September

21-24, 2015
500 Respondents
350 Landline respondents, 150 Wireless respondents
Margin of error 4.4%

Houston Association of Realtors

Houston Mayoral
Frequencies

Q.2 First of all, are you registered to vote at this address?

.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Yes

100
.............................................................................................................................
No
(TERMINATE)
-
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know) (TERMINATE)
-

Q.3 Sex of respondent (INTERVIEWER CODE -- DO NO ASK RESPONDENT)

.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Male

46
.............................................................................................................................
Female

54

Q.4 Sometimes there are local and municipal elections where very few people tend to vote. How about you, do you always
vote in these elections, sometimes vote in these elections, are the chances 50 - 50, or do you never vote in these local,
municipal elections?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Always

76
.............................................................................................................................
Sometimes

20
.............................................................................................................................
50 - 50
4
.............................................................................................................................
Never
(TERMINATE)
-
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't know/refused) (TERMINATE)
-

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Houston Association of REALTORS Houston Mayoral: Frequencies, September 21-24, 2015

Q.5 I know it's a little over a month away, but what are the chances of your voting in the election for mayor of Houston and
other city issues on November 3 -- are you almost certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't
you think you will vote?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Almost
certain
90
.............................................................................................................................
Probably

8
.............................................................................................................................
50
- 50
2
.............................................................................................................................
Don't
think will vote (TERMINATE)
-
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused) (TERMINATE)
-

Q.6 Generally speaking, do you think that things in Houston are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have
gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Right
direction
49
.............................................................................................................................
Wrong
track
37
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused)
13

.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
Right
direction - Wrong track
12

Q.7 Please tell me which ONE of the following issues is the most important for you in deciding your vote for Houston mayor
this year.

(READ LIST & RANDOMIZE)

(IF MORE THAN ONE) Well, which ONE is the most important for you in deciding your vote?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Street
and road m aintenance
19
.............................................................................................................................
The
economy and jobs
16
.............................................................................................................................
HERO,
the Houston Equal Rights Ordinance
14
.............................................................................................................................
The
city budget and spending
12
.............................................................................................................................
Traffic
congestion
12
.............................................................................................................................
Pension
reform
8
.............................................................................................................................
Drainage
and rainwater management
7
.............................................................................................................................
City
taxes and fees
6
.............................................................................................................................
(Other)
4
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't know/refused)
3

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Houston Association of REALTORS Houston Mayoral: Frequencies, September 21-24, 2015

(484 respondents)
Q.8 And what would be the SECOND most important issue in deciding your vote for Houston mayor?

(READ LIST - DO NOT READ ITEM SELECTED IN Q7)

(RANDOMIZE)

(IF MORE THAN ONE) Well, which is the SECOND most important for you in deciding your vote?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Street
and road m aintenance
21
.............................................................................................................................
Traffic congestion
17
.............................................................................................................................
The
economy and jobs
15
.............................................................................................................................
The
city budget and spending
11
.............................................................................................................................
Drainage
and rainwater management
9
.............................................................................................................................
HERO,
the Houston Equal Rights Ordinance
8
.............................................................................................................................
City
taxes and fees
7
.............................................................................................................................
Pension
reform
6
.............................................................................................................................
(Other)

4
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused)
1

Combined concerns

.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Street
and road m aintenance
40
.............................................................................................................................
The
economy and jobs
30
.............................................................................................................................
Traffic congestion
29
.............................................................................................................................
The
city budget and spending
23
.............................................................................................................................
HERO,
the Houston Equal Rights Ordinance
22
.............................................................................................................................
Drainage
and rainwater management
16
.............................................................................................................................
City
taxes and fees
13
.............................................................................................................................
Pension
reform
13
.............................................................................................................................
(Other)

8
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused)
4

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Houston Association of REALTORS Houston Mayoral: Frequencies, September 21-24, 2015

Q.9 Okay. Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as
very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you have no opinion or never heard of that
person, please say so.

(IF DON'T KNOW:) Would you say you are unable to give an opinion of (READ BELOW), or have you never heard of (READ BELOW)?

