Ward 7 Results

Washington, D.C.
Ward 7 Survey Results

Q1
How likely are you to vote in the June 14, 2016

Democratic Primary for President and DC City
Council: are you certain to vote, will you
probably vote, are the chances 50/50, or will
you probably not vote?
Q5
Yvette Alexander............................................. 32%
Certain to vote ................................................ 90%
Ed Potillo......................................................... 6%
Will probably vote ........................................... 10%
Vince Gray ...................................................... 48%
Chances are 50/50 ......................................... 0%

Will probably not vote...................................... 0%
Q2
Not sure .......................................................... 14%
Q6
If the Democratic candidates for President

were Hillary Clinton, Martin OMalley, and
Bernie Sanders, who would you vote for?
Bernie Sanders ............................................... 8%
Disapprove...................................................... 5%
Not sure .......................................................... 3%
Q7
Not sure .......................................................... 15%
Q3
If the Democratic candidates for At-Large DC

Council were Vincent Orange, David Garber,
Robert White, and Vince Gray, who would you
vote for?
Do you agree or disagree with the following

statement: As Mayor, Vince Gray was treated
fairly by the media. If you agree that as Vince
Gray was treated fairly by the news media,
press 1. If you disagree, press 2. If youre not
sure, press 3.
Agree .............................................................. 31%
Vincent Orange ............................................... 26%
Disagree ......................................................... 49%
David Garber .................................................. 4%
Not sure .......................................................... 21%
Robert White................................................... 3%
Q8
Vince Gray ...................................................... 49%

Not sure .......................................................... 18%
Q4
Do you approve or disapprove of President

Barack Obamas job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 92%
Hillary Clinton.................................................. 73%

Martin O'Malley ............................................... 4%
If the Democratic candidates in the Ward 7 DC

Council Primary were Yvette Alexander, Ed
Potillo, and Vince Gray, who would you vote
for?
If the Democratic candidates for the DC

Council At-Large Primary were Vincent
Orange, David Garber, Robert White and Andy
Shalall, who would you vote for?
Vincent Orange ............................................... 48%
Do you agree or disagree with the following

statement: As Mayor, Vince Gray was treated
fairly by Federal investigators.
Agree .............................................................. 31%
Disagree ......................................................... 46%
Not sure .......................................................... 23%
Q9
Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor Muriel

Bowsers job performance?
David Garber .................................................. 3%
Approve .......................................................... 38%
Robert White................................................... 6%
Disapprove...................................................... 36%
Andy Shalall.................................................... 9%
Not sure .......................................................... 26%
Not sure .......................................................... 35%
January 5-7, 2016

Survey of 407 likely primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Q10 Regardless of how you feel about Mayor

Bowsers job performance, would you say you
have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of
Muriel Bowser personally?
Favorable........................................................ 51%
Unfavorable .................................................... 24%
Not sure .......................................................... 25%
Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of DC Council Chairman Phil Mendelson?
Favorable........................................................ 45%
Unfavorable .................................................... 14%
Not sure .......................................................... 41%

of Councilmember Yvette Alexander?
Favorable........................................................ 47%
Unfavorable .................................................... 22%
Not sure .......................................................... 31%

of Vince Gray?
Favorable........................................................ 64%
Unfavorable .................................................... 16%
Not sure .......................................................... 21%

of Robert White?
Favorable........................................................ 12%
Unfavorable .................................................... 9%
Not sure .......................................................... 79%

of Andy Shalall?
Favorable........................................................ 18%
Unfavorable .................................................... 11%
Not sure .......................................................... 71%
January 5-7, 2016

Survey of 407 likely primary voters

of Councilmember Vincent Orange?
Favorable........................................................ 50%
Unfavorable .................................................... 13%
Not sure .......................................................... 37%

of David Garber?
Favorable........................................................ 16%
Unfavorable .................................................... 10%
Not sure .......................................................... 74%

of Councilmember David Grosso?
Favorable........................................................ 18%
Unfavorable .................................................... 9%
Not sure .......................................................... 73%
Q19 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ........................................................... 52%
Man................................................................. 48%
Q20 If you are African-American, press 1. If

