Clusters and Economic Growth in Asia - PDF - Yeal
Clusters and Economic Growth in Asia - PDF - Yeal
Clusters and Economic Growth in Asia - PDF - Yeal
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Clusters and
Economic Growth in
Asia
Edited by
Sren Eriksson
Jnkping International Business School, Jnkping
University, Sweden
Edward Elgar
Cheltenham, UK Northampton, MA, USA
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03
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Contents
List of contributors
Preface
vi
ix
4
5
Index
21
40
66
85
119
141
165
183
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Contributors
Wai-Mun Chia obtained her Bachelors degree in economics from the
University of London and then pursued her Masters degree at the
London School of Economics (LSE) with scholarship. She received a
PhD in economics from Nanyang Technological University (NTU) in
Singapore and is currently Assistant Professor at NTU. She is an Assistant
Editor for the Singapore Economic Review. Her research interests are international macroeconomics and economic integration in East Asia. She has
numerous publications in international scientific journals.
Jongmin Choi is a doctoral student in the Department of Public Policy at
the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. He received a Masters
degree in public administration at Korea University. He has a keen interest
in industry cluster, science and technology policy, and urban development.
Alexander Ebner is Professor of Political Economy and Economic
Sociology as well as Director of the Schumpeter Center for Clusters,
Innovation and Public Policy at Goethe University in Frankfurt am Main,
Germany. Previously, he was an Associate Professor of Political Economy
at Jacobs University Bremen. Previous research affiliations include the
Institute of Southeast Asian Studies in Singapore. Alexander Ebners
research interests involve the matters of entrepreneurship, innovation,
governance and regional economic development.
Sren Eriksson is a Professor of Economic Geography at Jnkping
International Business School, Sweden. His research activities focus on
technology diffusion, globalization processes, logistics issues and regional
economic development. He is an authority on East and Southeast Asias
geography and an expert on the international aerospace industry. He has
lectured, conducted seminars and been appointed as external reader and
opponent of doctoral dissertations at a number of foreign universities and
research establishments in Africa, Asia, Europe and North America.
Jun Koo is an Associate Professor in the Department of Public
Administration at Korea University. He holds a doctorate degree in city
and regional planning from the University of North Carolina at Chapel
Hill. Before joining Korea University he worked for the World Bank and
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Contributors
vii
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viii
Recently, he has been working on projects about the spatial and organizational transition of the electronics industry in Hong Kong and the Pearl
River Delta.
Karen Zhihua Xu graduated from the Department of Urban Planning and
Design of the University of Hong Kong. Her research interests include
regional development in China, foreign investment, and the cooperation
and interaction between Guangdong and Hong Kong. She is currently
Assistant Director of the Advanced Institute for Contemporary China
Studies, Hong Kong Baptist University.
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Preface
The book is based on invited papers from scholars with the common
research interest in economic growth and cluster development in East
and Southeast Asia. These issues have attracted considerable attention in
recent years, although compared with some other parts of the world there
is a limited choice of literature dealing with Asia. A clear ambition was
to invite authors who were able to contribute with new and interesting
dimensions about clusters and economic growth. Hopefully this book will
not only add to the existing literature, but also create new questions and
thoughts about this increasingly important part of the world.
The first chapter by Alexander Ebner deals with the increasing relevance of cluster policies and the need to understand them in the context
of an ongoing institutional and structural transition of East Asian
newly industrializing economies towards an innovation-driven pattern of
development. In this context, the national institutional frameworks are
subject to changes that involve the transformation of the model of the
developmental state towards specific kinds of entrepreneurial states.
Chapter 2 by Yanfei Li and Wai-Mun Chia investigates the role of
information and communication technology (ICT) in economic growth
since the late 1990s. It follows the growth accounting model to analyse the
role of ICT in economic growth in four Asian economies: Japan, Hong
Kong, South Korea and Singapore. The study also implies the possibility
that ICT development could be a source of potential convergence between
Asian newly industrializing economies and economies such as the USA
and Japan.
In Chapter 3 Felix Haifeng Liao, Karen Zhihua Xu and Bin Liang
explore the industrial agglomeration of Taiwanese electronics firms in 32
towns and districts in Dongguan, China. Over the past two decades, the
industrial agglomeration of Taiwanese electronics investment in Mainland
China has resulted in some electronics clusters. Based on firm-level interviews and statistics this chapter also has important policy implications for
the upgrading of clusters in developing countries.
The rise of the biomedical cluster in Wonju, South Korea, provides
the subject for Jun Koo and Jongmin Choi in Chapter 4. This study
aims at achieving two things. First, the authors try to unpack the cluster
ix
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1.
INTRODUCTION
Cluster policies aim to activate and sustain the competitive interaction of
firms in local and regional business agglomerations. Policy instruments
tend to augment market forces by providing distinct types of collective
goods. As such, cluster policies differ markedly from traditional types
of industrial policy that highlight the nationwide targeting of particular
firms and industries by means of market intervention. Still, the logic of
cluster policies is most convincingly derived from the persistent relevance
of national institutional frameworks, most prominently involving nationstates, and their ongoing transformation in the process of economic
development. This line of reasoning is most appropriately exemplified by
the East Asian development experience. Indeed, it may be argued that the
increasing relevance of cluster policies in East Asia parallels the advent
of a new model of governmentbusiness relations that may be labelled
entrepreneurial state. This concept suggests that entrepreneurial aspects
of state activity, which were already prevalent within the East Asian
developmental states, currently turn out as dominant policy features, thus
changing the dominant rationale of government towards an entrepreneurial direction, implying a shift from the developmental assimilation of
technological novelties in catch-up growth to their entrepreneurial creation in a setting that allows for technological leadership. The related policy
rationale promotes innovation as the source of international competitiveness, framed by a multi-level architecture of governance that strengthens
a regionalized type of industrial policies, which points to the formation of
cluster policies.
Therefore, in examining this relationship among clusters, cluster policies and the advent of the entrepreneurial state in East Asia, the following
explorations proceed in three sections. First, the matter of cluster policies and the role of the state in the promotion of clusters are brought to
the fore. The discussion highlights the Porterian cluster approach and its
1
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economic development are determined by the structure of innovation networks with their systemic linkages among knowledge-producing organizations such as universities, intermediary organizations such as government
agencies, and the regional set of industrial clusters with its profile of both
small and large firms (Cooke, 1998; Cooke and Schienstock, 2000).
In addition to that, the assessment of the developmental dynamics of
clusters also requires a reconsideration of the external linkages of the
involved firms and related organizations, quite in line with the overall
developmental pattern of an increasing openness of clusters (Giuliani et
al., 2005). The importance of non-regional networks is decisive for the
absorption of new technologies and organizational practices. The scope
of these strategic interactions contributes to various degrees of external
economies and increasing returns in an evolving setting of organizational
as well as territorial modularity (Whitford and Potter, 2007). Accordingly,
the external linkages of cluster firms in learning regions serve as systemic
carriers of knowledge transfers and learning effects. They support the
systemic openness of clusters and thus tend to obstruct an institutional
and technological lock-in of development trajectories by promoting adaptive flexibility, an aspect that becomes paramount when the cluster life
cycle reaches maturity (De Martino et al., 2006; Zucchella, 2006; Menzel
and Fornahl, 2010). Thus, the availability of external partners for innovation is paramount in furthering the openness of clusters. Apart from
local buzz and localized capabilities, the requirement for knowledge
exchange leads to a reconsideration of global pipelines in cross-cluster
knowledge flows (Bathelt et al., 2004; Maskell et al., 2006). The underlying capability to integrate new knowledge into local routines depends
on complementarities with established routines and skills, for pieces of
knowledge originating in a context too far away from the recipient may
be difficult to absorb (Loasby, 2001). In summary, these considerations on cluster dynamics acknowledge their multi-scalar structuration,
which is reflected in the multi-level governance structures of internal and
external cluster linkages. Such a perspective implies the need for a more
elaborate differentiation of external linkages, thus transcending the simple
dichotomy of the local versus the non-local by addressing issues such as
network interactions on different levels and scales (Lagendijk and Oinas,
2005; Ebner and Schiele, 2012). Indeed, the evolution of the competitive
capabilities of cluster firms and related organizations is subject to local,
national and international interactions (Hassink, 2005; Whitley, 2007). In
this context, the national level of the business environment still stands out
in shaping the routines and practices of cluster firms (Gertler, 2001).
At this point, the role of the state needs to be taken into account as
an institutional force that shapes the economic dynamics of clusters by
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means of cluster policies. Indeed, the state matters first of all as a provider
of regulatory standards and rules of the diverse national administrative
and legal subsystems. Also, informal institutions such as social norms and
cognitive models that are said to constitute a cultural setting are shaped
by governmental activities. As Robert Wade put it during the heyday
of the globalization controversy, National boundaries demarcate the
nationally specific systems of education, finance, corporate management
and government that generate social conventions, norms, and laws and
thereby pervasively influence investment in technology and entrepreneurship (Wade, 1996, p. 85). Accordingly, in the setting of local, national and
global linkages, the institutional specificity of the national level may be
assessed as a dominant factor in the external interaction of cluster firms
despite the fact that the national level is mainly absent in the established
discourse on knowledge spillovers within and across cluster boundaries
(Lundvall and Maskell, 2000; Maskell, 2001; Isaksen, 2009).
This basic assessment is well reiterated in Porters notion of the competitive advantage of nations that suggests that competitive industrial
clusters mirror distinct advantages that are rooted in the historically
evolving institutional and structural features of national economies.
Porter addresses the persisting role of the national business environment
as follows: Competitive advantage is created and sustained through a
highly localized process. Differences in national economic structures,
values, cultures, institutions and histories contribute profoundly to
competitive success (Porter, 1990, p. 19). The corresponding national
innovative capacity with its interactions among firms, research institutes,
universities and other innovation-oriented players reflects specialization
patterns that are derived from interlinked factor conditions such as skilled
human resources, adequate R&D endowments and an efficient financial
system (Furman et al., 2002). In this context, Porterian cluster policy puts
the private sector in the focus of proactive efforts in industrial upgrading. Corresponding prescriptions may be synthesized as follows: first,
policy support should be available for all productive clusters, involving
both domestic and foreign companies; second, existing clusters with their
linkages and complementarities across industries should be the basis for
further refinement and upgrading, while attempts to create entirely new
clusters are problematic; third, cluster initiatives should be advanced by
the private sector, while government serves as a facilitator; fourth, policy
strategies should be designed in a bottom-up manner that allows for
deliberation among all stakeholders on various policy levels, in particular
the local level. It follows: Enhancing cluster externalities and spillovers
will increase productivity and prosperity in any cluster. Hence government should not choose among clusters but create policies that support
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state, thus allowing for a reconfiguration of governmentbusiness networks. Therefore, the reconstructive self-transformation of the transitory
developmental state mirrors an increasing complexity of the socioeconomic domain (ibid., pp. 22634). This line of reasoning refocuses on the
strategic interdependence between government and business. As exemplified by East Asian development, corresponding modes of governance
involve a catalytic state, usually acting in cooperation with the private
sector while exercising negotiated leadership in the coordination of policy
networks that support technological upgrading and innovation (Weiss,
1998, p. 67). Transformative capacity then implies that government
business cooperation is subject to adaptation over time. Accordingly,
the East Asian developmental state is subject to a country-specific transformation with state capacity approaching a less hierarchical mode of
coordination that relates to ongoing changes in the economic setting (ibid.,
pp. 645). Thus, the developmental motive of catch-up growth is gradually
replaced by a strategic concern with continuous technological upgrading in
an internationalizing competitive setting (Weiss, 2000, p. 22).
Echoing these concerns, more recent World Bank policy discussions on
East Asian development highlight the promotion of innovation as means
for enhancing productivity, based on strengthening publicprivate interactions, local coherence and international connectedness, while claiming
that major policy challenges relate to how East Asian countries cultivate
creativity within their economies (Yusuf et al., 2003, p. 29). Therefore, the
articulation, intensity and content of entrepreneurial effort becomes ever
more knowledge- and science-intensive in approaching the technological
frontier, building on established capabilities that are embedded in nationspecific institutional frameworks (Lall, 2000, p. 14). In addressing these
tendencies, the theory of the developmental state has become subject to
various modifications. For instance, it is argued that the developmental
state undergoes a transformation towards a new rationale in coping with
staying ahead of or keeping up with international competitors, in particular by assisting in industrial restructuring. A more gradual and continuous
mode of upgrading skills and technologies is at stake as witnessed by
the maturing of Japanese and Taiwanese industries whose restructuring is
guided by strategic policies that resemble the rationale of a transformative
state (Weiss, 2000, pp. 279). Related arguments pinpoint the ideal type of
transitional developmental state that allows for a transition from interventionism to liberalization which need not entail a retreat of the state
but even its strengthening with regard to the enforcement of the market
order (Wong and Ng, 2001, pp. 437). In associated terms, developmental
and regulatory state functions are differentiated. The neo-developmental
state for high-tech industries copes with the promotion of competitive
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Table 1.1
Policy rationale
Ideology
Governance
mode
Innovation style
Policy scale
Regulatory
Developmental
Resource
coordination
Market liberalism
Rule-based
Hierarchical
Commercialization
National
Entrepreneurial
Entrepreneurialism
Communicative
Horizontal
Creation
Multi-scalar
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10
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11
Thus, stated in terms of the Schumpeterian theory of economic development, the institutional dynamism of the entrepreneurial state reflects the
co-evolution of state and market in the process of economic development
(Ebner, 2006, pp. 51112). In this line of reasoning, the logic of cluster
policies reflects the transformation of East Asian newly industrialized
economies towards an innovation-driven pattern of development.
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12
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13
Accordingly, East Asian production networks become part of multilayered global networks of networks, which combine diverse national
models and their components with clusters serving as network hubs in
a complex setting of transnational flows of resources, goods and services
(Ernst and Kim, 2002).
These considerations apply first of all to Japan as the regional technology leader. Indeed, a restructuring of government and administration lies at the heart of the reorientation of the Japanese development
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14
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CONCLUSION
The increasing relevance of cluster policies in East Asia needs to be
understood as a manifestation of an ongoing institutional and structural
transition of the East Asian newly industrialized economies towards an
innovation-driven pattern of development, involving both the expansion
of transnational business networks and localized governmentbusiness
interactions. In this context, the national institutional frameworks of the
East Asian economies are subject to comprehensive changes that involve
the transformation of the model of the developmental state towards specific kinds of entrepreneurial states. Corresponding policy efforts have
shifted from a rationale of catching up within an established technological
paradigm to a rationale of paradigm creation that involves a potential
for technological leadership on an international scale. This means that
traditional types of industrial policy, which have targeted certain industries on the grounds of national development goals, are augmented and
even replaced by industrial clusters policies, which put an emphasis on
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2.
INTRODUCTION
There has been a widespread debate among economists about the role of
information and communication technology (ICT) in economic growth
since the late 1990s, especially in the progress of the New Economy in the
USA. Despite the Solow Paradox,1 it is generally agreed that ICT production and application have been a major force of economic growth in the
USA since 1995 (Jorgenson and Stiroh, 1999, 2000; Oliner and Sichel,
2000; Jorgenson, 2001). Additionally, much effort has been devoted to
investigating why the European countries generally lagged behind in
utilizing ICT to promote growth performance in terms of real GDP and
labour productivity growth, as well as why ICT investment in the USA
declined but labour productivity growth continued to accelerate after the
year 2000 (Gordon, 2004). The literature has suggested that the promotion
of growth performance by ICT does not happen automatically. Rather,
it is conditional on many factors including organizational innovation/
investment (Brynjolffson and Hitt, 2000) and sequential complementary
innovations for ICT as a general purpose technology (GPT) (Helpman
and Trajtenberg, 1996; Basu et al., 2003), as well as sufficient high-skill
labour to apply ICT (Basu et al., 2003). It is also found that those service
industries (mainly wholesale trade, retail trade, finance and insurance)
that invest heavily in ICT are the major non-ICT-producing industries
that contributed to the late 1990s labour productivity acceleration in the
USA (Jorgenson et al., 2002; Stiroh, 2002).
While many studies have been found to focus on the contribution of
ICT to economic growth in the USA and EU, only a few studies have
been reported for Asian countries. Japan has been examined in studies
covering OECD countries and in studies for specific cross-country comparison. Van Ark et al. (2002) and Jorgenson and Motohashi (2005)
21
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find that the ICT production industries in Japan enjoyed very similar
efficiency gains to those in the USA. However, with respect to ICT
application, ICT-using industries did not have efficiency gains commensurate with those in the USA and EU. Kanamori and Motohashi
(2007) compare the contributions of ICT to economic growth in Japan
and in South Korea. It is found for both countries that the importance
of ICT capital service growth for economic growth has been increasing.
The contribution of non-ICT capital service is much more significant in
South Korea than in Japan. Total factor productivity (TFP) growth of
the non-ICT sector of Japan is faster than that of South Korea. One may
derive the implication from the above observations that ICT application
in the non-ICT sector performs better in Japan than in South Korea.
Accordingly, in terms of the contribution of ICT to economic growth,
the ranking sequence is the USA and EU, followed by Japan and then
South Korea. Convergence has been generally predicted in the literature
(Basu et al., 2003).
As Asian industrialized economies have very distinct social and economic structures (Young, 1992), the study of the pattern of ICT development in Japan and three newly industrialized economies, South Korea,
Hong Kong and Singapore, could potentially provide more understanding
about the constraints and preconditions of fully exploiting ICT advantages. Thus, the central contribution of this study is a comprehensive
analysis of the contributions of ICT to economic growth of these Asian
economies, using the growth accounting method. The study also implies
the possibility that the ICT revolution could be a source of potential
convergence2 between Asian newly industrialized economies (NIEs) and
leading economies such as the USA and Japan.
The chapter is organized as follows. The next section describes the
growth accounting model. The third section describes the data sources and
data estimation methodology. The fourth section reports the results from
the growth accounting model. The fifth section concludes.
MODEL DESCRIPTION
Following Oliner and Sichel (2000), a growth accounting model at the
national level starts with the production function:
P 3 Y 5 P 3 F (A,Kict,Knict,E)
P is the aggregate price level of the economy and Y is the output
level. Thus, P 3 Y gives nominal GDP. A is the technology term. Kict
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is the ICT capital stock, Knict is the non-ICT capital, and E refers to
employment.
Total differentiation gives:
P3
dY
0F dA
0F dKict
0F dKnict
0F dE
5P3a
1
1
1
b
dt
0A dt
0Kict dt
0Knict dt
0E dt
P3
P 3 0F 3 Kict dKict 1
1
P 3 0F 3 A dA 1
1
a
P3Y
0A
dt A
0Kict
dt Kict
1
P 3 0F 3 Knict dKnict 1
P 3 0F 3 E dE 1
1
b
0Knict
dt Knict
0E
dt E
#
(2.1)
Equation
(2.1) shows the decomposition of the growth rate of the real
#
GDP. A is the growth rate of total factor productivity (TFP). SKict, SKnict
and SE are the nominal income share # of ICT # capital stock, non-ICT
capital stock and labour, respectively. Kict and Knict are the growth rates
#
of real ICT capital stock and real non-ICT capital stock, respectively. E is
the growth rate of employment. The model can be easily extended to treat
real ICT capital stock as composed of two subcategories, namely tangible
ICT and software.
To obtain the estimation of real capital stock, the perpetual inventory
method is adopted:
Kt 5 It 1 (1 2 d) Kt21,
where I is the investment term and d the rate of depreciation rate.
Capital service is calculated by multiplying the real capital stock by its
rental price. The rental price of one unit of real capital stock is estimated
as follows:
Rk,t 5 art 1 d 2
PA,t 2 PA,t21
PA,t21
bPA,t21
29/01/2013 16:59
24
where r is the real net rate of return and PA is the asset price.
Following
Jorgenson (2001), the change in labour quality is defined
as
#
#
#
#
employment
growth
(E
)
and
q 5 E 2 L. That is, the# difference # between
#
#
labour hour growth (L). Given E 5 L 1 q, the decomposition of real
GDP growth is:
#
(2.2)
(2.3)
As already suggested by the previous literature, the accuracy of estimating the contribution of ICT to economic growth depends critically on the
measure of the price index of ICT capital goods, as the speed of the decline
in the ICT price index will decide the value of real ICT capital stock as well
as the rental price, which determines the ICT capital service.
Data Description
The study is conducted at the national level. National account data, ICT
price data and ICT fixed capital formation data, which cover the period
from 1986 to 2006,4 are required. Since data for different economies were
collected from various sources, the consistency of measurement is assured
for all the four economies by using SNA93 statistical standards.5
National account data
Specifically, nominal GDP, real GDP, GFCF (gross fixed capital formation) at constant price and GFCF at current price were collected. For
Japan, these series were collected from the Statistics Bureau of Japan.
Additionally, the JIP 2006 database of ESRI (Economic and Social
Research Institute) provided a benchmark real net capital stock and
capital service estimation.
For South Korea, nominal and real GDP data were collected from
the Bank of Korea. Nominal and real GFCF data and consumption of
fixed capital were obtained from the Organisation for Co-operation and
Development (OECD) STAN database. Information from the National
Wealth Survey has been used to provide benchmark year fixed capital
stock. The money market rate, which was obtained from the UN Statistical
Yearbook, is used as the real net rate of return to general capital stock.
For Hong Kong, national account data came from the CEIC database
for global emerging and developed markets. Real rate of return is the
29/01/2013 16:59
25
merge of interbank overnight rate from the CEIC database and discount
window base rate from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority. Capital
stock per worker data and residential housing stock data were obtained
from the Penn World Table 5.6 to estimate the benchmark capital stock.
Singapore national account data also mainly came from the CEIC database. Real net rate of return to capital stock is money market rate from the
UN Statistical Yearbook. Corporate fixed capital stock data were from a
government-conducted corporate sector survey. Together with residential
housing stock data, they are used to estimate the benchmark capital stock
(Tan and Ping, 2004).
ICT capital stock and price index
The JIP 2003 and JIP 2006 databases provide an estimation of real ICT
capital stock and its capital service of Japan. JIP compiles ICT capital
stock using the inputoutput tables of Japan as benchmarks of ICT fixed
capital formation level (Nomura, 2004). Interpolation and extrapolation
have been applied using additional information sources (Fukao et al.,
2007). This is exactly the methodology that this chapter follows to develop
ICT capital stock estimation for South Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore.
Since the ICT capital definition in Japan is broad, the same definition
hardly applies to the other three economies due to data availability. As a
result, ICT capital goods are confined to include (1) office computing and
accounting machinery; (2) computers and peripheral equipment; (3)communication equipment; and (4) custom software. As JIP 2006 provides
detailed real net capital stock information by asset types, an estimation of
this narrowly defined ICT capital stock can be extracted from the database.
The JIP 2003 database, which is the early edition of JIP 2006, provides an
estimation of the ICT price index up to 1998 excluding software (Fukao et
al., 2002). It is used as a tangible ICT capital stock price index and extended
using corresponding information from the chained corporate goods price
index (CGPI) of Japan prepared by the Bank of Japan. The software price
index is obtained from 1995 onwards from the CGPI. Labour cost information has been used to extend the time series back to 1986. As the price
index of tangible ICT capital goods shows a completely different path
pattern as compared with that of software, software is treated separately,
with the rest of ICT capital being treated as tangible ICT capital.
Figure 2.1 (a) presents the tangible ICT price, the growth of tangible
ICT capital stock (GTICT), and the nominal share of tangible ICT capital
service in nominal GDP of Japan, using 1986 as the base year. Starting
around 1995, the price index dropped faster. Correspondingly, the growth
rate of tangible ICT stock and the nominal share of tangible ICT surged
sharply, but did not manage to maintain the same speed subsequently.
