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Problems: N I N I C N N

If a randomly chosen person is a cigarette smoker, 2 percent smoke cigars. If 50 students are not taking any of the courses, the probability that one of them will fail is. The probability that 50 students will fail is greater than the probability that they will succeed.

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100% found this document useful (1 vote)
54 views11 pages

Problems: N I N I C N N

If a randomly chosen person is a cigarette smoker, 2 percent smoke cigars. If 50 students are not taking any of the courses, the probability that one of them will fail is. The probability that 50 students will fail is greater than the probability that they will succeed.

Uploaded by

Cindy Britto
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Chapter 2

Problems
1.

(a) S = {(r, r), (r, g), (r, b), (g, r), (g, g), (g, b), (b, r), b, g), (b, b)}
(b) S = {(r, g), (r, b), (g, r), (g, b), (b, r), (b, g)}

2.

S = {(n, x1, , xn1), n 1, xi 6, i = 1, , n 1}, with the interpretation that the outcome is
(n, x1, , xn1) if the first 6 appears on roll n, and xi appears on roll, i, i = 1, , n 1. The
event (n1 En )c is the event that 6 never appears.

3.

EF = {(1, 2), (1, 4), (1, 6), (2, 1), (4, 1), (6, 1)}.
E F occurs if the sum is odd or if at least one of the dice lands on 1. FG = {(1, 4), (4, 1)}.
EFc is the event that neither of the dice lands on 1 and the sum is odd. EFG = FG.

4.

A = {1,0001,0000001, } B = {01, 00001, 00000001, }


(A B)c = {00000 , 001, 000001, }

5.

(a) 25 = 32
(b)
W = {(1, 1, 1, 1, 1), (1, 1, 1, 1, 0), (1, 1, 1, 0, 1), (1, 1, 0, 1, 1), (1, 1, 1, 0, 0), (1, 1, 0, 1, 0)
(1, 1, 0, 0, 1), (1, 1, 0, 0, 0), (1, 0, 1, 1, 1), (0, 1, 1, 1, 1), (1, 0, 1, 1, 0), (0, 1, 1, 1, 0), (0, 0, 1, 1, 1)
(0, 0, 1, 1, 0), (1, 0, 1, 0, 1)}
(c) 8
(d) AW = {(1, 1, 1, 0, 0), (1, 1, 0, 0, 0)}

6.

(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)

S = {(1, g), (0, g), (1, f), (0, f), (1, s), (0, s)}
A = {(1, s), (0, s)}
B = {(0, g), (0, f), (0, s)}
{(1, s), (0, s), (1, g), (1, f)}

7.

(a) 615
(b) 615 315
(c) 415

8.

(a) .8
(b) .3
(c) 0

9.

Choose a customer at random. Let A denote the event that this customer carries an American
Express card and V the event that he or she carries a VISA card.
P(A V) = P(A) + P(V) P(AV) = .24 + .61 .11 = .74.
Therefore, 74 percent of the establishments customers carry at least one of the two types of
credit cards that it accepts.

10
Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

Chapter 2
10.

11

Let R and N denote the events, respectively, that the student wears a ring and wears a
necklace.
(a) P(R N) = 1 .6 = .4
(b) .4 = P(R N) = P(R) + P(N) P(RN) = .2 + .3 P(RN)
Thus, P(RN) = .1

11.

Let A be the event that a randomly chosen person is a cigarette smoker and let B be the event
that she or he is a cigar smoker.
(a) 1 P(A B) = 1 (.07 + .28 .05) = .7. Hence, 70 percent smoke neither.
(b) P(AcB) = P(B) P(AB) = .07 .05 = .02. Hence, 2 percent smoke cigars but not
cigarettes.

12.

(a) P(S F G) = (28 + 26 + 16 12 4 6 + 2)/100 = 1/2


The desired probability is 1 1/2 = 1/2.
(b) Use the Venn diagram below to obtain the answer 32/100.
S

14

10

10

2
2

4
8
G

(c) Since 50 students are not taking any of the courses, the probability that neither one is
50 100
= 49/198 and so the probability that at least one is taking
taking a course is
2 2
a course is 149/198.
I

13.
1000

II

7000

19000

(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)

20,000
12,000
11,000
68,000
10,000

1000
1000

3000
0
III
Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

12
14.

15.

