Theories of International Trade and Implications For EIB
Theories of International Trade and Implications For EIB
Theories of International Trade and Implications For EIB
Fall 2014
Table of Contents
Table of Figures..............................................................................................................................ii
1.0 Introduction..............................................................................................................................1
2.0 Theories of International Trade..............................................................................................2
2.1 Mercantilism.........................................................................................................................4
2.2 Theory of Absolute Advantage............................................................................................4
2.3 Theory of Comparative Advantage.....................................................................................5
2.4 Factor Endowment Models..................................................................................................6
2.4.1 Factor Proportions Theory (Heckscher-Ohlin Model)...................................................7
(a)
The Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem................................................................................8
(b)
Rybczynski Theorem................................................................................................9
(c)
Stolper-Samuelson Theorem..................................................................................10
(d)
Factor Price Equalization Theorem........................................................................11
(e)
General Shortcomings of the H-O Model:.............................................................12
2.4.2 Specific Factor Model..................................................................................................13
2.5 New Trade Theories............................................................................................................15
2.6 The Theory of Competitive Advantage (Michael Porter)...............................................17
2.6.1 A Brief Introduction to the Theory of Competitive Advantage....................................17
2.6.2 Implications of Porters Model for the National Environment (this section draws on
Mohamed and Kiggundu, 2006)...................................................................................20
2.6.3 Stages of Competitive Development............................................................................22
2.6.4 Criticisms and Refinements of Porters Model............................................................24
(a)
Dunning (2002) and the Role of Multinational Business Activities.......................24
(b)
Mohamed and Kiggundu (2006)............................................................................25
3.0 Conclusions.............................................................................................................................28
Bibliography..................................................................................................................................29
Table of Figures
Figure 1: Theories of International Trade....................................................................................3
Figure 2: Factor Endowment Models...........................................................................................6
Figure 3: Successful Factors of National Competitiveness (Porter, 1990)...............................17
Figure 4: Microeconomic Business Environment (Porter 2004)..............................................18
Figure 5: Determinants of Productivity and Productivity Growth..........................................22
Figure 6: Stages of Competitive Development...........................................................................24
Figure 7: Successful Factors of National Competitiveness (Porters 1990 model as modified
by Dunning, 2002).................................................................................................................26
Figure 8: International Competitiveness: A Proposed Analytical Framework.......................28
Stolper-Samuelson Theorem
(1941)
2.1 Mercantilism
A central notion of the theories of the Mercantilist thinkers (16th and first half of 18th
century) was that the accumulation of financial wealth (through the encouragement of exports
and curbing of imports) was paramount. In other words, a favourable balance of trade (i.e., an
excess of exports over imports) should be the objective of national economic policy. The
underlying reason for this position was the idea that a nation with trade surplus would receive
gold from the nations in deficit. This was viewed in a positive light because gold was then
viewed as the essence of national wealth, hence of power and prestige. The main purpose of this
theorizing was to support a policy of national self-sufficiency (autarky) pursued by some
European rulers at the time (Britain, France, The Netherlands, Portugal and Spain).
This perspective has a number of flaws; suffice to note just two of them here. First,
mercantilist belief that the worlds wealth was limited and that a nation could increase its share of
the pie only at the expense of other countries (i.e., international trade was a zero-sum game) was
wrong. Secondly, if all countries curbed imports (and promoted exports) international trade
would be severely restricted because in order for one country to export, it requires another
country to import! Restricting imports would thus be counter-productive. A notable critic of the
mercantilist perspective was Adam Smith (1723-1790 AD) who advanced a different theory we
discuss next.
position put forth in 1776 is known as the theory of absolute advantage. Smiths theory
destroyed the mercantilist idea that international trade is a zero sum game by showing that there
are gains to be made by countries that are party in an exchange. In short, international trade
according to Adam Smith was a positive-sum game.
