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Abstract
A substantial proportion of the worlds population is dissatisfied with the way the global marketbased economy operates. In particular, the desire of consumers to pay as little as possible for a
product and the desire of producers and investors to make as much profit as possible, lead to actions that drive down wages, undermine social welfare and damage the environment. To counteract this, we propose that the millions of consumers who wish to change the market adopt a combined buying and investing strategy that we term buyvesting in which ethical would become the
new profitable. We use a learning program to illustrate the buyvesting proposal, which we discuss with respect to the concepts of competitive coherence and shared reality theory.
Keywords
Investment, Finance, Competition, Neural network, Board
1. Introduction
According to one popular description A market-based economy is where goods and services are produced
without obstruction or interference etc. [1], this absence of constraints results in several questions that trouble
millions of potential investors. How can they buy the cheapest products and yet preserve decent working conditions, ensure taxes are paid, and protect the environment? How can they make money from ethical investments?
Such altruistic motivation leads large numbers of internauts to attempt to change the behavior of companies via
online petitions, orchestrated boycotts and political activism. This altruism is itself at complete variance with the
values driving the global economy and therefore risks being ineffectual. Indeed, the attempts of those who wish
to change the global market are often restricted to specific actions and have little effect on its overall functioning.
*
Corresponding author.
How to cite this paper: Norris, V., Norris, L. and Wong, W.-K. (2015) The Positive Feedback Advantages of Combining Buying and Investing. Theoretical Economics Letters, 5, 659-669. http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/tel.2015.55077
V. Norris et al.
Income disparity has attracted considerable attention as a possible factor in generating a wide range of social
ills [2]-[7] and in reflecting how such disparity might be reduced, the authors cite those economists who sometimes suggest that the market is like a democratic voting system: our expenditure is in effect our vote on how
productive resources should be allocated between competing demands [5]; the idea, then, is that the rich have
more effective votes than the poor and can distort economies. In line with the market approach to improving society, organizations such as Ceres [8] help direct the investment of trillions of dollars with the aim of improving
working conditions and reducing environmental damage (see below).
Here, we propose a possible answer to those who are looking for a peaceful and effective way to alter the operation of the global market. We examine the nature of one of the fundamental social and environmental problems that results from the pressure to minimize costs and maximize profits. We discuss how the combination of
buying and investing via a common institution may circumvent this problem. Neural networks have been widely
used in economics [9] and, finally, we use a type of neural network to try to evaluate the efficacy of this combination of buying and investing [10].
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disagree to the extent that, for example, the Board decides to try simultaneously to both increase and decrease
the companys product range is likely to be out-competed by competitors whose Board agrees on a single strategy. Temporal incoherence, that is, inconsistent behavior occurring over a period of time, is also punished; for
example, a Board that changed all its members without reference to the previous Board might make decisions
that would lead to the company going from one marketing/production strategy in one year to another very different strategy in the following year. A strong selective pressure, therefore, exists in the competitive market favoring companies that select Board members so as to have Boards that make both coherent decisions and a coherent sequence of such decisions. We have proposed that competitive coherence is responsible for generating
active subsets of elements, whether these elements are genes in the case of bacteria or Board members in the
case of companies, from a much larger ensemble of elements [18]. The concept of competitive coherence is
based on the way a system must maintain both the continuity of the composition of its active subset via a Next
process and the coherence of this active subset (with respect to the inside and outside world) via a Now process.
In an in silico implementation of this concept, the state of a system at time n + 1 is determined by a competition
between the Next process, which is based on its state at time n, and the Now process, which is based on the developing n + 1 state itself [10]. This implementation shows first that competitive coherence can lead to a network of connections that constitutes learning and second that this network of connections is robust with respect
to noise and is self-perpetuating.
How is the above relevant to the cheapest takes all problem in a company or financial organization? One
reason why finding a solution to the problem is difficult is provided by shared reality theory. In this theory,
people seek out others who validate and strengthen their beliefs whilst the relationships between people are established and maintained if they involve shared beliefs [19]. This means that if those who manage and invest in
companies share a belief in the inevitability that the cheapest takes alland even in its desirabilitythis belief will be maintained within this sector of the financial community. Indeed, a willingness to express this belief
may be a condition for membership of the community. A positive feedback then exists whereby those who belong to the group making the decisions to maximize profits without obstruction or interference can only belong to this group if they think (or act as if they think) that profits should be maximized without obstruction or
interference.
An overlap here with competitive coherence may be apparent if one considers the problem of selecting the
Board (the active subset) each week from a larger set of potential Board members. A Next process might be the
tendency for someone who is on the Board one year to be someone who is on the Board next year. A Now
process might be the coherence of the Board with respect to itself (the Board may need an accountant, a technical director and a sales director) and with respect to the market and its competitors (if part of the production has
been relocated to another country, the Board may need members with experience of this country). It might be
argued that one of the most important Now and Next connections leading to membership of the decision-making
group is a shared ethic of maximizing profits without let or hindrance.
