Nyc Mayor+ BP

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 10

Maurice Carroll, Assistant Director,

Quinnipiac University Poll


(212) 362-9217
Rubenstein
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

FOR RELEASE: AUGUST 1, 2016

NEW YORK CITY VOTERS GIVE MAYOR BIG THUMBS DOWN,


QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
BUT de BLASIO TOPS STRINGER OR QUINN IN REELECT BID
New York City voters disapprove 51 42 percent of the job Mayor Bill de Blasio is doing, close
to his 52 41 percent disapproval, his worst grade ever, and say 50 42 percent that he does not
deserve reelection in 2017, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
But Mayor de Blasio tops two potential challengers, City Comptroller Scott Stringer or
former City Council Speaker Christine Quinn in Democratic primary and general election
matchups, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.
Hypothetical election results show:

de Blasio gets 43 percent in a Democratic primary, with 19 percent for Quinn and 16
percent for Stringer;
de Blasio tops Stringer 45 32 percent in a head-to-head general election matchup, with
Stringer running as an independent;
de Blasio leads Quinn 43 33 percent in a two-way general election matchup, with
Quinn running as an independent.
There is a wide racial gap in each matchup as black voters back the mayor by large

margins, while white voters back Stringer or Quinn.


For a mayor going into an election year, this is a disturbing poll. Half of New Yorkers
say Mayor Bill de Blasio does not deserve reelection, said Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant
Director Maurice Carroll.
The plus for Mayor de Blasio is in the political truism that you cant beat somebody
with nobody. So far neither City Comptroller Scott Stringer nor former City Council Speaker
Christine Quinn shows much political strength.
The racial divisions that have marked the mayors first term are as strong as ever: de
Blasio is exceptionally strong among black voters, exceptionally weak among white voters.
-more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/August 1, 2016 page 2


New York City voters give Mayor de Blasio a 47 44 percent favorability rating, while
his possible challengers are largely unknown:

63 percent dont know enough about Stringer to form an opinion of him;


Quinn gets a 32 21 percent favorability, as 45 percent dont know enough about her.
New York City voters approve 60 34 percent of the job Gov. Andrew Cuomo is doing.

Approval ratings for other New York City officials are:

53 13 percent for Stringer;


40 17 percent for Public Advocate Letitia James;
29 23 percent for City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito;
Gov. Cuomo and Mayor de Blasio have honest disagreements, 46 percent of New York

City voters say, while 40 percent say they are involved in a personal feud.
Whatever it is, 42 percent of city voters agree more with Cuomo, while 33 percent agree
more with de Blasio.
And 60 percent of voters say the conflict hurts New York City.
How about that edginess the media keeps reporting about between de Blasio and
Cuomo? Is it a personal feud or just an honest difference of opinion? Voters are split. But,
overall, they think the governor is doing a good job and the mayor isnt, Carroll said.
Voters say 52 41 percent that de Blasio does not have strong leadership qualities, but
51 44 percent that he does understand their problems. Voters say 49 40 percent that the
mayor is honest and trustworthy.
New York City voters are divided 45 44 percent on their approval of the way the mayor
is handling relations between blacks and whites. He gets negative approval scores in other areas:

42 49 percent for his handling of crime;


37 55 percent for handling relations between the police and the community;
35 43 percent for handling the city budget.
From July 21 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,310 New York City voters, with a

margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. The survey includes 845 Democrats, with a margin
of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
Visit www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today,
and the candidates were Bill de Blasio, Scott Stringer, and Christine Quinn, for whom
would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.......................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Wht
Blk
Hsp
de Blasio
Stringer
Quinn
DK/NA

43%
16
19
21

48%
14
17
21

46%
13
23
19

41%
19
18
22

44%
19
17
20

43%
14
21
22

23%
30
28
20

65%
6
12
17

56%
10
14
20

2. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de
Blasio the Democrat, and Scott Stringer running as an independent candidate, for whom
would you vote?

de Blasio
Stringer
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

de Blasio
Stringer
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

45%
32
3
5
16

11%
53
6
11
18

59%
27
1
2
11

29%
42
4
6
19

41%
37
4
5
13

48%
29
1
4
18

24%
51
4
5
16

74%
12
1
12

51%
29
2
4
14

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

61%
17
2
4
16

57%
22
2
3
16

48%
27
3
4
18

40%
39
1
5
15

41%
38
3
5
13

27%
49
3
7
14

42%
37
2
5
15

44%
33
3
4
15

38%
40
3
5
14

3. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de
Blasio the Democrat, and Christine Quinn running as an independent candidate, for whom
would you vote?

