Corporate PDF
Corporate PDF
Corporate PDF
14/09/2009 12:10
by
Azizah Abdullah
University Teknologi Mara
Michael Page
University of Portsmouth
Published by
The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Scotland
CA House, 21 Haymarket Yards
Edinburgh EH12 5BH
2009
ISBN 978-1-904574-53-8
EAN 9781904574538
ontents
Foreword ........................................................................................ i
Acknowledgements .......................................................................... iii
Executive Summary ........................................................................ v
1. Introduction ............................................................................
Introduction ..................................................................................
Objectives of the research ..............................................................
Research approach .........................................................................
Outline of the report .....................................................................
1
1
2
2
Introduction .................................................................................. 3
The nature of corporate governance and its regulation ................... 4
Research questions ......................................................................... 33
Introduction ..................................................................................
The companies ...............................................................................
Survivorship ...................................................................................
Board structure and committee membership ..................................
Summary .......................................................................................
37
37
40
40
55
Contents
57
Introduction ..................................................................................
Corporate governance and performance variables ...........................
Average performance variables .......................................................
Discussion of results ......................................................................
Further analysis .............................................................................
Summary ......................................................................................
57
57
63
72
74
78
81
Introduction ..................................................................................
Risk and governance ......................................................................
Does poor performance cause governance changes? ........................
Summary .......................................................................................
81
82
88
92
6. Conclusions ..............................................................................
95
Introduction .................................................................................. 95
Prior research ................................................................................. 95
Results ........................................................................................... 96
Policy implications ......................................................................... 100
Limitations and future research ...................................................... 102
References ........................................................................................
Appendix 1 ........................................................................................
Appendix 2 ........................................................................................
Appendix 3 ........................................................................................
About the Authors .........................................................................
103
119
125
127
133
oreword
In the wake of the recent financial crisis, attention has once again turned
to corporate governance, with policy reviews of UK corporate governance
being undertaken by the FRC and the Walker Review.
One key question may relate to the purpose of corporate governance
is it about the control of risks, the improvement of performance, or
both? If this could be clarified, criteria could be developed to measure
the success of corporate governance procedures or codes.
This research investigates whether companies with particular
corporate governance characteristics outperform other companies and
have lower levels of risk. The governance characteristics investigated in
the report are: board independence; board size; directors ownership of
equity; and extent of ownership by large block holders.
The effects of these characteristics were measured over two three
year periods between 1999 and 2004. Three measures of performance
were used: one stock market measure (market to book ratio); and two
accounting based measures (return on assets and ratio of sales to total
assets). Risk was measured in three ways: total risk; systematic risk; and
a measure of sudden share price falls.
The findings reveal no clear systematic relationship between
governance factors and improved performance, and no strong evidence
that governance reduces either total or systematic risk.
This project was funded by the Scottish Accountancy Trust for
Education and Research (SATER). The Research Committee of The
Institute of Chartered Accountants of Scotland (ICAS) has also been
happy to support this project. The Committee recognises that the views
ii
Foreword
David Spence
Convener, Research Committee
September 2009
cknowledgements
We are grateful to Christine Helliar, Tony Hines , Ken Peasnell, and Laura
Spira for constructive comment and support and to Michelle Crickett
and Angie Wilkie at ICAS for cheerful and efficient administration of
the grant and preparation of the published document. We should also
like to thank our spouses, Associate Professor Dr Mohd Razif Idris
and Deborah Page, together with our children, for their forbearance,
inspiration and support while we worked on the project.
Finally, the Research Committee and the researchers are grateful
for the financial support of the Trustees of the Scottish Accountancy
Trust for Education and Research, without which the research would
not have been possible.
xecutive
Summary
Executive Summary
vi
very different market conditions prevailed. The period also straddles the
collapse of Enron and Worldcom and the ensuing crisis in the United
States leading up to the Sarbanes Oxley Act. The work not only extends
the knowledge of governance and performance but also examines the
relationship between governance and risk.
Corporate Governance
Until the publication of the Cadbury Report in 1992, the governance
of companies was regulated by custom and practice together with stock
exchange requirements and some basic rules laid down by company law
concerning boards of directors, financial reporting and audit.
In the post-Cadbury era, listed UK companies have gradually
converged towards a set of internal arrangements covering the structure
of the board and its sub-committees, together with systems of internal
control and risk management that conform to a model embodied in
the Combined Code.
Prior research
Governance and performance
The results of previous research on governance and measures of
performance have been mixed. Few studies have found a positive
relationship between corporate governance and measures of performance.
In information rich, competitive stock markets, such as those of the UK
or the USA, it would be surprising to find that companies with particular
governance arrangements consistently provided a higher return to their
shareholders. Markets can observe governance arrangements and predict
outcomes so that any predictable good or bad performance is likely to be
reflected in the price of a companys shares. Shares will be priced such
that a normal return will be earned upon them, relative to the level of
risk involved. If well-governed companies perform better, their shares
will stand at a premium in the market. Accordingly, much prior research
Executive Summary
vii
Executive Summary
viii
Findings
Trends in governance and ownership
Despite the maturity of guidance on governance, board structures
are still evolving. Average board size decreased over the period 1999-2004
and the fraction of independent directors increased so that by the end of
the period, on average, nearly half of FTSE 350 non-financial companies
boards were made up of independent directors and the average board
size had decreased to nine directors from more than ten in 1999.
By 2004, 93% of FTSE 350 non-financial companies had separated
the roles of Chair and CEO; in 76% of cases the Chair was not a previous
CEO of the company. The companies that survived in the FTSE 350
index over the period were more likely, probably on account of their larger
size, to separate the roles of chair and chief executive than companies
that were promoted to the index between 1999 and 2004.
Also by 2004, the typical board was made up of four executive
directors and five non-executives of whom four were independent, but
it was only in 2004 that the number of independent non-executives on
the board achieved equality with the number of executives.
Executive Summary
ix
Executive Summary
Executive Summary
xi
SASET
ROA
Independence
none
Board size
Company size
Independence
none
Board size
none
1999 - 2001
2002 - 2004
Company size
Q
ROA
SASET
+
-
Executive Summary
xii
Executive Summary
years in the earlier period (smaller boards were associated with smaller
downside risk), and independence was associated with larger risk in two
out of the three years in the later period. Possible explanations include
a lack of effectiveness of independent directors in assessing the riskiness
of proposed strategies and challenging management proposals. Another
explanation is that companies, that are more risky than others of a
similar size and in the same industry, attempt to reassure stakeholders
by improving governance. A third explanation is that better governed
companies feel more able to take risks. Although further research is
needed to differentiate these explanations, any expectation that more
independent boards would reduce the risks faced by investors seems not
to have been realised.
xiii
xiv
Executive Summary
Introduction
Introduction
Corporate governance issues have been vigorously debated by academics,
practitioners and policy makers for the last two decades. Corporate
governance - the system by which companies are directed and controlled
- is the process of managing and controlling the activity, direction and
performance of companies and, by extension, other institutions. The
scope of governance is a contested area, some commentators interpret it
narrowly as referring to the maximisation of shareholder wealth, whereas,
for others, governance has evolved to include corporate accountability,
corporate social responsibility, risk management and the protection
of interests of other stakeholders apart from shareholders. The 1992
Cadbury Report on governance and the Combined Code are now well
established and an evaluation of aspects of their impact on company
performance seems timely.
Research approach
The research uses financial information, corporate governance data
and ownership data, derived from Thomson Financial Datastream and
Pensions Industry Research Consultancy, for non-financial companies
in the FTSE 350 as at 31 December 1999 and/or 30 June 2004. The
data were collected for each year as at 30 June for the period of 1998 to
2004. The research employs multiple regression analysis controlling for
the effects of industry membership and company size.
Literature Review
Introduction
Corporate governance has been under scrutiny since the 1930s, and has
been the subject of much regulatory effort and academic study since the
report of the Cadbury Committee was published in 1992. Following the
publication of the Cadbury Report, codes of governance have proliferated
around the world, many of them drawing heavily on the Cadbury Code
and its successors. One of the reasons for the enormous influence of the
Cadbury Code was the relative lack of competing guidance from the
United States, where governance is subject, in part, to federal securities
laws, and, in part, to the jurisdiction of individual states (Bush, 2005).
The Cadbury Code of 1992 was augmented in 1996 by the
recommendations of the Greenbury Committee on directors
remuneration (Greenbury Report, 1995), and, after review by the
Hampel Committee (Hampel Committee, 1998), the first Combined
Code was published in 1998. Following further reports by committees
chaired by Turnbull (internal control and risk management) (Turnbull
Report, 1999), Myners (promoting active shareholders) (Myners Report,
2001), Higgs (role of non-executive directors) (Higgs, 2003) and Smith
(audit committees) (Smith Report, 2003) a further edition of Combined
Code was published in 2003 (Combined Code, 2003), with minor
revisions in subsequent years.
Corporate governance deals with the rights and responsibilities of a
companys board of directors, its shareholders and various stakeholders.
In the past two decades, corporate governance has become the focus of
attention of managers, academics and policy makers owing, among other
Literature Review
Literature Review
Table 2.1
Development of UK Governance
Report
Recommendations
Cadbury
(1992)
Greenbury
(1995)
Hampel
(1998)
Combined
Code
(1998)
Turnbull
(1999)
Deals with the issue of internal control and risk management. Where the board
is responsible for ensuring that an internal control system is in place and requires
companies to report on their systems of internal control and risk management,
but not to give an opinion of the systems effectiveness.
Myners
(2001)
Higgs
(2003)
Smith
(2003)
Looks at the role of audit committee, particularly the issue of how to ensure that
financial reporting and the internal control are in the best interest of shareholders.
Combined
Code
(2003)
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10
Literature Review
11
12
Literature Review
13
14
Literature Review
15
16
boards composed largely of inside directors are considered less likely, than
those with many outside directors, to override management decisions that
threaten shareholders interests, because inside directors are subordinate
to, and therefore dependent on, the CEO. Abrahamson and Park (1994)
provide some evidence that independent boards limit the concealment
of negative outcomes in letters to shareholders. In addition, Westphal
and Zajac (1994) found that board independence reduced the adoption
of symbolic incentive plans that appeared to align managements and
shareholders interests without putting CEO pay at additional risk.
Recent empirical studies focus on the evolution of board structure
over time, and changes in board structure post-Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX).
