Inttech v3 n34 2010 3
Inttech v3 n34 2010 3
org/internet_technology/
203
France Blanger
Lemuria Carter
I.
INTRODUCTION
International Journal on Advances in Internet Technology, vol 3 no 3 & 4, year 2010, http://www.iariajournals.org/internet_technology/
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citizens, irrespective of their income, education or social
status (within legal limits).
The paper is organized as follows. First, we discuss the
issues of the digital divide to provide background for the
development of the research model and the hypotheses.
The methodology section describes the research conducted.
The next section presents the results and their implications
for research and practice.
II.
International Journal on Advances in Internet Technology, vol 3 no 3 & 4, year 2010, http://www.iariajournals.org/internet_technology/
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technologies). They also tend to have more education, and
potentially computer skills. As a result, it is expected that
income is positively related to I-voting intentions.
H4: Experience using the Internet will have a positive
impact on intention to use Internet Voting.
Because individuals who have used the Internet for a
longer period of time are expected to be familiar with the
terminology, tools, and features of the Internet, it is
expected that their skills will easily translate to the use of
the Internet for voting. As a result, we expect that Internet
experience is positively related to I-voting intentions. We
discuss in the next section the methodology used to test the
research model and hypotheses.
Figure 1. I-Voting Digital Divide Factors
III.
METHODOLOGY
A. Overview
To identify the salient I-voting divide factors, we
surveyed a diverse pool of citizens. Both online and paperbased versions of the resulting instrument were
administered to participants. There were various sources
of data collection for each version. The paper version of
the survey was administered to members of a church choir,
students in a religious seminary class, attendees of a
symphony concert, and employees in a county agency.
The online version was posted on a local website,
disseminated through a graduate student listserv at a
university, and sent to the listserv of a community fitness
group. 372 surveys were used for data analysis: 133 paper
responses and 239 online responses.
An independent samples t-test was used to identify any
differences between online and paper responses. Since the
two groups did not exhibit differences for the dependent
variable - intention to use an I-voting system - a combined
sample was used in the data analyses.
B. Instrument Items
Each I-voting divide factor was measured using
categorical data on the survey instrument, except for age,
which was measured by respondent writing their actual
age. Five age categories were then used to classify the
data: 18-24 years, 25-29 years, 30-44 years, 45-54 years,
and 55 years and older. Education was measured using four
categories (Grade school/some high school, High-school
Diploma (or equivalence), Some college: no degree, and
College degree/post graduate). Income was measured using
seven categories (Less than US$20,000, US$20,000 US$34,999, US$35,000 US$49,999, US$50,000 US$74,999, US$75,000 - US$99,999, US$100,000 US$149,999, and US$150,000 and above). Internet usage
was measured using four categories representing the
number of years a citizen has been using the Internet (0-3
years; 3-6 years; 6-9 years; 10 years or more). Finally
intentions to use I-voting (USE) was measured using four
items adapted from a study of e-government [29], which
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used a seven-point Likert-type scale (from strongly
disagree to strongly agree).
C. Sample Demographics
Regarding sample demographics, the age range of
participants is 18 to 75 years with an average of 33 years
(see Table 1). Most participants (78%) have a college
degree, and the reported income range is well distributed.
Forty-four (44) percent of the sample makes US$50,000 or
more a year.
TABLE 1. AGE DISTRIBUTION
Age Category
18-24 years
25-29 years
30-44 years
45-54 years
55 years and older
Frequency
92
71
104
57
48
Percent
24.7
19.1
28.0
15.3
12.9
Cumulative %
24.7
43.8
71.8
87.1
100
The regression analysis results in a model with an Fvalue of 9.344, resulting in a p-value of p< 0.0001, which
indicates that at least one of the coefficients corresponding
to an independent variable is not equal to zero. The rsquare value was 9.5 %, indicating that digital divide
factors identified in this research account for nine and a
half percent of the variance in intentions to use I-voting.
This is important because this is the variance explained on
top of what typical adoption factors from theories such as
the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) or the Unified
Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology (UTAUT)
should account for.
B. Hypothesis Testing
Since the model is significant, the individual beta
coefficient t-tests can be used to identify which digital
divide factors are significant. Table 3 shows the results of
the hypothesis testing analyses.
TABLE 3. HYPOTHESIS TESTING RESULTS
Hypothesis
H1: Age I-voting Intentions
H2: Education I-voting
Intentions
H3: Income I-voting Intentions
H4: Internet Usage I-voting
Intentions
Beta
-0.271
0.056
P-value
< 0.0001
0.301
0.211
0.142
<0.001
0.008
Support?
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
IV.
91%
90%
70%
82%
RESULTS
V.
