF\RIHVWLPDWHVRI
WRQQHVDQGJUDGHDQGRQXQGHUVWDQGLQJLQWHUQDOYDULDELOLW\
DWDVFDOHWKDWPLJKWDIIHFWSLWRSWLPLVDWLRQKHQFHDVWDWLVWLFDO
DSSURDFKLVXVXDOO\DSSURSULDWH
)RU XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ WKH WKLFNQHVV GLS FRQWLQXLW\
DQG VSDWLDO UHODWLRQVKLS RI RUH ]RQHV WKH UHJXODULW\ RI ZDOO
FRQWDFWVDQGWKHVWUHQJWKRIRUHDQGZDOOURFNVDUHDOOFULWLFDO
LQSXWV WR WKH 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWH $OO WKHVH SDUDPHWHUV
DUHGUDZQIURPWKHUHVRXUFHPRGHORUIURPWKHJHRORJLVWV
NQRZOHGJH RI WKH GHSRVLW JDLQHG GXULQJ WKH GDWDJDWKHULQJ
DQG PRGHOOLQJ SKDVH 6RPH SDUWV RI WKH UHVRXUFH PD\ EH
LPSRVVLEOHWRPLQHZKLOHRWKHUVPD\EHORFDWHGWRRIDUIURP
GHYHORSPHQW WR EH HFRQRPLF RWKHUV PD\ LQYROYH VHYHUH
GLOXWLRQ
7KH EDVLV RI WKH UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWH LV DQ LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RI
WKH JHRORJLFDO FRQWURO RQ JUDGH ,Q VRPH FDVHV WKLV LV DQ
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RI D JHRORJLFDO IHDWXUH VXFK DV WKH YHLQ DQG
DOWHUDWLRQ ERXQGDULHV LQ DQ HSLWKHUPDO JROG GHSRVLW RU
PDVVLYHVXOGHFRQWDFWVLQDQLFNHOVXOGHGHSRVLW$JUDGH
FXWRIIPD\EHDVXUURJDWHIRUWKHJHRORJLFDOFRQWURORQJUDGH
QRUPDOO\EDVHGRQDVWDWLVWLFDODQDO\VLVWKDWLGHQWLHVDQDWXUDO
JUDGHFXWRII7KHJUDGHFXWRIIXVHGIRULQWHUSUHWDWLRQLVQRW
DQHFRQRPLFSDUDPHWHUDQGLVQRWUHODWHGWRHFRQRPLFFXWRII
JUDGHV
,QWKHSDVWWKHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ PLJKWKDYHEHHQRQVHFWLRQ
DQGFRQYHUWHGWRDOHYHOSODQEXWQRZDWKUHHGLPHQVLRQDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ FDQ EH GHYHORSHG GLUHFWO\ ZLWKRXW SDVVLQJ
WKURXJKWKRVHLQWHULPVWHSV7KHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQZLOOLQFOXGH
IHDWXUHV LQIHUUHG IURP WKH GULOO ORJV ZLWK DQ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RI KRZ WKRVH IHDWXUHV LQXHQFH JUDGH GLVWULEXWLRQ 7KH
JHRORJLVWV H[SHULHQFH WHOOV KLP RU KHU KRZ YDULDEOH WKH RUH
ERXQGDULHV DUH LQ WKH W\SH RI GHSRVLW DQG ZKDW VKDSHV WKH
YDULDWLRQVPLJKWWDNH
*UDGHV DUH HVWLPDWHG LQWR D UHVRXUFH PRGHO UHSUHVHQWHG
DV EORFNV RU FHOOV ZLWKLQ WKH JHRORJLFDO IUDPHZRUN 7KH
JHRORJLVWPXVWIRUPDYLHZDERXWWKHGLVWULEXWLRQJUDGHVDW
HFRQRPLFFXWRIIV7KHUHVRXUFHPRGHOFDQLQGLFDWHPDWHULDO
DERYHDQHFRQRPLFFXWRIIWKDWKDVDSSDUHQWFRQWLQXLW\EXWLV
DQDUWHIDFWRIWKHHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRG7KHJHRORJLVWPXVWPDNH
DMXGJHPHQWDVWRZKHWKHUWKHJUDGHFRQWLQXLW\DSSDUHQWLQ
WKH UHVRXUFH PRGHO LV VXSSRUWHG E\ GULOO KROH GDWD DQG WKH
JHRORJLFDOIUDPHZRUN
7KHPLQLQJHQJLQHHUZLOOGHVLJQVWRSHVWKDWKDYHJHRPHWULF
OLPLWDWLRQV GLFWDWHG E\ JHRWHFKQLFDO IDFWRUV WKH HFRQRPLF
VSDFLQJ DQG OHQJWK RI SURGXFWLRQ EODVWKROHV RU WKH QHHG WR
FRPELQH EORFNV WKDW DUH DERYH DQG EHORZ WKH EORFN FXWRII
JUDGH LQWR PLQHDEOH XQLWV :KHQ WKHVH VKDSHV DUH RYHUODLG
RQ WKH UHVRXUFH PRGHO WKH UHVRXUFH JUDGH LV GLOXWHG DQG
VRPH RI WKH UHVRXUFH LV DOVR ORVW 7KH UHVRXUFH PRGHO FHOO
VL]HLVGLFWDWHGE\GULOOKROHVSDFLQJDQGPLJKWQRWSURYLGH
WKH UHVROXWLRQ UHTXLUHG E\ WKH PLQLQJ HQJLQHHU WR GHVLJQ
VWRSHV8VXDOO\WKLVLVDGGUHVVHGE\LQWHUSRODWLQJJUDGHVLQWR
SDUHQW FHOOV WKDW DUH DSSURSULDWHO\ VL]HG EDVHG RQ WKH GULOO
KROHVSDFLQJDQGWKHQVXEGLYLGLQJWKHSDUHQWFHOOVZLWKWKH
VXEFHOOVEHLQJDVVLJQHGWKHVDPHJUDGHDVWKHSDUHQW
,Q DQ XQGHUJURXQG PLQH OHYHOV DUH SODQQHG RQ WKH EDVLV
RIUHODWLYHO\FRDUVHVSDFHGGULOOLQJ6WRSHVDUHGHVLJQHGDQG
WKHQPLQHGZLWKOLPLWHGH[LELOLW\IRUFKDQJH%ORFNVRIRUH
QRWLGHQWLHGE\GULOOLQJZLOOEHORVWDQGFRQYHUVHO\EORFNV
RI ZDVWH PD\ QHHG WR EH PLQHG WR IRUP WKH VWRSH VKDSH ,I
WKH GULOO VSDFLQJ LV WRR ZLGH VXEVWDQWLDO DUHDV RI HFRQRPLF
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ PD\ EH PLVVHG DQG H[FHVVLYH ZDVWH PD\ EH
LQDGYHUWHQWO\ LQFOXGHG LQ VWRSH GHVLJQV 7KH RUHZDVWH
GHQLWLRQLVLGHDOO\PDGHDWWKHWLPHRIWKHQDOVWRSHGHVLJQ
DQG QRW GXULQJ PLQLQJ ZLWK WKH H[FHSWLRQ RI GHQLQJ WKH
QDOVWULNHH[WHQWVRIVWRSLQJEORFNVZKLFKRIWHQDUHSRRUO\
GHQHGEHWZHHQGULOOVHFWLRQVDQGPD\RQO\EHFRPHDSSDUHQW
IURPGHYHORSPHQWDQGSURGXFWLRQGULOOLQJH[SHULHQFH
6WRSH GHYHORSPHQW LV XVXDOO\ PLQHG WR D GHVLJQ DQG
LV LQH[LEOH WR FKDQJHV LQ WKH ODWHUDO SRVLWLRQ RI RUH ,W LV
JHQHUDOO\EHVWWRWDNHDOOVWRSHGHYHORSPHQWURXQGVDVRUHDQG
XQGHUWDNHJUDGHFRQWURORQO\DWWKHVWRSHERXQGDULHV0LQLQJ
WKH VWRSH GHYHORSPHQW GULYHV XQGHU JHRORJLFDO FRQWURO
UHTXLUHVUHSRVLWLRQLQJWKHPPDNLQJWKHPZLGHURUVWULSSLQJ
WKHPWRSLFNXSPLVVHGRUHZKLFKFUHDWHVVFKHGXOLQJJURXQG
VXSSRUWDQGVDIHW\SUREOHPVQRWWRPHQWLRQDGGLWLRQDOFRVW
GXULQJPLQLQJ
5HVRXUFH PRGHOOLQJ UHTXLUHV WKH FKRLFH RI VHOHFWLYH
PLQLQJ XQLWV 608V ZKLFK DUH VL]HG WR UHHFW WKH DELOLW\
WR SUDFWLFDOO\ GHVLJQ DQG H[WUDFW WKHP 6RPH PHWKRGV RI
UHFRYHUDEOH UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ VXFK DV PXOWLSOH LQGLFDWRU
NULJLQJDQGXQLIRUPFRQGLWLRQLQJDOORZIRUPLQLQJRI608V
E\ D SURFHVV WHUPHG FKDQJH RI VXSSRUW FRUUHFWLRQ ZKLFK
DWWHPSWVWRHVWLPDWHJUDGHVIRUEORFNVGHQHGRQRQHVXSSRUW
YROXPHXVLQJHVWLPDWHVEDVHGRQDGLIIHUHQWXVXDOO\ODUJHU
VXSSRUW 7KHVH HVWLPDWH W\SHV DUH PDLQO\ XVHG IRU RSHQ
SLW UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV 7KH FKDQJH RI VXSSRUW FRUUHFWLRQ
QRWLRQDOO\DOORZVIRURUHORVVDQGGLOXWLRQLQPLQLQJ608V
+RZHYHU ZKHUH WKHUH DUH JHRWHFKQLFDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV RU
ZKHUHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLVGLVFRQWLQXRXVWKLVDOORZDQFHPLJKW
QRW EH DGHTXDWH 7KLV W\SH RI HVWLPDWH LV XQVXLWDEOH IRU
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQWKDWLVWREHPLQHGE\XQGHUJURXQGPHWKRGV
7KH UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWH IRU XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ PXVW
LQFOXGHDVWDWHPHQWRI
FXWRIIJUDGH
PLQLPXPPLQLQJZLGWK
YHUWLFDOOLPLWVWRSDQGERWWRPUHGXFHGOHYHO
ODWHUDOH[WHQWSODQOLPLWV
GHQVLW\GHWHUPLQDWLRQDQGPRGHOOLQJ
,WVKRXOGEHQRWHGWKDWDPDMRULW\RIFRVWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWK
XQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJDOWKRXJKUHSRUWHGRQDSHUWRQQHEDVLV
DUH DFWXDOO\ GULYHQ E\ WKH YROXPH PLQHG (UURUV LQ GHQVLW\
PRGHOOLQJ DIIHFW QRW RQO\ WKH WRQQHV DQG JUDGH XOWLPDWHO\
PLQHGEXWDOVRWKHSUHGLFWHGFRVWVRIPLQLQJDFWLYLW\
7KH2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHVKRXOGLQFOXGHDJUDGHWRQQDJH
UHODWLRQVKLS FXUYH 7KLV HQDEOHV WKH PLQLQJ HQJLQHHU WR
FRQVLGHUVWUDWHJLFVWRSLQJRSWLRQVKLJKWRQQDJHEXONPLQLQJ
YHUVXV ORZWRQQDJH VHOHFWLYH PLQLQJ 7KH HVWLPDWH VKRXOG
DOVRTXRWHUHVRXUFHVDWYDU\LQJFXWRIIJUDGHVDQGPLQLPXP
ZLGWKVWRHQDEOHHFRQRPLFRSWLPLVDWLRQ
+RZGRHVWKHPDWHULDOWUHDWHGFRPSDUHZLWKWKHUHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWH"
+RZ GRHV WKH PDWHULDO WUHDWHG FRPSDUH ZLWK WKH 2UH
5HVHUYHHVWLPDWH"
+RZ GRHV WKH PDWHULDO WUHDWHG FRPSDUH ZLWK WKH VWRSH
GHVLJQ HVWLPDWH ZKLFK ZDV EDVHG RQ LQOO GULOOLQJ DQG
SHUKDSVDcall factorJUDGHDGMXVWPHQW"
:KDW ZDV DFWXDOO\ GULOOHG RXW FKDUJHG DQG UHG DV
GLVWLQFWIURPGHVLJQ"
:KDWZDVGHOLYHUHGIRUWUHDWPHQWDVPHDVXUHGE\WUXFN
IDFWRUVORDGFHOOVZHLJKWRPHWHUVDQGJUDEVDPSOHV"
:KDWZDVUHDOO\H[WUDFWHGIURPDVWRSHDVFDOFXODWHGIURP
VWRSHVXUYH\VDQGEDFNFDOFXODWHGXVLQJDOODYDLODEOHGDWD"
:KHQRYHUEUHDNRFFXUVEH\RQGWKHVWRSHGHVLJQOLQHLWPD\
LQWURGXFH XQH[SHFWHG KLJKJUDGH RUH ORZJUDGH PDWHULDO
ZDVWH RU D SURFHVV FRQWDPLQDQW VXFK DV FDUERQDFHRXV
PDWHULDO7KXVWKHUHLVXVXDOO\QRGLUHFWFRUUHODWLRQEHWZHHQ
PHDVXUHPHQWV RI VWRSH RYHUEUHDN DQG WKH YDULDWLRQ RI
UHFRYHUHG PHWDO IURP WKH WUHDWPHQW SODQW 7KHUH PD\ EH D
QRQOLQHDUPHWDOOXUJLFDOUHFRYHU\UHODWLRQVKLSGULYHQE\IHHG
JUDGHFRQWDPLQDQWJUDGHRUVXOIXUJUDGHIRUVPHOWLQJ7KH
PHWDOOXUJLVW ZLOO UHTXLUH VDPSOLQJ DQG WKHQ PRGHOOLQJ RI
WKHLPSRUWDQWSDUDPHWHUVLQRUGHUWRSUHGLFWPHWDOUHFRYHU\
7KLV LPSRUWDQW UHTXLUHPHQW LV HPHUJLQJ DV WKH HOG RI
JHRPHWDOOXUJ\([SUHVVHGJOREDOO\LQUHODWLRQWRWKHUHVRXUFH
HVWLPDWH GLOXWLRQ LV DQ H[SHULHQFHEDVHG DGMXVWPHQW WKDW
WDNHVDFFRXQWRIDQXPEHURIVXEMHFWLYHO\DVVHVVHGYDULDEOHV
Among the less obvious variables are:
PL[LQJRIZDVWHDQGVSLOODJHLQWRRUHLQSDVVHVDQGRQWR
VWRFNSLOHV
EODVWKROHGDPDJHWRVWRSHZDOOVFDXVLQJRYHUEUHDN
WXUQDURXQGWLPHIURPJUDGHFRQWUROVDPSOLQJWRPDUN
XSUHVXOWLQJLQSRRUO\LQIRUPHGVWRSLQJGHFLVLRQV
VHOHFWLYHPLQLQJE\WKHUHVXLQJPHWKRGRUXVLQJLQVWRSH
VRUWLQJ RI RUH IURP ZDVWH ZKLFK UHGXFH WKH DPRXQW RI
GLOXHQWPDWHULDOHQWHULQJWKHRUHVWUHDP
ORVV RI IUHH JROG SDUWLFOHV IURP WKH EURNHQ RUH GXULQJ
PLQLQJDQGWUDQVSRUWDWLRQ
YDULDWLRQV LQ WKH EXON GHQVLW\ RI RUH RU ZDVWH GXH WR
QDWXUDOO\RFFXUULQJ in situFDYLWLHVLQURFNVVXFKDVNDUVWLF
OLPHVWRQH
6XUYH\LQJ LQVWUXPHQWV WKDW HQDEOH YHU\ DFFXUDWH '
SUROHV RI D VWRSH YRLG DUH LQYDOXDEOH IRU PLQH SODQQLQJ
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ DQG PDQDJHPHQW 7KHLU XVH FDQ SURYLGH DQ
LPSURYHGXQGHUVWDQGLQJDQGFRQWURORIGLOXWLRQ
PREDICTING DILUTION
)RU2UH5HVHUYHSXUSRVHVGLOXWLRQPXVWEHHVWLPDWHGIURP
GDWD REWDLQHG IURP GULOOLQJ DQG GHYHORSPHQW DQG IURP
H[SHULHQFH.H\YDULDEOHVDUH
WKHPLQLQJPHWKRGDQGVL]HRIHTXLSPHQW
JUDGHYDULDELOLW\DWWKHUHVRXUFHERXQGDU\
RUHZLGWKGLSJHRPHWU\DQGFRQWLQXLW\
JUDGHFRQWUROPHWKRGDQGSURSRVHGPLQLQJUDWH
VWRSH GHVLJQ FULWHULD LQFOXGLQJ K\GUDXOLF UDGLXV URFN
TXDOLW\UDWLQJDQGSLOODUGLPHQVLRQV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
417
7KLV VKRXOG EH GRQH FDUHIXOO\ ZLWK UHJDUG WR WKH GHQLWLRQ
RIGLOXWLRQWKHXVHRIKLGGHQFDOOIDFWRUVDQGWKHPHWKRGVRI
JUDGHFRQWURODQGJURXQGVXSSRUWHPSOR\HG
,QSUDFWLFHVWRSHRYHUEUHDNXVXDOO\WDNHVDQDUFXDWHVKDSH
GHHSHVWDWWKHPLGSRLQWRIWKHVWRSHDQGPLQLPDODWWKHSLOODU
VLGHV ,Q ODUJH RSHQ VWRSHV a P VSDQV WKH QRUPDO DUFK
PD\EHPGHHSDWPLGVSDQ,IGULOODVVD\VRXWVLGHWKHVWRSH
RU RUH OLPLWV DUH VWDWLVWLFDOO\ DQDO\VHG WR FDOFXODWH GLOXHQW
JUDGHWKLVVKDSHPXVWEHDOORZHGIRU,QWKHDEVHQFHRIPRUH
DGYDQFHG JHRWHFKQLFDO PRGHOOLQJ WKH VKDSH RI RYHUEUHDN
PD\EHSUHGLFWHGXVLQJWHFKQLTXHVVXFKDVWKHUDGLXVIDFWRU
'XQQHDQG3DNDOQLV
7KHSURSRUWLRQRIDUHVRXUFHWKDWFDQEHUHFRYHUHGLVW\SLFDOO\
WRSHUFHQWDIWHUUHPRYLQJLQDFFHVVLEOHRUXQHFRQRPLF
EORFNV 7KH KLJKHU UHFRYHULHV FDQ EH MXVWLHG XVLQJ PRUH
VHOHFWLYHPLQLQJPHWKRGVLQRUHRIKLJKHUXQLWYDOXH:LWKDOO
PHWKRGV VRPH UHVRXUFH WKDW ZRXOG RWKHUZLVH EH FODVVLHG
DVRUHZLOOEHOHIWLQSLOODUVRUDEDQGRQHGGXHWRSUHPDWXUH
JURXQGIDLOXUH
GLOXWLRQLVQRWOHVVWKDQYHSHUFHQWXQOHVVDQHUURUZDV
PDGHLQWKHUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWH
IRUVHOHFWLYHPHWKRGVHJFXWDQGOOGLOXWLRQLVW\SLFDOO\
ten per cent
IRURSHQVWRSLQJGLOXWLRQLVW\SLFDOO\WRSHUFHQWEXW
FDQEHPRUH
IRUFDYLQJPHWKRGVGLOXWLRQLVWRSHUFHQW
IRUQDUURZYHLQPLQLQJGLOXWLRQRIWRSHUFHQWLV
QRWXQFRPPRQ
([FHSWLRQV FDQ EH IRXQG WR WKHVH JXLGHOLQHV DQG ZLOO EH
GHSHQGHQWRQRUHZLGWKGLSDQGVWUDWLJUDSK\,PSURYHPHQWV
DUH SRVVLEOH ZLWK JRRG PLQLQJ SUDFWLFH &RQWUDFW PLQLQJ
RQ WRQQDJHEDVHG DQG PHWUHEDVHG VFKHGXOHV RI UDWHV PD\
UHTXLUH PRUH ULJRURXV PDQDJHPHQW WR HQVXUH FRQWURO RI
GLOXWLRQ
,WPLJKWEHXVHIXOWRXVHGLOXWLRQUHFRQFLOLDWLRQVWKDWZHUH
GRQH IRU D VLPLODU RUHERG\ DQG PLQLQJ PHWKRG DV D FKHFN
418
PREDICTING RECOVERY
3LOODU UHFRYHU\ PLJKW EH MXVWLHG DV SDUW RI WKH RQJRLQJ
PLQLQJ SURFHVV RU DV D UHWUHDWLQJ VDOYDJH RSHUDWLRQ DW WKH
HQGRIPLQHOLIH,QWKHODWWHUFDVHUHFRYHUDEOHSLOODUPDWHULDO
PLJKW QRW KDYH EHHQ LQFOXGHG LQ WKH LQLWLDO 2UH 5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWH,QJHQHUDOUHVRXUFHVUHPDLQRSHQDORQJVWULNHRUDW
GHSWKIRUPRVW2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHVVRWKDWDQ\HUURULQWKH
UHFRYHU\ HVWLPDWH LV UHQGHUHG LQFRQVHTXHQWLDO LQ WLPH DIWHU
IXUWKHUH[SORUDWLRQDQGFRQYHUVLRQWRUHVHUYHV
,Q SUHSDULQJ D IHDVLELOLW\ VWXG\ LW LV FULWLFDO WR HVWLPDWH
PLQLQJ UHFRYHU\ DFFXUDWHO\ VR WKDW WKH WRQQHV RI RUH
GHOLYHUHGWRWKHPLOOLQWKHOLIHRIPLQHVFKHGXOHUHODWHWRWKH
H[SHQGLWXUHRQGHYHORSPHQWDQGWKHDPRUWLVDWLRQRIFDSLWDO
$V WKH PLQLQJ UHFRYHU\ LV LQFUHDVHG ORZHU FDSLWDO DQG
RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV DUH LQFXUUHG LQ DFFHVVLQJ HDFK WRQQH RI RUH
:KHWKHUWKHLQFUHDVHGUHFRYHU\LVGHVLUDEOHGHSHQGVRQKRZ
TXLFNO\WKHFRUUHVSRQGLQJVWRSLQJFRVWVLQFUHDVHLQDFKLHYLQJ
WKHKLJKHUUHFRYHU\
CONCLUSIONS
7KH2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHGHULYHVIURPDUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWH
)RUDQXQGHUJURXQGPLQHSDUWLFXODUOLPLWDWLRQVDUHSODFHGRQ
WKHUHVRXUFHPRGHOOLQJWHFKQLTXH,QSDUWLFXODUJHRVWDWLVWLFDO
PRGHOVWKDWDUHDGMXVWHGWRUHSUHVHQWRUHORVVDQGGLOXWLRQDUH
OLNHO\WROHDGWRHUURUVLQHVWLPDWLRQ
7KHUHDUHVHYHUDOZD\VRIH[SUHVVLQJPLQLQJGLOXWLRQDQG
UHFRYHU\DOORIZKLFKDUHYDOLG,WLVHVVHQWLDOWKDWWKHVHWHUPV
EHGHQHGZKHUHYHUWKH\DUHXVHG
7KH FRQYHUVLRQ RI D UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWH WR DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWHIRUDQXQGHUJURXQGPLQHUHTXLUHVFRQVLGHUDWLRQRI
PLQLQJ GLOXWLRQ DQG PLQLQJ UHFRYHU\ 7KHVH WZR YDULDEOHV
DUHWKHUHVXOWRIDPXOWLWXGHRIIDFWRUVWKDWDUHFKDOOHQJLQJWR
DVVHVV7KXVFDUHIXOPHDVXUHPHQWPDQDJHPHQWMXGJHPHQW
H[SHULHQFH DQG D WKRURXJK XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH SURSRVHG
PLQLQJPHWKRGDUHUHTXLUHG7KHXVHRIWH[WERRNIDFWRUVE\
LQH[SHULHQFHGSUDFWLWLRQHUVVKRXOGEHDYRLGHG
,W LV SRVVLEOH WKDW D JHRORJLVW LV FRQVLGHUHG D &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQ IRU WKH SXUSRVH RI SUHSDULQJ D UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWH
IRU XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ XQGHU WKH -25& &RGH EXW
QRW WR WDNH UHVSRQVLELOLW\ IRU DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWH IRU
WKH VDPH GHSRVLW DV WKH HPSKDVLV FKDQJHV IURP JHRORJLFDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQG PRGHOOLQJ WR SUDFWLFDO PLQLQJ DQG
PHWDOOXUJLFDOH[SHULHQFH
REFERENCES
'XQQH . DQG 3DNDOQLV 5 & 'LOXWLRQ DVSHFWV RI D VXEOHYHO
UHWUHDW VWRSH DW 'HWRXU /DNH 0LQH LQ Proceedings Second North
American Rock Mechanics SymposiumHGV0$XEHUWLQ)+DVVDQL
DQG+0LWULSS%DONHPD5RWWHUGDP
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Scott Mine Consulting Services Pty Ltd, PO Box 5126, Kenmore East Qld 4069. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published in the first edition of Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice (2001).
INTRODUCTION
7KH PLQLPXP VWDQGDUGV IRU SXEOLF UHSRUWLQJ RI 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHVWRWKHLQYHVWPHQWFRPPXQLW\DUH
GHVFULEHGLQWKH$XVWUDOLDQ&RGHIRU5HSRUWLQJRI([SORUDWLRQ
5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV WKH -25&
&RGH 7KH -25& &RGH KDV EHHQ SUHSDUHG E\ WKH -RLQW 2UH
5HVHUYHV&RPPLWWHHRIWKH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\7KH$XVWUDOLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI*HRVFLHQWLVWVDQG
0LQHUDOV&RXQFLORI$XVWUDOLDDQGZDVPRVWUHFHQWO\UHYLVHG
LQ 'HFHPEHU 7KH -25& &RGH GHQHV &RDO 5HVRXUFHV
DQG &RDO 5HVHUYHV DV HTXLYDOHQW WR 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG
2UH 5HVHUYHV DQG DOVR GHQHV 0DUNHWDEOH &RDO 5HVHUYHV
DV WKH EHQHFLDWHG RU RWKHUZLVH HQKDQFHG FRDO SURGXFW
ZKHUHPRGLFDWLRQVGXHWRPLQLQJGLOXWLRQDQGSURFHVVLQJ
KDYHEHHQFRQVLGHUHG7KH-25&&RGHDOVRUHFRJQLVHVWKDW
JRYHUQPHQWV PD\ UHTXLUH HVWLPDWHV RI LQYHQWRU\ FRDO RU
in situ FRDO EXW GRHV QRW FRYHU VXFK HVWLPDWHV 7KH &RGH
LV VXSSOHPHQWHG E\ $XVWUDOLDQ *XLGHOLQHV IRU (VWLPDWLQJ
DQG 5HSRUWLQJ RI ,QYHQWRU\ &RDO &RDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG &RDO
5HVHUYHV &RDOHOGV *HRORJ\ &RXQFLO RI 1HZ 6RXWK :DOHV
DQGWKH4XHHQVODQG0LQLQJ&RXQFLO
7KH *XLGHOLQHV GHQH D &RDO 5HVHUYH LQ WKH IROORZLQJ
WHUPV
A Coal Reserve is the economically mineable part of a
Measured or Indicated Coal Resource. Coal Reserve
estimates include diluting materials and are adjusted for
losses that may occur when the coal is mined. Appropriate
DVVHVVPHQWV ZKLFK PD\ LQFOXGH )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV KDYH
been carried out. These assessments should include proper
consideration of all relevant modifying factors such as
419
Mrom
Density
7KH DSSDUHQW UHODWLYH GHQVLW\ $5' ZDV FRQYHQWLRQDOO\
XVHG WR HVWLPDWH in situ FRDO SULRU WR WKH V 7KH $5' LV
WKHUDWLRRIWKHPDVVRIDOXPSRIFRDOWRWKHPDVVRIDQHTXDO
YROXPHRIZDWHUDWDVSHFLHGWHPSHUDWXUHLQFOXVLYHRIDQ\
YRLGV ZLWKLQ WKH OXPS EHLQJ VXEMHFWHG WR WKH WHVW 7KH WHVW
SURFHGXUHEDVLFDOO\FRQVLVWVRIZHLJKLQJOXPSVRIFRDOLQDLU
DQGZKLOHLPPHUVHGLQZDWHU
7KHUHDUHWZRJHQHUDOO\DFFHSWHGVKRUWFRPLQJVRIWKH$5'
WHVW 2QH LV WKDW WKH WHVW GRHV QRW LQFOXGH WKH QH FRDO WKDW
LVQWUHWDLQHGE\WKHFDJHLQZKLFKWKHFRDOLVZHLJKHG7KH
VHFRQGLVWKDWKDYLQJGULHGWKHFRDOLQWKHODERUDWRU\LWLVWKHQ
VDWXUDWHGGXULQJWKHWHVWKRZHYHUWKHH[WHQWWRZKLFKXLG
ZLOOHQWHUDQGRFFXS\DQ\YRLGVZLWKLQWKHFRDOVWUXFWXUHLV
XQFHUWDLQ7KHHIIHFWLYHPRLVWXUHFRQWHQWDQGSRURVLW\DWWKH
WLPHRIWKHWHVWLVWKHUHIRUHXQNQRZQ
$5'LVUHSRUWHGRQDQDLUGULHGEDVLV7KLVKDVIUHTXHQWO\
EHHQ LQWHUSUHWHG DV WKH PDVV RI D FXELF PHWUH RI FRDO LQ DQ
DLUGULHG FRQGLWLRQ 7R HVWLPDWH WKH PDVV RI WKLV FRDO ZKHQ
PLQHG WKH FKDQJH RI EDVHV HTXDWLRQ LV XVXDOO\ DSSOLHG DV
IROORZV
ARDrom = ARDad
(100 - Mad)
(100 - Mrom)
ZKHUH
ARDrom LVWKH$5'RIUXQRIPLQHFRDO
ARDad LVWKH$5'UHSRUWHGE\WKHODERUDWRU\
Mad
LVWKHPRLVWXUHFRQWHQWRIDLUGULHGFRDO
420
(1)
LVWKHPRLVWXUHFRQWHQWRIUXQRIPLQHFRDO
(100 - Mad)
(100 + (RDad # (Mis - Mad) - Mis))
(2)
LVWKH5'RIWKH in situFRDO
LVWKHODERUDWRU\DLUGULHG5'
LVWKHDLUGULHGPRLVWXUHFRQWHQW
is the in situPRLVWXUHFRQWHQW
:KDW WKLV HTXDWLRQ GRHV LV DGG ERWK WKH ZHLJKW RI WKH
DGGLWLRQDOPRLVWXUHDQGWKHYROXPHUHTXLUHGWRDFFRPPRGDWH
LW ZKHQ PRYLQJ IURP D ORZHU WR KLJKHU PRLVWXUH FRQWHQW
%HFDXVH WKH GHQVLW\ RI ZDWHU LV ORZHU WKDQ WKDW RI FRDO WKH
PRUHZDWHU\RXDGGWKHORZHUWKHUHODWLYHGHQVLW\EHFRPHV
7KHXVHRI(TXDWLRQKDVWKHRSSRVLWHHIIHFWUHVXOWLQJLQDQ
RYHUHVWLPDWHRIWKH&RDO5HVRXUFH
$VDQH[DPSOHLIDFRDOLVWHVWHGWRKDYHDQ5'RIJFF
DWDQDLUGULHGPRLVWXUHFRQWHQWRISHUFHQWWKHQWKH in situ
GHQVLW\ DW DQ in situ PRLVWXUH FRQWHQW RI SHU FHQW XVLQJ
(TXDWLRQZRXOGEH
RDis = 1.40 #
(100 - 2.0)
= 1.386 g/cc
(100 + (1.40 # (4.5 - 2.0) - 4.5))
,IWKLVFRQYHUVLRQZDVGRQHXVLQJWKHFRQYHQWLRQDOFKDQJH
RIEDVHVHTXDWLRQ(TXDWLRQWKHUHVXOWZRXOGEH
RDis = 1.40 #
(100 - 2.0)
= 1.437 g/cc
(100 - 4.5)
7KHFKDQJHRIEDVHVHTXDWLRQUHVXOWVLQDYDOXHIRU in situ
GHQVLW\ WKDW LV SHU FHQW KLJKHU WKDQ JHQHUDWHG E\ WKH
3UHVWRQ DQG 6DQGHUV HTXDWLRQ 7KH ODWWHU LV UHFRPPHQGHG
WR FRQYHUW ODERUDWRU\ YDOXHV RI UHODWLYH GHQVLW\ IURP WKHLU
TXRWHGYDOXHVDWDLUGULHGPRLVWXUHWRWKH in situPRLVWXUH7KH
in situRUEHGPRLVWXUHLVDIXQFWLRQRIWKHFRDOUDQNW\SHDQG
DPRXQWRIPLQHUDOPDWWHUDQGLVFORVHO\DSSUR[LPDWHGE\WKH
PRLVWXUHKROGLQJFDSDFLW\6DQGHUV0XOWLSOLFDWLRQRI
WKHYROXPHRIFRDOLQWKHJURXQGE\WKH5'DGMXVWHGWR in situ
PRLVWXUHXVLQJ(TXDWLRQSURYLGHVDQDSSURSULDWHHVWLPDWH
RI in situ WRQQDJH 3UHVWRQ UHYLHZV VRPH DOWHUQDWLYH
The Assessment and Management of Coal Recovery in Open Pit Mines|A Scott
DSSURDFKHVIRUWKHHVWLPDWLRQRI in situGHQVLW\DQGSURYLGHV
XVHIXOFRPPHQWVRQWKHLUVWUHQJWKVDQGZHDNQHVVHV
COAL RESERVES
+DYLQJFDOFXODWHGWKH in situWRQQDJHIURPWKH in situYROXPH
DQG in situ UHODWLYH GHQVLW\ D FKDLQ RI DGMXVWPHQWV PXVW
EH PDGH DV WKH FRDO SDVVHV WKURXJK D VHTXHQFH RI PLQLQJ
KDQGOLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJVWDJHVDVLWLVFRQYHUWHGWRDVDOHDEOH
FRPPRGLW\ 2QFH EURNHQ LQ SUHSDUDWLRQ IRU PLQLQJ WKH
YROXPHRIFRDOKDVOLWWOHPHDQLQJDQGPHDVXUHPHQWIRFXVHV
RQWRQQDJH$VWKHFRDOLVPLQHGDQGKDQGOHGQHZVXUIDFH
DUHDLVFUHDWHGDQGWKHFRDOZLOOWHQGWRJDLQPRLVWXUH$Q\
VXEVHTXHQWORVVRUDGGLWLRQRIPRLVWXUHZLOOVLPSO\DGGRU
UHPRYHZHLJKWDQGFDQEHDFFRXQWHGIRUXVLQJ(TXDWLRQ
4XDOLW\ SDUDPHWHUV FDQ DOVR EH H[SUHVVHG RQ GLIIHUHQW
PRLVWXUH EDVHV XVLQJ UHODWLRQVKLSV RI WKH VDPH IRUP DV
(TXDWLRQ 6DQGHUV UHFRPPHQGV FRQYHUWLQJ WKH
WRQQDJH RI FRDO WR EH PLQHG UXQRIPLQH FRDO DQG FRDO
EHLQJ SURFHVVHG WR D GU\ EDVLV VR WKDW LW FDQ EH ZHW EDFN
WRZKDWHYHUPRLVWXUHOHYHOLVDSSURSULDWHIRUHDFKVWDJHRI
WKHSURFHVV
7KHSK\VLFDOWUDQVIRUPDWLRQVWKDWWKHFRDOZLOOH[SHULHQFH
DVLWLVPLQHGWUDQVSRUWHGDQGSURFHVVHGQHHGWREHPRGHOOHG
LQ RUGHU WR HVWLPDWH WKH UXQRIPLQH DQG 0DUNHWDEOH &RDO
5HVHUYHV)LJXUHVKRZVKRZWKHVHWUDQVIRUPDWLRQVFDQEH
DFFRXQWHG IRU LQ HVWLPDWLQJ 5HVHUYHV 0RGHUQ JHRORJLFDO
PRGHOVDQGPLQHVFKHGXOLQJFRPSXWHUV\VWHPVDOORZWKHVH
WUDQVIRUPDWLRQV WR EH UHDGLO\ DSSOLHG WR FRPSOH[ GHSRVLWV
+RZHYHUWKHHIIHFWLYHXVHRIWKHVHV\VWHPVVWLOOUHTXLUHVWKH
EDVLFFDOFXODWLRQVWREHEDVHGRQDSSURSULDWHLQSXWV
,PSRUWDQW IHDWXUHV RI WKH WUDQVIRUPDWLRQV VKRZQ RQ
)LJXUHLQFOXGH
FIG 1 - Typical mining and processing flow sheet.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
421
FRUHVDQGWKHUHVXOWLQJ\LHOGLVFRQWUROOHGE\WKHTXDOLW\
DQGVL]HGLVWULEXWLRQRIWKLVIHHGFRDO
WKHFRQVLVWHQF\DQGTXDOLW\RIDEOHQGHGSODQWIHHGZKLFK
FDQKDYHDVLJQLFDQWHIIHFWRQZDVKLQJSHUIRUPDQFH
6LPSOHU VFKHPHV WKDQ WKDW VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH DUH RIWHQ
XVHGIRUWKHHVWLPDWLRQRIPLQHSURGXFWLRQZKHQSUHSDULQJ
PLQH VFKHGXOHV 0DQ\ RSHUDWLRQV DSSO\ [HG GHQVLWLHV
QRPLQDO PLQLQJ ORVVHV DQG SODQW \LHOGV EDVHG RQ KLVWRULFDO
SHUIRUPDQFH 7KLV DSSURDFK DOORZV JURVV SURGXFWLRQ WR
EH EXGJHWHG EXW JORVVHV RYHU WKH GHWDLOHG WUDQVIRUPDWLRQV
WKDWWDNHSODFHDVWKHFRDOLVPLQHGDQGSURFHVVHGDQGWKLV
VLPSOLFLW\OLPLWVWKHOHDUQLQJVWKDWFRXOGRWKHUZLVHEHDSSOLHG
WRLPSURYHWKHHIFLHQF\RIHDFKVWDJH
%DVLQJ PLQH VFKHGXOHV RQ QRPLQDO YDOXHV IRU PLQLQJ
UHFRYHU\ RU SODQW \LHOG ZLWKRXW XQGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH SK\VLFDO
EDVLV IRU WKLV SHUIRUPDQFH VHYHUHO\ OLPLWV WKH RSSRUWXQLW\
IRU WKH RSHUDWLRQ WR LPSURYH WKDW SHUIRUPDQFH 7R EH DEOH
WR GULYH LPSURYHPHQW LW LV QHFHVVDU\ WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH
FRPSRQHQWDOORZDQFHVPDGHLQWKH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHDQGEH
DEOH WR PHDVXUH WKH DFWXDO SHUIRUPDQFH DQG UHFRQFLOH WKLV
ZLWKWKH5HVHUYHSUHGLFWLRQV
LGHQWLI\DQ\UHDVRQZK\WKHEDVLVIRUWKH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHV
PD\QHHGWREHPRGLHG
LGHQWLI\ ZKHWKHU DQG KRZ WKH RSHUDWLQJ SUDFWLFHV PD\
QHHG WR EH FKDQJHG WR URXWLQHO\ PHHW WKH H[SHFWHG
SHUIRUPDQFH
LPSURYH WKH UHOLDELOLW\ RI IXWXUH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWHV DQG
SURGXFWLRQIRUHFDVWV
Current status
7KH $XVWUDOLDQ RSHQ SLW FRDO PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ KDV D SRRU
UHFRUG RI HIIHFWLYHO\ UHFRQFLOLQJ LWV PLQLQJ SHUIRUPDQFH
7KLVDULVHVEHFDXVHWKHSDWKWRJUHDWHUSURWDELOLW\LVXVXDOO\
H[SHFWHG WKURXJK LQFUHDVHG YROXPH UDWKHU WKDQ UHVRXUFH
UHFRYHU\DQGPDQDJHPHQWSHUIRUPDQFH.3,VWHQGWRUHHFW
WKLV SULRULW\ &XUUHQW SURGXFWLRQ PRQLWRULQJ JHQHUDOO\
LQFUHDVHVLQLQWHQVLW\DVWKHSURFHVVDSSURDFKHVWKHSRLQWRI
VDOHDVPRQH\LVVHHQWRFKDQJHKDQGVEDVHGRQWKHRXWFRPH
RIWKHVHPHDVXUHPHQWV8QIRUWXQDWHO\EODVWGDPDJHPLQLQJ
ORVVGLOXWLRQRUWKHH[FHVVLYHJHQHUDWLRQRIQHVDUHJHQHUDOO\
QRWTXDQWLHGDQGWKHLPSDFWRIWKHVHLPSRUWDQWPHFKDQLVPV
LV EOXUUHG E\ EHLQJ VXPPDULVHG XVLQJ LQGLFHV OLNH RYHUDOO
PLQLQJ UHFRYHU\ RU QHW SODQW \LHOG 7KHVH VXPPDU\
SDUDPHWHUVKLGHWKHGHWDLOUHTXLUHGWRGLUHFWO\FRPSDUHWKH
DFWXDO HOG SHUIRUPDQFH ZLWK WKH DVVXPSWLRQV XVHG LQ WKH
HVWLPDWLRQRIWKH5HVHUYHV
Challenges
7KHUHDUHDQXPEHURIFKDOOHQJHVWKDWFRPSOLFDWHWKHHIIHFWLYH
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ RI SURGXFWLRQ SHUIRUPDQFH DJDLQVW 5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWHV7KHVHDUHGHWDLOHGLQWKHIROORZLQJVHFWLRQV
Time-based reporting
0LQLQJRSHUDWLRQVDUHSODQQHGE\ORFDWLRQEXWDUHVFKHGXOHG
DQG UHSRUWHG DJDLQVW WLPH ,W LV WKHUHIRUH UHODWLYHO\ HDV\ WR
LGHQWLI\KRZPXFKRYHUEXUGHQZDVUHPRYHGRUFRDOH[SRVHG
PLQHG DQG GHOLYHUHG WR D SUHSDUDWLRQ SODQW RYHU D PRQWK
ZHHNRUSRVVLEO\HDFKVKLIW+RZHYHULWLVXQOLNHO\WKDWLWZLOO
EHDVLPSOHPDWWHUWRLGHQWLI\ZKLFKSURFHVVHVDQGKRZPXFK
RIWKHVHWRRNSODFHLQDSDUWLFXODUVWULSRUVFKHGXOLQJEORFN
7KHIDFWRUVDIIHFWLQJWKHPLQLQJORVVGLOXWLRQDQG\LHOGDUH
VSHFLFWRWKHFRQGLWLRQVH[LVWLQJLQWKDWSDUWRIWKHPLQHDQG
LWLVQHFHVVDU\WRFRPSDUHWKHSURGXFWLRQDFKLHYHGE\PLQLQJ
LQWKDWSODFHWRWKH5HVHUYHVHVWLPDWHGWRKDYHEHHQDYDLODEOH
IURPWKDWSODFH
The Assessment and Management of Coal Recovery in Open Pit Mines|A Scott
Measurement uncertainty
(DFK RI WKH GDWD HOHPHQWV WKDW DUH UHOLHG RQ WR HVWLPDWH WKH
YROXPH RI FRDO LQ WKH JURXQG WKH GHQVLW\ DQG PRLVWXUH
DUH VXEMHFW WR D GHJUHH RI XQFHUWDLQW\ 7KLV XQFHUWDLQW\
RU SRWHQWLDO HUURU ZLOO FRPELQH WKURXJK WKH FDOFXODWLRQV
LQYROYHG IROORZLQJ HVWDEOLVKHG VWDWLVWLFDO UXOHV 7KHVH
UHODWLRQVKLSV ZHUH H[SORUHG LQ $&$53 3URMHFW &
+ROWKDP 6DQGHUV DQG 6FRWW HQWLWOHG ,PSURYLQJ WKH
SUHFLVLRQRIWRQQDJHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
)RULQVWDQFHLIWKHURRIRIFRDODQGWKHRRURIFRDOFDQRQO\
EH PHDVXUHG DQG PRGHOOHG ZLWKLQ D WROHUDQFH RI P
EDVHG RQ WZR VWDQGDUG GHYLDWLRQV WKH WKLFNQHVV GHULYHG
IURPWKHGLIIHUHQFHEHWZHHQWKHURRIDQGRRUHOHYDWLRQPD\
YDU\ E\ P 7KLV LV SHU FHQW LQ D P VHDP DQG
SHUFHQWLQDPWKLFNVHDP
/DERUDWRU\ GHQVLW\ GHWHUPLQDWLRQV VKRXOG EH UHOLDEOH
ZLWKLQ SHU FHQW RI WKHLU YDOXH EXW DLUGULHG DQG in situ
PRLVWXUHYDOXHVPD\RQO\EHFRUUHFWZLWKLQSHUFHQWRI
PRLVWXUH LH SHU FHQW in situ PRLVWXUH ZLOO SUREDEO\ OLH
EHWZHHQ SHU FHQW DQG SHU FHQW $ ODERUDWRU\ 5' RI
JFF PD\ LQ IDFW UHSUHVHQW DQ in situ GHQVLW\ EHWZHHQ
DQGJFF
:KHQ FRPELQHG WRJHWKHU WKHVH XQFHUWDLQWLHV ZLOO UHVXOW
LQ D SDUFHO RI W RI FRDO in situ EHLQJ PHDVXUHG
VRPHZKHUH EHWZHHQ DQG W ,W LV LPSRUWDQW WR
UHFRJQLVH WKH SRWHQWLDO HUURU RU YDULDELOLW\ LQYROYHG LQ DQ\
RIWKHVHHVWLPDWHVHVSHFLDOO\ZKHQDSSO\LQJWKHVHYDOXHVWR
VXEVHTXHQWSURGXFWLRQUHFRQFLOLDWLRQV
6LPLODUO\ZKHQWKHFRDOLVGHOLYHUHGWRWKHFUXVKHUSDVVHV
RYHU WKH ZHLJKWRPHWHU DQG LV VDPSOHG WKHUH LV XQFHUWDLQW\
DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH ZHLJKWRPHWHU UHDGLQJ DVK DQG UXQRI
PLQH520PRLVWXUHGHWHUPLQDWLRQV5HDVRQDEOHWROHUDQFHV
IRU WKHVH PHDVXUHPHQWV PLJKW EH SHU FHQW IRU WKH
ZHLJKWRPHWHU SHU FHQW RI 520 PRLVWXUH DQG SHU
FHQWRIDVK,IWKHVHWROHUDQFHVDUHFRQVLGHUHGWRUHSUHVHQWWZR
VWDQGDUGGHYLDWLRQVWKHQWZRWKLUGVRIWKHUHDGLQJVZLOOOLH
LQDUDQJHRISOXVRUPLQXVKDOIWKHVHUDQJHV
,QWHUPHGLDWH PHDVXUHPHQWV RI SURGXFWLRQ DUH DYDLODEOH
IURP WUXFN FRXQWV SHUKDSV ORJJHG E\ D GLVSDWFK RU HHW
PDQDJHPHQWV\VWHPWUXFNIDFWRUVIURPORDGFHOOVRQWUXFN
VWUXWV RU VWDQGDUGYDOXHVDVVLJQHGWR HDFKW\SH RIWUXFNRU
VWRFNSLOH YROXPHV 0RGHUQ VXUYH\ V\VWHPV DOORZ VWRFNSLOH
YROXPHV WR EH GHWHUPLQHG ZLWK VRPH UHOLDELOLW\ EXW WKH
DYHUDJH EXON GHQVLW\ DQG DFWXDO PRLVWXUH FRQWHQW RI WKH
VWRFNSLOHGFRDOPD\EHVXEMHFWWRVRPHXQFHUWDLQW\
7KH PRVW UHOLDEOH PHDVXUHPHQWV RI PLQHG TXDQWLWLHV DUH
OLNHO\ WR EH VRXUFHG IURP ZHLJKWRPHWHUV RQ WKH FUXVKHG
FRDO FRQYH\RUV RQ WKH IHHG VLGH RI WKH SUHSDUDWLRQ SODQW $
UHDVRQDEOHHVWLPDWHRIWKHSODQWIHHGWRQQDJHFDQEHJHQHUDWHG
LI WKHVH ZHLJKWRPHWHU UHDGLQJV DUH VXSSRUWHG E\ DGHTXDWH
VDPSOLQJDQGDQDO\VLVHTXLSPHQWWRSURYLGHGDWDGHVFULELQJ
WKH 520 FRDO PRLVWXUH DQG DVK 7KH LQWHUPHGLDWH WUXFNLQJ
DQGVWRFNSLOHTXDQWLWLHVDUHOLNHO\WREHPXFKOHVVSUHFLVHDQG
DUHQRWUHFRPPHQGHGIRUXVHLQUHFRQFLOLDWLRQFDOFXODWLRQV
Tracking production
&RDOPLQHGIURPDSDUWLFXODUSODFHPD\EHKDXOHGGLUHFWO\WR
DKRSSHUDQGIHGGLUHFWO\WRWKHSUHSDUDWLRQSODQWKRZHYHU
LW LV PRUH OLNHO\ WKDW LW ZLOO EH SODFHG RQ DQ LQWHUPHGLDWH
VWRFNSLOHDQGUHFODLPHGDWDODWHUWLPHWREHIHGLQWRWKHSODQW
,W PD\ EH UHKDQGOHG PRUH WKDQ RQFH RU EH EOHQGHG ZLWK
DQRWKHUFRDOSULRUWREHLQJIHGWRWKHSODQW0RVWSURGXFWLRQ
UHSRUWLQJV\VWHPVGRQRWFDUU\WKHRULJLQDOVRXUFHLGHQWLW\RI
FRDOEH\RQGWKHUVWVWRFNSLOLQJRUEOHQGLQJSURFHVV
7KH ORZSUHFLVLRQ LQWHUPHGLDWH SURGXFWLRQ GDWD DUH RIWHQ
XVHG WR DSSRUWLRQ SURGXFWLRQ TXDQWLWLHV EHWZHHQ GLIIHUHQW
FRDOV ZKHQ VWRFNSLOLQJ DQG EOHQGLQJ DUH LQYROYHG LQ WKH
SURGXFWLRQSURFHVV7KLVGHJUDGHVWKHSUHFLVLRQZLWKZKLFK
WKH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ RI PLQLQJ SHUIRUPDQFH DJDLQVW 5HVHUYHV
GHSOHWHGFDQEHXQGHUWDNHQ
423
TABLE 1
Impact of some loss and dilution mechanisms.
Location
Roof
Floor
Edge
Mechanism
Impact
Geological structure
Faults or local changes in dip make it difficult to predict the location of the coal-waste interface and can prevent adequate access for mining
equipment.
Overburden blasting
Excess shock and gas effects from blasting can damage coal. The movement of overburden in cast blasting also erodes the coal surface.
Overburden equipment
Large-scale mining equipment cannot surgically define the interface between coal and waste.
Clean-up
Mobile equipment is usually employed to clean the roof of coal. In general, any loose material is pushed aside. Tracked dozers damage the
roof of coal.
Water
Water lying in a pit obscures vision, weakens materials and limits access.
Coal properties
Bright, friable coals are easily eroded by a blast or removed during clean-up. Dull, blocky coals are more resilient but may stick to roof material.
Geological structure
Irregular geometry from faults, rolls or intrusions disrupts mining operations and limits equipment access.
Coal breakage
Floor damage can result from excess blast energy or lack of control when ripping coal.
Mining equipment
The mining equipment and working method selected has a strong influence on the accuracy of mining.
Clean-up
Clean-up practices control the final coal recovery and dilution achieved at the seam floor.
Water
The presence of water weakens materials, obscures vision and limits access.
Floor properties
A soft floor creates trafficability problems and can lead to over-excavation, increasing dilution.
Highwall stability
Highwall failures (even mild ravelling) can cover coal at the highwall edge limiting access and recovery.
Cast blasting
Spoil placement
Spoil failures or ravelling can cover the low wall edge of coal, sterilising Reserves or causing dilution.
Clean-up
The size and type of equipment affects the recovery and dilution at the highwall and low wall edges.
Water
Water interferes with the ordered recovery of coal, reducing recovery and increasing dilution.
Role of survey
'DWD IURP HOG VXUYH\V LV YLWDO WR GHQH WKH YROXPH DQG
ORFDWLRQ RI WKH FRDO GHSOHWHG E\ PLQLQJ 7KH WRQQDJH DQG
TXDOLW\ RI WKH FRDO GHSOHWHG FDQ WKHQ EH GHWHUPLQHG E\
LQWHUURJDWLQJWKH5HVHUYHVPRGHOIRUWKDWYROXPHRIFRDOLQ
WKDW ORFDWLRQ +RZHYHU WKH IDFW WKDW WKH 5HVHUYH KDV EHHQ
GHSOHWHGLHQRORQJHUDYDLODEOHWREHPLQHGGRHVQRWPHDQ
WKDWLWKDVDOOEHHQVXFFHVVIXOO\FRQYHUWHGWRUXQRIPLQHFRDO
)LHOG VXUYH\V FDQ DOVR LGHQWLI\ DQG KHOS WR TXDQWLI\ D
QXPEHURIWKHLPSRUWDQWORVVDQGGLOXWLRQPHFKDQLVPV)RU
LQVWDQFHVXUYH\VFDQLGHQWLI\WKHGLVSODFHPHQWRUGHVWUXFWLRQ
RIWKHORZZDOOHGJHRIFRDO)LJXUHHURVLRQRIWKHURRIRI
FRDOGXULQJRYHUEXUGHQUHPRYDO)LJXUHVDQGRUFRDOORVW
IURPWKHORZZDOOHGJHGXULQJFOHDQXS)LJXUHKRZHYHU
FDUHPXVWEHWDNHQZKHQLQWHUSUHWLQJWKHVHVXUYH\RXWFRPHV
,I WKH VHDP KDV EHHQ GLVSODFHG RU GLVWXUEHG LW ZLOO KDYH
VXIIHUHG VRPH VZHOO DQG D FRPSDULVRQ RI YROXPHV ZLOO QRW
SURSHUO\DFFRXQWIRUWKHWRQQDJHVLQYROYHGEHFDXVHWKHEXON
GHQVLW\RIWKHFRDOZLOOKDYHFKDQJHG
6XUYH\VDUHDOVROLPLWHGLQDTXDQWLWDWLYHVHQVHEHFDXVHWKH\
FDQQRWVHHWKHH[WHQWRIEXULHGFRDODQGTXDQWLI\LQJGLOXWLRQ
LV GLIFXOW )LJXUH +RZHYHU VXUYH\V SOD\ D YLWDO UROH LQ
LGHQWLI\LQJWKHGRPLQDQWORVVDQGGLOXWLRQPHFKDQLVPVDQG
FDQJXLGHLQLWLDOHVWLPDWHVRIWKHFRQWULEXWLRQRIHDFKWRWKH
RYHUDOOUHFRYHU\SHUIRUPDQFH
6XUYH\VFDQSURYLGHYHU\VSHFLFDQGUHOHYDQWLQIRUPDWLRQ
LQ VHOHFWHG FLUFXPVWDQFHV ,I WKH JHRORJLFDO VHTXHQFH DOORZV
WKH DFWXDO URRI RU RRU VWUDWD WR EH LGHQWLHG )LJXUH
424
FIG 3 - Displacement of the low wall edge of coal as identified by pit surveys.
This plan shows the original and post exposure location of the low wall edge of
coal. In this example, a horizontal displacement of 10 m has been generated by
the overburden blast.
WKLVFDQSURYLGHDFOHDUGDWDSRLQWIRUFRPSDULVRQZLWKWKH
VXUURXQGLQJDUHD6RPHVWUDWDDUHYHU\UHJXODUOLNHWKHVHDP
VKRZQRQ)LJXUH+HUHWKHUHLVDFKDUDFWHULVWLFWKLQPDUNHU
EDQGDSSUR[LPDWHO\PPIURPWKHVHDPURRI7KHSUHVHQFH
RUDEVHQFHRIWKLVPDUNHUEDQGLQWUHQFKHVH[FDYDWHGLQWKH
H[SRVHG FRDO VHDP SURYLGHV D VSHFLF PHDVXUHPHQW RI WKH
FRDOORVVVXIIHUHGGXULQJWKHH[SRVXUHRIWKHVHDP
7KH ORZ ZDOO HGJH VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH KDV EHHQ FOHDUO\
GHQHGGXULQJFOHDQXSDOORZLQJWKHYROXPHRIWKHFRDOWR
EHPLQHGIURPWKLVDUHDFDUHIXOO\GHQHGE\VXUYH\
,QLWLDO HVWLPDWHV RI WKH LQXHQFH RI LQGLYLGXDO ORVV
DQG GLOXWLRQ PHFKDQLVPV XVXDOO\ QHHG WR EH EDVHG RQ
DVVHPEOLQJ FRPSRQHQWV RI WKH RYHUDOO SX]]OH IURP WKH
The Assessment and Management of Coal Recovery in Open Pit Mines|A Scott
FIG 4 - This coal roof has been exposed and cleaned up ready for blasting. The
coal quality officer is standing on a small section of the actual geological roof.
Comparison with the broken material nearby indicates the extent of coal loss
caused during exposure and clean up.
UDQJH RI DYDLODEOH HYLGHQFH 7\SLFDO ORVV WKLFNQHVVHV IRU
WKHVHDPURRIDQGRRUFDQEHJOHDQHGIURPDYDLODEOHGDWD
SRLQWV OLNH WKDW VHHQ RQ )LJXUH DV ZHOO DV WKH H[WHQW RI
VHDPGLVSODFHPHQWRUHURVLRQIURPIRFXVHGSLWVXUYH\VDIWHU
WKHFRDOKDVEHHQH[SRVHG,WLVYHU\GLIFXOWWRREVHUYHWKH
H[WHQW RI GLOXWLRQ LQ RWKHU WKDQ TXDOLWDWLYH WHUPV XQWLO WKH
JDLQLQDVKEHWZHHQ in situDQG520FRDOFDQEHPHDVXUHG
)LJXUH
FIG 6 - A block of coal exposed and cleaned up ready for mining. The left-hand
(low wall) edge of the coal should be straight. This photograph indicates that
several metres of edge coal has been displaced and lost during overburden
blasting.
7KH WRQQDJH RI GLOXWLRQ FDQ EH HVWLPDWHG IURP DQ DVK
EDODQFHXVLQJ
D = Trom #
Ashrom - Ashis
AshDil - Ashis
(3)
ZKHUH
D
Trom
Ashrom
Ashis
AshDil
LVWKHWRQQDJHRIGLOXWLRQ
LVWKHUXQRIPLQHSURGXFWLRQWRQQDJH
LVWKHPHDVXUHGUXQRIPLQHDVKSHUFHQWDJH
is the in situDVKSHUFHQWDJHIRUWKHVHDP
LVWKHDVKSHUFHQWDJHRIWKHGLOXWLRQ
FIG 7 - Loose material is being pushed up by dozers to expose the coal roof.
The seam has been disturbed and includes in situ dilution. It is not possible to
reliably survey the extent of this dilution even though it is visible because of its
erratic form in three dimensions. Most dilution in open pit mines is not readily
visible and therefore even more difficult to survey.
FIG 5 - The dotted lines trace the characteristic white marker bands within a coal seam. When exposed in the pit, the coal above the
first marker band is missing, indicating at least 300 mm of coal loss.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
425
$VDQH[DPSOHLIWKH in situDVKRIDFRDOLVSHUFHQWDQG
WKH DVK FRQWHQW RI WKH GLOXWLQJ PDWHULDO LV SHU FHQW WKH
WRQQDJHRIGLOXWLRQLQFOXGHGLQDWSDUFHORI520FRDO
ZLWKD520DVKRISHUFHQWZRXOGEH
D = 1000 #
(19% - 15%)
= 61.5 tonnes or 6.15%
(80% - 15%)
0RGHOV RI WKH OLNHO\ LQXHQFH RI HDFK ORVV DQG GLOXWLRQ
PHFKDQLVP FDQ EH WULDOOHG WR JHQHUDWH DQ HVWLPDWH RI WKH
RYHUDOOPLQLQJUHFRYHU\DQG520FRDOTXDOLW\H[SHFWHGIURP
PLQLQJLQDJLYHQDUHD7KLVHVWLPDWHFDQWKHQEHFRPSDUHG
ZLWK WKH PHDVXUHG PLQLQJ SHUIRUPDQFH DQG WKH ORVV DQG
GLOXWLRQPRGHOVUHQHGWREHWWHUPDWFKWKHPHDVXUHGUHVXOWV
FIG 8 - Potential locations for loss and dilution for a strip mining situation shown on a cross-section of one strip of the seam. The brown areas
represent potential dilution and the black areas represent potential coal loss. 1. Blast erosion wedge, 2. coal roof loss, 3. coal low wall edge loss,
4. coal floor loss, 5. highwall chop, loss, 6. highwall wedge, 7. roof dilution, 8. low wall edge dilution, 9. highwall dilution wedge, 10. floor dilution.
FIG 9 - Erosion of roof of coal by a cast blast. The coal seam should dip at its natural angle, but the coal falls
away to the left where a wedge of coal has been eroded by the overburden cast forward during blasting.
426
The Assessment and Management of Coal Recovery in Open Pit Mines|A Scott
Mining accuracy
7KHHVWLPDWLRQRIPLQLQJUHFRYHU\GHSHQGVRQWKHFRQFHSWRI
PLQLQJDFFXUDF\:KHQHYHUDQDWWHPSWLVPDGHWRVHSDUDWH
PDWHULDODWDQLQWHUIDFHLWPXVWEHDFFHSWHGWKDWVRPHWLPHV
WKH DFWXDO VHSDUDWLRQ SRLQW ZLOO EH KLJK DQG VRPHWLPHV LW
ZLOO EH ORZ 7KH UHVXOWLQJ FXW VXUIDFH ZLOO WKHUHIRUH EH DQ
DSSUR[LPDWLRQRIWKHDFWXDOLQWHUIDFH7KLVH[FDYDWHGVXUIDFH
FDQEHPRGHOOHGDVDVLQHZDYHDVVKRZQLQ)LJXUHZKLFK
UHSUHVHQWV WKH FOHDQLQJ RI D VHDP URRI $FFRUGLQJ WR WKLV
PRGHO WKH DPRXQW RI FRDO ORVW WKH GDUN DUHD RI )LJXUH
LV WKH DUHD ZKHUH WKH VLQH ZDYH IDOOV EHORZ WKH LQWHUIDFH LH
WKHLQWHUIDFHKDVEHHQORFDOO\RYHUH[FDYDWHG7KHDPRXQWRI
GLOXWLRQ LVUHSUHVHQWHG E\ WKH OLJKW DUHD DERYH WKHLQWHUIDFH
EXWEHORZWKHFXUYHZKLFKUHSUHVHQWVURRIPDWHULDOWKDWKDV
QRWEHHQUHPRYHGE\WKHH[FDYDWRU
%1B'
1.4
5RRI
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
Dilution
Loss
Av.Dilution
Av.Loss
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1.0
-1.2
-1.4
FIG 12 - The target horizon has been set below the actual coal/waste interface,
resulting in an estimate of average loss and dilution thickness that is supported
by field observation.
FIG 10 - Model for the exposure of a seam roof. There is a characteristic bias
towards a greater thickness of coal loss than dilution when exposing a coal
roof. The sine wave is therefore displaced below its mean position. The average
dilution thickness is the average thickness represented by the light-coloured area
above the actual excavated surface, and the average loss thickness is the average
thickness represented by the dark area below the actual excavated surface.
)LJXUH VKRZV DQ HVWLPDWH RI WKH ORVV DQG GLOXWLRQ DW D
FRDO VHDP URRI ZKHQ H[FDYDWHG E\ D GUDJOLQH 7KH DQDO\VLV
VKRZV D VFUHHQ IURP WKH 0LQH3ODQW LQWHUDFWLRQ PRGHO
+ROWKDP 6FRWW DQG 7H\ 7KH HVWLPDWH VXJJHVWV WKDW
HTXDOYROXPHVRIFRDOORVVDQGGLOXWLRQPLJKWRFFXU
)LHOGREVHUYDWLRQLQGLFDWHVWKDWLQJHQHUDOOLWWOHGLOXWLRQLV
OHIW RQ WKH URRI RI H[SRVHG FRDO VHDPV LH WKH H[WHQW RI ORVV
XQGHUWKHLQWHUIDFHLVJUHDWHUWKDQWKHH[WHQWRIGLOXWLRQDERYH
WKH LQWHUIDFH $Q RIIVHW LV WKHUHIRUH UHTXLUHG WR ORZHU WKH
UHIHUHQFHRIWKHVLQHFXUYHEHORZWKHDFWXDOPDWHULDOLQWHUIDFH
DVVHHQLQ)LJXUH
$ GLVSODFHPHQW RI WKH VLQH FXUYH WR SHU FHQW RI LWV
DPSOLWXGH EHORZ WKH DFWXDO FRDOZDVWH LQWHUIDFH DV VKRZQ
LQ )LJXUH KDV EHHQ IRXQG LQ SUDFWLFH WR JHQHUDWH UHDOLVWLF
HVWLPDWHVRIORVVDQGGLOXWLRQWKLFNQHVVHVIRUWKHH[SRVXUHRID
VHDPURRI,QWKLVFDVHWKHDYHUDJHORVVWKLFNQHVVLVHVWLPDWHG
WREHPPDQGWKHDYHUDJHGLOXWLRQWKLFNQHVVLVHVWLPDWHG
WREHPP&RQYHUWLQJWKHVHWKLFNQHVVHVLQWRWRQQDJHDOORZV
WKHPDVVSHUFHQWDJHORVVDQGGLOXWLRQWREHHVWLPDWHG
$ VLPLODU VLWXDWLRQ DULVHV ZKHQ PRGHOOLQJ WKH H[SRVXUH
RI VHDP RRUV ZKHUH LQ JHQHUDO OLWWOH FRDO LV OHIW EHKLQG
EXWVLJQLFDQWGLOXWLRQLVWDNHQZLWKWKH520FRDO7KLVLV
LOOXVWUDWHGLQ)LJXUH
WKHVWUHQJWKDQGVWUXFWXUHRIWKHURRIPDWHULDO
WKH PHWKRG RI RYHUEXUGHQ EUHDNDJH RYHUEXUGHQ HTXLS
PHQWDQGPLQLQJPHWKRG
WKH VWUHQJWK VWUXFWXUH GLS DQG GHJUHH RI VWUXFWXUDO
GLVWXUEDQFHWRWKHFRDO
WKHFRORXUGLIIHUHQFHEHWZHHQFRDODQGZDVWH
WKHPHWKRGRIFRDOEUHDNDJHDQGWKHPLQLQJHTXLSPHQW
XVHG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
427
%1B'
1.4
)ORRU
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
Loss
Dilution
Av.Loss
Av.Dilution
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1.0
-1.2
-1.4
FIG 14 - Cross-section showing roof erosion and low wall loss and dilution
using the loss and dilution model provided by ACARP Project 8036. The green
zone represents coal loss and the orange represents dilution included with
the run-of-mine coal when the low wall edge is mined.
FIG 13 - Model for the exposure of a seam floor. In this case it is the dilution
(light colour below the actual excavated surface) that is larger than the coal
loss (dark colour above the actual excavated surface). The seam floor shown
has very little coal left on it.
WKHVWUHQJWKDQGVWUXFWXUHRIWKHRRU
WKH QDWXUH RI WKH FRDOZDVWH LQWHUIDFH ZKHWKHU WKH
PDWHULDOUHDGLO\SDUWVRUVWLFNV
$UDWLQJVFKHPHZDVGHYHORSHGDVSDUWRI$&$533URMHFW
& WKDW HVWLPDWHG WKH PLQLQJ UHFRYHU\ DQG GLOXWLRQ
H[SHFWHGIRUPLQLQJFRQGLWLRQVGHVFULEHGE\WKHSDUDPHWHUV
OLVWHGDERYH7KHDQDO\VLVSURYLGHVDQHVWLPDWHRIWKHDFFXUDF\
H[SHFWHGIRUGLIIHUHQWPLQLQJFRQGLWLRQVLHWKHDPSOLWXGHRI
WKHVLQHZDYH7KHRIIVHWRIWKLVVLQHZDYHGHVFULEHVZKHWKHU
WKHDSSURDFKWRWKHH[SRVXUHRIWKHLQWHUIDFHWDUJHWVDQHYHQ
VSUHDG RI XQGHU DQG RYHUH[FDYDWLRQ RU WKH PRUH W\SLFDO
WHQGHQF\WRRYHUH[FDYDWHHDFKVXUIDFH
FIG 15 - Robbing coal from a low wall inevitably leaves some coal behind (loss)
and includes some dilution.
FIG 16 - The presence of water weakens both the coal and non-coal strata so
that the interface between them at the roof and floor of the seam are more
difficult to physically separate. The soft, disturbed surfaces seen in this picture
are the result of wet working conditions that result in both increased loss of
coal and increased dilution.
The Assessment and Management of Coal Recovery in Open Pit Mines|A Scott
PXG LQ WKH EODVWKROH GLIFXOWLHV HQVXULQJ WKDW WKH EDVH RI
WKHFKDUJHLVSODFHGDWWKHUHTXLUHGVWDQGRIIGLVWDQFHIURP
WKH XQGHUO\LQJ FRDO DQG WKH OLNHOLKRRG RI ZDWHU GDPDJH WR
WKHEXONH[SORVLYH%ODVWGDPDJHWRFRDOLVRIWHQH[DJJHUDWHG
LQ VDWXUDWHG JURXQG EHFDXVH RI WKH HIFLHQF\ ZLWK ZKLFK
FRPSUHVVLRQZDYHVDUHWUDQVPLWWHG
XVHGE\WKH$XVWUDOLDQLQGXVWU\FDQEHXVHGWRPRGHOSODQW
SHUIRUPDQFHSURYLGHGWKHUHOHYDQWSURSHUWLHVRIWKHIHHGFRDO
FDQEHDGHTXDWHO\FKDUDFWHULVHG
0LQLQJDFWLYLWLHVLPSDFWRQSUHSDUDWLRQSODQWSHUIRUPDQFH
LQWKHIROORZLQJZD\V
7KHLQWURGXFWLRQRIGLOXWLRQLQWRSODQWIHHG
6RPH RI WKLV GLOXWLRQ PDWHULDO PD\ GHOHWHULRXVO\ DIIHFW
SODQW SURFHVVHV UHGXFLQJ VHSDUDWLRQ HIFLHQF\ WR D
JUHDWHUH[WHQWWKDQH[SHFWHG
%OHQGHGSODQWIHHGVFRPSOLFDWHWKHVHOHFWLRQRIPHGLXP
GHQVLW\ZKHQFRPSRQHQWFRDOVKDYHGLIIHUHQWVHSDUDWLRQ
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
([FHVVLYH QH FRDO FDQ EH JHQHUDWHG E\ SLW ZRUNLQJ
SUDFWLFHV 7KLV PD\ WUDQVIHU FRDO LQWR PRUH H[SHQVLYH
ORZHU \LHOG VHSDUDWLRQ SURFHVVHV DQG LQFUHDVH WKH
PRLVWXUHFRQWHQWRIWKHSURGXFWFRDO
5RXWLQH VDPSOLQJ DQG DQDO\VLV RI SODQW IHHG FDQ SURYLGH
WKH GDWD QHHGHG WR FRPSDUH WKH FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI WKH FRDO
EHLQJ GHOLYHUHG IURP WKH PLQH ZLWK WKH FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
H[SHFWHG EDVHG RQ WKH DGMXVWPHQWV LQFOXGHG LQ WKH 5HVHUYH
FDOFXODWLRQV ,I VXEVWDQWLDO GLIIHUHQFHV DUH DSSDUHQW HLWKHU
VRPH DVSHFW RI WKH PLQLQJ SURFHVV QHHGV WR EH DOWHUHG WR
PRUH FORVHO\ PDWFK WKH LQWHQGHG RXWFRPH RU VRPH RI WKH
XQGHUO\LQJDVVXPSWLRQVRQZKLFKWKH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHVDUH
EDVHGZLOOQHHGWREHXSGDWHG
FIG 17 - Characterising coal breakage by lithotype. The brightness profile (eg dull bright DB, bright bright BB) can be mapped to identify the predominance of different
lithotypes, and their characteristics energy-breakage behaviour can be used to model their breakage during handling and washing processes (ACARP Project C6046).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
429
FIG 18 - Process flow sheet simulators and partition-based separation models can be used to model preparation plant performance
based on the characteristics of the coals (ACARP Project C8036); eg density versus partition number (PN) relationship as shown.
7KHWRQQDJHDVKDQGPRLVWXUHFRQWHQWRIWKHFRDOWKHUHIRUH
QHHGV WR EH NQRZQ SULRU WR PLQLQJ DQG ZKHQ WKH FRDO LV
GHOLYHUHGWRWKHSUHSDUDWLRQSODQWRUVROGWRWKHFXVWRPHU
7KLV UHTXLUHV DSSURSULDWH DQDO\VLV DQG PRGHOOLQJ RI
H[SORUDWLRQ GDWD DQG WKH ZHLJKLQJ DQG VDPSOLQJ RI
PLQHG DQG SURFHVVHG FRDO ,QWHUPHGLDWH PHDVXUHPHQWV RI
TXDQWLWLHV IURP WUXFNLQJ DQG VWRFNSLOLQJ DUH XVXDOO\ OHVV
SUHFLVHDQGVKRXOGRQO\EHXVHGWRDVVLVWWKHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
LQ WHUPV RI LGHQWLI\LQJ EOHQG UDWLRV DQG WUDFNLQJ PDWHULDO
EDODQFH
7KH EDVLF VWHSV UHTXLUHG IRU URXWLQH SURGXFWLRQ UHFRQ
FLOLDWLRQLQYROYH
HVWLPDWHWKH5HVHUYH
DSSO\WKH-25&FRGHDQG*XLGHOLQHV
JHQHUDWH D JUDGH FRQWURO PRGHO DV DGGLWLRQDO HOG
GDWDEHFRPHDYDLODEOH
PHDVXUHWKHFRDOH[SRVHGWRWUDFNSLWLQYHQWRU\
LGHDOO\ RQ WKH EDVLV RI DUHD E\ SO\ E\ TXDQWLW\ DQG
TXDOLW\IURPWKHJHRORJLFDOPRGHO
LGHQWLI\ WKH PHFKDQLVPV RI FRDO GDPDJH ORVV RU
GLOXWLRQWRDVVLVWLQUHQHPHQWVWRRSHUDWLQJSUDFWLFHV
RULPSURYHIXWXUHSUHGLFWLRQV
PHDVXUHDQGWUDFNFRDOPLQHGDQGGHOLYHUHGWRWKH520
KRSSHU
EDODQFHVWRFNSLOHGTXDQWLWLHVDQGFRDOEOHQGV
VDPSOH WKH 520 TXDOLW\ DQG LGHQWLI\ WKH DVK JDLQ DQG
KHQFHGLOXWLRQ
PHDVXUHEHQHFLDWLRQDQGSODQWSHUIRUPDQFH
LGHQWLI\SURGXFWTXDQWLW\DQGTXDOLW\
WUDFNFRDOWRQDOVDOHEOHQG
FRPSDUHFRDOPLQHGZLWKSLWLQYHQWRU\DQG&RDO5HVHUYH
FRQVXPHG
FRPSDUHZDVKHGSURGXFWZLWK0DUNHWDEOH&RDO5HVHUYH
FRQVXPHG
CONCLUSIONS
7KLVGLVFXVVLRQLVEDVHGRQWKHUHVXOWVRIDQXPEHURIIRUPDO
UHVHDUFK SURMHFWV DQG D YHU\ ODUJH QXPEHU RI FRQVXOWLQJ
DVVLJQPHQWVIRFXVHGRQXQGHUVWDQGLQJDQGTXDQWLI\LQJWKH
FRDO UHFRYHU\ SHUIRUPDQFH DFKLHYHG E\ $XVWUDOLDQ RSHQ SLW
FRDO PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQV 7KH IROORZLQJ JHQHUDO FRQFOXVLRQV
FDQEHGUDZQEDVHGRQWKHSHUIRUPDQFHRIWKLVZRUNRYHUWKH
ODVW\HDUV
The Assessment and Management of Coal Recovery in Open Pit Mines|A Scott
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUZLVKHVWRDFNQRZOHGJHWKHVXSSRUWSURYLGHGE\
$&$53DQGWKH$XVWUDOLDQPLQLQJLQGXVWU\WKDWVXSSRUWHG
WKH UHVHDUFK DQG FRQVXOWLQJ SURMHFWV RQ ZKLFK WKLV ZRUN
KDVEHHQEDVHG&RPSRQHQWVRIWKLVZRUNZHUHXQGHUWDNHQ
LQ SDUWQHUVKLS ZLWK 'U 5D\ :HGPDLHU 'U &KULV :RRG 'U
3HWHU +ROWKDP $ODQ &RFNHU DQG 0LNH +LJJLQV WKHQ RI WKH
-.05&DQG'U-RDQ(VWHUOHRIWKH&6,52'LFN6DQGHUVRI
4XDOLW\&RDO&RQVXOWLQJKDVSURYLGHGLQYDOXDEOHDGYLFHZLWK
UHJDUGWRGHQVLW\DQGPRLVWXUHLVVXHV7KHLUFRQWULEXWLRQWR
WKHPDQ\SURMHFWVXQGHUWDNHQLVJUDWHIXOO\DFNQRZOHGJHG
REFERENCES
&RDOHOGV*HRORJ\&RXQFLORI1HZ6RXWK:DOHVDQGWKH4XHHQVODQG
0LQLQJ&RXQFLO$XVWUDOLDQ*XLGHOLQHVIRU(VWLPDWLQJDQG
5HSRUWLQJRI,QYHQWRU\&RDO&RDO5HVRXUFHVDQG&RDO5HVHUYHV
(VWHUOH-7KRUQWRQ'2%ULHQ*DQG&RFNHU$2SWLPLVLQJ
FRDOIUDJPHQWDWLRQIRULPSURYHGUHFRYHU\)LQDOUHSRUWRI3URMHFW
& $XVWUDOLDQ &RDO $VVRFLDWLRQ 5HVHDUFK 3URJUDP &6,52
DQG-XOLXV.UXWWVFKQLWW0LQHUDO5HVHDUFK&HQWUH-XO\
+ROWKDP36DQGHUV5DQG6FRWW$,PSURYLQJWKHSUHFLVLRQRI
WRQQDJHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ)LQDOUHSRUWRI3URMHFW&$XVWUDOLDQ
&RDO$VVRFLDWLRQ5HVHDUFK3URJUDP-XOLXV.UXWWVFKQLWW0LQHUDO
5HVHDUFK&HQWUH$XJXVW
+ROWKDP36FRWW$DQG7H\&0LQHSODQWLQWHUDFWLRQ)LQDO
UHSRUW RI 3URMHFW & $XVWUDOLDQ &RDO $VVRFLDWLRQ 5HVHDUFK
3URJUDP-XOLXV.UXWWVFKQLWW0LQHUDO5HVHDUFK&HQWUH-DQXDU\
3UHVWRQ . % (VWLPDWLQJ WKH in situ UHODWLYH GHQVLW\ RI FRDO
ROGIDYRXULWHVDQGQHZGHYHORSPHQWVLQProceedings Bowen Basin
Symposium HG-:%HHVWRQSS%RZHQ%DVLQ*HRORJLVWV
*URXSDQG*HRORJLFDO6RFLHW\RI$XVWUDOLD<HSSRRQ
3UHVWRQ.%DQG6DQGHUV5+(VWLPDWLQJWKH in situUHODWLYH
GHQVLW\RIFRDOAustralian Coal Geology0D\
6DQGHUV53HUVRQDOFRPPXQLFDWLRQ
6FRWW $ DQG :RRG & $Q DQDO\VLV RI PLQLQJ DQG EOHQGLQJ
VWUDWHJLHV WR RSWLPLVH FRDO UHFRYHU\ -.05& UHSRUW WR %+3
$XVWUDOLD&RDO
6WDQGDUGV$VVRFLDWLRQRI$XVWUDOLD$60HWKRGVIRU
WKHDQDO\VLVDQGWHVWLQJRIFRDODQGFRNH3DUW'HWHUPLQDWLRQ
RIWKHUHODWLYHGHQVLW\DQGDSSDUHQWUHODWLYHGHQVLW\RIKDUGFRDO
:HGPDLHU 5 DQG 6FRWW $ 7KH DVVHVVPHQW DQG FRQWURO RI
FRDOGDPDJHDQGORVV)LQDOUHSRUWRI3URMHFW&$XVWUDOLDQ
&RDO$VVRFLDWLRQ5HVHDUFK3URJUDP-XOLXV.UXWWVFKQLWW0LQHUDO
5HVHDUFK&HQWUH6HSWHPEHU
431
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Consulting Metallurgist, 90 Glover Street, Mosman NSW 2088. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published in the first edition of Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice (2001).
INTRODUCTION
7KH YHUVLRQ RI The Australasian Code for Reporting of
([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV (The
-25&&RGHGHQHV2UH5HVHUYHVDV
WKRVH SRUWLRQV RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV WKDW DIWHU WKH
DSSOLFDWLRQRIDOO0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVUHVXOWLQDQHVWLPDWHG
tonnage and grade which can be the basis of a technically
and economically viable project.-25&
$OWKRXJK WKHUH DUH PDQ\ 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV IRU PRVW
SURMHFWV WKH H[SHFWHG PHWDOOXUJLFDO SHUIRUPDQFH DQG FRVWV
ZRXOGEHWZRRIWKHPRUHLPSRUWDQWRQHV
7KLV SDSHU DWWHPSWV WR GHVFULEH DOO WKH VWDJHV LQ WKH
PHWDOOXUJLFDO HYDOXDWLRQ RI D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH WKDW OHDG WR
WKHGHULYDWLRQRIDSSURSULDWHPHWDOOXUJLFDOIDFWRUVWKDWFDQEH
XVHGIRU2UH5HVHUYHGHQLWLRQ3DUWLFXODUUHIHUHQFHLVPDGH
WR WKH OLDLVRQ ZLWK RWKHU GLVFLSOLQHV HVSHFLDOO\ JHRORJLFDO
SHUVRQQHOWKDWLVQHFHVVDU\GXULQJWKHYDULRXVVWDJHVRIWKH
PHWDOOXUJLFDOHYDOXDWLRQ7KHJHQHUDOSURFHGXUHVREMHFWLYHV
DQG SUREOHPV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK PHWDOOXUJLFDO HYDOXDWLRQ DUH
GHVFULEHG1RDWWHPSWKDVEHHQPDGHWRGHVFULEHWKHPDQ\
PHWDOOXUJLFDO SURFHVVLQJ PHWKRGV DQG PHWDOOXUJLFDO WHVWLQJ
SURFHGXUHVWKDWDUHDYDLODEOH
DEFINITION
0HWDOOXUJLFDOHYDOXDWLRQLVGHQHGDVDOOWKHVWHSVWKDWPXVW
EHWDNHQWR
LVLPSRUWDQWQRWRQO\IRUWKHQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQWKDWPD\EH
IXQGLQJWKHSURMHFWEXWIRUWKHRZQHURIWKH5HVRXUFHDVZHOO
433
0RVWPHWDOOXUJLVWVZRXOGDJUHHWKDWRXWVLGHRIWKHLURZQ
GLVFLSOLQHWKHUHLVOLWWOHXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHDPRXQWRIZRUN
DQGWKHGHJUHHRIGHWDLOWKDWVKRXOGJRLQWRDFRPSUHKHQVLYH
PHWDOOXUJLFDOHYDOXDWLRQ
2IWHQ WKH UVW UHTXHVW IRU D PHWDOOXUJLVW WR EHFRPH
LQYROYHG LQ D QHZ SURMHFW FRPHV MXVW DIWHU WKH H[SORUDWLRQ
WHDP KDV HVWDEOLVKHG WKH H[LVWHQFH RI SRWHQWLDOO\ HFRQRPLF
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ7KLVLVDWLPHZKHQRZQHUVDQGPDQDJHPHQW
KDYLQJ VSHQW VXEVWDQWLDO FDSLWDO RQ H[SORUDWLRQ DUH UHG
ZLWKVXFFHVVDQGZLVKWRSURFHHGDVTXLFNO\DVSRVVLEOHLQWR
SURGXFWLRQ 7KHUHIRUH LW LV TXLWH QDWXUDO WKDW WKH SURSRVHG
PHWDOOXUJLFDO HYDOXDWLRQ FDQ EH SHUFHLYHG WR EH WRR VORZ
DQG WRR FRVWO\ ,QGHHG ZLWK WKH UDSLG GHYHORSPHQW LQ WKH
V DQG V RI QXPHURXV QHZ JROG PLQHV LQ $XVWUDOLD
DVWLJPDRIIDLOXUHWHQGHGWREHDWWDFKHGWRDQ\SURMHFWWKDW
GLG QRW IROORZHG D IDVWWUDFN VFKHGXOH KRZHYHU PDQ\ RI
WKHVHQHZSURMHFWVKDGUHODWLYHO\VLPSOHJROGPHWDOOXUJ\DQG
HYHQWKHQVRPHIDLOHGWRUHDOLVHWKHLUSUHGLFWHGPHWDOOXUJLFDO
SHUIRUPDQFH SDUWLFXODUO\ LQ WKHLU UVW \HDU RU WZR RI
SURGXFWLRQ )DVWWUDFNLQJ WKH PHWDOOXUJLFDO HYDOXDWLRQ RI
EDVH PHWDO DQG WKH PRUH FRPSOH[ JROG GHSRVLWV LV OLNHO\ WR
UHVXOW LQ VLJQLFDQW SUREOHPV RQFH WKH IXWXUH SURFHVVLQJ
SODQWLVRSHUDWLRQDO
&RPSDUHG WR WKH WRWDO FRVW RI PLQH GLVFRYHU\ DQG
GHYHORSPHQWWKHFRVWRIPHWDOOXUJLFDOHYDOXDWLRQLVXVXDOO\
YHU\ VPDOO )RU WZR FRPSOH[ EDVH PHWDOJROG SURMHFWV WKH
FRVW RI FRPSUHKHQVLYH PHWDOOXUJLFDO HYDOXDWLRQ ZDV RQO\
SHUFHQWDQG SHUFHQWRIWRWDOSUHSURGXFWLRQFRVWVXSWR
WKHFRPSOHWLRQRIWKH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
7KH DGRSWLRQ RI DQ H[FHVVLYHO\ OHQJWK\ DQG H[SHQVLYH
PHWDOOXUJLFDO HYDOXDWLRQ LV QRW DGYRFDWHG ,I SURSHUO\
SODQQHG H[HFXWHG LQWHUSUHWHG DQG FRRUGLQDWHG ZLWK RWKHU
GLVFLSOLQHVDQGZLWKUPREMHFWLYHVUHODWHGWRPLQLPLVLQJ
WHFKQLFDODQGQDQFLDOULVNVLQPLQGWKHWLPHDQGFRVWFDQ
EHNHSWWRDPLQLPXPUHODWLYHWRWKHFRPSOH[LW\DQGVFDOHRI
WKH SURMHFW 6KRXOG SURMHFW PDQDJHPHQW ZLVK WR FXUWDLO WKH
WLPH DQG FRVW RI DQ\ UHFRPPHQGHG SURJUDP WKH\ VKRXOG
UVW HVWDEOLVK ZLWK WKH PHWDOOXUJLVW WKH ULVNV WKDW ZLOO EH
LQFXUUHG ,Q WKLV FRQWH[W LI H[WHUQDO SURMHFW IXQGLQJ LV WR
EH VRXJKW LW VKRXOG EH UHPHPEHUHG WKDW WKH PHWDOOXUJLFDO
LQIRUPDWLRQSUHVHQWHGWRWKHQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVLVOLNHO\WR
XQGHUJR FORVH VFUXWLQ\ IRU SRWHQWLDO ULVNV 7KHUH KDYH EHHQ
VHYHUDOFDVHVZKHUHSURMHFWLPSOHPHQWDWLRQKDVEHHQGHOD\HG
EHFDXVHWKHPHWDOOXUJLFDOHYDOXDWLRQKDVEHHQLQDGHTXDWH
TABLE 1
Liaison between metallurgist and other disciplines during project
development.
Discipline
METALLURGICAL/GEOLOGICAL LIAISON
,W VKRXOG EH QR VXUSULVH WKDW WKH JUHDWHVW QXPEHU RI LWHPV
LQ 7DEOH LV UHODWHG WR PHWDOOXUJLFDOJHRORJLFDO OLDLVRQ
VLQFH PHWDOOXUJLFDO SHUIRUPDQFH LV LQH[WULFDEO\ OLQNHG WR
WKH JHRORJ\ /LDLVRQ EHWZHHQ JHRORJLFDO DQG PHWDOOXUJLFDO
SHUVRQQHO LV HVVHQWLDO IRU WKH VXFFHVVIXO HYDOXDWLRQ RI D
434
Mining
engineering
Environmental
INTERDISCIPLINARY LIAISON
)URPWKHHDUOLHVWVWDJHVRIPHWDOOXUJLFDOHYDOXDWLRQWKURXJK
WR WKH FRPSOHWLRQ RI WKH QDO IHDVLELOLW\ VWXG\ H[WHQVLYH
OLDLVRQLVUHTXLUHGEHWZHHQWKHYDULRXVGLVFLSOLQHVLQYROYHG
ZLWK WKH DVVHVVPHQW RI WKH HFRQRPLF YLDELOLW\ RI D 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH7DEOHVXPPDULVHVVRPHRIWKHIXQFWLRQVDQGWDVNV
WKDW QRUPDOO\ UHTXLUH OLDLVRQ EHWZHHQ WKH PHWDOOXUJLVW DQG
RWKHUGLVFLSOLQHV0RVWRIWKHVHDUHGLVFXVVHGLQWKHIROORZLQJ
VHFWLRQVRIWKLVSDSHU
Function or task
Metallurgical familiarisation with the geology and mineralogy
GHSRVLWHYHQLILWGRHVQRWUHVXOWLQWKHGHYHORSPHQWRIDQHZ
PLQH
7KHWHUPJHRPHWDOOXUJ\ZDVFRLQHGIDLUO\UHFHQWO\DQGLV
JDLQLQJLQXVDJH,QHVVHQFHLWUHIHUVWRWKHQHHGWRXQGHUVWDQG
WKH UHODWLRQVKLS EHWZHHQ WKH JHRORJ\ DQG WKH DFKLHYDEOH
PHWDOOXUJLFDOSHUIRUPDQFH7KHUHLVQRWKLQJQHZKHUHVLQFH
VXFFHVVIXO SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW DQG PLQH RSHUDWLRQ KDV
DOZD\V EHHQ GHSHQGHQW RQ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ WKLV UHODWLRQVKLS
Correcting misapprehensions
7KHUHDUHWZRPLVDSSUHKHQVLRQVWKDWFDQRFFXUHYHQEHIRUH
DQ\PHWDOOXUJLFDOWHVWZRUNLVFRPSOHWHG
WKHDVVXPSWLRQWKDWFHUWDLQPLQHUDOVRUHOHPHQWVZLOOEH
HFRQRPLFDOO\UHFRYHUDEOHZKHUHDVWKLVLVQHYHUOLNHO\WR
EHWKHFDVH
WKHZKROHRIDQHOHPHQWSUHVHQWDVGHWHUPLQHGE\DVVD\
LVDVVXPHGWREHSRWHQWLDOO\UHFRYHUDEOHZKHUHDVVRPHRI
WKHHOHPHQWPD\RFFXULQXQUHFRYHUDEOHPLQHUDOIRUPV
$QH[SHULHQFHGPHWDOOXUJLVWZLOOEHDEOHWRSURYLGHUHDOLVWLF
DGYLFHRQZKDWLVSRVVLEOHLQSUDFWLFH
Logging criteria
*HRORJLVWVZLOOKDYHWKHLURZQFRUHORJJLQJUHTXLUHPHQWVDQG
PDQ\ RI WKHVH ZLOO EH FRPPRQ WR WKRVH RI WKH PHWDOOXUJLVW
KRZHYHU WKH ODWWHU PD\ UHTXLUH DGGLWLRQDO LQIRUPDWLRQ
RU GLIIHUHQW HPSKDVHV WR EH SODFHG RQ WKH ORJJLQJ FULWHULD
6RPHH[DPSOHVRIWKHPHWDOOXUJLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQWKDWPD\EH
UHTXLUHGDUHJLYHQEHORZ
DIIHFWWKHDELOLW\WRVHOOSURGXFWVHJSKRVSKRUXVLQLURQ
RUHV
LQFXU KLJK SHQDOW\ SD\PHQWV RQ FRQFHQWUDWH VDOHV HJ
PHUFXU\ ELVPXWK DUVHQLF DQG DQWLPRQ\ LQ EDVH PHWDO
RUHV
DIIHFW JROG H[WUDFWLRQ DQG FRVWV HJ RUJDQLF FDUERQ DQG
F\DQLGHVROXEOHFRSSHU
435
OLPLWHGWRDIUDFWLRQRIWKHWRWDOKROHVGULOOHG,QHYLWDEO\WKLV
UHVWULFWVWKHQXPEHURIVDPSOHSRLQWVDYDLODEOHIRUDQ\W\SH
RIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQEHLQJWDUJHWHGDQGWKHUHSUHVHQWLYLW\RIWKH
FRPSRVLWHV VDPSOHV VHOHFWHG IRU WHVW ZRUN FDQ EH VHYHUHO\
FRPSURPLVHG
Drilling aids
7KH XVH RI GULOOLQJ DLGV VXFK DV RLO JUHDVH IRDP FHPHQW
DQGPXGVKRXOGEHGLVFXVVHGZLWKWKHPHWDOOXUJLVW2LODQG
JUHDVHLQSDUWLFXODUFDQKDYHDQDGYHUVHHIIHFWRQPHWDOOXUJLFDO
SHUIRUPDQFHSDUWLFXODUO\IRURWDWLRQDQGDQ\FRUHWKDWKDV
EHHQFRQWDPLQDWHGZLWK WKHP VKRXOGEH H[FOXGHGIURPWKH
FRPSRVLWHVDPSOHVVHOHFWHGIRUWHVWZRUN
WKHEDJVLQZKLFKWKH\ZHUHVWRUHGKDYHGLVLQWHJUDWHGRU
EHHQGDPDJHG
WKHVDPSOHLGHQWLFDWLRQODEHOVDUHQRORQJHUOHJLEOH
WKHVDPSOHVKDYHR[LGLVHGWRYDULRXVGHJUHHV
WKH\KDYHVLPSO\EHHQORVWRUGLVFDUGHG
,Q WKHVH LQVWDQFHV VRPH UHGULOOLQJ PD\ EH QHFHVVDU\ DW
D KLJK FRVW RU UHGXFHG UHSUHVHQWLYLW\ RI WKH PHWDOOXUJLFDO
FRPSRVLWHVDPSOHVPXVWEHDFFHSWHGWKHUHE\LQFUHDVLQJWKH
ULVN
0RVW VXOGLF PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ R[LGLVHV ZKHQ H[SRVHG WR
WKH HOHPHQWV SDUWLFXODUO\ LI S\UUKRWLWH RU UHDFWLYH S\ULWH
DUH SUHVHQW ,I WKH SRVWGULOOLQJ R[LGDWLRQ LV UDSLG DQG
H[WHQVLYH WKLV ZLOO EH DSSDUHQW IURP REVHUYDWLRQV GXULQJ
WKH SUHOLPLQDU\ H[SORUDWLRQ VWDJH DQG VSHFLF VWRUDJH
PHWKRGV ZLOO QHHG WR EH HPSOR\HG WR SUHVHUYH WKH VDPSOHV
IRU VXEVHTXHQW PHWDOOXUJLFDO WHVW ZRUN +RZHYHU LW LV
SUXGHQWWRDVVXPHWKDWDOOPLQHUDOLVDWLRQFRQWDLQLQJVXOGH
PLQHUDOVZLOOHYHQWXDOO\R[LGLVHZLWKSURORQJHGVWRUDJH7R
SUHYHQW R[LGDWLRQ RI WKH FUXVKHG VDPSOHV WKH\ VKRXOG EH
VHDOHGLQVWURQJSODVWLFEDJVWKDWKDYHEHHQHYDFXDWHGZLWK
QLWURJHQDQGWKHQVWRUHGXQGHUUHIULJHUDWHGFRQGLWLRQV7KH
PLQHUDOLVHGVHFWLRQVRIKDOIFRUHVKRXOGDOVREHUHIULJHUDWHG
/RVVRIPLQHUDOLVHGVHFWLRQVRIFRUHGXHWRSRRUVWRUDJHFDQ
UHSUHVHQWDVLJQLFDQWZDVWHRIPRQH\LIWKHFRVWRIREWDLQLQJ
HDFK PHWUH RI PLQHUDOLVHG FRUH LV WDNHQ LQWR DFFRXQW )RU
H[DPSOH LI WKH RQO\ VHFWLRQ RI FRUH DERYH WKH FXWRII JUDGH
RFFXUUHGEHWZHHQDQGPGRZQKROHDQGGULOOLQJFRVW
PWKHFRVWRIREWDLQLQJHDFKPHWUHRIPLQHUDOLVHGFRUH
ZRXOG KDYH EHHQ P DQG WKLV LV EHIRUH FRUHFXWWLQJ
DQGRWKHUDVVRFLDWHGFRVWVDUHWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQW
KRZHYHU LI WKH\ GR QRW WKH SRRU UHVXOWV REWDLQHG FRXOG
OHDG WR WKH SURMHFW EHLQJ DEDQGRQHG RU GRZQJUDGHG LQ
SULRULW\EHIRUHDPHWDOOXUJLVWKDVHYHQEHFRPHLQYROYHG
$OWKRXJK WKH LQGLFDWHG PHWDO UHFRYHU\ LV WDNHQ LQWR DFFRXQW
the realisable value of each metal to be sold in concentrate form
is grossly overestimated WKLV LV EHFDXVH QR DOORZDQFH LV
PDGH IRU WKH VPHOWHU WHUPV DQG WKH FRVW RI WUDQVSRUWLQJ
WKHFRQFHQWUDWHWRWKHVPHOWHU7KLVLVGLVFXVVHGODWHUEXW
DVDQH[DPSOHDIWHUPDNLQJDOORZDQFHIRUVPHOWHUWHUPV
LWLVYHU\XQOLNHO\WKDWOLWWOHPRUHWKDQWZRWKLUGVRIWKH
YDOXH RI WKH ]LQF UHFRYHUHG ZLOO EH UHDOLVHG DV UHYHQXH
6XFK DQ RPLVVLRQ ZLOO OHDG WR DQ RYHUYDOXDWLRQ RI WKH
HFRQRPLF SRWHQWLDO RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ WR WKH H[WHQW
WKDW H[SORUDWLRQ LV FRQWLQXHG ZKHQ LQ IDFW WKH SURMHFW
VKRXOGEHUHHYDOXDWHGRUHYHQWHUPLQDWHG
7KHLGHQWLFDWLRQRISRWHQWLDOO\GLIIHUHQWRUHW\SHVUHTXLUHV
YHU\FORVHOLDLVRQEHWZHHQWKHJHRORJLVWDQGWKHPHWDOOXUJLVW
7KH EHVW VWDUWLQJ SRLQW LV WR DVVXPH WKDW DQ\ GLIIHUHQFHV
WKDW WKH JHRORJLVW KDV LGHQWLHG HLWKHU E\ REVHUYDWLRQ RU
DVVD\ UHSUHVHQWV PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ WKDW FRXOG H[KLELW GLIIHUHQW
PHWDOOXUJLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV DQGRU SHUIRUPDQFH KRZHYHU
WKHUH PD\ EH RWKHU GLIIHUHQFHV RI ZKLFK WKH JHRORJLVW PD\
QRW EH UHDGLO\ DZDUH 6RPH PD\ EH TXLWH VXEWOH DQG QRW
EHFRPHDSSDUHQWXQWLOVRPHSUHOLPLQDU\WHVWZRUNKDVEHHQ
FRPSOHWHG
7KHUHDUHPDQ\IDFWRUVWKDWFDQEHXVHGWRGHQHSRWHQWLDOO\
GLIIHUHQW RUH W\SHV RU ]RQHV 7KRVH OLVWHG EHORZ DUH E\ QR
PHDQVFRPSUHKHQVLYH
Site visit
7KH PHWDOOXUJLVW VKRXOG YLVLW WKH VLWH DW DQ DSSURSULDWH EXW
HDUO\VWDJHRIH[SORUDWLRQ7KHREMHFWLYHVZRXOGEHWR
LQVSHFWWKHFRUH
HVWDEOLVK ZLWK WKH JHRORJLVWV WKH GLIIHUHQW W\SHV RI
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQWKH\KDYHREVHUYHG
GLVFXVVWKHPHWDOOXUJLFDOLPSOLFDWLRQVRIWKHVHGLIIHUHQFHV
IROORZLQJWKHDERYHDJUHHWRDQ\FKDQJHVUHTXLUHGWRWKH
ORJJLQJFULWHULD
,W ZRXOG DOVR SURYLGH WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ IRU NH\ PHPEHUV
RI WKH SURMHFW WHDP WR PHHW 7KLV LV LPSRUWDQW VLQFH
FRPPXQLFDWLRQV EHWZHHQ WKH WZR GLVFLSOLQHV ZLOO FRQWLQXH
WKURXJKRXWWKHH[SORUDWLRQVWDJHSDUWLFXODUO\LQFRQQHFWLRQ
ZLWKWKHVHOHFWLRQDQGGHOLYHU\RIVDPSOHVIRUPHWDOOXUJLFDO
WHVWZRUN
PRVWVXLWDEOHSURFHVVLQJPHWKRG
OLNHO\PHWDOOXUJLFDOSHUIRUPDQFHDQGKHQFHWKHUHYHQXH
WKDWZLOOEHJHQHUDWHG
H[SHFWHGRSHUDWLQJFRVWV
,QPRVWEXWQRWDOOFDVHVWKHVDPHSURFHVVLQJPHWKRGFDQ
EHXVHGIRUHDFKRUHW\SHDQGDQ\GLIIHUHQFHVWKDWDUHIRXQG
WR H[LVW ZLOO EH UHODWHG RQO\ WR PHWDOOXUJLFDO SHUIRUPDQFH
RSHUDWLQJ FRVW DQG UHYHQXH JHQHUDWHG (YHQ WKRXJK WKH
GLIIHUHQW RUH W\SHV ZLOO EH PL[HG WRJHWKHU IRU WUHDWPHQW
WKHVH GLIIHUHQFHV PXVW EH LGHQWLHG IRU WKH SXUSRVHV RI
EORFN PRGHOOLQJ DQG XOWLPDWHO\ SURMHFW QDQFLDO DQDO\VLV
,I VLJQLFDQW YDULDWLRQV LQ PHWDOOXUJLFDO SHUIRUPDQFH RU WKH
TXDOLW\ RI WKH SURGXFWV SURGXFHG DUH IRXQG WR H[LVW WKH
LQIRUPDWLRQ REWDLQHG RQ HDFK RUH W\SH ZLOO HQDEOH VXLWDEOH
SODQVIRUPLQHVFKHGXOLQJDQGRUHEOHQGLQJWREHIRUPXODWHG
9DULDWLRQV LQ WKH GHJUHH RI R[LGDWLRQ 7KLV LV WKH PRVW
FRPPRQFDXVHRIVLJQLFDQWGLIIHUHQFHVLQPHWDOOXUJLFDO
SHUIRUPDQFH DQG FRVWV ,QGHHG VRPH DOEHLW VPDOO
GLIIHUHQFHVZLOODOZD\VH[LVWEHWZHHQFRPSOHWHO\R[LGLVHG
DQGFRPSOHWHO\XQR[LGLVHGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ,QVRPHFDVHV
GLIIHUHQW SURFHVVHV PD\ EH UHTXLUHG IRU WKH GLIIHUHQW
R[LGDWLRQ]RQHV
'LIIHUHQFHVLQWKHOLWKRORJ\DQGVW\OHRIDOWHUDWLRQ
6LJQLFDQW GLIIHUHQFHV LQ WKH KHDG JUDGH RI WKH WDUJHW
PHWDOZLWKGHSWKRUDFURVVWKHVWULNHOHQJWK
9DULDWLRQVLQWKHKDUGQHVVRIWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ7KLVPD\
EHDVVRFLDWHGZLWKGLIIHUHQWGHJUHHVRIVLOLFLFDWLRQEXWLV
FRPPRQO\DVVRFLDWHGZLWKGLIIHUHQWGHJUHHVRIR[LGDWLRQ
$Q\ YDULDWLRQV ZLOO DIIHFW WKH FUXVKLQJ DQG JULQGLQJ
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI WKH RUH WR WKH H[WHQW WKDW ERWK SODQW
WKURXJKSXW DQG RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV FRXOG EH VLJQLFDQWO\
GLIIHUHQW
7KH HOHPHQW RI HFRQRPLF LQWHUHVW RFFXUV DV GLIIHUHQW
PLQHUDOV LQ GLIIHUHQW SDUWV RI WKH UHVRXUFH 7KLV LV RIWHQ
EXW QRW DOZD\V GXH WR YDULDWLRQV LQ WKH GHJUHH RI
R[LGDWLRQ7KHHIIHFWRQFRSSHURWDWLRQLVDJRRGH[DPSOH
$Q\ R[LGH FRSSHU PLQHUDOV ZLOO EH PRUH GLIFXOW DQG
H[SHQVLYH WR UHFRYHU WKDQ WKH VXOGH FRSSHU PLQHUDOV
+LJKHU JUDGHV RI FRSSHU FRQFHQWUDWHV ZLOO EH SURGXFHG
IURPSULPDU\RUH]RQHVFRQWDLQLQJFKDOFRFLWHDQGERUQLWH
WKDQ WKRVH FRQWDLQLQJ RQO\ FKDOFRS\ULWH EHFDXVH RI WKH
PXFKORZHUFRSSHUFRQWHQWRIFKDOFRS\ULWH
,Q D SRO\PHWDOOLF UHVRXUFH ZKLFK SURGXFHV VHSDUDWH
RWDWLRQFRQFHQWUDWHVRIGLIIHUHQWPHWDOVRQHRIWKHPHWDOV
RIHFRQRPLFLQWHUHVWLVDEVHQWRUVLJQLFDQWO\GHSOHWHGLQ
FHUWDLQDUHDV7KHUHIRUHLIVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJZHUHSRVVLEOH
RQO\SDUWRIWKHRWDWLRQRZVKHHWFRXOGEHXVHGWRWUHDW
RUH IURP WKRVH DUHDV LQ FDPSDLJQV WKHUHE\ UHGXFLQJ
RSHUDWLQJFRVWVDQGVRPHWLPHVHQKDQFLQJSHUIRUPDQFH
7KH W\SHV RI QRQVXOGH JDQJXH YDULHV DFURVV WKH
UHVRXUFH &HUWDLQ W\SHV RI JDQJXH FDQ DGYHUVHO\ DIIHFW
VRPHPHWDOOXUJLFDOSURFHVVHV([DPSOHVDUHIUHHRDWLQJ
PLQHUDOVVXFKDVWDOFDQGJUDSKLWHZKLFKDGYHUVHO\DIIHFW
RWDWLRQFDUERQDWHPLQHUDOVWKDWZLOOLQFUHDVHWKHFRVWRI
DFLGOHDFKLQJDQGFDUERQDFHRXVPDWHULDOWKDWFDQUHVXOW
LQSUHJUREELQJGXULQJF\DQLGDWLRQ
9DULDEOH DPRXQWV RI S\ULWH DUH SUHVHQW 3\ULWH FDQ EH
GLIFXOWWRGHSUHVVGXULQJRWDWLRQDQGWKLVPD\OHDGWR
YDULDWLRQVLQEDVHPHWDOFRQFHQWUDWHJUDGHVRUUHFRYHULHV
,Q DGGLWLRQ S\ULWH DQG SDUWLFXODUO\ DUVHQLFDO S\ULWH DQG
DUVHQRS\ULWHDUHNQRZQFDUULHUVRIUHIUDFWRU\JROGVRDQ\
YDULDWLRQV LQ WKHLU RFFXUUHQFH PD\ DGYHUVHO\ DIIHFW WKH
DPRXQWRIJROGWKDWFDQEHH[WUDFWHGE\GLUHFWF\DQLGDWLRQ
'LIIHUHQW W\SHV RI ZDVWH URFN H[LVW 6RPH ZDVWH URFN
ZLOO DOZD\V RFFXU DV PLQLQJ GLOXWLRQ LQ SODQW IHHG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
437
Sample selection
$IWHU KDYLQJ HVWDEOLVKHG WKH GLIIHUHQW RUH W\SHV WKDW QHHG
WR EH WHVWHG WKLV LV SHUKDSV WKH PRVW FULWLFDO VWDJH RI WKH
PHWDOOXUJLFDO HYDOXDWLRQ 7KH REMHFWLYH VKRXOG EH WR REWDLQ
FRPSRVLWH VDPSOHV RI HDFK RUH W\SH WKDW KDYH WKH EHVW
SRVVLEOH UHSUHVHQWLYLW\ :LWK WKLV LQ PLQG WKH FRPSRVLWH
VDPSOHV VKRXOG EH PDGH XS RI PLQHDEOH GULOO LQWHUFHSWV
FROOHFWHGIURPDOOWKUHHGLPHQVLRQVDFURVVWKHUHVRXUFH(DFK
LQWHUFHSWPXVWDOVRUHSUHVHQWPDWHULDOWKDWZLOODFWXDOO\EHIHG
WRWKHSURFHVVLQJSODQW7RPHHWWKHVHFULWHULDHDFKPLQHDEOH
LQWHUFHSWVKRXOG
IDOOZLWKLQWKHSUHOLPLQDU\SLWRUPLQLQJDUHD
FRQWDLQ DSSURSULDWH DPRXQWV RI H[WHUQDO DQG LQWHUQDO
PLQLQJ GLOXWLRQ DV GLFWDWHG E\ WKH SURSRVHG PLQLQJ
PHWKRG
EH HTXDO WR RU JUHDWHU WKDQ WKH PLQLPXP SUDFWLFDO
PLQHDEOHZLGWK
DIWHUWKHLQFOXVLRQRIGLOXWLRQKDYHDJUDGHWKDWLVHTXDOWR
RUJUHDWHUWKDQWKHSUHOLPLQDU\FXWRIIJUDGH
(DFK FRPSRVLWH VKRXOG EH PDGH XS RI PLQHDEOH GULOO
LQWHUFHSWV WKDW UHSUHVHQW RQO\ RQH RUH W\SH &RPSRVLWH
VDPSOHV FRQWDLQLQJ PL[WXUHV RI RUH W\SHV ZLOO SURGXFH
UHVXOWV WKDW DUH GLIFXOW LI QRW LPSRVVLEOH WR LQWHUSUHW DQG
DSSO\ ,I UHTXLUHG WKH HIIHFW RI PL[LQJ GLIIHUHQW RUH W\SHV
FDQ EH GHWHUPLQHG ODWHU E\ FRPELQLQJ NQRZQ SRUWLRQV RI
LQGLYLGXDOFRPSRVLWHVDPSOHV
:KHUHYHU\SUHFLVHGHOLQHDWLRQRIWKHRUHW\SHVLVHVVHQWLDO
LW PD\ EH QHFHVVDU\ WR KDYH D PLQHUDORJLVW FKHFN WKH RUH
W\SH FODVVLFDWLRQ RI VRPH LQWHUFHSWV EHIRUH FRPSRVLWLQJ
WDNHVSODFH$VSHFLFH[DPSOHLVWKHGLIIHUHQWLDWLRQEHWZHHQ
VXSHUJHQHDQGSULPDU\SRO\PHWDOOLFPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ)ORWDWLRQ
SHUIRUPDQFH RQ SULPDU\ SRO\PHWDOOLF PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ FDQ
EH VHYHUHO\ DIIHFWHG E\ WKH SUHVHQFH RI PLQRU DPRXQWV RI
VXSHUJHQH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ 7KH ODWWHU PD\ QRW EH GHWHFWDEOH
E\YLVXDOREVHUYDWLRQ
7RDFKLHYHWKHEHVWSRVVLEOHUHSUHVHQWLYLW\HDFKFRPSRVLWH
VKRXOG EH PDGH XS IURP DV PDQ\ PLQHDEOH LQWHUFHSWV DV
SRVVLEOH7KHLGHDOVLWXDWLRQZRXOGEHWRWDNHDOOWKHPLQHDEOH
438
LQWHUFHSWV DYDLODEOH DW WKH WLPH 7KLV ZRXOG PHDQ WKDW WKH
PHWDOOXUJLFDOHYDOXDWLRQKDVWKHVDPHOHYHORIFRQGHQFHDV
WKHUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVLQFHWKHODWWHUXVHVGDWDIURPDOOWKH
KROHVWKDWKDYHEHHQGULOOHG3UDFWLFDODQGFRVWFRQVLGHUDWLRQV
LQYDULDEO\GLFWDWHRWKHUZLVH1HYHUWKHOHVVDVWKHSHUFHQWDJH
RI WKH WRWDO PLQHDEOH LQWHUFHSWV LQFOXGHG LQ WKH FRPSRVLWH
VDPSOHV LQFUHDVHV VR ZLOO WKH OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH LQ WKH
PHWDOOXUJLFDOHYDOXDWLRQ
6HYHUDOFRPSRVLWHVRIHDFKRUHW\SHVKRXOGEHPDGHXSWR
FRYHU D UDQJH RI KHDG JUDGHV 7KLV LV QHFHVVDU\ WR HVWDEOLVK
WKHUHODWLRQVKLSEHWZHHQKHDGJUDGHDQGUHFRYHU\
2QHFRPSRVLWHRIHDFKRUHW\SHVKRXOGKDYHDKHDGJUDGH
EH DV FORVH DV SRVVLEOH WR WKH DYHUDJH SODQW IHHG JUDGH
H[SHFWHGIRUDOORUHW\SHV7KLVZLOOHQDEOHWKHPHWDOOXUJLFDO
SHUIRUPDQFHRIHDFKRUHW\SHWREHFRPSDUHG
,WIROORZVIURPWKHDERYHWKDW
VDPSOHVHOHFWLRQLVDPXOWLGLVFLSOLQDU\H[HUFLVHLQYROYLQJ
WKHJHRORJLVWPLQLQJHQJLQHHUDQGPHWDOOXUJLVW
DFRPSUHKHQVLYHJHRORJLFDOGDWDEDVHEDVHGRQDGHTXDWH
ORJJLQJ FULWHULD LV HVVHQWLDO EHIRUH VDPSOH VHOHFWLRQ FDQ
FRPPHQFH
DOOWKHDVVD\VSHUIRUPHGRQWKHGULOOFRUH
RWKHU HOHPHQWV RI LQWHUHVW QRW LQFOXGHG LQ WKH GULOO FRUH
DVVD\V
DPXOWLHOHPHQWVFDQ
DVSHFLFJUDYLW\GHWHUPLQDWLRQ
$SDUW IURP SURYLGLQJ LPSRUWDQW PHWDOOXUJLFDO GDWD WKH
KHDG DQDO\VHV ZLOO SURYLGH D FKHFN DJDLQVW WKH GULOO FRUH
DVVD\V DQG WKH PXOWLHOHPHQW VFDQV ZLOO EH UHTXLUHG IRU WKH
HQYLURQPHQWDOLQYHVWLJDWLRQV
,W LV DGYLVDEOH WR KDYH WKH DVVD\V RI WKH PDLQ HOHPHQWV RI
LQWHUHVW FKHFNHG DW D QXPEHU RI ODERUDWRULHV WR HQVXUH WKDW
WKRVHRIWKHRUHWHVWLQJODERUDWRU\DUHUHOLDEOH9DULDELOLW\RI
DVVD\V EHWZHHQ ODERUDWRULHV DQG DQDO\WLFDO PHWKRGV LV ZHOO
HVWDEOLVKHG/LVWHUDQG*DOODJKHU/LVWHU&KHFNV
DWWKLVVWDJHPD\DYRLGORVVRIWLPHDQGH[WUDFRVWVODWHU
FDSLWDOFRVWHVWLPDWHVIURPGHVLJQFRVWHQJLQHHUV
SUHOLPLQDU\VPHOWHUWHUPVIURPPDUNHWLQJVSHFLDOLVWV
WKHGLIIHUHQWRUHW\SHVQHHGWREHSURFHVVHGVLPXOWDQHRXVO\
LQ SDUDOOHO FLUFXLWV IURP WKH VWDUW RI RSHUDWLRQV RU IRU DW
OHDVW SDUW RI WKH PLQH OLIH RU LI SRVVLEOH LQ FDPSDLJQV
WKURXJKVHOHFWHGVHFWLRQVRIWKHVDPHRYHUDOORZVKHHW
WKHLQLWLDOSODQWQHHGVWREHPRGLHGDIWHUDFHUWDLQSHULRG
RIWLPHWRDFFRPPRGDWHDFKDQJHLQWKHRUHW\SH
439
HVWDEOLVKWKHQDOGHVLJQFULWHULDIRUDOOWKHHTXLSPHQWLQ
WKHSURSRVHGSODQW
HVWLPDWHWRWDOSODQWRSHUDWLQJDQGFDSLWDOFRVWV
SURYLGHVDPSOHVDQGGDWDIRUWHVWZRUNDQGLQYHVWLJDWLRQV
E\RWKHUGLVFLSOLQHV
7KLV VXSSOHPHQWDU\ WHVW ZRUN FDQ EH VXEGLYLGHG LQWR WKH
IROORZLQJFDWHJRULHV
Test work to provide design criteria for all the principal and
ancillary processes
'HSHQGLQJRQWKHSURFHVVRZVKHHWWKDWKDVEHHQVHOHFWHG
WKLVPD\LQFOXGH
WHVWVWRGHWHUPLQHWKHFUXVKLQJFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHRUH
WHVWV WR GHWHUPLQH WKH RUHKDQGOLQJ FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI
FUXVKHG RUH ZKLFK DUH XVHG WR GHWHUPLQH WKH PRVW
DSSURSULDWH GHVLJQ IRU VWRUDJH ELQV DQG GUDZGRZQ
SRLQWVRQVWRFNSLOHV
WHVWV WR GHWHUPLQH ZKHWKHU WKH RUH LV DPHQDEOH WR
DXWRJHQRXVRUVHPLDXWRJHQRXVJULQGLQJ
VHWWOLQJDQGWKLFNHQLQJWHVWVIRUWKLFNHQHUGHVLJQDQGWKH
GHWHUPLQDWLRQRIRFFXODQWW\SHDQGFRQVXPSWLRQ
OWUDWLRQWHVWVRQLQWHUPHGLDWHRUQDOSURGXFWV
RWDWLRQUDWHWHVWV
SXOSYLVFRVLW\WHVWV
FDUERQ DGVRUSWLRQ R[\JHQ XSWDNH DQG F\DQLGH
GHWR[LFDWLRQWHVWVIRUJROGRUHV
ZRXOGKDYHEHHQWDNHQIURPDVLQJOHRUDUHVWULFWHGQXPEHU
RIDFFHVVLEOHORFDWLRQV7KHUHIRUHWKHGDWDJHQHUDWHGE\WKH
SLORW SODQW WHVW ZRUN FRXOG EH PLVOHDGLQJ 0HWDOOXUJLFDO
SHUIRUPDQFHSUHGLFWLRQVDQGSURFHVVGHVLJQFULWHULDEDVHGRQ
ODERUDWRU\VFDOHWHVWLQJRIDODUJHQXPEHURIVDPSOHVFRYHULQJ
WKHWRWDOUHVRXUFHZLOOEHPXFKPRUHUHOLDEOH
+RZHYHUWKHUHDUHWZRVLWXDWLRQVZKHUHSLORWSODQWWHVWLQJ
LVHVVHQWLDO
:KHQDSURFHVVLVSURSRVHGWKDWKDVQRWEHHQSUHYLRXVO\
XVHGRQDFRPPHUFLDOVFDOHRUKDVKDGYHU\OLPLWHGXVH
7KLVZRXOGQRUPDOO\RQO\DULVHZKHQHLWKHUDVXEVWDQWLDO
UHVRXUFH LV LQYROYHG DQG DOO FRQYHQWLRQDO SURFHVVLQJ
RSWLRQVKDYHIDLOHGRUDQHZSURFHVVKDVEHFRPHDYDLODEOH
WKDWZLOOVXEVWDQWLDOO\LPSURYHWKHSURFHVVLQJHFRQRPLFV
DQGPDQDJHPHQWLVSUHSDUHGWRWDNHWKHULVNRILWEHLQJ
VXFFHVVIXORQDFRPPHUFLDOVFDOH
:KHUHLWLVQHFHVVDU\WRSURGXFHDQDGHTXDWHTXDQWLW\RI
VDPSOHIRUWHVWLQJDVXEVHTXHQWXQLWSURFHVV$QH[DPSOH
LV WKH SURGXFWLRQ RI HQRXJK EXON VXOGH RWDWLRQ
FRQFHQWUDWH IURP UHIUDFWRU\ JROG PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ WR WHVW
DQGHYDOXDWHRQHRUPRUHRIWKHSURFHVVHVXVHGWRR[LGLVH
WKHFRQFHQWUDWHSULRUWRF\DQLGDWLRQ
CALCULATION OF REVENUE
)RU EDVH PHWDO SURMHFWV WKDW SURGXFH RWDWLRQ FRQFHQWUDWHV
WKH UHYHQXH JHQHUDWHG ZLOO GHSHQG RQ RUH JUDGH PHWDOO
XUJLFDO UHFRYHU\ VPHOWHU WHUPV DQG UHDOLVDWLRQ FRVWV
5HDOLVDWLRQ FRVWV RU WKH WRWDO FRVW RI JHWWLQJ WKH SURGXFW
WRWKHVPHOWHUZLOOGHSHQGRQWKHUHODWLYHORFDWLRQVRIWKH
PLQH DQG VPHOWHU DQG FDQ EH VXUSULVLQJO\ KLJK 7KHUHIRUH
LW LV HVVHQWLDO WKDW DFFXUDWH HVWLPDWHV RI ERWK VPHOWHU WHUPV
DQG UHDOLVDWLRQ FRVWV EH REWDLQHG 7KLV ZLOO UHTXLUH LQSXW
IURP PDUNHWLQJ VSHFLDOLVWV RU FRQVXOWDQWV ZKR ZLOO QHHG
GHWDLOHGDQDO\VHVDQGWRQQDJHHVWLPDWHVRIWKHFRQFHQWUDWHV
WKDWZLOOEHSURGXFHG$WWKHQDOIHDVLELOLW\VWDJHLWZLOOEH
QHFHVVDU\ WR GHPRQVWUDWH WKDW WKH FRQFHQWUDWHV FDQ EH VROG
7KLVPD\LQYROYHREWDLQLQJOHWWHUVRILQWHQWIURPWKHVPHOWHUV
RUPDUNHWLQJDJHQWVLQWHUHVWHGLQSXUFKDVLQJWKHFRQFHQWUDWH
7KH HYDOXDWLRQ RI VPHOWHU WHUPV DUH GHDOW ZLWK HOVHZKHUH
/HZLV DQG 6WUHHWV EXW ZLOO LQFOXGH DPRQJ RWKHU
WKLQJV WDNLQJ LQWR DFFRXQW FUHGLW SD\PHQWV IRU VRPH
HOHPHQWV DQG SHQDOWLHV IRU RWKHUV 7KH QDO SD\PHQW IRU
VRPHPHWDOVLQFRQFHQWUDWHFDQEHVXUSULVLQJO\ORZDQGRIWHQ
WKLVLVQRWWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQWZKHQFRPSOHWLQJDSUHOLPLQDU\
HFRQRPLF YDOXDWLRQ RI D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH GXULQJ WKH HDUO\
VWDJHVRISURMHFWGHYHORSPHQW7DEOHLQZKLFKW\SLFDOPHWDO
TABLE 2
Net realisable value of metal in ore after allowing for recovery and smelter
payments.
Metal
Metal
price
(US$/lb)
Copper
3.70
Plant
Concentrate
recovery
grade
(%)
(%)
90
25
%
payment
by
smeltera
Net realisable
value of
metal in oreb
(%)
90
81
Lead
1.05
85
55
76
65
Zinc
0.97
85
52
65
55
a. Defined as the percentage of the gross value of the metal contained in concentrate at the grade
shown that is actually paid by the smelter after all deductions, but excluding realisation costs.
b. Plant recovery per cent payment by smelter.
UHFRYHULHVDQGFRQFHQWUDWHJUDGHVKDYHEHHQXVHGLOOXVWUDWHV
WKLV SRLQW 6PHOWHU WHUPV ZLOO YDU\ RYHU WLPH DV WKH PHWDO
SULFHVYDU\DQG7DEOHLVEDVHGRQWKHLQGXVWU\EHQFKPDUNV
IRUWKHUVWTXDUWHURI$WDQ\JLYHQWLPHWKHSHUFHQWDJH
SD\PHQWPDGHE\GLIIHUHQWVPHOWHUVPD\YDU\EXWRQO\WRD
YHU\OLPLWHGH[WHQW
7KHYDOXHRIE\SURGXFWVFDQDOVREHRYHUHVWLPDWHGGXULQJ
SUHOLPLQDU\ YDOXDWLRQV 6LOYHU LV D JRRG H[DPSOH )RU JROG
RUHV WKH SD\PHQW IRU VLOYHU LQ GRUp EXOOLRQ LV KLJK EXW IRU
SRO\PHWDOOLFEDVHPHWDORUHVLWVUHDOLVDEOHYDOXHZLOOGHSHQG
RQWKHEDVHPHWDOFRQFHQWUDWHLQWRZKLFKLWUHSRUWV3D\PHQWV
IRUVLOYHULQFRSSHUDQGOHDGFRQFHQWUDWHVZLOOEHKLJKHUWKDQ
LQ]LQFFRQFHQWUDWHV
SUMMARY
7R FRQYHUW D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH LQWR DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH WKH
-25& &RGH UHTXLUHV WKDW DOO PRGLI\LQJ IDFWRUV PXVW EH
WDNHQLQWRDFFRXQWDQGPHWDOOXUJLFDOSHUIRUPDQFHDQGFRVWV
UHSUHVHQW RQH RI WKH PRUH LPSRUWDQW RI WKHVH &RQVLGHUDEOH
LQWHUGLVFLSOLQDU\OLDLVRQLVQHHGHGWRPHHWWKHPHWDOOXUJLFDO
REFERENCES
/HZLV3-DQG6WUHHWV&*$QDQDO\VLVRIEDVHPHWDOVPHOWHU
WHUPVLQProceedings 11th Commonwealth Mining and Metallurgical
CongressSS7KH,QVWLWXWLRQRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
/LVWHU%$VHFRQGLQWHUODERUDWRU\VXUYH\RIWKHDFFXUDF\RI
RUHDQDO\VLV7UDQVDFWLRQVRIWKH,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
$SSOLHG(DUWK6FLHQFH%%.
/LVWHU%DQG*DOODJKHU0-$QLQWHUODERUDWRU\VXUYH\RIWKH
DFFXUDF\RIRUHDQDO\VLVTransactions of the Institute of Mining and
MetallurgyApplied Earth Science%%.
441
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Technical Director Process, AMEC Australia Pty Ltd, 7/197 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
$GHQLWLRQRIJHRPHWDOOXUJ\LVSUHVHQWHG
*HRPHWDOOXUJ\LVDVFLHQWLFGLVFLSOLQHLQZKLFKJHRORJLFDO
GDWD PLQLQJ GDWD DQG SURFHVVLQJ GDWD LV FRDQDO\VHG WR
generate useful information and knowledge to optimise
UHVRXUFHSURWDELOLW\
7KHLPSRUWDQWLVVXHVLQWKHGHQLWLRQDUHWKDWDOOGLVFLSOLQHV
DUH LQYROYHG DQG WKDW WKH RXWFRPHV VKRXOG EH UHDO LQ
PRQHWDU\ WHUPV QRW VLPSO\ QLFHWRNQRZ LQIRUPDWLRQ
$OWKRXJKWKLVGLVFXVVLRQPD\DSSHDUWREHSURFHVVIRFXVHG
WKH SXUSRVH LV WR HGXFDWH JHRORJLVWV DQG PLQLQJ HQJLQHHUV
DERXW WKH LPSRUWDQFH RI JHRPHWDOOXUJ\ WKURXJK JDLQLQJ
DQ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH XOWLPDWH XVH RI JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDO
GDWD 7RR RIWHQ JHRPHWDOOXUJ\ LV SRRUO\ GHQHG E\ SURFHVV
HQJLQHHUV DQG LV WKHQ WUHDWHG DV D EOLQG GDWDJDWKHULQJ
H[HUFLVH UDWKHU WKDQ EHLQJ D IRXQGDWLRQ IRU D VXFFHVVIXO
SURMHFW :KHUH QHFHVVDU\ WKLV GLVFXVVLRQ LV DOVR XVHIXO WR
SURFHVV HQJLQHHUV ZKRVH FRQFHSW RI JHRPHWDOOXUJ\ QHHGV
WR EH LPSURYHG 8VLQJ DQ LGHDO JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDO RSHUDWLQJ
VFHQDULRDVWKHXOWLPDWHJRDOWKHSDSHUZLOOZRUNEDFNZDUGV
WR ZKDW LV QHHGHG DQG VXIFLHQW GXULQJ WKH GHYHORSPHQWDO
SURMHFWSKDVHV
WKIURPWKHSODQWDWHQGRIPRQWK)RUWKLVWREHDUHDOLW\
WKH JHRORJLVWV QHHG WR KDYH RUH W\SH GHQLWLRQV WKDW IHHG
WKURXJK WR WKH PLQH SODQQLQJ SURFHVV WKH PLQH SODQQLQJ
RXWSXWVPXVWLQGLFDWHOLNHO\WKURXJKSXWUDWHVUHFRYHULHVDQG
SURGXFWTXDOLWLHVRIRUHVIURPWKHXSFRPLQJORFDWLRQVDQGWKH
SURFHVVHQJLQHHUVPXVWKDYHDUHDVRQDEOHOHYHORIIDLWKWKDW
WKHSURFHVVLQIRUPDWLRQLQWKHPLQHSODQLVUHOLDEOH
7KLV VRUW RI HQYLURQPHQW PD\ H[LVW RQ D QXPEHU RI VLWHV
ZRUOGZLGH EXW LW LV FHUWDLQO\ QRW QRUPDO SUDFWLFH 0RUH
W\SLFDOO\WKHSURFHVVHQJLQHHULQZDQWLQJPRUHWKURXJKSXW
ZRXOGDVNWKHJHRORJLVWLIWKHUHZDVDQ\VRIWRUHDERXW7KH
JHRORJLVWZRXOGFRQVLGHUVRIWRUHWREHDSDUWLFXODUJHRORJLFDO
W\SHWKDWKDVEHHQDVVLJQHGDVLQJOHZRUNLQGH[DQGZRXOG
DFFRUGLQJO\ LGHQWLI\ ZKHUH VXFK RUH LV LQ WKH SLW :KHQ WKH
PLQLQJ HQJLQHHU GHOLYHUV LW WR WKH SODQW WKH WKURXJKSXW
P\VWHULRXVO\GURSVE\WKEHFDXVHWKHJHRORJLFDORUHW\SH
ZDVQRWDJHRPHWDOOXUJLFDORUHW\SHDQGWKHPLQHSODQQLQJ
LQIRUPDWLRQ DERXW RUH IURP WKDW SDUWLFXODU ORFDWLRQ ZDV
XQUHOLDEOH
7KHODWWHUFDVHLVHQFRXQWHUHGRQWKHPDMRULW\RIVLWHVDQG
LV RIWHQ FKDUDFWHULVHG E\ SRRU UHODWLRQVKLSV EHWZHHQ WKH
GLVFLSOLQHV 7KH JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDOO\GULYHQ VLWH LV UDUH ZLWK
RQHRIWKHEHVWSXEOLVKHGH[DPSOHVEHLQJWKHZRUNGRQHDW
%DWX+LMDX:LU\DWDDQG0F&DIIHU\
7R XQGHUSLQ D VXFFHVVIXO RSHUDWLRQDO SKDVH WKH IROORZLQJ
JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDOWRROVQHHGWREHDYDLODEOH
443
,Q GHVLJQLQJ DQ\ SURFHVV LW LV QHFHVVDU\ WR FRQGXFW WHVW
ZRUN RQ PHWDOOXUJLFDO VDPSOHV WR GHWHUPLQH DSSURSULDWH
GHVLJQSRLQWV,IHQRXJKVDPSOHVDUHWHVWHGLWLVSRVVLEOHWR
VD\ZLWKDKLJKGHJUHHRIFRQGHQFHZKDWWKHDYHUDJHYDOXH
LVRIDQ\RUHERG\SURSHUW\KRZHYHUDSODQWGHVLJQHGWRWUHDW
DYHUDJHRUHLVGHVLJQHGWRIDLOXQOHVVWKHRUHKDSSHQVWREH
KRPRJHQHRXVLQDOOLPSRUWDQWSURSHUWLHV2UHERGLHVVXFKDV
WKLVGRQRWH[LVWWKHUHIRUHLWHVVHQWLDOWKDWWKHYDULDELOLW\RI
WKHNH\RUHSURSHUWLHVDUHXQGHUVWRRG
Ore variability
$FRPPRQVWDWHPHQWKHDUGIURPOHVVHQOLJKWHQHGJHRORJLVWV
PLQHUV DQG SURFHVV HQJLQHHUV LV WKDW RUH W\SH [ LV DOO WKH
VDPH DQG ZH KDYH WHVWHG LW )XUWKHU LQYHVWLJDWLRQ XVXDOO\
UHYHDOV WKDW RUH W\SH [ LV GRPLQDWHG E\ RQH OLWKRORJ\ DQG
LQWKDWOLPLWHGVHQVHLWLVDOOWKHVDPH$FRXSOHRIWHVWVPD\
KDYHEHHQFRQGXFWHGRQWKLVOLWKRORJ\DQGWKHDQVZHUVFDPH
RXW FORVH VR WKH DYHUDJH SURSHUW\ PHDVXUHPHQW KDV EHHQ
DVVLJQHGWRWKDWSDUWLFXODUJHRORJLFDORUHW\SH7KLVLVQRWDQ
DGHTXDWH EDVLV IRU DVVLJQLQJ D GHVLJQ SRLQW WR DQ RUH W\SH
)RUDQRUHW\SHWREHPHWDOOXUJLFDOO\FRQUPHGDVEHLQJDOO
WKHVDPHDQDGHTXDWHQXPEHURIWHVWVQHHGWREHFRQGXFWHG
RQ VSDWLDOO\ GLVSDUDWH H[DPSOHV RI WKH RQH OLWKRORJ\ WR
GHWHUPLQH D UHOLDEOH VWDQGDUG GHYLDWLRQ IRU WKH SURSHUW\ LQ
TXHVWLRQ ,I WKHUH DUH QR PHWDOOXUJLFDO GHVLJQ LPSOLFDWLRQV
DULVLQJ IURP WKH SODQW EHLQJ IHG RUH DW WKH ORZ HQG RI WKH
SURSHUW\ VSHFWUXP DYHUDJH PLQXV WZR VWDQGDUG GHYLDWLRQ
YDOXHV RU WKH KLJK HQG RI WKH VSHFWUXP DYHUDJH SOXV WZR
VWDQGDUGGHYLDWLRQYDOXHVWKHQWKHRUHFDQEHFRQVLGHUHGDOO
WKHVDPHZLWKUHVSHFWWRWKLVSURSHUW\$FRPPRQH[DPSOH
RIWKLVLVVSHFLFJUDYLW\6*ZKLFKKDVDYHU\ORZUHODWLYH
VWDQGDUGGHYLDWLRQLQPDQ\EXWFHUWDLQO\QRWDOORUHERGLHV
7KHEDQGRIYDOXHVHQFRPSDVVHGE\WZRVWDQGDUGGHYLDWLRQV
HLWKHU VLGH RI WKH PHDQ DFFRXQWV IRU SHU FHQW RI WKH
H[SHFWHGYDOXHVLQDQRUPDOO\GLVWULEXWHGSURSHUW\0DQ\RUH
SURSHUWLHVHVSHFLDOO\ZLWKLQDOLWKRORJ\DUHHLWKHUQRUPDOO\
GLVWULEXWHGRUFORVHWREHLQJQRUPDOO\GLVWULEXWHG3URYLGHG
HQRXJKVDPSOHVDUHPHDVXUHGLWLVSRVVLEOHWRGHWHUPLQHWKH
VWDQGDUGGHYLDWLRQRIWKHPHDVXUHLQTXHVWLRQ
7KHUHIRUHWKHVWDUWLQJSRLQWIRUKDYLQJDGHQLWLYHGHVLJQ
EDVLV LV XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RUHERG\ YDULDELOLW\ 8QIRUWXQDWHO\
IRU WKH LPSDWLHQW WKLV LV D WZRVWHS SURFHVV 7KH UVW VWHS
LV HVWLPDWLQJ WKH LQKHUHQW GHJUHH RI YDULDELOLW\ E\ WHVWLQJ
DQ DGHTXDWH QXPEHU RI VDPSOHV 7KH VHFRQG VWHS LV WHVWLQJ
DGHTXDWH VDPSOHV WR FRQGHQWO\ GHQH WKH YDULDELOLW\
HQYHORSH IRU GHVLJQ SXUSRVHV 7KHVH VWHSV VRXQG DOPRVW
WKH VDPH EXW WKH GLIIHUHQFH EHWZHHQ WKHP LV FUXFLDO WR WKLV
GLVFXVVLRQ
Geometallurgical Guidelines for Miners, Geologists and Process Engineers Discovery to Design|D David
FRQGXFWHG LW LV WKHQ QHFHVVDU\ WR WHVW HQRXJK VDPSOHV WR
DGHTXDWHO\ GHQH WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ 7KH ODUJHU WKH &29 WKH
JUHDWHULVWKHQXPEHURIVDPSOHVWKDWDUHQHHGHGWRDFKLHYHDQ
DFFHSWDEOH OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH WKDW WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ DYHUDJH
DQGLWVOLPLWVLVXQGHUVWRRG2IFRXUVHLWLVSRVVLEOHWRGHVLJQ
ZLWK D ORZHU OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH EXW WKLV GHPDQGV HLWKHU
DFFHSWDQFH RI ULVN WKDW WKH SURMHFW ZLOO QRW SHUIRUP RU WKH
LQFOXVLRQRIDSSURSULDWHOHYHOVRIRYHUGHVLJQWRFRPSHQVDWH
Being definitive
%HLQJGHQLWLYHLQGHVLJQPHDQVWKDWWKHUHVXOWLQJSODQWZLOO
DFKLHYHWKHLQWHQGHGSHUIRUPDQFHZLWKWKHDVVXPHGLQSXWV
DQGZLWKLQDVWDWHGWROHUDQFHRIDFFXUDF\,WLVVHQVLEOHWKHQ
WRDGRSWDFRQVHUYDWLYHGHVLJQSRVLWLRQRQFHWKHGDWDKDVEHHQ
DQDO\VHG &RQVHUYDWLVP LV QRUPDOO\ DFKLHYHG E\ VHOHFWLQJ
DYDOXHWKDWLVVRPHNQRZQGLVWDQFHDERYHWKHDYHUDJHEXW
OHVVWKDQWKHPD[LPXPPHDVXUHGYDOXH$W\SLFDODSSURDFK
LV WR XVH WKH WK SHUFHQWLOH YDOXH EXW DQ DOWHUQDWLYH YDOLG
DSSURDFKZRXOGEHWRXVHWKHXSSHUFRQGHQFHOLPLWDWVRPH
DFFHSWDEOHOHYHORIFRQGHQFH,QJHQHUDOGHVLJQIDFWRUVDQG
RSHUDWLQJ PDUJLQV DUH DOVR DGGHG WR WKH FDOFXODWHG SURFHVV
UHTXLUHPHQW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
445
7KHXOWLPDWHPHVVDJHIURPWKLVVWDWLVWLFDOGLVFXVVLRQLVWKDW
HQRXJKVDPSOHVQHHGWREHPHDVXUHGWRSURYLGHFRQGHQFH
WKDW WKH DYHUDJH YDOXH LV NQRZQ DQG DW WKH VDPH WLPH
SURYLGHFRQGHQFHWKDWWKHGHVLJQSRVLWLRQLVGHPRQVWUDEO\
FRQVHUYDWLYH
FIG 2 - Variability of copper assays for various data sets for a single orebody.
446
Geometallurgical Guidelines for Miners, Geologists and Process Engineers Discovery to Design|D David
IRUFRPSDULVRQ1RWHDOVRWKDWWKHDYHUDJHRIWKHVHWVUHGXFHV
DV WKH WLPH IUDPH UHSUHVHQWHG E\ WKH GDWD UHGXFHV 7KLV LV
EHFDXVHWKHDYHUDJHVIRUHYHU\GDWDVHWDUHGHWHUPLQHGRQDQ
XQZHLJKWHGEDVLVZKLOHWKHIRUPDWLRQRIORQJHUWHUPGDWDVHWV
LQYROYHVERWKWKHEORFNDYHUDJHDVVD\DQGWKHEORFNPDVV
$VVXPLQJRSHUDWLQJGD\VSHU\HDUWKHSHUFHQWEDQG
WKH WK SHUFHQWLOH WR WKH WK SHUFHQWLOH HQFRPSDVVHV
H[SHFWDWLRQVIRURIWKHVHGD\V7KLVPHDQVWKDWWKHUHDUH
QLQH GD\V SHU \HDU ZKHUH WKH IHHG DVVD\ LV H[SHFWHG WR EH
JUHDWHUWKDQWKHXSSHUOLPLWDQGQLQHGD\VZKHUHLWLVH[SHFWHG
WREHEHORZWKHORZHUOLPLW2QDVKLIWEDVLVWKLVWUDQVODWHVWR
VKLIWVRIYHU\KLJKJUDGHVDQGVKLIWVRIYHU\ORZJUDGHV
SHU\HDUDERXWRQHRIHLWKHULQVWDQFHSHUZHHN8QOHVVUHDOLVWLF
H[SHFWDWLRQVRIVKLIWRSHUDWLRQDOYDULDELOLW\DUHFRQVLGHUHGE\
SURFHVVHQJLQHHUVGXULQJGHVLJQDQGRSHUDWLRQFRQLFWFDQ
EH H[SHFWHG EHWZHHQ WKH SURFHVV HQJLQHHUV JHRORJLVWV DQG
PLQHSODQQHUVRQDOPRVWDZHHNO\EDVLV
$ FRPPRQ EDVLV IRU GHVLJQ RIIHUHG GXULQJ WKH GHQLWLYH
VWDJH RI D SURMHFW LV WKH DQQXDO TXDUWHUO\ RU PRQWKO\ PLQH
SODQ ,W LV FOHDU IURP WKLV DQDO\VLV WKDW WKH YDULDELOLW\ DW
PRQWKO\DQGDQQXDOOHYHOVDUHPXFKOHVVWKDQWKHYDULDELOLW\
H[SHFWHG DW WKH VKLIW RU GDLO\ OHYHO 7KH H[DPSOH EHORZ
LOOXVWUDWHV WKDW WR HVWLPDWH D VHQVLEOH XSSHU GHVLJQ SRLQW
WKHH[SHFWHGYDULDELOLW\ DWVKLIWOHYHOQHHGVWREHWDNHQLQWR
DFFRXQW
RI RUH $Q RSWLPXP QHHGV WR EH IRXQG IRU HDFK SURMHFW
EDODQFLQJJUDGHFRQWURODQGSODQWH[LELOLW\
1RWH WKDW WKLV DQDO\VLV IRU GHPRQVWUDWLRQ SXUSRVHV KDV
EHHQOLPLWHGWRWKHFRSSHUIHHGJUDGH6LPLODUFRQVLGHUDWLRQ
LV QHFHVVDU\ IRU HDFK FULWLFDO GHVLJQ LQSXW LQFOXGLQJ IRU
H[DPSOH FRPPLQXWLRQ SURSHUWLHV LPSXULW\ DVVD\V DFLG
FRQVXPSWLRQYDOXHVIRUOHDFKGHVLJQFRQFHQWUDWHPDVV\LHOGV
IRUJUDYLW\RUPDJQHWLFVHSDUDWLRQHWF
+DYHHQRXJKVDPSOHVEHHQWHVWHGWRHVWDEOLVKDUHOLDEOH
YDOXH IRU WKH YDULDELOLW\ ZLWKLQ WKH GHQLWLYH RUHERG\
DV FRQWDLQHG LQ WKH GHQLWLYH SLW VKHOO RU XQGHUJURXQG
ZRUNLQJVDQGZLWKLQRUHW\SHV"
'RWKHVHWVRIRUHSURSHUW\GDWDFRQUPWKDWWKHYDULRXV
RUHW\SHVKDYHJHRPHWDOOXUJLFDOPHDQLQJ"
'RDOOSUHGLFWLYHUHODWLRQVKLSVOLQNLQJJHRORJ\PHDVXUHV
DQG SURFHVV RXWFRPHV KDYH VWURQJ HQRXJK FRUUHODWLRQV
WREHXVHIXO"
+DV WKH RUH RQ ZKLFK WKH SODQW ZLOO PRVW OLNHO\ EH
FRPPLVVLRQHGEHHQHYDOXDWHGVHSDUDWHO\"
+DVWKHRUHWKDWZLOOEHWUHDWHGZLWKLQWKHSHULRGLQZKLFK
WKHFDSLWDOLVUHSDLGEHHQHYDOXDWHGVHSDUDWHO\"
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
447
$UHWKHUHDQ\NH\SURFHVVGHVLJQDVSHFWVQRWVXSSRUWHG
E\DGHTXDWHWHVWZRUN"
,I D FKRLFH KDV EHHQ PDGH WR RYHUGHVLJQ UDWKHU WKDQ
FRQGXFW GHQLWLYH WHVWLQJ WKLV VKRXOG EH GRFXPHQWHG
DQGUHHFWHGLQWKHHTXLSPHQWVHOHFWLRQV
Geometallurgical Guidelines for Miners, Geologists and Process Engineers Discovery to Design|D David
,IWKHGULOOUXQLQWHUVHFWLRQVLQWKHRUH]RQHDUHVKRUWHUWKDQ
WKHUHTXLUHGOHQJWKWKHQPXOWLSOHKROHVDWWKHVDPHORFDWLRQ
ZKHUH WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LV VKDOORZ RU PXOWLSOH ZHGJH
KROHVIURPWKHRQHSDUHQWKROHIRUGHHSHUGULOOLQJPD\EH
QHHGHGWRSURYLGHVXLWDEOHVDPSOHV
,QDOOLQVWDQFHVWKHVHOHFWLRQRIPHWDOOXUJLFDOWHVWVDPSOHV
PXVW EH D FROODERUDWLYH HIIRUW EHWZHHQ WKH JHRORJLVWV DQG
SURFHVVHQJLQHHUV
+DV WKH WHVW ZRUN EHHQ FRQGXFWHG RQ D PL[ RI WUXH
YDULDELOLW\VDPSOHVDQGFRPSRVLWHVDVDSSURSULDWH"
$UHDOOWKHPDMRUGHVLJQLQSXWVDQGGHFLVLRQVDEOHWREH
OLQNHG WR ERWK WKH DYHUDJH YDOXH DQG DQ HVWLPDWH RI LWV
YDULDELOLW\"
+DYHWKHFRUUHFWWHVWVEHHQSHUIRUPHGWRDGHTXDWHO\DVVHVV
WKHYDULRXVSURFHVVLQJRSWLRQVXQGHUFRQVLGHUDWLRQ"
+DVDSODQEHHQSUHSDUHGIRUDGGLWLRQDOWHVWLQJDKHDGRI
WKHGHQLWLYHSKDVH"
WRVXEGLYLGHLW6XEGLYLVLRQFDQEHYLDDOWHUDWLRQW\SHJUDLQ
VL]H GHSWK HWF 7KH DLP LV WR HQVXUH WKDW QR RQH VFRSLQJ
FRPSRVLWH UHSUHVHQWV PRUH WKDQ DERXW SHU FHQW RI WKH
PLQHUDOLVHGPDWHULDO
7HVW WKHVH VDPSOHV DV LI WKH PRVW ORJLFDO DQG FRPPRQ
RZ VKHHW IRU WKH RUH W\SH ZDV WR EH LPSOHPHQWHG ,I WKHUH
LVPRUHWKDQRQHREYLRXVDOWHUQDWLYHH[SDQGWKHWHVWUHJLPH
WR LQFOXGH WKH DGGLWLRQDO SRVVLELOLWLHV 0DNH VXUH WKHUH LV
FRPSRVLWH PDWHULDO LQ UHVHUYH LQ FDVH WKH ORJLFDO SURFHVVLQJ
SDWKZD\VDUHQRWDWWUDFWLYH
:KHQ WKH WHVW UHVXOWV DUH UHFHLYHG WKHUH VKRXOG EH
LQGLFDWLRQV WKDW NQRZOHGJH RI WKH OLWKRORJ\ SURYLGHV DQ\
PHWDOOXUJLFDO JXLGDQFH ,I OLWKRORJ\ KDV QR LQXHQFH RQ
PHWDOOXUJLFDO UHVSRQVH DQRWKHU EDVLV IRU XQGHUVWDQGLQJ
WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDOO\ ZLOO EH QHHGHG
7KHUHZLOOGHQLWHO\EHVWURQJJXLGDQFHDVWRKRZZHOOWKH
PDWHULDO UHVSRQGV WR FRQYHQWLRQDO SURFHVVLQJ DQG WKLV ZLOO
SURYLGH D EDVLV IRU HVWLPDWLQJ FRPPLQXWLRQ DQG VHSDUDWLRQ
UHTXLUHPHQWV WR D VFRSLQJ DFFXUDF\ ,I WKH VHSDUDWLRQ WHVW
ZRUN ZDV XQVXFFHVVIXO WKHUH PD\ DOVR EH JURXQGV IRU
VHOHFWLQJDPRUHFRPSOH[DQGH[SHQVLYHSURFHVVLQJPHWKRG
ZLWKRXWFRQGXFWLQJIXUWKHUWHVWZRUN
CONCLUSIONS
8SRQ FRPPLVVLRQLQJ WKH ODVW WKLQJ D SURMHFW QHHGV LV WR
HQFRXQWHU RUH WKDW ZDV XQDQWLFLSDWHG RU DW WKH OHDVW QRW
GHVLJQHG IRU $ QXPEHU RI SURMHFWV KDYH IDLOHG RU VXIIHUHG
DQHDUIDWDOVHWEDFNDVDUHVXOWRIEHLQJXQDEOHWRSURFHVVWKH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
449
LQLWLDORUH2WKHUSURMHFWVKDYHIDOWHUHGEHFDXVHWKHSODQWZDV
GHVLJQHG IRU WKH DYHUDJH FDVH RU WKH RSHUDWLRQDO YDULDELOLW\
ZDVFRQVLGHUDEO\XQGHUHVWLPDWHG6WLOOPRUHSURMHFWVRSHUDWH
LQ D VWDWH RI VHPLEOLQGQHVV EHFDXVH WKH PLQH SODQQLQJ
RXWFRPHV GR QRW SURYLGH WKH SURFHVV SODQW RSHUDWRUV ZLWK
PHDQLQJIXO SUHGLFWLRQV RI WKURXJKSXW SURGXFW JUDGH RU
RWKHUHVVHQWLDOHFRQRPLFIDFWRUV
$FWLRQVWRDYRLGWKHVHVRUWVRIPLVWDNHVPXVWEHJLQDVHDUO\
DVSRVVLEOHLQWKHSURMHFWVWXG\SURFHVVDQGLWLVWKHGXW\RI
TXDOLHG SHUVRQV WR XQGHUVWDQG ZKDW FRQVWLWXWHV D VWURQJ
JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDOSURMHFWEDVLVDQGZKDWGRHVQRW7KHVRRQHU
WKDWLVVXHVVXFKDVYDULDELOLW\DQGJHRPHWDOOXUJLFDORUHW\SH
GHQLWLRQ DUH DGGUHVVHG ZLWKLQ D VWXG\ IUDPHZRUN WKH
JUHDWHU WKH FKDQFHV WKDW WKH FRPPRQ RSHUDWLRQDO SUREOHPV
ZLOO EH DYRLGHG ,W PXVW EH UHPHPEHUHG WKDW PHWDOOXUJLFDO
WHVWZRUNLVUHODWLYHO\LQH[SHQVLYHFRPSDUHGWRGULOOLQJDQG
WHVW ZRUN LV D WULYLDO FRVW FRPSDUHG WR [LQJ DQ RSHUDWLQJ
SODQWWKDWIDLOVWRPDWFKWKHRUHLWLVEHLQJIHG
$QRWKHU LPSRUWDQW FRQVLGHUDWLRQ LV WKDW WKH ELJ SLFWXUH
SURMHFWLVQRWDOODERXWFDSLWDOFRVW3URYLGHGFDSLWDOFDQEH
VRXUFHGWKHUHDOELJSLFWXUHSURMHFWLVPLQLPLVLQJWKHWLPH
EHWZHHQ DFFHVVLQJ WKDW FDSLWDO DQG VXEVHTXHQWO\ SD\LQJ
LW EDFN $Q\WKLQJ WKDW FDQ MXVWLDEO\ GHULVN WKLV SD\EDFN
SHULRGVKRXOGEHVHHQDVDQHVVHQWLDOFRPSRQHQWRIWKHVWXG\
SKDVHV
&RQGXFWLQJ DQ HIIHFWLYH JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDO HYDOXDWLRQ RI D
SURMHFW HVSHFLDOO\ DW 3)6 DQG GHQLWLYH OHYHOV UHTXLUHV WKH
FRUUHFWPHWDOOXUJLFDOWHVWVDPSOHVDQGWKHSHUIRUPDQFHRIWKH
FRUUHFW PHWDOOXUJLFDO WHVWV 7KLV UHTXLUHV ERWK DSSURSULDWH
WLPHDOORZDQFHVLQWKHVFKHGXOHDQGWKHDELOLW\WRDFFHVVWKH
DSSURSULDWHJHRORJLFDOVDPSOHW\SHV5HDOLVWLFDOORZDQFHVLQ
450
WKHEXGJHWDQGVFKHGXOHDWDQGEHWZHHQWKHYDULRXVVWXG\
SKDVHV DUH D VLJQ WKDW VXFK LVVXHV KDYH EHHQ DGHTXDWHO\
FRQVLGHUHG LQ WKH SURMHFW SODQ 6PDOO WHVW ZRUN EXGJHWV
LQDGHTXDWHWLPHDOORZDQFHVDQGSUREDEO\WKHZRUVWRIDOO
RSWLRQVWKHIDVWWUDFNSURMHFWWKDWVNLSVHVVHQWLDOVWDJHVOLNH
WKH3)6DUHDOOJHRPHWDOOXUJLFDOUHGDJV
7KHJXLGDQFHRIIHUHGE\WKLVSDSHULVXOWLPDWHO\GHVLJQHG
WRHQVXUHWKDWSURMHFWVGRQRWHQFRXQWHUVXUSULVHVGXULQJWKH
FRPPLVVLRQLQJRUSD\EDFNSHULRGV+RZHYHULQWKHFRQWH[W
RI SUHGLFWLQJ IXWXUH SURMHFW SHUIRUPDQFH WKLV DGYLFH LV
LQWHQGHGWRDVVLVWWKRVHWKDWFRQGXFWVWXGLHVRUVXEVHTXHQWO\
VHHNWRLQIRUPWKHPDUNHWDVZHOODVVWDNHKROGHUVVHHNLQJWR
PDNHLQYHVWPHQWGHFLVLRQV
,OOQLVKZLWKDUKHWRULFDOTXHVWLRQLI\RXFDQQRWDIIRUGWR
FRQGXFWWKHPHWDOOXUJLFDOWHVWZRUNQHFHVVDU\WRJLYH\RXRU
\RXULQYHVWRUVFRQGHQFHLQWKHSURMHFWGR\RXKDYHDUHDO
SURMHFW"
REFERENCES
0RUUHOO 6 0DSSLQJ RUHERG\ KDUGQHVV YDULDELOLW\ IRU $*
6$*FUXVKLQJ DQG +3*5 FLUFXLWV LQ International Autogenous
*ULQGLQJ 6HPL$XWRJHQRXV *ULQGLQJ DQG +LJK 3UHVVXUH *ULQGLQJ
Roll TechnologyHGV.0DMRU%&)OLQWRII%.OHLQDQG.0F/HRG
SDSHU8QLYHUVLW\RI%ULWLVK&ROXPELD9DQFRXYHU
:LU\DWD ) DQG 0F&DIIHU\ . $SSOLHG JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDO
FKDUDFWHULVDWLRQ IRU OLIH RI PLQH WKURXJKSXW SUHGLFWLRQ DW %DWX
+LMDX LQ ,QWHUQDWLRQDO $XWRJHQRXV *ULQGLQJ 6HPL$XWRJHQRXV
Grinding and High Pressure Grinding Roll TechnologyHGV.0DMRU
% & )OLQWRII % .OHLQ DQG . 0F/HRG SDSHU 8QLYHUVLW\ RI
%ULWLVK&ROXPELD9DQFRXYHU
HOME
1. MAusIMM, General Manager Strategy, Iron Ore, Rio Tinto, 152 - 158 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
2. Manager Resource Studies and Technology (CP Ore Reserves), Rio Tinto, 152 - 158 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
5LR7LQWRRSHUDWLRQVLQWKH3LOEDUDKDYHFRPHDORQJZD\LQ
WKHSDVW\HDUVIURP$XJXVWZLWKWKHUVWVKLSPHQW
RI0W7RP3ULFHLURQRUHWRUDSLGJURZWKVHHQRYHUWKHODVW
WHQ\HDUV5LR7LQWRVKLSSHGLWVWKLUGELOOLRQWRQQHRILURQRUH
LQDIWHU\HDUVRIRSHUDWLRQVWKHUVWELOOLRQWDNLQJ
\HDUVWKHVHFRQG\HDUVWKHWKLUGVL[\HDUVZLWKFXUUHQW
RXWORRNIRUWKHIRXUWKELOOLRQEHLQJMXVWIRXU\HDUV
,Q ZKHQ &KDSPDQ DQG &KRZ ZURWH WKHLU SDSHU
5LR 7LQWR RSHUDWHG YH PLQHV SURGXFLQJ DURXQG 0WD
LWVHHPHGOLNHDODUJHRSHUDWLRQDWWKHWLPH)DVWIRUZDUGWR
WRGD\)LJXUHDQGWKHUHLVQRZRSHUDWLRQDOLQWHJUDWLRQDQG
FRQWURODFURVVPLQHVNPRIUDLODQGWKUHHSRUWVZLWK
DFXUUHQWFDSDFLW\RI0WD7KLVZLOOH[SDQGWR0WD
LQWKHVHFRQGKDOIRIDQGWRDQHWZRUNV\VWHPFDSDFLW\
RI 0WD 5LR 7LQWR QRZ KDV RYHU HPSOR\HHV
LQFUHDVLQJ WR DQ HVWLPDWHG RYHU WKH QH[W IRXU \HDUV
ZLWKRSHUDWLRQVWKDWVWUHWFKDFURVVODQGVDVVRFLDWHGZLWK
$ERULJLQDOODQJXDJHJURXSVSDVWRUDOVWDWLRQVFRPPXQLWLHV
DQG WRZQVKLSV DV ZHOO DV RWKHU UHVRXUFH FRPSDQLHV DQG
WKHLU SURMHFWV %HVLGHV WKH PLQHV SRUWV DQG UDLOZD\ 5LR
7LQWRRZQVDQGRSHUDWHVDUDQJHRIRWKHUIDFLOLWLHVLQFOXGLQJ
QHDUO\ KRPHV VLQJOH DSDUWPHQWV DQG URXJKO\
FRPPHUFLDODQGLQGXVWULDOEXLOGLQJVWKUHHSRZHUVWDWLRQV
DQGIRXUDLUSRUWV
FIG 1 - Rio Tintos current sustaining capacity and future operations in the Pilbara.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
451
7KHLURQRUHLQGXVWU\IDFHVPDQ\FKDOOHQJHVDFURVVDUDQJH
RIIURQWVZKLOVWGHPDQGLVLQFUHDVLQJO\GULYHQE\WKHQHHGVRI
HPHUJLQJHFRQRPLHVWKHFKDOOHQJHVIDFLQJSURGXFHUVLQFOXGH
DQG1RUWK$PHULFD,QDGGLWLRQWRWKHVHPDUNHWVGHYHORSLQJ
HFRQRPLHV LQFOXGLQJ WKH 0LGGOH (DVW ,QGLD DQG 6RXWK (DVW
$VLDKDYHDQLQFUHDVLQJGHPDQGIRUVWHHO
VLJQLFDQWFRVWSUHVVXUHV
DFFHVVWRHVVHQWLDOGHYHORSPHQWUHVRXUFHV
QDQFHDQGVNLOOHGODERXUDYDLODELOLW\
PDWXUHRUHERGLHV
ORZHUJUDGHV
ORQJHUKDXOGLVWDQFHV
LQFUHDVLQJO\FRPSOH[PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
7KHVHIDFWRUVDUHFRPSRXQGHGE\VWDNHKROGHUVVHHNLQJULVLQJ
UHQWVDQGDORZHUHQYLURQPHQWDOLPSDFWDQGFDUERQIRRWSULQW
7KHGHPDQGVIRULQFUHDVHGRUHERG\NQRZOHGJHKDYHWUDFNHG
JURZWK 'DWD LV EHLQJ FROOHFWHG DW XQSUHFHGHQWHG OHYHOV
DQG TXDQWLWLHV ZKHWKHU LW LV SULPDU\ GDWD VXFK DV GULOOLQJ
HQYLURQPHQWDOK\GURORJLFDOPHWDOOXUJLFDODVVD\LQIRUPDWLRQ
RUVHFRQGDU\HYDOXDWLRQGDWD7KHODWWHULQFOXGHVEORFNPRGHOV
RI JHRORJ\ HVWLPDWHG JUDGH GLVWULEXWLRQV PHWDOOXUJLFDO
SURGXFWPRGHOVPLQHSODQQLQJVFHQDULRVDQGVFKHGXOHVSRUW
DQG UDLO QHWZRUN VLPXODWLRQV DQG LQGXVWU\ZLGH VWHHO SODQW
PRGHOOLQJ7KHVHFXULW\FXUUHQF\DQGDFFHVVLELOLW\RIWKLVGDWD
LVFULWLFDOWRWKHTXDOLW\RIWKH2UH5HVHUYH
7KLV UHFHQW UDSLG JURZWK KDV GULYHQ VLJQLFDQW FKDQJH LQ
WKH DSSURDFK WR DFTXLULQJ GDWD WKH FRQYHUVLRQ RI WKDW GDWD
LQWR RUHERG\ NQRZOHGJH DQG WKH HYDOXDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHV)LJXUHWRVXVWDLQDQGH[SDQG
WKHEXVLQHVV3ODQQLQJSDUDGLJPVIRUWUDQVODWLQJUHVRXUFHVWR
PLQH SODQV KDYH EHHQ FKDOOHQJHG ZLWK WKH PRYH WR D IXOO\
LQWHJUDWHG EXVLQHVV PRGHO LQFOXGLQJ WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI
ZKROHRIV\VWHP PLQHV SURFHVV SODQWV UDLO QHWZRUN DQG
SRUWV RSWLPLVDWLRQ WHFKQLTXHV ZKLFK DUH QRZ DQ LQWHJUDO
FRPSRQHQWRIWKHRUJDQLVDWLRQVFRPPHUFLDOVXFFHVV
7KH UHVSRQVH RI WKH LURQ RUH LQGXVWU\ WR WKLV FKDQJLQJ
GHPDQG PXVW DOVR EH FRQVLGHUHG ZKHQ HYDOXDWLQJ SURMHFWV
DQGGHYHORSLQJ2UH5HVHUYHV$UDQJHRIIDFWRUVLQFOXGLQJ
FRPSDQ\ IDFWRUV UHODWH GLUHFWO\ WR SURMHFW VXFFHVV VXFK DV
SRUWIROLRLPSDFWRIDQHZSURMHFWSURMHFWWUDFNUHFRUGORFDWLRQ
RIDGMDFHQWPLQHVDQGLQIUDVWUXFWXUHDQGDFFHVVWRQDQFH,Q
DGGLWLRQ WR WKHVH DUH FRXQWU\ UHJLRQDO DQG UHVRXUFH IDFWRUV
WKDWFKDOOHQJHSURMHFWHFRQRPLFVDVPHQWLRQHGSUHYLRXVO\
7KHODVWWZRGHFDGHVVLQFHKDYHVHHQFKDQJHVLQVWHHO
SURGXFWLRQDQGLURQRUHVXSSO\)LJXUH,QFUHDVHLQZRUOG
GHPDQGKDVEHHQGRPLQDWHGE\JURZWKLQVWHHOSURGXFWLRQLQ
&KLQDSRVW7KLVGHPDQGKDVEHHQPHWPRVWO\WKURXJK
H[SDQVLRQRILURQRUHVXSSO\LQ$XVWUDOLDDQG%UD]LODVZHOO
DVDVLJQLFDQWJURZWKRIWKHGRPHVWLFLURQRUHLQGXVWU\LQ
&KLQD
7KHFKDQJHLQVHDERUQHVXSSO\IURPWRKDVVHHQ
FKDQJHVWRWKHW\SHVDQGSURSRUWLRQVRILURQRUHPLQHUDOVXVHG
WRSURGXFHVWHHO,URQRUHSURGXFWVDUHQRWKRPRJHQHRXV7KHLU
SK\VLFDOFKHPLFDODQGPHWDOOXUJLFDOTXDOLW\LVGHSHQGHQWRQ
WKH QDWXUH RI WKH PLQHUDOV DQG WKH RUH SURFHVVLQJ PHWKRGV
XVHGWRH[WUDFWWKHPLQHUDOV)XUWKHUPRUHLURQRUHSURGXFWV
FDQ FRQVLVW RI EOHQGV RI GLIIHUHQW RUHV IURP D QXPEHU RI
PLQLQJDUHDVRUPLQHV
7KH YDOXHLQXVH RI DQ LURQ RUH SURGXFW DW DQ LQGLYLGXDO
VWHHOPLOOGHSHQGVRQDUDQJHRIIDFWRUV7KHVHIDFWRUVLQFOXGH
WKH VL]H RI WKH VWHHO PLOO WKH W\SHV RI VWHHO SURGXFWV EHLQJ
SURGXFHG DQG YROXPH DQG TXDOLW\ RI DOWHUQDWLYH LURQ RUHV
DYDLODEOHWRWKDWPLOO
5LR7LQWRFXUUHQWO\SURGXFHVYHLURQRUHSURGXFWVIRUVDOH
FIG 2 - Growth in iron ore Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves and production
(million tonnes). Resources and Reserves in dry tonnes reported on a 100 per cent
basis and Resources exclusive of Reserves. Details on the Mineral Resource and
Ore Reserve from 2001 to 2012 are found in the the Rio Tinto annual report.
Assessment of Iron Ore Reserves Rio Tintos Pilbara Experience| G Danckert and L Fouch
FIG 3 - Global iron ore and pig iron production (1990 - 2010).
TABLE 1
Pilbara Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves support reliable product delivery.
Rio Tinto Pilbara iron
ore products
Pilbara blend product
Mineral Resource
Ore Reserve
Product grade
Mt
% Fe
Mt
% Fe
% Fe (lump)
% Fe (fines)
12 281
61.3
2278
62.2
62.5
61.5
Measured
918
60.4
Proved
1439
62.5
Indicated
2890
61.8
Probable
840
61.8
Inferred
8473
61.3
Yandicoogina product
3375
57.1
324
58.6
Measured
820
57.4
Proved
324
58.6
Indicated
210
57.7
Probable
0.4
58.9
Inferred
2345
57.0
2785
57.1
274
57.2
Measured
147
57.5
Proved
175
57.3
Indicated
1483
58.2
Probable
99
57.0
Inferred
1155
55.6
58.5
57.0
57.0
453
&XUUHQWO\WKHEXVLQHVVLVPRYLQJWRZDUGVDYDULDEOHFXWRII
JUDGHSROLF\ZKHUHFXWRIIJUDGHVIRULURQDQGFRQWDPLQDQWV
DUH FKDQJLQJ VSDWLDOO\ DQG WHPSRUDOO\ 7KH DSSURDFK
FRQVLGHUV K\GUDWLRQ VWUDWLJUDSK\ JHRORJLFDO VXEXQLWV
PDWHULDOW\SHVDQGSURFHVVLQJURXWHV
0DWHULDOGHVWLQDWLRQVEHFRPHDUHVXOWRIWKHPLQHVFKHGXOH
DQG WKH PDWHULDO GHVWLQDWLRQ GHQLWLRQV DUH DQ LQSXW WR SLW
RSWLPLVDWLRQ 7KH SLW VKHOO WKH H[WUDFWLRQ VHTXHQFH DQG WKH
FXWRIIJUDGHVFDQWKHQEHLWHUDWLYHO\LPSURYHG)LJXUH
:KDWLVWKHEHVWUHVRXUFHGHYHORSPHQWVWUDWHJ\LQWHUPV
RI
VFDOHRXWSXWRIWKHEXVLQHVV
GHYHORSPHQWVHTXHQFH
VFRSHIRUHDFKGHYHORSPHQWRSWLRQVFDOHSODQWRZ
VKHHWHWF
DVVRFLDWHG SROLFLHV SURGXFWLRQ UDWHV FXWRII JUDGHV
etc)
SURGXFWW\SHVWUDWHJ\"
+RZDUHWKHRSWLRQVFRQVWUDLQHGE\SURGXFWVWUDWHJ\"
:KDWDUHWKHLPSDFWVRIWKHVHFRQVWUDLQWV"
+RZ GR WKH\ UHFRQFLOH ORFDO VLWH VROXWLRQV ZLWK WKH
ZKROHV\VWHP"
+RZGRZHGHOLYHUWKHYDOXHLGHQWLHGDWDVWUDWHJLF
OHYHO"
:KDW DUH PLQH SODQ UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU HDFK WLPH IUDPH
DQGFXVWRPHU"
:KDWLVWKHEHVWVFKHGXOLQJSODWIRUP"
+RZPXFKWLPHLVUHTXLUHGWRDFKLHYHDVROXWLRQ"
,VDQ\RQHVROXWLRQFRUUHFW"
:KDW DUH WKH ULVNV RU FKDQFH RI VXFFHVVIXO VWUDWHJ\
LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ"
7R DQVZHU WKHVH TXHVWLRQV DQG WKH PDQ\ RWKHUV UDLVHG
LQ WKH SURFHVV WKH VWUDWHJLF SURGXFWLRQ SODQQLQJ WHDP WHVW
KXQGUHGV RI RSWLRQV IRU PLQH GHYHORSPHQW DQG SKDVLQJ
RUH SURFHVVLQJ DQG EHQHFLDWLRQ FXWRII JUDGH SROLF\
LQIUDVWUXFWXUH ORJLVWLFV DQG UHVRXUFH WR SURGXFW WR PDUNHW
PDWFKLQJ7KLVWRWDO3LOEDUDPLQHSODQDSSURDFKLQFRUSRUDWHV
RYHUWLPHDSSUR[LPDWHO\SLWVDWPLQHVLWHVSURGXFLQJ
WKURXJKSODQWVZLWKYDULDEOHFXWRIIJUDGHVDQGVWRFNSLOH
FRQJXUDWLRQWRHYDOXDWHXSWRSRWHQWLDOSURGXFWRSWLRQV
GHOLYHUHGWKURXJKWKHQHWZRUNRSWLRQVIRUUDLODQGSRUWV,WLV
DVLJQLFDQWO\FRPSOH[FKDOOHQJH
7KHNH\KDVEHHQWRWDNHDQLQWHJUDWHGYLHZRIWKHEXVLQHVV
5LR7LQWRSURSULHWDU\VRIWZDUHOLQNHGWRDFRPSXWHUVHUYHU
IDUP DOORZV WKHVH PDQ\ VFKHGXOHV WR EH UXQ LQ SDUDOOHO
DQDO\VLQJ GDWD WR SURYLGH LQVLJKW LQWR WKH EHVW YDOXH
SURGXFWLRQSDWKDQGSURGXFWVWUDWHJ\IRUWKHEXVLQHVV
Assessment of Iron Ore Reserves Rio Tintos Pilbara Experience| G Danckert and L Fouch
HQJLQHHUVZKRHQVXUHWKHGDWDLVFRQVLVWHQWDQGXSWRGDWH
DQGWKDWLWUHSUHVHQWVWKHRQHYHUVLRQRIWKHWUXWKIRUHDFK
UHVRXUFHPLQLQJDQGVFKHGXOHPRGHO
%HIRUH D JHRORJLVW JHRWHFKQLFDO HQJLQHHU K\GURJHRORJLVW
PHWDOOXUJLVWRUPLQLQJHQJLQHHUXVHVDPRGHOLWLVFRQYHUWHG
DQG SXEOLVKHG ZLWK WKH PRVW FXUUHQW DXWKRULVHG PRGHO
0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV 7KHVH LQFOXGH SODQQLQJ SDUDPHWHUV DQG
PHWDGDWD VXFK DV PDWHULDO W\SH JHRORJLFDO VWUDQG SURGXFW
SUHGLFWLRQV GLOXWLRQ UHFRYHU\ DQG PHWDOOXUJLFDO IDFWRUV
)LJXUH0LQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJSURGXFWLRQSDUDPHWHUVDUH
DGGHGWRUHVRXUFHPRGHOVDVDSSURSULDWH
2UH SURFHVVLQJ SURGXFW SUHGLFWLRQV DUH GHYHORSHG IURP
RUHIHHGVWRSURFHVVURXWHRSWLRQVE\GHYHORSLQJDSSURSULDWH
SURGXFWPRGHOV0HWDOOXUJLFDOSURGXFWPRGHOVDUHPDQDJHG
LQDUHJUHVVLRQPDQDJHPHQWV\VWHP506WKDWDSSOLHVOLQHDU
XQLYDULDWH UHJUHVVLRQV WR SUHGLFW SURGXFW SURSHUWLHV IURP
IHHGSURSHUWLHV
7KH QXPEHU RI UHJUHVVLRQ W\SHV UHTXLUHG IRU D JLYHQ
GHSRVLWPLQH LQFUHDVHV ZLWK WKH FRPSOH[LW\ RI WKH JHRORJ\
DQG SURFHVVLQJ SODQW 7KH VWDQGDUG VXLWH RI WKH SURGXFW
SURSHUWLHV SUHGLFWHG ZLWK WKH UHJUHVVLRQV LQFOXGHV SURGXFW
JUDGHV)H6L22$O223360QORVVRQLJQLWLRQ/2,WRWDO
DQGPRLVWXUHDQGSURGXFW\LHOGJURXSHGE\DERYHRUEHORZ
ZDWHUWDEOHK\GUDWLRQVWUDQGVJHRORJ\ORFDWLRQHWF
7KHUDLOHGOXPSLVUHVFUHHQHGDWWKHSRUWWRUHGXFHWKHOHYHO
RI QHV LQ WKH OXPS SURGXFW SULRU WR VKLSSLQJ 3RUW VFUHHQ
RXWIDFWRUVDUHWKHUHIRUHDSSOLHGWRUDLOHGOXPSSURGXFWVWR
DFFRXQW IRU WKH HIIHFW RI OXPS UHVFUHHQLQJ DW WKH SRUWV RQ
VKLSSHGSURGXFWTXDOLW\
7KH UHJUHVVLRQV DUH GHULYHG IURP EXON VDPSOHV GLDPRQG
FRUHGDWD34+4DQGZLGHGLDPHWHUFRUH:'&ZLQ]HDQG
VRPH SURGXFWLRQ GDWD 7KH SURFHGXUHV XVHG WR SURFHVV WKH
GULOO FRUH DUH YDOLGDWHG DJDLQVW UHFRQFLOHG SODQW SURGXFWLRQ
GDWD7KHDFFXUDF\RIORQJWHUPUHJUHVVLRQVLVXVXDOO\YHULHG
XVLQJVLQJOHVRXUFHSURFHVVLQJWULDOV
3URGXFWSUHGLFWLRQVDUHDSSOLHGWR5LR7LQWRVUHVRXUFHEDVH
XVHGLQVWUDWHJLFSURGXFWLRQSODQQLQJDQG0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
DQG2UH5HVHUYHPRGHOV
2UHEOHQGLQJLVFRQGXFWHGDWDORFDOPLQHOHYHODVZHOODV
RQ D 3LOEDUDZLGH V\VWHP OHYHO /RFDO PLQH OHYHO EOHQGLQJ
GULYHUVZLOOGLIIHUEHWZHHQPLQHVLWHVDQGDUHFRPPRQO\WKH
SDUDPHWHUVWKDWDUHLPSRUWDQWIRURUHFRQWUROVXFKDV
JUDGHFRQWUROSDUDPHWHUV)H6L22$O22330Q
SK\VLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV IRU WKURXJKSXW RSWLPLVDWLRQ
OXPSQHV VSOLW PLQHUDORJ\ DQG SHUFHQWDJHIUHH
PRLVWXUH
3LOEDUD V\VWHPZLGH EOHQGLQJ LV GULYHQ E\ SURGXFW
GHQLWLRQV )H 6L22 $O223 3 6 0Q /2,WRWDO SHUFHQWDJH
0DUUD0DPEDGHFUHSLWDWLRQLQGH[XOWUDQHVDQGSHUFHQWDJH
IUHHPRLVWXUHLQDFFRUGDQFHZLWKWKHEOHQGDQGYDULDEOHFXW
RIIJUDGHSROLF\
:DVWH GLVSRVDO LV D VLJQLFDQW FRVW GULYHU LQ DQ\
VXUIDFH PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQ 7KH GHVLJQ RI ZDVWH GXPSV
DQG RUH VWRFNSLOHV FRQVLGHUV HFRQRPLF JHRWHFKQLFDO DQG
HQYLURQPHQWDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV :DVWH GXPS ORFDWLRQV DUH
GHVLJQHGWRUHGXFHHQYLURQPHQWDOIRRWSULQWZKLOHPLQLPLVLQJ
RSHUDWLQJDQGFDSLWDOFRVWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHLUFRQVWUXFWLRQ
DQG RSHUDWLRQV 7KH ZDVWHGXPS VKDSH LV GULYHQ E\
HQYLURQPHQWDO DQG JHRWHFKQLFDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV 7KH ZDVWH
GXPS VFKHGXOH LV EDVHG RQ WKH SUHVHQWDWLRQ RI PDWHULDO DV
GHQHGE\WKHPLQHVFKHGXOHDQGFRQVLGHUVLVVXHVVXFKDV
FIG 5 - Incorporating of resource parameters, metadata and Ore Reserve Modifying Factors.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
455
SLWGHVLJQZKHUHJHRWHFKQLFDOZDOOGHSUHVVXULVDWLRQLVDQ
LPSRUWDQWGULYHURISLWVORSHV
PLQHVFKHGXOLQJZKHUHPLQHVHTXHQFHVDQGWKHYHUWLFDO
PLQLQJ DGYDQFH UDWH PD\ EH FRQVWUDLQHG E\ GHZDWHULQJ
DQGWKHQHHGWRPDQDJHSURGXFWPRLVWXUH
HQYLURQPHQWDO DQG FORVXUH ZKHUH GLVFKDUJHOLFHQFH
FRPSOLDQFHLVDQLPSRUWDQWFRQVLGHUDWLRQ
7KH 2UH 5HVHUYH FRQYHUVLRQ SURFHVV LV IXQGDPHQWDOO\
D YDOXHGULYHQ SURFHVV GHVLJQHG WR FRQYHUW WKH 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH DVVHWV LQWR VKDUHKROGHU YDOXH 5LR 7LQWR UHSRUWV
2UH5HVHUYHVLQDQXPEHURIMXULVGLFWLRQVHDFKRIZKLFKKDV
XQLTXHUHTXLUHPHQWVDQGVWDQGDUGVLQFOXGLQJWKHHFRQRPLF
DVVHVVPHQW RI 2UH 5HVHUYHV 7KH HFRQRPLF DVVHVVPHQW RI
WKHPLQHSODQLVWKHUHIRUHDNH\SURFHVVLQWKH2UH5HVHUYH
FRQYHUVLRQSURFHVV)LQDQFLDOYDOXDWLRQRIWKH2UH5HVHUYHVLV
FRQGXFWHGE\FRQVLGHULQJDOOWKHUHOHYDQWUHYHQXHDQGFRVWV
SDUDPHWHUVLQRUGHUWRGHPRQVWUDWHHFRQRPLFYDOXH
CONCLUSIONS
$VRXUHQYLURQPHQWDQGEXVLQHVVFRQWLQXHWRFKDQJHLWLVRXU
SHRSOHWKDWPXVWEHWHFKQLFDOO\HTXLSSHGWRPDNHWKHPRVWRI
WKHRSSRUWXQLWLHVDKHDG:HQHHGV\VWHPVWKDWKHOSRXUSHRSOH
FRSHZLWKWKHFRPSOH[LW\PDNHVHQVHRILQFUHDVLQJGDWDDQG
DSSO\LQQRYDWLYHWKLQNLQJWRG\QDPLFDOO\DGDSWWRWKHFKDQJH
,WLVDQH[FLWLQJWLPHRIFRQWLQXRXVFKDQJHWKDWEULQJVZLWK
LWLPPHQVHSRVVLELOLWLHV
7KH ZRUOG LV DEXQGDQW LQ LURQ RUH 7KH 86 *HRORJLFDO
6XUYH\ HVWLPDWHV ZRUOG UHVRXUFHV DW DSSUR[LPDWHO\ %W
EXW PRUH FRPSUHKHQVLYH DVVHVVPHQWV KDYH WKLV HVWLPDWH DW
JUHDWHU WKDQ WKUHH WLPHV WKDW JXUH :LWK WKH HPHUJHQFH RI
,QGLD:HVW$IULFDDQGH[WHQVLYHH[SORUDWLRQDFURVV&DQDGD
DQG $VLD JOREDO VXSSO\ RSWLRQV ZLOO PHHW IRUHVHHDEOH
GHPDQGIRUGHFDGHVWRFRPHKRZHYHUZLWKWKHLQWURGXFWLRQ
RIQHZVXSSO\UHJLRQVWKHFRQVLVWHQWTXDOLW\RISURGXFWDQG
LWVYDOXHLQXVHEHFRPHVWKHSLYRWDOGLIIHUHQWLDWLRQSRLQW
:H QHHG WR DFNQRZOHGJH WKDW RXU FXVWRPHUV QHHGV DQG
SUDFWLFHV KDYH EHFRPH QHFHVVDULO\ PRUH VRSKLVWLFDWHG
UHTXLULQJXVWREHWWHUXQGHUVWDQGWKHLURSHUDWLRQVDQGSURGXFW
UHTXLUHPHQWV(QVXULQJWKHULJKWSURGXFWLVEHLQJPDWFKHGWR
LWVEHVWDSSOLFDWLRQFRXOGEHWKHGLIIHUHQFHEHWZHHQGHFOLQLQJ
VXVWDLQLQJRULQFUHDVLQJVDOHVDQGWKHFRQVHTXHQWLDOLPSDFWV
RQ5HVRXUFHWR5HVHUYHFRQYHUVLRQ
$ORQJ ZLWK PD[LPLVLQJ WKH YDOXHLQXVH RI SURGXFW
WDNLQJ D ZKROH V\VWHP DSSURDFK WR RSWLPLVDWLRQ DQG
IRVWHULQJLQQRYDWLRQDQGWHFKQRORJ\EHFRPHVDFRPSHWLWLYH
GLIIHUHQWLDWRUIRURXUEXVLQHVV
5LR 7LQWR DSSOLHV LQQRYDWLYH WHFKQRORJLHV WR HQKDQFH RXU
RSHUDWLRQV IURP PLQH WR FXVWRPHU LQFOXGLQJ LQWHJUDWLRQ RI
RXU VXSSO\ FKDLQ 2UH 5HVHUYH SUDFWLFHV KDYH FKDQJHG WR
UHHFWWKLV7LJKWHUPDUJLQVJUHDWHUUHVRXUFHNQRZOHGJHDQG
OHDUQLQJ RXU FXVWRPHUV QHHGV EHWWHU HTXLSV XV WR JURZ WKH
EXVLQHVVDWWKHULJKWFRVWWKURXJKRSWLPLVLQJWKHYDOXHRIWKH
UHVRXUFHEDVHDQGUHWXUQVWRVKDUHKROGHUV
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUVZLVKWRWKDQN5LR7LQWRIRUSHUPLVVLRQWRSXEOLVK
WKLV SDSHU 7KDQNV DOVR WR %UXFH 6RPPHUYLOOH 0DQDJHU
5HVRXUFH *HRORJ\ &3 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 'DUUHQ
0DWWKHZV *HQHUDO 0DQDJHU 7HFKQLFDO 0DUNHWLQJ IRU WKHLU
YDOXDEOHFRQWULEXWLRQ
REFERENCES
&KDSPDQ 5 - DQG &KRZ ( 0DUNHW IRFXVHG 2UH 5HVHUYHV DW
+DPHUVOH\ ,URQ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
The AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
*UHHQ & DQG 'DQFNHUW * 9DOXH FUHDWLRQ WKURXJK RUHERG\
NQRZOHGJHLQQRYDWLRQVAusIMM Bulletin
/DQH.)7KH(FRQRPLF'HQLWLRQRI2UH&XWRII*UDGHVLQ7KHRU\
and Practice0LQLQJ-RXUQDO%RRNV/RQGRQ
456
HOME
1. MAusIMM, General Manager Exploration and Mining, Iluka Resources Limited, Level 23, 140 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
457
EDFNLQWRWKH(RFHQHSHULRGRUPLOOLRQ\HDUVDJR+RXDQG
:DUODQG
6HGLPHQWDU\ PLQHUDO VDQG RUHERGLHV HVVHQWLDOO\ IDOO LQWR
WZR FDWHJRULHV EDVHG RQ WKH PRGH RI GHSRVLWLRQ DOOXYLDO
RU DHROLDQ $OOXYLDO GHSRVLWV DUH IXUWKHU VSOLW LQWR PDULQH
EHDFK SODFHUV RU VWUDQGOLQHV DQG PRUH GLVWDO PDULQH +0
DFFXPXODWLRQV $HROLDQ GHSRVLWV DUH JHQHUDOO\ FORVHO\
DVVRFLDWHGZLWKPDULQHEHDFKSODFHUVKDYLQJEHHQIRUPHGE\
WKH HURVLRQ WUDQVSRUW DQG GHSRVLWLRQ RI +0 IURP DGMDFHQW
PDULQHEHDFKSODFHUVE\SUHYDLOLQJZLQGV
7KH VL]H DQG JUDGH RI PLQHUDO VDQG GHSRVLWV YDU\
FRQVLGHUDEO\ 0DULQH SODFHUV DUH W\SLFDOO\ P WR P
ZLGHPWRPWKLFNDQGNPWRNPORQJ+0JUDGHVFDQ
YDU\IURPVHYHUDOSHUFHQWWRRYHUSHUFHQW6RPHPDULQH
SODFHUV FRPSULVH VWUDQGOLQHV WKDW DUH GHSRVLWHG LQ FORVH
SUR[LPLW\ WR HDFK RWKHU DQG DV VXFK FDQ IRUP DFFXPXODWHG
GHSRVLWVXSWRNPDFURVVVWULNH'XQDOGHSRVLWVFORVHWRWKH
VKRUHWHQGWREHODUJHUPRUHLUUHJXODULQGLPHQVLRQDQGRI
D ORZHU JUDGH JHQHUDOO\ SHU FHQW WR WHQ SHU FHQW +0
,Q DGGLWLRQ WKH JUDLQ VL]H DQG TXDOLW\ RI WKH +0 ZLOO YDU\
EHWZHHQ GHSRVLW W\SH ZLWK VWUDQGOLQH GHSRVLWV WHQGLQJ WR
KDYH FRDUVHU JUDLQHG DQG EHWWHU TXDOLW\ 9+0 WKDQ WKHLU
GXQDORUGLVWDOPDULQHFRXQWHUSDUWV
TABLE 1
Comparison between typical unaltered and altered ilmenite products
from Western Australian mineral sands deposits.
Analyte
Unaltered ilmenite
Altered ilmenite
% TiO2
52 - 54
57 - 60
% FeO
19 - 25
4 - 15
%Fe2O3
16 - 22
33 - 37
% SiO2
0.5 - 0.9
0.9 - 1.3
% Al2O3
0.4 - 0.8
0.9 - 1.5
% MnO
1.4 - 1.6
1.2 - 1.4
% MgO
0.1 - 0.2
0.1 - 0.2
% V2O5
0.14 - 0.20
0.14 - 0.20
% CaO
0.01 - 0.05
0.01 - 0.05
% Cr2O3
0.05 - 0.07
0.05 - 0.08
% Nb2O5
0.13 - 0.16
0.13 - 0.16
% ZrO2
0.1 - 0.2
0.2 - 0.3
U (ppm)
<20
<20
Th (ppm)
100 - 150
150 - 300
FIG 1 - Breakdown of major market applications for
titanium feedstocks in 2011 (6.5 Mt) (Iluka, 2013a).
7L22 SLJPHQW LV PDGH E\ WZR SURFHVVHV WKH FKORULGH
SURFHVV DQG WKH VXOIDWH SURFHVV 7KH IRUPHU XVHV FKORULQH
JDV DQG SHWUROHXP FRNH DW KLJK WHPSHUDWXUH FLUFD &
WR FRQYHUW WKH WLWDQLXP RUH LQWR PHWDO FKORULGHV LQ XLG
EHG FKORULQDWRUV 7KH UHVXOWLQJ 7L&O LV WKHQ VHSDUDWHG DQG
SXULHG IURP RWKHU PHWDO FKORULGHV E\ VHOHFWLYH GLVWLOODWLRQ
DQGFRROLQJ7KHSXULHG7L&OLVFRQYHUWHGWR7L22E\DVK
EXUQLQJWKHFKORULGHLQR[\JHQDWKLJKWHPSHUDWXUH7KH7L22
XQGHUJRHVVRPHIXUWKHUSURFHVVLQJWRPDNHVXLWDEOHJUDGHV
RISLJPHQWIRUYDULRXVHQGPDUNHWDSSOLFDWLRQV7KHFKORULQH
JDVJHQHUDWHGGXULQJWKHR[\JHQDWLRQVWHSLVUHF\FOHGEDFN
WRWKHFKORULQDWRUV
7KH VXOIDWH SURFHVV XVHV FRQFHQWUDWHG VXOIXULF DFLG WR
GLVVROYHWLWDQLXPIHHGVWRFNVLQWRPHWDOVXOIDWHV,URQDQGRWKHU
LPSXULWLHV DUH UHPRYHG IURP WKH VROXWLRQ E\ SUHFLSLWDWLRQ
EHIRUH WKH WLWDQLXP LV SUHFLSLWDWHG YLD K\GURO\VLV 7KH
UHVXOWLQJ WLWDQLXP K\GUR[LGH LV WKHQ FDOFLQHG WR IRUP 7L22
FU\VWDOVZKLFKXQGHUJRVLPLODUQLVKLQJVWHSVWRWKHFKORULGH
SURFHVVWRPDNHDYDULHW\RISLJPHQWSURGXFWV
7KHVH WZR SLJPHQW SURFHVVHV UHTXLUH TXLWH GLIIHUHQW
TXDOLW\VSHFLFDWLRQVIRUWKHLQSXWIHHGDQGWKHVHDUHDNH\
GHWHUPLQDQW LQ WKH UHVRXUFH DVVHVVPHQW RI PLQHUDO VDQG
GHSRVLWVFRQWDLQLQJLOPHQLWH6RPHH[DPSOHVDUHJLYHQEHORZ
&KORULGHSURFHVVIHHGVWRFN
7KHFKORULGHSURFHVVUHF\FOHVWKHFKORULQHJDVIURP7L&O
EXW DQ\ FKORULQH ZLWKLQ RWKHU PHWDO FKORULGHV LV ORVW WR
ZDVWH $IWHU IHHGVWRFN FRVWV FKORULQH LV RQH RI WKH NH\
FRVW GULYHUV ZLWKLQ WKH FKORULGH SURFHVV KHQFH FKORULGH
SLJPHQW SURGXFHUV KDYH D SUHIHUHQFH IRU KLJKHU JUDGH
7L22IHHGVWRFNV
+LVWRULFDOO\ FKORULGH SLJPHQW SURGXFHUV XVHG QDWXUDO
UXWLOH DV WKHLU SUHIHUUHG IHHGVWRFN EXW ZKHQ UXWLOH
5HVHUYHV ZHUH XQDEOH WR PDWFK WKH JURZWK LQ GHPDQG
YDULRXV XSJUDGHG WLWDQLD SURGXFWV VXFK DV WLWDQLD VODJ
DQG V\QWKHWLF UXWLOH ZHUH PDGH IURP LOPHQLWH WR PDWFK
GHPDQG
2WKHU IHHGVWRFN LPSXULWLHV WKDW DUH LPSRUWDQW WR WKH
FKORULGH SURFHVV LQFOXGH PDQJDQHVH PDJQHVLXP
YDQDGLXP DOXPLQD VLOLFD DQG UDGLRQXFOLGHV VXFK DV
WKRULXP DQG XUDQLXP SOXV WKHLU UHVSHFWLYH GDXJKWHU
HOHPHQWV/DVWO\WKHJUDLQVL]HRIWKHWLWDQLXPIHHGVWRFN
LV LPSRUWDQW LQ WKH FKORULGH SURFHVV DV QHJUDLQHG RUH
JHQHUDOO\ OHVVWKDQ WHQGV WR HVFDSHIURPWKHXLG
EHGFKORULQDWRUEHIRUHUHDFWLQJZLWKWKHFKORULQHJDVWKXV
UHVXOWLQJLQRUHORVVHV
6XOIDWHSURFHVVIHHGVWRFN
,QWKHVXOIDWHSLJPHQWSURFHVVWKHPRVWLPSRUWDQWTXDOLW\
FRQVLGHUDWLRQ LV WKH DELOLW\ RI WKH IHHGVWRFN WR UHDGLO\
GLVVROYH LQ VXOIXULF DFLG ,OPHQLWHV ZLWK KLJK )H2)H223
UDWLRV DUH PRVW VXLWDEOH WR VXOIXULF DFLG GLJHVWLRQ DQG
WKHUHIRUH XQDOWHUHG LOPHQLWH LV PRVW ZLGHO\ XVHG DV D
IHHGVWRFN IRU WKLV SURFHVV 0RUH DOWHUHG LOPHQLWHV GR
QRW HIIHFWLYHO\ GLJHVW LQ VXOIXULF DFLG DQG DUH WKHUHIRUH
FRQVLGHUHG XQVXLWDEOH IRU WKH VXOIDWH SURFHVV ,QVWHDG
WKHVHDOWHUHGLOPHQLWHVFDQEHXVHGLQWKHFKORULGHSURFHVV
+HQFHWKHWHUPVVXOIDWHLOPHQLWHDQGFKORULGHLOPHQLWH
DUH DSSOLHG WR WKH W\SHV RI LOPHQLWH FRPPRQO\ XVHG LQ
WKHVH UHVSHFWLYH SLJPHQW SURFHVVHV 1DWXUDO UXWLOH GRHV
QRWGLVVROYHLQVXOIXULFDFLGDQGLVWKHUHIRUHDYRLGHGE\
VXOIDWHSLJPHQWSURGXFHUV
7LWDQLXP VODJ FRQWDLQLQJ KLJK SHUFHQWDJHV RI
SVHXGREURRNLWH D FRPSOH[ LURQ WLWDQLXP R[LGH PLQHUDO
LVVROXEOHLQFRQFHQWUDWHGVXOIXULFDFLGDQGLVSUHIHUUHGE\
(XURSHDQSLJPHQWSURGXFHUVDVWKLVIHHGVWRFNSURGXFHV
IDUOHVVLURQZDVWHFRPSDUHGWRLOPHQLWH
7KH VXOIDWH SURFHVV LV PRUH WROHUDQW WR LPSXULWLHV LQ WKH
IHHGVWRFNZLWKWKHH[FHSWLRQRIFKURPLXP7KLVLPSXULW\
LV D VWURQJ FRORXUDQW DQG VR LV GLIFXOW DQG H[SHQVLYH
WR UHPRYH IURP WKH 7L22 SLJPHQW 7UDFHV RI FKURPLXP
459
DV WKH FDVWLQJ MHW HQJLQH WXUELQH EODGHV ZKHUH LWV FKHPLFDO
UHVLVWDQFH DQG QRQZHWWDELOLW\ ZLWK D UDQJH RI PHWDOV LV
XWLOLVHG
7KH XVH RI FKHPLFDO GHULYDWLYHV RI ]LUFRQ KDV JURZQ E\
RYHU WHQ SHU FHQW SHU DQQXP LQ UHFHQW \HDUV ,OXND D
,PSRUWDQWO\ WKH QXPEHU RI QHZ DSSOLFDWLRQV RI WKHVH
FKHPLFDOGHULYDWLYHVKDVDOVRJURZQ(QGPDUNHWVDUHGLYHUVH
DQG LQFOXGH DXWRPRELOH FDWDO\VWV FRVPHWLFV RSWLFEUH
FRQQHFWRUVHOHFWURQLFVDQGSDLQWGU\LQJDJHQWV
,Q FHUDPLFV ]LUFRQ LV XVXDOO\ DSSOLHG DV DQ RSDFLHU
SRZGHUZLWKDVL]HUDQJHRIOHVVWKDQWHQPLFURQV7KH]LUFRQ
RSDFLHU LV PL[HG ZLWK RWKHU FHUDPLF PLQHUDOV DQG LPSDUWV
ERWK RSDFLW\ DQG ZKLWHQHVV WR WKH WLOHV 'HSHQGLQJ RQ WKH
QDWXUHRIWKHWLOH]LUFRQPD\EHDGGHGWRWKHHQWLUHERG\RI
WKHWLOHRURQO\WKHJOD]HVXUIDFHRIWKHWLOH2QO\JUDPVWR
JRI]LUFRQDUHUHTXLUHGSHUVTXDUHPHWUHRIWLOHWRPDNH
WKHWLOHZKLWHULQFRORXU$OWHUQDWLYHVVXFKDVVSHFLDODOXPLQD
SURGXFWV FDQ EH XVHG LQVWHDG RI ]LUFRQ EXW WKH\ GR QRW
LPSDUWWKHVDPHOHYHOVRIZKLWHQHVVJORVVRUZHDUUHVLVWDQFH
DV]LUFRQ=LUFRQLVDOVRXVHGDVDQRSDFLHUDQGZKLWHQHULQ
VDQLWDU\ZDUHDQGLQVRPHWDEOHZDUH
=LUFRQ SURGXFWV XVXDOO\ FRQWDLQ PLQRU FRQFHQWUDWLRQV RI
7L2)H223$O2233225IUHHVLOLFDDQGWUDFHVRIXUDQLXPDQG
WKRULXPSOXVWKHLUUHVSHFWLYHGDXJKWHUHOHPHQWV7LWDQLXP
DQG LURQ DUH NQRZQ FRORXUDQWV LQ FHUDPLFV DQG KHQFH WKHLU
SUHVHQFHLQ]LUFRQXVHGLQFHUDPLFDSSOLFDWLRQVQHHGVWREH
NHSW WR UHODWLYHO\ ORZ OHYHOV OHVV WKDQ SHU FHQW 7KH
RSDFLHUEHKDYLRXURID]LUFRQSURGXFWLVODUJHO\GHSHQGHQW
RQ WKH FU\VWDOOLQLW\ RI WKH ]LUFRQ JUDLQV 3XUH =U6L2 JUDLQV
WHQGWREHKDYHDVEHWWHURSDFLHUVZKLOHKLJKO\VXEVWLWXWHG
RU DOWHUHG JUDLQV EHKDYH SRRUO\ /LNHZLVH ]LUFRQ JUDLQV
FRQWDLQLQJ LQFOXVLRQVRI RWKHU PLQHUDOV QRWDEO\ LOPHQLWHRU
[HQRWLPH DOVR KDYH D QHJDWLYH HIIHFW RQ WKH RSDFLFDWLRQ
SURSHUWLHVRI]LUFRQSURGXFWV
5HJXODWRUVLQVHYHUDOFRXQWULHVDQGHFRQRPLFWUDGHUHJLRQV
HJ WKH (XURSHDQ 8QLRQ KDYH UHFRPPHQGHG OLPLWV WR WKH
OHYHOVRIUDGLDWLRQHPLWWHGIURPEXLOGLQJPDWHULDOV$V]LUFRQ
JUDLQV JHQHUDOO\ FRQWDLQ VHYHUDO KXQGUHG SDUWV SHU PLOOLRQ
RIXUDQLXPDQGWKRULXPZLWKWKHLUFU\VWDOODWWLFHWKHOHYHOV
RI WKHVH UDGLRQXFOLGHV DUH FDUHIXOO\ FRQWUROOHG E\ ]LUFRQ
SURGXFHUV 7KH de facto LQGXVWU\ VWDQGDUG LV D PD[LPXP RI
SDUWVSHUPLOOLRQRIFRPELQHGXUDQLXPDQGWKRULXP7KLV
OHYHOVWHPVIURPDVRPHZKDWDUFDQH8QLWHG6WDWHVRI$PHULFD
UHJXODWLRQUHODWHGWRZKDWLVGHQHGDVSRWHQWLDOO\QXFOHDU
EHDULQJPDWHULDO
2WKHU DSSOLFDWLRQV RI ]LUFRQ KDYH RWKHU FKHPLFDO RU
SK\VLFDO VSHFLFDWLRQV IRU ]LUFRQ SURGXFWV )RU H[DPSOH
VRPH]LUFRQUHIUDFWRU\RUIRXQGU\DSSOLFDWLRQVUHTXLUH]LUFRQ
ZLWKFRDUVHJUDLQVL]HVJHQHUDOO\D'RIJUHDWHUWKDQ
86WRQQH
=LUFRQ
65
&KORULGH,OPHQLWH
5XWLOH
&KORULGH6ODJ
FIG 3 - Historical pricing levels of mineral sand products 1980 to 2012. Note: SR = synthetic rutile (Iluka, 2013a).
460
461
Resource development
5HVRXUFH GHYHORSPHQW LQ PLQHUDO VDQGV LV VLPLODU WR
HOVHZKHUH LQ WKH UHVRXUFHV VHFWRU ,W LQYROYHV WKH FROODWLRQ
RI GDWD IURP GULOOLQJ DVVD\LQJ PLQHUDO WHVWLQJ JHRORJLFDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV DQG WKH SUHSDUDWLRQ RI VRPH IRUP RI WZR
RU WKUHHGLPHQVLRQDO VHDP RU EORFN PRGHO *HRVWDWLVWLFDO
HYDOXDWLRQ LV JHQHUDOO\ PRUH VLPSOLHG WKDQ IRU RWKHU
FRPPRGLWLHV DQG FRPPRQO\ SRO\JRQDO QHDUHVW QHLJKERXU
RULQYHUVHGLVWDQFHZHLJKWLQJ,':PHWKRGVDUHHPSOR\HG
IRU JUDGH LQWHUSRODWLRQV 2FFDVLRQDOO\ NULJLQJ LV XVHG
KRZHYHU YDULRJUDSK\ LV PRUH FRPPRQO\ XVHG WR WHVW
WKH FRQGHQFH RI GULOO VSDFLQJ LQ RUGHU WR DVVLVW LQ WKH
GHWHUPLQDWLRQRIVXLWDEOH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYH
FDWHJRULHV
$V ZLWK DQ\ FRPPRGLW\ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH JHRORJ\
LQ PLQHUDO VDQGV LV YLWDO IRU 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ 7KH
PRUSKRORJ\ RI PLQHUDO VDQG RUHERGLHV LV JHQHUDOO\ UHJXODU
DQG FRQVWUDLQHG E\ WUDS VLWHV 7KHUH LV W\SLFDOO\ D VKDUS
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ FXWRII RQ WKH ODQGZDUG VLGH DQG PRUH RI D
JUDGXDOWDSHULQJRIJUDGHRIIVKRUHDQGYHUWLFDOO\
7KH GHQLWLRQ RI PLQHUDOLVHG ERXQGDULHV LV D K\EULG RI
JUDGHFXWRIIDQGJHRORJLFDOERXQGDULHV'HWDLOHGH[DPLQDWLRQ
DQG ORJJLQJ RI +0 VLQN IUDFWLRQV FDQ DLG LQ GHWHUPLQLQJ
ERXQGDULHV E\ UHFRJQLVLQJ JURVV FKDQJHV LQ PLQHUDORJ\
DQG LQGXUDWLRQ DQG PLQHUDO FRDWLQJV E\ ODWHULWLVDWLRQ 7KH
LGHQWLFDWLRQRIWKHVHGRPDLQVEHFRPHVWKHEDVLVIRUIXUWKHU
PHWDOOXUJLFDO WHVW ZRUN DQG WKH JHRORJLFDO DQG UHVRXUFH
PRGHO
)ROORZLQJWKHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGRIWHQLWHUDWLRQ
EHWZHHQ VWDJHV LV WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI PHWDOOXUJLFDO EXON
VDPSOHV WR SURYLGH LQIRUPDWLRQ RQ WKH LGHQWLHG GRPDLQV
7KHUH FDQ EH FRQVLGHUDEOH PLQHUDORJLFDO DQG TXDOLW\
YDULDELOLW\ZLWKLQVWUDQGOLQHVDQGGHSRVLWVVRLWLVLPSRUWDQW
WR JHW WKH EHVW FRPSURPLVH IRU VDPSOH GHOLPLWDWLRQ YHUVXV
FRVWZKLOHDWWKHVDPHWLPHWDUJHWLQJGLIIHUHQWGRPDLQV
7KHUHVXOWVRIPLQHUDOFKDUDFWHULVDWLRQDUHJHQHUDOO\DSSOLHG
WR5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVRQDQDYHUDJHGGRPDLQRUVWUDQGOLQH
EDVLVRUZLWKQHDUHVWQHLJKERXURUSRO\JRQDODVVLJQPHQW,W
LV LPSRUWDQW WR XQGHUVWDQG WKDW PLQHUDO VDQGV PRGHOOLQJ LV
DERXWTXDQWLI\LQJLQWKHIROORZLQJRUGHU
+0JUDGH
PLQHUDORJLFDODVVHPEODJH
WKHTXDOLW\RIWKRVHPLQHUDOVSHFLHV
7KLVZLOOGHWHUPLQHZKHWKHUDPLQHUDOVDQGQDOSURGXFWLV
PDUNHWDEOHRUQRW
$V LQGLFDWHG JHRVWDWLVWLFV DUH QRW FRPPRQO\ XVHG LQ WKH
HYDOXDWLRQ RI PLQHUDO VDQG GHSRVLWV DQG WKHLU HIIHFWLYH XVH
LVUHVWULFWHGE\VDPSOLQJVXSSRUWRIGRPDLQPLQHUDORJ\WKDW
ZLOO EH XVHG IRU JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQV ,W LV SRVVLEOH WR GHULYH
PHDQLQJIXO VHPLYDULRJUDPV IURP WKH SULPDU\ DVVD\V VXFK
DV+0FOD\DQGRYHUVL]HKRZHYHUWKHVDPSOHVXSSRUWIRU
PLQHUDO EXON VDPSOHV DQG WKH VPDOOHU QXPEHU RI VDPSOHV
LV QRW UHJXODU DQG YDULRJUDSK\ LV WKHUHIRUH RI OLPLWHG RU
QR SUDFWLFDO XVH 7KH PRUSKRORJ\ RI VRPH PLQHUDO VDQG
RUHERGLHV DQG WKH UHVXOWDQW KLJK DQLVRWURS\ PDNHV WKH
RULHQWDWLRQRIYDULRJUDPVTXLWHVHQVLWLYHWRVPDOOFKDQJHVLQ
GLUHFWLRQ
7KH SULPDU\ DVVD\ YDULRJUDSK\ SDUWLFXODUO\ IRU +0
LV XVHG WR SUHSDUH DSSURSULDWH VHDUFK YROXPHV IRU
FRPSXWDWLRQDOJUDGHLQWHUSRODWLRQV0LQHUDOVDQGRUHERGLHV
W\SLFDOO\ GLVSOD\ ORZQXJJHW HIIHFW DQG ZKLOH WKH SXULVW
462
UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWRU PD\ HVFKHZ WKH XVH RI ,': PHWKRGV RI
HVWLPDWLRQ WKH\ ZRUN HIIHFWLYHO\ DV GHPRQVWUDWHG E\ +0
JUDGHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQVDWFXUUHQWPLQHVLWHV,OXND
9ROXPHWRWRQQDJH FRQYHUVLRQ IDFWRUV DUH IDFLOLWDWHG E\
GU\EXONGHQVLW\%'DOJRULWKPV7KHVHDUHJHQHUDOO\EDVHG
RQVLQJOHYDULDEOH+0VWUDLJKWOLQHDQGPXOWLYDULDEOH+0
DQGFOD\FXUYHDOJRULWKPV%D[WHU,OXND2IWHQ
IRU ORZJUDGH +0 GXQDO GHSRVLWV D VLPSOH %' RI TXDUW]
VDQGJFP3LVXVHGIRUYROXPHWRWRQQDJHFRQYHUVLRQ
7KHXVH RI DQ DSSURSULDWH %'DOJRULWKP LVLPSRUWDQW ZKHQ
HVWLPDWLQJ5HVRXUFHVDQG5HVHUYHV
,OXNDV 2UH 5HVHUYHV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DFFRUGLQJ WR
WKH-25&FRGHDVUHSRUWHGIRU'HFHPEHUDUHOLVWHGLQ
7DEOHVDQG,OXNDE
TABLE 2
Ilukas Ore Reserve breakdown by country, region and JORC category at 31 December 2012 (Iluka, 2013b).
Summary of Ore Reservesa,b,c for Iluka
Country
Region
Ore Resource
category
Ore tonnes
(M)
In situ heavy
minerals (Mt)
Heavy minerals
grade (%)
Ilmenite
grade (%)
Zircon grade
(%)
Rutile grade
(%)
Eucla Basin
Proved
130.2
5.87
4.5
28
Probable
3.4
0.07
2.1
20
51
4.4
28
51
2.25
25.6
53
11
18
Probable
11.6
1.80
15.5
46
14
19
20.4
4.05
19.9
50
12
18
Proved
9.5
0.87
9.1
60
14
Probable
306.4
16.59
5.4
59
10
Atlantic Seaboard
USA
Total Atlantic Seaboard
Total Probable
5.94
8.8
Perth Basin
Total Perth Basin
133.5
Proved
315.9
17.46
5.5
59
10
Proved
20.3
0.90
4.4
69
15
Probable
14.4
0.61
4.2
57
18
335.8
19.08
5.7
58
11
Notes:
a. Competent Persons Ore Reserves: Eucla Basin, Perth Basin and Murray Basin: C Lee (MAusIMM); Atlantic Seaboard: C Stilson (SME).
b. Ore Reserves are a subset of Mineral Resources.
c. Rounding may generate differences in last decimal place.
d. Mineral assemblage is reported as a percentage of in situ heavy minerals content.
e. Ilmenite currently has had no value ascribed in the reserve optimisation process for the Murray Basin. Metallurgical test work and marketing studies are presently underway; the outcomes of which may
see a revision of the Ore Reserves.
f. Rutile component in Perth Basin South West operations is sold as a leucoxenep product.
g. Rutile is included in ilmenite for the Atlantic Seaboard region.
Numbers may not add due to rounding.
Ore Reserves and Mineral Resources are estimated using all available geological and relevant drill hole and assay data, including mineralogical sampling and test work on mineral recoveries and final product
qualities. Reserve estimates are determined by the consideration of all of the modifying factors in accordance with the JORC Code 2004, and for example, may include but are not limited to, product prices, mining
costs, metallurgical recoveries, environmental consideration, access and approvals. These factors may vary significantly between deposits. Resource estimates are determined by consideration of geology, heavy
minerals cut-off grades, mineralisation thickness versus overburden ratios and consideration of the potential mining and extraction methodology. These factors may vary significantly between deposits.
The statement of Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves presented in this report has been produced in accordance with the Australasian Code for Reporting Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves, December 2004
(the JORC Code).
The information in this report relating to Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves is based on information compiled by Competent Persons (as defined in the JORC Code). Each of the Competent Persons for deposits
located outside Australia is a member of a Recognised Overseas Professional Organisations (ROPO) as listed by the ASX. Each of the Competent Persons had, at the time of reporting, sufficient experience
relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity they were undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined by the JORC Code. At the reporting date,
each Competent Person listed in this report was a full-time employee of Iluka Resource Limited. Each Competent Person consents to the inclusion in this report of the matters based on their information in
the form and context in which it appears.
All of the Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve figures reported represent estimates at 31 December 2012. All tonnes and grade information has been rounded, hence small differences may be present in the
totals. All of the Mineral Resource information is inclusive of Ore Reserves (ie Mineral Resources are not additional to Ore Reserves).
DQGRSDFLW\RIWKHJOD]HLQDWHVWWLOHLVDOVRGHWHUPLQHGIRU
]LUFRQV IURP GLIIHUHQW GHSRVLWV WR GHWHUPLQH KRZ VXLWDEOH
WKHVH]LUFRQVZLOOEHIRUWKHFHUDPLFVPDUNHW7KHVHWHVWVDUH
FRQGXFWHG LQ ,OXNDV WLOHWHVWLQJ IDFLOLWLHV DW ERWK 1DUQJXOX
DQG +DPLOWRQ ,OXNDV ]LUFRQV DUH LQWHUQDOO\ UDQNHG DQG
PLQHUDO SURFHVVLQJ PHFKDQLVPV KDYH EHHQ GHYHORSHG E\
,OXND WR FRQWURO WKH FHUDPLF TXDOLWLHV RI ]LUFRQ WR HQVXUH
FRQVLVWHQF\RISURGXFWTXDOLW\GXULQJSURGXFWLRQ
,QWKHFDVHRI,OXNDV'RXJODVSURMHFWLQWKH0XUUD\%DVLQ
PLQHUDORJLFDO ZRUN LGHQWLHG WKH SUHVHQFH RI FDVVLWHULWH
ZLWKLQ VRPH VWUDQGOLQHV RI WKH GHSRVLW 0HWDOOXUJLFDO WHVW
ZRUNGHWHUPLQHGWKDWWKLVWLQEHDULQJPLQHUDOUHSRUWHGWRWKH
UXWLOHSURGXFW)XUWKHUWHVWZRUNGHYHORSHGDFLUFXLWZLWKLQ
WKH +DPLOWRQ 063 WR UHGXFH WKH WLQ OHYHOV ZLWKLQ WKH QDO
UXWLOHSURGXFWWRZLWKLQFRPPHUFLDOVSHFLFDWLRQV
463
TABLE 3
Ilukas Mineral Resource breakdown by country, region and JORC category at 31 December 2012 (Iluka, 2013b).
Summary of Mineral Resourcesa,b,c for Iluka
Country
Region
Mineral
Resource
category
Material
(Mt)
In situ heavy
minerals (Mt)
Heavy
minerals
grade (%)
Ilmenite
grade (%)
Zircon grade
(%)
Rutile grade
(%)
Eucla Basin
Measured
210.6
8.38
4.0
34
43
Indicated
80.8
1.47
1.8
13
60
Inferred
151.3
10.25
6.8
66
16
442.8
20.10
4.5
49
30
Measured
16.1
3.23
20.1
52
11
16
Indicated
127.2
24.23
19.1
56
11
13
Inferred
78.7
9.23
11.7
48
10
15
221.9
36.69
16.5
54
11
14
Measured
518.9
29.33
5.7
58
10
Indicated
352.4
18.82
5.3
57
10
Inferred
257.4
12.19
4.7
57
1,128.6
60.34
5.3
57
10
Measured
24.7
1.01
4.1
69
15
Indicated
57.1
3.04
5.3
64
12
35.9
1.52
4.2
65
Inferred
117.7
5.57
4.7
65
11
Total Indicated
617.5
47.56
7.7
56
12
Total Inferred
523.3
33.19
6.3
58
11
Notes:
a. Competent Persons Mineral Resources: Eucla Basin and Perth Basin (Mid West): B Gibson (MAIG); Perth Basin (South West): R Stockwell (MAIG); Murray Basin: V OBrien (MAusIMM);
Atlantic Seaboard: A Karst (SME).
b. Mineral Resources are inclusive of Ore Reserves.
c. Rounding may generate differences in last decimal place.
d. Mineral assemblage is reported as a percentage of in situ heavy minerals content.
e. Rutile component in Perth Basin South West operations is sold as a leucoxene product.
f. Rutile is included in ilmenite for the Atlantic Seaboard region.
:LWKLQ ,OXND DQ H[DPSOH RI WKH DERYH PD\ LQFOXGH WKH
PLQLQJ RI GHSRVLWV VXFK DV WKH -DFLQWK$PEURVLD GHSRVLW
LQ 6RXWK $XVWUDOLD ZKLFK KDV XQLTXHO\ KLJK OHYHOV RI
]LUFRQ ZLWKLQ LWV +0 DVVHPEODJH VHH (XFOD %DVLQ PLQHUDO
DVVHPEODJH LQ 7DEOH )OXFWXDWLRQV LQ ]LUFRQ GHPDQG
ZKLFKKDVEHHQYRODWLOHLQUHFHQW\HDUVPD\VHHDGMXVWPHQWV
WR SURGXFWLRQ RXWSXW WKDW LQ WXUQ LPSDFW RQ WKH DPRXQW RI
LOPHQLWHSURGXFHGIURPWKLVPLQH'HPDQGIRULOPHQLWHPD\
KRZHYHUUHPDLQVWURQJGXULQJWKLVVDPHSHULRGUHVXOWLQJLQ
DGLVFRQQHFWEHWZHHQLOPHQLWHRXWSXWDQGPDUNHWGHPDQG
7KH PLQHUDO DVVHPEODJH DW ,OXNDV PLQHV LQ 9LUJLQLD
86$ LV WKH UHYHUVH ZLWK KLJK SURSRUWLRQV RI LOPHQLWH DQG
ORZHU DPRXQWV RI ]LUFRQ VHH $WODQWLF 6HDERDUG PLQHUDO
DVVHPEODJHLQ7DEOH7KHDELOLW\IRUWKHVHPLQHVWRUHVSRQG
WRDQ\XSWXUQLQ]LUFRQGHPDQGLVWKHUHIRUHOLPLWHGDVH[WUD
SURGXFWLRQLVGRPLQDWHGE\LOPHQLWHZLWKURXJKO\IRXUWLPHV
DV PXFK LOPHQLWH SURGXFHG IRU HYHU\ WRQQH RI DGGLWLRQDO
]LUFRQ $Q\ VSDUH SURFHVVLQJ FDSDFLW\ LV WKHUHIRUH TXLFNO\
OOHGE\LOPHQLWHRXWSXW
)RUWKHPRVWSDUW,OXNDLVDEOHWREDODQFHFXUUHQWSURGXFWLRQ
DQG IRUHFDVW LW ZLWK PDUNHW GHPDQG IRU LQGLYLGXDO PLQHUDO
SURGXFWV WKURXJK D FRPELQDWLRQ RI PLQLQJ GHSRVLWV ZLWK
464
XVLQJDZLGHUUDQJHRILOPHQLWHTXDOLWLHVZLWKLQWKH%HFKHU
SURFHVV
GHYHORSLQJQHZ65SURGXFWVIURPWKHVHLOPHQLWHV
GHYHORSLQJ 65 SURGXFWV WKDW FDQ XVHG E\ WKH VXOIDWH
SLJPHQWSURFHVV
+LVWRULFDOO\ WKH %HFKHU SURFHVV KDV EHHQ UHVWULFWHG WR
XVLQJLOPHQLWHVZLWKDPLQLPXP7L22FRQWHQWRISHUFHQW
,PSXULWLHVVXFKDVPDJQHVLXPPDQJDQHVHFKURPLXPVLOLFD
DOXPLQLXPDQGUDGLRQXFOLGHVDUHDOVRLPSRUWDQWHOHPHQWVWR
FRQWUROLQWKHQDO65SURGXFW$VPDQ\RIWKHVHLPSXULWLHV
DUH XSJUDGHG LQ WKH 65 SURFHVV WKHLU OHYHOV LQ 65 LOPHQLWH
IHHGVWRFNV DUH FULWLFDO WR SURGXFW TXDOLW\ *UDLQ VL]H RI WKH
65 SURGXFW LV DOVR DQ LPSRUWDQW FULWHULRQ DV QH PLQHUDO
JUDLQVFDQEHORVWWRWKHSLJPHQWFKORULQDWRUVEHIRUHUHDFWLQJ
$VVXFKWKHLOPHQLWHVXVHGLQWKH%HFKHUSURFHVVKDYHEHHQ
UHVWULFWHGWRWKRVHRIDVSHFLFFKHPLVWU\DQGVL]LQJ
+RZHYHULOPHQLWHVIRXQGLQPDQ\PLQHUDOVDQGGHSRVLWV
GR QRW PDWFK WKH FULWHULD QHHGHG 6LQFH ,OXND KDV
VXFFHVVIXOO\ LQFRUSRUDWHG ERWK 0XUUD\ %DVLQ LOPHQLWH DQG
(XFOD %DVLQ LOPHQLWH LQWR LWV 65 IHHGVWRFN PL[ 7KH 0XUUD\
%DVLQLOPHQLWHKDVEHHQXVHGWRSURGXFHDQHZSURGXFW65
ZKLFKFRQWDLQVDPLQLPXPRISHUFHQW7L223UHYLRXVO\
WKLVLOPHQLWHZDVDZDVWHVWUHDPIURPWKH+DPLOWRQ0637KH
(XFOD%DVLQLOPHQLWHKDVEHHQEOHQGHGLQWRDQXPEHURI65
SURGXFWVLQFOXGLQJ,OXNDVSUHPLXPJUDGH65DQG65(3
,QDGGLWLRQWRWKHSURGXFWVPHQWLRQHG,OXNDLVGHYHORSLQJ
65 SURGXFWV ZLWK KLJKHU 7L22 FRQWHQWV DQG ORZHU LPSXULW\
OHYHOV SDUWLFXODUO\ UDGLRQXFOLGH OHYHOV 7KH PDLQ IHHGVWRFN
IRUWKHVHSURGXFWVLVH[SHFWHGWRFRPHIURP,OXNDV9LUJLQLD
RSHUDWLRQVLQWKH86$ZKHUHWKHLOPHQLWHPLQHGLVRIDYHU\
KLJKTXDOLW\3ODQWWULDOVXVLQJWKLVLOPHQLWHZLOOEHFRQGXFWHG
GXULQJDQG
$V PHQWLRQHG XQGHU WKH PDUNHWLQJ VHFWLRQ 65 KDV
KLVWRULFDOO\EHHQVROGH[FOXVLYHO\WRWKRVHSLJPHQWSURGXFHUV
XVLQJWKHFKORULGHSURFHVV7KLVLVEHFDXVHWKHPLQHUDOSKDVHV
FUHDWHGE\WKH65SURFHVVGRQRWGLVVROYHUHDGLO\LQVXOIXULF
DFLG DQG WKHUHIRUH DUH XQVXLWDEOH IRU WKH VXOIDWH SLJPHQW
SURFHVV +RZHYHU ,OXND KDV EHHQ LQYHVWLJDWLQJ ZD\V RI
FKDQJLQJWKHSKDVHFKHPLVWU\RIWKH65SURGXFWVXFKWKDWWKH
65LVUHDFWLYHLQVXOIXULFDFLGDQGGLVVROYHVLQWKLVDFLG7KLV
GHYHORSPHQW SURGXFW LV WHUPHG DFLG VROXEOH 65 RU $665
7KHSURGXFWKDVEHHQVXFFHVVIXOO\SURGXFHGDWDSLORWSODQW
OHYHOE\DGMXVWLQJDQXPEHURIWKHNLOQYDULDEOHV$QXPEHU
RISODQWWULDOVZHUHFRQGXFWHGLQWKDWSURYLGHGYDOXDEOH
GDWD WR WKH FRPPHUFLDOLVDWLRQ RI $665 )XUWKHU WULDOV DUH
SODQQHGIRUDQG
7KHDGYDQWDJHVRI$665DUHWKDWLWZLOOSRWHQWLDOO\XVHPRUH
RIWKH0XUUD\%DVLQLOPHQLWHVZKLFKDUHFXUUHQWO\GLVSRVHG
RIRUVROGDVSURGXFWVLQWKHLURZQULJKW$665ZLOODGGYDOXH
WRWKHVHLOPHQLWHVWKURXJKWKHSURGXFWLRQRIDKLJKHUPDUJLQ
SURGXFW7KHSURGXFWZLOODOVRDOORZ,OXNDWRVHOODKLJKJUDGH
SURGXFW LQWR WKH VXOIDWH SLJPHQW PDUNHW D VHFWRU WR ZKLFK
,OXNDFXUUHQWO\KDVOLWWOHH[SRVXUH
$OOWKHVHWHFKQRORJ\GHYHORSPHQWVDUHDLPHGDWLQFUHDVLQJ
WKH W\SHV RI LOPHQLWH WKDW FDQ EH XSJUDGHG WR KLJKHU YDOXH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
465
SURGXFWVWKHUHE\LQFUHDVLQJWKH5HVRXUFHVWKDWDUHDYDLODEOH
IRUGHYHORSPHQWDQGPLQLQJ
CONCLUSIONS
$V VKRZQ LQ WKLV SDSHU PLQHUDO VDQG GHSRVLWV DUH
SRO\PLQHUDOLF DQG RIWHQ FRPSOLFDWHG LQ WHUPV RI PLQHUDO
DVVHPEODJH DQG TXDOLW\ 7KH PLQHUDOV LOPHQLWH UXWLOH DQG
]LUFRQ RU XSJUDGHG SURGXFWV 65 RU WLWDQLD VODJ DUH VROG
LQWR VSHFLF HQG PDUNHWV ZKLFK RIWHQ KDYH VWULFW TXDOLW\
UHTXLUHPHQWV,QDGGLWLRQWKHYDOXHRIWKHYDULRXVSURGXFWV
PD\ EH YHU\ GLIIHUHQW IURP HDFK RWKHU DQG LQ UHFHQW WLPHV
SULFHVKDYHEHHQYRODWLOH
,Q RUGHU WR VXFFHVVIXOO\ H[SORUH IRU GHYHORS DQG RSHUDWH
LWV PLQHUDO VDQG DVVHWV ,OXND PXVW WDNH LQWR DFFRXQW DOO RI
WKHVHIDFWRUV7KHFRPSDQ\KDVEHHQDEOHWRGRWKLVWKURXJK
LWVPHWKRGLFDODSSURDFKWRUHVRXUFHGHYHORSPHQWFRPELQHG
ZLWKDGHWDLOHGPHWDOOXUJLFDOWHVWSURJUDPGXULQJWKHYDULRXV
DVVHVVPHQWSKDVHVRIQHZSURMHFWV,OXNDUHFRJQLVHGWKDWWKH
SULFHV RI LWV SURGXFWV PD\ XFWXDWH VLJQLFDQWO\ RYHU WKH
SHULRGRIPLQLQJDGHSRVLWDQGWKHUHIRUHWKHFRPSDQ\DGRSWV
D FRQVHUYDWLYH DSSURDFK WR SULFLQJ LQSXWV ZKHQ FRQYHUWLQJ
5HVRXUFHV WR 5HVHUYHV ,Q DGGLWLRQ ,OXND FRQWLQXHV WR
FDUHIXOO\DQDO\VHPDUNHWWUHQGVDQGUHQHLWVXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RIPDUNHWUHTXLUHPHQWVWRGHYHORSQHZSURGXFWVZKLFKZLOO
DOORZWKHFRPSDQ\WRIXOO\XWLOLVHLWV0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
, ZRXOG OLNH WR WKDQN ,OXND 5HVRXUFHV /LPLWHG IRU DOORZLQJ
WKHSXEOLFDWLRQRIWKLVSDSHU
REFERENCES
%D[WHU-/+HDY\PLQHUDOVDQGGHSRVLWVRI:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLD
Mineral Resource Bulletin *HRORJLFDO 6XUYH\ RI :HVWHUQ
$XVWUDOLD
466
)URVW 0 7 *UH\ , ( +DUURZHOG , 5 DQG /L & $OWHUDWLRQ
SUROHVDQGLPSXULW\HOHPHQWGLVWULEXWLRQVLQPDJQHWLFIUDFWLRQV
RIZHDWKHUHGLOPHQLWHAmerican Mineralogist
*LOPDQ 6 . DQG +XJR 9 ( 0LQHUDO VDQGV PLQHUDORJ\ DQG
PHWDOOXUJ\&DQWKH\VSHDNWKHVDPHODQJXDJH"LQProceedings
+HDY\0LQHUDO&RQIHUHQFHSS6RXWKHUQ$IULFDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0DUVKDOOWRZQ
*UH\,(DQG5HLG$)7KHVWUXFWXUHRISVHXGRUXWLOHDQGLWV
UROH LQ WKH QDWXUDO DOWHUDWLRQ RI LOPHQLWH American Mineralogist
+RX%DQG:DUODQG,5+HDY\PLQHUDOVDQGVSRWHQWLDORIWKH
(XFOD%DVLQLQ6RXWK$XVWUDOLDMESA Journal
+XJR 9 ( DQG -RQHV * ,OXND 5HVRXUFHV 2SHUDWLRQV ,OXND
5HVRXUFHV /LPLWHG LQ Australasian Mining and Metallurgical
Operating Practices HG : - 5DQNLQ WKLUG HGLWLRQ SS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
,OXND ,OXND757 *URXS 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH
5HVHUYHV UHSRUW XQSXEOLVKHG ,OXND 5HVRXUFHV /LPLWHG
3HUWK
,OXND ,OXNDV V\QWKHWLF UXWLOH SURGXFWLRQ >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH
IURPKWWSZZZLOXNDFRP!