Chhaochharia and Grinstein (2004) found that between 2000 and 2003
boards became smaller and more independent. In addition there was
a reduction in multiple directorships and fewer cases of interlocking
directorships. Other research focusing on board characteristics includes
Ferris et al. (2002) and Fich and Shivdasani (2006). Ferris et al. (2002)
find that busy boards, where directors hold multiple directorships in
other companies, do not harm shareholder wealth whereas Fich and
Shivdasani (2006) suggest that the extent to which outside directors are
busy determines the effectiveness of monitoring by the board.
Doble (1997) found little impact of the Cadbury Code on board
composition in UK newly-quoted companies. Weir (1997) investigates
the relationship between internal monitoring mechanisms and
acquisitions occurring during the period 1990 to 1993 in the UK. The
sample consists of 94 acquired and 94 non-acquired firms. He finds that
acquired firms are less profitable than non-acquired firms. The findings
evidence a lower proportion of non-executive directors on the boards of
the acquired firms and these firms are more likely to have dual CEO and
chairman. Later, Weir and Laing (2003) investigate 104 UK firms that
were the target of friendly acquisitions during 1998. They hypothesised
that targets of uncontested bids are more likely to have a board structure
consistent with the Codes of Best Practice than non-target companies.
Literature Review
However, the results indicate that there was no difference in the extent
of adoption of the Cadbury Code of Best Practice between acquired
and non-acquired firms. In addition, the results illustrate a relatively
low degree of compliance with the governance structures set out in the
Cadbury Code by the both sample and match-pairs. The results also
suggest acquiring firms do not seek out firms with poor governance
structures.
Using 1997 survey data, Dulewicz and Herbert (2004) evaluate
the link between a set of independent governance variables (board size,
number and proportion of independent directors, board tenure, pay,
leadership structure, board committee) and firm performance (cash
flow return on total sales, and sales turnover). Generally they find no
significant relationship between the governance variables except for the
proportion of inside directors. The authors suggest that:
There may be some critical threshold for the appropriate number of
executive directors; one that enables those who are not over-stretched
with executive responsibilities better to fulfil their boardroom roles
and, thereby, enhance the firm performance. (p270)
Dulewicz and Herbert also investigate the link between board
practices and firm performance. The findings indicate that boards that
can improve monitoring of performance, supervision of management,
and communication are likely to achieve higher firm performance.
Griffith (1999) examines the impact of board composition (ratio of
inside to outside directors) on firm value. The study analyses a sample of
969 firms obtained from Standard and Poors 1996 ExecuComp database.
The findings indicate a strong evidence of a non-linear relationship
between insiders on the board and the market to book ratio (Q). The
value of the firm first increases then decreases as the percentage of insiders
on the board increases. The maximum Q-value is reached when 50%
of the board is comprised of insiders. The rise and then fall in firm
17
18
Literature Review
Italy from 1992 to 1995 and found that board size is inversely related
to firm performance. They suggest that, for their UK sample of firms,
an increase in board size from 10 to 11 members would be associated
with a decrease in performance of 1.36%.
Larger boards are sometimes thought to be better than smaller ones
because they enable the firm to form critical commercial connections
and secure scarce resources (Hillman and Dalziel, 2003). However,
some writers (e.g. Jensen, 1993) argue that larger boards may function
ineffectively and may be easier for a CEO to control. Larger boards
are confronted by such problems as social loafing and decreased group
cohesiveness.
Zahra and Pearce (1989) argue that larger boards may not be as
susceptible to CEO domination as smaller boards. By combining the
results of other studies, Dalton et al. (1999) find larger boards to have
a small positive association with firm financial performance, especially
among smaller firms. In terms of firm oversight, there is no consensus
as to whether larger or smaller boards are better able to monitor the
firm. Compared to small boards, large boards are likely to be more
diverse and less cohesive which may lead to conflict and debate (Dalton
et al., 1999). A large board also possesses more specialised skills and
opinions among its members compared to a small board; larger boards
are better equipped to obtain and process a large amount of information
about the firm and its environment (Agrawal and Knoeber, 2001). A
larger board may also be better equipped to monitor the firms top
management team through the establishment of specialised oversight
committees (Pearce and Zahra, 1992). Rival political coalitions can
emerge in larger boards, and serve to challenge the top management
team, and the political factions it has created (Ocasio, 1994). Coles et
al. (2004) argue that certain classes of firms benefit from larger boards.
Their findings indicate a positive association between firm performance
(measured by Q) and board size for diversified firms, larger firms, and
high leverage firms. Other earlier studies (Yermack, 1996; Eisenberg et
al., 1998) find a significant negative association between board size and
19
20
firm performance. Brown and Caylor (2004) find that firms with board
size between six and fifteen members have higher returns and higher net
profit than firms with board sizes outside this range.
Board independence
There is a large body of empirical work on the relationship between
board composition and firm performance. Results of previous empirical
studies do not indicate any statistically significant positive relationship
between the degree of board independence and better financial
performance. Bhagat and Black (2002) found no positive correlation
between the degree of board independence (measured as the fraction of
independent directors minus the fraction of inside directors) and four
measures of firm performance (Q, return on assets, sales to assets ratio
and market adjusted stock price returns), controlling for a variety of other
governance variables, including ownership characteristics, firm and board
size, and industry. However, they found that poorly performing firms
were more likely to increase the independence of their boards, but there
was no evidence that this strategy resulted in improved performance.
A particular problem of research has been inferring the directions of
causality of relationships. For example, it is possible that companies with
poor previous performance are more likely to adopt corporate governance
recommendations rather than the adoption of recommendations leading
to changes in performance; a company that has passed through turbulent
times may chose to appoint independent non-executive directors as a
means of deflecting criticism from the executive directors. But, according
to Bhagat and Black (2002), firms with more independent boards do not
perform better than other firms; there is no evidence that greater board
independence leads to improved firm performance. If anything, there
are hints that greater board independence may impair firm performance.
The results in Bhagat and Black (2002) and similar results from other
research do not support the conventional wisdom favouring a high
Literature Review
21
22
that insiders are better informed and knowledgeable about the firms
operations. There was a weak but positive relationship between firm
performance and the presence of outside directors. Vafeas and Theodorou
(1998) investigate the link between corporate board characteristics
(board composition, managerial ownership, leadership structure and
board committee) and corporate performance (measured as market to
book ratio) in 250 UK plcs. They find no clear link between board
structure and firm performance. Fosberg (1989) reported that boards
with a majority of outside members have significantly lower sales/assets
ratios; however, he found insignificant results for a number of other
performance measures.
Overall the majority of research finds either no relationship or a
negative relationship between independence and performance. There
are many explanations as to why increasing the independence of a board
does not translate into improved firm performance. One major reason
is that having a reasonable number of inside directors could add value.
According to Baysinger and Butler (1985), an optimal board has a
combination of independent, inside, and perhaps also affiliated directors,
who bring different knowledge and skills to the board.
Inside directors may be better at strategic planning decisions; this
is consistent with Kleins (1998) finding that insider representation on
the investment committee of a board has a correlation with improved
corporate performance. Finally, having inside directors on the board
may make it easier for other directors to evaluate them as potential future
CEOs (Weisbach, 1988). For example the mixed board justification
supports Kleins (1999) evidence that affiliated directors are more likely
to be found on the boards of firms that need the affiliated directors
expertise.
MacAvoy and Millstein (1999) consider a different measure of
board independence in linking it to corporate performance. They
hypothesise that companies with professional boards exhibit better
economic performance, on average, than other companies. They use
Literature Review
23
24
Ownership structure
Dispersed shareholding in public companies creates the need for
firms to have mechanisms in place to monitor management because
shareholders may have little incentive to monitor management on their
own. Holders of a small proportion of shares have little prospect of
changing company policies and consequently are unlikely to incur the
costs of monitoring management. However, holders of a substantial
fraction of shares may be able to change policies, if necessary, in
concert with other large shareholders. Consequently a company with
a large proportion of its shares in relatively few hands may be governed
differently from a company with dispersed shareholdings. Evidence on
whether ownership structure affects firm behaviour is mixed.
Ang et al. (2000) find that management owned firms have lower
expenses than ones with external shareholders. Mehran (1995) finds that
firms where ownership is concentrated in a few hands use less equitybased compensation for executives. In a series of international studies
Pedersen and Thomsen (1998, 2000) and Thomsen and Pedersen (1999)
find systematic differences in ownership patterns across industries and
countries, but no association between ownership concentration and
profitability.
Managerial ownership
Various studies, for example, Hermalin and Weisbach (1991), Short
and Keasey (1999) and Lau (2004) look at the relationship between
managerial ownership and firm performance. Hermalin and Weisbach
find that the relationship changes as management ownership increases;
at low levels of ownership, performance (as measured by Q) increases
with ownership. However, at levels of ownership greater than 20%, Q
decreases with management ownership. The results suggest that with
increases in ownership above 20%, the management becomes more
Literature Review
entrenched and can extract value from the company by means other than
shareholder return. In a three country study, Lau (2004) finds support
for a model in which corporate value depends on the square and cube
of managerial ownership, as suggested by Short and Keasey (1999).
Morck et al. (1988) examine the relationship between insider ownership
and firm performance for 371 Fortune 500 firms for the year 1980.
They found a positive relationship between Tobins Q and managerial
ownership for the 0-5% board ownership range, a negative relationship
in the 5-25% board ownership range as boards become entrenched,
and a positive relationship again for board ownership exceeding 25%.
Similarly, McConnell and Servaes (1990) find a significant curvilinear
relation between Q and corporate insiders ownership. They find that
the curve slopes upward until insider ownership reaches approximately
40% to 50% and then slopes slightly downward.
Davies et al. (2005) suggest a complex relationship between
managerial ownership and performance (measured as Q). Their analysis
on 802 UK industrial companies provides evidence that corporate value,
firm level of investment and managerial ownership are all interdependent.
Chung and Pruitt (1996) studied 404 large US companies and found
CEO equity ownership to be positively related to Q. Core and
Larcker (2002) show that the adoption of share incentive plans for top
executives is associated with increases in managerial ownership and firm
performance.
Loderer and Martin (1997) find a weak positive relationship
between executive ownership and acquisition performance. Their
findings indicate that performance appears to affect how much stock
executives want to hold in their firm where a higher Q induces executives
to reduce their holdings while more profitable acquisitions encourage
larger stockholdings by executives.
Griffith (1999) examines the influence of CEO ownership of a firms
common stock on the value of a firm. He hypothesised that the amount
of CEO ownership has a dominating effect on the value of a firm. The
25
26
findings indicate that Q increases when the CEO owns between 0 and
15% of the firm, then declines as CEO ownership increases to 50% and
rises again thereafter.
