PWC Technology Deals Insights Q3 2015
PWC Technology Deals Insights Q3 2015
PWC Technology Deals Insights Q3 2015
deals insights
Q3 2015 update
October 2015
A publication from
PwCs Deals Practice
At a glance
Third quarter deal
values remained in
line with historical
norms, while large
deal announcements
increased.
The Software sector led
the charge, driving deal
volumes and values.
Strength in the middle
market returned after a
modest decline during
the first half of 2015.
4%
increase in deal
values amid a 5%
decrease in deal
volumes
2013
$80
2014
2015
$70
76
67
$60
$in billions
80
70
76
71
67
65
63
59
$50
60
62
50
$40
40
42
$30
30
36
$20
20
$10
10
$10.6
$14.2
$27.8
$47.2
$27.8
$28.9
$29.8
$74.9
$25.0
$24.2
$25.1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
$0
0
Closed deal value
Conclusion
Despite a modest decline in deal volume,
and increasing uncertainty in capital
markets, new deal announcements
remained prominent, and middle market
deals continued to exhibit strength. Recent
megadeal announcements continue to shift
the competitive landscape, with more than
Table of contents
Introduction
Market overview
Software
Internet
10
Hardware
11
IT services
12
Semiconductor
13
Focus article
14
Continued megadeal
Market overview
announcements in
technology point toward
a healthy deal market
and shifting competitive
$25.1B
landscape.
62
Rob Fisher
US Technology Deals Leader
26
Internet
Hardware
IT Services
11
Semiconductor
$0
$ in millions
$15,483
$2,498
$3,733
$1,888
$1,458
$5,000
$10,000
Q3 2015 Deal Value ($)
$15,000
$20,000
2013
80
2014
2015
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Q1 '13
Q2 '13
Q3 '13
Q4 '13
Small (<$100m)
Q1 '14
Q2 '14
Q3 '14
Q4 '14
2014
2015
76
$70
80
76
70
71
67
$ in billions
$60
67
65
63
59
$50
62
$20
60
50
$40
40
36
$30
30
20
$10
10
$0
0
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Corporate
Q3
PE
Q3 '15
Large (>$1,000m)
2013
Q2 '15
$80
Q1 '15
Q4
Q1
# of deals
Q2
Q3
2013
$25
2014
2015
30
25
$20
$21.3
20
$in billions
$15
$14.7
$10
15
$10.3
$9.8
$5.0
$4.7
$6.1
Q1
Q2
$4.2
$1.3
$0
10
$7.3
$6.9
$5
Divestiture highlights
0
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Deal Value
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Deal Volume
2013
$25
2014
2015
25
2 IPOs
for $0.2B
$23.5
20
$15
15
$in billions
$20
$10
$5
5
$5.1
$4.3
$1.0
$2.6
$1.3
Q1
Q2
Q3
$1.9
$1.0
$1.3
$2.0
$0.2
Q3
Q4
IPO Volume
Q1
Q2
Q3
$0
0
Q4
Q1
IPO Value
Transaction Multiples
10
Q2
5.0
2014
2015
25.0x
4.0
20.5x
16.1x
3.0
2.0
13.0x
19.7x
17.0x
16.6x
15.3x
14.0x
20.0x
15.3x
15.0x
12.1x
10.0x
1.0
5.0x
3.3x
2.1x
2.4x
3.0x
2.4x
2.9x
4.4x
3.8x
2.2x
1.8x
3.8x
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
0.0
0.0x
EV / Revenue
30.0x
24.8x
EV / EBITDA
2%
8%
Canada
Europe
78%
6%
United States
Asia
6%
Rest of World
$0.6
$0.3
$0.3
$1.4
$0.3
$5.8
$3.4
Asia
Europe
Canada
Rest of World
Asia
Europe
Canada
Large transactions
focused on cloud
software, as well
as technology
companies servicing
other industries
55%
Billiondollar deal
announcements
increased in
Q3 2015
of deal value
derived from
billion-dollar deals
in Q3 2015
Billion-dollar deals
$70
15
2013
2014
2015
$60
12
$ in billions
$50
$40
$30
$20
3
$10
$0
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
$ value
Q3
Q4
Q1
# of $1b deals
Q2
Q3
Software
Closed deal values ($) / volumes trended over 3 years:
$25
Software trends:
2015
2014
2013
30
28
$20
26
26
22
$in billions
23
22
$15
25
20
22
20
19
15
15
$10
10
8
$5
5
$5.9
$1.5
$12.7
$3.8
$7.8
$4.2
$7.6
$22.8
$3.7
$5.5
$15.5
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
$0
0
Deal Value
Deal Volume
2013
Q1
Q2
Q3
2014
Q4
Q1
Average Deal
Public takeaways:
Q2
2015
Q3
Median Deal
Q4
Q1
Approximately two-thirds of
companies in the Software
subsector showed declining
EV/revenue multiples in Q3
2015.
