What Is Statistics
What Is Statistics
each
class
class
class
L+U
2
For example, if the class interval is 20-30 then the mid-value is
20 + 30
= 25
2
f) Frequency:
Number of observations falling within a particular class
interval is called frequency of that class.
Let us consider the frequency distribution of weights if
persons working in a company.
(i.e.) Midvalue =
Weight
(in kgs)
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
70-80
80-90
90-100
Total
Number of
persons
25
53
77
95
80
60
30
420
4.8
Number
of women
3
7
15
21
12
6
Less than
Cumulative
frequency
3
10
25
46
58
64
More than
cumulative
frequency
64
61
54
39
18
6
Cumulative frequency
more than
64
61
54
39
18
6
Line Diagram:
Line diagram is used in case where there are many items to be
shown and there is not much of difference in their values. Such
diagram is prepared by drawing a vertical line for each item
according to the scale. The distance between lines is kept uniform.
Line diagram makes comparison easy, but it is less attractive.
Example 1:
Show the following data by a line chart:
No. of children
0
1
2
3
4
5
Frequency
10
14
9
6
4
2
Line Diagram
Frequency
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
0
No. of Children
Example 2:
Represent the following data by a bar diagram.
Year
Production
(in tones)
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
45
40
42
55
50
Solution:
Simple Bar Diagram
60
Production
(in tonnes)
50
40
30
20
10
0
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Year
Example 3:
Draw a multiple bar diagram for the following data.
Profit before tax
Profit after tax
Year
( in lakhs of rupees )
( in lakhs of rupees )
1998
195
80
1999
200
87
2000
165
45
2001
140
32
Solution:
1999
2000
2001
Year
Monthly expenditure
(in Rs.)
Family A
Family B
75
95
20
25
15
10
40
65
25
35
Expenditure items
Food
Clothing
Education
Housing Rent
Miscellaneous
Solution:
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Family A
Expenditure item
Food
Clothing
Housing Rent
Miscellaneous
Family B
Education
Example 5:
Represent the following data by a percentage bar diagram.
Particular
Selling Price
Quantity Sold
Wages
Materials
Miscellaneous
Factory A
400
240
3500
2100
1400
Factory B
650
365
5000
3500
2100
Solution:
Convert the given values into percentages as follows:
Factory A
Rs.
%
400
5
240
3
3500
46
2100
28
1400
18
7640
100
Particulars
Selling Price
Quantity Sold
Wages
Materials
Miscellaneous
Total
Solution:
Factory B
Rs.
%
650
6
365
3
5000
43
3500
30
2100
18
11615
100
Percentages
100
80
60
40
20
0
Factory A
Factory B
Particulars
Selling price
Quantity sold
Materials
Miscellaneous
Two-dimensional Diagrams:
In one-dimensional diagrams, only length is taken into
account. But in two-dimensional diagrams the area represent the
data and so the length and breadth have both to be taken into
account. Such diagrams are also called area or surface diagrams.
Pie Diagram or Circular Diagram:
Another way of preparing a two-dimensional diagram is in
the form of circles. In such diagrams, both the total and the
component parts or sectors can be shown. The area of a circle is
proportional to the square of its radius.
While making comparisons, pie diagrams should be used on a
percentage basis and not on an absolute basis. In constructing a pie
diagram the first step is to prepare the data so that various
components values can be transposed into corresponding degrees
on the circle.
The second step is to draw a circle of appropriate size with a
compass. The size of the radius depends upon the available space
and other factors of presentation. The third step is to measure
points on the circle and representing the size of each sector with the
help of a protractor.
Example
Draw a Pie diagram for the following data of production of sugar in
quintals of various countries.
Country
Cuba
Australia
India
Japan
Egypt
Total
Production of Sugar
In
In Degrees
Quintals
62
134
47
102
35
76
16
35
6
13
166
360
Pie Diagram
Cuba
Australia
India
Japan
Egypt
5.6 Graphs:
A graph is a visual form of presentation of statistical data.
A graph is more attractive than a table of figure. Even a common
man can understand the message of data from the graph.
Comparisons can be made between two or more phenomena very
easily with the help of a graph.
However here we shall discuss only some important types of
graphs which are more popular and they are
1.Histogram
3.Frequency Curve
2. Frequency Polygon
4. Ogive
5. Lorenz Curve
5.6.1 Histogram:
A histogram is a bar chart or graph showing the frequency of
occurrence of each value of the variable being analysed. In
histogram, data are plotted as a series of rectangles.
Class
intervals are shown on the X-axis and the frequencies on the
Y-axis .
The height of each rectangle represents the frequency of the
class interval. Each rectangle is formed with the other so as to give
a continuous picture. Such a graph is also called staircase or block
diagram.
However, we cannot construct a histogram for distribution
with open-end classes. It is also quite misleading if the distribution
has unequal intervals and suitable adjustments in frequencies are
not made.
Example 10:
Draw a histogram for the following data.
Daily Wages
Number of Workers
0-50
8
50-100
16
100-150
27
150-200
19
200-250
10
250-300
6
Solution:
HISTOGRAM
Number of Workers
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
50
100
150
200
Daily Wages (in Rs.)
250
Example 11:
For the following data, draw a histogram.
Number of
Marks
Students
21-30
6
31-40
15
41-50
22
51-60
31
61-70
17
71-80
9
Solution:
For drawing a histogram, the frequency distribution should be
continuous. If it is not continuous, then first make it continuous as
follows.
Number of
Marks
Students
20.5-30.5
6
30.5-40.5
15
40.5-50.5
22
50.5-60.5
31
60.5-70.5
17
70.5-80.5
9
HISTOGRAM
35
Number of Students
30
25
20
15
10
0
20.5
30.5
40.5
50.5
60.5
70.5
80.5
Marks
5.6.2
Frequency Polygon:
If we mark the midpoints of the top horizontal sides of the
rectangles in a histogram and join them by a straight line, the figure
so formed is called a Frequency Polygon. This is done under the
assumption that the frequencies in a class interval are evenly
distributed throughout the class. The area of the polygon is equal
to the area of the histogram, because the area left outside is just
equal to the area included in it.
Example 13:
Draw a frequency polygon for the following data.
Weight (in kg)
30-35
35-40
40-45
45-50
50-55
55-60
60-65
Number of
Students
4
7
10
18
14
8
3
FREQUENCY POLYGON
20
18
Number of Students
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
5.6.3
Frequency Curve:
If the middle point of the upper boundaries of the rectangles
of a histogram is corrected by a smooth freehand curve, then that
diagram is called frequency curve. The curve should begin and end
at the base line.
Example 14:
Draw a frequency curve for the following data.
Monthly Wages
(in Rs.)
0-1000
1000-2000
2000-3000
3000-4000
4000-5000
5000-6000
6000-7000
7000-8000
No. of family
21
35
56
74
63
40
29
14
Solution:
FREQUENCY CURVE
80
70
No. of Family
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
Monthly Wages
(in Rs.)5000 6000
Monthly Wages in Rs.
7000 8000
5.6.4 Ogives:
For a set of observations, we know how to construct a
frequency distribution. In some cases we may require the number
of observations less than a given value or more than a given value.
This is obtained by a accumulating (adding) the frequencies upto
90
100
107
110
3
0
Cumulative frequency
Ogives
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
20
30
40
50
60
70
Class limit
80
90
100
x=
Short-Cut method :
Under this method an assumed or an arbitrary average
(indicated by A) is used as the basis of calculation of deviations
from individual values. The formula is
d
x = A+
n
where, A = the assumed mean or any value in x
d = the deviation of each value from the assumed mean
Example 2 :
A student s marks in 5 subjects are 75, 68, 80, 92, 56. Find his
average mark.
Solution:
X
75
A 68
80
92
56
Total
d
x = A+
n
31
= 68 +
5
= 68 + 6.2
= 74.2
d=x-A
7
0
12
24
-12
31
Grouped Data :
The mean for grouped data is obtained from the following formula:
fx
x=
N
where x = the mid-point of individual class
f = the frequency of individual class
N = the sum of the frequencies or total frequencies.
Short-cut method :
fd
c
x = A+
N
x A
where d =
c
A = any value in x
N = total frequency
c = width of the class interval
Example 3:
Given the following frequency distribution, calculate the
arithmetic mean
Marks
: 64 63
62
61
60
59
Number of
Students
: 8
18
12
9
96
Solution:
X
64
63
62
61
60
59
F
8
18
12
9
7
6
fx
512
1134
744
549
420
354
60
3713
d=x-A
2
1
0
1
2
3
fd
16
18
0
9
14
18
-7
Direct method
3713
fx
=
= 61.88
N
60
Short-cut method
7
fd
= 62
x = A+
= 61.88
N
60
Example 4 :
Following is the distribution of persons according to
different income groups. Calculate arithmetic mean.
x=
Income
Rs(100)
Number of
persons
Solution:
Income
C.I
0-10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
0-10
10-20
Number of
Persons (f)
6
8
10
12
7
4
3
50
20-30
10
Mid
X
5
15
25
A 35
45
55
65
97
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
12
d =
xA
c
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
Fd
-18
-16
-10
0
7
8
9
-20
Mean = x = A +
= 35
fd
N
20
50 10
= 35 4
= 31
that the median and mode are called the positional measures of an
average.
Median :
The median is that value of the variate which divides the
group into two equal parts, one part comprising all values greater,
and the other, all values less than median.
Ungrouped or Raw data :
Arrange the given values in the increasing or decreasing
order. If the number of values are odd, median is the middle value
.If the number of values are even, median is the mean of middle
two values.
By formula
n + 1 th
Median = Md =
item.
2
Grouped Data:
In a grouped distribution, values are associated with frequencies.
Grouping can be in the form of a discrete frequency distribution or
a continuous frequency distribution. Whatever may be the type of
distribution , cumulative frequencies have to be calculated to know
the total number of items.
Cumulative frequency : (cf)
Cumulative frequency of each class is the sum of the frequency of
the class and the frequencies of the pervious classes, ie adding the
frequencies successively, so that the last cumulative frequency
gives the total number of items.
Discrete Series:
Step1: Find cumulative frequencies.
N +1
Step2: Find
2
Step3: See in the cumulative frequencies the value just greater than
N +1
2
Step4: Then the corresponding value of x is median.
Example 14:
The following data pertaining to the number of members in
a family. Find median size of the family.
