MSC Distributions
MSC Distributions
P# 8. A computer repair person is beeped each time there is a call for service.
The number of beeps per hour is known to occur in accordance with a Poisson
distribution with a mean of two per hour. Find the probability of three beeps
in the next hour? ( Given e- 2 = 0.1353 )
P# 9.A local electrical appliances shop has found from experience that the demand for
Tube lights is distributed as Poisson with a mean of 3 tubes per week. If the
shop keeps 4 tubes during particular week, what is the probability that the
demand will exceed the supply during that week ?(given e -3=0.049787
P # 10.If 2% of electric bulbs manufactured by a certain company are defective, find
The probability that the sample of 200 bulbs,
i) less than two bulbs
(ii) more than three bulbs are defective
P # 11. Records indicate that 1.8% of the entering students at a large state University
Drop out of school by midterm. What is the probability that three or fewer students
Will drop out of a random group 300 entering students.
P#12.It is known from past experience that in a certain plant there are on an average
four industrial accidents per month. Find the probability that in a given month
there will be less than four accidents.
P#13.What probability model is appropriate to describe a situation where 100 misprints
are distributed randomly throughout the 100 pages of a book? For this model,
what is the probability that a page observed at random will contain at least three
misprints. (given e-1=0.368).
P#14.40% of the assembled ink-jet printers are rejected at the inspection station. Find
The probability that the first acceptable ink-jet printer is the third one inspected.
Considering each inspection as a Bernoulli trial with q = 0.4 and p= 0.6
P#15. A dealer has 12 Maruti Zen cars and 8 Santro cars in his shop. If sample of 4 cars
are selected without replacement from the shop. Find the probability that (i) at most
one Santro car is selected (ii) at least one Maruti Zen car is selected.
P#16. Five cards are selected without replacement from a pack of 52 cards. Find the
probability that (i) exactly two diamond cards are selected (ii) at least two diamond
cards are selected.
P#17. In a given city on a Saturday night, channel twelve has 50 % of the viewing
audience, channel ten has 30 % of the viewing audience & channel five has
20% of the viewing audience: Find the probability that amongst eight television
viewers in that city randomly chosen on Saturday night , 5 will be watching
channel twelve, 2 will be watching channel ten and 1 will be watching channel 5
P#18. In a recent election there were 3 candidates A,B and C. A received 20% of the
votes B received 30% and C received 50% of the votes. If 6 voters are selected
randomly , what is the probability that there will be exactly one supporter for
candidate A, two for B and three for C in the sample.
What's the probability that Pat finishes on or before reaching the eighth house?
To finish on or before the eighth house, Pat must finish at the fifth, sixth, seventh, or eighth
house. Sum those probabilities:
What's the probability that Pat exhausts all 30 houses in the neighborhood?
This can be expressed as the probability that Pat does not finish on the fifth through the thirtieth
house:
major repair is exponentially distributed with mean of 100 days. Find the probability
that (i) it would operate for 200 days with out a major repair (ii) it would require a
major repair any time after 200 days but before 300 days.
P #26. The lifetime , in years , of a satellite placed in orbit is given by the following pdf
f(x) = 0.4 e 0.4 x , x > 0
=0
other wise
(a) What is the probability that this satellite is still alive after 5 years ?
(b) What is the probability that the satellite dies between 3 and 6 years from the
time it is placed in orbit.
P #27. If X is normally distributed with mean 100 and s.d. 10 , find (i) P(90 < X < 105 )
(ii) P(X < 120 ) (iii) P( X > 85) (iv) P(105 < X < 115)
P #28. If the heights of 1000 soldiers in a regiment are normally distributed with a mean of
172 cm. and s.d. of 5 cm. , how many soldiers have heights greater than 180 cm
P #29. The income distribution of a group of 10000 persons was found to be normal with
mean of Rs. 7500 per month and s.d. of Rs. 500 per month. What percentage of
this group had income (i) exceeding Rs. 6680 (ii) not more than Rs. 7000
P #30. The linear measurements of the items of a product are approximately normally
distributed with a mean of 20 cm. and a s.d. of 4 cm. Items which measure between
18 cm. and 23 cm. are sold at Rs. 5 each and the other items at Rs. 3 each. Find
the total amount collected if in all 10000 items are sold. How many items must be
of measurement 26 cm. or more ?
P #31. IQ scores are normally distributed throughout society , with mean 100 and s.d. 15.
(a) A person with an IQ of 140 or higher is called a genius. What proportion of
society is in genius category ?