,OXND D 0LQHUDO 6DQGV )DFW %RRN >RQOLQH@ ,OXND 5HVRXUFHV
/LPLWHG$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZZZLOXNDFRP!
,OXNDE$QQXDOUHSRUW>RQOLQH@,OXND5HVRXUFHV/LPLWHG
$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZZZLOXNDFRP!
-RQHV*0LQHUDOVDQGVDQRYHUYLHZRIWKHLQGXVWU\>RQOLQH@
$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZZZLOXNDFRP!
0F0DQXV 3 2YHUYLHZ RI WKH $XVWUDODVLDQ PLQHUDO VDQGV
LQGXVWU\ LQ Australasian Mining and Metallurgical Operating
Practices HG : - 5DQNLQ WKLUG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
7HPSOH$.$OWHUDWLRQRILOPHQLWH(FRQRPLF*HRORJ\
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Principal, Geos Mining, Suite 301, 68 Alfred Street, Milsons Point NSW 2061. Email: [email protected]
2. FAusIMM(CP), Self employed, Unit 84, 2 Ulmarra Place, East Lindfield NSW 2070. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published in the first edition of Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice (2001).
INTRODUCTION
7KH SULQFLSOHV JRYHUQLQJ WKH HYDOXDWLRQ RI DQ LQGXVWULDO
PLQHUDO RFFXUUHQFH EDVLFDOO\ DUH QRW GLIIHUHQW IURP WKRVH
WKDW DSSO\ WR PHWDOOLF PLQHUDOV +RZHYHU D GHSRVLW RI RQH
PLOOLRQ WRQQHV DW JW JROG KDV D SUHFLVH DQG GHQHG
PHDQLQJZKHUHDVDGHSRVLWZLWKVL[SHUFHQW0J6L22FRXOG
EH D VRXUFH RI PDJQHVLXP VLOLFD RU FKU\VRWLOH DVEHVWRV
ZLWK YDOXHV UDQJLQJ IURP WR SHU WRQQH $OVR WKH
SURSHUWLHVRIWKHVDPHLQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOFDQYDU\PDUNHGO\
IURPDUHDWRDUHDDQGHYHQZLWKLQWKHVDPHGHSRVLW%HFDXVH
RI IDFWRUV WKDW LQXHQFH DFFHSWDQFH DQG YDOXH WKDW DUH QRW
XVXDOO\ HQFRXQWHUHG ZLWK PHWDOOLF PLQHUDO HYDOXDWLRQV WKH
DVVHVVPHQWRIDQLQGXVWULDOPLQHUDO5HVRXUFH5HVHUYHPXVW
SD\VSHFLFDWWHQWLRQWRDQXPEHURIDUHDVWKDWDUHJHQHUDOO\
DFFHSWHG ZLWKRXW GHWDLOHG DQDO\VLV E\ PHWDOOLF PLQHUDO
YDOXHUV3ULPHDPRQJWKHVHLVWKHDVVHVVPHQWRIWKHPDUNHW
DQG LW LV FRQVLGHUHG HVVHQWLDO WKDW LQ DQ\ LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDO
H[SORUDWLRQSURJUDPWKDWDVPXFKWLPHDQGIXQGVDUHVSHQW
RQPDUNHWUHVHDUFKDVRQH[SORUDWLRQ
THE MARKET
,W KDV EHHQ VDLG WKDW UHDO HVWDWH YDOXDWLRQV GHSHQG RQ WKUHH
IDFWRUV SRVLWLRQ SRVLWLRQ DQG SRVLWLRQ 7KH HYDOXDWLRQ RI
5HVHUYHV DQG 5HVRXUFHV RI LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDOV FDQ DOVR EH
VDLGWRGHSHQGRQWKUHHIDFWRUVPDUNHWPDUNHWDQGPDUNHW
Market requirements
3URGXFWVSHFLFDWLRQVGLFWDWHWKHWHVWVUHTXLUHGWRFRQUPWKH
UHDOLW\RIDQLQGXVWULDO0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQGWKHQDOWRQQDJH
WKDW PD\ EH LQFOXGHG DV DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH 7KH VSHFLFDWLRQV
PD\ UHODWH WR D SK\VLFDO SURSHUW\ RI WKH PLQHUDO SURGXFW
HJ PLQLPXP VSHFLF JUDYLW\ IRU EDULWH RU DVSHFW UDWLR IRU
ZROODVWRQLWH WR FKHPLFDO FRPSRVLWLRQ PLQLPXP FDUERQ
FRQWHQWIRUJUDSKLWHRUPD[LPXPLURQFRQWHQWIRUIHOGVSDU
RUWRWUHDWPHQWPD[LPXPSURGXFWSDUWLFOHVL]HIRUFOD\VRU
JURXQGOLPHVWRQH
,W LV FRPPRQ WR ORRN DW WKH VSHFLFDWLRQV TXRWHG LQ
SXEOLFDWLRQV VXFK DV The Industrial Minerals HandyBook
+DUEHQWRDVVHVVWKHPDUNHWDFFHSWDQFHRIDQLQGXVWULDO
PLQHUDO KRZHYHU WKHVH VSHFLFDWLRQV DUH JHQHUDOLVHG FDQ
EH RXW RI GDWH DQG PD\ QRW EH DSSOLFDEOH WR ORFDO PDUNHWV
$PRUHUHDOLVWLFVHWRIVSHFLFDWLRQVWKDWFRXOGDSSO\WRWKH
VSHFLFPDUNHWFDQEHGHULYHGIURPDQVZHUVWRWKHIROORZLQJ
TXHVWLRQV
467
Market segments
0RVWFRPPRQO\WKHPDUNHWIRUDQ\LQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOUHVRXUFH
LV QRW D XQLIRUP HQWLW\ EXW FRQVLVWV RI D QXPEHU RI GLVWLQFW
VHJPHQWV0DUNHWVHJPHQWVPD\FRQVLVWRIDVLQJOHFXVWRPHU
HJDORFDOFRXQFLODODUJHVWHHOZRUNVRUDJURXSRIFXVWRPHUV
ZKRXVHWKHSURGXFWIRUVLPLODUSXUSRVHVDQGWKHUHIRUHKDYH
VLPLODU SURGXFW UHTXLUHPHQWV $ PDUNHW VHJPHQW PD\ EXW
QRWDOZD\VEHJHRJUDSKLFDOO\ORFDOLVHG,QJHQHUDOGLIIHUHQW
PDUNHW VHJPHQWV KDYH GLIIHUHQW SURGXFW UHTXLUHPHQWV DQG
PD\ EH ZLOOLQJ WR SD\ GLIIHUHQW SULFHV IRU WKH VDPH SURGXFW
0DUNHWVHJPHQWVFDQEHJLYHQDUDQNLQJDQH[DPSOHRIWKLV
LV JLYHQ IRU WZR K\SRWKHWLFDO LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV LQ
7DEOH
TABLE 1
Market segments for two hypothetical deposits.
Market segment
Net ex-mine
price ranking
Market size
ranking
Treatment
Market location
-1 mm in bulker bags
Abrasive
-1 mm in bulker bags
Water filtration
Abrasive
Australia
Export
Fill
Local only
Note: net price and market size have been given a ranking, with 1 being the greater value and/or largest volume. Exact values of each would depend on the exact location, specific deposit characteristics,
etc. This table is illustrative as other market segments could be considered in both cases.
468
Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves of Industrial Minerals Markets and Other Modifying Factors|S Border and B Butt
7KHUH VKRXOG EH VRPH UHDVRQ WR H[SHFW D GHPDQG IRU WKH
SURGXFW %\ GHQLWLRQ D &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ PXVW FRQVLGHU
WKDW WKHUH DUH UHDVRQDEOH SURVSHFWV IRU HYHQWXDO HFRQRPLF
H[WUDFWLRQWRGHQHD0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQGWKH&RGH
VSHFLHV WKDW WKLV LV PRUH OLNHO\ WKDQ QRW -25& 6R
DOWKRXJKDPDUNHWDVVHVVPHQWPD\QRWDOZD\VEHQHFHVVDU\
LQ PDQ\ FDVHV VRPH PDUNHW UHVHDUFK PD\ EH UHTXLUHG WR
GHQHWKHWDUJHWPDUNHWVXIFLHQWO\WRHQVXUHWKDWHFRQRPLF
H[WUDFWLRQLVPRUHOLNHO\WKDQQRW,IWKHPDUNHWLVH[SHFWHG
WREHVPDOOWKHDQWLFLSDWHGSULFHVKRXOGEHVXIFLHQWWRFRYHU
WKHFRVWRIVPDOOVFDOHRULQWHUPLWWHQWRSHUDWLRQV,IWKHSURMHFW
LVOLNHO\WREHKLJKFRVWWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQPXVWFRQVLGHU
WKHOLNHO\FRVWDQGTXDOLW\RIFRPSHWLQJSURGXFWVDQGZKHWKHU
VXFKFRPSHWLWLRQKDVOLPLWHGRUH[WHQVLYHUHVRXUFHV
)RUH[DPSOHRQHRIWKHDXWKRUV6%KDVLQWKHSDVWVLJQHG
RII RQ D QXPEHU RI J\SVXP UHVRXUFHV DQG ZDV UHTXHVWHG
WR FRQGXFW D UHVRXUFH DVVHVVPHQW LQFOXGLQJ D SXEOLF
DQQRXQFHPHQW RI UHVRXUFHV IRU D VPDOO J\SVXP GHSRVLW
LQ :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD $ EULHI H[DPLQDWLRQ RI WKH GHSRVLW
UHYHDOHGWKDWLWZDVDUHODWLYHO\ORZTXDOLW\UHVRXUFHDGMDFHQW
WRDYHU\ODUJHKLJKTXDOLW\UHVRXUFHRZQHGDQGSUHYLRXVO\
H[SORLWHGE\DQRWKHUFRPSDQ\7KHPLQLQJFRVWZDVOLNHO\WR
EHVLPLODUIRUERWKGHSRVLWVEXWWKHH[LVWLQJLQIUDVWUXFWXUHDW
WKH ODUJHU UHVRXUFH ZRXOG PDNH LW XQOLNHO\ WKDW WKH VPDOOHU
UHVRXUFH FRXOG HYHU EH H[SORLWHG HFRQRPLFDOO\ LQ WKH IDFH
RI VXFK ORFDO FRPSHWLWLRQ 7KH UHVRXUFH DVVHVVPHQW ZDV
SROLWHO\UHIXVHGDVZLWKRXWUHDVRQDEOHSURVSHFWVIRUHYHQWXDO
HFRQRPLF H[WUDFWLRQ QR SXEOLF DQQRXQFHPHQW RI UHVRXUFHV
FRXOGEHPDGH
2ZQHUVKLSPD\GHWHUPLQHZKHWKHUDYROXPHRIPLQHUDOLVD
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH0DWHULDOWKDWLVDQ2UH5HVHUYHRU0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH WR RQH FRPSDQ\ ZKR KDV DFFHVV WR D VSHFLDOLVHG
PDUNHWPD\EHRIQRYDOXHWRDQRWKHUFRPSDQ\7KHPDUNHW
DFFHVVPD\EHLQWKHIRUPRI
469
RWKHUKDQGLVDQLQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOWKDWZRXOGEHPLQHG
QRWTXDUULHGDQGWKXVTXDOLI\IRUGHGXFWLRQV7KHH[WUDFWLRQ
RIVDQGGRHVQRWIDOOXQGHUWKHMXULVGLFWLRQRIWKH'HSDUWPHQW
RI0LQHVDQG(QHUJ\LQ1HZ6RXWK:DOHV16:EXWXQGHU
WKH 'HSDUWPHQW RI /DQGV ZLWK FRQWURO E\ WKH ORFDO FRXQFLO
,QPDQ\SDUWVRI16:PDQ\LQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOVDUHSULYDWH
PLQHUDOV RZQHG E\ WKH VXUIDFH ODQGKROGHU LQVWHDG RI WKH
&URZQZKLFKDIIHFWVULJKWVDQGUR\DOWLHV([SHUWDVVLVWDQFH
LV RIWHQ UHTXLUHG WR FDWHJRULFDOO\ GHWHUPLQH RZQHUVKLS DQG
ULJKWVRYHUDQ\JLYHQPLQHUDO
Infrastructure
7KH LPSRUWDQFH RI WUDQVSRUW KDV EHHQ PHQWLRQHG DERYH
EXW FDQQRW EH RYHUHPSKDVLVHG 7UDQVSRUW FRVWV PD\ QRW
EH SURSRUWLRQDO WR GLVWDQFH GXH WR PDQ\ IDFWRUV )RU URDG
WUDQVSRUW WKHVH LQFOXGH ORFDO UHJXODWLRQV JRYHUQLQJ WUXFN
W\SHV DQG FDSDFLWLHV WUDIF FRQJHVWLRQ DQG EDFNORDGLQJ
&DERWDJH PD\ LQFUHDVH WKH FRVW RI FRDVWDO VKLSSLQJ
EHWZHHQ SRUWV LQ WKH VDPH FRXQWU\ FRPSDUHG WR WKH FRVW RI
VKLSSLQJEHWZHHQFRXQWULHV7KHH[LVWHQFHRUDEVHQFHRIUDLO
LQIUDVWUXFWXUH FDQ PDNH RU EUHDN PDQ\ LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDO
GHSRVLWV
3URSHUW\RZQHUVDQGWKHFRPPXQLW\VKRXOGEHPDGHDZDUH
RIWKLVHLWKHULQDIDFHWRIDFHPHHWLQJRUDJHQHUDOPHHWLQJ
FDOOHGE\FRXQFLO
,WLVFRQVLGHUHGWKDWGXULQJWKHSHULRGRIH[SORUDWLRQWKUHH
PHHWLQJVVKRXOGEHDUUDQJHG
7RDGYLVHWKHFRPPXQLW\WKDWWKHLQLWLDOH[SORUDWLRQZLOO
UHTXLUHSHUVRQQHODQGSRVVLEO\YHKLFOHDFFHVVWRXQGHUWDNH
JHRORJLFDOPDSSLQJDQGPDJQHWLFDQGRURWKHUVXUYH\V
7R DGYLVH WKDW WKH VHFRQG VWDJH FRXOG UHTXLUH FOHDULQJ
RI REVWUXFWLRQV GLJJLQJ RI WUHQFKHV DQG XQGHUWDNLQJ
GLDPRQG RU SHUFXVVLRQ GULOOLQJ ZKLFK LQ WXUQ ZRXOG
UHTXLUH DFFHVV IRU KHDY\ PDFKLQHU\ WUXFNV ORDGHUV HWF
+RZHYHULWVKRXOGEHHPSKDVLVHGWKDWDWWKHFRQFOXVLRQ
RIWKLVVWDJHDOODUHDVZLOOEHIXOO\UHKDELOLWDWHG
$ QDO VWDJH WKDW ZLOO VKRZ E\ PDSV SODQV HWF DQG
PDUNHUV RQ WKH ODQG VXUIDFH WKH DUHDV WR EH LQYROYHG LQ
PLQLQJ SODQW SURFHVVLQJ DFFRPPRGDWLRQ ZDVWH DQG
WDLOLQJVGLVSRVDODFFHVVHWF
7KHNH\JRDOLVIRUWKHFRPPXQLW\WRKDYHDFOHDUNQRZOHGJH
RI ZKDW ZRXOG EH LQYROYHG IURP WKH VWDUW RI H[SORUDWLRQ WR
WKH SRLQW RI GHYHORSPHQW RU UHOLQTXLVKPHQW RI WLWOH DQG WR
WKHQ NHHS WKHP LQIRUPHG RI DOO GHYHORSPHQW RSHUDWLRQDO
DQGUHKDELOLWDWLRQSODQV,QDGGLWLRQGXULQJH[SORUDWLRQWKH
FRPSDQ\PXVWJDLQWKHWUXVWRIWKHFRPPXQLW\E\IROORZLQJ
WKURXJKRQSURPLVHVPDGH*RRGUHODWLRQVKLSVPDGHGXULQJ
WKH HDUO\ SKDVHV RI WKH SURMHFW ZLOO PLQLPLVH REMHFWLRQV WR
GHYHORSPHQWOHDGLQJWRPRUHUDSLGSHUPLWWLQJ
$OWKRXJK PRVW LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDOV DUH FRQVLGHUHG
HQYLURQPHQWDOO\ EHQLJQ ZKHQ FRPSDUHG WR KHDY\ PHWDOV
WKHUHDUHH[FHSWLRQVDQGRQHLVDVEHVWRV$OWKRXJKDQDWXUDO
PLQHUDOWKHKLVWRU\RILWVXVHLQOHDGLQJWRGLVHDVHDQGGHDWK
KDV VFDUUHG WKH SXEOLF FRQVFLRXVQHVV +HQFH FXUUHQWO\
LQ $XVWUDOLD LW ZRXOG EH VR KDUG WR LPDJLQH SROLWLFDO DQG
VRFLDO DFFHSWDQFH RI DQ\ UHQHZDO RI DVEHVWRV PLQLQJ WKDW LW
LV GHEDWDEOH ZKHWKHU DQ\ &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ FRXOG GHQH D
UHVRXUFHRIDVEHVWRVJLYHQWKDWWKLVUHTXLUHVWKH&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQWRFRQVLGHUWKHUHVRXUFHLVPRUHOLNHO\WKDQQRWWREH
GHYHORSHGDQGPLQHG
Resource characterisation
7KH PHWKRGV XWLOLVHG IRU H[SORUDWLRQ DQG GHQLWLRQ RI D
GHSRVLW RI DQ LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDO GR QRW EDVLFDOO\ GLIIHU
IURP WKRVH WKDW SHUWDLQ WR PHWDOOLF PLQHUDO H[SORUDWLRQ
+RZHYHU EHFDXVH D GHSRVLW RI RQH SDUWLFXODU PLQHUDO PD\
KDYHDQXPEHURIPDUNHWVRUEHLQFOXGHGLQDQXPEHURIHQG
SURGXFWV WKH EDVLF FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI WKH PLQHUDO PXVW EH
GHWHUPLQHG VXFK WKDW LWV DSSURSULDWHQHVV IRU HDFK SRWHQWLDO
PDUNHWFDQEHDVVHVVHG
,Q FKDUDFWHULVLQJ UHVRXUFHV RQH PXVW EH DZDUH WKDW LW
LV GDQJHURXV WR DVVXPH IRU H[DPSOH WKDW FKU\VRWLOH LQ
1HZ 6RXWK :DOHV $XVWUDOLD LV WKH VDPH DV FKU\VRWLOH LQ
1HZIRXQGODQG&DQDGDLWLVQW&RQYHUVHO\LWLVGDQJHURXV
WRDVVXPHWKDWLQWKH86$DSURGXFWRISHUFHQWZROODVWRQLWH
LVQRWDVJRRGDVRQHZLWKSHUFHQWIURP,QGLDLWXVXDOO\
LV DW OHDVW LQ WKH PDUNHWSODFH ,Q PDQ\ FDVHV VRPH PHDQV
RI EHQHFLDWLRQ LV SRVVLEOH RU VRPH PDUNHWLQJ GHOLYHU\
Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves of Industrial Minerals Markets and Other Modifying Factors|S Border and B Butt
EH YHU\ XVHIXO LQ H[SORUDWLRQ DQG JUDGH FRQWURO LI XVHG
ZLVHO\3LWIDOOVFDQEHDYRLGHGLI
7KHUVWSDUDPHWHUVWREHGHWHUPLQHGDUHWKHFKHPLFDODQG
SK\VLFDOSURSHUWLHVRIWKHPLQHUDO7KHFKHPLFDOFRPSRVLWLRQ
LV RI LPSRUWDQFH IRU WKH SHUFHQWDJH FRQWDLQHG LV XVXDOO\
WKH UVW DVVHVVPHQW PDGH ZKHWKHU WKH PDUNHW LV FKHPLFDO
RU PHWDOOXUJLFDO +RZHYHU FKHPLVWU\ LV RIWHQ LQVXIFLHQW
WR GHWHUPLQH WKH TXDQWLW\ RI D VLOLFDWH PLQHUDO HJ PLFD RU
JDUQHWDVWKHFKHPLFDOFRPSRQHQWVDUHFRPPRQWRDQXPEHU
RIPLQHUDOVLQWKHURFN6LPLODUO\WLWDQLXPDQDO\VHVRQWKHLU
RZQFDQQRWGHWHUPLQHWKHSURSRUWLRQRILOPHQLWHDQGUXWLOH
LQDPLQHUDOVDQGDQGVRRWKHUWHFKQLTXHVPXVWDOVREHXVHG
LQVWUXPHQWV DUH VHW XS IRU WKH WDUJHW PDWHULDOV DQG DUH
UHJXODUO\FDOLEUDWHG
VWDQGDUGV DUH XVHG WKDW DUH RI VLPLODU URFN W\SHV WR WKH
WDUJHWOLWKRORJLHV
UHJXODUFKHFNVDUHPDGHDWDQLQGHSHQGHQWODERUDWRU\WR
FRQUPWKHDFFXUDF\
Estimation principles
,QJHQHUDODSSURSULDWHHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRGVDUHWKHVDPHIRU
LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDOV DV IRU PHWDOOLF GHSRVLWV KRZHYHU WKH
IROORZLQJSRLQWVVKRXOGEHQRWHG
Nugget effect
$ QXJJHW HIIHFW LV FKDUDFWHULVWLFDOO\ DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK KLJK
YDOXHUDUHPLQHUDOVJROGGLDPRQGVHWFEXWRFFXUVLQVRPH
LQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOGHSRVLWV$QXJJHWHIIHFWFDQEHFDXVHGE\
Grain sizeLQSHJPDWLWHVLQGLYLGXDOFU\VWDOVPD\PHDVXUH
P RU PRUHDQGRQH GULOOVDPSOH PD\ EH WDNHQ ZKROO\
IURP RQH FU\VWDO 6XFK D VDPSOH JLYHV QR LQIRUPDWLRQ
UHJDUGLQJ WKH DYHUDJH FRPSRVLWLRQ RI WKH SHJPDWLWH
8VHIXO LQIRUPDWLRQ LV RQO\ REWDLQHG E\ DYHUDJLQJ D
QXPEHURIVDPSOHVWKURXJKWKHSHJPDWLWH
Impurities in an industrial mineral resourceWKLVPD\VKRZ
DKLJKQXJJHWHIIHFWDQGVDPSOLQJGHQVLW\DQGHVWLPDWLRQ
PHWKRG VKRXOG EH GHVLJQHG WR WDNH WKLV LQWR DFFRXQW
6DPSOLQJGHVLJQHGWRREWDLQRQO\DQDFFHSWDEOHOHYHORI
FRQGHQFH LQ WKH JUDGH RI WKH GHVLUHG PLQHUDO ZLOO LQ
JHQHUDOQRWJLYHDQDGHTXDWHGHOLQHDWLRQRIWKHOHYHOVRI
LPSXULWLHVZLWKLQWKHGHSRVLW
Low precision of analysesPLQHUDOTXDQWLFDWLRQDQGVRPH
RWKHUDQDO\WLFDOWHFKQLTXHVXVHGZLWKLQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOV
DUHOHVVSUHFLVHWKDQVWDQGDUGFKHPLFDODQDO\VHV7KLVIDFW
JLYHVDYDOLGQXJJHWHIIHFWVROHVVUHOLDQFHFDQEHSODFHG
RQDVLQJOHDQDO\VLV*HQHUDOO\WKLVFDQEHFRXQWHUEDODQFHG
E\XVHRIDYHUDJHVRIDQXPEHURIDQDO\VHVEXWWKLVFDQ
EHH[SHQVLYH
Combining variables
)RU PRVW LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDOV WKHUH LV PRUH WKDQ RQH IDFWRU
XVHGWRDVVHVVWKHTXDOLW\RUYDOXHRIWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
HJIRUDOLPHVWRQHXVHGDVDOOHUWKHLQXHQFLQJSDUDPHWHUV
DUH &D&23 FRQWHQW ZKLWHQHVV SDUWLFOH VL]H DEVRUSWLRQ
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV EXON GHQVLW\ DQG IUHH VLOLFD FRQWHQW
2EYLRXVO\ WZR DUHDV ZLWK WKH VDPH JUDGH SHUFHQWDJH RI
FDOFLXPFDUERQDWHFDQKDYHYHU\GLIIHUHQWYDOXHV$QXPEHU
RI PHWKRGV FDQ EH XVHG WR HVWLPDWH WKH LQKHUHQW YDOXH RI
HDFKEORFNRIUHVRXUFH
471
Reporting
:KHQ SXEOLFDOO\ UHSRUWLQJ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH
5HVHUYHV LQFOXGLQJ LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDOV D FRPSDQ\ PXVW
GLVFORVH DOO UHOHYDQW LQIRUPDWLRQ WKDW FRXOG PDWHULDOO\
LQXHQFH WKH HFRQRPLF YDOXH RI WKDW GHSRVLW -25&
)RU PDQ\ LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDOV WKHUH DUH D ODUJH QXPEHU RI
YDULDEOHV WKDW ZLOO PDWHULDOO\ DIIHFW PDUNHW DFFHSWDQFH
7KHVH PD\ LQFOXGH SK\VLFDO DQG FKHPLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
LPSXULWLHV SURSRVHG SURFHVVLQJ DQG SDFNDJLQJ DQG
VLJQLFDQW FRPSHWLQJ PLQHUDOV 1RW DOO RI WKHVH PD\ EH
VSHFLFDOO\PHQWLRQHGLQWKH7DEOHFKHFNOLVWRIDVVHVVPHQW
DQGUHSRUWLQJFULWHULDDWWDFKHGWRWKH-25&&RGHKRZHYHU
WRFRPSO\ZLWKWKHSULQFLSOHVRIWKH-25&FRGHDOOUHOHYDQW
IDFWRUVVKRXOGEHGLVFXVVHG
6HQVLEOHUHSRUWLQJLQYROYHV
472
CONCLUSIONS
7KH IDFWRUV SUHVHQWHG DUH SXW IRUZDUG DV D JXLGH WR DQ
HYDOXDWLRQ RI D SURSHUW\ RU SURMHFW ,W PXVW EH HPSKDVLVHG
WKDW WKH FKDUDFWHULVWLFV GLVSOD\HG E\ DQ LQGXVWULDO PLQHUDO
GHSRVLW LQ RQH ORFDWLRQ DUH QRW GXSOLFDWHG SUHFLVHO\ E\ D
GHSRVLW RI WKH VDPH PLQHUDO LQ D VHFRQG ORFDWLRQ HYHQ LI LW
LVDIHZNLORPHWUHVGLVWDQW7KHUHIRUHHDFKGHSRVLWPXVWEH
WHVWHGDVDVHSDUDWHHQWLW\,QRWKHUZRUGV
NQRZ\RXUPLQHUDO
NQRZWKHLPSXULWLHV
NQRZWKHWHVWODERUDWRU\
XVHDQHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRGWKDWSHUWDLQVWRWKHPLQHUDO
NQRZ\RXUPDUNHWV
REWDLQSURGXFWVSHFLFDWLRQV
EHDZDUHRISRVVLEOHVFDOHXSGLIIHUHQFHV
EHDZDUHRIFRPSHWLQJPLQHUDOV
,WLVRILPSRUWDQFHZKHQVXEPLWWLQJDSXEOLFUHSRUWWKDWDOO
WKH JXLGHOLQHV DQG SULQFLSOHV RI WKH $XVWUDOLDQ -25& &RGH
EHIROORZHG
REFERENCES
%XWW%&3UREOHPVDQGSLWIDOOVLQHYDOXDWLQJLQGXVWULDOPLQHUDO
SURSHUWLHV SDSHU SUHVHQWHG WR WK %LHQQLDO &RQIHUHQFH RI WKH
$XVWUDOLDQ&OD\0LQHUDOV6RFLHW\%ULVEDQH$XJXVW
+DUEHQ 3 : The Industrial Minerals HandyBook: A Guide to
0DUNHWV 6SHFLFDWLRQV DQG 3ULFHV WKLUG HGLWLRQ S 0HWDO
%XOOHWLQ%RRNV/RQGRQ
+DUEHQ 3 : DQG %DWHV 5 / Industrial Minerals Geology and
:RUOG'HSRVLWVS ,QGXVWULDO0LQHUDO'LYLVLRQ0HWDO%XOOHWLQ
3OF
/HH * DQG 6WHYHQVRQ 3 2EVHUYDWLRQV RQ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ DQG
UHSRUWLQJRIPLQHUDOVDQGVLQProceedings Murray Basin Mineral
Sands ConferenceSS$XVWUDOLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI*HRVFLHQWLVWV
3HUWK
5LEHLUR - 3HUHLUD + * 6RXVD $ - DQG $OEXTXHUTXH 7
*HRVWDWLVWLFDO FKDUDFWHULVDWLRQ RI QDWXUDO VWRQH TXDUULHV LQ
3URFHHGLQJV *HRVWDWLVWLFV :ROORQJRQJ &RQIHUHQFH HGV ( %DD
DQG16FKRHOG.OXZHU$FDGHPLF3XEOLVKHUV'RUGUHFKW
HOME
Infrastructure for
Mining Developments
F Blatt1
ABSTRACT
,QIUDVWUXFWXUH LV EHFRPLQJ DQ LQFUHDVLQJO\ LPSRUWDQW DVSHFW RI QHZ PLQLQJ GHYHORSPHQWV +LJKHU SURGXFWLRQ UDWHV PRUH
UHPRWHDQGGLIFXOWVLWHORFDWLRQVORQJHUGLVWDQFHVWRSRUWVDQGDFFHVVWRSRZHUDUHDGGLQJFRQVLGHUDEOHFRVWEXUGHQV0LQLQJ
FRPSDQLHVDUHIDFLQJQHZFKDOOHQJHVDQGKLJKHUULVNV3RZHUVXSSO\ZDWHUVXSSO\WUDQVSRUWFKDLQVDQGSRUWVFRVWVFDQSURYH
WREHSURKLELWLYHDVWKHVHFRVWVDUHXVXDOO\SDUWRILQLWLDOFDSLWDOFRVWVZKLFKLPSDFWKHDYLO\RQYDOXHJHQHUDWLRQ7KHVHDVSHFWV
DUHDOVRVXEMHFWWRSROLWLFDOLQWHUIHUHQFHDQGFRPPXQLW\RSSRVLWLRQFDXVLQJVHULRXVGHOD\VDQGHYHQVKHOYLQJRIWKHSURMHFW
$GYDQFHGWHFKQRORJ\VXFKDVVOXUU\WUDQVSRUWDQGDXWRPDWLRQLVQRZSOD\LQJDSDUWLQUHGXFLQJLQIUDVWUXFWXUHFRVWV
7KLVSDSHUGHVFULEHVLQPRUHGHWDLOWKHFRPSRQHQWVWKDWPDNHXSWKHLQIUDVWUXFWXUHRIDSURMHFWDQGRXWOLQHVKRZWKH\LQXHQFH
SURMHFWRSWLRQVHOHFWLRQDQGYLDELOLW\([DPSOHVDUHJLYHQWKDWKDYHEHHQGHFLVLYHIDFWRUVLQWKHGHYHORSPHQWRIDPLQLQJSURMHFW
1. Prefeasibility Study Manager, Rio Tinto Minera Peru, 1301 Larco Avenue, Miraflores Lima 18, Peru. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
,QIUDVWUXFWXUH WHQGV WR EH DQ XQGHUHVWLPDWHG FRPSRQHQW RI
D PLQLQJ GHYHORSPHQW KRZHYHU ZLWK WKH HYHU LQFUHDVLQJ
UHPRWHQHVVRIVLWHVDQGOLPLWDWLRQRIVSDFHZLWKLQFRQFHVVLRQ
ERXQGDULHV WKH NH\ FRVW GULYHUV DUH QRZ WKH ORJLVWLFV
FKDLQ DQG WUDQVSRUW FRVWV %RWK DUH PDMRU FRPSRQHQWV RI
LQIUDVWUXFWXUH IRU PLQLQJ GHYHORSPHQWV $GG WR WKHVH WKH
UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU VHFXUH SRZHU DQG ZDWHU VXSSO\ DQG
LQIUDVWUXFWXUH LV MXVW DV LPSRUWDQW D GLVFLSOLQH DV JHRORJ\
PLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJLQGHWHUPLQLQJWKHYLDELOLW\DSURMHFW
$OWKRXJK HDFK UHVRXUFH GHYHORSPHQW LV XQLTXH DW OHDVW
RQH RI WKH FULWLFDO SURMHFW ULVNV ZLOO LQYROYH LQIUDVWUXFWXUH
0DQ\ SURMHFWV KDYH EHHQ GHOD\HG RU VKHOYHG EHFDXVH RI
LQVXIFLHQW ZDWHU UHVRXUFHV ORQJ GLVWDQFHV IURP SRUWV DQG
WKH PDUNHW KDYH UHVXOWHG LQ SURKLELWLYH WUDQVSRUW FRVWV DQG
PDWHULDOV KDYH KDG WR EH WUDQVSRUWHG DV VOXUULHV UHTXLULQJ
DGGLWLRQDOWHFKQRORJLHVHWF(QVXULQJDSURMHFWLVFRPSHWLWLYH
ZLOOUHTXLUHRSWLPLVDWLRQRIWUDQVSRUWDQGPDWHULDOKDQGOLQJ
SURFHVVHV DQG VHOHFWLQJ EHWZHHQ DOWHUQDWLYH WHFKQRORJLHV
'HFLVLRQVRIWHQKDYHWREHPDGHEHWZHHQXVLQJURDGUDLORU
FRQYH\RUWUDQVSRUWDQGLQFUHDVLQJO\VOXUU\WUDQVSRUWIRURUH
DQGSURGXFWLVEHLQJDGRSWHGGXHWRLWVFRVWDGYDQWDJHV
7KLV SDSHU GHVFULEHV LQ PRUH GHWDLO WKH FRPSRQHQWV WKDW
PDNHXSWKHLQIUDVWUXFWXUHRIDSURMHFWDQGRXWOLQHVKRZWKH\
LQXHQFH SURMHFW RSWLRQV DQG YLDELOLW\ ([DPSOHV WKDW KDYH
EHHQGHFLVLYHIDFWRUVLQWKHGHYHORSPHQWRIDPLQLQJSURMHFW
DUHJLYHQ
Infrastructure
DFFRPPRGDWLRQODERXUVXSSO\HWF
EXLOGLQJVDQGIDFLOLWLHVRIFHVVWRUHVZRUNVKRSVHWF
FRPPXQLFDWLRQVVHFXULW\HWF
$VXVHGLQWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\LQIUDVWUXFWXUHDSSOLHVWR
VHUYLFHVDQGIDFLOLWLHVWKDWDUHQRWFRYHUHGZLWKLQWKHSULQFLSDO
GLVFLSOLQHVRIPLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJEXWZKLFKDUHHVVHQWLDO
IRUVXFFHVVIXORSHUDWLRQRIDPLQLQJSURMHFW
DUHPRWHORFDWLRQDQGLWVGLVWDQFHWRH[LVWLQJLQIUDVWUXFWXUH
LQFOXGLQJ
DPDMRUSRUW
ODERXUVXSSO\
DYHU\ZHWFOLPDWH
VWHHSWHUUDLQ
2N 7HGL LQ 3DSXD 1HZ *XLQHD 31* LV D JRRG H[DPSOH
RIDVLWHLPSDFWHGE\DOORIWKHDERYHFRPSDUHGWR/LKLULQ
31*ZKLFKKDVPRUHIDYRXUDEOHFRQGLWLRQVLWLVORFDWHGRQD
VPDOOLVODQGWKDWLVDFFHVVLEOHE\RFHDQJRLQJYHVVHOVDQGWKH
FOLPDWHLVQRWVRH[WUHPH
7RFODULI\WKHWHUPLQIUDVWUXFWXUHFRYHUVWKHIROORZLQJ
EVALUATION OF REQUIREMENTS
7KHHYDOXDWLRQRILQIUDVWUXFWXUHUHTXLUHPHQWVVKRXOGSURFHHG
LQ SDUDOOHO ZLWK RWKHU DFWLYLWLHV UHTXLUHG IRU WKH DVVHVVPHQW
RI 2UH 5HVHUYHV 7KH UHFRPPHQGHG DSSURDFK FRYHUV WKH
LQYHVWLJDWLRQ DQG HYDOXDWLRQ RI WKH IROORZLQJ WKURXJK D
VWDJHG)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\DSSURDFK
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
473
TRANSPORT/LOGISTICS
6XSSO\ DQG SURGXFW WUDQVSRUW DQG ORJLVWLFV EDVLFDOO\ DUH
V\QRQ\PRXV ZLWK PDWHULDOV KDQGOLQJ DQG DUH ODUJHO\
LQXHQFHGE\JHRJUDSKLFDOORFDWLRQDQGWHUUDLQ$QH[DPSOH
WKDW VHUYHV WR LOOXVWUDWH WKLV SRLQW LV 6LPDQGRX DQ LURQ RUH
GHSRVLW LQ *XLQHD $IULFD ZKLFK LV NP IURP WKH RFHDQ
KDVQRSRUWDQGKDVOLPLWHGURDGDQGDLUDFFHVV
7KH VHOHFWLRQ RI D WUDQVSRUW PRGH LV GHWHUPLQHG E\ WKH
TXDQWLWLHV RI PDWHULDO WUDQVSRUWHG DQG WKH GLVWDQFHV WR EH
WUDQVSRUWHG 7KH PDMRU PRGHV RI WUDQVSRUW IRU VXSSO\ IURP
DQRFHDQSRUWLQFOXGH
WUXFNVURDG
WUDLQVURDGDQGUDLODQGSLSHOLQHV
ULYHUEDUJHV
)RUSURGXFWWKHPDMRURSWLRQVLQFOXGH
WUXFNVURDG
FRQYH\RUV
WUDLQVURDGDQGUDLO
pipelines
ULYHUEDUJHV
2FHDQVKLSSLQJKDVEHHQH[FOXGHGIURPGLVFXVVLRQLQWKLV
SDSHUDVKDYHKDXOWUXFNVZRUNLQJLQVLGHDQGDURXQGPLQHV
DQG ZDVWH GXPSV EXW WKH\ WRR PXVW EH WDNHQ LQWR DFFRXQW
ZKHQORRNLQJDWOLIHF\FOHWUDQVSRUWFRVWV
,Q RUGHU RI FDSDFLW\ IURP ORZ WR KLJK WKH YDULRXV
WUDQVSRUWDWLRQ PRGHV IDOO URXJKO\ DV IROORZV WUXFNV URDG
WUDLQVEDUJHVSLSHOLQHVUDLODQGFRQYH\RUV
7KH IDFWRUV WKDW LQXHQFH WKH GHFLVLRQ RI WUDQVSRUW PRGH
LQFOXGH
TXDQWLW\RIPDWHULDO
HQHUJ\FRVWDQGDYDLODELOLW\
GLVWDQFHWREHWUDQVSRUWHG
W\SHRIPDWHULDO
WRSRJUDSK\
SRSXODWLRQFHQWUHVWREHFURVVHG
)RU H[DPSOH WR WUDQVSRUW ODUJH TXDQWLWLHV RYHU ORQJ DW
GLVWDQFHV WKH RSWLRQV DUH XVXDOO\ UDLO RU VOXUU\ SLSHOLQH
KRZHYHU UDLO LV QRW DQ RSWLRQ LQ VWHHS WHUUDLQ 6KRUWHU
474
DWWHUGLVWDQFHVZRXOGPRUHOLNHO\VXLWFRQYH\RUVDQGURDG
WUDQVSRUW
3LSHOLQHV DUH SDUWLFXODUO\ XVHIXO IRU WUDQVSRUWLQJ EXON
PDWHULDORYHULUUHJXODUWHUUDLQEXWWKHUHDUHVRPHGUDZEDFNV
QDPHO\ WKH PDWHULDO PXVW QRW UHDFW ZLWK WKH WUDQVSRUW
PHGLXPXVXDOO\IUHVKZDWHURUVHDZDWHUDQGWKHUHPXVWEH
DVXIFLHQWDPRXQWRIWKHWUDQVSRUWPHGLXPDYDLODEOHWREH
GLVSRVHGRIDWGLVFKDUJHHQGRUUHWXUQHGE\DQRWKHUSLSHOLQH
WKLV LV GLVFXVVHG IXUWKHU ODWHU VHFWLRQ ,Q DVVHVVLQJ ZKLFK
WUDQVSRUW PRGH WR XVH RQH QHHGV WR FRQVLGHU WKH FDSLWDO
LQYHVWPHQWWKHRSHUDWLQJFRVWWKHOLIHRIWKHSURMHFWDQGDQ\
VXVWDLQLQJFDSLWDO8VXDOO\WKHGHFLVLRQLVPDGHRQWKHORZHVW
XQLW FRVW W WUDQVSRUWHG $OO WKH PRGHV LQGLFDWHG HQWDLO
VXEVWDQWLDO LQLWLDO FDSLWDO KRZHYHU RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV YDU\
VLJQLFDQWO\DQGVRWKHQHWSUHVHQWFRVWRYHUPLQHOLIHVKRXOG
EHXVHGIRUVHOHFWLRQ8VXDOO\WKHKLJKHUWKHFDSLWDOFRVWWKH
ORZHU WKH RSHUDWLQJ H[SHQVH RSH[ )RU H[DPSOH UDLO PD\
FRVW 0NP EXW RQO\ WNP RSHUDWLQJ FRVW
3LSHOLQHV IRU ODUJH TXDQWLWLHV FRXOG DOVR FRVW 0NP EXW
GHSHQGLQJRQSRZHUFRVWVKDYHDQRSHUDWLQJFRVWRIW
NPRUKLJKHU
7KH HQHUJ\ FRVWV DOVR SOD\ D ODUJH SDUW LQ WKH VHOHFWLRQ RI
WUDQVSRUWPRGH7UXFNVDQGUDLOUHO\RQGLHVHOZKLFKFDQEH
YHU\H[SHQVLYHLIXVHGLQUHPRWHORFDWLRQV&KHDSHOHFWULFDO
SRZHUPD\VZD\DGHFLVLRQWRXVHFRQYH\RUVDQGSLSHOLQHV
7KHW\SHRIPDWHULDOLVDOVRDVLJQLFDQWIDFWRU+DUGODUJHU
OXPSPDWHULDOLVQRWVXLWHGWRVOXUU\LQJZLWKRXWSUHWUHDWPHQW
FUXVKLQJRWDWLRQHWFDQGFRQYH\RUVDUHDOVRUHVWULFWHGWR
VPDOOHU OXPS PDWHULDO +DUGQHVV ZLOO DIIHFW WKH ZHDU UDWH
RI SLOH ZKLOH KDUG PDWHULDO ZLOO EH GLIFXOW WR ORDG RQWR D
FRQYH\RU:HDUDQGWHDUDQGWKHUHULVNVRIFRQYH\RUEHOWV
DOVRQHHGWREHFRQVLGHUHG
,Q RWKHU ZRUGV HDFK RSHUDWLRQSURMHFW ZLOO KDYH XQLTXH
SURSHUWLHV WKDW JRYHUQ WKH VHOHFWLRQ RI PDWHULDOV WUDQVSRUW
)RUH[DPSOHLURQRUHSURMHFWVLQ*XLQHDDQG$XVWUDOLDWKDW
DUHORFDWHGPRUHWKDQNPIURPWKHH[SRUWSRUWRQO\KDYH
WKHYLDEOHRSWLRQRIUDLOWUDQVSRUW&RDORSHUDWLRQVZKHUHWKH
SURGXFWLVUHODWLYHO\VRIWDQGWKHWHUUDLQLVIDLUO\DWFDQXVH
HLWKHU FRQYH\RU RU UDLO WUDQVSRUW 2SHUDWLRQV QHDU WR PDMRU
ULYHUVPD\KDYHWKHRSWLRQRIPRYLQJEXONPDWHULDOE\ULYHU
EDUJHHJFRDOPLQHVLQWKH0LVVLVVLSSL5LYHUEDVLQVXSSOLHV
DQGFRSSHUFRQFHQWUDWHDW2N7HGL
7KH IXUWKHU WKH GLVWDQFH WR WKH GHOLYHU\ SRLQW XVXDOO\
D SRUW WKH PRUH OLNHO\ WKH WUDQVSRUW ZLOO EH UDLO 0RUH DQG
PRUH VOXUU\ SLSHOLQHV DUH EHLQJ XVHG KRZHYHU DV VWDWHG
WKLV UHTXLUHV ODUJH VXSSOLHV RI ZDWHU GHZDWHULQJ IDFLOLWLHV
DW WKH GLVFKDUJH HQG DQG SUREDEO\ VRPH SUHWUHDWPHQW
:KHWKHU WR XVH D SLSHOLQH UDLO RU WUXFN ZLOO GHSHQG RQ WKH
FRVW RI IXHO SRZHU DQG DYDLODELOLW\ RI ZDWHU ,I D SURMHFW LV
FDSLWDOFRQVWUDLQHGLWPD\EHPRUHDFFHSWDEOHWRFRQVLGHUD
WUDQVSRUWPRGHVXFKDVWUXFNVDQGUDLOZKLFKDUHRZQHGE\
WKLUG SDUWLHV DQG IXQGHG WKURXJK RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV EDVHG RQ
TXDQWLW\ DQG GLVWDQFH 7UXFNLQJ TXDQWLWLHV RI XS WR 0WD
FDQEHDVORZDV86WNPXQGHUFRQWUDFWDUUDQJHPHQWV
6XFK D WUXFNLQJ RSWLRQ WKRXJK ZRXOG QRW XVXDOO\ LQFOXGH
WKH FRVW RI WKH FRQVWUXFWLRQ DQGRU XSJUDGH RI WKH URDG
7KHUHDUHRWKHUDGYDQWDJHVKRZHYHUVXFKDVWKHSURMHFWQRW
KDYLQJWRSURYLGHZRUNVKRSDQGPDLQWHQDQFHIDFLOLWLHVDQG
VRPHWLPHVHYHQRSHUDWRUDFFRPPRGDWLRQ
Ocean ports
3RUWV DUH XVXDOO\ DW WKH HQG RI WKH ORJLVWLFV FKDLQ ,W LV D
IRUWXQDWH SURMHFW WKDW KDV DFFHVV WR D QHDUE\ SRUW ZLWK
DSSURSULDWH KDQGOLQJ DQG VWRUDJH IDFLOLWLHV 4XLWH RIWHQ WKH
GHYHORSPHQWRIDPLQLQJSURMHFWZLOOUHTXLUHWKHFRQVWUXFWLRQ
RIDQHZSRUW6HOHFWLRQRIDSRUWVLWHLVGULYHQDOPRVWHQWLUHO\
E\ WKH SUR[LPLW\ RI GHHS ZDWHU WR WKH VKRUH DQG DFFHVV ,I
GHHSZDWHULVUHODWLYHO\FORVHWRVKRUHWKHGHVLJQRIWKHSRUW
ZLOOGHSHQGRQWKHVL]HRIVKLSVLHGHSWKRIEHUWKFKDQQHO
VKRUHVLGHVWRUDJHFDSDFLW\DQGODQGVLGHDFFHVVWRWKHSRUW
,ILWLVUHTXLUHGWRWUDQVSRUWVPDOOTXDQWLWLHVDFRDVWDOWUDGHU
RI DURXQG W ZRXOG VXIFH 6XFK YHVVHOV UHTXLUH OHVV
WKDQ P GUDXJKW 3DQDPD[ YHVVHOV WKRVH WKDW FDQ SDVV
WKURXJKWKH3DQDPD&DQDODUHDURXQGWDQGUHTXLUH
D GUDIW RI DURXQG P &DSHVL]H YHVVHOV ! W DQG XS
WR W UHTXLUH PRUH WKDQ P GUDIW 7KH VL]H RI WKH
YHVVHO DQG WKHUHIRUH TXDQWLW\ RI VKLSSHG SURGXFW ZLOO DOVR
GHWHUPLQH VKRUHVLGH VWRUDJH UHTXLUHPHQWV 7KLV LV XVXDOO\
RQHYHVVHOORDGEXWZKHUHZHDWKHUVXFKDVKXUULFDQHVDIIHFWV
VKLSSLQJ DFFHVV WKH VWRUDJH UHTXLUHPHQWV PD\ QHHG WR EH
VXIFLHQWIRUWKUHHPRQWKV6RPHSRUWVLQ$VLDSDUWLFXODUO\
IHHGLQJ VPHOWHUV RU 6RXWK $PHULFD GR QRW VXSSRUW WKH
3DQDPD[YHVVHORUODUJHU
8QOHVVYHU\GHHSZDWHULVDFFHVVLEOHFORVHWRVKRUHWKHYHVVHO
GUDIWUHTXLUHPHQWVZLOOSUREDEO\UHVXOWLQDWUDGHRIIEHWZHHQ
WKHOHQJWKRIDMHWW\WRWKHUHTXLUHGGHSWKRUGUHGJLQJFORVHU
WR VKRUH 0DMRU SUREOHPV ZLWK GUHGJLQJ LQFOXGH WKH QHHG
WR DOVR GUHGJH IRU D WXUQLQJ FLUFOH DQG ZKHUH WR SODFH WKH
GUHGJHG PDWHULDO 'UHGJLQJ XVXDOO\ KDV OLPLWDWLRQV GXH
WR HQYLURQPHQWDO LPSOLFDWLRQV 6RPH SURMHFWV KDYH OLWWOH
FKRLFH LQ WKH ORFDWLRQ RI D SRUW DQG WKHUH DUH H[DPSOHV RI
MHWWLHV H[WHQGLQJ PRUH WKDQ NP WR UHDFK GHHS ZDWHU ,Q
WKHVH FDVHV DOWHUQDWLYHV PD\ EH DYDLODEOH VXFK DV EDUJLQJ
RUXVLQJORZGUDIWYHVVHOVDERXWPWRDQDQFKRUHGYHVVHO
RIIVKRUHRUWRDWUDQVKLSPHQWSRLQWDVRFFXUVLQWKH*XOIRI
&DUSHQWDULDLQ$XVWUDOLD
$FFHVV WR WKH SRUW IURP WKH ODQG VLGH VKRXOG QRW EH
RYHUORRNHG 8VXDOO\ SRUWV DUHFDQ EH ORFDWHG LQ OLPLWHG
DUHDV DORQJ FRDVWOLQHV ZKHUH WKHUH LV VXIFLHQW GHSWK IRU
VKLSSLQJDFFHVV7KHVHORFDWLRQVDUHDOVRZKHUHPDMRUXUEDQ
GHYHORSPHQW KDV RFFXUUHG ,Q 6RXWK $PHULFD DQG $VLD
VXFK XUEDQ VSUDZO H[WHQGV GLVWDQFHV HLWKHU VLGH RI WKH SRUW
DUHD DQG DFFHVV IRU WUXFNV SLSHOLQHV DQG UDLO LV LPSRVVLEOH
7KHUH LV DOVR FRPPXQLW\ UHVLVWDQFH WR WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI
PLQLQJEXONIDFLOLWLHVDWWKHVHORFDWLRQVGXHWRWKHSRWHQWLDO
IRU SROOXWLRQ FRDO IDFLOLWLHV LQ SDUWLFXODU DUH VXEMHFW WR VXFK
RSSRVLWLRQ
Power supply
/DUJHVFDOHPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQVFDQGHPDQGPRUHWKDQ0:
RIHOHFWULFSRZHU$VZLWKSRUWVLWLVDIRUWXQDWHGHYHORSPHQW
ZKHQVXIFLHQWDQGUHOLDEOHKLJKYROWDJHSRZHULVDYDLODEOH
ZLWKLQDUHDVRQDEOHGLVWDQFH,ILWLVDYDLODEOHWKHSUHIHUHQFH
LV WR DFFHVV VXSSO\ E\ FRQVWUXFWLQJ D KLJK YROWDJH +9
WUDQVPLVVLRQOLQHWRWKHQHDUHVW+9VZLWFK\DUGRUVXEVWDWLRQ
,QVRPHFRXQWULHVRUUHJLRQVGHPDQGRIPRUHWKDQ0:
ZLOOH[FHHGWKHJULGVXSSO\DYDLODELOLW\RUVWUHVVWKHH[LVWLQJ
V\VWHPDQGUHGXFHUHOLDELOLW\WRXQDFFHSWDEOHOHYHOV2SWLRQV
DUHOLPLWHGHLWKHUEXLOGDGHGLFDWHGSRZHUSODQWK\GURJDV
EXQNHU & RLO RU FRDO WKH ODWWHU FRPHV ZLWK HQYLURQPHQWDO
LVVXHVQHJRWLDWHZLWKWKHJRYHUQPHQWRQLQFUHDVLQJH[LVWLQJ
SRZHU VXSSO\ ZLWK SURMHFW VXSSRUW IXQGLQJ RU QHJRWLDWH
Water supply
:DWHU VXSSO\ LV EHFRPLQJ RQH RI WKH PRVW FULWLFDO LWHPV LQ
WKHGHYHORSPHQWRIPLQLQJSURMHFWVDQ\ZKHUHLQWKHZRUOG
QRW RQO\ GXH WR VFDUFLW\ RI VXSSO\ EXW DOVR WKH DVVRFLDWHG
VRFLDO DQG HQYLURQPHQWDO LPSDFW 7KH VRXUFHV RI ZDWHU IRU
PRVW PLQLQJ SURMHFWV DUH ULYHU ZDWHU DQG JURXQGZDWHU
(YHQ LQ DUHDV ZKHUH UDLQIDOO DQG ORFDO ULYHU RZV DUH KLJK
FRPPXQLWLHV DUH SURWHVWLQJ DJDLQVW SHUFHLYHG GRZQVWUHDP
LPSDFWV DQG UHVRXUFH GLPLQXWLRQ 6HYHUDO PLQLQJ SURMHFWV
LQ 6RXWK $PHULFD KDYH EHHQ VWRSSHG E\ FRPPXQLWLHV
FRQFHUQHGDERXWWKHLPSDFWRQWKHLUZDWHUV\VWHPVZKHWKHU
WKHVHFRQFHUQVDUHUHDORUSHUFHLYHG*URXQGZDWHUUHVRXUFHV
DUHEHFRPLQJPRUHVWUHVVHGDQGRSSRVLWLRQLVJURZLQJQRW
RQO\WRWKHGUDZGRZQRIJURXQGZDWHUUHVRXUFHVEXWWRWKH
SRWHQWLDOIRUFRQWDPLQDWLRQIURPSURFHVVHGZDWHUDVVRFLDWHG
ZLWK WKH PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQV LQFOXGLQJ DFLG URFN GUDLQDJH
$5' DQG OHDFKLQJ IURP ZDVWH GXPSV VWRFNSLOHV SURFHVV
ZDWHUSRQGVHWF0RUHDQGPRUHPLQHVDUHWXUQLQJWRKHDS
OHDFKLQJ DV SDUW RI PLQHUDO SURFHVVLQJ HLWKHU DV SDUW RI
PDLQVWUHDP SURFHVVLQJ RU ORZJUDGH PDWHULDO SURFHVVLQJ
+HDS OHDFKLQJ UHTXLUHV VLJQLFDQW TXDQWLWLHV RI ZDWHU
ZKLFKDVLWPL[HVZLWKDFLGDQGOHDFKHVWKURXJKWKHKHDSV
UHTXLUHV VXEVWDQWLDO VWRUDJH DQG UHF\FOLQJ IDFLOLWLHV :DWHU
PDQDJHPHQWLVWKHUHIRUHDQLPSRUWDQWDVSHFWRIVXFKPLQLQJ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
475
Site infrastructure
6LWH LQIUDVWUXFWXUH XVXDOO\ FRYHUV EXLOGLQJV RIFHV ZRUN
VKRSVVWRUHVZDWHUDQGZDVWHVXSSO\DQGWUHDWPHQWLQFOXGLQJ
SRQGV VWRUDJH WDQNV GLVWULEXWLRQ HOHFWULFLW\ GLVWULEXWLRQ
IXHO IDUP HPHUJHQF\ DQG KHDOWK VHUYLFHV DFFRPPRGDWLRQ
VHFXULW\ LQIRUPDWLRQ V\VWHPV DQG WHFKQRORJ\ ,6 7 DQG
FRPPXQLFDWLRQV $OWKRXJK WKHVH IDFLOLWLHV DQG VHUYLFHV DUH
IDLUO\VWDQGDUGIRUDQ\PLQLQJSURMHFWWKH\VWLOOQHHGDWWHQWLRQ
DQGDGGWRWKHSURMHFWFRVWV7KHVLWHOD\RXWLVDQLPSRUWDQW
SDUWRIWKHHYDOXDWLRQDUUDQJLQJDOOWKHIDFLOLWLHVDURXQGWKH
PLQHSURFHVVSODQWWDLOLQJVIDFLOLWLHVZDVWHGXPSVDQGZDWHU
VWRUDJHVLVDFRPSOH[WDVNZLWKRXWVWHULOLVLQJDQ\SDUWRIWKH
RUHERG\NHHSLQJPDMRUZRUNVKRSVQHDUWKHUHOHYDQWIDFLOLW\
QGLQJ D VXLWDEOH ORFDWLRQ IRU ZRUNIRUFH DFFRPPRGDWLRQ
DQGHVWDEOLVKLQJVXIFLHQWVSDFHIRUFRQVWUXFWLRQFDPSVDQG
OD\GRZQ DUHDV $V PLQH GHYHORSPHQWV DUH ORFDWHG LQ PRUH
DQG PRUH UHPRWH ORFDWLRQV WRSRJUDSK\ FDQ VHULRXVO\ DIIHFW
476
WKHSURMHFWOD\RXW0LQHUDOGHSRVLWVDUHEHLQJGLVFRYHUHGLQ
UHPRWHPRXQWDLQRXVDUHDVRI6RXWK$PHULFDQFRXQWULHVVXFK
DV&KLOH3HUXDQG&ROXPELD2QFHSLWERXQGDULHVDQGZDVWH
GXPSVKDYHEHHQORFDWHGWKHUHLVOLPLWHGDWVSDFHDYDLODEOH
IRUWKHVLWHIDFLOLWLHV,WVEHHQDVLPLODUH[SHULHQFHLQUHPRWH
DUHDVRI3DSXD1HZ*XLQHDDQGWKH3KLOLSSLQHV
,QVRPHFDVHVWRSRJUDSK\LVVRGLIFXOWLWKDVEHHQQHFHVVDU\
WR GHYHORS WKH VLWH IDFLOLWLHV TXLWH VRPH GLVWDQFH IURP WKH
PLQHVLWH7KLVFRXOGEHLQDGMDFHQWYDOOH\VRUFORVHUWRFRDVWDO
DUHDVZKHUHODQGWHQGVWREHDWWHU/RJLVWLFVWKHQEHFRPHDQ
LPSRUWDQWIHDWXUHRIWKHGHYHORSPHQWVDVGLVFXVVHGHDUOLHULQ
WKLVVHFWLRQ
CONCLUSIONS
*HRJUDSKLF ORFDWLRQ DQG WHUUDLQ RI D UHVRXUFH FDQ EH PDMRU
GHWHUPLQDQWVRILQIUDVWUXFWXUHUHTXLUHPHQWDQGFRQVHTXHQWO\
FRVWRIDSURMHFW/RFDWLRQLQSDUWLFXODULVDPDMRUIDFWRUZKHUH
477
HOME
1. Principal Advisor, Business Analysis, Rio Tinto Technology and Innovation, 1 Research Avenue, Bundoora Vic 3083. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV DUH DOO WKRVH QRQUHVRXUFH LQSXWV WR DQ
2UH 5HVHUYH FDOFXODWLRQ 5HYHQXH DQG FRVW IDFWRUV DUH WKH
PRVW LPSRUWDQW LQSXWV DIWHU WKH SK\VLFDO DWWULEXWHV RI WKH
UHVRXUFH DUH UVW FRQVLGHUHG :KDW DUH WKH UHYHQXH DQG
FRVWIDFWRUVDQGZKDWUROHGRWKH\SOD\LQWKH2UH5HVHUYHV
HYDOXDWLRQSURFHVV"7KLVSDSHUZLOOOHDGWKHUHDGHUWKURXJK
WKHYDULRXVFRPSRQHQWVRIWKHVHIDFWRUVDQGWKHLPSDFWWKH\
KDYHRQWKHHQGUHVXOW
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRXQGHUVWDQGWKHHYROXWLRQRIERWKUHVRXUFH
DQGUHYHQXHFRVWNQRZOHGJHWKURXJKWKHVWXG\SURFHVVSULRU
WRWKHFRPPHQFHPHQWRIRSHUDWLRQVDQGWKHQWKHXSGDWHRI
UHVHUYHFDOFXODWLRQVRQFHWKHRSHUDWLRQLVLQSURGXFWLRQ7KH
FXUUHQW-25&&RGHVWDWHVWKDWDQ2UH5HVHUYHLV
GHQHGE\VWXGLHVDW3UH)HDVLELOLW\RU)HDVLELOLW\OHYHODV
DSSURSULDWHWKDWLQFOXGHDSSOLFDWLRQRI0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV
6XFK VWXGLHV GHPRQVWUDWH WKDW DW WKH WLPH RI UHSRUWLQJ
H[WUDFWLRQFRXOGUHDVRQDEO\EHMXVWLHG-25&
'DWD DQG HYDOXDWLRQ IURP FRQFHSWXDO RU RUGHU RI
PDJQLWXGHVWXGLHVDUHQRWVXIFLHQWO\DFFXUDWHWRXVHDVWKH
EDVLVRIDQ2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWH
-25&VWDWHVWKDWD5HVHUYHLQFOXGHVPDWHULDOWKDWLV
HFRQRPLFDOO\PLQHDEOHZKLFKLPSOLHVWKHWHVWLQJRIYLDELOLW\
XVLQJWHFKQLTXHVVXFKDVDGLVFRXQWHGFDVKRZPRGHO,WDOVR
LPSOLHVWKDWLQRUGHUWREHFRQVLGHUHGHFRQRPLFDOO\YLDEOHD
UHVHUYHGHFODUHGDWWKHSUHGHYHORSPHQWSKDVHVKRXOGEHDEOH
WRVHUYLFHWKHGHYHORSPHQWFDSLWDOH[SHQGLWXUHQHFHVVDU\WR
HVWDEOLVKWKHRSHUDWLRQV8SGDWHG5HVHUYHVGHFODUHGDWDODWHU
SRVWGHYHORSPHQWSKDVHPD\RQO\QHHGWRVHUYLFHVXVWDLQLQJ
FDSLWDO IDFWRUV DV WKH GHYHORSPHQW FDSLWDO KDV EHHQ ZULWWHQ
GRZQRUVXQN
Revenue factors
7KH NH\ HOHPHQWV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK FDOFXODWLQJ WKH UHYHQXH
LQSXWVLQFOXGH
YROXPHRIWKHSURGXFWPDWHULDOSURGXFHGDQGVROG
TXDOLW\ RI WKH SURGXFW SK\VLFDO FKHPLFDO DQG
PHWDOOXUJLFDO HJ FRSSHU FRQFHQWUDWH JUDGH LURQ RUH
SKRVSKRUXVJUDGH
VHOOLQJSULFHRIWKHSURGXFW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
479
COST FACTORS
&RVWIDFWRUVDUHGLYLGHGLQWRWZRPDLQVXEJURXSVRIFDSLWDO
FRVWV DQG RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV &DSLWDO FRVWV DUH HVVHQWLDOO\
RQFHRII FRVWV WR HVWDEOLVK RU UHSODFH IDFLOLWLHV DVVHWV ZLWK
D VHW RSHUDWLQJ OLIH ZKLOH RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV DUH WKH UHFXUULQJ
H[SHQGLWXUHWKDWPDLQWDLQVWKHSURMHFWVRSHUDWLRQWKURXJKRXW
HDFK \HDU *LYHQ WKHVH GLIIHUHQFHV FDSLWDO DQG RSHUDWLQJ
FRVWVDUHWUHDWHGGLIIHUHQWO\ZKHQLWFRPHVWRFDOFXODWLQJWKH
WD[ SD\DEOH HDFK \HDU &DSLWDO FRVWV DUH DFFXPXODWHG DQG
GHGXFWHGLQLQFUHPHQWVWKURXJKRXWWKHDVVHWVRSHUDWLQJOLIH
ZKLOHRSHUDWLQJFRVWVDUHH[SHQVHGLPPHGLDWHO\LQHDFK\HDU
RI H[SHQGLWXUH 7KLV GLIIHUHQFH LV LPSRUWDQW IRU WKH SURSHU
WUHDWPHQWRIHDFKW\SHRIFRVWLQWKHQDQFLDOPRGHO
Capital costs
480
The Influence of Revenue and Cost Factors on Ore Reserve Estimation|R P Watkins
'HIHUUHGFDSLWDOLVWRFRYHUDQ\LWHPVIURPWKHLQLWLDO
GHYHORSPHQWWKDWDUHVSHQWDIWHUWKHFRPPHQFHPHQW
RIRSHUDWLRQ([WUDVKRYHOVLQWKHSLWRUDQDGGLWLRQDO
SURFHVVSODQWFLUFXLWDUHW\SLFDOH[DPSOHV
6XVWDLQLQJ FDSLWDO LV VLPLODU EXW FRQWLQXHV WKURXJK
WKHOLIHRIWKHRSHUDWLRQ7KHRQJRLQJH[SDQVLRQRID
WDLOLQJVVWRUDJHGDPDQGSLSHOLQHVLVDJRRGH[DPSOH
5HSODFHPHQWFDSLWDOLVIRUUHSODFHPHQWRIDQH[LVWLQJ
DVVHW WKDW KDV UHDFKHG LWV HFRQRPLFDOO\ XVHIXO OLIH
+DXOWUXFNVGR]HUVDQGYHKLFOHVDUHH[DPSOHVLQWKLV
FDWHJRU\
Closure and rehabilitation costs WKH QDO JURXS RI FRVWV
DUH DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK FORVXUH RI WKH ZRUNHG RXW PLQLQJ
DUHDV DQG WDLOLQJV VWRUDJH DUHDV RQ D FRQWLQXLQJ EDVLV
DQG WKH QDO FORVXUH GHPROLWLRQ DQG UHPHGLDWLRQ RI
WKH ZKROH SURMHFW VLWH 5HTXLUHPHQWV IURP UHJXODWRUV
DQG H[SHFWDWLRQV IURP WKH FRPPXQLW\ DUH EHFRPLQJ
LQFUHDVLQJO\VWULQJHQWLQWKLVDUHDDQGWKHFRVWVUHTXLUHG
DUHQRWLQVLJQLFDQW:KLOVWWKHVHFRVWVDUHRIWHQVHHQDV
LQ WKH GLVWDQW IXWXUH DQG PD\ KDYH D VPDOO LPSDFW LQ D
GLVFRXQWHGFDVKRZDQDO\VLVWKH\QHHGWREHFRQVLGHUHG
DSSURSULDWHO\DQGQRWLJQRUHG
Operating costs
2SHUDWLQJ FRVWV QHHG WR EH FDOFXODWHG IRU HDFK \HDU RI WKH
RSHUDWLRQ DQG VKRXOG EH EDVHG RQ D FDOFXODWHG DQQXDO
SURGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOH IRU ZDVWH RUH DQG SURGXFW WRQQHV
)URP WKLV VFKHGXOH RSHUDWLQJ KRXUV SRZHU FRQVXPSWLRQV
ODERXU UHTXLUHPHQWV DQG FRQVXPDEOH UHTXLUHPHQWV FDQ
EH GHWHUPLQHG IRU RSHUDWLRQV PDLQWHQDQFH DQG VXSSRUW
DFWLYLWLHV 2SHUDWLQJ FRVWV VKRXOG QRW EH EDVHG RQ VLPSOH
UDWHVSHUWRQQHRIRUHRUVLPLODUIURPRWKHURSHUDWLRQV7KH\
VKRXOG EH GHULYHG IURP UVW SULQFLSOHV ZKHUHYHU SRVVLEOH
DQG SUDFWLFDEOH DQG EH OLQNHG WR WKH SURMHFWV ORFDWLRQ DQG
FRQGLWLRQV$W\SLFDORSHUDWLQJFRVWEUHDNGRZQIROORZV
481
TABLE 1
Typical cost matrix.
Labour
Energy
Consumables
Reagents
Mining
Labour list
Processing
Labour list
Crush, grind
Product transport
Labour list
$/h equipment
Labour list
% Factor
Usage rate
Maintenance parts
Subcontract
Other
$/h equipment
General items
% Factor
General items
Royalties
$/t product
General items
General items
% Factor
Community
$ Allowance
Carbon tax
$/t carbon
Closure
Labour list
$/h equipment
Contingencies
% Factor
OTHER FACTORS
$WKLUGJURXSRIIDFWRUVH[LVWWKDWVWUDGGOHERWKUHYHQXHDQG
FRVWV
FRVWV7KLVDUHDKDVEHHQFRYHUHGH[WHQVLYHO\LQ:HVW
ZKLFKLQGLFDWHVWKDW3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\HVWLPDWHVQHHGWR
EH LQ DQ DFFXUDF\ UDQJH RI WR SHU FHQW DQG )HDVLELOLW\
6WXG\HVWLPDWHVUDQJHIURPWHQWRSHUFHQW
'XULQJ WKH RSHUDWLQJ SKDVH UHDO RSHUDWLRQDO NQRZOHGJH
DQGDFWXDOFRVWGDWDZLOOEHFRPHDYDLODEOHDQGVKRXOGEHXVHG
RQFH DQ RSHUDWLRQ LV PDWXUH DQG LQ D VWHDG\ VWDWH ,W LV QRW
DFFHSWDEOHWRFRQWLQXHUHO\LQJRQROGVWXG\LQIRUPDWLRQDQG
KDQGERRN GDWD HJ IRU PLQLQJ HHW FRVWV $FWXDO XQLW FRVWV
RISURGXFWLRQFRXSOHGZLWKIRUHFDVWPLQHSODQVIRUSK\VLFDO
LQSXWVVKRXOGEHGHYHORSHGDQGXVHGLQWKHSURMHFWHFRQRPLF
PRGHO 7KLV VKRXOG UHVXOW LQ DQ LPSURYHPHQW LQ DFFXUDF\
DQGUHOLDELOLW\RIWKHYLDELOLW\FDOFXODWLRQVDQGDFRQVHTXHQW
UHFDOFXODWLRQRI5HVHUYHV
The Influence of Revenue and Cost Factors on Ore Reserve Estimation|R P Watkins
FIG 1 - Annual cash flow graph showing capital expenditure, operating costs and revenue.
WKH FDSLWDO H[SHQGLWXUH RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV DQG UHYHQXH 1RWH
WKH EOXH VHFWLRQ DERYH WKH FRVWV LV WKH VXUSOXV EHWZHHQ
UHYHQXH DQG FRVWV DQG LV WKH FDVK PDUJLQ EHIRUH WD[ RIWHQ
FDOOHG (%,7'$ HDUQLQJV EHIRUH LQWHUHVW WD[ GHSUHFLDWLRQ
DQGDPRUWLVDWLRQ
HLJKWSHUFHQWDQGDVWKH139LVSRVLWLYHWKHUDWHRIUHWXUQIRU
WKHSURMHFWZLOOEHJUHDWHUWKDQHLJKWSHUFHQW
,Q DGGLWLRQ JUDSKV VKRZLQJ WKH IUHH FDVK RZ DIWHU WD[
DQG WKH FXPXODWLYH QHW SUHVHQW YDOXH FDQ EH JHQHUDWHG DV
VKRZQLQ)LJXUH+HUHZHFDQVHHWKHLQLWLDOSURMHFWFDSLWDO
LQYHVWPHQWDVH[SHQGLWXUHEHORZWKHOLQHQHJDWLYHDQGWKH
DQQXDO IUHH FDVK DIWHU WD[ 7KH EOXH OLQH LV WKH FXPXODWLYH
GLVFRXQWHG FDVK RZ WKDW JHQHUDWHV WKH RYHUDOO SURMHFW QHW
SUHVHQWYDOXH139LQWKLVFDVHRIDSSUR[LPDWHO\0
7KHSUHYLRXVH[DPSOHSURMHFWVKRZHGERWKDSRVLWLYHPDUJLQ
DQG SRVLWLYH 139 RYHU WKH RSHUDWLQJ OLIH ,Q RWKHU ZRUGV
WKLVSURMHFWDQGRUHERG\ZRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHGHFRQRPLFDOO\
YLDEOH DQG ZRXOG LQ DOO SUREDELOLW\ EH GHYHORSHG 7KH
0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV LQ WKLV H[DPSOH KDYH EHHQ LQFOXGHG DW D
EDVHSRLQWLQWLPH:KDWZRXOGKDSSHQLQWKHIXWXUHZKHQ
WKH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV KDYH FKDQJHG WKURXJK HLWKHU FRVW
LQDWLRQ HIIHFWV RU FRPPRGLW\ SULFH F\FOHV" 7KHVH SRWHQWLDO
FKDQJHVFDQEHFKHFNHGXVLQJDVHQVLWLYLW\DQDO\VLVZKHUHWKH
NH\ LQSXW SDUDPHWHUVDUHYDULHGXSDQGGRZQ WRFKHFNWKH
UHVXOWLQJSURMHFW139
$VWKH139FDOFXODWHGLVSRVLWLYHWKLVZRXOGLQGLFDWHWKDW
WKH RUHERG\ LV HFRQRPLFDOO\ YLDEOH DV WKH LQLWLDO FDSLWDO
LQYHVWPHQWLVUHSDLGDQGJHQHUDWHVIXWXUHFDVKRZVHTXDOWR
0LQWRGD\VWHUPV7KLVH[DPSOHXVHVDGLVFRXQWUDWHRI
483
UDWH RI HLJKW SHU FHQW :KLOH QRW JHQHUDWLQJ YDOXH LW ZRXOG
VWLOOEHFRQVLGHUHGHFRQRPLFMXVWDVLWVWLOOSURYLGHVDUHWXUQ
RIHLJKWSHUFHQWRQWKHFDSLWDOLQYHVWPHQW
7KLVSDSHUKDVUDLVHGWKHIROORZLQJNH\SRLQWV
7KHLPSRUWDQWSRLQWIURPWKLVDQDO\VLVLVDUHYHQXHGHFUHDVH
RISHUFHQWZLOOFKDQJHWKHHFRQRPLFYLDELOLW\IURP0
SRVLWLYHWR]HUR)XUWKHUUHGXFWLRQVLQUHYHQXHZRXOGVHHD
QHJDWLYH YDOXH DQG DQ LQFUHDVLQJ OLNHOLKRRG RI WKH SURMHFW
QRWSURFHHGLQJ6LPLODUDQDO\VHVWRWKHRWKHUNH\0RGLI\LQJ
)DFWRUV ZLOO DOVR SURYLGH XVHIXO LQVLJKWV RI WKH SURMHFWV
WROHUDQFHWRYDULDWLRQVLQWKHVHDUHDV
CONCLUSIONS
WKH5HVHUYHVHVWLPDWLRQSURFHVVUHTXLUHVWKHGHYHORSPHQW
DQG DSSOLFDWLRQ RI 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV ZKLFK DUH DOO WKH
QRQUHVRXUFHLQSXWV
WKHVH IDFWRUV FRYHU SURMHFW FDSLWDO RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV DQG
UHYHQXHUHODWHGLQSXWV
The Influence of Revenue and Cost Factors on Ore Reserve Estimation|R P Watkins
UHOLDEOHGDWDVKRXOGEHXVHGWRGHWHUPLQHWKHUHYHQXHDQG
FRVWV0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVDQGHYDOXDWLRQQHHGVWREHDWD
3UH)HDVLELOLW\VWDQGDUGRUEHWWHU
RQFH D SURMHFW LV LQ RSHUDWLRQ UHDOZRUOG DFWXDO GDWD
IURP WKH RSHUDWLRQ VKRXOG UHSODFH VWXG\ GDWD ZKHUHYHU
SRVVLEOH
PRGHOOLQJ RI WKH SURMHFW YLDELOLW\ XVLQJ D FDVK RZ DQG
139PRGHOLVHVVHQWLDO
WKHPRGHOVKRXOGDLPWRUHSOLFDWHWKHDFWXDORSHUDWLRQRQ
DQ DQQXDO EDVLV ZKLFK LQFOXGHV DOO ZDVWH RUH SURGXFW
DQG SURFHVV ZDVWH VWUHDPV DV WKH EDVLV IRU FRVWV DQG
UHYHQXHV
VRPHIDFWRUVVXFKDVIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHUDWHVDQGSURGXFW
SULFHVDUHGLIFXOWWRSUHGLFWDQGWKHLULPSDFWRQYLDELOLW\
LVEHVWXQGHUVWRRGXVLQJDVHQVLWLYLW\DQDO\VLV
REFERENCES
*XM 3 0LQHUDO SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ DQ LQWURGXFWLRQ LQ
Australian Mineral Economics HGV30D[ZHOODQG3*XMSS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
:HVW 5 3UHOLPLQDU\ SUHIHDVLELOLW\ DQG IHDVLELOLW\ VWXGLHV LQ
Australian Mineral Economics HGV30D[ZHOODQG3*XMSS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
485
HOME
Environmental Constraints on
Resource-to-Reserve Conversion
M Ridd1, P Eaglen2 and C Unger3
ABSTRACT
7KH-25&&RGHUHTXLUHVFRQVLGHUDWLRQRI0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVZKHQDVVHVVLQJWKHFRQYHUVLRQRID0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHWRDQ
2UH5HVHUYH(QYLURQPHQWDOFRQVWUDLQWVDUHRQHRIWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV,QWKLVSDSHUZHLGHQWLI\WKHPDMRUHQYLURQPHQWDO
FRQVWUDLQWVWKDWQHHGWREHFRQVLGHUHGLQWKHFRQYHUVLRQRID5HVRXUFHWRD5HVHUYH)RUHDFKPDMRUHQYLURQPHQWDOFRQVWUDLQWZH
GLVFXVVH[DPSOHVRILWVLPSDFWRQ5HVRXUFHWR5HVHUYHFRQYHUVLRQDQGPDNHUHFRPPHQGDWLRQVRQKRZWRDVVHVVWKHLPSDFWRI
WKHFRQVWUDLQWRQWKHFRQYHUVLRQ
1. MAusIMM, Executive Manager Environment, Ok Tedi Mining Limited, PO Box 1, Tabubil Western Province, Papua New Guinea. Email: [email protected]
2. General Manager, Health, Safety, Environment and Security, Rio Tinto Coal Mozambique, No 1123, Third Floor, 24 de Julho Avenue, Maputo, Mozambique. Email: [email protected]
3. MAusIMM(CP), Environmental Consultant and Researcher, Centre for Mined Land Rehabilitation, The University of Queensland, St Lucia Qld 4072. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
LAND ACCESS
7KHREMHFWLYHRIWKLVSDSHULVWRSURYLGHJXLGDQFHRQDVVHVVLQJ
WKH HIIHFW RI HQYLURQPHQWDO FRQVWUDLQWV RQ WKH FRQYHUVLRQ
RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV WR 2UH 5HVHUYHV ,Q VR GRLQJ ZH DUH
DOLJQLQJWKHSDSHUZLWKWKH-25&&RGHZKLFKQRPLQDWHVD
QXPEHURI0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVWKDWVKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHGLQ
WKHFRQYHUVLRQIURP5HVRXUFHWR5HVHUYH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV
DUHGHQHGDV
DFFHVVWRODQGRQHQYLURQPHQWDOJURXQGV
DSSOLFDWLRQRIHFRQRPLFDOO\RSWLPDOPLQLQJ
DFFHVVWRDSSURSULDWHODQGIRUZDVWHDQGWDLOLQJVVWRUDJH
PLQHFORVXUH
487
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSTRAINTS ON
ECONOMICALLY OPTIMAL MINING PROCESSES
(QYLURQPHQWDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV FDQ VLJQLFDQWO\ DIIHFW WKH
PLQLQJPHWKRGVWKDWDUHIHDVLEOHIRUD5HVRXUFHGHYHORSPHQW
7KHVHFRQVLGHUDWLRQVQHHGWREHFRQVLGHUHGZKHQPDNLQJWKH
FRQYHUVLRQ RI 5HVRXUFHV WR 5HVHUYHV *ODLVWHU DQG 0XGG
,WLVQRWHZRUWK\WKDWWKH-25&&RGHGLIIHUVIURP
WKH&RGHDWSDUDJUDSKZKHUHLWDOLFLVHG
&XWRII JUDGHV FKRVHQ IRU WKH HVWLPDWLRQ VKRXOG EH
UHDOLVWLF LQ UHODWLRQ WR WKH VW\OH RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ and
the anticipated mining and processing development options.
6LQFHWKH-25&&RGHH[SOLFLWO\UHTXLUHVFRQVLGHUDWLRQ
RIWKHHIIHFWRIWKHPLQLQJPHWKRGDQGSURFHVVLQJPHWKRGLQ
GHWHUPLQLQJDFXWRIIJUDGHLWIROORZVWKDWWKHFXWRIIJUDGH
ZLOOEHVHQVLWLYHWRDQ\IDFWRULQWKLVFDVHHQYLURQPHQWDOWKDW
DIIHFWVPLQLQJPHWKRGV
7KHUH DUH QXPHURXV HQYLURQPHQWDO LPSDFWV RI PLQLQJ
GXULQJ FRQVWUXFWLRQ RSHUDWLRQ DQG HYHQ FORVXUH ,Q WKLV
VHFWLRQ ZH VKDOO RQO\ IRFXV RQ WKRVH HQYLURQPHQWDO IDFWRUV
PRVW OLNHO\ WR LPSDFW PDWHULDOO\ RQ FRVWV DQG KHQFH RQ
5HVRXUFHWR5HVHUYHFRQYHUVLRQ
Water management
7KH VHFRQG ODUJHVW FRVW LPSOLFDWLRQ DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK
HQYLURQPHQWDO LPSDFWV RI PLQLQJ LV XVXDOO\ ZDWHU
PDQDJHPHQW +HQFH WKH LGHQWLFDWLRQ RI WKH PDMRU ZDWHU
ULVNVDUHNH\IRUUHQLQJWKHFRVWRIGHOLYHULQJWKHSURMHFWZLWK
D PRUH UHSUHVHQWDWLYH HVWLPDWLRQ RI FDSLWDO DQG RSHUDWLQJ
FRVWV:DWHUUHODWHGFRQVWUXFWLRQRSHUDWLQJDQGFORVXUHFRVWV
UHODWHWRJURXQGZDWHUVXUIDFHZDWHUSLWYRLGVDQGORQJWHUP
VHHSDJH 7KH OLNHO\ ULVN RI LPSDFWV RQ JURXQG DQG VXUIDFH
ZDWHUVPXVWEHFRQVLGHUHGDVHDUO\DVSRVVLEOHLQWKHUHVRXUFH
LGHQWLFDWLRQ
BENEFICIATION
(QYLURQPHQWDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV FDQ KDYH PDMRU LPSDFWV RQ
EHQHFLDWLRQ $V ZLWK WKH FKRLFH RI PLQLQJ PHWKRG WKH
HIIHFWVQHHGWREHFRQVLGHUHGZKHQPDNLQJWKHFRQYHUVLRQRI
5HVRXUFHVWR5HVHUYHV
7KHVHDUHWKHNH\FRQVLGHUDWLRQVUHJDUGLQJEHQHFLDWLRQ
JHRFKHPLFDOUHDFWLRQVDVVRFLDWHGZLWK$5'RYHUWKHODVWWZR
GHFDGHVSURYLGHVPLQLQJSURIHVVLRQDOVZLWKDVRXQGJOREDO
NQRZOHGJHIRUDVVHVVLQJWKHLVVXHVDQGFRVWVIRUGHYHORSLQJ
DQG RSHUDWLQJ SURMHFWV ZLWK UHDFWLYH PLQHUDO ZDVWHV 7KH
PDWHULDO FRVWV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK $5' FDQ EH FRPSOH[ WR
GHWHUPLQH DQG WKH OHYHO RI PDWHULDOLW\ LV DOZD\V VSHFLF WR
WKDWSURMHFW
KLJKUDLQIDOO
VWHHSWHUUDLQ
VHLVPLFLQVWDELOLW\
SRRUJHRWHFKQLFDOFRQGLWLRQV
SUR[LPLW\ WR LQWHUQDWLRQDO RU RWKHU ERXQGDULHV ZKHUH
UHJXODWRU\UHJLPHVFKDQJH
KLJKSRSXODWLRQGHQVLWLHV
YDOXDEOHDOWHUQDWLYHXVHVRIODQG
FXOWXUDOVHQVLWLYLWLHV
$V HQYLURQPHQWDO UHJXODWLRQV KDYH WLJKWHQHG DQG
FRPPXQLW\ H[SHFWDWLRQV RI WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ KDYH
EHFRPH JUHDWHU VWRUDJH RI ERWK WDLOLQJV DQG ZDVWH URFN
DUH LQFUHDVLQJO\ FRQVWUDLQLQJ WKH RSHUDWLRQ RI SRWHQWLDO RU
H[LVWLQJ PLQHV 7KHVH FRQVWUDLQWV ZLOO LPSDFW RQ FXWRII
JUDGHVWKURXJKWKHPRGLFDWLRQRIHLWKHUPLQLQJPHWKRGVRU
EHQHFLDWLRQPHWKRGVDVGHVFULEHGLQHDUOLHUVHFWLRQVRIWKLV
SDSHU$QH[DPSOHRIKRZVRPHRIWKHULVNIDFWRUVGLVFXVVHG
KHUHLPSDFWRQWDLOLQJVVWRUDJHLQ3DSXD1HZ*XLQHD31*
DQGE\H[WHQVLRQPXFKRIWKHHTXDWRULDOUHJLRQVRIWKHZRUOG
LVIRXQGLQWKHSDSHUE\0XUUD\7KRPVRQDQG/DQH
Benign waste
(YHQUHODWLYHO\LQHUWZDVWHFDQKDYHVLJQLFDQWHQYLURQPHQWDO
LPSDFWVLIQRWGHVLJQHGDQGPDQDJHGLQDQDSSURSULDWHZD\
7KHVL[SRLQWVDERYHDSSO\WRDOOFDWHJRULHVRIPDWHULDOWREH
SODFHGLQZDVWHGXPSVVWRFNSLOHVDQGWDLOLQJVGDPV
489
MINE CLOSURE
Benefits
6RFLRHFRQRPLF EHQHWV ZLOO UHVXOW LI WKH SRVWPLQLQJ
ODQG XVH PHHWV DQ RQJRLQJ FRPPXQLW\ DQG VRFLHWDO QHHG
6XFFHVVIXOPLQHFORVXUHPHDQVWKDWWKHFRPSDQ\KDVPHWDOO
WKHUHTXLUHPHQWVIRUWKLVSURFHVVWRRFFXUDQGWKHUHDUHIHZ
LI DQ\ SRVWFORVXUH OLDELOLWLHV UHTXLULQJ VLWH PDQDJHPHQW
)XUWKHU LI PDQDJHPHQW LV UHTXLUHG LW KDV EHHQ DGGUHVVHG
YLDVSHFLFFRQVXOWDWLRQSURFHVVHVIXQGLQJRUFRQWUDFWVZLWK
WKLUGSDUWLHVRULQVRPHLQVWDQFHVJRYHUQPHQWVPD\UHWDLQD
UHVLGXDOIXQGZLWKDSROLF\IRUPDQDJLQJUHVLGXDOULVNV
LVVDIHWRKXPDQVDQGRWKHUDQLPDOV
LVVWDEOH
LVQRQSROOXWLQJ
KDV VXVWDLQDEOH YHJHWDWLRQ DQG DVVRFLDWHG SRVWPLQLQJ
ODQGDQGZDWHUXVHV
KDVDQLGHQWLHGDQGDJUHHGRZQHUSRVWFORVXUH
490
7KH PLQH KDV EHHQ designed IRU FORVXUH 1RW VLPSO\ WKDW
UHKDELOLWDWLRQKDVEHHQIDFWRUHGLQWRWKHFRVWVIRUFORVXUHDW
WKHHQGRIWKHPLQHVOLIHEXWWKDWWKHSODQQLQJDQGGHVLJQ
RIHYHU\HOHPHQWRIWKHVLWHGLVWXUEDQFHLQIUDVWUXFWXUHDQG
ODQGIRUPVKDVFRQVLGHUHGWKHRSWLPDOGHVLJQIRUFORVXUH
IURPWKHEHJLQQLQJRIWKHUHVRXUFHGHYHORSPHQWSURFHVV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
Planning
6WDNHKROGHU DQG UHJXODWRU\ HQJDJHPHQW SURFHVVHV DUH
LQWHJUDOWRVXFFHVVIXOFORVXUHGHVLJQ$VPDQ\PLQHVGHYHORS
RYHU VHYHUDO JHQHUDWLRQV WKHVH HQJDJHPHQW SURFHVVHV PXVW
LQFRUSRUDWH HYROYLQJ FRPPXQLW\ H[SHFWDWLRQV 5HJXODWRU\
H[SHFWDWLRQV DUH D PLQLPXP VWDQGDUG DQG D VXEVHW RI
WKH VRFLDO OLFHQVH WR RSHUDWH /HJLVODWLRQ PD\ ODJ EHKLQG
FRPPXQLW\H[SHFWDWLRQVIRUFORVXUHVRFRPSDQLHVPXVWSODQ
GHOLEHUDWHO\WRIRFXVRQFORVXUHSODQQLQJWKURXJKRXWWKHOLIH
RIWKHSURMHFW
3ODQQLQJDQGGHVLJQDFWLYLWLHVVKRXOGLQFOXGH
Scope
$W\SLFDOSUHIHDVLELOLW\ZRUNSURJUDPZRXOGLQFOXGH
Process control
&RQVLGHU
DXGLWUHYLHZDQGVLJQRIIRQHDFKVWDJHRIFORVXUH
PRQLWRULQJ
$UHWKHUHOLNHO\WREHPDMRUGLIFXOWLHVLQREWDLQLQJDFFHVV
WRODQGIRUSRWHQWLDOPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQVDQGDOODVVRFLDWHG
LQIUDVWUXFWXUHVXFKDVPLOOLQJIDFLOLWLHVDQGZDVWHURFNDQG
WDLOLQJVGDPV",IVRGRFKDQJLQJFXWRIIJUDGHVPDUNHGO\
GHFUHDVH WKRVH GLIFXOWLHV E\ HLWKHU FKDQJLQJ PLQLQJ
DSSURDFKHVRUGHFUHDVLQJWKHIRRWSULQWRIWKHRSHUDWLRQ"
,VWKHPDWHULDOWREHPLQHGHOHYDWHGLQDFLGIRUPLQJVXOGH
PLQHUDOV",IVRDUHWKHUHPLWLJDWLYHRSWLRQVDYDLODEOHVXFK
DV WKH H[LVWHQFH RI VLJQLFDQW TXDQWLWLHV RI QHXWUDOLVLQJ
PDWHULDO RU OLNHO\ ZDWHU ERGLHV IRU VXEDTXHRXV WDLOLQJV
GLVSRVDOWRVXFFHVVIXOO\PDQDJHWKH$5'ULVNVDVVRFLDWHG
ZLWKPLQLQJWKHUHVRXUFH"
'RHV WKH JHRFKHPLVWU\ DQG PLQHUDORJ\ RI WKH UHVRXUFH
LQGLFDWH VLJQLFDQW TXDQWLWLHV RI HLWKHU SK\VLFDOO\
KD]DUGRXV PDWHULDOV HJ DVEHVWLIRUP PLQHUDOV RU
FKHPLFDOO\ KD]DUGRXV HOHPHQWV VXFK DV $V 3E &G RU
+J"$UHWKHVHHOHPHQWVKHWHURJHQHRXVO\GLVWULEXWHGDQG
LIVRKRZGRHVWKLVSRWHQWLDOO\PRGLI\WKHDPRXQWRIWKH
UHVRXUFHWKDWFRXOGUHDVRQDEO\EHFRQYHUWHGWRDUHVHUYH"
$WDKLJKOHYHODUHWKHUHJHRWHFKQLFDOJHRPRUSKRORJLFDO
VRFLHWDO RU ODQGWHQXUH FRQFHUQV WKDW FRQVWUDLQ ZDVWH
GLVSRVDO DSSURDFKHV DQG YROXPHV DQG LI VR VKRXOG WKLV
LPSDFWRQPLQLQJPHWKRGRORJ\RUVFDOHDQGKHQFHFXW
RIIJUDGH"
$UH WKHUH OLNHO\ WR EH XQXVXDO FKDOOHQJHV LQ FORVLQJ WKH
RSHUDWLRQDQGLWVZDVWHPDQDJHPHQWIDFLOLWLHV",IVRGRHV
WKLV LPSDFW RQ IHDVLEOH PLQLQJ EHQHFLDWLRQ DQG ZDVWH
PDQDJHPHQW SUDFWLFHV DQG KHQFH DFW DV D 0RGLI\LQJ
)DFWRULQGHWHUPLQLQJ5HVRXUFHWR5HVHUYHFRQYHUVLRQV
CONCLUSIONS
$OOPLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJRSHUDWLRQVZLOOKDYHDVLJQLFDQW
HQYLURQPHQWDOLPSDFWWKDWPXVWEHWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQWDVSDUW
RI WKH 5HVRXUFHWR5HVHUYH FRQYHUVLRQ SURFHVV 8QGHU WKH
-25& &RGH WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH
FRQYHUVLRQRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHWR2UH5HVHUYHLVUHTXLUHGWR
FRQVLGHUWKHPLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJGHYHORSPHQWRSWLRQVDV
ZHOODV0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVLQFOXGLQJHQYLURQPHQWDOIDFWRUV
3DUWLFXODUO\ LQ JUHHQHOGV VLWHV RQO\ SUHOLPLQDU\
LQIRUPDWLRQ UHJDUGLQJ SURFHVVLQJ RSWLRQV ODQG DFFHVV RU
WDLOLQJV FKHPLVWU\ PD\ EH DYDLODEOH DW WKH 3UH)HDVLELOLW\
VWDJHKRZHYHUDVKRUWOLVWRIWKHSUHIHUUHGPLQLQJPHWKRGV
DQGSURFHVVLQJRSWLRQVZLOOKDYHEHHQHYDOXDWHG7KHUHIRUH
GHSHQGHQWRQVLWHFRQGLWLRQVDQGWKHRSWLRQVVHOHFWHGYDU\LQJ
GHJUHHVRIHQYLURQPHQWDOLQYHVWLJDWLRQDQGPRGHOOLQJZLOOEH
UHTXLUHGWRUXQLQSDUDOOHOZLWKWKHRWKHUVWXGLHV
(DUO\LGHQWLFDWLRQRIWKHOLNHO\NH\HQYLURQPHQWDOLPSDFWV
DQG FORVXUH UHTXLUHPHQWV LV LPSRUWDQW VR WKDW DSSURSULDWH
LQYHVWLJDWLRQVFDQEHLQLWLDWHGLQDWLPHO\IDVKLRQ8OWLPDWHO\
WKLV ZLOO VDYH WLPH DQG PRQH\ LQ WKH HYDOXDWLRQ RI 2UH
5HVHUYHV
REFERENCES
(JJHUW50LQLQJVXVWDLQDELOLW\DQGVXVWDLQDEOHGHYHORSPHQW
Mineral Economics FKDSWHU VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
*ODLVWHU % - DQG 0XGG * 0 7KH HQYLURQPHQWDO FRVW RI
SODWLQXP3*0 PLQLQJ DQG VXVWDLQDELOLW\ Minerals Engineering
*UDQW&'6WDWHDQGWUDQVLWLRQVXFFHVVLRQDOPRGHOIRUEDX[LWH
PLQLQJUHKDELOLWDWLRQLQWKH-DUUDK)RUHVWRI:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLD
Restoration Ecology
,QWHUQDWLRQDO &RXQFLO RQ 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOV ,&00
6XVWDLQDEOH GHYHORSPHQW IUDPHZRUN SULQFLSOHV >RQOLQH@
$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZZZLFPPFRPRXUZRUNVXVWDLQDEOH
GHYHORSPHQWIUDPHZRUNSULQFLSOHV! >$FFHVVHG -XQH
@
,QWHUQDWLRQDO&RXQFLORQ0LQLQJDQG0HWDOV,&003ODQQLQJ
IRU LQWHJUDWHG PLQH FORVXUH >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWS
ZZZLFPPFRPSXEOLFDWLRQV!>$FFHVVHG-XQH@
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
491
0XUUD\ / 7KRPVRQ 0 DQG /DQH 0 2EVWDFOHV WR RQODQG
PLQHWDLOLQJVGLVSRVDOLQ3DSXD1HZ*XLQHD>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOH
IURP KWWSZZZLQIRPLQHFRPOLEUDU\SXEOLFDWLRQVGRFV
PXUUD\SGI!>$FFHVVHG-XQH@
1HYDGD 6WDQGDUGL]HG 8QLW &RVW 3URMHFW 68&3 1HYDGD
6WDQGDUGL]HG 5HFODPDWLRQ &RVW (VWLPDWRU >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH
IURPKWWSZZZQYERQGRUJ!>$FFHVVHG-XQH@
,KOH&)0RQWVHUUDW6DQG7DPEXUULQR$$FRVWSHUVSHFWLYH
IRU ORQJ GLVWDQFH RUH SLSHOLQHV DQG HQHUJ\ XWLOLVDWLRQ 3DUW ,,
HIIHFWRILQSXWSDUDPHWHUYDULDELOLW\Int J Min Proc
492
HOME
Community Consultation
The Ok Tedi Experience
M Werror1
ABSTRACT
7KH 2N 7HGL PLQH LV ORFDWHG LQ WKH UHPRWH :HVWHUQ 3URYLQFH RI 3DSXD 1HZ *XLQHD 31* LQ WKH XSSHU FDWFKPHQW RI WKH
2N7HGL)O\5LYHUV\VWHP7KHPLQHKDVEHFRPHWKHVLQJOHELJJHVWFRQWULEXWRUWRWKHHFRQRP\RI31*IRUDQXPEHURI\HDUV
VLQFHLWVGLVFRYHU\LQ7KHPLQHLVDOVRUHQRZQHGIRUWKHHQYLURQPHQWDOLPSDFWVRQWKHULYHULQHV\VWHPGXHWRWKHGLUHFW
GLVSRVDORIZDVWHURFNDQGWDLOLQJVLQWRWKHULYHU7KHULYHULQHLPSDFWVKDYHDIIHFWHGRYHUSHRSOHZKROLYHRURZQODQG
DORQJWKH2N7HGLDQG)O\5LYHUV
,Q%+3%LOOLWRQ/WGLQIRUPHGWKH*RYHUQPHQWRI3DSXD1HZ*XLQHD*R31*RILWVLQWHQWLRQWRFORVHWKHPLQHIROORZLQJ
WKH RXWFRPH RI DQ LQGHSHQGHQW VWXG\ E\ WKH :RUOG %DQN UHFRPPHQGLQJ LWV FORVXUH 7KH *R31* SUHIHUUHG WKDW WKH PLQH
FRQWLQXHRSHUDWLQJVRLQDPDMRUFRPPXQLW\FRQVXOWDWLRQSURJUDPFRPPHQFHGVHHNLQJWKHFRPPXQLWLHVFRQVHQWIRUWKH
PLQHWRRSHUDWHXQWLO
2N 7HGL 0LQLQJ /LPLWHGV 270/ VRFLDO OLFHQFH WR RSHUDWH HQFRPSDVVHV YLOODJHV IURP QLQH UHJLRQV DIIHFWHG E\ WKH
RSHUDWLRQVRIWKHPLQHZKRJDYHWKHLUFRQVHQWLQDQGIRUWKHPLQHWRFRQWLQXH7KHODWHVWFRQVXOWDWLRQVFXOPLQDWHG
LQWKHFRQVHQWDOORZLQJWKHPLQHOLIHWREHH[WHQGHGIRUDQRWKHU\HDUVIURPWR
,QRUGHUWRVHFXUHFRQVHQW270/*R31*DQGWKHVWDNHKROGHUVKDYHXQGHUWDNHQH[WHQVLYHFRPPXQLW\FRQVXOWDWLRQVWKDW
LQYROYHGVHYHUDOVHULHVRIPHHWLQJVDWWKUHHOHYHOV
GHOHJDWHVPHHWLQJVWKDWFRPSULVHGDKLJKOHYHOIRUXPZKHUHFRPPRQLVVXHVIURPDFURVVWKHQLQHUHJLRQVZHUHGLVFXVVHG
UHJLRQDOPHHWLQJVZKHUHVHOHFWHGUHSUHVHQWDWLYHVIURPDOOYLOODJHVPHWZLWKWKHVWDNHKROGHUVWRGLVFXVVWKHGHWDLOVRIWKH
PLQHOLIHH[WHQVLRQQHJRWLDWHEHQHWSDFNDJHVDQGSURYLGHGWKHLUFRQVHQW
YLOODJHPHHWLQJVWRGLVVHPLQDWHLQIRUPDWLRQWRWKHFRPPXQLWLHVDQGJDUQHUIHHGEDFN
$OOPHHWLQJVZHUHIDFLOLWDWHGE\H[WHUQDOFRRUGLQDWRUVDQGFRQGXFWHGDFFRUGLQJWRDJUHHGJXLGLQJSULQFLSOHV
7KLVSDSHUGHVFULEHVWKHNH\SRLQWVIURPWKHFRPPXQLW\FRQVXOWDWLRQVFRQGXFWHGVLQFHDQGWKHSURFHVVDQGRXWFRPHV
RIWKHPRVWUHFHQWFRQVXOWDWLRQVLQDQG7KHODWWHUZHUHLQVWLJDWHGLQUHVSRQVHWRWKHGHOLQHDWLRQRIDGGLWLRQDO2UH
5HVHUYHV LQ DQG FXOPLQDWHG LQ WKH DJUHHPHQW RI WKH FRPPXQLWLHV DQG VLJQLQJ RI WKH FRPPXQLW\ PLQH FRQWLQXDWLRQ
DJUHHPHQW&0&$H[WHQVLRQV
1. General Manager Government and External Relations, Ok Tedi Mining Limited, PO Box 1, Tabubil, Western Province, Papua New Guinea. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
2N 7HGL 0LQLQJ /LPLWHGV 270/ VRFLDO OLFHQFH WR RSHUDWH
HQFRPSDVVHV WKH PLQHDVVRFLDWHG FRPPXQLWLHV IURP QLQH
UHJLRQVDIIHFWHGE\WKHRSHUDWLRQVRIWKHPLQHZKRJDYHWKHLU
FRQVHQW LQ DQG IRU LW WR FRQWLQXH RSHUDWLQJ
7KH ODWHVW FRQVXOWDWLRQV FXOPLQDWLQJ LQ WKH FRQVHQW
DOORZHG WKH PLQH OLIH WR EH H[WHQGHG IRU DQRWKHU \HDUV
IURPWREDVHGRQDGGLWLRQDO2UH5HVHUYHV
7KH FRPPXQLW\ FRQVXOWDWLRQ SURFHVV WR VHFXUH WKH
FRPPXQLWLHVFRQVHQWLVH[WHQVLYHDQGFDQWDNHEHWZHHQWZR
WRIRXU\HDUVWRFRPSOHWHVLQFHLWLQYROYHVDVHULHVRIPHHWLQJV
EHWZHHQ 270/ DQG VWDNHKROGHUV LQFOXGLQJ WKH HOHFWHG
FRPPXQLW\OHDGHUVDQGYLVLWVWRDOOYLOODJHVIRUIDFHWR
IDFHGLVFXVVLRQVWRLQIRUPWKHSHRSOHDQGREWDLQIHHGEDFN
7RHQVXUHWKDWWKHFRQVXOWDWLRQSURFHVVLVHIIHFWLYHDVHWRI
JXLGLQJSULQFLSOHVSROLFLHVDQGSURFHGXUHVZHUHGHYHORSHG
DQG IROORZHG GXULQJ WKH PDMRU FRQVXOWDWLRQV FRQGXFWHG LQ
DQG
7KLV SDSHU GHVFULEHV WKH SUHYLRXV KLVWRU\ RI FRPPXQLW\
FRQVXOWDWLRQVFRQGXFWHGVLQFHDVZHOODVWKHPRVWUHFHQW
FRQVXOWDWLRQLQ7KHVHZHUHLQVWLJDWHGLQUHVSRQVH
WR WKH GHOLQHDWLRQ RI DGGLWLRQDO 2UH 5HVHUYHV GLVFRYHUHG LQ
LWFXOPLQDWHGLQWKHDJUHHPHQWRIWKHFRPPXQLWLHVDQG
VLJQLQJRIWKH&0&$H[WHQVLRQDJUHHPHQWV
BACKGROUND
7KH2N7HGLPLQHLVORFDWHGLQWKHUHPRWH:HVWHUQ3URYLQFH
RI3DSXD1HZ*XLQHD31*DQGRQO\ NPIURPWKH31*
,QGRQHVLDQERUGHU7KHPLQHZDVUVWGLVFRYHUHGLQDQG
\HDUVRQKDVEHFRPHWKHVLQJOHELJJHVWFRQWULEXWRUWRWKH
HFRQRP\RI31*IRUDQXPEHURI\HDUV
7KH PLQH LV UHQRZQHG IRU WKH HQYLURQPHQWDO LPSDFWV RQ
WKHULYHULQHV\VWHPGXHWRWKHGLUHFWGLVSRVDORIZDVWHURFN
DQG WDLOLQJV LQWR WKH ULYHU VLQFH DIWHU WKH IDLOXUH RI WKH
UVW VWDJH RI WKH 2N 0D WDLOLQJV GDP 7KH ULYHULQH LPSDFWV
KDYHDIIHFWHGRYHU SHRSOHZKROLYHRURZQODQGDORQJ
WKH 2N 7HGL DQG )O\ 5LYHUV DQG LQ WKH ODQGRZQHUV RI
WKH /RZHU 2N 7HGL UHJLRQ WRRN %+3 %LOOLWRQ /WG WR FRXUW
LQ $XVWUDOLD VHHNLQJ FRPSHQVDWLRQ IRU GDPDJHV WR WKH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
493
7KH &0&$V KDYH EHHQ JLYHQ WKH IRUFH RI ODZ WKURXJK
the Mining (Ok Tedi Mine Continuation (Ninth Supplemental
$JUHHPHQW$FW
,Q%+3%LOOLWRQ/WGLQIRUPHGWKH*RYHUQPHQWRI3DSXD
1HZ *XLQHD *R31* RI LWV LQWHQWLRQ WR FORVH WKH PLQH
IROORZLQJWKHRXWFRPHRIDQLQGHSHQGHQWVWXG\E\WKH:RUOG
%DQNUHFRPPHQGLQJLWVFORVXUH7KH*R31*SUHIHUUHGWKDW
WKHPLQHFRQWLQXHRSHUDWLQJDQGLQDPDMRUFRPPXQLW\
FRQVXOWDWLRQ SURJUDP FRPPHQFHG LQYROYLQJ WKH 6WDWH RI
31*DQGFRPSDQ\RIFHUVWRVHHNWKHFRPPXQLWLHVFRQVHQW
WRDOORZWKHPLQHWRFRQWLQXHXQWLO
'XULQJ WKH FRQVXOWDWLRQ SURFHVV WKH FRPPXQLW\ OHDGHUV
ZHUH SURYLGHG ZLWK LQIRUPDWLRQ RQ WKH SUHGLFWHG IXWXUH
HQYLURQPHQWDO LPSDFWV DQG WKH EHQHWV WKDW FRQWLQXHG
PLQLQJZRXOGSURYLGHWRWKHPLQHDVVRFLDWHGFRPPXQLWLHV
WKH :HVWHUQ 3URYLQFH DQG WKH QDWLRQ 7KH FRQVXOWDWLRQV
ZHUH FKDOOHQJLQJ VLQFH VRPH YLOODJHV FRQWLQXHG WR VXSSRUW
WKHODZVXLWDJDLQVW%+3/WGDQGGLGQRWZDQWWRVLJQWKHLU
UHVSHFWLYH FRPPXQLW\ PLQH FRQWLQXDWLRQ DJUHHPHQWV
&0&$
7KH PLQH FRPPXQLWLHV DUH JURXSHG LQWR QLQH &0&$
WUXVW UHJLRQV VHH )LJXUH 7KH FRPPXQLW\ OHDGHUV IURP
WKH&0&$ WUXVW UHJLRQV ZKR WRRN SDUW LQ WKH FRQVXOWDWLRQV
UHDFKHG DJUHHPHQW ZLWK 270/ DQG VLJQHG WKHLU UHVSHFWLYH
&0&$V &XUUHQWO\ WKHUH LV RQO\ RQH YLOODJH LQ WKH 6RXWK
)O\ UHJLRQ WKDW KDV \HW WR VLJQ WKH &0&$ DQG 270/ LV
FRQWLQXLQJ GLVFXVVLRQV ZLWK WKH OHDGHUV IURP WKLV YLOODJH
HQFRXUDJLQJWKHPWRMRLQWKH&0&$VRWKDWWKH\FDQVWDUWWR
UHFHLYHEHQHWVOLNHRWKHUYLOODJHV
:LWKLQWKHQLQH&0&$WUXVWUHJLRQVWKHUHDUH&0&$V
DOWRJHWKHU6L[UHODWHWRPLQHDUHDYLOODJHVFRQVLGHUHGDVRQH
&0&$ UHJLRQ DQG HLJKW WR UHJLRQDO JURXSLQJV RI YLOODJHV
IURPWKH FRPPXQLWLHV GRZQVWUHDP RI WKH PLQLQJ DUHD 7KH
&0&$VDUHOLVWHGEHORZ
0LQHDUHDFRPPXQLWLHVVL[
)LQDOELQFRPPXQLW\&0&$
%XOWHPFRPPXQLW\&0&$
.DYRUDELSFRPPXQLW\&0&$
$WHPNLWFRPPXQLW\&0&$
0LJDOVLPELSFRPPXQLW\&0&$
:DQJELQFRPPXQLW\&0&$
'RZQULYHUFRPPXQLWLHVHLJKW
1RUWK2N7HGL&0&$
+LJKZD\FRPPXQLWLHV&0&$
/RZHU2N7HGL&0&$
0LGGOH)O\&0&$
6RXWK)O\&0&$V
6XNL)O\*RJR&0&$
0DQDZHWH&0&$
'XGL&0&$
.LZDED&0&$
7KH &0&$V FRPPLW 270/ WR PDNLQJ SD\PHQWV WR
FRPPXQLWLHV WKURXJK WKH GHYHORSPHQW WUXVWV VHW XS
VSHFLFDOO\WRUHFHLYHWKHVHSD\PHQWVDQGGLVWULEXWHWKHPRQ
EHKDOI RI FRPPXQLWLHV IRU UHJLRQDO DQG YLOODJH SURMHFWV DQG
LQYHVWPHQWV,QUHWXUQWKHFRPPXQLWLHVDJUHHWRVXSSRUWWKH
FRQWLQXLQJRSHUDWLRQRIWKHPLQHDQGQRWPDNHIXUWKHUFODLPV
DJDLQVW270/
494
H[WHUQDOIDFLOLWDWRUVIURP31*DQGWKH8QLWHG6WDWHV86
H[WHUQDOREVHUYHUVFRPSULVLQJUHQRZQHG31*QDWLRQDOV
DQH[WHUQDOVFLHQWLVW
DOHJDORIFHU
QRQJRYHUQPHQWRUJDQLVDWLRQ1*2UHSUHVHQWDWLYHV
7KHPDMRURXWFRPHVRIWKHUHYLHZZHUH
0LQH OLIH WR H[WHQG IURP WR PLG ZKLFK KDV
VXEVHTXHQWO\EHHQH[WHQGHGWRWKHHQGRI
7KH UHYLVHG FRPSHQVDWLRQ SDFNDJH IRU WKH SHULRG
WR PLG ZDV LQFUHDVHG IURP WKH 3*. PLOOLRQ
QHJRWLDWHG LQ WR 3*. ELOOLRQ 7KLV LQFOXGHG D
VLJQLFDQW LQFUHDVH LQ FRPSHQVDWLRQ WR UHDFK D EDODQFH
EHWZHHQWKHHQYLURQPHQWDOLPSDFWVDQGEHQHWV
$SDUWIURP270/LWVWZRVKDUHKROGHUVWKH*R31*DQG
31*6'3SURYLGHGDGGLWLRQDODQGVHSDUDWHFRPSHQVDWLRQ
7KXV WKH WRWDO FRPSHQVDWLRQ SDFNDJH RI 3*. ELOOLRQ
DZDUGHG WR WKH &0&$ FRPPXQLWLHV FRPSULVHG WKH
IROORZLQJ
270/FRPPLWWHG3*. PLOOLRQWRFRPSHQVDWHWKH
HLJKWGRZQULYHUFRPPXQLWLHVIRUWKHLPSDFWRI$5'
2IWKLV SHUFHQWLVSDLGGLUHFWO\LQWR IDPLO\
EDQN DFFRXQWV WR HQVXUH WKH IDPLOLHV EHQHW GLUHFWO\
2. The ARD issue also led to the implementation of the Mine Waste Tailings Project in 2008,
which comprises a flotation plant for removing 80 per cent of the pyrite from the tailings.
This has mitigated the risk of significant ARD developing in the river system and at Bige
in the Lower Ok Tedi Region.
FIG 1 - Map of community mine continuation agreements trust regions in Western Province.
495
TABLE 1
Chronology of events.
Date
Activity
Purpose
June/July 2009
Village meeting 1
Inform CMCA communities that mine is scheduled to close in 2013 as per current mine plan but there is an
opportunity to extend the mine life for another seven years
August/September 2009
To collect all MLE village representative nomination forms from all the villages under the CMCA
September 2009
To brief government and other stakeholders about the possibility of extending the mine life
October 2009
Regional meeting
January 2010
February 2010
Delegates meeting 1
First meeting/introduction and presentations of MF studies, ER, PNGSDP and OTFRDP presentations
May 2010
Village meeting 2
July 2010
Delegates meeting 2
August/September 2010
Village meeting 3
October 2010
Stakeholders meeting
October/November 2010
Regional meeting 2
March/April 2011
Delegates meeting 3
June 2011
Stakeholders meeting
June 2011
Delegates meeting 4
May 2012
Regional meeting 3
April 2013
Village meeting 4
CMCA: community mine continuation agreements; MLE: mine life extension; MF: mine feasibility; ER: environment report; PNGSDP: PNG Sustainable Development Program Company Ltd; OTFRDP: Ok Tedi
Fly River Development Program; DM: delegates meeting; OTML: Ok Tedi Mining Limited; GoPNG: Government of Papua New Guinea.
496
Underpinning principles
The OTMLs charter was used to guide the MLE consultation
process, shown below.
We value:
integrity
open and transparent communications
participation and involvement
win-win relationships
operating excellence with continuous improvement.
We are successful when:
integrity
transparency
equity
fairness
participation
respect
responsiveness
adequacy of information
timeliness.
And to reinforce OTMLs commitment to the process,
all OTML ofcers involved also signed a statement of
commitment.
497
External facilitator
The MLE community engagement process began in mid2009 with a series of community consultation meetings that
involved four delegates meetings, four rounds of regional
meetings and four rounds of village meetings (see Table 1).
Tanorama Ltd, a PNG-based consultancy company who cofacilitated the 2006/2007 CMCA Review, was re-engaged to
facilitate the MLE consultation process.
External observers
The role of the external observers is to observe and report
on the conduct of the meetings and the overall consultation
process to ensure it is conducted in accordance with the
principles and agreed practice. Two prominent Papua New
Guineans, Dr Beno Boeha and Sir Paul Songo, were engaged
to be observers in all the delegates, regional and village
meetings.
Delegates meeting
Regional meeting
7KH UHJLRQDO PHHWLQJ LV WKH PDLQ IRUXP ZKHUH WKH DFWXDO
FRQVXOWDWLRQ DQG DJUHHPHQWV WRRN SODFH ZLWK HDFK UHJLRQ
VHSDUDWHO\FXOPLQDWLQJLQWKHVLJQLQJRIWKH&0&$V7KH
UHJLRQDO UHSUHVHQWDWLYHV ZHUH VHOHFWHG IURP WKH YLOODJH
UHSUHVHQWDWLYHVWRPHHWZLWKWKHVWDNHKROGHUVWRGLVFXVV0/(
QHJRWLDWHDEHQHWVSDFNDJHDQGSURYLGHWKHLUFRQVHQW7KUHH
IHPDOHUHSUHVHQWDWLYHVIURPHDFKUHJLRQDOVRWRRNSDUWLQWKH
UHJLRQDOPHHWLQJV
Village meeting
7KH YLOODJH PHHWLQJ LV DQ LPSRUWDQW SDUW RI WKH SURFHVV
ZKHUH270/31*6'3*R31*UHSUHVHQWDWLYHVIDFLOLWDWRUV
REVHUYHUV DQG UHVSHFWLYH GHOHJDWHV DQG UHJLRQDO OHDGHUV JR
WR DOO YLOODJHV DQG GLVVHPLQDWH LQIRUPDWLRQ IURP WKH
GHOHJDWHV DQG UHJLRQDO PHHWLQJV DV ZHOO DV JHW YLHZV DQG
DQVZHUTXHVWLRQVIURPWKHFRPPXQLW\PHPEHUV
&RPPRQ LVVXHV ZHUH FRQYH\HG IURP WKH YLOODJH WR WKH
GHOHJDWHV PHHWLQJ DQG UHJLRQDO PHHWLQJV WR GLVFXVV DQG
UHVROYH 7KH UHODWLRQVKLS EHWZHHQ YLOODJH UHJLRQDO DQG
GHOHJDWHVPHHWLQJVLVVKRZQLQ)LJXUH
270/FRPSHQVDWLRQRI3*. PLOOLRQ)RUWKHHLJKW
GRZQULYHU FRPPXQLWLHV WKH SDFNDJH LV VSOLW EHWZHHQ
FDVK FRPSHQVDWLRQ ZKLFK LV SDLG DQQXDOO\ WR WKH
15 IDPLO\DFFRXQWVZLWKXSWR SHUFHQWDOORFDWHG
VSHFLFDOO\ IRU ZRPHQ DQG FKLOGUHQ DQG WKH EDODQFH
DOORFDWHGWRYLOODJHSURMHFWVDQGLQYHVWPHQWV7KHVL[PLQH
DUHDYLOODJHVDJUHHGWRDOORFDWH SHUFHQWIRUZRPHQDQG
FKLOGUHQ ZLWK WKH EDODQFH DOORFDWHG WR YLOODJH SURMHFWV
499
7KHJHQGHUFXOWXUDOEDUULHULVQRORQJHUDQH[FXVHIRUZRPHQ
QRWWRSDUWLFLSDWH:RPHQPDNHPHDQLQJIXOFRQWULEXWLRQVWR
WKHGLVFXVVLRQVDQGFDQPDNHRUEUHDNWKHQDORXWFRPH
$OO WKHVH SRLQWV SDYHG WKH ZD\ IRU WKH VXFFHVV RI WKH
FRQVXOWDWLRQSURFHVV
CONCLUSION
7KHFRPPXQLW\FRQVXOWDWLRQSURFHVVXVHGE\270/WRVHHN
FRQVHQWIURPWKHPLQHDVVRFLDWHGRU&0&$FRPPXQLWLHVRQ
WKHIXWXUHRSHUDWLRQVRIWKHPLQHLVDZRUOGFODVVPRGHOWKDW
LVXQLTXHLQWKHUHVRXUFHVHFWRU7KHVXFFHVVRIWKHPRGHOFDQ
EH DWWULEXWHG WR WKH DJUHHG SULQFLSOHV DQG WKH HQJDJHPHQW
500
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUDFNQRZOHGJHVWKHDVVLVWDQFHRI'U0LFKDHO5LGG
270/ ([HFXWLYH 0DQDJHU (QYLURQPHQW (VWHOOD &KHXQJ
270/ 0DQDJHU 0HGLD DQG 3XEOLF 5HODWLRQV $QL 7RSXUXD
270/ 0LQH &ORVXUH &RRUGLQDWRU <DUX 3RKHL 270/
0DQDJHU&RPPXQLW\5HODWLRQVDVZHOODV0DUWLQ:KLWKDP
LQUHYLHZLQJWKLVSDSHUDQG2N7HGL0LQLQJ/LPLWHGIRUWKH
DSSURYDOWRSXEOLVK
REFERENCES
1LFKRODV 0 DQG +DUOH\ * :H ZDQW ZKDW WKH 2N 7HGL
:RPHQ+DYH*XLGDQFHIURP3DSXD1HZ*XLQHDRQZRPHQV
HQJDJHPHQW LQ PLQLQJ GHDOV 7KH :RUOG %DQN EULHQJ QRWH
YROXPHLVVXH
Geological
Interpretation
and Modelling
Statistical Analysis,
Mineral Resource
Estimation,
Classification and
Reporting
Modifying Factors
(Mining, Metallurgical,
Economic, Marketing,
Legal, Environmental,
Social and Government)
Ore Reserve
Estimation,
Classification and
Reporting
Risk and Sensitivity
Assessments
Monitoring the
Resources and
Reserves
Grade Control,
Production and
Reconciliation
G Dunstan
503
507
J H Shillabeer
519
Whittle Optimisation The Money Mining Methodology and Its Impact on Ore Reserves
G Whittle
525
Maximising the Value of Open Pit Gold Reserves Where Are We Getting It Right?
529
J-A Dudley
535
T Diering
547
Geotechnical Modifying Factors to Be Considered When Determining the Status of Longwall Reserves
R W Seedsman
557
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Head of Mining, Newcrest Mining Limited, Cadia Road, Orange NSW 2800. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KH2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQSURFHVVUHTXLUHVWKHQRPLQDWHG
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ WR UHYLHZ WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH DQG
DSSO\ WKH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV RXWOLQHG LQ 7DEOH RI WKH
-25& &RGH -25& ZKLFK DUH DOVR GLVFXVVHG LQ
&KDSWHUWRGHWHUPLQHZKDWSDUWRIWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHLV
HFRQRPLFDOO\IHDVLEOHWRH[WUDFW7KLVFKDSWHUGHVFULEHVVRPH
RIWKHWHFKQLTXHVXVHGIRU2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQLQGLIIHUHQW
PLQLQJ PHWKRGV DQG WKH DFFXUDF\ OHYHOV RI WKH )HDVLELOLW\
6WXGLHVWKDWEXLOGRQWKHPWRGHOLYHUDQ2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWH
UDWKHU WKDQ SURYLGH D VWHSE\VWHS JXLGH WR GHYHORSLQJ DQ
2UH5HVHUYH
7KHSDSHUVVHOHFWHGWRPDNHXSWKLVFKDSWHUGLVFXVV
FKDQJHVLQWHFKQLTXHVIRUGHQLQJ2UH5HVHUYHVZLWKWKH
DGYDQFHV LQ FRPSXWHU WHFKQRORJ\ RYHU WKH SDVW GHFDGH
IRUERWKRSHQSLWDQGXQGHUJURXQGPLQHV
FRPSXWHU VLPXODWLRQ RI PDWHULDO RZ LQ ODUJH
XQGHUJURXQG FDYLQJ PLQHV DQG WKH UXOHV RI WKXPE WKDW
FDQEHXVHGWRSURYLGHFRQWH[WWRWKHHVWLPDWLRQ
JHQHUDOGHQLWLRQVDQGH[SHFWDWLRQVIRUWKHYDULRXVOHYHOV
RI)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHVLQFOXGLQJWKHDSSOLFDWLRQVRIIURQW
HQGORDGLQJWRLPSURYHLQYHVWRUFRQGHQFH
JHRWHFKQLFDOFRQGLWLRQVWRFRQVLGHUZKHQGHYHORSLQJDQ
2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHIRUDORQJZDOOFRDOPLQH
BEST PRACTICE
$Q 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWH LV WKH FXOPLQDWLRQ RI D QXPEHU
RI GLVFLSOLQHV VR WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ SURGXFLQJ WKH
2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWH PXVW EH DZDUH RI WKH ZRUN LQ HDFK
GLVFLSOLQH WR DVVHVV WKH HFRQRPLF YLDELOLW\ %HVW SUDFWLFH E\
WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQLQFOXGHVXVLQJGRFXPHQWDWLRQDVWKH
WLPH OLQH RI D PLQH IURP GLVFRYHU\ WKURXJK RSHUDWLRQ DQG
XOWLPDWHO\ FORVXUH LV RIWHQ PHDVXUHG LQ \HDUV RFFDVLRQDOO\
GHFDGHV (FRQRPLF YLDELOLW\ LQYROYHV GHWHUPLQLQJ DQQXDO
FDVKRZVDQGWKHSDUDPHWHUVWKDWKDYHDQHFRQRPLFLPSDFW
LHVLWHDQGFRUSRUDWHFRVWVPHWDOSULFHVDQGH[FKDQJHUDWHV
503
FEASIBILITY STUDIES
:KLWHDQG+DUULQJWRQWKLVYROXPHH[SODLQWKDWWKHUH
DUHWKUHHSKDVHVRI)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
&RQFHSWXDO6FRSLQJ
3UHOLPLQDU\
'HQLWLYH%DQNDEOH
7KHUHDUHYDU\LQJOHYHOVRIDFFXUDF\DWHDFKSKDVHRIVWXG\
$V HDFK SKDVH LV D VWHS WRZDUGV FRQVWUXFWLRQ WKHUH LV DQ
H[SHFWDWLRQ IRU WKH OHYHO RI NQRZOHGJH WR LQFUHDVH DQG WKH
OHYHORIULVNRUXQFHUWDLQW\WRGHFUHDVHDVDSURMHFWSURJUHVVHV
:KHQWKHUVW2UH5HVHUYHVDUHHVWLPDWHGIRUDQRUHERG\LW
LVZLWKWKHOHDVWDPRXQWRILQIRUPDWLRQDWKDQG7KH0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHKDVEHHQEXLOWRQUVWGULOOLQJUHVXOWVDQGWKHUHLV
YHU\OLPLWHGJHRWHFKQLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQIRUWKHPLQHSODQQHUWR
XVH,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRFKRRVHWKHLQSXWSDUDPHWHUVFDUHIXOO\WR
SURYLGHWKHPRVWUHDOLVWLFYDOXHRIWKHRUHERG\DWWKLVWLPHDV
WKHEDVLVIRUIXUWKHULQYHVWPHQW7KHFRQYHUVLRQRID0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHWRDQ2UH5HVHUYHFDQEHDQLWHUDWLYHSURFHVVDQG
ZKLOVWDIRUZDUGSDWKWKURXJKWKHSKDVHVLVRIWHQSODQQHGLW
PD\QRWHYHQWXDWHIRUDUDQJHRIUHDVRQV$SURMHFWPD\QHHG
WRORRSZLWKLQDVHOHFWHGVWDJHRUVWDJHVXQWLOWKHFRQGLWLRQV
DUHDSSURSULDWHWRIXOO\SURJUHVVWRWKHGHYHORSPHQWVWDJH
2QH SUREOHP LQ PDMRU UPV LV WKDW PDQ\ RI WKH SHRSOH
DUH FRQVWUXFWLRQ RULHQWDWHG DQG KDYH GLIFXOW\ ZLWK D
conceptual project. 7KRPSVRQ
)RU&RQFHSWXDODQG3UHOLPLQDU\)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHV
it is imperative that the study be conducted by a person
with an understanding of and experience in the mineral
industry (and desirably that sector of the industry). In
addition and perhaps the most important requirement is
that the person have imagination. They have to be able to
visualize what the project would be like. Engineers from
design disciplines and professional estimators often lack
the (experiential background to generate the) imagination
UHTXLUHG >IRU &RQFHSWXDO DQG 3UHOLPLQDU\ )HDVLELOLW\
6WXGLHV@7KRPSVRQ
$V VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH :KLWH DQG +DUULQJWRQ WKLV
YROXPH DQG :KLWH VWDWH WKDW WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ WR
LQXHQFH WKH SURMHFWV YDOXH LV JUHDWHU LQ WKH HDUOLHU SKDVHV
ZKHQ D ODUJHU QXPEHU RI FRQFHSWV DUH VWLOO EHLQJ GHEDWHG
DQG DVVHVVHG WKDQ ODWHU LQ WKH SURMHFW OLIH F\FOH ZKHQ WKH
SUHIHUUHG RSWLRQ LV EHLQJ FRQVWUXFWHG $ EDODQFH LV QHHGHG
KHUHWKRXJK7KHVWXG\WHDPFDQQRWEHWRRDJJUHVVLYHZLWK
DVVXPSWLRQVHDUO\LQDSURMHFWVOLIHRWKHUZLVHWKHRXWFRPHV
PD\ EH XQUHDOLVWLF DQG QHHG WR EH ZRXQG EDFN ODWHU LQ WKH
SURMHFW F\FOH HYHQ DIWHU VLJQLFDQW IXQGV KDYH EHHQ VXQN
LQWRLWE\WKHPLQLQJFRPSDQ\RULQYHVWRUV
$OLJQPHQW LV FUXFLDO ZKHQ VWXGLHV WUDQVLWLRQ IURP
SUHGHYHORSPHQW WR GHYHORSPHQW DV LW FDQ KDYH VLJQLFDQW
LPSDFW RQ WKH DFFXUDF\ OHYHO RI WKH HVWLPDWH 7R DYRLG WKLV
VHQLRUGHYHORSPHQWSHUVRQQHOVKRXOGEHEURXJKWLQDVSDUW
RIWKHVWXG\SKDVHWRHQVXUHWKDWWKHWUDQVLWLRQLVVPRRWKDQG
WKHJRDOVRIWKHSURMHFWDUHXQGHUVWRRG
FIG 1 - Potential influences of Feasibility Studies as a value improvement process (White, 2001).
504
WLJKWO\GHQLQJWKH6FRSH
HOLPLQDWLQJZKHUHYHUSRVVLEOHWKHQHHGIRUIXWXUHFKDQJHV
HPSOR\LQJUHDOLVWLFVFKHGXOLQJDVVXPSWLRQV
LGHQWLI\LQJWKHULVNVDQGLPSOHPHQWLQJSODQVWRPDQDJH
WKHP
6HHGVPDQ WKLV YROXPH DOVR DGGV WR WKLV E\ VWDWLQJ
WKDW WKH ORQJZDOO OD\RXW LQ DQ XQGHUJURXQG FRDO PLQH
GHYHORSPHQW LV RIWHQ ORFNHG LQ DW WKH 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\
VWDJH WR HQDEOH WKH OLFHQVHWR RSHUDWH DSSURYDOVSURFHVVWR
VWDUW DQG EH FRPSOHWHG E\ WKH HQG RI WKH )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\
VWDJH7KLVOHDGVWRDPLVPDWFKEHWZHHQWKHOHYHOVRIGHWDLOLQ
WKHVWXG\DQGWKHOHYHOVRIFRQGHQFH
8WLOLVLQJUHYLHZVDQGJDWHVLQWKH)(/SURFHVVSURYLGHVWKH
VWXG\WHDPZLWKWLPHO\VWDJHVWRSUHVHQWWKHLUZRUNWRSHHUV
DQG VHQLRU PDQDJHPHQW WR HQVXUH WKH SURMHFW VWXG\ VWD\V
RQ WUDFN :KHUH SRVVLEOH WKH VWXG\ WHDP VKRXOG SURYLGH
PDWHULDOV IRU WKHVH UHYLHZV HDUO\ VR WKDW UHYLHZHUV KDYH
DGHTXDWHWLPHWRSUHSDUHDQGWKHUHIRUHDGGYDOXHFRPLQJLQ
FROGWHQGVWROLPLWWKHYDOXHRIWKHLULQSXW
Underground mines
:KHQLQYHVWLJDWLQJRSWLRQVIRUDQXQGHUJURXQG2UH5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWHWKHUHDUHDQXPEHURISDFNDJHVDYDLODEOHWRQGWKH
KLJKHVWYDOXHPLQLQJEORFNVZLWKLQWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
,Q DQ\ PLQLQJ PHWKRG WKH H[FDYDWLRQ JHRPHWU\ SOD\V D
VLJQLFDQW UROH LQ WKH FRQYHUVLRQ RI D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH
LQWRDQ2UH5HVHUYH6RPHPLQLQJPHWKRGVVXFKDVQDUURZ
YHLQVWRSLQJRUFXWDQGOORSHUDWLRQVFOHDUO\UHTXLUHPRUH
GHWDLOHGLQYHVWLJDWLRQLQWRWKHOD\RXWDQG0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
%XON PLQLQJ PHWKRGV VXFK DV VXEOHYHO FDYLQJ DQG EORFN
FDYLQJ FDQ DSSHDU WR UHTXLUH OHVV GHWDLO LQ WKH VXSSRUWLQJ
5HVRXUFH NQRZOHGJH KRZHYHU WKLV LV QRW DFWXDOO\ WKH
FDVH :KLOH WKH EXON PLQLQJ PHWKRGV DUH OHVV VHOHFWLYH
DQGZLOOWDUJHWWRPLQHWKHHQWLUHFDYLQJYROXPHWKHPLQH
SHUIRUPDQFHDQGYDOXHDUHVXVFHSWLEOHWRYDULDELOLW\LQWKH
5HVRXUFHDWWULEXWHVJUDGHPHWDOOXUJ\RULQWUXVLRQVZLWKLQ
WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH YROXPH 7KLV ODFN RI UHVRXUFH GHWDLO
FDQEHDQLVVXHDVRQFHLQLWLDWHGDEORFNFDYHZLOOPLQHDOORI
ZKDWLVLQVLGHWKHFDYLQJYROXPHDERYHWKHVHOHFWHGIRRWSULQW
RIWKHPLQH7KHVSDFLQJRIGUDZSRLQWVRUH[WUDFWLRQGULYHV
ZLWKLQDEXONPLQLQJPHWKRGFDQKDYHVLJQLFDQWLPSDFWV
RQ WKH RYHUDOO UHFRYHU\ RI WKH 2UH 5HVHUYH DQG WKHUH LV
DOZD\VDEDODQFHEHWZHHQWKLVVSDFLQJDQGWKHVWDELOLW\DQG
HFRQRPLFVRIWKHPLQH,GHDOO\WKHH[WUDFWLRQSRLQWVZRXOG
EHFORVHWRJHWKHUWRHQVXUHIXOORUHERG\H[WUDFWLRQWKRXJK
WKLV RIWHQ UHVXOWV LQ D JHRWHFKQLFDOO\ XQVWDEOH VLWXDWLRQ
&RQYHUVHO\DZLGHVSDFLQJRIGUDZSRLQWVZLOOUHVXOWLQWKH
RSSRUWXQLW\ IRU ODUJHU GULYHV DQG KLJKHU SURGXFWLRQ UDWHV
EXW ZLWK OHVV RYHUDOO 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH UHFRYHU\ 'LHULQJ
WKLVYROXPH
'LOXWLRQ LQ DQ XQGHUJURXQG PLQH PD\ EH GHQHG DV
PDWHULDO IURP RXWVLGH WKH RUHERG\ RU PDWHULDO ZKLFK KDV
WREHPLQHGEXWLVQRWRUHJUDGH'LOXWLRQPRGHOOLQJIRUPV
DQ LPSRUWDQW SDUW RI WKH XQGHUJURXQG PLQHV 2UH 5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWLRQSURFHVVDVLWZLOOGHWHUPLQHWKHRYHUDOOJUDGHDQG
HFRQRPLFVRIWKH2UH5HVHUYH,QDVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJPHWKRG
GLOXWLRQPD\DFFRXQWIRUWHQWRSHUFHQWRIWKH2UH5HVHUYH
DQGLWVLPSDFWFDQEHPLWLJDWHGE\DGMXVWLQJUHFRYHULHVIURP
PLQLQJEORFNV,QDEXONPLQLQJPHWKRGGLOXWLRQPD\EHLQ
H[FHVVRISHUFHQWGXHWRWKHQDWXUHRIWKHPLQLQJPHWKRGV
DQGWKHLPSDFWVRIRUHERG\VKDSHDQGJUDGHGLVWULEXWLRQ
0XOWLOLIW PLQHV SURYLGH DGGLWLRQDO FKDOOHQJHV WR PLQH
SODQQLQJ HQJLQHHUV RQFH WKH XSSHU OHYHOV RI WKH PLQH KDYH
EHHQPLQHGDQGDUHWKHUHIRUHQRORQJHUDYDLODEOH in situIRU
WKHJHRORJLVWVWRFUHDWHDWRQQHVDQGJUDGHHVWLPDWH*HQHUDOO\
WKHPDWHULDOUHPDLQLQJLQWKHXSSHUVHFWLRQRIWKHPLQHZDV
PLQHGWRDKLJKHUFXWRIIWKDQWKHPDWHULDOEHORZDQGDVVXFK
KROGVVRPHYDOXHDVGLOXWLQJPDWHULDOLQWKHPLQLQJEORFNV
EHORZ 6RPH PLQH SODQQLQJ VRIWZDUH LQFOXGLQJ 3&%& FDQ
EH XVHG WR SURYLGH DQ HVWLPDWH RI WKLV UHPQDQW PDWHULDO
FDYLQJGRZQLQWRWKHEORFNEHORZWKRXJKLWPXVWEHWUHDWHG
ZLWKDORZHUFRQGHQFHOHYHODQGSRWHQWLDOO\FDQQRWEHJLYHQ
D5HVRXUFHRU5HVHUYHFODVVLFDWLRQKRZHYHULWLVGHQLWHO\
SDUW RI WKH PDWHULDO WKDW ZLOO OLNHO\ EH H[WUDFWHG IURP WKH
ORZHUOHYHOV
7KHRUHERG\VKDSHDQGDVSHFWUDWLRKDVDVLJQLFDQWEHDULQJ
QRWRQO\RQWKHPLQLQJPHWKRGVHOHFWHGEXWDOVRRQWKHOHYHO
RIJHRORJLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQUHTXLUHGWRVXSSRUWDQ2UH5HVHUYH
7KHLGHDORUHERG\IRUEORFNFDYLQJLVDODUJHXQLIRUPVKDSH
DQGFORVHWRYHUWLFDO'LHULQJGLVFXVVHVLQGHWDLOWKHSURFHVV
RI XQGHUWDNLQJ DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWH IRU D EORFN FDYH
PLQHDQGSURYLGHVDQXPEHURILQVLJKWVIURPRYHU\HDUV
LQGXVWU\H[SHULHQFH
0DQ\RIWKHIDFWRUVOLVWHGDERYHIRUPLQHUDOGHSRVLWVDOVR
DSSO\ WR WKH FRDO LQGXVWU\ 6HHGVPDQ WKLV YROXPH
VWDWHVWKDWWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVFRQWULEXWLQJWRDORQJZDOO
FRDOPLQHSODQVKRXOGLQFOXGH
505
ECONOMICALLY MINEABLE?
:KLWWOH WKLV YROXPH SURYLGHV WKH FKDOOHQJH WR WKH
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ DV WR ZKDW LV PHDQW E\ HFRQRPLFDOO\
PLQHDEOHLQWKH-25&&RGH'RHVLWPHDQ
:KDWFDQEHPLQHGDQGSURFHVVHGZKHUHWKHVXPRIDOO
PDWHULDO PLQHG DQG SURFHVVHG LV DERYH EUHDNHYHQ FDVK
RZLHGRQWJREURNH"
:KDW FDQ EH PLQHG DQG SURFHVVHG ZKHUH DOO SDUWV DUH
LQGLYLGXDOO\ DERYH EUHDNHYHQ FDVK RZ LH PD[LPLVH
FDVK"
:KHQ HDFK WRQQH RI WKH PDWHULDO PLQHG DQG SURFHVVHG
SURGXFHV D QHW FDVK RZ DERYH D VSHFLHG PDUJLQ RU
SURYLGHV D UHTXLUHG UDWH RI UHWXUQ RQ LQYHVWPHQW LH
PHHWVDKXUGOHUDWHVHWE\WKHFRPSDQ\"
:KDW PD[LPLVHV HFRQRPLF YDOXH QHW SUHVHQW YDOXH RU
LQWHUQDOUDWHRIUHWXUQ"
7KH JHQHUDO DVVXPSWLRQ LV WKDW WKH PDMRULW\ RI PLQLQJ
FRPSDQLHV ZRXOG VHH LW DV WKH PD[LPLVDWLRQ RI HFRQRPLF
YDOXH VXEMHFW WR FRQVLGHUDWLRQV RI ULVN VRFLDO UHVSRQVLELOLW\
DQGRWKHUOLFHQFHWRRSHUDWHLVVXHV7RWKLVHQGWKHSURFHVV
RIGHWHUPLQLQJWKHHFRQRPLFDOO\PLQHDEOHSDUWRIWKH0LQHUDO
506
CONCLUSION
$V PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV JUDSSOH ZLWK WKH FKDQJLQJ HFRQRPLF
FOLPDWH DQG WKH F\FOHV RI PHWDO SULFHV WKHUH ZLOO DOZD\V EH
SUHVVXUH RQ WKH FRPSHWHQW LQGLYLGXDOV WDVNHG ZLWK VLJQLQJ
RII DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWH 7KH EDODQFH EHWZHHQ PLQLQJ
FRPSDQ\ UHTXLUHPHQWV RUHERG\ NQRZOHGJH DQG SURMHFW
OLIHF\FOHZLOODWWLPHVEHFKDOOHQJLQJWKRXJKZLWKDUREXVW
SURFHVVDQGE\HQVXULQJWKDWDOOGRFXPHQWDWLRQLVDYDLODEOH
IRUDXGLWWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVKRXOGEHDEOHWRDFKLHYHDQ
HTXLOLEULXPDQGUHSRUWDSSURSULDWHO\
$V GLVFXVVHG DERYH WKH JUHDWHVW RSSRUWXQLW\ WR LQXHQFH
WKH YDOXH RI D SURMHFW LV HDUO\ LQ WKH OLIH F\FOH ZKHQ WKH
LQIRUPDWLRQLVDWLWVVFDUFHVWVRWDNLQJDSUDFWLFDODSSURDFKDW
WKLVWLPHFDQHQVXUHDUHDOLVWLFRXWFRPHIRUIXWXUHLQYHVWPHQW
5HPHPEHULWRQO\WXUQVIURPPLQHUDOLVDWLRQWRRUHZKHQLW
FDQEHSURWDEO\H[WUDFWHG
REFERENCES
'LHULQJ 7 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ IRU EORFN FDYH PLQHV XVLQJ
3&%& LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'XGOH\-$%ORFNFDYLQJVRIWZDUHSUDFWLFDODSSOLFDWLRQVLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
6HHGVPDQ 5 : *HRWHFKQLFDO 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV WR EH
FRQVLGHUHGZKHQGHWHUPLQLQJWKHVWDWXVRIORQJZDOOUHVHUYHVLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
6KLOODEHHU-+5HHFWLRQVRQIURQWHQGORDGLQJLQPLQHSURMHFW
GHYHORSPHQWLQMineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
7KRPSVRQ-97KHIHDVLELOLW\VWXG\Eng Mining JSS
:KLWH0()HDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVVFRSHDQGDFFXUDF\LQMineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
Practice HG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
:KLWH0(DQG+DUULQJWRQ,)HDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVVFRSHDQG
DFFXUDF\ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
:KLWWOH * :KLWWOH RSWLPLVDWLRQ WKH PRQH\ PLQLQJ
PHWKRGRORJ\DQGLWVLPSDFWRQ2UH5HVHUYHVLQMineral Resource
and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
VHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
HOME
Feasibility Studies
Scope and Accuracy*
M E White1 and I Harrington2
ABSTRACT
)HDVLELOLW\LVDYDOXHLPSURYHPHQWSURFHVVIRUSURMHFWV$WDQ\VWDJHLQSURMHFWGHYHORSPHQWD)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\FDQEHXQGHUWDNHQ
EXWDOWKRXJKWKH6FRSHHOHPHQWVJHQHUDOO\UHPDLQXQFKDQJHGWKHH[WHQWRIGHWDLODQGOHYHORIDFFXUDF\XVXDOO\LQFUHDVHZLWK
WLPH7KHPDLQ6FRSHHOHPHQWVDUHDEXVLQHVVGHQLWLRQSURMHFWGHVFULSWLRQDQGH[HFXWLRQSODQ7KH6WXGLHVDUHGHVLJQHGWR
DVVHVVWKHSRWHQWLDORIWKHSURMHFWDQGVHFXUHIXQGLQJIRURQJRLQJH[DPLQDWLRQ,QYDULDEO\WKHLQYHVWLJDWLRQVORRSEDFNWRHDUOLHU
VWDJHVWRHVWDEOLVKPRUHDSSURSULDWHGHYHORSPHQWFULWHULDEXWDFULWLFDOVWDJHLVUHDFKHGZKHQDSURMHFWFRQVWUXFWLRQGHFLVLRQLV
UHTXHVWHG7KLV)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\UHTXLUHVYHU\GHWDLOHGSUHVHQWDWLRQDQGDQDO\VLVWRDKLJKHUDFFXUDF\IRUWKHRZQHUVDQGWKHLU
SRWHQWLDOOHQGHUV
1. Director, DevMin Consultants, Level 1, 130 Hay Street, Subiaco WA 6008. Email: [email protected]
2. Principal, Flagstaff Consulting, Level 3, 87 Wickham Terrace, Spring Hill Qld 4000. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published in the first edition of Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice (2001).
INTRODUCTION
7KH UVW DVVLJQPHQW RI D SURMHFW PDQDJHU LV RIWHQ WR GHQH
WKH 6FRSH RI D )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ 7KH LQIRUPDWLRQ SUHVHQWHG
LQD)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\DQGLWVDVVRFLDWHGDFFXUDF\VKRXOGEH
FRPPHQVXUDWH ZLWK WKH VWDJH RI SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW WKH
OHYHO RI GHQLWLRQ DYDLODEOH DQG WKH GHVLUHG RXWFRPHV 7KH
VLJQLFDQFHRIVXFK6FRSHGHQLWLRQDQGWKHRYHUDOOUHOHYDQFH
RID)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\LQWKHGHYHORSPHQWRIDSURMHFWDUHWKH
EDVLVIRUWKLVSDSHU0DWWHUVGLVFXVVHGLQFOXGH
WKHSURMHFWF\FOHWKHHYROXWLRQDU\QDWXUHRIDSURMHFW
SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ GLIIHUHQFHV DQG FKDUDFWHULVWLFV DUH
DVFULEHGWRWKHWHUPV
&RQFHSWXDO)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
3UHOLPLQDU\)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
'HQLWLYH )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ RU %DQNDEOH )HDVLELOLW\
6WXG\
WKHPDMRU6FRSHHOHPHQWVIRUPLQHUDOVSURMHFWV
WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV DV D YDOXH
LPSURYHPHQWSURFHVV
HVWLPDWLRQ DFFXUDF\ LQFOXGLQJ WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI DQG
GHQLWLRQVRIFRQWLQJHQF\
)URPDQDFWLYLW\YLHZSRLQWproject developmentLVQRUPDOO\
VXEGLYLGHGLQWRSUHGHYHORSPHQWDQGGHYHORSPHQWVWDJHV7KH
SUHGHYHORSPHQWVWDJHUHIHUVWRWKRVHFROOHFWLYHDFWLYLWLHVWKDW
WDNHDSURMHFWIURPRSSRUWXQLW\GHYHORSPHQWHJH[SORUDWLRQ
GLVFRYHU\ WKURXJK WR D GHFLVLRQ WR SURFHHG ZLWK GHWDLOHG
GHVLJQ DQG FRQVWUXFWLRQ ,W LV LQ WKLV SUHGHYHORSPHQW VWDJH
WKDW XQGHU FRQYHQWLRQDO FLUFXPVWDQFHV RQH FDUULHV RXW D
)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\'HYHORSPHQWUHIHUVWRWKHVXEVHTXHQWVWDJH
RIGHVLJQFRQVWUXFWLRQDQGFRPPLVVLRQLQJWRDSRLQWZKHUH
RSHUDWLRQV KDYH FRPPHQFHG DQG FDQ EH PDLQWDLQHG RQ D
VXVWDLQDEOHEDVLV
RSSRUWXQLW\GHYHORSPHQW
SURMHFWGHYHORSPHQW
RSHUDWLRQV
DVVHWGLVSRVDODQGQDOUHVWRUDWLRQ
)LJXUH UHODWHV HDFK RI WKH DERYH IXQFWLRQV WKURXJK WKH
SURJUHVV RI D W\SLFDO PLQHUDOV GHYHORSPHQW WR WKH PDMRU
DFWLYLWLHVDQGUHYLHZSRLQWV
PROJECT CYCLE
507
PROJECT EVALUATION
$FFRPSDQ\LQJ HDFK PRYH EHWZHHQ VHSDUDWH VWDJHV RI D
SURMHFW LV WKH UHTXLUHPHQW WR HYDOXDWH RU UHHYDOXDWH DV WKH
FDVH PD\ EH WKH SRWHQWLDO QDQFLDO YLDELOLW\ RI WKH SURMHFW
7KLV LWHUDWLYH RU VRPHZKDW HYROXWLRQDU\ GHYHORSPHQW RI
SURMHFWV LV LOOXVWUDWHG LQ )LJXUH 7KH LWHUDWLYH VWDJHV RI
SUHOLPLQDU\ HYDOXDWLRQ HFRQRPLF DVVHVVPHQW DQG GHWDLOHG
HYDOXDWLRQ LOOXVWUDWHG LQ )LJXUH UHIHU FROOHFWLYHO\ WR WKH
SUHGHYHORSPHQW VWDJH DV SUHYLRXVO\ GHVFULEHG $SSURYDO
FULWHULD DOVR LGHQWLHG LQ )LJXUH YDU\ ZLWK WKH GHVLUHG
DSSOLFDWLRQDQGFRUSRUDWHREMHFWLYHVULVNSUROHVIRUDJLYHQ
VWXG\DQGWKHDVVRFLDWHGDXGLHQFH
)URPDQHVWLPDWHYLHZSRLQWWHUPLQRORJ\VXFKDVFRQFHSWXDO
VRPHWLPHV FDOOHG 6FRSLQJ SUHOLPLQDU\ DQG GHQLWLYH RU
EDQNDEOH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\DUHDSSOLHGWRWKHYDULRXVVWDJHVRI
SUHGHYHORSPHQW&ODVVLFDWLRQV\VWHPVKDYHEHHQGHYHORSHG
E\ D YDULHW\ RI LQGLYLGXDOV .HU]QHU HQJLQHHULQJ
FRPSDQLHV DQG RZQHU RUJDQLVDWLRQV WR GHVFULEH WKH VWXG\
W\SHVOLVWHGDERYHHJ.DLVHU7\SH,,SHUFHQW([[RQ0RELO
&ODVV 9 SHU FHQW &DSLWDO HIIHFWLYHQHVV FRQVXOWDQF\
,QGHSHQGHQW 3URMHFW $QDO\VLV ,3$ KDV ZRUNHG ZLWK PDQ\
RZQHURUJDQLVDWLRQVWRGHYHORSLPSURYHGVWDWLVWLFDOO\EDVHG
WRROVWRJHQHUDWHHQKDQFHGSURMHFWHYDOXDWLRQSURFHVVHVDQG
LQWURGXFHG VRPH QHZ WHUPLQRORJ\ WR FODVVLI\ WKH SURMHFW
GHYHORSPHQW VWDJH ,3$ LQWURGXFHG WKH WHUPLQRORJ\ IURQW
HQGORDGLQJDQGDQXPHULFDOFODVVLFDWLRQWRGHQHDVHULHV
RIPLOHVWRQHREMHFWLYHVDVLOOXVWUDWHGLQ)LJXUH:KLOVWWKLV
DSSURDFK KDV EHHQ DGRSWHG E\ D QXPEHU RI RSHUDWRUV WKH
PLQHUDOV LQGXVWU\ DW ODUJH SHUVLVWV ZLWK ZLGHO\ DFFHSWHG
GHVFULSWLYH WHUPLQRORJ\ LH FRQFHSWXDO SUHOLPLQDU\ DQG
GHQLWLYH6RPHFRPPHQWVDERXWWKHVHYDULRXVFODVVLFDWLRQV
DUHJLYHQEHORZ
Robust
Business Case
Established
Project Scope
Defined
FEL 1
Appraise&
Define
Opportunity
Project Ready
to Execute
FEL 2
FEL 3
Develop
Scope
Define
Project
Execute
Startup&
Operate
Industry
Also called
Conceptual
Feasibility
Preliminary
Feasibility
Definitive
Feasibility
Minerals
Business
Planning
Facilities
Planning
Execution
Planning
Chemicals
Appraise
Select
FEED
7KLVWHUPLVW\SLFDOO\DSSOLHGZKHQDQHDUO\VWDJHH[DPLQDWLRQ
LV QHHGHG RU LQ WKH DEVHQFH RI VSHFLFV UHJDUGLQJ WKH
SDUWLFXODUSURMHFW&RQFHSWXDO)HDVLELOLW\VRPHWLPHVUHIHUUHG
WRDV6FRSLQJ6WXGLHVKDYHPDQ\XVHVLQFOXGLQJ
GHYHORSLQJORQJWHUPFRUSRUDWHVWUDWHJLHV
DVVHWYDOXDWLRQVIRUVWRFNDQDO\VLV%DNHUDQG'RGG
HYDOXDWLQJDFTXLVLWLRQVRUHDUO\VWDJHRSSRUWXQLWLHV
DVVHVVLQJ WKH WUDQVIHU RI H[SORUDWLRQ QGV WR D
SUHGHYHORSPHQWVWDJH
GHFLGLQJ ZKHWKHU D SDUWLFXODU PLQHUDOLVHG 5HVRXUFH LV
ZRUWKH[SORULQJIXUWKHU
GHWHUPLQLQJ H[SORUDWLRQ DQG RSSRUWXQLW\ GHYHORSPHQW
HJUHVHDUFKJRDOV
SURYLGLQJDSODQDVWRKRZVXEVHTXHQWSUHGHYHORSPHQW
DFWLYLWLHVVKRXOGSURFHHG
SURYLGLQJLQLWLDOGDWDWRDOORZWKHUHJXODWRU\SURFHVVHVRI
SHUPLWWLQJDQGHQYLURQPHQWDODVVHVVPHQWWRFRPPHQFH
$W DOO VWDJHV GXULQJ SURMHFW SUHGHYHORSPHQW 6WXGLHV
QHHG WR WDUJHW D FRPSUHKHQVLYH SURMHFW DVVHVVPHQW UHIHU WR
VHFWLRQ Scope elements for minerals projects KRZHYHU HDUO\
VWDJHDVVHVVPHQWVFRQGXFWHGGXULQJD&RQFHSWXDO)HDVLELOLW\
6WXG\DUHRIWHQEDVHGRQDVVXPHGFULWHULDWKDWUHHFWVLPLODU
RSHUDWLRQVZKLFKFDQEHUHODWHGWRWKHW\SHDQGQDWXUHRIWKH
SURMHFWSURSRVHGDQGKHQFHDUHXQOLNHO\WR\LHOGDQRSWLPLVHG
SURMHFWDVVHVVPHQW
)RU &RQFHSWXDO )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV ZLWK RUHERG\EDVHG
SURMHFWV VXIFLHQW XQGHUVWDQGLQJ EXW QRW QHFHVVDULO\
GHQLWLRQ RI WKH GHSRVLWV PLQHUDO FRQWHQW DQG VSDWLDO
GHQLWLRQ PXVW H[LVW WR SUHSDUH D IHDVLEOH EXW QRW RSWLPDO
PLQHSODQDQGWKHDVVRFLDWHGGHYHORSPHQWDQGRUHSURGXFWLRQ
VFKHGXOH (VWLPDWHV RI SURFHVV IDFLOLWLHV ZRXOG EH EDVHG RQ
DVVXPHG VLWH FRQVLGHUDWLRQV LGHQWLHG SURFHVV RZ VKHHWV
PDWHULDOZDWHUDQGHQHUJ\EDODQFHVDQGLGHQWLHGSLHFHVRI
PDMRUSURFHVVHTXLSPHQW
:LWK WKH SRVVLEOH H[FHSWLRQ RI LQYHVWLJDWLQJ WKH RUHERG\
WKHFRVWRIWKHFRQFHSWZRUNLVZHOOEHORZWKDWRIVXEVHTXHQW
VWXGLHV ZKLFK DOORZV SURJUHVVLYH GHFLVLRQPDNLQJ RQ WKH
SURJUHVVRISURMHFWVDWWKHORZHVWFRVW
LEVEL OF ACCURACY
7DEOH VXPPDULVHV WKH PDMRU VWXG\ SKDVHV GLVFXVVHG
LQFOXGLQJ ZKHUH VXFK VWXGLHV DUH DSSOLHG DQG WKH OHYHO RI
DFFXUDF\JHQHUDOO\VRXJKWRUZKDWFDQEHDQWLFLSDWHGEDVHG
XSRQWKHLQIRUPDWLRQDYDLODEOH
$SSHQGL[ DIWHU 1RUWKFRWH SURYLGHV D FKHFNOLVW
GHYHORSHG E\ .HU]QHU VHWWLQJ RXW WKH GDWD UHTXLUHG
E\KLVLQWHUSUHWDWLRQWRDFKLHYHWKHGHVLUHGHVWLPDWHDFFXUDF\
QRWHG 7KH FRQFHSW RI OHYHO RI DFFXUDF\ LV LPSRUWDQW LQ
TABLE 1
Feasibility Study level categories.
Estimate
type
Typical level
of accuracy
When applied
Conceptual
30 to 35%
Preliminary
20 to 25%
Definitive
10 to 15%
509
RUGHURIDFFXUDF\ZKLFKDVVWDWHGGHVFULEHVWKHHVWLPDWH
PHWKRGRORJ\DQGLQSXWVDQGSURYLGHVDVLPSOHGHVFULSWRU
RIWKHOHYHORIDFFXUDF\WKDWFDQEHUHDVRQDEO\DFKLHYHG
SUREDELOLW\ RI WKH HVWLPDWH QRW H[FHHGLQJ WKH HVWLPDWH
HJ 3 PHDQV WKDW WKHUH LV D SHU FHQW FKDQFH WKDW
WKH QDO FRVW ZLOO QRW H[FHHG WKH HVWLPDWH ZKLFK LV
GHWHUPLQHGE\WKHOHYHORIFRQWLQJHQF\DGGHGWRWKHEDVH
HVWLPDWH
3RUJHUDJROGGHSRVLW3DSXD1HZ*XLQHD
0F$UWKXU5LYHUEDVHPHWDOGHSRVLW4XHHQVODQG
.LGVWRQJROGGHSRVLW4XHHQVODQG
*ROGHQ *URYH 6FXGGOHV EDVH PHWDO GHSRVLW :HVWHUQ
$XVWUDOLD
&DGLDFRSSHUJROGGHSRVLW1HZ6RXWK:DOHV
:HVW$QJHODVLURQRUHGHYHORSPHQW:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLD
0XUULQ0XUULQ:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLD
:LPPHUD0LQHUDO6DQGV9LFWRULD
2WKHU SRWHQWLDOO\ H[FLWLQJ SURMHFWV RI WKH IXWXUH VXFK
DV WKH $ODVNDQ 3HEEOH FRSSHU JROG SURMHFW RU LQGHHG WKH
PDQ\ QHZ PDJQHWLWH RU PDJQHWLWHKHPDWLWH EDVHG LURQ
SURMHFWV LQ 6RXWK $XVWUDOLD DQG :HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD KDYH
DOVRXQGHUJRQHQXPHURXVURXQGVRISURMHFWHYDOXDWLRQDQG
V\VWHPVGHYHORSPHQWWRDOORZDQRSWLPXPYLDEOHRSHUDWLRQ
WREHGHYHORSHG
TABLE 2
Scope elements of Feasibility Studies.
Category
Matters inclusive
Owner parameters
Business definition
Project goals
Market conditions
Project description
Execution plan
TABLE 3
Tailings disposal example of the definition levels required for increasing
levels of Feasibility Study.
Systems
definition
At Conceptual
Feasibility
Study
At Preliminary
Feasibility
Study
At Definitive
Feasibility
Study
IXUWKHUH[DPSOHVRIWKHYDU\LQJOHYHORIGHWDLOUHTXLUHGZLWK
LQFUHDVLQJOHYHOVRISURMHFWGHQLWLRQ
511
CONTINGENCY
$VSUHYLRXVO\QRWHG7DEOHRXWOLQHVWKHJHQHUDOFDWHJRULHV
RI )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV DQG WKHLU DFFXUDF\ OHYHO 7KH OHYHO RI
GHQLWLRQ DQG 6FRSH HOHPHQWV XSRQ ZKLFK WKH HVWLPDWH LV
EDVHG DORQJ ZLWK WKH TXDOLW\ RI FRVW LQIRUPDWLRQ LQXHQFHV
HVWLPDWH DFFXUDF\ )LJXUH LOOXVWUDWHV W\SLFDO WUHQGV LQ WKH
TXDQWXP RI HQJLQHHULQJ UHTXLUHG IRU DFFXUDWH HVWLPDWHV
*UHDWHU DFFXUDF\ UHHFWV WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH GHVLJQ WR GHQH
WKH 6FRSH DQG TXDQWLWLHV DV ZHOO DV WKH H[WHQW RI DQDO\VLV
XQGHUWDNHQ WR TXDQWLI\ ULVN DQG XQFHUWDLQW\ HOHPHQWV
HVWDEOLVKLQJFRVWWRWKHSUHVFULEHGOHYHOLHSHUFHQWYHUVXV
SHU FHQW $ KLJKHU OHYHO RI DFFXUDF\ GRHV QRW RI LWVHOI
LQGLFDWH WKDW D SDUWLFXODU FRQFHSW KDV EHHQ IXOO\ RSWLPLVHG
DQG WKDW WKH SRWHQWLDO RSSRUWXQLWLHV DYDLODEOH YLD YDOXH
LPSURYHPHQW KDYH EHHQ UHDOLVHG ,W VKRXOG EH KLJKOLJKWHG
WKDWWKHHVWLPDWHLVEDVHGRQWKHHQJLQHHULQJVROXWLRQDQGWKH
OLNHO\ FRVW HIIHFW RI WKLV EHLQJ FKDQJHG LV RQO\ DGGUHVVHG LQ
FDOFXODWLQJWKHFRQWLQJHQF\
7KHDEVROXWHOHYHOVRIHQJLQHHULQJUHTXLUHGWRDFKLHYHWKH
GLIIHUHQWVWDQGDUGVRIHVWLPDWHDFFXUDF\YDU\GHSHQGLQJRQ
DQXPEHURIIDFWRUV)RUWKHPRVWSDUWWKHVHIDFWRUVUHODWHWR
WKHFXUUHQWSURMHFWVVLPLODULW\WRRWKHUVXQGHUFRPSDUDEOH
FLUFXPVWDQFHV $ JRRG LOOXVWUDWLRQ RI WKLV RFFXUUHG LQ WKH
V ZKHUH D QXPEHU RI LGHQWLFDO FRDO ZDVKHULHV ZHUH
EXLOW LQ WKH %RZHQ %DVLQ 3URYLGHG WKH GHVLJQ FRQFHSW
ZDV FRQVLVWHQW DQG WKH VDPH FRQWUDFWRU ZDV HPSOR\HG D
KLJKO\ DFFXUDWH SURMHFW FRVW HVWLPDWH FRXOG EH PDGH ZLWK
OLPLWHG HQJLQHHULQJ 7KLV VLWXDWLRQ ZDV UHSHDWHG LQ WKH
VZLWKIUHHPLOOLQJJROGRUHWUHDWPHQWSODQWVLQ:HVWHUQ
$XVWUDOLD$ZRUGRIFDXWLRQVLPLODUTXDQWLWLHVDQGFRQWHQW
ZLWKLQ D FRPPRQ UHJLRQ DQG WLPH IUDPH GRHVQW DOZD\V
\LHOG FRQVLVWHQW FRVWV ,Q WKH V WKUHH YHU\ VLPLODU DQG
VWUDLJKWIRUZDUGLURQRUHFUXVKLQJDQGVFUHHQLQJSODQWVZHUH
EXLOWRYHUDVHYHQ\HDUSHULRG7KHLQFUHDVHLQFDSLWDOFRVW
IURP UVW WR VHFRQG ZDV SHU FHQW DQG VHFRQG WR WKLUG
QRPLQDOO\ SHU FHQW 7KLV FDQ LQ SDUW EH H[SODLQHG E\
FRQVLGHULQJWKHNH\LQSXWVLQWRDQHVWLPDWHZKHUHTXDQWLWLHV
DUH RQO\ RQH RI WKH LQSXWV $SSHQGL[ DIWHU 1RUWKFRWH
SURYLGHV D FKHFNOLVW GHYHORSHG E\ .HU]QHU
VHWWLQJRXWWKHGDWDUHTXLUHGE\KLVLQWHUSUHWDWLRQWRDFKLHYH
WKHGHVLUHGDFFXUDF\
$VZLWKHVWLPDWHDFFXUDF\WKHDSSOLFDWLRQDQGWUHDWPHQWRI
FRQWLQJHQF\YDULHVZLWKLQWKHLQGXVWU\&ORVHH[DPLQDWLRQRI
DQ\FDSLWDOFRVWHVWLPDWHZLOOLGHQWLI\LQFXUUHGVXPVWKDWDUH
QRWTXDQWLHG7KHVHVXPVDUHQRWGHQHGDVDFRQWLQJHQF\
EXWUDWKHUDFNQRZOHGJHWKDWWKHGHVLJQDQGHVWLPDWLQJWDVN
KDVQRWEHHQVXIFLHQWO\GHWDLOHGWRIXOO\MXVWLI\TXDQWLI\LQJ
DOOFRVWV7KHUROHRIWKHHVWLPDWRULVWRHQYLVDJHWKHPDWHULDOV
DQG VHUYLFHV UHTXLUHG WR FRPSOHWH WKH GHQHG 6FRSH LQ
DFFRUGDQFH ZLWK WKH LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ SODQ UDWKHU WKDQ MXVW
HVWLPDWHFRVWVSXUHO\RQSUHOLPLQDU\HQJLQHHULQJ
)URP DQ RZQHUV YLHZSRLQW LW LV WKH DXWKRUV YLHZ WKDW
WKH EDVH HVWLPDWH LV EDVHG RQ WKH PRVW OLNHO\ FRVWV IRU WKH
DGRSWHG 6FRSHSODQ DQG FRQWLQJHQF\ LV EHVW GHVFULEHG DV
WKDWVXPRIPRQH\DGGHGWRDEDVHHVWLPDWHVRWKDWWKHQDO
HVWLPDWHEDVHHVWLPDWHSOXVFRQWLQJHQF\KDVDGHQHGSHU
FHQWSUREDELOLW\RIEHLQJH[FHHGHG
7KHRUGHURIDFFXUDF\RIWKHHVWLPDWHGHVFULEHVWKHRUGHU
RIDFFXUDF\RIWKHVXPRIWKHLQSXWVDQGQRWDVHWJXUHWKDW
VKRXOGEHXVHGLQWKHGHVFULSWLRQRIWKHFRVWV$GGLWLRQDOO\
FRQWLQJHQF\ GRHV QRW FDWHU IRU WKRVH WKLQJV QRW VSHFLFDOO\
DOORZHG IRU LQ WKH HVWLPDWH 6XFK VXPV DUH HVWLPDWH
512
GLVFUHWLRQDU\6FRSHDQGRUSURMHFWEDVLVFKDQJHV
QRQGLVFUHWLRQDU\ 6FRSH DQGRU SURMHFW EDVLV FKDQJHV
HJ FKDQJHV GXH WR OHJLVODWLRQ PDUNHW FRQGLWLRQV NH\
SURMHFWUHVRXUFHV
FRPSOH[LW\IDFWRULPSDFWVEH\RQGWKRVHLGHQWLHGLQWKH
EDVHHVWLPDWHHJFKDQJHVUHVXOWLQJIURPQHZSLRQHHULQJ
WHFKQRORJ\IURQWLHUKRVWLOHHQYLURQPHQWV
GHVLJQ HVWLPDWH H[HFXWLRQ GHYHORSPHQWV GXULQJ
LPSOHPHQWDWLRQRIWKHSURMHFW
2I WKRVH IDFWRUV OLVWHG WKH IRXUWK LWHP ZRXOG QRUPDOO\
EH FODVVLHG DV FRQWLQJHQF\ ZKLOVW WKH UVW SRLQW ZRXOG
DOPRVW DOZD\V EH H[FOXGHG 0RVW HQJLQHHUV HVWLPDWRUV DQG
HQJLQHHULQJ FRPSDQLHV ZRXOG QRW DOORZ IRU WKH VHFRQG RU
WKLUGSRLQWVZLWKLQFRQWLQJHQF\XQOHVVVSHFLFDOO\LQVWUXFWHG
WR E\ WKH RZQHU ZKLOVW RZQHUV QHHG WR FRQVLGHU DOO IDFWRUV
LQXHQFLQJSURMHFWRXWFRPHDQGFRVW
7KHUH LV QR VLPSOH IRUPXOD IRU FRQWLQJHQF\ HVWLPDWLRQ
DOWKRXJK PRVW SURFHGXUHV DUH EDVHG XSRQ D FRVWZHLJKWHG
DQDO\VLV XVLQJ H[SHULHQWLDO MXGJHPHQW JLYHQ WKH ULVN RI
GHFLHQFLHVZLWKLQRUFKDQJHVWRWKHWHFKQLFDORUFRPPHUFLDO
EDVLV IRU WKH HVWLPDWH 0RUH VRSKLVWLFDWHG WHFKQLTXHV IRU
FRQWLQJHQF\ HVWLPDWLRQ LQFOXGLQJ FRPSXWHULVHG VLPXODWLRQ
ULVN DQDO\VLV SURFHGXUHV RU SDUDPHWULF PRGHOOLQJ DUH DOVR
DYDLODEOH 7KHVH WHFKQLTXHV DUH YDOLG PHWKRGV EXW WKH\ VWLOO
UHTXLUH H[SHULHQWLDOEDVHG HVWLPDWLRQ RI ULVN HYHQWV DQG
SUREDELOLW\IDFWRUV
7KHTXDOLW\RIFRQWLQJHQF\HVWLPDWLRQLVYHU\PXFKOLQNHG
WRWKHVLPLODULW\RIWKHSURSRVHGYHQWXUHWRWKRVHSUHYLRXVO\
FRPSOHWHG E\ WKH VHOHFWHG SURMHFW SHUVRQQHO ,W LV D FDVH RI
ZHNQRZZKDWZHGRQWNQRZYHUVXVZHGRQWNQRZZKDW
ZHGRQWNQRZ7KHH[WHQWRIWKHODWWHUVKRXOGEHOHDVWZLWK
WKRVHSHUVRQQHOPRVWH[SHULHQFHGZLWKWKHWDVNSODQQHG
)LJXUH FRQFHSWXDOO\ LOOXVWUDWHV WKH OHYHO RI DFFXUDF\
FRPSDUHGZLWKWKHDFWXDOFRVWIRUDJLYHQSURMHFWDWGLIIHUHQW
VWDJHV LQ WKH SUHGHYHORSPHQW SURJUDP ,Q WKHRU\ DW OHDVW
IRU D VSHFLF SURMHFW ZLWK D FRPPRQ EXVLQHVV GHQLWLRQ
SURMHFW GHVFULSWLRQ DQG LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ SODQ WKH VDPH
FDSLWDO FRVW VKRXOG EH GHULYHG DW GLIIHUHQW SURMHFW VWDJHV
SURYLGHG WKHUH LV QR FKDQJH LQ WLPH EDVLV RU H[WHUQDO
IDFWRUV :KLOVW UHGXFWLRQV LQ FRQWLQJHQF\ VKRXOG RFFXU
WKURXJK WKH SURMHFW F\FOH DV DOVR LQGLFDWHG WKH DEVROXWH
OHYHOVDSSOLHGZLOOGHSHQGXSRQWKHTXDOLW\RILQIRUPDWLRQ
DYDLODEOHWKHUPQHVVRIWKHGHVLJQDQGSURMHFWEXVLQHVV
LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ EDVLV DQG WKH UROH RU OLNHO\ UROH RI YDOXH
HQKDQFHPHQW WR WKH XOWLPDWH SURMHFW F\FOH ,Q RWKHU ZRUGV
2QH SUREOHP LQ PDMRU UPV LV WKDW PDQ\ RI WKH SHRSOH
DUH FRQVWUXFWLRQRULHQWDWHG DQG KDYH GLIFXOW\ ZLWK D
conceptual project. 7KRPSVRQ
)RUFRQFHSWXDODQGSUHOLPLQDU\)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHV
it is imperative that the study be conducted by a person
with an understanding of and experience in the mineral
industry (and desirably that sector of the industry). In
addition and perhaps the most important requirement is
that the person have imagination. They have to be able to
visualize what the project would be like. Engineers from
design disciplines and professional estimators often lack
the (experiential background to generate the) imagination
UHTXLUHG7KRPSVRQ
0RVW PDMRU HQJLQHHULQJ FRPSDQLHV KDYH HVWDEOLVKHG
SURFHGXUHV DQG JXLGHOLQHV SHUWDLQLQJ WR WKH FRQWHQW
DQG H[HFXWLRQ RI )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV 6LPLODUO\ QDQFLDO
LQVWLWXWLRQV KDYH DFFHSWDQFH FULWHULD :LQGHU IRU
VWXGLHV SUHVHQWHG IRU IXQGLQJ SXUSRVHV 7KH 6FRSH DQG
DFFXUDF\RIDQ\JLYHQVWXG\PXVWUHHFWDOOWKHVWDNHKROGHUV
UHTXLUHPHQWV DQG VKRXOG EH GHQHG DKHDG RI VWXG\
FRPPHQFHPHQW
)RU WKRVH VWXGLHV WKDW KHUDOG WKH WUDQVLWLRQ RI D SURMHFW
IURP SUHGHYHORSPHQW WR GHYHORSPHQW RQH DVSHFW RI VWXG\
LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RIWHQ LPSDFWV HVWLPDWH DFFXUDF\ DERYH
DOO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV DOLJQPHQW ,QYDULDEO\ WKH WUDQVLWLRQ
IURP SUHGHYHORSPHQW WR GHYHORSPHQW LV DFFRPSDQLHG E\
D OXOO LQ SURMHFW DFWLYLW\ EURXJKW DERXW E\ SURMHFW IXQGLQJ
DUUDQJHPHQWV MRLQW YHQWXUH QHJRWLDWLRQV DQG VLPLODU
DFWLYLWLHV 2ZQHUV RIWHQ XVH WKLV WLPH WR PDNH NH\ SURMHFW
DSSRLQWPHQWV LQFOXGLQJ SURMHFW UHSUHVHQWDWLYHV DQG
SULQFLSDO FRQVXOWDQWVFRQWUDFWRUV :KLOVW WKH LQWURGXFWLRQ
RI QHZ SHUVRQQHO EULQJV QHZ VNLOOV LW FUHDWHV D GLVMXQFWXUH
EHWZHHQWKH6FRSHDQGHVWLPDWHXSRQZKLFKWKHSURMHFWZDV
DSSURYHGDQGWKHSHUVRQQHOHQWUXVWHGWRFRPSOHWHWKHWDVN
$VDUHVXOWVXFKNH\DSSRLQWPHQWVVKRXOGEHPDGHDKHDGRI
WKHVHVWXGLHV$GGLWLRQDOO\DQGLQSDUWLFXODUIRUEURZQHOGV
SURMHFWVDOLJQPHQWEHWZHHQVHQLRURSHUDWLRQVSHUVRQQHODQG
WKHSODQQHGSURMHFW6FRSHLVHTXDOO\LPSRUWDQWWRPDLQWDLQLQJ
WKHSURMHFWHVWLPDWH
STUDY IMPLEMENTATION
$V ZLWK D SURMHFW LWVHOI LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI D )HDVLELOLW\
6WXG\ LV D PDQDJHPHQW H[HUFLVH 5HIHUHQFH SXEOLFDWLRQV
DUH DYDLODEOH LI D UHDGHU LV ORRNLQJ IRU D KRZ WR JXLGH WR
SUHSDULQJ )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV 7D\ORU *HQWU\ DQG
21HLO*RRGHDQG/DWDQ]L0HUURZ2WKHU
SXEOLFDWLRQVUHFRXQWYDOXHGOHVVRQVOHDUQWIURPWKHH[HFXWLRQ
RIVXFKVWXGLHV6KLOODEHHU1RUWKFRWH
0RVW RI WKH PDMRU HQJLQHHULQJ FRPSDQLHV VPDOOHU
HQJLQHHULQJFRPSDQLHVDVZHOODVLQGHSHQGHQWFRQVXOWDQFLHV
VHUYLQJ WKH LQGXVWU\ RIIHU VHUYLFHV LQ )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV
7KHXVHRIVXFKLQGHSHQGHQWHQJLQHHUVLVSUHIHUUHGDQGWR
VRPH H[WHQW SURPRWHG E\ OHQGLQJ LQVWLWXWLRQV *LEEV DQG
6URND'DOH\
IS IT BANKABLE?
:KHQ SURMHFW IXQGLQJ LV EHLQJ VRXJKW WKH TXHVWLRQ RIWHQ
DVNHG DERXW DQ\ )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ LV LV LW EDQNDEOH" 7KLV
TXHVWLRQKRZHYHUKDVGLIIHUHQWLQWHUSUHWDWLRQVWRWKHYDULRXV
JURXSVLQYROYHG
7RDFRQVXOWLQJHQJLQHHUFRQWUDFWHGWRSUHSDUHD%DQNDEOH
6WXG\ WKH WHUP XVXDOO\ UHIHUV WR WKH FRPSOHWHQHVV RI WKH
VWXG\DQGWKHOHYHORIGHWDLOFRQWDLQHGLQWKHUHSRUW7RRWKHU
VWDNHKROGHUVLWKDVFRQQRWDWLRQVRILQWHJULW\DQGTXDOLW\7R
WKHQDQFLHUDEDQNDEOHSURMHFWZLOOEHRQHDJDLQVWZKLFK
WKHQDQFLHUZLOOEHSUHSDUHGWROHQGIXQGVPRUHVSHFLFDOO\
WKHULVNSUROHDQGWKHVHWRIDUUDQJHPHQWVXQGHUZKLFKWKH
EDQNLVSUHSDUHGWRDGYDQFHIXQGVKDYHEHHQVWUXFWXUHGDQG
VDWLVI\WKHEDQNVFUHGLWFULWHULD:LQGHU'DOH\
,WGRHVQRWQHFHVVDULO\PHDQWKDWWKHGHYHORSPHQWFRQFHSWV
KDYHEHHQRSWLPLVHGRUWKDWWKHHVWLPDWHDFFXUDF\LVZLWKLQ
WKHFULWHULDVWDWHGDOWKRXJKERWKDVSHFWVDUHGHVLUDEOH3RRV
REVHUYHG
A feasibility study is a detailed study to determine the
economic viability of a project. Thus sometimes the answer
is NOWKHSURMHFWLVQRWIHDVLEOH$GGLQJEDQNDEOHWRWKH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
513
WLWOHGRHVQRWJXDUDQWHHLWLVIHDVLEOHEXWPHUHO\GLFWDWHVWKH
level of accuracy. (3RRV
6RPH \HDUV DJR RQH RI WKH DXWKRUV OHG DQ DXGLW WHDP
IRU D EDQNLQJ V\QGLFDWH H[DPLQLQJ D PDMRU QHZ 5HVRXUFH
GHYHORSPHQWa07KH5HVRXUFHGHWHUPLQDWLRQVZHUH
VKRZQ WR EH JURVVO\ LQ HUURU DQG PLQLQJ TXDQWLWLHV QHHGHG
WRGRXEOHWR\LHOGWKHVDPHSURGXFWYROXPH,WZDVUHVROYHG
E\ WKH OHQGLQJ LQVWLWXWLRQV WKDW IXQGLQJ ZRXOG EH PDGH
DYDLODEOH $V WKH VSRQVRULQJ FRPSDQ\ SODFHG VLJQLFDQW
HPSKDVLV RQ IDVWWUDFNLQJ WR JHQHUDWH D TXLFN FDVK RZ
WKH SURMHFW SURFHHGHG DV SHU WKH GHYHORSPHQW SODQ 7RGD\
ZKLOVWWKHSURMHFWFRQWLQXHVLQRSHUDWLRQLWKDVQHZRZQHUV
ZKR DFTXLUHG LW DW D VXEVWDQWLDO GLVFRXQW WR WKH SUHYLRXVO\
DVVHVVHG SUHVHQW YDOXH DQG WKH VSRQVRULQJ FRPSDQ\ LV QR
ORQJHU OLVWHG 7R VRPH SRWHQWLDOO\ XQLQIRUPHG SHRSOH WKLV
LV YLHZHG DV D VXFFHVVIXO SURMHFW 7R WKH PDQ\ VKDUHKROGHU
HTXLW\ LQYHVWRUV IRU WKH RULJLQDO VSRQVRULQJ FRPSDQ\ LW LV
GRXEWIXOWKH\VKDUHWKDWDVVHVVPHQW
8QGHUVWDQGLQJSURMHFWQDQFHULVNVLVDNH\HOHPHQWLQWKH
VXFFHVVIXOH[HFXWLRQRID)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\DQGUHVROYLQJWKH
TXHVWLRQLVLWEDQNDEOH"7LQVOH\LGHQWLHVSURMHFW
QDQFH ULVN FDWHJRULHV QDPHO\ RSHUDWLQJWHFKQRORJ\
RSHUDWLRQ FRVW RSHUDWLQJ PDQDJHPHQW FRPSOHWLRQ
SROLWLFDO UHVHUYH LQIUDVWUXFWXUH HQJLQHHULQJ V\QGLFDWLRQ
HQYLURQPHQWDO force majeure VSRQVRU SDUWLFLSDWLRQ IRUHLJQ
H[FKDQJH IXQGLQJ PDUNHW DQG OHJDO 7KURXJK VL[ FDVH
H[DPSOHV 7LQVOH\ VXPPDULVHV KRZ WKRVH ULVNV ZHUH
H[DPLQHGLQSURMHFWQDQFHULVNDVVHVVPHQWV
:HOOSUHSDUHG IHDVLELOLW\ VWXGLHV DUH RQH RI WKH EXLOGLQJ
blocks of the mining industry itself. Reliable studies
FRQWULEXWH WR WKH LQGXVWU\V DELOLW\ WR PDNH SUXGHQW
GHFLVLRQVUHQHZLWVHOIDQGJURZ6KLOODEHHU
SUMMARY
)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV DUH DQ HVVHQWLDO SUHUHTXLVLWH IRU
GHYHORSLQJDQ\JLYHQYHQWXUH6XFKVWXGLHVIRUPDVWUXFWXUH
WKURXJK ZKLFK D SURMHFW FDQ SURJUHVV XQWLO WKH GHFLVLRQ LV
PDGH WR XQGHUWDNH FRPPHUFLDO RSHUDWLRQ $OWKRXJK WKHUH
LV D FRPPRQ PHWKRGRORJ\ LQ HYDOXDWLQJ DQG RSWLPLVLQJ
SURMHFWV WKH SDWK IRU DQ\ JLYHQ SURMHFW ZLOO GHSHQG RQ
LWV QDWXUH DQG WKH UHTXLUHG EXVLQHVV RXWFRPH ,QYDULDEO\
WKDW SDWK LQYROYHV LWHUDWLYH DVVHVVPHQW XQWLO DFKLHYLQJ WKH
QHFHVVDU\UHVXOW
7KH 6FRSH IRU D )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ VKRXOG FRYHU EXVLQHVV
GHQLWLRQSURMHFWGHVFULSWLRQDQGH[HFXWLRQSODQUHJDUGOHVV
RI WKH OHYHO RI HVWLPDWH DFFXUDF\ UHTXLUHG $W HDFK VWDJH LQ
D SURMHFWV DVVHVVPHQW WKH 6FRSH VKRXOG QRW YDU\ RQO\ WKH
GHJUHH RI HIIRUW WR DFKLHYH WKH UHTXLUHG OHYHO RI DFFXUDF\
VKRXOGFKDQJH7KLVLQWXUQZLOOGHSHQGRQWKHVLJQLFDQFH
RI WKH GHFLVLRQ WR EH PDGH 6FRSHV DUH GHQHG WR DVVXUH D
SUHGLFWDEOHRXWFRPH
7KHLWHUDWLYHDSSURDFKWRSURMHFWGHYHORSPHQWXQGHUVFRUHV
WKHVLJQLFDQFHRIIHDVLELOLW\HIIRUWVDVDYDOXHLPSURYHPHQW
SURFHVV 7KH SURFHVVV FDSDFLW\ WR DGG YDOXH LV HYLGHQW
WKURXJK 6FRSH RSWLPLVDWLRQ FULWHULD IURP UHDVRQDEOH
DVVXPSWLRQ WKURXJK WR RSWLPLVHG GHVLJQ RU SODQ )URP
D FRVW YLHZSRLQW RSWLPLVDWLRQ LV EHVW XQGHUWDNHQ DW ORZHU
OHYHOVRIHVWLPDWHDFFXUDF\DKHDGRIDGHQLWLYHLQYHVWLJDWLRQ
&RQVLVWHQWO\ DSSO\LQJ EHQFKPDUN WHVWV HJ FRVW SHU XQLW RI
SURGXFWRXWSXWWKURXJKRXWWKHSURMHFWGHYHORSPHQWSKDVHV
WRDVVLVWLQWKHYDOXHLPSURYHPHQWSURFHVVZLOOKHOSUHDOLVHD
WLPHO\DQGVXFFHVVIXORXWFRPH
514
REFERENCES
$$&( ,QWHUQDWLRQDO &RVW HQJLQHHULQJ WHUPLQRORJ\
5HFRPPHQGHGSUDFWLFH
%DNHU&.DQG'RGG6)%URNHUVUXOHVRIWKXPEIRUPLQHUDO
YDOXDWLRQ D IRFXV RQ JROG HTXLWLHV LQ Proceedings Mineral
Valuation Methodologies ConferenceSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'DOH\ $ ,V LW EDQNDEOH LQ Proceedings Ore Reserve Estimates
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
*HQWU\':DQG21HLO7-0LQLQJIHDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVLQSME
Mining Engineering Handbook6RFLHW\IRU0LQLQJ0HWDOOXUJ\DQG
(QJLQHHULQJ/LWWOHWRQ
*LEEV 1 - DQG 6URND - )HDVLELOLW\ VWXGLHV IRU QDQFLQJ
SXUSRVHV LQ Proceedings The AusIMM Annual Conference SS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
*RRGH - DQG /DWDQ]L & 7KH IHDVLELOLW\ VWXG\ LQ Proceedings
Sixth Mineral Economics Symposium &DQDGLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
0HWDOOXUJ\DQG3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
.HU]QHU + HG Project Management: A Systems Approach to
3ODQQLQJ6FKHGXOLQJDQG&RQWUROOLQJIRXUWKHGLWLRQSS
9DQ1RUVWUDQG5HLQKROG
0HUURZ ( : ,QGXVWULDO 0HJDSURMHFWV &RQFHSW 6WUDWHJLHV DQG
Practices for Success-RKQ:LOH\ 6RQV/WG
1RUWKFRWH$($6FRSLQJRIIHDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVLQProceedings
$XV,00 7KH 0LQLQJ &\FOH SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
3RRV 6 )HDVLELOLW\ VWXG\ GRHV QRW PHDQ IHDVLEOH Pincock
Perspectives
6KLOODEHHU - + /HVVRQV OHDUQHG SUHSDULQJ PLQLQJ IHDVLELOLW\
VWXGLHV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV $XV,00 7KH 0LQLQJ &\FOH SS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
6PLWK / ' &KHFNOLVW IRU HFRQRPLF HYDOXDWLRQV RI PLQHUDO
SURMHFWV CIM Bulletin
7D\ORU+.0LQHYDOXDWLRQDQGIHDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVLQMineral
Industry Costs VHFRQG HGLWLRQ 1RUWKZHVW 0LQLQJ $VVRFLDWLRQ
6SRNDQH
7KRPSVRQ-97KH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\Engineering and Mining
Journal6HSWHPEHU
7LQVOH\ 5 3URMHFWQDQFH ULVNV GXH GLOLJHQFH PDWWHUV
in Proceedings Project Evaluation Conference SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
:LQGHU 3 + %DQNHUV DFFHSWDQFH FULWHULD IRU SURMHFW EDVHG
OHQGLQJ %XOOHWLQ DQG Proceedings of The Australasian Institute of
Mining and Metallurgy
APPENDIX 1
Typical scope elements and content for a resourcebased feasibility study
Business definition
3URMHFWJHQHUDO
GHWDLOVRISURMHFWVSRQVRULQFOXGLQJFRUSRUDWHVWUXFWXUH
KLVWRULFDO SHUIRUPDQFH FXUUHQW QDQFLDO VWUHQJWK
PDQDJHPHQW FDSDELOLW\ DQG WKH W\SH DQG DPRXQW RI
HTXLW\SDUWLFLSDWLRQ
JHQHUDOSURMHFWGHWDLOVVXFKDVORFDWLRQQDWXUHUHJXODWRU\
HQYLURQPHQW
YHULFDWLRQ RI DQ\ HOHPHQWV RI D SURMHFWV WHFKQLFDO
HYDOXDWLRQFRVWVRUPDUNHWDVVHVVPHQWWKDWDUHGHYHORSHG
E\WKHVSRQVRULQJRUJDQLVDWLRQ
SHUPLW DQG OHDVH VLWXDWLRQ DOO HVVHQWLDO 5HVRXUFHV
XVHG LQFOXGLQJ RUH ZDWHU ZDVWH GLVSRVDO HWF WRJHWKHU
ZLWK WKH OHJDO UHTXLUHPHQWVFRQVWUDLQWVFRPPLWPHQWV
SHUWDLQLQJWRDQ\SHUPLWDSSURYDODQGOLFHQFHVHJQDWLYH
WLWOHHQYLURQPHQWDO
PDMRU LPSDFW LVVXHV LQFOXGLQJ FRXQWU\ ULVN SROLWLFDO
VWDELOLW\SRWHQWLDODQGDGYHUVHFKDQJHVLQWKHUHJXODWRU\
WD[RURZQHUVKLSVWDWXVRIWKHSURMHFWRQFHLQRSHUDWLRQ
0DUNHWRSSRUWXQLW\
TXDQWLWLHVWREHPLQHGPDWFKHGWRWKH5HVHUYHVSURGXFW
VSHFLFDWLRQDQGVDOHSULFHV
VXSSO\ DQG GHPDQG UHODWLRQVKLS ERWK KLVWRULFDO DQG
SURMHFWHG
PDUNHWVKDUHGLYHUVLW\DQGQXPEHURIFXVWRPHUVSRVLWLRQ
LQ WKH FXVWRPHUV VXSSO\ FKDLQ EDVH ORDG RU PDUJLQDO
FRPSHWLWRUUHDFWLRQWRWKHQHZSURMHFWSURMHFWVOLQNVWR
SDUWLFXODUFXVWRPHUVDQGFXVWRPHUUHOLDELOLW\
PDUNHWLQJDUUDQJHPHQWVVXFKDVW\SHRIFRQWUDFWVSHULRG
SULFLQJIRUPXODVTXDQWLW\RSWLRQV
VXEVWLWXWLRQ DQG VXVFHSWLELOLW\ WR WHFKQRORJLFDO RU RWKHU
PDUNHWFKDQJHV
JRYHUQPHQW UHJXODWLRQV DIIHFWLQJ PDUNHWV H[SRUW RU
LPSRUWUHVWULFWLRQVDQGWDULIIVDQGSULFHOHYHOV
VSHFLFFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHSURMHFWWKDWZRXOGVHUYHDV
DGYDQWDJHVRUGLVDGYDQWDJHVIURPDPDUNHWLQJVWDQGSRLQW
VXFKDVSUR[LPLW\WRFXVWRPHUVLHVPHOWHUVRUUHQHULHV
RULPSXULWLHV
3URMHFWHFRQRPLFV
$ SURMHFW FDVK RZ FRYHULQJ E\ FDWHJRU\ DQG DW OHDVW
DQQXDOO\ FDSLWDO H[SHQGLWXUHV RSHUDWLQJ H[SHQGLWXUH
UR\DOWLHV UHYHQXH VXVWDLQLQJ FDSLWDO GHIHUUHG FDSLWDO
WD[DWLRQ VSHFLDO LQFHQWLYHV FXUUHQF\ FRQVLGHUDWLRQ
IRUHLJQH[FKDQJHH[SRVXUHIRUZDUGVHOOLQJGHSUHFLDWLRQ
UHVLGXDOYDOXH
)LQDQFLDO HYDOXDWLRQ RQ WKH SURMHFW FDVK RZ FRYHULQJ
GLVFRXQWHG FDVK RZ UDWH RI UHWXUQ '&)525 QHW
SUHVHQWYDOXHSD\EDFNSHULRGRWKHU
6HQVLWLYLW\ DQDO\VLV RQ WKH SURMHFW FDVK RZ *HQHUDO
IDFWRUVWRFRQVLGHULQFOXGHFKDQJHVLQRUHJUDGHLPSDFW
RI UHFRYHU\ SURGXFW SULFH FDSLWDO FRVW RSHUDWLQJ FRVW
DOWHUQDWLYHGLVFRXQWUDWHVIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHYDULDWLRQVDQG
WD[DWLRQ FKDQJHV WR WKH SURMHFW FDVK RZ $GGLWLRQDOO\
WKH LPSDFW RI GHOD\V LQ VFKHGXOH DQG WKH IDLOXUH WR
DFKLHYHGHVLJQFDSDFLW\LQWKHSUHVFULEHGWLPHVKRXOGEH
H[DPLQHG
Project description
*HRORJ\DQG2UH5HVHUYHV
515
Execution plan
,PSOHPHQWDWLRQDQGRSHUDWLQJSODQ
516
APPENDIX 2
Comparison of estimates for economic feasibility (after Thompson, 1993)
Item
Type I
Type II
Type III
Type IV
Plant capacity
Assumed
Preliminary
Optimised
Finalised
Geographic location
General
General
Fixed
Site-specific
Site
If available
If available
Required
Detailed
Foundation tests
None required
None required
If available
Required
Possibly
Recommended
Essential
Assumed
Preliminary
Optimised
Finalised
If available
Recommended
Essential
Essential
Not needed
Not essential
Recommended
Essential
Material balances
Not needed
Preliminary
Optimised
Finalised
Site visits
Process
Facility design
Nature of facilities
Conceptual
Possible
Probable
Actual
Equipment selection
Conceptual
Preliminary
Optimised
Finalised
General arrangements
None
Minimum
Semi-final
Complete
Piping diagrams
None
None
One line
Complete
Electrical drawings
None
None
One line
Complete
Structural drawings
None
None
Minimum
Many completed
Specifications
None
Performance
General
Detailed
Estimates prepared by
Project engineer
Senior estimators
Senior estimators
Estimating department
Vendor quotation
Previous/phone
Single source
Multiple source
Competitive
Civil work
Mechanical and piping
Structural work
Electrical work (ex-motors)
Sketches
Sketches
Sketches/drawings
Quantity take-off
% of machinery
% of machinery
Quantity take-off
Quantity take-off
Sketches
Sketches/drawings
Sketches/drawings
Quantity take-off
$/connected hp
$/connected hp
Quantity take-off
Quantity take-off
Indirect costs
% of totals
% of totals
% of totals
Calculated/actual
Contingency
20 - 30%
15 - 25%
15 - 20%
Labour rates
Assumed/actual
Actual if possible
Be assured of rates
Labour burden
Assumed/actual
Actual
Determined
Actual in effect
Power costs
Assumed/actual
Actual
Actual
Get contract
Fuel costs
Operating costs
Assumed/actual
Actual
Actual
Get contract
Expendable supplies
Assumed
Verbal quotes
Actual/letter quotes
Actual/letter quotes
Reagents
Assumed
Verbal quotes
Letter/quotes/published
Actual/published prices
Parts
% of machinery cost
% of machinery cost
Letter/quotes or % mach.
Letter quotes
Seldom expected
If requested
If requested
If requested
Comparison/rejection
Preliminary feasibility
Final approval/finance
517
APPENDIX 3
Checklist for work normally required for the various
classes of estimate (after Northcote, 1998; Kerzner, 1992)
Estimate type
Item
Estimate type
Item
10%
15%
25%
Enquiry
Legibility
Copies
Schedule
Vendor enquiries
Subcontract packages
X
X
30%
10%
15%
Property protection
Accessibility to site
Major equipment
Listing
Site visit
Estimate bulks
Labour rates
Engineering
Routing diagrams
Construction indirects
Basis of estimate
X
X
Equipment list
Fire protection
Summary sheet
Sewer systems
X
X
Management review
Management approval
Computer estimate
10%
15%
25%
30%
Product
Process description
Capacity
Location specific
General
Process
Process block flow diagram
Equipment list
Miscellaneous
Transportation rates
Start-up
Royalties
Import/export rates
Financing data
Escalation
X
Escalation analysis
Contingency
Site
Soil conditions
Site clearance
518
Schedule
Overall timing of execution
Location general
Construction
Labour wage, labour on-costs, travel rates
Item
30%
Site
25%
HOME
1. Independent mining consultant, 2495 Marlborough Drive, Nanaimo BC V9S 3J6, Canada. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KHWHUPIURQWHQGORDGLQJ)(/ZDVUVWXVHGE\'X3RQW
DURXQG ,W ZDV RQH RI VHYHQ FULWLFDO VXFFHVV IDFWRUV LQ
WKH'X3RQWV\VWHPRIFDSLWDOSURMHFWPDQDJHPHQW'X3RQWV
V\VWHP LQFOXGHG WKUHH JDWHG VWDJHV RI SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW
EHIRUH SURMHFW VDQFWLRQ %HVWSUDFWLFH WRROV LQ WKLV DUHD ZHUH
DXWKRULVDWLRQ VLJQRIIV DJ SURFHVV PDNLQJ VXUH )(/ ZDV
FRPSOHWH DQG FRVW PDQDJHPHQWFRVW FRQWURO 'LVFLSOLQHG
EHKDYLRXUZDVDOVRUHTXLUHGWRKROGFKDQJHVWRDQDEVROXWH
PLQLPXP3RUWHU
)(/ ZDV WDNHQ XS E\ PDMRU FRPSDQLHV LQWHUQDWLRQDOO\
OHG E\ WKH ,QGXVWU\ %HQFKPDUNLQJ &RQVRUWLXP ,%& DQG
,QWHUQDWLRQDO 3URMHFW $QDO\VLV ,3$ )(/ LV QRZ EURDGO\
DFFHSWHG LQ PRVW FDSLWDOLQWHQVLYH LQGXVWULHV IRU H[DPSOH
LW LV LQFOXGHG LQ WKH EHVWSUDFWLFH JXLGH RI WKH &RQVWUXFWLRQ
,QGXVWULHV,QVWLWXWH&,,RIWKH86$ZKHUHLWLVFDOOHG
IURQWHQGSODQQLQJ
&DPXV VKRZHG WKDW WKH PDLQ VRXUFH RI FRUSRUDWH
YDOXHFUHDWLRQLQPLQLQJLVWKURXJKWKHDELOLW\WRFRQWLQXDOO\
LQFUHDVHSURVSHFWLYH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQGWUDQVIRUPWKHP
LQWR SURWDEOH HQWHUSULVHV DV HIIHFWLYHO\ DQG HIFLHQWO\ DV
SRVVLEOH 7KXV WKH YDOXH FUHDWHG LQ SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW
JHQHUDOO\ H[FHHGV YDOXH FUHDWHG LQ RSHUDWLRQV &RQYHUVHO\
PLVWDNHVPDGHLQSURMHFWGHYHORSPHQWFDQGUDVWLFDOO\GHSOHWH
YDOXHRUFDXVHDFRPSDQ\WRIDLO6WHYHQV
$ODUJHSURSRUWLRQRIWKHYDOXHGHOLYHUHGE\)(/LVGHULYHG
IURP VWRSSLQJ WKH FRPPHQFHPHQW RI GHWDLOHG GHVLJQ DQG
FRQVWUXFWLRQ RI VXEHFRQRPLF SURMHFWV $SSOLHG ULJRURXVO\
)(/ SURYLGHV TXDOLW\ LQIRUPDWLRQ DERXW VFRSH FRVW DQG
VFKHGXOHRQZKLFKWREDVHWKHDOOLPSRUWDQWSURMHFWVDQFWLRQ
GHFLVLRQ
)(/DOVRGHOLYHUVYDOXHE\HQDEOLQJDGYDQFHPHQWDVTXLFNO\
DQGVPRRWKO\DVSRVVLEOH7KLVKHOSVWRPLQLPLVHWKHWLPHRI
ODUJHVW H[SHQGLWXUH EHWZHHQ SURMHFW VDQFWLRQ DQG UHFHLSW RI
UVW SRVLWLYH FDVK RZ IURP VWDEOH RSHUDWLRQV UHVXOWLQJ LQ
HQKDQFHGSURMHFWQHWSUHVHQWYDOXH139
7KH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ KDV PRYHG RQ VLQFH WKH RULJLQDO
HGLWLRQ RI WKLV PRQRJUDSK ZDV SXEOLVKHG DQG )(/ KDV
EHFRPH WKH QRUP IRU SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW VWXGLHV DPRQJ
WHQSHUFHQWOHVVFRVW
VHYHQSHUFHQWVKRUWHUGHOLYHU\VFKHGXOH
YHSHUFHQWIHZHUFKDQJHV
+RZHYHUFRVWRYHUUXQVDQGGHOD\HGVWDUWXSVFRQWLQXHWR
RFFXU
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
519
)(/ GRHV QRW QHFHVVDULO\ DGG WR SURMHFW FRVWV RU UHTXLUH
PRUHHQJLQHHULQJ,QVWHDGLWPHDQVWKDWDKLJKHUSURSRUWLRQ
RI WKH WRWDO HQJLQHHULQJ DQG EXVLQHVV LQYHVWLJDWLRQV LV GRQH
EHIRUHSURMHFWVDQFWLRQ7KLVDGGLWLRQDOIURQWHQGZRUNLVDW
ULVN EHFDXVH WKH SURMHFW PD\ EH UHMHFWHG EXW WKLV LV D VPDOO
SULFHWRSD\IRUJUHDWHUFHUWDLQW\DQGEHWWHUGHFLVLRQPDNLQJ
,3$VVXUYH\RIPLQLQJLQGXVWU\SURMHFWVVXJJHVWVWKDWRQ
DYHUDJHEHVWSUDFWLFHGRHVLQYROYHPDUJLQDOO\PRUHXSIURQW
FRVW7KHLUVXUYH\VKRZHGWKDWSURMHFWVZLWKWKHEHVWSUDFWLFDO
OHYHORISURMHFWGHQLWLRQDQGLQWHJUDWHGWHDPVVSHQWSHU
FHQWRISURMHFWIXQGVDQGZHUHSHUFHQWGHVLJQFRPSOHWH
XSRQ DXWKRULVDWLRQ ZKHUHDV WKH DYHUDJH SURMHFWV VSHQW
SHUFHQWRIIXQGVDQGKDGFRPSOHWHGSHUFHQWRIGHVLJQ
XSRQDXWKRULVDWLRQ%LHU\+ROORQGVDQG<RXQJ
)(/ LV XVHG LQ WKH EDODQFH RI WKLV SDSHU DV D VKRUWKDQG
DEEUHYLDWLRQIRUWKHFRPELQDWLRQRI)(/DQG&,6RUVLPLODU
FIG 2 - Typical front-end loading guidance documents.
5HVRXUFHVDQG5HVHUYHVWKDWDUHVXIFLHQWDQGVHWWOHG
DWLJKWO\GHQHGVFRSH
HOLPLQDWLRQZKHUHYHUSRVVLEOHRIIXWXUHFKDQJHV
UHDOLVWLFVFKHGXOLQJ
UHFRJQLWLRQ RI ULVNV DQG LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI SODQV WR
PDQDJHULVNV
7RGD\ PDMRU FRPSDQLHV ZLWK LQKRXVH FDSLWDO SURMHFW
PDQDJHPHQWV\VWHPVKDYHQHFHVVDULO\GHQHGWKHREMHFWLYHV
DQGPHDQLQJVRIHDFKVWDJHPRUHSUHFLVHO\WKDQZDVWKHFDVH
EHIRUH)(/*HQHUDOO\)(/GHQLWLRQVDUHPRUHGHPDQGLQJ
WKDQWKHGHQLWLRQVRIVWXGLHVDYDLODEOHIURPVXFKDXWKRULWLHV
DV WKH 8QLWHG 1DWLRQV DQG 1DWLRQDO ,QVWUXPHQW WKH
6WDQGDUGVRI'LVFORVXUHIRU0LQHUDO3URMHFWVZLWKLQ&DQDGD
521
FKHFNLQJGHOLYHUDEOHV
SODQQLQJJDWHUHYLHZV
WKHVWXG\PDQDJHUUHTXLUHVFRQWULEXWLRQVIURPWKHRZQHUV
QRQWHFKQLFDO VSHFLDOLVWV ZKR DUH QRW IXOO\ LQWHJUDWHG
DV IXOOWLPH PHPEHUV RI WKH SURMHFW WHDP HJ WKRVH ZKR
KDQGOH KXPDQ UHVRXUFHV PDUNHWLQJ VXVWDLQDELOLW\ DQG
FRPPXQLW\$ERULJLQDODQGJRYHUQPHQWUHODWLRQV
)(/FRPSUHKHQVLYHVWXG\JXLGHOLQHVKHOSHQVXUHWKDWFDSLWDO
GHYHORSPHQWSURMHFWVDUHFRQVLVWHQWO\UHSRUWHGDQGPDQDJHG
LQ EXVLQHVV SODQQLQJ WHUPV RI ULVN DQG UHZDUG UDWKHU WKDQ
VLPSO\LQWHFKQRHFRQRPLFWHUPVRIFRVWDQGVFKHGXOH
8QIRUWXQDWHO\WKLVVWDQGDUGLVHGDSSURDFKFDQSURPRWH
VDPHDVODVWWLPHWKLQNLQJ2
XQUHDVRQDEOHH[SHFWDWLRQVZKHQVFKHGXOLQJDVWXG\DQG
JDWHVHJLWWDNHVORQJHUWKDQODVWWLPHDQG\HWWKHPDQDJHU
LVFRPPLWWHGWRJDWHGDWHVDQGUHYLHZHUVDYDLODELOLW\DW
FHUWDLQWLPHV
RYHUNLOO DW VWDJH RQH ZKHQ VXFK IXQGDPHQWDOV DV WKH
5HVRXUFHKDYHQRWEHHQHVWDEOLVKHGFRQYHUVHO\DSURMHFW
PD\EHGURSSHGSUHPDWXUHO\DWVWDJHRQHEHIRUHWKHIXOO
H[WHQWRIWKH5HVRXUFHLVXQGHUVWRRG
RYHUFRQGHQFH
,WLVFRPPRQLQPLQLQJSURMHFWVWRLQLWLDWHVHOHFWHG'HWDLOHG
(QJLQHHULQJ RQ SURMHFWFULWLFDO ORQJOHDG LWHPV VXFK DV D
VKDIWRUDFFHVVURDGEHIRUHWKH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\LVFRPSOHWHG
7KLVZRUNVKRXOGEHFDUULHGRXWE\DVHSDUDWHWHDPRXWVLGH
WKHVWXG\WDVNIRUFHVRWKDWWKHWDVNIRUFHFDQIRFXVRQLWVPDLQ
GHOLYHUDEOH WKH VWXG\ UHSRUW 'HWDLOHG (QJLQHHULQJ XVXDOO\
UHTXLUHVOHVVVHQLRUPRUHSURGXFWLYLW\RULHQWHGVWDII
:LWKWKHSRVVLEOHH[FHSWLRQRIVWDJH]HURDOOVWDJHVRISURMHFW
GHYHORSPHQWUHTXLUHDWHDPRISHRSOH)(/DQGWKHKLHUDUFK\
RIFRGLHGUHTXLUHPHQWVLOOXVWUDWHGLQ)LJXUHFDQVXSSRUWOHVV
H[SHULHQFHGWHDPPHPEHUVEXWGRQRWVXEVWLWXWHIRUFRPSHWHQW
OHDGHUVKLS%URDGO\H[SHULHQFHGPLQHPDNHUVDUHQHFHVVDU\
SDUWLFXODUO\LQVWDJHVRQHDQGWZR3URMHFWGHYHORSPHQWLVQRW
HDV\ WKHUH DUH PDQ\ FKDOOHQJHV WR RYHUFRPH DQG VXFFHVVIXO
PLQHV DUH PDGH QRW IRXQG 7HDP OHDGHUV PXVW KDYH WKH
H[SHULHQFHDQGFRQGHQFHWRFKDOOHQJHFRQYHQWLRQDOWKLQNLQJ
SXWIRUZDUGFRQVWUXFWLYHQHZLGHDVDQGDVNZKDWLI"/HDGHUV
ZLWKWKHVXSSRUWRIH[HFXWLYHPDQDJHPHQWPXVWEHSUHSDUHG
WRUHF\FOHSURMHFWVLILQWKHUVWLQVWDQFHWKH\GRQRWSDVVDJDWH
7KH\PXVWDOVREHSUHSDUHGWRUHFRPPHQGVKHOYLQJDSURMHFW
EHLWWHPSRUDULO\RUSHUPDQHQWO\
$VPDOORSHUDWRURUHYHQDQLQWHUPHGLDWHVL]HFRPSDQ\LV
XQOLNHO\WRKDYHLQYHVWHGPDQDJHPHQWDQGSURIHVVLRQDOWLPH
LQSURMHFWPDQDJHPHQWJXLGHOLQHVSROLFLHVHWF,WZLOOOLNHO\
UHO\ RQ LWV HQJLQHHULQJ FRPSDQ\V )(/ H[SHUWLVH ZKLFK LV
SUREDEO\JHDUHGWRZDUGVODUJHSURMHFWVDQGODUJHFRPSDQLHV
522
SODQQLQJD)(/VWDJHVWXG\
D SURMHFW VWXG\ WHDP RI H[WHUQDO HQJLQHHUV DGYLVRUV DQG
FRQVXOWDQWVLVEHLQJIRUPHGDQGDOLJQHG
UHTXHVWVIRUSURSRVDOVDUHEHLQJJHQHUDWHG
GHFLGLQJLIWKHUHDUHHQRXJK5HVRXUFHVWRMXVWLI\ODXQFKLQJ
DVWXG\
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
QRWLFH DQG WKH\ FRPH WR WKH SURMHFW FROG *RRG SUHSDUDWLRQ
IRU JDWH DQG LQGHSHQGHQW SHHU UHYLHZV SD\V GLYLGHQGV E\
SURPRWLQJ IUDQN DQG FRQVWUXFWLYH SURMHFW GLVFXVVLRQV DQG
PRUHPHDQLQJIXOUHFRPPHQGDWLRQV
*DWHFRPPLWWHHVDUHQRWQRUPDOO\GHFLVLRQPDNLQJERGLHV
EXWDSURMHFWPXVWUHFHLYHDJDWHSDVVEHIRUHLWLVVXEPLWWHG
IRUDIXWXUHIXQGLQJGHFLVLRQ
TABLE 1
The top seven of 26 influencers that promote project failures
in rank order (after Powell, 2003).
Rank
Influencer
Fire fighting
3URMHFWV FRQWLQXH WR JR ZURQJ LQ VSLWH RI )(/ 6WHYHQV
SURYLGHV D VREHULQJ OLVW RI PDMRU $XVWUDOLDQ SURMHFWV
WKDW VXIIHUHG VLJQLFDQW FRVW EORZRXWV $OWKRXJK SXEOLVKHG
UHSRUWV XVXDOO\ IRFXV RQ GUDPDWLF LQFUHDVHV LQ FDSLWDO FRVW
WKHUHDUHSOHQW\RIRWKHUSRWHQWLDOFDXVHVRIIDLOXUHRUDWOHDVW
FRUSRUDWH GLVDSSRLQWPHQW LQFOXGLQJ XQVDIH RU XQKHDOWK\
ZRUNLQJ FRQGLWLRQV SRRU SURGXFW TXDOLW\ KLJK RSHUDWLQJ
FRVWV ODWH KDQGRYHU DQG FRPPLVVLRQLQJ VWDNHKROGHU
REMHFWLRQV DQG HQYLURQPHQWDO UHOHDVHV )(/ LV H[SHFWHG WR
JXDUGDJDLQVWDOORIWKHVH
Incomplete specifications
TABLE 2
Other common project delivery issues.
Rank
Issues
Projects are allowed through gates despite deficiencies: the gate is not
rigorously applied.
Deficient Ore Reserves, for example not enough proven material for rampup or variations in ore physical properties underappreciated.
Too many changes are allowed because the scope is not tightly defined
in front-end loading (FEL) 3 with a view to eliminating as many optional
changes as possible.
Focusing on delivery
6KLOODEHHU DQG *\SWRQ SURYLGH JXLGDQFH DERXW KRZ
WRFRQGXFWDWKLUGSDUW\UHYLHZRID)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\DQGWKH
SDSHUSURYLGHVOLVWVRIWKHNH\TXHVWLRQVWRDVN
0LQLQJFRPSDQ\SURMHFWGHYHORSPHQWGRFXPHQWVJHQHUDOO\
LQFOXGH OLVWV RI GHOLYHUDEOHV DQG FKHFNOLVWV RI DUHDV WR FRYHU
GXULQJ JDWH UHYLHZV 7KHUH LV DOZD\V D FHUWDLQ DPRXQW RI
WLFN WKH ER[ WKLQNLQJ WKDW FDQ JR RQ GXULQJ HQJLQHHULQJ
FRPSDQ\DQGRZQHUJDWHUHYLHZV,QVRPHFDVHVWKHSUHVHQFH
RU FRPSOHWHQHVV RI D GHOLYHUDEOH LV FKHFNHG RII ZLWKRXW WKH
TXDOLW\RUDSSURSULDWHQHVVRIWKHGHOLYHUDEOHEHLQJFRQUPHG
)RU H[DPSOH LW LV HDV\ WR VXEPLW D UHVRXUFHORDGHG SURMHFW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
523
TABLE 3
Helpful execution questions at gate three.
No
Questions
Where are the physical and temporal boundaries between the scopes
of work assigned to different groups? What precautions were taken to
eliminate interface issues?
Does everyone share the same project vision and have the same
expectations of the investment? How do you know?
Have you checked the fine print in the estimate, including the exclusions
and assumptions? Do they correspond to the claimed precision, accuracy,
scope, schedule and quality?
When do you plan to start in the field? Is this the optimum, considering
the current status of engineering and procurement?
What time has been allocated for the next independent peer reviews? Is
the timing sufficient?
Many projects want to be fast track. What does that actually mean
in practice? How will fast track project management differ from
conventional? For example, will procurement decisions be made on
schedule regardless of the status of engineering deliverables? Has this
been recognised in the estimate?
10
11
What steps have been taken to eliminate as far as possible all changes
after sanction?
CONCLUSIONS
)(/ KDV FRQWULEXWHG WR LPSURYLQJ WKH TXDOLW\ RI SURMHFW
GHYHORSPHQW VWXGLHV DQG WKH GHFLVLRQV WKDW GHSHQG RQ
WKHP)(/LQPLQLQJGRHVQRWUHTXLUHUDGLFDOPRGLFDWLRQLW
GHVHUYHVEHWWHUDSSOLFDWLRQ7KHGLVFLSOLQHRISURMHFWH[HFXWLRQ
PDQDJHPHQW QRZ QHHGV WR DGYDQFH WR PDWFK WKH SURJUHVV
PDGH WKURXJK DGRSWLQJ )(/ LQ PLQLQJ SURMHFW VWXG\ VWDJHV
6RPHUHFRPPHQGDWLRQVIRUEHWWHUDSSOLFDWLRQDUHJLYHQEHORZ
RECOMMENDATIONS
524
5LJRURXVO\HQIRUFHUHYLHZVDQGJDWHSURFHVVHV'RQRWOHW
DSURMHFWDGYDQFHXQWLOLWKDVPHWDOOUHTXLUHPHQWV
%H H[LEOH DQG DGDSW FDSLWDO SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW
SURFHGXUHV LQ DGYDQFH WR WKH VSHFLF SDUDPHWHUV RI WKH
SURMHFW
:HHGRXWVDPHDVODVWWLPHWKLQNLQJ
)RFXVHIIRUWVRQGHQLQJVFRSHVDVWLJKWO\DVSRVVLEOHDQG
SUHSDUHDVFRSHGLFWLRQDU\
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRU ZRXOG OLNH WR WKDQN KLV FROOHDJXHV DW +DWFK
3DXO %XUURZV 0LFKDHO *UHHQ DQG *UHJ 5DPVD\ IRU WKHLU
LQVLJKWIXOVXJJHVWLRQVDQGFRPPHQWV
REFERENCES
%LHUU\ ) +ROORQGV $ DQG <RXQJ 5 0LQHUDOV DQG PHWDOV
SURMHFW SHUIRUPDQFH DQG LPSURYHPHQW RSSRUWXQLWLHV LQ
3URFHHGLQJV 3URMHFW (YDOXDWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&DPXV - 9DOXH FUHDWLRQ LQ WKH PLQLQJ EXVLQHVV Mining
Engineering
&RQVWUXFWLRQ ,QGXVWU\ ,QVWLWXWH 5HSRUW 9DOXH RI EHVW
SUDFWLFHV %00 >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZ
FRQVWUXFWLRQLQVWLWXWHRUJ!
&RQVWUXFWLRQ,QGXVWU\,QVWLWXWH%HVWSUDFWLFHJXLGHLPSURYLQJ
SURMHFWSHUIRUPDQFHGUDIW.QRZOHGJHDUHD3URMHFWSODQQLQJ
%HVW SUDFWLFH )URQW HQG SODQQLQJ >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP
KWWSZZZFRQVWUXFWLRQLQVWLWXWHRUJ!
&RRSHU . 0DQDJLQJ WKH G\QDPLFV RI SURMHFWV DQG FKDQJHV
$YDLODEOHIURPNHQFRRSHU#NFRRSHUDVVRFLDWHVFRP!
&RRSHU . DQG /HH * 0DQDJLQJ WKH G\QDPLFV RI SURMHFWV
DQG FKDQJHV DW )OXRU $YDLODEOH IURP NHQFRRSHU#
NFRRSHUDVVRFLDWHVFRP!
*\SWRQ & DQG :DUG ' )HDVLELOLW\ VWXG\ TXDOLW\ FDSLWDO
RYHUUXQV DQG LQYHVWPHQW GHFLVLRQ SUHVHQWHG WR 1RUWKZHVW
0LQLQJ$VVRFLDWLRQ&RQIHUHQFH'HFHPEHU
0DNHQ]LH:DQG&XVZRUWK17KHXVHDQGDEXVHRIIHDVLELOLW\
VWXGLHV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV 3URMHFW (YDOXDWLRQ SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0F&DUWK\ 3 / 1HZ PLQLQJ SURMHFWV H[SHFWDWLRQV DQG
RXWFRPHV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV 3$&5,0 SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
3RUWHU -U - % 'X3RQWV UROH LQ FDSLWDO SURMHFWV LQ Proceedings
*RYHUQPHQW)RUXP7KH2ZQHUV Role in Project Management and Pre
Project PlanningSS7KH1DWLRQDO$FDGHPLF3UHVV
3RZHOO 5 3URMHFW PDQDJHPHQW G\QDPLFV >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH
IURPKWWSZZZH[SRQHQWLDOLPSURYHPHQWFRP!