Number of
members x
Frequency
F
Solution:
10
11
12
10
13
X
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
f
1
3
5
6
10
13
9
5
3
2
2
1
60
cf
1
4
9
15
25
38
47
52
55
57
59
60
N + 1 th
Median = size of
item
2
60 + 1 th
= size of
item
2
= 30.5th item
The cumulative frequencies just greater than 30.5 is 38.and the
value of x corresponding to 38 is 6.Hence the median size is 6
members per family.
Continuous Series:
The steps given below are followed for the calculation of
median in continuous series.
Step1: Find cumulative frequencies.
N
Step2: Find
2
Step3: See in the cumulative frequency the value first greater than
N
2 , Then the corresponding class interval is called the Median
class. Then apply the formula
N
m
2
Median = l +
c
f
Where
l = Lower limit of the median class
m = cumulative frequency preceding the median
c = width of the median class
f =frequency in the median class.
N=Total frequency.
Note :
If the class intervals are given in inclusive type convert
them into exclusive type and call it as true class interval and
consider lower limit in this.
Example :
Calculate median from the following data
f
Value
0-4
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
5
8
10
12
7
6
3
2
53
True class
interval
0.5-4.5
4.5-9.5
9.5-14.5
14.5-19.5
19.5-24.5
24.5-29.5
29.5-34.5
34.5-39.5
c.f
5
13
23
35
42
48
51
53
53
N
= = 26.5
2
2
N
m
2
Md = l +
c
f
26.5 23
5
12
= 14.5+1.46 = 15.96
= 14.5 +
2 m
Md = l +
c
f
37.5 32
= 400 +
100 = 400 + 68.75 = 468.75
8
Merits of Median :
1. Median is not influenced by extreme values because it is a
positional average.
2. Median can be calculated in case of distribution with openend intervals.
3. Median can be located even if the data are incomplete.
4. Median can be located even for qualitative factors such as
ability, honesty etc.
Demerits of Median :
1. A slight change in the series may bring drastic change in
median value.
2. In case of even number of items or continuous series,
median is an estimated value other than any value in the
series.
3. It is not suitable for further mathematical treatment except
its use in mean deviation.
4. It is not taken into account all the observations.
Quartiles :
The quartiles divide the distribution in four parts. There are
three quartiles. The second quartile divides the distribution into two
halves and therefore is the same as the median. The first (lower)
quartile (Q1) marks off the first one-fourth, the third (upper)
quartile (Q3) marks off the three-fourth.
Raw or ungrouped data:
First arrange the given data in the increasing order and use the
formula for Q1 and Q3 then quartile deviation, Q.D is given by
Q 3 - Q1
Q.D =
2
n + 1 th
n + 1 th
Where Q1=
item and Q3 = 3
item
4
4
Example 22 :
Compute quartiles for the data given below 25,18,30, 8, 15,
5, 10, 35, 40, 45
Solution :
5, 8, 10, 15, 18,25, 30,35,40, 45
n + 1 th
Q1 =
item
4
10 + 1 th
=
item
4
= (2.75)th item
3
= 2nd item + (3rd item-2nd item)
4
3
= 8+
(10-8)
4
3
= 8 +
2
4
= 8 + 1.5
= 9.5
th
n +1
Q3 = 3
item
4
= 3 (2.75)th item
= (8.25)th item
1 th
= 8th item +
[9 item-8th item]
4
1
= 35 +
[40-35]
4
= 35+1.25=36.25
Percentiles :
The percentile values divide the distribution into 100 parts
each containing 1 percent of the cases. The percentile (Pk) is that
value of the variable up to which lie exactly k% of the total number
of observations.
Relationship :
P25 = Q1 ; P50 = D5 = Q2 = Median and P75 = Q3
15(n + 1)
P15 =
item
100
th
15 7
=
item
100
= (1.05)th item
= 1st item + 0.05 (2nd item 1st -item)
= 5 + 0.05 (8 5) = 5 + 0.15 = 5.15
Percentile for grouped data :
Example
Find P53 for the following frequency distribution.
Class
interval
0-5
5-10
10-15
15-20
20-25
25-30
30-35
35-40
Frequency
12
16
20
10
Solution:
Class Interval
0-5
5-10
10-15
15-20
20-25
25-30
30-35
35-40
Total
Frequency
5
8
12
16
20
10
4
3
78
C.f
5
13
25
41
61
71
75
78
P53
53N
m
= l + 100
c
f
= 20 +
41.34 41
5
20
= 20 + 0.085 = 20.085.
Mode :
The mode refers to that value in a distribution, which
occur most frequently. It is an actual value, which has the highest
concentration of items in and around it.
According to Croxton and Cowden The mode of a
distribution is the value at the point around which the items tend to
be most heavily concentrated. It may be regarded at the most
typical of a series of values.
It shows the centre of concentration of the frequency in around a
given value. Therefore, where the purpose is to know the point of
the highest concentration it is preferred. It is, thus, a positional
measure.
Its importance is very great in marketing studies where a
manager is interested in knowing about the size, which has the
highest concentration of items. For example, in placing an order for
shoes or ready-made garments the modal size helps because this
sizes and other sizes around in common demand.
Computation of the mode:
Ungrouped or Raw Data:
For ungrouped data or a series of individual observations,
mode is often found by mere inspection.
Example :
2 , 7, 10, 15, 10, 17, 8, 10, 2
Mode = M0 =10
In some cases the mode may be absent while in some cases
there may be more than one mode.
Example
1. 12, 10, 15, 24, 30 (no mode)
2. 7, 10, 15, 12, 7, 14, 24, 10, 7, 20, 10
the modes are 7 and 10
Grouped Data:
For Discrete distribution, see the highest frequency and
corresponding value of X is mode.
Continuous distribution :
See the highest frequency then the corresponding value of class
interval is called the modal class. Then apply the formula.
1
Mode = M 0 = l +
1
f
5
14
40
91
150
87
60
38
15
Solution:
The highest frequency is 150 and corresponding class interval is
200 250, which is the modal class.
Here l=200,f1=150,f0=91, f2=87, C=50
Mode = M0 = l +
= 200 +
f1 -f 0
c
2f1 - f 0 - f 2
150-91
50
2 150 91 87
2950
122
= 200 + 24.18 = 224.18
= 200 +
Merits of Mode:
1. It is easy to calculate and in some cases it can be located
mere inspection
2. Mode is not at all affected by extreme values.
3. It can be calculated for open-end classes.
4. It is usually an actual value of an important part of the
series.
5. In some circumstances it is the best representative of data.
Demerits of mode:
1. It is not based on all observations.
2. It is not capable of further mathematical treatment.
3. Mode is ill-defined generally, it is not possible to find mode
in some cases.
4. As compared with mean, mode is affected to a great extent,
by sampling fluctuations.
5. It is unsuitable in cases where relative importance of items
has to be considered.
EMPIRICAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AVERAGES
In a symmetrical distribution the three simple averages
mean = median = mode. For a moderately asymmetrical
distribution, the relationship between them are brought by Prof.
Karl Pearson as mode = 3median - 2mean.
Example 34:
If the mean and median of a moderately asymmetrical series
are 26.8 and 27.9 respectively, what would be its most probable
mode?
Solution:
Using the empirical formula
Mode = 3 median 2 mean
= 3 27.9 2 26.8
= 30.1
7. MEASURES OF DISPERSION
SKEWNESS AND KURTOSIS
7.1
Introduction :
The measure of central tendency serve to locate the
center of the distribution, but they do not reveal how the items
are spread out on either side of the center. This characteristic
of a frequency distribution is commonly referred to as
dispersion. In a series all the items are not equal. There is
difference or variation among the values. The degree of
variation is evaluated by various measures of dispersion.
Small dispersion indicates high uniformity of the items, while
large dispersion indicates less uniformity.
For example
consider the following marks of two students.
Student I
Student II
68
85
75
90
65
80
67
25
70
65
Both have got a total of 345 and an average of 69 each.
The fact is that the second student has failed in one paper.
When the averages alone are considered, the two students are
equal. But first student has less variation than second student.
Less variation is a desirable characteristic.
Characteristics of a good measure of dispersion:
An ideal measure of dispersion is expected to possess
the following properties
1.It should be rigidly defined
2. It should be based on all the items.
3. It should not be unduly affected by extreme items.
141
Example 5:
For the date given below, give the quartile deviation and
coefficient of quartile deviation.
X : 351 500 501 650 651 800 801950 9511100
f :
48
189
88
4
28
Solution :
x
351- 500
501- 650
651- 800
801- 950
951- 1100
Total
f
48
189
88
47
28
N = 400
True class
Intervals
350.5- 500.5
500.5- 650.5
650.5- 800.5
800.5- 950.5
950.5- 1100.5
N
m1
Q1 = l1 + 4
c1
f1
N
400
=
= 100,
4
4
Q1 Class is 500.5 650.5
l1 = 500.5, m1 = 48, f1 = 189, c1 = 150
100 48
150
Q1 = 500.5 +
189
52 150
= 500.5 +
189
= 500.5 + 41.27
= 541.77
N
3
m3
4
Q3 = l3 +
c3
f3
147
Cumulative
frequency
48
237
325
372
400
N
= 3 100 = 300,
4
Q3 Class is 650.5 800.5
l3 = 650.5, m3 = 237, f3 = 88, C3 = 150
300 - 237
150
Q3 = 650.5 +
88
63 150
= 650.5 +
88
= 650.5 + 107.39
= 757. 89
Q Q1
Q.D = 3
2
757.89 541 .77
=
2
216.12
=
2
= 108.06
Q Q1
Coefficient of Q.D = 3
Q 3 + Q1
757.89 541.77
=
757.89 + 541.77
216.12
=
= 0.1663
1299.66
7.4.3 Merits and Demerits of Quartile Deviation
Merits :
1. It is Simple to understand and easy to calculate
2. It is not affected by extreme values.
3. It can be calculated for data with open end classes also.
Demerits:
1. It is not based on all the items. It is based on two
positional values Q1 and Q3 and ignores the extreme
50% of the items
3
148
Mean deviation
Mean or Median or Mode
If the result is desired in percentage, the coefficient of mean
Mean deviation
deviation =
100
Mean or Median or Mode
7.5.3 Computation of mean deviation Individual Series :
1. Calculate the average mean, median or mode of the
series.
2. Take the deviations of items from average ignoring
signs and denote these deviations by |D|.
3. Compute the total of these deviations, i.e., |D|
4. Divide this total obtained by the number of items.
|D|
Symbolically: M.D. =
n
Example 6:
Calculate mean deviation from mean and median for the
following data:
100,150,200,250,360,490,500,600,671 also calculate coefficients of M.D.