In contrast, other studies propose that insider ownership and
firm performance are unrelated or that the direction of causation runs
from performance to ownership. For example, in examining 511 US
corporations in 1980, Demsetz and Lehn (1985) found no significant
relationship between ownership concentration and accounting profit
rates. Himmelberg et al. (1999) could not conclude that changes in
managerial ownership affected firm performance. Rather their findings
indicate that managerial ownership and firm performance are determined
by common factors. Cho (1998) finds that investment determines
corporate value, and that corporate value has an effect on ownership
structure. Demsetz and Villalonga (2001) find no statistical significant
relation between ownership structure and firm performance.
Peasnell et al. (2003) investigate the links between the use of outside
directors and managerial ownership using UK data. They find that
outside board members help to reduce agency costs associated with the
separation of ownership and control only at low levels of managerial
ownership. This suggests that, at the higher level of managerial
ownership, the managers become entrenched. Faccio and Lasfer (1999)
report a weak relationship between firm value and managerial ownership.
Hutchinson et al. (2005) examine director entrenchment and governance
problems in US companies. They use the free cash flow (FCF) problem
identified by Jensen (1986) as a measure of corporate governance
problems. They find boards are motivated and incentivised to monitor
the firms earnings effectively whenever they have a stake in the firms
residual profit. However, they also find that as the stock ownership
increases, the board becomes entrenched and the agency costs increase.
Studies have also investigated the relationship of managerial
ownership to other aspects of firm performance. Cosh et al. (2006)
find that while takeovers in the UK generally have an adverse effect
Literature Review
27
28
Literature Review
Table 2.2
Governance
variable
Board size
Relationship
+
+
nl
Board
independence
+
+
+
Managerial
ownership
+
0
0
0
nl
External block
holdings
+
+
0
+
-
0
nl
29
positive relationship
negative relationship
no significant relationship
non-linear relationship - increasing then decreasing relationship (or vice versa)
30
Other issues
The large volume of research in corporate governance has also
investigated whether governance arrangements affect other firm
characteristics that may be related to performance. Examples include:
Outside directors
- Peasnell et al. (2005) find outsider directors play an important
role in maintaining the reliability and credibility of financial
reporting.
- Rosenstein and Wyatt (1999) and Defond et al. (2005) note that
the appointment of outside directors with expert knowledge is
treated as good news by the markets.
- Page and Spira (2000) find UK firms appoint NEDs with UK
honours (knighthoods etc) to signal governance quality.
- Agrawal and Chadha (2005) find the probability of earnings
restatements is unrelated to board independence or the existence
of audit committees, but the probability is lower if there is an
independent director with financial expertise.
Separation of the roles of chair and CEO
- Daily and Dalton (1997) find no difference in independence
characteristics of the board between companies with dual roles
and others.
- Brickley et al. (1997) find no evidence that companies with
separate chairs outperform others. Palmon and Wald (2002) find
that, for small US listed firms, the market regards splitting the
roles of chair and CEO as bad news, but for larger companies,
good news.
Literature Review
Other directorships
- Perry and Peyer (2005) find external appointments of a
companys own executives are treated as good news for the
company.
Board meetings
- Vafeas (1999) finds boards meet more frequently following poor
performance (and performance then tends to improve).
Governance index studies
Several attempts have been made to combine governance indicators
to create indices of governance quality and some research has found
relationships between these indices and measures of performance.
Gompers et al. (2003) construct a US governance index to proxy
for the level of shareholder rights for about 1,500 large firms during
the 1990s. They divide the firms into a Dictatorship Portfolio (firms
with weak shareholder rights) and a Democracy Portfolio (firms with
strong shareholder rights). They find a strong correlation between
corporate governance and stock returns during the 1990s and that the
Democracy portfolio outperformed the Dictatorship Portfolio; an
investment strategy that purchased the democracy portfolio and sold the
dictatorship portfolio would have earned an abnormal return of 8.5%
per annum. In addition they find that firms with stronger shareholder
rights have higher firm value (measured by Q), higher profits, higher
sales growth, lower capital expenditures, and make fewer corporate
acquisitions. The authors suggest two explanations for their results; poor
governance causes agency costs, and/or the governance index is associated
with risk or other factors that affected the stock returns during the 1990s.
Subsequent studies by Cremers and Nair (2005) and Bebchuk
and Cohen (2005) suggest that the results may be driven by takeover
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32
Literature Review
Research questions
There is a large volume of research on corporate governance.
According to Michaud and Margaram (2006), during 2004 there were
about 200 draft and pre-published articles examining aspects of corporate
governance posted on the Social Science Research Network (SSRN)
website. The majority of the research was carried out in the USA during
the long bull market that ended in early 2000. The current research
aims to add to the body of evidence concerning corporate governance
33
34
in the UK, where shareholder rights are more firmly established than
in the USA and many other jurisdictions, during a time period which
covers different phases of the stock market. In particular, this report
investigates the research question:
Do companies with particular governance characteristics
outperform other companies?
For the purposes of this research governance is measured by four
factors: independence of boards; board size; directors ownership of
equity; and the extent of ownership in the hands of large blockholders.
If governance is related to performance in relatively straightforward ways
the following relationships might be expected:
Independence - performance improves with independence because
of improved monitoring of management activity.
Board size - within limits, performance improves with board size
because of improved monitoring and the ability of bigger boards to
communicate externally and gain resources. Beyond a certain limit
boards may become unwieldy - costs of decision taking increase
and the board may divide into factions that management can play
off against each other.
Directors ownership - performance is expected to increase with
ownership as managerial objectives are aligned with those of
shareholders, but, beyond a certain point, management may become
entrenched so that performance may deteriorate if management
pursues non-value maximising strategies, such as over-priced
acquisitions.
Literature Review
35
Introduction
Public policy is largely concerned with large companies, so in common
with previous research (e.g Dedman, 2003; Lasfer, 2006; Peasnell et
al., 2000; Young, 2000), this research focuses on large, non-financial
companies. Econometric analysis is required to handle large sample
quantitative data of this kind. This chapter describes the companies
chosen for analysis and how their characteristics changed over the period
1999-2004.
The companies
The sample chosen was the membership of FTSE index at two
points in time, namely, 31 December 1999 and 30 June 2004. The
companies studied comprise the non-financial members of the FTSE
350 as at 31 December 1999 and also the members of FTSE 350 as at
30 June 2004. Companies were chosen from the FTSE 350 because it
is widely used and covers the economically most important companies.
The analysis period is between 30th June 1999 and 30th June 2004.
Accounting data is for the financial year ending in the year ended 30th
June for each year.
An important statistical problem is survivorship bias. If only a
sample of companies existing at the end of an analysis period is analysed,
then nothing is learned about members of the population that ceased to
exist during the period and results can be misleading about companies
as a whole. Consequently an identifiable part of the sample needs to be
selected as at the beginning of the analysis period. As shown in Table 3.1,
38
39
Table 3.1
Frequency
Percent
51
14.0
33
9.0
92
25.2
189
51.8
Total
365
100.0
For the companies in the 1999 list which do not survive throughout
the sample period, the movement of these companies is tracked by
referring to the Notes on The FTSE Actuaries Share Indices: United
Kingdom. Forty three companies in the 1999 list changed name, 51 were
taken over, and seven companies merged. The data for the companies
which were acquired by other companies is collected for as long as it is
available. For example, data for Burmah Castrol, which was taken over
in 2000 are collected only up to year 2000.
Data for companies that appear only in the 1999 list and are
demoted is collected for the whole sample period. However, some of
the companies undergo management buy-outs (McKechnie plc, 2000),
or administration (Rail Track Group plc, Atlantic Telecom Group plc,
2001), in which case data is collected until they are deleted. Where data
was incomplete efforts were made to hand collect it from, for example,
company annual reports.
40
Survivorship
The companies that maintained their place in the FTSE 350
throughout the period are different from those that were demoted
or which were taken over or de-listed for some other reason. Larger
companies tended to survive in the index, as might be expected, whereas
companies with large blocks of shares held by a few investors were more
likely to be demoted or de-listed than companies with more widely
dispersed share holdings. Companies in the property sector were more
likely to hold their place whereas companies in the technology sector
were less likely to survive in the index than other companies. Corporate
governance arrangements (proportion of independent directors and
board size) were not associated with survival in the index, nor was the
level of borrowing, after controlling for industry membership (appendix
one, Table one). The findings indicate the importance of controlling for
survivorship bias as otherwise, for example, property companies would
be over-represented and technology companies under-represented.
41
SEPCHAIR
%
CNCEO
%
BSIZE
%
XDIRS
%
INED
%
1999
87.9
76.3
10.1
5.1
3.0
2000
87.7
74.7
9.3
4.4
3.2
2001
90.2
73.0
9.3
4.3
3.2
2002
92.5
71.8
9.2
4.3
3.3
2003
92.0
74.2
9.0
4.0
3.5
2004
92.7
75.6
9.1
3.8
3.8
SEPCHAIR
CNCEO
BSIZE
XDIRS
INED
42
Board size
The trend of decreasing board sizes, shown in Table 3.2 is not an
obvious result of the Combined Code or other corporate governance
recommendations. As shown in chapter two, the results of prior research
about the impact of board size on governance are mixed. Larger boards
bring more resources to the company and, because they are less likely to
be captured, may be more effective monitors of the executive directors.
Conversely, smaller boards have lower information costs and costs of
collective decision-making. The trend to smaller boards, which is at
the expense of seats for executive directors, may be the result of an
extended adjustment process following Cadbury and the Combined
Code; firms may have increased board sizes, by appointment of NEDs,
and later reduced board sizes if the board subsequently seemed too big
or unwieldy.
Committee membership
The Combined Code emphasises the importance of key board
committees on corporate governance. As shown in Table 3.3, the
audit, remuneration and nomination committees were stable in size
over the period. A typical company had three or four members on each
committee. In the case of the audit and remuneration committees there
was a majority of independent directors.
43
Renumeration
Nomination
Year
No.
% NEDs
No.
% NEDs
No.
% NEDs
1999
3.6
67.9
3.7
69.6
3.8
49.1
2000
3.6
70.4
3.7
72.2
4.0
50.5
2001
3.7
71.3
3.7
72.5
3.9
50.0
2002
3.7
73.4
3.6
74.4
3.9
52.2
2003
3.7
76.5
3.7
78.0
3.9
56.0
2004
3.5
81.4
3.6
82.1
4.2
61.8
No.