(NO OPINION/NEUTRAL = 5) (NEVER HEARD = 6) (DON'T KNOW/REFUSED = 7)

(READ BELOW) Would you say you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable
opinion of (READ BELOW)?

(RANDOMIZE)

A. (READ FIRST) Annise
Parker
B. Ben Hall
C. Marty McVey
D. Chris Bell
E. Adrian Garcia
F. Sylvester Turner
G. Bill King
H. Steven Costello

Very
Fav

Smwt
Fav

Smwt
Unfav

Very
Unfav

(No
Opin/Ntrl)

(Never
heard)

30
8
0
11
18
20
7
8

28
26
6
30
32
26
17
25

11
11
6
10
13
14
7
6

24
9
3
10
11
14
4
4

4
25
30
24
16
15
24
27

2
16
44
13
8
9
34
25

(Dk/Ref)

Total
Fav

Total
Unfav

Fav
-
Unfav

1
5
10
2
2
2
7
5

58
34
6
41
50
45
23
33

35
20
9
20
24
28
12
10

23
14
-3
21
25
17
11
23

Q.10 Switching gears a bit, please tell me how interested you are in the election for mayor, using a scale from one to ten, on
which a "ten" means that you are very interested in the election for mayor and a "one" means that you are not at all
interested. You may choose any number from one to ten
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
10

50
.............................................................................................................................
9

11
.............................................................................................................................
8

15
.............................................................................................................................
7

8
.............................................................................................................................
6

5
.............................................................................................................................
5

7
.............................................................................................................................
4
1
.............................................................................................................................
3

1
.............................................................................................................................
2

0
.............................................................................................................................
1

1
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused)
0

.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
Mean

8.5
.............................................................................................................................
8-10

76
.............................................................................................................................
4-7

21
.............................................................................................................................
1-3
3

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Houston Association of REALTORS Houston Mayoral: Frequencies, September 21-24, 2015

Q.11 Now, thinking again about the election for Mayor of Houston on November 3rd. If the election were held today and
the candidates were: (ROTATE) Steven Costello, Bill King, Sylvester Turner, Adrian Garcia, Chris Bell, Marty McVey and Ben
Hall -- for whom would you vote, (ROTATE) Steven Costello, Bill King, Sylvester Turner, Adrian Garcia, Chris Bell, Marty
McVey or Ben Hall?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Steven
Costello
9
.............................................................................................................................
Lean
Steven Costello
0
.............................................................................................................................
Bill
King
8
.............................................................................................................................
Lean
Bill King
2
.............................................................................................................................
Sylvester
Turner
17
.............................................................................................................................
Lean
Sylvester Turner
2
.............................................................................................................................
Adrian Garcia
17
.............................................................................................................................
Lean
Adrian Garcia
1
.............................................................................................................................
Chris
Bell
9
.............................................................................................................................
Lean
Chris Bell
1
.............................................................................................................................
Marty
McVey
1
.............................................................................................................................
Lean
Marty McVey
-
.............................................................................................................................
Ben
Hall
6
.............................................................................................................................
Lean
Ben Hall
0
.............................................................................................................................
(Someone
else)
1
.............................................................................................................................
Lean (Someone else)
0
.............................................................................................................................
(Undecided)

25

.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
Total
Steven Costello
9
.............................................................................................................................
Total
Bill King
10
.............................................................................................................................
Total
Sylvester Turner
19
.............................................................................................................................
Total
Adrian Garcia
19
.............................................................................................................................
Total
Chris Bell
10
.............................................................................................................................
Total
Marty McVey
1
.............................................................................................................................
Total Ben Hall
6
.............................................................................................................................
Total
(Someone else)
1

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Houston Association of REALTORS Houston Mayoral: Frequencies, September 21-24, 2015

