WeeklyAgReport

BUENOS AIRES GRAIN EXCHANGE

WEEK ENDED ON Dec. 03, 2015

CROP REPORT - HIGHLIGHTS
Estimations and Agricultural Projections Department
Buenos Aires Grain Exchange

Referencias:
NOA: Salta+Tucumn+Jujuy+Catamarca+Oeste Sgo del Estero.
NEA: Chaco+Este Sgo del Estero+Formosa.
Ctro N Sfe: Centro-Norte de Santa Fe. Ctro N Cba: Centro-Norte de Crdoba.
Ncleo Norte: Este de Crdoba+Centro-Sur de Santa Fe+Sudoeste de Entre Ros.
S Cba: Sur de Crdoba. N LP-O BA: Norte de La Pampa+ Oeste de Buenos Aires.
Ctro E ER: Entre Ros excluido Victoria y Diamante.
Ctro BA: Centro de Buenos Aires.
SO BA-S LP: Sudoeste de Buenos Aires+Sur de La Pampa.
SE BA: Sudeste de Buenos Aires. SL: San Luis.
Cuenca Sal: Este de la Cuenca del Salado. Otras: Corrientes+Misiones.

WEEKLY AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

BUENOS AIRES GRAIN EXCHANGE

December 03, 2015

AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: DECEMBER 3 TO 9, 2015: WARM WEATHER,
COUPLED WITH PRECIPITATIONS IN THE NORTH, WEST AND SOUTH OF THE AG.
REGION AND SCARCE VALUES IN THE CENTER- EAST, FOLLOWED BY A SHARP
TEMPERATURE DROP.
At the beginning of the perspective, northerly winds will affect most part of the Ag. region, bringing
abundant atmospheric humidity and cloudiness. This condition will lead to a temperature rise that will
impact on highs. At the same time, the passage of a Pampero front, will bring abundant precipitations to
the north, west and south of the agricultural area, while the center-east will report values ranging from
moderate to scarce. A late entrance of vigorous winds from the southwest will lead to a sharp
temperature drop over most part of the Ag. region with chances of local frosts in the hilly areas of
Buenos Aires.

SOYBEAN
Heavy rainfalls in the last seven days continue to hamper soybean planting on low fields in
different locations of Santa Fe. Conversely, plot incorporation has moved faster in places of Entre Ros,
Crdoba, Buenos Aires and La Pampa. So far, nationwide planting progress accounts for 54.4 % of an
area projected at 19,800,000 hectares, which might be adjusted in the next few weeks if unused areas at
the start of season are recovered. Overall, posting a week-on-week progress of 11.1 percentage points,
planted area is in excess of 10.7 Mha.
Main nationwide progress rates are in the central zone, precisely in the mid-east of Entre Ros,
north of La Pampa-west of Buenos Aires and center of Buenos Aires. Toward the mid-east of Entre Ros
the most advanced plots have unfolded between 3 and 4 leaves, and they present conditions ranging
from good to very good, though a slight water deficit is becoming visible on the first soil layer.

SOYBEAN PLANTING
2014/15 Season
Zone
I
NOA
II
NEA
III
Ctro N Cba
IV
S Cba
V
Ctro N SFe
VI
Ncleo Norte
VII
Ncleo Sur
VIII
Ctro E ER
IX
N LP-OBA
X
Ctro BA
XI
SO BA-S LP
XII
SE BA
XIII
SL
XIV
Cuenca Sal
XV
Otras
TOTAL

Hectareage (Ha)
2013/14
2014/15
900.000
700.000
1.500.000
1.350.000
2.200.000
2.300.000
1.700.000
1.750.000
1.300.000
1.350.000
3.270.000
3.000.000
2.730.000
2.590.000
1.250.000
1.300.000
1.850.000
2.200.000
650.000
760.000
520.000
600.000
1.680.000
1.500.000
180.000
180.000
220.000
170.000
50.000
50.000
20.000.000
19.800.000

As of: Dec. 03, 2015

Porcentage
Hectares
planted (%)
planted
0,4
2.790
4,2
56.400
33,5
770.660
53,5
935.700
40,7
549.000
78,2 2.345.120
69,9 1.811.309
87,3 1.134.890
74,4 1.635.750
72,4
550.350
19,2
115.375
45,9
688.800
38,9
70.000
53,8
91.420
20,0
10.000
54,4 10.767.564