Average number of Committee Members
% NEDs Average percentage of independent non-executive directors on the Committee
44
25
Percentage
20
15
percentage change in
board remuneration
10
5
0
99-00
00-01
01-02
02-03
03-04
Period of change
Ownership
Another dimension of governance of a company is ownership.
The PIRC database provides information on managerial ownership and
block holdings. Managerial ownership is measured as the percentage
shareholdings owned by the directors. Total block holdings represent
the percentage of shareholdings owned by the ten highest shareholders
that own more than 3% of the total shares in the company. It includes
director, and related parties holdings and the external block holdings
exceeding 3%. The threshold of 3% is chosen as this is the level which
triggers disclosure. Table 3.4 shows the trend of block holdings among
the sample companies. Block holding increases over the sample period
and the external block holding shows the same trend. However, the
average directors ownership increases over the first three years of the
sample period, then decreases over the next three years.
45
DIRW
BLOK
1999
307
25.3
309
4.4
307
23.9
2000
301
29.2
301
6.4
301
26.5
2001
295
29.1
294
7.0
297
25.5
2002
295
28.5
294
6.9
296
24.5
2003
294
31.6
293
5.8
296
27.0
2004
306
31.5
306
5.7
308
27.0
BLOCK
DIRW
BLOK
N
46
Ownership Average
35
Percentage
30
25
20
Directors' Holdings
15
10
5
0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Years
40
Frequency 30
2001
20
10
1999
>80
60-80
Quintiles
40-60
0-20
20-40
2002
Year
2002
2003
2004
47
1999
60
2000
40
2001
20
2002
1999
Year
2003
2004
>80
60-80
Quintiles
40-60
20-40
0-20
2002
48
49
Table 3.5 Beneficial ownership of FTSE 100 and other companies 31 December 2004
Per cent of total equity owned:
FTSE100
Other
All
Other
All
35.0
23.5
32.6
86.3
12.7
100.0
Insurance companies
17.1
17.6
17.2
79.2
20.8
100.0
Pension funds
15.8
15.5
15.7
80.8
19.2
100.0
Individuals
12.9
18.9
14.1
64.9
35.1
100.0
Unit trusts
1.7
2.6
1.9
68.5
31.5
100.0
Investment trusts
2.9
4.8
3.3
68.8
31.2
100.0
10.4
11.9
10.7
77.6
22.4
100.0
1.0
1.3
1.1
76.5
23.5
100.0
Private non-financial
companies
0.7
0.6
0.6
81.3
18.7
100.0
0.5
0.1
100.0
100.0
Banks
2.6
2.9
2.7
78.3
21.7
100.0
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
79.8
20.2
100.0
Other financial
institutions
Public sector
Shareholder activism
Institutional shareholders in the UK have traditionally taken
a passive role in the management of the affairs of the companies in
which they invest. If they have qualms about the effectiveness of the
board or disagree with particular actions of management, institutional
investors have tended to sell their shares rather than use their rights as
shareholders to vote at AGMs to replace management or to vote against
particular resolutions. This passivity has been the cause of concern. The
Myners Committee Report (2001) inter alia recommended imposition
50
Independence of directors
For board composition, data on board size, number of non-executive
directors, and number of executive directors were collected from the
PIRC database. The database categorises members of the board as
executive directors, connected non-executive directors, independent nonexecutive directors and other directors. The Cadbury Report initially
concentrated on the need for non-executive directors (NEDS or outside
directors), but over time emphasis has been placed on differentiating
the outside directors into affiliated and independent directors (Byrd
and Hickman, 1992). Accordingly, the number of independent nonexecutive directors available from PIRC database has been used to
represent the independence of directors.
PIRCs definition of independent directors (as described in chapter
four) is very similar to The Combined Code (provision A.3.1). The Code
requires the board to identify in the annual report each non-executive
director it considers to be independent. The board is also required to
state the reasons if it determines that a director is independent despite
the existence of relationships or circumstances which may appear relevant
to its determination, including if the director:
has been an employee of the company or group within the last five
years;
has, or has had within the last three years, a material business
relationship with the company either directly, or as a partner,
shareholder, director or senior employee of a body that has such a
relationship with the company;
has received or receives additional remuneration from the company
apart from the a directors fee, participates in the companys share
option or performance-related pay scheme, or as a member of the
companys pension scheme;
51
52
has close family ties with any of the companys advisers, directors
or senior employees;
holds cross-directorships or has significant links with other directors
through involvement in other companies or bodies;
represents a significant shareholder; or
has served on the board for more than nine years from the date of
first election.
For the purposes of this study, board independence is measured as
the proportion of independent directors (as defined by PIRC) on the
board minus the proportion of executive directors on the board. This
definition is adopted from Bhagat and Black (2002). Board size refers
to the total number of directors on the board.
Size and industry
In addition to the governance variables (independence, board size,
directors ownership and external block holders ownership), a number
of other variables that have previously been important in determining
firm performance are included in the analysis. For this study, two other
variables are used; firm size and industry. Firm size has been frequently
used as a control variable (Booth and Deli, 1996; Yermack, 1996; Short
and Keasey, 1999; Bhagat and Black, 2002; Cotter and Silvester, 2003;
Hutchinson and Gul, 2003; Hayes et al. 2004). Other variables that have
been used in the previous research include firm age, growth and leverage.
Size of the firms may affect corporate governance structure in several
ways. For example, the cost of complying with the Codes requirement is
likely to be a smaller proportion of profits for larger firms, but following
non-compliance with the Code, larger firms are exposed to higher levels
of media enquiry than smaller firms.
53
54
Summary
This chapter has identified trends in corporate governance among
large companies. Companies have been adding independent directors
to their boards and reducing the representation of executive directors.
Overall board sizes have been falling. As might be expected, large block
holders own a large fraction of many companies and directors collectively
own influential shareholdings in a substantial number of companies. The
companies that survive in the FTSE 350 index tend to be the larger ones
and, during the period of the research, property companies were more
likely to persist in the index and technology companies less likely to do
so. There was no systematic relationship between corporate governance
characteristics and measure of shareholder activism. The chapter has also
discussed alternative measures of company performance, including Q, the
market to book ratio, which has been extensively used in other studies.
55
Introduction
This chapter presents the main results of the analysis of the relationship
between governance and performance, together with various tests of
the robustness of the results. The chapter first addresses the question
posed at the end of chapter two: Do companies with particular
governance characteristics outperform other companies? For this
purpose performance is measured in three ways: market to book ratio
(Q); return on assets (ROA); and Sales to Total Assets (SASET). The
period covered by the research is 1st July 1998 to 30th June 2004 and
the sample comprises non financial companies that were members of
the FTSE 350 at the beginning or the end of that period.
58
Table 4.1
Variable
Variable
code
Definition
Board
Independence
INDEP
Board Size
BSIZE
Managerial
Ownership
DIRW
Block Holding
BLOK
Tobins Q
Mean average Q
QAV
Return on assets
ROA
Mean return on
assets
ROAV
Ratio of Sales to
Total Assets
SASET
Mean ratio of
Sales to Assets
SASV
Size
LFSIZE
Industry Control
IC
59
60
1999
Mean
2000
SD
Mean
2001
SD
Mean
SD
INDEP
-0.19
0.24
-0.14
0.23
-0.12
0.23
BSIZE
10.11
3.10
9.33
2.57
9.30
2.60
DIRW (%)
4.4%
10.1%
6.4%
11.7%
7.0%
13.4%
BLOK (%)
20.1%
21.8%
21.8%
18.9%
20.7%
18.4%
LFSIZE
13.14
1.72
13.24
1.74
13.43
1.66
2.94
3.34
3.35
6.82
1.99
1.87
ROA
0.10
0.11
0.09
0.12
0.08
0.12
SASET
0.98
0.83
0.90
0.91
0.84
0.76
61
2003
2004
Variable
code
Mean
SD
Mean
SD
Mean
SD
INDEP
-0.10
0.24
-0.05
0.24
-0.00
0.23
BSIZE
9.15
2.47
9.04
2.37
9.08
2.32
DIRW (%)
6.9%
13.4%
5.8%
11.5%
5.7%
11.3%
BLOK (%)
19.8%
18.2%
21.9%
18.9%
22.7%
17.9%
LFSIZE
13.50
1.62
13.57
1.59
13.66
1.58
1.58
1.03
1.49
0.87
1.78
1.35
ROA
0.06
0.16
0.06
0.16
0.07
0.19
SASET
0.86
0.77
0.89
0.78
0.88
0.83
As shown in Figure 4.1, year 2000 is the high point of the UK stock
market and, as Q is measured as the market value of the firm divided by
the book value, its value is strongly influenced by the level of the market;
Table 4.2 shows the peak average value is 3.35 in 2000 and the minimum
is 1.49 in 2003. The dispersion of the (unwinsorised) values of Q is
high, particularly in the earlier years because a number of companies,
typically in technology and media, had small total assets relative to
their stock market values. Overall, performance generally declined for
all these companies until 2003, reflecting the stock market downturn
and the poor operating performance of companies. The pattern of the
market from 2004 to autumn 2008 is markedly similar to the period
1988-2004 covered by the research.
62
63
64
Industry
Resources
Basic Industries
General Industries
Cyclical Consumer Goods
Non-Cyclical Consumer Goods
Cyclical Services
Non-Cyclical Services
Utilities
Real Estate
Information Technology
Total
Number of
companies
25
47
32
6
36
133
18
16
22
30
365
65
66
Figure 4.4 shows that the ratio of sales to assets for all sectors is
relatively stable over the sample period. The cyclical consumer goods
sector (Group 4) has the highest ratio and the real estate (Group 9) the
lowest.
Figure 4.4 Industry average for sales to assets ratio (SASET)
Performance measured by Q
Table 4.4 shows the extent to which the average level of Q is
explained by corporate governance variables for the individual years, as
derived from a multiple regression model. The table shows the corporate
governance factors such as independence and board size as measured
in 1999 and subsequent years. For each corporate governance factor
the sign, either + or -, shows whether there is a positive or negative
relationship for that factor explaining Q, and the asterisks show the
statistical significance of each factor. For example, the plus sign on
independence for the year 1999 means that the greater the independence,
the greater the value of Q. The statistic Adjusted R2 measures how
much of Q is explained by these factors. Thus, taken on its own, the
first line of the table shows that 35.6% of the variation in average Q
has been explained and that the proportion of independent directors in
1999 is an important factor in explaining the average performance as
measured by Q over the 1999-2001 period. However, the next two lines
of the regression suggest that the proportion of independent directors
in 2000 or 2001 is not important, but that board size and holdings by
block holders are important. In each year the size of the firm and its
industry membership are important. In the later period 2002-2004 (the
last three lines of the table) the relationship between Q and corporate
governance factors is much weaker - the Adjusted R2 is smaller and the
corporate governance variables are at best weakly significant; nearly all
of the explanatory power of the equations is due to size and industry.
