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Weeklyagreport: Week Ended On Aug. 13, 2015

Wheat planting is complete nationwide with some areas affected by flooding. Wheat is in varying development stages across regions. Sunflower planting is 8.7% complete toward a target of 1,450,000 ha. Corn harvest is 93.2% complete, yielding an average of 8 tonnes/ha. Barley planting is finished, reaching the target of 1,050,000 ha, up 14.1% from last season. Recent rains have caused issues for some crops.

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18 views

Weeklyagreport: Week Ended On Aug. 13, 2015

Wheat planting is complete nationwide with some areas affected by flooding. Wheat is in varying development stages across regions. Sunflower planting is 8.7% complete toward a target of 1,450,000 ha. Corn harvest is 93.2% complete, yielding an average of 8 tonnes/ha. Barley planting is finished, reaching the target of 1,050,000 ha, up 14.1% from last season. Recent rains have caused issues for some crops.

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WeeklyAgReport

BUENOS AIRES GRAIN E XCHANGE

WEEK ENDED ON Aug. 13, 2015


CROP REPORT - HIGHLIGHTS
Estimations and Agricultural Projections Department
Buenos Aires Grain Exchange

Referencias:
NOA: Salta+Tucumn+Jujuy+Catamarca+Oeste Sgo del Estero.
NEA: Chaco+Este Sgo del Estero+Formosa.
Ctro N Sfe: Centro-Norte de Santa Fe. Ctro N Cba: Centro-Norte de Crdoba.
Ncleo Norte: Este de Crdoba+Centro-Sur de Santa Fe+Sudoeste de Entre Ros.
S Cba: Sur de Crdoba. N LP-O BA: Norte de La Pampa+ Oeste de Buenos Aires.
Ctro E ER: Entre Ros excluido Victoria y Diamante.
Ctro BA: Centro de Buenos Aires.
SO BA-S LP: Sudoeste de Buenos Aires+Sur de La Pampa.
SE BA: Sudeste de Buenos Aires. SL: San Luis.
Cuenca Sal: Este de la Cuenca del Salado. Otras: Corrientes+Misiones.

WEEKLY AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK


BUENOS AIRES GRAIN EXCHANGE

Aug 20, 2015


AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: AGUST 20 TO 26, 2015: THE RAINS CEASE AFTER THE
STORMS OBSERVED EARLY IN AUGUST.
OUTLOOK SUMMARY

At the beginning of the perspective, most of the Ag. region will report winds coming from the north/northeast.
This condition will increase the atmospheric humidity and cloudiness and raise temperatures above normal for
this time of year. As of August 23, the entrance of a storm front will bring moderate to abundant rainfalls to the
north-end of the agricultural area. The rest of the region will only report scarce values. The south of the Andes
range will observe storms of moderate intensity. The front will be followed by southerly winds which will drop
temperatures sharply over most part of the Ag. region, with chances of frosts over the West and South.

WHEAT
Within the last few days, it only rained over the mid-north of the ag region, while weather
conditions started to improve toward the south, bringing relief to areas affected by the floods. However,
wide areas in the center and south of Santa Fe and most of the east of Buenos Aires are still under water.
The PAS regions that were flooded include the south belt region, the mid-east of Buenos Aires and the
whole Cuenca del Salado. Wheat area in these flooded regions amounts to 290,000 hectares, which
accounts for 7.8 % of the total area estimated at 3,700,000 ha this season. Although the area at risk is
significant, it is still impossible to assess the damage by excess water, since many producers have not
yet been able to return to their fields.
Toward the Buenos Aires region, wheat is moving through tillering or leaf differentiation on plots
planted at the end of the planting window. Except on flooded fields, the rest of the planted area is in
good-to-very good conditions, and in very good health. Areas of La Pampa showed similar conditions of
development. Finally, planted areas in the NW and NE regions also report good-to-very good conditions,
owing to good moisture recovery in the last few weeks. Toward the NW region, wheat is at its boot stage
or still at stem elongation, expecting to yield an average of 1.5 tons/ha. Conversely, in the NE region,
most of the area is still elongating stems or tillering, with very few plots at boot stage.
WHEAT PLANTING
2015/16 Season
Zone
I
NOA
II
NEA
III
Ctro N Cba
IV
S Cba
V
Ctro N SFe
VI
Ncleo Norte
VII
Ncleo Sur
VIII Ctro E ER
IX
N LP-OBA
X
Ctro BA
XI
SO BA-S LP
XII
SE BA
XIII SL
XIV Cuenca Sal
XV
Otras
TOTAL

Hectareage (Ha)
2014/15
2015/16
175.000
203.000
250.000
210.000
610.000
490.000
250.000
205.000
220.000
185.000
380.000
320.000
300.000
250.000
200.000
115.000
390.000
330.000
140.000
120.000
810.000
685.000
610.000
530.000
5.000
5.000
50.000
42.000
10.000
10.000
4.400.000
3.700.000

As of:
Porcentage
planted (%)
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0