Size continues to matter as
sub-$1.0 billion market cap
companies traded at a 3.5x
lower average revenue
multiple than >$1.0 billion
companies.
Q3
Q2
2013
2014
5.0
16.4x
16.3x
4.0
15.1x
14.0x
15.2x
14.8x
15.2x
20
2015
16.4x
17.5x
18
16.5x
16
14
15.2x
12
3.0
10
8
2.0
6
4
1.0
2
3.4x
3.4x
3.6x
3.8x
3.5x
3.5x
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
EV / Revenue
3.1x
3.4x
3.5x
3.7x
3.3x
Q3
Q4
EV / EBITDA
Q1
Q2
Q3
0.0
Source: Capital IQ
Internet
Closed deal values ($) / volumes trended over 3 years:
2013
$40
Internet trends:
2014
2015
$35
30
25
25
$30
$in billions
20
21
$25
18
$20
$15
12
15
12
10
11
$10
7
$5
$0
5
$1.5
$4.5
$1.9
$1.7
$8.9
$2.6
$4.8
$33.4
$6.8
$3.2
$2.5
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
0
Deal Value
Deal Volume
2013
Q1
Q2
Q3
2014
Q4
Q1
Q2
Average Deal
Public takeaways:
2015
Q3
Median Deal
Q4
Approximately three-fourths
of companies showed
declining revenue and
EBITDA multiples in
Q3 2015.
Q3
2013
2014
4.0
16.4x
15.4x
3.0
12.9x
20
2015
18
16
17.1x
15.7x
15.2x
13.7x
14.2x
14.7x
15.2x
14
12
12.2x
10
2.0
8
6
1.0
4
2
2.7x
2.9x
3.5x
3.4x
3.3x
3.3x
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
EV / Revenue
2.8x
2.8x
2.7x
2.7x
2.0x
Q3
Q4
EV / EBITDA
Q1
Q2
Q3
0.0
Source: Capital IQ
10
Q2
Q1
Hardware
Closed deal values ($) / volumes trended over 3 years:
2013
$40
Hardware trends:
2014
2015
18
16
$35
16
13
$in billions
11
9
12
13
12
$20
14
$30
$25
10
11
10
$15
8
6
7
$10
4
4
$5
$0
$2.4
$2.9
$5.4
$36.9
$5.9
$10.2
$9.1
$11.0
$1.2
$9.9
$3.7
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
0
Deal Value
Deal Volume
2013
Q1
Q2
Q3
2014
Q4
Q1
Average Deal
Public takeaways:
Q2
2015
Q3
Q4
Q2
Q3
Q1
Median Deal
2013
2014
16
2015
14
2.5
12
2.0
11.5x
10.0x
12.1x
12.1x
11.3x
10.7x
10.8x
11.2x
10.9x
11.1x
11.1x
1.5
10
8
6
1.0
4
0.5
2
0.9x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x
1.5x
1.4x
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
EV / Revenue
1.2x
1.3x
1.3x
1.2x
1.0x
Q3
Q4
EV / EBITDA
Q1
Q2
Q3
0.0
Source: Capital IQ
11
IT services
Closed deal values ($) / volumes trended over 3 years:
2013
$9
IT Services trends:
2014
2015
25
21
$8
20
$7
$6
$in billions
15
15
$5
11
12
10
$4
11
10
8
$3
5
$2
10
6
5
$1
$0.2
$0.5
$3.9
$3.2
$4.9
$2.9
$2.7
$5.2
$7.7
$4.5
$1.9
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
$0
0
Deal Value
Deal Volume
2013
Q1
Q2
Q3
2014
Q4
Q1
Q2
Average Deal
Public takeaways:
Revenue and EBITDA
multiples have remained flat
over the last year.
12
Q3
Q4
Median Deal
Q1
Q2
Q3
2015
2013
2014
16
2015
14
12.5x
11.8x
2.0
11.0x
10.9x
9.6x
13.1x
12.5x
12.9x
11.5x
12
10
10.3x
9.8x
8
6
1.0
4
2
1.6x
1.5x
1.7x
1.7x
1.8x
1.6x
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
EV / Revenue
1.4x
1.6x
1.7x
1.8x
1.7x
Q3
Q4
EV / EBITDA
Q1
Q2
Q3
0.0
Source: Capital IQ
Semiconductor
Closed deal values ($) / volumes trended over 3 years:
2013
$10
Semiconductor trends:
2014
2015
16
$9
The median
Semiconductor deal
value of $52 million was
notably below that of an
average quarter in 2013
or 2014.