In spite of its powerful message, the theory also has it limitations. The main shortcoming
being that it does not provide room for trade for those countries that cannot produce any
good/service more cheaply than other countries. In other words, Smiths perspective does not
provide for the gains in trade for a country that can produce all goods cheaply than any other
country because in this perspective when a country happens to have an absolute advantage in all
goods then it will produce for itself all those goods leaving no room for exchange and its
associated benefits. This perspective is rectified in Ricardos theory of Comparative Advantage
we discuss next.
however, that Ricardos formulation has also come under criticism because it focuses on only a
comparison of relative labour costs. In other words, comparative advantage (a la Ricardo) is only
understood in relation to advantages based on only one factor, i.e., labour. Moreover, while this
theory conveys the essential idea of comparative advantage, it does not allow us to talk about the
distribution of income in the economy and how international trade affects an economy. These
shortcomings are addressed (in varying degrees of success) in the following set of
theories/perspectives.
Stolper-Samuelson Theorem
Rybczynski TheoremFactor
(1955)Price Equalization Theorem
Heckscher-Ohlin Model (1930s)
(1941)
(1948)
Linders Hypothesis
(1961)
advantages. In contrast to the two theories (that focus on the productivity of the production
process for a particular good), the factor proportions theory says that a country specializes in
producing and exporting goods using the factors of production that are most abundant and thus
cheapest not the goods in which it is most productive (Wild, Wild, & Han, 2010:156;
emphasis in original).
The H-O model has spawned a number of theorems notable among them include: (a) The
Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem, (b) Rybczynski Theorem, (c) Stolper-Samuelson Theorem, (d)
Factor Price Equalization Theorem. Lets take a brief tour of each of these theorems.
static. For instance, emigration out of the country could lead to a shortage of labour, while
immigration into a particular jurisdiction could lead to a higher labour supply/pool. Similarly, an
inflow of foreign reserves (e.g., from surplus international trade revenues) could turn a capitalstarved country into a capital-rich one, and vice versa.
proportional to the relative price fall, so landowners gain in consumption terms (i.e., in terms of
price of both goods) and labour loses in terms of the price of both goods (magnification effect).
In short, the Stolper-Samuelson theorem shows how changes in the prices of outputs (e.g., by
changes in tariffs) have an effect on the prices of the inputs/factors used in the production of such
outputs.
The Stolper-Samuelson Theorem is an important one for students of international business
environment because it helps to connect the prices of goods to factor rewards. It identifies the
pain of trade with particular factors. In short, it helps to highlight the potential gains
(opportunities) and costs of trade (risks) of international trade and by extension the potential
reaction of the actors involved. In other words, by helping to identify those who might win and
those who might lose in the process of international trade, this theorem helps to link the outcomes
of international trade with the likely reactions of the various actors involved as one can plausibly
expect that those who stand to gain will likely support certain policies/moves (i.e., more trade in
the goods/services they supply/produce), while those who lose may oppose such policies/moves.
same goods prices, and trade is freely conducted (i.e., without barriers) among them then these
countries must have the same factor prices. In short, if trade leads to convergence/equalization of
product prices, factor prices should be equalized as well. But, if technology among the trading
partners differs then it is unlikely that factors prices will converge/equalize even if the prices of
the output goods/commodities tend to equalize. The scope of this set of notes and the lecture does
not allow me to go into further details pertaining to all the other conditions/assumptions that need
to obtain for this theorem to work.
As with the preceding theorems, this theorem has relevance to understanding the
dynamics of and inter-linkages among various environments of international business (countries
in this case) and their implications as reflected in the movement of product and factors prices.
With increasing integration among economies around the world, and thus, changing environment
of international business it is crucial that business managers have some intellectual tool for
understanding/comprehending how such changes (e.g., due introduction of freer trade among
countries and hence of convergence in product prices) might affect the level of factor prices in the
countries they be involved in.
abundance of capital during that time, tended to export labour-intensive goods and import capitalintensive goods contrary to what the model would have predicted (Leontief, 1954). The H-O
model in this respect would have predicted that the US would be exporting capital-intensive
goods (not labour intensive goods) and importing labour-intensive goods because during that
period the US was relatively abundantly endowed with capital vis--vis other countries. What
might account for such a paradox?
