WeeklyAgReport

BUENOS AIRES GRAIN E XCHANGE

WEEK ENDED ON Jul. 02, 2015

CROP REPORT - HIGHLIGHTS
Estimations and Agricultural Projections Department
Buenos Aires Grain Exchange

Referencias:
NOA: Salta+Tucumn+Jujuy+Catamarca+Oeste Sgo del Estero.
NEA: Chaco+Este Sgo del Estero+Formosa.
Ctro N Sfe: Centro-Norte de Santa Fe. Ctro N Cba: Centro-Norte de Crdoba.
Ncleo Norte: Este de Crdoba+Centro-Sur de Santa Fe+Sudoeste de Entre Ros.
S Cba: Sur de Crdoba. N LP-O BA: Norte de La Pampa+ Oeste de Buenos Aires.
Ctro E ER: Entre Ros excluido Victoria y Diamante.
Ctro BA: Centro de Buenos Aires.
SO BA-S LP: Sudoeste de Buenos Aires+Sur de La Pampa.
SE BA: Sudeste de Buenos Aires. SL: San Luis.
Cuenca Sal: Este de la Cuenca del Salado. Otras: Corrientes+Misiones.

WEEKLY AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

BUENOS AIRES GRAIN EXCHANGE

Jul 02, 2015

AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: JULY 2 TO 8, 2015: SHARP TEMPERATURE OSCILLATION

AND PRECIPITATIONS OVER THE NORTHERN -END OF THE AG. REGION.
OUTLOOK SUMMARY

At the beginning of the perspective, northerly winds will bring a sharp temperature rise over most part of the Ag. area
coupled with high atmospheric humidity and cloudiness. Precipitations will be localized in Paraguay and over the
south of the central region of the Andes range. The rest of the area will report scarce values. The front will be followed
by the entrance of a polar air mass, that will bring a significant temperature drop and chances of frosts over most part
of the area. Later, northerly winds will return, raising temperatures.

WHEAT
Rainfalls last weekend helped recover moisture supplies over wide areas of the south and east
margins of the national ag region. Nevertheless, lack of surface moisture in Cordoba and parts of the north of
Santa Fe has hampered plot incorporations in areas which are finishing their optimal planting window.
Consequently, due to the impossibility of fulfilling projected area in the center of the ag region, projection
was cut down to 3,750,000 hectares this season. Therefore, an adjustment by 150,000 hectares down from
last report reflects a YOY decrease next to -15 % (planting 2014/15: 4.4 M HA).
So far, planting progress accounted for 69.4 % of current projected area, and most of pending area sits
in the Buenos Aires region, where the main nationwide wheat growing areas are located.
As for planted area, most plots are going through tillering stages in wide areas of the mid-west and
north of the country. Crop condition varies according to water supplies. Toward the NW Area, planting has

finished, and most planted plots maintain good-to-very good crop conditions, thanks to good water supplies
in the region. In the NE Area, rainfalls of the last few days have replenished the fields, fostering pending
plantings and improving plot conditions passing through tillering stages.
WHEAT PLANTING
2015/16 Season
Zone
I
NOA
II
NEA
III
Ctro N Cba
IV
S Cba
V
Ctro N SFe
VI
Ncleo Norte
VII
Ncleo Sur
VIII Ctro E ER
IX
N LP-OBA
X
Ctro BA
XI
SO BA-S LP
XII
SE BA
XIII SL
XIV Cuenca Sal
XV
Otras
TOTAL

Hectareage (Ha)
2013/14
2014/15
175.000
203.000
250.000
210.000
610.000
490.000
250.000
205.000
220.000
185.000
380.000
320.000
300.000
250.000
200.000
115.000
390.000
330.000
140.000
120.000
810.000
725.000
610.000
540.000
5.000
5.000
50.000
42.000
10.000
10.000
4.400.000
3.750.000

As of:
Porcentage
planted (%)
100,0
80,0
100,0
90,0
70,0
90,0
60,0
30,0
60,0
60,0
65,0
32,0
100,0
68,0
90,0
69,4