6KLOODEHHU-+/HVVRQVOHDUQHGGRLQJPLQLQJIHDVLELOLW\VWXGLHV
in Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good PracticeHG$((GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
6KLOODEHHU - + DQG *\SWRQ & +LJKOLJKWLQJ SURMHFW ULVN
IROORZLQJ FRPSOHWLRQ RI WKH IHDVLELOLW\ VWXG\ LQ Proceedings
0LQLQJ5LVN0DQDJHPHQWSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
6WHYHQV0'HOD\EQFRVWEORZRXWKLWV:RUVOH\The West
$XVWUDOLDQ-XQH
7D\ORU75%DQG)RUG'10DQDJLQJWLSSLQJSRLQWG\QDPLFV
LQ FRPSOH[ FRQVWUXFWLRQ SURMHFWV Journal of Construction
(QJLQHHULQJDQG0DQDJHPHQW-XQHSS
HOME
Whittle Optimisation
The Money Mining Methodology
and Its Impact on Ore Reserves
G Whittle1
ABSTRACT
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH VWDWHPHQWV PD\ EH DQ H[SUHVVLRQ RI JHRORJ\ EXW DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH VWDWHPHQW UHTXLUHV WKH FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI
HFRQRPLFGLPHQVLRQV%XWKRZLVHFRQRPLFGHQHG"
2YHUWKHODVWIHZGHFDGHVPDQ\WHFKQLTXHVKDYHEHHQGHYHORSHGWRRSWLPLVHPLQHGHVLJQORQJWHUPPLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJ
DQGSURGXFWLRQSODQV1HWSUHVHQWYDOXH139WKHVXPRIGLVFRXQWHGFDVKRZVLVJHQHUDOO\DFFHSWHGDVWKHSULPDU\PHDVXUH
RIHFRQRPLFYDOXHIRUDPLQLQJEXVLQHVV7KLVSDSHUGHVFULEHVWHQGLVWLQFWPRQH\PLQLQJRU139RSWLPLVDWLRQWHFKQLTXHVDOO
RIZKLFKFKDQJHWKHDPRXQWRIPDWHULDOWUHDWHGDVRUH
7KHFRQFOXVLRQLVWKDWWKHTXDQWLFDWLRQRI2UH5HVHUYHVLVDQRXWFRPHRIWKHSODQQLQJDQGRSWLPLVDWLRQSURFHVVQRWDQLQSXW
DVLWLVRIWHQUHJDUGHG
1. MAusIMM, Managing Director, Whittle Consulting Pty Ltd, Suite 8, 660 Canterbury Road, Surrey Hills Vic 3127. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
0RQH\KDVDWLPHYDOXH2SSRUWXQLW\FRVWULVNDQGLQDWLRQ
PHDQ WKDW D GROODU LV ZRUWK PRUH WRGD\ WKDQ LQ VD\ YH
\HDUV1HWSUHVHQWYDOXH139WKHVXPRIGLVFRXQWHGFDVK
RZVLVXVHGWKURXJKRXWWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\DVDVLPSOH
PHDVXUHRIHFRQRPLFYDOXH
7KHWHUPHFRQRPLFDOO\PLQHDEOHLPSOLHVWKDWH[WUDFWLRQRI
the Ore Reserves has been demonstrated to be viable under
UHDVRQDEOH QDQFLDO DVVXPSWLRQV 7KLV ZLOO YDU\ ZLWK WKH
W\SHRIGHSRVLWWKHOHYHORIVWXG\WKDWKDVEHHQFDUULHGRXW
DQG WKH QDQFLDO FULWHULD RI WKH LQGLYLGXDO FRPSDQ\ )RU
WKLV UHDVRQ WKHUH FDQ EH QR [HG GHQLWLRQ IRU WKH WHUP
HFRQRPLFDOO\PLQHDEOH. -25&
'RHVHFRQRPLFDOO\PLQHDEOHPHDQ
:KDWFDQEHPLQHGDQGSURFHVVHGZKHUHWKHVXPRIDOO
PDWHULDO PLQHG DQG SURFHVVHG LV DERYH EUHDNHYHQ FDVK
RZLHGRQWJREURNH"
:KDW FDQ EH PLQHG DQG SURFHVVHG ZKHUH DOO SDUWV DUH
LQGLYLGXDOO\ DERYH EUHDNHYHQ FDVK RZ LH PD[LPLVH
FDVK"
:KHQ DOO WKH PDWHULDO PLQHG DQG SURFHVVHG SURGXFHV
D QHW FDVK RZ DERYH D VSHFLHG PDUJLQ RU SURYLGHV D
UHTXLUHG LQWHUQDO UDWH RI UHWXUQ ,55 RQ LQYHVWPHQW LH
PHHWVDKXUGOHUDWHVHWE\WKHFRPSDQ\"
:KDW PD[LPLVHV HFRQRPLF YDOXH PHDVXUHG E\ 139 RU
,55"
7KHTXDQWLFDWLRQRIZKDWDPRXQWRIPDWHULDOLVHFRQRPLF
FRXOGYDU\JUHDWO\GHSHQGLQJRQWKHGHQLWLRQXVHG
,QWKLVSDSHULWLVDVVXPHGWKDWWKHREMHFWLYHRIDFRPPHUFLDO
RUJDQLVDWLRQLHPLQLQJFRPSDQ\LVWRPD[LPLVHLWVHFRQRPLF
7KHUH DUH PDQ\ IDFWRUV WKDW DIIHFW WKH HFRQRPLFV RI DQ
LQGLYLGXDOSDUWRID0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
PLQHUDOJUDGHVYDOXDEOHHOHPHQWVDQGFRQWDPLQDQWV
UHFRYHU\LQWKHFKRVHQSURFHVVLQJVWUHDP
SURGXFW SURGXFHG HJ GLIIHUHQW OLWKRORJLHV SURGXFH
QDWXUDOO\GLIIHUHQWFRQFHQWUDWHJUDGHTXDOLW\
PHWDOSULFH
ORFDWLRQ RI WKH SRWHQWLDO RUH EORFN ZLWKLQ WKH 5HVRXUFH
GHSWKDQGWKHVXUURXQGLQJJHRWHFKQLFDOHQYLURQPHQW
LWVDFFHVVLELOLW\
ORFDWLRQ RI WKH 5HVRXUFH ZLWK UHJDUGV WR LQIUDVWUXFWXUH
VHUYLFHVDQGREVWDFOHV
FRVWRIPLQLQJSURFHVVLQJDQGVHOOLQJZKLFKFDQGHSHQG
RQ SK\VLFDO SURSHUWLHV OLNH KDUGQHVV DEUDVLYHQHVV
GHQVLW\LQVOXUU\FKHPLFDOSURSHUWLHVDQGORFDWLRQ
UDWHRIWKURXJKSXWDVWKLVDIIHFWVWKHUDWHDWZKLFKLWVQHW
FDVKFDQEHJHQHUDWHGDQGGULYHV139
WHQXUHFDQWKHFRPSDQ\WDNHLW"
7KH IROORZLQJ GLVFXVVLRQ GHVFULEHV WKH PHFKDQLVPV WKDW
FDQEHDSSOLHGWRPD[LPLVHHFRQRPLFYDOXH139DQGKRZ
WKHVH PD\ DIIHFW WKH TXDQWLFDWLRQ RI 2UH 5HVHUYHV LH WKH
GHQLWLRQRIRUH
525
UHYLVH2UH5HVHUYHVWDWHPHQWV
SXEOLVK D PLQHSURGXFWLRQ SODQ WKDW GRHV QRW XVH WKH
VDPHPDWHULDODVLQWKH2UH5HVHUYHV
GHYHORS D PLQHSURGXFWLRQ SODQ WKDW XVHV WKH 2UH
5HVHUYHV EXW LV QRW RSWLPDO IURP DQ 139 YLHZSRLQW LH
VWDWHG5HVHUYHVKDYHEHFRPHDFRQVWUDLQW
0RQH\ PLQLQJ PRUH IRUPDOO\ FDOOHG HQWHUSULVH
RSWLPLVDWLRQ LQYROYHV D WHQVWHS SURFHVV WKDW HQFRPSDVVHV
WKHODWHVWGHYHORSPHQWVLQ139RSWLPLVDWLRQ
,QDGGLWLRQWRXQGHUVWDQGLQJWKHDFFXUDF\RIWKHJHRORJLFDO
UHVRXUFH PRGHO LW LV HVVHQWLDO WKDW WKH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV
526
Whittle Optimisation The Money Mining Methodology and Its Impact on Ore Reserves|G Whittle
7RFRPSOLFDWHPDWWHUVWKHRSSRUWXQLW\FRVWGLPLQLVKHVWR
]HUR DV WKH 5HVRXUFH LV GHSOHWHG 7KHUHIRUH WKH RSWLPDO
FXWRIIJUDGHIRU139GHVFHQGVWRWKHPDUJLQDOFXWRII
JUDGHDWWKHHQGRIWKHPLQHOLIH7KHUHVXOWVLQWKHDEVHQFH
RIVWRFNSLOLQJSRVVLELOLWLHVFDQEHWKDWSHUFHQWRUPRUH
RI PDWHULDO SUHYLRXVO\ UHJDUGHG DV RUH LV GLVFDUGHG DV
ZDVWH7KLVFDQEHFDOOHGWKHKDUGFXWRIIVLWXDWLRQXVH
LWRUORVHLW/HVV2UH5HVHUYHVEXWPRUH139
Stockpiling LQ FRPELQDWLRQ ZLWK FXWRII JUDGH
RSWLPLVDWLRQ LI ORZHU YDOXH PDWHULDO FDQ EH VWRFNSLOHG
UDWKHU WKDQ GLVFDUGHG LW FDQ EH SURFHVVHG ODWHU 7KHUH
ZLOO VWLOO EH VRPH ORVV RI RUH IURP WKH FXWRII JUDGH
RSWLPLVDWLRQ DV VWRFNSLOH UHKDQGOLQJ FRVWV DQG SRVVLEO\
ORZHUUHFRYHULHVQHHGWREHFRQVLGHUHG
Blending optimisation GXHWRSODQWVHQVLWLYLW\RUSURGXFW
VSHFLFDWLRQOLPLWVLWPD\EHQHFHVVDU\WRFRQWUROFHUWDLQ
JUDGHV RI WKH SULPDU\ FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RU GHOHWHULRXV
HOHPHQWVLQWKHEOHQG%OHQGLQJLVDIXQFWLRQRIWLPHDQG
SODFHVRZKHWKHUD5HVRXUFHEORFNPDNHVSURGXFWLRQRU
QRW GHSHQGV RQ ZKDW RWKHU EORFNV DUH DYDLODEOH DW WKDW
WLPH2UHFDQQRWWKHUHIRUHEHGHQHGXQWLODQRSWLPLVHG
OLIHRIPLQHVFKHGXOHKDVEHHQSURGXFHG
Processing calibration optimisation LQ D W\SLFDO PLOO LW LV
SRVVLEOHWRFKDQJHWKHJULQGVL]HRYHUWLPHZLWKDQLPSDFW
RQ WKH SODQW WKURXJKSXW DQG UHFRYHU\ GRZQVWUHDP
7KHUH LV DQ RSSRUWXQLW\ FRVW RI ORQJ UHVLGHQFH WLPHV WR
DFKLHYH QH JULQGV ZKHQ FRDUVHU JULQGV FDQ SURGXFH
KLJKHU WKURXJKSXW DOEHLW LW DW ORZHU UHFRYHULHV 7R
FRPSOLFDWH PDWWHUV WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ FRVW GLPLQLVKHV WR
]HUR DV WKH 5HVRXUFH LV GHSOHWHG 7KHUHIRUH WKH RSWLPDO
JULQG VL]H JHQHUDOO\ GHVFHQGV WR WKH QHVW ORZHVW
WKURXJKSXWKLJKHVWUHFRYHU\DWWKHHQGRIWKHPLQHOLIH
7RIXUWKHUFRPSOLFDWHPDWWHUVLIXSVWUHDPRUGRZQVWUHDP
ERWWOHQHFNV DULVH D VZLWFK WR QHJULQGPD[LPLVLQJ
UHFRYHU\LVOLNHO\WREHWKHEHVWVWUDWHJ\$WFRDUVHUJULQG
VL]HVUHFRYHULHVDUHORZHUEXWZLWKKLJKHUWKURXJKSXW
VKRUWHUUHVLGHQFHWLPHVWKHSURFHVVLQJFRVWVDUHORZHU$V
DUHVXOWPDUJLQDODQGRSWLPDOFXWRIIJUDGHVQHHGWREH
UHFDOFXODWHGDQGWKHVHZLOOFKDQJHRYHUWLPHRQFHDJDLQ
DIIHFWLQJRUHGHQLWLRQ
3URGXFWVSHFLFDWLRQRSWLPLVDWLRQDQLQWHUPHGLDWHSURGXFW
OLNHDFRQFHQWUDWHRUEXONFRPPRGLW\VXFKDVFRDORULURQ
RUHFDQYDU\LQVSHFLFDWLRQZLWKDFRQVHTXHQFHRQ
D WKHSULFHIRUZKLFKLWFDQEHVROG
E WKHDPRXQWRIWKH5HVRXUFHWKDWFDQPDNHSURGXFWLRQ
LHUHVRXUFHUHFRYHU\
7R FRPSOLFDWH PDWWHUV WKH RSWLPDO RXWFRPH LV OLNHO\ WR
LQYROYHDFKDQJLQJSURGXFWVSHFLFDWLRQRYHUWLPH3ULFH
DQGUHFRYHU\DIIHFWWKHGHQLWLRQRIRUH
7KHVH WHQ VWHSV LQWHUDFW ZLWK HDFK RWKHU VR WKH\ PXVW EH
XQGHUWDNHQVLPXOWDQHRXVO\DVSDUWRIDQLQWHJUDWHGSODQQLQJ
SURFHVV 7KH UHVXOW LV PRVW RIWHQ VPDOOHU DQG VKRUWHU OLIH
RSHUDWLRQV ZLWK IHZHU RUH WRQQHV WKRXJK QRW DOZD\V DQG
VXEVWDQWLDOO\KLJKHU139VYHWRSHUFHQWRUVXEVWDQWLDOO\
PRUH
7KHEHVWWLPHWRDSSO\WKHHQWHUSULVHRSWLPLVDWLRQDSSURDFK
LV LQ WKH HDUO\ VWDJH RI SODQQLQJ DQG HFRQRPLF HYDOXDWLRQ
7KH HDUO\ UHVXOWV GXULQJ 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ 3)6 FDQ
VXEVWDQWLDOO\ FKDQJH WKH HFRQRPLF VKDSLQJ RI D SURMHFW DQG
SURYLGHGLUHFWLRQDQGIRFXVIRUWKHPRUHGHWDLOHG'HQLWLYH
)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ ')6 RQ ZKLFK QDO HYDOXDWLRQ DQG WKH
GHFLVLRQWRSURFHHGZLOOEHPDGH
CASE STUDY
7KH IROORZLQJ H[DPSOH LOOXVWUDWHV WKH HIIHFW RI WKHVH
PHFKDQLVPV RQ WKH DPRXQW RI PDWHULDO SURFHVVHG DQG
WKHUHIRUHRQ2UH5HVHUYHV
$QH[DPSOHFRSSHUSRUSK\U\GHSRVLWFRQWDLQLQJYDOXDEOH
FRSSHUDQGJROGZDVXVHG$PDQXDOPLQHGHVLJQDQGSODQ
ZDV GHYHORSHG XVLQJ SDUWLFXODU VHWWLQJV DQG DVVXPSWLRQV
(step 07KHWHQRSWLPLVDWLRQVWHSVZHUHWKHQSURJUHVVLYHO\
DSSOLHG HDFK RQH DGGLQJ WR WKH HFRQRPLF YDOXH 139 EXW
KDYLQJ D YDULHW\ RI HIIHFWV RQ WKH DPRXQW RI RUH SURFHVVHG
RYHUWKHPLQHOLIH7DEOHVKRZVWKHUHVXOWV
TABLE 1
Effect of progressive optimisation steps.
Step
Case
Net
present
value $ M
% versus
previous
Ore Mt
% versus
previous
Manual
1507
Pit
1587
5.3
349
7.0
Phases
1737
9.4
303
-13.4
Schedule
1798
3.5
319
5.3
Cut-off
1934
7.6
285
-10.7
327
Stockpiles
1985
2.7
317
11.4
Simultaneous
2176
9.6
312
-1.7
Process
2292
5.3
319
2.2
Product
2411
5.2
319
0.0
Logistics
2552
5.8
313
-1.8
10
Capital
2606
2.2
292
-6.7
Overall
73.0
-10.6
1RWHLQWKLVFDVHVWXG\WKHUHLVQREOHQGLQJLQYROYHG6WHS
WKHUHIRUH UHSUHVHQWV D UHRSWLPLVDWLRQ RI DOO YH SUHYLRXV
VWHSV VLPXOWDQHRXVO\ +DYLQJ FKDQJHG WKH FXWRII JUDGH
VXEVWDQWLDOO\ VWHS DQG LQWURGXFHG VWRFNSLOLQJ VWHS
PHDQVWKDWWKHSLWVVWHSSKDVHVVWHSDQGPLQHVFKHGXOH
VWHSQHHGWREHUHYLVLWHG
527
SRVVLEOHDVWKHRXWFRPHVFDQFRQVLGHUDEO\FKDQJHWKHVKDSH
VFDOHDQGGHVLJQRIWKHRSHUDWLRQ7KHLGHDOWLPHIRUFHUWDLQ
VWDJHVLVDVIROORZV
528
REFERENCES
/DQH.)7KH(FRQRPLF'HQLWLRQRI2UH0LQLQJ-RXUQDO%RRNV
/LPLWHG
/HUFKV + DQG *URVVPDQQ , ) 2SWLPXP GHVLJQ RI RSHQ SLW
PLQHVCIM Bulletin-DQXDU\
HOME
XVLQJUHDOLVWLFORQJWHUPFRVWDQGUHYHQXHDVVXPSWLRQVIRUFXWRIIJUDGHDQG5HVHUYHFDOFXODWLRQV
XVLQJWKHDFWXDOFRVWRIFDSLWDODVWKHGLVFRXQWUDWHLQHFRQRPLFDQDO\VLV
VHOHFWLQJDSURGXFWLRQUDWHWKDWPD[LPLVHVVKDUHKROGHUUHWXUQV
EXLOGLQJ SURMHFWV ZLWK RSWLRQDOLW\ DQG H[LELOLW\ IRU IXWXUH SURGXFWLRQ LQFUHDVHV WR ERRVW OHYHUDJH WR SRVLWLYH JROG SULFH
PRYHPHQWV
*ROGFRPSDQLHVVKRXOGUHDOLVHWKDWELJJHULVQRWDOZD\VEHWWHUZKHQLWFRPHVWRSURMHFWVL]HDQGWKDWHTXLW\PDUNHWVDUHZLOOLQJ
WRSODFHDSUHPLXPRQFRPSDQLHVWKDWDUHDEOHWRUHWXUQFDSLWDOWRVKDUHKROGHUV
1. MAusIMM, Analyst, Pacific Road Capital Management, Level 23, 1 Alfred Street, Sydney NSW 2000. Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM, Analyst, Pacific Road Capital Management, Level 23, 1 Alfred Street, Sydney NSW 2000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
6LQFH JROG HTXLWLHV KDYH XQGHUSHUIRUPHG FRPSDUHG
WRWKHDSSUHFLDWLRQRIWKHSK\VLFDOJROGSULFH%HWZHHQ
DQG WKH VSRW JROG SULFH LQFUHDVHG SHU FHQW IURP
86R]WRLQH[FHVVRI86R]KRZHYHUGXULQJWKLV
WLPHWKH6 3JOREDOJROGHTXLW\LQGH[LQFUHDVHGMXVWSHU
FHQWVHH)LJXUH7KHUHDUHDQXPEHURIWKHRULHVDVWRZK\
JROG HTXLWLHV KDYH XQGHUSHUIRUPHG FRPSDUHG WR SK\VLFDO
JROG 7KH PDMRU UHDVRQ SURSRVHG LV WKH HPHUJHQFH RI JROG
H[FKDQJHWUDGHGIXQGV(7)VZKLFKKDYHDEVRUEHGFDSLWDO
WKDW RWKHUZLVH ZRXOG KDYH EHHQ LQYHVWHG LQ JROG HTXLWLHV
:KLOH(7)VPD\EHSDUWLDOO\UHVSRQVLEOHIRUXQGHUSHUIRUPLQJ
JROG HTXLWLHV WKLV SDSHU DUJXHV WKDW SDUW RI WKH ODJJLQJ
SHUIRUPDQFHRIJROGPLQLQJFRPSDQLHVRYHUWKHSDVWGHFDGH
FDQ EH DWWULEXWHG WR WKH IDLOXUH RI FRPSDQLHV WR PD[LPLVH
VKDUHKROGHUYDOXH
$ NH\ UHDVRQ IRU WKLV DSSHDUV WR EH WKDW FRPSDQ\ ERDUGV
DQGPDQDJHPHQWDUHPRUHIRFXVHGRQYROXPHJURZWKWKDQ
SURWDELOLW\ DQG WKH UHWXUQ RQ VKDUHKROGHU FDSLWDO 7KLV LV
GHPRQVWUDWHGE\WKHVHWKUHHIDFWRUVFRPPRQDPRQJVWJROG
FRPSDQLHVWRGD\VLQGXVWU\
8WLOLVLQJ ORZHU FXWRII JUDGHV ,QFUHDVLQJ JROG SULFHV
RSWLPLVWLFIRUHFDVWVRIWKHHIIHFWVRIHFRQRPLHVRIVFDOHDQG
WKH SXVK WR LQFUHDVH PLQH OLIH DOO FRQWULEXWH WR UHGXFLQJ
FXWRIIJUDGHV7KHLSVLGHLVRIWHQWKHLQFOXVLRQRIODUJH
TXDQWLWLHV RI ORZHUJUDGH PDUJLQDO RUH LQWR 5HVHUYHV
UHVXOWLQJLQORZHU5HVHUYHJUDGHVKLJKHURSHUDWLQJFDVK
FRVWV SHU R] DQG PLQRU XFWXDWLRQV LQ WKH JROG SULFH
UHGXFLQJRSHUDWLQJPDUJLQV
Building larger projects. $ FRPELQDWLRQ RI PDUNHW IRUFHV
WKH SHUFHSWLRQ WKDW HTXLWLHV PDUNHWV ZDQW SURMHFWV WKDW
SURGXFH LQ H[FHVV RI NR] JROG SHU \HDU DQG ORZHU
5HVHUYHJUDGHVIURPWKHORZHU5HVRXUFHFXWRIIJUDGHV
DUH GULYLQJ FRPSDQLHV WR GHYHORS PLQLQJ SURMHFWV RI
LQFUHDVHG VFDOH DQG WKXV JUHDWHU DVVRFLDWHG FDSLWDO
VSHQGLQJ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
529
FIG 1 - Gold price and global gold equities performance (source: Bloomberg).
d
'
'
ZdD
Using low discount rates in the project analysis. 7KH XVH RI
ORZ GLVFRXQW UDWHV FDQ UHVXOW LQ DGGLWLRQDO 5HVRXUFHV
EHLQJ LQFOXGHG DV 5HVHUYHV LQ PLQH SODQV WKDW DUH
VXERSWLPDO +LVWRULFDOO\ HTXLWLHV PDUNHWV KDYH YDOXHG
JROG SURGXFHUV DW D SUHPLXP WR WKHLU QHW SUHVHQW YDOXH
139GXHWRWKHEHOLHILQWKHH[SORUDWLRQSRWHQWLDORIWKH
SURMHFW7KLVSUHPLXPDSSHDUVWRKDYHGLVDSSHDUHGIURP
HTXLW\YDOXDWLRQVZLWKPDUNHWVWRGD\YDOXLQJFRPSDQLHV
DWDGLVFRXQWWRSURMHFW139
$V D UHVXOW RI WKH FKDQJHG JOREDO HFRQRP\ DQG RSHUDWLQJ
HQYLURQPHQWVLWKDVEHFRPHPRUHFULWLFDOWKDQHYHUWKDWPLQLQJ
FRPSDQLHVRSWLPLVHWKHLU5HVHUYHVDQGFRUUHVSRQGLQJPLQH
SODQVWRDFKLHYHWKHPD[LPXPUHWXUQIRUWKHLUVKDUHKROGHUV
7KLVSDSHUZLOORXWOLQHFRPPRQRYHUVLJKWVPDGHE\YDULRXV
FRPSDQLHV DQG GHPRQVWUDWH PHWKRGV E\ ZKLFK FRPSDQLHV
FDQPD[LPLVHWKHYDOXHRIWKHLUPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQVDQGWKXV
UHWXUQIRUVKDUHKROGHUV
K'
FDQKDYHWKHHIIHFWRIGHFUHDVLQJWKHPLQHFDSLWDOFRVWZKLOVW
LQFUHDVLQJ WKH PLQHG JUDGH WKH UHVXOW EHLQJ D UHGXFWLRQ LQ
FRVWV )LJXUH VKRZV WKH WKHRUHWLFDO JUDGH WRQQDJH FXUYH
XVHGIRUWKLVDQDO\VLV
)LJXUHLOOXVWUDWHVKRZWKH139RIDSURMHFWFDQLQFUHDVH
ZLWKJUHDWHUFXWRIIJUDGHVWRDSRLQWZKHUHWKHPLQHOLIHLV
VXIFLHQWO\ VKRUWHQHG DQG WKH 139 GHFOLQHV 7KH RSWLPDO
WKURXJKSXWZDVFDOFXODWHGXVLQJ7D\ORUVUXOH7D\ORUVUXOH
LVDQHPSLULFDOUHODWLRQVKLSEHWZHHQ5HVHUYHWRQQHPLQHOLIH
DQGSURGXFWLRQUDWH7D\ORU
,W LV VLJQLFDQW WR QRWH WKDW D ORZHU FXWRII JUDGH ELJJHU
SURMHFW UHVXOWV LQ WKH PD[LPXP 139 ZKLOVW D KLJKHU FXW
RII JUDGH PD[LPLVHV WKH ,55 IRU WKH SURMHFW UHVXOWLQJ LQ D
VPDOOHUPRUHSURWDEOHSURMHFW7KHVHQGLQJVDUHVXSSRUWHG
E\:KLWWOHZKRDUJXHVWKDW
WKH XVH RI GHFUHDVLQJ FXWRII JUDGHV LV ODUJHO\ GULYHQ
by the assertion that bigger projects are better projects.
Having larger deposits seems to imply that the project has
YDOLGLW\ YLDELOLW\ HFRQRPLFV RI VFDOH DQG LQWULQVLF YDOXH
>KRZHYHU WKHUH LV D@ VLJQLFDQW GLIIHUHQFH EHWZHHQ WKH
maximum tonnes that are economic and the tonnes that
maximise economic value. :KLWWOH
Maximising the Value of Open Pit Gold Reserves Where Are We Getting It Right?|S Butel and A Ferrier
FIG 3 - Net present value and internal rate of return by cut-off grade (g/t).
:KHQDQDO\VLQJFXWRIIJUDGHLWFDQEHVHHQWKDWLQFUHDVLQJ
WKHFRPPRGLW\SULFHOHDGVWRWKHXVHRIDORZHUFXWRIIJUDGH
DQGSRWHQWLDOO\DODUJHUSURMHFW'HFUHDVLQJWKHGLVFRXQWUDWH
DOVRSXVKHVWKHPD[LPXP139FXUYHWRWKHOHIWDQGLPSOLHV
WKDWDORZHUFXWRIIJUDGHDQGKHQFHDORZHUPLQHDEOHJUDGH
PD[LPLVHVYDOXH
531
TABLE 1
Summary of input distributions and parameters.
Parameter
Average
Standard
deviation
Distribution
31
5%
Normal
Grade (g/t)
1.0
5%
Normal
Recovery (%)
Gold price
90
5%
Normal
1650
15%
Normal
7KHRWKHUDVVXPSWLRQVXVHGZHUH
532
VWULSUDWLRRIZDVWHRUH
FDSLWDOH[SHQGLWXUHRI0SHU0WDSODQW
PLQLQJFRVWRIWPLQHGIRUD0WDRSHUDWLRQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
SURFHVVLQJFRVWRIWSURFHVVHGIRUD0WDSODQW
GLVFRXQWUDWHRIWHQSHUFHQW
(1)
)RUH[DPSOHLID0WDSODQWFRVWV0WKHFRVWRID
0WD SODQW LV 0 ,Q WHUPV RI WKH RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV LI
SURFHVVLQJFRVWVDUHWDW0WDWKHSURFHVVLQJFRVWVDW
0WDDUHW
7KH0RQWH&DUORVLPXODWLRQORRNHGDWWKUHHVFHQDULRV
8VH 7D\ORUV UXOH WR FDOFXODWH WKH RSWLPDO WKURXJKSXW $V
VWDWHG E\ 0F6SDGGHQ DQG 6FKDDS WKH UXOH ZRUNV
ZHOOIRUPRVWW\SHRIGHSRVLWV7KLVLVVXUSULVLQJJLYHQWKH
UXOHGRHVQRWDFFRXQWIRUJUDGHRUSURGXFWLRQFRVWVWZR
LPSRUWDQWIDFWRUVLQWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\
6HWV WKH SURGXFWLRQ OHYHO RI NR] SHU \HDU -XQLRU PLQLQJ
FRPSDQLHV DUH XQGHU SUHVVXUH WR SURGXFH )HDVLELOLW\
6WXGLHVWKDWVKRZSURGXFWLRQLQH[FHVVRINR]D7KLV
LVVHHQLQWKHSXEOLFPDUNHWVDVWKHQHFHVVDU\SURGXFWLRQWR
VWDQGRXWIURPWKHFURZGDQGEHFRPHDSRWHQWLDOWDNHRYHU
WDUJHW
Sets the throughput7KLVPD[LPLVHVWKH139RIWKHSURMHFW
7KHVH VFHQDULRV FDQ EH YLHZHG DV D SUR[\ IRU WKUHH
SHUVSHFWLYHV RQ SURMHFW DQDO\VLV VFHQDULR LV PLQLQJ
HQJLQHHULQJVFHQDULRLVFRUSRUDWHKHDGRIFHDQDO\VLVDQG
VFHQDULRLVQDQFLDODQDO\VWV7KHUHVXOWVRIWKH0RQWH&DUOR
VLPXODWLRQDUHVKRZQLQ7DEOH
TABLE 2
Results of Monte Carlo simulation.
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Taylors Rule
100 koz pa
Maximum
net present
value
Throughput (Mt/a)
2.1
3.5
7.8
Capital expenses ($ M)
155
210
342
168
246
312
28%
37%
40%
6%
4%
12%
Kurtosis
0.1
-0.2
-0.2
Description
$V)LJXUHKLJKOLJKWVWKHRSWLPXPWKURXJKSXWFDOFXODWHG
LQ WKH PD[LPXP 139 VFHQDULR VFHQDULR LV WKH KLJKHVW
WKURXJKSXW FDOFXODWHG IURP WKH WKUHH VFHQDULRV ,W LV QHDUO\
IRXU WLPHV WKH WKURXJKSXW RI WKH RSWLPXP WKURXJKSXW
FDOFXODWHG E\ 7D\ORUV UXOH VFHQDULR 7KH SUREDELOLW\
GLVWULEXWLRQRIWKHWKUHHVFHQDULRVLVVKRZQLQ)LJXUH,WLV
LPSRUWDQWWRQRWHWKDWZKLOHVFHQDULRDFKLHYHVWKHKLJKHVW
PD[LPXP139LWVULVNLVKLJKHUWKDQWKHRWKHUWZRVFHQDULRV
,QWKLVLQVWDQFHWKHULVNRIDSURMHFWLVGHQHGDVWKHSURMHFW
KDYLQJDQHJDWLYH1397KHKLJKHUULVNLQVFHQDULRLVVKRZQ
EHFDXVHWKHGLVWULEXWLRQKDVQHJDWLYHNXUWRVLVIDWWDLOV
Maximising the Value of Open Pit Gold Reserves Where Are We Getting It Right?|S Butel and A Ferrier
Economies of scale
7RH[DPLQHWKHHIIHFWVRIHFRQRPLHVRIVFDOHZHFUHDWHGWKUHH
OHYHOVRIHFRQRPLHVRIVFDOHKLJKORZDQGQRQH[LVWHQW
^K
5HUXQQLQJWKH0RQWH&DUORVLPXODWLRQXVLQJVFHQDULRV$
% DQG & LV VKRZQ LQ 7DEOH 7KH JUDSK GHPRQVWUDWHV WKH
GDQJHUV RI XVLQJ DJJUHVVLYH HFRQRPLHVRIVFDOH QXPEHUV LQ
GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH RSWLPDO SURGXFWLRQ UDWH IRU D SURMHFW LI WKH
HFRQRPLFVRIVFDOHGRQRWHYHQWXDWHLQUHDOLW\
^d
W
^d
WEWsh^D
6FHQDULR $ LV WKH VDPH 139 FXUYH VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH
6FHQDULR%ORZHFRQRPLHVRIVFDOHVKRZVWKDWWKHPD[LPXP
139 LV JHQHUDWHG DW D WKURXJKSXW UDWH RI DSSUR[LPDWHO\
0WDKRZHYHUVFHQDULR%GLIIHUVIURPVFHQDULR$LQWKDW
WKH HFRQRPLF UHWXUQV GHFUHDVH VWHDGLO\ DERYH 0WD 7KLV
LVEHFDXVHWKHLQFUHDVLQJFDSLWDOFRVWVRIDKLJKHUSURGXFWLRQ
UDWH RXWZHLJK WKH FRVW EHQHWV RI WKH GHFUHDVLQJ RSHUDWLQJ
FRVWVDWKLJKHUSURGXFWLRQUDWHV6FHQDULR&QRHFRQRPLHVRI
VFDOHWDNHVWKHDQDO\VLVRQHVWHSIXUWKHU,QWKLVVFHQDULRWKH
RSWLPDO WKURXJKSXW LV ORZHU DJDLQ DQG WKH PD[LPXP 139
DSSUR[LPDWHO\FRUUHVSRQGVZLWK0WD+HQFHUHPRYLQJ
VRPH RI WKH HFRQRPLHV RI VFDOH VKRZV D UHGXFWLRQ LQ WKH
RSWLPDOVFDOHRISURGXFWLRQ
TABLE 3
Economies of scale assumptions.
Scenario
Economics of scale
Scenario A
Scenario B
Scenario C
High
Low
Non-existent
0.6
0.8
1.0
-0.2
-0.1
^d
350
^d
300
250
ScenarioA
ScenarioB
WEWsh^
WEWsh^
200
ScenarioC
150
100
dW
50
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
dW
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
Discount rate
7KHDERYHDQDO\VLVZDVFRPSOHWHGDVVXPLQJDGLVFRXQWUDWH
RIWHQSHUFHQW,IWKHGLVFRXQWUDWHLVUHGXFHGWRYHSHUFHQW
DUDWHFRPPRQO\DSSOLHGLQWKHJROGLQGXVWU\WKHUHVXOWV
EHFRPHPRUHLQWHUHVWLQJ
7KH139JHQHUDWHGE\YDU\LQJWKHWKURXJKSXW)LJXUH
XVLQJD]HURSHUFHQWGLVFRXQWUDWHLVIDLUO\FRQVWDQWDWDQ\
OHYHORISURGXFWLRQDERYH0WD7KH139LVIDLUO\FRQVWDQW
RYHU D ORQJ UDQJH RI WKURXJKSXW UDWHV EHFDXVH ZKLOH WKH
UHYHQXHJHQHUDWHGUHPDLQVFRQVWDQWVDPHDPRXQWRIJROG
LVSURGXFHGRYHUWKHOLIHRIPLQHRIWKHSURMHFWLUUHVSHFWLYH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
533
534
,IJROGFRPSDQLHVFDQWDNHWKHDERYHUHFRPPHQGDWLRQVLQWR
FRQVLGHUDWLRQZKHQGHYHORSLQJDQHZSURMHFWRURSWLPLVLQJ
DQH[LVWLQJRSHUDWLRQWKH\ZLOOEHDEOHWRLQFUHDVHWKHUHWXUQV
WRWKHLUVKDUHKROGHUVIURPWKHLUJLYHQ5HVRXUFHEDVH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUVZRXOGOLNHWRDFNQRZOHGJH/RXLV5R]PDQDQG
/LQWRQ3XWODQGRI3DFLF5RDG&DSLWDO0DQDJHPHQWIRUWKHLU
LGHDVDQGJXLGDQFH
REFERENCES
%DUULFN*ROG&RUSRUDWLRQ&RPSDQ\SUHVHQWDWLRQSUHVHQWHGDW
WKH/%0$/330&RQIHUHQFH+RQJ.RQJ
(UQVWDQG<RXQJ(IIHFWLYHFDSLWDOSURMHFWH[HFXWLRQPLQLQJDQG
PHWDOVUHSRUW
+DPEUR(DQG5DZ&D%ODFNURFN0LQLQJ)XQGSUHVHQWHGWR
0LQHVDQG0RQH\&RQIHUHQFH/RQGRQ
+DPEUR ( DQG 5DZ & E 2XWORRN IRU PLQLQJ LQYHVWPHQW
LGHQWLI\LQJ FDWDO\VWV IRU UHFRYHU\ DQG JURZWK SUHVHQWDWLRQ RQ
EHKDOIRI%ODFNURFNWR0LQHVDQG0RQH\&RQIHUHQFH/RQGRQ
0DF/HDQ'DQG%O\WK'3DUDGLJP&DSLWDO*ROGVHFWRUQRWH
0DUFK
0F6SDGGHQ*0DQG6FKDDS:7HFKQLFDOQRWHDWHVWDQG
FRPPHQWRQ7D\ORUVUXOHRIPLQHOLIHThe AusIMM Bulletin and
Proceedings
6FKRGGH55HFHQWWUHQGVLQJROGGLVFRYHU\SUHVHQWHGWRWKH
1HZ*HQ*ROGFRQIHUHQFH3HUWK
7D\ORU+.0LQHYDOXDWLRQDQGIHDVLELOLW\VWXGLHVLQMineral
Industry CostsHGV-5+RVNLQVDQG:5*UHHQVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
SS1RUWKZHVW0LQLQJ$VVRFLDWLRQ6SRNDQH
:KLWWOH * 0LVJXLGHG REMHFWLYHV WKDW GHVWUR\ YDOXH :KLWWOH
&RQVXOWLQJ
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Manager Underground Design and Operations, Resource Development and Innovation, Oyu Tolgoi Phase 2 Project, Rio Tinto Copper, 123 Albert Street, Brisbane Qld 4000.
Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
:KHQWKHUVW2UH5HVHUYHVDUHFDOFXODWHGIRUDQRUHERG\
OLWWOHNQRZOHGJHLVNQRZQWKHEORFNPRGHOLVEDVHGRQWKH
UVWGULOOLQJDQGXVXDOO\WKHUHLVYHU\OLPLWHGJHRWHFKQLFDO
DVVHVVPHQW RI WKH RUHERG\ ,QSXW SDUDPHWHUV IRU WKH
DVVHVVPHQW PXVW EH FDUHIXOO\ FKRVHQ DV LW LV LPSRUWDQW WR
SUHVHQW WKH PRVW UHDOLVWLF YDOXH RI WKH RUHERG\ WR IRUP
WKH EDVLV IRU IXUWKHU LQYHVWPHQW 7KLV SDSHU DWWHPSWV WR
RXWOLQH WKH NH\ DVSHFWV WR FRQVLGHU ZKHQ GHYHORSLQJ D
EORFN FDYH 5HVHUYH DQG LGHQWLI\ DVVXPSWLRQV DQG LQSXWV
WKDW PD\ UHVXOW LQ YDOXH EHLQJ RYHUVWDWHG RU XQGHUVWDWHG
7KHFRPPRQO\XVHGVRIWZDUHSDFNDJHVWRSHUIRUPWKHZRUN
DUH LGHQWLHG DQG VRPH VXJJHVWLRQV IRU LQSXW IDFWRUV DUH
PDGH$OWKRXJKSURSULHWDU\VRIWZDUHQDPHVDUHXVHGWKH\
GRQRWFRQVWLWXWHDUHFRPPHQGDWLRQIRUH[FOXVLYHVRIWZDUH
XVH UDWKHU WKH\ DUH DQ H[DPSOH RI WKH W\SH RI SDFNDJH WR
XVH LQ HDFK VLWXDWLRQ (DFK FDYLQJ VLWXDWLRQ LV GLIIHUHQW VR
LQSXWSDUDPHWHUVVKRXOGEHGHYHORSHGIURPUVWSULQFLSDOV
DQG QRW PHUHO\ FRSLHG WKHUHIRUH DQ\ QXPHULF VXJJHVWLRQV
ZLWKLQWKLVSDSHUUHSUHVHQWRQHDQVZHUDURXQGZKLFKWKHUH
ZLOOEHDUDQJHRISRVVLEOHDQVZHUV
$W\SLFDOVXLWHRIVRIWZDUHXVHGLQEORFNFDYHSODQQLQJLV
VKRZQLQ)LJXUH
EHXVHGIRUQGLQJWKHPRVWDSSURSULDWHFKRLFHRIIRRWSULQW
HOHYDWLRQSURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOLQJDQGFDYHPDQDJHPHQW7KH
2UH5HVHUYHLVJHQHUDOO\WKHVXPRIWKHSURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOH
RYHUWKHHQWLUHFDYHIRRWSULQWDQGOLIHRIPLQH/200LQH
GHVLJQVRIWZDUHOLNH9XOFDQRU'DWDPLQHLVXVHGWRGHYHORS
PLQHGHVLJQVWKDWDUHRIWHQWKHQLPSRUWHGLQWR0LQH'
(36 RU 'HVZLN IRU GHYHORSPHQW VFKHGXOLQJ 'HYHORSPHQW
VFKHGXOLQJPD\DOVRLQFOXGHWRQQHVDQGJUDGHIURPXQGHUFXW
VZHOO UHPRYDO ,W LV EHFRPLQJ PRUH FRPPRQ IRU GLVFUHWH
HYHQW VLPXODWLRQ PRGHOV WR EH GHYHORSHG LQ $UHQD ZKLFK
KHOS WKH SODQQHU WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH FRPSOH[LW\ RI XQGHUFXW
DQGH[WUDFWLRQOHYHODFWLYLWLHVRYHUWLPH/DWHUDOGHYHORSPHQW
VLPXODWLRQ SURGXFWV OLNH 6LP0LQH FDQ EH XVHG WR DVVLVW
SODQQHUV LQ GHYHORSLQJ DSSURSULDWH UDWHV IRU SUHSURGXFWLRQ
DQG DFFHVV GHYHORSPHQW :ROJUDP DQG 6FREOH
7KHVH VLPXODWLRQ WRROV ZKHQ SDLUHG ZLWK GDWDEDVHV DQG
V\VWHPVWKDWPHDVXUHSURJUHVVRQFHLQFRQVWUXFWLRQFDQEH
LQYDOXDEOHLQWHUPVRILPSURYLQJSHUIRUPDQFHSURGXFLQJ
UHOLDEOHIRUHFDVWVDQGPHDVXULQJEDFNWRVWXG\DVVXPSWLRQV
3URGXFWV OLNH 5HFRQFLOHU FDQ EH XVHG WR VWUXFWXUH DQG KROG
ORQJWHUPUHFRQFLOLDWLRQGDWDRUHOVHDFXVWRPIRUPDWFDQEH
GHYHORSHGLQDVSUHDGVKHHWRUGDWDEDVHSURGXFW
*HRWHFKQLFDOPRGHOOLQJW\SLFDOO\FRQVLVWVRIIUDJPHQWDWLRQ
SUHGLFWLRQVHJ%&)LQ(VWHUKXL]HQDQGVWUHVVPRGHOOLQJ
RI SLOODUV FDYH JURZWK DQG VXUIDFH VXEVLGHQFH ]RQHV HJ
,WDVFDV)/$&'
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
535
FIG 1 - Example of software used in the mine planning cycle for a typical caving operation.
Estimation criteria
Grade elements
,QPXOWLHOHPHQWPLQHVLWLVXVXDOWRXVHQHWVPHOWHUUHYHQXH
RU QHW VPHOWHU UHWXUQ 165 DV WKH PDLQ YDOXH HOHPHQW
LQ RSWLPLVDWLRQ UXQV WR GHULYH PLQH VFKHGXOHV EHFDXVH LW
LV WUDQVSDUHQW WR UHODWH WR D SDUWLFXODU VKXWRII RU FXWRII
JUDGH LQ FRPSDULVRQ WR FRVWV ,Q DGGLWLRQ PHWDO JUDGHV DUH
LQFOXGHGE\5HVRXUFHFDWHJRU\DVDUHSHUKDSVWZRW\SHVRI
GLOXWLRQ GHSHQGLQJ RQ WKH PLQLQJ VFHQDULR )XUWKHU JUDGH
HOHPHQWV WKDW FDQ EH LQFOXGHG LQ WKH 5HVHUYH VWDWHPHQW
SURFHVV DUH SHUFHQWDJHV UHHFWLQJ WKH RZQHUVKLS LI WKH
RUHERG\ FURVVHV OHDVH ERXQGDULHV 5HVRXUFH FDWHJRU\ DQG
PHWDOOXUJLFDO SDUDPHWHUV 3&%& SURGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOHU FDQ
QRZDFFRPPRGDWHXSWRJUDGHHOHPHQWVZKLFKZLOOVORZ
GRZQWKHVFKHGXOLQJWLPHEXWHQDEOHRQO\RQHVOLFHOHWREH
XVHGIRUWKHPLQHVFKHGXOH
Reserve estimation
Footprint elevation
6RIWZDUH SDFNDJHV VXFK DV *(06 )RRWSULQW )LQGHU RU
&DYH3ODQQHU FDQ EH XVHG WR JLYH WKH UDQJH RI YDOXHV RI
IRRWSULQWVDWYDULRXVHOHYDWLRQV7KHQDOHOHYDWLRQVKRXOGEH
FRQUPHGZLWKIRRWSULQWOD\RXWVJHQHUDWHGXVLQJWKH3&%&
SURGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOLQJ PRGXOH :KHQ VHOHFWLQJ IRRWSULQW
HOHYDWLRQV GHHSHU IRRWSULQWV VKRXOG FDUU\ VRPH SHQDOW\ IRU
WKH DGGHG WLPH WR VWDUW IRRWSULQW GHYHORSPHQW DQG FRVW WR
GHHSHQWKHYHUWLFDOGHYHORSPHQW
$Q H[DPLQDWLRQ RI WKH EORFN PRGHO NHHSLQJ LQ PLQG WKH
FROXPQKHLJKWVGHVLUHGZLOOJLYHWKHSODQQHUDQLGHDRIWKH
UDQJH RI SRVVLEOH IRRWSULQWV 3&%& )RRWSULQW )LQGHU LV D
XVHIXOWRROWRHYDOXDWHDQXPEHURIIRRWSULQWHOHYDWLRQVDQG
FRPELQDWLRQVZLWKPXOWLOLIWRUHERGLHV
Drawpoint selection
2QFH WKH GUDZSRLQW OD\RXW LV GHWHUPLQHG YDOXHV FDQ EH
FDOFXODWHGIRUHDFKGUDZFROXPQ$VPHQWLRQHGEHIRUHDFXW
RIIJUDGHRUYDOXHQHHGVWREHGHFLGHGIRUWKHUVWLWHUDWLRQ
RIWKHOD\RXWDQGHDFKGUDZSRLQWVKRXOGPDNHPRUHUHYHQXH
WKDQWKHLQFUHPHQWDOFRVW7KHUHVXOWLQJOD\RXWSXUHO\EDVHG
RQ QDQFLDO DQDO\VLV PD\ QHHG WR EH PRGLHG EDVHG RQ
FROXPQKHLJKWIRRWSULQWZLGWKDQGQHLJKERXULQJGUDZSRLQW
YDOXH
&ROXPQV RI ORZHU KHLJKW PD\ EH H[FOXGHG EHFDXVH WKH\
LPSDFWSURGXFWLRQUDWHDQGVFKHGXOHVERWKZLWKDQGZLWKRXW
WKH QHHG WR EH UXQ DQG DQDO\VHG ,Q QDUURZ IRRWSULQW DUHDV
RU WR VPRRWK RXW MDJJHG ERXQGDULHV ORZ YDOXH RU ZDVWH
GUDZSRLQWV PD\ KDYH WR EH DGGHG WR HQVXUH SURSHU FDYLQJ
RYHUWKHHQWLUHZLGWKRIWKHRUHERG\'UDZSRLQWVZLWKYHU\
KLJKJUDGHVVKRXOGQRWOLHRQWKHSHUPDQHQWRUWHPSRUDU\
ERXQGDU\RIDFDYHVRORZHUYDOXHGUDZSRLQWVQHLJKERXULQJ
WKHP VKRXOG EH FRQVLGHUHG IRU DGGLWLRQ WR WKH IRRWSULQW WR
HQVXUHWKHUHFRYHU\RIWKHKLJKHUJUDGHSRUWLRQVRIWKHFDYH
Dilution estimates
Material mixing and modelling
$V QRWHG E\ %URZQ GHVSLWH LWV LPSRUWDQFH LQ EORFN
FDYLQJ DQG SDQHO FDYLQJ WKH PHFKDQLVPV RI RZ DQG
PL[LQJLQFDYHGRUHDQGZDVWHURFNXQGHUGUDZDUHQRWZHOO
XQGHUVWRRG7KHUHDUHYDULRXVVRIWZDUHSDFNDJHVDYDLODEOHLQ
WKHLQGXVWU\WKDWDWWHPSWWRVLPXODWHWKHPL[LQJSURFHVVHVLQ
FDYLQJRSHUDWLRQV*(063&%&LVWKHWRROWKDWLVFRPPRQO\
XVHG WR SURGXFH SURGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOHV IRU FDYHV 3&%&
FRQWDLQV WZR W\SHV RI PL[LQJ WUDGLWLRQDO PL[LQJ EDVHG
RQ /DXEVFKHUV HPSLULFDO WKHRULHV DQG WHPSODWH PL[LQJ
2WKHU PL[LQJ HQJLQHV VXFK DV ,WDVFDV 5(%23 DQG 3RZHU
*HRWHFKQLFDOV 3*&$ 3RZHU FDQ SURYLGH DOWHUQDWLYH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
537
GLVFXVVWKHSRWHQWLDOIRURUHORVVRQWKHERXQGDU\DQGPRGHO
VFHQDULRVDVDSSURSULDWH7RHYDOXDWHWKHUHVXOWLQJVFHQDULRV
ZLUHIUDPHVRIWKHFDYHVKDSHVFDQEHGHYHORSHGLQDSODQQLQJ
SDFNDJHOLNH9XOFDQRU'DWDPLQHDQGLPSRUWHGLQWR*(06
3&%&IRUXVHLQWKHSURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOLQJPRGXOH
:KHQ FRQVLGHULQJ RSWLRQV WR H[SDQG D FDYH IRRWSULQW
LW LV LPSRUWDQW WR SRQGHU KRZ LVVXHV ZLWK D ERXQGDU\ WKDW
KDVQWEURNHQDFFRUGLQJWRSODQFDQEHUHFWLHG,IWKHLVVXH
LVNQRZQHDUO\HQRXJKLWPD\EHSRVVLEOHWRDGGGUDZSRLQWV
RUH[WHQGWKHXQGHUFXWWRWKHERXQGDU\WRDVVLVWWKHFDYHWR
FRQWLQXH WR EUHDN 7KHUH DUH VRPH H[SHUWV ZKR EHOLHYH WKDW
RQFH WKH FDYH KDV EURNHQ WR D VRPHZKDW VWDEOH ERXQGDU\
DQG WKH ORFDO VWUHVV UHJLPH DOWHUHG WR D VWDEOH VWDWH D YHU\
ODUJHDUHDZRXOGQHHGWREHRSHQHGWRFKDQJHWKHERXQGDU\
VLJQLFDQWO\DJDLQ
539
FRQVWUXFWLRQUDWHLWLVWKRXJKWWREHDQDGGLWLRQDOEHQHWLQ
WKHUDQJHRIGUDZEHOOSHUPRQWKSHUFDYHIURQW$OWKRXJK
WHWKHUHG HOHFWULF ORDGKDXOGXPSV /+'V FDQ EH XVHG
LQ DQ (O 7HQLHQWH OD\RXW WKHUH DUH LQFUHDVHG FDEOH FKDQJHV
UHTXLUHG 7KHUHIRUH WKH OD\RXW LV OLNHO\ WR EH XQSRSXODU
ZKHUHHOHFWULF/+'VDUHGHVLUDEOHXQWLOWHFKQRORJ\SURGXFHV
HDVLHU WUDPPLQJ RI /+'V EHWZHHQ SOXJLQ SRLQWV RU DQ
XQWHWKHUHGHOHFWULF/+'LVGHYHORSHG
7KHKHUULQJERQHOD\RXWLVWKHPRVWSURGXFWLYH/+'OD\RXW
ZKHUHDFRQVWDQWGLUHFWLRQLVGHVLUHGVXFKDVULPWLSSLQJRU
HOHFWULF/+'V)XUWKHUGHVFULSWLRQRIWKHOD\RXWVFDQEHIRXQG
LQ&KDSWHURI%URZQ
Panel design
FIG 4 - Evolution with time of drawpoint spacing (Flores and Karzulovic, 2004).
FRPSDUDEOH SURMHFWV VWLOO LQ VWXG\ SKDVH $ JRRG VHQVLWLYLW\
DQDO\VLVDOORZVGHPRQVWUDWLRQRIWKHVHRUHUHFRYHU\GDQJHUV
DQGIRUWKHULJKWGHVLJQWREHVHOHFWHGEHFDXVHLQORZJUDGH
RUHERGLHVWKHULVNRIUHFRYHU\ORVVPD\EHSUHIHUUHGLIKLJKHU
SURGXFWLRQUDWHLVGHVLUHG
:KDWHYHUWKHFKRLFHRIGUDZSRLQWVSDFLQJWKHOLQNEHWZHHQ
WKHH[SHFWHGLPSDFWRQUHFRYHU\RIWKDWVSDFLQJQHHGVWREH
DQDO\VHG DQG FRPPXQLFDWHG WR PDQDJHPHQW 7KH DQDO\VLV
LVW\SLFDOO\GRQHE\VHOHFWLQJDSDUWLFXODUFRQHVL]HLQ3&%&
DQGXVLQJHLWKHUWKHWUDGLWLRQDOPL[LQJRUWHPSODWHPL[LQJWR
FDOFXODWHWKHLPSDFWRQUHFRYHU\6RPHWKRXJKWQHHGVWRJR
LQWRTXDQWLI\LQJWKHDPRXQWRIPDWHULDOWKDWLVQWUHFRYHUHG
XVLQJRWKHUFKHFNV,WPD\EHDSSURSULDWHWRGHYRWHDJUDGH
HOHPHQWLQVFKHGXOHVWRWKHVHFKHFNVIRUH[DPSOHDSHUFHQW
UHFRYHUHGHOHPHQWIRUDOOSODQQHGEORFNV
$QRWKHU PHWKRG WKDW FDQ EH XVHG WR UHWDLQ WKH RSWLPXP
XQGHUFXW IDFH OHQJWK LV WR UHYLVH WKH H[WUDFWLRQ GULYH DQG
GUDZSRLQWOD\RXWJHRPHWU\
SCHEDULE
Scheduling method
6LJQLFDQWFDUHVKRXOGEHWDNHQZKHQPDNLQJDGHFLVLRQDERXW
WKH VFKHGXOLQJ PHWKRG LQ WKH 3&%& SURGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOHU
,QDSDQHOFDYHLWLVXVXDOO\GHVLUHGWRFORVHGUDZSRLQWVWKDW
DUH ROGHU DQG WKHUHIRUH WR GUDZ WKHP VOLJKWO\ IDVWHU 7KLV
DOORZVWKHSURGXFWLRQDUHDWREHDVVPDOODVSRVVLEOHVDYLQJ
YHQWLODWLRQ DQG UHGXFLQJ WKH WLPH DQ H[WUDFWLRQ GULYH PXVW
UHPDLQVHUYLFHDEOH
The simulation
$UHQD RU DQRWKHU GLVFUHWH HYHQW VLPXODWLRQ SDFNDJH FDQ
EHXVHGWRVLPXODWHWKHRQIRRWSULQWDFWLYLWLHVWRXQGHUVWDQG
PRUH DERXW WKH GULYHUV RI SURGXFWLRQ UDWH VHTXHQFH DQG
GUDZSRLQW FRQVWUXFWLRQ UDWH )LJXUH 2XWSXWV VXFK DV
RUHSDVVWRQQDJHFDQEHXVHGDVGHVLJQFULWHULDDQGHTXLSPHQW
QXPEHUVDQGKRXUVPD\EHXVHGLQFRVWPRGHOV
5DWKHUWKDQZDLWXQWLODPLQHSODQQLQJSKDVHLVFRPSOHWH
LWLVXVHIXOWRFDUU\RXWDVLPXODWLRQDORQJVLGHPLQHSODQQLQJ
ZRUN HQDEOLQJ WUDGHRIIV WR EH FDUULHG RXW WKDW ZLOO DOORZ
PD[LPLVLQJWKHGUDZSRLQWFRQVWUXFWLRQUDWHDQGSURGXFWLRQ
UDWH DQG PLQLPLVLQJ WKH WLPH WR UHDFK WKH FULWLFDO K\GUDXOLF
UDGLXV $ VLPXODWLRQ RI WKLV QDWXUH LV XVHIXO LQ WKH GHWDLOHG
WKLQNLQJ LW SURPRWHV DERXW KRZ DFWLYLWLHV W WRJHWKHU DQG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
541
GHYHORSPHQWVLPXODWLRQDQGKRZRXWSXWVFDQWKHQEHXVHG
LQWKHPRUHFRQYHQWLRQDOGHYHORSPHQWVFKHGXOLQJSDFNDJHV
Schedule tail
7KHSURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOHZLOOKDYHDWDLOWKDWLVSURGXFWLRQ
ZLOO GHFUHDVH DV GUDZSRLQWV DUH H[KDXVWHG ,W LVQW SUDFWLFDO
WR LQFOXGH DOO WKH VFKHGXOH WDLO LQ WKH 5HVHUYH EHFDXVH WKH
RXWSXWVFDQEHXQUHDOLVWLFIRUH[DPSOHVFKHGXOHVPD\VKRZ
WGFRPLQJIURPWHQGUDZSRLQWV)RUWKHQDO\HDUV
DQDVVHVVPHQWQHHGVWREHPDGHDERXWZKDWSURGXFWLRQUDWH
LV UHDVRQDEOH JLYHQ WKH QXPEHU RI GUDZSRLQWV RSHQ ,Q D
VFKHGXOHWKDWLV\HDUVORQJLWPD\EHQHFHVVDU\WRLJQRUH
\HDUV DQG EHFDXVH WKH UHVXOWV DUH XQUHDOLVWLF DQG LW
PD\ EH SHUPLVVLEOH WR DGG \HDUV DQG WR PDNH D ODVW
SURGXFWLRQ\HDUDW per centRIWKHPD[LPXPUDWH:LWKWKH
FDYHEHLQJPDWXUHDWWKDWSRLQWGUDZUDWHVFDQEHDOWHUHGWR
WU\WRDFKLHYHWKHGHVLUHGRXWFRPHGHSHQGLQJRQWKHJUDGH
RIWKHQH[WSURGXFWLRQVRXUFHIRUWKHPLQH
CAVE MANAGEMENT
Cave monitoring
FIG 7 - Ore flow process simulated in the ARENA footprint simulation and ore
handling simulation.
FDQ EH XSGDWHG DV D IRUZDUG SODQQLQJ WRRO ZKHQ PLQH
FRQVWUXFWLRQVWDUWV/DEUHFTXH1HZPDQDQG'XGOH\
6LPXODWLRQRXWSXWVZLOORQO\EHYDOXDEOHLIDQDSSURSULDWH
DPRXQWRIWLPHLVLQYHVWHGLQLGHQWLI\LQJDFWLYLWLHVFRQVWUDLQWV
DQGVHTXHQFHVDQGWKDWWKHLQSXWGDWDLVRIVXIFLHQWTXDOLW\
7KHUHIRUH WKH VLPXODWLRQ VKRXOG DOZD\V EH D OLYH SLHFH RI
ZRUNWKDWLVFRQWLQXDOO\XSGDWHGZLWKQHZGDWD
7KHWLPHWRUVWRUHLVFULWLFDOIRUSURMHFWYDOXHDQGWKHUHIRUH
WKHPRVWDFFXUDWHHVWLPDWHLVVRXJKW7UDGLWLRQDOO\DGYDQFH
UDWHVDUHEXLOWXSIURPUVWSULQFLSDOVDQGDSSOLHGLQ0LQH
G(36 RU HTXLYDOHQW VRIWZDUH 7KH DGYHQW RI VRIWZDUH
OLNH 6LP0LQH SURYLGHV WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ WR VLPXODWH WKH
GHYHORSPHQW WR UVW RUH KRZHYHU VL]HDEOH SUHSURGXFWLRQ
GHYHORSPHQW SURMHFWV DUH VWLOO FKDOOHQJLQJ WR VLPXODWH ,Q
ODUJH SURMHFWV ZKHUH LW LVQW SRVVLEOH WR VLPXODWH WKH IXOO
SUHSURGXFWLRQSHULRGDVPDOOHUSRUWLRQRIGHYHORSPHQWFDQ
EHXVHGWREXLOGXSUDWHVIRUXVHLQDVWDQGDUGGHYHORSPHQW
VFKHGXOLQJSDFNDJH)LJXUHVKRZVDW\SLFDOSURFHVVPDSIRU
Draw control
'UDZFRQWUROV\VWHPVDQGPHWKRGVDUHFULWLFDOLQDWWDLQLQJWKH
YDOXHWKDWWKHVWXG\2UH5HVHUYHKDVSUHVHQWHG,WLVJHQHUDOO\
WKHEHVWFDVH2UH5HVHUYHDQGWRDFKLHYHLWRSHUDWLRQVPXVW
IROORZ WKH SODQ 5DUHO\ DUH SHVVLPLVWLF GUDZ DVVXPSWLRQV
XVHG FDXVLQJ LQFUHDVHG HDUO\ GLOXWLRQ WR GHYHORS 2UH
5HVHUYHV 3RRU GUDZ FRQWURO GRHV QRW QHHG WR RFFXU LI
FDYH PDQDJHPHQW LV VXSSRUWHG E\ WKH ULJKW ZRUNHU ERQXV
VFKHPHVDGKHUHQFHWRGUDZSODQYHUVXVWRQQHVGUDZQDQG
WHFKQRORJ\ WR UHFRUG ZKHUH WRQQHV DUH GUDZQ /DXEVFKHUV
WKLQNLQJ ZDV WKDW GUDZ FRQWURO SUDFWLFH VLJQLFDQWO\
LPSDFWVGLOXWLRQHQWU\DVFDQEHVHHQLQ)LJXUH
WRPPLQLPXP)RUH[WHQVLRQVWRH[LVWLQJFDYHVVPDOOHU
PLQLPXPZLGWKVPD\EHSHUPLVVLEOH
,I WKHVH ORZYDOXH RU ZDVWH GUDZSRLQWV DUH H[FOXGHG DW
HDUO\ VWXG\ VWDJHV WKH DFWXDO SURMHFW YDOXH LV RYHUHVWLPDWHG
6RPHSURMHFWVQGWKDWLQFOXGLQJORZHUYDOXHGUDZSRLQWVRQ
WKH PDUJLQV KDV D PDWHULDO LPSDFW RQ SURMHFW YDOXH :DVWH
GUDZSRLQWV GHWUDFW IURP SURMHFW YDOXH LQ WZR ZD\V WKH
GUDZSRLQW FRQVWUXFWLRQ HIIRUW LV JRLQJ WR ]HUR YDOXH GUDZ
SRLQWVLQVWHDGRIEXLOGLQJEURNHQ5HVHUYHVDQGVHFRQGO\ZDVWH
LV WKHQ PLOOHG LQVWHDG RI RUH GHOD\LQJ PLQLQJ RI SURWDEOH
PDWHULDO 'XULQJ WKH H[HFXWLRQ SKDVH LW LV SRVVLEOH WR UHGXFH
WKHYDOXHLPSDFWRIWKHDGGHGGUDZSRLQWVE\PRQLWRULQJWKH
FDYHDQGQRWGUDZLQJZDVWHGUDZSRLQWVLIWKHFDYLQJLVUHDGLO\
RFFXUULQJ RU EHWWHU VWLOO QRW FRQVWUXFWLQJ DGGLWLRQDO GUDZ
SRLQWVLIPRQLWRULQJLQGLFDWHVJRRGFDYHJURZWKSURJUHVVLRQ
7RGRWKLVPRQH\PXVWEHVSHQWRQFDYHPRQLWRULQJHDUO\LQ
WKHFDYHOLIHRUHYHQLQSUHSURGXFWLRQGHYHORSPHQW
PITFALLS TO AVOID
$W 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ OHYHOV LW LV HDV\ WR PDNH RSWLPLVWLF
DVVXPSWLRQV WKDW UHTXLUH D GRZQJUDGH LQ 2UH 5HVHUYH RU
SURMHFW139ODWHULQSURMHFWOLIH$VVXPSWLRQVUHJDUGLQJWKH
DERYHPHQWLRQHG NH\ GULYHUV WKDW FDQ PDNH D ODUJH LPSDFW
LQFOXGH
RSWLPLVWLFFDYHVWDUWHVWLPDWLRQ
DVVXPLQJQDUURZDUHDVZLOOFDYHZLWKRXWLQFOXGLQJZDVWH
GUDZSRLQWV
RSWLPLVWLFUDPSXSDVVXPSWLRQV
RSWLPLVWLFPL[LQJDQGGLOXWLRQDVVXPSWLRQV
RYHUHVWLPDWLQJH[WUDFWLRQGULYHSURGXFWLYLW\
IDLOLQJWRFRQVLGHUGUDZSRLQWDYDLODELOLW\DQGUHOLDELOLW\
7KHVHLVVXHVDUHFRYHUHGLQPRUHGHWDLOKHUH
543
ULVN RI UHFRYHU\ PXVW EH ZHLJKHG DV ZHOO DV WKH DGGHG
FDSLWDO FRVW RI WKH DGGHG SURGXFWLRQ LQIUDVWUXFWXUH ,Q
WKLVVLWXDWLRQFKHFNLQJWKHRXWFRPHZLWKVHYHUDOPL[LQJ
HQJLQHVLVHQFRXUDJHG
KHLJKWWKHLPSDFWRQ5HVHUYHZRXOGEHH[SHFWHGWREHDORVV
RIDURXQGYHSHUFHQWXVLQJDQDYHUDJHPFDYHKHLJKW
7KLVVDPHORVVFRXOGLPSDFWWKHSURGXFWLRQUDWHE\PRUHWKDQ
WHQSHUFHQWLIQRWSURSHUO\SODQQHGIRU139LPSDFWFRXOGEH
DVKLJKDVHLJKWWRWHQSHUFHQWLIWKHGUDZSRLQWFRQVWUXFWLRQ
UDWHFDQQRWEHLQFUHDVHGWRFRPSHQVDWHIRUWKHORVV
ECONOMIC MODELLING
'XULQJ WKH LQWHQVH VFKHGXOLQJ SKDVH LW LV XVHIXO IRU PLQH
SODQQHUVWRXVHDVLPSOLHGYHUVLRQRIWKHEXVLQHVVPRGHOWR
XQGHUVWDQGWKHLPSDFWRISODQQLQJFKDQJHVRQDQLQFUHPHQWDO
EDVLV$W\SLFDOIRUPDWLVVKRZQLQ)LJXUH,QODUJHSURMHFWV
ZLWK PXOWLSOH RUHERGLHV WKHUH PD\ EH D UHTXLUHPHQW WR
UHVFKHGXOH RWKHU RUHERGLHV DURXQG WKH RQH XQGHU VWXG\
7KLV FDQ EURDGO\ EH GRQH LQ 0LFURVRIW ([FHO WR DOORZ WKH
FRPSDULVRQ RI VFKHGXOHV KRZHYHU QDO YDOXHV PXVW EH
EDVHGRQIXOOUHVFKHGXOHVRIWKHRWKHURUHERGLHVDVUHTXLUHG
$ SHULRGLF FKHFN EDFN WR WKH EXVLQHVV PRGHO LV UHTXLUHG WR
FRQUPWKDWWKH139VUHPDLQFRUUHFW
3&%&SURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOHUVHFWRUVFDQEHXVHGWRLGHQWLI\
WKHPD[LPXPSURGXFWLRQIURPDQXQFRQVWUDLQHGPRGHODQG
WKHDELOLW\WRDFKLHYHWKHSURGXFWLRQUDWHFDQEHFRQUPHGE\
DIRRWSULQWDFWLYLW\VLPXODWLRQ
FIG 12 - Example of waterfall chart showing value change between study phases.
545
REFERENCES
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUZRXOGOLNHWRDFNQRZOHGJHSHHUVDW5LR7LQWRDQG
HOVHZKHUH LQ WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ WKDW KDYH IUHHO\ GHEDWHG
WKH LVVXHV DQG KDYH KHOSHG VKDSH WKLQNLQJ RYHU WLPH LQ
SDUWLFXODU$QGUHYDQ$V*HUWYDQ+RXW&KLSGH:ROIH7UR\
1HZPDQDQG3LHUUH/DEUHFTXH
546
'LHULQJ 7 %ORFN FDYH VFKHGXOLQJ ZLWK D SLHFH RI SDSHU LQ
3URFHHGLQJV )LIWK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO &RQIHUHQFH DQG ([KLELWLRQ RQ 0DVV
0LQLQJp 303 /XOHn7HNQLVND8QLYHUVLWDW/XOHn
(VWHUKXL]HQ*6$3URJUDPWR3UHGLFW%ORFN&DYH)UDJPHQWDWLRQ
7HFKQLFDOUHIHUHQFHDQGXVHUVJXLGH9HUVLRQ
)ORUHV * DQG .DU]XORYLF $ *HRWHFKQLFDO JXLGHOLQHV IRU D
WUDQVLWLRQ IURP RSHQ SLW WR XQGHUJURXQG PLQLQJ 3URMHFW ,&6,,
S-XOLXV.UXWWVFKQLWW0LQHUDO5HVHDUFK&HQWUH7KH8QLYHUVLW\
RI4XHHQVODQG%ULVEDQH
/DEUHFTXH 3 1HZPDQ 7 DQG 'XGOH\- 7KH XVH RI $5(1$
VLPXODWLRQ WR HVWLPDWH GUDZSRLQW FRQVWUXFWLRQ UDWH SURGXFWLRQ
UDWHDQGFRVWVIRUWKH+XJR1RUWK/LIW3DQHO&DYHLQProceedings
Sixth International Conference and Exhibition on Mass Mining
&DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP
0RQWUHDO
/DXEVFKHU'+&DYHPLQLQJWKHVWDWHRIWKHDUWJournal of the
South African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy
3RZHU * 5 PGCA/DMM User Manual YHUVLRQ 3RZHU
*HRWHFKQLFDO3W\/WG
:ROJUDP - /L 5 DQG 6FREOH 0 $SSOLFDWLRQ RI VLPXODWLRQ
WHFKQLTXHVLQ2\X7ROJRLXQGHUJURXQGGHYHORSPHQWVFKHGXOLQJ
in Proceedings Sixth International Conference and Exhibition on
Mass Mining &DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG
3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
HOME
1. Vice President, Caving Business Unit, Dassault Systmes GEOVIA Inc, Suite 1100, 1066 West Hastings Street, Vancouver BC V6E 3X1, Canada. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KLV SDSHU SURYLGHV D VXPPDU\ RI WKH YDULRXV IDFWRUV
DIIHFWLQJ WKH FDOFXODWLRQ RI D PLQHDEOH EORFN FDYLQJ UHVHUYH
XVLQJ *(29,$ 3&%& VRIWZDUH 7KH VRIWZDUH KDV EHHQ LQ
XVHIRURYHU\HDUVDQGGXULQJWKDWWLPHDZLGHYDULHW\RI
EORFN FDYH VFHQDULRV KDYH EHHQ HYDOXDWHG 1RWKLQJ LV QHZ
RU UHYROXWLRQDU\ LQ WKLV UHSRUW LQVWHDG WKH YDULRXV VHFWLRQV
VKRXOG SURYLGH D FKHFNOLVW IRU WKH 5HVHUYH HYDOXDWLRQ RI D
QHZEORFNFDYHSURMHFW
7KHEDVLVRIWKHSDSHULVFHQWUHGRQWKHVLPSOHGHQLWLRQRI
DQ2UH5HVHUYHFRPSDUHGWRD0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHD0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHLVDFRQFHQWUDWLRQRIPHWDORURWKHUFRPPRGLW\LQ
WKH JURXQG ZLWK HFRQRPLF SRWHQWLDO ZKLOH DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH
LVWKDWSDUWRIWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHWKDWFDQEHHFRQRPLFDOO\
PLQHG,IRUHLVPDWHULDOWKDWIRUPVSDUWRIWKH2UH5HVHUYH
GLOXWLRQFDQSHUKDSVEHGHQHGDVPDWHULDOPLQHGWKDWLVQRW
RUH7KXVGLOXWLRQLVWKHPDWHULDOWKDW\RXGRQWZDQWWRPLQH
EXW QHHG WR GXH WR WKH VKDSH RI WKH RUHERG\ DQG FKRLFH RI
PLQLQJPHWKRG
7KHIRFXVLVRQEORFNFDYHSURMHFWVDQGPLQHVDVZHOODVWKH
VSHFLFSHFXOLDULWLHVRIEORFNFDYHPLQLQJWKDWFDQPDNHWKH
2UH5HVHUYHHYDOXDWLRQSURFHVVPRUHFRPSOLFDWHG7KHEURDG
DUHDV FRYHUHG DUH WKH HIIHFWV RI RUHERG\ JHRPHWU\ PLQLQJ
JHRPHWU\ PDWHULDO IUDJPHQWDWLRQ DQG RZ HFRQRPLFV DQG
PLQLQJKLVWRU\VHTXHQFLQJ
7KH H[SHULHQFH JDLQHG GXULQJ WKH SDVW \HDUV KDV EHHQ
XVLQJ WKH 3&%& VRIWZDUH SDFNDJH IRUPHUO\ GHYHORSHG E\
*HPFRP 6RIWZDUH ,QF QRZ RZQHG E\ 'DVVDXOW 6\VWqPHV
*(29,$,QF
7KHLQWHQWLRQLVQRWWRVD\ZKDWLVULJKWRUZURQJDERXWDQ\
SURFHVVRUZRUNRZUDWKHULWLVWRSURYLGHLQIRUPDWLRQDERXW
WKH IDFWRUV WR FRQVLGHU DQG KRZ WKH\ PLJKW DIIHFW WKH 2UH
5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQSURFHVVIRUDEORFNFDYLQJSURMHFW
6RPHRIWKHVSHFLFVFRYHUHGLQODWHUVHFWLRQVDUH
PLQLQJVHTXHQFHDQGKLVWRU\
UHVLGXDOPDWHULDOLQPXOWLOLIWVLWXDWLRQV
FRPSXWDWLRQDOFRQVLGHUDWLRQV
PHWDOEDODQFHFRQVLGHUDWLRQVDQGDXGLWDELOLW\
KRZWKHVRIWZDUHKDQGOHVWKHDIRUHPHQWLRQHG
,W LV WHPSWLQJ WR SURYLGH UXOHV RI WKXPE IRU ZRUNLQJ
WKURXJK WKH DERYH KRZHYHU PDQ\ RI WKHVH VKRXOG RQO\ EH
XVHGZLWKFDXWLRQRULQHDUO\VWDJHHYDOXDWLRQV$GGLWLRQDOO\
PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV FDQ EH UHOXFWDQW WR RSHQO\ VKDUH WKH
LQIRUPDWLRQ7KLVPD\EHLQSDUWGXHWRLQWHOOHFWXDOSURSHUW\
FRQVLGHUDWLRQV RU VLPSO\ WKH GLIFXOWLHV RI SUHVHQWLQJ WKLV
LQIRUPDWLRQ DW YDULRXV FRQIHUHQFH YHQXHV 7KXV DOWKRXJK
3&%&KDVEHHQZLGHO\XVHGZLWKLQWKHFDYLQJLQGXVWU\WKH
GLUHFWUHIHUHQFHVWRVSHFLFPLQHVDUHOLPLWHG
Terminology
)RUSXUSRVHVRIWKLVPRQRJUDSKWKHIROORZLQJWHUPLQRORJ\
LVXVHG
0HWDO LV WKH FRPPRGLW\ WKDW LV EHLQJ H[WUDFWHG 7KLV LV
JUDGHWRQQHV'LDPRQGPLQHVDUHGLIIHUHQWEXWZHVWLOO
UHIHUKHUHWRPHWDOIRUFRQYHQLHQFH
$GUDZSRLQWLVW\SLFDOO\RQHKDOIRIDGUDZEHOO
$ GUDZ FROXPQ FRQVLVWVRI WKH PDWHULDO ORFDWHGDERYH D
GUDZSRLQW
+HLJKWRIGUDZ+2'UHIHUVWRWKHH[WUDFWLRQRIPDWHULDO
XSWRDJLYHQKHLJKWDERYHDGUDZSRLQW
+DLUFXWUHIHUVWRWKHSURFHVVZKHUHE\DQLUUHJXODU+2'
SUROHLVWULPPHGDQGVPRRWKHG
3HHOLQJWKHSRWDWRUHIHUVWRWKHSURFHVVRIVPRRWKLQJWKH
RYHUDOORXWOLQHRIDEORFNFDYLQJIRRWSULQWWRLPSURYHLWV
FDYDELOLW\FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
DILUTION SOURCES
7KHUHVHHPWREHPDQ\GHQLWLRQVRIGLOXWLRQEXWWKLVSDSHU
ZRQW EH DWWHPSWLQJ WR GHQH ZKDW LW LV RU LVQW )RU RXU
SXUSRVHV GLOXWLRQ LV PDWHULDO WKDW \RX GRQW ZDQW WR PLQH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
547
EXW HQG XS GRLQJ VR GXH WR RUHERG\ VKDSH DQG WKH PLQLQJ
PHWKRG,QEORFNFDYLQJWKHUHDUHWKUHHGLOXWLRQVRXUFHV
FLOW MECHANISMS
$ GHWDLOHG GHVFULSWLRQ RI RZ PHFKDQLVPV LV EH\RQG WKH
VFRSH RI WKLV SDSHU KRZHYHU D OLVW LV SUHVHQWHG 'LHULQJ
YHUWLFDOPL[LQJ
KRUL]RQWDOPL[LQJVLPLODUWRGLIIXVLRQ
WRSSOLQJ
ULOOLQJ
HURVLRQ
FRPSDFWLRQ
PDMRUVXUIDFHPRYHPHQWVHJSLWIDLOXUHV
LQFOLQHGRZDORQJDFRQWDFW
7KHYDULRXVRZPHFKDQLVPVDUHVKRZQLQ)LJXUHIURP
'LHULQJ
7KH XQGHUVWDQGLQJ DQG LPSDFW RI WKHVH PHFKDQLVPV
GRPLQDWHV D ODUJH SDUW RI WKH GLOXWLRQ DQG 2UH 5HVHUYH
FDOFXODWLRQV LQ D EORFN FDYH PLQH 7KH SULPDU\ RSWLRQV DUH
OLNHO\WREHYHUWLFDOPL[LQJULOOLQJDQGHURVLRQPHFKDQLVPV
)URPDQ2UH5HVHUYHSHUVSHFWLYHDQGDOVRZLWKLQWKH3&%&
SURJUDP ZH VWDUW E\ FRQVWUXFWLQJ D FROXPQ RI PDWHULDO
DERYH HDFK GUDZSRLQW IRU ZKLFK SURSHUWLHV DUH GHULYHG
IURP WKH EORFN PRGHO 7KLV LV UHIHUUHG WR DV D VOLFH OH DV
VHSDUDWH DQG GLVWLQFW IURP D EORFN PRGHO $V WKH GLIIHUHQW
PHFKDQLVPVWDNHSODFHPDWHULDOPD\HLWKHUUHPDLQZLWKLQD
GUDZFROXPQRUHOVHEHWUDQVIHUUHGWRRWKHUGUDZSRLQWV7KLV
LVLPSRUWDQWIURPWKHSHUVSHFWLYHRI2UH5HVHUYHGHQLWLRQ
VLQFHFRQGHQFHLQH[WUDFWLQJPDWHULDOLVVWURQJO\UHODWHGWR
KRZ PXFK LW PRYHV DURXQG ZLWKLQ D FDYH ,W LV UHDVRQDEOH
WR VXSSRVH WKDW PDWHULDO WKDW PRYHV H[WHQVLYHO\ LQ DQ
XQFHUWDLQPDQQHUZRXOGKDYHDORZHUFRQGHQFHOLPLWWKDQ
PDWHULDOWKDWPRYHVGRZQZDUGVGLUHFWO\LQWRWKHXQGHUO\LQJ
GUDZSRLQW7KHUHDUHWKUHHFDVHVWRFRQVLGHU
PDWHULDOPRYHVEXWUHPDLQVZLWKLQWKHVDPHVLQJOHGUDZ
FROXPQYHUWLFDOPL[LQJHURVLRQDQGFRPSDFWLRQLQFOLQHG
FRQHVFDQVWLOOIDOOLQWRWKLVFDWHJRU\
PDWHULDOPRYHVIURPRQHGUDZFROXPQWRDQRWKHUULOOLQJ
DQGKRUL]RQWDOPL[LQJ
PDWHULDO PRYHV IURP RXWVLGH WKH GHQHG GUDZ FROXPQV
LQWR RU RQ WRS RI WKH GUDZ FROXPQV WRSSOLQJ DQG SLW
IDLOXUH
7KLVLVVXPPDULVHGLQ7DEOH
7KH DERYH PD\ VHHP REYLRXV ZKHQ SXW LQWR D WDEOH EXW
WKHUH DUH H[DPSOHV ZKHUH PDWHULDO WR WKH VLGHV RI D EORFN
FDYH OD\RXW KDYH EHHQ LQFOXGHG DV SDUW RI WKH VWDWHG 2UH
5HVHUYHEXWKDYHQRWEHHQUHFRYHUHGOHDGLQJDIWHUWKHIDFWWR
2UH5HVHUYHZULWHGRZQV7KLVVLWXDWLRQLVSRWHQWLDOO\TXLWH
FRPPRQVLQFHLWFDQRFFXUDQ\WLPHDEORFNFDYHLVLQLWLDWHG
EHQHDWKDQH[KDXVWHGRSHQSLW
7KHDERYHPHFKDQLVPVDUHDEOHWREHPRGHOOHGZLWKLQWKH
3&%& VRIWZDUH ,Q D W\SLFDO VWXG\ WKH PHFKDQLVPVPD\ EH
WXUQHGRQRURIIDQGWKHHIIHFWVRQRUHPHWDOUHFRYHU\VWXGLHG
DVSDUWRIWKHRYHUDOOULVNDVVHVVPHQWSURFHVV
Fragmentation
7KRXJK IUDJPHQWDWLRQ LV IXQGDPHQWDOO\ LPSRUWDQW LQ DQ\
EORFN FDYH HYDOXDWLRQ WKH GLUHFW DVVHVVPHQW RI IUDJPHQ
WDWLRQ LV D JHRWHFKQLFDO UHVSRQVLELOLW\ EH\RQG WKH VFRSH RI
WKLV SDSHU 6WLOO LW PXVW EH HPSKDVLVHG WKDW WKH FDYDELOLW\
RIWKHURFNPDVVDQGWKHVXEVHTXHQWIUDJPHQWDWLRQGXULQJ
WKH H[WUDFWLRQ SURFHVV ZLOO GLUHFWO\ LQXHQFH DOO WKH RZ
>
s
,
^
Z
&
/
d
K
s
,
^
Z
&D
/
d
K
Predictability
Risk level
Low
Moderate
Highly unpredictable
ECONOMICS
*LYHQWKDWDQ2UH5HVHUYHLVZKDWFDQEHHFRQRPLFDOO\PLQHG
LQWRGD\VWHUPVDGLVFXVVLRQRIWKHHFRQRPLFVRIWKHEORFN
FDYH LV MXVWLHG 7KH FRPPRQ ZRUNRZ ZLWKLQ 3&%& WR
DVVHVVWKHPLQLQJUHVHUYHEDVHGRQPHWDOSULFHVUHFRYHULHV
DQGRSHUDWLQJFRVWVLVDVIROORZV
6HWDQXQGLVFRXQWHGGROODUYDOXHWRHDFKWRQQHRIURFNLQ
WKHLQSXWPRGHO
&DOFXODWHWKHGUDZFROXPQDERYHHDFKGUDZSRLQW
0DNHDQDOORZDQFHIRUYHUWLFDOPL[LQJDQGHURVLRQLQHDFK
GUDZFROXPQ
(YDOXDWH WKH HFRQRPLF OLPLW IRU HDFK GUDZSRLQW
LQGHSHQGHQWO\RIRWKHUV
$GMXVW WKLV WR ORZHU DQG XSSHU OLPLWV LI WRR ORZ RU WRR
KLJK
$GMXVW WKH YDOXHV YHUWLFDOO\ WR WDNH VRPH DFFRXQW RI WKH
WLPHUHTXLUHGWRPLQHDWDOOFROXPQRIURFN
0DNHDGMXVWPHQWVWRLUUHJXODUKHLJKWVRUWRWULPLVRODWHG
KLJKFROXPQKHLJKWVKDLUFXW
High
Reserve classification
This would form part of the highest confidence level of
Reserve (eg Measured)
Material that undergoes rilling may still be recovered, but
often, dilution material can rill into a gap, delaying the
arrival of higher ore
Great caution should be exercised before including this
material in an Ore Reserve
5HQHWKHDERYHWRWDNHDFFRXQWRIQRQYHUWLFDORUQRQ
OLQHDU RZ PHFKDQLVPV 7KLV LV GRQH E\ G\QDPLF EHVW
+2'FDOFXODWLRQVZLWKLQWKHSURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOHU
5HQHWKHDERYHWRWDNHDFFRXQWRIYDULDEOHVKXWRIIJUDGH
ZLWKWLPH
:LWKLQ 3&%& WKH LQLWLDO DSSURDFK ZRXOG EH WR EXLOG WKH
GUDZSRLQWOD\RXWDQGGUDZFROXPQVGRSUHYHUWLFDOPL[LQJ
DQGUXQWKHEHVW+2'WRROWKDWJLYHVDUHSRUWRIWKHWRQQHV
DQG YDOXH FRQWDLQHG ZLWKLQ WKH GUDZ FROXPQ DERYH HDFK
GUDZSRLQW 7KLV LV FRQYHQLHQW IRU LQLWLDO DVVHVVPHQWV DQG
VHWWLQJ XS WKH GHWDLOHG GUDZSRLQW OD\RXW /DWHU ZLWKLQ WKH
SURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOHUWKHPRUHFRPSOH[DGMXVWPHQWVGXHWR
PL[LQJDQGWLPHGHSHQGHQFLHVZRXOGEHLQFOXGHG
0D[LPXP +2' PLQLPXP +2' KDLUFXW DQG WLPH RU
YHUWLFDOGLVFRXQWLQJDUHQRZGLVFXVVHGLQPRUHGHWDLO
549
)ORZULVN7KHKLJKHU\RXPLQHWKHPRUHGLIFXOWLWZLOO
EHWRSUHGLFWKRZWKHGUDZFROXPQVZLOOLQWHUDFWDQGKRZ
PDWHULDOZLOORZLQWRWKHGUDZSRLQWV
(FRQRPLFULVN,WWDNHVORQJHUWRPLQHDWDOOHUFROXPQVR
WKHKLJKHULWJRHVWKHKLJKHUWKHULVNRIHFRQRPLFLPSDFW
HJPHWDOSULFHVRUWLPHGLVFRXQWLQJHWF
$VSHFWUDWLRULVN,IWKHKHLJKWWRZLGWKUDWLRLVKLJKXVLQJ
DKLJKHUPD[LPXP+2'SUHVHQWVDJUHDWHUULVN
&DYH PDQDJHPHQW ULVN ,I WKH EORFN FDYH LV SRRUO\
PDQDJHG GXULQJ RSHUDWLRQ WKHUH LV DQ LQFUHDVHG ULVN RI
ORVV RI GUDZSRLQW LQIUDVWUXFWXUH 7KLV LV DQ H[WHQVLRQ RI
WKHGUDZSRLQWSLOODUVWDELOLW\PHQWLRQHGEHIRUH
/LPLWHGE\SDVWPLQLQJDQGUHVLGXDOPDWHULDO,QDPXOWL
OLIWVLWXDWLRQWKHPD[LPXP+2'LVXVXDOO\OLPLWHGWRWKH
EDVHRIWKHSUHYLRXVPLQLQJKRUL]RQHYHQLIWKHUHLVRUH
JUDGHPDWHULDOOHIWIURPSUHYLRXVPLQLQJ7KLVLVGXHWR
UHOXFWDQFHRULQDELOLW\WRFODVVLI\WKHUHVLGXDOPDWHULDODV
RUH
,QZHDNHUURFNPD[LPXP+2'YDOXHVZRXOGRIWHQEHVHW
DURXQGPWRP8QGHUPRUHIDYRXUDEOHFLUFXPVWDQFHV
PD[LPXP +2' YDOXHV FDQ JR KLJKHU 6RPH PLQHV SODQ WR
PLQHXSWRPFROXPQVRUPRUH7KLVFDQEHGRQHEXW
WKHDERYHULVNVVKRXOGEHWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQWLQWHUPVRIWKH
2UH 5HVHUYH VWDWHPHQW $ EORFN RI KLJKO\ GULOOHG PDWHULDO
IRU ZKLFK WKH JUDGH LV ZHOO HVWLPDWHG EXW P DERYH D
OD\RXWDQGWRWKHVLGHRIWKHGHSRVLWLVKLJKULVNPDWHULDOIRU
LQFOXVLRQLQWKH2UH5HVHUYH
Haircut
$Q LGHDO EORFN FDYH KDV DOO GUDZSRLQWV ZLWK D VLPLODU
PD[LPXP+2'HJPKRZHYHUWKHUHDUHFLUFXPVWDQFHV
ZKHUH YHU\ LUUHJXODU WRS SUROHV DUH HQFRXQWHUHG ,Q WKHVH
FLUFXPVWDQFHVDKDLUFXWLVZHOOMXVWLHG
550
OLNHO\VLQFHWKHORZHUOLIWZLOORIWHQEHHYDOXDWHGDWKLJKHU
PHWDOSULFHVWKDQZHUHSUHVHQWGXULQJWKHPLQLQJRIWKH
XSSHU OLIW KRZHYHU ZKHWKHU WKLV VLGH PDWHULDO FDQ EH
H[WUDFWHGVKRXOGEHFORVHO\HYDOXDWHG,QVWURQJHUURFNLW
LV OLNHO\ WKDW WKH FDYH VLGHV ZLOO PLJUDWH LQWR WKH XSSHU
IRRWSULQWDQGUHGXFHWKHFKDQFHVRIH[WUDFWLRQRIWKLVVLGH
PDWHULDO
9DULDEOHVKXWRIIJUDGHLVH[SHFWHGIRUDODUJHGHSRVLW
7KH GHSRVLW FRQWDLQV PDQ\ YDULDEOH JUDGH SRGV $
VPDOO KLJKJUDGH ]RQH O\LQJ DERYH D ODUJH ORZJUDGH
]RQHLVXQDWWUDFWLYH8QOHVVVRPHYHUWLFDOGLVFRXQWLQJLV
LPSOHPHQWHGWKHYDOXHRIKLJKDERYHORZRUORZDERYH
KLJK ZLOO EH WKH VDPH 7KH UHDOLW\ LV WKDW KLJKJUDGH
PDWHULDO DW WKH EDVH RI D GUDZ FROXPQ LV PXFK PRUH
YDOXDEOH DQG KHQFH D EHWWHU FDQGLGDWH WR LQFOXGH LQ DQ
2UH5HVHUYH
EXCAVATION GEOMETRY
,QDQ\PLQLQJPHWKRGWKHH[FDYDWLRQJHRPHWU\SOD\VDYHU\
LPSRUWDQW UROH LQ WKH FRQYHUVLRQ IURP D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH
LQWR D PLQHDEOH 5HVHUYH %ORFN FDYH PLQLQJ LV SUREDEO\ WKH
OHDVWVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJPHWKRGLQXVHWRGD\
7KHIROORZLQJIDFWRUVDUHGLVFXVVHGLQWKLVVHFWLRQ
GUDZSRLQWVSDFLQJYHUVXVRUHERG\UHFRYHU\KRSHGIRU
YHUVXVUHDOGUDZFRQHHIIHFWRIHURVLRQ
PD[LPXPSDQHORUXQGHUFXWZLGWK
PLQLPXPVSDQDQGK\GUDXOLFUDGLXV
DWYHUVXVLQFOLQHGFDYHV
EORFNFDYHYHUVXVSDQHOFDYH
SHHOLQJWKHSRWDWRFRQYHUWLQJDQXPHULFDOIRRWSULQWLQWR
DSUDFWLFDOIRRWSULQWDQDORJRXVWR:KLWWOHSLWWRGHVLJQ
SLWFRQYHUVLRQ
JHRPHWULFUHVROXWLRQDQGGHWDLODWEDVHRIGUDZFRQHWKH
QLWW\JULWW\DURXQGWKHGUDZEHOOVDQGXQGHUFXW
Drawpoint spacing
7KH GUDZSRLQW VSDFLQJ LV RQH RI WKH WULFNLHVW DQG PRVW
FRQWHQWLRXV GHVLJQ FRQVLGHUDWLRQV LQ EORFN FDYLQJ 2I
FRXUVHGUDZSRLQWVSDFLQJLVFORVHO\UHODWHGWRWKHH[SHFWHG
IUDJPHQWDWLRQVRWKHUDQJHRIRSWLRQVRSHQWRDSODQQHUPD\
EHOLPLWHG7KHHIIHFWVRIEHLQJWRRFORVHRUWRRIDUDSDUWDUH
GLVFXVVHGEHORZ7KHLGHDOLVLQWKHPLGGOH
Too close
,IWKHGUDZSRLQWVDUHVSDFHGWRRFORVHO\WRJHWKHUWKHUHLVRQH
SRVLWLYH RXWFRPH EXW LW LV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK PDQ\ QHJDWLYHV
:KDWV SRVLWLYH LV WKDW WKH SRWHQWLDO H[LVWV WR UHFRYHU WKH
ZKROH RUHERG\ DERYH WKH OD\RXW VLQFH WKH GUDZ FRQHV RU
HOOLSVRLGVRIGUDZIURPHDFKGUDZSRLQWZLOORYHUODSDQGWKH
LQJUHVVRIGLOXWLRQPDWHULDOFDQEHHIIHFWLYHO\PDQDJHG
7KHUH DUH PDQ\ QHJDWLYH VLGH HIIHFWV IURP D GUDZSRLQW
VSDFLQJWKDWLVWRRFORVH
LPSURYHGSRWHQWLDOIRUJUHDWHUSURGXFWLRQLQSDQHOW\SH
FDYHV
ODUJHU HTXLSPHQW FDQ EH SXW LQWR ODUJHU VHUYLFH
H[FDYDWLRQV
WKHFDSLWDOFRVWSHUWRQRIURFNPLQHGFDQGHFUHDVH
WKHSLOODUVWUHQJWKLVLQFUHDVHG
SLOODUVFDQDEVRUEPRUHEURZZHDU
7KHQHJDWLYHVLQFOXGH
ZKHQ QRW DOO WKH RUH LV UHFRYHUHG FDYH EHKDYLRXU LV
DOWHUHGDQGHDUO\GLOXWLRQLQJUHVVLVOLNHO\ZLWKSDUWVRI
WKH RUHERG\ UHPDLQLQJ LQWDFW RU XQUHFRYHUHG DERYH WKH
PDMRUSLOODUVIRUWKHSURGXFWLRQWXQQHOV
LUUHJXODUFDYHSURSDJDWLRQFDQUHVXOWZLWKDGYHUVHVWUHVV
FRQGLWLRQVRQWKHOD\RXW
IUDJPHQWDWLRQPD\GHWHULRUDWHDQGWKHUHPD\EHUHGXFHG
OLIHIRUGUDZSRLQWVGXHWRHDUO\GLOXWLRQLQJUHVVFDXVLQJ
HDUO\GUDZSRLQWFORVXUHDQGUHGXFHGSURGXFWLRQUDWH
)LJXUH VKRZV RXWSXW IURP D ' FHOOXODU DXWRPDWRQ WRRO
LQ3&%&UHSUHVHQWLQJDYHUWLFDOFURVVVHFWLRQIRUDWHVWFDVH
7KH OHIW VLGH RI HDFK LPDJH UHSUHVHQWV HLJKW FORVHO\ VSDFHG
GUDZSRLQWVZLWKUHJXODUGUDZZKLOHWKHULJKWVLGHUHSUHVHQWV
IRXU SRLQWV WKDW DUH PRUH ZLGHO\ VSDFHG ZLWK KLJKHU WRQV
EHLQJ H[WUDFWHG IURP HDFK GUDZSRLQW 7KH KRUL]RQWDO
FRORXUHGEDQGVUHSUHVHQWGLIIHUHQW]RQHVRUURFN7KHVHDUH
SUHVHUYHG PRUH HIIHFWLYHO\ ZLWK FORVHUVSDFHG GUDZSRLQWV
DQGWKHLQFRPSOHWHH[WUDFWLRQIURPWKHULJKWVLGHLVFOHDURQ
WKH ERWWRP URZ RI LPDJHV 7KH XSVLGHGRZQ 9 VKDSHV WR
WKHORZHUULJKWGHPRQVWUDWHWKHSRWHQWLDOIRUORVVRI5HVHUYHV
LIWKHGUDZSRLQWVSDFLQJLVWRRODUJH
FIG 2 - Output from 2D cellular automaton tool in PCBC for varied drawpoint spacing.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
551
$ UHODWHG FRQVWUDLQW LV WKDW LW RIWHQ PDNHV VHQVH IRU WKH
RUHERG\ WR EH PLQHG DV D VLQJOH IRRWSULQW UDWKHU WKDQ VSOLW
LQWR VHYHUDO LQGHSHQGHQW IRRWSULQWV 7KLV LV EHFDXVH RI WKH
DGGHGGLIFXOW\RIVWDUWLQJXSDQHZFDYH
Footprint outline
7KLV JHQHUDOO\ QHHGV WR EH FUHDWHG ZLWKRXW VKDUS RU
FRQFDYHFRUQHUVLGHDOO\LWVKRXOGEHFRQYH[LQVKDSH,IWKH
RUHERG\ SHULPHWHU LV LUUHJXODU WKH SURFHVV RI VPRRWKLQJ
WKH IRRWSULQW HGJHV LV DQDORJRXV WR SHHOLQJ D SRWDWR %LWV
VWLFNLQJRXWQHHGWREHWULPPHGRIIDQGLQGHQWDWLRQVFDXVH
WURXEOH $ SHHOHG SRWDWR UHGXFHV WKH RULJLQDO 5HVHUYH GXH
WRWKHORVVRIWRQQDJHUHTXLUHGWREHSHHOHGRII7KLVVHHPV
REYLRXV EXW RIWHQ WKH SURFHVV RI VPRRWKLQJ WKH IRRWSULQW
RXWOLQH FDQ FDXVH FRQVLGHUDEOH ORVV RI YDOXH ZKLFK QHHGV
WR EH TXDQWLHG DQG FRPSDUHG DJDLQVW WKH RSHUDWLRQDO
FRQYHQLHQFHRIWKHVLPSOHURXWOLQH
552
FIG 3 - Adjusting the base of cone for precise draw bell and undercut volumes.
&DUHVKRXOGDOVREHH[HUFLVHGWRHQVXUHWKDWPDWHULDOIURP
WXQQHOV RQ SURGXFWLRQ DQG XQGHUFXW OHYHOV LV QRW GRXEOH
FRXQWHGEHWZHHQSURGXFWLRQDQGGHYHORSPHQWWRQQDJHV
2QFH D EORFN FDYH KDV EHHQ LQ RSHUDWLRQ IRU VHYHUDO \HDUV
DQGDFWXDOPLQLQJKLVWRU\LVDYDLODEOHWKHSURFHVVRIXSGDWLQJ
5HVHUYHVLVIXUWKHUFRPSOLFDWHGE\WKLVPLQLQJKLVWRU\$UHDV
ZLOOEHHQFRXQWHUHGZKHUHWKHRIFLDO5HVHUYHLQWKHPRGHO
KDV DOUHDG\ EHHQ PLQHG RXW EXW WKH VDPSOHG JUDGHV DW WKH
GUDZSRLQWVDUHVXIFLHQWWRMXVWLI\PLQLQJIURPWKRVHDUHDV
2WKHUDUHDVZLOOEHHQFRXQWHUHGZKHUHWKHJUDGHVDUHWRRORZ
DQG WKH GUDZSRLQWV DUH UHTXLUHG WR EH FORVHG HDUO\ $ WRRO
H[LVWV ZLWKLQ 3&%& FDOOHG /64 /HDVW 6TXDUHV WKDW FDQ XVH
WKHORFDOGUDZSRLQWVDPSOHVWRXSGDWHWKHHVWLPDWHRIPDWHULDO
LQWKHGUDZFROXPQIRUVKRUWWHUPFRUUHFWLRQVLQWKHIRUHFDVW
,QJHQHUDOWKHVHTXHQFLQJRIGUDZSRLQWVUHTXLUHVDFDUHIXO
WUDGHRII EHWZHHQ WKH JHRWHFKQLFDO FRQVWUDLQWV IURP RYHUDOO
VWUHVVHV DQG XQGHUFXW IDFH VKDSH FRPELQHG ZLWK WKH QHHG
WR PLQH KLJKHU JUDGH GUDZSRLQWV HDUOLHU LQ WKH VHTXHQFH
7KH H[DPSOH LQ )LJXUH 5LFKWHU DQG 'LHULQJ IURP
WKH )LQVFK PLQH VKRZV WKH XQGHUFXWWLQJ VHTXHQFH ,W ZDV
D JRRG FRPSURPLVH EHWZHHQ WDUJHWLQJ KLJKHU JUDGHV DQG
JHRWHFKQLFDOFRQVtraints.
RSHUDWLRQ $V VRRQ DV WKHUH LV SRRU GUDZ FRQWURO WKHUH LV
D ORVV RI DELOLW\ WR JHQHUDWH UHOLDEOH IRUHFDVWV 7KH RWKHU
FRQVHTXHQFHRISRRUGUDZFRQWUROLVDQLQFUHDVHLQGLOXWLRQRU
ORZHUUHFRYHU\RIRUHRUERWK
:KDWZDVWKHVKXWRIIJUDGHLQHIIHFWIRUWKHSUHYLRXVOLIW"
:LWKJHQHUDOO\LQFUHDVLQJPHWDOSULFHVLWLVOLNHO\WKDWWKH
SUHYLRXVVKXWRIIJUDGHZRXOGKDYHEHHQKLJKHQRXJKWR
OHDYHHFRQRPLFPDWHULDOEHKLQG
553
:KDWZDVWKHRYHUDOOWRQQDJHUHFRYHU\IURPWKHSUHYLRXV
OLIW")RUH[DPSOHLIWKH5HVHUYHKDGEHHQVWDWHGDW0W
EXWRQO\0WZDVUHFRYHUHGLWVUHDVRQDEOHWRDVVXPH
WKDWWKHRWKHU0WLVVWLOOLQWKHJURXQGDQGFDQSRWHQWLDOO\
EHPLQHG$OWKRXJKWKLVVHHPVREYLRXVLWRIWHQWXUQVRXW
WKDW WKH UHVLGXDO PDWHULDO LV VXEVWDQWLDOO\ GLVFRXQWHG RU
ZULWWHQRIIDOWRJHWKHUIURP5HVHUYHVWDWHPHQWV
$UH WKHUH DUHDV ZKHUH SUHPDWXUH FROODSVH RI WKH
GUDZSRLQWVWRRNSODFHZLWKLQFRPSOHWHUHFRYHU\OHDYLQJ
KLJKHUJUDGHPDWHULDOIRUVXEVHTXHQWH[WUDFWLRQ"
:DV WKHUH LQFRPSOHWH UHFRYHU\ RI WKH RUH GXH WR HDUO\
GLOXWLRQ HQWU\ DQG QRQLQWHUDFWLQJ GUDZ FRQHV" ,Q WKLV
FDVHWKHDYHUDJHJUDGHRIWKHUHVLGXDOPDWHULDOFRXOGEH
KLJKHUORFDOO\WKDQWKHSUHYLRXVVKXWRIIJUDGH
,W LV WKH RSLQLRQ RI WKH DXWKRU WKDW WKH TXDQWLFDWLRQ DQG
FDWHJRULVDWLRQRIUHVLGXDOPDWHULDOZLOOSOD\DPRUHLPSRUWDQW
UROHLQWKHIXWXUHKRZHYHULIWKHPDWHULDOFDQQRWEHJLYHQD
5HVRXUFHRU5HVHUYHFODVVLFDWLRQLH0HDVXUHG,QGLFDWHGRU
,QIHUUHGWKHPHWDOIURPWKDWVRXUFHVKRXOGEHH[FOXGHGIURP
WKH FDOFXODWLRQV (IIHFWLYHO\ ZRUNLQJ WKURXJK WKLV VLWXDWLRQ
FDQEHFRPSOH[
$QH[DPSOHRIDGHSRVLWLQZKLFKPXOWLSOHOLIWVKDYHEHHQ
PLQHGRUSODQQHGLVVKRZQLQ)LJXUH'LHULQJIRU
WKH&XOOLQDQ'LDPRQGPLQHLQ6RXWK$IULFD
Metal balance
,W LV UHFRPPHQGHG WKDW \RX SHUIRUP PHWDO EDODQFH
FDOFXODWLRQVDVSDUWRIDQ\3&%&5HVHUYHHYDOXDWLRQSURFHVV
7KLVLVDYHU\XVHIXOFKHFNSDUWLFXODUO\VRLQWKUHHSULQFLSDO
DUHDV
$VVHVVPHQWRIZKDWSHUFHQWDJHRIWKHJHRORJLFDO5HVRXUFH
KDVEHHQFRQYHUWHGLQWRDPLQHDEOH5HVHUYH
&RPSDUDWLYHVWXGLHVRIGLIIHUHQWDOWHUQDWLYHV,QWKHHDUO\
VWDJHV RI D SURMHFW PDQ\ VFHQDULRV ZLOO EH HYDOXDWHG LQ
YDU\LQJ OHYHOV RI GHWDLO KRZHYHU WUDFNLQJ WKH PHWDO
WRWDOVIRUWKHGLIIHUHQWVFHQDULRVLVYHU\XVHIXOIRUUHODWLYH
HYDOXDWLRQDQGZHHGLQJRXWOHVVDWWUDFWLYHDOWHUQDWLYHV
0HWDOEDODQFHLVSDUWLFXODUO\XVHIXOLQPXOWLOLIWVFHQDULRV
7KHEDVLFDSSURDFKLVWRVWDUWZLWKDQ in situ Resource (A).
,IWKHPLQHGPHWDOLV%PHWDOUHPDLQLQJLQWKHJURXQGVKRXOG
EH&ZKHUH& $%
Audit trail
FIG 5 - Multiple lifts or mining blocks at Cullinan mine (Diering, 2010).
OTHER CONSIDERATIONS
Computational considerations
:KHQ ZRUNLQJ RQ D SURMHFW LW LV RIWHQ QHFHVVDU\ WR ZRUN
ZLWKPDQ\GLIIHUHQWJUDGHHOHPHQWV&RQVLGHUDQH[DPSOHLQ
ZKLFK WKHUH DUH HLJKW PHWDOOXUJLFDO GRPDLQV ZLWK GLIIHUHQW
PHWDO UHFRYHU\ FKDUDFWHULVWLFV DQG YH PHWDOV WR EH WUDFNHG
HJ&X$X$J$V0RDQGWKHQWKHUHLVDOVRDUHTXLUHPHQW
WR WUDFN 0HDVXUHG ,QGLFDWHG ,QIHUUHG DQG RWKHU PDWHULDO
LQWKHUHSRUWLQJ'XHWRWKHPDWHULDOPL[LQJSURFHVVZLWKLQ
3&%&LQGLYLGXDOSDUWLFOHVDUHQRWWUDFNHG,QVWHDGIUDFWLRQV
RI EORFNV DUH PHUJHG WR IRUP WKH VOLFH OH DQG WKH PL[LQJ
DOJRULWKPV ZRUN ZLWK IUDFWLRQV RI VOLFHV 7KXV ZH FDQQRW
WUDFN DQG UHSRUW URFN W\SHV DV HDVLO\ DV IRU RWKHU PLQLQJ
PHWKRGV ,Q WKH DERYH H[DPSOH XS WR JUDGH DWWULEXWHV
554
0DQ\EORFNFDYHSURMHFWVHYROYHRYHUDSHULRGRIWHQ\HDUVRU
PRUH IURP FRQFHSW WKURXJK WR FRQVWUXFWLRQ 7KH PLQH PD\
RSHUDWHIRUPRUH\HDUVDIWHUWKDW,WLVUHDOO\LPSRUWDQWWR
KDYH WKRURXJK GRFXPHQWDWLRQ RI WKH YDULRXV PRGHOV DQG
5HVHUYHV VWDWHPHQWV JHQHUDWHG GXULQJ WKLV H[WHQGHG WLPH
IUDPH0DQ\WRROVH[LVWZLWKLQ3&%&WRIDFLOLWDWHWKLVSURFHVV
EXWLQVWDQFHVVWLOORFFXUZKHUHDSUHYLRXVO\FDOFXODWHG5HVHUYH
UHSRUWFDQQRWEHUHSOLFDWHG7KLVLVXVXDOO\GXHWRIDFWRUVVXFK
DVFKDQJLQJEORFNPRGHOVDQGLQSXWVVXFKDVPHWDOSULFHVDQG
UHFRYHULHVXVHUHUURURUGLIIHUHQWYHUVLRQVRIWKHVRIWZDUH$
JRRGDXGLWWUDLOVKRXOGGRFXPHQWDIXOOZRUNRZRIDOONH\
LQSXWVZLWKJUDSKLFDOHYLGHQFHRIWKHVWHSVWDNHQWRJHQHUDWH
QDO5HVHUYHUHSRUWV
Summary
$FRQFLVHVXPPDU\RIWKHIDFWRUVSUHVHQWHGKDVEHHQSXWLQWR
7DEOHWRSURYLGHDFKHFNOLVWRIIDFWRUVWRFRQVLGHUGXULQJD
EORFNFDYHHYDOXDWLRQ
TABLE 2
Abbreviated Reserve evaluation checklist.
Dilution
t Geometric
t Side
t Base
t Internal
t Flow
t Top
t Flow
t Orebody
t Shape
t Aspect
t Contacts
Flow
t Vertical
t Horizontal
t Rilling
t Erosion
t Toppling
t Compaction
t Inclined
t Pit failure
t Fragmentation
Economics
t Maximum height of draw
t Minimum height of draw
t Haircut
t Time discounting
t Revenues
t Costs
CONCLUSIONS
7KH *(29,$ 3&%& VRIWZDUH KDV HYROYHG RYHU PRUH WKDQ
\HDUV WR GHDO ZLWK WKH VLWXDWLRQV SUHVHQWHG (YHU\ EORFN
FDYHKDVLWVRZQXQLTXHFKDOOHQJHVEXWPRVWRIWKHVHZLOOIDOO
LQWRWKHFDWHJRULHVPHQWLRQHG:KHQVWDUWLQJDQHZSURMHFW
LWLVQRWNQRZQZKLFKRIWKHDERYHIDFWRUVZLOOEHNH\GULYHUV
Excavation geometry
t Drawpoint spacing
t Tunnel spacing
t Hydraulic radius
t Flat versus inclined
t Block versus panel
perimeter
t Smooth
t Base of cones
DQGZKLFKFDQEHODUJHO\LJQRUHG7KXVLWLVKRSHGWKDWWKH
FKHFNOLVWSURYLGHGLQWKLVSDSHUZLOODLGZLWKWKHHYDOXDWLRQ
RIIXWXUHEORFNFDYHPLQLQJSURMHFWV
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUZRXOGOLNHWRWKDQN'DVVDXOW6\VWqPHV*(29,$
,QFIRUWKHWLPHPDGHDYDLODEOHWRSUHSDUHWKLVSDSHUDVZHOO
DVIRUSHUPLVVLRQWRSXEOLVK
REFERENCES
'LHULQJ 7 7HPSODWH PL[LQJ DQ DOWHUQDWLYH GHSOHWLRQ HQJLQH
IRUEORFNFDYHVFKHGXOLQJLQ3URFHHGLQJV$3&206DQWLDJR
SS*(&$0,1&KLOH
'LHULQJ 7 %ORFN FDYH VFKHGXOLQJ ZLWK D SLHFH RI SDSHU LQ
3URFHHGLQJV0DVV0LQ/XOHn7HNQLVND8QLYHUVLWHW/XOHD
'LHULQJ 7 %ORFN FDYH SURGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOLQJ XVLQJ 3&%&
in Proceedings 60( &RQIHUHQFH 3KRHQL[ 6RFLHW\ IRU 0LQLQJ
0HWDOOXUJ\DQG([SORUDWLRQ/LWWOHWRQ
/DXEVFKHU'&DYHPLQLQJVWDWHRIWKHDUWJournal of the Southern
$IULFDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\2FWREHUSS
5LFKWHU 2 DQG 'LHULQJ 7 3URGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOLQJ DW )LQVFK
'LDPRQG 0LQH 6RXWK $IULFD LQ 3URFHHGLQJV 0DVV0LQ
6DQWLDJRP6DQWLDJR
555
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Seedsman Geotechnics Pty Ltd, Mittagong NSW 2575. Email: [email protected]
DEOHWRRSHUDWHGRZQWRDERXWPHOVHZKHUHSORXJKVDUH
RSHUDWLQJRUSURSRVHGIRUXVHLQVHDPVDVWKLQDVP:LWK
WRSFRDOFDYLQJWKHUHLVQRJHRWHFKQLFDOOLPLWWRWKHPD[LPXP
H[WUDFWLRQ WKLFNQHVV 7KH HFRQRPLFV RI ORQJZDOO PLQLQJ
UHTXLUHV H[WUDFWLRQ SDQHOV DV ZLGH DV SRVVLEOH &XUUHQWO\ LQ
$XVWUDOLD WKHUH DUH SDQHO ZLGWKV EHWZHHQ P DQG P
7KH H[WUDFWLRQ SDQHOV DUH VHSDUDWHG E\ FKDLQ SLOODUV ZLWK
ZLGWKVRIEHWZHHQPDQGP
7KHORQJZDOOIDFHVXSSRUWVDUHUHTXLUHGWR
FRQWUROVWUDWDPRYHPHQWDURXQGWKHFRDOIDFH
PDLQWDLQDVDIHDQGSURGXFWLYHZRUNLQJHQYLURQPHQWE\
SUHYHQWLQJEURNHQURFNIURPHQWHULQJWKHZRUNDUHD
VHOIDGYDQFHDIWHUWKHFRDOLVFXW
/RQJZDOOIDFHVXSSRUWVDUHEDVLFDOO\ODUJHK\GUDXOLFMDFNV
ZLWKWZRUDPVOHJV,QVWDOOHGFDSDFLWLHVLQ$XVWUDOLDQPLQHV
UDQJHEHWZHHQWWRWDW\LHOGZLWKRQHIDFHVXSSRUW
DW W 5RRI FDQRSLHV DUH W\SLFDOO\ P WR P ORQJ
RRUEDVHVDUHPWRPORQJDQGWKHIDFHVXSSRUWVDUH
GHSOR\HG RQ P WR P FHQWUHV )LJXUH ,Q D WZROHJ
IDFHVXSSRUWWKHOHJVDUHORFDWHGDERXWPIURPWKHFRDO
IDFH 7KH VXSSRUW ORDG GHQVLWLHV IRU WKH URRI H[SUHVVHG DV
XQLIRUPO\ GLVWULEXWHG ORDGV DUH 03D WR 03D DQG
RRUORDGGHQVLWLHVDUH03DWR03DZLWKWRHSHDNVRI
DERXW03D7KHGHVLJQRIWKHIDFHVXSSRUWVHQVXUHVWKDW
WKHURRIFDQRS\UDLVHVQRUPDOWRWKHVHDPRRU
7KH PRVW SURGXFWLYH ORQJZDOO OD\RXW LV WR H[WUDFW RQ
UHWUHDWLQFRQWLJXRXVSDQHOV5RDGZD\VDUHGHYHORSHGZLWK
PXOWLSOHKHDGLQJVUHIHUUHGWRDVJDWHURDGVHLWKHUVLGHRI
WKHH[WUDFWLRQSDQHO7KHORQJZDOOIDFHLVWKHQLQVWDOOHGDQG
UHWUHDWHG EDFN DORQJ WKH URDGZD\V 7KH FRDO LV FRQYH\HG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
557
FIG 1 - Typical longwall face support showing theoretical vertical stress distributions (modified from Barczac and Gearhart, 1992).
RXW RI WKH SDQHO DORQJ WKH VLGH LPPHGLDWHO\ DGMDFHQW WR
WKH XQPLQHG FRDO WKH PDLQ JDWH )LJXUH 7KH PDLQ JDWH
SURYLGHVWKHSULPDU\DFFHVVWRWKHIDFHDVZHOODVWKHLQWDNH
YHQWLODWLRQSDWK2QHRIWKHPDLQJDWHURDGZD\VLVUHXVHGDV
WKHWDLOJDWHIRUWKHQH[WORQJZDOO
EHGGLQJSDUWLQJV,QWHUQDWLRQDO6RFLHW\IRU5RFN0HFKDQLFV
7KHPDLQURRIPD\EHVLPLODURUPD\FRQVLVWRIWKLFNO\
DQGPDVVLYHO\EHGGHGVDQGVWRQHVDQGFRQJORPHUDWHV7KHUH
FDQEHH[WUHPHYDULDELOLW\HYHQEHWZHHQGULOOKROHVVSDFHGDW
OHVVWKDQPDSDUW
7KH XQLD[LDO FRPSUHVVLYH VWUHQJWK 8&6 RI FRDO PHDVXUH
URFNVFDQYDU\IURPOHVVWKDQ03DWRLQH[FHVVRI03D
7XIIDFHRXV EDQGV PD\ KDYH VRLO VWUHQJWKV RU FDQ EH VLOLFD
FHPHQWHG $V PHQWLRQHG KLJKVWUHQJWK PDVVLYHO\ EHGGHG
URRIDQGRRUURFNVPD\QRWEHFXWWDEOH
,Q GHYHORSLQJ DQ DGHTXDWH &RDO 5HVRXUFH PRGHO IRU
UHSRUWLQJXQGHU-25&&RGHUHTXLUHPHQWVWKHIRFXVLV
QRUPDOO\RQEXLOGLQJDUREXVWPRGHOIRUFRDOTXDOLW\VHDP
WKLFNQHVV DQG VHDP FRQWLQXLW\ 7KH H[SORUDWLRQ UHTXLUHG WR
GHWHUPLQH 0HDVXUHG RU ,QGLFDWHG 5HVRXUFHV PD\ QRW KDYH
GHWHUPLQHGWKHGLVWULEXWLRQRIIDXOWVQRUDGHTXDWHO\GHQHG
WKHHQJLQHHULQJJHRORJ\RIWKHRYHUEXUGHQDQGRRUWRDOORZ
DQDGHTXDWHDVVHVVPHQWRIWKHFDSDELOLW\RIWKHFRDOGHSRVLW
WR VXSSRUW ORQJZDOO H[WUDFWLRQ 7KHUH PD\ EH LQDGHTXDWH
LQIRUPDWLRQRQZKLFKWRDVVHVV0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVWKDWQHHG
WREHDSSOLHGIRUGHWHUPLQLQJ&RDO5HVHUYHV
Geotechnical Modifying Factors to Be Considered When Determining the Status of Longwall Reserves|R W Seedsman
Caving
7KHSUHVHQWDWLRQLQ)LJXUHKDVDVXEWOHEXWPDMRUGLIIHUHQFH
IURPRWKHUUHSUHVHQWDWLRQVRIORQJZDOORYHUEXUGHQLQWKDWWKH
MRLQWVDUHSUHVXPHGWREHSUHVHQWEHIRUHWKHORQJZDOOQRW
IRUPHG E\ WKH ORQJZDOO 7KLV PHDQV WKDW RULHQWDWLRQ RI WKH
IDFHOLQHZLWKUHVSHFWWRWKHMRLQWHOGLVLPSRUWDQWFRPSDUHG
WRWKHDOWHUQDWLYHPRGHOWKDWZRXOGKDYHDOOMRLQWVSDUDOOHOWR
WKHIDFHOLQH7KHUHDUHOLNHO\WREHVHYHUDOJHQHUDWLRQVRIMRLQWV
HDFKZLWKDVHWRIRUWKRJRQDOMRLQWVSOXVRWKHUVHWVUHODWHGWR
IROGLQJRUIDXOWLQJ)LJXUH$VDUVWRUGHUDSSUR[LPDWLRQ
WKH VSDFLQJ RI WKH MRLQWV ZLOO EH HTXDO WR WKH VSDFLQJ RI WKH
EHGGLQJSDUWLQJV3ULFH
/RQJZDOOIDFHVXSSRUWVFDQFRQWUROWKHFDYLQJRIWKHPDLQ
URRISURYLGHGWKHLQGXFHGORDGLQJLVOHVVWKDQWKHLQVWDOOHG
FDSDFLW\7KHGHWDFKHGEORFNPRGHO:LOVRQUHPDLQV
D XVHIXO RQH RQFH LW LV UHDOLVHG WKDW WKH EORFN GLPHQVLRQV
DUH VHW E\ WKH JHRORJ\ EHGGLQJ WKLFNQHVV DQG MRLQWV DQG
QRW E\ D PXOWLSOH RI WKH H[WUDFWLRQ WKLFNQHVV DV RULJLQDOO\
SURSRVHG )RU WKLFNHU EHGGLQJZLGHU MRLQWV WKH :LOVRQ
PRGHO FRQVLGHUV WKH PRPHQW ORDGLQJ LV DSSOLHG WR WKH
IDFH VXSSRUWV E\ RYHUKDQJLQJ EORFNV 0HUJLQJ WKH :LOVRQ
DQG MRLQW VSDFLQJEHGGLQJ WKLFNQHVV PRGHOV LPSOLHV WKDW
WKH FXUUHQW JHQHUDWLRQ RI VXSSRUWV FDQ UHDGLO\ PDQDJH
RYHUEXUGHQZLWKXQLWVXSWRPWKLFNDQGZLWKGLIFXOW\
XS WR P WKLFN )LJXUH )RU RYHUEXUGHQ XQLWV WKLFNHU
WKDQ P WKHUH LV D QHHG WR UHVWULFW SDQHO ZLGWK VR WKDW
FIG 4 - Models for joints and cleats in flat lying and folded strata (from Fookes, Baynes and Hutchinson, 2000).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
559
FIG 5 - Moment loading of square joint blocks (leg located 3.5 m from face line, 1 m wide shear).
FDYLQJ LV QRW LQGXFHG DQG KHQFH WKH IDFH VXSSRUWV DUH QRW
ORDGHG 7KH :LOVRQ EORFN PRGHO FDQ EH DSSOLHG WR WKH
LPPHGLDWHDQGPDLQURRI7KHPDLQURRILVQRWZHOOGHQHG
DOWKRXJK WKHUH LV VRPH FRQVHQVXV WKDW LW LV QRW PRUH WKDQ
PWRPDERYHWKHVHDP
7KH PHUJHG PRGHOV IRU MRLQWV DQG EORFN ORDGLQJ DUH
FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK ORQJZDOO PLQLQJ H[SHULHQFHV LQ WKH
1HZFDVWOHFRDOHOG)LJXUH0RVWRIWKLVPLQLQJSUREDEO\
KDG WKH ORQJZDOO IDFH OLQHV SDUDOOHO WR D PDMRU MRLQW VHW
7KH PHUJHG PRGHO DVVXPHV WKH IDFH OLQH LV SDUDOOHO WR WKH
MRLQWVHWDQXQNQRZQLVVXHLVZKHWKHUZLGHUSDQHOVFDQEH
H[WUDFWHGLIWKHIDFHOLQHLVREOLTXHWRWKHMRLQWVHWV$VZLOO
EHGLVFXVVHGDQREOLTXHIDFHOLQHLPSURYHVWKHSHUIRUPDQFH
RIWKHLPPHGLDWHURRI
,WLVSRVVLEOHWRRSHUDWHDORQJZDOOZLWKRXWWKHFDYLQJRIWKH
PDLQURRI7KHUHLVDQHHGWRDFFRXQWIRUVXFKEHKDYLRXULQ
WKHFKDLQSLOODUGHVLJQWKRXJKUHODWLYHO\PLQRUEXWWKHUH
ZRXOGEHDPDMRUFRQFHUQZLWKZLQGEODVWVLIWKHFDYLQJRI
WKHLPPHGLDWHURRIGRHVQRWVXIFLHQWO\EXONXSEHKLQGWKH
IDFHVXSSRUWV
7KH SUHVHQFH RI PDVVLYH XQLWV FDQ EH DQWLFLSDWHG IURP
VHGLPHQWRORJ\ PRGHOV DQG LGHQWLHG GXULQJ FRUH DQG
JHRSK\VLFDO ORJJLQJ 'HSRVLWLRQDO HQYLURQPHQWV WKDW PD\
SURGXFHPDVVLYHXQLWVLQFOXGHKLJKHQHUJ\V\VWHPVVXFKDV
EUDLGHG ULYHUV PHGLXP WR FRDUVHJUDLQHG VDQGVWRQHV DQG
FRQJORPHUDWHVZDYHUHZRUNHGEHDFKHVDQGVHGLPHQWVZLWK
ELRJHQLFUHZRUNLQJ7KLFN]RQHVRIFRUHZLWKRXWEUHDNVDUH
WKHEHVWLQGLFDWRUVQRWHWKDWURFNTXDOLW\GHVLJQDWLRQ54'
WKHSHUFHQWDJHRIFRUHORQJHUWKDQPPLVRIQRYDOXH
FIG 6 - Weighting zones as a function of massive unit thickness and panel width (reproduced from Strata Engineering (Australia), 1997).
560
Geotechnical Modifying Factors to Be Considered When Determining the Status of Longwall Reserves|R W Seedsman
DWHPSRUDU\PXQVXSSRUWHGVSDQXQWLOWKHIDFHVXSSRUWV
DGYDQFH
LQ WKLV FDVH 3RVVLEOH PDVVLYH XQLWV PD\ EH DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK
FRQVLVWHQW WUDFHV LQ JHRSK\VLFDO ORJV UHFRJQLVLQJ WKDW LQ
PDQ\ FDVHV WKH KLJK HQHUJ\ GHSRVLWLRQDO V\VWHP ZLOO KDYH
ZLQQRZHG DZD\ KLJK SRWDVVLXP DQG KLJK ZDWHUEHDULQJ
FOD\V
,QWKHFRQWH[WRIWKHUHTXLUHGVSDFLQJRIEHGGLQJSDUWLQJVWR
GHQHDVWDEOHMRLQWHGEHDPDPVSDQLVTXLWHDFKLHYDEOH
LQ PRVW LPPHGLDWH URRI FRQGLWLRQV 7KH RULHQWDWLRQ RI WKH
IDFHOLQHZLWKUHVSHFWWRMRLQWVLQWKHLPPHGLDWHURRILVFULWLFDO
DQGZLOOEHGLVFXVVHGODWHUKRZHYHUORQJZDOOIDFHVDUHRIWHQ
SODQQHG WR WUDYHUVH VPDOO WKURZ IDXOWV EH WKH\ QRUPDO RU
UHYHUVH6PDOOWKURZQRUPDOIDXOWVRIWHQLQKRUVWDQGJUDEHQ
FRPELQDWLRQ)LJXUHDDUHW\SLFDOO\PDUNHGE\WKLQJRXJH
]RQHV7KHUHDUHRIWHQDVHWRIMRLQWVSDUDOOHOWRQRUPDOIDXOWV
7KUXVWIDXOWVWHQGWRKDYHWKLFNHUJRXJHVDQGZLGH]RQHVRI
GLVUXSWLRQDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHLUJUHDWHUKHDYH7KHSUHVHQFH
RI EHGGLQJSDUDOOHO VKHDUV ZKHQ ORFDWHG DW WKH URRI OLQH LV
SDUWLFXODUO\ WURXEOHVRPH WR WKH VWDELOLW\ RI WKH WLSWRIDFH
DUHD,ISUHVHQWDWWKHURRIOLQHDOOWKHNLQNVIROGVDQGIDXOWV
)LJXUHEGHQHEORFNVWKDWZLOOUHDGLO\IDOORXW
Floor-bearing strength
7KHEDVHVRIORQJZDOOIDFHVXSSRUWVDUHVKRUWHUWKDQWKHURRI
FDQRSLHV &RPELQHG ZLWK WKH SODFHPHQW RI WKH K\GUDXOLF
OHJV WKH UHVXOW LV WKDW WKH KLJKHVW WLS ORDGV DUH DW WKH IURQW
RI WKH EDVHV )LJXUH ,I WKH RRU GHIRUPV HODVWLFDOO\ WKH
GHIRUPDWLRQVDUHQRWRIPDMRUFRQFHUQ,IWKHRRULVRIORZ
VWUHQJWK DQG \LHOGV WKH UHVXOWLQJ GHIRUPDWLRQV DUH ODUJH
DQG FDQ UHVXOW LQ ORFDOLVHG KHDYH WKDW ZLOO WLOW DQG GDPDJH
WKHDUPRXUHGIDFHFRQYH\RU$)&7KHUHVXOWLQJGHOD\VFDQ
EHH[WHQVLYHDQGWKHRRUPDWHULDOEHLQJVRZHDNLVWKHQ
OLNHO\WRLQKLELWWUDIFDELOLW\DVWKHIDFHLVEURXJKWEDFNLQWR
SURGXFWLRQ
$VDJHQHUDOLQGLFDWRURIWKHKD]DUGWKHDXWKRUKDVXVHGWKH
IROORZLQJUHODWLRQVKLS
$FFHSWDEOHWRHORDG03D 8&603D)R6
$ IDFWRU RI VDIHW\ )R6 YDOXH RI WR LV UHFRPPHQGHG
LI RRU VWUHQJWKV KDYH EHHQ GHWHUPLQHG IURP FRUH DQG D
KLJKHUYDOXHSRVVLEO\RUPRUHVKRXOGEHXVHGLIUHO\LQJ
VROHO\RQJHRSK\VLFDOGDWD)RUDW\SLFDO03DWRHORDGWKLV
FRUUHVSRQGV WR D RRU XQLD[LDO FRPSUHVVLYH VWUHQJWK RI DW
OHDVW03D
,W IROORZV WKDW WKH DVVHVVPHQW RI ORQJZDOO SRWHQWLDO PXVW
FRQVLGHUWKHGLVWULEXWLRQRILPPHGLDWHRRUVWUHQJWKV,WPD\
EHSRVVLEOHWRPDQDJHORZVWUHQJWKRRUE\OHDYLQJRRUFRDO
ZLWK SRVVLEO\ VXEVWDQWLDO LPSOLFDWLRQV WR WKH DVVHVVPHQW RI
UHFRYHUDEOHWRQQHV
Tip-to-face
FIG 7 - Examples of faults with less than half seam vertical displacement (redrawn from Hanson et al, 2004; Li, 2001).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
561
Horizontal stresses
/RQJZDOO H[WUDFWLRQ FDXVHV PDMRU UHGLVWULEXWLRQV RI YHUWLFDO
DQG KRUL]RQWDO VWUHVV HOGV 2I SDUWLFXODU FRQFHUQ LV WKH
FRQFHQWUDWLRQRIKRUL]RQWDOVWUHVVHVDWWKHPDLQJDWHFRUQHU
ZKLFKZKHQFRPELQHGZLWKWKHLQFUHDVHLQYHUWLFDOVWUHVVFDQ
FDXVH D URRI FROODSVH LI DGHTXDWH URRI VXSSRUW KDV QRW EHHQ
LQVWDOOHG*DOHDQG0DWWKHZV$OLJQLQJWKHJDWHURDGV
SDUDOOHO WR WKH GLUHFWLRQ RI WKH PDMRU SULQFLSDO KRUL]RQWDO
VWUHVVFDQUHGXFHWKHH[WHQWRIVXFKURRIFROODSVHVZKHQWKH
URRIURFNLVRIUHODWLYHO\ORZVWUHQJWK
FIG 9 - Induced horizontal stresses at 0.2 m above the roof line in the tip-to-face area.
562
Geotechnical Modifying Factors to Be Considered When Determining the Status of Longwall Reserves|R W Seedsman
VWULNH RI EHGGLQJ $W JUHDWHU GHSWK WKH RULHQWDWLRQ PD\ EH
UHODWHGWRDGRPLQDQWMRLQWRUIDXOWVHW%HGGLQJLVDOVRDPDMRU
GLVFRQWLQXLW\VRWKHYHUWLFDOVWUHVVVKRXOGEHDSULQFLSDOVWUHVV
GLUHFWLRQVLQFHWKHVHDPVEHLQJFRQVLGHUHGDUHUHODWLYHO\DW
O\LQJ
%RUHKROH EUHDNRXW LV D UHOLDEOH WRRO WR REWDLQ VWUHVV
GLUHFWLRQVLQVWRQH6WUHVVPDJQLWXGHVFDQEHREWDLQHGGXULQJ
H[SORUDWLRQ XVLQJ HLWKHU RYHUFRUH RU K\GUDXOLF IUDFWXUH
WHFKQLTXHV7KHSUHFLVLRQRIWKHPHWKRGVLVUDUHO\EHWWHUWKDQ
SHUFHQWLQERWKPDJQLWXGHDQGGLUHFWLRQ
Panel width
FIG 11 - Face spalling is related to the angle of the cleat (after Farmer, 1985).
+RUL]RQWDO VWUHVVHV LQ WKH VWRQH URRI RI FRDO PHDVXUHV DUH
W\SLFDOO\KLJKHUXSWRWLPHVWKDQWKHYHUWLFDOVWUHVVHVSULRU
WR PLQLQJ 1HPFLN *DOH DQG )DEMDQF]\N 7KH VWUHVV
HQYLURQPHQW LQ FRDO MXVW DKHDG RI WKH GHYHORSPHQW PLQLQJ
IDFHLVPRUHFRPSOH[ZLWKKRUL]RQWDOVWUHVVHVORZHUWKDQWKH
YHUWLFDOEHLQJFRQVLVWHQWO\UHSRUWHGLQ$XVWUDOLD6HHGVPDQ
7KHRULHQWDWLRQRIWKHPDMRUSULQFLSDOKRUL]RQWDOVWUHVV
FDQ YDU\ VXEVWDQWLDOO\ GHSHQGLQJ RQ WKH ORFDO VWUXFWXUDO
JHRORJ\DQGWKHSUR[LPLW\WRWKHVXUIDFH$ZRUNDEOHPRGHO
LV WR FRQVLGHU WKH OLNHO\ KRUL]RQWDO VWUHVV GLUHFWLRQV LQ WKH
FRQWH[W RI WKH VWUXFWXUDO JHRORJ\ UHFRJQLVLQJ WKDW RYHU
JHRORJLFDOWLPHFUHHSLQWKHURFNPDVVFRXOGDOORZUHGXFWLRQ
RI VKHDU VWUHVVHV DORQJ PDMRU GLVFRQWLQXLW\ VXUIDFHV 7KH
FXUUHQWWRSRJUDSK\VXUIDFHLVRQHVXFKVXUIDFHVRUHOD[DWLRQ
RIWKHVWUHVVXSGLSVKRXOGEHDQWLFLSDWHGDQGWKLVPHDQVDW
VKDOORZGHSWKVVD\OHVVWKDQPWKHRULHQWDWLRQRI
WKH PDMRU SULQFLSDO KRUL]RQWDO VWUHVV ZLOO EH SDUDOOHO WR WKH
Chain pillars
+LJK SURGXFWLRQ ORQJZDOO PLQHV DUH EDVHG RQ FRQWLJXRXV
SDUDOOHO H[WUDFWLRQ SDQHOV VHSDUDWHG E\ FKDLQ SLOODUV 7KH
GHVLJQ RI WKH FKDLQ SLOODUV LQYROYHV FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI WKH
FRQGLWLRQV DW WKH HQG RI WKH IDFH DGMDFHQW WR WKH SUHYLRXV
H[WUDFWLRQWKHWDLOJDWHRULQVRPHFDVHVWKHQHHGWRPLQLPLVH
WKH OHYHO RI VXUIDFH VXEVLGHQFH 8QOHVV ORQJZDOO H[WUDFWLRQ
LV FRQGXFWHG DW YHU\ VKDOORZ GHSWKV WKH FKDLQ SLOODUV ZLOO
GHIRUP FRPSUHVV DQG QRW FROODSVH VR \LHOGLQJ LV D EHWWHU
HQJLQHHULQJFRQFHSWWRDSSO\UDWKHUWKDQIDLOXUHRUVWUHQJWK
563
FIG 13 - Relationship between massive unit thickness and equivalent spans to ability to span.
7KHDSSURDFKRI&ROZHOOXVLQJWKHOLQHDUIRUPRIWKH
SLOODUVWUHQJWKHTXDWLRQLVDSSURSULDWH,QJHQHUDOLWZRXOG
EHJRRGPLQLQJSUDFWLFHWRVHHNWROLPLW\LHOGRIWKHSLOODUDW
WKHWDLOJDWHFRUQHUDQGIRUVXEVLGHQFHFRQWUROWKHUHPD\EHD
QHHGWROLPLW\LHOGXQGHUGRXEOHJRDIORDGLQJ)LJXUH$
JHQHUDOLQGLFDWLRQRIFKDLQSLOODUZLGWKVULEWRULELVJLYHQ
LQ)LJXUH
7KHUH LV D ULVN RI SLOODU V\VWHP IDLOXUH GXH WR \LHOG LQ WKH
URRI RU RRU LQVWHDG RI WKH FRDO LWVHOI $ SDUWLFXODU FRQFHUQ
LVWKHSUHVHQFHRIWKLQOD\HUVRIYHU\ORZVWUHQJWKFOD\VWRQHV
SRVVLEO\ WXIIV WKDW FDQ EH RI VRLO VWUHQJWKV 8&6 RI D IHZ
KXQGUHG N3D 7KH EHDULQJ FDSDFLW\ RI WKLQ ORZ VWUHQJWK
OD\HUVDVGHVFULEHGLQVWDQGDUGIRXQGDWLRQHQJLQHHULQJWH[WV
SURYLGHVDQDSSURSULDWHZD\WRDVVHVVVXFKDKD]DUG
Multiple seams
0XOWLSOH VHDPV FDQ EH UHDGLO\ H[WUDFWHG ZLWK WKH ORQJZDOO
PHWKRG 7KH YHUWLFDO VWUHVVHV LQGXFHG XQGHU DQG DERYH
FKDLQ SLOODUV LQ WKH SUHYLRXVO\ PLQHG VHDP FDQ H[DFHUEDWH
SUREOHPV ZLWK WKH FXUUHQW ORQJZDOO IDFH LI LW LV SRRUO\
DOLJQHG WR WKH MRLQWV DQG FOHDWV ,Q DGGLWLRQ WKH VWUHVV
UHJLPHQHDUWKHHGJHRIWKHSLOODUVDQGXQGHURUDERYHWKH
FIG 14 - Indicative chain pillar width (two heading development, 300 m wide panels).
564
Geotechnical Modifying Factors to Be Considered When Determining the Status of Longwall Reserves|R W Seedsman
TABLE 1
General guidelines for roadways in single seam longwall layouts
and less than 5.5 m wide.
Ground conditions
Bolts development
roadways
Extended cuts
Long tendons
development roadways
Skin development
roadways
SUBSIDENCE
(DFK ORQJZDOO IDFH PD\ GLVWXUE XS WR NP2 RI WKH VXUIDFH
SHU \HDU :LWK ORQJZDOOV VRPH YHUWLFDO VXEVLGHQFH RI WKH
VXUIDFH LV LQHYLWDEOH DQG PD\ UDQJH IURP YHU\ ORZ OHYHOV
60.0
Maingates
Tailgates
VD\OHVVWKDQPPWKDWDUHDVVRFLDWHGZLWKQDUURZGHHS
SDQHOV RU LI WKHUH DUH VSDQQLQJ XQLWV LQ WKH RYHUEXUGHQ WR
D PD[LPXP YHUWLFDO GLVSODFHPHQW RI DSSUR[LPDWHO\ SHU
FHQWRIWKHH[WUDFWHGVHDPWKLFNQHVV7KHDVVRFLDWHGWLOWVPD\
EH PPP WR PPP UHVSHFWLYHO\ 7KH
WHUP VXEFULWLFDO LV XVHG WR GHVFULEH D SDQHO ZLGWKGHSWK
JHRPHWU\ ZKHUHE\ WKHUH LV VSDQQLQJ RI WKH RYHUEXUGHQ
ZKLOH VXSHUFULWLFDO UHIHUV WR D SDQHO ZKHUH WKHUH LV QR
VSDQQLQJ DQG WKH YHUWLFDO VXEVLGHQFH UHDFKHV LWV PD[LPXP
SRVVLEOH YDOXH $V ZHOO DV VDJ RI WKH RYHUEXUGHQ DERYH WKH
H[WUDFWLRQSDQHOVWKHUHFDQEHYHUWLFDOPRYHPHQWVDERYHWKH
FKDLQSLOODUVUHODWHGWRWKHFRPSUHVVLRQRIWKHURRIDQGRRU
VWUDWDDQG\LHOGLQWKHFRDOSLOODU
7\SLFDOVXUIDFHVXUYH\VDFURVVDORQJZDOOSDQHODQGDORQJD
FHQWUHOLQH)LJXUHVKRZWKDWWKHSUROHVDUHQRWVPRRWK
QRU SHUIHFWO\ V\PPHWULFDO 7KH JHQHUDO SDWWHUQV DUH ZHOO
XQGHUVWRRGEXWLWLVQRWSRVVLEOHWRDFFXUDWHO\SUHGLFWWKHIXOO
VKDSHRIWKHVXEVLGHQFHERZODWHYHU\SRLQWRQWKHVXUIDFH
$V ZLWK DOO JHRWHFKQLFDO HQJLQHHULQJ DFFXUDWH SUHGLFWLRQ LV
LOOXVLYHDULVNPDQDJHPHQWDSSURDFKLVQHHGHGEDVHGRQDQ
DSSURSULDWHHVWLPDWHRIWKHOLNHO\GHIRUPDWLRQV6XEVLGHQFH
DVVHVVPHQWVVKRXOGVWDUWZLWKDQH[DPLQDWLRQRIWKHVXUIDFH
DQGVXEVXUIDFHLQRUGHUWRGHYHORSSURMHFWVSHFLFVXEVLGHQFH
OLPLWV 7KHVH SURMHFWVSHFLF VXEVLGHQFH OLPLWV FDQ WKHQ
EH XVHG WR JXLGH WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI ULVN PDQDJHPHQW WRROV
0.0
STRAIN
TILT
SUBSIDENCE
-0.2
30.0
-0.4
20.0
-0.6
10.0
-0.8
0.0
-1.0
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
-10.0
-1.2
-20.0
-1.4
-30.0
-1.6
-40.0
9HUWLFDOVXEVLGHQFHP
40.0
7LOWVRUVWUDLQVPPP
0.2
50.0
-50
-1.8
'LVWDQFHIURPJRDIHGJHP
565
LVSUHVXPHGWREHDPDWKHPDWLFDOIXQFWLRQZLWKD*DXVVLDQ
IXQFWLRQ EHLQJ FRPPRQO\ XVHG $JLRXWDQWLV DQG .DUPLV
,QXHQFH IXQFWLRQ PHWKRGV UHDGLO\ SURGXFH SODQV RI
WLOWVDQGFXUYDWXUHVDQGWKHQHPSLULFDOO\GHULYHGFRQVWDQWV
DUHXVHGWRFRQYHUWFXUYDWXUHVWRVWUDLQV
$OO WKH NH\ SDUDPHWHUV PHQWLRQHG DUH VLWHVSHFLF DQG
WKHUHLVQRDELOLW\WRSUHGLFWWLOWVDQGVWUDLQVIURPNQRZOHGJH
RIWKHURFNPDVV9HUWLFDOGHIRUPDWLRQVFDQEHDVVHVVHGIURP
YRXVVRLUEHDPDQDO\VLVDQGWKHVXEVLGHQFHDERYHFKDLQSLOODUV
FDQ EH DVVHVVHG XVLQJ IRXQGDWLRQ HQJLQHHULQJ DSSURDFKHV
6HHGVPDQ 7KHUH DUH GLIIHUHQW FRPSLODWLRQV RI WKH
SDUDPHWHUV IRU GLIIHUHQW FRDOHOGV )LJXUH VXPPDULVHV
GDWDSUHVHQWHGE\+ROODDQG+ROODDQG%DUFOD\
IRUWKH1HZ6RXWK:DOHVFRDOHOGV7KHGDWDLQGLFDWH
WKDW WKHUH LV DSSUR[LPDWHO\ SHU FHQW YDULDELOLW\ ZKHQ
VHOHFWLQJ YDOXHV IRU DQ\ RI WKH NH\ VXEVLGHQFH SDUDPHWHUV
Geotechnical Modifying Factors to Be Considered When Determining the Status of Longwall Reserves|R W Seedsman
FIG 18 - Rigid slabs on a deforming surface can alter the magnitude and
location of key subsidence parameters.
A
FIG 19 - Models for the caving, fracture and dilated zones above longwall extraction; (A) Bai and Kendorski, 1995; and (B) Holla and Barclay, 2000.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
567
LQWHUDFWLRQVZKHQPLQLQJXQGHUUHVLGHQWLDOGZHOOLQJVURDGV
UDLO VWRUHG ZDWHU SLSHOLQHV DQG WUDQVPLVVLRQ OLQHV 5LVN
PDQDJHPHQWEDVHGRQWKHHOLPLQDWLRQRIORQJZDOOH[WUDFWLRQ
KDVEHHQUHTXLUHGXQGHUEULWWOHVWUXFWXUHVVXFKDVGDPZDOOV
DQG PDMRU URDGUDLO EULGJHV DV ZHOO DV XQGHU IHDWXUHV WKDW
DUHLQWROHUDQWRIWLOWVXFKDVWHQVLRQWRZHUVDVVRFLDWHGZLWK
HOHFWULFDOWUDQVPLVVLRQOLQHV
DISCUSSION
,WLVWKHDXWKRUVH[SHULHQFHLQWKHFRDOVHFWRUWKDWWKHPLQH
SODQWKDWLVSUHSDUHGLQWKH3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\LVWKHRQH
WKDWJRHVLQWR)HDVLELOLW\7KHORQJZDOOOD\RXWLVRIWHQORFNHG
LQDWHDUO\3UH)HDVLELOLW\DQGWKHUHVWRIWKH3UH)HDVLELOLW\
VWDJH UHODWHV WR RSWLPLVLQJ VXUIDFH DQG FLYLO ZRUNV $V
D UHVXOW WKHUH LV D PLVPDWFK LQ WKH SHUFHSWLRQ RI WKH OHYHO
RI FHUWDLQW\ UHTXLUHG WKH ORQJZDOO PLQLQJ FRPSRQHQW RI
WKH 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ PD\ QHHG WR KDYH WKH FRQGHQFH
OHYHO WKDW DSSOLHV WR QDO )HDVLELOLW\ )XUWKHUPRUH WKH
WLPH UHTXLUHG IRU VXEVLGHQFH DSSURYDOV LV RIWHQ YHU\ ORQJ
VR DQ\ HQYLURQPHQWDO LPSDFW VWXG\ QHHGV WR VWDUW LQ HDUO\
3UH)HDVLELOLW\ DQG EHIRUH WKH QDO OD\RXW LV GHWHUPLQHG
7KH IDFW WKDW WKH PLQH OD\RXW ZLOO DOPRVW FHUWDLQO\ FKDQJH
VKRXOG QRW SUHVHQW D SUREOHP ZLWK JRYHUQPHQW DSSURYDOV
LIWKHIRFXVRIWKHDSSURYDOLVWKHGHWHUPLQDWLRQRISURMHFW
VSHFLFVXEVLGHQFHOHYHOV
)RUGHWHUPLQLQJ&RDO5HVRXUFHVIRUUHSRUWLQJSXUSRVHVWKH
-25& &RGH UHTXLUHV DQ DVVHVVPHQW RI UHDVRQDEOH
SURVSHFWVIRUHYHQWXDOHFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQEDVHGRQVSHFLF
mining methods DOWKRXJK WKH LQFOXGHG FKHFNOLVW UHFRJQLVHV
WKDW WKH DVVXPSWLRQV PDGH WR DOORZ VXFK DQ DVVHVVPHQW
PD\ QRW DOZD\V EH ULJRURXV 7KH -25& &RGH GRHV
QRW PDNH VSHFLF UHIHUHQFH WR VXEVLGHQFH HYHQ WKRXJK LW
GRHVVSHFLFDOO\DGGUHVVUHVLGXHGLVSRVDODQGZDVWHURFN,W
LV VXJJHVWHG WKDW DQ\ VSHFLF UHIHUHQFH WR ORQJZDOO PLQLQJ
DWWKH&RDO5HVRXUFHOHYHOVKRXOGRQO\EHPDGHLIWKHUHKDV
EHHQVRPHFRQVLGHUDWLRQRIJHRORJLFDOEDUULHUVFDYLQJRRU
VWUHQJWK WLSWRIDFH FRQGLWLRQV DQG VXEVLGHQFH LPSDFWV DV
GLVFXVVHG
)XUWKHUPRUH WKH FRQYHUVLRQ RI &RDO 5HVRXUFHV WR &RDO
5HVHUYHV UHTXLUHV FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV WKDW
OHDG WR IRUPXODWLRQ RI D PLQH SODQ 7KH H[SHFWDWLRQ LV WKDW
WKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVWKDWFRQWULEXWHWRDPLQHSODQVKRXOG
LQFOXGHDOORZDQFHIRUORVVHVLQWKHFDVHRIORQJZDOOVWKLV
VKRXOG LQFOXGH FRDO ORVVHV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK ODUJHWKURZ
IDXOWV SLOODUV EHWZHHQ UHWUHDWLQJ ORQJZDOO SDQHOV OHDVH
ERXQGDULHVDQGVXEVLGHQFHSURWHFWLRQSLOODUV
SURYLGHMXVWLFDWLRQIRUDPLQHOD\RXWZLWKWKHORFDWLRQ
DOLJQPHQWDQGSDQHODQGSLOODUGLPHQVLRQV
DOORZIRUWKHSUHSDUDWLRQRIDSURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOHWKDWLV
WHFKQLFDOO\DFKLHYDEOHDQGHFRQRPLFDOO\YLDEOH
KDYH UHDVRQDEOH H[SHFWDWLRQ WKDW DOO QHFHVVDU\ JRYHUQ
PHQWDSSURYDOVZLOOEHUHFHLYHGLQWKHFDVHRIORQJZDOOV
WKLV UHODWHV WR VXUIDFH VXEVLGHQFH DQG VXEVXUIDFH
IUDFWXULQJ
,W LV VXJJHVWHG WKDW 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV VKRXOG LQFOXGH
FRQVLGHUDWLRQRIDOOWKHIDFWRUVGLVFXVVHGLQWKLVSDSHU
5HIHUULQJWRWKHJHRWHFKQLFDOFODVVLFDWLRQRI+DLOH
DQG QRWLQJ WKH REVHUYDWLRQV WKDW WKH PLQH OD\RXW LV RIWHQ
ORFNHG LQ GXULQJ WKH 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ D MXVWLHG
JHRWHFKQLFDO PRGHO IRU WKH ORQJZDOO OD\RXW LV UHTXLUHG
DW 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ WR DOORZ DQ DSSURSULDWH DVVHVVPHQW
RI 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV 7DEOH 7KLV LV D KLJKHU OHYHO RI
JHRWHFKQLFDO ZRUN WKDQ VXJJHVWHG E\ +DLOH IRU RWKHU EXON
PLQLQJ V\VWHPV $ TXDOLHG PRGHO LV QHHGHG WR VXSSRUW D
5HVRXUFH VWDWHPHQW WKDW LV FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK WKH -25& &RGH
TABLE 2
Data for qualified and justified geotechnical models for longwall assessment (after Haile, 2004).
Data type
General requirements and
model reliability
Minimum geotechnical
Qualified
Justified
Seam geometry
Seam continuity faults
Thrust faults,
Bedding shears
Normal faults with throws greater than half seam thickness identified
from drilling and/or geophysics
Regional model
Weathering/alteration
Rock mass
Roof and floor lithologies
Roof and floor strengths
Discontinuities
Cleat sets and orientations
Regional model
Site-specific
Stress regime
Hydrogeological model
568
Geotechnical Modifying Factors to Be Considered When Determining the Status of Longwall Reserves|R W Seedsman
CONCLUSION
7KLV SDSHU KDV DGGUHVVHG WKH VSHFLF JHRWHFKQLFDO LVVXHV
DVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHLGHQWLFDWLRQRIORQJZDOO5HVRXUFHVDQG
5HVHUYHV,WZDVQRWFRQFHUQHGZLWKLPSRUWDQWPLQLQJLVVXHV
VXFKDVFRQYH\RUFDSDFLW\JDVZDWHUGUDLQDJHHWFQRULVLW
FRQFHUQHG ZLWK FRDO TXDOLW\ DQG RXWRIVHDP GLOXWLRQ 7KH
SDSHU KDV VXPPDULVHG LVVXHV WKDW QHHG WR EH FRQVLGHUHG
IRU5HVRXUFHDQG5HVHUYHFODVVLFDWLRQLWGRHVQRWFODLPWR
SURYLGH VXIFLHQW GHWDLO IRU DQ DGHTXDWH 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ RU
)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
7RFRQGHQWO\GHFODUHD3URYHQ5HVHUYHRIKLJKSURGXFWLRQ
ORQJZDOOFRDOUHTXLUHVIRUPDOFRQVLGHUDWLRQRIWKHJHRWHFKQLFDO
DVSHFWV LQFOXGLQJ WKH VXLWDELOLW\ IRU ORQJZDOO H[WUDFWLRQ
D YDOLG PLQH SODQ DQG FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI WKH VXEVLGHQFH
LPSDFWV (LWKHU WKHVH DVSHFWV KDYH WR EH DGGUHVVHG EHIRUH
,QGLFDWHGDQG0HDVXUHG5HVRXUFHVDUHGHFODUHGRUUHIHUHQFH
WRSRWHQWLDOXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJPHWKRGVLVGHIHUUHGWRWKH
GHWHUPLQDWLRQ RI 5HVHUYHV $ SRVVLEOH RZ FKDUW RI KRZ WR
PDQDJHJHRWHFKQLFDODQGVXEVLGHQFHIDFWRUVLVSUHVHQWHGLQ
)LJXUH,QWKLVRZFKDUWWKHUHLVQRUHIHUHQFHWRVSHFLF
XQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJPHWKRGVXQWLODJHRWHFKQLFDOPRGHOKDV
EHHQGHYHORSHG
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
0XFKRIWKHJHRWHFKQLFDOZRUNRQORQJZDOOSURMHFWVKDVEHHQ
FRQGXFWHGLQFORVHFROODERUDWLRQZLWK1LFN*RUGRQRI*RUGRQ
*HRWHFKQLTXHV ZKRVH SUDFWLFDO H[SHULHQFHV DV D VLWHEDVHG
JHRWHFKQLFDOHQJLQHHUKDVEHHQLQYDOXDEOH7KHLQFRUSRUDWLRQ
RI JHRWHFKQLFDO DGYLFH WR 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ
UHSRUWLQJ WKDW LV FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK WKH -25& &RGH KDV EHHQ
IDFLOLWDWHGDQGPRGLHGRYHUWKHODVW\HDUVWKURXJKFORVH
LQWHUDFWLRQZLWK.HUU\:KLWE\RI0F(OUR\%U\DQ*HRORJLFDO
6HUYLFHVDQG0DOFROP&R[RI;VWUDWD&RDO
REFERENCES
$JLRXWDQWLV = DQG .DUPLV 0 6'36 6XUIDFH 'HIRUPDWLRQ
3UHGLFWLRQ 6\VWHP IRU :LQGRZV YHUVLRQ 4XLFN UHIHUHQFH
JXLGHDQGZRUNLQJH[DPSOHV
%DL 0 DQG .HQGRUVNL ) 6 &KLQHVH DQG 1RUWK $PHULFDQ
KLJKH[WUDFWLRQ XQGHUJURXQG FRDO PLQLQJ VWUDWD EHKDYLRXU DQG
ZDWHU SURWHFWLRQ H[SHULHQFH DQG JXLGHOLQHV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV WK
Conference on Ground Control in MiningSS:HVW9LUJLQLD
8QLYHUVLW\
%DUF]DF 7 0 DQG *HDUKDUW ' ) Canopy and Base Load
Distribution on a Longwall Shield 5, 86 'HSDUWPHQW RI WKH
,QWHULRU%XUHDXRI0LQHV3LWWVEXUJK
%HUNPDQ ' $ HG )LHOG *HRORJLVW 0DQXDO S 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
%RRWK & - 7KH HIIHFWV RI ORQJZDOO FRDO PLQLQJ RQ RYHUO\LQJ
DTXLIHU LQ Mine Water Hydrogeology and Geochemistry VSHFLDO
SXEOLFDWLRQ HGV 3 / <RXQJHU DQG 1 6 5RELQV SS
*HRORJLFDO6RFLHW\/RQGRQ
%UDG\%+*DQG%URZQ(7Rock Mechanics for Underground
MiningS*HRUJH$OOHQDQG8QZLQ
&ROZHOO0*&KDLQSLOODUGHVLJQFDOLEUDWLRQRI$/36$&$53
UHSRUW&
)DUPHU,:&RDO0LQH6WUXFWXUHVS&KDSPDQDQG+DOO
)RRNHV3*%D\QHV)-DQG+XWFKLQVRQ-17RWDOJHRORJLFDO
KLVWRU\ D PRGHO DSSURDFK WR WKH DQWLFLSDWLRQ REVHUYDWLRQ DQG
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI VLWH FRQGLWLRQV LQ Proceedings *HR(QJ
SS7HFKQRPLF3XEOLVKLQJ&RPSDQ\
*DOH : - DQG 0DWWKHZV 6 0 6WUHVV FRQWURO PHWKRGV IRU
RSWLPLVHG GHYHORSPHQW DQG H[WUDFWLRQ RSHUDWLRQV 1DWLRQDO
(QHUJ\5HVHDUFK'HYHORSPHQWDQG'HPRQVWUDWLRQ1(5' '
SURJUDPUHSRUW
+DLOH$$UHSRUWLQJIUDPHZRUNIRUJHRWHFKQLFDOFODVVLFDWLRQ
RIPLQLQJSURMHFWVThe AusIMM Bulletin
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
569
+DQVRQ & 0RXOOH % 6WUDZVRQ & DQG /DZV $ /RQJZDOO
PLQLQJ WKURXJK IDXOWV DW 0RUDQEDK 1RUWK LQ Proceedings
&RDO $XVWUDODVLDQ &RDO 2SHUDWRUV &RQIHUHQFH SS
8QLYHUVLW\ RI :ROORQJRQJ DQG 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\,OODZDUUD%UDQFK
+ROOD / 0LQLQJ VXEVLGHQFH LQ 1HZ 6RXWK :DOHV 6XUIDFH
VXEVLGHQFH SUHGLFWLRQ LQ WKH 1HZFDVWOH &RDOHOG 1HZ 6RXWK
:DOHV'HSDUWPHQWRI0LQHUDOV5HVRXUFHV6\GQH\
+ROOD / 0LQLQJ VXEVLGHQFH LQ 1HZ 6RXWK :DOHV 6XUIDFH
VXEVLGHQFH SUHGLFWLRQ LQ WKH :HVWHUQ &RDOHOG 1HZ 6RXWK
:DOHV'HSDUWPHQWRI0LQHUDOVDQG(QHUJ\6\GQH\
+ROOD / DQG %DUFOD\ ( 0LQH VXEVLGHQFH LQ WKH 6RXWKHUQ
&RDOHOG1HZ6RXWK:DOHV'HSDUWPHQWRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV
,QWHUQDWLRQDO 6RFLHW\ IRU 5RFN 0HFKDQLFV ,650 &RPPLVVLRQ RQ
6WDQGDUGL]DWLRQRI/DERUDWRU\DQG)LHOG7HVWV6XJJHVWHG
PHWKRGV IRU WKH TXDQWLWDWLYH GHVFULSWLRQ RI GLVFRQWLQXLWLHV LQ
URFN PDVVHV International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining
Sciences
/L+0DMRUDQGPLQRUVWUXFWXUDOIHDWXUHVRIDEHGGLQJVKHDU
]RQHDORQJDFRDOVHDPDQGUHODWHGJDVRXWEXUVW3LQJGLQJVKDQ
FRDOHOG QRUWKHUQ &KLQD International Journal of Coal Geology
0DOOHWW&%RZHQ%DVLQVWUHVVVWUXFWXUHDQGPLQLQJFRQGLWLRQV
DVVHVVPHQW IRU PLQH SODQQLQJ 1DWLRQDO (QHUJ\ 5HVHDUFK
'HYHORSPHQW DQG 'HPRQVWUDWLRQ 1(5' ' SURJUDP UHSRUW
0RUJHQVWHUQ153HUIRUPDQFHLQJHRWHFKQLFDOSUDFWLFHSDSHU
SUHVHQWHGWRWKH,QDXJXUDO/XPE/HFWXUH0D\+RQJ.RQJ
1HPFLN - $ *DOH : - DQG )DEMDQF]\N 0 : 0HWKRGV
RI LQWHUSUHWLQJ JURXQG VWUHVV EDVHG RQ XQGHUJURXQG VWUHVV
PHDVXUHPHQWV DQG QXPHULFDO PRGHOOLQJ LQ Proceedings Seventh
8QGHUJURXQG &RDO 2SHUDWRUV &RQIHUHQFH SS
8QLYHUVLW\ RI :ROORQJRQJ DQG 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\,OODZDUUD%UDQFK
570
3ULFH1-)DXOWDQG-RLQW'HYHORSPHQWLQ%ULWWOHDQG6HPL%ULWWOH
5RFNS3HUJDPRQ3UHVV
6HHGVPDQ 5 : )DLOXUH PRGHV DQG VXSSRUW RI FRDO URRI LQ
3URFHHGLQJV )LIWK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 6\PSRVLXP RQ *URXQG 6XSSRUW LQ
Mining and Underground Construction HGV ( 9LOODHVFXVD DQG
<3RWYLQSS$$%DONHPD
6HHGVPDQ 5 : &DOLEUDWHG SDUDPHWHUV IRU WKH SUHGLFWLRQ RI
VXEVLGHQFHDW0DQGDORQJ0LQHLQProceedings Tenth Underground
&RDO 2SHUDWRUV &RQIHUHQFH SS 8QLYHUVLW\ RI
:ROORQJRQJ DQG 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\,OODZDUUD%UDQFK
6HHGVPDQ 5 : $SSOLFDWLRQ RI WKH EULWWOH IDLOXUH FULWHULRQ WR
WKH GHVLJQ RI URRI VXSSRUW LQ WKH VRIW URFNV RI FRDO PLQHV LQ
3URFHHGLQJV WK 8QGHUJURXQG &RDO 2SHUDWRUV &RQIHUHQFH SS
8QLYHUVLW\RI:ROORQJRQJDQG7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\,OODZDUUD%UDQFK
6HHGVPDQ5:7KHGHYHORSPHQWDQGDSSOLFDWLRQRIDORJLFDO
IUDPHZRUN IRU VSHFLI\LQJ URRI DQG ULE VXSSRUWUHLQIRUFHPHQW
LQ $XVWUDOLDQ XQGHUJURXQG FRDO PLQHV LQ Proceedings Seventh
International Symposium on Rockbolting and Rock Mechanics in
0LQLQJSS5:7+$DFKHQ8QLYHUVLW\
6RDQRV $ DQG .DSHQLV $ 3 1XPHULFDO HYDOXDWLRQ RI WKH
UHVSRQVHLQEHQGLQJRIDQXQGHUJURXQGKDUGURFNYRXVVRLUEHDP
URRI ,QWHUQDWLRQDO -RXUQDO RI 5RFN 0HFKDQLFV DQG 0LQLQJ 6FLHQFHV
6WUDWD(QJLQHHULQJ$XVWUDOLD)DFHZLGWKRSWLPLVDWLRQLQERWK
ORQJZDOO DQG VKRUW ZDOO FDYLQJ HQYLURQPHQWV $&$53 UHSRUW
&
:LOVRQ $ + 7KH SUREOHP RI VWURQJ URRI EHGV DQG ZDWHU
EHDULQJ VWUDWD LQ WKH FRQWURO RI ORQJZDOO IDFHV LQ Proceedings
*URXQG0RYHPHQWDQG&RQWURO5HODWHGWR&RDO0LQLQJ6\PSRVLXP
SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
,OODZDUUD%UDQFK
Geological
Interpretation
and Modelling
Statistical Analysis,
Mineral Resource
Estimation,
Classification and
Reporting
Modifying Factors
(Mining, Metallurgical,
Economic, Marketing,
Legal, Environmental,
Social and Government)
Ore Reserve
Estimation,
Classification and
Reporting
Monitoring the
Resources and
Reserves
Grade Control,
Production and
Reconciliation
C De-Vitry
573
S Dunham
579
The Importance of Understanding Uncertainty and Risk Associated with All Geological Inputs to Ore Reserves
M Berry
585
Scenario Thinking A Powerful Tool for Strategic Planning and Evaluation of Mining Projects and Operations
593
605
J Coombes, C Standing,
R Lacourt Rodrigues and C Queiroz
619
Reserves, Reserves and not a Tonne to Mine A Study of Reserves Reported Prior to Mine Closure
M Creech
627
Back to Basics Geological and Mining Risks and Financial Issues on Resource and Reserve Evaluation in
Coal Projects
635
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Principal Consultant, Quantitative Group, PO Box 6237, Mitchelton Qld 4053. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
$FFRUGLQJ WR WKH 2[IRUG 'LFWLRQDU\ 2[IRUG ULVN LV
7KHSRVVLELOLW\RILQFXUULQJPLVIRUWXQHRUORVV,QWHUPVRI
5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH WRQQHV DQG JUDGHV WKLV GHQLWLRQ LV
RIWHQ LQDSSURSULDWH EHFDXVH LQ PRVW LQVWDQFHV WKHUH LV WKH
SRWHQWLDOIRUERWKDQXSVLGHDQGDGRZQVLGH)LJXUH%HUU\
WKLVYROXPH9DQQ et alWKLVYROXPH2WKHUULVNV
VXFKDVUHVRXUFHQDWLRQDOLVPDUHIXOO\QHJDWLYH
6RPHULVNVDUHNQRZQRWKHUVDUHXQNQRZQ6RPHULVNVFDQ
EHTXDQWLHGZKLOHWKHSUREDELOLW\RIRWKHUXQGHVLUDEOHHYHQWV
RFFXUULQJ LV SRRUO\ XQGHUVWRRG )LQDOO\ WKH SUREDELOLW\ RI
ULVNVFDQEHVWDWLFRUFKDQJHRYHUWLPH:HFDQFKRRVHWRDFFHSW
ULVNLPSURYHRXUXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHULVNUHGXFHWKHULVN
RUGHYHORSVWUDWHJLHVWRGHDOZLWKWKHULVNVKRXOGLWHYHQWXDWH
5LVNZLOODOZD\VEHLQVHSDUDEOHIURPPLQLQJSURMHFWVVRLWLV
HVVHQWLDOWKDWULVNDQGRSSRUWXQLW\LVFRPPXQLFDWHGWRDOO
VWDNHKROGHUVVHH9DQQ et alYROXPH
5LVNVFDQEHORRVHO\GLYLGHGLQWRWKHIROORZLQJFDWHJRULHV
573
GLIFXOW\RIPDQ\ULVNFRPPXQLFDWLRQVWUDWHJLHVVXFKDV
VKDULQJFRQWURODQGDGPLWWLQJPLVWDNHVDQGWKDWWKH\
DUHKDUGWRGREHFDXVHWKH\GRQRWIHHOJRRGDWOHDVWQRW
ULJKWDZD\
)RFXV RQ SURMHFW DSSURYDO SODQQHUV DUH WRR EXV\
HQVXULQJ WKDW PHJDLQIUDVWUXFWXUH SURMHFWV DUH IXQGHG
DQGEXLOWUDWKHUWKDQRQIRUHFDVWLQJFRUUHFWO\RUIROORZLQJ
WKH DSSURSULDWH FRGH RI HWKLFV :DFKV 0F&DUWK\
WKLVYROXPHDGGVWKDWWKHIRFXVRISURMHFWRZQHUV
DQG VWXG\ WHDPV XVXDOO\ LV WR JHW WKH SURMHFW RYHU WKH
KXUGOH PDNLQJ WKHP OHVV GLVFULPLQDWLQJ ZKHQ LW FRPHV
WR GHWHUPLQLQJ ULVN :KLOH LW ZRXOG EH UHDVRQDEOH WR
WKLQNWKDWWKHQDQFLDOEDFNHUVZRXOGVHUYHWKHUROHRIDQ
LPSDUWLDOJDWHNHHSHURQVWXG\UHVXOWVWKHVWUXFWXUHDQG
UHZDUG V\VWHP DSSO\LQJ WR PDQ\ OHQGLQJ WHDPV JLYHV
WKHPDELDVWRZDUGDSSURYLQJQDQFH0F&DUWK\
WKLVYROXPH
,QFRUUHFWJRDOV:LOOLDPVDQG3HUHUDDFNQRZOHGJH
WKHLPSRUWDQFHRINQRZLQJ\RXUWHDPVSLFWXUHRIVXFFHVV
LQRUGHUWRUHFRJQLVHDQGHYDOXDWHULVNVFRQVLVWHQWO\7KLV
SLFWXUH RI WKH WHDPV PDQDJHUV DQG VWDNHKROGHUV ZLWK
ZKRP\RXFRPPXQLFDWHQHHGVWREHH[SOLFLWDQGVKDUHG
6KRUWWHUP IRFXV RU DQ DWWLWXGH WKDW LW LV VRPHRQH HOVHV
SUREOHP
&RVWDQGSURGXFWLRQSUHVVXUHZKHUHDQDWWLWXGHSUHYDLOV
WKDW WKHUH LVQW HQRXJK WLPH DQG LW ZLOO FRVW WRR PXFK
PRQH\WRGRWKHH[WUDZRUN
)UDXGDQGFRQLFWRILQWHUHVW
6LORV DQG WXUI ZDUV JURXSV ZLWK FRQLFWLQJ LQFHQWLYHV
QRWFRRSHUDWLQJIRUWKHEHQHWRIWKHRSHUDWLRQ
&DQ VWDII DUWLFXODWH ZKDW WKHLU MRE SXUSRVH LV" :KDW DUH
WKHREMHFWLYHVRIWKHLUJURXSDQGFRPSDQ\"
$UHWKHUHWRRPDQ\RUWRRIHZVWDII"
$UH FRQVXOWDQWV XQGHU RU RYHUXVHG DQG DUH WKHLU
UHFRPPHQGDWLRQVEHLQJDFWHGRQ"
:KDWLVWKHXQGHUO\LQJFXOWXUHHJLVLWRYHUO\QHJDWLYHRI
RWKHUVWDIIDQGPDQDJHPHQW"
,VWKHUHDQDSSURSULDWHV\VWHPWRHQFRXUDJHPHQWRULQJ"
$UHWKHUHSHRSOHZKRDUHQRWDJRRGWIRUWKHFRPSDQ\
HJ LQGLYLGXDOV ZKR FDXVH SUREOHPV IRU WHDPV RU ZKR
DFWLYHO\EORFNLPSURYHPHQWV"
,V WKHUH D FXOWXUH RI HQFRXUDJLQJ DQG FRPPXQLFDWLQJ
JRRG SUDFWLFH DQG LV NQRZOHGJH EHLQJ GRFXPHQWHG DQG
UHWDLQHG"
'RWHDPPHPEHUVKDYHWKHQHFHVVDU\VNLOOVDQGH[SHULHQFH
IRUWKHLUSRVLWLRQV"
,VWKHRUJDQLVDWLRQDOVWUXFWXUHVXLWDEOH"
'R SHRSOH KDYH DSSURSULDWH SD\ H[LEOH ZRUN
DUUDQJHPHQWV DQG LQFHQWLYHV" $UH LQFHQWLYH SURJUDPV
IRU UHJXODU HPSOR\HHV FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK H[HFXWLYHV DQG
GLUHFWRUV")RUH[DPSOHLIWKHFRPSDQ\SHUIRUPVSRRUO\
GRWKHSD\DQGERQXVHVRIGLUHFWRUVLQFUHDVH"
'RJURXSVFRRSHUDWHLQDEHWWLQJZD\"
$UHWKHUHSURSHUV\VWHPVIRUWUDLQLQJVNLOOVGHYHORSPHQW
DQGVWDIIUHWHQWLRQ"
7KH UHVXOWV DQG UHFRPPHQGDWLRQV RI VXFK D VWXG\ VKRXOG
EH RSHQO\ DYDLODEOH DV PXFK DV SRVVLEOH DQG WKHUH VKRXOG
EHRZQHUVKLSE\DOOVWDIIRIDSODQWRPRYHWKHRUJDQLVDWLRQ
IRUZDUG
575
,W LV ORJLFDO WR XVH 7DEOH RI WKH -25& &RGH WR
LGHQWLI\DQGUDQNULVNDOVRVHH'XQKDPWKLVYROXPH
DQGWRFRPPXQLFDWHWKDWULVNWRLQYHVWRUV7KLVDSSURDFKLV
EDVHGDURXQGXVLQJ7DEOHDVDULVNUHJLVWHU7KHIROORZLQJ
DSSURDFKLVVXJJHVWHG
$VVLJQDSHUVRQWREHUHVSRQVLEOHIRUHDFKLWHPLQ7DEOH
RIWKH-25&&RGH
+DYH UHVSRQVLEOH SHUVRQV FRPSOHWH 7DEOH ZLWK DGGHG
FROXPQVIRUFRQYHUVLRQLQWRDULVNUHJLVWHU7DEOHRIWKLV
SDSHU
+DYHUHVSRQVLEOHSHUVRQVWRFRPSOHWHGLDJUDPVVKRZLQJ
WKH FRVWHIIRUW WR [ YHUVXV OLNHOLKRRGFRQVHTXHQFH
)LJXUH
&RQGXFW PHHWLQJV WR FRPSDUH OLNHOLKRRGFRQVHTXHQFH
GLDJUDPV IURP DOO UHVSRQVLEOH SHUVRQV DQG WR PDNH
UDWLQJV PRUH FRQVLVWHQW 7KHUH PD\ DOVR EH D QHHG WR
UHPRYHVRPHQRQPDWHULDOLWHPVWRDYRLGWKHULVNUHJLVWHU
EHFRPLQJVRODUJHWKDWLWLVXQZRUNDEOH
'UDZ XS GLDJUDPV VKRZLQJ WKH FRPELQHG HIIRUW WR [
YHUVXVOLNHOLKRRGFRQVHTXHQFHVDQGDFRPELQHGYHUVLRQ
RIWKH-25&&RGHV7DEOH
3UHSDUH D ZRUN SODQ IRU FRPPXQLFDWLQJ PDQDJLQJ DQG
UHGXFLQJULVNV
6HHNDQLQGHSHQGHQWUHYLHZRIWKHULVNPDQDJHPHQWSODQ
,PSOHPHQWWKHSODQ
,QFOXGHDFRPSOHWHYHUVLRQRI7DEOHDVDQDSSHQGL[IRU
H[WHUQDOO\UHSRUWHG0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHV
,Q IDFW WKH -25& &RGH DQG WKH $6; /LVWLQJ 5XOHV QRZ
UHTXLUH DQ LI QRW ZK\ QRW YHUVLRQ RI 7DEOH IRU QHZ
RU PDWHULDOO\ FKDQJHG HVWLPDWHV 7KLV ZRXOG LQFOXGH
FRPPHQWVRQULVNEXWQRWWKHFRPSOHWHULVNUHJLVWHU
([WHUQDOO\ UHYLHZ UHSRUWHG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH
5HVHUYHVEHIRUHUHOHDVLQJWRWKHSXEOLF$UGHQDQG/HZLV
WKLVYROXPH&UHHFKWKLVYROXPH0F&DUWK\
WKLVYROXPH'XQKDPWKLVYROXPH
CONCLUSIONS
7HFKQLFDO DQG QRQWHFKQLFDO ULVNV DUH VR QXPHURXV WKDW
LGHQWLI\LQJ DQG PDQDJLQJ WKHP ZHOO LV D FKDOOHQJLQJ WDVN
$PXOWLGLVFLSOLQDU\WHDPZLWKJRRGFRPPXQLFDWLRQLVFULWLFDO
IRUVXFFHVVDVDUHWKHDSSURSULDWHLQFHQWLYHVDQGREMHFWLYHVIRU
WKLVWHDP5LVNPDQDJHPHQWPXVWDOVRKDYHJRRGFRUSRUDWH
JRYHUQDQFHDQGDSSURSULDWHLQGHSHQGHQWH[WHUQDOUHYLHZ
,QWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\WKHUHLVDOZD\VSUHVVXUHWRGRPRUH
ZLWK OHVV ZLWK D FRPPRQ FXOWXUH RI ORQJ ZRUN KRXUV DQG
TABLE 1
Example of one item in a risk register based on Table 1 from the JORC Code (2012).
Criteria
Explanation
Risk
Controls
Consequence
Likelihood
Risk rating
Responsible
Possible
Medium
Senior geologist
Orientation of
data in relation to
geological structure.
Moderate
>
/
FIG 3 - Risk versus effort diagram for selected items in Table 1 of the JORC Code (2012). Items are coloured on risk rating
low (blue), medium (green), high (orange) and extreme (red).
576
ZRUNLQJZLWKDVHQVHRIXUJHQF\$VGHVFULEHGE\9DQQ et al
WKLVYROXPHZHPXVWUHJXODUO\VWHSEDFNWRDYRLGWKH
VRFDOOHGIRUHVWIRUWKHWUHHVWUDS
-RQHV-$0LQHSURMHFWULVNPDQDJHPHQWLQProceedings Project
(YDOXDWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
REFERENCES
$UGHQ+DQG/HZLV:%DFNWREDVLFVJHRORJLFDODQGPLQLQJ
ULVNVDQGQDQFLDOLVVXHVRQ5HVRXUFHDQG5HVHUYHHYDOXDWLRQLQ
FRDOSURMHFWVLQMineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
%HUU\ 0 7KH LPSRUWDQFH RI XQGHUVWDQGLQJ XQFHUWDLQW\ DQG
ULVN DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK DOO JHRORJLFDO LQSXWV WR 2UH 5HVHUYHV LQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP &,0
(VWLPDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV
%HVW3UDFWLFH*XLGHOLQHV>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZHE
FLPRUJ8VHU)LOHV)LOH(VWLPDWLRQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV0LQHUDO
5HVHUYHVSGI! &DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ
0HWDOOXUJ\DQG3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
&RRPEHV - 6WDQGLQJ & /DFRXUW 5RGULJXHV 5 DQG 4XHLUR] &
([SRVLQJ XQFHUWDLQW\ LQ VFKHGXOHV IRU SURDFWLYH VWRFNSLOH
SODQQLQJ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&UHHFK05HVHUYHV5HVHUYHVDQGQRWDWRQQHWRPLQHDVWXG\
RI 5HVHUYHV UHSRUWHG SULRU WR PLQH FORVXUH LQ Mineral Resource
and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
VHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'XQKDP 6 (YDOXDWLQJ UHVRXUFH ULVN WKH GXH GLOLJHQFH
SURFHVV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
+XQW67KH-25&&RGHH[SRVXUHGUDIW>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOH
IURP KWWSZZZDXVLPPFRPDXFRQWHQWGRFVEUDQFK
V\GQH\BBBBSUHVHQWDWLRQSGI!>$FFHVVHG1RYHPEHU
@
577
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Senior Principal Consultant Director, Quantitative Group Pty Ltd, PO Box 6237, Mitchelton Qld 4053. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
Caveat emptor LV WKH HVVHQFH RI WKH GXH GLOLJHQFH SURFHVV
)RU DQ\ LQYHVWPHQW LW LV LQFXPEHQW RQ WKH SXUFKDVHU WR
NQRZ ZKDW WKH\ DUH EX\LQJ )URP GD\WRGD\ SXUFKDVHV WR
PXOWLELOOLRQGROODU DFTXLVLWLRQV WKH VDPH SULQFLSOHV DSSO\
3XUFKDVH LQ KDVWH DQG UHJUHW DW OHLVXUH :KLOH LQ $XVWUDOLD
FRQVXPHUV DUH DIIRUGHG VRPH PHDVXUH RI SURWHFWLRQ ZKHQ
EX\LQJ FRQVXPHU JRRGV WKH VDPH LV QRW WUXH ZKHQ PDNLQJ
LQYHVWPHQWV RU SXUFKDVLQJ PLQHUDO DVVHWV 2QO\ LQ WKH
FDVH RI H[WUHPH QHJOLJHQFH RU IUDXG FDQ D FDVH EH PDGH IRU
EX\HUVRIPLQHUDODVVHWVWRUHFHLYHVRPHFRPSHQVDWLRQDIWHU
WKH WUDQVDFWLRQ LV FRPSOHWH DQG WKHQ RQO\ DIWHU OHQJWK\
DQG H[SHQVLYH OLWLJDWLRQ 7KHUH DUH PDQ\ H[DPSOHV ZKHUH
FRUSRUDWLRQV KDYH DFTXLUHG PLQHUDO DVVHWV RQO\ WR GLVFRYHU
WKDW WKH DVVHW WKH\ KDYH ERXJKW ZDV QRW ZRUWK ZKDW WKH\
SDLG7KLVLVYDOXHGHVWUXFWLRQDWLWVZRUVW
:KLOHLWLVSUXGHQWIRULQYHVWRUVWRXQGHUVWDQGZKDWWKH\
DUH EX\LQJ D FRPSDQ\ GLUHFWRU LV DFWLQJ RQ EHKDOI RI WKH
RZQHUV RI WKH FRPSDQ\ QRW KLPVHOIKHUVHOI ,Q WKLV FDVH
WKHGLUHFWRUKDVDGXW\WRWKHRZQHUVWRHQVXUHWKDWWKH\DUH
JHWWLQJ ZKDW WKH\UH SD\LQJ IRU 6LPSO\ SXW GXH GLOLJHQFH
FDQEHGHQHGDVWKHSURFHVVRILQYHVWLJDWLRQXVHGWRGHYHORS
D GHWDLOHG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH LQYHVWPHQW LQFOXGLQJ LWV
ULVNV DQG EHQHWV 'XH GLOLJHQFH LQYROYHV YHULI\LQJ WKH
QDWXUHRIWKHDVVHWDQGEXVLQHVVHQYLURQPHQWWRXQGHUVWDQG
DQG HYDOXDWH DVSHFWV WKDW FDQ PDWHULDOO\ LPSDFW RQ WKH
SXUFKDVHUVUHFHLYHGYDOXH7KHRXWFRPHRIDGXHGLOLJHQFH
LQYHVWLJDWLRQLVDGRFXPHQWWKDWDOORZVWKHLQYHVWRUWRPDNH
LQIRUPHG GHFLVLRQV ZKHWKHU WR FRPPLW WR WKH LQYHVWPHQW
ZDONDZD\RUSRVWSRQHZKLOHDZDLWLQJPRUHLQIRUPDWLRQRUD
PRUHIDYRXUDEOHWLPHIRUWKHLQYHVWPHQW
DVSHFWVRIRZQHUVKLSLQFOXGLQJHQVXULQJWKDWWKHYHQGRU
KDVIUHHDQGFOHDUWLWOHWRVHOOWKHDVVHW
SUHYLRXV DJUHHPHQWV DIIHFWLQJ WKH SURSHUW\ VXFK DV
UR\DOWLHVRUMRLQWYHQWXUHEX\LQWHUPV
DQ\ OHJDO VRFLDO JRYHUQPHQWDO RU HQYLURQPHQWDO
FKDUDFWHULVWLFVWKDWPD\DIIHFWWKHYDOXHRIWKHDVVHW
FXUUHQWSDVWDQGSURMHFWHGRSHUDWLQJFKDUDFWHULVWLFVVXFK
DV SURGXFWLRQ UDWHV RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV DQG RSHUDWLRQDO
VXVWDLQDELOLW\
WKHVWDWXVRIDQ\LQVWDOOHGSODQWDQGHTXLSPHQWWKHOLNHOL
KRRG WKH SODQW DQG HTXLSPHQW FDQ VXVWDLQ WKH H[LVWLQJ
RSHUDWLRQ DQG DQ\ UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU IXWXUH PDLQWHQDQFH
RUUHSODFHPHQWWKDWPD\LPSDFWRQWKHRSHUDWLRQ
WKH VWDII HPSOR\PHQW DUUDQJHPHQWV LQFOXGLQJ
HPSOR\PHQWWHUPVDQGFRQGLWLRQVDQGDQ\OLDELOLWLHVWKDW
PD\EHLQKHULWHGE\WKHSXUFKDVHU
LQIUDVWUXFWXUHVHFXULW\LQFOXGLQJSRZHUZDWHUUDLOSRUWV
DQGWHOHFRPPXQLFDWLRQV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
579
PREPARATION
$GXHGLOLJHQFHVWXG\LVDFRPSOH[DFWLYLW\DQGDVVXFKWKHUH
VKRXOG EH DGHTXDWH SUHSDUDWLRQ EHIRUH ZRUN FRPPHQFHV
7\SLFDOO\ VWXGLHV DUH KHDYLO\ FRQVWUDLQHG E\ ERWK WLPH DQG
EXGJHWV DQG LQ VRPH FDVHV LVVXHV VXUURXQGLQJ FRPPHUFLDO
FRQGHQWLDOLW\PXVWEHFRQVLGHUHG
Scope of work
/LNH DOO JRRG SODQV WKH UVW VWHS LQ SUHSDULQJ IRU D GXH
GLOLJHQFHLQYHVWLJDWLRQLVWRGHYHORSDVFRSHRIZRUN:KHUH
WKH DVVHW LQYROYHG LV ODUJH WKLV LV QRW D WULYLDO H[HUFLVH DQG
PXOWLSOH ZRUN SKDVHV PD\ QHHG WR EH FRQVLGHUHG ,Q WKH
UVWZRUNSKDVHSURIHVVLRQDOVLQYROYHGLQWKHVWXG\VKRXOG
GHYHORS D VRXQG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH SURMHFW DQG DVVHW
LQ TXHVWLRQ :KDW LV LWV QDWXUH" :KDW DVSHFWV DUH OLNHO\
WR EH FULWLFDO LQ DVVHVVLQJ WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH LQYHVWPHQW" ,Q
VXEVHTXHQWZRUNSKDVHVWKHVHTXHVWLRQVVKRXOGEHH[SDQGHG
XSRQ DQG DQ\ DGGLWLRQDO PDWHULDO LWHPV WKDW DUH UHYHDOHG
VKRXOGEHDGGHGWRWKHVFRSH
7KH UVW ZRUN SKDVH LV W\SLFDOO\ DOLJQHG ZLWK WKH YHQGRU
SURYLGLQJDFFHVVWRDGDWDURRPFRQWDLQLQJUHSRUWVOHVDQG
UDZGDWDUHOHYDQWWRWKHDVVHW7KHGDWDURRPFRQWHQWTXDOLW\
YDULHV ZLGHO\ DQG SURIHVVLRQDOV LQYROYHG LQ WKH VWXG\ PD\
QG WRR PXFK WRR OLWWOH RU LQFRPSOHWH GDWD LV SURYLGHG
1RQHWKHOHVV UHYLHZLQJ WKH GDWD URRP FRQWHQWV LV HVVHQWLDO
WR GHYHORSLQJ D FRPSUHKHQVLYH VFRSH RI ZRUN IRU WKH GXH
GLOLJHQFHVWXG\
$W\SLFDOVFRSHRIZRUNZRXOGLQFOXGHWKHIROORZLQJSURMHFW
VWHSV
SURMHFWIDPLOLDULVDWLRQ
FROOHFWLQJDQGIRUPDWWLQJYHQGRUVXSSOLHGGDWD
LQYHVWLJDWLQJWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHVXSSOLHGGDWD
IRUPXODWLRQRISRWHQWLDOO\PDWHULDOLVVXHV
JDSDQDO\VLV
VLWHYLVLWPXOWLSOHLIUHTXLUHG
LQWHUYLHZVDQGGLVFXVVLRQV
LQGHSHQGHQWFKHFNLQJDQGYDOLGDWLRQ
FROOHFWLRQRIPLVVLQJGDWD
FROOHFWLRQ RI QHZ GDWD VXFK DV QHZ VDPSOHV RU GULOO
KROHV
SURFHVVUHSOLFDWLRQ
RXWFRPHYHULFDWLRQ
FRQVLGHUDWLRQRIULVNVDQGRSSRUWXQLWLHV
UHSRUWLQJ
WKHVWXG\LVOLNHO\WREHDQGWKHOHVVOLNHO\VRPHSRWHQWLDOO\
PDWHULDOLVVXHVZLOOEHPLVVHG
$V ZHOO DV FRQVLGHULQJ WKH WHDP WHFKQLFDO VNLOOV LW LV
LPSRUWDQW WR EDODQFH WKH LQGHSHQGHQW SHUVRQQHO ZLWK LQ
KRXVHFRPSDQ\SHUVRQQHOLQYROYHGLQWKHVWXG\,WLVUDUHIRU
D GXH GLOLJHQFH VWXG\ WHDP WR EH FRPSRVHG HQWLUHO\ RI RQH
RUWKHRWKHU:KLOHDODUJHRUJDQLVDWLRQPD\HPSOR\SHRSOH
ZLWKWKHULJKWPL[RIWHFKQLFDOVNLOOVDQGH[SHULHQFHWKHUHLV
DULVNLQFRPSOHWLQJDGXHGLOLJHQFHVWXG\HQWLUHO\LQKRXVH
,QKRXVH SHUVRQQHO PD\ VXEFRQVFLRXVO\ ELDV WKHLU
LQYHVWLJDWLRQ WR PDWFK WKHLU SUHFRQFHLYHG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI
PDQDJHPHQWVREMHFWLYHV,IWKHDFTXLVLWLRQZDVLQLWLDOO\WKH
LGHD RI WKH &(2 WKHUH LV D ULVN WKDW WKH LQKRXVH WHDP ZLOO
QRW GHOLYHU DQ RXWFRPH WKDW FRQWUDGLFWV WKH &(2V GHVLUH
7KHUHPD\EHDKDORHIIHFWELDVVXUURXQGLQJHYHU\DVSHFWRI
WKHVWXG\DQGDQ\LVVXHVWKDWDUHLGHQWLHGFRXOGEHWUHDWHG
DVOHVVLPSRUWDQWWKDQWKH\WUXO\DUHVRWKDWWKHLQYHVWPHQWLV
QRWFRQVLGHUHGLQDQHJDWLYHOLJKW
(TXDOO\ WKHUH DUH ULVNV DQG EHQHWV IURP D WRWDOO\
LQGHSHQGHQW VWXG\ $Q LQGHSHQGHQW VWXG\ FDQ SURYLGH
FUHGLELOLW\ DQG LPSURYH WKH LQYHVWRU GHFLVLRQPDNHUV
FRQGHQFHLQWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHVWXG\UHVXOWV7KHWUDGHRIILV
LQFUHDVHGFRVWDQGSRVVLEO\WLPH
,Q PDQ\ FDVHV WKH EHVW WHDP GHVLJQ LQFOXGHV D PL[ RI
LQGHSHQGHQWDQGLQKRXVHVSHFLDOLVWV7KLVDOORZVWKHWHDPWR
GHYHORSWKHULJKWOHYHORILQWHUQDOGHEDWHDQGTXHVWLRQLQJDV
ZHOODVHQVXULQJWKHUHTXLUHGOHYHORIYHULFDWLRQ
5HJDUGOHVVRIWKHPDNHXSRIWKHWHDPHDFKPHPEHUVKRXOG
EHZHOOEULHIHGRQWKHLUUROHWKHVFRSHRIZRUNDQGWKHWLPH
DOORZHGIRUWKHLQYHVWLJDWLRQ
VDPSOLQJ
JHRORJLFDOREVHUYDWLRQV
GDWDEDVHLQWHJULW\
GDWDUHSUHVHQWLYLW\
JHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGGRPDLQLQJ
GHQLWLRQ RI RUH W\SHV DQG LQSXW WR UHSUHVHQWDWLYH
PHWDOOXUJLFDOVDPSOHV
GDWDDJJUHJDWLRQPHWKRGV
HVWLPDWLRQPHWDGDWD
HVWLPDWLRQWHFKQLTXHVDQGH[HFXWLRQ
UHSRUWLQJDQGYDOLGLW\RIWKHHVWLPDWH
'HWDLOV RI VRPH RI WKH PDLQ DVSHFWV LQ HDFK RI WKHVH
FDWHJRULHVDUHVHWRXWEHORZ
Sampling
$ 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWH LV EDVHG RQ SK\VLFDO GDWD LQFOXGLQJ
GULOO KROHV PDSSLQJ DQG JHRSK\VLFDO GDWD DOO VDPSOHV LQ
WKHEURDGHVWGHQLWLRQRIWKHZRUG7KLVSK\VLFDOGDWDPXVW
EH YHULHG E\ WKH LQYHVWRUV WHDP GXULQJ WKH GXH GLOLJHQFH
VWXG\7KHNH\DVSHFWVWREHYHULHGLQFOXGHWKHJHRJUDSKLF
ORFDWLRQRIWKHGDWDDQGLWVTXDOLW\)RUGULOOKROHVWKLVPHDQV
WKDW WKH LQYHVWLJDWRU PXVW XQGHUVWDQG WKH GULOOLQJ PHWKRG
XVHGDQGDQ\TXDOLW\PDQDJHPHQWUHTXLUHGGXULQJWKHGULOO
SURJUDP
9HULI\LQJ WKH ORFDWLRQ RI VSDWLDO GDWD VXFK DV GULOO KROHV
GRZQKROHVDPSOHVDQGHYHQPDSSLQJFDQEHRQHRIWKHPRVW
GLIFXOWWDVNVLQWHFKQLFDOGXHGLOLJHQFH:KHUHSRVVLEOHHOG
YLVLWVVKRXOGEHPDGHWRGULOOKROHFROODUVDQGWKHLUORFDWLRQV
VKRXOG EH YDOLGDWHG XVLQJ *36 WHFKQLTXHV &ROODU VXUYH\V
VKRXOG EH FRPSDUHG WR VXUIDFH GLJLWDO WHUUDLQ PRGHOV DQG
XQGHUJURXQGGULYHORFDWLRQVXUYH\V$Q\GRZQKROHVXUYH\
GDWD VKRXOG EH LQVSHFWHG DQG DVVHVVHG IRU LWV FRUUHFWQHVV
([DPLQLQJ'KROHWUDFHVIRUXQXVXDORULPSUREDEOHFKDQJHV
LQ GLUHFWLRQ DQG FKHFNLQJ VXUYH\HG FROODU ORFDWLRQV DQG
RULHQWDWLRQVDJDLQVWWKHRULJLQDOGULOOSURSRVDOVIRUWKHVDPH
KROHFDQEHXVHIXO
:KHUH TXHVWLRQV DUH UDLVHG DERXW WKH VSDWLDO ORFDWLRQV RI
GDWDLWPD\EHQHFHVVDU\WRGULOOWZLQQHGKROHV
2QFHWKHVSDWLDOORFDWLRQLVDFFHSWHGGULOOFRUHDQGUHYHUVH
FLUFXODWLRQ FKLSV VKRXOG EH LQVSHFWHG DQG LVVXHV SHUWDLQLQJ
WRVDPSOHUHFRYHU\FRQVLGHUHG,QSDUWLFXODUDQ\UHODWLRQVKLS
EHWZHHQVDPSOHJUDGHDQGUHFRYHU\VKRXOGEHQRWHGDVWKLV
PD\VLJQLFDQWO\LPSDFWWKHTXDOLW\RI5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ
$Q\ SDWWHUQV RU F\FOLFLW\ LQ UHFRYHU\ VKRXOG EH LGHQWLHG
IRUH[DPSOHDGHFUHDVHLQUHFRYHU\HYHU\PPD\LQGLFDWH
VDPSOHFRQWDPLQDWLRQGXULQJUHYHUVHFLUFXODWLRQ5&GULOOLQJ
DQGSURYLGHDQLQGLFDWLRQRIWKHUHOLDELOLW\RIWKHVDPSOHGDWD
7KH DFWXDO VDPSOLQJ PHWKRG VKRXOG DOVR EH LQYHVWLJDWHG
$JDLQ WKLV FDQ EH GLIFXOW RU LPSRVVLEOH LQ VRPH FDVHV
GHSHQGLQJ RQ WKH GULOOLQJ WHFKQLTXH :LWK 5& GULOOLQJ IRU
H[DPSOHPDWWHUVVXFKDVWKHGRZQKROHVDPSOHGHOLPLWDWLRQ
HUURUFDQRQO\EHREVHUYHGGXULQJGULOOLQJLWVHOI:KLOHVRPH
FRPSDQLHVPD\KDYHVDPSOHTXDOLW\PDQDJHPHQWSURJUDPV
HJTXDOLW\DVVXUDQFHDQGTXDOLW\FRQWUROPDQ\RIWKHLVVXHV
PRQLWRUHG DUH IRFXVHG RQ DQDO\WLFDO TXDOLW\ PRUH WKDQ WKH
VDPSOLQJSURFHVVLWVHOI,WLVSRVVLEOHIRUDVDPSOLQJV\VWHP
WREHFRQVLVWHQWO\ELDVHGDQGQRWEHGHWHFWHGE\WKHURXWLQH
VXEPLVVLRQ RI FHUWLHG UHIHUHQFH PDWHULDOV (YLGHQFH RI
FRUUHFW VDPSOLQJ UHTXLUHV GRFXPHQWDWLRQ RI WKH VDPSOLQJ
V\VWHP DQG LWV XVH URXWLQH LQVSHFWLRQV GXULQJ VDPSOLQJ
WR HQVXUH SURFHGXUHV DUH EHLQJ IROORZHG FURVVFKHFNLQJ
RI HTXLSPHQW WR HQVXUH DOO VDPSOLQJ GHYLFHV DUH EHKDYLQJ
FRUUHFWO\ DQG GXSOLFDWH VDPSOLQJ ,I VXFK HYLGHQFH LV QRW
DYDLODEOH DQG ZKHUH WKH 5HVRXUFH LV KHDYLO\ LQXHQFHG E\
5& VDPSOHV WKHUH PD\ DJDLQ EH D QHHG IRU DQ LQGHSHQGHQW
GULOOLQJSURJUDPWRFRQUPWKHYHQGRUVUHVXOWV
:KHQFRQVLGHULQJGLDPRQGGULOOLQJWKHVLWXDWLRQLVXVXDOO\
HDVLHU DQG PRUH FRQGXFLYH WR LQGHSHQGHQW YHULFDWLRQ
'XULQJLQVSHFWLRQRIGULOOFRUHWKHGXHGLOLJHQFHLQYHVWLJDWRU
VKRXOGH[DPLQHWKHW\SHRIVDPSOHWDNHQFRQVLGHULQJWKHZD\
WKHFRUHKDVEHHQVSOLW&RUHVSOLWWLQJPD\EHFDUULHGRXWXVLQJ
D VDZ EURNHQ DORQJ WKH ORQJLWXGLQDO D[LV XVLQJ D VSOLWWLQJ
GHYLFH RU VRPH RWKHU PHWKRG WDNLQJ VDPSOHV DV KDOI FRUH
TXDUWHUFRUHRUDOOHW(YLGHQFHRISUHIHUUHGFRUHRULHQWDWLRQ
FXW OLQHV DQG VDPSOH GHOLPLWDWLRQV VKRXOG DOVR EH QRWHG ,I
WKHUHDUHFRQFHUQVDERXWVDPSOHTXDOLW\WKHLQYHVWLJDWRUPD\
GHFLGHWRWDNHDUDQGRPVHOHFWLRQRIGXSOLFDWHVDPSOHVIURP
WKHPDWHULDOUHPDLQLQJLQWKHFRUHWUD\V:KHUHGULOOFRUHKDV
QRW EHHQ VWRUHG RU FRUH KDV GHWHULRUDWHG LW PD\ EH SRVVLEOH
WR XVH FRUH SKRWRV LI DYDLODEOH WR SURYLGH DQ LQGLFDWLRQ RI
VDPSOHTXDOLW\
7KH QH[W DVSHFW WR FRQVLGHU ZKHQ LQYHVWLJDWLQJ VDPSOH
LQWHJULW\ LV WKH VHFXULW\ RI WKH VDPSOH GXULQJ SUHSDUDWLRQ
GLVSDWFK WUDQVSRUW DQG UHFHLSW 'XULQJ HDFK RQH RI WKHVH
SKDVHV WKHUH VKRXOG EH V\VWHPV LQ SODFH WR SURWHFW WKH
LQWHJULW\ RI WKH VDPSOH IURP H[WHUQDO LQXHQFH HLWKHU
GHOLEHUDWH RU XQLQWHQWLRQDO $SSURDFKHV VXFK DV HQVXULQJ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
581
Mapping
$Q RIWHQ RYHUORRNHG VRXUFH RI GDWD LV SK\VLFDO JHRORJLFDO
PDSSLQJ RI PDMRU OLWKRORJLHV VWUXFWXUH DOWHUDWLRQ DQG
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ7KHGXHGLOLJHQFHLQYHVWLJDWRUVKRXOGDFWLYHO\
VHHN DQ\ DYDLODEOH PDSSLQJ ,Q PDQ\ PRGHUQ RSHUDWLRQV
WKHUH PD\ EH SKRWRJUDSKV RI NH\ H[SRVXUHV RU HYHQ '
SKRWRJUDPPHWULF PDSSLQJ V\VWHPV $V ZLWK DOO WKH RWKHU
LQSXWGDWDGHVFULEHGLQWKLVSDSHUWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHPDSSLQJ
VKRXOG EH HVWDEOLVKHG EHIRUH LW LV UHOLHG XSRQ ,Q WKH FDVH
RI SKRWRJUDSKLFEDVHG PDSSLQJ LW VKRXOG EH FOHDU WKDW WKH
SKRWRVDUHRIWKHDVVHWLQTXHVWLRQDQGGRQRWUHODWHWRVRPH
RWKHU GHSRVLW )RU PDQXDO SDSHUEDVHG PDSSLQJ FKHFNV RI
HOGERRNVDQGQRWHVVKRXOGEHPDGH
7KH LPSRUWDQFH RI PDSSLQJ GDWD LV GLVFXVVHG IXUWKHU LQ
UHODWLRQWRLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGGRPDLQLQJODWHULQWKLVSDSHU
Database issues
7KH GDWD XVHG WR HVWLPDWH WKH 5HVRXUFH FRPSULVHV WKH
5HVRXUFH GDWDEDVH $OO DVSHFWV RI WKH GDWDEDVH VKRXOG EH
WHVWHGZLWKDSDUWLFXODUIRFXVRQLVVXHVWKDWPD\LPSDFWRQ
HVWLPDWLRQTXDOLW\,WLVSRVVLEOHIRUWKHGDWDEDVHWREHHUURU
ULGGHQ GHVSLWH H[FHOOHQW GDWD FROOHFWLRQ SUDFWLFHV DQG WKH
TXDOLW\ RI WKH GDWDEDVH FDQQRW EH DVVXPHG 7KHUH DUH WZR
PDLQGDWDEDVHLVVXHVWKDWPXVWEHDGGUHVVHG
,VWKHGDWDEDVHFRPSOHWHDQGFRPSUHKHQVLYH"&RQVLGHULQJ
WKHQDWXUHRIWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDQGWKHODUJHUSHUVSHFWLYH
RI LWV HFRQRPLF YLDELOLW\ KDYH WKH FRUUHFW YDULDEOHV EHHQ
FROOHFWHG" 2QH YDULDEOH WKDW PD\ EH SRRUO\ UHSUHVHQWHG
LVEXONGHQVLW\ZKLFKLVFULWLFDOIRUHVWLPDWLQJWRQQDJHV
2WKHUYDULDEOHVWKDWVKRXOGEHFKHFNHGLQFOXGHGHOHWHULRXV
IDFWRUVWKDWPD\LPSDFWRQSURGXFWLRQTXDOLW\1RWHZLWK
WKH LQFUHDVLQJ DWWHQWLRQ EHLQJ SDLG WR HQYLURQPHQWDO
SHUIRUPDQFH WKHVH GDWDEDVH LVVXHV VKRXOG DOVR LQFOXGH
ZDVWHPDWHULDO,IFHUWDLQW\SHVRIGDWDHJEXONGHQVLW\
KDYH QRW EHHQ FROOHFWHG LW PD\ EH QHFHVVDU\ WR FROOHFW
DGGLWLRQDO VDPSOHV WR FRPSOHWH WKH GDWDEDVH 7KLV LV
RIWHQWKHFDVHZKHQDGHOHWHULRXVHOHPHQWLVQRWLQLWLDOO\
LGHQWLHGLQD)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
,V WKH GDWDEDVH HUURUIUHH" *HRORJLFDO GDWDEDVHV FDQ EH
YHU\ ODUJH DQG FRPSOH[ DQG ZLWK FRPSOH[LW\ FRPHV
SRWHQWLDO IRU HUURU 3UREOHPV PD\ H[LVW ZKHUH GDWD LV
PLVVLQJ RU LQFRUUHFWO\ DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK D JLYHQ KROH RU
VDPSOH LGHQWLHU 3UHOLPLQDU\ FKHFNV WR HQVXUH WKDW
HYHU\GULOOKROHKDVDYDOLGFROODUVXUYH\DQGDVVRFLDWHG
JHRORJLFDOORJVDQGDVVD\VDUHLPSRUWDQW&KHFNVVKRXOG
DOVRLGHQWLI\RYHUODSSLQJVDPSOHLQWHUYDOVRUJDSVLQWKH
GULOOKROHWUDFH'DWDEDVHHUURUVFDQEHVXEWOHDQGGLIFXOW
WRLGHQWLI\VRH[WUDFDUHVKRXOGEHWDNHQZLWKWKLVVWHSRI
WKHLQYHVWLJDWLRQ
3DUW RI WKH GDWDEDVH HYDOXDWLRQ LQFOXGHV FROOHFWLQJ WKH
PHWDGDWDIRUWKHGDWDEDVH4XHVWLRQVVXFKDVKRZDUHGHIDXOW
DQGPLVVLQJYDOXHVKDQGOHGRUKRZDUHEHORZGHWHFWLRQOLPLW
VDPSOHV VWRUHG PXVW EH DQVZHUHG 7KH JHRORJLFDO ORJJLQJ
OHJHQGXVHGVKRXOGEHFROOHFWHGIRUODWHUXVHZKHQDVVHVVLQJ
WKH TXDOLW\ DQG FRQVLVWHQF\ RI JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
TABLE 1
Sample spacing and orientation considerations.
Aspect
Indication
Fan drilling (eg from underground sites) Data clustered near collars and dispersed
at end-of-hole; confidence from collar to
end-of-hole will decrease
Data spacing greater than apparent scale Subsequent interpretation may be overly
of geometric variability
simplistic or smooth; may not identify
boundary/shape variations that impact
on dilution and ore loss
Data spacing greater than apparent
grade variability
583
WKHUHDUHLQFRQVLVWHQFLHVEHWZHHQWKHGRFXPHQWHGLQWHQWDQG
WKH LPSOHPHQWHG DSSURDFK 6XFK LQFRQVLVWHQFLHV ZLOO UDLVH
DODUP EHOOV LQGLFDWLQJ DQ LQGHSHQGHQW HVWLPDWH LV UHTXLUHG
3DUDPHWHUV LQFOXGLQJ EORFN VL]H DQG VHDUFK VWUDWHJ\ FDQ
KDYH ODUJH LPSOLFDWLRQV RQ WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH HVWLPDWH DQG
5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ H[SHUWV PD\ EH UHTXLUHG WR DVVHVV WKH
UHDVRQDEOHQHVVRIWKHDSSURDFKDGRSWHG
:KHUH DQ LQGHSHQGHQW HVWLPDWH LV UHTXLUHG WKH DSSURDFK
VKRXOGPHHWWKHVDPHVWDQGDUGVVHWIRUWKHLQYHVWRUVLQKRXVH
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHV:KLOHLWLVWHPSWLQJWRWDNHVKRUWFXWVDQG
FRPSOHWH TXLFN DQG GLUW\ HVWLPDWHV WKLV LV ULVN\ 7DNLQJ D
FRQVLGHUHGDSSURDFKWRLQGHSHQGHQWHVWLPDWLRQLVQHFHVVDU\
WRSUHYHQWHVWLPDWLRQHUURUV
,QGHSHQGHQWHVWLPDWHVVKRXOGEHFRPSDUHGWRWKHYHQGRUV
HVWLPDWH RQ D JOREDO DQG ORFDO EDVLV $Q\ GLVFUHSDQFLHV
EHWZHHQWKHWZRVKRXOGEHLGHQWLHGDQGXQGHUVWRRGEHIRUH
WKHPRGHOLVXVHGDVDEDVLVRIDQ\2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWH
584
CONCLUSIONS
$ SUXGHQW LQYHVWRU PXVW XQGHUVWDQG WKH DVVHW WKH\ DUH
EX\LQJ ,Q WKH FDVH RI PLQHUDO DVVHWV GHYHORSLQJ D UREXVW
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ LV D FRPSOH[ SURFHVV LQYROYLQJ PXOWLSOH
GLVFLSOLQHV $ VWUXFWXUHG DSSURDFK EDVHG DURXQG PXOWLSOH
ZRUNSKDVHVPD\EHUHTXLUHGWRHQVXUHDOOUHOHYDQWDVSHFWV
RI WKH LQYHVWPHQW DUH XQGHUVWRRG $ GXH GLOLJHQFH VWXG\
UHSUHVHQWV WKH LQYHVWRUV SURFHVV IRU HQVXULQJ WKH SODQQHG
LQYHVWPHQWLVZLVHDQGWKDWWKHULVNDQGRSSRUWXQLW\SRVHG
E\WKHLQYHVWPHQWLVDOLJQHGZLWKWKHLULQYHVWPHQWSUROH
'XHGLOLJHQFHLVDQLPSRUWDQWVWHSLQLQYHVWPHQWGHFLVLRQ
PDNLQJ 7KHUH LV OLWWOH SRLQW LQ FRQGXFWLQJ D GXH GLOLJHQFH
VWXG\ LI WKH GHFLVLRQ KDV DOUHDG\ EHHQ PDGH WR SURFHHG
,QYHVWRUVPXVWEHZLOOLQJDQGDEOHWRZDONDZD\IURPWKH
LQYHVWPHQWLQTXHVWLRQLIWKHRXWFRPHRIWKHVWXG\LQGLFDWHV
WKDWWKHDVVHWLVQRWDJRRGWZLWKWKHLULQYHVWPHQWSUROH
3D\LQJ OLS VHUYLFH WR GXH GLOLJHQFH VWXGLHV OHDGV WR SRRU
GHFLVLRQV DQG LQYHVWPHQW ORVVHV LQ WKH VFDOH RI PLOOLRQV WR
ELOOLRQVRIGROODUVCaveat emptor!
REFERENCES
9$/0,1 &RPPLWWHH &RGH IRU WKH 7HFKQLFDO $VVHVVPHQW
DQG 9DOXDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO DQG 3HWUROHXP $VVHWV DQG 6HFXULWLHV
IRU ,QGHSHQGHQW ([SHUW 5HSRUWV 7KH 9$/0,1 &RGH
HGLWLRQ >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZYDOPLQRUJ
YDOPLQBSGI!
HOME
1. Principal Geologist, AMC Consultants Pty Ltd, Level 21, 179 Turbot Street, Brisbane Qld 4000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
,W LV FRPPRQ LQGXVWU\ SUDFWLFH WR FRPSOHWH GHWDLOHG ULVN
GRZQVLGHDQGRSSRUWXQLW\XSVLGHDVVHVVPHQWVRI0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWHV DW YDULRXV
VWDJHV GXULQJ WKH H[SORUDWLRQ DVVHVVPHQW GHYHORSPHQW
DQGRSHUDWLRQRIDQHZSURMHFW7KLVLVGRQHEHFDXVHPLQLQJ
SURMHFWV DUH FRQVLGHUHG WR KDYH VLJQLFDQW ULVN DV ZHOO DV
VLJQLFDQW XSVLGH SRWHQWLDO 5LVNV DQG RSSRUWXQLWLHV FDQ EH
ORRVHO\GLYLGHGLQWRWHFKQLFDODQGQRQWHFKQLFDOLVVXHV7KLV
SDSHU IRFXVHV RQ JHRORJLFDO LQSXWV WKDW IHHG LQWR WHFKQLFDO
ULVNVDQGRSSRUWXQLWLHVEHFDXVHWKLVLVWKHDUHDDFRPSDQ\LV
LQGLUHFWFRQWURORI
IURPVSHFLFJHRORJLFDOHYLGHQFHDQGNQRZOHGJHLQFOXGLQJ
sampling.-25&
7KH-25&&RGHSURYLGHVWKHIROORZLQJJXLGDQFH
The term reasonable prospects for eventual economic
H[WUDFWLRQ LPSOLHV DQ DVVHVVPHQW DOEHLW SUHOLPLQDU\ E\
the Competent Person in respect of all matters likely to
LQXHQFHWKHSURVSHFWRIHFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQLQFOXGLQJWKH
approximate mining parameters. -25&
7KH DXWKRU EHOLHYHV WKH DFFHSWHG LQGXVWU\ SRVLWLRQ LV WKDW
WKHHVWLPDWLRQRID0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHIRFXVHVSULPDULO\RQWKH
WRQQHVDQGJUDGHTXDOLW\SDUDPHWHUV,WRIWHQWDNHVPLQLPDO
DFFRXQW RI WKH RWKHU WHFKQLFDO DQG HFRQRPLF SDUDPHWHUV
WKDW LQXHQFH UHDVRQDEOH SURVSHFWV IRU HYHQWXDO HFRQRPLF
H[WUDFWLRQLQFOXGLQJWKHDSSUR[LPDWHPLQLQJSDUDPHWHUV
$V VXFK WKH UHVSRQVLELOLW\ IRU D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWH
UHVLGHVSULPDULO\ZLWKDJHRORJLVWRUWHDPRIJHRORJLVWV
585
Mining factors
&RQVLGHU VRPH RI WKH GHFLVLRQV WKDW PXVW EH PDGH ZKHQ
HYDOXDWLQJVSHFLFPLQLQJUHODWHG0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVVXFKDV
FUXVKLQJJULQGLQJDQGPLQHUDOOLEHUDWLRQUHTXLUHPHQWV
HIIHFWV RI VWRFNSLOLQJ RUH HJ R[LGDWLRQ RU VSRQWDQHRXV
FRPEXVWLRQ
SURFHVVIHHGFKDUDFWHULVWLFVDQGYDULDELOLW\
SURFHVVLQJ SDUDPHWHUV HJ SURFHVV WLPH DQG SURGXFWLRQ
UDWHVUHDJHQWFRQVXPSWLRQDQGRWKHUFRQVXPDEOHV
ZDVWHWUHDWPHQWVWRUDJHDQGHQYLURQPHQWDOPDQDJHPHQW
SURFHVVHQHUJ\UHTXLUHPHQWV
)XQGDPHQWDO SK\VLFDO FKHPLFDO DQG PLQHUDORJLFDO
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DQG FRXQWU\ URFN
DUH UHTXLUHG IRU DOO WKHVH GHFLVLRQV WRJHWKHU ZLWK D JRRG
The Importance of Understanding Uncertainty and Risk Associated with All Geological Inputs to Ore Reserves|M Berry
XQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHVSDWLDOYDULDELOLW\ZLWKLQWKHRUHGHSRVLW
0HWDOOXUJLVWV DQG FKHPLFDO HQJLQHHUV UHO\ RQ HVWLPDWHV DQG
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQVRIWKHVHJHRORJLFDOFKDUDFWHULVWLFVIRULQIRUPHG
SURFHVV GHVLJQ HTXLSPHQW VHOHFWLRQ DQG VSHFLFDWLRQ
FRQVXPDEOHV DQG KHQFH FDSLWDORSHUDWLQJ FRVW HVWLPDWLRQ
7KHVH JHRORJLFDO LQSXWV KDYH DQ DVVRFLDWHG XQFHUWDLQW\ WKDW
PXVWEHFRQVLGHUHGDQGDVVHVVHGE\WKHVHVWDII
Infrastructure factors
*HRORJLFDO LQIRUPDWLRQ SOD\V DQ LPSRUWDQW UROH LQ LQIUD
WUXFWXUHUHODWHGFRQVLGHUDWLRQVVXFKDV
LPSOLFDWLRQVRQWKHSURWDQGORVVDFFRXQWHJHIIHFWVRI
GHSUHFLDWLRQDPRUWLVDWLRQDQGLPSDLUPHQW
LPSOLFDWLRQV RQ WKH EDODQFH VKHHW HJ LQYHQWRU\ ERRN
YDOXHRIDVVHWVDQGUHKDELOLWDWLRQSURYLVLRQV
7RLOOXVWUDWHWKLVSRLQWZKHQFRPSDQLHVFRQVLGHUIRUZDUG
VHOOLQJ RU KHGJLQJ VWUDWHJLHV WKH\ PXVW EH FRQGHQW WKDW
WKHVHFDQEHH[HFXWHGVXFFHVVIXOO\7KHUHIRUHLWLVFULWLFDOWR
KDYH DQ H[FHOOHQW DSSUHFLDWLRQ RI DOO WKH WHFKQLFDO ULVNV WKDW
FRXOGUHQGHUWKLVVWUDWHJ\LQDSSURSULDWH7KHVHULVNVLQFOXGH
WKH JHRORJLFDO XQFHUWDLQWLHV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH XQGHUO\LQJ
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVHVWLPDWHDVZHOODVJHRORJLFDOXQFHUWDLQWLHV
LQKHUHQWLQPDQ\RIWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV
Marketing factors
*HRORJLFDOLQSXWVDUHHVVHQWLDOIRUDQHIIHFWLYHDVVHVVPHQWRI
PDUNHWLQJLVVXHVVXFKDV
0LQHULVNDVVHVVPHQWFDQEHFRQYHQLHQWO\JURXSHGLQWRWZR
FDWHJRULHV
5LVN DUHDV WKDW DUH ODUJHO\ RXWVLGH WKH FRQWURO RI D
FRPSDQ\ 7KHVH W\SLFDOO\ LQFOXGH FRPPRGLW\ SULFHV
DQG H[FKDQJH UDWHV QDQFLQJ WHUPV DQG FRQGLWLRQV
WKH OHJLVODWLYH VRFLDO DQG FXOWXUDO IUDPHZRUN RSHUDWLQJ
ZLWKLQ WKH FRXQWU\ WKDW D SURMHFW LV ORFDWHG LQ DQG IRU
PDQ\ FRPSDQLHV WKH TXDOLW\ VSHFLFDWLRQV RI PLQHUDO
SURGXFWVVROGWRWKHPDUNHW
5LVNDUHDVWKDWDUHFRQWUROOHGE\GHFLVLRQVH[SOLFLWO\PDGH
E\ D FRPSDQ\ 7KLV FDWHJRU\ RI ULVN FDQ EH VXEGLYLGHG
LQWRWZRDUHDVQRQWHFKQLFDOULVNDUHDVDQGWHFKQLFDOULVN
DUHDV7KLVSDSHULVIRFXVHGRQWHFKQLFDOULVNDVVHVVPHQW
ZKLFKW\SLFDOO\DGGUHVVWKHIROORZLQJLVVXHV
,V WKH QDWXUH DQG GLVWULEXWLRQ RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
DGHTXDWHO\XQGHUVWRRGDQGTXDQWLHG"
+RZZLOOWKHPLQHUDOGHSRVLWEHDFFHVVHG"
+RZZLOOWKHGHSRVLWEHPLQHGDQGZKDWVHOHFWLYLW\LV
DFKLHYDEOH"
:KDWPLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJUDWHLVDSSURSULDWH"
:KDW WUDQVSRUW DQG PDWHULDOV KDQGOLQJ RSWLRQV IRU
RUH ZDVWH DQG PLQHUDO SURGXFWV DUH VXLWDEOH DQG
DYDLODEOH"
+RZZLOOWKHPDWHULDOEHSURFHVVHGDQGZKDWZLOOEH
WKHIHHGYDULDELOLW\"
:KDWSURGXFWVDQGVSHFLFDWLRQVDUHWREHGHOLYHUHG
LQWRWKHPDUNHW"
+RZ ZLOO WKH ZDVWH JHQHUDWHG IURP PLQLQJ DQG
SURFHVVLQJEHVWRUHGDQGRUGLVSRVHGRI"
:KDWHQYLURQPHQWDOLVVXHVQHHGWREHFRQVLGHUHG"
:KDWDUHWKHFDSLWDODQGRSHUDWLQJFRVWV"
Environmental factors
*HRORJLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQLVHVVHQWLDOIRUDQHIIHFWLYHDVVHVVPHQW
RIPDQ\HQYLURQPHQWDOLVVXHV,QWHUSUHWDWLRQVRIWKHUHJLRQDO
DQG ORFDO JHRORJLFDO VHWWLQJ VWUXFWXUH URFN ZHDWKHULQJ
DQG R[LGDWLRQ PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DQG FRXQWU\ URFN FKHPLVWU\
PLQHUDORJ\DQGJURXQGZDWHUFKDUDFWHULVDWLRQDUHQHHGHGIRU
WKHDVVHVVPHQWRILVVXHVVXFKDV
Economic factors
7KH SUHFHGLQJ VHFWLRQV KDYH GHPRQVWUDWHG WKDW JHRORJLFDO
LQIRUPDWLRQLVHVVHQWLDOWRDOOWKHWHFKQLFDO0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV
IRU 2UH 5HVHUYHV HVWLPDWLRQ &RQVHTXHQWO\ JHRORJLFDO
LQIRUPDWLRQ LV DOVR QHFHVVDU\ WR WKH HIIHFWLYH DVVHVVPHQW RI
HFRQRPLFLVVXHVVXFKDV
HFRQRPLFFXWRIIFULWHULD
HVWLPDWLRQRIFDSLWDODQGRSHUDWLQJFRVWV
587
LQDGHTXDFLHVLQWKH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\7KHHLJKWULVNFDWHJRULHV
FKRVHQE\0F&DUWK\DQGWKHUHVXOWVIURPWKHVXUYH\ZHUHDV
IROORZV
JHRORJ\ 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ DFFRXQWHG
IRUSHUFHQWRISUREOHPV
JHRWHFKQLFDODQDO\VLVQLQHSHUFHQW
PLQHGHVLJQDQGVFKHGXOLQJSHUFHQW
PLQLQJHTXLSPHQWVHOHFWLRQIRXUSHUFHQW
PHWDOOXUJLFDO WHVW ZRUN VDPSOLQJ DQG VFDOHXS SHU
cent
SURFHVVSODQWHTXLSPHQWGHVLJQDQGVHOHFWLRQSHUFHQW
FRVWHVWLPDWLRQVHYHQSHUFHQW
K\GURORJ\IRXUSHUFHQW
7KLV W\SH RI ULVN FDWHJRULVDWLRQ LV FRPPRQ DFURVV WKH
LQGXVWU\DQGJHQHUDOO\FODVVLHVULVNVDFFRUGLQJWRIXQFWLRQDO
DQGRUWHFKQLFDODUHDVKRZHYHULWPDVNVWKHFULWLFDORYHUDOO
LPSRUWDQFH RI JHRORJLFDO LQSXWV LQWR )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV DV
LOOXVWUDWHGEHORZ
SHU FHQW RI WKH SUREOHPV H[SHULHQFHG LQ WKH FDVH
VWXGLHVRULJLQDWHIURPLQDGHTXDFLHVLQWKHEDVLFJHRORJLFDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGHVWLPDWLRQRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV
SHU FHQW RI WKH SUREOHPV SRWHQWLDOO\ RULJLQDWH IURP
WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI JHRORJLFDO LQSXWV WKDW IHHG LQWR WKH
0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV XVHG LQ WKH FRQYHUVLRQ RI 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV WR 2UH 5HVHUYHV LH WKH PLQLQJ SURFHVVLQJ
PHWDOOXUJLFDOLQIUDVWUXFWXUHHFRQRPLFPDUNHWLQJOHJDO
HQYLURQPHQWDOVRFLDODQGJRYHUQPHQWDOIDFWRUV
7KLVEUHDNGRZQLVLOOXVWUDWHGLQ)LJXUHDQGVXJJHVWVWKDW
IRU HYHU\ SUREOHP H[SHULHQFHG LQ HVWLPDWLQJ WKH WRQQDJH
DQGJUDGHRUTXDOLW\RIWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHFRUUHVSRQGLQJ
WR SHU FHQW RI SUREOHPV LGHQWLHG E\ 0F&DUWK\ WKHUH
DUH SRWHQWLDOO\ WKUHH WLPHV PRUH SUREOHPV H[SHULHQFHG DV
D FRQVHTXHQFH RI WKH LQDGHTXDWH DVVHVVPHQW RI JHRORJLFDO
LQSXWVLQWRWKHHVWLPDWLRQRI2UH5HVHUYHVFRUUHVSRQGLQJWR
SHUFHQWRISUREOHPVLGHQWLHGE\0F&DUWK\
Examples
6SHFLF H[DPSOHV DUH SUHVHQWHG EHORZ ZKHUH WHFKQLFDO
SUREOHPV KDYH EHHQ H[SHULHQFHG ZLWK D OLQN WR JHRORJLFDO
LQSXWVWKDWIHHGLQWRHLWKHU0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVGLUHFWO\RUWR
VRPHRIWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVXVHGWRHVWLPDWH2UH5HVHUYHV
7KHH[DPSOHVSURYLGHGLQFOXGHDQHVWLPDWHRIQDQFLDOORVV
DVUHSRUWHG
588
WKH JHRORJLFDO HVWLPDWLRQ RI WKH VL]H DQG TXDOLW\ RI WKH
LQLWLDO5HVHUYHVDW%HQGLJR7KHFRPSDQ\UHSRUWHGDVVHW
LPSDLUPHQWV DQG RWKHU DFFRXQWLQJ ORVVHV RI 0
FRQWULEXWLQJWRDIXOO\HDUORVVRI0%HQGLJR0LQLQJ
/LPLWHG
+DUWOH\SODWLQXPPLQH=LPEDEZH,Q%+3FORVHG
WKLVRSHUDWLRQDQGUHFRUGHGDQDVVHWZULWHGRZQRI$
07KHFRPSDQ\QRWHGWKDWXQVWDEOHJURXQGFRQGLWLRQV
DQG XQDFFHSWDEOH GLOXWLRQ ZHUH WKH PDLQ WHFKQLFDO
UHDVRQVIRUWKHPLQHFORVXUH%+3D
.HQPDUHFRDOPLQH$XVWUDOLD4&75HVRXUFHVDQQRXQFHG
LQ WKDW D QXPEHU RI XQVWDEOH VWUDWD LQFLGHQWV KDG
LPSDFWHGXQGHUJURXQGORQJZDOOPLQLQJDWWKH.HQPDUH
RSHUDWLRQ,QUHVSRQVHWKHFRPSDQ\GHFLGHGWRDEDQGRQ
PLQLQJRIWKH&6HDPDQGUHFRUGHGDQDVVHWZULWHGRZQ
RI$0$0(&1HZV
$XVWUDOLDQ H[DPSOHV RI PLQLQJLQGXFHG UHJLRQDO
LQVWDELOLW\*DOYLQUHSRUWHGWKDW
The history of soft and hard rock underground mining is
blemished with regional instabilities of mine workings.
Whilst the potential consequences of regional instability
HYHQWVDUHUHFRJQLVHGWREHKLJKWKHUHLVDIDOVHSHUFHSWLRQ
WKDWWKHSUREDELOLW\RIWKHPRFFXUULQJLVYHU\ORZ,QIDFW
Australia has averaged more than one event per year for
WKHSDVW\HDUV$WOHDVWYHIDWDOLWLHVDQGRYHU
million of losses have been associated with the events.
*ODGVWRQH3RUW$XWKRULW\$XVWUDOLD2%ULHQ et al (2005)
UHSRUWHG WKDW *ODGVWRQH 3RUW $XWKRULW\ HVWLPDWHG
XQORDGLQJRIVWLFN\FRDOUHGXFHGDQQXDOSRUWWKURXJKSXW
E\WZRSHUFHQWSHU\HDURUWRIXQGHUXWLOLVHGSRUW
FDSDFLW\HTXDWLQJWRa$0LQORVWUHYHQXHSHU\HDU
5HVHDUFK E\ WKH $XVWUDOLDQ &RDO $VVRFLDWLRQ 5HVHDUFK
3URJUDPHVWDEOLVKHGWKDWSUREOHPVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKVWLFN\
FRDODUHFRPSOH[DQGFRPSULVHJHRORJLFDOSURSHUWLHVLH
FRDOJUDLQVL]HGLVWULEXWLRQPRLVWXUHFRQWHQWDQGQHFOD\
FRQWHQW DV ZHOO DV QRQJHRORJLFDO SURSHUWLHV LH ZDJRQ
SURSHUWLHVDQGWKHFRQVROLGDWLQJIRUFHDSSOLHGWRWKHFRDO
GXULQJORDGLQJ
%HHQXS PLQHUDO VDQGV PLQH $XVWUDOLD ,Q %+3
FORVHG WKLV RSHUDWLRQ DQG UHFRUGHG DQ DVVHW ZULWHGRZQ
RI $ 0 7KH FRPSDQ\ QRWHG WKH PDLQ UHDVRQV IRU
PLQH FORVXUH ZHUH KLJK FOD\ FRQWHQW LQ WKH RUH OHDGLQJ
The Importance of Understanding Uncertainty and Risk Associated with All Geological Inputs to Ore Reserves|M Berry
FIG 3 - The relationship between the quantity of geological data available and
the rigour applied to the assessment of that data as inputs to the Modifying
Factors used to estimate Ore Reserves.
RQ RU VKDUHG ZLWK WKRVH ZKR PDNH PDQ\ RI WKH VWUDWHJLF
DQG WDFWLFDO PLQLQJ GHFLVLRQV LH HQJLQHHUV PHWDOOXUJLVWV
HQYLURQPHQWDO VFLHQWLVWV PDQDJHUV QDQFH VWDII DQG
RWKHU VWDNHKROGHUV $V D UHVXOW HQGXVHUV PD\ HPEDUN RQ
LQDSSURSULDWH FRXUVHV RI DFWLRQ LQFRUUHFWO\ EHOLHYLQJ WKH\
KDYHDGHTXDWHO\DVVHVVHGDQGPDQDJHGWKHULVNVDVVRFLDWHG
ZLWKWKDWDFWLRQ
7KH DVVXPSWLRQV OLPLWDWLRQV DQG XQFHUWDLQWLHV WLHG WR
JHQHUDWLQJ D JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RU HVWLPDWH XVHG LQ
FRQYHUWLQJ D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH WR DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH DUH QRW
DOZD\VUHDGLO\WUDQVSDUHQWWRWKHHQGXVHURIWKDWLQIRUPDWLRQ
6RPHRIWKHUHDVRQVIRUWKLVLQFOXGH
FIG 2 - The relationship between the quantity of geological data available for
estimation of Mineral Resources versus the rigour applied to the assessment of
that data.