de Blasio
Quinn
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

de Blasio
Quinn
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

43%
33
3
8
13

10%
48
11
19
13

56%
30
1
3
10

30%
37
3
10
20

41%
34
3
9
12

45%
32
2
6
14

24%
47
5
10
14

70%
19
2
9

52%
29
2
8
10

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

58%
22
1
8
11

52%
29
6
13

48%
30
2
6
15

38%
43
2
5
12

37%
33
5
11
14

27%
40
8
10
15

40%
40
2
6
12

46%
30
4
9
12

36%
35
4
8
17

4. Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

47%
44
6
3

12%
82
4
2

59%
31
7
3

33%
56
7
4

42%
50
4
4

50%
39
8
2

27%
66
5
2

75%
17
5
2

52%
37
6
5

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

63%
30
3
4

60%
31
8
2

50%
41
7
3

44%
44
8
4

42%
49
6
2

22%
71
6
1

42%
48
7
3

47%
46
4
3

38%
52
6
4

5. Is your opinion of Scott Stringer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

26%
10
63
1

17%
14
67
2

28%
9
61
1

29%
11
59
1

29%
10
60
1

23%
11
65
1

33%
10
55
1

16%
13
70
1

28%
6
65
1

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

14%
9
76
1

17%
12
72
-

22%
11
66
1

38%
14
46
2

28%
8
64
1

20%
5
74
1

22%
12
65
1

31%
11
58
1

35%
7
55
3

6. Is your opinion of Christine Quinn favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

32%
21
45
2

23%
35
40
2

35%
17
46
2

29%
26
44
1

33%
27
38
2

32%
16
50
2

38%
29
32
1

30%
15
54
2

28%
16
53
3

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

20%
16
62
1

23%
12
64
1

33%
21
44
2

46%
20
30
3

26%
22
50
1

29%
30
40
2

38%
21
40
1

32%
26
40
1

36%
25
35
4

7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Mayor?

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

42%
51
7

9%
86
6

55%
38
7

30%
65
5

41%
53
6

44%
48
8

25%
69
6

63%
29
9

50%
44
6

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

57%
35
8

51%
44
6

41%
51
8

43%
50
7

41%
54
5

19%
74
8

41%
55
4

43%
50
7

33%
57
9

12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Letitia James is handling her job as Public
Advocate?

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

40%
17
43

17%
40
43

49%
8
43

32%
25
43

35%
21
44

44%
13
43

26%
23
51

60%
8
32

46%
16
38

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

47%
9
44

41%
16
43

38%
19
43

38%
15
47

41%
18
41

33%
25
41

41%
18
41

41%
17
42

37%
16
47

13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Melissa Mark-Viverito is handling her job as
City Council Speaker?

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

29%
23
48

14%
54
31

37%
12
51

20%
34
46

29%
29
42

28%
18
53

23%
29
48

34%
12
55

38%
25
38

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

35%
19
45

31%
20
49

21%
22
56

37%
19
43

27%
26
48

22%
40
38

29%
24
47

29%
24
47

29%
24
47

14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Stringer is handling his job as City
Comptroller?

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

53%
13
34

44%
27
28

58%
9
33

50%
14
35

55%
12
32

50%
14
36

58%
12
31

52%
15
32

51%
11
37

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

47%
12
40

39%
16
45

47%
14
39

58%
14
28

60%
10
30

48%
15
37

51%
17
32

58%
10
32

64%
7
29

15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

60%
34
6

51%
47
2

66%
27
7

55%
39
5

62%
32
7

59%
35
6

55%
40
5

66%
26
8

67%
27
6

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

63%
29
8

54%
37
9

56%
36
8

56%
38
5

67%
28
5

57%
41
2

64%
32
4

63%
30
7

64%
32
4

16. Do you feel that Bill de Blasio deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does
not deserve to be reelected?

Yes/Deserves
No/Does not
DK/NA

Yes/Deserves
No/Does not
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

42%
50
8

13%
85
2

53%
38
10

32%
62
6

42%
52
6

43%
48
9

23%
70
7

72%
21
7

47%
48
6

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

57%
32
11

53%
37
10

44%
49
7

41%
52
7

39%
52
9

23%
69
8

40%
55
5

42%
51
7

36%
57
7

17. Do you believe Governor Cuomo and Mayor de Blasio are involved in a personal feud or
do you believe they have honest disagreements about what's best for New York City?
Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

Personal feud
40%
Honest disagreements 46
DK/NA
14

51%
40
9

38%
49
13

41%
41
18

43%
44
13

37%
48
16

49%
39
12

34%
55
11

36%
48
17

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl
Personal feud
30%
Honest disagreements 52
DK/NA
18

