South China Sea
South China Sea
South China Sea
http://nationalinterest.org/feature/south-china-sea-how-we-gotstage-16118
Fu Ying,Wu Shicun
May 9, 2016
The South China Sea issue has become one of the major irritants
in the China-US relations in recent years, over which the public
opinion in the two countries are very critical of each other.
There are even frictions in the sea between the two navies. The
South China Sea seems like an outlet for the rivalry and
confrontation that are building up of late between China and the
US. As a result, the two sides seem to be reassessing each
others intentions on a strategic level. The latest rhetoric is
about militarizing the South China Sea, and on the part of
the US, announcements to carry out freedom of navigation
operational assertions. Hawkish voices are growing louder in
both sides of the Pacific. Such frictions surrounding the South
China Sea are leading to further strategic mistrust and hostility.
The American scholar David M. Lampton was straightforward
when he observed worriedly in reference to the existing
situation, A tipping point in the U.S.-China relations is upon
us. It is obvious that the South China Sea issue is a major
Shelf and the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea,
provided fresh incentives for other claimants to covet and grab
Chinas Nansha Islands. The disputes then spilled from those
islands and reefs to wider maritime areas, but without spinning
out of control. A good proof was the golden era of the
China-ASEAN relations from 1991 to the end of 2010, during
which bilateral cooperation flourished and trade ballooned
nearly 37 times, from no more than 8 billion to 300 billion USD.
During this period, Chinas GDP rose rapidly, and most
Southeast Asian economies expanded more than five-fold.
Tensions started to build up in 2009 and have escalated since
2012. How have things festered against a backdrop of peace of
development, and following a sustained period of regional
cooperation? It is obvious that no single event or cause could
have escalated and changed the situation in the region. So it is
worth examining the incidents and behavior that have happened,
the reactions they triggered, and the consequences incurred, in
the leading up to the current state of affairs. This paper provides
an overview of the chain of events contributing to the escalation
of tensions in the South China Sea, as well as the context in
which they occurred and potential connections they have. It is
hoped this paper will help those concerned about the disputes
see the bigger picture and get to the heart of why things have
happened that way. It also serves as a warning against further
deepening of misunderstanding and spiraling of tensions for all
countries concerned.
Imperial Japan s Occupation of the Nansha Islands and
Post-war Arrangements
The South China Sea is the largest marginal sea in the West
Pacific region, covering an area of 3.5 million km2. It is located
south of mainland China and the island of Taiwan, west of the
Philippines, north of Kalimantan and Sumatra, and east of the
Malay and Indo-China peninsulas. It connects the Pacific
through the Bashi and Balintang channels in the northeast, and
the Mindoro and Balabac straits in the southeast; joins the Java
Sea through the Karimata and Gaspar straits, and is linked with
the Indian Ocean through the Strait of Malacca in the southwest.
Rich in fisheries resources and oil and gas reserves, the sea
plays an important role in the economic development of the
coastal countries.
China has sovereignty over four archipelagos in the South China
Sea, namely, the Xisha, Nansha, Zhongsha and Dongsha Islands,
which are indicated by the dash lines on the map drawn in 1947.
The Nansha Islands (or the Spratly Islands; coordinates: 340'-
Chinas
position
was
recognized
and
acknowledged.
In the face of the division of both sides of the Taiwan Straits, the
outbreak of the Cold War and tensions between the two Camps,
the US opted for a pragmatic attitude toward the ownership of
the islands and reefs in the South China Sea. This pragmatism
was reflected in the Peace Treaty of San Francisco between
Japan and some of the Allied Powers. Signed on September 8,
1951 and entering into force on April 28, 1952, the document
served to end the Allied post-war occupation of Japan and
establish Japan's role in the international arena. It officially
renounced Japan's rights to the land it occupied including
renounces all right, title and claim to the Spratly Islands and
to the Paracel Islands. Its Article 2(6) provided that "Japan
renounces all right, title and claim to the Spratly Islands (the
Nansha Islands) and to the Paracel Islands (the Xisha Islands)",
but did not specify the ownership of these islands.
However, as the biggest victims of the Japanese militarism and
one of the four major victors in WWII, the PRC was not invited
to the treaty talks held in San Francisco. In reaction to that, on
immediately.
Obviously
aware
of
the
Taiwan
and has been actively exploiting oil and gas and fisheries
resources in surrounding waters. It accounted for half of the oil
rigs among the disputed parties in Nansha areas, and its
maritime law enforcement made the largest number of
expulsions and arrests of Chinese fishermen in the 1990s.
