IB Macro Study Guide
IB Macro Study Guide
IB Macro Study Guide
Unit 2Macroeconomics
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Macroeconomics
The Circular Flow of Income
Output Methodthis is adding up the value of all goods and services produced in a country (GDP)
Income Methodthis is adding up the total wages paid to everyone within an economy
Expenditure Methodthis is adding up the total spent by consumers in an economy.
GDP(Gross Domestic Product): the value of all goods and services produced within a country in a
given time frame
GNP (Gross National Product) the value of all goods and services produced by a countrys citizens in
a given time frame
GDP per capitathe value of all goods and services produced within a country in a given time frame
divided by the population
NDPNet Domestic Productthe value of all goods and services produced within a country in a
given time frame, minus depreciation (money spent on replacing capital)
Purchasing Power Parity GDP
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Macroeconomics
Individual Economic Development Indicators
Wealth Indicators (the different GDPs ), Health Indicators (Access to clean water, life expectancy,
mortality rates, sanitation levels), Income Indicators (% of people below poverty line, absolute/
relative poverty) Education Indicators (Access to education, literacy rate), Demographic Indicators
(rate of population growth, birth rate, death rate, migration rate, dependency)
Each calculation is given a score between 0-1, these are then added up and divided by 3 (the number of
indicators). It is used by the UN Human Development Program and most development economists. The
closer the score to 1, the more developed the country is.
HPI (Human Poverty Index)measures the poverty of a certain country. There are two measurements; one for developed countries, one for developing countries.
For developed countries it is measured with:
HPI thus focuses on depravations, whereas HDI focuses on positive aspects. HPI is not based on income.
GEI (Gender Empowerment Measure) focuses on how free women are to make contributions to society through a) their involvement in politics, b) % of women in economic decision making positions c)
the income women earn
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Macroeconomics
Aggregate Demand
This is the total value of goods and services consumers in the economy are willing to pay at every given
price in a certain time period. It is the demand of the
whole economy.
When prices in an economy fall, AD extends indicating consumers are willing to buy more at a cheaper
price. This is an extension. When prices in an economy
increase, AD contracts, indicating consumers are willing
to buy less at a higher price. This is a contraction.
AD shifts outwardsindicating more is demanded
at the same price for any reason that increases consumers disposable income (e.g. less income tax), population growth or an increase in perceived wealth.
This is the total value of goods and services producers in the economy are willing to produce at every
given price in a certain time period. It is the supply
of the whole economy.
In the short run (the time period where more than
two factors of production cannot change) it slopes
upwardsas prices increase, firms wish to use more
resources to produce more. This is an extension. If
price decrease, firms wish to produce less, and so
use less resources. This is a contraction.
Supply for the economy shifts outwardsindicating
more can be produced for the same priceif costs
of production fall for any reason (wages decrease,
business tax decreases, variable costs become
cheaper), if there is an increase in any of our factors
of production, or new technology is found. Finally,
an increase in the quality of our factors of production (training, education, new fertilizers) will also
shift AS out. Common reasons AS shifts inwards include war, or the reverse of the above factors.
Macroeconomic Equilibrium
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Macroeconomics
Neoclassical Economics
Keynesian Economics
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Macroeconomics
The Two Macroeconomic Policies
Governments can use two policies to change AS or AD in an economy:
Demand side policies (aimed at manipulating AD)
Fiscal Policy (taxation and government spending)
Monetary Policy (changing the supply of money)
Supply-side policies (aimed at manipulating SRAS)
Interventionist
Market-Orientated
Fiscal Policy
1) Expansionary fiscal policy (aims at increasing AD to boost inflation, employment and real GDP)
Should be used in a recession to ensure we move to potential output
Either boosts government spending (to provide jobs and income) or reduces taxation or both
2) Contractionary fiscal policy (aims at decreasing AD to reduce inflation, employment and r.GDP)
Should be used when in an inflationary gap to get back to potential output and reduce inflation
Either reduces government spending or increases taxation or both to help generate revenue
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Macroeconomics
Advantages of Fiscal Policy
Prevents from double-dip recession - J.M Keynes claimed that wages and prices were sticky downwardsthey did not naturally rise once a deep recession set in. He claimed the government had to
step in, to reboot the economy and reboots AD. If it doesnt the economy will go from one recession
to an even greater one. Fiscal policy can therefore prevent this.