Various explanations of the paradox have emerged. One such explanation is Linders
Hypothesis which suggests that the US did not fit well into the H-O model because countries
tended to trade in goods based on similar demand rather than on the basis of differences in supply
side factors (Linder, 1961). As such, international trade patterns were not based on or driven by
factor endowments but rather by the nature of demand in the various markets.
While there is intrinsically not much novelty in these theories (as a number of classical
and neoclassical economists had qualitatively discussed/alluded to the issue of increasing returns
to scale) Krugman, et al. provided mathematical rigour to the theories that the earlier economists
had not. That is what gives these perspectives the label new trade theories.
The new trade theories help to explain why international production tends to be
geographically concentrated. The theories argue that some industries tend to perform better as
their volume of production increases (Cavusgil, Knight & Reisenberger, 2008:108). This is
because the effect of increasing returns to scale allows the nation to specialize in a small number
of industries in which it may not necessarily hold factor or comparative advantage (Cavusgil,
Knight & Reisenberger, 2008:108).
These theories also lend support to infant industry protection argument in the sense that
they demonstrate that industries shielded from competition (free trade) and allowed to enjoy
economies of scale until they are ready to compete can withstand the challenges of international
competition. In a nutshell, the new trade theories postulate that:
(a)
(b)
the companies first to enter a market can create barriers to entry (Wild., Wild
& Han, 2010:160), in other words, they can enjoy what are termed first-mover
advantage; and,
(c)
Like the preceding theories, the specific factor model is also relevant in the study of the
international business environment as it provides useful tools for understanding the role and
ramifications of the involvement of the state/government in the economy as well as it helps to
understand the economic environment when the industries embedded in it feature increasing
returns to scale such as the current new knowledge-based/information economy).
2.6 The Theory of Competitive Advantage (Michael Porter)
2.6.1 A Brief Introduction to the Theory of Competitive Advantage
A recent addition to the list of theories of international trade is Michael Porters (1990)
theory of national competitive advantage. Porter attributes four key variables for the success in
international trade: (a) factor conditions, (b) demand conditions, (c) related and supporting
industries, and, (d) firm strategy, structure, and rivalry. To these four, Porter has also added
two other factors, namely, the roles of government and chance. These factors are presented in
the form of a baseball diamond and are depicted in the Figure 3 below:
Chance
Demand conditions
Factor conditions
Government
2.6.2 Implications of Porters Model for the National Environment (this section draws on
Mohamed and Kiggundu, 2006)
According to Porter (2004), national wealth is created in the microeconomic level of the
economy, rooted in the sophistication of company strategies and operating practices, as well as in
the quality of the microeconomic business environment in which a nations firms operate. Thus,
to improve productivity Porter contends: the traditional focus on macroeconomic stabilization
and market opening is insufficient (Porter, 2004:35). He argues that while Stable political,
legal, and social institutions and sound macroeconomic policies create the potential for improving
national prosperity wealth is actually created at the microeconomic level in the ability of
firms to create valuable goods and services using efficient methods. Only in this way can a nation
support high wages and the attractive returns to capital necessary to support sustained
investment (Porter, 2004:31). For Porter (2004), the microeconomic foundations of
productivity rest on two interrelated areas: (1) the sophistication with which domestic companies
or foreign subsidiaries operating in the country compete, and (2) the quality of the
microeconomic business environment in which they operate (Porter, 2004:31). Based on the
conceptual framework, (depicted in Figure 5 below), Porter (2004) has built the Business
Competitiveness Index (BCI) reported in the annual Global Competitiveness Reports of the
Geneva-based World Economic Forum.
Figure 5: Determinants of Productivity and Productivity Growth
Macroeconomic, Political, Legal, and Social Context for Development (Porter 2004)
SophisticationQuality of the
of CompanyMicroeconomic
Operations and Business
StrategyEnvironment
of competitive advantage in which he posits that the business environment can be understood in
terms of four interrelated areas: the quality of factor (input) conditions, the context for firm
strategy and rivalry, the quality of local demand conditions, and the presence of the related and
supporting industries (Porter, 2004:32). (See figures 3 & 4 above.)