Jul 02, 2015

Hectares
planted
203.000
168.000
490.000
184.500
129.500
288.000
150.000
34.500
198.000
72.000
471.250
172.800
5.000
28.560
9.000
2.604.110

SOYBEAN
To date, soybean harvest has finished nationwide, accounting for an estimated area of 19.1 M HA, with
a record final production of 60,800,000 tons. Final planting estimation this season is 20 M HA, and area loss
has reached 900 M HA (4.5 % of planted area), due to sudden death of various plots during
planting/emergence process, as well as losses caused by hail and floods during crop vegetative and
reproductive stages. National average yield posted 3.2 Tn/Ha, hitting a new record in the last fourteen
seasons (year 2006/07: 2.9 Tn/Ha).
Generally speaking, weather conditions observed during season 2014/15 have fostered growing and
development of the crop. Since the start of season, rainfalls received during optimal planting window have
fostered good planting in wide areas of the agricultural region. However, there was also water excess
delaying plot incorporation and producing losses on plots that had to be re-seeded, especially in the south
belt and mid-east of Entre Rios.

SOYBEAN HARVEST
2014/15 Season
Hectareage (Ha)
Porcentage
Zone
Sown
Lost
Harvestable Harvested (%)
I
NOA
900.000
30.000
870.000
100,0
II
NEA
1.500.000
70.000
1.430.000
100,0
III Ctro N Cba
2.200.000
65.000
2.135.000
100,0
IV S Cba
1.700.000
45.000
1.655.000
100,0
V
Ctro N SFe
1.300.000
80.000
1.220.000
100,0
VI Ncleo Norte 3.270.000
150.000
3.120.000
100,0
VII Ncleo Sur
2.730.000
70.000
2.660.000
100,0
VIII Ctro E ER
1.250.000
70.000
1.180.000
100,0
IX N LP-OBA
1.850.000
100.000
1.750.000
100,0
X
Ctro BA
650.000
55.000
595.000
100,0
XI SO BA-S LP
520.000
45.000
475.000
100,0
XII SE BA
1.680.000
100.000
1.580.000
100,0
XIII SL
180.000
5.000
175.000
100,0
XIV Cuenca Sal
220.000
12.000
208.000
100,0
XV Otras
50.000
3.000
47.000
100,0
TOTAL
20.000.000
900.000
19.100.000
100,0

Hectares
Harvested
870.000
1.430.000
2.135.000
1.655.000
1.220.000
3.120.000
2.660.000
1.180.000
1.750.000
595.000
475.000
1.580.000
175.000
208.000
47.000
19.100.000

As of: Jul. 02, 2015

Yield
Production
(qq/Ha)
(Tn)
24,0 2.088.000
20,0 2.854.280
38,1 8.134.564
34,6 5.726.300
33,0 4.027.105
41,6 12.991.514
39,8 10.586.800
27,1 3.197.800
30,4 5.311.250
24,0 1.430.540
15,9
755.250
15,5 2.441.100
30,7
537.789
29,4
611.520
23,4
110.049
31,8
60.803.860

CORN
Harvest of commercial corn has covered 59.7 % of suitable area, posting average yield of 8.5 Tn/Ha,
and accruing a partial volume of 16.6 M TN. Week-on-week advance was 10.6 %, registering significant
progress over most of the national ag region. Compared to last season, harvest reports a YOY increase of 7.7
%. As harvest moves forward on late or second plots, yields are falling below initial expectations, marking
yield stagnation in several regions. Consequently, productive projection remains at 25,000,000 tons this
season.

Such increase is mainly due to fast drying of the grains, especially on late or second plots. This
phenomenon is tied to frosts formed in the center and south of the ag region. There were scattered rainfalls
over the central region in the last few days. These rains might delay harvest, although new incoming cold
fronts would help dry the grains again.