Aug 20, 2015


Hectares
planted
203.000
210.000
490.000
205.000
185.000
320.000
250.000
115.000
330.000
120.000
685.000
530.000
5.000
42.000
10.000
3.700.000

SUNFLOWER
Upon this report, sunflower planting has covered more than 120,000 ha nationwide, posting
progress for 8.7 % of suitable area, out of an overall projection of 1,450,000 ha. Week-on-week advance is
estimated at 2.3 %, while planting was delayed by -3.8 % compared to last season. So far, first plots
incorporated concentrate in the north of the ag region, in the NE region and the mid-north of Santa Fe.
Rainfalls last week boosted planting in the center of Chaco, where around 45 % of the area is
reported planted. Likewise, the most advanced plots are emerging, with excellent moisture conditions
and without sanitary problems. On the other hand, in the mid-north of Santa Fe, sunflower planting also
made progress prior to this report, posting week-on-week advance by almost 10 %.

CORN
Commercial corn harvest has covered 93.2 % of suitable area, yielding an average of 8 tn/ha, with
a partial farm volume of 24.6 Mtn. Week-on-week advance posted 2.1 %, with the most significant
progress rates observed in the north of the ag region. Compared to last season 2013/14, harvest is
reporting a YOY delay by -1 %. Such delay is due to rainfalls received in most of the national territory last
week, which hampered fieldwork. Consequently, output projection remains at 26,000,000 tn this season.

Good weather in the north of the region boosted fieldwork last week. In the center, harvest was
limited by lack of soil on remaining plots, showing some progress in Crdoba. In the rest of the region,
there are a small number of plots remaining to harvest. Recent precipitations have flooded the roads,
blocking access for the combines.
CORN HARVEST
2014/15 Season
Zone
I
NOA
II
NEA
III Ctro N Cba
IV S Cba
V
Ctro N SFe
VI Ncleo Norte
VII Ncleo Sur
VIII Ctro E ER
IX N LP-OBA
X
Ctro BA
XI SO BA-S LP
XII SE BA
XIII SL
XIV Cuenca Sal
XV Otras
TOTAL

Sown
230.000
360.000
540.000
390.000
140.000
365.000
300.000
137.000
370.000
179.000
98.000
92.000
123.000
52.000
24.000
3.400.000

Hectareage (Ha)
Porcentage
Hectares
Lost
Harvestable Harvested (%) Harvested
8.000
222.000
68,6
152.292
12.000
348.000
76,2
265.176
20.000
520.000
96,0
499.200
15.000
375.000
94,0
352.500
10.000
130.000
96,2
124.995
6.500
358.500
99,3
355.811
3.500
296.500
99,3
294.276
6.000
131.000
100,0
131.000
13.000
357.000
97,0
346.290
5.000
174.000
98,6
171.564
3.000
95.000
96,3
91.438
5.000
87.000
99,1
86.217
7.000
116.000
100,0
116.000
3.000
49.000
100,0
49.000
1.000
23.000
100,0
23.000
118.000
3.282.000
93,2 3.058.759

As of: Aug. 20, 2015


Yield
Production
(qq/Ha)
(Tn)
70
1.062.710
66
1.738.846
82
4.090.928
75
2.653.304
77
956.808
100
3.568.482
99
2.917.706
66
861.633
85
2.928.875
79
1.363.738
61
555.153
74
638.958
71
818.737
80
392.936
47
107.133
80,6
24.655.946

BARLEY
Barley planting has finished nationwide, whereby the last planted plots are in the SE of Buenos
Aires, Cuenca del Salado, and the SW of Buenos Aires-south of La Pampa. With these last plots
incorporated, the area projected at 1,050,000 hectares for this season was accomplished, posting a YOY
increase of +14.1 % (season 2014/15 920,000 ha).
Last season planting was also finished around the same dates, with water excess in Buenos Aires,
though in different locations. In season 14/15, problems were concentrated in the barley area of the SE of
the province, while this year such issues will be more relevant toward the center of Buenos Aires. Heavy
rainfalls over wide areas of the province are worsening conditions for many emerged plots, producing
water excess of varying severity.

BARLEY PLANTING
2015/16 Season
Zone
I
NOA
II
NEA
III
Ctro N Cba
IV
S Cba
V
Ctro N SFe
VI
Ncleo Norte
VII
Ncleo Sur
VIII Ctro E ER
IX
N LP-OBA
X
Ctro BA
XI
SO BA-S LP
XII
SE BA
XIII SL
XIV Cuenca Sal
XV
Otras
TOTAL

Buenos Aires, Aug 20, 2015

Hectareage (Ha)
2014/15
2015/16
600
1.000
3.500
6.000
900
1.000
16.000
20.000
54.000
64.000
2.000
3.000
75.000
90.000
35.000
45.000
195.000
200.000
530.000
610.000
8.000
10.000
920.000
1.050.000

As of:
Porcentage
planted (%)

100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0
100,0

Aug 20, 2015


Hectares
planted
1.000
6.000
1.000
20.000
64.000
3.000
90.000
45.000
200.000
610.000
10.000
1.050.000

Buenos Aires Grains Exchange

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