589
SHHUUHYLHZDQGDXGLWVERWKLQWHUQDODQGH[WHUQDO
VHQVLWLYLW\DQDO\VLVHJ%HUU\
HPSLULFDOPLQLQJLQGH[HVHJ)DPD6KHQDQG0DFRQRFKLH
(2002)
0RQWH&DUORVLPXODWLRQHJ&DUU
FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ HJ 9DQQ %HUWROL DQG -DFNVRQ
(2002)
HYLGHQFHEDVHGXQFHUWDLQW\DQDO\VLVHJ%RZGHQ
GHVLJQSURFHVVDQGVWUDWHJLFFRQYHUVDWLRQDSSURDFKHVHJ
6WDFH\
0LQHVWDIIDOUHDG\PDNHXVHRIVRPHRIWKHVHWHFKQLTXHVWR
LGHQWLI\DVVHVVDQGFRPPXQLFDWHVSHFLFDVSHFWVRIJHRORJLFDO
XQFHUWDLQW\ ,W LV UHFRPPHQGHG WKDW WKHVH WHFKQLTXHV DUH
DSSOLHG PRUH ZLGHO\ WR RWKHU LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV DQG HVWLPDWHV
SURYLGHGE\JHRORJLFDOVWDIISDUWLFXODUO\WKRVHUHOHYDQWWRWKH
DVVHVVPHQWRIJHRORJLFDOLQSXWVWR0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV
WKHGLUHFWFRVWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHXQSODQQHGHYHQWHJ
GDPDJHVXVWDLQHGWRPLQLQJHTXLSPHQWFDXVHGE\DURRI
IDOO
WKHGLUHFWFRVWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHUHVSRQVHWRWKHHYHQW
HJFOHDQXSDQGUHKDELOLWDWLRQRIWKHDUHDLQDQGDURXQG
WKHURRIIDOO
WKH GLUHFW FRVWV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH UHSODFHPHQW RI
GDPDJHGPLQHLQIUDVWUXFWXUHDQGRWKHUHTXLSPHQW
WKHLQGLUHFWFRVWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHURRIIDOOHJ
ORVV RI SURGXFWLRQ IURP HTXLSPHQW GDPDJHG E\ WKH
URRIIDOO
ORVV RI SURGXFWLRQ IURP HTXLSPHQW WKDW LV XVHG WR
UHKDELOLWDWHWKHDUHD
FRVWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHORVVRIDFFHVVWRSURGXFWLRQ
DUHDVDQGRUHTXLSPHQWWKDWFDQQRWEHDFFHVVHGGXH
WRWKHURRIIDOO
FRVWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKVWHULOLVDWLRQRI2UH5HVHUYHVWKDW
PD\EHFRPHLQDFFHVVLEOHDVDUHVXOWRIWKHURRIIDOO
FRVWV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK ORVV RI FRQGHQFH LQ
PDQDJHPHQW E\ WKH ZRUNIRUFH VWDNHKROGHUV DQG
EURDGHUFRPPXQLW\
FRVWV DULVLQJ IURP ORVV RI UHSXWDWLRQ DQGRU JUHDWHU
VFUXWLQ\DQGUHJXODWLRQE\VWDNHKROGHUV
'LUHFW FRVWV FDQ JHQHUDOO\ EH HVWLPDWHG DFFXUDWHO\ EXW
LQGLUHFW FRVWV DUH RIWHQ GLIFXOW WR DVVHVV DQG VXEMHFWLYH LQ
QDWXUH HYHQ WKRXJK WKH\ FDQ EH HTXDOO\ LPSRUWDQW 8QOHVV
D FRPSUHKHQVLYH DQG FRPSOHWH FRVW DQDO\VLV LV SHUIRUPHG
WKRXJKWKHIXOOFRVWRIWKHXQSODQQHGHYHQWLVLQDFFXUDWHDQG
XQGHUVWDWHG
7DEOH GRFXPHQWV D K\SRWKHWLFDO H[DPSOH RI DQ
XQGHUJURXQGJROGPLQHWKDWVXVWDLQVVLJQLFDQWXQSODQQHG
GLOXWLRQ IURP DQ LQGLYLGXDO SURGXFWLRQ VWRSH ,QGLFDWLYH
PLQLQJFRVWVDUHXVHGWRHVWLPDWHERWKWKHGLUHFWDQGLQGLUHFW
FRVWV RI VXFK DQ HYHQW RQ WKH QRPLQDO SURW UHDOLVHG IURP
H[WUDFWLRQRIWKDWVWRSH
,Q WKLV H[DPSOH WKH SODQQHG HDUQLQJV EHIRUH LQWHUHVW DQG
WD[ (%,7 JHQHUDWHG IURP VWRSH H[WUDFWLRQ DQG SURFHVVLQJ
DUH FRPSDUHG ZLWK WZR RWKHU HVWLPDWHV WKH UVW LV D GLUHFW
FRPSDULVRQ EDVHG RQ WKH HIIHFWV RI WKH GLOXWLRQ RQ PLQLQJ
FRVWVSURFHVVLQJFRVWVDQGUHFRYHUHGJROGDQGWKHVHFRQGLV
EDVHGRQWKHDGGLWLRQDOLQGLUHFWFRVWVWKHPLQHPXVWEHDULQ
PDQDJLQJWKHXQSODQQHGGLOXWLRQ
7KH DXWKRU ZRXOG DUJXH WKDW VXFK DQ H[DPSOH LV QRW
XQFRPPRQ DQG LOOXVWUDWHV WKH QDQFLDO FRQVHTXHQFHV RI DQ
XQSODQQHG HYHQW RQ D PLQHV ERWWRP OLQH RSHUDWLQJ UHVXOW
<HW WKLV W\SH RI QDQFLDO UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ LV YLUWXDOO\ QHYHU
XQGHUWDNHQDQGLVFHUWDLQO\QRWURXWLQHO\DLUHGLQWKHSXEOLF
GRPDLQ
CONCLUSIONS
7KH PLQHUDOV LQGXVWU\ LQ $XVWUDOLD FRQWLQXHV WR VXVWDLQ
XQSODQQHG HYHQWV UHVXOWLQJ IURP GHFLVLRQV VXEVHTXHQWO\
VKRZQ WR EH DZHG WKDW KDYH D OLQN EDFN WR WKH SURYLVLRQ
RI JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV DQG HVWLPDWHV 0DQ\ VXFK
HYHQWVDUHWLHGWRJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQVWKDWIHHGLQWRWKH
The Importance of Understanding Uncertainty and Risk Associated with All Geological Inputs to Ore Reserves|M Berry
TABLE 1
Financial assessment of all costs associated with unplanned dilution in a hypothetical underground gold mine.
Operational setting
Location
WA goldfields
Mining/processing details
24 000 t @ 6.75 g/t Au (comprising an ore zone of 20 000 t @ 8.0 g/t Au and dilution of 4000 t @ 0.5 g/t Au)
Indirect costs
Recovered value of Au
$4.30 M
29 000 t @ 4.9 g/t Au (recovered ore zone of 17 000 t @ 8 g/t Au with dilution of 12 000 t @ 0.5 g/t Au)
Indirect costs
Recovered value of Au
$2.74 M
$1.56 M
$0.40 M (based on earnings of $35 M/a for five years delayed by ten days at 10% discount rate)
$0.74 M
$4.30 M
$2.74 M
$2.0 M
0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVXVHGWRFRQYHUW0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVWR2UH
5HVHUYHV
,Q VRPH FDVHV WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI EHVW SUDFWLFH SURFHGXUHV
ZRXOG OHDG WR WKH VDPH GHFLVLRQ EHLQJ PDGH UHVXOWLQJ
LQ WKH XQSODQQHG HYHQW VWLOO RFFXUULQJ KRZHYHU LQ PDQ\
LQVWDQFHVEHVWSUDFWLFHVZRXOGOHDGWRDGLIIHUHQWGHFLVLRQRU
WKHDSSURYDORIDGGLWLRQDOJHRORJLFDODFWLYLWLHVDLPHGDWULVN
PLWLJDWLRQ
([FHOOHQW FRPPXQLFDWLRQ EHWZHHQ JHRORJLVWV DQG XVHUV RI
JHRORJLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQLVHVVHQWLDOIRUWKHHIIHFWLYHDQDO\VLVRI
XQFHUWDLQW\0DQ\JHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQVDUHEDVHGRQWKH
SK\VLFDO VFLHQFHV FRPSOH[ GDWD DQDO\VLV DQG LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
WHFKQLTXHVDVZHOODVEODFNER[SURFHVVHVWKDWDUHGLIFXOW
WR H[SODLQ WR QRQJHRORJLVWV ,W LV QHFHVVDU\ WR VWULS DZD\
WKH MDUJRQ HPEHGGHG LQ WKH FUHDWLRQ RI WKH JHRORJLFDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ WR DOORZ IRU DQ REMHFWLYH DVVHVVPHQW RI WKH
XQFHUWDLQWLHVWLHGWRWKHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
0DQ\ JHRORJLVWV VWUXJJOH ZLWK WKH FRQFHSW RI SUHSDULQJ D
FRVWEHQHWDQDO\VLVOLQNHGWRDIRUPDOULVNDVVHVVPHQWWKDW
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRU DFNQRZOHGJHV DQG WKDQNV $0& &RQVXOWDQWV
3W\ /WG IRU SHUPLVVLRQ WR SXEOLVK WKLV SDSHU DQG DVVLVWDQFH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
591
%XOORFN5/$FFXUDF\RIIHDVLELOLW\VWXG\HYDOXDWLRQVZRXOG
LPSURYH DFFRXQWDELOLW\ Mining Engineering Magazine $SULO
SS
REFERENCES
&DUU&-7KHSUDFWLFDOLWLHVRI0RQWH&DUORW\SHULVNDQDO\VLV
LQ PLQLQJ SURMHFWV LQ Proceedings Eighth AusIMM Underground
2SHUDWRUV &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
)DPD 0 6KHQ % DQG 0DFRQRFKLH 3 2SWLPDO GHVLJQ DQG
PRQLWRULQJ RI OD\RXW VWDELOLW\ IRU KLJKZDOO PLQLQJ $&$53
3URMHFW&QDOUHSRUW
*DOYLQ-05HJLRQDOVWDELOLW\RIXQGHUJURXQGPLQHVDFRUH
ULVN LQ Proceedings Mining Risk Management Conference SS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
%HUU\097KHUROHRIJHRORJLVWVLQDVVHVVLQJDQGTXDQWLI\LQJ
JHRORJLFDO XQFHUWDLQW\ LQ WKH FRQYHUVLRQ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV
WR2UH5HVHUYHVLQ3URFHHGLQJV)LIWK,QWHUQDWLRQDO0LQLQJ*HRORJ\
Conference SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
2%ULHQ*3DWHUVRQ62%ULHQ0DQG*UDKDP-,PSURYHG
FRDOZDJRQXQORDGLQJE\UHGXFLQJORDGLQJIRUFHLQProceedings
Bowen Basin Symposium SS *6$ &RDO *HRORJ\ *URXS
6\GQH\
%+3E7LWDQLXP0LQHUDOV3URMHFW8SGDWH3UHVVUHOHDVH0D\
5HI
%+3'HVFULSWLRQRI%XVLQHVVDQG)LQDQFLDO6WDWHPHQWV
%+3'HVFULSWLRQRI%XVLQHVVDQG)LQDQFLDO6WDWHPHQWV
%RZGHQ5$7KHDSSOLFDWLRQRIHYLGHQFHVXSSRUWORJLF(6/LQ
PLQLQJJHRORJ\ZLWKSDUWLFXODUUHIHUHQFHWRPLQHUDOUHVRXUFHDQG
RUHUHVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQLQ([WHQGHG$EVWUDFWV0LQLQJ*HRORJ\
AIG Bulletin
592
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Vice President Mineral Resources, AngloGold Ashanti, PO Box 6149, Swanbourne WA 6010. Email: [email protected]
2. Adjunct Professor, WH Bryan Mining and Geology Research Centre, The University of Queensland, Brisbane Qld 4072.
3. Adjunct Professor, Centre for Exploration Targeting, The University of Western Australia, Crawley WA 6009.
4. Adjunct Senior Lecturer, School of Civil Environmental and Mining Engineering, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide SA 5000.
5. FAusIMM, Managing Director, Quantitative Group, PO Box 1304, Fremantle WA 6959. Email: [email protected]
6. CEO, Cooperative Research Centre for Optimising Ore Extraction (CRCORE), PO Box 6043, St Lucia Qld 4067. Email: [email protected]
7. Professor, WH Bryan Mining and Geology Research Centre, The University of Queensland, Brisbane Qld 4072.
8. MAusIMM, Principal Consultant, Quantitative Group, PO Box 1304, Fremantle WA 6959. Email: [email protected]
9. MAusIMM, Principal Consultant, Quantitative Group, PO Box 1304, Fremantle WA 6959. Email: [email protected]
10. FAusIMM, Director Natural Resources, ANZ Institutional Banking, 7/77 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
11. Professor and Chair in Geostatistics and Mine Planning, WH Bryan Mining and Geology Research Centre, The University of Queensland, Brisbane Qld 4072. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KHUH LV VRPHWKLQJ YHU\ ZURQJ ZLWK >WKH@ FRQYHQWLRQDO
PRGHORIGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLWFRQFHLYHVRIGHFLVLRQPDNLQJ
as a process of selecting from existing options according to
D [HG IRUPXOD %XW LQ IDFW WKDW LV ZKDW KDSSHQV RQO\
DW WKH HQG RI GHFLVLRQPDNLQJ WKH SKDVH WKDW GRHV QRW
UHTXLUHFUHDWLYHWKRXJKW$WWKHKHDUWRIGHFLVLRQPDNLQJ
Motivation
7KH IUHTXHQF\ RI SURMHFW IDLOXUH XQGHUSHUIRUPDQFH DQG
FDSLWDOLQIUDVWUXFWXUHPLVVSHFLFDWLRQLQWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
593
KDVEHHQZLGHO\UHJDUGHGDVXQDFFHSWDEOHIRUPDQ\GHFDGHV
0DFNH\DQG1HVVHW6RPHRIWKLVXQGHUSHUIRUPDQFH
KDV DUJXDEO\ FRPH DERXW EHFDXVH WKH XQGHUO\LQJ SURMHFW
HYDOXDWLRQV ZHUH EDVHG RQ VLQJXODU VPRRWKHG RUHERG\
HVWLPDWHV7KLVKDVXQGHUVWDWHGRULJQRUHGVSDWLDOYDULDELOLW\
DQGXQFHUWDLQW\RIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ%\HDQGWKHFULWLFDO
LPSDFWWKLVKDVRQWKHPLQLQJEOHQGLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJVWHSV
,QDGGLWLRQPDQ\VWHSVLQSURMHFWHYDOXDWLRQLQYROYHIXUWKHU
DYHUDJLQJRIYDOXHVRYHUWLPHIRUH[DPSOHDYHUDJLQJPLQH
SODQQLQJRUSURFHVVLQJVWHSVRYHUDQQXDORUDWEHVWTXDUWHUO\
LQFUHPHQWV
,W LV DUJXHG WKDW D SDUDGLJP VKLIW LQ SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ LV
QHFHVVDU\ WR FKDUDFWHULVH XQFHUWDLQW\ DQG VSDWLDO YDULDELOLW\
RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ EHWWHU DQG WR WKHQ NHHS WKHVH FULWLFDO
DVSHFWV RQ WKH DJHQGD WKURXJKRXW WKH SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ
SURFHVV ,Q WKLV VKLIW DSSURDFKHV WR SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ ZLOO
EHFRPH IXOO\ LQIRUPHG E\ UHVRXUFH XQFHUWDLQW\ DQG VSDWLDO
YDULDELOLW\3URMHFWWHDPVZLOOPRYHIURPWKLQNLQJLQWHUPVRI
VHQVLWLYLW\DQDO\VLVH[LQJSDUDPHWHUVWRWHUPVRIHYDOXDWLQJ
PXOWLSOHSURMHFWHQJLQHHULQJFRQJXUDWLRQVZLWKHPEHGGHG
XQFHUWDLQW\DQGUHDOLVWLFYDULDELOLW\WKURXJKRXWWKHSURSRVHG
YDOXH FKDLQ12 :H FDOO WKLV DSSURDFK VFHQDULREDVHG SURMHFW
HYDOXDWLRQ 6%3( )XOO LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI 6%3( VKRXOG
LGHDOO\ LQFOXGH HYDOXDWLRQ RI XQFHUWDLQW\ DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK
H[WHUQDOVFHQDULRVZKLFKGHVFULEHDVSHFWVRIWKHSURMHFWWKDW
HQJLQHHUV DQG SODQQHUV cannot control VXFK DV HFRQRPLF
PDUNHWHQYLURQPHQWDODQGVRFLDOIDFWRUV
7UDGLWLRQDO DSSURDFKHV WR PLQHUDO SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ
ZKLFK SUHVXPH FHUWDLQW\ DQG QHJOHFW YDULDELOLW\ RI LQSXWV
DQG RXWSXWV DUH DNLQ WR IRUHFDVWLQJ DSSURDFKHV ,Q VXFK
IRUHFDVWLQJ DSSURDFKHV YDULDELOLW\ PD\ EH DFFRXQWHG IRU
E\ VHQVLWLYLW\ DQDO\VLV RI UHVXOWV RU LQSXWV ,I XQFHUWDLQWLHV
DUHDFFRXQWHGIRUDWDOOWKH\DUHJHQHUDOO\QRWHPEHGGHGLQ
WKH LQSXWV LQ D VWRFKDVWLF PDQQHU QRU FDUULHG WKURXJK WKH
YDOXH FKDLQ 7KH NH\ QRYHOW\ RI 6%3( LV WKDW LW LQYROYHV DQ
DSSURDFK WR HYDOXDWLQJ SURMHFWV LQ ZKLFK XQFHUWDLQW\ DQG
YDULDELOLW\DUHGHHSO\HPEHGGHGWKURXJKRXWWKHYDOXHFKDLQ
VWDUWLQJ ZLWK LQSXW PRGHOV RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ WKDW FDSWXUH
VSDWLDOXQFHUWDLQW\DQGVSDWLDOYDULDELOLW\6%3(FDQSURYLGH
TXDQWLWDWLYH SUREDELOLVWLF RXWSXWV HLWKHU LQ SURGXFWLRQ RU
QDQFLDOWHUPV
from the in situ mineralisation through to the product sold and resultant cash flows.
594
WRGHDOZLWKXQFHUWDLQW\7KHPRUHXQFHUWDLQW\ZHIDFHWKH
PRUHLPSRUWDQWWKHVWUDWHJLFSURFHVVLVDQGWKHPRUHH[LELOLW\
ZHPD\ZLVKWRKDYHLQWKHIDFHRIGLIIHUHQWSRVVLEOHIXWXUHV
$VRXQGVWUDWHJLFSURFHVVWKXVrequiresXVWREHH[SOLFLWDERXW
XQFHUWDLQW\DQGWKLVPRWLYDWHVVFHQDULRWKLQNLQJ
7KHUH LV D ULFK WUDGLWLRQ RI LQGXVWULDO SUDFWLFH LQ ZKLFK
SUREOHPV LQYROYLQJ KLJK GHJUHHV RI XQFHUWDLQW\ KDYH
EHHQ GHDOW ZLWK IURP D VFHQDULR YLHZSRLQW 7KLV DSSURDFK
YDULRXVO\ FDOOHG VFHQDULR SODQQLQJ VFHQDULR DQDO\VLV DQG
VFHQDULR WKLQNLQJ HQGHDYRXUV WR SUHVHUYH DQG H[SORUH WKH
FRQVHTXHQFHVRIXQFHUWDLQW\UDWKHUWKDQLJQRUHLWHJ,OEXU\
DQG6XQWHUYDQGHU+HLMGHQ5DPLUH]6HOVN\DQG
YDQGHU+HLMGHQ:HSUHIHUWKHWHUPVFHQDULRWKLQNLQJ
DV XVHG E\ YDQ GHU +HLMGHQ DQG XVH LW IURP KHUH
IRUZDUG
)RU PLQHUDO SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ WKH PRYH WR D VFHQDULR
WKLQNLQJDSSURDFKLVLQFUHDVLQJO\LPSRUWDQWLQOLJKWRI
Evaluation is dynamic
9DOXDWLRQ LV D VWDWLF FRQFHSW WKDW LQYROYHV FDOFXODWLRQ RI D
YDOXHIRUDJLYHQREMHFWRURSWLRQ$WODUJHPLQLQJKRXVHVWKH
XOWLPDWHUHVXOWRIDYDOXDWLRQLVPRVWRIWHQD139KRZHYHU
IRUSURMHFWVWKHDWWULEXWLRQRIYDOXHWRGLIIHUHQWGHFLVLRQVDQG
VWHSVLVDOVRYHU\LPSRUWDQW(YDOXDWLRQLQFRQWUDVWcompares
the relative value or merits of multiple possible strategies that
encapsulate these different decisions and steps(YDOXDWLRQLVWKXV
LQWULQVLFDOO\ G\QDPLF DQG FRPSDUDWLYH (YDOXDWLRQ VKRXOG
DOVR LQFOXGH D EHWWHU PRUH IXQGDPHQWDO XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI
DQ\ SDUWLFXODU VWUDWHJ\ ERWK VWDQGDORQH DQG ZLWKLQ WKH
FRQWH[W RI DQ\ VHW RI VWUDWHJLHV FRQVLGHUHG 1RQQDQFLDO
LVVXHVPD\KDYHJUHDWHULQXHQFHDQGLPSDFWLQHYDOXDWLRQ
VXFKDVVDIHW\KHDOWKDQGSROLWLFV
(YDOXDWLRQ QDWXUDOO\ UHTXLUHV HQYLVDJLQJ DQG FRPSDULQJ
PXOWLSOH RSWLRQV LQ WKH FRQWH[W RI SRVVLEOH IXWXUH
FLUFXPVWDQFHV DQG WKHUHIRUH VKRXOG ORJLFDOO\ EH SXUVXHG
YLD D VFHQDULR WKLQNLQJ IUDPHZRUN 7KH XVH RI VFHQDULR
WKLQNLQJ LQ PLQHUDO SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ UHTXLUHV FUHDWLYH
WKRXJKW IURP WKH SURIHVVLRQDOV DQG H[HFXWLYHV LQYROYHG D
SRLQWKLJKOLJKWHGLQWKHRSHQLQJTXRWHE\'HXWVFK$
UREXVWSURMHFWVWUDWHJ\KDVH[LELOLW\VXFKWKDWLWOHDYHVRSHQ
VXIFLHQWRSWLRQVVKRXOGHFRQRPLFFRQGLWLRQVFKDQJHZKLFK
WKH\ZLOORUVKRXOGWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDVPLQHGWXUQRXWWR
EH GLIIHUHQW WR WKH PRGHO ZKLFK LW ZLOO $ UREXVW VWUDWHJ\
FDQ WKHUHIRUH RQO\ EH VHOHFWHG DQG LPSOHPHQWHG LI ZH KDYH
D JRRG SURFHVV IRU HQYLVDJLQJ FUHDWLQJ DQG DEDQGRQLQJ
RSWLRQVDQGWKHDELOLW\WRVWUHVVWHVWVWUDWHJ\LQWKHIDFHRI
SRVVLEOHIXWXUHFLUFXPVWDQFHV7KH6%3(SURFHVVLVGHVLJQHG
WR GR H[DFWO\ WKLV KRZHYHU WKH DGYDQWDJHV RI WKH VFHQDULR
WKLQNLQJSURFHVVVWDUWWRDSSHDUDVVRRQDVZHDGRSWDPLQGVHW
LQ ZKLFK NH\ DVSHFWV RI WKH SURMHFW DUH FRQVLGHUHG WR EH
LQKHUHQWO\XQFHUWDLQ:LWKWKLVPLQGVHWZHDUHFRPSHOOHGWR
FKDUDFWHULVHXQFHUWDLQW\DQGFRQVLGHULWVLPSOLFDWLRQVUDWKHU
WKDQPLQLPLVHRULJQRUHLW:HZLOOWHQGWREHOHVVVXUHRIRXU
SDWKZD\VDQGPRUHFDUHIXOO\VHHNYDOXHIURPJHQHUDWLRQRID
ZLGHUVSDQRIFRQVLGHUHGDOWHUQDWLYHV$FRQVHTXHQFHLVWKDW
ZHVHHNRSWLRQVDQGFRPSDUHDOWHUQDWLYHVUDWKHUWKDQEHLQJ
Scenario Thinking A Powerful Tool for Strategic Planning and Evaluation of Mining Projects and Operations|J Vann et al
WHWKHUHGWRDOLPLWHGSURMHFWVSDFH7KLVUHYHDOVXSVLGHULVNV
RSSRUWXQLWLHVDQGGRZQVLGHULVNVPRUHFOHDUO\
TABLE 1
Summary of salient features, aims and assumptions of the traditional
project evaluation paradigm versus the approach proposed here,
scenario-based project evaluation.
Traditional approach
Scenario-based/
variability-driven approach
Static view
Aimed at prediction/forecasting
Assumes simplicity
Output is singular
resources, reserves and other inventory materials that form the basis of evaluation, and
not the narrow sense of Resources as used in various public reporting nomenclature such
as JORC. As such, the usage here would typically include subgrade or marginal materials
and the properties of waste materials.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
595
Spatial variability RI PDWHULDO DW WKH VFDOH RI PLQLQJ
VHOHFWLRQ 608 VFDOH 7KH YHU\ GHVLUDEOH SURSHUWLHV RI
NULJHGEORFNHVWLPDWHVHVSHFLDOO\WKHODFNRIFRQGLWLRQDO
ELDVPDNHWKHPVXLWDEOHIRUORQJWHUPSODQQLQJEXWDUH
REWDLQHGDWWKHH[SHQVHRIVPRRWKLQJDQGOHDGWRPDVNLQJ
RUHOLPLQDWLRQRIWKHLPSDFWRIVSDWLDOYDULDELOLW\DWVKRUWHU
WLPHVFDOHV
7KHNULJLQJPRGHOVDOVRGRQRWDOORZIRUDUDQJHRISRVVLEOH
YDOXHV LQ HDFK EORFN WKLV LV WKH VHQVH LQ ZKLFK WKH\ DUH
VLQJXODU DQG WKH\ WKHUHIRUH FDQQRW PRGHO XQFHUWDLQW\
$GGLWLRQDOO\WRPLQLPLVHFRQGLWLRQDOELDVNULJHGHVWLPDWHV
DUHXQDYRLGDEO\VPRRWKHGLHWKHHVWLPDWHGYDOXHVLQEORFNV
DUH OHVV YDULDEOH WKDQ WKH WUXH YDOXHV WKDW DUH HQFRXQWHUHG
GXULQJRSHUDWLRQ7KHVHWZROLPLWDWLRQVRIWKHXVXDONULJHG
LQSXW PRGHOV FRQWULEXWH WR WKH GLVWRUWLRQ RI VXEVHTXHQW
SURMHFWHYDOXDWLRQ
)RU H[DPSOH ZKHQ VWXGLHV DUH EDVHG RQ NULJHG PRGHOV
EOHQGLQJ DQG SURFHVVLQJ SHUIRUPDQFH LV PLVFKDUDFWHULVHG
DQG XQFHUWDLQW\ DQG YDULDELOLW\ RI WR[LF RU RWKHUZLVH
GHOHWHULRXV PDWHULDOV LQ SURGXFWV DQG ZDVWH VWUHDPV ZLOO
JHQHUDOO\EHXQGHUVWDWHG3UHGLFWLRQVRIHQHUJ\XVHDQGRWKHU
ZKROH RI YDOXH FKDLQ HIIHFWV ZLOO DOVR EH PLVFKDUDFWHULVHG
,QIDFWWKHXVHRIVLQJXODUPRGHOVDVLQSXWVLVDSRWHQWLDOO\
VHYHUHOLPLWDWLRQLQWKHSURMHFWHYDOXDWLRQSURFHVVZKHQNH\
DWWULEXWHVKDYHVLJQLFDQWXQFHUWDLQW\DQGRUYDULDELOLW\WKDW
ZLOOLQWHUDFWZLWKFRQVWUDLQWVLQWKHV\VWHP
,Q WKH SUHVHQFH RI LQFUHDVLQJ XQFHUWDLQW\ DFFXUDWH
SUHGLFWLRQ EHFRPHV SURJUHVVLYHO\ KDUGHU 6FHQDULR WKLQNLQJ
LV D SUHIHUUHG ZD\ WR GHDO ZLWK VXFK VLWXDWLRQV 7KH ULJKW
TXHVWLRQLVQRWKRZZLOOWKHSURMHFWSHUIRUP"5DWKHUWKHUH
VKRXOG EH D VHULHV RI TXHVWLRQV PRUH DSSURSULDWHO\ IUDPHG
LQ WKH IROORZLQJ JHQHUDO ZD\ DV ZH PLQH WKH GHSRVLW KRZ
ZLOO WKH FKDUDFWHULVHG XQFHUWDLQW\ DQG VSDWLDO YDULDELOLW\ RI
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LPSDFW RQ WKH GRZQVWUHDP SURFHVVHV" +RZ
ZLOO D VHW RI DOWHUQDWLYH VWUDWHJLHV SHUIRUP LQ OLJKW RI WKLV
YDULDEOH XQFHUWDLQ LQSXW VWUHDP" :KLFK FRPSRQHQWV RI
SURMHFW FRQJXUDWLRQ KDYH WKH PRVW LPSDFW" +RZ ZLOO WKH
SURMHFW RXWSXWV YDU\ DQG ZKDW FRQGHQFH LQWHUYDOV DSSO\
WR WKHVH RYHU VSHFLHG UHOHYDQW WLPH SHULRGV" +RZ ZLOO
XQFHUWDLQ H[WHUQDOLWLHV LPSDFW WKH SURMHFW" :KLFK VWUDWHJLHV
DOWHUQDWLYHV DUH UREXVW DQG KLJK YDOXHG LQ WKH IDFH RI
SODXVLEOHVFHQDULRVWKDWHQFDSVXODWHH[WHUQDOLWLHV"
8OWLPDWHO\ WKHVH TXHVWLRQV ERLO GRZQ WR ZKDW LV WKH EHVW
VWUDWHJ\WRDGRSWLIRXUSURMHFWLVWREHUREXVWUHVLOLHQWLQWKH
IDFHRISODXVLEOHXQFHUWDLQWLHV"
Outputs
7KH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LV WKUHH GLPHQVLRQDO ' DQG D PLQLQJ
VFKHGXOH WUDQVIRUPV D ' PXOWLDWWULEXWH PRGHO RI WKLV
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQLQWRD'WLPHVHULHVRIPXOWLDWWULEXWHEORFNV
XSRQZKLFKZHPDNHGHFLVLRQVDQGDSSO\SURFHVVHV+DXODJH
VWRFNSLOLQJEOHQGLQJDQGRWKHUPLQHUDOSURFHVVLQJVWHSVDUH
IXUWKHUtransfer functionsWKDWKDYH'WLPHGRPDLQRXWSXWV
Scenario Thinking A Powerful Tool for Strategic Planning and Evaluation of Mining Projects and Operations|J Vann et al
7KH IXQGDPHQWDO RXWSXWV RI 6%3( DUH WKXV ' LH WLPH
GRPDLQ VWRFKDVWLF UHDOLVDWLRQV RI UHOHYDQW DWWULEXWHV HJ
SURGXFW FKDUDFWHULVWLFV DQG XOWLPDWHO\ FDVK RZV 7KHVH
QRW RQO\ DOORZ FDOFXODWLRQ RI WKH 139 distribution IRU HDFK
DOWHUQDWLYHDVRSSRVHGWRVLQJOH139VEXWDOVRHYDOXDWLRQ
RI GLVWULEXWLRQV DQG WKXV FRQGHQFH LQWHUYDOV IRU SURGXFW
VSHFLFDWLRQVRUFDVKRZVDWDQ\VKRUWHUUHOHYDQWWLPHVFDOHV
&RQGHQFH LQWHUYDOV DURXQG FDVK RZV FDQ EH XVHG IRU
H[DPSOH WR GHWHUPLQH RSWLPXP ZRUNLQJRSHUDWLQJ FDSLWDO
UHTXLUHPHQWV &RQGHQFH LQWHUYDOV DURXQG SURGXFW TXDOLW\
SHUIRUPDQFHFDQEHXVHGWRKHOSLQFRQWUDFWQHJRWLDWLRQ
7KHVHWRIWLPHVHULHVRXWSXWVIURPDQ\SDLURIDOWHUQDWLYHV
FDQ EH FRPSDUHG WR HDFK RWKHU WKXV GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH
FRPSDUDWLYHPHULWVDQGUREXVWQHVVRIHDFKVWUDWHJ\$Q\VHW
RI DOWHUQDWLYHV FDQ DOVR EH FRQVLGHUHG LQ OLJKW RI SODXVLEOH
H[WHUQDOVFHQDULRVDVGLVFXVVHGODWHULQWKLVSDSHU
Perspective
Key Aspect
Dimensions
Value Chain
)RUWKHUHDVRQVGLVFXVVHGDERYH6%3(LGHDOO\XVHVFRQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQV &6 PRGHOV -RXUQHO UDWKHU WKDQ NULJHG
PRGHOV&KLOqVDQG'HOQHU8VLQJ&6UHDOLVDWLRQVDV
LQSXWV6%3(LVDIXOO\FRXSOHGKROLVWLFRUV\VWHPVHYDOXDWLRQ
D
Rock
(Ore,
marginal,
waste)
d
&
^
&
d
&
d
&
&
Process inthebroadsense
(intrasitevaluechain)
s
h
^
E>
h
^
The Deposit
Externalities
d
>
DAlternatives
,
>
DScenarios
>
s
h
FIG 1 - Representation of scenario-based project evaluation as modelling of multiple transfer functions. Note that the mineralisation and externalities are
drivers of the process and are uncertain/variable; consequently, we must capture this uncertainty (via conditional simulation CS for the mineralisation
and scenarios for externalities). The alternatives for the mining-processing pathways constitute the domain of levers for the firm.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
597
VWXG\WKHXQH[SHFWHGLPSDFWRIGHFLVLRQVPDGHPD\OHDGWR
UHIUDPLQJRUUHSHUFHLYLQJWKHSUREOHPYDQGHU+HLMGHQ
et al,QFRQVHTXHQFHV\VWHPVWKLQNLQJ6HQJH
XQGHUSLQV6%3(HVSHFLDOO\WKHVSHFLFDWLRQDQGDVVHVVPHQW
RIWKHIDPLO\RIDOWHUQDWLYHVWREHFRQVLGHUHG
7KH GHVLJQ RI HDFK DOWHUQDWLYH FRQWHPSODWHG FRQVWLWXWHV D
V\VWHP DQG JHQHUDOO\ ZRXOG LQYROYH WKH IROORZLQJ JHQHULF
VWHSV
Scenario Thinking A Powerful Tool for Strategic Planning and Evaluation of Mining Projects and Operations|J Vann et al
$SUDFWLFDOFKDOOHQJHRI6%3(LVWKDWWKHQXPEHUVRIRXWSXWV
FDQ EH YHU\ ODUJH VD\ IRU H[DPSOH UHDOLVDWLRQV DUH
SURFHVVHG IRU VL[ DWWULEXWHV XVLQJ IRXU GLIIHUHQW JHRORJLFDO
PRGHOV WKURXJK DOWHUQDWLYH YDOXH FKDLQ FRQJXUDWLRQV
7KH QXPEHU RI RXWSXW WLPH VHULHV LV WKH SURGXFW RI WKH
HOHPHQWVLQWKHSUHFHGLQJOLVWWKDWLV
RQHGLPHQVLRQDOWLPHVHULHVIRUWKHVL[DWWULEXWHVFRQFHUQHG
7KHVH RXWSXWV ZLOO KDYH HPEHGGHG FRYDULDQFHV DQG WKXV
QHHG FROOHFWLYH HYDOXDWLRQ LQ RUGHU WR DVVHVV WKH LPSDFW RI
YDULRXVGHFLVLRQV7KHWDVNLVWRHYDOXDWHWKHWLPH
series distributionsLQIRUPHGE\WKHUHDOLVDWLRQV
7KHXQDJJUHJDWHGRXWSXWWLPHVHULHVZLOODOVREHOHQJWK\
FRPSULVLQJ PLOOLRQV WR KXQGUHGV RI PLOOLRQV RI VXFFHVVLYH
608VFDOHYDOXHV,IZHDOVRJHQHUDWHGHULYDWLYHWLPHVHULHV
IRURWKHUDWWULEXWHVRURXWSXWVIRUH[DPSOHUHFRYHUHGJUDGHV
RU FDVK RZV WKH RXWSXW VSDFH LV SRWHQWLDOO\ HQRUPRXV
+RZWRHIFLHQWO\SURFHVVVXFKODUJHRXWSXWVHWVWRGHWHUPLQH
UREXVWKLJKYDOXHGDOWHUQDWLYHVXQGHUDUDQJHRIFRQVWUDLQWV
LVDQRQJRLQJDUHDRIUHVHDUFKIRUH[DPSOHE\4XDQWLWDWLYH
*URXS4*WKH&HQWUHIRU2SWLPLVLQJ2UH([WUDFWLRQ&5&
25( DQG WKH 8QLYHUVLW\ RI 4XHHQVODQG 7KHUH DUH YDULRXV
VWDWLVWLFDOWRROVWKDWPLJKWEHXVHGWRPDSWKHRXWSXWVDQG
UHODWLRQVKLSV EHWZHHQ WKHP LQFOXGLQJ FRSXODV %RDUGPDQ
DQG9DQQ
FIG 2 - Schematic representation of iterative nature of the scenario-based project evaluation process.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
599
7KH UHDGHU LV UHIHUUHG WR YDQ GHU +HLMGHQV ERRN IRU
D WKRURXJK WUHDWPHQW RI VFHQDULR SODQQLQJ DV LW LV EH\RQG
WKH VFRSH RI WKLV SDSHU ,Q EULHI WKH LGHD LV WR JHQHUDWH D
VPDOO QXPEHU WZR WR IRXU RI DOWHUQDWLYH IXWXUHV WKDW DUH
UHODWLYHO\ RUWKRJRQDO WR HDFK RWKHU LQ WKH VHQVH WKDW DQ
DWWHPSW LV PDGH WR PD[LPLVH GLIIHUHQFHV EHWZHHQ VFHQDULRV
ZKLOHUHPDLQLQJSODXVLEOH(DFKVFHQDULRLVWKXVDQinternally
FRQVLVWHQWSODXVLEOHQDUUDWLYHDERXWKRZWKHIXWXUHPLJKWHYROYH
DQG KDV LPSOLFDWLRQV IRU VWUDWHJ\ 'LIIHUHQW VFHQDULRV DUH
OLNHO\ WR EH PXWXDOO\ LQFRPSDWLEOH IRU H[DPSOH WKHUH PD\
EHRQHVFHQDULRLQZKLFKHFRQRPLFJURZWKLVVXVWDLQHGDQG
FRPPRGLW\SULFHVUHPDLQKLJKDQGDQRWKHUZKHUHHFRQRPLF
JURZWKGHFOLQHVDQGFRPPRGLW\SULFHVIDOO
6RPHPDMRUPLQLQJKRXVHVKDYHXVHGVFHQDULRVWRWHVWKLJKHU
OHYHOFRUSRUDWHVWUDWHJ\,QRXUXVDJHWKHWLPHVHULHVRXWSXWVRI
6%3(FDQEHWHVWHGDJDLQVWVFHQDULRVWRGHWHUPLQHUREXVWQHVV
RI VWUDWHJLHV 7KLV SURFHVV FDQ DOVR UHYHDO DGGLWLRQDO LQVLJKWV
LQWRWKHVWUDWHJLFSUREOHPWKDWPD\VXJJHVWQHZDOWHUQDWLYHV
ZKLFKFDQEHWKHQEHGHVLJQHGDQGHYDOXDWHGZLWK6%3(
CASE STUDY
7KHIROORZLQJFDVHVWXG\GHPRQVWUDWHVDSSOLFDWLRQRI6%3(
WRDJROGGHSRVLWDWDQDGYDQFHGHYDOXDWLRQVWDJH7KHNULJHG
PRGHOIRUWKLVGHSRVLWFRQWDLQHGRYHUEORFNV6HYHUDO
UHYHQXH DQG QRQUHYHQXH DWWULEXWHV ZHUH FRQVLGHUHG LQ WKH
VWXG\WZRRIWKHVHJROGJUDGHDQGR[LGDWLRQVWDWHRISODQW
IHHG DUH GLVFXVVHG EHORZ 7KH NH\ REMHFWLYHV RI WKLV VWXG\
ZHUHWR
SURYLGHFRQGHQFHOLPLWVDVDIXQFWLRQRIJUDGHYDULDELOLW\
IRUUHOHYDQWSHULRGV
LGHQWLI\ GRZQVLGH ULVN DQG XSVLGH RSSRUWXQLWLHV IRU WKH
FXUUHQW IHDVLELOLW\ DOWHUQDWLYH DQG VHHN RWKHU SUDFWLFDO
DOWHUQDWLYHVWKDWDYRLGGRZQVLGHDQGFDSLWDOLVHRQXSVLGH
GHWHUPLQH EOHQGLQJ VWUDWHJLHV WR VXVWDLQ D [HG UDWLR RI
R[LGHV YHUVXV SULPDU\ RUH IHHG IRU WKH ORQJHVW SRVVLEOH
SHULRG
FIG 3 - Example of cumulative discounted cash flow (DCF) for singular kriged model versus DCF for multiple conditional simulation (CS) realisations.
600
Scenario Thinking A Powerful Tool for Strategic Planning and Evaluation of Mining Projects and Operations|J Vann et al
7KH6%3(VWXG\FRPPHQFHGZLWKJHQHUDWLRQRID&6PRGHO
WR FRPSOHPHQW WKH NULJHG PRGHO ZKLFK ZDV WUHDWHG DV WKH
EDVH FDVH DV GLVFXVVHG DERYH 7KLV ZDV IROORZHG E\ DQ
LGHQWLFDWLRQDQGDQDO\VLVRISRWHQWLDOO\LPSRUWDQWPLQLQJDQG
SURFHVVLQJ FRQVWUDLQWV %HFDXVH WKH PLQH SODQQLQJ DYDLODEOH
ZDVFRDUVHTXDUWHUO\DQDOJRULWKPWRDSSUR[LPDWHWKHEORFN
GHSOHWLRQVHTXHQFHDWVKRUWHUWLPHVFDOHVZDVLPSOHPHQWHG
RIWKHUHVRXUFHEORFNFKDUDFWHULVWLFVZDVDSSOLHGRQDEORFN
E\EORFNEDVLV
)LJXUHGHSLFWVWKHFXPXODWLYHKLVWRJUDPRIPHWDOJROG
SURGXFHG E\ WKH SODQW RYHU WKH OLIHRIPLQH /20 7KLV
SORW LV GHULYHG IURP WKH VHW RI &6 UHDOLVDWLRQV IRU D VSHFLF
DOWHUQDWLYH ,W DOVR VKRZV WKH VLQJXODU UHVXOW IRU SURFHVVLQJ
WKH NULJHG PRGHO WKURXJK 6%3( 7KLV JXUH FDQ EH UHDG LQ
YDULRXVZD\VIRUH[DPSOHLWVKRZVWKDWWKHUHLVDQSHUFHQW
SUREDELOLW\WKDWWKHFXPXODWLYHSURGXFHGJROGOLHVEHWZHHQ
DSSUR[LPDWHO\ 0R] DQG 0R] LH WKH 3 3
UDQJH,PSRUWDQWO\LWDOVRLOOXVWUDWHVWKDWWKHNULJHGPRGHOLV
QRWDQXQELDVHGFHQWUDOHVWLPDWHEHFDXVHRIFRQVWUDLQWVLQWKH
V\VWHPPRGHOOHGE\6%3(WKH3KDVVLJQLFDQWO\ORZHU
FRQWDLQHGPHWDOSURGXFHGWKDQLPSOLHGE\WKHNULJHGPRGHO
1RWHWKDWVLPLODUFXPXODWLYHKLVWRJUDPVFDQEHJHQHUDWHGIRU
DQ\ UHOHYDQW WLPH SHULRG IRU H[DPSOH D JLYHQ PRQWK WKH
UVWVL[PRQWKVRUWKHWKLUG\HDURISURGXFWLRQDQGIRUDQ\
YDULDEOH RI LQWHUHVW HJ SURSRUWLRQ RI R[LGH YHUVXV SULPDU\
GHOHWHULRXVHOHPHQWKDUGQHVVHWF
%RWKWKHNULJHGPRGHODQGWKHVHWRI&6UHDOLVDWLRQVZHUHUXQ
WKURXJKDIXOO608E\6086%3(SURFHVVXVLQJDEHVSRNH
VRIWZDUHV\VWHPEXLOWRQ6WUXFWXUHG4XHU\/DQJXDJH64/
DQG 1(7 DUFKLWHFWXUH 7KLV UHVXOWHG LQ WKH QXPHURXV WLPH
VHULHVRXWSXWVGLVFXVVHGDERYH
601
WRQQHV VHQW WR WKH SODQW IRU HDFK \HDU WKRXJK DJDLQ WKHVH
FRXOG EH JHQHUDWHG SHU TXDUWHU PRQWK ZHHN HWF 7KHVH
UHSUHVHQWDWLRQVRIFRQGHQFHDUHGHULYHGIURPWKHIXOOVHWRI
&6 UHDOLVDWLRQV WKDW YLD 6%3( ZHUH SURFHVVHG WKURXJK WKH
VSHFLHGDOWHUQDWLYH
,Q)LJXUHWKHSURGXFWLRQIRUWKHNULJHGEDVHFDVHPRGHO
LVDOVRVKRZQRQDQDQQXDOEDVLVDVFLUFOHVFRQQHFWHGZLWK
D VROLG OLQH ,W LV FOHDU WKDW IRU WKH UVW VHYHQ \HDUV WKH
NULJHGYDOXHVDUHOHVVWKDQWKH3YDOXHGHULYHGIURP6%3(
DQDO\VLVRIWKH&6LQSXWV7KLVSURMHFWLIEXLOWRQH[SHFWDWLRQV
RIWKHHYDOXDWLRQRQDNULJHGLQSXWLVYHU\OLNHO\WRKDYHD
GLVDSSRLQWLQJSHUIRUPDQFHLQWKRVHHDUO\\HDUV
7KH HQG UHVXOWV RI WKH DQDO\VLV RI VWRFNSLOLQJ DOWHUQDWLYHV
VKRZHG FOHDUO\ WKDW LQYHVWLQJ LQ ODUJHU VWRFNSLOLQJ DQG
EOHQGLQJV\VWHPVZDVLQFUHPHQWDOO\139SRVLWLYHEHFDXVH
LW UHGXFHG SODQW IHHG YDULDELOLW\ DQG HQDEOHG WKH SODQW WR
EH UXQ LQ DQ R[LGHSULPDU\ EOHQG FRQJXUDWLRQ IRU ORQJHU
WKXV SXVKLQJ RXW WKH QHFHVVLW\ IRU LQFUHPHQWDO FDSLWDO WR
UHFRQJXUH WKH SODQW WR SULPDU\RQO\ IHHG $GGLWLRQDOO\
IHHGLQJWKHEOHQGIRUORQJHUDOVRLPSURYHGERWKUHFRYHULHV
DQG WKURXJKSXW 7KLV SDUWLFXODU SURMHFW ZDV FRQVLGHUHG
PDUJLQDO E\ WKH RZQHUV DQG VWRFNSLOLQJ DQG EOHQGLQJ KDG
EHHQFRVWHQJLQHHUHGRXWRIWKHSURMHFW6%3(GHPRQVWUDWHG
WKDWWKHLQYHVWPHQWLQWKHVHV\VWHPVZDVVLJQLFDQWO\139
SRVLWLYH LQ D ZD\ WKDW FRQYHQWLRQDO SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ
FRXOG QRW ,Q RWKHU 6%3( FDVH VWXGLHV WKH SUHVHUYDWLRQ RI
YDULDELOLW\ KDV HQDEOHG GHPRQVWUDWLRQ RI WKH VLJQLFDQW
YDOXH RI VWRFNSLOLQJ DQG EOHQGLQJ V\VWHPV DV D VWUDWHJ\ WR
EHWWHUPDQDJHSURGXFWTXDOLW\IRULURQFRDODQGEDVHPHWDO
SURMHFWV
CONCLUSIONS
7KH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI VFHQDULR WKLQNLQJ WR PLQHUDO SURMHFW
HYDOXDWLRQFDXVHVWKHSURMHFWWHDPWRUHSHUFHLYHWKHV\VWHPV
DVSHFWVRIWKHSURMHFWDQGDOORZVHPSLULFDOWHVWLQJRIGLIIHUHQW
VWUDWHJLHV$JRRGVFHQDULRPRGHOPDNHVLWKDUGHUIRURYHUWO\
RSWLPLVWLF SURMHFW PDQDJHUV RU RQ WKH FRQWUDU\ EODFN KDW
WKLQNHUV VHH GH %RQR WR VNHZ WKH SURMHFW RXWFRPHV
XQUHDVRQDEO\
)XOO DSSOLFDWLRQ RI 6%3( LV D SRWHQWLDO VWHS FKDQJH LQ WKH
HYDOXDWLRQ RI PLQHUDO SURMHFWV 7KLV FDQ EH DFKLHYHG E\
UHDOLVWLFDOO\PRGHOOLQJDQGSURSDJDWLQJWKHVSDWLDOYDULDELOLW\
DQG XQFHUWDLQW\ RI WKH GHSRVLW WKURXJKRXW WKH YDOXH FKDLQ
8OWLPDWHO\6%3(LVDSDWKZD\WRVHHNLQJKLJK139RSWLRQV
WKDWDUHUREXVWLQWKHIDFHRISODXVLEOHIXWXUHVFHQDULRV:H
EHOLHYHZLGHDGRSWLRQRI6%3(KDVWKHSRWHQWLDOWRPDWHULDOO\
DOWHU WKH UHWXUQV IURP WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ DV D ZKROH
(PEUDFLQJ6%3(ZLOOQRWRQO\IDFLOLWDWHLPSURYHGHYDOXDWLRQ
RI LQGLYLGXDO PLQLQJ SURMHFWV EXW VKRXOG OHDG WR D PRUH
KROLVWLF XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI G\QDPLFV ZLWKLQ PXOWLGHSRVLW
RSHUDWLRQVE\HPSLULFDOO\GHPRQVWUDWLQJSRUWIROLRHIIHFWV
6%3(UHTXLUHVGLOLJHQWDSSOLFDWLRQRIWLPHDQGUHVRXUFHVDV
ZHOO DV LPSURYHG FURVVGLVFLSOLQDU\ WKLQNLQJ WR HQVXUH WKDW
SURMHFWWHDPVUHDFKDFRPPRQDQGYLVFHUDOXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RIWKHSURMHFWFRQVWUDLQWVDQGGULYHUVRIYDOXHDQGRIKRZWR
FROOHFWLYHO\DFWLYDWHWKHOHYHUVWKDWZLOOOLEHUDWHODWHQWSURMHFW
YDOXH
)LQDOO\ WKHUH LV DQ LPSOLFLW FXOWXUH FKDQJH UHTXLUHG WR
LPSOHPHQW 6%3( )RU LQGXVWU\ WR DGRSW 6%3( D FKDQJH
LQ PLQGVHW LV UHTXLUHG SURMHFW WHDPV ZLOO EH ORRNLQJ WR
LQFUHDVH WKH QXPEHU RI DOWHUQDWLYHV WKDW DUH FRQVLGHUHG
QRW UHGXFH WKHP 7KLV LV TXLWH FRXQWHUFXOWXUDO IRU VRPH
602
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KLVSDSHULVDUHSXEOLFDWLRQRI9DQQ et alDVSXEOLVKHG
DWWKH$XV,003URMHFW(YDOXDWLRQ&RQIHUHQFHLQ0D\
7KHUH DUH VHYHUDO PLQRU PRGLFDWLRQV WR WKH PDLQ WH[W DQG
VRPH VPDOO DGGLWLRQV WR WKH FDVH VWXG\ 'LVFXVVLRQV ZLWK D
UDQJH RI FXUUHQW DQG SDVW FROOHDJXHV DW 4* DQG &5& 25(
FRQWULEXWHG WR WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI WKH DSSURDFK RXWOLQHG
LQWKLVSDSHU9DQQ et alDQGDQHDUOLHUYHUVLRQ9DQQ
DQG%\H7KHRULJLQDOFRQFHSWLRQRI6%3(DQGWKHUVW
LPSOHPHQWDWLRQV ZHUH FRPSOHWHG E\ 6WHSKHQ &RZDUG RI
4* DQG *UDQW 1LFKRODV IRUPHUO\ DW 4* QRZ ZLWK $1=
ZKRDUHERWKFXUUHQWO\FRPSOHWLQJ3K'VDWWKH8QLYHUVLW\RI
$GHODLGHGHDOLQJZLWKGLIIHUHQWDVSHFWVRI6%3(7KHIXUWKHU
LQGXVWULDO LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ DQG FRPSXWDWLRQDO RSWLPLVDWLRQ
RI6%3(ZDVVLJQLFDQWO\DGYDQFHGE\6RURXVKD0RD\HURI
4*VHHDOVR0RD\HU7KHSULPDU\DXWKRU-RKQ9DQQ
ZRXOGDOVROLNHWRWKDQN&KULV&DUWHUDQG0DUN&DVSHUERWK
RI5LR7LQWRDQG&KULV:LOORZVIRUPHUO\RI5LR7LQWRQRZ
DQLQGHSHQGHQWFRQVXOWDQWIRULQXHQWLDOGLVFXVVLRQVDERXW
GLVWLQFWLRQV EHWZHHQ FRQFHSWV RI YDOXDWLRQ DQG HYDOXDWLRQ
-RKQ-DFNVRQRI-.7HFKLVDFNQRZOHGJHGIRUGLVFXVVLRQVZLWK
WZRRIWKHDXWKRUV-RKQ9DQQDQG6WHSKHQ&RZDUGRQWKH
VXEMHFWRIKRZWRFRQQHFWJHRPHWDOOXUJLFDOHIIRUWVWRVFHQDULR
WKLQNLQJ0LNH6WHZDUWDQG$ODVWDLU&RUQDKERWKRI4*DQG
1LFN%HDWRQRI&5&25(DUHDOOJUDWHIXOO\DFNQRZOHGJHGIRU
WKHLUDVVLVWDQFHLQUHYLHZLQJGLVFXVVLQJDQGLPSURYLQJWKH
SUHYLRXVO\ SXEOLVKHG YHUVLRQ RI WKLV SDSHU $Q\ UHPDLQLQJ
GHFLHQFLHV DUH RI FRXUVH HQWLUHO\ WKH UHVSRQVLELOLW\ RI WKH
DXWKRUV
REFERENCES
$UPVWURQJ0$]L]1GLD\H$DQG*DOOL$6FHQDULRUHGXFWLRQ
LQ PLQLQJ >RQOLQH@ DEVWUDFW IRU WKH ,QWHUQDWLRQDO $VVRFLDWLRQ
IRU 0DWKHPDWLFDO *HRORJ\ PHHWLQJ %XGDSHVW $XJXVW
$YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZFHUQDHQVPSIULPDJHVVWRULHV
$EVWUDFWB,$0*&RQIHUHQFH%XGDSHVWB6FHQDULR5HGQSGI!
%RDUGPDQ5DQG9DQQ-$UHYLHZRIWKHDSSOLFDWLRQRIFRSXODV
WRLPSURYHPRGHOOLQJRIQRQELJDXVVLDQELYDULDWHUHODWLRQVKLSV
ZLWK DQ H[DPSOH XVLQJ JHRORJLFDO GDWD LQ Proceedings 19th
International Congress on Modelling and Simulation HGV ) &KDQ
' 0DULQRYD DQG 5 6 $QGHUVVHQ SS 0RGHOOLQJ DQG
6LPXODWLRQ6RFLHW\RI$XVWUDOLDDQG1HZ=HDODQG&DQEHUUD
%\H $ $OH[DQGHU ' 3OLQW 1 DQG /LWWOH 0 *HRORJtD GH OD
PLQDSODQWD \ OD HFRHFLHQFLD KHUUDPLHQWD GH VLPXODFLyQ SDUD
OD HYDOXDFLyQ GH SUR\HFWRV \ OD PHMRUD RSHUDWLYD HQ $QJOR
3ODWLQXP *HRORJ\PLQHSODQW DQG HFRHIFLHQF\ VLPXODWLRQ
WRRO IRU SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ DQG RSHUDWLRQDO LPSURYHPHQW DW
$QJOR 3ODWLQXP LQ *HRPLQ 3ULPHU 6HPLQDULR ,QWHUQDFLRQDO
de Geologia para la Industria Minera)LUVW,QWHUQDWLRQDO6HPLQDURQ
*HRORJ\IRUWKH0LQLQJ,QGXVWU\SS*(&$0,16DQWLDJR
%\H $ 5 &DVH VWXGLHV GHPRQVWUDWLQJ YDOXH IURP
JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDO LQLWLDWLYHV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV 7KH )LUVW $XV,00
,QWHUQDWLRQDO *HRPHWDOOXUJ\ &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&KLOqV - 3 DQG 'HOQHU 3 Geostatistics: Modelling Spatial
UncertaintyS-RKQ:LOH\ 6RQV
Scenario Thinking A Powerful Tool for Strategic Planning and Evaluation of Mining Projects and Operations|J Vann et al
&RZDUG69DQQ-'XQKDP6DQG6WHZDUW07KH3ULPDU\
5HVSRQVH IUDPHZRUN IRU JHRPHWDOOXUJLFDO YDULDEOHV LQ
Proceedings Seventh International Mining Geology Conference
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
GH%RQR(Six Thinking HatsVHFRQGHGLWLRQS%DFN%D\
%RRNV
'HXWVFK'7KH%HJLQQLQJRI,QQLW\([SODQDWLRQVWKDW7UDQVIRUP
the WorldS$OOHQ/DQH3HQJXLQ
(PHU\ ; 6LPXODWLRQ RI JHRORJLFDO GRPDLQV XVLQJ WKH
SOXULJDXVVLDQ PRGHO QHZ GHYHORSPHQWV DQG FRPSXWHU
SURJUDPVComputers and Geosciences
(PHU\;&KDQJHRIVXSSRUWPRGHOVDQGFRPSXWHUSURJUDPV
IRUGLUHFWEORFNVLPXODWLRQComputers and Geosciences
+DUULV05XQJH.:KLWHQ:DQG0RUULVRQ5-.6LP)ORDW
DVDSUDFWLFDOWRROIRURWDWLRQSURFHVVGHVLJQDQGRSWLPLVDWLRQ
in Proceedings Mineral Processing Plant Design Practice and Control
Conference SS 6RFLHW\ IRU 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG
([SORUDWLRQ
,OEXU\&DQG6XQWHU&7KH0LQGRID)R[6FHQDULR3ODQQLQJLQ
ActionS+XPDQ 5RXVVHDX
-DFNVRQ6)UHGHULFNVHQ'6WHZDUW09DQQ-%XUNH$'XJGDOH
- DQG %HUWROL 2 *HRORJLFDO DQG JHRVWDWLVWLFDO ULVN DW WKH
*ROGHQ *LIW DQG 0DJGDOD *ROG 'HSRVLWV 6WDZHOO 9LFWRULD LQ
3URFHHGLQJV)LIWK,QWHUQDWLRQDO0LQLQJ*HRORJ\&RQIHUHQFHSS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
-RXUQHO $ *HRVWDWLVWLFV IRU WKH FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ RI
RUHERGLHVEconomic Geology
.OHLQJHOG : - DQG 1LFKRODV * ' 'LDPRQG UHVRXUFHV DQG
UHVHUYHV WHFKQLFDO XQFHUWDLQWLHV DIIHFWLQJ WKHLU HVWLPDWLRQ
FODVVLFDWLRQDQGHYDOXDWLRQLQProceedings Orebody Modelling and
Strategic Mine PlanningSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0DFNH\ 3 - DQG 1HVVHW - ( 7KH LPSDFW RI FRPPLVVLRQLQJ
DQGVWDUWXSSHUIRUPDQFHRQDPLQLQJPHWDOOXUJLFDOSURMHFWLQ
3URFHHGLQJVWK$QQXDO0HHWLQJRIWKH&DQDGLDQ0LQHUDO3URFHVVRUV
SS &DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG
3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
0RD\HU69DQQ-&RZDUG6-DFNVRQ6%\H$DQG:ROI5
$Q LQQRYDWLYH DSSURDFK WR UREXVW RSWLPLVDWLRQ IRU VFHQDULR
EDVHGPLQHUDOSURMHFWHYDOXDWLRQLQProceedings Project Evaluation
SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
1LFKRODV*&RZDUG6$UPVWURQJ0DQG*DOOL$,QWHJUDWHG
PLQH HYDOXDWLRQ LPSOLFDWLRQV IRU PLQH PDQDJHPHQW LQ
3URFHHGLQJV ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQH 0DQDJHPHQW SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
1LFKRODV*&RZDUG6DQG)HUUHLUD-)LQDQFLDOULVNDVVHVVPHQW
XVLQJFRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQVLQDQLQWHJUDWHGHYDOXDWLRQPRGHO
in Proceedings Eighth International Geostatistics Congress Geostats
HGV-02UWL]DQG;(PHU\SS*(&$0,1
1LFKRODV * &RZDUG 6 5HQGDOO 0 DQG 7KXUVWRQ 0
'HFLVLRQPDNLQJ XVLQJ DQ LQWHJUDWHG HYDOXDWLRQ PRGHO YHUVXV
VHQVLWLYLW\ DQDO\VLV DQG 0RQWH &DUOR VLPXODWLRQ LQ Proceedings
CIM International&DQDGLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ0HWDOOXUJ\DQG
3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
3RUWHU0(Competitive AdvantageS)UHH3UHVV
5DPLUH]56HOVN\-DQGYDQGHU+HLMGHQ.Business Planning
IRU 7XUEXOHQW 7LPHV 1HZ 0HWKRGV IRU $SSO\LQJ 6FHQDULRV VHFRQG
HGLWLRQS(DUWKVFDQ
6HQJH37KH)LIWK'LVFLSOLQH7KH$UWDQG3UDFWLFHRIWKH/HDUQLQJ
OrganizationS'RXEOHGD\%XVLQHVV
YDQGHU+HLMGHQ.Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation
VHFRQGHGLWLRQS:LOH\
YDQ GHU +HLMGHQ . 5DPLUH] 5 6HOVN\ - DQG :LONLQVRQ $
7XUEXOHQFHEXVLQHVVSODQQLQJDQGWKHXQIROGLQJQDQFLDOFULVLV
in %XVLQHVV3ODQQLQJIRU7XUEXOHQW7LPHV1HZ0HWKRGVIRU$SSO\LQJ
Scenarios VHFRQGHGLWLRQS(DUWKVFDQ
9DQQ-DQG%\H$8QFHUWDLQW\YDULDELOLW\DQGV\VWHPVDVSHFWV
RISURMHFWHYDOXDWLRQZK\ZKROHRIYDOXHFKDLQWKLQNLQJORZHUV
ULVN DQG UHYHDOV YDOXH $,* %XOOHWLQ 5HVRXUFH (YDOXDWLRQ DQG
0LQLQJ
9DQQ--DFNVRQ6%\H$&RZDUG60RD\HU61LFKRODV*DQG
:ROII56FHQDULRWKLQNLQJDSRZHUIXOWRROIRUVWUDWHJLF
SODQQLQJ DQG HYDOXDWLRQ RI PLQLQJ SURMHFWV DQG RSHUDWLRQV LQ
3URFHHGLQJV 3URMHFW (YDOXDWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
9DQQ - -DFNVRQ - &RZDUG 6 DQG 'XQKDP 6 7KH *HRPHW
&XUYH D PRGHO IRU LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI JHRPHWDOOXUJ\ LQ
3URFHHGLQJV 7KH )LUVW $XV,00 ,QWHUQDWLRQDO *HRPHWDOOXUJ\
Conference SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
9RVH'Risk Analysis: A Quantitative GuideWKLUGHGLWLRQS
:LOH\
603
HOME
1. MAusIMM, Professor, Department of Mineral and Energy Economics, Graduate School of Business, Curtin University of Technology and Centre for Exploration Targeting, University of Western
INTRODUCTION
0LQLQJ LV VRPHWLPHV FROORTXLDOO\ UHIHUUHG WR DV D ULVN\
EXVLQHVV EXW W\SLFDOO\ ZLWKRXW DQ\ DFFRPSDQ\LQJ
FODULFDWLRQ DV WR ZKHUH WKH DIRUHPHQWLRQHG ULVNV DFWXDOO\
UHVLGH $W D KLJKOHYHO WKLV RYHUDUFKLQJ VWDWHPHQW FDQ EH
GLVDJJUHJDWHGLQWRWKUHHPDLQDUHDV)LUVWWKHUHLVVDIHW\ULVN
WKDW PLQH ZRUNHUV DUH H[SRVHG WR RFFXSDWLRQDO ULVN WKDW
FRXOG UHVXOW LQ ERGLO\ KDUP RU LQ H[WUHPH FDVHV D IDWDOLW\
6HFRQGO\ WKH SOHWKRUD RI WHFKQLFDO ULVNV WKDW HPDQDWH IURP
XQFHUWDLQWLHV LQ WKH JHRORJLFDO DQG HQJLQHHULQJ DVSHFWV
RI PLQLQJ LQFOXGLQJ PLQHUDO SURFHVV HQJLQHHULQJ )LQDOO\
WKHUH DUH WKH QRQWHFKQLFDO FRPPHUFLDO ULVNV WKDW RULJLQDWH
IURP IDFWRUV RXWVLGH WKH LPPHGLDWH PLQH DUHD VXFK DV IURP
JRYHUQPHQWVFRPPRGLW\PDUNHWVH[FKDQJHUDWHVDQGRWKHU
PDUNHWGULYHQLPSDFWVRQWKHFRVWRILQSXWVDQGWKHSULFHRI
RXWSXWVIURPPLQLQJDFWLYLW\
:KLOH WKLV SDSHUV IRFXV RQ ULVN ZLOO IROORZ WKH FODVVLF
GLFWLRQDU\ GHQLWLRQ RI ULVN EHLQJ SRVVLELOLW\ RI ORVV
WKH GLVFXVVLRQ ZLOO EH UHVWULFWHG WR WKH SRVVLELOLW\ RI VWULFW
HFRQRPLFORVV DQG WR WKH QDO DUHD RI ULVN GHVFULEHGDERYH
WKDW RI QRQWHFKQLFDO ULVN ,Q WKLV SDSHU LW LV QRW IXUWKHU
GLVFXVVHGKRZQRQWHFKQLFDOULVNFDQDOVRSURYLGHSRWHQWLDO
VRXUFHV RI IXWXUH EXVLQHVV RSSRUWXQLW\ YHUVXV HFRQRPLF
ORVV WR SDUWLFLSDQWV LQ WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ ,W LV QRWHG WKDW
WKHYDULRXVWHFKQLFDOULVNVLQPLQLQJIRUPWKHPDLQIRFXVRI
WKLVYROXPH DQGUHDGHUVDUHUHIHUUHGWKHUHLQWKLVUHVSHFW)RU
RQJRLQJGHYHORSPHQWVLQWKHGLVFXVVLRQRIVDIHW\LQPLQLQJ
UHDGHUV DUH UHIHUUHG WR WKH Australasian Mine Safety Journal
(KWWSZZZDPVMFRPDX 0DNLQJ WKH NH\ GHFLVLRQV WR
PLWLJDWH WKH LQWHUSOD\ RI WHFKQLFDO DQG QRQWHFKQLFDO ULVNV
IRUDFRPSDQ\IDOOVWRDFRPSDQ\VVHQLRUPDQDJHPHQWDQG
ERDUG RI GLUHFWRUV 0RGHUQ PDQDJHPHQW WKHRU\ WDNHV WKH
YLHZ WKDW PDQDJHPHQW LQWHUYHQWLRQ FDQ PLWLJDWH WKH ULVNV
DVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHPLQHUDOVLQGXVWU\LQFRQWUDVWWRKLVWRULFDO
YLHZVRIVXFKULVNVEHLQJIDWHG%HUQVWHLQ
605
UHGXFHPLQLQJUDWHVDQGWKXVDJDLQUHVXOWLQDODFNRIRUHIHHG
IURPWKHPLQH$OOWKHVHH[DPSOHVUHSUHVHQWWHFKQLFDOULVNVWR
DPLQLQJSURMHFW
0LQLQJ SURIHVVLRQDOV QRWDEO\ WKRVH WKDW REWDLQ IXUWKHU
TXDOLFDWLRQVLQQDQFHFRPPHUFHDQGHFRQRPLFVDUHDOVR
VFKRROHG LQ UHFRJQLVLQJ WKH XQFHUWDLQWLHV RI WKH YDULRXV
FRPPHUFLDO DVSHFWV RI PLQLQJ )RU H[DPSOH KLJK PLQHUDO
FRPPRGLW\SULFHVIRUDQH[WHQGHGSHULRGFDQSURPSWVRFLDO
XQUHVWIURPFRPPXQLWLHVVXUURXQGLQJDPLQHPRVWQRWDEO\LI
WKHFRPPXQLW\IHHOVWKDWWKHHFRQRPLFEHQHWVRIKLJKPLQHUDO
SULFHVDUHE\SDVVLQJWKHORFDODUHD,QWXUQJRYHUQPHQWVWKHQ
FRPHXQGHUSUHVVXUHWRUHVSRQGWRVXFKDVFHQDULRE\UDLVLQJ
WD[ UDWHV DQG PLQHUDO UR\DOWLHV RU HOVH VHHNLQJ JRYHUQPHQW
SDUWRZQHUVKLS RI WKH PLQH 7KH HFRQRPLFV RI WKH PLQH
WR WKH PLQH RZQHU DUH DGYHUVHO\ LPSDFWHG VKRXOG DQ\ RI
WKHVH DFWLRQV WDNH SODFH &RQYHUVHO\ ZHDN JOREDO GHPDQG
IRU D PLQHUDO FRPPRGLW\ FDQ GULYH GRZQ LWV SUHYDLOLQJ
SULFH UHVXOWLQJ LQ ORZHU WKDQ H[SHFWHG UHYHQXHV IURP WKH
PLQH $OWHUQDWLYHO\ KLJK GHPDQG IRU VNLOOHG ODERXU DFURVV
WKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\FDQUHVXOWLQUDSLGHVFDODWLRQRIODERXU
UDWHVGULYLQJLQSXWFRVWVKLJKHUDWDPLQH$OOWKHVHH[DPSOHV
UHSUHVHQWQRQWHFKQLFDOULVNVWRDPLQLQJSURMHFW
3URIHVVLRQDOV LQ WKH LQGXVWU\ QHHG WR KDYH XQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RIERWKWHFKQLFDODQGQRQWHFKQLFDOULVNVRIDPLQLQJYHQWXUH
7KHFDWHJRULVDWLRQDQGFODVVLFDWLRQRIQRQWHFKQLFDOULVNVLV
QRZVHHQZLGHO\DFURVVWKHLQGXVWU\VWDUWLQJZLWK$JULFRODV
IDPRXVWH[W
1RZ D PLQHU EHIRUH KH EHJLQV WR PLQH WKH YHLQV PXVW
FRQVLGHUVHYHQWKLQJVQDPHO\WKHVLWXDWLRQWKHFRQGLWLRQV
WKHZDWHUWKHURDGVWKHFOLPDWHWKHULJKWRIRZQHUVKLSDQG
the neighbours $JULFROD
0RUH UHFHQW H[DPSOHV FDQ EH IRXQG LQ YDULRXV PLQLQJ
VHFWRUIRFXVHG WH[WV 7UHQFK 7UHQFK DQG 3DFNH\
Technical
Risk
Geographical
(Country)
Land Access
Land Claims
Commodity
Prices
Mining
Risk
NonTechnical
Risk
Red Tape
Green Tape
Exchange Rates
Corruption
Social Unrest
Corporate (Going
Concern)
Infrastructure
Civil Unrest
Natural Disasters
Unlawful Activity
Labour Relations
Other
Commercial
Counterparties
Human Resources
Safety
Risk
Refer to the
Australasian Mine
Safety Journal
Non-Technical Risks and Their Impact on the Mining Industry|A Trench, D Packey and J P Sykes
EHH[WHQGHGWRLQGLJHQLVDWLRQUHSUHVHQWLQJDOOQDWLRQDOVUDWKHU
WKDQ VSHFLF JURXSV VXFK DV =LPEDEZHV LQGLJHQLVDWLRQ
SURFHVV 5DZ 0DWHULDOV *URXS DQG 7KH :RUOG %DQN
6XFK OHJLVODWLRQ LV DOVR IRXQG LQ $VLD ZLWK 0DOD\VLDV
%XPLSXWHUD ODZV DQ H[DPSOH WKDW EHQHWV D VSHFLF HWKQLF
JURXS %XUHDX RI (FRQRPLF DQG %XVLQHVV $IIDLUV
DQG ,QGRQHVLDV 0LQLQJ /DZ DQ H[DPSOH RI PRUH JHQHUDO
LQGLJHQLVDWLRQ:LQ]HQULHG et al$WWKHYHU\H[WUHPH
WKH OHJLVODWLRQ FDQ UHSUHVHQW ZKROHVDOH QDWLRQDOLVDWLRQ
VXFK DV WKDW RI )LUVW 4XDQWXP 0LQHUDOV FRSSHU DVVHWV LQ
WKH 'HPRFUDWLF 5HSXEOLF RI WKH &RQJR 0DF1DPDUD DQG
7KRPSVRQ *OHQFRUHV WLQ PLQHV LQ %ROLYLD .HWWOH
RU WKH QDWLRQDOLVDWLRQ RI WKH ZKROH JROG LQGXVWU\ LQ
9HQH]XHOD0DQGHU
Land claims
/DQG FODLPV DGGUHVV LVVXHV UHJDUGLQJ SURSHUW\ LQFOXGLQJ
ERGLHVRIZDWHU7KH\DUHOHJDOGHFODUDWLRQVRIVRXJKWDIWHU
FRQWURO RYHU DUHDV RI SURSHUW\ 7\SLFDOO\ WKH RZQHUVKLS
RI DUHDV LV LQ GLVSXWH DQGRU UHPDLQV XQUHVROYHG LQ WKH
FRXUWV /DQG FODLPV FDQ EH FRPSUHKHQVLYH RU VSHFLF
&RPSUHKHQVLYH ODQG FODLPV GHDO ZLWK VHWWLQJ DVLGH ODUJH
WUDFWVRIODQGXVXDOO\LQDWUHDW\PDNLQJSURFHVV7KH\H[LVW
ZKHUH WKH GHWHUPLQDWLRQ RI RU VHWWLQJ RI ERXQGDULHV IRU
DERULJLQDO ODQGV KDYH QRW EHHQ GHDOW ZLWK LQ WKH SDVW $Q
H[DPSOH LV WKH &DQDGLDQ DERULJLQDO ODQG ULJKWV $ERULJLQDO
$IIDLUV DQG 1RUWKHUQ 'HYHORSPHQW &DQDGD 6SHFLF
ODQGFODLPVGHDOZLWKFODLPVUHODWHGWRVHWREOLJDWLRQVWKDWDUH
EHLQJRUEHOLHYHGWREHYLRODWHG/DQGFODLPVDUHVRPHWLPHV
XVHGWRUHIHUWRGLVSXWHGWHUULWRULHVRUWRUHIHUWRWKHFODLPV
PDGHE\GLVSODFHGSHRSOH([DPSOHVRIWKLVZRXOGEHQDWLYH
WLWOHRUDERULJLQDOODQGFODLPV
7KHULVNWRDFRPSDQ\RIDODQGFODLPLVHVVHQWLDOO\RQHRI
FRPPHUFLDO ULVN 7\SLFDOO\ D OHYHO RI VWDJHG FRPSHQVDWLRQ
LVQHJRWLDWHGDVEHLQJSD\DEOHWRWKHKROGHUVRIWKHFODLPLQ
RUGHUIRUWKHPLQHUDOSURMHFWWRDGYDQFHWKURXJKWRSURGXFWLRQ
VWDJH 6XFK FRPSHQVDWLRQ LV SDLG LQ UHWXUQ IRU WKH ULJKW WR
GLVWXUEWKHODQGIRUWKHDOWHUQDWLYHXVHRIPLQLQJUDWKHUWKDQ
GLVWXUELQJWKHDFWLYLWLHVRIWKHRZQHUVRIWKHODQGFODLP6XFK
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
607
FRPSHQVDWLRQLVQHJRWLDEOHDQGPD\WDNHWKHIRUPRIUR\DOW\
SD\PHQWVDQGRUHPSOR\PHQWULJKWVIRUWKHSHRSOHZKRRZQ
WKHODQGFODLP2WKHUIDFHWVSHUWDLQLQJWRWKLVULVNLQFOXGHWKH
SRWHQWLDOIRUUHWURVSHFWLYHFODLPVE\WKRVHKROGLQJFODLPVWR
WKHODQGDQGWKHSRVVLELOLW\RIQHZRYHUODSSLQJODQGFODLPV
EHLQJPDGHDVDPLQHUDOSURMHFWSURJUHVVHV
OOLQJRXWSDSHUZRUNWRWKHOHWWHU
REWDLQLQJOLFHQFHV
OLQJUHSRUWV
FHUWLFDWLRQUHTXLUHPHQWV
UHSRUWLQJDQGLQYHVWLJDWLQJSUDFWLFHVDQGSURFHGXUHV
LQVSHFWLRQDQGHQIRUFHPHQWRISUDFWLFHVDQGSURFHGXUHV
5HGWDSHLVJHQHUDOO\VHHQDVDZD\WRGLVFRXUDJHDSSOLFDWLRQV
DQGHPSOR\ODUJHQXPEHUVRISHRSOHLQDGPLQLVWUDWLYHUROHV
([FHVVLYH UHG WDSH PD\ DOVR LPSOLFLWO\ RU H[SOLFLWO\ VLJQDO
D VWURQJ PRWLYH WR WUDQVIHU DZD\ DV PXFK RI WKH DVVRFLDWHG
ULVNVDQGIXWXUHOLDELOLWLHVRIPLQLQJDVSRVVLEOHIURPWKHVWDWH
WRWKHPLQLQJLQYHVWRU
7KH QHDUWHUP ULVN WR D FRPSDQ\ RI H[FHVVLYH UHG WDSH LV
SULQFLSDOO\ RQH RI GHOD\LQJ D SURMHFW DQG WKH UHODWHG FRVW
WKHUHRQ)RUH[DPSOHDPLQLQJFRPSDQ\ZLOOW\SLFDOO\FDUU\
D OHYHO RI [HG FRVWV HDFK \HDU LQ WKH IRUP RI DQ LQKRXVH
GHYHORSPHQW FDSDELOLW\ LQFOXGLQJ GHYHORSPHQW HQJLQHHUV
DQGRURWKHUSURMHFWVSHFLFKXPDQUHVRXUFHV,QWKHHYHQW
WKDW D SURMHFW LV GHOD\HG E\ UHG WDSH IRU D \HDU WKH GLUHFW
FRVWVRIPDLQWDLQLQJWKLVFDSDELOLW\FDQEHGHHPHGDWULVNRI
ORVVVKRXOGIRUH[DPSOHFULWLFDOSDWKSURMHFWVWXGLHVEHFRPH
GHOD\HG 2I FRXUVH VXFK DQ DFFRXQWLQJVW\OH FRQVLGHUDWLRQ
RI WKH ULVN OHYHO WR WKH FRPSDQ\ GRHV QRW DFFRXQW IRU WKH
RSSRUWXQLW\ FRVW RI WKH SURMHFWV GHOD\ ,Q WKLV UHJDUG D
PDWHULDO GHOD\ WR D SURMHFW ZKDWHYHU WKH URRW FDXVH FRXOG
UHVXOW LQ D FRPSDQ\ PLVVLQJ D ZLQGRZ RI KLJK FRPPRGLW\
SULFHV IRU H[DPSOH 6XFK FRQVLGHUDWLRQV RI IXOO HFRQRPLF
ORVVHVIURPSURMHFWGHOD\VFDQEHFDOFXODWHGXVLQJGLVFRXQWHG
FDVKRZDQGUHDORSWLRQVWHFKQLTXHV
Corruption
7UDQVSDUHQF\ ,QWHUQDWLRQDO GHQHV FRUUXSWLRQ DV WKH DEXVH
RIHQWUXVWHGSRZHUIRUSULYDWHJDLQ7KLVGHQLWLRQLQFOXGHV
FRUUXSW SUDFWLFHV LQ ERWK WKH SXEOLF DQG SULYDWH VHFWRUV
7UDQVSDUHQF\,QWHUQDWLRQDOSXEOLVKHVDQXPEHURIGDWDVHWV
RQ FRUUXSWLRQ EXW WKH PRVW ZLGHO\ UHFRJQLVHG IRFXVHV RQ
SXEOLF VHFWRU FRUUXSWLRQ 7KH &RUUXSWLRQ 3HUFHSWLRQV ,QGH[
&3, UDQNV FRXQWULHV E\ WKH GHJUHH WR ZKLFK FRUUXSWLRQ LV
SHUFHLYHG WR H[LVW DPRQJ LWV SXEOLF RIFLDOV DQG SROLWLFLDQV
7UDQVSDUHQF\ ,QWHUQDWLRQDO D ,W LV DQ DJJUHJDWHG
LQGH[XVLQJGDWDIURPDQXPEHURIWUXVWHGVRXUFHVDQGIURP
SURYLGHV D UHODWLYH VFRUH DQG UDQN WKXV DOORZLQJ WKH
FRPSDULVRQRIFRUUXSWLRQSHUFHSWLRQVLQDFRXQWU\RYHUWLPH
7KH&3,VFRUHVFRXQWULHVIURPWRZLWKEHLQJWKHPRVW
FRUUXSW DQG EHLQJ WKH YHU\ FOHDQ $Q H[WUDFW IURP WKH
,QGH[LVJLYHQLQ7DEOHZKLFKJLYHVWKHWHQEHVWDQG
ZRUVWUDQNHGFRXQWULHV
TABLE 1
Sample of data from Corruption Perceptions Index
(data: Transparency International, 2012a).
Rank
Country
Score
Denmark
90
Finland
90
New Zealand
90
Sweden
88
Singapore
87
Switzerland
86
Australia
85
Norway
85
Canada
84
Netherlands
84
165
Burundi
19
Chad
19
Haiti
19
Venezuela
19
169
Iraq
18
*UHHQ WDSH LV D VXEVHW RI UHG WDSH WKDW IRFXVHV RQ HQYLURQ
PHQWDOLVVXHV,Q-DQXDU\DQ$XVWUDOLDQSROLWLFLDQFDPH
XS ZLWK WKH WHUP JUHHQ WDSH WR UHIHU WR WKH HQYLURQPHQWDO
UHJXODWLRQV SUHYHQWLQJ FOHDULQJ RI YHJHWDWLRQ LQ QDWLRQDO
SDUNV $V LURQ\ ZRXOG KDYH LW WKH SDUNV ODWHU FDXJKW
UH IURP WKH YHU\ YHJHWDWLRQ PHDQW WR VDYH WKHP 1RZ
JUHHQ WDSH LV XVHG WR GHVFULEH H[FHVVLYH HQYLURQPHQWDO
UHTXLUHPHQWV$FFRUGLQJWRThe Economist JUHHQWDSH
LV WKH XQSUHGLFWDEOH DQG LQFRQFOXVLYH PDQQHU LQ ZKLFK
170
Turkmenistan
17
Uzbekistan
17
172
Myanmar
15
173
Sudan
13
174
Afghanistan
North Korea
Somalia
608
Non-Technical Risks and Their Impact on the Mining Industry|A Trench, D Packey and J P Sykes
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRQRWHWKDWWKH&3,RQO\PHDVXUHVSHUFHSWLRQV
RI FRUUXSWLRQ QRW DFWXDO LQFLGHQWV QRU GRHV LW EUHDNGRZQ
ZKHUH DQG ZLWK ZKDW LQVWLWXWLRQV WKLV FRUUXSWLRQ WDNHV
SODFH RU ZKDW LWV HIIHFW RQ EXVLQHVV PD\ EH 7UDQVSDUHQF\
,QWHUQDWLRQDO SURGXFHV D QXPEHU RI RWKHU UHSRUWV WKDW GR
WRXFK RQ WKHVH PDWWHUV ZKLFK DOVR PD\ EH RI UHOHYDQFH
WR WKH PLQLQJ VHFWRU 7KH *OREDO &RUUXSWLRQ %DURPHWHU
7UDQVSDUHQF\,QWHUQDWLRQDOEWDNHVKRXVHKROGRSLQLRQ
RIZKHWKHUFRUUXSWLRQLVJHWWLQJEHWWHURUZRUVHLQDFRXQWU\
DQGEUHDNVGRZQZKHUHWKLVPD\EHRFFXUULQJLQVRFLHW\LQ
SROLWLFVEXVLQHVVSROLFLQJQRQJRYHUQPHQWDORUJDQLVDWLRQV
(1*2V WKH MXGLFLDU\ HWF 7KH %ULEH 3D\HUV ,QGH[
7UDQVSDUHQF\,QWHUQDWLRQDOWXUQVWKHLVVXHRQLWVKHDG
DQG ORRNV DW ZKLFK FRXQWULHV EXVLQHVVHV DUH PRVW OLNHO\ WR
SD\EULEHV5XVVLDDQG&KLQDDQGLQZKDWEXVLQHVVVHFWRUVLW
PRVWIUHTXHQWO\RFFXUVSXEOLFFRQWUDFWVXWLOLWLHVUHDOHVWDWH
RLODQGJDVDQGPLQLQJ)RUWKRVHVHHNLQJSUDFWLFDODGYLFHRQ
KRZWRSUHSDUHDEXVLQHVVWRZLWKVWDQGFRUUXSWSUDFWLFHVWKH
*OREDO&RUUXSWLRQ5HSRUW7UDQVSDUHQF\,QWHUQDWLRQDO
IRFXVLQJ RQ WKH SULYDWH VHFWRU FRQWDLQV VXFK DGYLFH
DV ZHOO DV D GHWDLOHG DVVHVVPHQW RI FRUUXSWLRQ LQ EXVLQHVV
DURXQGWKHZRUOG
7KH ULVNV WR D FRPSDQ\ IURP FRUUXSWLRQ DUH GLIFXOW WR
TXDQWLI\EHFDXVHFRUUXSWLRQERWKLQIUHTXHQF\DQGTXDQWXP
LV WR D JUHDW H[WHQW D KLGGHQ DFWLYLW\ WKDW LV SXUSRVHO\
FRQFHDOHG 7KH SRWHQWLDO ULVNV LQFOXGH QRW RQO\ WKH GLUHFW
QDQFLDO LPSDFW RI FRUUXSW DFWLYLW\ EXW WKH UHSXWDWLRQDO
ULVN VKRXOG D FRPSDQ\ EH SHUFHLYHG DV FRQGRQLQJ RU DW
OHDVW DFFRPPRGDWLQJ D OHYHO RI FRUUXSWLRQ LQ LWV EXVLQHVV
GHDOLQJV LQ D SDUWLFXODU FRXQWU\ ,Q VWULFW HFRQRPLF WHUPV
WKH SUHYDOHQFH RI FRUUXSWLRQ ZLWKLQ D MXULVGLFWLRQ UHVXOWV
LQ KLJKHU FDSLWDO DQG RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV IRU WKH FRPSDQ\ WKDQ
ZRXOGRWKHUZLVHEHWKHFDVH
Social risk
6RFLDOULVNLVDFDWFKDOOULVNFDWHJRU\WKDWGHDOVZLWKVRFLHWDO
VLWXDWLRQVQRWFRYHUHGLQODERXUUHODWLRQVRUFLYLOXQUHVWWKDW
FDQ VWLOO QHJDWLYHO\ DIIHFW DQ RSHUDWLRQ /DFN RI FRPPXQLW\
VXSSRUWSURWHVWPRYHPHQWVDQGPDUFKHVLQWHUIHUHQFHZLWK
ZRUNHUVDQGLQYDVLRQRISURSHUW\DUHH[DPSOHVRIIDFWRUVWKDW
FRQWULEXWHWRVRFLDOULVNZLWKWKHJHQHUDOKHDOWKDQGHGXFDWLRQ
OHYHOVRIWKHFRPPXQLW\DQGZRUNIRUFHDQGWKHFRPPXQLW\
FXOWXUHDOOLQXHQFHVRQWKHOHYHORIULVN7KHIUHTXHQF\DQG
GXUDWLRQ RI WKH SURWHVWV FDQ KDYH D QHJDWLYH HIIHFW RQ WKH
SURGXFWLRQDQGSURWDELOLW\RIDQRSHUDWLRQDQGDOVRGHOD\
RUSUHYHQWDPLQHUDOSURMHFWIURPDGYDQFLQJWRSHUPLWWLQJ
Infrastructure risk
,QIUDVWUXFWXUH LV WKH EDVLF IXQGDPHQWDO SK\VLFDO DQG
RUJDQLVDWLRQDO VWUXFWXUHV QHFHVVDU\ IRU D VRFLHW\ RU DQ
HFRQRP\ WR RSHUDWH ([DPSOHV LQFOXGH EXW DUH QRW OLPLWHG
WR URDGV UDLO DLUSRUWV SRUWV PDLO VHUYLFH EDQNV EULGJHV
WHOHSKRQLFDQGZHEDFFHVVSROLFHUHJKWHUVPHGLFDOFDUH
DQGFRPPXQLW\HGXFDWLRQ(YHU\WKLQJQHFHVVDU\WRHVWDEOLVK
WKHVXSSRUWLQJVWUXFWXUHVWRSURYLGHJRRGVDQGVHUYLFHVLQD
FRPPXQLW\LVFRYHUHGXQGHUWKHWHUPLQIUDVWUXFWXUH7RWKLV
OLVW /D]QLFND ZRXOG DGG ODQJXDJH DELOLW\ UHIHUULQJ
WR WKH DELOLW\ WR FRPPXQLFDWH ZLWK WKH ORFDO SRSXODWLRQ RU
LQVWLWXWLRQV $ FRPSRQHQW RI FRXQWU\ ULVN LV D QDWLRQV ODFN
RIQHFHVVDU\LQIUDVWUXFWXUHWRDOORZDFRPSDQ\WRDGYDQFHD
SURMHFWWRZDUGVFRQVWUXFWLRQDQGWKHQRSHUDWHLWHIFLHQWO\
Civil unrest
6KRUW RI D FRPPXQLW\ EHLQJ LQ D VWDWH RI ZDU ULRWV DQG
WHUURULVP DUH WKH WZR PRVW GUDPDWLF H[DPSOHV RI FLYLO
XQUHVW &LYLO XQUHVW FDQ DIIHFW SURMHFWV WKURXJK GHVWUXFWLRQ
RIDVVHWVUHGXFWLRQLQLQSXWVLQFOXGLQJODERXUGDPDJHWR
LQIUDVWUXFWXUH LQVWLWXWLRQDO DQG UHJXODWRU\ IUDPHZRUNV DQG
VLJQLFDQWUHGXFWLRQVLQGHPDQG
Labour relations
/DERXU UHODWLRQV DGGUHVV WKH PHQWDO DQG SK\VLFDO VWDWH RI
WKHZRUNIRUFH7KHODERXUIRUFHFDQEHDYDLODEOHDQGZLOOLQJ
WR ZRUN RU LW FDQ EH GLVHQIUDQFKLVHG DQG SURQH WR VWULNHV
RU ZRUN VWRSSDJHV /DERXU IRUFHV FDQ EH RUJDQLVHG DQG LQ
VRPH LQVWDQFHV SROLWLFLVHG WR FDSWXUH PD[LPXP GLVUXSWLYH
LPSDFW 0DQ\ IDFWRUV GHWHUPLQH WKH TXDOLW\ DQG HIFLHQF\
RIWKHODERXUIRUFHDQGWKH\LQFOXGHDPRQJRWKHUVKHDOWK
HGXFDWLRQWUDLQLQJVSHFLDOVNLOOVDQGORFDOVRFLHWDOFXVWRPV
7KH GHPRJUDSKLFV RI D FRPPXQLW\ PD\ FKDQJH ZLWKLQ WKH
OLIHWLPHRIDORQJOLIHPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQDQGDVVHVVPHQWRIWKLV
DVSHFW IRUPV RQH SDUW RI DSSUDLVLQJ WKH IXWXUH ULVNV LQ WKLV
FDWHJRU\
Resource nationalism
5HVRXUFH QDWLRQDOLVP KDV JURZQ LQ XVDJH LQ UHFHQW \HDUV
ZLWKLQ WKH PLQHUDOV VHFWRU DQG UHHFWV D WUHQG WRZDUGV
HYHU JUHDWHU QDWLRQDO JRYHUQPHQW LQYROYHPHQW DZDUHQHVV
DQG HFRQRPLF UHQWVHHNLQJ EHKDYLRXU LQ UHVSHFW RI PLQHUDO
SURMHFWGHYHORSPHQWVDQGH[LVWLQJPLQHV7KHWUHQGWRZDUGV
UHVRXUFH QDWLRQDOLVP LV PRVW DFXWH ZKHQ FRPPRGLW\ SULFHV
VLWDERYHKLVWRULFDOOHYHOV
7KHWHUPUHVRXUFHQDWLRQDOLVPVWLOOUHPDLQVORRVHO\GHQHG
ZLWK LWV JHQHUDO XVH HQFRPSDVVLQJ WKH P\ULDG RI VLWXDWLRQV
ZKHUHJRYHUQPHQWVDLPWRDVVHUWLQFUHDVHGFRQWUROVRYHUWKH
QDWXUDOUHVRXUFHVORFDWHGLQWKHLUWHUULWRULHVYLDQHZSROLFLHV
DPHQGPHQWVLQFUHDVHVWRUR\DOW\OHYHOVPLQHUDOVWD[HVDQG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
609
RWKHUEXVLQHVVLPSRVWVWKHUHE\SODFLQJDODUJHUFRVWEXUGHQ
RQPLQLQJDQGPHWDOVFRPSDQLHVDQGLQVRGRLQJLQFUHDVLQJ
WKHHFRQRPLFULVNVWRORQJWHUPPLQHUDOSURMHFWSURWDELOLW\
DGDSWHG IURP (UQVW <RXQJ 7KH LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ
RIYDULRXVPHDVXUHVWKDWFRQVWLWXWHDVKLIWWRZDUGVUHVRXUFH
QDWLRQDOLVP LV W\SLFDOO\ H[SUHVVHG DV EHLQJ LQ WKH QDWLRQDO
LQWHUHVW E\ WKRVH JRYHUQPHQWV WDNLQJ VXFK DFWLRQV 6XFK DQ
H[SODQDWLRQIRUDFWLRQVRQWKHSDUWRIJRYHUQPHQWVLVWDUJHWHG
DWLQWHUQDWLRQDOODZZKHUHDVRYHUHLJQVWDWHVHHNVWRH[SODLQ
LWVDFWLRQVDVEHLQJIRUDSXEOLFSXUSRVH
7KHFRPSOHWHH[SURSULDWLRQRULQGLJHQLVDWLRQRIDPLQHRU
PLQHUDO SURMHFW E\ D JRYHUQPHQW LV FRQVLGHUHG WKH H[WUHPH
FDVH RI UHVRXUFH QDWLRQDOLVP WKRXJK PRUH FRPPRQO\
JRYHUQPHQWV VHHN VRPHWLPHV IUHH FDUULHG PDMRULW\ RU
PLQRULW\ VWDNHV LQ PLQH SURMHFWV IRU HLWKHU WKHPVHOYHV RU
UHSUHVHQWDWLYH QDWLYH SHRSOH ZKLFK LQ WXUQ VXEVWDQWLDOO\
DOWHUVWKHHFRQRPLFVRIDSURMHFW$IWHUDSHULRGRISULYDWLVDWLRQ
LQWKHODVWWZRGHFDGHVRIWKHWKFHQWXU\VWDWHRZQHUVKLSRI
PLQLQJFRPSDQLHVLVQRZEHJLQQLQJWRLQFUHDVHDJDLQ5DZ
0DWHULDOV *URXS DQG WKH :RUOG %DQN SDUWLFXODUO\ LQ
6RXWK$PHULFDDQG$IULFDWKXVIRUHLJQLQYHVWRUVZLOOKDYHWR
ZRUNZLWKRUDWWKHYHU\OHDVWFRPSHWHZLWKVWDWHFRUSRUDWLRQV
IXUWKHUFRPSOLFDWLQJH[SORUDWLRQGHYHORSPHQWDQGPLQLQJ
,QGHHG VWDWH FRPSDQLHV QR ORQJHU MXVW IRFXV RQ WKHLU RZQ
FRXQWULHVZLWKVWDWHDQGTXDVLVWDWHHQWHUSULVHVWDNLQJVWDNHV
RUHYHQIXOORZQHUVKLSRIPLQHVDQGPLQHSURMHFWVLQIRUHLJQ
MXULVGLFWLRQV&KLQDLVSHUKDSVWKHODUJHVWSOD\HULQWKLVUHJDUG
ZLWK VLJQLFDQW LQYHVWPHQWV LQ $IULFD 6RXWK $PHULFD $VLD
DQG $XVWUDOLD 5DZ 0DWHULDOV *URXS DQG WKH :RUOG %DQN
/LQ et al-DSDQDOVRKDVDORQJKLVWRU\RIRYHUVHDV
VWDWH LQWHUHVWV -2*0(& 1LVKLNDZD ZKLOVW
6RXWK .RUHD DOVR VHHPV WR EH IROORZLQJ WKLV SDWK .25(6
,QRXH DQG 5HJDQ )UHQFK 9LOMRHQ
(YHQ 3ROLVK VWDWH PLQHU .*+0 KDV PDGH LQYHVWPHQWV LQ
&DQDGLDQPLQLQJFRPSDQLHV&LHQVNL$JDLQLWLVQRW
FOHDU KRZ WKLV LQFUHDVHG IRUHLJQ VWDWH RZQHUVKLS DIIHFWV WKH
ULVNSUROHRIPLQHSURMHFWLQYHVWPHQWEXWDWWKHYHU\OHDVW
LW EULQJV IXUWKHU FRPSHWLWRUV DQG FRPSDQLHV ZLWK GLIIHUHQW
UXOHVPRGHVRIRSHUDWLRQDQGVWUDWHJLFDLPV
5HVRXUFH QDWLRQDOLVP LQ UHFHQW \HDUV KDV SUHGRPLQDQWO\
FRPHIURP6RXWK$PHULFDDQG$IULFD5DZ0DWHULDOV*URXS
DQGWKH:RUOG%DQN/RRNLQJIRUZDUGKRZHYHUZLWK
WKHULVHRIWKHFRQFHSWRIVWUDWHJLFDQGFULWLFDOPLQHUDOVLQ
WKH OLEHUDO :HVWHUQ HFRQRPLHV 86 'HSDUWPHQW RI (QHUJ\
(XURSHDQ &RPPLVVLRQ DQG &KLQD WKHUH DUH
DOVR SROLWLFDO FDOOV IRU JUHDWHU UHVRXUFH QDWLRQDOLVP LQ
WKHVH FRXQWULHV 7KHVH SRWHQWLDO GHYHORSPHQWV LOOXVWUDWH
WKH FRQVWDQWO\ FKDQJLQJ JHRJUDSKLF ULVN SUROH IDFHG E\
LQWHUQDWLRQDO FRPSDQLHV VHHNLQJ WR LQYHVW LQ WKH PLQHUDOV
VHFWRU 5XVVLD JRHV DV IDU DV WR VHW WKUHVKROG VL]HV IRU PRVW
PLQHUDO GHSRVLW W\SHV DERYH ZKLFK WKH GHSRVLW LV GHHPHG
VWUDWHJLF DQG IRUHLJQ RZQHUVKLS LV IRUFLEO\ UHVWULFWHG WR
VPDOOPLQRULW\LQWHUHVWV.LQJDQG6SDOGLQJ
TABLE 2
Summary of the Fraser Institute annual survey of mining (data: Fraser Institute, 2012).
Rank
Country
Policy potential
Administration
certainty (%)
Political stability
(%)
Low corruption
(%)
Mining certainty
(%)
New Brunswick
95.0
31
43
77
69
41
Finland
92.4
37
44
65
79
41
Alberta
91.5
40
52
72
67
41
Wyoming
89.6
41
42
58
72
37
Quebec
89.0
48
41
60
59
30
89
India
12.4
14
90
Venezuela
10.9
91
Bolivia
8.1
10
92
Guatemala
2.9
93
Honduras
1.7
610
Non-Technical Risks and Their Impact on the Mining Industry|A Trench, D Packey and J P Sykes
7KHVXUYH\LVPDGHXSRIRSLQLRQVRQZKHWKHUGLIIHUHQW
IDFWRUVHQFRXUDJHRUGLVFRXUDJHLQYHVWPHQWRQDVFDOHRIRQH
WR YH ,W DOVR EUHDNV GRZQ LPSRUWDQW PLQLQJ MXULVGLFWLRQV
VXFKDV$XVWUDOLD&DQDGD$UJHQWLQDDQGWKH86$E\VWDWH
WHUULWRU\ SURYLGLQJ IXUWKHU JUDQXODULW\ RQ WKHVH UHJLRQV
7KHVXUYH\LVWRRFRPSUHKHQVLYHWRLQFOXGHKHUHVRVHOHFWHG
KLJKOLJKWV RI WKH YH EHVW DQG ZRUVW UHJLRQV EDVHG RQ
SROLF\ SRWHQWLDO DORQJ ZLWK WKH SHUFHQWDJH RI UHVSRQGHQWV
VD\LQJWKDWDIDFWRUHQFRXUDJHGLQYHVWPHQWLQWKHUHJLRQDUH
LQFOXGHG7KHNH\IDFWRUVRIFHUWDLQW\DURXQGDGPLQLVWUDWLRQ
ORZ WUDGH EDUULHUV SROLWLFDO VWDELOLW\ ORZ FRUUXSWLRQ DQG
FHUWDLQW\ DURXQG PLQLQJ SROLF\ KDYH EHHQ VHOHFWHG DV WKHVH
DUHPXFKGLVFXVVHGHOVHZKHUHLQWKHSDSHU
,W LV FOHDU IURP MXVW WKLV VDPSOH RI GDWD WKDW D QXPEHU RI
&DQDGDV SURYLQFHV KDYH VHW XS D SURPLQLQJ HQYLURQPHQW
DORQJ ZLWK )LQODQG DQG WKH VWDWH RI :\RPLQJ 7KLV LV LQ
OLQHZLWKWKHVXUYH\DVDZKROHZKHUHWKHWRSUDQNLQJVDUH
GRPLQDWHG E\ D VHOHFW JURXS RI &DQDGLDQ SURYLQFHV 86
VWDWHV DQG 6FDQGLQDYLDQ FRXQWULHV $W WKH RWKHU HQG RI WKH
WDEOHLWLVFOHDUWKDW&HQWUDO$PHULFDDQGWKHQRUWKHUQSDUWV
RI6RXWK$PHULFDDUHSURYLQJDSDUWLFXODUO\GLIFXOWIRUWKH
PLQLQJVHFWRUWRRSHUDWH,QGHHGWKHVXUYH\LQFOXGHVTXRWHV
IURPUHVSRQGHQWVDQGDQXPEHURIWKHVHPDNHIRULQWHUHVWLQJ
UHDGLQJZKHQGLVFXVVLQJWKLVSDUWRIWKHZRUOG
,Q RUGHU WR REWDLQ DGGLWLRQDO GHWDLO DERXW VSHFLF DUHDV
ZLWKLQWKHFDWHJRULHVHJLQIRUPDWLRQRQHGXFDWLRQVHSDUDWHG
RXW IURP LQIRUPDWLRQ RQ URDGV LQ LQIUDVWUXFWXUH DQRWKHU
VRXUFHLVUHTXLUHG7KH:RUOG(FRQRPLF)RUXPSXEOLVKHVWKH
*OREDO &RPSHWLWLYHQHVV 5HSRUW *&5 6FKZDE 7KH
UHSRUWLVIUHHO\DYDLODEOHRQOLQHDQGSUHVHQWVWKHLQIRUPDWLRQ
E\ FDWHJRU\ DQG E\ FRXQWU\ ZLWK GLIIHUHQW GDWD SRLQWV
IRUHDFKFRXQWU\7KLVFDQEHXVHIXOLIDSDUWLFXODUDUHDQRW
FRYHUHG LQ RWKHU UHSRUWV LV WKH SULPH DUHD RI LQWHUHVW RU LI
PRUH GHWDLOHG LQIRUPDWLRQ DERXW D SDUWLFXODU FRXQWU\ LV
UHTXLUHG*&5LVEDVHGRQWKHRUHWLFDODQGHPSLULFDOUHVHDUFK
FRPELQLQJ H[HFXWLYH RSLQLRQ VXUYH\ LQIRUPDWLRQ DQG
SXEOLFDOO\ DYDLODEOH VRXUFHV 7KH UHSRUW GUDZV IURP RYHU
SDUWQHULQVWLWXWLRQVIURPFRXQWULHV7KH*&5XVHV
SLOODUVLQLWVDQDO\VLVZKLFKDUH
LQVWLWXWLRQV
LQIUDVWUXFWXUH
PDFURHFRQRPLFV
KHDOWKDQGSULPDU\HGXFDWLRQ
KLJKHUHGXFDWLRQDQGWUDLQLQJ
JRRGVPDUNHWV
ODERXUPDUNHWV
QDQFLDOPDUNHWV
DELOLW\WRKDUQHVVH[LVWLQJWHFKQRORJLHV
PDUNHWVL]H
VRSKLVWLFDWLRQLQSURGXFWLRQSURFHVV
LQQRYDWLRQ
(DFKSLOODUKDVDQXPEHURIIDFWRUVWKDWGHWHUPLQHLWVYDOXH
7KHUHSRUWLVSDJHVORQJDQGVRLWLVQRWSUDFWLFDOWRGHWDLO
WKHFRQWHQWRIWKHIXOOUHSRUWKHUH2QO\RQHFRXQWU\$XVWUDOLD
DQGWKUHHDUHDVRILQWHUHVWLQ7DEOHVDUHUHSURGXFHG
KHUH 7KH DUHDV RI LQWHUHVW DOO FRPH IURP WKH LQVWLWXWLRQV
SLOODU EHFDXVH WKDW FRYHUV D VLJQLFDQW SRUWLRQ RI WKH PDLQ
FRQFHUQV RI WKH PLQHUDO VHFWRU HJ SURSHUW\ ULJKWV LUUHJXODU
SD\PHQWVDQGEULEHVDQGEXUGHQRIJRYHUQPHQWDOUHJXODWLRQ
DFFRUGLQJWRWKH0XOWLODWHUDO,QYHVWPHQW*XDUDQWHH$JHQF\
(0,*$ DQG WKH ODUJH QXPEHU RI SHRSOH ZKR DVN WKH
DXWKRUVDERXWWKHP
7KH *&5 JLYHV WKH PDMRU SUREOHP DUHDV RI ZRUNLQJ LQ
$XVWUDOLD DQG WKH SHUFHQWDJH RI H[HFXWLYHV WKDW KHOG WKDW
EHOLHI7DEOHLQGLFDWHVWKDWWKHQXPEHURQHSUREOHPDUHDIRU
GRLQJEXVLQHVVLQ$XVWUDOLDLVUHVWULFWLYHODERXUUHJXODWLRQV
$SSUR[LPDWHO\ per centRIWKHUHVSRQGHQWVEHOLHYHGWKLV
ZKLFKKDVLQFUHDVHGIURP per centLQODVW\HDUVUHSRUW
6FKZDE
1H[W WKH JOREDO FRPSHWLWLYHQHVV IDFWRUV IRU $XVWUDOLD DUH
FRQVLGHUHG HJ SURSHUW\ ULJKWV LQIUDVWUXFWXUH LUUHJXODU
SD\PHQWV DQG EULEHV FRRSHUDWLRQ LQ HPSOR\HUODERXU
UHODWLRQVEXVLQHVVFRVWRIFULPHDQGYLROHQFHDQGEXUGHQRI
JRYHUQPHQWDOUHJXODWLRQDQGUDQNLQJVDUHVKRZQUDQNLQJV
DUH IURP WR ZLWK EHLQJ WKH EHVW 7KHVH IDFWRUV DUH
FORVHO\UHODWHGWRWKHDUHDVGHVFULEHGDVFRXQWU\ULVNQDPHO\
ODQG FODLPV LQIUDVWUXFWXUH FRUUXSWLRQ ODERXU UHODWLRQV
VRFLDOXQUHVWUHGWDSHVRYHUHLJQULVNDQGSROLWLFDOULVN7KHVH
ULVNDUHDVDUHGXO\UHSUHVHQWHGDVIDFWRUVLQWKHYDULRXVSLOODU
FDWHJRULHV ,Q 7DEOH WKH FRUUHVSRQGLQJ SLOODU LV WKH UVW
TABLE 3
The most problematic factors for doing business in Australia
(data: World Economic Forum, 2013).
Factor
20.3
14.0
Tax rates
9.8
Tax regulations
9.4
Access to financing
9.0
8.6
Policy instability
6.5
5.4
5.1
5.1
2.9
Government instability/coups
2.1
Inflation
1.8
0.1
Corruption
0.0
0.0
TABLE 4
Selected global competitiveness data for Australia
(data: World Economic Forum, 2013).
Indicator
Selected factor
Rank /144
1.01
Property rights
25
1.05
20
1.09
96
1.14
25
2.01
36
3.05
10
6.09
6.12
42
7.01
67
611
QXPEHURIFROXPQHJUHSUHVHQWVWKHLQVWLWXWLRQDOSLOODU
ZKLOH GHDOV ZLWK WKH ODERXU PDUNHW SLOODU ,W FDQ EH VHHQ
WKDW IRU H[DPSOH LQ WHUPV RI FRXQWU\ FUHGLW UDWLQJ YHU\
VLPLODUWRWKHRULJLQDOLGHDRIVRYHUHLJQULVN$XVWUDOLDUDQNV
WHQWKLQWKHZRUOG
TABLE 7
Global competitiveness report burden of government regulation
(data: World Economic Forum, 2013).
Rank
Country
Score / 7
Singapore
5.6
Rwanda
5.3
Qatar
5.1
5.0
4.8
140
Algeria
2.3
2QWKHWRSLFRILUUHJXODUSD\PHQWVDQGEULEHVSUHVHQWHGLQ
7DEOH1HZ=HDODQGKDVWKHOHDVWDPRXQWDQG%DQJODGHVK
KDVWKHPRVW
141
Greece
2.2
142
Italy
2.1
143
Venezuela
2.1
144
Brazil
2.0
TABLE 5
Global competitiveness report property rights
(data: World Economic Forum, 2013).
Rank
Country
Score / 7
Finland
6.5
Switzerland
6.4
Singapore
6.4
Luxembourg
6.2
United Kingdom
6.2
140
Algeria
2.5
141
Burundi
2.4
142
Kyrgyz Republic
2.4
143
Haiti
2.1
144
Venezuela
1.8
TABLE 6
Global competitiveness report irregular payments and bribes
(data: World Economic Forum, 2013).
Rank
Country
Score / 7
New Zealand
6.7
Finland
6.6
Singapore
6.6
Denmark
6.4
Iceland
6.4
140
Burundi
2.3
141
Chad
2.3
142
Guinea
2.3
143
Bolivia
2.3
144
Bangladesh
2.2
612
Non-Technical Risks and Their Impact on the Mining Industry|A Trench, D Packey and J P Sykes
KHGJLQJLVDPHDQVWRPLWLJDWHFRPPRGLW\SULFHULVNZLWK
KHGJLQJWKURXJKIRUZDUGVDOHVFRQWUDFWVDQGRUFRPPRGLW\
GHULYDWLYHV W\SLFDOO\ DYDLODEOH IRU H[FKDQJH WUDGHG PHWDOV
&RPPRGLWLHV IRUZDUG VDOHV FDQ EH FRQVLGHUHG D IRUP
RI FHUWDLQW\ HTXLYDOHQW *XM WKHUHE\ PLWLJDWLQJ
YRODWLOLW\UHODWHGFRPPRGLW\SULFHULVN
7KHGLUHFWRUVRIPLQLQJFRPSDQLHVQHHGWREHDZDUHRIWKH
OHYHO RI H[SRVXUH RI WKH FRPSDQ\ WR FRPPRGLW\ SULFH ULVN
,QWKLVUHJDUGGLUHFWRUVKDYHFKRLFHVZLWKWKHH[FHSWLRQRI
RFFDVLRQVZKHUHDFRPSDQ\LVLQQDQFLDOGLVWUHVVDQGVXFK
FKRLFHVDUHVHYHUHO\UHVWULFWHG2QWKHRQHKDQGWKH\FRXOG
DFWWRORFNLQDFRPPRGLW\SULFHLQWRWKHIXWXUHWRUHPRYHWKH
ULVNWKDWLVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKDGYHUVHSULFHPRYHPHQWVQRWLQJ
KRZHYHUWKDWVXFKORFNLQJLQRIDIXWXUHUHYHQXHVWUHDPGRHV
QRWPLWLJDWHWKHULVNRIIXWXUHULVHVLQWKHFRVWRISURGXFWLRQ
)XUWKHUPRUHHYHQXVLQJVXFKKHGJLQJPHFKDQLVPVDV]HUR
FRVW FROODUV D FRPELQDWLRQ RI SXW DQG FDOO RSWLRQV RYHU
IXWXUH FRPPRGLW\ VDOHV LQFXU D OHYHO RI WUDQVDFWLRQ FRVWV
WR LPSOHPHQW DQG OLNHZLVH D OHYHO RI WUDQVDFWLRQ FRVWV WR
UHPRYHVKRXOGDODWHUFKRLFHEHPDGHWRGRVR&RQYHUVHO\
WKHGLUHFWRUVRIDFRPSDQ\PD\FKRRVHWROHDYHWKHFRPSDQ\
H[SRVHG WR FRPPRGLW\SULFH ULVN WKHUHE\ GHHPLQJDIDOOLQ
FRPPRGLW\ SULFHV WR EH DQ DFFHSWDEOH ULVN WR WKH FRPSDQ\
DQG LWV VKDUHKROGHUV LQ RUGHU WR SUHVHUYH IXOO H[SRVXUH WR D
SRWHQWLDO IXWXUH ULVH LQ FRPPRGLW\ SULFHV $V QRWHG DERYH
WKH FKRLFHV DYDLODEOH WR D FRPSDQ\ ZLOO EH OLPLWHG ZKHUH
WKH QDQFLDO SRVLWLRQ RI WKH FRPSDQ\ LV ZHDN DQGRU WKH
RSHUDWLRQDOSHUIRUPDQFHSRRU,QVXFKFDVHVFRXQWHUSDUWLHV
PD\EHXQZLOOLQJWRHQWHULQWRKHGJLQJFRQWUDFWVGXHWRWKH
ULVNRIGHIDXOWRQWKHSDUWRIWKHFRPSDQ\
1RWHWKDWWKHUHLVQRRQHVL]HWVDOOFRUUHFWDQVZHUWRWKH
PDQDJHPHQW RI FRPPRGLW\ SULFH ULVN $ GHFLVLRQ GHHPHG
RSWLPXPE\DFRPSDQ\ZLOOYDU\IURPFRPSDQ\WRFRPSDQ\
GHSHQGLQJ RQ LWV PLQLQJ DVVHWV QDQFLDO FDSDFLW\ RWKHU
QDQFLDOFRPPLWPHQWVDQGWKHULVNWROHUDQFHRIWKHFRPSDQ\
LWVHOIDQGRILWVVKDUHKROGHUV
5XVVR QRWHV WKDW XQKHGJHG DQG QR GHEW LV D
FRPPRQSUHYDLOLQJFRPPRGLW\SULFHVWUDWHJ\GHVSLWHUHFHQW
KLVWRULFDOOHVVRQVIURPWKHLPSDFWRIIDOOLQJFRPPRGLW\SULFHV
GXULQJWKHGHSWKVRIWKHJOREDOQDQFLDOFULVLVWKDW
OHIW PDQ\ FRPSDQLHV VHYHUHO\ H[SRVHG 5XVVR QRWHV WKDW LQ
WKHODWHVDQGHDUO\VRQHPLQHFRPSDQLHVJUHZLQWR
PLQLQJ KRXVHV XVLQJ SUXGHQW KHGJLQJ DQG WKH FHUWDLQW\ LW
EURXJKWZKHQDFFRPSDQLHGE\VHQVLEOHOHYHOVRIJHDULQJ
7KH XOWLPDWH DLP RI LQFRUSRUDWLQJ KHGJLQJ RI FRPPRGLW\
SULFHV LQWR ULVN PDQDJHPHQW DQG IXQGLQJ VWUDWHJLHV LV WR
GHOLYHUFRQGHQFHLQFDVKJHQHUDWLRQDQGSURWHFWLRQDJDLQVW
DSXOOEDFNLQFRPPRGLW\SULFHVZLWKRXWQHFHVVDULO\JLYLQJ
XS WKH XSVLGH WKURXJK LQFOXVLRQ RI FRPPRGLW\ GHULYDWLYHV
LQWR KHGJLQJ VWUDWHJLHV :KHQ H[HFXWHG ZHOO VXFK KHGJLQJ
VWUDWHJLHV FDQ PLQLPLVH HTXLW\ GLOXWLRQ WR D FRPSDQ\V
VKDUHKROGHUV
EH UHIHUUHG WR DV FRQVHQVXV IRUHFDVWV DOWKRXJK WKHUH LV QR
VWULFW GHQLWLRQ RI FRQVHQVXV LQ WKLV FRQWH[W VR SHUKDSV
DYHUDJHG IRUHFDVW PLJKW EH D PRUH GHVFULSWLYH WHUP IRU WKH
SURFHVV &RPSDQLHV HLWKHU FKRRVH WR XVH FRPPRGLW\ SULFH
IRUHFDVWV RI D SUHIHUUHG SURYLGHU WKH FRQVHQVXV IRUHFDVW
QXPEHUV SUHYDLOLQJ VSRW SULFHV RU KLVWRULFDO DYHUDJH SULFH
LQIRUPDWLRQ RQ RFFDVLRQV ZKHQ VHOHFWLQJ D PHWDO SULFH IRU
YDULRXV EXVLQHVV SXUSRVHV 7KH OLVWLQJ UXOHV RI SDUWLFXODU
H[FKDQJHVDQGWKHSUHIHUHQFHVRIWKHGHEWSURYLGHULQFDVHV
ZKHUH SURMHFW QDQFLQJ LV VRXJKW ZLOO LQXHQFH WKH FKRLFH
7\SLFDOO\ WKH LPSDFW RI SRWHQWLDO FKDQJHV RQ WKH FDVK RZ
SUROHRIDFRPSDQ\ZLOOEHPRGHOOHGSUHVHQWHGWRWKHERDUG
DQGFKRLFHVPDGHLQUHVSHFWRIZKHWKHUWRHQWHULQWRKHGJLQJ
FRQWUDFWV WR PLWLJDWH ULVN RU HOVH WR DOORZ IXOO H[SRVXUH WR
FRPPRGLW\SULFHXSVLGHDQGGRZQVLGH
'HEW SURYLGHUV PD\ UHTXLUH D OHYHO RI FRPPRGLW\ SULFH
SURWHFWLRQ SXW LQ SODFH E\ D FRPSDQ\ ZKHQ QDQFLQJ QHZ
SURMHFWV *XM DQG 7UHQFK ,Q GRLQJ VR FRQVHUYDWLYH
FRPPRGLW\ SULFH IRUHFDVWV EHORZ FRQVHQVXV OHYHOV ZLOO EH
XVHG WR VWUHVVWHVW WKH QDQFLDO VWUHQJWK RI D SURMHFW RIWHQ
FRXSOHG ZLWK WKH XVH RI HOHYDWHG GLVFRXQW UDWHV WR FDVK
RZVDLPHGDWLQFRUSRUDWLQJDOHYHORIFRXQWU\ULVNLQWRWKH
QDQFLDO VFHQDULRV 3URMHFWV LQ FRXQWULHV FRQVLGHUHG KLJKHU
ULVN ZLOO EH VXEMHFWHG WR KLJKHU GLVFRXQW UDWHV DQ H[DPSOH
RIZKHUHWHFKQLFDOULVNVDQGQRQWHFKQLFDOULVNVPHHWLQWKH
DVVHVVPHQWRIPLQLQJSURMHFWV*XM
613
FIG 2 - Change in risk type through the mine project development stages
(adapted from Trench and Packey, 2012).
LQ PLQHUDO SURFHVVLQJ UDWKHU WKDQ LQ JHRORJLFDO GHQLWLRQ
7HFKQLFDO ULVNV GLPLQLVK DV GHWDLOHG JHRORJLFDO PLQLQJ
DQG PHWDOOXUJLFDO LQIRUPDWLRQ LV DVVHVVHG OHDGLQJ WR WKH
GHFODUDWLRQ RI DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH )LQDOO\ IROORZLQJ SURMHFW
FRQVWUXFWLRQWKHWHFKQLFDOULVNVDJDLQGLPLQLVKDVWKHPLQLQJ
SURMHFWLVRSHUDWHGVXFFHVVIXOO\
7KH FRUSRUDWH QRQWHFKQLFDO ULVN WUDMHFWRU\ RI D PLQHUDO
SURMHFWWUDFHVRXWDGLIIHUHQWSDWKWRWHFKQLFDOULVN&RUSRUDWH
ULVN KHUH UHIHUV WR WKH SRWHQWLDO IRU LQYHVWRUV WR ORVH WKHLU
LQYHVWPHQWVKRXOGWKHFRPSDQ\VQDQFLDOVLWXDWLRQZRUVHQ
WRWKHSRLQWLWLVXQDEOHWRFRQWLQXHWUDGLQJDVDJRLQJFRQFHUQ
DVGHPRQVWUDWHGLQ)LJXUH
FIG 3 - Interaction of corporate risk and going concern risk (adapted from
Trench and Packey, 2012).
7KHLQWHUSOD\RIWHFKQLFDOULVNZLWKFRUSRUDWHULVNRUJRLQJ
FRQFHUQ ULVN LV DQ LQWHUHVWLQJ RQH ZLWK WKH UHODWLYH OHYHOV
RIHDFKULVNW\SHFKDQJLQJDVDFRPSDQ\SURJUHVVHVWKURXJK
WKH PLQLQJ F\FOH IURP H[SORUDWLRQ WR SURMHFW GHYHORSPHQW
FRQVWUXFWLRQ WKH LQLWLDO UDPSXS RI WKH PLQH DQG WKHQ
DFKLHYHPHQWRIGHVLJQOHYHOSURGXFWLRQ7UHQFKDQG3DFNH\
DVGHPRQVWUDWHGLQ)LJXUH8OWLPDWHO\JRLQJFRQFHUQ
ULVNUHSUHVHQWVDFRPELQDWLRQRIRWKHUULVNVZKHUHWKHURRW
FDXVHVPD\EHHLWKHUWHFKQLFDORUQRQWHFKQLFDO
7HFKQLFDOULVNWKDWLVULVNRULJLQDWLQJIURPWKHJHRORJLFDO
HQJLQHHULQJ DQG PHWDOOXUJLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV WKDW DUH
VSHFLF WR WKH PLQHUDO SURMHFW GLPLQLVKHV DV D FRPSDQ\
SURJUHVVHV WKH SURMHFW IURP HDUO\VWDJH H[SORUDWLRQ ZKHQ
WKHUH LV DQ H[WUHPHO\ KLJK WHFKQLFDO ULVN RI IDLOXUH WKURXJK
WR WKH GHOLQHDWLRQ RI D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH DQG WKHQ DQ 2UH
5HVHUYH ,Q GHWDLO WKH WUDMHFWRU\ RI ULVN ZLOO YDU\ IURP
SURMHFW WR SURMHFW DQG DOVR IURP FRPPRGLW\ WR FRPPRGLW\
HJ IRU VRPH FRPPRGLWLHV WKH SULQFLSDO WHFKQLFDO ULVNV OLH
614
Non-Technical Risks and Their Impact on the Mining Industry|A Trench, D Packey and J P Sykes
FRVWV HVFDODWH WKH YHU\ IXWXUH RI WKH FRPSDQ\ LV SODFHG DW
ULVN $ FRPSDQ\ PD\ H[KDXVW DOO FRQWLQJHQF\ IXQGV LQ WKH
SURMHFW EXGJHW DQG IDFH H[WLQFWLRQ RU DW EHVW DQ HPHUJHQF\
UHQDQFLQJZKLFKZLOOW\SLFDOO\WDNHSODFHDWDIDUORZHUSULFH
WKDQWKHLQLWLDOSURMHFWIXQGLQJURXQGLIWKLVLQFOXGHVHTXLW\
2QFH FDVK RZV DFFUXH IURP SURGXFWLRQ UDPSXS WKH
FRUSRUDWH ULVN OHYHO SURJUHVVLYHO\ UHGXFHV PLWLJDWHG E\
WKH JURZWK LQ FDVK UHVHUYHV DQG FRQVHTXHQW UHGXFWLRQ LQ
SURMHFWUHODWHGGHEW,WDOVRIROORZVIURPWKLVGLVFXVVLRQWKDW
FRUSRUDWHULVNLVSDUWLFXODUO\DFXWHIRUWKRVHFRPSDQLHVWKDW
KDYH D VLQJOH GHYHORSPHQW DVVHW FRPSULVLQJ WKH PDMRULW\
RI WKHLU FRUSRUDWH YDOXH KHUH WHUPHG SULQFLSDO DVVHW ULVN
'LYHUVLFDWLRQRIDVVHWVWKHUHIRUHKHOSVWRPLWLJDWHSULQFLSDO
DVVHW ULVN DQG GLPLQLVK WKH LPSDFW RI WHFKQLFDO DQG QRQ
WHFKQLFDOULVNVUHODWHGWRDVLQJOHDVVHWRQFRUSRUDWHULVN
ZKLOHWKHUHVSHFWLYHOLVWLQJERGLHVPRQLWRUFRPSOLDQFHZLWK
OLVWLQJ UXOHV SULQFLSDOO\ WKH $XVWUDOLDQ 6HFXULWLHV ([FKDQJH
$6;LQWKHFDVHRI$XVWUDOLDQOLVWHGSXEOLFFRPSDQLHV
0DLQWDLQLQJ DSSURSULDWH HWKLFDO EXVLQHVV FRQGXFW E\
SURIHVVLRQDOV LQ WKH PLQHUDOV LQGXVWU\ LV DVVLVWHG E\
SURIHVVLRQDOFRGHVRISUDFWLFHVXFKDVWKRVHRIWKH$XV,00
0HPEHUVRIWKH$XV,00DUHUHTXLUHGWRDGKHUHWRWKH&RGH
RI(WKLFVDQGRWKHUWHFKQLFDOFRGHVFRYHULQJVSHFLFDVSHFWV
RI PLQHUDOV VHFWRU DFWLYLW\ QDPHO\ WKH -25& &RGH WKH
9$/0,1 &RGH *XLGHOLQHV IRU 7HFKQLFDO $VVHVVPHQW DQG
RU 9DOXDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO DQG 3HWUROHXP $VVHWV DQG 0LQHUDO
DQG 3HWUROHXP 6HFXULWLHV IRU ,QGHSHQGHQW ([SHUW 5HSRUWV
DQGWKH$XV,00&RGHIRU&RQVXOWDQWV
/HJDO VHFXULW\ RI ODQG WHQXUH LV D EXVLQHVV ULVN WKDW LV LQ
SDUWVSHFLFWRWKHPLQHUDOVVHFWRU,QWKHFRXQWU\ULVNVHFWLRQ
DERYHDVSHFWVRIFRPSHWLQJODQGFODLPVZLWKWKHIRFXVDWWKH
OHYHO RI MXULVGLFWLRQDO PLQLQJ ODZ ZDV GHDOW ZLWK 'LVSXWHV
RYHUFODLPVWROHJDOPLQHUDOWLWOHVDUHGHDOWZLWKWKURXJKWKH
YDULRXVPLQLQJDFWVLQGLIIHUHQWMXULVGLFWLRQV-DKQ
CONCLUSIONS
0DQDJLQJ WKH RYHUDOO ULVN SUROH RI D PLQLQJ YHQWXUH
LQGHHGRIDPLQLQJFRPSDQ\UHTXLUHVERWKWKHUHFRJQLWLRQ
DQG PLWLJDWLRQ RI VDIHW\UHODWHG ULVNV RI ERWK WHFKQLFDO DQG
QRQWHFKQLFDO ULVNV ,Q WKH ODWWHU FDWHJRU\ RI ULVNV DUH WKRVH
WKDW UHODWH WR WKH FRXQWU\ RI RSHUDWLRQ HQFRPSDVVLQJ VXFK
LVVXHV DV ODQG DFFHVV FRGHV ODQG FODLPV EXUHDXFUDF\ UHG
WDSH HQYLURQPHQWDO ULVNV JUHHQ WDSH FRUUXSWLRQ VRFLDO
ULVN LQIUDVWUXFWXUH ULVN FLYLO XQUHVW QDWXUDO GLVDVWHU ULVN
ODERXU UHODWLRQV DQG UHVRXUFH QDWLRQDOLVP $ QXPEHU RI
UHJXODUO\XSGDWHGFRPSLODWLRQVRIFRXQWU\ULVNDUHDYDLODEOH
DVKLJKOHYHOJXLGHVWRWKHUHODWLYLW\RIFRXQWU\GHQRPLQDWHG
ULVNVEHWZHHQMXULVGLFWLRQVEXWWKHVHVKRXOGMXVWEHXVHGDVD
VWDUWLQJSRLQW&RPSDQLHVVKRXOGGHYHORSWKLVPHWKRGRORJ\
IXUWKHU WR WDNH LQWR DFFRXQW WKHLU VSHFLF VLWXDWLRQ DQG WU\
WRTXDQWLI\DQGYDOXHWKHDFWXDOOHYHORIULVNWKH\DUHIDFLQJ
IURPQRQWHFKQLFDOULVN
2WKHUVRXUFHVRIQRQWHFKQLFDOULVNVSHUWLQHQWWRWKHPLQLQJ
VHFWRU DUH FRPPRGLW\ SULFH ULVN DQG H[FKDQJH UDWH ULVN
7KHQ WKHUH DUH DGGLWLRQDO FRPPHUFLDOOHYHO ULVNV FRPPRQ
WR DOO LQGXVWULHV 7KHVH ULVNV FRPELQH DW D FRUSRUDWLRQ OHYHO
LQWR JRLQJ FRQFHUQ FRUSRUDWH ULVN ZKHUH D FRPELQDWLRQ
RI XQSODQQHG RXWFRPHV WR ERWK WHFKQLFDO DQG QRQWHFKQLFDO
LVVXHV FRPELQH WR SODFH WKH H[LVWHQFH RI D PLQLQJ FRPSDQ\
DW ULVN *RLQJ FRQFHUQ ULVN LV KHLJKWHQHG ZKHQ D PLQLQJ
FRPSDQ\LVKDYLQJWRFRSHZLWKWKHRXWOD\VRIEXLOGLQJDQHZ
PLQHZLWKRXW\HWUHFHLYLQJUHYHQXHVIURPPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQV
:KHUH VXFK D PLQH LV WKH UVW RSHUDWLQJ DVVHW IRU D PLQLQJ
FRPSDQ\SULQFLSDODVVHWULVNLVDWLWVJUHDWHVW
$ QXPEHU RI SHUVRQDO SHUVSHFWLYHV RQ QRQWHFKQLFDO ULVN
LQ WKH PLQLQJ VHFWRU DUH JLYHQ EHORZ ,W LV KRSHG WKH\ ZLOO
SURPSW PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV WR WKLQN FDUHIXOO\ DERXW KRZ WR
DSSURDFK ERWK WKH DVVHVVPHQW DQG WKH PLWLJDWLRQ RI QRQ
WHFKQLFDOULVNV
615
616
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRUV WKDQN 3LHWUR *XM &HQWUH IRU ([SORUDWLRQ
7DUJHWLQJ IRU DVVLVWDQFH $OODQ 7UHQFK DFNQRZOHGJHV WKH
VXSSRUWRI&58*URXS
REFERENCES
$ERULJLQDO $IIDLUV DQG 1RUWKHUQ 'HYHORSPHQW &DQDGD
$ERULJLQDO$IIDLUVDQG1RUWKHUQ'HYHORSPHQW&DQDGD>RQOLQH@
$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZZZDDGQFDDQGFJFFD!>$FFHVVHG
0DUFK@
$JULFROD * De Re Metallica 7UDQVODWLRQ IURP WKH UVW /DWLQ
HGLWLRQ RI HGV + & +RRYHU DQG / + +RRYHU 'RYHU
3XEOLFDWLRQV1HZ<RUN
$RQ*URXS3ROLWLFDOULVNPDS>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOHIURPKWWS
ZZZDRQFRPDWWDFKPHQWVULVNVHUYLFHV3ROLWLFDO5LVN
0DSSGI!>$FFHVVHG)HEUXDU\@
%DULFK $ :RUOG ULVN VXUYH\ ODQG RI WKH PLGQLJKW VXQ ULVHV
DJDLQResourceStocks2FWREHUSS
%HKUH 'ROEHDU 5DQNLQJ RI FRXQWULHV IRU PLQLQJ LQYHVWPHQW
ZKHUHQRWWRLQYHVW
%HUQVWHLQ3/Against The Gods The Remarkable Story of Risk
-RKQ:LOH\DQG6RQV1HZ<RUN
%XUHDXRI(FRQRPLFDQG%XVLQHVV$IIDLUV,QYHVWPHQWFOLPDWH
VWDWHPHQW0DOD\VLD86'HSDUWPHQWRI6WDWH:DVKLQJWRQ
&DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP
6WDQGDUGVDQG*XLGHOLQHVIRU5HVHUYHVDQG5HVRXUFHV1DWLRQDO
,QVWUXPHQW >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZHEFLP
RUJVWDQGDUGV0HQX3DJHFIP"VHFWLRQV PHQX !
>$FFHVVHG0DUFK@
&DWWDQHR%$ERYHJURXQGULVNWLPHIRUPLQLQJWRJHWVHULRXV
DERXWSHUIRUPDQFHMineweb$XJXVW
&LHQVNL - 3RODQGV .*+0 VWHSV RQ WR ZRUOG VWDJH )LQDQFLDO
Times$SULO
(FRQRPLVW7KH([FHVVLYHUHJXODWLRQWDQJOHGXSLQJUHHQWDSH
The Economist)HEUXDU\
(UQVW <RXQJ 5HVRXUFH QDWLRQDOLVP WKH ULVH RI VSHFLDO
PLQLQJWD[HVZKDWDUHWKHDFFRXQWLQJLPSDFWV"(UQVW <RXQJ
/RQGRQ
(XURSHDQ&RPPLVVLRQ&ULWLFDOUDZPDWHULDOVIRUWKH(8UHSRUW
RIWKHDGKRFZRUNLQJJURXSRQGHQLQJFULWLFDOUDZPDWHULDOV
Non-Technical Risks and Their Impact on the Mining Industry|A Trench, D Packey and J P Sykes
5DZ0DWHULDOV*URXSDQGWKH:RUOG%DQNExtractive Industries
IRU 'HYHORSPHQW 6HULHV 2YHUYLHZ RI 6WDWH 2ZQHUVKLS LQ WKH
Global Minerals Industry 5DZ 0DWHULDOV *URXS DQG WKH :RUOG
%DQN6WRFNKROP
5XVVR63UHGLFWLQJUDLQGRHVQWFRXQWEXLOGLQJDUNVGRHVThe
AusIMM Melbourne Branch NewsletterYROXPH
6FKLSDQL $ 0LQLQJ $QGHDQ FRQFHVVLRQV )LQDQFLDO 7LPHV
)HEUXDU\
6FKZDE . 7KH *OREDO &RPSHWLWLYHQHVV 5HSRUW
:RUOG(FRQRPLF)RUXP*HQHYD
6FKZDE . 7KH *OREDO &RPSHWLWLYHQHVV 5HSRUW
:RUOG(FRQRPLF)RUXP*HQHYD
6FRWW % & DQG :KDWHOH\ 0 . * ,QWURGXFWLRQ WR PLQHUDO
H[SORUDWLRQLQ Project Evaluation HGV&-0RRQ0.*:KDWHOH\
DQG$0(YDQVSS%ODFNZHOO3XEOLVKLQJ2[IRUG
6LQJHU ' DQG 0HQ]LH : ' . Quantitative Mineral Resource
Assessments: An Integrated Approach 2[IRUG 8QLYHUVLW\ 3UHVV
1HZ<RUN
6PLWK$The Wealth of NationsSsine nomine: *ODVJRZ)
6\NHV77KH0RQH\0LQHUV$XVWUDOLDV0LQLQJ%RRP
UVWHGLWLRQ:LOGFDW3UHVV6\GQH\
7UDQVSDUHQF\ ,QWHUQDWLRQDO *OREDO &RUUXSWLRQ 5HSRUW
Corruption and the Private Sector &DPEULGJH 8QLYHUVLW\ 3UHVV
&DPEULGJH
7UDQVSDUHQF\ ,QWHUQDWLRQDO %ULEH SD\HUV LQGH[ >RQOLQH@
$YDLODEOH IURP KWWSESLWUDQVSDUHQF\RUJESL!
>$FFHVVHG)HEUXDU\@
7UDQVSDUHQF\ ,QWHUQDWLRQDO D &RUUXSWLRQ SHUFHSWLRQV LQGH[
>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSFSLWUDQVSDUHQF\RUJFSL!
>$FFHVVHG)HEUXDU\@
7UDQVSDUHQF\ ,QWHUQDWLRQDO E *OREDO FRUUXSWLRQ EDURPHWHU
>RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSJFEWUDQVSDUHQF\
RUJJFE!>$FFHVVHG)HEUXDU\@
7UHQFK $ $ 6KDUH %X\HUV *XLGH WR ,QYHVWLQJ LQ WKH $XVWUDOLDQ
Mining Boom3RUW&DPSEHOO3UHVV0HOERXUQH
7UHQFK$&ODVVRI$FRQWLQXHGIRFXVRQ$XVWUDOLDQJROG
IRU ,32V Centre for Exploration Targeting Quarterly Newsletter
0DUFKSS
7UHQFK $ DQG 3DFNH\ ' $XVWUDOLDV 1H[W 7RS 0LQLQJ 6KDUHV
Understanding Risk and Value in Minerals Equities UVW HGLWLRQ
0DMRU6WUHHW3XEOLVKLQJ0HOERXUQH
7UHQFK $ DQG 6\NHV - 3 1HZ *HQHUDWLRQ $XVWUDOLDQ/LVWHG
&RSSHU([SORUHUV&58*URXS&RSSHU6WXGLHV-DQXDU\SS
86 'HSDUWPHQW RI (QHUJ\ Critical Minerals Strategy 86
'HSDUWPHQWRI(QHUJ\:DVKLQJWRQ
9LOMRHQ-)URQWLHU5DUH(DUWKVDQG.RUHD5HVRXUFHVVLJQPLQH
GHYHORSPHQWDJUHHPHQW-XO\%ORRPEHUJ
:HVWHUQ $XVWUDOLD 3ROLFH 7KH .DOJRRUOLH JROGVWHDOLQJ GD\V
>RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZSROLFHZDJRYDX
&ULPH*ROGVWHDOLQJWDELG'HIDXOWDVS[! >$FFHVVHG
)HEUXDU\@
:LQ]HQULHG 6 0DUGL $ 0F&DIIUH\ 6 'RPSDV $ 6DEDEDODW )
0DUQL $ DQG .DUWLND / Mining in Indonesia: Investment
and Taxation Guide IRXUWK HGLWLRQ 3ULFH:DWHUKRXVH&RRSHUV
-DNDUWD
:RUOG%DQN'RLQJ%XVLQHVV6PDUWHU5HJXODWLRQVIRU6PDOO
DQG0HGLXP6L]H(QWHUSULVHV:RUOG%DQN*URXS:DVKLQJWRQ
:RUOG (FRQRPLF )RUXP *OREDO FRPSHWLWLYHQHVV UHSRUW
617
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Principal, Coombes Capability, PO Box 1708, Subiaco WA 6904. Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM, Principal Consultant, Corporate Services, Optiro Pty Ltd, PO Box 1646, West Perth WA 6872. Email: [email protected]
3. Consultant Mining Engineer, AngloGold Ashanti, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil.
4. Geologist, Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, Rodovia BR 262 KM 296, Santa Luzia MG, Brazil. Email: [email protected]
* This paper was previously published in Proceedings Iron Ore 2005 Conference, pp 263-270 (The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy: Melbourne).
INTRODUCTION
,QFRUSRUDWLQJ D GHHSHU XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH XQFHUWDLQW\ LQ
D PXOWLHOHPHQW HQYLURQPHQW VXFK DV LURQ RUH DQG QLFNHO
PLQLQJ DOORZV SODQQHUV WR EH SURDFWLYH LQ VFKHGXOLQJ
DQG VWRFNSLOH SODQQLQJ UDWKHU WKDQ KDYLQJ XQVFKHGXOHG
YDULDWLRQV LQ JUDGH ,W SURYLGHV D SUHYLHZ RI SRWHQWLDO ULVN
DQG YDULDELOLW\ ZKLFK DVVLVWV PLQH SODQQHUV WR XQGHUVWDQG
WKHOLNHO\DPRXQWRIYDULDELOLW\DQGULVNDQGDOORZVWKHPWR
IRFXVRQWKHKLJKULVNFRPSRQHQWV
7KHDLPRIWKLVSDSHULVWRGHPRQVWUDWHKRZWKHYDULDELOLW\
LQPXOWLHOHPHQWJUDGHVFDQEHLQFRUSRUDWHGLQWRDQDQDO\VLV
RIWKHULVNRIVFKHGXOHGJUDGHVGXULQJDIHDVLELOLW\VWXG\7KH
FDVHVWXG\LVDODWHULWHQLFNHOGHSRVLWLQ%UD]LOZKLFKDWWKH
WLPH RI ZULWLQJ ZDV XQGHUJRLQJ IHDVLELOLW\ E\ &RPSDQKLD
9DOHGR5LR'RFH&95'
7KLVSDSHUFRQFHQWUDWHVRQDQDQDO\VLVRIWKH in situQLFNHO
VLOLFDDQGPDJQHVLXPIHHGYDULDELOLW\IRUWKHUVWYH\HDUVRI
SURGXFWLRQDWWKH9HUPHOKRSURMHFW6LOLFDLVFRUUHODWHGZLWK
PDVVSDVVLQJWKHEHQHFLDWLRQFLUFXLW7KHKLJKHUWKHVLOLFD
WKH ORZHU WKH PDVV SDVVLQJ DQG FRQVHTXHQWO\ WKH KLJKHU
WKH QLFNHO XSJUDGHG YDOXH DIWHU EHQHFLDWLRQ 7KH SRVW
EHQHFLDWLRQ YDULDELOLW\ RI QLFNHO DQG PDJQHVLXP JUDGHV LV
LPSRUWDQWIRUWKHSURFHVVSODQWQLFNHOSURGXFWLRQDQGOHDFK
FLUFXLWDFLGFRQVXPSWLRQ)LJXUH
7KH PDLQ SXUSRVH RI WKLV VWXG\ ZDV WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH
PRQWKO\YDULDWLRQRI in situVLOLFDDQGPDJQHVLXPDQGWKHQ
8QFHUWDLQW\DURXQGPRQWKO\VFKHGXOHGQLFNHOVLOLFDDQG
PDJQHVLXPLVORZ
$KLJKGHJUHHRIPLQLQJVHOHFWLYLW\DWWKH0J2FRQWDFWLV
QHFHVVDU\ WR FRQWURO VPRRWKLQJ DW WKH GLVWLQFW ORZKLJK
0J2FRQWDFW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
619
GEOLOGICAL SETTING
7KH 9HUPHOKR 3URMHFW FRPSULVHV WZR GHHSO\ ZHDWKHUHG
XOWUDPDF ERGLHV 9 DQG 9 WKDW DUH LQWHUSUHWHG DV
KDYLQJ KDG DQ H[WHQVLYH KLVWRU\ RI WURSLFDO ZHDWKHULQJ
ZKLFK KDV SURGXFHG D WKLFN SUROH RI LQWHQVHO\ OHDFKHG
ODWHULWLF VDSUROLWHV 7KH GHSRVLWV ZHUH IRUPHG E\ VXSHUJHQH
HQULFKPHQW RI QLFNHO E\ WKH ZHDWKHULQJ RI XOWUDPDF URFNV
7ZR RI WKHVH ERGLHV 9 DQG 9 KDYH EHHQ H[WHQVLYHO\
H[SORUHG DQG IRUP WKH EDVLV RI WKH UHVRXUFH PRGHO IRU WKH
IHDVLELOLW\ VWXG\ &RPSDQKLD 9DOH GR 5LR 'RFH 7KLV
FRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQVWXG\KDVEHHQEDVHGRQWKHGDWDIURP
WKH9GHSRVLW
7KH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DW 9HUPHOKR LV FRQWDLQHG ZLWKLQ D
VHUSHQWLQLWH WKDW KDV EHHQ LQWHQVHO\ ZHDWKHUHG WR VDSUROLWH
DQG LV XQGHUODLQ E\ S\UR[HQLWH DQG JDEEUR 7KH 9HUPHOKR
UHVRXUFH KDV EHHQ JHRORJLFDOO\ PRGHOOHG DFFRUGLQJ WR
YDULDWLRQV LQ OLWKRORJ\ DQG LQ FKHPLFDO DQG SK\VLFDO
SURSHUWLHV ZKLFK ZHUH DIIHFWHG E\ WKH LQWHUDFWLRQ RI WKH
ZHDWKHULQJSURFHVVDQGWKHRULJLQDOOLWKRORJ\)RQVHFD et al
620
TABLE 1
Description of domains/rock types used in conditional simulation.
Domain codes
Description
Low MgO
Saprolitic Fe
INVESTIGATION PROCESS
7KH JHQHUDO SURFHVV IRU WKLV LQYHVWLJDWLRQ LV SUHVHQWHG LQ
)LJXUHDQGGHVFULEHGEHORZ
Report variability
inherent in
schedule
Report conditional
simulation models
within schedule
Conditional simulations
&DOFXODWHWKHFRHIFLHQWRIYDULDWLRQRIWKHPRQWKO\QLFNHO
VLOLFDDQGPDJQHVLXPVFKHGXOHGJUDGHVIURPWKHUHVRXUFH
PRGHODVDPHDVXUHRIWKHLQKHUHQWYDULDELOLW\GXHWRWKH
PRQWKO\VFKHGXOH
(DFK RI WKH VHWV RI WKH QLFNHO VLOLFD DQG PDJQHVLXP
FRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQZDVUHSRUWHGZLWKLQWKHVFKHGXOH
DWPRQWKO\SHULRGV
WKHYDULDWLRQLQWKHUHSRUWVUHHFWVWKHFRQGHQFHLQWKH
SUHGLFWHG QLFNHO VLOLFD DQG PDJQHVLXP JUDGHV IRU HDFK
WLPHSHULRG
Analysis of variation
7KHUHSRUWHGYDULDELOLW\LQWKHVFKHGXOHZDVLQYHVWLJDWHGWR
GHWHUPLQHWKHPDJQLWXGHRIYDULDWLRQDFURVVDOOPRQWKO\
SHULRGV
LGHQWLI\ZKHWKHUYDULDWLRQLQDQ\SHULRGVZDVVLJQLFDQWO\
KLJKHUWKDQRWKHUV
LGHQWLI\ZKHQWKHVLPXODWLRQVZHUHVLJQLFDQWO\GLIIHUHQW
IURPWKHIHDVLELOLW\UHVRXUFHPRGHO
VHOHFWVHTXHQFHRIHOHPHQWVIRUWUDQVIRUPDWLRQ
IRUHDFKGRPDLQ
XQIROGGDWD
YDOLGDWHFRUUHODWLRQ
VWHSZLVH WUDQVIRUPDWLRQ RI VLOLFD QLFNHO DQG
PDJQHVLXP
YDOLGDWHWUDQVIRUPDWLRQ
JHQHUDWH FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQV IRU HDFK RI WKH
WKUHHWUDQVIRUPHGYDULDEOHV
YDOLGDWHWUDQVIRUPHGFRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQV
UHYHUVHVWHSZLVHWUDQVIRUPDWLRQ
UHIROGDOOFRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQPRGHOVIRUHDFKRI
QLFNHOVLOLFDDQGPDJQHVLXP
YDOLGDWHFRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQVDJDLQVWLQSXWGDWD
PHUJHGRPDLQVWRFUHDWHFRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQPRGHOV
HDFKIRUQLFNHOVLOLFDDQGPDJQHVLXP
UHEORFNVLPXODWLRQVWRUHVRXUFHJULG
YDOLGDWHVLPXODWLRQVDJDLQVWUHVRXUFHPRGHO
Domain verification
2QHRIWKHPRVWFULWLFDOIDFWRUVIRUJHQHUDWLQJYDOLGFRQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQ PRGHOV LV WKDW WKH GRPDLQV DGHTXDWHO\ VHSDUDWH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ SRSXODWLRQV 7KLV FULWHULRQ ZDV HYDOXDWHG
XVLQJKLVWRJUDPVDQGVFDWWHUSORWV'RPDLQVLGHQWLI\GLIIHUHQW
JUDGHSRSXODWLRQVIRUDOOHOHPHQWV)LJXUHDQGFRUUHODWLRQV
EHWZHHQ HOHPHQWV DUH GLIIHUHQW IRU WKH IRXU GRPDLQV
)LJXUH
Unfolding
7KH 9HUPHOKR VDPSOH GDWD DQG UHVRXUFH PRGHO EORFNV
ZHUHXQIROGHGLQDFFRUGDQFHZLWKWKHQDOIHDVLELOLW\VWXG\
&RPSDQKLD9DOHGR5LR'RFH7KHEDVHRIWKHXSSHU
ORZPDJQHVLD VDSUROLWH VXUIDFH ZDV XVHG DV WKH UHIHUHQFH
VXUIDFHIRUXQIROGLQJWKHGDWDDQGWKHUHVRXUFHPRGHOEORFN
FRGHV DQG D GHQVH JULG FRPPHQVXUDWH ZLWK WKH VLPXODWLRQ
JULGQRGHVSDFLQJZDVJHQHUDWHGLQWKLVXQIROGHGVSDFH
621
Conditional simulation
6HTXHQWLDO *DXVVLDQ VLPXODWLRQ ZDV XVHG WR JHQHUDWH WKH
XQFRUUHODWHG VLPXODWLRQ PRGHOV RQ D GHQVH JULG IRU DOO
HOHPHQWVDQGGRPDLQV
'RPDLQ
'RPDLQ
'RPDLQ
'RPDLQ
0DJQHVLXP
1LFNHO
6LOLFD
'RPDLQ
'RPDLQ
'RPDLQ
'RPDLQ
0DJQHVLXPYV6LOLFD
0DJQHVLXP
YV1LFNHO
1LFNHOYV6LOLFD
7KHVLPXODWLRQPRGHOVZHUHUHIROGHGLQDFFRUGDQFHZLWKWKH
XQIROGLQJVXUIDFHVDSSOLHGWRWKHGDWD
Validation
Refolding
623
FIG 9 - Q-Q plot comparison between one simulated model and input data.
FIG 11 - Schedule reports of the correlated conditional simulation models.
ERXQGDULHV WR OLPLW RYHUVPRRWKLQJ RI PDJQHVLXP DW WKH
PDJQHVLXPFRQWDFW0LQLQJVHOHFWLYLW\DWWKHKLJK0JFRQWDFW
PD\ FRQWURO WKLV HIIHFW 2YHUDOO WKHUH LV PRUH YDULDWLRQ LQ
VFKHGXOH WKDQ WKHUH LV XQFHUWDLQW\ LQ WKH QLFNHO VLOLFD DQG
PDJQHVLXPJUDGHV
ANALYSIS OF VARIATION
7KH FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ UHVXOWV IRU HDFK PRQWK ZHUH
XVHG WR JHQHUDWH SHU FHQW FRQGHQFH LQWHUYDOV DURXQG
WKHUHVSHFWLYHPRQWKO\DYHUDJHQLFNHODQGVLOLFDPDJQHVLXP
JUDGHEDVHGRQWKHVLPXODWLRQPRGHOV
7KH SHU FHQW FRQGHQFH LQWHUYDO ZDV HVWLPDWHG IURP
WKH VSUHDG JHQHUDWHG IURP WKH FRQGLWLRQDOO\ VLPXODWHG
PRQWKO\JUDGHV7KHORZHUIWKSHUFHQWLOHZDVLQWHUSRODWHG
EHWZHHQ WKH VHFRQG DQG WKLUG ORZHVW YDOXHV DQG WKH WK
SHUFHQWLOH ZDV LQWHUSRODWHG EHWZHHQ WKH UG DQG WK
KLJKHVWYDOXHVIRUHDFKPRQWK
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
625
7KHPRQWKO\DYHUDJHVRIWKHVLPXODWHGJUDGHVZHUHDOVR
FRPSDUHG DJDLQVW WKH FRUUHVSRQGLQJ EDFNFRGHG VFKHGXOHG
UHVRXUFH JUDGHV 0RQWKO\ SHU FHQW FRQGHQFH LQWHUYDOV
DUH ZLWKLQ SHU FHQW SHU FHQW DQG SHU FHQW RI WKH
DYHUDJHJUDGHIRUQLFNHOVLOLFDDQGPDJQHVLXPUHVSHFWLYHO\
7KLVVXJJHVWVWKDWWKHVFKHGXOHG in situJUDGHVDUHOLNHO\WREH
FORVHWRWKHSUHGLFWHGJUDGHVRQDPRQWKO\EDVLV
CONCLUSION
7KH FRUUHODWHG FRQGLWLRQ VLPXODWLRQ KDV SURYHQ WR EH D
SUDFWLFDOSURFHVVWRLPSOHPHQWSURYLGHGGRPDLQLQJFULWHULD
LV KRQRXUHG DQG WKHUH DUH VXIFLHQW SRLQWV WR EXLOG WKH
VWHSZLVHFRUUHODWLRQVEHWZHHQWKHHOHPHQWV
626
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUVZRXOGOLNHWRDFNQRZOHGJH9DQHVVDGH7RUUHV
VWHHULQJ RI WKLV SURMHFW +HU LQVLJKW KDV SURYLGHG IDLU DQG
FDUHIXO GLUHFWLRQ (DFK PHPEHU RI WKH &95'6QRZGHQ
WHDP KDV FRQWULEXWHG WR WKH VXFFHVV RI WKLV DQDO\VLV 7KH
DXWKRUV ZRXOG OLNH WR DFNQRZOHGJH WKH FDUH GLOLJHQFH DQG
FRPPLWPHQW RI 5RVHOW &URHVHU -DFRE 5LFFLDUGRQH +HOHQ
2.HHIH 6WHSKDQLH *RWOH\ 0DUN 0XUSK\ ,DQ *ODFNHQ
9LYLHQQH6QRZGHQDQG$QGUHZ&DUXVR
REFERENCES
&RPSDQKLD9DOHGR5LR'RFH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ9HUPHOKR
1LFNHO SURMHFW IHDVLELOLW\ VWXG\ 6HSWHPEHU 5HODWRULR GH
HVWLPDWLYDGHUHVFXUVRVHVWXGRGHYLDELOLGDGH6HWHPEUR3URMHFWR
1LTXHOGR9HUPHOKRXQSXEOLVKHGUHSRUW
&RRPEHV - ,QYHVWLJDWLRQ LQWR VFKHGXOH VHQVLWLYLW\ WKURXJK
XVHRIFRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQ'HFHPEHU6QRZGHQXQSXEOLVKHG
UHSRUW3
)RQVHFD0%5LHKO-U:)HUUHLUD0$$5RFKD05)OHXU\')5
DQG$OEXTXHUTXH0$&9HUPHOKRQLFNHOODWHULWHGHSRVLW
JHRORJLFDO PRGHOOLQJ DQG UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ GHYHORSPHQWV
in Proceedings TMS International Laterite Nickel Symposium HGV
'0/DQHDQG:3,PULHSS7KH0LQHUDOV0HWDOVDQG
0DWHULDOV6RFLHW\:DUUHQGDOH
/HXDQJWKRQJ 2 DQG 'HXWVFK & 6WHSZLVH FRQGLWLRQDO
WUDQVIRUPDWLRQVIRUVLPXODWLRQRIPXOWLSOHYDULDEOHVMathematical
Geology
HOME
1. MAusIMM(CP), Principal Consultant (Coal Geology), SRK Consulting, Level 6, 141 Queens St, Brisbane Qld 4000. Email: [email protected]
BACKGROUND
7KH GHYHORSPHQW DQG VXEVHTXHQW DGRSWLRQ RI WKH $XVWUD
ODVLDQ -25& &RGH KDV SURYHQ WR EH D KLJKO\ VXFFHVVIXO
LQWHUQDWLRQDO LQLWLDWLYH )URP WKH IRUPDWLRQ RI WKH -25& LQ
RULJLQDOO\ HVWDEOLVKHG E\ $XVWUDOLDQ 0LQLQJ ,QGXVWU\
&RXQFLO $0,& QRZ WKH 0LQHUDOV &RXQFLO RI $XVWUDOLD
0&$DQG7KH$XVWUDOLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
7KH $XV,00 IROORZHG E\ VXEVHTXHQW LQYROYHPHQW RI
WKH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI *HRVFLHQWLVWV $,* WKH WKHQ
$XVWUDOLDQ6WRFN([FKDQJH$6;DQGWKH6HFXULWLHV,QVWLWXWH
RI$XVWUDOLD6,$WKH-25&&RGHKDVEHHQZLGHO\DGRSWHG
LQ $XVWUDODVLD VLQFH LWV UVW SXEOLFDWLRQ LQ ,W KDV EHHQ
LQFRUSRUDWHGLQWKH$6;/LVWLQJ5XOHVDQGLVPDQGDWRU\IRU
$6;OLVWHG FRPSDQLHV WR FRQIRUP WR WKH &RGH ,W KDV EHHQ
LQFRUSRUDWHG LQWR WKH 1HZ =HDODQG 6WRFN ([FKDQJH OLVWLQJ
UXOHV DV ZHOO DV EHLQJ XVHG DV D WHPSODWH IRU UHSRUWLQJ LQ
PRVWFRXQWULHVDFURVV6RXWK$PHULFD$IULFDDQG(XURSH7KH
&RGH KDV EHHQ SHULRGLFDOO\ UHYLVHG ZLWK WKH ODWHVW UHYLVLRQ
EHLQJODWHLQ
7KH SXUSRVH RI WKH -25& &RGH LV WR SURYLGH D PLQLPXP
VWDQGDUGIRUUHSRUWLQJ([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWVDQGLQSDUWLFXODU
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV ,W DFKLHYHV WKLV E\
HVWDEOLVKLQJ D IUDPHZRUN WR UHSRUW 5HVRXUFH JUDGH DQG
WRQQDJHEDVHGRQOHYHOVRIFRQGHQFHDVZHOODVHVWDEOLVKLQJ
FULWHULD WR GHQH WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ ZKR PXVW WDNH
UHVSRQVLELOLW\ IRU WKH UHSRUWV 1RW RQO\ PXVW &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQVEHVXLWDEO\TXDOLHGEXWWKH\PXVWDOVREHERXQGE\
DFRGHRIHWKLFVDQGKHOGUHVSRQVLEOHE\DVXSHUYLVRU\ERG\
VXFKDV7KH$XV,00
7KH-25&&RGHUHTXLUHVWKDW5HVHUYHVPD\RQO\EHGHULYHG
IURP 0HDVXUHG DQG ,QGLFDWHG 5HVRXUFHV LPSO\LQJ D KLJK
OHYHORIFRQGHQFHLQWKHHVWLPDWLRQ$GGLWLRQDOO\D5HVHUYH
LVGHQHGDV
the economically mineable part of a Resource that
demonstrates at the time of reporting that extraction could
EHUHDVRQDEO\MXVWLHG)LUVWSDUDJUDSKFODXVH-25&
&RGH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
627
QUALIFICATIONS
$W WKH RXWVHW WKH DXWKRU ZRXOG OLNH WR DFNQRZOHGJH
WKH IROORZLQJ TXDOLFDWLRQV WR WKLV VWXG\ )LUVW PLQH
FORVXUHV DUH RIWHQ FRPSOH[ DQG DUH WKH UHVXOW RI PRUH WKDQ
RQH FRQWULEXWLQJ IDFWRU ,Q HDFK LQVWDQFH WKH DXWKRU KDV
DWWHPSWHGWRVHOHFWWKHPDMRUFDXVHZLWKUHIHUHQFHIURPWKRVH
DVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHPLQHLWVHOIFRPSDQ\DQQXDOUHSRUWVDQG
VWDWHPHQWVDQGIURPPHGLDDWWKHWLPH7KLVSURFHVVLVRIWHQ
OHVVWKDQVWUDLJKWIRUZDUGDQGWKHDXWKRUVRXJKWFROODERUDWLRQ
IURP PRUH WKDQ RQH VRXUFH DV RIWHQ DV SRVVLEOH 5XPRXU
DQG LQQXHQGR ZHUH RQO\ LQFRUSRUDWHG LQ WKLV VWXG\ LI
FRUURERUDWHGIURPDQRWKHUPRUHUHSXWDEOHVRXUFH7KHDXWKRU
DFNQRZOHGJHVWKDWLGHQWLI\LQJWKHSULPDU\UHDVRQIRUFORVXUH
PD\EHWKHVXEMHFWRILQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGVRPHUHDGHUVPD\
KROGDGLIIHUHQWYLHZRQWKHSULPDU\UHDVRQIRUFORVXUHWRWKDW
SUHVHQWHGLQWKLVVWXG\7KHDXWKRUKDVHQGHDYRXUHGWRHQVXUH
WKDWWKHYDVWPDMRULW\RIUHDVRQVVHOHFWHGDUHDSSURSULDWHDQG
628
FRPELQHG ZLWK WKH ODUJH SRSXODWLRQ RI GDWD KRSHV WKDW WKH
RGG FRQWHQWLRXV MXGJHPHQW ZLOO QRW VLJQLFDQWO\ LQXHQFH
WKHUHVXOWLQJLQWHUSUHWDWLRQV
6HFRQG LW VKRXOG DOVR EH QRWHG WKDW VRPH PLQHV KDYH
UHRSHQHGRUPD\UHRSHQLQWKHIXWXUHDIWHUFORVXUHRUWKH
5HVHUYHVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHFORVHGPLQHPD\KDYHEHHQRU
ZLOO EH VXEVHTXHQWO\ DFFHVVHG E\ D QHZ RU DGMDFHQW PLQH
,QGHHGVRPHPLQHVKDYHUHRSHQHGPRUHWKDQRQFHGXULQJWKH
VWXG\SHULRG,QVHYHUDOLQVWDQFHVWKLVZDVSDUWRIWKHRYHUDOO
VWUDWHJ\IRUFORVXUHSDUWLFXODUO\LIWKHSDUHQWFRPSDQ\RSHUDWHG
D VWDEOH RI PLQHV DQG FORVXUH LV WR KDYH EHHQ D WHPSRUDU\
VWUDWHJ\ 7KH UHFHQW FORVXUH RI 1RUZLFK 3DUN PD\ LQ WLPH
SURYHWREHVXFKDQLQVWDQFHGHVSLWHPHGLDFRPPHQWVE\%+3
%LOOLWRQ0LWVXELVKL$OOLDQFH%0$DIUPLQJFORVXUHZDVWKH
UHVXOWRISRRUHFRQRPLFV7KHVHVWDWHPHQWVUXQFRQWUDU\WRQRW
RQO\UHSRUWLQJ0WRI5HVHUYHVWKH\HDUEHIRUHFORVXUHEXW
DOVRUHSRUWLQJDVLPLODUTXDQWLW\RI5HVHUYHVLQWKHFRPSDQ\
DQQXDOUHSRUWLVVXHGWZRPRQWKVDIWHUFORVXUHRIWKHPLQH$V
DFRQVHTXHQFHWKLVSDUWLFXODUFORVXUHKDVMRLQHGVHYHUDORWKHUV
LQWKHVWXG\ZKHUHWHPSRUDU\FORVXUHRIWKHPLQHKDVEHHQ
FDWHJRULVHGDVRWKHULQWKLVVWXG\
7KLUG WKH DXWKRU GLYLGHG UHDVRQV IRU FORVXUH LQWR IRXU
FDWHJRULHVUHIHU7DEOH7KHUVWWZRFDWHJRULHVRI5HVHUYH
GHSOHWLRQDQG8QHFRQRPLFDUHE\WKHLUQDWXUHLQWHUUHODWHG
DQGGLIFXOWWRFOHDUO\GLIIHUHQWLDWH7KHGHQLWLRQRI5HVHUYHV
QHFHVVDULO\ LQFRUSRUDWHV HFRQRPLF FRQVWUDLQWV DQG DV VXFK
ORQJWHUP FRDO SULFH XFWXDWLRQV DUH LQHYLWDEO\ UHHFWHG LQ
HLWKHUDQLQFUHDVHRUGHFUHDVHLQ5HVHUYHVWKDWDUHSHUFHLYHG
DV PLQHDEOH IRU D JLYHQ RSHUDWLRQ 7KH UHPDLQLQJ WZR
FDWHJRULHV RI *HRORJ\ DQG 2WKHU FDQ KRZHYHU EH PRUH
FOHDUO\GHQHG
2I WKH PLQHV LQ WKLV VWXG\ WKH DXWKRU KDV EHHQ DEOH WR
LGHQWLI\ D WRWDO RI WKDW UHSRUWHG 5HVHUYHV WKH \HDU EHIRUH
FORVXUH ,W VKRXOG EH QRWHG WKDW WKH GDWD LQ WKLV VWXG\ LV
KHDYLO\ VNHZHG WRZDUGV WKH VPDOOHU TXDQWLWLHV RI ORVW
5HVHUYHV UHVXOWLQJ LQ WKH DYHUDJH EHLQJ 0W ZKHUHDV WKH
PHGLDQLVRQO\0W7KHUHDUHRQO\VHYHQH[DPSOHVZKHUH
UHSRUWHG5HVHUYHVH[FHHGHG0WSULRUWRFORVXUHZLWKWKH
ODUJHVWEHLQJ0W1RUZLFK3DUNLQ2QFHDJDLQIRU
FRPSOHWHQHVV DOO GDWD KDV EHHQ LQFOXGHG LQ WKLV VWXG\ ,W LV
XQOLNHO\ WKDW WKH H[FOXVLRQ RI WKH ODUJHVW VHYHQ GDWD ZRXOG
FKDQJH WKH UHVXOWV VLJQLFDQWO\ DV WKHVH GDWD DUH HYHQO\
VSUHDG EHWZHHQ YDULRXV FDWHJRULHV WKUHH XQHFRQRPLF WZR
RWKHU RQH 5HVHUYH GHSOHWLRQ YH 16: WZR 4XHHQVODQG
WKUHHRSHQFXWIRXUXQGHUJURXQG
)LQDOO\ WKH DXWKRUEHOLHYHV KHLVZHOO TXDOLHGWR SUHVHQW
D SDSHU RQ PLQH FORVXUHV +H ZDV PLQH JHRORJLVW IRU VL[
PLQHVWKDWKDYHFORVHGGXULQJKLVFDUHHU6WRFNWRQ%RUHKROH
0WRWKHU/DPEWRQ0WXQHFRQRPLF
(QGHDYRXU 0W 5HVHUYH GHSOHWLRQ :\HH
0W JHRORJ\ &RRUDQERQJ 0W RWKHU
0XQPRUDK 0W 5HVHUYH GHSOHWLRQ 7KH DXWKRU
KDVKRZHYHUUHOLHGRQPDQ\LQGLYLGXDOVLQWKHLQGXVWU\WR
LGHQWLI\ PLQHV WKDW KDYH FORVHG LQ WKH SDVW WR HOXFLGDWH RQ
WKHUHDVRQVIRUFORVXUHDQGFODULI\KLVWRULFDOIDFWV7KHDXWKRU
ZRXOGOLNHWRWKDQNWKRVHLQGLYLGXDOVIRUWKLVDVVLVWDQFHWKDW
SURYHGFULWLFDOIRUWKHVWXG\EXWXQGHUVWDQGVWKDWWKH\PD\
DOVRZLVKWRUHPDLQDQRQ\PRXV
Reserves, Reserves and not a Tonne to Mine A Study of Reserves Reported Prior to Mine Closure| M Creech
TABLE 1
Mine closures and Reserves (1975 to 2012).
Location
Date closed
Reserves (Mt)
2 - 3 years prior
1988
2.5
2.5
Avon
1992
Awaba
2011
0.5
0.4
Bellbird
1984
35
35
Uneconomic
Benwerrin
1987
Blue Mountains
1999
0.7
Reserve depletion
Brimstone
2000
5.5
Uneconomic
Bulli
1987
30
35
Reserve depletion
Canyon
1997
11
12
Coalcliff
1991
12
Cooranbong
2002
2.5
Cordeaux
2001
4.5
Corrimal
1985
11
11
Uneconomic
Cumnock #1
2006
Dartbrook underground
2006
55
63
Eloura
2006
17
Uneconomic
Endeavour/Newvale #2
1999
0.5
19
Enhance Place
2006
0.2
Reserve depletion
Fernbrook
1986
17
17
Uneconomic
Gretley/New Wallsend 2
2005
6.5
7.6
Grose Valley
1987
1.5
25
Reserve depletion
GT Greta
1999
4.5
5.5
Gunnedah underground
2007
198
Huntley
1989
55
55
Invincible
2001
10.5
5.7
Other
Ivanhoe
2005
0.5
0.75
Reserve depletion
John Darling
1987
33
Kandos
2001
0.75
Kemira
1991
213
214
Lambton
1991
6.2
2.4
Lemington underground
1987
98
98
Uneconomic
Liddell State
1991
82
82
Mannering
2012
10
12
Uneconomic
Moonee
2002
9.9
12
Munmorah
2005
4.1
6.2
Muswellbrook
underground
1985
25
25
Uneconomic
Nardell
2003
196
196
Nattai Bulli
1990
Newstan
2009
54
Newvale #1
1993
110
113
Northcliff
1993
95
95
Oakdale
2001
68
68
Uneconomic
629
TABLE 1
Cont
Location
Date closed
Reserves (Mt)
2 - 3 years prior
48
1998
48
Preston
1985
0.2
Reserve depletion
Southland
2004
48
48
Stanford Main
1984
57
57
South Bulli
1996
9.7
66
Stockrington
1988
11
11
Stockton Borehole
1990
28
28
1991
92
92
Teralba
2001
2.8
2.8
Tower/West Appin
2002
35
63
2008
206
209
Reserve depletion
Ulan underground
1975
76
76
1998
Other industrial
Wallamaine
1985
16
16
Uneconomic/surface constraints
Wallarah
2000
15
Wallsend Borehole
1988
31
13
Reserve depletion
Wambo underground
1980
15
15
2012
0.3
0.5
Reserve depletion
1992
123
123
Wyee
2002
35
44
Yellow Rock
1987
1.3
Reserve depletion
63
33
40
NSW average
Queensland
Ballamoo
1983
Blackheath (Rhonnda)
1985
35
2012
1998
45
1989
1986
20
Burgowan
1997
Uneconomic
Cook
1982
Other outbursts
1983
Reserve depletion
1988
Geology faulting
Uneconomic
Reserve depletion, uneconomic, outburst limits
Reserve depletion
Ebenezer
2002
Uneconomic
Garrick (Collinsville)
1987
Reserve depletion
2012
10
Haenke (Rhonnda)
1993
20
Harrow Creek
1987
Jeebropilly
2006
Kianga
1981
100
Leichhardt
1982
1998
Reserve depletion
Moura No 4 underground
1986
630
12
Uneconomic
Reserve depletion
Other priority to open cut (Peak Downs)
32
Reserve depletion
Other explosion
Explosion
Reserves, Reserves and not a Tonne to Mine A Study of Reserves Reported Prior to Mine Closure| M Creech
TABLE 1
Cont
Location
Date closed
Reserves (Mt)
Year prior to closure
2 - 3 years prior
Queensland
Moura No 2 underground
1994
48
0
Explosion
1998
New Whitwood
1993
Reserve depletion
1996
12
Uneconomic
2008
18
Uneconomic
Reserve depletion
Normanton
1979
2012
2002
Oakleigh
1999
Reserve depletion
Pipeline
2002
Reserve depletion
Rylance
1983
Reserve depletion
Southern
1986
Reserve depletion
2002
South Blackwater
underground
2001
Uneconomic
271
275
Other
Reserve depletion
Reserve depletion
130
1985
Swanbank
2003
Uneconomic
Wattle Glen
1984
Resource depletion
Westfalen
Resource depletion
1988
50
Queensland average
38
39
Australia average
101
34
Sources: primary New South Wales Department of Primary Industries, Queensland Department of Mines and Energy, New South Wales Coal Industry Profiles; Secondary opinion, hearsay and rumour
(corroborated where possible).
TABLE 2
Reasons for mine closure over time.
1983 to 1993
1996 to 2006
(%)
(%)
Reserve depletion
35
15
45
Uneconomic
37
34
22
25
Geology/other
28
78
33
38
Total/average
43 closures
40
40 closures
23
WKDW ZDV SURPLQHQW LQ WKH PLQGV RI WKRVH ZKR HVWDEOLVKHG
-25& LQ WKH HDUO\ V DQG VXEVHTXHQWO\ WKH -25& &RGH
DVDUHVSRQVH8QIRUWXQDWHO\WKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\FRQWLQXHV
WR UHPDLQ KRVWDJH WR WKHVH F\FOHV DQG DV RQH PD\ H[SHFW
PLQHFORVXUHVRYHUWKHODVWIRXUGHFDGHVUHHFWWKHVHF\FOLFDO
LPSDFWV)LJXUH7DEOH
7KHUHDUHWZRPDLQSHULRGVRIPLQHFORVXUHHYLGHQWLQWKH
GDWDIRUWKLVVWXG\DQG7KHUVWZDYH
RIFRDOPLQHFORVXUHVZDVDIIHFWHGE\DVXVWDLQHGIDOOLQFRDO
SULFHVGXULQJWKHODWHVDQGHDUO\VUHIHUWR)LJXUH
2Q DQ LQGH[HG $ EDVLV ERWK FRNLQJ DQG VWHDPLQJ FRDO
SULFHV IHOO GXULQJ WKLV SHULRG WKH IRUPHU E\ DSSUR[LPDWHO\
SHUFHQW7KLVVKRZVXSLQDGRPLQDQFHRIPLQHFORVXUHV
FDWHJRULVHG DV WKH UHVXOW RI IDLOLQJ HFRQRPLFV SHU FHQW
DOWKRXJK 5HVHUYH GHSOHWLRQ RIWHQ GLUHFWO\ OLQNHG LV DOVR
D PDMRU FRQWULEXWRU UHIHU 7DEOH 7KLV FRQWUDVWV ZLWK WKH
VHFRQG EXVW F\FOH FKDUDFWHULVHG E\ DOPRVW KDOI WKH PLQHV
FORVLQJDVDUHVXOWRI5HVHUYHGHSOHWLRQSHUFHQW'XULQJ
WKLV SHULRG PDQ\ PLQHV KDG EHHQ RSHUDWLQJ IRU PRUH WKDQ
\HDUVDQGZHUHQRWRQO\PLQLQJRXWWKHFRDOLQWKHLU
KROGLQJ EXW DOVR PLQLQJ IXUWKHU DZD\ IURP SLW WRS HYHU\
\HDU7KHSULFHRIFRDOGXULQJWKLVSHULRGKRZHYHUUHPDLQHG
UHODWLYHO\ VWHDG\ ,W FDQ DOVR EH VHHQ WKDW FORVXUHV GXH WR
JHRORJ\ DQG RWKHU UHDVRQV UHPDLQHG UHDVRQDEO\ FRQVWDQW
GXULQJERWKSHULRGVDWDSSUR[LPDWHO\SHUFHQW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
631
FIG 1 - Mine closures and real coal prices in Australian dollars adjusted for inflation.
TABLE 3
Reserves reported the year before mine closure.
Category
Total
Underground
Open cut
Queensland
Mt
Mt
Mt
Mt
Mt
Reserve depletion
39
32
25
14
37
22
14
17
15
Uneconomic
34
40
25
43
58
23
43
11
30
Geology
30
30
30
30
Other
22
59
17
39
100
13
45
94
Totals/average
101
33
73
29
28
61
63
32
38
38
7ZRRWKHUWUHQGVLQUHJDUGVWRWKHTXDQWLW\RIORVW5HVHUYHV
DUHDOVRZRUWKKLJKOLJKWLQJ
7KH TXDQWLWLHV RI ORVW 5HVHUYHV LQ DOO FDWHJRULHV LQ WKH
VHFRQGFORVXUHF\FOHKDYHIDOOHQVXJJHVWLQJDVLJQLFDQW
LPSURYHPHQWLQ5HVHUYHUHSRUWLQJEHWZHHQWKHVHF\FOHV
7KHVL[UHFHQWPLQHFORVXUHVDQGPD\KHUDOG
D QHZ SHULRG RI UDWLRQDOLVDWLRQ DQG RQO\ WLPH ZLOO WHOO
LI WKLV LV WKH FDVH 2I WKHVH FORVXUHV SHU FHQW DUH WKH
FRQVHTXHQFH RI 5HVHUYH GHSOHWLRQ DQG SHU FHQW WKH
FRQVHTXHQFHRIGHFOLQLQJHFRQRPLFVWKHODWHUGLIFXOWWR
H[SODLQFRQVLGHULQJWKDWFRDOSULFHVUHPDLQDWKLVWRULFDO
KLJKV,QUHFHQW\HDUVFRDOSULFHVKDYHEHHQKLJKWKRXJK
YRODWLOH UHVXOWLQJ LQ PDQ\ QHZ DQG UHRSHQHG PLQHV
FRQWULEXWLQJ WR SURGXFWLRQ 2QH PD\ VSHFXODWH WKDW
WKHVHUHFHQWKLJKSULFHVPD\KDYHDOORZHGIRUXQFKHFNHG
LQFUHDVHV LQ RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV DQG RWKHU LPSRVWV ZKLFK
PD\QRZKDYHDGDPDJLQJLPSDFWRQPLQHFRVWVGHVSLWH
SULFHV UHWXUQLQJ WR MXVW DERYH KLVWRULFDOO\ QRUPDO OHYHOV
7KH UHFHQW FORVXUH RI 1RUZLFK 3DUN LV RI FRQFHUQ DV LW
KDV RSHUDWHG IRU RYHU \HDUV WKURXJK WLPHV RI PXFK
ORZHU FRDO SULFHV RQO\ WR UHFHQWO\ VXFFXPE WR HFRQRPLF
SUHVVXUHV ZKHQ LQGH[HG $ SULFHV DUH VWLOO WZLFH WKH
KLVWRULFDODYHUDJH,QGHHGIURPWRFRDOSULFHV
ZHUHVWHDG\DW86$IRUFRNLQJFRDODQG86
$IRUVWHDPLQJFRDOERWKRIZKLFKDUHVLJQLFDQWO\
ORZHU WKDQ FXUUHQW SULFHV 7KLV FORVXUH FRXOG EH
632
LQWHUSUHWHGDVEHLQJWRVRPHH[WHQWDWOHDVWDQH[DPSOH
RI0XUSK\VODZWKHRQHZKHUHH[SHQGLWXUHH[SDQGVWR
OOWKHLQFRPHDYDLODEOH
Reserves, Reserves and not a Tonne to Mine A Study of Reserves Reported Prior to Mine Closure| M Creech
633
SULFHUDWKHUWKDQD5HVHUYHUHSRUWZRXOGZDUUDQWDSOHDVH
H[SODLQIURPWKH$6;8QIRUWXQDWHO\QRVLPLODUUHJXODWRU\
DJVDUHUDLVHGZKHQ5HVHUYHVDUHVXGGHQO\GRZQJUDGHG
7KLVSRLQWLVUHWXUQHGWRLQWKHFRQFOXVLRQRIWKLVVWXG\
7KHTXDQWLW\RI5HVHUYHVLVQRWRQO\WRRKLJKEXWDSSHDUV
WREHODUJHO\LQGHSHQGHQWRIWKHUHDVRQIRUFORVXUH7KLV
VXJJHVWVWKHFDXVHVIRUDKLJKUHVXOWUHHFWXQGHUO\LQJ
FRUSRUDWHLVVXHVLQUHJDUGVWR5HVHUYHUHSRUWLQJ
5HVHUYH UHSRUWLQJ VKRZV HYLGHQFH RI D ODFN RI
FRUSRUDWH YLJLODQFH DQG D UHOXFWDQFH WR UHSRUW 5HVHUYHV
GRZQJUDGLQJUHVXOWLQJLQWRRLQIUHTXHQWUHYLVLRQV
$VDFRQVHTXHQFH WKH DXWKRU SURSRVHV WKDW FRUSRUDWHDQG
JRYHUQDQFH LVVXHV EH PRUH WDUJHWHG WR LPSURYH 5HVHUYH
UHSRUWLQJ SUDFWLFHVUDWKHU WKDQ WHFKQLFDOLVVXHVWKRXJKQR
GRXEW SOD\LQJ D UROH 7KH DXWKRU VXJJHVWV WKH IROORZLQJ
LPSURYHPHQWVEHFRQVLGHUHG
2. The revised ASX Listing Rules, which become mandatory on 1 December 2013, now
require at 5.21.1 a summary of the results of the mining entitys annual review of its
Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves be included in the company annual report.
634
,QWKHLQWHUHVWVRIQLVKLQJRQDJRRGQRWHKRZHYHUWKLV
VWXG\GRHVGHPRQVWUDWHWKDW5HVHUYHUHSRUWLQJKDVLPSURYHG
RYHU WKH ODVW IRXU GHFDGHV )LJXUH 7KHUH FRQWLQXHV
WR EH RFFDVLRQDO RXWOLHUV WR WKH GRZQZDUG WUHQG EXW LQ
UHFHQW WLPHV WKHVH DUH JHQHUDOO\ D UHVXOW RI XQH[SHFWHG RU
FRUSRUDWH FORVXUHV RWKHU DQG JHRORJ\ ,W LV FHUWDLQO\ QR
FRLQFLGHQFHWKDWWKHWLPHIUDPHRIWKLVVWXG\KDVSDUDOOHOHG
WKH LQWURGXFWLRQ DQG GHYHORSPHQW RI WKH -25& &RGH IRU
UHSRUWLQJ 5HVRXUFHV DQG 5HVHUYHV $OWKRXJK WKH JHQHUDO
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKLV UHSRUWLQJ PHFKDQLVP KDV VKRZQ
HYLGHQFH RI JUDGXDO LPSURYHPHQW WKHUH LV REYLRXVO\ URRP
IRU EHWWHU FKHFNV DQG EDODQFHV KLJKOLJKWHG E\ WKLV VWXG\
7KHUHFHQWHPSKDVLVRQFODULW\DQGWUDQVSDUHQF\LQUHSRUWLQJ
ZLOOLQWKHDXWKRUVRSLQLRQHQVXUHIXUWKHUUHGXFWLRQVLQWKH
DYHUDJHORVW5HVHUYHVLQ\HDUVDKHDG
7KHDXWKRUZLOOUHSRUWEDFNLQWKHQHDUIXWXUH
REFERENCES
1HZ6RXWK:DOHV'HSDUWPHQWRI7UDGHDQG,QYHVWPHQWNew
6RXWK:DOHV&RDO,QGXVWU\3UROHDQQXDOSXEOLFDWLRQ
HOME
1. Principal Geologist, Project Manager, IMC Group Consulting Ltd, 10 Grosvenor Gardens, London SW1W 0DH, UK. Email: [email protected]
2. Principal Financial Expert, IMC Group Consulting, UK, Icon Business Centre, Lakeview Drive, Sherwood Park NG15 0DT, UK. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
*OREDOLVDWLRQRIHFRQRPLHVDQGWHFKQRORJLFDODGYDQFHPHQWV
DURXQG WKH ZRUOG KDYH PDGH PDQ\ PLQLQJ SURMHFWV PRUH
HDVLO\ DFFHVVLEOH WR LQWHUQDWLRQDO FRPSDQLHV IURP ERWK D
SURGXFWLRQ DQG QDQFLQJ SRLQW RI YLHZ $V WKH QDQFLDO
UHZDUGVFDQEHOXFUDWLYHHVSHFLDOO\LQWKHIURQWLHUDUHDVWKHUH
DUH PDQ\ LQFHQWLYHV WR EULQJ WKHVH SURMHFWV LQWR SURGXFWLRQ
DQG WUDQVIHU WKH SURGXFWV IURP WKH JURXQG WR HQG XVHUV LQ
D WLPHO\ PDQQHU )RU WKLV UHDVRQ DOO SDUWLHV ZLWK D YHVWHG
LQWHUHVWLQDSURMHFWZDQWWRNQRZWKHTXDOLW\DQGWKHTXDQWLW\
RIWKH5HVRXUFHVDQG5HVHUYHVDYDLODEOHIRUWKHSURMHFWVRWKDW
FDVKRZVDQGSURWDQGORVVFDQEHGHWHUPLQHGIRUIXWXUH
\HDUV
$W WKLV SRLQW VWDQGDUGLVHG UHSRUWLQJ IRU 5HVRXUFHV DQG
5HVHUYHVEHFRPHVDQLPSRUWDQWLVVXHIRUDOOLQWHUHVWHGSDUWLHV
VLQFHWKHPLQLQJSURMHFWVOLNHDQ\RWKHUZLOOKDYHXQGHUO\LQJ
ULVNV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKHP 7KHUH DUH VHYHUDO LQWHUQDWLRQDO
FRGHVVHWWLQJRXWWKHPLQLPXPVWDQGDUGVUHFRPPHQGDWLRQV
DQG JXLGHOLQHV IRU 3XEOLF 5HSRUWLQJ RI ([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHV&RQVLGHUDEOHSURJUHVV
KDVEHHQPDGHWRZDUGVWKHZLGHVSUHDGDGRSWLRQRIFRQVLVWHQW
UHSRUWLQJVWDQGDUGVWKURXJKRXWWKHZRUOGDVDUHVXOWRIWKH
ZRUN RI WKH &RPELQHG 5HVHUYHV ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 5HSRUWLQJ
635
TABLE 1
Evaluation of risks.
Risk rank = consequence likelihood
Likelihood
Rare
(1)
Unlikely
(2)
Possible
(3)
Likely
(4)
Almost
certain (5)
Insignificant
Minor
10
Moderate
12
15
Consequence
Major
12
16
20
Catastrophic
10
15
20
25
Low risk
636
Medium risk
High risk
,Q SUDFWLFH LW PD\ EH QHFHVVDU\ WR XVH D FRPELQDWLRQ RI
DSSURDFKHVWRFRQWURODULVN$&35PD\DGGUHVVWKHVHULVNV
DQGPLWLJDWLQJIDFWRUVDWWKHVDPHWLPHWRKLJKOLJKWSRWHQWLDO
LVVXHV FKDOOHQJLQJ SURMHFW RSHUDWRUV 0LWLJDWLRQ XVXDOO\
LQYROYHVHOLPLQDWLQJWKHULVNDOWRJHWKHUVXEVWLWXWLQJWKHULVN
ZLWK VRPHWKLQJ OHVV ULVN\ LVRODWLQJ WKH ULVN HQJLQHHULQJ WR
UHGXFHWKHULVNDQGPDQDJLQJULVNWROHVVHQWKHH[SRVXUH6WLOO
VDIHW\DQGDOOIRUPVRIULVNPLWLJDWLRQPXVWEHWKHSULRULW\IRU
DOOFRQFHUQHG
7KHW\SLFDO&35LVXVXDOO\FRPSLOHGE\DQXPEHURIH[SHUWV
IURP GLIIHUHQW GLVFLSOLQHV DQG LQFOXGHV VHYHUDO KHDGLQJV RQ
JHRORJLFDOPLQLQJDQGRWKHUULVNVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHSURMHFW
IXUWKHU LW VKRXOG HQGRUVH DQG UHHFW WKH WUDQVSDUHQF\
SULQFLSOH DV GHVFULEHG LQ LQWHUQDWLRQDO FRGHV VXFK DV -25&
7KHVH ULVN DQDO\VHV PD\ DOVR LQFOXGH GLVFXVVLRQ RQ ULVN
VWUDWHJLHV WR PLWLJDWH WKHLU QHJDWLYH LPSDFW RQ WKH SURMHFW
:KHQ FRQYHUWLQJ 5HVRXUFHV LQWR 5HVHUYHV WKH VRFDOOHG
0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV ZKLFK LQFOXGH PLQLQJ SURFHVVLQJ
PHWDOOXUJLFDO LQIUDVWUXFWXUH HQYLURQPHQWDO VRFLDO
PDUNHWLQJHFRQRPLFOHJDODQGJRYHUQPHQWDOFRQVLGHUDWLRQV
DOVRQHHGWREHWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQW
,QIRUPDWLRQ PD\ QRW EH HDVLO\ DSSDUHQW RU REYLRXV WR
WKH XQWUDLQHG UHDGHU RI D &35 RU LWV LPSDFW PD\ QRW EH
FRPSUHKHQGHG LPPHGLDWHO\ KRZHYHU ZKDWV LPSRUWDQW LV
WKDWVXFKULVNVDUHRSHQO\GLVFORVHGZKHUHYHUSRVVLEOHVRWKDW
GHFLVLRQPDNHUVFDQXQGHUVWDQGWKHPDQGPDNHDQLQIRUPHG
GHFLVLRQUHJDUGLQJWKHSURMHFWLQTXHVWLRQ)RUH[DPSOHWKH
7DEOH &KHFNOLVW RI $VVHVVPHQW DQG 5HSRUWLQJ &ULWHULD
FKHFNOLVW WDEOH LQ WKH -25& &RGH LV D JUHDW KHOS IRU
WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQWRDSSURDFKDOOWKHVHULVNLVVXHVLQD
PHWKRGLFDOZD\
,QRUGHUWRJLYHDFOHDUXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIZKDWWKHSRVVLEOH
JHRORJLFDO DQG PLQLQJ ULVNV DUH LQ 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH
DVVHVVPHQWV WKH IROORZLQJ OLVW KDV EHHQ FKRVHQ IURP FRDO
PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQV 7KLV LV GXH WR WKH FRPEXVWLEOH QDWXUH
RI WKH UDZ PDWHULDO DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK QDWXUDOO\ RFFXUULQJ
H[SORVLYHPHWKDQHFRQWHQWEXWWKHXQGHUO\LQJSULQFLSOHVDUH
DOVRDSSOLFDEOHWRRWKHUPLQLQJFRPPRGLWLHV
Reliability of data
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVPXVWLQVSHFWDOODYDLODEOHGDWDSUHVHQWHG
IRU WKHLU DVVHVVPHQW RI WKH GHSRVLW DQG VDWLVI\ WKHPVHOYHV
WKDW WKH GDWD JHQHUDWLRQ DQG PDQDJHPHQW SURFHVV XVHG
LQ HVWLPDWLRQ RI 5HVRXUFHV DQG 5HVHUYHV LV DFFHSWDEOH WR
LQWHUQDWLRQDOVWDQGDUGV7KHFKHFNOLVWWDEOHRIWKH-25&&RGH
JLYHVDOLVWRIGRFXPHQWVDQGSURFHVVHVWREHFKHFNHGE\WKH
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQ$OWKRXJKWKLVOLVWLVTXLWHFRPSUHKHQVLYH
WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ VWLOO QHHGV WR FKHFN DQ\ IRU RWKHU
UHOHYDQW GRFXPHQWDWLRQ QRW LQ WKH OLVW ,Q PDQ\ LQVWDQFHV
GDWD JHQHUDWHG IURP SDVW VWXGLHV PD\ QRW EH WUDFHDEOH
UHOLDEOH UHSHDWDEOH RU UHSURGXFLEOH ,Q VXFK FLUFXPVWDQFHV
GDWD FDQ EH GLVPLVVHG DQG GHFODUHG XQUHOLDEOH DQGRU LQ
QHHGRIFRQUPDWLRQE\DGGLWLRQDOVWXGLHV
Back to Basics Geological and Mining Risks and Financial Issues on Resource and Reserve Evaluation in Coal Projects|H Arden and W Lewis
DQ\PLQLQJRSHUDWLRQVRWKDWWKHSURSHUHTXLSPHQWDQGPLQH
GHVLJQFDQEHSXWLQWRSUDFWLFH
)XUWKHUPRUH MRLQWLQJ DQG IUDFWXULQJ PD\ SRVH DGGLWLRQDO
FKDOOHQJHV LQ XQGHUJURXQG ZRUNLQJV ZKHUH URRI VWDELOLW\
FDQEHDQLVVXH,QVRPHRSHUDWLRQVKHDYLO\IUDFWXUHG]RQHV
FDQHDVLO\FDYHLQXQH[SHFWHGO\DQGWKUHDWHQWKHKHDOWKDQG
VDIHW\ RI SHUVRQQHO DV ZHOO DV MHRSDUGLVLQJ WKH PDFKLQHU\
SHUIRUPDQFH
Seam continuity
,Q FRDO GHSRVLWV LW LV YHU\ FRPPRQ WR VHH FRDO VHDPV
WKLQQLQJRUVSOLWWLQJGXHWRWKHLUSODVWLFQDWXUH7KHUHIRUHLW
LV LPSRUWDQW WR FKDUDFWHULVH VHDP JHRPHWU\ LQ D GHSRVLW VR
WKDW PLQH VFKHGXOLQJ ZLOO WDNH LQWR DFFRXQW WKLFN DQG WKLQ
SRUWLRQVRIWKHFRDOZKHUHFRDOVHDPVFDQEHH[WUDFWHGLQDQ
RSWLPXPZD\,IWKHVHDPFRQWLQXLW\LVQRWZHOOGHQHGLQ
WKHGHSRVLWGHOD\VLQPDFKLQHRSHUDWLRQDQGORVVRIYROXPHV
DUHLQHYLWDEOH
,WLVDOVRSRVVLEOHWRHQFRXQWHUVHDPVEHLQJUHJXODUO\HURGHG
DQGUHSODFHGE\VDQGVWRQHFKDQQHOVFDOOHGZDVKRXWV:KHQ
WKLV KDSSHQV DQG LW LV QRW GHWHUPLQHG HDUOLHU FRDO VHDP
YROXPHVPD\QRORQJHUVXVWDLQWKHRSHUDWLRQVDQGWKHPLQH
PDFKLQHU\ZLOOFXWDWUHPHQGRXVDPRXQWRIURFNZKLFKZLOO
FDXVHZHDUDQGWHDULQWKHHTXLSPHQWDQGVKRUWHQWKHOLIHRI
WKHPDFKLQHU\'XULQJWKHVHGHOD\VQRSURGXFWLRQZLOOFRPH
IURPRSHUDWLRQV7KLVFDQVNHZFDVKRZSURMHFWLRQVIRUWKDW
SHULRG DQG SXW SUHVVXUH RQ RSHUDWLRQV WU\LQJ WR SHUIRUP
QDQFLDOO\LQDPDQDJHDEOHPDQQHU7KH&35ZLOOKLJKOLJKW
ZKHWKHU WKH GHSRVLW LQ TXHVWLRQ KDV DQ\ DVVRFLDWLRQ ZLWK
ZDVKRXWVDQGVHDPVSOLWWLQJWKLQQLQJWKURXJKGRFXPHQWHG
HYLGHQFH
6HDP FRQWLQXLW\ FDQ DOVR EH GLVUXSWHG E\ WKH SUHVHQFH
RI LJQHRXV G\NHV RU VLOOV LQ WKH FRDO GHSRVLWV :KHQ WKLV
KDSSHQVFRDOTXDOLW\XVXDOO\GHWHULRUDWHVDQGWKHFRDOORVHV
LWV VDOHDEOH FKDUDFWHU 6RPH GHSRVLWV DURXQG WKH ZRUOG FDQ
EH KHDYLO\ GLVVHFWHG E\ WKHVH LJQHRXV LQWUXVLRQV WKHUHIRUH
LW LV LPSRUWDQW WR GHOLQHDWH WKH H[WHQW RI G\NHV LQ WKH HOG
E\ JHRSK\VLFDO PHWKRGV DQG RWKHU H[SORUDWLRQ WRROV 7KH
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV UHSRUW VKRXOG KLJKOLJKW WKH SUHVHQFH
DQG H[WHQW RI WKHVH LJQHRXV ERGLHV DQG WKHLU LPSDFW RQ WKH
VXUURXQGLQJFRDOVHDPV
Coal quality
7KLVLVRQHRIWKHPRVWLPSRUWDQWDVSHFWVRIDQ\&35DVWKH
UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU FRDO TXDOLW\ LQ WKHUPDO RU PHWDOOXUJLFDO
DSSOLFDWLRQV E\ HQG XVHUV ZLOO EH GLIIHUHQW IRU HDFK FRDO
JUDGH DQG WKH FRDO SULFH ZLOO EH GHWHUPLQHG DFFRUGLQJO\
7KH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV UHSRUW VKRXOG KLJKOLJKW DQ\ DUHDV
LQ RSHUDWLRQV ZKHUH FRDO TXDOLW\ GHWHULRUDWHV DQG ZKHWKHU
LWV H[WHQW LV NQRZQ E\ WKH SURMHFW PDQDJHPHQW WHDP
'HOHWHULRXV HOHPHQWV VKRXOG DOVR EH ZHOO GHQHG IRU WKH
SURGXFWFRDO'LVFXVVLRQRQDQ\RIWKHGHOHWHULRXVHOHPHQWV
LISUHVHQWVKRXOGEHHQFRXUDJHGVLQFHUHODWHGHQYLURQPHQWDO
DQG WHFKQRORJLFDO FRQFHUQV FDQ FDXVH WKH SURGXFW WR EH
GRZQJUDGHG &RDO TXDOLW\ LPSURYHPHQW DQG GHWHULRUDWLRQ
ZLOODOVREHUHHFWHGLQWKHSULFHZKLFKFDQVHULRXVO\DIIHFW
FDVKRZSURMHFWLRQV
,QVRPHGHSRVLWVVLJQLFDQWUDQNYDULDWLRQLQFRDOFDQEH
HQFRXQWHUHG ,Q DGGLWLRQ WR WKH QDWXUDO UDQN LQFUHDVH ZLWK
GHSWK WKLV DOVR KDSSHQV ZKHQ ERWK G\NHVVLOOV DQG EXULDO
DQG XSOLIWLQJ RI IDXOWHG EORFNV DUH SUHVHQW 3ULPH FRNLQJ
FRDOVZLWKYLWULQLWHUHHFWDQFHYDOXHVDW\SHRIUDQNLQGLFDWRU
IRU FRDOV EHWZHHQ SHU FHQW DQG SHU FHQW DQG ZLWK
GHVLUDEOH FRNLQJ FKDUDFWHULVWLFV JHQHUDOO\ IHWFK SUHPLXP
SULFHV LQ WKH PDUNHW &RNLQJ FRDOV ZLWK UHHFWDQFH YDOXHV
DERYH SHU FHQW DUH JHQHUDOO\ OHVV GHVLUDEOH IRU FRNLQJ
FRDO PDUNHWV DQG FDQ RQO\ EH XVHG DV D EOHQG LPSURYHU LQ
FRDOFKDUJHVDWWKHFRNHEDWWHULHV2WKHUZLVHKLJKSUHVVXUHV
JHQHUDWHGLQWKHFRNHPDNLQJSURFHVVPD\GDPDJHWKHFRNH
RYHQ ZDOOV DQG WKHVH FDQ EH H[WUHPHO\ H[SHQVLYH WR UHSDLU
,I VLJQLFDQW YDULDWLRQV LQ FRDO UDQN DUH HQFRXQWHUHG DW WKH
GHSRVLWEXWWKLVKDVQRWEHHQDQWLFLSDWHGLQLWLDOO\TXDQWLWLHV
SURGXFHGIURPKLJKUDQNDUHDVPD\H[SHULHQFHVRPHPDUNHW
UHVLVWDQFHLQWKHIXWXUH
Hydrogeological issues
7KH REYLRXV ULVN IURP WKH K\GURJHRORJLFDO LVVXHV LQ
DQ\ GHSRVLW LV WKH RFFXUUHQFH RI RRGLQJ 8QGHUJURXQG
DQG VXUIDFH PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQV FDQ H[SHULHQFH LQJUHVV RI
JURXQGZDWHU RU XQFRQWUROOHG VXUIDFH UXQRII VXFK DV IURP
DVK RRGLQJ DIWHU KHDY\ UDLQV LI SURWHFWLRQ PHDVXUHV LQ
SODFHFDQQRWFRSHZLWKWKHDPRXQWRIZDWHUFRPLQJLQWRWKH
ZRUNLQJV)ORRGLQJFDQGHVWDELOLVHSLWZDOOVUHVXOWLQJLQPLQH
FROODSVHDQGORVVRIOLIHDVVHWVDQGSURSHUW\)RUH[DPSOHWKH
RRGVLQ4XHHQVODQG$XVWUDOLDDFRXSOHRI\HDUVDJRFDXVHG
VLJQLFDQWPLQLQJORVVHVZKLFKLQFOXGHGDQHVWLPDWHGORVVRI
PLQLQJUHYHQXHVRIDERXWWZRWRELOOLRQGROODUV
$ JRRG PHDVXUH WR SUHYHQW ZDWHU HQWHULQJ PLQHV LV
LQLWLDOO\WRFKDUDFWHULVHWKHK\GURORJLFDODQGK\GURJHRORJLFDO
FRQGLWLRQVDWWKHVLWHDQGLWVVXUURXQGLQJVWKHQWRHUHFWOHYHH
EDQNV DJDLQVW RRG DQG LQVWDOO D QHWZRUN RI ERUHKROHV DQG
SXPSVWDWLRQVDWDSSURSULDWHORFDWLRQV7KHVHZLOOEHFULWLFDO
IRUWKHFRQWLQXRXVGHZDWHULQJRIPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQVHJDWWKH
ZRUNLQJPLQHIDFH,QWKHXQGHUJURXQGHQYLURQPHQWZDWHU
LQJUHVVWKURXJKIDXOWSODQHVFDQDOVREHDSUREOHP7KHUHIRUH
DJRRGGHVFULSWLRQRIWKHK\GURJHRORJLFDOFKDUDFWHULVWLFVDQG
VWUXFWXUDOIUDPHZRUNDWWKHSURMHFWVLWHEHFRPHVDFUXFLDOVWHS
LQPLQHRSHUDWLRQV
([WUHPH DWPRVSKHULF FRQGLWLRQV VQRZ IURVW WKDZ
HWF SDUWLFXODUO\ LQ FROG ORFDWLRQV FDQ DOVR FDXVH LQWHQVLYH
ZHDWKHULQJ7KLVOHDGVWRVORXJKLQJDQGFROODSVHRIVORSHVRI
WKHRSHQSLWVZKLFKFDQKLQGHUSURGXFWLRQVLJQLFDQWO\
7KH FRQVHTXHQFHV RI ZDWHU LQJUHVV FDQ EH D YHU\ FRVWO\
H[HUFLVH IRU RSHUDWLRQV :DWHU PXVW EH SXPSHG RXW RI WKH
RRGHGSLWVDQGZRUNLQJVPXGUHPRYHGDQGOHYHHVUHEXLOW
)ORRGLQJ RI D ORQJZDOO D VLQJOH ORQJ FRDO SURGXFWLRQ IDFH
DWXQGHUJURXQGFRDOPLQHVFDQEHSDUWLFXODUO\FRVWO\DVWKH
HTXLSPHQWFDQQRWEHVDOYDJHGLQVRPHFLUFXPVWDQFHV
Geotechnical issues
7HFWRQLFDOO\ FRPSOH[ GHSRVLWV FRPELQHG ZLWK LQFRPSHWHQW
OLWKRORJ\ DOZD\V SRVH FKDOOHQJHV IRU RSHUDWRUV LQ WHUPV RI
JHRWHFKQLFDO VWDELOLW\ IRU JURXQG DQG URRI FRQWURO QRW RQO\
LQ WKH XQGHUJURXQG HQYLURQPHQW EXW DOVR IRU EHQFK DQG
KLJKZDOOFRQWUROLQVXUIDFHPLQHV7KHUHIRUHLWLVLPSRUWDQW
WRGHOLQHDWHWKHVWUXFWXUDODQGOLWKRORJLFDOIUDPHZRUNZKHUH
WHFWRQLFHOHPHQWVDUHDSSURSULDWHO\FKDUDFWHULVHG0LWLJDWLQJ
PHDVXUHV VXFK DV WKH XVH RI URRI DQG RRU PRQLWRULQJ
HTXLSPHQWDQGWKHXVHRIURRIEROWLQJDQFKRULQJPHVKLQJ
VFUHHQLQJ DJDLQVW DQ\ URFN IDOOV IURP WKH URRI VKRXOG EH
VXLWDEO\LPSOHPHQWHGLQXQGHUJURXQGZRUNLQJV
$W VXUIDFH PLQHV VORSH VWDELOLW\ RI SLW ZDOOV DQG LQSLW
DQG RXWRISLW ZDVWH GXPS GHVLJQV DUH RQH RI WKH PRVW
LPSRUWDQWSDUDPHWHUVIRUVDIHRSHUDWLRQV)RUWKLVUHDVRQLW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
637
LVSDUDPRXQWWRXQGHUWDNHWKHQHFHVVDU\JHRWHFKQLFDOVWXGLHV
LQ RUGHU WR UHDFK WKH RSWLPXP DQG VDIH SLW GHVLJQ DV ZHOO
DV DSSURSULDWH SLW VORSH SUROHV ZLWK UHIHUHQFH WR EHQFK
VHSDUDWLRQKHLJKWVDQGEDWWHUVORSHV7KH&35VKRXOGLGHDOO\
DGGUHVVDQ\REYLRXVJHRWHFKQLFDOLVVXHDQGLGHQWLI\SRWHQWLDO
ULVNVWKDWZRXOGKLQGHURSHUDWLRQV
Spontaneous combustion
6SRQWDQHRXVFRPEXVWLRQLVDQR[LGDWLRQSURFHVVWKDWRFFXUV
ZLWKRXWDQH[WHUQDOKHDWVRXUFH2QFHWKHUHDFWLRQUHDFKHVD
FULWLFDOWHPSHUDWXUHLWFDQHYHQWXDOO\OHDGWRRSHQDPHDQG
EXUQLQJRIPDWHULDO'XHWRLWVKLJKFDUERQFRQWHQWFRDOVHDPV
FDQ EH SURQH WR VSRQWDQHRXV FRPEXVWLRQ LQ XQGHUJURXQG
DQGVXUIDFHRSHUDWLRQV
1RW DOO FRDOV FDQ EH SURQH WR VSRQWDQHRXV FRPEXVWLRQ
,Q XQGHUJURXQG PLQHV WKH SULPDU\ FDXVH RI VSRQWDQHRXV
FRPEXVWLRQ LV FUXVKHG FRDO HLWKHU OHIW LQ JRDI3 DUHDV RU LQ
KLJKO\ VWUHVVHG SLOODUV WKDW LV LQ FRQWDFW ZLWK D VOXJJLVK
DLURZ 2Q WKH VXUIDFH VSRQWDQHRXV FRPEXVWLRQ LV XVXDOO\
DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK VWRFNSLOLQJ RI FRDO RU ZDVWH GXPSV