Moreover, although weakly significant in only one year, the sign on
independence has changed so the influence of independence, if any,
appears to have changed direction from one period to the next.
67
68
Const
Expected
sign
indep
bsize
dirw
blok
lfsize
ic
Adj.
R2
+
Q9901
1999
8.499
***
+1.696
***
-0.037
-0.009
-0.009
-0.516
***
+0.847
***
0.356
Q9901
2000
7.886
***
+0.532
+0.151
***
+0.001
-0.016
**
-0.612
***
+0.882
***
0.338
Q9901
2001
7.924
***
+0.243
+0.185
***
+0.008
-0.021
***
-0.627
***
+0.887
***
0.331
Q0204
2002
1.789
***
-0.284
+0.003
-0.002
-0.004
*
-0.118
***
+1.103
***
0.185
Q0204
2003
1.405
***
-0.328
*
+0.009
-0.001
-0.003
-0.094
***
+1.103
***
0.173
Q0204
2004
1.361
***
-0.310
+0.016
-0.005
-0.001
-0.096
***
+1.095
***
0.168
INDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
board independence
directors ownership
log firm size
BSIZE
BLOK
IC
board size
percentage of external block holdings
industry control
Q9901/0204 average Tobins Q calculated as Market Value (Market Value of Equity plus minority
interest plus Total Liabilities) divided by the Total Assets for three year period 1999
to 2001/2002 to 2004.
***/ ** / *
denotes significant at 1% / 5% / 10% level respectively
CG
year the corporate governance factors are measured
69
70
CONSTANT
INDEP
BSIZE
DIRW
BLOK
LFSIZE
IC
ADJ.
R2
Expected
sign
ROA9901
1999
-0.097
**
-0.034
-0.002
+0.000
+0.000
+0.011
**
+1.019
***
0.105
ROA9901
2000
-0.145
***
-0.005
-0.005
**
+0.001
*
+0.000
+0.016
***
+1.031
***
0.123
ROA9901
2001
-0.174
***
-0.027
-0.002
+0.001
*
+0.000
+0.014
***
+1.133
***
0.106
ROA0204
2002
-0.201
***
-0.049
*
-0.005
*
+0.000
+0.000
+0.018
***
+1.053
***
0.153
ROA0204
2003
-0.174
***
-0.061
***
-0.004
*
-0.000
+0.000
+0.017
***
+0.774
***
0.136
ROA0204
2004
-0.172
***
-0.055
**
-0.005
**
+0.000
+0.000
+0.017
***
+0.794
***
0.129
INDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
board independence
directors ownership
log firm size
ROA9901/0204 average (operating income/total assets for three year period 1999 to 2001/2002 to
2004
***/ ** / *
CG
71
Table 4.6 Average sales to assets ratio against board and ownership
CG
CONST
INDEP
BSIZE
DIRW
BLOK
LFSIZE
IC
Expected
sign
ADJ.
R2
SASET9901
1999
-1.669
***
-0.416
**
-0.009
+0.011
***
+0.001
+0.137
***
+0.849
***
0.313
SASET9901
2000
-1.702
***
-0.326
**
-0.071
***
+0.009
***
+0.003
+0.181
***
+0.846
***
0.354
SASET9901
2001
-1.657
***
-0.559
***
-0.042
***
+0.003
+0.002
+0.161
***
+0.824
***
0.299
SASET0204
2002
-1.707
***
-0.370
**
-0.058
***
+0.005
*
+0.004
*
+0.171
***
+0.850
***
0.329
SASET0204
2003
-1.861
***
-0.339
**
-0.077
***
+0.006
*
+0.003
+0.203
***
+0.761
***
0.311
SASET0204
2004
-1.856
***
-0.464
***
-0.075
***
+0.003
+0.006
**
+0.193
***
+0.844
***
0.324
INDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
board independence
directors ownership
log firm size
BSIZE
BLOK
IC
board size
percentage of external block holdings
industry control
SASET9901/0204 average ratio sales to assets for three year period 1999 to 2001/2002 to 2004
*** / ** / *
CG
72
Discussion of results
There is little evidence that companies with more independent
boards perform better in terms of the market to book ratio (Q) or
profitability (ROA). If anything, independence appears to be negatively
associated with performance. Sales to assets ratio (SASET) and board
independence have a negative and significant relationship throughout the
sample period. All performance measures have a strong and significant
relationship with firm size and industry. Large firms have better return on
assets and sales to assets than small ones, but worse growth opportunities
(Q). Over the period, the board size variable shows a significant (1%)
negative relationship with SASET1.
The relationship between board size and Q was explored further.
For illustrative purposes, Figure 4.5 shows the regression using the log
of Q and board size. The following chart plots the results and shows
that the relationship between board size and Q may not be uniformly
increasing or decreasing. The curve extrapolates for board sizes greater
and smaller than those observed in the sample.
Figure 4.5 Q to board size
Q to board size
3
2
Log Q
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
Board size
11
12
13
15
16
The figure shows that for the fitted relationship and within the range
of board sizes observed in practice, there is an optimal size of seven or
eight members. An optimum may represent the balance between the
increase in expertise and other benefits, as numbers increase, against
the costs of coordination and delay in decision-making process, that
also increase with board size. Yermack (1996) studies a sample of US
industrial corporations (1984-1991) and finds evidence of the same
general shape of curve. Too few companies had board sizes greater than
13 to say whether the upturn beyond that size is true in practice.
A convergence of interests between managers and shareholders is
expected when managers own some of a companys shares. As managerial
ownership increases from zero, a firms performance improves, as managers
are less inclined to draw away resources from value enhancement but,
beyond a certain point, as boards become entrenched, performance may
decline. However, the results indicate that managerial ownership has
a mixed and insignificant relationship with Q, a generally positive but
significant relationship with ROA and a positive and generally significant
relationship with SASET. This is similar to the findings by Faccio and
Lasfer (1999) that show a weak relationship between the firm value and
managerial ownership. Their sample is UK non-financial companies for
a one-year period only (June 1996 to June 1997). Directors ownership
seems to result in improved efficiency, but the market is not willing to
pay a premium for it.
Outside owners with significant stakes can influence the behaviour
of a firms board of directors. In this study, the total of the ten largest
holdings of more than 3% is used to measure the external block holdings
(BLOK). Block holdings is negatively associated with Q, and shows
a significant relationship for three years; 2000, 2001 and 2002. It
has a positive association with SASET (significant in two years), but a
mixed, insignificant relationship with ROA2. The results do not provide
support for the view that powerful external shareholders are effective in
improving performance.
73
74
Further analysis
Further possible kinds of relationship in the data were explored. It
is possible that performance may be affected by whether shareholdings
are dominated by insiders (the board) or outsiders and whether the
potential tension between the two groups is important. To this end, the
data on ownership was used to calculate which is the difference between
the INOUT (% external block holdings and % directors holdings and
TENS (% block holdings multiplied by % directors holdings). The
rationale for the definition of TENS is that tension could be relatively
high if both block holdings and directors holdings are relatively large,
but not otherwise. None of the results show any consistent relationships
and the findings show no evidence that external shareholdings and
directors holdings interact in either a beneficial way or a negative way.
It is possible that companies may alter their governance arrangements
in response to past or anticipated performance. In particular, it has been
suggested that companies governance arrangements are not a cause of
concern to external stakeholders while things are going well, but that
if performance is poor, companies may react by appointing additional
directors or increasing the independence of the board. Such an effect
would be a plausible explanation of a negative relationship between Q and
independence. To test for evidence of this, the change in independence
(CINDEP) and change in board size (CBSIZE) were used against prior
period performance as well as ownership and company size, board
size (in the CINDEP calculation) and independence (in the CBSIZE
calculation). Again, no clear pattern emerged so there is no evidence
that companies are changing their corporate governance arrangements
as a result of prior performance. It is possible that, in the evolution of
governance arising from the Cadbury Report and Combined Code, poor
performers were early adopters of the guidance. In the more mature
period investigated here, that effect, if it existed, may have disappeared.
75
76
77
INDEP
Q9901
CG
99
14.827
***
+1.739
***
BSIZE
-0.047
-0.009
-0.008
-0.638
***
Q9901
00
14.744
***
+0.525
+0.173
***
-0.001
-0.017
**
-0.771
***
Q9901
01
14.821
***
+0.372
+0.207
***
+0.006
-0.023
***
-0.786
***
Q0204
02
3.964
***
-0.133
+0.019
+0.000
-0.004
-0.168
***
Q0204
03
3.807
***
-0.188
+0.027
+0.000
-0.003
-0.155
***
Q0204
04
3.754
***
-0.203
+0.027
-0.004
-0.001
-0.149
***
DIC8
BLOK
DIC02
DIC34
DIC56
Q9901
-3.121
***
-2.086
***
-2.503
***
-3.876
***
-5.453
***
0.366
Q9901
-3.354
***
-2.684
***
-2.618
***
-3.660
***
-5.942
**
0.352
Q9901
-3.402
***
-2.531
***
-2.584
***
-3.819
***
-5.948
***
0.341
Q0204
-0.343
*
+0.134
-0.063
-0.536
*
-1.261
***
0.167
Q0204
-0.442
**
+0.029
-0.156
-0.625
**
-1.379
***
0.156
Q0204
-0.482
**
-0.011
-0.184
-0.682
**
-1.366
***
0.152
INDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
Q
DIC7
DIRW
LFSIZE
ADJ R2
board independence
BSIZE board size
directors ownership
BLOK percentage of external block holdings
log firm size
Tobins Q calculated as Market Value (Market Value of Equity plus minority interest plus
Total Liabilities) divided by the Total Assets with industry control of dummy variables
DIC02
resources, basic and general industries equal to 1, others 0
DIC34
consumer goods equal to 1, others 0
DIC56
services equal to 1, others 0
DIC7
utilities equal to 1, others 0
DIC8
real estates equal to 1, others 0
*** / ** / * denotes significant at 1% / 5% / 10% level respectively
CG
year the corporate governance factors are measured
78
Summary
This chapter evaluates the relationship between some corporate
governance factors and corporate performance. Board independence,
board size, directors holdings and block holdings are chosen for the
companies corporate governance structures, while Tobins Q, return on
assets, and ratio of sales to assets are used as the performance measures.
