RBSA Indian Cement Industry Analysis
RBSA Indian Cement Industry Analysis
RBSA Indian Cement Industry Analysis
Contents
Background of Indias Cement Industry
Current Trends and Performance
Valuation Multiples Analysis
Regulatory Framework
Industrys Major Players
Contact Us
Valuation
Investment Banking
Advisory Services
1
The cement industry has evolved in the form of clusters across the country due to the concentration of limestone
reserves in certain states.
The cyclical nature of the industry, nature of the commodity and transportation cost requires cement plant to be
located in the market it serves. Also, the availability of Limestone, key raw material plays a vital role in the location of
a companys plant.
600
500
Million Tonne
400
330
300
200
100
As of 2011, there were 137 large and 365 mini cement plants in
India.
0
2013
2020E
Industrial,
9%
Commerci
al, 11%
Infrastruct
ure, 13%
Housing, 6
7%
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
222
FY11
242
FY12
265
293
324
359
398
CAGR
10.2%
FY13E
FY14E
FY15E
FY16E
FY17E
North-East Package
Highway
Development Funds
The Ministry of Road Transport plans to roll out projects worth USD 120
billion by 2016
Infrastructure Sector
The government has further enhanced the tax-free bond limit to USD 30
billion in FY 2012-13. It has also established an infrastructure debt fund
worth USD 1.8 billion.
Rural Road
Development
The government has allocated a fund of INR 24,000 crore for the
development of rural road projects in FY 2012-13.
Excess
Capacity
Entry of
foreign
players
Economies of
scale.
The consolidation in the cement industry would prove
to be beneficial both for the acquiring companies as
well as for the cement industry.
Extended
reach &
increased
revenues
Technological
up gradation.
Consolidation
in Cement
Industry
Target
Stake
Size
14%
INR 1400 Cr
NA
INR 1400 Cr
Ambuja Cements
Holcim India
24%
$ 585 Mn.
Jaypee Group
85%
INR 20 Cr.
Ambuja
Cements
Table Source:
News Reports Dang Cement Industries, Nepal
Dalmia Cement
Adhunik Cement
35%
31%
30%
30%
30%
27%
26%26%
24%24%
25%
20%
22%
21%
21%
21%
19%
19%
18%
15%
10%
13%
14%
13%
9%
8%
5%
6%
Margin Comparison
13%12%
12%
11%
10%
Ramco Cements
Shree Cement
7%
3%
0%
ACC Ltd
Ambuja Cement
EBITDA Margin 2013
India Cement
J.K Cement
Ultratech Cement
Ambuja Cement
2.50 x
Shree Cement
Ultratech
Cement
ACC Ltd
2.00 x
Multiples
Ramco Cement
1.50 x
India Cement
1.00 x
J.K Cement
0.50 x
0.00 x
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
EBIDTA Margin
10.73 x
8.12 x
7.60 x
Shree Cement
6.83 x
17.85 x
Ultratech
Cement
Ramco
Cements
5.32 x
13.06 x
12.63 x
11.39 x
11.26 x
6.50 x
4.43 x
J.K Cement
2.89 x
6.24 x
5.70 x
India Cement
India Cement
10.32 x
11.23 x
Ambuja Cement
7.28 x
4.64 x
14.91 x
9.55 x
22.03 x
Ambuja
Cement
18.50 x
11.31 x
ACC Ltd
2.00 x
11.41 x
Shree Cement
4.62 x
Ramco Cements
15.63 x
Industry
Average
6.75 x
Ultratech Cement
J.K Cement
PE Multiple
8.21 x
Industry Average
9.37 x
4.00 x
6.00 x
2013
8.00 x
Earning Multiples
EV/EBITDA Multiple
10.00 x 12.00 x
2012
23.46 x
ACC Ltd
4.00 x
16.23 x
9.00 x
2013
14.00 x
19.00 x
24.00 x
2012
Note: All Financial data for calculation of multiple has been taken from public sources, annual reports or Capital Line.
Cement highly
taxed/Tax
Incentives
Inadequate
availability of
wagons
Steep fall in
cement
exports
Regulatory
Issues &
Challenges
Acute
shortage of
coal
Excess cement
capacity
Cement highly
taxed/Tax
Incentives
Regulatory
Issues &
Challenges
Inadequate
availability of
wagons:
Steep fall in
cement
exports
Acute
shortage of
coal
Excess cement
capacity
Tax Incentives
The government needs to initiate certain measures in
the form of providing tax incentive to the industry,
reduce the overall tax value on the commodity and
phase out cross subsidy on electricity, diesel and
railway freight in a gradual manner.