FRQWDLQLQJ UHMHFWHG FRDO PDWHULDO LQ XQFRQVROLGDWHG KHDSV
ZKHUHR[\JHQFDQFRPHLQWRFRQWDFWZLWKWKHFRDODQGKHDW
FDQQRWGLVVLSDWH7KHUHIRUHLWLVLPSRUWDQWWRNQRZZKHWKHU
WKH FRDO LQ WKH SURMHFW LV SURQH WR VSRQWDQHRXV FRPEXVWLRQ
WKURXJK D YLJRURXV WHVWLQJ SURJUDP VR WKDW PDQDJHPHQW
FDQ WDNH WKH QHFHVVDU\ SUHFDXWLRQV WR SUHYHQW DQG UHGXFH
VSRQWDQHRXVFRPEXVWLRQLQFLGHQWV,IVXFKPHDVXUHVDUHQRW
LPSOHPHQWHG SURGXFWLRQ ORVV RU SURGXFW ORVV ZKHUH WKHVH
LQFLGHQWVRFFXULVLQHYLWDEOH
Geothermal gradient
$VVRPHFRDOFDQEHH[WUDFWHGDWGHHSHUKRUL]RQVXQGHUJURXQG
HJ P EHORZ WKH VXUIDFH WKH JHRWKHUPDO JUDGLHQW
PD\ EH DQ LVVXH IRU RSHUDWLRQV DW WKHVH GHSWKV ,I DGHTXDWH
3. A longwall area behind the supports that has collapsed as planned.
4. Blocks of coal left intact to act as support for shafts or other underground workings.
638
PHDVXUHVDUHQRWLQSODFHVXFKDVDJRRGYHQWLODWLRQV\VWHP
DQGRUDLUFRQGLWLRQLQJXQLWVWKHORVVRIOLYHVDQG5HVHUYHV
DUH LQHYLWDEOH DV RSHUDWLQJ DW WKHVH GHSWKV DQG XQGHU WKHVH
KRWFRQGLWLRQVZRXOGEHYHU\GLIFXOW
Seismicity
(DUWKTXDNHVDQGPLQLQJLQGXFHGVHLVPLFHYHQWVRIVXIFLHQW
PDJQLWXGHFDQFDXVHVHULRXVGDPDJHWRPLQLQJH[FDYDWLRQV
DQGVXSSRUWVDQGFDQEHDFRQVWDQWULVNWRPLQLQJ,QJHQHUDO
VHLVPLFLW\ OHYHOV DUH KLJKHU DW JUHDWHU PLQLQJ GHSWKV DQG
FRQVHTXHQWO\ PRUH GDPDJLQJ 7KLV LV DOVR WUXH IRU OHVV
HODVWLF URFNV (YHQ HDUWKTXDNHV ZLWK DQ HSLFHQWUH IDU DZD\
IURP ZRUNLQJV FDQ FDXVH URRI FROODSVH DQG GDPDJH PLQLQJ
PDFKLQHU\
6HLVPLF DFWLYLW\ LQ PLQHV FDQ EH PRQLWRUHG E\ XVLQJ
JHRSKRQHVEXWWKHVHDUHODUJHO\DUHDFWLYHPHDVXUHWRGHWHFW
VHLVPLFDFWLYLW\KRZHYHULWLVVWLOODJRRGSUDFWLFHWRPRQLWRU
VXFKHYHQWVDQGWKLVPDWWHUVKRXOGEHPHQWLRQHGLQD&35
Subsidence
6XEVLGHQFH FDQ VRPHWLPHV EH DQ LVVXH ZKHUH PLQLQJ
RSHUDWLRQVWDNHSODFHLQUHVLGHQWLDODUHDVRUXQGHULPSRUWDQW
VXUIDFHLQIUDVWUXFWXUHVXFKDVUDLOZD\VEULGJHVPRQXPHQWV
RU SXEOLF DPHQLWLHV VSDV FUHDWLRQDO SDUNV HWF 6XEVLGHQFH
FDQ EH HVSHFLDOO\ SURPLQHQW LQ PXOWLVHDP FRDO H[WUDFWLRQV
ZKHUH LW FDQ SURSDJDWH LQ DPDOJDPDWHG IRUPDW 7KHUHIRUH
LWLVLPSRUWDQWWRVWHULOLVH5HVHUYHVXQGHUVXFKDUHDVRULILW
LV SHUPLVVLEOH WR RSHUDWH XQGHU ORFDO UXOHV DQG UHJXODWLRQV
D JRRG PRQLWRULQJ SUDFWLFH VKRXOG EH LQ SODFH DJDLQVW DQ\
GDPDJH WKDW PLJKW UHTXLUH FRPSHQVDWLRQ GXH WR PLQLQJ
DFWLYLW\ 6XFK FRVW DOORFDWLRQV VKRXOG EH SURMHFWHG GXULQJ
SURMHFWLPSOHPHQWDWLRQ
Infrastructure issues
$V WKH GHPDQG IRU UDZ PDWHULDOV LQ WKH ODVW VHYHUDO \HDUV
GURYH PDQ\ ORZHU TXDOLW\ DQG UHPRWHO\ ORFDWHG SURMHFWV
WR EHFRPH YLDEOH LQIUDVWUXFWXUH LVVXHV DUH LQFUHDVLQJO\
EHFRPLQJ DQ LPSRUWDQW WRSLF IRU WKHVH GHSRVLWV $V WKH
QDQFH IRU VXFK SURMHFWV LV XQGHU VFUXWLQ\ IURP QDWLRQDO
JRYHUQPHQWVZKRDUHGHVSHUDWHO\LQQHHGRIFDVKGXHWRWKHLU
EXGJHWDU\FRQVWUDLQWVDQGIURPVKDUHKROGHUVRIODUJHPLQLQJ
FRPSDQLHV ZKR GHPDQG QDQFLDO GLVFLSOLQH IRU WKH FDSLWDO
Back to Basics Geological and Mining Risks and Financial Issues on Resource and Reserve Evaluation in Coal Projects|H Arden and W Lewis
H[SHQGLWXUHWKHODFNRIVXIFLHQWLQIUDVWUXFWXUHLVEHFRPLQJ
WKHSULPDU\REVWDFOHWRWKHGHYHORSPHQWRIWKHVH5HVRXUFHV
7KH &35 VKRXOG HQVXUH WKDW DOO QHFHVVDU\ LQIUDVWUXFWXUH
LVVXHV KDYH EHHQ SURSHUO\ DGGUHVVHG LQ SURMHFWV 7KLV PD\
LQFOXGHLQIUDVWUXFWXUHGHFLWVLPSDFWLQJRQHQWHUSULVHYDOXH
WKHUHWXUQRQDOOFDSLWDOH[SHQGLWXUHLQFOXGLQJLQIUDVWUXFWXUH
DQGFRQVLGHUDWLRQIRUDSSURSULDWHQDQFLQJ7KHODWHVW
YHUVLRQRIWKH-25&&RGHDOVRDSSURSULDWHO\DFFRPPRGDWHV
WKH LQFOXVLRQ RI LQIUDVWUXFWXUDO PDWWHUV LQ WKH 0RGLI\LQJ
)DFWRUVOLVW,WDSSHDUVWKDWWKHGHYHORSPHQWRILQIUDVWUXFWXUH
ZRUOGZLGHZLOOFRQWLQXHWREHVORZHUDQGPRUHFRPSOLFDWHG
GXHWRFRPPHUFLDOULVNVLQYROYHGLQSURMHFWV
Skills shortages
$VWKHLPDJHRIPLQLQJLQWKHSXEOLFH\HVWLOOKDVDORQJZD\
WR JR DQG XQFHUWDLQWLHV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH QDWXUH RI VKRUW
EXVLQHVV F\FOHV DUH VWLOO JRYHUQLQJ IDFWRUV VNLOOV VKRUWDJHV
DUHDPDMRULVVXHJOREDOO\7KHULVNLVWKDWWKLVFRXOGFUHDWHD
JHQHUDWLRQRIZRUNHUVDQGSURIHVVLRQDOVZLWKRXWDQ\SURSHU
PHQWRUVKLS LQ SODFH 6ORZ JURZWK LQ WKLV DUHD FDQ LQFUHDVH
FRVWV LQ WKH ORQJ WHUP DQG VLJQLFDQW ULVNV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK
VNLOOVVKRUWDJHFDQLPSDFWRQSURGXFWLRQFDXVHSURMHFWGHOD\V
DQGLQFUHDVHODERXUFRVWV
$ FRPSHWHQW ZRUNIRUFH ZRXOG PDNH D KXJH GLIIHUHQFH WR
VXFFHVVIXO SURMHFW LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ DQG GHOLYHU\ RI SURGXFW
H[WUDFWHGIURPWKHJURXQGWRFRVWXPHUV3URMHFWVWKDWYDOXH
DQG GHYHORS ZRUNSODFH WUDLQLQJ DQG VXVWDLQDEOH VNLOOV
GHYHORSPHQW SURJUDPV WR OO JDSV DQG GHYHORS VWUDWHJLF
DOOLDQFHV ZLWK DFDGHPLF LQVWLWXWLRQV DQG ORFDO FRPPXQLWLHV
ZLOOEHUHJDUGHGKLJKO\LQWKHQHDUIXWXUH
Environmental issues
3XEOLF DZDUHQHVV RI PLQLQJ DFWLYLWLHV LPSDFWLQJ RQ WKH
LPPHGLDWH HQYLURQPHQW KDV EHHQ RQ WKH ULVH IRU WKH ODVW
FRXSOHRIGHFDGHV0LQLQJFRPSDQLHVKDYHDOVREHHQWU\LQJ
KDUGWRFKDQJHWKHLQGXVWU\VLPDJHDQGFOHDQXSLWVDFWVLQFH
WKHQ 8QIRUWXQDWH LQFLGHQWV VWLOO FDSWXUH SXEOLF DWWHQWLRQ
DQGWKHVHLVVXHVDUHLQFUHDVLQJO\SLFNHGXSE\LQWHUQDWLRQDO
DXGLHQFHV GXH WR LQFUHDVHG JOREDO FRPPXQLFDWLRQ WKURXJK
WKH LQWHUQDWLRQDO PHGLD DQG VRFLDO QHWZRUNLQJ VLWHV RQ WKH
LQWHUQHW
,WLVDZHOONQRZQIDFWWKDWSROOXWLRQWRZDWHUVWUHDPVDFLG
URFN GUDLQDJH DLU SROOXWLRQ KHDY\ PHWDO FRQFHQWUDWLRQ LQ
UXQRII DQG JURXQGZDWHU ODQG FOHDULQJ DQG GHIRUHVWDWLRQ
IRU PLQH VLWH PRXQWDLQ WRS UHPRYDO IDLOXUHV RI WDLOLQJ
GDPV DQG VSRLO KHDSV DUH RQO\ D IHZ RI WKH LVVXHV IDFHG LI
SURWHFWLYH DQG SUHYHQWLYH PHDVXUHV DUH QRW XQGHUWDNHQ DW
PLQHVLWHV
&RQVHTXHQFHV IRU GDPDJH WR WKH HQYLURQPHQW E\ SURMHFW
RZQHUV FDQ EH H[WUHPHO\ FRVWO\ WKH ORVV RI UHSXWDWLRQ WKH
ORVV RI ULJKW WR PLQH GXH WR FDQFHOODWLRQ RI WKH OLFHQVH DQG
UHPHGLDWLRQFRVWVIRUHQYLURQPHQWDOGDPDJHDUHH[DPSOHVRI
SRWHQWLDOQHJDWLYHLPSDFWV
,WLVDFRPIRUWLQJIDFWWKDWPDQ\FRPSDQLHVDUHLQFUHDVLQJO\
VXEVFULELQJ WR WKH (TXDWRU 3ULQFLSOHV D YROXQWDU\ FRGH
RI VWDQGDUGV IRU GHWHUPLQLQJ DVVHVVLQJ DQG PDQDJLQJ
VRFLDO DQG HQYLURQPHQWDO ULVN LQ SURMHFW QDQFLQJ ZKHUH
WRWDO FDSLWDO FRVWV H[FHHG 86 PLOOLRQ 7KH &35 FDQ
KLJKOLJKW WKH HQYLURQPHQWDO LVVXHV IRU WKLUG SDUWLHV DQG
JLYH DQ XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI SRWHQWLDO HQYLURQPHQWDO LPSDFWV
FRQVHTXHQWWRPLQLQJDFWLYLWLHV
FINANCIAL MATTERS
:LWKLQ WKH -25& &RGH RQH RI WKH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV WKDW
FDQ GHFLGH ZKHWKHU DQ RUHERG\ LV D 5HVRXUFH RU D 5HVHUYH
DQG ZKHWKHU WKH PLQHUDO RFFXUUHQFH LV ZRUWK SXUVXLQJ LV
HFRQRPLF<HWHFRQRPLFLVQRWDFWXDOO\GHQHG7KHUHDUH
VRPH FOXHV IRU FRVW DQG UHYHQXH IDFWRUV IRU DVVHVVPHQW LQ
7DEOHRIWKH&RGHEXWQRFOHDUGHQLWLRQ'RHVHFRQRPLF
PHDQ WKDW WKH SURMHFW RU DVVHW LV SURWDEOH" 2U PD\EH FDVK
SRVLWLYH" ,V WKLV WR LQFOXGH PRQH\ DOUHDG\ VSHQW RU RQO\
ORRNLQJIRUZDUG"2YHUZKDWWHUPVKRXOGWKHFDOFXODWLRQEH
FDUULHGRXW"$OOWKHVHTXHVWLRQVDUHVRPHZKDWJORVVHGRYHU
DQGZHWKHSUDFWLWLRQHUVDOOWHQGWRVKLUNDZD\IURPZKHWKHU
WKH FDOFXODWLRQ VKRXOG LQFOXGH WD[DWLRQ DQG ZKDW ZRXOG EH
DFFHSWDEOHGHSUHFLDWLRQ,IZHDUHFRQVLGHULQJSURWVKRXOG
ZH DOORZ IRU DQ HOHPHQW RI UHWXUQ WR OHQGHUVLQYHVWRUV DV
DQ DFFHSWDEOH FRVW DQG VKRXOG OHQGLQJ FRQVLGHUDWLRQV DOVR
JXUH":KDWLWFRPHVGRZQWRLVZKHWKHUDQRUHERG\VKRXOG
EHVXVWDLQDEOHQDQFLDOO\RUPHUHO\VKRZDFDVKUHWXUQ7REH
VXVWDLQDEOH QDQFLDOO\ ZH ZRXOG H[SHFW WR VHH D SURWDEOH
UHWXUQHQRXJKWRFRYHUWKHFRVWVDQGSD\IRUDOODVVRFLDWHG
HTXLSPHQWDQGUHVWRUDWLRQ6KRZLQJDFDVKUHWXUQGHSHQGV
RQ WKH WLPHVFDOH DQG ZH FDQ EH VHOHFWLYH DERXW WKH SHULRG
KHQFHPLVVLQJVRPHFRVWV
7KXVDVXVWDLQDEOHVFKHPHVKRXOGEHDEOHWREHDUDOOFRVWV
DVVRFLDWHGZLWKLWKRZHYHULIZHDSSO\FDVKRZFDOFXODWLRQV
JRLQJ IRUZDUG PRQLHV DOUHDG\ SDLG RXW DUH LJQRUHG 3URW
FDOFXODWLRQV ZLOO DOORZ IRU WKLV WKURXJK WKH GHSUHFLDWLRQ
FKDUJH EXW RI FRXUVH GLIIHUHQW FRPSDQLHV KDYH GLIIHUHQW
GHSUHFLDWLRQSROLFLHVWKDWZLOOFDXVHGLIIHUHQWUHVXOWVLQWHUPV
RIYDOXDWLRQ:KHQFRQVLGHULQJSURWDQGORVVLWVRPHWLPHV
PHDQVWKDWRQHVKRXOGDSSO\WD[DWLRQ7KLVFDQDGGLWLRQDOO\
FRPSOLFDWH PDWWHUV ,W LV QR FRLQFLGHQFH WKDW WD[DWLRQ LV
D VSHFLDOLVHG EUDQFK RI QDQFH WKDW KDV LWV RZQ LQVWLWXWH
7D[DWLRQ UHJLPHV GLIIHU IURP FRXQWU\ WR FRXQWU\ DQG IURP
FRPSDQ\ WR FRPSDQ\ ZKLFK IXUWKHU KLQGHUV DQ\ DWWHPSW
WR FRPSDUH SURMHFWV 0RUHRYHU LI VWDNHKROGHUV DUH ORFDWHG
RXWVLGH WKH SURMHFW FRXQWU\ WKHUH LV D SRWHQWLDO WUDQVIHU RI
SURWVWRNLQGHUWD[DWLRQUHJLPHV
7KH XSVKRW LV WKDW LW LV DOPRVW LPSRVVLEOH WR FRPSDUH
GLIIHUHQWSURMHFWVXQOHVVWKH\DUHEURXJKWWRDVLPLODUVWDQGDUG
,WPLJKWEHVDLGWKDWWKHUHLVQRQHHGWREULQJSURMHFWVWRWKH
VDPH EDVLV VLQFH HDFK LQYHVWPHQW RSSRUWXQLW\ LV SDUW RI D
VHSDUDWH H[HUFLVH DQG UHSRUW KRZHYHU WKH DXWKRUV EHOLHYH
WKDW LQYHVWRUV GHVHUYH WKH FKDQFH WR FRPSDUH LQYHVWPHQWV
HYHQWKRXJKWKH\PD\QRWEHORRNLQJDWWKHPVLGHE\VLGH
7KXVVRPHIRUPRIFRQVLVWHQF\LVQHHGHG
,QWKLVVHFWLRQVRPHRIWKHWHUPVDQGPHWKRGRORJLHVXVHG
E\WKHQDQFHH[SHUWRIWKHWHDPLQ5HVHUYHDVVHVVPHQWVZLOO
EHH[SODLQHGRUGHP\VWLHG
Valuation methodologies
$W WKH VLPSOHVW OHYHO RQH PHDVXUH ZRXOG EH ZKHWKHU D
SURMHFWUHWXUQVLQLQFRPHWKHFDVKH[SHQGHGWRGHYHORSWKH
SURMHFWDQGWKHDVVRFLDWHGFRVWVWKHFDVKRZVFHQDULR<HW
ZH LPPHGLDWHO\ HQFRXQWHU D SUREOHP ZKDW H[SHQGLWXUH
DQG LQFRPHV ZLOO EH FRXQWHG LQ WKH FDOFXODWLRQ" ,V WKH WRWDO
FRPSDQ\ ORRNHG DW ZKLFK PLJKW LQFOXGH PDQ\ PLQHV RU
SURMHFWVWKHLQGLYLGXDOPLQHSURMHFWRUPHUHO\WKHIXWXUHRI
WKHSURMHFW"
8VXDOO\D&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQZRXOGORRNDWDFRPSDQ\DVD
ZKROHRUDWOHDVWLQGLFDWHZKLFKSURMHFWVDUHLQFOXGHGLQWKH
DVVHVVPHQW ,Q VRPH FDVHV WKHUH DUH OLDELOLWLHV IURP FHUWDLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
639
RSHUDWLRQVWRRWKHUSDUWVRIWKHVDPHFRPSDQ\&DUHPXVWEH
WDNHQ WKDW WKHVH DUH QRW PLVVHG RU DW OHDVW WKDW WKH UHDGHU
LQYHVWRULVPDGHDZDUHRIWKHLUH[LVWHQFH7KLVFDQEHFODULHG
ZLWK IXUWKHU FRQVXOWDWLRQ EXW ZLOO QRW QHFHVVDULO\ LQGLFDWH
ZKHWKHU WKH FRPSDQ\ ZLOO KDYH WKH QHFHVVDU\ IXQGV WR
PDNHUHSD\PHQWVRILQYHVWPHQWZLWKLQWKHRYHUDOOVWUXFWXUH
([WHQGLQJWKLVODWWHUSRLQWLWLVDOVRZRUWKQRWLQJWKDWDWQR
WLPHLQDFDVKRZFDOFXODWLRQGRHVWKH&35JLYHDQLQGLFDWLRQ
DVWRZKHWKHUWKHFRPSDQ\FDQIXQGDOODFWLYLWLHVFRPSOHWHO\
6SHFLFDOO\ \HDUV RI QHJDWLYH FDVK RZ FDQ DQG ZLOO EH
FDQFHOOHGRXWE\SRVLWLYHRZVLQODWHU\HDUVKRZHYHUWKHUH
LVQRIDFLOLW\WRUHSRUWZKDWWKHPD[LPXPQHJDWLYHYDOXHZLOO
EH DQG ZKHWKHU WKDW OHYHO RI RXWRZ FDQ EH IXQGHG E\ DQ
RYHUGUDIWORDQRURWKHUPHDQV
7KHVH GD\V WKH WHQGHQF\ WR PRUH YHUWLFDO LQWHJUDWLRQ
PHDQVWKDWVRPHPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQVZKLOHEHLQJUHYLHZHGDV
VWDQGDORQH DUH DFWXDOO\ VHOOLQJ WKHLU HQWLUH SURGXFW ZLWKLQ
WKHFRPSDQ\,QVXFKFDVHVVRPHIRUPRILQWHUQDOSULFLQJRU
WUDQVIHUPHFKDQLVPLVXVHGWKDWPD\QRWZHOOUHHFWPDUNHW
SULFHV 7KHUH PD\ DOVR EH VRPH IRUP RI EDUWHU EHWZHHQ
FRPSDQLHV LQYROYLQJ RQH SURGXFW EHLQJ H[FKDQJHG DW
DJUHHGUDWLRVRIYROXPHV7KHVHSRWHQWLDOO\GLVWRUWHGLQFRPH
FDOFXODWLRQV FRXOG ZHOO OHDG WR D IDOVH YDOXDWLRQ $JDLQ WKH
&35VKRXOGKLJKOLJKWWKLVLVVXH
*HQHUDOO\ FDVK RZ LV EDVHG XSRQ WKH FDVK RZ JRLQJ
IRUZDUG EHFDXVH WKH YDOXDWLRQ LV VHW DW D SDUWLFXODU GDWH
DQG YDOXHV WKH 5HVRXUFHV5HVHUYHV WKDW UHPDLQ 7KLV LV QR
GRXEW XVHIXO IRU SRWHQWLDO LQYHVWRUV EXW LJQRUHV WKH LQSXWV
DQGH[SHFWDWLRQVRIFXUUHQWLQYHVWRUVZKRKDYHEURXJKWWKH
SURMHFW WR WKDW VWDJH $V SDUW RI D SUHYLRXV IXQGLQJ URXQG
LQYHVWRUVPD\DOUHDG\KDYHPDGHORDQVRUSURYLGHGVXSSRUW
LQH[SHFWDWLRQRIDUHSD\PHQWRUUHWXUQ,QGHHGWKHFRPSDQ\
PD\ KDYH DOUHDG\ VSHQW VLJQLFDQW DPRXQWV RI PRQH\ WR
FUHDWHWKHPLQH
:KHQORRNLQJDWVLPSOHFDVKRZDVORQJDV5HVRXUFHVH[LVW
LWPD\WDNHPDQ\\HDUVEXWVWLOOUHVXOWLQDSRVLWLYHYDOXDWLRQ
7KXVLWLVLPSRUWDQWWRNQRZKRZORQJLWPLJKWWDNHWRUHWXUQ
WKHLQYHVWPHQW7KLVLVWKHSD\EDFNWLPHPHDVXUHGLQ\HDUV
*HQHUDOO\ VSHDNLQJ H[SHUWV XVXDOO\ H[SHFW D VL[ RU VHYHQ
\HDUSD\EDFN7KLVLVQRWDEDGPHDVXUHEXWXVLQJWKLVQRUP
PDQ\ JRRG SURMHFWV DUH JRLQJ WR EH PLVVHG 6RPH SURMHFWV
HVSHFLDOO\JROGPLQHVKDYHDORQJHUSD\EDFNSHULRGGXHWR
WKHKLJKHULQLWLDOFRVWORQJHUFRQVWUXFWLRQSHULRGVDQGVORZHU
UDPSXS RI RXWSXWV <HW WKH\ FDQ ODVW PXFK ORQJHU DQG
SURGXFHYHU\KLJKLQFRPHVLQODWHU\HDUV
2QHQDOLVVXHWKDWLVZRUWKHPSKDVLVLQJDOOWKHVHFDVKRZ
YDOXDWLRQVZRUNRQWKHEDVLVRIDVXPPDWLRQRIDQQXDOFDVK
RZV$VPHQWLRQHGHDUOLHUQRQHRIWKHUHVXOWVWDNHDFFRXQW
RIDQ\FDVKGHFLWWKDWRFFXUVRYHUWKHGXUDWLRQRIWKHSURMHFW
,IWKHUHLVDGHFLWRIIXQGVWKDWH[FHHGVEDQNORDQOLPLWVRU
QDQFH UDLVHG RU FRQWLQJHQF\ RQ HTXLSPHQW EUHDNGRZQ
UHSODFHPHQWWKHUHLVQRPDUNHUWKDWDJVLW7KLVWUDSGRRU
WHVWIDLOV:KLOHRWKHULVVXHVPLJKWEHWRWDOO\DFFHSWDEOHDQG
RSHQWRLQWHUSUHWDWLRQWKLVLVDSDVVRUIDLOPDWWHU([FHHGLQJ
RYHUGUDIWOLPLWVUHVXOWVLQDGPLQLVWUDWLRQ\HWQRRQHERWKHUV
WRKLJKOLJKWKRZFORVHDSURMHFWFRPHVWRWKHOLPLWGXULQJDQ\
VWUHVVWHVWV
DV ZHOO DV WKH UDWH DW ZKLFK PRQH\ LV UHWXUQHG 5HVXOWV DUH
H[SUHVVHGDVDQHWSUHVHQWYDOXH139ZKLFKLVDWRWDOOLQJ
RI DOO WKH IXWXUH FDVK RZV EXW ZLWK KLJKHU YDOXH JLYHQ WR
HDUOLHU LQFRPHV 7KHUH LV VWLOO WKH SUREOHP RI ZKHUH WKH
YDOXDWLRQSRLQWLVVHWDQGKRZWKHHDUOLHULQYHVWPHQWLVGHDOW
ZLWK QRW WR PHQWLRQ KRZ WKH SURMHFW FDQ EH FRPSDUHG WR
VLPLODUSURMHFWVDURXQGWKHZRUOG$OWKRXJKWKHVHTXHVWLRQV
DUHLPSRUWDQWWRDQVZHULQGLYLGXDOO\WKH\ZLOOEHOHIWWRWKH
UHDGHU WR GHDO ZLWK DV WKH YDOXDWLRQ DQG FRPSDULVRQ EDVLV
PD\IXQGDPHQWDOO\GLIIHUIURPRQHLQVWLWXWLRQWRDQRWKHU
2QH RI WKH PRVW LPSRUWDQW IDFWRUV LQ '&) FDOFXODWLRQV LV
DWZKDWUDWHIXWXUHFDVKLVUHGXFHGDVWKH\HDUVJRE\WKH
GLVFRXQWLQJUDWH'57KLVLVWKHVXEMHFWRIRQJRLQJUHVHDUFK
LQWHUHVW DQG DUJXPHQW 7UDGLWLRQDOO\ SUDFWLWLRQHUV XVH WKH
ZHLJKWHG DYHUDJH FRVW RI FDSLWDO WKH XELTXLWRXV :$&&
D UHODWLYHO\ FRPSOH[ FDOFXODWLRQ WKDW LQYROYHV TXLWH D IHZ
VXEMHFWLYH GHFLVLRQV 2EYLRXVO\ WKH FRPSDQ\ LQYROYHG ZLOO
ZLVKWRVHHDVORZDGLVFRXQWLQJIDFWRUDVSRVVLEOHVLQFHWKLV
ZLOOLQFUHDVHWKHYDOXDWLRQFDOFXODWHG7KLVFDQOHDGWRORQJ
GLVFXVVLRQVEHWZHHQSURMHFWRZQHUVDQGWKH&35WHDPEDVHG
XSRQ GLIIHULQJ SHUFHSWLRQV <HW KDYLQJ UDLVHG QHZ QDQFH
WKH FRPSDQ\ :$&& ZLOO DOPRVW FHUWDLQO\ KDYH FKDQJHG
$JDLQ LV LW DSSURSULDWH WR DSSO\ D FRPSDQ\ZLGH GLVFRXQW
IDFWRU WR DQ LQGLYLGXDO SURMHFW ZLWKLQ D SRUWIROLR" ,V LW
DSSURSULDWHWRGLVFRXQWWKHSURMHFWDWDUDWHIRUWKHFRPSDQ\
ZKHQWKHIXQGLQJUDLVHGWRLPSOHPHQWWKHSURMHFWPD\KDYHD
PXFKGLIIHUHQWFRVW"2QHRIWKHVROXWLRQVWRWKLVFRQXQGUXP
LVWRDJUHHWRVRPHJXUHZLWKWKHSURMHFWRZQHUVEXWLQFOXGH
D WDEOH ZLWK UHVXOWV RYHU D UDQJH RI GLVFRXQW UDWHV LQ DQ\
YDOXDWLRQH[HUFLVH
$QRWKHUVLJQLFDQWGHEDWHLVKRZWRFDOFXODWHIXWXUHFRVWV
DQG LQFRPH 7KHUH DUH WZR RSWLRQV FDOFXODWH DOO JXUHV
YDOXHGDWDVSHFLFGDWHVXFKDV4XDUWHUWKHVRFDOOHG
UHDO PRGHO RU LQDWH DOO IXWXUH FRVWV DQG LQFRPH XVLQJ D
VSHFLFDQQXDOLQDWLRQUDWHWKHQRPLQDOPRGHO,QRUGHUWR
DUULYHDWDFRPSDUDEOHYDOXDWLRQXVLQJWKHGLIIHUHQWPHWKRGV
WKHWKHRU\WHOOVXVWKDWWKHGLVFRXQWUDWHDSSOLHGVKRXOGWKHQ
EH LQFUHDVHG E\ WKH YDOXH RI WKH LQDWLRQ UDWH DSSOLHG 7KH
RSWLRQVHOHFWHGLVEDVHGRQSHUVRQDOFKRLFHDQGH[SHULHQFH
VRPH SUHIHU WKH \HDURQ\HDU GLUHFW FRPSDULVRQ RI WKH UHDO
PRGHOZKLOHRWKHUVSUHIHUWRVHHKRZWKHYDULDEOHFRVWVDQG
LQFRPHVFKDQJH\HDURQ\HDUDVLQWKHQRPLQDOPRGHO
$SUDJPDWLFDSSURDFKZRXOGEHWRXVHWKHUHDOPRGHOZKLFK
DYRLGVWKHXVHRIGHOLEHUDWHO\LQWURGXFHGDQGXQFRQWUROODEOH
YDULDEOHV WKDW PXVW EH VXEMHFWLYHO\ HVWLPDWHG DQG WKHQ
DGMXVWHG :KR FDQ SURSRVH ZKDW WKH LQDWLRQ UDWH ZLOO EH
QH[W\HDUOHWDORQHKRZLWZLOOEHKDYHRYHUWKHOLIHWLPHRID
PRGHORUPLQH")XUWKHUPRUHLWLVPRVWOLNHO\WKDWGLIIHUHQW
FRVWVDQGVHOOLQJSULFHVZLOOLQDWHDWGLIIHUHQWUDWHVVRZKLFK
UDWHWRDSSO\"1RWPDQ\\HDUVDJRDWDUJHWIRU5XVVLDQ
LQDWLRQE\WKHVWDWHDXWKRULWLHVZDVGHWHUPLQHGWREHVL[SHU
FHQWE\ZKLFKDFFRUGLQJO\DGRSWHGE\WKHFRPSDQLHV
DURXQG WKH FRXQWU\ LQ WKHLU FDVK RZ SURMHFWLRQV 7KLV ZDV
XVHG H[WHQVLYHO\ LQ QRPLQDO PRGHOV EXW WKH UHDOLW\ SHU
FHQWZDVUHPDUNDEO\GLIIHUHQWLQ6RZKDWZDVWKHXVH
RIWKHQRPLQDOPRGHOLQWKHVHFDVHV"
6LPLODUO\ LV WKH LVVXH RI FXUUHQF\ WUDQVDFWLRQV 7KHVH FDQ
DIIHFW ERWK FRVWV DQG VHOOLQJ SULFHV DQG VRPHWLPHV EHFRPH
YHU\ LPSRUWDQW ZKHQ GHDOLQJ ZLWK LQWHUQDWLRQDO VDOHV RI
SURGXFW 6LQFH WKH YLHZ DERXW LQDWLRQ LV DOUHDG\ RXWOLQHG
DERYHLWFDQEHJXHVVHGWKDWWKHSUHIHUUHGPHWKRGRORJ\IRU
WKHQDQFLDOH[SHUWRIWKLVSDSHUZRXOGEHDW[HGH[FKDQJH
UDWHVZLWKRXWLQGXOJLQJLQSUHGLFWLRQV,QWXLWLYHO\RQHPLJKW
Back to Basics Geological and Mining Risks and Financial Issues on Resource and Reserve Evaluation in Coal Projects|H Arden and W Lewis
Terminal values
,WKDVEHFRPHSRSXODUWRYDOXHDSURMHFWEDVHGXSRQDUHODWLYHO\
ORQJ WLPH VSDQ DQG WKHQ DGG D WHUPLQDO YDOXH 79 ZKLFK
YDOXHV DOO VXEVHTXHQW \HDUV RI PLQLQJ 7KLV FDQ VRPHWLPHV
VLJQLFDQWO\ LQDWH WKH YDOXDWLRQ EXW DOVR WKH UHODWHG
5HVHUYHV2IWHQWKLVLVGRQHWRVDWLVI\VRPHPDFKRDSSURDFK
RQ WKH SDUW RI WKH FRPSDQ\ WR PD[LPLVH WKH YDOXDWLRQ RU
WKH5HVHUYHVVWDUWHG$WWKLVSRLQWLWLVZRUWKSRLQWLQJRXW
WKDW WKH DXWKRUV KDYH H[SHULHQFHG D FRPSDQ\ LQVLVWLQJ RQ
DGGLQJ OHVV SURWDEOH EORFNV RI SURGXFW WR D YDOXDWLRQ WKDW
KDVUHGXFHGWKHYDOXHRIWKHRYHUDOO5HVHUYHEXWPD[LPLVHG
WKH WRWDO 5HVHUYH WRQQDJH 7KLV RYHUHQWKXVLDVP IRU VWDWHG
5HVHUYHVVHHPVWRKDYHLWVRULJLQLQDEHOLHILQVRPHTXDUWHUV
WKDW KDYLQJ KXJH 5HVHUYHV VKRZV VWDELOLW\ DQG D ORQJWHUP
IXWXUH
,Q WKHRU\ WKH DSSURDFK RI XVLQJ WHUPLQDO YDOXHV LV
QDQFLDOO\DFFHSWDEOH,WLVZRUWKQRWLQJWKRXJKWKDWVXFKDQ
DSSURDFK ZDV GHYHORSHG IRU FLUFXPVWDQFHV ZKHUH D VWDEOH
VLWXDWLRQKDGEHHQDFKLHYHGLQPLQLQJWHUPVDQGVLJQLFDQW
RQJRLQJFKDQJHZDVXQOLNHO\\HWLWZDVQRWSRVVLEOHWRPDNH
D GHQLWH GHWDLOHG PLQLQJ SODQ ZLWK VSHFLF RXWSXWV 7KH
H[DPSOH TXRWHG LV GLDPRQG PLQLQJ ZKHUH ODUJH YROXPHV
RIURFNDUHPRYHGEXWWKHUHLVQRSUHGLFWDEOHUDWHDWZKLFK
GLDPRQGVPLJKWEHIRXQGVLPSO\DQRYHUDOODYHUDJHEDVHG
XSRQ KLVWRULF UHVXOWV 7KLV VWDELOLW\ LQFOXGHV QR FKDQJH LQ
YROXPHV DQG FDSLWDO H[SHQGLWXUH 7KLV VWDEOH \HDU LV WKHQ
DVVXPHGWREHUHSHDWHGRQDQRQJRLQJEDVLVDQGQRDWWHPSW
LV PDGH WR SUHGLFW YDULDWLRQV $ QDQFLDO FDOFXODWLRQ WKHQ
PLUURUVWKLVVLWXDWLRQZLWKWKHRSHUDWLRQHLWKHUDVVXPLQJWR
ODVW IRUHYHU RU IRU WKH FDOFXODWLRQ WR EH WHUPLQDWHG LQ VRPH
GLVWDQW\HDU
94
90
80
81
75
74
67
70
UseofSource(%)
SUHIHUWKHUHDOPRGHOZKHQLQDWLRQDQGH[FKDQJHUDWHVDUH
UHODWLYHO\VWDEOHEXWLWLVGLIFXOWWRKDYHIDLWKLQWKHQRPLQDO
PRGHO ZKHUH WKHUH LV LQVWDELOLW\ ,Q WKH ODWWHU FDVH VXFK DV
=LPEDEZH PDQ\ SUHIHU WR FRQYHUW DOO FRVWV LQFRPHV DQG
FDSH[FDSLWDOH[SHQGLWXUHLQWRDVWDEOHFXUUHQF\VXFKDV86
GROODUVDQGWKHQSURYLGHWKHYDOXDWLRQLQ86
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
A
Company
/^
^
,W KDV EHFRPH SRSXODU WR DSSO\ WHUPLQDO YDOXHV WR DOPRVW
DQ\ VLWXDWLRQ 2IWHQ \HDU PRGHOV DUH H[WHQGHG XVLQJ D
WHUPLQDOYDOXH7KHDXWKRUVIDYRXUDVSHFLFSHULRGIRUWKH
HYDOXDWLRQ DQG D EXVLQHVV SODQ HQFRPSDVVLQJ WKLV SHULRG
6XFK D SHULRG VKRXOG EH UHDVRQDEOH LQ WHUPV RI WKH DELOLW\
WR SUHGLFW DQG QRW ODVW IRU FHQWXULHV DV KDV UHFHQWO\ EHHQ
H[SHULHQFHG LQ 5XVVLD ,Q DQ\ FDVH WKH 5HVRXUFHV WKDW FDQ
FRQYHUWLQWR5HVHUYHVDWVRPHVWDJHVKRXOGEHVWDWHGDQGWKLV
JLYHVDQLQGLFDWLRQRIIXWXUHORQJHYLW\)LQDOO\RQWKLVSRLQW
LW VKRXOG EH UHDOLVHG WKDW ZLWK D GLVFRXQW IDFWRU RI DERXW
WHQSHUFHQWWKHDPRXQWRIYDOXDWLRQLQFUHDVHDIWHU\HDUV
LVPLQLPDO
0DQ\H[SHUWVZLOOVWDWHWKDWLWLVDOUHDG\VWUHWFKLQJDSRLQW
WR EH PDNLQJ SUHGLFWLRQV RI RXWSXW FRVW DQG VHOOLQJ SULFH
RYHU D \HDU SHULRG ZLWKRXW DVVXPLQJ WKDW WKH VLWXDWLRQ
ZLOO SHUWDLQ IRU D PXFK ORQJHU SHULRG 2QH FDQ DGG WKDW
LQ PLQLQJ LW LV YHU\ UDUH IRU WKH VLWXDWLRQ WR EHFRPH VWDEOH
&DSLWDOH[SHQGLWXUHFDQRIWHQEHH[WUHPHO\YDULDEOHLQQDWXUH
DQGPLQLQJEHFRPHVPRUHH[SHQVLYHDVVWULSSLQJUDWLRVDQG
WUDPPLQJ GLVWDQFHV LQFUHDVH 7KXV H[WUHPH FDUH VKRXOG EH
XVHGZKHQWHUPLQDOYDOXHVDUHEHLQJDSSOLHG,QWHUHVWLQJO\
PRVW YDOXDWLRQ H[HUFLVHV ZLOO QRW LQGLFDWH ZKHWKHU VRPH
WHUPLQDOYDOXHKDVEHHQXVHGLQYDOXDWLRQFDOFXODWLRQV7KH
RQO\ LQGLFDWRU PLJKW EH WKH WLPH RYHU ZKLFK WKH 5HVHUYHV
YDOXHGZLOOODVWJLYHQDVSHFLFUDWHRISURGXFWLRQ
641
WKLUGSDUW\DVVHVVPHQWRIWKHSURMHFWFDQEULQJDIUHVKH\HWR
WKHDVVHWVXQGHUUHYLHZ
Sensitivities
$Q LPSRUWDQW HOHPHQW RI DQ\ YDOXDWLRQ LV WKH VHQVLWLYLW\
DQDO\VLV7KLVFDQEHDYHU\XVHIXOVHFWLRQLQWKH&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQV UHSRUW JLYLQJ WKH UHDGHU D UDQJH RI ZKDWLI
VFHQDULRV 2IWHQ LJQRUHG LW DFWXDOO\ JLYHV WKH UHDGHU VRPH
LGHD RI KRZ ULVN\ WKH SURMHFW PLJKW EH DQG ZKDW OHVVHU
SHUIRUPDQFHLQWKHIXWXUHPLJKWPHDQLQWHUPVRIYDOXHDQG
SRWHQWLDOUHWXUQRQDQ\LQYHVWPHQW7KLVLVQHFHVVDU\IRURQH
YHU\JRRGUHDVRQ
&RQIXFLXVDSSDUHQWO\VDLG
>DPDQ@ZKRDLPVIRUWKHVWDUVPLJKWUHDFKWKHFHLOLQJEXW
WKHPDQZKRDLPVIRUWKHFHLOLQJZLOOQRWJHWRIIWKHRRU
7KXVZHPLJKWH[SHFWVRPHOHYHORIRSWLPLVPRQWKHSDUW
RI SURMHFW SURSRVHUV 2QH RI WKH PRVW GLIFXOW LVVXHV IRU
UHYLHZHUV LV WR UHPRYH WKLV RSWLPLVP ELDV ZLWKRXW EHLQJ
XQGXO\SHVVLPLVWLF2QHZD\RIGRLQJWKLVLVWRGHPRQVWUDWH
ZKHUHDSURMHFWLVOLNHO\WREHZHDNHUDQGSURQHWRVHQVLWLYLWLHV
CONCLUSIONS
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ UHSRUWV RQ 5HVRXUFHV DQG 5HVHUYHV DUH
FRPSUHKHQVLYH GRFXPHQWV IRU DQ\ JLYHQ GHSRVLWV DQG FDQ
KLJKOLJKW PDQ\ XQGHUO\LQJ JHRORJLFDO PLQLQJ DQG SURFHVV
UHODWHGLVVXHVLQGHWDLO,WLVLPSRUWDQWWKDWZRUNXQGHUWDNHQ
E\ &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV ZLOO EH WUXO\ LQGHSHQGHQW DQG
SURIHVVLRQDODQGWKDWWKHTXDOLW\RIZRUNFDQEHVFUXWLQLVHG
E\SHHUV
$&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQZLOOMXGJHWKHDSSURSULDWHFDWHJRU\RI
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHGHSHQGLQJXSRQTXDQWLW\GLVWULEXWLRQDQG
TXDOLW\RIGDWDDYDLODEOHDQGWKHOHYHORIFRQGHQFHWDNLQJ
642
SURMHFWLVSURWDEOHRUFDVKSRVLWLYH
SURMHFWLQFOXGHVPRQH\DOUHDG\VSHQWRULVRQO\IRUZDUG
ORRNLQJ
WHUPWKHFDOFXODWLRQEDVHGRQLVFRQVLGHUHG
FDOFXODWLRQVLQFOXGHWD[DWLRQ
DFFHSWDEOHGHSUHFLDWLRQDPRXQWLVFRQVLGHUHG
HOHPHQWRIUHWXUQIRUOHQGHUVLQYHVWRUVLVDFFHSWHGDVFRVW
GHSRVLW LV VXVWDLQDEOH QDQFLDOO\ RU VKRZLQJ RQO\ FDVK
UHWXUQV
SD\EDFN SHULRG LV DFFHSWDEOH IRU WKH LQYHVWPHQW
FRQVLGHUHG
GLVFRXQWHGFDVKRZFRQVLGHUVWKHUHDOPRGHORUQRPLQDO
PRGHO
FKRVHQ LQDWLRQ DQG FXUUHQF\ H[FKDQJH UDWHV UHHFW WKH
UHDOLW\
WHUPLQDOYDOXHZRXOGEHUHDOLVWLFLQUHDOWHUPV
$V VWDWHG LW LV GLVKHDUWHQLQJ WKDW GHVSLWH DOO WKH FRVW DQG
HIIRUW WKDW JRHV LQWR SURGXFLQJ D &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ UHSRUW
RU PLQHUDO H[SHUW UHSRUW PRVW UHFLSLHQWV FRQFHQWUDWH RQ
YHU\ IHZ SDJHV XVXDOO\ WKH QDQFLDO VHFWLRQ DQG MXVW WZR
JXUHVLQWKHQDORIIHULQJWRWDO5HVHUYHVDQGWKHYDOXDWLRQ
Back to Basics Geological and Mining Risks and Financial Issues on Resource and Reserve Evaluation in Coal Projects|H Arden and W Lewis
2IWHQ LWV MXVW WKH ODVW JXUH 7KLV LV GLVDSSRLQWLQJ VLQFH
WKHUH LV XVXDOO\ PXFK RI YDOXH LQ HYHU\ VHFWLRQ ZKHWKHU LW
LV RQ JHRORJLFDO ULVNV UHFRPPHQGDWLRQV IRU SURGXFWLYLW\
DQG SURFHVVLQJ LPSURYHPHQWV XQGHUO\LQJ FRQWURO IDFWRUV
RQ LPSURYHPHQWV SRVVLEOH HQYLURQPHQWDO DQG VRFLDO LVVXHV
LPSDFWLQJRQWKHSHUIRUPDQFHRIWKHRSHUDWLRQVDQGDQ\RWKHU
UHDVRQ KLJKOLJKWHG LQ WKH PDLQ ERG\ RI WKH H[SHUW UHSRUW
$V WKH XQGHUO\LQJ HYDOXDWLRQ LV EDVHG RQ LQWHUQDWLRQDOO\
DFFHSWHGFRGHVVXFKDV-25&WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQDOZD\V
SXWV DGGLWLRQDO FDYHDWV RU PRUH LPSRUWDQWO\ ZDUQLQJV RI
SRWHQWLDOSLWIDOOVIRUWKHGHSRVLWVWKH\HYDOXDWH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUVZRXOGOLNHWRH[SUHVVWKHLUVLQFHUHWKDQNVWR,0&
SHUVRQQHOIRUWKHLUNLQGDQGFRQVWUXFWLYHFRPPHQWVDQG,0&
PDQDJHPHQWIRULWVSHUPLVVLRQWRSXEOLVKWKLVSDSHU
643
Geological
Interpretation
and Modelling
Statistical Analysis,
Mineral Resource
Estimation,
Classification and
Reporting
Modifying Factors
(Mining, Metallurgical,
Economic, Marketing,
Legal, Environmental,
Social and Government)
Monitoring the
Resources and
Reserves
Grade Control,
Production and
Reconciliation
C Morley
647
S C Dominy
659
679
Grade Control Based on Economic Ore/Waste Classification Functions and Stochastic Simulations
Examples, Comparisons and Applications
685
T Elkington
701
707
H M Parker
721
739
A Strategy to Minimise Ore Grade Reconciliation Problems between the Mine and the Mill
F F Pitard
749
C Morley
755
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Executive Consultant, Global Director Growth and Strategy, Snowden, 87 Colin Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
,PSOLFLWLQH[SORLWLQJWKH2UH5HVHUYHLVWKHLGHQWLFDWLRQDQG
GHQLWLRQ RI WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH IRU ZLWKRXW D 5HVRXUFH
WKHUHFDQEHQR5HVHUYH,WDOVRIROORZVWKDWLWLVQRWSRVVLEOH
XQGHU-25&&RGHWRGHQHDQ2UH5HVHUYHZLWKRXW
DWOHDVWD3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\ZKLFKZLOOLQFOXGHHFRQRPLF
DVVHVVPHQW PLQH GHVLJQ SODQQLQJ DQG VFKHGXOLQJ ,Q
H[SORLWLQJ WKH 2UH 5HVHUYH LW LV DOVR QHFHVVDU\ WR FDUU\ RXW
PLQLQJ ZKLFK LQFOXGHV JUDGH FRQWURO DFWLYLWLHV PDWHULDO
PRYHPHQW RU PLQH SURGXFWLRQ DQG SURFHVVLQJ 7KLV SDSHU
WKHUHIRUHPXVWGHDOZLWKPRQLWRULQJWKHHQWLUHPLQLQJYDOXH
FKDLQ DV LOOXVWUDWHG LQ )LJXUH IURP 5HVRXUFH WR SURGXFW
)LJXUHDOVRVKRZVWKDWHDFKRIWKHVWHSVLQWKHYDOXHFKDLQ
FDQEHJURXSHGLQWRHVWLPDWHVFUHDWHGSULRUWRPLQLQJDQG
DFWXDOV WKDW DUH PHDVXUHG GXULQJ WKH PLQLQJ SURFHVV 7KH
FRPSDULVRQ RI WKHVH HVWLPDWHV WR DFWXDOV LV WKH FRQWLQXRXV
SURFHVVRIUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
7UDGLWLRQDOO\ WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ KDV KDG PL[HG VXFFHVV
LQSURGXFLQJZKDWLWKDVVHWRXWWRDFKLHYH7KHUHDUHPDQ\
FDVHVZKHUHPLQHJUDGHVDUHQRWDVH[SHFWHGFRVWVDUHKLJKHU
WKDQ SURMHFWHG FDSLWDO DQG RSHUDWLQJ VFKHGXOHVSODQV DUH
QRWPHWDQGUHFRYHU\LVORZHUWKDQIRUHFDVWWKHPLQHDQGWKH
SODQWGRQRWSURGXFHWKHUHVXOWVSURPLVHG6XFKLVVXHVKDYH
EHHQGRFXPHQWHGIRUH[DPSOH
DVWXG\RIXQGHUJURXQGPLQHVVKRZHGWKDWSHU
FHQW RI 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWHV IHOO RXWVLGH WKH H[SHFWHG
UDQJH0F&DUWK\
7KHPDUNHWVGLVVDWLVIDFWLRQIRUFRPSDQLHVQRWSURGXFLQJ
WKHSURPLVHGUHVXOWVUHDFKHGXQSUHFHGHQWHGOHYHOVLQ
ZKHQ YH RI WKH ZRUOGV WRS PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV UHSODFHG
WKHLU &(2V DQG WKH PDUNHW YDOXH RI RI WKH ZRUOGV WRS
PLQLQJFRPSDQLHVSOXQJHG%SHUFHQWRIWKHLU
SUHYLRXV \HDUV YDOXH 3Z& *OREDO FDSLWDO PDUNHWV
DOVR VFDOHG EDFN WKH OHYHO RI LQYHVWPHQW RZLQJ LQWR WKH
LQGXVWU\ FRQVLGHUDEO\ 4XLWH DSWO\ LQ 3Z& VXEWLWOHG
LWVDQQXDOUHSRUWRQWKHLQGXVWU\DFRQGHQFHFULVLV3Z&
$JDLQVWWKLVEDFNJURXQGWKHLQGXVWU\KDVEHHQLQFUHDVLQJO\
ORRNLQJ IRU HIIHFWLYH PHWKRGV DQG SUDFWLFHV WR HQVXUH WKDW
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHVDORQJZLWKWKH
SODQVWRH[SORLWWKHPDUHQRWRQO\RSWLPLVHGEXWDOVRSUDFWLFDO
DQGH[HFXWHGDVGHVLJQHG7KHUHKDVQHYHUEHHQDPRUHFULWLFDO
WLPHIRURXULQGXVWU\WRIRFXVRQPRQLWRULQJDQGUHFRQFLOLQJ
WKH HVWLPDWHV DQG DFWXDOV DORQJ WKH YDOXH FKDLQ 7KLV PXVW
RFFXU LQ D PDQQHU WKDW QRW RQO\ RSWLPLVHV WKH H[WUDFWLRQ RI
WKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHEXWWKDWRFFXUVLQDSUHGLFWDEOHPDQQHU
WKDWLQYHVWRUVDQGWKHPDUNHWFDQXQGHUVWDQGDQGEDQNRQ
$V(ONLQJWRQWKLVYROXPHSRLQWVRXW
DSURMHFWPD\EHDWWUDFWLYHLIDVDUHVXOWRIDQDO\VLQJWKH
IXQGLQJSURSRVLWLRQRIWHQLQWKHIRUPRID)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
GRFXPHQWWKHLQYHVWRULVFRQGHQWWKDWWKHGHVLUHGUHWXUQ
on investment will be achieved. (ONLQJWRQ
647
LQDFFXUDF\LQHVWLPDWLRQRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQGRU2UH
5HVHUYHVORQJUDQJHPRGHO3DUNHUWKLVYROXPH
LQHIFLHQF\ LQ WKH PLQLQJ SURFHVV WR VHJUHJDWH RUH DQG
ZDVWHDVSODQQHGVKRUWUDQJHPRGHOE\WKHRUHFRQWURO
VWDII3DUNHUWKLVYROXPH
IDLOXUHWRPLQHZLWKLQSODQQHGDUHDV
IDLOXUHWRPLQHDWWKHSODQQHGFXWRII
SODQWSHUIRUPDQFHLQWHUPVRIWKURXJKSXWDQGUHFRYHU\
0LQH PRQLWRULQJ DQG UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ PXVW WDNH D
PXOWLGLVFLSOLQDU\ DSSURDFK DFURVV JHRORJ\ PLQLQJ
HQJLQHHULQJ RSHUDWLRQV VXUYH\ DQG PHWDOOXUJ\ WR GHOLYHU
EHQHWVWKURXJKRXWWKHPLQLQJYDOXHFKDLQ+DUJUDYHVDQG
0RUOH\ WKLV YROXPH 3LWDUG KLJKOLJKWV WKDW RQ
PDQ\PLQHVSHRSOHIHHGGDWDWRGDLO\RUPRQWKO\SURGXFWLRQ
VKHHWV WR EHQHW RQO\ WKH DFFRXQWDQWV WKLV LQIRUPDWLRQ
VKRXOG EH XWLOLVHG WR SURYLGH D EHWWHU XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH
YDULDELOLW\FRPSRQHQWVLWFDUULHV&ULWLFDOWRWKHVXFFHVVRIDQ\
PRQLWRULQJRUUHFRQFLOLDWLRQV\VWHPLVWKHFDSWXUHRIUHOHYDQW
NH\GDWD7\SLFDOO\GDWDPD\EHVRXUFHGIURP0RUOH\
5HVRXUFHDQG5HVHUYHPRGHOV
PLQHGHVLJQVDQGVFKHGXOHV
D VXUYH\ RI WRSRJUDSK\ WR GHWHUPLQH WKH DFWXDO PLQLQJ
DFWLYLWLHV
PLQLQJSHUVRQQHOVREVHUYDWLRQVRIPLQLQJDFWLYLWLHV
DXWRPDWHGPDWHULDOPRYHPHQWWUDFNLQJV\VWHPV
SODQW IHHG VRXUFHV VXFK DV ZHLJKWRPHWHUV DQG DXWR
VDPSOHUV
SODQW SHUIRUPDQFH LQGLFDWRUV VXFK DV FUXVKHU SRZHU
FRQVXPSWLRQDQGF\FORQHWKURXJKSXW
SODQWEDODQFHFDOFXODWLRQV
SODQWDFWXDOVVXFKDVYROXPHVDQGDVVD\VIRUFRPPRGLW\
SURGXFHGUHMHFWPDWHULDODQGWDLOLQJV
KRZHYHUSRRUVDPSOLQJUHPDLQVRQHRIWKHPRVWFRQVLVWHQW
LVVXHVIRUWKHLQGXVWU\DVLWSURGXFHVKLGGHQQDQFLDOORVVHV
UHODWHG WR SRRU TXDOLW\ 5HVRXUFH5HVHUYH HVWLPDWHV WKH
PLVFODVVLFDWLRQRIRUHDQGZDVWHLQWKHPLQHDQGSRRUPDVV
EDODQFHVLQWKHSODQW'RPLQ\WKLVYROXPH&DUUDVFR
&DUUDVFRDQG-DUD0LQQLWW'RPLQ\WKLV
YROXPH DQG 3LWDUG SURYLGH GHWDLOHG JXLGDQFH DQG
IXUWKHUUHIHUHQFHV
VDPSOLQJTXDOLW\
GDWDLQWHJULW\DQGYDOLGDWLRQSURFHGXUHV
JHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQV
VWUXFWXUDOPRGHOV
JHRVWDWLVWLFDOGDWDDQDO\VLVDQGUHVXOWV
HVWLPDWLRQPRGHOOLQJDQGWHFKQLTXHV
HVWLPDWLRQRIPRLVWXUHDQGEXONGHQVLWLHV
HFRQRPLFDVVXPSWLRQVDURXQGEORFNVL]HVWKHGLPHQVLRQV
RIWKHVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJXQLWDQGFXWRIISDUDPHWHUV
PLQLQJPHWDOOXUJLFDOHQYLURQPHQWDOFRQVLGHUDWLRQV
7DEOHRIWKH-25&&RGH6HFWLRQ-25&SURYLGHV
DGHQLWLYHJXLGHWRZKDWPXVWEHFRQVLGHUHGGXULQJ3XEOLF
5HSRUWLQJDQGVKRXOGEHDGGUHVVHGRQDURXWLQHEDVLVGXULQJ
WKHSURFHVVRIGHQLQJD0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
$NH\LQSXWWRWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHLVWKHGULOOLQJUHVXOWV
RURWKHUVDPSOHVDQGPHDVXUHPHQWVRQZKLFKWKHJHRORJLFDO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQG JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQV ZLOO EH EDVHG $V KDV
EHHQ GRFXPHQWHG E\ D QXPEHU RI DXWKRUV VDPSOLQJ HUURUV
EULQJ DERXW 5HVRXUFH5HVHUYH XQFHUWDLQW\ 7KXV VDPSOLQJ
LV D YLWDO FRPSRQHQW QRW RQO\ WR WKH 5HVRXUFH EXW DOVR WR
DOO VWDJHV RI D PLQLQJ SURMHFW 'RPLQ\ WKLV YROXPH
&DUUDVFR&DUUDVFRDQG-DUD)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ
3LWDUG 'RPLQ\ 0LQQLWW +ROPHV
$W WKH RXWVHW RI WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH GHQLWLRQ SURFHVV
WKHJHRORJLVWJXLGLQJWKHVDPSOHFROOHFWLRQSURFHVVVKRXOG
HQVXUH WKDW VDPSOHV DUH UHSUHVHQWDWLYH DQG UHSURGXFLEOH
7KH YDOXH SURSRVLWLRQ IRU JRRG VDPSOLQJ LV FRPSHOOLQJ
649
(IFLHQF\
TXLFNHUSD\EDFNSHULRG
FDVK RZV UHFHLYHG LQ D OHVV XQFHUWDLQ WLPH KRUL]RQ LH
LW FRXOG EH DUJXHG WKDW RQH FDQ PRUH DFFXUDWHO\ SUHGLFW
HFRQRPLFFRQGLWLRQVRYHUVKRUWHUWLPHKRUL]RQV
PRUHIXQGVDYDLODEOHVRRQHUWRLQYHVWLQIXUWKHUSURMHFWV
IRUJURZWK
SRWHQWLDOWRLQFUHDVLQJWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
UHGXFHGFRVWV
LQFUHDVHGWKURXJKSXWSDVWDQ\ERWWOHQHFNV
WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ WR H[SDQG DQ\ ERWWOHQHFN DQG WKXV
LQFUHDVHSURGXFWLRQ
2QH SDUWLFXODU DUHD ZKHUH PDQ\ /20 SODQV IDLO LV LQ WKH
DVVXPSWLRQVXVHGIRUSURGXFWLYLW\6SHFLFDOO\WKLVRFFXUVRQ
WZROHYHOV
WKH IDLOXUH WR LQFOXGH DQG DOORZ IRU WKH LQXHQFH RI
GLOXWLRQLQPDWHULDOPRYHPHQW
WKHXVHRIXQREWDLQDEOHSURGXFWLRQUDWHDVVXPSWLRQV
%\ RYHUORRNLQJ WKH LPSDFW RI GLOXWLRQ GXULQJ PLQLQJ WKH
PLQLQJHQJLQHHUFDQVHWDQLPSRVVLEOHSURGXFWLRQUDWHIRUWKH
PLQHV PDWHULDO PRYHPHQW VFKHGXOHV DQG VR LW LV FULWLFDO WR
DGGUHVVWKLVFOHDUO\LQDQ\/20SODQ
'HVSLWH WKHUH EHLQJ PDQ\ SDSHUV IRU H[DPSOH .QLJKWV
-XOOLDQDQG-RIUH'KLOORQ(OHYOLDQG(OHYOL
ZULWWHQ RQ WKH VXEMHFW PDQ\ /20 SODQV GR QRW DFFXUDWHO\
GHQH SURGXFWLRQ UDWH DVVXPSWLRQV 7KH FRQFHSW RI RYHUDOO
HTXLSPHQW HIIHFWLYHQHVV 2(( FDQ DVVLVW SURGXFWLRQ UDWH
FDOFXODWLRQDQGEHGHQHGDV
2(( DYDLODELOLW\XWLOLVDWLRQHIFLHQF\
ZKHUH
$YDLODELOLW\ LV WKH SHUFHQWDJH RI WLPH WKDW WKH HTXLSPHQW
LV DFFHVVLEOH IRU XVH LH QRW EHLQJ UHSDLUHG
PDLQWDLQHGHWFLWLVDOVRH[SUHVVHGDVXSWLPH
DYDLODEOHWLPH
8WLOLVDWLRQ
650
TABLE 1
Overall equipment effectiveness scenarios.
Availability
Utilisation
Efficiency
Total time
available
Scenario 1
90%
90%
90%
73%
Scenario 2
85%
85%
90%
65%
Grade control
7KHJUDGHFRQWUROVWDJHLQWKHPLQLQJYDOXHFKDLQUHSUHVHQWV
WKH DUULYDO RI D QHZ VHW RI GDWD WKDW FDQ EH XVHG WR EHWWHU
UHQHQRWRQO\RUHDQGZDVWHGHQLWLRQEXWRWKHUPRGHOOHG
DVVXPSWLRQVVXFKDVWKHRULJLQDO5HVRXUFHPRGHOVHVWLPDWHV
GHVLJQV DQG VFKHGXOHV PHGLXP DQG VKRUWWHUP PLQH
SODQV *UDGH FRQWURO XVXDOO\ LQFOXGHV VDPSOLQJ JHRORJLFDO
PDSSLQJ JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ VKRUWWHUP GHVLJQ VKRUW
WHUP VFKHGXOLQJ RUHZDVWH VHOHFWLRQ ZKLFK PD\ LQFOXGH
FODVVLFDWLRQLQWRDQXPEHURIRUHDQGZDVWHW\SHVEODVWLQJ
DQGGLVSDWFKPDWHULDOPRYHPHQW7KHHIFLHQF\RIWKHJUDGH
FRQWUROSURFHVVLVVXEMHFWWRYDULRXVIDFWRUVVXFKDVVDPSOLQJ
HUURUVFRQGLWLRQDOELDVLQWURGXFHGE\JUDGHHVWLPDWRUVEODVW
PRYHPHQWV DQG WKH HIFLHQF\ RI PDWHULDO PRYHPHQW IURP
VRXUFHWRGHVLUHGGHVWLQDWLRQ$JUDYHFRQVHTXHQFHRIJHWWLQJ
WKHVH DFWLYLWLHV ZURQJ GXULQJ WKLV VWDJH RI WKH YDOXH FKDLQ
LV WKH PLVFODVVLFDWLRQ RU PLVGLUHFWLRQ RI PDWHULDO DV WKLV
DOZD\VUHVXOWVLQDQHWORVVDQGLVODUJHO\DWWULEXWDEOHWRWKH
ODFN RI SHUIHFW NQRZOHGJH DERXW WKH UHDO JUDGH GLVWULEXWLRQ
'LPLWUDNRSRXORVDQG*RGR\WKLVYROXPH
2YHU WKH ODVW WHQ \HDUV PLQH JHRORJ\ VKRUWWHUP PLQH
SODQQLQJ DQG JUDGH FRQWURO KDYH EHFRPH LQFUHDVLQJO\
VRSKLVWLFDWHG )RU H[DPSOH RUH EORFNLQJ LQ DQ RSHQ SLW
HQYLURQPHQWKDVHYROYHGIURPDMRLQLQJWKHGRWVSURFHVVWR
DSSURDFKHVEDVHGRQVLPXODWLRQZKHUHWKHEORFNJUDGHVDUH
QRORQJHUVHHQDVVLQJOHYDOXHVEXWDVSRVVLEOHGLVWULEXWLRQVRI
JUDGHV$VH[SODLQHGE\'LPLWUDNRSRXORVDQG*RGR\
WKLV YROXPH JLYHQ WKHVH GLVWULEXWLRQV WKH H[SHFWHG ORVV RU
SURWDVVRFLDWHGZLWKHDFKHFRQRPLFVFHQDULRRIFODVVLFDWLRQ
FDQEHDVVHVVHGDQGXVHGWRGHULYHDQHFRQRPLFDOO\RSWLPDO
RUHVHOHFWLRQ
7KH SURFHVV RI JUDGH FRQWURO LV RIWHQ PLVLQWHUSUHWHG DV
WKH UHVSRQVLELOLW\ RI WKH PLQH JHRORJLVWV ZLWK LWV VFRSH
OLPLWHGWRRUHEORFNLQJ*UDGHFRQWUROVKRXOGEHYLHZHGDVD
PXOWLGLVFLSOLQDU\IXQFWLRQLQYROYLQJPLQHJHRORJLVWVPLQLQJ
HQJLQHHUV VXUYH\RUV DQG SURGXFWLRQ DQG PHWDOOXUJLFDO
SHUVRQQHOZKRZRUNDVDWHDPWRHQVXUHRUHDQGZDVWHDUH
DFFXUDWHO\ GHOLQHDWHG EODVWHG GXJ ORDGHG WUDQVSRUWHG
VWRFNSLOHGDQGIHGWRWKHSODQWDVSODQQHG
651
UHGXFLQJFRVWVE\DYRLGLQJSURFHVVLQJZDVWHDVRUH
UHGXFLQJQDQFLDOORVVHVIURPRUHORVWWRZDVWHVWRFNSLOHV
SRWHQWLDOO\ LPSURYLQJ PLOOLQJ HIFLHQF\ WKURXJK EHWWHU
PDQDJHPHQW RI PLOO IHHG 'LPLWUDNRSRXORV DQG *RGR\
WKLVYROXPH
,W LV DOVR VLJQLFDQW WR QRWH WKDW DOO JUDGH FRQWURO PRGHOV
VKRXOG EH GHULYHG WKURXJK FRQWLQXRXV HYROXWLRQ RI WKH
5HVRXUFHPRGHO7KDWLVWKH\DGGDGGLWLRQDOLQIRUPDWLRQDQG
GHWDLOWRWKHRULJLQDO5HVRXUFHPRGHO'RQDOGVRQ)HUJXVRQ
DQG0XUUD\+D\GHQWKLVYROXPH$Q\HIIHFWLYHJUDGH
FRQWUROV\VWHPPXVWHQDEOHWKHSHULRGLFUHFRQFLOLDWLRQRIWKH
JUDGHFRQWUROPRGHOVDQGSURGXFWLRQZLWKWKH5HVRXUFHPRGHO
DQG5HVHUYHWRSURYLGHRQJRLQJVXSSRUWDQGDGMXVWPHQWIRU
PLQHSODQVDQG5HVHUYHV0RUOH\DQG7KRPSVRQ5RVH
DQG)DKH\WKLVYROXPH+DUJUDYHVDQG0RUOH\
WKLVYROXPH
Mining production
0LQH SURGXFWLRQ RU WKH SURFHVV RI EODVWLQJ DQG PDWHULDO
PRYHPHQWFUHDWHVDQRWKHUVHULHVRIDFWLYLWLHVDQGLQIRUPDWLRQ
DVSDUWRIWKHPLQLQJYDOXHFKDLQ,WLVFULWLFDOWRPRQLWRUWKH
SURGXFWLRQSURFHVVWRHQVXUHWKDW
SURGXFWLRQLVFDUULHGRXWWRSODQ
UHVXOWV DUH IHG EDFN YLD UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ LQ RUGHU WR DVVHVV
DQGLPSURYHWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHHVWLPDWHV
'RQDOGVRQ )HUJXVRQ DQG 0XUUD\+D\GHQ WKLV
YROXPH SUHVHQW D FDVH VWXG\ WKDW KLJKOLJKWV RYHU D
\HDU KLVWRU\ RI UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ UHVXOWV WKDW LPSURYHPHQWV
LQ PLQLQJ UHFRYHU\ RFFXUUHG DV D UHVXOW RI LPSURYHG JUDGH
HVWLPDWLRQ PHWKRGRORJLHV LPSOHPHQWLQJ EODVW PRYHPHQW
PRQLWRULQJ JUHDWHU JHRORJLFDO XQGHUVWDQGLQJ LQWURGXFLQJ
RUH VSRWWLQJ HQKDQFHG JUDGH FRQWURO HVWLPDWLRQ SUDFWLFHV
LPSURYHG TXDOLW\ DVVXUDQFH TXDOLW\ FRQWURO 4$4& RQ
VDPSOHVEHWWHUVWRFNSLOHVWUDWHJLHVDQGWKHXVHRI5&JUDGH
FRQWURO'RZQZDUGWUHQGVLQUHFRQFLOLDWLRQZHUHDVVRFLDWHG
ZLWKSHULRGVZKHQPLQLQJZDVLQDUHDVRIFRPSOH[JHRORJ\
QHZPLQHVZHUHFRPPHQFLQJPLQLQJZDVFDUULHGRXWRYHU
PXOWLSOH PLQHV GLOXWLRQ LQFUHDVHG VWDII WXUQRYHU LQFUHDVHG
DQGPHWDOOXUJLFDODFFRXQWLQJSUDFWLFHVFKDQJHG
'XULQJPLQLQJLWLVFULWLFDOWRPLQLPLVHWKHRSSRUWXQLW\IRU
RUHDQGZDVWHWRPL[DQGGLOXWLRQWRRFFXU7KHSUDFWLFHVRI
WUDLQLQJGLJJHURSHUDWRUVLQRUHVSRWWLQJRUXVLQJGHGLFDWHG
VSRWWHUV GXULQJ GLJJLQJ LQ RSHQ SLWV LV FRPPRQ LQ PDQ\
RSHUDWLRQV EXW GHOLYHUV PL[HG UHVXOWV DQG KDV VLJQLFDQW
FRVW DQG KHDOWK DQG VDIHW\ FRQVLGHUDWLRQV 2SHQ SLW PLQLQJ
WHDPV VKRXOG VHW WKHPVHOYHV XS IRU VXFFHVV E\ HQVXULQJ
WKDW RUH RXWOLQHV DUH SUDFWLFDO GLJJDEOH SURFHGXUHV
GHQH PLQLQJ GLUHFWLRQV DQG PHWKRGV HTXLSPHQW VL]HV
DUH PDWFKHG WR RUHERG\ VHOHFWLYLW\ UHTXLUHPHQWV GR]HU
SXVKLQJLVPLQLPLVHGRSHUDWRUVDUHWUDLQHGLQPDWHULDOW\SH
LGHQWLFDWLRQ DQG PDWHULDO PRYHPHQW WUDFNLQJ V\VWHPV DUH
XVHG WR PLQLPLVH RUH DQG ZDVWH EHLQJ VHQW WR WKH ZURQJ
ORFDWLRQV ,Q DQ XQGHUJURXQG HQYLURQPHQW LW LV LPSRUWDQW
IRU WKH SURGXFWLRQ WHDP WR EH DEOH WR LGHQWLI\ GLOXWLRQ LQ
GUDZSRLQWVDQGRUHLQGHYHORSPHQWKHDGLQJVDVZHOODVWR
HQVXUHRUHLVGHOLYHUHGWRWKHFRUUHFWSDVVHVDQGZDVWHIURP
GHYHORSPHQWKHDGLQJVGRHVQRWHQWHUWKHRUHVWUHDP
)RU HYHU\ PLQH LW LV FULWLFDO WR LGHQWLI\ WKH VPDOOHVW XQLW
WKDW FDQ EH WUDFHG GXULQJ PDWHULDO PRYHPHQW DQG WKURXJK
WKH SURFHVVLQJ SODQW 'HSHQGLQJ RQ WKH PLQH DQG WKH
VRSKLVWLFDWLRQ RI WKH V\VWHPV LQ SODFH WKLV ZLOO YDU\ EXW LQ
JHQHUDOLWZLOOEHIRUDPLQHWKDWLV
RSHQSLWDGLJEORFNEODVWEHQFKRUGHOLQHDWHGUHJLRQ
in the pit
XQGHUJURXQG D VHW RI ULQJV RU D EODVW VWRSH OHYHO RU
GHOLQHDWHGUHJLRQRIDVKDIWRUPLQH
5HJDUGOHVVRIZKDWXQLWLVFKRVHQLWLVLPSRUWDQWWREHDEOH
WR WUDFN LWV VRXUFH GHVWLQDWLRQ DQG PDWHULDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
0RVW PLQHV KDYH WUDQVLW VWRFNSLOHV ZKHUH RUH LV VWRUHG
WHPSRUDULO\0DWHULDOOHDYLQJWKHSLWFDQEHGHOLYHUHGHLWKHU
WR D VWRFNSLOH RU WR WKH PLOO ERWK DW LWV VKRUWUDQJH PRGHO
JUDGH*HQHUDOO\VWRFNSLOHVDUHDVVLJQHGWKHDYHUDJHJUDGH
RIDOOWKHLQFUHPHQWVDGGHGWRWKHPKRZHYHULWLVSRVVLEOHWR
EXLOGDVWRFNSLOHJHQHDORJ\XVLQJVLPSOHPRGHOVVXFKDVUVW
RQUVWRIIRUUVWRQODVWRII,IWKHVWRFNSLOHVDUHUHFODLPHG
DQGUHEXLOWIDLUO\UHJXODUO\VXFKDVWRDOORZIRUDEDGZHDWKHU
VHDVRQ ZLWK ORZ SURGXFWLYLW\ IURP WKH SLW WKLV VKRXOG QRW
VLJQLFDQWO\ DIIHFW UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ ,Q FDVHV ZKHUH ROGODUJH
VWRFNSLOHV DUH UHFODLPHG RU ZKHUH D ODUJH SHUFHQWDJH RI
SURGXFWLRQLVUHODWHGWRVWRFNSLOHUHFODLPUHFRQFLOLDWLRQFDQ
EHSUREOHPDWLF3DUNHUWKLVYROXPH6XUIDFHVWRFNSLOHV
DUHRIWHQHYDOXDWHGXVLQJJUDEVDPSOLQJZKLFKLVFRQVLGHUHG
SRRUSUDFWLFHLQPDQ\LQVWDQFHV3LWDUG'RPLQ\
'XULQJ PLQLQJ WKH SODQW FDQ EH SURQH WR YDULDELOLW\ LQ
KHDG IHHG JUDGH XQOHVV HIFLHQW EOHQGLQJ FDQ EH DFKLHYHG
:KHUHDSODQWLVIHGIURPPXOWLSOHVRXUFHVHLWKHUIURPRQH
PLQH RU D JURXS RI RSHUDWLRQV WKHQ EOHQGLQJ LV OLNHO\ WR
EH GLIFXOW VLQFH HDFK RSHUDWLRQ ZLOO KDYH WKHLU RZQ JUDGH
SUHGLFWLRQ LVVXHV DVVXPLQJ D KLJK QXJJHW HIIHFW 'RPLQ\
WKLV YROXPH 0RUOH\ WKLV YROXPH KLJKOLJKWV
WKH LPSRUWDQFH RI PLQHV KDYLQJ D VWRFNSLOLQJ DQG EOHQGLQJ
VWUDWHJ\WKDWFOHDUO\GHQHVWKHSXUSRVHRIWKHVWRFNSLOHVDV
ZHOO DV WKH PDQQHU LQ ZKLFK GDWD VXFK DV JUDGH DQG RWKHU
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV DUH VWRUHG DQG WKHQ PDGH DYDLODEOH GXULQJ
WKHLUUHFODPDWLRQ
Processing plant
7KH LQWULFDFLHV RI WKH SURFHVV RZ VKHHW DQG GHWDLOHG
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQVLQWKHSURFHVVLQJSODQWDUHEH\RQGWKHVFRSH
RI WKLV SDSHU 7KHUH LV D ZHDOWK RI LQIRUPDWLRQ DYDLODEOH
ERWKLQWKLVYROXPH3LWDUGWKLVYROXPHDQGLQ
SXEOLFDWLRQV VXFK DV An Introduction to Metal Balancing and
SODQWIHHG
SODQWSURGXFW
FRDUVHUHMHFW
QHUHMHFW
Reconciliation
7KHXVHRIUHFRQFLOLDWLRQLVDFRPPRQWKHPHWKURXJKRXWWKH
FRQFHSWVSUHVHQWHGDERYHDVLWLVDNH\HOHPHQWWRPRQLWRULQJ
DQG H[WUDFWLQJ WKH 5HVHUYH 5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ LV D UHIHUHQFH
KXE RQ ZKLFK WKH SHUIRUPDQFH RI DOO WKH V\VWHPV LQ D
PLQLQJRSHUDWLRQFDQEHMXGJHG%OXFKHUDQG0RUOH\
WKLV YROXPH +DYLQJ LGHQWLHG WKH NH\ YDOXH GULYHUV
DQG PRQLWRULQJ SRLQWV UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ LV WKH WRRO XVHG WR
653
Mineral Resources
5HIHUWR6HFWLRQRIWKH-25&&RGHIRUWKHGHQLWLYH
OLVW RI LWHPV WKDW VKRXOG EH FRQVLGHUHG DQG GRFXPHQWHG
6SHFLFDOO\
XQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHXVHGDVEDVLVIRU
WKH2UH5HVHUYH
FXWRIIJUDGHUDWLRQDOH
PLQLQJ FRQVLGHUDWLRQV PLQLQJ PHWKRG GHVLJQ FULWHULD
JHRWHFKQLFDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV RSWLPLVDWLRQ DSSURDFK
GLOXWLRQUHFRYHU\KDQGOLQJRI,QIHUUHG0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
etc)
PHWDOOXUJLFDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV SURFHVV RZ VKHHW WHVW
ZRUN XQGHUWDNLQJ SLORW ZRUN XQGHUWDNLQJ DQG UHVXOWV
SURFHVVKLVWRU\WUDFNUHFRUGFRQWDPLQDQWVHWF
HQYLURQPHQWDOFRQVLGHUDWLRQVVSHFLFVLWHFRQVLGHUDWLRQV
DSSURYDOVVWDWXVHWF
LQIUDVWUXFWXUHUHTXLUHPHQWV
-25& &RGH FODVVLFDWLRQ FRQVLGHUDWLRQV EDVLV IRU
FODVVLFDWLRQDQG&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVLQYROYHPHQWHWF
FRVWVFDSLWDODQGRSHUDWLRQFRVWGHWDLOVDQGFRQVLGHUDWLRQV
DURXQGKRZWKH\DUHGHULYHGLQDWLRQDQGH[FKDQJHUDWH
DVVXPSWLRQVHWF
UHYHQXH FRPPRGLW\ SULFH H[FKDQJH UDWHV SURGXFW
UHFRYHU\DQGVDOHVDVVXPSWLRQVHWF
DFFXUDF\FRQGHQFHVWDWHPHQWVGHWDLOLQJWKHFRQGHQFH
OHYHOVLQWKHVWXG\DQGKRZWKH\ZHUHGHULYHG
PDUNHW FRQVLGHUDWLRQV GHPDQG DQG VXSSO\ FRPSHWLWRU
DQDO\VLVSURGXFWVSHFLFDWLRQUHTXLUHPHQWVHWF
HFRQRPLFDQDO\VLV139DVVHVVPHQWLQFOXGLQJUDQJHVDQG
VHQVLWLYLWLHVHWF
VRFLDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV UHYLHZ RI ORFDO FRPPXQLW\
HQJDJHPHQWDQGUHTXLUHPHQWVVWDWXVRIDQ\DJUHHPHQWV
LQLWLDWLYHVHWF
OHJDO FRQVLGHUDWLRQV VHFXULW\ RI WHQXUH VWDWXV RI
PDWHULDO OHJDO DJUHHPHQWV VRYHUHLJQ ULVN DQG RWKHU ULVN
FRQVLGHUDWLRQVVWDWXWRU\DSSURYDOV
*RRGSUDFWLFHLVWRGHVLJQ/20SODQVWKDWLQFOXGHVWUDWHJLHV
WRPD[LPLVHHDUO\FDVKRZV
5HFRQFLOLDWLRQVKRXOGEHGRQHDWOHDVWDQQXDOO\WRFRLQFLGH
ZLWK WKH FRUUHVSRQGLQJ DQQXDO 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH2UH
5HVHUYHVWDWHPHQW,WLVJRRGSUDFWLFHWRUHFRQFLOHSURGXFWLRQ
WR WKH HVWLPDWHG GHSOHWLRQ RI WKH 2UH 5HVHUYHV DQ\
GLVFUHSDQFLHV LQ JUDGH DQGRU WRQQHV VKRXOG EH H[SODLQHG
DQG DSSURSULDWH FKDQJHV PDGH WR WKH RSHUDWLQJ SUDFWLFH RU
WKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQSURFHVV
7KH2UH5HVHUYHDWRSHUDWLQJPLQHVVKRXOGEHUHYLHZHGDW
OHDVWDQQXDOO\DQGVKRXOGUHHFWFKDQJHVLQWKHXQGHUO\LQJ
FULWHULD LQFOXGLQJ ORQJWHUP FRPPRGLW\ SULFH IRUHFDVWV
LQFUHDVHV RU GHFUHDVHV LQ FRVWV FKDQJHV LQ PHWDOOXUJLFDO
SURFHVVLQJSHUIRUPDQFHDQGDOWHUDWLRQVWRPLQLQJPHWKRGV
GLOXWLRQRUPLQLQJUHFRYHU\7KHUDWLRQDOHIRUDQ\FKDQJHVWR
WKH RSHUDWLQJ SUDFWLFH RU WR 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH2UH 5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWLRQSURFHGXUHVPXVWEHGRFXPHQWHG
&XWRIIJUDGHVRUHFRQRPLFOLPLWVVKRXOGEHUHDVVHVVHGDQG
XSGDWHGDWOHDVWDQQXDOO\
Grade control
7KH SULPDU\ REMHFWLYH RI DOO JUDGH FRQWURO LV WR DFFXUDWHO\
GHQHRUHDQGZDVWH
6WDWLVWLFDOO\ YDOLG VDPSOH VSDFLQJ VL]H DQG FROOHFWLRQ
PHWKRGV DQG DSSURSULDWH 4$4& LV FULWLFDO WR JRRG
SUDFWLFH :KHUH DVVD\ ERXQGDULHV DUH XVHG WR GHOLQHDWH RUH
DSSURSULDWHO\VSDFHGUHSUHVHQWDWLYHVDPSOHVDUHUHTXLUHGWR
HVWLPDWH WKH ORFDWLRQV RI HFRQRPLF PDUJLQV 7KLV PD\ DOVR
UHTXLUHJHRORJLFDOPDSSLQJDQGORJJLQJRIGULOOKROHVDPSOHV
LIRUHW\SHVDUHYLVXDOO\GLVWLQJXLVKDEOH
5&JUDGHFRQWUROLQRSHQSLWRSHUDWLRQVGHOLYHUVVLJQLFDQW
EHQHWVDQGLVJRRGSUDFWLFHSURYLGLQJWKHDELOLW\WRVFKHGXOH
DQXPEHURIEHQFKHVDWRQHWLPH
,QDQXQGHUJURXQGHQYLURQPHQWWKHEHQHWVRIGHGLFDWHG
FORVHVSDFHG GULOO KROHV IRU VWRSH GHVLJQJUDGH FRQWURO
LV FRQVLGHUHG JRRG SUDFWLFH 7KH ORJJLQJ RI WKHVH KROHV
DVVLVWVZLWKWKHQDOGHQLWLRQRIVWRSHERXQGDULHVDQGWKH
JHRORJLFDOFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHRUHERG\
*HRORJLFDOPDSSLQJRIXQGHUJURXQGGHYHORSPHQWRURSHQ
SLW PLQLQJ IDFHV DW DSSURSULDWH VFDOHV PXVW EH NHSW FXUUHQW
WRSURYLGH
Mine production
$GKHULQJWRDSODQLVFULWLFDOWRVXFFHVVIXOPLQLQJ,IWKHSODQ
FDQQRW EH DGKHUHG WR WKH SURGXFWLRQ DQG PLQH SODQQLQJ
WHDPVVKRXOGZRUNWRJHWKHUDQGPDNHWKHQHFHVVDU\FKDQJHV
WRHQVXUHDOOIXWXUHSODQVDUHSUDFWLFDODQGDFKLHYDEOH
'XULQJ GLJJLQJ LQ DQ RSHQ SLW HQYLURQPHQW ZKHQ RUH
ZDVWHFRQWDFWVDUHYLVXDOPLQHRSHUDWRUVPD\UHFODVVLI\RUH
DQGZDVWHDQGVHQGPDWHULDOWRWKHDSSURSULDWHGHVWLQDWLRQ
$FFXUDWH UHFRUGLQJ RI UHDOORFDWHG PDWHULDO VRXUFH DQG
GHVWLQDWLRQ SURGXFWLRQ WRQQHV DQG JUDGH LV HVVHQWLDO WR
SHUPLW UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ RI PLQH SURGXFWLRQ WR WKH SURFHVVLQJ
IDFLOLW\DQGXOWLPDWHO\WRWKH2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWH
$XWRPDWHG PDWHULDO PRYHPHQW GDWD FROOHFWLRQ LV JRRG
SUDFWLFH%RWKXQGHUJURXQGDQGRSHQSLWRSHUDWLRQVFDQXVH
VKRUW LQWHUYDO FRQWURO V\VWHPV WR WUDFN WKH VRXUFH PDWHULDO
W\SHJUDGHDQGGHVWLQDWLRQRQDWUXFNE\WUXFNEDVLV
)DFWRUVVXFKDVVSHFLFJUDYLW\DQGWUXFNIDFWRUVVKRXOGEH
FDOLEUDWHGYLDFRPSDULVRQZLWKVXUYH\UHVXOWVXVHRIZHLJK
EULGJHVZLWKWUXFNORDGFHOOVRUE\XVLQJVSHFLFODERUDWRU\
FKHFNV RQ D UHJXODU EDVLV 7KHVH IDFWRUV VKRXOG EH GHQHG
IRU DOO PDMRU PDWHULDO W\SHV DQG DOVR DFFRXQW IRU H[WHUQDO
LQXHQFHV VXFK DV PRLVWXUH FRQWHQW HVSHFLDOO\ LQ PLQHV
ORFDWHGLQDUHDVRIKLJKVHDVRQDOUDLQIDOORUZLWKORQJSHULRGV
RIVXE]HURWHPSHUDWXUHV
,WLVFRQVLGHUHGJRRGSUDFWLFHIRUDQ\PLQLQJRSHUDWLRQWR
KDYH D VWRFNSLOLQJ VWUDWHJ\ DV VWRFNSLOLQJ DGGV FRPSOH[LW\
WRWKHWUDFNLQJRIPDWHULDOWKURXJKWKHPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQ,WLV
DOVRJRRGSUDFWLFHWRPLQLPLVHWKHXVHRILQPLQHVWRFNSLOHV
NHHS DOO VWRFNSLOHV VPDOO DQG ]HUR WKHP UHJXODUO\ JRRG
SUDFWLFHLQGLFDWHVWLPHIUDPHVRIOHVVWKDQDPRQWK
/RZJUDGH VWRFNSLOHV SUHVHQW D XQLTXH FKDOOHQJH DV WKH\
IRUPDOHJDF\IRUIXWXUHPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQV*RRGSUDFWLFHLV
WRFDSWXUHPDWHULDOPRYHPHQWLQIRUPDWLRQDORQJZLWKJUDGH
FRQWURO GDWD DV WKH ORZJUDGH VWRFNSLOH LV EHLQJ EXLOW XS
:KHQPLQLQJRIWKHVWRFNSLOHFRPPHQFHVDWDIXWXUHGDWHD
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
655
UHVRXUFHPRGHOZLOOWKHUHIRUHEHDYDLODEOHDQGFDQEHXVHG
WRGHQHZKDWZLOOEHUHFODLPHGIURPWKHVWRFNSLOHDQGVHQW
WRWKHSODQW
%OHQGLQJ IURP VWRFNSLOHV LV RIWHQ XVHG WR DVVLVW LQ
SURYLGLQJWKHSODQWZLWKDFRQVLVWHQWIHHGRIXQLIRUPJUDGH
FRQWDPLQDQWV DQG URFN FKDUDFWHULVWLFV ,W LV JRRG SUDFWLFH WR
WXUQWKHVHVWRFNSLOHVRYHUUHJXODUO\DQGWRDFKLHYHEOHQGLQJ
YLDDVVPDOODQXPEHURIVWRFNSLOHVDVLVSUDFWLFDO
0LQH SURGXFWLRQ QHHGV WR EH UHFRQFLOHG WR PLQH VXUYH\V
RQ D UHJXODU EDVLV FRPPRQO\ PRQWKO\ 9ROXPHWULF VXUYH\V
VKRXOG EH UHWDLQHG VR WKDW WKH\ FDQ EH XVHG IRU IXWXUH
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV
Processing
9DULDELOLW\ LQ IHHG FKDUDFWHULVWLFV FDQ EH PLWLJDWHG WKURXJK
EOHQGLQJ
$OO SURFHVVLQJ SODQWV VKRXOG KDYH D GRFXPHQWHG DQG
HQIRUFHG PHWDOOXUJLFDO DFFRXQWLQJ FRGH RI SUDFWLFH WKDW
LV VXSSRUWHG E\ DSSURSULDWH VDPSOLQJ SRLQWV WKURXJKRXW
WKH SURFHVV RZ 7KH EDFN FDOFXODWLRQ RI NH\ SRLQWV LQ WKH
SURFHVVZKLOHFRPPRQLVQRWJRRGSUDFWLFH
$VDPLQLPXPDSSURSULDWHDQGVWDWLVWLFDOO\YDOLGVDPSOHV
VKRXOG EH WDNHQ DW SODQW IHHG FRDUVH UHMHFW QH UHMHFW RU
WDLOV DQG SURGXFW WR HQVXUH D FORVHG DQG EDODQFHG V\VWHP
7KH\VKRXOGEHFROOHFWHGYLDDXWRPDWHGPHWKRGVLQDVHFXUH
HQYLURQPHQW$OODXWRPDWHGVDPSOHVVKRXOGEHOLQNHGWRWKH
SODQW 6&$'$ V\VWHP VR WKDW WKH FRQWURO URRP LV DOHUWHG RI
DQ\IDLOXUHWRFROOHFWDVDPSOHDQGLPPHGLDWHDFWLRQFDQEH
WDNHQWR[WKHVDPSOHU
5HFRQFLOLDWLRQEHWZHHQWKHPLQHDQGPLOOSURGXFWLRQVKRXOG
EH GRQH RQ D URXWLQH EDVLV DQG PRQLWRUHG GDLO\ WR HQVXUH
DFFXUDWHVDPSOLQJDQGUHFRUGNHHSLQJ,WLVFRQVLGHUHGJRRG
SUDFWLFHWRKDYHDFRQWLQXRXVPRQWKO\UROOLQJUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
2Q DQ DQQXDO EDVLV PLQH DQG PLOO SURGXFWLRQ VKRXOG EH
UHFRQFLOHG ZLWK WKH QDO FRQFHQWUDWH EXOOLRQ RU PLQHUDO
VKLSSHG DQG YDULDWLRQV LGHQWLHG VKRXOG EH H[SODLQHG DQG
UHSRUWHG
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRU ZRXOG OLNH WR WKDQN WKH LQGLYLGXDO DXWKRUV RI
WKHSDSHUVLQ&KDSWHURIWKHUVWHGLWLRQRIWKLVYROXPHIRU
WKHLU FRQWULEXWLRQV DQG IRU SURYLGLQJ VXFK ULFK LQIRUPDWLRQ
RQ ZKLFK WR EDVH WKLV VXPPDU\ SDSHU 6 'RPLQ\ DQG ' +
0DFNHQ]LH DUH DOVR DFNQRZOHGJHG IRU WKHLU UHYLHZ DQG
FRPPHQWVWKDWJUHDWO\HQKDQFHGWKHTXDOLW\RIWKLVSDSHU
656
REFERENCES
%OXFKHU , 5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ WRZDUGV DQ LGHDO SURFHVV
in Proceedings Value Tracking Symposium SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
&DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP &,0
(VWLPDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV
%HVW3UDFWLFH*XLGHOLQHV>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZHE
FLPRUJ8VHU)LOHV)LOH(VWLPDWLRQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV0LQHUDO
5HVHUYHVSGI! &DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ
0HWDOOXUJ\DQG3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
&DUUDVFR3&&DUUDVFR3DQG-DUD(7KHHFRQRPLFLPSDFWRI
LQFRUUHFW VDPSOLQJ DQG DQDO\VLV SUDFWLFHV LQ WKH FRSSHU PLQLQJ
LQGXVWU\Chemomet Intell Lab Sys
'KLOORQ % 6 0LQLQJ (TXLSPHQW 5HOLDELOLW\ 0DLQWDLQDELOLW\ DQG
Safety6SULQJHU9HUODJ/RQGRQ
'LPLWUDNRSRXORV 5 DQG *RGR\ 0 *UDGH FRQWURO EDVHG RQ
HFRQRPLF RUHZDVWH FODVVLFDWLRQ IXQFWLRQV DQG VWRFKDVWLF
VLPXODWLRQVH[DPSOHVFRPSDULVRQVDQGDSSOLFDWLRQVLQMineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\6&6DPSOLQJDFULWLFDOFRPSRQHQWWRJROGPLQLQJ
SURMHFWHYDOXDWLRQLQ3URFHHGLQJV3URMHFW(YDOXDWLRQSS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\6&*UDEVDPSOLQJIRUXQGHUJURXQGJROGPLQHJUDGH
FRQWUROJ S Afr Inst Min Metall
'RPLQ\6&3UHGLFWLQJWKHXQSUHGLFWDEOHHYDOXDWLQJKLJK
QXJJHWHIIHFWJROGGHSRVLWVLQMineral Resource and Ore Reserve
Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\6&DQG0LQQLWW5&$$SSOLFDWLRQRIKHWHURJHQHLW\
WHVWLQJWRFRDUVHJROGRUHVLQ3URFHHGLQJV6DPSOLQJSS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\ 6 & 3ODWWHQ , 0 DQG ;LH < 'HWHUPLQLQJ JROG
SDUWLFOH VL]H LQ JUDYLW\ RUHV IRU VDPSOLQJ DQG PHWDOOXUJLFDO
FKDUDFWHULVDWLRQ GLVFXVVLRQ DQG WHVW SURWRFRO LQ Proceedings
*UDYLW\*ROG&RQIHUHQFHSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'RQDOGVRQ-)HUJXVRQ&DQG0XUUD\+D\GHQ(,QWHUSUHWLQJ
ORQJWHUP PLQH WR PLOO WUHQGV DW 6W ,YHV *ROG 0LQH LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
(OHYOL 6 DQG (OHYOL % 3HUIRUPDQFH PHDVXUHPHQW RI PLQLQJ
HTXLSPHQWE\XWLOL]LQJ2((Acta Montanistica Slovaca
(ONLQJWRQ 7 3ODQQLQJ VWUDWHJLHV WR LQFUHDVH SURMHFW YDOXH LQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ'07KHRU\RIVDPSOLQJDQGJHRVWDWLVWLFV
DQLQWLPDWHOLQNChemomet Intell Lab Sys
*LEOHWW $ 'XQQH 5 DQG 0F&DIIHU\ . 'HQLQJ SUDFWLFDO
PHWDOOXUJLFDODFFRXQWLQJGLVFUHSDQF\OLPLWVIRUJROGRSHUDWLRQV
in 3URFHHGLQJV WK 0LOO 2SHUDWRUV &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
*XUHVLQ 1 /RUHQ]HQ / 'RPLQ\ 6 & 0XOOHU + DQG &RRSHU $
,PSRUWDQFHRIHIIHFWLYHVDPSOLQJSURWRFROVDQGWHVWZRUN
SURWRFROVIRUSURFHVVSODQWGHVLJQLQ3URFHHGLQJV6DPSOLQJ
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
657
HOME
1. FAusIMM (CP), Executive Consultant, Snowden Group, Paddington Central, 1 Kingdom Street, London W2 6BD, UK. Email [email protected]
2. Visiting Professor, Camborne School of Mines, University of Exeter, Cornwall Campus, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UK. Email: [email protected]
3. Adjunct Professor, Western Australian School of Mines, Curtin University, Bentley Campus, Perth WA 6102.
INTRODUCTION
*ROG PLQHUDOLVHG V\VWHPV SDUWLFXODUO\ WKRVH FRQWDLQLQJ
FRDUVHJROGDUHSURQHWRDKLJKWRH[WUHPHQXJJHWHIIHFWDV
D UHVXOW RI FRPSOH[ JHRORJLFDO FRQWUROV in situ PLFURVFRSLF
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV DQG VDPSOLQJ HUURUV 3ODWWHQ DQG 'RPLQ\
)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ3LWDUG&DUUDVFR
'RPLQ\DQG0LQQLWW'HSRVLWVDUHFKDUDFWHULVHGE\WKH
SUHVHQFHRIORFDOLVHGDQGHUUDWLFKLJKJUDGHVLQWHUPL[HGZLWK
ORZJUDGHV7KH\W\SLFDOO\SRVVHVVDQXJJHWHIIHFWRIJUHDWHU
WKDQSHUFHQW
7KH SUHVHQFH RI FRDUVH JROG OHDGV WR HQKDQFHG VDPSOLQJ
FKDOOHQJHV5R\OH'RPLQ\ et al&RVVLR et al
'RPLQ\ DQG 3HWHUVHQ -RKDQVHQ DQG 'RPLQ\
&LQWUD et al+XWFKLVRQ1RWDOOJROGGHSRVLWVEHDU
FRDUVH JROG RU KDYH D KLJKQXJJHW HIIHFW WKRXJK VRPH QH
JROGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQZLOOKDYHDKLJKQXJJHWHIIHFWUHODWHGWR
JROGSDUWLFOHFOXVWHULQJDQGRUDSRGOLNHGLVWULEXWLRQRILWV
KRVWSKDVHHJVXOGHV
7KH KLJKHU WKH QXJJHW HIIHFW WKH KLJKHU WKH SRWHQWLDO
HUURUGXULQJHVWLPDWLRQ7KHUDQGRPQHVVLQWURGXFHGPDNHV
SUHGLFWLRQRIXQVDPSOHGORFDWLRQVPRUHGLIFXOWZLWKJOREDO
HVWLPDWHVPRUHUHOLDEOHWKDQORFDOHVWLPDWHV'XULQJPLQLQJ
GLVFULPLQDWLRQEHWZHHQRUHDQGZDVWHFDQDOVREHGLIFXOWLH
PLQLQJWRDFXWRIISDUWLFXODUO\LQORZJUDGHGHSRVLWV
+LJKQXJJHWHIIHFWJROGGHSRVLWVDUHJHQHUDOO\FRQVLGHUHG
WREHWKHPRVWFKDOOHQJLQJVW\OHRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQWRHYDOXDWH
DQGH[SORLWZLWKWKHH[FHSWLRQRIGLDPRQGGHSRVLWV'HVSLWH
ZHOONQRZQULVNVWKH\DUHRIWHQKLJKJUDGH!JW$XDQG
XSWRJW$XDQGUDUHO\KLJKHUDQGKDYHDQXSVLGHWKDW
659
'
(
FIG 1 - Different styles of vein mineralisation that typically show a high-nugget effect. (A) Gold-quartz vein array in the Llanberris Mako lode, Ballarat East mine,
Victoria, Australia. (B) Narrow splitting gold-quartz vein, part of a wide-sheeted vein system at the Bjorkdal mine, Skelleftea, Sweden. (C) No 2A saddle reef, Dufferin
mine, Nova Scotia, Canada. (D) Gold-quartz-sulfide lode in the Imperial mine, Queensland, Australia. (E) Quartz stockwork veining in the A1 Consolidated mine,
Victoria, Australia.
ERG\'RPLQ\3ODWWHQDQG5DLQH3ODWWHQDQG'RPLQ\
*ROGPD\EHKRVWHGLQGLVFUHWHRUHVKRRWVZKLFKFDQ
EHRIYDULDEOHJUDGHVL]HJHRPHWU\DQGRULHQWDWLRQ3HWHUV
3ODWWHQDQG'RPLQ\'RPLQ\DQG3ODWWHQE
9HLQIRUPDWLRQJHQHUDOO\UHODWHVWRDFRPSOH[DQGH[WHQGHG
KLVWRU\ UHHFWHG E\ WKH HPSODFHPHQW RI EDUUHQ DQG JROG
EHDULQJGRPDLQV$OWKRXJKLWVDFRPSDUDWLYHO\HDV\PDWWHU
WRHVWDEOLVKWKHJHRORJLFDOFRQWLQXLW\RIWKHJOREDOVWUXFWXUH
660
GXULQJGULOOLQJWKHWUDFLQJRILQGLYLGXDOJROGULFKYHLQVFDQ
EHGLIFXOW'HWHUPLQDWLRQRIWKHLUH[WHQWZLWKLQWKHRYHUDOO
VWUXFWXUHLVKDUGZLWKRXWXQGHUJURXQGGHYHORSPHQW7KLVLV
DFFHQWXDWHGZKHQJROGGLVWULEXWLRQZLWKLQWKHYHLQLVHUUDWLF
DV LW PD\ QRW EH SUHVHQW LQ FRUHV ZKHUH WKH JROGFDUU\LQJ
VWUXFWXUHLVLQWHUVHFWHGLQDORZJUDGHDUHD
7DEOH VKRZV JHQHUDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI KLJKQXJJHW
V\VWHPVDQGUDQJHVRISURMHFWULVN
TABLE 1
Characteristics of high-nugget gold deposits in relation to the degree of nugget effect and project risk. Risk given is relative within the range expected
in high-nugget systems. Range of project types is not intended to be exhaustive. Data spacings given are general only.
Characteristic/risk
Low
Moderate
High
Extreme
Extreme
Geological complexity
geometrical form
Tabular
Tabular
Tabular to irregular
Tabular to irregular
Tabular to irregular
Geological complexity
internal architecture
Composite en echelon
or stockwork system
50 - 60%
60 - 70%
70 - 80%
>80%
>80%
<300
>2500
>15 000
>30 000
>250 000
20 - 30 m DD grid
development
<15 m by 15 m DD plus
development (potentially
only an Inferred Resource)
<10 m by 10 m RC grid
Head grade
Nugget effect
Indicative sampling
constant (K)
Indicative data spacing
to achieve an Indicated
Mineral Resource
Probable Ore Reserve at the
grade controlmine design
stage based on known
deposits
FIG 2 - (A) Isolated, visible coarse gold particles in core from the Ballarat East
mine. (B) Ultra-high-grade core, where gold forms a continuous network
through quartz.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
661
FIG 3 - Application of X-ray computer microtomography (XCMT) to the evaluation of gold particles in a high-grade (>60 g/t Au) sample from the Nalunaq mine,
Greenland. (A) Photograph of sample surface with sulfides and trace visible gold (sample length 11 cm); (B) XCMT image of surface skin showing little gold (blue
circles); and (C) full-depth XCMT image showing a cluster of gold particles approximately 25 mm across. XCMT resolution approximately 150 m (after Dominy et al,
2011a; images from Natural History Museum, London).
JHRORJLFDORU in situKHWHURJHQHLW\RIWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
VDPSOHVXSSRUWVDPSOHVL]HYROXPHYDULDQFH
VDPSOHGHQVLW\QXPEHURIVDPSOHVDWDJLYHQVSDFLQJ
LQIRUPDWLRQHIIHFW
VDPSOHDQGDVVD\SURFHGXUHV
7KURXJKRXW WKH PLQH YDOXH FKDLQ RSWLPLVHG VDPSOLQJ
SURWRFROVDLPWRUHGXFHWKHWRWDOVDPSOLQJYDULDQFHWKHUHE\
DOVRUHGXFLQJWKH
WRWDOQXJJHWYDULDQFH
VNHZQHVVRIWKHDVVD\GLVWULEXWLRQ
QXPEHURIH[WUHPHJUDGHYDOXHV
TABLE 2
Definition of sampling errors as defined in the Theory of Sampling (Gy, 1979; Pitard, 1993).
Sampling error
Acronym
Error definition
Fundamental
FSE
The FSE results from grade heterogeneity of the broken lot. Out of all sampling errors, the FSE does not cancel out and remains even after
a sampling operation is perfect. Experience shows that the nugget effect can be artificially high because sample weights are not optimal.
Grouping and
segregation
GSE
Relates to the error due to the combination of grouping and segregation of rock fragments in the lot. Once rock is broken, there will be
segregation of particles at any scale (eg surface stockpile or laboratory pulp).
Delimitation
DE
Extraction
EE
The EE results from the incorrect extraction of a sample. Extraction is only correct when all fragments within the delimited volume are
taken into the sample.
Weighting
WE
WE relates to collecting samples that are of a comparable support. Samples should represent a consistent mass per unit.
Preparation
PE
Refers to issues during sample transport, preparation (contamination and losses) and unintentional and intentional human error.
Analytical
AE
663
TABLE 3
Cause, effect and solutions to sampling errors.
Sample type
Cause
Error
Effect
Nugget effect
component
In situ heterogeneity
Local representivity
Poor precision
Geological or in situ
Larger samples
More samples
Constitution heterogeneity
Fundamental sampling
Poor precision
Sampling or human
Optimised protocols
Larger samples
More samples
Poor precision
Sampling or human
Optimised protocols
More samples
High bias
Sampling or human
Optimised protocols
Efficient training
Strict QA/QC
Notes: DE, EE, WE, PE and AE refer to Table 2. QA/QC quality assurance / quality control.
664
Solution
Recommendations
*HQHUDO UHFRPPHQGDWLRQV IRU JROG VDPSOLQJ SURWRFROV
LQFOXGH
Optimisation approach
0LQHUDOLVDWLRQ FKDUDFWHULVDWLRQ LV D SUHFXUVRU RI VDPSOLQJ
SURWRFRO RSWLPLVDWLRQ 'RPLQ\ 3ODWWHQ DQG ;LH
'RPLQ\ ;LH DQG 3ODWWHQ D E 'RPLQ\ et al
SUHYHQWLRQRIQHVDQGOLEHUDWHGJROGORVVHVGXULQJGULOOLQJ
DQGLQFUXVKHUVDQGSXOYHULVHUV
WKH DYRLGDQFH RI VDPSOH KRPRJHQLVDWLRQ ZKLFK LQ PRVW
FDVHV LV DQ H[HUFLVH LQ IXWLOLW\ OHDGLQJ WR PDVVLYH *6(
SDUWLFXODUO\ZKHQFRDUVHJROGLVSUHVHQW
SUHYHQWLRQ RI FRQWDPLQDWLRQ EHWZHHQ VXFFHVVLYH VDPSOHV
DWWKHGULOOULJLQFUXVKHUVSXOYHULVHUVRYHQVDQGVFUHHQV
)LJXUHD
SURYLVLRQ RI VHSDUDWH ZHOOPDQDJHG ODERUDWRU\ FLUFXLWV
IRU KDQGOLQJ JROG VDPSOHV SDUWLFXODUO\ IRU WKRVH EHDULQJ
FRDUVHJROG
6SHFLF DFWLRQV WR UHGXFH VDPSOLQJ HUURUV DQG LPSURYH
DVVD\UHOLDELOLW\LQFOXGH
665
Warnings
:LWKRXW SURSHU GHVLJQ DQG HYDOXDWLRQ VDPSOLQJ SURJUDPV
IUHTXHQWO\FKDQJHPLGSURMHFWRUDUHEDVHGRQSUHFRQFHLYHG
LGHDV$QXPEHURIZDUQLQJVDUHJLYHQ
666
$YRLGVWDQGDUGVDPSOHSUHSDUDWLRQDQGDVVD\SURFHGXUHV
SURPXOJDWHGE\VRPH3URFHGXUHVVKRXOGEHGHVLJQHGIRU
WKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQVW\OHEHLQJHYDOXDWHG
'HVLJQ WKH VDPSOLQJ SURJUDP IRU WKH GHSRVLW HDUO\ RQ
DQGDYRLGFKDQJLQJVDPSOHW\SHVIRUH[DPSOHKDOIFRUH
YHUVXVIXOOFRUHYHUVXV5&
$YRLGWKHXVHRIGLIIHUHQWVDPSOHSUHSDUDWLRQDQGDVVD\
PHWKRGVGXULQJDSURJUDP
'R QRW XVH WULJJHUV WR FKDQJH WKH VDPSOH SUHSDUDWLRQ
DQGRU DVVD\ PHWKRG )RU H[DPSOH FKDQJLQJ IURP UH
DVVD\ WR VFUHHQ UH DVVD\ MXVW EHFDXVH YLVLEOH JROG LV
SUHVHQWLQDVDPSOHRUUHDVVD\LQJHJVLPSO\UHDVVD\LQJ
RU XVLQJ DQRWKHU PHWKRG DOO VDPSOHV WKDW KDYH D JUDGH
DERYHDJLYHQYDOXHDQGWKHQWDNLQJDYHUDJHV
:KHUHFRDUVHDQGRUSXOSUHMHFWVKDYHEHHQWDNHQHQVXUH
WKDW DQ\ UHDVVD\LQJ SURJUDPV DUH GHVLJQHG FDUHIXOO\ WR
UHGXFHVDPSOLQJHUURUV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
Data spacing
$WWKHVWXG\VWDJHHJVFRSLQJWKURXJKWRIHDVLELOLW\ZLGH
VSDFHG GULOO JULGV ! P ZLOO JHQHUDOO\ EH SUREOHPDWLF
7KH\ZLOOSUREDEO\GHQHJOREDOJHRORJLFDOFRQWLQXLW\ZLWK
WKHSUHGLFWLRQRIVPDOOVFDOHFRQWLQXLW\XQOLNHO\7KHUHLVDQ
RSSRUWXQLW\IRUJUDGHWREHXQGHUVWDWHG
.H\ GULYHUV IRU GULOO VSDFLQJ VHOHFWLRQ DUH RUHERG\
JHRPHWU\FRQWLQXLW\DQGJUDGHGLVWULEXWLRQ$FRQWLQXRXV
SODQDU VWUXFWXUH ZLWK D PRGHUDWHQXJJHW HIIHFW ZLOO
UHTXLUH D FORVHU VSDFLQJ WKDQ D JHRPHWULFDOO\ FRPSOH[
GLVFRQWLQXRXV VWUXFWXUH ZLWK DQ H[WUHPHQXJJHW HIIHFW
%DVHGRQH[SHULHQFHGULOOLQJDWDVSDFLQJRIWRPE\
WRPRUOHVVGXULQJXQGHUJURXQGGHQLWLRQPD\DOORZ
WKHGHQLWLRQRI,QIHUUHGRU,QGLFDWHG5HVRXUFHV'RPLQ\
6WHSKHQVRQDQG$QQHOV
,QDQH[WUHPHH[DPSOHDPWRPZLGHDQDVWRPRVLQJ
VWRFNZRUN ]RQH WKDW VKRZV SLQFK DQG VZHOO JHRPHWU\
UHTXLUHGDGULOOVSDFLQJRIPE\PWRDFKLHYHDQ,QIHUUHG
5HVRXUFH,QGLFDWHG5HVRXUFHVZHUHEDVHGRQDGULOOVSDFLQJ
RIPE\PDQGXQGHUJURXQGGHYHORSPHQW7RSHUPLW
PLQLQJ VHOHFWLYLW\ DQG VWRSH GHVLJQ WKH GULOO VSDFLQJ ZDV
ORFDOO\UHGXFHGWRPE\P7KHGHSRVLWQXJJHWHIIHFWZDV
DURXQGSHUFHQWZLWKDUXQRIPLQHJUDGHRIJW$XWR
JW$X
DIDFHVDPSOLQJELWLVXVHG
DQ HIFLHQW F\FORQH LV XVHG WR DFKLHYH ! SHU FHQW
UHFRYHU\
2QH PHWUH FRPSRVLWHV DUH W\SLFDO EXW WKHVH FDQ EH
UHGXFHG WR P WR LQFUHDVH UHVROXWLRQ DQG UHGXFH )6(
GXULQJVXEVDPSOLQJ$WOHDVWWHQ5&KROHVPXVWEHWZLQQHG
ZLWK GLDPRQG KROHV WR UHYLHZ ELDV DQG FKHFN JHRORJ\
WKRXJK WKH DSSURSULDWH QXPEHU ZLOO GHSHQG RQ GHSRVLW
VL]HDQGFRPSOH[LW\0RGLHG5&ULJVDUHQRZDYDLODEOHIRU
XQGHUJURXQGJUDGHFRQWUROXVH
7KH /HDFK:(// PHWKRG LV SDUWLFXODUO\ DSSURSULDWH IRU
KLJKQXJJHW FRDUVH JROG RUHV DV LW SHUPLWV D ODUJH VDPSOH
VL]H W\SLFDOO\ EHWZHHQ NJ DQG NJ WR EH DVVD\HG
/HDFK:(// LV DQ DFFHOHUDWHG F\DQLGH H[WUDFWLRQ PHWKRG
7KH VWDQGDUG PHWKRGRORJ\ SODFHV D SXOYHULVHG VDPSOH LQ
D SODVWLF ERWWOH ZLWK ZDWHU DQG D /HDFK:(// WDEOHW DGGHG
7KH ERWWOH LV UROOHG EHWZHHQ HLJKW DQG KRXUV WR DFKLHYH
EHWZHHQ SHU FHQW DQG SHU FHQW H[WUDFWLRQ )LJXUH E
,I WRWDO JROG LV UHTXLUHG WKH UHVLGXH PXVW EH UH DVVD\HG
/HDFK:(// LV XVHG URXWLQHO\ DW D QXPEHU RI $XVWUDOLDQ
JROG PLQHV 7KH FRDUVH JROGGRPLQDWHG %DOODUDW (DVW JROG
PLQH9LFWRULD)LJXUHVDDQGDXVHVZKROHFRUHDQGNJ
/HDFK:(// IRU 5HVRXUFH GHYHORSPHQW DQG JUDGH FRQWURO
VDPSOHV )LJXUH E 7KH PHWKRG LV DOVR XVHG DW WKH :DWWOH
'DPPLQH:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLD+XWFKLVRQ
FIG 6 - Set of three gravity separation units for processing of drill core and
grade control samples from a coarse gold-dominated mine. Samples were fine
crushed to P90 -0.8 mm and then fed into the spinners. Concentrate and tailings
samples were assayed to back-calculate a sample head grade.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
667
,WPD\EHSRVVLEOHWRFROOHFWJHRORJLFDOO\EDVHGSDUDPHWHUV
IURP GULOO FRUH DQG XQGHUJURXQG IDFHV WR VXSSRUW JUDGH
GHWHUPLQDWLRQ 7KHVH SDUDPHWHUV RU SUR[LHV DUH EDVHG
RQPLQHUDORJLFDODQGRUJHRFKHPLFDOHJVSHFLFHOHPHQWDO
UDWLRV RU HOHPHQWDO FRUUHODWLRQV FULWHULD 'RPLQ\ 3ODWWHQ
DQG1XJXV6XFKFULWHULDFDQEHFRUUHODWHGZLWKJUDGHV
WR SURYLGH DQ LQGLFDWLRQ RI JUDGH ZLWKLQ D JHRORJLFDOO\
FRQWUROOHGFRQWH[WDQGPD\ZLWKFDXWLRQEHXVHGWRVXSSRUW
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ
Resource estimation
Introduction
0DQ\ KLJKQXJJHW V\VWHPV DUH UHODWLYHO\ WDEXODU QDUURZ
YHLQ VWUXFWXUHV DPHQDEOH WR ' HVWLPDWLRQ DSSURDFKHV
)LJXUHG'RPLQ\DQG$QQHOV0DUFRWWHDQG%RXFKHU
'RPLQ\ et al 2WKHUV KDYH ODUJHU GLPHQVLRQV
)LJXUHH ZKLFK PDNH WKH XVH RI ' EORFN PRGHOOLQJ
WHFKQLTXHV PRUH DSSURSULDWH $E]DORY DQG +XPSKUH\V
7KHNH\FRQVLGHUDWLRQVWKDWVKRXOGGULYHJUDGHHVWLPDWLRQ
DUH GDWD W\SH GHQVLW\ DQG TXDOLW\ JUDGH DQG JHRORJLFDO
FRQWLQXLW\GRPDLQLQJDQGKDQGOLQJRIH[WUHPHKLJKO\VNHZHG
JUDGH SRSXODWLRQV DQG PXOWLSOH JUDGH SRSXODWLRQV $ERYH
DOOWKHUROHRIVWURQJJHRORJLFDOFRQWUROLVVWUHVVHGWKURXJKRXW
WKH HYDOXDWLRQ SURFHVV 6LQFODLU DQG 9DOOpH 'RPLQ\
et al 0F&XDLJ 9DQQ DQG 6H\PRXU 'RPLQ\
1RSSpDQG$QQHOV7RVXSSRUWWKLVLPSHUDWLYHTXDOLW\
JHRORJLFDO DQG JUDGH LQIRUPDWLRQ LV UHTXLUHG WKDW FDQ EHVW
EH REWDLQHG IURP GLDPRQG FRUH GULOOLQJ *RRG] DQG )ULWK
5&GULOOLQJLVOLNHO\WREHPRUHDSSURSULDWHIRURSHQSLW
JUDGHFRQWURODFWLYLWLHV
$Q HIIHFWLYH 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWH PXVW LQWHJUDWH QXPHURXV
IDFHWVLQFOXGLQJJHRORJLFDOGDWDFROOHFWLRQVWRUDJHLQWHJUDWLRQ
DQGYDOLGDWLRQVDPSOLQJDVVD\LQJDQG4$4&EXONGHQVLW\
GHWHUPLQDWLRQ JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ DQG PRGHOOLQJ
JUDGH DQG WRQQDJH HVWLPDWLRQ HYDOXDWLRQ RI HFRQRPLF
UHDVRQDEOHQHVV DQG 5HVRXUFH FRQGHQFH FODVVLFDWLRQ DQG
UHSRUWLQJ'RPLQ\1RSSpDQG$QQHOV
Geological modelling
7RQQDJHHVWLPDWLRQLVIRXQGHGRQDJUDGHPRGHOZLWKLQWKH
FRQWH[W RI D UREXVW JHRORJLFDO PRGHO $ SODQDU TXDUW] YHLQ
)LJXUHGZLWKKDUGJUDGHERXQGDULHVDWLWVPDUJLQVZLOO
EH OHVV SURQH WR XQFHUWDLQW\ WKDQ DQ LUUHJXODU VWRFNZRUN
VW\OH RU HQ HFKHORQ V\VWHP )LJXUH H 6RPH V\VWHPV PD\
EHIROGHGIRUH[DPSOHEHGGLQJSDUDOOHOODPLQDWHGYHLQVLQ
IROGHGVHGLPHQWVZKLFKZLOOEHEHVWHYDOXDWHGLQXQIROGHG
VSDFH
6WDQGDUG DSSURDFKHV WR ' PRGHOOLQJ EDVHG RQ PDQXDO
VHFWLRQVDQGGLJLWLVDWLRQPD\EHDSSURSULDWH,QJHRPHWULFDOO\
FRPSOH[ V\VWHPV PDQXDOO\ LQWHUSUHWHG VHFWLRQV ZLOO EH
FULWLFDO WR HQVXUH HIIHFWLYH JHRORJLFDO FRQWURO )LJXUH
5HFHQW GHYHORSPHQWV LQ LPSOLFLW PRGHOOLQJ SURYLGH VRPH
DVVLVWDQFHIRUJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ*UDGHDQGRUJUDGH
SUR[\GDWDFDQEHPRGHOOHGWRSURYLGHDSUREDELOLVWLFPRGHO
RI KLJKJUDGH RU ORZJUDGH ]RQH ORFDWLRQ WKXV SURYLGLQJ
FRQWUROIRUHVWLPDWLRQ
6LPXODWLRQ RI JHRORJ\ PD\ DVVLVW LQ WKH HYDOXDWLRQ RI
OLWKRORJLFDO FRQWUROV RQ PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ IRU H[DPSOH WKH
GLVWULEXWLRQRIJROGJUDGHVLVRIWHQFRQWUROOHGE\TXDUW]YHLQ
VHWV 6LPXODWHG PRGHOV VKRXOG LQFRUSRUDWH DOO VRXUFHV RI
668
Resource modelling
$PDMRULVVXHRIJUDGHHVWLPDWLRQLQKLJKQXJJHWRUHERGLHV
LV WKH HIIHFW RI KLJKJUDGH RU H[WUHPH YDOXHV &KDPSLJQ\
DQG$UPVWURQJ+HDOH\&RVWD7KHVH
YDOXHVDUHOLNHO\WRPDNHDVLJQLFDQWFRQWULEXWLRQWRGHSRVLW
YLDELOLW\IRUH[DPSOHWZRSHUFHQWRIWKHGDWDFRXOGFRQWDLQ
SHUFHQWRIWKHFRQWDLQHGPHWDO,WLVFULWLFDOWRXQGHUVWDQG
WKHLU VSDWLDO ORFDWLRQ DQG YDULDELOLW\ 7KH KLJKJUDGH YDOXHV
KDYH DQ XQGXH HIIHFW RQ WKH DYHUDJH YDOXH DQG ZLOO KDYH D
VLPLODU HIIHFW RQ WKH HVWLPDWLRQ RI WKH JUDGHV RI DQ\ EORFNV
LQ WKH YLFLQLW\ RI WKH JLYHQ GULOO KROHV 7KHVH HIIHFWV RFFXU
EHFDXVH D UHODWLYHO\ VPDOO QXPEHU RI VDPSOHV DUH XVHG LQ
DQ\ JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ ,I PRUH RI WKH RUHERG\ LV VDPSOHG LQ
WKH YLFLQLW\ RI WKH EORFN EHLQJ HVWLPDWHG WKH SURSRUWLRQ RI
KLJKJUDGHVDPSOHVZRXOGGHFUHDVHDQGWKHDYHUDJHZRXOG
UHYHUWWRDPRUHUHDOLVWLFYDOXH,IQRDFFRXQWLVWDNHQRIWKH
HIIHFWV RI WKHVH H[WUHPH YDOXHV HVWLPDWLRQ UXQV WKH ULVN RI
RYHUHVWLPDWLQJ WKH JUDGHV RI LQGLYLGXDO EORFNV ,Q SUDFWLFH
KLJKJUDGHVDUHFXWWRUHGXFHWKHLULQXHQFH
([WUHPH YDOXHV JHQHUDOO\ UHVXOW LQ YDULRJUDPV WKDW DUH
HUUDWLFDQGGLIFXOWWRLQWHUSUHW7KHHIIHFWRIH[WUHPHJUDGHV
GXULQJYDULRJUDSK\FDQEHUHGXFHGWKURXJKWKHDSSOLFDWLRQ
RI QRUPDO VFRUH YDULRJUDPV ZKHUH WKH VNHZHG SRSXODWLRQ
LV HIIHFWLYHO\ WUDQVIRUPHG LQWR D QRUPDO SRSXODWLRQ DQG
WKHQ EDFNWUDQVIRUPHG 7KH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI QRQSDUDPHWULF
HVWLPDWLRQDSSURDFKHVVXFKDVLQGLFDWRUNULJLQJRULQGLFDWRU
VLPXODWLRQPD\EHDSSURSULDWH+HDOH\9DQQ*XLEDO
DQG+DUOH\9RXOJDULVDQG(PVOLH$]EDORYDQG
+XPSKUH\V ,Q DGGLWLRQ GHWDLOHG GRPDLQLQJ DQGRU
UHVWULFWHGVHDUFKVWUDWHJLHVVKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHG
:KHUHYHU SRVVLEOH JHRVWDWLVWLFDO EORFN PRGHOOLQJ
PHWKRGV HJ NULJLQJ VKRXOG EH DSSOLHG 'RPLQ\ DQG
$QQHOV*HRVWDWLVWLFVLVDSRZHUIXOPHWKRGSURYLGHG
WKDW LW LV DSSOLHG FRUUHFWO\ DQG LQ WKH OLJKW RI JHRORJLFDO
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ.ULJLQJLVDVSDWLDODYHUDJLQJWHFKQLTXHWKDW
JHQHUDWHVDQHVWLPDWHRIEORFNJUDGHDVDZHLJKWHGDYHUDJH
RIVDPSOHVZLWKLQWKHVHDUFKQHLJKERXUKRRG7KHLPSDFWRI
UDQGRP HUURUV LV PLWLJDWHG E\ WKH DYHUDJLQJ SURFHVV 7KH
QXJJHW HIIHFW DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK NULJLQJ RI WKH EORFN JUDGH
LV JHQHUDOO\ FRQVLGHUHG WR EH QHJOLJLEOH SURYLGHG WKDW
D VXIFLHQW QXPEHU RI VDPSOHV DUH XVHG LQ WKH HVWLPDWH
FIG 7 - Construction of hand-drawn sections are a critical aspect of many high-nugget systems that display geological complexity. Interpretations require local
experience to be integrated with data from drilling and/or development mapping. In this section from the Ballarat East mine, quartz veins (red) are hosted in
folded sediments along dominantly west-dipping fault zones, though some stacks of veins are east-dipping. Thus, careful section construction is required to
constrain Resource modelling.
,I WKH VDPSOLQJ HUURUV LQFOXGH D VLJQLFDQW QRQUDQGRP
FRPSRQHQWUHODWHGWRWKH*6(RURWKHUHUURUVELDVRIORFDO
HVWLPDWHVZLOORFFXU
$FRPPRQUHDVRQIRUQRWDSSO\LQJJHRVWDWLVWLFDOHVWLPDWLRQ
UHODWHV WR FRPSOH[ JHRORJ\ DQG JUDGH GLVWULEXWLRQ DQG WKH
DVVRFLDWHGGLIFXOW\LQGHQLQJYDULRJUDPV:KLOVWLQVRPH
FDVHV WKLV PLJKW EH WUXH LW LV GHSHQGHQW XSRQ SURMHFW VWDJH
DQGGDWDGHQVLW\,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRQRWHWKDWZLWKZLGHVSDFHG
GDWD ! P WKH QXJJHW HIIHFW FDQ EH HLWKHU XQUHVROYHG RU
EHORZH[SHFWDWLRQHJEHWZHHQSHUFHQWDQGSHUFHQW
7KLV LV GXH WR ZLGHVSDFHG GDWD IDLOLQJ WR UHVROYH VPDOO
VFDOH YDULDELOLW\ IURP WKH JHRORJLFDO QXJJHW HIIHFW LH WKH
LQIRUPDWLRQ HIIHFW &ORVHVSDFHG GDWD VXFK DV FRQVHFXWLYH
IDFHVDPSOHVIUHTXHQWO\\LHOGDKLJKHUQXJJHWHIIHFW
7KHVH GHSRVLWV UHTXLUH FDUHIXO JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
JUDGH GRPDLQLQJ DQG VWDWLVWLFDO VWXG\ ,I GDWD LV VSDUVH RU
KLVWRULFDO SURGXFWLRQEDVHG JHRORJ\ LV GLVFRQWLQXRXV DQG
RU DQ H[WUHPH QXJJHW HIIHFW LV SUHVHQW WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI
JHRORJLFDOO\ FRQWUROOHG FRQYHQWLRQDO PHWKRGV PD\ EH PRUH
DSSURSULDWH'RPLQ\DQG$QQHOV'RPLQ\DQG3ODWWHQ
D
$PDMRULVVXHUHODWHVWRWKHEORFNVL]HXVHGIRUHVWLPDWLRQ
%ORFN VL]H LV SULQFLSDOO\ FRQWUROOHG E\ GULOO VSDFLQJ ,Q D
GHSRVLWZLWKZLGHVSDFHGGULOOLQJHJPE\PDVPDOO
EORFNVL]HHJPE\PZLOOOHDGWRFRQGLWLRQDOELDV%ORFN
VL]H VKRXOG EH HYDOXDWHG E\ WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI TXDQWLWDWLYH
NULJLQJQHLJKERXUKRRGDQDO\VLV4.1$WRHQVXUHDFFXUDWH
HVWLPDWLRQ DQG PLQLPLVDWLRQ RI PLVFODVVLFDWLRQ 9DQQ
-DFNVRQ DQG %HUWROL 4.1$ VWULYHV WR RSWLPLVH EORFN
VL]HWKURXJKWKHHYDOXDWLRQRINULJLQJHIFLHQF\DLPLQJIRU
SHUFHQWDQGWKHVORSHRIUHJUHVVLRQDLPLQJIRUDVORSH
RI%ORFNPRGHOVWHQGWREHJHQHUDWHGXVLQJEORFNVL]HV
WKDWDUHODUJHUWKDQWKHDQWLFLSDWHGPLQLQJVHOHFWLYLW\,IWKLV
LVWKHFDVHFKDQJHRIVXSSRUWFRUUHFWLRQVZLOOEHUHTXLUHGWR
DGMXVWWKHEORFNPRGHOWRUHHFWOLNHO\VHOHFWLYLW\:KHUHWKLV
LVQRWGRQHWKHDSSOLFDWLRQRIDFXWRIIJUDGHPXVWEHWUHDWHG
ZLWKFDXWLRQDVLWLVDSSOLHGWRWKHHVWLPDWLRQEORFNDQGQRWD
VHOHFWLYHPLQLQJXQLW
)RU D UREXVW PLQH SODQ LW LV KHOSIXO WR PRGHO VKRUWWHUP
YDULDELOLW\ VR WKDW LWV LPSDFW RQ UHFRYHUHG WRQQDJHV DQG
JUDGHFDQEHDVVHVVHG$WWHPSWVWRGRWKLVXVLQJFRQYHQWLRQDO
EORFNPRGHOVGRQRWDFFRXQWIRULQSXWGDWDVPRRWKLQJ7KLV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
669
SUREOHPDWLFDQGQRWUHSRUWLQJFRGHV,WLVFOHDUWKDW&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQVIROORZLQJWKH-25&&RGHLQVXFKVLWXDWLRQVIXQFWLRQ
DV WKH\ VKRXOG E\ DOHUWLQJ SRWHQWLDO LQYHVWRUV DQG GHFLVLRQ
PDNHUV WR WKH XQFHUWDLQWLHV VXUURXQGLQJ HVWLPDWHV LQ KLJK
QXJJHWV\VWHPV)XUWKHUGLVFRXUVHRQWKHUHSRUWLQJRIKLJK
QXJJHW GHSRVLWV LV JLYHQ LQ 'RPLQ\ et al 'RPLQ\
6WHSKHQVRQDQG$QQHOVDQG'RPLQ\ et al
Warnings
7KHUH KDYH EHHQ D QXPEHU RI KLJKQXJJHW JROG SURMHFWV
WKDWKDYHIDOWHUHGRUIDLOHG.H\LVVXHVLQFOXGHEXWDUHQRW
OLPLWHGWR
Resource validation
%H\RQGVWDQGDUGEORFNPRGHOYDOLGDWLRQSURFHGXUHVVXFKDV
FRPSDULQJORFDOGULOODQGEORFNJUDGHVYLVXDOVHFWLRQFKHFNV
VZDWKH SORWV DQG FRPSDULVRQ EHWZHHQ GLIIHUHQW HVWLPDWLRQ
PHWKRGV PRUH SUDFWLFDO YDOLGDWLRQ RI HVWLPDWHV PD\ EH
UHTXLUHGSULRUWRDSURGXFWLRQGHFLVLRQ
%XON VDPSOLQJ RU WULDO PLQLQJ SURJUDPV PD\ EH
DSSURSULDWH VWUDWHJLHV WR YDOLGDWH JUDGH DQG ORZHU SURMHFW
ULVNLQKLJKQXJJHWGHSRVLWV'RPLQ\-RKDQVHQDQG$QQHOV
'RPLQ\DQG3HWHUVHQ'RPLQ\3ODWWHQDQG;LH
D 7KDOHQKRUVW DQG 'XPND 3URJUDPV PD\ IRUP
D NH\ SDUW RI SUHIHDVLELOLW\ RU IHDVLELOLW\ VWXGLHV DOORZLQJ
IRU WKH YHULFDWLRQ RI JUDGH HVWLPDWHV DV ZHOO DV JHRORJ\
JHRWHFKQLFDO FRQGLWLRQV PHWDOOXUJLFDO SDUDPHWHUV DQG
PLQLQJ PHWKRG &ORVHVSDFHG GULOOLQJ ZLOO EH UHTXLUHG WR
VXSSOHPHQWWKHSURJUDPDQGSHUPLWFRPSDULVRQEHWZHHQWKH
RULJLQDOHVWLPDWHVDQGDVVRFLDWHGGULOOLQJWKHEXONVDPSOLQJ
WULDOPLQLQJUHVXOWVDQGDUHQHGHVWLPDWHEDVHGRQWKHQHZ
FORVHVSDFHGGULOOLQJ
&RQVLGHUDWLRQPXVWEHJLYHQWREXONVDPSOHRUWULDOPLQLQJ
ORWSURFHVVLQJ2SWLRQVLQFOXGHZKROHORWSURFHVVLQJWKURXJK
DSODQWHJWKRXVDQGVRIWRQQHVVFDOH'RPLQ\-RKDQVHQDQG
$QQHOV 'RPLQ\ 3ODWWHQ DQG ;LH D SDUWLDO ORW
SURFHVVLQJDIWHUSDUWLFOHVL]HUHGXFWLRQDQGVSOLWWLQJWKURXJK
DSODQWHJKXQGUHGVRIWRQQHVVFDOH'RPLQ\-RKDQVHQDQG
$QQHOV RU ORW DQG SDUWLFOH VL]H UHGXFWLRQ WKURXJK D
VDPSOLQJWRZHUIRUODERUDWRU\VFDOHSURFHVVLQJHJKXQGUHGV
RI NLORJUDPV RU OHVV VFDOH 'RPLQ\ DQG 3HWHUVHQ
7KDOHQKRUVWDQG'XPND:KROHORWSURFHVVLQJWKURXJK
D SODQW LV WKH EHVW RSWLRQ VLQFH DOO WKH VDPSOH LV SURFHVVHG
ZLWKQRVSOLWWLQJLQYROYHG
:HOOSODQQHGDQGFRQGXFWHGEXONVDPSOLQJRUWULDOPLQLQJ
SURJUDPV DUH ERWK FRVWO\ DQG WLPHFRQVXPLQJ VR GHWDLOHG
SODQQLQJ LV UHTXLUHG 'RPLQ\ 3ODWWHQ DQG ;LH D ,Q
VRPH FDVHV RSHUDWRUV FRQVLGHU WKHP WR EH WKH VWDUW RI DQ
LQFUHPHQWDOSURGXFWLRQSURJUDP7KLVLVQRWDQXQUHDVRQDEOH
DSSURDFK LI LW LV WKH EHVW ZD\ WR GHPRQVWUDWH WR LQYHVWRUV
VKDUHKROGHUVDQGRWKHUVWKDWWKHGHSRVLWLVYLDEOH
Resource reporting
5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWHV IRU KLJKQXJJHW V\VWHPV
VKRXOGEHUHSRUWHGLQDFFRUGDQFHZLWK7KH-25&&RGH-25&
RU ZKLFKHYHU FRGH LV DSSURSULDWH )XOO GLVFORVXUH RI
DOO PDWWHUV SHUWDLQLQJ WR -25& &RGHV 7DEOH LV UHTXLUHG
WRDFKLHYHWUDQVSDUHQF\ DQGPDWHULDOLW\ :KLOHV\PSDWKHWLF
WR WKH FKDOOHQJHV IDFHG E\ RSHUDWRUV WR UHSRUW 5HVRXUFHV
WKH DXWKRU QRWHV WKDW LW LV WKH QDWXUH RI WKH GHSRVLWV WKDW LV
670
RYHUUHOLDQFHRQSRRUO\YDOLGDWHGKLVWRULFDOGDWDDQGRU
PRGHOV
LQDSSURSULDWHWUHDWPHQWRIH[WUHPHJUDGHVDQGRUKLJK
JUDGH ]RQHV RIWHQ UHVXOWLQJ LQ JUDGH VPHDULQJ DQG
RYHUHVWLPDWLRQ
IDFWRULQJRIJUDGHVWRDOORZIRUDQH[SHFWHGXSVLGHGXHWR
WKHSUHVHQFHRIFRDUVHJROGDQGSHUFHLYHGXQGHUVWDWHPHQW
RIJUDGHLQUHODWLRQWRVDPSOHW\SHDQGRUVSDFLQJ
H[WUDSRODWLRQ RI PLQHUDOLVHG ]RQHV RYHU ODUJH GLVWDQFHV
SRWHQWLDOO\ KXQGUHGV RI PHWUHV ZLWK DQ H[SHFWDWLRQ RI
HFRQRPLFYLDELOLW\ZKHUHLQUHDOLW\DVOLWWOHDVSHUFHQW
RIWKH]RQHPD\KDYHDQ\FKDQFHRIEHLQJHFRQRPLF
HVWLPDWLRQRIJUDGHEDVHGRQZLGHVSDFHG!PGULOOLQJ
WKDW KDV PLQLPDO FKDQFH RI UHSUHVHQWLQJ ZKDW ZLOO EH
PLQHGLQUHDOLW\
LJQRULQJ RUHERG\ ZLGWK ZLWK UHVSHFW WR OLNHO\ PLQLQJ
PHWKRG ZKLOVW D 5HVRXUFH LV QRW D 5HVHUYH LW LV FULWLFDO
WKDWWKH5HVRXUFHPRGHOEHUHSRUWHGWRDQRPLQDOPLQLQJ
ZLGWK WR HQVXUH PDWHULDOLW\ DQG WUDQVSDUHQF\ -25&
Exploitation
Grade control
,QPDQ\KLJKQXJJHWSURMHFWVWKHGHFLVLRQWRVWDUWPLQLQJLV
OLNHO\WREHEDVHGRQ,QIHUUHG5HVRXUFHVEDFNHGE\ORQJWHUP
SRWHQWLDO IURP ([SORUDWLRQ 7DUJHWV $GGLWLRQDOO\ RQJRLQJ
VKRUWWHUP SODQV ZLOO DOVR EH EDVHG RQ ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFHV
:KHQPLQLQJ,QIHUUHG5HVRXUFHVLWLVFRPPRQIRUEHWZHHQ
SHU FHQW DQG SHU FHQW WR EH HFRQRPLFDOO\ SD\DEOH ,W
LV SRVVLEOH IRU WHQ SHU FHQW WR SHU FHQW RI SURGXFWLRQ WR
FRPHIURPQRWLQ5HVRXUFHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQZKLFKLVH[WUDFWHG
RSSRUWXQLVWLFDOO\ DQG UHODWHV WR XQH[SHFWHG H[WHQVLRQV RI
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQRXWVLGHRIWKH5HVRXUFHPRGHO
0DQ\ KLJKQXJJHW V\VWHPV KDYH RQO\ PRQWKV RI
5HVRXUFHV GHQHG DKHDG RI PLQLQJ ,Q VXFK FDVHV RQJRLQJ
GHYHORSPHQWDQGGULOOLQJLVUHTXLUHG)RUH[DPSOHDFXUUHQW
XQGHUJURXQGRSHUDWLRQWSHU\HDUUHTXLUHVNPRI
RUHGHYHORSPHQWDQGNPRIGLDPRQGGULOOLQJWRDFKLHYHD
GULOOJULGRIPE\PSHU\HDUWRVXVWDLQ5HVRXUFHV
PRQWKVDKHDG
*UDGHFRQWUROLVDSURFHVVRIPD[LPLVLQJYDOXHDQGUHGXFLQJ
ULVN,WUHTXLUHVWKHGHOLYHU\RIWRQQHVDWDQRSWLPXPJUDGH
WR WKH PLOO YLD WKH DFFXUDWH GHQLWLRQ RI RUH DQG ZDVWH
,W HVVHQWLDOO\ FRPSULVHV GDWD FROOHFWLRQ LQWHJUDWLRQ DQG
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ ORFDO 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ VWRSH GHVLJQ
VXSHUYLVLRQ RI PLQLQJ DQG VWRFNSLOH PDQDJHPHQW 7KH
IRXQGDWLRQ RI DOO JUDGH FRQWURO SURJUDPV VKRXOG EH WKDW RI
JHRORJ\ OHG E\ TXDOLW\ PDSSLQJ DQG VDPSOLQJ )LJXUH
'RPLQ\ DQG 3ODWWHQ F 6WURQJ FROODERUDWLRQ DFURVV
C
FIG 8 - (A) Bendigo gold mine, Australia, Gill reef showing the core zone of a saddle reef structure. The ore lies on the margins of the reef in laminated quartz
material, with low-grade quartz on the middle. Pink circles show the locations of visible gold. This situation may be a prime candidate for resue blasting one side
of the vein first, then the ore, to separate ore from waste. Drive profile approximately 5 m by 5 m. (B) Cononish gold project, Scotland. Map shows the nature of the
Cononish vein as a series splays off a shear structure. This 35m section grades approximately 6 g/t Au, the gold-sulfide veins being marked in red. It is important to
resolve the continuity of the gold-sulfide veins as they carry most of the gold grade. (C) Mapped section of a South American granodiorite-hosted vein showing the
discontinuous nature of the gold-quartz-sulfide vein, an early high-grade vein. The introduction of backs and raise mapping helped to resolve the continuity
of the high-grade vein and led to a more focused stoping approach that improved run-of-mine grade from 4 g/t Au to around 10 g/t Au.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
671
Mining production
7KHDSSOLFDWLRQRIDVHOHFWLYHYHUVXVEXONPLQLQJDSSURDFKLVD
NH\FRQVLGHUDWLRQGXULQJPLQHGHVLJQ0LQLQJPHWKRGQHHGV
WR PDWFK RUHERG\ ZLGWK JHRPHWU\ GLS JURXQG FRQGLWLRQV
DQG JUDGH GLVWULEXWLRQ +LJKQXJJHW HVWLPDWHV JHQHUDOO\
KDYH D KLJK FRQGLWLRQDO ELDV DQG DUH JOREDO LQ QDWXUH $V
D UHVXOW WKH HIFLHQW SUHGLFWLRQ RI VHOHFWLYH VWRSH SDQHOV LV
GLIFXOW%DVHGRQUHODWLYHO\ZLGHVSDFHGGULOOLQJ5HVRXUFH
PRGHOVZLOOEHXVHGWRSURYLGHDSUHOLPLQDU\GHVLJQZLWKWKH
HPSKDVLV IRU QDO GHVLJQ EHLQJ RQ GHYHORSPHQW DQG JUDGH
FRQWUROLQIRUPDWLRQ
'LIFXOWLHVDUHHQFRXQWHUHGZKHQDFXWRIIJUDGHLVDSSOLHG
WR WKH 5HVRXUFH PRGHO DV ORFDO SUHGLFWLRQV DUH OLNHO\ WR EH
XQUHOLDEOH:LWKUHODWLYHO\ZLGHVSDFHGGDWDWKHHVWLPDWLRQ
EORFN VL]H LV XVXDOO\ JUHDWHU WKDQ WKH VHOHFWLYH PLQLQJ XQLW
7KLVZLOOOHDGWRRUHZDVWHPLVFODVVLFDWLRQ:LWKLQFUHDVLQJ
FXWRII D SRWHQWLDO ORVV F\FOH HQVXHV $V WKH H[SHFWHG KHDG
JUDGHLVQRWDFKLHYHGWKHFXWRIILVUDLVHGWKH5HVRXUFHJHWV
VPDOOHU PRUH ZDVWH LV JHQHUDWHG DQG D JUHDWHU FKDQFH RI
IXUWKHUPLVFODVVLFDWLRQRFFXUV
$SUREOHPHQFRXQWHUHGGXULQJRSHUDWLRQVFDQEHDODFNRI
RUHIHHGWRWKHSODQW7KLVUHODWHVWRSURGXFWLRQQRW\LHOGLQJ
WKH SODQQHG WRQQDJH DQG RIWHQ WKH JUDGH DQG UHHFWV WKH
JHQHUDOO\ FRPSOH[ QDWXUH RI WKH RUHERG\ .H\ LVVXHV UHODWH
WR JHRORJLFDO XQFHUWDLQW\ HJ GULOO GHQVLW\ RU ODFN WKHUHRI
DQGWKHQHHGWRUHZRUNPRGHOVXQSUHGLFWHGRUXQGHUVWDWHG
JHRWHFKQLFDO LVVXHV DQGRU RSHUDWLRQDO SUREOHPV UHODWLQJ
WR HTXLSPHQW DYDLODELOLW\ PDQSRZHU DQG VFKHGXOLQJ
,Q DGGLWLRQ WR SRRU WRQQDJH OHYHOV WKHVH LVVXHV XVXDOO\
FRQWULEXWHWRKLJKHURSHUDWLQJFRVWV0LQHSODQVFDQEHEDVHG
RQRYHURSWLPLVWLF5HVRXUFHDQGRU5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHVZKLFK
FDUU\DQLQKHUHQWKLJKXQFHUWDLQW\5HGXFWLRQRIXQFHUWDLQO\
ZLOORQO\FRPHIURPVWURQJJHRORJLFDONQRZOHGJHDQGPRUH
GULOOLQJ WR GHULVN H[LVWLQJ 5HVRXUFHV 0XOWLSOH ZRUNSODFHV
DUHUHTXLUHGWREHDEOHWRDPHOLRUDWHRUHVXSSO\LVVXHV
7KH HYDOXDWLRQ RI PLQLQJ GLOXWLRQ HJ SODQQHG DQG
DGGLWLRQDO GLOXWLRQ LV FULWLFDO )LJXUH VLQFH PDQ\
RSHUDWLRQVKDYHQDUURZPLQHUDOLVHG]RQHVWKDWKDYHUHVXOWHG
LQ KLJK GLOXWLRQ DQG SURMHFW IDLOXUH &DUHIXO FRQVLGHUDWLRQ
PXVW EH JLYHQ WR WKH VWRSLQJ PHWKRG DSSOLHG DQG JURXQG
FRQGLWLRQV'LOXWLRQFDQEHDVLJQLFDQWFDXVHIRUWKHIDLOXUH
RIQDUURZYHLQRSHUDWLRQV
*ROG OLEHUDWLRQ GXULQJ PLQLQJ FDQ SRVH D FKDOOHQJH
SDUWLFXODUO\ ZKHUH WKH VWRSH IRRWZDOO LV LQ GLS 7KLV
672
FIG 10 - Recovery and dilution control are of major importance during the
stoping of narrow-vein, high-nugget systems. This example shows the floor
of the drive and the stope voids above and below. The vein has been cleanly
extracted with minimal dilution from the stope walls. The ore drive has been
extracted at 3.5 m by 3.5 m and the stope slot to approximately 2 m.
$ ORZJUDGH VWRFNSLOH LV UHFRPPHQGHG WR HQVXUH WKDW
PLVFODVVLHGRUHFDQEHUHFRYHUHGHYHQLIDWWKHHQGRIWKH
PLQHOLIH7KHUHDUHH[DPSOHVRIKLJKQXJJHWPLQHVWKDWKDYH
SURFHVVHGORZJUDGHVWRFNSLOHVDQGIRXQGWKHPHDQJUDGH
WR EH KLJKHU WKDQ H[SHFWHG SRWHQWLDOO\ XS WR SHU FHQW
2QJRLQJVWRFNSLOHPDQDJHPHQWDQGEOHQGLQJDUHFULWLFDOWR
HQVXUHDVWDEOHSODQWIHHGJUDGH
Mineral processing
+LJKQXJJHW V\VWHPV RIWHQ FRQWDLQ LQ H[FHVV RI SHU FHQW
JUDYLW\UHFRYHUDEOHJROGRU*5*/DSODQWHDQG*UD\
'RPLQ\ 0XUSK\ DQG *UD\ 'RPLQ\ *UDYLW\
UHFRYHU\LVDPHWKRGIRUWKHUHPRYDORIIUHHPLOOLQJJROGIURP
WKHSODQWIHHGWKXVUHVXOWLQJLQDUHGXFWLRQRIJROGSDVVLQJ
WKURXJKWKHOHDFKFLUFXLW/DSODQWHDQG*UD\
7KH HYDOXDWLRQ RI JROG UHFRYHU\ IXQFWLRQV HJ *5*
FRQWLQXRXV JUDYLW\ OHDFK DQGRU RWDWLRQ UHTXLUH VDPSOH
VL]H WR EH FRQVLGHUHG RU SODQW GHVLJQ DQG UHFRYHU\ FRXOG
EH VXERSWLPDO 'RPLQ\ 0XUSK\ DQG *UD\ 'RPLQ\
*XUHVLQ et al &KDOOHQJHV H[LVW LQ WKH SURYLVLRQ
RIPHWDOOXUJLFDOVDPSOHVWKDWDUHUHSUHVHQWDWLYHLIDGHSRVLW
KDV D KLJKQXJJHW HIIHFW 6PDOO VDPSOHV PD\ QRW UHSUHVHQW
the in situ JROG SDUWLFOH VL]H GLVWULEXWLRQ ZLWK WKH ULVN RI
UHFRYHU\EHLQJPLVUHSUHVHQWHG'RPLQ\&DUHVKRXOG
EHWDNHQDVWRWKHW\SHRIVDPSOHVFROOHFWHGZLWKSDUWLFXODU
FRQVLGHUDWLRQ WR WKH XVH RI FRPSRVLWH YHUVXV YDULDELOLW\
VDPSOHV&RPSRVLWHVDPSOHVDIIHFWDQDYHUDJHUHFRYHU\RYHU
WKH LQGLYLGXDO VDPSOHV WKDW PDNH XS WKDW FRPSRVLWH 7KH\
PD\ EH DSSURSULDWH WR GHYHORS RZ VKHHWV EXW ZLOO QRW
SURYLGHDPHDVXUHRIOLNHO\IHHGYDULDELOLW\
'XULQJPLQLQJWKHSODQWZLOOEHSURQHWRIHHGYDULDELOLW\
HJKHDGJUDGHDQGRUJROGUHFRYHU\DVZHOODVFRPPLQXWLRQ
SDUDPHWHUVXQOHVVHIFLHQWEOHQGLQJFDQEHDFKLHYHG:KHUH
DSODQWLVIHGIURPPXOWLSOHVRXUFHVHLWKHUIURPRQHPLQHRUD
JURXSRIRSHUDWLRQVEOHQGLQJIURPDPHWDOOXUJLFDOVHQVHPD\
EHGLIFXOWVLQFHHDFKRSHUDWLRQZLOOKDYHLWVRZQSUHGLFWLRQ
LVVXHVXQOHVVYDULDELOLW\WHVWLQJKDVEHHQXQGHUWDNHQ
7KH SXUSRVH RI WKH SODQW LV WR OLEHUDWH JROG SULRU WR
FRQFHQWUDWLRQ )LJXUH 7KLV PD\ OHDG WR VRPH LVVXHV
RI JROG ORVV DQG GHOD\HG UHFRYHU\ LQ WKH SODQW LWVHOI HJ
LQ PLOOV SLSHV DQG ODXQGHUV )RU H[DPSOH OLEHUDWHG JROG
FRQFHQWUDWHGLQWRWKHQHVIUDFWLRQRQWKHEDVHRIDFRQYH\RU
EHOW PD\ QRW EH SLFNHG XS E\ D EHOW FXWWHU DQ (( *UDYLW\
VHSDUDWLRQ RI OLEHUDWHG JROG LV D ZHOONQRZQ HIIHFW LQ SXOS
VWUHDPVDQGOHDGVWRVDPSOLQJSUREOHPVHJ((6RPHJROG
PD\ DOVR EH ORVW WKURXJK WKHIW /LEHUDWHG JROG VKRXOG EH
CONCLUSIONS
7DEOH VXPPDULVHV WKH FKDOOHQJHV DQG VRPH VROXWLRQV
UHODWHG WR KLJKQXJJHW JROG GHSRVLWV 7KH IROORZLQJ DFWLRQV
DUHUHFRPPHQGHG
8QGHUWDNHRUHFKDUDFWHULVDWLRQVWXGLHVWKDWIRFXVRQJROG
PLQHUDORJ\DQGGHSRUWPHQWLQSDUWLFXODUWKHHYDOXDWLRQ
RIJROGSDUWLFOHVL]HDQGGLVWULEXWLRQ6WXGLHVPXVWEHSDUW
RIDZLGHUSURJUDPRIPHWDOOXUJLFDOFKDUDFWHULVDWLRQ
8QGHUVWDQGWKHRUHERG\DQGFRQWUROVWRJROGGLVWULEXWLRQ
WKURXJK HYDOXDWLRQ RI JHRORJ\ RUHERG\ VKDSH DQG
DUFKLWHFWXUHDQGJUDGHGLVWULEXWLRQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
673
TABLE 4
Example of reconciliation results for a high-nugget underground operation. Probable Ore Reserve estimate is based on diamond drilling and fully sampled and
mapped development within or peripheral to each stope block. Performance figures are rounded to the nearest whole per cent. Nominal Resource classification
based on: Measured <15 per cent, Indicated, 15 - 25 per cent and Inferred >25 - 50 per cent.
Month-by-month results
Month
Tonnes (t)
Tonnes (t)
Tonnes (%)
Grade (%)
Nominal
Resource
classification
based on
performance
6900
10.8
6852
10.9
99
101
Measured
Mill
Performance (mill/Reserve)
January
February
6410
10.0
5685
10.9
89
109
Measured
March
6585
6.7
5066
8.7
77
130
Inferred
April
6961
9.6
7280
10.3
105
107
Measured
May
6558
5.4
6805
9.4
104
174
Inferred
June
6538
7.3
5660
6.3
87
85
Indicated
July
6438
10.6
6179
6.0
96
57
Inferred
August
6713
9.7
6556
10.0
98
104
Measured
September
6719
8.7
7174
7.4
107
85
Indicated
October
6420
10.0
6417
7.9
100
79
Indicated
November
6776
8.9
6913
6.1
102
69
Inferred
December
6445
12.4
6807
6.3
108
51
Inferred
Total
79 465
9.2
77 395
8.4
97
91
Quarterly results
Q1
19 896
9.2
17 603
10.3
88
112
Indicated
Q2
20 057
7.4
19 746
8.8
98
119
Indicated
Q3
19 871
9.7
19 910
7.8
100
81
Indicated
Q4
19 641
10.5
20 137
6.8
103
65
Inferred
Total
79 465
9.2
77 395
8.4
97
91
'HVLJQVDPSOLQJSURJUDPVHJGULOOLQJW\SHDQGGHQVLW\
DQGSUHSDUDWLRQDQGDVVD\LQJSURWRFROVWKDWWWKHVW\OH
RIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
674
$OOHYDOXDWLRQSURJUDPVVKRXOGEHWHPSHUHGZLWKVWURQJ
JHRORJLFDOXQGHUVWDQGLQJ$SSURDFKHVVKRXOGEHG\QDPLF
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRU DFNQRZOHGJHV D QXPEHU RI JOREDO H[SORUDWLRQ
DQG PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV IRU WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ WR ZRUN RQ
KLJKQXJJHW JROG V\VWHPV RYHU WKH SDVW \HDUV 5HFHQW
LQWHUDFWLRQVZLWK$&RQVROLGDWHG*ROG/WG$FDGLDQ0LQLQJ
&RUSRUDWLRQ$YQHO*ROG0LQLQJ/WG%&*ROG&RUSRUDWLRQ
%HQGLJR 0LQLQJ /WG &DVWOHPDLQH *ROGHOGV /WG &LWLJROG
&RUSRUDWLRQ /WG (OJLQ 0LQLQJ ,QF 3UHWLXP 5HVRXUFHV ,QF
DQG6FRWJROG5HVRXUFHV/WGDUHDFNQRZOHGJHG6RPHJXUHV
LQWKLVSDSHUDUHVRXUFHGIURPWKHVHFRPSDQLHV7KDQNVDUH
GXHWR&UDLJ0RUOH\DQG-DQLFH*UDKDP6QRZGHQ*URXS
DQG 7KH $XV,00 UHYLHZHUV IRU XVHIXO FRPPHQWV RQ WKH
PDQXVFULSW7KHRSLQLRQVH[SUHVVHGLQWKLVSDSHUDUHWKRVH
RIWKHDXWKRUDQGQRWQHFHVVDULO\WKRVHRI6QRZGHQ*URXS
WKH8QLYHUVLW\RI([HWHURU&XUWLQ8QLYHUVLW\
REFERENCES
$E]DORY 0 = DQG +XPSKUH\V 0 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ RI
VWUXFWXUDOO\ FRPSOH[ DQG GLVFRQWLQXRXV PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ XVLQJ
QRQOLQHDUJHRVWDWLVWLFVExplor Min Geol
%LHJDM . :K\ GR VKDUHKROGHUV DQG PLQLQJ H[HFXWLYHV
DOORZ PLQH PDQDJHUV WR OHDYH EHKLQG KLJKJUDGH EURNHQ RUH
XQGHUJURXQGLQ3URFHHGLQJV1DUURZ9HLQ0LQLQJ&RQIHUHQFH
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
TABLE 5
Challenges and solutions related to the nugget effect during the mine value chain.
Stage of mine
value chain
Challenge
Solution
Evaluation
exploration
and Resource
estimation
tComplex geology
tRepresentivity of data spacing to reality
tRepresentivity of samples, subsamples and assays
tDealing with skewed and mixed data populations with extreme values
tDifficult to estimate local Resources without close-spaced drilling and/
or underground development
Exploitation
mining and
grade control
Extraction
mineral
processing
tVariable mineralogy
tVariable feed grade
tLiberated gold (exacerbated by coarse gold)
&DUUDVFR3&1XJJHWHIIHFWDUWLFLDORUQDWXUDO"LQProceedings
)RXUWK :RUOG &RQIHUHQFH RQ 6DPSOLQJ DQG %OHQGLQJ SS
6RXWKHUQ $IULFDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
-RKDQQHVEXUJ
'RPLQ\6&E*UDGHFRQWUROVDPSOLQJPHWKRGVLQXQGHUJURXQG
JROGPLQHJUDGHFRQWUROLQ3URFHHGLQJV6DPSOLQJ&RQIHUHQFH
SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
&DUUDVFR3&&DUUDVFR3DQG-DUD(7KHHFRQRPLFLPSDFWRI
LQFRUUHFW VDPSOLQJ DQG DQDO\VLV SUDFWLFHV LQ WKH FRSSHU PLQLQJ
LQGXVWU\Chemomet Intell Lab Sys
&DUVZHOO - 7 <XOLD . /HVPDQD ' DQG 6WHDP\ . *UDGH
FRQWURO VDPSOLQJ TXDOLW\ DVVXUDQFHTXDOLW\ FRQWURO LQ D KLJK
JUDGHJROGPLQH*RVRZRQJ,QGRQHVLDLQProceedings Seventh
,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQLQJ *HRORJ\ &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\6&DQG$QQHOV$((VWLPDWLRQRIJROGGHSRVLWV,D
UHYLHZRIPLQHUDOUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRGRORJ\Transactions
of the Institutions of Mining and MetallurgyApplied Earth Science
%%
'RPLQ\6&$QQHOV$(&DPP*6:KHHOHU3'DQG%DUU63
*HRORJ\LQWKHUHVRXUFHDQGUHVHUYHVHVWLPDWLRQRIQDUURZ
YHLQGHSRVLWVExplor Min Geol
&LQWUD(&6FDERUD-$9LHJDV(3%DUDWD5DQG0DLD*)
&RDUVHJROGVDPSOLQJDW6DR)UDQFLVFRPLQH%UD]LOLQProceedings
7KLUG:RUOG&RQIHUHQFHRQ6DPSOLQJDQG%OHQGLQJSS
)XQGDFDR/XL](QJOHUW3RUWR$OHJUH
&RVVLR61R\ROD-/*RQ]DOH]3DQG(VSLQRVD56DPSOLQJ
DQG DVVD\LQJ RI FRDUVH JROG DW /D +HUUDGXUD 0H[LFR CIM
Bulletin
&RVWD-)&/5HGXFLQJWKHLPSDFWRIRXWOLHUVLQRUHUHVHUYH
HVWLPDWLRQMath Geol
'RPLQ\6&6DPSOLQJDFULWLFDOFRPSRQHQWWRJROGPLQLQJ
SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ LQ Proceedings Project Evaluation Conference
SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\ 6 & D *UDE VDPSOLQJ IRU XQGHUJURXQG JROG PLQH
JUDGHFRQWURO-6$IU,QVW0LQ0HWDOO
'RPLQ\6&-RKDQVHQ*)DQG$QQHOV$(%XONVDPSOLQJDV
DWRROIRUWKHJUDGHHYDOXDWLRQRIJROGTXDUW]UHHIV Transactions
of the Institutions of Mining and MetallurgyApplied Earth Science
%%
'RPLQ\6&-RKDQVHQ*)&XIH\%:3ODWWHQ,0DQG$QQHOV$
((VWLPDWLRQDQGUHSRUWLQJRIPLQHUDOUHVRXUFHVIRUFRDUVH
JROGEHDULQJYHLQVExplor Min Geol
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
675
'RPLQ\6&DQG0LQQLWW5&$$SSOLFDWLRQRIKHWHURJHQHLW\
WHVWLQJ WR FRDUVH JROG RUHV LQ Proceedings Sampling Conference
SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\ 6 & 0XUSK\ % DQG *UD\ $ + &KDUDFWHULVDWLRQ
RI JUDYLW\ DPHQDEOH JROG RUHV VDPSOH UHSUHVHQWLYLW\
DQG GHWHUPLQDWLRQV PHWKRGV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV )LUVW $XV,00
,QWHUQDWLRQDO *HRPHWDOOXUJ\ &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\ 6 & 1RSSp 0 $ DQG $QQHOV $ ( (UURUV DQG
XQFHUWDLQW\LQPLQHUDOUHVRXUFHDQGRUHUHVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQWKH
LPSRUWDQFHRIJHWWLQJLWULJKWExplor Min Geol
'RPLQ\6&DQG3HWHUVHQ-66DPSOLQJFRDUVHJROGEHDULQJ
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQGHYHORSLQJHIIHFWLYHSURWRFROVDQGDFDVHVWXG\
IURP WKH 1DOXQDT PLQH VRXWKHUQ *UHHQODQG LQ Proceedings
:RUOG&RQIHUHQFHRQ6DPSOLQJDQG%OHQGLQJSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\ 6 & DQG 3ODWWHQ , 0 *ROG SDUWLFOH FOXVWHULQJ D
QHZ FRQVLGHUDWLRQ LQ VDPSOLQJ DSSOLFDWLRQV Transactions of
the Institutions of Mining and Metallurgy Applied Earth Science
%%
'RPLQ\6&DQG3ODWWHQ,0D$SSOLFDWLRQRIKLVWRULFDOGDWD
WR HVWLPDWH D PLQHUDO UHVRXUFH DW WKH (QJLQHHU JROG PLQH %&
&DQDGD LQ 3URFHHGLQJV 1DUURZ 9HLQ 0LQLQJ &RQIHUHQFH
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\ 6 & DQG 3ODWWHQ , 0 E *ROG PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DQG RUH
FRQWUROV DW WKH &ORJDX PLQH *Z\QHGG 8QLWHG .LQJGRP
Transactions of the Institutions of Mining and Metallurgy Applied
Earth Science%%
'RPLQ\ 6 & DQG 3ODWWHQ , 0 F *UDGH FRQWURO JHRORJLFDO
PDSSLQJ LQ XQGHUJURXQG JROG YHLQ RSHUDWLRQV Transactions of
the Institutions of Mining and Metallurgy Applied Earth Science
%%
'RPLQ\ 6 & 3ODWWHQ , 0 )UDVHU 5 0 'DKO 2 DQG &ROOLHU - %
*UDGH FRQWURO LQ XQGHUJURXQG JROG YHLQ RSHUDWLRQV WKH
UROHRIJHRORJLFDOPDSSLQJDQGVDPSOLQJLQProceedings Seventh
,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQLQJ *HRORJ\ &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\6&3ODWWHQ,0+RZDUG/((ODQJRYDQ3$UPVWURQJ
$ 0LQQLWW 5 & $ DQG $EHO 5 / D &KDUDFWHULVDWLRQ RI
JROG RUHV E\ ;UD\ FRPSXWHG WRPRJUDSK\ DSSOLFDWLRQV WR
WKH GHWHUPLQDWLRQ RI JROG SDUWLFOH VL]H DQG GLVWULEXWLRQ LQ
3URFHHGLQJV )LUVW $XV,00 ,QWHUQDWLRQDO *HRPHWDOOXUJ\ &RQIHUHQFH
SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\ 6 & 3ODWWHQ , 0 +RZDUG / ( ;LH < %HOO 50 ) DQG
0LQQLWW 5 & $ 'HWHUPLQDWLRQ RI WKH VDPSOLQJ OLEHUDWLRQ
GLDPHWHULQDKLJKJUDGHFRDUVHJROGRUHE\KLJKUHVROXWLRQ;UD\
FRPSXWHGWRPRJUDSK\LQ3URFHHGLQJV6DPSOLQJ&RQIHUHQFH
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\ 6 & 3ODWWHQ , 0 DQG 1XJXV 0 - $SSOLFDWLRQ RI
JHRORJ\WRDOOHYLDWHVDPSOLQJELDVGXULQJWKHHYDOXDWLRQRIKLJK
QXJJHW JROG V\VWHPV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV 6DPSOLQJ &RQIHUHQFH
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
*RRG]0'DQG)ULWK5$7KHUHDOVDPSOHYDULDWLRQVEHWZHHQ
GXVW FKLS DQG FRUH GULOOLQJ LQ Proceedings International Mining
*HRORJ\&RQIHUHQFHSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
'RPLQ\6&3ODWWHQ,0DQG;LH<%XONVDPSOLQJRIFRPSOH[
JROG GHSRVLWV PDWHULDO FKDUDFWHULVDWLRQ DQG SURJUDP GHVLJQ
DQG PDQDJHPHQW LQ 3URFHHGLQJV 6DPSOLQJ &RQIHUHQFH
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
*XUHVLQ 1 /RUHQ]HQ / 'RPLQ\ 6 & 0XOOHU + DQG &RRSHU $
,PSRUWDQFHRIHIIHFWLYHVDPSOLQJSURWRFROVDQGWHVWZRUN
SURWRFROV IRU SURFHVV SODQW GHVLJQ LQ Proceedings Sampling
&RQIHUHQFHSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ
DQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
676
3LWDUG))7KH in situQXJJHWHIIHFWDPDMRUFRPSRQHQWRIWKH
UDQGRP WHUP RI D YDULRJUDP LQ Proceedings World Conference on
6DPSOLQJ DQG %OHQGLQJ SS )XQGDFDR /XL] (QJOHUW
3RUWR$OHJUH
3LWDUG ) ) DQG )UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ ' 0 'HP\VWLI\LQJ WKH
IXQGDPHQWDO VDPSOLQJ HUURU DQG WKH JURXSLQJ DQG VHJUHJDWLRQ
HUURUIRUSUDFWLWLRQHUVLQProceedings World Conference on Sampling
DQG%OHQGLQJSS*(&$0,16DQWLDJR
3ODWWHQ,0DQG'RPLQ\6&7KHRFFXUUHQFHRIKLJKJUDGHJROG
SRFNHWVLQTXDUW]UHHIVDWWKH*Z\QI\Q\GGPLQH:DOHV8QLWHG
.LQJGRPDJHRORJLFDOH[SODQDWLRQRIWKHQXJJHWHIIHFWExplor Min
Geol
-DFNVRQ6)UHGHULFNVRQ'6WHZDUW09DQQ-%XUNH$'XJGDOH
- DQG %HUWROL 2 *HRORJLFDO DQG JUDGH ULVN DW WKH *ROGHQ
*LIW DQG 0DJGDOD *ROG 'HSRVLWV 6WDZHOO 9LFWRULD $XVWUDOLD
in 3URFHHGLQJV )LIWK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQLQJ *HRORJ\ &RQIHUHQFH
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
3RWWHU ' 6KHULII & DQG &ROOLQV 3 6LJQLFDQFH RI JHRORJLFDO
FRQWURO RQ DVVD\ GDWD LQ WKH QDUURZ KLJKJUDGH JROG TXDUW]
YHLQVDWWKH6DQG4XHHQPLQH&RPHW9DOH:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLD
in 3URFHHGLQJV1DUURZ9HLQ0LQLQJ&RQIHUHQFHSS7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
5R\OH $ * 6SOLWWLQJ JROG DVVD\ SXOSV FRQWDLQLQJ FRDUVH JROG
J Leeds Univ Mining Assoc
677
678
9RXOJDULV3DQG(PVOLH-*HRORJ\DQGRUHHVWLPDWLRQDWWKH
&DOOLHXQGHUJURXQGJROGPLQH7DQDPL17LQ3URFHHGLQJV)LIWK
,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQLQJ *HRORJ\ &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
;X & DQG 'RZG 3 $ &RQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ RI JUDGHV
FRQWUROOHG E\ JHRORJLFDO LQGLFDWRUV LQ Advances in Orebody
Modelling and Strategic Mine PlanningSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Principal Mine Geologist, CSA Global, PO Box 141, West Perth WA 6872. Email: [email protected]
2. FAusIMM, Director Resources and Mine Geology, CSA Global, PO Box 141, West Perth WA 6872. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
*UDGH FRQWURO LV D V\VWHP WKDW PHDVXUHV DQG PRQLWRUV
SURGXFWLRQ JUDGHV DQG PLQLQJ WR DVVLJQ PLQHG PDWHULDO
WR DSSURSULDWH GHVWLQDWLRQV FUXVKHUV VWRFNSLOHV RU ZDVWH
GXPSV 7KH FRUUHFW DSSOLFDWLRQ RI JUDGH FRQWURO ZLOO DOORZ
FRQGHQFH LQ DFKLHYLQJ D PLQH SODQ LQFOXGLQJ UHFODLPLQJ
IURPWKHUHOHYDQWVWRFNSLOHVWRSURYLGLQJWKHUHTXLUHGTXDOLW\
RIRUHIHHGWRDSURFHVVLQJSODQWRUIRUVKLSSLQJ,QDQ\PLQLQJ
RSHUDWLRQRUHDQGZDVWHPXVWEHGHQHGHIIHFWLYHO\WRHQVXUH
DQ HFRQRPLF PLOO IHHG *UDGH FRQWURO LV WKXV HVVHQWLDO IRU
HIFLHQWDQGHFRQRPLFPLQHRSHUDWLRQZLWKNH\SHUIRUPDQFH
LQGLFDWRUV LQFOXGLQJ GHQLWLRQ RI RUH DQG ZDVWH PLQLPDO
GLOXWLRQ DQG RSWLPDO UHFRYHU\ 'RPLQ\ DQG 0LQQLWW
7KH XVH RI JUDGH FRQWURO V\VWHPV LV ZHOO HVWDEOLVKHG ZLWK
PDQ\SDSHUVHJ0F&XDLJ9DQQDQG6H\PRXU9HUO\
'DJGHOHQ DQG &RVNXQ *XLEDO GHVFULELQJ
LQGHWDLOSDUWVRIWKHV\VWHPRUSDUWLFXODUDSSOLFDWLRQV7KLV
SDSHU SURYLGHV JXLGHOLQHV UHJDUGLQJ WKH FRPSRQHQWV RI
D JUDGH FRQWURO V\VWHP WKDW VKRXOG EH LQ SODFH DW PLQLQJ
RSHUDWLRQVWRGHOLYHURUHUHOLDEO\ZLWKLQVSHFLFDWLRQ
$QHIIHFWLYHJUDGHFRQWUROV\VWHPDOVRHQDEOHVWKHSHULRGLF
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQRISURGXFWLRQZLWKWKH2UH5HVHUYHWRSURYLGH
RQJRLQJVXSSRUWDQGDGMXVWPHQWIRUPLQHSODQVDQGUHVHUYHV
7KH VNLOOV RI WKH PLQLQJ JHRORJLVW SURYLGH WKH EDVLV RI
DQ\ JUDGH FRQWURO V\VWHP 7KHVH DUH GHWDLOHG LQ H[FHOOHQW
WH[WERRNV VXFK DV 0F.LQVWU\ 3HWHUV $QQHOV
DQG0DUMRULEDQNV
7KH JRDO RI JUDGH FRQWURO LV WR SUHGLFW FRQVLVWHQWO\ JUDGH
DQG JHRORJLFDO LQIRUPDWLRQ EHIRUH WKH JURXQG LV EODVWHG
VR WKDW WKHUH DUH QR VXUSULVHV IRU WKH SURGXFWLRQ WHDP 7KH
JHRORJ\ WHDP QHHGV WR EH SUHGLFWLYH UDWKHU WKDQ UHDFWLYH
$ URFN PDVV VKRXOG EH DJJHG DV RUH RU ZDVWH EHIRUH LW LV
EODVWHG DQG LW VKRXOG EH PXFNHG EDVHG RQ WKDW DVVLJQPHQW
ZLWKDQ\QHFHVVDU\DGMXVWPHQWVWRWDNHDFFRXQWRIEODVWLQJ
GLVSODFHPHQW LQ RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ 7KLV DOORZV IRU WKH
QHFHVVDU\PLQLQJSURGXFWLYLWLHV
7KH SRLQW SURGXFWLRQ JHRORJ\ JUDGH FRQWURO SURFHVV
VKRXOGLQFOXGH
D VDPSOLQJ V\VWHP WKDW FDQ SURGXFH UHSUHVHQWDWLYH
VDPSOHVDQGWVLQZLWKWKHPLQLQJVFKHGXOH
679
FIG 1 - Schematic of a functional grade control system. The results from reconciliation are used as feedback into assay interpretation.
,Q WKLV SDSHU WKH VSHFLFV RI WKH FRPSRQHQWV KDYH
SXUSRVHIXOO\EHHQNHSWJHQHULF7KLVPHDQVWKDWWKHV\VWHP
LV UHOHYDQW IRU DOO PLQHV )RU HDFK PLQH WKH GHWDLOV RI WKH
PHWKRGVXVHGIRUHDFKFRPSRQHQWZLOOQHHGWREHUHVROYHGLQ
RUGHUWRJLYHWKHGHQHGRXWFRPHV
Samples
7KHUH LV D QHHG IRU D VDPSOLQJ PHWKRG WKDW FDQ SURGXFH
UHSUHVHQWDWLYHVDPSOHVZLWKLQWKHFRQVWUDLQWVRIWKHPLQLQJ
VFKHGXOH
*HQHUDOO\ WKH GHFLVLRQ WR GHYHORS D PLQH LV EDVHG RQ D
UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWH 7KLV ZLOO XWLOLVH D VHW RI VDPSOHV ZLGH
VSDFHG VDPSOLQJ 7KLV VDPSOLQJ ZLOO EH RQ VSDFLQJ ODUJHU
WKDQWKHVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJXQLW608DQGLVQRWVXLWDEOHIRU
VKRUWWHUP PLQLQJ GHFLVLRQV 7KH ZLGHVSDFHG VDPSOLQJ LV
WKHUHIRUHLQOOHGZLWKJUDGHFRQWUROVDPSOLQJFORVHVSDFHG
VDPSOLQJWKDWFDQVXSSRUWVKRUWWHUPPLQHSODQQLQJ
7KHVSHFLFVRIZKDWVRUWRIVDPSOLQJDQGWKHVSDFLQJZLOO
EH D IXQFWLRQ RI WKH PLQLQJ PHWKRG WKH FRPPRGLW\ WKH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ VW\OH FRVW DQG WKH ULVN RI PDNLQJ LQFRUUHFW
GHFLVLRQV
7KHUHDUHWZRVRUWVRIVDPSOLQJ
Good practice
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRXVHDFRPPRQPDSSLQJOHJHQGZKLFK
VKRXOGEHDQH[WUDFWRIWKHFRPSDQ\OHJHQG
'HWHUPLQHWKHJHRORJLFDOIHDWXUHVWKDWDIIHFWPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
DQGFRQFHQWUDWHRQPDSSLQJDQGORJJLQJWKHVHIHDWXUHV
ZKLFKZLOOLQFOXGHOLWKRORJ\PLQHUDOLVDWLRQDQGDOWHUDWLRQ
DQGVWUXFWXUH
,QDQXQGHUJURXQGPLQHDOOGHYHORSPHQWDQGRUHGULYHV
VKRXOGEHPDSSHG
,QDQRSHQSLWPLQHDOOSLWZDOOVVKRXOGEHPDSSHGSOXV
KDYHDQDGHTXDWHVHTXHQFHRIIDFHVDQGRRUV
0DSSLQJVKRXOGEHSORWWHGRQWRJHRORJLFDOEDVHPDSV
7KHJHRORJLFDOEDVHPDSVVKRXOGVKRZIDFWJHRORJ\DQG
LQWHUSUHWHGJHRORJ\
0DSSLQJ FDQ EH PDGH PRUH HIFLHQW XVLQJ QHZHU
SKRWRJUDPPHWULFWHFKQLTXHV
0DSSLQJ QHHGV WR EH WR DQ DSSURSULDWH VFDOH DQG
DFFXUDWHO\ORFDWHG
Good practice
Assay database
680
3ODQDQGLPSOHPHQWWKHVDPSOLQJSURJUDPLQJRRGWLPH
VRWKDWPLQLQJSURJUHVVHVDQGLVQRWFXWVKRUW
&DUU\RXWVWXGLHVWRRSWLPLVHVDPSOHVSDFLQJVRWKDWWKH
RUHERG\LVQRWRYHURUXQGHUVDPSOHG
5HJXODUO\FKHFNVDPSOLQJHTXLSPHQWWRHQVXUHWKDWZHDU
RUHTXLSPHQWFKDQJHVDUHQRWLQWURGXFLQJVDPSOLQJELDV
8VH D VLQJOH VXUYH\ JULG WKH VDPH JULG DV XVHG IRU WKH
PLQH GHVLJQ :LWK WKH ZLGHVSUHDG XVH RI ' PLQH
SODQQLQJ VRIWZDUH WKHUH LV QR ORQJHU D QHHG IRU ORFDO
JHRORJLFDOJULGV,WLVFRQYHQLHQWIRUDOOWHDPVRQWKHPLQH
WRZRUNXVLQJWKHVDPHJULG
6DPSOHDVFORVHWRSHUSHQGLFXODUWRWKHRUHERG\DVSRVVLEOH
(QVXUHWKHORFDWLRQVRIVDPSOHVDUHDFFXUDWHO\VXUYH\HG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
8VHDVLQJOHPDVWHUGDWDEDVHWRVWRUHVDPSOLQJDVVD\LQJDQG
JHRORJ\LQIRUPDWLRQ$OOGDWDWREHLQSXWWHGLQWRWKHGDWDEDVH
VKRXOGEHVFUHHQHGWRHQVXUHYDOLGLW\7KHUHVKRXOGEHFKHFNV
RQWKHW\SHRIGDWDDQGOLPLWVRQGDWDWKDWFDQEHHQWHUHGDV
ZHOODVUXOHVDERXWZKRKDVGDWDHQWU\DQGHGLWLQJSULYLOHJHV
7KHDVVD\GDWDEDVHLVDVLJQLFDQWDVVHWVRWKHUHVKRXOGEHD
UREXVWEDFNXSSURFHGXUHLQFOXGLQJNHHSLQJDFRS\RIIVLWH
,WFDQEHDGYDQWDJHRXVWRKDYHWKHGDWDEDVHLQGHSHQGHQWRI
WKHPLQHSODQQLQJVRIWZDUH7KLVPHDQVWKDWLWFDQEHHDVLHU
WRXVHWKHGDWDLQRWKHUVRIWZDUHDQGWKDWWKHGDWDLVQRWLQD
SURSULHWDU\IRUPDW
7KHJUDGHFRQWUROGDWDEDVHVKRXOGLQFOXGHDVXEVHWRIWKH
H[SORUDWLRQGULOOLQJGDWDWKDWFRYHUVWKHDUHDRIWKHPLQH
Good practice
%DVH WKH VWUXFWXUH RI WKH JUDGH FRQWURO GDWDEDVH RQ WKH
H[SORUDWLRQ GDWDEDVH VWUXFWXUH EXW XVH DQ DSSURSULDWH
FXWGRZQ RI DOO WKH DYDLODEOH HOGV DQG OHJHQG VHH
SUHYLRXVFRPPHQWVXQGHU0DSSLQJDQGORJJLQJ
5HVWULFW ZKR KDV ORDGLQJ DQG HGLWLQJ ULJKWV WR WKH
GDWDEDVH
(QVXUH DQ\ HUURUV DUH FRUUHFWHG LQ WKH PDVWHU GDWDEDVH
UDWKHUWKDQMXVWDORFDOH[SRUW
Update
domains
hmappingandlogginginformationto
interpretgeologicaldomains
hgradeinformationtoupdate
mineralisationdomains
&samplesthatfallwithin
mineralisationdomains
Flagsamples andextractflaggedsamples
Review
statistics
7KHUHVKRXOGEHUHJXODUPHHWLQJVZLWKWKHDVVD\ODERUDWRU\
WRGLVFXVVSHUIRUPDQFHDQGLQVSHFWWKHODERUDWRU\
Good practice
Zthebasicstatisticsand
geostatisticsofthegradecomposites
foreachmineralisationdomain
/gradesintothegrade
controlblockmodelconstrainedby
Interpolate mineralisationdomains
grades
&KHFN4$4&UHVXOWVDVHDFKEDWFKRIUHVXOWVLVUHWXUQHG
'RQRWORDGUHVXOWVLQWRWKHPDLQGDWDEDVHXQWLOWKHFKHFNV
KDYHEHHQUHYLHZHG
.HHSWKH4$4&V\VWHPVLPSOHLWPD\QRWQHHGWREHDV
GHWDLOHGDVGXULQJWKHUHVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQSKDVH
8VHVWDQGDUGVWKDWUHODWHWRWKHFXWRIIJUDGHVEHLQJXVHG
WRGHQHRUHDQGZDVWH
3UHSDUHDVKRUWPRQWKO\UHSRUWDQGGLVWULEXWHDQGGLVFXVV
LWZLWKWKHDVVD\ODERUDWRU\
/theblocksthatwillbemined
Definemining gradesusingtheblockmodel
blocks
Assay interpretation
7KLV FRPSRQHQW RI WKH V\VWHP LV ZKHUH DVVD\V DV ZHOO
DV JHRORJLFDO DQG RWKHU UHOHYDQW GDWD DUH SURFHVVHG DQG
LQWHUSUHWHG 7KHUH LV D QHHG IRU D FRQVLVWHQW PHWKRG RI
H[SRUWLQJ YLVXDOLVLQJ DQG SURFHVVLQJ DVVD\ GDWD WR FUHDWH
PLQLQJEORFNV7KLVFDQEHIDFLOLWDWHGE\VHWWLQJXSDVXLWHRI
PDFURVWKDWFRQWUROWKHPLQHSODQQLQJVRIWZDUH
7KH LQSXW GDWD IRU LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ ZLOO LQFOXGH VDPSOH DQG
JHRORJLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQIURPWKHDVVD\GDWDEDVHDQGPDSSLQJ
'RPDLQVVKRXOGEHLQWHUSUHWHGWRGHQHOLWKRORJ\VWUXFWXUH
DQG RWKHU JHRORJLFDO IHDWXUHV WKDW FRQWURO PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
0LQHUDOLVDWLRQ GRPDLQV FDQ WKHQ EH LQWHUSUHWHG IRU JUDGH
GRPDLQV 'RPDLQV FDQ EH FUHDWHG XVLQJ VWULQJV SODQHV RU
ZLUHIUDPHV
$FRPPRQO\XVHGZRUNRZLVVKRZQLQ)LJXUH
Good practice
FIG 2 - Basic assay interpretation workflow.
LQGLFDWLYHRIDJRRGV\VWHP:KHQLWLVXSGDWHGDFRS\LV
PDGHRIWKHROGYHUVLRQZLWKDGDWHWDJLQWKHOHQDPH
6HWXSDIROGHURQWKHVHUYHUFDOOHG*HRORJ\0DVWHUOHV
WRVWRUHWKHH[SRUWHGYHUVLRQVRIWKHOHV7KHUHZLOORQO\
EH WKH FXUUHQW YHUVLRQ DQG LW ZLOO DOZD\V KDYH WKH VDPH
OH QDPH 7KLV PDNHV LW VWUDLJKWIRUZDUG IRU RWKHUV WR
QGWKHULJKWYHUVLRQVRIWKHOH7KHGDWHWDJJHGROGHU
YHUVLRQVRIWKHOHDUHVWRUHGLQDVHSDUDWHDSSURSULDWHO\
ODEHOOHGIROGHU
FUXVKHUIHHGEOHQG
RUHW\SHYDULDWLRQVHJFKDQJHVLQRUHKDUGQHVV
RUHGHVWLQDWLRQV
ZDVWH GHVWLQDWLRQV HJ ZKHQ WKH ZDVWH KDV GHOHWHULRXV
FRPSRQHQWV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
681
Production reporting
7KLV FRPSRQHQW LV D V\VWHP IRU GDLO\ ZHHNO\ DQG PRQWKO\
UHSRUWLQJRIWRQQHVJUDGHVDQGUHOHYDQWSURGXFWLRQDFWLYLWLHV
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWKDWDOOGHSDUWPHQWVDUHXVLQJWKHVDPHVHW
RIJXUHV7KLVLVHQVXUHGZKHQUHSRUWVDUHJHQHUDWHGIURPD
VLQJOHPLQLQJSURGXFWLRQGDWDEDVH
0DWHULDOPRYHPHQWVVKRXOGFRYHUDOOPRYHPHQWVQRWMXVW
IURPWKHSLWRUXQGHUJURXQGEXWDOVRIURPWKHVWRFNSLOHVWR
WKHFUXVKHURUHOVHZKHUH:KHQWKHPRYHPHQWVDUHUHSRUWHG
JHRORJ\FDQDVVLJQJUDGHV
2QFH WKH SURGXFWLRQ UHSRUW LV FRPSLOHG DQG FKHFNHG LW
VKRXOG EH SXEOLVKHG GDLO\ ,GHDOO\ WKH QXPEHUV VKRXOG EH
DYDLODEOHHDUO\HDFKGD\7KHUHVKRXOGDOVREHDZHHNO\UHSRUW
WKDWFROODWHVDOOWKHGDLO\SURGXFWLRQLQIRUPDWLRQ
)XUWKHU WKHUH VKRXOG EH D PRQWKO\ UHSRUW WKDW FROODWHV
DOO WKH ZHHNO\ LQIRUPDWLRQ DQG LQFOXGHV D UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
RI PLQLQJ DQG VWRFNSLOH PRYHPHQWV ZKDW ZDV PLQHG
UHFODLPHGWRQQHVDQGJUDGHZKHUHLWZDVPLQHGUHFODLPHG
IURPDQGZKHUHLWZDVGHOLYHUHG7KLVVKRXOGEHFRPSDUHGWR
WKHUHVXOWVIURPWKHFRQFHQWUDWRU
Reconciliation
7KLV LV D FRPSRQHQW WR FRPSDUH DQG UHFRQFLOH HVWLPDWHV RI
DFWXDO RUH WRQQHV DQG JUDGH PLQHGUHFODLPHG DQG PLOOHG
WRWKRVHSUHGLFWHGIURPWKHVKRUWWHUPPRGHOJUDGHFRQWURO
DQG WKH ORQJWHUP PRGHOV UHVRXUFH DQG UHVHUYH PRGHOV
)LJXUH$Q\UHFRQFLOLDWLRQLVVXHVVKRXOGEHTXLFNO\DJJHG
DQG LI QHHGHG IHG EDFN LQWR UHVRXUFHUHVHUYH DQG JUDGH
FRQWUROPRGHOXSGDWHV0F&RUPDFNDQG%HUU\PDQ
Definitions
&RPPRQO\XVHGWHUPVLQWKHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQSURFHVVDUHQRWHG
EHORZ
Documentation
3DUW RI WKH GRFXPHQWDWLRQ VKRXOG EH D FOHDU VWDWHPHQW RI
SXUSRVHIRUWKHPLQHJHRORJ\WHDP,WQHHGVWRNQRZZKDWLW
LVH[SHFWHGWRGR
Training
7RVXSSRUWWKHJUDGHFRQWUROV\VWHPWKHUHQHHGVWREHWUDLQLQJ
VR WKDW WKH JHRORJ\ WHDP FDQ TXLFNO\ EHFRPH FRPSHWHQW
7UDLQLQJLVQHHGHGWRHQVXUHWKDWWHDPPHPEHUVDUHDEOHWR
RSHUDWHDWWKHFRUUHFWRUJDQLVDWLRQDOOHYHO7ZRH[DPSOHVRI
HIIHFWLYHJHRORJ\WHDPRUJDQLVDWLRQVDUHJLYHQLQ)LJXUH
7KHUH VKRXOG EH WUDLQLQJ JLYHQ WR WKH UHVW RI WKH PLQLQJ
WHDP LQFOXGLQJ WKH RSHUDWRUV VR WKDW WKH\ FDQ XQGHUVWDQG
WKH UROH WKH\ SOD\ LQ PLQLPLVLQJ GLOXWLRQ DQG HQVXULQJ WKH
EHVWJUDGHLVGHOLYHUHGWRWKHPLOO
Surveyors
Assay
laboratory
Sampling
driller;
samplers
Planning
engineer
Mine
Geology
Metallurgist
SeniorUnderground
Geologist
SeniorOpenPit
Geologist
Underground
geologistsand
samplers
Openpitgeologists
andsamplers
SeniorResource
Development
Geologist
Database
Administrator
Assayanddrilling
contracts
Resource
development
geologistsand
samplers
GeologyManageror
GeologySuperintendent
SeniorResource
DevelopmentGeologist
DatabaseAdministrator
Resourcedevelopment
geologistsandsamplers
Assayanddrilling
contracts
UndergroundMine1
Manager
OpenPitMineManager
SeniorUnderground
MineGeologist
SeniorOpenPit
Geologist
Undergroundgeologists
andsamplers
Openpitgeologistsand
samplers
FIG 6 - Two examples of possible geology department organisations. In both cases, the geology manager
reports to the resident manager and is equivalent to the mine manager and metallurgy manager.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
683
WDUJHWJHQHUDWLRQ
SODQQLQJDQGEXGJHWLQJ
WHVWLQJ
ORJJLQJDQGPDSSLQJ
DQ DVVD\ GDWDEDVH ZLWK UHOHYDQW FRQWUROV WR HQVXUH RQO\
FOHDQGDWDDUHORDGHG
DFRPSUHKHQVLYH4$4&V\VWHP
DVVD\LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
UHVRXUFHXSGDWH
7KH FRPSRQHQWV WKHPVHOYHV DUH VHOIH[SODQDWRU\ EXW WKH\
QHHGWREHDGGUHVVHGZLWKWKHVDPHIRFXVDQGGLVFLSOLQHDV
UHFRPPHQGHGIRUJUDGHFRQWURO
CONCLUSIONS
$QHIIHFWLYHJUDGHFRQWUROV\VWHPVKRXOGIROORZDEDODQFHG
DSSURDFKDQGLWLVVXJJHVWHGWKDWLWLQFOXGHVWKHFRPSRQHQWV
SUHVHQWHGLQWKLVSDSHU7KHV\VWHPLVZHDNHQHGLIDQ\RIWKH
FRPSRQHQWVDUHQRWLPSOHPHQWHGFRUUHFWO\DQGFRPSOHWHO\
6\VWHPDWLFUHFRQFLOLDWLRQDWUHJXODULQWHUYDOVSOD\VDNH\SDUW
LQ VXSSRUWLQJ WKH LQWHJULW\ RI WKH JUDGH FRQWURO V\VWHP DQG
SURYLGHV RQJRLQJ VXSSRUW DQG DGMXVWPHQW IRU PLQH SODQV
DQGUHVHUYHV7KLVLQWXUQSURYLGHVVXSSRUWLQJHYLGHQFHIRU
DVVXUDQFHVRIEXVLQHVVKHDOWKDQGH[WHUQDOFRPSOLDQFH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUVZLVKWRDFNQRZOHGJHWKHVXSSRUWRI&6$*OREDO
LQSUHSDULQJWKLVSDSHU
REFERENCES
$QQHOV$(Mineral Deposit Evaluation 6SULQJHU
684
'DJGHOHQ.DQG&RVNXQ%2SWLPL]LQJ*UDGH&RQWUROLQ2SHQ
3LW*ROG0LQLQJ60(SUHSULQWQXPEHU
'RPLQ\ 6 & DQG 0LQQLWW 5 & $ 'HVLJQ RI JUDGH FRQWURO
VDPSOLQJ SURJUDPV IRU XQGHUJURXQG JROG PLQHV LQ Proceedings
Eighth International Mining Geology Conference SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
*XLEDO'3URFHGXUHDQGH[DPSOHRIJUDGHFRQWUROLQRSHQSLW
PLQLQJLQProceedings 3$&5,0S7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
+DUHQ(DQG:LOOLDPV30LQHJHRORJ\SUDFWLFHVDWWKH6XQULVH
2SHQ 3LW LQ 3URFHHGLQJV )RXUWK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQLQJ *HRORJ\
Conference SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0F&RUPDFN 5 DQG %HUU\PDQ 7 5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ DW .&*0
)LPLVWRQ 2SHUDWLRQ LQ Proceedings Sixth International Mining
Geology Conference SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0F&XDLJ 7 & 9DQQ - DQG 6H\PRXU & '\QDPLF OLQNV
EHWZHHQ JHRORJ\ DQG WKH PLQLQJ SURFHVV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV )RXUWK
International Mining Geology ConferenceSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0F.LQVWU\ + ( Mining Geology S 3UHQWLFH+DOO 1HZ
-HUVH\
0DUMRULEDQNV 5 Geological Methods in Mineral Exploration and
Mining6SULQJHU
3HWHUV:&Exploration and Mining GeologyS-RKQ:LOH\
6RQV1HZ<RUN
5LVNH5)URXG-0RUOH\&DQG*RWWH-7KHLPSOHPHQWDWLRQ
RI6QRZGHQVUHFRQFLOLDWLRQVRIWZDUHDFDVHVWXG\IURP7HOIHU
in Proceedings World Gold ConferenceSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
9HUO\ * *UDGH FRQWURO FODVVLFDWLRQ RI RUH DQG ZDVWH D
FULWLFDO UHYLHZ RI HVWLPDWLRQ DQG VLPXODWLRQ EDVHG SURFHGXUHV
Mathematical Geology
HOME
1. FAusIMM, COSMO Stochastic Mine Planning Laboratory, Department of Mining and Materials Engineering, McGill University, 3450 University Street, Montreal Qc H3A 2A7, Canada.
Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM(CP), Group Executive, Resource Modelling, Newmont Mining Corporation, 6363 South Fiddlers Green Circle, Greenwood Village Co 80111, USA.
Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
RII JUDGH RI RUH ZLWK WKH HVWLPDWHG EORFN JUDGHV 2UGLQDU\
NULJLQJDQGLQYHUVHVTXDUHGLVWDQFHDUHWUDGLWLRQDOPHWKRGV
RI HVWLPDWLQJ JUDGHV -RXUQHO DQG +XLMEUHJWV 'DYLG
,PSURYHPHQWV IURP NULJLQJ FRPH WKURXJK
PLQLPLVLQJ HUURUV LQ WKH HVWLPDWHG JUDGHV )LJXUH VKRZV
7UXH*UDGH
*UDGH FRQWURO RU RUH FRQWURO LV DQ RSHUDWLRQ ZKHUH EODVWHG
PDWHULDOLVDJJHGDVHLWKHURUHRUZDVWHEDVHGRQEODVWKROH
VDPSOHV DQG JHRORJLFDO LQIRUPDWLRQ 7KH SURFHGXUH XVXDOO\
LQFOXGHV VDPSOLQJ JHRORJLFDO PDSSLQJ JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ
RUHZDVWHVHOHFWLRQZKLFKPD\LQFOXGHVHYHUDOFDWHJRULHV
EODVWLQJDQGGLVSDWFKLQJRIWUXFNORDGV7KHHIFLHQF\RIWKH
JUDGH FRQWURO LV VXEMHFW WR YDULRXV IDFWRUV VXFK DV VDPSOLQJ
HUURUV FRQGLWLRQDO ELDV LQWURGXFHG E\ JUDGH HVWLPDWRUV
DQG EODVW PRYHPHQWV ,Q WKLV VFHQDULR WKH PDMRU FRQFHUQ
LV WKH PLVFODVVLFDWLRQ RI PDWHULDO 7KH PLVFODVVLFDWLRQ
RI WUXFNORDGV DOZD\V UHVXOWV LQ D QHW ORVV DQG LV ODUJHO\
DWWULEXWDEOHWRWKHODFNRISHUIHFWNQRZOHGJHDERXWUHDOJUDGH
GLVWULEXWLRQ$VDUHVXOWGLIIHUHQWPRGHOOLQJIUDPHZRUNVKDYH
EHHQ GHYHORSHG WR DGGUHVV WKH VKRUWFRPLQJV RI WUDGLWLRQDO
PHWKRGV
=F
=F
(VWLPDWHG*UDGH
685
FIG 2 - Simulated models of block grades in a deposit (left) and a typical estimated model of block grades in a deposit (right).
686
Grade Control Based on Economic Ore/Waste Classification Functions and Stochastic Simulations|R Dimitrakopoulos and M Godoy
Profit functions
3URWIXQFWLRQVLQYROYHVSHFLI\LQJWKHH[SHFWHGSURWE(Pr)
DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK HDFK FODVVLFDWLRQ VFHQDULR 7KH H[SHFWHG
SURWRIFODVVLI\LQJDEORFNRIRUHDVZDVWHE(Prw)LVJLYHQE\
Loss functions
7KH ORVV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK HDFK W\SH RI PLVFODVVLFDWLRQ
HUURUFDQEHH[SUHVVHGDVDORVVIXQFWLRQLRIWKHDFWXDOEXW
XQNQRZQJUDGH7KLVORVVLVWKHSRWHQWLDOUHYHQXHRIWKHEORFN
OHVVWKHDFWXDOUHFRYHUHGUHYHQXH
/ SRWHQWLDOUHYHQXHUHFRYHUHGUHYHQXH
,QWKHVFHQDULRRIPLVFODVVLI\LQJDEORFNRIRUHDVZDVWHWKH
SRWHQWLDOUHYHQXHFRUUHVSRQGVWRWKHPHWDOOHIWXQUHFRYHUHG
PLQXVWKHPLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJFRVWV
SRWHQWLDOUHYHQXH SU]FtFm
ZKHUH
p
LVWKHXQLWPHWDOSULFH
r
LVWKHPHWDOUHFRYHU\IUDFWLRQ
z
LVWKHPHWDOJUDGH
ct cm FRUUHVSRQGWRWKHSURFHVVLQJDQGPLQLQJXQLWFRVWV
$VVXPLQJWKDWWKHFRVWRIPLQLQJRUHDQGZDVWHLVWKHVDPH
WKHUHFRYHUHGUHYHQXHLVJLYHQE\
UHFRYHUHGUHYHQXH Fm
7KURXJK WKH FRQGLWLRQDO GLVWULEXWLRQ IXQFWLRQ WKH
SUREDELOLW\WKUHVKROGIRUWKHEORFNWREHRUHPoDQGWKHDYHUDJH
JUDGH DERYH WKH FXWRII m FDQ EH GHWHUPLQHG DQG XVHG WR
FDOFXODWHWKHH[SHFWHGORVVUHVXOWLQJIURPPLVFODVVLI\LQJWKLV
EORFNDVZDVWHE(Lw)
E(Lw) = Po >SUP+Ft@
Risk coefficients
5LVN FRHIFLHQWV DUH SRVLWLYH PXOWLSOLHUV TXDQWLI\LQJ WKH
LPSDFW RI WKH ORVV 7KHVH FRHIFLHQWV FDQ EH DSSOLHG WR
ERWK SURW DQG ORVV IXQFWLRQV 7KH\ PD\ UHHFW WKH PLQLQJ
UHTXLUHPHQWVLQWHUPVRISURGXFWLRQWDUJHWVE\LQFUHDVLQJWKH
FKDQFHRIUHMHFWLQJRUHEORFNVRUVHQGLQJZDVWHEORFNVWRWKH
SURFHVVLQJSODQW7KHUHDOLPSDFWRIWKHVHFRHIFLHQWVLV\HW
WREHH[SODLQHG,WKDVEHHQVXJJHVWHGWKDWFDOLEUDWLRQVWXGLHV
VKRXOGEHFDUULHGRXWWKURXJKEDWFKWUHDWPHQWZKLFKZRXOG
SURYLGHWUXHWRQQDJHDQGJUDGHUHVXOWV*ODFNHQ7KHUH
LVQRJXDUDQWHHGWKDWWKHVHFRHIFLHQWVZLOOEHWKHVDPHIURP
EHQFK WR EHQFK RU IRU GLIIHUHQW SDUWV RI WKH GHSRVLW ,Q IDFW
WKHFDOLEUDWLRQPD\EHDGLIFXOWDQGH[SHQVLYHSURFHVVDQG
WKHUHIRUHWKHXVHRIULVNFRHIFLHQWVVKRXOGEHDYRLGHGXQOHVV
WKHLUUHDOLPSDFWRQWKHSURGXFWLRQWDUJHWVLVZHOOXQGHUVWRRG
7KHSURWORVVDSSURDFKXVLQJULVNFRHIFLHQWVDVVXJJHVWHG
E\*ODFNHQLJQRUHVWKHPLQLQJFRVWcmDQGXVHVRQO\
RQHFXWRIIJUDGH7KLVOHDYHVURRPIRULQWHUSUHWDWLRQZKHQ
IRUPXODWLQJWKHSURWLQDPRUHJHQHUDOFDVH7KHIROORZLQJ
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQPD\QRWEHXQLTXHEXWLWKDQGOHVVHYHUDOFXW
RIIJUDGHVDQGLVFRQVLVWHQWZLWK*ODFNHQVH[DPSOHV
3URW UHFRYHUHGUHYHQXHZHLJKWSHQDOW\
6LPLODUO\WKHH[SHFWHGORVVIRUWKHFDVHRIDEORFNRIZDVWH
PLVFODVVLHGDVRUHE(Lo)LV
3HQDOW\ SRWHQWLDOUHYHQXHUHFRYHUHGUHYHQXH
)RUDEORFNFDOOHGRUHWKHUHFRYHUHGUHYHQXHYDOXHLVprz
FmFp,IWKHJUDGHLVKLJKHUWKDQWKHFXWRIIJUDGHFRUUHFW
DFFHSWDQFH
ZKHUH
m LVWKHDYHUDJHJUDGHEHORZWKHFXWRII
7KH EORFN ZLOO EH VHOHFWHG DV RUH LI WKH H[SHFWHG ORVV IRU
VHOHFWLQJ WKH EORFN DV RUH LV OHVV WKDQ WKH H[SHFWHG ORVV IRU
VHOHFWLQJWKHEORFNDVZDVWHE(Lw)WKDWLV
E(Lo) < E(Lw)
3HQDOW\
3URW SU]FmFp
,IWKHJUDGHLVORZHUWKDQWKHFXWRIIJUDGHIDOVHDFFHSWDQFH
3RWHQWLDOYDOXH Fm
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
687
LVWKHZHLJKWDSSOLHGWRWKHSHQDOW\
PD\ EH LQWHUSUHWHG DV D FRHIFLHQW WKDW TXDQWLHV WKH
ZLOOLQJQHVVRIWKHFRPSDQ\WRDFFHSWZDVWLQJUHVRXUFH
WKURXJKIDOVHUHMHFWLRQRIRUHEORFNV
7KHULVNFRHIFLHQWLVUHIHUUHGWRDVDORVVRIRSSRUWXQLW\
FRVWIDFWRU
7KH SURWORVV IXQFWLRQ g(z) RI D EORFN FDOOHG RUH DQG LWV
H[SHFWDWLRQPLOREDUH
g (z) = )
- cm + ~1 (prz - c p), z # zc
prz - cm - c p, z 2 zc
- cm, z # zc
- cm - ~2 (prz - c p), z 2 zc
7KHSURWORVVIXQFWLRQg(z)RIDEORFNFDOOHGZDVWHDQGLWV
H[SHFWDWLRQPL1WSTDUH
J] Fm
PL WST (>J]@ Fm
1
688
7KHEORFNLVVHOHFWHGDVRUHLIPL1ORE!PL1WSTRWKHUZLVHLW
LVZDVWH$JHRPHWULFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRIWKHSURWIXQFWLRQV
g(z)LVJLYHQLQ)LJXUHE
'HXWVFK0DJULDQG1RUUHQDVXJJHVWDVLPSOLFDWLRQ
RI *ODFNHQV SURWORVV DSSURDFK WKDW DPRXQWV WR VHWWLQJ
ERWK ULVN DYHUVLRQ DQG ORVV RI RSSRUWXQLW\ FRVW IDFWRUV
WR 1 = = 1 7KLV LV HTXLYDOHQW WR DSSO\LQJ D SHQDOW\
IRU XQGHUHVWLPDWLRQ IDOVH UHMHFWLRQ EXW QR SHQDOW\ IRU
RYHUHVWLPDWLRQIDOVHDFFHSWDQFH,QGHHGWKHIDOVHDFFHSWDQFH
SHQDOW\ZHLJKWLV1VXFKWKDW
1 1 + 1 LI1 = 1
7KHDUJXPHQWWRSHQDOLVHXQGHUHVWLPDWLRQLVWKDWLWGRHVFRVW
PRQH\WRPLVWDNHQO\SXWKLJKJUDGHRUHRQWKHZDVWHGXPS
'HXWVFK0DJULDQG1RUUHQD7KHSURWIXQFWLRQg(z)RI
DEORFNFDOOHGRUHDQGLWVH[SHFWDWLRQPLOREDUH
J] SU]FmFp
PLORE (>J]@ (>SU]Fp@Fm
7KH SURW IXQFWLRQ g(z) RI D EORFN FDOOHG ZDVWH DQG LWV
H[SHFWDWLRQPLWSTDUH
g (z) = )
- cm, z # zc
- cm - (prz - cp), z 2 zc
- cm + 2 (prz - c p), z # zc
prz - cm - c p), z 2 zc
- cm, z # zc
- cm - (prz - cp), z 2 zc
Grade Control Based on Economic Ore/Waste Classification Functions and Stochastic Simulations|R Dimitrakopoulos and M Godoy
FIG 3 - Profit-loss functions with four scenarios, correct/false acceptance for blocks called ore and correct/false
rejection for blocks called waste (the arrows show the impact of the (1, 2) factors).
VHOHFWHGDUHFRPSDUHGIRUHDFKFRPELQDWLRQDQGWKLVLVWKHQ
FRPSDUHG ZLWK D EHQFKPDUN NULJLQJ HVWLPDWH UHSUHVHQWLQJ
WKHWUDGLWLRQDOJUDGHFRQWUROSUDFWLFHVDVZHOODVWKHUHVXOWV
IURPNQRZLQJWKHRULJLQDOH[KDXVWLYHGDWDVHWDQGDSSO\LQJ
RUHDQGZDVWHFODVVLFDWLRQ
689
WKHH[KDXVWLYHO\VDPSOHGSXEOLFGRPDLQ:DONHU/DNHGDWDVHW
,VDDNVDQG6ULYDVWDYDFRQVLVWLQJRIYDOXHVRQD
UHJXODUJULG7KLVLVVKRZQLQ)LJXUHDDQGPRGLHG
WRUHSUHVHQWDEHQFKLQDW\SLFDOJROGPLQH
7KHSURFHGXUHIROORZHGIRUWKHFDVHVWXG\LVVXPPDULVHG
E\WKHIROORZLQJVWHSV
VDPSOH WKH GHSRVLW EHQFK RQ D P JULG WR PLPLF
D W\SLFDO EODVWKROH JUDGH FRQWURO SDWWHUQ FROOHFWLQJ
VDPSOHVIRUWKHEHQFK)LJXUHE
UHEORFNDYHUDJHWKHNQRZQGHSRVLWGDWDVHWWRPLQLQJ
VHOHFWLRQ EORFNV RI P UHSUHVHQWLQJ WKH FDVH IRU
SHUIHFWRUHVHOHFWLRQ
FRQGLWLRQDOO\ VLPXODWH WKH EHQFK IURP WKH VDPSOHV
XVLQJ WKUHH FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ WHFKQLTXHV DQG
JHQHUDWLQJUHDOLVDWLRQVIRUHDFKWHFKQLTXH
UHEORFN WKH FRQGLWLRQDOO\ VLPXODWHG QRGHV WR PLQLQJ
VHOHFWLRQEORFNVRIPDQGFODVVLI\HDFKEORFNXVLQJ
HDFKRIWKHHFRQRPLFFODVVLFDWLRQIXQFWLRQV
FRPSDUHWKHYDOXHDQGTXDQWLW\RIVHOHFWHGRUHZLWKWKH
FDVHIRUSHUIHFWVHOHFWLRQIURPWKHNQRZQGDWDVHW
UHSHDWVWHSVWKUHHWRYHXVLQJGDWDSRLQWVRQD
PJULG)LJXUHF
UHVXOWVPLQLQJEORFNVDUHDVVXPHGWREHPDQGLWLVDOVR
DVVXPHGWKDWIUHHDFFHVVLVSRVVLEOHIRUHYHU\EORFN
8VLQJWKHSURFHGXUHLQVWHSVWRDERYHJLYHVWKHIROORZLQJ
UHVXOWV)RUHDFKVDPSOHGDWDVXEVHWDQGIRUHDFKFRQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQ DOJRULWKP D VLQJOH UHDOLVDWLRQ LV VKRZQ DV D
SL[HO SORW LQ )LJXUH ZLWK D SORW RI WKH DFWXDO NQRZQ GDWD
IRU:DONHU/DNHLQ)LJXUHG)URP)LJXUHLWFDQEHVHHQ
WKDW WKH GLIIHUHQW FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQV DOO UHSURGXFH WKH
JHQHUDO VSDWLDO GLVWULEXWLRQ RI JUDGHV IRU :DONHU /DNH 7KH
VDPSOH GDWD VHW DSSHDUV WR UHSURGXFH WKH WUXH JUDGH
SDWWHUQV EHWWHU WKDQ WKH VDPSOH GDWD VHW DV PD\ EH
H[SHFWHG 7KH VHTXHQWLDO *DXVVLDQ VLPXODWLRQV VKRZQ LQ
)LJXUHDIRUGDWDSRLQWVDQG)LJXUHHIRUGDWDSRLQWV
GLVSOD\ JUHDWHU GLVRUGHU WKDQ WKH RWKHU VLPXODWLRQ PHWKRGV
ZLWKOHVVVLPLODULW\EHWZHHQDGMDFHQWSL[HOV
7KHFRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQVDUHWKHQUHEORFNHGDYHUDJHG
LQWR PLQHDEOH EORFNV )RU FRPSDULVRQ ZLWK WKH FRQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQPHWKRGVXVLQJHFRQRPLFFODVVLFDWLRQIXQFWLRQVDQ
RUGLQDU\NULJHGEORFNJUDGHHVWLPDWHKDVDOVREHHQGHYHORSHG
ZLWKWKHGDWDVHWIRU:DONHU/DNHUHEORFNHGWRP7KH
VHOHFWLYLW\RIRUHLVEDVHGXSRQDPLQLQJEORFNRIPDQG
WKHFRVWRIPLQLQJRUHDQGZDVWHLVDVVXPHGWREHWKHVDPH
7KUHH FXWRII JUDGHV DUH FRQVLGHUHG WR KLJKOLJKW GLIIHUHQFHV
LQ SHUIRUPDQFH EHWZHHQ VLPXODWLRQ PHWKRGV DQG HFRQRPLF
FODVVLFDWLRQ IXQFWLRQV IRU GLIIHUHQW SUHYDLOLQJ HFRQRPLF
FRQGLWLRQV *ROG UHFRYHU\ LV DVVXPHG WR EH FRQVWDQW DQG
LQGHSHQGHQW RI RUH JUDGH 1R DOORZDQFH LV PDGH IRU PLQLQJ
GLOXWLRQ DQG IUHH DFFHVV LV DVVXPHG WR DOO PLQLQJ EORFNV
0LQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJFRVWVPHWDOSULFHUHFRYHU\DQGFXWRII
JUDGHIRUWKUHHFRVWSULFHVFHQDULRVDUHVXPPDULVHGLQ7DEOH
FIG 4 - A bench of grade control data from the Walker Lake deposit. The histograms for each data set
(A), (B) and (C) are shown below the corresponding plot of data values.
690
Grade Control Based on Economic Ore/Waste Classification Functions and Stochastic Simulations|R Dimitrakopoulos and M Godoy
A
FIG 5 - Pixel plots of a realisation for each conditional simulation method and for both the 195 data set and the 725 data set.
TABLE 1
Three cost/price scenarios are considered, each with a different cut-off grade.
Scenario A
Scenario B
Scenario C
8.00
8.64
8.85
2.00
2.00
2.00
Recovery (%)
80
95
80
0.65
0.74
0.86
480
380
400
(DFKFRPELQDWLRQRIGHSRVLWVDPSOHSDWWHUQFXWRIIJUDGHLV
SUHVHQWHGDVRQHVFHQDULRZLWKDYDOXHIRUSURWDQGDYDOXH
IRURUHWRQQDJHLQWKHFDVHRISHUIHFWVHOHFWLRQIRUWKDWEDVHG
RQ GHWHUPLQLVWLF RUGLQDU\ NULJLQJ HVWLPDWHV $GGLWLRQDOO\
IRU HDFK UHDOLVDWLRQ WKH PHGLDQ RI VHTXHQWLDO *DXVVLDQ
VLPXODWLRQ UHDOLVDWLRQV KDV EHHQ UHEORFNHG 6HOHFWLRQ IRU
WKLV PW\SH PRGHO ZDV EDVHG RQ WKH VLQJOH PHGLDQJUDGH
HVWLPDWH IRU HDFK EORFN 7KLV FDVH UHPRYHV FRQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQDVDIDFWRUDQGDOORZVDFRPSDULVRQRIWKHUHVXOWV
RIHLWKHUXVLQJRUQRWXVLQJHFRQRPLFFODVVLFDWLRQIXQFWLRQV
IRUVHOHFWLRQ(DFKVXPPDU\JXUHDOVRVKRZVWKHKLVWRJUDP
RIVDPSOHGDWDZLWKWKHPHDQDQGPHGLDQJUDGHVLQGLFDWHG
IRUFRPSDULVRQZLWKWKHFXWRIIJUDGH
7KH UHVXOWV SUHVHQWHG LQ )LJXUHV WR PD\ EH IXUWKHU
VXPPDULVHG DV DQ DLG WR GUDZLQJ FRQFOXVLRQV DV VKRZQ LQ
)LJXUH$VQRQHRIWKHFRPELQDWLRQVDFKLHYHGH[DFWSHUIHFW
VHOHFWLRQ DOO VFHQDULRV UHWXUQ OHVV UHYHQXH WKDQ WKH SHUIHFW
FDVH 7KH SHUIRUPDQFH JHQHUDOO\ GHFUHDVHV DV WKH FXWRII
JUDGHLQFUHDVHV:KLOHQRVLQJOHPHWKRGLVEHVWLQDOOFDVHV
VHTXHQWLDO*DXVVLDQVLPXODWLRQZLWKHLWKHUDPLQLPXPORVV
RUPD[LPXPSURWSOXVPLQLQJFRVWVIXQFWLRQSHUIRUPVEHVW
IRUWKHWZRORZHUFXWRIIV)RUWKHKLJKHVWFXWRIIVHTXHQWLDO
LQGLFDWRU VLPXODWLRQ SHUIRUPV EHVW 7KH SUREDELOLW\ HOG
VLPXODWLRQPHWKRGFRPELQHGZLWKDQ\HFRQRPLFFODVVLFDWLRQ
IXQFWLRQSHUIRUPVSRRUO\LQDOOFDVHVIRUWKHPVDPSOH
VSDFLQJ 2UH VHOHFWLRQ IURP HVWLPDWLRQ RU VLPXODWLRQ \LHOGV
EHWZHHQ WHQ SHU FHQW DQG DSSUR[LPDWHO\ per cent RI WKH
SRVVLEOHUHYHQXHZKHQXVLQJPVDPSOLQJ
691
&ODVVLILFDWLRQEDVHGRQ
VDPSOHVP608
/RZFXWRIIJW
FIG 6 - Summary of outcomes from classifying the Walker Lake deposit sampled on a 6 6 m pattern for a low cut-off grade relative to the sample mean.
&ODVVLILFDWLRQEDVHGRQ
VDPSOHVP608
0HGLXPFXWRIIJW
FIG 7 - Summary of outcomes from classifying the Walker Lake deposit sampled on a 6 6 m pattern for a cut-off approximately equal to the sample mean.
692
Grade Control Based on Economic Ore/Waste Classification Functions and Stochastic Simulations|R Dimitrakopoulos and M Godoy
&ODVVLILFDWLRQEDVHGRQ
VDPSOHVP608
+LJKFXWRIIJW
FIG 8 - Summary of outcomes from classifying the Walker Lake deposit sampled on a 6 6 m pattern for a high cut-off relative to the sample mean.
FIG 9 - Revenue earned by each combination of simulation method and economic classification function for each
cut-off grade relative to perfect selection for the 6 6 m 195 data points sampling pattern.
VKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHGLQFRQMXQFWLRQZLWKWKHUHODWLYHHFRQRPLF
SHUIRUPDQFH ,Q )LJXUH VHTXHQWLDO *DXVVLDQ VLPXODWLRQ
ZLWKDPLQLPXPORVVIXQFWLRQVHOHFWVDSSUR[LPDWHO\ per
cent PRUH PDWHULDO DV RUH WKDQ WKH SHUIHFW VHOHFWLRQ FDVH
$W EHVW LI WKH VHTXHQWLDO *DXVVLDQ VLPXODWLRQ RUH WRQQDJH
LQFOXGHV DOO SHUIHFW VHOHFWLRQ RUH WKH VHTXHQWLDO *DXVVLDQ
VLPXODWLRQ SOXV PLQLPXP ORVV DSSURDFK PLVFODVVLHV KDOI
DV PXFK RUH DJDLQ KRZHYHU )LJXUH VKRZV WKDW LQ WHUPV
RI UHODWLYH HFRQRPLF SHUIRUPDQFH WKH VHTXHQWLDO *DXVVLDQ
VLPXODWLRQ SOXV PLQLPXP ORVV DSSURDFK RXWSHUIRUPV
693
&ODVVLILFDWLRQEDVHGRQ
VDPSOHVP608
/RZFXWRIIJW
FIG 10 - Summary of outcomes from classifying the Walker Lake deposit sampled on a 3 3 m pattern for a low cut-off relative to the sample mean.
&ODVVLILFDWLRQEDVHGRQ
VDPSOHVP608
0HGLXPFXWRIIJW
FIG 11 - Summary of outcomes from classifying the Walker Lake deposit sampled on a 3 3 m pattern for a middle cut-off relative to the sample mean.
694
Grade Control Based on Economic Ore/Waste Classification Functions and Stochastic Simulations|R Dimitrakopoulos and M Godoy
&ODVVLILFDWLRQEDVHGRQ
VDPSOHVP608
+LJKFXWRIIJW
FIG 12 - Summary of outcomes from classifying the Walker Lake deposit sampled on a 3 3 m pattern for a high cut-off relative to the sample mean.
FIG 13 - Revenue earned by each combination of simulation method and economic classification function for each cut-off
grade relative to perfect selection for the 3 3 m 725 data points sampling pattern.
JHQHUDOO\ VHOHFWV PRUH PDWHULDO DV RUH WKDQ RWKHU PHWKRGV
ZLWK D QRWDEOH H[FHSWLRQ EHLQJ WKH VHTXHQWLDO *DXVVLDQ
VLPXODWLRQFDVHGLVFXVVHGLQWKHODVWSDUDJUDSK,QSDUWLFXODU
WKH SUREDELOLW\ HOG DSSURDFK SHUIRUPV SRRUO\ LQ WHUPV
RIRUHWRQQDJHFRPSDUHGWRRWKHUPHWKRGVXVLQJD 3 P
VDPSOLQJ SDWWHUQ IRU WKH :DONHU /DNH GHSRVLW DV VKRZQ LQ
)LJXUH7DEOHVXPPDULVHVUHVXOWVVKRZLQJWKHEHVWDQG
ZRUVW SHUIRUPLQJ FRPELQDWLRQV RI HFRQRPLF FODVVLFDWLRQ
695
TABLE 2
Summary of best- and worst-performing combinations of economic
classification functions and conditional simulation methods.
Spacing / number
of samples
6 m 6 m / 195
3 m 3 m / 725
Cut-off
Best
Worst
Low
SGS Prof +
PFS Prof -
Medium
SGS Prof -
PFS Prof -
High
PFS Prof +
Low
PFS Prof +
Medium
PFS Prof +
High
PFS Prof -
H[SHFWHGZKHQEODVWKROHGULOOLQJLVLQFUHDVHGIURPPWR
PKDYHQRWEHHQLQFOXGHG
FIG 15 - Six blasts and dig-lines from the mines traditional grade control
classification (top); the same blasts and grade control classification based
on minimum loss and sequential indicator simulation (bottom); and
comparison of expected gold content from the two grade control
classification per blast (middle).
7KHTXHVWLRQKRZGRZHNQRZZHDUHDQ\EHWWHURII"IURP
WKHXVHRIWKHPLQLPXPORVVEDVHGFODVVLFDWLRQLVDGGUHVVHG
ZLWK WKH UHVXOWV UHSRUWHG LQ 7DEOH 7KH WDEOH VXPPDULVHV
RQH RI WKH PLQHV WZRPRQWKORQJ UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV ZKLFK
FRQFOXGHZLWKWKHYDOXHRIWKHQHZJUDGHFRQWURODSSURDFK
YDOXHGDWDQDGGLWLRQDO WDWR]RIJROGRU
DQDGGLWLRQDO SURWEHIRUHLQWHUHVW3%,7LQFUHDVH
7KLV LV QRW DQ LQVLJQLFDQW LQFUHDVH IRU D PLQH ZKHUH WKH
WUDGLWLRQDOJUDGHFRQWUROSUDFWLFHDOUHDG\SHUIRUPVYHU\ZHOO
&ROOHWWDQG&RUOH\
Grade Control Based on Economic Ore/Waste Classification Functions and Stochastic Simulations|R Dimitrakopoulos and M Godoy
TABLE 3
Example that compares performance between the traditional grade control of a
gold mine with the performance of grade control classification with minimum
loss with sequential indicator simulation over a two-month period.
