Gulf Est UserManual
Gulf Est UserManual
Contents
1.Introduction
2.Description of the Program
3.Program Installation
4.Program Removal
5.Setting Defaults
6.Estimating Process Equipment Prices
7.Manipulating Priced Equipment Files
8.Preparing TIC Process Unit Estimates
9.Tank Farm Estimating
10.Offsites Factored Estimating
11.Building Estimating
12.Turbine/Generator and Cogeneration Estimating
13.Exporting Estimates to Microsoft Excel
14.Other Estimating Tools
15.Common Questions & Problem Solving
Introduction
This manual was written to help users understand the full capabilities of the Est$Pro program. The program was designed to be used essentially without a
manual, and many users in the past have been able to get up and running quickly without ever even consulting a manual. However, the publisher recognizes the
need for answers to common questions and explanations of how the program performs its calculations, thus this manual was created and can be easily printed
in hardcopy form by the user from Microsoft Word. If you are reading this manual, then you have obviously located the MANUAL.DOC file which the installation
program installed into the Est$Pro application subdirectory. We will examine these topics, in the order listed:
Program description
Program installation
Program removal
Setting defaults
Estimating process equipment prices
Priced equipment file manipulation
Factored T.I.C. estimates
Tank farm estimates
Building estimates
Power generation / cogeneration estimates
Exporting estimates to Microsoft Excel
Other Est$Pro estimating tools
Common questions and problem solving
Program Installation
The program comes on a CD-ROM. To begin the installation you must have a computer running Microsoft Windows. It is recommended that you be using a
Pentium processor and have a minimum of 16 megabytes of RAM. You should have your monitor set for 256 colors. While the program is designed for screens
sized 640 x 480, it will work equally well at 800 x 600, however, in the latter case, it will not fill the entire screen.
The program can be installed on any hard drive, but it is recommended that it be installed on the C: hard disk drive in the C:\EST$PRO subdirectory. (Note: if
after in-stallation, you are having trouble getting the program to execute, try using the uninstall feature of Windows, uninstall Est$Pro (as described below), then
reinstall it in the C:\EST$PRO subdirectory.) The total program takes less than ten megabytes of hard drive space, so make sure that you have at least this
much room on your C: drive before beginning the installation.
From Windows, insert the first diskette into your floppy drive and RUN SETUP. When the program prompts you for where to place the program, you may let it
default to C:\Program Files\EST$PRO\ or enter another directory where it is to be located. This will install the program for you and create a new program group
(or window) containing the Est$Pro icon. It will also add the program to your Start Menu. The user may prefer to move the icon to an existing group and delete
the new window created by the program, but this manual will not address the steps involved in doing so. Consult your Windows user's manual for instructions on
how to relocate an icon and delete a program group or folder.
The installation puts files in two places. Most of the files are placed into the pro-gram subdirectory, but some .DLL and .OCX files used by Windows are placed
into the \WINDOWS\SYSTEM subdirectory.
At this point, you should store away your original Est$Pro CD in a safe place. To execute the program you can either click on the program icon or from Windows
use the RUN command to RUN pathname\EST$PRO.EXE. This will bring up the main menu for Est$Pro.
One important item should be observed here: always execute Est$Pro with your computer in the all-caps mode.
Program Removal
Assuming that you have used the installation program shipped with the program, you should be able to remove the program from your computer completely by
following these steps.
1. Go to the Windows Control Panel
2. Select Add/Remove Programs
3. Select Est$Pro
4. Follow the steps shown to delete the program
Note that you should be extremely careful in deleting programs which are stored in the \Windows\System subdirectory. Quite often these .OCX and .DLL files
are used by several different programs-not just Est$Pro. Therefore, when the removal process alerts you that perhaps these should not be erased, take heed!
The same thing can be accomplished by simply erasing everything in the program application subdirectory, however this might also erase some project files that
you, the user, have created.
Setting Defaults
The first time you attempt to execute the program, it should prompt you to set certain program defaults. On the main menu there is a gray button which says
SET DEFAULTS. While most of the defaults will not require immediate modification or adjustment, you should always at least set the user name.