Chapter 2
P(M) + P(W) + P(G) P(MW) P(MG) P(WG) + P(MWG) = .312 + .470 + .525 .086
.042 .147 + .025 = 1.057
13
(a) 4
5

52
5

4 12 4 4 4
(b) 13
2 3 1 1 1
13
(c)
2

4 4 44
2 2 1

4 12 4 4
(d) 13
3 2 1 1
4 48
(e) 13
4 1

16.

(a)

52
5

52
5
52
5

52
5

6 5 4 3 2
65

(b)

5
6 5 4
3
(d)
21

(g)

17.

(e)

5
6 5 4 3
2
65

5
6 5
3

(c)

(f)

65

6 5 3
2 4 2 2
65

5
65
4
65

6
65

8
i 1

i2

64 63 58

18.

2 4 16
52 51

19.

4/36 + 4/36 +1/36 + 1/36 = 5/18

20.

Let A be the event that you are dealt blackjack and let B be the event that the dealer is dealt
blackjack. Then,
P(A B) = P(A) + P(B) P(AB)
4 4 16 4 4 16 3 15
=

52 51 52 51 50 49
= .0983
where the preceding used that P(A) = P(B) = 2

4 16
. Hence, the probability that neither
52 51

is dealt blackjack is .9017.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

Chapter 2
21.

13

(a) p1 = 4/20, p2 = 8/20, p3 = 5/20, p4 = 2/20, p5 = 1/20


(b) There are a total of 4 1 + 8 2 + 5 3 + 2 4 + 1 5 = 48 children. Hence,
q1 = 4/48, q2 = 16/48, q3 = 15/48, q4 = 8/48, q5 = 5/48

22.

The ordering will be unchanged if for some k, 0 k n, the first k coin tosses land heads and
the last n k land tails. Hence, the desired probability is (n + 1/2n

23.

The answer is 5/12, which can be seen as follows:


1 = P{first higher} + P{second higher} + p{same}
= 2P{second higher} + p{same}
= 2P{second higher} + 1/6
Another way of solving is to list all the outcomes for which the second is higher. There is 1
outcome when the second die lands on two, 2 when it lands on three, 3 when it lands on four,
4 when it lands on five, and 5 when it lands on six. Hence, the probability is
(1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5)/36 = 5/12.

25.
27.

26
P(En) =
36

6
,
36

P( E ) 5
2

n 1

Imagine that all 10 balls are withdrawn


P(A) =

28.

n 1

3 9! 7 6 3 7! 7 6 5 4 3 5! 7 6 5 4 3 2 3 3!
10!

5 6 8
3 3 3
P{same} =
19
3
5 6 8
P{different} =
1 1 1

19
3

If sampling is with replacement


P{same} =

53 63 83
(19)3

P{different} = P(RBG) + P{BRG) + P(RGB) + + P(GBR)


6 5 68
=
(19)3

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

14

29.

Chapter 2

(a)

n( n 1) m( m 1)
( n m )( n m 1)

(b) Putting all terms over the common denominator (n + m)2(n + m 1) shows that we must
prove that
n2(n + m 1) + m2(n + m 1) n(n 1)(n + m) + m(m 1)(n + m)
which is immediate upon multiplying through and simplifying.

30.

7 8
3 3 3!
= 1/18
(a)
8 9
4 4 4!
7 8
3 3 3!
1/18 = 1/6
(b)
8 9
4 4 4!
7 8 7 8
3 4 4 3
= 1/2
(c)
8 9
4 4

31.

P({complete} =
P{same} =

32.

g (b g 1)!
g

(b g )!
b g

33.

5 15
2 2 70

323
20
4

34.

32
13

52
13

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

Chapter 2

35.

15

12 16 18
3 2 2
(a)
46
7
34 12 34
7 1 6
(b) 1

46
46
7
7
12 16 18
7 7 7
(c)
46
7
12 34 16 30 12 16 18
3 4 3 4 3 3 1

(d) P ( R3 B3 ) P( R3 ) P ( B3 ) P ( R3 B3 )
46
46
46
7
7
7

36.

4
(a)
2

52
2 .0045,

4
(b) 13
2

37.

7
(a)
5

52
2 = 1/17 .0588
10
5 = 1/12 .0833

7 3
(b)
4 1

38.

3
1/2 =
2

39.

5 4 3 12

5 5 5 25

10
5 + 1/12 = 1/2
n
2 or n(n 1) = 12 or n = 4.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

16

40.

