Weeklyagreport: Soybean

- Soybean production is estimated at 57 million tons despite floods in parts of Cordoba, Santa Fe, and Santiago del Estero. Yields are expected to exceed historic averages in less affected areas. - Corn production is projected at 22.5 million tons, down 16.6% from last season, as harvest is underway but hampered by excess moisture in some areas. - Sunflower harvest is 35.3% complete with an average yield of 2.2 tons/ha, maintaining the season production estimate at 2.6 million tons.

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Weeklyagreport: Soybean

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WeeklyAgReport

BUENOS AIRES GRAIN E XCHANGE

WEEK ENDED ON Mar. 12, 2015

CROP REPORT - HIGHLIGHTS
Estimations and Agricultural Projections Department
Buenos Aires Grain Exchange

Referencias:
NOA: Salta+Tucumn+Jujuy+Catamarca+Oeste Sgo del Estero.
NEA: Chaco+Este Sgo del Estero+Formosa.
Ctro N Sfe: Centro-Norte de Santa Fe. Ctro N Cba: Centro-Norte de Crdoba.
Ncleo Norte: Este de Crdoba+Centro-Sur de Santa Fe+Sudoeste de Entre Ros.
S Cba: Sur de Crdoba. N LP-O BA: Norte de La Pampa+ Oeste de Buenos Aires.
Ctro E ER: Entre Ros excluido Victoria y Diamante.
Ctro BA: Centro de Buenos Aires.
SO BA-S LP: Sudoeste de Buenos Aires+Sur de La Pampa.
SE BA: Sudeste de Buenos Aires. SL: San Luis.
Cuenca Sal: Este de la Cuenca del Salado. Otras: Corrientes+Misiones.

WEEKLY AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

BUENOS AIRES GRAINS EXCHANGE

March 12, 2015

AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: MARCH 12 TO 18, 2015: HEAT AND SCARCE
PRECIPITATIONS OVER MOST PART OF THE AGRICULTURAL AREA.

OUTLOOK SUMMARY
At the beginning of the perspective, the entrance of northerly winds will bring high temperatures and abundant
atmospheric humidity. In spite of the warm and humid winds, the blockage of atmospheric circulation will hinder
precipitations. Towards the middle of the perspective, the passage of a storm front will bring abundant precipitations
to the west and center of NOA and the southeast of the Pampas region. The rest of the agricultural area will report
scarce values. Coupled with the storm front, winds will rotate to the south/southwest, leading to a sharp temperature
drop over the south-end of the Ag. region.The rest of the area will not report significant changes. Northerly winds will
soon return reactivating the heat.

SOYBEAN
Despite good weather in the last seven days, road conditions and the accumulation of surface
moisture over wide areas of Crdoba, Santa Fe and Santiago del Estero are still making it difficult to measure
the impact of the floods. Conversely, yield expectations are in excess of historic averages in the least
affected areas, as well as in hills within the affected zones of the mid-north of Crdoba and the north belt. If
such productivities are met, they might partially offset losses from water excess. Consequently, production
estimate remains at 57,000,000 tons this season.
First harvest tests posted an average of 3.5 Tn/Ha on low suitability soils, and yields between 4.2 and
5.2 Tn/Ha on better suited terrains in the north belt.
Prevalence of moist environments also produces a significant health risk, especially on second plots
which have not yet formed grains. Lack of ground on roads and plots delays preventative pesticide
applications.
It rained heavily over the north provinces in the NW Area, producing even river overflows. However,
impact on soybeans would not be significant.

In spite of floods in the north belt, yield expectations continue to be high. As was mentioned before,
harvest tests reported yields between 4.5 and 5.0 Tn/Ha on several first plots, while second plantings are
expected to yield between 2.4 and 4.0 Tn/Ha. Toward the south belt, water conditions are adequate to
optimal, and average yield expectation is 3.7 Tn/Ha on first plots and 2.7 Tn/Ha on second plots.