When the Set Defaults screen appears, you are shown a menu of choices. The following items can be modified by the user and are discussed one at a time
below.
User Name. Simply input your name or initials so future reports produced by Est$Pro will reflect this. This information is saved in a file named USER.SET in the
application subdirectory.
Nelson Index. Oil & Gas Journal contains a feature called the Nelson-Farrar Indexes. The indexes needed for updating Est$Pro are published in the first issue of
the magazine in the following months: January, April, July, and October. The sheet you should look for is entitled Itemized Refining Cost Indexes. There are four
specific indexes which the program uses. These include: Exchangers--Carbon Steel; Tanks and Pressure Vessels; Pumps, Compressors, etc.; and the NelsonFarrar Refinery (Inflation Index). Examining the October 7, 2002 issue shows that these values are 727.6, 791.3, 1518.6, and 1629.6 respectively. The user
should make sure to update these quarterly to assure the most accurate costs possible. This information is saved in a file named NELSON.SET in the
application subdirectory.
Location Indexes. Because Est$Pro gives the user the ability to estimate project costs for specific locations, the program allows the user to save cost
information for sixteen pre-defined locations. As initially installed, the program may only have the index for Houston, Texas included, but other locations are
easily added. For each new location added, the user must supply: the name of the location, the open shop wage rate, the union shop wage rate, a labor
productivity, and a mate-rial cost index. In addition the user can indicate that the wage rates are all-in rates as opposed to bare wage rates. This information is
saved in a file named LOCATION.SET in the application subdirectory. Because the program uses Houston as the basis for many calculations, the first location in
this file must be Houston.
Wage Rates. Normally the open shop and union wage rates should be just the average bare wage the construction worker earns. Other markups on top of labor
are added in the field indirect cost category. However, it is quite common to estimate nowadays (particularly on overseas projects) using all-in wage rates which
include all burdens, field indirects, and even construction equipment. Thus the user may always elect to use this option, though it is most commonly used for
Third World locations. You must be sure to check the all-in wage rate box if doing so. [A separate utility dis-cussed elsewhere in this manual assists the user in
establishing average wage rates from limited information.]
Material Cost Index. This is simply an indicator which allows the user to index costs against Est$Pro's internal base U. S. Gulf Coast (USGC) ma-terial costs. If
overall material cost at the location you are adding is say 5% higher, then you should input a value of 1.05. If 10% less than USGC, then you should input .90.
Productivity Index. This is an indicator of how productive labor is at the user-input location. The user should remember here that better productiv-ity is greater
than 1.0 and poorer productivity is less than 1.0. Think of it this way: if USGC is 1.0 and workers at your location are only half as pro-ductive, then their
productivity index should be 0.5.
Plate Cost Index. This index is used in estimating the cost of pressure vessels. What the user inputs is the cost per pound for various plate materials. The program uses the relative price of metallurgies versus carbon steel to establish vessel prices, so it is more important to have the relative prices of various metal
plate materials correct than it is to have the absolute cost per pound correct. Note that this is for raw plate--not fabricated vessels. This plate cost index is only
one step in determining the actual cost of a vessel, and even though the material index for a given material might be twice that of carbon steel, the actual
fabricated vessel might only cost 20% more than an identical carbon steel vessel. This information is saved in a file named PLATE.SET in the application
subdirectory.
Tube Cost Index. This index is used in estimating shell and tube exchangers. This is different from the Plate Cost Index in that the user is actually inputting
relative costs instead of costs per pound. Here the user inputs the relative cost of various welded and seamless tube materials. Note that this is for bare tubing
as supplied to an exchanger manufacturer--not for fabricated exchangers. This tub-ing cost index is only one step in determining the actual cost of an
exchanger, and even though the tubing cost index might be six times that of carbon steel, the ac-tual fabricated exchanger might only cost 30% more than an
identical carbon steel exchanger. This information is saved in a file named TUBE.SET in the applica-tion subdirectory.