29/01/2013 16:59
26
100
80
60
TICT Share
TICT Price
GTICT
40
20
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
1996
1995
1997
a)
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
1987
1986
Year
Software Share
Software Price
b)
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
1987
GSW
1986
Index
Software-Japan
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Year
Figure 2.1a, b Nominal share, price index and growth of real capital stock
of Japans (a) tangible ICT and (b) software
Figure 2.1 (b) presents the software price, the growth of software stock
(GSW) and the nominal share of software service in nominal GDP of
Japan. While software price showed a generally upward sloping trend,
acceleration was even more obvious for the growth of software capital
stock. Meanwhile the share of software service in nominal GDP increased
sharply. The 1997 Asian financial crisis clearly halted these trends due to
the overall cooling down of economic activities. Towards the end of the
1990s, the trends rallied, but around the beginning of the new century they
were dampened again.
For South Korea, tangible ICT investment is derived from its input
output tables from 1980 to 2003 provided by the Bank of Korea. Data of
the years between the benchmark years were interpolated. To do that, data
of the production of tangible ICT goods in South Korea were collected
from the OECD STAN database and Korean government reports. The
tangible ICT price index is estimated using the producer price index (PPI).
29/01/2013 16:59
27
TICT Share
TICT Price
GTICT (1986 = 10)
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Index
Tangible ICT-Korea
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
a)
Year
Software Share
Software Price
GSW
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Index
Software-Korea
850
750
650
550
450
350
250
150
50
b)
Figure 2.2a, b
Year
The software investment data from 2002 to 2006 were obtained from the
Korea Association of Information and Telecommunication (KAIT) statistical report. The data from 1997 to 2001 were estimated according to the
production growth rate of the software industry reported by KAIT. The
data for 1986 onwards were derived using the growth rate of the tangible
ICT investment, as software investment is supposed to be complementary
to hardware investment. PPI for computer-related services was used to
estimate the software price index since 1995. Before 1995, the price index
was estimated using data from labour cost and tangible ICT price.
According to Figure 2.2, a prominent feature of the South Korea case is
the sharp acceleration in the growth rate of stock of both tangible ICT and
software. Drastic fluctuations are observed, and the 1997 Asian financial
crisis clearly plays a role. The other feature is that the spikes of software
stock growth clearly lagged behind the spikes of the tangible ICT stock
growth. The trend of faster growth in software investment despite the
29/01/2013 16:59
28
TICT Share
TICT Price
GTICT
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Index
a)
Year
Software-Hong Kong
600
500
Index
400
Software Share
Software Price
GSW
300
200
100
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
b)
Figure 2.3a, b
Year
29/01/2013 16:59
29
the 1997 Asian financial crisis both had a lagged impact on Hong Kongs
growth of the tangible ICT and software stock. Although the growth rates
of both tangible ICT and software capital stock were not impressive, the
surge in the nominal share of capital service of the two in nominal GDP
was.
For Singapore, inputoutput tables from 1983 to 2000 are available,
from which the tangible ICT investment data can be retrieved for the
benchmark years. For the years between the benchmarks, trade statistics
of the tangible ICT goods were used to convey information about the
fluctuation in tangible ICT investment. From 1986 onwards, Yearbook of
Statistics Singapore records tangible ICT price index in its domestic supply
price index.
The software investment data were estimated according to a relevant
occasional paper published by the Department of Statistics of Singapore.
The paper provided the share of software investment in GFCF of
Singapore from 2000 to 2004. The changes of the GDP share of the information and communication service industry provides a reference to adjust
the share of software investment for the rest of the years. As Singapore
does not prepare any service price index, the software price index is
assumed to be the same as that of Hong Kong.
As shown by Figure 2.4, acceleration in the growth rate of the tangible ICT investment has been moderate after 1995, with drastic fluctuation. The software investment, on the other hand, reacted strongly first
to the ICT breakthrough in 1995 and later to the Asian financial crisis
in 1997. The nominal share of software service in nominal GDP also
improved significantly after 1995. During this process supportive policies
by the Singapore government played an important role. Since the 1980s,
the government started various programmes to promote ICT including the Civil Service Computerisation Programme (1981), National IT
Plan (1986), IT2000 (1992), Singapore ONE (1996), Next Generation
National Broadband Network and Wireless@SG programme. These policies affected the timing, structure and magnitude of the ICT investment in
Singapore.
Figure 2.5 compares the actual growth rates of the tangible ICT stock
(a) and software stock (b) in all four economies. Generally, the three NIEs
have higher ICT investment than Japan.
Figure 2.6 compares the speed of change in the ICT service share in
the four economies. Hong Kong and South Korea experienced relatively
faster increase in service share of tangible ICT and software. The following growth accounting analysis combines all the above information about
ICT investment in these economies to see to what extent ICT contributes
to economic growth.
29/01/2013 16:59
30
TICT Share
TICT Price
GTICT (1986 = 10)
250
Index
200
150
100
50
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
a)
Year
Software-Singapore
320
270
Software Share
Software Price
GSW (1986 = 10)
Index
220
170
120
70
80
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
20
30
b)
Figure 2.4a, b
Year
Labour input
The JIP 2006 database provides labour hour, nominal labour cost and
labour quality data for Japan. In the case of South Korea, employment
data with hours worked and wage data are directly available from the
Korea Statistical Office. Hong Kong employment, labour cost and labour
hour data are from the Census and Statistics Department of Hong Kong.
Singapore employment data are from the UN Statistical Yearbook database. Labour cost data are from CEIC database. Data on weekly hours
worked were obtained from the Yearbook of Statistics Singapore.
29/01/2013 16:59
31
0.5
0.4
Percentage
0.3
0.2
0.1
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
0
0.1
a)
Year
Software Growth
0.6
Japan
Korea
Hong Kong
Singapore
0.5
Percentage
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
0.1
b)
Figure 2.5a, b
Year
tangible ICT capital stock and software capital stock are available, the
ICT capital stock could be further decomposed to these two components.
Following the standard practice in literature, the decomposition is conducted for the average growth rate of a certain period, rather than for the
growth rate of each year. Four periods are considered: 198690, 199195,
19962000 and 200106. In the case of Japan, due to lack of data, the last
period is 200102. Table 2.1 and Table 2.2 present the decomposition
results for the four economies for real GDP (RGDP) growth and ALP
growth respectively.
According to Table 2.1, the contribution of ICT to real GDP growth
rose in the late 1990s, while that of non-ICT capital growth generally
declined. According to Figure 2.7, in terms of relative contribution of ICT
to real GDP growth, Japan is the leading economy. In fact, despite Japans
declining real GDP growth, the contribution of ICT increased until 2000.
Singapore followed Japan initially, but its acceleration of contribution of
ICT after the ICT breakthrough in 1995 was weaker than that of South
Korea and Hong Kong. Initially, South Korea and Hong Kong lagged
behind Singapore in the late 1980s but managed to catch up and even
29/01/2013 16:59
32
Japan
Korea
Hong Kong
Singapore
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Index
a)
Year
Japan
Korea
Hong Kong
Singapore
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Index
Software Share
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
b)
Figure 2.6a, b
Year
29/01/2013 16:59
Table 2.1
33
Japan
Growth rate of RGDP
Contribution from:
Non-ICT capital
ICT capital*
Tangible ICT capital
Software
Labour input
Labour quality
MFP growth
South Korea
Growth rate of RGDP
Contribution from:
Non-ICT capital
ICT capital*
Tangible ICT capital
Software
Labour input
Labour quality
MFP growth
Hong Kong
Growth rate of RGDP
Contribution from:
Non-ICT capital
ICT capital*
Tangible ICT capital
Software
Labour input
Labour quality
MFP growth
Singapore
Growth rate of RGDP
Contribution from:
Non-ICT capital
ICT capital*
Tangible ICT capital
Software
Labour input
Labour quality
MFP growth
198690
199195
19962000
200102
2.14
1.52
1.44
0.03
1.13
0.33
0.29
0.04
0.24
0.46
0.46
1.05
0.29
0.25
0.04
0.32
0.45
0.05
0.49
0.34
0.25
0.09
0.33
0.40
0.54
0.17
0.16
0.08
0.08
0.82
0.20
0.27
198690
199195
19962000
200106
8.05
7.81
4.56
4.63
4.66
0.23
0.21
0.02
1.45
0.35
1.35
5.02
0.25
0.22
0.03
1.49
0.38
0.70
3.03
0.52
0.42
0.10
0.06
0.52
0.40
1.26
0.67
0.38
0.29
0.49
0.76
1.47
5.33
5.6
3.57
4.78
1.01
0.24
0.16
0.08
0.29
0.00
3.78
1.03
0.25
0.17
0.08
0.40
0.09
3.84
2.17
0.40
0.29
0.11
0.87
0.06
0.19
0.92
0.29
0.22
0.07
0.31
0.08
3.18
8.93
8.87
6.4
4.7
1.02
0.54
0.53
0.01
1.34
0.16
5.88
1.08
0.50
0.49
0.01
0.74
0.15
6.40
2.17
0.44
0.32
0.12
1.95
0.05
1.80
0.54
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.64
0.23
2.88
Note: * The contribution ICT capital is the sum of those of tangible ICT and software.
29/01/2013 16:59
34
Percent
20
15
10
5
0
198690
199195
19962000
200106
Period
Japan
Figure 2.7
Korea
Hong Kong
Singapore
when the contribution of tangible ICT was weakening. The same does not
apply to Hong Kong and Singapore. In these two economies, the contribution of tangible ICT continued to outweigh that of software.
Table 2.2 shows the results from ALP decomposition for Japan, South
Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore.
According to Table 2.2, the contribution of ICT to ALP growth in
South Korea and Hong Kong saw a sharp increase in absolute value
in 19962000, despite the impact of the 1997 Asian financial crisis. For
Japan, the increase in the contribution of ICT in absolute value was
smoother over the same period. For Singapore, although the contribution
of ICT decreased in absolute terms according to Figure 2.8, the contribution in relative terms increased quickly. In the late 1990s Hong Kong,
South Korea and Singapore had a sharp increase in relative contribution
of ICT to ALP growth. For South Korea and Singapore this trend of
increasing relative contribution continued after 2000. Again, the relative
contribution of ICT to ALP growth remained high in spite of the 1997
Asian financial crisis, which dampened ALP growth in all economies.
After 2000, the relative contribution of ICT to ALP growth declined in
Japan and Hong Kong. The decline was especially strong in Hong Kong.
Before 2000, the contribution of software had been far less important
than that of tangible ICT in all economies. After 2000, the contribution of
software in both absolute and relative terms increased for Japan and South
Korea, while that of tangible ICT declined. As a result, the contribution
of software to ALP growth tended to catch up with that of tangible ICT.
Similarly, Hong Kong and Singapore experienced a decline in relative
29/01/2013 16:59
Table 2.2
35
Japan
ALP growth
Contribution from:
Non-ICT capital
ICT capital*
Tangible ICT capital
Software
Labour quality
MFP growth
South Korea
ALP growth
Contribution from:
Non-ICT capital
ICT capital*
Tangible ICT capital
Software
Labour quality
MFP growth
Hong Kong
ALP growth
Contribution from:
Non-ICT capital
ICT capital*
Tangible ICT capital
Software
Labour quality
MFP Growth
Singapore
ALP growth
Contribution from:
Non-ICT capital
ICT capital*
Tangible ICT capital
Software
Labour quality
MFP growth
198690
199195
19962000
200102
4.23
2.15
2.11
1.72
0.95
0.51
0.45
0.06
0.48
2.29
1.23
0.32
0.27
0.04
0.45
0.16
0.65
0.38
0.28
0.10
0.40
0.68
0.56
0.23
0.13
0.10
0.20
0.74
198690
199195
199600
200106
6.25
5.86
4.48
4.04
2.18
0.15
0.14
0.01
0.32
3.61
4.34
0.22
0.19
0.02
0.38
0.92
3.00
0.52
0.42
0.11
0.52
0.43
1.12
0.64
0.37
0.28
0.76
1.51
6.71
4.34
1.14
3.93
0.01
0.09
0.05
0.05
0.004
6.61
0.87
0.05
0.02
0.07
0.09
3.33
1.60
0.30
0.21
0.10
0.06
0.70
0.68
0.30
0.24
0.06
0.08
2.87
4.34
7.15
2.21
3.44
1.68
0.27
0.30
0.03
0.15
5.60
0.90
0.50
0.49
0.003
0.14
5.61
0.65
0.40
0.31
0.09
0.05
1.12
0.22
0.67
0.67
0.003
0.21
2.33
Note: * The contribution ICT capital is the sum of those of tangible ICT and software.
29/01/2013 16:59
36
Percent
20
15
10
5
0
198690
199195
19962000
200106
Period
Japan
Figure 2.8
Korea
Hong Kong
Singapore
CONCLUSIONS
This study follows the growth accounting model in the literature to
analyse the role of ICT in economic growth of four Asian industrialized
economies, Japan, Hong Kong, South Korea and Singapore. Based on the
model, six general observations are documented.
First, the contribution of ICT in economic growth (real GDP growth
and ALP growth) experienced a strong acceleration since 1995 in all economies except Singapore. The relative contribution of ICT to real GDP
growth and ALP growth increased for all four economies before 2000.
After 2000, Hong Kong experienced a drastic decline in its relative contribution of ICT. Similarly, Japan also experienced a downturn in relative
contribution of ICT to ALP growth.
Second, the contribution of ICT in Japan grew steadily. The relative
contribution of ICT was generally higher compared with the other three
Asian economies.
Third, the contribution of ICT in absolute terms was higher in Singapore
than that in Hong Kong from 1986. However, in terms of relative contribution of ICT, Hong Kong managed to catch up with Singapore in
29/01/2013 16:59
37
19962000, but dropped behind again after 2000. Singapore also saw a
steadier increase in relative contribution of ICT as compared to Hong
Kong.
Fourth, in terms of the relative contribution of ICT to economic
growth, South Korea started at a lower level than Japan, Singapore and
Hong Kong. However, its absolute and relative contribution of ICT,
especially of software, grew fast and constantly even during the period of
200106, when the contribution of ICT of all other economies experienced
a downturn either in absolute or in relative terms. It is also noted that after
2000 South Korea surpassed Singapore and Hong Kong in its relative
contribution of ICT to real GDP growth and ALP growth.
Fifth, software investment is becoming an increasingly important
driving force in contributing to the economic growth of Japan and
South Korea. This could be due to the fact that information processing ability now depends more on improvement of software. However,
Hong Kong and Singapore seem to follow along the old path of ICT
investment.
Sixth, the contribution of ICT in absolute terms has been a main convergence force for Singapore, South Korea and Hong Kong to catch
up with Japan in real GDP and labour productivity since 1996. For
Singapore, this is true with respect to real GDP as early as 198690. The
speed of the catch-up effect through ICT for Hong Kong is the slowest
among the three NIEs.
Despite the fruitful lessons learned about the role of ICT in the four
industrialized economies in Asia, there is a possible scope for exploring
further. For example, the decomposition of multi-factor productivity
(MFP) growth using industry-level data is useful in distinguishing the
impact of ICT production from ICT application in these economies. A
key issue to improve the reliability of the analysis is the availability of
constant-quality price indices of ICT goods, which have not been generally developed except for the case of Japan. Internationally harmonized
ICT price indices enabling more accurate cross-nation comparisons are
desirable in future studies.
NOTES
1. Robert Solow, Wed better watch out, New York Times Book Review, 12 July 1987,
p. 36.
2. On the one hand, the advancement of ICT as a general purpose technology revolution is
supposed to offer more chances for technological catch-up. On the other hand, the connotation of this technology per se implies faster diffusion of knowledge and technology
(Vu, 2007).
29/01/2013 16:59
38
3. The assumption is made for simplicity, without which the following is not true:
A
Y
0F
1
dA
1
3 0A
3 dA
dt 3 A 5 dt 3 A 5 A.
4. Sample range for Japan covers the period from 1986 to 2002 only because of a data
availability problem.
5. The shortcoming of data compiled using SNA93 is that only custom software is
included as productive capital. As detailed data of software investment are not available, this study considers custom software investment as the fixed capital formation of
software.
6. This practice is different from the methodology that applies to the other three economies
in this chapter, due to the fact that the Hong Kong government does not prepare input
output tables.
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2000(1), 125210.
Jorgenson D.W., M. Ho and K.J. Stiroh (2002), Information Technology,
Education, and the Source of Economic Growth across U.S. Industries,
working paper.
Kanamori, T. and K. Motohashi (2007), Information Technology and Economic
29/01/2013 16:59
39
29/01/2013 16:59
3.
Industrial agglomeration of
Taiwanese electronics firms in
Dongguan, China: home effects
and implications for industrial
upgrading
Felix Haifeng Liao, Karen Zhihua Xu and
Bin Liang
INTRODUCTION
Since the 1990s, Taiwanese electronics manufacturers, especially computer producers, have become one of the dominant exporters in the global
personal computer (PC) market. However, the regional division of labour
in the Taiwanese electronics industry has significantly changed since the
late 1990s. In 2009, Taiwans PC manufacturing output value reached
USD 107.83 billion, while only 0.6 per cent of the worldwide output of
Taiwanese electronics firms in PC hardware manufacturing was realized within Taiwan. By contrast, the proportion of that from Mainland
China rose to 95.1 per cent (Ministry of Economic Affairs of Taiwan,
2010). Largely depending on the influx of Taiwanese electronics investment, Mainland China has surpassed Taiwan and the USA to be the
largest manufacturer of computer hardware since 2005 (Reed Electronics
Research, 2007).
Over the past two decades, the industrial agglomeration of Taiwanese
electronics investment in Mainland China has resulted in some electronics
clusters in the specific coastal regions, particularly in the Yangtze River
Delta (YRD) and the Pearl River Delta (PRD).1 For instance, as a result
of the concentration of Taiwanese electronics firms, Dongguan, a worldwide famous manufacturing centre in the PRD, has shifted its industrial
structure from the manufacture of labour-intensive products such as
clothes and footwear to, more recently, the production of electronic and
computer-related products. In 2009, the share of the electronics industry in
40
29/01/2013 16:59
41
Dongguans total industrial output rose to 37.5 per cent, while the number
was just 14.3 per cent in 1990 (Dongguan Statistical Bureau, 19912010).
The agglomeration of Taiwanese electronics firms has also increased the
importance of Dongguan in the global PC industry. Notably nearly one
out of three disk drives and one out of five scanners and mini-power
switches in the global market are nowadays made in Dongguan, and
almost 95 per cent of the components and modules in a PC can now be
easily sourced in the Dongguan area (e.g., Yang, 2006).
With an emphasis on the forces behind the agglomeration of Taiwanese
electronics firms in Dongguan, increasing empirical studies have shown
that the original inter-firm production linkages in Taiwan have played
an important role in the geographical concentration of Taiwanese electronics firms in the region (e.g., Tong and Wang, 2002; Yang, 2007). For
instance, in a comparative study of Taiwanese and Hong Kong electronics clusters in Dongguan, Yang and Liao (2010a) summarized that the
specific inter-firm linkages of Taiwanese electronics firms in the cluster
could be regarded as a coordinated industrial district characterized by a
home-based exclusive network. It is worth noting that most of the empirical research on the agglomeration of Taiwanese electronics firms in China,
Dongguan in particular, has primarily been based on qualitative analysis
and case studies. Although there has been a general perception about the
network-based production of Taiwanese electronics firms, little quantitative evidence has been provided to justify these home-based inter-firm
linkages. The implications of the agglomeration of Taiwanese electronics
firms for the upgrading of the local electronics industry in Dongguan are
also unclear.
Against this backdrop, this chapter aims to explore the industrial
agglomeration of Taiwanese electronics firms in 32 towns or districts
within the city of Dongguan using the Ellison and Glaeser index (EG
index). We attempt to investigate whether the specific inter-firm production linkages of Taiwanese electronics firms can be justified, to some
extent, in a quantitative way. Furthermore, the case of the agglomeration
of Taiwanese electronics firms in Dongguan also adds to limited empirical
analyses based on the EG index (e.g., Maurel and Sdillot, 1999; Bertinelli
and Decrop, 2005; Alecke et al., 2006; Ge, 2009). In addition, through
the case study of Taiwanese electronics firms in Dongguan, the chapter
also sheds light on the role of transnational corporations (TNCs) in the
upgrading in the clusters in developing countries (Wei et al., 2011). The
chapter is organized as follows. In the next section, the agglomeration of
Taiwanese electronics firms is discussed with a focus on their inter-firm
production linkages. This is followed by a brief review of the techniques of
measuring industrial agglomeration. And then, employing the EG index,
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29/01/2013 16:59
43
29/01/2013 16:59
44
29/01/2013 16:59
45
Guangzhou
Gaobu
Hong Kong
Shijie
Shipai
Qishi
Chashan
Wanjiang
hengli
Machong
Qiaotou
Liaobu
Daojiao
Changping
Houjie
Dalingshan
Dalang
Xiegang
Huizhou
Zhangmoutou
Shatian
Qingxi
Huangjiang
Humen
Tangxia
Changan
Shenzhen
Fenggang
Highway
Railway
Boundary of Dongguan
Kilometres
0 2.5 5
Figure 3.1
10
proposed five criteria of the ideal index for the measurement of an industrial agglomeration. They suggest such an index (1) is comparable across
industries, (2) controls for the overall agglomeration of manufacturing, (3)
controls for industrial concentration, (4) is unbiased with respect to scale
and agglomeration and across administrative boundaries and (5) assesses
the statistical significance. According to these five requirements, the
indices measuring industrial agglomeration can be distinguished into three
types: indices fulfilling the first and second requirements, indices satisfying
the first three requirements and indices fulfilling all criteria (Bertinelli and
Decrop, 2005). First, some indices satisfy the first and second requirements
such as the typical Gini coefficient. Owing to its ease of calculation and the
limited data requirements, the Gini coefficient has been widely used in the
research on geographical concentration of industrial activities in various
countries (Krugman, 1991; Sukkoo, 1995; Audretsch and Feldman, 1996).
Using the Gini coefficient, He et al. (2008) studied the geographical concentration of industrial locations in China and found that the sectors with
a large share of foreign firms are more concentrated. Resembling the Gini
29/01/2013 16:59
46
coefficient, several other indices have been put forth to explore industrial agglomerations in different ways, such as the Herfindahl index, the
Herfindahl-Hirschman index, the dissimilarity index and the coefficient of
variance (CV) index. Based on the Herfindahl index and location quotient
indices, Fan and Scott (2003) verified the positive relationship between the
clustering of industrial activities and regional growth in China. Employing
the coefficient of variance (CV), Wang and Xu (2004) found that TNCs in
the electronics industry are more concentrated over time, but the TNCs in
traditional sectors have evolved to be more dispersed. Using the location
quotient index and dissimilarity index, He (2003) identified that TNCs
from Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan and the United States display different
patterns of spatial distribution within China at the city level, and these differences also exist in various sectors.
The above indices have to some extent successfully fulfilled the first and
second criteria proposed by Duranton and Overman (2005); however,
most of them do not control the effects of industrial concentration and fail
to satisfy the third requirement. Ellison and Glaeser (1997) advanced the
work of measuring industrial agglomeration by proposing an EG index
that fulfils the first three criteria simultaneously. First, the equation of the
EG index is:
ri 5
Gi 2 a1 2 a x2C bHi
C
(3.1)
a1 2 a x b (1 2 Hi)
2
C C
where
Gi 5 a (SiC 2 xC) 2 Hi 5 a Zij2
c
The index of Gi is defined as an index of so-called raw geographical concentration, that is, the degree of concentration without the consideration
of firm size distribution within the agglomerations, where sic refers to the
share of an industry is investment or employment in region c and xc is the
share of total manufacturing employment or investment in region c. The
definition of the Hi (Herfindahl-Hirschman) index is to measure the effect
of industrial concentration, which is calculated as the sum of squared firmsize shares in terms of investment or employment by industry i, where j 5
1. . .. . .N; N is the number of firms. Hi is a function of the number and size
distribution of firms in industry i (Bertinelli and Decrop, 2005). The value
of Hi is generally high for industries with a small number of plants and
29/01/2013 16:59
47
an uneven size distribution. If the inverse of the Hi is one, the firms in the
industry are all of the same size measured by employment or investment.