Hispanic, press 2. If white, press 3. If other,
press 4.
African-American ............................................ 92%
Hispanic .......................................................... 1%
White .............................................................. 3%
Other............................................................... 4%
Q21 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to

45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older
than 65, press 4.
18 to 29........................................................... 14%
30 to 45........................................................... 22%
46 to 65........................................................... 40%
Older than 65 .................................................. 24%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Gender
Man
Democratic President
Primary Vote
Base Woman
Man
Democratic At-Large
Council Vote
Hillary Clinton 73%

Martin O'Malley
4%
Bernie Sanders
8%
Not sure 15%
69%
77%
5%
2%
David Garber
4%
8%
8%
Robert White
18%
13%
Vincent Orange 26%
23%
4%
3%
3%
4%
2%
Vince Gray 49%
46%
52%
Not sure 18%
17%
20%
Gender
Base Woman
28%
Gender
Man
Democratic At-Large
Council Primary Vote
Base Woman
Man
Ward 7 Democratic
Primary Vote
Vincent Orange 48%
48%
49%
32%
32%
6%
8%
5%
Yvette Alexander 32%
David Garber
3%
3%
2%
Robert White
6%
4%
8%
Vince Gray 48%
44%
52%
Andy Shalall
9%
9%
8%
Not sure 14%
17%
11%
Not sure 35%
37%
33%
Ed Potillo
Gender
Base Woman
Gender
Man
Obama Approval
Approve 92%
94%
90%
Disapprove
5%
3%
8%
Not sure
3%
4%
2%
January 5-7, 2016
Base Woman
Agree 31%
35%
25%
Disagree 49%
40%
59%
Not sure 21%
25%
16%

Raleigh, NC 27604
survey of 407 likely Democratic primary voters
Man
Gray Treated Fairly By

Media Agree/Disagree
Gender
Base Woman
Gender
Man

Investigators
Agree/Disagree
Base Woman
Man
Bowser Approval
Approve 38%
32%
45%
Agree 31%
35%
26%
Disapprove 36%
34%
38%
Disagree 46%
36%
58%
Not sure 26%
34%
17%
Not sure 23%
29%
16%
Gender
Base Woman
Gender
Man
Bowser Favorability
Favorable 51%
49%
53%
Unfavorable 24%
21%
27%
Not sure 25%
30%
20%
Base Woman
Mendelson
Favorability
Favorable 45%
43%
47%
Unfavorable 14%
10%
18%
Not sure 41%
47%
35%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Gender
Man
Alexander Favorability
Base Woman
Man
Gray Favorability
Favorable 47%
47%
47%
Favorable 64%
58%
70%
Unfavorable 22%
27%
16%
Unfavorable 16%
17%
14%
Not sure 31%
25%
37%
Not sure 21%
25%
16%
Gender
Base Woman
Gender
Man
White Favorability
Base Woman
Shalall Favorability
14%
11%
Favorable 18%
9%
7%
12%
Not sure 79%
80%
78%
Favorable 12%
Unfavorable
January 5-7, 2016
Man
19%
17%
Unfavorable 11%
9%
13%
Not sure 71%
71%
71%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Gender
Man
Base Woman
Orange Favorability
Man
Garber Favorability
Favorable 50%
46%
56%
Favorable 16%
13%
18%
Unfavorable 13%
12%
13%
Unfavorable 10%
7%
14%
Not sure 37%
42%
31%
Not sure 74%
80%
67%
Race
Gender
Base Woman
AfricanBase American Hispanic White Other
Man
Grosso Favorability
17%
19%
9%
6%
12%
Not sure 73%
77%
69%
Favorable 18%
Unfavorable
Primary Vote
Hillary Clinton 73%
73%
64%
76%
67%
2%
Martin O'Malley
4%
4%
Bernie Sanders
8%
8%
17%
7%
Not sure 15%
15%
36%
8%
24%
Race
Race