Q.13 (IF NOT UNDECIDED IN Q11) How certain are you that you would vote for (CANDIDATE), are you very certain,
somewhat certain, or not certain at all?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Strong
Costello
3
.............................................................................................................................
Weak
Costello
7
.............................................................................................................................
Strong
King
4
.............................................................................................................................
Weak
King
7
.............................................................................................................................
Strong
Turner
11
.............................................................................................................................
Weak Turner
7
.............................................................................................................................
Strong
Garcia
9
.............................................................................................................................
Weak
Garcia
9
.............................................................................................................................
Strong
Bell
4
.............................................................................................................................
Weak
Bell
7
.............................................................................................................................
Strong
McVey
-
.............................................................................................................................
Weak
McVey
1
.............................................................................................................................
Strong
Hall
3
.............................................................................................................................
Weak
Hall
4
.............................................................................................................................
Strong (Someone else)
0
.............................................................................................................................
Weak
(Someone else)
1
.............................................................................................................................
(Undecided)

25

Q.14 Okay. I am going to read you the names of some of the candidates for mayor that you are NOT currently supporting. Even
though you do not plan to vote for a candidate now, I would like you to tell me what are the chances that you might vote for that
candidate in the November election for mayor. Is there a fair chance that you might support that candidate, a small chance, just a
very slight chance or no chance at all that you might support that candidate. If you do not know enough about a candidate to have
an opinion, please say so.

(PROMPT) Is there a fair chance that you might support (READ NAME), a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all
that you might support (READ NAME)?

(RANDOMIZE - DO NOT ASK IF SUPPORTING CANDIDATE IN Q11)

(449 respondents)
A. Chris Bell
(407 respondents)
B. Adrian Garcia
(407 respondents)
C. Sylvester Turner
(449 respondents)
D. Bill King
(453 respondents)
E. Steven Costello

No
chance
at
all

(Don't
know
enough
to
have
an
opinion)

Fair
chance

A
small
chance

Just
a
very
slight
chance

14

14

18

27

20

18

12

19

31

15

16

13

14

36

17

13

29

34

15

11

12

25

30

(Dk/Ref)

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Houston Association of REALTORS Houston Mayoral: Frequencies, September 21-24, 2015

Q.15 Now, let me ask about something else that will be on the ballot this November. Voters in Houston are sometimes
asked to vote on ballot initiatives or propositions. I would like to read you the language of an ordinance that will appear on
the ballot called Proposition 1.

Are you in favor of the Houston Equal Rights Ordinance which prohibits discrimination in city employment and city services,
city contracts, public accommodations, private employment, and housing based on an individual's sex, race, color, ethnicity,
national origin, age, familial status, marital status, military status, religion, disability, sexual orientation, genetic information,
gender identity, or pregnancy?

Now, if the November election were held today, how would you vote on this ordinance -- (ROTATE) For, meaning you would
vote in favor of passing it, or AGAINST, meaning you would oppose it?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
For

51
.............................................................................................................................
Lean
For
1
.............................................................................................................................
Against

35
.............................................................................................................................
Lean
Against
2
.............................................................................................................................
(Undecided)

10
.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
Total
For
52
.............................................................................................................................
Total
Against
37

.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
Total
For - Total Against
15

Q.17 (IF NOT UNDECIDED IN VOTE1B) How certain are you that you would vote FOR/AGAINST, are you very certain,
somewhat certain, or not certain at all?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Strong
For
44
.............................................................................................................................
Weak
For
9
.............................................................................................................................
Strong
Against
30
.............................................................................................................................
Weak
Against
8
.............................................................................................................................
(Undecided)
10

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Houston Association of REALTORS Houston Mayoral: Frequencies, September 21-24, 2015
Q.18 Please tell me how interested you are in the election for the Houston Equal Rights Ordinance, also called HERO, that I
just read, using a scale from one to ten, on which a "ten" means that you are very interested in the HERO election and a
"one" means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any number from one to ten
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
10

45
.............................................................................................................................
9

6
.............................................................................................................................
8

9
.............................................................................................................................
7

8
.............................................................................................................................
6

3
.............................................................................................................................
5
9
.............................................................................................................................
4

1
.............................................................................................................................
3

1
.............................................................................................................................
2

1
.............................................................................................................................
1

8
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused)
9
.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
Mean

7.8
.............................................................................................................................
8-10

60
.............................................................................................................................
4-7
20
.............................................................................................................................
1-3

11

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Houston Association of REALTORS Houston Mayoral: Frequencies, September 21-24, 2015

Q.19 Finally, I would like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes.

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a (ROTATE) Republican, a Democrat or what?

.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Strong
Democrat
33
.............................................................................................................................
Weak
Democrat
10
.............................................................................................................................
Independent-lean
Democrat
7
.............................................................................................................................
Independent

15
.............................................................................................................................
Independent-lean
Republican
9
.............................................................................................................................
Weak Republican
10
.............................................................................................................................
Strong
Republican
14
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused)
2
.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
Democrat

43
.............................................................................................................................
Independent
with Leaners
31
.............................................................................................................................
Republican

24
.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
Democrat
- Republican
19
.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
Democrat
and Ind. Lean Dem
50
.............................................................................................................................
Pure
Independent
15
.............................................................................................................................
Republican
and Ind. Lean Repub
34
.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
Democrat
and Ind. Lean Dem - Republican and Ind. Lean Repub
16

Q.22 Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are (ROTATE LIBERAL AND CONSERVATIVE WITH MODERATE
ALWAYS IN THE MIDDLE) Liberal, Moderate, or Conservative?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Liberal

23
.............................................................................................................................
Moderate

37
.............................................................................................................................
Conservative

33
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused)
6

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Houston Association of REALTORS Houston Mayoral: Frequencies, September 21-24, 2015

Q.23 In what year were you born? (DON'T KNOW/REFUSED = 0000)

.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
18
- 24
1
.............................................................................................................................
25
- 29
3
.............................................................................................................................
30
- 34
3
.............................................................................................................................
35 - 39
4
.............................................................................................................................
40
- 44
5
.............................................................................................................................
45
- 49
7
.............................................................................................................................
50
- 54
6
.............................................................................................................................
55
- 59
14
.............................................................................................................................
60
- 64
13
.............................................................................................................................
Over
64
40
.............................................................................................................................
(No
answer)
3
.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
18
- 49
24
.............................................................................................................................
50
and over
73

Q.24 What is the last year of schooling you have completed? (DO NOT READ LIST)
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
1 - 11th grade
3
.............................................................................................................................
High
school graduate
14
.............................................................................................................................
Non-college
post H.S.
1
.............................................................................................................................
Some
college
18
.............................................................................................................................
College
graduate
40
.............................................................................................................................
Post-graduate
school
24
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused)
1
.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
H.S.
or less
17
.............................................................................................................................
Post H.S.
19
.............................................................................................................................
College
Graduate
63

.............................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................
Not
College
36

Q.25 Do you consider yourself to be White, African American or Black, Hispanic or Latino, Asian, or something else?

(DO NOT READ LIST)

.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
White

62
.............................................................................................................................
African American/Black
20
.............................................................................................................................
Hispanic/Latino

10
.............................................................................................................................
Asian/Pacific
Islander
2
.............................................................................................................................
(Other)

4
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused)
2

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Houston Association of REALTORS Houston Mayoral: Frequencies, September 21-24, 2015

(450 respondents)
Q.26 (ASK IF NOT HISPANIC IN RACE) Are you or anyone in your household of Hispanic or Latino descent?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Yes,
Respondent
3
.............................................................................................................................
Yes,
Household Member
6
.............................................................................................................................
Both

0
.............................................................................................................................
No

88
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused)
1

Q.27 What is your marital status? Are you married, in a domestic partnership, single, separated, divorced, or widowed?
.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Married

56
.............................................................................................................................
Domestic
Partnership
2
.............................................................................................................................
Single
21
.............................................................................................................................
Separated

1
.............................................................................................................................
Divorced

9
.............................................................................................................................
Widowed

11
.............................................................................................................................
(Other)

-
.............................................................................................................................
(Don't
know/refused)
0

Line Type

.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
Not
Wireless
70
.............................................................................................................................
Wireless

30

Region (by council district)

.............................................................................................................................
Total
.............................................................................................................................
A,
G, J
26
.............................................................................................................................
C,
F, K
33
.............................................................................................................................
B,
H, I
19
.............................................................................................................................
D,
E
22

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