Is a quick fix for rampant inflation Contractionary fiscal policy is quick and easy to implement; the
government simply withdraws its contracts on building projectsthis instantly causes prices to slump.
Time-lagsTo get involved, first the government must realize there is a problem, then they must identify where that is, then they must evaluate which policy to pursue, then they must implement it. This
can take some time, especially if contracts are already set.
PoliticsUsing deflationary fiscal policy is perhaps the most unfavourable political decision. Politicians are seen as being cruel by cutting jobs or raising taxes, and avoid it in order to get re-elected
ExpenseInflationary fiscal policy is very expensive and requires large reserves of capital. Rising domestic prices may also hurt exports, worsening the balance of payments, making less money available.
Crowding Out If money is borrowed to pay for expansionary fiscal policies, then demand for money
rises (Dm). If this happens, interest rates rise, creating less investment in the economy effects of
crowding out and MPC must first be calculated and this is hard to do.
Social Perceptions Lowering taxes in a recession is not necessarily
beneficial because the
MPC of a country in a recession is generally very
low. This money will thus
be saved instead of spent,
causing it to leave the circular flow.
Time lagsIt may take a while for the effects of interest rates to filter down to the local population.
By this time the recession/inflationary gap may be improving/worsening anyway. Also, it would take a
substantial change to really make people borrow more or less.
Ineffective in recession- In a recession, it could be argued that the media plays a role more important
than the economy. If people think they are in a recession, they may not spend much at all, even if interest rates are low; their MPC is thus lower than in normal times. This makes this policy less effective.
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Macroeconomics
Supply-side Policiestwo types:
Interventionist supply-side policies are when the government actively intervenes in the market to manipulate the
supply of goods or services. These include government
training schemes, subsidies or protectionism.
Market-orientated supply-side policiesthis is when
the market is freed of any supply constraints in order
to boost supply. This thus shifts our entire LRAS and
SRAS curves out.
level
Real GDP
1. Incentive Related Policies
Lowering income taxthis leads to greater disposable income
and
greater expenditure
Lowering business taxthis allows investment to increase , thus boosting AD
2. Policies to promote competition
Privatizationthe UK privatized their railways. Private firms are profit orientated and thus work to
reduce costs and provide lowest prices. Efficiency and competition increase. Government organizations are notoriously inefficient and beaurocratic as many in the industry see their pay as guaranteed
and thus do not strive to cut costs and improve performance.
Deregulationreducing the laws and must-dos for a company enable it to spend less money on
these aspects, thus forcing fixed costs down. Economic regulation can be reduced by allowing firms to
produce whatever, however much and for whomever, whilst social regulation (such as health and
safety) can also be reduced.
Sub-contracting government organizations to the private sector (quasi-autonomous institutions) - in
many countries services such as rubbish removal are contracted out to the private sector. They have
to achieve government aims but as they are usually performance related, they aim to lower costs.
3. Labour Market Reforms
Reducing benefitsprovides a more committed workforce
Lowering minimum wagelowers costs for firms, thus allowing them to supply more
Breaking up trade unionsmakes for longer hours and greater productivity. Less strikes
4. Trade Encouragement
Increased trade leads to specialization and gains from comparative or absolute advantage. By leaving
trading blocs, trade becomes easier
Industrial policiesSuch as subsidies and infant industry protectionthis gives them a chance whilst
growing to compete against multinationals who benefit from being established.
Investments in Infrastructureproviding better communication and transport lower supply costs +
benefit everyone.
Investments in human capitalgovt training schemes improve efficiency and education and can be
directed at specific areas. Examples include education and healthcare; a healthy workforce produces
more, and for longer. Less must be then spent on health issues and the retirement age can be raised
Investments in New Technologyinvesting in this provides greater RnD thus improving efficiency.
Job fluidityif workers have information available as to what jobs are available, then they are less
likely to be unemployed for a long time and can also direct their studying
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Macroeconomics
Advantages
Disadvantages
Incentive Related
Trade Encouragement
Who is affected most? Rich? Poor? Government? Exporters? Importers? Fixed incomes?