Democratic At-Large
Council Vote

Democratic At-Large
Vincent Orange 26%

David Garber
4%
Robert White
26%
17%
25%
50%
24%
33%
3%
36%
30%
David Garber
3%
2%
36%
11%
4%
Vincent Orange 48%
3%
3%
10%
Robert White
6%
6%
3%
Vince Gray 49%
51%
29%
29%
31%
Andy Shalall
9%
8%
40%
6%
Not sure 18%
17%
36%
24%
34%
Not sure 35%
34%
64%
24%
54%
January 5-7, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Race
Race

Ward 7 Democratic
Primary Vote
Obama Approval
92%
100%
92%
79%
Disapprove
5%
5%
8%
8%
Not sure
3%
3%
Approve 92%
33%
36%
9%
24%
6%
6%
23%
9%
Vince Gray 48%
48%
29%
42%
37%
Not sure 14%
13%
36%
25%
29%

Ed Potillo
Race
Race

Agree 31%
31%
36%
48%
21%
Disagree 49%
49%
29%
44%
39%
Not sure 21%
12%
20%
36%
8%
40%

Investigators
Agree/Disagree
Agree 31%
30%
48%
32%
Disagree 46%
47%
64%
45%
32%
Not sure 23%
23%
36%
7%
36%
Race
Race

Bowser Approval

Bowser Favorability
Approve 38%
38%
48%
38%
Favorable 51%
51%
71%
80%
24%
Disapprove 36%
36%
64%
32%
28%
Unfavorable 24%
24%
29%
14%
31%
Not sure 26%
26%
36%
21%
35%
Not sure 25%
25%
6%
46%
January 5-7, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Race
Race

Mendelson
Favorability

Favorable 45%
45%
77%
23%
Unfavorable 14%
14%
29%
18%
Not sure 41%
40%
71%
23%
59%
Favorable 47%
48%
36%
42%
30%
Unfavorable 22%
22%
64%
21%
17%
Not sure 31%
30%
37%
53%
Race
Race

Gray Favorability

White Favorability
Favorable 64%
66%
29%
50%
31%
Unfavorable 16%
15%
71%
38%
12%
Not sure 21%
20%
12%
57%
Favorable 12%
2%
16%
9%
9%
7%
3%
Not sure 79%
78%
100%
91%
81%
Unfavorable
Race
Race


Orange Favorability
Favorable 18%
18%
Unfavorable 11%
11%
36%
Not sure 71%
71%
64%
46%
5%
Favorable 50%
53%
28%
34%
7%
6%
Unfavorable 13%
12%
36%
48%
12%
47%
88%
Not sure 37%
36%
64%
24%
55%
Race
Race

Garber Favorability

Grosso Favorability
Favorable 16%
16%
55%
10%
9%
Unfavorable 10%
10%
14%
5%
Not sure 74%
74%
45%
75%
86%
January 5-7, 2016
13%
18%
39%
6%
9%
8%
7%
18%
Not sure 73%
73%
100%
54%
75%
Favorable 18%
Unfavorable

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Primary Vote
Base
Democratic At-Large
Council Vote
Hillary Clinton 73%
78%
66%
71%
79%
3%
5%
1%
David Garber
Robert White
Martin O'Malley
4%
4%
Bernie Sanders
8%
13%
11%
8%
3%
Not sure 15%
4%
20%
16%
16%
46%
15%
30%
17%
4%
4%
6%
3%
3%
3%
6%
2%
Vince Gray 49%
41%
42%
47%
63%
Not sure 18%
9%
36%
14%
15%
Vincent Orange 26%
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
Democratic At-Large
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Ward 7 Democratic
Primary Vote
Vincent Orange 48%
50%
36%
52%
51%
4%
2%
4%
43%
39%
27%
28%
6%
5%
7%
8%
3%
7%
6%
Vince Gray 48%
38%
45%
49%
52%
Not sure 14%
14%
9%
15%
17%
David Garber
3%
Robert White
6%
11%
Andy Shalall
9%
16%
12%
6%
5%
Not sure 35%
23%
48%
33%
33%