Equipment Multipliers. In factored process plant estimating, once process equip-ment is priced, various multipliers (sometimes called Lang or Guthrie factors)
are applied to the equipment pricing to account for other items making up the total in-stalled cost. This includes piping, foundations, electrical, and other bulks,
along with the actual cost of setting/erecting the individual pieces of process equipment. These multipliers allow the user to fine-tune Est$Pro to give results
reflecting his own project histories. These are direct cost multipliers--indirects and overheads are established elsewhere in the program.
For instance, if a user had historical information that (on a USGC basis) structural steel materials associated with a common-sized carbon steel vertical vessel
averaged 12% of the vessel cost, then he could enter .12 as the structural material factor. Because there is a fixed relationship between manhours and mate-rial
costs on a USGC basis, the program will automatically compute the structural labor factor. The logic behind this is that multiplying the equipment cost by a
factor, such as the .12 above, actually yields the equivalent of a quantity. Thus, if the carbon steel price of a vessel was $50K, then the steel material cost would
be $6K. In today's USGC marketplace, this equates to roughly three tons of steel. If it takes 25 manhours per ton to erect steel on average, then for the
structural steel associated with this vessel it would require a total of 75 manhours. At $12.50 per manhour (bare wage rate) this equals $937.50. Back-dividing
this by the $50K cost of the vessel would yield a factor of .019. Thus, if you input .12 as the structural steel material factor, the program would produce a
structural steel labor factor of around .02.
These factors vary of course from equipment type to equipment type. The user wishing to change any of the default factors may select the type of equipment he
wishes to modify, see what the current settings are, then make any changes he wishes for use in all future estimates. Later in this manual there is a more
exten-sive discussion of how factoring applies.
Actually the program goes one step further than actually using these fac-tors without adjustment. The factors saved in the GUTHRIE.SET file would apply to
average sized equipment. The program adjusts this for equipment which is smaller or larger than average. As an example, the program assumes that an average
sized vertical vessel costs around $16,000. If a single factor were applied constantly, then a $32,000 vessel would have twice as much instrument cost
associated with it. However, we know that the instrumentation cost doesn't change that much as vessel size changes. Therefore the program fine-tunes the
factors based on the size or capacity of each equipment item as compared to an established average size built into the program. On one hand, this prevents the
user from knowing exactly the factors that will be used, but on the other hand, it makes the estimate more accurate.
Unit Labor & Material Costs. In the section above, mention was made of a fixed relationship between labor and material costs on a USGC basis. This is where
the user can change that relationship. This is in essence where the user establishes unit prices from which the program back-calculates quantities. While the
equip-ment multipliers mentioned above produce a factor for producing total direct costs on a major account basis, the unit labor and material costs the user
inputs here are used for calculating quantities and splitting the labor and material costs.
The user is encouraged to modify these on a project by project basis. For instance, the default piping values may be 2.0 manhours per foot of pipe and $70 in
material cost per foot of pipe, but if the user is estimating a small project with low pressure, small diameter piping, he might want to change these values to 1.2
manhours and $35 respectively. This information is saved in a file named UNITCOST.SET in the application subdirectory.
Field Indirects. The user is allowed to input percentages of bare labor rates to add into estimates for the cost of field indirects. The following categories are provided: burdens and benefits, construction equipment, supervision, small tools and expendable supplies, temporary facilities, and miscellaneous field indirects.
Typically these costs should run between 90% and 140% of the bare cost of direct labor on a USGC project. This information is saved in a file named
FLDINDS.SET in the application subdirectory.
Home Office. The user is also allowed to establish a typical split of home office manhours as well as a departmental wage rates. On factored estimates home office costs are often estimated as a percentage of total project cost, and Est$Pro allows the user to input this percentage each time he performs a factored
estimate. Est$Pro also will calculate the home office cost for you if ask it to do so. It uses an algorithm based on the ratio of material costs to total costs, along
with other historical information to calculate the total home office cost.
However, by changing the default values here, the user may set what per-centage of home office costs would go to process design, what percentage would go to
procurement, etc. It also allows the user to set all-in home office rates on a department-by-department basis. Typically home office costs include all markup plus
profit on home office labor. [Fee on construction is included elsewhere.] Information on percentages and rates is saved in a file named HOMEOFF-.SET in the
application subdirectory.