According to the EG index equation, the contribution of the EG index
is mainly its combination of the index measuring the raw geographical
concentration by the Gi and the index of industrial concentration, that
is, the Hi index. Further, in contrast to the previous indices with a lack of
absolute value in terms of the standard criteria of industrial clustering or
agglomeration, Ellison and Glaeser (1997) propose some explicit benchmarks measuring the comparable extent of industrial agglomeration. They
assume that if the EG index is ,0.02, it would indicate that the industry
is not very concentrated, while if the value is between 0.02 and 0.05, the
industry could be regarded as relatively concentrated and, more importantly, if the EG index is larger than 0.05, it is suggested that the industry
is highly concentrated.
Following the work of Ellison and Glaeser, many empirical studies have
been conducted in various countries, and the overall cut-off value put
forward by Ellison and Glaeser is also tested across a number of regions
and countries and covers different scales of areas. Two of the cited cases
are Maurel and Sdillots study of the distribution of manufacturing activities in France (Maurel and Sdillot, 1999) and the case study in Germany
conducted by Alecke et al. (2006). Interestingly, the EG index is also applicable to some small countries like Belgium (Bertinelli and Decrop, 2005).
However, in China, although a great deal of techniques have been used to
examine the concentration of industrial activities, few empirical studies
have been based primarily on the EG index (Ge, 2009; Yang and Liao,
2010b), and most of the research using the EG index tends to focus on the
large spatial aggregates such as provinces. For example, Ge (2009) applied
the EG index to the industrial agglomeration at the provincial level and
found that there has been a substantial increase in the degree of industrial
agglomeration for most manufacturing industries. However, the industrial
agglomeration of firms down to the township level in China has rarely
been studied using the EG index.
The EG index, although powerful, suffers from some drawbacks. For
instance, the EG index aims to purge the industrial concentration from the
raw geographical concentration. However, some empirical studies have
demonstrated that the value of the EG index may still be biased towards
the location of large-scale firms (Holmes and Stevens, 2002; Bertinelli and
Decrop, 2005). In a case study of the manufacturing activities in Belgium,
Bertinelli and Decrop (2005) explicitly demonstrated that the EG indices
would by and large reflect the location of large-scale firms rather than
small- and medium-scale enterprises (SMEs) (ibid., p. 577). In addition,
since the EG index fails to explore the actual inputoutput relations
29/01/2013 16:59
48
29/01/2013 16:59
49
29/01/2013 16:59
50
4.5
Kilometres
18
USD (million)
0.0029.85
29.8676.35
76.36159.68
159.69429.20
429.21675.41
Figure 3.2
29/01/2013 16:59
51
total foreign investment in the town and over 50 per cent of Taiwanese
investment in Huangjiang (Dongguan Bureau of Foreign Trade and
Economic Cooperation, 2006).
Extent of Industrial Agglomeration
Employing the EG index, the industrial agglomeration of Taiwanese
electronics investment is examined more precisely in the following three
subsections. To begin with, based on the two-digit industrial breakdown, Table 3.1 shows that in 25 two-digit industries, 24 industries have
positive values of the EG indices. This result indicates that Taiwanese
firms in general tend to be geographically concentrated in specific areas
(towns) within Dongguan, especially when compared with the pure
random model proposed by Ellison and Glaeser (1997).4 More precisely,
according to the EGs simple dartboard model without any spillovers
and natural advantages, the firms of an industry prefer to choose their
location in a random manner. When observing the distribution of firms
in an industry, a natural first step is to test whether the observed raw
geographical concentration represented by the G index is statistically
different from the value of G0 based on pure random location choice.
Using the paired sample t-test, the differences between the theoretical
value of G0 and the empirical value of G in 25 two-digit industries are
statistically significant. Specifically, Taiwanese firms in the two-digit
sectors of communications, computers and other electronic equipment
(40) and electrical machinery and equipment (39) are more related to the
agglomeration effects rather than the random location choices. Second,
if one takes 0.05 and 0.02 as upper and lower benchmarks, the industrial
agglomeration of Taiwanese electronics firms is evident. As shown in
Table 3.1, in the sectors of communications, computers and other electronic equipment (40) and electrical machinery and equipment (39), the
values of the EG indices are all higher than 0.02, showing that the spatial
distribution of Taiwanese electronics firms is moderately concentrated in
specific towns in Dongguan.
In order to further explore the spatial distribution of Taiwanese electronics firms, the EG indices based on the three-digit sectorial breakdown
were also computed (see Table 3.2). Using the upper benchmark of the
EG index of 0.05 again, among nine sub-industries within the electronics
industry, seven of them are significantly concentrated at the town level.
In particular the EG index of the largest sub-industry, computer-related
products (404), is geographically agglomerated (EG index is 0.051). It is
worth noting that in comparison with the two-digit industries, the threedigit industries tend to be more concentrated. This result is consistent with
29/01/2013 16:59
52
Table 3.1
Twodigit
Sector
13
14
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
26
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
39
40
41
42
Percentage
of Total
Investment
Number
of
Firms
EG
Index
1.09
15.595a
0.85
1.99
11.72
13
121
423
0.712a
0.040
0.045
0.92
0.78
95
29
0.035
0.059
4.40
1.45
0.70
197
93
41
0.158a
0.009a
0.053
3.38
216
0.059
1.87
92
0.002a
0.10
1.04
8.48
1.93
0.03
0.26
5.53
1.07
4.64
0.87
6.79
38.33
4
70
549
79
3
14
387
94
242
39
467
1058
0.96
49
0.052
0.81
87
0.012a
0.378ab
0.008a
0.005a
0.028
0.717a
0.020
0.018
0.030
0.048
0.019
0.041
0.022
Notes:
a. Refers to not significant at the 5% level.
b. The negative value of the EG index is highlighted.
Source: Dongguan Bureau of Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation (2006).
29/01/2013 16:59
Table 3.2
Three-digit
Sub-industry
404
406
393
Computers
Electronic components
Wires, cables, optical fibres
and electrical materials
Electricity distribution and
control equipment
Illuminating appliances
Domestic TV sets and radio
receivers
Domestic electrical appliances
Communication equipment
Electromotors
392
397
407
395
401
391
53
Number
of Firms
EG
Index
G
Index
H
Index
308
668
162
0.051
0.023
0.056
0.071
0.038
0.068
0.025
0.017
0.018
84
0.061
0.121
0.071
134
61
0.056
0.010
0.078
0.063
0.029
0.058
79
21
8
0.094
0.096
0.093
0.137
0.557
0.219
0.057
0.549
0.154
He et al.s (2007) study and highlights that the lower-digit (more disaggregated) industries usually have stronger intra-sector production linkages,
resulting in greater geographical concentration.
Co-agglomeration Effects
It is important to note that industrial agglomeration of manufacturing
activities may not just result from the spillover or interdependence within
the specific sub-industries. One of the important aspects of industrial
agglomeration also includes the co-location of related sub-industries within
the same industrial groups. With respect to the electronics industry, the socalled co-agglomeration effects are related to the inter-firm production
linkages in the same industry group, such as the vertical linkages between
the sub-industries of electronic components and assembly manufacturing. In
order to measure this common effect derived from the contribution of interindustry agglomeration rather than intra-industry concentration, Ellison
and Glaeser (1997) proposed an index to quantify the co-agglomeration
effects to ascertain whether agglomerated sub-industries within the same
industry groups tend to locate together or separately. According to the
equation of this co-agglomeration index of gc below, the index could be
regarded as a weighted estimator of the combined effects of inter-industry
and intra-industry agglomeration (Maurel and Sdillot, 1999).
29/01/2013 16:59
54
rC 5
2 H 2 a rjw2j (1 2 Hj)
j51
12 ax
i
2
i
1 2 a w2j
j51
(3.2)
gc
a jrjwj
(3.3)
Based on the rescaling by the l index, it is argued that the value of the l
index could be compared across the different industry groups, and if the
value of the l index is close to 1, it indicates that spillovers across the subindustries are perfectly correlated across the three-digit industries in the
same two-digit industry group.
The results of the gc index and the l index for the two industry
groups within the electronics industry, that is, the two-digit industry of
communication, computers and other electronic equipment (40) and the
two-digit industry of electrical machinery and equipment (39), are outlined in Table3.3.
According to Table 3.3, in general the gc indices in the electronics
industry are all positive, and if the criteria of 0.02 and 0.05 are employed
again, some co-agglomeration effects of the electronics industry should be
noted (the values of gc are 0.031 and 0.023, respectively). In consideration
of the l index, the strength of such co-agglomeration effects is not low.5
This result implies that Taiwanese electronics firms specializing in related
29/01/2013 16:59
55
Table 3.3
Two-digit
Sector
39
40
Number of
Sub-industries
gc Index
l Index
0.031
0.463
0.023
0.253
Table 3.4
Sub-industry
End products
Computer-related
products
Computer-related
products
Computer-related
products
Sub-total
Components
Electronic
components
Electronic
components
Electronic
components
Sub-total
Town
Huangjiang
477.81
26
18.38
26
Qingxi
207.04
37
5.60
11
Shijie
472.69
30
15.76
25
1157.55
93
Huangjiang
192.12
70
2.74
11
Qingxi
397.41
112
3.55
23
Shijie
212.00
67
3.16
12
801.53
249
62
46
29/01/2013 16:59
56
Table 3.5
Z.510
55,Z,10
Z,5
Correlation coefficient of SMEs and largescale firms
Significance (two-tailed)
7.28%
5.70%
87.02%
0.730
0.000
aforementioned towns where Taiwanese electronics firms are most concentrated. It shows that Taiwanese firms in the two sub-industries of
end products of computer and electronic components are similarly and
geographically concentrated in Shijie, Huangjiang and Qingxi, which
consistently echoes the previous qualitative analysis of these famous
electronics towns in Dongguan (Tong and Wang, 2002; Yang, 2007).
This result also confirms that the co-agglomeration effects of Taiwanese
component suppliers and the end-product producers are evident, and the
strong inter-firm production linkages of Taiwanese electronics firms can
also be justified to some extent in a quantitative manner.
Firm Size Distribution and Agglomeration
The major contribution of the EG index, compared with the previous
indices of geographical concentration, is to purge the raw geographic
concentration from the industrial concentration through the combination of G and H indices. However, as Holmes and Stevens (2002) noted,
even after controlling for industrial concentration (H index), the results
of the EG indices may still obviously vary with the size of firms. To
be specific, in terms of the manufacturing industries, the EG index is
probably biased towards the locations of large-scale firms but underestimates the co-location of large firms and SMEs (Bertinelli and Decrop,
2005).
Table 3.5 shows that the general patterns regarding the firm size distribution of Taiwanese electronics firms is biased towards the large-scale
firms. Even though the large-scale firms with total investment of over
USD 10 million only account for 7.28 per cent by number, they have
occupied nearly half of the total amount of Taiwanese electronics investment in Dongguan. With reference to the benchmark of USD 10 million,
we compute the simple correlation coefficient (Pearson correlation index)
29/01/2013 16:59
Table 3.6
Threedigit
Sector
392
Electricity distribution
and control equipment
Wires, cables, optical fibres
and electrical materials
Domestic electrical
appliances
Computers
Electronic components
Domestic TV sets and radio
receivers
393
395
404
406
407
57
SMEs
EG Index
Large-scale
All Firms
Firms EG Index EG Index
0.012
0.138
0.061
0.045
0.080
0.056
0.032
0.221
0.094
0.018
0.034
0.025
0.083
0.053
0.085
0.051
0.023
0.010
Note: Not all sub-industries in the electronics industry group have firms with a total
amount of investment over USD 10 million.
Source: Dongguan Bureau of Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation (2006).
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58
Dongguan
1990
1995
2000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
8.28
60.61
342.95
1627.23
1979.60
2345.24
2505.20
2279.17
Guangdong
291.44
1522.46
3630.80
13 619.01
16 726.64
19 620.77
22 519.00
23 087.20
China
1381.28
5124.78
12 384.26
40 895.67
51 243.10
63 242.84
74 331.66
78 320.62
China
2.84
3.98
9.45
11.95
11.84
11.95
11.12
9.87
0.60
1.18
2.77
3.98
3.98
3.71
3.37
2.91
Notes:
a. The output value of the electronics industry combines the numbers of the sector of
electrical machinery and equipment (C39) and the sector of communication equipment,
computers and other electronic equipment (C40).
b. The numbers refer to the state-owned enterprises and the non-state-owned enterprises
above the designated size.
Sources: Dongguan Statistical Bureau (19912010); Guangdong Statistical Bureau (1990
2006); National Bureau of Statistics of China (19902006).
29/01/2013 16:59
Table 3.8
59
Year
Output Value of
Local Firms
(yuan million)
Output Value of
Foreign Firms
(yuan million)
Share of Local
Firms (%)
Share of Foreign
Firms (%)
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
3 518.61
8 701.88
11 979.83
9 981.06
12 358.07
20 969.87
23 659.16
23 303.75
34 231.64
31 539.9
41 632.33
66 490.68
85 126.28
104 907.21
176 990.53
210 864.55
230 543.53
193 685.51
10.04
17.29
15.27
10.49
10.54
10.54
11.22
10.11
17.67
89.96
82.71
84.73
89.51
89.46
89.41
89.91
90.82
84.98
Notes:
a. The output value of the electronics industry combines the numbers of the sector of
electrical machinery and equipment (39) and the sector of communication equipment,
computers and other electronic equipment (40).
b. The output value is limited to the output of industrial enterprises above the designated
size.
c. Non-local firms here refers to the industrial enterprises with funds from Hong Kong,
Macao, Taiwan and other foreign countries or regions.
Source:
29/01/2013 16:59
60
CONCLUSION
Using Ellison and Glaesers (1997) concentration index, the primary
objective of this chapter is to explore quantitatively the industrial agglomerations of Taiwanese electronics firms across 32 towns and districts in
Dongguan. Based on firm-level interviews and statistics, this chapter also
discusses the implications of the agglomeration of Taiwanese firms for the
industrial upgrading of the local electronics industry.
First, the chapter offers important quantitative evidence for the proliferating empirical studies of the Taiwanese electronics cluster in Dongguan
(Yang and Hsia, 2005; Yang, 2007; Yang and Liao, 2010a, 2010b). It
shows that the underlying entities of the world-famous PC production
cluster are de facto some aggregated towns of Taiwanese electronics
firms. Employing the EG index, the study further demonstrates the coagglomeration effect of related industries in the two-digit industry groups
and the collocation of SMEs and large-scale firms. We conclude that the
inter-firm supply linkages of Taiwanese electronics firms led by large
assembly firms can be verified by rigorous quantitative analyses.
Further, since few empirical studies of the industrial agglomerations in
China have been based on the EG index, the quantitative analysis of the
agglomeration of Taiwanese electronics firms in this chapter contributes to
the existing limited empirical research (Ge, 2009; Yang and Liao, 2010b).
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29/01/2013 16:59
62
NOTES
1. In this chapter, the terms agglomeration, geographical concentration and clustering
are used interchangeably.
2. According to the registration system of the foreign enterprises in China, the enterprises
with funds from Hong Kong and Taiwan belong to the same category without proper
differentiations, that is, the enterprises with funds from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan.
3. Dalingshan town has also become the town known for furniture production across the
Asia-Pacific region due to the influx of Taiwanese furniture investment (Chen, 2005,
p. 198).
4. In the industry of chemical fibre manufacturing, the value of the EG index is negative.
However, investment in the industry just accounts for 0.1 per cent of total Taiwanese
investment in Dongguan.
5. According to Ellison and Glaesers study and the following empirical studies based on
the EG index, if the value of l is more than 0.5, the spillover across the sub-industries is
quite significant in comparison with the so-called intra-industry agglomerations.
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4.
INTRODUCTION
Since Porters (1990) popular book, The Competitive Advantage of Nations,
the concept of industry cluster has been a mantra for many scholars as well
as practitioners. In particular, despite the neoclassic economic theories
that ignore the role of geography in the economic space, the geographic
concentration of economic activities is the most striking empirical feature
characterizing the industry cluster. The presence of fast-growing cities is
strong evidence for the agglomeration phenomenon that absorbs and concentrates significant resources in one place. Cases such as Silicon Valley
or the Research Triangle Park are show cases demonstrating that industry
cluster-driven cities are the most important foci of national growth (Scott
and Storper, 2003). Consequently, the last decade has witnessed a surge in
cities that have introduced a wide variety of strategic efforts to become the
next Silicon Valley or Research Triangle Park.
In particular, the biomedical cluster has attracted significant attention
recently. According to a recent survey of 77 state and local economic
development agencies in the USA, some 83 per cent responded that
the biotech-related industries are main development targets (Grudkova,
2001). This trend is well observed in the relative share of venture capital
investment in US biomedical start-ups. The share of venture capital deals
and investment going to biomedical start-ups increased from 10 per cent to
26 per cent and 8 per cent to 35 per cent, respectively, over the last decade
(Shane, 2008).
Despite such heightened interest in the industry cluster, particularly in
the biomedical field, only a handful of studies have paid some attention
to the evolution of a successful industry cluster. How to ignite the cluster
engine is a million dollar policy question. In particular, the biomedical
field has a reason to draw significant attention in the cluster policy discourse because, as many existing studies argued, there is a relatively more
visible player in the development process, namely research universities.
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interesting case because of its somewhat unexpected emergence as a promising biomedical cluster from a former military base.
To investigate how Wonju ignited its cluster engine, we conducted
seven in-depth interviews with local key players in universities and public
organizations as well as 13 local firms that witnessed the process closely.
Secondary data from the public domain were then combined with the
interviews for the interpretation.
Past and Present
Until the early 1990s, Wonju had been well known as a military base, and
there was a significant lack of manufacturing activities. The presence of
the military base in Wonju created a negative impression of the city, which
made most firms reluctant to locate their offices in the city despite the
geographic proximity to the capital region.
In the mid-1990s, the city government launched an initiative to improve
the negative impression of Wonju and to transform the citys fate as a
lagging periphery. The focus of this initiative was a bold plan to develop
a biomedical cluster in the region. This idea originally came from a local
university faculty, the well-known biomedical engineering department
at Yonsei University, which was a close partner of the city government in the early stage of cluster development. As part of the effort to
develop a biomedical cluster, the city government in partnership with
Kangwon Province and Yonsei University applied for the TechnoPark Development Project in 1997. The purpose of the Techno-Park
Development Project, which was fully funded by the central government,
was to build technology-based local industrial clusters across the country.
The central government, however, disapproved the citys application to
develop a biomedical device cluster in the region.2
Despite the initial failure, Wonju made independent efforts and established a business incubation centre as its first step towards a successful
biomedical cluster development. The beginning of the centre was modest.
About 11 start-up firms were originally housed in the centre. However,
without any noticeable support from the central government, which had
been considered a necessary ingredient for success in Korea (Rowen,
2007), Wonju brought about some achievement. The city consistently
strengthened its manufacturing infrastructure in the biomedical sector.
For instance, it procured the Tea-Jang agricultural industrial complex
in 1999 and built a new biomedical industrial complex. Additionally, a
new industrial complex was built on another site in 2003. The city also
established an intermediary organization, the Wonju Medical Industry
Techno Valley (MITV), which played a pivotal role in coordinating and
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Table 4.1
Firms
Sales ($ billion)
Employment
2003
2005
2007
2009
50
0.4
350
60
0.6
693
79
2.0
1259
106
3.1
2430
Table 4.2
2006
Sales (% of
national total)
Export (% of
national total)
Southern Wonju
Kyunggi
DaeguKyungbuk
33.9
15.9
12.8
7.4
5.9
6.2
29.7
29.5
5.2
13.8
1.4
5.0
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in Korea. One interesting point is that Wonju accounts for 30 per cent
of total exports, although the local firms claim only about 16 per cent
of the domestic market. This finding indicates that firms in the Wonju
cluster are more active in the international market, which also suggests
that these firms likely have strong competitiveness and growth potential.
According to interviewees from the Wonju MITV, the firms in the Wonju
cluster strengthen their competitiveness by competing in overseas markets.
Accordingly, they argued, these firms may grow bigger and faster than
other Korean firms, which mostly serve a smaller and more restricted
domestic market.
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Table 4.3
Start-up Name
Main Products
Nurturing Period
Korea Optical
Telecom
ChoongWae Medical
DongSeo Hi-Tech
Odicine
MeeRe Engineering
Biotron
Medisco
DongYang Medical
Cals Medical
Mediana
Ahone Information &
Communication
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new ventures were housed in the Wonju Business Incubator, which was
co-sponsored by the city and the university. New technologies developed
in university labs were brought to the market through the coordinated
efforts of university researchers and the city. In addition, many of these
start-ups have grown to become major players in the biomedical field in
Korea. For instance, Mediana exported over $17 million worth of products all over the world in 2006. ChoongWae Medical, a producer of infant
incubators, successfully entered foreign markets after receiving approval
for its products from the US Food and Drug Administration. The success
of these early ventures was critical for the growth of the biomedical cluster
in the region.
Role of the Local Government as a Resource Allocator and Coordinator
Although we argued, against a popular belief, that the role of the central
government was limited in the development of the Wonju cluster, that
does not mean there has been no room for the government to act. In particular, the city government was the catalyst that coordinated the joint
efforts to build a biomedical cluster in the region. Such a unique role of
the local government as a catalyst in the early stage of cluster development
is also found in other successful biomedical clusters, such as the Research
Triangle Park (Koo et al., 2009). Although the later growth stage is dominated by market forces, the early cluster development stage requires extra
efforts of an impartial player to orchestrate a wide range of local efforts.
The early efforts of the Wonju city government led to subsequent
support from the central government as well. Wonju was selected for
the Regional Research Centre Programme, funded by the Ministry of
Science and Technology in 1999. This programme was designed to provide
funding for small technology firms to purchase R&D facilities. The timing
was perfect. When 11 early-stage start-ups housed in the Wonju Business
Incubator had some trouble because of the lack of funding for research
facilities in the late 1990s, this programme provided timely financial
support for these technology-intensive start-ups. In addition, Wonju
attracted the Technology Innovation Centre Programmes in 2004, which
infused $20 million into the region for research. That is, critical financial
support from the central government arrived in the region right on time
due to the coordinated efforts of the local government and the community.
Wonjus experience provides interesting implications regarding the division of labour between the central and local governments in the cluster
development process. Direct support from the central government has
often taken the one-size-fits-all approach, which does not reflect actual
needs of the region. Therefore, the local government is in a better position
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to understand local needs and can provide customized support for local
businesses. This also implies that the support from the central government
may be more effective when it is indirect and subtle.
This point is a key difference between Wonju and leading biomedical
clusters in Japan, such as Tokyo and Osaka. Similar to Korea, Japan
is often characterized as a state-driven economy. In addition, Japan
is well known for its structured biomedical cluster development programme. Recognizing the importance of the biomedical field for future
growth, Japan launched the Biotechnology Strategy Council comprising
12 members including the Prime Minister, the Chief Cabinet Secretary and
the Minister for Science and Technology Policy. Local governments at the
prefectural level are also important drivers of the biomedical cluster strategy in Japan, but their roles are somewhat limited and orchestrated by the
central government. The central government still has a strong grip based
on a significant biomedical research budget distributed through four
government ministries: the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry,
the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology,
the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries and the Ministry of
Health, Labour and Welfare.3
Role of the Intermediary Organization as a Network Catalyst and
Management Consultant
Many interviewees who were involved in forming the Wonju cluster put
the Wonju MITV, a major intermediary organization in the region, at the
centre of the cluster development process. The intermediary organization
is a semi-governmental institution that connects public and private areas.
Wonju MITV created a network environment among local researchers,
entrepreneurs, public officials and the community.
Figure 4.1 illustrates the network of primary players in the Wonju biomedical cluster. Many nearby universities4 supplied a well-trained labour
force and shared cutting-edge technology with local firms through Wonju
MITV, which served as a network catalyst that linked key stakeholders
in the region. MITV also collaborated with the city government to secure
funding to purchase research facilities. On the other hand, local firms
often supported university research, which was applied to their product
development. Such close relationships between firms and universities were
indispensible to the formation of the cluster in Wonju.