Ed Potillo
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
Obama Approval
100%
80%
94%
94%
Disapprove
5%
16%
2%
3%
Not sure
3%
4%
3%
4%
Approve 92%
January 5-7, 2016
29
45
65 than 65
Base
Agree 31%
50%
27%
33%
20%
Disagree 49%
26%
52%
52%
54%
Not sure 21%
24%
22%
15%
27%

Raleigh, NC 27604
29
45
65 than 65
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65

Investigators
Agree/Disagree
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Bowser Approval
Approve 38%
41%
39%
38%
36%
40%
40%
36%
30%
19%
21%
26%
34%
Agree 31%
32%
33%
35%
22%
Disapprove 36%
Disagree 46%
54%
37%
47%
49%
Not sure 26%
Not sure 23%
14%
30%
19%
30%
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
Bowser Favorability
Favorable 51%
45%
51%
52%
53%
Unfavorable 24%
35%
26%
23%
17%
Not sure 25%
19%
23%
25%
30%
Base
Mendelson
Favorability
Favorable 45%
52%
41%
43%
47%
Unfavorable 14%
22%
10%
15%
12%
Not sure 41%
25%
49%
41%
41%
Age
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Age
29
45
65 than 65
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Gray Favorability
Favorable 47%
72%
43%
39%
51%
Favorable 64%
60%
63%
60%
71%
Unfavorable 22%
17%
20%
25%
20%
Unfavorable 16%
12%
21%
18%
9%
Not sure 31%
10%
37%
36%
28%
Not sure 21%
29%
17%
21%
20%
January 5-7, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
White Favorability
Base
29
45
65 than 65
35%
1%
12%
13%
Favorable 18%
33%
14%
18%
14%
9%
22%
7%
14%
Unfavorable 11%
27%
1%
9%
14%
Not sure 79%
42%
99%
81%
74%
Not sure 71%
40%
84%
72%
72%
Favorable 12%
Unfavorable
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
Orange Favorability
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Garber Favorability
Favorable 50%
48%
60%
48%
46%
Favorable 16%
14%
29%
13%
8%
Unfavorable 13%
7%
10%
14%
16%
Unfavorable 10%
24%
9%
16%
Not sure 37%
45%
30%
38%
37%
Not sure 74%
62%
71%
78%
76%
Age
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Grosso Favorability
Favorable 18%
8%
7%
23%
24%
9%
20%
1%
10%
10%
Not sure 73%
72%
91%
68%
66%
Unfavorable
January 5-7, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

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Washington, D.C.

Ward 7 Survey Results

How likely are you to vote in the June 14, 2016

Yvette Alexander............................................. 32%

Certain to vote ................................................ 90%

Will probably vote ........................................... 10%

Vince Gray ...................................................... 48%

Chances are 50/50 ......................................... 0%

Not sure .......................................................... 14%

If the Democratic candidates for President

Bernie Sanders ............................................... 8%

Not sure .......................................................... 15%

If the Democratic candidates for At-Large DC

Do you agree or disagree with the following

Vincent Orange ............................................... 26%

Disagree ......................................................... 49%

David Garber .................................................. 4%

Not sure .......................................................... 21%

Vince Gray ...................................................... 49%

Do you approve or disapprove of President

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 73%

If the Democratic candidates in the Ward 7 DC

If the Democratic candidates for the DC

Do you agree or disagree with the following

Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor Muriel

David Garber .................................................. 3%

Approve .......................................................... 38%

Not sure .......................................................... 26%

Not sure .......................................................... 35%

January 5-7, 2016

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Q10 Regardless of how you feel about Mayor

Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Q14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Q15 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

January 5-7, 2016

Q16 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Q17 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Q18 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Q19 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Q20 If you are African-American, press 1. If

Q21 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Hillary Clinton 73%

Not sure 15%

Vincent Orange 26%

Vince Gray 49%

Not sure 18%

Vincent Orange 48%

Yvette Alexander 32%

Vince Gray 48%

Not sure 14%

Not sure 35%

January 5-7, 2016

Not sure 21%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

survey of 407 likely Democratic primary voters