Cost vs. Capacity Values. One of the utilities included with Est$Pro is a program which allows the user to quickly get rough order of magnitude costs of different
process units based upon capacities. The user can in essence input his own equa-tions of cost as a function of capacity here by providing the following information: the name of the process, the size (capacity) of a base process unit, the capac-ity units (BPSD, Tons/Day, etc.), the cost of the base process unit, the
Nelson Re-finery (Inflation) Index correlating to the cost, and finally a power factor or expo-nent. We've all heard of the six-tenths rule for scaling process unit
costs for vari-ous other sizes. However, studies have shown that the exponent for all units is not necessarily 0.6. If the user has say three data points based on
historical infor-mation which indicate that the exponent for a particular type of process unit is 0.72, then he can input that here. (The curve fitting utility in
Est$Pro can help establish these exponents.)
Thereafter the program will use the new values in calculating process unit costs from capacities. Assume that a user input the following values for a Crude Unit:
base size = 10, capacity units = KBPSD, base cost = 5,000,000, Nelson In-dex = 1250, and power factor = 0.65. Now, suppose later that the user wants to
estimate a 10 KBPSD unit when the Nelson Index has increased to 1310. The program would calculate a cost of (1310/1250) * (10MM / 5MM) ^ 0.65 = $8.22
million. This information used to calculate process unit costs is saved in a file named COSTCAP.SET in the application subdirectory.
Equipment Cost Indexes. After using the program to price equipment and com-paring the results with actual purchase orders or vendor quotes, the user may find
that his own experiences show that certain equipment costs should be indexed down or up to decrease or increase respectively the costs generated by the program. This allows the user to apply a percentage multiplier to the internally gen-erated prices. If the user inputs an index of 150 for shell and tube exchangers,
once he exits the program and returns, all shell and tube exchangers will be priced 50% higher than before. Similarly, if the user inputs an index of 75, the price
will be 25% lower. The default value for all items is 100. This information is saved in a file named EQINDEX.SET in the application subdirectory
As you may have noticed in the paragraphs above, all information saved in the various .SET files is kept in the application subdirectory-in other words, the
subdirectory where you installed the Est$Pro program. Because the user may spend a lot of time customizing these files to the way his company does
business or based upon his own historical information/experiences, he may want to make sure that he has backup copies of each one of these files. Normally, if
the user makes any changes to a .SET file, the previous .SET file should be saved with a .BAK extension, so that if the user saved a new GUTHRIE.SET, then
the previous version should be saved as GUTHRIE.BAK, and to restore the old version, the user would only have to rename GUTHRIE.BAK to GUTHRIE.SET.
However, installing a new version of the program will sometimes overwrite one or more of the .SET files with the default files shipped with the program upgrade,
and in this case no backups are made. Therefore, before installing any new version of the program, the user should always save his .SET files into another
subdirectory or as .BAK files. After installation of the new version of the program, the user can restore his current .SET files. In certain rare cases, an upgrade to
the program will require a new format for one or more of these .SET files. In this case, the users will be notified, and unfortunately, the old .SET files will no
longer be useable with the program.
duplex, etc.). Required input from the user includes the same information as for centrifugal pumps above.
Flares & Stacks. The program will also estimate the cost of the following: simple stacks, derrick flares, guyed flares, ground flares, and free standing flares.
Each requires the user to input diameter, height, and a choice of carbon steel or stainless steel.
Compressors. The program will estimate the following compressor types: centrifugal process compressors, reciprocating process compressors, large internal
gas engine compressors, small packaged air compressors, and plant air compressors. The cost basis is iron or carbon steel. The user in most cases has the
choice of motor or turbine drivers. Though this varies from type to type, the user usually must input driver brake horsepower, flow rate in cubic feet per minute,
and dis-charge pressure in pounds per square inch.
Boilers. The program will estimate the following types of boilers: both small and large packaged boilers, as well as large field erected boilers. In most cases the
user will be required to input the duty in thousands of pounds of steam produced per hour, along with the design pressure.