One of the difficulties that many early-stage start-up firms encounter
is how to manage their businesses to survive and eventually grow. This is
because most founders of biomedical ventures are from university labs and
usually lack management skills. In order to overcome such limitations,
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University
Educating human resource
Supporting research
77
Enterprise
Increasing export and employment
Developing local industry
Wonju Medical
Industry TechnoValley
Building and managing networks
among firms, university and
governments
Figure 4.1
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have been established, and firms started moving into the city without
significant recruitment efforts.
The most important finding of this study is that the presence of successful venture firms in the early cluster development stage can play a pivotal
role in the subsequent growth of the cluster. Successful venture firms as
catalysts of cluster engines stimulate potential local entrepreneurs as well
as non-local firms to locate in the region. This phenomenon is similar to a
halo effect. In this study, we would like to call it the star venture effect.
The star venture effect is not a unique phenomenon observed only in
Wonju. In fact, the effect is often observed among innovative clusters
in other countries. For instance, well-known high-tech clusters such as
Silicon Valley and Austin in the USA have successful venture stories such
as those of HP and Dell. In a similar vein, the Research Triangle Park in
the USA also provides important circumstantial evidence for similar halo
effects that transformed the image of the region. The Research Triangle
Park, established in the 1950s, showed no progress for over ten years.
The region took off after IBM and the then US Department of Health,
Education and Welfare (now the Department of Health and Human
Services) located their research facilities in the region. The location
decision of these major institutions created a positive halo effect for the
region and changed the regions negative image based on the tobacco and
farming industries. The rest is history. A number of spin-offs were created
by former workers of these two institutions and universities nearby, and
many high-tech firms established their research facilities and management
offices in the region (Link and Scott, 2003).
In order to verify the star venture effects in the Wonju biomedical
cluster, we carried out short interviews with 13 local biomedical venture
firms regarding their location decision factors. The question posed to the
firms was what factors made them locate in the Wonju area.5 Nine out
of 13 venture firms answered that the benefits from the city government
were the most important factor. Six firms selected the expectation and
confidence gained from other successful local venture firms as a major
location determinant. Two firms responded that knowledge acquisition,
convenient traffic and the labour pool were attractive factors. Although
it was not an extensive survey, our interviews provide circumstantial evidence to support the star venture effects. Government support also seems
to have played a role in biomedical venture firms locating in Wonju. This
partially confirms the role of government as a necessary condition for
cluster development. A mix of universities, research institutes and entrepreneurs in combination with effective government support may create
a hotbed for the emergence of star ventures. In addition, the advent of
star ventures may increase the propensity of new firm formation by latent
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Government
Resource
allocation
Acceleration of
cluster development
Intermediary
organization
Network
management
and consulting
University
Knowledge
creation
Birth of
venture firms
Emergence of
star ventures
Increase in local
entrepreneurship
Research centres
Knowledge
commercialization
Figure 4.2
CONCLUSION
For many urban scholars and practitioners the cluster strategy has been
considered a one-size-fits-all solution for regional development. A great
number of regions have adopted the cluster strategy for regional development. However, many of them simply tried to copy what other successful
regions, such as Silicon Valley, did. This is a formula for policy failure.
Success factors identified in well-functioning clusters are only necessary
conditions for successful cluster development. Besides, regional heterogeneity makes it even more difficult to apply the same formula to different
places.
Against this background, this study aimed to achieve two things. First,
we tried to unpack the cluster development process to better understand
factors that play a role in the take-off stage of an industry cluster. Second,
we focused on the biomedical cluster case of Wonju, Korea since there has
been a dearth of research on clusters in Asian countries. Findings of this
study can be summarized as follows.
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NOTES
*
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea Grant funded
by the Korean Government (NRF-2010-332-B00587).
Global Seed Capital LLC is a Boston-based seed venture company with investment interest in media, IT and bio-companies.
A significant amount of seed money was provided to the selected cities for the project.
Although the central government still exercises significant influence on the cluster-based
regional development strategy in Japan, it recently adopted a new framework that gives
more attention to the regional context. Kobe is a case in point that illustrates the coordinated efforts of central and local governments to build the biomedical cluster (Collins,
2008).
While Yonsei University is at the centre of the network, nine other universities nearby
are also involved in the Wonju biomedical cluster development project.
Firms were allowed to choose multiple factors.
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5.
INTRODUCTION
The Chinese economy has realized high growth rates and a remarkable
speed of transition for a period of about 30 years and led scholars assessing its development trajectory to postulate the emergence of a new model
of development (Stiglitz, 2008). It suggests that the ongoing transformation of the economy will in the future be based on the breakthrough of
innovation in addition to production (Altenburg et al., 2008) and the
advent of a knowledge-based society by the year 2020 as envisaged by the
long-term planning of the Chinese government (Kroll and Schiller, 2010).
The major building blocks of this new growth model can be summarized
as (1) sectorial structural change from traditional to modern industrial
branches, (2) re-focusing of the export growth model towards the domestic
market and (3) upgrading of technological and organizational capabilities
of firms. These industry-level determinants are complemented by regional
determinants that are shaped to a large degree by different layers of the
state and by the national and respective regional innovation systems.
Despite these optimistic appraisals, reports of economic turmoil in
China during the global economic crisis in 200809 seemed to suggest
a need for a reconsideration of the optimistic assumptions made so far.
Particularly for the highly export-oriented provinces in the coastal regions
of China, the slackening of global demand seemed to forebode dire socioeconomic implications. In the end, however, the Chinese economy picked
up with unanticipated momentum, became the worlds largest exporter at
the end of 2009 and was back at its pre-crisis strength in late 2010 (OECD,
2010). Quite evidently, this impressive recovery proved those wrong who
85
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had predicted a failure of the Chinese growth model under distress conditions. Apparently China had been more resilient than expected and was
back on track. Precisely therefore, however, there is a certain danger
that analyses of the course and wake of the crisis will remain reduced
to a birds-eye perspective that might miss some far-reaching structural
implications that the crisis may have had on the Chinese economy.
As economic geographers, the authors are critical regarding the assumption of a, that is, one singular, Chinese growth model. Quite evidently
there have been a number of different sectorial and regional growth
models in China before the crisis and most likely will be in its wake. This
chapter, therefore, will argue that precisely because of the newly gained
momentum we are in need of a differentiated understanding of the impact
that the crisis has had on different drivers of growth in China. Arguably
such a sectorial, regional and firm-level perspective is instructive to anticipate the implications of the crisis for the overall future growth path at the
national level.
Overall, the considerations put forward in this chapter will be guided by
two partly conflicting hypotheses: (1) due to the massive public stimulus
package and the competitiveness of Chinese firms, the economy is emerging from the crisis just as before, on its old growth path, with similar
drivers and little structural change; (2) the crisis has been an opportunity
for comprehensive structural change and the Chinese economy is thus
emerging from the crisis on a different growth path, driven by new sectors
and internally transformed firms.
As outlined above, it is the aim of this study to reflect on these hypotheses based on disaggregated data on a sectorial and a regional level. The
authors will do so by analysing gross industrial output as well as patent
application data from different sources. Thus they aim to establish whether
there is evidence of structural changes that have occurred as a result of the
challenges posed and the coping strategies developed as a result of the economic crisis. Further, the study data are complemented by primary data
from a company survey in the Pearl River Delta that was carried out just
after the outbreak of the crisis in late 2009. In particular, these data will be
used to confirm the entrepreneurial reorientation of firms within a sector
with respect to technological upgrading and market orientation.
The remainder of the chapter is structured as follows. The second
section identifies determinants and related outcomes of the economic crisis
in Chinese regions by taking the regional resilience framework of Simmie
and Martin (2010) as a starting point. This section will develop guiding
assumptions about the influence of industry-level and regional determinants on the outcome of the crisis. The third section applies sectorially
and regionally disaggregated secondary data to test the hypotheses at the
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macro level. Additionally, data from a company survey in the Pearl River
Delta are used to illustrate the outcomes of the crisis at the micro level.
Subsequently, the fourth section discusses the findings with a view to the
guiding assumptions developed in the conceptual chapter, and the final
section summarizes, concludes and ends with a brief outlook.
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Finally, if insufficient steps have been taken before the crisis to move
away from conserved or declining growth paths, it is quite likely that the
regional economy will return to an inferior growth path after the crisis.
The impact of the crisis is expected to differ between developed and
developing countries. Naud (2009) discusses six reasons why the outlook
for developing countries is rather optimistic. The resilience of certain
regions in emerging economies might be much higher than in developed
countries and these regions might recover much sooner. China is mainly
affected by the reduction in exports to developed countries whereas the
other two major transmission mechanisms of the crisis identified by
Naud (ibid.), reduction in bank lending and financial flows to developing
countries, are less relevant due to vast domestic fiscal resources. Thus it
seems reasonable to expect that the crisis has a leverage effect that puts at
least some regional economies within China on a higher growth path than
before the crisis.
The general patterns of adaptation and resilience are closely connected
with the existing understanding of economic development and technological catch-up in emerging economies. Regional economies in these countries
aim to improve their technological capabilities and market shares to catch
up with incumbent regions and to move from quantitative to qualitative
growth (Lall, 1992; Lee and Lim, 2001). The design of their innovation
system fosters accelerated learning to quickly move from imitation and
adaptation to innovation (Kim, 1997). In addition to a mere replication
of existing growth paths, for example by replicating the product life cycle
of developed countries, late-comers might also skip some stages or even
create their own growth path and thus possess the potential to leapfrog
incumbent firms or regions (Lee and Lim, 2001). In a similar vein, Wong
(1999) distinguishes generic strategies and growth paths followed by firms
and industries in emerging regions. A first set of strategies tries to reverse
either the product life cycle by an increased speed of structural change
or the value chain position by moving quickly from original equipment
manufacturing towards own design and branding within an industry. A
second set of strategies instead comprises efforts to become a specialist or
even pioneer in terms of innovative products, processes or applications.
Based on the conceptual considerations, the following firm and industrylevel determinants are used to characterize the development model of the
three coastal regions in China:
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The role of the state. The Chinese business system cannot be fully
understood without taking into account the role of the state in
designing the institutional environment and the influence of stateowned and state-controlled business.
The following sections will briefly analyse the influence of each determinant on pre-crisis patterns and the post-crisis outlook of the growth paths
in Chinese regions.
Pre-crisis Patterns and Post-crisis Outlook for Selected Determinants of
Regional Growth Paths in China
Sectorial structural change
The redirection of production factors from sectors with low productivity
to those with higher productivity was an important source of growth in
China and its importance has increased in particular during the last few
years. While capital accumulation is still responsible for about 60 per cent
of total growth, sectorial shifts already explained another quarter of the
total growth performance from 2003 to 2008 (OECD, 2010). The general
pre-crisis trend was to shift production factors in the coastal provinces
from labour- and resource-intensive sectors towards capital- and human
capital-intensive sectors. This move was underpinned by the definition
of pillar industries and the targeting of so-called high-tech industries at
the national level and a specific focus on the development of the service
sector in the 11th Five-Year Plan. At the provincial level, the promotion
of sectorial change was implemented in a similar way. In Guangdong
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Province, for example, a policy to empty the cage to let the new bird
move in has been implemented with the aim to relocate so-called three
high and one low industries, that is, high pollution, high use of energy,
high use of resources and low value-added (HKCPU, 2010). Some of the
restrictive policies for low-tech sectors have been eased during the recent
economic crisis to prevent a loss of labour in traditional sectors at a time
when modern sectors have not been able to procure sufficient additional
employment. However, for the post-crisis period it is clearly expected that
the direction of sectorial change will be unchanged and that the politically
favoured high-tech industries will be in an advantageous position.
Technological capability building
The process of technological capability building at the firm or industry
level differs significantly from sectorial change. A high level of technological capabilities can be reached by so-called low-tech industries like
textiles and garments as well as by firms in a high-tech sector like telecommunications. In the 1980s and 1990s, the globalization of manufacturing
activities led to separation of production and innovation capabilities (Bell
and Pavitt, 1995), with Chinas coastal regions entering globalization with
a focus on production. Nonetheless, a foundation for the upgrading of
technological capabilities has gradually emerged (Altenburg et al., 2008)
and, more recently, many Chinese companies have at least developed some
ambitions in the field of medium-tech innovation (Kroll and Schiller,
2010).
For the post-crisis period it is expected that even more political priority will be given to innovation activities and upgrading within the value
chain by providing incentives for investments in R&D and by further
restricting processing trade activities. The recent stimulus package has
already earmarked 10 per cent for investments in innovation (OECD,
2010). However, a trade-off might exist between the promotion of hightech sectors and technological upgrading. In the electronics industry, for
example, it might be easier for domestic firms to develop technological
capabilities in more traditional branches like household appliances than in
leading-edge technological fields such as the latest IC design capabilities.
While for a firm embarking on an innovation strategy for the first time
the requirements of the global markets for cutting-edge technologies will
prove difficult to meet, it may be well equipped to provide medium-tech
solutions in the still price-sensitive, but increasingly quality-oriented
domestic arena. The post-crisis outlook is expected to be characterized by
an ongoing emphasis on the development of a knowledge-based economy
(Kroll and Schiller, 2010).
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Market orientation
Stiglitz (2008) points out that to move away from an export-led growth
model towards one that balances exports and domestic consumption
is the most critical feature of Chinas new model of development. He
underlines that while the country already possesses competitive domestic
firms, the development of an independent innovation system can only be
pursued successfully when firms are able to upgrade and to innovate with
the support of external actors a position that the Chinese government
in the meantime has haltingly acknowledged. On the other hand, recent
studies have shown that even the south of China is less export-dependent
than often suspected (OECD, 2010). In many sectors, domestic firms are
well prepared to meet the demands of domestic customers who are more
interested in reliable products at competitive prices than in latest technologies and highest quality (Zhou, 2008). As one result, even five years ago,
Chinese brands were supplying two-thirds of all personal computers in the
domestic market (Zhou, 2005).
Arguably, domestic actors might best exploit their potential if they
combine export orientation with a strong presence in the domestic market,
which is less subject to global business cycles. Additionally the position
of domestically oriented firms is improved by the fact that the stimulus
package explicitly tries to strengthen domestic consumption in peripheral
areas (OECD, 2010), which do not possess the purchasing power to buy
foreign products. It is therefore expected that firms with a strong position in the domestic market will recover more quickly from the crisis than
firms that predominantly export their outputs to developed markets with
a less convincing growth outlook a situation that in both Europe and
the United States has worsened rather than improved in the wake of the
crisis. The basis for the argument put forward by Chen and De Lombaerde
(2010) that Chinese firms should increase rather than decrease their presence in global value chains has with all likelihood changed. While Chen
and De Lombaerde are right in stating that the focus of any increase in
presence should include other emerging markets, their 2009/10 optimism
about the growth potential of traditional value chains those based on
European and US markets must now be considered much more limited.
While it is certainly true that the export orientation of many Chinese firms
cannot and should not be given up entirely, a new balance between the
ailing economies of the West and the so far still dynamic growth of the
Chinese middle class will have to be found.
Institutional evolution and the role of the state
With regard to the role of the state Overholt (2010) points out the need
for a new economic strategy, refocusing from the current combination of
29/01/2013 16:59
92
state-led infrastructure development and private export-based exploitation of cheap labour towards a model mainly resting on upgraded low-end
manufacturing in the private sector. Likewise, the latest OECD report
(OECD, 2010) calls for a further liberalization of the Chinese market to
sustain the growth after the immediate recovery that is still fuelled by huge
public investments under the stimulus package. While it is acknowledged
in the OECD report that the performance of state-owned and statecontrolled firms has improved over time, they are still well behind the
private sector in terms of productivity and growth. While the immediate
effects of the stimulus package are expected to favour the state-owned
sector due to public procurement in the construction and transport sectors
and increased credits made available by state-owned banks, the long-term
post-crisis outlook favours the private sector.
The report suggests that political levers of control on the technologyrelated sectors should be loosened. The three coastal regions selected for
the empirical analysis are the best performers in terms of R&D and commercialization efficiency in China (Guan and Chen, 2010), but they differ
in terms of the structure of their industrial sectors.
A further point worth noting is that just before the crisis, in early 2008,
the Chinese government took several measures to slow down the overheating economy due to raising fears of inflationary tendencies (Schller
and Schler-Zhou, 2009). The effect of these measures is expected to be
stronger in those regions whose economy is controlled by the state to a
larger degree like Beijing and may have aggravated the slowdown that
resulted from the global crisis in late 2008 and early 2009. In a similar
vein, such measures were again taken in some regions of the Yangtze River
Delta in 2011.
Hypotheses about the Impact of the Determinants on the Post-crisis
Growth Paths of Regions in China
Based on the conceptual considerations outlined above, it is expected
that regions that depend on global markets, are specialized in traditional
sectors, and possess limited technological capabilities are most vulnerable to the effects of the crisis and will more likely be less successful in
recovering from its impact during a continued slowdown of the global
economy. On the contrary, firms that are oriented towards the domestic
market might yet survive in traditional sectors as some of their products
are still in demand in rural China and their price competitiveness might
still match the high price elasticity on the domestic markets. On the other
hand, the rise of an increasingly discerning middle class with significant
buying power suggests that other more ambitious strategies may well be
29/01/2013 16:59
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Market orientation
Mid-tohigh
Global
++
Low-tobasic
Technological level
Domestic
Modern
Traditional
Modern
Traditional
Industrial sector
Figure 5.1
Industrial sector
29/01/2013 16:59
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Assumption 1c: Firms targeting the growing domestic market (with nonlow-tech strategies) will, ceteris paribus, more successfully recover: firms
with a domestic market-oriented sales strategy will recover more quickly
in the short run as the dynamic Chinese domestic market resting on
a fast-growing middle class can be considered more resilient than the
global markets, which appear set to remain in turmoil for years to come.
Consequently, both technologically upgraded activities in traditional sectors
and low-tech activities in high-tech sectors will pay off better when at least
in part targeting the domestic market than when being wholly dependent on
global customers.
However, the importance of the fiscal stimulus package for bringing
the Chinese economy back to the forefront of the recovery must not be
underestimated. As stated above, the core hypotheses of this chapter are
only partially conflicting. Even if some structural change has been driven
by entrepreneurial decisions, it may in many contexts have been superimposed by the effects of fiscal stimulus packages and macro management of
the economy:
Assumption 2a: Effects of the state-induced rise in public demand superimpose structural changes based on decisions and strategies of individual
business people affected by the crisis: the fiscal stimulus package has provided a substantial impetus, helping the Chinese economy to return to the
pre-crisis growth path. However, these short-term measures have concealed
the actual structural impact of the crisis on the different sectors, which only
becomes visible over time.
Assumption 2b: The aforementioned effects of the fiscal stimulus package
have been very different from sector to sector and from region to region: The
effects of the stimulus package have differed substantially between sectors
and regions depending on the nature of the sector and the structure of each
regions industries. With regard to this, ownership structure will play an
important role since foreign firms are to a far lesser extent able to benefit
from public procurement.
As the above section has illustrated, it is obvious that a mere macro perspective is indeed insufficient to even describe the shifts that have occurred
in the past two or three years. Consequently, they will be analysed in
the following with reference to the concept developed in Figure 5.1.
Guided by its three key dimensions, the empirical section of this chapter
will explore whether the main hypotheses of structural change based on
entrepreneurial decision can be upheld.
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140
Index
130
120
110
100
2011-03
2011-02
2011-01
2010-04
2010-03
2010-02
2010-01
2009-04
2009-03
2009-02
2009-01
2008-04
2008-03
2008-02
2008-01
2007-04
2007-03
2007-02
2007-01
90
Source: Own graph based on data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China.
Figure 5.2
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96
29/01/2013 16:59
Table 5.1
97
Total
M of foods
M of textiles
M of ferrous metals
M of chemical prod.
M of transport equipment
M of medicines
M of general purpose
machinery
M of electrical machinery
M of ICT equipment
M of measurement and
office machinery
1.5
4.0
7.1
6.2
9.9
1.3
4.9
Domestic
Export
Domestic
Domestic
Domestic
Domestic
Mixed
32
10
3
50
26
43
20
19
35
44
70
32
42
17
37
54
33
46
27
18
33
41
43
28
5.2
9.0
0.9
Mixed
Export
Export
12
9
12
43
07
31
45
84
57
Note: As exports are reported by good rather than by sector, only approximate statements
can be made.
Source: Own compilation and calculation based on data from the National Bureau of
Statistics of China.
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98
Table 5.2
Total
9.40
Low-tech domestic (private & foreign)
M of foods
18.34
13.88
Low-tech export (private)
M of textiles
12.68
9.15
Heavy industry domestic (strong state influence)
M of ferrous metals
14.50
2.24
M of chemical prod
14.10
7.42
Mid-tech domestic (state & foreign)
M of transport equip
21.86
10.40
Mid-tech domestic (private & foreign)
M of medicines
18.56
16.23
M of gen. purp. mach.
21.68
11.15
M of electrical mach.
21.06
14.65
Mid-high-tech mixed (foreign)
M of ICT equipment
16.72
4.85
M of measuring & off. mach. 17.28
6.13
15.13
14.59
14.11
15.73
14.40
16.92
10.00
9.72
7.65
18.93
21.87
10.86
14.76
10.50
14.54
28.17
21.09
11.69
16.32
14.70
13.48
13.71
19.84
16.56
17.39
18.87
14.97
9.63
4.68
15.43
16.65
15.02
17.32
Source: Own compilation and calculation based on data from the National Bureau of
Statistics of China.
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99
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
5%
2008-02
2008-03
2008-04
2008-05
2008-06
2008-07
2008-08
2008-09
2008-10
2008-11
2008-12
2009-01
2009-02
2009-03
2009-04
2009-05
2009-06
2009-07
2009-08
2009-09
2009-10
2009-11
2009-12
2010-01
2010-02
2010-03
2010-04
2010-05
2010-06
2010-07
2010-08
2010-09
2010-10
2010-11
2010-12
2011-01
2011-02
2011-03
2011-04
2011-05
2011-06
2011-07
2011-08
2011-09
0%
Total
Manufacture of textile
Manufacture of general purpose machinery
Manufacture of communication equipment, computer and other electronic equipment
Manufacture of transport equipment
Manufacture of foods
Manufacture and processing of ferrous metals
Source: Own compilation and calculation based on data from the National Bureau of
Statistics of China.
Figure 5.3
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100
29/01/2013 16:59
101
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
5%
2008-02
2008-03
2008-04
2008-05
2008-06
2008-07
2008-08
2008-09
2008-10
2008-11
2008-12
2009-01
2009-02
2009-03
2009-04
2009-05
2009-06
2009-07
2009-08
2009-09
2009-10
2009-11
2009-12
2010-01
2010-02
2010-03
2010-04
2010-05
2010-06
2010-07
2010-08
2010-09
2010-10
2010-11
2010-12
2011-01
2011-02
2011-03
2011-04
2011-05
2011-06
2011-07
2011-08
2011-09
0%
Globalized industries
Total
Figure 5.4
path in late 2010 and only recover in 2011 much like the heavy industries selected above. Moreover, the finding that some domestic low-tech
industries like foods have weathered the storm is confirmed by the aggregate development of those industries designated protected and favourite.
Finally, there are two more distinct paths of recovery: of least protected
industries and globalized industries with the latter recovering later, but no
less sustainable, despite their quite different nature. The core of the aforementioned conclusions is thus confirmed on a broader basis in Figure 5.4.
Impacts and Recovery by Province and Region
In the following, the impacts of the crisis will be studied broken down by
selected regions. The three main economic areas covered by this analysis
constitute the main motors of the countrys development and generate
more than 40 per cent of Chinas GDP.