DISCUSSION
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Before we discuss the results and their implications in
this section, we need to acknowledge some limitations to
the study. One of the primary limitations was the samples
lack of variance in education. The participants in this
study are highly educated. Seventy-eight percent have a
college degree. Future studies should test a sample with
more variance in education. Lyons and Alexander [30]
found that education beyond high-school increases the
likelihood of voting by almost 15%. Alvarez and Hall [6]
found that individuals who have attended college are
approximately two times more likely to vote than
individuals without a high school education. These
findings illustrate the importance of obtaining responses
from people with diverse educational backgrounds. The
demographic characteristics of this sample may account for
education not having a significant impact in this study.
Future studies should seek to collect data from individuals
with diverse educational backgrounds; an ideal sample
could include those who have a high school diploma and
those who do not.
An additional limitation of the sample is the lack of
variance in ethnicity with only a few Asian, native
American, or Hispanic respondents. As such, the sample is
not truly representative of the American population in
general. However, to avoid any potential lack of
representativeness issues, we did not include or test
ethnicity as a digital divide factor.
A. Significant Results: Age, Income, and Internet Use
The results of the regression analysis indicate that age,
income, and Internet usage are significant elements of the
I-voting divide. Younger citizens, individuals with higher
income levels, and individuals with more experience using
the Internet are more likely to use Internet voting. These
findings indicate that, like other e-government services, Ivoting is also subject to the barriers associated with the
digital divide. In other words, both the access divide
(impacted by income and age) and the skills divide
(impacted by age and Internet usage) affect I-voting
intentions.
As hypothesized, age has a negative relationship with Ivoting intentions. In general, this means that younger
individuals are more likely to vote using the Internet.
There are several potential reasons for this. First, they may
have more readily access to the Internet via school, their
parents computers and networks, or even friends
networks. Older citizens are not only less likely to have
access to the Internet, but also less likely to posses the
computer skills necessary to take advantage of Internet
voting. In a post hoc analysis, we show the means of Ivoting intentions across age categories in Table 4. To
eliminate potential bias, we only used observations from
registered voters for this analysis. As can be seen from the
table, there is a steady decline in I-voting intentions means
as age increases.
I-voting
means
I-voting St.
Dev.
80
55
98
57
47
325
5.22
5.16
5.11
4.38
4.29
4.90
1.65
1.78
1.68
1.96
2.20
1.85
Voted
80
52
91
56
46
325
65
48
88
55
45
299
Did not
vote
15
4
3
3
1
26
% Did
not vote
18.8 %
7.7 %
3.3%
5.4%
0.1%
8.0%
I-voting
means
I-voting St.
Dev.
89
63
53
62
51
31
10
359
4.91
4.55
4.51
5.25
5.35
5.05
4.95
4.92
1.79
1.97
1.88
1.86
1.62
1.89
1.26
1.84
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As can be seen from the data in the table, it is true that
lower income individuals show fewer intentions to vote
using the Internet than higher income levels, except that
the relationship does not seem to be linearly constant
across categories of income. There are several possible
explanations. First, our income categories are probably too
granular, with the effects of the digital divide finding its
way into lower than US$ 50,000 versus higher than
US$50,000. There also appears to be a lower intention to
vote using the Internet when income levels are in the very
high (greater than US$150,000) category. It is possible that
there is a bell shape (curvilinear) relationship between
income and I-voting intentions. It is also possible that these
results are simply due to the unequal distribution of
responses in our sample. Future research should further
explore these possibilities.
Finally, experience using the Internet has a positive
impact on intentions to use I-voting. Regular use of the
Internet translates into an affinity towards Internet voting.
These findings support prior suggestions that I-voting will
be more appealing to citizens who use the Internet
regularly [31]. In the literature review, we discussed how
experience using the Internet is one factor that may reduce
the skills divide. However, since voting is such an
important civil act, we believe that prior e-government
usage might also be an important predictor of intentions to
use I-voting. This would be consistent with prior findings
in e-commerce where Schaupp and Carter [32] found that
prior use of an e-commerce or e-government service is
positively related to intention to use an I-voting system. To
verify this possibility, we ran a post hoc analysis on the
effects of e-government usage, of which two measures
were available in our dataset, on intentions to use I-voting.
One of these variables is whether individuals have used a
government website to collect information (EgovInfo), and
the other is whether an individual has used a government
website to conduct a transaction (EgovTrans). While the
EgovInfo variable proved to be non significant, the prior
use of a government website to conduct a transaction
(EgovTrans) was highly significant with a p value of
0.003. In this study, 70 percent of the sample has
completed a government transaction online and 90% has
purchased a product or service online. Participants in this
study have adopted e-service initiatives in both the public
and private sector. As suggested by the literature, citizens
who have adopted other e-services are more likely to adopt
I-voting.
