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Assignment 1

This document contains 12 questions from an assignment on probability and statistics. The questions cover topics like: - Finding the probability of outcomes when selecting items from a lot with defective and non-defective items - Determining the probability of selecting an unemployed person based on gender ratios and unemployment rates - Calculating the expected net gain from purchasing lottery tickets - Preparing a probability density function table and finding the expected number of sets in a tennis match - Determining the number of tests needed to have a 99% chance of passing a test series with a 75% chance of passing each test - Properties of the Poisson distribution and finding the moment generating function of a related random variable - Probability of a random point

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Partho Sarthi
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143 views

Assignment 1

This document contains 12 questions from an assignment on probability and statistics. The questions cover topics like: - Finding the probability of outcomes when selecting items from a lot with defective and non-defective items - Determining the probability of selecting an unemployed person based on gender ratios and unemployment rates - Calculating the expected net gain from purchasing lottery tickets - Preparing a probability density function table and finding the expected number of sets in a tennis match - Determining the number of tests needed to have a 99% chance of passing a test series with a 75% chance of passing each test - Properties of the Poisson distribution and finding the moment generating function of a related random variable - Probability of a random point

Uploaded by

Partho Sarthi
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani.

Second semester 2015-16


Course No. MATH F113
Course Name : Probability and Statistics,

Assignment-I
Chapter 1 to 4 (Lecture 1 to 20 as per handout)
NOTE: Students are advised to solve all the questions given below, out of which one
question may be asked in any of the examinations. (Don't submit to any of the
Instructor)
___________________________________________________________________________
Q1. A stockist has 20 items in a lot. Out of which 12 are non-defective and 8 are defective. A
customer selects 3 items from the lot. What is the probability that out of 3 items,
(a) Three items are non-defective. (b) Two are non-defective and one is defective.
Q2.

In a certain town, males and females each form 50% of the population. It is known that
20% of the males and 5% of the females are unemployed. A research student studying the
employment situation selects an unemployed person at random, what is the probability
that the selected person is a
(a) male?
(b) female?

Q3. In a lottery conducted to benefit a local charity, 8000 tickets are to be sold at Rs. 10 each.
Out of 8000 tickets only one ticket win the prize of Rs. 24000. If you purchase two tickets,
what is your expected net gain ?
Q4. Two tennis players A and B are scheduled to play a match. The winner is the first player to
win three sets in a total that cannot exceed five sets. The event that player A wins any one
set is independent of the event that he/she wins any other set. The probability that player A
wins any one set is equal to 0.6. Let X be the total number of sets played in the match; i.e.
X = 3, 4, 5. Prepare a table for probability density function of X and find the expected
number of sets required to complete the match. Use moment generating functions to
compute Var(X).
Q5. An Institute offers test series for clearing a certain competitive exam. To clear a single test a
minimum of 90% marks is necessary and a student can take unlimited number of tests.
Abel has 75% chance to clear a given test in a test series. To be successful in the test series
the criteria set is clearing two tests. Assuming the tests are of identical difficulty level, how
many tests should Abel give to attain a 99% or higher chance of clearing the test series?

Q6. If X follows Poisson distribution with parameter , show that Y =

is a random

variable with mean 0 and variance 1. Find the moment generating function of Y and show
that it approaches

t2

as .

Q7. A point is chosen at random on the line segment [0, 2]. What is probability that the chosen
point lies between 1 and 3/2 ?
Q8. The probability density function for a continuous random variable X is given as
0 x 1
elsewhere

f ( x)

2x ;
0
;

P ( X 0.5)
Compute
Q9.

Suppose that a system contains a certain type of component whose time, in years, to failure
is given by T . The random variable T is modeled nicely by the exponential
distribution with mean time to failure

=5 . If 5 of these components are installed in

different systems, what is the probability that at least 2 are still functioning at the end of 8
years?
Q10. In an industrial process the diameter of a ball bearing is an important component part. The
buyer sets specifications on the diameter to be 3.0 0.01 cm . The implication is that no
part falling outside these specifications will be accepted. It is known that in the process the
diameter of a ball bearing has a normal distribution with mean =3.0 and standard
deviation

=0.005 .

How many ball bearings will be scrapped out of 10000

manufactured ball bearings?


Q11. a) An unbiased die is rolled 600 times. Apply Chebyshevs inequality to find the lower
bound on the probability of obtaining the number of one's, strictly between 80 and 120.
b) An unbiased die is rolled 720 times. Find the upper bound for the probability that
number one's occurs either less than 106 or more than 134 times, by using Chebyshevs
inequality.
Q12. The reliability of an electric component is the probability that the bulb chosen at random
from production, will function under its designed conditions. A random sample of 1000
components is tested. Calculate the approximate probability of observing 25 or more are
not working, assume that the reliability of a component is 0.98.

*****END****

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