CORN
2015/16 commercial corn planting has made progress duing the last week. Plot incorporations are
mainly in the center and south of the agricultural region. Hail precipitations have caused partial plot
losses, whose recovery will be subject to two factors, i.e the destruction of the crops apex and favorable
weather conditions in the next few weeks which allow for a rapid growth of new foliar tissue. Starting
planting window for late or second plots in the center and south of the country, corn area is increasingly
likely to grow. Consequently, initial planting intention remains at 2,720,000 ha for season 2015/16, down
by -20 % from last season (year 2014/15: 3.4 Mha). Planting progress has reached 43.6 % of area, for a
total of 1.18 Mha.

CORN PLANTING
2015/16 Season
Zonas
I
NOA
II
NEA
III
Ctro N Cba
IV
S Cba
V
Ctro N SFe
VI
Ncleo Norte
VII
Ncleo Sur
VIII
Ctro E ER
IX
N LP-OBA
X
Ctro BA
XI
SO BA-S LP
XII
SE BA
XIII
SL
XIV
Cuenca Sal
XV
Otras
TOTAL

Hectareage (Ha)
2014/15
2015/16
230.000
193.200
360.000
302.400
540.000
426.600
390.000
308.100
140.000
109.200
365.000
266.450
300.000
219.000
137.000
106.860
370.000
307.100
179.000
146.780
98.000
83.300
92.000
78.200
123.000
105.780
52.000
46.800
24.000
20.400
3.400.000
2.720.170

As of: Dec. 03, 2015

Porcentage
Hectares
planted (%)
planted
0,0
20,0
60.480
21,0
89.373
28,0
86.268
20,0
21.840
76,0
202.502
71,2
155.928
75,0
80.145
62,5
191.938
61,0
89.536
85,0
70.805
91,0
71.162
28,0
29.618
65,0
30.420
30,0
6.120
43,6 1.186.134

SUNFLOWER
A few days away from the end of sunflower incorporations in the country, good weather last week
has led to an increase of national planting progress of 98 % of an area projected at 1,450,000 hectares
(year 14/15: 1.3 Mha). Overall, more than 1,420,000 hectares were incorporated, posting a week-on-week
advance of 7.8 percentage points, and a YOY decrease of -0.4 points. Sunflower planting has finished in
the center of Buenos Aires and San Luis, while in the SE of Buenos Aires and SW of Buenos Aires-south
of La Pampa, only a few plots remain to be planted at the end of optimal window.
Toward the NE Area, crop condition varies according to planting date, where early plots filling
grains present water stress, and yields might fall below regional average. However, late plots are still
developing flowering stages, in optimal health and moisture conditions. In the town district of Charata,
strong winds observed prior to this report did not cause severe damage to the crop, where some plots
are already at physiological ripeness, expected to be harvested by mid December.

SUNFLOWER PLANTING
2015/16 Season
Hectareage (Ha)
Zone
2014/15
2015/16
I
NOA
II
NEA
135.000
180.000
III
Ctro N Cba
2.000
3.000
IV
S Cba
15.000
18.000
V
Ctro N SFe
90.000
150.000
VI
Ncleo Norte
4.000
7.000
VII
Ncleo Sur
5.000
5.000
VIII Ctro E ER
3.000
4.000
IX
N LP-OBA
90.000
108.000
X
Ctro BA
50.000
45.000
XI
SO BA-S LP
420.000
420.000
XII
SE BA
390.000
390.000
XIII SL
20.000
30.000
XIV Cuenca Sal
72.000
85.000
XV
Otras
4.000
5.000
TOTAL
1.300.000
1.450.000

As of:
Porcentage
planted (%)
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
95,0
98,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
98,0

Dec. 03, 2015

Hectares
planted
180.000
3.000
18.000
150.000
7.000
5.000
4.000
108.000
45.000
399.000
382.200
30.000
85.000
5.000
1.421.200

GRAIN SORGHUM
Commercial grain sorghum planting is in progress. So far, 353,000 ha were planted, accounting
for a 41.6 % of national area, which is estimated this season at 850,000 hectares. Consequently, planting
progress in the last 14 days was 18.3 percentage points, a little higher than previous weeks. To date,
sorghum planting has initiated throughout the national ag region, except in the NW Area, where it will
start once soybeans planting is advanced, since it is a higher priority.
The areas with the largest proportion of local planting continue to be the mid-east of Entre Ros,
north and south main growing areas. However, plantings in the provinces of Crdoba and Buenos Aires
have taken significant momentum in the last few days.