A two month long comparison
Ounces
Reserves
21 180
20 682
21 083
XSJUDGHDEORFNIURPZDVWHWRRUH
GRZQJUDGHDEORFNIURPRUHWRZDVWHRU
OHDYHWKHFODVVLFDWLRQXQFKDQJHG
,Q WKH H[DPSOH SDUW RI D EHQFK DW D JROG PLQH SUHVHQWHG
KHUHLQ IRU HDFK P P PLQHDEOH EORFN RU 608 WKH
FODVVLFDWLRQDFFRUGLQJWRDJULQGDELOLW\PRGHOLVFRPSDUHG
ZLWK WKDW RI WKH EDVH FDVH $ PDS RI GLIIHUHQFHV EHWZHHQ
WKHVHWZRPRGHOVLVVKRZQLQ)LJXUHDORQJZLWKRULJLQDO
PLQLPDO ORVV FODVVLFDWLRQ )LJXUH D DQG D PRGHO RI WKH
JULQGLQJ WKURXJKSXW XVHG WR XSGDWH WKH SDUDPHWHUV RI WKH
PLQLPXPORVVFODVVLFDWLRQIXQFWLRQ'LIIHUHQFHVEHWZHHQWKH
WZRRUHFODVVLFDWLRQVDULVHIURPWKHLQFOXVLRQRIJULQGDELOLW\
GDWD DQG WKH FODVVLFDWLRQ RI EORFNV FKDQJH IURP RUH LQ
WKH EDVH FDVH WR ZDVWH DIWHU FRQVLGHULQJ JULQGDELOLW\ UHG
EORFNVLQ)LJXUHFDQGEORFNVFKDQJHGIURPZDVWHLQWKH
EDVH FDVH WR RUH DIWHU FRQVLGHULQJ JULQGDELOLW\ F\DQ EORFNV
LQ )LJXUH F 7KLV UHSUHVHQWV PLVFODVVLFDWLRQ RI VL[ SHU
FHQW RI 608V FODVVLHG DV RUH ZLWKRXW FRQVLGHULQJ YDULDEOH
2UH
:DVWH
A
2UHFKDQJHGWRZDVWH
:DVWHFKDQJHGWRRUH
C
FIG 16 - (A) Ore/waste classification from minimum loss classification without accounting for grindability;
(B) map of grinding throughput; and (C) blocks changing from ore to waste (red) and from waste to ore (cyan).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
697
JULQGDELOLW\LQFRUUHFWO\FODVVLHGUHSUHVHQWLQJDQDYRLGDEOH
FRVW ORVV WR WKH RSHUDWLRQ 7ZR SHU FHQW RI RUH EORFNV
ZHUH LQFRUUHFWO\ FODVVLHG DV ZDVWH DQG DOVR UHSUHVHQW DQ
DYRLGDEOHORVVWRWKHRSHUDWLRQ,QWRWDOWKHEORFNVWKDWZRXOG
EH FODVVLHG GLIIHUHQWO\ ZLWK NQRZOHGJH RI JULQGDELOLW\
UHSUHVHQWHLJKWSHUFHQWRIWKH608V
,WV LQWHUHVWLQJ WR QRWH WKDW WKH 608 EORFNV PRVW OLNHO\ WR
FKDQJH FODVVLFDWLRQ DUH WKRVH ZLWK JUDGHV PDUJLQDO WR WKH
FXWRII JUDGH ,Q WKH H[DPSOH SUHVHQWHG KHUHLQ WKUHH WLPHV
DV PDQ\ EORFNV DUH GRZQJUDGHG WR ZDVWH DV DUH XSJUDGHG
WRRUHLQGLFDWLQJWKDWIUHTXHQWO\URFNVJULQGDELOLW\LVORZHU
WKDQ WKH 6$* WKURXJKSXW EXGJHW 7KLV LV WR EH H[SHFWHG
JLYHQ WKH W\SLFDO VNHZQHVV RI WKH JULQGDELOLW\ GLVWULEXWLRQ
DQGKLJKOLJKWVWKHVHQVLWLYLW\RIWKHDSSURDFKWRLW*LYHQWKH
KLJKFRVWDVVRFLDWHGZLWKRUHWUHDWPHQWFRPSDUHGZLWKZDVWH
GLVSRVDO WKH UHGXFWLRQ RI ZDVWH VHQW WR SURFHVVLQJ HUURUV
LV D GLUHFW DQG WDQJLEOH FRVW VDYLQJ IRU D PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQ
ZKLFKDOVROHDGVWRLQFUHDVHGDYDLODELOLW\RIWKHSODQWWRWUHDW
WUXHRUH5HGXFLQJWKHLQVWDQFHVRIRUHVHQWWRZDVWHHUURUV
SURPRWHVPLQHOLIHDQGVXVWDLQDELOLW\
7KHVH QGLQJV SUHVHQW DQ H[DPSOH RI LPSURYHPHQWV WKDW
FRXOGEHPDGHRYHUFXUUHQWEHVWSUDFWLFHZKHQJULQGDELOLW\LV
FRQVLGHUHG7KHLPSDFWRIRUHPLVFODVVLFDWLRQZLOOEHPRUH
VLJQLFDQW LQ UHJLRQV RI PDUJLQDO JUDGH RUH SDUWLFXODUO\
ZKHUH VXFK RUH DOVR WHQGV WR KDYH ORQJHU JULQGFLUFXLW
UHVLGHQFH,QDGGLWLRQRWKHUJHRPHWDOOXUJLFDODWWULEXWHVPD\
EH IXUWKHU LQWHJUDWHG WR JUDGH FRQWURO DV ORQJ DV HFRQRPLF
FODVVLFDWLRQIXQFWLRQVDQGRUHERG\XQFHUWDLQW\PRGHOVDUH
FRQVLGHUHG
LQGLFDWRUDSSURDFKFRPELQHGZLWKDPLQLPXPORVVHFRQRPLF
FODVVLFDWLRQIXQFWLRQUHWXUQVWKHKLJKHVWSURWIRUWKLVFDVH
VWXG\ 2Q WKH RWKHU KDQG WKH SUREDELOLW\ HOG PHWKRG IRU
FRQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQJHQHUDOO\SHUIRUPVSRRUO\DQGVKRZV
DORVVRISRVVLEOHUHYHQXHLQFRPSDULVRQZLWKRWKHUVLPXODWLRQ
PHWKRGV(YHQPRUHQRWHZRUWK\LVWKHSRRUSHUIRUPDQFHRI
WKHSUREDELOLW\HOGDSSURDFKFRPSDUHGWRRUGLQDU\NULJLQJ
ZKHQIHZVDPSOHVDUHDYDLODEOHDQGWKHFXWRIIJUDGHLVKLJK
7KH FRPSDUDWLYH H[DPSOH SUHVHQWHG LQ 6HFWLRQ LQFOXGHV
VHYHUDO DVVXPSWLRQV WR EH NHSW LQ PLQG ZKHQ FRQVLGHULQJ
WKHUHVXOWV)LUVWO\WKHXVHRID[HGVL]HEORFNRIP
IRU VHOHFWLYLW\ LV FRQYHQLHQW EXW XQUHDOLVWLF LQ SUDFWLFH DQG
DVVXPLQJ IUHH DFFHVV LV QRW JHQHUDOO\ WKH FDVH ,Q SUDFWLFH
DQ HFRQRPLF FODVVLFDWLRQ IXQFWLRQ ZRXOG EH XVHG LQ
FRPELQDWLRQZLWKJHRORJLFDOPDSSLQJJUDGHFRQWUROGDWDIURP
SUHYLRXVEHQFKHVDQGUHFRQFLOLDWLRQGDWDDQGWKHHFRQRPLF
FODVVLFDWLRQ IXQFWLRQ VHOHFWLRQV ZRXOG SURYLGH D EDVLV IRU
GUDIWLQJVPRRWKHGRUHVHOHFWLRQRXWOLQHV6XFKVPRRWKHGRUH
VHOHFWLRQ RXWOLQHV LQWURGXFH IXUWKHU PLVFODVVLFDWLRQ 2UH
VHOHFWLRQSRO\JRQVQHHGQRWEHDQGXVXDOO\DUHQRWVTXDUHV
RUUHFWDQJOHVRIFRQVWDQWVL]H)LQDOO\WKLVVWXG\LVGHVLJQHG
WR FRQWUDVW GLIIHUHQW HFRQRPLF FODVVLFDWLRQ IXQFWLRQV DQG
FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ PHWKRGV DQG WKH FRQVLGHUDEOH
DGGLWLRQDO FRVWV H[SHFWHG ZKHQ EODVWKROH IUHTXHQF\ LV
LQFUHDVHGIURPPWRPKDYHEHHQH[FOXGHG
&RPSDULVRQV RI YDULRXV FRPELQDWLRQV RI HFRQRPLF
FODVVLFDWLRQ IXQFWLRQ DQG VLPXODWLRQ DOJRULWKP VKRZ
WKDW VHTXHQWLDO LQGLFDWRU VLPXODWLRQ ZLWK D PLQLPXPORVV
HFRQRPLF FODVVLFDWLRQ IXQFWLRQ LV WKH PRVW GHSHQGDEOH
LQ WHUPV RI UHWXUQLQJ WKH KLJKHVW SURW SDUWLFXODUO\ ZKHQ
UHODWLYHO\ KLJK FXWRIIV DUH XVHG 7R IROORZ WKLV REVHUYDWLRQ
IXUWKHU DQ H[DPSOH LV SUHVHQWHG DW D JROG PLQH ZKHUH
WKHUH LV D KLVWRU\ RI H[FHOOHQW UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV EHWZHHQ WKH
PLQHV WUDGLWLRQDO JUDGH FRQWURO SUDFWLFHV DQG SURGXFWLRQ
'HVSLWH WKLV WKH ORVV IXQFWLRQ DSSURDFK VKRZV DGGLWLRQDO
LPSURYHPHQWVLQRUHSURGXFWLRQDVHFRQRPLFYDOXHWKDWVWUHVV
WKH FRQWULEXWLRQ RI WKH JUDGH FRQWURO DSSURDFKHV SUHVHQWHG
KHUHLQ
/DVW EXW QRW OHDVW WKH SDSHU SUHVHQWV KRZ WKH HFRQRPLF
FODVVLFDWLRQ IXQFWLRQ DSSURDFK FDQ XQLTXHO\ EH DGDSWHG
WR IXUWKHU UHHFW RSHUDWLRQDO FRPSOH[LWLHV VXFK DV DVSHFWV
RIRUHFRPPLQXWLRQLQWKHJUDGHFRQWUROSURFHVV7KXVWKLV
LPSURYHV WKH SHUIRUPDQFH RI JULQGLQJ FLUFXLWV DQG UHGXFHV
FRVWVWLPHDQGSRZHUFRQVXPSWLRQLQDGGLWLRQWRDGYDQFLQJ
WKHSHUIRUPDQFHRIWKHRUHFODVVLFDWLRQSURFHVV6LJQLFDQW
FKDQJHVLQRUHFODVVLFDWLRQKDYHEHHQVKRZQLQWKHFRQWH[W
RIWKHIROORZLQJDGGLWLYHHIIHFWVRI
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KDQNV DUH LQ RUGHU WR RXU FROOHDJXHV 'HDQ &ROOHWW DQG
'RXJ&RUOH\IRUWKHLUPXOWLIDFHWHGDVVLVWDQFHRQWKHWHVWLQJ
RI QHZ JUDGH FRQWURO PHWKRGV DV ZHOO &KULV )DUHOO\ IRU KLV
GLOLJHQWZRUNWHFKQLFDOLQVLJKWVDQGKXPRXU:HDOVRWKDQN
.DOJRRUOLH&RQVROLGDWHG*ROG0LQHV.&*0IRUSURYLGLQJ
VRPHRIWKHGDWDXVHGKHUHLQ
Grade Control Based on Economic Ore/Waste Classification Functions and Stochastic Simulations|R Dimitrakopoulos and M Godoy
REFERENCES
$VDG 0 : $ DQG 'LPLWUDNRSRXORV 5 2SWLPDO SURGXFWLRQ
VFDOHRIRSHQSLWPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQVZLWKXQFHUWDLQPHWDOVXSSO\
DQGORQJWHUPVWRFNSLOHVResources Policy
%HQQGRUI-DQG'LPLWUDNRSRXORV51HZHIFLHQWPHWKRGVIRU
FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ RI ODUJH RUHERGLHV LQ Orebody Modelling
and Strategic Mine PlanningSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
%RXFKHU $ DQG 'LPLWUDNRSRXORV 5 0XOWLYDULDWH EORFN
VXSSRUW VLPXODWLRQ RI WKH <DQGL LURQ RUH GHSRVLW :HVWHUQ
$XVWUDOLDMathematical Geosciences
&ROOHWW ' DQG &RUOH\ ' 7UDQVSDUHQW JUDGH FRQWURO JUDGH
FRQWURO LPSURYHPHQWV IURP WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI FRQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQ DQG RSWLPLVDWLRQ DW 5HYHQVZRRG *ROG 0LQH
1RUWK 4XHHQVODQG SUHVHQWHG WR ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 6\PSRVLXP RQ
*HRVWDWLVWLFDO6LPXODWLRQVIRUWKH0LQLQJ,QGXVWU\8QFHUWDLQW\
0RGHOV5LVN$QDO\VLVDQG2SWLPLVDWLRQRI0LQLQJ2SHUDWLRQV
3HUWK
'DYLG 0 *HRVWDWLVWLFDO 2UH 5HVHUYH (VWLPDWLRQ 'HYHORSPHQWV
in Geomathematics S (OVHYLHU 6FLHQWLF 3XEOLVKHU
1HWKHUODQGV
'DYLG0$GYDQFHG$SSOLHG2UH5HVHUYH(VWLPDWLRQ'HYHORSPHQWV
in Geomathematics S (OVHYLHU 6FLHQWLF 3XEOLVKHU
1HWKHUODQGV
'HQL] 9 5HODWLRQVKLSV EHWZHHQ %RQGV JULQGDELOLW\ DQG
EUHDNDJHSDUDPHWHUVRIJULQGLQJNLQHWLFRQOLPHVWRQHSUHVHQWHG
WRWK,QWHUQDWLRQDO0LQLQJ&RQJUHVVDQG([KLELWLRQ7XUNH\
'HXWVFK&90DJUL(DQG1RUUHQD.2SWLPDOJUDGHFRQWURO
XVLQJJHRVWDWLVWLFVDQGHFRQRPLFVPHWKRGRORJ\DQGH[DPSOHV
SME Transactions
'LPLWUDNRSRXORV 5 DQG /XR ; *HQHUDOL]HG VHTXHQWLDO
*DXVVLDQ VLPXODWLRQ RQ JURXS VL]H DQG VFUHHQ HIIHFW
DSSUR[LPDWLRQVIRUODUJHHOGVLPXODWLRQVMathematical Geology
'RXJODV , + 5RVVL 0 ( DQG 3DUNHU + 0 ,QWURGXFLQJ
HFRQRPLFV LQ JUDGH FRQWURO WKH EUHDNHYHQ LQGLFDWRU PHWKRG
SUHVHQWHGWR60($QQXDO0HHWLQJ$OEXTXHUTXH1HZ0H[LFR
*ODFNHQ , 0 &KDQJH RI VXSSRUW E\ GLUHFW FRQGLWLRQDO EORFN
VLPXODWLRQ0DVWHUWKHVLV6WDQIRUG8QLYHUVLW\86$
*ODFNHQ,0&KDQJHRIVXSSRUWDQGXVHRIHFRQRPLFSDUDPHWHUV
IRU EORFN VHOHFWLRQ LQ Proceedings *HRVWDWLVWLFV :ROORQJRQJ
YROXPHHGV(<%DDDQG1$6FKRHOGSS.OXZHU
$FDGHPLF3XEOLVKHUV
*RGR\ 0 & ,QFUHDVLQJ SURWDELOLW\ RI VHOHFWLYH PLQLQJ
RSHUDWLRQV WKURXJK WKH XVH RI JUDGH XQFHUWDLQW\ LQ WKH JUDGH
FRQWURO RSHUDWLRQ 0DVWHU WKHVLV )HGHUDO 8QLYHUVLW\ RI 5LR
*UDQGHGR6XO%UD]LOLQ3RUWXJXHVH
*RGR\ 0 & 'LPLWUDNRSRXORV 5 DQG &RVWD - ) (FRQRPLF
IXQFWLRQVDQGJHRVWDWLVWLFDOVLPXODWLRQDSSOLHGWRJUDGHFRQWURO
in Mineral Resources and Ore Reserve Estimation: The AusIMM Guide
to Good PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
699
HOME
Planning Strategies
to Increase Project Value
T Elkington1
ABSTRACT
,W LV EHFRPLQJ PRUH FKDOOHQJLQJ IRU PLQLQJ SURMHFWV WR JDLQ IXQGLQJ 7KLV LV GXH WR D QXPEHU RI IDFWRUV LQFOXGLQJ JOREDO
HFRQRPLF XQFHUWDLQW\ OHDGLQJ WR PRUH ULJRURXV IXQGLQJ FRQGLWLRQV ORZHU JUDGH GHHSHU GHSRVLWV FKDOOHQJLQJ SURMHFW
ORFDWLRQVDQGFRPSOH[PHWDOOXUJ\WRQDPHDIHZ,QWKLVFRQWH[WWKHUHLVQRURRPIRUVXERSWLPDOLW\LQSURMHFWVWUDWHJ\(YHU\
HIIRUWPXVW EHPDGHWRQRWRQO\SUHVHQWDFDVHWKDWSURYLGHVPD[LPXPUHWXUQVEXWDOVRDGGUHVVWKHNH\ULVNVDQGSURYLGH
FRQGHQFH WR WKRVH PDNLQJ WKH LQYHVWPHQW GHFLVLRQ 7KLV SDSHU GLVFXVVHV VRPH RI WKH SODQQLQJ VWUDWHJLHV WKDW VKRXOG EH
H[SORUHGWRDFKLHYHWKLV
1. MAusIMM, Principal Consultant, Snowden, 87 Colin Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
3URMHFW IXQGLQJ LV EHFRPLQJ PRUH FKDOOHQJLQJ GXH WR WKH
JURZLQJ FRQVHUYDWLVP RI IXQGLQJ ERGLHV DQG WKHLU LQWHUHVW
LQ RQO\ ZRUOGFODVV JUHHQHOG GHSRVLWV 7KLV PHDQV WKH
GHYHORSPHQWSKDVHQRZGHPDQGVWKDWDYHU\VWURQJIXQGLQJ
SURSRVLWLRQ LV SUHVHQWHG IRU WKH SURMHFW WR EH H[HFXWHG
WKHUHIRUHWKHSURMHFWPXVWEHRSWLPLVHGWREHJLYHQWKHEHVW
FKDQFHRIVXFFHVV
7KLV SDSHU H[SODLQV VRPH RI WKH VWUDWHJLF SODQQLQJ
PHFKDQLVPVWKDWVKRXOGEHH[SORUHGWRPD[LPLVHWKHYDOXHRI
DSURMHFWDQGGHVFULEHVVRPHRIWKHH[SHULHQFHVRIWKHDXWKRU
LQDSSO\LQJWKHVHFRQFHSWV
:KDW PDNHV D SURMHFW DWWUDFWLYH" $ ZRUOGFODVV RUHERG\
DQGVWURQJFRPPRGLW\PDUNHWLVGHVLUDEOHKRZHYHUWKLVLV
RIWHQQRWWKHFDVH$SDUWIURPWKLVDSURMHFWPD\EHDWWUDFWLYH
LI DV D UHVXOW RI DQDO\VLQJ WKH IXQGLQJ SURSRVLWLRQ RIWHQ
LQ WKH IRUP RI D )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ GRFXPHQW WKH LQYHVWRU
LV FRQGHQW WKDW WKH GHVLUHG UHWXUQ RQ LQYHVWPHQW ZLOO EH
DFKLHYHG7KHUHDUHDQXPEHURIHOHPHQWVWRWKLVFRQGHQFH
)LUVWO\ D SURMHFW VKRXOG EH JHDUHG WR EULQJ IRUZDUG
UHYHQXHVDQGGHIHUZDVWHLQVXFKDZD\WKDWHDUO\FDVKRZV
DUH PD[LPLVHG $ SUR[\ IRU WKLV LV RIWHQ QHW SUHVHQW YDOXH
139$XWKRUVVXFKDV:KLWWOHKDYHTXRWHGVLJQLFDQW
LQFUHDVHV LQ WKH 139 DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK PDQLSXODWLQJ SURMHFW
VHWWLQJV DQG VWUDWHJ\ WKDW RWKHUZLVH PD\ QRW KDYH EHHQ
XQFRYHUHGZLWKWUDGLWLRQDOPHWKRGV7KHDXWKRUVH[SHULHQFH
ZLWK139PD[LPLVDWLRQLVWKDWVLJQLFDQWJDLQVDUHSRVVLEOH
EXWWKHUHDUHDQXPEHURILPSRUWDQWKXUGOHVWKDWVKRXOGEH
RYHUFRPHWRMXVWLI\WKHUHDOLVDWLRQRIVXFKJDLQV
6HFRQGO\ D SURMHFW VKRXOG RQO\ DVN IRU IXQGV WKDW ZLOO EH
SURGXFWLYHO\ VSHQW :LWK IXQGLQJ PDUNHWV EHLQJ KLJKO\
VHOHFWLYH WKH SURMHFW VKRXOG VHHN WR PD[LPLVH WKH YDOXH
UHFHLYHGUHODWLYHWRWKHIXQGVUHTXLUHG
7KLUGO\WKHLQYHVWRUVKRXOGEHFRQGHQWWKDWWKHUHTXLUHG
UHWXUQLVOLNHO\WREHDFKLHYHGWKDWLVWKHUHLVRQO\DVPDOOVHW
RISRVVLEOHIXWXUHFRQGLWLRQVWKDWZLOOUHVXOWLQSURMHFWIDLOXUH
)LQDOO\ DOO PDWHULDO EDVH FDVH DVVXPSWLRQV VKRXOG EH
VWURQJO\ VXSSRUWHG E\ HYLGHQFH VXFK DV SHUPLWV RII
DUHGXFWLRQLQSD\EDFNSHULRG
UHFHLYLQJPRUHFDVKRZVZKHQHFRQRPLFFRQGLWLRQVDUH
PRUHSUHGLFWDEOHDVVXPLQJWKDWXQFHUWDLQW\JURZVRYHU
WLPH
PRUH IXQGV EHLQJ DYDLODEOH VRRQHU WR LQYHVW LQ IXUWKHU
SURMHFWVIRUJURZWK
)RXU JHQHUDO SODQQLQJ VWUDWHJLHV DUH FRQVLGHUHG LQ WKLV
SDSHU
LQFUHDVLQJUHVRXUFHV
UHGXFLQJFRVWV
LQFUHDVLQJWKURXJKSXWRI\RXUERWWOHQHFN
H[SDQGLQJ\RXUERWWOHQHFN
7UDGLWLRQDOSODQQLQJSURFHVVHVRIWHQRYHUORRNRSSRUWXQLWLHV
WR DGG YDOXH EHFDXVH D QXPEHU RI LPSRUWDQW GHFLVLRQV DUH
WDNHQIRUJUDQWHG,QWKHDXWKRUVRSLQLRQWKLVLVQRWGHULYHG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
701
Increasing resources
Opportunity
7KH PHWDO LQ WKH JURXQG LV DQ H[FHOOHQW VRXUFH RI YDOXH
LPSURYHPHQW IRU SURMHFWV )RU )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV ZKLFK
GHFODUH DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH -25& &RGH RU HTXLYDOHQW
,QIHUUHG5HVRXUFHVFDQQRWEHLQFOXGHGLQQDQFLDOHYDOXDWLRQ
$FFRUGLQJO\ DOO UHVRXUFHV ZLWKLQ WKH PLQLQJ HQYHORSH
VKRXOGEHFRQYHUWHGWRDWOHDVW,QGLFDWHG5HVRXUFHVWDWXV$
UHFHQW VWXG\ IRXQG WKDW LQFOXVLRQ RI ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFHV LQ
WKH EXVLQHVV SODQ ZKLOH UHSUHVHQWLQJ RQO\ DSSUR[LPDWHO\
YHSHUFHQWRIWRWDORUHLQFUHDVHGWKH139E\RYHU0
7KLV FRXOG EH WKH GLIIHUHQFH EHWZHHQ SURMHFW VXFFHVV DQG
IDLOXUH &RQYHUVLRQ RI DQ ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFH ZLWKLQ WKH
SURSRVHGPLQLQJHQYHORSHKDVKLJKOHYHUDJHDVWKHVHPLQLQJ
FRVWVDUHDOUHDG\VXQN
Issues to consider
8QWLO SURYHQ WKURXJK GULOOLQJ ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFHV DUH
FODVVLHGDVVXFKEHFDXVHRILQKHUHQWXQFHUWDLQW\7KHUHIRUH
VXFKYDOXHLPSURYHPHQWVFDQQRWEHEDQNHGXQWLOWKHZRUN
LVFRPSOHWHG7KLVZLOORIWHQVHWEDFNSURMHFWWLPHOLQHV
Reducing costs
Opportunity
5HGXFLQJ FRVWV LV D FRPPRQ ZD\ WR LQFUHDVH SURMHFW YDOXH
EHFDXVHDUHGXFWLRQLQFRVWIRUWKHVDPHUHYHQXHZLOOHQKDQFH
SURMHFWHFRQRPLFV7KHEHVWDSSURDFKLQWKHDXWKRUVRSLQLRQ
IRU LGHQWLI\LQJ FRVW UHGXFWLRQ RSSRUWXQLWLHV LV WR GHYHORS
D FRVW PRGHO WKDW EUHDNV GRZQ FRVW E\ DFWLYLW\ GULOOLQJ
EODVWLQJORDGLQJKDXOLQJFUXVKLQJJULQGLQJRWDWLRQHWF
DQG W\SH IXHO ODERXU PDLQWHQDQFH FRQVXPDEOH HWF ,Q
WKLV ZD\ WKH KLJKHVW FRVW LWHPV FDQ EH HDVLO\ LGHQWLHG DQG
SULRULWLVHG IRU IXUWKHU DQDO\VLV DV WKHVH ZLOO LQGLFDWH WKH
ELJJHVWRSSRUWXQLWLHVIRULPSURYHPHQW
)RUH[DPSOHDVVXPHWKDWKDXODJHLVWKHODUJHVWFRPSRQHQW
RIWKHPLQLQJFRVW2IWKLVIXHODQGPDLQWHQDQFHZLOORIWHQ
EH WKH KLJKHVW FRVWV 7KH SODQQHU KDV OLWWOH FRQWURO RYHU
WKH FRVW RI IXHO DQG SDUWV KRZHYHU WKHVH FRVWV PD\ EH
GHFUHDVHGE\UHGXFLQJWKHKDXODJHGLVWDQFHEHWZHHQWKHSLW
DQG GHVWLQDWLRQV ZDVWH VWRFNSLOH UXQRIPLQH 7KLV FDQ
EH DFKLHYHG E\ PRYLQJ WKH GHVWLQDWLRQ FORVHU WR WKH SLW RU
E\ RULHQWDWLQJ WKH LQSLW DQG H[SLW KDXODJH WR UHGXFH F\FOH
WLPHV ,W PD\ UHTXLUH PRYLQJ UDPSV DQGRU VRPH FXWDQG
OO RI WKH QDWXUDO VXUIDFH 7R WKH H[WUHPH WKLV PD\ LQYROYH
EDFNOOLQJRISLWVRUWKHFRQVLGHUDWLRQRIDOWHUQDWLYHKDXODJH
WHFKQRORJLHVVXFKDVLQSLWFUXVKLQJDQGFRQYH\LQJRUWUROOH\
DVVLVW $ IXUWKHU EUHDNGRZQ RI FRVW E\ URXWH ZLOO IRFXV
SODQQLQJHQHUJ\RQWKHFRUUHFWURXWHV
$UHFHQWPLQHSODQUHYLHZVDZDODUJHSODQQLQJHIIRUWJRLQWR
WKHORQJKDXOVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKRUHWUDQVSRUWWRDFHQWUDOSODQW
LQ FRPSOH[ WHUUDLQ 7KLV ZDV DFKLHYHG WKURXJK VXEVWDQWLDO
FXWDQGOORIWKHQDWXUDOVXUIDFH7KLVZRUNGLGUHGXFHWKH
FRVW RI RUH KDXODJH KRZHYHU RUH KDXODJH UHSUHVHQWHG RQO\
SHUFHQWRIWKHWRWDOPLQLQJFRVW0XFKOHVVDWWHQWLRQZDV
702
SDLGWRWKHKDXODJHRIZDVWHZLWKZDVWHGXPSVEHLQJSODFHG
LQVXERSWLPDOORFDWLRQVZLWKOLWWOHWKRXJKWWRWKHKDXOURDGV
UHTXLUHG 5HFWLI\LQJ WKLV LVVXH UHGXFHG WKH PLQLQJ FRVW RI
WKHSURMHFWE\DSSUR[LPDWHO\SHUFHQWDVPXFKDVWKHRUH
KDXODJHLQWRWDO
$QRWKHU UHFHQW VWXG\ IRXQG WKDW UHDJHQWV DQG WKHLU
WUDQVSRUWDWLRQZHUHWKHODUJHVWFRPSRQHQWVRIWKHSURFHVVLQJ
FRVW 6LPLODU WR WKH PLQLQJ FRVW H[DPSOH LW LV GLIFXOW WR
LQXHQFHWKHLQSXWFRVWVKRZHYHUWKHSURMHFWWHDPIRFXVHG
RQ D QXPEHU RI DUHDV WR UHGXFH WKLV FRVW 7KHVH LQFOXGHG
WKHORFDOVRXUFLQJRIUHDJHQWVWRUHGXFHFRVWVLQFOXGLQJWKH
GHYHORSPHQWRIWKHVHVRXUFHVDOWHUQDWLYHIRUPVRILQFRXQWU\
WUDQVSRUW DQG LQYHVWLJDWLRQ RI DUHDV ZKHUH WKH TXDQWLW\ RI
UHDJHQWUHTXLUHGFRXOGEHUHGXFHGLQFOXGLQJEHQHFLDWLRQ
7KH FRPELQDWLRQ RI WKHVH HIIRUWV UHGXFHG WKH WRWDO PLQLQJ
RSHUDWLQJFRVWE\RYHUSHUFHQW
,ISRZHULVWKHGRPLQDQWFRVWDUHWKHUHDOWHUQDWLYHVRXUFHV
WKDW FRXOG EH XVHG RU HVWDEOLVKHG" $UH WKHUH DQ\ DVSHFWV RI
WKHSURFHVVWKDWFRXOGEHXWLOLVHGWRJHQHUDWHSRZHU"$UHFHQW
VWXG\ VKRZHG WKDW DOPRVW DOO WKH SURMHFWV SRZHU FRXOG EH
VRXUFHG IURP WKH DFLGJHQHUDWLRQ SURFHVV DW DOPRVW D WKLUG
RIWKHFRVWRIGLHVHOJHQHUDWHGSRZHU$QRWKHUUHFHQWSURMHFW
IRXQGWKDWSRZHUFRVWVFRXOGEHPRUHWKDQKDOYHGWKURXJK
WKHXVHRIZLQGSRZHU7KHUHDUHDOVRPDQ\DSSOLFDWLRQVRI
PLQHJHQHUDWHGK\GURSRZHU
7KHSURMHFWWHDPVKRXOGDOVRFRQVLGHUWKHUHODWLYHFRVWVSOLW
EHWZHHQ PDMRU FRVW FHQWUHV VXFK DV PLQLQJ DQG SURFHVVLQJ
$ UHFHQW SURMHFW IRXQG WKDW WKH PLQLQJ FRVWV UHSUHVHQWHG
DSSUR[LPDWHO\YHSHUFHQWRIWKHWRWDOSURMHFWFRVW(YHQD
VLJQLFDQWUHGXFWLRQLQPLQLQJFRVWZRXOGQRWLPSDFWRQWKH
RYHUDOO FRVW RI WKH SURMHFW 7KH SODQQLQJ HIIRUW UHTXLUHG IRU
WKLVLVEHWWHUVSHQWLQRWKHUDUHDV
7KH NH\ PHVVDJH LV WKDW WKURXJK IRFXVLQJ RQ NH\ FRVW
DUHDV WKH FRVW UHGXFWLRQ SURFHVV FDQ EH PRUH HIFLHQW DQG
DFKLHYDEOH
6LPLODU SULQFLSOHV FDQ EH DSSOLHG WR WKH HVWLPDWLRQ RI
JHRWHFKQLFDOVORSHDQJOHVDQGPHWDOOXUJLFDOUHFRYHULHV0RVW
HIIRUWVKRXOGEHDSSOLHGWRWKRVHDUHDVWKDWKDYHWKHODUJHVW
LPSDFWRQYDOXH)RUVORSHDQJOHVJUHDWHUDQDO\VLVVKRXOGEH
DSSOLHGWRKLJKZDOOVDVWKHVHZLOOW\SLFDOO\FDUU\WKHPDMRULW\
RIZDVWHDQGFRVW$GGLWLRQDOGULOOLQJRUPLWLJDWLRQVKRXOG
EH FRQVLGHUHG LQ WKHVH DUHDV /LNHZLVH IRU PHWDOOXUJLFDO
UHFRYHULHVPRVWHIIRUWVKRXOGEHSODFHGRQWKRVHDUHDVWKDW
DUHKLJKO\YDULDEOH
Issues to consider
8QIRUWXQDWHO\PRVWSURMHFWVH[SHULHQFHKLJKHUWKDQIRUHFDVW
FRVWV ZKHQ LQ RSHUDWLRQ ZLWK /XPOH\ VWDWLQJ WKDW
80 WR per cent RI RSHUDWLRQV RYHUHVWLPDWH HTXLSPHQW
SURGXFWLYLW\E\PRUHWKDQ per cent&RVWHVWLPDWHVVKRXOG
EHPDGHWRD3OHYHOZLWKLWEHLQJHTXDOO\OLNHO\WKDWWKHFRVW
LVXQGHUHVWLPDWHGWKDQRYHUHVWLPDWHG,IRYHU per centRI
SURMHFWVDUHKDYLQJWKLVNH\DUHDVLJQLFDQWO\XQGHUHVWLPDWHG
LWDSSHDUVWKHUHLVV\VWHPDWLFELDVLQWKHLQSXWDVVXPSWLRQV
/XPOH\SURSRVHVWKUHHSRVVLEOHH[SODQDWLRQVIRUWKLV
WHFKQLFDO GHFLHQFLHV SODQQHUV RSWLPLVP DQG GHOLEHUDWH
GHFHSWLRQ 7HFKQLFDO GHFLHQFLHV GHVFULEH XQVXSSRUWHG DQG
XOWLPDWHO\ LQDFFXUDWH DVVXPSWLRQV PDGH ZLWK UHVSHFW WR
SURGXFWLYLWLHVTXDQWLWLHVUHTXLUHGSURGXFWLRQLQHIFLHQFLHV
FRQWLQJHQFLHVDQGFRVWPRGHOOLQJ3ODQQHUVRSWLPLVPUHVXOWV
IURPDSSO\LQJEHVWSUDFWLFHHVWLPDWHVIRURSHUDWLRQVWKDWDUH
XQSURYHQ )LQDOO\ GHOLEHUDWH GHFHSWLRQ LV UHHFWHG E\ WKH
UHGXFWLRQLQFRVWVGULYHQE\RYHU]HDORXVGHYHORSHUVSODFLQJ
SUHVVXUH RQ WKH VWXG\ WHDP ZKHQ LW LV NQRZQ WKDW WKRVH
FRVWVDUHXQOLNHO\WREHDFKLHYHG7KHUHIRUHSODQQHUVPXVWEH
FDUHIXOWKDWDQ\FRVWUHGXFWLRQLVFRPSOHWHGLQDIDLUZD\
LQFUHDVLQJ WKH FRVW DVVXPLQJ WKDW WKH PDMRULW\ RI FRVWV DUH
[HG RU OLQNHG WR SRZHU 5DWKHU WKDQ UDQNLQJ EORFNV RQ
JUDGHWKH\VKRXOGEHUDQNHGRQSURWSHUXQLWRIFRQVWUDLQW
XVDJH
)RUH[DPSOHFRVWUHGXFWLRQVWKDWDUHDQWLFLSDWHGDVDUHVXOW
RIORZHUTXDQWLWLHVRIUHDJHQWVVKRXOGEHVXSSRUWHGWKURXJK
DSSURSULDWHWHVWZRUN
:LWK WKLV UDQNLQJ LQ PLQG WKH KLJKHVW SURW SHU XQLW
PDWHULDO VKRXOG EH SURFHVVHG WKURXJK WKH ERWWOHQHFN 7KLV
LV FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK /DQHV WKHRU\ IRU FXWRII JUDGH
RSWLPLVDWLRQ 7KLV ZLOO RIWHQ UHTXLUH SODFLQJ VRPH OHVV
IDYRXUDEOH PDWHULDO RQ D VWRFNSLOH IRU ODWHU SURFHVVLQJ VR
WKDWPLQLQJFDQRFFXUDWDIDVWHUUDWHWRXQFRYHUKLJKHUYDOXH
PDWHULDOLQJUHDWHUTXDQWLWLHV%RWKVWRFNSLOLQJDQGDGGLWLRQDO
PLQLQJ ZLOO LQFXU FRVW KRZHYHU LW LV WKH H[SHULHQFH RI WKH
DXWKRUWKDWWKHDGGLWLRQDOSURWGHULYHGWKURXJKSURFHVVLQJ
KLJKHUYDOXH PDWHULDO WKURXJK WKH ERWWOHQHFN VRRQHU RIWHQ
H[FHHGVWKHVHDGGLWLRQDOVXSSRUWFRVWVWRDSRLQW7KHH[WHQW
WR ZKLFK WKLV IXUWKHU PLQLQJ DQG VWRFNSLOLQJ LV MXVWLHG
GHSHQGVRQ
$Q LQWHOOLJHQW LQYHVWRU ZLOO EH DZDUH RI WKHVH LVVXHV DQG
UHO\RQUHOHYDQWEHQFKPDUNVDQGLQGHSHQGHQWTXRWDWLRQVWR
DVVHVVZKHWKHUWKHFRVWHVWLPDWHLVUHDVRQDEOH7KHHVWLPDWH
ZLOO EH YLHZHG ZLWK VFHSWLFLVP LI WKH FRVW HVWLPDWH LV ORZHU
WKDQ WKH EHQFKPDUNV UHJDUGOHVV RI ZKHWKHU WKH FRVW LV
MXVWLHG,WZLOOEHSHUFHLYHGWKDWVXFKSURMHFWVKDYHDKLJKHU
SUREDELOLW\RIQRWPHHWLQJWKHLUFRVWWDUJHWVDQGWKHEXUGHQ
ZLOO EH RQ WKH GHYHORSHU WR MXVWLI\ WKLV ORZHU FRVW $ FRVW
DERYH WKH EHQFKPDUN ZLOO EH YLHZHG DV KDYLQJ OHVV ULVN RI
QRWDFKLHYLQJWKHWDUJHWVDOEHLWDWWKHFRVWRIDORZHUEDVHFDVH
YDOXHHVWLPDWH
&DUH VKRXOG EH XVHG ZKHQ UHGXFLQJ FRVWV LQ VXFK D ZD\
WKDWRWKHUDUHDVRIWKHSURMHFWDUHLPSDFWHG6RPHH[DPSOHV
LQFOXGH
Increasing throughput
Opportunity
7KH FRQFHSW RI RSWLPLVDWLRQ W\SLFDOO\ LQYROYHV PDNLQJ
GHFLVLRQVWKDWPD[LPLVHDQREMHFWLYHIXQFWLRQZKLFKIRUPRVW
EXVLQHVVHV ZLOO EH OLQNHG WR PD[LPLVLQJ SURW VXEMHFW WR
VSHFLF FRQVWUDLQWV *ROGUDWW LQWURGXFHG WKH WKHRU\ RI
FRQVWUDLQWVZKHUHE\ZLWKLQDEXVLQHVVWKHUHLVRQO\RQHWUXH
FRQVWUDLQWRUERWWOHQHFNWKDWLVVWRSSLQJWKHJRDOIURPEHLQJ
DFKLHYHGRUPD[LPLVHG7KHUHIRUHIRFXVVKRXOGEHSODFHGRQ
PD[LPLVLQJWKHSURWWKURXJKWKHERWWOHQHFN,IWKLVLVDFKLHYHG
LQHDFKSHULRGIRUDPLQLQJEXVLQHVVWKLVZRXOGDFFRPSOLVK
WKH JRDO RI PRYLQJ FDVK RZ IRUZDUG LQ WKH VFKHGXOH DQG
KHQFHPD[LPLVLQJ139
7KHFRQVWUDLQWRUERWWOHQHFNVKRXOGEHWKHPRVWH[SHQVLYH
DVSHFW RI WKH SURMHFW WR H[SDQG 8VXDOO\ WKLV ZLOO EH WKH
SURFHVVLQJSODQWIRUDPLQLQJSURMHFW7KHFDSDFLW\RIWKHSODQW
LVRIWHQH[SUHVVHGLQWRQQHVSHUDQQXPEXWWKLVPD\QRWEH
WKHWUXHFRQVWUDLQW5DWKHUWKHFRQVWUDLQWPD\EHSURFHVVLQJ
WLPH SRZHU RU UHDJHQWV VXFK DV DFLG DPRQJVW RWKHUV 7R
PD[LPLVHSURWSULRULWLVDWLRQWKURXJKWKHERWWOHQHFNVKRXOG
EHWKHIDFWRUWKDWSURYLGHVWKHKLJKHVWSURWSHUXQLWRIWKH
FRQVWUDLQW HJ SURW SHU PLOO KRXU SURW SHU XQLW RI SRZHU
RU SURW SHU XQLW RI DFLG 9LHZLQJ FRQVWUDLQWV LQ WKLV ZD\
LQGLFDWHV WKDW D PDWHULDOV XVDJH RI WKH FRQVWUDLQW LV MXVW DV
LPSRUWDQWDVWKHPHWDOFRQWHQWRIWKHPDWHULDO
&RQVLGHUWKDWSRZHULVWKHERWWOHQHFN6RIWHUPDWHULDOWKDW
UHTXLUHVOHVVHQHUJ\FDQEHSURFHVVHGIDVWHUDQGDWORZHUXQLW
SRZHU FRVW WKDQ KDUGHU PDWHULDO WKHUHIRUH VRIWHU ORZHU
JUDGH PDWHULDO PD\ EH SUHIHUUHG WKDQ KLJKHUJUDGH KDUGHU
PDWHULDO(YHQWKRXJKWKHXQLWUHYHQXHPD\EHORZHUPRUH
WRQQHVFDQEHSURFHVVHGLQFUHDVLQJWKHWRWDOUHYHQXHZLWKRXW
703
Issues to consider
$OWKRXJKDQXPEHURISUDFWLWLRQHUVKDYHUHSRUWHGVLJQLFDQW
YDOXH HQKDQFHPHQW WKURXJK WKH SURSRVHG RSWLPLVDWLRQ
PHWKRGVWKHUHDUHDQXPEHURISUDFWLFDODVSHFWVWKDWVKRXOG
EHFRQVLGHUHGEXWDUHRIWHQRYHUORRNHG7KHVHDVSHFWVLQFOXGH
Production rate
Opportunity
$Q LQFUHDVH LQ SURGXFWLRQ UDWH LV RIWHQ D VWUDWHJ\ WR EULQJ
FDVK RZV IRUZDUG WKXV UHGXFLQJ WKH GLVFRXQWLQJ RI FDVK
RZVDVVHVVHGLQWKH139,WDOVRKDVWKHSRWHQWLDOWRUHGXFH
XQLW RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV WKURXJK H[SORLWLQJ HFRQRPLHV RI VFDOH
7KLV FRPHV DW WKH FRVW RI DQ LQFUHDVH LQ FDSLWDO UHTXLUHG WR
VWDUW WKH SURMHFW $OWHUQDWLYHO\ UHGXFLQJ SURGXFWLRQ ZLOO
UHGXFHFDSLWDOEXWSRWHQWLDOO\LQFUHDVHXQLWFRVWVDQGLQFUHDVH
GLVFRXQWLQJHIIHFWV
7KH DELOLW\ WR LPSURYH WKH OLNHOLKRRG RI SURMHFW VXFFHVV
WKURXJK SURGXFWLRQ UDWH LQFUHDVHV GHSHQGV RQ IRXU NH\
IDFWRUV
&DSLWDOSUROHGRHVWKHFDSLWDOJHWFKHDSHURQDSHUXQLW
EDVLVDVWKHFDSDFLW\LQFUHDVHV",VWKHUHDVWHSFKDQJHDWD
FHUWDLQFDSDFLW\WKDWUHVXOWVLQVZHHWVSRWV"
Economies of scale WKH JUHDWHU WKH HFRQRPLHV RI VFDOH
WKH PRUH OLNHO\ WKDW LQFUHDVHV LQ SURGXFWLRQ UDWH ZLOO
LQFUHDVH SURMHFW DWWUDFWLYHQHVV $ UHFHQW SURMHFW VKRZHG
WKDWXQLWFRVWVFRXOGEHKDOYHGWKURXJKDTXDGUXSOLQJRI
704
SURFHVVLQJUDWH7KLVLQWXUQUHGXFHGWKHFXWRIIJUDGHDQG
HQDEOHGPRUHPDWHULDOWREHHFRQRPLFDOO\SURFHVVHG
*UDGHSUROHRIWKHSURMHFWSODQWFDSDFLW\VKRXOGRQO\EH
DGGHG IRU PDWHULDO WKDW PDNHV D UHDVRQDEOH HFRQRPLF
UHWXUQ 0DWHULDO WKDW SURYLGHV D SURW RI VD\ W LV
XQOLNHO\ WR VXSSRUW FDSLWDO H[SDQVLRQ ,I WKH PDMRULW\ RI
PDWHULDO LV PDNLQJ TXDOLW\ UHWXUQV RI VD\ JUHDWHU WKDQ
WDIWHUWKHFRVWVRISURFHVVLQJH[SDQVLRQZLOOPRUH
OLNHO\EHMXVWLHG
Available mining capacity ZLOOWKHPLQHEHDEOHWRVXSSRUW
DQH[SDQGHGSURMHFW"
Issues to consider
$ FRPPRQ PLVWDNH PDGH E\ GHYHORSHUV FRPSOHWLQJ
)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHVLVWRQRWFRQVLGHUWKHPD[LPXPIXQGLQJ
FDSDELOLW\RIWKHSURMHFWDWDQHDUO\VWDJH)XQGLQJLVXVXDOO\
YLHZHGDVVRPHWKLQJWRFRQVLGHUODVW2IWHQDODUJHSURGXFWLRQ
UDWHZLOOEHVHOHFWHGZLWKRXWFRQVLGHULQJWKHDELOLW\WRUDLVH
WKHFDSLWDORQO\WRQGWKDWWKHVWUDWHJ\DQGKHQFHSURMHFW
GHVLJQQHHGVWREHFKDQJHGDWWKHODVWPRPHQW7KLVUHVXOWV
LQVWXG\WLPHDQGFRVWGHOD\VWKDWFRXOGKDYHEHHQDYRLGHG
$ FRPPRQ FRPSURPLVH LV WR SODQ IRU D VWDJHG SURMHFW
H[SDQVLRQ ZKHUHE\ WKH SURMHFW VWDUWV VPDOO WR PLQLPLVH
FDSLWDO FRVWV DQG WKHQ H[SDQGV ZKHQ WKH SURMHFW LV DEOH WR
VXSSRUWWKHFDVKRZV
DISCUSSION
*ROGUDWW VWDWHV WKDW WKH ODVW DYHQXH WR LQFUHDVLQJ
YDOXHVKRXOGEHWRH[SDQGWKHERWWOHQHFNDVLWSURYLGHVWKH
OHDVWOHYHUDJHLQFUHPHQWDOO\ORZHUYDOXHDQGLQFUHPHQWDOO\
KLJKHUULVN2QHRIWKHPRVWLPSRUWDQWTXHVWLRQVWRDQVZHU
LQWU\LQJWRLQFUHDVHYDOXHZLWKRXWDGGLQJULVNLVZKDWFDQ
EH GRQH ZLWKRXW VSHQGLQJ VLJQLFDQW FDSLWDO" 7KLV RSHQV
XSDQHZDQGFUHDWLYHZD\RIWKLQNLQJ2IWHQWKHDQVZHUWR
WKLV TXHVWLRQ FDQQRW EH TXDQWLHG GXH WR D ODFN RI GDWD RU
DQDO\VLV 7KLV LV DQ LPSRUWDQW XQGHUVWDQGLQJ LQ LWVHOI DQG
VKRXOGEHXVHGWRJXLGHWHVWZRUNDQGLQYHVWLJDWLRQ
7KHNH\WRDGGLQJYDOXHLVPRVWRIWHQWKHGHOLEHUDWHGHVLJQ
RIODWHQWRUVSULQWFDSDFLW\([DPSOHVRIWKLVODWHQWFDSDFLW\
LQFOXGHH[FHVVPLQLQJFDSDFLW\DGGLWLRQDORWDWLRQFHOOVDQG
D ODUJHUWKDQUHTXLUHG FUXVKHU JHQHUDOO\ D VPDOO H[FHVV IRU
WKRVH FDSLWDO HOHPHQWV WKDW DUH QRW DV H[SHQVLYH WR H[SDQG
DV WKH ERWWOHQHFN :LWKRXW ODWHQW FDSDFLW\ RU WKH DELOLW\ WR
DFFHVV LW PDQ\ RI WKH RSWLRQV DYDLODEOH WR DGG YDOXH ZLOO
GLVDSSHDU )XUWKHUPRUH FRQVLGHU WKLV ODWHQW FDSDFLW\ DV D
ULVNPLWLJDWLRQWRROWKDWHQDEOHVWKHERWWOHQHFNWREHIHGDWDOO
WLPHV ,I VXIFLHQW FDSDFLW\ LV QRW DYDLODEOH ERWWOHQHFNV FDQ
ZDQGHUDQGSURGXFWLYLW\ZLOOUHGXFH
:KLOHWKLVSDSHUKDVIRFXVHGRQH[SORULQJZD\VWRLQFUHDVH
139LWLVUHFRJQLVHGWKDWWKLVLVQRWWKHRQO\FRQVLGHUDWLRQQRU
GRHV LW QHFHVVDULO\ LQFRUSRUDWH DOO LPSRUWDQW LVVXHV UHODWLQJ
WRDSURMHFW8VXDOO\WKHVHRWKHULVVXHVZLOOEHTXDOLWDWLYHLQ
QDWXUH6RPHH[DPSOHVLQFOXGHEXWDUHQRWOLPLWHGWR
WKHFRVWRISK\VLFDOO\PRYLQJDYLOODJHWRFDWHUIRUPLQLQJ
ZKLFK FDQ EH TXDQWLHG EXW WKH UHSXWDWLRQDO LPSDFW LV
GLIFXOWWRPHDVXUH
FRQFHUQV WKDW FHUWDLQ PLQLQJ PHWKRGV PD\ WKUHDWHQ WKH
SHUPLWWLQJRIWKHPLQHLPSDFWLVGLIFXOWWRTXDQWLI\
FRQFHUQV ZLWK LPSOHPHQWLQJ D QHZ WHFKQRORJ\ WKDW KDV
QRWEHHQZLGHO\SURYHQHOVHZKHUHLQWKHLQGXVWU\
,I WKH KLJKHVW 139 VROXWLRQ LV DOLJQHG WR DOO TXDOLWDWLYH
LVVXHV WKH KLJK 139 VROXWLRQ VKRXOG EH VHOHFWHG KRZHYHU
LI WKHUH LV D VLWXDWLRQ ZKHUH WKH TXDOLWDWLYH LVVXH LV QRW
DOLJQHG WR WKH KLJKHVW 139 VROXWLRQ D WUDGHRII PXVW EH
PDGH)LJXUH,WLVQRWJRRGHQRXJKWRMXVWEOLQGO\VHOHFW
WKH KLJKHVW 139 VROXWLRQ EXW QRW XQGHUVWDQG ZKDW 139
ZRXOG EH ORVW WKURXJK VDWLVI\LQJ WKH LPSRUWDQW TXDOLWDWLYH
LVVXH,IWKHGLIIHUHQFHLVVPDOOWKHVROXWLRQWKDWVDWLVHVWKH
TXDOLWDWLYHLVVXHVKRXOGEHVHOHFWHG,IWKHGLIIHUHQFHLVODUJH
DGHFLVLRQVKRXOGEHPDGHDWWKHRZQHUOHYHOKRZHYHUWKH
GHQLWLRQRIVPDOODQGODUJHLQWKLVFRQWH[WLVUHODWLYHWRWKH
RSLQLRQRIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNHU
DQGWKLVLVDSHUIHFWO\DFFHSWDEOHRXWFRPH:KHQWKLVLVWKH
FDVHLWLVLPSRUWDQWWRPDNHDGHFLVLRQDQGPRYHRQWRWKRVH
LVVXHV WKDW ZLOO KDYH D VLJQLFDQW LPSDFW RQ WKH SURMHFW $
UHSULRULWLVDWLRQRIGHFLVLRQVZLOOIUHHXSWLPHWRIRFXVRQWKH
DUHDVPHQWLRQHGLQWKLVSDSHU
CONCLUSIONS
7KHUHDUHRIWHQPDQ\RSSRUWXQLWLHVWRLQFUHDVHWKHYDOXHRI
PLQLQJ SURMHFWV WKDW DUH HLWKHU LJQRUHG LQ RUGHU WR H[SHGLWH
WKH SURMHFW RU VLPSO\ QRW FRQVLGHUHG *LYHQ WKDW PLQLQJ
SURMHFWV DUH EHFRPLQJ PRUH PDUJLQDO DQG IXQGV PRUH
GLIFXOWWRDFFHVVGHYHORSHUVZLOOQHHGWRSXUVXHVRPHRIWKH
WKLQJVGLVFXVVHGLQWKLVSDSHULQWKHIXWXUHWRLPSURYHWKHLU
OLNHOLKRRGRIVXFFHVV
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRU ZRXOG OLNH WR WKDQN WKH VWDII DW 6QRZGHQ IRU
UHYLHZLQJWKLVSDSHUDQGSURYLGLQJLGHDV
REFERENCES
*ROGUDWW(The Goal1RUWK5LYHU3UHVV
/DQH.7KH(FRQRPLF'HQLWLRQRI2UH0LQLQJ-RXUQDO%RRNV
/RQGRQ
705
HOME
1. MAusIMM, previously: Principal Resource Geologist, Gold Fields Australasia Pty Ltd.
2. MAusIMM, previously: Geology Manager, Gold Fields St Ives Gold Mine.
3. Senior Geologist: Resource Development, Gold Fields St Ives Gold Mine, PO Box 359, Kambalda WA 6442. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KH 6W ,YHV JROG GHSRVLWV DUH ORFDWHG DERXW NP VRXWK RI
.DOJRRUOLH RXWVLGH WKH VPDOO PLQLQJ WRZQ RI .DPEDOGD LQ
:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLD)LJXUH7KHVLWHH[WHQGVRYHUNPDQG
FRYHUVDQDUHDRIDSSUR[LPDWHO\KD
SDUDPHWHUVDUHLPSURYHGWKHPLQHUHGXFHVSURGXFWLRQULVNV
ZKLOHKLJKOLJKWLQJDUHDVIRULPSURYHPHQW
,WLVFXUUHQWO\WKHIRXUWKODUJHVWJROGPLQHLQ$XVWUDOLDDQG
KDG0R]LQ5HVRXUFHDQG0R]LQ5HVHUYHDVRI-DQXDU\
*ROG )LHOGV $V DW 0DUFK WKHUH DUH IRXU
XQGHUJURXQGPLQHVDQGWKUHHRSHQSLWPLQHVLQSURGXFWLRQ
WKDWIHHGDVLQJOHPLOO$KHDSOHDFKSURFHVVLQJIDFLOLW\ZDV
GHFRPPLVVLRQHG LQ 'HFHPEHU 7KHUH DUH VHYHQ PDMRU
JROGPLQHPLQLQJDUHDV&DYH5RFNV,QWUHSLG*UHDWHU6DQWD
$QD *UHDWHU 5HYHQJH 9LFWRU\ $UJR$WKHQD+DPOHW DQG
-XQFWLRQ
Mining history
707
WRWKHWUDFHRIWKHDQWLFOLQDOD[LV0DQ\RIWKHJROGGHSRVLWV
DW6W,YHVDUHKRVWHGE\IDXOWVDQGVKHDU]RQHV0LQHUDOLVDWLRQ
W\SLFDOO\ RFFXUV ZKHUH WKHVH VWUXFWXUHV LQWHUVHFW IDYRXUDEOH
URFNXQLWVZLWKFKHPLFDORUUKHRORJLFDOFRQWUDVWVFRPELQHG
ZLWK VWUXFWXUDO H[XUHV WR IRUP WKH PRVW LPSRUWDQW ORFDO
FRQWUROV WR PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ 1JX\HQ 'RQDOGVRQ DQG (OOHU\
2UHKRVWLQJ VWUXFWXUHV LQ GHSRVLWV VXFK DV *UHDWHU
5HYHQJH1JX\HQ et al1RUWK2UFKLQ$UJRDQGPXFK
RIWKH9LFWRU\DUHDDUHSUHGRPLQDQWO\QRUWKVRXWKVWULNLQJ
PRGHUDWHO\ WR JHQWO\ HDVWGLSSLQJ RU ZHVWGLSSLQJ UHYHUVH
IDXOWVDQGVKHDU]RQHV,QWKH*UHDWHU5HYHQJHDUHDWKH3OD\D
)DXOWDQG'HOWD6KHDU=RQHERUGHUWKHQRUWKVRXWKVWULNLQJ
RUH]RQHV)LJXUHVDQG
Stratigraphy
7KH VWUDWLJUDSKLF VXFFHVVLRQ LQ WKH .DPEDOGD 'RPDLQ
FRPSULVHV .DOJRRUOLH *URXS YROFDQLF URFNV DQG WKH %ODFN
)ODJ*URXSIHOVLFYROFDQLFDQGVHGLPHQWDU\URFNVRYHUODLQE\
WKHSRVWWHFWRQLF0HURXJLO%HGVXQLW)LJXUH$VZDUPRI
3URWHUR]RLF G\NHV FXWV HDVWZHVW WKURXJK WKH UHJLRQ DQG LV
WKHRQO\URFNXQLWWKDWGRHVQRWFRQWDLQJROGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
Mineralisation
BACKGROUND
Geology
Regional geology
6W ,YHV LV ZLWKLQ WKH .DPEDOGD 'RPDLQ D VXEVHW RI WKH
1RUVHPDQ:LOXQD *UHHQVWRQH %HOW )LJXUH 7KLV EHOW LV
GRPLQDWHG E\ ca *D YROFDQRVHGLPHQWDU\ DVVHPEODJHV
PDGH XS RI SUHGRPLQDQWO\ PDF DQG XOWUDPDF ODYDV DQG
LQWUXVLYH URFNV 7KH .DPEDOGD 'RPDLQ LV ERXQG E\ WKH
QRUWKQRUWKZHVWWUHQGLQJ%RXOGHU/HIUR\)DXOWDQG=XOHLND
6KHDU7KHUHJLRQKDVXQGHUJRQHIRXUFRPSUHVVLRQDOHYHQWV
SUHGDWHGE\HDUO\H[WHQVLRQDQGKDVEHHQPHWDPRUSKRVHGWR
XSSHU JUHHQVFKLVW DQG ORZHU DPSKLEROLWH IDFLHV :DWFKRUQ
Local geology
Structural geology
7KH PDLQ VWUXFWXUDO IHDWXUH RI WKH 6W ,YHV DUHD LV WKH JHQWO\
VRXWKSOXQJLQJ .DPEDOGD $QWLFOLQH ZKLFK H[WHQGV NP
IURPWKHVRXWKHQGRIWKH.DPEDOGD'RPHWRWKH-XQFWLRQ0LQH
)LJXUH7KHPDMRULW\RINQRZQJROGGHSRVLWVDUHSUR[LPDO
708
Alteration
$OWHUDWLRQ YDULHV EHWZHHQ HDFK GHSRVLW KRZHYHU PDQ\ RI
WKH GHSRVLWV SDUWLFXODUO\ LQ WKH *UHDWHU 5HYHQJH DUHD KDYH
DEXQGDQW DOELWHS\ULWHELRWLWH DOWHUDWLRQ VXUURXQGLQJ D
FHQWUDOTXDUW]YHLQ)LJXUH3UR[LPDOWRWKLVKLJKLQWHQVLW\
DOWHUDWLRQ LV D WR P ZLGH KDOR RI FKORULWH DOWHUDWLRQ
VXUURXQGLQJWKHRUH]RQHV
Mining
*ROGPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDW6W,YHVLVPLQHGYLDDQXPEHURIRSHQ
SLW DQG XQGHUJURXQG PHWKRGV ZLWK GHSWKV UDQJLQJ IURP
WRP
2SHQ SLW PLQLQJ E\ FRQYHQWLRQDO GULOO DQG EODVWWUXFN
DQGH[FDYDWRULVHPSOR\HGDWDOORSHQSLWV*UDGHFRQWURO
LV E\ LQFOLQHG UHYHUVH F\FOH 5& GULOOLQJ RYHU a P DW
D VSDFLQJ DQG RULHQWDWLRQ WR VXLW LQGLYLGXDO RUHERG\
FKDUDFWHULVWLFV0LQLQJEHQFKHVYDU\IURPWRPDQGDUH
H[FDYDWHG LQ LWFKHV RI P DOWKRXJK LWFK KHLJKW ZLOO
YDU\DFFRUGLQJWRRUHERG\JHRPHWU\DQGPLQLQJPHWKRG
2UH LV PLQHG VHOHFWLYHO\ WR FXWRIIV DQG VHJUHJDWHG LQWR
JUDGHUDQJHVDVUHTXLUHGWREDODQFHWKHRUHSURGXFWLRQDQG
SURFHVVLQJFDSDFLWLHVRQVLWHDQGPD[LPLVHFDVKRZIURP
RSHUDWLRQV
8QGHUJURXQG PLQHV DW 6W ,YHV DUH FRPPRQO\ H[WHQVLRQV
RI RSHQ SLW PLQHV 0LQHV DUH DFFHVVHG YLD GHFOLQHV ZLWK
Interpreting Long-Term Mine to Mill Trends at St Ives Gold Mine|J Donaldson, C Ferguson and E Murray-Hayden
FIG 2 - Regional geology of the Western Australian North Eastern Goldfields showing some of the major gold deposits.
RUH GULYHV GHYHORSHG WR DFFHVV WKH RUH DQG IXWXUH VWRSLQJ
SURGXFWLRQ DUHDV 0LQLQJ PHWKRGV DUH PHFKDQLVHG DQG
DUH W\SLFDOO\ FRQGXFWHG E\ ORQJKROH RSHQ VWRSLQJ /+26
ZLWK VXERUGLQDWH FXWDQGOO DQG URRPDQGSLOODU IRU WKH
VKDOORZHUGLSSLQJRUHERGLHV
Processing
7KH/HIUR\PLOOZDVFRPPLVVLRQHGLQVRRQDIWHUWKH*ROG
)LHOGVSXUFKDVHZLWKDFDSDFLW\WRSURFHVV0WRIJROGRUH
HDFK \HDU WKURXJK FUXVKLQJ JULQGLQJ JUDYLW\ VHSDUDWLRQ
OHDFK DQG DGVRUSWLRQ JROG SRXULQJ DQG WDLOLQJV GLVSRVDO
)LJXUH ,W LV FDSDEOH RI SURGXFLQJ RYHU R]D DW
DQDYHUDJHPHWDOOXUJLFDOUHFRYHU\RIDERXW per cent7KH
GHFRPPLVVLRQHG KHDS OHDFK SURFHVVLQJ IDFLOLW\ DW 6W ,YHV
FRPSULVHG D 0WD WKUHHVWDJH FUXVKLQJ SODQW RYHUODQG
FRQYH\RU DQG VWDFNLQJ V\VWHP DV ZHOO DV D JROG UHFRYHU\
SODQW7KHFLUFXLWWUHDWHGWKHORZJUDGHRUHWRSURGXFHDERXW
R]DQQXDOO\
Reconciliation terminology
$ UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ GRFXPHQW KDV EHHQ SURGXFHG IRU WKH VLWH
WKDWRXWOLQHVWKHDLPDQGSXUSRVHRIUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ,WGHQHV
WKHWHUPLQRORJ\XVHGLQPRQWKO\UHSRUWLQJDQGH[SODLQVWKH
FDOFXODWLRQVXVHGIRUPRQWKO\UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV
Reconciliation
$W6W,YHVUHFRQFLOLDWLRQLVGHVFULEHGDVWKHDFWRIFRPSDULQJ
YDULRXV PHDVXUHV RI SURGXFWLRQ ZLWK WKH DLP RI PDNLQJ
WKHP FRQVLVWHQW ,W DOORZV WKH PHDVXUHPHQW RI DFWXDO
SHUIRUPDQFH DJDLQVW SUHGLFWHG SHUIRUPDQFH DQG DVVLVWV LQ
LPSURYLQJSUHGLFWLRQVRI0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVIRUEXGJHWVDQG
IRUHFDVWV7KURXJKTXDOLW\UHFRQFLOLDWLRQVZHFDQDQDO\VHWKH
SHUIRUPDQFH RI WKH PRGHOOHG LQYHQWRU\ DQG JUDGH FRQWURO
EORFN PRGHOV DV ZHOO DV WKH UHVHUYH DQG JUDGH FRQWURO
GHVLJQV 0LQLQJ TXDOLW\ FDQ EH HVWDEOLVKHG DV GLOXWLRQ DQG
UHFRYHU\DUHDQDO\VHGDQGLPSURYHPHQWSURFHVVHVLQLWLDWHG
$Q\PHWDOOXUJLFDOLVVXHVVXFKDVEOHQGDQGUHFRYHU\FDQDOVR
EHDGGUHVVHG
Planned dilution
3ODQQHGGLOXWLRQLVGHQHGDVDQ\PDWHULDOEHORZFXWRIIWKDW
ZLOOEHPLQHGDVDUHVXOWRIWKHPLQLQJPHWKRGDQGGHVLJQ
,WLVFRPPRQLQERWKRSHQSLWRUHEORFNVDQGXQGHUJURXQG
VWRSHV,QWKHVFKHPDWLFH[DPSOH)LJXUHDQRSHQSLWRUH
EORFNFRQWDLQVSODQQHGGLOXWLRQLQWKHIRUPRIPDWHULDOEHLQJ
LQFOXGHGLQWKHRUHEORFNWKDWLVEHORZWKHFXWRIIJUDGHIRUWKH
PDWHULDOW\SH,QWKLVFDVHWKHUHGEORFNVVKRZWKHSODQQHG
GLOXWLRQ LQ WKH IRUP RI PLQHUDOLVHG PDWHULDO EHORZ FXWRII
ZKLOHWKHZKLWHEORFNVLQGLFDWHWKHSUHVHQFHRIXQPLQHUDOLVHG
PDWHULDO ZLWKLQ WKH GHVLJQ ,Q WKLV H[DPSOH WKH PDWHULDO
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
709
FIG 3 - The geology of the St Ives Gold Mine (10 km squares). Note the regional Boulder-Lefroy and Zulieka Shear Zones bounding the area, the folding
of rocks around the south plunging Kambalda Anticline in the main corridor and the proximity of many of the deposits to the Playa Shear Zone.
EHORZ FXWRII LV VPDOOHU WKDQ WKH HTXLSPHQW DYDLODEOH DQG
ZRXOGEHLQHIFLHQWWRPLQHVHSDUDWHO\IURPWKHEORFN
Unplanned dilution
8QSODQQHG GLOXWLRQ LV GHVFULEHG DV EHLQJ PDWHULDO PLQHG
RXWVLGH WKH RUH EORFN GHVLJQ WKDW LV EHORZ FXWRII $JDLQ
LW LV FRPPRQ LQ ERWK XQGHUJURXQG DQG RSHQ SLW PLQLQJ ,W
FDQEHWKHUHVXOWRIKDQJLQJZDOOIDLOXUHLQDQXQGHUJURXQG
VWRSHRUSRRUH[FDYDWRUGLJJLQJSUDFWLFHVLQDQRSHQSLW7KH
VFKHPDWLF H[DPSOH )LJXUH IURP DQ XQGHUJURXQG VWRSH
VKRZVDFDYLW\PRQLWRULQJVXUYH\LQPDURRQSORWWHGDJDLQVW
WKHGHVLJQLQEOXH
710
Mining recovery
7KH PLQLQJ UHFRYHU\ LV WKH FRPSDULVRQ RI PHWDO DFWXDOO\
PLQHG DJDLQVW WKH PHWDO WKDW ZDV SODQQHG WR EH PLQHG
1HJDWLYH UHFRYHU\ UHVXOWV LQ XQSODQQHG RUH ORVV VXFK DV
EULGJLQJRUXQGHUEUHDN)LJXUHLQDQXQGHUJURXQGVWRSH
RU QRW PLQLQJ WR WKH GHVLJQ LQ DQ RSHQ SLW 5HFRYHU\ PD\
EH SRVLWLYH LI WKH DGGLWLRQDO PDWHULDO PLQHG LV PLQHUDOLVHG
7KLV UHFRYHU\ LV QRW WR EH FRQIXVHG ZLWK PLOO PHWDOOXUJLFDO
UHFRYHULHV
$V SDUW RI WKH JUDGH FRQWURO GHVLJQ SURFHVV WKH DPRXQW
RI SODQQHG GLOXWLRQ FDQ EH DFFXUDWHO\ FDOFXODWHG XVLQJ WKH
JUDGHFRQWUROEORFNPRGHOKRZHYHULQWKHFDVHRIXQSODQQHG
Interpreting Long-Term Mine to Mill Trends at St Ives Gold Mine|J Donaldson, C Ferguson and E Murray-Hayden
FIG 4 - Geological understanding of the Greater Revenge Area has evolved as each structure has been mined. Although
there are many mineralised orientations, the predominant orientation is northsouth striking dipping both east and west.
FIG 5 - Eastwest cross-section of the geology of the Greater Revenge area outlining the mineralised shear zones,
bounded by the Delta Shear zone in the west and Playa Fault in the east (50 m squares).
GLOXWLRQLWLVXQFOHDUZKHUHDGGLWLRQDOPDWHULDOZDVVRXUFHG
LQ PDQ\ FDVHV 7KLV LV SDUWLFXODUO\ WKH FDVH LQ RSHQ SLWV DV
LW PD\ EH IURP WKH HGJHV RI WKH RUH EORFNV RU IURPGLJJLQJ
GHHSHUWKDQGHVLJQHG7KLVLVRQHRIWKHUHDVRQVRUHVSRWWHUV
DUH HPSOR\HG LQ RSHQ SLWV WR HQVXUH WKH KLJKHVW TXDOLW\
GLJJLQJSUDFWLFHVDUHPDLQWDLQHG
Monthly reporting
(QGRIPRQWKUHSRUWLQJDQGUHFRQFLOLDWLRQLVDYLWDOFRPSRQHQW
RIWKHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQSURFHVVDVLWDOORZVWKHFRPSDULVRQRIWKH
FODLPHGWRDFWXDOSURGXFWLRQRIERWKWRQQHVDQGRXQFHVIURP
DOOWKHGLIIHUHQWVRXUFHV7KHWRQQDJHIDFWRULVWKHFRPSDULVRQ
RIWKHPLOOHVWLPDWHRIWRQQDJHFUXVKHGWKDWLVZHLJKHGRQ
FDOLEUDWHG FRQYH\RU ZHLJKWRPHWHUV YHUVXV WKH FODLP RI WKH
GHOLYHUHGWRQQDJHVWRWKHPLOOVWRFNSLOHV7KHFODLPWRQQDJHV
DUHFDOFXODWHGE\WKHKDXODJHGHSDUWPHQWXVLQJ/RDGULWHVRQ
ORDGHUV
$ PLOOHVWLPDWHRIWRQQDJHFUXVKHG
% FODLPHG WRQQDJH WR PLOO UXQRIPLQH 520 VWRFN
FKDQJHV
Tonnage call factor = A/BH[SUHVVHGDVDSHUFHQWDJH
7KHPHWDOFDOOIDFWRU0&)LVWKHFRPSDULVRQRIWKHDFWXDO
PLOOSURGXFHGPHWDODJDLQVWWKHFODLPRIPHWDOGHOLYHUHGWR
WKHPLOOVWRFNSLOHVIRUWKHPRQWKE\HDFKPLQH
$ DFWXDOPLOO$X $XSURGXFHG$XLQFLUFXLW$XWDLOV
% FODLPHG$X $XGHOLYHUHGWRPLOO520VWRFNFKDQJHV
Metal call factor = A/BH[SUHVVHGDVDSHUFHQWDJH
6W ,YHV UHFRQFLOHV WRQQHV RXQFHV DQG JUDGH DFURVV DOO
VWDJHV RI WKH PLQHWRPLOO SURFHVV (DFK PLQH FRPPHQFHV
DV DQ H[SORUDWLRQ LQYHQWRU\ PRGHO ZKLFK HYROYHV IURP
HDUO\H[SORUDWLRQVWDJHVWRDIXOORSHUDWLQJSURGXFWLRQXQLW
7KH LQLWLDO JHRORJLFDO DQG UHVRXUFH PRGHO LV V\VWHPDWLFDOO\
HYDOXDWHGDQGRSWLPLVHGDVSDUWRIPLQLQJHQJLQHHULQJGHVLJQ
DQG VFKHGXOHV ZLWK FRPSOHPHQWDU\ QDQFLDO PRGHOOLQJ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
711
FIG 6 - Stratigraphic column of St Ives showing local gold deposit positions schematically.
FIG 7 - Ounces mined per host rock.
712
Interpreting Long-Term Mine to Mill Trends at St Ives Gold Mine|J Donaldson, C Ferguson and E Murray-Hayden
P
FIG 8 - The W45 lode within the Revenge underground. The central quartz vein and albite-pyrite alteration are
typical of the mineralisation of the Greater Revenge Area.
GLOXWLRQ LV WKHQ TXDQWLHG RQFH WKH EORFN KDV EHHQ PLQHG
DQG KRLVWHG WR VXUIDFH 7KLV TXDQWLFDWLRQ LV DFKLHYHG E\
FRPSDULQJGHVLJQHGWRQQHVWRDFWXDOWRQQHVPLQHG)XUWKHU
TXDQWLFDWLRQ RFFXUV XQGHUJURXQG DV FDYLW\ PRQLWRULQJ
VXUYH\VDUHFRPSOHWHGIRUHDFKVWRSH
(DFKPLQHZLOOKDYHVHYHUDOVWRFNSLOHVVRWKDWDQRUHSDFNDJH
RI ZHLJKWHG DYHUDJH JUDGH LV VHQW WR WKH PLOO 7KLV V\VWHP
HQVXUHV WKDW EOHQG JUDGHV WKURXJK WKH PLOO DUH FRQVLVWHQW
DQG PHWDOOXUJLFDO UHFRYHU\ LV RSWLPLVHG 7KLV GHOLYHUHG RUH
LV ZHLJKHG DQG WUDQVSRUWHG WR WKH FHQWUDOLVHG PLOO E\ URDG
WUDLQ'HOLYHUHGRUHPD\EHGLUHFWO\IHGLQWRWKHRUHFUXVKHU
RU SODFHG RQ VWRFNSLOHV WR ZDLW IRU FUXVKLQJ 7KH VWRFNSLOH
VWUDWHJ\LVFRQVLVWHQWZLWKWKHPLQHVZKHUHVHYHUDOVWRFNSLOHV
DUHFUHDWHGDQGDQRUHSDFNDJHRIZHLJKWHGDYHUDJHPDWHULDO
LVIHGLQWRWKHFUXVKHU2QFHFUXVKHGPDWHULDOLVZHLJKHGE\
DFRQYH\RUEHOWZHLJKWRPHWHUSULRUWREHLQJPLOOHG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
713
FIG 10 - An example of planned dilution in an open pit ore block design. In this case the red blocks are mineralised blocks below cut-off and
the white areas are unmineralised; however, they must be mined as planned dilution. Yellow, orange and purple blocks are above cut-off.
Grade control
FIG 11 - An underground stope design may be seen outlining the ore in pink,
while the red outline is the surveyed pick-up after mining. It shows overbreak
(unplanned dilution) and underbreak (reduced mining recovery) in an
underground scenario.
Geological understanding
8QGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH JHRORJ\ RI DQ RUHERG\ LV HVVHQWLDO LQ
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RUHIRUPLQJ SURFHVVHV DQG VSDWLDO LPSDFWV
LQ RUGHU WR SURGXFH DFFXUDWH UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQV 7KH
JHRORJ\ DW 6W ,YHV LV FRPSOH[ 7KH JUDGH DQG JHRORJLFDO
Interpreting Long-Term Mine to Mill Trends at St Ives Gold Mine|J Donaldson, C Ferguson and E Murray-Hayden
FIG 13 - New ways of conducting business through new technology and forward thinking has helped to bring the long-term metal call factor closer to target.
FRQWLQXLW\ ZLWKLQ WKH GRPLQDQW PDF URFNV LQ SDUWLFXODU
WKHGROHULWHVLOOVDUHHDVLHUWRLQWHUSUHWWKDQRWKHUURFNW\SHV
VXFKDVWKH.DSDL6ODWHRULQWUXVLYHURFNVVXFKDVWKH)ODPHV
3RUSK\U\ 7KH 0&) LV KLJKHU ZKHQ WKH PDLQ RUH VRXUFHV
DUH SUHGRPLQDQWO\ IURP PDF KRVW URFNV 7KH PDF URFNV
SDUWLFXODUO\WKHGROHULWHVDFFRXQWIRURYHU per centRIJROG
SURGXFWLRQ DW 6W ,YHV DQG DV D UHVXOW PXFK RI WKH UHVHDUFK
DQGGHYHORSPHQWVWXGLHVDWWKHPLQHIRFXVHGRQWKHVHURFN
W\SHV IXUWKHULQJ WKH XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH JHRORJ\ 5HFHQW
Preproduction process
,W LV FULWLFDO WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH JHRORJ\ RI WKH RUHERG\ DQG
WKH QDO JHRORJLFDO DQG UHVRXUFH PRGHOV PXVW FOHDUO\ GHQH
DQGSUHGLFWWKHDFWXDOVSDWLDOORFDWLRQDQGDFWXDOJUDGHSULRU
WRPLQLQJWRHQDEOHTXDOLW\PLQHGHVLJQDQGVFKHGXOHVWREH
GHYHORSHG &RVWV FDQ HVFDODWH VLJQLFDQWO\ LI XQGHUJURXQG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
715
FIG 14 - Potential explanations to the downward trend of the metal call factor.
GHYHORSPHQW LV QRW HIIHFWLYHO\ ORFDWHG 3URGXFWLRQ WDUJHWV
DQG EXGJHWV FDQ EH SXW DW ULVN LI IRU H[DPSOH RSHQ SLW
PDWHULDOLVGHHSHUWKDQH[SHFWHG)RUWKLVUHDVRQDIRUPDOLVHG
SUHSURGXFWLRQSURFHVVZDVLQLWLDWHGLQWKHXQGHUJURXQGPLQHV
DQG RSHQ SLWV 3ULRU WR PLQLQJ GHGLFDWHG PLQH GHQLWLRQ
GULOOLQJLVXQGHUWDNHQWRDGGUHVVDQGPLWLJDWHXQFHUWDLQW\LQ
RUHERG\ GHQLWLRQ DQG JUDGH 7KH VSDFLQJ RI WKLV GULOOLQJ LV
GHSHQGHQWRQWKHJHRPHWU\DQGFRPSOH[LW\RIWKHRUHERG\EXW
LQJHQHUDOLVRQDPSDWWHUQ,QWKHXQGHUJURXQGPLQHV
GHGLFDWHGGULOOGULYHVDQGFXGGLHVDUHGHYHORSHGIRUGULOOLQJ
WKH RUHERG\ HIIHFWLYHO\ GULOOLQJ KROHV OHVV WKDQ P LQ
OHQJWKDQGHQVXULQJWKDWWKHDQJOHRIWKHKROHWRWKHRUHERG\LV
DVFORVHDVSRVVLEOHWRSHUSHQGLFXODU:LWKLQWKHRSHQSLWVDFLG
PLQHGUDLQDJHDQGPHWDOOXUJLFDODQGK\GURJHRORJLFDOWHVWLQJ
LVDOVRFDUULHGRXWWRYDOLGDWHUHVHUYHDVVXPSWLRQVDVZHOODV
HQVXULQJDFFXUDF\RIORFDWLRQWRQQHVDQGJUDGHV
Ore spotting
7KHJXLGDQFHJLYHQE\PHPEHUVRIWKHJHRORJLFDOWHDPLQWKH
SLWZKLOHRUHLVEHLQJPLQHGLVDQLPSRUWDQWVWHSLQUHGXFLQJ
GLOXWLRQ 7KH RUH LQ PDQ\ RI WKH SLWV DW 6W ,YHV LV YLVXDOO\
GLVWLQFWLYHRIWHQFRQVLVWLQJRIDFHQWUDOTXDUW]YHLQDQGS\ULWH
DQGDOELWHDOWHUDWLRQ%HFDXVHRIPLQRUHUURUVLQJUDGHFRQWURO
LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV GXH WR WKH FRPSOH[LW\ RI 6W ,YHV JHRORJ\ DV
ZHOODVEODVWPRYHPHQWVRUHPD\EHRFFDVLRQDOO\REVHUYHG
RXWVLGHRIGHVLJQHGVWULQJV*HRORJLVWVDUHHQFRXUDJHGWRXVH
WKHLUVNLOOVWRDGMXVWVWULQJVLQWKHSLWDVZHOODVVSRWRUHDQG
ZDVWHFRQWDFWVHQVXULQJWKHKLJKHVWTXDOLW\PDWHULDOLVVHQW
WR WKH PLOO ZKLOH PDLQWDLQLQJ PD[LPXP PLQLQJ UHFRYHULHV
7KH\ DOVR WUDLQ SLW WHFKQLFLDQV DQG PDFKLQHU\ RSHUDWRUV WR
JXDUDQWHH EHVW SUDFWLFHV DUH PDLQWDLQHG DW DOO OHYHOV RI WKH
PLQLQJRSHUDWLRQ7KLVHQVXUHVXQSODQQHGGLOXWLRQLVNHSWWR
DPLQLPXP
JOREDOSRVLWLRQLQJV\VWHPWUDFNHGSODVWLFFRDWHGWUDQVPLWWHU
EDOOV WKURXJKRXW WKH EODVW DQG UHFRUGLQJ WKHLU SRVLWLRQ
SUH DQG SRVWEODVW 7KLV FDPSDLJQ UHVXOWHG LQ D JUHDWHU
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI RUH PRYHPHQWV LQ WKH SLWV DOORZLQJ WKH
JHRORJLVWVWRSUHGLFWZKHUHDQGKRZWKHRUHZRXOGPRYHLQ
HDFKLWFKDQGDGMXVWWKHRUHVWULQJVDFFRUGLQJO\7KRUQWRQ
6SURWW DQG %UXQWRQ 7KH SURMHFW DOVR FKDQJHG WKH
ZD\ JUDGH FRQWURO PRGHO LWFK KHLJKWV ZHUH FUHDWHG 7KLV
XQGHUVWDQGLQJ FRQWLQXHV WRGD\ ZLWK %00 RFFXUULQJ RQ D
SURMHFWEDVLVLQWKHRSHQSLWV7KURXJKDVROLGXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RI WKH EODVW PRYHPHQWV WKH RSHQ SLWV WHDP KDYH LPSURYHG
EODVWLQJ WHFKQLTXHV ZLWK UHGXFHG GLOXWLRQ DQG LPSURYHG
PLQLQJUHFRYHU\
Interpreting Long-Term Mine to Mill Trends at St Ives Gold Mine|J Donaldson, C Ferguson and E Murray-Hayden
FHUWDLQOHQJWKRIWLPHLQDVSHFLFRUGHUZLOOFUHDWHDVWRFNSLOH
ZLWK D ZHLJKWHG DYHUDJH JUDGH :KLOH WKLV VWRFNSLOH LV
EHLQJEXLOWDVHFRQGSUHYLRXVO\EXLOWVWRFNSLOHLVEHLQJIHG
)HHGLQJWKHVWRFNSLOHLQWKHGLUHFWLRQSHUSHQGLFXODUWRKRZ
LWZDVFUHDWHGKHOSVWRVPRRWKRXWJUDGHXFWXDWLRQV$IWHU
HDFKVWRFNSLOHLVGHSOHWHGPLQLUHFRQFLOLDWLRQVDUHSHUIRUPHG
WRPHDVXUHLWVSHUIRUPDQFH
Stratigraphic controls
'RZQWXUQV LQ WKH 0&) FDQ EH UHODWHG WR KRVW URFN W\SH
IRU H[DPSOH WKH PLQLQJ RI ORGHV SUHGRPLQDQWO\ KRVWHG E\
LQWUXVLYH URFNV VXFK DV WKRVH LQ WKH ,QWUHSLG DUHD 7KHVH
ORGHVDUHQDWXUDOO\YDULDEOHLQWKHLUJROGFRQWLQXLW\DQGSURYH
GLIFXOW WR HVWLPDWH ,Q UHFHQW WLPHV FDWHJRULFDO NULJLQJ KDV
EHHQXWLOLVHGWRLPSURYHHVWLPDWHVRIWKHJUDGHLQWKLVVW\OH
RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DQG WKH 0&) KDV UHVSRQGHG SRVLWLYHO\
$V GLVFXVVHG SUHYLRXVO\ WKH 0&) W\SLFDOO\ LQFUHDVHV DV
WKH SURSRUWLRQ RI PDF PDWHULDO EHLQJ PLQHG LQFUHDVHV
)LJXUH
7KH PRVW GUDPDWLF QHJDWLYH LPSDFW RQ WKH 0&) KDV EHHQ
LQWHUSUHWHGDVDUHVXOWRIPLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJQXPHURXV
PLQHVVLPXOWDQHRXVO\7KLVWKHRU\VXJJHVWV)LJXUHWKDW
WKH0&)W\SLFDOO\GHFOLQHVZLWKDQLQFUHDVHLQWKHQXPEHU
RIRUHVRXUFHVEHLQJSURFHVVHG7KHJHRORJ\DWHDFKPLQHLV
GLIIHUHQWHYHQWKRVHWKDWDUHZLWKLQWKHVDPHDUHD7KHUHDUH
VXEWOH GLIIHUHQFHV WR WKH VWUXFWXUDO KLVWRU\ PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
RUJROGHPSODFHPHQWWKDWFDQLPSDFWRQWKHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQ
RI WKH JHRORJ\ DQG UHVRXUFH PRGHO DV ZHOO DV WKH PLQLQJ
LPSDFWV IURP HDFK PLQH 7KHVH GLIIHUHQFHV FDQ WDNH WLPH
WR GHYHORS DUH RIWHQ VXEWOH DQG DUH PDVNHG E\ RWKHU
YDULDWLRQV7KH\JHQHUDOO\UHTXLUHH[WHQVLYHYDOLGDWLRQDQG
LQYHVWLJDWLRQ IURP WKH JHRORJLVWV GXULQJ ERWK WKH LQLWLDO
PLQH GHQLWLRQ DQG JUDGH FRQWURO VWDJHV &RPSUHKHQVLYH
PDSSLQJVDPSOLQJDQGYDOLGDWLRQRIPRGHOVLQFRQMXQFWLRQ
ZLWK PLQLQJ FRQWULEXWH WR LPSURYHG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ DQG
UHVROXWLRQ RI WKLV FKDOOHQJH 'XULQJ KLJKYROXPH PXOWLSOH
PLQHRSHUDWLRQSHULRGVFDSDFLW\DQGWLPHWRPDQDJHWKHVH
SURFHVVHV FDQ EH QHJOHFWHG ,Q DGGLWLRQ OHVV WKDQ RSWLPDO
UHVRXUFH PRGHOV SRRU PLQLQJ SUDFWLFHV DQG DQ LQFUHDVH
LQ GLOXWLRQ PD\ RFFXU $OO WKHVH IDFWRUV FDQ KDYH D GLUHFW
DGYHUVH LPSDFW RQ WKH PHWDO UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ DQG PHWDO
SURGXFHGLQWKHPLOO
Dilution trends
7KH FRUUHODWLRQ EHWZHHQ WRWDO GLOXWLRQ DQG 0&) WKURXJK
WLPHLQGLFDWHVWKDWDVGLOXWLRQOHYHOVLQFUHDVHWKH0&)DQG
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ GHFUHDVHV )LJXUH 'LOXWLRQ FRQWURO DQG
PDQDJHPHQW LV RQH RI WKH IXQGDPHQWDO WDVNV IRU D PLQH
JHRORJLVW DQG HQJLQHHU 7KHUH LV D FULWLFDO QHHG WR WUDFN
GLOXWLRQ RQ D GDLO\ DQG PRQWKO\ EORFNVWRSH EDVLV 7KH
PRQLWRULQJDQGDQDO\VLVRIVKRUWDQGPHGLXPWHUPGLOXWLRQ
WUHQGV FDQ WKHQ EH XVHG WR LGHQWLI\ GHYLDWLRQ DQG DGYHUVH
FIG 15 - The metal call factor (MCF) is impacted by the dominant host rock type. The yellow line
outlines the proportion of mafic to non-mafic host rock and mimics the trend of the MCF in black.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
717
FIG 16 - The effect of mining multiple lodes on the metal call factor (MCF); as the number of sources being mined increases, the MCF decreases.
FIG 17 - The effect of dilution on the metal call factor (MCF); as dilution increases, the MCF increases.
SUDFWLFHVHQDEOLQJFRUUHFWLYHDFWLRQDQGDGMXVWPHQWWREORFN
OD\RXWVWRSHGHVLJQVULQJGHVLJQVDQGEODVWLQJSUDFWLFHVWR
EHLQLWLDWHG,QWKLVZD\QHJDWLYHWUHQGVRUSURFHVVHVFDQEH
HOLPLQDWHGFRQWULEXWLQJWRLPSURYHGGLOXWLRQUHFRYHU\DQG
PLQH HFRQRPLFV 'LOXWLRQ WUDFNLQJ LV WLPHFRQVXPLQJ DQG
XQIRUWXQDWHO\ FDQ RIWHQ EH QHJOHFWHG IRU RWKHU SURGXFWLRQ
SULRULWLHV
Staff turnover
$GYHUVH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ DQG 0&) GRZQWXUQ WUHQGV KDYH
DOVR EHHQ LQ DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH F\FOLF PLQLQJ ERRPV
RIWHQ UHVXOWLQJ LQ LQFUHDVHG OHYHOV RI VWDII WXUQRYHU (DFK
JROG PLQH DW 6W ,YHV LV GLIIHUHQW ZLWK FRPSOH[ JHRORJ\ DQG
RUHERG\ EHKDYLRXU UHTXLULQJ GHWDLOHG NQRZOHGJH VNLOOV
DQG XQGHUVWDQGLQJ WR FRUUHFWO\ SUHGLFW PLQH SURFHVV DQG
UHFRQFLOH ,W FDQ WDNH WLPH WR WUDLQ XS LQGLYLGXDO JHRORJLVWV
DQGPLQLQJHQJLQHHUVLQFOXGLQJLQWHJUDWLQJWHDPVWRSHUIRUP
DQG FRPPXQLFDWH ZKLOH DGGUHVVLQJ DOO WKH ORFDO YDJDULHV
718
DQG FKDOOHQJHV RI HDFK PLQH :KHUH VWDII WXUQRYHU LV KLJK
ORFDOJHRORJLFDOXQGHUVWDQGLQJPLQHGHVLJQDQGVFKHGXOLQJ
FRXSOHGZLWKWKHORVVRIVKRUWLQWHUYDOFRQWUROPDQDJHPHQW
SUDFWLFHVDQGFRUUHFWLYHVWUDWHJLHVDUHDGYHUVHO\DIIHFWHG7KLV
UHVXOWV IURP ORZHU JHRORJLFDO DQG HQJLQHHULQJ FRQGHQFH
SRWHQWLDOO\ OHVV DFWLYH PDSSLQJ DQG JHRORJLFDO PRQLWRULQJ
DQGDQLQFUHDVHLQGLOXWLRQUHVXOWLQJLQDORZHU0&)$VWXG\
E\WKHJHRORJ\WHDPDWWKH.&*0.DOJRRUOLH&RQVROLGDWHG
*ROG 0LQHV 6XSHU 3LW VKRZV WKH QHJDWLYH LPSDFW WKDW
KLJK JHRORJLFDO VWDII WXUQRYHU KDV RQ WKH PLQHV JUDGH DQG
WRQQHVYDULDQFH&RRNHDQG)LW]JHUDOG7KLVZDVDOVR
H[SHULHQFHGDW6W,YHV
Interpreting Long-Term Mine to Mill Trends at St Ives Gold Mine|J Donaldson, C Ferguson and E Murray-Hayden
FIG 18 - The variability of the monthly metal call factor has been reduced due to improvements in metallurgical accounting methods.
FKHFNLQFKHFNRXW PHWDO DFFRXQWLQJ PHWKRG ,W LQYROYHG
SXWWLQJKLJKHUHPSKDVLVRQWKHPLOODVVD\VWREDODQFHWKHJROG
LQFLUFXLWDQGKHDGJUDGHZKLOHVWD\LQJWUXHWRWKHDPRXQWRI
PHWDO SURGXFHG DQG WKH WDLOLQJV DVVD\ JUDGH 7KLV SUDFWLFH
UHVXOWHGLQOHVVYDULDELOLW\RQDPRQWKE\PRQWKEDVLV
CONCLUSIONS
7KH 6W ,YHV *ROG 0LQH LV D FRPSOH[ PLQH ZLWK PXOWLSOH
LQGLYLGXDO VRXUFHV EHLQJ PLQHG DW DQ\ RQH WLPH IURP
XQGHUJURXQG DQG RSHQ SLW PLQHV WR KLVWRULFDO VWRFNSLOHV
8QGHUVWDQGLQJ KRZ WKH PLQH UXQV LV QRW RQO\ HVVHQWLDO RQ
D VKRUWWHUP EDVLV VXFK DV GDLO\ ZHHNO\ RU PRQWKO\ EXW
DOVRORQJWHUP6W,YHVKDVEHHQUHFRUGLQJUHFRQFLOLDWLRQGDWD
IRUDOPRVW\HDUV'XULQJWKLVWLPHPDQ\FKDQJHVLQERWK
WHFKQRORJLFDO DGYDQFHV DQG JHRORJLFDO XQGHUVWDQGLQJ KDYH
EHHQLQWURGXFHG,WLVLPSRUWDQWWKDWZHUHFRUGDQDO\VHDQG
LQWHUSUHWUHFRQFLOLDWLRQGDWDVRWKDWZKHQFKDQJHRFFXUVZH
FDQXVHRXUXQGHUVWDQGLQJWRTXLFNO\PLQLPLVHWKHQHJDWLYH
HIIHFWV DQG PD[LPLVH WKH SRVLWLYH LPSDFW RQ WKH HQG UHVXOW
WKH DPRXQW RI JROG ZH SRXU DQG LWV HIIHFW RQ WKH PLQHV
SURWDELOLW\
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRUV ZRXOG OLNH WR WKDQN *ROG )LHOGV $XVWUDOLD
/LPLWHG LQ SDUWLFXODU 0DOFROP -ROO\ IRU SHUPLVVLRQ WR XVH
WKHH[WHQVLYHFROOHFWLRQRIGDWDDW6W,YHVLQWKLVSXEOLFDWLRQ
7KLV GDWD ZRXOGQW H[LVW ZLWKRXW WKH KDUG ZRUN RI DOO WKH
JHRORJLVWV RQVLWH SDVW DQG SUHVHQW DQG WKH KLJK VWDQGDUGV
GHYHORSHGE\:0&7KDQNVDOVRWR&KULV3HGODUDQG'DYLG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
719
'RXWFKIRUKHOSZLWKJHRJUDSKLFLQIRUPDWLRQV\VWHPV*,6
DQGWRWKRVHWKDWKHOSHGZLWKPDQXVFULSWUHYLHZV
REFERENCES
&RRNH ' DQG )LW]JHUDOG 0 7KH YDOXH RI JHRORJLFDO KXPDQ
FDSLWDO LQ WKH LPSURYHPHQW DQG PD[LPLVDWLRQ RI RUH GHSRVLW
YDOXH WKH .DOJRRUOLH &RQVROLGDWHG *ROG 0LQHV H[SHULHQFH
in Proceedings Eighth International Mining Geology Conference
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
*ROG)LHOGV,QWHJUDWHG$QQXDO5HYLHZ
1JX\HQ 3 7 &R[ ) 6 +DUULV / % DQG 3RZHO & 0 )DXOW
YDOYH EHKDYLRU LQ RSWLPDOO\ RULHQWHG VKHDU ]RQHV DQ H[DPSOH
DW5HYHQJHJROG0LQH.DPEDOGD:HVWHUQ$XVWUDOLDJournal of
Structural Geology
720
HOME
Reconciliation Principles
for the Mining Industry*
H M Parker1
ABSTRACT
5HFRQFLOLDWLRQLQYROYHVWKHFROOHFWLRQRIWRQQDJHJUDGHTXDOLW\DQGFRQWDLQHGPHWDOSURGXFWGDWDIURPGLVSDUDWHDQGLGHDOO\
LQGHSHQGHQW VRXUFHV ([DPSOHV DUH H[SORUDWLRQ GDWD SURGXFWLRQ VDPSOLQJ GDWD IURP EODVWKROHV RU GUDZSRLQWV DQG SURFHVV
SODQW GDWD 7KHVH GDWD PD\ EH FRPSDUHG E\ PHDQV RI UDWLRV IDFWRUV 7KH ) IDFWRU XVXDOO\ UHODWHV VKRUWWHUP RUH FRQWURO
PRGHOWRQQDJHVJUDGHVDQGPHWDOFRQWHQWWR2UH5HVHUYHVGHSOHWHG7KH)IDFWRUXVXDOO\UHODWHVUHFHLYHGDWPLOOWRQQDJHV
JUDGHVDQGPHWDOFRQWHQWWRGHOLYHUHGWRPLOOPLQHSURGXFWLRQWRQQDJHVJUDGHDQGPHWDOFRQWHQW7KH)IDFWRULV))DQG
HQDEOHVDFRPSDULVRQRIDPLQHVDELOLW\WRUHFRYHUWKHWRQQDJHJUDGHDQGPHWDOFRQWHQWHVWLPDWHGLQ2UH5HVHUYHV7KH)IDFWRU
PHDVXUHVWKHDFFXUDF\RIRUHERG\NQRZOHGJHLQWKH2UH5HVHUYHVWRWKHGHPDUFDWLRQRIRUHDQGZDVWHE\RUHFRQWUROVKRUWWHUP
PRGHO,WPD\DOVREHXVHGWRFKHFNDQGFDOLEUDWHWKHVHOHFWLYLW\RI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHPRGHOVDQGRUSODQQHGGLOXWLRQ7KH)
IDFWRUHQDEOHVDFKHFNRQXQSODQQHGGLOXWLRQHQWHULQJWKHRUHVWUHDPEHWZHHQRUHFRQWURODQGWKHPLOO%\XVLQJWKHVHIDFWRUVLW
LVSRVVLEOHWRFDOFXODWHDPRQHWDU\YDOXHRQLPSURYHPHQWVLQWKHDFFXUDF\RIRUHERG\NQRZOHGJHVHOHFWLYLW\DQGWKHHIIHFWVRI
GLOXWLRQDQGRUHORVV5HFRQFLOLDWLRQVKRXOGEHDQLPSOLFLWSDUWRIWKHPLQLQJSURFHVVDQGUHFRQFLOLDWLRQWDUJHWVVKRXOGEHDNH\
SHUIRUPDQFHLQGLFDWRUIRUZHOOUXQPLQHV
1. FAusIMM(CP), Technical Director, AMEC, Suite 110, 961 Matley Lane, Reno Nv 89502, USA. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published in Proceedings 35th APCOM Symposium 2011, pp 47-67 (The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy: Melbourne).
INTRODUCTION
7KLV SDSHU LV DQ H[WHQVLRQ WR 3DUNHU DQG EXLOGV RQ
RYHU \HDUV RI SUDFWLFDO UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ H[SHULHQFH JDLQHG
LQ FRSSHU JROG QLFNHO DQG LURQ PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQV ORFDWHG
WKURXJKRXW WKH ZRUOG 5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ LV D NH\ SURFHVV WKDW
DOORZV GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH DELOLW\ RI D PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQ WR
SURGXFH WKH WRQQDJH JUDGH DQG FRQWDLQHG PHWDO WKDW ZHUH
HVWLPDWHG LQ WKH 2UH 5HVHUYH 7KLV SDSHU GLVFXVVHV WKH
SULQFLSOHV RI UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ DQG WKH FRPPRQO\ HQFRXQWHUHG
VRXUFHVRIHUURULQUHVHUYHRUHFRQWURODQGPLOOKHDGHVWLPDWHV
E\FRPSDULQJWKHGDWDFROOHFWHGE\PHDQVRIUDWLRVRUIDFWRUV
%HIRUH GHYHORSLQJ WKH SULQFLSOHV LW LV QHFHVVDU\ WR VHH ZK\
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ LV LPSRUWDQW $ VLPSOH H[DPSOH LV VKRZQ LQ
7DEOH LOOXVWUDWLQJ D SURGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOH DQG FDVK RZ
VWDWHPHQWIRUDFRSSHUPLQHZKHUHWKH5HVHUYHVDUHHVWLPDWHG
WRJUDGHSHUFHQWFRSSHU7KHH[DPSOHVKRZVDEDVHFDVH
DJDLQVWZKLFKWKHUHVXOWVRIUHFRQFLOLDWLRQZLOOEHFRPSDUHG
7KHFKDQJHLQFDVKRZLVWKUHHWLPHVWKHFKDQJHLQJUDGH
WKHFKDQJHLQ139LVVL[WLPHVWKHFKDQJHLQJUDGH$VPDOO
QHJDWLYHHUURUFDQFDXVHDPLQHWRPLVVLWVFDVKRZWDUJHWV
,IWKHVHSHUVLVWXQIDYRXUDEOHSUHVVUHOHDVHVPXVWEHLVVXHGWR
WKHPDUNHWSODFH)RUORQJHUWHUPSODQQLQJPLQLQJFRPSDQLHV
ZHLJK WKH 139V RI YDULRXV DOWHUQDWLYHV ZKHQ GHFLGLQJ WR
PDNHDFTXLVLWLRQVRUGHWHUPLQLQJWKHVHTXHQFHLQZKLFKWKH\
ZLOOGHYHORSWKHLUDVVHWV6XFKHUURUVPD\UHVXOWLQLQFRUUHFW
GHFLVLRQVRUHYHQSUHPDWXUHPLQHFORVXUH
2QH RI WKH JRDOV RI 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ LV WR PDNH DQ
unbiased estimate RI WKH WRQQDJH DQG JUDGH 7KLV LV VHOGRP
WUXH LQ SUDFWLFH (UURUV ZLOO RFFXU DQG WKHVH ZLOO EH UHODWHG
WRLQDFFXUDWHRUHERG\NQRZOHGJHDWWKHWLPHRI2UH5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWLRQ DQG WR WKH DVVXPSWLRQV PDGH DV WR WKH DFFXUDF\
ZLWK ZKLFK RUH LV VHOHFWHG IURP ZDVWH LQ WKH RUH FRQWURO
SURFHVV ,W LV JHQHUDOO\ DFFHSWHG WKDW LQ D EDVH PHWDOV PLQH
DQ DFFHSWDEOH DQQXDO UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ EHWZHHQ PLQH DQG PLOO
RQWRQQDJHJUDGHDQGFRQWDLQHGPHWDOZRXOGEHSHUFHQW
DQGIRUDSUHFLRXVPHWDOVPLQHDJRRGDQQXDOUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
EHWZHHQ PLQH DQG PLOO ZRXOG EH SHU FHQW (YHQ VR
LW LV XVHIXO WR H[DPLQH WKH LPSDFW RI VXFK VHHPLQJO\ VPDOO
HVWLPDWLRQ HUURUV RQ WKH FDVK RZV DQG QHW SUHVHQW YDOXHV
139VRIDQRSHUDWLRQ7KLVLVVKRZQLQ7DEOH
SOURCES OF ERROR
7R XQGHUVWDQG DQG DYRLG VRXUFHV RI HUURU LW LV XVHIXO WR
JDWKHU UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ GDWD DW YDULRXV VWDJHV RI WKH PLQLQJ
SURFHVV 7R EH YDOLG WKH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ GDWD WDNHQ IRU HDFK
VWDJH VKRXOG EH LQGHSHQGHQW DQG JHQHUDOO\ ERWK WRQQDJH
DQG JUDGH VKRXOG EH HVWLPDWHG RU PHDVXUHG 7KH FROOHFWHG
GDWDDUHDQDO\VHGLQWHUPVRIUDWLRVKHUHLQFDOOHGIDFWRUV
,QPRVWPLQHVWKHUHDUHWZRPDLQVRXUFHVRIHUURUWKDWZLOOEH
FRQVLGHUHGKHUH
LQDFFXUDF\ LQ HVWLPDWLQJ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQGRU 2UH
5HVHUYHVORQJUDQJHPRGHO
LQHIFLHQF\ LQ WKH PLQLQJ SURFHVV WR VHJUHJDWH RUH DQG
ZDVWHDVSODQQHGVKRUWUDQJHPRGHOE\WKHRUHFRQWURO
VWDII
7KH LQDFFXUDF\ LQ HVWLPDWLQJ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQGRU
2UH 5HVHUYHV LV GHWHUPLQHG E\ FRPSDULQJ GHSOHWLRQV IURP
WKHORQJUDQJHPRGHOWRWKHVKRUWUDQJHPRGHO
,QHIFLHQF\ LQ WKH PLQLQJ SURFHVV LV GHWHUPLQHG E\
FRPSDULQJ UHFHLYHGDWPLOO WRQQDJHV JUDGH DQG PHWDO
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
721
TABLE 1
Production schedule and cash flow statement for a copper mine.
Input variables
Mining ore
$/t ore
Concentrate recovery
$/t waste
Freight
$/t concentrate
50
Milling
$/t ore
Smelting
$/t concentrate
80
$/lb
Mining waste
$/t ore
Refining
Copper price
$/lb
2.5
Payable Cu
Concentrate grade
% Cu
29.00%
Year
-2
-1
90%
0.08
95%
Pounds/t
2204.62
16
10
20
20
20
20
20
20
Production schedule
Ore mined (Mt)
Waste mined (Mt)
20
40
40
40
40
40
40
10
0.60%
0.60%
0.60%
0.60%
0.60%
0.60%
0.60%
Concentrate (Mt)
0.186
0.372
0.372
0.372
0.372
0.372
0.372
Payable Cu (Mt)
0.051
0.103
0.103
0.103
0.103
0.103
0.103
Revenues
282.7
565.5
565.5
565.5
565.5
565.5
565.5
Ore mining
-20
-40
-40
-40
-40
-40
-40
Waste mining
-40
-80
-80
-80
-80
-80
-80
Milling
-50
-100
-100
-100
-100
-100
-100
-40
-80
-80
-80
-80
-80
-80
Freight
-9.3
-18.6
-18.6
-18.6
-18.6
-18.6
-18.6
Smelting
-14.9
-29.8
-29.8
-29.8
-29.8
-29.8
-29.8
Refining
-9
-18.1
-18.1
-18.1
-18.1
-18.1
-18.1
-200
-200
-200
-100
-30
-30
-30
-30
-30
-200
-200
-200
-0.5
169
169
169
169
169
199
-200
-400
-600
-600.5
-431.5
-262.6
-93.6
75.4
554.3
TABLE 2
Sensitivity of cash flow, net present value and payback to changes
in grade (0.60 per cent Cu is base case).
Cu
(%)
0.66
10
218.9
30
886.5
60
0.63
193.9
15
720.4
30
0.60
169.0
554.3
0.57
-5
144.0
-15
388.1
-30
0.54
-10
119.1
-30
222.0
-60
FRQWHQWEDVHGRQPLOOWRQQDJHPHDVXUHPHQWVDQGKHDGDVVD\V
YHUVXV GHOLYHUHGWRPLOO WRQQDJHV JUDGH DQG PHWDO FRQWHQW
EDVHGRQWKHVKRUWUDQJHRUHFRQWUROPRGHO
2WKHUVRXUFHVRIHUURUWKDWFDQEHLPSRUWDQWDUHOLVWHGKHUH
EXWZLOOQRWEHFRQVLGHUHG
IDLOXUHWRPLQHZLWKLQSODQQHGDUHDV
IDLOXUHWRPLQHDWWKHSODQQHGFXWRII
SODQWSHUIRUPDQFH
722
1964.1
7KHUHPD\EHYHU\JRRGPLWLJDWLQJFLUFXPVWDQFHVVXFKDV
FKDQJHLQPDUNHWVRUSK\VLFDOLPSHGLPHQWVVOLGHVVWRSH
GUDZSRLQW FROODSVH EXW LQ WKH ORQJ UXQ PLQHV WKDW IDLO WR
IROORZ WKH SODQ WHQG WR QG WKHPVHOYHV ZLWK D VKRUWIDOO
LQ VWULSSLQJ RU UHPQDQWV LQ 2UH 5HVHUYHV WKDW KDYH WR EH
ZULWWHQRII
5HFRQFLOLDWLRQZLWKLQWUHDWPHQWSODQWVKDVEHHQGLVFXVVHG
DWOHQJWKE\0RUULVRQ
GHSRVLWV WKH 2UH 5HVHUYH LV RIWHQ WKH WRQQDJH RI 0HDVXUHG
DQG,QGLFDWHG0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVZLWKLQDSLW
,Q GHSRVLWV ZLWK VKDUS GHFUHDVHV LQ JUDGH DW RUHZDVWH
FRQWDFWV WKH UHVRXUFH PRGHO PD\ EH DGMXVWHG WR DOORZ IRU
GLOXWLRQ DQG OHVV IUHTXHQWO\ RUH ORVV DW WKH FRQWDFW 7KHVH
DGMXVWPHQWV PD\ WDNH WKH IRUP RI DJJUHJDWLQJ VPDOO EORFNV
LQWR ODUJH EORFNV RU DGMXVWLQJ WKH JUDGHV RI RUH EORFNV E\ D
JLYHQDPRXQWDWWKHLUIDFHVZLWKVXUURXQGLQJZDVWHEORFNV
,Q XQGHUJURXQG PLQHV LW LV FRPPRQ WR GHVLJQ VWRSHV DQG
WR DSSO\ GLOXWLRQ DQG UHFRYHU\ IDFWRUV :KHUH EORFN FDYLQJ
LV XVHG FRPSOH[ VRIWZDUH VXFK DV 3&%& E\ *(29,$
'DVVDXOW 6\VWHPV LV RIWHQ XVHG WR PDNH DGMXVWPHQWV IRU
YDULRXVGHJUHHVRIPL[LQJLQWKHFDYHSUROH
7KH VKRUWUDQJH PRGHO LV FRPPRQO\ FRQVWUXFWHG XVLQJ
VDPSOHVIURPFORVHO\VSDFHGGULOOKROHVDVSDUWRIDGHGLFDWHG
JUDGH FRQWURO RU SURGXFWLRQ GULOOLQJ SURJUDP DQGRU
PDSSLQJ LQIRUPDWLRQ 7KLV LQIRUPDWLRQ LV XVHG WR GHOLQHDWH
RUH DQG ZDVWH LQ PLQHDEOH VKDSHV ,Q DQ RSHQSLW PLQH WKH
VKDSHV DUH VWDNHG LQ WKH HOG VRPHWLPHV ZLWK DGMXVWPHQW
IRU EODVW KHDYH <HQQDPDQL $TXLUUH DQG 0RXVVHW-RQHV
/D 5RVD DQG 7KRUQWRQ ,Q DQ XQGHUJURXQG
PLQHFURVVFXWVFKDQQHOFKLSVDPSOHVDQGVKRUWGULOOKROHV
FRPPRQO\GULOOHGDWDSSUR[LPDWHO\PVSDFLQJDUHXVHG
WR PDNH WKH QDO VWRSH OD\RXWV :KHUH FDYLQJ PHWKRGV DUH
XVHG GUDZSRLQW VDPSOHV DQG REVHUYDWLRQV RI OLWKRORJ\ DUH
HPSOR\HGWRGHFLGHZKHQWRVKXWRIIGUDZSRLQWV
7KH UDWLRV EHWZHHQ WRQQDJH JUDGH DQG PHWDO LQ WKH
ORQJUDQJH DQG VKRUWUDQJH PRGHOV DUH XVHG WR GHYHORS
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQIDFWRUV7KHVHDUHNQRZQDV)2DV)WRQQHV
)JUDGHDQG)PHWDO
F1 =
Received-at-mill
Delivered-to-mill
723
TABLE 3
Sources of error and likely F1 factors.
Source of error
F1 (tonnes)
F1 (grade)
F1 (metal)
Comments/remedial action
Conservative grade
shells, ore-bearing
lithologies
>1
<1
Usually the tonnage effect is greater than the grade effect, giving a positive F1 (metal). At early stages
(wide-spaced drilling), conservatism may be justified, particularly for Inferred Resources. Projection of grade
shells and favourable lithologies on two sets of orthogonal sections may help. Also, recognition of contacts,
structural, lithological or alteration controls may help in projecting further in sparsely drilled areas. The use
of grade shells may cause distortions in the grade-tonnage curve. These can be mitigated by sample sharing
at boundaries. In the end, more drilling is likely needed to upgrade orebody knowledge will increase ore
tonnage in long-range model.
>1
Over-smoothed
long-range model
<1
>1
This can be a very serious error when processing costs will be high. The long-range model incorporates too
much dilution, which ore control can segregate, with very favourable financial consequences. A stop-gap
solution is to interpolate grade using fewer samples or a high power inverse distance method. This can have
About same
a bad knock-on effect of local conditionally biased estimates. It is better to use deterministic or probabilistic
domaining or a uniform conditioning/multiple indicator kriging method. However, the best solution is to
tighten the drill spacing.
Under-smoothed
long-range model
>1
<1
About same
Domains and grade shells are too selective. Consider some mixing of samples across domain boundaries with
outlier restriction or top-cutting to control overprojection of grades.
>1
Where grade distributions are very skewed, wide-spaced drilling will undersample the high end of the
distribution. In diamond deposits, large stones may be broken. If core recovery is poor, the grade may be
underestimated; examples are chalcocite, molybdenite and gold. Plucking of soft materials may also result in
underestimation of grade.
>1, <1
In dry RC, fines may not be recovered; this may affect grade. For wet RC, fines may be washed out; gold may
be concentrated (placering). Weak high-grade zones may contaminate samples from above. Drilling practices
must be improved with mud conditioning, flocculants in buckets, better splitting, or switching to core drilling
(deep holes).
Grade effects
Reverse circulation
(RC) drilling
About same
About same
>1
>1, <1
Sloppy dig-line
layout
>1
<1, >1
Biased sampling
About same
>1
>1
Leaving remnants
<1
>1
<1
TABLE 4
Sources of error and likely F2 factors.
Source of error
F2 (tonnes)
F2 (grade)
F2 (metal)
Comments/remedial action
About same
<1
<1
Truck allocation
Either high/low
>1, <1
>1, <1
>1
<1
About same
About same
<1
<1
Blast ore and waste in opposite directions; separate ore and waste passes, remuck bays; keep waste
out of crusher; use modern dispatch system.
<1
<1
<1
Either high/low
No effect
No effect
Belt-scales not calibrated; moisture is guestimated. Calibrate scales every two weeks; obtain weekly
moisture samples; determine seasonal corrections.
No effect
<1, >1
<1, >1
Usually F2 (grade) <1; need better tailings tonnage and grade measurement and samplers.
<1, >1
<1, >1
<1, >1
Mill campaigns may not coincide with oretypes as segregated in pit; better communication can help.
Mining beyond dig lines; following colour changes in muck unrelated to ore-control boundaries;
bonus scheme should be based on metal, not tonnes broken.
724
VPRRWKLQJ LQ WKH ORQJUDQJH PRGHO DUH PRUH VHYHUH DV WKH
608VL]HLVGHFUHDVHG
7KLVZDVUHSHDWHGLQIRUWKH)RUW.QR[JROGGHSRVLWLQ
$ODVND)RUERWKRIWKHVHSURMHFWVDYHU\QHJULGRIJUDGHV
ZDVVLPXODWHGDWDSSUR[LPDWHO\PVSDFLQJDQGWKHVHZHUH
WDNHQ DV JURXQG WUXWK $ VXEVHW ZDV WDNHQ WR UHSUHVHQW
EODVWKROHV RUH DQG ZDVWH GLJOLQHV ZHUH GUDZQ PDQXDOO\
DQGWKHRUHFRQWUROJUDGHZDVHVWLPDWHGXVLQJNULJLQJ7KH
UHVXOWDQWJURXQGWUXWKJUDGHVZLWKLQGLJOLQHVZHUHXVHGWR
IRUPXODWHUHFHLYHGDWPLOOJUDGHV$W4XHEUDGD%ODQFD&KLOH
FRQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ ZDV XVHG WR GHWHUPLQH WKH LPSDFW
RI RYHUEUHDNLQJ WKH OHDFKHG FDS FRQWDFW ZLWK VXSHUJHQH
HQULFKHGRUHWRPLQLPLVHRUHORVV
,W LV VRPHWLPHV XVHIXO WR EUHDN WKH IDFWRUV GRZQ IXUWKHU
)RU H[DPSOH DW $QWDPLQD 0LQH LQ 3HUX D IDFWRU ) ZDV
GHYHORSHG WKDW FRPSDUHG WKH GLVWULEXWLRQ RI EODVW EORFNV
ZLWK WKH ORQJUDQJH PRGHO EORFNV %ODVW EORFNV KDG WKH
VDPH GLPHQVLRQV DV WKH ORQJUDQJH PRGHO EORFNV 20
P 7KH RUH FRQWURO PRGHO 5 P EORFNV ZDV
DJJUHJDWHGWREORFNVWKDWKDGGLPHQVLRQVRI 20 P
VHH)LJXUH
)LJXUHVKRZVDVXPPDU\GHSLFWLRQRIWKHIDFWRUVDQGWKHLU
UHODWLRQVKLSV
FIG 2 - Blast blocks (black) and blasthole (coloured) grades (per cent Cu).
'LGZHPHHWUHVHUYHH[SHFWDWLRQVIRUSURGXFW"
Remarks
8VHRIWKH)))IUDPHZRUNLVEHFRPLQJPRUHIUHTXHQW
DWWKHIHDVLELOLW\VWDJHWRWHVWRUDGMXVWWKHORQJUDQJHPRGHO
WR UHHFW WKH LQWHQGHG GHJUHH RI VHOHFWLYLW\ &RQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQ ZDV XVHG E\ (GZDUG ,VDDNV DV HDUO\ DV WR
DGMXVW DQ RYHUVPRRWKHG NULJHG PRGHO IRU WKH /LKLU JROG
GHSRVLW ORFDWHG LQ 3DSXD 1HZ *XLQHD 3DUNHU D
7DEOHVKRZVDQH[DPSOHRIDGMXVWPHQWIDFWRUVDSSOLHGIRU
YDULRXVVHOHFWLYHPLQLQJXQLW608VL]HV7KHFRUUHFWLRQVIRU
TABLE 5
Adjustment factors for Lihir (Parker, 1992a).
Selective mining unit
Size
F3
3
Volume (m )
Tonnes
Grade
Metal
662
72
0.78
1.18
0.92
664
144
0.82
1.12
0.91
12 5 3
180
0.84
1.09
0.91
996
486
0.87
1.05
0.91
)RUFRSSHURQO\RUHVWKH)IDFWRUVVKRZWKDWWKHORQJ
UDQJH PRGHO LV VOLJKWO\ XQGHUHVWLPDWLQJ WRQQDJH DQG
FRSSHUJUDGHRIEODVWEORFNV
)RU FRSSHU]LQF RUHV WKH ) IDFWRUV VKRZ WKDW WKH
ORQJUDQJH PRGHO LV XQGHUHVWLPDWLQJ WRQQDJH DQG
RYHUHVWLPDWLQJ ERWK FRSSHU DQG ]LQF JUDGHV 7KH ORQJ
UDQJHPRGHOLVWRRVHOHFWLYH
)RUFRSSHURQO\RUHVWKH)IDFWRUVVKRZWKDWRUHFRQWURO
SRO\JRQVKDYHVLPLODUWRQQDJHEXWVOLJKWO\KLJKHUFRSSHU
JUDGHWKDQWKHEODVWEORFNV7KHRUHFRQWUROSRO\JRQVKDYH
D OHYHO RI VHOHFWLYLW\ LPSOLFLW LQ D 20 P 608
LHZLWKLQSHUFHQWRQWRQQDJHDQGFRSSHUJUDGH
)RU FRSSHU]LQF RUHV WKH ) IDFWRUV VKRZ WKDW WKH RUH
FRQWUROSRO\JRQVKDYHPXFKKLJKHUWRQQDJHDWWKHVDPH
FRSSHU JUDGHV EXW PXFK KLJKHU ]LQF JUDGHV 7KLV ZDV
ODWHUIRXQGWREHUHODWHGWRRYHUSURMHFWLRQRIKLJKJUDGHV
LQWKHVKRUWUDQJHPRGHO
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
725
TABLE 6
Detailed comparison of long-range to short-range models at Antamina Mine.
Mt
% Cu
% Zn
kt cont Cu
kt cont Zn
66.8
1.49
0.25
993
165
71.1
1.54
0.23
1096
164
Reconciliation in 2003
1.06
1.04
0.93
1.10
0.99
Blast blocks
32.5
1.59
0.25
517
81
7DEOHVKRZVUHFRQFLOLDWLRQEHWZHHQORQJUDQJHDQGVKRUW
UDQJHPRGHOVIRUWKHWKUHHTXDUWHUV4WR4IRU,QWKLV
FDVH WKH ORQJUDQJH PRGHO ZDV SURGXFHG XVLQJ IHDVLELOLW\
VWDJHH[SORUDWLRQGULOOLQJ
Ore control
polygons
32.3
1.67
0.22
538
72
F1" factors
0.99
1.05
0.89
1.04
0.89
Copper-only ores
2001 to 2004
Long-term modela
Blast blocks
F1' factors
2003 to 2004c
Copper-zinc-only ores
TABLE 7
Antamina Mine reconciliation between long-range and short-range models
(Quarters 1 - 3, 2003).
2001 to 2004
Long-term modela
46.7
0.98
2.94
457
Mt
% Cu
% Zn
kt cont Cu
kt cont Zn
1375
Copper-only ores
6.39
1.41
0.16
90.1
10.2
Blast blocks
55.4
0.96
2.66
532
1474
Long-range model
F1' factors
1.19
0.98
0.90
1.16
1.07
Short-range model
8.41
1.73
0.16
145.5
13.5
F1 factors
1.32
1.23
1.00
1.61
1.32
2003 to 2004c
Blast blocks
22.7
1.01
2.83
229
642
Copper-zinc ores
Ore control
polygons
28.8
1.02
3.17
294
911
Long-range model
15.6
1.11
2.56
173.2
399.4
Short-range model
13.5
0.95
3.06
128.3
413.1
F1" factor
1.27
F1 factors
0.87
0.86
1.20
0.74
1.03
1.01
1.12
1.28
1.42
c. Comparison of blast blocks to ore control polygons for 2001 - 2002 is not shown because
oxidised material was sent to waste based on pit mapping; this information was not preserved
in blast blocks.
Notes: zinc grades and factors irrelevant for copper-only ores. Cont contained.
$W%+3%LOOLWRQWKH)IDFWRULVGHQHGVOLJKWO\GLIIHUHQWO\
7KH FRQWDLQHG PHWDOFRDO LQ VDOHDEOH SURGXFW EHQHFLDWHG
LURQRUHPDUNHWDEOHFRDORUPHWDOFRQWDLQHGLQFRQFHQWUDWHV
IRU D WLPH SHULRG LV WKH QXPHUDWRU 7KH GHQRPLQDWRU LV WKH
IRUHFDVW PHWDOFRDO UHFRYHUHG IURP WKH /20 SODQ DGMXVWHG
IRUVWRFNSLOHDGGLWLRQVDQGGHSOHWLRQV
7KXV %+3 %LOOLWRQ LV WDNLQJ LQWR DFFRXQW WUHDWPHQW SODQW
SHUIRUPDQFH DV ZHOO %+3 %LOOLWRQ DOVR UHSRUWV ) DQG )
IDFWRUVDVGHQHGKHUHLQ
6RPHWLPHVWKH)IDFWRUVDUHUHIHUUHGWRDVEORFNIDFWRUV
ZKLFK DUH UHODWHG WR WKH SUHJHRVWDWLVWLFDO HUD ZKHQ IDFWRUV
ZHUH DSSOLHG WR SRO\JRQDO DQG RWKHU VLPSOH 2UH 5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWHV $V DQ H[DPSOH D QHDUHVWQHLJKERXU HVWLPDWH
ZDV PDGH RI JROG JUDGHV DW -HUULWW &DQ\RQ 1HYDGD LQ WKH
V)RUSURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOLQJJUDGHVDERYHFXWRIIZHUH
PXOWLSOLHG E\ DQG WRQQDJHV ZHUH PXOWLSOLHG E\
3DUNHUE
7KH)IDFWRUVDUHDOVRVRPHWLPHVUHIHUUHGWRDVPLQHFDOO
IDFWRUV 7KHVH KDYH YDULRXVO\ FRYHUHG D P\ULDG RI LVVXHV
VXFKDVPLQLQJUHFRYHU\XQSODQQHGGLOXWLRQDQGRUHORVV
7KH)IDFWRUVDUHIDUIURPXQLW\)RUWKHFRSSHURQO\RUHV
RFFXUULQJLQHQGRVNDUQVWKHWRPVSDFHGH[SORUDWLRQ
GULOOLQJXQGHUVDPSOHGQDUURZPZLGH]RQHVRIKLJK
JUDGHEUHFFLDVVHH)LJXUH7KLVOHGWR)WRQQHVRI
DQG ) SHU FHQW &X RI )RU WKH FRSSHU]LQF RUHV WKH
UHVRXUFHPRGHOEDVHGRQWRPVSDFHGH[SORUDWLRQGULOO
KROHVZDVVPRRWKHGUHVXOWLQJLQ)WRQQHVRIDQG)
SHUFHQW=QRIVHH)LJXUH,QWKHVHRUHV)SHUFHQW
&XZDVORZHUDQGUHHFWVORZHUFRSSHUJUDGHVLQWKH
KLJKHUJUDGH]LQFDUHDV
7KHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQRYHUWKHVKRUWHUWLPHSHULRGVXVHGWRSODQ
PLOOFDPSDLJQVDQGFRQFHQWUDWHVKLSPHQWVZDVXQDFFHSWDEOH
WR PLQH PDQDJHPHQW $Q LQYHVWLJDWLRQ VKRZHG WKDW PRUH
FORVHO\ VSDFHG GULOOLQJ ZRXOG EH UHTXLUHG WR GHOLQHDWH WKH
KLJKJUDGH ]RQHV ZKLFK ZHUH IRXQG WR EH GLVFUHWH ERGLHV
ZLWKLQWKHGHSRVLW7KHKLJKJUDGHEUHFFLDVZHUHGHOLQHDWHG
DV D VHSDUDWH XQLW IRU FRSSHU JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ 7KH KLJK
JUDGH]LQF]RQHVZHUHIRXQGWRRFFXUQHDUWKHPDUEOHJUHHQ
H[RVNDUQFRQWDFWEXWWKHLUYDULDEOHZLGWKWRPFRXOG
RQO\ EH GRPDLQHG WKURXJK JUDGH VKHOOV LQWHUSUHWHG IURP
GHWDLOHGGULOOLQJ
7KH PLQH VWDII DQG PLQH RZQHUV ZHUH LQ DJUHHPHQW WKDW
WKH GULOO KROH VSDFLQJ KDG WR EH UHGXFHG EXW E\ KRZPXFK"
&RQGLWLRQDOVLPXODWLRQFRXOGKDYHEHHQXVHGIRUWKLVSXUSRVH
EXW ZDV UHMHFWHG DV EHLQJ WRR WLPHFRQVXPLQJ ZLWK PXOWLSOH
JUDGHYDULDEOHV&XDQG=QWREHHVWLPDWHGDVZHOODVQXPHURXV
OLWKRORJLFDOFRQWDFWV,QVWHDGVXEVHWVRIEODVWKROHVUHSUHVHQWLQJ
DERXW 0W ZHUH XVHG WR FUHDWH SVHXGR H[SORUDWLRQ JULGV
DQG WKHVH ZHUH LQ WXUQ XVHG WR HVWLPDWH H[SHULPHQWDO ORQJ
FIG 3 - Antamina Mine, 2003: long-range Cu model (left) and short-range model (right). Red colour indicates >2 per cent Cu, localised in breccia zones. Blocks
(left) are 20 20 m and 5 5 m (right). The red perimeters superimposed on the long-range model enclose short-range model blocks above two per cent Cu.
FIG 4 - Antamina Mine, 2003: long-range Zn model (left) and short-range model (right). Red and magenta colours indicate >2.5 per cent Zn, localised in
structure zones. Blocks (left) are 20 20 m and 5 5 m (right). The red perimeters superimposed on the long-range model enclose short-range model
blocks above two per cent Zn.
UDQJHPRGHOV7KHH[SHULPHQWDOORQJUDQJHPRGHOVZHUHWKHQ
FRPSDUHGZLWKWKHVKRUWUDQJHPRGHOHVWLPDWHGXVLQJDOOWKH
EODVWKROHVDQGWDNHQDVJURXQGWUXWK6LQFHEODVWKROHDVVD\V
ZHUH XVHG DV WKH EDVLV IRU ERWK WKH H[SHULPHQWDO ORQJUDQJH
PRGHOVDQGWKHVKRUWUDQJHPRGHOJURXQGWUXWKWKHUHZDV
QRQRLVHLQWURGXFHGE\XVLQJGLIIHUHQWVDPSOHW\SHVVXFKDV
GULOOFRUHVYHUVXVDXJHUVDPSOHVRIEODVWKROHFXWWLQJV
)LJXUH VKRZV WKH UHVXOWV RI WKUHH JULGV IRU ]LQF DQG WKH
JURXQGWUXWKIRUFRPSDULVRQ7KHKLJKJUDGH]RQHGRHVQRW
EHFRPHZHOOGHOLQHDWHGXQWLOPVSDFLQJLVDFKLHYHG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
727
FIG 5 - Zinc grade-zones for three grids. Interpreted from experimental grids of blastholes: high-grade zinc over 2.5 per cent is red; medium-grade zinc
(0.25 to 2.5 per cent) is blue. (A) 75 75 m spacing (high-grade is under-represented), (B) 50 50 m spacing (high-grade is still under-represented),
(C) 25 25 m spacing (high-grade is fairly well represented), (D) ground-truth based on blastholes (7 7 m spacing).
7DEOH VKRZV WKH FKDQJH LQ ELDV DV WKH GULOO VSDFLQJ LV
UHGXFHG 7KH RQH SHU FHQW FXWRIIV IRU FRSSHU DQG ]LQF
UHSUHVHQWW\SLFDOFXWRIIVXVHGLQE\RUHFRQWUROIRUPLOO
RUH7KH SHUFHQWFXWRIIVZHUHGHVLJQHGWRHYDOXDWHWKH
KLJKJUDGH]RQHVWKDWFRQWDLQDERXWKDOIWKHPHWDODERYHFXW
RII$Q)IDFWRURIEHWZHHQDQGZDVGHHPHGGHVLUDEOH
WR GHFODUH ,QGLFDWHG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DW WKH RQH per cent
728
8VLQJ D RQH SHU FHQW FRSSHU FXWRII WKH ) FULWHULRQ IRU
WRQQDJHJUDGHDQGPHWDOLVDFKLHYHGDWPVSDFLQJ
TABLE 8
Antamina Mine F1 factor reconciliation between test long-range and
short-range models (60 Mt).
Drill spacing
F1 (t)
TABLE 9
Antamina Mine reconciliation for 2003 to 2004.
Mt
% Cu
% Zn
kt cont Cu
kt cont Zn
Long-range model
depletions
30.5
1.51
0.25
460.6
76.3
F1 (% Cu)
F1 (cont Cu)
Copper-only ores
0.97
1.15
1.11
50 50 m spacing
0.93
1.01
0.93
1.67
0.22
539.4
71.1
0.88
1.02
0.90
Short-range
model depletions
32.3
50 25 m spacing
25 25 m spacing
0.92
1.01
0.93
Received-at-mill
30.1
1.52
0.25
457.5
75.3
F1 factors
1.06
1.11
0.88
1.17
0.93
75 75 m spacing
2.04
1.14
2.33
F2 factors
0.93
0.91
1.14
0.85
1.06
50 50 m spacing
1.11
0.96
1.06
F3 factors
0.99
1.01
1.00
0.99
0.99
50 25 m spacing
1.05
0.98
1.03
Copper-zinc ores
25 25 m spacing
1.03
1.02
1.04
Long-range model
depletions
23.9
0.96
3.04
229.4
726.6
Drill spacing
F1 (t)
F1 (% Zn)
F1 (cont Zn)
Short-range
model depletions
27.1
1.07
3.21
290.0
869.9
75 75 m spacing
1.52
1.35
2.04
Received-at-mill
27.6
1.01
2.61
278.8
720.4
50 50 m spacing
1.35
1.20
1.64
F1 factors
1.13
1.11
1.06
1.26
1.20
50 25 m spacing
1.43
1.06
1.52
F2 factors
1.02
0.94
0.81
0.96
0.83
25 25 m spacing
1.35
0.92
1.25
F3 factors
1.15
1.05
0.86
1.21
0.99
75 75 m spacing
3.70
0.69
2.56
50 50 m spacing
2.22
0.79
1.75
50 25 m spacing
1.37
1.00
1.37
25 25 m spacing
1.18
0.88
1.04
Notes: Zinc grades and factors irrelevant for copper-only ores. Cont contained.
,QWKHGULOOVSDFLQJZDVUHGXFHGIURPWRPWR
VXSSRUW ,QGLFDWHG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH GHFODUDWLRQ DQG IURP
P WR P WR VXSSRUW 0HDVXUHG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH
GHFODUDWLRQ $V FRSSHU LV WKH SULPDU\ PHWDO RI HFRQRPLF
LQWHUHVWLWZDVGHFLGHGWKDWWKHJUHDWHUXQFHUWDLQW\IRU]LQF
FRXOGEHDFFRPPRGDWHGZLWKWKHVHGULOOVSDFLQJV
Comments
)RUWKLVFRPSDULVRQDQHZORQJUDQJHPRGHOZDVXVHGWKLV
PRGHOZDVFRQVWUXFWHGLQDIWHUFRPSOHWLQJWKHLQOO
GULOOLQJ )RU FRSSHURQO\ RUHV WKH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ LV JRRG )
7KHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQGDWDZHUHH[WUHPHO\XVHIXO
7KH)IDFWRUVPHDVXUHGLQLGHQWLHGDSUREOHPZLWK
WKHORQJUDQJHPRGHO
7KH EODVWKROH GDWD ZHUH XVHG WR GHPRQVWUDWH WKH
LPSURYHPHQW WR EH JDLQHG LQ WKH DFFXUDF\ RI WKH ORQJ
UDQJHPRGHOE\LQOOGULOOLQJ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
729
7KH)IDFWRUVIRULGHQWLHGVDPSOLQJELDVHV
LQEODVWKROHVDQGRYHUSURMHFWLRQRIKLJKJUDGHEODVWKROHV
IRU]LQF
7KH ) IDFWRUV PHDVXUHG IRU VKRZ WKDW WKH
WRQQDJHJUDGHDQGPHWDOIRUFRSSHURQO\RUHVIRUHFDVWE\
WKHORQJUDQJHPRGHODUHDFKLHYDEOH
7KH ) IDFWRUV PHDVXUHG IRU VKRZ WKDW WKH
]LQFPHWDOIRUHFDVWE\WKHORQJUDQJHPRGHOLVDFKLHYDEOH
EXW WKLV FRPHV DW D KLJKHU WRQQDJH DQG ORZHU JUDGH
)XWXUH ORQJUDQJH PRGHOV VKRXOG FRQVLGHU DOORZLQJ IRU
RYHUEUHDNRIWKHPDUEOHH[RVNDUQFRQWDFW
FDQFDXVHYDOXHWREHORVW7KHFDVHVWXG\SUHVHQWHGEHORZ
LVW\SLFDORI&DUOLQW\SHJROGGHSRVLWVLQWKH86$,WVKRZV
KRZ XVLQJ WRR VPRRWKHG D UHVRXUFH PRGHO FDQ GHVWUR\
YDOXH )LJXUH VKRZV D KLVWRJUDP IRU FRPSRVLWHV DQG D
UHVRXUFHPRGHO,WLVSRVVLEOHWRPDNHDFKDQJHRIVXSSRUW
WUDQVIRUPDWLRQ WR WKH FRPSRVLWH GLVWULEXWLRQ WR REWDLQ
GLVWULEXWLRQVRI608JUDGHV-RXUQHODQG+XLMEUHJWV
7KHGLVFUHWH*DXVVLDQPHWKRGKDVEHHQXVHGIRUWKLVFDVH
)LJXUH VKRZV WKH WUDQVIRUPHG GLVWULEXWLRQV IRU IRXU
SRVVLEOH608V
608 10 PW\SLFDORIDWGRSHUDWLRQ
608 10 PW\SLFDORIDWGRSHUDWLRQ
608 15 PW\SLFDORIDWGRSHUDWLRQ
608 20 PW\SLFDORIDQWGRSHUDWLRQ
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRQRWHWKDWWKHFRHIFLHQWVRIYDULDWLRQ&29
PLQ)LJXUHVDQGIRUWKH608VOLHEHWZHHQWKH&29V
IRUWKHFRPSRVLWHVDQGWKHUHVRXUFHPRGHO7KXVWKHUHVRXUFH
PRGHOKDVDORZHUFRHIFLHQWRIYDULDWLRQWKDQWKH&29VIRU
WKHHQWLUHFDQGLGDWH608V
)LJXUH VKRZV JUDGHWRQQDJH FXUYHV 7KH WRQQDJH IRU
608V LV XVXDOO\ OHVV WKDQ WKH UHVRXUFH PRGHO WRQQDJH WKH
DYHUDJHJUDGHRIWKH608VLVDOZD\VKLJKHUWKDQWKHDYHUDJH
JUDGHRIWKHUHVRXUFHPRGHO
7DEOH VKRZV WKH WRQQDJHV DQG DYHUDJH JUDGHV DW D
JW FXWRII ZLWK DVVRFLDWHG ) IDFWRUV IRU HDFK 608
ZKHQ FRPSDUHG WR WKH UHVRXUFH PRGHO 7DEOH VKRZV D
FRPSDULVRQ IRU YDULRXV PLQLQJ VFHQDULRV 608 ZRXOG
EH FRQVLGHUHG WKH EDVH FDVH IRU D 0WD RSHUDWLRQ ZLWK
0WD RI RUH WG ,W FDQ EH VHHQ WKDW WKHUHLVYHU\
OLWWOHLPSURYHPHQWLQFDVKRZIRUDPRUHVHOHFWLYHVFHQDULR
608 $GGLWLRQDOO\ DW WKH FKRVHQ EDVHFDVH 0WD RUH
SURGXFWLRQUDWHLWPLJKWEHLPSUDFWLFDOWREHPRUHVHOHFWLYHLQ
OLJKWRIQHHGLQJPRUHZRUNLQJURRPIRUVPDOOHUHTXLSPHQW
)RU608DQG608WKHHIIHFWRIGLOXWLRQDQGKLJKWUHDWPHQW
FRVWVQHJDWHVHFRQRPLHVRIVFDOHLQPLQLQJ7KHFDVKRZVIRU
D SODQ EDVHG RQ WKH UHVRXUFH PRGHO DUH DERXW PLOOLRQ
\HDUOHVVWKDQWKHEDVHFDVH
TABLE 10
Tonnages, grades and F1 factors.
Results at 1.5 g/t cut-off grade (assume 100 Mt ore + waste deposit)
%t
Mt
Grade
(g/t)
Contained
(Moz Au)
Composites
26.2%
26.2
4.062
3.421
SMU1 = 5 10 6 m
31.1%
31.1
3.229
3.228
SMU2 = 10 10 6 m
31.5%
31.5
3.167
3.207
SMU3 = 15 15 10 m
33.0%
33.0
2.959
3.139
SMU4 = 20 20 15 m
34.7%
34.7
2.754
3.072
Resource model
37.1%
37.1
2.487
2.966
F1 factors
Tonnage
Grade
(g/t)
Contained
(Moz Au)
Composites
0.706
1.633
1.153
SMU1 = 5 10 6 m
0.838
1.298
1.088
SMU2 = 10 10 6 m
0.849
1.273
1.081
SMU3 = 15 15 10 m
0.889
1.190
1.058
SMU4 = 20 20 15 m
0.935
1.107
1.036
Resource model
1.000
1.000
1.000
TABLE 11
Annual cash flows for selectivity scenarios (base case shown in yellow).
Input variables
SMU1
SMU2
SMU3
SMU4
Resource
model
2.00
1.80
1.60
1.40
1.80
25.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
3.50
3.50
3.50
3.50
3.50
0.30
0.27
0.24
0.21
0.27
88
88
88
88
88
1250
1250
1250
1250
1250
3.47
3.71
3.11
3.15
3.3
3.23
3.17
2.96
2.75
2.49
Contained (Moz)
0.323
0.321
0.314
0.307
0.297
Recovery (Moz)
0.284
0.282
0.276
0.270
0.261
Revenues (M $)
355.1
352.8
345.3
338.0
326.3
Mining (M $)
-20.0
-18.0
-16.0
-14.0
-18.0
Treatment (M $)
-77.8
-78.8
-82.5
-86.8
-92.8
G+A (M $)
-35.0
-35.0
-35.0
-35.0
-35.0
Sustaining CAPEX (M $)
-3.0
-2.7
-2.4
-2.1
-2.7
Cash flow (M $)
219.4
218.3
209.4
200.1
177.8
7KHOHVVRQVKRXOGEHFOHDU6HOHFWLYLW\PDWWHUVSDUWLFXODUO\
ZKHUH WUHDWPHQW FRVWV DUH KLJK $Q RYHUVPRRWKHG PRGHO
GHVWUR\V YDOXH DV ZDV HORTXHQWO\ VKRZQ E\ =KDQJ
7KH VROXWLRQ VXJJHVWHG E\ =KDQJ ZDV PXOWLSOH LQGLFDWRU
NULJLQJ 6LQFH WKHQ LQGXVWU\ LQ WKH 86$ KDV WXUQHG PRUH
WRZDUG SUREDELOLVWLF GRPDLQLQJ RI KLJKJUDGH ]RQHV RU
RUGLQDU\NULJLQJPRGHOVFDOLEUDWHGIRUPLQLQJVHOHFWLYLW\
731
TABLE 12
Simulator output.
TOLMIX
FIG 11 - Mixing zones. This figure shows that the panel is discretised into
points. Each point is ore or waste. There can be a mixing zone near the
contact (points are randomly ore or waste with 50 per cent probability).
This can represent small-scale fluctuations in the contact surface or mixing
during blasting.
FIG 12 - Mining conventions. This figure shows the mining approach and
shows the broad consequences of face position in relation to ore loss/dilution.
Mining assumptions: the shovel is digging westerly; face angle of 70, thus the
face strikes 0 and dips 70 east; the position at which the shovel switches from
loading ore to waste (face position) can be specified (at mid bench).
RYHUEURNHQEXWRUHORVVZLOOEHPLQLPLVHG,IPL[LQJFDQEH
UHGXFHGWKHGHJUHHRIRYHUEUHDNUHTXLUHGFDQEHUHGXFHG
7KHREVHUYDWLRQPDGHE\6FKRHOGLVDJDLQFOHDU7KH
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ VKRXOG EH WDNHQ DV D EDVLV IRU LPSURYHPHQW
,QDUHDOOLIHVLWXDWLRQWKHJUDGHDWWKHFRQWDFWZRXOGQHHGWR
EHFRQVLGHUHGZLWKWKHDPRXQWRIDFFHSWHGRYHUEUHDNEHLQJ
GHSHQGHQWRQWKHRUHJUDGH
Run
Mixing
(TOLMIX)
Mine face
position
Dilution
(width m)
Ore loss
(width m)
-5
4.94
0.00
-5
5.00
0.03
-5
5.37
0.27
-5
5.62
0.58
-5
6.10
1.06
-2.5
2.58
0.17
-2.5
2.89
0.46
-2.5
3.53
0.96
-2.5
4.13
1.62
10
-2.5
4.74
2.24
11
0.91
0.97
12
1.30
1.33
13
2.23
2.13
14
2.83
2.80
15
3.52
3.49
16
2.5
0.17
2.76
17
2.5
0.40
2.96
18
2.5
1.01
3.44
19
2.5
1.55
4.04
20
2.5
2.25
4.76
21
0.00
5.06
22
0.03
5.06
23
0.27
5.17
24
0.56
5.52
25
1.11
6.08
Mt
% Fe
Mt cont Fe
10.00
40.00
4.00
TABLE 13
Production statistics.
9.75
38.00
3.71
F2 factor
0.975
0.950
0.926
WKDWKDVEHHQVXEMHFWHGWRJUHHQVFKLVWIDFLHVPHWDPRUSKLVP
WKUHHSHULRGVRIIROGLQJDQGWZRSHULRGVRIEULWWOHWREULWWOH
GXFWLOHIDXOWLQJ3D\DEOHPHWDOVDUHLQRUGHURILPSRUWDQFH
VLOYHU JROG LQ VRPH DUHDV ]LQF DQG OHDG 7KH PLQH ZDV
RSHQHG LQ DQG RSHUDWLRQV ZHUH VXVSHQGHG LQ
EHFDXVHRIORZPHWDOVSULFHV)XUWKHUH[SORUDWLRQZDVGRQH
IURPWRUHVXOWLQJLQGLVFRYHU\RIWKLFNHUDQGULFKHU
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LQ WKH 6RXWKZHVW =RQH 0LQLQJ RSHUDWLRQV
VWDUWHG DJDLQ LQ 7DEOH VKRZV UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ RI
SURGXFWLRQIRU
7KH ) IDFWRUV ZHUH UHDVRQDEO\ FORVH WR XQLW\ IRU WRQQDJH
DQGEDVHPHWDOVOHDG]LQF)RUJROGDQGVLOYHUWKH)IDFWRUV
ZHUHPXFKORZHUDQGWKHVHKDGDNQRFNRQHIIHFW
RQWKHQHWVPHOWHUUHWXUQUHYHQXH165)IDFWRU
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
733
734
-5
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
Ore
grade
(% Fe)
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
Density
of ore
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
Diluted
grade
(% Fe)
Note: the case that most corresponds to production statistics is shaded (see Table 13).
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.5
-2.5
-2.5
-2.5
-2.5
-2.5
-5
-5
-5
-5
Mine
face
position
Mixing
Run
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
Density
of waste
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
Short-term
reserve
(depl Mt)
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
Horiz
width
ore (m)
1.11
0.56
0.27
0.03
0.00
2.25
1.55
1.01
0.40
0.17
3.52
2.83
2.23
1.30
0.91
4.74
4.13
3.53
2.89
2.58
6.10
5.62
5.37
5.00
4.94
Dilution
(width)
6.08
5.52
5.17
5.06
5.06
4.76
4.04
3.44
2.96
2.76
3.49
2.80
2.13
1.33
0.97
2.24
1.62
0.96
0.46
0.17
1.06
0.58
0.27
0.03
0.00
Ore loss
(width)
From simulator
35.03
35.04
35.10
34.97
34.94
37.49
37.51
37.57
37.44
37.41
40.03
40.03
40.10
39.97
39.94
42.50
42.51
42.57
42.43
42.41
45.04
45.04
45.10
44.97
44.94
Width
(m)
TABLE 14
Calculation of F2 factors for simulation runs.
39.31
39.65
39.83
39.98
40.00
38.68
39.09
39.41
39.77
39.90
38.05
38.44
38.78
39.29
39.50
37.51
37.84
38.16
38.50
38.66
36.95
37.20
37.33
37.51
37.50
Grade
(% Fe)
3.568
3.584
3.592
3.599
3.600
3.540
3.559
3.573
3.589
3.595
3.512
3.529
3.544
3.567
3.577
3.488
3.503
3.517
3.532
3.539
3.465
3.475
3.481
3.489
3.490
Density
(t/m3)
Run-of-mine
8.68
8.72
8.76
8.74
8.74
9.22
9.27
9.32
9.33
9.34
9.76
9.81
9.87
9.90
9.92
10.30
10.34
10.40
10.41
10.42
10.84
10.87
10.90
10.90
10.89
Mt
0.868
0.872
0.876
0.874
0.874
0.922
0.927
0.932
0.933
0.934
0.976
0.981
0.987
0.990
0.992
1.030
1.034
1.040
1.041
1.042
1.084
1.087
1.090
1.090
1.089
Tonnes
0.983
0.991
0.996
1.000
1.000
0.967
0.977
0.985
0.994
0.998
0.951
0.961
0.969
0.982
0.988
0.938
0.946
0.954
0.962
0.966
0.924
0.930
0.933
0.938
0.939
Grade
F2 factors
0.853
0.865
0.872
0.874
0.874
0.891
0.906
0.919
0.928
0.932
0.929
0.943
0.957
0.973
0.980
0.965
0.978
0.992
1.002
1.007
1.001
1.011
1.017
1.022
1.022
Metal
1138
1157
1169
1174
1174
1157
1181
1201
1218
1225
1173
1196
1217
1245
1257
1188
1208
1229
1246
1256
1200
1215
1224
1233
1235
Net present
value (M $)
TABLE 15
Net present values presented as a case matrix.
Mixing
-2.5
2.5
1235
1256
1257
1225
1174
1233
1246
1245
1218
1174
1224
1229
1217
1201
1169
1215
1208
1196
1181
1157
1200
1188
1173
1157
1138
Notes:
The case that most responds to production statistics is shown in yellow.
The optimal case for a given mixing zone half width (TOLMIX) is shown in orange.
The overall optimum case has mixing = 1, mining face position = 0.
)LJXUHVKRZVDSORWRIJUDGHFRQWUROVLOYHUYHUVXVEORFN
PRGHOVLOYHU7KHJXUHVKRZVWKDWWKHUHZDVQRFRUUHODWLRQ
EHWZHHQ JUDGH FRQWURO DQG EORFN PRGHO VLOYHU DW WKH ORFDO
VFDOHWKLVGHVSLWHH[SORUDWLRQGULOOLQJRQDSSUR[LPDWHO\P
VSDFLQJ 7KH ZDY\ OLQH VKRZV WKH FRQGLWLRQDO H[SHFWDWLRQ
LVQHDUO\FRQVWDQWDFURVVWKHSORWDWDERXWRSWJW
2QUHVWDUWWKHPLQHFRQFHQWUDWHGRQEORFNVZLWKKLJKEORFN
PRGHOVLOYHUJUDGHV7KHVHKDGJUDGHFRQWUROYDOXHVWKDWZHUH
VLJQLFDQWO\ ORZHU ZKLFK SURYLGHV D SDUWLDO H[SODQDWLRQ RI
WKHREVHUYHGORZ)IDFWRUIRUVLOYHU
$QRWKHU LVVXH LV WKDW WKH GLVWULEXWLRQV IRU VLOYHU DQG JROG
DUHVNHZHG)LJXUHSURYLGHVDQH[DPSOHGLVWULEXWLRQIRU
VLOYHUIRUDSRUWLRQRIWKH6RXWKZHVW=RQH
7KH PHDQ JUDGH ZDV RSW JW +RZHYHU WKH
PRGH ZDV ORZHU DW DERXW RSW JW 7KLV PHDQV WKDW
LI ZH PLQHG D EORFN IURP WKH JUDGH FRQWURO GLVWULEXWLRQ
WKH PD[LPXP OLNHOLKRRG LV ZH ZRXOG REWDLQ D EORFN WKDW
distribution of the sample mean is shown for samples from the Homestake Mine.
TABLE 16
Reconciliation for the Southwest Zone (1997).
Block model depletions and production statistics
Tonnes
Au
g/t
Ag
g/t
Pb
%
Zn
%
NSR
$/t
Factor
Tonnes
F1
Au
g/t
Ag
g/t
Pb
%
Zn
%
NSR
$/t
Au
Ag
Pb
Zb
NSR
0.97
0.88
0.87
0.82
0.95
0.96
0.85
F2
1.14
0.92
1.10
1.04
0.99
0.98
1.04
389 416
7.51
1328
5.55
11.13
252
Grade control,
no cut
378 355
6.72
1116
5.43
10.94
222
Received-at-mill
431 749
6.48
1019
4.69
9.35
203
F3
1.11
0.80
0.96
0.85
0.94
0.93
0.89
F1
0.93
0.99
1.03
0.87
0.97
0.97
0.93
115 836
6.21
1233
5.29
10.54
229
Grade control,
no cut
108 227
6.86
1153
5.50
10.94
227
F2
1.14
0.92
1.11
1.04
0.99
0.98
1.05
Received-at-mill
123 501
6.65
1052
4.75
9.35
208
F3
1.07
0.91
1.14
0.91
0.96
0.95
0.97
F1
0.99
0.84
0.82
0.79
0.94
0.95
0.83
F2
1.14
0.91
1.11
1.04
0.99
0.98
1.04
F3
1.13
0.76
0.90
0.83
0.93
0.93
0.86
273 580
8.06
1368.34
5.66
11.38
262
Grade control,
no cut
270 127
6.65
1101.26
5.41
10.94
219
Received-at-mill
308 248
6.45
1004.91
4.67
9.35
201
Notes: F2 factor cannot be separately determined for completed and uncompleted levels.
NSR net smelter return/revenue.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
735
WKH FXPXODWLYH JUDGH SUROH URVH IURP EHORZ WKH PHDQ RI
RSWJW
)LJXUHVKRZVDVWRSHKLVWRU\IRUEORFNVPLQHGRQWKH
DQG/HYHOV7KHUHLVFRQVLGHUDEOHVFDWWHUWRWKHPRQWKO\
JUDGHV 7KH FXPXODWLYH JUDGH URVH IURP DQ LQLWLDO YDOXH RI
RSWJWWRDQDOYDOXHRIDERXWRSWJW
7KXVLWFRXOGEHH[SHFWHGWKDWPRVWRIWKHWLPHFXPXODWLYH
DYHUDJH JUDGHV ZRXOG ULVH ZLWK SHU FHQW H[WUDFWLRQ
FRPSOHWLRQ 7R WHVW WKLV K\SRWKHVLV )LJXUH VKRZV WKH
UHODWLYH GLIIHUHQFH LQ FXPXODWLYH DYHUDJH JUDGH YHUVXV SHU
FHQWFRPSOHWLRQIRUDJURXSRIVWRSHV$OWKRXJKWKHGDWDDUH
DELWQRLV\WKHUHJUHVVLRQOLQHWWHGWKURXJKWKHPVXJJHVWV
WKDW WKH UHODWLYH GLIIHUHQFH FRXOG DYHUDJH DV ORZ DV per
centDWYHSHUFHQWFRPSOHWLRQ$W per centFRPSOHWLRQ
WKHUHJUHVVLRQOLQHSUHGLFWVDUHODWLYHGLIIHUHQFHRI per cent
7KHVHREVHUYDWLRQVOHGWRDVXEGLYLVLRQRISURGXFWLRQ
LQWRFRPSOHWHGDQGXQFRPSOHWHGOHYHOV7KHFRPSOHWHGOHYHOV
VKRZHGLPSURYHG)IDFWRUVIRUJROGDQGVLOYHURIDQG
UHVSHFWLYHO\VHH7DEOHPLGGOHSDQHO
7KHORZHUSDQHORI7DEOHVKRZVUHVXOWVIRUXQFRPSOHWHG
OHYHOV7KH)IDFWRUVIRUJROGDQGVLOYHUDUHDQG
FIG 15 - Cumulative silver grade versus per cent completion for five random
sorts of the grade control distribution. Note: opt = Troy oz/st; 1 opt = 34.29 g/t.
,QFRQFOXVLRQWKHSRRUSHUIRUPDQFHRIWKH)IDFWRUVZDV
UHODWHG WR D )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ EORFN PRGHO WKDW LQDFFXUDWHO\
SUHGLFWHGWKHJUDGHRILQGLYLGXDOEORFNVZLWKLQWKH6RXWKZHVW
=RQH6XEVHTXHQWO\WKHGULOOVSDFLQJZDVUHGXFHGWRDERXW
P 7KLV HQDEOHG EHWWHU JHRORJLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV DQG
LPSURYHG UHVRXUFH PRGHO DFFXUDF\ 7KH VLOYHU DQG JROG
JUDGHV ZHUH ODWHU WRSFXW WR UHPRYH DERXW VL[ SHU FHQW RI
WKH PHWDO 7KLV KDG WKH HIIHFW RI UHGXFLQJ WKH DPSOLWXGH RI
GLIIHUHQFHVEHWZHHQIRUHFDVWDQGDFWXDOSURGXFWLRQ)LQDOO\
LPSURYHG IDFH VDPSOLQJ UHVXOWHG LQ DQ LPSURYHPHQW LQ WKH
)IDFWRUV
FIG 16 - Monthly and cumulative average grades for silver, 640 and 653 levels. Note: opt = Troy oz/st; 1 opt = 34.29 g/t.
736
FIG 17 - Relative difference (grade control - block model) versus percentage completion for silver.
CONCLUSIONS
,QPRVWPLQHVWKHPRVWFULWLFDOIDFWRUVLQSRRUUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
UHODWHWRODFNRIRUHERG\NQRZOHGJHRUIDLOXUHWRPLQHWRWKH
GHQHG PLQH SODQ ,Q WKH UVW FDVH WKH SODQ LV EDVHG RQ DQ
LQFRUUHFW LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RI WKH RUHERG\ LQ WHUPV RI RUHERG\
SRVLWLRQ ORFDO WRQQDJH DQG JUDGH RU GHJUHH RI VHOHFWLYLW\
LPSOLFLW LQ WKH ORQJWHUP PRGHO ,Q QHDUO\ DOO FDVHV -HUULWW
&DQ\RQ +D\GHQ +LOO *UHHQV &UHHN DQG *ROGVWULNH 86$
.HOLDQ,QGRQHVLD(VFRQGLGD&KLOH$QWDPLQD3HUX'LDYLN
&DQDGD DQG 3DODERUD 6RXWK $IULFD DUH H[DPSOHV WKH
VROXWLRQLVLQOOGULOOLQJDQGZKHUHYHUSRVVLEOHEORFNVVKRXOG
EH LQIRUPHG VR WKDW WKH\ FDQ EH FRQVLGHUHG DV 3URYHG 2UH
5HVHUYHVZHOOLQDGYDQFHRIPLQLQJ,QWKHVHFRQGFDVHJLYHQ
WKHSODQKDVEHHQRSWLPLVHGIDLOXUHWRPLQHWRLWZLOOLQWKH
HQGKDYHWKHFRQVHTXHQFHRIGHVWUR\LQJYDOXH
5HFRQFLOLDWLRQGDWDFDQDOVRVHUYHDVDEDVLVIRULPSURYHPHQW
RI WKH PLQLQJ SURFHVV ([DPSOHV DUH *UHHQV &UHHN $ODVND
LPSURYHG IDFH VDPSOLQJ 1FKDQJD =DPELD UHGXFHG
XQSODQQHG GLOXWLRQ LQ ERWK RSHQ SLW DQG XQGHUJURXQG
RSHUDWLRQV DQG 6WLOOZDWHU 0RQWDQD UHGXFHG PL[LQJ
RI RUH DQG ZDVWH LQ UHPXFN ED\V ,Q PDQ\ FDVHV WKHVH
LPSURYHPHQWVFRPHDWYHU\OLWWOHDGGLWLRQDOFRVW
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUZRXOGOLNHWRWKDQN&RPSDQLD0LQHUD$QWDPLQD
5LR7LQWR%+3%LOOLWRQDQG+HFODIRUSHUPLVVLRQWRXVHVRPH
RIWKHGDWDDQGFDVHVSUHVHQWHGKHUHLQ3RUWLRQVRIWKLVSDSHU
ZHUH RULJLQDOO\ SUHVHQWHG DW WKH WK $3&20 6\PSRVLXP
LQ :ROORQJRQJ $XVWUDOLD LQ 6HSWHPEHU DQG ZHUH
SXEOLVKHGLQ3DUNHU
REFERENCES
-RXUQHO $ * DQG +XLMEUHJWV & - Mining Geostatistics S
$FDGHPLF3UHVV
737
HOME
Mining Reconciliation
An Overview of Data Collection
Points and Data Analysis
R Hargreaves1,2 and C Morley3
ABSTRACT
7KHFROOHFWLRQDQGDQDO\VLVRIGDWDDFURVVWKHHQWLUHPLQHYDOXHFKDLQIDFLOLWDWHVDULJRURXVUHFRQFLOLDWLRQSURFHVVWREHSHUIRUPHG
RQDUHJXODUEDVLV7KHTXDQWLW\DQGTXDOLW\RIWKHGDWDFROOHFWHGZLOOKDYHDVLJQLFDQWLPSDFWRQWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHUHFRQFLOHG
WRQQHVDQGJUDGHUHSRUWLQJ
7KHSUDFWLFHRIURXWLQHO\FROOHFWLQJUREXVWGDWDDQGVWRULQJLWLQDPDQQHUWKDWPDNHVLWDFFHVVLEOHIRUDQDO\VLVZLOOHQDEOH
VLWHSHUVRQQHOWRTXLFNO\LGHQWLI\DUHDVZKHUHDVVXPSWLRQVRUHVWLPDWHVFDQEHUHQHG8QIDYRXUDEOHUHVXOWVIURPDQ\RIWKH
TXHVWLRQVUDLVHGGXULQJWKHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQSURFHVVVKRXOGOHDGWRIXUWKHUDQDO\VLVWKDWGULOOVGRZQLQWRWKHYDULDQFHWRLGHQWLI\
WKHURRWFDXVHDOORZLQJSHUVRQQHOWRFRUUHFWWKHFDXVHV
7KLVSDSHUGHQHVLQGHWDLOWKHGDWDUHTXLUHGIRUFRPSDULQJHOHPHQWVLQWKHPLQLQJYDOXHFKDLQ,WDOVRKLJKOLJKWVDQXPEHURI
SRRUSUDFWLFHVWKDWFDQKDYHDVLJQLFDQWLPSDFWRQPLQLQJUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
1. MAusIMM(CP), Principal Consultant, Snowden, 87 Colin Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
2. R Hargreaves has published previous work (cited in this paper) under the name R Riske.
3. FAusIMM(CP), Executive Consultant, Global Director Growth and Strategy, Snowden, 87 Colin Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
0LQLQJUHFRQFLOLDWLRQLVHVVHQWLDOO\WKHSURFHVVRILGHQWLI\LQJ
DQDO\VLQJ DQG PDQDJLQJ YDULDWLRQ EHWZHHQ SODQQHG DQG
DFWXDO UHVXOWV LQ VXFK D ZD\ WKDW LW KLJKOLJKWV RSSRUWXQLWLHV
WRLPSURYHDPLQHVSHUIRUPDQFH0HDVXULQJDQGDQDO\VLQJ
GDWD LQ D YLJRURXV ZD\ HQDEOHV DQ RSHUDWLRQ WR GHVLJQ DQG
LPSOHPHQW SURFHVV LPSURYHPHQWV DFURVV WKH HQWLUH PLQLQJ
YDOXH FKDLQ 7KHUH DUH D UDQJH RI DFWLYLWLHV FRPPRQ WR
PRVW GHSRVLWV LQFOXGLQJ 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ PLQH GHVLJQ
SODQQLQJ JUDGH FRQWURO PLQLQJ PDWHULDO PRYHPHQW DQG
SURFHVVLQJIRUWKHQDOSURGXFW
5HFRQFLOLDWLRQLVGHQHGLQWKH2[IRUG'LFWLRQDU\DVWKHDFW
RI PDNLQJ FRPSDWLEOH RU FRQVLVWHQW ,Q D PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\
FRQWH[W WKLV HTXDWHV WR WKH FRPSDULVRQ RI D SUHGLFWLRQ
5HVRXUFHPRGHO5HVHUYHPRGHORUJUDGHFRQWUROLQIRUPDWLRQ
ZLWKDPHDVXUHPHQWLQRWKHUZRUGVWKHRIFLDOSURGXFWLRQ
XVXDOO\IURPWKHSURFHVVLQJRUWUHDWPHQWSODQW
0LQLQJ UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ HQFRPSDVVHV D PXOWLGLVFLSOLQDU\
DSSURDFK DFURVV JHRORJ\ PLQLQJ HQJLQHHULQJ RSHUDWLRQV
DQG PHWDOOXUJ\ WR GHOLYHU EHQHWV WKURXJKRXW WKH PLQLQJ
YDOXH FKDLQ +LVWRULFDOO\ PLQH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ LV XQGHUWDNHQ
ZKHQRSHUDWLRQVIDFHSHUIRUPDQFHSUHVVXUHVW\SLFDOO\ZKHUH
DFWXDO SURGXFWLRQ IDLOV WR PHHW H[SHFWDWLRQV 7KH SURFHVV
RI UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ IDOOV WR D VHOHFW IHZ ZLWK WKH QHFHVVDU\
H[SHULHQFHWRDQDO\VHGDWDVRXUFHGIURPWKHWHDPVLQYROYHG
LQPLQHSURGXFWLRQDVVWDWHGE\5LVNH et al
$QXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHGDWDDQGYDULDEOHVWKDWFRQWULEXWH
WR JRRG RU EDG UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ UHVXOWV DQG GHQLQJ WKH
739
FIG 1 - Reconciliation across the mining value chain depicting a range of comparisons that commonly occur (after Morley, 2003).
,VVXHV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK PLQLQJ UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ DIIHFW DOO
PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQV 7KH DXWKRUV FRQVLGHU WKDW UHJDUGOHVV RI
ZKHWKHUWKHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQLVQHJDWLYHRUSRVLWLYHLGHQWLI\LQJ
DQG PDQDJLQJ WKH YDULDWLRQ HQDEOHV PLQH PDQDJHPHQW WR
PDNHSUXGHQWWLPHO\DQGLQIRUPHGGHFLVLRQV7KHREMHFWLYH
RIORRNLQJDWWKHYDULDWLRQEHWZHHQWZRSRLQWVRQWKHPLQLQJ
YDOXH FKDLQ LV WR UVW LGHQWLI\ ZKHQ D YDULDWLRQ LQFUHDVH
KLJKOLJKWVDSUREOHPDQGWKHQFRQWUROWKHGLIIHUHQFHLQUHVXOWV
RYHUWLPH7KLVFRQFHSWLVLOOXVWUDWHGJUDSKLFDOO\LQ)LJXUH
DATA SOURCES
&ULWLFDO WR WKH VXFFHVV RI DQ\ UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ V\VWHP LV WKH
FDSWXUH RI NH\ GDWD 7\SLFDOO\ GDWD PD\ EH VRXUFHG IURP
DIWHU0RUOH\
740
5HVRXUFHDQG5HVHUYHPRGHOV
PLQHGHVLJQVDQGVFKHGXOHV
D VXUYH\ RI WRSRJUDSK\ WR GHWHUPLQH WKH DFWXDO PLQLQJ
DFWLYLWLHV
PLQLQJSHUVRQQHOVREVHUYDWLRQVRIPLQLQJDFWLYLWLHV
DXWRPDWHGPDWHULDOPRYHPHQWWUDFNLQJV\VWHPV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
DATA COLLECTION
,QRUGHUWRDFFXUDWHO\FDSWXUHWKHUHOHYDQWGDWDUHTXLUHGIRU
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQWKHUHDUHGLIIHUHQWFRQVLGHUDWLRQVWRWDNHLQWR
DFFRXQWGHSHQGLQJRQZKHUHLQWKHPLQHYDOXHFKDLQWKHGDWD
LV EHLQJ FROOHFWHG 7KH IROORZLQJ VHFWLRQV VWHS WKURXJK WKH
PLQHYDOXHFKDLQ)LJXUHDQGGLVFXVVKRZWREHVWFROOHFW
WKHUHTXLUHGGDWDDQGDWZKDWIUHTXHQF\DVZHOODVWKHPDLQ
LVVXHVWRFRQVLGHUDWHDFKVWDJH
7KHUHZLOODOZD\VEHDPDUJLQRIHUURULQDQ\HVWLPDWHRU
PHDVXUHPHQWDQGWKHVHVKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHGLQWKHUHVXOWV
VHHWKHZRUNE\3LWDUGRQIXQGDPHQWDOVDPSOLQJHUURU
&DSWXULQJ LQIRUPDWLRQ DXWRPDWLFDOO\ DQG HOHFWURQLFDOO\
IURP WKH VRXUFH DOOHYLDWHV KXPDQ HUURU EXW RWKHU HUURUV DUH
LQKHUHQW LQ WKH DFFXUDF\ RI WKH HTXLSPHQW RU PHWKRGRORJ\
Mining Reconciliation An Overview of Data Collection Points and Data Analysis|R Hargreaves and C Morley
TABLE 1
Examples of variables that affect the reliability of reconciliation
results (after Pitard, 2001).
TABLE 2
The method of reporting the tonnes and grade from the Resource model is
dependent on the actual mining method.
Mining causes
Estimation of tonnes
Mining method
Survey inaccuracies
Open pit
Analytical errors
Displacement of mineralisation
boundaries upon blasting dilution
Deplete and report the resource model between two month end
pit surveys.
Underground
development
Underground
production
room and pillar
Underground
production
stoping
Underground
production
caving
Loss of fines
Analytical inaccuracy
Analytical errors
Survey inaccuracies
Reporting method
XVHGWRFROOHFWWKHVDPSOH7KHIROORZLQJVHFWLRQVGLVFXVVWKH
PDLQ DUHDV ZKHUH HUURU FDQ EH LQWURGXFHG LQ WKH HVWLPDWHV
DQGPHDVXUHPHQWVXVHGIRUUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
Resource model
$KLJKQXJJHWHIIHFWPHDQVWKDWVDPSOHVWDNHQFORVHWRJHWKHU
DUHKLJKO\YDULDEOHGXHWRWKHLQKHUHQWKHWHURJHQHLW\RIWKH
RUHERG\$VDUHVXOWWKHUHLVQRORFDOFRQGHQFHLQWKHVDPSOH
JUDGHV DQG KHQFH DQ\ HVWLPDWH RI JUDGH ZLOO EH VPRRWKHG
DQG EH ORFDOO\ LQDFFXUDWH ,Q D KLJK QXJJHW HQYLURQPHQW
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQLVH[SHFWHGWREHSRRURQDORFDOEDVLVDQGVR
WKH UHVXOWV VKRXOG EH WUDFNHG RYHU ORQJHU SHULRGV RI WLPH
DQGRUODUJHUYROXPHV
Sampling errors
(UURUVLQFXUUHGGXULQJGULOOLQJVDPSOLQJVXEVDPSOLQJDQG
DQDO\VLV FDQ UHVXOW LQ SRRU SUHFLVLRQ RU UHSHDWDELOLW\ RI WKH
DVVD\UHVXOWV,WVKRXOGEHQRWHGWKDWSRRUSUHFLVLRQZLOOVKRZ
DV D KLJKHU QXJJHW HIIHFW LQ YDULRJUDP DQDO\VLV 5HGXFLQJ
VDPSOLQJHUURUVPD\GHFUHDVHWKHQXJJHWHIIHFWUHVXOWLQJLQ
D PRUH ORFDOO\ DFFXUDWH HVWLPDWH RI JUDGH (VWDEOLVK URXWLQH
TXDOLW\DVVXUDQFHDQGTXDOLW\FRQWURO4$4&SUDFWLFHVWR
PRQLWRUVDPSOLQJHUURUDQGSUHFLVLRQ
741
TABLE 3
Areas to be considered when reporting the Resource model.
Reporting on tonnes and grade from the resource
model based on specific area
Specific area
Comment
Backfill and
in-pit stocks
Be aware of any areas that have been backfilled to ensure they are
accounted as mined in the reporting.
Surveys
Always review the end of month surveys to ensure that all mined
areas have been surveyed, particularly when working on multiple
benches. There can be problems with merging old and new survey
information.
Spatial
depletion
issues
There are times when the resource model is not coincident with
the actual resource. This is typically in underground situations
where the ore is not exactly where expected and hence the
surveys cannot be used to deplete the resource model, as the
location of the ore in the model is wrong, but it is still important to
reconcile the estimation of grade and tonnes within the modelled
zone. In these instances a cookie-cut approach needs to be used
to deplete the ore from the resource. If mining has not adjusted
to factor in the actual location of the ore, and so the full width of
the orebody has not been mined or additional dilution has been
mined, this must also be recognised and reported.
Recoverable
resources
Stoping
Dilution
Mining Reconciliation An Overview of Data Collection Points and Data Analysis|R Hargreaves and C Morley
FRQWUROPRGHOGHYHORSPHQWJUDGHVPD\EHDVVLJQHGEDVHGRQ
D ZHLJKWHG DYHUDJH RI IDFH VDPSOH JUDGHV ,VVXHV UHJDUGLQJ
EDFNOO DQG LQSLW VWRFNV VSDWLDO ORFDWLRQ RI WKH RUH DQG
UHSRUWLQJRILQFRPSOHWHEODVWVVWRSHVRXWOLQHGIRUWKH5HVRXUFH
PRGHLQ7DEOHDUHDOVRUHOHYDQWIRUJUDGHFRQWUROPRGHOV,Q
DGGLWLRQWKHIROORZLQJTXHVWLRQVVKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHG
'LG\RXDFWXDOO\PLQHZKDWZDVSODQQHG"*UDGHFRQWURO
WRQQHVDQGJUDGHVKRXOGEHPDQXDOO\DGMXVWHGWRUHHFW
WKHDFWXDODVPLQHGPLQLQJEORFNV5HFRQFLOLDWLRQVKRXOG
FRPSDUH ZKDW ZDV DFWXDOO\ PLQHG YHUVXV ZKDW ZDV
SODQQHGWREHPLQHGDVVXPLQJWKDWYLVXDOJUDGHFRQWURO
LV DEOH WR GLIIHUHQWLDWH RUH DQG ZDVWH WKH VLWXDWLRQ LQ
PDQ\PLQHV
+RZ RIWHQ LV WKH JUDGH FRQWURO PRGHO XSGDWHG" 7KH
IUHTXHQF\ RI XSGDWLQJ WKH JUDGH FRQWURO PRGHO PD\
DIIHFWWKHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQSURFHVVLQWHUPVRIDFFXUDF\DQG
PHDQLQJIXOQHVV
,V WKH JUDGH FRQWURO PRGHO VHSDUDWH WR WKH 5HVHUYH DQG
5HVRXUFH PRGHOV DQG ZKDW PRGHO LV WKH SODQQLQJ DQG
EXGJHWEDVHGRQ",GHDOO\WKHVDPH5HVRXUFHPRGHOVKRXOG
IRUP WKH EDVLV RI WKH 5HVHUYHV DQG LV XSGDWHG E\ JUDGH
FRQWUROGDWDWRSURYLGHWKHJUDGHFRQWUROPRGHO,QODUJH
RSHUDWLRQVWKHSUDFWLFDOLW\RIPDLQWDLQLQJDVLQJOHPRGHOIRU
WKHHQWLUH5HVRXUFHDQGJUDGHFRQWUROGDWDVHWVPD\H[FHHG
WKHOLPLWVRIFXUUHQWPRGHUQFRPSXWLQJ,QWKHVHFDVHVLWLV
FRPPRQIRUWKHJUDGHFRQWUROPRGHOWREHDQDUHDVSHFLF
VXEVHW RI WKH 5HVRXUFH PRGHO 7KHVH SUDFWLFDOLWLHV ZLOO
LPSDFWRQZKDWPRGHOVQHHGWREHUHFRQFLOHGDQGLVRIWHQ
SUHGLFWHGE\WLPLQJTXDUWHUO\KDOI\HDUO\RUDQQXDOO\
'RHV\RXUFRPSDQ\FRQVLGHUUHGEURNHQVWRFNVWREH
LQPLQHVWRFNVRUWREH in situPDWHULDO"6RPHPLQHVWUHDW
DQ\PDWHULDOEURNHQDVLQVWDQWO\PLQHGHYHQWKRXJKWKH
EURNHQVWRFNVPD\UHVLGHRQWKHSLWRRURULQVWRSHVDQG
RUHSDVVHVIRUVLJQLFDQWSHULRGVRIWLPH0DNHVXUH\RX
XQGHUVWDQG KRZ WKLV PDWHULDO LV WUHDWHG SDUWLFXODUO\ LQ
XQGHUJURXQG VLWXDWLRQV ZKHUH JUDGH FRQWURO WRQQDJHV
PD\EHEDVHGRQUHGPDWHULDO
7KHUHLVDJUHDWGHDORIGLVFXVVLRQDERXW608VHOHFWLRQDWWKH
PLQHSODQQLQJDQG5HVHUYHGHQLWLRQVWDJH7KHWHPSWDWLRQ
LVWRLQFRUSRUDWHUHODWLYHO\VPDOO608VIRUJUHDWHUUHVROXWLRQ
7KHUH DUH SUDFWLFDO OLPLWDWLRQV WR WKH VL]H RI WKH GDWDEDVH
UHTXLUHGWRPRGHOVPDOO608VDQGWKHVLJQLFDQFHRIVPDOO
608VLQDQ\HYHQWJLYHQWKDWWKH\UHSUHVHQWHVWLPDWLRQVRI
WKHJUDGHDQGWRQQDJHRIWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDWDQ\SRLQW
7KHPLQLQJHQJLQHHUPXVWFRQVLGHUWKHVL]HDQGVXLWDELOLW\
RI WKH HTXLSPHQW EHLQJ XVHG DQG WKH PLQH JHRORJLVW PXVW
EH VXEMHFWLYH DERXW WKH UHVROXWLRQ RI HVWLPDWHV FRQWDLQHG LQ
HLWKHUWKHRSHQSLWRUXQGHUJURXQG5HVRXUFHPRGHO
Grade control
*UDGHFRQWUROPRGHOVZKLFKDUHJHQHUDOO\EDVHGRQFORVHU
VSDFHG GULOOLQJ RU VDPSOHV DUH W\SLFDOO\ GHSOHWHG DQG
UHFRQFLOHGE\PLQLQJEORFNVRQDPRQWKO\EDVLV7RQQHVDQG
JUDGH DQG RWKHU LQIRUPDWLRQ GHQRWLQJ TXDOLW\ QHHGV WR EH
UHSRUWHGE\DVSDWLDOXQLWVXFKDVDPLQLQJEORFNIURPWKH
JUDGHFRQWUROPRGHOIRUWKHDUHDPLQHGHDFKPRQWKLQRUGHU
WRPRQLWRUSHUIRUPDQFHRIWKHPLQLQJRSHUDWLRQDJDLQVWZKDW
WKH SODQW VWDWHV LW LV UHFHLYLQJ 7KH PHWKRG RI UHSRUWLQJ WKH
WRQQHVDQGJUDGHLVWKHVDPHDVWKRVHGLVFXVVHGIRU5HVRXUFH
PRGHOUHSRUWLQJ7DEOH
,Q EXON PLQLQJ XQGHUJURXQG VRPHWLPHV LW LV QRW SRVVLEOH
WRFDUU\RXWVXIFLHQWJUDGHFRQWUROGULOOLQJDQGVDPSOLQJWR
FUHDWH D JUDGH FRQWURO PRGHO ,Q WKHVH VLWXDWLRQV SURGXFWLRQ
JUDGHFRQWUROJUDGHVPD\EHDVVLJQHGEDVHGRQGUDZSRLQWRU
WUXFNVDPSOLQJUDWKHUWKDQIURPDPRGHO,IWKHUHLVQRJUDGH
$OOWKHLVVXHVGLVFXVVHGIRU5HVRXUFHPRGHOVDUHDOVRUHOHYDQW
IRUJUDGHFRQWUROPRGHOV,QDGGLWLRQWKHIROORZLQJFRPPHQWV
KDYHEHHQGRFXPHQWHG
Sampling errors
$ SDUWLFXODU LVVXH ZLWK JUDGH FRQWURO FDQ EH WKH XVH RI
EODVWKROHV IRU VDPSOLQJ %ODVWKROH VSDFLQJ VL]H ORFDWLRQ DQG
RULHQWDWLRQ DUH DOO GHVLJQHG WR RSWLPLVH EODVWLQJ DQG DUH QRW
RSWLPLVHG IRU JUDGH FRQWURO %ODVWKROHV FDQ UHVXOW LQ YHU\
SRRU SUHFLVLRQ LQ WKH DVVD\ UHVXOWV SDUWLFXODUO\ LQ D KLJK
QXJJHWHQYLURQPHQW7KLVSRRUSUHFLVLRQUHHFWVDVSRRUORFDO
DFFXUDF\LQWKHHVWLPDWHGJUDGHVEXWPD\EHDFFHSWDEOHLQD
EXONPLQLQJVFHQDULRRUZKHUHWKHRUHZDVWH]RQHVDUHODUJH
DQG ERXQGDULHV DUH KLJKO\ YLVXDO ,QFUHDVLQJO\ PLQHV ZLWK
QDUURZPLQHUDOLVHG]RQHVKDYHPRYHGWRUHYHUVHFLUFXODWLRQ
5&GULOOLQJIRUJUDGHFRQWURO7KLVPHDQVWKDWWKHKROHVFDQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
743
EHDQJOHGIRURSWLPXPLQWHUVHFWLRQZLGWKVRUDKLJKHUTXDOLW\
VDPSOHDQGPXOWLSOHEHQFKHVLQDSLWFDQEHJUDGHFRQWUROOHG
HQKDQFLQJVKRUWWHUPSODQQLQJDQGPLQLQJ
Mining
0LQHG WRQQHV DQG TXDOLW\JUDGH LQIRUPDWLRQ LV W\SLFDOO\
UHSRUWHG RQ D VKLIW EDVLV ZLWK D VSDWLDO FRPSRQHQW VXFK DV
PLQLQJ EORFN 7RQQHV DUH RIWHQ UHSRUWHG IURP D GLVSDWFK
V\VWHP EDVHG RQ WUXFN FRXQWV RU ZHLJKWRPHWHU LQIRUPDWLRQ
*UDGHVTXDOLW\LQIRUPDWLRQLVQRUPDOO\DVVLJQHGWRWKLVGDWD
IURPWKHJUDGHFRQWUROV\VWHP0LQHGWRQQHVDQGJUDGHPD\
EHUHIHUUHGWRDVPLQHFODLPHGRUPLQHGHOLYHUHGERWKEHLQJ
WKH PDWHULDO GHOLYHUHG WR WKH SODQW DV PHDVXUHG E\ WKH PLQH
RU PLQLQJ HTXLSPHQW 6RPH DUHDV WKDW VKRXOG EH FRQVLGHUHG
ZKHQUHSRUWLQJPLQHGWRQQHVDQGJUDGHDUHVKRZQLQ7DEOH
TABLE 4
The method of reporting the mined tonnes and grade is
dependent on external factors.
Consideration
Dispatch
systems
7KH XVH RI DQ LQDSSURSULDWH JUDGH FXWRII IRU GHQLQJ RUH
ERXQGDULHVFDQUHVXOWLQUHFRQFLOLDWLRQLVVXHVLIWKHRUHLVQRW
KLJKO\YLVXDO7\SLFDOO\WKLVEHFRPHVDSUREOHPLIWRRKLJKD
FXWRIIJUDGHLVXVHGDQGWKHSUHFLVLRQRIWKHDVVD\UHVXOWVLV
QRWJRRGHQRXJKWRDFFXUDWHO\GHQHRUHIURPZDVWHDWWKLV
FXWRIIJUDGH
Ore ramps
Some pits build ramps using in-pit ore. Often this is not considered
in reconciliation or is ignored. Such ramps should be considered
as stockpiles if they are to be reclaimed at a later date or the ore
written off if the practice is to send this material to waste when it is
eventually mined.
Human errors
7KH SUHVVXUH RI SURGXFWLRQ LV RIWHQ LQWHQVH GXULQJ JUDGH
FRQWURO/DFNRIWLPHWRFDUU\RXWWDVNVWRDKLJKOHYHORITXDOLW\
FDQUHVXOWLQHUURUVLQDOOVWDJHVRIWKHJUDGHFRQWUROSURFHVV
,W LV LPSRUWDQW WR PDLQWDLQ D KLJK TXDOLW\ DQG KDYH FKHFNV
DQG EDODQFHV LQ SODFH WR PRQLWRU WKH JUDGH FRQWURO V\VWHP
'HFLVLRQVVXFKDVEODVWLQJDQGPLQLQJDEORFNSULRUWRJUDGH
FRQWURO LQIRUPDWLRQ EHLQJ DYDLODEOH FDQ KDYH D VLJQLFDQW
HIIHFWRQWKHTXDOLW\RIWKHPDWHULDOWKDWLVXOWLPDWHO\PLQHG
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRXQGHUVWDQGWKDWWKHEHVWGHVLJQHGPRGHOV
SODQV V\VWHPV DQG SUDFWLFHV DUH LQFRQVHTXHQWLDO LI VRPHRQH
GHFLGHVWRLJQRUHRUE\SDVVWKHP5HFRQFLOLDWLRQPD\KLJKOLJKW
WKHVHLVVXHVRUEHDYLFWLPRISRRUSURFHVVDQGSUDFWLFH
744
Mining Reconciliation An Overview of Data Collection Points and Data Analysis|R Hargreaves and C Morley
Mining direction
(UURUV DUH RIWHQ LQFXUUHG ZKHQ PLQLQJ SDUDOOHO WR
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQDVLWLVKDUGHUWRPDLQWDLQYLVXDOFRQWURORIWKH
RUHERXQGDULHVKRZHYHUDFOHDQHUFXWFDQXVXDOO\EHPDGH
E\PLQLQJDORQJWKHERXQGDU\7KHUHFRPPHQGHGPHWKRGLV
WRPLQHRQFHDFURVVWKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLQDFXWWKDWSURYLGHV
YLVXDOFRQWURORIWKHRUHDQGZDVWHERXQGDULHVWKHQSURJUHVV
WR PLQLQJ DORQJ WKH ERXQGDU\ RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ DORQJ
VWULNHWRPLQLPLVHGLOXWLRQ
Underground voids
0LQLQJ WKURXJK XQGHUJURXQG ZRUNLQJV FDQ FDXVH LVVXHV
ZLWKRUHORVVLIWKHZRUNLQJVDUHQRWSURSHUO\VXUYH\HGDQG
ORFDWHG 7KLV LV D FRPPRQ SUREOHP LQ PLQHV WKDW KDYH KDG
KLVWRULFDOXQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJDQGWKHIXOOH[WHQWRIPLQLQJ
LVXQNQRZQRUWKHVXUYH\VDUHRIXQFHUWDLQDFFXUDF\8VHRI
JURXQG SURELQJ UDGDU RU VSHFLF SUREH GULOO KROHV PD\ EH
QHFHVVDU\IRUERWKVDIHW\DQGPLQHSODQQLQJSXUSRVHV
Dilution of ore
8QSODQQHG GLOXWLRQ FDQ RFFXU GXH WR PDQ\ LVVXHV GXULQJ
PLQLQJ LQFOXGLQJ VKHHWLQJ RI RRUV ZLWK ZDVWH PDWHULDO
GR]LQJ RRU PDWHULDO XS WR IDFHV SRRU ERXQGDU\ FXWWLQJ
LQFRUUHFWDOORFDWLRQRIEDWWHUFXWWLQJVPLQLQJEORFNVWRRVPDOO
IRUWKHHTXLSPHQWVL]HRUKXPDQHUURUGXULQJPLQLQJRYHU
GLJJLQJLQWRWKHEHQFKEHORZHWFWRQDPHDIHZ
Survey errors
,QDFFXUDF\LQVXUYH\VFDQFDXVHORFDOHUURUDQGUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
SUREOHPV,VVXHVFDQLQYROYHLQFRUUHFWJUDGHFRQWUROGULOOKROH
OD\RXWVLQFRUUHFWRUHERXQGDU\OD\RXWVLQDGHTXDWHVXUYH\V
RIHQGRIPRQWKVXUIDFHVLQSLWVWRFNSLOHVRUDUHDVRIEDFNOO
Material tracking
$XWRPDWHGGLVSDWFKV\VWHPVKHOS UHGXFHHUURUVLQPDWHULDO
PRYHPHQW DQG WUDFNLQJ KRZHYHU HUURUV FDQ VWLOO RFFXU
LQFOXGLQJIDLOLQJWRVWRSWUXFNVIURPGXPSLQJLQWKHLQFRUUHFW
ORFDWLRQXQGHURURYHUORDGLQJRIWUXFNVDQGLQFRUUHFWUHVXOWV
IURPSRRUO\FDOLEUDWHGRUEURNHQORDGFHOOV
2YHUGUDZLQJGXULQJVXEOHYHOFDYLQJLHGUDZLQJGRZQWRR
PXFKZDVWHFDQOHDGWRGLOXWLRQDQGSRRUUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ,W
LVDOVRSRVVLEOHIRURUHWREHKHOGXSLQVWRSHVDQGRUHSDVVHV
UHVXOWLQJLQRUHORVV
Development reconciliation
'HYHORSPHQWGULYHVDUHJHQHUDOO\RIDVHWVL]HDQGORFDWLRQ
DQGKHQFHGRQRWQHFHVVDULO\IXOO\PLQHWKHRUH]RQH,WLVDOVR
FRPPRQWRGHYHORSRIIWKHRUHDQGQRWIXOO\PLQHLW,QWKHVH
LQVWDQFHVUHFRQFLOLDWLRQFDQVXIIHUDVLWLVGLIFXOWWRSDUWLDOO\
GHSOHWH DQ XQGHUJURXQG RUHERG\ XVLQJ VXUYH\ LQIRUPDWLRQ
XQOHVVFXWWLQJWKHPRGHOZLWKYRLGVFUHDWHGIURPWKHVXUYH\
SLFNXS:KHUHRQO\LQIRUPDWLRQRQGLVWDQFHDGYDQFHGLVXVHG
PDQ\PLQHVLQFRUUHFWO\DVVXPHWKDWGHYHORSPHQWGHSOHWLRQ
KDVWKHWRWDORUH]RQHEHLQJPLQHGRXW
$FWXDO GHYHORSPHQW RQ RUH XQGHUJURXQG ZKLFK KDV EHHQ
JXLGHGE\YLVXDOFRQWUROGXULQJPLQLQJZLOOQRWDOZD\VEHLQ
H[DFWO\WKHVDPHORFDWLRQDVWKHRUH]RQHLQWKHPRGHOHYHQLI
WKHRUH]RQHLVIXOO\PLQHG5HVRXUFHPRGHOVDUHEDVHGRQGULOO
KROHVXUYH\VDQGLQWHUSUHWDWLRQVWKDWKDYHDGHJUHHRIORFDO
LQDFFXUDF\7RJHWDURXQGWKLVLWLVLPSRUWDQWZKHQWU\LQJWR
GHWHUPLQHWKHDFFXUDF\RIWKHPRGHOSUHGLFWLQJRUHJUDGHWKDW
GHSOHWLRQVDUHFDUULHGRXWE\FRRNLHFXWWLQJWKHRUH]RQHLQ
WKHPLQHGDUHD7KLVUHFRQFLOHVWKHHVWLPDWLRQPHWKRGRORJ\
ZKLOHFXWWLQJWKH5HVRXUFHPRGHOZLWKWKHVXUYH\VKDSHVZLOO
UHFRQFLOHWKHVSDWLDODFFXUDF\RIWKHPRGHOVLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRI
WKHRUH]RQHV
$GGLWLRQDOVWULSSLQJRIRUHEHKLQGWKHGHYHORSPHQWIDFHV
LVVRPHWLPHVQRWFDSWXUHGE\WKHVXUYH\RUVDQGKHQFHWKHVH
VXUYH\VXQGHUHVWLPDWHWKHPDWHULDOPLQHG
Stoping reconciliation
9ROXPH FDOFXODWLRQ HUURUV FDQ RFFXU ZLWKLQ RYHUKDQJLQJ RU
SDUWLDOO\ EORFNHG VWRSHV ([FHVVLYH GLOXWLRQ RU KDQJXSV RUH
ORVVFDQRFFXUGXULQJORQJKROHVWRSLQJ8QNQRZQRUZDYHULQJ
RUH SUROHV EHWZHHQ OHYHOV FDQ UHVXOW LQ XQSODQQHG GLOXWLRQ
DQGRURUHORVVZKHQWKHSUROHLVDVVXPHGWREHVWUDLJKW
5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ RI ORQJKROH RU EODVWKROH VWRSHV LV GLIFXOW
XQWLOVWRSHVDUHFRPSOHWHDQGRQO\WKHQLIDYRLGLVDYDLODEOH
IRU VXUYH\ ,I UHFRQFLOLQJ RQ D PRQWKO\ EDVLV WKH DXWKRUV
UHFRPPHQGDWLRQ LV WR UHFRQFLOH DOO VWRSHV FRPSOHWHG WKDW
PRQWKDJDLQVWWKHPRGHOVDQGVXUYH\%\XVLQJWKLVPHWKRGD
IXOOUHFRQFLOLDWLRQFDQEHFDUULHGRXWDWWKHFRPSOHWLRQRIHDFK
VWRSHDQGWKHFRPSOHWHGVWRSHVVLPSO\UHSRUWHGDWPRQWKHQG
Inclusion of fill
'XULQJ FXWDQGOO RSHUDWLRQV H[FHVV ORDGLQJ RI ZDVWH OO
FDQFRQWULEXWHWRGLOXWLRQUHVXOWLQJLQSRRUUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ,WLV
DFRPPRQSUDFWLFHDQGQRWRQHWKDWWKHDXWKRUVHQGRUVHWR
HVWLPDWHTXDQWLWLHVRIOOWKDWKDYHGLOXWHGWKHRUHDQGDVVLJQ
WKHOODQDUELWUDU\JUDGH
Sampling errors
*UDGHFRQWUROVDPSOLQJXQGHUJURXQGLVRIWHQXQGHUWDNHQXVLQJ
VDPSOLQJ RI GULOO FXWWLQJV JUDE VDPSOLQJ RU FKDQQHO RU FKLS
VDPSOLQJ7KHVHPHWKRGVDUHSURQHWRSRRUSUHFLVLRQDQGFDUH
VKRXOGEHWDNHQWRHQVXUHWKH\DUHFDUULHGRXWWREHVWLQGXVWU\
SUDFWLFHWRPLQLPLVHVDPSOLQJHUURU,GHDOO\GLDPRQGGULOOLQJ
VKRXOGEHXVHGIRUJUDGHFRQWUROVDPSOLQJXQGHUJURXQG7KH
DXWKRUVDUHDZDUHRIWKHDSSOLFDWLRQRI5&GULOOLQJWHFKQLTXHV
XQGHUJURXQGZLWKPL[HGVXFFHVV,QWKHIXWXUHLIWHFKQRORJ\
DGYDQFHVWRWKHSRLQWZKHUH5&GULOOLQJFDQEHV\VWHPDWLFDOO\
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
745
XVHGXQGHUJURXQGWKLVZLOOJUHDWO\HQKDQFHPLQHUVDELOLW\WR
FUHDWHFRVWHIIHFWLYHXQGHUJURXQGJUDGHFRQWUROPRGHOV
Stockpiles
6WRFNSLOHWRQQHVDQGJUDGHVDUHW\SLFDOO\UHSRUWHGVHSDUDWHO\
DVWRQQHVDQGJUDGHRQDQGRIIWKHVWRFNSLOHVRQDPRQWKO\
EDVLV DW D PLQLPXP 7KHVH RQJRLQJ WUDQVDFWLRQV DOORZ D
EDODQFH WR EH FDOFXODWHG ZKLFK LV RIWHQ H[SUHVVHG DV WKH
RSHQLQJ RU FORVLQJ EDODQFH DW WKH EHJLQQLQJ RU HQG RI HDFK
PRQWK 7RQQHV DUH HLWKHU UHSRUWHG IURP D GLVSDWFK V\VWHP
WUXFN FRXQWV RU ZHLJKWRPHWHU RU DUH EDVHG RQ VXUYH\
YROXPHV*UDGHVDUHDVVLJQHGIURPWKHJUDGHFRQWUROJXUHV
DQG DUH WUDFNHG RQ WKH VWRFNSLOH XVLQJ D UVWLQ UVWRXW
),)2 ODVWLQ UVWRXW /,)2 RU DYHUDJH JUDGH PRGHOOLQJ
DSSURDFK 5HSRUWLQJ RQ VWRFNSLOHV PD\ EH GHSHQGHQW RQ
H[WHUQDO IDFWRUV 7DEOH OLVWV VRPH DUHDV WKDW VKRXOG EH
FRQVLGHUHGZKHQUHSRUWLQJVWRFNSLOHV
TABLE 5
Reporting on stockpiles may be dependent on external factors.
Reporting tonnes and grade on stockpiles
External factor
Stockpile
management
systems
Processing plant
3ODQWJXUHVDUHW\SLFDOO\UHSRUWHGRQDVKLIWEDVLV3ODQWIHHG
WRQQHVDQGJUDGHKHDGJUDGHDUHEDVHGRQFUXVKHGWRQQHV
DQG PHDVXUHG E\ D ZHLJKWRPHWHU RQ WKH FUXVKHG IHHG EHOW
DQGKHDGJUDGHZKLFKLVJHQHUDOO\EDVHGRQEHOWVDPSOLQJ
RU SRVW PLOO VDPSOLQJ RI D VWUHDP DV FORVH WR WKH IURQW RI
WKH SODQW DV SRVVLEOH $ FDOFXODWHG KHDG JUDGH LV EDVHG RQ
WKH PHWDO SURGXFHG DQG WDLOV DGMXVWHG IRU PHWDO LQ FLUFXLW
7KH SODQW PD\ DOVR UHSRUW RQ PHWDO SURGXFHG WDLOV DQG
PHWDO LQ FLUFXLW 7KH SODQW KHDG JUDGH LV QRUPDOO\ GHQHG
DV WKH PDWHULDO WUHDWHG E\ WKH SODQW EHIRUH PLOOLQJ RU PHWDO
H[WUDFWLRQ7DEOHOLVWVRPHDUHDVWKDWVKRXOGEHFRQVLGHUHG
ZKHQUHSRUWLQJSODQWJXUHV
TABLE 6
Reporting on plant tonnes and grade may be dependent on external factors.
Reporting tonnes and grade from the plant
External factor
Consideration
Weightometers
Sampling
How and where is the sampling carried out and what is the
accuracy and precision of the sampling method? Plants are
like a chemical equation the sum of the inputs must equal
the sum of the outputs. Therefore, it is important to capture
samples and volumes/density of all plant outputs including
oversize material, tailings and product.
Consideration
On any mine a stockpiling strategy should be in place. This
document should clearly outline who is in control of the
stockpiles; where they are located; how often they are zeroed;
how frequently they are turned over, and how the movement
is monitored.
Stockpile in the mine and located prior to the primary
crusher are generally considered to be controlled by the mine
production team, while coarse ore stockpiles after the crusher
are generally considered to be part of the processing plant.
Surveying
Systems
interaction
Grade modelling
Stockpiles
How is the movement on and off any stockpiles after the crusher
(cone or coarse ore stockpile) modelled and monitored? Are
there areas in the plant where material is introduced into the
circuit, or in the case of mill clean-ups re-introduced, which
might result in double counting of some tonnes? Often these
in-plant stocks are insufficiently surveyed or not surveyed at all.
Process controls
0HWDOKROGXSVZLWKLQVHFWLRQVRIWKHSODQWFDQUHVXOWLQSRRU
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQRQDPRQWKO\EDVLVEXWPD\QRWEHDVGUDPDWLF
RYHUDODUJHUWLPHIUDPH:KHQWKHFRPPLQXWLRQRUPLOOLQJ
FLUFXLWV DUH QRW RSWLPLVHG IRU WKH EOHQG RI RUH VXSSOLHG
WKH SURGXFW SURGXFHG ZLOO EH ORZHU WKDQ WKH HVWLPDWHV
2YHUFRPSHQVDWLRQ E\ SURFHVV FRQWURO V\VWHPV RU KDYLQJ
QRSURFHVVFRQWUROV\VWHPVZLOOKDYHDGHWULPHQWDOHIIHFWRQ
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ 7KH SURFHVVHV VKRXOG DOZD\V EH DWWHPSWLQJ
WRPD[LPLVHPHWDOUHFRYHU\UDWKHUWKDQWKURXJKSXWRURWKHU
FULWHULD
Mining Reconciliation An Overview of Data Collection Points and Data Analysis|R Hargreaves and C Morley
Sampling
3RRUVDPSOLQJHTXLSPHQWDVZHOODVWHFKQLTXHVDQGSURFHGXUHV
IRU VDPSOHV WDNHQ LQ WKH SODQW HVSHFLDOO\ IURP UXQRIPLQH
520 WR FUXVKHU DQG PLOO IHHG KHDG JUDGH FDQ KDYH D
QHJDWLYHLPSDFWRQUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ,QIUHTXHQWVDPSOHVRUSRRU
TXDOLW\ JUDE VDPSOHV WDNHQ LQ WKH SODQW GR QRW DFFXUDWHO\
UHSUHVHQWWKHPDWHULDOJRLQJWKURXJKWKHFLUFXLW:KHQVDPSOHV
DUHWDNHQDWLQFRUUHFWSODFHVIRUH[DPSOHLQDORFDWLRQZKHUH
SDUWRIDVWUHDPLVPLVVHGRUWKHVDPSOHUGRHVQRWDFKLHYHD
VWDWLVWLFDOO\UHSUHVHQWDWLYHVDPSOHWKHUHVXOWLVWKDWWKHUHLVDQ
LQHIIHFWLYHPDVVEDODQFHZLWKLQWKHSODQWDQGVRWKHUHSRUWHG
UHVXOWVKDYHWKHSRWHQWLDOWRELDVUHFRQFLOLDWLRQUHVXOWV
3RRU VXEVDPSOLQJ DW WKH ODERUDWRU\ DQG DQDO\WLFDO
LQDFFXUDF\ GXH WR SURFHGXUHV DQG WHFKQLTXHV XVHG VXFK
DV FDOLEUDWLRQ LVVXHV ZLWK HTXLSPHQW LPSDFW RQ WKH DFWXDO
JXUHVEHLQJUHSRUWHG&RPPRQSUDFWLFHRISRRULQVXIFLHQW
VDPSOLQJRIUHVLGXHRUWDLOVFDQDOVRKDYHDQLPSDFWDVWKH\
DUHXVHGLQWKHSODQWPDVVEDODQFHHTXDWLRQ:KHQVDPSOHV
DUHQRWWDNHQDWDOOWKH\DUHRIWHQEDFNFDOFXODWHGZKLFKDGGV
DQRWKHUHVWLPDWHLQWRWKHHTXDWLRQ
Volume
:KHQ WKHUH DUH QRW HQRXJK ZHLJKWRPHWHU DQG RZ PHWHUV
LQVWDOOHG WKLV LPSDFWV RQ PDVV EDODQFLQJ RI WKH SODQW DV
FULWLFDO PHDVXULQJ SRLQWV ZLOO QHHG WR EH EDFNFDOFXODWHG
EDVHG RQ RWKHU DFWXDO PHDVXULQJ SRLQWV ,QIUHTXHQW RU QRQ
FDOLEUDWLRQRIRZPHWHUVDQGZHLJKWRPHWHUVFDQEHDVRXUFH
RIYROXPHHUURUV
DATA ANALYSIS
0RVW UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ UHSRUWV IRFXV RQ ORQJ WLPH SHULRGV IRU
H[DPSOH PRQWKO\ TXDUWHUO\ RU DQQXDOO\ 7KLV LV GXH WR WKH
GLIFXOW\LQKDQGOLQJUHVLGHQFHWLPHVRIPDWHULDOLQVWRFNSLOHV
DQG SURFHVVLQJ SODQWV DQG WKH WLPHFRQVXPLQJ QDWXUH RI
JDWKHULQJ WKH QHFHVVDU\ GDWD IRU DQDO\VLV DQG UHSRUWLQJ
$ UROOLQJ SHULRG FDQ DOVR EH XVHG WR LURQ RXW WKH DUWLFLDO
SHDNV DQG YDOOH\V LQ WKH JUDSKLFDO RXWSXW ZKLOH NHHSLQJ
WKHPRQWKO\GDWDDYDLODEOH'DWDWKDWLVJHQHUDWHGUHJXODUO\
RYHUORQJSHULRGVRIWLPHZLOOXVXDOO\UHVXOWLQGDWDVHWVWKDW
VPRRWKRXWDQ\VKRUWWHUPDQRPDOLHVDQGLQGRLQJVRPRUH
DFFXUDWHO\UHHFWWUHQGVDIWHU5LVNH et al
)RU DQ\ RSHUDWLRQ WR PRYH EH\RQG EDFNZDUGORRNLQJ
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ WR DQDO\VLV DQG SUHGLFWLRQ WKH DXWKRUV
UHFRPPHQG WKH IROORZLQJ WHQ VWHSV DUH WDNHQ ZKLFK DUH LQ
OLQH ZLWK WKH VXSSOLHU LQSXW SURFHVV RXWSXW DQG FXVWRPHU
6,32&SURFHVV
LGHQWLI\NH\VRXUFHVRIGDWD
DXWRPDWH WKH FDSWXUH RI WKLV GDWD WR HQVXUH FRQVLVWHQW
LQSXWDQGGHFUHDVHKXPDQHUURULQWHUYHQWLRQ
HVWDEOLVKEXVLQHVVUXOHVIRUWKHYDOLGDWLRQRIWKHGDWD
VWRUHWKHGDWDLQRQHFHQWUDOFRPPHUFLDOTXDOLW\GDWDEDVH
HVWDEOLVKDQLQWHUIDFHWKDWHQDEOHVHIFLHQWDQDO\VLVRIWKH
GDWD
UHVHDUFK WUHQGV DQG SDWWHUQV LQ WKH GDWD HVSHFLDOO\
YDULDWLRQEHWZHHQUHFRQFLOHGGDWD
GULOOGRZQLQWRWKHVHWUHQGVSDWWHUQVIRUFDXVHVDQGHIIHFWV
XVHWKLVLQIRUPDWLRQWRHVWDEOLVKDQGWHVWK\SRWKHVHV
GHYHORSDNQRZOHGJHEDVHWKDWHQDEOHV\RXWRSUHGLFWWKH
IXWXUHPLQHDQGSODQWSHUIRUPDQFH
FRQVWDQWO\PRGLI\\RXUNQRZOHGJHEDVHWKRXJKRQJRLQJ
DQDO\VLV
7KHPDLQREMHFWLYHRIDQ\UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV\VWHPVKRXOGEH
WR DOORZ SHUVRQQHO WR DGMXVW SURFHVVHV VR WKDW UHVXOWV DOLJQ
ZLWKLQ DFFHSWDEOH WROHUDQFH UDQJHV DQG QRW WR JHQHUDWH D
OLVW RI IDFWRUV XVHG WR FRUUHFW HVWLPDWHV 7KLV ZLOO UHVXOW LQ
VLJQLFDQWEHQHWVIRUWKHRSHUDWLRQDQGSURYLGHDEDVLVIRU
RQJRLQJLPSURYHPHQW0RUOH\
7KHNH\WRDQDO\VLQJODUJHGDWDVHWVLVWKHDELOLW\WRLGHQWLI\
DQRPDOLHV DQG SDWWHUQV LQ WKH GDWD :KHQ DQDO\VLQJ WKH
UHVXOWV D VHULHV RI WULJJHUV VKRXOG EH SXW LQ SODFH WR DJ
DUHDVRISRWHQWLDOLVVXH7KHW\SHVRITXHVWLRQVWKDWVKRXOGEH
DQVZHUHGGXULQJDQDO\VLVDUHVXPPDULVHGEHORZEDVHGRQD
W\SLFDOPLQHYDOXHFKDLQ)LJXUH
+RZPXFKRIWKH5HVRXUFHLVFRQYHUWHGWR5HVHUYH"
+RZPXFKGLOXWLRQLVWKHUHLQWKH5HVHUYH"
+RZGRWKHJUDGHFRQWUROUHVXOWVFRPSDUHWRWKH5HVRXUFH
PRGHO"
+RZ PXFK RI WKH 5HVHUYH LV LQFOXGHG LQ WKH PLQH
VFKHGXOH"
+RZGRHVWKHDFWXDOPLQHGPDWHULDOUHSRUWHGE\VXUYH\
FRPSDUH ZLWK GHVLJQ JUDGH FRQWURO GLVSDWFK DQG PLQH
SODQ"
+RZ GRHV WKH JUDGH FRQWURO GHVLJQ FRPSDUH WR ZKDW
GLVSDWFKVDLGZDVGXJ"
+RZGRWKHGHVLJQDQGJUDGHFRQWUROSUHGLFWLRQVRIZKDW
ZRXOGEHVHQWWRWKHSODQWFRPSDUHWRZKDWPLQHSODQQLQJ
VFKHGXOHGDQGIRUHFDVWHG"
+RZGRWKHGHVLJQDQGJUDGHFRQWUROSUHGLFWLRQVRIZKDW
ZRXOGEHVHQWWRWKHSODQWFRPSDUHWRWKHPHWDODFWXDOO\
SURGXFHG"
+RZGRHVWKHDFWXDOPLQHGPDWHULDOFRPSDUHZLWKZKDW
WKHPLOOVDLGLWUHFHLYHG"
+RZ GRHV WKH RULJLQDO 5HVRXUFH FRPSDUH WR WKH PHWDO
QDOO\SURGXFHG"
+RZ GRHV WKH RULJLQDO 5HVHUYH FRPSDUH WR WKH PHWDO
QDOO\SURGXFHG"
+RZGRHVWKHFDOFXODWHGKHDGJUDGHFRPSDUHWRWKHJUDGH
FRQWUROSUHGLFWLRQ"
8QIDYRXUDEOH UHVXOWV IRU DQ\ RI WKHVH TXHVWLRQV VKRXOG
UHVXOWLQIXUWKHUDQDO\VLVZKLFKGULOOVGRZQLQWRWKHYDULDQFH
WR LGHQWLI\ WKH URRW FDXVH WKXV DOORZLQJ SHUVRQQHO WR FDUU\
RXWDFWLRQVWKDWPLJKWFRUUHFWWKHFDXVHV
7KHSUDFWLFHRIURXWLQHO\FROOHFWLQJTXDOLW\GDWDDQGVWRULQJ
LWLQDPDQQHUWKDWPDNHVLWDFFHVVLEOHIRUDQDO\VLVZLOOHQDEOH
VLWHSHUVRQQHOWRTXLFNO\LGHQWLI\DUHDVZKHUHDVVXPSWLRQVRU
HVWLPDWHVFDQEHUHQHG)RUH[DPSOHFRQVLVWHQWXQGHUFDOOLQJ
RID5HVRXUFHPRGHOFRPSDUHGWRWKHPHWDODFWXDOO\SURGXFHG
PLJKWLQGLFDWHWKDWWRSFXWWLQJSUDFWLFHVQHHGUHDVVHVVLQJRU
WKDW WKH JUDGH HVWLPDWLRQ PHWKRG LV LQDSSURSULDWH +DYLQJ
LGHQWLHGWKHURRWFDXVHSHUVRQQHOFDQPRGLI\WKHSURFHVVRU
SURFHGXUHDQGWKHQPRQLWRUWKHUHVXOWWKHREMHFWLYHEHLQJWR
[WKHYDULDWLRQUDWKHUWKDQIDFWRULW
RECONCILIATION COMPARISONS
$UDQJHRIUHFRQFLOLDWLRQFRPSDULVRQVWKDWWKHDXWKRUVEHOLHYH
WRKDYHDZLGHUHOHYDQFHDFURVVWKHLQGXVWU\LVGLVSOD\HGLQ
7DEOHDIWHU)RXHW et al0LQLQJRSHUDWLRQVZLOORQO\
QHHGWRDGRSWFRPSDULVRQVIRUZKLFKWKH\KDYHWKHFDSDELOLW\
WRUHFRUGDQGPHDVXUHWKHLQSXWV
7KHVH FRPSDULVRQV VKRXOG EH PDGH RQ D WLPH VSDWLDO RU
SK\VLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFVEDVHG UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ DV LV UHOHYDQW
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
747
TABLE 7
Standardised reconciliation nomenclature (Fouet et al, 2009).
Standardised reconciliation nomenclature
Section within mining
process
SODQQLQJ JUDGH FRQWURO DQG 0LQH WR 0LOO DUH EHVW SODFHG
WR FUHDWH D V\VWHP WKDW ZLOO LGHQWLI\ YDULDWLRQ DQG LGHQWLI\
DUHDV WKDW UHTXLUH LPSURYHPHQW &RPSDQLHV WKDW KDYH WKH
IROORZLQJLQSODFHDUHVHWWLQJWKHVFHQHIRUVXFFHVV
Mining reconciliation
Plant reconciliation
(DFKRIWKHVHW\SHVRIUHFRQFLOLDWLRQLVGHVFULEHGEHORZDQG
VKRZQLQ)LJXUH
Time-based reconciliation
REFERENCES
)RXHW 7 5LVNH 5 0RUOH\ & &RRN $ DQG &HQWRIDQWL -
6WDQGDUGLVLQJ WKH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ IDFWRUV UHTXLUHG LQ JRYHUQDQFH
UHSRUWLQJ LQ Proceedings Seventh International Mining Geology
ConferenceSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
Spatial-based reconciliation
*ODFNHQ , DQG 0RUOH\ & /HDGLQJ SUDFWLFH LQ UHVRXUFH DQG
UHVHUYHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ6QRZGHQJXLGDQFHQRWHV
CONCLUSION
7KRVHFRPSDQLHVWKDWHPEUDFHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQDFURVVWKHHQWLUH
PLQH YDOXH FKDLQ 5HVRXUFH PRGHO WKURXJK PLQH GHVLJQ
748
HOME
1. President, Francis Pitard Sampling Consultants, 14800 Tejon Street, Broomfield Co 80023, USA. Email: [email protected]
* This paper was previously published in the first edition of Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice (2001).
INTRODUCTION
7KH DXWKRUV FRQVXOWLQJ H[SHULHQFH ZLWK PDMRU PLQLQJ
FRUSRUDWLRQVGHPRQVWUDWHVWKDWVDPSOLQJRUHJUDGHFRQWURO
SURFHVV FRQWURO DQG UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ SUREOHPV FDQ EH VROYHG
RQO\ ZLWK WKH LQYROYHPHQW RI WKH H[HFXWLYH WHDP 7LPH
LQYHVWHG E\ PDQDJHPHQW WR EHWWHU XQGHUVWDQG LQWHJUDWHG
VDPSOLQJ VWDWLVWLFDO SURFHVV FRQWURO 63& JHRVWDWLVWLFV DQG
WRWDOTXDOLW\PDQDJHPHQW740ZLOOEHUHSDLGPDQ\WLPHV
RYHU WR ERWK WKH LQGLYLGXDO DQG WKH FRPSDQ\ ([HFXWLYH
VXSSRUWHG VWUDWHJLHV IRXQGHG RQ LQWHJUDWHG VDPSOLQJ 63&
JHRVWDWLVWLFV DQG 740 DQG WKH GLVFLSOLQH WR HQIRUFH WKHP
LV DQ XQDPELJXRXV GLUHFWLYH WR HQJLQHHUV DQG RSHUDWRUV
,QYDULDEO\WKLVSURJUHVVLYHDQGNQRZOHGJHDEOHDWWLWXGHIURP
WKHH[HFXWLYHWHDPSURYLGHVWKHOHDGHUVKLSWKDWZLOOXQFRYHU
PDQ\SUHYLRXVO\KLGGHQSUREOHPV,WZLOOWKHUHE\SHUPLWWKH
GHYHORSPHQW RI VROXWLRQV ZLWK WKH DWWHQGDQW UHGXFWLRQ RU
HOLPLQDWLRQ RI PDQ\ LQYLVLEOH FRVWV DQG ULVNV 7KLV OHDGV WR
WKHIROORZLQJSRLQWWRWDOTXDOLW\PDQDJHPHQWVWUDWHJ\
749
VWDWXVTXRLVWKHUXOH
HPSOR\HHVORVHWKHLUFUHDWLYLW\
WKHFHUWLFDWLRQDJHQF\UXQVWKHFRPSDQ\
HPSOR\HHV UHIHU WR ,62 VWDQGDUGV WR SURWHFW DQG MXVWLI\
WKHLUDFWLRQVRUODFNRIWKHP
PDQDJHPHQWSXUVXHVRQO\WKH,62FHUWLFDWLRQ
WKH ELJJHVW DFKLHYHPHQW RI ,62 VWDQGDUGV UHVXOWV LQ WRR
PXFKHPSKDVLVRQPHWDOOXUJLFDODFFRXQWLQJ
,WLVJRRGWRSXUVXH,62VWDQGDUGVFHUWLFDWLRQDVORQJDVLW
KHOSVWKHFRPSDQ\WRRUJDQLVHLQRWKHUYHU\LPSRUWDQWDUHDV
7KLVOHDGVWRWKHFRQFHSWRIWKHWKUHHOHJJHGWDEOHLOOXVWUDWHG
E\SRLQWDQG)LJXUH
*HRORJLVWVPHWDOOXUJLVWVDQGFKHPLVWVPXVWOHDUQKRZWRGR
WKHMREULJKWWKHUVWWLPH4XDOLW\DQGSURGXFWLYLW\DUHQRW
LQFRPSDWLEOH %RWK FDQ EH DFKLHYHG DW WKH VDPH WLPH LI WKH
IROORZLQJUHTXLUHPHQWVDUHFDUHIXOO\LPSOHPHQWHGDORQJWKH
OLIHWLPHRIDSURMHFW
A Strategy to Minimise Ore Grade Reconciliation Problems between the Mine and the Mill|F F Pitard
VWXG\WKHKHWHURJHQHLW\FDUULHGE\FRQVWLWXHQWVRILQWHUHVW
RSWLPLVH VDPSOLQJ SURWRFROV DFFRUGLQJ WR KHWHURJHQHLW\
IDFWV
LPSOHPHQW VDPSOLQJ SURWRFROV XVLQJ FRUUHFWO\ GHVLJQHG
DQGPDLQWDLQHGVDPSOLQJV\VWHPV
TXDQWLI\ DFFXUDF\ DQG SUHFLVLRQ RI VDPSOLQJ DQG
VXEVDPSOLQJSURWRFROVDQGDQDO\WLFDOPHDVXUHPHQWV
LGHQWLI\DQGTXDQWLI\WKHYDULDELOLW\FRPSRQHQWVFDUULHG
E\JHQHUDWHGGDWD
8QOHVV WKLV LQHVFDSDEOH VHTXHQFH LV WKRURXJKO\
LPSOHPHQWHGTXDQWLW\RIZRUNZLOOXQQHFHVVDULO\LQDWHDQG
SURGXFWLYLW\ZLOOEHSRRU
$ZLVKOLVWFRQVLVWVRIWKUHHNH\YDOXHV
DQ XSSHU VSHFLFDWLRQ 86 DERYH ZKLFK WKH SURFHVV QR
ORQJHUZRUNVZHOO
D WDUJHWHG DYHUDJH 7$ DW ZKLFK WKH SURFHVV SHUIRUPV
best
D ORZHU VSHFLFDWLRQ /6 XQGHU ZKLFK WKH SURFHVV QR
ORQJHUZRUNVZHOO
6HYHUDOPDQDJHUVDQGHQJLQHHUVDUHXQFOHDUZKDWWKHZLVK
OLVWDQGLWVSXUSRVHLV)XUWKHUPRUHPDQ\PDQDJHUVGRQRW
EHOLHYH LQ VXFK D FRQFHSW DV HDFK SDUDPHWHU LV GHSHQGHQW
RQQXPHURXVRWKHUV,QGHHGDZLVKOLVWPXVWEHG\QDPLFLQ
WKDW LW PD\ FKDQJH ZLWK WLPH 1HYHUWKHOHVV WKH FRQFHSW RI
WKH ZLVK OLVW UHPDLQV WKH VDPH DQG LW LV XS WR WKH PDQDJHU
WRGHFLGHZKHQDQGKRZWKHOLVWVKRXOGFKDQJHDQGKRZWR
FRRUGLQDWHLWZLWKRWKHUSDUDPHWHUV$ORJLFDOZLVKOLVWFDQQRW
EHLPSURYLVHGLWLVWKHUHVXOWRIDFDUHIXOYDULDELOLW\DQDO\VLV
DQGWKHEDVLFVWDUWLQJSRLQWIRUSURDFWLYHPDQDJHPHQW6HHDQ
H[DPSOHLOOXVWUDWHGLQ)LJXUH
&XVWRPHUDQGSURFHVVIHHGEDFNPXVWEHWKHREMHFWRIFDUHIXO
VWDWLVWLFDO DQDO\VLV XVLQJ FKURQRORJLFDO GDWD SORWV PRYLQJ
DYHUDJHV YDULRJUDPV DQG WKHLU GHULYHG IXQFWLRQV DQG
YDULRJUDSKLFFRQWUROFKDUWV3LWDUG7KLVVXJJHVWVWKDW
PDQDJHUV DQG HQJLQHHUV PXVW EH FRPIRUWDEOH ZLWK EDVLF
DQG DGYDQFHG VWDWLVWLFDO WRROV ZKLFK UHTXLUHV WUDLQLQJ DQG
D FRPPLWPHQW WR FRQWLQXLQJ HGXFDWLRQ DW PLQH DQG SODQW
VLWHV6LPSOHZD\VPXVWEHIRXQGWRSUHYHQWRYHUFRUUHFWLQJD
SURFHVVZKLFKDOPRVWDOZD\VUHVXOWVLQGHYDVWDWLQJQDQFLDO
FRQVHTXHQFHV 8QIRUWXQDWHO\ VXFK RYHUFRQWURO JHQHUDWHV
LQYLVLEOHFRVWV:KRFDUHVDERXWLQYLVLEOHFRVWV"
$QH[DPSOHLVWKHFRVWRIWKHSUHFLVLRQDIIHFWLQJEODVWKROH
VDPSOHV 3UHFLVLRQ ZKLFK PD\ JHQHUDWH KXJH RUH JUDGH
PLVFODVVLFDWLRQ LV QRW WDNHQ VHULRXVO\ HQRXJK LQ PRVW
PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQV ,WV HIIHFW LV FRPSRXQGHG E\ WKH GHVLUH
WR EHFRPH RYHUVHOHFWLYH WKURXJK WKH XVH RI XQUHDOLVWLF RUH
JUDGH FXWRIIV EDVHG RQ HFRQRPLF IDFWV DORQH 7KH VNHWFK
VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH LOOXVWUDWHV D FDVH ZKHUH PDQDJHPHQW
VHOHFWVDQHFRQRPLFJROGJUDGHFXWRIIWRIHHGWKHPLOOZLWK
D WKHRUHWLFDO DYHUDJH JUDGH WKDW ZDV SUHGHWHUPLQHG E\ D
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
751
A Strategy to Minimise Ore Grade Reconciliation Problems between the Mine and the Mill|F F Pitard
Mining causes
FIG 8 - Money loss based on visible and invisible cost.
0LQLQJPRGHOSDUDOOHOWRFURVVPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLQRSHQSLW
GULIWRIPLQHUDOLVHGERXQGDULHVXSRQEODVW
VXUYH\
WUXFNGHVWLQDWLRQ
ORVVRIQHVLQXQGHUJURXQGRSHUDWLRQVDQGRSHQSLW
ORVVRIQHVLQVWRFNSLOHV
WRQQHVHVWLPDWH
GLOXWLRQ
7UXH in situQXJJHWHIIHFW
VDPSOLQJDQGVXEVDPSOLQJHUURUV
DQDO\WLFDOHUURUV
LQWHUSRODWLRQHUURUV
H[FHVVLYHUHMHFWLRQRIRXWOLHUV
DYHUDJLQJRUNULJLQJPRGHO
RUHGHQVLW\
GHQLWLRQRIRUHERXQGDULHV
In situ QXJJHWHIIHFW
VDPSOLQJDQGVXEVDPSOLQJ
DQDO\WLFDOSURFHGXUH
EODVWKROHVSDUDOOHOWRPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
DYHUDJLQJDQGNULJLQJPRGHO
RUHJUDGHFRQWRXULQJ
VXUYH\
0DWHULDOEDODQFHEDVHGRQQRQSUREDELOLVWLFVDPSOLQJ
DQDO\WLFDODFFXUDF\
SURFHVVF\FOHVHLWKHUXQNQRZQRUPLVXQGHUVWRRG
FDOLEUDWLRQRIZHLJKWRPHWHUVDQGRZPHWHUV
SRRUODERUDWRU\VXEVDPSOLQJ
753
CONCLUSION
(OLPLQDWLQJ VLJQLFDQW VDPSOLQJ DQG DQDO\WLFDO ELDVHV LV
SRVVLEOH E\ WDNLQJ SUHYHQWLYH DFWLRQV KRZHYHU SUHFLVLRQ
FDQ QHYHU EH FRPSOHWHO\ HOLPLQDWHG VR UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
SUREOHPV EHWZHHQ WKH PLQH DQG WKH PLOO FDQQRW EH HLWKHU
$Q RSHUDWLRQ ZLWKRXW D UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ SUREOHP VKRXOG DOHUW
XSSHU PDQDJHPHQW WKDW ELDVHV PD\ KDYH WDNHQ SODFH 7KH
RQO\ WKLQJ ZH FDQ DQG VKRXOG GR LV LGHQWLI\ DOO WKH FDXVHV
WKDWPD\JHQHUDWHDSUREOHPDQGWU\KDUGWRPLQLPLVHWKHLU
HIIHFWVLQDQHFRQRPLFDOZD\7KHUHIRUHDKHDOWK\RSHUDWLRQ
ZKHUHQRELDVHVKDYHWDNHQSODFHVKRXOGVKRZVOLJKWO\OHVV
PHWDO UHFRYHU\ DW WKH PLOO DQG SURFHVVLQJ SODQW WKDQ ZKDW
ZDVDQQRXQFHGE\WKHPLQH
754
REFERENCES
3LWDUG ) ) D 3LHUUH *\V 6DPSOLQJ 7KHRU\ DQG 6DPSOLQJ3UDFWLFH
&5&3UHVV,QF%RFD5DWRQ
3LWDUG ) ) E ([SORUDWLRQ RI WKH QXJJHW HIIHFW LQ Proceedings
*HRVWDWLVWLFV IRU WKH 1H[W &HQWXU\ $Q ,QWHUQDWLRQDO )RUXP
LQ +RQRU RI 0LFKHO 'DYLGV &RQWULEXWLRQ WR *HRVWDWLVWLFV
HG 5 'LPLWUDNRSRXORV SS .OXZHU $FDGHPLF
3XEOLVKHUV%RVWRQ
HOME
NH\UHFRQFLOLDWLRQUHODWLRQVKLSV
GDWDFROOHFWLRQDQGYDOLGDWLRQGHQLWLRQV
PHWKRGRORJLHVDQGFDOFXODWLRQV
GHVFULSWLRQRIUHSRUWLQJDQGRXWSXWV
DFFRXQWDELOLWLHV
7KH REMHFWLYH RI FUHDWLQJ D FRGH RI SUDFWLFH LV WKDW LW XOWLPDWHO\ SURYLGHV D JXLGH WR UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ WKDW DOORZV DQ\RQH WR
XQGHUVWDQGWKHSUDFWLFHVXVHGDWWKDWPLQHVLWHRUZLWKLQDSDUWLFXODUFRPSDQ\DORQJZLWKSURYLGLQJLQIRUPDWLRQRQZKRLV
DFFRXQWDEOHIRUWKHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQV,QWKHDXWKRUVRSLQLRQZKHUHGRFXPHQWDWLRQVXFKDVVXJJHVWHGLQWKLVSDSHULVFUHDWHG
DQGDVVRFLDWHGDFFRXQWDELOLWLHVDUHFOHDUWKHUHZLOOEHPRUHFKDQFHRIWKHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQSUDFWLFHVSURYLGLQJEHQHWV\HDUDIWHU
\HDUDQGGHOLYHULQJRQJRLQJFRQWLQXRXVLPSURYHPHQWEHQHWVWKDWXOWLPDWHO\UHVXOWLQLQFUHDVHGDFFXUDF\RIPRGHOVLQFUHDVHG
UHFRYHU\RIUHVRXUFHDQGLQFUHDVHGSURWDELOLW\RIWKHPLQH
1. FAusIMM(CP), Executive Consultant, Global Director Growth and Strategy, Snowden, 87 Colin Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KHUHKDYHEHHQPDQ\SDSHUVZULWWHQRQUHFRQFLOLDWLRQDQG
LWVRQJRLQJXVHLQRUGHUWRFRQWLQXRXVO\PRQLWRUDQGLPSURYH
D PLQLQJ RSHUDWLRQ IRU H[DPSOH 3DUNHU 3LWDUG
6FKRHOG 0RUOH\ 7KH UROH RI UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ LV
D FULWLFDO RQH EXW WRR RIWHQ PDQXDOO\ FROOHFWHG GDWD LV FXW
DQGSDVWHGLQWRDVHWRIVSUHDGVKHHWVFUHDWHGE\HQWKXVLDVWLF
SURIHVVLRQDOVZKRKDYHDSDUWLFXODUDJHQGDLQPLQGUDWKHU
WKDQDFRQWLQXRXVLPSURYHPHQWREMHFWLYH$V%OXFKHU
SRLQWV RXW SRRU UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ SURFHVVHV DQG UHSRUWLQJ DUH
RIWHQIRVWHUHGLQHQYLURQPHQWVZKHUH
755
FIG 1 - Mining value chain showing reconciliation relationships. NB: LOM means life-of-mine.
756
The matrix
,W LV FRPPRQ LQ SURFHVV PDSSLQJ WR XVH VZLPPLQJ ODQHV
ZKLFK DUH KRUL]RQWDO URZV DFURVV D SDJH DQG FROXPQV WKDW
GLYLGHWKHSDJHYHUWLFDOO\WRFUHDWHUHJLRQVRQWKHSURFHVVPDS
WKDWGRFXPHQWVSHFLFLQWHUDFWLRQV7KHPHWKRGRORJ\EHLQJ
RXWOLQHG KHUH DVVLJQV SURIHVVLRQDO UROHV WR WKH KRUL]RQWDO
VZLPPLQJ ODQHV DQG DFWLYLWLHV RU SURFHVVHV WR WKH YHUWLFDO
FROXPQV 7KLV HIIHFWLYHO\ GLYLGHV WKH SURFHVV PDS LQWR D
PDWUL[RIZKRLVGRLQJWKLQJVLQWKHVZLPPLQJODQHVDQG
ZKDWDUHWKH\GRLQJLQWKHYHUWLFDOFROXPQV)RUH[DPSOHWKH
VZLPPLQJODQHVPD\UHDGGHSHQGLQJRQWKHQRPHQFODWXUH
RIWKHWHFKQLFDOVLORVDWWKHPLQHIURPWKHWRSRIWKHSURFHVV
PDSWRWKHERWWRP
UHVRXUFHJHRORJ\
PLQHSODQQLQJ
PLQHJHRORJ\
VXUYH\
PLQHRSHUDWLRQV
SURFHVVLQJ
7KHYHUWLFDOFROXPQVIURPOHIWWRULJKWRIWKHSURFHVVPDS
PD\IRUH[DPSOHUHDG
JHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJ
UHVRXUFHPRGHOOLQJDQGHVWLPDWLRQ
ORQJWHUPPLQHSODQQLQJGHVLJQDQGVFKHGXOLQJ
PHGLXPDQGVKRUWWHUPPLQHSODQQLQJDQGVFKHGXOLQJ
JUDGHFRQWURO
GULOODQGEODVW
PLQLQJ
VWRFNSLOLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJ
,Q WKLV ZD\ WKH SURFHVV PDS QRZ SURYLGHV D QXPEHU RI
ER[HVLQZKLFKGHWDLOFDQEHUHFRUGHGWKDWFOHDUO\LOOXVWUDWHV
ZKR LV SHUIRUPLQJ ZKDW SURFHVVHV DQG WKH GHWDLO LQ WKHVH
ER[HVVKRZVKRZ$VQRWDOOWHFKQLFDOVLORVSHUIRUPDOOWDVNV
WKH SURFHVV PDS ZLOO WHQG WR RZ IURP WKH WRS OHIWKDQG
FRUQHURIWKHPDSWRWKHERWWRPULJKW*HQHUDOO\PRVWPLQHV
FDQEHVXPPDULVHGRQWRDVLQJOH$VL]HVKHHWRISDSHUXVLQJ
WKLVPHWKRGRORJ\,WLVQRWSRVVLEOHWRSURYLGHDQ$GLDJUDP
LQWKLVSDSHUKRZHYHU)LJXUHJLYHVWKHUHDGHUDKHOLFRSWHU
YLHZRIZKDWDFRPSOHWHGPDSZLOOORRNOLNHZKLOH)LJXUH
SURYLGHV D JHQHULF H[DPSOH RI ZKDW RQH RI WKH LQWHUVHFWLQJ
ER[HVRQWKHPDWUL[FDQORRNOLNH
7KLV EULQJV XV WR WKH QH[W HOHPHQW PHQWLRQHG ZKLFK LV D
FKHFNOLVWWKDWDVVLVWVLQGRFXPHQWLQJWKHKRZLQHDFKRIWKH
ER[HVLQWKHPDWUL[
The checklist
,QGRFXPHQWLQJKRZWKLQJVDUHGRQHRQDVLWHLWKHOSVWRKDYH
D VLPSOH PHWKRGRORJ\ WKDW JXLGHV WKH SURFHVV DQG HQVXUHV
DOO HOHPHQWV DUH FDSWXUHG 3URFHVV LPSURYHPHQW VFKRROV RI
WKRXJKW VXFK DV 7RWDO 4XDOLW\ 0DQDJHPHQW 6L[ 6LJPD DQG
/HDQ0DQXIDFWXULQJKDYHDOOGUDZQDWGLIIHUHQWWLPHVIURPD
VLPSOHPRGHONQRZQDV6,32&%HORZWKHDXWKRUSUHVHQWVD
PRGLHGH[SODQDWLRQRIWKH6,32&PRGHOWKDWWKHUHDGHUFDQ
XVHDVDSURPSWWRHQVXUHDOOUHOHYDQWLQIRUPDWLRQLVFDSWXUHG
DQGWRGUDZWKHKRZDVGHVFULEHGSUHYLRXVO\
6,32&LVDQDFURQ\PIRUVXSSOLHULQSXWSURFHVVRXWSXW
FXVWRPHU DQG IRU WKLV SXUSRVH WKH VLPSOH 6,32& FKHFNOLVW
FDQEHH[SODLQHGDV
757
FIG 2 - A general outline or helicopter view example of a completed process map. (Note: the intention is not that the detail should be legible on this diagram.
The authors intent is to illustrate the general layout described in the text.)
758
LGHQWLI\NH\UHFRQFLOLDWLRQUHODWLRQVKLSV
LGHQWLI\WKHGDWDVRXUFHVDQGUHFRUGWKHDFWLYLWLHVLQYROYHG
LQFROOHFWLQJYDOLGDWLQJDQGVWRULQJWKHGDWD
FOHDUO\ GHQH DQ\ SRVW SURFHVVLQJ WKDW LV FDUULHG RXW RQ
WKHLQSXWGDWD
FOHDUO\ GHQH WKH FDOFXODWLRQV WKDW DUH FDUULHG RXW XVLQJ
WKHGDWDWRGHULYHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQUHVXOWV
GRFXPHQWWKHVWDQGDUGUHSRUWLQJIUHTXHQF\FKDUWLQJDQG
HQGXVHUVRIWKHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQUHVXOWV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
FIG 4 - Reconciliation relationship across the mining value chain (after Morley, 2003, 2008). NB: LOM means life-of-mine.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
759
TABLE 1
Standardised reconciliation nomenclature (modified after Fouet et al, 2009).
Section within mining
process
Standardised reconciliation
relationship name
Resource model to Reserve model
$VKDVEHHQGLVFXVVHGDERYHWKHFULWLFDODVSHFWVZLWKUHVSHFW
WRGDWDDUH
Mining reconciliation
1DPHRIWKHHDUOLHVWVRXUFHRIGDWDWRQDPHRIWKHODWHUVRXUFHLW
LVEHLQJFRPSDUHGWR
Plant reconciliation
NQRZLQJZKHUHLWLVVRXUFHGIURPDQGDWZKDWIUHTXHQF\
KDYLQJDGHTXDWHTXDOLW\DVVXUDQFHTXDOLW\FRQWURO4$
4&SURFHVVHVLQSODFHIRUYDOLGDWLRQ
NQRZLQJDQ\WUDQVIRUPDWLRQVWKDWDUHFDUULHGRXWLQRUGHU
IRULWWREHXVHG
XQGHUVWDQGLQJWKHOLPLWDWLRQVZLWKUHVSHFWWRDFFXUDF\RI
LQKHUHQWHUURUV
)RUHDFKVRXUFHRIGDWDWKHFRGHVKRXOGFOHDUO\GRFXPHQW
HDFK RI WKHVH DVSHFWV 7DEOH SURYLGHV DQ H[DPSOH IRUPDW
TABLE 2
Example of a template for summarising key data sources used in mining reconciliation process (after Morley and Thompson, 2006; Morley, 2008).
Data name
Time frame
QA/QC
Grade control
Grade control
Model tonnes
Material type
Grades
Daily or on an as
designed basis
Version tracking,
peer review and
sign off
Short-term mine
plan
Mine planning
volume/tonnes
Material type
Daily/weekly/
monthly
Version tracking,
peer review and
sign off
Budget/forecast
Mine planning
volume/tonnes
Material type
Grade
Monthly
Version tracking,
peer review and
sign off
Operations dispatch
system source
Destination
Material type
Truck counts
Tonnes
Shift summaries
Survey volume
Weekly/monthly
(end of month
process)
Validation against
dispatch results,
peer review and
sign off
Crusher tonnes
Plant tonnes
Weightometer
calibration
procedures
Head grade
Mill grades
Met balance
Dispatch
Stockpile surveys
760
Transformations
Comment
KRZWKHLQIRUPDWLRQLVFRPSLOHGFDOFXODWHGDQGH[DFWO\ZKDW
LVEHLQJUHFRQFLOHG
Reporting
7KH QDO VWDJH RI WKH FRGH GHDOV ZLWK WKH RXWSXW RI WKH
PLQHV UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ SURFHVV ZKLFK LV QRUPDOO\ D VHW RI
WDEOHV FKDUWV RU LPDJHV VXPPDULVLQJ WKH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
UHVXOWV,WLVEH\RQGWKHVFRSHRIWKLVSDSHUWRGRFXPHQWDOO
SRVVLEOH UHSRUWV WKDW FDQ EH SURGXFHG IURP UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
GDWD $V 0DVFLQL SRLQWV RXW ZKHQ FRPELQHG WKH
GDWD GHVFULEHG EHFRPHV JUHDWHU WKDQ WKH VXP RI LWV SDUWV
LI FROODWHG IRU D UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ UHSRUW :KHQ WKH UHFRUGV
IRU HYHU\ SURGXFWLRQ VRXUFH DUH RUJDQLVHG YDOLGDWHG DQG
DQDO\VHG IRU DQ HQWLUH VWRSH RU EHQFK WKH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
ZLOORIWHQFRQWDLQVLJQLFDQWOHDUQLQJVRURSSRUWXQLWLHVIRU
SURFHVVLPSURYHPHQW)LJXUHSUHVHQWVVXFKDUHSRUWIURP
0DVFLQLV SDSHU RQ D UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ SURMHFW DW WKH *HRUJH
)LVKHU0LQHDVDJHQHUDORXWOLQHRUKHOLFRSWHUYLHZH[DPSOH
RIDQDOVWRSHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQUHSRUW
$VHULHVRIWKHVHWDEOHVWKDWDUHOLQNHGWRWKHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
UHODWLRQVKLSV DV VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH ZLOO DOORZ DQ\ UHDGHU RI
WKH PLQHV UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ FRGH WR FOHDUO\ XQGHUVWDQG H[DFWO\
$WDKLJKOHYHOWKHDXWKRUVXJJHVWVWKDWDVLPSOHVXPPDU\
VXFKDVVKRZQLQ7DEOHZLOOSURYLGHVXIFLHQWGHWDLOWRDOORZ
DUHDGHUWRXQGHUVWDQGZKDWW\SHVRIRXWSXWDUHDYDLODEOH
TABLE 3
Example of a template for summarising the ranges of error that are associated with some data sources (after Morley, 2008).
Source of error
Normal
range
Common
range
Comments
10%b
50%b
Dispatch errors
incorrect source and
destination
Truck factors
15%b
Between 15
and 30%b
5%c
20%c
When truck load cells fail it is not uncommon for that truck
to be kept in production resulting in truck factors being
used for tonnage estimates.
Specific gravity
estimations (including
in situ density estimates)
5%a
10%b
5%a
10%b
15%b
Between 15
and 30%b
Weightometer
measurements
<5%c
20%c
10%b
20% up to
200%b
10%b
10%b
761
TABLE 4
Example of a template for documenting the methodology and calculations
carried out to derive the various reconciliation results for any given
reconciliation relationship (modified after Fouet et al, 2009).
Name
Data required Mine production: dispatch data for material leaving the pit corrected
using survey data.
Supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems for the
plant production data and laboratory information management
system (LIMS) sampling results.
Frequency
Monthly.
Calculation
Purpose
Comments
Temporal reconciliation.
This factor will highlight issues with truck factors or weightometer
calibrations.
Stockpiling effects reconciliation due to the impact on the material
that ultimately reaches the mill. Reclaimed material must be
included with direct tip material when reconciling material delivered
to the mill verses what the mill received.
2QDUHSRUWE\UHSRUWEDVLVWKHDXWKRUVXJJHVWVWKDWZLWKLQ
DPLQHVUHFRQFLOLDWLRQFRGHWKHFDSWXUHRIKHOLFRSWHUYLHZV
VXFK DV VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH RI DOO VWDQGDUG UHSRUWV DORQJ
ZLWK D VXPPDU\ RI NH\ LQIRUPDWLRQ VXFK DV LV VXJJHVWHG
ZLOOSURYLGHFOHDUGRFXPHQWDWLRQRQZKDWLVEHLQJSURGXFHG
E\ ZKRP DQG IRU ZKDW SXUSRVH 6XJJHVWHG VXPPDU\
LQIRUPDWLRQLQFOXGHV
SXUSRVHRIWKHUHSRUW
IUHTXHQF\RIUHSRUWLQJ
UROH DQG GHSDUWPHQW UHVSRQVLEOH IRU JHQHUDWLQJ DQG
LVVXLQJWKHUHSRUW
WDUJHWDXGLHQFHRIWKHUHSRUW
Accountability
$FULWLFDODVSHFWRIDQ\FRGHRISUDFWLFHLVWKHGRFXPHQWDWLRQ
RI ZKR LV UHVSRQVLEOH IRU WKH SURFHVVHV WKH FRGH GHVFULEHV
%OXFKHUSRLQWVRXWWKDW
the practical implementation of a robust reconciliation
process must be focused through as few people as practical
(preferably one person or a single position) in order for the
system to produce information in a timely and consistent
IDVKLRQ*LYHQWKLVYLHZLWLVLPSRUWDQWWKDWDOOVXSSOLHUV
of information to the system accept that they are also
VKDUHKROGHUV LQ WKH ZKROH SURFHVV )DLOXUH E\ WKH NH\
stakeholders to accept this premise of ownership eventually
leads to a partisan approach to resolving issues and a
fragmentation of the whole process. Conversely cooperative
ownership of the system will mean that information derived
IURPRQHSDUWRIWKHSURFHVVFDQEHQHWRWKHUSDUWVRUPD\
SUHHPSWLVVXHVJURZLQJGLVSURSRUWLRQDWHO\LQLPSRUWDQFH
7KH DXWKRU UHFRPPHQGV WKDW DQ\ FRGH FRQWDLQV D WDEOH
RU OLVWLQJ WKDW GRFXPHQWV WKH RZQHUV UROHV RQ VLWH IRU HDFK
VWHSLQWKHSURFHVVDVZHOODVWKHPDQDJHPHQWOHYHOUROHWKDW
LV UHVSRQVLEOH IRU WKH FRGH 7KH DXWKRU VXSSRUWV %OXFKHUV
FIG 5 - A general outline or helicopter view example of a final stope reconciliation from the George Fisher Mine (Mascini, 2006).
(Note: the intention is not that the detail should be legible on this diagram. The authors intent is to illustrate the general layout described in the text.)
762
TABLE 5
Types of reports being produced by the reconciliation system
at Telfer (Riske et al, 2007).