The government can also consider classifying cement as
"Declared Goods" like steel having a uniform VAT rate
of 4 per cent throughout the country.
The overall taxation value on cement can be brought
down to a level of 20-25 per cent of ex-works selling
price from the current level. Tax incentive should also
be provided by the government for promoting blended
cement in the larger interest of mineral conservation,
waste utilization and bringing down carbon emission.
Above all, level playing field needs to be provided to the
domestic manufacturers to encourage cement and
clinker exports by re-imposing custom duty on cement,
which is nil at present. Additionally, Ready Mix
Concrete (RMC) needs to be encouraged leading to bulk
supply of cement and consequent reduction in
packaging cost.
10
INR in Crores
20,000
15,000
13,798
10,000
5,000
2,850
1,361
4,565
2,397
5,143
2,688
FY 2011
Net Sales
FY 2012
EBITDA
FY 2013
Net Profit
24%
24%
21%
15%
13%
10%
12%
10%
5%
0%
FY 2011
EBITDA Margin
FY 2012
FY 2013
11
Shree Ultra
Bangur Cement
Rockstrong
Flagship Brand
High Recall
High acceptance due
to positioning
Positioned as a
premium brand to
meet
high
end
market segment.
Latest
brand
positioned
as
delivering
high
performance
and
ability to withstand
harsh environment.
6000
4718
INR in Crores
5000
4000
3454
3000
2000
1000
1748
1437
1004
961
495
210
0
FY 2011
Net Sales
FY 2012
EBIDTA
FY 2013
Net Profit
31%
30%
28%
25%
20%
15%
18%
10%
10%
5%
0%
6%
2011
2012
EBIDTA Margin
2013
Net Profit Margin
12
4,000
3,257
INR in crores
3,500
3,000
2,616
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
1,048
971
658
211
404
385
FY 2011
Net Sales
FY 2012
EBITDA
FY 2013
PAT
30%
25%
27%
25%
20%
12%
15%
10%
11%
8%
5%
0%
FY 2011
FY 2012
EBITDA Margins
FY 2013
PAT Margins
13
3500
Grey Cement
Production in FY 2013 increased to 5.68 Millon Tonnes
compared to 5.32 Million Tonnes in FY 2012 and sales by
6.15% at 5.66 Million Tonnes as compared to 5.33
Million Tonnes in FY 2012.
3000
2547
INR in Crores
2500
2094
2000
1500
1000
606
553
500
314
63
230
175
0
FY 2011
Net Sales
FY 2012
EBITDA
FY 2013
PAT
White Cement
Production of White Cement increased by 16.69% at 4.4
Lac Tonnes during FY 2013, compared to 3.77 Lac
Tonnes in the FY 2012. while value-added products
registered increase of 43.7%.
Sale was also in tandem with production. Increase in
volume of White Cement and value-added products
(wall putty) and other cost cutting measures resulted in
higher contribution during FY 2013, as compared to the
previous years.
25%
20%
15%
22%
15%
10%
8%
5%
7%
3%
0%
FY 2011
EBITDA Margin
FY 2012
FY 2013
PAT Margin
14
6,000
5,159
INR in Crores
5,000
4,000
4,631
3,622
3,000
2,000
1,000
967
483
960
260
57
179
FY 2011
Net Sales
FY 2012
EBITDA
FY 2013
Net Profit
25%
21%
19%
20%
15%
13%
10%
6%
5%
3%
2%
0%
FY 2011
EBITDA Margin
FY 2012
FY 2013
PAT Margin
15
12000
9795
10000
INR in Crores
8571
8000
7390
6000
4000
2000
2543
2201
2097
1263
1292
1227
0
CY 2010
Net Sales
CY 2011
EBITDA
CY 2012
PAT
28%
26%
20%
15%
17%
13%
14%
10%
26%
25%
5%
0%
CY 2010
CY 2011
EBITDA Margin
CY 2012
PAT Margin
16
12,000
10,237
10,000
INR in Crores
8,261
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
1,901
1,074
2,112
1,290
2,125
1,050
CY 2010
Net Sales
CY 2011
EBITDA
CY 2012
PAT
23%
21%
20%
15%
19%
13%
13%
10%
9%
5%
0%
CY 2010
EBITDA Margin
CY 2011
CY 2012
PAT Margin
17
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