Coefficient of mean deviation: =
Solution:
Mean = x =
x
n
3321
=369
9
9 + 1
= Value of
item
2
= Value of 5th item
= 360
th
150
D = xx
D = x Md
100
150
200
250
360
490
500
600
671
3321
269
219
169
119
9
121
131
231
302
1570
260
210
160
110
0
130
140
240
311
1561
n
1570
=
= 174.44
9
M.D
Co-efficient of M.D =
x
174.44
=
= 0.47
369
D
M.D from median =
n
1561
=
= 173.44
9
M.D
173.44
Co-efficient of M.D.=
=
= 0.48
Median
360
7.5.4 Mean Deviation Discrete series:
Steps: 1. Find out an average (mean, median or mode)
2. Find out the deviation of the variable values from the
average, ignoring signs and denote them by D
3. Multiply the deviation of each value by its respective
frequency and find out the total f D
151
4. Divide
Symbolically,
Example 7:
Compute Mean deviation from mean and median from the
following data:
Height 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166
in cms
No. of
15
20
32
35
33
22
20
10
8
persons
Also compute coefficient of mean deviation.
Solution:
Height
No. of
X
persons
f
158
15
159
20
160
32
161
35
162
33
163
22
164
20
165
10
166
8
195
x = A+
d= x- A
A =162
fd
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
|D| =
|X- mean|
- 60
- 60
- 64
- 35
0
22
40
30
32
- 95
fd
N
95
= 162 +
= 162 0.49 = 161.51
195
f D = 338.59 = 1.74
M.D. =
N
195
152
3.51
2.51
1.51
0.51
0.49
1.49
2.49
3.49
4.49
f|D|
52.65
50.20
48.32
17.85
16.17
32.78
49.80
34.90
35.92
338.59
M.D
1.74
=
= 0.0108
161.51
X
No. of
D =
persons
c.f.
X Median
f
15
15
3
20
35
2
32
67
1
35
102
0
33
135
1
22
157
2
20
177
3
10
187
4
8
195
5
195
Coefficient of M.D.=
Height
x
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
f D
45
40
32
0
33
44
60
40
40
334
th
N +1
Median = Size of
item
2
th
195 +1
= Size of
item
2
= Size of 98 th item
= 161
f D = 334 = 1.71
M.D =
195
N
1.71
M.D
=.0106
=
161
Median
7.5.5 Mean deviation-Continuous series:
The method of calculating mean deviation in a continuous
series same as the discrete series.In continuous series we have to
find out the mid points of the various classes and take deviation of
these points from the average selected. Thus
f | D |
M.D =
N
Coefficient of M.D. =
153
Where
D = m - average
M = Mid point
Example 8:
Find out the mean deviation from mean and median from the
following series.
Age in years
No.of
persons
0-10
20
10-20
25
20-30
32
30-40
40
40-50
42
50-60
35
60-70
10
70-80
8
Also compute co-efficient of mean deviation.
Solution:
0-10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
70-80
5
15
25
35
45
55
65
75
20
25
32
40
42
35
10
8
212
x = A+
fd c
N
32
= 35 +
10
212
mA
c
(A=35,C=10)
= 35 +
d=
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
D =
fd
-60
-50
-32
0
42
70
30
32
32
mx
f D
31.5
21.5
11.5
1.5
8.5
18.5
28.5
38.5
630.0
537.5
368.0
60.0
357.0
647.5
285.0
308.0
3193.0
320
= 35 + 1.5 = 36.5
212
154
f D
3193
= 15.06
N
212
Calculation of median and M.D. from median
M.D. =
c.f
|D| = |m-Md|
f |D|
0-10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
70-80
5
15
25
35
45
55
65
75
20
25
32
40
42
35
10
8
20
45
77
117
159
194
204
212
32.25
22.25
12.25
2.25
7.75
17.75
27.75
37.75
Total
645.00
556.25
392.00
90.00
325.50
621.25
277.50
302.00
3209.50
N
212
=
= 106
2
2
l = 30, m = 77, f = 40, c = 10
N
m
2
Median = l +
c
f
106 - 77
= 30 +
10
40
29
= 30 +
4
= 30 + 7.25 = 37.25
f | D |
M. D. =
N
3209.5
=
= 15.14
212
M.D
Coefficient of M.D =
Median
15.14
= 0.41
=
37.25
155
n
x2
The square root of
is standard deviation.
n
x2
(x x) 2
or
n
n
b) Deviations taken from assumed mean:
This method is adopted when the arithmetic mean is
fractional value.
Taking deviations from fractional value would be a very
difficult and tedious task. To save time and labour, We apply short
cut method; deviations are taken from an assumed mean. The
formula is:
Thus =
d2 d
=
N
N
Where d-stands for the deviation from assumed mean = (X-A)
Steps:
1. Assume any one of the item in the series as an average (A)
2. Find out the deviations from the assumed mean; i.e., X-A
denoted by d and also the total of the deviations d
3. Square the deviations; i.e., d2 and add up the squares of
deviations, i.e, d2
4. Then substitute the values in the following formula:
2
157
d2
d
=
n
n
Note: We can also use the simplified formula for standard
deviation.
1
2
n d 2 ( d )
=
n
For the frequency distribution
c
2
N fd 2 ( fd )
=
N
Example 9:
Calculate the standard deviation from the following data.
14, 22, 9, 15, 20, 17, 12, 11
Solution:
Deviations from actual mean.
2
Values (X)
14
22
9
15
20
17
12
11
120
120
X=
=15
8
=
-1
7
-6
0
5
2
-3
-4
(x x)2
n
140
8
= 17.5 = 4.18
158
1
49
36
0
25
4
9
16
140
Example 10:
The table below gives the marks obtained by 10 students in
statistics. Calculate standard deviation.
Student Nos : 1 2 3
4
5 6 7
8
9 10
Marks
: 43 48 65 57 31 60 37 48 78 59
Solution: (Deviations from assumed mean)
Nos.
Marks (x)
d=X-A (A=57)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
43
48
65
57
31
60
37
48
78
59
n = 10
d2
=
n
=
d2
-14
-9
8
0
-26
3
-20
-9
21
2
196
81
64
0
676
9
400
81
441
4
d=-44
d2 =1952
1952
44
10
10
= 195.2 19.36
= 175.84 = 13.26
7.6.3 Calculation of standard deviation:
Discrete Series:
There are three methods for calculating standard deviation
in discrete series:
(a) Actual mean methods
(b) Assumed mean method
(c) Step-deviation method.
159
fd 2 fd
=
f
f
Where d = X A , N = f.
2
Example 11:
Calculate Standard deviation from the following data.
X:
20
22
25
31
35
40
42
f:
5
12
15
20
25
14
10
160
45
6
Solution:
Deviations from assumed mean
x
f
d = x A
(A = 31)
-11
5
20
-9
12
22
-6
15
25
0
20
31
4
25
35
9
14
40
11
10
42
14
6
45
N=107
=
fd 2 fd
f
f
d2
fd
fd2
121
81
36
0
16
81
121
196
-55
-108
-90
0
100
126
110
84
fd=167
605
972
540
0
400
1134
1210
1176
fd2
=6037
=
=
=
6037 167
107
107
56.42 2.44
53.98 = 7.35
Example 12:
Compute Standard deviation from the following data
Marks
:
10
20
30
40
50
No.of students:
8
12
20
10
7
Solution:
Marks x
F
fd
x 30
d =
10
-16
-2
8
10
-12
-1
12
20
0
0
20
30
10
1
10
40
14
2
7
50
9
3
3
60
N=60
fd =5
60
3
fd
32
12
0
10
28
27
fd 2
= 109
109 5
- 10
60 60
= 1.817 - 0.0069 10
= 1.8101 10
= 1.345 10
= 13.45
7.6.4 Calculation of Standard Deviation Continuous series:
In the continuous series the method of calculating standard
deviation is almost the same as in a discrete series. But in a
continuous series, mid-values of the class intervals are to be found
out. The step- deviation method is widely used.
162
d =
mA
, C- Class interval.
C
Steps:
1.Find out the mid-value of each class.
2.Assume the center value as an assumed mean and denote
it by A
mA
3.Find out d =
C
4.Multiply the deviations d by the respective frequencies and
get fd
5.Square the deviations and get d 2
6.Multiply the squared deviations (d 2) by the respective
frequencies and get fd 2
7.Substituting the values in the following formula to get the
standard deviation
Example 13:
The daily temperature recorded in a city in Russia in a year
is given below.
Temperature C 0
No. of days
10
-40 to 30
18
-30 to 20
30
-20 to 10
42
-10 to
0
65
0 to 10
180
10 to 20
20
20 to 30
365
Calculate Standard Deviation.
163
Solution:
Temperature
-40 to -30
-30 to -20
-20 to -10
-10 to - 0
0 to 10
10 to 20
20 to 30
Mid
value
(m)
-35
-25
-15
-5
5
15
25
No. of
days
f
10
18
30
42
65
180
20
d =
m (5n )
10n
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
N=365
1157
389
10
365
365
= 3.1699 - 1.1358 10
= 2.0341 10
= 1.4262 10
= 14.26c
=
fd
-30
-36
-30
0
65
360
60
fd
90
72
30
0
65
720
180
fd = fd 2
389
=1157
Average
34.5
28.5
Standard Deviation
5
4.5
No. of workers
476
524
100
X1
5
=
100
34.5
= 14.49
Example 16:
Prices of a particular commodity in five years in two cities are
given below:
Price in city A
Price in city B
10
20
20
22
18
19
12
23
15
16
Which city has more stable prices?
168
Solution:
Actual mean method
20
22
19
23
16
City A
Deviations
from X=20
dx
0
2
-1
3
-4
x=100
dx=0
Prices
(X)
City A: X =
x=
=
dx
Prices
(Y)
0
4
1
9
16
10
20
18
12
15
dx2=30 y=75
x
n
100
= 20
5
(x x)2
=
n
30
=
5
dx 2
n
6 =2.45
100
x
2.45
=
100
20
= 12.25 %
75
y
City B: Y =
=
= 15
n
5
C.V(x) =
y =
(y y)2
=
n
dy2
n
169
City B
Deviations
from Y =15
dy
-5
5
3
-3
0
dy=0
dy2
25
25
9
9
0
dy2
=68
68
= 13.6 = 3.69
5
y
x 100
C.V.(y) =
y
3.69
=
100
15
= 24.6 %
City A had more stable prices than City B, because the
coefficient of variation is less in City A.