29/01/2013 16:59
102
Table 5.3
2009
Share of
National
GDP
Export
Quota
3.3
2.1
4.7
10.1
27.2
27.1
6.2
50.8
41.4
34.8
40.8
6.3
15.0
45.2
26.6
42.9
43.6
20.0
32.7
4.1
9.4
6.3
19.8
64.3
39.4
39.5
34.3
12.7
16.0
18.2
10.9
39.8
53.1
37.3
54.7
47.5
30.9
44.5
10.8
62.0
18.0
20.8
61.2
Beijing
Tianjin
Hebei
Bohai Bay
(Jing-Jin-Ji)
Shanghai
Jiangsu
Zhejiang
Yantgze River
Delta
Guangdong
Source: Own calculations, based on China Statistical Yearbook, 2010 and oanda.com.
29/01/2013 16:59
103
activities in mid-2008. Partially, this may be attributed to the completion of the substantial construction efforts related to the 2008 Olympic
Games as well as the reduction of industrial production in preparation
for the Olympics. Part of it may also have been due to the governments
efforts to avoid an overheating of the economy in early 2008. Nonetheless,
both effects were certainly reinforced beyond the envisaged extent by the
dawning economic crisis (cf. Figure 5.5). Remarkably, however, the Bohai
Bay areas growth rates remained high throughout the height of the crisis
in the last quarter of 2008, when the decline in many other regions had
only just begun. The increased momentum lasted until April 2009, when
the short-term early 2009 boost of growth in many state-dominated sectors
came to an end. At that time, the Bohai Bay area saw a brief renewed
decrease in growth rates. Of the Bohai Bay areas provinces, Beijing is
the one that most clearly displays the substantial increases in value-added
following May 2009 that we suspect to be based on the public economic
recovery packages. This level of growth, however, was only maintained
until mid-2010. Later, Beijing returned to a below pre-crisis growth path.
The effect of the crisis on the Bohai Bay area as a whole was only mitigated
by the continuous expansion of industrial activities in Tianjin generating
stable growth of above 20 per cent, as well as domestically oriented Hebei,
which has returned almost to its pre-crisis growth levels (cf. Table 5.4).
In the Yangtze River Delta, in contrast, growth rates continuously
decreased since the first clear signs of impending problems in mid-2008. At
the beginning of the crisis, the Yangtze River Delta was hit hardest of all
major Chinese regions, in particular due to the situation in Shanghai. In
December 2008 the growth rates dropped below zero for the overall region
and down to about 10 per cent for municipal Shanghai. In contrast to
Shanghai, Jiangsu Province was able to maintain above 9 per cent growth
rates throughout the crisis. Zhejiang was affected, although nowhere as
gravely (cf. Table 5.4). All provinces of the Delta, however, very clearly
participated in the substantial short-term boost of growth rates following
March/April 2009. Given that the three provinces are to very different
degrees dominated by state-owned firms and oriented towards the domestic market, it appears noteworthy that all of them display a fairly similar
path of recovery, particularly as each of them had been affected by the
crisis to a different extent. While the Yangtze River region seemed to have
recovered to an average growth path in the course of 2010, it returned to
a below pre-crisis growth path and showed no sign of improvement as of
late 2011 (cf. Figure 5.5). In 2010, it seemed to be Shanghai that recovered better than the other two provinces in the region, a situation that,
however, only lasted until early 2011, when the three provinces equalled
out and it became Zhejiang that fell behind the two others. Part of this,
29/01/2013 16:59
104
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
2008-02
2008-03
2008-04
2008-05
2008-06
2008-07
2008-08
2008-09
2008-10
2008-11
2008-12
2009-01
2009-02
2009-03
2009-04
2009-05
2009-06
2009-07
2009-08
2009-09
2009-10
2009-11
2009-12
2010-01
2010-02
2010-03
2010-04
2010-05
2010-06
2010-07
2010-08
2010-09
2010-10
2010-11
2010-12
2011-01
2011-02
2011-03
2011-04
2011-05
2011-06
2011-07
2011-08
2011-09
0%
National Total
Yangtze River Delta
Bohai 3 (Jing-Jin-Ji)
Guangdong
Figure 5.5
29/01/2013 16:59
Table 5.4
105
National total
Beijing
Tianjin
Hebei
Shanghai
Jiangsu
Zhejiang
Guangdong
16.18
8.86
21.18
17.36
11.18
16.22
11.58
13.00
9.40
2.49
21.04
9.82
0.48
13.82
4.00
9.03
15.13
20.25
23.48
19.95
10.62
16.92
11.78
12.57
14.69
13.42
24.28
15.70
18.60
14.49
14.89
16.08
14.11
6.53
20.87
15.92
7.93
13.91
11.53
13.13
Source: Own compilation and calculation based on data from the National Bureau of
Statistics of China.
cent, close to at par with Jiangsu, despite the continued downturn in the
global economy (cf. Table 5.4).
In summary, the analysis by provinces underlines the above finding
that there are different, yet equally successful trajectories of recovery,
in particular with a view to market orientation. In view of the global
downturn, it appears remarkable that the most export-oriented province
has at first proven most resilient and later very sustainably recovered.
Nonetheless, recovery is no less substantial in Jiangsu despite the more
domestic ownership structure of its industry and even in Hebei, which
is very weakly connected with the global economy in any respect.
Apparently, none of the countrys major growth models have been
entirely shattered.
Impacts on Technological Upgrading
The impact of the crisis on technological upgrading is a bit more difficult
to assess in detail, as in China with its extensive assembly and re-export
activities, many industrial activities in mid- to high-tech sectors are in fact
not very technologically ambitious.
Consequently, our overall approach will be twofold. First, we will
examine the development of patent applications. Second, we will draw
on first-hand evidence data obtained from a survey of electronics firms in
Guangdong Province in late 2009. Unfortunately, both approaches by and
large force us to gauge reactions during the crisis in 2009 rather than in its
wake in 2010 and 2011. On an aggregate level, however, some recent data
29/01/2013 16:59
106
60 000
Total
50 000
Domestic
Foreign
40 000
30 000
20 000
10 000
2006-01
2006-03
2006-05
2006-07
2006-09
2006-11
2007-01
2007-03
2007-05
2007-07
2007-09
2007-11
2008-01
2008-03
2008-05
2008-07
2008-09
2008-11
2009-01
2009-03
2009-05
2009-07
2009-09
2009-11
2010-01
2010-03
2010-05
2010-07
2010-09
2010-11
2011-01
2011-03
2011-05
2011-07
2011-09
Source: Own graph and calculations based on data from the State Intellectual Property
Office.
Figure 5.6
are now available, suggesting that 2009 data may in fact be most relevant
to understand the transformatory momentum of the crisis.
Patent applications, main findings
With regard to the innovative performance of the Chinese economy,
Figure 5.6 shows that the crisis has not generally led to a slump in patent
applications by Chinese nationals in 2009, although it did cause a temporary decrease in their growth rate. Foreign patent applications in China,
however, decreased by about 10 per cent compared to their 2008 level but
picked up again in 2010. While that seems to suggest that the technological
engagement of foreign firms diminished during the crisis itself, applications have now reached a pre-crisis level. Apparently, intellectual property
rights are seen as important assets on a Chinese domestic market one
that even for them has developed beyond price-based competition.
Moreover, monthly figures illustrate how patent activities of, in particular, domestic actors have continued to surge in the course of 2010 and
2011 far more rapidly than foreign applications. Given the still relatively
limited exposure of Chinese applicants to the global technology market,
this seems to suggest a general increase in the domestic importance of intellectual property rights, fragile as many of those may still be. Apparently,
29/01/2013 16:59
107
80 000
70 000
Bohai 3 (Jing-Jin-Ji)
Guangdong
Shanghai
60 000
50 000
40 000
30 000
20 000
10 000
0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Note: By priority year. Due to the usual time lag of publication, figures for 2009 remain
estimates.
Source: Own calculations based on the European Patent Office (EPO) Worldwide Patent
Statistical Database and SIPO raw data.
Figure 5.7
29/01/2013 16:59
108
140 000
Midhightech applications
Leadingedgetech applications
120 000
Lowtech applications
100 000
80 000
60 000
40 000
20 000
0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Note: By priority year. Fraunhofer ISI High-tech classification. Due to the usual time lag
of publication, figures for 2009 remain estimates.
Source: Own calculations based on the EPO Worldwide Patent Statistical Database and
SIPO raw data.
Figure 5.8
mid- to low-tech fields they were more limited (Figure 5.8). Arguably most
technological activities that continued during the crisis were focused on
R&D areas of close relevance to the domestic market. Long-term investments in leading-edge fields, in contrast, appear to have been somewhat
reduced during that period.
As illustrated in Figures 5.95.11, the Bohai Bay areas technological
capabilities as measurable by the number of domestic patent applications have been quite notably affected by the crisis. Although local
patent output grew strongest among the three major economic regions in
2008, the setback in 2009 was similarly pronounced, particularly in the
field of leading-edge but also in the fields of mid- to high-tech and lowtech patenting. In the Bohai Bay area, there is thus little evidence that
the crisis has prompted a strong shift towards technological upgrading
(cf.Figures5.95.11).
While affected even more substantially in the field of leading-edge technologies, Guangdong maintained a similar momentum of applications
in the high-tech and a distinctly stronger one in the low-tech field. To a
degree this can be attributed to the effect that the global crisis has exerted
29/01/2013 16:59
109
12 000
Yangtze River Delta
Bohai 3 (Jing-Jin-Ji)
Guangdong
Shanghai
10 000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Note: By priority year. Fraunhofer ISI High-tech classification. 2009 data, estimate.
Source: Own calculations based on the EPO Worldwide Patent Statistical Database and
SIPO raw data.
Figure 5.9
29/01/2013 16:59
110
30 000
25 000
Bohai 3 (Jing-Jin-Ji)
Guangdong
Shanghai
20 000
15 000
10 000
5000
0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Note: By priority year. Fraunhofer ISI High-tech classification. 2009 data: estimate.
Source: Own calculations based on the EPO Worldwide Patent Statistical Database and
SIPO raw data.
Figure 5.10
29/01/2013 16:59
111
40 000
35 000
Bohai 3 (Jing-Jin-Ji)
Guangdong
Shanghai
30 000
25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5000
0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Note: By priority year. Fraunhofer ISI High-tech classification. 2009 data: estimate.
Source: Own calculations based on the EPO Worldwide Patent Statistical Database and
SIPO raw data.
Figure 5.11
performed significantly better than firms with less innovation expenditures in terms of sales and profits in early 2009 and their growth rates also
dropped to a lesser degree between 2007 and early 2009.
Finally, the market orientation was analysed by identifying the main
market of each firm as well as its main owner. Surprisingly, the differences among firms oriented towards domestic and foreign markets proved
insignificant. Instead, firms with mainly Chinese ownership performed
systematically better than foreign-owned firms, even though only differences for employment growth were slightly significant.
Finally, Table 5.6 organizes the survey data according to the dimensions
illustrated in Figure 5.1. First, it underlines that the largest momentum of
entrepreneurial action has been documented in the course of the crisis in
those firms investing 30 per cent and more of sales volume in new product
development. In next to any dimension, those firms have been affected
less, grown faster and remained more profitable than their technologically
less ambitious counterparts.
Second, the table confirms that business dynamics and resilience have
been generally higher in technologically more advanced electronics sectors
(high-tech) than in more traditional ones (other). In particular, the
29/01/2013 16:59
112
Table 5.5
Technological High-tech
level of the
Other
sector
F-test
sign.
Change Change
in Sales in Profit
Growth Growth
(2007 to (2007 to
first half first half
of 2009) of 2009)
53.1%
17.9%
7.414
***
30.8%
18.0%
2.161
n.s.
17.3%
11.7%
1.088
n.s.
2.3%
10.0%
0.618
n.s.
3.1%
7.0%
0.327
n.s.
Expenditure
on product
development
in % of sales
.30%
,530%
F-test
sign.
28.5%
19.0%
1.076
n.s.
28.6%
14.2%
5.667
**
19.8%
7.8%
11.013
***
3.8%
12.3%
1.653
n.s.
1.4%
9.7%
3.335
*
Main market
Domestic
Abroad
F-test
sign.
24.4%
19.9%
0.248
n.s.
19.8%
19.5%
0.003
n.s.
10.9%
14.8%
1.114
n.s.
8.6%
9.8%
0.032
n.s.
7.6%
4.8%
0.394
n.s.
Main owner
Chinese
Foreign
F-test
sign.
30.6%
13.2%
3.826
*
22.4%
16.4%
1.020
n.s.
13.5%
11.0%
0.491
n.s.
7.5%
11.0%
0.286
n.s.
6.2%
6.9%
0.030
n.s.
Note: Significance: ***: 1% level, **: 5% level, *: 10% level, n.s.: not significant.
Source: Own survey.
analysis underlines that while there still was a resilient and profitable
development of non-innovating firms in the high-tech assembly segment
(normal double lines), non-innovating firms in more basic electronics
sectors proved vulnerable with respect to profits and developed least
dynamically (saw-toothed double lines).
With respect to market orientation, finally, the findings are somewhat
less unambiguous. While the employment dynamics are higher in domestically oriented firms, sales dynamics, profits and resilience are higher for
export-oriented firms. Nonetheless, both share one characteristic: innovative firms are more profitable and often grow more dynamically than
non-innovating firms. With respect to the sectorial focus, however, the
situation is less clear.
29/01/2013 16:59
Table 5.6
113
Performance
Indicator
Change in
staff: 2007 thr.
2009 %
Annual
growth rate
first half 2009:
sales
Annual
growth rate
first half 2009:
net profit
Expenditure
on Product
Development
in % of Sales
All Firms
Market Orientation
Domestic
High- Other
tech
Abroad
85%
17%
92%
21%
71%
12%
24%
18%
33%
16%
3%
22%
41%
27%
34%
25%
52%
29%
25%
13%
30%
14%
7%
11%
20%
20%
21%
14%
17%
27%
16%
7%
18%
7%
8%
6%
9%
5%
9% 10%
9%
0%
Change of
annual growth
rate 07 thr. 09:
sales
9%
13%
11%
9%
3%
19%
Change of
annual growth
rate 07 thr. 09:
net profit
4%
1%
2%
5%
6%
4%
3%
11%
4% 10%
2%
12%
Source:
Own survey.
Apparently, different successful market orientations co-exist: while noninnovative production in less ambitious fields expands strongly when it is
focused on the global market, it has proven most vulnerable to the crisis
and become the least profitable business model (dotted single lines). The
non-innovative production of high-end goods for the domestic market, in
29/01/2013 16:59
114
contrast, was more profitable and grew quite dynamically (normal double
lines). With respect to innovative firms, the production of less advanced
goods appears the most profitable export strategy, while domestically
oriented firms profited from a focus on high-end products (normal single
lines). A strong growth in sales, however, indicates that high-end goods
may become more relevant for export in the future (saw-toothed single
lines).
In summary, the findings from the empirical study thus unambiguously
underline that upgrading is underway and from an entrepreneurial point
of view has become more and more crucial to keep different business
models resilient and profitable. Moreover, the observed momentum is discernibly stronger in advanced than in technologically less ambitious fields
of the electronics sector. In general, technologically ambitious activities
in high-tech fields grow more dynamically than expected. Nonetheless,
Table 5.6 also illustrates that the old export-based growth model tends
to prevail to a relevant extent, thus confirming the secondary empirical
findings of a specific development trajectory in Guangdong.
DISCUSSION
Assumption 1a:
successfully.
Official statistical figures show that low-tech and heavy industries have
suffered the most during the economic crisis. While industries targeting
the national market with medium-tech solutions (e.g., general purpose
machinery, electric machinery) have felt a similar impact, they have recovered far more dynamically. In particular, export-oriented low-tech industries like the textile sector have not been able to return to their pre-crisis
growth rates, and the heavy industries were unable to maintain not only
the publicly generated 2009/10 boost in growth but in some cases also to
return to their pre-crisis growth rates.
Assumption 1b: Firms upgrading or firms already active in the mediumtechnology field will ceteris paribus recover more successfully.
Our analysis shows that technological activities of Chinese applicants in
particular continue to surge. Evidently, leading-edge patenting has been
affected by the crisis, while more market-oriented medium-tech patenting has not. A substantial technological momentum was maintained,
especially in the mid-tech field, and different sectors for which upgrading
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115
plays a role have recovered sustainably and successfully including the socalled high-tech sectors. By means of an example, the analysis of survey
data corroborates that upgrading pays off in the electronics industry
in general but is absolutely crucial in traditional subsectors, where the
profitability of non-innovative business models seems to fade. Put differently, the example of the sector surveyed confirms that during the crisis a
stronger momentum of growth was developed in those firms that decided
to upgrade.
Assumption 1c: Firms targeting the growing domestic market (with nonlow-tech strategies) will ceteris paribus recover more successfully.
The analysis based on official statistical figures suggests that the most
dynamic recovery has taken place in at least in part domestically oriented
sectors. In traditional low-tech sectors, domestic orientation is the only
option to maintain a stable growth path at all. Among the mid-tech sectors,
the highest momentum can arguably be identified among those that are at
least not dominantly export-oriented. Moreover, strong technological and
economic dynamics are documented for Zhejiang and Jiangsu, provinces
with a mixed market orientation. Additionally, Hebei provides evidence of
the dynamics that can emerge from a domestic orientation.
Nonetheless, findings are less clear than in the aforementioned cases
as the successful recovery of Guangdong verifies that the export-oriented
growth model has remained operational, even after a crisis likely to have
noticeably diminished global demand in many fields, a finding confirmed
by survey data for Guangdong. Even in this context, however, the data
suggest that in some cases domestically oriented strategies have, in the
course of the crisis, paid off somewhat better than others, in particular
for less innovative firms at the more ambitious end of the electronics
field.
Assumption 2a: Effects of the state-induced rise in public demand superimpose structural changes based on decisions and strategies of individual
business people affected by the crisis.
Almost all value-added indicators clearly show unanimous evidence of a
first boost in early 2009 and a general boost throughout mid- to late 2009.
In early 2010, in contrast, growth levels have dropped back significantly and
the impact of the spring festival on the economy seems to have been greater
than in the preceding years, including 2009. In the long-term perspective
it becomes even more evident that something happened in late 2009, in
particular in the heavy industries, that did not last beyond mid-2010.
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CONCLUSION
In summary, our study has found evidence for most of the guiding assumptions proposed in the conceptual section. What can be said with certainty
is that the Chinese economy, after a substantial setback in late 2008/early
2009, has seen a speedy recovery prompted by massive state intervention
as well as a flexible reaction of individual players in the firm sector.
As expected, no clear-cut support can be given to the main hypotheses
stated at the outset of this chapter. Undoubtedly a number of transformations have taken place, as suggested by official statistics and, in a specific
case, confirmed by survey data. Nonetheless, the same secondary data
underline that the growth of the Chinese economy continues to be fuelled
by very different sectorial and regional growth engines. The different
intensity with which the impact was felt among sectors and regions has
clearly revealed the substantial scope of persisting structural disparities in
the Chinese industrial sector.
Overall, this chapter has identified four distinct but overlapping trajectories of resilience, recovery and further development. Likewise, it
has documented the survival of different growth models from Hebei to
Zhejiang to Guangdong. In summary, this suggests that the different trajectories of recovery cannot one-dimensionally be explained as the result
of sectors and regions profiting to different degrees from publicly triggered
demand. On the contrary, it appears conclusive to assume that the crisis
has prompted various shifts in the strategies of various firms with regard
to both technological development and market orientation.
Even within one specific sector, the Guangdong firm-level data reveal
complex processes of adaptation as well as co-existing, similarly dynamic
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117
business models. One finding, however, is unambiguous: technological upgrading has been underway during the crisis and most certainly
in its wake. In this respect, patent data confirm that, in line with our
assumptions, the most resilient momentum was that in the field of closeto-market technologies. Apparently, leading-edge activities were more
dispensable than low- to mid-level upgrading strategies. In line with that,
the Guangdong survey results seem to suggest that, even with an orientation towards the domestic market, technological ambitions are rising.
In summary, the Chinese economy had to and has to weather a
slowdown in the world economy that at first seemed to question at least
the export-based component of its growth model. Apparently, however,
neither a partial collapse nor a full-fledged reorientation of that model has
occurred. Instead, different players have reacted in different ways and different growth models continue to exist in different places. In the end, both
the domestically oriented Bohai Bay area and export-oriented Guangdong
have returned to specific, stable growth paths. If anything, further differentiation has ensued. Only the countrys major cities and certain low-tech
export sectors seem to have shifted to a lower growth path as a result of the
2008/09 external shock, arguably for the better as the extent of agglomeration in those fields and regions is already quite high and their growth rates
remain well above 5 per cent.
By means of an outlook, the recent political decisions regarding the artificial slowdown of development in Zhejiang suggest that the Chinese problem
had in early 2011 again become one of cooling down an overheating
economy rather than combating a downturn. At the time of writing these
conclusions, however, the next global crisis may well be dawning on the
horizon. Unaffected by all this, technological upgrading in China continues.
NOTE
1. http://english.eastday.com/e/110211/u1a5716521.html; accessed 6 November 2012.
REFERENCES
Altenburg, T., H. Schmitz and A. Stamm (2008), Breakthrough? Chinas and
Indias Transition from Production to Innovation, World Development, 36(2),
32544.
Bell, M. and K. Pavitt (1995), The Development of Technological Capabilities,
in Irfan ul Haque (ed.), Trade, Technology and International Competitiveness,
Washington, DC: World Bank, pp. 69101.
Chen, L. and P. De Lombaerde (2010), The Crisis in the U.S. and the Future of
29/01/2013 16:59
118
29/01/2013 16:59
6.
INTRODUCTION
Strategically located in Southeast Asia, in the midst of a most dynamic
economic region, Vietnam embarked on an ambitious economic reform
programme at the end of the 1980s. The reforms included foreign direct
investment (FDI) policies with the aim of promoting economic development through technological transfer and employment generation. Over the
past two decades, the country has achieved a most remarkable economic
development that has radically transformed the economic landscape. The
foreign invested sector has made substantial contributions to the average
GDP growth rates, which exceeded 7 per cent during the period. The
economic growth has been broad-based and has led to improved living
standards for large parts of the Vietnamese population of 89 million. The
nominal GDP per capita was recorded at less than USD 100 in the early
1990s, but Vietnam reached the status of a (lower) middle-income country
with a GDP per capita of USD 1000 in 2008. The Vietnamese government
aims to achieve the status of a modern and industrialized country by 2020.
This chapter first provides a brief outline of the theoretical underpinnings of industrial agglomerations and clusters and the potential role
of FDI in the transfer of technology in developing countries. The next
section presents an overview of the current status of FDI in Vietnam
and highlights the role of industrial enterprises in industrial zones (IZs)
in promoting manufacturing activities over time, followed by a detailed
examination of the technological content of FDI production during the
1990s. The subsequent sections examine changes in the size and structure
of manufacturing output and value-added, and an appraisal of the technological sophistication embodied in the foreign trade of manufactured
119
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120
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121
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122
80
1800
Approved capital
Disbursed capital
Number of projects
70
USD Billion
60
1600
1400
1200
50
1000
40
800
30
600
20
400
10
200
0
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
(prel.)
Source: GSO (2011) and FIA (2012).
Figure 6.1
an investment boom with high and sustained levels of GDP growth and
unprecedented FDI capital inflows (Figure 6.1). About three-quarters of the
total approved FDI capital and almost one-half of the total number of FIEs
have been approved and established since Vietnams entry to the WTO.
Foreign investors participate in all sectors of the Vietnamese economy,
although to different extents. The overwhelming majority of FIEs (7987
projects) and approved investment capital (USD 93 billion) has been
directed to manufacturing activities. Foreign investors have also made
substantial contributions to the development of the service sector in terms
of real estate developments and the hospitality business. Furthermore,
FDI has been instrumental in the development of the oil industry, whereas
activities in the agricultural sector, for example, have been modest.