Even with these results, it is possible that online voting
will introduce unique concerns, even among frequent
Internet users. Future studies should explore the impact of
concepts such as Internet trust and Internet self-efficacy on
I-voting acceptance. Future studies should also explore the
impact of technology adoption variables on intention to use
Internet voting. Perhaps, constructs such as compatibility
and social influence would have a significant impact on Ivoting intentions.
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do this would be through interviews of non-voters on the
topic.
Alternatively,
researchers
could
conduct
experimental studies where non-voters would be presented
with an Internet voting option.
D. Social Impact of Increased Voter Participation
The impact of I-voting on political participation cannot
be fully ascertained until Internet voting actually becomes
a common option for voting in major elections. Recent
studies suggest that its diffusion is steadily approaching.
Researchers at the Georgia Tech Research Institute (GTRI)
predict that kiosk I-voting will be available at post offices,
malls, and automated teller machines. By 2012, they
predict that some states, especially Oregon, which only
uses mail-in ballots, will be the first to adopt Internet
voting [33]. In light of the potential for Internet voting to
increase voter participation, it is important to consider the
potential impact of increased voter turnout on the nations
political system.
Given the current disparities in Internet access and
literacy, agencies should be aware of the potential
emergence of a democratic digital divide [23].
A
democratic digital divide occurs when advancements in
technology increase political inequality. This inequality
results from the unequal distribution of political power
among population groups. Future studies should explore
the existence and implications of a democratic digital
divide. Will certain groups reap the benefits of Internet
voting at the expense of others? As technology transforms
the voting process, will socio-economic status persist as a
discriminating factor, or will other factors such as political
motivation become more salient?
E. Personal Impact on the Act of Voting
In this study, participants were receptive to Internet
voting; the mean of intention to use was 4.79 on a seven
point scale (for all 359 valid responses), where seven
represents the highest level of acceptance for I-voting. In
light of this notable adoption potential, it is important to
consider the impact of Internet voting on the voting
experience.
Some opponents are critical of Internet voting because
it deviates from traditional voting methods. Critics of Ivoting argue that it will contaminate and eventually replace
the most fundamental form of citizen participation in the
democratic process. It may result in the loss of an
important civic ritual: citizens going to the polls. Coleman
[34] writes reducing a vote to a mere key stroke of a
personal computer may diminish, not heighten, the
significance of the act. At a minimum, voters who bother
to actually go to the polls tend to be people who are
motivated enough to learn about issues. The solution to a
lack of commitment of voters is not to reduce the necessary
commitment needed to vote (p. 2).
Some critics even argue that I-voting would make
elections less of a community event, which might create a
Additional Research
One important digital divide factor mentioned in prior
literature that may impact intentions to use I-voting is
ethnicity. As explained before, we did not include ethnicity
in our model because we could not obtain sufficient
variance in ethnicity levels to conduct proper analyses.
However, we provide in Tables 7 and 8 descriptive data on
I-voting intentions and voting behaviors per ethnic
category for registered voters.
TABLE 7. I-VOTING INTENTIONS BY ETHNICITY FOR
REGISTERED VOTERS
Ethnicity Category
Caucasian
African-Americans
Hispanic
Asian
Native Americans
Other/ Not reported
218
98
6
4
3
8
325
I-voting
means
4.92
4.72
5.29
6.63
6.08
5.00
4.90
I-voting St.
Dev.
1.85
1.88
1.56
0.75
1.59
1.62
1.85
Voted
Caucasian
African-Americans
Hispanic
Asian
Native Americans
Not reported/Other
210
96
6
4
3
6
325
192
93
5
1
2
6
299
Did not
vote
18
3
1
3
1
0
26
International Journal on Advances in Internet Technology, vol 3 no 3 & 4, year 2010, http://www.iariajournals.org/internet_technology/
210
Future studies should also explore the impact of concepts
such as Internet trust and Internet self-efficacy on I-voting
acceptance. Conversely, future studies of adoption of
technologies should include relevant digital divide
variables that may have an effect in technology acceptance.
An additional avenue for future research is to expand
the digital divide model by exploring additional factors that
can impact the intentions to use I-voting. While we
included the digital divide factors that are most often found
to impact use in electronic services contexts, it is possible
that additional factors could be of importance.
Finally, as previously stated, future research would
benefit from finding a sample of respondents that is more
representative of the current population of the United
States of America in order to have conclusions that are
more representative [36].
[3]
[4]
[5]
[6]
[7]
[8]
[9]
[10]
[11]
VI.
CONCLUSION
[12]
[13]
[14]
[15]
[16]
[17]
[18]
[19]
[20]
[21]
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
A prior and shorter version of this work was presented
at the 2010 Cyberlaw Conference in St-Marteens,
Netherlands, February 11-14, 2010.
[22]
[23]
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