=
7.9
Skewness:
7.9.1 Meaning:
Skewness means lack of symmetry . We study skewness to
have an idea about the shape of the curve which we can draw with
the help of the given data.If in a distribution mean = median =
mode, then that distribution is known as symmetrical distribution.
If in a distribution mean median mode , then it is not a
symmetrical distribution and it is called a skewed distribution and
such a distribution could either be positively skewed or negatively
skewed.
a) Symmetrical distribution:
Solution:
Computation of Mean and Standard deviation :
Short cut method.
Size
Deviation from A=25
D
0
25
-10
15
-2
23
15
40
2
27
0
25
-2
23
0
25
-5
20
d=-2
N=9
d2
0
100
4
225
4
0
4
0
25
d2=362
d
n
2
= 25 +
9
= 25 0.22 = 24.78
Mean = A +
d2 d
n
n
362 2
9 9
40.22 0.05
= 40.17 = 6.3
Mode = 25, as this size of item repeats 3 times
Karl Pearson s coefficient of skewness
24.78 25
=
Mean - Mode
6.3
=
0.22
S .D.
=
6.3
= 0.03
=
Example 19:
Find the coefficient of skewness from the data given below
Size :
3
4 5
6
7
8
9
10
Frequency: 7
10 14 35
102
136
43
8
Solution:
Size
Frequency
(f)
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
7
10
14
35
102
136
43
8
N=355
Mean = A +
= 6+
Deviation
From A=6
(d)
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
fd
N
480
355
= 6 + 1.35
= 7.35
Mode = 8
Coefficient of skewness =
d2
fd
fd2
9
4
1
0
1
4
9
16
-21
-20
-14
0
102
272
129
32
fd=480
63
40
14
0
102
544
387
128
fd2=1278
fd 2 fd
N
N
=
=
1278 480
355 355
3.6 1.82
= 1.78 = 1.33
=
Mean - Mode
S .D.
7.35 - 8
1.33
0.65
1.33
= 0.5
Example 23:
Calculate the value of the Bowley s coefficient of skewness from
the following series.
Wages : 10-20 20-30
(Rs)
No.of
Persons : 1
3
Solution:
Wages(Rs)
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
70-80
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
70-80
11
21
43
32
F
1
3
11
21
43
32
9
N=120
c.f
1
4
15
36
79
111
120
N
m1
Q1 = l1 + 4
c1
f1
N 120
=
= 30
4
4
Q1class
40-50
30 15
10
21
150
= 40 +
21
= 40 + 7.14
= 47.14
= 40 +
N
m
Q2 = Median = l + 2
c
f
N 120
=
= 60
2
2
Medianal class = 50 60
l= 50 , m=36, f = 43, c=10
60 36
median
= 50 +
10
43
240
= 50 +
43
= 50 + 5.58
= 55.58
N
m3
4
Q3 = l3 +
c3
f3
N
120
3 = 3
= 90
4
4
Q3 class = 60 70
l3=60, m3=79, f3=32, c3=10
90 79
Q3 = 60 +
10
32
110
= 60 +
32
= 60 +3.44
= 63.44
3
Q 3 + Q1 2 Median
Q 3 Q1
63.44 + 47.14 2 55.58
=
63.44 47.14
110.58 111.16
16.30
0.58
=
16.30
= 0.0356
=
Kurtosis:
The expression Kurtosis is used to describe the
peakedness of a curve.
The three measures central tendency, dispersion and
skewness describe the characteristics of frequency distributions.
But these studies will not give us a clear picture of the
characteristics of a distribution.
As far as the measurement of shape is concerned, we have
two characteristics skewness which refers to asymmetry of a
series and kurtosis which measures the peakedness of a normal
curve. All the frequency curves expose different degrees of flatness
or peakedness. This characteristic of frequency curve is termed as
kurtosis. Measure of kurtosis denote the shape of top of a
frequency curve. Measure of kurtosis tell us the extent to which a
distribution is more peaked or more flat topped than the normal
curve, which is symmetrical and bell-shaped, is designated as
Mesokurtic. If a curve is relatively more narrow and peaked at the
top, it is designated as Leptokurtic. If the frequency curve is more
flat than normal curve, it is designated as platykurtic.
L = Lepto Kurtic
M = Meso Kurtic
P = Platy Kurtic
4
2
2
37.6
42
37.6
= 2.35
16
The value of 2 is less than 3, hence the curve is platykurtic.
=
Example 25:
From the data given below, calculate the first four moments
about an arbitrary origin and then calculate the first four central
moments.
X : 30-33 33-36 36-39 39-42 42-45
45-48
f :
2
4
26
47
15
6
Solution:
[Hint: Refer Example 18 of page 172 and get the values of first
four moments about the origin and the first four moments about the
mean. Then using these values find the values of 1 and 2.]
4 = 291.454
3 = 2.91,
2 = 8.76
1 = 0,
1 =
8.47
(2.91) 2
= 0.0126
=
3
672.24
(8.76)
291.454
= 3.70
(8.76) 2
Since 2 >3, the curve is leptokurtic.
2 =
8. CORRELATION
Introduction:
The term correlation is used by a common man without
knowing that he is making use of the term correlation. For example
when parents advice their children to work hard so that they may
get good marks, they are correlating good marks with hard work.
The study related to the characteristics of only variable such
as height, weight, ages, marks, wages, etc., is known as univariate
analysis. The statistical Analysis related to the study of the
relationship between two variables is known as Bi-Variate
Analysis. Some times the variables may be inter-related. In health
sciences we study the relationship between blood pressure and age,
consumption level of some nutrient and weight gain, total income
and medical expenditure, etc., The nature and strength of
relationship may be examined by correlation and Regression
analysis.
Thus Correlation refers to the relationship of two variables
or more. (e-g) relation between height of father and son, yield and
rainfall, wage and price index, share and debentures etc.
Correlation is statistical Analysis which measures and
analyses the degree or extent to which the two variables fluctuate
with reference to each other. The word relationship is important. It
indicates that there is some connection between the variables. It
measures the closeness of the relationship. Correlation does not
indicate cause and effect relationship. Price and supply, income
and expenditure are correlated.
Definitions:
1. Correlation Analysis attempts to determine the degree of
relationship between variables- Ya-Kun-Chou.
2. Correlation is an analysis of the covariation between two
or more variables.- A.M.Tuttle.
Correlation expresses the inter-dependence of two sets of
variables upon each other. One variable may be called as (subject)
191
Perfect positive
Correlation
r = +1
Perfect Negative
Correlation
O
O
X axis
(r = 1)
O
192
X axis
X
1. If all the plotted dots lie on a straight line falling from upper
left hand corner to lower right hand corner, there is a perfect
negative correlation between the two variables. In this case
the coefficient of correlation takes the value r = -1.
2. If the plotted points in the plane form a band and they show
a rising trend from the lower left hand corner to the upper
right hand corner the two variables are highly positively
correlated.
Highly Positive
Highly Negative
Y
X axis
X axis
O
X
193
Merits:
1. It is a simplest and attractive method of finding the nature
of correlation between the two variables.
2. It is a non-mathematical method of studying correlation. It
is easy to understand.
3. It is not affected by extreme items.
4. It is the first step in finding out the relation between the two
variables.
5. We can have a rough idea at a glance whether it is a positive
correlation or negative correlation.
Demerits:
By this method we cannot get the exact degree or
correlation between the two variables.
Types of Correlation:
Correlation is classified into various types. The most
important ones are
i) Positive and negative.
ii) Linear and non-linear.
iii) Partial and total.
iv) Simple and Multiple.
Positive and Negative Correlation:
It depends upon the direction of change of the variables. If
the two variables tend to move together in the same direction (ie)
an increase in the value of one variable is accompanied by an
increase in the value of the other, (or) a decrease in the value of one
variable is accompanied by a decrease in the value of other, then
the correlation is called positive or direct correlation. Price and
supply, height and weight, yield and rainfall, are some examples of
positive correlation.
If the two variables tend to move together in opposite
directions so that increase (or) decrease in the value of one variable
is accompanied by a decrease or increase in the value of the other
variable, then the correlation is called negative (or) inverse
correlation. Price and demand, yield of crop and price, are
examples of negative correlation.
194
XY
X2 . Y2
X = x x , Y = y y
when the deviations are taken from the actual mean we can apply
any one of these methods. Simple formula is the third one.
The third formula is easy to calculate, and it is not
necessary to calculate the standard deviations of x and y series
respectively.
Steps:
1. Find the mean of the two series x and y.
2. Take deviations of the two series from x and y.
X = x x , Y = y y
3. Square the deviations and get the total, of the respective
squares of deviations of x and y and denote by X2 ,
Y2 respectively.
4. Multiply the deviations of x and y and get the total and
Divide by n. This is covariance.
5. Substitute the values in the formula.
r =
cov( x, y )
=
x.y
( x x) ( y - y ) / n
( x x) 2 ( y y ) 2
.
n
n
196
( x x)( y
y)
( xy + x y yx x y )
n
197
yx
xy
xy
x y
+
n
n
n
n
xy
xy
Cov(x,y) =
=
yx - x y + x y
xy
n
n
2
2
x 2
y 2
2 2
2 2
xx =
- x , y =
- y
n
n
C ov( x, y )
Now r =
x . y
=
xy
xy
n
r=
2
2
x 2
y 2
x
.
- y
n
n
nxy - (x) (y )
r =
[nx 2 (x ) 2 ][ny 2 - (y )2 ]
Note: In the above method we need not find mean or standard
deviation of variables separately.
Example 2:
Calculate coefficient of correlation from the following data.