The vast majority of FIEs in Vietnam have been established in the form
of wholly foreign-owned enterprises (10 592 projects), whereas the joint
venture mode of entry accounts for 2644 projects. Manufacturing FDI
was often subject to the mandatory joint venture form of investment in
the 1990s; however, such restrictions have since been relaxed and manufacturing activities are today typically performed by wholly foreign-owned
enterprises.
FDI has been sourced from more than 90 countries, though most
foreign investors and FDI capital originate from countries in East and
Southeast Asia, notably Singapore, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and
Hong Kong; there have also been rapidly increasing investments from
China in recent years. However, FDI capital from source countries in
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123
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124
Table 6.1
Number of industrial
zones
Total area (ha)
Enterprises by ownership:
Foreign invested
enterprises
Domestic enterprises
Registered investment
capital:
FDI (USD billion)
Domestic capital
(VND billion)
1995
2000
2005
2010
2011
12
65
131
267
283
300
2360
12 066
25 206
71 614
76 000
155
743
2120
3980
4113
50
500
2370
4380
4681
0
0
1.5
8.7
16.8
53.6
59.6
200 35 200 115 200 334 000
420 000
The total stock of approved FDI capital of the 4113 FIEs currently
located in IZs amounts to USD 59.6 billion,5 of which about 27.0 billion
(45 per cent) has been realized. The intended investment capital of domestic enterprises (4681) totals VND 420 000 billion (equivalent to approximately USD 20 billion), of which an estimated VND 200 000 billion (47.6
per cent, equivalent to USD 9.5 billion) has been disbursed. This yields an
average capital value of FIEs located in IZs more than three times larger
than the capital size of domestic enterprises (MPI, 2012, pp. 8ff).
In 2010, IZ enterprises provided employment for more than 1.6 million
workers, and recorded a turnover of almost USD 34 billion, of which the
turnover of FIEs comprised USD 31.5 billion. Most of the USD 19 billion
worth of goods exported from IZs is also attributed to FIEs as well as the
USD 18.5 billion worth of imports (World Bank, 2011, pp. 59f).
The IZ developments form an extensive network of manufacturing
agglomerations located in 58 of Vietnams 63 provinces6 with a major
concentration of IZs in the three KEAs, where 199 of the 267 approved
IZs were located in 2010 (Table 6.2). The three KEAs are economically the
most developed areas of Vietnam, offering favourable conditions in terms
of major urban areas providing access to labour, consumer markets and
sea freight trade. About three-quarters of the national total gross value
of industrial output (GVIO) in 2010 was derived from the three KEAs,
including important contributions to the gross value of manufacturing
output of foreign (and domestic) enterprises located in IZs within these
areas. In fact, the economic performance of the northern and southern
29/01/2013 16:59
Table 6.2
125
Geographical Area
Total
Key economic areas (KEAs)
of which
Northern KEA
Central KEA
Southern KEA
Outside KEAs
Number of
Industrial Zones
GVIO
(1994 constant VND, %)
267
199
52
23
124
68
24.0
5.4
44.8
25.8
Note: Total gross value of industrial output (GVIO) includes mining, manufacturing and
utilities.
Source: MPI (2012) and GSO (2011) (calculations by author).
KEAs, the manufacturing hubs of Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City with the
adjacent provinces, respectively, is outstanding and accounted for about
two-thirds of the total number of IZs and the total GVIO in 2010.
However, the development of IZs comes at a cost. In the fierce competition for the use of scarce land, larger tracts of agricultural land in
the vicinity of major urban centres have been converted to industrial use.
The zones have rapidly increased the local demand for electricity, water
and other utilities, and caused environmental concerns. The employment
opportunities in the zones have generated new migratory flows, requiring
improved social and physical infrastructure. The total area reserved for IZ
development is currently 76 000 ha, yielding an average size of 268 ha per
IZ. The IZ land area is planned to increase to 130 000 ha by 2015 and to
expand further to 200 000 ha by 2020 in order to provide space for a total
of around 500 approved and proposed IZ developments.
In fact, many of the currently planned IZ developments are not likely
to materialize, as this may lead to an oversupply of IZs similar to the
situation during the latter half of the 1990s in the aftermath of the Asian
financial crisis (Nestor, 2007, pp. 229ff). The current average occupancy
rate of prepared land for the industrial use of IZs in operation is about 65
per cent (MPI, 2012, p. 9), however, the ratio of leased areas to total areas
reserved for IZs is well below 50 per cent, suggesting that there are large
tracts of idle land yet to be developed, let alone tenants to be found. In
light of this, the Vietnamese Prime Minister recently issued instructions
for a temporary moratorium on the construction of new IZ developments
during 2012 pending a review of the situation of the existing IZs.7
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126
TECHNOLOGICAL CONTENTS OF
MANUFACTURING FDI
The Vietnamese government introduced legislation permitting FDI in
1988, aiming inter alia to advance the national level of technological
know-how. In support of this objective, a number of legislative acts have
been issued by the government over the years in order to promote and
facilitate the transfer of technology. The extent to which this major objective was achieved during the 1990s is assessed here based on data derived
from detailed records of all the licensed FDI projects in Vietnam during
the period 19882000 compiled by the author (Nestor, 2007).
The analyses of the technological content embodied in manufacturing
FDI result in classifications of low technology (LT), medium-low technology (MLT) and medium-high technology (MHT) projects. The categories
were formed by grouping the 2-digit International Standard Industrial
Classification (ISIC) Rev. 3 code (UN 1990) associated with each manufacturing FIE based on a classification schema applied by UNIDO (2011a)
(Table 6.3). The degree of technological intensity applied by FIEs provides
an indication of their inherent capability and potential for transfer of
technology and is here assessed in terms of location and source country.
A total of 2231 manufacturing FDI projects comprising USD 21.3
billion in registered investment capital were approved during the period
19882000. Foreign investors preferences for locating projects of different technological sophistication in one of the 53 IZs in operation in 2000
rather than at alternative sites elsewhere are examined in Table 6.4. In
total, more than one-third of manufacturing FIEs (759) and approved
capital (USD 7.3 billion) were located in IZs. Most projects and the
largest capital commitments in manufacturing activities were thus located
outside IZs.8 The general results indicate an investment pattern dominated
Table 6.3
Type of Activity
ISIC Division
1522, 36, 37
23, 2528, 351
24, 2935 (excluding 351)
Note: See UN (1990) for a complete list of ISIC Rev. 3 codes with explanatory notes.
Source: UNIDO (2011a).
29/01/2013 16:59
Table 6.4
127
Technological Intensity
Total
Low technology
Medium-low technology
Medium and high technology
Projects
Approvals
Projects
Approvals
Projects
Approvals
Projects
Approvals
Total
IZ
Non-IZ
2231
21 342
1186
8902
463
7034
582
5405
759
34.0
346
36.3
154
19.2
259
49.4
1472
66.0
840
63.7
309
80.8
323
50.6
Note: Data refer to the total number of manufacturing FIEs (ISIC D) licensed during the
period 19882000.
Source: MPI extended database (calculations by author).
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128
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238
270
615
149
330
213
103
313
2231
3046
2536
3853
953
3744
2562
1035
3612
21 342
Approvals
94
158
359
110
163
115
43
144
1186
Projects
377
1145
2263
758
1704
1096
305
1253
8902
Approvals
Low Technology
46
56
111
18
74
38
26
94
463
Projects
971
737
1110
92
1166
825
229
1905
7034
Approvals
Medium-low
Technology
Note: Data refer to the total number of manufacturing FIEs (ISIC D) licensed during the period 19882000.
Japan
South Korea
Taiwan
Hong Kong
ASEAN
West Europe
North America
Tax havens and others
Total
Projects
Total
98
56
145
21
93
60
34
75
582
Projects
1699
654
480
103
874
642
500
454
5405
Approvals
Approved capital in manufacturing FDI by technology intensity and major source countries, end 2000 (USD
million)
Country/Country
Groups
Table 6.5
129
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130
Table 6.6
Year
1995
2000
2005
2010
Technological Intensity
Total
Low technology
Medium-low technology
Medium and high technology
Total
Low technology
Medium-low technology
Medium and high technology
Total
Low technology
Medium-low technology
Medium and high technology
Total
Low technology
Medium-low technology
Medium and high technology
Total
83 261
52 520
19 467
11 273
158 098
88 200
43 043
26 856
351 685
184 236
104 270
63 179
722 222
351 552
238 614
132 056
Domestic Sector
SOE
PDS
52.1
49.9
53.1
60.8
42.7
44.7
39.8
40.6
30.7
31.1
31.5
28.1
18.8
14.7
26.0
16.4
29.8
33.3
30.4
12.1
27.2
32.7
26.5
10.3
33.2
39.3
33.9
14.2
38.4
48.1
36.4
16.3
FDI
18.1
16.8
16.4
27.2
30.1
22.5
33.7
49.2
36.1
29.5
34.6
57.7
42.8
37.2
37.5
67.3
Note: Classification of technological intensity based on ISIC Rev. 3 (19952000) and ISIC
Rev. 4 converted to ISIC Rev.3 (200510). See text for qualifications of data. SOE 5 stateowned enterprise; PDS 5 private domestic sector; FDI 5 foreign direct investment.
Source: GSO (2004 and 2011) (calculations by author).
MLT and MHT activities. Furthermore, the GVIO data indicate a general
shift over time from LT manufacturing to MLT and MHT activities in
the FDI sector and among SOEs as well, a trend that is less pronounced
among companies of the PDS.
Data on the manufacturing value-added (MVA), that is, the sum of the
gross output less the value of the intermediate inputs used in the production
of goods, are only available at the aggregate value of the entire manufacturing sector expressed in constant 2000 USD (World Bank, 2012). The MVA
is a measure of the national industrial capacity, a basic indicator of a countrys level of industrialization. The Vietnamese MVA developed in unison
with economic growth and recorded an impressive and consistent increase
during the period, from USD 3.5 billion in 1995 to USD 14.6 billion
in 2010. Adjusted for population size, the Vietnamese per capita MVA
increased from a mere USD 47 in 1995 to USD 180 in 2010 (Table 6.7).
29/01/2013 16:59
Table 6.7
Year
131
3.4
5.8
10.0
15.6
47
75
122
180
1995
2000
2005
2010
Source: World Bank (2012).
29/01/2013 16:59
132
Table 6.8
Year
200105
200610
10.4
4.5
22.2
11.1
55.8
31.0
73.1
2.5
9.5
12.5
2.4
69.7
5.1
11.0
11.7
2.5
60.3
7.1
13.7
14.5
4.4
200105
200610
12.3
9.3
26.0
19.0
68.4
48.0
25.0
15.6
24.9
33.3
1.3
23.1
16.7
27.7
31.0
1.6
18.2
18.1
29.6
32.7
1.4
Note: Degree of manufacturing refers to SITC 5 to 8 less 667 and 68. See
UNCTADSTAT (2011) for details of the composition of commodity groups. Reporter:
Vietnam (19962009) and UNCTAD estimates based on trade partner mirror statistics
(2010).
Source: UNCTADSTAT (2012) (calculations by author).
materials, parts and components used in FDI assembly of final goods for
exports or for sale on the domestic market.
The development of trade over the period 19962010 is shown in
Table6.8. The technological content of Vietnams foreign trade is based
on UNCTADSTATs (2011) application of the Standard International
Trade Classification (SITC) of goods in four categories by degree of
manufacturing in terms of skill and technological intensity, namely labourintensive and resource-based manufacturing and manufactures with low/
medium/high skill and technology intensity.
Manufactured exports grew faster than the total exports and the share
of manufactured goods in the total exports increased from an average of
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133
43.7 per cent in 19962000 to 56.6 per cent in 20062010. Though still
of the utmost importance for Vietnams exports, the share of labourintensive and resource-based manufactured exports recorded a decrease
from 73.1 per cent in the late 1990s to 60.3 per cent during 2006 to 2010.
Exports of goods involving different skill and technological intensity levels
increased over the period, during which the largest earnings were derived
from the export of manufactured goods of medium and high skill and
technology intensity.
Europe was the main export market for Vietnamese exports of manufactured goods during the latter half of the 1990s together with Japan,
Taiwan and ASEAN member countries. The export structure in terms
of the main trade partners changed over the next decade. The relative
importance of the EU diminished, whereas exports to the USA expanded
rapidly as a result of the bilateral trade agreement signed in 2001. By 2010,
the USA absorbed more than 30 per cent of Vietnamese manufactured
exports, including 43 per cent of labour-intensive and resource-based
products.
Manufactured imports grew at a slightly slower rate compared with the
total imports and the share of manufactured goods in the total imports
decreased from 75.3 per cent to 70.2 per cent during the period examined.
The structure of imports in terms of skills and technological intensity is
more equally distributed among the four categories. Similarly to exports,
the labour-intensive and resource-based manufactured imports decreased
over time, from 25.0 per cent in 19962000 to 18.2 per cent in 20062010.
Manufacturing with low and medium skill and technological intensity
increased over time. The largest expenses were generated by imports of
manufactured goods characterized by high skill and technological intensity, that is, the kind of goods that to a large extent is not produced in
Vietnam. The share of this category remained at the same level of about
one-third of the total imports over the period.
Japan and the EU were the main source countries of medium and high
skill and technological intensity merchandise in the late 1990s, together
with important contributions of imports from South Korea, Taiwan and
Singapore. However, the import structure has changed during the last
decade, with a marked decline in the import share from the EU and a rapid
increase in imports from China. In 2010, over 30 per cent of Vietnams
total manufactured imports were sourced from China, including similar
proportions of goods of medium and high skill and technological intensity.
Vietnams trade balance was negative and has increased over time
(Table 6.9). The trade surplus in labour-intensive and resource-based
manufacturing trade increased tenfold during the period 19952010,
reaching an average of USD 10.0 billion during the period 200610.
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Table 6.9
Year
Total trade balance
Manufactured goods trade balance
Trade balance by degree of manufacturing:
Labour-intensive and resource-based
Low skill and technology intensity
Medium skill and technology intensity
High skill and technology intensity
19962000
200105
200610
2.0
4.8
3.8
7.9
12.6
17.0
1.0
1.3
1.9
2.5
3.4
2.6
4.0
4.6
10.0
6.5
9.9
11.2
However, this surplus did not cover the deficit in trade of manufactured
goods of a higher order of skills and technological intensity, producing an
average annual deficit of USD 17 billion over the period 200610.
In sum, Vietnams foreign trade is characterized by two major developments over the last decade: the rise of two new major trade partners the
USA in terms of a key export partner and China as the largest supplier
of imported manufactured products including higher order technological goods. Vietnam recorded a surplus in trade of labour-intensive and
resource-based manufactured goods, of which a large share was exported
to the USA. Many of Vietnams imports of manufactured goods of different levels of skill and technological sophistication previously sourced from
Europe, Japan and the emerging economies in East Asia are now increasingly supplied by China. The expanded trade with China has resulted in a
rapidly increasing trade deficit. An important share of the manufactured
imports consists of various inputs such as parts and components used
in FDI assembly of final goods for exports or for sale on the domestic
market, indicating the incorporation of Vietnam by FIEs into regional
production networks. This type of production has rapidly developed in
recent years, since Vietnams entry to the WTO, and is likely to continue
to increase in the future.
CONCLUDING DISCUSSION
The FDI-driven economic development of Vietnam has transformed the
country from a predominantly agrarian-based society to an increasingly
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A recent survey covering 1970 FIEs, of which 866 are located in IZs,
indicates the limited links to local suppliers. Only about 40 per cent of the
intermediate inputs were sourced from the domestic market, mainly from
other FIEs and SOEs (VNCI, 2012, p. 49).
A growing body of studies examining the impact of FDI on the
Vietnamese economic development over the last decade confirms the positive but limited contribution of FDI to technology transfer.10 The positive
spillover effects are mainly confined to backward vertical linkages, that
is, FDI-induced transfer of technology through interaction with domestic
suppliers. In terms of horizontal spillover effects, positive demonstration
effects are more than offset by the increased competitive pressures on
domestic enterprises exercised by FIEs. Spillover effects of the transfer
of technology from FIEs have been hampered by the limited absorptive
capacity of domestic enterprises (Anwar and Nguyen, 2010, pp. 564f; Le
and Pomfret, 2011, p. 198).
This indicates that the efforts made by the Vietnamese government
over the years to encourage and facilitate the transfer of technology from
FIEs to domestic enterprises, for example by providing fiscal incentives,
have not produced the desired results. However, the importance of the
apparently limited levels of technology transferred by FIEs should not
be underrated. Even though the most recent technology has generally
not been applied in FIE undertakings in Vietnam, the machinery and
equipment used are often of a more recent vintage than the existing stock
in Vietnamese domestic companies (Nestor, 2007, p. 127). In addition,
foreign invested manufacturing has generated a large number of employment opportunities whereby IZs provide direct and indirect employment
to millions of Vietnamese workers exposed to the different production
methods and comparatively modern machinery and equipment of FIEs.
In sum, the Vietnamese governments objective of promoting economic
development by means of FDI has mainly been achieved in terms of
employment generation and only partially fulfilled as regards the transfer
of technology.
The manufacturing sector has been at the core of Vietnams impressive economic growth over the last two decades and will be of the
utmost importance for future economic development. To date, Vietnam
has largely been used by foreign investors as a location for low-cost
export-oriented manufacturing. In order to sustain the current degree
of economic growth and reach the next level of economic development,
Vietnam needs to develop higher value-added manufacturing. The current
comparative advantage of an abundant supply of low-cost labour is being
eroded over time as Vietnam meets increasing competition from other
developing countries in the region. Despite the progress made in recent
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governments intention to achieve the status of a modern and industrialized country by 2020 may be realized.
NOTES
1.
See, for example, Kuchiki and Tsuji (2005), Yusuf et al. (2008) and Ganne and Lecler
(2009) for an overview of the development of FDI and industrial agglomerations and
clusters in Asia in general, and Kuroiwa and Toh (2008) and Kuroiwa (2009) for a discussion regarding Southeast Asia and Vietnam specifically.
2. This amount excludes USD 38 billion in registered capital of 2 048 FDI projects that
have been revoked or have expired over time.
3. FDI capital values in Vietnam typically represent an all-inclusive concept that deviates
from the IMF/OECD standard definition based on a balance of payment concept (see
Freeman and Nestor, 2004 and Nestor, 2008 for a detailed discussion of Vietnamese
FDI data sources and discrepancies).
4. The total number of IZs includes three export processing zones (EPZs) and two hi-tech
zones (HTZs). Since the uniform investment law was introduced in 2005 and Vietnams
admission to the WTO, there is today little difference between IZs and EPZs. Both
HTZs are under development and have relatively few tenants, especially FIEs. All three
types of zones are here referred to as IZs.
5. FIEs located in IZs represented 51.5 per cent of the total number of FIEs in manufacturing and 64.0 per cent of the total registered capital in manufacturing activities in
Vietnam by 2011.
6. See MPI (2009) for maps indicating the location of approved IZs.
7. Prime Minister instruction 07/CT-TTg, dated 2 March 2012.
8. The distributional pattern of FIEs in IZ/non-IZ locations needs to be considered in
the concurrent context: IZs were a relatively new phenomenon at the time and did not
turn into an immediate success in terms of locational attractiveness. Furthermore,
many IZs only became operational during the latter half of the decade, that is, during
and after the Asian financial crisis in 199798. Most importantly, FDI in a number of
manufacturing activities was at the time only permitted in the form of joint ventures
with domestic companies. Considering the nascent nature of the private domestic
sector in Vietnam during the 1990s, foreign investors were in practice compelled
to form joint ventures with state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and typically located
production in the existing premises of the SOEs, that is, outside IZs (Nestor, 2007,
pp. 289f).
9. GVIO data are only available at the ISIC 2-digit level. The entire ISIC 35 division is
here conservatively classified in the MLT group rather than the MHT group.
10. See UNIDO/MPI (forthcoming) for a comprehensive review of such studies.
REFERENCES
Anwar, S. and P.L. Nguyen (2010), Absorptive Capacity, Foreign Direct
Investment-linked Spillovers and Economic Growth in Vietnam, Asian Business
& Management, 9(4), 55370.
Coniglio, N., F. Rota and G. Viesti (2011), Promoting Industrial Clusters in
Vietnam, Bari (Italy): CERPEM/UNIDO.
FIA (2012), Tinh hinh dau tu truc tiep nuoc ngoai 12 thang nam 2011 [The
Situation of Foreign Direct Investment in 2011], Foreign Investment Agency,
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7.
INTRODUCTION
Discussions occur regularly on the possible advantages of different kinds
of industries and their influence or importance as creators of employment
and economic development. Included in the question at hand are the possible spillover effects in specific industries, mostly high-tech industries
(Eriksson, 2000). High-technology sectors are frequently cited objectives
of regional development policy. High-technology industries are both misunderstood and overrated, although at the same time they are the most
probable source of innovations, of successful entrepreneurs, of new firms
and of new industries (Malecki, 1997).
Pavitt (1990) argues that distinct modes of innovation can be observed
across four sectors: science-based, scale-intensive, information-intensive
and specialized supplier-dominated. Nelson and Rosenberg (1993) point
out the differences between complex systems and other commodities
such as chemicals and bulk commodities such as steel. In contrast to
commodity goods, complex product systems are large customized engineering goods that are seldom, if ever, mass produced (Miller et al., 1995).
Examples include aeroplanes, flexible manufacturing systems, flight simulators, telecommunication systems, chemical process plants and nuclear
power plants.
The product characteristics of complex system industries differ substantially to mass production goods, implying distinctive forms of innovation
and organization. They embody at least three general characteristics: first,
they are made up of many interconnected, often customized, elements
(including control units, sub-systems and components), usually organized
in a hierarchical way; second, complex systems exhibit non-linear and
continuously emerging properties, where small changes in one part of
the system can lead to large alterations in other parts of the system; and
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The unrelenting pace of technology change and fierce capitalist competition pose great dilemmas for those who have ambitions to enter global
markets. While some industries and products are somewhat sheltered from
continuous products innovation (Storper, 1992), no sector is immune
from the technology-derived standards of quality and price that are set by
world-class firms (Malecki, 1997).
Advanced R&D is generally seen as activities dominated by advanced
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industrialized nations. Catching up and overtaking established technological leaders poses formidable problems for imitators and aspirants of
leadership, since they must aim at a moving target. It is no use simply
importing todays technology from leading countries, for by the time it
has been introduced and assimilated the leaders have moved on (Freeman,
1988, p. 73).
The aircraft industry is characterized by complex high value-added
products in relatively small quantities, produced by relatively few players.
Products have long development periods, that is, extremely long product
life cycles and high development costs. The industry is also characterized
by volatile markets with orders affected by a variety of financial and
political factors. These high technology requirements necessitate a high
level of R&D. In no other industry is there more of an interdependence
and cross-fertilization of advanced technology than in the aerospace
sector. Consequently, most of the worlds large aerospace companies are
located in advanced economies, but to an increasing degree in developing and newly industrializing economies as well (Eriksson, 1995; Vrtesy,
2011).
The extremely high developments costs and high technology requirements of advanced aircraft has also forced leading Western companies
to cooperate in alliances and partnerships, that is, risk/revenue sharing
(Eriksson, 2000). Developing countries entering this kind of industry have
an extremely demanding task of trying to compete with the leading companies in the international arena because of a lack of technical and technological competence, industrial infrastructure as well as financial resources.
The technology used in modern aircraft is extremely demanding because
of the high levels of functional performance, reliability, safety and efficiency required at a system level. Much of the expenditure on developing a
new aeroplane is spent on integrating numerous technologies and systems
with origins from various fields and industries such as metallurgy, composites, electronics, hydraulics and petroleum. These extremely high technological requirements, rising development costs and too many system
integrators have, in recent decades, escalated merger activities and a
weeding out of companies in the aircraft industry sector (Eriksson, 2010).