The Philippines also orchestrated a number of provocations on
Chinas Meiji Reef (Mischief Reef), Huangyan Island, and
Renai Shoal (Second Thomas Shoal).
The most extreme behavior was in reaction to China s 1994
installation of fishery facilities and shelters on Meiji Reef. The
Philippine Navy, in late March of the following year, blew up
survey markers that China had installed on Wufang Atoll
(Jackson Atoll), Xiane Reef (Alicia Annie Reef), Xinyi Shoal
(First Thomas Shoal), Banyue Shoal (Half Moon Shoal) and
Renai Shoal. Supported by Philippine Air Force planes, it also
launched a raid on four Chinese fishing vessels working near
Banyue Shoal, detaining 62 Chinese fishermen on board. On
May 13, the Philippine military attempted to escalate the dispute
by sending warships and planes to Meiji Reef, which then
started an 8-hour standoff with the China Fisheries Law
Enforcement Commands No. 34 boat patrolling the
surrounding
waters.
Regardless
of
the
attacks
and
China-ASEAN
partnership,
resorted
to
all-round
maritime claims might be the best choice for the moment. These
ideas and proposals provided the basis for future consensus
between China and ASEAN. Adopted at the 1998 ASEAN
Summit with an aim to enhance regional integration, the Hanoi
Plan of Action proposed that efforts should be made to
"establish a regional code of conduct in the South China Sea
among the parties directly concerned".[viii] In order to promote
confidence-building and good-neighborly friendship, China
agreed in principle to start consultations with the ASEAN
countries on a code of conduct. [ix]
An informal consultation was held between China and the
ASEAN countries in Thailand on March 15, 2000, and "the code
of conduct" documents respectively drafted by both sides were
exchanged and discussed. However, due to considerable
different views on its binding powers among the parties, and
China and Vietnams differences on the areas it should cover,
the drafting process did not go very well, and subsequent
consultations yielded no substantial outcome.
With a view to diffuse the standoff, Malaysia proposed to
replace "the code of conduct" with a compromising and nonbinding "declaration" at the 35th ASEAN Ministerial Meeting
held in Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei in July 2002. The motion
attention.
Vietnam was the most active violator of the DOC. For example,
in April 2003, it held a commemoration to celebrate the 28th
anniversary of the "Liberation of the Nansha Islands". In June, it
signed a secret pact with Indonesia on the delimitation of
continental shelf under the South China Sea. In April 2004, it
organized the first commercial tour to the Nansha Islands. In
early 2005, it published a revised map of Vietnam, which
included China's Xisha and Nansha Islands into its Khanh Hoa
Province. In early 2006, Vietnam and Malaysia set up a navy
hot-line to coordinate resource development and settlement of
their disputes about the Chinese islands. In April, it started
another bidding round for oil blocks in surrounding waters, and
announced cooperation with a third party on building natural gas
transmission pipelines in the Nansha Islands. In May 2007, it
conducted an extensive geological survey in surrounding waters
using a charted foreign surveying ship; a month later, it held
elections of "National Assembly representatives" on some of the
occupied Nansha islands.
In April 2003, Malaysia sent four flotillas totaling 11 surveying
vessels to the waters around Nantong Reef (Louisa Reef) to
conduct prospecting operations; in May, it organized an
Aquino III ordered the official use of the "West Philippines Sea"
to replace the internationally standardized geographical name of
"South China Sea", and such move even temporarily gained
some US official acknowledgement. , and to some extent, it
gained official recognition from the US. In March 2012, the
Philippines and Vietnam reached an agreement on joint military
exercise and maritime border patrol in the South China Sea. In
April, Vietnam dispatched several monks to some temples on
South China Sea islands.
These provocative activities by some ASEAN member countries
and the USs intervention have been closely watched and
widely reported in China, evoking strong repercussions among
the public. Under the doubling-down pressure of policy
sustainability and public opinion, Chinas restraint policy is
approaching to its brink.
Tensions as Result of Wrestling among Multiple Players
In April 2012, the Philippine Navy made a provocative arrest of
Chinese fishermen working in the Huangyan Island waters in
what was later known as the Huangyan Island Incident.
Arguably this became the "last straw on the camel's back" in the
fragile stability in the South China Sea, and it tested the bottom
line of China's policy and patience.
with China reached an impasse. The fact is that ever since the
Huangyan Incident, the Philippines refused to have any serious
dialogue with China, let alone negotiations, nor did they consult
the other DOC parties. As far as arbitration is concerned, China
already made a declaration on optional exceptions in 2006 under
Article 298 of the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea. Since
the Arbitration Court jurisdiction concerns sovereignty, historic
rights and entitlement, China is exempt from the arbitration.