X
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Y
9
8
10
12
11
13
14
16
x
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
45
y
9
8
10
12
11
13
14
16
15
108
x2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
285
198
y2
81
64
100
144
121
169
196
256
225
1356
xy
9
16
30
48
55
78
98
128
135
597
9
15
r =
r =
nxy - (x) (y )
[nx 2 (x ) 2 ][ny 2 - (y )2 ]
9 597 - 45 108
r =
=
5373 - 4860
(2565 2025).(12204 11664)
513
513
=
= 0.95
540
540 540
( x x)( y
y)
n
Take the deviation from x as x A and the deviation from y as
yB
[( x - A) - ( x A)] [( y - B) - ( y B)]
Cov(x,y) =
n
1
=
[( x - A) ( y - B) - ( x - A) ( y - B)
n
- ( x A)( y B) + ( x A)( y B)]
=
1
( x - A)
[( x - A) ( y - B) - ( y - B)
n
n
( y - B ) ( x - A)( y B)
( x A)
+
n
n
( x - A)( y - B)
nA
)
( y B) ( x
n
n
nB
) + ( x A) ( y B)
( x A) ( y
n
199
( x - A)( y - B)
( y B) ( x A)
n
( x A) ( y B ) + ( x A) ( y B)
( x - A)( y - B)
( x A) ( y B)
n
Let x- A = u ; y - B = v;
x A=u ; yB =v
uv
uv
Cov (x,y) =
n
2
u 2
xx2 =
u = u2
n
2
v 2
y 2y =
v = v2
n
nuv (u )(v)
r =
nu 2 (u )2 . (nv 2 ) (v)2
Example 3:
Calculate Pearson s Coefficient of correlation.
X 45 55 56 58 60 65 68 70 75
Y 56 50 48 60 62 64 65 70 74
=
X
45
55
56
58
60
65
68
70
75
80
85
Y
56
50
48
60
62
64
65
70
74
82
90
80
82
85
90
u = x-A v = y-B u2
v2
uv
-20
-14
400
196
280
-10
-20
100
400
200
-9
-22
81
484
198
-7
-10
49
100
70
-5
-8
25
64
40
0
-6
0
36
0
3
-5
9
25
-15
5
0
25
0
0
10
4
100
16
40
15
12
225
144
180
20
20
400
400
400
2
-49
1414
1865
1393
200
nuv (u ) (v)
r=
r=
11 1393 - 2 (-49)
x A
c
201
cu = x- A
x = cu +A
x = cu + A
yB
d
vd = y B
y = B + vd
v=
y = [B + v d]
x = c u ; y = d v
cov(x , y )
rxy =
x , y
f ( x x)( y y )
cov(x,y) =
n
1
f[(cu+A) - (cu+A)][(dv+B) - (d v+B)]
n
1
= f cu-cu (dv-d v )
n
1
= f c (u - u) d (v v )
N
1
= f cd u - u v v
N
1
= cd f (u u ) (v - v )
N
f (u u ) (v - v )
= cd
= cd cov(u, v)
N
cov( x, y ) = c.d cov(u, v)
cov(x , y ) cd cov(u , v ) cov(u , v )
r xy =
=
=
= r uv
c .. u . d . v
x y
u v
rxy = ruv
202
Steps:
1. Take the step deviations of the variable x and denote these
deviations by u.
2. Take the step deviations of the variable y and denote these
deviations by v.
3. Multiply uv and the respective frequency of each cell and
unite the figure obtained in the right hand bottom corner of
each cell.
4. Add the corrected (all) as calculated in step 3 and obtain the
total fuv.
5. Multiply the frequencies of the variable x by the deviations
of x and obtain the total fu.
6. Take the squares of the step deviations of the variable x and
multiply them by the respective frequencies and obtain the
fu2
Similarly get fv and fv2 . Then substitute these values in the
formula 1 and get the value of r .
Example 4:
The following are the marks obtained by 132 students in two tests.
Test-1 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 Total
Test-2
20-30
2
5
3
10
30-40
1
8
12
6
27
40-50
5
22
14
1
42
50-60
2
16
9
2
29
60-70
1
8
6
1
16
70-80
2
4
2
8
Total
3
21
63
39
6
132
Calculate the correlation coefficient.
Let x denote Test 1 marks.
Let y denote Test 2 marks.
x 55
y 45
u=
v=
10
10
203
mid x
mid y
35
45
55
65
75
25
0
12
1
0
45
0
5
22
0
0
-1
2
55
-2
-2
65
1
-2
75
f
u
fu
fu2
fuv
3
-2
-6
12
10
r =
21
-1
-21
21
14
fv
fv2
fuv
10
-2
-20
40
18
27
-1
-27
27
29
29
29
11
16
32
64
14
24
72
24
132
0
24
96
71
38
232
71
10
8
35
0
16
0
0
8
0
0
2
0
63
0
0
0
0
-1
6
-6
0
14
0
1
9
9
2
6
12
3
4
12
39
1
39
39
27
0
1
42
0
2
2
4
4
1
4
6
2
12
6
2
12
24
20
Check
Example 5:
Calculate Karl Pearson s coefficient of correlation from the data
given below:
Age in years
Marks
18
19
20
21
22
0- 5
3
1
5- 10
3
2
10-15
7
10
15-20
5
4
20-25
3
2
x 12.5
5
y 20
v=
1
u=
y
mid x
18
2.5
19
20
fv
fv2
Fuv
-2
-8
16
-10
-1
-5
-7
17
-5
10
20
-16
16
1
16
16
-9
3
2
6
12
-8
40
0
9
47
-38
50
-38
21
22
-2
3
-4
1
-4
-2
2
-4
-6
7.5
-1
3
-3
0
0
12.5
10
0
17.5
-4
22.5
3
-12
f
u
fu
fu2
fuv
3
-2
-6
12
-12
-1
5
-5
-2
2
-4
7
-1
-7
7
-9
0
4
0
11
0
0
0
0
205
Check
r =
[40 50 62 ].[40 47 92 ]
1520 54
1574
=
=
= 0.8373
(2000 36) (1880 81)
1964 1799
Properties of Correlation:
1. Correlation coefficient lies between 1 and +1
(i.e) 1 r +1
x x
y y
Let x =
; y =
x
y
Since (x +y )2 being sum of squares is always non-negative.
(x +y )2 0
x 2 + y 2 +2 x y 0
2
y y
x x
x x y y
+ 2
0
+
x
x y
y
2
2
2( x x ) (Y Y )
( x x )
( y y )
+
+
0
x2
y2
x y
2
dividing by n we get
2 1
1 1
1 1
. ( x x) ( y y )
. ( x x ) 2 +
. ( y y ) 2 +
x2 n
y2 n
x y n
0
1
1
2
. x 2 +
.cov( x, y ) 0
y2 +
x2
y2
x y
1 + 1 + 2r 0
2 + 2r 0
2(1+r) 0
(1 + r) 0
1 r -------------(1)
206
Similarly, (x y )2 0
2(l-r) 0
l - r 0
r +1 --------------(2)
(1) +(2) gives 1 r 1
Note: r = +1 perfect +ve correlation.
r = 1 perfect ve correlation between the variables.
Property 2:
Property 3:
Property 4:
Property 5:
Property 6:
Limitations:
1. Correlation coefficient assumes linear relationship regardless
of the assumption is correct or not.
2. Extreme items of variables are being unduly operated on
correlation coefficient.
3. Existence of correlation does not necessarily indicate causeeffect relation.
Interpretation:
The following rules helps in interpreting the value of r .
1. When r = 1, there is perfect +ve relationship between the
variables.
2. When r = -1, there is perfect ve relationship between the
variables.
3. When r = 0, there is no relationship between the variables.
4. If the correlation is +1 or 1, it signifies that there is a high
degree of correlation. (+ve or ve) between the two variables.
If r is near to zero (ie) 0.1,-0.1, (or) 0.2 there is less correlation.
207
Rank Correlation:
It is studied when no assumption about the parameters of
the population is made. This method is based on ranks. It is useful
to study the qualitative measure of attributes like honesty, colour,
beauty, intelligence, character, morality etc.The individuals in the
group can be arranged in order and there on, obtaining for each
individual a number showing his/her rank in the group. This
method was developed by Edward Spearman in 1904. It is defined
6D 2
as r = 1 3
r = rank correlation coefficient.
n n
Note: Some authors use the symbol for rank correlation.
D2 = sum of squares of differences between the pairs of ranks.
n = number of pairs of observations.
The value of r lies between 1 and +1. If r = +1, there is
complete agreement in order of ranks and the direction of ranks is
also same. If r = -1, then there is complete disagreement in order of
ranks and they are in opposite directions.
Computation for tied observations: There may be two or more
items having equal values. In such case the same rank is to be
given. The ranking is said to be tied. In such circumstances an
average rank is to be given to each individual item. For example if
the value so is repeated twice at the 5th rank, the common rank to
5+6
be assigned to each item is
= 5.5 which is the average of 5
2
and 6 given as 5.5, appeared twice.
If the ranks are tied, it is required to apply a correction
1
factor which is
(m3-m). A slightly different formula is used
12
when there is more than one item having the same value.
The formula is
r=
6[D 2 +
1
1
(m3 m) + (m 3 m) + ....]
12
12
n3 n
208
Rank
3
2
1
5
6
4
7
88
120
90
134
Price of
coffee
120
134
150
115
110
140
100
95 70 60
150 115 110
75
140
50
100
Rank
D2
4
3
1
5
6
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
2
D =6
6D 2
66
= 1 3
3
n n
7 7
36
= 1
= 1 0.1071
336
= 0.8929
The relation between price of tea and coffee is positive at
0.89. Based on quality the association between price of tea and
price of coffee is highly positive.
r = 1
Example 7:
In an evaluation of answer script the following marks are awarded
by the examiners.
1st
88
95
70
960
50
80
75
85
2nd
84
90
88
55
48
85
82
72
209
D2
4
0
16
0
0
1
9
30
6D 2
6 30
= 1 3
3
n n
8 8
180
= 1 0.357 = 0.643
= 1
504
r = 0.643 shows fair in awarding marks in the sense that uniformity
has arisen in evaluating the answer scripts between the two
examiners.
Example 8:
Rank Correlation for tied observations. Following are the marks
obtained by 10 students in a class in two tests.
r = 1
Students A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
Test 1
70 68
67
55
60
60
75
63
60
72
Test 2
65 65
80
60
68
58
75
63
60
70
Calculate the rank correlation coefficient between the marks of two tests.
Student
Test 1
R1
Test 2
R2
D
D2
A
70
3
65
5.5
-2.5
6.25
B
68
4
65
5.5
-1.5
2.25
C
67
5
80
1.0
4.0
16.00
D
55
10
60
8.5
1.5
2.25
E
60
8
68
4.0
4.0
16.00
F
60
8
58
10.0
-2.0
4.00
G
75
1
75
2.0
-1.0
1.00
H
63
6
62
7.0
-1.0
1.00
I
60
8
60
8.5
0.5
0.25
J
72
2
70
3.0
-1.0
1.00
50.00
210
211
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
15-25
1
2
3
25-35
1
12
4
17
35-45
1
10
3
14
45-55
1
6
2
9
214
55-65
1
4
1
6
65-75
2
2
4
Total
2
15
15
10
8
3
53
60-70 70-80
4
3
2
5
1
2
1
7
11
80-90
1
2
3
3
1
10
90-100
1
2
5
1
9
100-110
1
2
5
8
Total
8
10
9
11
7
45
215
45. The following table gives the no. of students having different
heights and weights. Do you find any relation between height
and weight.