Chapter 2

P{1} =

4
1

44 64

4 4
84
P{2} = 4 4 44
256
2 2
4 3 4! 4 36
P{3} =
4
64
3 1 2!
4! 6
P{4} = 4
64
4
54
64

41.

42.

35
1
36

43.

44.

2( n 1)( n 2) 2
in a line
n!
n
2n ( n 2)!
2
if in a circle, n 2

n!
n 1

(a) If A is first, then A can be in any one of 3 places and Bs place is determined, and the
others can be arranged in any of 3! ways. As a similar result is true, when B is first, we
see that the probability in this case is 2 3 3!/5! = 3/10
(b) 2 2 3!/5! = 1/5

45.
46.

(c) 2 3!/5! = 1/10


(n 1) k 1
1/n if discard,
if do not discard
nk
If n in the room,
P{all different} =

12 11
12 12

(13 n )
12

When n = 5 this falls below 1/2. (Its value when n = 5 is .3819)


47.

12!/(12)12

48.

12 8 (20)!
4 4 (3!) 4 (2!)4

49.

6 6
3 3

(12)20

12
6

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

Chapter 2

17

50.

13 39 8 31
5 8 8 5

51.

n
nm
/ Nn
m ( n 1)

52.

(a)

(b)
53.

52 39
13 13

20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6
20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13
10 9 8! 6
1 6 2! 2
20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13

Let Ai be the event that couple i sit next to each other. Then
P (i41 Ai ) 4

2 7!
22 6!
23 5! 24 4!
6
4

8!
8!
8!
8!

and the desired probability is 1 minus the preceding.


54.

P(S H D C) = P(S) + P(H) + P(D) + P(C) P(SH) P(SHDC)


39
26
13
4 6 4
13
13
13

=
52
52
52
13
13
13
39
26
4 6 4
13
13
=
52
13

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

18
55.

Chapter 2
(a) P(S H D C) = P(S) + P(SHDC)
3

2
2 2 48
2 46 2 44
4 6 4
2
2 2 9
2 7 2 5
=

52
52
52
52
13
13
13
13
50
48
46 44
4 6 4
11
9
7 5
=
52
13
48
13
9

(b) P(1 2 13) =


52
13

56.

13 44 13 40
2 5 3 1

52
52
13
13

Player B. If Player A chooses spinner (a) then B can choose spinner (c). If A chooses (b)
then B chooses (a). If A chooses (c) then B chooses (b). In each case B wins probability 5/9.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

Chapter 2

19

Theoretical Exercises
i 1

5.

Fi = Ei E cj

6.

(a) EFcGc

j 1

(b) EFcG
(c) E F G
(d) EF EG FG
(e) EFG
(f) EcFcGc
(g) EcFcGc EFcGc EcFGc EcFcG
(h) (EFG)c
(i) EFGc EFcG EcFG
(j) S
8.

The number of partitions that has n + 1 and a fixed set of i of the elements 1, 2, , n as a
n
subset is Tni. Hence, (where T0 = 1). Hence, as there are such subsets.
i
n 1
n
n
n
n

T
T
i n i
i n i
k Tk .
i 0
i0
k 1
n

Tn+1 =

11.

1 P(E F) = P(E) + P(F) P(EF)

12.

P(EFc EcF) = P(EFc) + P(EcF)


= P(E) P(EF) + P(F) P(EF)

13.

E = EF EFc

15.

M N
k r k
M N
r

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

20
16.

Chapter 2
P(E1 En) P(E1 En1) + P(En) 1 by Bonferonnis Ineq.

n 1

P( E ) (n 2) + P(E ) 1 by induction hypothesis


n

19.

21.

n m
r 1 k r ( n r 1)
n m
k 1 ( n m k 1)

Let y1, y2, , yk denote the successive runs of losses and x1, , xk the successive runs of wins.
There will be 2k runs if the outcome is either of the form y1, x1, , yk xk or x1y1, xk, yk where
all xi, yi are positive, with x1 + + xk = n, y1 + + yk = m. By Proposition 6.1 there are
n 1 m 1
number of outcomes and so
2
k 1 k 1
n 1 m 1
P{2k runs} = 2
k 1 k 1

m n
n .

There will be 2k + 1 runs if the outcome is either of the form x1, y1, , xk, yk, xk+1 or y1, x1, ,
yk, xk yk + 1 where all are positive and
xi = n,
yi = m. By Proposition 6.1 there are

n 1 m 1
n 1 m 1
k k 1 outcomes of the first type and k 1 k of the second.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

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