CORN HARVEST
2014/15 Season
Zone
I
NOA
II
NEA
III Ctro N Cba
IV S Cba
V
Ctro N SFe
VI Ncleo Norte
VII Ncleo Sur
VIII Ctro E ER
IX N LP-OBA
X
Ctro BA
XI SO BA-S LP
XII SE BA
XIII SL
XIV Cuenca Sal
XV Otras
TOTAL

Sown
230.000
360.000
540.000
390.000
140.000
365.000
300.000
137.000
370.000
179.000
98.000
92.000
123.000
52.000
24.000
3.400.000

Hectareage (Ha)
Porcentage
Hectares
Lost
Harvestable Harvested (%) Harvested
6.000
224.000
0,0
17.920
9.000
351.000
13,6
47.736
20.000
520.000
41,5
215.800
15.000
375.000
61,0
228.750
10.000
130.000
69,8
90.675
6.500
358.500
91,3
327.131
3.500
296.500
92,5
274.263
6.000
131.000
94,8
124.123
13.000
357.000
77,0
274.890
5.000
174.000
78,5
136.503
3.000
95.000
58,0
55.100
5.000
87.000
46,8
40.716
7.000
116.000
54,3
62.930
3.000
49.000
98,5
48.265
1.000
23.000
82,0
18.860
113.000
3.287.000
59,7 1.963.661

As of: Jul. 02, 2015

Yield
Production
(qq/Ha)
(Tn)
60
129.920
61
292.945
85
1.827.420
74
1.700.429
78
708.989
102
3.334.202
100
2.732.394
67
827.887
87
2.404.264
81
1.108.995
55
300.660
71
290.697
76
477.308
80
387.056
46
86.433
84,6
16.609.598

GRAIN SORGHUM
Despite rainfalls observed along the east margin of the ag region, sorghum harvest fieldwork is in
progress nationwide. Overall progress accounted for 80.8 % of suitable area, for a total of 650,000 HA.
Average yield was around 4.6 Tn/Ha, and farm volume accrued is nearing 3,000,000 tons. Consequently,
productive projection remains at 3,500,000 tons for year 2014/15. YOY decrease posted -18.6 % (year 2013/14:
4.3 M TN).
This report decribes progress of grain sorghum harvest, with the most significant fortnight advance
observed in the provinces of Buenos Aires and La Pampa. The largest harvest volumes these last fifteen
days were seen in the north of La Pampa-west of Buenos Aires and SW of Buenos Aires-south of La Pampa.
On the other hand, rains of last weekend have delayed harvest fieldwork over the Argentine littoral.

GRAIN SORGHUM HARVEST

2014/15 Season
Hectareage (Ha)
Zone
Sown
Lost
Harvestable
I
NOA
24.000
500
23.500
II
NEA
190.000
5.500
184.500
III
Ctro N Cba
100.000
11.000
89.000
IV
S Cba
34.000
2.000
32.000
V
Ctro N SFe
150.000
15.000
135.000
VI
Ncleo Norte
32.000
2.000
30.000
VII
Ncleo Sur
17.000
500
16.500
VIII Ctro E ER
65.000
5.500
59.500
IX
N LP-OBA
40.000
1.400
38.600
X
Ctro BA
8.000
8.000
XI
SO BA-S LP
80.000
1.000
79.000
XII
SE BA
7.000
7.000
XIII SL
52.000
2.000
50.000
XIV Cuenca Sal
29.000
1.000
28.000
XV
Otras
22.000
500
21.500
TOTAL
850.000
47.900
802.100

Buenos Aires, Jul 02, 2015

Porcentage
Hectares
Harvested
Harvested
50,0
11.750
65,0 119.925
89,0
79.210
68,5
21.920
95,0 128.250
99,0
29.700
95,0
15.675
94,0
55.930
75,0
28.950
50,0
4.000
77,0
60.830
60,0
4.200
90,0
45.000
90,0
25.200
95,0
20.425
81,2 650.965

As of: Jul 02, 2015

Yield
Production
(qq/Ha)
(Tn)
40
47.000
38
458.713
56
443.576
52
112.888
50
641.250
64
191.268
63
97.969
47
264.549
46
133.170
50
20.000
35
212.906
46
19.320
39
173.250
45
113.400
35
71.488
46,1 3.000.746

Buenos Aires Grains Exchange