SOYBEAN PLANTING
2014/15 Season
Hectareage (Ha)
Zone
2013/14
2014/15
I
NOA
1.103.000
900.000
II
NEA
1.654.000
1.500.000
III
Ctro N Cba
2.265.000
2.300.000
IV
S Cba
1.490.000
1.700.000
V
Ctro N SFe
1.160.000
1.300.000
VI
Ncleo Norte 3.560.000
3.500.000
VII
Ncleo Sur
2.800.000
2.800.000
VIII Ctro E ER
1.230.000
1.250.000
IX
N LP-OBA
1.660.000
1.850.000
X
Ctro BA
570.000
650.000
XI
SO BA-S LP
500.000
520.000
XII
SE BA
1.590.000
1.680.000
XIII SL
165.000
180.000
XIV Cuenca Sal
203.000
220.000
XV
Otras
50.000
50.000
TOTAL
20.000.000
20.400.000

As of: Mar. 12, 2015

Porcentage
Hectares
planted (%)
planted
100,0
900.000
100,0 1.500.000
100,0 2.300.000
100,0 1.700.000
100,0 1.300.000
100,0 3.500.000
100,0 2.800.000
100,0 1.250.000
100,0 1.850.000
100,0
650.000
100,0
520.000
100,0 1.680.000
100,0
180.000
100,0
220.000
100,0
50.000
100,0 20.400.000

CORN
Within the last seven days, rainfalls turned to the NW of the ag region, which allowed to resume
harvest fieldwork on several corn zones in the center of the country. Week-on-week progress was 0.7 %,
posting a slight YOY decrease of -0.6 %. So far, 3.4 % of the area was harvested, accounting for an overall of
106 thousand hectares. Farm volume accrued is over 890 thousand tons, posting an average yield of 8.47
Tn/Ha.
As harvest moves forward covering most of the central region, per-hectare productivities become
homogeneous and closer to expectations in each zone.
There is water excess on the NW Area, which hampers corn plots partially or totally. Toward the NE
Area, rainfalls did not make a big impact, except for Santiago del Estero. Generally speaking, the NE Area
presents very good conditions on early planted plots, as well as on late or second plots. Yield expectations
are over regional averages.
Toward the mid-north of Crdoba, where first plots are at physiological maturity, water excess is
hampering the start of harvest. Yield expectations are very good, with projected productivities within the
range of 6.5 and 10.5 Tn/Ha.
Both the mid-east of Entre Rios and the north of Santa Fe reported harvest progress in the last seven
days, aided by good weather conditions. In both regions productivities are in excess of historic averages.
The north and south belt areas have also reported a slight advance. Yields are way above 10.0 Tn/Ha
on average.
Finally, first plots have started harvest in the west of Buenos Aires. Registered productivites range
from 5.0 Tn/Ha to 9.0 Tn/Ha, according to rainfalls received during the cycle.
Consequently, based on previous reports, corn production projection remains at 22,500,000 tons,
which would be a fall by -16.6 % from last season (2013/14: 27M Tn).

CORN HARVEST
2012/13 Season
Zone
I
NOA
II
NEA
III
Ctro N Cba
IV S Cba
V
Ctro N SFe
VI Ncleo Norte
VII Ncleo Sur
VIII Ctro E ER
IX
N LP-OBA
X
Ctro BA
XI
SO BA-S LP
XII SE BA
XIII SL
XIV Cuenca Sal
XV Otras
TOTAL

Sown
230.000
315.000
490.000
335.000
130.000
300.000
265.000
137.000
370.000
179.000
98.000
92.000
123.000
52.000
24.000
3.140.000

Hectareage (Ha)
Porcentage
Hectares
Lost
Harvestable Harvested (%) Harvested
2.000
228.000
0,0
2.000
313.000
0,0
8.000
482.000
0,0
5.000
330.000
0,8
2.580
3.500
126.500
27,0
34.100
2.000
298.000
7,5
22.300
1.000
264.000
3,0
7.910
2.500
134.500
16,2
21.855
1.000
369.000
2,5
9.200
1.000
178.000
0,0
1.200
96.800
0,0
1.000
91.000
0,0
1.000
122.000
0,0
1.300
50.700
0,0
500
23.500
34,9
8.190
33.000
3.107.000
3,4 106.135

As of: Mar. 12,2015

Yield
Production
(qq/Ha)
(Tn)
62
15.996
75
255.750
115
256.450
113
89.383
82
179.211
75
69.000
40
32.760
84,7 898.550