When will it take affect what are the long-term benefits as opposed to just the short-term benefits
How difficult is it to implement the policy? Is it cheap? Will it cause unemployment? Will it need
training?
Does your answer depend on anything else? The stage the economy is at etc
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Macroeconomics
The Multiplier Effect
Measures how great an influence an injection of money into the economy will have.
Measures the relationship between injections and induced spending.
To calculate it we use the formula 1/1-MPC
MPC is the marginal propensity to consume.
This is how much of the extra income you
receive you will spend
MPC is offset by the MPS (marginal propensity to save), MPT (marginal propensity of
tax) and MPI (marginal propensity spent on
imports).
MPC+MPS+MPT+MPI = 1. Every extra 1 dollar you get, these are the only 4 places it can
go.
The higher the MPC, the greater the multiplier. The greater the multiplier, the more
economic growth is caused
With fiscal policy, government spending and taxation reductions of the same value has different ef-
Measures the relationship between Investment (which Keynesians see as the most important component of AD) and economic growth.
States that initially increasing output causes much greater increase in Investment (and thus AD)
If output is constant then investment falls
If output falls, then investment falls by a greater rate
This is because of depreciation. Assuming depreciation happens regularly and capital is fixed to output, then as output grows capital must increase AND depreciation must be seen to.
Gross investment thus increases (e.g.= x2).
If output remains constant, we continue to replace depreciated machinery but add no new capital.
Gross Investment falls (= x1)
If output falls, we use the spare machine no longer being used as replacement for depreciated capital.
There is thus no Gross Investment (= 0).
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Macroeconomics
Measuring Unemployment
Unemploymentthe number of people of working age actively seeking a job but currently without one. Unemployment can be measured as
a number (usually by people who are register for transfer benefits)
Unemployment ratethe percentage of people of working age actively seeking a job but currently without one out of the labour force.
Calculated by dividing the total number of unemployed by the total labour force x 100.
ski instructors in the summer period. This can occur at long-run equilibrium and so is part of the natural rate of unemployment. Remedies include increasing the LRAS (by increasing FOP, increasing quality of FOPs or technology).
Real wagereduce minimum wage, reduce power of trade unions, (often seen as unethical. Doesnt
work for Keynesians)
Cyclicalincrease AD with expansionary fiscal or monetary policies (esp. if Keynesian)
Structuralincrease training, education, public jobs, nationalization
Frictional increase availability and mobility of workforceinternet, communications, roads, transport
Seasonalencourage diversification, subsidize training and education, improve transport
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Macroeconomics
Equilibrium and Disequilibrium Unemployment
NRU is the natural rate of unemployment; unemployment that occurs when our economy is in longrun equilibrium (at price level p1 in first diagram below). It is thus equilibrium unemployment. It includes three types: structural, frictional, seasonal
Disequilibrium unemployment occurs when we are in a recessionary gap. It can defined as unemployment that occurs when the economy is not in long run equilibrium,. It includes two types: real
wage and cyclical (in both cases, we move away from our long-run supply curve) as seen below
Natural Unemployment /
Equilibrium Unemployment
Exists at pGDP
Disequilibrium Unemployment as
Real Wage
Exists at Q2
Disequilibrium Unemployment as
Cyclical
Exists at Q2
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Macroeconomics
Measuring Inflation
Problems
Next year the same thing is done fore the same basket of goods and
services. The % change is added to/from the base year e.g. 110.
Weighting is also added at this stage (by multiplying price x value we
get weighting as that shows us how important each good is)
Types of Inflation
1. Demand-Pullthis is when Aggregate Demand
increases for any reason, causing prices to rise as
producers realize they can increase the price of their
products as more are now wanted.
2. Cost-Pushthis is caused by a decrease in Aggregate Supply for any reason, usually due to increased
wages. Output falls and so prices rise as they are
now more scarce.