The sample period is 1999 to 2004, divided into two sub-periods; 1999
to 2001, and 2002 to 2004. Previous research, (eg Agrawal & Knoeber,
1996)) indicates that corporate governance factors are interdependent
and that no one governance structure suits all firms. For example, the
structure of governance for a firm will depend on the firms economic
characteristics, including industry and size.
The key findings of the various analyses reported in the chapter are:
For Q (market to book ratio)
- Large companies tend to have smaller values of Q.
- Some evidence that more independent companies and companies
with bigger boards had higher values of Q for 1999-2001, but
a weaker relationship, if anything negative, in the later period.
For ROA (return on assets)
- Companies with more independent or larger boards tended
to have lower levels of return on assets. The relationship was
stronger in 2002-2004.
- Larger companies tended to have larger ROA in 1999-2001,
but not in 2002-2004.
For SASET (sales to total assets)
- A strong tendency for smaller companies and companies with
more independent or larger boards to have lower SASET ratios.
After controlling for size and industry the results show no clear
pattern of relationship between governance and performance that is
sustained in both sub periods, except in one respect. There is a consistent
and significant negative relationship between the ratio of sales to total
assets and both the proportion of independent directors and board size.
The lack of relationship between governance and either a stock
market based measure of performance (Q) or an accounting measure
(ROA) is not unexpected as it would be unlikely that companies would
consistently ignore an opportunity to increase shareholder value by
rearranging their corporate governance. The finding can be interpreted
as providing support for existing governance arrangements. If the
Combined Codes requirements for independent directors were imposing
79
80
Introduction
There has been little previous research on risk and corporate governance,
although there are grounds for expecting a relationship. Corporate
governance mechanisms are likely to affect the risks attached to corporate
performance as well as performance levels.
Effective monitoring of management decisions by independent
directors should result in the rejection of strategic proposals that are
high risk or which have been insufficiently thought through, even if
that means, at times, rejecting high risk projects that could turn out
to be successful. Moreover, insofar as shareholder value can be created
by reducing a companys systematic risk (Beta), effective independent
monitoring should tend to be associated with lower levels of beta, other
things being equal.
Similarly, if large boards are more effective as monitors than smaller
boards, the same effect might be expected. Where directors have a large
proportion of their personal wealth invested in a company they can be
expected to take less risky decisions, since they are unable to fully diversify
the risks that they face. Finally, large external shareholdings have both
the incentive to monitor managerial strategy and the power to discipline
managers who make poor decisions, leading to a greater level of caution
in management decision-making. That is to say, corporate governance
factors are expected to be negatively associated with risk. However, riskier
firms may require more effective governance mechanisms.
Few previous studies have examined the relationship between
corporate governance and risks of various kinds. Brown and Caylor
(2004) found that US companies with weaker governance had higher
82
CG
Const.
INDEP
BSIZE
DIRW
BLOK
LFSIZE
VAR9901
99
0.003
-0.002
+0.000
-0.000
+0.000
+0.000
VAR9901
00
0.004
-0.002
*
-0.000
-0.000
**
-0.000
+0.000
VAR9901
01
0.004
-0.001
-0.000
-0.000
*
-0.000
+0.000
VAR0204
02
0.001
-0.001
+0.000
**
-0.000
+0.000
+0.000
*
VAR0204
03
0.003
+0.000
+0.000
-0.000
-0.000
+0.000
VAR0204
04
0.003
+0.002
+0.000
+0.000
-0.000
+0.000
83
DIC02
DIC34
DIC56
DIC7
DIC8
ADJ
R2
VAR9901
-0.001
+0.000
+0.000
-0.002
+0.001
-0.014
VAR9901
+0.000
-0.000
+0.001
-0.001
+0.001
-0.004
VAR9901
+0.000
+0.000
+0.000
-0.002
+0.001
-0.017
VAR0204
-0.001
-0.002
+0.000
-0.003
-0.001
0.001
VAR0204
+0.000
-0.002
+0.000
-0.003
+0.000
-0.004
VAR0204
+0.000
-0.002
+0.000
-0.002
-0.001
-0.009
Industry:
INDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
board independence
directors holdings
log sales proxy firm size
DIC02
resources, basic and general industries equal to 1, others 0
DIC34
consumer goods equal to 1, others 0
DIC56
services equal to 1, others 0
DIC7
utilities equal to 1, others 0
DIC8
real estates equal to 1, others 0
*** / ** / * denotes significant at 1% / 5% / 10% level respectively
CG
year the corporate governance factors are measured
84
if a stocks returns tend to move less than the market, its beta value is
less than one. A stock with a high beta value is riskier than one with
a low beta. The beta is calculated as the covariance of a firms weekly
returns with the market weekly return divided by the variance of the
market weekly return. The sample period, 1999 to 2004, is sub-divided
into five over-lapping two-year periods. Then beta is calculated for each
periods as: BETA9900, the beta for the period of 1999 to 2000 and so
on. Regressions using the values of the governance and control variables
are calculated for each year of the relevant period.
Table 5.2 shows that the coefficient of the independence variable
is consistently negative, as expected, but only on three occasions is it
significant and the results overall are not very good at explaining risk.
Further exploration using two-stage least squares and alternative subperiods confirmed this finding. There is only one significant value for
directors ownership and three for blockholdings. Taken together, there
is little evidence that companies with more independent boards, boards
of a particular size, or companies with different ownership structures
have a different systematic risk from other companies.
85
Table 5.2
Const.
INDEP
BETA9900
99
0.322
-0.165
BETA9900
00
0.449
-0.293
**
BETA0001
00
0.579
BETA0001
01
BETA0102
BSIZE
DIRW
BLOK
LFSIZE
-0.002
-0.003
+0.001
+0.025
-0.006
-0.006
**
-0.002
+0.018
-0.524
***
-0.019
-0.010
-0.003
+0.012
0.393
-0.204
-0.014
-0.004
-0.003
+0.033
01
0.669
-0.092
-0.009
-0.001
-0.006
*
+0.022
BETA0102
02
0.800
-0.158
-0.036
-0.005
-0.006
*
+0.039
BETA0203
02
1.173
***
-0.203
-0.014
-0.002
-0.006
***
-0.004
BETA0203
03
1.040
**
-0.156
-0.002
-0.001
-0.003
-0.003
BETA0304
03
0.737
*
-0.298
*
-0.002
-0.003
-0.001
+0.012
BETA0304
04
0.877
**
-0.104
-0.012
-0.002
-0.002
+0.015
86
Table 5.2
DIC34
DIC56
DIC7
DIC8
BETA9900
-0.022
+0.002
-0.008
-0.190
+0.063
ADJ R2
-0.015
BETA9900
+0.064
+0.116
+0.080
-0.091
+0.151
0.011
BETA0001
+0.066
+0.087
+0.156
+0.016
+0.214
0.007
BETA0001
+0.050
-0.046
+0.035
-0.031
+0.171
-0.017
BETA0102
+0.028
+0.051
+0.058
+0.030
+0.230
-0.019
BETA0102
-0.064
-0.046
-0.018
+0.001
-0.171
-0.009
BETA0203
-0.153
-0.012
-0.106
+0.000
-0.064
0.007
BETA0203
-0.182
-0.113
-0.166
-0.012
-0.183
-0.020
BETA0304
-0.252
*
-0.163
-0.237
*
-0.098
-0.181
-0.007
BETA0304
-0.320
**
-0.233
-0.282
*
-0.171
-0.195
-0.014
Industry:
INDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
board independence
directors holdings
log sales proxy firm size
BSIZE
BLOK
board size
percentage of external block holders
DIC02
DIC34
DIC56
DIC7
DIC8
*** / ** / *
CG
87
sample period; minimum return for 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, and
2004. The effect of the calculation is to identify any quarterly period in
which companies had particularly large negative returns.
Table 5.3 shows that a reasonable amount of the lowest total return
is explained, but most of it is, as usual, due to industry and size. The
sign of independence is predominantly negative, with some significance
in only two out of six periods. If anything, therefore, there is a tendency
for companies with more independent boards to suffer greater adverse
returns than otherwise; this tends to refute the suggestion that companies
with more independent boards are less likely to suffer relatively large
negative returns.
Table 5.3 Annual lowest total return against board and ownership
structure, firm size and industry
Dependent
variable
CG
Constant
INDEP
BSIZE
DIRW
BLOK
LFSIZE
NTR99
99
-0.450
***
-0.047
+0.003
+0.000
-0.001
***
+0.002
NTR00
00
-0.616
***
+0.010
-0.007
**
+0.000
+0.000
+0.013
**
NTR01
01
-0.986
***
-0.026
-0.009
**
+0.000
+0.000
+0.037
***
NTR02
02
-0.657
***
-0.070
*
-0.005
-0.001
+0.000
+0.015
**
NTR03
03
-0.392
***
-0.086
**
+0.003
-0.002
**
-0.001
*
-0.003
NTR04
04
-0.621
***
-0.042
+0.001
+0.000
+0.001
*
+0.022
***
88
Table 5.3 Annual lowest total return against board and ownership
structure, firm size and industry (Cont.)
Dependent
variable
DIC02
DIC34
DIC56
DIC7
DIC8
ADJ
R2
NTR99
+0.087
***
+0.128
***
+0.092
***
+0.238
***
+0.191
***
0.201
NTR00
+0.215
***
+0.204
***
+0.202
***
+0.232
***
+0.298
***
0.220
NTR01
+0.330
***
+0.335
***
+0.290
***
+0.380
***
+0.509
***
0.416
NTR02
+0.180
***
+0.224
***
+0.146
***
+0.294
***
+0.352
***
0.220
NTR03
+0.192
***
+0.184
***
+0.140
***
+0.287
***
+0.236
***
0.148
NTR04
+0.134
***
+0.157
***
+0.128
***
+0.206
***
+0.261
***
0.235
INDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
board independence
directors holdings
log sales proxy firm size
NTR
BSIZE
BLOK
Industry:
DIC02
resources, basic and general industries equal to 1, others 0
DIC34
consumer goods equal to 1, others 0
DIC56
services equal to 1, others 0
DIC7
utilities equal to 1, others 0
DIC8
real estates equal to 1, others 0
*** / ** / * denotes significant at 1% / 5% / 10% level respectively
CG
year the corporate governance factors are measured
89
CG
Constant
NTRn-1
BSIZE
DIRW
BLOK
LFSIZE
INDEP00
00
-0.507
-0.343
-0.004
-0.005
-0.001
+0.020
***
***
-0.367
-0.072
INDEP01
01
***
INDEP02
02
-0.291
-0.102
-0.011
-0.004
***
-0.016
-0.005
**
***
-0.014
-0.004
INDEP03
03
-0.683
***
***
**
***
INDEP04
04
-0.505
-0.111
-0.015
-0.005
**
***
***
-0.391
***
**
+0.000
+0.028
**
+0.000
+0.023
-0.000
+0.042
+0.000
+0.047
**
***
***
90
Table 5.4 Board independence against lag annual lowest total return,
board size and ownership structure (Cont.)
