A Dynamic Approach To Predicting Bacterial Growth in Food

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A DYNAMIC APPROACH TO PREDICTING BACTERIAL GROWTH IN

FOODo

Un enfoque dinmico para predecir el crecimiento de bacterias en los


alimentos
J. Baranyi, Terry A. Roberts
Institute of Food Research, U.K

Abstract
A new member of the family of growth models described by Baranyi et al. (1993a) is
introduced in which the physiological state of the cells is represented by a single variable.
The duration of lag is determined by the value of that variable at inoculation and by the
post-inoculation environment. When the subculturing procedure is standardized, as occurs
in laboratory experiments leading to models, the physiological state of the inoculum is
relatively constant and independent of subsequent growth conditions. It is shown that, with
cells with the same pre-inoculation history, the product of the lag parameter and the
maximum specific growth rate is a simple transformation of the initial physiological state.
An important consequence is that it is sufficient to estimate this constant product and to
determine how the environmental factors define the specific growth rate without modelling
the environment dependence of the lag separately. Assuming that the specific growth rate
follows the environmental changes instantaneously, the new model can also describe the
bacterial growth in an environment where the factors, such as temperature, pH and aw,
change with time.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0168160594901570

A NON-AUTONOMOUS DIFFERENTIAL EQUATION TO


MODELBACTERIAL GROWTH

Una ecuacin diferencial no autnomo al crecimiento modelbacterial


J. Baranyi , TA Roberts , P.
AFRC Institute of Food Research, U.K

In order to describe the dynamics of growing bacterial cultures a non-autonomous


differential equation is applied. The model describes the lag phase as an adjustment
period and for the lag-parameter a new definition is introduced. Some mathematical
aspects of the model are described and, on the basis of more than 500 growth curves, its
statistical properties are compared with the Gompertz-approach commonly used in food
microbiology.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0740002083710051

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