Blowers & Fans. The program will also estimate the following types of motor-driven blowers: centrifugal fans, propeller-type fans, and general purpose blowers.
The usual requirements are air flow at the inlet in cubic feet per minute and dis-charge pressure in pounds per square inch. If the user can provide horsepower,
then the program will use this value, otherwise it will calculate horsepower based on the other parameters.
Packaged/Skidded Units. The program obviously cannot estimate every conceivable type of skid which the user might encounter, but it does have a way to price
skids. If the user can price the bare equipment which will be included on the skid and categorize the equipment cost into three categories, then Est$Pro can
convert the bare prices into a total skid package. To use this feature, the user would get a list of the equipment which will be included on each individual skid. He
would then price each of these equipment items and write down the prices (he would not save these items to the priced equipment file, because this would
create double-dipping). After pricing all of the equipment items on a particular skid, he would get a subtotal of equipment in these three categories: heat
exchange equipment, rotating equipment, and pressure vessels. Next, from the equipment pricing menu, he would select Packaged/Skidded Units. This would
bring up a form that allows the user to input tag number, description, and the three categories of bare equipment cost. From that, the program will calculate a
total fabricated skid price. The user has the option of then saving this price to his priced equipment file.
The algorithm used to produce a total fabricated skid price from bare equipment prices of the items on the skid is based upon a study of hundreds of skids for
which pricing was available. Obviously individual skids can vary widely. For instance, if the user was confronted with a skid that had only one small vessel
mounted on it and no other equipment items, but had ten 12-inch stainless steel valves, then the program is not going to produce an accurate price. However, it
will produce a reasonable cost for most skids containing several equipment items. User discretion is strongly advised.
If the user wishes to simply input a known plug price for a packaged unit, he should select Packaged/Skidded Units from the main equipment pricing menu, then
simply type in the tag number, description, quantity, and pricing manually. Clicking on Save/Continue will save the item to the priced equipment file.
In fact, this shortcut technique will work for any type of equipment where a price is available and the program does not need to calculate the purchase price. One
caveat to remember when doing this: for equipment items which require a selection of equipment type (for instance, the Process Vessels selection requires the
user to select between horizontal vessel, vertical vessel, trayed column, etc.), the user should always make sure to select the correct equipment type in addition
to the information noted above. This assures that the equipment is categorized properly and that the correct factors are applied. For most equipment types, the
user will also have to input an equivalent carbon steel price.
So typically the user would price all the equipment included on his sized equipment list during one or more Est$Pro sessions. All equipment which he chooses
to save gets saved to a priced equipment file along with the input values, and this will be discussed in more detail in the next section of this manual.
It should be noted that the maximum number of items which can be saved to a priced equipment file is two hundred. Note that if pumps P-101 A/B/C were input
as a single item with a quantity of three, this would count as a single item in the priced equipment file.
Also, please note: as a protective measure against power losses and program crashes, as the user prices equipment, the program saves all items priced during
that session to a file called TEMP.DAT, located in the application subdirectory. These saves are done every tenth entry, so that the most a user might loose in
the event of a crash is nine priced items.
Many times, after pricing all the equipment, the estimator may find that process engineers have changed certain pieces of equipment, or actual quotes may have
been received on other equipment items, or other items may have been added or deleted completely. The next section will explain how to change existing priced
equipment files.
duplex, etc.). Required input from the user includes the same information as for centrifugal pumps above.
Flares & Stacks. The program will also estimate the cost of the following: simple stacks, derrick flares, guyed flares, ground flares, and free standing flares.
Each requires the user to input diameter, height, and a choice of carbon steel or stainless steel.
Compressors. The program will estimate the following compressor types: centrifugal process compressors, reciprocating process compressors, large internal
gas engine compressors, small packaged air compressors, and plant air compressors. The cost basis is iron or carbon steel. The user in most cases has the
choice of motor or turbine drivers. Though this varies from type to type, the user usually must input driver brake horsepower, flow rate in cubic feet per minute,
and dis-charge pressure in pounds per square inch.