Dependent
variable
DIC02
DIC34
DIC56
DIC7
DIC8
ADJ R2
+0.097
*
+0.211
**
+0.146
**
0.116
INDEP00
+0.025
+0.102
*
INDEP01
-0.035
+0.030
-0.014
+0.057
+0.039
0.066
INDEP02
+0.007
+0.129
*
+0.061
+0.049
+0.076
0.084
INDEP03
+0.053
+0.129
*
+0.053
+0.229
**
+0.132
*
0.124
INDEP04
-0.030
+0.013
-0.033
+0.040
+0.037
0.120
NTRn-1
BSIZE
BLOK
INDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
board independence
directors holdings
log sales proxy firm size
Industry:
DIC02
DIC34
DIC56
DIC7
DIC8
*** / ** / *
CG
91
CG
Constant
NTRn-1
BSIZE
DIRW
BLOK
LFSIZE
CINDEP1
00
0.059
-0.069
-0.007
+0.000
+0.000
-0.003
CINDEP2
01
0.029
-0.113
-0.004
+0.000
+0.000
-0.002
CINDEP3
02
-0.044
-0.010
-0.010
-0.001
+0.000
+0.008
+0.001
+0.001
+0.021
**
CINDEP4
CINDEP5
03
04
-0.252
-0.149
**
**
0.108
+0.157
***
-0.001
**
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
+0.007
92
Table 5.5 Change in board independence against lag annual lowest total
return, board size and ownership structure (Cont.)
Dependent
variable
DIC02
DIC34
DIC56
DIC7
DIC8
ADJ R2
CINDEP1
+0.080
+0.139
+0.103
+0.005
+0.149
0.022
***
**
***
CINDEP2
+0.043
+0.047
-0.005
+0.005
+0.008
-0.009
CINDEP3
+0.043
+0.080
+0.056
-0.020
+0.028
0.001
CINDEP4
-0.040
-0.076
-0.076
+0.076
-0.033
0.038
-0.051
0.025
*
CINDEP5
NTRn-1
BSIZE
BLOK
-0.079
-0.128
-0.083
-0.192
***
**
***
CINDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
Industry:
DIC02
DIC34
DIC56
DIC7
DIC8
*** / ** / *
CG
Summary
The Combined Codes main principle is that every company should
be headed by an effective board, which is collectively responsible for
the success of the company. In addition, the Code emphasises that
non-executive directors are responsible for monitoring the performance
of management and the reporting of performance. If the reasoning
behind the Code is well founded, it might be expected that the greater
the compliance by companies, the lower their risk will be. This chapter
examines the link between the board structure using board independence
Endnote
1 A recent study by Lasfer (2006) tests whether high managerial ownership leads
to management entrenchment, which consequently gives power to the CEO
to create a board that is unlikely to monitor executives. His findings indicate a
strong negative relationship between the managerial ownership level and other
corporate governance factors, namely, the split of the roles of the CEO and the
Chair, the proportion of NEDs and the appointment of NED as a Chair.
93
Conclusions
Introduction
In the past two decades corporate governance has become a central
issue in financial regulation. This issue has again come to the fore
with the recent global financial crisis. This chapter summarises the
overall results of the empirical research on the link between corporate
governance structure, ownership structure and firm performance and
risk. In addition, the study also investigates the possibility that firm
performance may affect the corporate governance structure. FTSE 350
index companies listed on 31 December 1999 and/or 30 June 2004
form the population for the research. The measures of firm performance
and risk used in the research are market value to book value ratio (Q),
return on assets, ratio of sales to assets, lowest total returns, and firms
total and systematic risks (Beta).
Prior research
The review of the literature in chapter two shows that the results
of previous research on governance and measures of performance have
been mixed with either an inverse relationship or no relationship found
between board independence and performance by the majority of studies.
Most leading research has been based on US data or on the period of
rapid changes in governance following the Cadbury report. This report
investigates the relationship between corporate governance and corporate
performance in the UK in a later, more stable period. Four questions
are addressed:
96
Results
Governance and performance
There were discernible trends in corporate governance over the
period of the study with the independence of boards increasing and
board sizes decreasing. There were also relationships among corporate
governance factors. After controlling for industry it is found that
large companies have more independent boards and companies that
have a large proportion of shares owned by directors tend to have less
independent boards.
Initially, three measures of corporate performance were examined
- market to book ratio (Q), return on assets (ROA), ratio of sales to
total assets (SASET) . The three variables are interconnected with each
other and the previous values of themselves. Q and the other variables
are strongly positively related to their values in previous periods. That
is to say a high value last year is likely to be associated with a high value
in the current year. Q is also strongly related to the change in SASET
over the previous year.
Performance is volatile but governance changes slowly. Performance
is first investigated using two three-year sub-periods; 1999 to 2001, and
2002 to 2004, and then over three two-year sub-periods (1999-2000,
Conclusions
97
98
Conclusions
99
100
Policy implications
The FRC conducts regular reviews of the Combined Code. The last
completed review was in 2007 and there is another ongoing in 2009. Such
reviews have found relatively little concern among respondents about
the quality of governance in UK companies and respondents believed
that governance, and dialogue between companies and shareholders
had improved over a period of years. This research finds little to refute
Conclusions
that view. If there had been a clear positive relationship between, say,
independence or board size and performance, then the conjecture that
companies could increase their performance by appointing additional
independent directors might have been sustained. Alternatively, if
governance arrangements were imposing significant unnecessary costs
on companies, it is more likely that a negative relationship between
governance and performance would be observed, as some companies
might chose not to comply with guidance in order to report improved
performance and avoid the costs of compliance. The lack of a clear
relationship between independence and performance suggests that
companies are not too far from the optimum proportion of independent
directors on their boards.
The negative relationship between share ownership by directors and
independence of the board and (as other researchers have discovered)
other recommended governance arrangements suggests that there should
be more scrutiny of companies where the board may be entrenched by
virtue of their shareholdings.
Concern with corporate governance arose partly because of
corporate failures and gross strategic errors by companies. Accordingly,
a reasonable objective of good governance is to reduce the riskiness of
corporate performance and the probability of nasty surprises. The
research shows that there is little evidence that governance arrangements
are effective in reducing risks or large downside price movements.
More research is indicated in this area together with a review of the
training needs of independent directors in evaluating and challenging
managements plans.
101
102
eferences
104
References
References
105
106
References
References
107
108
References
References
109
110
References
References
111
112
References
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Morck, R., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. (1988), Management ownership
and market valuation An empirical analysis, Journal of Financial
Economics, 20, 293-315.
Mura, R. (2007), Do non-executive directors and Institutional Investors
Have Minds of Their Own? Evidence on Performance of UK Firms, 19
March 2007, from http://ssrn.com/abstract=676971
Myners, P. (2001), Institutional Investment in the United Kingdom: A
Review. London: HM Treasury.