14
$8
14
12
$7
10
$in billions
$6
$5
9
8
$4
$3
6
4
$0.5
$2
$1
$4.7
$3.8
$1.6
$0.3
$9.0
$5.6
$2.5
$5.6
$1.1
$1.5
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
$0
0
Q1
Deal Value
Deal Volume
2013
Q1
Q2
Q3
2014
Q4
Q1
Q2
Average Deal
Public takeaways:
2015
Q3
Median Deal
Q4
A significant number of
Semiconductor companies
exhibited declining revenue
and EBITDA multiples in Q3
2015.
Scale continues to matter as
sub-$1.0 billion market cap
companies traded at a 1.2x
lower average revenue
multiple than the >$1.0
billion companies.
Q2
Q3
Q1
2013
2014
16
2015
14
2.0
12.2x
12.4x
13.3x
12.9x
11.7x
12.4x
12.3x
13.4x
12.5x
12.1x
10.5x
12
10
8
6
1.0
4
2
1.6x
1.7x
1.9x
2.0x
2.1x
2.3x
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
EV / Revenue
2.1x
1.9x
2.0x
2.0x
1.8x
Q3
Q4
EV / EBITDA
Q1
Q2
Q3
0.0
Source: Capital IQ
13
Focus article
Costs
2012
2008
2004
2000
1996
1992
1988
1984
25
20
15
10
5
0
14
Addressing new
applications, markets,
and customers
Managing an increasingly
complex ecosystem
Increasing complexity of
hardware-software codevelopment
* Morgan Stanley estimate of the cost increase in shift from 65nm to 20nm
5 Yr CAGR
(2014-2019F)
Type of
market
Automotive
+11.2%
Growing
Industrial
+7.3%
Communications
+7.2%
Computer
+0.8%
Consumer
+0.4%
2.
3.
4.
Market
segments
Company size
Automotive
Industrial
Communications
Large
Small
Type of
M&A activity
Acquisition of
smaller competitors
Merger of equals
Underlying factors
1. Resource augmentation
2. Access to new markets/customers
3. Increased market power
15
Company size
Large
Consumer
Computer
Small
Type of
M&A activity
Acquisition with/
Merger of players
with complementary
portfolios
Merger of equals
Underlying factors
1. Resource augmentation
2. Access to new markets/customers
3. Increased market share
4. Increased market power
16
PwC 2014 M&A Integration Survey: Looking beyond the here and now
About PwCs
Deals Practice
Author
Tom Erginsoy, Director,
PwCs Deals Practice
408 817 7950
[email protected]
Focus Article
Rakesh Mehrotra, Principal,
US Semiconductor Advisory
Leader
408 817 3878
[email protected]
Amit Verma, Principal
PwCs Deals Practice
949 437 5387
[email protected]
Smart deal makers are perceptive enough to see value others have missed, flexible
enough to adjust for the unexpected, aggressive enough to win favorable terms in a
competitive environment, and circumspect enough to envision the challenges they will
face from the moment the contract is signed. But in a business environment where
information can quickly overwhelm, the smartest deal makers look to experienced
advisors to help them fashion a deal that works.
PwCs Deals Practice can advise technology companies and technology-focused private
equity firms on key M&A decisions, from identifying acquisition or divestiture candidates
and performing detailed buy-side diligence, to developing strategies for capturing postdeal profits and exiting a deal through a sale, carve-out, or IPO. With more than 14,900
deals professionals in over 120 countries, we can deploy seasoned teams that combine
deep technology industry skills with local market knowledge virtually anywhere and
everywhere your company operates or executes transactions.
Although every deal is unique, most will benefit from the broad experience we bring to
delivering strategic M&A advice, due diligence, transaction structuring, M&A tax, merger
integration, valuation, and post-deal services.
In short, we offer integrated solutions tailored to your particular deal situation and
designed to help you extract peak value within your risk profile. Whether your focus is
deploying capital through an acquisition or joint venture, raising capital through an IPO
or private placement, or harvesting an investment through the divesture process, we can
help.
For more information about M&A and related services in the technology industry, please
visit www.pwc.com/us/deals or www.pwc.com/technology
www.pwc.com/deals
www.pwc.com/technology
2015 PwC. All rights reserved. PwC refers to the US member firm or one of its subsidiaries or affiliates, and may sometimes refer to the PwC
network. Each member firm is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details. This content is for general
information purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for consultation with professional advisors.
For a deeper discussion on technology deal considerations, please contact one of our
practice leaders or your local Deals partner:
Martyn Curragh
Principal, US Deals Leader
PwCs Deals Practice
646 471 2622
[email protected]
East
Dan Kabat
Partner, PwCs Deals Practice
617 530 5431
[email protected]
Silicon Valley
Rob Fisher
Partner, US Technology Deals Leader
PwCs Deals Practice
408 817 4493
[email protected]
Central
Doug Meier
Partner, PwCs Deals Practice
713 356 5233 [email protected]
18
John Biegel
Partner, PwCs Deals Practice
312 298 3033
[email protected]
Southeast
Matt McClish
Partner, PwCs Deals Practice
678 419 4163
[email protected]