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    FL Poll April 20th Release Presidential Clinton Bush Rubio

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    Sarah Rumpf
    The Mason-Dixon poll of Florida voters found that both Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio lead Hillary Clinton in hypothetical 2016 presidential matchups in Florida. Bush leads Clinton 47% to 43% and Rubio leads her 49% to 43%. The poll also shows Clinton is viewed unfavorably by 39% of Florida voters compared to 31% for Bush and 27% for Rubio. Among registered Democrats in Florida, only 39% said they would definitely vote for Clinton in the primary, while 40% would consider another candidate and 12% would vote against her.

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    FL Poll April 20th Release Presidential Clinton Bush Rubio

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    Sarah Rumpf
    660 views4 pages
    The Mason-Dixon poll of Florida voters found that both Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio lead Hillary Clinton in hypothetical 2016 presidential matchups in Florida. Bush leads Clinton 47% to 43% and Rubio leads her 49% to 43%. The poll also shows Clinton is viewed unfavorably by 39% of Florida voters compared to 31% for Bush and 27% for Rubio. Among registered Democrats in Florida, only 39% said they would definitely vote for Clinton in the primary, while 40% would consider another candidate and 12% would vote against her.

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    FL Poll re Clinton vs Bush and Rubio

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    Fl Poll April 20th Release Presidential Clinton Bush Rubio

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    The Mason-Dixon poll of Florida voters found that both Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio lead Hillary Clinton in hypothetical 2016 presidential matchups in Florida. Bush leads Clinton 47% to 43% and Rubio leads her 49% to 43%. The poll also shows Clinton is viewed unfavorably by 39% of Florida voters compared to 31% for Bush and 27% for Rubio. Among registered Democrats in Florida, only 39% said they would definitely vote for Clinton in the primary, while 40% would consider another candidate and 12% would vote against her.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    660 views4 pages

    FL Poll April 20th Release Presidential Clinton Bush Rubio

    Uploaded by

    Sarah Rumpf
    The Mason-Dixon poll of Florida voters found that both Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio lead Hillary Clinton in hypothetical 2016 presidential matchups in Florida. Bush leads Clinton 47% to 43% and Rubio leads her 49% to 43%. The poll also shows Clinton is viewed unfavorably by 39% of Florida voters compared to 31% for Bush and 27% for Rubio. Among registered Democrats in Florida, only 39% said they would definitely vote for Clinton in the primary, while 40% would consider another candidate and 12% would vote against her.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 4

    Mason-Dixon

    Polling & Research

    Washington, DC 202.548.2680
    Jacksonville, FL 904.261.2444

    MASON-DIXON FLORIDA POLL


    APRIL 2015
    BUSH & RUBIO BOTH LEAD CLINTON IN FLORIDA

    STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

    QUESTION: Do you recognize the name ________?

    (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?


    FAVORABLE
    UNFAVORABLE
    NEUTRAL
    DON'T RECOGNIZE

    Marco Rubio
    46%
    27%
    25%
    2%

    Jeb Bush
    45%
    31%
    23%
    1%

    Hillary Clinton
    41%
    39%
    19%
    1%

    ANALYSIS
    By: J. Bradford Coker, Managing Director
    Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.
    2015, All Rights Reserved

    Both leading Republican candidates from the Sunshine State now lead Democrat Hillary Clinton in
    Florida. Statewide, former governor Jeb Bush leads Clinton 47%-43% and Senator Marco Rubio,
    who trailed Clinton in January, has a slightly larger 49%-43% advantage.
    Predictably, support divides sharply along partisan lines, with Bush and Rubio holding strong leads
    among Republican voters and Clinton well ahead among Democrats. Bush and Rubio are ahead
    because both are running stronger with independents.
    The gender gap, which Clinton hopes to exploit in her quest to become the first female president, is
    present. However, that gap exposes that her deficit among men is a stronger force than her
    advantage among women.
    www.mason-dixon.com

    @MasonDixonPoll

    Mason-Dixon
    Polling & Research

    Washington, DC 202.548.2680
    Jacksonville, FL 904.261.2444

    Clintons early campaign struggles have made some Democratic leaders nervous and there is
    evidence to support that it has trickled down to rank and file party voters. Among registered
    Democrats, only 39% said they will definitely vote for her in the primary election, while 40% would
    give strong consideration to another Democratic candidate and 12% would definitely vote against
    Clinton in the primary.