113
114
References
References
115
116
References
References
117
ppendix
Table 1 shows, for companies that were members of the FTSE 350 in 1999,
factors associated with continued membership in 2004 and with survival
as independent companies, whether still a member of the index or not in
2004. See chapter three for discussion of the results.
Table 1
Survive in
FTSE 350
Survive as
independent
INDEP
BSIZE
DIRW
BLOK
Sep
Chair
ROA
SASET
-1.043
***
-.031
0.016
0.003
-0.004
***
-0.079
0.012
0.348
**
0.044
-0.75
0.126
0.014
0.002
-0.003
***
0.007
0.008
0.236
0.039
DIC02
DIC34
DIC56
DIC7
DIC8
ADJ
R2
LFSIZE
Survive in
FTSE 350
Survive as
independent
Gear
.100
***
0.000
0.271
**
0.239
0.333
***
0.253
0.594
***
0.366
0.042
*
0.000
0.112
.104
0.206
**
0.067
0.288
*
0.078
INDEP
DIRW
Sec Chair
board independence
directors ownership
separation of chair & CEO
Tobins Q calculated as Market Value (Market Value of Equity plus minority interest
plus Total Liabilities) divided by the Total Assets
ROA
SASET
Gear
return on assets
sales to total assets ratio
gearing ratio
Industry:
DIC02
DIC34
DIC56
DIC7
DIC8
*** / ** / *
Appendix One
120
1.00
SASET00
0.89
1.00
SASET01
0.70
0.78
1.00
Q99
Q00
Q01
SASET02
0.64
0.70
0.91
1.00
SASET03
0.61
0.66
0.86
0.95
SASET04
0.51
0.57
0.75
0.87
0.92
Q99
0.14
0.02
-0.02
-0.01
0.01
0.00
1.00
Q00
0.03
0.01
-0.04
-0.03
-0.04
-0.02
0.69
1.00
Q01
0.17
0.15
0.18
0.11
0.13
0.10
0.61
0.66
1.00
Q02
0.13
0.13
0.23
0.25
0.23
0.21
0.40
0.44
0.75
Q03
0.11
0.12
0.17
0.22
0.24
0.22
0.39
0.39
0.55
Q04
0.02
0.02
0.07
0.12
0.15
0.22
0.41
0.39
0.52
ROA99
0.43
0.35
0.30
0.26
0.24
0.24
0.29
0.05
0.24
ROA00
0.34
0.38
0.29
0.25
0.21
0.21
0.11
-0.15
0.21
ROA01
0.22
0.26
0.30
0.26
0.21
0.17
0.04
-0.04
0.26
ROA02
0.15
0.21
0.26
0.26
0.21
0.18
-0.09
-0.18
0.19
ROA03
0.14
0.18
0.24
0.25
0.20
0.12
-0.12
-0.15
0.15
ROA04
0.13
0.15
0.17
0.20
0.16
0.08
-0.08
-0.11
0.07
1.00
1.00
Appendix One
121
Q03
Q04
ROA99
ROA00
ROA01
ROA02
ROA03
ROA04
SASET99
SASET00
SASET01
SASET02
SASET03
SASET04
Q99
Q00
Q01
Q02
1.00
Q03
0.78
Q04
0.62
0.79
1.00
ROA99
0.30
0.22
0.22
1.00
1.00
ROA00
0.26
0.06
0.09
0.80
1.00
ROA01
0.34
0.13
0.06
0.55
0.75
1.00
ROA02
0.32
0.11
0.03
0.43
0.60
0.73
1.00
ROA03
0.30
0.15
-0.06
0.41
0.51
0.73
0.82
1.00
ROA04
0.20
0.10
-0.12
0.38
0.43
0.72
0.62
0.91
Q
ROA
SASET
1.00
Tobins Q calculated as Market Value (Market Value of Equity plus minority interest plus
Total Liabilities) divided by the Total Assets
Return on assets
Ratio of Sales to Total Assets
Appendix One
122
Constant
Q00
-0.505
Qn-1
SASET
(SASETnSASETn-1)
Adj. R
Squared
F Statistics
+1.401***
+4.693***
0.513
168.288***
Q01
1.402***
+0.179***
+0.824***
0.442
121.324***
Q02
0.721***
+0.419***
+0.599***
0.571
203.211***
Q03
0.418***
+0.665***
+0.710***
0.637
269.768***
Q04
0.228***
+0.993***
+0.630***
0.645
271.742***
Tobins Q calculated as Market Value (Market Value of Equity plus minority interest
plus Total Liabilities) divided by the Total Assets
SASET
Ratio of Sales to Total Assets
*** / ** / * denotes significant at 1% / 5% / 10% level respectively
Appendix One
123
Q0204
ROA9901
1.000
Q0204
0.562***
1.000
ROA9901
0.124
0.306
1.000
ROA0204
-0.109
0.133
0.626***
1.000
0.056
0.150
0.389
0.204
1.000
SASET0204 -0.010
0.258
0.283
0.199
0.762***
SASET9901
Q9901
1.000
average Tobins Q calculated as Market Value (Market Value of Equity plus minority
interest plus Total Liabilities) divided by the Total Assets for three year period 1999
to 2001
Q0204
average Tobins Q calculated as Market Value (Market Value of Equity plus minority
interest plus Total Liabilities) divided by the Total Assets, for three year period 2002
to 2004
ROA9901 average (operating income/total assets for three year period 1999 to 2001
ROA0204 average (operating income/total assets) for three year period 2002 to 2004
SASET9901 average ratio sales to assets for three year period 1999 to 2001
SASET0204 average ratio sales to assets for three year period 2002 to 2004
*** / ** / * denotes significant at 1% / 5% / 10% level respectively
PPENDIX 2
Industry classification
The following table shows the number of companies in the final sample
based on the FTSE Global Classification system.
Industry
Code
Number of
companies
Resources
00
25
Basic industries
10
47
General industries
20
32
30
40
36
Cyclical services
50
133
Non-cyclical services
60
18
Utilities
70
16
Real estate
80
22
Information technology
90
30
Total
365
ppendix
Instrumental
Variable(s) (IV)
Issue
Justification for
IV and extents of
interdependence
problem
Author(s)
Method
Agrawal &
Knoeber (1996)
3sls
Firm performance
(Q) and control
mechanisms
Governance and
performance
Not available
Cho (1998)
Ownership
structure &
corporate value
Not available.
Cho noted that
2SLS and 3SLS
regression provide
qualitatively similar
results. His primary
result suggests that
endogeneity affects
the results of OLS
regressions.
Hermalin &
Weisbach (1991)
Lagged variables
Board
composition,
Ownership
Structure and
Performance
Appendix Three
128
Instrumental
Variable(s) (IV)
Issue
Justification for
IV and extents of
interdependence
problem
Author(s)
Method
Palia (2001)
CEO experience,
CEO quality of
education, firm
volatility and
CEO age. These
variables are expected
to be related to
compensation. These
variables are chosen
as the instrumental
variables because other
studies indicate that
these variables to be
related to the structure
of managerial
compensation.
Managerial
compensation
and firm value
Hausman &Taylor
(1981) test. Check
for insignificant
correlation between
IVs and error
term. In addition,
Palia provides an
explanation
on why other
governance
variables were used
as control variables
instead of as IVs.
Himmelberg,
Hubbard, &
Palia (1999)
2sls
Ownership
and firm
performance
Barnhart &
Rosenstein
(1998)
2sls
Four sets of
instruments are
developed for three
endogenous variables
(Q, OUT; board
composition, and
OWN)
Board
composition,
managerial
ownership
and firm
performance.
Logit transformation
is used when
ownership and board
independence is the
dependent variable.
3sls
Normalised earnings
per share, fraction of
independent directors
over the board size,
and share ownership
by all directors and
officers.
Board
independence
and long
term firm
performance
Not available
Appendix Three
129
Instrumental
Variable(s) (IV)
Issue
Justification for
IV and extents of
interdependence
problem
Author(s)
Method
Lasfer (2006)
2sls
Managerial
ownership and
board structure
Not available.
However, he
noted that the
endogeneity issue
may not be directly
accounted for in his
research owing to
unavailability of data
that is specific to
managers and/or the
board.
Young (2000)
Consider three
endogenous variables;
the number of
executive board
members, the level
of managerial equity
ownership, and the
level of dividend
payments.
IV not used.
Univariate tests of
sensitivity to changes
in endogenous
variables.
UK Board
structure and
governance
arrangement
Not available
Vafeas (1999)
2sls
Board meeting
frequency and
firm performance
Not available
Demsetz &
Villalonga (2001)
Ownership structure
is assumed to be
endogenous.
Ownership
structure and firm
performance
Not available
Appendix Three
130
Instrumental variables
In order to determine the appropriateness of the two sets of
instrumental variables, the correlation between the instrumental
variables and error term from the second stage equation was measured.
The instrumental variables should have no correlation with the error
term. The correlation results indicate that the first set of IVs (lagged
endogenous variables and other predictor variables) are not correlated
with the error term from the second stage equation, but generally the
second set of IVs (lagged endogenous variables replaced by gearing
ratio, earnings per share and research and development costs scaled by
the sales value and other predictor variables) show a correlation of up
to 27% with the error term.
Based on the correlation between IVs and error term, the lagged
variables are considered as the better IVs than the other three new
variables (gearing ratio, research and development over sales, and
earnings per share) added to the regression. The instrumental variables
will be considered more exogenous than the explanatory variables that
are endogenous (in this study; INDEP and BSIZE) when its correlation
to the endogenous variables is moderate to high (Larcker & Rusticus;
2005). The correlation of the explanatory variables to their lagged values
between 73% to 81% for INDEP and between 52% and 86% for BSIZE.
The second possible set of instrumental variables was found to be
inappropriate because their correlations with the endogenous variables
(INDEP and BSIZE) were too weak and the residuals of the first stage
regressions were not well behaved?
Results of two stage least squares (2SLS) regression
The 2SLS regressions were performed in two ways, with mutually
consistent results. The results are uniformly similar to the direct estimates
using OLS that are reported in chapter four, as shown in the following
three tables.
Appendix Three
Table 2
131
CG
IV
INDEP
9901
00
99
+***
BSIZE
DIRW
BLOK
LFSIZE
IC
-**
-***
+***
9901
01
00
+***
-**
-***
+***
0204
02
01
-*
-***
+***
0204
03
02
-**
+***
0204
04
03
-**
-**
+***
Instruments are the lagged values of board structure (INDEP and BSIZE) and the other exogenous
variables, ownership and control variables
INDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
board independence
directors ownership
log firm size
Tobins Q calculated as Market Value (Market Value of Equity plus minority interest
plus Total Liabilities) divided by the Total Assets
denotes significant at 1% / 5% / 10% level respectively
*** / ** / *
Table 3
ROA
BSIZE
BLOK
IC
board size
percentage of external block holdings
industry control
IV
INDEP
BSIZE
DIRW
BLOK
LFSIZE
IC
9901
00
99
+***
+***
9901
01
00
-**
+***
+***
0204
02
01
-**
-**
+***
+***
0204
03
02
-**
+***
+***
0204
04
03
-***
-*
+***
+***
Instruments are the lagged values of board structure (INDEP and BSIZE) and the other exogenous
variables, ownership and control variables
INDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
ROA
*** / ** / *
board independence
BSIZE board size
directors ownership
BLOK percentage of external block holdings
log firm size
IC
industry control
return on assets
denotes significant at 1% / 5% / 10% level respectively
Appendix Three
132
Table 5.5 2SLS - SASET regressed against board and ownership structure,
board structure is assumed to be endogenous
SASET
CG
IV
INDEP
BSIZE
DIRW
BLOK
LFSIZE
IC
9901
00
99
-**
+**
+***
+***
9901
01
00
-**
-***
+***
+***
0204
02
01
-***
-***
+**
+***
+***
0204
03
02
-***
-***
+**
+***
+***
0204
04
03
-**
-***
+**
+***
+***
Instruments are the lagged values of board structure (INDEP and BSIZE) and the other exogenous
variables, ownership and control variables
INDEP
DIRW
LFSIZE
SASET
*** / ** / *
board independence
BSIZE
board size
directors ownership
BLOK
percentage of external block holdings
log firm size
IC
industry control
ratio of sales to assets
denotes significant at 1% / 5% / 10% level respectively
In the wake of the recent financial crisis, attention has once again turned to
corporate governance, with policy reviews of UK corporate governance being
undertaken by the FRC and the Walker Review.
One key question may relate to the purpose of corporate governance - is it about
the control of risks, the improvement of performance, or both? If this could
be clarified, criteria could be developed to measure the success of corporate
governance procedures or codes.
This research investigates whether companies with particular corporate
governance characteristics outperform other companies and have lower
levels of risk. The governance characteristics investigated in the report are:
board independence; board size; directors ownership of equity; and extent of
ownership by large block holders.
The effects of these characteristics were measured over two three year periods
between 1999 and 2004. The findings reveal no clear systematic relationship
between governance factors and improved performance and no strong evidence
that governance reduces either total or systematic risk. The authors interpret
the results as suggesting that, so far, increased board independence has not
resulted in lower risk or incidence of strategic mistakes. However, there is little
support for the view that additional governance requirements would result in
performance improvements for large commercial and industrial companies
in the UK.
14/09/2009 12:10