Boilers. The program will estimate the following types of boilers: both small and large packaged boilers, as well as large field erected boilers. In most cases the
user will be required to input the duty in thousands of pounds of steam produced per hour, along with the design pressure.
Blowers & Fans. The program will also estimate the following types of motor-driven blowers: centrifugal fans, propeller-type fans, and general purpose blowers.
The usual requirements are air flow at the inlet in cubic feet per minute and dis-charge pressure in pounds per square inch. If the user can provide horsepower,
then the program will use this value, otherwise it will calculate horsepower based on the other parameters.
Packaged/Skidded Units. The program obviously cannot estimate every conceivable type of skid which the user might encounter, but it does have a way to price
skids. If the user can price the bare equipment which will be included on the skid and categorize the equipment cost into three categories, then Est$Pro can
convert the bare prices into a total skid package. To use this feature, the user would get a list of the equipment which will be included on each individual skid. He
would then price each of these equipment items and write down the prices (he would not save these items to the priced equipment file, because this would
create double-dipping). After pricing all of the equipment items on a particular skid, he would get a subtotal of equipment in these three categories: heat
exchange equipment, rotating equipment, and pressure vessels. Next, from the equipment pricing menu, he would select Packaged/Skidded Units. This would
bring up a form that allows the user to input tag number, description, and the three categories of bare equipment cost. From that, the program will calculate a
total fabricated skid price. The user has the option of then saving this price to his priced equipment file.
The algorithm used to produce a total fabricated skid price from bare equipment prices of the items on the skid is based upon a study of hundreds of skids for
which pricing was available. Obviously individual skids can vary widely. For instance, if the user was confronted with a skid that had only one small vessel
mounted on it and no other equipment items, but had ten 12-inch stainless steel valves, then the program is not going to produce an accurate price. However, it
will produce a reasonable cost for most skids containing several equipment items. User discretion is strongly advised.
If the user wishes to simply input a known plug price for a packaged unit, he should select Packaged/Skidded Units from the main equipment pricing menu, then
simply type in the tag number, description, quantity, and pricing manually. Clicking on Save/Continue will save the item to the priced equipment file.
In fact, this shortcut technique will work for any type of equipment where a price is available and the program does not need to calculate the purchase price. One
caveat to remember when doing this: for equipment items which require a selection of equipment type (for instance, the Process Vessels selection requires the
user to select between horizontal vessel, vertical vessel, trayed column, etc.), the user should always make sure to select the correct equipment type in addition
to the information noted above. This assures that the equipment is categorized properly and that the correct factors are applied. For most equipment types, the
user will also have to input an equivalent carbon steel price.
So typically the user would price all the equipment included on his sized equipment list during one or more Est$Pro sessions. All equipment which he chooses
to save gets saved to a priced equipment file along with the input values, and this will be discussed in more detail in the next section of this manual.
It should be noted that the maximum number of items which can be saved to a priced equipment file is two hundred. Note that if pumps P-101 A/B/C were input
as a single item with a quantity of three, this would count as a single item in the priced equipment file.
Also, please note: as a protective measure against power losses and program crashes, as the user prices equipment, the program saves all items priced during
that session to a file called TEMP.DAT, located in the application subdirectory. These saves are done every tenth entry, so that the most a user might loose in
the event of a crash is nine priced items.
Many times, after pricing all the equipment, the estimator may find that process engineers have changed certain pieces of equipment, or actual quotes may have
been received on other equipment items, or other items may have been added or deleted completely. The next section will explain how to change existing priced
equipment files.
Building Estimating
This is not a fancy feature, but it does allow the user a consistent way to price many common types of refinery buildings. (Note that it will not price process
structures.) This is accessed from the main menu screen. The user will be presented with a building estimating screen which allows the user to select the
building type, input a square footage, and input an adjustment factor (in case he knows some reason the cost should vary from normal $/SF prices). If buildings
are priced using this or other methods and the user wishes to integrate their cost into an Est$Pro factored estimate, he must input them manually on the
OTHER COSTS tab of the project data input screen.