Weights in Kg
Height in
cms
150-155
155-160
160-165
165-170
Total
55-60
1
2
1
4
60-65
3
4
5
3
15
65-70
7
10
12
8
37
70-75
5
7
10
6
28
75-80
2
4
7
3
16
Total
18
27
35
20
100
RANK CORRELATION:
46. Two judges gave the following ranks to eight competitors in a
beauty contest.
Examine the relationship between their
judgements.
Judge A 4
5
1
2
3
6
7
8
Judge B 8
6
2
3
1
4
5
7
47. From the following data, calculate the coefficient of rank
correlation.
X
Y
36
50
56
35
20
70
65
25
42
58
33
75
44
60
50
45
15
80
60
38
22
18
28
25
31
25
23
37
29
31
31
35
27
31
22
29
31
18
18
20
68
67
55 60 60
75 63
60
72
65
80
60 68 58
75 62
60
70
216
3. (b)
8. (b)
4.(b) 5. (a)
9. (c) 10. (b)
13. Multiple
16. Symmetric
31. r = 0.85
34. r = +0.58
37. r = +0.68
40. r = +0.1
43. r = +0.533
46. r = +0.62
49. r = 0.34
32. y = 6.25.
35. r = +0.98
38. r = - 0.92
41. r = +0.98
44. r = +0.596
47. r = - 0.93
50. r = 0.679
217
9. REGRESSION
9.1 Introduction:
After knowing the relationship between two variables we
may be interested in estimating (predicting) the value of one
variable given the value of another. The variable predicted on the
basis of other variables is called the dependent or the explained
variable and the other the independent or the predicting variable.
The prediction is based on average relationship derived statistically
by regression analysis. The equation, linear or otherwise, is called
the regression equation or the explaining equation.
For example, if we know that advertising and sales are
correlated we may find out expected amount of sales for a given
advertising expenditure or the required amount of expenditure for
attaining a given amount of sales.
The relationship between two variables can be considered
between, say, rainfall and agricultural production, price of an input
and the overall cost of product, consumer expenditure and
disposable income. Thus, regression analysis reveals average
relationship between two variables and this makes possible
estimation or prediction.
9.1.1 Definition:
Regression is the measure of the average relationship
between two or more variables in terms of the original units of the
data.
9.2 Types Of Regression:
The regression analysis can be classified into:
a) Simple and Multiple
b) Linear and Non Linear
c) Total and Partial
a) Simple and Multiple:
In case of simple relationship only two variables are
considered, for example, the influence of advertising expenditure
on sales turnover. In the case of multiple relationship, more than
218
r=-1
r =+1
X O
r=0
( x, y )
220
Graphic
(through regression lines)
Algebraic
(through regression equations)
Scatter Diagram
Regression Equations
(through normal equations)
Regression Equations
(through regression coefficient)
221
6
9
2
11
10
5
222
4
8
8
7
Solution:
Y
X2
Y2
XY
9
36
81
54
11
4
121
22
5
100
25
50
8
16
64
32
7
64
49
56
40
220
340
214
Regression equation of Y on X is Y = a + bX and the
normal equations are
X
6
2
10
4
8
30
Y = na + bX
XY = aX + bX2
Substituting the values, we get
40 = 5a + 30b (1)
214 = 30a + 220b .(2)
Multiplying (1) by 6
240 = 30a + 180b
. (3)
(2) (3)
- 26 = 40b
26
= - 0.65
40
Now, substituting the value of b in equation (1)
40 = 5a 19.5
5a = 59.5
59.5
a=
= 11.9
5
Hence, required regression line Y on X is Y = 11.9 0.65 X.
Again, regression equation of X on Y is
X = a + bY and
or b = -
b1 = byx = r y
x
ye = y + b1 ( x x)
The regression equation of X on Y is
X e = x + r x ( y y)
y
Here, the regression Co-efficient of X on Y
b2 = bxy = r x
y
X e = X + b2 ( y y )
224
( X X )(Y Y )
(Y Y )
2
xy
where x = X X , y = Y Y
If the deviations are taken from any arbitrary values of x and y
(short cut method)
n uv u v
b1 = byx =
2
n u 2 ( u )
b2 = bxy =
n uv u v
n v 2 ( v )
where u = x A : v = Y-B
A = any value in X
B = any value in Y
9.5 Properties of Regression Co-efficient:
1. Both regression coefficients must have the same sign, ie either
they will be positive or negative.
2. correlation coefficient is the geometric mean of the regression
coefficients ie, r = b1b2
3. The correlation coefficient will have the same sign as that of the
regression coefficients.
4. If one regression coefficient is greater than unity, then other
regression coefficient must be less than unity.
5. Regression coefficients are independent of origin but not of
scale.
6. Arithmetic mean of b1 and b2 is equal to or greater than the
b1 + b2
coefficient of correlation. Symbolically
r
2
225
1 + m1m2
where m1 and,m2 are the slopes of the regression lines X on Y
and Y on X respectively.
10.The angle between the regression lines indicates the degree of
dependence between the variables.
Example 2:
If 2 regression coefficients are b1=
4
9
and b2 =
.What would be
5
20
the value of r?
Solution:
The correlation coefficient , r = b1b2
4 9
x
5 20
=
=
36
6
=
= 0.6
100 10
Example 3:
15
3
and b2 = , Find r
Given b1 =
8
5
Solution:
r = b1b2
=
15 3
x
8 5
9
=1.06
8
It is not possible since r, cannot be greater than one. So the given
values are wrong
=
226
Ye = Y + r y ( X X )
x
(1)
(or)
Ye = Y + b1 ( X X )
The regression equation of X on Y is
X e = X + r x (Y Y )
y
X e = X + b2 (Y Y )
These two regression equations represent entirely two
different lines. In other words, equation (1) is a function of X,
which can be written as Ye = F(X) and equation (2) is a function of
Y, which can be written as Xe = F(Y).
The variables X and Y are not inter changeable. It is mainly
due to the fact that in equation (1) Y is the dependent variable, X is
the independent variable. That is to say for the given values of X
we can find the estimates of Ye of Y only from equation (1).
Similarly, the estimates Xe of X for the values of Y can be obtained
only from equation (2).
Example 4:
Compute the two regression equations from the following data.
X
1
2
3 4
5
Y
2
3
5
4
6
If x =2.5, what will be the value of y?
Solution:
X
Y
x2
y2
xy
x = X X y = Y Y
1
2
-2
-2
4
4
4
2
3
-1
-1
1
1
-1
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
4
1
0
1
0
0
5
6
2
2
4
4
4
15
20
20
10
10
9
227
X 15
= =3
n
5
Y 20
Y=
=
=4
n
5
Regression Co efficient of Y on X
xy 9
byx =
= = 0.9
x 2 10
X=
45
40
42
38
44
36
43
35
41
38
228
45
39
43
37
40
41
Solution:
X
46
42
44
A 43
41
45
43
40
Y
40
38 B
36
35
38
39
37
41
u = X-A
3
-1
1
0
-2
2
0
-3
0
u2
9
1
1
0
4
4
0
9
28
v = Y-B
2
0
-2
-3
0
1
-1
3
0
u
n
0
= 43
= 43 +
8
u
Y = B+
n
0
= 38
= 38 +
8
The regression Co-efficient of Y on X is
n uv u v
b1 = byx =
2
n u 2 ( u )
X = A+
8(3) (0)(0)
24
=
= -0.11
2
8(28) (0)
224
The regression coefficient of X on Y is
n uv u v
b2 = bxy =
2
n v 2 ( v )
=
8(3) (0)(0)
8(28) (0) 2
24
=
= - 0.11
224
=
229
V2
4
0
4
9
0
1
1
9
28
uv
6
0
-2
0
0
2
0
-9
-3
Mean
S.D
X
65
2.5
Y
67
3.5
byx= b1 = r y
x
3.5
= 0.8
= 1.12
2.5
The regression coefficient of X on Y is
bxy = b2 = r x
y
230
2.5
= 0.57
3.5
Hence, the regression equation of Y on X is
Ye = Y + b1 ( X X )
= 67 + 1.12 (X-65)
= 67 + 1.12 X - 72.8
= 1.12X 5.8
The regression equation of X on Y is
X e = X + b2 (Y Y )
= 65 + 0.57 (Y-67)
= 65 + 0.57Y 38.19
= 26.81 + 0.57Y
Note:
Suppose, we are given two regression equations and we
have not been mentioned the regression equations of Y on X and X
on Y. To identify, always assume that the first equation is Y on X
then calculate the regression co-efficient byx = b1 and bxy = b2. If
these two are satisfied the properties of regression co-efficient, our
assumption is correct, otherwise interchange these two equations.
= 0.8
Example 7:
Given 8X 10Y + 66 = 0 and 40X 18Y = 214. Find the
correlation coefficient, r.
Solution:
Assume that the regression equation of
8X- 10Y + 66 = 0.
-10Y = -66-8X
10Y = 66 + 8X
66 8 X
Y=
+
10 10
Now the coefficient attached with X is byx
8
4
i.e., byx =
=
10
5
231
Y on X is
4 9
5 20
36
100
6
10
= 0.6
Example 8:
Regression equations of two correlated variables X and Y
are 5X-6Y+90 = 0 and 15X-8Y-130 = 0. Find correlation
coefficient.
Solution:
Let 5X-6Y+90 =0 represents the regression equation of X
on Y and other for Y on X
6
90
Now
X= Y
5
5
232
bxy = b2 =
6
5
For 15X-8Y-130 = 0
15
130
Y=
X
8
8
byx = b1
15
=
8
r = b1 b2
15 6
8 5
= 2.25
= 1.5 >1
It is not possible. So our assumption is wrong. So let us take the
first equation as Y on X and second equation as X on Y.
From the equation 5x 6y + 90 = 0,
5
90
Y=
X
6
6
5
byx =
6
From the equation 15x - 8y 130 = 0,
8
130
X=
Y+
15
15
8
bxy =
15
Correlation coefficient, r = b1 b2
=
5 8
6 15
40
90
2
=
3
233
= 0.67
Example 9:
The lines of regression of Y on X and X on Y are
respectively, y = x + 5 and 16X = 9Y 94. Find the variance of X
if the variance of Y is 19. Also find the covariance of X and Y.