Report type
Description
Reconciliation
Date range
Destination
Material movement
Grade control
Tonnage comparisons by:
Trucking
Crushing
Direct feed
Rehandle
FRQFOXVLRQWKDWDVLQJOHSHUVRQRURZQHULVFULWLFDO2Q
PDQ\VLWHVWKLVWDNHVWKHIRUPRIDUHFRQFLOLDWLRQFKDPSLRQ
ZKRLVRIWHQGUDZQIURPWKHJHRORJ\RUPLQLQJHQJLQHHULQJ
GHSDUWPHQWV7KHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQFKDPSLRQLVWKHNHHSHURIWKH
SURFHVV HQVXULQJ WKH FRGH LV LQFOXGHG LQ QHZ SHUVRQQHOV
LQGXFWLRQDQGDOVRPDNLQJUHFRPPHQGDWLRQVRQXSGDWHVVR
WKDWWKHFRGHUHPDLQVUHOHYDQWWRDFWXDOSUDFWLFHVRQVLWH7KH
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQFKDPSLRQLVDOVRRIWHQWKHSHUVRQWKDWHQVXUHV
WKHSURFHVVHVV\VWHPVGRFXPHQWHGE\WKHFRGHUXQRQDGD\
WRGD\PRQWKWRPRQWKEDVLV
,WLVDOVRUHFRPPHQGHGWKDWDVHQLRUPDQDJHUEHDVVLJQHG
WKHUHVSRQVLELOLW\DQGDFFRXQWDELOLW\IRUDSSURYDORIFKDQJHV
DQG HQVXULQJ DGKHUHQFH WR WKH FRGH ,Q WLPHV RI LUUDWLRQDO
UDWLRQDOLVDWLRQV WKH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ FKDPSLRQ LV RIWHQ RQH RI
WKH UVW WR EH UHWUHQFKHG UHVXOWLQJ LQ FRPSOHWH FROODSVH RI
WKH HQWLUH SURFHVV DQG IDLOXUH RI WKH VLWH WR EHQHW IURP WKH
RQJRLQJ FRQWLQXRXV LPSURYHPHQW WKDW UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ FDQ
EULQJ+DYLQJDVHQLRUVLWHPDQDJHUVXFKDVDWHFKQLFDOVHUYLFH
PDQDJHUFKLHIJHRORJLVWPLQHUDOUHVRXUFHPDQDJHURZQWKH
FRGHFDQHQVXUHWKDWDVSHRSOHFRPHDQGJRWKHUHVSRQVLELOLW\
LVSDVVHGIURPSHUVRQWRSHUVRQDQGWKHSUDFWLFHVFDQVXUYLYH
VWDIIFKDQJHVDQGWXUQRYHU
CONCLUSIONS
7KHREMHFWLYHRIWKLVSDSHUKDVEHHQWRGUDZRQSUHYLRXVO\
SXEOLVKHG LQIRUPDWLRQ DQG WKH DXWKRUV H[SHULHQFH WR
SURYLGH D JXLGH WR WKH UHDGHU ZLVKLQJ WR GRFXPHQW WKH
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQSURFHVVHVDQGSURGXFHDFRGHRISUDFWLFHIRU
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ IRU D PLQH VLWH RU FRPSDQ\ %\ HVWDEOLVKLQJ
DQGGRFXPHQWLQJJRRGPLQHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQSUDFWLFHVDORQJ
ZLWKWKHXVHRITXDOLW\YDOLGDWHGGDWDDQGVRXQGDQDO\VLVLW
LVSRVVLEOHIRUDPLQHWRHVWDEOLVKDFRQWLQXRXVLPSURYHPHQW
SURFHVV WKDW ZLOO DGG VLJQLFDQW YDOXH WR DQ\ PLQLQJ
RSHUDWLRQZKLOHDWWKHVDPHWLPHDOVRHQVXULQJODUJHHUURUV
GRQWJRXQGHWHFWHGIRUORQJSHULRGVRIWLPHDQGDYRLGLQJ
VXUSULVHUHVXOWVDIWHU0DVFLQL=LHJHODDUDQG(YHUHWW
%OXFKHU VXPPDULVHV WKH FULWLFDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
RI D UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ V\VWHP DV DGGUHVVLQJ WKH IROORZLQJ
FRPSRQHQWV
WKHSULQFLSDOJRDORIDUHFRQFLOLDWLRQV\VWHPLVWRHQDEOHWKH
RQJRLQJRSWLPLVDWLRQRIDOOWKHNH\SDUWVRIDQRSHUDWLRQ
OHDGLQJWRWKHEHVWSRVVLEOHXWLOLVDWLRQRIWKHUHVRXUFHVRQ
ZKLFKLWLVEDVHG
DOO SDUWLFLSDQWV LQSXW SURYLGHUV DQG RXWSXW UHFLSLHQWV
PXVW XQGHUVWDQG WKH FRQFHSWV WKH DLPV WKH UHTXLUHG
LQSXWV WKH ORJLF WR EH LPSOHPHQWHG DQG WKH UDQJH RI
SRVVLEOHRXWSXWVRIWKHZKROHV\VWHP
VWDNHKROGHUVLQWKHV\VWHPPXVWDFFHSWWKDWWKH\DUHSDUW
RZQHUV RI WKH ZKROH DQG WKDW WKH VXFFHVV RI WKH V\VWHP
GHSHQGVRQDXQLHGFRRSHUDWLYHDSSURDFKWRWKHLVVXHV
WKH V\VWHP PXVW EH FDSDEOH RI DGDSWLQJ WR FKDQJLQJ
FLUFXPVWDQFHV KRZHYHU FKDQJH WR IXQGDPHQWDO V\VWHP
GHVLJQSDUDPHWHUVFDQRQO\RFFXUDIWHUFRQVXOWDWLRQDQG
GLVFXVVLRQZLWKDOOVWDNHKROGHUV
VXFFHVVIXO LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI WKH V\VWHP UHOLHV RQ
DOO SDUWLFLSDQWV EHLQJ UHVSRQVLEOH IRU WKH TXDOLW\ DQG
WLPHOLQHVVRIWKHLUSDUWLFXODULQSXWV
UHVXOWV REWDLQHG IURP WKH V\VWHP ZLOO EH D IXQFWLRQ RI
QXPHURXVFRPSURPLVHVDQGPXVWEHDFFHSWHGDVWKHEHVW
DSSUR[LPDWLRQUDWKHUWKDQDVDEVROXWHV
IHHGEDFN WR XVHUV PXVW EH LQ WKH IRUP WKDW WKH\ FDQ
XWLOLVHIRUWKHLURZQSXUSRVHVHJVHFWLRQRUGHSDUWPHQWDO
PDQDJHUOHYHO
RYHUDOOUHVSRQVLELOLW\IRUWKHPDQDJHPHQWDQGRSHUDWLRQ
RIWKHV\VWHPPXVWEHIRFXVHGWKURXJKDQLQGLYLGXDORUD
VLQJOHSRVLWLRQZKLFKLQPRVWFDVHVZRXOGEHWKHPLQHUDO
UHVRXUFHVPDQDJHUDIWHU%OXFKHU
,QDGGLWLRQWKLVSDSHUKDVRXWOLQHGDQXPEHURIWHPSODWHV
DQG VXJJHVWLRQV WKDW WKH UHDGHU FDQ DGRSW DQG PRGLI\ WR
DQ\ VLWHV UHTXLUHPHQWV WR HQVXUH WKDW WKH FULWLFDO DVSHFWV RI
GHULYLQJ UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ UHVXOWV DUH GRFXPHQWHG LQ D FRQFLVH
PDQQHU7KLVZLOOXOWLPDWHO\SURYLGHDJXLGHWRUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ
WKDW DOORZV RWKHUV WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH SUDFWLFHV XVHG DW D
SDUWLFXODU PLQH VLWH RU ZLWKLQ D SDUWLFXODU FRPSDQ\ DORQJ
ZLWK ZKR LV DFFRXQWDEOH IRU WKHP 3LWDUG FRQFOXGHV
WKDW VLJQLFDQW UHVXOWV FDQ EH DFKLHYHG DW PRVW RSHUDWLRQV
ZLWKLQ RQH \HDU RI SXWWLQJ D UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ V\VWHP LQ SODFH
+RZHYHU LW LV FRPPRQ WKDW DIWHU WKUHH WR YH \HDUV VWDII
FKDQJHVDQGRWKHULVVXHVRQVLWHUHVXOWLQWKHV\VWHPIDLOLQJ
EHLQJ DEDQGRQHG RU VLPSO\ ORVW ,Q WKH DXWKRUV RSLQLRQ
ZKHUH GRFXPHQWDWLRQ DV VXJJHVWHG LQ WKLV SDSHU LV FUHDWHG
DQG DVVRFLDWHG DFFRXQWDELOLWLHV DUH HPEHGGHG LQWR WKH NH\
SHUIRUPDQFH FULWHULD IRU D VLWH WKHUH ZLOO EH PRUH FKDQFH
RI WKH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ SUDFWLFHV WKDW KDYH EHHQ HVWDEOLVKHG
SURYLGLQJ EHQHWV \HDU DIWHU \HDU 2SHUDWLQJ ZLWK DQ
HPEHGGHGUHFRQFLOLDWLRQFRGHRISUDFWLFHZLOOGHOLYHURQJRLQJ
FRQWLQXRXV LPSURYHPHQW EHQHWV WKDW XOWLPDWHO\ UHVXOW LQ
LQFUHDVHGDFFXUDF\RIPRGHOVLQFUHDVHGUHFRYHU\RIUHVRXUFH
DQGLQFUHDVHGSURWDELOLW\RIWKHPLQHHYHQPRUHVRZKHUH
DFRPSDQ\HVWDEOLVKHVVXFKDFRGHDFURVVDOOWKHLURSHUDWLRQV
DQG VXSSRUWV WKH RQJRLQJ UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ SUDFWLFHV IURP D
VHQLRUH[HFXWLYHOHYHO
REFERENCES
$UQHVHQ0DQGYDQGHU:HVWKXL]HQ:$GGUHVVLQJWKHURRW
FDXVHV RI GHYLDWLRQV LQ UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ DQG YDOXH WUDFNLQJ LQ
Proceedings Value Tracking SymposiumSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
%OXFKHU , 5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ WRZDUGV DQ LGHDO SURFHVV
in Proceedings Value Tracking Symposium SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
763
6FKRHOG 1 $ 7KH P\WK RI PLQH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWH
RI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
764
Geological
Interpretation
and Modelling
Statistical Analysis,
Mineral Resource
Estimation,
Classification
and Reporting
Modifying Factors
(Mining, Metallurgical,
Economic, Marketing,
Legal, Environmental,
Social and Government)
Monitoring the
Resources and
Reserves
Grade Control,
Production and
Reconciliation
767
B Dodd
771
Review of 2012 JORC Code and Comparison with National Instrument 43-101
779
Estimating and Reporting Potential Mineralisation at BHP Billiton The Unconstrained View
M Mullins, P Hodkiewicz,
J McCluskey, C Carey and J Terry
791
P R Stephenson, A Allman,
D P Carville, P T Stoker, P Mokos,
J Tyrrell and T Burrows
799
M A Nopp
805
815
Resource and Reserve Valuation Practices in Countries Forming the Russian Commonwealth of
Independent States
825
835
Liability Issues Arising in Relation to Exploration, Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Reports Included in
Takeover Documents
F Gardiner-Hill
839
K Livesley
843
J Coombes
849
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Principal, Coombes Capability, PO Box 1708, Subiaco WA 6904. Email: [email protected]
2. FAusIMM, Director, CSA Global, 2/3 Ord Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
3. HonFAusIMM(CP), Principal Geologist, AMC Consultants Pty Ltd, Level 21, 179 Turbot Street, Brisbane Qld 4000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
6LQFH LWV LQFHSWLRQ WKH -25& &RGHV SULPDU\ SXUSRVH ZDV
WR HQVXUH D WUDQVSDUHQW PHFKDQLVP IRU FRPPXQLFDWLQJ WKH
DQWLFLSDWHG ULVNV DQG XQFHUWDLQWLHV LQKHUHQW LQ ([SORUDWLRQ
5HVXOWV DQG HVWLPDWHV RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH
5HVHUYHV7KH3XEOLF5HSRUWLQJRIPLQHUDODVVHWVUHSUHVHQWV
D FRPPXQLFDWLRQ SRLQW EHWZHHQ WHFKQLFDO H[SHUWV DQG
LQYHVWRUV'RGGWKLVYROXPH2QWKHRQHKDQGPLQLQJ
SURIHVVLRQDOVLQWHUSUHWWKHWHFKQLFDOULVNVDQGFRQFHUQVEDVHG
RQWKHLUH[SHUWLVHDQGDELOLW\WRDQDO\VHDZLGHDUUD\RIGDWD
DQGLQIRUPDWLRQLQWKHLUSXUVXLWRIH[FHOOHQFH2QWKHRWKHU
KDQG FRUSRUDWH GLUHFWRUV DQG LQYHVWRUV DQDO\VH WKH VWDWHG
UHVRXUFHVDQGUHVHUYHVZLWKLQWKHFRQWH[WRIPDUNHWWUHQGVLQ
WKHSXUVXLWRIVKDUHKROGHUYDOXH
%RWKJURXSVRIWKLQNHUVOLYHLQDZRUOGRIXQFHUWDLQW\EXW
LQWHUSUHW FRPPXQLFDWH DQG DFW RQ ULVN RU XQFHUWDLQW\ LQ
GLIIHUHQWZD\V7KHSULPDU\SXUSRVHRIWKHPLQHUDOUHSRUWLQJ
FRGHV LV WR HQVXUH D FRPSHWHQW DVVHVVPHQW RI WKH WHFKQLFDO
LQIRUPDWLRQDQGGDWDWKDWLVFRPPXQLFDWHGLQDWUDQVSDUHQW
DQG PDWHULDO PDQQHU WR HQVXUH LQYHVWRUV DUH VXIFLHQWO\
LQIRUPHG
7KHSXUSRVHRIWKLVFKDSWHULVWRKLJKOLJKWWKHLPSRUWDQFH
RI FRPPXQLFDWLQJ PLQHUDO DVVHWV LQ WKH SXEOLF DUHQD 'RGG
WKLV YROXPH SURYLGHV D FRPSUHKHQVLYH RXWOLQH RI
WKH LVVXHV LQ FDSLWDO UDLVLQJ DQG GLVFORVXUH DQG SURYLGHV
FRQWH[WIRUWKHFODVVLFDWLRQDQGFRPPXQLFDWLRQRI0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHVLQWKHSXEOLFDUHQD$GGLWLRQDO
SDSHUVKLJKOLJKWWKHSUDFWLFDOFRQVLGHUDWLRQVZKHQUHSRUWLQJ
([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV DQG ZKHQ DSSO\LQJ WKH UHSRUWLQJ
FDWHJRULHV RI 0HDVXUHG ,QGLFDWHG DQG ,QIHUUHG IRU 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV DQG 3URYHG DQG 3UREDEOH IRU 2UH 5HVHUYHV
)XUWKHU VXSSRUW LV SURYLGHG IRU &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV KHUH LQ
WHUPVRIWKHSXUSRVHDQGFRQVHTXHQFHVRIUHSRUWLQJVXFKDV
VKDUHKROGHUSHUVSHFWLYHVDQGOHJDOOLDELOLW\LVVXHV
)RXU FRUH WKHPHV DUH DGGUHVVHG LQ WKLV FKDSWHU 7KH UVW
WKHPH DGGUHVVHV WKH SUDFWLFDO LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RI WKH &RGH
DQG *XLGHOLQHV IRU FODVVLI\LQJ DQG UHSRUWLQJ RI ([SORUDWLRQ
5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV 6HFRQGO\
WKH EXVLQHVV RI PDQDJLQJ WKH FODVVLFDWLRQ DQG UHSRUWLQJ
SURFHVVHV LV H[SORUHG 7KLUGO\ WKH FKDSWHU H[SDQGV RQ WKH
LQWHUQDWLRQDO FRQWH[W RI WKH -25& &RGH /DVWO\ WKH FKDSWHU
VSHFLFDOO\ DGGUHVVHV WKH UHVSRQVLELOLWLHV DQG IXWXUH
FRQVLGHUDWLRQVRI&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV
7KHFRUHWKHPHVDGGUHVVHGLQWKLVFKDSWHUDUHWKXV
SUDFWLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRIWKHFRGHDQGJXLGHOLQHV
FODVVLFDWLRQJRYHUQDQFH
LQWHUQDWLRQDOUHSRUWLQJ
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVFULWHULD
(DFK RI WKHVH WKHPHV DUH VXPPDULVHG EHORZ 7KLV SDSHU
FORVHVZLWKDGLVFXVVLRQRQWKHLPSOLFDWLRQVRIWKHVHWKHPHV
RQFODVVLFDWLRQDQGUHSRUWLQJ
767
CLASSIFICATION GOVERNANCE
2YHU WKH \HDUV RUJDQLVDWLRQV KDYH DGRSWHG SURFHGXUHV
WR PDQDJH FODVVLFDWLRQ SURFHVVHV 7KHVH JRYHUQDQFH
SURFHVVHV SURYLGH FRPIRUW LQ WKH ULVN PDQDJHPHQW RI D
PLQLQJ FRPSDQ\V FRUH DVVHW WKH PLQHUDO HQGRZPHQW
DQG HFRQRPLF SRUWLRQV WKHUHRI +XQW DQG (OGULGJH
WKLVYROXPHSURYLGHDQH[DPSOHRI5LR7LQWRVJRYHUQDQFH
V\VWHP ,Q FRQWUDVW 7YHUGRY DQG 1LNLVKLFKHY WKLV
YROXPH RIIHU DQ LQVLJKW LQWR WKH IUDPHZRUNV IRU UHSRUWLQJ
DWWKHJRYHUQPHQWOHYHOVLQ5XVVLDDQGRWKHUPHPEHUVRIWKH
&RPPRQZHDOWKRI,QGHSHQGHQW6WDWHV&,6
7KHVH H[DPSOHV KLJKOLJKW WKH QHHG WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH
ULVNV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK PLQHUDO DVVHWV IURP WKH SHUVSHFWLYH
RI PDQDJLQJ DQ RUJDQLVDWLRQ DQG PDQDJLQJ D FRXQWU\V
HQGRZPHQW
INTERNATIONAL REPORTING
:KLOVW WKH -25& &RGH LV LQFRUSRUDWHG LQWR WKH $XVWUDOLDQ
6HFXULWLHV ([FKDQJH $6; DQG WKH 1HZ =HDODQG 6WRFN
([FKDQJH /LVWLQJ 5XOHV DQG DV VXFK LV XQGHUVWRRG DV D
SULPDULO\ DQ $XVWUDODVLDQ &RGH LW LV ZRUWK QRWLQJ WKDW
VKDUHGLPSURYHPHQWVH[LVWEHWZHHQWKHYDULRXVPHPEHUVRI
WKH&RPPLWWHHIRU0LQHUDO5HVHUYHV,QWHUQDWLRQDO5HSRUWLQJ
6WDQGDUGV &5,56&2 VW\OH FRGHV 7KH PRVW UHFHQW XSGDWHV
LQ WKH -25& &RGH DOLJQ WKH GHQLWLRQV RI 0HDVXUHG
,QGLFDWHG DQG ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFHV DQG 3URYHQ DQG 3UREDEOH
768
5HVHUYHVZLWKWKH&5,56&2WHPSODWH:KLOHLWLVDJUHHGWKDW
WKH &5,56&2 VWDQGDUG GHQLWLRQV DUH LQFOXGHG LQ DOO WKH
&5,56&2 FRGHV DQG VWDQGDUGV DQG HDFK LWHUDWLYHO\ DGDSWV
WKH H[SODQDWRU\ PDWHULDO LQ WKH GHQLWLRQV DQG DVVRFLDWHG
JXLGHOLQHV WKH UHSRUWLQJ IUDPHZRUNV RSHUDWH GLIIHUHQWO\
DFFRUGLQJWRWKHUHSRUWLQJMXULVGLFWLRQ$UGHQDQG7YHUGRY
WKLVYROXPH6WHSKHQVRQDQG6WRNHUWKLVYROXPH
7YHUGRYDQG1LNLVKLFKHYWKLVYROXPH
:KDW LV HQFRXUDJLQJ LV WKH VKDUHG JOREDO XQGHUVWDQGLQJ
RIWHFKQLFDOH[SHUWVDQGWKDWWKH\DUHRSHUDWLQJWRZDUGVWKH
VDPH SXUSRVH UHJDUGOHVV RI WKH VWRFN H[FKDQJH RU FRXQWU\
LQ ZKLFK WKH\ DUH UHSRUWLQJ 7KLV UHLQIRUFHV WKH VSLULW RI
WKH UHSRUWLQJ FRGHV DV HQFRPSDVVHG LQ WKH SULQFLSOHV RI
7UDQVSDUHQF\0DWHULDOLW\DQG&RPSHWHQFH
7KH -25& &RGH LV DOVR UHIHUHQFHG DV RQH RI D QXPEHU RI
UHSRUWLQJVWDQGDUGVLQRWKHUMXULVGLFWLRQVQRWDEO\6LQJDSRUH
&DWDOLVW 5XOHV RI WKH 6LQJDSRUH ([FKDQJH +RQJ .RQJ
&KDSWHU+RQJ.RQJ([FKDQJH/LVWLQJ5XOHVDQG&DQDGD
1DWLRQDO ,QVWUXPHQW &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV PXVW
EH IDPLOLDU ZLWK DOO WKH OHJDO UHTXLUHPHQWV LQ ZKLFKHYHU
MXULVGLFWLRQWKH\DUHUHSRUWLQJ
concurrent.
Reporting
7KH-25&&RGHUHSUHVHQWVDPLQLPXPVWDQGDUGIRUUHSRUWLQJ
RI ([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH DQG 2UH
5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHV7KHVHSXEOLFVWDWHPHQWVPXVWEHEDVHGRQ
WKH ZRUN RI D VXLWDEO\ TXDOLHG &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ DQG WKH
UHSRUWVPXVWQRWRQO\FRPSO\ZLWKWKH-25&&RGHEXWZLWK
WKH/LVWLQJ5XOHVDQGRWKHUOHJDOUHTXLUHPHQWVDSSOLFDEOHLQ
WKHUHSRUWLQJMXULVGLFWLRQ,Q$XVWUDOLDDQG1HZ=HDODQGWKH
3XEOLF 5HSRUWV IRU D VLJQLFDQW SURMHFW5 ZKHQ ([SORUDWLRQ
5. A significant project is an exploration or mineral development project that has or could
have a significant influence on the market value or operations of the listed company,
and/or has specific prominence in Public Reports and announcements. Note that in
Australia this is also essentially the definition of a material mining project in the ASX
Listing Rules.
769
$VH[SHUWVLQWKHLUHOG&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVPXVWXQGHUVWDQG
WKH HQYLURQPHQW ZLWKLQ ZKLFK WKH\ RSHUDWH LQFOXGLQJ WKH
LPSOLFDWLRQV RI WKHLU HVWLPDWHV RQ WKH GHFLVLRQV FRUSRUDWH
OHDGHUV DQG LQYHVWRUV PDNH 7KH\ VKRXOG WKHUHIRUH XSKROG
WKH -25& &RGH SULQFLSOHV RI 0DWHULDOLW\ 7UDQVSDUHQF\ DQG
&RPSHWHQFHDVHVVHQWLDOWRWKHLUSURIHVVLRQDOFRQWULEXWLRQWR
WKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\
CONCLUSION
6LQFH 3XEOLF 5HSRUWLQJ RI PLQHUDO DVVHWV UHSUHVHQWV WKH
FRPPXQLFDWLRQ SRLQW EHWZHHQ WHFKQLFDO H[SHUWV DQG
LQYHVWRUVZHWKLQNLWWWLQJWRFRQFOXGHZLWK1RUP0LVNHOO\V
ZLVHZRUGVWKDWDUHSURYLQJVRUHOHYDQWWRGD\1RUPVWDWHG
LQKLVH[FHOOHQWNH\QRWHSDSHUWKDW
3XW VLPSO\ PLQLQJ KDV PDQ\ FRPSHWLWRUV XQFRQQHFWHG
ZLWK PLQLQJ IRU FDSWXUH RI WKH LQWHUQDWLRQDO LQYHVWPHQW
dollar. It behoves all participants to recognise that there
DUH WKUHH LQYHVWPHQW IDFWRUV ZKLFK LQXHQFH VWURQJO\ WKH
willingness of investors to put money into mining. These
DUH &RQGHQFH &UHGLELOLW\ DQG &RQVLVWHQF\ $XVWUDOLDV
LQYHVWPHQW LPDJH VWDQGV KLJK LQ WKHVH WKUHH UHVSHFWV EXW
the competition will continue to grow. 0LVNHOO\
:HWUXO\KRSHWKHVHFRUHLQYHVWPHQWIDFWRUVUHPDLQVWURQJO\
HPEHGGHGDVIRXQGDWLRQVWRRXUZRQGHUIXOPLQLQJLQGXVWU\
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUVDSSUHFLDWHDOOFRQWULEXWLRQVWRZDUGVWKLVFKDSWHU
7KH WLPH DQG LQSXW RI UHYLHZHUV LV DOVR JUDWHIXOO\ QRWHG
,Q DGGLWLRQ WKH DXWKRUV ZRXOG OLNH WR DFNQRZOHGJH -RKQ
%DOGZLQVVDJHJXLGDQFH
REFERENCES
$UGHQ + DQG 7YHUGRY $ 5HVRXUFH DQG UHVHUYH YDOXDWLRQ
SUDFWLFHV LQ FRXQWULHV IRUPLQJ WKH 5XVVLDQ &RPPRQZHDOWK
RI ,QGHSHQGHQW 6WDWHV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
(VWLPDWLRQ7KH$XV,00*XLGHWR*RRG3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
SS 7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
&DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP &,0
(VWLPDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV
%HVW3UDFWLFH*XLGHOLQHV>RQOLQH@$YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZHE
FLPRUJVWDQGDUGV0HQX3DJHFIP"VHFWLRQV PHQX !
>$FFHVVHG$XJXVW@
&RRPEHV - &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV EH\RQG -25& &RGH
UHTXLUHPHQWVLQMineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The
$XV,00*XLGHWR*RRG3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS (The
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
770
'RGG % ,VVXHV LQ FDSLWDO UDLVLQJV DQG GLVFORVXUH LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS 7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
*DUGLQHU+LOO ) /LDELOLW\ LVVXHV DULVLQJ LQ UHODWLRQ WR
([SORUDWLRQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYHUHSRUWVLQFOXGHG
LQ WDNHRYHU GRFXPHQWV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
(VWLPDWLRQ7KH$XV,00*XLGHWR*RRG3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
SS 7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
+XQW 6 - DQG (OGULGJH & 6 5LR 7LQWR 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH DQG
2UH 5HVHUYH JRYHUQDQFH LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
(VWLPDWLRQ7KH$XV,00*XLGHWR*RRG3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
SS 7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
/LYHVOH\./LDELOLW\RI&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQIRU-25&UHSRUWVLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
WR *RRG 3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0LVNHOO\ 1 7KH LQWHUQDWLRQDO PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ OLQNLQJ
WKH XSVWUHDP PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZLWK WKH GRZQVWUHDP PRQH\ LQ
3URFHHGLQJV3$&5,0SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0XOOLQV0+RGNLHZLF]30F&OXVNH\-&DUH\&DQG7HUU\-
(VWLPDWLQJDQGUHSRUWLQJSRWHQWLDOPLQHUDOLVDWLRQDW%+3%LOOLWRQ
WKH XQFRQVWUDLQHG YLHZ LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
1RSSp0$5HSRUWLQJDQGFRQYHUWLQJ5HVRXUFHVWR5HVHUYHV
KRZ FRQGHQW DUH ZH" LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
(VWLPDWLRQ7KH$XV,00*XLGHWR*RRG3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
SS 7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
6WHSKHQVRQ 3 5 $OOPDQ $ &DUYLOOH ' 3 6WRNHU 3 7 0RNRV 3
7\UUHOO - DQG %XUURZV 7 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH FODVVLFDWLRQ
LWVWLPHWRVKRRWWKHVSRWWHGGRJLQMineral Resource and Ore
5HVHUYH (VWLPDWLRQ 7KH $XV,00 *XLGH WR *RRG 3UDFWLFH VHFRQG
HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
6WHSKHQVRQ35DQG6WRNHU375HYLHZRI-25&&RGH
DQG FRPSDULVRQ ZLWK 1DWLRQDO ,QVWUXPHQW LQ Mineral
Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good
3UDFWLFHVHFRQGHGLWLRQSS 7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
7YHUGRY$DQG1LNLVKLFKHY60LQHGHVLJQVWDJHVLQ5XVVLDLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
WR *RRG 3UDFWLFH VHFRQG HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
HOME
1. Previously: Regional Commissioner Western Australia, Senior Executive Emerging Mining and Resources, Senior Executive Enforcement Western Australia, Australian Securities and
Investments Commission, Level 3, 66 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: c/- [email protected]
* This paper was previously published in Proceedings International Mine Management Conference 2012, pp 3-14 (The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy: Melbourne).
([SODQDWRU\0HPRUDQGXPWRWKH&RUSRUDWLRQV%LOOKDG
WKLVWRVD\
>@ 7KH OHJLVODWLRQ ZLOO UHPRYH WKH FXUUHQW UHJXODWRU\
GHDGZRRG DQG LQWURGXFH D QHZ DSSURDFK LQYROYLQJ PRUH
HIIHFWLYH VHOIHQIRUFHPHQW E\ WKH PDUNHW WR SURYLGH D PRUH
HIFLHQWIUDPHZRUNWRIDFLOLWDWHWKHSURFHVVRIUDLVLQJIXQGV
IURPWKHLQYHVWLQJSXEOLFLPSURYHWKHTXDOLW\RILQIRUPDWLRQ
to be provided to investors and maintaining appropriate
measures for investor protection.
7KH ODZ LQ UHODWLRQ WR FRQWLQXRXV GLVFORVXUH KDV IXUWKHU
GHYHORSHG VLQFH WKHQ DQG LV QRZ HQVKULQHG LQ VHFWLRQ
DQG RI WKH &RUSRUDWLRQV $FW DQG $XVWUDOLDQ 6HFXULWLHV
([FKDQJH$6;/LVWLQJ5XOH
1RZWRWKHPDLQWRSLFVWREHDGGUHVVHGLQWKLVSDSHUWKH
UROHRI$6,&PRUHGHWDLOHGFRQVLGHUDWLRQRIWKHFRQWLQXRXV
GLVFORVXUHUHJLPHIXQGUDLVLQJWKHUROHRIH[SHUWVDQGWKHLU
UHSRUWV WKH UROH RI WKH 7DNHRYHUV 3DQHO VRPH UHOHYDQW
FDVHV DQG FORVLQJ E\ ORRNLQJ DW ZKDW LV KDSSHQLQJ LQ VRPH
FRPSDUDWLYHMXULVGLFWLRQV
INTRODUCTION TO ASIC
$6,&LV$XVWUDOLDVFRUSRUDWHPDUNHWVDQGQDQFLDOVHUYLFHV
UHJXODWRU$6,&LVVHWXSXQGHUDQGDGPLQLVWHUVWKHAustralian
6HFXULWLHVDQG,QYHVWPHQWV&RPPLVVLRQ$FW$6,&$FWDQG
FDUULHVRXWDODUJHSRUWLRQRILWVZRUNXQGHUWKH&RUSRUDWLRQV
$FW2 $6,&V REMHFWLYHV DUH VHW RXW LQ VXEVHFWLRQ RI WKH
$6,&$FWZKLFKUHTXLUHVLWWR
2. ASIC also administers the following legislation (or relevant parts of it), as well as relevant
regulations made under it: Business Names Registration Act 2011; Business Names
Registration (Transitional and Consequential Provisions) Act 2011; Insurance Contracts
Act 1984; Superannuation (Resolution of Complaints) Act 1993; Superannuation Industry
(Supervision) Act 1993; Retirement Savings Accounts Act 1997; Life Insurance Act 1995;
National Consumer Credit Protection Act 2009; Competition and Consumer Act 2010; and
Medical Indemnity (Prudential Supervision and Product Standards) Act 2003.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
771
SXEOLVKLQJSROLF\DQGJXLGDQFH
ZRUNLQJZLWKLQGXVWU\DQGVWDNHKROGHUV
XQGHUWDNLQJVXUYHLOODQFH
UHYLHZLQJORGJHGGRFXPHQWV
JUDQWLQJ UHOLHI LQ VRPH FLUFXPVWDQFHV IURP FHUWDLQ
UHTXLUHPHQWVXQGHUWKH&RUSRUDWLRQV$FW
$6,&SXEOLVKHVSROLF\WRH[SODLQKRZLWLQWHUSUHWVWKHODZ
GHVFULEHV WKH SULQFLSOHV XQGHUO\LQJ LWV DSSURDFK DQG JLYHV
SUDFWLFDO JXLGDQFH VXFK DV KRZ WR DSSO\ IRU UHOLHI ,W DOVR
SXEOLVKHVEHVWSUDFWLFHJXLGDQFH)RUH[DPSOH$6,&UHFHQWO\
UHOHDVHG 5HJXODWRU\ *XLGH RQ SURVSHFWXV GLVFORVXUH
3. See sections 793C and 1101B of the Corporations Act. Note that section 674 incorporates the
ZKLFKLQFOXGHVJXLGDQFHRQEHLQJFOHDUFRQFLVHDQGHIIHFWLYH
ZKHQGUDIWLQJGRFXPHQWVDVUHTXLUHGE\VHFWLRQ$RIWKH
&RUSRUDWLRQV $FW DQG KRZ WR VDWLVI\ WKH FRQWHQW GLVFORVXUH
UHTXLUHPHQWV7KHUHJXODWRU\JXLGHVWKDW$6,&SURGXFHVGR
QRWFUHDWHOHJDOO\ELQGLQJUHTXLUHPHQWVEXWDUHLQWHQGHGWR
EHXVHIXOJXLGDQFHIRUH[WHUQDOVWDNHKROGHUVRQDSDUWLFXODU
VXEMHFW
$VPHQWLRQHG$6,&HQGHDYRXUVWRZRUNZLWKLQGXVWU\DQG
VWDNHKROGHUVRIIHULQJFRQVXOWDWLRQDVZHOODVSUHVHQWDWLRQVRQ
UHOHYDQWVXEMHFWPDWWHUV)RUH[DPSOH$6,&KDVZRUNHGZLWK
&KDUWHUHG6HFUHWDULHV$XVWUDOLDDQGWKH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QYHVWRU
5HODWLRQV $VVRFLDWLRQ WR GHYHORS LQGXVWU\ JXLGDQFH ZKLFK
WKRVHERGLHVKDYHMRLQWO\SXEOLVKHGRQKRZFRPSDQLHVDQG
WKHLU DGYLVHUV FDQ EHVW SURWHFW FRQGHQWLDO SULFHVHQVLWLYH
LQIRUPDWLRQ$6,&ZLOOIURPWLPHWRWLPHFRQGXFWLQGXVWU\
ZLGH VXUYHLOODQFH RU VHHN VWDNHKROGHUV YLHZV WKURXJK D
FRQVXOWDWLRQSURFHVVLQRUGHUWREHWWHUGHWHUPLQHKRZSROLF\
PD\DIIHFWVWDNHKROGHUV
:KHQ $6,& LV FRQFHUQHG DERXW WKH DFWLYLWLHV RI DQ
LQGLYLGXDO RU WKRVH ZLWKLQ DQ LQGXVWU\ JURXS LW PD\
XQGHUWDNH VXUYHLOODQFH WR PRQLWRU FRPSOLDQFH ,QGLYLGXDO
VXUYHLOODQFH W\SLFDOO\ UHVXOWV IURP GRFXPHQW UHYLHZV
FRQVXPHUFRPSODLQWVPHGLDUHSRUWVRUUHIHUUDOV6XUYHLOODQFH
WKDWIRFXVHVRQDQLQGXVWU\RUWRSLFRILQWHUHVWW\SLFDOO\DULVHV
IURPDSURMHFWRUDVWUDWHJLFLQLWLDWLYH
$6,& LV D GLVFORVXUH UHJXODWRU QRW D PHULWV UHJXODWRU
,WV TXHULHV RU FRQFHUQV XVXDOO\ DULVH LQ UHODWLRQ WR ZKDW
FRPSDQLHV GLVFORVH RU GR QRW GLVFORVH $6,&V IRFXV LV
RQ ZKDW LI ZKHQ DQG KRZ FRPSDQLHV VKRXOG GLVFORVH
LQIRUPDWLRQWRWKHSXEOLFUDWKHUWKDQRQWKHHFRQRPLFIDFWRUV
RUPHULWVRIWKHGHDO)RUH[DPSOHLQFDSLWDOUDLVLQJ$6,&V
UHYLHZ LV SULPDULO\ FRQFHUQHG ZLWK ZKHWKHU WKH FRPSDQ\
KDVSURYLGHGVXIFLHQWGLVFORVXUHWRWKHPDUNHWUDWKHUWKDQ
WKHHFRQRPLFVWUDWHJLFRURWKHUEXVLQHVVGHFLVLRQVUHODWLQJWR
UDLVLQJFDSLWDO
$ ODUJH SDUW RI WKH ZRUN XQGHUWDNHQ E\ WKH (PHUJLQJ
0LQLQJ DQG 5HVRXUFHV DQG &RUSRUDWLRQV WHDPV DW $6,& LV
WKH UHYLHZ RI ORGJHG GRFXPHQWV 6XFK GRFXPHQWV LQFOXGH
SURVSHFWXVHV DQG RWKHU IXQGUDLVLQJ GRFXPHQWV QRWLFHV RI
PHHWLQJV FRQWDLQLQJ UHODWHG SDUW\ WUDQVDFWLRQV DQG SRVVLEOH
FRQWURO WUDQVDFWLRQV ELGGHUV VWDWHPHQWV DQG WDUJHWV
VWDWHPHQWV DQG VFKHPHV RI DUUDQJHPHQW :KHQ UHYLHZLQJ
WKHVH ORGJHG GRFXPHQWV $6,& FRQVLGHUV WKH ODZ DQG WKH
SROLF\ REMHFWLYHV DV GHVFULEHG LQ LWV UHJXODWRU\ JXLGHV ,W LV
LPSRUWDQWWRQRWHKRZHYHUWKDW$6,&GRHVQRWUHYLHZHYHU\
ORGJHGGRFXPHQW,I$6,&GRHVKDYHDQLVVXHZLWKDORGJHG
GRFXPHQWLWZLOOOLNHO\FRQWDFWWKHORGJLQJSDUW\+RZHYHU
$6,&PD\DOVRUDLVHDQLVVXHRUVHHNIXUWKHULQIRUPDWLRQDW
DQ\VWDJHIRULQVWDQFHZKHQLWUHFHLYHVDFRPSODLQWREVHUYHV
DEQRUPDOWUDGLQJRUVHHVDQ$6;DQQRXQFHPHQWRIFRQFHUQ
$6,& KDV WKH SRZHU WR JUDQW UHOLHI IURP FHUWDLQ
UHTXLUHPHQWVXQGHUWKH&RUSRUDWLRQV$FW6HYHUDOUHJXODWRU\
JXLGHV GHDO ZLWK DSSOLFDWLRQV IRU UHOLHI GHVFULELQJ WKH
SULQFLSOHV XQGHUO\LQJ $6,&V DSSURDFK WR SURYLGLQJ UHOLHI
RIIHULQJ SUDFWLFDO JXLGDQFH RQ KRZ WR DSSO\ DQG DOVR ZKDW
FRQVLGHUDWLRQV VKRXOG EH DGGUHVVHG E\ DSSOLFDQWV ZKHQ
DSSO\LQJ IRU UHOLHI 6RPH DUH VXEMHFWVSHFLF VXFK DV WKH
WDNHRYHU IXQGUDLVLQJ DQG UHODWHG SDUW\ UHJXODWRU\ JXLGHV
4. For instance, Regulatory Guides 228, 56 and 66 on prospectuses; Regulatory Guide 76 on
related party transactions; Regulatory Guides 111 and 112 on expert reports; and Regulatory
Guide 170 on forward-looking information. ASIC Regulatory Guides can be accessed on the
ASIC website.
UHFRPPHQGVDOOH[SHUWVPDNHXVHRIWKHJXLGDQFHSURYLGHG
LQ 5HJXODWRU\ *XLGHV DQG ZKHQ ZULWLQJ DQ H[SHUW
UHSRUW
$6,& H[SHFWV DQ H[SHUW WR EH LQGHSHQGHQW DQG KDYH D
JHQXLQH RSLQLRQ $ JHQXLQH RSLQLRQ VKRXOG VWHP IURP WKH
H[SHUWV SURIHVVLRQDO MXGJHPHQW DQG QRW EH WKH UHVXOW RI
SUHVVXUHIURPWKHFRPPLVVLRQLQJSDUW\WRDUULYHDWDFHUWDLQ
YLHZ 2QH H[DPSOH RI ZKHQ $6,& ZLOO FRQVLGHU WKDW DQ
H[SHUW LV QRW LQGHSHQGHQW LV LI WKH DPRXQW WKH H[SHUW LV WR
UHFHLYHDVDIHHGHSHQGVRQWKHRXWFRPHRIWKHWUDQVDFWLRQRU
UHSRUW5HJXODWRU\*XLGHVHFWLRQ$&RUSRUDWLRQV
$FW 7KH PDLQ RYHUDUFKLQJ UHTXLUHPHQW IRU DQ H[SHUW
UHSRUW KRZHYHU LV WKDW WKH H[SHUW KDV UHDVRQDEOH JURXQGV
IRU WKH FRQWHQW LQ WKHLU UHSRUW )RU H[DPSOH LI WKH H[SHUW
LQFOXGHV IRUZDUGORRNLQJ VWDWHPHQWV LQ WKH UHSRUW $6,&
ZRXOG H[SHFW WKH H[SHUW WR KDYH UHDVRQDEOH JURXQGV IRU
PDNLQJVXFKVWDWHPHQWVDQGWRDUWLFXODWHWKHP7KLVLVRQHRI
WKHPRUHFRPPRQGHFLHQFLHVWKDW$6,&REVHUYHVLQH[SHUW
UHSRUWV $Q\ DVVXPSWLRQV WKDW DQ H[SHUW XVHV LQ YDOXLQJ
WKHWUDQVDFWLRQVKRXOGEHUHDVRQDEOHDQGEHGLVFORVHG7KLV
UHGXFHV WKH ULVN RI WKH UHSRUW EHLQJ PLVOHDGLQJ DQG DOORZV
LQYHVWRUV WR JDLQ D EHWWHU XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH RXWFRPH RI
WKHYDOXDWLRQ
$6,& DOVR H[SHFWV WKH H[SHUW WR XVH KLV RU KHU H[SHUWLVH
WR FKRRVH WKH PRVW DSSURSULDWH YDOXDWLRQ PHWKRGV DQG WR
GLVFORVH WKH EDVLV EHKLQG WKH FKRLFHV 5HJXODWRU\ *XLGH
OLVWVVHYHUDOYDOXDWLRQPHWKRGVWKDWZLOOJHQHUDOO\EH
DSSURSULDWHIRUDQH[SHUWWRFRQVLGHU
$6,&VH[SHFWDWLRQVLQUHODWLRQWRWHFKQLFDOUHSRUWVDUHGHDOW
ZLWKLQIXUWKHUGHWDLOODWHULQWKLVSDSHU
3URVSHFWXVHVPD\LQFOXGHH[SHUWUHSRUWVWRSURYLGHSRWHQWLDO
LQYHVWRUVZLWKDSODWIRUPWRHQDEOHWKHPWRPDNHDQLQIRUPHG
DVVHVVPHQWDERXWZKHWKHUWRDFFHSWWKHRIIHURUQRW([SHUW
UHSRUWV SOD\ DQ LPSRUWDQW UROH LQ GLVFORVXUH GRFXPHQWV DV
WKH\ DUH LQWHQGHG WR SURYLGH DQ REMHFWLYH RYHUYLHZ RI WKH
DVVHWVDQGDQ\DVVRFLDWHGULVNV([SHUWUHSRUWVQRWRQO\DOORZ
VKDUHKROGHUV WR XQGHUVWDQG ZKDW WKH\ DUH LQYHVWLQJ LQ EXW
DOVRWRKDYHFRQGHQFHWKDWDQREMHFWLYHLQIRUPHGH[SHUWKDV
UHYLHZHGWKHEDVLVRIWKHWUDQVDFWLRQ7RDVVLVWH[SHUWVWRPHHW
WKRVH REMHFWLYHV $6,& KDV SXW WRJHWKHU VHYHUDO 5HJXODWRU\
*XLGHVWKDWSURYLGHDUHFRPPHQGHGDSSURDFKWRDQDO\VLQJ
DQGYDOXLQJDWUDQVDFWLRQDQGZULWLQJDQLQGHSHQGHQWH[SHUW
UHSRUW5HJXODWRU\*XLGHGHDOVZLWKWKHFRQWHQWRIH[SHUW
UHSRUWVDQG5HJXODWRU\*XLGHLVDERXWWKHLQGHSHQGHQFH
RI H[SHUWV 7KH FULWHULD IRU H[SHUW UHSRUWV DSSO\ QRW MXVW WR
SURVSHFWXVGRFXPHQWVEXWWRH[SHUWUHSRUWVIRUDOOW\SHVRI
WUDQVDFWLRQV )RU H[DPSOH MXVW EHFDXVH DQ H[SHUW UHSRUW LV
XVHG IRU D FRQWURO WUDQVDFWLRQ DV RSSRVHG WR D IXQGUDLVLQJ
WUDQVDFWLRQ GRHV QRW PHDQ WKDW WKH VWDQGDUG RI WKH UHSRUW
VKRXOGEHDQ\GLIIHUHQW7KHUHTXLUHPHQWVDUHWKHVDPH$6,&
&DUHVKRXOGDOVREHWDNHQZKHQXVLQJWHFKQLFDOWHUPLQRORJ\
DVWKHDXGLHQFHUHDGLQJLWZLOOOLNHO\QRWKDYHWKHVDPHOHYHO
RIXQGHUVWDQGLQJDVWKHH[SHUW8QQHFHVVDU\WHFKQLFDOMDUJRQ
VKRXOGEHDYRLGHGDQGZKHUHLWLVQHFHVVDU\EHGHQHGDQG
XVHG FRQVLVWHQWO\ 5HJXODWRU\ *XLGH SURYLGHV VRPH
VXJJHVWLRQVWRNHHSDUHSRUWFOHDUFRQFLVHDQGHIIHFWLYH$6,&
HQFRXUDJHV H[SHUWV WR NHHS WKHLU UHSRUW DV VKRUW DV SRVVLEOH
E\ RPLWWLQJ H[WUD LQIRUPDWLRQ WKDW GRHV QRW GLUHFWO\ UHODWH
WR WKH GHFLVLRQ WR EH PDGH E\ LQYHVWRUV 5HJXODWRU\ *XLGH
,QFOXGLQJH[WUDQHRXVLQIRUPDWLRQLQDQH[SHUWUHSRUW
GHWUDFWVIURPWKHPDLQWKUXVWRIWKHUHSRUWDQGXQGHUPLQHV
WKHHIIHFWLYHQHVVRIWKHUHSRUW
TAKEOVERS PANEL
7KH7DNHRYHUV3DQHO3DQHOZKLFKLVDSHHUUHYLHZERG\VHW
XSXQGHUWKH$6,&$FWPD\FRPPHQFHSURFHHGLQJVRQDZLGH
UDQJH RI LVVXHV LQFOXGLQJ ZKHWKHU GLVFORVXUH LQ DQ H[SHUW
UHSRUW LV PDWHULDOO\ GHFLHQW DQG JLYHV ULVH WR XQDFFHSWDEOH
FLUFXPVWDQFHV 7KH 3DQHO PD\ PDNH D GHFODUDWLRQ RI
XQDFFHSWDEOH FLUFXPVWDQFHV HYHQ ZKHUH WKHUH LV QR EUHDFK
RI WKH ODZ 8SRQ PDNLQJ VXFK D GHFODUDWLRQ WKH 3DQHO FDQ
WKHQ PDNH D YDULHW\ RI RUGHUV VXFK DV UHTXLULQJ DGGLWLRQDO
GLVFORVXUH UHVWUXFWXULQJ RI WUDQVDFWLRQV RU D GLYHVWLWXUH RI
VKDUHV 7KHUH DUH WLPHV ZKHQ $6,& PD\ WDNH D PDWWHU WR
WKH 3DQHO IRU LQVWDQFH ZKHQ LQ $6,&V YLHZ WKHUH PD\ EH
XQDFFHSWDEOH FLUFXPVWDQFHV +RZHYHU RIWHQ FRPSDQLHV RU
RWKHU LQWHUHVWHG SDUWLHV ZLOO WDNH D PDWWHU WR WKH 3DQHO $Q
H[DPSOHRIWKLVRFFXUULQJLQWKHPLQLQJVHFWRULVWKHFDVHRI
0LGZHVW&RUSRUDWLRQ/WG0LGZHVWMidwest Corporation Ltd
$73ZKLFKLVGHVFULEHGLQIXUWKHUGHWDLO
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
773
*URXS )0*5 7KH )XOO )HGHUDO &RXUW KHOG RQ DSSHDO WKDW
GLVFORVXUH GRFXPHQWV VKRXOG EH ZULWWHQ ZLWK WKH DXGLHQFH
LQ PLQG WR HQVXUH WKDW WKH FRQWHQW LV SUHVHQWHG LQ D ZD\
WKDWZRXOGQRWEHPLVOHDGLQJRUGHFHSWLYH6WDWHPHQWVPDGH
DV DQ RSLQLRQ VKRXOG EH LGHQWLDEOH DV VXFK DQG PXVW EH
JHQXLQHO\ DQG UHDVRQDEO\ KHOG E\ WKH SHUVRQV PDNLQJ WKH
VWDWHPHQWV ,W ZDV DQWLFLSDWHG WKDW WKH +LJK &RXUW ZRXOG
FRQVLGHU WKH FRQWLQXRXV GLVFORVXUH UHJLPH EXW WKH +LJK
&RXUW FKRVH WR FRQVLGHU WKH IDFWV VRPHZKDW GLIIHUHQWO\ RQ
WKH EDVLV RI ZKHWKHU RU QRW WKH DQQRXQFHPHQWV PDGH E\
WKH FRPSDQ\ ZHUH PLVOHDGLQJ RU GHFHSWLYH UDWKHU WKDQ
ZKHWKHUWKHFRPSDQ\KDGEUHDFKHGLWVFRQWLQXRXVGLVFORVXUH
REOLJDWLRQV7KH+LJK&RXUWIRXQGWKDWLQWKHFLUFXPVWDQFHV
WKHDQQRXQFHPHQWVZHUHQRWPLVOHDGLQJ
$QRWKHU $6,& FDVH UHODWLQJ WR FRQWLQXRXV GLVFORVXUH ZDV
WKH VXFFHVVIXO DFWLRQ WDNHQ DJDLQVW &LWURIUHVK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO
/LPLWHG DV LW ZDV FDOOHG WKHQ DQG LWV PDQDJLQJ GLUHFWRU
LQ WKH LQYLVLEOH FRQGRP FDVH6 7KH FDVH SURYLGHV D JRRG
LOOXVWUDWLRQ RQ WKH OLQN EHWZHHQ D FRPSDQ\V FRQWLQXRXV
GLVFORVXUHREOLJDWLRQVDQGKRZDEUHDFKFDQOHDGWRDQGLQJ
RI PLVOHDGLQJ DQG GHFHSWLYH FRQGXFW &LWURIUHVK UHOHDVHG
DQ$6;DQQRXQFHPHQWUHSUHVHQWLQJWKDWLWKDGGHYHORSHGD
SURGXFWWKDWZLWKSRVWFRLWDODSSOLFDWLRQFRXOGSUHYHQWDQG
HYHQWXDOO\VWRSWKHVSUHDGRIGLVHDVHVVXFKDV+,9DQGRWKHU
VH[XDOO\WUDQVPLWWHGLQIHFWLRQV2QWKHHYLGHQFHLWZDVFOHDU
WKDWWKHFRPSDQ\KDGQRUHDVRQDEOHJURXQGVIRUPDNLQJWKH
UHSUHVHQWDWLRQV
7KH FRPSDQ\ GLG QRW REMHFW WR $6,&V DOOHJDWLRQV DJDLQVW
LW $6,& +RZHYHU WKH FDVH SURFHHGHG DJDLQVW WKH
PDQDJLQJ GLUHFWRU 0U 1DUDLQ ZKR FRQWHQGHG WKDW KH KDG
QRW HQJDJHG LQ PLVOHDGLQJ RU GHFHSWLYH FRQGXFW DV KH KDG
QRW SHUVRQDOO\ JLYHQ WKH DQQRXQFHPHQW WR $6; 7KLV ZDV
LQ VSLWH RI KLV EHLQJ LQWLPDWHO\ LQYROYHG LQ WKH GUDIWLQJ
DQG SUHSDUDWLRQ RI WKH DQQRXQFHPHQW FXOPLQDWLQJ LQ KLV
DXWKRULVLQJ LWV UHOHDVH WR $6; +LV FRQWHQWLRQ ZDV UHMHFWHG
E\ WKH &RXUW ZKLFK FRQVLGHUHG WKDW WKH UHDO FXOSULW LV WKH
SHUVRQZKRDXWKRULVHVWKHUHOHDVHRILQIRUPDWLRQWR$6;LQ
IXOONQRZOHGJHRIWKDWLQIRUPDWLRQ
7KH LQYLVLEOH FRQGRP FDVH KLJKOLJKWV WZR LPSRUWDQW
SRLQWV 7KH UVW SRLQW LV WKDW WKH IXQGDPHQWDO SUHPLVH WKDW
D VWDWHPHQW DERXW D IXWXUH PDWWHU EXW ZLWKRXW UHDVRQDEOH
JURXQGVZLOOEHWDNHQWREHPLVOHDGLQJDQGGHFHSWLYH7KH
VHFRQGSRLQWLVWKDWDSHUVRQZKRDXWKRULVHVWKHPDNLQJRI
WKDWW\SHRIVWDWHPHQWFDQDOVREHKHOGSHUVRQDOO\OLDEOHIRU
HQJDJLQJLQPLVOHDGLQJRUGHFHSWLYHFRQGXFW
GLVFORVXUHUHJLPHUHJXODWHVLIZKHQDQGKRZDFRPSDQ\FDQ
GLVFORVH LQIRUPDWLRQ WR WKH PDUNHW LQ D ZD\ WKDW PDLQWDLQV
PDUNHWLQWHJULW\
7KH RYHUDUFKLQJ FRQWLQXRXV GLVFORVXUH REOLJDWLRQ LV WKDW
FRPSDQLHVSURYLGHWLPHO\GLVFORVXUHRIPDWHULDOLQIRUPDWLRQ
ZKLFK PXVW EH UHDVRQDEOH DQG DV DFFXUDWH DV SRVVLEOH
DV ZHOO DV WKH WLPHO\ XSGDWLQJ RI SUHYLRXVO\ DQQRXQFHG
LQIRUPDWLRQ WKDW KDV EHFRPH PDWHULDOO\ RXW RI GDWH GXH WR
QHZFLUFXPVWDQFHV
,QWKHFXUUHQWHQYLURQPHQWWKHUDWLRQDOHEHKLQGZK\$6,&
KDV D FRQWLQXRXV GLVFORVXUH UHJLPH EHFRPHV FOHDUHU ZKHQ
RQH YLHZV WKH HYHQWV XQIROGLQJ RQ VHFXULWLHV H[FKDQJHV
ZRUOGZLGH&RPSDQLHVKDYHDVNHGIRUDQGUHFHLYHGPRQH\
IURP WKH SXEOLF DQG LQ UHWXUQ WKH SXEOLF UHDVRQDEO\ H[SHFW
WKDW WKH FRPSDQLHV VKRXOG SURYLGH SURSHU GLVFORVXUH DERXW
ZKDW WKH\ GR ZLWK WKDW PRQH\ DQG WKH UHVXOWV $V VWDWHG
HDUOLHUKLVWRU\VKRZVWKDWXQFKHFNHGEHKDYLRXUFDQOHDGWR
HYHQWVWKDWKDYHVHULRXVDGYHUVHFRQVHTXHQFHVRQLQYHVWRUV
DQG WKH ZLGHU SXEOLF 7R D ODUJH H[WHQW WKLV LV SDUW RI ZK\
FKHFNVDQGEDODQFHVH[LVW7KHUHDUHQXPHURXVH[DPSOHVRI
HYHQWV ZKHUH LQ WKH SRVWJDPH DQDO\VLV VLJQLFDQW VWHSV
ZHUH WDNHQ LQ WKH HYROXWLRQ RI WKH FRQWLQXRXV GLVFORVXUH
UHJLPHLQRUGHUWRSUHYHQWDVLPLODUW\SHDQGPDJQLWXGHRI
KDUPRFFXUULQJ
$JRRGH[DPSOHRIWKLVFDQEHVHHQLQWKHHYHQWVDURXQGWKH
3RVHLGRQEXEEOHIURPWR7KHDQQRXQFHPHQWRID
GLVFRYHU\RIDSURPLVLQJVLWHIRUQLFNHOPLQLQJWULJJHUHGDQ
LQFUHGLEOH ULVH LQ WKH FRPSDQ\V VKDUH SULFH LQ RQO\ D VKRUW
DPRXQWRIWLPHHVSHFLDOO\DVWKHUHZDVDZRUOGZLGHQLFNHO
VKRUWDJHGXHWRWKH9LHWQDP:DUZKLFKGURYHQLFNHOSULFHVWR
UHFRUGOHYHOV1HZLQIRUPDWLRQDERXWWKHSURPLVLQJQGFDPH
RXW LQ D UHODWLYHO\ JUDGXDO PDQQHU ZKHQ FRPSDUHG WR WKH
DQQRXQFHPHQWRIWKHLQLWLDOQG7KLVZDVHYHQDVWKHVKDUH
SULFHFRQWLQXHGWRULVH7KHLQIRUPDWLRQWKDWZDVUHOHDVHGWR
WKHPDUNHWZDVODWHUIRXQGWREHODUJHO\XQVXEVWDQWLDWHGDQG
LQDFFXUDWH 7KH 6HQDWH 5DH &RPPLWWHH UHSRUW LQWR WKH
3RVHLGRQ EXEEOH VKRZHG WKDW WKH PDUNHW KDG EHHQ SRRUO\
UHJXODWHGDQGUHFRPPHQGHGDQXPEHURIFKDQJHVLQFOXGLQJ
WKHHVWDEOLVKPHQWRIDQDWLRQDOUHJXODWRUZLWKIXOOUHJXODWRU\
DQGLQYHVWLJDWLYHSRZHUV
$PRUHUHFHQWH[DPSOHLVZKDWKDSSHQHGZLWK&DPEULGJH
*XOI ([SORUDWLRQ 1/ LQ 7KH FRPSDQ\ DQQRXQFHG WKH
UHFRYHU\ RI JHP TXDOLW\ GLDPRQGV DQG SUHFLRXV PHWDOV
$V RIWHQ KDSSHQV UXPRXUV ZHUH FLUFXODWLQJ WKH PDUNHW
LQFOXGLQJDUXPRXUDERXWGLDPRQGVDVELJDVJROIEDOOV$OO
RI WKLV FRQWULEXWHG WR WKH VKDUH SULFH LQFUHDVLQJ IURP
WR$IWHUWKLVDW$6;VLQVLVWHQFHWKHFRPSDQ\SXWLWV
VKDUHVLQWRVXVSHQVLRQSHQGLQJWKHUHOHDVHRIDUHSRUWRQWKH
QGLQJV
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRPDNHLWFOHDUWKDWWKHFRQWLQXRXVGLVFORVXUH
UHJLPH GRHV QRW FRQVWUDLQ D FRPSDQ\ DQG LWV ERDUG IURP
PDNLQJ GHFLVLRQV RQ KRZ WR SURFHHG ZLWK LWV EXVLQHVV DQG
DFKLHYHVXFFHVVVXEMHFWWRGLUHFWRUVGXWLHV,WDOVRGRHVQRW
SURKLELW WKH PDNLQJ RI LQWHUQDO SURMHFWLRQV SURYLGHG WKH\
DUHIRULQWHUQDOSODQQLQJSXUSRVHVRQO\DQGQRWSUHPDWXUHO\
UHOHDVHG WR WKH PDUNHW LQ SDUWLFXODU ZKHQ WKH FRPSDQLHV
DUH QRW \HW DW WKH VWDJH RI KDYLQJ UHDVRQDEOH JURXQGV IRU
WKHLU IRUZDUGORRNLQJ VWDWHPHQWV 5DWKHU WKH FRQWLQXRXV
0XFK RI WKH PLVFKLHI LQ WKLV FDVH FDQ EH WUDFHG EDFN WR
WZR VWDWHPHQWV LQ WKH UHSRUW WKH UVW EHLQJ WKDW VL[ FDUDWV
RI GLDPRQGV ZHUH UHFRYHUHG IURP VDPSOH VLWHV DW D UDWH RI
FDUDWV SHU WRQQH 7KH VHFRQG ZDV WKDW DW WKLV UDWH WKH
DQQXDOSURWWRWKHFRPSDQ\ZRXOGEH86%$6,&V
SUHGHFHVVRU DJHQF\ WKH $XVWUDOLDQ 6HFXULWLHV &RPPLVVLRQ
WRRN DFWLRQ DJDLQVW WKH JHRORJLVW ZKR SUHSDUHG WKH UHSRUW
IRU PDNLQJ LQYHVWPHQW LQGXFLQJ EXW PDWHULDOO\ PLVOHDGLQJ
IRUZDUGORRNLQJ VWDWHPHQWV 8OWLPDWHO\ LW ZDV FRQVLGHUHG
WKDW WKH VWDWHPHQWV ZHUH PDWHULDOO\ PLVOHDGLQJ DV WKH\
8. See ASIC (2011e) at paragraph (17) as an example of recent ASIC guidance on this point.
9. Australian Securities Commission v MacLeod (2000) WASCA 101. Note: this case was
Note, this Regulatory Guide 228 refers to prospectuses but the principles apply broadly to all
disclosure.
overturned by the High Court on a procedural legal issue, but the substantive legal issues set
out in this paper were not overruled and thus still stand.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
775
WKH\GRQRW\HWKDYHUHDVRQDEOHJURXQGVIRUIRUZDUGORRNLQJ
LQIRUPDWLRQ )RU LQVWDQFH D FRPSDQ\ WKDW FXUUHQWO\ KDV DQ
,QIHUUHG5HVRXUFHRI%WPD\DQGVKRXOGGLVFORVH
$QLPSRUWDQWOHVVRQIURPWKLVH[DPSOHLVWKDWWKHXVHRIWKH
ZRUG FRQFHSWXDO GRHV QRW SUHYHQW VWDWHPHQWV IURP EHLQJ
FRQVLGHUHGWREHSUHGLFWLYHDQGWKHUHIRUHRIDIRUZDUGORRNLQJ
QDWXUH,QPDNLQJWKLVDVVHVVPHQWDOOWKHFLUFXPVWDQFHVDUH
WDNHQ LQWR DFFRXQW SXW DQRWKHU ZD\ LW LV VXEVWDQFH RYHU
IRUP7KHXVHRIFDXWLRQDU\ODQJXDJHLVDOVRQRWVXIFLHQWWR
SUHYHQW IRUZDUGORRNLQJ VWDWHPHQWV IURP EHLQJ WDNHQ WR EH
PLVOHDGLQJ
7REHYLDEOHZHUHTXLUH%WRIFRNLQJFRDODWDPLQLPXPRI
Indicated Resource category for this project.
7KH WZR H[DPSOHV DERYH DUH JRRG LOOXVWUDWLRQV DV WR ZK\
FKHFNVDQGEDODQFHVDUHUHTXLUHGWRKHOSSUHYHQWXQUHJXODWHG
EHKDYLRXU IURP OHDGLQJ WR HJUHJLRXV EHKDYLRXU ZKLFK
KDUPVWKHLQYHVWLQJSXEOLFDQGXQGHUPLQHVFRQGHQFHLQWKH
PDUNHWVDQXQGHVLUDEOHRXWFRPHIRUHYHU\RQH
$V PDQ\ LI QRW PRVW VWDWHPHQWV LQ WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\
UHODWH WR PDWWHUV IDU LQWR WKH IXWXUH DQ H[DPSOH RI DQ
LPSRUWDQW FKHFN DQG EDODQFH WKDW H[LVWV LV WKH UHTXLUHPHQW
WRKDYHUHDVRQDEOHJURXQGVIRUIRUZDUGORRNLQJVWDWHPHQWV
:LWKRXWUHDVRQDEOHJURXQGVWKHVWDWHPHQWZLOOEHWDNHQWR
EHPLVOHDGLQJ
)RUZDUGORRNLQJVWDWHPHQWVGRQRWQHHGWRLQFOXGHQDQFLDO
SURMHFWLRQVDSURGXFWLRQVFKHGXOHZLWKRXWSURMHFWHGUHYHQXH
ZLOO VWLOO EH D IRUZDUGORRNLQJ VWDWHPHQW *HQHUDOO\ WKH
SULQFLSOHLVWKDWLIWKHIRUZDUGORRNLQJVWDWHPHQWLVHVVHQWLDOO\
D EOXH VN\ VWDWHPHQW QRW EDVHG RQ UHDVRQDEOH JURXQGV LW
VKRXOGQRWEHGLVFORVHGWRWKHPDUNHW7KHLVVXHZLWKEOXH
VN\ VWDWHPHQWV LV WKDW WKH\ DUH XVXDOO\ WRR SUHOLPLQDU\ LQ
QDWXUH ZLWK ORZ LQIRUPDWLRQ YDOXH WR LQYHVWRUV DQG PD\
WKHUHIRUH PLVOHDG WKH PDMRULW\ RI WKH LQYHVWLQJ SXEOLF ,W LV
LPSRUWDQW WR UHDOLVH WKDW WKLV GRHV QRW SUHYHQW FRPSDQLHV
IURP PDNLQJ DQG DFWLQJ RQ EXVLQHVV GHFLVLRQV EDVHG RQ
LQWHUQDOUHSRUWLQJEXWLWGRHVGHWHUPLQHKRZWKH\PD\UHSRUW
WRWKHLQYHVWLQJSXEOLF
7KHTXHVWLRQDVWRLIZKHQKRZDQGZKDWWRGLVFORVHRIWHQ
LQYROYHV D FDUHIXO EDODQFLQJ DFW HVSHFLDOO\ ZKHQ LW VHHPV
WKDWWKHPDUNHWLVHDJHUO\VHHNLQJWKHLQIRUPDWLRQ,WLVDOVR
UHDVRQDEOHWRVD\WKDWWKHPDUNHWZRXOGQRWH[SHFWDFRPSDQ\
WRGLVFORVHLQIRUPDWLRQRUPDNHVWDWHPHQWVWKDWPD\EHWDNHQ
WREHPLVOHDGLQJEHDEUHDFKRIWKHODZDQGWKHUHIRUHH[SRVH
WKHFRPSDQ\WRFLYLOOLDELOLW\DQGWKHUHODWHGSHQDOWLHV
)URPWKLVSHUVSHFWLYHDGYLVHUVVXFKDVJHRORJLVWVPLQLQJ
HQJLQHHUVRUODZ\HUVKDYHDQLPSRUWDQWUROHLQPDNLQJFOHDU
WR WKH GLUHFWRUV ZKDW WKH VWDWXV RI WKH FRPSDQ\V YDULRXV
HQWHUSULVHV LV DQG ZKDW FDQ EH UHDVRQDEO\ DFKLHYHG DQG
WKHUHIRUH GLVFORVHG $6,& SURYLGHV JXLGDQFH RQ LI ZKDW
ZKHQ DQG KRZ WR GLVFORVH IRUZDUGORRNLQJ LQIRUPDWLRQ
LQ 5HJXODWRU\ *XLGH $6,& G :KLOH LW PD\ UHIHU
VSHFLFDOO\ WR IRUZDUGORRNLQJ QDQFLDO LQIRUPDWLRQ $6,&
DSSOLHV WKH SULQFLSOHV IURP 5HJXODWRU\ *XLGH WR DOO
IRUZDUGORRNLQJLQIRUPDWLRQ10
7KHUHTXLUHPHQWWRKDYHUHDVRQDEOHJURXQGVIRUIRUZDUG
ORRNLQJVWDWHPHQWVDVVLVWVLQVHSDUDWLQJWKRVHFRPSDQLHVZLWK
UHDVRQDEOH SURVSHFWV IURP WKRVH WKDW DUH VLPSO\ VSUXLNLQJ
DQGUHO\LQJRQSXUHVSHFXODWLRQ+RZHYHUWKRVHFRPSDQLHV
ZKRGRQRW\HWKDYHUHDVRQDEOHJURXQGVIRUIRUZDUGORRNLQJ
VWDWHPHQWV FDQ VWLOO GLVFORVH FHUWDLQ LQIRUPDWLRQ ZLWKRXW
IDOOLQJIRXORIWKHFRQWLQXRXVGLVFORVXUHUHJLPH,QIDFWWKH
ODZUHTXLUHVFRPSDQLHVWRGHDOZLWKWKHLUSURVSHFWVHYHQLI
10. See AISC (2011b) at paragraph (97) where ASIC publicly states this position.
776
$VWKHFRPSDQ\GRHVQRW\HWKDYHUHDVRQDEOHJURXQGVIRUD
SURGXFWLRQWDUJHWLWPXVWQRWGLVFORVHWKDW
2XUSURGXFWLRQWDUJHWLV0WSHUDQQXPRYHUWHQ\HDUV
IRUDSURMHFWHGQHWSUHVHQWYDOXHRI%
7KHUH LV QR RQH IRUPXOD IRU HDFK FRQWLQXRXV GLVFORVXUH
VLWXDWLRQ WKDW FRPSDQLHV IDFH &RPSDQLHV PXVW DVVHVV WKH
LQIRUPDWLRQYDOXHRIZKDWPD\EHGLVFORVHGDQGEDODQFHWKDW
LQIRUPDWLRQYDOXHDJDLQVWWKHOLNHOLKRRGWKDWWKHLQIRUPDWLRQ
LV QRW UHOLDEOH DQG PD\ EH WDNHQ WR EH PLVOHDGLQJ $6,&V
5HJXODWRU\*XLGH$6,&GVD\VWKDWWKHOHVVUHOLDEOH
WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ LV WKH OHVV UHOHYDQW LW EHFRPHV WR LQYHVWRUV
DQG WKH OHVV OLNHO\ LW LV WKDW LW VKRXOG EH GLVFORVHG WR WKH
PDUNHW
&RPSDQLHVDQGWKHLUDGYLVHUVVKRXOGNHHSLQWKHIRUHIURQW
RI WKHLU PLQGV WKDW D SULPDU\ REMHFWLYH RI WKH FRQWLQXRXV
GLVFORVXUH UHJLPH LV WR DFKLHYH DQG PDLQWDLQ PDUNHW
LQWHJULW\ 7KH KLJKHU WKH LQWHJULW\ LQ WKH PDUNHW WKH KLJKHU
WKH FRQGHQFH WKDW WKH LQYHVWLQJ SXEOLF LV OLNHO\ WR KDYH
ZKLFKZLOOXOWLPDWHO\DVVLVWLQNHHSLQJVFDUFHFDSLWDOIUHHDQG
RZLQJWRWKHPRUHPHULWRULRXVSURMHFWVDQGFRPSDQLHV
EHVW ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFHV RQO\ ,W LV LPSRUWDQW IRU WKH H[SHUW
WRULJRURXVO\DVVHVVDQGRSLQHRQZKHWKHUDWWKHWLPHRIWKH
UHSRUWUHDVRQDEOHJURXQGVH[LVWIRUWKHFDVKRZSURMHFWLRQV
ZKLFKDUHRIWHQPDQ\\HDUVLQWRWKHIXWXUH
$V HDFK UHVRXUFHV SURMHFW LV XQLTXH WKH XQGHUO\LQJ
LQIRUPDWLRQWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQWWRIRUPDQRSLQLRQLVOLNHO\WR
EHPDWHULDO&RPSDQLHVRIWHQJLYHWKHXQGHUO\LQJLQIRUPDWLRQ
RUSDUDPHWHUVWRWKHWHFKQLFDOH[SHUWVWRXVHLQWKHLUUHSRUWV
7KHUH LV QRWKLQJ ZURQJ ZLWK WKLV DQG FRXOG EH FRQVLGHUHG
WR EH HIFLHQW +DYLQJ VDLG WKLV DSSO\LQJ $6,&V JXLGDQFH
LQ5HJXODWRU\*XLGH$6,&EUHTXLUHVWKHWHFKQLFDO
H[SHUWWRFULWLFDOO\HYDOXDWHWKDWLQIRUPDWLRQDQGVDWLVI\KLP
KHUVHOI WKDW LW LV UHDVRQDEOH LQ WKH FLUFXPVWDQFHV DQG XQGHU
WKHODZ
$6,& GRHV QRW UHTXLUH WKDW WKH WHFKQLFDO H[SHUW KDV
SHUIRUPHGVRPHWKLQJDNLQWRDQDXGLWEXWWKHH[SHUWVKRXOG
QRW DFFHSW DVVXPSWLRQV SURYLGHG WR KLPKHU ZLWKRXW UVW
WHVWLQJZKHWKHUWKHDVVXPSWLRQVDUHUHDVRQDEOH)RUIRUZDUG
ORRNLQJ VWDWHPHQWV RU LQIRUPDWLRQ LQFOXGHG LQ WKH H[SHUWV
UHSRUW WKH H[SHUW PXVW PDNH D SRVLWLYH VWDWHPHQW WKDW WKH
IRUZDUGORRNLQJLQIRUPDWLRQDQGWKHXQGHUO\LQJDVVXPSWLRQV
DUHUHDVRQDEOH:LWKRXWWKLVWKHIRUZDUGORRNLQJVWDWHPHQWV
RULQIRUPDWLRQZLOOEHWDNHQWREHPLVOHDGLQJ
2QHQDOLVVXHDULVHVIURPWKHIDFWWKDWWKHSXUSRVHRIDQ
H[SHUW UHSRUW LV WR JLYH LQYHVWRUV DQ DVVHVVPHQW RQ ZKLFK
WKH\FDQSODFHUHDVRQDEOHUHOLDQFHLQPDNLQJWKHLULQYHVWPHQW
GHFLVLRQ $ GLVFODLPHU E\ WKH H[SHUW GHIHDWV WKLV SXUSRVH
)XUWKHUDQH[SHUWFDQQRWGLVFODLPWKHLUVWDWXWRU\OLDELOLW\IRU
WKH UHSRUW ,I DQ H[SHUW GRHV SXUSRUW WR GLVFODLP OLDELOLW\ LW
PD\PDNHWKHH[SHUWUHSRUWPLVOHDGLQJ
6$05(&&RGHDQG3DQ(XURSHDQ5HVHUYHVDQG5HVRXUFHV
5HSRUWLQJ &RPPLWWHH &RGH 3(5& &RGH DUH QRWHG )URP
$6,&V SHUVSHFWLYH WKHVH XSGDWHV DUH D JRRG LQGLFDWLRQ RI
ZKHUHWKHLQWHUQDWLRQDOPLQLQJLQGXVWU\LVKHDGLQJLQWHUPV
RI UHSRUWLQJ UHTXLUHPHQWV DQG ZKDW LV DOORZHG LQ RUGHU WR
SUHVHUYH PDUNHW LQWHJULW\ DQG LQYHVWRU FRQGHQFH 0DQ\
RI WKHVH XSGDWHV KDYH MRLQW FRQWULEXWRUV ZKR DUH RXWVLGH RI
WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ VXFK DV QDQFH DQG OHJDO SURIHVVLRQDO
DVVRFLDWLRQV 7KLV DSSURDFK LV WR EH FRPPHQGHG DV LW LV
DQ H[DPSOH RI WKH JURZLQJ DZDUHQHVV RI WKH LPSDFW RI WKH
PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ DQG WKH QHHG WR KDYH FRQVLVWHQF\ EHWZHHQ
LWDQGRWKHULQGXVWULHVWKDWLVWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\GRHVQRW
H[LVWLQDYDFXXP
,Q SDUWLFXODU LW LV LQWHUHVWLQJ WR QRWH WKDW WKH 3(5& DQG
6$05(& &RGHV ZHUH XSGDWHG LQ 'HFHPEHU DQG -XO\
UHVSHFWLYHO\DQGQRZSURYLGHJUHDWHUFODULW\DERXWWKH
XQFHUWDLQQDWXUHRI,QIHUUHG5HVRXUFHV7KHJXLGDQFHLQWKHVH
&RGHV JRHV RQ WR VD\ WKDW ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFHV PXVW QRW EH
XVHGLQPLQHGHVLJQVPLQHSODQQLQJ DQGHFRQRPLFVWXGLHV
XQOHVVWKHUHDUHH[LVWLQJ5HVHUYHV
7KH &DQDGLDQ PLQHUDOV UHSRUWLQJ UHJLPH LPSRVHV TXLWH
ULJRURXV UHSRUWLQJ UHTXLUHPHQWV RQ DOO PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV
ZKHWKHU LQ SURGXFWLRQ RU H[SORUDWLRQ 7KLV KDV QR GRXEW
LQFUHDVHGWUDQVSDUHQF\LQWKHPDUNHW6RPHPD\VD\WKDWWKLV
LQFUHDVHG WUDQVSDUHQF\ KDV FRQWULEXWHG WR WKH ORZHU FRVW RI
FDSLWDOLQ&DQDGDDQGWKHUHODWLYHHDVHZLWKZKLFK&DQDGLDQ
OLVWHGFRPSDQLHVFDQUDLVHVLJQLFDQWDPRXQWVRIIXQGVIURP
WKH LQYHVWLQJ SXEOLF DV WKH UHSRUWLQJ UHTXLUHPHQWV PDNH LW
HDVLHU WR GLVWLQJXLVK EHWZHHQ D FRPSDQ\ ZLWK D ERQD GH
SURMHFWRUSURVSHFWVDQGRQHZLWKRXW
0DQ\RIWKHVHUHTXLUHPHQWVDUHFRQVLVWHQWZLWK$XVWUDOLDV
UHJXODWRU\ UHTXLUHPHQW ,I DQ\WKLQJ WKH &DQDGLDQ
UHTXLUHPHQWV PD\ EH FRQVLGHUHG WR EH PRUH VWULQJHQW
WKDQ WKRVH WKDW H[LVW LQ $XVWUDOLD )RU LQVWDQFH &DQDGLDQ
FRPSDQLHV PXVW GLVFORVH DOO LQIRUPDWLRQ VXFK DV VWXGLHV RU
HFRQRPLF DQDO\VHV WKH XQGHUO\LQJ LQIRUPDWLRQ OLNH FDSLWDO
DQG RSHUDWLQJ FRVWV SULFH SURMHFWLRQV SURGXFW YDOXDWLRQV
HWFDQGDOVRWKHEDVHVRQZKLFKWKHFRPSDQLHVFRQVLGHUWKH
LQIRUPDWLRQWREHUHDVRQDEOH
)RU WKH SXUSRVHV RI WKLV SDSHU &DQDGD LV FRQVLGHUHG WR
EH D JRRG FRPSDUDWLYH MXULVGLFWLRQ GXH WR LWV PL[ RI ODUJH
DQG VPDOO UHVRXUFHV FRPSDQLHV 7KLV LV FRPSDUHG WR 6RXWK
$IULFD DQG WKH 8QLWHG .LQJGRP ZKHUH WKHUH LV D JUHDWHU
FRQFHQWUDWLRQ RI ODUJH UHVRXUFHV FRPSDQLHV DQG VR LW PD\
EH OHVV DSSURSULDWH WR GUDZ D FRPSDULVRQ EHWZHHQ WKRVH
PDUNHWVDQGWKH$XVWUDOLDQMXQLRUPDUNHW$FFRUGLQJO\WKH
GLVFXVVLRQ ZLOO IRFXV SULPDULO\ RQ WKH &DQDGLDQ UHJXODWRU\
ODQGVFDSH
7KH RQO\ FDUYH RXW DYDLODEOH LV IRU YHU\ ODUJH SURGXFLQJ
LVVXHUV IRU SURSHUWLHV WKDW DUH FXUUHQWO\ LQ SURGXFWLRQ 7KH
WKUHVKROGWRTXDOLI\DVDSURGXFLQJLVVXHULVTXLWHKLJKDVD
FRPSDQ\PXVWKDYHHDUQHGJURVVPLQLQJUHYHQXHRIDWOHDVW
&0LQWKHODVWQDQFLDO\HDUDQGDWOHDVW&0LQWKH
ODVWWKUHHQDQFLDO\HDUV(YHQLID&DQDGLDQFRPSDQ\VHHNV
WR FDUYH RXW LQIRUPDWLRQ DOO WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ PXVW UVW EH
SURYLGHGWRWKHVHFXULWLHVFRPPLVVLRQIRUDQDVVHVVPHQWDVWR
ZKHWKHUWKHLQIRUPDWLRQLVUHDVRQDEOH
7KHVWDUWLQJSRLQWLVWKDW$6,&DFWVDVWKHQDWLRQDOUHJXODWRU
DQGVLWVVHSDUDWHO\IURP$6;,QMXULVGLFWLRQVVXFKDV&DQDGD
DQG 6RXWK $IULFD WKHUH LV QRW \HW D QDWLRQDO JRYHUQPHQW
UHJXODWRU\ ERG\ 7KH &DQDGLDQ VHFXULWLHV FRPPLVVLRQV DUH
SURYLQFLDOHTXLYDOHQWWRDVWDWHEDVHGV\VWHPLQDGGLWLRQWR
WKHVHFXULWLHVH[FKDQJHVVXFKDVWKH7RURQWR6WRFN([FKDQJH
76; DQG WKH 76; 9HQWXUH ([FKDQJH 76;9 ,Q 6RXWK
$IULFDWKH-RKDQQHVEXUJ6WRFN([FKDQJH-6(LVWKHSULPDU\
UHJXODWRU\ ERG\ DV DQ $6,&HTXLYDOHQW ERG\ KDV \HW WR EH
HVWDEOLVKHG
,Q6RXWK$IULFDWKH-6(PD\DOORZDFRPSDQ\WRFDUYHRXW
SDUWLFXODU LQIRUPDWLRQ +RZHYHU OLNH &DQDGD FRPSDQLHV
PXVWSURYLGHDOOLQIRUPDWLRQLQFOXGLQJWKHWREHFDUYHGRXW
LQIRUPDWLRQ WR -6(V 5HDGHUV 3DQHO *HQHUDOO\ WKH 5HDGHUV
3DQHO FRQVLVWLQJ RI H[SHUWV DFURVV D QXPEHU RI HOGV ZLOO
DVVHVVDOOLQIRUPDWLRQWRGHWHUPLQHZKHWKHULWLVVXVWDLQDEOH
LQWKHIXWXUH7KH5HDGHUV3DQHOGRHVQRWDOORZGLVFORVXUHRI
LQIRUPDWLRQWKDWLVFRQVLGHUHGWREHXQVXVWDLQDEOH
)RUUHSRUWLQJRIPLQHUDODVVHWVWKHUHODWLYHO\UHFHQWXSGDWHV
WR WKH LQWHUQDWLRQDO HTXLYDOHQWV RI WKH -25& &RGH VXFK DV
&DQDGDV 1, 6RXWK $IULFDQ &RGH IRU 5HSRUWLQJ RI
([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWV0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG0LQHUDO5HVHUYHV
777
DOVR LQGXVWU\ ERGLHV OLNH -25& WR VWD\ LQIRUPHG RI LI QRW
EH DFWLYHO\ LQYROYHG LQ WKH FKDQJHV WKDW DUH KDSSHQLQJ
LQWHUQDWLRQDOO\ 7R WKLV HQG $6,& LV D PHPEHU ERG\ RI
WKH ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 2UJDQLVDWLRQ RI 6HFXULWLHV &RPPLVVLRQV
,26&2DQG$6,&VFXUUHQWFKDLUPDQ*UHJ0HGFUDIWLVRQ
VHYHUDO,26&2FRPPLWWHHVDQGEHJDQKLVWHUPDVWKH,26&2
FKDLUPDQLQ0DUFKHQGLQJ6HSWHPEHU
,Q WKH PLQLQJ DQG UHVRXUFHV DUHD WKH -25& &RGH DW WKH
WLPHRILWVUHOHDVHZDVWKHSUHHPLQHQWLQWHUQDWLRQDOPLQHUDOV
UHSRUWLQJFRGH$6,&FRPPHQGV-25&DQGLWVPHPEHUERGLHV
RQ WKH UHFHQW DQG FRPSUHKHQVLYH FRQVXOWDWLRQ SURFHVV WR
XSGDWHWKH-25&&RGHDWDWLPHZKHQRWKHUUHSRUWLQJFRGHV
KDYHPDGHXSGDWHVLQOLJKWRIPDUNHWFKDQJHVIURPWKHWLPH
WKHFRGHVZHUHUVWLVVXHG$OVRWKHLQWHUQDWLRQDOHIIRUWVWR
DFKLHYHFRQVLVWHQF\E\WKHFROOHFWLYHERGLHVOLNH-25&WKDW
KDYHIRUPHG&5,56&2LVQRWHGZLWKLQWHUHVW
$V WHFKQRORJ\ KDV PDGH WKH ZRUOG VPDOOHU LW KDV DOVR
PDGH LW HDVLHU WR FRPPXQLFDWH ZLWK LQWHUQDWLRQDO ERGLHV
ZKLFK LV LPSRUWDQW DV VLJQLFDQW DPRXQWV RI FDSLWDO RZ
LQWHUQDWLRQDOO\ :KLOH HDFK MXULVGLFWLRQ PXVW FRQVLGHU LWV
RZQFLUFXPVWDQFHVLWLVUHDVRQDEOHWRVD\WKDWIRUWKHPRVW
SDUWQDWLRQDOERGLHVJRYHUQPHQWRULQGXVWU\DUHVHHNLQJWR
DFKLHYHFRQVLVWHQF\LQWHUQDWLRQDOO\VRWKDWWKHSOD\LQJHOGLV
OHYHOHYHU\ZKHUH
CONCLUSIONS
$6,&VUHJXODWLRQRIFRQWLQXRXVGLVFORVXUHZKHWKHUJHQHUDOO\
RU GXULQJ VSHFLF WUDQVDFWLRQV VXFK DV FDSLWDO UDLVLQJV RU
FRQWUROWUDQVDFWLRQVLVDOZD\VZLWKDYLHZWRDFKLHYLQJDQG
PDLQWDLQLQJPDUNHWLQWHJULW\7KLVLVFRQVLVWHQWZLWK$6,&V
VWUDWHJLF SULRULWLHV RI KDYLQJ IDLU DQG HIFLHQW PDUNHWV ZLWK
FRQGHQW DQG LQIRUPHG LQYHVWRUV DQG QDQFLDO FRQVXPHUV
+RZHYHUWKHEHQHWVRIPDUNHWLQWHJULW\DUHQRWOLPLWHGWR
LQYHVWRUV
,Q WKH FXUUHQW PDUNHW LW LV HYHQ PRUH LPSRUWDQW IRU
FRPSDQLHV WR KDYH JRRG GLVFORVXUH SUDFWLFHV DV FRPSDQLHV
DOVR EHQHW IURP PDUNHW LQWHJULW\ $GYLVHUV VXFK DV
JHRORJLVWVRUPLQLQJHQJLQHHUVKDYHDQLQWHJUDOSDUWWRSOD\
LQGHYHORSLQJDQGPDLQWDLQLQJJRRGGLVFORVXUHSUDFWLFHVE\
HQVXULQJWKDWDFRPSDQ\VGLUHFWRUVDUHIXOO\LQIRUPHGRIWKH
FXUUHQW VWDWH RI DIIDLUV ZKDW ULVNV PD\ H[LVW DQG ZKDW FDQ
UHDVRQDEO\EHDFKLHYHGDWWKHGDWHRIUHSRUWLQJGLVFORVXUH
*RRG GLVFORVXUH SUDFWLFHV OHDG WR KLJKHU WUDQVSDUHQF\
EHWZHHQFRPSDQLHVWKHLULQYHVWRUVDQGWKHZLGHULQYHVWLQJ
SXEOLF ,I WKH SXEOLF KDV FRQGHQFH WKDW FRPSDQLHV DUH
GLVFORVLQJ DOO PDWHULDO LQIRUPDWLRQ LW ZLOO DVVLVW WKHP WR
LGHQWLI\WKRVHFRPSDQLHVZLWKUHDVRQDEOHERQDGHSURVSHFWV
LQZKLFKWR LQYHVW WKHLU PRQH\ ,QWXUQ WKLV PD\ ORZHUWKH
FRVW RI HTXLW\ FDSLWDO IRU WKRVH FRPSDQLHV ZKR PD\ QG LW
HDVLHUWRUDLVHFDSLWDOZKLFKLVFXUUHQWO\LQFUHDVLQJO\VFDUFH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUDFNQRZOHGJHZLWKJUDWLWXGHWKHDVVLVWDQFHIURP
$6,&RIFHUV:HQG\+VX$ELJDLO2QJDQG'DQLHO-HQNLQV
$Q\PLVWDNHVLQWKHSDSHUDUHWKHDXWKRUVRZQ
REFERENCES
$XVWLQ 5 3 DQG 5DPVD\ , 0 )RUGV 3ULQFLSOHV RI &RUSRUDWLRQ
LawWKHGLWLRQSDUDJUDSKS%XWWHUZRUWK/DZ
778
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Director / General Manager / Principal Geologist, AMC Mining Consultants (Canada) Ltd, 202 - 200 Granville Street, Vancouver BC V6C 1S4, Canada.
Email: [email protected]
2. HonFAusIMM(CP), Principal Geologist, AMC Consultants Pty Ltd, Level 21, 179 Turbot Street, Brisbane Qld 4000. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published in Proceedings 2010 Annual Conference of the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum (CIM). This updated version is reproduced
with the permission of the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum (http://www.cim.org).
INTRODUCTION
7KHODVWGHFDGHRIWKHWKFHQWXU\VDZDZRUOGZLGHXSVXUJH
RI LQWHUHVW LQ LPSURYLQJ VWDQGDUGV RI SXEOLF UHSRUWLQJ RI
([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWV0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UHRU0LQHUDO
5HVHUYHV6WHSKHQVRQDQG:HDWKHUVWRQH7KHUHDVRQV
IRU WKLV GHYHORSPHQW DUH YDULHG DQG LQFOXGH LQFUHDVLQJ
LQWHUQDWLRQDOFRPSHWLWLRQIRULQYHVWPHQWIXQGVFRQFHUQRYHU
YDULRXV LQVWDQFHV RI GXELRXV RU XQDFFHSWDEOH UHSRUWLQJ RI
H[SORUDWLRQUHVXOWVRUUHVRXUFHUHVHUYHHVWLPDWHVLQWKHPLG
WRODWHVDQGWKHKLVWRU\DQGVXFFHVVRIWKH$XVWUDODVLDQ
&RGH IRU 5HSRUWLQJ RI ([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHV-25&&RGHLQ$XVWUDODVLDDQG
VXEVHTXHQWO\RI1DWLRQDO,QVWUXPHQW1,LQ&DQDGD
(&DQDGLDQ6HFXULWLHV$GPLQLVWUDWRUV7KHUVWGHFDGH
RI WKH VW FHQWXU\ QRZ VHHV D PXFK LPSURYHG VWDQGDUG
RI DQG FRPPLWPHQW WR SXEOLF UHSRUWLQJ LQ PRVW PLQLQJ
FRXQWULHVDQGDXQLIRUPLW\RIDSSURDFKDQGWHUPLQRORJ\WKDW
PDNHVLWHDVLHUIRUQRQWHFKQLFDOVWDNHKROGHUVWRXQGHUVWDQG
WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ EHLQJ SURYLGHG )XUWKHU GHYHORSPHQWV DUH
779
$XVWUDOLDRQ'HFHPEHUDORQJZLWKUHYLVHG$6;/LVWLQJ
5XOHV$6;D(DUO\DGRSWLRQRIWKH-25&&RGHDQG
$6;/LVWLQJ5XOHVZDVHQFRXUDJHGE\-25&$6;DQG$6,&
,QWHUQDWLRQDOO\ VLJQLFDQW GHYHORSPHQWV KDYH DOVR EHHQ
RFFXUULQJ SULPDULO\ WKURXJK WKH ZRUN RI WKH &RPPLWWHH
IRU 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 5HSRUWLQJ 6WDQGDUGV
&5,56&2ZKLFKVWDUWHGOLIHLQDVWKH&RXQFLORI0LQLQJ
DQG 0HWDOOXUJLFDO ,QVWLWXWLRQV &00, 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV
5HVHUYHV ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 'HQLWLRQV :RUNLQJ *URXS
6WHSKHQVRQ DQG :HDWKHUVWRQH :LWK UHSUHVHQWDWLYHV
IURP $XVWUDOLD &DQDGD 6RXWK $IULFD WKH 8QLWHG .LQJGRP
DQGWKH8QLWHG6WDWHV&5,56&2ZDVVXFFHVVIXOLQQHJRWLDWLQJ
DQ DJUHHPHQW RQ GHQLWLRQV IRU WKH WZR PDMRU PLQHUDO
LQYHQWRU\ FDWHJRULHV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 0LQHUDO
5HVHUYHV DQG IRU WKHLU UHVSHFWLYH VXEFDWHJRULHV 0HDVXUHG
,QGLFDWHGDQG,QIHUUHG5HVRXUFHVDQG3URYHG3URYHQDQG
3UREDEOH 5HVHUYHV 7KHVH GHQLWLRQV ZHUH LQFRUSRUDWHG
ODUJHO\ XQFKDQJHG LQWR WKH -25& &RGH DQG VLPLODU
FRGHVDQGVWDQGDUGVIRUWKHRWKHUIRXUSDUWLFLSDWLQJFRXQWULHV
'XULQJ WKH VDPH SHULRG WKH 8QLWHG 1DWLRQV (FRQRPLF
&RPPLVVLRQ IRU (XURSH 81(&( ZDV GHYHORSLQJ D 81
)UDPHZRUN &ODVVLFDWLRQ 81)& WR HQDEOH FRPSDULVRQ RI
GLIIHUHQWQDWLRQDOPLQHUDOUHVRXUFHDQGUHVHUYHFODVVLFDWLRQV
SDUWLFXODUO\ IRU WKRVH FRXQWULHV LQ WUDQVLWLRQ WR PDUNHW
HFRQRPLHV ,Q 81(&( DQG &5,56&2 WKHQ WKH
&00, :RUNLQJ *URXS UHDFKHG DJUHHPHQW WR LQFRUSRUDWH
WKH&5,56&2VWDQGDUGUHSRUWLQJGHQLWLRQVLQWRWKH81)&
IRUFDWHJRULHVFRPPRQWRERWKV\VWHPV
'XULQJ ERWK &KLOH DQG 3HUX GHYHORSHG UHSRUWLQJ
VWDQGDUGVEDVHGRQWKH-25&&RGHDQG&KLOHLVQRZDQ
DFWLYHPHPEHURI&5,56&27KH3KLOLSSLQHVGHYHORSHGDQG
LQDGRSWHGD&RGHEDVHGODUJHO\RQWKH-25&&RGHDQG
OLNH &KLOH UHJLVWHUV &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV WR SUHSDUH UHSRUWV
5XVVLDMRLQHG&5,56&2LQIROORZLQJWKHDGRSWLRQRIWKH
1$(1&RGHIRUPDUNHWUHODWHGUHSRUWLQJLQ5XVVLD&5,56&2
QDOLVHGDQDJUHHGVHWRIVWDQGDUGGHQLWLRQVWKDWKDYHQRZ
EHHQ LQFRUSRUDWHG LQWR WKH -25& &RGH DQG WKH &,0
'HQLWLRQ 6WDQGDUGV DQG ZLOO EH SURJUHVVLYHO\ LQFOXGHG LQ
WKHRWKHU&5,56&2IDPLO\RIUHSRUWLQJFRGHVDQGVWDQGDUGV
0HDQZKLOHWKH&00,GHQLWLRQVKDGEHHQUHPRYHGIURP
WKH 81)& EXW LQ &5,56&2 VXFFHHGHG LQ KDYLQJ WKH
&5,56&2FODVVLFDWLRQVUHLQVWDWHGLQWRWKH81)&UHIHUULQJ
WRWKH&5,56&27HPSODWHDQGWKH63(3HWUROHXP5HVHUYHV
0DQDJHPHQW6\VWHPIRUGHQLWLRQVRIWKHVHFODVVLFDWLRQV
Review of 2012 JORC Code and Comparison with National Instrument 43-101| P R Stephenson and P T Stoker
781
$W WKH VDPH WLPH WKDW -25& UHOHDVHG WKH -25& &RGH
$6;UHOHDVHGDPHQGPHQWVWRFKDSWHURILWV/LVWLQJ5XOHV
ZKLFK FRQWDLQ UHTXLUHPHQWV SDUDOOHO ZLWK WKH -25&
&RGHDQGDGGLWLRQDOUHTXLUHPHQWV7KHSDUDOOHOUHTXLUHPHQWV
influence on the market value or operations of the listed company, and/or has specific
prominence in Public Reports and announcements.
782
7KHVHDGGLWLRQDOUHTXLUHPHQWVLQFOXGH
UHSRUWLQJRIKLVWRULFDOHVWLPDWHVDQGIRUHLJQHVWLPDWHVRI
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQIRUPDWHULDOPLQLQJSURMHFWV
UHSRUWLQJRISURGXFWLRQWDUJHWV
Review of 2012 JORC Code and Comparison with National Instrument 43-101| P R Stephenson and P T Stoker
Production targets
$6; /LVWLQJ 5XOHV QRZ SURKLELW D FRPSDQ\ IURP LVVXLQJ D
SXEOLFUHSRUWFRQWDLQLQJRUUHIHUULQJWRDSURGXFWLRQWDUJHWWKDW
LVEDVHGVROHO\RQDQ([SORUDWLRQ7DUJHWVROHO\RQDFRPELQDWLRQ
RI ,QIHUUHG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG DQ ([SORUDWLRQ 7DUJHW RU
VROHO\ RU SDUWO\ RQ KLVWRULFDO HVWLPDWHV RU IRUHLJQ HVWLPDWHV
RWKHUWKDQTXDOLI\LQJIRUHLJQHVWLPDWHVRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
7KH/LVWLQJ5XOHVDOVRUHTXLUHWKHLQFOXVLRQRIDQXPEHURI
SUR[LPDWH FDXWLRQDU\ VWDWHPHQWV LQ UHODWLRQ WR SURGXFWLRQ
WDUJHWVEDVHGRQORZHUFRQGHQFH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDVZHOO
DVVSHFLDOUHSRUWLQJUHTXLUHPHQWVIRUUHSRUWLQJRISURGXFWLRQ
WDUJHWV EDVHG VROHO\ RQ ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFHV ZKLFK LQFOXGHV
WKHUHOHDVHWRWKHPDUNHWRIDQLQGHSHQGHQWWHFKQLFDOUHSRUW
Annual reporting
$6;/LVWLQJ5XOHVQRZVSHFLI\WKDWWKHFRPSDQ\PXVWLQFOXGH
DUHSRUWRILWV5HVHUYHVDQG5HVRXUFHVLQWKHDQQXDOUHSRUW
7KLVUHSRUWPXVWLQWHUDOLDLQFOXGHDVXPPDU\RIWKHUHVXOWV
RIWKHFRPSDQ\VDQQXDOUHYLHZRILWV0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG
2UH 5HVHUYHV DQG D FRPSDULVRQ RI WKH FRPSDQ\V 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV ZLWK WKRVH IURP WKH SUHYLRXV
\HDUZLWKDQH[SODQDWLRQRIDQ\PDWHULDOFKDQJHV
UHFHQW YHUVLRQ LQ -XQH &6$ LV D IRUXP IRU WKH
&DQDGLDQ SURYLQFLDO DQG WHUULWRULDO VHFXULWLHV UHJXODWRUV
WR FRRUGLQDWH DQG KDUPRQLVH UHJXODWLRQ RI WKH &DQDGLDQ
FDSLWDOPDUNHWV1DWLRQDO,QVWUXPHQWVKDYHOHJDOVWDWXVDQ
LPSRUWDQWSRLQWIRUFRPSDQLHVDOVROLVWHGLQWKH86$DVLV
GLVFXVVHGODWHU:KLOH&6$LVSULPDULO\UHVSRQVLEOHIRUWKH
GHYHORSPHQWRI1DWLRQDO,QVWUXPHQWVLWLVXSWRHDFKRIWKH
SURYLQFLDOWHUULWRULDOVHFXULWLHVUHJXODWRUVWRDGRSWRUQRW
WKH ,QVWUXPHQW ,I DGRSWHG HQIRUFHPHQW RI WKH ,QVWUXPHQW
LV WKH UHVSRQVLELOLW\ RI SURYLQFLDOWHUULWRULDO UHJXODWRU $OO
PHPEHUVRI&6$KDYHDGRSWHG1,
6WRFNH[FKDQJHVSURYLGHWKHV\VWHPVWKDWHQDEOHLQYHVWRUV
DQGLVVXHUVWRWUDGHLQDIDLUWUDQVSDUHQWDQGOLTXLGPDUNHW
7KH 7RURQWR 6WRFN ([FKDQJH 76; LV &DQDGDV VHQLRU
HTXLWLHV PDUNHW DQG LQFOXGHV WKH 76; 9HQWXUHV ([FKDQJH
ZKLFKSURYLGHVDFFHVVWRFDSLWDOIRUFRPSDQLHVDWWKHHDUO\
VWDJHVRIJURZWK6WRFNH[FKDQJHOLVWLQJUXOHVUHTXLUHOLVWHG
FRPSDQLHV WR FRPSO\ ZLWK ERWK OLVWLQJ UXOHV DQG 1DWLRQDO
,QVWUXPHQWV
1,LQFRUSRUDWHVE\UHIHUHQFHWKH&,0'HQLWLRQ
6WDQGDUGVIRU0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG0LQHUDO5HVHUYHV&,0
6WDQGLQJ&RPPLWWHHRQ5HVHUYH'HQLWLRQVGHYHORSHG
E\ WKH &,0 6WDQGLQJ &RPPLWWHH RQ 5HVHUYH 'HQLWLRQV
7KHVH VHW RXW GHQLWLRQV DQG JXLGHOLQHV IRU UHSRUWLQJ
RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV LQ &DQDGD
LQFOXGLQJ WKRVH DSSO\LQJ WR 4XDOLHG 3HUVRQV 1,
DOVR VSHFLHV D QXPEHU RI UHTXLUHPHQWV DQG JXLGHOLQHV IRU
4XDOLHG3HUVRQVZKRPXVWEHORQJWRRQHRIWKHSURYLQFLDO
WHUULWRULDO JHRORJLFDO RU HQJLQHHULQJ RUJDQLVDWLRQV RU WR D
5HFRJQLVHG )RUHLJQ $VVRFLDWLRQ 5)$ OLVWHG LQ $SSHQGL[
$WR1,&3
,Q DGGLWLRQ WR WKH 'HQLWLRQ 6WDQGDUGV &,0 KDV DOVR
SXEOLVKHG EHVW SUDFWLFH JXLGHOLQHV IRU JHQHUDO H[SORUDWLRQ
GLDPRQG H[SORUDWLRQ DQG HVWLPDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV
DQG 5HVHUYHV 1, UHIHUHQFHV WKHVH GRFXPHQWV DV
JXLGDQFHWKDW4XDOLHG3HUVRQVVKRXOGIROORZ
7DEOHVKRZVKRZ1,DQGWKHRWKHUPDLQUHJXODWRU\
JXLGDQFH GRFXPHQWV DSSO\ WKURXJK WKH GLIIHUHQW VWDJHV RI
PLQHUDOSURMHFWGHYHORSPHQW
,Q$XVWUDOLDWKHUHLVRQO\RQHVHFXULWLHVUHJXODWRU$6,&
DQG RQH QDWLRQDO VWRFN H[FKDQJH $6; DOWKRXJK VPDOO
UHJLRQDO VWRFN H[FKDQJHV KDYH VHW XS LQ UHFHQW \HDUV DQG
VXEVHTXHQWO\FRQVROLGDWHGLQWRWKH1DWLRQDO6WRFN([FKDQJH
7KH $XVWUDOLDQ *RYHUQPHQW KDV DOVR UHFHQWO\ DQQRXQFHG
WKH RSHQLQJ RI WKH PDUNHW WR DGGLWLRQDO VWRFN H[FKDQJHV
ODWHU WKLV \HDU 7KH -25& &RGH KDV EHHQ LQFRUSRUDWHG DV
DQDSSHQGL[LQWRWKH/LVWLQJ5XOHVRI$6;VLQFHDQG
RI WKH 1HZ =HDODQG 6WRFN ([FKDQJH VLQFH PDNLQJ
FRPSOLDQFH ZLWK WKH -25& &RGH FRPSXOVRU\ IRU OLVWHG
FRPSDQLHV
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV PXVW EH D 0HPEHU RU )HOORZ RI 7KH
$XV,00 $,* RU D 5HFRJQLVHG 3URIHVVLRQDO 2UJDQLVDWLRQ
532 LQFOXGHG LQ D OLVW SURPXOJDWHG E\ $6; IURP WLPH WR
WLPH RQ DGYLFH IURP -25& 532V DUH VLPLODU WR &DQDGDV
5)$V EXW ZLWK PRUH VWULQJHQW UHFRJQLWLRQ FRQGLWLRQV
%RWK 532V DQG 5)$V PD\ EH VHOIUHJXODWRU\ SURIHVVLRQDO
RUJDQLVDWLRQVRUVWDWXWRU\VHPLJRYHUQPHQWRUJDQLVDWLRQV
783
Defined stages in
NI43-101
Acquisition of
tenements
Exploration
None
All
Early exploration
property
exploration information
None
All
Concept /
Scoping
Preliminary economic
assessment
Measured, Indicated
and Inferred Resources
Mineral Reserves
Pre-Feasibility
Preliminary Feasibility
Study
Feasibility
Feasibility Study
Construction
Development property
Production
Production property
Measured, Indicated
and Inferred Resources
/ Proven and Probable
Reserves
Closure
784
Other information
Relevant documents
NI43-101 and
CP parts
Historic estimates
(if applicable)
Potential quantity and grade
expressed as ranges
Preliminary economic
analysis of Mineral
Resources
2.4
Underground mining
method or pit configuration
/ mineral processing method
Inferred Resources in
economic evaluations
Guidelines
CIM estimation of
Mineral Resources
and Mineral Reserves
best practice
Review of 2012 JORC Code and Comparison with National Instrument 43-101| P R Stephenson and P T Stoker
Responsible
Entities
AusIMM, AIG
Statutory / SemiGovernment
Organisations
Regulatory Organisations
ASIC
MCA
RPOs
JORC
ASX
Compliance &
Guidance Standards
JORC Code
Incorporated as Appendix
Listing Rules
Competent Person
Those Required
to Comply
Professionals
mpliance
Relationship Key
&RPSOLDQFH
5HVSRQVLEOHIRU
*XLGDQFH
0D\DFWDV
$FFRXQWDELOLW\RU(QIRUFHPHQWRU2YHUVLJKW
&RPPXQLFDWLRQOLQN
Australia
Technical report
Legal status
Do not have the force of law (although ASX Listing Rules can be enforced under law)
Inferred Resources
May be used in Scoping Studies with an appropriate warning. May not be used to
support detailed planning in Pre-Feasibility or Feasibility Studies
Aggregation of resources
Technical report
,Q &DQDGD WKH UHTXLUHPHQW IRU D WHFKQLFDO UHSRUW WR
EH ORGJHG SXEOLFO\ FDQ EH WULJJHUHG E\ WKH UHOHDVH RI
WHFKQLFDO RU VFLHQWLF LQIRUPDWLRQ LQ DQ\ RI HOHYHQ
VLWXDWLRQV 7DEOH 1RWH WKDW WKHUH DUH FHUWDLQ H[FHSWLRQV
RU TXDOLI\LQJ FLUFXPVWDQFHV WKDW DSSO\ WR VRPH RI WKHVH
WULJJHUV VR LQWHUHVWHG SDUWLHV VKRXOG UHDG 1, DQG
&3FDUHIXOO\WRHQVXUHWKDWWKH\DUHIDPLOLDUZLWKDOO
UHTXLUHPHQWV
:KHQDWHFKQLFDOUHSRUWLVUHTXLUHGWKHFRQWHQWPXVWIROORZ
)RUP)7DEOH
,Q$XVWUDOLDWKHUHLVQRUHTXLUHPHQWWRORGJHDWHFKQLFDO
UHSRUW LQ VXSSRUW RI WKH UHOHDVH RI WHFKQLFDO RU VFLHQWLF
LQIRUPDWLRQ +RZHYHU WKH HGLWLRQ RI WKH -25& &RGH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
785
TABLE 3
NI 43-101 technical report triggers.
Obligation to file a technical report triggers (NI43-101 part 4)
Event
More information
Producing issuers
(NI43-101 Part 1.1)
Other issuers
8
if the issuer trades on
a specified exchange
Conditional
Conditional
Conditional
Conditional
Conditional
Filing an offering document relating to Toronto Stock Exchange Venture Exchange policy
Conditional
Conditional
Any written disclosure other than the above that discloses either for the first time, or
as material changes in, Mineral Resources, Mineral Reserves or the results of a PEA
Conditional
8 = not required; 9 = required; conditional = if first preliminary economic assessment (PEA), Mineral Resource or Mineral Reserve for a property, or if 100 per cent or greater change in total Mineral
Resource or Mineral Reserve (see NI43-101 part 5.3 (1) (c) (i) and (ii)).
TABLE 4
Form 43-101F1, technical report; table of contents.
Item 1
Summary
Item 15
Item 2
Introduction
Item 16
Mining methods
Item 3
Item 17
Recovery methods
Item 4
Item 18
Project infrastructure
Item 5
Item 19
Item 6
History
Item 20
Item 7
Item 21
Item 8
Deposit types
Item 22
Economic analysis
Item 9
Exploration
Item 23
Adjacent properties
Item 10
Drilling
Item 24
Item 11
Item 25
Item 12
Data verification
Item 26
Recommendations
Item 13
Item 27
References
Item 14
GRFXPHQWDWLRQSUHSDUHGE\D&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQRU3HUVRQV
6HFXULW\ UHJXODWRUV FDQ UHTXHVW D FRS\ RI WKH &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQV GRFXPHQWDWLRQ DOWKRXJK ZKHQ WKLV RFFXUV WKH
GRFXPHQWDWLRQLVQRWXVXDOO\PDGHSXEOLF
,Q RUGHU WR DVVLVW &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV DQG FRPSDQLHV WR
FRPSO\ ZLWK WKH UHTXLUHPHQWV RI -25& &RGH &ODXVH
DV ZHOO DV HPSKDVLVH WKH QHHG IRU FRPSDQLHV WR REWDLQ WKH
ZULWWHQFRQVHQWRI&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVIRUWKHLUPDWHULDOWREH
LQFOXGHGLQWKHIRUPDQGFRQWH[WLQZKLFKLWDSSHDUVLQWKH
3XEOLF 5HSRUW WKH -25& &RGH LQFOXGHV DQ H[DPSOH RI
D&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV&RQVHQW)RUP$6;KDVVWDWHGWKDWLW
Review of 2012 JORC Code and Comparison with National Instrument 43-101| P R Stephenson and P T Stoker
Legal status
,Q &DQDGD 1DWLRQDO ,QVWUXPHQWV KDYH OHJDO VWDWXV DV RQFH
DGRSWHG E\ WKH SURYLQFLDO RU WHUULWRULDO VHFXULWLHV UHJXODWRU
WKH\DUHHQIRUFHDEOHXQGHUWKH6HFXULWLHV$FWRIWKDWSURYLQFH
RUWHUULWRU\
,Q $XVWUDOLD $6; /LVWLQJ 5XOHV RI ZKLFK WKH -25& &RGH
LVDQDSSHQGL[GRQRWKDYHOHJDOVWDWXVEXWDUHSDUWRIWKH
FRQWUDFW EHWZHHQ $6; DQG LWV OLVWHG FRPSDQLHV KRZHYHU
$6,& FDQ UHTXLUH OLVWHG FRPSDQLHV WR FRPSO\ ZLWK $6;
/LVWLQJ5XOHVJLYLQJWKHPDPHDVXUHRIOHJDOVWDWXVLQFHUWDLQ
VLWXDWLRQV
7KHOHJDOVWDWXVRI1,JLYHVGXDO&DQDGD86$OLVWHG
FRPSDQLHV DQ DGYDQWDJH RYHU GXDO $XVWUDOLD86$OLVWHG
FRPSDQLHV 7KH 86$ 6HFXULWLHV DQG ([FKDQJH &RPPLVVLRQ
6(&GRHVQRWUHFRJQLVH&5,56&2VW\OHUHSRUWLQJVWDQGDUGV
LQVWHDG UHTXLULQJ PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV WR FRPSO\ ZLWK LWV
'HVFULSWLRQRI3URSHUW\E\,VVXHUV(QJDJHGRUWR%H(QJDJHG
LQ6LJQLFDQW0LQLQJ2SHUDWLRQV,QGXVWU\*XLGH8QLWHG
6WDWHV6HFXULWLHVDQG([FKDQJH&RPPLVVLRQQRGDWHDQGWKH
6(&VWDIILQWHUSUHWDWLRQVRIWKLV*XLGH,QGXVWU\*XLGHRQO\
DOORZV WKH UHSRUWLQJ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV DQG SURKLELWV WKH
UHSRUWLQJ RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV H[FHSW ZKHQ D FRPSDQ\ LV
UHTXLUHGWRGRVRE\IRUHLJQRUVWDWHODZ7KHUHIRUH&DQDGLDQ
OLVWHGFRPSDQLHVWKDWDUHGXDOOLVWHGLQWKH86$PD\UHSRUW
0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG FHUWDLQ HFRQRPLF DQDO\VHV LQ
UHODWLRQWRWKRVH5HVRXUFHVLQWKH86$ZKHUHDV$XVWUDOLDQ
FRPSDQLHVLQDVLPLODUVLWXDWLRQPD\QRW6WHSKHQVRQ5HQGX
DQG6WRNHU
merge, or consolidate with the registrant, or otherwise to acquire the registrants securities.
Inferred Resources
7KHXVHRI,QIHUUHG5HVRXUFHVLQHFRQRPLFVWXGLHVLVDQRWKHU
DUHDZKHUHWKHUHYLVLRQVLQWURGXFHGLQWKHHGLWLRQRIWKH
-25&&RGHKDYHEURXJKW$XVWUDOLDQDQG&DQDGLDQUHSRUWLQJ
VWDQGDUGVLQWRFORVHUDOLJQPHQW,Q&DQDGDGLVFORVXUHRIWKH
UHVXOWV RI HFRQRPLF VWXGLHV WKDW LQFOXGH ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFHV
LV SURKLELWHG XQOHVV WKH VWXG\ LV D 3UHOLPLQDU\ (FRQRPLF
$VVHVVPHQW WKH UHVXOWV RI ZKLFK ZRXOG EH PDWHULDO WR WKH
LVVXHU DQG WKHQ RQO\ LI FHUWDLQ FDXWLRQDU\ VWDWHPHQWV DQG
DGGLWLRQDOIDFWXDOLQIRUPDWLRQDUHDOVRGLVFORVHG,Q$XVWUDOLD
SULRUWRWKH-25&&RGHWKHUHZDVQRUHVWULFWLRQRQWKH
XVH RI ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFHV LQ HFRQRPLF VWXGLHV RWKHU WKDQ D
UHTXLUHPHQWWRLQFOXGHDFDXWLRQDU\QRWHLQWKH3XEOLF5HSRUW
LI WKH\ ZHUH VR XVHG 8QGHU WKH HGLWLRQ RI WKH -25&
&RGH ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFHV PD\ EH XVHG LQ VFRSLQJ VWXGLHV
ZLWK DQ DSSURSULDWH ZDUQLQJ EXW WKH JXLGDQFH UHODWHG WR
WKHLU XVH LQ 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ RU )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV LQGLFDWHV
UHOLDQFH RQ WKH UHVXOWV RI WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI WHFKQLFDO DQG
HFRQRPLF SDUDPHWHUV PD\ QRW EH XVHG WR VXSSRUW GHWDLOHG
SODQQLQJ LQ 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ RU )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV +RZHYHU
LI,QIHUUHG5HVRXUFHVDUHXVHGWKHPDQQHULQZKLFKWKH\DUH
XWLOLVHGLQPLQLQJVWXGLHVDQGWKHVHQVLWLYLW\RIWKHRXWFRPH
WRWKHLULQFOXVLRQZLOOQHHGWREHWUDQVSDUHQWO\GLVFXVVHGLQ
WKHLIQRWZK\QRWUHSRUWLQJDJDLQVWVHFWLRQRI7DEOH
787
788
3HUVRQV DQG XSRQ ZKLFK WKH\ LQWHQG WR UHO\ LQ WKH
SUHSDUDWLRQRIDWHFKQLFDOUHSRUWLVVRXQG
LQYHVWLJDWLQJ WR WKH H[WHQW QHFHVVDU\ DQG WDNLQJ
UHVSRQVLELOLW\IRUD0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHRU0LQHUDO5HVHUYH
HVWLPDWH SUHSDUHG E\ DQRWKHU 4XDOLHG 3HUVRQ IRU D
SUHYLRXVO\OHGWHFKQLFDOUHSRUWZKHUHWKDW5HVRXUFHRU
5HVHUYH HVWLPDWH LV WR EH LQFOXGHG LQ WKH QHZ WHFKQLFDO
UHSRUW
SURYLGLQJDFHUWLFDWHIRULQFOXVLRQLQWKHWHFKQLFDOUHSRUW
LQFOXGLQJDVHDOLIWKH4XDOLHG3HUVRQKDVDVHDO
SURYLGLQJ D FRQVHQW WR WKH OLQJ RI WKH WHFKQLFDO UHSRUW
DGGUHVVHGWRWKHUHOHYDQWVHFXULWLHVUHJXODWRU\DXWKRULW\
WKDW FRQUPV WKDW WKH 4XDOLHG 3HUVRQ KDV UHDG WKH
ZULWWHQ GLVFORVXUH EHLQJ OHG DQG WKDW LW IDLUO\ DQG
DFFXUDWHO\ UHSUHVHQWV WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ LQ WKH WHFKQLFDO
UHSRUWWKDWVXSSRUWVWKHGLVFORVXUH
,Q$XVWUDOLDXQGHUWKH-25&&RGH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVDUH
UHVSRQVLEOHIRUWKHIROORZLQJ
CONCLUSIONS
7KH -25& &RGH KDV LQ WKH \HDUV VLQFH LWV LQWURGXFWLRQ
SURYHG LWV YDOXH DV WKH EHGURFN SXQ LQWHQGHG XQGHUO\LQJ
$XVWUDOLDVPLQHUDOUHODWHGUHSRUWLQJDQGUHJXODWRU\UHJLPH
$OWKRXJK LW KDV HYROYHG DQG H[SDQGHG GXULQJ WKDW SHULRG
WKHODFNRIIXQGDPHQWDOFKDQJHVLVWHVWDPHQWWRLWVUREXVWQHVV
DV D SULQFLSOHVEDVHG FRGH ZLWK D PLQLPXP RI SUHVFULSWLYH
UHTXLUHPHQWV 7KH HGLWLRQ KDV WDNHQ LQWR DFFRXQW
GHYHORSPHQWVLQRWKHUFRXQWULHVWRHQVXUHWKDWLWFRQWLQXHVWR
Review of 2012 JORC Code and Comparison with National Instrument 43-101| P R Stephenson and P T Stoker
UHPDLQFRPSDWLEOHZLWKDQGDWWKHIRUHIURQWRILQWHUQDWLRQDO
UHSRUWLQJVWDQGDUGV
:KLOVWVLPLODULQLQWHQWDQGVFRSHWKHUHDUHVRPHLPSRUWDQW
GLIIHUHQFHV EHWZHHQ WKH PLQHUDOUHODWHG UHSRUWLQJ UHJLPHV
LQ &DQDGD DQG $XVWUDOLD 2QH FOHDU GLIIHUHQFH LV &DQDGDV
UHTXLUHPHQWLQFHUWDLQFLUFXPVWDQFHVIRUDWHFKQLFDOUHSRUW
WR EH OHG WR VXSSRUW SXEOLF VWDWHPHQWV RQ ([SORUDWLRQ
5HVXOWV0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG0LQHUDO5HVHUYHV$QRWKHULV
LQWKHUDQJHRIUHVSRQVLELOLWLHVRI4XDOLHG3HUVRQVZKLFKLV
PXFKZLGHUWKDQWKDWRI&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVXQGHUWKH-25&
&RGH&DQDGLDQDQG$XVWUDOLDQUHJXODWRUVDQGSURIHVVLRQDO
RUJDQL]DWLRQV DUH FRJQLVDQW RI WKHVH GLIIHUHQFHV DQG KDYH
LQGLFDWHG WKDW WKH\ ZLOO FRQVLGHU WKHP DORQJ ZLWK RWKHU
IDFWRUV ZKHQ UHYLVLQJ WKHLU UHVSHFWLYH UHSRUWLQJ VWDQGDUGV
+RZWKHVWDQGDUGVPLJKWFRQWLQXHWRHYROYHLQWKHIXWXUHLV
EH\RQGWKHVFRSHRIWKLVSDSHUKRZHYHUWKHDXWKRUVEHOLHYH
WKDW WKH PDLQ GULYHU ZLOO FRQWLQXH WR EH WKH SURPRWLRQ RI
FRPSUHKHQVLYH DFFXUDWH DQG WUDQVSDUHQW SXEOLF UHSRUWLQJ
SURYLGLQJFRQGHQFHLQWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\DQGHQFRXUDJLQJ
WKHFRQWLQXHGLQYHVWPHQWQHHGHGWRVXVWDLQWKHLQGXVWU\
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
$GUDIWRIWKHUVWYHUVLRQRIWKLVSDSHUZDVUHYLHZHGE\*UHJ
*RVVRQRI$0(&$PHULFDV/LPLWHGDQGDGUDIWRIWKHVHFRQG
YHUVLRQZDVUHYLHZHGE\LQGHSHQGHQWFRQVXOWDQW$OLFH&ODUN
WR ZKRP WKH DXWKRUV H[SUHVV WKHLU JUDWLWXGH +RZHYHU WKH
RSLQLRQVH[SUHVVHGLQWKLVSDSHUDUHWKRVHRIWKHDXWKRUVDQG
QRWQHFHVVDULO\WKRVHRIWKHUHYLHZHUV7KDQNVDUHH[WHQGHG
WR=RH*ULJJRI$0&0LQLQJ&RQVXOWDQWV&DQDGD/WGZKR
KHOSHGWRSUHSDUH7DEOHVDQG
REFERENCES
$XVWUDOLDQ 6HFXULWLHV ([FKDQJH $6; /LVWLQJ 5XOHV 5HYLHZ
,VVXHV 3DSHU 5HVHUYHV DQG 5HVRXUFHV 'LVFORVXUH 5XOHV IRU
0LQLQJ DQG 2LO DQG *DV &RPSDQLHV $6; 3XEOLF &RQVXOWDWLRQ
2FWREHU
789
HOME
1. FAusIMM, Vice President Mineral Resource Development, BHP Billiton, 125 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
2. FAusIMM, Senior Manager Resource Evaluation, BHP Billiton, 125 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
3. Adjunct Research Fellow, Centre for Exploration Targeting, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley WA 6009.
4. MAusIMM, Manager Corporate Alignment Planning, BHP Billiton, 125 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email [email protected]
5. MAusIMM, Manager Resource Evaluation, BHP Billiton, 125 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
6. MAusIMM, Senior Manager Resource Governance, BHP Billiton, 125 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
$V RQH RI WKH ODUJHVW PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV LQ WKH ZRUOG %+3
%LOOLWRQ PXVW FRQWLQXRXVO\ DVVHVV ORQJWHUP GHYHORSPHQW
RSSRUWXQLWLHV LQ WKH H[SORUDWLRQ DUHDV VXUURXQGLQJ LWV
RSHUDWLRQV 6LPLODU WR RWKHU ODUJH PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV
%+3 %LOOLWRQ RSHUDWHV LQ ODUJH SURYLQFHV DQG EDVLQV DQG
FRQVHTXHQWO\KDVODUJHH[SORUDWLRQSURJUDPV7KHUHDUHWZR
PDLQREMHFWLYHVWRWKHVHSURJUDPV
GHYHORS D WKRURXJK XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI WKH PLQHUDO
LQYHQWRU\ VR WKDW WKH IXOO PLQHUDO HQGRZPHQW SRWHQWLDO
FDQ EH FRQVLGHUHG XQGHU PXOWLSOH VFHQDULRV UHJDUGLQJ
SULFHPDUNHWDQGSURGXFW
791
BACKGROUND
7KHUHLVDORQJKLVWRU\RIPLQLQJSURMHFWVZKHUHWKHPLQHUDO
HQGRZPHQW RI D GLVWULFW RU SURYLQFH LV XQGHUHVWLPDWHG
DQG FDUHIXO FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI WKH IXOO SRWHQWLDO IRU HFRQRPLF
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ LQ WKH HDUO\ VWDJHV RI DVVHVVPHQW FRXOG KDYH
VLJQLFDQWO\ LPSURYHG GHYHORSPHQW GHFLVLRQV DQG ORQJ
WHUP SURWDELOLW\ /LNHZLVH H[DPSOHV RI RYHUHVWLPDWLQJ
WKH SRWHQWLDO VL]H RI D PLQHUDO GLVWULFW KDYH EHHQ HTXDOO\
GLVDVWURXVIRUVKDUHKROGHUYDOXH
5HFHQW UHVHDUFK HJ -DLUHWK DQG +XVWRQ 0F&XDLJ
%HUHVIRUG DQG +URQVN\ *XM et al 0XGG :HQJ
DQG-RZLWWKLJKOLJKWVH[DPSOHVRILQLWLDOFRQVHUYDWLYH
HVWLPDWHV RI PLQHUDO HQGRZPHQW WKDW DUH VXUSDVVHG
FRQWLQXRXVO\ DV QHDUPLQH H[SORUDWLRQ DQG UHVRXUFH
GHYHORSPHQWHIIRUWVFRQVLVWHQWO\UHSODFH5HVHUYHV
,PSURYLQJ RXU XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI SRWHQWLDO UHJLRQDO
VFDOH PLQHUDO HQGRZPHQW LV HVSHFLDOO\ LPSRUWDQW IRU ODUJHU
FRPSDQLHV WKDW PXVW LQYHVW LQ ORQJWHUP LQIUDVWUXFWXUH
GHYHORSPHQW LQ ZRUOGFODVV PLQHUDO SURYLQFHV ,W LV HTXDOO\
LPSRUWDQW WKDW GHFLVLRQV DERXW PLQHUDO HQGRZPHQW DQG
H[SORUDWLRQVWUDWHJ\DUHEDVHGRQDQREMHFWLYHDQGWKRURXJK
SURFHVVWKDWLVQRWFRQVWUDLQHGE\SURIHVVLRQDOELDVHV:DVWHOO
et al RU OLPLWHG LQJURXQG GDWD ZKLFK W\SLFDOO\
UHVWULFW RXU DELOLW\ WR IXOO\ DSSUHFLDWH ORQJWHUP SRWHQWLDO
DQG RSSRUWXQLWLHV $V D UHVXOW %+3 %LOOLWRQ KDV GHYHORSHG
DV\VWHPDWLFPHWKRGRIHVWLPDWLQJZKDWLWUHIHUVWRLQWHUQDOO\
DVSRWHQWLDOPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLQRUGHUWREHWWHUDVVHVVUHVRXUFH
GHYHORSPHQWSRWHQWLDO3RWHQWLDOPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLVHVVHQWLDOO\
WKH HTXLYDOHQW RI ([SORUDWLRQ 7DUJHW LQ WKH -25& &RGH
ZKLFKLVGHQHGDVIROORZV
An Exploration Target is a statement or estimate of the
H[SORUDWLRQ SRWHQWLDO RI D PLQHUDO GHSRVLW LQ D GHQHG
JHRORJLFDOVHWWLQJZKHUHWKHVWDWHPHQWRUHVWLPDWHTXRWHG
DVDUDQJHRIWRQQHVDQGDUDQJHRIJUDGHRUTXDOLW\UHODWHV
WR PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ IRU ZKLFK WKHUH KDV EHHQ LQVXIFLHQW
exploration to estimate a Mineral Resource.
Estimating and Reporting Potential Mineralisation at BHP Billiton The Unconstrained View|M Mullins et al
SODFHHPSKDVLVRQDFFXUDWHO\FDSWXULQJWKHDEVROXWHUDQJH
RIFRQFHLYDEOHHVWLPDWHVZLWKLQWKHJHRORJLFDOIUDPHZRUN
HPSKDVLVHDFFXUDF\RYHUSUHFLVLRQ
DOLJQWKHOHYHORIVWXG\ZLWKQDOXVDJHHJSUHOLPLQDU\
HFRQRPLF DVVHVVPHQW YHUVXV DFTXLVLWLRQGLYHVWPHQW
GHFLVLRQVDYDLODELOLW\RILQIRUPDWLRQDQGWKHQDWXUHDQG
ULVNSUROHRIWKHPLQHUDORFFXUUHQFHEHLQJDSSUDLVHG
7KH55$SURFHVVLVZHOOVXLWHGWRWKHHVWLPDWLRQRISRWHQWLDO
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ 30 ZKHUH WKH OHYHOV RI H[SORUDWLRQ GDWD
DQGNQRZOHGJHDUHLQVXIFLHQWWRGHQHD0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
)LJXUH7KH55$RXWSXWVH[SUHVVHGLQUDQJHVRIWRQQDJHV
DQG JUDGH RU TXDOLW\ DUH FRPELQHG ZLWK WKH 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH WR SURYLGH WKH WRWDO PLQHUDO LQYHQWRU\ HVWLPDWH
7KH 55$ SURFHVV FDQ DOVR EH XVHG WR DVVHVV WKH LPSDFW
RI XQFHUWDLQWLHV RQ PRUH PDWXUH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH DQG
2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWHV IRU H[DPSOH WKH HIIHFW RI VWUXFWXUDO
FRPSOH[LW\RQJHRWHFKQLFDOSDUDPHWHUVIRUPLQHGHVLJQV
,Q VRPH FDVHV LW PD\ EH DSSURSULDWH WR DGGUHVV SRWHQWLDO
SURGXFWLRQ VFHQDULRV E\ SURYLGLQJ HVWLPDWHV RI D PLQLQJ
LQYHQWRU\ 7KH GHOLYHUDEOH PD\ LQFOXGH DQ HVWLPDWH RI
UHFRYHUDEOHUXQRIPLQHDQGSURGXFWLQYHQWRULHV7KHPDLQ
XVH RI WKLV DSSURDFK LV XVXDOO\ LQ HDUO\ KLJKOHYHO QDQFLDO
DVVHVVPHQWV RI EXVLQHVV RSSRUWXQLWLHV RIWHQ WR DVVLVW ZLWK
DFTXLVLWLRQGLYHVWPHQWDQGORQJWHUPSODQQLQJGHFLVLRQV
793
TABLE 1
Resource Range Analysis states of knowledge.
States of knowledge
Exploration maturity
7KHSHUFHSWLRQRIDSURMHFWVOHYHORIH[SORUDWLRQPDWXULW\LVD
ULVNWKDWFDQQHJDWLYHO\LPSDFWLWVHYDOXDWLRQLQSDUWLFXODULWV
ORQJWHUPXSVLGHYDOXHLILWLVQRWDGGUHVVHGDSSURSULDWHO\
(VWDEOLVKLQJDQXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHSURMHFWVPDWXULW\SULRU
WRFRPPHQFLQJWKH55$H[HUFLVHLVFULWLFDO
(YDOXDWLRQRIH[SORUDWLRQPDWXULW\QHHGVWREHSDUWLFXODUO\
DZDUH RI SDUDGLJPV DQG FRQVWUDLQWV LPSRVHG E\ SUHVHQW
GD\ ELDVHV $ IHZ H[DPSOHV RI KRZ VKRUWVLJKWHG WKLQNLQJ
DQG IDOVH DVVXPSWLRQV DERXW SURMHFW PDWXULW\ FDQ VHYHUHO\
XQGHUPLQHORQJWHUPYDOXHDUHOLVWHGEHORZ
794
7KHFRPPRQSKLORVRSK\RIGULOOLQJQRGHHSHUWKDQP
IRURSHQSLWUHVRXUFHVWKURXJKRXWWKHVLQWKLVFDVH
VKDOORZ QHDUVXUIDFH XQGHUVWDQGLQJ ZDV PDWXUH DW WKH
WLPHEXWWKHXQGHUVWDQGLQJDWGHSWKZDVYHU\ORZ
,QJHQHUDOWKHFRPPRQSUDFWLFHGXULQJWKHVRIGULOOLQJ
RQO\ IRU VKDOORZ VXSHUJHQHHQULFKHG FRSSHU SRUSK\ULHV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
ZKLFKVLJQLFDQWO\OLPLWHGXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHSRWHQWLDO
IRUGHHSHUKLJKJUDGHK\SRJHQHSRUSK\ULHV2QWKLVEDVLV
WKH /RV %URQFHV DQG (VFRQGLGD UHJLRQV &KLOH ZRXOG
SUREDEO\ KDYH EHHQ FODVVLHG DV PDWXUH WHQ \HDUV DJR
QHJDWLQJWKHYDVWXSVLGHRSSRUWXQLWLHVGHQHGVLQFH
1RWFRQVLGHULQJWKHSRWHQWLDOIRUDVNDUQGHSRVLWDVLWLV
QRW SDUW RI D FRPSDQ\V VWUDWHJ\ WKHUHE\ LQDGYHUWHQWO\
OLPLWLQJ RSSRUWXQLWLHV WR GLVFRYHU GHHSHU FRSSHU
SRWHQWLDOPDWXULW\PD\EHPRGHUDWHWRKLJKIRUDVLQJOH
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ VW\OH EXW LPPDWXUH IRU D PLQHUDO V\VWHP
ZLWKPXOWLSOHVW\OHVRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
3UHYLRXVTXDOLW\VSHFLFDWLRQVIRU(QHUJ\&RDOUHTXLUHG
N&DO IRU H[SRUW XQWLO D ORZJUDGH ,QGLDQ H[SRUW
PDUNHW GURSSHG H[SRUW VSHFLFDWLRQV WR DV ORZ DV
N&DO7KLVFRQYHUWHGSUHYLRXVO\PDUJLQDOUHVRXUFHV
WKHSUHSDUDWLRQRIWKHGLDJUDPVKRXOGVWDUWZLWKWKHQDO
PLQHUDOLQYHQWRU\LQPLQGDQGPDSRXWWKHNH\LQXHQFHV
RQHQGRZPHQW
WKHGLDJUDPPXVWLQFOXGHDOOYDULDEOHVWKDWLQXHQFHVL]H
VSDWLDO GLVWULEXWLRQ DQG TXDOLW\ RI in situ PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
FRQVLVWHQWZLWKJHRORJLFDOXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
LQXHQFHVPXVWEHPHDVXUDEOHHJVXUIDFHDUHDYROXPH
JUDGHFRQFHQWUDWLRQSHUFHQWDJHHWF
55$ZRUNVKRSSDUWLFLSDQWVVKRXOGEHDZDUHWKDWWKHUHDUH
WZRW\SHVRILQXHQFHV
7KRVH WKDW DIIHFW WKH FKDUDFWHU RI WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
DQG LQXHQFH in situ SURSHUWLHV PLQHUDO LQYHQWRU\ RU
LQXHQFH WKHLU DELOLW\ WR H[WUDFW WRQQHV XVLQJ D VHOHFWHG
PLQLQJ PHWKRG H[WUDFWLRQ UDWH DQG ZDVWHRUH SUROH
PLQLQJLQYHQWRU\
7KRVH WKDW DIIHFW DVVHVVPHQWV RI XQFHUWDLQW\ DQG UDQJH
)RU H[DPSOH GULOOLQJ GRHV QRW FKDQJH WKH PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
RU ZKLFK PLQLQJ PHWKRG LV XWLOLVHG DQG LV QRW VWULFWO\DQ
LQXHQFHRQWKHRXWFRPH+RZHYHUTXDQWLW\DQGTXDOLW\
RI GULOOLQJ DIIHFW SURIRXQGO\ WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ DYDLODEOH WR
GHWHUPLQHUDQJHV
Estimating and Reporting Potential Mineralisation at BHP Billiton The Unconstrained View|M Mullins et al
Host rocks
(mafic felsic
intrusives, volcanics,
siliciclastic and
calcareous sediments)
Multi-phase
intrusions and
brecciation
Tectonic
Setting
Alteration
assemblages
(potassic, phyllic
and advanced
argillic)
Structural
framework
providing
locus for
porphyry
intrusion and
mineralisation
Style of
mineralisation
(hypogene
only)
Cu Eq
mineral
inventory
Preserved volume
and geometry
Age
Uplift and erosion
Structural
disruption (postmineral faulting)
Key
Influences
/RZ DQG +LJK 7DEOH /RZ DQG +LJK FDVHV PD\ DOVR
EHGHULYHGIURPWKHDVVLJQPHQWRIFRQWLQXRXVSUREDELOLW\
FXUYHV)LJXUH7KH([SHFWHGFDVHLVWKHVWDWLVWLFDOPHDQ
RIWKHSUREDELOLW\GLVWULEXWLRQ)LJXUH7KHSKLORVRSK\
LV WR EH XQUHDVRQDEOH EHIRUH EHLQJ UHDVRQDEOH 7KH
IDFLOLWDWRU PXVW IRUFH SDUWLFLSDQWV WR FRQVLGHU WKH PRVW
XQOLNHO\VFHQDULRVDVWKH0LQDQG0D[FDVHV3DUWLFLSDQWV
PXVWEHFRPIRUWDEOHZLWKWKH0LGFDVHJHRORJLFDOPRGHO
&RPSOHWHG WR FULWLFDOO\ DVVHVV H[WHQW JHRPHWU\ HJ GLS
WKLFNQHVV VWUXFWXUDO FRPSOH[LW\ DQG VSDWLDO ORFDWLRQ
PLQHUDORJ\ FRQWLQXLW\ DQG DQ\ RWKHU SDUDPHWHUV
WKDW PD\ KDYH D PDWHULDO HIIHFW RQ WKH GHULYDWLRQ RI
TABLE 2
Definitions of deterministic cases.
Case
Description
Min
Max
Mid
Low and High cases should be determined after an initial distribution is generated
from the Min-Mid-Max. They are useful where the team desires greater control over
the shape of the distribution.
Low
Reasonable downside estimate, lower than Mid but not extreme; low
numeric value that is feasible or capable of being implemented.
High
Reasonable upside estimate, higher than Mid but not extreme; high numeric
value that is feasible or capable of being implemented.
H[SORUDWLRQSURVSHFWLYLW\
JHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQDQGYROXPHDHULDOH[WHQW
PLQHUDOLVDWLRQDQGJUDGHFRQWLQXLW\FRPSOH[LW\
GHQVLW\PRLVWXUH
SUREOHPDWLFPLQHUDORJ\
DGYHUVHJHRWHFKQLFDOFKDUDFWHUHJVWUXFWXUH
QDWXUHRIRYHUEXUGHQJHRORJ\DQGWKLFNQHVV
K\GURORJ\HJSUHVHQFHRIVDOLQHJURXQGZDWHU
Estimation
)LWIRUSXUSRVH PRGHOV PXVW EH GHYHORSHG IRU HDFK RI WKH
UHTXLUHG GHWHUPLQLVWLF FDVHV 7KH HVWLPDWLRQ PHWKRG ZLOO
EH GLFWDWHG E\ DYDLODEOH GDWD HYDOXDWLRQ UHTXLUHPHQWV
DQG HQG XVH 7KLV PD\ UDQJH IURP VLPSOH ' SRO\JRQDO
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
795
FIG 4 - Examples of Resource Range Analysis cases on a probabilistic curve: Low, Min, Mid (equivalent to statistical mode), Expected, High
and Max cases. The Expected case represents the statistical mean of the probability distribution.
TABLE 3
Examples of drivers for deterministic cases.
Influence
Cases
Min
Low
Mid
High
Max
Density
2.6
2.9
3.2
3.4 3.6
4.0
Grade
Continuity (grade
and geology)
No continuity
Limited continuity
Variable continuity
Moderate continuity
Total continuity
Gangue minerals
Significant quantities of
deleterious gangue minerals
Sufficient deleterious
gangue minerals to cause
processing issues
Variable quantities of
deleterious gangue minerals
No deleterious gangue
minerals
Discrete zones
Narrow zones
Concentrated mineralised
zones with broader
brecciation
Entirely mineralised
Structural
complexity
Significant complexity
to make ore delineation
difficult
Sufficient complexity to
affect delineation and
dislocate ore
Sufficient complexity in
parts to affect delineation
and dislocate ore
Insufficient complexity
to dislocate ore or affect
drilling
Gravity anomaly
Mineralisation has no
relationship to gravity
anomaly
Copper recovery
Mineralisation
Estimating and Reporting Potential Mineralisation at BHP Billiton The Unconstrained View|M Mullins et al
UHTXLUHGWRHQVXUHWKDWDOORXWSXWVDUHDSSURSULDWHO\FDSWXUHG
,Q DGGLWLRQ WR RXWFRPHV GRFXPHQWDWLRQ SURYLGHV UDWLRQDOH
DQGGHWDLORIJHRORJLFDOWKLQNLQJDQGGHFLVLRQV)LQDOUHVXOWV
DUH LQGHSHQGHQWO\ UHYLHZHG HQGRUVHG DQG DSSURYHG E\
DSSURSULDWH SHHUV DQG UHVSRQVLEOH SHUVRQV HJ &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQVZKHUHH[WHUQDOUHSRUWLQJLVSODQQHG
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRUV DFNQRZOHGJH %+3 %LOOLWRQ IRU SHUPLVVLRQ WR
SXEOLVK WKLV SDSHU 7KH DXWKRUV DOVR WKDQN 5RE *ROG DQG
0LUHN :R]JD IRU FRQVWUXFWLYH UHYLHZV WKDW VLJQLFDQWO\
LPSURYHGWKLVSDSHU
REFERENCES
*XM 3 )DOORQ 0 0F&XDLJ 7 & DQG )DJDQ 5 $ WLPH VHULHV
DXGLW RI =LSIV /DZ DV D PHDVXUH RI WHUUDQH HQGRZPHQW DQG
PDWXULW\LQPLQHUDOH[SORUDWLRQEconomic Geology
-DLUHWK6DQG+XVWRQ'0HWDOHQGRZPHQWRIFUDWRQVWHUUDQHV
DQGGLVWULFWVLQVLJKWVIURPDTXDQWLWDWLYHDQDO\VLVRIUHJLRQVZLWK
JLDQWDQGVXSHUJLDQWGHSRVLWVOre Geology Reviews
0F&XDLJ 7 & %HUHVIRUG 6 DQG +URQVN\ - 7UDQVODWLQJ WKH
PLQHUDOV\VWHPVDSSURDFKLQWRDQHIIHFWLYHH[SORUDWLRQWDUJHWLQJ
V\VWHPOre Geology Reviews
CONCLUSIONS
0XGG*0:HQJ=DQG-RZLWW60$GHWDLOHGDVVHVVPHQW
RIJOREDO&XUHVRXUFHWUHQGVDQGHQGRZPHQWVEconomic Geology
,Q WKH PLQHUDOV LQGXVWU\ LW LV RIWHQ GLIFXOW WR UHFRJQLVH
WKH SRWHQWLDO RI D PLQHUDO SURYLQFH DW DQ HDUO\ VWDJH DQG
WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH ORQJWHUP GHYHORSPHQW SDWK 7KHUH
LV D WHQGHQF\ WR FROOHFW VXIFLHQW GHWDLOHG JHRORJLFDO
LQIRUPDWLRQDERXWWKHLQLWLDOGHYHORSPHQWEXWODUJHO\LJQRUH
WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ UHTXLUHG WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH ORQJHUWHUP
RSSRUWXQLWLHV$VDUHVXOWLWLVPRUHGLIFXOWWRUHFRJQLVHWKH
SRWHQWLDO DQG WR JURZ EXVLQHVVHV RUJDQLFDOO\ SDUWLFXODUO\
EH\RQGWKHLQLWLDOGHYHORSPHQW
:DVWHOO & $ (WKHULGJH 0 0F0DKRQ 0 /XFDV * DQG +DUWOH\
/7KHLPSDFWRIFRJQLWLYHSUHGLVSRVLWLRQVRQH[SORUDWLRQ
GHFLVLRQVLQWKHPLQHUDOVLQGXVWU\Applied Cognitive Psychology
DISCLAIMER
TRKROGH[SORUHGHYHORSDQGRSWLPDOO\H[WUDFWYDOXHIURP
PLQHUDO SURYLQFHV D ORQJ SODQQLQJ KRUL]RQ RIWHQ LQ H[FHVV
RI \HDUV LV UHTXLUHG DV ZHOO DV D GLVFLSOLQHG DSSURDFK
DFURVV WKH FRPPRGLW\ SULFH F\FOHV 7KLV UHTXLUHV FUHDWLYH
XQFRQVWUDLQHG WKLQNLQJ DQG WKHQ LQYHVWPHQW RYHU D ORQJ
SHULRG 5HJUHW GHFLVLRQV PDGH RQ VKRUWWHUP YLHZV RI WKH
PDUNHWVFDQDOWHUWKHEURDGORQJWHUPGHYHORSPHQWVHTXHQFH
APPENDIX 1
Cerro Colorado: Mineral Resource, Ore Reserve and production summary, shown in Figure 1.
Year
Mineral Resources
Measured
Ore Reserves
Indicated
Inferred
Proved
Probable
Run-of-mine
copper
production
(Kt)
Tonnage
(Mt)
T Cu / S Cu
(%)
Tonnage
(Mt)
T Cu / S Cu
(%)
Tonnage
(Mt)
T Cu / S Cu
(%)
Tonnage
(Mt)
T Cu / S Cu
(%)
Tonnage
(Mt)
T Cu / S Cu
(%)
2002
20.0
0.72 / 0.34
201.0
0.79 / 0.41
14.0
0.76 / 0.42
20.0
0.71 / 0.34
202.0
0.80 / 0.41
155.4
2003
14.5
0.74 / 0.33
294.0
0.75 / 0.36
42.0
0.66 / 0.29
35.0
0.81 / 0.25
172.0
0.80 / 0.44
155.9
2004
111.1
0.77 / 0.41
212.5
0.72 / 0.37
43.0
0.58 / 0.26
100.2
0.77 / 0.42
105.0
0.77 / 0.46
159.4
2005
104.7
0.75 / 0.41
203.3
0.71 / 0.37
43.0
0.57 / 0.25
91.5
0.75 / 0.44
99.2
0.76 / 0.45
140.4
2006
96.4
0.62 / 0.43
192.3
0.69 / 0.36
43.0
0.58 / 0.25
85.0
0.75 / 0.46
89.1
0.76 / 0.42
143.1
2007
147.3
0.71 / 0.39
97.8
0.61 / 0.34
121.4
0.58 / 0.25
89.4
0.67 / 0.36
73.4
0.70 / 0.42
146.4
2008
135.5
0.70 / 0.37
93.0
0.62 / 0.35
129.6
0.56 / 0.25
75.3
0.66 / 0.33
77.6
0.67 / 0.41
156.0
2009
165.3
0.66 / 0.37
142.2
0.62 / 0.34
64.7
0.57 / 0.23
89.5
0.64 / 0.37
78.4
0.67 / 0.36
147.7
2010
166.3
0.65 / 0.37
188.3
0.66 / 0.36
77.9
0.65 / 0.19
103.5
0.63 / 0.36
97.1
0.67 / 0.35
125.2
2011
152.9
0.65 / 0.37
188.4
0.66 / 0.36
83.1
0.64 / 0.18
110.3
0.64 / 0.37
92.3
0.65 / 0.35
135.0
2012
96.1
0.66 / 0.30
316.6
0.64 / 0.33
82.4
0.58 / 0.24
49.6
0.68 / 0.31
151.8
0.61 / 0.34
123.5
2013
80.0
0.63 / 0.29
297.0
0.62 / 0.32
79.0
0.57 / 0.22
46.0
0.68 / 0.28
133.0
0.59 / 0.32
116.7
797
WKURXJK$OOUHSRUWVFDQEHIRXQGDWKWWSZZZ
EKSELOOLWRQFRP
$OO LQIRUPDWLRQ LV UHSRUWHG XQGHU WKH -25& &RGH E\ WKH
DERYHPHQWLRQHGSHUVRQVZKRDUHHPSOR\HGE\%+3%LOOLWRQ
DQGKDYHWKHUHTXLUHGTXDOLFDWLRQVDQGH[SHULHQFHWRTXDOLI\
798
DV&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVIRU0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVRU2UH5HVHUYHV
XQGHUWKH-25&&RGH7KHFRPSLOHUVYHULI\WKDWWKLVUHSRUW
LVEDVHGRQDQGIDLUO\UHHFWVWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH
5HVHUYHV LQIRUPDWLRQ LQ WKH VXSSRUWLQJ GRFXPHQWDWLRQ DQG
DJUHHZLWKWKHIRUPDQGFRQWH[WRIWKHLQIRUPDWLRQSUHVHQWHG
HOME
1. FAusIMM(CP), Director / General Manager / Principal Geologist, AMC Mining Consultants (Canada) Ltd, 202 - 200 Granville Street, Vancouver BC V6C 1S4, Canada.
Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM(CP), Independent Mining Engineer (previously: AMC Consultants Pty Ltd, Melbourne). Email: [email protected]
3. MAusIMM, Geology Manager/Principal Geologist, AMC Consultants Pty Ltd, 9 Havelock Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
4. HonFAusIMM(CP), Principal Geologist, AMC Consultants Pty Ltd, Level 21, 179 Turbot Street, Brisbane Qld 4000. Email: [email protected]
5. MAusIMM(CP), Principal Mining Engineer, AMC Consultants Pty Ltd, Level 19, 114 William Street, Melbourne Vic 3000. Email: [email protected]
6. MAusIMM, Senior Geologist, AMC Consultants Pty Ltd, 9 Havelock Street, West Perth WA 6005. Email: [email protected]
7. Geology Manager / Principal Geologist, AMC Consultants Pty Ltd, Level 19, 114 William Street, Melbourne Vic 3000. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published in Proceedings Sixth International Mining Geology Conference 2006, pp 91-95 (The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy: Melbourne).
INTRODUCTION
$0& &RQVXOWDQWV 3W\ /WG $0& KDV EHFRPH LQFUHDVLQJO\
FRQFHUQHGLQUHFHQW\HDUVZLWK0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHFODVVLFDWLRQ
SUDFWLFHV WKDW ODFN FRPPRQ VHQVH JHRORJLFDOO\ DQG FDXVH
VLJQLFDQW GLIFXOWLHV GXULQJ PLQH GHVLJQ DQG FRQYHUVLRQ
WR 2UH 5HVHUYHV SDUWLFXODUO\ IRU XQGHUJURXQG PLQHV 7KLV
SDSHU ZDV SUHSDUHG RULJLQDOO\ IRU WKH 6L[WK ,QWHUQDWLRQDO
0LQLQJ*HRORJ\&RQIHUHQFHKHOGLQ'DUZLQLQ$XJXVW
E\ D JURXS RI $0& JHRORJLVWV DQG PLQLQJ HQJLQHHUV DV D
SUDFWLFDOFRQWULEXWLRQWRWKHVXEMHFW,WLVKRSHGWKDWWKHLVVXHV
KLJKOLJKWHG DQG UHDO H[DPSOHV SURYLGHG ZLOO HQFRXUDJH D
PRUHVHQVLEOHDSSURDFKWR5HVRXUFHFODVVLFDWLRQDQGPDNH
OLIHHDVLHUIRUDOOFRQFHUQHG
799
WKHQXPEHURIGDWDSRLQWVXVHGWRHVWLPDWHJUDGH
WKHQXPEHURIGULOOKROHVXVHGWRVRXUFHGDWDIRUHVWLPDWLRQ
WKHHVWLPDWLRQSDVVWKDWVXFFHVVIXOO\LQIRUPHGWKHFHOO
WKHNULJLQJYDULDQFHRIWKHHVWLPDWH
WKH VORSH RI UHJUHVVLRQ RI WKH WUXH EORFN JUDGH RQ WKH
HVWLPDWHGEORFNJUDGH9DQQ-DFNVRQDQG%HUWROL
WKHUHODWLYHGLVWDQFHIURPDGDWDSRLQWEDVHGRQWKHUDQJH
RIDYDULRJUDP
7KHYDOXHVFDQFKDQJHZLWKGLIIHUHQWYDULRJUDPSDUDPHWHUV
DQG RWKHU HVWLPDWLRQ LQSXWV VXFK DV WKH VHDUFK HOOLSVH UDGLL
DQGRULHQWDWLRQWKHPD[LPXPRUPLQLPXPQXPEHURIGDWD
SRLQWVIRUVXFFHVVIXOHVWLPDWLRQWKHGHJUHHRIJHRORJLFDORU
GRPDLQ FRQWURO RQ WKH HVWLPDWH DQG WKH H[SDQVLRQ UDWLR RI
FRQVHFXWLYHHVWLPDWLRQSDVVHV
7KHVHYDOXHVDUHXVHIXODVDQLQGLFDWLRQRIWKHFRQGHQFH
LQWKHJUDGHHVWLPDWHEXWWKH\DUHQRWDQDEVROXWHPHDVXUH
RI VPDOOVFDOH EORFN UHOLDELOLW\ DQG VKRXOG QRW EH WUHDWHG
DV VXFK 7KHUH DUH QR DEVROXWH YDOXHV WKDW DUH FRUUHFW DQG
WKH VXEGLYLVLRQ RI WKH GHSRVLW LQWR EORFNV LV RQO\ GRQH DV D
JHRPHWULFDLGWR5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQQRWEHFDXVHWKHEORFNV
WKHPVHOYHVUHSUHVHQWGLVFUHWHJHRORJLFDOXQLWVZLWKVHSDUDWH
FOHDUO\GLVWLQJXLVKDEOHJUDGHDQGUHOLDELOLW\FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
Mineral Resource Classification Its Time to Shoot the Spotted Dog!| P R Stephenson et al
P
.ULJLQJ9DULDQFH
/RZ
+LJK
LQFUHDVHGXVHRIJHRVWDWLVWLFVIRUJUDGHHVWLPDWLRQJLYLQJD
JUHDWHUDELOLW\WRJHQHUDWHDQGPDNHXVHRIEORFNE\EORFN
SDUDPHWHUVDQGDWWULEXWHV
JHRORJLVWVVSHQGLQJPRUHWLPHZLWKWKHGHWDLOVRIDEORFN
PRGHODQGOHVVRIWHQQRWLPHH[DPLQLQJDQGLQWHUSUHWLQJ
KDUGFRS\FURVVVHFWLRQVDQGSODQV
LQFUHDVHGZRUNORDGVDQGWLJKWHUGHDGOLQHVFDXVHGE\IHZHU
DYDLODEOHJHRORJLVWVFKDQJHGZRUNLQJHQYLURQPHQWVHJ
\LQ\RXWQHYHUHQGLQJRSHUDWLQJFRVWSUHVVXUHVHWF
ODFNRIH[SHULHQFHGPHQWRUVWRJXLGH\RXQJHUJHRORJLVWV
DQGSURYLGHUHDOLW\FKHFNV
FIG 4 - Cross-section showing classification following drill holes and being artificially influenced by search parameters.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
801
DQGDQHFRQRPLFHYDOXDWLRQLVXQGHUWDNHQ7KRVHVWRSHVWKDW
PHHW WKH FRPSDQ\V HFRQRPLF UHTXLUHPHQWV DIWHU WDNLQJ
LQWR FRQVLGHUDWLRQ SURFHVVLQJ PHWDOOXUJLFDO LQIUDVWUXFWXUH
PDUNHWLQJ OHJDO HQYLURQPHQWDO VRFLDO DQG JRYHUQPHQWDO
IDFWRUVPD\EHFODVVLHGDV2UH5HVHUYHV
and now
for open pit mines, the impact is less severe than for underground mines.
9. Dilution comprises (a) planned to form the stope shape, (b) unplanned hanging wall
and footwall overbreak and (c) operational such as backfill exposure fall-off, stope floor
over-mucking, etc.
802
Mineral Resource Classification Its Time to Shoot the Spotted Dog!| P R Stephenson et al
XQFODVVLHGPDWHULDOWKDWIDOOZLWKLQWKHVWRSHGHVLJQ6KRXOG
WKH\EHWUHDWHGDVLQWHUQDOGLOXWLRQDWWKHHVWLPDWHGJUDGHRU
DVZDVWH"
THE SOLUTION
7KHVROXWLRQLVVLPSOH%ORFNE\EORFN5HVRXUFHFODVVLFDWLRQV
VKRXOGEHVPRRWKHGLQWRJHRORJLFDOO\VHQVLEOHDQGFRKHUHQW
]RQHV WKDW UHHFW D UHDOLVWLF OHYHO RI JHRORJLFDO DQG JUDGH
HVWLPDWLRQ FRQGHQFH WDNLQJ LQWR DFFRXQW WKH DPRXQW
GLVWULEXWLRQDQGTXDOLW\RIGDWD
7KHUH DUH YDULRXV ZD\V RI LPSOHPHQWLQJ WKLV VPRRWKLQJ
SURFHVVSHUKDSVWKHPRVWFRPPRQEHLQJWRFUHDWH5HVRXUFH
FODVVLFDWLRQ ZLUHIUDPHV EDVHG RQ EORFN HVWLPDWLRQ
DWWULEXWHVDQGWKHEURDGHUJHRORJLFDODQGGDWDFRQVLGHUDWLRQV
SUHYLRXVO\GLVFXVVHGDQGWKHQDGMXVWWKHFODVVLFDWLRQVRI
DOO EORFNV IDOOLQJ ZLWKLQ WKH ZLUHIUDPHV $QRWKHU SURFHVV
FDOOHG FORVLQJ LQ ,VDWLV JHRVWDWLVWLFDO VRIWZDUH XWLOLVHV
GLODWLRQ DQG HURVLRQ WR FRPELQH FRQWLJXRXV DUHDV RI
RQH FODVVLFDWLRQ DQG UHPRYH VPDOO LQOLHUV RI DQRWKHU
FODVVLFDWLRQ
)RU H[DPSOH )LJXUH VKRZV D VPRRWKHG YHUVLRQ RI WKH
H[DPSOHVKRZQLQ)LJXUHDQG)LJXUHVKRZVDVPRRWKHG
H[DPSOHRI)LJXUH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
FIG 6 - Smoothed version of Figure 1.
+RZHYHU LW LV GRQH DQG LW QHHGV JHRORJLFDO UDWKHU WKDQ
SXUHO\ PDWKHPDWLFDO LQSXW WKH LPSRUWDQW SRLQW LV WKDW LW
PXVWEHVHHQDVDQLQWHJUDOSDUWRIWKH5HVRXUFHFODVVLFDWLRQ
SURFHVV QRW VRPHWKLQJ WKDW ZRXOG EH QLFH WR GR LI ZH KDG
WKHWLPH7KHDXWKRUVDFNQRZOHGJHWKDW5HVRXUFHJHRORJLVWV
DUHRIWHQXQGHULQWHQVHWLPHSUHVVXUHVWKHVHGD\VEXWEHOLHYH
WKDWSURGXFWLRQRIVHQVLEOH5HVRXUFHFODVVLFDWLRQVLVVLPSO\
WRRLPSRUWDQWIRUWKLVQDOVWHSQRWWREHLPSOHPHQWHG
CONCLUSION
,W LV LPSRUWDQW ZKHQ HVWLPDWLQJ DQG FODVVLI\LQJ 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV XVLQJ D EORFN PRGHO WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH ZKROH
5HVRXUFH5HVHUYH SURFHVV DQG SDUWLFXODUO\ WR DSSUHFLDWH
WKH SXUSRVH EHKLQG 5HVRXUFH FODVVLFDWLRQ DQG WKH XVHV WR
ZKLFKWKH5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVZLOOEHSXW&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV
UHVSRQVLEOHIRU0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVPXVWQRWDEURJDWH
WKHLU UHVSRQVLELOLW\ WR PDNH H[SHULHQFHEDVHG FODVVLFDWLRQ
MXGJHPHQWV E\ EDVLQJ FODVVLFDWLRQ SXUHO\ RQ EORFN FULWHULD
JHQHUDWHG GXULQJ WKH JUDGH LQWHUSRODWLRQ SURFHVV ZLWKRXW
REFERENCES
&DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG 3HWUROHXP
&,0 'HQLWLRQ 6WDQGDUGV IRU 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 0LQHUDO
5HVHUYHV &,0 6WDQGLQJ &RPPLWWHH RQ 5HVHUYH 'HQLWLRQV
,QFRUSRUDWHG E\ UHIHUHQFH LQWR 1DWLRQDO ,QVWUXPHQW
6WDQGDUGV RI 'LVFORVXUH IRU 0LQHUDO 3URMHFWV 1,
HGLWLRQ&DQDGLDQ6HFXULWLHV$GPLQLVWUDWRUV
3(5& 3DQ(XURSHDQ &RGH IRU 5HSRUWLQJ RI ([SORUDWLRQ
5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 5HVHUYHV 3(5& 5HSRUWLQJ
6WDQGDUG 3DQ(XURSHDQ 5HVHUYHV DQG 5HVRXUFHV 5HSRUWLQJ
&RPPLWWHH
6RXWK$IULFDQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH&RPPLWWHH6$05(&6RXWK
$IULFDQ&RGHIRUWKH5HSRUWLQJRI([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWV0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHVDQG0LQHUDO5HVHUYHV7KH6$05(&&RGH6$05(&
XQGHU WKH -RLQW $XVSLFHV RI WKH 6RXWKHUQ $IULFDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\ DQG WKH *HRORJLFDO 6RFLHW\ RI 6RXWK
$IULFD
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
803
804
HOME
1. General Manager, Xstract, Calibre Global Pty Ltd, Level 6, 545 Queen Street, Brisbane Qld 4001. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
'HVSLWH WKH GHQLWLRQV DQG JXLGDQFH RQ WKH UHSRUWLQJ RI
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYHFDWHJRULHVSURYLGHGE\WKH
FXUUHQWDQGSUHYLRXVYHUVLRQVRIWKH-25&&RGHWKHFDWHJRULHV
DQG WHFKQLFDOHFRQRPLF VWXG\ RXWFRPHV DUH QRW QHFHVVDULO\
UHSRUWHGZLWKDFRPPRQH[SHFWDWLRQRIWKHFRQGHQFHLQWKH
HVWLPDWHV$Q\LQFRQVLVWHQF\LQFOHDUO\UHOD\LQJWKHH[SHFWHG
DFFXUDF\DQGFRQGHQFHLQWKHHVWLPDWHVDVWKH\PRYHIURP
5HVRXUFHVWR5HVHUYHVDQGQDQFLDOUHSRUWLQJPD\UHVXOWLQ
PLVOHDGLQJRULQFRUUHFWLQWHUSUHWDWLRQVRIWKHSURMHFWULVNE\
WKRVHUHO\LQJRQWKLVLQIRUPDWLRQ
7KH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ VKRXOG VWULYH WR EHWWHU SUHVHQW WKH
WHFKQLFDO ULVN DQG XQFHUWDLQW\ DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK 5HVRXUFH
SURMHFWVLQFRQWH[WWRSURYLGHDPRUHFRQVLVWHQWDQGEDODQFHG
YLHZRIFRQGHQFHULVNDQGRSSRUWXQLWLHVIRUERWKLQWHUQDODQG
H[WHUQDOVWDNHKROGHUVUHO\LQJRQWKHLUUHSRUWHGLQIRUPDWLRQ
*UHDWHUFRQVLVWHQF\LVUHTXLUHGDFURVVWKHUHVRXUFHVLQGXVWU\
WREHWWHUFRQYH\WKHDFFXUDF\DQGFRQGHQFHZKHQDVVLJQLQJ
DQG UHSRUWLQJ 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH FDWHJRULHV DQG WKH
RXWFRPHV RI WHFKQLFDO VWXGLHV LQ WKH FRQWH[W RI WKH SURMHFWV
GHYHORSPHQWSDWKDQGPDWXULW\
7KH -25& &RGH VHWV RXW PLQLPXP VWDQGDUGV
UHFRPPHQGDWLRQV DQG JXLGHOLQHV IRU 3XEOLF 5HSRUWLQJ
LQ $XVWUDODVLD RI ([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV
DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV -25& &RGH 7KH &RGH KDV
EHHQ DGRSWHG E\ DQG LQFOXGHG LQ WKH /LVWLQJ 5XOHV RI WKH
$XVWUDOLDQ6HFXULWLHV([FKDQJH$6;DQGWKH1HZ=HDODQG
6WRFN([FKDQJH1=;DQGLPSRVHVVSHFLFUHTXLUHPHQWVRQ
H[SORUDWLRQDQGPLQLQJFRPSDQLHVUHSRUWLQJWRWKH$6;DQG
1=;)XUWKHUPRUHPHPEHUVRI7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI
0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\ 7KH $XV,00 DQG WKH $XVWUDOLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI*HRVFLHQWLVWV$,*DUHERXQGE\WKLV&RGH
:KLOHWKHUHLVDQH[SHFWDWLRQWKDWDOOVWDNHKROGHUVLQYROYHG
LQ LQWHUSUHWLQJ RU UHO\LQJ RQ LQIRUPDWLRQ UHSRUWHG XQGHU
WKH -25& &RGH DUH IDPLOLDU ZLWK LWV FRQWHQWV WKLV LV QRW
DOZD\V WKH FDVH 'HVSLWH WKH &RGH EHLQJ D UHODWLYHO\ EULHI
GRFXPHQW VWDNHKROGHUV UHO\LQJ RQ WKH UHSRUWHG UHVXOWV
WHQG WR VNLP WKH FRQWHQWV RI WKH &RGH DQG IRFXV RQ SDUWV
GHHPHG PRVW DSSOLFDEOH WR WKH FLUFXPVWDQFH 7KLV SDSHU
TXRWHV H[WHQVLYHO\ IURP WKH HGLWLRQ RI WKH -25& &RGH
WR GUDZ DWWHQWLRQ WR SDUWV RI WKH &RGH SURYLGLQJ VXSSRUW
DQG JXLGDQFH IRU FODVVLI\LQJ DQG UHSRUWLQJ 5HVRXUFHV DQG
5HVHUYHVDQGSDUWLFXODUO\WKH5HVRXUFHWR5HVHUYHFRQYHUVLRQ
SURFHVVWKURXJKWKHFRQVLGHUDWLRQRI0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVDQG
FRPSOHWLRQ RI 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ DQG )HDVLELOLW\ WHFKQLFDO DQG
HFRQRPLFVWXGLHV
&RQVLGHU IRU H[DPSOH WKH UHTXLUHPHQW WKDW D 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH PXVW KDYH UHDVRQDEOH SURVSHFWV IRU HYHQWXDO
HFRQRPLF H[WUDFWLRQ :KLOH VRPH 5HVRXUFH SUDFWLWLRQHUV
GHEDWHZKDWWKLVDFWXDOO\PHDQVWKH&RGHVWDWHVWKLV
implies an assessment (albeit preliminary) by the
Competent Person in respect of all matters likely to
LQXHQFHWKHSURVSHFWRIHFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQLQFOXGLQJWKH
approximate mining parameters.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
805
Reporting and Converting Resources to Reserves How Confident Are We?|M A Nopp
TABLE 1
Mineral asset development stages (VALMIN Committee, 2005).
Project development
stage
Criterion
Exploration areas
Predevelopment/resource
Development
Operating
WKHVWDJHDWZKLFKDSURMHFWDGYDQFHVIURPDQDVSLUDWLRQDO
SURMHFWWRRQHWKDWLVFRQVLGHUHGWREHVWULFWO\GDWDGULYHQ
,Q WKH ODWWHU FDVH WKH SURMHFW LV VXSSRUWHG E\ H[WHQVLYH DQG
JRRGTXDOLW\GDWDWHFKQLFDOVWXGLHVDQGHQJLQHHULQJGHVLJQ
DWSDUWLFXODUOHYHOVRIGHWDLO
)RU H[DPSOH D 6FRSLQJ 6WXG\ PD\ EH FRQVLGHUHG ODUJHO\
DVSLUDWLRQDO VLQFH DOWKRXJK LW LV JHQHUDOO\ SDUWO\ GDWD
GULYHQ LW PD\ EH EDVHG RQ ,QIHUUHG 5HVRXUFHV RU EHWWHU LW
PD\EHHIIHFWLYHO\FRQFHSWXDOLQUHJDUGVWRLWVWHFKQLFDODQG
HFRQRPLF DVVXPSWLRQV $ 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ DQG )HDVLELOLW\
6WXG\ RQ WKH RWKHU KDQG PD\ EH FRQVLGHUHG GDWD GULYHQ
DV WKHVH DUH JHQHUDOO\ EDVHG PRVWO\ RQ ,QGLFDWHG DQGRU
0HDVXUHG 5HVRXUFHV DQG VXIFLHQWO\ GHWDLOHG DVVHVVPHQWV
RIWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVWRGHWHUPLQHDQ2UH5HVHUYH7KLV
LVZK\HYHQWKRXJKD6FRSLQJ6WXG\FDQEHFDUULHGRXWRQ
,QGLFDWHG RU 0HDVXUHG 5HVRXUFHV WKH OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH
LQ WKH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV LV QRW FRQVLGHUHG VXIFLHQW WR
GHWHUPLQH D PLQH SODQ DQG SURGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOH WKDW LV
WHFKQLFDOO\ DFKLHYDEOH DQG HFRQRPLFDOO\ YLDEOH DQG IURP
ZKLFKWKH2UH5HVHUYHVFDQEHGHULYHGDQGUHSRUWHG
,W LV QRW XQXVXDO WR QG TXLWH GLIIHUHQW LQWHUSUHWDWLRQV RI
5HVRXUFH FDWHJRULHV EHWZHHQ GLIIHUHQW &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV
UDQJLQJ IURP FRQVHUYDWLYH WR WKH KLJKO\ RSWLPLVWLF ,QGHHG
LW LV QRW XQXVXDO WR VHH TXLWH GLIIHUHQW LPSOLFDWLRQV DSSOLHG
WR WKH PHDQLQJ RI D )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ DJDLQ UDQJLQJ IURP
D 6FRSLQJ 6WXG\ OHYHO WR WKDW RI D QDO )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\
8QOHVVWKHVWDWHPHQWRUUHSRUWDFFRPSDQ\LQJWKHVHUHOHDVHG
UHVXOWV SURYLGHV VXIFLHQW FODULW\ RU WUDQVSDUHQF\ RI WKH
PDWHULDODVVXPSWLRQVVXSSRUWLQJWKHSXEOLFDQQRXQFHPHQW
WKH UHFLSLHQWV RI VXFK GDWD FRXOG LQGHHG EH PLVOHG E\
WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ )RU H[DPSOH RQH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV
)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ PD\ EH DQRWKHUV 6FRSLQJ 6WXG\ RQH
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV 0HDVXUHG 5HVRXUFH PD\ EH DQRWKHUV
,QGLFDWHG5HVRXUFH,QGHHGLIWKHUHTXLUHPHQWIRUUHDVRQDEOH
SURVSHFWVIRUHYHQWXDOHFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQIRUUHSRUWLQJDQ\
FDWHJRU\ RI 5HVRXUFH DUH QRW FRQVLGHUHG E\ WKH &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQ DQG WKH DVVXPSWLRQV PDGH WUDQVSDUHQW WKHQ RQH
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ PD\ UHSRUW YHU\ GLIIHUHQW 5HVRXUFH
TXDQWLWLHVWRDQRWKHUHYHQXVLQJWKHVDPHEDVLFGDWDDQGD
VLPLODU JHRORJLFDO PRGHO &OHDUO\ VWDNHKROGHUV XVLQJ WKLV
FIG 2 - The inter-relationship of increasing certainty and project value with advancing development stages and the level of technical study (after Lilford, 2011).
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
807
SXEOLFLQIRUPDWLRQIRUH[DPSOHLQYHVWRUVRUYDOXHUVVKRXOG
EH DEOH WR UHO\ RQ WKLV LQIRUPDWLRQ RU EH DEOH WR GULOO GRZQ
LQWR WKH GHWDLO EHKLQG WKH DQQRXQFHPHQWV WR HVWDEOLVK WKH
FRUUHFWFRQWH[WRIWKLVLQIRUPDWLRQ
7KH-25&&RGHSURYLGHVWHUPLQRORJ\GHQLWLRQVDQG
JXLGDQFHRQWKHUHSRUWLQJRI([SORUDWLRQ7DUJHWV([SORUDWLRQ
5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV DQG LQGHHG
DOVRWKHPHDQLQJRI6FRSLQJ6WXGLHV3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHV
DQGQDORUIXOO)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHV7KHUHTXLUHPHQWVRIWKH
-25&&RGHIRUUHSRUWLQJWKHPDWHULDODVVXPSWLRQVDQG
VXSSRUWLQJ LQIRUPDWLRQ RQ DQ LI QRW ZK\ QRW EDVLV ZLOO
KRSHIXOO\ SURYLGH JUHDWHU WUDQVSDUHQF\ DQG FRQVLVWHQF\ LQ
UHSRUWLQJ 7KH QDO DSSOLFDWLRQ RI 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH
FDWHJRULHV DV ZHOO DV WKH OHYHO DQG VLJQLFDQFH DSSOLHG WR
WKH WHFKQLFDO DQG HFRQRPLF VWXGLHV VKRXOG UHVLGH ZLWK WKH
UHOHYDQW &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV HYHQ LI VXSSRUWHG E\ UREXVW
GHEDWH ZLWK FRPSDQ\ DQG SURMHFW PDQDJHPHQW &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQV VKRXOG GR PRUH WKDQ VLPSO\ XVH WKH GHQHG
WHUPLQRORJ\WRHQVXUHDOHYHORISURIHVVLRQDOFRQVLVWHQF\IRU
WKHUHSRUWLQJRIWHFKQLFDODQGHFRQRPLFVWXG\UHVXOWV7KH\
QHHGWRUHFRJQLVHWKH&RGHVSULQFLSOHRI7UDQVSDUHQF\DQG
GLVFXVVWKHUHODWLYHDFFXUDF\DQGFRQGHQFHOHYHOVLQWHUPV
FRQVLVWHQWZLWKJHQHUDOLQGXVWU\FRQVHQVXVWRIXUWKHUVXSSRUW
DQGVXEVWDQWLDWHWKHLUUHSRUWLQJ
7KHGHQLWLRQVRIVWXG\W\SHVSURYLGHGLQWKH-25&
&RGH DUH VLPLODU WR WKRVH LQ RWKHU LQWHUQDWLRQDO UHSRUWLQJ
FRGHV )RU FRQYHQLHQFH WKH -25& &RGH GHQLWLRQV DUH
UHSHDWHGKHUH
A Scoping Study LV DQ RUGHU RI PDJQLWXGH WHFKQLFDO
DQG HFRQRPLF VWXG\ RI WKH SRWHQWLDO YLDELOLW\ RI 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV,WLQFOXGHVDSSURSULDWHDVVHVVPHQWVRIUHDOLVWLFDOO\
DVVXPHG0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVWRJHWKHUZLWKDQ\RWKHUUHOHYDQW
RSHUDWLRQDO IDFWRUV WKDW DUH QHFHVVDU\ WR GHPRQVWUDWH DW WKH
WLPHRIUHSRUWLQJWKDWSURJUHVVWRD3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\FDQ
EHUHDVRQDEO\MXVWLHG
$ 3UHOLPLQDU\ )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ LV D
FRPSUHKHQVLYHVWXG\RIDUDQJHRIRSWLRQVIRUWKHWHFKQLFDO
DQGHFRQRPLFYLDELOLW\RIDPLQHUDOSURMHFWWKDWKDVDGYDQFHG
WR D VWDJH ZKHUH D SUHIHUUHG PLQLQJ PHWKRG LQ WKH FDVH RI
XQGHUJURXQGPLQLQJRUWKHSLWFRQJXUDWLRQLQWKHFDVHRI
DQRSHQSLWLVHVWDEOLVKHGDQGDQHIIHFWLYHPHWKRGRIPLQHUDO
SURFHVVLQJLVGHWHUPLQHG,WLQFOXGHVDQDQFLDODQDO\VLVEDVHG
RQUHDVRQDEOHDVVXPSWLRQVRQWKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVDQGWKH
HYDOXDWLRQRIDQ\RWKHUUHOHYDQWIDFWRUVZKLFKDUHVXIFLHQW
IRUD&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQDFWLQJUHDVRQDEO\WRGHWHUPLQHLIDOO
RUSDUWRIWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVPD\EHFRQYHUWHGWRDQ2UH
5HVHUYHDWWKHWLPHRIUHSRUWLQJ$3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\LVDW
DORZHUFRQGHQFHOHYHOWKDQD)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
$ )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ LV D FRPSUHKHQVLYH WHFKQLFDO DQG
HFRQRPLF VWXG\ RI WKH VHOHFWHG GHYHORSPHQW RSWLRQ IRU
D PLQHUDO SURMHFW ZKLFK LQFOXGHV DSSURSULDWHO\ GHWDLOHG
DVVHVVPHQWV RI DSSOLFDEOH 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV WRJHWKHU ZLWK
DQ\RWKHUUHOHYDQWRSHUDWLRQDOIDFWRUVDQGGHWDLOHGQDQFLDO
DQDO\VLV WKDW DUH QHFHVVDU\ WR GHPRQVWUDWH DW WKH WLPH RI
UHSRUWLQJWKDWH[WUDFWLRQLVUHDVRQDEO\MXVWLHGHFRQRPLFDOO\
PLQHDEOH 7KH UHVXOWV RI WKH VWXG\ PD\ UHDVRQDEO\ VHUYH
DV WKH EDVLV IRU D QDO GHFLVLRQ E\ D SURSRQHQW RU QDQFLDO
LQVWLWXWLRQ WR SURFHHG ZLWK RU QDQFH WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI
WKHSURMHFW7KHFRQGHQFHOHYHORIWKHVWXG\ZLOOEHKLJKHU
WKDQWKDWRID3UH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
:KHQ FRQGXFWLQJ WHFKQLFDO VWXGLHV IURP 6FRSLQJ 6WXGLHV
WKURXJKWRQDO)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHVLWLVFRQVLGHUHGFUXFLDOWKDW
VXFKVWXGLHVDUHVXLWDEO\PDWFKHGQRWRQO\WRWKHDFFXUDF\RI
808
WKH FRVW HVWLPDWHV EXW DOVR WR WKH OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH LQ WKH
XQGHUO\LQJDVVHWQDPHO\WKH5HVRXUFHDQG5HVHUYHEDVH7KH
OHYHORIWHFKQLFDOVWXG\QHHGVWRFRQYH\WKHDSSURSULDWHULVN
DQG RSSRUWXQLW\ SUROH RI WKH SURMHFW WR WKH VWDNHKROGHUV
)RUH[DPSOHLWLVFRPSOHWHO\PLVOHDGLQJWRUHSRUWD5HVRXUFH
SURMHFWDWDQDO)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\OHYHOLIWKHUHDUHLQVXIFLHQW
0HDVXUHGDQG,QGLFDWHG0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG3URYHGDQG
3UREDEOH 2UH 5HVHUYHV GHQHG WR VXSSRUW WKH PLQLPXP
HFRQRPLF PLQH OLIH UHJDUGOHVV RI ZKDW OHYHO RI GHWDLO LV
UHSRUWHGO\DYDLODEOHRQRWKHULQSXWVVXFKDVHTXLSPHQWFRVWV
RUSURFHVVLQJSODQW
2YHUUHFHQW\HDUVWKHQHHGWRPDLQWDLQULJRXULQFRQGXFWLQJ
UREXVW WHFKQLFDO DQG HFRQRPLF DVVHVVPHQWV KDV EHHQ
XQGHU SUHVVXUH E\ WKH QHHG RI PDQ\ GHYHORSHUV WR IDVW
WUDFN VWXGLHV WR NHHS WLPHOLQHV DQG FRVWV GRZQ DQG WR WDNH
DGYDQWDJHRIFRPPRGLW\GHPDQGDQGSULFHF\FOHV7KHVKRUW
WLPHOLQHVDSSOLHGWRWHFKQLFDOVWXGLHVRIWHQUHVXOWLQYDULRXV
LQYHVWLJDWLRQV UXQQLQJ LQ SDUDOOHO UDWKHU WKDQ LQ VHULHV DV
ZRXOGWUDGLWLRQDOO\KDYHEHHQWKHFDVH7KLVLQYDULDEO\UHVXOWV
LQ VRPH UHGXQGDQFLHV LQ WKH SURFHVV DQG FDQ DOVR OHDG WR
PLVOHDGLQJLQWHULPUHVXOWVIURPLQFRPSOHWHVWXG\SKDVHV6R
LQHIIHFWVRPHQDO)HDVLELOLW\6WXGLHVUHVXOWLQJIURPDIDVW
WUDFNSURFHVVPD\HIIHFWLYHO\EHDWWKHOHYHORIFRQGHQFHWKDW
PDQ\PDMRUHQJLQHHULQJDQGPLQLQJFRPSDQLHVZRXOGRQO\
FRQVLGHU WR EH DW D 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ OHYHO 6WDNHKROGHUV
VKRXOG EH PDGH DZDUH LI KLJKHU OHYHOV RI XQFHUWDLQW\ DUH
DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH RXWFRPHV RI VRPH RI WKHVH IDVWWUDFNHG
VWXGLHVWRDOORZWKHPWRSURSHUO\DVVHVVWKHDVVRFLDWHGSURMHFW
ULVNV,QVRPHLQVWDQFHVWKHIDVWWUDFNLQJDSSURDFKPD\PHDQ
DOWHUQDWLYH VFHQDULRV QRUPDOO\ LGHQWLHG GXULQJ 6FRSLQJ
SKDVHV DQG SXUVXHG GXULQJ 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ DVVHVVPHQWV DUH
QRW IXOO\ FRQVLGHUHG EHIRUH DGYDQFLQJ WR WKH VRFDOOHG QDO
)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ DQG VWDNHKROGHUV GHVHUYH WR EH DZDUH
ZKHWKHUWKLVKDVEHHQWKHFDVHRUQRW
'RHVWKHFRPSOHWLRQRIDQDO)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\PHDQWKHUH
LV QR PRUH WHFKQLFDO ZRUN WR EH GRQH" ,V WKHUH QR IXUWKHU
GHQLWLRQ DQG UHVROXWLRQ RI WKH 5HVRXUFHV DQG 5HVHUYHV
UHTXLUHGRQFHDQDO)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\KDVEHHQFRPSOHWHG"
7KLVLVFHUWDLQO\QRWWKHFDVHIRUPRVWGHSRVLWV$0HDVXUHG
5HVRXUFH DQG 3URYHG 5HVHUYH GR QRW SURYLGH VXIFLHQW
GHWDLO IRU VKRUWWHUP PLQLQJ FRQWURO )XUWKHUPRUH DIWHU
FRPSOHWLRQRIDQDO)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\DSURMHFWVWLOOUHTXLUHV
DGGLWLRQDOGHWDLOLQWHUPVRIQDOHQJLQHHULQJGHVLJQGXULQJ
LWVGHYHORSPHQWVWDJHWRLPSURYHWKHDFFXUDF\DQGSUHFLVLRQ
RI WKH UHVXOWV IRU SODQQLQJ FRQWUDFWLQJ DQG FRQVWUXFWLRQ
SXUSRVHV ,Q WKH FDVH RI WKH 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH QDO
GHQLWLRQ GULOOLQJ DQG VDPSOLQJ DQG WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI
D SURWRW\SH VKRUWWHUP JUDGH FRQWURO PRGHO LV W\SLFDOO\
UHTXLUHGIRUWKHVWDUWXSPLQLQJDUHDVIROORZHGE\RQJRLQJ
JUDGHFRQWURO DFWLYLWLHV &OHDUO\ D 0HDVXUHG 5HVRXUFH DQG
3URYHG 5HVHUYH DUH QRW QHFHVVDULO\ DW WKH XOWLPDWH OHYHO RI
DFFXUDF\SUHFLVLRQDQGFRQGHQFHUHTXLUHGIRUUHOLDEOHVKRUW
WHUPPLQHSODQQLQJDQGVFKHGXOLQJ5HVLGXDOXQFHUWDLQW\DQG
ULVN DQG RSSRUWXQLW\ UHPDLQ DQG XOWLPDWHO\ LQIRUPDWLRQ
DERXW WKLV RSHUDWLQJ OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH LV WUDFNHG WKURXJK
WKHPLQHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQ0RUOH\
7KH LQWHUQDWLRQDO 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH UHSRUWLQJ FRGHV
LQFOXGLQJ WKH -25& &RGH GR QRW TXDQWLI\ WKH DFFXUDF\
SUHFLVLRQFRQGHQFHRUDVVRFLDWHGXQFHUWDLQW\ULVNH[SHFWHG
WR EH FRQYH\HG E\ WKH YDULRXV 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH
FDWHJRULHVDQGWHFKQLFDOVWXG\W\SHVKRZHYHUVRPHUXOHVRI
WKXPEIRUWKHOHYHOVRIDFFXUDF\H[SHFWHGIURPWKHWKUHHPDLQ
OHYHOVRIVWXG\DUHSUHVHQWHGLQ7DEOHDIWHU3DUVRQV
0F&DUWK\ 3LQFRFN %DUWRQ 0DFIDUODQH
Reporting and Converting Resources to Reserves How Confident Are We?|M A Nopp
+DWFK%XOORFN$$&(,QWHUQDWLRQDO
7KH OHYHOV RI DFFXUDF\ H[SUHVVHG DV FRQGHQFH LQWHUYDOV LQ
7DEOHGRQRWLQFOXGHWKHH[SHFWHGFRQGHQFHOHYHOVZKHUH
IRUH[DPSOHDSHUFHQWDFFXUDF\DWSHUFHQWFRQGHQFH
OLPLWVZRXOGPHDQWKHUHLVDRQHLQFKDQFHIRUWKHUHVXOWWR
EHOHVVWKDQSHUFHQWRIWKHHVWLPDWHDQGDRQHLQFKDQFH
LWPD\EHSHUFHQWKLJKHUWKDQWKHHVWLPDWH
TABLE 2
Rule-of-thumb confidence intervals for technical studies (90 per cent confidence).
Measure/item
Scoping Study
Pre-Feasibility
Study
Final Feasibility
Study
25 - 50%
15 - 25%
10 - 15%
30 - 50%
15 - 30%
<15%
<5%
<20%
<50%
Mostly Inferred
Mostly Indicated
Measured and
Indicated
None
Mostly Probable
Proved and
Probable
Assumed
General
Optimised
Mine design
None or high-level
conceptual
Preliminary mine
plan and schedule
Scheduling
Annual
approximation
Three-monthly to
annual
High
Medium
Low
Cost accuracy
Cost contingency
Proportion of
engineering
complete
Resource
categories
Reserve categories
Mining method
Risk tolerance
MINERAL RESOURCES
7KH -25& &RGH QRWHV WKDW ZLWK UHVSHFW WR D 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH
in discussing reasonable prospects for eventual economic
H[WUDFWLRQLQ&ODXVHWKH&RGHUHTXLUHVDQDVVHVVPHQW
(albeit preliminary) in respect of all matters likely to
LQXHQFHWKHSURVSHFWRIHFRQRPLFH[WUDFWLRQLQFOXGLQJWKH
approximate mining parameters by the Competent Person.
While a Scoping Study may provide the basis for that
DVVHVVPHQWWKH&RGHGRHVQRWUHTXLUHD6FRSLQJ6WXG\WR
have been completed to report a Mineral Resource.
7KH&RGHJRHVRQWRFODULI\WKDW
,QRWKHUZRUGVD0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHLVQRWDQLQYHQWRU\RI
DOO PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ GULOOHG RU VDPSOHG UHJDUGOHVV RI FXWRII
JUDGH OLNHO\ PLQLQJ GLPHQVLRQV ORFDWLRQ RU FRQWLQXLW\
,W LV D UHDOLVWLF LQYHQWRU\ RI PLQHUDOLVDWLRQ ZKLFK
XQGHU DVVXPHG DQG MXVWLDEOH WHFKQLFDO HFRQRPLF DQG
GHYHORSPHQWFRQGLWLRQVPLJKWLQZKROHRULQSDUWEHFRPH
economically extractable.
6RPH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVDUJXHWKDWLIWKHVHDSSUR[LPDWH
PLQLQJ SDUDPHWHUV DUH DSSOLHG ZKHQ HVWLPDWLQJ DQG
UHSRUWLQJD0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHWKHQWKLVLVHIIHFWLYHO\WKHVDPH
DV UHSRUWLQJ DQ 2UH 5HVHUYH +RZHYHU DV WKH IROORZLQJ
H[WUDFW IURP WKH -25& &RGH VKRZV WKH 0RGLI\LQJ
)DFWRUV IRU UHSRUWLQJ RI 5HVHUYHV DUH GHWHUPLQHG IURP DW
OHDVWD3UH)HDVLELOLW\OHYHORIVWXG\UDWKHUWKDQKDYLQJEHHQ
DSSUR[LPDWHG
&RQGHQFHLQWKH0HDVXUHG5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHLVVXIFLHQW
WR DOORZ DSSOLFDWLRQ RI 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV ZLWKLQ D
WHFKQLFDO DQG HFRQRPLF VWXG\ DV GHQHG LQ &ODXVHV WR
'HSHQGLQJXSRQWKHOHYHORIFRQGHQFHLQWKHYDULRXV
0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV LW PD\ EH FRQYHUWHG WR D 3URYHG 2UH
5HVHUYH KLJK FRQGHQFH LQ 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV 3UREDEOH
2UH 5HVHUYH VRPH XQFHUWDLQW\ LQ 0RGLI\LQJ )DFWRUV RU
PD\QRWEHFRQYHUWHGDWDOOORZRUQRFRQGHQFHLQVRPHRI
WKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVRUQRSODQWRPLQHHJSLOODUVLQDQ
underground mine or outside economic pit limits).
809
Cut-off parameters
7KHPHWDOOXUJLFDOSURFHVVSURSRVHGDQGWKHDSSURSULDWH
QHVVRIWKDWSURFHVVWRWKHVW\OHRIPLQHUDOLVDWLRQ
ZKHWKHU WKH PHWDOOXUJLFDO SURFHVV LV ZHOOWHVWHG
WHFKQRORJ\RUQRYHOLQQDWXUH
WKHQDWXUHDPRXQWDQGUHSUHVHQWDWLYHQHVVRIPHWDOOXUJLFDO
WHVW ZRUN XQGHUWDNHQ WKH QDWXUH RI WKH PHWDOOXUJLFDO
GRPDLQLQJ DSSOLHG DQG WKH FRUUHVSRQGLQJ PHWDOOXUJLFDO
UHFRYHU\IDFWRUVDSSOLHG
DQ\ DVVXPSWLRQV RU DOORZDQFHV PDGH IRU GHOHWHULRXV
HOHPHQWV
WKHH[LVWHQFHRIDQ\EXONVDPSOHRUSLORWVFDOHWHVWZRUN
DQG WKH GHJUHH WR ZKLFK VXFK VDPSOHV DUH FRQVLGHUHG
UHSUHVHQWDWLYHRIWKHRUHERG\DVDZKROH
IRUPLQHUDOVWKDWDUHGHQHGE\DVSHFLFDWLRQZKHWKHU
WKH 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ KDV EHHQ EDVHG RQ WKH
DSSURSULDWHPLQHUDORJ\WRPHHWWKHVSHFLFDWLRQV
Infrastructure
7KHH[LVWHQFHRIDSSURSULDWHLQIUDVWUXFWXUHDYDLODELOLW\RI
ODQGIRUSODQWGHYHORSPHQWSRZHUZDWHUWUDQVSRUWDWLRQ
SDUWLFXODUO\ IRU EXON FRPPRGLWLHV ODERXU DFFRPPR
GDWLRQ RU WKH HDVH ZLWK ZKLFK WKH LQIUDVWUXFWXUH FDQ EH
SURYLGHGRUDFFHVVHG
Costs
Revenue factors
Market assessment
7KHGHPDQGVXSSO\DQGVWRFNVLWXDWLRQIRUWKHSDUWLFXODU
FRPPRGLW\ FRQVXPSWLRQ WUHQGV DQG IDFWRUV OLNHO\ WR
DIIHFWVXSSO\DQGGHPDQGLQWRWKHIXWXUH
D FXVWRPHU DQG FRPSHWLWRU DQDO\VLV DORQJ ZLWK WKH
LGHQWLFDWLRQRIOLNHO\PDUNHWZLQGRZVIRUWKHSURGXFW
SULFHDQGYROXPHIRUHFDVWVDQGWKHEDVLVIRUWKHVHIRUHFDVWV
IRULQGXVWULDOPLQHUDOVWKHFXVWRPHUVSHFLFDWLRQWHVWLQJ
DQGDFFHSWDQFHUHTXLUHPHQWVSULRUWRDVXSSO\FRQWUDFW
Economic
Social
Environmental
Other
810
7KHVWDWXVRIVWXGLHVRISRWHQWLDOHQYLURQPHQWDOLPSDFWV
RIWKHPLQLQJDQGSURFHVVLQJRSHUDWLRQ
GHWDLOVRIZDVWHURFNFKDUDFWHULVDWLRQDQGWKHFRQVLGHUDWLRQ
RISRWHQWLDOVLWHVVWDWXVRIGHVLJQRSWLRQVFRQVLGHUHGDQG
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
7RWKHH[WHQWUHOHYDQWWKHLPSDFWRIWKHIROORZLQJRQWKH
SURMHFWDQGRURQWKHHVWLPDWLRQDQGFODVVLFDWLRQRIWKH
2UH5HVHUYHV
$Q\LGHQWLHGPDWHULDOQDWXUDOO\RFFXUULQJULVNV
Reporting and Converting Resources to Reserves How Confident Are We?|M A Nopp
7KHVWDWXVRIPDWHULDOOHJDODJUHHPHQWVDQGPDUNHWLQJ
DUUDQJHPHQWV
7KHVWDWXVRIJRYHUQPHQWDODJUHHPHQWVDQGDSSURYDOV
FULWLFDOWRWKHYLDELOLW\RIWKHSURMHFWVXFKDVPLQHUDO
WHQHPHQW VWDWXV DQG JRYHUQPHQW DQG VWDWXWRU\
DSSURYDOV 7KHUH PXVW EH UHDVRQDEOH JURXQGV WR
H[SHFW WKDW DOO QHFHVVDU\ JRYHUQPHQW DSSURYDOV ZLOO
EHUHFHLYHGZLWKLQWKHWLPHIUDPHVDQWLFLSDWHGLQWKH
3UH)HDVLELOLW\RU)HDVLELOLW\VWXG\7KHPDWHULDOLW\RI
DQ\ XQUHVROYHG PDWWHU WKDW LV GHSHQGHQW RQ D WKLUG
SDUW\RQZKLFKH[WUDFWLRQRIWKH5HVHUYHLVFRQWLQJHQW
VKRXOGEHKLJKOLJKWHGDQGGLVFXVVHG
$ IXUWKHU FRQVLGHUDWLRQ VWDWHG HOVHZKHUH LQ WKH &RGH LV
WKDW
2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHV>DQGLQGHHG0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV@DUH
sometimes reported after adjustment from reconciliation
with production data. Such adjustments should be clearly
stated in a Public Report of Ore Reserves and the nature of
WKHDGMXVWPHQWRUPRGLFDWLRQGHVFULEHG
)XUWKHU FRPPHQWDU\ LQ WKH &RGH DERXW WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH
HVWLPDWHVDQGUHSRUWHGUHVXOWVLQFOXGHVWKDW
$3UREDEOH2UH5HVHUYHKDVDORZHUOHYHORIFRQGHQFHWKDQ
D3URYHG2UH5HVHUYHEXWLVRIVXIFLHQWTXDOLW\WRVHUYHDV
the basis for a decision on the development of the deposit.
7KLVLVZK\VRPHSURMHFWQDQFLHUVUHO\RQWKHWRWDO5HVHUYH
UDWKHUWKDQQHFHVVDULO\WKHSURSRUWLRQRI3URYHGRU3UREDEOH
5HVHUYHVLQWKHLUDVVHVVPHQWVRISURMHFWULVN
)XUWKHU JXLGDQFH ZLWKLQ WKH -25& &RGH UHJDUGLQJ
UHOLDELOLW\RUFRQGHQFHLQUHSRUWLQJLQFOXGHVWKHIROORZLQJ
Where there are as yet unresolved issues potentially
LPSDFWLQJWKHUHOLDELOLW\RIRUFRQGHQFHLQDVWDWHPHQWRI
2UH5HVHUYHVIRUH[DPSOHOLPLWHGJHRWHFKQLFDOLQIRUPDWLRQ
FRPSOH[RUHERG\PHWDOOXUJ\XQFHUWDLQW\LQWKHSHUPLWWLQJ
SURFHVVHWFWKRVHXQUHVROYHGLVVXHVVKRXOGDOVREHUHSRUWHG
,IWKHUHLVGRXEWDERXWZKDWVKRXOGEHUHSRUWHGLWLVEHWWHU
to err on the side of providing too much information rather
than too little.
,Q WKH SUHDPEOH WR 7DEOH LQ WKH -25& &RGH WKH
SULQFLSOH RI PDWHULDOLW\ RI WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ ZLWK UHVSHFW WR
UHOLDELOLW\XQFHUWDLQW\RUFRQGHQFHLQUHSRUWLQJLVH[SODLQHG
DV
$V DOZD\V UHOHYDQFH DQG 0DWHULDOLW\ DUH RYHUULGLQJ
principles that determine what information should be
publicly reported and the Competent Person must provide
VXIFLHQW FRPPHQW RQ DOO PDWWHUV WKDW PLJKW PDWHULDOO\
DIIHFW D UHDGHUV XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RU LQWHUSUHWDWLRQ RI WKH
results or estimates being reported. This is particularly
important where inadequate or uncertain data affect the
UHOLDELOLW\ RI RU FRQGHQFH LQ D VWDWHPHQW RI ([SORUDWLRQ
Results or an estimate of Mineral Resources or Ore
Reserves.
7KH WRSLF RI UHOLDELOLW\ DFFXUDF\ SUHFLVLRQ RU FRQGHQFH
LQ WKH QDO UHSRUWLQJ DQG OHYHO RI VWXG\ VXSSRUWLQJ WKH
5HVRXUFHVDQG5HVHUYHVLVIXUWKHUDGGUHVVHGLQWKH&RGHDQG
7DEOHRIWKH-25&&RGH
Where appropriate a statement of the relative accuracy
DQGFRQGHQFHOHYHOLQWKH2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWHXVLQJDQ
approach or procedure deemed appropriate by the Competent
3HUVRQ )RU H[DPSOH WKH DSSOLFDWLRQ RI VWDWLVWLFDO RU
geostatistical procedures to quantify the relative accuracy
RIWKHUHVHUYHZLWKLQVWDWHGFRQGHQFHOLPLWVRULIVXFKDQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
811
DSSURDFKLVQRWGHHPHGDSSURSULDWHDTXDOLWDWLYHGLVFXVVLRQ
of the factors which could affect the relative accuracy and
FRQGHQFHRIWKHHVWLPDWH
$FFXUDF\ DQG FRQGHQFH GLVFXVVLRQV VKRXOG H[WHQG WR
VSHFLFGLVFXVVLRQVRIDQ\DSSOLHG0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVWKDW
PD\ KDYH D PDWHULDO LPSDFW RQ 2UH 5HVHUYH YLDELOLW\ RU
for which there are remaining areas of uncertainty at the
current study stage.
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV DUH HQFRXUDJHG ZKHUH DSSURSULDWH
WR GLVFXVV WKH UHODWLYH DFFXUDF\ DQG FRQGHQFH OHYHO RI
WKH 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH >RU 2UH 5HVHUYH@ HVWLPDWHV ZLWK
FRQVLGHUDWLRQRIDWOHDVWVDPSOLQJDQDO\WLFDODQGHVWLPDWLRQ
errors. The statement should specify whether it relates to
JOREDO RU ORFDO HVWLPDWHV DQG LI ORFDO VWDWH WKH UHOHYDQW
tonnage. Where a statement of the relative accuracy and
FRQGHQFHOHYHOLVQRWSRVVLEOHDTXDOLWDWLYHGLVFXVVLRQRI
the uncertainties should be provided in its place.
The application of the category of Proved Ore Reserve
LPSOLHV WKH KLJKHVW GHJUHH RI JHRORJLFDO WHFKQLFDO DQG
HFRQRPLF FRQGHQFH LQ WKH HVWLPDWH DW WKH OHYHO RI
production increments used to support mine planning and
SURGXFWLRQ VFKHGXOLQJ ZLWK FRQVHTXHQW H[SHFWDWLRQV LQ
the minds of the readers of the report. These expectations
should be considered when categorising a Mineral Resource
as Measured.
$WWHPSWV KDYH EHHQ PDGH E\ YDULRXV 5HVRXUFH DQG
5HVHUYH SUDFWLWLRQHUV WR SURYLGH VHPLTXDQWLWDWLYH DQG
TXDQWLWDWLYH JXLGHOLQHV IRU WKH FODVVLFDWLRQ RI 5HVRXUFHV
DQG 5HVHUYHV EDVHG XSRQ WKH SHUFHLYHG FRQGHQFH RU
SUHFLVLRQ RI WKH HVWLPDWHV :KLOH VRPH RI WKHVH DSSURDFKHV
DUHPRUHTXDOLWDWLYHLQQDWXUHEDVHGRQFRQVLGHUDWLRQRIDOO
WKHIDFWRUVWKDWPLJKWLPSDFWRQFRQGHQFHWKHUHKDYHDOVR
EHHQ D QXPEHU RI SURSRVDOV WKDW DUH PRUH TXDQWLWDWLYH IRU
H[DPSOHGHULYHGIURPWKHUHVXOWVRIJHRVWDWLVWLFDOFRQGLWLRQDO
VLPXODWLRQ VWXGLHV 0ZDVLQJD .KRVURZVKDKL DQG
6KDZ 6QRZGHQ *ODFNHQ DQG 1RSSp &OHDUO\
WKHUH DUH FRQWULEXWLQJ IDFWRUV WR 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH ULVN
WKDW DUH VRPHWLPHV LJQRUHG RU DUH GLIFXOW WR TXDQWLI\
LQFOXGLQJWKHJHRORJLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQEXONGHQVLW\FRQWDFW
GLOXWLRQHWF0DQ\RIWKHVHIDFWRUVDUHGHWDLOHGLQWKH-25&
&RGH 7DEOH DQG PHWKRGV IRU FRQVLGHULQJ KRZ WKH\ PD\
EH DVVHVVHG IRU FRQGHQFH DQG UHSRUWLQJ DUH H[SORUHG LQ
'RPLQ\1RSSpDQG$QQHOVZKLFKSUHVHQWVDUHYLHZ
RIWKHSRVVLEOHVRXUFHVRIHUURUWKDWPLJKWRFFXUGXULQJWKH
YDULRXVSKDVHVRIDQH[SORUDWLRQDQGHVWLPDWLRQSURJUDPDQG
ZKLFK DUH FDUULHG WKURXJK LQWR WKH 2UH 5HVHUYH DQG KHQFH
PLQHGHVLJQ
7KHXOWLPDWHRXWFRPHRIDQ\5HVRXUFHDQG5HVHUYHSURFHVV
DQGIHDVLELOLW\VWXG\SDWKLVWRVHFXUHIXQGLQJWRGHYHORSD
WHFKQLFDOO\DQGHFRQRPLFDOO\YLDEOHPLQH7KHQDO)HDVLELOLW\
6WXG\LVUHIHUUHGWRE\VRPHDVDEDQNDEOHVWXG\EHFDXVHLW
FDQEHXVHGWRVXSSRUWSURMHFWQDQFLQJE\FRPPHUFLDOEDQN
ORDQIDFLOLWLHVRURWKHUIRUPVRIQDQFLQJ6RZKDWDFFXUDF\
SUHFLVLRQ DQG OHYHO RI FRQGHQFH GR WKH QDQFLHUV UHTXLUH"
3DUNHUKDVQRWHGWKDWWKHUVWUXOHLVWKHUHDUHQRULJLG
VWDQGDUGV RQO\ JXLGHOLQHV VRPH OHQGHUV DUH YHU\ OLEHUDO
DQGRWKHUVFRQVHUYDWLYH3DUNHUKDVDOVRFRPPHQWHGRQWKH
DFFXUDF\RI)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\RXWFRPHVWRVD\WKDW
DOWKRXJK WKH UHODWLYH ZLGWK RI WKH FRQGHQFH LQWHUYDO
LV GHQHG WKH FRQGHQFH OHYHO LV QRW RIWHQ PHQWLRQHG RU
DFFXUDWHO\TXDQWLDEOHEHFDXVHQRWZRSURMHFWVDUHH[DFWO\
alike.
812
Reporting and Converting Resources to Reserves How Confident Are We?|M A Nopp
LQWKHVDVWXG\RI$XVWUDOLDQJROGPLQHVIRXQG
WKDWSHUFHQWIDLOHGWRGHOLYHUWKHSODQQHGKHDGJUDGH
%XUPHLVWHU
D UHYLHZ RI QHDUO\ 1RUWK $PHULFDQ SURMHFWV VKRZHG
WKDW RQO\ WHQ SHU FHQW DFKLHYHG WKHLU FRPPHUFLDO DLPV
ZLWKSHUFHQWIDLOLQJZLWKLQDERXWRQH\HDU+DUTXDLO
D VWXG\ RI WKH VWDUWXS SHUIRUPDQFH RI QLQH $XVWUDOLDQ
XQGHUJURXQG EDVH PHWDO PLQHV IRXQG WKDW RQO\ SHU
FHQW DFKLHYHG GHVLJQ WKURXJKSXW E\ <HDU DQG SHU
FHQWQHYHUDFKLHYHGLWDWDOO:DUGDQG0F&DUWK\
D8QLWHG6WDWHVVWXG\FRPSDULQJWKHQDO)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
SURGXFWLRQ UDWH ZLWK WKH DYHUDJH VXVWDLQHG SURGXFWLRQ
UDWHIURPVWHHSO\GLSSLQJWDEXODUGHSRVLWVIRXQGWKDW
SHU FHQW RI WKH PLQHV GLG QRW DFKLHYH WKHLU SODQQHG
SURGXFWLRQUDWH7DWPDQ
7KHUH KDYH EHHQ D IHZ UHFHQW FRPSDQ\ SXEOLF
DQQRXQFHPHQWV ZKHUH WKH 5HVRXUFH 5HVHUYH DQG VWXG\
OHYHO KDYH SUHVHQWHG WKH SURMHFW LQ WKH LQFRUUHFW FRQWH[W RI
WKHH[SHFWHGULVNDQGOHYHORIPDWXULW\RIWKHSURMHFW,QRQH
H[DPSOHDFRPSDQ\VUHSRUWHG'HQLWLYH)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\
DQG LWV QDQFLDO SURMHFW RXWFRPHV ZHUH TXHVWLRQHG E\ WKH
$XVWUDOLDQ 6HFXULWLHV DQG ,QYHVWPHQWV &RPPLVVLRQ 7KH
FRPSDQ\ VXEVHTXHQWO\ GRZQJUDGHG WKH OHYHO RI VWXG\ WR D
)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\EXWRQHIRUZKLFKQR2UH5HVHUYHVZHUH
UHSRUWHGDQGZKHUHLWZDVDFNQRZOHGJHGWKDWWKH5HVRXUFHV
ZHUHVWLOOWREHXSGDWHGEHIRUHWKHVWXG\FRXOGEHFRPSOHWHG
DQG2UH5HVHUYHVDFWXDOO\GHQHG6RLQHIIHFWWKHRULJLQDO
DQG UHYLVHG FRPSDQ\ VWDWHPHQW VHHPV PRUH FRUUHFWO\ WR
CONCLUSIONS
5HVRXUFH GHYHORSPHQW DQG PLQLQJ LV DQ LQKHUHQWO\ ULVN\
EXVLQHVV 2UH 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ LV QRW VLPSO\ D PHDVXUH
RIPD[LPXPQHWSUHVHQWYDOXHRUUHWXUQRQLQYHVWPHQWEXW
LQYROYHV D WKRURXJK DVVHVVPHQW RI WKH UHOHYDQW 0RGLI\LQJ
)DFWRUV DW OHDVW WR D 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ OHYHO WR VDWLVI\ D UDQJH
RI EXVLQHVV REMHFWLYHV ERWK TXDQWLWDWLYH DQG TXDOLWDWLYH
8QFHUWDLQW\ DQG HUURUV LQ 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWHV
UHPDLQ D PDMRU UHDVRQ IRU WKH HFRQRPLF IDLOXUH RI PLQLQJ
SURMHFWV 7KH DSSUHFLDWLRQ DQG FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI WKLV
XQFHUWDLQW\LVFULWLFDOIRUUHDOLVWLFSURMHFWUHSRUWLQJSODQQLQJ
DQGULVNDYHUVLRQ
,WPXVWEHUHFRJQLVHGWKDWWZRGHSRVLWVFDQKDYHWKHVDPH
UHSRUWHG 5HVHUYHV DQG WKH VDPH H[SHFWHG PLQLQJ FRVWV EXW
KDYHDYHU\GLIIHUHQWQDQFLDODWWUDFWLYHQHVVVROHO\DVDUHVXOW
RI GLIIHUHQW GHJUHHV RI FHUWDLQW\ LQKHUHQW LQ WKHLU 5HVRXUFH
DQG 5HVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ ,W VKRXOG EH VWDQGDUG SUDFWLFH WR
FDUU\RXWDIXOOULVNDQDO\VLVLQFOXGLQJDGHWDLOHGDVVHVVPHQW
RI DOO VRXUFHV RI HUURU DV DQ LQWHJUDO SDUW RI UHSRUWLQJ DQ\
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHRU2UH5HVHUYH)RU5HVRXUFHUHSRUWVWKLV
ZLOOLQFOXGHDOOWHFKQLFDOVRXUFHVRIHUURUZKLOHIRU5HVHUYHV
WKLV ZLOO DOVR LQFOXGH HFRQRPLF VRFLDO HQYLURQPHQWDO DQG
LQIUDVWUXFWXUH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUVDVDQLQWHJUDOSDUWRIWKHULVN
DQDO\VLV7KHDLPLVWRSURYLGHDGHJUHHRITXDQWLFDWLRQRI
WKHULVNLQWKHUHSRUWHGHVWLPDWHWRDOORZIRUEHWWHUGHFLVLRQ
PDNLQJE\5HVRXUFHSURMHFWVWDNHKROGHUVVXFKDVSODQQHUV
RSHUDWRUVDQGLQYHVWRUV'RPLQ\1RSSpDQG$QQHOV
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV VKRXOG VWULYH WR EHWWHU SUHVHQW WKH
WHFKQLFDO ULVN DQG XQFHUWDLQW\ DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK 5HVRXUFH
SURMHFWV LQ WKH FRQWH[W RI SURMHFW PDWXULW\ WR SURYLGH PRUH
FRQVLVWHQW DQG EDODQFHG YLHZV RI FRQGHQFH ULVN DQG
RSSRUWXQLWLHV IRU ERWK LQWHUQDO DQG H[WHUQDO VWDNHKROGHUV
UHO\LQJ RQ WKLV UHSRUWHG LQIRUPDWLRQ 7KH -25& &RGH
SURYLGHV H[WHQVLYH JXLGDQFH RQ WKH WRSLFV WR EH DVVHVVHG
KRZHYHU &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV QHHG WR VWHS XS DQG GHOLYHU
WKHLQFUHDVHGWUDQVSDUHQF\WKDWWKRVHUHO\LQJRQWKHUHSRUWHG
GDWDUHTXLUH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
:KLOH WKH YLHZV H[SUHVVHG LQ WKLV SDSHU DUH WKRVH RI WKH
DXWKRU WKHVH RSLQLRQV KDYH EHHQ GHYHORSHG WKURXJK WKH
ZLVGRP VKDUHG E\ PDQ\ H[SHULHQFHG UHVRXUFH DQG PLQLQJ
SURIHVVLRQDOVRYHUWKH\HDUV,QSDUWLFXODU,DPLQGHEWHGWR
P\FORVHFROOHDJXHVLQ;VWUDFW0LQLQJ&RQVXOWDQWVZKRKDYH
DOZD\VEHHQZLOOLQJWRFKDOOHQJHPHZLWKWKHEHQHWRIWKHLU
LQGLYLGXDODQGFROOHFWLYHH[SHULHQFH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
813
REFERENCES
$$&( ,QWHUQDWLRQDO &RVW HVWLPDWH FODVVLFDWLRQ V\VWHP DV
DSSOLHG LQ WKH PLQLQJ DQG PLQHUDO SURFHVVLQJ LQGXVWULHV S
$$&( ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 5HFRPPHQGHG 3UDFWLFH 1R 5 5HY
-XO\$$&(,QWHUQDWLRQDO0RUJDQWRZQ:HVW9LUJLQLD
%DUWRQ-3HUVRQDOFRPPXQLFDWLRQ
%XOORFN5/$FFXUDF\RIIHDVLELOLW\VWXG\HYDOXDWLRQVZRXOG
LPSURYHDFFRXQWDELOLW\Mining Engineering$SULOSS
%XUPHLVWHU%%)URPUHVRXUFHWRUHDOLW\DFULWLFDOUHYLHZRIWKH
DFKLHYHPHQWVRIQHZ$XVWUDOLDQJROGPLQLQJSURMHFWVGXULQJWKH
SHULRG-DQXDU\WR6HSWHPEHU06FWKHVLVXQSXEOLVKHG
0DFTXDULH8QLYHUVLW\
'RPLQ\ 6 & 1RSSp 0 $ DQG $QQHOV $ ( (UURUV DQG
XQFHUWDLQW\LQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYHHVWLPDWLRQWKH
LPSRUWDQFHRIJHWWLQJLWULJKWExplor Mining Geol
+DUTXDLO ' ,QYHVWLQJ LQ MXQLRU PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV LQ
Proceedings Sixth Mineral Economics Symposium of CIM&DQDGLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJ0HWDOOXUJ\DQG3HWUROHXP0RQWUHDO
+DWFK +DWFK SURMHFW OLIHF\FOH SURFHVV DV DSSOLHG WR ZLQG
SRZHU SURMHFWV S SUHVHQWHG WR :LQG 3RZHU $IULFD
&RQIHUHQFHE\5D\.DYDQDJK+DWFK$IULFD(QHUJ\0D\
&DSH7RZQ
.KRVURZVKDKL 6 DQG 6KDZ : - &RQGLWLRQDO VLPXODWLRQ IRU
UHVRXUFHFKDUDFWHUL]DWLRQDQGJUDGHFRQWUROLQMineral Resource
and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
HG $ & (GZDUGV SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI
0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
/DZUHQFH0-&RQVLGHUDWLRQVLQYDOXLQJ,QIHUUHG5HVRXUFHV
in 3URFHHGLQJV 9$/0,1 6HPLQDU 6HULHV SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
/LOIRUG ( / $GYDQFHG PHWKRGRORJLHV IRU PLQHUDO SURMHFW
YDOXDWLRQ$,*%XOOHWLQ1R$XVWUDOLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI*HRVFLHQWLVWV
3HUWK
0DFIDUODQH $ /HYHUDJLQJ WKH ERWWRP OLQH RI \RXU PLQLQJ
EXVLQHVVWKURXJKHIIHFWLYHPDQDJHPHQWRIWKH0LQHUDO5HVRXUFH
in 3URFHHGLQJV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH 0DQDJHPHQW &RQIHUHQFH
SS 6RXWKHUQ $IULFDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0DUVKDOOWRZQ
814
0DFNHQ]LH:DQG&XVZRUWK17KHXVHDQGDEXVHRIIHDVLELOLW\
VWXGLHV LQ 3URFHHGLQJV 3URMHFW (YDOXDWLRQ SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0F&DUWK\ 3 / 0DQDJLQJ WHFKQLFDO ULVN IRU PLQH IHDVLELOLW\
VWXGLHV LQ Proceedings Mining Risk Management SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
0F.LEEHQ--3HUVRQDOFRPPXQLFDWLRQ
0RUOH\&%H\RQGUHFRQFLOLDWLRQDSURDFWLYHDSSURDFKWRXVLQJ
PLQLQJGDWDLQ3URFHHGLQJV)LIWK/DUJH2SHQ3LW0LQLQJ&RQIHUHQFH
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
0ZDVLQJD 3 3 $SSURDFKLQJ UHVRXUFH FODVVLFDWLRQ JHQHUDO
SUDFWLFHV DQG WKH LQWHJUDWLRQ RI JHRVWDWLVWLFV LQ &RPSXWHU
$SSOLFDWLRQVLQWKH0LQHUDOV,QGXVWULHVHGV+;LH<:DQJDQG
<-LDQJSS/LVVH1HZ<RUN
3DUNHU+3HUVRQDOFRPPXQLFDWLRQ
3DUVRQV ( / -U :DVWH PDQDJHPHQW SURMHFW FRQWLQJHQF\
DQDO\VLV S &HQWUH IRU $FTXLVLWLRQ DQG %XVLQHVV ([FHOOHQFH
86 'HSDUWPHQW RI (QHUJ\ )HGHUDO (QHUJ\ 7HFKQRORJ\ &HQWUH
3LWWVEXUJK3HQQV\OYDQLD5HSRUW'2()(7&
3LQFRFN )HDVLELOLW\ VWXG\ GRHV QRW PHDQ IHDVLEOH Pincock
Perspectives$XJXVWS3LQFRFN$OOHQ+ROW3W\/LPLWHG
6QRZGHQ'9*ODFNHQ,DQG1RSSp0'HDOLQJZLWKGHPDQGV
RI WHFKQLFDO YDULDELOLW\ DQG XQFHUWDLQW\ DORQJ WKH PLQH YDOXH
FKDLQ LQ Proceedings Value Tracking Symposium SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
7DWPDQ & 5 3URGXFWLRQ UDWH VHOHFWLRQ IRU VWHHSO\ GLSSLQJ
WDEXODUGHSRVLWVMining Engineering2FWREHUSS
9$/0,1 &RPPLWWHH &RGH IRU WKH 7HFKQLFDO $VVHVVPHQW
DQG 9DOXDWLRQ RI 0LQHUDO DQG 3HWUROHXP $VVHWV DQG 6HFXULWLHV
IRU ,QGHSHQGHQW ([SHUW 5HSRUWV 7KH 9$/0,1 &RGH >RQOLQH@
$YDLODEOH IURPKWWSZZZYDOPLQRUJ! >$FFHVVHG 0D\
@
:DUG ' - DQG 0F&DUWK\ 3 / 6WDUWXS SHUIRUPDQFH RI QHZ
EDVHPHWDOSURMHFWVLQ$GGLQJ9DOXHWRWKH&DUSHQWDULD0LQHUDO
3URYLQFH0W,VD4OGAustralian Journal of Mining$SULO
HOME
1. Head of Mining Development, Project Manager, IMC-Montan, Building 4, 22 Chayanova Street, Moscow, Russia. Email: [email protected]
2. Director, IMC-Montan, Building 4, 22 Chayanova Street, Moscow, Russia. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KH 5XVVLDQ &RQVWLWXWLRQ VSHFLFDOO\ QRWHV WKDW D OHJDF\
RI WKH IRUPHU 8665 LV WKH VXEVXUIDFH RZQHUVKLS RI UDZ
FRPPRGLWLHV EHLQJ D VWDWH PRQRSRO\ )RU WKLV UHDVRQ WKH
V\VWHP WKDW FRQWUROV WKH XVH RI 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV HQVXUHV
WKDWUHVRXUFHVDUHH[SORLWHGIRUWKHPD[LPXPEHQHWRIWKH
QDWLRQ7KLVDSSURDFKKDVOHGWRGHYHORSLQJGRFXPHQWVWKDW
KDYH KLVWRULFDOO\ EHHQ UHJXODWHG E\ ODZ +HQFH WKH UHVHUYH
DQGUHVRXUFHUHSRUWLQJV\VWHPLQ5XVVLDLVQRWRQO\FRPSOH[
EXW DOVR UREXVW 7KLV LV ODUJHO\ GXH WR PLQLQJ DFWLYLWLHV
W\SLFDOO\ EHLQJ FRPSOLFDWHG DQG KD]DUGRXV RSHUDWLRQV
UHTXLULQJ HVVHQWLDO SUHFRQVWUXFWLRQ GHVLJQ DQG SHUPLW
GRFXPHQWVEHIRUHPLQHEXLOGLQJFDQFRPPHQFH
$V WKH 5XVVLDQ HFRQRP\ KDV LQWHJUDWHG JOREDOO\ DQG
DWWUDFWHG IRUHLJQ LQYHVWPHQW WR WKH PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ LW KDV
EHFRPH YLWDO WR XQGHUVWDQG KRZ WKH 5XVVLDQ UHVHUYH DVVHVV
PHQW V\VWHP RSHUDWHV DQG KRZ 5XVVLDQ DQG LQWHUQDWLRQDOO\
DFFHSWHG FRGHV FRPSDUH $OWKRXJK WKHUH DUH VRPH PDMRU
GLIIHUHQFHV WKH RYHUDOO VLPLODULWLHV DUH PRUH SURPLQHQW 7KLV
LVVXSSRUWHGE\&5,56&2V&RPELQHG5HVHUYHV,QWHUQDWLRQDO
5HSRUWLQJ 6WDQGDUGV &RPPLWWHH DFFHSWDQFH RI 5XVVLDV
PHPEHUVKLS LQ WKH XPEUHOOD RUJDQLVDWLRQ IRU ZHOO
NQRZQ VWDQGDUGV VXFK DV -25& DQG 1, 7KH 5XVVLDQ
QDWLRQDO FRGH WKH 1$(1 &RGH KDV QRZ EHHQ GHYHORSHG
E\ WKH 6RFLHW\ RI ([SHUWV RQ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV 2(51 D
FRPSRQHQWERG\RI1$(1LQFORVHFRRSHUDWLRQZLWKWKH6WDWH
&RPPLVVLRQ RQ 5HVHUYHV *.= DQG PHPEHUV RI &5,56&2
&5,56&21$(17KH1$(1&RGHLVPRGHOOHGYHU\
FORVHO\XSRQWKH&5,56&23XEOLF5HSRUWLQJ7HPSODWH
7KLV SDSHU DGGUHVVHV VSHFLF IHDWXUHV RI GRFXPHQW
SUHSDUDWLRQDQGGHVLJQLQ5XVVLDDQGFRPSDUHVWKHUHVXOWV
ZLWKLQWHUQDWLRQDOVWDQGDUGV7KHVHVWXGLHVDUHEDVHGRQWKH
H[WHQVLYHZRUNLQJH[SHULHQFHRI,0&0RQWDQLQ5XVVLDVLQFH
LWVHVWDEOLVKPHQW
815
2QHRIWKHSULPDU\GHVLJQGRFXPHQWVLVIRUWKHJHRORJLFDO
H[SORUDWLRQVWDJHZKLFKVKRXOGEHDXWKRULVHGE\WKHVSHFLDO
VXEGLYLVLRQ RI WKH 0LQLVWU\ RI 1DWXUDO 5HVRXUFHV RI 5XVVLD
FDOOHG5RVQHGUD*HRORJLFDOH[SORUDWLRQLVVXHVDQGJHQHUDO
SULQFLSOHVRIWKHUHVRXUFHDVVHVVPHQWDUHDGGUHVVHGLQPRUH
GHWDLOLQDSDSHUE\$UGHQDQG7YHUGRYLQWKLVYROXPH
ZKLFKLVUHFRPPHQGHGIRUPRUHLQVLJKW$VXPPDU\RIWKH
UHVHUYHVDVVHVVPHQWSDWKZD\LVJLYHQLQ)LJXUH
0DQ\ FRPSDQLHV XVH SLORW PLQLQJ VLWHV DV SDUW RI WKH
JHRORJLFDO H[SORUDWLRQ SURJUDP VLQFH LW HQDEOHV WKHP WR
VWXG\ WKH PLQHUDO SURSHUWLHV DQG GHSRVLW FKDUDFWHULVWLFV LQ
PRUH GHWDLO DQG VSHHG XS PLQH FRQVWUXFWLRQ $Q HOHFWURQLF
GDWDEDVH RI GULOO KROHV LV DOVR FUHDWHG LQ WKH FRXUVH RI
JHRORJLFDOH[SORUDWLRQZKLFKRQFHYHULHGVHUYHVDVWKHEDVLV
IRUJHRORJLFDOPRGHOOLQJRIWKHGHSRVLW
$FFRUGLQJ WR WKH 5XVVLDQ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH FODVVLFDWLRQ
V\VWHP LQ WHUPV RI JHRORJLFDO NQRZOHGJH UHVHUYHV
UHVRXUFHVDUHFODVVLHGLQWKHIROORZLQJFDWHJRULHV1
2 UHVHUYHVDQG313233SURJQRVWLFUHVRXUFHV*HRORJLFDO
NQRZOHGJHLVIURPFDWHJRU\WRFDWHJRU\337HFKQLFDODQG
(FRQRPLF-XVWLFDWLRQ7(2RI0LQLQJ3DUDPHWHUVVKRXOGEH
GHYHORSHGIRUWKHFRPSDQ\WRMXVWLI\FXWRIISDUDPHWHUVDQG
IRU12UHVHUYHVWREHDSSURYHGDQGUHFRUGHGRQWKH
VWDWHLQYHQWRU\
7KH 7(2 RI 0LQLQJ 3DUDPHWHUV LV GHYHORSHG XSRQ
FRPSOHWLQJ DOO JHRORJLFDO H[SORUDWLRQ DFWLYLWLHV ,W LV D
GRFXPHQWWKDWDGGUHVVHVDOOPLQLQJSDUDPHWHUVDQGPLQHUDO
GHSRVLW VLWH GHYHORSPHQW LQ D FRPSUHKHQVLYH PDQQHU
DQG LV FRQVLGHUHG UHDVRQDEOH IURP WKH VWDWH DXWKRULWLHV
YLHZSRLQW ,Q WHUPV RI WKH OHYHO RI GHWDLO DQG UDQJH RI
LVVXHV FRYHUHG WKLV GRFXPHQW LV VLPLODU WR LQWHUQDWLRQDO
3UH)HDVLELOLW\RU)HDVLELOLW\6WXG\GRFXPHQWVGHSHQGLQJ
RQWKHTXDOLW\RIVWXGLHV2QFHWKHPLQLQJSDUDPHWHUVDUH
DSSURYHG WKH UHVHUYHV DUH HVWLPDWHG ZLWK WKH UHVHUYHV
VWDWHPHQW WR EH DXWKRULVHG E\ *.= 6WDWH &RPPLWWHH
IRU 5HVHUYHV ,Q WHUPV RI WKH HFRQRPLF VLJQLFDQFH
IRU H[WUDFWLRQ WKH UHVHUYHV DUH EURNHQ GRZQ LQWR EHLQJ
HFRQRPLF EDODQFH DQG SRWHQWLDOO\ HFRQRPLF RXWRI
EDODQFH 0LQH GHVLJQ GRFXPHQWV ZLOO EH SURGXFHG RQO\
IRU12EDODQFHUHVHUYHFDWHJRULHV
7KH EDODQFH UHVHUYHV GR QRW WDNH DFFRXQW RI ORVVHV :KHQ
ORVVHVDUHDFFRXQWHGIRUindustrialUHVHUYHVFDQEHVHSDUDWHG
ZLWKLQWKHEDODQFHUHVHUYHV+HQFHWKHVXIFLHQWO\GHWDLOHG
WHFKQRORJLFDOVWXGLHVRIGHSRVLWGHYHORSPHQWDQGHFRQRPLF
HYDOXDWLRQ KDYH DOUHDG\ EHHQ XQGHUWDNHQ DW WKH 0LQLQJ
3DUDPHWHUV DSSURYDO VWDJH )LJXUH 7HFKQLFDO DQG
WHFKQRORJLFDO VROXWLRQV SURYLGHG LQ WKHVH GRFXPHQWV DUH
FRQVLGHUHGIRUGHYHORSLQJWKHPLQHFRQVWUXFWLRQGHVLJQDQG
DUHRIWHQLQFOXGHGDVVHSDUDWHFKDSWHUV
8QOLNHWKH7(2RI0LQLQJ3DUDPHWHUVWKHPLQHFRQVWUXFWLRQ
GHVLJQ LV FXOWLYDWHG WR DGGUHVV DQ\ GHSRVLW GHYHORSPHQW
LVVXHV LQ VWULFW FRPSOLDQFH ZLWK WKH YDOLG VWDQGDUGV UXOHV
DQG QDWLRQDO ODZV 7KH PLQH GHVLJQ DGGUHVVHV WKH LVVXHV RI
PHFKDQLVDWLRQFRQVWUXFWLRQVDIHW\DQGRWKHUPLQLQJDVSHFWV
LQPRUHGHWDLO$QLQWHUQDWLRQDODQDORJXHRIWKHPLQHGHVLJQ
LVWKH'HWDLOHG(QJLQHHULQJ6WXG\
FIG 1 - Simplified framework of resource/reserve assessment in Russia and Commonwealth of Independent States countries (from Arden and Tverdov, 2014).
816
DESIGN ISSUES
,QJHQHUDO5XVVLDQDQGLQWHUQDWLRQDOGHVLJQSUDFWLFHVDGGUHVV
WKHVDPHLVVXHV7KHVHFRPSULVHVHYHUDODVSHFWVLQFOXGLQJWKH
OHJDO IUDPHZRUN WHFKQLFDO WRSLFV KHDOWK DQG VDIHW\ LVVXHV
HFRQRPLFPDWWHUVRYHUDOOLQIUDVWUXFWXUHLVVXHVDQGVRFLDODQG
HQYLURQPHQWDOFRQFHUQV
,Q 5XVVLD SURMHFW HYDOXDWLRQ VKRXOG FRYHU WKH OHJDO
LQFOXGLQJHQYLURQPHQWDOWHFKQLFDOHFRQRPLFDQGQDQFLDO
DVSHFWVRIPLQLQJSURMHFWV$OODVSHFWVDUHFRQVLGHUHGDWHDFK
VWDJH RI GHSRVLW GHYHORSPHQW ZLWK DQ LQFUHDVLQJ OHYHO RI
GHWDLO ,W VKRXOG EH QRWHG WKDW UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU XSJUDGLQJ
RSHUDWLQJ IDFLOLWLHV DQG GHYHORSLQJ D QHZ GHSRVLW FDQ EH
PDUNHGO\GLIIHUHQW,QWKHODWWHUFDVHWKHULVNVDUHKLJKHUDQG
UHTXLUHXQGHUWDNLQJPRUHGHWDLOHGVWXGLHVEHIRUHDGHFLVLRQ
RQLQYHVWPHQWIHDVLELOLW\FDQEHWDNHQ
7R FRPSO\ ZLWK 5XVVLDQ ODZV PLQH FRQVWUXFWLRQ GHVLJQ
VKRXOGHQVXUHWKHIROORZLQJ
TABLE 1
Comparison of design documents.
International formata
Russian format
b
Development period
Scoping Study
2 - 3 months
Up to 50 and higher
Pre-Feasibility Study
5 - 8 months
25 - 40
Feasibility Study
9 - 12 months
10 - 15
Detailed Engineering
Less than 10
a. The comparison of the Russian and international formats largely depends on the quality and the detail level of documents. The documents cannot be considered exact equivalents.
b. The detail level depends on the quality of the document preparation.
TED technical and economic report; TEP technical and economic proposals; TEO technical and economic justification; TER technical and economic estimations; TES technical and economic comparison.
817
Legal matters
7KHOHJDODVSHFWLQFOXGHVWKHLVVXHVRIODQGPDQDJHPHQWDQG
OLFHQVLQJLQ5XVVLDLWDOVRLQFOXGHVDSSURYDORIWKHUHVHUYHVDW
*.=DQGWKHH[SHUWUHYLHZRIWKHSURMHFW7KHSURMHFWVKRXOG
DGGUHVVYDOLGFRQVWUXFWLRQDQGHQYLURQPHQWDOUHTXLUHPHQWV
DQGVKRXOGLQFOXGHDQHQYLURQPHQWDOVHFWLRQ$FFRUGLQJZLWK
YDOLG5XVVLDQOHJDOUHTXLUHPHQWVLVFHUWLHGLQWKHVWDWHPHQW
RIWKHVWDWHH[SHUWUHYLHZDXWKRULW\
Tailings
Hydrogeology
Infrastructure
Rock mechanics
General information.