For economic, technological, political and prestige reasons, many
developing countries have tried to build up an internationally competitive
aircraft industry (Eriksson, 1995), but very few have succeeded (Eriksson,
2006). One exception is the Brazilian manufacturer Embraer, which has
developed into one of the worlds main commercial aircraft manufacturers. From being a main producer of turboprop aircraft, it has now developed into one of the leading manufacturers of regional jets in the 50- to
110-passenger capacity range. Most other developing economies have not
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(199899). During Suhartos rule, the Indonesian government was characterized by two distinct and competing groups of economic advisers:
the technocrats and a diverse group of economic nationalists. While the
technocrats were strongly committed to markets and competition, the
nationalists had reservations about free market ideology and pressed for
active government intervention in market behaviour as well as regulation.
The most forceful exponent of the nationalist view was the architect of
Indonesias high-technology strategy, namely Habibie.
According to Habibie, Indonesia could never catch up economically
with industrialized nations without a strong government-led push to
support a self-sustaining high-tech manufacturing base. Believing that
Indonesias present export of natural resources and textiles, clothing and
footwear only had a limited lifespan, Habibie saw Indonesias future competitive advantage in value-added high technology and in the upgrading of
human resources. He believed that Indonesia must focus on the competitive advantages that only technology can provide rather than relying on
its traditional and comparative advantages of abundant land and labour
(Smith, 1998).
Habibies focus on high technology earned him plenty of criticism at
home and abroad. The major arguments against his ideas concerned their
limited effects on the economy as a whole. The technocrats questioned
the economic validity of high-technology production in a labour surplus
economy. There were also fears about the establishment of economic and
technological enclaves with very limited links to the rest of society. Other
critics argued that Habibies approach was costly for the economy, implying that the high-technology strategy drained money that could have been
used for more productive purposes (Kompas, 4 March 1993).
The majority of Indonesian state-owned industries operate in
government-protected markets. The performance of these industries has
been low, which is particularly alarming since many of them are labelled as
strategic industries (Soedarsono et al., 1998). The return on assets of stateowned industries under the Agency of Strategic Industry Management
was only 1.7 per cent (SWA Sembada, 1993). In the Indonesian periodical
Warta Ekonomi (1994), a study showed that these strategic industries had
a low performance compared with other state-owned industries.
This general poor performance has continued to characterize stateowned industries. The Ministry of State-owned Enterprises (2006)
reported that only 74 of 158 such enterprises in 2004 generated a profit
and were able to provide a dividend. Between 1992 and 2004, return on
assets averaged only 2 per cent and return of equity 8 per cent, implying
the poor management of government-owned companies (Djajanto and
Rosdaniah, 2006).
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ESTABLISHMENT OF IPTN
The city of Bandung, about 200 km southeast of Jakarta, is the capital
of Indonesias emerging aircraft industry. In Bandung lie the headquarters and facilities of PT Dirgantara/Indonesian Aerospace (IAe). The
company was established in 1976 under the name PT Pesawat Terbang
Nurtanio (Nurtanio Aircraft Industry Ltd) but changed its name in 1985
to Industri Pesawat Terbang Nusantara, or IPTN.
In August 2000, its name was once again changed to PT Industri
Dirgantara for domestic use and Indonesian Aerospace (IAe) as its global
identity. The name IPTN is used in this study. The company is one of the
indigenous aerospace companies in Asia with core competence in aircraft
design and the development and manufacturing of commuter aircraft.
The creation of IPTN was, to a large extent, the work of Habibie. For
about ten years from 1965, Habibie worked for Hamburger Flugzeugbau
(HFB) and Messerschmitt-Blkow-Blohm (MBB). His last position there
was as Vice-President and Director of the application of technology, with
some 7000 employees under his direction.
It is obvious that Habibie, many years before the creation of IPTN,
had started thinking of creating an aircraft industry in Indonesia. In
the 1960s he had already started to invite Indonesian engineers to work
with him at HFB. When Habibie went to Indonesia for a sales mission
in 1969, he arranged an informal meeting at Hotel Indonesia in Jakarta
to discuss the creation of an aircraft industry. Around 20 engineers, all
graduates of European schools, came to this meeting. Four of these joined
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International
utilization of business
Increasing company assets
Financial profit
Employee prosperity
IPTNs role
Utilization of the
development of technology
Influencing the
national
development
Preparing the
industrial era
Mastering technology
Increasing national capability
3
Utilization on national
economy
Creating added value
Making other industries
grow (state owned
company or private)
Source: Information from IPTN during a visit in August 1990, published in Eriksson
(1995).
Figure 7.1
We are condemned to aviation there is no other way. As we have to use aircraft for essential communications, why not build them on our own rather than
buy them.
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Another feature of Habibies approach relates to its intellectual foundations. Rice (1998) considers that Habibie was one of the few members of
Indonesian cabinets with a coherent and internally consistent approach to
his portfolio. According to Rice, some of his basic tenets were intellectually
respectable, including the promotion of human resources development,
the role of S&T institutions, market failure in the operation of technology
markets and a stages approach to technological development. Habibie
also shared some of the views expressed by the Harvard professor Michael
Porter (1990).
Habibies model of development rejected orthodox economic
approacheswith their emphasis on cost/benefit analysis and comparative
advantage. Instead, he proposed a measure defined as national performance productivity, which corresponds to a ratio of value-added to the value
of intermediate inputs used in the production process. Habibies approach
largely depends on guiding principles such as a strong education base and
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A danger with this is that it is easy to forget that managerial capability and
managing the whole project is an indispensable ingredient in technological
development:
The neglect of managerial know-how results in part from a bias at work in
the way policy makers in most countries (not only Indonesia) think about
innovation, technology transfer, and technological development. Most are
preoccupied with the tangible indicators of technological advance the number
of scientists and engineers, licensing agreements, new industries established
rather than coupling them with considerations about what it takes to be
commercially viable, even in the long run. As a consequence, the softer and
less glamorous managerial skills associated with coordination, marketing,
after-sales service, personal management, pricing, scheduling and inventory
control are neglected. (McKendrick, 1992, p. 65)
During a visit to IPTNs facilities in August 1993, the author was told that
Habibie could decide on his own what kinds of aircraft were to be bought
by various Indonesian airlines. Additional policy tools to assist IPTNs
development included an import ban on competing aircraft, exemption from government policies directing state enterprises to buy domestic inputs and considerable discretionary authority granted to Habibie
(McKendrick, 1992, p. 42).
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Implementation of Phase 1
To fulfil the goals set up and to develop skills in aircraft production,
emerging countries are dependent on technology transfer from foreign aircraft manufacturing companies. There are many ways to carry out a technology transfer programme. The development of an indigenous aircraft
industry must be based on a gradual approach. In this way, it will be possible to establish different measures for learning and abilities, which, in the
most successful cases, will lead to an ability to develop and manufacture
aircraft indigenously.
Instead of starting a technology learning process with a gradual
approach, through component manufacture and different levels of
maintenance competence, Indonesia directly went into the full assembly
and manufacture of aircraft. In its efforts to establish an indigenous
aircraft industry with a far-reaching ability, with the intentions to
design, develop and manufacture whole aircraft, IPTN followed a
four-phase scheme for the transfer of aircraft manufacture technology
(Figure 7.2).
Licence Programme (Phase 1)
Initially, IPTN adopted the so-called Progressive Manufacturing
Programme (PMP), which is characterized by two concepts: first that the
transfer of technology concerning a certain type of aircraft made by IPTN
under licence is not planned according to the duration of the licence agreement, but to the number of aircraft built, and second that the process by
which IPTN manufactures the aircraft starts from the end and finishes at
the beginning.
The PMP acts in the following way: it starts with a finished aircraft
from the manufacturer (as an example CASA) and then disassembles it to
see how it works, reassembles and then flies it. The next aircraft from the
manufacturer is taken in an unassembled condition and then put together.
The assembly process is continued with subsequent aircraft with the incorporation of simple parts at first, then gradually increasing the complexity
and use of locally produced components (Figure 7.3).
The first licence agreements were the Spanish CASA 212 Aviocar, a
STOL light transport aircraft, and the German MBB Bo 105 helicopter.
Work on these two aircraft started in 1976.
Later, Nurtanio/IPTN obtained a licence to build a number of
Arospatiale SA 330 Puma helicopters for the Indonesian market. The
production of this functioned as a learning programme for the bigger,
more modern and more complicated SA 332 Super Puma.
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Phase 2
Technology Integration
(Joint-venture programme)
1) Material development
Composite
Conventional metal
New metal
2) Development of the N-250
Phase 3
Development of New
Technology (Development
programme)
Phase 4
Implementation of Research &
Development of future
technology
Based on information from a visit to IPTN, August 1990, published in Eriksson (1995).
Figure 7.2
Source:
1) Assembly/Manufacture of
NBO-105 (Cooperation with
MBB, W.-Germ.)
2) Assembly/Manufacture of
NSA-330 and NAS-332 (Cooperation with Aropatiale,
France)
3) Assembly/Manufacture of
NBELL-412
(Cooperation with
Bell Helicopter USA)
4) Assembly/Manufacture
of NC-212 (Cooperation with
CASA, Spain)
Phase 1
Utilization of Existing
Technology (Licence Programme)
1) Politics
2) Economy & Technology
153
CASA
IPTN
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1978
Source:
1981
1983
1987
Figure 7.3
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reason for this was that the design had a rear ventral door and sponsonmounted main undercarriage and shoulder-mounted wings. The aircraft
was also planned to carry four LD-3 containers or a pair of 88-inch cargo
pallets. A single management company, Air Technology Industries, was
set up in Madrid in 1979, with Habibie as president. Design studies started
in 1980 and prototype construction the year after. Simultaneous roll-outs
were made in September 1983, and the first IPTN delivery was in 1986.
Assembly lines were set up in Bandung and Spain.
IPTN entered into a new kind of relationship with CASA, as the
CN-235 was a new risk-sharing joint venture. This programme was critical to IPTN as success implied that the company could be looked upon as
an internationally recognized aircraft manufacturer. From a comparative
perspective, the company had in a relatively short period moved from kit
assembly to be engaged, on a joint basis, in the design of a larger and much
more advanced aircraft.
The work-sharing agreement between the two companies was as follows:
IPTN was responsible for the production of the main components of the
tail unit (horizontal stabilizer, vertical stabilizer and rudder) and outer
wing, outboard flap, aileron and door. CASA has responsibility for the
production of the centre wing and power plant, inner flap, main and nose
landing gear and nose fuselage. As for the production and assembly of the
fuselage, the centre and rear fuselage was the responsibility of each of the
companies.
Until 1995, a major stumbling block for sales of the IPTN-built version
of the CN-235 was its lack of an internationally recognized certificate of
airworthiness. The company was finally granted Joint Aviation Rules Part
25 by the European Joint Aviation Authorities in 1995, but not before
CASA had virtually cleaned up on the export front with its own FAAcertified CN-235.
Until 2001, about 35 CN-235s were produced in Indonesia. During the
next ten years, up to early 2011, 22 more were manufactured, implying a
total of 57 aircraft. This is a very small number of aircraft produced from
an international perspective and far from break even.
Around 250 CN-235s were manufactured, most at CASAs (now EADS)
Spanish assembly line in Seville. Fifty aircraft were manufactured under
licence by Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI) under an agreement signed
between CASA and TAI. These aircraft were produced and delivered to
the Turkish Air Force between 1991 and 1998.
One way to increase Indonesian orders for the CN-235 was to force a
number of these aircraft onto the Indonesian Merpati Airlines, but to be
able to carry through this task some political measures had to be taken.
During the autumn of 1995, the Indonesian transportation minister,
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From a very early phase of the project, Habibie had already started to
talk about establishing overseas production, that is, a second production
line, for the N-250. This would be one way to stimulate sales in the large
US market. Although the US is the worlds dominating aircraft manufacturing country, it lacked a manufacturer in the 6468-seater range:
IPTN chairman Dr. Bacharrudin Habibie is to visit the USA in May to look at
potential sites in three states Arkansas, Arizona, and Utah. He says that a US
operation would be necessary to supply the North American market. Habibie
says that overseas production of the N-250 is part of IPTNs long-term strategic vision, stretching over 15 to 20 years, and would be in addition to domestic
production for the captive market of up to 400 N-250 sales which are forecast
within Indonesia. (Flight International, 28 March 1994, p. 16)
In 1995, IPTN was to decide on the location of its probable US plant. The
alternatives were the former Pacific Aircraft Maintenance site at Portland
International Airport as well as sites outside Mobile in Alabama and
Phoenix, Arizona (letter from IPTN). Later that year, the company was
proceeding with plans to assemble the N-250 in Mobile, Alabama, from
1997 onwards. IPTN intended to hold a 40 per cent stake in American
Regional Aircraft Industries and aimed to attract local investors to take
the remaining 60 per cent stake in the $100 million joint venture (Flight
International, 1319 December 1995, p. 11).
At the Asian Aerospace exhibition at Changi, Singapore, in 1990,
Habibie told the press that IPTN had a letter of intent with the Swedish
aircraft leasing firm FFV for the latters purchase of 24 N-250s (Press
Conference, 15 February, 1990). In fact, FFV was a large maintenance
and repair company and had not been involved in aircraft leasing,
although there were plans to start such activities. Thus, this information
was a pure lie in front of the press.
IPTN also released false and fictitious information on many occasions,
such as claiming that the N-250 had been launched with letters of intent
from two of Indonesias domestic airlines, Merpati and Bouraq, for 127
aircraft (Flight International, 2228 January 1992, p. 5).
At the Asian Aerospace exhibition in February 1996, IPTN announced
that the company had received 204 orders and options for the N-250 (Press
Release from IPTN). This covered 100 units placed by Merpati, 16 units
by Sempati, 64 units by Bouraq, ten units by Gulfstream from the USA
and four units by Colombia, with the rest by European leasing companies.
This huge number for Merpati was mentioned even though it lost 130
billion rupiah ($53.5 million) in 1996, on top of its losses of 133 billion
rupiah in 1995. At the end of 1996, the airline was saddled with 600 billion
rupiah of debts.
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Turning to business, Habibie said that the N2130, which was scheduled to
enter the market in the year 2006, would be founded totally by Indonesia.
There were no worries about demand he said. Indonesia, with a population of nearly 200 million, has a big domestic market (ibid.).
A special company, PT Dua Satu Tiga Puluh, was founded to function
as IPTNs fund-raising agency for the N-2130. The project continued for
some years, including wind-tunnel testing and some work on a prototype,
but in late 1999 it was officially dismissed and the project closed down.
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Eurocopter chose the Indonesian company as its main supplier for the
latest version of the Super Puma family of helicopters (EC725/EC225).
This includes main airframe parts, including 125 sets of the tail boom and
fuselage. Deliveries will take place between 2011 and 2020.
In the 1980s, IPTN signed an agreement with the US engine manufacturer General Electric for assistance to establish a maintenance centre for
repairing and overhauling aero-engines. The company also had ambitions
to become a producer of aero-engine parts, but these hopes never came to
fruition.
The company is also engaged in various maintenance, repair and overhaul services, both for its own produced aircraft and for different kinds
of aircraft for various domestic and international operators. One way
to create additional revenues is to carry out various kinds of engineering
services to non-aeronautical companies.
Between August 1990 and September 2001, a large number of discussions were carried out with staff at IPTN, researchers at the Institut
Teknologi Bandung, local administrators and business people about the
possible spillover effects from IPTN/IAe activities. The overall impression was that local effects were very limited. This is supported by Sutanto
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CONCLUSION
The creation of IPTN is an example of how one influential person, in
conjunction with the state, can play an important role in the establishment
and location of high-tech aircraft production in a developing country.
This gigantic project, the largest and most ambitious investment made by
the Indonesian government to promote technology development in the
country, was largely the work of Habibie, although with strong and direct
support by the former President Suharto.
In the early phase of the development process, the project was justified
by its role of spearhead, leading Indonesias drive to broaden its technological base and expand its level of industrialization over the next few
decades. Without doubt, one important reason behind the establishment
of IPTN, although never put into words, was national prestige.
From the very beginning, a strategy for the development of technology
transfer and manufacturing was initiated through the PMP. It seems that
phase 1 of the PMP worked rather well as a learning process and as a way
to establish appropriate technology at an early stage of the development.
A more complicated task was phase 2, namely the transfer and build-up
of aircraft technology. The company entered this phase when it was just in
its third year of operation. This was the CN-235 joint venture programme
with CASA, which from an Indonesian perspective was unsuccessful
because of the limited number of aircraft manufactured in Bandung. A
major hurdle was acquiring an internationally recognized certificate of
airworthiness.
The Indonesian manufacturer had big problems entering the international market. In a few cases they succeeded with the help of barter trade.
However, the company lacked experience in sales and marketing such
advanced products. It seems that the business side of the coin was never
carefully prepared. An underlying thought was perhaps that the large
domestic market, and an extrapolation of the long-term growth rates of
the Indonesian economy, supported with government orders, were sufficient to support the Indonesian aerospace industry.
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A main factor for the long-term failure is the way to look at the companys development, focusing only on technology itself, with very little
thought on the less glamorous business, management and marketing side.
An overall lack of management has been a major hurdle, because managerial competence has to interact with technological competence.
Another obvious conclusion is that after the second phase of technology development, the company decided to go ahead with phase 3 without
enough orders and with problems with certification. The decision to start
the third stage seemed to be taken only for reasons of national and personal prestige. IPTN had no real customers despite claims of more than
200 aircraft on order and options. Altogether, 180 of these were orders
and options from domestic carriers with no real possibility to receive, or
finance, such a large number of aircraft.
The first two steps were built on technology transfer from established
foreign companies. During the second phase, the company could rely
on cooperation with CASA, thus sharing costs and technology support
from one of Europes main aerospace companies. When moving into
the third phase, the company decided to go alone, which must have
been rather complicated. This strategy is in contrast to the rest of the
international aerospace industry, which has increased co-financing,
cooperation and work sharing in the development and manufacturing
of aircraft.
For instance, the company decided to go alone on the N-250 but not
until the projects entered a technological and financial crisis did they
try to get foreign investors into the project. In a statement by Habibie
in 1992 about the creation of an aircraft industry in Indonesia, he says,
Its not a matter of capital, its matter of know-how. In fact, as shown
in this case, capital is a very important matter, along with many other
elements if successful development should take place. Owing to the
circumstances, the fourth phase of technology development was never
entered into.
One obvious failure, from a long-term perspective, is that IPTN failed
to receive any launch orders from established airlines abroad to secure
production and valuable business practices. Although the company has
focused on technology, it has not had the resources to be a technology
leader and it has had the demanding task of trying to compete with leading
companies in the international arena, that is, to aim at moving targets.
Despite its know-how and impressive technology resources, the
company is struggling to right itself as state funding has been forced
away and it still faces the challenge of defining its own raison dtre,
apart from the political motivation of national prestige. The economic
and political crises of the late 1990s worsened the situation for IPTN/
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162
IAe. Since then, the company has struggled to stay afloat mainly by
keeping its lines from licence production and international subcontracting work going.
What can be learnt from the Indonesia case? The development of an
international competitive aircraft industry is much more complicated than
anticipated and the creation of this company seems more of a technonationalist dream than one based on realistic economic and science-based
foundations and theories. The experiences from Indonesia are a failing
argument to create this kind of industry for the purpose of economic and
industrial development.
The country cannot support this kind of industry. The general level
of the technological, human knowledge and R&D resources needed for
the advanced aircraft industry was not met because of a lack of business
practices. A weak industrial base meant problems providing components
and other services. A huge supporting infrastructure of suppliers, service
firms, and strong universities is needed as well as large and solid financial
resources. The entry barriers in this industry are extremely high and they
have increased in the past few decades. Furthermore, it seems that IPTN/
Indonesian Aerospace has become an industrial enclave with little, if any,
connections to the rest of the economy.
REFERENCES
Asian Airlines & Aerospace (1996), January.
Aviation Week & Space Technology (1995), 11 December.
Bailey, J. (1992), Habibies Grand Design, Flight International, 1925 February,
5155.
Borsuk, R. (1995), Suharto Pushes Plan to Build Jet in Indonesia, Asian Wall
Street Journal, 1112 August.
Davidson, B. (1981), PT Nurtanio: The Rising Star of the Orient, Interavia No.
12, 12369.
Djajanto, P. and Rosdaniah, S. (2006), The State-owned Enterprises Reform
in Indonesia, paper presented at a seminar on Improving Governance of
Public Sector Enterprise, Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo, 48
September.
Elson, B.M. (1983), Nurtanio Leads Industrial Modernization, Aviation Week &
Space Technology, 26 December.
Eriksson, S. (1995), Global Shift in the Aircraft Industry: A Study of Airframe
Manufacturing with Special Reference to the Asian NIEs, publication edited
by the Departments of Geography, University of Gothenburg, Series B,
No.86.
Eriksson, S. (2000), Technology Spillover from the Aircraft Industry: The Case of
Volvo Aero, Technovation, 20(12) 65364.
Eriksson, S. (2006), Cluster Creation and Innovation Within an Emerging
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163
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164
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8.
INTRODUCTION
The Peoples Republic of China came into being in 1949 and after nearly
three decades of self-reliance, Deng Xiaoping emerged as leader following
Maos death in 1976. It was under Dengs leadership that China began to
jettison the self-reliance policy of the previous 30 years and to make links
with the world economy. The pivotal year was 1979, when China began
its open-door policy based upon a carefully controlled trade and inward
investment strategy. This was set within the so-called four modernizations focusing on agriculture, industry, education and science/defence.
Since then, China has gone through three more decades of enormous
economic and industrial development. In many industries, especially those
that are labour-intensive, China is the dominant global producer force in
low-tech manufacturing, but it is actively moving into areas where technology plays an important role and where labour is not the dominant cost
factor.
Chinas impressive industrial development during the past 30 years
has been dependent on the foreign transfer of technology, management
skills and other kinds of knowledge. From an adoption perspective, that
is, absorb, generate and disperse technological competence, two main
types of theories can be identified (Nelson and Pack, 1999): neoclassical accumulation theories that focus on the role of physical and capital
investments and assimilation theories that use more evolutionary views
and explicitly stress learning in adapting and operating foreign technologies. Learning is characterized by externalities, spillovers and exchanges
of information and skills by persons within a firm, organization or other
networks (Lall, 2000).
165
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166
In the 1980s and 1990s, the Chinese government had already stated that
commercial aircraft production would be an important industry in the new
stages of economic and industrial growth (Eriksson, 1995). The government also expressed its interest and ambition to develop aircraft-related
clusters based on old locations as well as to create new ones.
In general, most clusters are the outcome of historical processes of
cumulative path-dependent growth processes, while some are creations of
regional or national polices in which governments have taken a prominent
role in promoting economic growth and the development of industries.
However, although most of the cluster literature maintains the
importance of local knowledge and spillovers as key drivers of cluster
development, globalization processes and the international dispersion
of industrial activities has led to the need to focus more on the role and
importance of external linkages (Breschi and Lissoni, 2001).
Bathelt et al. (2004) question the view that tacit knowledge transfer
is confined to local milieus, whereas codified knowledge may roam the
globe almost frictionless. They highlight the conditions under which both
tacit and codified knowledge can be exchanged locally and globally. This
implies that successful clusters are those that are able to build and maintain a variety of channels, labelled global pipelines, for the exchange of
knowledge among various industries and locations around the world.
However, the role of external linkages is not new. Sweeney (1987) states
that the level of innovativeness in an area depends on the degree to which
firms are linked to both local networks of suppliers and external global
markets. The combination of the sophisticated needs of customers and
technical expertise by suppliers leads to mutually supportive interactions
(De Bresson, 1989). In general, there is a need to broaden the research
agenda regarding clusters by looking into dimensions such as changes over
time, technology transfer and supply chains (Eriksson, 2011b).
Owing to their local and global connections, some local firms are able
to absorb non-local knowledge and transmit it into firms or clusters
(Owen-Smith and Powell, 2004). This seems to be the case in some hightechnology industries such as the biotechnology and aerospace industries
(Biggiero and Sammarra, 2010). The structure seems to conceal globalization and regionalization through a small number of connections, that is,
the local dimension is connected globally through bridge firms.