    QUESTION: If the 2016 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote
    if the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Jeb Bush, the Republican?

    CLINTON
    STATE
    REGION
    North Florida
    Central Florida
    Tampa Bay
    Southwest Florida
    Southeast Florida
    SEX
    Men
    Women
    AGE
    18-34
    35-49
    50-64
    65+
    RACE/
    ETHNICITY
    White
    Black
    Hispanic
    PARTY
    REGISTRATION
    Democrat
    Republican
    Independent

    www.mason-dixon.com

    43%
    CLINTON
    33%
    43%
    42%
    37%
    52%
    CLINTON
    39%
    46%
    CLINTON
    46%
    45%
    45%
    38%

    CLINTON
    32%
    92%
    45%

    CLINTON
    79%
    8%
    36%

    BUSH
    47%

    UNDECIDED
    10%

    BUSH UNDECIDED
    55%
    50%
    45%
    55%
    38%
    BUSH
    54%
    42%
    BUSH
    40%
    46%
    48%
    51%

    BUSH
    57%
    5%
    38%

    BUSH
    14%
    83%
    46%

    12%
    7%
    13%
    8%
    10%
    UNDECIDED
    7%
    12%
    UNDECIDED
    14%
    9%
    7%
    11%

    UNDECIDED
    11%
    3%
    17%

    UNDECIDED
    7%
    9%
    18%

    @MasonDixonPoll

    Mason-Dixon
    Polling & Research

    Washington, DC 202.548.2680
    Jacksonville, FL 904.261.2444

    QUESTION: If the 2016 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if
    the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Marco Rubio, the Republican?

    STATE
    REGION
    North Florida
    Central Florida
    Tampa Bay
    Southwest Florida
    Southeast Florida
    SEX
    Men
    Women
    AGE
    18-34
    35-49
    50-64
    65+
    RACE/ETHNICITY
    White
    Black
    Hispanic
    PARTY REGISTRATION
    Democrat
    Republican
    Independent

    www.mason-dixon.com

    CLINTON

    RUBIO

    UNDECIDED

    43%

    49%

    8%

    CLINTON

    RUBIO

    UNDECIDED

    35%
    40%
    43%
    36%
    53%
    CLINTON
    38%
    49%
    CLINTON
    47%
    45%
    43%
    39%
    CLINTON
    34%
    84%
    46%

    57%
    52%
    46%
    58%
    40%
    RUBIO
    57%
    41%
    RUBIO
    43%
    47%
    52%
    51%
    RUBIO
    58%
    7%
    45%

    CLINTON

    RUBIO

    75%
    9%
    39%

    16%
    85%
    48%

    8%
    8%
    11%
    6%
    7%
    UNDECIDED
    5%
    10%
    UNDECIDED
    10%
    8%
    5%
    10%
    UNDECIDED
    8%
    9%
    9%
    UNDECIDED
    9%
    6%
    13%

    @MasonDixonPoll

    Mason-Dixon
    Polling & Research

    Washington, DC 202.548.2680
    Jacksonville, FL 904.261.2444

    *** 400 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS ***

    QUESTION: Hillary Clinton is the only announced candidate for the Democratic presidential
    nomination. Looking ahead, if she is opposed by another Democrat in the primary election, will
    you definitely vote for Clinton, will you consider voting for another Democrat or would you
    definitely vote for another Democrat in the primary?
    DEFINITE CLINTON
    CONSIDER OTHER DEMOCRAT
    VOTE FOR OTHER DEMOCRAT
    NOT SURE

    39%
    40%
    12%
    9%

    HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

    This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Jacksonville, Florida from April 14
    through April 16, 2015. A total of 625 registered Florida voters were interviewed statewide by
    telephone.
    Those interviewed on land-lines were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of
    telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection
    of the state. Those interviewed on cell phones were selected from a list of working cell phone numbers.
    Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turnout by county.
    The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than 4
    percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall
    within that range if all voters were surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a
    gender or age grouping.
    This section also contains an over-sampling to include 400 registered Democratic voters. These
    additional voters were only asked the questions related to the Democratic primary election. They were
    not included in the general election section. The margin for error on this Democratic voters sample is
    no more that 5%.

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    @MasonDixonPoll

    www.mason-dixon.com

    @MasonDixonPoll

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