Costs of Inflation
Decrease in Purchasing Power, Increase in Income Inequalities, Menu Costs, Social Unrest, Lack of investment, Uncertainty, Loss of exports, exchange rate depreciation (in long run)
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Macroeconomics
Solving Inflation
Can be done through decreasing AD (deflationary fiscal policy) or Increasing AS (supply-side policies)
The strengths and weaknesses of these policies are discussed earlier, and must be looked at in reference to the situation at hand
Hyperinflation
This is defined as a sustained rapid increase in the prices of goods and services in a country over a
given time period (usually more than 50% per month)
Costs are similar to inflation but much more extreme: high menu costs, abandonment of money in
favour of barter, capital flight, collapse of investment, eradication of savings, loss of purchasing
power, large social unrest, collapse of production
Can be shown through MV=PQ
Examples include Zimbabwe 2008, Germany 1920s.
Deflation
This is a general fall in the prices of goods and services in a country over a given time period)
Either caused by falling AD or increasing AS (the latter is generally a good thing!)
Costs include: Menu Costs, loss of income for lenders, loss of investment, currency depreciation, decreased imports)
Disinflation
This is described as a fall in the level of inflation. Price levels are still rising, but at a slower rate. For
example if inflation fell from 10% to 8%.
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Macroeconomics
Short Run Phillips Curve
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Macroeconomics
The Natural Rate of Unemployment (NRU) vs. (NAIRU) Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of
Unemployment
Natural Rate of Unemployment is the percentage of the labour force that is unemployed when the
economy is in long-run equilibrium, and achieving potential GDP.
It is a neoclassical concept and can occur at any rate of inflation (since in the long run, wages change
so SRAS changes too)
E.g. on the diagram below, we are in long-run equilibrium and have a NRU of say 3%.
AD increases (we assume this happens because it is more volatile than SRAS and when SRAS increases
LRAS usually does too). In the short run we move into an inflationary gap (Point B).
We now have unemployment that is less than the natural rate.
In the long run, wages rise so costs of production rise so SRAS falls (Point C).
We now have a natural rate of unemployment again (3%)
However we also have a new price level. Inflation has risen.
The NRU thus always reverts back to its previous rate but inflation can change.
NAIRU is the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment
It is a Keynesian concept
It claims that the natural rate of unemployment only occurs at one rate of inflation, not at many rates,
unlike the NRU
This is because wages do not change in the long run, and are sticky downwards.
When AD increases from the potential GDP level of output, we enter an inflationary gap. Wages do
not necessarily change
Unemployment is less than the natural rate.
In order to get back to the natural rate of unemployment we need to be at the point in our economy
where potential GDP was. This point has one inflation rate linked to it (in our example 5%). Deflationary fiscal policy is needed here.
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Macroeconomics
Taxation as a Re-distributor of Income
Tax Band 2
Tax Band 3
% Tax
5%
10%
50%
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Macroeconomics
Created by Arthur Laffer, this attempts to explain the idea that a decrease in taxationafter a certain
pointleads to an increase in tax revenue for the government
The natural relationship between tax and tax revenue is that as tax increases so does revenue
Laffer claims this is true until the economy reaches a point where taxes are at their maximum tolerability (tax max)
After this point, if taxes are increased, people become disheartened, decide to work less (as they
feel there is no point since their
money disappears into taxes). Productivity falls, so SRAS falls
Unemployment thus increases,
causing tax revenue to fall.
When the economy is anywhere
beyond the point of maximum tax,
they should thus reduce tax to increase tax revenue, seen on the
diagram as people become more
productive
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Macroeconomics
Test-Yourself Questions
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Discuss the relationship between interest rates and unemployment, using three diagrams [8]
Describe how the Circular Flow of Income and the Trade Cycle relate [6]
Evaluate the different ways to measure economic development [15]
Explain the components of Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply [10]
Evaluate the importance of the differences between Neoclassical and Keynesian economists [15]
Analyse the implications of using fiscal policy to correct an inflationary gap [12]
Explain the difference between equilibrium and disequilibrium unemployment [8]
Using an example, describe the relationship between unemployment and inflation for:
A) Keynesians
B) Neoclassicalists [15]
9. Describe the different forms of taxation
10. Evaluate which form of inflation is most harmful to an economy, and explain its possible effects
11. The strengths of fiscal policy outweigh the strengths of supply-side policies. Discuss [15]
Your Notes
Our Tips:
1)
2)
3)
4)
Draw the diagrams wellthey tell most of the answers you need!
Revise, revise, revise. We know when youre blagging.
Evaluate means say something: have an argument. Dont just list and explain.
Use the website: it goes into more depth. Use your books too!
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