SUNFLOWER
Harvest fieldwork has advanced throughout the ag region in the last week. Collection is focused on the
sunflower area of the SW of Buenos Aires-south of La Pampa, SE of Buenos Aires and center of the ag
region.
So far, 35.2 % of the area was harvested, making an overall of 440,000 Ha, accruing a farm volume of
960 thousand tons. Week-on-week advance posted 10.6 percentage points, with an average yield of 2.2 Tn/Ha
nationwide, leveraged by high productivities in the south areas. Based on this, sunflower production
projection remains at 2,600,000 tons for year 2014/15.
Toward the center of Buenos Aires, North of La Pampa-west of Buenos Aires and the Salado basin,
harvest moved on in good weather conditions. Yields obtained are very good, with specific plots posting 3.3
Tn/Ha in the center of Buenos Aires.
The SW of Buenos Aires-south of La Pampa shows significant harvest progress. Yields are in excess
of historic averages in most of the region, which is tied to very good weather during crop cycle. Current
productivities are over 2.0 Tn/Ha.
The SE of Buenos Aires, which concentrates 30 % of the sunflower area nationwide, shows harvest
progress for 10 %. Week-on-week variation is of 4 %, and average yield reported 2.25 Tn/Ha.

SUNFLOWER HARVEST
2014/15 Season
Hectareage (Ha)
Porcentage
Hectares
Harvested
(%)
Harvested
Zone
Sown
Lost
Harvestable
I
NOA
II
NEA
135.000
10.000
125.000
100,0
125.000
III
Ctro N Cba
2.000
350
1.650
100,0
1.650
IV
S Cba
15.000
500
14.500
55,0
7.975
V
Ctro N SFe
90.000
6.200
83.800
100,0
83.800
VI
Ncleo Norte
4.000
380
3.620
55,0
1.991
VII
Ncleo Sur
5.000
350
4.650
56,0
2.604
VIII
Ctro E ER
3.000
350
2.650
50,0
1.325
IX
N LP-OBA
90.000
6.000
84.000
40,0
33.600
X
Ctro BA
50.000
2.000
48.000
30,0
14.400
XI
SO BA-S LP
420.000
12.000
408.000
25,0
102.000
XII
SE BA
390.000
8.500
381.500
10,0
38.150
XIII
SL
20.000
1.900
18.100
41,0
7.421
XIV
Cuenca Sal
72.000
1.200
70.800
25,0
17.700
XV
Otras
4.000
100
3.900
80,0
3.120
TOTAL
1.300.000
49.830
1.250.170
35,3
440.736

As of: Mar. 12, 2015

Yield
Production
(qq/Ha)
(Tn)
19,0
237.500
12,9
2.129
24,0
19.140
19,0
159.220
25,0
4.978
30,0
7.812
19,0
2.518
24,5
82.320
30,0
43.200
25,0
255.000
22,5
85.838
18,0
13.358
25,5
45.135
16,0
4.992
21,9
963.138

GRAIN SORGHUM
Grain sorghum harvest moves on in the mid-north of Santa Fe and mid-east of Entre Ros. So far, 2.9 %
of the area was harvested, accounting for an overall of 25,000 Ha. Plots yielded an average of 5.12 Tn/Ha, and
farm volume accrued amounts to 126,000 Tn.
Toward the mid-east of Entre Ros, around 15 % of plots were harvested, yielding an average of 5.0
Tn/Ha.

Likewise, the mid-north of Santa Fe has started harvest, concentrating 17.6 % of nationwide area.
Yields obtained are over historic averages, thanks to good water supplies during development.
Continuous rainfalls over the mid-north of Crdoba produce flooding on many sorghum plots.
Conditions in the area are essential to national production, since it accounts for 12 % of the area, and the
average yield in the last five seasons posted 5.4 Tn/Ha, which is a significant productivity level among the
main sorghum growing regions.
Toward the NE Area, precipitations in the last few weeks provide most of the area with favorable plot
conditions. Many of these plots are nearing flowering, which is critical to yield formation. On the other hand,
the SW of Santiago del Estero generates losses from water excess.

GRAIN SORGHUM HARVEST

2013/14 Season
Hectareage (Ha)
Zone
Sown
Lost
Harvestable
I
NOA
24.000
24.000
II
NEA
190.000
190.000
III
Ctro N Cba
100.000
100.000
IV
S Cba
34.000
34.000
V
Ctro N SFe
150.000
400
149.600
VI
Ncleo Norte
32.000
32.000
VII
Ncleo Sur
17.000
17.000
VIII Ctro E ER
65.000
300
64.700
IX
N LP-OBA
40.000
40.000
X
Ctro BA
8.000
8.000
XI
SO BA-S LP
80.000
80.000
XII
SE BA
7.000
7.000
XIII SL
52.000
52.000
XIV Cuenca Sal
29.000
29.000
XV
Otras
22.000
22.000
TOTAL
850.000
700
849.300