42%
45
13

41%
45
14

40%
46
14

42%
44
14

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
29%
54
17

40%
49
11

42%
46
12

47%
39
14

18. Thinking about this conflict, do you agree more with de Blasio or more with Cuomo?

de Blasio
Cuomo
DK/NA

de Blasio
Cuomo
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

33%
42
25

9%
73
18

42%
36
22

23%
46
31

30%
46
24

35%
40
25

23%
54
23

49%
26
25

36%
46
18

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

48%
29
23

45%
32
23

34%
38
28

35%
42
23

25%
50
25

18%
65
17

31%
46
23

33%
44
24

25%
50
24

19. Does the conflict between Cuomo and de Blasio help New York City, hurt New York City,
or doesn't it make a difference?

Help NYC
Hurt NYC
No difference
DK/NA

Help NYC
Hurt NYC
No difference
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

7%
60
27
6

6%
60
25
8

8%
60
26
6

6%
64
25
5

9%
57
27
7

6%
62
26
6

4%
68
23
4

11%
52
29
9

9%
52
32
7

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

7%
49
34
10

13%
54
26
7

9%
58
26
7

7%
67
20
6

6%
59
29
5

6%
68
23
4

4%
65
26
5

7%
63
25
4

6%
55
32
7

20. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City
today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very
dissatisfied?

Very satisfied
Smwht satisfied
Smwht dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
DK/NA

Very satisfied
Smwht satisfied
Smwht dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

6%
40
31
22
1

2%
18
31
48
-

8%
49
31
11
1

5%
32
29
33
-

8%
41
27
22
1

4%
39
34
22
1

4%
39
31
25
1

7%
48
31
13
1

8%
33
33
24
1

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

11%
35
37
17
-

5%
38
37
20
-

4%
41
29
24
1

8%
44
29
18
1

5%
41
29
24
1

3%
32
30
33
1

5%
40
31
24
-

7%
44
26
22
1

8%
37
30
23
1

21. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - has strong leadership qualities or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

41%
52
7

17%
82
1

49%
44
7

34%
60
6

42%
51
7

40%
53
7

24%
72
4

65%
29
6

46%
46
8

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

48%
43
9

52%
40
8

42%
52
6

39%
56
5

40%
51
10

27%
69
3

38%
58
4

40%
54
6

36%
58
6

22. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - understands the problems of people like you or
not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

51%
44
5

15%
83
2

64%
31
5

40%
54
5

47%
48
5

55%
41
4

36%
59
4

78%
18
4

54%
42
3

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

57%
38
4

61%
35
4

55%
38
6

53%
41
6

49%
48
3

26%
74
-

50%
47
4

53%
44
3

42%
51
7

23. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - is honest and trustworthy or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

49%
40
11

13%
81
6

61%
28
11

40%
49
11

46%
44
10

51%
37
12

38%
54
8

68%
20
12

54%
35
12

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

55%
32
13

53%
36
11

48%
41
11

55%
37
8

46%
41
13

28%
59
13

50%
43
7

48%
40
12

46%
42
12

24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - crime?

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

42%
49
8

16%
81
3

52%
40
8

33%
57
10

44%
48
8

41%
51
9

34%
59
7

56%
36
8

42%
48
10

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

46%
47
7

44%
46
10

41%
48
10

50%
42
9

40%
53
7

24%
72
5

42%
53
5

44%
47
8

40%
52
8

26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - relations
between blacks and whites?

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

45%
44
11

18%
75
7

56%
33
11

35%
55
10

47%
41
12

43%
46
11

38%
53
9

59%
28
13

48%
45
7

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

49%
45
6

42%
47
11

42%
45
13

52%
37
12

42%
43
15

34%
63
3

48%
44
8

47%
43
10

43%
46
10

27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - relations
between the police and the community?

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

37%
55
7

11%
88
1

48%
45
7

28%
63
9

39%
54
7

36%
57
7

28%
68
4

54%
36
11

42%
53
5

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

48%
46
6

35%
56
10

34%
57
10

44%
49
6

35%
57
8

15%
82
3

36%
59
4

39%
56
6

39%
54
8

28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - the city
budget?

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

35%
43
22

16%
70
14

43%
33
23

29%
53
18

35%
43
22

35%
43
22

25%
52
23

53%
27
20

37%
46
18

AREA.............................
Brnx
Kngs
Man
Qns
StIsl

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

37%
42
21

34%
43
22

36%
43
21

34%
41
24

37%
41
21

24%
57
19

36%
48
15

40%
41
19

30%
39
31

10

You might also like