Finding a political solution to the cheapest takes all problem is difficult in part because of the domination of
the media by a limited number of companies that, again, possess self-perpetuating ethics. Such ethics can even
lead them into an unsustainable denial of reality, as in the case of climate change [20]. This domination by the
few makes it easy to promote the idea that the scenario of the cheapest takes all is inevitable and that attempts
to find a solution are therefore doomed to fail.
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would be the same. Their profits should rise because they would benefit from both increased investment and increased sales. They would have the edge over their competitors that did not respect the buyvestment fund's conditions. Moreover, buyvestment companies would benefit from more than a temporary increase in investment
and sales: they would benefit from the long-term support of the buyvestors. The buyvestor, who is an investor as
well as a consumer, would also make money. At the same time, the buyvestor would help improve social and
environmental conditions.
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A buyvestment fund would have what should be a natural ally in pension funds. Awareness of ethical considerationsor of the importance of acknowledging themis revealed in the Members' Annual Report 2012 of the
University Superannuation Scheme (USS), a UK Pension Fund, where it is written: USS continues to strive to
integrate environmental, social and governance issues across the investment portfolio and be a leader in Responsible Investment. An awareness of the potential power of such investment is also evidenced as the report continues with: Active ownership of invested assets will lead to better returns over the long term. Ironically,
however, the USS listed as amongst its largest bond and equity holdings several organizations that face or have
faced serious allegations including Royal Dutch Shell [27], HSBC [28], BP [29], British American Tobacco [30],
Rio Tinto [31] and BHP Billiton [32]. That said, pension funds can flex their muscles as in the case of the California Public Employees Retirement System which is part of the Ceres-led coalition (see below) and which
called on energy companies to mitigate the risks posed by climate trends pose to their business strategies [33].
Other natural allies include organizations such as Ceres, an institution with the stated mission of working
with leading companies, investors, public interest groups, policymakers and other economic players to advance
sustainable solutions that will reduce carbon emissions and other pollutants, protect vital natural resources like
water supplies, ensure safe and just working conditions for employees and reduce our reliance on fossil fuels
while transitioning to a clean energy economy [8]. Ceres is likely to be influential insofar as it directs the Investor Network on Climate Risk, in which, it claims, investors collectively manage more than $10 trillion in assets. Other possible allies include the Co-operative Group in the UK, which has similar principles to those of
buyvesting, and in 2010 had 85,000 employees, 5.8 million members, and a revenue of 13.7 billion [34], whilst
the Credit Mutuel, a cooperative bank in France, in 2013 had 78,000 employees, 30 million customers and
member-shareholders, and made a profit of 2 billion [35].
Share ownership is a feature of 14% of companies in the UK where it involves 22% of all employees [36].
These employees are likely to be supportive of buyvesting, particularly since their loyalty to and familarity with
their companies leads them to invest heavily in company stock (even when this is imprudent) [37]. Finally,
community investing, which is but one aspect of socially responsible investing, is reported to have some $61.4
billion in managed assets [38].
6. The Model
Buyvesting is proposed to change the general behaviour of companies by causing general changes in the attitudes and behaviours of investors and consumers. Such general changes are hard to capture in a model. However,
the behaviour of companies is, to a large extent, both caused by and reflected in the ethics of the Members of the
Board. This underpins the idea behind the model we develop here that general changes in the behaviour of investors and consumers can be captured by studying specific changes to the composition of the Board, in other
words, by studying specific changes in the nature of those who are elected to and evicted from the Board.
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hence via changes to the probabilities of elements becoming active [10]. In the analogy, the inputs correspond to
the state of the Market and the outputs correspond to the response of the company; these responses can be rewarded or punished depending on the appropriateness of the response (e.g., an input of 1 corresponds to a boom
period and the response of 1000 corresponds to a growth strategy, which is rewarded, see below). Members who
have participated in a successful period of the Board (input-output sequence in the Activity Register) have patterns of connections that differ from those Members who have participated in unsuccessful periods. Moreover,
successful Members have more connections than those that have failed (this is represented by the relative sizes
of the Now and Next fields).
A subset of the elements is defined as the buyvestor Club whose members share the buyvesting philosophy
and who are tightly connected to one another. An economic crisis that leads to a major change in the composition of the Board is represented by a replacement of some of the elements that are active once the program has
learnt (i.e., have their addresses present in the Activity Register at some stage in the sequence of loadings in the
learnt state).
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members in the program, a time may occur when no Club members are eligible for election. Note too, that an
elected Club member may not have a Now or Next connection to other Club members and hence cannot help.
