Probability: Interactive Math Goodies Software
Probability: Interactive Math Goodies Software
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Probability
Problem: A spinner has 4 equal sectors colored
yellow, blue, green and red. What are the
chances of landing on blue after spinning
the spinner? What are the chances of
landing on red?
Solution:
This problem asked us to find some probabilities involving a spinner. Let's look at some
definitions and examples from the problem above.
Definition
Example
is one fourth.
In order to measure probabilities, mathematicians have devised the following formula for
finding the probability of an event.
Probability Of An Event
P(A) =
The probability of event A is the number of ways event A can occur divided by the
total number of possible outcomes. Let's take a look at a slight modification of the
problem from the top of the page.
Experiment 1:
Outcomes:
Probabilities:
Experiment 2:
P(yellow)
1
4
P(blue)
1
4
P(green)
1
4
P(red)
1
4
P(1)
# of ways to roll a 1
total # of sides
1
6
P(2)
# of ways to roll a 2
total # of sides
1
6
P(3)
# of ways to roll a 3
total # of sides
1
6
P(4)
# of ways to roll a 4
total # of sides
1
6
P(5)
# of ways to roll a 5
total # of sides
1
6
P(6)
# of ways to roll a 6
total # of sides
1
6
P(even)
3
1
=
6
2
P(odd)
3
1
=
6
2
Outcomes:
Probabilities:
P(red)
6
3
=
22 11
P(green) =
P(blue)
P(yellow) =
8
4
=
22 11
The outcomes in this experiment are not equally likely to occur. You are more likely
to choose a blue marble than any other color. You are least likely to choose a yellow
marble.
Experiment
4:
Outcomes:
Probabilities:
P(1)
# of ways to choose a 1
total # of numbers
1
5
P(2)
# of ways to choose a 2
total # of numbers
1
5
P(3)
# of ways to choose a 3
total # of numbers
1
5
P(4)
# of ways to choose a 4
total # of numbers
1
5
P(5)
# of ways to choose a 5
total # of numbers
1
5
P(even)
2
5
P(odd)
3
5
The outcomes 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 are equally likely to occur as a result of this experiment.
However, the events even and odd are not equally likely to occur, since there are 3
odd numbers and only 2 even numbers from 1 to 5.
Summary:
The probability of an event is the measure of the chance that the event
will occur as a result of an experiment. The probability of an event A is
the number of ways event A can occur divided by the total number of
possible outcomes. The probability of an event A, symbolized by P(A),
is a number between 0 and 1, inclusive, that measures the likelihood of
an event in the following way:
If P(A) > P(B) then event A is more likely to occur than event B.
Exercises
Directions: Read each question below. Select your answer by clicking on its button.
Feedback to your answer is provided in the RESULTS BOX. If you make a mistake,
choose a different button.
1. Which of the following is an experiment?
Tossing a coin.
Rolling a single 6-sided die.
Choosing a marble from a jar.
All of the above.
RESULTS BOX: