Sequoia Fund Transcript 2015
Sequoia Fund Transcript 2015
Sequoia Fund Transcript 2015
Disclosures
Please consider the investment objectives, risks and charges and expenses of Sequoia Fund, Inc. (the Fund)
carefully before investing. The Funds prospectus contains this and other information about the Fund. You may
obtain year-to-date performance as of the most recent month end, and a copy of the prospectus by calling
(800) 686-6884, or on the Funds website at www.sequoiafund.com. Please read the prospectus carefully before
investing. An investment in the Fund is not a deposit of a bank and is not insured or guaranteed by the Federal
Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency.
Average Annual Total Returns as of June 30, 2015
Year to Date
Sequoia Fund . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
S&P 500 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
*
1 Year
9.78%
1.23%
5 Years*
17.04%
7.42%
19.04%
17.34%
10 Years*
10.30%
7.89%
The performance data shown represents past performance and assumes reinvestment of dividends. Past
performance does not guarantee future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment in the
Fund will fluctuate so that an investors shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original
cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Year-to-date performance
as of the most recent month end can be obtained by calling DST Systems, Inc. at (800) 686-6884.
The S&P 500 Index (the Index) is an unmanaged, capitalization-weighted index of the common stocks of 500
major US corporations. The Index is not meant to be indicative of the performance, asset composition or
volatility of the Fund. The Funds results may differ markedly from those of the Index, in either up or down
market trends and interest rate environments. Unlike a mutual fund, the performance of an index assumes no
taxes, transaction costs, management fees or other expenses. It is not possible to invest directly in an unmanaged
index.
As reflected in the current prospectus, the Funds Annual Fund Operating Expenses for 2014 were 1.03%. Ruane,
Cunniff & Goldfarb, the Funds investment adviser, has agreed to reimburse a portion of the Funds operating
expenses. This reimbursement is a provision of Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarbs investment advisory agreement with
the Fund and will be in effect only so long as that investment advisory agreement is in effect.
Investing in the Fund involves risk. Investors should carefully review the risks associated with an investment in
the Fund and understand those risks before investing. The principal risks of investing in the Fund include market
risk, value investing risk, non-diversification risk, foreign (non-US) risk, currency risk, small-cap and mid-cap
company risk, managed fund risk and liquidity risk. As of June 30, 2015, the top ten holdings of the Fund
included:
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc.
Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . .
TJX Companies, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
OReilly Automotive, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . .
Fastenal Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
MasterCard, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Precision Castparts Corp. . . . . . . . . . . . .
Mohawk Industries, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Idexx Laboratories, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Google, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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28.7%
10.6%
5.0%
4.3%
4.2%
3.2%
2.7%
2.5%
2.3%
2.0%
Disclosures (continued)
Any sector focuses of the Fund are subject to change, and past returns are not indicative of future returns. The
cash generation of a company in which the Fund invests may not continue given market or other conditions, and
portfolio turnover may change depending on future circumstances.
Fund holdings and/or sector weighting are subject to change and should not be considered recommendations to
buy or sell any securities. Current and future portfolio holdings are subject to risk.
Shares of the Fund are offered through the Funds distributor, Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb LLC. Ruane, Cunniff &
Goldfarb LLC is an affliate of Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Inc. and is a member of FINRA.
The opinions expressed below are those of the personnel of Ruane, Cuniff & Goldfarb and should not be
considered a forecast of future events, a guarantee of future results, or investment advice. The following has been
edited for clarity.
Subsequent to the Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day, Mike Pearson announced in a public forum that
Howard Schiller was one of two potential successors.
On 11 June 2015, Valeant announced that Robert L. Rosiello, formerly McKinseys Senior Partner in charge
of its global merger practice, would take over for Howard Schiller as Valeants Chief Financial Officer on
1 July 2015.
3
Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
Upon exercising warrants on 7 June 2015, Berkshire increased its ownership to 52.5% of Heinz.
Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
Question:
I guess it is no surprise that most of the questions are
about Valeant. So I will add one more. A few weeks ago
in the papers it was reported that Valeant raised the price
on a particular drug by 400% 500%, within a very short
period of time after purchasing the rights to that drug from
another company. I was troubled by reading that. I am
curious to hear your reaction.
Question:
I have a question about World Fuel. I wanted to
ask about the level of confidence that you have in
volume growth and pricing trends in the marine,
aviation, and land segment over the mid-to-long term
and how important you think acquisitions are to the
future. I find those mid-to-longer term numbers hard
to get my hands around.
Rory Priday:
I understand why reaction to that could be
negative. Obviously, Sequoia and our clients that
own Valeant are benefiting from those price
increases. But in general, the capitalistic approach to
pricing is to charge what the market will bear.
Valeant believes that when it buys a drug and it is
underpriced, it should charge a price that will
maximize the companys long term cash earnings.
Some people maybe feel differently about healthcare.
It is obviously a more sensitive topic.
Rory Priday:
We did too. We do not own the stock anymore.
As I mentioned last year, World Fuel Services is a
fuel supplier. It gets credit from some of the major
oil companies and uses that credit to buy fuel to sell
to various customers in marine, aviation, and land
markets. When you talk to the companys managers,
they will point out that World Fuel has very small
shares of those markets; so you can get excited about
the potential. Any time you look at an investment,
you want to look at what percentage of its market it
has and how big it can get. One of its biggest
competitors in marine fuel went into bankruptcy late
last year, but the trouble is that it is still going to be
pretty difficult for the company to grow organically
at a good enough pace in each of its markets. The
markets may be huge, but there are structural reasons
why organic growth is difficult to come by.
We thought that most of the growth going
forward would come from acquisitions, which is
fine the management team has been terrific. It has
presided over a lot of value creation. Mike Kasbar is
a great operator and has built a really nice company.
The company does smart acquisitions. If you run
through the list of deals, on average over the last five
or six years, World Fuel probably earns, by my math,
between 10% 12% on its acquisitions. If you had a
company that was not growing at all organically and
it could invest all its earnings at 10% 12% each
year, it could grow earnings at that rate. But we did
not feel confident, owning something like that over a
long period of time, that it would get a bigger at a
fast enough pace to meet our hurdle rate. So that is
why we are out of it.
Bob Goldfarb:
Embedded in the asking price for Marathon
which is the company that sold these drugs to Valeant
embedded in the sale price was a significant increase in
the price of those drugs. In fact, Rory, what had
Marathons management been advised to do with its
prices?
Rory Priday:
We were told that Marathon had hired a
consulting firm that advised it to take huge price
increases. So Valeant was following the advice of the
consulting firm, not that Mike would shy away from
taking a price increase if he saw an opportunity. We
are not really sure why the company decided to sell
these drugs, but I think part of the reason was that
management was looking at selling another asset. So
Marathon needed to get this deal done. That is the
one that David mentioned earlier when Valeant was
working at 8:00 p.m. on New Years Eve.
Bob Goldfarb:
A point that the article missed, and I am not
faulting the Wall Street Journal, is that either those
prices or the volumes at those elevated prices are
going to be very short-lived because both of those
drugs are subject to genericization and Valeant
management expects that they will be genericized
within a couple of years. So Valeant had to recoup
its investment and more within that short window of
time in order to achieve the returns that management
was expecting.
Bob Goldfarb:
We sold World Fuel Services because it reported
a very strong quarter, which to a fair extent was
based on the volatility of oil prices, which usually
benefits the company. Going back to an earlier
question, there are some occasions when we are
selling into strength, and others when we are selling
because there is a disappointment.
Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
Question:
Would you comment on TJX please?
David Poppe:
We have owned TJX for ... it will be
fifteen years this summer. Obviously it has been a
terrific stock, a terrific compounder. It still has a very
good future. TJX is the largest off-price retailer in
the country. Nothing has really changed from
prior years, but at this point TJ has become a very
large customer for many of the biggest apparel
brands in the country and in the world. So it has a
very important buying position and great access to
merchandise. As a result, it can become a
question the company has become so large in the
United States of how much of what is in the store
is actually true surplus that TJX bought versus
product that was made for it. That is a tricky thing
for TJX to manage. But there are still good growth
opportunities in the US, Canada, and Europe. We
think Carol Meyrowitz is an excellent CEO, and she
has done a fine job. TJs number one competitor,
Ross, also does very well. So you are at the top; it is
a very strong industry; the consumer has shown over
time that she is willing to buy this way as opposed
to paying a higher price in a department store. So TJ
and Ross continue to capture market share, the two
of them. But even today, TJ, Ross, and if you add
Burlington and Nordstrom Rack and combine them
all, they are less than 15% of the US apparel market.
So we do not think they are close to a ceiling.
The other thing I would say about TJ is that I
get some pushback from people who believe that, to
exaggerate a little, all retail sales are just going to
move to the Internet, and that people do not want to
be in the stores anymore. To go to TJ, you are
making a trade of time for price. You are making the
trip to the store and combing through those racks of
clothes that are not always very well organized. But
at the lower price points, it is showing to be very,
very hard to make money online in apparel. The
average ticket at TJ is about $15 and at Ross
probably $10 or $11. We think that there is a
consumer who is very willing to make that trade of
time for price. Off-price is also difficult there are
very shallow levels of inventory of a very broad
assortment of product. And it is very hard to manage
a website when the product turns over and is never
replenished as it is in conventional retail. So for all
those reasons, we think that TJ is fine.
There are a couple negatives. Currency is very
much against the company this year. TJ also has a
Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
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Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
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Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
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Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
Question:
I know you have a relatively small position in
Verisk Analytics. Just a question on the investment
thesis, the valuation, capital allocation, and more
specifically the Wood Mackenzie acquisition, which
the company announced in March.
Chase Sheridan:
I will try to be brief. Our position in Verisk
rounds to 0.0% of the portfolio. So I would not
consider it a real position. It is a great business.
Verisk is basically becoming a platform for buying
data analytics firms. Its core business in the
insurance space has as big a moat as you are going
to find anywhere but the returns on its expansion
businesses, the jury is still out. The acquired
businesses are good but the returns on those
investments are not anywhere approaching the
returns in its core business. It is probably not worth
it to take any more time because we really do not
have a material position.
Question:
On page three of the prospectus, there is a bar
chart showing the performance. We all know that
Valeant has a big effect on the total bottom line. But
if you start with 2012 when the return was about
16% and the next year 35%, last year 8%, this year
it is about 12% if you backed out Valeant, what
would those percentages be for the other 80% of the
investments in the Sequoia Fund?
David Poppe:
Valeant has outperformed the S&P 500 by a
substantial margin over the last three years. If you
backed Valeant out, the other 80% would have
underperformed the S&P, but that includes a
substantial cash position at all times. The stock
portfolio performed roughly in line with the S&P.
Question:
So on a percentage basis, what would lets say
last years 8% be without Valeant?
David Poppe:
About 4%.
Question:
Lets say the current bottom line is about 12%,
right?
David Poppe:
Valeant came into the year at 20% of the
portfolio and it is up 56% year to date. So that is
over eleven points of return for the total portfolio.
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Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
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Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
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Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
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Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
Question:
Can you comment on Cabelas please? Was it a
mistake? How long are you going to hold on to it?
What do you think the future is?
Greg Steinmetz:
Yes, it was a mistake. I thought that by now the
company would be getting close to earning $4 a
share, and it will be a little over $3 this year if all
goes right. We are holding on to it because the
opportunity now is the same as when we entered.
Unlike a lot of sectors in retailing, the hunting and
fishing apparel business has not rolled up into the
hands of one or two players. The mom & pops, the
independent hunting and fishing goods stores, have
65% of the market. No company we think is better
positioned to enjoy the benefits of the consolidation
than Cabelas. Cabelas has some really good things
going for it. One is the brand. Anyone who loves
hunting knows Cabelas and it is a brand that travels
across the country. The sale of branded apparel with
the Cabelas name is close to a billion dollars a year;
so you have a quarter of your revenue coming from
that. There is a much higher margin on the Cabelas
brand product than on the other merchandise. What I
underestimated was just how severe the hangover
would be from the surge in gun sales as well as the
softness that developed in some of the companys
other categories of merchandise.
As you know, right after Newtown gun sales
took off because everyone was afraid that the
government was going to say no more buying guns.
So people ran out and got guns. Cabelas benefited
more maybe than anyone else because it went out
and bought every gun it could. So Cabelas had a lot
of guns on the shelf. That has unwound and Cabelas
is feeling it. The question has come up how far are
gun sales going to fall?
We have already seen the sales of what they call
modern sporting weapons, which are these things
that look like AK-47s, really fall off. Handgun sales,
on the other hand, have held up. Why is that? The
biggest reason is the legislation has gone completely
in the favor of the gun industry. It used to be you
could only carry a concealed weapon in ten states.
Now it is 43 states. So there has been a secular shift
with regard to gun legislation that facilitates gun
sales. Cabelas is doing what it said when we bought
the stock, which is that it is adding a million square
feet of retail space a year. What management has to
do is figure out how to get comps back. Cabelas
comparable store sales have been negative now for
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Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
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Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
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Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day St. Regis Hotel, New York City May 15, 2015
Question:
That begs the question why is it in second
position, is it safety?
Jon Brandt:
It is a couple things. I cannot speak for Bob but
it is reasonably priced. It is still at a discount to its
intrinsic value. I would also say that we are not
having great success in finding other things to buy.
What are we in terms of cash, David, these days, in
Sequoia?
David Poppe:
Close to 20%. In the last 10 years Berkshires
stock price has compounded at 10% while the S&P
compounded at 8%. So Berkshire has actually
outperformed by a decent amount over the past
10 years, despite its size. So you have to think of it
in terms of it is still a decent holding; it is still
ballast in a storm and Warren is still very, very good
in a crisis at putting capital to work.
Bob Goldfarb:
I think he has done an excellent job of
transforming the company or institutionalizing it with
long duration assets, mainly the railroad and the
utilities. I think the transaction with 3G is really
driven by the operational management expertise of
3G, and that is a relationship that is going to
continue for a long time. All three of these, the
railroads, the utilities, and the alliance with 3G will
likely consume very substantial commitments of
capital. Consequently, the deployment of capital will
be less of a burden for his successor than it would
otherwise be. So I think there is less concern about
Berkshire after Warren because of these measures
that he has taken.
David Poppe:
We are almost at 12:30. How about one last
question?
Question:
Your comments on Omnicom?
David Poppe:
Omnicom is one of four large advertising
agency holding companies. The industry has really
consolidated down, and there are four large ones left.
We think Omnicom is best of breed, but in fact they
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