(b) What proportion of society will miss the genius category by 5 or less points ?
(c) Suppose that an IQ of 110 or higher is required to make it through an accredited
college or university. What proportion could be eliminated for completing a
higher education by a low IQ score ?
P # 32. A set of examination marks is approximately normally distributed with mean of 75
and standard deviation of 5. If top 5% students get grade A and the bottom 25% get
grade F , what marks is the lowest A and what marks is the highest F ?
P # 33. For a normal distribution of 100 items , the lower quartile Q1 = 73 and is 15.
Find (i) Median (ii) limits for central 50 % of the distribution (iii) Mean deviation
P # 34. The distribution of monthly incomes of a group of 3000 factory workers is following
normal distribution with the mean equal to Rs. 10000 and s.d. Rs 2000.
Find (i) the percentage of workers having a monthly income of more than
Rs. 12000
(ii) the number of workers having a monthly income of less than Rs. 9000
(iii)the highest monthly income among the lowest paid 100 workers
(iv) the least monthly income among the highest paid 100 workers
P #35. Let X be a random variable that is normally distributed , with mean 10 and
Variance 4. Find the values of a and b such that P(a < x < b) = 0.9
and | - a | = | - b |
F(x) = 1 - [e -kx(kx)i] / i!
, x>0
i=0
=0
k = 3 , k = 1/ 20
= 1/60
, x0
2
F(50) = 1 - e-5/2(5/2)i / i!
i=0
= 1 0.543
= 0.457
The expected length of the exam E(x) = 1 /
= 1 / (1/60)
= 60 minutes
P#38. Lead time of a product in weeks is gamma distributed with =2 and = 1.What is
the probability that the lead time exceeds 3 weeks.
P#39. Life time of an expensive video card for a PC , in months , denoted by random
variable X , is gamma distributed with = 4 and = 1/16. What is the probability
that the card will last for at least 2 years ?
P#40. Suppose a person will buy a product after they have seen an advertisement .
What is this probability will exceed 0.90 ?
The random variable follows the distribution f(x) = 60 y 3 (1-y)2 , 0 < y < 1
= 0 other wise
Testing of Hypothesis
Chi-square test for goodness of fit:
P#1. Suppose that a Gambler s die is rolled 60 times and a record is kept of the number of
times each face comes up. If the die is an honest die , each face will have the
probability 1/6 of appearing in a single roll. Therefore, each face would be expected to
appear 10 times in an experiment of this kind.
Face
:
1
2
3
4
5
6
Observed frequency:
15
7
4
11
6
17
H0 : P1 = P2 = P3 = P4 = P5 = P6 = 1/6
H1 : Not H0
(Multinomial distribution)
Chi square calculated = 13.6
chi square table( at = 5% dof= 6-1 =5) = 11.1
Decision : H0 is rejected at = 5% and conclude that the die is not Honest or
not unbiased
P #2. Four identical coins are tossed 160 times and the number of heads appearing
each time is recorded as follows :
No. of heads : 0 1
2
3
4
Frequency : 14 30
70
35
11
Test the hypothesis that the coins are unbiased at = 1%
P #3. In an accounting department of a bank 100 account s are selected at random and
examined for errors. The following results have been obtained : .
No. of errors
: 0
1
2
3
4
5
6
No. of accounts : 35 40 18
2
1
2
2
Does this information verify that the errors are distributed according to the Poisson
Probability law. Given = 5%
Chi square test of independence of Attributes :
P # 4. The following data are from a study found in the Journal Biometrika. Are they
consistent with the view that the proportion of intelligent students is the same
for athletes and nonatheletes ?
Athletes
Non athletes
Intelligent
581
209
Not Intelligent
567
351
t test :
P # 9. A machine is designed to produce insulating washers for electrical devices of
average thickness of 0.025 cm. A random sample of 10 washers was found to have
an average thickness of 0.024 cm with a s.d. of 0.002 cm. Test the significance of
the deviation. = 5% t table for 9 dof at = 5% is 2.262
P # 10. A soap manufacturing company was distributing a particular brand of soap through
a large number of retail soaps. Before heavy advertisement campaign ,the mean
sales per week per shop was 140 dozens. After the campaign ,a sample of 26 shops
was taken and the mean sales was found to be 147 dozens with s.d. 16.
Can you consider the advertisement effective ? at = 5% , t table at = 5% for 25
dof is 1.708
H0 : = 140(Advertisement was not effective )
H1 : > 140
********************************