A Dynamic Approach To Predicting Bacterial Growth in Food
A Dynamic Approach To Predicting Bacterial Growth in Food
A Dynamic Approach To Predicting Bacterial Growth in Food
FOODo
Abstract
A new member of the family of growth models described by Baranyi et al. (1993a) is
introduced in which the physiological state of the cells is represented by a single variable.
The duration of lag is determined by the value of that variable at inoculation and by the
post-inoculation environment. When the subculturing procedure is standardized, as occurs
in laboratory experiments leading to models, the physiological state of the inoculum is
relatively constant and independent of subsequent growth conditions. It is shown that, with
cells with the same pre-inoculation history, the product of the lag parameter and the
maximum specific growth rate is a simple transformation of the initial physiological state.
An important consequence is that it is sufficient to estimate this constant product and to
determine how the environmental factors define the specific growth rate without modelling
the environment dependence of the lag separately. Assuming that the specific growth rate
follows the environmental changes instantaneously, the new model can also describe the
bacterial growth in an environment where the factors, such as temperature, pH and aw,
change with time.
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