Eriksson (2000) shows that within Volvo Aero, the Swedish aero-engine
producer, the global supply chain acts as a source of spillover and innovation that creates direct and indirect technology diffusion internally as well
as externally. The latter aim at networks with universities, international
collaborative partners and so on. Niosi and Zhegu (2005) conclude that
supply chain management is the vehicle of knowledge spillover in the
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Furthermore, Taiwans industrial capacity had limited innovation capability in this industry and lacked the industrial infrastructure needed
to be able to create an internationally competitive commercial aircraft
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168
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At the beginning of the 1960s China set out to design its own aircraft,
necessarily based on available Soviet designs. This task, along with the
development of transport aircraft, became difficult with the onset of the
anti-technological Cultural Revolution in 1966. Only well-established aircraft programmes were able to continue through the ten years of turmoil.
The main strategy was to reverse-engineer foreign-developed aircraft and
give them Chinese designations (Eriksson, 1995).
With the end of the Cultural Revolution and the emergence of the new
leadership, China changed direction and adopted an open-door policy in
1979. During the time of the open-door policy, military aircraft production was cut back and the development of civil air transport emphasized
supporting the expected growth of Chinas economy, particularly its
tourism sector.
The seventh Five-Year Plan, which covered the period 198690, singled
out improvements to transport, particularly air transport, as a national
priority. This fact naturally stimulated the nations aircraft industry. The
establishment of a satisfactory air transport system was, and still is, vital
for the development of Chinas economy, and apart from Chinas own
industry, it gave great opportunities for foreign producers of aircraft and
equipment. China represented a great potential market with its large territory and enormous population (Eriksson, 1995). This can be exemplified
with the following quotation:
In the USA, the worlds most mature market, there were 1.7 airline trips per
head of population in 1990. The comparable figure for China is just 0.001 trips
per head. Boeing predicts that China will need US dollar 41 billion worth of
new aircraft by 2010, which would make it the worlds second largest market.
(Bailey, 1993)
One of the great problems for the Chinese industry, not only the aerospace industry, during the 1980s was the lack of the most sophisticated
technology. Another important problem was the lack of management
skills and methods. Until the late 1980s, China had manufactured thousands of aircraft, mainly military but also civil, most of them based on
old Soviet designs.1 A special case was when, in 1970, the local government of Shanghai and the Ministry of the Aerospace Industry decided
to launch the Y-10 commercial aircraft programme. This closely resembled the old US Boeing 707 and similarly was equipped with two Pratt
& Whitney JT3D turbofans. Only a few prototypes were built and it
is nowadays considered to be a pure reverse-engineered project that
became a failure.
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170
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172
In fact, the ARJ21 has the same cabin cross-section, nose profile and
tail as the US MD-80/90 aircraft (earlier licensed and manufactured in
Shanghai) that ceased production in 1999. Another technology input, not
widely known outside the core project team, is that Ukraines Antonov
supplied the ARJ21 with a new super-critical wing as well as integral
analysis of the construction strength. It also performed additional wind
tunnel testing (Antonov News, 2007).
In May 2000, the Brazilian aircraft manufacturing company Embraer
opened an office in Beijing, making it a base for increased cooperation and
sales in China. In 2000, Embraer received the first Chinese orders from
Sichuan Airlines (five ERJ-145 regional jets), followed by orders from
China Southern Airlines (20 orders plus five options of the ERJ-145) and
Wuhan Airlines (10 ERJ-145).
The Brazilian president involved himself in the deal, which included
discussions with the Chinese president Jiang Zemin, without being able
to solve the situation (Aviation Daily, 18 April 2001). In March 2002,
Embraer set up a spare parts centre in Beijing in order to maintain its
growing fleet of aircraft. During the Asian Aerospace Exhibition in
Singapore (February 2002), it was revealed that Embraer was planning to
set up a final assembly plant in Harbin to produce Embraer aircraft for the
Chinese market. In April 2002, the Chinese government increased import
tax on foreign-produced aircraft from 5 per cent to 23 per cent, thus giving
favourable conditions for domestically produced aircraft. This increase
could also be seen as pressure from the Chinese government to produce
these Brazilian aircraft in China instead of importing them from Brazil.
Embraer and its Chinese partner hold a 51 per cent and a 49 per cent share,
respectively. The agreement also includes a commitment towards technology transfer and management education. In June 2004, the first Chinamade Embraer delivery was made to China Southern Airlines.
In 2006, the European aircraft consortium Airbus decided to build an
aircraft assembly plant in Tianjin. The production site is a joint venture
between Airbus and a Chinese consortium of the Tianjin Free Trade Zone,
AVIC 1 and AVIC 2. It is the first Airbus final assembly plant outside
Europe, and it was a strategic decision to strengthen Airbuss position in
China relative to its main competitor Boeing (Eriksson, 2010) in order to
be able to sell more aircraft to Chinese airlines.
In March 2007, AVIC 1 announced that it would be starting to manufacture large domestically developed commercial aircraft aiming at entering
the market in 2020. This project is underpinned by strong economic
growth, technological advances and considerable techno nationalism.
The first drawings of the project were made available in March 2007.
Another project is the C919 narrow-body jet-airliner, planned to enter
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into service in 2016. This aircraft forms Chinas long-term goal to break
Airbus and Boeings duopoly in the medium-sized jet aircraft market.
Chinas aerospace industry has advanced over recent few decades.
While some of this progress can be attributed to rapidly growing governmental support for Chinas aerospace sector, aerospace capabilities have
largely benefited from the increasing participation of its aircraft industry
in the international supply chains of the worlds leading aerospace firms
(Eriksson, 1995, 2010, 2011a).
A study of Chinas aircraft industry, based on inputoutput data, concluded that Chinas aircraft clusters were inefficient and disadvantaged in
comparison with those in the USA and that they have rather few domestic
connections to other industrial subgroups (Chu et al., 2010).
CHENGDU
Introduction
Chengdu in the Sichuan Province is the location of the Chengdu Aircraft
Industries Group (CAC), a conglomerate that manufactures aircraft as
well as components and parts. CAC was a key enterprise under AVIC I
before the merger of AVIC 1 and AVIC 2 in 2008. It was founded in 1958
as the Chengdu State Aircraft Factory (No. 132) and completed in 1964
with the goal of supplying military aircraft to Chinese military forces.
CAC consists of three main facilities: the airframe plant, the engine
company and the aircraft design institute. The aircraft and engine
company employs more than 15 000 people, while the Chengdu Aircraft
Design Institute employs around 1800. The aircraft complex is supported
by the Chinese Academy of Engineering and the Ministry of Science and
Technology through the National High-Tech R&D Program, and it
focuses on advanced material technology and the aerospace industries.
The construction of a high-tech industrial park that will feature space and
aviation technology is now underway. According to the Guide to Invest
in the Aviation and Aerospace Industry of Chengdu (2008), more than 30
organizations and companies are involved in various aviation and aerospace activities such as manufacturing and service activities, but this is not
supported by any reliable information.
In and around Chengdu, some well-known companies are involved in
various aircraft and aerospace manufacturing and service activities including the Haite Group, an enterprise specializing in the repair and inspection
of airline appliances, mechanical accessories and small engines as well as
the development of airline IT and associated electronic equipment.
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174
The former Chengdu Aviation Instruments Corporation is now integrated into the Sichuan Chengfei Integration Technology Company,
which is involved in the development and manufacturing of mouldings and the application of computer integration technology (Sichuan
Chengfei Integration Technology Company, 2011). In the commercial
maintenance sector, the Chinese actors include the Chengdu Hot Aviation
Technology Company.
The first aircraft built by CAC were based on Soviet technology, and the
firm became a production site for the Chinese-built version of the Soviet
MiG-17, known as J-5. Originally, the first J-5s were built in Shenyang
from 1957 onwards, but a second production was established in Chengdu.
A two-seat trainer (JJ-5) and an export version (F-5) were later developed.
The production of the J-5 ended in 1969/70, while the two-seater was
produced until 1986.
In spite of the SinoSoviet split in 1960, China did, in 1962, receive the
more advanced MiG-21s in kits along with parts and technical documents
and set about reverse-engineering the aircraft under the designation J-7.
As with the J-5, early production took place in Shenyang, but then all production was transferred to Chengdu. A number of variants for domestic
use or export (F-series) were developed, and production started in 1964
and ended in 2006.
During the Cultural Revolution (196676), Chinas aviation industry
was heavily damaged and management brought to chaos, but with the end
of that period a new dawn was seen because of the ambitions to reorganize the Chinese aircraft industry. In 1979, the No. 132 factory became
known as the Chengdu Aircraft Company. With the opening up of China,
Chengdus aircraft manufacturing facilities, as well as other factories,
were able to access foreign knowledge and equipment to improve their
existing products and develop new ones. In the early 1980s, the Chinese
aviation industry started to reorganize and diversify into other products. In Chengdu, this led to the manufacture of light vehicles, windows,
motorcycles and dry-cleaning machines.
The Development from the 1980s
During the honeymoon period of SinoWestern relations in the early 1980s,
the Chinese Ministry of Aeronautics decided to import 100 sets of the British
GEC-Marconi avionics to upgrade the existing J-7 fleet. The Chengdu
Aircraft Manufacturing Factory was responsible for the integration of the
British avionics with the J-7 (II) airframe. The project was later cancelled
due to changing requirements but Chengdu continued the upgrade without
the involvement of the British company (SinoDefence, 2012).
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A few years later, a joint agreement was signed between the Chinese
government and the US aerospace company Grumman to upgrade the
J-7 fighters. It was known as the Super-7 fighter programme and some
of the upgrading included changes to the nose and air intakes as well as
upgrading the fighter with Western-made avionics and engines (Flight
International, 26 November 1988). Owing to the increased political tensions between the USA and China, the programme was cancelled in 1990.
Anyhow, advanced technologies were transferred to China for a few years.
The CAC and Chengdu Aircraft Design Institute (No. 611) continued to
work on the project for several years, but China and Pakistan then signed
a development and production deal for the FC-1 in July 1999, which was
for a rebranded Super J-7. The Russian Klimov RD-93 engine provided
the power, while Russias Mikoyan Aero-Science Production Group provided assistance in design as well as installing the engine systems (Flight
International, 2430 May 2005).
The Pentagon discovered another Chinese aircraft project when an
American surveillance satellite orbiting over China spotted several new
fighter planes on the runway of a Chinese airbase traditionally used for
the test and evaluation of prototype aircraft. This discovery was revealed
by the aerospace weekly Flight International (28 November 1994) and
it created a lot of attention, as the aircraft resembled the cancelled Israel
Aircraft Industries (IAI) Lavi fighter. The Lavi was an advanced project
with financial and technology support from the USA. Until it was cancelled in 1987, much of the technological development was paid for by the
USA.
Both Chinese and Israeli officials refuted any purported links between
the new aircraft, dubbed the J-10, and the Lavi. A few years later, US officials confirmed that Israel had helped China develop an advanced combat
aircraft. However, Israel was not able to transfer the US Pratt & Whitney
1120 turbofan engine and as neither China nor Israel was capable of developing the propulsion system required by the J-10, in 1991 China acquired
the AI31F turbofan engine from Russia for incorporation into the J-10
fighter. According to Hewson (2008):
Russian aerospace engineers have confirmed to Janes that Chinas Chengdu
J-10 fighter aircraft benefited from significant, direct input from Israels
Lavi programme including access to the Israel Aircraft Industries (IAI)
Lavi aircraft itself. In a number of interviews Janes has talked at length with
several engineers, designers and technical specialists some of whom have
been working with their Chinese counterparts for decades and have had firsthand experience on Chinese military projects. They have provided detailed
accounts of the assistance given to various Chinese manufacturers and their
military aircraft projects. This has included extensive design and performance
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176
In March 2007, the Russian Mil Moscow Helicopter Plant JSC set
up a joint venture with the Sichuan Lantian Helicopter Company in
Chengdu to repair and manufacture the Mi-17 series helicopters for both
Chinese and international customers. Production started in May 2008
(SinoDefence, 2011).
Yet another Chengdu project is the J-20, as unveiled by a Chinese nongovernmental website in January 2011. Indeed, Chinas first known stealth
aircraft has recently emerged from a secret development programme
(Sweetman, 2011), and thus little is known about its technology.
International Subcontracting, Technology Transfer and Investments
Other important input into the Chengdu aerospace conglomerate, namely
technology linkages, has been subcontracting production to foreign aircraft manufacturers. The first subcontracting work performed was the
nose section of the McDonnell Douglas MD-80, with the first delivery in
1991. Chengdu continued to manufacture the MD-80/90 sections for the
main US assembly line until 1999.
Later, the subcontracting work expanded and CAC produced the
Boeing 737 forward entry doors and over-wing exit doors as well as the
B747-8 ailerons/spoilers. CAC also produced the empennage of the Boeing
757 (ceased production in 2004). A few years ago, a new agreement was
signed with Boeing for the production of the composite rudder of the new
Boeing 787 Dreamliner (Eriksson, 2011a). The company also manufactures the rear doors and nose cones of the Airbus 320 (Eriksson, 2010). In
2010, an agreement was signed to produce carbon composite wing spoilers
and centre hinge fittings for the new Airbus A350.
In 2001, CAC became a risk-sharing partner in the ARJ21 regional
jet programme. In June 2007, it announced a partnership with US firm
Vistagy, in which the latters FiberSIM software will be used in the design
and development of composite products and parts (Jackson, 2010).
The factory also manufactures the nose section for the ARJ21 regional
aircraft. The tooling used was originally provided by McDonnell Douglas
for the licensed production of the MD-80/90 in China. This implies that
the ARJ21 nose section manufactured in Chengdu is based on the same
tooling as the company used when working as a subcontractor on the
MD-80/90 nose section for McDonnell Douglas between 1991 and 1999
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CONCLUSIONS
Chengdu has one of the oldest aircraft facilities in China. Originally
founded in the late 1950s with the goal of supplying military aircraft to
Chinese military forces, the aircraft built were based on Soviet technology
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178
and reverse-engineered until the early 1980s when the Chinese aviation
industry started to reorganize as a result of the political changes taking
place in China.
The gradually improving political relations with the West, not least
the USA, opened the possibilities for China to access advanced Western
technology. One important obstacle disappeared when COCOM restrictions on the sale of military technology to China were eased in 1985.
In Chengdu, this was reflected in the joint agreement with Grumman
for upgrading the J-7 fighters (Super 7). Thus, a leading US aerospace
company became involved in technology transfer regarding a military
fighter aircraft completely based on Soviet technology. Owing to the
increased political tensions between the USA and China, however, the
programme was cancelled in 1990. Anyhow, advanced military aerospace
technologies were transferred to China during these years.
As China and Pakistan did not have a suitable engine or the necessary
advanced engine systems, the Russian Klimov Company supplied the
engines and technology systems needed. Russias Mikoyan Aero-Science
Production Group also provided assistance in design as well as installing
the engine systems.
From the early 1990s, Israel transferred major technologies based on
the cancelled Lavi aircraft, which had been developed with financial and
technology support from the USA. Israel was not able to transfer the US
Pratt & Whitney 1120 turbofan engine and as neither China nor Israel was
capable of developing the propulsion system required by the J-10, Russia
also became the engine supplier for this aircraft.
Owing to the governments increased emphasis on the commercial
aircraft industry, CAC has since the early 1990s been a subcontractor to
foreign commercial aircraft manufacturers, implying increased access to
foreign knowledge and technology linkages. This started with the work
performed for McDonnell Douglas, but was followed by subcontracting
works for Boeing and Airbus. The increased emphasis on commercial
industrial activities led to the creation of Chengdu Commercial Aircraft
as a separate company within CAC in 2007. The same year an agreement
was signed with Vistagy to use its FiberSIM software, while strategic
collaborations were agreed with ESI and Dassault of France.
There was also the transfer of aircraft technology systems from other
parts of China, although with foreign origin. The early production of
the J-5 and J-7 took place in Shenyang but then all production was
transferred to Chengdu. The original source was the Soviet Union. The
ARJ nose section, argued to be an independent design, was actually an
updated McDonnell Douglas design (MD-80/90) derived from CACs
period as a subcontractor to the US company. This transfer was also
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180
NOTES
1. For an overview of the production figures and locations of the aircraft manufacturing
industries until the mid-1990s, see Eriksson (1995, pp. 12543).
2. Coordinating Committee for Multilateral Export Controls.
3. The first foreign subcontracting work awarded to China was the offset deal in 1979
from McDonnell Douglas to produce MD-80 landing gear doors in Shanghai (Eriksson,
1995).
4. HAECO (Hong Kong Aircraft Engineering Company) is a subsidiary of the Swire
Group.
REFERENCES
Antonov News (2007), accessed 29 October 2011 at www.antonov.com/news/index.
xml?news5antk-main/news_20071224.xml.
Aviation Daily (2001), Embraer Sells 40 Jets to China in $1 Billion Order,
18April.
Bailey, J. (1993), Chasing the Genie, Flight International, 2329 June, 5660.
Bathelt, H., A. Malmberg and P. Maskell (2004), Clusters and Knowledge: Local
Buzz, Global Pipelines and the Process of Knowledge Creation, Progress in
Human Geography, 28(1), 3156.
Biggiero, L. and A. Sammarra (2010), Does Geographical Proximity Enhance
Knowledge Exchange? The Case of the Aerospace Industrial Cluster of Centre
Italy, International Journal of Technology Transfer and Commercialisation, 9(4),
283305.
Breschi, S. and F. Lissoni (2001), Knowledge Spillovers and Local Innovation
Systems: A Critical Survey, Industrial and Corporate Change, 10(4), 9751005.
China Today: Aviation Industry (1989), Beijing: Ministry of Aero-Space Industry
(MAS), China Aviation Industry Press.
Chu, B. H. Zhang and F. Jin (2010), Identification and Comparison of Aircraft
Industry Clusters in China and United States, Chinese Geographical Science,
20(5), 47180.
De Bresson, C. (1989), Breeding Innovation Clusters: A Source of Dynamic
Development, World Development, 17(1), 116.
Eriksson, S. (1995), Global Shift in the Aircraft Industry: A Study of Airframe
Manufacturing with Reference to the Asian NIEs, publication edited by
the Department of Geography, University of Gothenburg, Series B, No. 86
(Doctoral dissertation).
Eriksson, S. (2000), Technology Spillover from the Aircraft Industry: The Case of
Volvo Aero, Technovation, 20(12), 65364.
Eriksson, S. (2003), Technology Policies in East and Southeast Asia: Creating a New
Global Structure in the Aircraft Industry, Asian Geographer, 22(12), 16985.
Eriksson, S. (2006), Cluster Creation and Innovation Within an Emerging
Taiwanese High-tech Sector, International Journal of Technology Transfer and
Commercialisation, 5(3), 20836.
Eriksson, S. (2010), Chinas Aircraft Industry: Collaboration and Technology
Transfer The Case of Airbus, International Journal of Technology Transfer
and Commercialisation, 9(4), 30625.
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Index
agglomerations
importance of industrial 120121,
137
regional 1, 2, 6, 14
theoretical aspects 1378
see also industrial agglomeration
study
Airbus 159, 1723, 176, 177
aircraft industry
characteristics 143
China 16873
Chengdu 17380
government support for 166
as complex product system 1412
importance of external linkages 179
Indonesian investment in 144
as innovation-intensive industry 142
internationally competitive 1434
IPTN (Industri Pesawat Terbang
Nusantara) 1467, 160162
development of new technology
1557
implementation 151, 152
influence of Habibie 14950
Joint Venture Programme 1535
large-scale R&D programme
1578
licence programme 151, 153
long-term goals 1479
subcontracting and other activities
15960
Taiwanese 1678
technological requirements 143
Amsden, A. 7, 9, 15
anchor firms 12, 137
Anwar, S. 120, 136
ARJ21 regional aircraft 1712, 1767
ASEAN countries 121, 1279, 133
Asian financial crisis 11, 26, 27, 29, 32,
34, 121, 125, 144, 157
Asian triangle 12
183
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184
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Index
supplying companies 171
and Vietnamese exports 133
external linkages 4, 166, 179
Feldman, M.P. 45, 69, 70, 78
Feser, E.J. 48, 68, 77
foreign direct investment (FDI) in
Vietnam 11920, 1213, 1348
industrial clusters and FDI-induced
transfer of technology 120121
industrial zone developments 1235
manufacturing gross output and
value-added 12931
technological content of foreign
trade 1314
Francis, J.L. 69, 70, 78
general purpose technology (GPT) 21
Gini coefficient 456
Glaeser, E.L. 42
see also Ellison and Glaeser index
(EG) index
global economic crisis in China
determinants for development
impact on growth paths 924, 117
institutional evolution and role of
state 912
market orientation 91
resilience, regional growth and
catch-up paths 879
sectorial structural change 8990
technological capability building
90
discussion 11416
economic recovery 856, 116
hypotheses on 867, 924, 116
regional analysis
firm-level survey of electronics
industry 10914, 11617
general findings 956
impacts and recovery by industrial
sector 96101
impacts and recovery by province
and region 1015
impacts on technological
upgrading 1056, 117
patent applications 1069
Global Seed Capital 70, 82
globalization 5, 11, 42, 90
governed markets 7
185
government-business relations 1, 2, 6,
8, 12, 15
gross output, manufacturing 12931
gross value of industrial output
(GVIO) 12430, 138
growth accounting model
algorithms 224
data description
ICT capital stock and price index
2530
labour input 30
national account data 245
growth paths 86, 879, 97100, 103,
117
Guangdong, China
Dongguans location in 45
economic characteristics 102
firm-level survey of electronics
industry 10914, 11617
growth rates in industrial valueadded 1045
output shares 58
patent applications 107, 1089
sectorial structural change 8990
successful recovery of 115, 117
Habibie, B.J. 14450, 1546, 158, 161
Hamburger Flugzeugbau (HFB)
1467
Hanoi, Vietnam 123, 125
He, C. 43, 45, 46, 53, 61, 100
Hebei, China 102, 103, 105, 115
Herfindahl-Hirschman index 467
Herfindahl index 46
Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam 123, 125,
135
Hong Kong
enterprises with funds from 48, 59,
62
ICT and economic growth 317
ICT capital stock and price index
289
investment in technological activities
in manufacturing FDI 1289
labour input 30
national account data 245
Hsia, C.J. 43, 60
Huangjiang, Dongguan, China 4951,
556
Human-Tech 78
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Index
locational strategies 11, 16
low technology (LT) activities
12630
Lundvall, B.-A. 5, 6
management consultants 767
manufacturing
gross output and value-added
12931
technological contents of 1269
in Vietnam 11925, 1326
see also industrial agglomeration
study
manufacturing value-added (MVA)
130131
market orientation 89, 91, 93, 97,
11113
Marshall, A. 3, 42, 67, 120
Martin, R. 2, 42, 86, 87
Maskell, P. 3, 4, 5
McDonnell Douglas 170, 176, 178
MD-80 aircraft 172, 176, 178, 180
MD-82 airliner 170, 179
Mediana 74, 78
Medical Industry Techno Valley
(MITV) 713, 767, 81
medium-low technology (MLT)
activities 12630
Messerschmitt-Blkow-Blohm (MBB)
1467, 151, 153
Mikoyan Aero-Science Production
Group 175, 178
modular economy concept 13
N-250 turbo-prop 1558, 161
N-2130 aircraft 149, 158
Naud, W. 88
Nelson, R.R. 6, 141, 165
Nestor, C. 123, 125, 126, 136, 138
network catalysts 767
networks 34, 1316
Nguyen, P.L. 120, 136
OECD (Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Development)
85, 89, 90, 912, 121
open-door policy 165, 169, 17071
paradigm creation 10, 15
patent applications 1069
187
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188
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Index
industrial zones (IZs) 1235, 135,
137
manufacturing sector 1367
technological content of foreign
trade 1314
technological intensity 132
technological transfer 120121, 136
trade balance 1334
trade with China 1334
Wade, Robert 5, 7
Weber, A. 67
Wei, Y.H.D. 41, 59
Wong, P.K. 8, 88
189
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