Processing tests (laboratory studies), prediction of the principal processing Detailed ore processing studies (full scale and pilot tests), prediction of the
parameters and quality of the saleable products.
principal processing parameters and quality of the saleable products for
various ore types.
12 - 16 months
and geological modelling. Potential losses and dilution are estimated. The
delineation of the mineable reserves is based on the detailed analysis.
General information.
5 - 12 months
3 - 5 months
TED, TEP
Time frame
Area of studies
TABLE 2
Details of design documents.
819
820
Area of studies
Scheduling
Mining equipment
Environment protection
The forecast of the amount and quality of the saleable products by years of
operation.
Mining schedule with the estimation of the production output, the scope of
stripping (roadways drivage and development) and the ore quality.
Mine ventilation layout. The detailed degassing and gas control layout.
All key parameters of drilling and blasting (hole spacing, specific consumption,
drilling depth, etc). Estimation of safe distances, etc.
Justified mining schedule with the estimation of the production output, the
scope of stripping (roadways drivage and development) and the ore quality.
Preliminary data on the gas make and air quality control Development of degassing actions. Estimation of the air amount in the mine.
actions.
Principal parameters of
workings
Mine layout for various stages. Scheduling of development by years and stages.
Processing
TED, TEP
Dumping
TABLE 2
Cont
Civil defence
Project risks
The major project viability parameters (internal rate of return, net present
value, terminal value, payback period, etc).
The marketing studies are focused on the saleable products and market
segments, including a detailed saleable product price forecast.
The cash flow model includes the estimation of revenues, capital and operating
expenditures, taxes, depreciation, sustaining expenditures.
Taxes estimation.
The major costs of the capital construction targets and equipment are based on
the latest prices of the material and equipment manufacturers.
Capital and operating expenditures are adjusted as much as possible for the
conditions of the construction site and mining operations.
All principal risks are identified, taken into account in the course of designing
and indicated.
Detailed justification of the general and mining losses, based on the regulatory
documents.
Draft justification of the general and mining losses, based on the regulatory
documents.
Comprehensive civil defence measures, protection against natural and maninduced phenomena and emergencies.
Notes: TED technical and economic report; TEP technical and economic proposals; TEO technical and economic justification; TER technical and economic estimations; TES Technical and economic comparison.
Marketing review.
TED, TEP
Human resources
Area of studies
TABLE 2
Cont
821
TABLE 3
Topics included in the design documents.
Section
Explanatory note
Terms of reference for designing, findings of the engineering studies, entitlement documents for the capital construction target if the design
documents are developed for the upgrading or the overhaul repair of the capital construction target, data on the capital construction targets
needs in fuel, gas, water and power, data on the design capacity, data on the resource base, technical and economic parameters of the
designed capital construction targets.
Parameters of the land plot allocated for the capital construction target, geodetic conditions, justification of the boundaries of the sanitary
and protection zones of capital construction targets, justification of the land plot layout, description of the plot levelling and improvement,
general layout plan, etc
Architectural concept
Justification of the structural and spatial concepts and architectural solutions, description and justification of the interior and exterior of the
capital construction target, protection of premises against noise, vibration and other impacts, etc
Data on topographic, engineering, geological, hydrogeological, meteorological and weather conditions of the land plot, data on the specific
natural and weather conditions of the area where the capital construction target land plot is located, data on the strength and deformation
of the soil at the basement of the capital construction target, groundwater level and chemical composition, description and justification of
the structural concepts of buildings and facilities, including spatial layouts used for the structural designing, floor plans of the buildings and
facilities, typical cross-sections, etc.
Characteristics of the capital construction target location area and construction conditions, data on the potential local workforce, description
of the specific features of the work undertaken at the operating facility, justification of the organisational and technological process charts,
which set the sequence of construction and development operations, proposals on quality control of construction and assembly work, etc.
Section is included if it is necessary to demolish/dismantle the capital construction target or its part. It should contain the justification for
development of the plan for demolition or dismantling of buildings, structures and facilities, the list of activities for decommissioning of
buildings, structures and facilities, description of activities for removal and utilisation of waste, process charts and sequence of demolition/
dismantling actions.
Environmental activities
Environmental impact assessment of the capital construction target, the list of activities for mitigation of the potential adverse
environmental impact, pollutants concentrations estimates, justification of solutions for waste water treatment, protection of air against
emissions, subsoil resources protection, maps, diagrams and tables showing the air pollution, etc.
Fire safety
Description of the fire safety system, justification of the fire safety distances between buildings, justification and description of design
solutions for ensuring personnel safety in case of fire, description and justification of the plan for evacuation of people and material resources
in case of fire, etc.
The section should contain the narrative part (explanatory note) and the cost estimates, the list of estimate standards, reference books
and catalogues used for estimation of the construction costs, the name of the contractor (if any), justification of the specific features of the
construction cost estimation for the capital construction target.
7KHRXWFRPHRIWKHH[SHUWUHYLHZLVDVWDWHPHQWDSSURYLQJ
RUGLVDSSURYLQJWKDWWKHGHVLJQGRFXPHQWVFRPSO\ZLWKWKH
UHTXLUHPHQWVRIWKHRSHUDWLQJSURFHGXUHVQRUPV*267VWDWH
VWDQGDUGV *RVXGDUVWYHQL\ 6WDQGDUW RU WHFKQLFDO QRUPV
HVWDEOLVKHGE\WKH(XUR$VLDQ&RXQFLOIRU6WDQGDUGL]DWLRQ
VDIHW\UXOHVVXEVRLOUHVRXUFHVSURWHFWLRQODZVHWF
Funding
)XQGLQJ DW WKH VWDJHV RI RSHUDWLRQV OLVWHG DERYH LV QRUPDOO\
SURYLGHG E\ WKH RZQHU0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH XVHU RQO\ 7KH
H[WHUQDO SURMHFW IXQGLQJ UHTXLUHV WKDW WKH SUHSDUHG GHVLJQ
GRFXPHQWVDUHLQSODFH+HQFHZKHQ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHXVHUV
DFTXLUHDOLFHQFHWKH\VKRXOGKDYHVXIFLHQWIXQGVWRREWDLQ
WKHOLFHQFHDQGFDUU\RXWWKHVXEVHTXHQWJHRORJLFDOH[SORUDWLRQ
,Q WKH DXWKRUV H[SHULHQFH DW ,0& 0RQWDQ WKHUH DUH D IHZ
H[DPSOHVRIDWWUDFWLQJIXQGVIRUJHRORJLFDOH[SORUDWLRQDWVWRFN
H[FKDQJHVEXWWKLVSUDFWLFHLVXQFRPPRQVLQFHLWGLOXWHVWKH
RZQHUVLQWHUHVWLQWKHRSHUDWLRQVIXWXUHSURW
Mine closure
0LQH FORVXUH DQG UHKDELOLWDWLRQ SODQ DQG FRVWV DUH DOVR
LQFOXGHG LQ WKH PLQH GHVLJQ KRZHYHU ZKHQ WKH PLQH LV
CONCLUSIONS
,Q JHQHUDO WKH UDQJH RI LVVXHV DGGUHVVHG LQ WKH GHVLJQ
GRFXPHQWVWKDWKDYHWREHSURGXFHGIRUGHSRVLWGHYHORSPHQW
LQ 5XVVLD LV LQ OLQH ZLWK LQWHUQDWLRQDO DSSURDFKHV :KHUH
WKH\ GLIIHU LV LQ WKH VHTXHQFH RI WKH GHVLJQ VWXGLHV DQG WKH
LQYHVWLJDWLRQ RI WKH WHFKQLFDO DQG HFRQRPLF DVSHFWV RI WKH
GHSRVLWGHYHORSPHQW,QYLHZRIWKHVSHFLFIHDWXUHVRIWKH
OHJLVODWLYH IUDPHZRUN D QXPEHU RI VHFWLRQV RI WKH PLQH
FRQVWUXFWLRQ GHVLJQ DUH QRW FRPPRQ LQ ZLGHU LQWHUQDWLRQDO
SUDFWLFHFLYLOGHIHQFHUDWLRQDOXVHRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVHWF
(IIHFWLYHO\ GHVLJQLQJ LQ 5XVVLD LQFOXGHV WKH WHFKQLFDO
DQG HFRQRPLF HYDOXDWLRQ DW WKH GHSRVLW H[SORUDWLRQ VWDJH
WKH UHVHUYH HVWLPDWLRQ 7(2 RI 0LQLQJ 3DUDPHWHUV DQG WKH
VWDJH RI PLQH GHYHORSPHQW GHVLJQ FRQVLGHULQJ LQGLYLGXDO
WHFKQLFDOWHFKQRORJLFDODVSHFWVRIWKHPLQHDFWLYLWLHVLQPRUH
GHWDLO7KLVLVDQRIFLDOOHJDOGRFXPHQWLQIDFWDSHUPLWWR
VWDUWWKHGHSRVLWGHYHORSPHQW
7KHQGLQJVRIWKHGHVLJQVWXGLHVFRQWDLQDODUJHDPRXQW
RIWHFKQLFDOGHWDLOVDQGFDOFXODWLRQVWKDWDUHRIWHQQRWHDVLO\
XQGHUVWDQGDEOH IRU LQYHVWRUV LQFOXGLQJ 5XVVLDQ QDQFLDO
LQVWLWXWLRQV ,Q WKHVH LQVWDQFHV LQGHSHQGHQW PLQLQJ
FRQVXOWDQF\FRPSDQLHVDUHHQJDJHGWRFRQYHUWWKHGRFXPHQWV
LQWRDPRUHUHDGHUIULHQGO\IRUPDWIRULQYHVWPHQWDWWUDFWLRQ
7KHVH FRPSDQLHV PD\ DOVR EH LQYROYHG LQ XQGHUWDNLQJ 2UH
5HVHUYHDQGPLQHDXGLWVDQGPD\GUDZUHOLDEOHFRQFOXVLRQV
RQSURMHFWHIFLHQF\
7KHDXWKRUVH[SHULHQFHDW,0&0RQWDQGHPRQVWUDWHVDKLJK
GHPDQGIRUVXFKVHUYLFHVZLWKQHDUWRSURMHFWVD\HDULQWKH
&,6FRXQWULHVDORQHXQGHUWDNHQ7KLVKDVDOVRRFFXUUHGZLWK
WKHGHYHORSPHQWRILQWHUQDWLRQDOO\DFFHSWDEOHGRFXPHQWV7KH
PRVW FRPPRQ W\SHV RI GRFXPHQWV SURGXFHG IRU LQWHUDFWLRQ
ZLWK EDQNV LQFOXGH D 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH DQG 2UH 5HVHUYH
HYDOXDWLRQ XQGHU WKH -25& &RGH 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ DQG
)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ 6XFK GRFXPHQWV DV WKH 6FRSLQJ 6WXG\
GXHGLOLJHQFHUHVRXUFHYDOXDWLRQDQGJHRORJLFDOH[SORUDWLRQ
GHVLJQ UHYLHZ DUH SUHSDUHG IRU RZQHUV RI WKH PLQHV XQGHU
FRQVWUXFWLRQ $QRWKHU W\SH RI GRFXPHQW IRU FRPPRQ ZRUNV
LV WKH SUHSDUDWLRQ RI WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV UHSRUW IRU
LQWHUQDWLRQDOSXEOLFRIIHULQJDFWLYLWLHVRIWKHFRPSDQLHV
,W LV DOVR ZRUWK QRWLQJ WKDW LQ WKH 5XVVLDQ 3UHVLGHQW
JDYH DQ DVVXUDQFH WR SURGXFH D GUDIW RI WKH QHZ 0LQHUDO
5HVHUYH 3XEOLF 5HSRUW WKDW ZRXOG EH PRUH LQ OLQH ZLWK WKH
LQWHUQDWLRQDO V\VWHP ,W LV H[SHFWHG WKDW WKH FRQWHQWV RI WKH
GHVLJQ GRFXPHQWV ZLOO DOVR EHFRPH PRUH WUDQVSDUHQW DQG
FRPSDWLEOHZLWKLQWHUQDWLRQDODSSURDFKHV
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUVZRXOGOLNHWRH[SUHVVWKHLUVLQFHUHWKDQNVWR,0&
SHUVRQQHOIRUWKHLUNLQGDQGFRQVWUXFWLYHFRPPHQWVDQG,0&
PDQDJHPHQWIRULWVSHUPLVVLRQWRSXEOLVKWKLVSDSHU
REFERENCES
$UGHQ + DQG 7YHUGRY $ 5HVRXUFH DQG 5HVHUYH YDOXDWLRQ
SUDFWLFHV LQ FRXQWULHV IRUPLQJ WKH 5XVVLDQ &RPPRQZHDOWK
RI ,QGHSHQGHQW 6WDWHV LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve
Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeVHFRQGHGLWLRQ
SS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
1$(15XVVLDQ&RGHIRUWKH3XEOLF5HSRUWLQJRI([SORUDWLRQ
5HVXOWV0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG0LQHUDO5HVHUYHV1$(1&RGH
>RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZFULUVFRFRPQHZVB
LWHPVQDHQBFRGHSGI!>$FFHVVHG0DUFK@
823
HOME
1. Principal Geologist, Project Manager, IMC Group Consulting Ltd, 10 Grosvenor Gardens, London SW1W 0DH, UK. Email: [email protected]
2. Head of Mining Development, Project Manager, IMC-Montan, Building 422, Chayanova Street, Moscow, Russia. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
5DZ FRPPRGLWLHV LQ 5XVVLD KDYH DOZD\V EHHQ WUHDWHG DV
VWUDWHJLFQDWLRQDODVVHWVRZQHGFROOHFWLYHO\E\WKHSHRSOHDQG
LWVOHJDOUHSUHVHQWDWLYHE\WKH6WDWH7KLVLVDOVRGXHWRERWK
WKH GHYHORSPHQW KLVWRU\ RI WKH 5XVVLDQ V\VWHP RI 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ DQG WKH 5XVVLDQ FRQVWLWXWLRQ WKDW
VSHFLHV WKH VWDWH PRQRSRO\ RI VXEVXUIDFH RZQHUVKLS )RU
WKLVUHDVRQYHU\VWULFWUXOHVDQGFRQWUROVKDYHEHHQLQSODFH
WR HQVXUH WKDW WKH YDOXH RI WKRVH UHVRXUFHV DUH PD[LPLVHG
IRU WKH EHQHW RI WKH QDWLRQ $ VHW RI VWDQGDUGV XQGHU WKH
5XVVLDQ 1DWLRQDO 6WDQGDUGV *267 DV ZHOO DV PDQ\ VWDWH
UHJXODWLRQV ZHUH DOORFDWHG IRU WKH SXUSRVH RI KRZ WKH
UHVRXUFHFKDUDFWHULVDWLRQVKRXOGEHFRQGXFWHGDWHYHU\OHYHO
DFFRUGLQJ WR WKH SUHVFULEHG PHWKRGRORJ\ 7KLV PHDQV WKDW
WKHV\VWHPLVEDVHGRQZHOOGHQHGFULWHULDIRUHYHU\DFWLYLW\
LQWKHDVVHVVPHQWSURFHVVOHDGLQJWRDQDORXWFRPHIRUWKH
DOORFDWLRQRIUHVRXUFHVDQGUHVHUYHVZLWKRXWDQ\VXEMHFWLYLW\
$V WKH FXUUHQW UHVRXUFH DQG UHVHUYH DVVHVVPHQW V\VWHP
KDV EHHQ LQKHULWHG IURP WKH 6RYLHW 8QLRQ PDQ\ RI LWV
IXQGDPHQWDOVVWLOOUHVRQDWHZLWKWKLVOHJDF\7KLVPHDQVWKDW
FRPSDQLHV LQWHUHVWHG LQ H[WUDFWLQJ UDZ PDWHULDOV KDYH WR
XQGHUJRVHYHUDOVWHSVLQWKHDVVHVVPHQWSURFHVVWRGHOLQHDWH
TXDQWLI\DQGTXDOLI\WKHPLQHUDOLVDWLRQLQWKHJURXQG(DFK
RIWKHVHVWHSVLVFRQWUROOHGE\LQGHSHQGHQWVWDWHRUJDQLVDWLRQV
WRHQVXUHWKDWPLQHUDOLVDWLRQERXQGDULHVDUHZHOOGHQHGDQG
UHVRXUFHXVHLVRSWLPLVHG
$V5XVVLDLVHIIHFWLYHO\SURYLGLQJWKHZRUOGHFRQRP\ZLWK
DVLJQLFDQWSRUWLRQRIUDZFRPPRGLWLHVLWLVLPSRUWDQWIRU
ZHVWHUQFRPSDQLHVWRXQGHUVWDQGKRZWKH5XVVLDQUHVRXUFH
FODVVLFDWLRQ DQG UHSRUWLQJ V\VWHP RSHUDWHV DQG ZKDW WKH
VLPLODULWLHVDQGGLIIHUHQFHVDUHEHWZHHQWKH5XVVLDQV\VWHP
DQGLQWHUQDWLRQDOO\DFFHSWHGFRGHVVXFKDV-25&
,WPXVWDOVREHQRWHGWKDWLQ5XVVLDEHFDPHDPHPEHU
RI&5,56&2&RPPLWWHHIRU0LQHUDO5HVHUYHV,QWHUQDWLRQDO
5HSRUWLQJ 6WDQGDUGV WKH XPEUHOOD RUJDQLVDWLRQ IRU ZHOO
NQRZQ VWDQGDUGV VXFK DV -25& DQG 1, 7KH 5XVVLDQ
QDWLRQDO FRGH WKH 1$(1 &RGH KDV QRZ EHHQ GHYHORSHG
E\ WKH 6RFLHW\ RI ([SHUWV RQ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV 2(51 D
FRPSRQHQW ERG\ RI 1$(1 LQ FORVH FRRSHUDWLRQ ZLWK WKH
6WDWH &RPPLVVLRQ RQ 5HVHUYHV *.= DQG PHPEHUV RI
&5,56&2 &5,56&2 1$(1 7KH 1$(1 &RGH LV
PRGHOOHGFORVHO\XSRQWKH&5,56&2,QWHUQDWLRQDO5HSRUWLQJ
7HPSODWH
825
HVWDEOLVKHGE\WKHIRUPHU6RYLHW8QLRQ,QSUDFWLFHWKLVPHDQV
WKDW WKH VWDWHPHQWV RI UHVHUYHV DQG UHVRXUFHV GHYHORSHG
E\WKHPLQHVWRZKLFKWKH\UHODWHPXVWEHDSSURYHGE\WKH
FRUUHVSRQGLQJ FRPPLWWHHV RI WKH JRYHUQPHQW DXWKRULWLHV
$GKHUHQFH WR WKH VWDQGDUGLVHG QDWLRQDO V\VWHP RI UHVHUYHV
DQGUHVRXUFHVHVWLPDWLRQLVPDQGDWRU\
*HRORJLFDO H[SORUDWLRQ DQG GHYHORSPHQW RI PLQHUDO
GHSRVLWV LQ 5XVVLD DQG &,6 FRXQWULHV LV OLFHQFHEDVHG ZLWK
VXFK OLFHQFHV JUDQWLQJ WKH SULYDWH VXEVXUIDFH XVHUV WKH
H[SORUDWLRQDQGPLQLQJULJKWVZLWKLQWKHGHQHGFRQFHVVLRQ
DUHDV 7KH OLFHQFHV DUH JHQHUDOO\ LVVXHG IRU \HDUV
VXEMHFWWRH[WHQVLRQEDVHGRQRSHQWHQGHURUDXFWLRQUHVXOWV
7KHUH DUH WKUHH W\SHV RI OLFHQFHV JHRORJLFDO H[SORUDWLRQ
SURGXFWLRQ RI PLQHUDOV DQG ERWK SURGXFWLRQ DQG VXEVRLO
H[SORUDWLRQ *HRORJLFDO DQG HFRQRPLF HYDOXDWLRQ RI WKH
FRQFHVVLRQ VKRXOG FRPSO\ ZLWK UHTXLUHPHQWV VHW E\ WKH
IHGHUDODJHQF\IRUPDQDJHPHQWRIWKH6WDWHVXEVXUIDFHIXQG
UHJXODWLQJSURFHGXUHDQGPHWKRGRORJ\RIHYDOXDWLRQZRUN
5HJXODWRU\GRFXPHQWVLQWKLVV\VWHPSURYLGHFOHDUFULWHULD
IRU ERUHKROH JULG VSDFLQJ WKDW UHODWHV WR GHSRVLW FRPSOH[LW\
ZKHQ FODVVLI\LQJ WKH GHSRVLWV 7KHVH GHWDLOHG SURFHGXUHV
DUH DOVR H[WHQGHG WR WHFKQLFDO DQG HFRQRPLF HYDOXDWLRQ RI
WKH GHSRVLWV 7KH ODWHVW HGLWLRQ RI WKH 5XVVLDQ FODVVLFDWLRQ
V\VWHP HYHQ VSHFLHV WKH QXPHULFDO YDOXHV RI UHTXLUHPHQWV
IRU SRVVLEOH FRQGHQFH OHYHOV LQ HVWLPDWLQJ JHRORJLFDO
SDUDPHWHUVFKDUDFWHULVLQJDUHVHUYH
7KH V\VWHP VHUYHV D QXPEHU RI SXUSRVHV UDQJLQJ IURP
WDNLQJ 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFH LQYHQWRULHV WR VWDWLVWLFDO UHSRUWLQJ
DQG HVWLPDWLRQ RI PLQHUDO H[WUDFWLRQ WD[HV WR RWKHU VWDWH
UHJXODWRU\REMHFWLYHV'XHWRLWVWUDQVSDUHQWDQGXQDPELJXRXV
QDWXUH LQ FDWHJRULVLQJ WKH UHVHUYHV LQ PDQ\ UHVSHFWV WKH
5XVVLDQ V\VWHP LV SDUWLFXODUO\ LGHDO IRU D JHRORJLVW DV LW
FOHDUO\ FKDUDFWHULVHV ERWK UHVRXUFH DQG HFRQRPLF SRWHQWLDO
RI WKH GHSRVLWV IURP WKH 5XVVLDQ SHUVSHFWLYH ,Q HVVHQFH LW
LV D SDFNDJH RI GRFXPHQWV FROOHFWHG DW YDULRXV VWDJHV RI
JHRORJLFDODQGHFRQRPLFVWXG\RIWKHGHSRVLWWKDWGHVFULEHV
DQG HYDOXDWHV WKH GHSRVLWV JHRORJLFDO IHDWXUHV DQG PLQLQJ
FKDUDFWHULVWLFVWKRURXJKO\
(DFKVWDJHRIJHRORJLFDOH[SORUDWLRQLVUHODWHGWRDFHUWDLQ
WHFKQLFDO DQG HFRQRPLF HYDOXDWLRQ GHVFULELQJ WKH PRVW
HIFLHQW DQG VDIH PLQLQJ PHWKRGV DQG FRUUHVSRQGLQJ
TABLE 1
General framework of the geological characterisation of mineral deposits.
Study stage
General task
826
Greenfield exploration
Exploration of basins, ore districts, fields, etc through geophysical surveys, single boreholes and workings.
Estimation of prognostic P1, P2, P3 Resources. Technical and economic considerations of ore occurrence prospects.
Prospecting (including
preliminary exploration)
Geological survey of a prospective deposit at a far-spaced grid of boreholes and workings. Evaluation of general
parameters of the deposit, configuration and size of orebodies, technological properties of ore, hydrogeological
conditions, etc. Qualitative and quantitative evaluation of prognostic 1 Resources, 1 and 2 Resources. Technical
and economic report or technical and economic proposals. Technical and Economic study (TEO) of provisional
cut-off parameters and recording Reserves on the state balance.
Detailed exploration
Drilling of a closely-spaced borehole grid sufficient for the most detailed study of geological and technological
properties of ore and the most accurate estimation of the economic potential of the deposit. Classification of , ,
1 and 2 Reserves. TEO of final cut-off parameters with GKZ re-approval of Reserves on the state balance.
Mine operations
Operational exploration in the process of mining operations aimed at detailed study of the subsurface required
for current mine planning. Development of operational cut-off parameters.
Resource and Reserve Valuation Practices in Countries Forming the Russian Commonwealth of Independent States|H Arden and A Tverdov
TABLE 2
Reserve categories in Russian and Commonwealth of Independent States systems.
Category
Description
Deposit is known in detail, boundaries of the deposit have been outlined by trenching, drilling, or underground workings. Quality and properties of the mineral are
known in sufficient detail to ensure the reliability of the projected exploitation.
Deposit has been explored but is only known in fair detail, boundaries of the deposit have been outlined by trenching, drilling, or underground workings. Quality and
properties of the mineral are known in sufficient detail to ensure the basic reliability of the projected exploitation.
C1
Deposit has been estimated by a sparse grid of trenches, boreholes or underground workings. The quality and properties of the deposit are known tentatively by
analogy with known deposits of the same type and the general conditions for exploitation are known tentatively. This category includes Resources peripheral to the
boundaries of the A and B category and also Reserves allocated in complex deposits in which the mineral distribution cannot be reliably determined even by a very
dense grid.
C2
Extent of the deposit has been extrapolated from limited data. This category includes Resources adjoining areas designated as A, B and C1 in the same deposit.
P1
Resources in the P1 category may extend outside the actual limits of the mineral Reserves defined in the C2 category. The outer limits of P1 type Resources are
determined indirectly by extrapolating from similar known mineral deposits in the area. P1 is the main source from which C2 Reserves can be increased.
P2
These Resources represent possible mineral structures in known mineral deposits. They are estimated based on geophysical and geochemical data. Morphology,
mineral composition and size of the mineralisation is estimated by analogy with similar mineralised geological structures in the area.
P3
Potential for discovery of a deposit of any type of mineral on the basis of favourable geological and indicative preconditions found in the prospective area by
undertaking medium to small-scale geological and geophysical surveying, satellite image interpretation and analysis of geophysical and geochemical survey results.
TABLE 3
Classification of deposits according to their complexity in Russia and countries that form the Commonwealth of Independent States.
Complexity type
Description
Large deposits, simple in form with uniform distribution of minerals. The highest confidence classes of Reserves, A + B Reserves, can be established on the
basis of boreholes, trenches and trial pits.
II
Large deposits with variable and sometimes complicated forms and an uneven distribution of minerals. Only B and C1 Reserves may be defined based on
exploration data, such as boreholes, trenches and pits and higher confidence Reserves classes can be established only by a combination of closely-spaced
boreholes and active exploitation.
III
Deposits are smaller in size with uneven distribution of minerals (examples include vein-hosted or pegmatite deposits, skarns and dykes). Only C1 and C2
Reserves may be defined based on exploration data and higher confidence Reserves classes can be established only on the evidence of operational experience.
IV
Complex geological structure with small or rarely medium-sized orebodies with exceptionally uneven mineralisation or characterised by sharp variations in
thickness and internal structure, extremely uneven mineral quality or grade and intermittent concentrations of the main useful constituents. Deposits of this
group are explored primarily to Russian Resource category C2, with confirmation of reliability of their estimation, in areas of detailed study, at category C1.
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
827
FDVKRZPRGHOHWF$VDUHVXOWWKHFKDQJHVPD\LQXHQFH
WKHFODVVLFDWLRQRIUHVHUYHVLQWRDGLIIHUHQWFDWHJRU\KHQFH
DIIHFWLQJWKHWRWDOVVWDWHG
7KH 7(2 GRFXPHQW LV FRPSUHKHQVLYH DQG GHWDLOHG
DQG FRYHUV WKH JHRORJLFDO DQG WHFKQLFDOWHFKQRORJLFDO
DVVHVVPHQW DQG HFRQRPLFDO HYDOXDWLRQ RI WKH GHSRVLW LQ
TXHVWLRQ IRU GLIIHUHQW FXWRII SDUDPHWHUV ,W DOVR FKHFNV WKH
VXLWDELOLW\RIWKHFKRVHQPLQLQJPHWKRGRORJ\IRUWKHFXUUHQW
KHDOWK DQG VDIHW\ OHJLVODWLRQV DQG SURFHGXUHV LQ SODFH 7KH
HFRQRPLF DVVHVVPHQW W\SLFDOO\ LQYHVWLJDWHV WKH GLIIHUHQW
FXWRII SDUDPHWHU RSWLRQV GHQHG IURP WKH JHRORJLFDO DQG
WHFKQRORJLFDO SHUVSHFWLYHV XQGHU WKH KHDGLQJV RI DQDO\VLV
RI PDUNHW DQG HFRQRPLF HQYLURQPHQW DQG WD[DWLRQ LVVXHV
RSHUDWLRQDO FRVW DQG SURGXFWLRQ FRVW DQG SURGXFW VDOHV
FDSLWDO FRVWV RDWLQJ FDSLWDO LQYHVWPHQWV SURWDELOLW\
GLVFRXQW UDWH QHW FDVK RZ DQG QHW SUHVHQW YDOXH LQWHUQDO
UDWHRIUHWXUQDQGHFRQRPLFLQGLFDWRUV
7KH PDLQ GLVWLQFWLRQV EHWZHHQ WKHVH GRFXPHQWV DUH
EDVHG RQ WKHLU LQGLYLGXDO REMHFWLYHV ,I WKH PDLQ FULWHULRQ
LQ GHYHORSLQJ 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ DQG )HDVLELOLW\ 6WXGLHV LV
LQYHVWPHQWDWWUDFWLYHQHVVRIWKHGHSRVLWLQVRPHFDVHVHYHQ
WRWKHGHWULPHQWRIWKHUHVHUYHTXDQWLW\D7(2RIFRQGLWLRQV
VKDOO MXVWLI\ VROXWLRQV WKDW LPSO\ PD[LPXP IXOO UHFRYHU\ RI
UHVHUYHVZLWKDYLHZWRVDWLVI\LQJWKHEDODQFHRILQWHUHVWVRI
WKH6WDWHDQGRIWKHVXEVXUIDFHXVHU
:LWKUHIHUHQFHWRWKHVHFRQGLWLRQVWKHUHVHUYHVVWDWHGIRU
HDFK GHSRVLW DUH IXUWKHU FDWHJRULVHG DV EDODQFH UHVHUYHV
WKLV PHDQV WKDW WKH\ PHHW WKH SUHGHWHUPLQHG FULWHULD
IRU HFRQRPLFDOO\ MXVWLDEOH H[WUDFWLRQ RU RXWRIEDODQFH
UHVRXUFHVZKLFKDUHFRQVLGHUHGWREHSUHVHQWO\XQHFRQRPLF
FIG 1 - Simplified framework of resource/reserve assessment in Russia and countries that form the Commonwealth of Independent States.
828
Resource and Reserve Valuation Practices in Countries Forming the Russian Commonwealth of Independent States|H Arden and A Tverdov
,QDZRUNLQJJURXSRIH[SHUWVIURP)*8)HGHUDOQR\H
*RVXGDUVWYHQR\H 8FKUH]KGHQL\H *.= &5,56&2 PLQLQJ
DQG RWKHU FRPSDQLHV DQG 5XVVLDQ DQG LQWHUQDWLRQDO
XQLYHUVLWLHV SUHSDUHG GHWDLOHG JXLGHOLQHV RQ FRQYHUWLQJ WKH
5XVVLDQ PLQHUDOV UHSRUWLQJ VWDQGDUGV LQWR WKH &5,56&2
,QWHUQDWLRQDO5HSRUWLQJ7HPSODWHGLUHFWO\
7KH QDO YHUVLRQ RI WKLV GRFXPHQW )*8*.= DQG
&5,56&2LQGLFDWHGWKDWWKHJHQHUDODVVXPSWLRQLQWKH
UHFHQWSDVWZDVWKDWLQRUGHUWRSURGXFHD&5,56&2DOLJQHG
UHSRUWRQD5XVVLDQPLQHUDOSURMHFWLWZDVQHFHVVDU\WRZRUN
IURPWKHEDVHUDZGDWDDQGFDUU\RXWDFRPSOHWHO\VHSDUDWH
PRGHOOLQJDQGHVWLPDWLRQH[HUFLVH$VWKHIXQGDPHQWDOVFDQ
EHVLJQLFDQWO\GLIIHUHQWLQDOORFDWLQJWKHUHVRXUFHDQGUHVHUYH
FDWHJRULHV LQ HDFK V\VWHP LH 5XVVLDQ DQG &5,56&2EDVHG
WHPSODWHVWKLVFRXOGSURGXFHDVHWRIHVWLPDWHVIRUUHVRXUFHV
DQGUHVHUYHVWKDWFDQQRWEHHDVLO\UHFRQFLOHGZLWKWKH5XVVLDQ
HVWLPDWHV7KLVOHDGVWRPDQ\SUREOHPVIRUFRPSDQLHVERWK
ZLWK WKH DXWKRULWLHV LQ 5XVVLD DQG ZLWK WKH VWRFN PDUNHWV
DURXQGWKHZRUOG
,W LV LPSRUWDQW KRZHYHU WR HPSKDVLVH WKDW QRQ5XVVLDQ
VSHFLDOLVWVVWLOOQHHGWRKDYHDKLJKOHYHORIXQGHUVWDQGLQJRI
WKH5XVVLDQFODVVLFDWLRQV\VWHPLQWKLVFRQYHUVLRQSURFHVV
7KHVH JXLGHOLQHV KDYH EHHQ GHYHORSHG SULPDULO\ RQ WKH
EDVLVRIWKHUHVSHFWLYHGHQLWLRQVUDWKHUWKDQRQLQGLYLGXDO
H[SHULHQFHV RI GLIIHUHQW SURMHFWV DQG DUH DSSOLFDEOH WR
DOO W\SHV RI VROLG PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV 7KH ZRUNLQJ JURXS
JXLGHOLQHV GRFXPHQW DOVR HPSKDVLVHV WKDW HYHU\ GHSRVLW
LV GLIIHUHQW DQG WKHVH DUH RQO\ JXLGHOLQHV QRW LQVWUXFWLRQV
7KHUHIRUH WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ VKRXOG QRW DSSO\ WKH
JXLGHOLQHVPHFKDQLFDOO\DQGLQVWHDGSURYLGHWKHVDPHGHJUHH
RIMXVWLFDWLRQIRUWKHUHVXOWLQJFODVVLFDWLRQDVLQSURGXFLQJ
DQ\RWKHU&5,56&2FRPSDWLEOHUHSRUW
MAIN CHALLENGES
7KHUHDUHPDQ\FKDOOHQJHVZKHQDSSO\LQJERWKWKH5XVVLDQ
V\VWHP DQG LQWHUQDWLRQDOO\ DFFHSWHG FRGHV LQ 5XVVLD 7KH
IROORZLQJ OLVW LV D VPDOO VDPSOH EDVHG RQ ,0&V SDVW DQG
UHFHQWH[SHULHQFHLQERWK5XVVLDDQGRWKHU&,6FRXQWULHV
HWFEDVHGRQIDOVHRUWUXHFRRUGLQDWHVDUHWUXO\UHSUHVHQWHG
7KLVPHDQVWKDWIRUHLJQH[SHUWVDUHXVXDOO\JLYHQIXOODFFHVV
WRWKHRULJLQDOUHFRUGVIRULQVSHFWLRQEXWDUHQRWDOORZHGWR
PDNH DQ\ FRSLHV ,W VKRXOG EH QRWHG WKDW 9ODGLPLU 3XWLQ
WKH 3UHVLGHQW RI 5XVVLD VHW IRUZDUG DQ LQLWLDWLYH LQ WR
PDNH SUHSDUDWLRQ RI UHVHUYH DQG UHVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV XQGHU
LQWHUQDWLRQDO VWDQGDUGV HDVLHU VSHFLFDOO\ UHJDUGLQJ WKH
VHFUHF\RQ*,6
829
UHFWLHGWKURXJKDFRQVXOWDWLRQSURFHVVZLWKYDULRXVSDUWLHV
DWKHDGTXDUWHUVDQGGDWDDFFHVVLVODWHUSURYLGHGZLWKRXWDQ\
SUREOHPV
WKH PLQH VLWH FDQQRW EH PLQHG WR WKH DXWKRULWLHV 7KLV FDQ
VRPHWLPHVEHDUHODWLYHO\FRVWO\H[HUFLVHWRXQGHUWDNH
7KH6RYLHWV\VWHPKDVHIIHFWLYHO\GLFWDWHGWKDWHYHU\WKLQJ
XQGHUWKHEDODQFHUHVHUYHVFDWHJRU\ZLWKLQWKHGHQHGFXWRII
SDUDPHWHU FRQGLWLRQV VKRXOG EH H[WUDFWHG IURP WKH JURXQG
8QIRUWXQDWHO\WKLVKDVPDGHLWGLIFXOWWRFRPPXQLFDWHZLWK
WKHORFDO5XVVLDQDQG&,6H[SHUWVRQWKHGLIIHUHQFHVEHWZHHQ
UHVRXUFHVDQGUHVHUYHV
)RUWKLVUHDVRQWKHUHDUHFRQVWDQWGLVFXVVLRQVEHWZHHQWKH
ZHVWHUQ H[SHUWV DQG WKH ORFDO 5XVVLDQ WHDPV UHJDUGLQJ WKH
DPRXQWRIUHVHUYHVDYDLODEOHIURPWKHPLQHVLWHV7KLVFDQEH
HVSHFLDOO\LPSRUWDQWZKHQWKHUHDUHKXJHDPRXQWVRIEDODQFH
UHVHUYHV WKDW FRXOG EH H[WUDFWHG )RU H[DPSOH D UHVHUYH
FODVVLHG XQGHU WKH 5XVVLD&,6 V\VWHP PD\ KDYH D PLQH
SODQFRYHULQJWKHQH[WWZRKXQGUHG\HDUVEXWDQDVVHVVPHQW
XQGHU WKH -25& &RGH RQ WKH VDPH UHVRXUFH FODVVLHV WKH
UHVHUYHZLWKLQUHDOLVWLFDOO\IRUHVHHDEOHHFRQRPLFSURMHFWLRQV
XQGHUDEXVLQHVVSODQFRYHULQJDWR\HDUSHULRG
0LQLPLVLQJ WKH HYDOXDWLRQ SHULRG WR \HDUV FDQ
VRPHWLPHV EH D GLIFXOW FRQFHSW IRU WKH 5XVVLDQ H[SHUWV WR
JUDVSDQGLWFDQEHDPRQXPHQWDOWDVNWRFRQYLQFHWKHFOLHQWV
WKDWWKHLUUHVRXUFHVUHVHUYHVGLGQRWGLVDSSHDUKRZHYHUWKH
UHVHUYHVDVVHVVHGXQGHUWKHLQWHUQDWLRQDOV\VWHPLVRQO\IRU
WKHUHOLDEOHEXVLQHVVSODQSHULRGDQGDWWKHHQGRIWKLVSHULRG
IXUWKHUUHVRXUFHVZLOOEHFRQYHUWHGLQWRUHVHUYHV
Resource and Reserve Valuation Practices in Countries Forming the Russian Commonwealth of Independent States|H Arden and A Tverdov
FRQGLWLRQVPD\FRQVLGHUGLIIHUHQWRSWLRQVIRUH[DPSOHDVHW
RIPLQLPXPFRDOVHDPWKLFNQHVVDFFHSWHGIRUHVWLPDWHVP
PPHWF(YHQLIWKHWRWDOSURMHFWHIFLHQF\LQWHUQDOUDWH
RIUHWXUQQHWSUHVHQWYDOXHWXUQVRXWWREHKLJKHUZLWKP
VHDPWKLFNQHVVDQRSWLRQZLWKWKLQQHUVHDPWKLFNQHVVWKDWLV
FKDUDFWHULVHGE\KLJKHUUHVHUYHWRQQDJHPD\EHDSSURYHGE\
WKHVWDWHDXWKRULW\VXEMHFWWRWKHFRQGLWLRQWKDWWKHPLQHLV
VWLOOSURWDEOHZLWKWKLVVHDPWKLFNQHVVVHOHFWHG
831
GHSDUWPHQWVRXWVLGHWKHFRXQWU\LWPDNHVGDWDDFFHVVLELOLW\
GLIFXOWIRUWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQ
Economic parameters
)RUDQXPEHURIUHDVRQVUHSRUWLQJSURFHGXUHVWKDWFRPSO\
ZLWK WKH 5XVVLDQ UHVRXUFH DQG UHVHUYH FODVVLFDWLRQ V\VWHP
DUH QRW FXUUHQWO\ UHFRJQLVHG E\ LQWHUQDWLRQDO QDQFLDO
LQVWLWXWLRQV 7KHUHIRUH 5XVVLDQ SURGXFHUV RIWHQ UHVRUW WR
SUHSDULQJ D SDUDOOHO VWDWHPHQW RI UHVRXUFHV DQG UHVHUYHV WR
EHFRQVLVWHQWZLWKRQHRIWKHLQWHUQDWLRQDOVWDQGDUGVXVXDOO\
-25&7KLVLVGRQHXVLQJLQGHSHQGHQWLQWHUQDWLRQDOPLQLQJ
FRQVXOWDQF\RUJDQLVDWLRQVVXFKDV,0&WRHVWDEOLVKJUHDWHU
FRQGHQFHLQWKHHVWLPDWLRQV
&RQVLVWHQF\ZLWKLQWHUQDWLRQDOVWDQGDUGVPD\EHLQXHQFHG
RUQHFHVVLWDWHGE\
DWWUDFWLQJDIRUHLJQLQYHVWRU
REWDLQLQJDFUHGLWIDFLOLW\
DQLQLWLDOSXEOLFRIIHULQJ,32SURFHGXUHDQGRUXSOLIWLQJ
WKHFRPSDQ\WRDQLQWHUQDWLRQDOOHYHO
FKDQJLQJRZQHUV
DQLQWHUQDODXGLWDQGNHHSLQJSDFHZLWKWKHLQWHUQDWLRQDO
QDQFLDOUHSRUWLQJSUDFWLFH
3DUDOOHO UHSRUWLQJ GRHV QRW UHPRYH WKH QHFHVVLW\ RI
FRPSO\LQJ ZLWK WKH 5XVVLDQ V\VWHP RI FODVVLFDWLRQ GXH WR
WKH ZHOOJURXQGHG REMHFWLRQV UDLVHG E\ PDLQ DGYRFDWHV RI
WKHFXUUHQWV\VWHPWKDWLV5XVVLDQJHRORJLVWVDQGVSHFLDOLVWV
ZKRIDFHWKHPRQXPHQWDOWDVNRIUHFRQFLOLQJERWKORFDODQG
LQWHUQDWLRQDOV\VWHPVQDWLRQDOO\
7KH -25& &RGH LV RQH RI WKH PRVW SRSXODU UHSRUWLQJ
V\VWHPVLQ5XVVLDDQGLVXVHGE\PRVWRIWKHPDMRUPLQLQJ
FRPSDQLHV ZKHUH GXDO UHSRUWLQJ LV HPSOR\HG ,W VKRXOG EH
QRWHG WKDW LQ 5XVVLDQ 3UHVLGHQW 9ODGLPLU 3XWLQ VHW
IRUZDUG WKH LQLWLDWLYH WR PDNH SUHSDUDWLRQ RI UHVHUYH DQG
UHVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVXQGHULQWHUQDWLRQDOVWDQGDUGVHDVLHUDQG
PRUH WUDQVSDUHQW HVSHFLDOO\ LQ WKH DUHD RI UHYHDOLQJ WKH
VHFUHF\RQ*,6
7RDFKLHYHWKHWDVNRIUHSRUWLQJ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVVRWKDW
WKH\ DUH FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK WKH UHTXLUHPHQWV RI LQWHUQDWLRQDO
QDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVWKHVXEVXUIDFHXVHUPD\FRQVLGHUWZR
PDLQDSSURDFKHV
,QGHSHQGHQW UHZRUNLQJ RI WKH RULJLQDO JHRORJLFDO
LQIRUPDWLRQ FRQWDLQLQJ Mineral Resource HVWLPDWHV VR
WKDW WKH\ DUH FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK WKH -25& &RGH RU RWKHU
LQWHUQDWLRQDO VWDQGDUGV 7KLV LV IROORZHG E\ Ore Reserve
HVWLPDWHV LQ WKH FRXUVH RI WHFKQLFDO DQG HFRQRPLF
HYDOXDWLRQ DW OHDVW DW WKH 3UH)HDVLELOLW\ 6WXG\ OHYHO
ZLWK D&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQLQ FKDUJH RIUHVHUYHHVWLPDWHV
FRQVLGHULQJDOOVSHFLFVRIWKH5XVVLDQOHJDOHQYLURQPHQW
$OO PLQLQJ ORVVHV DQG RWKHU PLQLQJ LQGLFDWRUV VKDOO EH
DFFRUGLQJO\ DGRSWHG ZKLOH FRQVLGHULQJ WKH OHJDO DQG
UHJXODWRU\EDVHVLQIRUFH
5HFODVVLFDWLRQ FRQYHUVLRQ RI WKH DYDLODEOH GDWD RQ
HVWLPDWLQJ WKH EDODQFH UHVHUYHV XQGHU WKH 5XVVLDQ
V\VWHPRIFODVVLFDWLRQLQWRUHVRXUFHVDQGUHVHUYHVXQGHU
WKH -25& &RGH RU RWKHU LQWHUQDWLRQDO VWDQGDUGV 7KLV LV
Resource and Reserve Valuation Practices in Countries forming the Russian Commonwealth of Independent States|H Arden and A Tverdov
CONCLUSIONS
5XVVLD EDFN RQ WKH PDS UHJDUGLQJ WKH GHYHORSPHQW RI LWV
YDVW 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG WKH VXSSO\ WR PDUNHW 7KLV KDV
UHVXOWHG LQ UHQHZHG LQWHUHVW IURP ERWK WKH LQYHVWRU DQG
PLQLQJ FRPPXQLW\ WR GHYHORS WKHVH FRPPRGLWLHV LQ DQ
HIFLHQWPDQQHU
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRUHPHPEHUWKDWWKHFXUUHQWOHJLVODWLRQLQ
5XVVLDDQGVLPLODUO\LQRWKHUIRUPHU6RYLHW8QLRQFRXQWULHV
GLFWDWHV WKDW WKH UHVHUYHV DQG UHVRXUFHV PXVW EH HYDOXDWHG
LQDZHOOSUHVFULEHGV\VWHP+HUHWKHXQGHUO\LQJSULQFLSOHV
IRU UHVRXUFH DVVHVVPHQW FDQ EH IXQGDPHQWDOO\ GLIIHUHQW
FRPSDUHG WR LQWHUQDWLRQDOO\ DFFHSWHG FRGHV VXFK DV -25&
7KLVLVWKHOHJDF\RIWKH6RYLHW8QLRQZKHUHUHVRXUFHVZHUH
VHHQDVQDWLRQDOFRPPRGLWLHVWKDWEHORQJHGWRWKHSHRSOHRI
WKHFRXQWU\7KHUHIRUHLWLVLPSRUWDQWIRUZHVWHUQFRPSDQLHV
WR XQGHUVWDQG KRZ WKH 5XVVLDQ UHVRXUFH V\VWHP RSHUDWHV
DQGZKDWWKHVLPLODULWLHVDQGGLIIHUHQFHVDUHEHWZHHQLWDQG
LQWHUQDWLRQDOO\DFFHSWHGFRGHV
$OWKRXJKWKHUHDUHPDQ\VWULFWUXOHVDQGFRQWUROVLQSODFH
WR HQVXUH WKDW UHVRXUFHV KDYH EHHQ UHFRYHUHG LQ WKH PRVW
HIFLHQWZD\IRUWKHEHQHWRIWKHQDWLRQWKH5XVVLDQV\VWHP
KDV EHFRPH DQ LPSRUWDQW HOHPHQW LQ UHFRQFLOLQJ UHVRXUFHV
DFFRUGLQJWRWKHFULWHULDGHQHGLQLQWHUQDWLRQDOO\UHFRJQLVHG
UHSRUWLQJFRGHV7KH5XVVLDQV\VWHPLVDXVHIXOWRROWKDWRIIHUV
FOHDU JXLGDQFH WR &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV DQG SUDFWLWLRQHUV LQ D
PHWKRGLFDOZD\ZKHQWKH\DUHDVVHVVLQJ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV
LQ5XVVLDDQGVKRXOGEHVHHQDVDSUDFWLFDOFRPSOHPHQWDU\
LQVWUXPHQW
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KHDXWKRUVZRXOGOLNHWRH[SUHVVWKHLUVLQFHUHWKDQNVWR,0&
SHUVRQQHOIRUWKHLUNLQGDQGFRQVWUXFWLYHFRPPHQWVDQG,0&
PDQDJHPHQWIRULWVSHUPLVVLRQWRSXEOLVKWKLVSDSHU
REFERENCES
&5,56&21$(15XVVLDQ&RGHIRUWKH3XEOLF5HSRUWLQJRI
([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 0LQHUDO 5HVHUYHV
1$(1 &RGH >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZFULUVFR
FRPQHZVBLWHPVQDHQBFRGHSGI!>$FFHVVHG-DQXDU\@
)*8*.=DQG&5,56&2*XLGHOLQHVRQ$OLJQPHQWRI5XVVLDQ
0LQHUDOV 5HSRUWLQJ 6WDQGDUGV DQG WKH &5,56&2 7HPSODWH
>RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZFULUVFRFRPQHZVB
LWHPVFRQYHUVLRQBJXLGHOLQHVBQDOSGI! >$FFHVVHG -DQXDU\
@
5HFHQW GHPDQG IRU UDZ PDWHULDO IURP ERWK WKH PDMRU DQG
GHYHORSLQJ HFRQRPLHV DURXQG WKH ZRUOG KDV KHOSHG SXW
833
HOME
1. Chief Advisor Orebody Knowledge; General Manager Advanced Project Support, Rio Tinto, Technology and Innovation, 1 Research Avenue, Bundoora Vic 3083. Email: [email protected]
2. MAusIMM, Chief Advisor Resources and Reserves, Rio Tinto, Technology and Innovation, Level 25, 152 - 158 St Georges Terrace, Perth WA 6000. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
5LR7LQWRUHFRJQLVHVWKDWLWVFKLHISK\VLFDODVVHWVDUHLWV0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHVZKLFKDUHKHOGE\RSHUDWLQJ
EXVLQHVVXQLWV%8VDFURVVWKHJOREH)LJXUH2IWKHVH5LR
7LQWRGLUHFWO\PDQDJHVWKHPDMRULW\DQGUHSRUWVLWV0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHDQG2UH5HVHUYHVGDWDDFFRUGLQJWRWKH-25&&RGH
DQGVXSSRUWHGE\DVHWRILQWHUQDOVWDQGDUGV6757KH
VPDOOHUSHUFHQWDJHRIQRQPDQDJHGHQWLWOHVZKHUH5LR7LQWR
KROGVDPLQRULW\SRVLWLRQLQWKHMRLQWYHQWXUHUHSRUWGDWDLQ
5LR7LQWRDQQXDOUHSRUWVDFFRUGLQJWRWKHLURZQSURFHGXUHV
7KLV SDSHU ZLOO GHVFULEH WKH VWUXFWXUHV LQ SODFH IRU LQWHUQDO
JRYHUQDQFH RI 5LR 7LQWR UHSRUWHG JXUHV 7KH JURXS KDV
JURZQFRQVLGHUDEO\VLQFHSURFHGXUHVZHUHGHVFULEHGLQ
5LFNXVDQGWKHJRYHUQDQFHVWUXFWXUHVKDYHLPSURYHG
DFFRUGLQJO\
WKURXJK DOO DVSHFWV RI WKH -25& FRGH $GGLWLRQDOO\ DV WKH
JURXSQRZKROGVDVVHWVRQVL[FRQWLQHQWVDQGLQDUDQJHRI
FRPPRGLWLHVWKHUHLVDUHTXLUHPHQWIRUDULJRURXVDQGFOHDU
DSSURDFKWRUHSRUWLQJGDWDDFURVVWKHJURXS
Corporate governance
5LR 7LQWRV PLQLQJ DQG GHYHORSPHQW DVVHWV DUH KHOG ZLWKLQ
YH SURGXFW JURXSV EHLQJ $OXPLQLXP &RSSHU 'LDPRQGV
DQG0LQHUDOV(QHUJ\DQG,URQ2UH7KHRSHUDWLRQDOUHSRUWLQJ
OLQHIRUHDFK%8VPDQDJLQJGLUHFWRULVWKURXJKWKHSURGXFW
JURXS KHDG WR WKH JURXS ([HFXWLYH &RPPLWWHH )LJXUH
$FFRXQWDELOLW\ IRU XSNHHS DQG UHSRUWLQJ RI 0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV UHVLGHV ZLWKLQ HDFK RSHUDWLQJ
%8 PLQH RU PLQH JURXSLQJ ZLWK WKH JRYHUQDQFH SURFHVV
RSHUDWLQJ RXWVLGH RI WKH SURGXFW JURXSLQJ UHSRUWLQJ OLQH
ZLWKDGLUHFWOLQHRIVLJKWWRWKH([HFXWLYH&RPPLWWHH([&R
LQWKHUVWLQVWDQFHDQGZLWK5HVRXUFHVDQG5HVHUYHVDXGLW
QGLQJV DQG DQQXDO VXPPDULHV UHSRUWHG LQGHSHQGHQWO\ WR
WKH%RDUG$XGLW&RPPLWWHH%$&WKURXJKWKHJURXSDXGLW
OLQH)LJXUH
7KHUHDUHWKUHHSULPDU\OD\HUVRIJRYHUQDQFHFRQWUROZLWKLQ
5LR 7LQWR EHLQJ WKH 5LR 7LQWR %RDUG $XGLW &RPPLWWHH
RYHUVLJKW WKH 2UH 5HVHUYHV 6WHHULQJ &RPPLWWHH 256&
DQG WKH 5HVRXUFHV DQG 5HVHUYHV DXWKRULVDWLRQ DQG VLJQRII
SURFHVVHVZLWKLQWKH%8UHSRUWLQJOLQH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
835
Group Executive
T&I
Product Group
Chief Executives
Ore Reserves
Steering Committee
Control Processes
Lead Competent
Person
Assurance Process
Best Practice
Guidance
Advisors
Competent
Persons
(development)
Consultants
Competent Person
Training
& Support
FIG 2 - Relationship between business unit line reporting and the Ore Reserve Steering Committee.
5LR7LQWRVUVWOHYHORIFRQWUROLVFRUSRUDWHZKHUHWKH%$&
KDV LQ LWV UHPLW WKH JRYHUQDQFH RI UHVRXUFHV DQG UHVHUYHV
5HSRUWLQJWRWKH%$&LQFOXGHVDQDQQXDOUHYLHZRI0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHVDWDJURXSOHYHODVSURYLGHGE\
WKH256&DVZHOODVQGLQJVDQGSURJUHVVIURPWKHJURXS
5HVRXUFHVDQG5HVHUYHVDXGLWSURJUDP
7KH SULPDU\ YHKLFOH IRU 2UH 5HVHUYH JRYHUQDQFH LV WKH
256&ZKLFKPHHWVDWOHDVWTXDUWHUO\UHJDUGLQJUHVRXUFHDQG
UHVHUYH PDWWHUV DQG UHSRUWV LQGHSHQGHQWO\ RI WKH SURGXFW
JURXSOLQHWRWKH5LR7LQWR([&R)LJXUH5HSUHVHQWDWLYHV
RQWKH256&FRPHIURPYDULRXVVHFWRUVLQ5LR7LQWRLQFOXGLQJ
&RQWUROOHUV 7HFKQRORJ\ DQG ,QQRYDWLRQ ([SORUDWLRQ DV
ZHOO DV UHSUHVHQWDWLYHV IURP D QXPEHU RI RSHUDWLQJ %8V
,W LV FRPPRQ IRU UHSUHVHQWDWLYHV IURP *URXS $XGLW DQG
&RUSRUDWH $VVXUDQFH WR DWWHQG PHHWLQJV DV FDQ SHUVRQQHO
IURP,QYHVWRU5HODWLRQV
836
Rio Tinto Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Governance|S J Hunt and C S Eldridge
DQGH[SODLQHGZLWKLQWKHDFFRPSDQ\LQJQRWHVLQWKHDQQXDO
UHSRUWWDEOHV
$OO%8VH[SHFWWRKDYHD5HVRXUFH5HVHUYHDXGLWVSRQVRUHG
E\ *URXS $XGLW DQG $VVXUDQFH HYHU\ WKUHH \HDUV RU PRUH
IUHTXHQWO\ LI WULJJHUHG E\ VLJQLFDQW FKDQJH LQ UHSRUWHG
JXUHV RU SHUIRUPDQFH LVVXHV 7KHVH DXGLWV DUH IDFLOLWDWHG
E\7 ,EXWFDUULHGRXWDQGUHSRUWHGE\H[WHUQDOFRQWUDFWRUV
IURP PDMRU PLQLQJ FRQVXOWDQFLHV XQGHU WKH VXSHUYLVLRQ RI
5LR7LQWR*URXS$XGLW$XGLWUHVXOWGHWDLOVDUHUHSRUWHGEDFN
WR WKH %8 IRU DFWLRQ DQG WR WKH 256& DW WKH QH[W TXDUWHUO\
PHHWLQJ IRU WUDFNLQJ DQG UHYLHZ )XUWKHUPRUH VLJQLFDQW
DXGLWQGLQJVDQGDVVRFLDWHGDFWLRQSODQVDUHDOVRUHSRUWHG
WRWKH%$&)LJXUHGLUHFWO\WKURXJK*URXS$XGLW
AuditandAnnual
Reviewsummary
837
'DWD8SORDG LIUHTXLUHG
FIG 4 - Resources and Reserves reporting system data flow and approvals.
3XEOLFO\UHSRUWHGJXUHVPXVWEHVXSSRUWHGE\DSSURSULDWH
OHYHOV RI WHFKQLFDO GRFXPHQWDWLRQ LQFOXGLQJ DQ LQWHUQDO
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVUHSRUWSURGXFHGDQQXDOO\IROORZLQJWKH
-25&&RGHV7DEOHRXWOLQH7KLVGRFXPHQWDWLRQLVSURGXFHG
WRVXSSRUWDOOUHSRUWHG0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHV
RQDQDQQXDOEDVLV
2XWVLGH RI WKH DQQXDO UHSRUW F\FOH QHZ RU PDWHULDOO\
FKDQJHG 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV RU 2UH 5HVHUYHV DUH UHOHDVHG WR
PDUNHWDFFRPSDQLHGE\H[SODQDWRU\QRWHVRQWKHFRUSRUDWH
ZHEVLWHZKLFKDUHDOVRSXEOLFO\DYDLODEOH
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQGHYHORSPHQWDQGVXSSRUWLVDOVRFULWLFDO
WR WKH EXVLQHVV JLYHQ WKH ODUJH QXPEHU RI DFWLYH PLQLQJ
DQG GHYHORSPHQW SURMHFWV DQG UHJLRQV ,Q WKHUH ZHUH
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV LQ SODFH ZLWK DGGLWLRQDO SHUVRQQHO
QRPLQDWHGDV&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVLQWUDLQLQJLQWKHPDMRULW\
RIEXVLQHVVHV
*LYHQWKHODUJHQXPEHURIDFWLYH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVWKHUH
DUH VHYHUDO PHWKRGV RI RQJRLQJ SURIHVVLRQDO GHYHORSPHQW
VXSSRUWHGLQFOXGLQJDZHEEDVHG&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQIRUXP
DQG DQQXDO &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ WUDLQLQJ ZRUNVKRSV ZKLFK
JLYH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ WR QHWZRUN VKDUH
EHVWSUDFWLFHDQGWREHEULHIHGRQHYROYLQJH[WHUQDOJRYHUQDQFH
DVSHFWV,QDGGLWLRQ7 ,UHYLHZVDVZHOODVSHHUUHYLHZVIURP
%8SHUVRQQHOLQVLPLODUFRPPRGLWLHVRUJHRJUDSKLFUHJLRQV
DUHDOVRVXSSRUWHGLQRUGHUWRLPSURYHUHVRXUFHVDQGUHVHUYHV
FRQVLVWHQF\DQG&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQGHYHORSPHQW
CONCLUSIONS
,QLWZDVUHSRUWHGWKDW5LR7LQWRVXSSRUWHGJRYHUQDQFH
WKURXJK D 7HFKQLFDO 6HUYLFHV JURXS *RYHUQDQFH QRZ
838
UXQV WKURXJK WKUHH OHYHOV RI WKH FRUSRUDWLRQ $V 5LR 7LQWR
KDV JURZQ WKH JRYHUQDQFH HIIRUW KDV EHHQ HQKDQFHG LQ LWV
YLVLELOLW\ WR WKH WRS OHYHOV RI WKH JURXS LQ WKH %$& DV ZHOO
DVLWVRYHUVLJKWWKURXJKWKH256&DQGVXSSRUWWKURXJK7 ,
7KH256&YHWVDOOQRPLQDWHG&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVDFURVVWKH
JURXSDQGUHYLHZVWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQUHSRUWVDQQXDOO\
,QWURGXFWLRQRIWKH5556KDVHQKDQFHGWUDQVSDUHQF\WRWKH
GHSRVLW OHYHO DQG IDFLOLWDWHG HUURU FKHFNLQJ DQG HOHFWURQLF
DXWKRULVDWLRQ E\ &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV 7KRVH SUHSDULQJ WKH
UHVRXUFHDQGUHVHUYHHVWLPDWHVFDQQGVXSSRUWWKURXJKSHHU
UHYLHZVIURPQHLJKERXULQJRUVLPLODU%8VDQQXDO&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQWUDLQLQJDQGFRPSDULVRQRIGRFXPHQWHG&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQ UHSRUWV *RYHUQDQFH DOVR DFFHVVHV *URXS $XGLW DQG
$VVXUDQFHWRPDQDJHWKHRQJRLQJUHVRXUFHDQGUHVHUYHDXGLW
SURJUDP ZKHUH %8V DUH FKHFNHG WKURXJK DQ LQGHSHQGHQW
DXGLWSURFHVVRQDWOHDVWDWKUHH\HDUURWDWLQJEDVLV
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRUV ZLVK WR DFNQRZOHGJH WKH FRRSHUDWLRQ DQG
SHUPLVVLRQRI5LR7LQWRLQSXWWLQJWKLVSDSHUIRUZDUGDQGWR
3&ROOLHUIRUZRUNRQWKH5556
REFERENCES
5LFNXV-(7KHLPSRUWDQFHRI5HVRXUFHVDQG5HVHUYHVWRWKH
5LR 5LQWR JURXS LQ Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
The AusIMM Guide to Good PracticeHG$&(GZDUGVSS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
HOME
1. Fiona Gardiner-Hill was a partner at Herbert Smith Freehills. She sadly passed away just before the publication of this volume. Permission from the family to include this paper here is
gratefully acknowledged.
839
Defences to liability
$V QRWHG DERYH D &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ QDPHG LQ D WDNHRYHU
GRFXPHQWZKRKDVFRQVHQWHGWRDVWDWHPHQWRUDGRFXPHQW
EDVHG RQ D VWDWHPHQW EHLQJ LQFOXGHG LQ WKH 3XEOLF 5HSRUW
PD\EHOLDEOHIRUDQ\ORVVRUGDPDJHVXIIHUHGE\DQ\LQYHVWRU
DVDUHVXOWRIWKHLQYHVWRUVUHOLDQFHRQVXFKVWDWHPHQWV
7KH WDNHRYHU OLDELOLW\ UHJLPH FRQWDLQV D QXPEHU RI
LPSRUWDQWGHIHQFHVWRWKLVOLDELOLW\7KHVHLQFOXGHZKHUHWKH
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQ
$6,&KDVUHOLHYHGWKH&RUSRUDWLRQV$FWUHTXLUHPHQWWRREWDLQ
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVFRQVHQWIRULQFOXVLRQRIWKHLUVWDWHPHQWV
LQ WDNHRYHU GRFXPHQWV ZKHUH WKH UHOHYDQW VWDWHPHQW KDV
SUHYLRXVO\EHHQPDGHLQDGRFXPHQWUHOHDVHGWRWKH$6;RU
$6,&$6,&&ODVV2UGHU&2
$&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQZLOODOVRQRWEHOLDEOHLIWKH\DUHDEOH
WR VKRZ WKDW WKH\ SXEOLFO\ ZLWKGUHZ WKHLU FRQVHQW WR EHLQJ
QDPHGLQWKHWDNHRYHUGRFXPHQW
840
GLGQRWNQRZWKHVWDWHPHQWZDVPLVOHDGLQJRUGHFHSWLYH
GLGQRWNQRZWKDWWKHUHZDVDQRPLVVLRQLQWKHWDNHRYHU
GRFXPHQW LQ UHODWLRQ WR WKH PDWWHU GHDOW ZLWK E\ WKHLU
VWDWHPHQW
LQ PDNLQJ WKH VWDWHPHQW DQG SURYLGLQJ FRQVHQW SODFHG
UHDVRQDEOH UHOLDQFH RQ LQIRUPDWLRQ JLYHQ WR WKHP E\
DQRWKHU SDUW\ RWKHU WKDQ DQ HPSOR\HH RU DJHQW RI WKH
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ VXFK DV WKH FRPSDQ\ LVVXLQJ WKH
WDNHRYHUGRFXPHQW
$WDSUDFWLFDOOHYHOWRPLWLJDWHWKHLUSHUVRQDOOLDELOLW\ULVN
D&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVKRXOGEHSUHSDUHGWRGHPRQVWUDWHWKDW
WKH\
SUMMARY
*LYHQWKHFRPELQHGHIIHFWRIWKHFRQVHQWUHTXLUHPHQWVLQWKH
-25& &RGH WKH /LVWLQJ 5XOHV DQG WKH WDNHRYHU SURYLVLRQV
ZKHQGUDIWLQJVWDWHPHQWVWKDWPD\EHLQFOXGHGLQWDNHRYHU
GRFXPHQWV &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV OLNH DOO RWKHU SHUVRQV
LQYROYHGLQWKHSUHSDUDWLRQRIWDNHRYHUGRFXPHQWVFOHDUO\
QHHGWREHDOHUWWRWKHSRVVLELOLW\WKDWLIDVWDWHPHQWIRUZKLFK
WKH\DUHUHVSRQVLEOHLVIRXQGWREHPLVOHDGLQJRUGHFHSWLYH
WKH\FRXOGIDFHWKHSURVSHFWRISHUVRQDOOLDELOLW\
7RPDLQWDLQEHVWSUDFWLFHDQGWRPLWLJDWHDQ\OLDELOLW\LVVXHV
ZKHQ SUHSDULQJ VWDWHPHQWV DERXW UHVRXUFHV &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQVVKRXOG
Liability Issues Arising in Relation to Exploration, Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Reports Included in Takeover Documents|F Gardiner-Hill
EHDZDUHWKH\DUHOLNHO\WREHDSSURDFKHGIRUFRQVHQWLI
WKH UHVRXUFH VWDWHPHQW WKH\ SUHSDUHG LV WR EH XVHG LQ D
WDNHRYHUGRFXPHQW
UHYLHZWKHLUGXHGLOLJHQFHV\VWHPVWRHQVXUHWKDWWKH\DUH
DSSURSULDWH
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRU WKDQNV 0LOOL )HOGPDQ IRU KHU DVVLVWDQFH LQ
SUHSDULQJ WKLV SDSHU DV ZHOO DV 7RQ\ 'DPLDQ DQG $QGUHZ
5LFKFRDXWKRUVRIWKH)UHHKLOOVM&A NewsletterDUWLFOH
RQZKLFKWKLVSDSHUZDVEDVHG7KLVSDSHUGRHVQRWFRQVWLWXWH
OHJDODGYLFHDQGVKRXOGQRWEHUHOLHGRQDVVXFK
841
HOME
1. Partner, Corporate Advisory, Gadens Lawyers, 77 Castlereagh Street, Sydney NSW 2000. Email: [email protected]
* An earlier version of this paper was published as an article in the AusIMM Bulletin, Jan/Feb 2008 edition, pp 56-64.
INTRODUCTION
'LVFORVLQJHQWLWLHVWKDWDUHVXEMHFWWRWKH$XVWUDOLDQ6HFXULWLHV
([FKDQJH $6; /LVWLQJ 5XOHV PXVW ZKHQ SUHSDULQJ
LQIRUPDWLRQ RQ ([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV RU
2UH 5HVHUYHVIRUGLVFORVXUHWR LQYHVWRUVSRWHQWLDOLQYHVWRUV
DQG WKHLU DGYLVHUV FRPSO\ ZLWK WKH $XVWUDODVLDQ &RGH IRU
5HSRUWLQJRI([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWV0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH
5HVHUYHV-25&&RGH
7KLV RIWHQ DULVHV LQ UHODWLRQ WR OLVWHG PLQLQJ FRPSDQLHV
UHSRUWLQJUHTXLUHPHQWVXQGHU$6;/LVWLQJ5XOHEXWFDQ
DOVR EH UHOHYDQW ZKHQ SUHSDULQJ D UHSRUW IRU D GLVFORVXUH
GRFXPHQWVXFKDVDSURVSHFWXVIRUDQLQLWLDOSXEOLFRIIHULQJ
ULJKWV LVVXH HWF ELGGHU RU WDUJHW VWDWHPHQW RU VFKHPH RI
DUUDQJHPHQW
7KH-25&&RGHUHTXLUHVWKDWWKHGRFXPHQWDWLRQRQZKLFK
VXFK D UHSRUW LV EDVHG PXVW EH SUHSDUHG E\ RU XQGHU WKH
GLUHFWLRQRIDQGVLJQHGE\D&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQRU3HUVRQV
-25&&RGH&ODXVH
7KLV DUWLFOH SURYLGHV D EULHI RYHUYLHZ RI WKH SRWHQWLDO
OLDELOLWLHV IDFHG E\ &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV DV D UHVXOW RI WKHLU
SURIHVVLRQDO UROH LQ SUHSDULQJ WKHLU UHSRUW 7KLV DUWLFOH GRHV
QRWLQWHQGWRFRYHUWKHDGGLWLRQDOGXWLHVWKDWDIIHFW&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQVZKRDUHDOVRGLUHFWRUVRIWKHGLVFORVLQJHQWLW\QRUGRHV
LWVHHNWRDGGUHVVOLDELOLWLHVWKDWPD\DULVHLQWKHFLUFXPVWDQFHV
LQYROYLQJGHOLEHUDWHIUDXGXOHQWLQWHQWRID&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQ
,WVKRXOGEHQRWHGWKDWDOOUHIHUHQFHVWRUHSRUWVLQWKLVSDSHU
DQGLQWKH-25&&RGHDUHWKRVHUHSRUWVWKDWDUHUHOHDVHGE\
WKHUHOHYDQWFRPSDQ\WRWKHSXEOLF:KDWWKLVDUWLFOHIRFXVHV
RQLVWKHGRFXPHQWDWLRQDQGPDWHULDOWKDWKDVEHHQSUHSDUHG
E\WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQDQGWKDWLVUHOLHGXSRQLQDQ\VXFK
UHSRUW E\ WKH FRPSDQ\ XVXDOO\ D SXEOLF UHSRUW ,W LV PRUH
RIWHQWKDWD&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQZLOOEHSURYLGLQJPDWHULDOWR
DFRPSDQ\IRUGLVFORVXUHLQDUHSRUWE\WKHFRPSDQ\DQGQRW
KDYHKLVRUKHURZQUHSRUWGLVFORVHG7KLVLVWREHFRPSDUHG
WR WKH &DQDGLDQ 6\VWHP ZKLFK UHTXLUHV WKH &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQVUHSRUWLWVHOIWREHGLVFORVHGXQGHU1,
843
7KHEHWWHUYLHZLQWKHDXWKRUVRSLQLRQLVWKDWSURYLGLQJ
D TXDQWLFDWLRQ RI ULVN GHSHQGLQJ RQ WKH SDUWLFXODU
FLUFXPVWDQFHV LV XQOLNHO\ WR LQFUHDVH WKH OLNHOLKRRG RI
OLWLJDWLRQ $W EHVW LW ZRXOG DVVLVW LQ GHWHUPLQLQJ GDPDJHV
VXIIHUHGEXWQRWOLDELOLW\
,W LV WKHUHIRUH D ULVN PDQDJHPHQW WHFKQLTXH LW LV QRW D
SDQDFHD,I\RXGR\RXUMRELQDOHVVWKDQFDUHIXODQGWKRURXJK
PDQQHU DQG ZLWKRXW \RXU PHWKRGRORJ\ DQG YHULFDWLRQ
FOHDUO\GHPRQVWUDWHGWKHQDQ\GLVFODLPHURUTXDOLFDWLRQRI
ULVNDQGXQFHUWDLQW\ZLOOQRWKHOS\RX
7KHUH KDYH EHHQ VLJQLFDQW WHFKQLFDO FKDQJHV VLQFH
FXOPLQDWLQJLQWKH-25&&RGH3
Administrative sanctions
Complaints to relevant professional organisations
2Q DQ DGPLQLVWUDWLYH OHYHO FRPSODLQWV PDGH LQ UHVSHFW RI
WKH SURIHVVLRQDO ZRUN RI D &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ ZLOO EH GHDOW
ZLWK XQGHU WKH GLVFLSOLQDU\ SURFHGXUHV RI WKH SURIHVVLRQDO
RUJDQLVDWLRQ WR ZKLFK WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ EHORQJV
ZKHWKHU WKDW RUJDQLVDWLRQ LV DQ $XVWUDOLDQ SURIHVVLRQDO
ERG\RUDQDSSURYHG5232DVSXEOLVKHGRQ$6;RU-25&
ZHEVLWHVIURPWLPHWRWLPHLQWKHOLVWSURPXOJDWHGE\WKH$6;
IURP WLPH WR WLPH 7KH UHOHYDQW UXOHV RI WKH WZR $XVWUDOLDQ
SURIHVVLRQDORUJDQLVDWLRQVDUHJLYHQEHORZ
discussion of the changes between the 2004 and 2012 JORC Codes.
844
GHDOZLWKWKHFRPSODLQWLIGHHPHGZLWKLQWKHDXWKRULW\RI
WKH&RPSODLQWV&RPPLWWHH$XV,00%\/DZVGLY
UHIHU WKH FRPSODLQW WR WKH (WKLFV &RPPLWWHH LI EUHDFKHV
RIWKH$XV,00V&RGHRI(WKLFVDUHDOOHJHGRUVXVSHFWHG
$XV,00%\/DZGY
GLVPLVVWKHFRPSODLQW$XV,00%\/DZVGLY
,I WKH FRPSODLQW LV UHIHUUHG WR WKH (WKLFV &RPPLWWHH WKH
(WKLFV&RPPLWWHHWKHQKDVSRZHUVWRZDUQRUUHSULPDQGWKH
PHPEHU FRQFHUQHG RU UHVROYH WKDW WKH PHPEHUVKLS RI WKH
PHPEHUFRQFHUQHGEHVXVSHQGHGIRUDSHULRGQRWH[FHHGLQJ
PRQWKVRUWKDWWKHPHPEHUEHH[SHOOHGIURPWKH$XV,00
$XV,00%\/DZJ
H[SXOVLRQRIWKHPHPEHU
VXVSHQVLRQ RI D PHPEHU DQGRU GHPRWLRQ WR D ORZHU
JUDGHRIPHPEHUVKLS
DUDQJHRIPRUHPLQRUSHQDOWLHV
DQDSRORJ\SXEOLVKHGRUZULWWHQRUYHUEDOPD\IRUPSDUW
RIDQ\SHQDOW\
Statutory liability
Misleading and deceptive reports the Corporations Act
2001 (Cth)
,Q DGGLWLRQ WR WKH GLVFLSOLQDU\ DFWLRQV RI WKH UHOHYDQW
SURIHVVLRQDORUJDQLVDWLRQVZKLFKFDQLPSDFWRQD&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQV DELOLW\ WR ZRUN ZLWKLQ WKH SURIHVVLRQ WKHUH DUH
VWDWXWRU\ SURYLVLRQV WKDW DOVR LPSRVH SHFXQLDU\ DQG RWKHU
OLDELOLWLHV RQ D &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ DULVLQJ IURP KLV RU KHU
PDWHULDO WKDW LV XVHG LQ UHSRUWV WKDW DUH PLVOHDGLQJ DQG
GHFHSWLYHRULQGHHGWKHUHSRUWVWKHPVHOYHVLILVVXHGE\WKH
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQ
Scope of liability
&RXUWV KDYH EHHQ SUHSDUHG WR DFNQRZOHGJH VRPH SUDFWLFDO
OLPLWDWLRQV RQ OLDELOLW\ RI H[SHUWV IRU PLVOHDGLQJ PDWHULDO
VXFKDVWKDWSURYLGHGLQGRFXPHQWDWLRQVXEPLWWHGWRRIIHUHHV
XQGHUWDNHRYHUELGV7KHUHVWLOOKRZHYHUUHPDLQVVFRSHIRU
OLDELOLW\DULVLQJIURPPLVOHDGLQJUHSRUWVRIDVLPLODUNLQGDV
WKDWZKLFKZDVWKHVXEMHFWRIWKH&DUU%R\GFDVHCarr Boyd
Minerals Ltd v Queen Margaret Gold Mines NL
,Q WKDW FDVH DQ H[SHUWV UHSRUW DFFRPSDQ\LQJ D ELGGHUV
VWDWHPHQWZDVIRXQGWREHPLVOHDGLQJ&HUWDLQDVVXPSWLRQV
DQGFDOFXODWLRQVPDGHLQWKHUHSRUWZHUHQRWOLQNHGQRUGLG
WKH\H[SODLQDQ\FKDQJHLQWKHYDOXHDWWKHSDUWLFXODUPLQH
:DOODFH-IRXQGWKDWDQH[SHUWVUHSRUWDFFRPSDQ\LQJWKH
ELG VWDWHPHQW FRQWDLQHG D QXPEHU RI PDWWHUV RU LWHPV RI
LQIRUPDWLRQ WKDW ZHUH PLVOHDGLQJ LQ WKH IRUP DQG FRQWH[W
LQZKLFKWKH\DSSHDUHG,QWKLVFDVHWKHSODLQWLIIIRFXVHGRQ
WKH PLVOHDGLQJ RU LQDGHTXDFLHV RI FRPPHQWV LQ VXSSRUW RI
DGLIIHUHQFHEHWZHHQDYDOXDWLRQRIWKHJROGPLQHDW0
DQG WKH YDOXDWLRQ RI WKDW VDPH JROG PLQH DW 0 E\ WKH
Materiality
7KH TXHVWLRQ RI ZKHWKHU D VWDWHPHQW WKDW LV PDGH RU
LQIRUPDWLRQ WKDW LV JLYHQ LQ D UHSRUW LV PLVOHDGLQJ RU
GHFHSWLYHPD\WXUQRQWKHLVVXHDVWRZKHWKHUWKHVWDWHPHQW
RULQIRUPDWLRQZDVPDWHULDOO\PLVOHDGLQJRUQRW
7KHUHLVQRKDUGDQGIDVWUXOHUHJDUGLQJWKHWKUHVKROGIRU
PDWHULDOLW\ 7KHUHIRUH WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ ZLOO QHHG WR
EHDZDUHRIWKHUHOHYDQWPDWHULDOLW\JXLGHOLQHVRUWKUHVKROG
DPRXQWV RI WKH GLVFORVLQJ FRPSDQ\ WKDW ZLOO DSSO\ WR D
JLYHQUHSRUWDVZHOODVFRQVLGHULQJKLVRUKHURZQSRWHQWLDO
WKUHVKROGV0DWHULDOLW\PD\EHDGLIFXOWFRQFHSWHVSHFLDOO\
LIWKHUHLVQRWDIRUPDOSURFHVVGHWHUPLQLQJPDWHULDOLW\VXFK
DVLQDGXHGLOLJHQFHFRPPLWWHHIRUDSURVSHFWXVGHSHQGLQJ
RQWKHUHSRUW
7KH -25& &RGH DLPV IRU WUDQVSDUHQF\ LQ UHSRUWLQJ VXFK
WKDWUHDGHUVDUHSURYLGHGVXIFLHQWLQIRUPDWLRQLQDFOHDUDQG
XQDPELJXRXV PDQQHU 7KHUHIRUH VRPH GHJUHH RI EDODQFH
PXVWEHDSSOLHGLQRUGHUWRSURYLGHHQRXJKLQIRUPDWLRQWR
FRYHU WKH SULQFLSOH RI PDWHULDOLW\ ZKLOH DW WKH VDPH WLPH
QRWGHWDLOLQJH[FHVVLYHLQIRUPDWLRQVRDVWRPDNHWKHUHSRUW
FRQIXVLQJDQGSRWHQWLDOO\PLVOHDGLQJIRUWKHDXGLHQFH7KH
-25& &RGH VHWV RXW JXLGHOLQHV IRU WKH GLVWLQFWLRQ EHWZHHQ
([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO 5HVRXUFHV DQG 2UH 5HVHUYHV
WKDWWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQPXVWDSSO\VRDVWRHVWDEOLVKDQ
DSSURSULDWH GHJUHH RI PDWHULDOLW\ )XUWKHUPRUH WKH
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
845
,WPXVWEHQRWHGKRZHYHUWKDWWKLVGHIHQFHLVRQO\DYDLODEOH
IRU D FRQWUDYHQWLRQ RI FLYLO SHQDOW\ SURYLVLRQV VXFK DV
ZKHQWKHFODLPDQWLVVHHNLQJGDPDJHVIRUWKHHFRQRPLFORVV
VXIIHUHG
7KLVLVWREHGLVWLQJXLVKHGIURPPDWHULDOLW\DVVHWRXWLQ
VHFWLRQRIWKH-25&&RGH5,ID&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQSURYLGHV
IRUH[DPSOHDUHSRUWWRDMRLQWYHQWXUHUHJDUGLQJDSDUWLFXODU
PLQH WKH FRQWH[W RI WKDW UHSRUW QHHGV WR EH ERUQH LQ PLQG
ZKHQ ERWK MRLQW YHQWXUHUV DUH GLVFORVLQJ 7KH GLVFORVXUH
PD\WDNH DGLIIHUHQWIRUPDQGFRQWH[W LIWKHMRLQWYHQWXUHUV
FRPSULVHDODUJHPXOWLQDWLRQDORQWKHRQHKDQGDQGDMXQLRU
H[SORUHURQWKHRWKHU0DWHULDOLW\IRUPDQGFRQWH[WPD\ZHOO
GLIIHU7KHWRXFKVWRQHLVWKDWWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQPXVWVLJQ
RIIWKHIRUPDQGFRQWH[WLQZKLFKKLVRUKHUUHSRUWLVEHLQJ
SURYLGHGVHSDUDWHO\WRERWKHQWLWLHVLQWKLVFDVH
WKHLQIRUPDWLRQRUDGYLFHZDVOLNHO\WRPLVOHDGRUGHFHLYH
WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ RU DGYLFH ZDV JLYHQ E\ D FRUSRUDWLRQ
LQ WUDGH RU FRPPHUFH ZKLFK FDQ LQFOXGH GHDOLQJ ZLWK
FXVWRPHUVRUFRPPXQLFDWLQJZLWKVKDUHKROGHUV
WKHSODLQWLIIVXIIHUHGORVVE\UHDVRQRIWKHLQIRUPDWLRQRU
DGYLFH
$Q HVVHQWLDO DVSHFW LV WKDW V $&/ GRHV QRW UHTXLUH D
GXW\RIFDUHWREHHVWDEOLVKHGDQGVRLWZRXOGVHHPWRKDYH
DEURDGHUDSSOLFDWLRQWKDQIRUH[DPSOHDQDFWLRQLQWRUWIRU
QHJOLJHQFH+RZHYHUWKHUHDUHDQXPEHURIH[FOXVLRQVZKLFK
UHVWULFW WKH VFRSH VXFK DV WKDW V DSSOLHV WR FRUSRUDWLRQV
RQO\DQGQRWWRLQGLYLGXDOV
1RQHWKHOHVV WKHUH LV H[SRVXUH WR SRWHQWLDO VHFRQGDU\
OLDELOLW\ XQGHU V ZKLFK SURYLGHV WKDW D SHUVRQ ZKR
VXIIHUVORVVRUGDPDJHE\FRQGXFWRIDQRWKHUSHUVRQWKDWZDV
GRQHLQFRQWUDYHQWLRQRIDPRQJRWKHUVVPD\UHFRYHUWKH
DPRXQW RI WKH ORVV RU GDPDJH E\ DFWLRQ DJDLQVW WKDW RWKHU
SHUVRQRUDJDLQVWDQ\SHUVRQLQYROYHGLQWKHFRQWUDYHQWLRQ
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRQRWHWKDWGHVSLWHWKHUHVWULFWLRQVRQWKH
DSSOLFDWLRQRIV$&/HDFKRIWKHVWDWHEDVHG)DLU7UDGLQJ
$FWV KDYH HTXLYDOHQW SURYLVLRQV WR V 73$ EXW ZLWKRXW
WKH UHVWULFWLRQV RQ WKHLU DSSOLFDWLRQ ZLWK WKH H[FHSWLRQ RI
WDNHRYHU RU IXQGUDLVLQJ GRFXPHQWDWLRQ XQGHU V$ DQG
VUHVSHFWLYHO\RIWKH&RUSRUDWLRQV$FW
:KHQ LV FRQGXFW PLVOHDGLQJ RU GHFHSWLYH RU OLNHO\ WR
PLVOHDG RU GHFHLYH IRU WKH SXUSRVHV RI V" 7KH IROORZLQJ
PD\DVVLVW
WKHUH KDV WR EH D UHDO SURVSHFW WKDW WKH FRQGXFW ZLOO
PLVOHDGQRWDPHUHSRVVLELOLW\WKHZRUGXVHGLVOLNHO\
IDLOLQJWRGLVFORVHLQIRUPDWLRQLVSRWHQWLDOO\DVPLVOHDGLQJ
DVGLVFORVLQJIDOVHLQIRUPDWLRQ
WRPLVOHDGVRPHRQHLVWROHDGWKDWSHUVRQRQDUHDVRQDEOH
EDVLVWRUHDFKDIDOVHRUHUURQHRXVFRQFOXVLRQ
it that a reasonable person would expect to have a material effect on the price or value of
the entitys securities, the entity must immediately tell ASX that information.
5. As follows: Materiality requires that a Public Report contains all the relevant information
which investors and their professional advisers would reasonably require, and reasonably
expect to find in the report, for the purpose of making a reasoned and balanced
judgement regarding the Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves being
reported.
6. Readers are referred to Clause 9 of the 2012 Code.
846
1HJOLJHQWPLVVWDWHPHQWLQYROYHVSURRIRI
WKHH[LVWHQFHRIDGXW\RIFDUH
EUHDFKRIWKHGXW\
FDXVDWLRQ EDVHG RQ SUR[LPLW\ DQG UHOLDQFH RI DFWXDO
GDPDJH
7KHWHVWRIZKHWKHUWKHUHKDVEHHQQHJOLJHQWPLVVWDWHPHQW
LVZKHWKHUWKHDGYLFHRULQIRUPDWLRQZDVFRQVLVWHQWZLWKWKDW
RIDUHDVRQDEO\FRPSHWHQWSURIHVVLRQDOLQWKHUHOHYDQWHOG
7KH LQIRUPDWLRQ RU DGYLFH QHHG QRW WR KDYH EHHQ JLYHQ
WRWKHUHFLSLHQWEHLQJWKHSHUVRQRUFRPSDQ\DOOHJLQJWKH\
VXIIHUHGGDPDJHEHLWWKHFRPSDQ\WKHUHSRUWLVFRPSOHWHG
IRURUDWKLUGSDUW\UHO\LQJXSRQLWDVORQJDVWKHUHODWLRQVKLS
LV VXIFLHQWO\ SUR[LPDWH WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ RU DGYLFH ZDV
LQFRPSHWHQW ZDV UHOLHG XSRQ E\ WKH UHFLSLHQW DQG WKH ORVV
ZDVIRUHVHHDEOH
EXAMPLES
7KHLVVXHIRUD&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQLVRQHRIULVNPDQDJHPHQW
,WZDVKHOGWKDW&DUEHQGLGQRWKDYHDQDFWLRQDJDLQVW&DOWH[
XQGHU HLWKHU V RI WKH 7UDGH 3UDFWLFHV $FW 73$ QRZ
V $&/ RU D QHJOLJHQW PLVVWDWHPHQW FODLP EHFDXVH WKH
VWDWHPHQWVZHUHPDGHE\((6QRW&DOWH[+RZHYHUWKHFDVH
VXJJHVWVWKDWWKHUHPD\KDYHEHHQDEDVLVIRUDFODLPXQGHU
73$QRZWKH$&/RUQHJOLJHQWPLVVWDWHPHQWLI&DOWH[KDG
NQRZQWKDWWKHUHSRUWZDVPLVOHDGLQJ
7KHSRWHQWLDOOLDELOLWLHVIRU&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVUDQJHIURP
DGPLQLVWUDWLYH RUGHUV VXFK DV UHSULPDQG VXVSHQVLRQ RU
H[SXOVLRQRIPHPEHUVKLSIURPWKHSURIHVVLRQDORUJDQLVDWLRQ
RQ WKH RQH KDQG WR VWDWXWRU\ DQG FLYLO OLDELOLWLHV VXFK
DV GDPDJHV IRU HFRQRPLF ORVV DQG LQFDUFHUDWLRQ RQ WKH
RWKHU KDQG $FFRUGLQJO\ D QXPEHU RI PHDVXUHV PXVW EH
XQGHUWDNHQ WR HQVXUH WKDW WKH OLDELOLWLHV DUH DGHTXDWHO\
PLQLPLVHGLQFOXGLQJ
$OVRWKHFODLPRIQHJOLJHQFHDJDLQVW&DOWH[IDLOHGDVWKHUH
ZDVQRHYLGHQFHWKDW&DOWH[NQHZWKDWWKHZRUNSURSRVHGE\
((6ZRXOGEHLQVXIFLHQWWRHQDEOH((6WRSURSHUO\FRPSOHWH
WKHUHSRUW
WKHVDPSOHVL]HXVHGIRUWKHGDWDZDVWRRVPDOO
WKHH[SORUDWLRQSURJUDPZDVLQWRRHDUO\DSKDVHUHODWLYH
WRWKHFRQGHQFHOHYHOUHSRUWHG
WKH UHSRUW ZDV SUHSDUHG E\ D SHUVRQ ZKR LV QRW D
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQXQGHUWKH-25&&RGHASC v MacLeod
:$5
SUMMARY
&OHDUWHUPVDQGSXUSRVHRIHQJDJHPHQWE\WKHFRPSDQ\
RIWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQIRUWKHSUHSDUDWLRQRIWKHUHSRUW
RUWKHGRFXPHQWDWLRQRIDQDO\VLVHQDEOLQJWKHSUHSDUDWLRQ
RIWKHUHSRUW
7KRURXJK DQG SURIHVVLRQDO IXOOPHQW RI WKH VHUYLFH E\
WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ LQ SUHSDULQJ WKH GRFXPHQWDWLRQ
RU UHSRUW LQ DFFRUGDQFH ZLWK WKH -25& &RGH LQFOXGLQJ
H[SUHVVGLVFORVXUHRIDQ\VKRUWFRPLQJVRUGLVDJUHHPHQWV
KHOGE\WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQLQUHODWLRQWRWKHXVHRIWKH
UHSRUWE\WKHFRPSDQ\
6XSSOLHG LQIRUPDWLRQ VKRXOG QRW EH WDNHQ DW IDFH YDOXH
ZKHQSUHSDULQJDQLQGHSHQGHQWH[SHUWUHSRUW&RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQV VKRXOG EH VDWLVHG WKDW WKH LQIRUPDWLRQ LV
UHDVRQDEOHRUVKRXOGFDUYHLWRXWRIWKHLUUHSRUW
$OWKRXJKRIOLPLWHGXVHGLVFODLPHUVVKRXOGEHLQFOXGHG
7KHUHSRUWVKRXOGFOHDUO\RXWOLQHZKDWLWLVIRUDQGZKR
FDQUHO\XSRQLWDQGIRUZKDWSXUSRVH7KHUHSRUWVKRXOG
GLUHFWO\OLQNWRWKHFRPPHQW7KHXVXDOERLOHUSODWHVXFK
DVDGLVFODLPHUFODXVHDWWKHHQGRIDUHSRUWVKRXOGQRWEH
XVHGDVWKH\GRQWDOZD\VZRUN
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
847
5HWDLQHU OHWWHUV FDQ EH XVHG WR OLPLW OLDELOLW\ EXW WKH
FRPSHWLWLYH DGYDQWDJH WR JHW WKH EXVLQHVV DQG RQHV
WROHUDQFH WR ULVN FRPPHUFLDO LVVXHV VKRXOG EH
FRQVLGHUHG 5HWDLQHUV VKRXOG EH OLPLWHG LQ VFRSH DQG
TXDQWXP ,QGHPQLW\ IURP WKH FRPSDQ\ DV WR WKH IRUP
DQGFRQWH[WLQZKLFKWKHUHSRUWPD\DSSHDULQDQ\SXEOLF
GLVFORVXUHE\WKHFRPSDQ\PLJKWDOVREHUHTXLUHGLQWKH
FDVH RI WKH FRPSDQ\ UHSURGXFLQJ LQIRUPDWLRQ ZLWKRXW
VLJQRII
:KLOH WKHUH LV QR QHHG WR EH LQGHSHQGHQW LQ WKH -25&
&RGHQHYHUWKHOHVVWKHUHLVDQHHGIRUD&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQ
WRIXOOKLVRUKHUSURIHVVLRQDOREOLJDWLRQVVHSDUDWHIURP
WKH FRPSDQ\ ZKHWKHU KH RU VKH LV DQ LQGHSHQGHQW
FRQWUDFWRUWRWKHFRPSDQ\RUDQHPSOR\HHRURIFHURIWKH
FRPSDQ\ 7R WKH H[WHQW RI WKHLU SURIHVVLRQDO REOLJDWLRQV
DVD&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQWKH\DUHLQGHSHQGHQW7KH-25&
&RGHUHTXLUHVIXOOWLPHHPSOR\HHRIWKHFRPSDQ\WRVWDWH
WKDWIDFWLQDQ\FRPSOLDQFHVWDWHPHQWVUHIHUWR&ODXVH
RIWKH-25&&RGH7KHUHOHYDQWUHODWLRQVKLSVKRXOGEH
GLVFORVHG ZKDWHYHU LW LV EH LW HPSOR\HH LQGHSHQGHQW
FRQWUDFWRURURIFHUGLUHFWRURIWKHFRPSDQ\
7KH UHDVRQLQJ DQG WHFKQLTXH HPSOR\HG WR FRPH WR D
GHFLVLRQ VKRXOG EH FDUHIXOO\ FRQVLGHUHG 7KHUH PD\ EH
DOWHUQDWLYHV 7KH SURFHVV DGRSWHG WR DUULYH DW D YLHZ
VKRXOGEHFOHDU
$ FOHDU VXPPDU\ RI PDMRU DVVXPSWLRQV PHWKRGRORJLHV
GDWHV HWF VKRXOG EH LQFOXGHG :RUNLQJ SDSHUV VKRXOG
EH DEOH WR EH XVHG WR YHULI\ WKH VWDWHPHQWV DQG
PHWKRGRORJLHV &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV VKRXOG EH DZDUH RI
KRZWKHLUGRFXPHQWDWLRQZLOOEHGHDOWZLWKDQGGLVFORVHG
E\WKHFRPSDQ\LQDQ\3XEOLF5HSRUW
0LVOHDGLQJRUGHFHSWLYHVWDWHPHQWVRURPLVVLRQVVKRXOG
EHDYRLGHGUHIHUDERYHWRWKH&DUU%R\GFDVH
,QVXUDQFH VKRXOG EH FRQVLGHUHG DQG FKHFNHG ZLWK WKH
EURNHUWRHQVXUHDQDGHTXDWHOHYHORIFRYHUDJHLVLQSODFH
7KLVLVSDUWLFXODUO\LPSRUWDQWLIWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQLV
DQHPSOR\HHRURIFHURIWKHGLVFORVLQJFRPSDQ\
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVQHHGWRUHFRJQLVHWKDWWKHLUHQJDJHPHQW
E\ GLVFORVLQJ HQWLWLHV WR SURYLGH WKH SURIHVVLRQDO UHSRUWLQJ
7. Readers are referred to Clause 9 of the 2012 Code.
848
HOME
Competent Persons
Beyond JORC Code Requirements
J Coombes1
ABSTRACT
5HSRUWLQJV\VWHPVDURXQGWKHZRUOGUHO\RQWKHGLUHFWLRQRI&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVXQGHUWKH-25&&RGHUHSRUWLQJV\VWHPRU
4XDOLHG3HUVRQVZLWKLQWKH&DQDGLDQUHSRUWLQJV\VWHP&XUUHQWTXDOLI\LQJFULWHULDUHO\RQLQGLYLGXDOVVHOIQRPLQDWLQJDV
FRPSHWHQWZLWKLQWKHYDULRXVUHSRUWLQJHQYLURQPHQWV
7KHSXUSRVHRIWKLVSDSHULVWRH[SORUHWKHQRWLRQRIFRPSHWHQF\VSHFLFDOO\DVLWUHODWHVWR&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVRSHUDWLQJ
ZLWKLQWKH-25&&RGHIUDPHZRUN7KHDQDO\VHVSUHVHQWHGKHUHDUHH[WUDFWHGIURPDGRFWRUDOWKHVLVRQSUDFWLFHEDVHGFRPSHWHQF\
GHYHORSPHQWZLWKDSDUWLFXODUHPSKDVLVRQUHVRXUFHJHRORJLVWVZLWKLQWKH-25&&RGHV\VWHP
2I SDUWLFXODU UHOHYDQFH DUH WKH LPSOLFLW H[SHFWDWLRQV H[SUHVVHG E\ LQGXVWU\ H[SHUWV WKDW H[FHHG WKH VWDQGDUG -25& &RGH
TXDOLFDWLRQVIRU&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV,QDGGLWLRQWKHQRWLRQRI&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQLVH[SDQGHGWRLQFOXGHDUHTXLUHPHQWIRU
KHLJKWHQHG-25&&RGHUHDVRQLQJ7KLVSURYLGHVDIRXQGDWLRQIRUWHVWLQJWKHIDFWRUVWKDWFRQWULEXWHWRWKHGHYHORSPHQWRIKLJKHU
-25&&RGHUHDVRQLQJOHYHOV7KHVWXG\SUHVHQWVDEHQFKPDUNRIH[SRVXUHDQGH[SHULHQFHWRHQDEOHUHVRXUFHJHRORJLVWVWRWDUJHW
LQWKHGHYHORSPHQWRIWKHLUSURIHVVLRQDOFDUHHUV
1. FAusIMM, Principal, Coombes Capability, PO Box 1708, Subiaco WA 6050. Email: [email protected]
INTRODUCTION
7KH -RLQW 2UH 5HVHUYHV &RPPLWWHH -25& ZDV VHW XS LQ
WKHHDUO\VWRVWDQGDUGLVHUHSRUWLQJRIPLQHUDODVVHWVLQ
UHVSRQVHWRPDUNHWLQVWDELOLW\FDXVHGE\PLVUHSUHVHQWDWLRQV
LQ SXEOLF UHSRUWLQJ :LWKLQ $XVWUDOLD PLQHUDO HQGRZPHQWV
FDQ QRZ RQO\ EH UHSRUWHG SXEOLFO\ LQ DFFRUGDQFH ZLWK The
$XVWUDODVLDQ &RGH IRU 5HSRUWLQJ RI ([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV 0LQHUDO
Resources and Ore ReservesWKH-25&&RGH7KH-25&&RGH
SURYLGHVGHQLWLRQVJXLGHOLQHVDQGFRQVLGHUDWLRQVIRUSXEOLF
UHSRUWLQJRI([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWV0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH
5HVHUYHVDQGUHOLHVRQDQLQGLYLGXDOVMXGLFLRXVDSSOLFDWLRQ
RI WKH SULQFLSOH RI &RPSHWHQFH 7KH -25& &RGH 6$05(&
&RGH 6RXWK $IULFDQ &RGH IRU 5HSRUWLQJ RI ([SORUDWLRQ
5HVXOWV &,0 &DQDGLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ 0HWDOOXUJ\
DQG 3HWUROHXP *XLGHOLQHV 3(5& 3DQ (XURSHDQ 5HVHUYHV
5HSRUWLQJ &RPPLWWHH &5,56&2 &RPPLWWHH IRU 0LQHUDO
5HVHUYHV,QWHUQDWLRQDO5HSRUWLQJ6WDQGDUGVDQGRWKHUFRGHV
IURP:HVWHUQFRXQWULHVKDYHVLPLODUGHVFULSWLRQVRIWKHFRUH
SULQFLSOHV
Competence requires that the Public Report be based on
ZRUN WKDW LV WKH UHVSRQVLELOLW\ RI VXLWDEO\ TXDOLHG DQG
experienced persons who are subject to an enforceable
professional code of ethics (the Competent Person)-25&
2012)
7R TXDOLI\ DV D &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ2 D JHRORJLVW HQJLQHHU
PHWDOOXUJLVW RU RWKHU PLQLQJ LQGXVWU\ VSHFLDOLVW PXVW EH D
PHPEHURIRQHRIWKHSUHVFULEHGSURIHVVLRQDORUJDQLVDWLRQV
KDYH D PLQLPXP RI YH \HDUV RI UHOHYDQW H[SHULHQFH DQG
EH FRQGHQW WR GHIHQG WKHLU HVWLPDWH LQ WKH SUHVHQFH RI
SHHUV 9DXJKDQ DQG )HOGHUKRI $OWKRXJK WKHUH LV DQ
2. Competent Person is the expression used in the JORC Code, SAMREC and PERC. NI43-101
(National Instrument 43-101) refers to this person as the Qualified Person (or QP), and
the QP has more responsibilities.
849
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHVLQYROYHVERWKH[SHULHQFH
DQGDQDELOLW\WRFRPPXQLFDWHHIIHFWLYHO\EHWZHHQPXOWLSOH
PLQLQJGLVFLSOLQHV6LQFODLUDQG%ODFNZHOOSZDUQ
Simplistic views of the complex problem of Resource/
Reserve estimation can lead to doubt and uncertainty in the
results.
7KH FRPSOH[LWLHV DQG XQLTXHQHVV RI WKH PLQHUDO GHSRVLWV
VW\OHVRIJHRORJ\DQGSURFHVVHVLQYROYHGPHDQWKHJXLGHOLQHV
SURYLGHG E\ D FRGH FDQQRW EH SUHVFULSWLYH ,QVWHDG WKH
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ WDNHV UHVSRQVLELOLW\ IRU DSSO\LQJ WKHLU
MXGJHPHQWDQGGXHDVVHVVPHQWDFURVVWKHPLQHYDOXHFKDLQ
%\ WKLV VSLULW RI MXGLFLRXV H[SHUWLVH ZDV LQFOXGHG LQ
WKH WKUHH HPERGLHG SULQFLSOHV RI 7UDQVSDUHQF\ 0DWHULDOLW\
DQG &RPSHWHQFH 7UDQVSDUHQF\ HQVXUHV QR GXSOLFLW\
LQ SUHVHQWDWLRQ RI LQIRUPDWLRQ 0DWHULDOLW\ HQVXUHV DOO
VLJQLFDQW LQIRUPDWLRQ LV FRQYH\HG DQG &RPSHWHQFH
HQVXUHVDSSURSULDWHVNLOOVDUHHPSOR\HGWRSURYLGHWHFKQLFDO
JXLGDQFH,QDGGLWLRQ3XEOLF5HSRUWVZHUHWREHEDVHGRQ
ZRUNZKLFKLVWKHUHVSRQVLELOLW\RIDVXLWDELOLW\TXDOLHG
and experienced person who is subject to an enforceable code
of ethics.-25&S
7KURXJKRXW WKH FRGHV HYROXWLRQ -25& KDV HUFHO\
VDIHJXDUGHG DQ\ DWWHPSWV WR LQWURGXFH SUHVFULSWLYH
WHFKQLTXHVDQGSURFHVVHVE\NHHSLQJ
WKH GHQLWLRQV DQG RSHUDWLRQDO UHTXLUHPHQWV UHODWLYHO\
QRQVSHFLFDQGQRQSUHVFULSWLYHWKXVDOORZLQJ&RPSHWHQW
Persons considerable freedom to exercise their professional
MXGJHPHQW EXW HQVXULQJ WKH\ FDQ EH KHOG WR DFFRXQW IRU
their actions.6WHSKHQVRQDQG0LVNHOO\S
&DUPLFKDHOD0HOERXUQHEDUULVWHUKLJKOLJKWVWKDW
Any claim for greater prescriptiveness in regulating the
content of public reports made pursuant to a code such as
-25& LV FRXQWHU WR WKH LQVWLQFWV SUDJPDWLVP DQG JRRG
regulation which invested competent persons and their
professional bodies with authority and responsibility in
GHQHGUHJXODWRU\VSDFH&DUPLFKDHOS
%\ ZD\ RI HPSKDVLVLQJ UHOHYDQFH WKH XSGDWH
H[WHQGHGWKHGHQLWLRQRID&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQWRFODULI\WKH
GLIIHUHQFHVEHWZHHQWKHZRUNUHTXLUHGIRUHVWLPDWLQJ0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHV DQG IRU HVWLPDWLQJ 2UH 5HVHUYHV -25&
7KLV KHOSHG HPSKDVLVH WKH QHHG WR FRQVLGHU GDWD FROOHFWLRQ
DQG PHDVXUHPHQW SUDFWLFHV DQG HQFDSVXODWH WKH GLIIHUHQFH
EHWZHHQ 5HVRXUFHV DQG H[SORUDWLRQ LQIRUPDWLRQ 7KH
UHYLVLRQ EURXJKW LQWR HIIHFW D GHQLWLRQ RI D &RPSHWHQW
3HUVRQ WKDW DFNQRZOHGJHG WKH UROH RI WKRVH SURIHVVLRQDOV
RQO\ UHSRUWLQJ ([SORUDWLRQ 5HVXOWV -25& 7KH
XSGDWHDOVRLQFOXGHGDUHTXLUHPHQWIRUSXEOLFUHSRUWVWRVWDWH
WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVQDPHDQGDWWDFKWKHVLJQHGFRQVHQW
VWDWLQJWKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVFRQVHQW
to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on their
information in the form and context in which it appears.
-25&S
*UHDWHU WUDQVSDUHQF\ UHJDUGLQJ LQGHSHQGHQFH RI
UHODWLRQVKLS WR WKH OLVWHG FRPSDQ\ ZDV VRXJKW E\ WKH
UHTXLUHPHQW WKDW WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV VWDWHPHQW DOVR
DFNQRZOHGJHWKHLUUHODWLRQVKLSWRWKHOLVWHGHQWLW\E\VWDWLQJ
WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVUPRUHPSOR\HU2YHUDOOWKH
-25&&RGHLWVHOIZDVPRUHFRPSUHKHQVLYHZLWKHDFKDVSHFW
LQFOXGLQJGHQLWLRQVGLVFXVVLRQVH[DPSOHVDQGH[SODQDWLRQV
H[SDQGHGDQGUHYLVHGWRUHHFWLQGXVWU\GLVFXVVLRQV
851
)RU WKH UVW WLPH GLUHFW UHIHUHQFH LV PDGH WR DGGUHVV DOO
LWHPVLQ7DEOHRIWKH-25&&RGH
7KLVXSGDWHHOHYDWHGWKH-25&&RGHV7DEOHDVDFULWLFDO
EDFNERQHWRD&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIERWKWKHLU
WHFKQLFDOFDSDELOLW\DFURVVWKHIXOOUDQJHRIFRQVLGHUDWLRQVDQG
WKHLUDELOLW\WRDUWLFXODWHWKHULVNDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHVHLWHPV
ZLWKLQWKH-25&&RGHV\VWHP,WLVLPSRUWDQWWKHUHIRUHWKDW
D&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQFDQFRQYHUVHDFURVVWKHFULWHULDOLVWHGLQ
7DEOHEHLQJDEOHWRDSSUHFLDWHXQGHUVWDQGDQGDUWLFXODWH
SRWHQWLDO ULVNV WR D SURMHFW ZLWKLQ WKH -25& &RGH UHSRUWLQJ
V\VWHP
EXPERTS EXPECTATIONS3
([SHUW RSLQLRQ ZDV VRXJKW DV SDUW RI D GRFWRUDO VWXG\
&RRPEHV WR FODULI\ WKH QRWLRQ RI &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ
ZLWKLQ WKH -25& &RGH FRQWH[W ,Q SDUWLFXODU H[SHUWV ZHUH
LQYLWHG WR FRPPHQW RQ WKH LPSOLFLW TXDOLI\LQJ IDFWRUV IRU
WKLV FRPSHWHQF\ 7KH IROORZLQJ DQDO\VLV RI WKH H[SHUWV
FRQWULEXWLRQV LV H[WUDFWHG IURP WKH DXWKRUV GRFWRUDO WKHVLV
7KUHHWKHPHVRIH[SHUWH[SHFWDWLRQVHPHUJHGLQWKHVWXG\
,WZDVQHYHULQWHQGHGWKDWYH\HDUVDIWHUJUDGXDWLRQ\RX
FRXOG VLJQ RII ,Q WKHRU\ \RX FRXOG EXW LW ZDV QHYHU WKH
LQWHQWLRQ5DWKHUWKHYH\HDUVQHHGVWREHVLWWLQJRQWRSRI
a body of experience. Most Competent Persons have at least
WHQ\HDUVH[SHULHQFH(i6)
([SHUWVFKDOOHQJHWKHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRIWKHPLQLPXPYH
\HDUVRIH[SHULHQFHFULWHULD
7KH PLQLPXP RI YH \HDUV RI H[SHULHQFH LV D EDUH
PLQLPXPDQGLVXVXDOO\PRUHLQWKHRUGHURIWHQ\HDUV
RIPLQLQJLQGXVWU\H[SHULHQFH
([SHUWV HPSKDVLVH WKH LPSRUWDQFH RI WKH FRQWHQW RI
ZRUNSODFHH[SHULHQFHV
7KHTXDOLW\RIH[SHULHQFHPDWWHUV&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV
VKRXOG KDYH ERWK EUHDGWK DQG GHSWK RI H[SHULHQFH
ZKLFK LQFOXGHV DSSUHFLDEOH RSHUDWLRQDO H[SHULHQFH
DQG GXH UHJDUG DQG DSSUHFLDWLRQ IRU WKH JHRORJLFDO
FRQWH[WRIWKHSURMHFWRQZKLFKWKH\DUHFRPPHQWLQJ
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV KDYH D KROLVWLF DSSUHFLDWLRQ IRU
WKHPLQHYDOXHFKDLQ7KH\WKHQKDYHDQDSSUHFLDWLRQ
RI WKH SRWHQWLDO ULVN DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK D SURMHFW IURP
GDWDFROOHFWLRQWKURXJKWRSURFHVVLQJ
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV H[SHULHQFH VKRXOG LQFOXGH D
ORQJHUVHUYLFHVWLQWLQWKHLUH[SHULHQFH%\ZRUNLQJRQ
DSURMHFWIRUDQDSSUHFLDEOHDPRXQWRIWLPHWKH\KDYH
WKHRSSRUWXQLW\WROHDUQIURPFRUUHFWHGPLVWDNHV
:RUNSODFH OHDUQLQJ LV HVVHQWLDO IRU FRPSHWHQF\
GHYHORSPHQW
3. All participants details are withheld for confidentiality reasons in accordance with Edith
Cowan Universitys ethics requirements. Interview references are labelled as (iX) where X
is the interview number.
852
7KHTXDOLW\RIH[SHULHQFHWKDWHQJDJHVZLWKWKHJHRORJLFDO
FRQWH[W LV FRQVLGHUHG HVSHFLDOO\ PRUH YDOXDEOH WKDQ VLPSO\
H[SRVXUHWRWKHSURFHVVRIHVWLPDWLRQ,I\RXFDQSXWGDWDLQWR
WKHFRPSXWHUDQGLI\RXLJQRUHWKHJHRORJ\\RXJHWUXEELVK
UHVXOWV L 7KHUH LV D YHU\ UHDO SHUFHSWLRQ DPRQJ H[SHUWV
WKDWWKH\RXQJHUJHQHUDWLRQRSHUDWHZLWKLQWKHYLUWXDOZRUOG
RIWKHFRPSXWHU7KLVLVHYLGHQFHGE\DQDSSDUHQWGLVFRQQHFW
EHWZHHQ WKH YLUWXDO ZRUOG ZLWKLQ WKH VRIWZDUH DQG WKH UHDO
LQJURXQGGHSRVLW)RUH[DPSOHLQFRQWUDVWWRKDQGPDSSLQJ
ZKHUHOLQHVLQGLFDWHDVHQVHLRIDVWUXFWXUHLQWKHDUHD
WKHSUHFLVLRQGLFWDWHGE\DOLQHZLWKLQWKHFRPSXWHUEXLOGVDQ
H[SHFWDWLRQRISUHFLVHH[LVWHQFH-XVWEHFDXVHDIHDWXUHLQRXU
KDQGPDSSLQJZHQWRIIWKHSDJHGLGQWPHDQLWQRORQJHU
H[LVWHGL
XVHGZKDWGHFLVLRQVZLOOEHPDGHXVLQJWKDWHVWLPDWHL
7KHJHRORJLFDOH[SHULHQFHVKRXOGWKXVSUHFHGHDQ\IRUD\LQWR
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWLRQ
if you have a geostatistics focus and go straight into a
geostats role and never spend any time on the ground and
KDYHQHYHUGHDOWZLWKUHDOPLQLQJLVVXHV\RXOODOVREHDELW
OLJKWRQIRUWKHYH\HDUVH[SHULHQFHUHTXLUHPHQW(i6)
,GHDOO\WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQZKRLV
LQWLPDWHO\ LQYROYHG ZLWK WKH GDWD WKH JHRORJ\ DQG
the mining issues is best placed to generate accurate
Resource estimates. L
(W)hen there is a marriage of geology and the Resource
model the quality is better. (i1)
They have to demonstrate an understanding of all the
different components that go in to developing a Resource
VWDWHPHQWDQGWRKDYHGRQHDOORIWKHPDWVRPHVWDJHLQ
their career. (i2)
6R PRUH WKDQ VLPSOH H[SRVXUH RI YH \HDUV WR D VW\OH RI
JHRORJ\ DQG DFWLYLW\ WKH H[SHUWV LGHQWLHG ,WV DERXW WKH
TXDOLW\ RI WKDW H[SHULHQFH L DQG ,WV ERWK EUHDGWK DQG
GHSWKWKDWLVLPSRUWDQWL
0RUH VSHFLFDOO\ &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV EUHDGWK RI
H[SHULHQFHLVKRXOGHQDEOHWKHPWRUHDOO\XQGHUVWDQGWKH
FRPELQDWLRQV DQG FRQVHTXHQFH L DQG WR EH DEOH WR GHDO
ZLWK WKH YDULDWLRQV LQ GHSRVLWV (YHU\ SURMHFW LV D OLWWOH ELW
GLIIHUHQWDQGWKHUHLVQRRQHDQVZHUWKDWVXLWVDOOFDVHVL
([SHULHQFH LQ ERWK RSHQ SLW DQG XQGHUJURXQG PLQH VW\OHV
DV ZHOO DV D PL[ RI VLQJOH DQG PXOWLHOHPHQW FRPPRGLWLHV
LV UHFRPPHQGHG ZLWK DQ HPSKDVLV LQ KDYLQJ VXIFLHQW
PLQLQJ UHODWHG H[SHULHQFH L DV WKLV LV WKH RQO\ ZD\ WR
XQGHUVWDQGWKHEXVLQHVVLPSOLFDWLRQVL7KLVFRDOIDFHG
LHQJDJHPHQWE\WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQLVH[SHFWHGWREH
OLQNHGWRWKHSURMHFWEHLQJUHSRUWHGWKH\KDYHWRKDYHGLUHFW
H[SHULHQFH L DQG WKH IXQGDPHQWDO JHRORJLFDO EHKDYLRXU
RIDQRUHERG\PXVWEHXQGHUVWRRGL7KLVLVFRQWUDU\WRD
FDOOIRULQGHSHQGHQFHE\VRPHSDUWLHV7KHUHTXLUHPHQWIRU
LQGHSHQGHQFHLVWRWDOO\DZHGEHFDXVHLQGHSHQGHQFHGRHVQW
PDNH\RXDEHWWHUMXGJHL$OWKRXJKH[WHUQDODXGLWVLQ
VRPHZD\GHDOVZLWKLQGHSHQGHQFHL
7KHVH H[SHULHQFHV FRQWULEXWH WR D EHWWHU XQGHUVWDQGLQJ RI
WKH LPSOLFDWLRQV DQG FRQVHTXHQFHV RI SURYLGLQJ 5HVRXUFH
HVWLPDWHVDQGWHFKQLFDOUHSRUWVWRVXSSRUWSXEOLFGHFODUDWLRQV
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV UHDOLVH WKH FRQVHTXHQFHV RI VLJQLQJ D
SXEOLFVWDWHPHQW L7KHUHLVUHFRJQLWLRQDPRQJWKHH[SHUWV
WKDW&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVKDYHDWWDLQHGDOHYHORISURIHVVLRQDO
PDWXULW\ L ZKHUH WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ UHFRJQLVHV WKH
JUDYLW\ RI WKHLU VLJQDWXUH RQ D FRQVHQW IRUP ZLWK DOO WKH
XQGHUO\LQJ DFFRXQWDELOLW\ DQG UHVSRQVLELOLW\ L ZKHUH
UHVSRQVLELOLW\ PHDQV NQRZLQJ WKH UHTXLUHPHQWV L DQG
KDYLQJ WKH FRQGHQFH WR VD\ , FDQ GR WKLV L ZKLOH
DFFRXQWDELOLW\PHDQVXQGHUVWDQGLQJWKHV\VWHPVDQGEHLQJ
ZLOOLQJDQGDEOHWRGHIHQG\RXUSRVLWLRQL,QWKLVFRQWH[W
WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ LV DEOH WR XQGHUVWDQG WKH ELJJHU
SLFWXUHLDQGWKHLPSOLFDWLRQVRIQRWGRLQJLWZHOOL
7KHUH LV DQ HPSKDVLV WKDW WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQ QHHGV WR
XQGHUVWDQGWKHVFDOHDQGUDPLFDWLRQVLRIWKHHVWLPDWH
LWV FODVVLFDWLRQ DQG WKH HYHQWXDO SXEOLF UHOHDVH 7KH\ KDYH
WKHH[SHULHQFHDQGH[SRVXUHWRXQGHUVWDQGWKHLPSOLFDWLRQV
DQGNQRZZKDWFRXOGJRZURQJ L7KHH[SHFWDWLRQLVWKDW
WKH&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQLVWKHFXVWRGLDQRIWKHRUHERG\L
&RUH WR SURIHVVLRQDO PDWXULW\ LV WKH RSSRUWXQLW\ WR OHDUQ
WKURXJK H[SRVXUH UHHFWLRQ DQG H[SHULHQFH LQ PDNLQJ
853
854
H[SHFWDWLRQVRIPRUHWKDQYH\HDUVRIH[SHULHQFH
DQ HPSKDVLV RQ WKH TXDOLW\ RI WKH &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV
H[SHULHQFHLQFOXGLQJGHSWKDQGEUHDGWKDQGHQJDJHPHQW
ZLWKDUDQJHRIJHRORJLFDOFRQWH[WV
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
PHPEHUVKLSRIDSURIHVVLRQDODVVRFLDWLRQLQSDUWLFXODU
H[DPLQLQJ WKH GLIIHUHQFH EHWZHHQ )HOORZ DQG RUGLQDU\
PHPEHUVWDWXV
PLQLPXPYH\HDUVRIrelevant experience
VHOIDVVHVVPHQW
7KHDQDO\VLVIRUHDFKFULWHULRQLVSUHVHQWHGKHUH
WWHVW 7KH UHVXOWV IURP WKH SDLUHG WWHVW DUH FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK
WKH H[SHUWV FRQFHUQ WKDW WKHUH LV D WHQGHQF\ WRZDUGV RYHU
FRQGHQFHZKHQSURIHVVLRQDOVVHOIHYDOXDWHWKHLUH[SHUWLVH
Suitability of self-assessment
UDLVLQJWKHPLQLPXP\HDUVRIPLQLQJLQGXVWU\H[SHULHQFH
VSHFLFOHYHOVRIH[SRVXUHDFFRUGLQJWRPLQLPXPQXPEHU
RI5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVJHQHUDWHGFRPPRGLWLHVHVWLPDWHG
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQVWXGLHVDQGFRPPRGLWLHVUHFRQFLOHG
7KHVHDUHH[SORUHGKHUH
855
7KLVFULWHULDLVVLJQLFDQWVLQFHWKH\SURYLGHSUDFWLFDODQG
PHDVXUHDEOHWDUJHWVIRULQGLYLGXDOVFKRRVLQJWRVHOIQRPLQDWH
DV&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQV
+LJKHUOHYHOVRIUHDVRQLQJDUHH[SHFWHGWREHDVVRFLDWHGZLWK
DQLQFUHDVHLQWKHQXPEHURIWLPHVDQDFWLYLW\LVFRQGXFWHG
7KH PDLQ DFWLYLW\ LQYROYHG LQ HVWLPDWLQJ DQG FODVVLI\LQJ
D 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWH LV WKH JHQHUDWLRQ RI 5HVRXUFH PRGHOV
RU HVWLPDWHV +LJKHU UHDVRQLQJ OHYHOV DUH H[SHFWHG ZLWK DQ
LQFUHDVHG QXPEHU RI 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWHV 6LPLODUO\ KLJKHU
UHDVRQLQJ OHYHOV DUH H[SHFWHG ZLWK JUHDWHU H[SRVXUH WR D
YDULHW\ RI VLWXDWLRQV :RUNLQJ ZLWK GLIIHUHQW FRPPRGLWLHV
SURYLGHV DQ RSSRUWXQLW\ WR EURDGHQ D &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV
H[SHULHQFHV DQG WKHUHIRUH WKHLU DELOLW\ WR UHDVRQ WKURXJK D
UDQJH RI VLWXDWLRQV 5HFRQFLOLQJ DFWXDO PLQHUDO SURGXFWLRQ
ZLWK 5HVRXUFH DQG JUDGH FRQWURO HVWLPDWHV LV WKH RQO\ UHDO
RSSRUWXQLW\ D SUDFWLWLRQHU KDV WR OHDUQ IURP HUURUV LQ WKHLU
HVWLPDWLRQ SURFHVVHV 7KH IRXU SRWHQWLDO H[SHULHQFH IDFWRUV
WHVWHGKHUHDUHQXPEHURI
UHVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVJHQHUDWHG
FRPPRGLWLHVHVWLPDWHG
UHFRQFLOLDWLRQVWXGLHVRQRZQHVWLPDWHV
FRPPRGLWLHV IRU ZKLFK UHFRQFLOLDWLRQ VWXGLHV KDYH EHHQ
FRQGXFWHG
2YHUDOOWKHUHLVDPRGHUDWHFRUUHODWLRQEHWZHHQUHDVRQLQJ
OHYHOVDQGWKHQXPEHURI5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHVUHFRQFLOLDWLRQV
FRPPRGLWLHVHVWLPDWHGDQGFRPPRGLWLHVUHFRQFLOHG)LJXUH
'LVWLQFWGLIIHUHQFHVLQUHDVRQLQJDUHHYLGHQWDURXQG
5HVRXUFHHVWLPDWHV)LJXUHD
WZRFRPPRGLWLHVHVWLPDWHG)LJXUHE
YH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV RI SUDFWLWLRQHUV RZQ HVWLPDWHV
)LJXUHF
DWOHDVWRQHFRPPRGLW\UHFRQFLOHG)LJXUHG
3DUWLFLSDQWV JURXSHG RQ WKH EDVLV RI WKHVH H[SRVXUH
PHDVXUHV VKRZ VWDWLVWLFDOO\ VLJQLFDQW GLIIHUHQFHV LQ
UHDVRQLQJ 7KH ODVW FULWHULRQ KRZHYHU LV VXSHUXRXV LI
DW OHDVW YH UHFRQFLOLDWLRQV DUH QHFHVVDU\ IRU KLJKHU RUGHU
UHDVRQLQJ
857
DISCUSSION
7KHGRFWRUDOUHVHDUFKKDVKLJKOLJKWHGWKDWWKHFULWHULD
VKRZV DQ LQFUHDVHG OLNHOLKRRG RI D SURIHVVLRQDOV DELOLW\
WR UHDVRQ DFURVV WKH -25& &RGH 7KLV UHHFWV D QHHG IRU
GHOLEHUDWH H[SRVXUH WR WKH WHFKQLFDO SUDFWLFHV XQGHUSLQQLQJ
WKH H[SHUWLVH UHTXLUHPHQWV RI WKH -25& &RGH V\VWHP %\
LPSOLFDWLRQ VSHFLDOLVW DQG KLJK FRPSHWHQF\ LQ D VLQJOH
VSHFLF DUHD HJ JHRORJ\ JHRVWDWLVWLFV RU PLQH SODQQLQJ
GRHVQRWDXWRPDWLFDOO\WUDQVODWHLQWRWKHVW\OHRIFRPSHWHQF\
UHTXLUHGIRUHVWLPDWLQJFODVVLI\LQJDQGUHSRUWLQJRI0LQHUDO
5HVRXUFHVDQG2UH5HVHUYHVIRULQYHVWRULQIRUPDWLRQ,QVWHDG
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVUHSRUWLQJ0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVPXVWKDYH
H[SHULHQFH IRXQGHG RQ H[SRVXUH WR ERWK WKH EUHDGWK DQG
GHSWK RI WKH PLQLQJ EXVLQHVV 7KLV H[WHQGV WR VLWXDWLRQV RI
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVPDQDJLQJWHDPVRIH[SHUWV7KHUHLVVWLOO
DUHTXLUHPHQWWRHYDOXDWHDQGUHDVRQDFURVVWKHPLQHYDOXH
FKDLQDVWKHULVNVUHODWHWRWKHVW\OHVRIVSHFLFSURMHFWV
CONCLUSIONS
FIG 5 - Comparison of reasoning across mine value chain.
DVVRFLDWHG PRUH ZLWK WKH SUDFWLFH RI PLQLQJ DQG SURFHVVLQJ
DQGKLJKOLJKWVDWHFKQLFDODUHDWKDWUHVRXUFHJHRORJLVWVVKRXOG
FRQVLGHUGHYHORSLQJJUHDWHUXQGHUVWDQGLQJLQ
COMPETENCY GROUPING
:KLOVWWKHDOWHUQDWLYHDQGPLQLPXPH[SHULHQFHFULWHULD
SURYLGH DQ LQGLFDWLRQ RI PLQLPXP IDFWRUV QHFHVVDU\ WR
DFKLHYH-25&&RGHUHDVRQLQJWKHUHDUHVRPHGLVFUHSDQFLHV
LQUHDVRQLQJOHYHOV)RXUVW\OHVRISDUWLFLSDQWFDQEHLGHQWLHG
7DEOH
TABLE 1
Group characteristics.
Does not meet
15-2-5 criteria
Meets 15-2-5
criteria
Group B
Group A
Group D
Group C
DWOHDVWWHQ\HDUVRIPLQLQJLQGXVWU\H[SHULHQFH
LQFOXVLYH RI DW OHDVW YH \HDUV RI 5HVRXUFH HVWLPDWLRQ
experience
ZLWKDWOHDVWHVWLPDWLRQPRGHOV
DFURVVDWOHDVWWZRFRPPRGLWLHVDQG
YHUHFRQFLOLDWLRQVWXGLHV
7KHFULWHULDSUHVHQWHGQHHGVWREHVXSSRUWHGZLWKVXIFLHQW
DQG GHOLEHUDWH SUDFWLFH HQJDJHPHQW LQ ERWK JHRORJ\ DQG
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
7KH DXWKRUV UHVHDUFK LV GHGLFDWHG WR WKH SDVW DQG SUHVHQW
PHPEHUV RI WKH -RLQW 2UH 5HVHUYHV &RPPLWWHH 7KH -25&
&RGHVYDOXHLQWKHPLQLQJLQGXVWU\LVXQGRXEWHGO\WKHUHVXOW
RIWKHFRPPLWPHQWDQGFRQWULEXWLRQRIWKHVHYROXQWHHUV7KHLU
HIIRUWVKDYHVHWDVWDQGDUGIRUSURIHVVLRQDOVDQGWKHLUEHOLHILQ
&RPSHWHQW3HUVRQVDELOLWLHVWROLYHXSWRWKHH[SHFWDWLRQVLV
ZLWKRXWFRPSURPLVH
&RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV DUH WKH IRFXV RI WKLV ZRUN DQG PDQ\
VKDUHG WKHLU LGHDV H[SHULHQFHV DQG FRQFHUQV 7KH DXWKRU LV
JUDWHIXOIRUWKHWLPHDQGHIIRUWWKLVKDVWDNHQDQGYDOXHVWKHVH
FRQWULEXWLRQV DQG KRQHVW\ ,W LV WKH DXWKRUV KRSH WKDW WKLV
ZRUN JLYHV &RPSHWHQW 3HUVRQV D YRLFH DQG LQ WKH SURFHVV
WKHVKDUHGUHVXOWVSURYLGHJXLGDQFHIRUIXUWKHUFRPSHWHQF\
GHYHORSPHQW
7KLV ERG\ RI ZRUN KDV EHQHWWHG HQRUPRXVO\ IURP WKH
JXLGDQFHRIWZRJUHDWVXSHUYLVRUV/ODQGLV%DUUDWW3XJKDQG
3HWHU /LOO\ 7KH DXWKRU YDOXHV WKHLU ZLVH FRXQVHO GLUHFWLRQ
DQGSUHFLRXVWLPH
REFERENCES
$XVWUDOLDQ6HFXULWLHV([FKDQJH$6;*URXSDFWLYLWLHVLQ)<
>DUFKLYHG@>$FFHVVHGRQOLQH0DUFK@
&DUPLFKDHO+1RW5XPVIHOGRQ-25&$03/$SUHVHQWDWLRQ
0HOERXUQH6HSWHPEHU
&RRPEHV-3UDFWLFHEDVHGFRPSHWHQF\GHYHORSPHQWDVWXG\
RI UHVRXUFH JHRORJLVWV DQG WKH -25& &RGH V\VWHP 3K' WKHVLV
VXEPLWWHGIRUH[DPLQDWLRQ(GLWK&RZDQ8QLYHUVLW\3HUWK
'RGG%,VVXHVLQFDSLWDOUDLVLQJVDQGGLVFORVXUHLQProceedings
,QWHUQDWLRQDO 0LQH 0DQDJHPHQW &RQIHUHQFH SS 7KH
$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
(GZDUGV$&HGMineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice S 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
5DH3('XUDFN3'*HRUJHV*/DZULH$*(/LWWOH-$6LP-3
:KHHOGRQ - 0 :ULHGW . 6 DQG &RUPDFN 0 Australian
Securities Markets and Their Regulation Part 1 S 7KH
3DUOLDPHQWRIWKH&RPPRQZHDOWKRI$XVWUDOLD&DQEHUUD
5DH3('XUDFN3'*HRUJHV*/DZULH$*(6LP-3:KHHOGRQ
- 0 :ULHGW . 6 &RUPDFN 0 DQG /LWWOH - $ Australian
Securities Markets and Their Regulation 3DUW YROXPH S
7KH3DUOLDPHQWRIWKH&RPPRQZHDOWKRI$XVWUDOLD&DQEHUUD
5HQGX - 0 2UHERG\ PRGHOOLQJ PLQH SODQQLQJ UHVHUYH
HYDOXDWLRQDQGWKHUHJXODWRU\HQYLURQPHQWLQOrebody Modelling
and Strategic Mine Planning HG 5 'LPLWUDNRSRXORV VHFRQG
HGLWLRQ SS 7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
6LQFODLU $ - DQG %ODFNZHOO * + Applied Mineral Inventory
EstimationS&DPEULGJH8QLYHUVLW\3UHVV&DPEULGJH
6QRZGHQ'93UDFWLFDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRI0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHDQG
2UH5HVHUYHFODVVLFDWLRQJXLGHOLQHVLQMineral Resource and Ore
Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice HG$&
(GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG
0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
6WHSKHQVRQ 3 5 DQG 0LVNHOO\ 1 5HSRUWLQJ VWDQGDUGV DQG
WKH-25&&RGHLQMineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice HG$&(GZDUGVSS
7KH $XVWUDODVLDQ ,QVWLWXWH RI 0LQLQJ DQG 0HWDOOXUJ\
0HOERXUQH
6WRNHU37DQG6WHSKHQVRQ35&ODVVLFDWLRQDQGUHSRUWLQJLQ
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide
to Good Practice HG$&(GZDUGVSS7KH$XVWUDODVLDQ
,QVWLWXWHRI0LQLQJDQG0HWDOOXUJ\0HOERXUQH
9DXJKDQ:6DQG)HOGHUKRI6,QWHUQDWLRQDOPLQHUDOUHVRXUFH
DQG PLQHUDO UHVHUYH FODVVLFDWLRQ DQG UHSRUWLQJ V\VWHPV CIM
Bulletin
:HDWKHUVWRQH 1 ,QWHUQDWLRQDO VWDQGDUGV IRU UHSRUWLQJ RI
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHVDQG5HVHUYHVVWDWXVRXWORRNDQGLPSRUWDQW
LVVXHV >RQOLQH@ $YDLODEOH IURP KWWSZZZFULUVFRFRPLVUB
PLQHUDOBUHVRXUFHVBUHVHUYHVSGI!>$FFHVVHG0DUFK@
859
HOME
Contents
Foreword
Introduction
Scope
Reporting Terminology
Reporting General
10
11
16
Technical Studies
19
21
21
22
23
24
24
26
26
28
29
31
33
36
37
42
44
Foreword
1.
The Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves (the
JORC Code or the Code) sets out minimum standards, recommendations and guidelines for Public
Reporting in Australasia of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. The Joint Ore
Reserves Committee (JORC) was established in 1971 and published several reports containing
recommendations on the classication and Public Reporting of Ore Reserves prior to the release of the
rst edition of the JORC Code in 1989.
Revised and updated editions of the Code were issued in 1992, 1996, 1999, and 2004. This 2012
edition supersedes all previous editions.
Since 1994, the Committee for Mineral Reserves International Reporting Standards (CRIRSCO) has
worked to create a set of standard international denitions for reporting Mineral Resources and Mineral
(Ore) Reserves, based on the evolving JORC Codes denitions. CRIRSCO was initially a committee of
the Council of Mining and Metallurgical Institutions (CMMI).
Representatives of bodies from Australia, Canada, South Africa, USA and the UK reached provisional
agreement on standard denitions for reporting resources and reserves in 1997. This was followed
in 1998 by an agreement to incorporate the CMMI denitions into the International Framework
Classication for Reserves and Resources Solid Fuels and Mineral Commodities, developed by the
United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UN-ECE).
CMMI was disbanded in 2002 but CRIRSCO remained as a separate entity and now has a relationship
with the International Council on Mining and Metals (ICMM). An initiative was commenced by
CRIRSCO to develop a Template, largely based on the JORC Code, that was designed to assist countries
to develop their own code in line with world best practice. The Template has been recognised as a
commodity-specic code in UNFC 2009.
CRIRSCOs members are National Reporting Organisations (NROs) who are responsible for developing
mineral reporting codes or standards and guidelines. The NROs are: Australasia (JORC), Canada
(CIM Standing Committee on Reserve Denitions), Chile (National Committee), Europe (PERC),
Russia (NAEN), South Africa (SAMCODES) and USA (SME). As a result of the CRIRSCO/CMMI
initiative, considerable progress has been made towards widespread adoption of consistent reporting
standards throughout the world. In this edition of the JORC Code dened terms are aligned to the
CRIRSCO Standard Denitions as revised in October 2012.
Introduction
2.
In this edition of the JORC Code, important terms and their denitions are highlighted in bold text.
The guidelines are placed after the respective Code Clauses using indented italics. Guidelines are not
part of the Code but are intended to provide assistance and guidance to readers and should be considered
persuasive when interpreting the Code.
3.
The Code has been adopted by The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy (The AusIMM)
and the Australian Institute of Geoscientists (AIG) and is binding on members of those organisations.
The Code is endorsed by the Minerals Council of Australia and the Financial Services Institute of
Australasia as a contribution to good practice. The Code has also been adopted by and included in the
listing rules of the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) and the New Zealand Stock Exchange (NZX).
The ASX and NZX have, since 1989 and 1992 respectively, incorporated the Code into their listing
rules. Under these listing rules, a Public Report must be prepared in accordance with the Code if it
includes a statement on Exploration Targets, Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves.
The incorporation of the Code imposes certain specic requirements on mining or exploration
companies reporting to the ASX and NZX. There remain a number of other issues outside of the JORC
Code associated with Public Reports that are addressed specically within the listing rules.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
As such, it is strongly recommended that users of the Code familiarise themselves with the listing rules of
the relevant exchange that relates to Public Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore
Reserves.
For Public Reports of initial or materially changed Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore
Reserves the JORC Code requires the Competent Person, on whose documentation the Public Report
is based, to be named in the Public Report. The Public Report or attached statement must say that
the Competent Person consents to the inclusion in the Public Report of the matters based on their
information in the form and context in which it appears, and must include the name of the Competent
Persons rm or employer.
Users of the Code should refer to Clause 9.
Scope
4.
The principles governing the operation and application of the JORC Code are Transparency, Materiality
and Competence.
s Transparency requires that the reader of a Public Report is provided with sufcient information, the presentation of which is clear and unambiguous, to understand the report and not
be misled by this information or by omission of material information that is known to the
Competent Person.
s Materiality requires that a Public Report contains all the relevant information that investors
and their professional advisers would reasonably require, and reasonably expect to nd in the
report, for the purpose of making a reasoned and balanced judgement regarding the Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves being reported. Where relevant information
is not supplied an explanation must be provided to justify its exclusion.
s Competence requires that the Public Report be based on work that is the responsibility of
suitably qualied and experienced persons who are subject to an enforceable professional
code of ethics (the Competent Person).
Transparency and Materiality are guiding principles of the Code, and the Competent Person must
provide explanatory commentary on the material assumptions underlying the declaration of Exploration
Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves.
In particular, the Competent Person must consider that the benchmark of Materiality is that which
includes all aspects relating to the Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves that an
investor or their advisers would reasonably expect to see explicit comment on from the Competent
Person. The Competent Person must not remain silent on any material aspect for which the presence or
absence of comment could affect the public perception or value of the mineral occurrence.
5.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
The Code requires in Clauses 19, 27 and 35 that reporting of rst time or materially changed
Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves estimates be accompanied by a technical
summary of all relevant sections of Table 1 on an if not, why not basis as an appendix to the Public
Report.
A material change could be a change in the estimated tonnage or grade or in the classication of the
Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves. Whether there has been a material change in relation to a signicant
project must be considered by taking into account all of the relevant circumstances, including the style
of mineralisation. This includes considering whether the change in estimates is likely to have a material
effect on the price or value of the companys securities.
6.
Public Reports are reports prepared for the purpose of informing investors or potential investors
and their advisers on Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves. They include, but
are not limited to, annual and quarterly company reports, press releases, information memoranda,
technical papers, website postings and public presentations.
These Public Reports may be to the Australian Securities Exchange and the New Zealand Stock
Exchange, or other regulatory authorities or as required by law.
The Code is a required minimum standard for Public Reporting. JORC also recommends its adoption
as a minimum standard for other reporting. Companies are encouraged to provide information in their
Public Reports that is as comprehensive as possible.
The Code applies to other publicly released company information in the form of postings on company
websites and presentation material used in briengs for shareholders, stockbrokers and investment analysts.
The Code also applies to the following reports if they have been prepared for the purposes described
in Clause 6 including but not limited to: environmental statements, information memoranda, expert
reports, and technical papers referring to Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves.
For companies issuing concise annual reports, inclusion of all material information relating to Exploration
Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves is recommended. In cases where summary information is
presented it should be clearly stated that it is a summary, and a reference attached giving the location of
the Code-compliant Public Reports or Public Reporting on which the summary is based.
It is recognised that companies can be required to issue reports into more than one regulatory jurisdiction,
with compliance standards that may differ from this Code. It is recommended that such reports include a
statement alerting the reader to this situation. Where members of The AusIMM and the AIG are required
to report in other jurisdictions, they are obliged to comply with the requirements of those jurisdictions.
Reference in the Code to documentation is to internal company documents prepared as a basis for, or to
support, a Public Report.
It is recognised that situations may arise where documentation prepared by a Competent Person for internal
company or similar non-public purposes does not comply with the JORC Code. In such situations, it is
recommended that the documentation includes a prominent statement to this effect. This will make it less
likely that non-complying documentation will be used to compile Public Reports, since Clause 9 requires
Public Reports to fairly reect Exploration Results, Mineral Resource and/or Ore Reserve estimates, and
supporting documentation, prepared by a Competent Person.
While every effort has been made within the Code and Guidelines (including Table 1) to cover most
situations likely to be encountered in Public Reporting, there may be occasions when doubt exists as to
the appropriate form of disclosure. On such occasions, users of the Code and those compiling reports to
comply with the Code should be guided by its intent, which is to provide a minimum standard for Public
Reporting, and to ensure that such reporting contains all information that investors and their professional
advisers would reasonably require, and reasonably expect to nd in the report, for the purpose of making
a reasoned and balanced judgement regarding the Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves
being reported.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
The JORC Code is a Code for Public Reporting not a Code that regulates the manner in which a
Competent Person estimates Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves. The term JORC compliant therefore
refers to the manner of reporting not to the estimates. Use of the words JORC compliant to describe
resources or estimates is potentially misleading. The words JORC compliant should be interpreted to
mean: Reported in accordance with the JORC Code and estimated (or based on documentation prepared)
by a Competent Person as dened by the JORC Code.
7.
The Code is applicable to all solid minerals, including diamonds, other gemstones, industrial minerals
and coal, for which Public Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves is
required by the Australian Securities Exchange and the New Zealand Stock Exchange.
The JORC Code is cited by the Code and Guidelines for Technical Assessment and/or Valuation of
Mineral and Petroleum Assets and Mineral and Petroleum Securities for Independent Expert Reports
(the VALMIN Code) as the applicable standard for the Public Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral
Resources and Ore Reserves. References to technical and economic studies and feasibility studies in
the JORC Code are not intended as references to Technical Assessments or Valuations as dened in the
VALMIN Code.
8.
JORC recognises that further review of the Code and Guidelines will be required from time to time.
A Public Report concerning a companys Exploration Targets, Exploration Results, Mineral Resources
or Ore Reserves is the responsibility of the company acting through its Board of Directors. Any such
report must be based on, and fairly reect, the information and supporting documentation prepared by
a Competent Person. A company issuing a Public Report shall disclose the name(s) of the Competent
Person, state whether the Competent Person is a full-time employee of the company, and, if not, name
the Competent Persons employer.
Any potential for a conict of interest by the Competent Person or a related party must be disclosed in
accordance with the Transparency principle. Any other relationship of the Competent Person with the
Company making the report must also be disclosed in the Public Report. The report must be issued
with the prior written consent of the Competent Person as to the form and context in which it appears.
Where a company is re-issuing information previously issued with the written consent of the Competent
Person, it must state the original report name, the name(s) of the Competent Person responsible for
the original report, and state the date and reference the location of the original source public report for
public access. In these circumstances the Company is not required to obtain the Competent Persons
prior written consent as to the form and context in which the information appears, provided:
s The company conrms in the subsequent public presentation that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the relevant market announcement. In the case of estimates of Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves, the company conrms that all
material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the relevant market
announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed.
s The company conrms that the form and context in which the Competent Persons ndings are
presented have not been materially modied. Note that for the subsequent public presentation it
is the responsibility of the company acting through its Board of Directors to ensure the form and
context has not been materially altered.
This relaxation of the requirement to obtain the Competent Persons prior written consent does not
apply to the requirements for annual reporting of Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves contained in
Clause 15.
All such public disclosure should be specically reviewed by the company to ensure that the form and
context in which the Competent Persons ndings are presented have not been materially modied, and to
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
ensure that the previously issued Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserve remain valid in
the light of any more recently-acquired data.
Examples of appropriate forms of compliance statements are provided in Appendix 3.
In order to assist Competent Persons and companies to comply with these requirements a Competent
Persons Consent Form has been devised that incorporates the requirements of the Code. The Competent
Persons Consent Form is provided in Appendix 2.
The completion of a consent form, whether in the format provided or in an equivalent form, is
recommended as good practice and provides readily available evidence that the required prior consent has
been obtained.
The Competent Persons Consent Form(s), or other evidence of the Competent Persons written consent,
should be retained by the company and the Competent Person to ensure that the written consent can be
promptly provided if required.
10. Documentation detailing Exploration Results, Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimates, on which a
Public Report on Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves is based, must be prepared
by, or under the direction of, and signed by, a Competent Person. If an Exploration Target is included
in a Public Report, documentation must also be prepared by, or under the direction of, and signed
by, a Competent Person. The documentation must provide a fair representation of the matters being
reported.
11. A Competent Person is a minerals industry professional who is a Member or Fellow of The
Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, or of the Australian Institute of Geoscientists,
or of a Recognised Professional Organisation (RPO), as included in a list available on the JORC
and ASX websites. These organisations have enforceable disciplinary processes including the
powers to suspend or expel a member.
A Competent Person must have a minimum of ve years relevant experience in the style of
mineralisation or type of deposit under consideration and in the activity which that person is
undertaking.
If the Competent Person is preparing documentation on Exploration Results, the relevant
experience must be in exploration. If the Competent Person is estimating, or supervising the
estimation of Mineral Resources, the relevant experience must be in the estimation, assessment
and evaluation of Mineral Resources. If the Competent Person is estimating, or supervising
the estimation of Ore Reserves, the relevant experience must be in the estimation, assessment,
evaluation and economic extraction of Ore Reserves.
The key qualier in the denition of a Competent Person is the word relevant. Determination of what
constitutes relevant experience can be a difcult area and common sense has to be exercised. For example,
in estimating Mineral Resources for vein gold mineralisation, experience in a high-nugget, vein-type
mineralisation (such as tin, uranium, etc) may be relevant, whereas experience in (say) massive base
metal deposits may not be. As a second example, to qualify as a Competent Person in the estimation of
Ore Reserves for alluvial gold deposits, considerable (at least ve years) experience in the evaluation and
economic extraction of this type of mineralisation may be needed. This is due to the properties of gold in
alluvial systems, the particle sizing of the host sediment, and the low grades involved. Experience with
placer deposits containing minerals other than gold may not necessarily provide appropriate relevant
experience.
The key word relevant also means that it is not always necessary for a person to have ve years experience
in each and every type of deposit to act as a Competent Person if that person has relevant experience in
other deposit types. For example, a person with (say) 20 years experience in estimating Mineral Resources
for a variety of metalliferous hard-rock deposit types may not require ve years specic experience in (say)
porphyry copper deposits to act as a Competent Person. Relevant experience in the other deposit types could
count towards the required experience in relation to porphyry copper deposits.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
In addition to experience in the style of mineralisation, a Competent Person taking responsibility for the
compilation of Exploration Results or Mineral Resource estimates should have sufcient experience in the
sampling and analytical techniques relevant to the deposit under consideration to be aware of problems
that could affect the reliability of data. Some appreciation of extraction and processing techniques
applicable to that deposit type may also be important.
As a general guide, a person being called upon to act as Competent Person should be clearly satised in
their own mind that they could face their peers and demonstrate competence in the commodity, type of
deposit and situation under consideration. If doubt exists, the person should either seek opinions from
appropriately experienced peers or should decline to act as a Competent Person.
Estimation of Mineral Resources may be a team effort (for example, involving one person or team collecting
the data and another person or team preparing the estimate). Estimation of Ore Reserves is very commonly
a team effort involving several technical disciplines. It is recommended that, where there is clear division
of responsibility within a team, each Competent Person and his or her contribution should be identied,
and responsibility accepted for that particular contribution. If only one Competent Person signs the Mineral
Resource or Ore Reserve documentation, that person is responsible and accountable for the whole of the
documentation under the Code. It is important in this situation that the Competent Person accepting overall
responsibility for a Mineral Resource or Ore Reserve estimate and supporting documentation prepared in
whole or in part by others, is satised that the work of the other contributors is acceptable.
Complaints made with respect to the professional work of a Competent Person will be dealt with under
the disciplinary procedures of the professional organisation to which the Competent Person belongs.
When an Australian Securities Exchange or New Zealand Stock Exchange listed company with overseas
interests wishes to report overseas Exploration Results, Mineral Resource or Ore Reserve estimates prepared
by a person who is not a member of The AusIMM, the AIG or a RPO, it is necessary for the company
to nominate a Competent Person or Persons to take responsibility for the Exploration Results, Mineral
Resource or Ore Reserve estimate. The Competent Person undertaking this activity should appreciate that
they are accepting full responsibility for the estimate and supporting documentation under Australian
Securities Exchange and/or the New Zealand Stock Exchange listing rules and should not treat the
procedure merely as a rubber-stamping exercise.
Reporting Terminology
12. Public Reports dealing with Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves must only use the
terms set out in Figure 1.
Figure 1 sets out the framework for classifying tonnage and grade estimates to reect different levels
of geological condence and different degrees of technical and economic evaluation. Mineral Resources
can be estimated on the basis of geoscientic information with some input from other disciplines. Ore
Reserves, which are a modied sub-set of the Indicated and Measured Mineral Resources (shown within
the dashed outline in Figure 1), require consideration of the Modifying Factors affecting extraction, and
should in most instances be estimated with input from a range of disciplines.
Modifying Factors are considerations used to convert Mineral Resources to Ore Reserves. These
include, but are not restricted to, mining, processing, metallurgical, infrastructure, economic,
marketing, legal, environmental, social and governmental factors.
Measured Mineral Resources may be converted to either Proved Ore Reserves or Probable Ore Reserves.
The Competent Person may convert Measured Mineral Resources to Probable Ore Reserves because of
uncertainties associated with some or all of the Modifying Factors which are taken into account in the
conversion from Mineral Resources to Ore Reserves. This relationship is shown by the broken arrow in
Figure 1. Although the trend of the broken arrow includes a vertical component, it does not, in this
instance, imply a reduction in the level of geological knowledge or condence. In such a situation these
Modifying Factors should be fully explained.
Refer also to the guidelines to Clause 32.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
([SORUDWLRQ5HVXOWV
0LQHUDO5HVRXUFHV
2UH5HVHUYHV
,QIHUUHG
,QFUHDVLQJOHYHO
RIJHRORJLFDO
NQRZOHGJHDQG
FRQILGHQFH
,QGLFDWHG
3UREDEOH
0HDVXUHG
3URYHG
&RQVLGHUDWLRQRIPLQLQJSURFHVVLQJPHWDOOXUJLFDOLQIUDVWUXFWXUH
HFRQRPLFPDUNHWLQJOHJDOHQYLURQPHQWVRFLDODQGJRYHUQPHQWIDFWRUV
WKH0RGLI\LQJ)DFWRUV
Figure 1 General relationship between Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves.
Reporting General
13. Public Reports concerning a companys Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves must
include a description of the style and nature of the mineralisation.
14. A company must disclose all relevant information concerning Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or
Ore Reserves that could materially inuence the economic value of those Exploration Results, Mineral
Resources or Ore Reserves to the company. A company must promptly report any material changes in
its Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves.
15. Companies must review and publically report their Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves annually. The
annual review date must be nominated by the Company in its Public Reports of Mineral Resources
and Ore Reserves and the effective date of each Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve statement must be
shown. The Company must discuss any material changes to previously reported Mineral Resources and
Ore Reserves at the time of publishing updated Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves.
16. Throughout the Code, if appropriate, quality may be substituted for grade and volume may be
substituted for tonnage. (Refer to Appendix 1 Generic Terms and Equivalents.)
17. It is recognised that it is common practice for a company to comment on and discuss its exploration
in terms of target size and type. However, any such comment in a Public Report must comply with the
following requirements.
An Exploration Target is a statement or estimate of the exploration potential of a mineral deposit
in a dened geological setting where the statement or estimate, quoted as a range of tonnes
and a range of grade (or quality), relates to mineralisation for which there has been insufcient
exploration to estimate a Mineral Resource.
Any such information relating to an Exploration Target must be expressed so that it cannot be
misrepresented or misconstrued as an estimate of a Mineral Resource or Ore Reserve. The terms
Resource or Reserve must not be used in this context. In any statement referring to potential quantity
and grade of the target, these must both be expressed as ranges and must include:
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
s a detailed explanation of the basis for the statement, including specic description of the level of
exploration activity already completed, and
s a clarication statement within the same paragraph as the rst reference of the Exploration Target
in the Public Report, stating that the potential quantity and grade is conceptual in nature, that
there has been insufcient exploration to estimate a Mineral Resource and that it is uncertain if
further exploration will result in the estimation of a Mineral Resource.
Given the level of uncertainty surrounding the supporting data, an Exploration Target tonnage or grade
must not be reported as a headline statement in a Public Report.
If a Public Report includes an Exploration Target the proposed exploration activities designed to test
the validity of the exploration target must be detailed and the timeframe within which those activities
are expected to be completed must be specied.
If an Exploration Target is shown pictorially (for instance as cross sections or maps) or with a graph, it
must be accompanied by text that meets the requirements above.
A Public Report that includes an Exploration Target must be accompanied by a Competent Person
statement taking responsibility for the form and context in which the Exploration Target appears.
All disclosures of an Exploration Target must clarify whether the target is based on actual Exploration
Results or on proposed exploration programmes. Where the Exploration Target statement includes
information relating to ranges of tonnages and grades these must be represented as approximations.
The explanatory text must include a description of the process used to determine the grade and tonnage
ranges used to describe the Exploration Target.
For an Exploration Target based on Exploration Results, a summary of the relevant exploration data
available and the nature of the results should also be stated, including a disclosure of the current drill hole
or sampling spacing and relevant plans or sections. In any subsequent upgraded or modied statements
on the Exploration Target, the Competent Person should discuss any material changes to potential scale or
quality arising from completed exploration activities.
10
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
Where assay and analytical results are reported, they must be reported using one of the following
methods, selected as the most appropriate by the Competent Person:
s either by listing all results, along with sample intervals (or size, in the case of bulk samples), or
s by reporting weighted average grades of mineralised zones, indicating clearly how the grades were
calculated.
Clear diagrams and maps designed to represent the geological context must be included in the report.
These must include, but not be limited to a plan view of drill hole collar locations and appropriate
sectional views.
Reporting of selected information such as isolated assays, isolated drill holes, assays of panned concentrates
or supergene enriched soils or surface samples, without placing them in perspective is unacceptable.
While it is not necessary to report all assays or drill holes, it is a requirement that sufcient information
about the omitted data is provided so that a considered and balanced judgement can be made by the
reader of the report. Where reports of Exploration Results do not include all drill holes or all intersections
of drill holes the Competent Person must provide an explanation of why this information is not considered
relevant or why it has not been provided.
As required under Clauses 4 and 5, the Competent Person must not remain silent on any issue for
which the presence or absence of comment could impact the public perception or value of the mineral
occurrence. For signicant projects the reporting of all criteria in sections 1 and 2 of Table 1 on an if
not, why not basis is required, preferably as an appendix to the Public Report. Additional disclosure
is particularly important where inadequate or uncertain data affect the reliability of, or condence
in, a statement of Exploration Results; for example, poor sample recovery, poor repeatability of assay or
laboratory results, etc.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
11
The term Mineral Resource covers mineralisation, including dumps and tailings, which has been
identied and estimated through exploration and sampling and within which Ore Reserves may be
dened by the consideration and application of the Modifying Factors.
The term reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction implies an assessment (albeit preliminary)
by the Competent Person in respect of all matters likely to inuence the prospect of economic extraction
including the approximate mining parameters. In other words, a Mineral Resource is not an inventory
of all mineralisation drilled or sampled, regardless of cut-off grade, likely mining dimensions location or
continuity. It is a realistic inventory of mineralisation which, under assumed and justiable technical,
economic and development conditions, might, in whole or in part, become economically extractable.
Where considered appropriate by the Competent Person, Mineral Resource estimates may include material
below the selected cut-off grade to ensure that the Mineral Resources comprise bodies of mineralisation of
adequate size and continuity to properly consider the most appropriate approach to mining. Documentation
of Mineral Resource estimates should clearly identify any diluting material included and Public Reports
should include commentary on the matter if considered material.
Interpretation of the word eventual in this context may vary depending on the commodity or mineral
involved. For example, for some coal, iron ore, bauxite and other bulk minerals or commodities, it may
be reasonable to envisage eventual economic extraction as covering time periods in excess of 50 years.
However for the majority of smaller deposits, application of the concept would normally be restricted to
perhaps 10 to 15 years, and frequently to much shorter periods of time. In all cases, the considered time
frame should be disclosed and discussed by the Competent Person.
Any adjustment made to the data for the purpose of making the Mineral Resource estimate, for example
by cutting or factoring grades, should be clearly stated and described in the Public Report.
Certain reports (eg inventory coal reports, exploration reports to government and other similar reports not
intended primarily for providing information for investment purposes) may require full disclosure of all
mineralisation, including some material that does not have reasonable prospects for eventual economic
extraction. Such estimates of mineralisation would not qualify as Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves in
terms of the JORC Code (refer also to the guidelines to Clauses 6 and 42).
21. An Inferred Mineral Resource is that part of a Mineral Resource for which quantity and grade
(or quality) are estimated on the basis of limited geological evidence and sampling. Geological
evidence is sufcient to imply but not verify geological and grade (or quality) continuity. It is
based on exploration, sampling and testing information gathered through appropriate techniques
from locations such as outcrops, trenches, pits, workings and drill holes.
An Inferred Mineral Resource has a lower level of condence than that applying to an Indicated
Mineral Resource and must not be converted to an Ore Reserve. It is reasonably expected that the
majority of Inferred Mineral Resources could be upgraded to Indicated Mineral Resources with
continued exploration.
Where the Mineral Resource being reported is predominantly an Inferred Mineral Resource, sufcient
supporting information must be provided to enable the reader to evaluate and assess the risk associated
with the reported Mineral Resource.
In circumstances where the estimation of the Inferred Mineral Resource is presented on the basis of
extrapolation beyond the nominal sampling spacing and taking into account the style of mineralisation,
the report must contain sufcient information to inform the reader of:
s
s
s
s
12
the maximum distance that the resource is extrapolated beyond the sample points
the proportion of the resource that is based on extrapolated data
the basis on which the resource is extrapolated to these limits
a diagrammatic representation of the Inferred Mineral Resource showing clearly the extrapolated
part of the estimated resource.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
The Inferred category is intended to cover situations where a mineral concentration or occurrence has
been identied and limited measurements and sampling completed, but where the data are insufcient
to allow the geological and grade continuity to be condently interpreted. While it would be reasonable to
expect that the majority of Inferred Mineral Resources would upgrade to Indicated Mineral Resources with
continued exploration, due to the uncertainty of Inferred Mineral Resources, it should not be assumed
that such upgrading will always occur.
Condence in the estimate of Inferred Mineral Resources is not sufcient to allow the results of the
application of technical and economic parameters to be used for detailed planning in Pre-Feasibility
(Clause 39) or Feasibility (Clause 40) Studies. For this reason, there is no direct link from an Inferred
Mineral Resource to any category of Ore Reserves (see Figure 1).
Caution should be exercised if Inferred Mineral Resources are used to support technical and economic
studies such as Scoping Studies (refer to Clause 38).
22. An Indicated Mineral Resource is that part of a Mineral Resource for which quantity, grade (or
quality), densities, shape and physical characteristics are estimated with sufcient condence
to allow the application of Modifying Factors in sufcient detail to support mine planning and
evaluation of the economic viability of the deposit.
Geological evidence is derived from adequately detailed and reliable exploration, sampling and
testing gathered through appropriate techniques from locations such as outcrops, trenches, pits,
workings and drill holes, and is sufcient to assume geological and grade (or quality) continuity
between points of observation where data and samples are gathered.
An Indicated Mineral Resource has a lower level of condence than that applying to a Measured
Mineral Resource and may only be converted to a Probable Ore Reserve.
Mineralisation may be classied as an Indicated Mineral Resource when the nature, quality, amount
and distribution of data are such as to allow condent interpretation of the geological framework and to
assume continuity of mineralisation.
Condence in the estimate is sufcient to allow application of Modifying Factors within a technical and
economic study as dened in Clauses 37 to 40.
23. A Measured Mineral Resource is that part of a Mineral Resource for which quantity, grade (or
quality), densities, shape, and physical characteristics are estimated with condence sufcient to
allow the application of Modifying Factors to support detailed mine planning and nal evaluation
of the economic viability of the deposit.
Geological evidence is derived from detailed and reliable exploration, sampling and testing
gathered through appropriate techniques from locations such as outcrops, trenches, pits, workings
and drill holes, and is sufcient to conrm geological and grade (or quality) continuity between
points of observation where data and samples are gathered.
A Measured Mineral Resource has a higher level of condence than that applying to either an
Indicated Mineral Resource or an Inferred Mineral Resource. It may be converted to a Proved Ore
Reserve or under certain circumstances to a Probable Ore Reserve.
Mineralisation may be classied as a Measured Mineral Resource when the nature, quality, amount and
distribution of data are such as to leave no reasonable doubt, in the opinion of the Competent Person
determining the Mineral Resource, that the tonnage and grade of the mineralisation can be estimated
to within close limits, and that any variation from the estimate would be unlikely to signicantly affect
potential economic viability.
This category requires a high level of condence in, and understanding of, the geological properties and
controls of the mineral deposit.
Condence in the estimate is sufcient to allow application of Modifying Factors within a technical and
economic study as dened in Clauses 37 to 40.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
13
Depending upon the level of condence in the various Modifying Factors it may be converted to a
Proved Ore Reserve (high condence in Modifying Factors), Probable Ore Reserve (some uncertainty in
Modifying Factors) or may not be converted at all (low or no condence in some of the Modifying Factors;
or no plan to mine, eg pillars in an underground mine or outside economic pit limits).
24. The choice of the appropriate category of Mineral Resource depends upon the quantity, distribution
and quality of data available and the level of condence that attaches to those data. The appropriate
Mineral Resource category must be determined by a Competent Person.
Mineral Resource classication is a matter for skilled judgement and a Competent Person should take into
account those items in Table 1 that relate to condence in Mineral Resource estimation.
In deciding between Measured Mineral Resources and Indicated Mineral Resources, Competent Persons
may nd it useful to consider, in addition to the phrases in the two denitions relating to geological and
grade continuity in Clauses 22 and 23, the phrase in the guideline to the denition for Measured Mineral
Resources: ... any variation from the estimate would be unlikely to signicantly affect potential economic
viability.
In deciding between Indicated Mineral Resources and Inferred Mineral Resources, Competent Persons
may wish to take into account, in addition to the phrases in the two denitions in Clauses 21 and 22
relating to geological and grade continuity, that part of the denition for Indicated Mineral Resources:
sufcient condence to allow the application of Modifying Factors in sufcient detail to
support mine planning and evaluation of the economic viability of the deposit, which contrasts
with the guideline to the denition for Inferred Mineral Resources: Condence in the estimate of Inferred
Mineral Resources is not sufcient to allow the results of the application of technical and economic
parameters to be used for detailed planning in Pre-Feasibility (Clause 39) or Feasibility (Clause 40)
Studies and Caution should be exercised if Inferred Mineral Resources are used to support technical and
economic studies such as Scoping Studies (refer to Clause 38).
The Competent Person should take into consideration issues of the style of mineralisation and cut-off
grade when assessing geological and grade continuity for the purposes of classifying the resource.
Cut-off grades chosen for the estimation should be realistic in relation to the style of mineralisation and
the anticipated mining and processing development options.
25. Mineral Resource estimates are not precise calculations, being dependent on the interpretation of limited
information on the location, shape and continuity of the occurrence and on the available sampling
results. Reporting of tonnage and grade gures should reect the relative uncertainty of the estimate
by rounding off to appropriately signicant gures and, in the case of Inferred Mineral Resources, by
qualication with terms such as approximately and to emphasise the imprecise nature of a Mineral
Resource, the nal result should always be referred to as an estimate not a calculation.
In most situations, rounding to the second signicant gure should be sufcient. For example 10,863,000
tonnes at 8.23 per cent should be stated as 11 million tonnes at 8.2 per cent. There will be occasions,
however, where rounding to the rst signicant gure may be necessary in order to convey properly the
uncertainties in estimation. This would usually be the case with Inferred Mineral Resources.
Competent Persons are encouraged, where appropriate, to discuss the relative accuracy and condence
level of the Mineral Resource estimates with consideration of at least sampling, analytical and estimation
errors. The statement should specify whether it relates to global or local estimates, and, if local, state
the relevant tonnage. Where a statement of the relative accuracy and condence level is not possible, a
qualitative discussion of the uncertainties should be provided in its place (refer to Table 1).
26. Public Reports of Mineral Resources must specify one or more of the categories of Inferred, Indicated
and Measured. Categories must not be reported in a combined form unless details for the individual
categories are also provided. Mineral Resources must not be reported in terms of contained metal or
mineral content unless corresponding tonnages and grades are also presented.
14
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
15
16
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
Ore Reserve and Mineral Resource estimates for coal may be reported as Coal Reserve and Coal
Resource estimates.
JORC prefers the term Ore Reserve because it assists in maintaining a clear distinction between a Mineral
Resource and an Ore Reserve, whereas other codes feel it is better to reference Mineral Exploration
Results, Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves.
30. A Probable Ore Reserve is the economically mineable part of an Indicated, and in some
circumstances, a Measured Mineral Resource. The condence in the Modifying Factors applying
to a Probable Ore Reserve is lower than that applying to a Proved Ore Reserve.
Consideration of the condence level of the Modifying Factors is important in conversion of Mineral
Resources to Ore Reserves.
A Probable Ore Reserve has a lower level of condence than a Proved Ore Reserve but is of sufcient
quality to serve as the basis for a decision on the development of the deposit.
31. A Proved Ore Reserve is the economically mineable part of a Measured Mineral Resource. A
Proved Ore Reserve implies a high degree of condence in the Modifying Factors.
A Proved Ore Reserve represents the highest condence category of reserve estimate and implies a high
degree of condence in geological and grade continuity, and the consideration of the Modifying Factors.
The style of mineralisation or other factors could mean that Proved Ore Reserves are not achievable in
some deposits.
32. The choice of the appropriate category of Ore Reserve is determined primarily by the relevant level of
condence in the Mineral Resource and after considering any uncertainties in the consideration of the
Modifying Factors. Allocation of the appropriate category must be made by a Competent Person.
The Code provides for a direct two-way relationship between Indicated Mineral Resources and Probable
Ore Reserves and between Measured Mineral Resources and Proved Ore Reserves. In other words, the
level of geological condence for Probable Ore Reserves is similar to that required for the determination
of Indicated Mineral Resources, and the level of geological condence for Proved Ore Reserves is similar
to that required for the determination of Measured Mineral Resources.
The Code also provides for a two-way relationship between Measured Mineral Resources and Probable
Ore Reserves. This is to cover a situation where uncertainties associated with any of the Modifying Factors
considered when converting Mineral Resources to Ore Reserves may result in there being a lower degree
of condence in the Ore Reserves than in the corresponding Mineral Resources. Such a conversion would
not imply a reduction in the level of geological knowledge or condence.
A Probable Ore Reserve derived from a Measured Mineral Resource may be converted to a Proved Ore
Reserve if the uncertainties in the Modifying Factors are removed. No amount of condence in the
Modifying Factors for conversion of a Mineral Resource to an Ore Reserve can override the upper level
of condence that exists in the Mineral Resource. Under no circumstances can an Indicated Mineral
Resource be converted directly to a Proved Ore Reserve (see Figure 1).
Application of the category of Proved Ore Reserve implies the highest degree of geological, technical and
economic condence in the estimate at the level of production increments used to support mine planning
and production scheduling, with consequent expectations in the minds of the readers of the report. These
expectations should be considered when categorising a Mineral Resource as Measured.
Refer also to the guidelines in Clause 24 regarding classication of Mineral Resources.
33. Ore Reserve estimates are not precise calculations. Reporting of tonnage and grade estimates should
reect the relative uncertainty of the estimate by rounding off to appropriately signicant gures. Refer
also to Clause 25.
To emphasise the imprecise nature of an Ore Reserve, the nal result should always be referred to as an
estimate and not a calculation.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
17
Competent Persons are encouraged, where appropriate, to discuss the relative accuracy and condence
level of the Ore Reserve estimates with consideration of both underlying estimation and Modifying Factor
uncertainties. The statement should specify whether it relates to global or local estimates, and, if local,
state the relevant tonnage. Where a statement of the relative accuracy and condence level is not possible,
a qualitative discussion of the uncertainties should be provided in its place (refer to Table 1).
34. Public Reports of Ore Reserves must specify one or other or both of the categories of Proved and
Probable. Reports must not contain combined Proved and Probable Ore Reserve gures unless the
relevant gures for each of the categories are also provided. Reports must not present metal or mineral
content gures unless corresponding tonnage and grade gures are also given.
Public Reporting of tonnage and grade outside the categories covered by the Code is not permitted
unless the situation is covered by Clause 17, and then only in strict accordance with the requirements
of that Clause.
Estimates of tonnage and grade outside of the categories covered by the Code may be useful for a company
in its internal calculations and evaluation processes, but their inclusion in Public Reports could cause
confusion, and is not permitted.
Ore Reserves may incorporate material (dilution) that is not part of the original Mineral Resource. It is
essential that this fundamental difference between Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves is considered and
caution exercised if attempting to draw conclusions from a comparison of the two.
When revised Ore Reserve and Mineral Resource statements are publicly reported, the Company must
discuss any material changes from the previous estimate, and supply sufcient comment to enable the basis
for signicant changes to be understood by the reader.
35. In a Public Report of an Ore Reserve estimate for a signicant project for the rst time, or when
those estimates have materially changed from when they were last reported, a brief summary of the
information in relevant sections of Table 1 must be provided or, if a particular criterion is not relevant
or material, a disclosure that it is not relevant or material and a brief explanation of why this is the case
must be provided.
For a signicant project, when Ore Reserve estimates are rst Publicly Reported or when a material
change occurs (including classication changes), there is an increased need for transparent discussion of
the basis for the new Ore Reserve estimate in order that investors are appropriately informed of the basis
for the changes. As noted in Clauses 4 and 5 the benchmark of Materiality is that which an investor or
their advisers would reasonably expect to see explicit comment on from the Competent Person, thus the
reporting of all criteria in Table 1 on an if not, why not basis is required.
The Code species reporting against relevant sections of Table 1 in this Clause. This may be satised by
reporting against section 4 on the presumption that matters related to sections 1, 2 and 3 will already
have been included in a still current Public Report and this Report can be referenced. If this is not the case
then these sections are also relevant and should be included in the Public Report.
The Technical summary based against Table 1 criteria should be presented as an appendix to the Public
Report.
Where there are as yet unresolved issues potentially impacting the reliability of, or condence in, a
statement of Ore Reserves (for example, limited geotechnical information, complex orebody metallurgy,
uncertainty in the permitting process, etc) those unresolved issues should also be reported.
If there is doubt about what should be reported, it is better to err on the side of providing too much
information rather than too little.
Uncertainties in any of the criteria listed in Table 1 that could lead to under- or over- statement of Ore
Reserves should be disclosed.
18
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
Ore Reserve estimates are sometimes reported after adjustment from reconciliation with production data.
Such adjustments should be clearly stated in a Public Report of Ore Reserves and the nature of the
adjustment or modication described.
36. In situations where gures for both Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves are reported, a statement must
be included in the report which clearly indicates whether the Mineral Resources are inclusive of, or
additional to the Ore Reserves.
Ore Reserve estimates must not be aggregated with Mineral Resource estimates to report a single
combined gure.
In some situations there are reasons for reporting Mineral Resources inclusive of Ore Reserves and in other
situations for reporting Mineral Resources additional to Ore Reserves. It must be made clear which form
of reporting has been adopted. Appropriate forms of clarifying statements may be:
s The Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources are inclusive of those Mineral Resources modied
to produce the Ore Reserves. or
s The Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources are additional to the Ore Reserves.
In the former case, if any Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources have not been modied to produce
Ore Reserves for economic or other reasons, the relevant details of these unmodied Mineral Resources
should be included in the report. This is to assist the reader of the report in making a judgement of the
likelihood of the unmodied Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources eventually being converted to
Ore Reserves.
Inferred Mineral Resources are by denition generally additional to Ore Reserves except where included
as dilution in the Ore Reserves.
For reasons stated in the guidelines to Clause 34 and in this paragraph, the reported Ore Reserve estimates
must not be aggregated with the reported Mineral Resource estimates (eg in graphs, gures or tables). The
resulting total is misleading and is capable of being misunderstood or of being misused to give a false
impression of a companys prospects.
Technical Studies
37. These denitions are included in the Code to provide clarity on what is expected when reporting using
these terms. The denition of a Scoping Study has been included because of the common usage of the
term in Public Reports. However attention is drawn to the requirement for a Pre-Feasibility Study or a
Feasibility study to have been completed for the Public Reporting of an Ore Reserve in Clause 29. An
Ore Reserve must not be reported based on the completion of a Scoping Study.
38. A Scoping Study is an order of magnitude technical and economic study of the potential viability
of Mineral Resources. It includes appropriate assessments of realistically assumed Modifying
Factors together with any other relevant operational factors that are necessary to demonstrate at
the time of reporting that progress to a Pre-Feasibility Study can be reasonably justied.
A Scoping Study must not be used as the basis for estimation of Ore Reserves.
If the outcome of a Scoping Study is partially supported by Inferred Mineral Resources and/or an
Exploration Target, the Public Report must state both the proportion and relative sequencing of the
Inferred Mineral Resources and/or an Exploration Target within the Scoping Study.
For all Scoping Studies, the entity must include a cautionary statement in the same paragraph as, or
immediately following, the disclosure of the Scoping Study.
An example cautionary statement follows:
The Scoping Study referred to in this report is based on low-level technical and economic assessments, and
is insufcient to support estimation of Ore Reserves or to provide assurance of an economic development
case at this stage, or to provide certainty that the conclusions of the Scoping Study will be realised.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
19
In discussing reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction in Clause 20, the Code requires
an assessment (albeit preliminary) in respect of all matters likely to inuence the prospect of economic
extraction including the approximate mining parameters by the Competent Person. While a Scoping
Study may provide the basis for that assessment, the Code does not require a Scoping Study to have been
completed to report a Mineral Resource.
Scoping Studies are commonly the rst economic evaluation of a project undertaken and may be based on
a combination of directly gathered project data together with assumptions borrowed from similar deposits
or operations to the case envisaged. They are also commonly used internally by companies for comparative
and planning purposes. Reporting the general results of a Scoping Study needs to be undertaken with care
to ensure there is no implication that Ore Reserves have been established or that economic development
is assured. In this regard it may be appropriate to indicate the Mineral Resource inputs to the Scoping
Study and the processes applied, but it is not appropriate to report the diluted tonnes and grade as if they
were Ore Reserves.
While initial mining and processing cases may have been developed during a Scoping Study, it must not
be used to allow an Ore Reserve to be developed.
39. A Preliminary Feasibility Study (Pre-Feasibility Study) is a comprehensive study of a range of
options for the technical and economic viability of a mineral project that has advanced to a stage
where a preferred mining method, in the case of underground mining, or the pit conguration, in
the case of an open pit, is established and an effective method of mineral processing is determined.
It includes a nancial analysis based on reasonable assumptions on the Modifying Factors and
the evaluation of any other relevant factors which are sufcient for a Competent Person, acting
reasonably, to determine if all or part of the Mineral Resources may be converted to an Ore
Reserve at the time of reporting. A Pre-Feasibility Study is at a lower condence level than a
Feasibility Study.
As noted in Clause 29, formal assessment of all Modifying Factors is required in order to determine how
much available Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources can be converted to Ore Reserves.
A Pre-Feasibility Study will consider the application and description of all Modifying factors (as outlined
in Table 1, section 4) to demonstrate economic viability and to support an Ore Reserve Public Report.
The Pre-Feasibility Study will identify the preferred mining, processing, and infrastructure requirements
and capacities, but will not yet have nalised these matters. Detailed assessments of environmental and
socio-economic impacts and requirements will also be well advanced. The Pre-Feasibility Study will
highlight areas that require further renement within the nal study stage.
40. A Feasibility Study is a comprehensive technical and economic study of the selected development
option for a mineral project that includes appropriately detailed assessments of applicable
Modifying Factors together with any other relevant operational factors and detailed nancial
analysis that are necessary to demonstrate at the time of reporting that extraction is reasonably
justied (economically mineable). The results of the study may reasonably serve as the basis for a
nal decision by a proponent or nancial institution to proceed with, or nance, the development
of the project. The condence level of the study will be higher than that of a Pre-Feasibility Study.
The Code does not require that a full Feasibility Study has been undertaken to convert Mineral
Resources to Ore Reserves, but it does require that at least a Pre-Feasibility Study will have been carried
out that will have determined a mine plan that is technically achievable and economically viable, and
that material Modifying Factors have been considered.
Terms such as Bankable Feasibility Study and Denitive Feasibility Study are noted as being
equivalent to a Feasibility Study as dened in this Clause.
A Feasibility Study is of a higher level of condence than a Pre-Feasibility Study and would normally
contain mining, infrastructure and process designs completed with sufcient rigour to serve as the basis
for an investment decision or to support project nancing. Social, environmental and governmental
20
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
approvals, permits and agreements will be in place, or will be approaching nalisation within the
expected development timeframe. The Feasibility Study will contain the application and description of all
Modifying factors (as outlined in Table 1, section 4) in a more detailed form than in the Pre-Feasibility
Study, and may address implementation issues such as detailed mining schedules, construction ramp up,
and project execution plans.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
21
Because of its impact on planning and land use, governments may require estimates of inventory coal that
are not constrained by short- to medium-term economic considerations. The JORC Code does not cover
such estimates. Refer also to the guidelines to Clauses 6 and 20.
43. The terms Mineral Resource(s) and Ore Reserve(s), and the subdivisions of these as dened above,
apply also to coal reporting, but if preferred by the reporting company, the terms Coal Resource(s) and
Coal Reserve(s) and the appropriate subdivisions may be substituted.
44. Marketable Coal Reserves, representing beneciated or otherwise enhanced coal product where
modications due to mining, dilution and processing have been considered, must be publicly reported
in conjunction with, but not instead of, reports of Coal Reserves. The basis of the predicted yield to
achieve Marketable Coal Reserves must be stated.
Since investors need to be informed on the products intended to be sold, reporting of Marketable Coal
Reserves is required.
Reference to the terms coking coal or metallurgical coal, or any reference to coking properties, should not
be made until specic coking properties are demonstrated by analytical results for samples from a deposit.
22
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
In order to progress to an Indicated Mineral Resource, and from there to a Probable Ore Reserve, it
is likely that much more extensive bulk sampling would be needed to fully determine the stone size
distribution and value. Commonly such bulk samples would be obtained by underground development
designed to obtain sufcient diamonds to enable a condent estimate of price.
In complex deposits, it may be very difcult to ensure that the bulk samples taken are truly representative
of the whole deposit. The lack of direct bulk sampling, and the uncertainty in demonstrating spatial
continuity of size and price relationships should be persuasive in determining the appropriate resource
category.
47. Where diamond Mineral Resource or Ore Reserve grades (carats per tonne) are based on correlations
between the frequency of occurrence of micro-diamonds and of commercial size stones, this must
be stated, the reliability of the procedure must be explained and the cut-off sieve size for microdiamonds reported.
48. For Public Reports dealing with diamond or other gemstone mineralisation, it is a requirement that any
reported valuation of a parcel of diamonds or gemstones be accompanied by a statement verifying the
independence of the valuation. The valuation must be based on a report from a demonstrably reputable
and qualied expert.
If a valuation of a parcel of diamonds is reported, the weight in carats and the lower cut-off size of the
contained diamonds must be stated and the value of the diamonds must be given in US dollars per
carat. Where the valuation is used in the estimation of diamond Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves,
the valuation must be based on a parcel representative of the size, shape and colour distributions of the
diamond population in the deposit.
Diamond valuations should not be reported for samples of diamonds processed using total liberation
methods.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
23
Some industrial mineral deposits may be capable of yielding products suitable for more than one
application and/or specication. If considered material by the reporting company, such multiple products
should be quantied either separately or as a percentage of the bulk deposit.
24
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
In determining project viability it is necessary to include all reasonable Modifying Factors (Clauses 29 to
36) to determine the economic value that can be extracted from the mineralisation.
Many deposits with large in ground values are never developed because they have a negative Net Present
Value when all reasonable Modifying Factors are considered.
By reporting such nancial valuations as a component of Exploration Results or when evaluating deposits
that commonly include large portions of Inferred Mineral Resources, companies are not necessarily
representing the economic viability of the project, or the net economic value that can be extracted from
the mineralisation.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
25
Criteria
Sampling
techniques
26
Explanation
s Nature and quality of sampling (eg cut channels, random chips, or specic specialised
industry standard measurement tools appropriate to the minerals under investigation, such
as down hole gamma sondes, or handheld XRF instruments, etc). These examples should
not be taken as limiting the broad meaning of sampling.
s Include reference to measures taken to ensure sample representivity and the appropriate
calibration of any measurement tools or systems used.
s Aspects of the determination of mineralisation that are Material to the Public Report.
In cases where industry standard work has been done this would be relatively simple
(eg reverse circulation drilling was used to obtain 1 m samples from which 3 kg was
pulverised to produce a 30 g charge for re assay). In other cases more explanation may be
required, such as where there is coarse gold that has inherent sampling problems. Unusual
commodities or mineralisation types (eg submarine nodules) may warrant disclosure of
detailed information.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
Criteria
Drilling
techniques
Explanation
s Drill type (eg core, reverse circulation, open-hole hammer, rotary air blast, auger, Bangka,
sonic, etc) and details (eg core diameter, triple or standard tube, depth of diamond tails,
face-sampling bit or other type, whether core is oriented and if so, by what method, etc).
Drill sample
s Method of recording and assessing core and chip sample recoveries and results assessed.
recovery
s Measures taken to maximise sample recovery and ensure representative nature of the samples.
s Whether a relationship exists between sample recovery and grade and whether sample bias
may have occurred due to preferential loss/gain of ne/coarse material.
Logging
s Whether core and chip samples have been geologically and geotechnically logged to a
level of detail to support appropriate Mineral Resource estimation, mining studies and
metallurgical studies.
s Whether logging is qualitative or quantitative in nature. Core (or costean, channel, etc)
photography.
s The total length and percentage of the relevant intersections logged.
Sub-sampling
s If core, whether cut or sawn and whether quarter, half or all core taken.
techniques
s If non-core, whether rifed, tube sampled, rotary split, etc and whether sampled wet or dry.
and sample
s For all sample types, the nature, quality and appropriateness of the sample preparation
preparation
technique.
s Quality control procedures adopted for all sub-sampling stages to maximise representivity
of samples.
s Measures taken to ensure that the sampling is representative of the in situ material collected,
including for instance results for eld duplicate/second-half sampling.
s Whether sample sizes are appropriate to the grain size of the material being sampled.
Quality of
s The nature, quality and appropriateness of the assaying and laboratory procedures used and
assay data and
whether the technique is considered partial or total.
laboratory tests s For geophysical tools, spectrometers, handheld XRF instruments, etc, the parameters used in
determining the analysis including instrument make and model, reading times, calibrations
factors applied and their derivation, etc.
s Nature of quality control procedures adopted (eg standards, blanks, duplicates, external
laboratory checks) and whether acceptable levels of accuracy (ie lack of bias) and precision
have been established.
Verication of
s The verication of signicant intersections by either independent or alternative company
sampling and
personnel.
assaying
s The use of twinned holes.
s Documentation of primary data, data entry procedures, data verication, data storage
(physical and electronic) protocols.
s Discuss any adjustment to assay data.
Location of data s Accuracy and quality of surveys used to locate drill holes (collar and down-hole surveys),
points
trenches, mine workings and other locations used in Mineral Resource estimation.
s Specication of the grid system used.
s Quality and adequacy of topographic control.
Data spacing
s Data spacing for reporting of Exploration Results.
and distribution s Whether the data spacing and distribution is sufcient to establish the degree of geological
and grade continuity appropriate for the Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimation
procedure(s) and classications applied.
s Whether sample compositing has been applied.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
27
Criteria
Explanation
Orientation of s Whether the orientation of sampling achieves unbiased sampling of possible structures and
data in relation
the extent to which this is known, considering the deposit type.
to geological
s If the relationship between the drilling orientation and the orientation of key mineralised
structure
structures is considered to have introduced a sampling bias, this should be assessed and
reported if material.
Sample security s The measures taken to ensure sample security.
Audits or
s The results of any audits or reviews of sampling techniques and data.
reviews
Criteria
Mineral
tenement and
land tenure
status
Explanation
s Type, reference name/number, location and ownership including agreements or material
issues with third parties such as joint ventures, partnerships, overriding royalties, native
title interests, historical sites, wilderness or national park and environmental settings.
s The security of the tenure held at the time of reporting along with any known impediments
to obtaining a licence to operate in the area.
Exploration done s Acknowledgment and appraisal of exploration by other parties.
by other parties
Geology
s Deposit type, geological setting and style of mineralisation.
Drill hole
s A summary of all information material to the understanding of the exploration results
Information
including a tabulation of the following information for all Material drill holes:
s easting and northing of the drill hole collar
s elevation or RL (Reduced Level elevation above sea level in metres) of the drill hole collar
s dip and azimuth of the hole
s down hole length and interception depth
s hole length.
s If the exclusion of this information is justied on the basis that the information is not
Material and this exclusion does not detract from the understanding of the report, the
Competent Person should clearly explain why this is the case.
Data
s In reporting Exploration Results, weighting averaging techniques, maximum and/or
aggregation
minimum grade truncations (eg cutting of high grades) and cut-off grades are usually
methods
Material and should be stated.
s Where aggregate intercepts incorporate short lengths of high grade results and longer lengths
of low grade results, the procedure used for such aggregation should be stated and some
typical examples of such aggregations should be shown in detail.
s The assumptions used for any reporting of metal equivalent values should be clearly stated.
Relationship
s These relationships are particularly important in the reporting of Exploration Results.
between
s If the geometry of the mineralisation with respect to the drill hole angle is known, its nature
mineralisation
should be reported.
widths and
s If it is not known and only the down hole lengths are reported, there should be a clear
intercept lengths
statement to this effect (eg down hole length, true width not known).
Diagrams
s Appropriate maps and sections (with scales) and tabulations of intercepts should be included
for any signicant discovery being reported These should include, but not be limited to a
plan view of drill hole collar locations and appropriate sectional views.
28
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
Criteria
Balanced
reporting
Explanation
s Where comprehensive reporting of all Exploration Results is not practicable, representative
reporting of both low and high grades and/or widths should be practiced to avoid misleading
reporting of Exploration Results.
Other
s Other exploration data, if meaningful and material, should be reported including (but not
substantive
limited to): geological observations; geophysical survey results; geochemical survey results;
exploration data
bulk samples size and method of treatment; metallurgical test results; bulk density,
groundwater, geotechnical and rock characteristics; potential deleterious or contaminating
substances.
Further work
s The nature and scale of planned further work (eg tests for lateral extensions or depth
extensions or large-scale step-out drilling).
s Diagrams clearly highlighting the areas of possible extensions, including the main geological
interpretations and future drilling areas, provided this information is not commercially
sensitive.
Section 3 Estimation and Reporting of Mineral Resources
(Criteria listed in section 1, and where relevant in section 2, also apply to this section.)
Criteria
Database
integrity
Site visits
Geological
interpretation
Dimensions
Estimation
and modelling
techniques
Explanation
s Measures taken to ensure that data has not been corrupted by, for example, transcription
or keying errors, between its initial collection and its use for Mineral Resource estimation
purposes.
s Data validation procedures used.
s Comment on any site visits undertaken by the Competent Person and the outcome of those
visits.
s If no site visits have been undertaken indicate why this is the case.
s Condence in (or conversely, the uncertainty of ) the geological interpretation of the mineral
deposit.
s Nature of the data used and of any assumptions made.
s The effect, if any, of alternative interpretations on Mineral Resource estimation.
s The use of geology in guiding and controlling Mineral Resource estimation.
s The factors affecting continuity both of grade and geology.
s The extent and variability of the Mineral Resource expressed as length (along strike or
otherwise), plan width, and depth below surface to the upper and lower limits of the
Mineral Resource.
s The nature and appropriateness of the estimation technique(s) applied and key assumptions,
including treatment of extreme grade values, domaining, interpolation parameters and
maximum distance of extrapolation from data points. If a computer assisted estimation
method was chosen include a description of computer software and parameters used.
s The availability of check estimates, previous estimates and/or mine production records and
whether the Mineral Resource estimate takes appropriate account of such data.
s The assumptions made regarding recovery of by-products.
s Estimation of deleterious elements or other non-grade variables of economic signicance (eg
sulphur for acid mine drainage characterisation).
s In the case of block model interpolation, the block size in relation to the average sample
spacing and the search employed.
s Any assumptions behind modelling of selective mining units.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
29
Criteria
Estimation
and modelling
techniques
(continued)
Moisture
Cut-off
parameters
Mining factors
or assumptions
Metallurgical
factors or
assumptions
Environmental
factors or
assumptions
Bulk density
Classication
Audits or
reviews.
30
Explanation
s Any assumptions about correlation between variables.
s Description of how the geological interpretation was used to control the resource estimates.
s Discussion of basis for using or not using grade cutting or capping.
s The process of validation, the checking process used, the comparison of model data to drill
hole data, and use of reconciliation data if available.
s Whether the tonnages are estimated on a dry basis or with natural moisture, and the
method of determination of the moisture content.
s The basis of the adopted cut-off grade(s) or quality parameters applied.
s Assumptions made regarding possible mining methods, minimum mining dimensions
and internal (or, if applicable, external) mining dilution. It is always necessary as part
of the process of determining reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction to
consider potential mining methods, but the assumptions made regarding mining methods
and parameters when estimating Mineral Resources may not always be rigorous. Where
this is the case, this should be reported with an explanation of the basis of the mining
assumptions made.
s The basis for assumptions or predictions regarding metallurgical amenability. It is always
necessary as part of the process of determining reasonable prospects for eventual economic
extraction to consider potential metallurgical methods, but the assumptions regarding
metallurgical treatment processes and parameters made when reporting Mineral Resources
may not always be rigorous. Where this is the case, this should be reported with an
explanation of the basis of the metallurgical assumptions made.
s Assumptions made regarding possible waste and process residue disposal options. It is
always necessary as part of the process of determining reasonable prospects for eventual
economic extraction to consider the potential environmental impacts of the mining and
processing operation. While at this stage the determination of potential environmental
impacts, particularly for a greenelds project, may not always be well advanced, the status
of early consideration of these potential environmental impacts should be reported. Where
these aspects have not been considered this should be reported with an explanation of the
environmental assumptions made.
s Whether assumed or determined. If assumed, the basis for the assumptions. If determined,
the method used, whether wet or dry, the frequency of the measurements, the nature, size
and representativeness of the samples.
s The bulk density for bulk material must have been measured by methods that adequately
account for void spaces (vugs, porosity, etc), moisture and differences between rock and
alteration zones within the deposit.
s Discuss assumptions for bulk density estimates used in the evaluation process of the different
materials.
s The basis for the classication of the Mineral Resources into varying condence
categories.
s Whether appropriate account has been taken of all relevant factors (ie relative condence
in tonnage/grade estimations, reliability of input data, condence in continuity of geology
and metal values, quality, quantity and distribution of the data).
s Whether the result appropriately reects the Competent Persons view of the deposit.
s The results of any audits or reviews of Mineral Resource estimates.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
Criteria
Discussion
of relative
accuracy/
condence
Explanation
s Where appropriate a statement of the relative accuracy and condence level in the Mineral
Resource estimate using an approach or procedure deemed appropriate by the Competent
Person. For example, the application of statistical or geostatistical procedures to quantify the
relative accuracy of the resource within stated condence limits, or, if such an approach is
not deemed appropriate, a qualitative discussion of the factors that could affect the relative
accuracy and condence of the estimate.
s The statement should specify whether it relates to global or local estimates, and, if local,
state the relevant tonnages, which should be relevant to technical and economic evaluation.
Documentation should include assumptions made and the procedures used.
s These statements of relative accuracy and condence of the estimate should be compared
with production data, where available.
Criteria
Mineral
Resource
estimate for
conversion to
Ore Reserves
Site visits
Study status
Cut-off
parameters
Mining factors
or assumptions
Explanation
s Description of the Mineral Resource estimate used as a basis for the conversion to an Ore
Reserve.
s Clear statement as to whether the Mineral Resources are reported additional to, or inclusive
of, the Ore Reserves.
s Comment on any site visits undertaken by the Competent Person and the outcome of those
visits.
s If no site visits have been undertaken indicate why this is the case.
s The type and level of study undertaken to enable Mineral Resources to be converted to Ore
Reserves.
s The Code requires that a study to at least Pre-Feasibility Study level has been undertaken
to convert Mineral Resources to Ore Reserves. Such studies will have been carried out and
will have determined a mine plan that is technically achievable and economically viable,
and that material Modifying Factors have been considered.
s The basis of the cut-off grade(s) or quality parameters applied.
s The method and assumptions used as reported in the Pre-Feasibility or Feasibility Study to
convert the Mineral Resource to an Ore Reserve (i.e. either by application of appropriate
factors by optimisation or by preliminary or detailed design).
s The choice, nature and appropriateness of the selected mining method(s) and other mining
parameters including associated design issues such as pre-strip, access, etc.
s The assumptions made regarding geotechnical parameters (eg pit slopes, stope sizes, etc),
grade control and pre-production drilling.
s The major assumptions made and Mineral Resource model used for pit and stope
optimisation (if appropriate).
s The mining dilution factors used.
s The mining recovery factors used.
s Any minimum mining widths used.
s The manner in which Inferred Mineral Resources are utilised in mining studies and the
sensitivity of the outcome to their inclusion.
s The infrastructure requirements of the selected mining methods.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
31
Criteria
Metallurgical
factors or
assumptions
Environmental
Infrastructure
Costs
Revenue factors
Market
assessment
Economic
Social
32
Explanation
s The metallurgical process proposed and the appropriateness of that process to the style of
mineralisation.
s Whether the metallurgical process is well-tested technology or novel in nature.
s The nature, amount and representativeness of metallurgical test work undertaken, the
nature of the metallurgical domaining applied and the corresponding metallurgical recovery
factors applied.
s Any assumptions or allowances made for deleterious elements.
s The existence of any bulk sample or pilot scale test work and the degree to which such
samples are considered representative of the orebody as a whole.
s For minerals that are dened by a specication, has the ore reserve estimation been based
on the appropriate mineralogy to meet the specications?
s The status of studies of potential environmental impacts of the mining and processing
operation. Details of waste rock characterisation and the consideration of potential sites,
status of design options considered and, where applicable, the status of approvals for process
residue storage and waste dumps should be reported.
s The existence of appropriate infrastructure: availability of land for plant development,
power, water, transportation (particularly for bulk commodities), labour, accommodation;
or the ease with which the infrastructure can be provided, or accessed.
s The derivation of, or assumptions made, regarding projected capital costs in the study.
s The methodology used to estimate operating costs.
s Allowances made for the content of deleterious elements.
s The source of exchange rates used in the study.
s Derivation of transportation charges.
s The basis for forecasting or source of treatment and rening charges, penalties for failure to
meet specication, etc.
s The allowances made for royalties payable, both Government and private.
s The derivation of, or assumptions made regarding revenue factors including head grade,
metal or commodity price(s) exchange rates, transportation and treatment charges, penalties,
net smelter returns, etc.
s The derivation of assumptions made of metal or commodity price(s), for the principal
metals, minerals and co-products.
s The demand, supply and stock situation for the particular commodity, consumption trends
and factors likely to affect supply and demand into the future.
s A customer and competitor analysis along with the identication of likely market windows
for the product.
s Price and volume forecasts and the basis for these forecasts.
s For industrial minerals the customer specication, testing and acceptance requirements
prior to a supply contract.
s The inputs to the economic analysis to produce the net present value (NPV) in the study,
the source and condence of these economic inputs including estimated ination, discount
rate, etc.
s NPV ranges and sensitivity to variations in the signicant assumptions and inputs.
s The status of agreements with key stakeholders and matters leading to social licence to
operate.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
Criteria
Other
Classication
Audits or
reviews
Discussion
of relative
accuracy/
condence
Explanation
s To the extent relevant, the impact of the following on the project and/or on the estimation
and classication of the Ore Reserves:
s Any identied material naturally occurring risks.
s The status of material legal agreements and marketing arrangements.
s The status of governmental agreements and approvals critical to the viability of the project,
such as mineral tenement status, and government and statutory approvals. There must
be reasonable grounds to expect that all necessary Government approvals will be received
within the timeframes anticipated in the Pre-Feasibility or Feasibility study. Highlight and
discuss the materiality of any unresolved matter that is dependent on a third party on which
extraction of the reserve is contingent.
s The basis for the classication of the Ore Reserves into varying condence categories.
s Whether the result appropriately reects the Competent Persons view of the deposit.
s The proportion of Probable Ore Reserves that have been derived from Measured Mineral
Resources (if any).
s The results of any audits or reviews of Ore Reserve estimates.
s Where appropriate a statement of the relative accuracy and condence level in the Ore
Reserve estimate using an approach or procedure deemed appropriate by the Competent
Person. For example, the application of statistical or geostatistical procedures to quantify the
relative accuracy of the reserve within stated condence limits, or, if such an approach is not
deemed appropriate, a qualitative discussion of the factors which could affect the relative
accuracy and condence of the estimate.
s The statement should specify whether it relates to global or local estimates, and, if local,
state the relevant tonnages, which should be relevant to technical and economic evaluation.
Documentation should include assumptions made and the procedures used.
s Accuracy and condence discussions should extend to specic discussions of any applied
Modifying Factors that may have a material impact on Ore Reserve viability, or for which
there are remaining areas of uncertainty at the current study stage.
s It is recognised that this may not be possible or appropriate in all circumstances. These
statements of relative accuracy and condence of the estimate should be compared with
production data, where available.
Criteria
Indicator
minerals
Source of
diamonds
Sample
collection
Explanation
s Reports of indicator minerals, such as chemically/physically distinctive garnet, ilmenite,
chrome spinel and chrome diopside, should be prepared by a suitably qualied laboratory.
s Details of the form, shape, size and colour of the diamonds and the nature of the source
of diamonds (primary or secondary) including the rock type and geological environment.
s Type of sample, whether outcrop, boulders, drill core, reverse circulation drill cuttings,
gravel, stream sediment or soil, and purpose (eg large diameter drilling to establish stones
per unit of volume or bulk samples to establish stone size distribution).
s Sample size, distribution and representivity.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
33
Criteria
Sample
treatment
Carat
Sample grade
Reporting of
Exploration
Results
Grade
estimation
for reporting
Mineral
Resources and
Ore Reserves
Value
estimation
34
Explanation
s Type of facility, treatment rate, and accreditation.
s Sample size reduction. Bottom screen size, top screen size and re-crush.
s Processes (dense media separation, grease, X-ray, hand-sorting, etc).
s Process efciency, tailings auditing and granulometry.
s Laboratory used, type of process for micro diamonds and accreditation.
s One fth (0.2) of a gram (often dened as a metric carat or MC).
s Sample grade in this section of Table 1 is used in the context of carats per units of mass,
area or volume.
s The sample grade above the specied lower cut-off sieve size should be reported as carats
per dry metric tonne and/or carats per 100 dry metric tonnes. For alluvial deposits,
sample grades quoted in carats per square metre or carats per cubic metre are acceptable if
accompanied by a volume to weight basis for calculation.
s In addition to general requirements to assess volume and density there is a need to relate
stone frequency (stones per cubic metre or tonne) to stone size (carats per stone) to derive
sample grade (carats per tonne).
s Complete set of sieve data using a standard progression of sieve sizes per facies. Bulk sampling
results, global sample grade per facies. Spatial structure analysis and grade distribution.
Stone size and number distribution. Sample head feed and tailings particle granulometry.
s Sample density determination.
s Per cent concentrate and undersize per sample.
s Sample grade with change in bottom cut-off screen size.
s Adjustments made to size distribution for sample plant performance and performance on
a commercial scale.
s If appropriate or employed, geostatistical techniques applied to model stone size, distribution
or frequency from size distribution of exploration diamond samples.
s The weight of diamonds may only be omitted from the report when the diamonds are
considered too small to be of commercial signicance. This lower cut-off size should be
stated.
s Description of the sample type and the spatial arrangement of drilling or sampling designed
for grade estimation.
s The sample crush size and its relationship to that achievable in a commercial treatment
plant.
s Total number of diamonds greater than the specied and reported lower cut-off sieve size.
s Total weight of diamonds greater than the specied and reported lower cut-off sieve size.
s The sample grade above the specied lower cut-off sieve size.
s Valuations should not be reported for samples of diamonds processed using total liberation
method, which is commonly used for processing exploration samples.
s To the extent that such information is not deemed commercially sensitive, Public Reports
should include:
s diamonds quantities by appropriate screen size per facies or depth.
s details of parcel valued.
s number of stones, carats, lower size cut-off per facies or depth.
s The average $/carat and $/tonne value at the selected bottom cut-off should be reported in
US Dollars. The value per carat is of critical importance in demonstrating project value.
s The basis for the price (eg dealer buying price, dealer selling price, etc).
s An assessment of diamond breakage.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
Criteria
Security and
integrity
Classication
Explanation
s Accredited process audit.
s Whether samples were sealed after excavation.
s Valuer location, escort, delivery, cleaning losses, reconciliation with recorded sample carats
and number of stones.
s Core samples washed prior to treatment for micro diamonds.
s Audit samples treated at alternative facility.
s Results of tailings checks.
s Recovery of tracer monitors used in sampling and treatment.
s Geophysical (logged) density and particle density.
s Cross validation of sample weights, wet and dry, with hole volume and density, moisture
factor.
s In addition to general requirements to assess volume and density there is a need to relate
stone frequency (stones per cubic metre or tonne) to stone size (carats per stone) to derive
grade (carats per tonne). The elements of uncertainty in these estimates should be considered,
and classication developed accordingly.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
35
Synonyms and
similar terms
value judgements
Competent
Person
cut-off grade
grade
metallurgy
product specications The lowest grade, or quality, of mineralised material that qualies as
economically mineable and available in a given deposit. May be dened
on the basis of economic evaluation, or on physical or chemical attributes
that dene an acceptable product specication.
quality, assay,
Any physical or chemical measurement of the characteristics of the
analysis (that is
material of interest in samples or product. Note that the term quality
value returned by
has special meaning for diamonds and other gemstones. The units of
the analysis)
measurement should be stated when gures are reported.
processing,
Physical and/or chemical separation of constituents of interest from a
beneciation,
larger mass of material. Methods employed to prepare a nal marketable
preparation,
product from material as mined. Examples include screening, otation,
concentration
magnetic separation, leaching, washing, roasting, etc.
mineralisation
type of deposit,
orebody, style of
mineralisation.
mining
quarrying
Ore Reserves
Mineral Reserves
recovery
yield
signicant
project
material project
tonnage
quantity, volume
36
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
37
Report name
If there is insufficient space, complete the following sheet and sign it in the same manner as this
original sheet.
(Date of Report)
38
Statement
I/We,
I have read and understood the requirements of the 2012 Edition of the Australasian Code for
Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves (JORC Code, 2012 Edition).
I am a Competent Person as defined by the JORC Code 2012 Edition, having five years experience that is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit described in the Report,
and to the activity for which I am accepting responsibility.
I am a Member or Fellow of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy or the Australian Institute of Geoscientists or a Recognised Professional Organisation (RPO) included in a list
promulgated by ASX from time to time.
Or
I am a consultant working for
I have disclosed to the reporting company the full nature of the relationship between myself and
the company, including any issue that could be perceived by investors as a conflict of interest.
I verify that the Report is based on and fairly and accurately reflects in the form and context in
which it appears, the information in my supporting documentation relating to Exploration Targets,
Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and/or Ore Reserves (select as appropriate).
39
Consent
I consent to the release of the Report and this Consent Statement by the directors of:
Date:
Professional Membership:
(insert organisation name)
Membership Number:
Signature of Witness:
40
Additional deposits covered by the Report for which the Competent Person signing this form is
accepting responsibility:
Additional Reports related to the deposit for which the Competent Person signing this form is
accepting responsibility:
Date:
Professional Membership:
(insert organisation name)
Membership Number:
Signature of Witness:
41
42
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
estimates of Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves, that all material assumptions and technical parameters
underpinning the estimates in the relevant market announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed. The company conrms that the form and context in which the Competent Persons ndings
are presented have not been materially modied from the original market announcement.
Companies should be aware this exemption does not apply to subsequent reporting of information in the
company annual report.
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
43
ASX
CIM
CMMI
CRIRSCO
ICMM
JORC
JORC Code
Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore
Reserves
NAEN
NPV
NROs
NZX
UN-ECE
UNFC
PERC
RPO
SAMCODES
SME
The AusIMM
VALMIN Code
Code and Guidelines for Technical Assessment and/or Valuation of Mineral and
Petroleum Assets and Mineral and Petroleum Securities for Independent Expert Reports
44
Code is in normal typeface, guidelines are in indented italics, definitions are in bold.
HOME
Author Index
A
$E]DORY0=
$OOPDQ$
$UGHQ+
$UYLGVRQ+
47, 91
799
'LPLWUDNRSRXORV5
685
*ULHYH$
'RGG%
771
*\30
635825
'RPLQ\6&
659
287
'RQDOGVRQ-
229707
'R\OH0
301
'XGOH\-$
535
'XNH-+
145
189
83
H
+DGGRZ'-
221
+DOOH\6
199
+DQQD3-
145
%DOGZLQ-7
%DUQHV-)+
175
'XQKDP6
579
%HUU\0
585
'XQVWDQ*
503
%ODFNQH\3
351
'XVFL0
%ODWW)
473
%RUGHU6
467
%R\OH&
277
(DJOHQ3
487
%UDMNRYLFK1
277
(OGULGJH&6
835
%ULJJV0
229
(ONLQJWRQ7
701
+RUWRQ-$
97
%XUURZV7
799
(ULFNVRQ0
311
+XJR9(
457
%XWHO6
529
(YHULWW05
247
+XQW6-
835
%XWW%
467
%\H$
593
43
+DUJUHDYHV5
739
+DUPDQ&
155
+DUULQJWRQ,
507
+RGNLHZLF]3
791
+RRJYOLHW+
189
F
)DKH\*
229
+DQVRQ1
679767
)HUJXVRQ&
707
529
-DFNVRQ6
19593
-RQHV*
319
&DUH\&
791
)HUULHU$
&DUVZHOO-7
311
)LVKHU/$
69
&DUYLOOH'3
799
)RJGHQ1
351
&DWWR%
)RXFKp/
.DHVHKDJHQ)
401
301
451
&ODUN)
)UDQoRLV%RQJDUoRQ'0
.HQGDOO%
301
311
.HQW0
301
.ULVWHQVHQ6
155
8387
&RRPEHV-
33619767849
&RZDQ(-
137207221247
&RZDUG6
593
&UDZIRUG0
*DUGLQHU+LOO)
229
&UHHFK0
*D]OH\0)
627
*LEEV'
301
*LEVRQ%
319
*ODFNHQ,
263351
G
839
69
L
/DFRXUW5RGULJXHV5
619
/DWVFKD$$
277
/HYHWW-
229
'DQFNHUW*
451
*RGR\0
685
/HZLV3-
433
'DYLG'
443
*RVVDJH%/
175
/HZLV:
635
*UDGLP5
229
/HZ-+
*UD\'
351
/LSWRQ,7
97
61
/LYHVOH\.
843
'DYLV%.
'H9LWU\&
'LHULQJ7
121
287573
547
*UHHQ'5
907
Indexes|Author Index
0DWKHVRQ0
0F&DUWK\3/
301
4XHLUR]&
T
619
13415
0F&OXVNH\-
791
0RD\HU6
593
487
0RNRV3
5LGG0
799
5RGHQ6
53
0RUOH\&
647739755
7HUU\-
791
7UHQFK$
605
7UXHPDQ$
229263341
7YHUGRY$
815825
7\UUHOO-
5RQGRQ2
341
0XOOLQV0
791
5RVH6
679
0XUUD\+D\GHQ(
707
5RVV,7
409
8QJHU&
799
487
1LFKRODV*
593
1LNLVKLFKHY6
6FKRHOG1$
815
1RSSp0$
6FRWW$
419
805
6HHGVPDQ5:
557
6KLOODEHHU-+
519
6LPV'
189
:DOWKR$
155
6LQJHU5
301
:DWNLQV53
479
6PLWK7
53
O
2%ULHQ9
319
311363
YDQ$V$
9DQQ-
109
19287301593
:HUURU0
493
6RPPHUYLOOH%
277
:KLWH0(
507
3DFNH\'
605
6SUDJJ.-
247
:KLWKDP0)
3DUNHU+0
721
6WDQGLQJ&
619
:KLWWOH*
525
3KLOOLSV-
277
6WHSKHQVRQ35
:ROII5
593
3LOJHU*
19
6WRNHU37
19779799
767779799
3LWDUG))
749
6XOOLYDQ7'
385
3UHVWRQ.%
329
6\NHV-3
605
908
3373
HOME
Subject Index
Ace tool (drill core orientation), 125
beneciation, 488-9
accuracy, 56-7
due diligence, 582
eld duplicate, 58-9
grade control, 194-5
methods, 54-5
precision, 57-8
quality monitoring, 55-6
replicate, 56
and sampling, 83
audit
versus due diligence, 580
Feasibility Studies, 17-18
auditing a density measurement program, 106
Australian Consumer Law (ACL), 846
Australian Institute of Geoscientists (AIG), 844, 854
Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy (AusIMM),
3-4, 627, 772, 780, 781, 805, 844, 850, 851, 854
listing rules, 3-4, 33, 38, 627, 767, 768, 769, 771-2, 774, 780, 805,
839-40, 850
requirements, 781-3
block modelling
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
909
Indexes|Subject Index
block size, 24
assaying, 281
classication, 285
data acquisition, 279-81
density, 281
developing the resource model, 281-5
drilling, 279
estimation, 282-3
geological modelling, 281-2
local geology, 279
model and data storage, 285
model progression, 285
model review process, 285
reconciliation, 284-5
regional geology, 278-9
resources, 285
sampling, 279-81
validation and model checklist, 283-4
variography, 282
bulk density (BD), 23
in situ (ISBD), 98
bulk density (BD) measurement for Resource estimation,
97-107
audit list, 106
calliper method, 99
core tray method, 102
determination from small samples, 99-103
discussion, 106-7
downhole geophysical density logging, 104-5
large-scale methods, 105, 107
moisture content, 104
from pulp samples, 102-3
quality assurance/quality control, 106
sand replacement method, 101-2
analysis, 166-9
density, 420-1
gas and coal dust issues, 638
in situ, 420-1
quality, 637
volume, 420
Coal and Coal Resources, inventory (identication,
classication and estimation), 329-40
910
Indexes|Subject Index
seismicity, 638
sensitivities, 642
subsidence, 638
challenges, 422-3
conclusions, 430-1
current status, 422
density, 420-1
in situ coal, 420-1
measuring component losses, 423-6
modelling coal recovery, 426-9
objectives, 422
preparation plant feed, 429
preparation plant performance, 429
production reconciliation and reporting, 422-9
production reconciliation system, 429-30
coal seam gas (CSG), 156
CoalLog, 61, 65-6
Code of Practice
mine site reconciliation, 755-63
see also Joint Ore Reserves Committee (JORC) Code
commercial risks, 615
standards, 65-7
conclusions, 642-3
sustainability, 500
Competent Persons, 3, 7, 25, 26, 27, 33-8, 788
911
Indexes|Subject Index
implications for, 38
stockpiles, 746
and JORC Code, 3, 7, 25, 26, 27, 33-8, 43, 767, 843-7, 849-59
liability, 843-7
testing alternative criteria, 855-8
Competent Persons reports (CPR), 635, 636, 637, 638-40, 837-8
composites
detailed analysis of, 438
mineralogy of, 438-9
computer software in Ore Reserve estimation, 505-6
conditional simulation
direct block, 306-7
empirical approaches, 290
methods for correlated variables, 293-5
models, 621-5
scenario-based project evaluation, 597-600
consent and legal responsibilities, 37-8, 839-40
contact analysis, 243-5
contingency (Feasibility Studies), 512-13
continuous disclosure, 774-6
core handling, 111-12
core logging, 21-2, 110, 112-19
core orientation see drill core orientation
core photography, 165
core recovery, 159-60
core scanners, 110
core tray method (bulk density determination), 102
corporate risk, 614-15
corporate tax, 482
Corporations Act 2001, 839, 844
data entry
electronic data transfer, 49
keyboard, 49
special values, 49-50
data ow
management, 47, 50
for resource estimation, 47-50
data fusion, 29
data input, geological/geotechnical, 401-2
data management, 29
data quality, 111
data sources, 740
data spacing, 666-7
data transfer, electronic, 49
database(s)
accurate and correct collection, 44
construction, 47-9
high-quality and comprehensive, 8
issues and due diligence, 582-3
safety and security, 50
see also relational databases; resource database
deposit-scale hypotheses, testing with eld work, 216
dilution see mining dilution
direct block conditional simulation, 306-7
direct-to-block implicit geological modelling, 247, 252-6
disclosure, 771-8
corruption, 608-9
conclusions, 778
continuous, 774-6
cutting grades, 24
fundraising, 773
international convergence, 777-8
discrete Gaussian model (DGM), 287, 288, 289-90, 291, 292, 296,
304, 341-2, 344
domain(s)
boundaries, hard versus soft, 146
control, 150
mining, 744-6
912
Indexes|Subject Index
grade, 146
down-plunge projection, 7, 141, 207, 208-10, 211, 212, 213, 214, 217
drill core
assays, 435
beneciation, 488-9
conclusions, 491
conclusions, 133-4
Pre-Feasibility, 491
methods, 121-33
orientation mark convention, 125-6
ORIshot , 121, 122, 125
environmental factors
industrial minerals, 470
Ore Reserve estimation, 379-80
drilling
aids, 436
blasthole, 192
data, 21, 47
Feasibility Studies
contingency, 512-13
cost estimation, 16
data on failures, 14
denition, 13
denitive, 509
economic, 517
preparation, 580-1
geotechnical analysis, 15
hydrology, 16
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation
913
Indexes|Subject Index
Preliminary, 509
risk management, 17
scheduling risks, 15
scope, 507-16
outlook, 142
geological interpretation for resource modelling and
estimation, 145-52
conclusions, 151-2
denition, 520
in mining, 521-3
geological complexity, 21
geological data collection (Coal Resource estimation), 61-7
borehole data, 62
geological domains
guidelines, 142
summary, 184-5
914
Indexes|Subject Index
weathering, 179
wireframe-free, 247-58
geologists, 26
drilling data, 21
exploitation, 670-3
logging, 21-2
structural, 216-17
conclusions, 449-50
outcomes, 443-8
reconciliation, 673
geometallurgy, 443
geostatistician, 27
blasting, 196
background, 386-7
conclusions, 698
conclusions, 399-400
data, 214-15
915
Indexes|Subject Index
background, 386-7
conclusions, 399-400
logging, 680
objectives, 189-90
software, 191
spacing, 308
sparse blasthole spacing, 690-6
stockpiles, 196-7
summary, 698
system development and process control, 190
trial area, 307-8
grade control system, 679-84
assay database, 680-1
assay interpretation, 681
development planning and sign-off, 681
documentation, 682-3
mapping and logging, 680
production reporting, 682
production tracking and implementation, 682
reconciliation, 682
samples, 680
training, 683
evaluation, 467
infrastructure, 470
grades
reporting, 472
infrastructure
denition, 473
916
Indexes|Subject Index
no technical prescription, 34
and Ore Reserves, 373, 389, 525, 585-6, 805-6, 809-10, 811-12
risk, 609
site, 476
transport/logistics, 474-6
reports, 843-7
requirements, 3, 4, 7, 23, 66
see also BHP Billiton iron ore; Brockman 4 iron ore deposit
(Pilbara region); Rio Tinto Iron Ore (RTIO)
Table 1, 3, 6, 11, 34, 36, 37, 43, 44, 45, 264, 852
Technical Report, 34, 35, 38
technical work and reporting, 35-7
conclusion, 456
denition, 454-6
kriging, 24, 27, 97, 148, 150, 224, 234, 249, 265, 273, 292
modelling, 454-6
standards, 456
discrete Gaussian model (DGM), 287, 288, 289-90, 291, 292, 296,
304
indicator, 149, 150, 179, 240, 265, 266, 268, 270, 296
linear, 265, 269-70, 287, 288, 291, 292, 303-4, 305
multiple indicator (MIK), 24, 185, 270, 288, 290, 293, 304, 367
Joint Ore Reserves Committee (JORC) Code, 3-4, 10, 11, 138,
150, 152, 171, 627
ordinary (OK), 5, 150, 185, 240, 270, 277, 278, 282-3, 286, 287, 289,
304, 367
variance, 289
leaching, 398
and Competent Persons, 3, 7, 25, 26, 27, 33-8, 43, 767, 843-7,
849-59
Leapfrog Mining, 7, 140, 218, 221, 222, 223, 224-6, 227, 228, 233,
234-5, 241, 242, 258
917
Indexes|Subject Index
criteria, 435
data, 100
metal call factor (MCF), 707, 711, 714, 715, 717, 718, 719
downhole, 110
geological, 160-2
geotechnical, 162-4
denition, 433
interdisciplinary liaison, 434
metallurgical/geological liaison, 434-7
planning, 437-8
stages, 433
summary, 441
timing and cost in relation to risk, 433-4
metallurgical performance input, 402
metallurgical (processing) factors, 378-9
metallurgical test work, sampling and scale-up (Feasibility
Studies), 16
metallurgical/geological liaison, 434-7
correcting misapprehensions, 435
drill core assays, 435
drilling aids, 436
drying of drill core, 436
initial test work, 436-7
logging criteria, 435
processing of drill core, 436
selection of drilling method, 435-6
site visit, 437
storage of drill samples, 436
metallurgists, 28
market
reasons, 632-4
Russia, 822-3
timing, 628-32
mine design stages in Russia, 815-23
comparing international design formats, 817
conclusions, 823
conclusions, 466
exploration and resource development, 461-3
criteria, 539-41
918
Indexes|Subject Index
geology, 20-2
geostatistician, 27
future, 10-11
denition, 457
geologists, 26
919
Indexes|Subject Index
conclusions, 615-16
geology, 320
markets, 458-60
mining projects
funding, 701
summary, 184-5
testing, 185-7
conclusions, 204-5
implicit, 232-6
mining
tabular, 226-8
New Zealand Stock Exchange (NZX), 627, 768, 780, 783, 805
background, 222-6
conclusion, 228
920
Indexes|Subject Index
planning, 404-5
conclusions, 414
conclusions, 383
composition, 663-4
denition, 662
Ore Reserves
assessment, 453
and JORC Code, 373, 389, 525, 585-6, 767-70, 805-6, 809-10, 811-12
Ok Tedi, 493-500
standards, 456
sustainability, 500
open pit block layout inaccuracies, 744
open pit gold reserves, 529-34
detailed planning, 8
optimisation, 274, 289, 291, 292, 294, 312, 366, 375, 377, 404
921
Indexes|Subject Index
errors, 721-6
photography
fundamentals, 11
core, 165
future, 10-11
logging, 110-11
geologists, 26
geology, 20-2
geostatistician, 27
overburden, 539
parallel estimates, 24
922
Indexes|Subject Index
blank samples, 56
control standards, 56
comparisons, 747-8
denition, 739-40
governance, 768
classication, 25-6
cut-off grades, 23
representativeness, 84
cutting grades, 24
923
Indexes|Subject Index
history, 266
parallel estimates, 24
Pre-Feasibility, 491
process, 266-74
risk, 6, 573-7
synopsis, 264-6
risk
Indexes|Subject Index
samples
composite, 438-9
accuracy, 56-7
and assaying, 83
automated, 89-90
transparency, 832
correctness, 84-5
eld, 53-4
background, 708-14
eld duplicate, 56
conclusions, 719
manual, 89-90
precision, 57-8
geology, 708
procedures, 53-7
metal call factor (MCF), 707, 711, 714, 715, 717, 718, 719
single-stage, 89
mining, 708-9
warnings, 666
925
Indexes|Subject Index
selective mining unit (SMU), 24-5, 195, 287, 289, 291, 341, 680, 743
transparency, 832
transport/logistics, 474-6
single-stage sampling, 89
mineralisation, 302-3
PCBC, 547-55
uncertainty management, 29
stockpiles
underground mining
reconciliation, 746
geotechnical, 406
discovery, 311-13
stoping, 410
Indexes|Subject Index
mineral species, 88
wastes
multi-element deposits, 88
hazardous, 488
rock types, 88
conclusions, 217-18
927
Acknowledgements | Committee
Steering Committee
-RKQ%DOGZLQ)$XV,00&KDLU
-DFTXL&RRPEHV)$XV,00
6WHSKHQ&RZDUG0$XV,00
*HRII'XQVWDQ)$XV,00
,DQ*ODFNHQ)$XV,00&3
1RUP+DQVRQ0$XV,00
*UHJ-RQHV0$XV,00
-RQDWKRQ/HZ0$XV,00
6WXDUW0DVWHUV0$XV,00
$ODQ5LOHV
3DW6WHSKHQVRQ)$XV,00&3
0DUWLQ:KLWKDP)$XV,00
The AusIMM
.ULVW\%XUW
6WHSKDQLH2PL]]ROR
:D\QH5RELQV
.HOO\6WHHOH
Chapter Editors
-RKQ%DOGZLQ)$XV,00Chapter 1)
1RUP+DQVRQ0$XV,00Chapter 2)
-XQ&RZDQ)$XV,00Chapter 3)
,DQ*ODFNHQ)$XV,00&3DQG6WXDUW0DVWHUV0$XV,00Chapter 4)
0DUWLQ:KLWKDP)$XV,00Chapter 5)
*HRII'XQVWDQ)$XV,00Chapter 6)
&KULV'H9LWU\0$XV,00Chapter 7)
&UDLJ0RUOH\)$XV,00&3Chapter 8)
-DFTXL&RRPEHV)$XV,00DQG*HUU\)DKH\)$XV,00Chapter 9)
Acknowledgements | Reviewers
The AusIMM would like to thank the following people for their contribution
towards enhancing the quality of papers included in this volume:
-RQDWKRQ/HZ0$XV,00
'DYLG$UPVWURQJ)$XV,00&3
'DYLG0DFNHQ]LH+RQ)$XV,00
-RKQ%DOGZLQ)$XV,00
(G0DORQH)$XV,00&3
5LF%DUWOHWW0$XV,00
-XOLD0DUWLQ0$XV,00&3
6LPRQ%RRWK0$XV,00
3LHUUH0RXVVHW-RQHV0$XV,00
-RKQ%UHWW)$XV,00
0DUN1RSSp)$XV,00&3
5REHUW%XUQV)$XV,00
$GULDQ3HQQH\0$XV,00&3
-RKQ&DUVZHOO)$XV,00
1HLO3KLOOLSV)$XV,00&3
,Y\&KHQ0$XV,00
6WHYH5RVH)$XV,00
3HWHU&KULVWHQVHQ0$XV,00
1HLO6FKRHOG0$XV,00
,VREHO&ODUN)$XV,00
0RUW6KDQQRQ
'HDQ'DYLG)$XV,00&3
7RQ\6KHOOVKHDU0$XV,00
5REHUWGH-RQJK0$XV,00
-RH\6WDP0$XV,00&3
6LPRQ'RPLQ\)$XV,00&3
3DW6WHSKHQVRQ)$XV,00&3
3DXO+RGNLHZLF])$XV,00
3HWHU6WRNHU+RQ)$XV,00&3
0LFKDHO+ROOLWW
-LOO7HUU\0$XV,00
0LFKDHO+XPSKUH\V)$XV,00
$OODQ7UHQFK0$XV,00
6WHYH+XQW
5RG:HEVWHU0$XV,00
*UHJ-RQHV0$XV,00
0DUWLQ:KLWKDP)$XV,00
Sponsors
Major Sponsors
General Sponsors
Setting the
standard for
geological
modelling.
Leapfrog Geo,
the next generation.
Leapfrog Geos logical workflows and
revolutionary implicit modelling engine
means geological models can be built
faster and easier than ever before.
The time saved can be invested into
creating, interpreting and analysing
multiple models to consider varying
hypotheses for significantly greater
confidence.
www.leapfrog3d.com/contact
WE MINE FOR
PROGRESS
MMG is a mid-tier resources company
which explores, develops and mines
base metal deposits around the world.
It is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia and listed on the
Hong Kong Stock Exchange (Stock Code: 1208).
MMG stands for progress from pursuing day-to-day achievements,
building communities and driving growth, to producing the minerals
and metals that advance all humanity.
It is one of the worlds largest producers of zinc and also
produces significant amounts of copper, lead, gold and silver.
As an International Council on Mining and Metals (ICMM)
member, MMG benchmarks its performance against ICMMs
sustainable development criteria.
MMG owns and operates the LXML Sepon mine in Laos,
the Kinsevere mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo and
the Century, Golden Grove and Rosebery mines in Australia.
MMG is a committed international explorer and project
developer in Australia, Africa and the Americas and
a proud supporter of the AusIMM.
MMG.COM
# * Monograph title
Editors
Year
Ed: G Baker
1962
1967
1968
Ed: G J Williams
1974
Ed: C L Knight
1975
1975
1976
8 * Economic Geology of Australia and Papua New Guinea 4 Industrial Minerals and Rocks
Ed: C L Knight
1976
9
*
First Edition
1976
Second Edition
1982
Third Edition
Ed: D A Berkman
1989
Fourth Edition
Ed: D A Berkman
2001
Fifth Edition
Ed: H Rutter
2011
10 * Mining and Metallurgical Practices in Australasia (the Sir Maurice Mawby Memorial Volume)
Ed: J T Woodcock
1980
11 * Victorias Brown Coal A Huge Fortune in Chancery (the Sir Willis Connolly Memorial Volume)
Ed: J T Woodcock
1984
12
*
First Edition
Ed: C H Martin
1986
Second Edition
1993
Third Edition
2009
Ed: Dr D Kear
1989
Ed: F E Hughes
1990
Ed: H King
1989
Ed: J D Campbell
1990
1990
1992
1993
1993
Eds: A J Hargraves,
R J Kininmonth,
C H Martin and
S M C Saywell
1993
22
1998
23
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice
Ed: A C Edwards
2001
24
2006
19
Australasian Mining and Metallurgy (the Sir Maurice Mawby Memorial Volume)
Editors
Year
25
# * Monograph title
Geology and Exploration of New Zealand Mineral Deposits
2006
26
Ed: J Dunlop
2012
27
28
Australasian Mining and Metallurgical Operating Practices (the Sir Maurice Mawby Memorial
Volume), Third Edition
Ed: W J Rankin
2013
29
2013
30
Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Estimation The AusIMM Guide to Good Practice,
Second Edition
2012
2014