GRAIN SORGHUM PLANTING

2014/15 Season
Hectareage (Ha)
Zone
2013/14
2014/15
I
NOA
24.000
23.500
II
NEA
190.000
200.000
III
Ctro N Cba
100.000
100.000
IV
S Cba
34.000
36.500
V
Ctro N SFe
150.000
146.000
VI
Ncleo Norte
32.000
31.000
VII
Ncleo Sur
17.000
17.000
VIII Ctro E ER
65.000
62.000
IX
N LP-OBA
40.000
40.000
X
Ctro BA
8.000
10.000
XI
SO BA-S LP
80.000
80.000
XII
SE BA
7.000
7.000
XIII SL
52.000
50.000
XIV Cuenca Sal
29.000
29.000
XV
Otras
22.000
18.000
TOTAL
850.000
850.000

As of: Dec. 03, 2015

Porcentage
Hectares
planted (%)
planted
0,0
2,5
5.000
50,0
50.000
57,0
20.805
65,0
94.900
75,0
23.250
82,0
13.940
70,0
43.400
50,0
20.000
55,0
5.500
45,0
36.000
37,0
2.590
46,0
23.000
22,0
6.380
48,0
8.640
41,6
353.405

WHEAT
Wheat harvest fieldwork continues at good pace in the north and center of the national ag region,
where the absence of rainfalls has boosted harvest progress up to 31 % of suitable area, with a week-onweek advance of 11 percentage points, and a YOY decrease of -10.8 points. Main progress rates were
observed in the mid-east of Entre Ros and mid-north of Crdoba and Santa Fe; while in the south main
growing region, harvest fieldwork began a few days prior to this report.
Overall, almost 1.1 Mha were harvested, raising national average yield to 2.35 tons/ha, with a
partial volume accrued next to 2.5 MTn. As wheat harvest moves forward in the center zones of the
country, yields obtained continue to post above initial expectations. Consequently, if the trend remains
unchanged, it is possible to up the current productive projection of 9,500,000 tons for the ongoing
season.

WHEAT HARVEST
2015/16 Season
Hectareage (Ha)
Porcentage
Hectares
Zone
Sown
Lost
Harvestable Harvested (%) Harvested
I
NOA
203.000
30.000
173.000
100,0 173.000
II
NEA
210.000
16.000
194.000
100,0 194.000
III Ctro N Cba
490.000
38.000
452.000
70,0 316.400
IV S Cba
205.000
205.000
0,0
V
Ctro N SFe
185.000
14.000
171.000
80,0 136.800
VI Ncleo Norte
320.000
20.000
300.000
55,0 165.000
VII Ncleo Sur
250.000
41.000
209.000
30,0
52.250
VIII Ctro E ER
115.000
7.000
108.000
45,0
48.600
IX N LP-OBA
330.000
330.000
0,0
X
Ctro BA
120.000
120.000
0,0
XI SO BA-S LP
685.000
685.000
0,0
XII SE BA
530.000
530.000
0,0
XIII SL
5.000
5.000
0,0
XIV Cuenca Sal
42.000
42.000
0,0
XV Otras
10.000
800
9.200
85,0
7.820
TOTAL
3.700.000
166.800
3.533.200
31,3 1.093.870

Buenos Aires, Dec 03, 2015

As of: Dec. 03, 2015

Yield
Production
(qq/Ha)
(Tn)
12,8
220.706
17,3
336.520
23,5
744.486
23,9
326.895
35,3
581.900
35,0
182.875
32,2
156.492
20,4
15.962
23,5
2.565.836

Buenos Aires Grains Exchange