One can draw three key insights from Porters work. First, Porter delineates the key
domestic variables involved in promoting national competitiveness. Second, this helps to explain
that the key variables and the way they interact vary among countries. Third, the model helps to
build the case that the main thrust in improving a countrys competitiveness must come from the
better use of domestic capabilities and resources. That is, countries and their corporations should
utilize their existing capabilities and resources more efficiently and if lacking in core
competences, a country should upgrade the quality and quantity of its resources and capabilities.
In a nutshell, Porter sees the home base as playing a critical role in building up the
competitive advantage of national industries. In the language of this course, the domestic/national
environment is critical. Porter also points out that no nation can have a competitive advantage in
every good or service. Consequently, competitive advantage must be interpreted at the industry
level. On this view, Porter advocates the promotion of industrial clusters.
progress in terms of their competitive advantages and modes of competing. (Porter 2004:34). As
such, Porter, frames economic development as a sequential process of building interdependent
microeconomic capabilities, shifting company strategies, improving incentives and increasing
rivalry. (Porter, 2004: 35). On this view, Porter delineates four distinct stages of national
competitive development: factor-driven stage, investment-driven, innovations-driven stage, and
wealth driven. In short, Porter is saying, the national environment does change and that this
change process occurs in stages as depicted in the Figure 6 below.
Figure 6: Stages of Competitive Development
Factor-Driven Economy
Input Cost
Efficiency
Unique ValueDecline
In the Factor-driven stage, basic conditions such as low cost labour and unprocessed
natural resources are the dominant sources of competitive advantage and exports. A Factordriven economy is highly sensitive to world economic cycles, commodity prices, and exchange
rate fluctuations (Porter, 2004:35). In the Investment-driven stage, efficiency in producing
standard products and services becomes the dominant source of competitive advantage An
investment-driven economy is concentrated in manufacturing and on outsourced service exports
(Porter, 2004:35). Such an economy, according to Porter, is susceptible to financial crises and
external sector-specific shocks (Porter, 2004:35) In the Innovation-driven stage, the ability to
produce innovative products and services at the global technology frontier, using the most
advanced methods, becomes the dominant source of competitive advantage. The national
business environment is characterized by strengths in all areas, together with the presence of deep
clusters (Porter, 2004:35). In the wealth-driven economy, the driving force is the wealth that
has already been achieved (Porter, 1990:556). This stage is one of drift and ultimately decline
(Porter, 1990:546). Due to a number of reasons (e.g., ebbing of rivalry, misguided investments,
diminishing innovation, etc.) firms begin to lose competitive advantage in international industries
(Porter, 1990:556).
It is also worth noting that, Nations do not inevitably progress (Porter, 1990:563-4). In
fact, Porter posits that Many nations never move beyond factor-driven or investment driven
stage (Porter, 1990:564) Indeed, nations may falter or fall backward too (Porter, 1990:561).
Moreover, Porter argues, it is not inevitable that nations pass through the stages (Porter,
1990:545; emphasis in original). The process of moving through the stages can take many paths,
and there is no single progression (Porter, 1990:563). As a reflection of each nations unique
circumstances each nation goes through its own unique process of development (Porter,
1990:562).
MBAs
Demand conditions
Factor Conditions
Government
State
Civil Society
Resources
Technologies
Organizational Efficiency
Product Markets
State
Civil Society
3.0 Conclusions
These lecture notes presented an overview of the various theories of international trade. It
is our hope that this brief introduction will enable students to comprehend better the bases and
determinants of international trade as currently understood under the various perspectives. Such
an understanding, we hope, will further enhance our comprehension of the various
manifestations, dynamics and impacts/implications of the environment of international business
and vice versa.
Lastly, as emphasized in the lecture notes on the theories of international investment and
production, these notes are not offered as a substitute for the course textbook or material you may
have covered in your previous economics classes!!! For a further introduction to the theories of
trade (i.e., those not covered in the current textbook) an ample set of resources are provided in the
references below.
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