There is no provision in the convention to enforce an adverse
award on China.
The subsequent Renai Shoal Incident and Drilling Platform
981 Standoff further aggravated the situation. As its landing
craft aground at Ren'ai Shoal was disintegrating, the Philippines
kept looking for opportunities to start construction projects to
get the shoal under its control. China has kept a watchful eye on
the activities. In March 2014, China discovered that some
Philippine warships were transporting supplies to Ren'ai Shoal
and immediately intercepted them, which lead to a standoff
between both sides. The Philippines incited a storm of media
coverage of the incident, trying to elicit global attention and the
USs intervention.
In May 2014, a drilling operation by the HYSY 981 rig was
its nine-dash line claim. This was the first explicit and official
comment made by the US to challenge China on the South
China Sea issue. And obviously the US was well aware that, as
the Nansha Islands dispute was still unsettled, any attempt to
clarify the dash line or maritime claims would only lead to an
escalation of tensions. In the same month, US Chief of Naval
Operations (CNO), Admiral Jonathan Greenert announced US's
support for the Philippines in the event of a China-Philippines
conflict. [xviii] This is the toughest stance expressed by the US
in the China-Philippine dispute. At the Post Ministerial
Conference of the ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting in
Naypyidaw in August 2014, US Secretary of State John Kerry
directly called for a moratorium on land reclamation, building
on disputed islands, and actions that might further escalate
disputes.
The US started to opt for a cost-imposing strategy against
China, meaning to make it more costly for China to take any
actions in the South China Sea by resorting to political,
diplomatic, public opinion and military means, so as to force
China to pull back without inciting arms confrontation.[xix] In
2015, the US released three strategic security documents, titled
Forward, Engaged and Ready: A Cooperative Strategy for 21st
and
Asia-Pacific
Maritime
Security
Strategy,
respectively, all of which talked about the South China Sea issue
at fairly great length, and asserted that the US would make
China pay the price.
From the Chinese perspective, as well as undermining the US
credibility as a potential mediator, the US's dramatically altered
policy on the South China Sea has heightened China's fears that
its interests would be further undermined, thus inspiring its
determination and measures to defend them.
Echoing its policy readjustments, the US has accelerated
provocative and coercive actions that are clearly targeted at
China. For example, the USs surveillance at the Nansha
Islands and its surrounding waters have intensified. The number
of sorties flown by the US planes to conduct close-in
reconnaissance at the South China Sea Islands has increased
from about 260 in 2009 to over 1,200 in 2014. [xx] Also, as a
way to flex its muscle and assert freedom of navigation, the US
keeps sending ships to sail within 12 nautical miles of the
Nansha Islands or even the non-disputed Xisha Islands. On
October 27, 2015, the USS Lassen navigated within 12 nautical
miles of Zhubi Reef (Subi Reef). On January 30, 2016, the USS
Philippines
and
Vietnam,
to
help
improve
their
Sea? The US is trying to find out what Chinas next move will
be. On the part of China, suspicion is rising about the US s
intention. Obviously, there is a risk of escalation of tension and
danger of miscalculations at strategic level.
Chinas pursuit in the South China Sea has been consistently
maintained. That is to safeguard national territorial integrity and
maintain regional peace and tranquility. To observe China, one
should never lose sight of the historical dimension. Though
China is growing into a strong country, the painful memory of
history is not long gone. The Chinese people have not forgotten
that the country stumbled into the 20th century with its capital
under the occupation of the imperialists armies, and for over a
century before and after, China suffered the humiliation of
foreign invasion and aggression. That is why the Chinese people
and government are very sensitive about anything that is related
to territorial integrity and would never allow such recurrence
even if its just an inch of land. This is something the outside
world needs to keep in mind when looking at China and trying
to understand Chinas behavior. Admittedly, there is no major
external threat that can endanger Chinas survival or
development in todays world. China adheres to the path of
peaceful development and it dedicates to promoting world
peacefully
through
friendly
consultation
and
(7th-13th
century),
Chinas
knowledge
and
Republic
of
China,
http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/web/wjb_673085/zzjg_...,
accessed
rights
and
jurisdiction
of
Vietnam;
second,
accessed
2014,
http://www.state.gov/p/eap/rls/rm/2014/02/221293.htm access
ed April 11, 2016,
[xix]Jonathan W. Greenert, Chief of Naval Operations, 13
February
2014,
http://www.navy.mil/navydata/people/cno/Gree...,
accessed
from
http://www.cnas.org/sites/default/files/publ...,
Sea,
People's
Daily,
July
3,
2015.