All4Ed PDF
All4Ed PDF
All4Ed PDF
This issue brief was made possible with the generous support of MetLife Foundation.
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Estimating the potential savings in costs for uninsured care is a more complex process because
adult individuals may be uninsured for varying lengths of time, and may have more than one
period of being uninsured over their lifetimes. In addition, the care they receive while uninsured
may be paid for in a variety of ways, including through federal, state, and local programs;
charities; or by the uninsured individual and/or his family. A variety of options for calculating
these costs is available, and Muennig used a state-by-state analysis of annual uninsured costs
conducted by Kenneth Thorpe in 2005. He estimated a per high school graduate cost savings
over a lifetime for uninsured care, matching the criteria used above for Medicaid cost estimates.
Again, the results vary from state to state, from a low of $724 in California to a high of $1,179 in
West Virginia.
Potential state savings across the lifetime of a single individual are significantCalifornia, for
example, could save $14,637 in Medicaid, and $724 in uninsured costs, for a total of $15,361 per
additional graduate. According to this analysis, Californias total lifetime health savings, if all
students in the Class of 20052006 graduated from high schoolas opposed to that states
current 71 percentwould be over $2.3 billion. The specific findings for each state and the
District of Columbia are presented in the chart on page 5.
As this analysis shows, states could save over $17 billion nationally, a savings that could be
earned for each class of students who graduate high school rather than drop out. This potential
public benefit is just one among a multitude of positive results that would accrue to society if
Americas educational system successfully educated all of its studentsinstead of allowing over
a million youth to drop out without a diploma each year. A citizenry that is not only healthier,
but also wealthier and wiser, is an asset that every state, and the country as a whole, needs.
For more information about the state of Americas high schools
and to find out what individuals and organizations can do
to support effective reform at the local, state, and federal levels,
visit the Alliance for Excellent Educations website at www.all4ed.org.
The Alliance for Excellent Education is grateful to MetLife Foundation for its generous
financial support for the development of this series of briefs that explore the economic and
social benefits of education. The findings and conclusions presented are those of the Alliance
and do not necessarily represent the views of the funder.
While many senior citizens are dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid, costs occurring beyond the age of sixtyfive were not considered. The average twenty-year-old high school graduate in 2006 will reach the age of sixty-five
in 2051. Therefore, discounting renders any cost savings beyond the age of sixty-five small and uncertain.
2
This analysis accounts for state-by-state variation in the proportion of Medicaid paid for by the state government
and the proportion paid for by the federal government. However, it does not account for state-by-state differences in
eligibility for Medicaid enrollment, which can result in some variations to these calculations.
Lifetime Savings for Medicaid and Uninsured Medical Coverage Costs if All Students in
the Class of 20052006 Graduated from High School*
State
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
United States
State Medicaid
State Uninsured Total Health Savings Total Lifetime Health Savings if
Savings per
Savings per
per Additional
All Students in the Class of
Additional Graduate Additional Graduate
Graduate
20052006 Graduated
$9,216
$12,175
$10,321
$8,222
$14,637
$15,143
$15,143
$15,143
$9,086
$13,077
$12,150
$14,837
$9,040
$15,143
$11,587
$11,187
$12,105
$8,919
$8,989
$10,230
$15,143
$15,143
$13,595
$14,694
$7,026
$11,960
$8,389
$11,848
$15,143
$15,143
$15,143
$8,080
$15,143
$11,360
$8,958
$12,517
$8,755
$12,126
$13,986
$14,001
$9,101
$9,473
$11,175
$11,702
$8,616
$11,436
$14,637
$14,588
$7,638
$12,484
$10,891
$896
$1,058
$767
$908
$724
$981
$882
$809
$873
$843
$834
$988
$937
$1,001
$1,140
$1,038
$834
$1,056
$964
$749
$901
$731
$957
$750
$872
$840
$1,109
$1,009
$866
$894
$850
$842
$810
$995
$935
$1,019
$951
$1,002
$1,054
$828
$873
$975
$1,007
$831
$809
$727
$886
$1,043
$1,179
$979
$917
$10,112
$13,233
$11,088
$9,131
$15,361
$16,124
$16,025
$15,951
$9,959
$13,920
$12,985
$15,825
$9,977
$16,143
$12,727
$12,226
$12,939
$9,975
$9,953
$10,980
$16,044
$15,873
$14,552
$15,444
$7,899
$12,799
$9,498
$12,857
$16,009
$16,036
$15,993
$8,922
$15,953
$12,355
$9,893
$13,535
$9,706
$13,128
$15,040
$14,829
$9,973
$10,448
$12,182
$12,533
$9,425
$12,163
$15,523
$15,632
$8,817
$13,462
$11,808
$244,976,155
$57,227,676
$265,371,426
$93,711,844
$2,325,813,659
$279,681,701
$155,376,012
$65,253,148
$19,936,815
$1,478,297,933
$746,414,155
$92,725,623
$45,299,607
$647,038,335
$283,844,559
$84,369,080
$125,849,103
$161,809,671
$226,748,320
$48,612,191
$307,090,433
$363,462,657
$750,225,999
$224,361,106
$121,181,083
$245,082,419
$29,816,152
$68,591,505
$230,138,920
$63,611,493
$258,570,959
$111,497,630
$1,503,489,117
$491,596,702
$15,199,403
$502,149,154
$137,600,879
$185,189,904
$505,489,593
$56,942,990
$320,071,956
$27,919,252
$350,253,748
$1,560,947,102
$79,164,588
$19,404,276
$396,903,408
$436,119,866
$55,280,830
$202,425,026
$22,752,102
$13,706
$17,090,887,263
Health-related savings were calculated by Dr. Peter Muennig, who estimated the difference in the percentage of people
receiving Medicaid and the percentage of people who are uninsured by educational attainment. Muennig also estimated the
average cost of a Medicaid recipient and the average cost of an uninsured person to state governments and determined lifetime
costs for high school dropouts, high school graduates, those who attended some college, and college graduates. State Medicaid
savings and uninsured savings over the lifetime of an additional high school graduate combine to the total lifetime health savings
per additional graduate. The total savings per additional graduate was multiplied by the estimated number of additional students
who would earn a diploma if high school graduation rates were increased from the current state rate to 100 percent in the 2005
2006 school year (Editorial Projects in Education, 2006; U. S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics,
2003) to calculate the total health savings if all students in the Class of 20052006 graduated on time.
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The Alliance for Excellent Education would like to thank Dr. Peter Muennig, Mailman
School of Public Health, Columbia University, for his guidance in preparing this brief.