Solution:
From regression line Y on X,
Y = X+5
We get byx = 1
From regression line X on Y,
16X = 9Y-94
9
94
X=
Y
,
16
16
we get
9
bxy =
16
r = b1 b2
= 1
=
9
16
3
4
Again , byx = r
y
x
4
3
(Since Y 2=16, Y = 4 )
x
4
X = 3.
Variance of X = X2
i.e., 1 =
Again byx =
=9
cov( x, y )
2
x
234
cov( x, y )
9
or cov (x,y) = 9.
1
Example 10:
Is it possible for two regression lines to be as follows:
Y = -1.5X + 7 , X = 0.6Y + 9 ? Give reasons.
Solution:
The regression coefficient of Y on X is b1 = byx = -1.5
The regression coefficient of X on Y is b2 = bxy = 0.6
Both the regression coefficients are of different sign, which is a
contrary. So the given equations cannot be regression lines.
Example 11:
In the estimation of regression equation of two variables X
and Y the following results were obtained.
X = 90, Y = 70, n = 10, x2 =6360; y2 = 2860,
xy = 3900 Obtain the two regression equations.
Solution:
Here, x, y are the deviations from the Arithmetic mean.
xy
b1 = byx =
x 2
3900
=
= 0.61
6360
xy
b2 = bxy = 2
y
3900
=
= 1.36
2860
Regression equation of Y on X is
Ye = Y +b1 (X - X )
= 70 + 0.61 (X 90)
= 70 + 0.61 X 54.90
= 15.1 + 0.61X
235
Regression equation of X on Y is
Xe = X + b2 (Y-Y )
= 90 + 1.36 (Y 70)
= 90 + 1.36 Y 95.2 = 1.36Y 5.2
9.7 Uses of Regression Analysis:
1. Regression analysis helps in establishing a functional
relationship between two or more variables.
2. Since most of the problems of economic analysis are based on
cause and effect relationships, the regression analysis is a highly
valuable tool in economic and business research.
3. Regression analysis predicts the values of dependent variables
from the values of independent variables.
4. We can calculate coefficient of correlation ( r) and coefficient of
determination ( r2) with the help of regression coefficients.
5. In statistical analysis of demand curves, supply curves,
production function, cost function, consumption function etc.,
regression analysis is widely used.
9.8 Difference between Correlation and Regression:
S.No
Correlation
Regression
Regression means
1.
Correlation is the relationship
going back and it is a
between two or more variables,
which vary in sympathy with the mathematical measure
other in the same or the opposite showing the average
relationship between
direction.
two variables
2.
Both the variables X and Y are
Here X is a random
random variables
variable and Y is a
fixed variable.
Sometimes both the
variables may be
random variables.
It indicates the causes
3.
It finds out the degree of
and effect relationship
relationship between two
between the variables
variables and not the cause and
and establishes
effect of the variables.
functional relationship.
236
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Besides verification it
is used for the
prediction of one
value, in relationship
to the other given
value.
Regression coefficient
is an absolute figure. If
we know the value of
the independent
variable, we can find
the value of the
dependent variable.
In regression there is
no such spurious
regression.
It has wider
application, as it
studies linear and nonlinear relationship
between the variables.
It is widely used for
further mathematical
treatment.
The regression
coefficient explains
that the decrease in one
variable is associated
with the increase in the
other variable.
Exercise 9
I. Choose the correct answer:
1. When the correlation coefficient r = +1, then the two regression
lines
a) are perpendicular to each other
b) coincide
c) are parallel to each other
d) none of these
237
14. The farther the two regression lines cut each other, the _____
be the degree of correlation.
15. When one regression coefficient is positive, the other would
also be _____.
16. The sign of regression coefficient is ____ as that of correlation
coefficient.
III. Answer the following:
17. Define regression and write down the two regression
equations
18. Describe different types of regression.
19. Explain principle of least squares.
20. Explain (i) graphic method, (ii) Algebraic method.
21. What are regression co-efficient?
22. State the properties of regression coefficients.
23. Why there are two regression equations?
24. What are the uses of regression analysis?
25. Distinguish between correlation and regression.
26. What do you mean by regression line of Y on X and
regression line of X on Y?
27. From the following data, find the regression equation
X = 21, Y = 20, X2 = 91, XY = 74, n = 7
28. From the following data find the regression equation of Y on
X. If X = 15, find Y?
X 8
11
7
10 12 5
4
6
Y 11 30
25 44 38 25 20 27
29. Find the two regression equations from the following data.
X
25 22 28 26 35 20 22 40 20 18
Y
18 15 20 17 22 14 16 21 15 14
30. Find S.D (Y), given that variance of X = 36, bxy = 0.8,
r = 0.5
31. In a correlation study, the following values are obtained
X
Y
Mean
68 60
S.D.
2.5 3.5
Coefficient of correlation, r = 0.6 Find the two regression
equations.
239
Introduction:
An index number is a statistical device for comparing the
general level of magnitude of a group of related variables in two or
more situation. If we want to compare the price level of 2000 with
what it was in 1990, we shall have to consider a group of variables
such as price of wheat, rice, vegetables, cloth, house rent etc., If
the changes are in the same ratio and the same direction, we face no
difficulty to find out the general price level. But practically, if we
think changes in different variables are different and that too,
upward or downward, then the price is quoted in different units i.e
milk for litre, rice or wheat for kilogram, rent for square feet, etc
We want one figure to indicate the changes of different
commodities as a whole. This is called an Index number. Index
Number is a number which indicate the changes in magnitudes.
M.Spiegel say, An index number is a statistical measure designed
to show changes in variable or a group of related variables with
respect to time, geographic location or other characteristic. In
general, index numbers are used to measure changes over time in
magnitude which are not capable of direct measurement.
On the basis of study and analysis of the definition given
above, the following characteristics of index numbers are apparent.
1. Index numbers are specified averages.
2. Index numbers are expressed in percentage.
3. Index numbers measure changes not capable of direct
measurement.
4. Index numbers are for comparison.
10.2
Un weighted
Weighted
Simple
Simple
Weighted
Weighted
aggregate
average
average
aggregate
Index
of price
of price
index
numbers
relative
relative
number
10.5.1 Simple Aggregate Index Number
This is the simplest method of construction of index
numbers. The price of the different commodities of the current year
are added and the sum is divided by the sum of the prices of those
commodities by 100. Symbolically,
p1
Simple aggregate price index = P01 =
100
p0
243
A
B
C
D
Solution:
Commodity
A
B
C
D
Total
p1
100
p0
300
=
100 = 120
250
10.5.2 Simple Average Price Relative index:
In this method, first calculate the price relative for the
various commodities and then average of these relative is obtained
by using arithmetic mean and geometric mean. When arithmetic
mean is used for average of price relative, the formula for
computing the index is
Simple aggregate Price index = P01 =
244
P01 =
100
p0
n
p1
log( p 100)
0
P01 = Antilog
n
Example 2:
From the following data, construct an index for 1998 taking 1997
as base by the average of price relative using (a) arithmetic mean
and (b) Geometric mean
Commodity
Price in 1997
Price in 1998
A
50
70
B
40
60
C
80
100
D
20
30
Solution:
(a) Price relative index number using arithmetic mean
Commodity
Price in 1997
(P0)
A
B
C
D
50
40
80
20
Price in
1998
(P1)
70
60
100
30
Total
245
p1
100
p0
140
150
125
150
565
1 100
p
log 1 x100
po
(P01) = Antilog
n
8.5952
= Antilog
4
= Antilog [ 2.1488] = 140.9
10.5.3 Weighted aggregate index numbers
In order to attribute appropriate importance to each of the
items used in an aggregate index number some reasonable weights
must be used. There are various methods of assigning weights and
consequently a large number of formulae for constructing index
numbers have been devised of which some of the most important
ones are
1. Laspeyre s method
2. Paasche s method
3. Fisher s ideal Method
4. Bowley s Method
5. Marshall- Edgeworth method
6. Kelly s Method
246
1. Laspeyre s method:
The Laspeyres price index is a weighted aggregate price
index, where the weights are determined by quantities in the based
period and is given by
p1q 0
Laspeyre s price index = P01L =
100
p 0 q 0
2. Paasche s method
The Paasche s price index is a weighted aggregate price
index in which the weight are determined by the quantities in the
current year. The formulae for constructing the index is
p1q1
Paasche s price index number = P01P =
100
p 0 q1
Where
P0 = Price for the base year
P1 = Price for the current year
q0 = Quantity for the base year q1 = Quantity for the current year
3. Fisher s ideal Method
Fisher s Price index number is the geometric mean of the
Laspeyres and Paasche indices Symbolically
Fisher s ideal index number = P01F = L P
p1 q 0
p1q1
100
p 0 q 0
p 0 q1
It is known as ideal index number because
(a) It is based on the geometric mean
(b) It is based on the current year as well as the base year
(c) It conform certain tests of consistency
(d) It is free from bias.
4. Bowley s Method:
Bowley s price index number is the arithmetic mean of
Laspeyre s and Paasche s method. Symbolically
L+P
Bowley s price index number = P01B =
2
1 p1q 0
p1q1
=
+
100
2 p 0 q 0
p 0 q1
=
247
A
B
C
D
p0
2
5
4
2
q0
8
12
15
18
p1
4
6
5
4
q1
5
10
12
20
248
p0q0
16
60
60
36
172
p0q1
10
50
48
40
148
p1q0
p1 q1
32
72
75
72
251
20
60
60
80
220
p1q 0
100
p 0 q 0
251
=
100 = 145.93
172
p1q1
Paasche price index number = P01P =
100
p 0 q1
220
=
100
148
= 148 .7
Fisher s ideal index number = L P
Laspeyre s price index = P01L =
(145.9) (148.7)
= 21695.33
= 147 .3
Or
Fisher s ideal index number
=
=
=
p1 q 0
p1q1
100
p 0 q 0
p 0 q1
251 220
100
172 148
(1.459) (1.487) 100
= 2.170 100
= 1.473 100 = 147.3
Interpretation:
The results can be interpreted as follows:
If 100 rupees were used in the base year to buy the given
commodities, we have to use Rs 145.90 in the current year to buy
the same amount of the commodities as per the Laspeyre s
formula. Other values give similar meaning .