(a)
(b)
Figure 1. Changed composition of board. The composition of the Board can be changed by (1) a crisis that inserts a connection to a randomly chosen person into the Now and Next connection fields of half the entire set of people (here 1000), and (2)
a temporary replacement of the Board by Club members. (a) Before the crisis. Top left panel, the program has learnt as
shown by the negative slope; top right panel, the composition of the Board at consecutive times in this first learnt state: there
are 14 Club members present at different times on the Board before the crisis. Bottom panel, the Now and Next connections
of the elements 11 to 50 (note that elements 11 to 100 correspond to the Club members); connections to other Club Members
are shown in bold red. (b) After the crisis. Top left panel, the crisis is followed by an increase in inappropriate responses
(steep curve with positive slope) until the second learnt stage is attained (long curve with negative slope) with a Board that
contains 35 Club members. Bottom panel, members of the Club have many more connections to other Club members after
the crisis. Parameter values were: eligible people = 1000; number on Board = 10; the number of Next and Now connections
of each element ranges between 5 and 10; ineligibility for re-election = 10 time-steps; crisis occurs after 500 consecutive,
learnt steps; Club members from 11 to 100; weighting of connections between Club members increases in the crisis from 1,
the usual value, to 20; a mutational storm during the crisis inserts a connection to a randomly chosen person into the Now
and Next fields of 500 people and then inserts randomly chosen club members into the Board for a single time-step.
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(a)
(b)
Figure 2. An increased weighting between Club members is sufficient to change the composition of the Board once the
Board is stable. (a) Before the increase. (b) After the increase. Parameter values as in Figure 1 except that the Club was increased to 90 members, the weighting between Club members was increased from 1 to 20 at the crisis and there was no
forced change in the Board at the crisis (i.e., no insertion of a new line of randomly chosen Club addresses into the Activity
Register).
their election directly, as is the case with the Next connections of Club member 26 (bottom panel of Figure 1(b)).
In principle, therefore, the program can model the process of changing the composition of the Board to one in
which the Board is dominated by Club members.
The above, successful change in the composition of the Board (Figure 1) required a major crisis in the form
of a temporary change (single loading of the Activity Register). This crisis could correspond to an event leading
to the empowerment of the Club and the resignation of the Board. Possible examples of such events should include the response of mining companies to the assassination of local populations, and of banks to money laundering. However, the program shows that to find a new learnt state (i.e., to cause a permanent change in the
Board that results in successful performance) requires a period of re-learning (i.e., going through a period when
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the company fails to respond adequately to the Market) that may be long. Such a period would menace the survival of the company. We therefore explored whether the Board could be changed without the major crisis.
To test whether the composition of the Board could be changed significantly without a crisisessentially, by
an increase in connectivity strength alonethe program remained in the first learnt state for 500 steps and then
the weighting on the connections between Club membersand only between Club memberswas suddenly increased 20-fold. This resulted in a change in the composition (Figure 2) with the number of Club members on
the Board increasing from 11 (6, 12, 22, 24, 30, 37, 40, 49, 59, 71, 85, 98) to 17 (12, 19, 22, 24, 30, 37, 38, 40,
49, 59, 71, 75, 85, 87, 89, 97, 98). Importantly, this increase was achieved without a period of bad responses to
the Market necessitating re-learning, that is, the composition of the Board was changed without incurring a drop
in performance.
7. Discussion
The process in the global market whereby the cheapest takes all poses a major problem to many people as this
process is seen as inescapable. The preference of consumers for the cheapest products pushes down prices and
hence wages and, insofar as consumers are producers, the resulting reduction in wages strengthens their preference for the cheapest products. Underpinning this preference is the seemingly universal ethic that competition
is good and that profits should be maximized irrespective of social and environment considerations.
The buyvesting approach we advocate here harnesses the power of positive feedback to mount a challenge to
the idea of the inevitability of the cheapest takes all scenario. Buyvesting would achieve this by reaching a
population that other investment schemes cannot. This is the population of the political Left, a population comprising hundreds of millions of people who want to change the way the global market operates and who are uneasy withif not hostile tothe financial sector.
Although there are many well-meaning financial institutions, to our knowledge, no financial organization
comparable to a buyvestment fund exists. That does not mean that a buyvestment fund would be isolated. There
are many charitable associations and NGOs that might be expected to encourage buyvesting. And pension funds
might be pressured by their members to lend a buyvesting flavor to their investments by joining a buyvestment
fund.
Shared reality theory [19] helps explain why when a belief system is held by many powerful individuals it
acquires an inertia that makes it difficult to change even though it is an unreality that is shared. To have an idea
of whether buyvesting might actually succeed in helping change the prevailing socio-economic climate, we suggest that it might be useful to model market dynamics with reference to shared reality theory. Here, we have
shown how such modeling might exploit a program that implements competitive coherence. The results (Figure
1 and Figure 2), together with others, suggest that four factors are important in permitting a tightly connected
group of buyvesting supporters (the Club) to take over the Board without a crisis leading to a long series of bad
decisions. First, Club members must be present on a successful Board (i.e., there must be Club elements present
somewhere in the sequence of steps in the initial learnt state); if no Club member is present, strengthening the
connectivity among these members can have no effect. Second, the connection strength of a Club member on the
Board for another Club member must be greater than the connections to other members of the Board in the successful state; in other words, the weighting in favor of Club-Club connections over other connections must be
sufficient. Third, the position in the election to the Board is important since a Club member who is elected last
cannot influence the composition of the Board in that particular time step. Fourth, the relative proportions of the
numbers of Club members are of eligible candidates and of the Board size matter; this is because, for example,
once a Member has served on the Board, the Member cannot serve again for another ten times steps.
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