Example 4:
Calculate the index number from the following data by applying
(a) Bowley s price index
249
Base year
Quantity
Price
10
3
20
15
2
25
Current year
Quantity
Price
8
4
15
20
3
30
Solution:
Commodity
A
B
C
q0
10
20
2
P0
3
15
25
q1
8
15
3
P1
4
20
30
p0q0
30
300
50
380
p0q1
24
225
75
324
p1q0
p1 q1
40
400
60
500
32
300
90
422
1 p1q 0 p1q1
+
100
2 p 0 q 0 p 0 q1
1 500 422
+
=
100
2 380 324
1
=
[1.316 + 1.302] 100
2
1
=
[ 2.168] 100
2
= 1.309 100
= 130.9
(b) Marshall Edgeworths price index Number
(q 0 + q1 )p1
= P01ME =
100
(q 0 + q1 )p 0
500 422
=
100
+
380 324
922
=
100
704
(a) Bowley s price index number =
250
= 131. 0
Example 5:
Calculate a suitable price index from the following data
Commodity
Quantity
A
B
C
Price
1996
2
5
3
20
15
8
1997
4
6
2
Solution:
Here the quantities are given in common we can use Kelly s
index price number and is given by
p1q
Kelly s Price index number = P01k =
100
p 0 q
186
=
100 = 133.81
139
Commodity
A
B
C
q
20
15
8
P0
2
5
3
P1
4
6
2
Total
p0q
40
75
24
139
P1 q
80
90
16
186
p1q
100
p 0 q
IV. Weighted Average of Price Relative index.
When the specific weights are given for each commodity, the
weighted index number is calculated by the formula.
pw
Weighted Average of Price Relative index =
w
Where w = the weight of the commodity
P = the price relative index
251
p1
100
p0
When the base year value P0q0 is taken as the weight i.e. W=P0q0
then the formula is
p
1 100 p 0 q 0
p
1 100 p0 q1
p
Example 6:
Compute the weighted index number for the following data.
Commodity
Price
Weight
Current
Base
year
year
A
5
4
60
B
3
2
50
C
2
1
30
Solution:
Commodity
P1
P0
A
B
5
3
4
2
60
50
252
P=
p1
100
p0
125
150
PW
7500
7500
30
140
200
6000
21000
pw
w
21000
140
= 150
10.6 Quantity or Volume index number:
Price index numbers measure and permit comparison of the
price of certain goods. On the other hand, the quantity index
numbers measure the physical volume of production, employment
and etc. The most common type of the quantity index is that of
quantity produced.
q1p 0
Laspeyre s quantity index number = Q01L =
100
q 0 p 0
q1p1
Paasche s quantity index number = Q01P =
100
q 0 p1
=
L P
q1 p0 q1 p1
100
q 0 p 0 q 0 p1
15
225
17
340
Solution:
Here instead of quantity, total values are given. Hence first find
quantities of base year and current year,
total value
ie. Quantity =
price
Commodity p0
q0
P1
q1
p0q0 p0q1 p1q0 p1q1
A
10
10
12
15
100 150 120 180
B
12
20
15
30
240 360 300 450
C
15
15
17
20
225 300 255 340
565 810 675 970
q1p 0
100
q 0 p 0
810
=
100
565
= 143.4
q1p1
Paasche s quantity index number = q01P =
100
q 0 p1
970
=
100
675
= 143.7
F
Fisher s quantity index number = q01 = L P
Laspeyre s quantity index number = q01L =
= 143.4 143.7
= 143.6
(or)
q01F =
q1 p0 q1 p1
100
q 0 p 0 q 0 p1
810 970
100
565 675
= 1.434 1.437 100
=
254
= 1.436 100
= 143.6
10.7 Tests of Consistency of index numbers:
Several formulae have been studied for the construction of
index number. The question arises as to which formula is
appropriate to a given problems. A number of tests been developed
and the important among these are
1. Unit test
2. Time Reversal test
3. Factor Reversal test
1. Unit test:
The unit test requires that the formula for constructing an
index should be independent of the units in which prices and
quantities are quoted. Except for the simple aggregate index
(unweighted) , all other formulae discussed in this chapter satisfy
this test.
2. Time Reversal test:
Time Reversal test is a test to determine whether a given
method will work both ways in time, forward and backward. In the
words of Fisher, the formula for calculating the index number
should be such that it gives the same ratio between one point of
comparison and the other, no matter which of the two is taken as
base. Symbolically, the following relation should be satisfied.
P01 P10 = 1
Where P01 is the index for time 1 as time 0 as base and P10 is the
index for time 0 as time 1 as base. If the product is not unity,
there is said to be a time bias is the method. Fisher s ideal index
satisfies the time reversal test.
p1 q 0
p1q1
P01 =
p 0 q 0
p 0 q1
P10 =
p 0 q1 p 0 q 0
p1q1 p1q 0
p1 q 0
p1q1
p0 q1 p0 q0
p 0 q 0
p 0 q1
p1q1 p1q 0
255
= 1 =1
Therefore Fisher ideal index satisfies the time reversal test.
3. Factor Reversal test:
Another test suggested by Fisher is known s factor reversal
test. It holds that the product of a price index and the quantity
index should be equal to the corresponding value index. In the
words of Fisher, Just as each formula should permit the
interchange of the two times without giving inconsistent results, so
it ought to permit interchanging the prices and quantities without
giving inconsistent result, ie, the two results multiplied together
should give the true value ratio.
In other word, if P01 represent the changes in price in the current
year and Q01 represent the changes in quantity in the current year,
then
p1q1
P01 Q01 =
p 0 q 0
Thus based on this test, if the product is not equal to the value ratio,
there is an error in one or both of the index number. The Factor
reversal test is satisfied by the Fisher s ideal index.
p1 q 0
p1q1
ie.
P01 =
p 0 q 0
p 0 q1
Q01 =
Then P01 Q01 =
=
=
q1 p0 q1 p1
q 0 p 0 q 0 p1
p1q 0
p1q1 q1 p0 q1p1
p 0 q 0
p 0 q1 q 0 p 0 q 0 p1
p1q1
p 0 q 0
p1q1
p 0 q 0
256
p1q1
, the factor reversal test is satisfied by
p 0 q 0
the Fisher s ideal index.
Example 8:
Construct Fisher s ideal index for the Following data. Test whether
it satisfies time reversal test and factor reversal test.
Base year
Current year
Commodity
Quantity
Price
Quantity
Price
A
12
10
15
12
B
15
7
20
5
C
5
5
8
9
Solution:
Commodity q0
p0
q1
p1
P0q0 p0q1 p1q0 p1q1
A
12
10
15
12
120 150 144 180
B
15
7
20
5
105 140
75 100
C
5
5
8
9
25
40
45
72
250 330 264 352
Since P01 Q01 =
p1q 0 p1q1
p0 q 0 p0 q1
100
264 352
100
250 330
(1.056) (1.067) 100
1.127 100
= 1.062 100 = 106.2
=
p0 q 0 p0 q1
=
264 352
250 330
257
p 0 q1
p 0 q 0
p1 q1
p1 q0
P10 =
330
250
352
264
250
264 352 330
Now P01 P10 =
P01 =
=
Q01 =
=
p1 q 0
p1q1
p 0 q 0
p 0 q1
264 352
250 330
q1 p0 q1 p1
q 0 p 0 q 0 p1
330
352
250
264
352
=
250
352
=
250
258
p1q1
p 0 q 0
p1q1
p 0 q 0
Hence Fisher ideal index number satisfy the factor reversal test.
10.8 Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price index is also called the cost of living index.
It represent the average change over time in the prices paid by the
ultimate consumer of a specified basket of goods and services. A
change in the price level affects the costs of living of different
classes of people differently. The general index number fails to
reveal this. So there is the need to construct consumer price index.
People consume different types of commodities.
People s
consumption habit is also different from man to man, place to place
and class to class i.e richer class, middle class and poor class.
The scope of consumer price is necessary, to specify the
population group covered. For example, working class, poor class,
middle class, richer class, etc and the geographical areas must be
covered as urban, rural, town, city etc.
=
p1q 0
100
p 0 q 0
1815
=
100 = 139.6
1300
Example 10:
Calculate consumer price index by using Family Budget
method for year 1993 with 1990 as base year from the following
data.
Items
Weights
Food
Rent
Clothing
Fuel and lighting
Miscellaneous
35
20
10
15
20
Solution:
Items
Food
Rent
Clothing
Fuel and
lighting
Miscellaneous
Price in
1990
1993
(Rs.)
(Rs.)
150
140
75
90
25
30
50
60
60
80
P0
P1
P =
PW
35
20
10
150
75
25
140
90
30
p1
100
p0
93.33
120.00
120.00
15
20
100
50
60
60
80
120.00
133.33
pw
w
3266.55
2400.00
1200.00
1800.00
2666.60
11333.15
Exercise 10
I. Choose the correct answer:
1. Index number is a
(a) measure of relative changes
(b) a special type of an average
(c) a percentage relative
(d) all the above
2. Most preferred type of average for index number is
(a) arithmetic mean
(b) geometric mean
(c) hormonic mean
(d) none of the above
3. Laspeyre s index formula uses the weights of the
(a) base year
(b) current year
(c) average of the weights of a number of years
(d) none of the above
4. The geometric mean of Laspeyere s and Passche s price
indices is also known as
(a) Fisher s price index
(b) Kelly s price index
(c) Marshal-Edgeworth index number
(d) Bowley s price index
5. The condition for the time reversal test to hold good with
usual notations is
(a) P01 P10 = 1
(b) P10 P01 = 0
(c) P01 / P10 = 1
(d) P01 + P10 = 1
6. An appropriate method for working out consumer price index
is
(a) weighted aggregate expenditure method
(b) family budget method
(c) price relative method
(d) none of the above
262
B
10
25
12
30
C
12
15
8
20
18. Calculate the cost of living index number from the following
data.
Price
Items
Base
Current
Weight
year
year
Food
30
45
4
Fuel
10
15
2
Clothing
15
20
1
House Rent
20
15
3
Miscellaneous
25
20
2
Answers
I.
1. (d)
2. (b)
3. (a)
4. (a)
5.(a)
6. (b)
7. (b)
II.
8. Polices
9. Geometric mean
10. Percentage
pw
12.
w
III.
16. (i) L = 110
(ii) P = 123.9
(iii) F = 116.7
17. 296
18. 118.2
264